ET88的个人主页 - 老虎社区

ET88

ET88

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2021-10-06

Buy the dip.

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2021-08-26

I am right here waiting NVDA. ❤️

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2021-08-19

Like a rocket!

NVDA soars over 6% in morning trading<blockquote>NVDA早盘飙升逾6%</blockquote>

2021-08-05

Yay!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-01

Time for bargain hunting!

Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>

2021-08-01

Go Goog!

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2021-08-01

👍

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2021-07-31

Pumping more $$$

Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在路上。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>

2021-07-31

😢

SGD to weaken to $1.35/USD amidst COVID-19 woes: Fitch<blockquote>惠誉：在COVID-19困境中，新加坡元将跌至1.35美元/美元</blockquote>

2021-07-27

Yay!

AMD Reports Earnings Tuesday. It’s All About the Data Center.<blockquote>AMD周二公布财报。这一切都与数据中心有关。</blockquote>

2021-07-24

Go FB!

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2021-07-21

Oh no…

Netflix Slides After Subscriber Guidance Misses Estimates<blockquote>订户指引未达预期后Netflix股价下滑</blockquote>

2021-07-21

I ❤️ 🍎

Apple’s Earnings Are Next Week. Analysts Are Expecting More.<blockquote>苹果的财报将于下周公布。分析师预计会更多。</blockquote>

2021-07-20

I am ready.

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2021-07-20

Go for gold [Miser]

Worried about inflation? Here’s how investments did in the 1970s<blockquote>担心通货膨胀？以下是20世纪70年代的投资表现</blockquote>

2021-07-18

Haha 😂

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-15

Crash or no crash, I am ready. [Smile]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-15

Buy the dip

GM Warns Some Bolt EV Owners To Park Vehicles Outside Due to Spontaneous Combustion Risk<blockquote>通用汽车警告部分Bolt EV车主因自燃风险将车辆停放在室外</blockquote>

2021-07-15

Game on!

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2021-07-13

To the moon!

