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2021-12-23

Wow

Canopy Growth Stock Is Downgraded Again, This Time on ‘Execution Challenges’<blockquote>Canopy Growth 股票再次被下调评级，这次是因为 “执行挑战”</blockquote>

2021-12-23

Ttm

Netflix Stock: Why It Might Outperform Rivals in 2022<blockquote>Netflix 股票：为什么它可能在 2022 年跑赢竞争对手</blockquote>

2021-12-18

Wow

Why Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson Fell on Friday<blockquote>为什么辉瑞和强生公司周五下跌</blockquote>

2021-12-18

Wow

Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>

2021-11-09

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$to the moon?

2021-11-07

Wow

@Yonny:Rivian is a better buy than Lucid, IMO

2021-11-05

$UiPath(PATH)$great potential !

2021-11-01

$Paysafe Ltd(PSFE)$yay or nay?

2021-10-25

$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$long term potential?

2021-06-18

👍🏽

Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>

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13:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Canopy Growth Stock Is Downgraded Again, This Time on ‘Execution Challenges’<blockquote>Canopy Growth 股票再次被下调评级，这次是因为 “执行挑战”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103220602","media":"Barrons","summary":"Canopy Growth was downgraded at BofA Securities with the analysts noting “execution challenges and a","content":"<p>Canopy Growth&nbsp;was downgraded at BofA Securities with the analysts noting “execution challenges and a tough Canadian&nbsp;operating environment.”</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券（BofA Securities）下调了 Canopy Growth 的评级，分析师指出 “执行挑战和加拿大严峻的经营环境”。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst Lisa Lewandowski wrote in a note Wednesday that she sees “long-term potential for the legal cannabis industry driven by U.S. federal legalization and changing attitudes toward cannabis consumption,” but was downgrading the stock of Canopy Growth (ticker: CGC) to Underperform from Neutral.</p><p><blockquote>分析师丽莎-莱万多夫斯基（Lisa Lewandowski）在周三的一份报告中写道，她认为 “在美国联邦合法化和对大麻消费态度的改变的推动下，合法大麻行业具有长期潜力”，但将 Canopy Growth（股票代码：CGC）的股票评级从中性下调至表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> U.S.-listed shares of the Canadian cannabis company fell 3% to $9.37. The stock has declined 62% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这家加拿大大麻公司在美国上市的股价下跌 3%，至 9.37 美元。该股2021年已下跌62%。</blockquote></p><p> Lewandowski said Canopy Growth’s relationship with&nbsp;Constellation Brands&nbsp;(STZ) was a plus, but the company “has shown&nbsp;mixed progress on key performance metrics, is&nbsp;confronted&nbsp;with&nbsp;a rapidly&nbsp;evolving&nbsp;Canadian market with new entrants taking&nbsp;market&nbsp;share&nbsp;and changing consumer tastes,&nbsp;lackluster industry growth&nbsp;even with&nbsp;new stores&nbsp;opening and&nbsp;limited visibility for&nbsp;profitability.”</p><p><blockquote>莱万多夫斯基说，Canopy Growth 与 Constellation Brands (STZ) 的关系是一个优势，但该公司 “在关键绩效指标上进展不一，面临着快速发展的加拿大市场，新进入者抢占市场份额，消费者口味不断变化，即使新店开业，行业增长也乏善可陈，盈利能力的可见度有限”。</blockquote></p><p> Constellation Brands owns a 36% stake in Canopy Growth, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>据 FactSet 称，Constellation Brands 拥有 Canopy Growth 36% 的股份。</blockquote></p><p> Recent management changes at the company and the planned sale of C3, a German pharmaceutical company, were efforts at Canopy Growth that “will take time to show results,” the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师说，Canopy Growth 最近的管理层变动以及计划出售德国制药公司 C3，这些都是 Canopy Growth 的努力 “需要时间才能看到成效”。</blockquote></p><p> BofA reduced its price target on U.S. shares to $7.94&nbsp;from&nbsp;$15.15.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行将美股目标价从 15.15 美元下调至 7.94 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Canopy Growth Stock Is Downgraded Again, This Time on ‘Execution Challenges’<blockquote>Canopy Growth 股票再次被下调评级，这次是因为 “执行挑战”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCanopy Growth Stock Is Downgraded Again, This Time on ‘Execution Challenges’<blockquote>Canopy Growth 股票再次被下调评级，这次是因为 “执行挑战”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 13:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Canopy Growth&nbsp;was downgraded at BofA Securities with the analysts noting “execution challenges and a tough Canadian&nbsp;operating environment.”</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券（BofA Securities）下调了 Canopy Growth 的评级，分析师指出 “执行挑战和加拿大严峻的经营环境”。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst Lisa Lewandowski wrote in a note Wednesday that she sees “long-term potential for the legal cannabis industry driven by U.S. federal legalization and changing attitudes toward cannabis consumption,” but was downgrading the stock of Canopy Growth (ticker: CGC) to Underperform from Neutral.</p><p><blockquote>分析师丽莎-莱万多夫斯基（Lisa Lewandowski）在周三的一份报告中写道，她认为 “在美国联邦合法化和对大麻消费态度的改变的推动下，合法大麻行业具有长期潜力”，但将 Canopy Growth（股票代码：CGC）的股票评级从中性下调至表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> U.S.-listed shares of the Canadian cannabis company fell 3% to $9.37. The stock has declined 62% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这家加拿大大麻公司在美国上市的股价下跌 3%，至 9.37 美元。该股2021年已下跌62%。</blockquote></p><p> Lewandowski said Canopy Growth’s relationship with&nbsp;Constellation Brands&nbsp;(STZ) was a plus, but the company “has shown&nbsp;mixed progress on key performance metrics, is&nbsp;confronted&nbsp;with&nbsp;a rapidly&nbsp;evolving&nbsp;Canadian market with new entrants taking&nbsp;market&nbsp;share&nbsp;and changing consumer tastes,&nbsp;lackluster industry growth&nbsp;even with&nbsp;new stores&nbsp;opening and&nbsp;limited visibility for&nbsp;profitability.”</p><p><blockquote>莱万多夫斯基说，Canopy Growth 与 Constellation Brands (STZ) 的关系是一个优势，但该公司 “在关键绩效指标上进展不一，面临着快速发展的加拿大市场，新进入者抢占市场份额，消费者口味不断变化，即使新店开业，行业增长也乏善可陈，盈利能力的可见度有限”。</blockquote></p><p> Constellation Brands owns a 36% stake in Canopy Growth, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>据 FactSet 称，Constellation Brands 拥有 Canopy Growth 36% 的股份。</blockquote></p><p> Recent management changes at the company and the planned sale of C3, a German pharmaceutical company, were efforts at Canopy Growth that “will take time to show results,” the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师说，Canopy Growth 最近的管理层变动以及计划出售德国制药公司 C3，这些都是 Canopy Growth 的努力 “需要时间才能看到成效”。</blockquote></p><p> BofA reduced its price target on U.S. shares to $7.94&nbsp;from&nbsp;$15.15.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行将美股目标价从 15.15 美元下调至 7.94 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/canopy-growth-cgc-stock-downgrade-cannabis-51640192812?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/canopy-growth-cgc-stock-downgrade-cannabis-51640192812?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103220602","content_text":"Canopy Growth was downgraded at BofA Securities with the analysts noting “execution challenges and a tough Canadian operating environment.”\nAnalyst Lisa Lewandowski wrote in a note Wednesday that she sees “long-term potential for the legal cannabis industry driven by U.S. federal legalization and changing attitudes toward cannabis consumption,” but was downgrading the stock of Canopy Growth (ticker: CGC) to Underperform from Neutral.\nU.S.-listed shares of the Canadian cannabis company fell 3% to $9.37. The stock has declined 62% in 2021.\nLewandowski said Canopy Growth’s relationship with Constellation Brands (STZ) was a plus, but the company “has shown mixed progress on key performance metrics, is confronted with a rapidly evolving Canadian market with new entrants taking market share and changing consumer tastes, lackluster industry growth even with new stores opening and limited visibility for profitability.”\nConstellation Brands owns a 36% stake in Canopy Growth, according to FactSet.\nRecent management changes at the company and the planned sale of C3, a German pharmaceutical company, were efforts at Canopy Growth that “will take time to show results,” the analyst said.\nBofA reduced its price target on U.S. shares to $7.94 from $15.15.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CGC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691707041,"gmtCreate":1640237607418,"gmtModify":1640237607478,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ttm","listText":"Ttm","text":"Ttm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691707041","repostId":"1132132037","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132132037","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640236963,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1132132037?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 13:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Stock: Why It Might Outperform Rivals in 2022<blockquote>Netflix 股票：为什么它可能在 2022 年跑赢竞争对手</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132132037","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Could 2022 be a great year for Netflix stock? Here's why shares of the streaming platform may outper","content":"<p>Could 2022 be a great year for Netflix stock? Here's why shares of the streaming platform may outperform its competitors again next year.</p><p><blockquote>2022 年对于 Netflix 股票来说会是伟大的一年吗？这就是为什么该流媒体平台的股价明年可能会再次跑赢竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> After Netflix's&nbsp;great stock performance in 2021, fans of the streaming service are wondering what's in store for the company and its shares in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>继 Netflix 在 2021 年表现出色之后，该流媒体服务的粉丝们想知道该公司及其股票在 2022 年将会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p> Let's sum up what happened to NFLX shares this year and whether they still present a good opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>让我们总结一下NFLX股票今年发生了什么，以及它们是否仍然为投资者提供了良好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2b3cf4fdc5d06fd34521575cb3c69b3\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"812\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Netflix's office.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：网飞的办公室。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Netflix's 2021 Revenue Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Netflix 2021 年收入业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at company revenue, Netflix continued to grow during 2021 but experienced a slowdown compared to 2020. This was likely due to the subscription boom the company experienced during 2020 thanks to COVID lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>从公司收入来看，Netflix在2021年持续增长，但与2020年相比有所放缓。这可能是由于新冠疫情封锁导致该公司在 2020 年经历了订阅热潮。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, during the last three quarters, Netflix's revenue showed year-over-year average revenue growth of 20%. In addition, its operating margins rose from 20.4% in the third quarter of 2020 to 23.5% in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，在过去三个季度中，Netflix 的收入同比平均收入增长了 20%。此外，其营业利润率从2020年第三季度的20.4%上升至2021年第三季度的23.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f704b36024b940ec42ace68116770a9\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"438\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Netflix's financial statements.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：Netflix的财务报表。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Subscriber growth is another key metric for investors. Unfortunately, results here were disappointing in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>用户增长是投资者的另一个关键指标。不幸的是，2021年这里的结果令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, Netflix's subscriber growth was more than 20% per quarter. This dropped to 10% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，Netflix的订户每季度增长率超过20%。这一比例在2021年下降到10%。</blockquote></p><p> However, investors should take it into account that, during the early months of the pandemic, the company experienced record-breaking growth. The decrease we've seen this year may just be the result of subscriber growth returning to normal levels.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者应该考虑到，在疫情的最初几个月，该公司经历了破纪录的增长。我们今年看到的下降可能只是订户增长恢复正常水平的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Did NFLX Perform Against Other Streaming Services?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>NFLX与其他流媒体服务相比表现如何？</b></blockquote></p><p> Compared to its competitors, NFLX did very well in 2021 with cumulative growth of 16%. Other stocks that compete in the video streaming segment saw worse returns. For example, Amazon&nbsp;shares appreciated only 5%, while Disney&nbsp;suffered a drop of nearly 20%.</p><p><blockquote>与竞争对手相比，NFLX在2021年表现非常出色，累计增长16%。其他在视频流领域竞争的股票的回报更差。例如，亚马逊股价仅升值5%，而迪士尼则下跌近20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd970e1a30a0271380825554f364907d\" tg-width=\"811\" tg-height=\"428\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: AMZN, DIS, NFLX and SPY performance in 2021.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图3：2021年AMZN、DIS、NFLX和SPDR标普500指数ETF的表现。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NFLX's performance looks less stellar when compared to companies outside the streaming segment. In fact, the stock underperformed the S&amp;P 500 in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与流媒体领域以外的公司相比，NFLX 的业绩看起来不太出色。事实上，该股2021年的表现逊于标普500。