LeviStrauss的个人主页 - 老虎社区

LeviStrauss

LeviStrauss

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2021-08-13

wow! 👍

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2021-11-19

time to stock up on these?

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2021-07-11

good for trading!

The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>

2021-11-14

shopping!! 👍

Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>

2021-08-24

wow!

Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high<blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨 1.3% 创新高</blockquote>

2021-08-01

buy amazon 😁

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2021-07-03

prices too high now! 😬

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2021-11-24

😰

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2021-10-09

good read!

6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>

2021-10-03

wow!

抱歉，原内容已删除

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trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6616564f5ca493d336303b334198c8e7\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Rocket Cos Inc&nbsp;said on Monday it would buy personal finance app Truebill for nearly $1.3 billion in cash, as the Detroit-based company looks to expand its reach in the consumer finance market.</p><p><blockquote>火箭股价早盘下跌 4.6%。Rocket Cos Inc 周一表示，将以近 13 亿美元现金收购个人理财应用 Truebill，这家总部位于底特律的公司希望扩大其在消费金融市场的影响力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rocket shares slide 4.6% in early trading<blockquote>火箭股价早盘下跌 4.6%</blockquote></title>\n<style 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23:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6616564f5ca493d336303b334198c8e7\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Rocket Cos Inc&nbsp;said on Monday it would buy personal finance app Truebill for nearly $1.3 billion in cash, as the Detroit-based company looks to expand its reach in the consumer finance market.</p><p><blockquote>火箭股价早盘下跌 4.6%。Rocket Cos Inc 周一表示，将以近 13 亿美元现金收购个人理财应用 Truebill，这家总部位于底特律的公司希望扩大其在消费金融市场的影响力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RKT":"Rocket Companies"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170276602","content_text":"Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.Rocket Cos Inc said on Monday it would buy personal finance app Truebill for nearly $1.3 billion in cash, as the Detroit-based company looks to expand its reach in the consumer finance market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RKT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690247480,"gmtCreate":1639673420355,"gmtModify":1639673420698,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690247480","repostId":"2191453039","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690244404,"gmtCreate":1639673276807,"gmtModify":1639673277135,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"😱😱","listText":"😱😱","text":"😱😱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690244404","repostId":"1140511693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140511693","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639665536,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1140511693?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 22:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Adobe fell over 9% in morning trading as its FY22 outlook trail estimates<blockquote>Adobe 早盘交易中下跌超过 9%，原因是其 2022 财年前景预期低于预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140511693","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Adobe fell over 9% in morning trading as its FY22 outlook trail estimates.The data shows that the co","content":"<p>Adobe&nbsp;fell&nbsp;over&nbsp;9%&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading&nbsp;as its FY22 outlook trail estimates.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6e65fe32e506aa85852f947b77809bb\" tg-width=\"766\" tg-height=\"563\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The data shows that the company's Q4 revenue was 4.11 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 20%; Q4 earned 2.57 US dollars per share, and the market expected 2.53 US dollars, compared with 4.64 US dollars in the same period last year; Adobe bought back about 1.6 million shares this quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe 在早盘交易中下跌超过 9%，原因是其 2022 财年前景预期低于预期。数据显示，公司Q4营收41.1亿美元，同比增长20%；Q4每股收益2.57美元，市场预期2.53美元，去年同期为4.64美元；Adobe 本季度回购了约 160 万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> During the period, the revenue of the digital media department was 3.01 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 21%; Creative income increased to 2.48 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 19%; Document Cloud's revenue was $532 million, up 29% year-on-year;</p><p><blockquote>期内，数字媒体部门营收30.1亿美元，同比增长21%；创意收入增至24.8亿美元，同比增长19%；Document Cloud营收5.32亿美元，同比增长29%；</blockquote></p><p> Adobe achieved a record annual revenue of 15.79 billion US dollars in fiscal year 2021, a year-on-year increase of 23%; GAAP diluted earnings per share was $10.02 and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $12.48.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe 2021财年实现创纪录的全年营收157.9亿美元，同比增长23%；GAAP 稀释每股收益为 10.02 美元，非 GAAP 稀释每股收益为 12.48 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Adobe generated a record operating cash flow of 7.23 billion US dollars in this year; About 7.2 million shares were repurchased in fiscal year 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe今年产生了创纪录的72.3亿美元运营现金流；2021财年回购了约720万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> As of press time, Adobe fell more than 7% before the market.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿，Adobe盘前跌超7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Adobe fell over 9% in morning trading as its FY22 outlook trail estimates<blockquote>Adobe 早盘交易中下跌超过 9%，原因是其 2022 财年前景预期低于预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAdobe fell over 9% in morning trading as its FY22 outlook trail estimates<blockquote>Adobe 早盘交易中下跌超过 9%，原因是其 2022 财年前景预期低于预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-16 22:38</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Adobe&nbsp;fell&nbsp;over&nbsp;9%&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading&nbsp;as its FY22 outlook trail estimates.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6e65fe32e506aa85852f947b77809bb\" tg-width=\"766\" tg-height=\"563\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The data shows that the company's Q4 revenue was 4.11 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 20%; Q4 earned 2.57 US dollars per share, and the market expected 2.53 US dollars, compared with 4.64 US dollars in the same period last year; Adobe bought back about 1.6 million shares this quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe 在早盘交易中下跌超过 9%，原因是其 2022 财年前景预期低于预期。数据显示，公司Q4营收41.1亿美元，同比增长20%；Q4每股收益2.57美元，市场预期2.53美元，去年同期为4.64美元；Adobe 本季度回购了约 160 万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> During the period, the revenue of the digital media department was 3.01 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 21%; Creative income increased to 2.48 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 19%; Document Cloud's revenue was $532 million, up 29% year-on-year;</p><p><blockquote>期内，数字媒体部门营收30.1亿美元，同比增长21%；创意收入增至24.8亿美元，同比增长19%；Document Cloud营收5.32亿美元，同比增长29%；</blockquote></p><p> Adobe achieved a record annual revenue of 15.79 billion US dollars in fiscal year 2021, a year-on-year increase of 23%; GAAP diluted earnings per share was $10.02 and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $12.48.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe 2021财年实现创纪录的全年营收157.9亿美元，同比增长23%；GAAP 稀释每股收益为 10.02 美元，非 GAAP 稀释每股收益为 12.48 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Adobe generated a record operating cash flow of 7.23 billion US dollars in this year; About 7.2 million shares were repurchased in fiscal year 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe今年产生了创纪录的72.3亿美元运营现金流；2021财年回购了约720万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> As of press time, Adobe fell more than 7% before the market.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿，Adobe盘前跌超7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ADBE":"Adobe"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140511693","content_text":"Adobe fell over 9% in morning trading as its FY22 outlook trail estimates.The data shows that the company's Q4 revenue was 4.11 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 20%; Q4 earned 2.57 US dollars per share, and the market expected 2.53 US dollars, compared with 4.64 US dollars in the same period last year; Adobe bought back about 1.6 million shares this quarter.\nDuring the period, the revenue of the digital media department was 3.01 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 21%; Creative income increased to 2.48 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 19%; Document Cloud's revenue was $532 million, up 29% year-on-year;\nAdobe achieved a record annual revenue of 15.79 billion US dollars in fiscal year 2021, a year-on-year increase of 23%; GAAP diluted earnings per share was $10.02 and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $12.48.\nAdobe generated a record operating cash flow of 7.23 billion US dollars in this year; About 7.2 million shares were repurchased in fiscal year 2021.\nAs of press time, Adobe fell more than 7% before the market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ADBE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605636755,"gmtCreate":1639150619429,"gmtModify":1639150619777,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow!","listText":"wow!","text":"wow!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605636755","repostId":"1173242614","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173242614","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639149896,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173242614?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft stock jumped more than 2% in morning trading<blockquote>微软股价早盘上涨超过 2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173242614","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Microsoft stock jumped more than 2% in morning trading as Microsoft set to win EU antitrust nod for ","content":"<p>Microsoft stock jumped more than 2% in morning trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;Microsoft set to win EU antitrust nod for $16 bln Nuance deal, sources said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，由于微软将赢得欧盟反垄断机构对 160 亿美元 Nuance 交易的批准，微软股价在早盘交易中上涨超过 2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2b1206ee31bbf82c8f0f2186cf1d5d0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> U.S. software giant Microsoft Corp&nbsp;is set to secure unconditional EU antitrust approval for its $16 billion bid for artificial intelligence and speech technology firm Nuance Communications Inc, people familiar with the matter said.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士称，美国软件巨头微软公司将以 160 亿美元收购人工智能和语音技术公司 Nuance Communications Inc.，获得欧盟无条件反垄断批准。</blockquote></p><p> The deal, the latest in the tech industry, comes amid heightened regulatory scrutiny of takeovers by tech giants and acquisitions where nascent start-ups and potential rivals are shut down.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易是科技行业的最新交易，正值监管机构对科技巨头的收购和收购加强审查之际，新兴初创企业和潜在竞争对手被关闭。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft announced the deal in April which will boost its presence in cloud solutions for healthcare customers.</p><p><blockquote>微软在4月份宣布了这笔交易，这将增强其在医疗保健客户云解决方案领域的影响力。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. software giant is currently in talks with the British antitrust agency ahead of filing a request for approval of the deal, the sources said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，这家美国软件巨头目前正在与英国反垄断机构进行谈判，然后提交批准该交易的请求。</blockquote></p><p> The European Commission, which is scheduled to decide on the deal by Dec. 21, declined to comment. Microsoft also declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>欧盟委员会定于 12 月 21 日就该交易做出决定，但拒绝置评。微软也拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also in preliminary discussions with the UK antitrust agency CMA ahead of a formal request for approval of the deal, the sources said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，在正式请求批准该交易之前，该公司还在与英国反垄断机构 CMA 进行初步讨论。</blockquote></p><p> The deal has already received the regulatory green light in the United States and Australia, without remedies given.</p><p><blockquote>该交易已经获得美国和澳大利亚监管机构的批准，但没有给出补救措施。</blockquote></p><p> Nuance, known for pioneering speech technology and helping launch Apple Inc's&nbsp;virtual assistant, Siri, serves 77% of U.S. hospitals.</p><p><blockquote>Nuance 以开创语音技术并帮助推出苹果公司的虚拟助手 Siri 而闻名，为美国 77% 的医院提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft stock jumped more than 2% in morning trading<blockquote>微软股价早盘上涨超过 2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft stock jumped more than 2% in morning trading<blockquote>微软股价早盘上涨超过 2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 23:24</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Microsoft stock jumped more than 2% in morning trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;Microsoft set to win EU antitrust nod for $16 bln Nuance deal, sources said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，由于微软将赢得欧盟反垄断机构对 160 亿美元 Nuance 交易的批准，微软股价在早盘交易中上涨超过 2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2b1206ee31bbf82c8f0f2186cf1d5d0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> U.S. software giant Microsoft Corp&nbsp;is set to secure unconditional EU antitrust approval for its $16 billion bid for artificial intelligence and speech technology firm Nuance Communications Inc, people familiar with the matter said.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士称，美国软件巨头微软公司将以 160 亿美元收购人工智能和语音技术公司 Nuance Communications Inc.，获得欧盟无条件反垄断批准。</blockquote></p><p> The deal, the latest in the tech industry, comes amid heightened regulatory scrutiny of takeovers by tech giants and acquisitions where nascent start-ups and potential rivals are shut down.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易是科技行业的最新交易，正值监管机构对科技巨头的收购和收购加强审查之际，新兴初创企业和潜在竞争对手被关闭。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft announced the deal in April which will boost its presence in cloud solutions for healthcare customers.</p><p><blockquote>微软在4月份宣布了这笔交易，这将增强其在医疗保健客户云解决方案领域的影响力。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. software giant is currently in talks with the British antitrust agency ahead of filing a request for approval of the deal, the sources said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，这家美国软件巨头目前正在与英国反垄断机构进行谈判，然后提交批准该交易的请求。</blockquote></p><p> The European Commission, which is scheduled to decide on the deal by Dec. 21, declined to comment. Microsoft also declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>欧盟委员会定于 12 月 21 日就该交易做出决定，但拒绝置评。微软也拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also in preliminary discussions with the UK antitrust agency CMA ahead of a formal request for approval of the deal, the sources said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，在正式请求批准该交易之前，该公司还在与英国反垄断机构 CMA 进行初步讨论。</blockquote></p><p> The deal has already received the regulatory green light in the United States and Australia, without remedies given.</p><p><blockquote>该交易已经获得美国和澳大利亚监管机构的批准，但没有给出补救措施。</blockquote></p><p> Nuance, known for pioneering speech technology and helping launch Apple Inc's&nbsp;virtual assistant, Siri, serves 77% of U.S. hospitals.</p><p><blockquote>Nuance 以开创语音技术并帮助推出苹果公司的虚拟助手 Siri 而闻名，为美国 77% 的医院提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173242614","content_text":"Microsoft stock jumped more than 2% in morning trading as Microsoft set to win EU antitrust nod for $16 bln Nuance deal, sources said.\n\nU.S. software giant Microsoft Corp is set to secure unconditional EU antitrust approval for its $16 billion bid for artificial intelligence and speech technology firm Nuance Communications Inc, people familiar with the matter said.\nThe deal, the latest in the tech industry, comes amid heightened regulatory scrutiny of takeovers by tech giants and acquisitions where nascent start-ups and potential rivals are shut down.\nMicrosoft announced the deal in April which will boost its presence in cloud solutions for healthcare customers.\nThe U.S. software giant is currently in talks with the British antitrust agency ahead of filing a request for approval of the deal, the sources said.\nThe European Commission, which is scheduled to decide on the deal by Dec. 21, declined to comment. Microsoft also declined to comment.\nThe company is also in preliminary discussions with the UK antitrust agency CMA ahead of a formal request for approval of the deal, the sources said.\nThe deal has already received the regulatory green light in the United States and Australia, without remedies given.\nNuance, known for pioneering speech technology and helping launch Apple Inc's virtual assistant, Siri, serves 77% of U.S. hospitals.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606094781,"gmtCreate":1638799542829,"gmtModify":1638800040547,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606094781","repostId":"1107494736","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107494736","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638799191,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107494736?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 21:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock Is an Attractive Buy, Says KeyBanc. Price Target Set at $191.<blockquote>KeyBanc 表示，苹果股票很有吸引力。目标价定为 191 美元。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107494736","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple shares were rising Monday after analysts at KeyBanc Capital Markets initiated coverage on the ","content":"<p>Apple&nbsp;shares were rising Monday after analysts at KeyBanc Capital Markets initiated coverage on the stock with a bullish outlook, citing growth in the tech giant’s services segment.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周一上涨，此前 KeyBanc Capital Markets 的分析师以这家科技巨头服务部门的增长为由，开始对该股进行看涨前景的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst Brandon Nispel rated the stock Overweight with a $191 price target. The target presents an 18% increase from Apple’s (ticker: AAPL) $161.84 closing price on Friday. The stock was up 1.2% to $163.73 in premarket trading Monday.</p><p><blockquote>分析师 Brandon Nispel 将该股评级为跑赢大盘 191 美元，目标价为 191 美元。该目标比苹果（股票代码：AAPL）周五收盘价 161.84 美元上涨了 18%。周一盘前交易中，该股上涨 1.2%，至 163.73 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 42 analysts covering the stock surveyed by FactSet, 32 have it at a Buy or Overweight rating, nine rated it at Hold, and one rated it Underweight.</p><p><blockquote>在 FactSet 调查的 42 名分析师中，32 名分析师给予该股买入或跑赢大盘评级，9 名分析师给予持有评级，1 名分析师给予跑输大盘评级。</blockquote></p><p> “While AAPL is expensive by historical valuations, we find AAPL attractive relative to other mega-caps,” Nispel wrote on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“尼斯佩尔周一写道：”虽然按历史估值计算，AAPL 价格昂贵，但我们认为相对于其他大盘股，AAPL 很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst outlined three main reasons for his bullish take. Nispel doesn’t believe iPhone unit sales have peaked, with the 5G upgrade cycle potentially pushing Apple past its current peak; he believes the company has managed to increase its product breadth to reduce reliability on iPhone sales; and he foresees services to grow at rates multiple times faster than user growth.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师概述了他看涨的三个主要原因。尼斯佩尔认为 iPhone 的销量并未达到顶峰，5G 升级周期可能会推动苹果超越目前的峰值；他认为该公司已经设法增加了产品范围，以降低 iPhone 销售的可靠性；他预计服务的增长速度将比用户增长速度快数倍。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst forecasts Apple to have 1.09 billion active iPhones and 1.8 billion active installed devices by the end of the first quarter of the 2022 fiscal year. This presents a 7% and 8% year-over-year increase, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师预测，到 2022 财年第一季度末，苹果将拥有 10.9 亿部活跃 iPhone 和 18 亿部活跃安装设备。同比分别增长 7% 和 8%。</blockquote></p><p> “This shows a healthy growing user base where Apple iPhone market share is low relative to key geographies outside the United States,” Nispel wrote. “As the installed base grows, a larger base can support more sales on lower upgrade rates.”</p><p><blockquote>“尼斯佩尔写道：”这表明苹果 iPhone 的用户群正在健康增长，而与美国以外的主要地区相比，iPhone 的市场份额较低。“随着安装基数的增长，更大的基数可以以更低的升级率支持更多的销售”。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s international segment is likely to grow faster in the coming years as other countries adapt to 5G, prompting a wave of upgrades to compatible hardware, Nispel wrote. He estimates every 1% increase in 5G upgrade rates could drive an incremental 11 million iPhone unit sales.</p><p><blockquote>尼斯佩尔写道，随着其他国家适应 5G，苹果的国际业务在未来几年可能会增长得更快，从而引发兼容硬件的升级浪潮。他估计，5G升级率每提高1%，就能推动iPhone销量增加1100万部。</blockquote></p><p> As hardware adoption grows, so does Apple’s services business. The segment, which includes services such as Apple TV+, Music, News+, AppleCare, Advertising, and Cloud, has grown 27% in the 2021 fiscal year. Over time, it could become a key profitability driver, growing to more than $100 billion by 2024, Nispel said.</p><p><blockquote>随着硬件采用率的增长，苹果的服务业务也在增长。该部门包括苹果电视+、音乐、新闻+、AppleCare、广告和云等服务，在2021财年增长了27%。尼斯佩尔表示，随着时间的推移，它可能会成为一个关键的盈利驱动力，到 2024 年将增长到 1000 亿美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> Nispel recognized that Apple’s App Store legal battles were concerning, but were “likely more a bend, not break outcome.” The company has had to make modest changes to its App Store guidance in response to court rulings and regulatory changes, including lowering its commission for some developers. It will likely make more concessions over time, such as allowing developers to provide third-party payment options, Nispel said.</p><p><blockquote>尼斯佩尔承认，苹果与 App Store 的法律诉讼令人担忧，但 “更可能是一个转折点，而不是一个突破结果”。为了应对法院裁决和监管变化，该公司不得不对其 App Store 指南进行适度修改，包括降低一些开发者的佣金。尼斯佩尔表示，随着时间的推移，它可能会做出更多让步，例如允许开发商提供第三方支付选项。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect regulation to take time to implement, and believe Apple’s competitive advantage is unlikely to be substantially harmed,” he added.</p><p><blockquote>“他补充说：”我们预计监管需要时间来实施，并相信苹果的竞争优势不太可能受到实质性损害。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Is an Attractive Buy, Says KeyBanc. Price Target Set at $191.<blockquote>KeyBanc 表示，苹果股票很有吸引力。目标价定为 191 美元。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Is an Attractive Buy, Says KeyBanc. Price Target Set at $191.<blockquote>KeyBanc 表示，苹果股票很有吸引力。目标价定为 191 美元。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-06 21:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple&nbsp;shares were rising Monday after analysts at KeyBanc Capital Markets initiated coverage on the stock with a bullish outlook, citing growth in the tech giant’s services segment.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周一上涨，此前 KeyBanc Capital Markets 的分析师以这家科技巨头服务部门的增长为由，开始对该股进行看涨前景的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst Brandon Nispel rated the stock Overweight with a $191 price target. The target presents an 18% increase from Apple’s (ticker: AAPL) $161.84 closing price on Friday. The stock was up 1.2% to $163.73 in premarket trading Monday.</p><p><blockquote>分析师 Brandon Nispel 将该股评级为跑赢大盘 191 美元，目标价为 191 美元。该目标比苹果（股票代码：AAPL）周五收盘价 161.84 美元上涨了 18%。周一盘前交易中，该股上涨 1.2%，至 163.73 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 42 analysts covering the stock surveyed by FactSet, 32 have it at a Buy or Overweight rating, nine rated it at Hold, and one rated it Underweight.</p><p><blockquote>在 FactSet 调查的 42 名分析师中，32 名分析师给予该股买入或跑赢大盘评级，9 名分析师给予持有评级，1 名分析师给予跑输大盘评级。</blockquote></p><p> “While AAPL is expensive by historical valuations, we find AAPL attractive relative to other mega-caps,” Nispel wrote on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“尼斯佩尔周一写道：”虽然按历史估值计算，AAPL 价格昂贵，但我们认为相对于其他大盘股，AAPL 很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst outlined three main reasons for his bullish take. Nispel doesn’t believe iPhone unit sales have peaked, with the 5G upgrade cycle potentially pushing Apple past its current peak; he believes the company has managed to increase its product breadth to reduce reliability on iPhone sales; and he foresees services to grow at rates multiple times faster than user growth.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师概述了他看涨的三个主要原因。尼斯佩尔认为 iPhone 的销量并未达到顶峰，5G 升级周期可能会推动苹果超越目前的峰值；他认为该公司已经设法增加了产品范围，以降低 iPhone 销售的可靠性；他预计服务的增长速度将比用户增长速度快数倍。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst forecasts Apple to have 1.09 billion active iPhones and 1.8 billion active installed devices by the end of the first quarter of the 2022 fiscal year. This presents a 7% and 8% year-over-year increase, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师预测，到 2022 财年第一季度末，苹果将拥有 10.9 亿部活跃 iPhone 和 18 亿部活跃安装设备。同比分别增长 7% 和 8%。