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Wall Street analysts had forecast the chipmaker to earn $1.02 a share on $6.34 billion in sales.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达(NVDA)报告本季度每股利润为1.04美元，总收入为65.1亿美元。华尔街分析师此前预测这家芯片制造商的销售额为63.4亿美元，每股收益为1.02美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9901d7947e5f939784f513f994e97469\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NVDA soars over 6% in morning trading<blockquote>NVDA早盘飙升逾6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNVDA soars over 6% in morning trading<blockquote>NVDA早盘飙升逾6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-19 23:28</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug&nbsp;19)&nbsp;Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA)&nbsp;shares rose&nbsp;over 6%&nbsp;Thursday&nbsp;to&nbsp;a&nbsp;record&nbsp;high following the chipmaker's second-quarter results that were highlighted by strength in the company's data center business.</p><p><blockquote>（8月19日）英伟达（纳斯达克：NVDA）股价周四上涨超过6%，创历史新高，此前该芯片制造商公布了第二季度业绩，凸显了该公司数据中心业务的实力。</blockquote></p><p> Data center revenue rose 35% from a year ago, to $2.37 billion. Bank of America Securities analyst Vivek Arya said that with regards to its data center offerings, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA Corp</a> (NVDA) showed growth in hyperscale, vertical markets and high-performance computing, which Arya said should help the company's data center business grow by at least 30% a year over the long-term. Arya has a buy rating and $260-a-share price target on Nvidia's (NVDA) stock.</p><p><blockquote>数据中心收入同比增长35%，达到23.7亿美元。美国银行证券分析师Vivek Arya表示，就其数据中心产品而言，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达公司</a>(NVDA)在超大规模、垂直市场和高性能计算方面表现出增长，Arya表示，从长远来看，这应该有助于该公司的数据中心业务每年至少增长30%。Arya对Nvidia(NVDA)股票给予买入评级和每股260美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> But, it was the gaming that produced the largest share of the company's revenue in the most-recent quarter. Gaming totaled $3.06 billion, up 85% from a year ago, led by demand for GeForce graphics processors and system-on-a-chip offerings for game consoles.</p><p><blockquote>但是，在最近一个季度，游戏在公司收入中所占份额最大。游戏总收入为30.6亿美元，同比增长85%，主要是对GeForce图形处理器和游戏机片上系统产品的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Timothy Arcuri, of UBS, said Nvidia's (NVDA) gaming business is \"trending more in-line\" heading into what is typically a strong fall quarter for the company. Arcuri has a buy rating and $230-a-share price target on the chipmaker's stock.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银(UBS)的蒂莫西·阿库里(Timothy Arcuri)表示，英伟达(NVDA)的游戏业务“趋势更加一致”，进入该公司通常强劲的秋季季度。Arcuri对这家芯片制造商的股票给予买入评级和每股230美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> For the quarter, Nvidia (NVDA) reported a profit of $1.04 a share, on total revenue of $6.51 billion. Wall Street analysts had forecast the chipmaker to earn $1.02 a share on $6.34 billion in sales.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达(NVDA)报告本季度每股利润为1.04美元，总收入为65.1亿美元。华尔街分析师此前预测这家芯片制造商的销售额为63.4亿美元，每股收益为1.02美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9901d7947e5f939784f513f994e97469\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150522255","content_text":"(Aug 19) Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA) shares rose over 6% Thursday to a record high following the chipmaker's second-quarter results that were highlighted by strength in the company's data center business.\nData center revenue rose 35% from a year ago, to $2.37 billion. Bank of America Securities analyst Vivek Arya said that with regards to its data center offerings, NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) showed growth in hyperscale, vertical markets and high-performance computing, which Arya said should help the company's data center business grow by at least 30% a year over the long-term. Arya has a buy rating and $260-a-share price target on Nvidia's (NVDA) stock.\nBut, it was the gaming that produced the largest share of the company's revenue in the most-recent quarter. Gaming totaled $3.06 billion, up 85% from a year ago, led by demand for GeForce graphics processors and system-on-a-chip offerings for game consoles.\nTimothy Arcuri, of UBS, said Nvidia's (NVDA) gaming business is \"trending more in-line\" heading into what is typically a strong fall quarter for the company. Arcuri has a buy rating and $230-a-share price target on the chipmaker's stock.\nFor the quarter, Nvidia (NVDA) reported a profit of $1.04 a share, on total revenue of $6.51 billion. Wall Street analysts had forecast the chipmaker to earn $1.02 a share on $6.34 billion in sales.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890530433,"gmtCreate":1628122909722,"gmtModify":1631889815579,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yay!&nbsp;","listText":"Yay!&nbsp;","text":"Yay!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890530433","repostId":"1116782530","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802477421,"gmtCreate":1627801078163,"gmtModify":1631885102347,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time for bargain hunting!&nbsp;","listText":"Time for bargain hunting!&nbsp;","text":"Time for bargain hunting!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802477421","repostId":"1142925544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142925544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627787240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142925544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142925544","media":"Barron's","summary":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970","content":"<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多很好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-01 11:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多很好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142925544","content_text":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.\nBut the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.\nAugust actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.\nThis July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.\nAugust’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”\nNot surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.\nPast isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.\nThe company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.\nAmong those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.\nTo be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.\nBut in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”\nHow those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.\nEconomists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.\nMarkowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802477346,"gmtCreate":1627801036385,"gmtModify":1631889815587,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go Goog!&nbsp;","listText":"Go Goog!&nbsp;","text":"Go Goog!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802477346","repostId":"1122171439","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802585089,"gmtCreate":1627788531041,"gmtModify":1631889815601,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802585089","repostId":"2156166889","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802399668,"gmtCreate":1627714555754,"gmtModify":1631889815611,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pumping more $$$","listText":"Pumping more $$$","text":"Pumping more $$$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802399668","repostId":"1186334150","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186334150","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627713845,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186334150?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 14:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在路上。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186334150","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investme","content":"<p>U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美国立法者似乎即将通过一项期待已久的大规模基础设施投资法案，总额约为1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The legislation should be a boost to businesses like<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">Vulcan Materials</a>(ticker: VMC) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">Martin Marietta Materials</a>(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>(CAT) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">Terex</a>(TEX), which make construction equipment; and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">United Rentals</a>(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>这项立法应该会促进像这样的企业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">瓦肯材料</a>（股票代码：VMC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">马丁·玛丽埃塔材料</a>（传销），生产混凝土和沥青；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>（猫）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">特雷克斯</a>（特克斯），制造建筑设备；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">联合租赁公司</a>(URI)，租赁机器。由于基础设施支出的前景，他们的大多数股票已经上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> infrastructure play has been overlooked:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">Atlas</a> Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.</p><p><blockquote>但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>基础设施的发挥被忽视了：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">阿特拉斯</a>技术顾问(ATCX)提供工程和设计服务、建筑物和公共工程的检查和认证以及其他与建筑相关的服务。更多的建设意味着更多的计划和设计供Atlas审查。这些最终成为需要年度检查的成品项目，多年来都有回报。</blockquote></p><p> And yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>然而阿特拉斯的股价却停滞不前。该股最近的股价为9美元，仅为企业价值与预计2022年息税折旧摊销前利润(Ebitda)的八倍。对于Montrose Environmental Group(MEG)和Tetra Tech(TTEK)等相关检测业务的公司来说，这一倍数是EV/2022 Ebitda的22倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ad62f427fb70a25aa96068bc5d1756\" tg-width=\"442\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">Sterling</a> Partners <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”</p><p><blockquote>专注于小盘股的首席投资官兼投资组合经理凯文·西尔弗曼(Kevin Silverman)表示：“目前，估值折扣的部分原因是债务，但我想说，像Atlas这样的公司债务是合适的。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">英镑</a>合作伙伴<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Advisors拥有价值超过200万美元的Atlas股票，约占其管理资产的2%。“如果你有稳定的利润率并可以利用它来实现增长，那么债务会对股东有所帮助。”</blockquote></p><p> And Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas拥有巨大的增长机会。除了基础设施法案的提振之外，Atlas还有一项长期战略，即整合分散的美国检验服务市场，同时降低其债务水平。两者都应该会增加其对投资者的吸引力，并为其赢得更高的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> The Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于德克萨斯州奥斯汀的公司于2020年初通过与一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并上市。这笔交易给该公司带来了复杂的资本结构，包括多个股票类别、未偿认股权证和其他复杂因素。这种复杂性可能让一些投资者望而却步，Atlas相对较高的债务负担也是如此，其净债务是2021年Ebitda的5.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99bb73a7c212bfed6d0890b8b14fbc15\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Atlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas降低了这种复杂性——赎回其优先股、买断认股权证并增加股票的公开交易流通量——并专注于将其净债务降至Ebitda的三倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas预计今年销售额将增长13%，达到5.3亿美元，Ebitda将增长21%，达到7600万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Its customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">Service</a>, the Environmental Protection Agency, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a> Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>(AAPL).</p><p><blockquote>其客户包括州交通部门、私人建筑业主、电力和水务公司、机场、学校、医院等。其在全国的影响力和领先的规模有助于赢得和留住大型项目和大客户，包括美国邮政<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">服务</a>环境保护局<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>住房管理局、斯坦福大学、沃尔玛(WMT)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>（苹果公司）。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas在过去四个报告季度的调整后Ebitda为6400万美元，而净亏损为1800万美元。截至第一季度末，该公司的积压订单为6.89亿美元，占过去12个月收入4.82亿美元的140%以上。Atlas首席执行官乔·博耶(Joe Boyer)表示：“我从事这个行业已经30年了，这是迄今为止我见过的最高水平。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.</p><p><blockquote>该公司约70%的收入来自现有建筑、管道、道路和桥梁的工作。这些工作是非自由裁量的：正如我们有时悲惨地了解到的那样，无论经济或疫情形势如何，基础设施都需要定期检查和更新。</blockquote></p><p> The remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.</p><p><blockquote>Boyer表示，Atlas剩余30%的销售额与新建筑有关，新建筑在大流行期间有所下降，但几乎回到了Covid-19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>美国城市和州外包服务的长期趋势、更严格的环境标准以及老化的基础设施一直是Atlas近年来有机增长的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> That trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年Atlas归私募股权公司Bernhard Capital Partners所有以来，这一趋势约占Atlas销售额复合年增长率20%的一半。另一条增长途径是阿特拉斯的收购战略。</blockquote></p><p> “The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们的想法是在我们不占主导地位的地区或服务中找到一家公司，将其带到我们的平台上，并通过我们的网络进行交叉销售，”博耶说。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas的最佳收购目标是Ebitda约为500万至2000万美元，该公司通常以现金和股票的方式支付Ebitda的四至六倍。这使得每笔交易都会立即增加收益。</blockquote></p><p> As a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">Stifel</a> analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>作为一家规模较小且相对年轻的上市公司，Atlas得到的华尔街报道很少，但研究该公司的三位分析师持乐观态度。“我们认为该公司所处的终端市场强劲或正在复苏；他们一直在赢得大合同，而且积压订单一直在增长，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">斯蒂费尔</a>分析师诺埃尔·迪尔茨。“因此，我们对基本收入前景感觉良好。”</blockquote></p><p> She rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.</p><p><blockquote>她将Atlas评级为买入，目标价为14.50美元，是她对2022年Ebitda预期的11倍，其中不包括潜在基础设施法案带来的任何上行空间。使用15倍的Ebitda倍数，Sterling的Silverman预计，随着债务偿还的继续和盈利的上升，三年后股价将升至43美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.</p><p><blockquote>阿特拉斯的资产负债表仍然有待修复，但该公司拥有正确的基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在路上。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInfrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在路上。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 14:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美国立法者似乎即将通过一项期待已久的大规模基础设施投资法案，总额约为1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The legislation should be a boost to businesses like<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">Vulcan Materials</a>(ticker: VMC) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">Martin Marietta Materials</a>(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>(CAT) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">Terex</a>(TEX), which make construction equipment; and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">United Rentals</a>(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>这项立法应该会促进像这样的企业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">瓦肯材料</a>（股票代码：VMC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">马丁·玛丽埃塔材料</a>（传销），生产混凝土和沥青；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>（猫）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">特雷克斯</a>（特克斯），制造建筑设备；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">联合租赁公司</a>(URI)，租赁机器。由于基础设施支出的前景，他们的大多数股票已经上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> infrastructure play has been overlooked:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">Atlas</a> Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.</p><p><blockquote>但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>基础设施的发挥被忽视了：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">阿特拉斯</a>技术顾问(ATCX)提供工程和设计服务、建筑物和公共工程的检查和认证以及其他与建筑相关的服务。更多的建设意味着更多的计划和设计供Atlas审查。这些最终成为需要年度检查的成品项目，多年来都有回报。</blockquote></p><p> And yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>然而阿特拉斯的股价却停滞不前。该股最近的股价为9美元，仅为企业价值与预计2022年息税折旧摊销前利润(Ebitda)的八倍。对于Montrose Environmental Group(MEG)和Tetra Tech(TTEK)等相关检测业务的公司来说，这一倍数是EV/2022 Ebitda的22倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ad62f427fb70a25aa96068bc5d1756\" tg-width=\"442\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">Sterling</a> Partners <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”</p><p><blockquote>专注于小盘股的首席投资官兼投资组合经理凯文·西尔弗曼(Kevin Silverman)表示：“目前，估值折扣的部分原因是债务，但我想说，像Atlas这样的公司债务是合适的。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">英镑</a>合作伙伴<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Advisors拥有价值超过200万美元的Atlas股票，约占其管理资产的2%。“如果你有稳定的利润率并可以利用它来实现增长，那么债务会对股东有所帮助。”</blockquote></p><p> And Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas拥有巨大的增长机会。除了基础设施法案的提振之外，Atlas还有一项长期战略，即整合分散的美国检验服务市场，同时降低其债务水平。两者都应该会增加其对投资者的吸引力，并为其赢得更高的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> The Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于德克萨斯州奥斯汀的公司于2020年初通过与一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并上市。这笔交易给该公司带来了复杂的资本结构，包括多个股票类别、未偿认股权证和其他复杂因素。这种复杂性可能让一些投资者望而却步，Atlas相对较高的债务负担也是如此，其净债务是2021年Ebitda的5.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99bb73a7c212bfed6d0890b8b14fbc15\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Atlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas降低了这种复杂性——赎回其优先股、买断认股权证并增加股票的公开交易流通量——并专注于将其净债务降至Ebitda的三倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas预计今年销售额将增长13%，达到5.3亿美元，Ebitda将增长21%，达到7600万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Its customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">Service</a>, the Environmental Protection Agency, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a> Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>(AAPL).</p><p><blockquote>其客户包括州交通部门、私人建筑业主、电力和水务公司、机场、学校、医院等。其在全国的影响力和领先的规模有助于赢得和留住大型项目和大客户，包括美国邮政<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">服务</a>环境保护局<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>住房管理局、斯坦福大学、沃尔玛(WMT)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>（苹果公司）。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas在过去四个报告季度的调整后Ebitda为6400万美元，而净亏损为1800万美元。截至第一季度末，该公司的积压订单为6.89亿美元，占过去12个月收入4.82亿美元的140%以上。Atlas首席执行官乔·博耶(Joe Boyer)表示：“我从事这个行业已经30年了，这是迄今为止我见过的最高水平。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.</p><p><blockquote>该公司约70%的收入来自现有建筑、管道、道路和桥梁的工作。这些工作是非自由裁量的：正如我们有时悲惨地了解到的那样，无论经济或疫情形势如何，基础设施都需要定期检查和更新。</blockquote></p><p> The remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.</p><p><blockquote>Boyer表示，Atlas剩余30%的销售额与新建筑有关，新建筑在大流行期间有所下降，但几乎回到了Covid-19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>美国城市和州外包服务的长期趋势、更严格的环境标准以及老化的基础设施一直是Atlas近年来有机增长的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> That trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年Atlas归私募股权公司Bernhard Capital Partners所有以来，这一趋势约占Atlas销售额复合年增长率20%的一半。另一条增长途径是阿特拉斯的收购战略。</blockquote></p><p> “The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们的想法是在我们不占主导地位的地区或服务中找到一家公司，将其带到我们的平台上，并通过我们的网络进行交叉销售，”博耶说。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas的最佳收购目标是Ebitda约为500万至2000万美元，该公司通常以现金和股票的方式支付Ebitda的四至六倍。这使得每笔交易都会立即增加收益。</blockquote></p><p> As a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">Stifel</a> analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>作为一家规模较小且相对年轻的上市公司，Atlas得到的华尔街报道很少，但研究该公司的三位分析师持乐观态度。“我们认为该公司所处的终端市场强劲或正在复苏；他们一直在赢得大合同，而且积压订单一直在增长，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">斯蒂费尔</a>分析师诺埃尔·迪尔茨。“因此，我们对基本收入前景感觉良好。”</blockquote></p><p> She rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.</p><p><blockquote>她将Atlas评级为买入，目标价为14.50美元，是她对2022年Ebitda预期的11倍，其中不包括潜在基础设施法案带来的任何上行空间。使用15倍的Ebitda倍数，Sterling的Silverman预计，随着债务偿还的继续和盈利的上升，三年后股价将升至43美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.</p><p><blockquote>阿特拉斯的资产负债表仍然有待修复，但该公司拥有正确的基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/infrastructure-buy-atlas-technical-consultants-stock-51627684191?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/infrastructure-buy-atlas-technical-consultants-stock-51627684191?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186334150","content_text":"U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.\nThe legislation should be a boost to businesses likeVulcan Materials(ticker: VMC) andMartin Marietta Materials(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;Caterpillar(CAT) andTerex(TEX), which make construction equipment; andUnited Rentals(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.\nBut one infrastructure play has been overlooked:Atlas Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.\nAnd yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.\n“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused Sterling Partners Equity Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”\nAnd Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.\nThe Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.\n\nAtlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.\nAtlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.\nIts customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal Service, the Environmental Protection Agency, the New York City Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), andApple(AAPL).\nAtlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tellsBarron’s.\nAbout 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.\nThe remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.\nA long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.\nThat trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.\n“The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.\nAtlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.\nAs a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says Stifel analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”\nShe rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.\nAtlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802399880,"gmtCreate":1627714508640,"gmtModify":1631889815634,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😢","listText":"😢","text":"😢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802399880","repostId":"1167653033","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167653033","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627706886,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167653033?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 12:48","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"SGD to weaken to $1.35/USD amidst COVID-19 woes: Fitch<blockquote>惠誉：在COVID-19困境中，新加坡元将跌至1.35美元/美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167653033","media":"Singapore Business","summary":"The Singapore dollar (SGD) is expected to weaken to $1.35 versus the US dollar (USD) for 2021, accor","content":"<p>The Singapore dollar (SGD) is expected to weaken to $1.35 versus the US dollar (USD) for 2021, according to Fitch Solutions, to weaken further to $1.36 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>根据惠誉解决方案的数据，预计2021年新加坡元兑美元汇率将跌至1.35美元，2022年将进一步跌至1.36美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a downgrade from its previous forecast of $1.33 against the greenback for 2021 and $1.32 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这比之前预测的2021年兑美元1.33美元和2022年兑美元1.32美元有所下调。</blockquote></p><p> “The SGD has weakened in line with most other Asian currencies after the Fed’s hawkish surprise on June 16, and will likely trade in a weaker range between $1.35 per USD and $1.38 per USD for the remainder of 2021 and likely in 2022 as well,” Fitch said.</p><p><blockquote>惠誉表示：“在美联储6月16日的鹰派意外之后，新加坡元与大多数其他亚洲货币一致走弱，2021年剩余时间以及2022年可能会在1.35美元兑1.38美元之间的弱势区间内交易。”说。</blockquote></p><p> This is due to the risk-off sentiment sparked by the resurgence of COVID-19 infections across Asia, including the key economies of Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand.</p><p><blockquote>这是由于亚洲（包括印度尼西亚、马来西亚和泰国等主要经济体）新冠肺炎感染死灰复燃引发的避险情绪。</blockquote></p><p> The SGD&nbsp;also breached the key support level of $1.35 per USD on 8 July and has weakened since. The last time Singapore breached this level was in July 2018, during the initial phases of the US-China trade war.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡元也在7月8日突破了1美元兑1.35美元的关键支撑位，此后一直走弱。新加坡上一次突破这一水平是在2018年7月，当时正值美中贸易战的初始阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “However, any weakness in the SGD should be capped by the economy being in a much more resilient position than other Asian markets, due to the fast progress in vaccinating the population,” it added. “This puts Singapore in a much more resilient position compared to most other Asian economies and the SGD could benefit from some degree of safe-haven flows from elsewhere in the region as the year progresses, limiting prospects for further depreciation beyond our identified trading range.”</p><p><blockquote>它补充说：“然而，由于人口疫苗接种取得了快速进展，新加坡元的任何疲软都应该受到经济比其他亚洲市场更具弹性的限制。”“与大多数其他亚洲经济体相比，这使新加坡处于更具弹性的地位，随着时间的推移，新加坡元可能会受益于来自该地区其他地方的某种程度的避险资金，从而限制了进一步贬值超出我们确定的交易范围的前景。”</blockquote></p><p> For the long term, Fitch expects a strong recovery in exports to support the currency in 2022, but balanced by the risk of a potentially more hawkish US Fed if above-2% target inflation persists.</p><p><blockquote>从长期来看，惠誉预计2022年出口强劲复苏将支撑人民币，但如果目标通胀率持续高于2%，美联储可能会采取更加鹰派的风险将抵消这一风险。</blockquote></p><p> Fitch Solutions identified as a key risk the possibility of a COVID-19 variant that can bypass existing vaccines, which could force Singapore to implement further lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>惠誉解决方案（Fitch Solutions）认为，一个关键风险是新冠肺炎变种可能绕过现有疫苗，这可能迫使新加坡实施进一步的封锁。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SGD to weaken to $1.35/USD amidst COVID-19 woes: Fitch<blockquote>惠誉：在COVID-19困境中，新加坡元将跌至1.35美元/美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSGD to weaken to $1.35/USD amidst COVID-19 woes: Fitch<blockquote>惠誉：在COVID-19困境中，新加坡元将跌至1.35美元/美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Singapore Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 12:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Singapore dollar (SGD) is expected to weaken to $1.35 versus the US dollar (USD) for 2021, according to Fitch Solutions, to weaken further to $1.36 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>根据惠誉解决方案的数据，预计2021年新加坡元兑美元汇率将跌至1.35美元，2022年将进一步跌至1.36美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a downgrade from its previous forecast of $1.33 against the greenback for 2021 and $1.32 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这比之前预测的2021年兑美元1.33美元和2022年兑美元1.32美元有所下调。</blockquote></p><p> “The SGD has weakened in line with most other Asian currencies after the Fed’s hawkish surprise on June 16, and will likely trade in a weaker range between $1.35 per USD and $1.38 per USD for the remainder of 2021 and likely in 2022 as well,” Fitch said.</p><p><blockquote>惠誉表示：“在美联储6月16日的鹰派意外之后，新加坡元与大多数其他亚洲货币一致走弱，2021年剩余时间以及2022年可能会在1.35美元兑1.38美元之间的弱势区间内交易。”说。</blockquote></p><p> This is due to the risk-off sentiment sparked by the resurgence of COVID-19 infections across Asia, including the key economies of Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand.</p><p><blockquote>这是由于亚洲（包括印度尼西亚、马来西亚和泰国等主要经济体）新冠肺炎感染死灰复燃引发的避险情绪。</blockquote></p><p> The SGD&nbsp;also breached the key support level of $1.35 per USD on 8 July and has weakened since. The last time Singapore breached this level was in July 2018, during the initial phases of the US-China trade war.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡元也在7月8日突破了1美元兑1.35美元的关键支撑位，此后一直走弱。新加坡上一次突破这一水平是在2018年7月，当时正值美中贸易战的初始阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “However, any weakness in the SGD should be capped by the economy being in a much more resilient position than other Asian markets, due to the fast progress in vaccinating the population,” it added. “This puts Singapore in a much more resilient position compared to most other Asian economies and the SGD could benefit from some degree of safe-haven flows from elsewhere in the region as the year progresses, limiting prospects for further depreciation beyond our identified trading range.”</p><p><blockquote>它补充说：“然而，由于人口疫苗接种取得了快速进展，新加坡元的任何疲软都应该受到经济比其他亚洲市场更具弹性的限制。”“与大多数其他亚洲经济体相比，这使新加坡处于更具弹性的地位，随着时间的推移，新加坡元可能会受益于来自该地区其他地方的某种程度的避险资金，从而限制了进一步贬值超出我们确定的交易范围的前景。”</blockquote></p><p> For the long term, Fitch expects a strong recovery in exports to support the currency in 2022, but balanced by the risk of a potentially more hawkish US Fed if above-2% target inflation persists.</p><p><blockquote>从长期来看，惠誉预计2022年出口强劲复苏将支撑人民币，但如果目标通胀率持续高于2%，美联储可能会采取更加鹰派的风险将抵消这一风险。</blockquote></p><p> Fitch Solutions identified as a key risk the possibility of a COVID-19 variant that can bypass existing vaccines, which could force Singapore to implement further lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>惠誉解决方案（Fitch Solutions）认为，一个关键风险是新冠肺炎变种可能绕过现有疫苗，这可能迫使新加坡实施进一步的封锁。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/economy/in-focus/sgd-weaken-135usd-amidst-covid-19-woes-fitch\">Singapore Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/economy/in-focus/sgd-weaken-135usd-amidst-covid-19-woes-fitch","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167653033","content_text":"The Singapore dollar (SGD) is expected to weaken to $1.35 versus the US dollar (USD) for 2021, according to Fitch Solutions, to weaken further to $1.36 in 2022.\nThis is a downgrade from its previous forecast of $1.33 against the greenback for 2021 and $1.32 in 2022.\n“The SGD has weakened in line with most other Asian currencies after the Fed’s hawkish surprise on June 16, and will likely trade in a weaker range between $1.35 per USD and $1.38 per USD for the remainder of 2021 and likely in 2022 as well,” Fitch said.\nThis is due to the risk-off sentiment sparked by the resurgence of COVID-19 infections across Asia, including the key economies of Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand.\nThe SGD also breached the key support level of $1.35 per USD on 8 July and has weakened since. The last time Singapore breached this level was in July 2018, during the initial phases of the US-China trade war.\n“However, any weakness in the SGD should be capped by the economy being in a much more resilient position than other Asian markets, due to the fast progress in vaccinating the population,” it added. “This puts Singapore in a much more resilient position compared to most other Asian economies and the SGD could benefit from some degree of safe-haven flows from elsewhere in the region as the year progresses, limiting prospects for further depreciation beyond our identified trading range.”\nFor the long term, Fitch expects a strong recovery in exports to support the currency in 2022, but balanced by the risk of a potentially more hawkish US Fed if above-2% target inflation persists.\nFitch Solutions identified as a key risk the possibility of a COVID-19 variant that can bypass existing vaccines, which could force Singapore to implement further lockdowns.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809822515,"gmtCreate":1627359420737,"gmtModify":1631889815635,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yay!&nbsp;","listText":"Yay!&nbsp;","text":"Yay!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809822515","repostId":"1190848120","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190848120","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627356244,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190848120?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 11:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD Reports Earnings Tuesday. It’s All About the Data Center.