</blockquote></p><p> As Netflix stock moves away from its peak in November, there may still be room for the company to grow.</p><p><blockquote>随着 Netflix 股价摆脱 11 月份的峰值，该公司可能仍有增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Next?: Our Take on NFLX for 2022</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一步是什么？：我们对 2022 年 NFLX 的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Netflix was a pioneer in the video streaming segment. And despite fierce competition from giants like Disney and Amazon, it still has the largest market share in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 是视频流领域的先驱。尽管面临迪士尼和亚马逊等巨头的激烈竞争，它仍然拥有业内最大的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Netflix is constantly betting on new segments for revenue growth. For example, it recently pushed beyond films by launching an interactive games division. Moves like this expose Netflix to new subscribers and boost its bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Netflix 不断押注于新的细分市场以实现收入增长。例如，它最近推出了互动游戏部门，超越了电影领域。像这样的举措让 Netflix 接触到了新用户，并提高了其利润。</blockquote></p><p> We believe that the recent fall in NFLX’s stock price translates to a buying opportunity for long-term investors who agree there’s still plenty of growth to come.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，NFLX 股价最近的下跌为长期投资者带来了买入机会，他们认为未来仍有大量增长。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Stock: Why It Might Outperform Rivals in 2022<blockquote>Netflix 股票：为什么它可能在 2022 年跑赢竞争对手</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Stock: Why It Might Outperform Rivals in 2022<blockquote>Netflix 股票：为什么它可能在 2022 年跑赢竞争对手</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 13:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Could 2022 be a great year for Netflix stock? Here's why shares of the streaming platform may outperform its competitors again next year.</p><p><blockquote>2022 年对于 Netflix 股票来说会是伟大的一年吗？这就是为什么该流媒体平台的股价明年可能会再次跑赢竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> After Netflix's&nbsp;great stock performance in 2021, fans of the streaming service are wondering what's in store for the company and its shares in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>继 Netflix 在 2021 年表现出色之后，该流媒体服务的粉丝们想知道该公司及其股票在 2022 年将会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p> Let's sum up what happened to NFLX shares this year and whether they still present a good opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>让我们总结一下NFLX股票今年发生了什么，以及它们是否仍然为投资者提供了良好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2b3cf4fdc5d06fd34521575cb3c69b3\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"812\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Netflix's office.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：网飞的办公室。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Netflix's 2021 Revenue Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Netflix 2021 年收入业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at company revenue, Netflix continued to grow during 2021 but experienced a slowdown compared to 2020. This was likely due to the subscription boom the company experienced during 2020 thanks to COVID lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>从公司收入来看，Netflix在2021年持续增长，但与2020年相比有所放缓。这可能是由于新冠疫情封锁导致该公司在 2020 年经历了订阅热潮。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, during the last three quarters, Netflix's revenue showed year-over-year average revenue growth of 20%. In addition, its operating margins rose from 20.4% in the third quarter of 2020 to 23.5% in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，在过去三个季度中，Netflix 的收入同比平均收入增长了 20%。此外，其营业利润率从2020年第三季度的20.4%上升至2021年第三季度的23.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f704b36024b940ec42ace68116770a9\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"438\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Netflix's financial statements.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：Netflix的财务报表。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Subscriber growth is another key metric for investors. Unfortunately, results here were disappointing in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>用户增长是投资者的另一个关键指标。不幸的是，2021年这里的结果令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, Netflix's subscriber growth was more than 20% per quarter. This dropped to 10% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，Netflix的订户每季度增长率超过20%。这一比例在2021年下降到10%。</blockquote></p><p> However, investors should take it into account that, during the early months of the pandemic, the company experienced record-breaking growth. The decrease we've seen this year may just be the result of subscriber growth returning to normal levels.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者应该考虑到，在疫情的最初几个月，该公司经历了破纪录的增长。我们今年看到的下降可能只是订户增长恢复正常水平的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Did NFLX Perform Against Other Streaming Services?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>NFLX与其他流媒体服务相比表现如何？</b></blockquote></p><p> Compared to its competitors, NFLX did very well in 2021 with cumulative growth of 16%. Other stocks that compete in the video streaming segment saw worse returns. For example, Amazon&nbsp;shares appreciated only 5%, while Disney&nbsp;suffered a drop of nearly 20%.</p><p><blockquote>与竞争对手相比，NFLX在2021年表现非常出色，累计增长16%。其他在视频流领域竞争的股票的回报更差。例如，亚马逊股价仅升值5%，而迪士尼则下跌近20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd970e1a30a0271380825554f364907d\" tg-width=\"811\" tg-height=\"428\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: AMZN, DIS, NFLX and SPY performance in 2021.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图3：2021年AMZN、DIS、NFLX和SPDR标普500指数ETF的表现。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NFLX's performance looks less stellar when compared to companies outside the streaming segment. In fact, the stock underperformed the S&amp;P 500 in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与流媒体领域以外的公司相比，NFLX 的业绩看起来不太出色。事实上，该股2021年的表现逊于标普500。</blockquote></p><p> As Netflix stock moves away from its peak in November, there may still be room for the company to grow.</p><p><blockquote>随着 Netflix 股价摆脱 11 月份的峰值，该公司可能仍有增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Next?: Our Take on NFLX for 2022</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一步是什么？：我们对 2022 年 NFLX 的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Netflix was a pioneer in the video streaming segment. And despite fierce competition from giants like Disney and Amazon, it still has the largest market share in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 是视频流领域的先驱。尽管面临迪士尼和亚马逊等巨头的激烈竞争，它仍然拥有业内最大的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Netflix is constantly betting on new segments for revenue growth. For example, it recently pushed beyond films by launching an interactive games division. Moves like this expose Netflix to new subscribers and boost its bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Netflix 不断押注于新的细分市场以实现收入增长。例如，它最近推出了互动游戏部门，超越了电影领域。像这样的举措让 Netflix 接触到了新用户，并提高了其利润。</blockquote></p><p> We believe that the recent fall in NFLX’s stock price translates to a buying opportunity for long-term investors who agree there’s still plenty of growth to come.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，NFLX 股价最近的下跌为长期投资者带来了买入机会，他们认为未来仍有大量增长。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/streaming/nflx/netflix-stock-should-you-buy-nflx-shares-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/streaming/nflx/netflix-stock-should-you-buy-nflx-shares-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132132037","content_text":"Could 2022 be a great year for Netflix stock? Here's why shares of the streaming platform may outperform its competitors again next year.\nAfter Netflix's great stock performance in 2021, fans of the streaming service are wondering what's in store for the company and its shares in 2022.\nLet's sum up what happened to NFLX shares this year and whether they still present a good opportunity for investors.\nFigure 1: Netflix's office.\nNetflix's 2021 Revenue Results\nLooking at company revenue, Netflix continued to grow during 2021 but experienced a slowdown compared to 2020. This was likely due to the subscription boom the company experienced during 2020 thanks to COVID lockdowns.\nEven so, during the last three quarters, Netflix's revenue showed year-over-year average revenue growth of 20%. In addition, its operating margins rose from 20.4% in the third quarter of 2020 to 23.5% in the third quarter of 2021.\nFigure 2: Netflix's financial statements.\nSubscriber growth is another key metric for investors. Unfortunately, results here were disappointing in 2021.\nIn 2020, Netflix's subscriber growth was more than 20% per quarter. This dropped to 10% in 2021.\nHowever, investors should take it into account that, during the early months of the pandemic, the company experienced record-breaking growth. The decrease we've seen this year may just be the result of subscriber growth returning to normal levels.\nHow Did NFLX Perform Against Other Streaming Services?\nCompared to its competitors, NFLX did very well in 2021 with cumulative growth of 16%. Other stocks that compete in the video streaming segment saw worse returns. For example, Amazon shares appreciated only 5%, while Disney suffered a drop of nearly 20%.\nFigure 3: AMZN, DIS, NFLX and SPY performance in 2021.\nHowever, NFLX's performance looks less stellar when compared to companies outside the streaming segment. In fact, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 in 2021.\nAs Netflix stock moves away from its peak in November, there may still be room for the company to grow.\nWhat's Next?: Our Take on NFLX for 2022\nNetflix was a pioneer in the video streaming segment. And despite fierce competition from giants like Disney and Amazon, it still has the largest market share in the industry.\nIn addition, Netflix is constantly betting on new segments for revenue growth. For example, it recently pushed beyond films by launching an interactive games division. Moves like this expose Netflix to new subscribers and boost its bottom line.\nWe believe that the recent fall in NFLX’s stock price translates to a buying opportunity for long-term investors who agree there’s still plenty of growth to come.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699210643,"gmtCreate":1639806751781,"gmtModify":1639806751781,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699210643","repostId":"1109831591","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109831591","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639804463,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109831591?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 13:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson Fell on Friday<blockquote>为什么辉瑞和强生公司周五下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109831591","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nTwo prominent U.S. coronavirus stocks ended the week on a down note. Pfizer and Johnso","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么事</blockquote></p><p> Two prominent U.S. coronavirus stocks ended the week on a down note.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\"><b>Pfizer</b></a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\"><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b></a>&nbsp;both fell on the day by nearly 3%. This followed a prominent investment bank's rather lukewarm take on their current prospects.</p><p><blockquote>两只著名的美国冠状病毒股票本周收盘下跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\"><b>辉瑞</b></a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\"><b>强生公司</b></a>两者当天均下跌近3%。此前，一家著名投资银行对其当前前景持相当冷淡的态度。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6a2f152eebbe10f5ab65a99815f461c\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"637\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs</b>&nbsp;analyst Chris Shibutani initiated coverage on Pfizer and Johnson &amp; Johnson on Friday, tagging both high-profile healthcare industry stocks with neutral recommendations.</p><p><blockquote><b>高盛</b>分析师克里斯·涩谷 (Chris Shibutani) 周五开始对辉瑞和强生公司进行报道，对这两只备受瞩目的医疗保健行业股票给予中性建议。</blockquote></p><p> Shibutani is concerned with what he considers to be Pfizer's somewhat cloudy future, despite the great success of the Comirnaty coronavirus vaccine it developed with Germanbiotech&nbsp;<b>BioNTech</b>.</p><p><blockquote>尽管辉瑞与德国生物技术公司合作开发的 Comirnaty 冠状病毒疫苗取得了巨大成功，但涩谷仍对他认为辉瑞有些模糊的未来感到担忧<b>生物技术</b>.</blockquote></p><p> \"Our views on [Pfizer] come down to that we estimate around one-third of its current valuation is attributed to the COVID-19 vaccine and therapeutic [products], and we feel the trajectory for both remains highly uncertain,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我们对辉瑞的看法是，我们估计其当前估值的三分之一左右归因于 COVID-19 疫苗和治疗产品，我们认为两者的发展轨迹仍然高度不确定。”</blockquote></p><p> As for Johnson &amp; Johnson, the prognosticator feels the stock is also fairly valued. However, he sounded a more optimistic note about the company's potential.</p><p><blockquote>至于强生公司，预测者认为该股的估值也相当合理。然而，他对该公司的潜力表示了更乐观的态度。</blockquote></p><p> \"With [Johnson &amp; Johnson] in the midst of transitions across several domains for the organization ... we see possibilities -- even within an organization of [Johnson &amp; Johnson]'s scale and scope -- for additional potentially disruptive opportunities to develop that could reshape the investment thesis, in our view,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“随着 [强生] 正在组织的多个领域进行转型……我们看到了可能性——即使在 [强生] 规模和范围的组织内——额外的潜在颠覆性发展机会的可能性，我们认为，这可能会重塑投资论点，”他写道。