</blockquote></p><p> “This shows a healthy growing user base where Apple iPhone market share is low relative to key geographies outside the United States,” Nispel wrote. “As the installed base grows, a larger base can support more sales on lower upgrade rates.”</p><p><blockquote>“尼斯佩尔写道：”这表明苹果 iPhone 的用户群正在健康增长，而与美国以外的主要地区相比，iPhone 的市场份额较低。“随着安装基数的增长，更大的基数可以以更低的升级率支持更多的销售”。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s international segment is likely to grow faster in the coming years as other countries adapt to 5G, prompting a wave of upgrades to compatible hardware, Nispel wrote. He estimates every 1% increase in 5G upgrade rates could drive an incremental 11 million iPhone unit sales.</p><p><blockquote>尼斯佩尔写道，随着其他国家适应 5G，苹果的国际业务在未来几年可能会增长得更快，从而引发兼容硬件的升级浪潮。他估计，5G升级率每提高1%，就能推动iPhone销量增加1100万部。</blockquote></p><p> As hardware adoption grows, so does Apple’s services business. The segment, which includes services such as Apple TV+, Music, News+, AppleCare, Advertising, and Cloud, has grown 27% in the 2021 fiscal year. Over time, it could become a key profitability driver, growing to more than $100 billion by 2024, Nispel said.</p><p><blockquote>随着硬件采用率的增长，苹果的服务业务也在增长。该部门包括苹果电视+、音乐、新闻+、AppleCare、广告和云等服务，在2021财年增长了27%。尼斯佩尔表示，随着时间的推移，它可能会成为一个关键的盈利驱动力，到 2024 年将增长到 1000 亿美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> Nispel recognized that Apple’s App Store legal battles were concerning, but were “likely more a bend, not break outcome.” The company has had to make modest changes to its App Store guidance in response to court rulings and regulatory changes, including lowering its commission for some developers. It will likely make more concessions over time, such as allowing developers to provide third-party payment options, Nispel said.</p><p><blockquote>尼斯佩尔承认，苹果与 App Store 的法律诉讼令人担忧，但 “更可能是一个转折点，而不是一个突破结果”。为了应对法院裁决和监管变化，该公司不得不对其 App Store 指南进行适度修改，包括降低一些开发者的佣金。尼斯佩尔表示，随着时间的推移，它可能会做出更多让步，例如允许开发商提供第三方支付选项。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect regulation to take time to implement, and believe Apple’s competitive advantage is unlikely to be substantially harmed,” he added.</p><p><blockquote>“他补充说：”我们预计监管需要时间来实施，并相信苹果的竞争优势不太可能受到实质性损害。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-aapl-stock-attractive-buy-51638798446?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-aapl-stock-attractive-buy-51638798446?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107494736","content_text":"Apple shares were rising Monday after analysts at KeyBanc Capital Markets initiated coverage on the stock with a bullish outlook, citing growth in the tech giant’s services segment.\nAnalyst Brandon Nispel rated the stock Overweight with a $191 price target. The target presents an 18% increase from Apple’s (ticker: AAPL) $161.84 closing price on Friday. The stock was up 1.2% to $163.73 in premarket trading Monday.\nOf the 42 analysts covering the stock surveyed by FactSet, 32 have it at a Buy or Overweight rating, nine rated it at Hold, and one rated it Underweight.\n“While AAPL is expensive by historical valuations, we find AAPL attractive relative to other mega-caps,” Nispel wrote on Monday.\nThe analyst outlined three main reasons for his bullish take. Nispel doesn’t believe iPhone unit sales have peaked, with the 5G upgrade cycle potentially pushing Apple past its current peak; he believes the company has managed to increase its product breadth to reduce reliability on iPhone sales; and he foresees services to grow at rates multiple times faster than user growth.\nThe analyst forecasts Apple to have 1.09 billion active iPhones and 1.8 billion active installed devices by the end of the first quarter of the 2022 fiscal year. This presents a 7% and 8% year-over-year increase, respectively.\n“This shows a healthy growing user base where Apple iPhone market share is low relative to key geographies outside the United States,” Nispel wrote. “As the installed base grows, a larger base can support more sales on lower upgrade rates.”\nApple’s international segment is likely to grow faster in the coming years as other countries adapt to 5G, prompting a wave of upgrades to compatible hardware, Nispel wrote. He estimates every 1% increase in 5G upgrade rates could drive an incremental 11 million iPhone unit sales.\nAs hardware adoption grows, so does Apple’s services business. The segment, which includes services such as Apple TV+, Music, News+, AppleCare, Advertising, and Cloud, has grown 27% in the 2021 fiscal year. Over time, it could become a key profitability driver, growing to more than $100 billion by 2024, Nispel said.\nNispel recognized that Apple’s App Store legal battles were concerning, but were “likely more a bend, not break outcome.” The company has had to make modest changes to its App Store guidance in response to court rulings and regulatory changes, including lowering its commission for some developers. It will likely make more concessions over time, such as allowing developers to provide third-party payment options, Nispel said.\n“We expect regulation to take time to implement, and believe Apple’s competitive advantage is unlikely to be substantially harmed,” he added.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608072984,"gmtCreate":1638587670072,"gmtModify":1638587670235,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608072984","repostId":"1174181873","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174181873","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638578178,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1174181873?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-04 08:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：数字银行和云基础设施引领 IPO 周 4</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174181873","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billi","content":"<p>The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场预计将在未来一周回暖，四次IPO计划筹集37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett-backed&nbsp;<b>Nu Holdings</b>(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特支持<b>如控股</b>(NU) 计划以 411 亿美元的市值筹集 25 亿美元。这家巴西纯在线银行成立于 2013 年，名为 Nubank，旨在推出免费信用卡产品，提供移动优先的客户体验，但此后已扩展到提供各种其他金融产品。Nu自成立以来发展迅速，目前拥有近5000万客户群，但随着客户群的增长，每位客户的收入一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud infrastructure platform&nbsp;<b>HashiCorp</b>(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>云基础设施平台<b>哈希公司</b>(HCP) 计划以 140 亿美元的市值筹集 11 亿美元。这家由风险投资支持的公司提供了一套解决方案，可以大规模标准化和自动化云基础设施的配置、保护、连接和运行。虽然 HashiCorp 表现出快速增长和粘性客户群，但由于 S&amp;M 支出，HashiCorp 高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Cannabis finance REIT&nbsp;<b>Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance</b>(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.</p><p><blockquote>大麻金融房地产投资信托基金<b>芝加哥大西洋房地产金融</b>(REFI) 计划以 2.96 亿美元的市值筹集 1.06 亿美元。这个新成立的房地产投资信托基金专注于发起、构建和投资第一抵押贷款和由商业房地产担保的替代结构性融资。其目前的投资组合包括向大麻行业国家许可运营商提供的高级贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian gold exploration company&nbsp;<b>Austin Gold</b>(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大黄金勘探公司<b>奥斯汀黄金</b>(AUST) 计划以 6400 万美元的市值筹集 1500 万美元。这家加拿大黄金勘探公司目前在内华达州的四处矿产中拥有权益，目前只有一处矿产被认为是重要的。奥斯汀黄金公司迄今为止尚未产生任何营业收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：数字银行和云基础设施引领 IPO 周 4</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：数字银行和云基础设施引领 IPO 周 4</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-04 08:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场预计将在未来一周回暖，四次IPO计划筹集37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett-backed&nbsp;<b>Nu Holdings</b>(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特支持<b>如控股</b>(NU) 计划以 411 亿美元的市值筹集 25 亿美元。这家巴西纯在线银行成立于 2013 年，名为 Nubank，旨在推出免费信用卡产品，提供移动优先的客户体验，但此后已扩展到提供各种其他金融产品。Nu自成立以来发展迅速，目前拥有近5000万客户群，但随着客户群的增长，每位客户的收入一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud infrastructure platform&nbsp;<b>HashiCorp</b>(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>云基础设施平台<b>哈希公司</b>(HCP) 计划以 140 亿美元的市值筹集 11 亿美元。这家由风险投资支持的公司提供了一套解决方案，可以大规模标准化和自动化云基础设施的配置、保护、连接和运行。虽然 HashiCorp 表现出快速增长和粘性客户群，但由于 S&amp;M 支出，HashiCorp 高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Cannabis finance REIT&nbsp;<b>Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance</b>(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.</p><p><blockquote>大麻金融房地产投资信托基金<b>芝加哥大西洋房地产金融</b>(REFI) 计划以 2.96 亿美元的市值筹集 1.06 亿美元。这个新成立的房地产投资信托基金专注于发起、构建和投资第一抵押贷款和由商业房地产担保的替代结构性融资。其目前的投资组合包括向大麻行业国家许可运营商提供的高级贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian gold exploration company&nbsp;<b>Austin Gold</b>(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大黄金勘探公司<b>奥斯汀黄金</b>(AUST) 计划以 6400 万美元的市值筹集 1500 万美元。这家加拿大黄金勘探公司目前在内华达州的四处矿产中拥有权益，目前只有一处矿产被认为是重要的。奥斯汀黄金公司迄今为止尚未产生任何营业收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89235/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-banking-and-cloud-infrastructure-lead-a-4-IPO-wee\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"REFI":"Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.","NU":"Nu Holdings Ltd."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89235/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-banking-and-cloud-infrastructure-lead-a-4-IPO-wee","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174181873","content_text":"The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.\nBuffett-backed Nu Holdings(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.\nCloud infrastructure platform HashiCorp(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&M spend.\nCannabis finance REIT Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.\nCanadian gold exploration company Austin Gold(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"REFI":0.9,"HCP":0.9,"NU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3919,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603195859,"gmtCreate":1638371695974,"gmtModify":1638371696629,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"great!","listText":"great!","text":"great!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603195859","repostId":"2188568514","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609870952,"gmtCreate":1638270862850,"gmtModify":1638270863076,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"&nbsp;not again 😱","listText":"&nbsp;not again 😱","text":"not again 😱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609870952","repostId":"1164226337","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164226337","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638267814,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1164226337?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-30 18:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Futures, Oil Drop on Omicron Vaccine Concerns<blockquote>奥密克戎疫苗担忧导致股票期货、油价下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164226337","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Investors await Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony for insight on what the variant could mean for inflation and rate rises","content":"<p> U.S. stock futures fell and investors sheltered in government bonds after drugmakers raised concerns that Covid-19 vaccines won’t work as well against the new Omicron strain.</p><p><blockquote>在制药商提出担心 Covid-19 疫苗对新的奥密克戎毒株效果不佳后，美国股指期货下跌，投资者在政府债券中避难。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.1%, while blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures shed 1.5%. Technology-heavy Nasdaq-100 futures weakened by 0.5%. Major indexes closed higher Monday, rebounding from a sharp selloff last week, as concerns about the variant seemed to ease.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500挂钩的期货下跌 1.1%，而蓝筹股道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌 1.5%。以技术为主的纳斯达克 100 指数期货下跌 0.5%。由于对该变体的担忧似乎有所缓解，主要股指周一收高，从上周的大幅抛售中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Investors are trying to parse the risk posed by the new strain. Drugmakers have raised concerns that existing vaccines might be less potent against Omicron, but a lack of concrete information so far is driving uncertainty, and with it, volatility in stock markets.</p><p><blockquote>投资者正试图分析新菌株带来的风险。制药商担心现有疫苗对奥密克戎的效力可能较弱，但迄今为止缺乏具体信息正在加剧不确定性，并随之而来的是股市波动。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets are kind of in a holding pattern where no one knows if this is going to be a problem or not,” said Mike Bell, a strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. “Until we have evidence either way on whether the existing vaccines still work against Omicron it doesn’t make sense to make a big bet in either direction.</p><p><blockquote>“摩根大通资产管理公司策略师迈克-贝尔（Mike Bell）说：”市场处于一种持有模式，没有人知道这是否会成为一个问题。“在我们有证据证明现有疫苗是否仍对奥密克戎有效之前，在这两个方向上下大赌注都没有意义。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, viewed as a safe asset to hold, fell to 1.443% Tuesday from 1.529% Monday. Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions.</p><p><blockquote>被视为安全持有资产的基准 10 年期国债收益率从周一的 1.529% 降至周二的 1.443%。债券收益率和价格走势相反。</blockquote></p><p> In commodity markets, Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, fell 2.9% to $71.10 a barrel Tuesday, having risen by 1% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品市场方面，国际石油基准布伦特原油周二下跌2.9%，至每桶71.10美元，周一上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors awaited testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday for clues on how the new variant might impact the outlook for inflation and interest-rate rises. Mr. Powell is expected to say that the new strain could intensify the supply-chain issues that have fueled a spike in inflation.</p><p><blockquote>投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二的证词，以获取有关新变体可能如何影响通胀和加息前景的线索。鲍威尔预计将表示，新的压力可能会加剧导致通胀飙升的供应链问题。</blockquote></p><p> Should the Omicron strain prompt fresh lockdowns it would put the central bank in a difficult position by worsening inflation and strengthening calls for rate rises just as the economy and markets take a hit, said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors.</p><p><blockquote>信安全球首席策略师西玛·沙阿 (Seema Shah) 表示，如果 Omicron 菌株引发新的封锁，在经济和市场遭受打击之际，通胀恶化并加强加息评级，将使央行陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> “We had been starting to see this glimmer of hope that some of the supply-side constraints were starting to ease,” she said. “If we go back into fear mode you would be looking at those supply-side bottlenecks being exacerbated.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们已经开始看到一线希望，一些供应方面的限制正在开始缓解。“如果我们回到恐惧模式，你会看到供应方的瓶颈正在加剧”。</blockquote></p><p> Also in focus Tuesday will be data on house prices and consumer confidence, set to be released at 9 a.m. ET and 10 a.m., respectively. Earnings from Salesforce.com and Hewlett Packard Enterprise are due after markets close.</p><p><blockquote>周二的焦点还将是房价和消费者信心数据，分别将于美国东部时间上午 9 点和上午 10 点发布。Salesforce.com 和慧与的收益将在收盘后公布。</blockquote></p><p> Overseas, the Stoxx Europe 600 dropped 1.3% led by oil and travel stocks. In Asia, stock markets were mixed. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.6% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index shed 1.6%. In mainland China, the Shanghai Composite Index edged up less than 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>海外方面，受石油和旅游股领跌，斯托克欧洲 600 指数下跌 1.3%。亚洲股市涨跌互现。日本日经 225 指数下跌 1.6%，香港恒生指数指数下跌 1.6%。在中国内地，上证综指小幅上涨不到0.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Futures, Oil Drop on Omicron Vaccine Concerns<blockquote>奥密克戎疫苗担忧导致股票期货、油价下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Futures, Oil Drop on Omicron Vaccine Concerns<blockquote>奥密克戎疫苗担忧导致股票期货、油价下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-30 18:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> U.S. stock futures fell and investors sheltered in government bonds after drugmakers raised concerns that Covid-19 vaccines won’t work as well against the new Omicron strain.</p><p><blockquote>在制药商提出担心 Covid-19 疫苗对新的奥密克戎毒株效果不佳后，美国股指期货下跌，投资者在政府债券中避难。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.1%, while blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures shed 1.5%. Technology-heavy Nasdaq-100 futures weakened by 0.5%. Major indexes closed higher Monday, rebounding from a sharp selloff last week, as concerns about the variant seemed to ease.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500挂钩的期货下跌 1.1%，而蓝筹股道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌 1.5%。以技术为主的纳斯达克 100 指数期货下跌 0.5%。由于对该变体的担忧似乎有所缓解，主要股指周一收高，从上周的大幅抛售中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Investors are trying to parse the risk posed by the new strain. Drugmakers have raised concerns that existing vaccines might be less potent against Omicron, but a lack of concrete information so far is driving uncertainty, and with it, volatility in stock markets.</p><p><blockquote>投资者正试图分析新菌株带来的风险。制药商担心现有疫苗对奥密克戎的效力可能较弱，但迄今为止缺乏具体信息正在加剧不确定性，并随之而来的是股市波动。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets are kind of in a holding pattern where no one knows if this is going to be a problem or not,” said Mike Bell, a strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. “Until we have evidence either way on whether the existing vaccines still work against Omicron it doesn’t make sense to make a big bet in either direction.</p><p><blockquote>“摩根大通资产管理公司策略师迈克-贝尔（Mike Bell）说：”市场处于一种持有模式，没有人知道这是否会成为一个问题。“在我们有证据证明现有疫苗是否仍对奥密克戎有效之前，在这两个方向上下大赌注都没有意义。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, viewed as a safe asset to hold, fell to 1.443% Tuesday from 1.529% Monday. Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions.</p><p><blockquote>被视为安全持有资产的基准 10 年期国债收益率从周一的 1.529% 降至周二的 1.443%。债券收益率和价格走势相反。</blockquote></p><p> In commodity markets, Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, fell 2.9% to $71.10 a barrel Tuesday, having risen by 1% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品市场方面，国际石油基准布伦特原油周二下跌2.9%，至每桶71.10美元，周一上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors awaited testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday for clues on how the new variant might impact the outlook for inflation and interest-rate rises. Mr. Powell is expected to say that the new strain could intensify the supply-chain issues that have fueled a spike in inflation.</p><p><blockquote>投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二的证词，以获取有关新变体可能如何影响通胀和加息前景的线索。鲍威尔预计将表示，新的压力可能会加剧导致通胀飙升的供应链问题。</blockquote></p><p> Should the Omicron strain prompt fresh lockdowns it would put the central bank in a difficult position by worsening inflation and strengthening calls for rate rises just as the economy and markets take a hit, said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors.</p><p><blockquote>信安全球首席策略师西玛·沙阿 (Seema Shah) 表示，如果 Omicron 菌株引发新的封锁，在经济和市场遭受打击之际，通胀恶化并加强加息评级，将使央行陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> “We had been starting to see this glimmer of hope that some of the supply-side constraints were starting to ease,” she said. “If we go back into fear mode you would be looking at those supply-side bottlenecks being exacerbated.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们已经开始看到一线希望，一些供应方面的限制正在开始缓解。“如果我们回到恐惧模式，你会看到供应方的瓶颈正在加剧”。</blockquote></p><p> Also in focus Tuesday will be data on house prices and consumer confidence, set to be released at 9 a.m. ET and 10 a.m., respectively. Earnings from Salesforce.com and Hewlett Packard Enterprise are due after markets close.</p><p><blockquote>周二的焦点还将是房价和消费者信心数据，分别将于美国东部时间上午 9 点和上午 10 点发布。Salesforce.com 和慧与的收益将在收盘后公布。</blockquote></p><p> Overseas, the Stoxx Europe 600 dropped 1.3% led by oil and travel stocks. In Asia, stock markets were mixed. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.6% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index shed 1.6%. In mainland China, the Shanghai Composite Index edged up less than 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>海外方面，受石油和旅游股领跌，斯托克欧洲 600 指数下跌 1.3%。亚洲股市涨跌互现。日本日经 225 指数下跌 1.6%，香港恒生指数指数下跌 1.6%。在中国内地，上证综指小幅上涨不到0.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-11-30-2021-11638261250?mod=hp_lead_pos1\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","PFE":"辉瑞"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-11-30-2021-11638261250?mod=hp_lead_pos1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164226337","content_text":"U.S. stock futures fell and investors sheltered in government bonds after drugmakers raised concerns that Covid-19 vaccines won’t work as well against the new Omicron strain.\n\nFutures tied to the S&P 500 fell 1.1%, while blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures shed 1.5%. Technology-heavy Nasdaq-100 futures weakened by 0.5%. Major indexes closed higher Monday, rebounding from a sharp selloff last week, as concerns about the variant seemed to ease.\n\nInvestors are trying to parse the risk posed by the new strain. Drugmakers have raised concerns that existing vaccines might be less potent against Omicron, but a lack of concrete information so far is driving uncertainty, and with it, volatility in stock markets.\n“Markets are kind of in a holding pattern where no one knows if this is going to be a problem or not,” said Mike Bell, a strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. “Until we have evidence either way on whether the existing vaccines still work against Omicron it doesn’t make sense to make a big bet in either direction.\nThe yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, viewed as a safe asset to hold, fell to 1.443% Tuesday from 1.529% Monday. Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions.\n\nIn commodity markets, Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, fell 2.9% to $71.10 a barrel Tuesday, having risen by 1% Monday.\n\nInvestors awaited testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday for clues on how the new variant might impact the outlook for inflation and interest-rate rises. Mr. Powell is expected to say that the new strain could intensify the supply-chain issues that have fueled a spike in inflation.\n\n\nShould the Omicron strain prompt fresh lockdowns it would put the central bank in a difficult position by worsening inflation and strengthening calls for rate rises just as the economy and markets take a hit, said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors.\n\n“We had been starting to see this glimmer of hope that some of the supply-side constraints were starting to ease,” she said. “If we go back into fear mode you would be looking at those supply-side bottlenecks being exacerbated.”\n\nAlso in focus Tuesday will be data on house prices and consumer confidence, set to be released at 9 a.m. ET and 10 a.m., respectively. Earnings from Salesforce.com and Hewlett Packard Enterprise are due after markets close.\n\nOverseas, the Stoxx Europe 600 dropped 1.3% led by oil and travel stocks. In Asia, stock markets were mixed. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.6% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index shed 1.6%. In mainland China, the Shanghai Composite Index edged up less than 0.1%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600440246,"gmtCreate":1638192850238,"gmtModify":1638192850783,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600440246","repostId":"1115824573","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115824573","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638191842,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1115824573?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 21:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115824573","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures jumped on Monday as investors rushed in to take advantage of steep virus-dr","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures jumped on Monday as investors rushed in to take advantage of steep virus-driven losses while awaiting more details on the severity of the Omicron coronavirus variant.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周一上涨，投资者争相利用病毒造成的巨大损失，同时等待有关奥密克戎冠状病毒变种严重程度的更多细节。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 226 points, or 0.65%. S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 37 points, or 0.81% and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 148.75 points, or 0.93%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:00，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 226 点，涨幅 0.65%。标普500 e-mini 上涨 37 点，涨幅 0.81%；纳斯达克 100 e-mini 上涨 148.75 点，涨幅 0.93%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e047384eb051a409672b8ce439d9f38\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street indexes had slumped between 2% and 3.5% on Friday after news of the variant triggered a global selloff, as countries introduced new travel curbs on fears it could resist vaccinations and upend a nascent economic reopening.</p><p><blockquote>该变种的消息引发全球抛售后，华尔街股指周五下跌 2% 至 3.5%，因为各国担心它可能抵制疫苗接种并颠覆新生的经济重新开放，因此出台了新的旅行限制措施。</blockquote></p><p> President Joe Biden is due to update the public on the variant and the United States' response later in the day, the White House said.</p><p><blockquote>白宫表示，乔·拜登总统将于当天晚些时候向公众通报这一变体和美国的反应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna</b>&nbsp;— Shares of the vaccine maker continued their rally, jumping more than 10% in early morning trading Monday after gaining 20% on Friday. On Sunday the company’s chief medical officer said Moderna&nbsp;could roll out a reformulated vaccine&nbsp;against the omicron variant of Covid early next year.