<blockquote>AMD周二公布财报。这一切都与数据中心有关。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190848120","media":"Barrons","summary":"When chip designer Advanced Micro Devices reports earnings Tuesday after the closing bell, investors","content":"<p>When chip designer Advanced Micro Devices reports earnings Tuesday after the closing bell, investors are expecting a 266% increase in per-share profit and a near doubling in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>当芯片设计公司Advanced Micro Devices周二收盘后公布财报时，投资者预计每股利润将增长266%，收入将几乎翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> Amid chip shortages crippling the global economy, investors have lofty expectations for semiconductor businesses.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片短缺导致全球经济瘫痪的情况下，投资者对半导体业务抱有很高的期望。</blockquote></p><p> For AMD (ticker: AMD), the company’s ability to top high expectations may come down to its revenue from data center chips. That data-center market is rich with opportunity for AMD, after the launch delay of a new advanced server chip from rival Intel (INTC).</p><p><blockquote>对于AMD（股票代码：AMD）来说，该公司能否超出高预期可能取决于其来自数据中心芯片的收入。在竞争对手英特尔(INTC)推迟推出新型先进服务器芯片后，数据中心市场对AMD来说充满了机会。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis wrote that, according to his team’s industry checks, AMD’s Milan server chips are set to take a significant amount of market share from Intel in the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>Jefferies分析师Mark Lipacis写道，根据其团队的行业检查，AMD的Milan服务器芯片将在今年下半年从英特尔手中夺走大量市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> AMD executives have issued consistently bullish guidance. In April, the company forecast that revenue would be up 86% in the second-quarter, to approximately $3.6 billion. Analysts currently expect second-quarter adjusted profit of 54 cents a share on revenue of $3.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMD高管一直发布看涨指引。4月份，该公司预测第二季度收入将增长86%，达到约36亿美元。分析师目前预计第二季度调整后每股利润为54美分，营收为36亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street expects AMD to deliver computer and graphics segment revenue of $2.2 billion and enterprise, embedded, and semi-custom revenue of $1.4 billion. The company’s semi-custom business includes chips designed for new videogame consoles sold by Microsoft (MSFT) and Sony (SNE).</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计AMD将实现22亿美元的计算机和图形部门收入，14亿美元的企业、嵌入式和半定制收入。该公司的半定制业务包括为微软(MSFT)和Sony(SNE)销售的新型视频游戏机设计的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has previously said it expects full-year 2021 revenue to grow about 50% from last year.</p><p><blockquote>AMD此前曾表示，预计2021年全年营收将较去年增长约50%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s growth potential could be limited by difficulties in obtaining materials and components necessary for chip making, as well as securing additional capacity from its contract manufacturers, including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava wrote that data center demand could be hurt by component shortages and some of the materials necessary to manufacture chips.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的增长潜力可能会受到难以获得芯片制造所需材料和组件以及难以从包括台积电(TSM)在内的合同制造商获得额外产能的限制。BMO资本市场分析师Ambrish Srivastava写道，数据中心的需求可能会因零部件短缺和制造芯片所需的一些材料而受到损害。</blockquote></p><p> Because AMD shares trade at a high multiple—42 times earnings estimates for the next 12 months—Srivastava said that the company would need to top Wall Street expectations by a “meaningful” amount and again raise its full-year guidance to move the stock higher.</p><p><blockquote>由于AMD股价的市盈率很高——未来12个月盈利预期的42倍——Srivastava表示，该公司需要超出华尔街预期一个“有意义”的金额，并再次上调全年指引以推动股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has reported better-than-expected per-share profit for the past four quarters. It has missed revenue estimates only once in the past two years.</p><p><blockquote>AMD公布的过去四个季度的每股利润好于预期。过去两年，该公司仅有一次未达到收入预期。</blockquote></p><p> Outsize expectations and bullish forecasts from executives haven’t done much to help AMD’s stock recently. After soaring in 2020, AMD shares are flat this year, while the PHLX Semiconductor index is up 17%.</p><p><blockquote>高管们的过高预期和看涨预测最近并没有对AMD的股价产生多大帮助。AMD股价在2020年飙升后，今年持平，而PHLX半导体指数上涨17%。</blockquote></p><p> Among Wall Street analysts covering AMD, 25 rate the stock at Buy, 15 at Hold, and three at Sell. The average target price is $102.35, 11% above a recent close of $91.82.</p><p><blockquote>在研究AMD的华尔街分析师中，25人将该股评级为买入，15人评级为持有，3人评级为卖出。平均目标价为102.35美元，较近期收盘价91.82美元上涨11%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD Reports Earnings Tuesday. It’s All About the Data Center.<blockquote>AMD周二公布财报。这一切都与数据中心有关。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD Reports Earnings Tuesday. It’s All About the Data Center.<blockquote>AMD周二公布财报。这一切都与数据中心有关。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 11:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>When chip designer Advanced Micro Devices reports earnings Tuesday after the closing bell, investors are expecting a 266% increase in per-share profit and a near doubling in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>当芯片设计公司Advanced Micro Devices周二收盘后公布财报时，投资者预计每股利润将增长266%，收入将几乎翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> Amid chip shortages crippling the global economy, investors have lofty expectations for semiconductor businesses.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片短缺导致全球经济瘫痪的情况下，投资者对半导体业务抱有很高的期望。</blockquote></p><p> For AMD (ticker: AMD), the company’s ability to top high expectations may come down to its revenue from data center chips. That data-center market is rich with opportunity for AMD, after the launch delay of a new advanced server chip from rival Intel (INTC).</p><p><blockquote>对于AMD（股票代码：AMD）来说，该公司能否超出高预期可能取决于其来自数据中心芯片的收入。在竞争对手英特尔(INTC)推迟推出新型先进服务器芯片后，数据中心市场对AMD来说充满了机会。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis wrote that, according to his team’s industry checks, AMD’s Milan server chips are set to take a significant amount of market share from Intel in the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>Jefferies分析师Mark Lipacis写道，根据其团队的行业检查，AMD的Milan服务器芯片将在今年下半年从英特尔手中夺走大量市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> AMD executives have issued consistently bullish guidance. In April, the company forecast that revenue would be up 86% in the second-quarter, to approximately $3.6 billion. Analysts currently expect second-quarter adjusted profit of 54 cents a share on revenue of $3.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMD高管一直发布看涨指引。4月份，该公司预测第二季度收入将增长86%，达到约36亿美元。分析师目前预计第二季度调整后每股利润为54美分，营收为36亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street expects AMD to deliver computer and graphics segment revenue of $2.2 billion and enterprise, embedded, and semi-custom revenue of $1.4 billion. The company’s semi-custom business includes chips designed for new videogame consoles sold by Microsoft (MSFT) and Sony (SNE).</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计AMD将实现22亿美元的计算机和图形部门收入，14亿美元的企业、嵌入式和半定制收入。该公司的半定制业务包括为微软(MSFT)和Sony(SNE)销售的新型视频游戏机设计的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has previously said it expects full-year 2021 revenue to grow about 50% from last year.</p><p><blockquote>AMD此前曾表示，预计2021年全年营收将较去年增长约50%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s growth potential could be limited by difficulties in obtaining materials and components necessary for chip making, as well as securing additional capacity from its contract manufacturers, including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava wrote that data center demand could be hurt by component shortages and some of the materials necessary to manufacture chips.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的增长潜力可能会受到难以获得芯片制造所需材料和组件以及难以从包括台积电(TSM)在内的合同制造商获得额外产能的限制。BMO资本市场分析师Ambrish Srivastava写道，数据中心的需求可能会因零部件短缺和制造芯片所需的一些材料而受到损害。</blockquote></p><p> Because AMD shares trade at a high multiple—42 times earnings estimates for the next 12 months—Srivastava said that the company would need to top Wall Street expectations by a “meaningful” amount and again raise its full-year guidance to move the stock higher.</p><p><blockquote>由于AMD股价的市盈率很高——未来12个月盈利预期的42倍——Srivastava表示，该公司需要超出华尔街预期一个“有意义”的金额，并再次上调全年指引以推动股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has reported better-than-expected per-share profit for the past four quarters. It has missed revenue estimates only once in the past two years.</p><p><blockquote>AMD公布的过去四个季度的每股利润好于预期。过去两年，该公司仅有一次未达到收入预期。</blockquote></p><p> Outsize expectations and bullish forecasts from executives haven’t done much to help AMD’s stock recently. After soaring in 2020, AMD shares are flat this year, while the PHLX Semiconductor index is up 17%.</p><p><blockquote>高管们的过高预期和看涨预测最近并没有对AMD的股价产生多大帮助。AMD股价在2020年飙升后，今年持平，而PHLX半导体指数上涨17%。</blockquote></p><p> Among Wall Street analysts covering AMD, 25 rate the stock at Buy, 15 at Hold, and three at Sell. The average target price is $102.35, 11% above a recent close of $91.82.</p><p><blockquote>在研究AMD的华尔街分析师中，25人将该股评级为买入，15人评级为持有，3人评级为卖出。平均目标价为102.35美元，较近期收盘价91.82美元上涨11%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amd-reports-earnings-tuesday-its-all-about-the-data-center-51627339031?mod=hp_DAY_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amd-reports-earnings-tuesday-its-all-about-the-data-center-51627339031?mod=hp_DAY_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190848120","content_text":"When chip designer Advanced Micro Devices reports earnings Tuesday after the closing bell, investors are expecting a 266% increase in per-share profit and a near doubling in revenue.\nAmid chip shortages crippling the global economy, investors have lofty expectations for semiconductor businesses.\nFor AMD (ticker: AMD), the company’s ability to top high expectations may come down to its revenue from data center chips. That data-center market is rich with opportunity for AMD, after the launch delay of a new advanced server chip from rival Intel (INTC).\nJefferies analyst Mark Lipacis wrote that, according to his team’s industry checks, AMD’s Milan server chips are set to take a significant amount of market share from Intel in the second half of the year.\nAMD executives have issued consistently bullish guidance. In April, the company forecast that revenue would be up 86% in the second-quarter, to approximately $3.6 billion. Analysts currently expect second-quarter adjusted profit of 54 cents a share on revenue of $3.6 billion.\nWall Street expects AMD to deliver computer and graphics segment revenue of $2.2 billion and enterprise, embedded, and semi-custom revenue of $1.4 billion. The company’s semi-custom business includes chips designed for new videogame consoles sold by Microsoft (MSFT) and Sony (SNE).\nAMD has previously said it expects full-year 2021 revenue to grow about 50% from last year.\nAMD’s growth potential could be limited by difficulties in obtaining materials and components necessary for chip making, as well as securing additional capacity from its contract manufacturers, including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava wrote that data center demand could be hurt by component shortages and some of the materials necessary to manufacture chips.\nBecause AMD shares trade at a high multiple—42 times earnings estimates for the next 12 months—Srivastava said that the company would need to top Wall Street expectations by a “meaningful” amount and again raise its full-year guidance to move the stock higher.\nAMD has reported better-than-expected per-share profit for the past four quarters. It has missed revenue estimates only once in the past two years.\nOutsize expectations and bullish forecasts from executives haven’t done much to help AMD’s stock recently. After soaring in 2020, AMD shares are flat this year, while the PHLX Semiconductor index is up 17%.\nAmong Wall Street analysts covering AMD, 25 rate the stock at Buy, 15 at Hold, and three at Sell. The average target price is $102.35, 11% above a recent close of $91.82.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2736,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174709622,"gmtCreate":1627134576366,"gmtModify":1631889815641,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go FB!&nbsp;","listText":"Go FB!&nbsp;","text":"Go FB!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174709622","repostId":"1181195967","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176982671,"gmtCreate":1626854877093,"gmtModify":1631889815654,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no…","listText":"Oh no…","text":"Oh no…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176982671","repostId":"1183563723","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183563723","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626853969,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183563723?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 15:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Slides After Subscriber Guidance Misses Estimates<blockquote>订户指引未达预期后Netflix股价下滑</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183563723","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Recent earnings reports from streaming giant $Netflix$ have been a mixed bag: the stock tumbled three quarters ago when the company reported earnings for its first full \"post Corona\" quarter and warned that\"growth is slowing\",before againplunging three quarters agowhen the company reported a huge miss in both EPS and new subs, which at 2.2 million was tied for the worst quarter in the past five years, while also reporting a worse than expected outlook for the current quarter. This reversedtwo qu","content":"<p>Recent earnings reports from streaming giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> have been a mixed bag: the stock tumbled three quarters ago when the company reported earnings for its first full \"post Corona\" quarter and warned that<i>\"growth is slowing\",</i>before againplunging three quarters agowhen the company reported a huge miss in both EPS and new subs, which at 2.2 million was tied for the worst quarter in the past five years, while also reporting a worse than expected outlook for the current quarter. This reversedtwo quarters agowhen Netflix reported a blowout subscriber beat and projected it would soon be cash flow positive, sending its stock soaring to an all time high - if only briefly before again reversing and then tumblinglast quarterwhen Netflix again disappointed when it reported a huge subscriber miss and giving dismal guidance.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体巨头最近的收益报告<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>情况好坏参半：三个季度前，当该公司公布第一个完整的“后电晕”季度收益时，该股暴跌，并警告称<i>“增长放缓”，</i>在三个季度前再次暴跌之前，该公司报告每股收益和新潜艇均大幅下滑，为220万辆，并列过去五年来最糟糕的季度，同时还报告了本季度的前景差于预期。两个季度前，这种情况发生了逆转，当时Netflix报告订户数量井喷，并预计很快就会实现正现金流，导致其股价飙升至历史新高——即使只是短暂的，然后再次逆转，然后暴跌。上个季度，Netflix报告订户数量巨大，再次感到失望。错过并给出令人沮丧的指导。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fe65be48d8a2ae27f38c5f2f476d77\" tg-width=\"1223\" tg-height=\"670\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Which brings us to today, when investors are on edge today to find out not whether the company would beat or miss expectations, but rather if the slowdown CEO Reed Hastings warned about is for real and has pulled forward even more subscribers due to covid? After all, Netflix has been warning for months that growth would slow in 2021 compared to the phenomenal signup rate at the start of the pandemic lockdown last year. And yes, brace for a huge base effect hit:<i>in the second quarter of 2020, the service added 10 million new customers, second only to the 15.77 million it added in the record first quarter of 2020.</i></p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了今天，投资者今天紧张地想知道的不是该公司是否会超出或低于预期，而是首席执行官里德·黑斯廷斯警告的经济放缓是否是真的，并且由于新冠疫情而吸引了更多的订户？毕竟，Netflix几个月来一直警告称，与去年大流行封锁开始时惊人的注册率相比，2021年的增长将放缓。是的，准备好迎接巨大的基础效应吧：<i>2020年第二季度，该服务新增客户1000万，仅次于创纪录的2020年第一季度新增的1577万。</i></blockquote></p><p> To be sure, despite a series of hit or miss earnings, the company has been riding a wave of optimism, its stock soaring in early 2021. Still, after hitting to a record high in January, the stock has traded rangbeound, unable to break out to a new high, for the past seven months. And while there’s no doubt that viewership has surged during the Covid-19 lockdowns in the U.S. and much of the world, there are complications: the virus has brought TV and film production to a halt, a situation that may only get more dire for Netflix as the months wear on. But the biggest question remains<b>how many future subs has covid brought to the present, and tied to that - will the panic over the Delta strain lead to another mini burst in subscribers in the coming quater(s)?</b></p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，尽管盈利出现了一系列时好时坏的情况，但该公司一直在乘着乐观情绪的浪潮，其股价在2021年初飙升。尽管如此，在一月份创下历史新高后，该股在过去七个月里一直徘徊不前，未能突破新高。尽管毫无疑问，在美国和世界大部分地区的Covid-19封锁期间，收视率激增，但也存在复杂情况：病毒导致电视和电影制作停止，随着时间的推移，这种情况对Netflix来说可能只会变得更加可怕。但最大的问题依然存在<b>covid为现在带来了多少未来的subs，与此相关的是，对Delta菌株的恐慌会导致未来几个季度用户的另一次小爆发吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Indicatively, consensus expects just 1.12 million new subscribers to be added in the second quarter, just above the company's own projection of 1 million new subs. Revenue are expected to come in at $7.32 billion, up from $7.16 billion last quarter, and resulting in EPS of $3.36, down slightly from last quarter's $3.75. This, as streaming video remains on a hot streak since the pandemic struck.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，市场普遍预计第二季度仅新增112万新用户，略高于该公司自己预测的100万新用户。收入预计为73.2亿美元，高于上季度的71.6亿美元，每股收益为3.36美元，略低于上季度的3.75美元。这是因为自疫情袭击以来，流媒体视频一直保持火爆势头。</blockquote></p><p> Previewing the quarterly result, Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Geetha Ranganathan and Amine Bensaid cautioned that Netflix’s massive 2020 is leading to more muted subscriber gains this year: \"Netflix will continue to feel the aftereffects of a super-charged 1H20, with a massive pull-forward of demand prompting tempered expectations for 1 million additions in 2Q, its lowest quarterly level since 4Q11. The pull-forward may have also been amplified by price increases and pent-up demand for outdoor entertainment leading to uncertainty in 3Q guidance, though the return of several high-profile titles (‘Witcher,’ ‘Cobra Kai,’ ‘You’ and ‘Money Heist’) will be a clear catalyst for normalizing subscriber gains from 4Q and into 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>彭博资讯(Bloomberg Intelligence)分析师Geetha Ranganathan和Amine Bensaid在预览季度业绩时警告称，Netflix 2020年的大规模增长将导致今年的订户增长更加疲软：Netflix, Inc.将继续感受到1H20超负荷的后遗症，需求将大幅拉动第二季度新增100万人的预期，这是自2011年第四季度以来的最低季度水平。价格上涨和户外娱乐需求被压抑，导致第三季度指引的不确定性，尽管几部备受瞩目的游戏（《巫师》、《眼镜蛇凯》、《你》和《金钱大劫案》）的回归将成为第四季度至2022年订户增长正常化的明显催化剂。”</blockquote></p><p> LightShed Partners media analyst Rich Greenfield published what he sees as the key questions Netflix investors should ask management after its earnings report. Among them are when Netflix’s subscriber growth will normalize, whether India can be a meaningful driver of profitability, and where the company sees opportunities in video games. Greenfield asks: “Is the goal to leverage IP you create for TV/film or create original video game IP that can be leveraged into TV/film production?”</p><p><blockquote>LightShed Partners媒体分析师Rich Greenfield发表了他认为Netflix投资者在财报发布后应该向管理层提出的关键问题。其中包括Netflix的用户增长何时会正常化，印度是否可以成为盈利的有意义的驱动力，以及该公司在视频游戏领域看到了哪些机会。格林菲尔德问道：“目标是利用你为电视/电影创作的IP，还是创造可以用于电视/电影制作的原创视频游戏IP？”</blockquote></p><p> Another thing to watch out for is how a slowdown in production last year is affecting the service. The filming of new shows and movies basically came to a standstill in early 2020, which curbed output in the following months.</p><p><blockquote>另一件需要注意的事情是去年生产放缓如何影响服务。新节目和电影的拍摄在2020年初基本陷入停滞，这抑制了随后几个月的产量。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> <b>So with all that in mind, was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> the quarter that would finally unleash another repricing higher for Netflix stock?</b>Alas, it would again not be this time because despite beating on the top line, and adding more subscribers than expected, the company missed on EPS and<i>again</i>reported another dismal quarterly guidance which came in well below expectations (full letter to shareholders).</p><p><blockquote><b>考虑到这一点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>这个季度最终会引发Netflix股票的另一次重新定价？</b>唉，这次又不会了，因为尽管营收超出预期，订户数量也超出预期，但该公司未能实现每股收益和<i>再一次</i>报告了另一份惨淡的季度指引，远低于预期（致股东的完整信）。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a>, the good news:</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>好消息是：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>Q2 revenue $7.34B,<i><b>beating</b></i>Est. $7.32B</li>  <li>Q2 Streaming Paid Net Change +1.54M,<i><b>beating</b></i>Est. +1.12M</li>  <li>Operating margin of 25.2% came in on top of estiamtes of 25.2%</li> </ul> And then the bad news:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第二季度收入$7.34 B，<i><b>殴打</b></i>是的。$7.32 B</li><li>第二季度流媒体付费净变化+154万，<i><b>殴打</b></i>是的。+1.12 M</li><li>营业利润率为25.2%，高于预期的25.2%</li></ul>然后是坏消息：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Q2 EPS $2.97 missing consensus Est. $3.14</b></li>  <li><b>Company sees Q3 Streaming Paid Net Change +3.50M, far below the Wall Street estimate of +5.86M</b></li> </ul> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> as bad,<b>the company reported its first decline in US/Canada paid subscribers, which shrank by 430K to 73.95MM. This was the first time NFLX lost customers domestically since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>第二季度每股收益2.97美元，未达到共识预期。$3.14</b></li><li><b>公司预计第三季度流媒体付费净变化+350万，远低于华尔街预期的+586万</b></li></ul><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>同样糟糕，<b>该公司报告称，美国/加拿大付费用户首次下降，减少43万至7395万。这是NFLX自2019年以来首次在国内失去客户。</b></blockquote></p><p> In other words, while q2 revenue rose 19% and operating income rose 36%,<b>shares tumbled after its third-quarter subscriber forecast missed estimates.</b></p><p><blockquote>也就是说，在q2营收增长19%、营业收入增长36%的同时，<b>第三季度订户预测未达到预期后，股价暴跌。</b></blockquote></p><p> Here is the full breakdown of Q2 subs which saw a drop in US/Canada paid subs:</p><p><blockquote>以下是第二季度美国/加拿大付费潜艇数量下降的潜艇的完整明细：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>UCAN streaming paid net change -430,000, estimate +52,190</b></li>  <li>EMEA streaming paid net change +190,000, estimate +429,335</li>  <li>LATAM streaming paid net change +760,000, estimate +128,719</li>  <li>APAC streaming paid net change +1.02 million, estimate +524,900</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">Total</a> Streaming paid net change +1.54 million, estimate +1.12 million (Bloomberg Consensus)</li> </ul> And visually:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>UCAN streaming付费净变化-430,000，估计+52,190</b></li><li>EMEA流媒体付费净变化+190,000，预估+429,335</li><li>LATAM streaming付费净变化+760,000，预估+128,719</li><li>亚太地区流媒体付费净变化+102万，预估+524,900</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">总的</a>流媒体付费净变化+154万，预估+112万（彭博共识）</li></ul>视觉上：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85f0ab057ffe490df75bde4db70226d4\" tg-width=\"863\" tg-height=\"842\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Commenting on the Q2 results, NFLX said that revenue growth was driven by an 11% increase in average paid streaming memberships and 8% growth in average revenue per membership (ARM). “COVID has created some lumpiness in our membership growth (higher growth in 2020, slower growth this year), which is working its way through.”</p><p><blockquote>NFLX在评论第二季度业绩时表示，收入增长是由平均付费流媒体会员数量增长11%和平均每位会员收入(ARM)增长8%推动的。“新冠疫情给我们的会员增长带来了一些波动（2020年增长较高，今年增长较慢），但这种情况正在得到解决。”</blockquote></p><p> A more detailed breakdown of why the company continues to see \"choppiness\" in its earnings:</p><p><blockquote>更详细地分析了该公司盈利持续“波动”的原因：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>\"The pandemic has created unusual choppiness in our growth and distorts year-over-year comparisons as acquisition and engagement per member household spiked in the early months of COVID. In Q2’21, our engagement per member household was, as expected, down vs. those unprecedented levels but was still up 17% compared with a more comparable Q2’19. Similarly, retention continues to be strong and better than pre-COVID Q2’19 levels, even as average revenue per membership has grown 8% over this two-year period, demonstrating how much our members value Netflix and that as we improve our service we can charge a bit more. \"</i>  NFLX also said that it added 1.5m paid memberships in Q2, \"slightly ahead of our 1.0m guidance forecast\"<b>with the APAC region representing about two-thirds of global paid net adds in the quarter</b>. Meanwhile, as noted above,<b>Q2 paid memberships in the UCAN region were down sequentially (-0.4m paid net adds):</b>\"<i>We believe our large membership base in UCAN coupled with a seasonally smaller quarter for acquisition is the main reason for this dynamic. This is similar to what we experienced in Q2’19 when our UCAN paid net adds were -0.1m; since then we’ve added nearly 7.5m paid net adds in UCAN\"</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“疫情给我们的增长带来了异常波动，并扭曲了同比比较，因为在新冠疫情爆发的最初几个月，每个成员家庭的收购和参与度激增。在21年第二季度，我们每个成员家庭的参与度正如预期的那样有所下降。这些前所未有的水平，但与更具可比性的2019年第二季度相比仍增长了17%。同样，尽管每位会员的平均收入在这两年期间增长了8%，但保留率仍然强劲，并且好于2019年第二季度新冠疫情爆发前的水平，这表明我们的会员对Netflix的重视程度以及我们改进我们的服务我们可以多收一点钱。”</i>NFLX还表示，第二季度付费会员数量增加了150万，“略高于我们100万的指导预测”<b>亚太地区约占本季度全球付费净增额的三分之二</b>同时，如上所述，<b>UCAN地区第二季度付费会员数量环比下降（付费净增-40万）：</b>\"<i>我们认为，我们在UCAN的庞大会员基础加上季节性较小的季度收购是这种动态的主要原因。这与我们在2019年第二季度经历的情况类似，当时我们的UCAN付费净增额为-0.1 M；从那时起，我们在UCAN中增加了近750万付费净添加量”</i></blockquote></p><p> This means that the covid pandemic in 2020 pulled forward so many subs that 2021 is shaping up to be the wirst year since at least 2016.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2020年的covid疫情号推进了如此多的潜艇，以至于2021年将成为至少自2016年以来的第一年。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1a78edf8126b85753fd3218713aba96\" tg-width=\"820\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Understandably, now that companies are comping to 2019 not to 2020 (for the dismal base effect), Netflix is urging investors to compare this year to 2019 and not to the same quarter a year ago (when the pandemic boosted subscriber growth). Oddly the company had no problem comparing 2020 to 2019 when the numbers were in its favor, but we digress... The company points out that user engagement per member household was down in the second quarter compared with “those unprecedented levels” of 2020, but it was up 17% “compared with a more comparable Q2’19.”</p><p><blockquote>可以理解的是，现在公司正在与2019年而不是2020年竞争（由于惨淡的基数效应），Netflix敦促投资者将今年与2019年进行比较，而不是与一年前的同一季度（当时大流行促进了用户增长）进行比较。奇怪的是，当数字对其有利时，该公司在比较2020年和2019年时没有问题，但我们跑题了...该公司指出，与2020年“前所未有的水平”相比，第二季度每个成员家庭的用户参与度有所下降，但“与更具可比性的2019年第二季度相比”增长了17%。</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps in an attempt to divert attention from (lack of) subscriber growth, Netflix said it was making good on its promise back in 2016 to steadily grow its operating margin. The streaming giant is targeting a 20% operating margin for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>或许是为了转移人们对（缺乏）用户增长的注意力，Netflix表示，它正在兑现2016年的承诺，稳步提高营业利润率。这家流媒体巨头的目标是2021年营业利润率达到20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f26d1f9fee9dc38cc58bff5bdc43c73\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Some more details here:</p><p><blockquote>更多详情请点击此处：</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   <i><b>“Assuming we achieve our margin target this year, we will have quintupled our operating margin in the last five years and are tracking ahead of this average annual three percentage point pace..</b></i>   <i>.. With revenue and margin both increasing, our operating profit dollars have risen dramatically as well (even as we have been investing heavily), from about $100 million per quarter in 2016 to nearly $2 billion per quarter so far in 2021.</i>  But while shareholders may excuse the decline in US subs, they were not happy with the company's overall guidance,<b>where it now sees just 3.5 million new subs in Q3, far below the 5.86 million expected.</b></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“假设我们今年实现利润率目标，我们的营业利润率将在过去五年中增长五倍，并且领先于年均三个百分点的速度。</b></i><i>..随着收入和利润率的增长，我们的营业利润也大幅增长（尽管我们一直在大力投资），从2016年的每季度约1亿美元增加到2021年迄今为止的每季度近20亿美元。</i>但是，尽管股东可能会原谅美国潜艇的下降，但他们对公司的整体指导并不满意，<b>目前第三季度新增潜艇数量仅为350万艘，远低于预期的586万艘。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23205a0bb2f7fde61b3ef2da7b7a56bb\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">* * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> Looking at its content slate, Netflix said it would be light in the first half due to Covid. The company is now playing catch-up, with spending on new TV shows and movies up 41% to $8 billion in the first half. The company is targeting $12 billion in content spending for the year, a 12% bump, to wit:</p><p><blockquote>从其内容清单来看，Netflix表示，由于新冠疫情，上半年的内容将会清淡。该公司现在正在迎头赶上，上半年在新电视节目和电影上的支出增长了41%，达到80亿美元。该公司今年的内容支出目标为120亿美元，增长12%，即：</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>Through the first half of 2021 we’ve already spent $8 billion in cash on content (up 41% yr-over-yr and 1.4x our content amortization)</b></i>   <i>and we expect content amortization to be around $12 billion for the full year (+12% year over year). Our Q3 slate will include new seasons of fan favorites La Casa de Papel (aka Money Heist), Sex Education, Virgin River and Never Have I Ever as well as live action films including Sweet Girl (starring Jason Momoa), Kissing Booth 3, and Kate (starring Mary Elizabeth Winstead) and the animated feature film Vivo, featuring all-new songs from Lin-Manuel Miranda.</i>  Netflix offers shared some more details on its upcoming entrance into the gaming arena:</p><p><blockquote><i><b>截至2021年上半年，我们已在内容上花费了80亿美元现金（同比增长41%，内容摊销是1.4倍）</b></i><i>我们预计全年内容摊销约为120亿美元（同比增长12%）。我们的第三季度名单将包括粉丝最爱的《La Casa de Papel》（又名《金钱大劫案》）、《性教育》、《处女河》和《从未有过我》的新一季，以及真人电影，包括《甜蜜的女孩》（由杰森·莫玛主演）、《接吻亭3》和《凯特》（由玛丽·伊丽莎白·温斯蒂德主演）和动画故事片《Vivo》，其中收录了林·曼努尔·米兰达的全新歌曲。</i>Netflix offers分享了有关其即将进入游戏领域的更多细节：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We’re also in the early stages of further expanding into games, building on our earlier efforts around interactivity (e.g., Black Mirror Bandersnatch) and our Stranger Things games. We view gaming as another new content category for us, similar to our expansion into original films, animation and unscripted TV.</i>   <i><b>Games will be included in members’ Netflix subscription at no additional cost, similar to films and series</b></i>   <i>. Initially, we’ll be primarily focused on games for mobile devices. We’re excited as ever about our movies and TV series offering and we expect a long runway of increasing investment and growth across all of our existing content categories, but since we are nearly a decade into our push into original programming, we think the time is right to learn more about how our members value games.”