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Johnson &amp; Johnson announced plans to spin off its sprawlingconsumer healthcare division.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，强生公司宣布计划剥离其庞大的消费者医疗保健部门。</blockquote></p><p> Shibutani's price target on Pfizer stock is $51 per share, and that for Johnson &amp; Johnson is $161.</p><p><blockquote>涩谷对辉瑞股票的目标价为每股 51 美元，强生公司的目标价为每股 161 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在呢</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer and Johnson &amp; Johnson are certainly heading into some uncertain waters -- both with the coronavirus and, in the latter company's case, the apparently looming spinoff. To my mind, though, the two companies have plenty of strength in numerous product areas outside of their respective vaccines, so investors shouldn't be too discouraged by Goldman Sachs' latest evaluations.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞（Pfizer）和强生公司（Johnson &amp; Johnson）无疑正进入一些不确定的水域——无论是冠状病毒，还是后者显然迫在眉睫的分拆。不过，在我看来，两家公司在各自疫苗之外的众多产品领域都拥有足够的实力，因此投资者不应对高盛的最新评估感到太气馁。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson Fell on Friday<blockquote>为什么辉瑞和强生公司周五下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson Fell on Friday<blockquote>为什么辉瑞和强生公司周五下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 13:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么事</blockquote></p><p> Two prominent U.S. coronavirus stocks ended the week on a down note.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\"><b>Pfizer</b></a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\"><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b></a>&nbsp;both fell on the day by nearly 3%. This followed a prominent investment bank's rather lukewarm take on their current prospects.</p><p><blockquote>两只著名的美国冠状病毒股票本周收盘下跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\"><b>辉瑞</b></a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\"><b>强生公司</b></a>两者当天均下跌近3%。此前，一家著名投资银行对其当前前景持相当冷淡的态度。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6a2f152eebbe10f5ab65a99815f461c\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"637\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs</b>&nbsp;analyst Chris Shibutani initiated coverage on Pfizer and Johnson &amp; Johnson on Friday, tagging both high-profile healthcare industry stocks with neutral recommendations.</p><p><blockquote><b>高盛</b>分析师克里斯·涩谷 (Chris Shibutani) 周五开始对辉瑞和强生公司进行报道，对这两只备受瞩目的医疗保健行业股票给予中性建议。</blockquote></p><p> Shibutani is concerned with what he considers to be Pfizer's somewhat cloudy future, despite the great success of the Comirnaty coronavirus vaccine it developed with Germanbiotech&nbsp;<b>BioNTech</b>.</p><p><blockquote>尽管辉瑞与德国生物技术公司合作开发的 Comirnaty 冠状病毒疫苗取得了巨大成功，但涩谷仍对他认为辉瑞有些模糊的未来感到担忧<b>生物技术</b>.</blockquote></p><p> \"Our views on [Pfizer] come down to that we estimate around one-third of its current valuation is attributed to the COVID-19 vaccine and therapeutic [products], and we feel the trajectory for both remains highly uncertain,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我们对辉瑞的看法是，我们估计其当前估值的三分之一左右归因于 COVID-19 疫苗和治疗产品，我们认为两者的发展轨迹仍然高度不确定。”</blockquote></p><p> As for Johnson &amp; Johnson, the prognosticator feels the stock is also fairly valued. However, he sounded a more optimistic note about the company's potential.</p><p><blockquote>至于强生公司，预测者认为该股的估值也相当合理。然而，他对该公司的潜力表示了更乐观的态度。</blockquote></p><p> \"With [Johnson &amp; Johnson] in the midst of transitions across several domains for the organization ... we see possibilities -- even within an organization of [Johnson &amp; Johnson]'s scale and scope -- for additional potentially disruptive opportunities to develop that could reshape the investment thesis, in our view,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“随着 [强生] 正在组织的多个领域进行转型……我们看到了可能性——即使在 [强生] 规模和范围的组织内——额外的潜在颠覆性发展机会的可能性，我们认为，这可能会重塑投资论点，”他写道。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Johnson &amp; Johnson announced plans to spin off its sprawlingconsumer healthcare division.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，强生公司宣布计划剥离其庞大的消费者医疗保健部门。</blockquote></p><p> Shibutani's price target on Pfizer stock is $51 per share, and that for Johnson &amp; Johnson is $161.</p><p><blockquote>涩谷对辉瑞股票的目标价为每股 51 美元，强生公司的目标价为每股 161 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在呢</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer and Johnson &amp; Johnson are certainly heading into some uncertain waters -- both with the coronavirus and, in the latter company's case, the apparently looming spinoff. To my mind, though, the two companies have plenty of strength in numerous product areas outside of their respective vaccines, so investors shouldn't be too discouraged by Goldman Sachs' latest evaluations.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞（Pfizer）和强生公司（Johnson &amp; Johnson）无疑正进入一些不确定的水域——无论是冠状病毒，还是后者显然迫在眉睫的分拆。不过，在我看来，两家公司在各自疫苗之外的众多产品领域都拥有足够的实力，因此投资者不应对高盛的最新评估感到太气馁。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/17/why-pfizer-and-johnson-johnson-fell-on-friday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JNJ":"强生","PFE":"辉瑞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/17/why-pfizer-and-johnson-johnson-fell-on-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109831591","content_text":"What happened\nTwo prominent U.S. coronavirus stocks ended the week on a down note. Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson both fell on the day by nearly 3%. This followed a prominent investment bank's rather lukewarm take on their current prospects.\n\nSo what\nGoldman Sachs analyst Chris Shibutani initiated coverage on Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson on Friday, tagging both high-profile healthcare industry stocks with neutral recommendations.\nShibutani is concerned with what he considers to be Pfizer's somewhat cloudy future, despite the great success of the Comirnaty coronavirus vaccine it developed with Germanbiotech BioNTech.\n\"Our views on [Pfizer] come down to that we estimate around one-third of its current valuation is attributed to the COVID-19 vaccine and therapeutic [products], and we feel the trajectory for both remains highly uncertain,\" he wrote.\nAs for Johnson & Johnson, the prognosticator feels the stock is also fairly valued. However, he sounded a more optimistic note about the company's potential.\n\"With [Johnson & Johnson] in the midst of transitions across several domains for the organization ... we see possibilities -- even within an organization of [Johnson & Johnson]'s scale and scope -- for additional potentially disruptive opportunities to develop that could reshape the investment thesis, in our view,\" he wrote.\nLast month, Johnson & Johnson announced plans to spin off its sprawlingconsumer healthcare division.\nShibutani's price target on Pfizer stock is $51 per share, and that for Johnson & Johnson is $161.\nNow what\nPfizer and Johnson & Johnson are certainly heading into some uncertain waters -- both with the coronavirus and, in the latter company's case, the apparently looming spinoff. To my mind, though, the two companies have plenty of strength in numerous product areas outside of their respective vaccines, so investors shouldn't be too discouraged by Goldman Sachs' latest evaluations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JNJ":0.9,"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699210377,"gmtCreate":1639806704296,"gmtModify":1639806704394,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699210377","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 华尔街周五收低，受到大型科技公司的拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%，Alphabet下跌 1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌，其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期（被称为三重巫术）是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日，”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎，你就会出现波动，我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘，而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期，基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，而标普500指数下跌1.03%，至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%，至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看，小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股，远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，甲骨文暴跌 6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner，交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测，尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润，但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 华尔街周五收低，受到大型科技公司的拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%，Alphabet下跌 1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌，其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期（被称为三重巫术）是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日，”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎，你就会出现波动，我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘，而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期，基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，而标普500指数下跌1.03%，至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%，至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看，小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股，远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，甲骨文暴跌 6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner，交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测，尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润，但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844780425,"gmtCreate":1636460263437,"gmtModify":1636460263437,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>to the moon?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>to the moon?","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$to the moon?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a61a585080c9a0507d3aad366400415","width":"1080","height":"2528"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844780425","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4875,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845132423,"gmtCreate":1636299004466,"gmtModify":1636299004587,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845132423","repostId":"843244545","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":843244545,"gmtCreate":1635836949483,"gmtModify":1636092763588,"author":{"id":"3579612413176972","authorId":"3579612413176972","name":"Yonny","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cec755333c5c72f85e4c5dd5080490c8","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579612413176972","authorIdStr":"3579612413176972"},"themes":[],"title":"Rivian is a better buy than Lucid, IMO","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$</a>,the&nbsp;EV&nbsp;automaker and automotive technology company&nbsp;is&nbsp;going&nbsp;to go public as soon as next week,&nbsp;and&nbsp;retail traders can&nbsp;get into&nbsp;the IPO&nbsp;on&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>.&nbsp; Rivian&nbsp;said&nbsp;it is offering 135 million shares priced between $57 and $62,&nbsp;putting valuation up&nbsp;to&nbsp;near $55 billion.&nbsp;And&nbsp;the&nbsp;company&nbsp;is&nbsp;backed by&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a> and&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$Ford(F)$</a> So&nbsp;compared&nbsp;to&nbsp;","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$</a>,the&nbsp;EV&nbsp;automaker and automotive technology company&nbsp;is&nbsp;going&nbsp;to go public as soon as next week,&nbsp;and&nbsp;retail traders can&nbsp;get into&nbsp;the IPO&nbsp;on&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>.&nbsp; Rivian&nbsp;said&nbsp;it is offering 135 million shares priced between $57 and $62,&nbsp;putting valuation up&nbsp;to&nbsp;near $55 billion.&nbsp;And&nbsp;the&nbsp;company&nbsp;is&nbsp;backed by&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a> and&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$Ford(F)$</a> So&nbsp;compared&nbsp;to&nbsp;","text":"$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$,the EV automaker and automotive technology company is going to go public as soon as next week, and retail traders can get into the IPO on $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$. Rivian said it is offering 135 million shares priced between $57 and $62, putting valuation up to near $55 billion. And the company is backed by $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ and $Ford(F)$ So compared to","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2547c8ce512a5377c138129416f63e64","width":"1780","height":"680"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843244545","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846880415,"gmtCreate":1636072707706,"gmtModify":1636072707778,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PATH\">$UiPath(PATH)$</a>great potential !","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PATH\">$UiPath(PATH)$</a>great potential !","text":"$UiPath(PATH)$great potential !","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b2be22fd819b32b2426fddd05133612","width":"1080","height":"2528"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846880415","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849477604,"gmtCreate":1635775742226,"gmtModify":1635775742291,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFE\">$Paysafe Ltd(PSFE)$</a>yay or nay?