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代</b>— 这家疫苗制造商的股价继续上涨，继周五上涨 20% 后，周一早盘交易中上涨超过 10%。周日，该公司首席医疗官表示，Moderna 可能会在明年初推出针对奥密克戎变种 Covid 的重新配方疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Li Auto</b> —&nbsp;U.S.-listed shares of Li Auto rose 8.5%&nbsp;in premarket trading. Li Auto&nbsp;reported adjusted earnings of 3 cents a share from $1.21 billion in sales. Wall Street was looking for a 3-cent loss from $1.13 billion in sales. At this point, earnings are less important that sales for Li. The company is still growing rapidly. Sales in the third quarter rose more than 209% year over year.</p><p><blockquote><b>理想汽车</b>— 理想汽车在美国上市的股票在盘前交易中上涨 8.5%。理想汽车公布调整后每股收益为 3 美分，销售额为 12.1 亿美元。华尔街预计销售额为 11.3 亿美元，将亏损 3 美分。在这一点上，对于李来说，盈利不如销售额重要。该公司仍在快速增长。第三季度销售额同比增长超过209%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla</b>&nbsp;—&nbsp;The German automotive news outlet Automobilwoche&nbsp;reported Monday that Tesla’s new manufacturing facility in that country will start production in December.Tesla&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rallied&nbsp;1.5%&nbsp;in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉</b>- 德国汽车新闻媒体 Automobilwoche 周一报道称，特斯拉在该国的新制造工厂将于 12 月开始生产。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b>&nbsp;—&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;rose 1.5% after HSBC raised its price target on the iPhone maker's stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b>— 汇丰银行上调 iPhone 制造商股票目标价后，苹果股价上涨 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Airlines</b> — Major airlines ticked up as investors bought the dip following&nbsp;new travel suspensions in Asia and Europe, in response to the newly discovered omicron variant of Covid-19.United,Delta&nbsp;and&nbsp;American Airlines&nbsp;each gained about 1%, after losing about 7% Friday. Travel booking site&nbsp;Expedia&nbsp;also rose, about 2%.</p><p><blockquote><b>航空</b>— 为应对新发现的 Covid-19 奥密克戎变种，亚洲和欧洲新的旅行暂停，投资者逢低买入，主要航空公司股价上涨。美联航、达美航空和美国航空继周五下跌约 7% 后，各上涨约 1%。旅游预订网站 Expedia 也上涨了约 2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cruise lines</b> —Carnival,Royal Caribbean Cruises&nbsp;and&nbsp;Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings&nbsp;each rose more than 3% amid the broader rebound in travel stocks from Friday’s omicron-driven sell-off.</p><p><blockquote><b>邮轮公司</b>-嘉年华（Carnival）、皇家加勒比邮轮（Royal Caribbean Cruises）和挪威邮轮控股公司（Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings）的股价均上涨超过 3%，旅游股从周五奥密克戎推动的抛售中全面反弹。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Allbirds</b>— Shares of the shoe manufacturer rose 2.5% after several analysts initiated coverage of the stock. Morgan Stanley and Bank of America both posted a price target of $23, implying 16% upside to Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote><b>全鸟</b>— 在几位分析师开始报道该股后，这家鞋类制造商的股价上涨了 2.5%。摩根士丹利和美国银行均将目标价定为 23 美元，这意味着比周五收盘价上涨 16%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Coinbase</b>— The cryptocurrency exchange’s shares rose more than 2% as the price of bitcoin rebounded, after selling off with the broader equities market on Friday. Other crypto-related equities got a lift too, with&nbsp;Microstrategy&nbsp;rising 3.4%.Tesla&nbsp;and&nbsp;Square&nbsp;added more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地</b>- 在周五随大盘抛售后，比特币价格反弹，加密货币交易所的股价上涨了 2% 以上。其他加密货币相关股票也上涨，Microstrategy 上涨 3.4%。特斯拉和 Square 上涨超过 1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video</b>— Zoom shares fell almost 2%, moving in the opposite direction of travel stocks and following a 5.7% jump on Friday. Other stay-at-home stocks dipped slightly Monday morning too, including&nbsp;Peloton,Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;Teladoc.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video</b>— Zoom 股价下跌近 2%，与旅游股走势相反，周五上涨 5.7%。周一上午，其他居家股票也小幅下跌，包括 Peloton、Netflix 和 Teladoc。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Merck</b>— The pharmaceutical company’s shares fell 1.8% after Citi downgraded its stock to neutral from buy, saying development struggles for the company’s HIV drug islatravir will hurt Merck’s long-term potential.</p><p><blockquote><b>默克</b>- 花旗将默克公司的股票评级从买入下调至中性，称该公司艾滋病毒药物islatravir的开发困难将损害默克公司的长期潜力，随后该公司股价下跌1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wynn Resorts,Las Vegas Sands</b>— The Macao gaming sector is lower after Alvin Chau, the head of Macau’s biggest casino junket operator, and 10 others were arrested over allegedly illegal gambling platforms targeting mainland Chinese, according to a report by the South China Morning Post.Wynn&nbsp;fell 1.9% and&nbsp;Las Vegas Sands&nbsp;fell 1.2%</p><p><blockquote><b>永利度假村，拉斯维加斯金沙</b>- 据《南华早报》报道，澳门最大的赌场中介机构运营商Alvin Chau和其他10人因涉嫌针对中国大陆的非法赌博平台而被捕，澳门博彩业走低。永利下跌1.9%，拉斯维加斯金沙下跌1.2%</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-29 21:17</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures jumped on Monday as investors rushed in to take advantage of steep virus-driven losses while awaiting more details on the severity of the Omicron coronavirus variant.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周一上涨，投资者争相利用病毒造成的巨大损失，同时等待有关奥密克戎冠状病毒变种严重程度的更多细节。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 226 points, or 0.65%. S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 37 points, or 0.81% and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 148.75 points, or 0.93%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:00，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 226 点，涨幅 0.65%。标普500 e-mini 上涨 37 点，涨幅 0.81%；纳斯达克 100 e-mini 上涨 148.75 点，涨幅 0.93%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e047384eb051a409672b8ce439d9f38\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street indexes had slumped between 2% and 3.5% on Friday after news of the variant triggered a global selloff, as countries introduced new travel curbs on fears it could resist vaccinations and upend a nascent economic reopening.</p><p><blockquote>该变种的消息引发全球抛售后，华尔街股指周五下跌 2% 至 3.5%，因为各国担心它可能抵制疫苗接种并颠覆新生的经济重新开放，因此出台了新的旅行限制措施。</blockquote></p><p> President Joe Biden is due to update the public on the variant and the United States' response later in the day, the White House said.</p><p><blockquote>白宫表示，乔·拜登总统将于当天晚些时候向公众通报这一变体和美国的反应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna</b>&nbsp;— Shares of the vaccine maker continued their rally, jumping more than 10% in early morning trading Monday after gaining 20% on Friday. On Sunday the company’s chief medical officer said Moderna&nbsp;could roll out a reformulated vaccine&nbsp;against the omicron variant of Covid early next year.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代</b>— 这家疫苗制造商的股价继续上涨，继周五上涨 20% 后，周一早盘交易中上涨超过 10%。周日，该公司首席医疗官表示，Moderna 可能会在明年初推出针对奥密克戎变种 Covid 的重新配方疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Li Auto</b> —&nbsp;U.S.-listed shares of Li Auto rose 8.5%&nbsp;in premarket trading. Li Auto&nbsp;reported adjusted earnings of 3 cents a share from $1.21 billion in sales. Wall Street was looking for a 3-cent loss from $1.13 billion in sales. At this point, earnings are less important that sales for Li. The company is still growing rapidly. Sales in the third quarter rose more than 209% year over year.</p><p><blockquote><b>理想汽车</b>— 理想汽车在美国上市的股票在盘前交易中上涨 8.5%。理想汽车公布调整后每股收益为 3 美分，销售额为 12.1 亿美元。华尔街预计销售额为 11.3 亿美元，将亏损 3 美分。在这一点上，对于李来说，盈利不如销售额重要。该公司仍在快速增长。第三季度销售额同比增长超过209%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla</b>&nbsp;—&nbsp;The German automotive news outlet Automobilwoche&nbsp;reported Monday that Tesla’s new manufacturing facility in that country will start production in December.Tesla&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rallied&nbsp;1.5%&nbsp;in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉</b>- 德国汽车新闻媒体 Automobilwoche 周一报道称，特斯拉在该国的新制造工厂将于 12 月开始生产。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b>&nbsp;—&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;rose 1.5% after HSBC raised its price target on the iPhone maker's stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b>— 汇丰银行上调 iPhone 制造商股票目标价后，苹果股价上涨 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Airlines</b> — Major airlines ticked up as investors bought the dip following&nbsp;new travel suspensions in Asia and Europe, in response to the newly discovered omicron variant of Covid-19.United,Delta&nbsp;and&nbsp;American Airlines&nbsp;each gained about 1%, after losing about 7% Friday. Travel booking site&nbsp;Expedia&nbsp;also rose, about 2%.</p><p><blockquote><b>航空</b>— 为应对新发现的 Covid-19 奥密克戎变种，亚洲和欧洲新的旅行暂停，投资者逢低买入，主要航空公司股价上涨。美联航、达美航空和美国航空继周五下跌约 7% 后，各上涨约 1%。旅游预订网站 Expedia 也上涨了约 2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cruise lines</b> —Carnival,Royal Caribbean Cruises&nbsp;and&nbsp;Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings&nbsp;each rose more than 3% amid the broader rebound in travel stocks from Friday’s omicron-driven sell-off.</p><p><blockquote><b>邮轮公司</b>-嘉年华（Carnival）、皇家加勒比邮轮（Royal Caribbean Cruises）和挪威邮轮控股公司（Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings）的股价均上涨超过 3%，旅游股从周五奥密克戎推动的抛售中全面反弹。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Allbirds</b>— Shares of the shoe manufacturer rose 2.5% after several analysts initiated coverage of the stock. Morgan Stanley and Bank of America both posted a price target of $23, implying 16% upside to Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote><b>全鸟</b>— 在几位分析师开始报道该股后，这家鞋类制造商的股价上涨了 2.5%。摩根士丹利和美国银行均将目标价定为 23 美元，这意味着比周五收盘价上涨 16%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Coinbase</b>— The cryptocurrency exchange’s shares rose more than 2% as the price of bitcoin rebounded, after selling off with the broader equities market on Friday. Other crypto-related equities got a lift too, with&nbsp;Microstrategy&nbsp;rising 3.4%.Tesla&nbsp;and&nbsp;Square&nbsp;added more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地</b>- 在周五随大盘抛售后，比特币价格反弹，加密货币交易所的股价上涨了 2% 以上。其他加密货币相关股票也上涨，Microstrategy 上涨 3.4%。特斯拉和 Square 上涨超过 1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video</b>— Zoom shares fell almost 2%, moving in the opposite direction of travel stocks and following a 5.7% jump on Friday. Other stay-at-home stocks dipped slightly Monday morning too, including&nbsp;Peloton,Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;Teladoc.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video</b>— Zoom 股价下跌近 2%，与旅游股走势相反，周五上涨 5.7%。周一上午，其他居家股票也小幅下跌，包括 Peloton、Netflix 和 Teladoc。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Merck</b>— The pharmaceutical company’s shares fell 1.8% after Citi downgraded its stock to neutral from buy, saying development struggles for the company’s HIV drug islatravir will hurt Merck’s long-term potential.</p><p><blockquote><b>默克</b>- 花旗将默克公司的股票评级从买入下调至中性，称该公司艾滋病毒药物islatravir的开发困难将损害默克公司的长期潜力，随后该公司股价下跌1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wynn Resorts,Las Vegas Sands</b>— The Macao gaming sector is lower after Alvin Chau, the head of Macau’s biggest casino junket operator, and 10 others were arrested over allegedly illegal gambling platforms targeting mainland Chinese, according to a report by the South China Morning Post.Wynn&nbsp;fell 1.9% and&nbsp;Las Vegas Sands&nbsp;fell 1.2%</p><p><blockquote><b>永利度假村，拉斯维加斯金沙</b>- 据《南华早报》报道，澳门最大的赌场中介机构运营商Alvin Chau和其他10人因涉嫌针对中国大陆的非法赌博平台而被捕，澳门博彩业走低。永利下跌1.9%，拉斯维加斯金沙下跌1.2%</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","BIRD":"Smartbird","DAL":"达美航空","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","CCL":"嘉年华邮轮","AAPL":"苹果",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AAL":"美国航空","UAL":"联合大陆航空","LI":"理想汽车","RCL":"皇家加勒比邮轮",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","WYNN":"永利度假村","NCLH":"挪威邮轮","TSLA":"特斯拉","ZM":"Zoom","LVS":"金沙集团","MRK":"默沙东"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115824573","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures jumped on Monday as investors rushed in to take advantage of steep virus-driven losses while awaiting more details on the severity of the Omicron coronavirus variant.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 226 points, or 0.65%. S&P 500 e-minis were up 37 points, or 0.81% and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 148.75 points, or 0.93%.\n\nWall Street indexes had slumped between 2% and 3.5% on Friday after news of the variant triggered a global selloff, as countries introduced new travel curbs on fears it could resist vaccinations and upend a nascent economic reopening.\nPresident Joe Biden is due to update the public on the variant and the United States' response later in the day, the White House said.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\nModerna — Shares of the vaccine maker continued their rally, jumping more than 10% in early morning trading Monday after gaining 20% on Friday. On Sunday the company’s chief medical officer said Moderna could roll out a reformulated vaccine against the omicron variant of Covid early next year.\nLi Auto — U.S.-listed shares of Li Auto rose 8.5% in premarket trading. Li Auto reported adjusted earnings of 3 cents a share from $1.21 billion in sales. Wall Street was looking for a 3-cent loss from $1.13 billion in sales. At this point, earnings are less important that sales for Li. The company is still growing rapidly. Sales in the third quarter rose more than 209% year over year.\nTesla — The German automotive news outlet Automobilwoche reported Monday that Tesla’s new manufacturing facility in that country will start production in December.Tesla shares rallied 1.5% in premarket trading.\nApple — Apple rose 1.5% after HSBC raised its price target on the iPhone maker's stock.\nAirlines — Major airlines ticked up as investors bought the dip following new travel suspensions in Asia and Europe, in response to the newly discovered omicron variant of Covid-19.United,Delta and American Airlines each gained about 1%, after losing about 7% Friday. Travel booking site Expedia also rose, about 2%.\nCruise lines —Carnival,Royal Caribbean Cruises and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings each rose more than 3% amid the broader rebound in travel stocks from Friday’s omicron-driven sell-off.\nAllbirds— Shares of the shoe manufacturer rose 2.5% after several analysts initiated coverage of the stock. Morgan Stanley and Bank of America both posted a price target of $23, implying 16% upside to Friday’s close.\nCoinbase— The cryptocurrency exchange’s shares rose more than 2% as the price of bitcoin rebounded, after selling off with the broader equities market on Friday. Other crypto-related equities got a lift too, with Microstrategy rising 3.4%.Tesla and Square added more than 1%.\nZoom Video— Zoom shares fell almost 2%, moving in the opposite direction of travel stocks and following a 5.7% jump on Friday. Other stay-at-home stocks dipped slightly Monday morning too, including Peloton,Netflix and Teladoc.\nMerck— The pharmaceutical company’s shares fell 1.8% after Citi downgraded its stock to neutral from buy, saying development struggles for the company’s HIV drug islatravir will hurt Merck’s long-term potential.\nWynn Resorts,Las Vegas Sands— The Macao gaming sector is lower after Alvin Chau, the head of Macau’s biggest casino junket operator, and 10 others were arrested over allegedly illegal gambling platforms targeting mainland Chinese, according to a report by the South China Morning Post.Wynn fell 1.9% and Las Vegas Sands fell 1.2%","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"LVS":0.9,"BIRD":0.9,"MRK":0.9,"UAL":0.9,"CCL":0.9,"LI":0.9,"DAL":0.9,"ZM":0.9,"WYNN":0.9,"AAL":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"NCLH":0.9,"RCL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600935582,"gmtCreate":1638035204348,"gmtModify":1638035204534,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"[Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600935582","repostId":"2186344334","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874065223,"gmtCreate":1637713261718,"gmtModify":1637713261883,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"😰","listText":"😰","text":"😰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874065223","repostId":"2185336565","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872277865,"gmtCreate":1637543050084,"gmtModify":1637543050271,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872277865","repostId":"1153786917","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153786917","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637534687,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1153786917?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-22 06:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Best Buy, Zoom, Pinduoduo, Xpeng,Xiaomi,Meituan and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>本周投资者关注百思买、Zoom、拼多多、小鹏、小米、美团等股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153786917","media":"Barrons","summary":"The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week","content":"<p>The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week, just as shoppers prepare for Black Friday. On Tuesday, investors will get quarterly results from some of retail’s biggest names, including&nbsp;Best Buy,Burlington Stores,Dick’s Sporting Goods,Dollar Tree,and&nbsp;Gap.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季的尾声将在下周带来主要零售商的更多业绩，就在购物者为黑色星期五做准备之际。本周二，投资者将从一些零售业巨头那里获得季度业绩，包括百思买、伯灵顿商店、迪克体育用品、美元树和盖普。</blockquote></p><p> Friday will bring one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kick off for holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year.</p><p><blockquote>周五将是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一，也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计，今年11月和12月，美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元，比去年增长9.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Non-retail highlights on the earnings calendar next week include&nbsp;Zoom Video Communications on Monday,Xpeng,Xiaomi Corporation,Autodesk,Dell Technologies,and&nbsp;VMware&nbsp;on Tuesday, Deere&nbsp;on Wednesday&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo,Meituan and RLX Technology&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>下周财报日历上的非零售亮点包括周一的Zoom Video通信、周二的小鹏汽车、小米公司、欧特克、戴尔科技和 VMware、周三的Deere以及周五的拼多多、美团和RLX科技。</blockquote></p><p> The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October on Monday. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September.</p><p><blockquote>全国房地产经纪人协会周一报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套，比 9 月份减少 10 万套。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday,IHS Markit&nbsp;releases both the manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the manufacturing PMI and 59 for the services PMI.</p><p><blockquote>本周二，IHS Markit 将发布 11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5，服务业 PMI 预计为 59。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting. The U.S. Census Bureau also releases the durable-goods report for October, while the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and spending for October.</p><p><blockquote>周三，联邦公开市场委员会发布了 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。美国人口普查局还发布了10月份耐用品报告，而美国经济分析局则报告了10月份的个人收入和支出。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. bourses and fixed-income markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving. On Friday, the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., while the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市和固定收益市场将于周四因感恩节休市。周五，纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易，而债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Agilent Technologies,Keysight Technologies,and Zoom Video Communications release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>安捷伦科技、是德科技和Zoom Video通信发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September. Existing-home sales hit their post-financial-crisis peak at 6.73 million last October and have fallen for much of this year, partly due to supply constraints, especially at the lower-price end of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套，比 9 月份减少 10 万套。去年 10 月，成屋销售量达到金融危机后的峰值 673 万套，今年大部分时间都在下降，部分原因是供应限制，尤其是房地产市场的低价端。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices,Autodesk, Best Buy, Burlington Stores, Dell Technologies, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Gap,HPInc.,J.M. Smucker, Jacobs Engineering Group,Medtronic,and VMware report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Analog Devices、Autodesk、Best Buy、Burlington Stores、Dell Technologies、Dick's Sporting Goods、Dollar Tree、Gap、HPInc、JMSmucker、Jacobs Engineering Group、Medtronic 和 VMware 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b> both the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and 59 for the Services PMI. Both figures are slightly more than the October data. Both indexes are off their peaks from earlier this year, but higher than their levels from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit 发布</b>11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5，服务业 PMI 预计为 59。这两个数字都略高于10月份的数据。这两个指数都偏离了今年早些时候的峰值，但高于一年前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> its second estimate of third-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 2.2% annualized rate of growth, higher than the BEA’s preliminary estimate of 2% from late October.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>其对第三季度国内生产总值的第二次估计。经济学家预测年增长率为 2.2%，高于东亚银行 10 月底 2% 的初步估计。</blockquote></p><p> Deere reports fiscal fourth-quarter 2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere公布 2021 年第四季度财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b> Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会发布 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable-goods report for October. Economists forecast a 0.2% month-over-month increase in new orders for manufactured durable goods, to $262 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen rising 0.5%, matching the September gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布10月份耐用品报告。经济学家预测，耐用品制成品新订单环比增长 0.2%，达到 2620 亿美元。不包括运输，新订单增长 0.5%，与 9 月份的涨幅持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and spending for October. The consensus call is for a 0.4% monthly increase in income after a 1% decline in September. Personal spending is expected to rise 1%, month over month, a faster clip than September’s 0.6% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>10月份个人收入和支出。普遍的看涨期权是，继 9 月份下降 1% 之后，收入每月增长 0.4%。个人支出预计将环比增长 1%，增幅快于 9 月份 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. bourses</b> and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股市</b>固定收益市场因感恩节休市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It’s Black Friday</b>, one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year. U.S. exchanges have a shortened trading session on the day after Thanksgiving. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., and the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天是黑色星期五</b>这是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一，也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计，今年11月和12月，美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元，比去年增长9.5%。美国交易所在感恩节后的第二天缩短了交易时段。纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易，债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Best Buy, Zoom, Pinduoduo, Xpeng,Xiaomi,Meituan and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>本周投资者关注百思买、Zoom、拼多多、小鹏、小米、美团等股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBest Buy, Zoom, Pinduoduo, Xpeng,Xiaomi,Meituan and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>本周投资者关注百思买、Zoom、拼多多、小鹏、小米、美团等股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-22 06:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week, just as shoppers prepare for Black Friday. On Tuesday, investors will get quarterly results from some of retail’s biggest names, including&nbsp;Best Buy,Burlington Stores,Dick’s Sporting Goods,Dollar Tree,and&nbsp;Gap.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季的尾声将在下周带来主要零售商的更多业绩，就在购物者为黑色星期五做准备之际。本周二，投资者将从一些零售业巨头那里获得季度业绩，包括百思买、伯灵顿商店、迪克体育用品、美元树和盖普。</blockquote></p><p> Friday will bring one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kick off for holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year.</p><p><blockquote>周五将是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一，也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计，今年11月和12月，美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元，比去年增长9.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Non-retail highlights on the earnings calendar next week include&nbsp;Zoom Video Communications on Monday,Xpeng,Xiaomi Corporation,Autodesk,Dell Technologies,and&nbsp;VMware&nbsp;on Tuesday, Deere&nbsp;on Wednesday&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo,Meituan and RLX Technology&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>下周财报日历上的非零售亮点包括周一的Zoom Video通信、周二的小鹏汽车、小米公司、欧特克、戴尔科技和 VMware、周三的Deere以及周五的拼多多、美团和RLX科技。</blockquote></p><p> The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October on Monday. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September.</p><p><blockquote>全国房地产经纪人协会周一报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套，比 9 月份减少 10 万套。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday,IHS Markit&nbsp;releases both the manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the manufacturing PMI and 59 for the services PMI.</p><p><blockquote>本周二，IHS Markit 将发布 11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5，服务业 PMI 预计为 59。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting. The U.S. Census Bureau also releases the durable-goods report for October, while the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and spending for October.</p><p><blockquote>周三，联邦公开市场委员会发布了 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。美国人口普查局还发布了10月份耐用品报告，而美国经济分析局则报告了10月份的个人收入和支出。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. bourses and fixed-income markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving. On Friday, the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., while the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市和固定收益市场将于周四因感恩节休市。周五，纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易，而债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Agilent Technologies,Keysight Technologies,and Zoom Video Communications release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>安捷伦科技、是德科技和Zoom Video通信发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September. Existing-home sales hit their post-financial-crisis peak at 6.73 million last October and have fallen for much of this year, partly due to supply constraints, especially at the lower-price end of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套，比 9 月份减少 10 万套。去年 10 月，成屋销售量达到金融危机后的峰值 673 万套，今年大部分时间都在下降，部分原因是供应限制，尤其是房地产市场的低价端。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices,Autodesk, Best Buy, Burlington Stores, Dell Technologies, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Gap,HPInc.,J.M. Smucker, Jacobs Engineering Group,Medtronic,and VMware report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Analog Devices、Autodesk、Best Buy、Burlington Stores、Dell Technologies、Dick's Sporting Goods、Dollar Tree、Gap、HPInc、JMSmucker、Jacobs Engineering Group、Medtronic 和 VMware 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b> both the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and 59 for the Services PMI. Both figures are slightly more than the October data. Both indexes are off their peaks from earlier this year, but higher than their levels from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit 发布</b>11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5，服务业 PMI 预计为 59。这两个数字都略高于10月份的数据。这两个指数都偏离了今年早些时候的峰值，但高于一年前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> its second estimate of third-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 2.2% annualized rate of growth, higher than the BEA’s preliminary estimate of 2% from late October.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>其对第三季度国内生产总值的第二次估计。经济学家预测年增长率为 2.2%，高于东亚银行 10 月底 2% 的初步估计。</blockquote></p><p> Deere reports fiscal fourth-quarter 2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere公布 2021 年第四季度财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b> Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会发布 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable-goods report for October. Economists forecast a 0.2% month-over-month increase in new orders for manufactured durable goods, to $262 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen rising 0.5%, matching the September gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布10月份耐用品报告。经济学家预测，耐用品制成品新订单环比增长 0.2%，达到 2620 亿美元。不包括运输，新订单增长 0.5%，与 9 月份的涨幅持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and spending for October. The consensus call is for a 0.4% monthly increase in income after a 1% decline in September. Personal spending is expected to rise 1%, month over month, a faster clip than September’s 0.6% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>10月份个人收入和支出。普遍的看涨期权是，继 9 月份下降 1% 之后，收入每月增长 0.4%。个人支出预计将环比增长 1%，增幅快于 9 月份 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. bourses</b> and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股市</b>固定收益市场因感恩节休市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It’s Black Friday</b>, one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year. U.S. exchanges have a shortened trading session on the day after Thanksgiving. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., and the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天是黑色星期五</b>这是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一，也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计，今年11月和12月，美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元，比去年增长9.5%。美国交易所在感恩节后的第二天缩短了交易时段。纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易，债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/best-buy-zoom-dell-deere-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51637524800?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","BBY":"百思买","DELL":"戴尔",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ZM":"Zoom",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DE":"迪尔股份有限公司"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/best-buy-zoom-dell-deere-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51637524800?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153786917","content_text":"The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week, just as shoppers prepare for Black Friday. On Tuesday, investors will get quarterly results from some of retail’s biggest names, including Best Buy,Burlington Stores,Dick’s Sporting Goods,Dollar Tree,and Gap.\nFriday will bring one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kick off for holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year.\nNon-retail highlights on the earnings calendar next week include Zoom Video Communications on Monday,Xpeng,Xiaomi Corporation,Autodesk,Dell Technologies,and VMware on Tuesday, Deere on Wednesday and Pinduoduo,Meituan and RLX Technology on Friday.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October on Monday. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September.\nOn Tuesday,IHS Markit releases both the manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the manufacturing PMI and 59 for the services PMI.\nOn Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting. The U.S. Census Bureau also releases the durable-goods report for October, while the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and spending for October.\nU.S. bourses and fixed-income markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving. On Friday, the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., while the bond market closes at 2 p.m.\nAgilent Technologies,Keysight Technologies,and Zoom Video Communications release quarterly results.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September. Existing-home sales hit their post-financial-crisis peak at 6.73 million last October and have fallen for much of this year, partly due to supply constraints, especially at the lower-price end of the housing market.\nAnalog Devices,Autodesk, Best Buy, Burlington Stores, Dell Technologies, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Gap,HPInc.,J.M. Smucker, Jacobs Engineering Group,Medtronic,and VMware report earnings.\nIHS Markit releases both the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and 59 for the Services PMI. Both figures are slightly more than the October data. Both indexes are off their peaks from earlier this year, but higher than their levels from a year ago.\nThe BEA reports its second estimate of third-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 2.2% annualized rate of growth, higher than the BEA’s preliminary estimate of 2% from late October.\nDeere reports fiscal fourth-quarter 2021 results.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting.\nThe Census Bureau releases the durable-goods report for October. Economists forecast a 0.2% month-over-month increase in new orders for manufactured durable goods, to $262 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen rising 0.5%, matching the September gain.\nThe BEA reports personal income and spending for October. The consensus call is for a 0.4% monthly increase in income after a 1% decline in September. Personal spending is expected to rise 1%, month over month, a faster clip than September’s 0.6% gain.\nU.S. bourses and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.\nIt’s Black Friday, one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year. U.S. exchanges have a shortened trading session on the day after Thanksgiving. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., and the bond market closes at 2 p.m.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBY":0.9,"ZM":0.9,"DELL":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DE":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":839,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872839684,"gmtCreate":1637469347049,"gmtModify":1637469347197,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872839684","repostId":"2184782893","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":949,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876263157,"gmtCreate":1637320284246,"gmtModify":1637320284752,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"time to stock up on these?&nbsp;","listText":"time to stock up on these?&nbsp;","text":"time to stock up on these?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876263157","repostId":"2184981058","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876970613,"gmtCreate":1637253385198,"gmtModify":1637253385345,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876970613","repostId":"1173100100","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173100100","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637249733,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173100100?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-18 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: Record Level Is Around the Corner<blockquote>苹果股票：创纪录水平即将到来</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173100100","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple stock had a strong day of performance on November 17, and is now $3 per share away from the pe","content":"<p>Apple stock had a strong day of performance on November 17, and is now $3 per share away from the peak. Here is what investors should keep in mind.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票在 11 月 17 日表现强劲，目前距离峰值每股 3 美元。以下是投资者应该记住的。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, November 17, Apple stock&nbsp;climbed nearly 2% to end the trading session valued at about $154 per share, backed by the heaviest trading volume of the month so far. This is the highest that the stock has reached since early September 2021, when the current all-time high of $156.46 was set.</p><p><blockquote>11 月 17 日星期三，苹果股价上涨近 2%，收于每股 154 美元左右，这是本月迄今为止最大的交易量。这是该股自 2021 年 9 月初创下 156.46 美元的历史高点以来达到的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Below are a few factors that may be driving bullishness, and what AAPL investors should expect of the stock next.</p><p><blockquote>以下是一些可能推动看涨的因素，以及 AAPL 投资者接下来对该股的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/093d1adcfe3c452520b68115237e874d\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>The iPhone</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why so bullish?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么这么看涨？</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple stock's 1.7% climb on Wednesday was much better than the return of the S&amp;P 500, at a modest loss of 0.3%. Interestingly enough, despite AAPL's strong performance, it was not easy to pinpoint one single cause for the outsized single-day gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周三上涨 1.7%，远好于标普500的回报，小幅下跌 0.3%。有趣的是，尽管 AAPL 表现强劲，但要找出单日大幅上涨的单一原因并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> Maybe the company's&nbsp;announcement&nbsp;of the Self Service Repair program, to be launched in 2022, had something to do with it. By effectively outsourcing simple services to users, Apple might be able to simplify its service and cost structure.</p><p><blockquote>也许该公司宣布将于2022年推出的自助维修计划与此有关。通过有效地将简单的服务外包给用户，苹果或许能够简化其服务和成本结构。</blockquote></p><p> However, I doubt that this piece of news alone was responsible for creating $40 billion in market value. Instead, I bet that bullishness has been merely a reflection of recent skepticism over the company's ability to perform in the near term phasing out.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我怀疑仅仅这条新闻就创造了400亿美元的市值。相反，我敢打赌，乐观情绪仅仅反映了最近对该公司近期逐步淘汰的表现能力的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p> I have recently talked about two sell-side reports that support the bull thesis on Apple shares. Wedbush has&nbsp;just called for the best holiday season&nbsp;in the history of the iPhone, with the segment possibly delivering over $70 billion in revenues in only about three months.</p><p><blockquote>我最近谈到了两份支持苹果股票看涨论点的卖方报告。韦德布什刚刚呼吁iPhone历史上最好的假日季，该部门可能在短短三个月内创造超过700亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Just a day earlier,Morgan Stanley put Apple at the center&nbsp;of the metaverse opportunity. According to the research shop, the real catalyst in this important growth story \"comes if or when Apple enters the space\".</p><p><blockquote>就在一天前， 摩根士丹利将苹果置于元宇宙机会的中心。根据研究商店的说法，这个重要增长故事中的真正催化剂“出现在苹果进入太空的情况下”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect of AAPL</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对 AAPL 有何期待</b></blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven remains bullish on Apple stock. With valuations having dipped since reaching a 12-month high in early September, shares have become&nbsp;more affordable than some believe them to be.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家仍然看好苹果股票。自 9 月初触及 12 个月高点以来，估值一直在下降，股票变得比一些人想象的更实惠。</blockquote></p><p> That said, and as the all-time high lurks around the corner, investors should set the right expectations. Near peaks, AAPL tends to suffer less from volatility. However, forward one-year returns also tend to be lower than when&nbsp;the stock is bought after a sharp selloff.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，随着历史高点即将到来，投资者应该设定正确的预期。在接近峰值时，AAPL 往往受波动影响较小。然而，远期一年回报率也往往低于大幅抛售后购买股票时的回报率。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: Record Level Is Around the Corner<blockquote>苹果股票：创纪录水平即将到来</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: Record Level Is Around the Corner<blockquote>苹果股票：创纪录水平即将到来</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-18 23:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple stock had a strong day of performance on November 17, and is now $3 per share away from the peak. Here is what investors should keep in mind.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票在 11 月 17 日表现强劲，目前距离峰值每股 3 美元。以下是投资者应该记住的。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, November 17, Apple stock&nbsp;climbed nearly 2% to end the trading session valued at about $154 per share, backed by the heaviest trading volume of the month so far. This is the highest that the stock has reached since early September 2021, when the current all-time high of $156.46 was set.</p><p><blockquote>11 月 17 日星期三，苹果股价上涨近 2%，收于每股 154 美元左右，这是本月迄今为止最大的交易量。这是该股自 2021 年 9 月初创下 156.46 美元的历史高点以来达到的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Below are a few factors that may be driving bullishness, and what AAPL investors should expect of the stock next.</p><p><blockquote>以下是一些可能推动看涨的因素，以及 AAPL 投资者接下来对该股的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/093d1adcfe3c452520b68115237e874d\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>The iPhone</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why so bullish?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么这么看涨？</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple stock's 1.7% climb on Wednesday was much better than the return of the S&amp;P 500, at a modest loss of 0.3%. Interestingly enough, despite AAPL's strong performance, it was not easy to pinpoint one single cause for the outsized single-day gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周三上涨 1.7%，远好于标普500的回报，小幅下跌 0.3%。有趣的是，尽管 AAPL 表现强劲，但要找出单日大幅上涨的单一原因并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> Maybe the company's&nbsp;announcement&nbsp;of the Self Service Repair program, to be launched in 2022, had something to do with it. By effectively outsourcing simple services to users, Apple might be able to simplify its service and cost structure.</p><p><blockquote>也许该公司宣布将于2022年推出的自助维修计划与此有关。通过有效地将简单的服务外包给用户，苹果或许能够简化其服务和成本结构。</blockquote></p><p> However, I doubt that this piece of news alone was responsible for creating $40 billion in market value. Instead, I bet that bullishness has been merely a reflection of recent skepticism over the company's ability to perform in the near term phasing out.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我怀疑仅仅这条新闻就创造了400亿美元的市值。相反，我敢打赌，乐观情绪仅仅反映了最近对该公司近期逐步淘汰的表现能力的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p> I have recently talked about two sell-side reports that support the bull thesis on Apple shares. Wedbush has&nbsp;just called for the best holiday season&nbsp;in the history of the iPhone, with the segment possibly delivering over $70 billion in revenues in only about three months.</p><p><blockquote>我最近谈到了两份支持苹果股票看涨论点的卖方报告。韦德布什刚刚呼吁iPhone历史上最好的假日季，该部门可能在短短三个月内创造超过700亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Just a day earlier,Morgan Stanley put Apple at the center&nbsp;of the metaverse opportunity. According to the research shop, the real catalyst in this important growth story \"comes if or when Apple enters the space\".</p><p><blockquote>就在一天前， 摩根士丹利将苹果置于元宇宙机会的中心。根据研究商店的说法，这个重要增长故事中的真正催化剂“出现在苹果进入太空的情况下”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect of AAPL</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对 AAPL 有何期待</b></blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven remains bullish on Apple stock. With valuations having dipped since reaching a 12-month high in early September, shares have become&nbsp;more affordable than some believe them to be.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家仍然看好苹果股票。自 9 月初触及 12 个月高点以来，估值一直在下降，股票变得比一些人想象的更实惠。</blockquote></p><p> That said, and as the all-time high lurks around the corner, investors should set the right expectations. Near peaks, AAPL tends to suffer less from volatility. However, forward one-year returns also tend to be lower than when&nbsp;the stock is bought after a sharp selloff.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，随着历史高点即将到来，投资者应该设定正确的预期。在接近峰值时，AAPL 往往受波动影响较小。然而，远期一年回报率也往往低于大幅抛售后购买股票时的回报率。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/aapl-after-hours-all-time-high-around-corner\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/aapl-after-hours-all-time-high-around-corner","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173100100","content_text":"Apple stock had a strong day of performance on November 17, and is now $3 per share away from the peak. Here is what investors should keep in mind.\nOn Wednesday, November 17, Apple stock climbed nearly 2% to end the trading session valued at about $154 per share, backed by the heaviest trading volume of the month so far. This is the highest that the stock has reached since early September 2021, when the current all-time high of $156.46 was set.\nBelow are a few factors that may be driving bullishness, and what AAPL investors should expect of the stock next.\nThe iPhone\nWhy so bullish?\nApple stock's 1.7% climb on Wednesday was much better than the return of the S&P 500, at a modest loss of 0.3%. Interestingly enough, despite AAPL's strong performance, it was not easy to pinpoint one single cause for the outsized single-day gain.\nMaybe the company's announcement of the Self Service Repair program, to be launched in 2022, had something to do with it. By effectively outsourcing simple services to users, Apple might be able to simplify its service and cost structure.\nHowever, I doubt that this piece of news alone was responsible for creating $40 billion in market value. Instead, I bet that bullishness has been merely a reflection of recent skepticism over the company's ability to perform in the near term phasing out.\nI have recently talked about two sell-side reports that support the bull thesis on Apple shares. Wedbush has just called for the best holiday season in the history of the iPhone, with the segment possibly delivering over $70 billion in revenues in only about three months.\nJust a day earlier,Morgan Stanley put Apple at the center of the metaverse opportunity. According to the research shop, the real catalyst in this important growth story \"comes if or when Apple enters the space\".\nWhat to expect of AAPL\nThe Apple Maven remains bullish on Apple stock. With valuations having dipped since reaching a 12-month high in early September, shares have become more affordable than some believe them to be.\nThat said, and as the all-time high lurks around the corner, investors should set the right expectations. Near peaks, AAPL tends to suffer less from volatility. However, forward one-year returns also tend to be lower than when the stock is bought after a sharp selloff.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1002,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878340864,"gmtCreate":1637154151918,"gmtModify":1637154249022,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878340864","repostId":"1145251173","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145251173","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637153235,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1145251173?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-17 20:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Boeing Stock Is Worth $300—if You Look Past 2022<blockquote>如果您展望 2022 年，波音股票价值 300 美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145251173","media":"Barrons","summary":"The last couple of years have been tough for Boeing stock. Shares have been, essentially, cut in hal","content":"<p>The last couple of years have been tough for&nbsp;Boeing&nbsp;stock. Shares have been, essentially, cut in half from their peak of about more than $440 a share. That peak, of course, was pre-Covid and pre-737 MAX woes. But&nbsp;Boeing&nbsp;shares, which are at about $228, can move back to $300 by the end of 2022 if things settle down for the large American airplane maker.</p><p><blockquote>过去几年对于波音股票来说很艰难。股价基本上已经从每股 440 美元以上的峰值腰斩了一半。当然，那个高峰是新冠疫情之前和737 MAX之前的灾难。但如果这家美国大型飞机制造商的情况稳定下来，波音公司的股价约为 228 美元，到 2022 年底可能会回升至 300 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tuesday, Seaport Global analyst Richard Safran reiterated his Buy rating on Boeing stock (ticker: BA) and said it’s a good idea for investors to buy now as a 2022 turnaround story. His price target is $298 a share.</p><p><blockquote>周二，Seaport Global 分析师理查德-萨夫兰（Richard Safran）重申了他对波音股票（股票代码：BA）的买入评级，并表示投资者现在买入是个好主意，因为这是 2022 年的扭亏为盈。他的目标价是每股 298 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Safran launched coverage of Boeing stock at Seaport with a Buy rating in June 2020, and he now believes he was too early. He didn’t see the Covid pandemic lingering as long as it has. What’s more, he didn’t see problems on Boeing 787 planes adding to its woes on its 737s.</p><p><blockquote>赛峰集团于 2020 年 6 月在 Seaport 推出了对波音股票的买入评级，但他现在认为现在还为时过早。他没有看到 Covid 大流行持续这么久。更重要的是，他并不认为波音 787 飞机的问题会加剧其 737 飞机的困境。</blockquote></p><p> The 737 MAX jet was grounded worldwide for about 20 months, beginning in March 2019, after two deadly crashes inside of five months. MAX deliveries resumed near the end of 2020. But 787 jets aren’t being delivered right now because of quality problems discovered in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>737 MAX 喷气式飞机在五个月内发生两起致命坠机事件后，从 2019 年 3 月开始在全球范围内停飞约 20 个月。MAX 交付于 2020 年底恢复。但由于最近几个月发现了质量问题，787 喷气式飞机目前还没有交付。</blockquote></p><p> Still, when Safran looks at 2022 and beyond—in a period where Boeing has less drama and more planes produced—he sees the stock moving north of $300.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，当赛峰集团展望 2022 年及以后时——在波音公司戏剧性事件较少、飞机产量较多的时期——他预计股价将升至 300 美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> It isn’t hard to justify that view.Airbus&nbsp;and Boeing shares both trade for around 20 times estimated 2022 cash flows. But based on 2023 estimated numbers,Airbus&nbsp;is trading for about 18 times and Boeing stock is trading for less than 14 times.</p><p><blockquote>空客和波音的股票交易价格都是 2022 年预计现金流的 20 倍左右。但根据 2023 年的估计数字，空客的交易量约为 18 倍，波音股票的交易量不到 14 倍。</blockquote></p><p> If Boeing were to trade like Airbus on its projected 2023 numbers, the stock would be between $300 and $330 a share. Investors just need confidence that 2023 will turn out well for Boeing.</p><p><blockquote>如果波音公司像空客一样按照其 2023 年的预计数据进行交易，那么该股股价将在每股 300 美元至 330 美元之间。投资者只需要相信 2023 年波音公司将会取得好成绩。