</i>  In its cursory overview of the competitive landscape, Netflix pointed out mergers like WarnerMedia/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISCA\">Discovery</a>, saying they “don’t believe this consolidation has affected our growth much, if at all.” The company also noted that while it’s always evaluating merger opportunities: “We don’t view any assets as ‘must-have’ and we haven’t yet found any large scale ones to be sufficiently compelling to act upon.”</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们还处于进一步向游戏领域扩张的早期阶段，建立在我们早期围绕交互性（例如Black Mirror Bandersnatch）和Stranger Things游戏的基础上。我们将游戏视为我们的另一个新内容类别，类似于我们向原创电影、动画和无脚本电视的扩张。</i><i><b>游戏将免费包含在会员的Netflix订阅中，类似于电影和连续剧</b></i><i>最初，我们将主要关注移动设备上的游戏。我们一如既往地对我们的电影和电视剧产品感到兴奋，我们预计我们所有现有内容类别的投资和增长将会有很长的路要走，但由于我们进军原创节目已近十年，我们认为是时候了解更多有关我们的会员如何重视游戏的信息了。”</i>在对竞争格局的粗略概述中，Netflix指出了像华纳媒体/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISCA\">发现</a>，表示他们“不认为这次整合对我们的增长有太大影响，如果有的话。”该公司还指出，虽然它一直在评估合并机会：“我们不认为任何资产是‘必须拥有的’，而且我们还没有发现任何足以令人信服地采取行动的大规模资产。”</blockquote></p><p> There was more bad news in NFLX cash flow, which after last quarter's surge reversed again, and dropped by $175 million, vs a positive cash flow of $899 million a year ago. NFLX notes that it is \"still expecting full year 2021 free cash flow to be approximately break even.\" The company also believes it no longer needs to raise external financing to fund our day-to-day operations. We'll see if at least that promise pans out.</p><p><blockquote>NFLX现金流方面有更多坏消息，继上季度激增后再次逆转，下降了1.75亿美元，而一年前现金流为正8.99亿美元。NFLX指出，“仍预计2021年全年自由现金流将接近收支平衡。”该公司还认为，不再需要筹集外部融资来为我们的日常运营提供资金。我们将看看至少这个承诺是否会实现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ceb3aed0130e94558eb4acfb4ed6369\" tg-width=\"1022\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In other news, during Q2, NFLX increased its revolving credit facility (which remains undrawn) to $1 billion from $750 million and extended the maturity from 2024 to 2026. The company also repurchased 1 million shares for $500 million (at an average per share price of about $500) under our $5 billion share authorization: the company said its \"main priority is to invest in the organic growth of our business while maintaining strong liquidity and retaining financial flexibility for strategic investments.\"</p><p><blockquote>其他消息方面，第二季度，NFLX将其循环信贷额度（仍未提取）从7.5亿美元增加到10亿美元，并将期限从2024年延长至2026年。该公司还根据我们50亿美元的股票授权，以5亿美元（平均每股价格约为500美元）回购了100万股股票：该公司表示，其“主要优先事项是投资于我们业务的有机增长，同时保持强劲的流动性并保留战略投资的财务灵活性。”</blockquote></p><p> After all that, the market was unimpressed but it could have been worse: after initially plunging below $500 briefly, the stock has since stabilized down 2% around $515. Among stocks that are down in sympathy, video-streaming platform Roku falls 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，市场并不为所动，但情况可能会更糟：在最初短暂跌破500美元后，该股此后稳定下跌2%，约为515美元。在同情下跌的股票中，视频流媒体平台Roku下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7e85e2830bd58f17652f92dedb29b4\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Netflix Slides&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix在盘前交易中下滑。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/304dae8666ce15371c9686fbd96d32bb\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"486\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Slides After Subscriber Guidance Misses Estimates<blockquote>订户指引未达预期后Netflix股价下滑</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Slides After Subscriber Guidance Misses Estimates<blockquote>订户指引未达预期后Netflix股价下滑</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 15:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Recent earnings reports from streaming giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> have been a mixed bag: the stock tumbled three quarters ago when the company reported earnings for its first full \"post Corona\" quarter and warned that<i>\"growth is slowing\",</i>before againplunging three quarters agowhen the company reported a huge miss in both EPS and new subs, which at 2.2 million was tied for the worst quarter in the past five years, while also reporting a worse than expected outlook for the current quarter. This reversedtwo quarters agowhen Netflix reported a blowout subscriber beat and projected it would soon be cash flow positive, sending its stock soaring to an all time high - if only briefly before again reversing and then tumblinglast quarterwhen Netflix again disappointed when it reported a huge subscriber miss and giving dismal guidance.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体巨头最近的收益报告<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>情况好坏参半：三个季度前，当该公司公布第一个完整的“后电晕”季度收益时，该股暴跌，并警告称<i>“增长放缓”，</i>在三个季度前再次暴跌之前，该公司报告每股收益和新潜艇均大幅下滑，为220万辆，并列过去五年来最糟糕的季度，同时还报告了本季度的前景差于预期。两个季度前，这种情况发生了逆转，当时Netflix报告订户数量井喷，并预计很快就会实现正现金流，导致其股价飙升至历史新高——即使只是短暂的，然后再次逆转，然后暴跌。上个季度，Netflix报告订户数量巨大，再次感到失望。错过并给出令人沮丧的指导。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fe65be48d8a2ae27f38c5f2f476d77\" tg-width=\"1223\" tg-height=\"670\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Which brings us to today, when investors are on edge today to find out not whether the company would beat or miss expectations, but rather if the slowdown CEO Reed Hastings warned about is for real and has pulled forward even more subscribers due to covid? After all, Netflix has been warning for months that growth would slow in 2021 compared to the phenomenal signup rate at the start of the pandemic lockdown last year. And yes, brace for a huge base effect hit:<i>in the second quarter of 2020, the service added 10 million new customers, second only to the 15.77 million it added in the record first quarter of 2020.</i></p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了今天，投资者今天紧张地想知道的不是该公司是否会超出或低于预期，而是首席执行官里德·黑斯廷斯警告的经济放缓是否是真的，并且由于新冠疫情而吸引了更多的订户？毕竟，Netflix几个月来一直警告称，与去年大流行封锁开始时惊人的注册率相比，2021年的增长将放缓。是的，准备好迎接巨大的基础效应吧：<i>2020年第二季度，该服务新增客户1000万，仅次于创纪录的2020年第一季度新增的1577万。</i></blockquote></p><p> To be sure, despite a series of hit or miss earnings, the company has been riding a wave of optimism, its stock soaring in early 2021. Still, after hitting to a record high in January, the stock has traded rangbeound, unable to break out to a new high, for the past seven months. And while there’s no doubt that viewership has surged during the Covid-19 lockdowns in the U.S. and much of the world, there are complications: the virus has brought TV and film production to a halt, a situation that may only get more dire for Netflix as the months wear on. But the biggest question remains<b>how many future subs has covid brought to the present, and tied to that - will the panic over the Delta strain lead to another mini burst in subscribers in the coming quater(s)?</b></p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，尽管盈利出现了一系列时好时坏的情况，但该公司一直在乘着乐观情绪的浪潮，其股价在2021年初飙升。尽管如此，在一月份创下历史新高后，该股在过去七个月里一直徘徊不前，未能突破新高。尽管毫无疑问，在美国和世界大部分地区的Covid-19封锁期间，收视率激增，但也存在复杂情况：病毒导致电视和电影制作停止，随着时间的推移，这种情况对Netflix来说可能只会变得更加可怕。但最大的问题依然存在<b>covid为现在带来了多少未来的subs，与此相关的是，对Delta菌株的恐慌会导致未来几个季度用户的另一次小爆发吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Indicatively, consensus expects just 1.12 million new subscribers to be added in the second quarter, just above the company's own projection of 1 million new subs. Revenue are expected to come in at $7.32 billion, up from $7.16 billion last quarter, and resulting in EPS of $3.36, down slightly from last quarter's $3.75. This, as streaming video remains on a hot streak since the pandemic struck.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，市场普遍预计第二季度仅新增112万新用户，略高于该公司自己预测的100万新用户。收入预计为73.2亿美元，高于上季度的71.6亿美元，每股收益为3.36美元，略低于上季度的3.75美元。这是因为自疫情袭击以来，流媒体视频一直保持火爆势头。</blockquote></p><p> Previewing the quarterly result, Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Geetha Ranganathan and Amine Bensaid cautioned that Netflix’s massive 2020 is leading to more muted subscriber gains this year: \"Netflix will continue to feel the aftereffects of a super-charged 1H20, with a massive pull-forward of demand prompting tempered expectations for 1 million additions in 2Q, its lowest quarterly level since 4Q11. The pull-forward may have also been amplified by price increases and pent-up demand for outdoor entertainment leading to uncertainty in 3Q guidance, though the return of several high-profile titles (‘Witcher,’ ‘Cobra Kai,’ ‘You’ and ‘Money Heist’) will be a clear catalyst for normalizing subscriber gains from 4Q and into 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>彭博资讯(Bloomberg Intelligence)分析师Geetha Ranganathan和Amine Bensaid在预览季度业绩时警告称，Netflix 2020年的大规模增长将导致今年的订户增长更加疲软：Netflix, Inc.将继续感受到1H20超负荷的后遗症，需求将大幅拉动第二季度新增100万人的预期，这是自2011年第四季度以来的最低季度水平。价格上涨和户外娱乐需求被压抑，导致第三季度指引的不确定性，尽管几部备受瞩目的游戏（《巫师》、《眼镜蛇凯》、《你》和《金钱大劫案》）的回归将成为第四季度至2022年订户增长正常化的明显催化剂。”</blockquote></p><p> LightShed Partners media analyst Rich Greenfield published what he sees as the key questions Netflix investors should ask management after its earnings report. Among them are when Netflix’s subscriber growth will normalize, whether India can be a meaningful driver of profitability, and where the company sees opportunities in video games. Greenfield asks: “Is the goal to leverage IP you create for TV/film or create original video game IP that can be leveraged into TV/film production?”</p><p><blockquote>LightShed Partners媒体分析师Rich Greenfield发表了他认为Netflix投资者在财报发布后应该向管理层提出的关键问题。其中包括Netflix的用户增长何时会正常化，印度是否可以成为盈利的有意义的驱动力，以及该公司在视频游戏领域看到了哪些机会。格林菲尔德问道：“目标是利用你为电视/电影创作的IP，还是创造可以用于电视/电影制作的原创视频游戏IP？”</blockquote></p><p> Another thing to watch out for is how a slowdown in production last year is affecting the service. The filming of new shows and movies basically came to a standstill in early 2020, which curbed output in the following months.</p><p><blockquote>另一件需要注意的事情是去年生产放缓如何影响服务。新节目和电影的拍摄在2020年初基本陷入停滞，这抑制了随后几个月的产量。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> <b>So with all that in mind, was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> the quarter that would finally unleash another repricing higher for Netflix stock?</b>Alas, it would again not be this time because despite beating on the top line, and adding more subscribers than expected, the company missed on EPS and<i>again</i>reported another dismal quarterly guidance which came in well below expectations (full letter to shareholders).</p><p><blockquote><b>考虑到这一点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>这个季度最终会引发Netflix股票的另一次重新定价？</b>唉，这次又不会了，因为尽管营收超出预期，订户数量也超出预期，但该公司未能实现每股收益和<i>再一次</i>报告了另一份惨淡的季度指引，远低于预期（致股东的完整信）。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a>, the good news:</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>好消息是：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>Q2 revenue $7.34B,<i><b>beating</b></i>Est. $7.32B</li>  <li>Q2 Streaming Paid Net Change +1.54M,<i><b>beating</b></i>Est. +1.12M</li>  <li>Operating margin of 25.2% came in on top of estiamtes of 25.2%</li> </ul> And then the bad news:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第二季度收入$7.34 B，<i><b>殴打</b></i>是的。$7.32 B</li><li>第二季度流媒体付费净变化+154万，<i><b>殴打</b></i>是的。+1.12 M</li><li>营业利润率为25.2%，高于预期的25.2%</li></ul>然后是坏消息：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Q2 EPS $2.97 missing consensus Est. $3.14</b></li>  <li><b>Company sees Q3 Streaming Paid Net Change +3.50M, far below the Wall Street estimate of +5.86M</b></li> </ul> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> as bad,<b>the company reported its first decline in US/Canada paid subscribers, which shrank by 430K to 73.95MM. This was the first time NFLX lost customers domestically since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>第二季度每股收益2.97美元，未达到共识预期。$3.14</b></li><li><b>公司预计第三季度流媒体付费净变化+350万，远低于华尔街预期的+586万</b></li></ul><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>同样糟糕，<b>该公司报告称，美国/加拿大付费用户首次下降，减少43万至7395万。这是NFLX自2019年以来首次在国内失去客户。</b></blockquote></p><p> In other words, while q2 revenue rose 19% and operating income rose 36%,<b>shares tumbled after its third-quarter subscriber forecast missed estimates.</b></p><p><blockquote>也就是说，在q2营收增长19%、营业收入增长36%的同时，<b>第三季度订户预测未达到预期后，股价暴跌。</b></blockquote></p><p> Here is the full breakdown of Q2 subs which saw a drop in US/Canada paid subs:</p><p><blockquote>以下是第二季度美国/加拿大付费潜艇数量下降的潜艇的完整明细：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>UCAN streaming paid net change -430,000, estimate +52,190</b></li>  <li>EMEA streaming paid net change +190,000, estimate +429,335</li>  <li>LATAM streaming paid net change +760,000, estimate +128,719</li>  <li>APAC streaming paid net change +1.02 million, estimate +524,900</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">Total</a> Streaming paid net change +1.54 million, estimate +1.12 million (Bloomberg Consensus)</li> </ul> And visually:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>UCAN streaming付费净变化-430,000，估计+52,190</b></li><li>EMEA流媒体付费净变化+190,000，预估+429,335</li><li>LATAM streaming付费净变化+760,000，预估+128,719</li><li>亚太地区流媒体付费净变化+102万，预估+524,900</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">总的</a>流媒体付费净变化+154万，预估+112万（彭博共识）</li></ul>视觉上：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85f0ab057ffe490df75bde4db70226d4\" tg-width=\"863\" tg-height=\"842\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Commenting on the Q2 results, NFLX said that revenue growth was driven by an 11% increase in average paid streaming memberships and 8% growth in average revenue per membership (ARM). “COVID has created some lumpiness in our membership growth (higher growth in 2020, slower growth this year), which is working its way through.”</p><p><blockquote>NFLX在评论第二季度业绩时表示，收入增长是由平均付费流媒体会员数量增长11%和平均每位会员收入(ARM)增长8%推动的。“新冠疫情给我们的会员增长带来了一些波动（2020年增长较高，今年增长较慢），但这种情况正在得到解决。”</blockquote></p><p> A more detailed breakdown of why the company continues to see \"choppiness\" in its earnings:</p><p><blockquote>更详细地分析了该公司盈利持续“波动”的原因：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>\"The pandemic has created unusual choppiness in our growth and distorts year-over-year comparisons as acquisition and engagement per member household spiked in the early months of COVID. In Q2’21, our engagement per member household was, as expected, down vs. those unprecedented levels but was still up 17% compared with a more comparable Q2’19. Similarly, retention continues to be strong and better than pre-COVID Q2’19 levels, even as average revenue per membership has grown 8% over this two-year period, demonstrating how much our members value Netflix and that as we improve our service we can charge a bit more. \"</i>  NFLX also said that it added 1.5m paid memberships in Q2, \"slightly ahead of our 1.0m guidance forecast\"<b>with the APAC region representing about two-thirds of global paid net adds in the quarter</b>. Meanwhile, as noted above,<b>Q2 paid memberships in the UCAN region were down sequentially (-0.4m paid net adds):</b>\"<i>We believe our large membership base in UCAN coupled with a seasonally smaller quarter for acquisition is the main reason for this dynamic. This is similar to what we experienced in Q2’19 when our UCAN paid net adds were -0.1m; since then we’ve added nearly 7.5m paid net adds in UCAN\"</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“疫情给我们的增长带来了异常波动，并扭曲了同比比较，因为在新冠疫情爆发的最初几个月，每个成员家庭的收购和参与度激增。在21年第二季度，我们每个成员家庭的参与度正如预期的那样有所下降。这些前所未有的水平，但与更具可比性的2019年第二季度相比仍增长了17%。同样，尽管每位会员的平均收入在这两年期间增长了8%，但保留率仍然强劲，并且好于2019年第二季度新冠疫情爆发前的水平，这表明我们的会员对Netflix的重视程度以及我们改进我们的服务我们可以多收一点钱。”</i>NFLX还表示，第二季度付费会员数量增加了150万，“略高于我们100万的指导预测”<b>亚太地区约占本季度全球付费净增额的三分之二</b>同时，如上所述，<b>UCAN地区第二季度付费会员数量环比下降（付费净增-40万）：</b>\"<i>我们认为，我们在UCAN的庞大会员基础加上季节性较小的季度收购是这种动态的主要原因。这与我们在2019年第二季度经历的情况类似，当时我们的UCAN付费净增额为-0.1 M；从那时起，我们在UCAN中增加了近750万付费净添加量”</i></blockquote></p><p> This means that the covid pandemic in 2020 pulled forward so many subs that 2021 is shaping up to be the wirst year since at least 2016.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2020年的covid疫情号推进了如此多的潜艇，以至于2021年将成为至少自2016年以来的第一年。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1a78edf8126b85753fd3218713aba96\" tg-width=\"820\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Understandably, now that companies are comping to 2019 not to 2020 (for the dismal base effect), Netflix is urging investors to compare this year to 2019 and not to the same quarter a year ago (when the pandemic boosted subscriber growth). Oddly the company had no problem comparing 2020 to 2019 when the numbers were in its favor, but we digress... The company points out that user engagement per member household was down in the second quarter compared with “those unprecedented levels” of 2020, but it was up 17% “compared with a more comparable Q2’19.”</p><p><blockquote>可以理解的是，现在公司正在与2019年而不是2020年竞争（由于惨淡的基数效应），Netflix敦促投资者将今年与2019年进行比较，而不是与一年前的同一季度（当时大流行促进了用户增长）进行比较。奇怪的是，当数字对其有利时，该公司在比较2020年和2019年时没有问题，但我们跑题了...该公司指出，与2020年“前所未有的水平”相比，第二季度每个成员家庭的用户参与度有所下降，但“与更具可比性的2019年第二季度相比”增长了17%。</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps in an attempt to divert attention from (lack of) subscriber growth, Netflix said it was making good on its promise back in 2016 to steadily grow its operating margin. The streaming giant is targeting a 20% operating margin for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>或许是为了转移人们对（缺乏）用户增长的注意力，Netflix表示，它正在兑现2016年的承诺，稳步提高营业利润率。这家流媒体巨头的目标是2021年营业利润率达到20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f26d1f9fee9dc38cc58bff5bdc43c73\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Some more details here:</p><p><blockquote>更多详情请点击此处：</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   <i><b>“Assuming we achieve our margin target this year, we will have quintupled our operating margin in the last five years and are tracking ahead of this average annual three percentage point pace..</b></i>   <i>.. With revenue and margin both increasing, our operating profit dollars have risen dramatically as well (even as we have been investing heavily), from about $100 million per quarter in 2016 to nearly $2 billion per quarter so far in 2021.</i>  But while shareholders may excuse the decline in US subs, they were not happy with the company's overall guidance,<b>where it now sees just 3.5 million new subs in Q3, far below the 5.86 million expected.</b></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“假设我们今年实现利润率目标，我们的营业利润率将在过去五年中增长五倍，并且领先于年均三个百分点的速度。</b></i><i>..随着收入和利润率的增长，我们的营业利润也大幅增长（尽管我们一直在大力投资），从2016年的每季度约1亿美元增加到2021年迄今为止的每季度近20亿美元。</i>但是，尽管股东可能会原谅美国潜艇的下降，但他们对公司的整体指导并不满意，<b>目前第三季度新增潜艇数量仅为350万艘，远低于预期的586万艘。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23205a0bb2f7fde61b3ef2da7b7a56bb\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">* * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> Looking at its content slate, Netflix said it would be light in the first half due to Covid. The company is now playing catch-up, with spending on new TV shows and movies up 41% to $8 billion in the first half. The company is targeting $12 billion in content spending for the year, a 12% bump, to wit:</p><p><blockquote>从其内容清单来看，Netflix表示，由于新冠疫情，上半年的内容将会清淡。该公司现在正在迎头赶上，上半年在新电视节目和电影上的支出增长了41%，达到80亿美元。该公司今年的内容支出目标为120亿美元，增长12%，即：</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>Through the first half of 2021 we’ve already spent $8 billion in cash on content (up 41% yr-over-yr and 1.4x our content amortization)</b></i>   <i>and we expect content amortization to be around $12 billion for the full year (+12% year over year). Our Q3 slate will include new seasons of fan favorites La Casa de Papel (aka Money Heist), Sex Education, Virgin River and Never Have I Ever as well as live action films including Sweet Girl (starring Jason Momoa), Kissing Booth 3, and Kate (starring Mary Elizabeth Winstead) and the animated feature film Vivo, featuring all-new songs from Lin-Manuel Miranda.</i>  Netflix offers shared some more details on its upcoming entrance into the gaming arena:</p><p><blockquote><i><b>截至2021年上半年，我们已在内容上花费了80亿美元现金（同比增长41%，内容摊销是1.4倍）</b></i><i>我们预计全年内容摊销约为120亿美元（同比增长12%）。我们的第三季度名单将包括粉丝最爱的《La Casa de Papel》（又名《金钱大劫案》）、《性教育》、《处女河》和《从未有过我》的新一季，以及真人电影，包括《甜蜜的女孩》（由杰森·莫玛主演）、《接吻亭3》和《凯特》（由玛丽·伊丽莎白·温斯蒂德主演）和动画故事片《Vivo》，其中收录了林·曼努尔·米兰达的全新歌曲。</i>Netflix offers分享了有关其即将进入游戏领域的更多细节：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We’re also in the early stages of further expanding into games, building on our earlier efforts around interactivity (e.g., Black Mirror Bandersnatch) and our Stranger Things games. We view gaming as another new content category for us, similar to our expansion into original films, animation and unscripted TV.</i>   <i><b>Games will be included in members’ Netflix subscription at no additional cost, similar to films and series</b></i>   <i>. Initially, we’ll be primarily focused on games for mobile devices. We’re excited as ever about our movies and TV series offering and we expect a long runway of increasing investment and growth across all of our existing content categories, but since we are nearly a decade into our push into original programming, we think the time is right to learn more about how our members value games.”</i>  In its cursory overview of the competitive landscape, Netflix pointed out mergers like WarnerMedia/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISCA\">Discovery</a>, saying they “don’t believe this consolidation has affected our growth much, if at all.” The company also noted that while it’s always evaluating merger opportunities: “We don’t view any assets as ‘must-have’ and we haven’t yet found any large scale ones to be sufficiently compelling to act upon.”</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们还处于进一步向游戏领域扩张的早期阶段，建立在我们早期围绕交互性（例如Black Mirror Bandersnatch）和Stranger Things游戏的基础上。我们将游戏视为我们的另一个新内容类别，类似于我们向原创电影、动画和无脚本电视的扩张。</i><i><b>游戏将免费包含在会员的Netflix订阅中，类似于电影和连续剧</b></i><i>最初，我们将主要关注移动设备上的游戏。我们一如既往地对我们的电影和电视剧产品感到兴奋，我们预计我们所有现有内容类别的投资和增长将会有很长的路要走，但由于我们进军原创节目已近十年，我们认为是时候了解更多有关我们的会员如何重视游戏的信息了。”</i>在对竞争格局的粗略概述中，Netflix指出了像华纳媒体/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISCA\">发现</a>，表示他们“不认为这次整合对我们的增长有太大影响，如果有的话。”该公司还指出，虽然它一直在评估合并机会：“我们不认为任何资产是‘必须拥有的’，而且我们还没有发现任何足以令人信服地采取行动的大规模资产。”</blockquote></p><p> There was more bad news in NFLX cash flow, which after last quarter's surge reversed again, and dropped by $175 million, vs a positive cash flow of $899 million a year ago. NFLX notes that it is \"still expecting full year 2021 free cash flow to be approximately break even.\" The company also believes it no longer needs to raise external financing to fund our day-to-day operations. We'll see if at least that promise pans out.</p><p><blockquote>NFLX现金流方面有更多坏消息，继上季度激增后再次逆转，下降了1.75亿美元，而一年前现金流为正8.99亿美元。NFLX指出，“仍预计2021年全年自由现金流将接近收支平衡。”该公司还认为，不再需要筹集外部融资来为我们的日常运营提供资金。我们将看看至少这个承诺是否会实现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ceb3aed0130e94558eb4acfb4ed6369\" tg-width=\"1022\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In other news, during Q2, NFLX increased its revolving credit facility (which remains undrawn) to $1 billion from $750 million and extended the maturity from 2024 to 2026. The company also repurchased 1 million shares for $500 million (at an average per share price of about $500) under our $5 billion share authorization: the company said its \"main priority is to invest in the organic growth of our business while maintaining strong liquidity and retaining financial flexibility for strategic investments.\"</p><p><blockquote>其他消息方面，第二季度，NFLX将其循环信贷额度（仍未提取）从7.5亿美元增加到10亿美元，并将期限从2024年延长至2026年。该公司还根据我们50亿美元的股票授权，以5亿美元（平均每股价格约为500美元）回购了100万股股票：该公司表示，其“主要优先事项是投资于我们业务的有机增长，同时保持强劲的流动性并保留战略投资的财务灵活性。”</blockquote></p><p> After all that, the market was unimpressed but it could have been worse: after initially plunging below $500 briefly, the stock has since stabilized down 2% around $515. Among stocks that are down in sympathy, video-streaming platform Roku falls 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，市场并不为所动，但情况可能会更糟：在最初短暂跌破500美元后，该股此后稳定下跌2%，约为515美元。在同情下跌的股票中，视频流媒体平台Roku下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7e85e2830bd58f17652f92dedb29b4\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Netflix Slides&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix在盘前交易中下滑。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/304dae8666ce15371c9686fbd96d32bb\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"486\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/netflix-slides-after-subscriber-guidance-misses-estimates\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/netflix-slides-after-subscriber-guidance-misses-estimates","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183563723","content_text":"Recent earnings reports from streaming giant Netflix have been a mixed bag: the stock tumbled three quarters ago when the company reported earnings for its first full \"post Corona\" quarter and warned that\"growth is slowing\",before againplunging three quarters agowhen the company reported a huge miss in both EPS and new subs, which at 2.2 million was tied for the worst quarter in the past five years, while also reporting a worse than expected outlook for the current quarter. This reversedtwo quarters agowhen Netflix reported a blowout subscriber beat and projected it would soon be cash flow positive, sending its stock soaring to an all time high - if only briefly before again reversing and then tumblinglast quarterwhen Netflix again disappointed when it reported a huge subscriber miss and giving dismal guidance.\nWhich brings us to today, when investors are on edge today to find out not whether the company would beat or miss expectations, but rather if the slowdown CEO Reed Hastings warned about is for real and has pulled forward even more subscribers due to covid? After all, Netflix has been warning for months that growth would slow in 2021 compared to the phenomenal signup rate at the start of the pandemic lockdown last year. And yes, brace for a huge base effect hit:in the second quarter of 2020, the service added 10 million new customers, second only to the 15.77 million it added in the record first quarter of 2020.\nTo be sure, despite a series of hit or miss earnings, the company has been riding a wave of optimism, its stock soaring in early 2021. Still, after hitting to a record high in January, the stock has traded rangbeound, unable to break out to a new high, for the past seven months. And while there’s no doubt that viewership has surged during the Covid-19 lockdowns in the U.S. and much of the world, there are complications: the virus has brought TV and film production to a halt, a situation that may only get more dire for Netflix as the months wear on. But the biggest question remainshow many future subs has covid brought to the present, and tied to that - will the panic over the Delta strain lead to another mini burst in subscribers in the coming quater(s)?\nIndicatively, consensus expects just 1.12 million new subscribers to be added in the second quarter, just above the company's own projection of 1 million new subs. Revenue are expected to come in at $7.32 billion, up from $7.16 billion last quarter, and resulting in EPS of $3.36, down slightly from last quarter's $3.75. This, as streaming video remains on a hot streak since the pandemic struck.\nPreviewing the quarterly result, Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Geetha Ranganathan and Amine Bensaid cautioned that Netflix’s massive 2020 is leading to more muted subscriber gains this year: \"Netflix will continue to feel the aftereffects of a super-charged 1H20, with a massive pull-forward of demand prompting tempered expectations for 1 million additions in 2Q, its lowest quarterly level since 4Q11. The pull-forward may have also been amplified by price increases and pent-up demand for outdoor entertainment leading to uncertainty in 3Q guidance, though the return of several high-profile titles (‘Witcher,’ ‘Cobra Kai,’ ‘You’ and ‘Money Heist’) will be a clear catalyst for normalizing subscriber gains from 4Q and into 2022.\"\nLightShed Partners media analyst Rich Greenfield published what he sees as the key questions Netflix investors should ask management after its earnings report. Among them are when Netflix’s subscriber growth will normalize, whether India can be a meaningful driver of profitability, and where the company sees opportunities in video games. Greenfield asks: “Is the goal to leverage IP you create for TV/film or create original video game IP that can be leveraged into TV/film production?”\nAnother thing to watch out for is how a slowdown in production last year is affecting the service. The filming of new shows and movies basically came to a standstill in early 2020, which curbed output in the following months.\n* * *\nSo with all that in mind, was Q2 the quarter that would finally unleash another repricing higher for Netflix stock?Alas, it would again not be this time because despite beating on the top line, and adding more subscribers than expected, the company missed on EPS andagainreported another dismal quarterly guidance which came in well below expectations (full letter to shareholders).\nFirst, the good news:\n\nQ2 revenue $7.34B,beatingEst. $7.32B\nQ2 Streaming Paid Net Change +1.54M,beatingEst. +1.12M\nOperating margin of 25.2% came in on top of estiamtes of 25.2%\n\nAnd then the bad news:\n\nQ2 EPS $2.97 missing consensus Est. $3.14\nCompany sees Q3 Streaming Paid Net Change +3.50M, far below the Wall Street estimate of +5.86M\n\nJust as bad,the company reported its first decline in US/Canada paid subscribers, which shrank by 430K to 73.95MM. This was the first time NFLX lost customers domestically since 2019.\nIn other words, while q2 revenue rose 19% and operating income rose 36%,shares tumbled after its third-quarter subscriber forecast missed estimates.\nHere is the full breakdown of Q2 subs which saw a drop in US/Canada paid subs:\n\nUCAN streaming paid net change -430,000, estimate +52,190\nEMEA streaming paid net change +190,000, estimate +429,335\nLATAM streaming paid net change +760,000, estimate +128,719\nAPAC streaming paid net change +1.02 million, estimate +524,900\nTotal Streaming paid net change +1.54 million, estimate +1.12 million (Bloomberg Consensus)\n\nAnd visually:\nCommenting on the Q2 results, NFLX said that revenue growth was driven by an 11% increase in average paid streaming memberships and 8% growth in average revenue per membership (ARM). “COVID has created some lumpiness in our membership growth (higher growth in 2020, slower growth this year), which is working its way through.”