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFE\">$Paysafe Ltd(PSFE)$</a>yay or nay?","text":"$Paysafe Ltd(PSFE)$yay or nay?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a848c0d4f7c259222fcb06e09bed5dc","width":"1080","height":"2429"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849477604","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856605792,"gmtCreate":1635171634857,"gmtModify":1635171635042,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$</a>long term potential?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$</a>long term potential?","text":"$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$long term potential?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df16469a1cce9c32ef8adb73777328b","width":"1080","height":"2429"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856605792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":166888262,"gmtCreate":1624002015356,"gmtModify":1634024300509,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍🏽","listText":"👍🏽","text":"👍🏽","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166888262","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中拥有多种增长动力，这使得其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会随着潜在的双底价格行动信号而转向看涨。</li><li>我们将讨论公司的多重增长动力，让投资者自己判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永元/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自 11 月 20 日初蚂蚁金服 IPO 被撤销以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价经历了可怕的 8 个月，该股在低迷中萎靡不振，较高点下跌了 34%。在考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显，阿里巴巴具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且在其关键的 50W 均线上总体上得到了良好的支撑。在过去 4 年中，它唯一一次失去关键的 50W MA 支撑位是在 2018 年熊市期间，当时阿里巴巴下跌了约 40%，但仍在重要的 200W MA 上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是 “最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA以上得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像 2018 年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平可能是一个可能的技术性买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩张的增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度电子商务收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV从1.68吨人民币增长到7.49吨人民币，仅用了7年时间，复合年增长率达到了23.8%，增长率着实惊人。我们还看到其 GMV 增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从 76.7 亿元人民币增长到 473.68 亿元人民币，过去 10 年的复合年增长率为 51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然小得多，但在过去10年中，其CAGR仍以30.42%的速度增长，这绝不是缓慢的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度预计将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为 12.4%，从 2021 年的 13.8 万亿元人民币（相当于 2.16 万亿元人民币）下降到 2024 年的 19.6 万亿元人民币（相当于 3.06 万亿元人民币），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将中国市场的增长率和规模与美国电子商务市场进行比较时，我们可以看到它们在规模和增长率上的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场从 2021 年到 2025 年的复合年增长率预计仅为 4.67%，大大低于中国的 12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约 5630 亿美元，相当于届时中国市场预期价值的 18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自其快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克股票代码：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克股票代码：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经经营着一项利润更高的业务（息税前税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计将继续实现强劲的盈利能力展望未来，这将为该公司提供巨大的灵活性，以与京东和PDD正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到了其 SG&amp;A 中反映的 27.82 亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率向下倾斜。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个重要举措是公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是 PDD 的主要电子商务战略，PDD 在最近一个季度共获得了 8.23 亿 AAC，而阿里巴巴的 8.91 亿 AAC。考虑到 2017 年第二季度 PDD 的 AAC 数量仅为 1 亿，而同期阿里巴巴的 AAC 数量为 4.66 亿，PDD 的 AAC 增长确实惊人。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转移到社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出它的大枪（它已经拥有）来与PDD和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到 2022 年 1020 亿元人民币的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴 21 财年中国商业收入的 21.5% 左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过 2019 年至 2022 年 3 年间 44.22% 的快速复合年增长率。虽然这个市场还比较小，但阿里巴巴不能让这个市场目前的领头羊：PDD在众人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地占据主导地位，吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取其在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止PDD扩大其领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中我们可以观察到，PDD 预计将在未来几年继续快速增长其收入，尽管预计随后将恢复正常。更重要的是，PDD 预计未来还将不断提高其息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力。这表明，社区市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势加以利用，才能在游戏初期否认 PDD 无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公共云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；通道</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：CAICT；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公共云市场占有 40% 的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管阿里巴巴处于领先地位，但阿里巴巴仍处于大量投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从 2017 年的 264.8 亿元人民币增长到 2023 年的 2307.4 亿元人民币，复合年增长率将达到 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的惊人增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤为明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从 2017 年的 1450 亿美元增长到 2022 年的 3970 亿美元，复合年增长率将达到 22.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。资料来源：CnTechPost；高德纳</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在 2020 年以 9.5% 的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOGL）（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOG）GCP 的领先优势，我并不感到惊讶。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场的明显领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。虽然阿里巴巴的云业务尚未实现息税前利润（21 财年息税前利润率：-15%，20 财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的 GCP 也没有实现盈利（20 财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19 财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务，预计阿里巴巴将在这些地区拥有更强大的领导地位，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常有说服力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/息税前利润3年范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/前轮驱动息税前利润和电动汽车/前轮驱动转速趋势。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑到阿里巴巴的 TEV / EBIT 历史范围（3 年平均值为 33.54 倍）时，阿里巴巴的 EV / Fwd EBIT 趋势无疑意味着该股被严重低估，因为阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍有望快速增长。不过，由于我们希望更清楚地了解阿里巴巴的息税前利润是如何估值的，因此我们认为，如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，这将是有用的，如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史息税前利润和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司的一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的电动汽车/息税前利润看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴在区间中点的公允价值区间为 294.98 美元，基于当前 210 美元的股价，这代表着 40.5% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着 Mr.市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场计划和不断增长的阿里云部门等仍有很大的潜在上涨空间。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因仅仅是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该认识到这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。关键在于，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有巨大的影响力，而这些行为和行动有时在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能因此大幅打折阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长征程中的一个昙花一现，那么你一定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续交付稳健的业绩，证明了该公司良好执行的强大能力。由于公司将继续在一个拥有众多增长动力的市场中运营，这些增长动力有望推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现目前的估值极具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中拥有多种增长动力，这使得其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会随着潜在的双底价格行动信号而转向看涨。</li><li>我们将讨论公司的多重增长动力，让投资者自己判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永元/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自 11 月 20 日初蚂蚁金服 IPO 被撤销以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价经历了可怕的 8 个月，该股在低迷中萎靡不振，较高点下跌了 34%。在考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显，阿里巴巴具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且在其关键的 50W 均线上总体上得到了良好的支撑。在过去 4 年中，它唯一一次失去关键的 50W MA 支撑位是在 2018 年熊市期间，当时阿里巴巴下跌了约 40%，但仍在重要的 200W MA 上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是 “最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA以上得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像 2018 年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平可能是一个可能的技术性买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩张的增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度电子商务收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV从1.68吨人民币增长到7.49吨人民币，仅用了7年时间，复合年增长率达到了23.8%，增长率着实惊人。我们还看到其 GMV 增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从 76.7 亿元人民币增长到 473.68 亿元人民币，过去 10 年的复合年增长率为 51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然小得多，但在过去10年中，其CAGR仍以30.42%的速度增长，这绝不是缓慢的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度预计将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为 12.4%，从 2021 年的 13.8 万亿元人民币（相当于 2.16 万亿元人民币）下降到 2024 年的 19.6 万亿元人民币（相当于 3.06 万亿元人民币），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将中国市场的增长率和规模与美国电子商务市场进行比较时，我们可以看到它们在规模和增长率上的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场从 2021 年到 2025 年的复合年增长率预计仅为 4.67%，大大低于中国的 12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约 5630 亿美元，相当于届时中国市场预期价值的 18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自其快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克股票代码：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克股票代码：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经经营着一项利润更高的业务（息税前税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计将继续实现强劲的盈利能力展望未来，这将为该公司提供巨大的灵活性，以与京东和PDD正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到了其 SG&amp;A 中反映的 27.82 亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率向下倾斜。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个重要举措是公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是 PDD 的主要电子商务战略，PDD 在最近一个季度共获得了 8.23 亿 AAC，而阿里巴巴的 8.91 亿 AAC。考虑到 2017 年第二季度 PDD 的 AAC 数量仅为 1 亿，而同期阿里巴巴的 AAC 数量为 4.66 亿，PDD 的 AAC 增长确实惊人。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转移到社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出它的大枪（它已经拥有）来与PDD和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到 2022 年 1020 亿元人民币的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴 21 财年中国商业收入的 21.5% 左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过 2019 年至 2022 年 3 年间 44.22% 的快速复合年增长率。虽然这个市场还比较小，但阿里巴巴不能让这个市场目前的领头羊：PDD在众人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地占据主导地位，吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取其在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止PDD扩大其领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中我们可以观察到，PDD 预计将在未来几年继续快速增长其收入，尽管预计随后将恢复正常。更重要的是，PDD 预计未来还将不断提高其息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力。这表明，社区市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势加以利用，才能在游戏初期否认 PDD 无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公共云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；通道</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：CAICT；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公共云市场占有 40% 的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管阿里巴巴处于领先地位，但阿里巴巴仍处于大量投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从 2017 年的 264.8 亿元人民币增长到 2023 年的 2307.4 亿元人民币，复合年增长率将达到 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的惊人增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤为明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从 2017 年的 1450 亿美元增长到 2022 年的 3970 亿美元，复合年增长率将达到 22.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。资料来源：CnTechPost；高德纳</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在 2020 年以 9.5% 的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOGL）（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOG）GCP 的领先优势，我并不感到惊讶。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场的明显领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。虽然阿里巴巴的云业务尚未实现息税前利润（21 财年息税前利润率：-15%，20 财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的 GCP 也没有实现盈利（20 财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19 财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务，预计阿里巴巴将在这些地区拥有更强大的领导地位，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常有说服力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/息税前利润3年范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/前轮驱动息税前利润和电动汽车/前轮驱动转速趋势。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑到阿里巴巴的 TEV / EBIT 历史范围（3 年平均值为 33.54 倍）时，阿里巴巴的 EV / Fwd EBIT 趋势无疑意味着该股被严重低估，因为阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍有望快速增长。不过，由于我们希望更清楚地了解阿里巴巴的息税前利润是如何估值的，因此我们认为，如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，这将是有用的，如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史息税前利润和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司的一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的电动汽车/息税前利润看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴在区间中点的公允价值区间为 294.98 美元，基于当前 210 美元的股价，这代表着 40.5% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着 Mr.市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场计划和不断增长的阿里云部门等仍有很大的潜在上涨空间。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因仅仅是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该认识到这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。关键在于，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有巨大的影响力，而这些行为和行动有时在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能因此大幅打折阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长征程中的一个昙花一现，那么你一定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续交付稳健的业绩，证明了该公司良好执行的强大能力。