</blockquote></p><p> The tide is starting to turn, according to Safran. “Investor sentiment appears to be improving following” Boeing’s third-quarter earnings, wrote the analyst in a Tuesday note. “The general trend is that the worst is likely behind [the company].”</p><p><blockquote>赛峰表示，形势开始转变。“这位分析师在周二的一份报告中写道：”在波音公司第三季度财报公布后，投资者情绪似乎正在改善。“总体趋势是，最糟糕的情况可能已经过去了。”</blockquote></p><p> Safran doesn’t have the highest price target on the Street. He is among a group of bulls with price targets around $300. The bottom few still have price targets for Boeing stock roughly where it trades now.</p><p><blockquote>赛峰集团的目标价并不是华尔街上最高的。他是一群目标价在 300 美元左右的多头之一。垫底的少数人仍然对波音股票的目标价大致与目前的交易价格相当。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, about 61% of analysts covering the stock rate shares Buy. The average Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;is about 55%.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，约 61% 的分析师认为股票买入。标普500股票的平均买入评级比率约为55%。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock is down 2.3% in Tuesday trading. The S&amp;P 500 and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;are up about 0.7% and 0.5%, respectively. Boeing stock, however, jumped 5% Monday after the start of the Dubai Air Show on Sunday. For the week, it’s still up more than 3%.</p><p><blockquote>波音股价在周二交易中下跌 2.3%。标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别上涨约0.7%和0.5%。然而，周日迪拜航展开幕后，波音股价周一上涨 5%。本周，涨幅仍超过 3%。</blockquote></p><p> Companies such as Boeing and Airbus do a lot of business at air shows. Tuesday, Akasa Air ordered 72 MAX jets for the Indian market. That deal was signed in Dubai.</p><p><blockquote>波音和空客等公司在航展上做了很多生意。周二，赤坂航空为印度市场订购了72架MAX喷气式飞机。那笔交易是在迪拜签署的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Boeing Stock Is Worth $300—if You Look Past 2022<blockquote>如果您展望 2022 年，波音股票价值 300 美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBoeing Stock Is Worth $300—if You Look Past 2022<blockquote>如果您展望 2022 年，波音股票价值 300 美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-17 20:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The last couple of years have been tough for&nbsp;Boeing&nbsp;stock. Shares have been, essentially, cut in half from their peak of about more than $440 a share. That peak, of course, was pre-Covid and pre-737 MAX woes. But&nbsp;Boeing&nbsp;shares, which are at about $228, can move back to $300 by the end of 2022 if things settle down for the large American airplane maker.</p><p><blockquote>过去几年对于波音股票来说很艰难。股价基本上已经从每股 440 美元以上的峰值腰斩了一半。当然，那个高峰是新冠疫情之前和737 MAX之前的灾难。但如果这家美国大型飞机制造商的情况稳定下来，波音公司的股价约为 228 美元，到 2022 年底可能会回升至 300 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tuesday, Seaport Global analyst Richard Safran reiterated his Buy rating on Boeing stock (ticker: BA) and said it’s a good idea for investors to buy now as a 2022 turnaround story. His price target is $298 a share.</p><p><blockquote>周二，Seaport Global 分析师理查德-萨夫兰（Richard Safran）重申了他对波音股票（股票代码：BA）的买入评级，并表示投资者现在买入是个好主意，因为这是 2022 年的扭亏为盈。他的目标价是每股 298 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Safran launched coverage of Boeing stock at Seaport with a Buy rating in June 2020, and he now believes he was too early. He didn’t see the Covid pandemic lingering as long as it has. What’s more, he didn’t see problems on Boeing 787 planes adding to its woes on its 737s.</p><p><blockquote>赛峰集团于 2020 年 6 月在 Seaport 推出了对波音股票的买入评级，但他现在认为现在还为时过早。他没有看到 Covid 大流行持续这么久。更重要的是，他并不认为波音 787 飞机的问题会加剧其 737 飞机的困境。</blockquote></p><p> The 737 MAX jet was grounded worldwide for about 20 months, beginning in March 2019, after two deadly crashes inside of five months. MAX deliveries resumed near the end of 2020. But 787 jets aren’t being delivered right now because of quality problems discovered in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>737 MAX 喷气式飞机在五个月内发生两起致命坠机事件后，从 2019 年 3 月开始在全球范围内停飞约 20 个月。MAX 交付于 2020 年底恢复。但由于最近几个月发现了质量问题，787 喷气式飞机目前还没有交付。</blockquote></p><p> Still, when Safran looks at 2022 and beyond—in a period where Boeing has less drama and more planes produced—he sees the stock moving north of $300.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，当赛峰集团展望 2022 年及以后时——在波音公司戏剧性事件较少、飞机产量较多的时期——他预计股价将升至 300 美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> It isn’t hard to justify that view.Airbus&nbsp;and Boeing shares both trade for around 20 times estimated 2022 cash flows. But based on 2023 estimated numbers,Airbus&nbsp;is trading for about 18 times and Boeing stock is trading for less than 14 times.</p><p><blockquote>空客和波音的股票交易价格都是 2022 年预计现金流的 20 倍左右。但根据 2023 年的估计数字，空客的交易量约为 18 倍，波音股票的交易量不到 14 倍。</blockquote></p><p> If Boeing were to trade like Airbus on its projected 2023 numbers, the stock would be between $300 and $330 a share. Investors just need confidence that 2023 will turn out well for Boeing.</p><p><blockquote>如果波音公司像空客一样按照其 2023 年的预计数据进行交易，那么该股股价将在每股 300 美元至 330 美元之间。投资者只需要相信 2023 年波音公司将会取得好成绩。</blockquote></p><p> The tide is starting to turn, according to Safran. “Investor sentiment appears to be improving following” Boeing’s third-quarter earnings, wrote the analyst in a Tuesday note. “The general trend is that the worst is likely behind [the company].”</p><p><blockquote>赛峰表示，形势开始转变。“这位分析师在周二的一份报告中写道：”在波音公司第三季度财报公布后，投资者情绪似乎正在改善。“总体趋势是，最糟糕的情况可能已经过去了。”</blockquote></p><p> Safran doesn’t have the highest price target on the Street. He is among a group of bulls with price targets around $300. The bottom few still have price targets for Boeing stock roughly where it trades now.</p><p><blockquote>赛峰集团的目标价并不是华尔街上最高的。他是一群目标价在 300 美元左右的多头之一。垫底的少数人仍然对波音股票的目标价大致与目前的交易价格相当。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, about 61% of analysts covering the stock rate shares Buy. The average Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;is about 55%.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，约 61% 的分析师认为股票买入。标普500股票的平均买入评级比率约为55%。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock is down 2.3% in Tuesday trading. The S&amp;P 500 and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;are up about 0.7% and 0.5%, respectively. Boeing stock, however, jumped 5% Monday after the start of the Dubai Air Show on Sunday. For the week, it’s still up more than 3%.</p><p><blockquote>波音股价在周二交易中下跌 2.3%。标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别上涨约0.7%和0.5%。然而，周日迪拜航展开幕后，波音股价周一上涨 5%。本周，涨幅仍超过 3%。</blockquote></p><p> Companies such as Boeing and Airbus do a lot of business at air shows. Tuesday, Akasa Air ordered 72 MAX jets for the Indian market. That deal was signed in Dubai.</p><p><blockquote>波音和空客等公司在航展上做了很多生意。周二，赤坂航空为印度市场订购了72架MAX喷气式飞机。那笔交易是在迪拜签署的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/boeing-stock-is-worth-300-if-you-look-past-2022-51637097194?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/boeing-stock-is-worth-300-if-you-look-past-2022-51637097194?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145251173","content_text":"The last couple of years have been tough for Boeing stock. Shares have been, essentially, cut in half from their peak of about more than $440 a share. That peak, of course, was pre-Covid and pre-737 MAX woes. But Boeing shares, which are at about $228, can move back to $300 by the end of 2022 if things settle down for the large American airplane maker.\nTuesday, Seaport Global analyst Richard Safran reiterated his Buy rating on Boeing stock (ticker: BA) and said it’s a good idea for investors to buy now as a 2022 turnaround story. His price target is $298 a share.\nSafran launched coverage of Boeing stock at Seaport with a Buy rating in June 2020, and he now believes he was too early. He didn’t see the Covid pandemic lingering as long as it has. What’s more, he didn’t see problems on Boeing 787 planes adding to its woes on its 737s.\nThe 737 MAX jet was grounded worldwide for about 20 months, beginning in March 2019, after two deadly crashes inside of five months. MAX deliveries resumed near the end of 2020. But 787 jets aren’t being delivered right now because of quality problems discovered in recent months.\nStill, when Safran looks at 2022 and beyond—in a period where Boeing has less drama and more planes produced—he sees the stock moving north of $300.\nIt isn’t hard to justify that view.Airbus and Boeing shares both trade for around 20 times estimated 2022 cash flows. But based on 2023 estimated numbers,Airbus is trading for about 18 times and Boeing stock is trading for less than 14 times.\nIf Boeing were to trade like Airbus on its projected 2023 numbers, the stock would be between $300 and $330 a share. Investors just need confidence that 2023 will turn out well for Boeing.\nThe tide is starting to turn, according to Safran. “Investor sentiment appears to be improving following” Boeing’s third-quarter earnings, wrote the analyst in a Tuesday note. “The general trend is that the worst is likely behind [the company].”\nSafran doesn’t have the highest price target on the Street. He is among a group of bulls with price targets around $300. The bottom few still have price targets for Boeing stock roughly where it trades now.\nOverall, about 61% of analysts covering the stock rate shares Buy. The average Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&P 500 is about 55%.\nBoeing stock is down 2.3% in Tuesday trading. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average are up about 0.7% and 0.5%, respectively. Boeing stock, however, jumped 5% Monday after the start of the Dubai Air Show on Sunday. For the week, it’s still up more than 3%.\nCompanies such as Boeing and Airbus do a lot of business at air shows. Tuesday, Akasa Air ordered 72 MAX jets for the Indian market. That deal was signed in Dubai.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871272431,"gmtCreate":1637077237263,"gmtModify":1637077237775,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"😱","listText":"😱","text":"😱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871272431","repostId":"1112207087","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":981,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873894387,"gmtCreate":1636905593761,"gmtModify":1636905593908,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"shopping!! 👍","listText":"shopping!! 👍","text":"shopping!! 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873894387","repostId":"1159096163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159096163","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636851053,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1159096163?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-14 08:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159096163","media":"Barrons","summary":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce","content":"<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie &amp; Fitch 的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie's（股票代码：ANF）曾经是商场的主打产品，凭借鲜明、性感的广告和黑暗、充满香水的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在 2017 年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的持续下降给该品牌的未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的购物中心和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎又要夺走另一个受害者了。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但是在去葬礼的路上发生了一件令人惊讶的事情：阿伯克龙比享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨 (Fran Horowitz) 的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调其 Hollister 品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>在截至 7 月 31 日的第二财季中，该公司的收入同比增长了 24%，比大流行前的水平增长了 3%。随着购物者将现金涌回商店，其股价今年上涨了 120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨在接受采访时说：”品牌认知是一件很难扭转的事情，重建消费者的信任需要时间。<i>巴伦</i>. “因此，在 2021 年，我们很高兴地说，我们显然看到了所有这些辛勤工作的奇妙成果”。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅从深渊中挣脱出来，还利用大流行病带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌，销售额飙升，股价上涨，这得益于强劲的市场和消费者争先恐后地花掉大流行储蓄。许多大型商场零售商的股价都飙升，包括梅西百货（M）、诺德斯特龙（JWN）、著名鞋类母公司 Caleres（加州）和 Signet Jewelers（SIG），这些公司在过去 12 个月中都上涨了至少 100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会（National Retail Federation）的数据，消费者可支出 8510 亿美元，比去年创纪录的 7770 亿美元增长了 9.5%，是过去五年平均增长率 4.4% 的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售恢复正常之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意想不到的复兴，再次印证了不少品牌对实体店力量的信心。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们仍在继续大力押注实体未来。随着对实体店的投资继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>大流行病对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题显而易见。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌入网上。亚马逊 (AMZN) 和沃尔玛 (WMT) 等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>“Columbia Threadneedle Investments 零售分析师 Mari Shor 说：”投资者的情绪--尤其是短期对冲基金类型的投资者--对该集团的情绪刚刚变得非常负面。“我只是认为，投资者并没有真正给公司或消费者带来怀疑的好处”。</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔说，投资者的疑虑源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存下来。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会来关闭表现不佳的门店，并专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上变得更好，并将销售策略转变为随时随地瞄准消费者，无论是在线、移动还是店内。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司希望在连接数字和店内运营的同时推动增长的一个例子是，Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为 60 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。根据全国零售联合会的估计，这个假日季在线和其他非实体店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高位。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>“Global X 负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗-帕兰德拉尼（Pedro Palandrani）说：”我们认为，大流行病不仅加速了电子商务在全球的普及，还扩大了市场。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在其数字战略上投入了数亿美元，强调从数字体验到店内体验的平稳过渡，并采取了改进公司网站、实行店内退货和网上购物提货等举措。霍洛维茨说，大流行病的到来促使 Abercrombie 关闭了全球 130 家门店和 50% 的品牌旗舰店，使过去 10 年关闭的门店总数达到约 500 家，同时战略性地开设了几家重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”商店固然重要，但必须有合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济性。“如果你把它和数字技术结合在一起，那就等于神奇了”。</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B. Riley Securities 分析师苏珊·安德森 (Susan Anderson) 表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效方式，而且还可以作为在线取货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，甚至像Warby Parker（WRBY）这样的在线零售商也扩大了他们的实体存在，以适应购物者的偏好。“安德森说：”消费者希望随时随地购物。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。购物中心和实体店在精通数字的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>根据BHDP今年早些时候委托一家以零售为专长的设计公司对1000名购物者进行的调查，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁的购物者也回到了商场，试穿产品，使用店内促销，并进行退货。德勤美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯 (Rod Sides) 表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人口统计的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间战略的转变使许多零售商在今年重新开放购物中心和市中心时处于更有利的地位，购物者渴望打开他们的钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者意外地变得兴奋起来。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用的下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤（Deloitte）的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假日季比去年多花费 15%，平均每户花费 2624 美元，这在很大程度上推动了假日季的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>“穆迪分析公司（Moody's Analytics）首席经济学家马克-赞迪（Mark Zandi）说：”你有很多现金，而且有相当数量的需求被压抑。</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9 月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至 6250 亿美元，比 10 月份增长 0.7%，同比增长 13.9%。仅零售额就比 8 月份增长了 0.8%。“花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡-克拉克（Veronica Clark）说：”我们原本预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会总裁兼首席执行官马修·谢伊 (Matthew Shay) 在 10 月份的媒体吹风会上表示，零售商在进入假日季时比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测本季美国零售额将增长 7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品行业将出现显着增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商 Burberry Group (BRBY.UK) 上周表示，2022 财年上半年的可比销售额增长了 37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach 母公司 Tapestry (TPR) 公布的第一财季收益好于预期，上调了 2022 年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩说：“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地承受了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表”。Wolfe Research 看好 Nordstrom 和 Tapestry 等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“几乎所有美国消费者支出的主要驱动因素都青睐高端市场”。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，越来越多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai 商场交通统计数据显示，10 月份室内商场的客流量比 2019 年增长了 3%，室外商场的客流量增长了 5%，这也是商场商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团（SPG）的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>“华盛顿地区泰森斯角中心（Tysons Corner Center）高级营销经理林赛-佩塔克（Lindsay Petak）说：”随着越来越多的人全面接种疫苗，再加上由于供应链问题，许多人在即将到来的假期提前购物，自 7 月以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。该购物中心由 Macerich (MAC) 所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的库存上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金（XRT）上涨了85%，而标普500上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品 ETF (RCD) 今年的表现优于标普500 5 个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>“NRF 的 Shay 说：”我们已经看到，一旦经济重新开放，百货商店、服装和非必需品零售商就会真正反弹。“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店一直是节日期间的热门目的地......今年，百货商店仍然是人们购物的首选场所”。</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与网上商店有所不同，但它们会一直存在下去。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>零售业复兴是否具有长期可持续性尚未定论。零售商在远离常态的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更加具有投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>“杰富瑞（Jefferies）分析师珍妮-斯蒂奇特（Janine Stichter）说：”我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为现在整个行业有太多的复杂性。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度将表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“霍洛维茨说：”供应链问题是真实存在的。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在第二季度财报看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，预计对销售的影响不大，运费通胀的影响更大。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克说，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者提前开始购物--这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月可能会有所下降。“她说：”支出并不一定会减弱很多，只是几个月的分布情况有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter 表示，另一方面，低库存将赋予零售商更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修-福雷斯特（Matthew Forester）说，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“他说：”总体而言，美国经济显然正在放缓。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这也是很可能发生的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他说，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出欣喜若狂。他说，虽然下降可能并不 “可怕”，但与现在的消费者支出水平相比，仍将有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>然而，阿伯克龙比正在其实体店的帮助下度过逆风。该公司正计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单路由到商店，并与 Uber、Shipt 和 Postmates 合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司 American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) 最近宣布收购 Quiet Logistics，这是一家在市中心附近运营自动化配送中心的运营商，就在几周前，AirTerra 专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨说：”我们将继续努力。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商继续前进，末日预言者可能不得不推迟预言零售世界末日。目前，人们的情绪很明确：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又凉了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-14 08:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie &amp; Fitch 的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie's（股票代码：ANF）曾经是商场的主打产品，凭借鲜明、性感的广告和黑暗、充满香水的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在 2017 年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的持续下降给该品牌的未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的购物中心和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎又要夺走另一个受害者了。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但是在去葬礼的路上发生了一件令人惊讶的事情：阿伯克龙比享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨 (Fran Horowitz) 的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调其 Hollister 品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>在截至 7 月 31 日的第二财季中，该公司的收入同比增长了 24%，比大流行前的水平增长了 3%。随着购物者将现金涌回商店，其股价今年上涨了 120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨在接受采访时说：”品牌认知是一件很难扭转的事情，重建消费者的信任需要时间。<i>巴伦</i>. “因此，在 2021 年，我们很高兴地说，我们显然看到了所有这些辛勤工作的奇妙成果”。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅从深渊中挣脱出来，还利用大流行病带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌，销售额飙升，股价上涨，这得益于强劲的市场和消费者争先恐后地花掉大流行储蓄。许多大型商场零售商的股价都飙升，包括梅西百货（M）、诺德斯特龙（JWN）、著名鞋类母公司 Caleres（加州）和 Signet Jewelers（SIG），这些公司在过去 12 个月中都上涨了至少 100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会（National Retail Federation）的数据，消费者可支出 8510 亿美元，比去年创纪录的 7770 亿美元增长了 9.5%，是过去五年平均增长率 4.4% 的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售恢复正常之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意想不到的复兴，再次印证了不少品牌对实体店力量的信心。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们仍在继续大力押注实体未来。随着对实体店的投资继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>大流行病对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题显而易见。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌入网上。亚马逊 (AMZN) 和沃尔玛 (WMT) 等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>“Columbia Threadneedle Investments 零售分析师 Mari Shor 说：”投资者的情绪--尤其是短期对冲基金类型的投资者--对该集团的情绪刚刚变得非常负面。“我只是认为，投资者并没有真正给公司或消费者带来怀疑的好处”。</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔说，投资者的疑虑源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存下来。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会来关闭表现不佳的门店，并专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上变得更好，并将销售策略转变为随时随地瞄准消费者，无论是在线、移动还是店内。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司希望在连接数字和店内运营的同时推动增长的一个例子是，Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为 60 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。根据全国零售联合会的估计，这个假日季在线和其他非实体店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高位。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>“Global X 负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗-帕兰德拉尼（Pedro Palandrani）说：”我们认为，大流行病不仅加速了电子商务在全球的普及，还扩大了市场。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在其数字战略上投入了数亿美元，强调从数字体验到店内体验的平稳过渡，并采取了改进公司网站、实行店内退货和网上购物提货等举措。霍洛维茨说，大流行病的到来促使 Abercrombie 关闭了全球 130 家门店和 50% 的品牌旗舰店，使过去 10 年关闭的门店总数达到约 500 家，同时战略性地开设了几家重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”商店固然重要，但必须有合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济性。“如果你把它和数字技术结合在一起，那就等于神奇了”。</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B. Riley Securities 分析师苏珊·安德森 (Susan Anderson) 表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效方式，而且还可以作为在线取货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，甚至像Warby Parker（WRBY）这样的在线零售商也扩大了他们的实体存在，以适应购物者的偏好。“安德森说：”消费者希望随时随地购物。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。购物中心和实体店在精通数字的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>根据BHDP今年早些时候委托一家以零售为专长的设计公司对1000名购物者进行的调查，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁的购物者也回到了商场，试穿产品，使用店内促销，并进行退货。德勤美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯 (Rod Sides) 表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人口统计的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间战略的转变使许多零售商在今年重新开放购物中心和市中心时处于更有利的地位，购物者渴望打开他们的钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者意外地变得兴奋起来。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用的下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤（Deloitte）的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假日季比去年多花费 15%，平均每户花费 2624 美元，这在很大程度上推动了假日季的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>“穆迪分析公司（Moody's Analytics）首席经济学家马克-赞迪（Mark Zandi）说：”你有很多现金，而且有相当数量的需求被压抑。</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9 月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至 6250 亿美元，比 10 月份增长 0.7%，同比增长 13.9%。仅零售额就比 8 月份增长了 0.8%。“花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡-克拉克（Veronica Clark）说：”我们原本预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会总裁兼首席执行官马修·谢伊 (Matthew Shay) 在 10 月份的媒体吹风会上表示，零售商在进入假日季时比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测本季美国零售额将增长 7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品行业将出现显着增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商 Burberry Group (BRBY.UK) 上周表示，2022 财年上半年的可比销售额增长了 37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach 母公司 Tapestry (TPR) 公布的第一财季收益好于预期，上调了 2022 年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩说：“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地承受了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表”。Wolfe Research 看好 Nordstrom 和 Tapestry 等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“几乎所有美国消费者支出的主要驱动因素都青睐高端市场”。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，越来越多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai 商场交通统计数据显示，10 月份室内商场的客流量比 2019 年增长了 3%，室外商场的客流量增长了 5%，这也是商场商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团（SPG）的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>“华盛顿地区泰森斯角中心（Tysons Corner Center）高级营销经理林赛-佩塔克（Lindsay Petak）说：”随着越来越多的人全面接种疫苗，再加上由于供应链问题，许多人在即将到来的假期提前购物，自 7 月以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。该购物中心由 Macerich (MAC) 所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的库存上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金（XRT）上涨了85%，而标普500上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品 ETF (RCD) 今年的表现优于标普500 5 个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>“NRF 的 Shay 说：”我们已经看到，一旦经济重新开放，百货商店、服装和非必需品零售商就会真正反弹。“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店一直是节日期间的热门目的地......今年，百货商店仍然是人们购物的首选场所”。</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与网上商店有所不同，但它们会一直存在下去。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>零售业复兴是否具有长期可持续性尚未定论。零售商在远离常态的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更加具有投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>“杰富瑞（Jefferies）分析师珍妮-斯蒂奇特（Janine Stichter）说：”我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为现在整个行业有太多的复杂性。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度将表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“霍洛维茨说：”供应链问题是真实存在的。