\nA more detailed breakdown of why the company continues to see \"choppiness\" in its earnings:\n\n\"The pandemic has created unusual choppiness in our growth and distorts year-over-year comparisons as acquisition and engagement per member household spiked in the early months of COVID. In Q2’21, our engagement per member household was, as expected, down vs. those unprecedented levels but was still up 17% compared with a more comparable Q2’19. Similarly, retention continues to be strong and better than pre-COVID Q2’19 levels, even as average revenue per membership has grown 8% over this two-year period, demonstrating how much our members value Netflix and that as we improve our service we can charge a bit more. \"\n\nNFLX also said that it added 1.5m paid memberships in Q2, \"slightly ahead of our 1.0m guidance forecast\"with the APAC region representing about two-thirds of global paid net adds in the quarter. Meanwhile, as noted above,Q2 paid memberships in the UCAN region were down sequentially (-0.4m paid net adds):\"We believe our large membership base in UCAN coupled with a seasonally smaller quarter for acquisition is the main reason for this dynamic. This is similar to what we experienced in Q2’19 when our UCAN paid net adds were -0.1m; since then we’ve added nearly 7.5m paid net adds in UCAN\"\nThis means that the covid pandemic in 2020 pulled forward so many subs that 2021 is shaping up to be the wirst year since at least 2016.\nUnderstandably, now that companies are comping to 2019 not to 2020 (for the dismal base effect), Netflix is urging investors to compare this year to 2019 and not to the same quarter a year ago (when the pandemic boosted subscriber growth). Oddly the company had no problem comparing 2020 to 2019 when the numbers were in its favor, but we digress... The company points out that user engagement per member household was down in the second quarter compared with “those unprecedented levels” of 2020, but it was up 17% “compared with a more comparable Q2’19.”\nPerhaps in an attempt to divert attention from (lack of) subscriber growth, Netflix said it was making good on its promise back in 2016 to steadily grow its operating margin. The streaming giant is targeting a 20% operating margin for 2021.\nSome more details here:\n\n“Assuming we achieve our margin target this year, we will have quintupled our operating margin in the last five years and are tracking ahead of this average annual three percentage point pace..\n.. With revenue and margin both increasing, our operating profit dollars have risen dramatically as well (even as we have been investing heavily), from about $100 million per quarter in 2016 to nearly $2 billion per quarter so far in 2021.\n\nBut while shareholders may excuse the decline in US subs, they were not happy with the company's overall guidance,where it now sees just 3.5 million new subs in Q3, far below the 5.86 million expected.\n* * *\nLooking at its content slate, Netflix said it would be light in the first half due to Covid. The company is now playing catch-up, with spending on new TV shows and movies up 41% to $8 billion in the first half. The company is targeting $12 billion in content spending for the year, a 12% bump, to wit:\n\nThrough the first half of 2021 we’ve already spent $8 billion in cash on content (up 41% yr-over-yr and 1.4x our content amortization)\nand we expect content amortization to be around $12 billion for the full year (+12% year over year). Our Q3 slate will include new seasons of fan favorites La Casa de Papel (aka Money Heist), Sex Education, Virgin River and Never Have I Ever as well as live action films including Sweet Girl (starring Jason Momoa), Kissing Booth 3, and Kate (starring Mary Elizabeth Winstead) and the animated feature film Vivo, featuring all-new songs from Lin-Manuel Miranda.\n\nNetflix offers shared some more details on its upcoming entrance into the gaming arena:\n\n“We’re also in the early stages of further expanding into games, building on our earlier efforts around interactivity (e.g., Black Mirror Bandersnatch) and our Stranger Things games. We view gaming as another new content category for us, similar to our expansion into original films, animation and unscripted TV.\nGames will be included in members’ Netflix subscription at no additional cost, similar to films and series\n. Initially, we’ll be primarily focused on games for mobile devices. We’re excited as ever about our movies and TV series offering and we expect a long runway of increasing investment and growth across all of our existing content categories, but since we are nearly a decade into our push into original programming, we think the time is right to learn more about how our members value games.”\n\nIn its cursory overview of the competitive landscape, Netflix pointed out mergers like WarnerMedia/Discovery, saying they “don’t believe this consolidation has affected our growth much, if at all.” The company also noted that while it’s always evaluating merger opportunities: “We don’t view any assets as ‘must-have’ and we haven’t yet found any large scale ones to be sufficiently compelling to act upon.”\nThere was more bad news in NFLX cash flow, which after last quarter's surge reversed again, and dropped by $175 million, vs a positive cash flow of $899 million a year ago. NFLX notes that it is \"still expecting full year 2021 free cash flow to be approximately break even.\" The company also believes it no longer needs to raise external financing to fund our day-to-day operations. We'll see if at least that promise pans out.\nIn other news, during Q2, NFLX increased its revolving credit facility (which remains undrawn) to $1 billion from $750 million and extended the maturity from 2024 to 2026. The company also repurchased 1 million shares for $500 million (at an average per share price of about $500) under our $5 billion share authorization: the company said its \"main priority is to invest in the organic growth of our business while maintaining strong liquidity and retaining financial flexibility for strategic investments.\"\nAfter all that, the market was unimpressed but it could have been worse: after initially plunging below $500 briefly, the stock has since stabilized down 2% around $515. Among stocks that are down in sympathy, video-streaming platform Roku falls 1.4%.\nNetflix Slides in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QNETCN":0.9,"NFLX":0.9,"GUID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176031718,"gmtCreate":1626844129234,"gmtModify":1633770460949,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I ❤️ 🍎&nbsp;","listText":"I ❤️ 🍎&nbsp;","text":"I ❤️ 🍎","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176031718","repostId":"1110746736","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110746736","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626838936,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110746736?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 11:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple’s Earnings Are Next Week. Analysts Are Expecting More.<blockquote>苹果的财报将于下周公布。分析师预计会更多。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110746736","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple shares are trading higher Tuesday as the Street continues to ratchet up expectations for the company’s June quarter earnings report, now a week away.The Wall Street consensus view is that Apple  will post revenue of $72.9 billion, up 22% from a year earlier, with profits of $1 a share. When it reported its March quarter results, Apple didn’t issue specific financial forecasts for the June quarter, but said it expects “strong double digit” revenue growth on a year-over-year basis. Managemen","content":"<p>Apple shares are trading higher Tuesday as the Street continues to ratchet up expectations for the company’s June quarter earnings report, now a week away.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周二走高，华尔街继续提高对该公司六月季度收益报告的预期，距离该报告还有一周时间。</blockquote></p><p> The Wall Street consensus view is that Apple (ticker: AAPL) will post revenue of $72.9 billion, up 22% from a year earlier, with profits of $1 a share. When it reported its March quarter results, Apple didn’t issue specific financial forecasts for the June quarter, but said it expects “strong double digit” revenue growth on a year-over-year basis. Management also predicted a bigger quarter-over-quarter decline than in prior years, due to the later launch last year of the iPhone 12 and continuing component shortages.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街普遍认为，苹果（股票代码：AAPL）营收将达到729亿美元，同比增长22%，每股利润为1美元。在报告3月份季度业绩时，苹果没有发布6月份季度的具体财务预测，但表示预计收入同比将实现“强劲的两位数”增长。管理层还预测，由于iPhone 12去年晚些时候推出以及零部件持续短缺，环比降幅将大于往年。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has said gross margin for the quarter will be between 41.5% and 42.5%, and that supply constraints affecting Macs and iPads will trim top-line revenue by as much as $4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示，该季度的毛利率将在41.5%至42.5%之间，影响Mac和iPad的供应限制将使营收减少多达40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In a research note Tuesday, UBS analyst David Vogt lifted his outlook for the quarter, citing strong demand for both iPhones and Macs. His forecast for the quarter went to $74.7 billion in revenue and profits of $1.01 a share, from $71.3 billion and 95 cents a share. Vogt repeated his Buy rating, and raised his target for the stock price to $160, from $155. He said revenue would be higher still were it not for supply constraints.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银(UBS)分析师David Vogt在周二的一份研究报告中上调了本季度的前景，理由是iPhone和Mac的需求强劲。他对本季度收入的预测为747亿美元，每股利润为1.01美元，从713亿美元和每股95美分。Vogt重申了买入评级，并将股价目标从155美元上调至160美元。他表示，如果不是供应限制，收入还会更高。</blockquote></p><p> Apple shares on Tuesday were up 2.6%, to $146.15, while the S&amp;P 500 had gained 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周二上涨2.6%，至146.15美元，而标普500股价上涨1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Vogt now sees iPhone unit shipments for the September 2021 fiscal year of 227 million, up from 225 million. For fiscal 2022, he now expects shipments of 225 million phones, up from 220 million. He boosted his Mac forecast for the quarter to 6 million units, from 5.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>Vogt目前预计2021年9月财年iPhone出货量为2.27亿部，高于2.25亿部。他目前预计2022财年手机出货量为2.25亿部，高于2.2亿部。他将本季度Mac销量预测从550万台上调至600万台。</blockquote></p><p> Monness Crespi Hardt analyst Brian White repeated a Buy rating and $180 stock-price target, saying that the Street consensus for the quarter is far too conservative. He expects revenue of $80.33 billion, which would be up 35% year over year, with profits of $1.16 a share. That would still be a 10% sequential decline, and slightly steeper than the average 8% dip over the past four June quarters, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi Hardt分析师Brian White重申了买入评级和180美元的股价目标，称华尔街对本季度的共识过于保守。他预计营收为803.3亿美元，同比增长35%，每股利润为1.16美元。他指出，这仍将是10%的环比下降，略高于过去四个6月季度8%的平均降幅。</blockquote></p><p> White’s forecasts for June quarter revenue are $39.1 billion for the iPhone (the Street consensus is $33.9 billion); $9.6 billion for Macs (way above the Street at $7.8 billion); $6.9 billion for iPads (the Street’s call is $7.2 billion); $7.5 billion for wearables, home, and accessories (consensus is $7.8 billion); and $17.2 billion for services (vs. the consensus call of $16.2 billion).</p><p><blockquote>White对iPhone 6月季度营收的预测为391亿美元（华尔街共识为339亿美元）；MAC 96亿美元（远高于华尔街的78亿美元）；iPad 69亿美元（华尔街的看涨期权为72亿美元）；75亿美元用于可穿戴设备、家居和配件（共识为78亿美元）；服务业172亿美元（共识看涨期权为162亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple’s Earnings Are Next Week. Analysts Are Expecting More.<blockquote>苹果的财报将于下周公布。分析师预计会更多。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple’s Earnings Are Next Week. Analysts Are Expecting More.<blockquote>苹果的财报将于下周公布。分析师预计会更多。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 11:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple shares are trading higher Tuesday as the Street continues to ratchet up expectations for the company’s June quarter earnings report, now a week away.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周二走高，华尔街继续提高对该公司六月季度收益报告的预期，距离该报告还有一周时间。</blockquote></p><p> The Wall Street consensus view is that Apple (ticker: AAPL) will post revenue of $72.9 billion, up 22% from a year earlier, with profits of $1 a share. When it reported its March quarter results, Apple didn’t issue specific financial forecasts for the June quarter, but said it expects “strong double digit” revenue growth on a year-over-year basis. Management also predicted a bigger quarter-over-quarter decline than in prior years, due to the later launch last year of the iPhone 12 and continuing component shortages.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街普遍认为，苹果（股票代码：AAPL）营收将达到729亿美元，同比增长22%，每股利润为1美元。在报告3月份季度业绩时，苹果没有发布6月份季度的具体财务预测，但表示预计收入同比将实现“强劲的两位数”增长。管理层还预测，由于iPhone 12去年晚些时候推出以及零部件持续短缺，环比降幅将大于往年。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has said gross margin for the quarter will be between 41.5% and 42.5%, and that supply constraints affecting Macs and iPads will trim top-line revenue by as much as $4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示，该季度的毛利率将在41.5%至42.5%之间，影响Mac和iPad的供应限制将使营收减少多达40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In a research note Tuesday, UBS analyst David Vogt lifted his outlook for the quarter, citing strong demand for both iPhones and Macs. His forecast for the quarter went to $74.7 billion in revenue and profits of $1.01 a share, from $71.3 billion and 95 cents a share. Vogt repeated his Buy rating, and raised his target for the stock price to $160, from $155. He said revenue would be higher still were it not for supply constraints.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银(UBS)分析师David Vogt在周二的一份研究报告中上调了本季度的前景，理由是iPhone和Mac的需求强劲。他对本季度收入的预测为747亿美元，每股利润为1.01美元，从713亿美元和每股95美分。Vogt重申了买入评级，并将股价目标从155美元上调至160美元。他表示，如果不是供应限制，收入还会更高。</blockquote></p><p> Apple shares on Tuesday were up 2.6%, to $146.15, while the S&amp;P 500 had gained 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周二上涨2.6%，至146.15美元，而标普500股价上涨1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Vogt now sees iPhone unit shipments for the September 2021 fiscal year of 227 million, up from 225 million. For fiscal 2022, he now expects shipments of 225 million phones, up from 220 million. He boosted his Mac forecast for the quarter to 6 million units, from 5.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>Vogt目前预计2021年9月财年iPhone出货量为2.27亿部，高于2.25亿部。他目前预计2022财年手机出货量为2.25亿部，高于2.2亿部。他将本季度Mac销量预测从550万台上调至600万台。</blockquote></p><p> Monness Crespi Hardt analyst Brian White repeated a Buy rating and $180 stock-price target, saying that the Street consensus for the quarter is far too conservative. He expects revenue of $80.33 billion, which would be up 35% year over year, with profits of $1.16 a share. That would still be a 10% sequential decline, and slightly steeper than the average 8% dip over the past four June quarters, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi Hardt分析师Brian White重申了买入评级和180美元的股价目标，称华尔街对本季度的共识过于保守。他预计营收为803.3亿美元，同比增长35%，每股利润为1.16美元。他指出，这仍将是10%的环比下降，略高于过去四个6月季度8%的平均降幅。</blockquote></p><p> White’s forecasts for June quarter revenue are $39.1 billion for the iPhone (the Street consensus is $33.9 billion); $9.6 billion for Macs (way above the Street at $7.8 billion); $6.9 billion for iPads (the Street’s call is $7.2 billion); $7.5 billion for wearables, home, and accessories (consensus is $7.8 billion); and $17.2 billion for services (vs. the consensus call of $16.2 billion).</p><p><blockquote>White对iPhone 6月季度营收的预测为391亿美元（华尔街共识为339亿美元）；MAC 96亿美元（远高于华尔街的78亿美元）；iPad 69亿美元（华尔街的看涨期权为72亿美元）；75亿美元用于可穿戴设备、家居和配件（共识为78亿美元）；服务业172亿美元（共识看涨期权为162亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apples-earnings-outlook-upgrades-revenue-sales-51626805089?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apples-earnings-outlook-upgrades-revenue-sales-51626805089?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110746736","content_text":"Apple shares are trading higher Tuesday as the Street continues to ratchet up expectations for the company’s June quarter earnings report, now a week away.\nThe Wall Street consensus view is that Apple (ticker: AAPL) will post revenue of $72.9 billion, up 22% from a year earlier, with profits of $1 a share. When it reported its March quarter results, Apple didn’t issue specific financial forecasts for the June quarter, but said it expects “strong double digit” revenue growth on a year-over-year basis. Management also predicted a bigger quarter-over-quarter decline than in prior years, due to the later launch last year of the iPhone 12 and continuing component shortages.\nApple has said gross margin for the quarter will be between 41.5% and 42.5%, and that supply constraints affecting Macs and iPads will trim top-line revenue by as much as $4 billion.\nIn a research note Tuesday, UBS analyst David Vogt lifted his outlook for the quarter, citing strong demand for both iPhones and Macs. His forecast for the quarter went to $74.7 billion in revenue and profits of $1.01 a share, from $71.3 billion and 95 cents a share. Vogt repeated his Buy rating, and raised his target for the stock price to $160, from $155. He said revenue would be higher still were it not for supply constraints.\nApple shares on Tuesday were up 2.6%, to $146.15, while the S&P 500 had gained 1.6%.\nVogt now sees iPhone unit shipments for the September 2021 fiscal year of 227 million, up from 225 million. For fiscal 2022, he now expects shipments of 225 million phones, up from 220 million. He boosted his Mac forecast for the quarter to 6 million units, from 5.5 million.\nMonness Crespi Hardt analyst Brian White repeated a Buy rating and $180 stock-price target, saying that the Street consensus for the quarter is far too conservative. He expects revenue of $80.33 billion, which would be up 35% year over year, with profits of $1.16 a share. That would still be a 10% sequential decline, and slightly steeper than the average 8% dip over the past four June quarters, he noted.\nWhite’s forecasts for June quarter revenue are $39.1 billion for the iPhone (the Street consensus is $33.9 billion); $9.6 billion for Macs (way above the Street at $7.8 billion); $6.9 billion for iPads (the Street’s call is $7.2 billion); $7.5 billion for wearables, home, and accessories (consensus is $7.8 billion); and $17.2 billion for services (vs. the consensus call of $16.2 billion).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171709892,"gmtCreate":1626761132216,"gmtModify":1633771265416,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am ready.&nbsp;","listText":"I am ready.&nbsp;","text":"I am ready.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171709892","repostId":"1116573791","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171700661,"gmtCreate":1626761050453,"gmtModify":1633771266030,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go for gold [Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"Go for gold [Miser]&nbsp;","text":"Go for gold [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171700661","repostId":"1129846769","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129846769","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626751789,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129846769?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Worried about inflation? Here’s how investments did in the 1970s<blockquote>担心通货膨胀？以下是20世纪70年代的投资表现</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129846769","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the ","content":"<p>In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the news. If there is a storm visible anywhere, he explains, you write “Storm threatens the town,” even if the storm is nowhere near and is unlikely to hit. If—as expected—the storm never hits, you just write the follow up: “Town spared by storm.”</p><p><blockquote>在20世纪90年代的电影《航运新闻》中，一位老记者向凯文·史派西解释如何报道新闻。他解释说，如果任何地方都有可见的风暴，你就会写“风暴威胁着城镇”，即使风暴不在附近，也不太可能来袭。如果——正如预期的那样——风暴从未袭击，你只需写下后续内容：“城镇幸免于风暴。”</blockquote></p><p> Readers may be excused for thinking something similar about the latest stories about looming, threatening, surging, terrifying inflation. Yes, the inflation forecasts were surging months ago, and hit 8-year highs. Had they continued there would be grounds to worry. But they haven’t continued. On the contrary, they’ve been falling for two months. The bond market’s 5-year inflation forecast is now lower than it was in mid-March. The market sees five-year inflation running at around 2.6%. That’s higher than we’ve been used to for a decade, but it’s nothing to cause any significant alarm.</p><p><blockquote>读者可能会对最近关于迫在眉睫、威胁、飙升、可怕的通货膨胀的故事有类似的想法。是的，几个月前通胀预测飙升，并创下8年来的新高。如果他们继续下去，就有理由担心。但他们没有继续。相反，他们已经下跌了两个月。债券市场的5年通胀预期现在低于3月中旬。市场预计五年通胀率约为2.6%。这比我们十年来所习惯的要高，但这并没有引起任何重大恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> That can change, of course. Maybe it will. We’ll see.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这种情况可能会改变。也许会。我们走着瞧。</blockquote></p><p> But with all this talk I got to thinking about the obvious question. If serious inflation really does hit, what can we do about it? How can we protect our investments?</p><p><blockquote>但是通过这些谈话，我开始思考一个显而易见的问题。如果严重的通货膨胀真的来袭，我们能做些什么呢？我们如何保护我们的投资？</blockquote></p><p> That’s an especially key question for today’s retirees and those expecting to retire soon. When we’re older we’re generally advised to keep most of our money in more “conservative” investments, meaning things like bonds, that involve less risk. Someone in their 20s or 30s may not worry unduly if their retirement savings plunge 30% in a market rout or an inflationary spiral. For someone in their 60s, let alone older, that can become a major financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>对于今天的退休人员和那些预计很快退休的人来说，这是一个特别关键的问题。当我们长大后，通常建议我们将大部分资金投资于更“保守”的投资，即债券等风险较小的投资。如果20多岁或30多岁的人的退休储蓄在市场暴跌或通胀螺旋中暴跌30%，他们可能不会过度担心。对于60多岁的人来说，更不用说老年人了，这可能会成为一场重大的财务危机。</blockquote></p><p> So I went back and dug up the information from the last, infamous inflationary spiral in the 1970s, when consumer price inflation often topped 10% a year. The Greek philosopher Heraclitus pointed out that no one ever walks through the same stream twice, because the second time it’s not the same stream, and we’re not the same person. Everything changes. There is no guarantee the next inflationary boom, even if it happens, will look anything like the last one — any more than we should assume that it will be accompanied by outbreaks of disco music and flared jeans.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我回去挖掘了20世纪70年代上一次臭名昭著的通胀螺旋的信息，当时消费者价格通胀经常超过每年10%。希腊哲学家赫拉克利特指出，没有人会两次走过同一条小溪，因为第二次就不是同一条小溪了，我们也不是同一个人了。一切都变了。不能保证下一次通胀繁荣，即使发生了，看起来也会像上一次一样——就像我们不应该假设它会伴随着迪斯科音乐和喇叭牛仔裤的爆发一样。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless the chart above shows the total returns, after adjusting for inflation, of various asset classes from December 1971 to December 1981. (I used those dates because the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or NAREIT, starts their data series then.) The data on energy stocks came from data compiled by professor Ken French at Dartmouth College’s Tuck School of Business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，上图显示了1971年12月至1981年12月各种资产类别经通胀调整后的总回报。（我使用这些日期是因为全国房地产投资信托协会（NAREIT）在那时开始他们的数据系列。）能源股的数据来自达特茅斯学院塔克商学院肯·弗伦奇教授汇编的数据。</blockquote></p><p> This is what happened to your purchasing power if you invested in these assets and hung on for 10 years. (I’ve excluded gold, which is a different story.)</p><p><blockquote>如果你投资这些资产并坚持10年，你的购买力就会发生这种情况。（我已经排除了黄金，这是一个不同的故事。）</blockquote></p><p> The key standout is that you really didn’t want to own Treasury bonds. The near 40% loss of purchasing power over 10 years is somewhat notional—it is derived from the compound annual returns on 10 Year Treasurys compiled by New York University’s Stern School of Business, divided by the consumer-price index—but tells a story nonetheless. (In Great Britain, where inflation was even worse, government bonds during the 1970s became known as “certificates of confiscation.” Ouch.)</p><p><blockquote>关键的突出之处在于，你真的不想拥有国债。10年内购买力损失近40%在某种程度上是名义上的——它来自纽约大学斯特恩商学院编制的10年期美国国债的复合年回报率除以消费者价格指数——但仍然讲述了一个故事。（在通货膨胀更严重的英国，20世纪70年代的政府债券被称为“没收证书”。哎哟。）</blockquote></p><p> Holding them cost you money. Lots of it.</p><p><blockquote>拿着它们要花钱。很多。</blockquote></p><p> You could argue that the danger today is even greater, simply because the yields on long-term Treasury bonds are so low. Federal Reserve quantitative easing, bond buying, and zero interest-rate policies have left Treasury yields at their lowest on record—which means the turns would be a disaster if inflation reared its head.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会说，今天的危险甚至更大，仅仅是因为长期国债的收益率如此之低。美联储的量化宽松、债券购买和零利率政策使美国国债收益率处于有记录以来的最低水平——这意味着如果通胀抬头，这将是一场灾难。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate bonds and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;were also terrible investments. It’s worth remembering that these are real term losses over a decade, which means investors didn’t just lose a lot of money—they also lost a lot of time.</p><p><blockquote>公司债券和标普500也是糟糕的投资。值得记住的是，这些是十年来的实际定期损失，这意味着投资者不仅损失了很多钱，还损失了很多时间。</blockquote></p><p> Utility stocks weren’t great, but they held up better. And Treasury bills—short-term paper—did better still. But once again you were going backward when you needed to be going forwards.</p><p><blockquote>公用事业股表现不佳，但表现较好。短期票据——国库券——表现更好。但是当你需要前进的时候，你又一次倒退了。</blockquote></p><p> No one who remembers the 1970s will be surprised that energy companies boomed. Less well-remembered, maybe, is that REITs also did pretty well. These numbers, incidentally, represented property-owning REITs and excluded mortgage REITs, which own loans.</p><p><blockquote>任何记得20世纪70年代的人都不会对能源公司的蓬勃发展感到惊讶。也许不太为人所知的是，房地产投资信托基金的表现也相当不错。顺便说一句，这些数字代表拥有财产的房地产投资信托基金，不包括拥有贷款的抵押房地产投资信托基金。</blockquote></p><p> But there are two caveats to this. The first is that of course energy stocks did well, because a key driver of inflation in the 1970s was the rise of OPEC and two oil embargoes it imposed on the West for political reasons. Cue Heraclitus. There is no particular reason to assume that the next inflationary surge will be the same.</p><p><blockquote>但对此有两个警告。首先，能源股当然表现良好，因为20世纪70年代通胀的一个关键驱动因素是欧佩克的崛起及其出于政治原因对西方实施的两次石油禁运。提示赫拉克利特。没有特别的理由假设下一次通胀飙升会是一样的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The second caveat is that although REITs ended up doing well, they were volatile along the way. In particular, REIT prices collapsed in the OPEC-driven recession of 1972-4. And according to FactSet, U.S. REITs today already look pretty expensive on some measures. For instance it reckons that the forecast dividend yield on the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (a reasonable benchmark for the industry) is just 2.9% — by far the lowest since it was launched in 2004. Looking through NAREIT data, I can’t find a moment since 1971 when the overall yield on REITs was this low. During the real estate bubble in 2007, incidentally, the yield bottomed out no lower than 3.6%</p><p><blockquote>第二个警告是，尽管房地产投资信托基金最终表现良好，但一路上波动较大。特别是，房地产投资信托基金价格在1972-1974年欧佩克引发的经济衰退中暴跌。根据FactSet的数据，从某些指标来看，如今的美国房地产投资信托基金看起来已经相当昂贵。例如，它估计Vanguard Real Estate ETF（该行业的合理基准）的预测股息收益率仅为2.9%，是自2004年推出以来的最低水平。翻阅NAREIT数据，自1971年以来，我找不到REITs整体收益率如此之低的时刻。2007年房地产泡沫期间，顺带一提，收益率见底不低于3.6%</blockquote></p><p> So it may be that REITs offer less inflation protection today than we would hope.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如今房地产投资信托基金提供的通胀保护可能比我们希望的要少。</blockquote></p><p> One key difference in the 1970s is that there were no “inflation-protected” Treasury bonds to keep investors protected. So-called TIPS are in theory almost the perfect investment for retirees. They are issued by the U.S. government and their coupons are safe against default. Meanwhile their coupons effectively adjust to reflect changes in consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>20世纪70年代的一个关键区别是，没有“通胀保值”国债来保护投资者。理论上，所谓的小费几乎是退休人员的完美投资。它们由美国政府发行，其优惠券不会违约。与此同时，他们的优惠券有效地调整以反映消费价格的变化。</blockquote></p><p> The problem today is that TIPS—like almost everything else in the bond market—look incredibly expensive. Most TIPS already lock in an actual loss of purchasing power if you buy them today. For example if you buy 5 year TIPS bonds and hold them for 5 years you’ll end up losing 9% of your purchasing power. And 30-year TIPS bonds offer the same 9% loss, though stretched out over 30 years.</p><p><blockquote>今天的问题是，TIPS——就像债券市场上的几乎所有东西一样——看起来非常昂贵。如果你今天购买，大多数建议已经锁定了购买力的实际损失。例如，如果你购买5年期TIPS债券并持有5年，你最终会损失9%的购买力。30年期TIPS债券的损失同样为9%，尽管期限超过30年。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not very compelling. And it shows the risks that the government’s policy responses have created for those in retirement and near it.</p><p><blockquote>这不是很引人注目。它还显示了政府的政策应对给退休和接近退休年龄的人带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Worried about inflation? Here’s how investments did in the 1970s<blockquote>担心通货膨胀？以下是20世纪70年代的投资表现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWorried about inflation? Here’s how investments did in the 1970s<blockquote>担心通货膨胀？以下是20世纪70年代的投资表现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the news. If there is a storm visible anywhere, he explains, you write “Storm threatens the town,” even if the storm is nowhere near and is unlikely to hit. If—as expected—the storm never hits, you just write the follow up: “Town spared by storm.”</p><p><blockquote>在20世纪90年代的电影《航运新闻》中，一位老记者向凯文·史派西解释如何报道新闻。他解释说，如果任何地方都有可见的风暴，你就会写“风暴威胁着城镇”，即使风暴不在附近，也不太可能来袭。如果——正如预期的那样——风暴从未袭击，你只需写下后续内容：“城镇幸免于风暴。”</blockquote></p><p> Readers may be excused for thinking something similar about the latest stories about looming, threatening, surging, terrifying inflation. Yes, the inflation forecasts were surging months ago, and hit 8-year highs. Had they continued there would be grounds to worry. But they haven’t continued. On the contrary, they’ve been falling for two months. The bond market’s 5-year inflation forecast is now lower than it was in mid-March. The market sees five-year inflation running at around 2.6%. That’s higher than we’ve been used to for a decade, but it’s nothing to cause any significant alarm.</p><p><blockquote>读者可能会对最近关于迫在眉睫、威胁、飙升、可怕的通货膨胀的故事有类似的想法。是的，几个月前通胀预测飙升，并创下8年来的新高。如果他们继续下去，就有理由担心。但他们没有继续。相反，他们已经下跌了两个月。债券市场的5年通胀预期现在低于3月中旬。市场预计五年通胀率约为2.6%。这比我们十年来所习惯的要高，但这并没有引起任何重大恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> That can change, of course. Maybe it will. We’ll see.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这种情况可能会改变。也许会。我们走着瞧。</blockquote></p><p> But with all this talk I got to thinking about the obvious question. If serious inflation really does hit, what can we do about it? How can we protect our investments?</p><p><blockquote>但是通过这些谈话，我开始思考一个显而易见的问题。如果严重的通货膨胀真的来袭，我们能做些什么呢？我们如何保护我们的投资？