由于公司将继续在一个拥有众多增长动力的市场中运营，这些增长动力有望推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现目前的估值极具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":699210377,"gmtCreate":1639806704296,"gmtModify":1639806704394,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699210377","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 华尔街周五收低，受到大型科技公司的拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%，Alphabet下跌 1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌，其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期（被称为三重巫术）是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日，”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎，你就会出现波动，我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘，而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期，基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，而标普500指数下跌1.03%，至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%，至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看，小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股，远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，甲骨文暴跌 6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner，交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测，尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润，但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 华尔街周五收低，受到大型科技公司的拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%，Alphabet下跌 1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌，其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期（被称为三重巫术）是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日，”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎，你就会出现波动，我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘，而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期，基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，而标普500指数下跌1.03%，至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%，至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看，小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股，远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，甲骨文暴跌 6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner，交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测，尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润，但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699210643,"gmtCreate":1639806751781,"gmtModify":1639806751781,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699210643","repostId":"1109831591","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109831591","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639804463,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109831591?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 13:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson Fell on Friday<blockquote>为什么辉瑞和强生公司周五下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109831591","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nTwo prominent U.S. coronavirus stocks ended the week on a down note. Pfizer and Johnso","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么事</blockquote></p><p> Two prominent U.S. coronavirus stocks ended the week on a down note.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\"><b>Pfizer</b></a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\"><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b></a>&nbsp;both fell on the day by nearly 3%. This followed a prominent investment bank's rather lukewarm take on their current prospects.</p><p><blockquote>两只著名的美国冠状病毒股票本周收盘下跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\"><b>辉瑞</b></a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\"><b>强生公司</b></a>两者当天均下跌近3%。此前，一家著名投资银行对其当前前景持相当冷淡的态度。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6a2f152eebbe10f5ab65a99815f461c\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"637\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs</b>&nbsp;analyst Chris Shibutani initiated coverage on Pfizer and Johnson &amp; Johnson on Friday, tagging both high-profile healthcare industry stocks with neutral recommendations.</p><p><blockquote><b>高盛</b>分析师克里斯·涩谷 (Chris Shibutani) 周五开始对辉瑞和强生公司进行报道，对这两只备受瞩目的医疗保健行业股票给予中性建议。</blockquote></p><p> Shibutani is concerned with what he considers to be Pfizer's somewhat cloudy future, despite the great success of the Comirnaty coronavirus vaccine it developed with Germanbiotech&nbsp;<b>BioNTech</b>.</p><p><blockquote>尽管辉瑞与德国生物技术公司合作开发的 Comirnaty 冠状病毒疫苗取得了巨大成功，但涩谷仍对他认为辉瑞有些模糊的未来感到担忧<b>生物技术</b>.</blockquote></p><p> \"Our views on [Pfizer] come down to that we estimate around one-third of its current valuation is attributed to the COVID-19 vaccine and therapeutic [products], and we feel the trajectory for both remains highly uncertain,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我们对辉瑞的看法是，我们估计其当前估值的三分之一左右归因于 COVID-19 疫苗和治疗产品，我们认为两者的发展轨迹仍然高度不确定。”</blockquote></p><p> As for Johnson &amp; Johnson, the prognosticator feels the stock is also fairly valued. However, he sounded a more optimistic note about the company's potential.</p><p><blockquote>至于强生公司，预测者认为该股的估值也相当合理。然而，他对该公司的潜力表示了更乐观的态度。</blockquote></p><p> \"With [Johnson &amp; Johnson] in the midst of transitions across several domains for the organization ... we see possibilities -- even within an organization of [Johnson &amp; Johnson]'s scale and scope -- for additional potentially disruptive opportunities to develop that could reshape the investment thesis, in our view,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“随着 [强生] 正在组织的多个领域进行转型……我们看到了可能性——即使在 [强生] 规模和范围的组织内——额外的潜在颠覆性发展机会的可能性，我们认为，这可能会重塑投资论点，”他写道。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Johnson &amp; Johnson announced plans to spin off its sprawlingconsumer healthcare division.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，强生公司宣布计划剥离其庞大的消费者医疗保健部门。</blockquote></p><p> Shibutani's price target on Pfizer stock is $51 per share, and that for Johnson &amp; Johnson is $161.</p><p><blockquote>涩谷对辉瑞股票的目标价为每股 51 美元，强生公司的目标价为每股 161 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在呢</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer and Johnson &amp; Johnson are certainly heading into some uncertain waters -- both with the coronavirus and, in the latter company's case, the apparently looming spinoff. To my mind, though, the two companies have plenty of strength in numerous product areas outside of their respective vaccines, so investors shouldn't be too discouraged by Goldman Sachs' latest evaluations.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞（Pfizer）和强生公司（Johnson &amp; Johnson）无疑正进入一些不确定的水域——无论是冠状病毒，还是后者显然迫在眉睫的分拆。不过，在我看来，两家公司在各自疫苗之外的众多产品领域都拥有足够的实力，因此投资者不应对高盛的最新评估感到太气馁。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson Fell on Friday<blockquote>为什么辉瑞和强生公司周五下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson Fell on Friday<blockquote>为什么辉瑞和强生公司周五下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 13:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么事</blockquote></p><p> Two prominent U.S. coronavirus stocks ended the week on a down note.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\"><b>Pfizer</b></a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\"><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b></a>&nbsp;both fell on the day by nearly 3%. This followed a prominent investment bank's rather lukewarm take on their current prospects.</p><p><blockquote>两只著名的美国冠状病毒股票本周收盘下跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\"><b>辉瑞</b></a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\"><b>强生公司</b></a>两者当天均下跌近3%。此前，一家著名投资银行对其当前前景持相当冷淡的态度。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6a2f152eebbe10f5ab65a99815f461c\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"637\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs</b>&nbsp;analyst Chris Shibutani initiated coverage on Pfizer and Johnson &amp; Johnson on Friday, tagging both high-profile healthcare industry stocks with neutral recommendations.</p><p><blockquote><b>高盛</b>分析师克里斯·涩谷 (Chris Shibutani) 周五开始对辉瑞和强生公司进行报道，对这两只备受瞩目的医疗保健行业股票给予中性建议。</blockquote></p><p> Shibutani is concerned with what he considers to be Pfizer's somewhat cloudy future, despite the great success of the Comirnaty coronavirus vaccine it developed with Germanbiotech&nbsp;<b>BioNTech</b>.</p><p><blockquote>尽管辉瑞与德国生物技术公司合作开发的 Comirnaty 冠状病毒疫苗取得了巨大成功，但涩谷仍对他认为辉瑞有些模糊的未来感到担忧<b>生物技术</b>.</blockquote></p><p> \"Our views on [Pfizer] come down to that we estimate around one-third of its current valuation is attributed to the COVID-19 vaccine and therapeutic [products], and we feel the trajectory for both remains highly uncertain,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我们对辉瑞的看法是，我们估计其当前估值的三分之一左右归因于 COVID-19 疫苗和治疗产品，我们认为两者的发展轨迹仍然高度不确定。”</blockquote></p><p> As for Johnson &amp; Johnson, the prognosticator feels the stock is also fairly valued. However, he sounded a more optimistic note about the company's potential.</p><p><blockquote>至于强生公司，预测者认为该股的估值也相当合理。然而，他对该公司的潜力表示了更乐观的态度。</blockquote></p><p> \"With [Johnson &amp; Johnson] in the midst of transitions across several domains for the organization ... we see possibilities -- even within an organization of [Johnson &amp; Johnson]'s scale and scope -- for additional potentially disruptive opportunities to develop that could reshape the investment thesis, in our view,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“随着 [强生] 正在组织的多个领域进行转型……我们看到了可能性——即使在 [强生] 规模和范围的组织内——额外的潜在颠覆性发展机会的可能性，我们认为，这可能会重塑投资论点，”他写道。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Johnson &amp; Johnson announced plans to spin off its sprawlingconsumer healthcare division.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，强生公司宣布计划剥离其庞大的消费者医疗保健部门。</blockquote></p><p> Shibutani's price target on Pfizer stock is $51 per share, and that for Johnson &amp; Johnson is $161.</p><p><blockquote>涩谷对辉瑞股票的目标价为每股 51 美元，强生公司的目标价为每股 161 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在呢</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer and Johnson &amp; Johnson are certainly heading into some uncertain waters -- both with the coronavirus and, in the latter company's case, the apparently looming spinoff. To my mind, though, the two companies have plenty of strength in numerous product areas outside of their respective vaccines, so investors shouldn't be too discouraged by Goldman Sachs' latest evaluations.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞（Pfizer）和强生公司（Johnson &amp; Johnson）无疑正进入一些不确定的水域——无论是冠状病毒，还是后者显然迫在眉睫的分拆。不过，在我看来，两家公司在各自疫苗之外的众多产品领域都拥有足够的实力，因此投资者不应对高盛的最新评估感到太气馁。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/17/why-pfizer-and-johnson-johnson-fell-on-friday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JNJ":"强生","PFE":"辉瑞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/17/why-pfizer-and-johnson-johnson-fell-on-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109831591","content_text":"What happened\nTwo prominent U.S. coronavirus stocks ended the week on a down note. Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson both fell on the day by nearly 3%. This followed a prominent investment bank's rather lukewarm take on their current prospects.\n\nSo what\nGoldman Sachs analyst Chris Shibutani initiated coverage on Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson on Friday, tagging both high-profile healthcare industry stocks with neutral recommendations.\nShibutani is concerned with what he considers to be Pfizer's somewhat cloudy future, despite the great success of the Comirnaty coronavirus vaccine it developed with Germanbiotech BioNTech.\n\"Our views on [Pfizer] come down to that we estimate around one-third of its current valuation is attributed to the COVID-19 vaccine and therapeutic [products], and we feel the trajectory for both remains highly uncertain,\" he wrote.\nAs for Johnson & Johnson, the prognosticator feels the stock is also fairly valued. However, he sounded a more optimistic note about the company's potential.\n\"With [Johnson & Johnson] in the midst of transitions across several domains for the organization ... we see possibilities -- even within an organization of [Johnson & Johnson]'s scale and scope -- for additional potentially disruptive opportunities to develop that could reshape the investment thesis, in our view,\" he wrote.\nLast month, Johnson & Johnson announced plans to spin off its sprawlingconsumer healthcare division.\nShibutani's price target on Pfizer stock is $51 per share, and that for Johnson & Johnson is $161.\nNow what\nPfizer and Johnson & Johnson are certainly heading into some uncertain waters -- both with the coronavirus and, in the latter company's case, the apparently looming spinoff. To my mind, though, the two companies have plenty of strength in numerous product areas outside of their respective vaccines, so investors shouldn't be too discouraged by Goldman Sachs' latest evaluations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JNJ":0.9,"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844780425,"gmtCreate":1636460263437,"gmtModify":1636460263437,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>to the moon?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>to the moon?","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$to the moon?