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在第二季度财报看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，预计对销售的影响不大，运费通胀的影响更大。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克说，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者提前开始购物--这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月可能会有所下降。“她说：”支出并不一定会减弱很多，只是几个月的分布情况有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter 表示，另一方面，低库存将赋予零售商更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修-福雷斯特（Matthew Forester）说，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“他说：”总体而言，美国经济显然正在放缓。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这也是很可能发生的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他说，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出欣喜若狂。他说，虽然下降可能并不 “可怕”，但与现在的消费者支出水平相比，仍将有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>然而，阿伯克龙比正在其实体店的帮助下度过逆风。该公司正计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单路由到商店，并与 Uber、Shipt 和 Postmates 合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司 American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) 最近宣布收购 Quiet Logistics，这是一家在市中心附近运营自动化配送中心的运营商，就在几周前，AirTerra 专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨说：”我们将继续努力。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商继续前进，末日预言者可能不得不推迟预言零售世界末日。目前，人们的情绪很明确：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又凉了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RCD":"READY CAPITAL CORPORATION 9.00% SENIOR NOTES DUE 2029","JWN":"诺德斯特龙","TPR":"Tapestry Inc.","WMT":"沃尔玛","BBRYF":"Burberry Group Plc","ANF":"爱芬奇","M":"梅西百货","AMZN":"亚马逊","CAL":"Caleres鞋业","SIG":"西格内特珠宝","BRBY.UK":"巴宝莉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159096163","content_text":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.\nThe retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.\nBut something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.\nRevenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.\n“Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with Barron’s. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”\nAbercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.\nBrands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including Macy’s (M),Nordstrom (JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres (CAL), and Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.\nThese companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.\nNo one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.\nBut the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.\nWealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.\nThe pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as Amazon.com (AMZN) and Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.\n“The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”\nShor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.\nBut the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.\nIn one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.\nSuch approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.\n“We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.\nAbercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.\n“Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”\nNot only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.\nThat behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.\nAccording to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.\nThe shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.\nDuring the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.\n“You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.\nRetail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.\nRetailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly Mastercard spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.\nLuxury retailer Burberry Group (BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And Tapestry (TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.\nSome analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”\nMeanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.\n“With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.\nAll of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the SPDR S&P Retail exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&P 500 rose 33%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.\n“We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”\nAll that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.\nThe verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.\n“I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.\nCompanies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.\nAbercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.\nTo ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.\nOn the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.\nWhatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”\nThe economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.\nAbercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.\nOther retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.\n“We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.\nAs retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRBY.UK":0.9,"RCD":0.9,"M":0.9,"JWN":0.9,"TPR":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"BBRYF":0.9,"CAL":0.9,"ANF":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"SIG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870750693,"gmtCreate":1636651408498,"gmtModify":1636651409034,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"😰😭","listText":"😰😭","text":"😰😭","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870750693","repostId":"1152431554","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152431554","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636642592,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1152431554?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-11 22:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney shares fell more than 8% in morning trading<blockquote>迪士尼股价早盘下跌超过 8%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152431554","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Atlantic Equities is cutting Disney to Neutral from Buy in the wake of its earnings, pointing to direct-to-consumer additionsslowing more than expected.It is lowering its price target to $172 from $219 per share, just below the last closing price.\"Disney's focus on franchises led to excellent sign-up rates out of the gate, but we are increasingly convinced that the penetration of this fan base is close to saturated in launched markets,\" analyst Hamilton Faber writes in a note.\"While there are ne","content":"<p>Disney&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;8%&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17f05b19cd1d11648dfa9756186272f4\" tg-width=\"874\" tg-height=\"611\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>迪士尼股价在早盘交易中下跌超过8%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlantic Equities is cutting Disney&nbsp;to Neutral from Buy in the wake of its earnings, pointing to direct-to-consumer additionsslowing more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>大西洋股票公司 (Atlantic Equities) 在公布财报后将迪士尼的评级从买入下调至中性，并指出直接面向消费者的增长放缓超过预期。</blockquote></p><p> It is lowering its price target to $172 from $219 per share, just below the last closing price.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将目标价从每股 219 美元下调至 172 美元，略低于上次收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> \"Disney's focus on franchises led to excellent sign-up rates out of the gate, but we are increasingly convinced that the penetration of this fan base is close to saturated in launched markets,\" analyst Hamilton Faber writes in a note.</p><p><blockquote>分析师汉密尔顿·费伯 (Hamilton Faber) 在一份报告中写道：“迪士尼对特许经营权的关注导致了出色的签约率，但我们越来越相信，该粉丝群在已推出市场的渗透率已接近饱和。”</blockquote></p><p> \"While there are new geographies to come, we believe volume growth will disappoint,\" Faber says. \"We are retaining our (sum of the parts) valuation but cutting our target DTC revenue multiple from 8x to 5x.\"</p><p><blockquote>“虽然新的地区即将到来，但我们相信销量增长会令人失望，”费伯说。“我们将保留（各部分之和）估值，但将目标 DTC 收入倍数从 8 倍下调至 5 倍。”</blockquote></p><p> Faber adds that reiterated Disney+ subscriber guidance of 230-260M subs for 2024 looks aggressive and he is cutting his estimate slightly to 218M.</p><p><blockquote>费伯补充说，迪士尼+重申的2024年订阅用户2.3亿至2.6亿的指导看起来很激进，他将他的估计略微下调至2.18亿。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney shares fell more than 8% in morning trading<blockquote>迪士尼股价早盘下跌超过 8%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-11 22:56</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Disney&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;8%&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17f05b19cd1d11648dfa9756186272f4\" tg-width=\"874\" tg-height=\"611\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>迪士尼股价在早盘交易中下跌超过8%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlantic Equities is cutting Disney&nbsp;to Neutral from Buy in the wake of its earnings, pointing to direct-to-consumer additionsslowing more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>大西洋股票公司 (Atlantic Equities) 在公布财报后将迪士尼的评级从买入下调至中性，并指出直接面向消费者的增长放缓超过预期。</blockquote></p><p> It is lowering its price target to $172 from $219 per share, just below the last closing price.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将目标价从每股 219 美元下调至 172 美元，略低于上次收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> \"Disney's focus on franchises led to excellent sign-up rates out of the gate, but we are increasingly convinced that the penetration of this fan base is close to saturated in launched markets,\" analyst Hamilton Faber writes in a note.</p><p><blockquote>分析师汉密尔顿·费伯 (Hamilton Faber) 在一份报告中写道：“迪士尼对特许经营权的关注导致了出色的签约率，但我们越来越相信，该粉丝群在已推出市场的渗透率已接近饱和。”</blockquote></p><p> \"While there are new geographies to come, we believe volume growth will disappoint,\" Faber says. \"We are retaining our (sum of the parts) valuation but cutting our target DTC revenue multiple from 8x to 5x.\"</p><p><blockquote>“虽然新的地区即将到来，但我们相信销量增长会令人失望，”费伯说。“我们将保留（各部分之和）估值，但将目标 DTC 收入倍数从 8 倍下调至 5 倍。”</blockquote></p><p> Faber adds that reiterated Disney+ subscriber guidance of 230-260M subs for 2024 looks aggressive and he is cutting his estimate slightly to 218M.</p><p><blockquote>费伯补充说，迪士尼+重申的2024年订阅用户2.3亿至2.6亿的指导看起来很激进，他将他的估计略微下调至2.18亿。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152431554","content_text":"Disney shares fell more than 8% in morning trading.\nAtlantic Equities is cutting Disney to Neutral from Buy in the wake of its earnings, pointing to direct-to-consumer additionsslowing more than expected.\nIt is lowering its price target to $172 from $219 per share, just below the last closing price.\n\"Disney's focus on franchises led to excellent sign-up rates out of the gate, but we are increasingly convinced that the penetration of this fan base is close to saturated in launched markets,\" analyst Hamilton Faber writes in a note.\n\"While there are new geographies to come, we believe volume growth will disappoint,\" Faber says. \"We are retaining our (sum of the parts) valuation but cutting our target DTC revenue multiple from 8x to 5x.\"\nFaber adds that reiterated Disney+ subscriber guidance of 230-260M subs for 2024 looks aggressive and he is cutting his estimate slightly to 218M.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1746,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844701038,"gmtCreate":1636457008772,"gmtModify":1636465023817,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow! no need to learn driving anymore&nbsp;","listText":"wow! no need to learn driving anymore&nbsp;","text":"wow! no need to learn driving anymore","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844701038","repostId":"2182013607","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":894655472,"gmtCreate":1628824012396,"gmtModify":1633689179028,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow! 👍","listText":"wow! 👍","text":"wow! 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894655472","repostId":"1188620903","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":876263157,"gmtCreate":1637320284246,"gmtModify":1637320284752,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"time to stock up on these?&nbsp;","listText":"time to stock up on these?&nbsp;","text":"time to stock up on these?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876263157","repostId":"2184981058","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":148291628,"gmtCreate":1625976152364,"gmtModify":1633931172250,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good for trading!&nbsp;","listText":"good for trading!&nbsp;","text":"good for trading!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148291628","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了，核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象，也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降，但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如，AMC院线控股公司（AMC）6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元，超过了苹果（AAPL）的 95 亿美元和亚马逊（AMZN）的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多的交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包；交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克（Brandon Luczek）在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道：”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，在今年不到一半的时间里，经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车，也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财（SCHW）最近的一项调查发现，15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布，第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金（Chris Larkin）说，多年来，“ETF 一直备受青睐”，E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利（MS）所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌，华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券（Interactive Brokers）首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克（Steve Sosnick）写道：”就像蝉一样，备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我不认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后，备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年，零售活动占股本量的 24%，高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院（Columbia Law School）专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨（Joshua Mitts）说：”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转，即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs，26 岁，每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活，并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了纽约程序员的工作，搬到了费城，并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝，它正在支付账单。科尔斯说，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年，AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦（Adam Aron）在推特上表示，他看到了 “许多人赞成，许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”，但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然，并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨，如果没有大量的数据分析，零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他说：”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险，以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的，也是道德上的，也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是希望证明自己，并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场，有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说：”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境，但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以，我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者，她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说：”他很生气我买了游戏驿站，还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，在你成为合伙人之前，你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你从不离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力，迫使做空，或买入看涨期权，从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面，成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬，AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%，低于 1 月份的 28%，但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨，空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特（Michael Pachter）说，他们开始 “流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说：”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义，就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔（Keith Gill）和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们，而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit 人群需要团结起来，但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快，以至于它已经失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板，如 r/superstonk，希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在，他看到了一种不断增长的趋势，即股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的聊天，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论，什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场，Rehl 表示，他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说：”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%，甚至 50%，那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高，也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为，这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说：”孩子们开始重返校园；家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注，这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德（Hendrik Bessembinder）在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票，亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之，挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说：”我欢迎零售交易的增加，欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了，核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象，也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降，但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如，AMC院线控股公司（AMC）6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元，超过了苹果（AAPL）的 95 亿美元和亚马逊（AMZN）的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多的交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包；交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克（Brandon Luczek）在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道：”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，在今年不到一半的时间里，经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车，也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财（SCHW）最近的一项调查发现，15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布，第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金（Chris Larkin）说，多年来，“ETF 一直备受青睐”，E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利（MS）所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌，华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券（Interactive Brokers）首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克（Steve Sosnick）写道：”就像蝉一样，备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我不认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后，备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年，零售活动占股本量的 24%，高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院（Columbia Law School）专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨（Joshua Mitts）说：”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转，即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs，26 岁，每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活，并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了纽约程序员的工作，搬到了费城，并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝，它正在支付账单。科尔斯说，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年，AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦（Adam Aron）在推特上表示，他看到了 “许多人赞成，许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”，但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然，并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨，如果没有大量的数据分析，零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他说：”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险，以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的，也是道德上的，也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是希望证明自己，并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场，有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说：”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境，但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以，我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者，她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说：”他很生气我买了游戏驿站，还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，在你成为合伙人之前，你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你从不离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力，迫使做空，或买入看涨期权，从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面，成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬，AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%，低于 1 月份的 28%，但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨，空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特（Michael Pachter）说，他们开始 “流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说：”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义，就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔（Keith Gill）和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们，而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit 人群需要团结起来，但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快，以至于它已经失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板，如 r/superstonk，希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在，他看到了一种不断增长的趋势，即股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的聊天，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论，什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场，Rehl 表示，他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说：”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%，甚至 50%，那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高，也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为，这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说：”孩子们开始重返校园；家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注，这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德（Hendrik Bessembinder）在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票，亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之，挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说：”我欢迎零售交易的增加，欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","BB":"黑莓","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","SCHW":"嘉信理财","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"BB":0.9,"GME":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"SCHW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":873894387,"gmtCreate":1636905593761,"gmtModify":1636905593908,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"shopping!! 👍","listText":"shopping!! 👍","text":"shopping!! 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873894387","repostId":"1159096163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159096163","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636851053,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1159096163?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-14 08:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159096163","media":"Barrons","summary":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce","content":"<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie &amp; Fitch 的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie's（股票代码：ANF）曾经是商场的主打产品，凭借鲜明、性感的广告和黑暗、充满香水的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在 2017 年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的持续下降给该品牌的未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的购物中心和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎又要夺走另一个受害者了。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但是在去葬礼的路上发生了一件令人惊讶的事情：阿伯克龙比享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨 (Fran Horowitz) 的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调其 Hollister 品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>在截至 7 月 31 日的第二财季中，该公司的收入同比增长了 24%，比大流行前的水平增长了 3%。随着购物者将现金涌回商店，其股价今年上涨了 120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨在接受采访时说：”品牌认知是一件很难扭转的事情，重建消费者的信任需要时间。<i>巴伦</i>. “因此，在 2021 年，我们很高兴地说，我们显然看到了所有这些辛勤工作的奇妙成果”。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅从深渊中挣脱出来，还利用大流行病带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌，销售额飙升，股价上涨，这得益于强劲的市场和消费者争先恐后地花掉大流行储蓄。许多大型商场零售商的股价都飙升，包括梅西百货（M）、诺德斯特龙（JWN）、著名鞋类母公司 Caleres（加州）和 Signet Jewelers（SIG），这些公司在过去 12 个月中都上涨了至少 100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会（National Retail Federation）的数据，消费者可支出 8510 亿美元，比去年创纪录的 7770 亿美元增长了 9.5%，是过去五年平均增长率 4.4% 的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售恢复正常之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意想不到的复兴，再次印证了不少品牌对实体店力量的信心。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们仍在继续大力押注实体未来。随着对实体店的投资继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>大流行病对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题显而易见。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌入网上。亚马逊 (AMZN) 和沃尔玛 (WMT) 等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>“Columbia Threadneedle Investments 零售分析师 Mari Shor 说：”投资者的情绪--尤其是短期对冲基金类型的投资者--对该集团的情绪刚刚变得非常负面。“我只是认为，投资者并没有真正给公司或消费者带来怀疑的好处”。</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔说，投资者的疑虑源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存下来。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会来关闭表现不佳的门店，并专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上变得更好，并将销售策略转变为随时随地瞄准消费者，无论是在线、移动还是店内。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司希望在连接数字和店内运营的同时推动增长的一个例子是，Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为 60 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。