</blockquote></p><p> That’s an especially key question for today’s retirees and those expecting to retire soon. When we’re older we’re generally advised to keep most of our money in more “conservative” investments, meaning things like bonds, that involve less risk. Someone in their 20s or 30s may not worry unduly if their retirement savings plunge 30% in a market rout or an inflationary spiral. For someone in their 60s, let alone older, that can become a major financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>对于今天的退休人员和那些预计很快退休的人来说，这是一个特别关键的问题。当我们长大后，通常建议我们将大部分资金投资于更“保守”的投资，即债券等风险较小的投资。如果20多岁或30多岁的人的退休储蓄在市场暴跌或通胀螺旋中暴跌30%，他们可能不会过度担心。对于60多岁的人来说，更不用说老年人了，这可能会成为一场重大的财务危机。</blockquote></p><p> So I went back and dug up the information from the last, infamous inflationary spiral in the 1970s, when consumer price inflation often topped 10% a year. The Greek philosopher Heraclitus pointed out that no one ever walks through the same stream twice, because the second time it’s not the same stream, and we’re not the same person. Everything changes. There is no guarantee the next inflationary boom, even if it happens, will look anything like the last one — any more than we should assume that it will be accompanied by outbreaks of disco music and flared jeans.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我回去挖掘了20世纪70年代上一次臭名昭著的通胀螺旋的信息，当时消费者价格通胀经常超过每年10%。希腊哲学家赫拉克利特指出，没有人会两次走过同一条小溪，因为第二次就不是同一条小溪了，我们也不是同一个人了。一切都变了。不能保证下一次通胀繁荣，即使发生了，看起来也会像上一次一样——就像我们不应该假设它会伴随着迪斯科音乐和喇叭牛仔裤的爆发一样。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless the chart above shows the total returns, after adjusting for inflation, of various asset classes from December 1971 to December 1981. (I used those dates because the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or NAREIT, starts their data series then.) The data on energy stocks came from data compiled by professor Ken French at Dartmouth College’s Tuck School of Business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，上图显示了1971年12月至1981年12月各种资产类别经通胀调整后的总回报。（我使用这些日期是因为全国房地产投资信托协会（NAREIT）在那时开始他们的数据系列。）能源股的数据来自达特茅斯学院塔克商学院肯·弗伦奇教授汇编的数据。</blockquote></p><p> This is what happened to your purchasing power if you invested in these assets and hung on for 10 years. (I’ve excluded gold, which is a different story.)</p><p><blockquote>如果你投资这些资产并坚持10年，你的购买力就会发生这种情况。（我已经排除了黄金，这是一个不同的故事。）</blockquote></p><p> The key standout is that you really didn’t want to own Treasury bonds. The near 40% loss of purchasing power over 10 years is somewhat notional—it is derived from the compound annual returns on 10 Year Treasurys compiled by New York University’s Stern School of Business, divided by the consumer-price index—but tells a story nonetheless. (In Great Britain, where inflation was even worse, government bonds during the 1970s became known as “certificates of confiscation.” Ouch.)</p><p><blockquote>关键的突出之处在于，你真的不想拥有国债。10年内购买力损失近40%在某种程度上是名义上的——它来自纽约大学斯特恩商学院编制的10年期美国国债的复合年回报率除以消费者价格指数——但仍然讲述了一个故事。（在通货膨胀更严重的英国，20世纪70年代的政府债券被称为“没收证书”。哎哟。）</blockquote></p><p> Holding them cost you money. Lots of it.</p><p><blockquote>拿着它们要花钱。很多。</blockquote></p><p> You could argue that the danger today is even greater, simply because the yields on long-term Treasury bonds are so low. Federal Reserve quantitative easing, bond buying, and zero interest-rate policies have left Treasury yields at their lowest on record—which means the turns would be a disaster if inflation reared its head.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会说，今天的危险甚至更大，仅仅是因为长期国债的收益率如此之低。美联储的量化宽松、债券购买和零利率政策使美国国债收益率处于有记录以来的最低水平——这意味着如果通胀抬头，这将是一场灾难。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate bonds and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;were also terrible investments. It’s worth remembering that these are real term losses over a decade, which means investors didn’t just lose a lot of money—they also lost a lot of time.</p><p><blockquote>公司债券和标普500也是糟糕的投资。值得记住的是，这些是十年来的实际定期损失，这意味着投资者不仅损失了很多钱，还损失了很多时间。</blockquote></p><p> Utility stocks weren’t great, but they held up better. And Treasury bills—short-term paper—did better still. But once again you were going backward when you needed to be going forwards.</p><p><blockquote>公用事业股表现不佳，但表现较好。短期票据——国库券——表现更好。但是当你需要前进的时候，你又一次倒退了。</blockquote></p><p> No one who remembers the 1970s will be surprised that energy companies boomed. Less well-remembered, maybe, is that REITs also did pretty well. These numbers, incidentally, represented property-owning REITs and excluded mortgage REITs, which own loans.</p><p><blockquote>任何记得20世纪70年代的人都不会对能源公司的蓬勃发展感到惊讶。也许不太为人所知的是，房地产投资信托基金的表现也相当不错。顺便说一句，这些数字代表拥有财产的房地产投资信托基金，不包括拥有贷款的抵押房地产投资信托基金。</blockquote></p><p> But there are two caveats to this. The first is that of course energy stocks did well, because a key driver of inflation in the 1970s was the rise of OPEC and two oil embargoes it imposed on the West for political reasons. Cue Heraclitus. There is no particular reason to assume that the next inflationary surge will be the same.</p><p><blockquote>但对此有两个警告。首先，能源股当然表现良好，因为20世纪70年代通胀的一个关键驱动因素是欧佩克的崛起及其出于政治原因对西方实施的两次石油禁运。提示赫拉克利特。没有特别的理由假设下一次通胀飙升会是一样的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The second caveat is that although REITs ended up doing well, they were volatile along the way. In particular, REIT prices collapsed in the OPEC-driven recession of 1972-4. And according to FactSet, U.S. REITs today already look pretty expensive on some measures. For instance it reckons that the forecast dividend yield on the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (a reasonable benchmark for the industry) is just 2.9% — by far the lowest since it was launched in 2004. Looking through NAREIT data, I can’t find a moment since 1971 when the overall yield on REITs was this low. During the real estate bubble in 2007, incidentally, the yield bottomed out no lower than 3.6%</p><p><blockquote>第二个警告是，尽管房地产投资信托基金最终表现良好，但一路上波动较大。特别是，房地产投资信托基金价格在1972-1974年欧佩克引发的经济衰退中暴跌。根据FactSet的数据，从某些指标来看，如今的美国房地产投资信托基金看起来已经相当昂贵。例如，它估计Vanguard Real Estate ETF（该行业的合理基准）的预测股息收益率仅为2.9%，是自2004年推出以来的最低水平。翻阅NAREIT数据，自1971年以来，我找不到REITs整体收益率如此之低的时刻。2007年房地产泡沫期间，顺带一提，收益率见底不低于3.6%</blockquote></p><p> So it may be that REITs offer less inflation protection today than we would hope.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如今房地产投资信托基金提供的通胀保护可能比我们希望的要少。</blockquote></p><p> One key difference in the 1970s is that there were no “inflation-protected” Treasury bonds to keep investors protected. So-called TIPS are in theory almost the perfect investment for retirees. They are issued by the U.S. government and their coupons are safe against default. Meanwhile their coupons effectively adjust to reflect changes in consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>20世纪70年代的一个关键区别是，没有“通胀保值”国债来保护投资者。理论上，所谓的小费几乎是退休人员的完美投资。它们由美国政府发行，其优惠券不会违约。与此同时，他们的优惠券有效地调整以反映消费价格的变化。</blockquote></p><p> The problem today is that TIPS—like almost everything else in the bond market—look incredibly expensive. Most TIPS already lock in an actual loss of purchasing power if you buy them today. For example if you buy 5 year TIPS bonds and hold them for 5 years you’ll end up losing 9% of your purchasing power. And 30-year TIPS bonds offer the same 9% loss, though stretched out over 30 years.</p><p><blockquote>今天的问题是，TIPS——就像债券市场上的几乎所有东西一样——看起来非常昂贵。如果你今天购买，大多数建议已经锁定了购买力的实际损失。例如，如果你购买5年期TIPS债券并持有5年，你最终会损失9%的购买力。30年期TIPS债券的损失同样为9%，尽管期限超过30年。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not very compelling. And it shows the risks that the government’s policy responses have created for those in retirement and near it.</p><p><blockquote>这不是很引人注目。它还显示了政府的政策应对给退休和接近退休年龄的人带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/worried-about-inflation-heres-how-investments-did-in-the-1970s-11626658251?siteid=yhoof2\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","XOM":"埃克森美孚"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/worried-about-inflation-heres-how-investments-did-in-the-1970s-11626658251?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1129846769","content_text":"In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the news. If there is a storm visible anywhere, he explains, you write “Storm threatens the town,” even if the storm is nowhere near and is unlikely to hit. If—as expected—the storm never hits, you just write the follow up: “Town spared by storm.”\nReaders may be excused for thinking something similar about the latest stories about looming, threatening, surging, terrifying inflation. Yes, the inflation forecasts were surging months ago, and hit 8-year highs. Had they continued there would be grounds to worry. But they haven’t continued. On the contrary, they’ve been falling for two months. The bond market’s 5-year inflation forecast is now lower than it was in mid-March. The market sees five-year inflation running at around 2.6%. That’s higher than we’ve been used to for a decade, but it’s nothing to cause any significant alarm.\nThat can change, of course. Maybe it will. We’ll see.\nBut with all this talk I got to thinking about the obvious question. If serious inflation really does hit, what can we do about it? How can we protect our investments?\nThat’s an especially key question for today’s retirees and those expecting to retire soon. When we’re older we’re generally advised to keep most of our money in more “conservative” investments, meaning things like bonds, that involve less risk. Someone in their 20s or 30s may not worry unduly if their retirement savings plunge 30% in a market rout or an inflationary spiral. For someone in their 60s, let alone older, that can become a major financial crisis.\nSo I went back and dug up the information from the last, infamous inflationary spiral in the 1970s, when consumer price inflation often topped 10% a year. The Greek philosopher Heraclitus pointed out that no one ever walks through the same stream twice, because the second time it’s not the same stream, and we’re not the same person. Everything changes. There is no guarantee the next inflationary boom, even if it happens, will look anything like the last one — any more than we should assume that it will be accompanied by outbreaks of disco music and flared jeans.\nNonetheless the chart above shows the total returns, after adjusting for inflation, of various asset classes from December 1971 to December 1981. (I used those dates because the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or NAREIT, starts their data series then.) The data on energy stocks came from data compiled by professor Ken French at Dartmouth College’s Tuck School of Business.\nThis is what happened to your purchasing power if you invested in these assets and hung on for 10 years. (I’ve excluded gold, which is a different story.)\nThe key standout is that you really didn’t want to own Treasury bonds. The near 40% loss of purchasing power over 10 years is somewhat notional—it is derived from the compound annual returns on 10 Year Treasurys compiled by New York University’s Stern School of Business, divided by the consumer-price index—but tells a story nonetheless. (In Great Britain, where inflation was even worse, government bonds during the 1970s became known as “certificates of confiscation.” Ouch.)\nHolding them cost you money. Lots of it.\nYou could argue that the danger today is even greater, simply because the yields on long-term Treasury bonds are so low. Federal Reserve quantitative easing, bond buying, and zero interest-rate policies have left Treasury yields at their lowest on record—which means the turns would be a disaster if inflation reared its head.\nCorporate bonds and the S&P 500 were also terrible investments. It’s worth remembering that these are real term losses over a decade, which means investors didn’t just lose a lot of money—they also lost a lot of time.\nUtility stocks weren’t great, but they held up better. And Treasury bills—short-term paper—did better still. But once again you were going backward when you needed to be going forwards.\nNo one who remembers the 1970s will be surprised that energy companies boomed. Less well-remembered, maybe, is that REITs also did pretty well. These numbers, incidentally, represented property-owning REITs and excluded mortgage REITs, which own loans.\nBut there are two caveats to this. The first is that of course energy stocks did well, because a key driver of inflation in the 1970s was the rise of OPEC and two oil embargoes it imposed on the West for political reasons. Cue Heraclitus. There is no particular reason to assume that the next inflationary surge will be the same.\nThe second caveat is that although REITs ended up doing well, they were volatile along the way. In particular, REIT prices collapsed in the OPEC-driven recession of 1972-4. And according to FactSet, U.S. REITs today already look pretty expensive on some measures. For instance it reckons that the forecast dividend yield on the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (a reasonable benchmark for the industry) is just 2.9% — by far the lowest since it was launched in 2004. Looking through NAREIT data, I can’t find a moment since 1971 when the overall yield on REITs was this low. During the real estate bubble in 2007, incidentally, the yield bottomed out no lower than 3.6%\nSo it may be that REITs offer less inflation protection today than we would hope.\nOne key difference in the 1970s is that there were no “inflation-protected” Treasury bonds to keep investors protected. So-called TIPS are in theory almost the perfect investment for retirees. They are issued by the U.S. government and their coupons are safe against default. Meanwhile their coupons effectively adjust to reflect changes in consumer prices.\nThe problem today is that TIPS—like almost everything else in the bond market—look incredibly expensive. Most TIPS already lock in an actual loss of purchasing power if you buy them today. For example if you buy 5 year TIPS bonds and hold them for 5 years you’ll end up losing 9% of your purchasing power. And 30-year TIPS bonds offer the same 9% loss, though stretched out over 30 years.\nIt’s not very compelling. And it shows the risks that the government’s policy responses have created for those in retirement and near it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XOM":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173319923,"gmtCreate":1626615115462,"gmtModify":1633925486081,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Haha 😂&nbsp;","listText":"Haha 😂&nbsp;","text":"Haha 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173319923","repostId":"2152368129","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147506085,"gmtCreate":1626361883347,"gmtModify":1633927464538,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crash or no crash, I am ready. [Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"Crash or no crash, I am ready. [Smile]&nbsp;","text":"Crash or no crash, I am ready. [Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147506085","repostId":"1155093230","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147275458,"gmtCreate":1626361556174,"gmtModify":1633927470652,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip","listText":"Buy the dip","text":"Buy the dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147275458","repostId":"1125623556","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125623556","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626360370,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125623556?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 22:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GM Warns Some Bolt EV Owners To Park Vehicles Outside Due to Spontaneous Combustion Risk<blockquote>通用汽车警告部分Bolt EV车主因自燃风险将车辆停放在室外</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125623556","media":"Benzinga","summary":"General Motors has asked the owners of 2017-2019 Chevrolet Bolt EVs to park their vehicles outside a","content":"<p><div> General Motors has asked the owners of 2017-2019 Chevrolet Bolt EVs to park their vehicles outside and away from homes due to a risk of unexpectedly catching fire. The auto manufacturer has also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>由于存在意外起火的风险，通用汽车已要求2017-2019款雪佛兰Bolt电动汽车的车主将车辆停放在室外。该汽车制造商还...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GM Warns Some Bolt EV Owners To Park Vehicles Outside Due to Spontaneous Combustion Risk<blockquote>通用汽车警告部分Bolt EV车主因自燃风险将车辆停放在室外</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGM Warns Some Bolt EV Owners To Park Vehicles Outside Due to Spontaneous Combustion Risk<blockquote>通用汽车警告部分Bolt EV车主因自燃风险将车辆停放在室外</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-15 22:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> General Motors has asked the owners of 2017-2019 Chevrolet Bolt EVs to park their vehicles outside and away from homes due to a risk of unexpectedly catching fire. The auto manufacturer has also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>由于存在意外起火的风险，通用汽车已要求2017-2019款雪佛兰Bolt电动汽车的车主将车辆停放在室外。该汽车制造商还...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125623556","content_text":"General Motors has asked the owners of 2017-2019 Chevrolet Bolt EVs to park their vehicles outside and away from homes due to a risk of unexpectedly catching fire. The auto manufacturer has also warned vehicle owners not to leave their Bolt EV charging unattended overnight.\nWhat Happened:The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) issued astatement that explained the Bolt EVs’ cell packs “have the potential to smoke and ignite internally, which could spread to the rest of the vehicle and cause a structure fire if parked inside a garage or near a house.”\nThe NHTSA added the vehicles in question were originally recalled last November due to the potential of unattended fires sparking from the high-voltage battery pack underneath the backseat’s bottom cushion. Approximately 50,000 Bolt vehicles are impacted by this warning.\nWhat Else Happened:CNBC reported that GM said it has bought back some of the recalled vehicles, although it did not state the quantity involved.\n“At GM, safety is our highest priority, and we are moving as quickly as we can to investigate this issue,” said the company in a statement.\nThe new warning follows a pair of spontaneous combustion blazes created earlier this month by the Bolt, including one at the home of Vermont state Rep.Timothy Briglin,who is the chairman of the state House Committee on Energy and Technology and a vocal EV advocate.\nThe new warning comes one month after General Motors Chairwoman and CEO Mary Barra announced that the company was “targeting annual global EV sales of more than 1 million by 2025, and we are increasing our investment to scale faster because we see momentum building in the United States for electrification, along with customer demand for our product portfolio.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147275142,"gmtCreate":1626361529086,"gmtModify":1633927471097,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Game on!&nbsp;","listText":"Game on!&nbsp;","text":"Game on!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147275142","repostId":"2151154518","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142737345,"gmtCreate":1626175753787,"gmtModify":1633929405741,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon!&nbsp;","listText":"To the moon!&nbsp;","text":"To the moon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142737345","repostId":"1191858541","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":373969301,"gmtCreate":1618812154303,"gmtModify":1634290738182,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bears coming?","listText":"Bears coming?","text":"Bears coming?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373969301","repostId":"2128525488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838843416,"gmtCreate":1629387047835,"gmtModify":1631889815565,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like a rocket!&nbsp;","listText":"Like a rocket!&nbsp;","text":"Like a rocket!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838843416","repostId":"1150522255","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150522255","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629386895,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150522255?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-19 23:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NVDA soars over 6% in morning trading<blockquote>NVDA早盘飙升逾6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150522255","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 19) Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA) shares rose over 6% Thursday to a record high following the chipmaker's","content":"<p>(Aug&nbsp;19)&nbsp;Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA)&nbsp;shares rose&nbsp;over 6%&nbsp;Thursday&nbsp;to&nbsp;a&nbsp;record&nbsp;high following the chipmaker's second-quarter results that were highlighted by strength in the company's data center business.</p><p><blockquote>（8月19日）英伟达（纳斯达克：NVDA）股价周四上涨超过6%，创历史新高，此前该芯片制造商公布了第二季度业绩，凸显了该公司数据中心业务的实力。</blockquote></p><p> Data center revenue rose 35% from a year ago, to $2.37 billion. Bank of America Securities analyst Vivek Arya said that with regards to its data center offerings, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA Corp</a> (NVDA) showed growth in hyperscale, vertical markets and high-performance computing, which Arya said should help the company's data center business grow by at least 30% a year over the long-term. Arya has a buy rating and $260-a-share price target on Nvidia's (NVDA) stock.</p><p><blockquote>数据中心收入同比增长35%，达到23.7亿美元。美国银行证券分析师Vivek Arya表示，就其数据中心产品而言，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达公司</a>(NVDA)在超大规模、垂直市场和高性能计算方面表现出增长，Arya表示，从长远来看，这应该有助于该公司的数据中心业务每年至少增长30%。Arya对Nvidia(NVDA)股票给予买入评级和每股260美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> But, it was the gaming that produced the largest share of the company's revenue in the most-recent quarter. Gaming totaled $3.06 billion, up 85% from a year ago, led by demand for GeForce graphics processors and system-on-a-chip offerings for game consoles.</p><p><blockquote>但是，在最近一个季度，游戏在公司收入中所占份额最大。游戏总收入为30.6亿美元，同比增长85%，主要是对GeForce图形处理器和游戏机片上系统产品的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Timothy Arcuri, of UBS, said Nvidia's (NVDA) gaming business is \"trending more in-line\" heading into what is typically a strong fall quarter for the company. Arcuri has a buy rating and $230-a-share price target on the chipmaker's stock.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银(UBS)的蒂莫西·阿库里(Timothy Arcuri)表示，英伟达(NVDA)的游戏业务“趋势更加一致”，进入该公司通常强劲的秋季季度。Arcuri对这家芯片制造商的股票给予买入评级和每股230美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> For the quarter, Nvidia (NVDA) reported a profit of $1.04 a share, on total revenue of $6.51 billion. Wall Street analysts had forecast the chipmaker to earn $1.02 a share on $6.34 billion in sales.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达(NVDA)报告本季度每股利润为1.04美元，总收入为65.1亿美元。华尔街分析师此前预测这家芯片制造商的销售额为63.4亿美元，每股收益为1.02美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9901d7947e5f939784f513f994e97469\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NVDA soars over 6% in morning trading<blockquote>NVDA早盘飙升逾6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNVDA soars over 6% in morning trading<blockquote>NVDA早盘飙升逾6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-19 23:28</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug&nbsp;19)&nbsp;Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA)&nbsp;shares rose&nbsp;over 6%&nbsp;Thursday&nbsp;to&nbsp;a&nbsp;record&nbsp;high following the chipmaker's second-quarter results that were highlighted by strength in the company's data center business.</p><p><blockquote>（8月19日）英伟达（纳斯达克：NVDA）股价周四上涨超过6%，创历史新高，此前该芯片制造商公布了第二季度业绩，凸显了该公司数据中心业务的实力。</blockquote></p><p> Data center revenue rose 35% from a year ago, to $2.37 billion. Bank of America Securities analyst Vivek Arya said that with regards to its data center offerings, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA Corp</a> (NVDA) showed growth in hyperscale, vertical markets and high-performance computing, which Arya said should help the company's data center business grow by at least 30% a year over the long-term. Arya has a buy rating and $260-a-share price target on Nvidia's (NVDA) stock.</p><p><blockquote>数据中心收入同比增长35%，达到23.7亿美元。美国银行证券分析师Vivek Arya表示，就其数据中心产品而言，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达公司</a>(NVDA)在超大规模、垂直市场和高性能计算方面表现出增长，Arya表示，从长远来看，这应该有助于该公司的数据中心业务每年至少增长30%。Arya对Nvidia(NVDA)股票给予买入评级和每股260美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> But, it was the gaming that produced the largest share of the company's revenue in the most-recent quarter. Gaming totaled $3.06 billion, up 85% from a year ago, led by demand for GeForce graphics processors and system-on-a-chip offerings for game consoles.</p><p><blockquote>但是，在最近一个季度，游戏在公司收入中所占份额最大。游戏总收入为30.6亿美元，同比增长85%，主要是对GeForce图形处理器和游戏机片上系统产品的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Timothy Arcuri, of UBS, said Nvidia's (NVDA) gaming business is \"trending more in-line\" heading into what is typically a strong fall quarter for the company. Arcuri has a buy rating and $230-a-share price target on the chipmaker's stock.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银(UBS)的蒂莫西·阿库里(Timothy Arcuri)表示，英伟达(NVDA)的游戏业务“趋势更加一致”，进入该公司通常强劲的秋季季度。Arcuri对这家芯片制造商的股票给予买入评级和每股230美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> For the quarter, Nvidia (NVDA) reported a profit of $1.04 a share, on total revenue of $6.51 billion. Wall Street analysts had forecast the chipmaker to earn $1.02 a share on $6.34 billion in sales.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达(NVDA)报告本季度每股利润为1.04美元，总收入为65.1亿美元。华尔街分析师此前预测这家芯片制造商的销售额为63.4亿美元，每股收益为1.02美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9901d7947e5f939784f513f994e97469\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150522255","content_text":"(Aug 19) Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA) shares rose over 6% Thursday to a record high following the chipmaker's second-quarter results that were highlighted by strength in the company's data center business.\nData center revenue rose 35% from a year ago, to $2.37 billion. Bank of America Securities analyst Vivek Arya said that with regards to its data center offerings, NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) showed growth in hyperscale, vertical markets and high-performance computing, which Arya said should help the company's data center business grow by at least 30% a year over the long-term. Arya has a buy rating and $260-a-share price target on Nvidia's (NVDA) stock.\nBut, it was the gaming that produced the largest share of the company's revenue in the most-recent quarter. Gaming totaled $3.06 billion, up 85% from a year ago, led by demand for GeForce graphics processors and system-on-a-chip offerings for game consoles.\nTimothy Arcuri, of UBS, said Nvidia's (NVDA) gaming business is \"trending more in-line\" heading into what is typically a strong fall quarter for the company. Arcuri has a buy rating and $230-a-share price target on the chipmaker's stock.\nFor the quarter, Nvidia (NVDA) reported a profit of $1.04 a share, on total revenue of $6.51 billion. Wall Street analysts had forecast the chipmaker to earn $1.02 a share on $6.34 billion in sales.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171709892,"gmtCreate":1626761132216,"gmtModify":1633771265416,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am ready.&nbsp;","listText":"I am ready.&nbsp;","text":"I am ready.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171709892","repostId":"1116573791","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802477346,"gmtCreate":1627801036385,"gmtModify":1631889815587,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go Goog!&nbsp;","listText":"Go Goog!&nbsp;","text":"Go Goog!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802477346","repostId":"1122171439","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123068221,"gmtCreate":1624403942863,"gmtModify":1634006768202,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sweet!&nbsp;","listText":"Sweet!&nbsp;","text":"Sweet!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123068221","repostId":"1118580429","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123060488,"gmtCreate":1624403825044,"gmtModify":1634006771709,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tech tech tech!&nbsp;","listText":"Tech tech tech!&nbsp;","text":"Tech tech tech!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123060488","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802399880,"gmtCreate":1627714508640,"gmtModify":1631889815634,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😢","listText":"😢","text":"😢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802399880","repostId":"1167653033","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167653033","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627706886,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167653033?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 12:48","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"SGD to weaken to $1.35/USD amidst COVID-19 woes: Fitch<blockquote>惠誉：在COVID-19困境中，新加坡元将跌至1.35美元/美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167653033","media":"Singapore Business","summary":"The Singapore dollar (SGD) is expected to weaken to $1.35 versus the US dollar (USD) for 2021, accor","content":"<p>The Singapore dollar (SGD) is expected to weaken to $1.35 versus the US dollar (USD) for 2021, according to Fitch Solutions, to weaken further to $1.36 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>根据惠誉解决方案的数据，预计2021年新加坡元兑美元汇率将跌至1.35美元，2022年将进一步跌至1.36美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a downgrade from its previous forecast of $1.33 against the greenback for 2021 and $1.32 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这比之前预测的2021年兑美元1.33美元和2022年兑美元1.32美元有所下调。</blockquote></p><p> “The SGD has weakened in line with most other Asian currencies after the Fed’s hawkish surprise on June 16, and will likely trade in a weaker range between $1.35 per USD and $1.38 per USD for the remainder of 2021 and likely in 2022 as well,” Fitch said.</p><p><blockquote>惠誉表示：“在美联储6月16日的鹰派意外之后，新加坡元与大多数其他亚洲货币一致走弱，2021年剩余时间以及2022年可能会在1.35美元兑1.38美元之间的弱势区间内交易。”说。</blockquote></p><p> This is due to the risk-off sentiment sparked by the resurgence of COVID-19 infections across Asia, including the key economies of Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand.</p><p><blockquote>这是由于亚洲（包括印度尼西亚、马来西亚和泰国等主要经济体）新冠肺炎感染死灰复燃引发的避险情绪。