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a61a585080c9a0507d3aad366400415","width":"1080","height":"2528"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844780425","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4875,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":166888262,"gmtCreate":1624002015356,"gmtModify":1634024300509,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍🏽","listText":"👍🏽","text":"👍🏽","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166888262","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中拥有多种增长动力，这使得其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会随着潜在的双底价格行动信号而转向看涨。</li><li>我们将讨论公司的多重增长动力，让投资者自己判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永元/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自 11 月 20 日初蚂蚁金服 IPO 被撤销以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价经历了可怕的 8 个月，该股在低迷中萎靡不振，较高点下跌了 34%。在考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显，阿里巴巴具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且在其关键的 50W 均线上总体上得到了良好的支撑。在过去 4 年中，它唯一一次失去关键的 50W MA 支撑位是在 2018 年熊市期间，当时阿里巴巴下跌了约 40%，但仍在重要的 200W MA 上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是 “最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA以上得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像 2018 年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平可能是一个可能的技术性买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩张的增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度电子商务收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV从1.68吨人民币增长到7.49吨人民币，仅用了7年时间，复合年增长率达到了23.8%，增长率着实惊人。我们还看到其 GMV 增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从 76.7 亿元人民币增长到 473.68 亿元人民币，过去 10 年的复合年增长率为 51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然小得多，但在过去10年中，其CAGR仍以30.42%的速度增长，这绝不是缓慢的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度预计将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为 12.4%，从 2021 年的 13.8 万亿元人民币（相当于 2.16 万亿元人民币）下降到 2024 年的 19.6 万亿元人民币（相当于 3.06 万亿元人民币），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将中国市场的增长率和规模与美国电子商务市场进行比较时，我们可以看到它们在规模和增长率上的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场从 2021 年到 2025 年的复合年增长率预计仅为 4.67%，大大低于中国的 12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约 5630 亿美元，相当于届时中国市场预期价值的 18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自其快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克股票代码：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克股票代码：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经经营着一项利润更高的业务（息税前税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计将继续实现强劲的盈利能力展望未来，这将为该公司提供巨大的灵活性，以与京东和PDD正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到了其 SG&amp;A 中反映的 27.82 亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率向下倾斜。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个重要举措是公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是 PDD 的主要电子商务战略，PDD 在最近一个季度共获得了 8.23 亿 AAC，而阿里巴巴的 8.91 亿 AAC。考虑到 2017 年第二季度 PDD 的 AAC 数量仅为 1 亿，而同期阿里巴巴的 AAC 数量为 4.66 亿，PDD 的 AAC 增长确实惊人。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转移到社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出它的大枪（它已经拥有）来与PDD和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到 2022 年 1020 亿元人民币的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴 21 财年中国商业收入的 21.5% 左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过 2019 年至 2022 年 3 年间 44.22% 的快速复合年增长率。虽然这个市场还比较小，但阿里巴巴不能让这个市场目前的领头羊：PDD在众人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地占据主导地位，吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取其在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止PDD扩大其领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中我们可以观察到，PDD 预计将在未来几年继续快速增长其收入，尽管预计随后将恢复正常。更重要的是，PDD 预计未来还将不断提高其息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力。这表明，社区市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势加以利用，才能在游戏初期否认 PDD 无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公共云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；通道</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：CAICT；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公共云市场占有 40% 的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管阿里巴巴处于领先地位，但阿里巴巴仍处于大量投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从 2017 年的 264.8 亿元人民币增长到 2023 年的 2307.4 亿元人民币，复合年增长率将达到 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的惊人增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤为明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从 2017 年的 1450 亿美元增长到 2022 年的 3970 亿美元，复合年增长率将达到 22.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。资料来源：CnTechPost；高德纳</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在 2020 年以 9.5% 的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOGL）（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOG）GCP 的领先优势，我并不感到惊讶。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场的明显领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。虽然阿里巴巴的云业务尚未实现息税前利润（21 财年息税前利润率：-15%，20 财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的 GCP 也没有实现盈利（20 财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19 财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务，预计阿里巴巴将在这些地区拥有更强大的领导地位，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常有说服力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/息税前利润3年范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/前轮驱动息税前利润和电动汽车/前轮驱动转速趋势。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑到阿里巴巴的 TEV / EBIT 历史范围（3 年平均值为 33.54 倍）时，阿里巴巴的 EV / Fwd EBIT 趋势无疑意味着该股被严重低估，因为阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍有望快速增长。不过，由于我们希望更清楚地了解阿里巴巴的息税前利润是如何估值的，因此我们认为，如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，这将是有用的，如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史息税前利润和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司的一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的电动汽车/息税前利润看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴在区间中点的公允价值区间为 294.98 美元，基于当前 210 美元的股价，这代表着 40.5% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着 Mr.市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场计划和不断增长的阿里云部门等仍有很大的潜在上涨空间。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因仅仅是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该认识到这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。关键在于，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有巨大的影响力，而这些行为和行动有时在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能因此大幅打折阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长征程中的一个昙花一现，那么你一定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续交付稳健的业绩，证明了该公司良好执行的强大能力。由于公司将继续在一个拥有众多增长动力的市场中运营，这些增长动力有望推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现目前的估值极具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中拥有多种增长动力，这使得其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会随着潜在的双底价格行动信号而转向看涨。</li><li>我们将讨论公司的多重增长动力，让投资者自己判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永元/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自 11 月 20 日初蚂蚁金服 IPO 被撤销以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价经历了可怕的 8 个月，该股在低迷中萎靡不振，较高点下跌了 34%。在考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显，阿里巴巴具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且在其关键的 50W 均线上总体上得到了良好的支撑。在过去 4 年中，它唯一一次失去关键的 50W MA 支撑位是在 2018 年熊市期间，当时阿里巴巴下跌了约 40%，但仍在重要的 200W MA 上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是 “最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA以上得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像 2018 年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平可能是一个可能的技术性买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩张的增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度电子商务收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV从1.68吨人民币增长到7.49吨人民币，仅用了7年时间，复合年增长率达到了23.8%，增长率着实惊人。我们还看到其 GMV 增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从 76.7 亿元人民币增长到 473.68 亿元人民币，过去 10 年的复合年增长率为 51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然小得多，但在过去10年中，其CAGR仍以30.42%的速度增长，这绝不是缓慢的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度预计将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为 12.4%，从 2021 年的 13.8 万亿元人民币（相当于 2.16 万亿元人民币）下降到 2024 年的 19.6 万亿元人民币（相当于 3.06 万亿元人民币），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将中国市场的增长率和规模与美国电子商务市场进行比较时，我们可以看到它们在规模和增长率上的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场从 2021 年到 2025 年的复合年增长率预计仅为 4.67%，大大低于中国的 12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约 5630 亿美元，相当于届时中国市场预期价值的 18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自其快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克股票代码：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克股票代码：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经经营着一项利润更高的业务（息税前税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计将继续实现强劲的盈利能力展望未来，这将为该公司提供巨大的灵活性，以与京东和PDD正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到了其 SG&amp;A 中反映的 27.82 亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率向下倾斜。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个重要举措是公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是 PDD 的主要电子商务战略，PDD 在最近一个季度共获得了 8.23 亿 AAC，而阿里巴巴的 8.91 亿 AAC。考虑到 2017 年第二季度 PDD 的 AAC 数量仅为 1 亿，而同期阿里巴巴的 AAC 数量为 4.66 亿，PDD 的 AAC 增长确实惊人。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转移到社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出它的大枪（它已经拥有）来与PDD和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到 2022 年 1020 亿元人民币的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴 21 财年中国商业收入的 21.5% 左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过 2019 年至 2022 年 3 年间 44.22% 的快速复合年增长率。虽然这个市场还比较小，但阿里巴巴不能让这个市场目前的领头羊：PDD在众人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地占据主导地位，吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取其在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止PDD扩大其领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中我们可以观察到，PDD 预计将在未来几年继续快速增长其收入，尽管预计随后将恢复正常。更重要的是，PDD 预计未来还将不断提高其息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力。这表明，社区市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势加以利用，才能在游戏初期否认 PDD 无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公共云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；通道</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：CAICT；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公共云市场占有 40% 的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管阿里巴巴处于领先地位，但阿里巴巴仍处于大量投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从 2017 年的 264.8 亿元人民币增长到 2023 年的 2307.4 亿元人民币，复合年增长率将达到 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的惊人增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤为明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从 2017 年的 1450 亿美元增长到 2022 年的 3970 亿美元，复合年增长率将达到 22.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。资料来源：CnTechPost；高德纳</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在 2020 年以 9.5% 的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOGL）（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOG）GCP 的领先优势，我并不感到惊讶。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场的明显领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。虽然阿里巴巴的云业务尚未实现息税前利润（21 财年息税前利润率：-15%，20 财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的 GCP 也没有实现盈利（20 财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19 财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务，预计阿里巴巴将在这些地区拥有更强大的领导地位，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常有说服力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/息税前利润3年范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/前轮驱动息税前利润和电动汽车/前轮驱动转速趋势。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑到阿里巴巴的 TEV / EBIT 历史范围（3 年平均值为 33.54 倍）时，阿里巴巴的 EV / Fwd EBIT 趋势无疑意味着该股被严重低估，因为阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍有望快速增长。不过，由于我们希望更清楚地了解阿里巴巴的息税前利润是如何估值的，因此我们认为，如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，这将是有用的，如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史息税前利润和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司的一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的电动汽车/息税前利润看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴在区间中点的公允价值区间为 294.98 美元，基于当前 210 美元的股价，这代表着 40.5% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着 Mr.市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场计划和不断增长的阿里云部门等仍有很大的潜在上涨空间。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因仅仅是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该认识到这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。关键在于，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有巨大的影响力，而这些行为和行动有时在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能因此大幅打折阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长征程中的一个昙花一现，那么你一定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续交付稳健的业绩，证明了该公司良好执行的强大能力。由于公司将继续在一个拥有众多增长动力的市场中运营，这些增长动力有望推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现目前的估值极具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":691707989,"gmtCreate":1640237633301,"gmtModify":1640237633362,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691707989","repostId":"1103220602","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103220602","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640237254,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1103220602?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 13:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Canopy Growth Stock Is Downgraded Again, This Time on ‘Execution Challenges’<blockquote>Canopy Growth 股票再次被下调评级，这次是因为 “执行挑战”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103220602","media":"Barrons","summary":"Canopy Growth was downgraded at BofA Securities with the analysts noting “execution challenges and a","content":"<p>Canopy Growth&nbsp;was downgraded at BofA Securities with the analysts noting “execution challenges and a tough Canadian&nbsp;operating environment.”