根据全国零售联合会的估计，这个假日季在线和其他非实体店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高位。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>“Global X 负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗-帕兰德拉尼（Pedro Palandrani）说：”我们认为，大流行病不仅加速了电子商务在全球的普及，还扩大了市场。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在其数字战略上投入了数亿美元，强调从数字体验到店内体验的平稳过渡，并采取了改进公司网站、实行店内退货和网上购物提货等举措。霍洛维茨说，大流行病的到来促使 Abercrombie 关闭了全球 130 家门店和 50% 的品牌旗舰店，使过去 10 年关闭的门店总数达到约 500 家，同时战略性地开设了几家重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”商店固然重要，但必须有合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济性。“如果你把它和数字技术结合在一起，那就等于神奇了”。</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B. Riley Securities 分析师苏珊·安德森 (Susan Anderson) 表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效方式，而且还可以作为在线取货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，甚至像Warby Parker（WRBY）这样的在线零售商也扩大了他们的实体存在，以适应购物者的偏好。“安德森说：”消费者希望随时随地购物。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。购物中心和实体店在精通数字的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>根据BHDP今年早些时候委托一家以零售为专长的设计公司对1000名购物者进行的调查，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁的购物者也回到了商场，试穿产品，使用店内促销，并进行退货。德勤美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯 (Rod Sides) 表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人口统计的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间战略的转变使许多零售商在今年重新开放购物中心和市中心时处于更有利的地位，购物者渴望打开他们的钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者意外地变得兴奋起来。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用的下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤（Deloitte）的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假日季比去年多花费 15%，平均每户花费 2624 美元，这在很大程度上推动了假日季的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>“穆迪分析公司（Moody's Analytics）首席经济学家马克-赞迪（Mark Zandi）说：”你有很多现金，而且有相当数量的需求被压抑。</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9 月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至 6250 亿美元，比 10 月份增长 0.7%，同比增长 13.9%。仅零售额就比 8 月份增长了 0.8%。“花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡-克拉克（Veronica Clark）说：”我们原本预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会总裁兼首席执行官马修·谢伊 (Matthew Shay) 在 10 月份的媒体吹风会上表示，零售商在进入假日季时比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测本季美国零售额将增长 7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品行业将出现显着增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商 Burberry Group (BRBY.UK) 上周表示，2022 财年上半年的可比销售额增长了 37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach 母公司 Tapestry (TPR) 公布的第一财季收益好于预期，上调了 2022 年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩说：“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地承受了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表”。Wolfe Research 看好 Nordstrom 和 Tapestry 等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“几乎所有美国消费者支出的主要驱动因素都青睐高端市场”。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，越来越多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai 商场交通统计数据显示，10 月份室内商场的客流量比 2019 年增长了 3%，室外商场的客流量增长了 5%，这也是商场商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团（SPG）的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>“华盛顿地区泰森斯角中心（Tysons Corner Center）高级营销经理林赛-佩塔克（Lindsay Petak）说：”随着越来越多的人全面接种疫苗，再加上由于供应链问题，许多人在即将到来的假期提前购物，自 7 月以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。该购物中心由 Macerich (MAC) 所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的库存上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金（XRT）上涨了85%，而标普500上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品 ETF (RCD) 今年的表现优于标普500 5 个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>“NRF 的 Shay 说：”我们已经看到，一旦经济重新开放，百货商店、服装和非必需品零售商就会真正反弹。“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店一直是节日期间的热门目的地......今年，百货商店仍然是人们购物的首选场所”。</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与网上商店有所不同，但它们会一直存在下去。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>零售业复兴是否具有长期可持续性尚未定论。零售商在远离常态的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更加具有投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>“杰富瑞（Jefferies）分析师珍妮-斯蒂奇特（Janine Stichter）说：”我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为现在整个行业有太多的复杂性。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度将表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“霍洛维茨说：”供应链问题是真实存在的。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在第二季度财报看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，预计对销售的影响不大，运费通胀的影响更大。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克说，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者提前开始购物--这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月可能会有所下降。“她说：”支出并不一定会减弱很多，只是几个月的分布情况有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter 表示，另一方面，低库存将赋予零售商更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修-福雷斯特（Matthew Forester）说，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“他说：”总体而言，美国经济显然正在放缓。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这也是很可能发生的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他说，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出欣喜若狂。他说，虽然下降可能并不 “可怕”，但与现在的消费者支出水平相比，仍将有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>然而，阿伯克龙比正在其实体店的帮助下度过逆风。该公司正计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单路由到商店，并与 Uber、Shipt 和 Postmates 合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司 American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) 最近宣布收购 Quiet Logistics，这是一家在市中心附近运营自动化配送中心的运营商，就在几周前，AirTerra 专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨说：”我们将继续努力。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商继续前进，末日预言者可能不得不推迟预言零售世界末日。目前，人们的情绪很明确：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又凉了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-14 08:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie &amp; Fitch 的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie's（股票代码：ANF）曾经是商场的主打产品，凭借鲜明、性感的广告和黑暗、充满香水的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在 2017 年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的持续下降给该品牌的未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的购物中心和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎又要夺走另一个受害者了。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但是在去葬礼的路上发生了一件令人惊讶的事情：阿伯克龙比享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨 (Fran Horowitz) 的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调其 Hollister 品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>在截至 7 月 31 日的第二财季中，该公司的收入同比增长了 24%，比大流行前的水平增长了 3%。随着购物者将现金涌回商店，其股价今年上涨了 120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨在接受采访时说：”品牌认知是一件很难扭转的事情，重建消费者的信任需要时间。<i>巴伦</i>. “因此，在 2021 年，我们很高兴地说，我们显然看到了所有这些辛勤工作的奇妙成果”。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅从深渊中挣脱出来，还利用大流行病带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌，销售额飙升，股价上涨，这得益于强劲的市场和消费者争先恐后地花掉大流行储蓄。许多大型商场零售商的股价都飙升，包括梅西百货（M）、诺德斯特龙（JWN）、著名鞋类母公司 Caleres（加州）和 Signet Jewelers（SIG），这些公司在过去 12 个月中都上涨了至少 100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会（National Retail Federation）的数据，消费者可支出 8510 亿美元，比去年创纪录的 7770 亿美元增长了 9.5%，是过去五年平均增长率 4.4% 的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售恢复正常之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意想不到的复兴，再次印证了不少品牌对实体店力量的信心。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们仍在继续大力押注实体未来。随着对实体店的投资继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>大流行病对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题显而易见。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌入网上。亚马逊 (AMZN) 和沃尔玛 (WMT) 等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>“Columbia Threadneedle Investments 零售分析师 Mari Shor 说：”投资者的情绪--尤其是短期对冲基金类型的投资者--对该集团的情绪刚刚变得非常负面。“我只是认为，投资者并没有真正给公司或消费者带来怀疑的好处”。</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔说，投资者的疑虑源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存下来。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会来关闭表现不佳的门店，并专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上变得更好，并将销售策略转变为随时随地瞄准消费者，无论是在线、移动还是店内。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司希望在连接数字和店内运营的同时推动增长的一个例子是，Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为 60 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。根据全国零售联合会的估计，这个假日季在线和其他非实体店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高位。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>“Global X 负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗-帕兰德拉尼（Pedro Palandrani）说：”我们认为，大流行病不仅加速了电子商务在全球的普及，还扩大了市场。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在其数字战略上投入了数亿美元，强调从数字体验到店内体验的平稳过渡，并采取了改进公司网站、实行店内退货和网上购物提货等举措。霍洛维茨说，大流行病的到来促使 Abercrombie 关闭了全球 130 家门店和 50% 的品牌旗舰店，使过去 10 年关闭的门店总数达到约 500 家，同时战略性地开设了几家重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”商店固然重要，但必须有合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济性。“如果你把它和数字技术结合在一起，那就等于神奇了”。</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B. Riley Securities 分析师苏珊·安德森 (Susan Anderson) 表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效方式，而且还可以作为在线取货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，甚至像Warby Parker（WRBY）这样的在线零售商也扩大了他们的实体存在，以适应购物者的偏好。“安德森说：”消费者希望随时随地购物。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。购物中心和实体店在精通数字的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>根据BHDP今年早些时候委托一家以零售为专长的设计公司对1000名购物者进行的调查，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁的购物者也回到了商场，试穿产品，使用店内促销，并进行退货。德勤美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯 (Rod Sides) 表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人口统计的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间战略的转变使许多零售商在今年重新开放购物中心和市中心时处于更有利的地位，购物者渴望打开他们的钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者意外地变得兴奋起来。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用的下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤（Deloitte）的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假日季比去年多花费 15%，平均每户花费 2624 美元，这在很大程度上推动了假日季的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>“穆迪分析公司（Moody's Analytics）首席经济学家马克-赞迪（Mark Zandi）说：”你有很多现金，而且有相当数量的需求被压抑。</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9 月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至 6250 亿美元，比 10 月份增长 0.7%，同比增长 13.9%。仅零售额就比 8 月份增长了 0.8%。“花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡-克拉克（Veronica Clark）说：”我们原本预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会总裁兼首席执行官马修·谢伊 (Matthew Shay) 在 10 月份的媒体吹风会上表示，零售商在进入假日季时比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测本季美国零售额将增长 7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品行业将出现显着增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商 Burberry Group (BRBY.UK) 上周表示，2022 财年上半年的可比销售额增长了 37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach 母公司 Tapestry (TPR) 公布的第一财季收益好于预期，上调了 2022 年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩说：“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地承受了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表”。Wolfe Research 看好 Nordstrom 和 Tapestry 等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“几乎所有美国消费者支出的主要驱动因素都青睐高端市场”。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，越来越多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai 商场交通统计数据显示，10 月份室内商场的客流量比 2019 年增长了 3%，室外商场的客流量增长了 5%，这也是商场商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团（SPG）的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>“华盛顿地区泰森斯角中心（Tysons Corner Center）高级营销经理林赛-佩塔克（Lindsay Petak）说：”随着越来越多的人全面接种疫苗，再加上由于供应链问题，许多人在即将到来的假期提前购物，自 7 月以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。该购物中心由 Macerich (MAC) 所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的库存上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金（XRT）上涨了85%，而标普500上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品 ETF (RCD) 今年的表现优于标普500 5 个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>“NRF 的 Shay 说：”我们已经看到，一旦经济重新开放，百货商店、服装和非必需品零售商就会真正反弹。“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店一直是节日期间的热门目的地......今年，百货商店仍然是人们购物的首选场所”。</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与网上商店有所不同，但它们会一直存在下去。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>零售业复兴是否具有长期可持续性尚未定论。零售商在远离常态的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更加具有投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>“杰富瑞（Jefferies）分析师珍妮-斯蒂奇特（Janine Stichter）说：”我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为现在整个行业有太多的复杂性。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度将表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“霍洛维茨说：”供应链问题是真实存在的。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在第二季度财报看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，预计对销售的影响不大，运费通胀的影响更大。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克说，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者提前开始购物--这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月可能会有所下降。“她说：”支出并不一定会减弱很多，只是几个月的分布情况有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter 表示，另一方面，低库存将赋予零售商更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修-福雷斯特（Matthew Forester）说，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“他说：”总体而言，美国经济显然正在放缓。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这也是很可能发生的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他说，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出欣喜若狂。他说，虽然下降可能并不 “可怕”，但与现在的消费者支出水平相比，仍将有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>然而，阿伯克龙比正在其实体店的帮助下度过逆风。该公司正计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单路由到商店，并与 Uber、Shipt 和 Postmates 合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司 American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) 最近宣布收购 Quiet Logistics，这是一家在市中心附近运营自动化配送中心的运营商，就在几周前，AirTerra 专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨说：”我们将继续努力。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商继续前进，末日预言者可能不得不推迟预言零售世界末日。目前，人们的情绪很明确：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又凉了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RCD":"READY CAPITAL CORPORATION 9.00% SENIOR NOTES DUE 2029","JWN":"诺德斯特龙","TPR":"Tapestry Inc.","WMT":"沃尔玛","BBRYF":"Burberry Group Plc","ANF":"爱芬奇","M":"梅西百货","AMZN":"亚马逊","CAL":"Caleres鞋业","SIG":"西格内特珠宝","BRBY.UK":"巴宝莉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159096163","content_text":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.\nThe retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.\nBut something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.\nRevenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.\n“Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with Barron’s. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”\nAbercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.\nBrands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including Macy’s (M),Nordstrom (JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres (CAL), and Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.\nThese companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.\nNo one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.\nBut the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.\nWealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.\nThe pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as Amazon.com (AMZN) and Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.\n“The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”\nShor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.\nBut the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.\nIn one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.\nSuch approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.\n“We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.\nAbercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.\n“Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”\nNot only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.\nThat behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.\nAccording to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.\nThe shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.\nDuring the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.\n“You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.\nRetail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.\nRetailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly Mastercard spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.\nLuxury retailer Burberry Group (BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And Tapestry (TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.\nSome analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”\nMeanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.\n“With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.\nAll of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the SPDR S&P Retail exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&P 500 rose 33%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.\n“We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”\nAll that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.\nThe verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.\n“I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.\nCompanies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.\nAbercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.\nTo ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.\nOn the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.\nWhatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”\nThe economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.\nAbercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.\nOther retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.\n“We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.\nAs retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRBY.UK":0.9,"RCD":0.9,"M":0.9,"JWN":0.9,"TPR":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"BBRYF":0.9,"CAL":0.9,"ANF":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"SIG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":834547403,"gmtCreate":1629815851302,"gmtModify":1631891577534,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow!","listText":"wow!","text":"wow!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834547403","repostId":"1118949007","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118949007","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629815206,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1118949007?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 22:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high<blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨 1.3% 创新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118949007","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high.\n\nBy and large, investors know Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) as the ","content":"<p>Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨1.3%，创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab79065de74f4b0228bb6a8dd5a1ec02\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> By and large, investors know Alphabet Inc. (<b>GOOGL</b>) as the parent company of the search engine that everybody and their uncle uses: Google. I am definitely bullish on GOOGL stock.</p><p><blockquote>总的来说，投资者了解Alphabet公司（<b>GOOGL</b>）作为每个人和他们叔叔使用的搜索引擎的母公司：谷歌。我绝对看好GOOGL股票。</blockquote></p><p> Amazingly, the Google search portal is so famous that in the popular lexicon, “Google” is both a noun and a verb.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，谷歌搜索门户网站如此有名，以至于在流行词典中，“谷歌 ”既是名词又是动词。</blockquote></p><p> It’s perfectly fine to invest in GOOGL stock because so many people use the company’s search engine. However, stock traders might also choose to look at other angles when considering an investment.</p><p><blockquote>投资GOOGL股票完全没问题，因为很多人都在使用该公司的搜索引擎。然而，股票交易者在考虑投资时也可能选择从其他角度来看。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ll see, the stock could actually be considered a bargain. Moreover, Google’s products give customers what they want: the latest in cutting-edge communications technology.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们将看到的，这只股票实际上可以被认为是一个便宜货。此外，谷歌的产品还能满足客户的需求：最新的尖端通信技术。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Quick Look at GOOGL Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>快速浏览GOOGL股票</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, it might seem ridiculous to say that GOOGL stock is cheap. After all, this is a stock that costs nearly $3,000 per share.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，说GOOGL股票便宜似乎很荒谬。毕竟，这是一只每股成本近 3,000 美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, GOOGL stock reached a new 52-week high of $2,817.49 on Monday. It has steadily gone up over the past year, with hardly any breaks or corrections.</p><p><blockquote>此外，GOOGL股价周一触及 2,817.49 美元的 52 周新高。在过去的一年里，它一直在稳步上升，几乎没有任何中断或修正。</blockquote></p><p> That should be fine for momentum-focused traders, but value-oriented investors might think that GOOGL stock is too expensive to buy now.</p><p><blockquote>这对于注重动量的交易者来说应该没问题，但价值导向的投资者可能会认为现在购买GOOGL股票太贵了。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, let’s consider a different angle. If the company’s earnings are robust, then the high price tag of the stock might be fully justified.</p><p><blockquote>然而，让我们考虑一个不同的角度。如果公司盈利强劲，那么该股的高价标签可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> As it turns out, Alphabet’s trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 30.5. That’s not too bad, especially for a technology stock in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，Alphabet过去 12 个月的市盈率为 30.5。这还不算太糟，尤其是对于 2021 年的科技股来说。</blockquote></p><p> So, just maybe, GOOGL stock is still a bargain after all.</p><p><blockquote>所以，也许，GOOGL股票毕竟仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Meet the New Google Meet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>认识新的Google Meet</b></blockquote></p><p> If you’re going to take away anything from this, it should be that there’s more to Google than its search engine.</p><p><blockquote>如果你想从中得到什么，那应该是谷歌不仅仅是它的搜索引擎。</blockquote></p><p> One example would be Google Meet, the company’s video-conferencing software.</p><p><blockquote>Google Meet 就是一个例子，该公司的视频会议软件。</blockquote></p><p> Without a doubt, Google would like to capture a bigger share of the visual-communication software market.<i>Fortune Business Insights</i>reported that this market was worth $5.77 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，谷歌希望在视觉传播软件市场占据更大的份额。<i>《财富》商业洞察</i>据报道，2020年该市场价值57.7亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, this market is projected to reach $6.28 billion in 2021, and $12.99 billion in 2028, thereby exhibiting a CAGR of 10.9% from 2021 to 2028.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该市场预计将在2021年达到62.8亿美元，在2028年达到129.9亿美元，从而从2021年到2028年表现出10.9%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> Google Meet’s new features should help the company take a bigger slice of this rich pie.</p><p><blockquote>Google Meet 的新功能将有助于该公司在这块丰厚的蛋糕中分得更大的一杯羹。</blockquote></p><p> The new features include the ability to add up to 25 co-hosts for meetings. Furthermore, hosts and co-hosts will be able to limit the number of users who can share screens, send messages, and mute others.</p><p><blockquote>新功能包括能够为会议添加多达25个共同主持人。此外，主机和共同主机将能够限制可以共享屏幕、发送消息和静音其他人的用户数量。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Affordable Smartphone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格实惠的智能手机</b></blockquote></p><p> Let’s face it: not everyone is ready to buy a $1,200 smartphone.</p><p><blockquote>让我们面对现实吧： 并不是每个人都准备好购买 1200 美元的智能手机。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, people want high quality. Now, with the launch of the Google Pixel 5a, shoppers don’t have to compromise quality or affordability.</p><p><blockquote>同时，人们想要高质量。现在，随着谷歌 Pixel 5a 的推出，购物者不必在质量或价格上做出妥协。</blockquote></p><p> Granted, Google already unveiled its Pixel 6 and Pixel Pro smartphones, but those are high-end and pricier. There’s a market for lower-priced smartphones, and Google is aggressively pursuing this market with the Pixel 5a.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，谷歌已经推出了Pixel 6和Pixel Pro智能手机，但这些都是高端的，价格也更高。低价智能手机有市场，谷歌正通过 Pixel 5a 积极开拓这一市场。</blockquote></p><p> We’re talking about a $449 price tag, which is less than half the price of the most expensive smartphones on the market today.</p><p><blockquote>我们说的是 449 美元的标价，不到当今市场上最昂贵智能手机价格的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the phone’s features include 5G functionality, a dual-camera system, and IP67 water and dust resistance.</p><p><blockquote>这款手机的一些功能包括 5G 功能、双摄像头系统以及 IP67 防水防尘。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street Weighs In</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街参与其中</b></blockquote></p><p> According to TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, GOOGL is a Strong Buy, based on 29 unanimous Buy ratings. The&nbsp;average Alphabet price target&nbsp;is $3,176.18, implying 13.4% upside potential.</p><p><blockquote>根据 TipRanks 的分析师评级共识，基于 29 个一致买入评级，GOOGL为强力买入。Alphabet平均目标价为 3,176.18 美元，意味着 13.4% 的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28be6712f40ae45fa1c1ca53a6200ce0\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"580\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> </p><p> <b>Takeaways</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> While GOOGL stock might seem expensive — and there’s no denying that it’s pricey — a valuation analysis reveals that it’s also a pretty good bargain.</p><p><blockquote>虽然GOOGL的股票看起来很贵--不可否认它很贵--但估值分析表明，它也很划算。