</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券（BofA Securities）下调了 Canopy Growth 的评级，分析师指出 “执行挑战和加拿大严峻的经营环境”。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst Lisa Lewandowski wrote in a note Wednesday that she sees “long-term potential for the legal cannabis industry driven by U.S. federal legalization and changing attitudes toward cannabis consumption,” but was downgrading the stock of Canopy Growth (ticker: CGC) to Underperform from Neutral.</p><p><blockquote>分析师丽莎-莱万多夫斯基（Lisa Lewandowski）在周三的一份报告中写道，她认为 “在美国联邦合法化和对大麻消费态度的改变的推动下，合法大麻行业具有长期潜力”，但将 Canopy Growth（股票代码：CGC）的股票评级从中性下调至表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> U.S.-listed shares of the Canadian cannabis company fell 3% to $9.37. The stock has declined 62% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这家加拿大大麻公司在美国上市的股价下跌 3%，至 9.37 美元。该股2021年已下跌62%。</blockquote></p><p> Lewandowski said Canopy Growth’s relationship with&nbsp;Constellation Brands&nbsp;(STZ) was a plus, but the company “has shown&nbsp;mixed progress on key performance metrics, is&nbsp;confronted&nbsp;with&nbsp;a rapidly&nbsp;evolving&nbsp;Canadian market with new entrants taking&nbsp;market&nbsp;share&nbsp;and changing consumer tastes,&nbsp;lackluster industry growth&nbsp;even with&nbsp;new stores&nbsp;opening and&nbsp;limited visibility for&nbsp;profitability.”</p><p><blockquote>莱万多夫斯基说，Canopy Growth 与 Constellation Brands (STZ) 的关系是一个优势，但该公司 “在关键绩效指标上进展不一，面临着快速发展的加拿大市场，新进入者抢占市场份额，消费者口味不断变化，即使新店开业，行业增长也乏善可陈，盈利能力的可见度有限”。</blockquote></p><p> Constellation Brands owns a 36% stake in Canopy Growth, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>据 FactSet 称，Constellation Brands 拥有 Canopy Growth 36% 的股份。</blockquote></p><p> Recent management changes at the company and the planned sale of C3, a German pharmaceutical company, were efforts at Canopy Growth that “will take time to show results,” the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师说，Canopy Growth 最近的管理层变动以及计划出售德国制药公司 C3，这些都是 Canopy Growth 的努力 “需要时间才能看到成效”。</blockquote></p><p> BofA reduced its price target on U.S. shares to $7.94&nbsp;from&nbsp;$15.15.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行将美股目标价从 15.15 美元下调至 7.94 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Canopy Growth Stock Is Downgraded Again, This Time on ‘Execution Challenges’<blockquote>Canopy Growth 股票再次被下调评级，这次是因为 “执行挑战”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCanopy Growth Stock Is Downgraded Again, This Time on ‘Execution Challenges’<blockquote>Canopy Growth 股票再次被下调评级，这次是因为 “执行挑战”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 13:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Canopy Growth&nbsp;was downgraded at BofA Securities with the analysts noting “execution challenges and a tough Canadian&nbsp;operating environment.”</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券（BofA Securities）下调了 Canopy Growth 的评级，分析师指出 “执行挑战和加拿大严峻的经营环境”。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst Lisa Lewandowski wrote in a note Wednesday that she sees “long-term potential for the legal cannabis industry driven by U.S. federal legalization and changing attitudes toward cannabis consumption,” but was downgrading the stock of Canopy Growth (ticker: CGC) to Underperform from Neutral.</p><p><blockquote>分析师丽莎-莱万多夫斯基（Lisa Lewandowski）在周三的一份报告中写道，她认为 “在美国联邦合法化和对大麻消费态度的改变的推动下，合法大麻行业具有长期潜力”，但将 Canopy Growth（股票代码：CGC）的股票评级从中性下调至表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> U.S.-listed shares of the Canadian cannabis company fell 3% to $9.37. The stock has declined 62% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这家加拿大大麻公司在美国上市的股价下跌 3%，至 9.37 美元。该股2021年已下跌62%。</blockquote></p><p> Lewandowski said Canopy Growth’s relationship with&nbsp;Constellation Brands&nbsp;(STZ) was a plus, but the company “has shown&nbsp;mixed progress on key performance metrics, is&nbsp;confronted&nbsp;with&nbsp;a rapidly&nbsp;evolving&nbsp;Canadian market with new entrants taking&nbsp;market&nbsp;share&nbsp;and changing consumer tastes,&nbsp;lackluster industry growth&nbsp;even with&nbsp;new stores&nbsp;opening and&nbsp;limited visibility for&nbsp;profitability.”</p><p><blockquote>莱万多夫斯基说，Canopy Growth 与 Constellation Brands (STZ) 的关系是一个优势，但该公司 “在关键绩效指标上进展不一，面临着快速发展的加拿大市场，新进入者抢占市场份额，消费者口味不断变化，即使新店开业，行业增长也乏善可陈，盈利能力的可见度有限”。</blockquote></p><p> Constellation Brands owns a 36% stake in Canopy Growth, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>据 FactSet 称，Constellation Brands 拥有 Canopy Growth 36% 的股份。</blockquote></p><p> Recent management changes at the company and the planned sale of C3, a German pharmaceutical company, were efforts at Canopy Growth that “will take time to show results,” the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师说，Canopy Growth 最近的管理层变动以及计划出售德国制药公司 C3，这些都是 Canopy Growth 的努力 “需要时间才能看到成效”。</blockquote></p><p> BofA reduced its price target on U.S. shares to $7.94&nbsp;from&nbsp;$15.15.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行将美股目标价从 15.15 美元下调至 7.94 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/canopy-growth-cgc-stock-downgrade-cannabis-51640192812?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/canopy-growth-cgc-stock-downgrade-cannabis-51640192812?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103220602","content_text":"Canopy Growth was downgraded at BofA Securities with the analysts noting “execution challenges and a tough Canadian operating environment.”\nAnalyst Lisa Lewandowski wrote in a note Wednesday that she sees “long-term potential for the legal cannabis industry driven by U.S. federal legalization and changing attitudes toward cannabis consumption,” but was downgrading the stock of Canopy Growth (ticker: CGC) to Underperform from Neutral.\nU.S.-listed shares of the Canadian cannabis company fell 3% to $9.37. The stock has declined 62% in 2021.\nLewandowski said Canopy Growth’s relationship with Constellation Brands (STZ) was a plus, but the company “has shown mixed progress on key performance metrics, is confronted with a rapidly evolving Canadian market with new entrants taking market share and changing consumer tastes, lackluster industry growth even with new stores opening and limited visibility for profitability.”\nConstellation Brands owns a 36% stake in Canopy Growth, according to FactSet.\nRecent management changes at the company and the planned sale of C3, a German pharmaceutical company, were efforts at Canopy Growth that “will take time to show results,” the analyst said.\nBofA reduced its price target on U.S. shares to $7.94 from $15.15.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CGC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856605792,"gmtCreate":1635171634857,"gmtModify":1635171635042,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$</a>long term potential?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$</a>long term potential?","text":"$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$long term potential?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df16469a1cce9c32ef8adb73777328b","width":"1080","height":"2429"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856605792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691707041,"gmtCreate":1640237607418,"gmtModify":1640237607478,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ttm","listText":"Ttm","text":"Ttm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691707041","repostId":"1132132037","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132132037","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640236963,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1132132037?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 13:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Stock: Why It Might Outperform Rivals in 2022<blockquote>Netflix 股票：为什么它可能在 2022 年跑赢竞争对手</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132132037","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Could 2022 be a great year for Netflix stock? Here's why shares of the streaming platform may outper","content":"<p>Could 2022 be a great year for Netflix stock? Here's why shares of the streaming platform may outperform its competitors again next year.</p><p><blockquote>2022 年对于 Netflix 股票来说会是伟大的一年吗？这就是为什么该流媒体平台的股价明年可能会再次跑赢竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> After Netflix's&nbsp;great stock performance in 2021, fans of the streaming service are wondering what's in store for the company and its shares in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>继 Netflix 在 2021 年表现出色之后，该流媒体服务的粉丝们想知道该公司及其股票在 2022 年将会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p> Let's sum up what happened to NFLX shares this year and whether they still present a good opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>让我们总结一下NFLX股票今年发生了什么，以及它们是否仍然为投资者提供了良好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2b3cf4fdc5d06fd34521575cb3c69b3\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"812\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Netflix's office.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：网飞的办公室。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Netflix's 2021 Revenue Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Netflix 2021 年收入业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at company revenue, Netflix continued to grow during 2021 but experienced a slowdown compared to 2020. This was likely due to the subscription boom the company experienced during 2020 thanks to COVID lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>从公司收入来看，Netflix在2021年持续增长，但与2020年相比有所放缓。这可能是由于新冠疫情封锁导致该公司在 2020 年经历了订阅热潮。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, during the last three quarters, Netflix's revenue showed year-over-year average revenue growth of 20%. In addition, its operating margins rose from 20.4% in the third quarter of 2020 to 23.5% in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，在过去三个季度中，Netflix 的收入同比平均收入增长了 20%。此外，其营业利润率从2020年第三季度的20.4%上升至2021年第三季度的23.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f704b36024b940ec42ace68116770a9\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"438\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Netflix's financial statements.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：Netflix的财务报表。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Subscriber growth is another key metric for investors. Unfortunately, results here were disappointing in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>用户增长是投资者的另一个关键指标。不幸的是，2021年这里的结果令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, Netflix's subscriber growth was more than 20% per quarter. This dropped to 10% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，Netflix的订户每季度增长率超过20%。这一比例在2021年下降到10%。</blockquote></p><p> However, investors should take it into account that, during the early months of the pandemic, the company experienced record-breaking growth. The decrease we've seen this year may just be the result of subscriber growth returning to normal levels.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者应该考虑到，在疫情的最初几个月，该公司经历了破纪录的增长。我们今年看到的下降可能只是订户增长恢复正常水平的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Did NFLX Perform Against Other Streaming Services?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>NFLX与其他流媒体服务相比表现如何？</b></blockquote></p><p> Compared to its competitors, NFLX did very well in 2021 with cumulative growth of 16%. Other stocks that compete in the video streaming segment saw worse returns. For example, Amazon&nbsp;shares appreciated only 5%, while Disney&nbsp;suffered a drop of nearly 20%.</p><p><blockquote>与竞争对手相比，NFLX在2021年表现非常出色，累计增长16%。其他在视频流领域竞争的股票的回报更差。例如，亚马逊股价仅升值5%，而迪士尼则下跌近20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd970e1a30a0271380825554f364907d\" tg-width=\"811\" tg-height=\"428\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: AMZN, DIS, NFLX and SPY performance in 2021.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图3：2021年AMZN、DIS、NFLX和SPDR标普500指数ETF的表现。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NFLX's performance looks less stellar when compared to companies outside the streaming segment. In fact, the stock underperformed the S&amp;P 500 in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与流媒体领域以外的公司相比，NFLX 的业绩看起来不太出色。事实上，该股2021年的表现逊于标普500。</blockquote></p><p> As Netflix stock moves away from its peak in November, there may still be room for the company to grow.</p><p><blockquote>随着 Netflix 股价摆脱 11 月份的峰值，该公司可能仍有增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Next?: Our Take on NFLX for 2022</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一步是什么？：我们对 2022 年 NFLX 的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Netflix was a pioneer in the video streaming segment. And despite fierce competition from giants like Disney and Amazon, it still has the largest market share in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 是视频流领域的先驱。尽管面临迪士尼和亚马逊等巨头的激烈竞争，它仍然拥有业内最大的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Netflix is constantly betting on new segments for revenue growth. For example, it recently pushed beyond films by launching an interactive games division. Moves like this expose Netflix to new subscribers and boost its bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Netflix 不断押注于新的细分市场以实现收入增长。例如，它最近推出了互动游戏部门，超越了电影领域。像这样的举措让 Netflix 接触到了新用户，并提高了其利润。</blockquote></p><p> We believe that the recent fall in NFLX’s stock price translates to a buying opportunity for long-term investors who agree there’s still plenty of growth to come.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，NFLX 股价最近的下跌为长期投资者带来了买入机会，他们认为未来仍有大量增长。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Stock: Why It Might Outperform Rivals in 2022<blockquote>Netflix 股票：为什么它可能在 2022 年跑赢竞争对手</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Stock: Why It Might Outperform Rivals in 2022<blockquote>Netflix 股票：为什么它可能在 2022 年跑赢竞争对手</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 13:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Could 2022 be a great year for Netflix stock? Here's why shares of the streaming platform may outperform its competitors again next year.</p><p><blockquote>2022 年对于 Netflix 股票来说会是伟大的一年吗？这就是为什么该流媒体平台的股价明年可能会再次跑赢竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> After Netflix's&nbsp;great stock performance in 2021, fans of the streaming service are wondering what's in store for the company and its shares in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>继 Netflix 在 2021 年表现出色之后，该流媒体服务的粉丝们想知道该公司及其股票在 2022 年将会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p> Let's sum up what happened to NFLX shares this year and whether they still present a good opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>让我们总结一下NFLX股票今年发生了什么，以及它们是否仍然为投资者提供了良好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2b3cf4fdc5d06fd34521575cb3c69b3\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"812\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Netflix's office.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：网飞的办公室。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Netflix's 2021 Revenue Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Netflix 2021 年收入业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at company revenue, Netflix continued to grow during 2021 but experienced a slowdown compared to 2020. This was likely due to the subscription boom the company experienced during 2020 thanks to COVID lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>从公司收入来看，Netflix在2021年持续增长，但与2020年相比有所放缓。这可能是由于新冠疫情封锁导致该公司在 2020 年经历了订阅热潮。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, during the last three quarters, Netflix's revenue showed year-over-year average revenue growth of 20%. In addition, its operating margins rose from 20.4% in the third quarter of 2020 to 23.5% in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，在过去三个季度中，Netflix 的收入同比平均收入增长了 20%。此外，其营业利润率从2020年第三季度的20.4%上升至2021年第三季度的23.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f704b36024b940ec42ace68116770a9\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"438\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Netflix's financial statements.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：Netflix的财务报表。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Subscriber growth is another key metric for investors. Unfortunately, results here were disappointing in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>用户增长是投资者的另一个关键指标。不幸的是，2021年这里的结果令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, Netflix's subscriber growth was more than 20% per quarter. This dropped to 10% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，Netflix的订户每季度增长率超过20%。这一比例在2021年下降到10%。</blockquote></p><p> However, investors should take it into account that, during the early months of the pandemic, the company experienced record-breaking growth. The decrease we've seen this year may just be the result of subscriber growth returning to normal levels.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者应该考虑到，在疫情的最初几个月，该公司经历了破纪录的增长。我们今年看到的下降可能只是订户增长恢复正常水平的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Did NFLX Perform Against Other Streaming Services?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>NFLX与其他流媒体服务相比表现如何？</b></blockquote></p><p> Compared to its competitors, NFLX did very well in 2021 with cumulative growth of 16%. Other stocks that compete in the video streaming segment saw worse returns. For example, Amazon&nbsp;shares appreciated only 5%, while Disney&nbsp;suffered a drop of nearly 20%.</p><p><blockquote>与竞争对手相比，NFLX在2021年表现非常出色，累计增长16%。其他在视频流领域竞争的股票的回报更差。例如，亚马逊股价仅升值5%，而迪士尼则下跌近20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd970e1a30a0271380825554f364907d\" tg-width=\"811\" tg-height=\"428\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: AMZN, DIS, NFLX and SPY performance in 2021.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图3：2021年AMZN、DIS、NFLX和SPDR标普500指数ETF的表现。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NFLX's performance looks less stellar when compared to companies outside the streaming segment. In fact, the stock underperformed the S&amp;P 500 in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与流媒体领域以外的公司相比，NFLX 的业绩看起来不太出色。事实上，该股2021年的表现逊于标普500。</blockquote></p><p> As Netflix stock moves away from its peak in November, there may still be room for the company to grow.</p><p><blockquote>随着 Netflix 股价摆脱 11 月份的峰值，该公司可能仍有增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Next?: Our Take on NFLX for 2022</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一步是什么？：我们对 2022 年 NFLX 的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Netflix was a pioneer in the video streaming segment. And despite fierce competition from giants like Disney and Amazon, it still has the largest market share in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 是视频流领域的先驱。尽管面临迪士尼和亚马逊等巨头的激烈竞争，它仍然拥有业内最大的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Netflix is constantly betting on new segments for revenue growth. For example, it recently pushed beyond films by launching an interactive games division. Moves like this expose Netflix to new subscribers and boost its bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Netflix 不断押注于新的细分市场以实现收入增长。例如，它最近推出了互动游戏部门，超越了电影领域。像这样的举措让 Netflix 接触到了新用户，并提高了其利润。</blockquote></p><p> We believe that the recent fall in NFLX’s stock price translates to a buying opportunity for long-term investors who agree there’s still plenty of growth to come.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，NFLX 股价最近的下跌为长期投资者带来了买入机会，他们认为未来仍有大量增长。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/streaming/nflx/netflix-stock-should-you-buy-nflx-shares-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/streaming/nflx/netflix-stock-should-you-buy-nflx-shares-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132132037","content_text":"Could 2022 be a great year for Netflix stock? Here's why shares of the streaming platform may outperform its competitors again next year.\nAfter Netflix's great stock performance in 2021, fans of the streaming service are wondering what's in store for the company and its shares in 2022.\nLet's sum up what happened to NFLX shares this year and whether they still present a good opportunity for investors.\nFigure 1: Netflix's office.\nNetflix's 2021 Revenue Results\nLooking at company revenue, Netflix continued to grow during 2021 but experienced a slowdown compared to 2020. This was likely due to the subscription boom the company experienced during 2020 thanks to COVID lockdowns.\nEven so, during the last three quarters, Netflix's revenue showed year-over-year average revenue growth of 20%. In addition, its operating margins rose from 20.4% in the third quarter of 2020 to 23.5% in the third quarter of 2021.\nFigure 2: Netflix's financial statements.\nSubscriber growth is another key metric for investors. Unfortunately, results here were disappointing in 2021.\nIn 2020, Netflix's subscriber growth was more than 20% per quarter. This dropped to 10% in 2021.\nHowever, investors should take it into account that, during the early months of the pandemic, the company experienced record-breaking growth. The decrease we've seen this year may just be the result of subscriber growth returning to normal levels.\nHow Did NFLX Perform Against Other Streaming Services?\nCompared to its competitors, NFLX did very well in 2021 with cumulative growth of 16%. Other stocks that compete in the video streaming segment saw worse returns. For example, Amazon shares appreciated only 5%, while Disney suffered a drop of nearly 20%.\nFigure 3: AMZN, DIS, NFLX and SPY performance in 2021.\nHowever, NFLX's performance looks less stellar when compared to companies outside the streaming segment. In fact, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 in 2021.\nAs Netflix stock moves away from its peak in November, there may still be room for the company to grow.\nWhat's Next?: Our Take on NFLX for 2022\nNetflix was a pioneer in the video streaming segment. And despite fierce competition from giants like Disney and Amazon, it still has the largest market share in the industry.\nIn addition, Netflix is constantly betting on new segments for revenue growth. For example, it recently pushed beyond films by launching an interactive games division. Moves like this expose Netflix to new subscribers and boost its bottom line.\nWe believe that the recent fall in NFLX’s stock price translates to a buying opportunity for long-term investors who agree there’s still plenty of growth to come.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845132423,"gmtCreate":1636299004466,"gmtModify":1636299004587,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845132423","repostId":"843244545","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":843244545,"gmtCreate":1635836949483,"gmtModify":1636092763588,"author":{"id":"3579612413176972","authorId":"3579612413176972","name":"Yonny","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cec755333c5c72f85e4c5dd5080490c8","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579612413176972","authorIdStr":"3579612413176972"},"themes":[],"title":"Rivian is a better buy than Lucid, IMO","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$</a>,the&nbsp;EV&nbsp;automaker and automotive technology company&nbsp;is&nbsp;going&nbsp;to go public as soon as next week,&nbsp;and&nbsp;retail traders can&nbsp;get into&nbsp;the IPO&nbsp;on&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>.&nbsp; Rivian&nbsp;said&nbsp;it is offering 135 million shares priced between $57 and $62,&nbsp;putting valuation up&nbsp;to&nbsp;near $55 billion.&nbsp;And&nbsp;the&nbsp;company&nbsp;is&nbsp;backed by&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a> and&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$Ford(F)$</a> So&nbsp;compared&nbsp;to&nbsp;","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$</a>,the&nbsp;EV&nbsp;automaker and automotive technology company&nbsp;is&nbsp;going&nbsp;to go public as soon as next week,&nbsp;and&nbsp;retail traders can&nbsp;get into&nbsp;the IPO&nbsp;on&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>.&nbsp; Rivian&nbsp;said&nbsp;it is offering 135 million shares priced between $57 and $62,&nbsp;putting valuation up&nbsp;to&nbsp;near $55 billion.&nbsp;And&nbsp;the&nbsp;company&nbsp;is&nbsp;backed by&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a> and&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$Ford(F)$</a> So&nbsp;compared&nbsp;to&nbsp;","text":"$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$,the EV automaker and automotive technology company is going to go public as soon as next week, and retail traders can get into the IPO on $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$. Rivian said it is offering 135 million shares priced between $57 and $62, putting valuation up to near $55 billion. And the company is backed by $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ and $Ford(F)$ So compared to","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2547c8ce512a5377c138129416f63e64","width":"1780","height":"680"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843244545","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846880415,"gmtCreate":1636072707706,"gmtModify":1636072707778,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PATH\">$UiPath(PATH)$</a>great potential !","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PATH\">$UiPath(PATH)$</a>great potential !","text":"$UiPath(PATH)$great potential !","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b2be22fd819b32b2426fddd05133612","width":"1080","height":"2528"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846880415","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849477604,"gmtCreate":1635775742226,"gmtModify":1635775742291,"author":{"id":"3577068348393147","authorId":"3577068348393147","name":"GerardBungee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed18bbfb3b78ae0c31b89056409c9938","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577068348393147","authorIdStr":"3577068348393147"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFE\">$Paysafe Ltd(PSFE)$</a>yay or nay?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFE\">$Paysafe Ltd(PSFE)$</a>yay or nay?","text":"$Paysafe Ltd(PSFE)$yay or nay?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a848c0d4f7c259222fcb06e09bed5dc","width":"1080","height":"2429"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849477604","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}