</blockquote></p><p> Just as importantly, Alphabet shouldn’t be pigeonholed as just a search-engine provider.</p><p><blockquote>同样重要的是，Alphabet不应仅仅被归类为搜索引擎提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The company is expanding quickly into other value-added markets with intriguing products and services, which prospective investors should take into consideration.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在通过有趣的产品和服务迅速扩展到其他增值市场，潜在投资者应该考虑这一点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high<blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨 1.3% 创新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high<blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨 1.3% 创新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-24 22:26</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨1.3%，创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab79065de74f4b0228bb6a8dd5a1ec02\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> By and large, investors know Alphabet Inc. (<b>GOOGL</b>) as the parent company of the search engine that everybody and their uncle uses: Google. I am definitely bullish on GOOGL stock.</p><p><blockquote>总的来说，投资者了解Alphabet公司（<b>GOOGL</b>）作为每个人和他们叔叔使用的搜索引擎的母公司：谷歌。我绝对看好GOOGL股票。</blockquote></p><p> Amazingly, the Google search portal is so famous that in the popular lexicon, “Google” is both a noun and a verb.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，谷歌搜索门户网站如此有名，以至于在流行词典中，“谷歌 ”既是名词又是动词。</blockquote></p><p> It’s perfectly fine to invest in GOOGL stock because so many people use the company’s search engine. However, stock traders might also choose to look at other angles when considering an investment.</p><p><blockquote>投资GOOGL股票完全没问题，因为很多人都在使用该公司的搜索引擎。然而，股票交易者在考虑投资时也可能选择从其他角度来看。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ll see, the stock could actually be considered a bargain. Moreover, Google’s products give customers what they want: the latest in cutting-edge communications technology.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们将看到的，这只股票实际上可以被认为是一个便宜货。此外，谷歌的产品还能满足客户的需求：最新的尖端通信技术。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Quick Look at GOOGL Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>快速浏览GOOGL股票</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, it might seem ridiculous to say that GOOGL stock is cheap. After all, this is a stock that costs nearly $3,000 per share.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，说GOOGL股票便宜似乎很荒谬。毕竟，这是一只每股成本近 3,000 美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, GOOGL stock reached a new 52-week high of $2,817.49 on Monday. It has steadily gone up over the past year, with hardly any breaks or corrections.</p><p><blockquote>此外，GOOGL股价周一触及 2,817.49 美元的 52 周新高。在过去的一年里，它一直在稳步上升，几乎没有任何中断或修正。</blockquote></p><p> That should be fine for momentum-focused traders, but value-oriented investors might think that GOOGL stock is too expensive to buy now.</p><p><blockquote>这对于注重动量的交易者来说应该没问题，但价值导向的投资者可能会认为现在购买GOOGL股票太贵了。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, let’s consider a different angle. If the company’s earnings are robust, then the high price tag of the stock might be fully justified.</p><p><blockquote>然而，让我们考虑一个不同的角度。如果公司盈利强劲，那么该股的高价标签可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> As it turns out, Alphabet’s trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 30.5. That’s not too bad, especially for a technology stock in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，Alphabet过去 12 个月的市盈率为 30.5。这还不算太糟，尤其是对于 2021 年的科技股来说。</blockquote></p><p> So, just maybe, GOOGL stock is still a bargain after all.</p><p><blockquote>所以，也许，GOOGL股票毕竟仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Meet the New Google Meet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>认识新的Google Meet</b></blockquote></p><p> If you’re going to take away anything from this, it should be that there’s more to Google than its search engine.</p><p><blockquote>如果你想从中得到什么，那应该是谷歌不仅仅是它的搜索引擎。</blockquote></p><p> One example would be Google Meet, the company’s video-conferencing software.</p><p><blockquote>Google Meet 就是一个例子，该公司的视频会议软件。</blockquote></p><p> Without a doubt, Google would like to capture a bigger share of the visual-communication software market.<i>Fortune Business Insights</i>reported that this market was worth $5.77 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，谷歌希望在视觉传播软件市场占据更大的份额。<i>《财富》商业洞察</i>据报道，2020年该市场价值57.7亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, this market is projected to reach $6.28 billion in 2021, and $12.99 billion in 2028, thereby exhibiting a CAGR of 10.9% from 2021 to 2028.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该市场预计将在2021年达到62.8亿美元，在2028年达到129.9亿美元，从而从2021年到2028年表现出10.9%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> Google Meet’s new features should help the company take a bigger slice of this rich pie.</p><p><blockquote>Google Meet 的新功能将有助于该公司在这块丰厚的蛋糕中分得更大的一杯羹。</blockquote></p><p> The new features include the ability to add up to 25 co-hosts for meetings. Furthermore, hosts and co-hosts will be able to limit the number of users who can share screens, send messages, and mute others.</p><p><blockquote>新功能包括能够为会议添加多达25个共同主持人。此外，主机和共同主机将能够限制可以共享屏幕、发送消息和静音其他人的用户数量。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Affordable Smartphone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格实惠的智能手机</b></blockquote></p><p> Let’s face it: not everyone is ready to buy a $1,200 smartphone.</p><p><blockquote>让我们面对现实吧： 并不是每个人都准备好购买 1200 美元的智能手机。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, people want high quality. Now, with the launch of the Google Pixel 5a, shoppers don’t have to compromise quality or affordability.</p><p><blockquote>同时，人们想要高质量。现在，随着谷歌 Pixel 5a 的推出，购物者不必在质量或价格上做出妥协。</blockquote></p><p> Granted, Google already unveiled its Pixel 6 and Pixel Pro smartphones, but those are high-end and pricier. There’s a market for lower-priced smartphones, and Google is aggressively pursuing this market with the Pixel 5a.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，谷歌已经推出了Pixel 6和Pixel Pro智能手机，但这些都是高端的，价格也更高。低价智能手机有市场，谷歌正通过 Pixel 5a 积极开拓这一市场。</blockquote></p><p> We’re talking about a $449 price tag, which is less than half the price of the most expensive smartphones on the market today.</p><p><blockquote>我们说的是 449 美元的标价，不到当今市场上最昂贵智能手机价格的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the phone’s features include 5G functionality, a dual-camera system, and IP67 water and dust resistance.</p><p><blockquote>这款手机的一些功能包括 5G 功能、双摄像头系统以及 IP67 防水防尘。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street Weighs In</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街参与其中</b></blockquote></p><p> According to TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, GOOGL is a Strong Buy, based on 29 unanimous Buy ratings. The&nbsp;average Alphabet price target&nbsp;is $3,176.18, implying 13.4% upside potential.</p><p><blockquote>根据 TipRanks 的分析师评级共识，基于 29 个一致买入评级，GOOGL为强力买入。Alphabet平均目标价为 3,176.18 美元，意味着 13.4% 的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28be6712f40ae45fa1c1ca53a6200ce0\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"580\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> </p><p> <b>Takeaways</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> While GOOGL stock might seem expensive — and there’s no denying that it’s pricey — a valuation analysis reveals that it’s also a pretty good bargain.</p><p><blockquote>虽然GOOGL的股票看起来很贵--不可否认它很贵--但估值分析表明，它也很划算。</blockquote></p><p> Just as importantly, Alphabet shouldn’t be pigeonholed as just a search-engine provider.</p><p><blockquote>同样重要的是，Alphabet不应仅仅被归类为搜索引擎提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The company is expanding quickly into other value-added markets with intriguing products and services, which prospective investors should take into consideration.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在通过有趣的产品和服务迅速扩展到其他增值市场，潜在投资者应该考虑这一点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118949007","content_text":"Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high.\n\nBy and large, investors know Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) as the parent company of the search engine that everybody and their uncle uses: Google. I am definitely bullish on GOOGL stock.\nAmazingly, the Google search portal is so famous that in the popular lexicon, “Google” is both a noun and a verb.\nIt’s perfectly fine to invest in GOOGL stock because so many people use the company’s search engine. However, stock traders might also choose to look at other angles when considering an investment.\nAs we’ll see, the stock could actually be considered a bargain. Moreover, Google’s products give customers what they want: the latest in cutting-edge communications technology.\nA Quick Look at GOOGL Stock\nAt first glance, it might seem ridiculous to say that GOOGL stock is cheap. After all, this is a stock that costs nearly $3,000 per share.\nMoreover, GOOGL stock reached a new 52-week high of $2,817.49 on Monday. It has steadily gone up over the past year, with hardly any breaks or corrections.\nThat should be fine for momentum-focused traders, but value-oriented investors might think that GOOGL stock is too expensive to buy now.\nYet, let’s consider a different angle. If the company’s earnings are robust, then the high price tag of the stock might be fully justified.\nAs it turns out, Alphabet’s trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 30.5. That’s not too bad, especially for a technology stock in 2021.\nSo, just maybe, GOOGL stock is still a bargain after all.\nMeet the New Google Meet\nIf you’re going to take away anything from this, it should be that there’s more to Google than its search engine.\nOne example would be Google Meet, the company’s video-conferencing software.\nWithout a doubt, Google would like to capture a bigger share of the visual-communication software market.Fortune Business Insightsreported that this market was worth $5.77 billion in 2020.\nFurthermore, this market is projected to reach $6.28 billion in 2021, and $12.99 billion in 2028, thereby exhibiting a CAGR of 10.9% from 2021 to 2028.\nGoogle Meet’s new features should help the company take a bigger slice of this rich pie.\nThe new features include the ability to add up to 25 co-hosts for meetings. Furthermore, hosts and co-hosts will be able to limit the number of users who can share screens, send messages, and mute others.\nAn Affordable Smartphone\nLet’s face it: not everyone is ready to buy a $1,200 smartphone.\nAt the same time, people want high quality. Now, with the launch of the Google Pixel 5a, shoppers don’t have to compromise quality or affordability.\nGranted, Google already unveiled its Pixel 6 and Pixel Pro smartphones, but those are high-end and pricier. There’s a market for lower-priced smartphones, and Google is aggressively pursuing this market with the Pixel 5a.\nWe’re talking about a $449 price tag, which is less than half the price of the most expensive smartphones on the market today.\nSome of the phone’s features include 5G functionality, a dual-camera system, and IP67 water and dust resistance.\nWall Street Weighs In\nAccording to TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, GOOGL is a Strong Buy, based on 29 unanimous Buy ratings. The average Alphabet price target is $3,176.18, implying 13.4% upside potential.\n\n\n\nTakeaways\nWhile GOOGL stock might seem expensive — and there’s no denying that it’s pricey — a valuation analysis reveals that it’s also a pretty good bargain.\nJust as importantly, Alphabet shouldn’t be pigeonholed as just a search-engine provider.\nThe company is expanding quickly into other value-added markets with intriguing products and services, which prospective investors should take into consideration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802203235,"gmtCreate":1627780252527,"gmtModify":1633756509237,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"buy amazon 😁","listText":"buy amazon 😁","text":"buy amazon 😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802203235","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152262217,"gmtCreate":1625298309739,"gmtModify":1633941611587,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"prices too high now! 😬","listText":"prices too high now! 😬","text":"prices too high now! 😬","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152262217","repostId":"1140994998","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":874065223,"gmtCreate":1637713261718,"gmtModify":1637713261883,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"😰","listText":"😰","text":"😰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874065223","repostId":"2185336565","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821800223,"gmtCreate":1633712004110,"gmtModify":1633712004591,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good read!","listText":"good read!","text":"good read!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821800223","repostId":"1133780035","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133780035","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633704297,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1133780035?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 22:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133780035","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a litt","content":"<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买力指向零售股。</b>没有什么比十月份的小幅动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但不要让他们的消极情绪影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得持有的行业之一中值得考虑的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详情和链接见下文），以便对市场做出逆向 “评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其消极，但本周的跌幅足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的反向信号。(在我的书中，他们的负面情绪是一个看涨信号，但这并不意味着我认为他们很密集。只是备受瞩目的媒体评论员是共识的海绵。这是一种职业危害--作为投资者，我们可以利用这种危害。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体头条，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最弱的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，在这个黯淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的 1 月至 5 月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从 10 月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11 月和 12 月可能会表现强劲。这项工作将于十月底完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>病例数和住院人数急剧下降已不是什么秘密。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季新冠流感季节。因此，期待今年也会发生同样的事情并不算太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有接种过疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.更正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>进入夏季以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动调整。Russell 2000RUT,+0.14% 8 月份下跌超过 10%，这是修正的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。Charles SchwabSCHW 首席投资策略师 Liz Ann Sonders 指出，截至 10 月初，90% 或更多的标准普尔 500SPX（-0.05%）和纳斯达克 COMP（-0.28%）股票已较 2021 年高点下跌至少 10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当每个人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。市场大部分时间都有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 家庭形成强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于要放弃父母的地下室了--如果这种陈词滥调有什么道理的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>真相：他们正进入结婚和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，因此他们有足够的信心投入购房。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万家庭形成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满那些新房子。这是一个内在的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者受到惊吓、锁定和加载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group 经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源随时准备推动增长。一个是上面提到的家庭形成。另一个原因是公司库存水平低——它们不得不大量补充库存。但对我来说，最大的是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线：消费者害怕了。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数的衡量，8 月份消费者信心处于疫情开始以来的最低水平。九月份有所上涨，但仍然很低。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是长期平均水平（约 6%-7%）的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要误以为只是富人因为股市而变得更富有。房子也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比是1985年以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”消费者感到害怕，并充满了未开发的购买力。“他说：”这种悲观的心态加上过剩的购买力，在历史上产生了稳健的市场涨幅，很少出现下跌。“这一比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我说选择零售股。他们的表现一直不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将 Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74% 视为一家拥有护城河并以折扣价交易的零售商。这家身体护理和家居香水零售商获得了四星级评级，因为其股票交易远低于晨星公司对该公司 79 美元的 “公允价值 ”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师 Jaime Katz 列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领先地位以及 30% 的平均投资资本回报率，远高于 8% 的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX (+1.83%) 的投资组合经理 Eric Marshall 看好服装零售商 American Eagle OutfittersAEO (0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌超过 35%。该公司第二季度营收创历史新高，达到11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的 Aerie 品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过 2 美元，这使得 American Eagle 股票的预期市盈率约为 13 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一只热手。根据晨星公司的数据，他的霍奇斯小型股基金今年上涨了 31%，比其小型混合类别和罗素 2000 指数基准高出 12 至 18 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢销售运动和户外休闲用品的 Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的疫情销售帮助该公司摆脱了高债务水平。分析师担心受疫情影响的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对 Amazon.comAMZN（0.03%）和 WalmartWMT（0.03%）的实力感到敬畏，但 Motley Fool 零售行业分析师 Asit Sharma 更青睐那些掌握了 “直接面向消费者 ”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合，包括在店内提取网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>“夏尔马说：”零售业常年名声不好，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在夺走所有实体店。但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供了出色的店内体验和两大零售巨头无法真正提供的独特产品。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma 引用了 Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢公司在面料方面投入研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>Sharma 还青睐 Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮料用具”和户外设备。对于市值较大的公司，可以考虑广受欢迎的零售巨头 TargetTGT，-0.24%，因为它采用了 “一站式 ”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 22:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买力指向零售股。</b>没有什么比十月份的小幅动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但不要让他们的消极情绪影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得持有的行业之一中值得考虑的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详情和链接见下文），以便对市场做出逆向 “评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其消极，但本周的跌幅足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的反向信号。(在我的书中，他们的负面情绪是一个看涨信号，但这并不意味着我认为他们很密集。只是备受瞩目的媒体评论员是共识的海绵。这是一种职业危害--作为投资者，我们可以利用这种危害。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体头条，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最弱的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，在这个黯淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的 1 月至 5 月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从 10 月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11 月和 12 月可能会表现强劲。这项工作将于十月底完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>病例数和住院人数急剧下降已不是什么秘密。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季新冠流感季节。因此，期待今年也会发生同样的事情并不算太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有接种过疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.更正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>进入夏季以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动调整。Russell 2000RUT,+0.14% 8 月份下跌超过 10%，这是修正的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。Charles SchwabSCHW 首席投资策略师 Liz Ann Sonders 指出，截至 10 月初，90% 或更多的标准普尔 500SPX（-0.05%）和纳斯达克 COMP（-0.28%）股票已较 2021 年高点下跌至少 10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当每个人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。市场大部分时间都有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 家庭形成强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于要放弃父母的地下室了--如果这种陈词滥调有什么道理的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>真相：他们正进入结婚和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，因此他们有足够的信心投入购房。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万家庭形成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满那些新房子。这是一个内在的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者受到惊吓、锁定和加载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group 经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源随时准备推动增长。一个是上面提到的家庭形成。另一个原因是公司库存水平低——它们不得不大量补充库存。但对我来说，最大的是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线：消费者害怕了。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数的衡量，8 月份消费者信心处于疫情开始以来的最低水平。九月份有所上涨，但仍然很低。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是长期平均水平（约 6%-7%）的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要误以为只是富人因为股市而变得更富有。房子也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比是1985年以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”消费者感到害怕，并充满了未开发的购买力。“他说：”这种悲观的心态加上过剩的购买力，在历史上产生了稳健的市场涨幅，很少出现下跌。“这一比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我说选择零售股。他们的表现一直不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将 Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74% 视为一家拥有护城河并以折扣价交易的零售商。这家身体护理和家居香水零售商获得了四星级评级，因为其股票交易远低于晨星公司对该公司 79 美元的 “公允价值 ”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师 Jaime Katz 列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领先地位以及 30% 的平均投资资本回报率，远高于 8% 的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX (+1.83%) 的投资组合经理 Eric Marshall 看好服装零售商 American Eagle OutfittersAEO (0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌超过 35%。该公司第二季度营收创历史新高，达到11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的 Aerie 品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过 2 美元，这使得 American Eagle 股票的预期市盈率约为 13 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一只热手。根据晨星公司的数据，他的霍奇斯小型股基金今年上涨了 31%，比其小型混合类别和罗素 2000 指数基准高出 12 至 18 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢销售运动和户外休闲用品的 Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的疫情销售帮助该公司摆脱了高债务水平。分析师担心受疫情影响的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对 Amazon.comAMZN（0.03%）和 WalmartWMT（0.03%）的实力感到敬畏，但 Motley Fool 零售行业分析师 Asit Sharma 更青睐那些掌握了 “直接面向消费者 ”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合，包括在店内提取网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>“夏尔马说：”零售业常年名声不好，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在夺走所有实体店。但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供了出色的店内体验和两大零售巨头无法真正提供的独特产品。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma 引用了 Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢公司在面料方面投入研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>Sharma 还青睐 Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮料用具”和户外设备。对于市值较大的公司，可以考虑广受欢迎的零售巨头 TargetTGT，-0.24%，因为它采用了 “一站式 ”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133780035","content_text":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.\nBut don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.\n1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough\nI regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.\nIt’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.\nPick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.\n2. Seasonality is in our favor\nThe worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.\n3. COVID is rolling over\nIt’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.\n4. A correction may have already happened\nSince the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.\nIn other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.\n5. There’s been strong household formation\nMillennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.\nWhat is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.\nThe upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.\n6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded\nThere are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.\nThe bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.\nNow a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.\nAt the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.\nDon’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.\n“Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”\nStocks to buy\nSince the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.\nMorningstar cites Bath & Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.\nAs for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.\nEric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.\nThe core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.\nMarshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.\nMarshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.\nWhile many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.\n“The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.\nHere, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.\nSharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867956343,"gmtCreate":1633191268245,"gmtModify":1633191268729,"author":{"id":"3576893887863470","authorId":"3576893887863470","name":"LeviStrauss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee679917ab40e40a706e287fc3464da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576893887863470","authorIdStr":"3576893887863470"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow!","listText":"wow!","text":"wow!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867956343","repostId":"2172618769","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}