</blockquote></p><p> The SGD&nbsp;also breached the key support level of $1.35 per USD on 8 July and has weakened since. The last time Singapore breached this level was in July 2018, during the initial phases of the US-China trade war.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡元也在7月8日突破了1美元兑1.35美元的关键支撑位，此后一直走弱。新加坡上一次突破这一水平是在2018年7月，当时正值美中贸易战的初始阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “However, any weakness in the SGD should be capped by the economy being in a much more resilient position than other Asian markets, due to the fast progress in vaccinating the population,” it added. “This puts Singapore in a much more resilient position compared to most other Asian economies and the SGD could benefit from some degree of safe-haven flows from elsewhere in the region as the year progresses, limiting prospects for further depreciation beyond our identified trading range.”</p><p><blockquote>它补充说：“然而，由于人口疫苗接种取得了快速进展，新加坡元的任何疲软都应该受到经济比其他亚洲市场更具弹性的限制。”“与大多数其他亚洲经济体相比，这使新加坡处于更具弹性的地位，随着时间的推移，新加坡元可能会受益于来自该地区其他地方的某种程度的避险资金，从而限制了进一步贬值超出我们确定的交易范围的前景。”</blockquote></p><p> For the long term, Fitch expects a strong recovery in exports to support the currency in 2022, but balanced by the risk of a potentially more hawkish US Fed if above-2% target inflation persists.</p><p><blockquote>从长期来看，惠誉预计2022年出口强劲复苏将支撑人民币，但如果目标通胀率持续高于2%，美联储可能会采取更加鹰派的风险将抵消这一风险。</blockquote></p><p> Fitch Solutions identified as a key risk the possibility of a COVID-19 variant that can bypass existing vaccines, which could force Singapore to implement further lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>惠誉解决方案（Fitch Solutions）认为，一个关键风险是新冠肺炎变种可能绕过现有疫苗，这可能迫使新加坡实施进一步的封锁。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SGD to weaken to $1.35/USD amidst COVID-19 woes: Fitch<blockquote>惠誉：在COVID-19困境中，新加坡元将跌至1.35美元/美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSGD to weaken to $1.35/USD amidst COVID-19 woes: Fitch<blockquote>惠誉：在COVID-19困境中，新加坡元将跌至1.35美元/美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Singapore Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 12:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Singapore dollar (SGD) is expected to weaken to $1.35 versus the US dollar (USD) for 2021, according to Fitch Solutions, to weaken further to $1.36 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>根据惠誉解决方案的数据，预计2021年新加坡元兑美元汇率将跌至1.35美元，2022年将进一步跌至1.36美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a downgrade from its previous forecast of $1.33 against the greenback for 2021 and $1.32 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这比之前预测的2021年兑美元1.33美元和2022年兑美元1.32美元有所下调。</blockquote></p><p> “The SGD has weakened in line with most other Asian currencies after the Fed’s hawkish surprise on June 16, and will likely trade in a weaker range between $1.35 per USD and $1.38 per USD for the remainder of 2021 and likely in 2022 as well,” Fitch said.</p><p><blockquote>惠誉表示：“在美联储6月16日的鹰派意外之后，新加坡元与大多数其他亚洲货币一致走弱，2021年剩余时间以及2022年可能会在1.35美元兑1.38美元之间的弱势区间内交易。”说。</blockquote></p><p> This is due to the risk-off sentiment sparked by the resurgence of COVID-19 infections across Asia, including the key economies of Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand.</p><p><blockquote>这是由于亚洲（包括印度尼西亚、马来西亚和泰国等主要经济体）新冠肺炎感染死灰复燃引发的避险情绪。</blockquote></p><p> The SGD&nbsp;also breached the key support level of $1.35 per USD on 8 July and has weakened since. The last time Singapore breached this level was in July 2018, during the initial phases of the US-China trade war.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡元也在7月8日突破了1美元兑1.35美元的关键支撑位，此后一直走弱。新加坡上一次突破这一水平是在2018年7月，当时正值美中贸易战的初始阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “However, any weakness in the SGD should be capped by the economy being in a much more resilient position than other Asian markets, due to the fast progress in vaccinating the population,” it added. “This puts Singapore in a much more resilient position compared to most other Asian economies and the SGD could benefit from some degree of safe-haven flows from elsewhere in the region as the year progresses, limiting prospects for further depreciation beyond our identified trading range.”</p><p><blockquote>它补充说：“然而，由于人口疫苗接种取得了快速进展，新加坡元的任何疲软都应该受到经济比其他亚洲市场更具弹性的限制。”“与大多数其他亚洲经济体相比，这使新加坡处于更具弹性的地位，随着时间的推移，新加坡元可能会受益于来自该地区其他地方的某种程度的避险资金，从而限制了进一步贬值超出我们确定的交易范围的前景。”</blockquote></p><p> For the long term, Fitch expects a strong recovery in exports to support the currency in 2022, but balanced by the risk of a potentially more hawkish US Fed if above-2% target inflation persists.</p><p><blockquote>从长期来看，惠誉预计2022年出口强劲复苏将支撑人民币，但如果目标通胀率持续高于2%，美联储可能会采取更加鹰派的风险将抵消这一风险。</blockquote></p><p> Fitch Solutions identified as a key risk the possibility of a COVID-19 variant that can bypass existing vaccines, which could force Singapore to implement further lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>惠誉解决方案（Fitch Solutions）认为，一个关键风险是新冠肺炎变种可能绕过现有疫苗，这可能迫使新加坡实施进一步的封锁。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/economy/in-focus/sgd-weaken-135usd-amidst-covid-19-woes-fitch\">Singapore Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/economy/in-focus/sgd-weaken-135usd-amidst-covid-19-woes-fitch","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167653033","content_text":"The Singapore dollar (SGD) is expected to weaken to $1.35 versus the US dollar (USD) for 2021, according to Fitch Solutions, to weaken further to $1.36 in 2022.\nThis is a downgrade from its previous forecast of $1.33 against the greenback for 2021 and $1.32 in 2022.\n“The SGD has weakened in line with most other Asian currencies after the Fed’s hawkish surprise on June 16, and will likely trade in a weaker range between $1.35 per USD and $1.38 per USD for the remainder of 2021 and likely in 2022 as well,” Fitch said.\nThis is due to the risk-off sentiment sparked by the resurgence of COVID-19 infections across Asia, including the key economies of Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand.\nThe SGD also breached the key support level of $1.35 per USD on 8 July and has weakened since. The last time Singapore breached this level was in July 2018, during the initial phases of the US-China trade war.\n“However, any weakness in the SGD should be capped by the economy being in a much more resilient position than other Asian markets, due to the fast progress in vaccinating the population,” it added. “This puts Singapore in a much more resilient position compared to most other Asian economies and the SGD could benefit from some degree of safe-haven flows from elsewhere in the region as the year progresses, limiting prospects for further depreciation beyond our identified trading range.”\nFor the long term, Fitch expects a strong recovery in exports to support the currency in 2022, but balanced by the risk of a potentially more hawkish US Fed if above-2% target inflation persists.\nFitch Solutions identified as a key risk the possibility of a COVID-19 variant that can bypass existing vaccines, which could force Singapore to implement further lockdowns.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802399668,"gmtCreate":1627714555754,"gmtModify":1631889815611,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pumping more $$$","listText":"Pumping more $$$","text":"Pumping more $$$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802399668","repostId":"1186334150","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186334150","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627713845,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186334150?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 14:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在路上。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186334150","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investme","content":"<p>U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美国立法者似乎即将通过一项期待已久的大规模基础设施投资法案，总额约为1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The legislation should be a boost to businesses like<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">Vulcan Materials</a>(ticker: VMC) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">Martin Marietta Materials</a>(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>(CAT) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">Terex</a>(TEX), which make construction equipment; and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">United Rentals</a>(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>这项立法应该会促进像这样的企业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">瓦肯材料</a>（股票代码：VMC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">马丁·玛丽埃塔材料</a>（传销），生产混凝土和沥青；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>（猫）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">特雷克斯</a>（特克斯），制造建筑设备；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">联合租赁公司</a>(URI)，租赁机器。由于基础设施支出的前景，他们的大多数股票已经上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> infrastructure play has been overlooked:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">Atlas</a> Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.</p><p><blockquote>但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>基础设施的发挥被忽视了：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">阿特拉斯</a>技术顾问(ATCX)提供工程和设计服务、建筑物和公共工程的检查和认证以及其他与建筑相关的服务。更多的建设意味着更多的计划和设计供Atlas审查。这些最终成为需要年度检查的成品项目，多年来都有回报。</blockquote></p><p> And yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>然而阿特拉斯的股价却停滞不前。该股最近的股价为9美元，仅为企业价值与预计2022年息税折旧摊销前利润(Ebitda)的八倍。对于Montrose Environmental Group(MEG)和Tetra Tech(TTEK)等相关检测业务的公司来说，这一倍数是EV/2022 Ebitda的22倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ad62f427fb70a25aa96068bc5d1756\" tg-width=\"442\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">Sterling</a> Partners <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”</p><p><blockquote>专注于小盘股的首席投资官兼投资组合经理凯文·西尔弗曼(Kevin Silverman)表示：“目前，估值折扣的部分原因是债务，但我想说，像Atlas这样的公司债务是合适的。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">英镑</a>合作伙伴<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Advisors拥有价值超过200万美元的Atlas股票，约占其管理资产的2%。“如果你有稳定的利润率并可以利用它来实现增长，那么债务会对股东有所帮助。”</blockquote></p><p> And Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas拥有巨大的增长机会。除了基础设施法案的提振之外，Atlas还有一项长期战略，即整合分散的美国检验服务市场，同时降低其债务水平。两者都应该会增加其对投资者的吸引力，并为其赢得更高的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> The Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于德克萨斯州奥斯汀的公司于2020年初通过与一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并上市。这笔交易给该公司带来了复杂的资本结构，包括多个股票类别、未偿认股权证和其他复杂因素。这种复杂性可能让一些投资者望而却步，Atlas相对较高的债务负担也是如此，其净债务是2021年Ebitda的5.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99bb73a7c212bfed6d0890b8b14fbc15\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Atlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas降低了这种复杂性——赎回其优先股、买断认股权证并增加股票的公开交易流通量——并专注于将其净债务降至Ebitda的三倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas预计今年销售额将增长13%，达到5.3亿美元，Ebitda将增长21%，达到7600万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Its customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">Service</a>, the Environmental Protection Agency, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a> Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>(AAPL).</p><p><blockquote>其客户包括州交通部门、私人建筑业主、电力和水务公司、机场、学校、医院等。其在全国的影响力和领先的规模有助于赢得和留住大型项目和大客户，包括美国邮政<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">服务</a>环境保护局<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>住房管理局、斯坦福大学、沃尔玛(WMT)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>（苹果公司）。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas在过去四个报告季度的调整后Ebitda为6400万美元，而净亏损为1800万美元。截至第一季度末，该公司的积压订单为6.89亿美元，占过去12个月收入4.82亿美元的140%以上。Atlas首席执行官乔·博耶(Joe Boyer)表示：“我从事这个行业已经30年了，这是迄今为止我见过的最高水平。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.</p><p><blockquote>该公司约70%的收入来自现有建筑、管道、道路和桥梁的工作。这些工作是非自由裁量的：正如我们有时悲惨地了解到的那样，无论经济或疫情形势如何，基础设施都需要定期检查和更新。</blockquote></p><p> The remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.</p><p><blockquote>Boyer表示，Atlas剩余30%的销售额与新建筑有关，新建筑在大流行期间有所下降，但几乎回到了Covid-19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>美国城市和州外包服务的长期趋势、更严格的环境标准以及老化的基础设施一直是Atlas近年来有机增长的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> That trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年Atlas归私募股权公司Bernhard Capital Partners所有以来，这一趋势约占Atlas销售额复合年增长率20%的一半。另一条增长途径是阿特拉斯的收购战略。</blockquote></p><p> “The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们的想法是在我们不占主导地位的地区或服务中找到一家公司，将其带到我们的平台上，并通过我们的网络进行交叉销售，”博耶说。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas的最佳收购目标是Ebitda约为500万至2000万美元，该公司通常以现金和股票的方式支付Ebitda的四至六倍。这使得每笔交易都会立即增加收益。</blockquote></p><p> As a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">Stifel</a> analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>作为一家规模较小且相对年轻的上市公司，Atlas得到的华尔街报道很少，但研究该公司的三位分析师持乐观态度。“我们认为该公司所处的终端市场强劲或正在复苏；他们一直在赢得大合同，而且积压订单一直在增长，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">斯蒂费尔</a>分析师诺埃尔·迪尔茨。“因此，我们对基本收入前景感觉良好。”</blockquote></p><p> She rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.</p><p><blockquote>她将Atlas评级为买入，目标价为14.50美元，是她对2022年Ebitda预期的11倍，其中不包括潜在基础设施法案带来的任何上行空间。使用15倍的Ebitda倍数，Sterling的Silverman预计，随着债务偿还的继续和盈利的上升，三年后股价将升至43美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.</p><p><blockquote>阿特拉斯的资产负债表仍然有待修复，但该公司拥有正确的基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在路上。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInfrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在路上。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 14:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美国立法者似乎即将通过一项期待已久的大规模基础设施投资法案，总额约为1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The legislation should be a boost to businesses like<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">Vulcan Materials</a>(ticker: VMC) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">Martin Marietta Materials</a>(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>(CAT) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">Terex</a>(TEX), which make construction equipment; and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">United Rentals</a>(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>这项立法应该会促进像这样的企业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">瓦肯材料</a>（股票代码：VMC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">马丁·玛丽埃塔材料</a>（传销），生产混凝土和沥青；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>（猫）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">特雷克斯</a>（特克斯），制造建筑设备；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">联合租赁公司</a>(URI)，租赁机器。由于基础设施支出的前景，他们的大多数股票已经上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> infrastructure play has been overlooked:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">Atlas</a> Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.</p><p><blockquote>但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>基础设施的发挥被忽视了：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">阿特拉斯</a>技术顾问(ATCX)提供工程和设计服务、建筑物和公共工程的检查和认证以及其他与建筑相关的服务。更多的建设意味着更多的计划和设计供Atlas审查。这些最终成为需要年度检查的成品项目，多年来都有回报。</blockquote></p><p> And yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>然而阿特拉斯的股价却停滞不前。该股最近的股价为9美元，仅为企业价值与预计2022年息税折旧摊销前利润(Ebitda)的八倍。对于Montrose Environmental Group(MEG)和Tetra Tech(TTEK)等相关检测业务的公司来说，这一倍数是EV/2022 Ebitda的22倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ad62f427fb70a25aa96068bc5d1756\" tg-width=\"442\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">Sterling</a> Partners <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”</p><p><blockquote>专注于小盘股的首席投资官兼投资组合经理凯文·西尔弗曼(Kevin Silverman)表示：“目前，估值折扣的部分原因是债务，但我想说，像Atlas这样的公司债务是合适的。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">英镑</a>合作伙伴<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Advisors拥有价值超过200万美元的Atlas股票，约占其管理资产的2%。“如果你有稳定的利润率并可以利用它来实现增长，那么债务会对股东有所帮助。”</blockquote></p><p> And Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas拥有巨大的增长机会。除了基础设施法案的提振之外，Atlas还有一项长期战略，即整合分散的美国检验服务市场，同时降低其债务水平。两者都应该会增加其对投资者的吸引力，并为其赢得更高的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> The Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于德克萨斯州奥斯汀的公司于2020年初通过与一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并上市。这笔交易给该公司带来了复杂的资本结构，包括多个股票类别、未偿认股权证和其他复杂因素。这种复杂性可能让一些投资者望而却步，Atlas相对较高的债务负担也是如此，其净债务是2021年Ebitda的5.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99bb73a7c212bfed6d0890b8b14fbc15\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Atlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas降低了这种复杂性——赎回其优先股、买断认股权证并增加股票的公开交易流通量——并专注于将其净债务降至Ebitda的三倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas预计今年销售额将增长13%，达到5.3亿美元，Ebitda将增长21%，达到7600万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Its customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">Service</a>, the Environmental Protection Agency, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a> Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>(AAPL).</p><p><blockquote>其客户包括州交通部门、私人建筑业主、电力和水务公司、机场、学校、医院等。其在全国的影响力和领先的规模有助于赢得和留住大型项目和大客户，包括美国邮政<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">服务</a>环境保护局<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>住房管理局、斯坦福大学、沃尔玛(WMT)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>（苹果公司）。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas在过去四个报告季度的调整后Ebitda为6400万美元，而净亏损为1800万美元。截至第一季度末，该公司的积压订单为6.89亿美元，占过去12个月收入4.82亿美元的140%以上。Atlas首席执行官乔·博耶(Joe Boyer)表示：“我从事这个行业已经30年了，这是迄今为止我见过的最高水平。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.</p><p><blockquote>该公司约70%的收入来自现有建筑、管道、道路和桥梁的工作。这些工作是非自由裁量的：正如我们有时悲惨地了解到的那样，无论经济或疫情形势如何，基础设施都需要定期检查和更新。</blockquote></p><p> The remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.</p><p><blockquote>Boyer表示，Atlas剩余30%的销售额与新建筑有关，新建筑在大流行期间有所下降，但几乎回到了Covid-19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>美国城市和州外包服务的长期趋势、更严格的环境标准以及老化的基础设施一直是Atlas近年来有机增长的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> That trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年Atlas归私募股权公司Bernhard Capital Partners所有以来，这一趋势约占Atlas销售额复合年增长率20%的一半。另一条增长途径是阿特拉斯的收购战略。</blockquote></p><p> “The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们的想法是在我们不占主导地位的地区或服务中找到一家公司，将其带到我们的平台上，并通过我们的网络进行交叉销售，”博耶说。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas的最佳收购目标是Ebitda约为500万至2000万美元，该公司通常以现金和股票的方式支付Ebitda的四至六倍。这使得每笔交易都会立即增加收益。</blockquote></p><p> As a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">Stifel</a> analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>作为一家规模较小且相对年轻的上市公司，Atlas得到的华尔街报道很少，但研究该公司的三位分析师持乐观态度。“我们认为该公司所处的终端市场强劲或正在复苏；他们一直在赢得大合同，而且积压订单一直在增长，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">斯蒂费尔</a>分析师诺埃尔·迪尔茨。“因此，我们对基本收入前景感觉良好。”</blockquote></p><p> She rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.</p><p><blockquote>她将Atlas评级为买入，目标价为14.50美元，是她对2022年Ebitda预期的11倍，其中不包括潜在基础设施法案带来的任何上行空间。使用15倍的Ebitda倍数，Sterling的Silverman预计，随着债务偿还的继续和盈利的上升，三年后股价将升至43美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.</p><p><blockquote>阿特拉斯的资产负债表仍然有待修复，但该公司拥有正确的基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/infrastructure-buy-atlas-technical-consultants-stock-51627684191?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/infrastructure-buy-atlas-technical-consultants-stock-51627684191?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186334150","content_text":"U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.\nThe legislation should be a boost to businesses likeVulcan Materials(ticker: VMC) andMartin Marietta Materials(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;Caterpillar(CAT) andTerex(TEX), which make construction equipment; andUnited Rentals(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.\nBut one infrastructure play has been overlooked:Atlas Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.\nAnd yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.\n“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused Sterling Partners Equity Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”\nAnd Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.\nThe Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.\n\nAtlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.\nAtlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.\nIts customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal Service, the Environmental Protection Agency, the New York City Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), andApple(AAPL).\nAtlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tellsBarron’s.\nAbout 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.\nThe remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.\nA long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.\nThat trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.\n“The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.\nAtlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.\nAs a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says Stifel analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”\nShe rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.\nAtlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147275458,"gmtCreate":1626361556174,"gmtModify":1633927470652,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip","listText":"Buy the dip","text":"Buy the dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147275458","repostId":"1125623556","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125623556","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626360370,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125623556?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 22:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GM Warns Some Bolt EV Owners To Park Vehicles Outside Due to Spontaneous Combustion Risk<blockquote>通用汽车警告部分Bolt EV车主因自燃风险将车辆停放在室外</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125623556","media":"Benzinga","summary":"General Motors has asked the owners of 2017-2019 Chevrolet Bolt EVs to park their vehicles outside a","content":"<p><div> General Motors has asked the owners of 2017-2019 Chevrolet Bolt EVs to park their vehicles outside and away from homes due to a risk of unexpectedly catching fire. The auto manufacturer has also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>由于存在意外起火的风险，通用汽车已要求2017-2019款雪佛兰Bolt电动汽车的车主将车辆停放在室外。该汽车制造商还...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GM Warns Some Bolt EV Owners To Park Vehicles Outside Due to Spontaneous Combustion Risk<blockquote>通用汽车警告部分Bolt EV车主因自燃风险将车辆停放在室外</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGM Warns Some Bolt EV Owners To Park Vehicles Outside Due to Spontaneous Combustion Risk<blockquote>通用汽车警告部分Bolt EV车主因自燃风险将车辆停放在室外</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-15 22:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> General Motors has asked the owners of 2017-2019 Chevrolet Bolt EVs to park their vehicles outside and away from homes due to a risk of unexpectedly catching fire. The auto manufacturer has also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>由于存在意外起火的风险，通用汽车已要求2017-2019款雪佛兰Bolt电动汽车的车主将车辆停放在室外。该汽车制造商还...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21998256/gm-warns-some-bolt-ev-owners-to-park-vehicles-outside-due-to-spontaneous-combustion-risk","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125623556","content_text":"General Motors has asked the owners of 2017-2019 Chevrolet Bolt EVs to park their vehicles outside and away from homes due to a risk of unexpectedly catching fire. The auto manufacturer has also warned vehicle owners not to leave their Bolt EV charging unattended overnight.\nWhat Happened:The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) issued astatement that explained the Bolt EVs’ cell packs “have the potential to smoke and ignite internally, which could spread to the rest of the vehicle and cause a structure fire if parked inside a garage or near a house.”\nThe NHTSA added the vehicles in question were originally recalled last November due to the potential of unattended fires sparking from the high-voltage battery pack underneath the backseat’s bottom cushion. Approximately 50,000 Bolt vehicles are impacted by this warning.\nWhat Else Happened:CNBC reported that GM said it has bought back some of the recalled vehicles, although it did not state the quantity involved.\n“At GM, safety is our highest priority, and we are moving as quickly as we can to investigate this issue,” said the company in a statement.\nThe new warning follows a pair of spontaneous combustion blazes created earlier this month by the Bolt, including one at the home of Vermont state Rep.Timothy Briglin,who is the chairman of the state House Committee on Energy and Technology and a vocal EV advocate.\nThe new warning comes one month after General Motors Chairwoman and CEO Mary Barra announced that the company was “targeting annual global EV sales of more than 1 million by 2025, and we are increasing our investment to scale faster because we see momentum building in the United States for electrification, along with customer demand for our product portfolio.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142737345,"gmtCreate":1626175753787,"gmtModify":1633929405741,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon!&nbsp;","listText":"To the moon!&nbsp;","text":"To the moon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142737345","repostId":"1191858541","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100729858,"gmtCreate":1619651856674,"gmtModify":1634211104844,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Way to go 🍎!&nbsp;","listText":"Way to go 🍎!&nbsp;","text":"Way to go 🍎!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100729858","repostId":"1137964402","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137964402","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619651546,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137964402?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 07:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%，授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137964402","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65","content":"<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple&nbsp;reported&nbsp;a blowout quarter&nbsp;on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元的股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its&nbsp;most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales&nbsp;did&nbsp;better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad&nbsp;sales&nbsp;growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称，其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长，其最重要的产品线iPhone比去年增长了65.5%。其Mac和iPad销量表现更好，电脑销量同比增长70.1%，iPad销量同比增长近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7%&nbsp;to $0.22 per share&nbsp;and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay&nbsp;and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示，将把股息提高7%至每股0.22美元，并授权900亿美元的股票回购，这明显高于去年的500亿美元支出和2019年的750亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果与Refinitiv估计的表现：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>:&nbsp;$1.40&nbsp;vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>:&nbsp;$89.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $77.36&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>:&nbsp;$47.94 billion&nbsp;vs. $41.43&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up&nbsp;65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>:&nbsp;$16.90 billion&nbsp;vs. $15.57&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 26.7% year over&nbsp;year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.83&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $7.79&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated,&nbsp;up 24%&nbsp;year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>:&nbsp;$9.10&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $6.86&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.80 billion&nbsp;vs. $5.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>:&nbsp;42.5% vs. 39.8%&nbsp;estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue&nbsp;guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty.&nbsp;This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories.&nbsp;Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>EPS</b>：1.40美元对比。估计0.99美元</li><li><b>收入</b>：895.8亿美元对比。预计773.6亿美元，同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>：479.4亿美元对比。预计为414.3亿美元，同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>：169亿美元vs.预计155.7亿美元，同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收益</b>：78.3亿美元对比。预计77.9亿美元，同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>：91亿美元vs.预计68.6亿美元，同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>：78亿美元vs.预计55.8亿美元，同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>：42.5%vs.估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。自疫情开始以来，该公司一直没有提供收入指引，理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度在所有产品类别中实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官Luca Maestri告诉分析师，该公司预计6月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数，尽管由于全球芯片短缺，该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers&nbsp;and businesses&nbsp;bought&nbsp;computers&nbsp;to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies&nbsp;open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在过去几个月表示，随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐，其业务受到了疫情的提振。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明，随着更多经济体的开放，这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this&nbsp;moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days&nbsp;ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者，正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)在一份声明中所说：“本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式，也反映了消费者似乎对所有人未来更好的日子感到乐观。我们。”</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac&nbsp;laptops&nbsp;that used its own M1 chips&nbsp;for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by&nbsp;Intel.&nbsp;iPad sales were up&nbsp;nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac的销量增长了70%，库克表示，这一结果是由该公司推出的Mac笔记本电脑“推动”的，这些笔记本电脑使用了自己的M1芯片，电池寿命更长，而不是英特尔销售的处理器，iPad的销量同比增长了近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those&nbsp;results&nbsp;include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这两个结果都不包括该公司3月份宣布的iPad Pro或iMac型号，预计这些型号将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac&nbsp;…&nbsp;it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that&nbsp;…&nbsp;it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC的乔什·利普顿(Josh Lipton)表示：“我们看到Mac的首次购买者数量强劲……这一比例继续略低于50%。”“而且，在中国，这个数字甚至更高……大约是三分之二。这表明人们更喜欢在Mac上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone本季度也公布了强劲的业绩，平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年，苹果发布了具有新外观设计和5G支持的iPhone，许多投资者认为这可能会引发一个重大升级周期，本季度的业绩表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan,&nbsp;Apple’s revenue increased over&nbsp;87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic.&nbsp;Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括大陆、香港和台湾在内的大中华区，苹果的收入同比增长超过87%，达到177.3亿美元，尽管相比之下，去年中国在疫情初期基本上处于关闭状态。其他所有地理类别，包括美洲和欧洲，也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s&nbsp;high-margin&nbsp;services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务，包括iCloud、App Store和苹果音乐等订阅业务，也实现了26.7%的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量，其中不仅包括苹果One等自有订阅，还包括通过其App Store进行的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC表示：“我们平台上的服务现在有超过6.6亿付费订阅，比上一季度增加了4000万，比3500万有所增长。”</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果的应用商店受到了立法者和公司的挑战，他们说它成本太高，权力太大。堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games就App Store政策进行的备受关注的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store是一个经济奇迹。据估计，去年有超过5000亿美元的经济活动因为应用商店。因此，这不仅是美国的经济游戏规则改变者，也是世界上几个国家的经济规则改变者。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们会看到它会走向何方。但是，我们有信心，”库克告诉CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度，利润率往往在38%至39%之间，但在截至3月份的季度，苹果报告利润率为42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%，授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%，授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-29 07:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple&nbsp;reported&nbsp;a blowout quarter&nbsp;on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元的股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its&nbsp;most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales&nbsp;did&nbsp;better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad&nbsp;sales&nbsp;growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称，其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长，其最重要的产品线iPhone比去年增长了65.5%。其Mac和iPad销量表现更好，电脑销量同比增长70.1%，iPad销量同比增长近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7%&nbsp;to $0.22 per share&nbsp;and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay&nbsp;and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示，将把股息提高7%至每股0.22美元，并授权900亿美元的股票回购，这明显高于去年的500亿美元支出和2019年的750亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果与Refinitiv估计的表现：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>:&nbsp;$1.40&nbsp;vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>:&nbsp;$89.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $77.36&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>:&nbsp;$47.94 billion&nbsp;vs. $41.43&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up&nbsp;65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>:&nbsp;$16.90 billion&nbsp;vs. $15.57&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 26.7% year over&nbsp;year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.83&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $7.79&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated,&nbsp;up 24%&nbsp;year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>:&nbsp;$9.10&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $6.86&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.80 billion&nbsp;vs. $5.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>:&nbsp;42.5% vs. 39.8%&nbsp;estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue&nbsp;guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty.&nbsp;This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories.&nbsp;Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>EPS</b>：1.40美元对比。估计0.99美元</li><li><b>收入</b>：895.8亿美元对比。预计773.6亿美元，同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>：479.4亿美元对比。预计为414.3亿美元，同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>：169亿美元vs.预计155.7亿美元，同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收益</b>：78.3亿美元对比。预计77.9亿美元，同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>：91亿美元vs.预计68.6亿美元，同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>：78亿美元vs.预计55.8亿美元，同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>：42.5%vs.估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。自疫情开始以来，该公司一直没有提供收入指引，理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度在所有产品类别中实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官Luca Maestri告诉分析师，该公司预计6月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数，尽管由于全球芯片短缺，该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers&nbsp;and businesses&nbsp;bought&nbsp;computers&nbsp;to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies&nbsp;open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在过去几个月表示，随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐，其业务受到了疫情的提振。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明，随着更多经济体的开放，这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this&nbsp;moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days&nbsp;ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者，正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)在一份声明中所说：“本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式，也反映了消费者似乎对所有人未来更好的日子感到乐观。我们。”</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac&nbsp;laptops&nbsp;that used its own M1 chips&nbsp;for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by&nbsp;Intel.&nbsp;iPad sales were up&nbsp;nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac的销量增长了70%，库克表示，这一结果是由该公司推出的Mac笔记本电脑“推动”的，这些笔记本电脑使用了自己的M1芯片，电池寿命更长，而不是英特尔销售的处理器，iPad的销量同比增长了近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those&nbsp;results&nbsp;include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这两个结果都不包括该公司3月份宣布的iPad Pro或iMac型号，预计这些型号将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac&nbsp;…&nbsp;it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that&nbsp;…&nbsp;it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC的乔什·利普顿(Josh Lipton)表示：“我们看到Mac的首次购买者数量强劲……这一比例继续略低于50%。”“而且，在中国，这个数字甚至更高……大约是三分之二。这表明人们更喜欢在Mac上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone本季度也公布了强劲的业绩，平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年，苹果发布了具有新外观设计和5G支持的iPhone，许多投资者认为这可能会引发一个重大升级周期，本季度的业绩表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan,&nbsp;Apple’s revenue increased over&nbsp;87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic.&nbsp;Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括大陆、香港和台湾在内的大中华区，苹果的收入同比增长超过87%，达到177.3亿美元，尽管相比之下，去年中国在疫情初期基本上处于关闭状态。其他所有地理类别，包括美洲和欧洲，也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s&nbsp;high-margin&nbsp;services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务，包括iCloud、App Store和苹果音乐等订阅业务，也实现了26.7%的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量，其中不仅包括苹果One等自有订阅，还包括通过其App Store进行的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC表示：“我们平台上的服务现在有超过6.6亿付费订阅，比上一季度增加了4000万，比3500万有所增长。”</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果的应用商店受到了立法者和公司的挑战，他们说它成本太高，权力太大。堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games就App Store政策进行的备受关注的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store是一个经济奇迹。据估计，去年有超过5000亿美元的经济活动因为应用商店。因此，这不仅是美国的经济游戏规则改变者，也是世界上几个国家的经济规则改变者。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们会看到它会走向何方。但是，我们有信心，”库克告诉CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度，利润率往往在38%至39%之间，但在截至3月份的季度，苹果报告利润率为42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137964402","content_text":"KEY POINTSApple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales did better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad sales growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay and 2019′s $75 billion.Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:EPS: $1.40 vs. $0.99 estimatedRevenue: $89.58 billion vs. $77.36 billion estimated, up 53.7% year-over-yeariPhone revenue: $47.94 billion vs. $41.43 billion estimated, up 65.5% year-over-yearServices revenue: $16.90 billion vs. $15.57 billion estimated, up 26.7% year over yearOther Products revenue: $7.83 billion vs. $7.79 billion estimated, up 24% year-over-yearMac revenue: $9.10 billion vs. $6.86 billion estimated, up 70.1% year-over-yeariPad revenue: $7.80 billion vs. $5.58 billion estimated, up 78.9% year-over-yearGross margin: 42.5% vs. 39.8% estimatedApple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty. This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories. Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers and businesses bought computers to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies open up.Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days ahead for all of us.”Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac laptops that used its own M1 chips for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by Intel. iPad sales were up nearly 79% year-over-year.Neither of those results include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac … it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that … it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, Apple’s revenue increased over 87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic. Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.Apple’s high-margin services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176982671,"gmtCreate":1626854877093,"gmtModify":1631889815654,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no…","listText":"Oh no…","text":"Oh no…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176982671","repostId":"1183563723","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183563723","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626853969,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183563723?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 15:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Slides After Subscriber Guidance Misses Estimates<blockquote>订户指引未达预期后Netflix股价下滑</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183563723","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Recent earnings reports from streaming giant $Netflix$ have been a mixed bag: the stock tumbled three quarters ago when the company reported earnings for its first full \"post Corona\" quarter and warned that\"growth is slowing\",before againplunging three quarters agowhen the company reported a huge miss in both EPS and new subs, which at 2.2 million was tied for the worst quarter in the past five years, while also reporting a worse than expected outlook for the current quarter. This reversedtwo qu","content":"<p>Recent earnings reports from streaming giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> have been a mixed bag: the stock tumbled three quarters ago when the company reported earnings for its first full \"post Corona\" quarter and warned that<i>\"growth is slowing\",</i>before againplunging three quarters agowhen the company reported a huge miss in both EPS and new subs, which at 2.2 million was tied for the worst quarter in the past five years, while also reporting a worse than expected outlook for the current quarter. This reversedtwo quarters agowhen Netflix reported a blowout subscriber beat and projected it would soon be cash flow positive, sending its stock soaring to an all time high - if only briefly before again reversing and then tumblinglast quarterwhen Netflix again disappointed when it reported a huge subscriber miss and giving dismal guidance.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体巨头最近的收益报告<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>情况好坏参半：三个季度前，当该公司公布第一个完整的“后电晕”季度收益时，该股暴跌，并警告称<i>“增长放缓”，</i>在三个季度前再次暴跌之前，该公司报告每股收益和新潜艇均大幅下滑，为220万辆，并列过去五年来最糟糕的季度，同时还报告了本季度的前景差于预期。两个季度前，这种情况发生了逆转，当时Netflix报告订户数量井喷，并预计很快就会实现正现金流，导致其股价飙升至历史新高——即使只是短暂的，然后再次逆转，然后暴跌。上个季度，Netflix报告订户数量巨大，再次感到失望。错过并给出令人沮丧的指导。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fe65be48d8a2ae27f38c5f2f476d77\" tg-width=\"1223\" tg-height=\"670\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Which brings us to today, when investors are on edge today to find out not whether the company would beat or miss expectations, but rather if the slowdown CEO Reed Hastings warned about is for real and has pulled forward even more subscribers due to covid? After all, Netflix has been warning for months that growth would slow in 2021 compared to the phenomenal signup rate at the start of the pandemic lockdown last year. And yes, brace for a huge base effect hit:<i>in the second quarter of 2020, the service added 10 million new customers, second only to the 15.77 million it added in the record first quarter of 2020.</i></p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了今天，投资者今天紧张地想知道的不是该公司是否会超出或低于预期，而是首席执行官里德·黑斯廷斯警告的经济放缓是否是真的，并且由于新冠疫情而吸引了更多的订户？毕竟，Netflix几个月来一直警告称，与去年大流行封锁开始时惊人的注册率相比，2021年的增长将放缓。是的，准备好迎接巨大的基础效应吧：<i>2020年第二季度，该服务新增客户1000万，仅次于创纪录的2020年第一季度新增的1577万。</i></blockquote></p><p> To be sure, despite a series of hit or miss earnings, the company has been riding a wave of optimism, its stock soaring in early 2021. Still, after hitting to a record high in January, the stock has traded rangbeound, unable to break out to a new high, for the past seven months. And while there’s no doubt that viewership has surged during the Covid-19 lockdowns in the U.S. and much of the world, there are complications: the virus has brought TV and film production to a halt, a situation that may only get more dire for Netflix as the months wear on. But the biggest question remains<b>how many future subs has covid brought to the present, and tied to that - will the panic over the Delta strain lead to another mini burst in subscribers in the coming quater(s)?</b></p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，尽管盈利出现了一系列时好时坏的情况，但该公司一直在乘着乐观情绪的浪潮，其股价在2021年初飙升。尽管如此，在一月份创下历史新高后，该股在过去七个月里一直徘徊不前，未能突破新高。尽管毫无疑问，在美国和世界大部分地区的Covid-19封锁期间，收视率激增，但也存在复杂情况：病毒导致电视和电影制作停止，随着时间的推移，这种情况对Netflix来说可能只会变得更加可怕。但最大的问题依然存在<b>covid为现在带来了多少未来的subs，与此相关的是，对Delta菌株的恐慌会导致未来几个季度用户的另一次小爆发吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Indicatively, consensus expects just 1.12 million new subscribers to be added in the second quarter, just above the company's own projection of 1 million new subs. Revenue are expected to come in at $7.32 billion, up from $7.16 billion last quarter, and resulting in EPS of $3.36, down slightly from last quarter's $3.75. This, as streaming video remains on a hot streak since the pandemic struck.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，市场普遍预计第二季度仅新增112万新用户，略高于该公司自己预测的100万新用户。收入预计为73.2亿美元，高于上季度的71.6亿美元，每股收益为3.36美元，略低于上季度的3.75美元。这是因为自疫情袭击以来，流媒体视频一直保持火爆势头。</blockquote></p><p> Previewing the quarterly result, Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Geetha Ranganathan and Amine Bensaid cautioned that Netflix’s massive 2020 is leading to more muted subscriber gains this year: \"Netflix will continue to feel the aftereffects of a super-charged 1H20, with a massive pull-forward of demand prompting tempered expectations for 1 million additions in 2Q, its lowest quarterly level since 4Q11. The pull-forward may have also been amplified by price increases and pent-up demand for outdoor entertainment leading to uncertainty in 3Q guidance, though the return of several high-profile titles (‘Witcher,’ ‘Cobra Kai,’ ‘You’ and ‘Money Heist’) will be a clear catalyst for normalizing subscriber gains from 4Q and into 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>彭博资讯(Bloomberg Intelligence)分析师Geetha Ranganathan和Amine Bensaid在预览季度业绩时警告称，Netflix 2020年的大规模增长将导致今年的订户增长更加疲软：Netflix, Inc.将继续感受到1H20超负荷的后遗症，需求将大幅拉动第二季度新增100万人的预期，这是自2011年第四季度以来的最低季度水平。价格上涨和户外娱乐需求被压抑，导致第三季度指引的不确定性，尽管几部备受瞩目的游戏（《巫师》、《眼镜蛇凯》、《你》和《金钱大劫案》）的回归将成为第四季度至2022年订户增长正常化的明显催化剂。”</blockquote></p><p> LightShed Partners media analyst Rich Greenfield published what he sees as the key questions Netflix investors should ask management after its earnings report. Among them are when Netflix’s subscriber growth will normalize, whether India can be a meaningful driver of profitability, and where the company sees opportunities in video games. Greenfield asks: “Is the goal to leverage IP you create for TV/film or create original video game IP that can be leveraged into TV/film production?”</p><p><blockquote>LightShed Partners媒体分析师Rich Greenfield发表了他认为Netflix投资者在财报发布后应该向管理层提出的关键问题。其中包括Netflix的用户增长何时会正常化，印度是否可以成为盈利的有意义的驱动力，以及该公司在视频游戏领域看到了哪些机会。格林菲尔德问道：“目标是利用你为电视/电影创作的IP，还是创造可以用于电视/电影制作的原创视频游戏IP？”</blockquote></p><p> Another thing to watch out for is how a slowdown in production last year is affecting the service. The filming of new shows and movies basically came to a standstill in early 2020, which curbed output in the following months.</p><p><blockquote>另一件需要注意的事情是去年生产放缓如何影响服务。新节目和电影的拍摄在2020年初基本陷入停滞，这抑制了随后几个月的产量。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> <b>So with all that in mind, was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> the quarter that would finally unleash another repricing higher for Netflix stock?</b>Alas, it would again not be this time because despite beating on the top line, and adding more subscribers than expected, the company missed on EPS and<i>again</i>reported another dismal quarterly guidance which came in well below expectations (full letter to shareholders).</p><p><blockquote><b>考虑到这一点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>这个季度最终会引发Netflix股票的另一次重新定价？</b>唉，这次又不会了，因为尽管营收超出预期，订户数量也超出预期，但该公司未能实现每股收益和<i>再一次</i>报告了另一份惨淡的季度指引，远低于预期（致股东的完整信）。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a>, the good news:</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>好消息是：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>Q2 revenue $7.34B,<i><b>beating</b></i>Est. $7.32B</li>  <li>Q2 Streaming Paid Net Change +1.54M,<i><b>beating</b></i>Est. +1.12M</li>  <li>Operating margin of 25.2% came in on top of estiamtes of 25.2%</li> </ul> And then the bad news:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第二季度收入$7.34 B，<i><b>殴打</b></i>是的。$7.32 B</li><li>第二季度流媒体付费净变化+154万，<i><b>殴打</b></i>是的。+1.12 M</li><li>营业利润率为25.2%，高于预期的25.2%</li></ul>然后是坏消息：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Q2 EPS $2.97 missing consensus Est. $3.14</b></li>  <li><b>Company sees Q3 Streaming Paid Net Change +3.50M, far below the Wall Street estimate of +5.86M</b></li> </ul> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> as bad,<b>the company reported its first decline in US/Canada paid subscribers, which shrank by 430K to 73.95MM. This was the first time NFLX lost customers domestically since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>第二季度每股收益2.97美元，未达到共识预期。$3.14</b></li><li><b>公司预计第三季度流媒体付费净变化+350万，远低于华尔街预期的+586万</b></li></ul><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>同样糟糕，<b>该公司报告称，美国/加拿大付费用户首次下降，减少43万至7395万。这是NFLX自2019年以来首次在国内失去客户。</b></blockquote></p><p> In other words, while q2 revenue rose 19% and operating income rose 36%,<b>shares tumbled after its third-quarter subscriber forecast missed estimates.</b></p><p><blockquote>也就是说，在q2营收增长19%、营业收入增长36%的同时，<b>第三季度订户预测未达到预期后，股价暴跌。</b></blockquote></p><p> Here is the full breakdown of Q2 subs which saw a drop in US/Canada paid subs:</p><p><blockquote>以下是第二季度美国/加拿大付费潜艇数量下降的潜艇的完整明细：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>UCAN streaming paid net change -430,000, estimate +52,190</b></li>  <li>EMEA streaming paid net change +190,000, estimate +429,335</li>  <li>LATAM streaming paid net change +760,000, estimate +128,719</li>  <li>APAC streaming paid net change +1.02 million, estimate +524,900</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">Total</a> Streaming paid net change +1.54 million, estimate +1.12 million (Bloomberg Consensus)</li> </ul> And visually:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>UCAN streaming付费净变化-430,000，估计+52,190</b></li><li>EMEA流媒体付费净变化+190,000，预估+429,335</li><li>LATAM streaming付费净变化+760,000，预估+128,719</li><li>亚太地区流媒体付费净变化+102万，预估+524,900</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">总的</a>流媒体付费净变化+154万，预估+112万（彭博共识）</li></ul>视觉上：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85f0ab057ffe490df75bde4db70226d4\" tg-width=\"863\" tg-height=\"842\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Commenting on the Q2 results, NFLX said that revenue growth was driven by an 11% increase in average paid streaming memberships and 8% growth in average revenue per membership (ARM). “COVID has created some lumpiness in our membership growth (higher growth in 2020, slower growth this year), which is working its way through.”</p><p><blockquote>NFLX在评论第二季度业绩时表示，收入增长是由平均付费流媒体会员数量增长11%和平均每位会员收入(ARM)增长8%推动的。“新冠疫情给我们的会员增长带来了一些波动（2020年增长较高，今年增长较慢），但这种情况正在得到解决。”</blockquote></p><p> A more detailed breakdown of why the company continues to see \"choppiness\" in its earnings:</p><p><blockquote>更详细地分析了该公司盈利持续“波动”的原因：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>\"The pandemic has created unusual choppiness in our growth and distorts year-over-year comparisons as acquisition and engagement per member household spiked in the early months of COVID. In Q2’21, our engagement per member household was, as expected, down vs. those unprecedented levels but was still up 17% compared with a more comparable Q2’19. Similarly, retention continues to be strong and better than pre-COVID Q2’19 levels, even as average revenue per membership has grown 8% over this two-year period, demonstrating how much our members value Netflix and that as we improve our service we can charge a bit more. \"</i>  NFLX also said that it added 1.5m paid memberships in Q2, \"slightly ahead of our 1.0m guidance forecast\"<b>with the APAC region representing about two-thirds of global paid net adds in the quarter</b>. Meanwhile, as noted above,<b>Q2 paid memberships in the UCAN region were down sequentially (-0.4m paid net adds):</b>\"<i>We believe our large membership base in UCAN coupled with a seasonally smaller quarter for acquisition is the main reason for this dynamic. This is similar to what we experienced in Q2’19 when our UCAN paid net adds were -0.1m; since then we’ve added nearly 7.5m paid net adds in UCAN\"</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“疫情给我们的增长带来了异常波动，并扭曲了同比比较，因为在新冠疫情爆发的最初几个月，每个成员家庭的收购和参与度激增。在21年第二季度，我们每个成员家庭的参与度正如预期的那样有所下降。这些前所未有的水平，但与更具可比性的2019年第二季度相比仍增长了17%。同样，尽管每位会员的平均收入在这两年期间增长了8%，但保留率仍然强劲，并且好于2019年第二季度新冠疫情爆发前的水平，这表明我们的会员对Netflix的重视程度以及我们改进我们的服务我们可以多收一点钱。”</i>NFLX还表示，第二季度付费会员数量增加了150万，“略高于我们100万的指导预测”<b>亚太地区约占本季度全球付费净增额的三分之二</b>同时，如上所述，<b>UCAN地区第二季度付费会员数量环比下降（付费净增-40万）：</b>\"<i>我们认为，我们在UCAN的庞大会员基础加上季节性较小的季度收购是这种动态的主要原因。这与我们在2019年第二季度经历的情况类似，当时我们的UCAN付费净增额为-0.1 M；从那时起，我们在UCAN中增加了近750万付费净添加量”</i></blockquote></p><p> This means that the covid pandemic in 2020 pulled forward so many subs that 2021 is shaping up to be the wirst year since at least 2016.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2020年的covid疫情号推进了如此多的潜艇，以至于2021年将成为至少自2016年以来的第一年。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1a78edf8126b85753fd3218713aba96\" tg-width=\"820\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Understandably, now that companies are comping to 2019 not to 2020 (for the dismal base effect), Netflix is urging investors to compare this year to 2019 and not to the same quarter a year ago (when the pandemic boosted subscriber growth). Oddly the company had no problem comparing 2020 to 2019 when the numbers were in its favor, but we digress... The company points out that user engagement per member household was down in the second quarter compared with “those unprecedented levels” of 2020, but it was up 17% “compared with a more comparable Q2’19.”</p><p><blockquote>可以理解的是，现在公司正在与2019年而不是2020年竞争（由于惨淡的基数效应），Netflix敦促投资者将今年与2019年进行比较，而不是与一年前的同一季度（当时大流行促进了用户增长）进行比较。奇怪的是，当数字对其有利时，该公司在比较2020年和2019年时没有问题，但我们跑题了...该公司指出，与2020年“前所未有的水平”相比，第二季度每个成员家庭的用户参与度有所下降，但“与更具可比性的2019年第二季度相比”增长了17%。</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps in an attempt to divert attention from (lack of) subscriber growth, Netflix said it was making good on its promise back in 2016 to steadily grow its operating margin. The streaming giant is targeting a 20% operating margin for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>或许是为了转移人们对（缺乏）用户增长的注意力，Netflix表示，它正在兑现2016年的承诺，稳步提高营业利润率。这家流媒体巨头的目标是2021年营业利润率达到20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f26d1f9fee9dc38cc58bff5bdc43c73\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Some more details here:</p><p><blockquote>更多详情请点击此处：</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   <i><b>“Assuming we achieve our margin target this year, we will have quintupled our operating margin in the last five years and are tracking ahead of this average annual three percentage point pace..</b></i>   <i>.. With revenue and margin both increasing, our operating profit dollars have risen dramatically as well (even as we have been investing heavily), from about $100 million per quarter in 2016 to nearly $2 billion per quarter so far in 2021.</i>  But while shareholders may excuse the decline in US subs, they were not happy with the company's overall guidance,<b>where it now sees just 3.5 million new subs in Q3, far below the 5.86 million expected.</b></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“假设我们今年实现利润率目标，我们的营业利润率将在过去五年中增长五倍，并且领先于年均三个百分点的速度。</b></i><i>..随着收入和利润率的增长，我们的营业利润也大幅增长（尽管我们一直在大力投资），从2016年的每季度约1亿美元增加到2021年迄今为止的每季度近20亿美元。</i>但是，尽管股东可能会原谅美国潜艇的下降，但他们对公司的整体指导并不满意，<b>目前第三季度新增潜艇数量仅为350万艘，远低于预期的586万艘。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23205a0bb2f7fde61b3ef2da7b7a56bb\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">* * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> Looking at its content slate, Netflix said it would be light in the first half due to Covid. The company is now playing catch-up, with spending on new TV shows and movies up 41% to $8 billion in the first half. The company is targeting $12 billion in content spending for the year, a 12% bump, to wit:</p><p><blockquote>从其内容清单来看，Netflix表示，由于新冠疫情，上半年的内容将会清淡。该公司现在正在迎头赶上，上半年在新电视节目和电影上的支出增长了41%，达到80亿美元。该公司今年的内容支出目标为120亿美元，增长12%，即：</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>Through the first half of 2021 we’ve already spent $8 billion in cash on content (up 41% yr-over-yr and 1.4x our content amortization)</b></i>   <i>and we expect content amortization to be around $12 billion for the full year (+12% year over year). Our Q3 slate will include new seasons of fan favorites La Casa de Papel (aka Money Heist), Sex Education, Virgin River and Never Have I Ever as well as live action films including Sweet Girl (starring Jason Momoa), Kissing Booth 3, and Kate (starring Mary Elizabeth Winstead) and the animated feature film Vivo, featuring all-new songs from Lin-Manuel Miranda.</i>  Netflix offers shared some more details on its upcoming entrance into the gaming arena:</p><p><blockquote><i><b>截至2021年上半年，我们已在内容上花费了80亿美元现金（同比增长41%，内容摊销是1.4倍）</b></i><i>我们预计全年内容摊销约为120亿美元（同比增长12%）。我们的第三季度名单将包括粉丝最爱的《La Casa de Papel》（又名《金钱大劫案》）、《性教育》、《处女河》和《从未有过我》的新一季，以及真人电影，包括《甜蜜的女孩》（由杰森·莫玛主演）、《接吻亭3》和《凯特》（由玛丽·伊丽莎白·温斯蒂德主演）和动画故事片《Vivo》，其中收录了林·曼努尔·米兰达的全新歌曲。</i>Netflix offers分享了有关其即将进入游戏领域的更多细节：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We’re also in the early stages of further expanding into games, building on our earlier efforts around interactivity (e.g., Black Mirror Bandersnatch) and our Stranger Things games. We view gaming as another new content category for us, similar to our expansion into original films, animation and unscripted TV.</i>   <i><b>Games will be included in members’ Netflix subscription at no additional cost, similar to films and series</b></i>   <i>. Initially, we’ll be primarily focused on games for mobile devices. We’re excited as ever about our movies and TV series offering and we expect a long runway of increasing investment and growth across all of our existing content categories, but since we are nearly a decade into our push into original programming, we think the time is right to learn more about how our members value games.”</i>  In its cursory overview of the competitive landscape, Netflix pointed out mergers like WarnerMedia/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISCA\">Discovery</a>, saying they “don’t believe this consolidation has affected our growth much, if at all.” The company also noted that while it’s always evaluating merger opportunities: “We don’t view any assets as ‘must-have’ and we haven’t yet found any large scale ones to be sufficiently compelling to act upon.”</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们还处于进一步向游戏领域扩张的早期阶段，建立在我们早期围绕交互性（例如Black Mirror Bandersnatch）和Stranger Things游戏的基础上。我们将游戏视为我们的另一个新内容类别，类似于我们向原创电影、动画和无脚本电视的扩张。</i><i><b>游戏将免费包含在会员的Netflix订阅中，类似于电影和连续剧</b></i><i>最初，我们将主要关注移动设备上的游戏。我们一如既往地对我们的电影和电视剧产品感到兴奋，我们预计我们所有现有内容类别的投资和增长将会有很长的路要走，但由于我们进军原创节目已近十年，我们认为是时候了解更多有关我们的会员如何重视游戏的信息了。”</i>在对竞争格局的粗略概述中，Netflix指出了像华纳媒体/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISCA\">发现</a>，表示他们“不认为这次整合对我们的增长有太大影响，如果有的话。”该公司还指出，虽然它一直在评估合并机会：“我们不认为任何资产是‘必须拥有的’，而且我们还没有发现任何足以令人信服地采取行动的大规模资产。”</blockquote></p><p> There was more bad news in NFLX cash flow, which after last quarter's surge reversed again, and dropped by $175 million, vs a positive cash flow of $899 million a year ago. NFLX notes that it is \"still expecting full year 2021 free cash flow to be approximately break even.\" The company also believes it no longer needs to raise external financing to fund our day-to-day operations. We'll see if at least that promise pans out.</p><p><blockquote>NFLX现金流方面有更多坏消息，继上季度激增后再次逆转，下降了1.75亿美元，而一年前现金流为正8.99亿美元。NFLX指出，“仍预计2021年全年自由现金流将接近收支平衡。”该公司还认为，不再需要筹集外部融资来为我们的日常运营提供资金。我们将看看至少这个承诺是否会实现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ceb3aed0130e94558eb4acfb4ed6369\" tg-width=\"1022\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In other news, during Q2, NFLX increased its revolving credit facility (which remains undrawn) to $1 billion from $750 million and extended the maturity from 2024 to 2026. The company also repurchased 1 million shares for $500 million (at an average per share price of about $500) under our $5 billion share authorization: the company said its \"main priority is to invest in the organic growth of our business while maintaining strong liquidity and retaining financial flexibility for strategic investments.\"</p><p><blockquote>其他消息方面，第二季度，NFLX将其循环信贷额度（仍未提取）从7.5亿美元增加到10亿美元，并将期限从2024年延长至2026年。该公司还根据我们50亿美元的股票授权，以5亿美元（平均每股价格约为500美元）回购了100万股股票：该公司表示，其“主要优先事项是投资于我们业务的有机增长，同时保持强劲的流动性并保留战略投资的财务灵活性。”</blockquote></p><p> After all that, the market was unimpressed but it could have been worse: after initially plunging below $500 briefly, the stock has since stabilized down 2% around $515. Among stocks that are down in sympathy, video-streaming platform Roku falls 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，市场并不为所动，但情况可能会更糟：在最初短暂跌破500美元后，该股此后稳定下跌2%，约为515美元。在同情下跌的股票中，视频流媒体平台Roku下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7e85e2830bd58f17652f92dedb29b4\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Netflix Slides&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix在盘前交易中下滑。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/304dae8666ce15371c9686fbd96d32bb\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"486\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Slides After Subscriber Guidance Misses Estimates<blockquote>订户指引未达预期后Netflix股价下滑</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Slides After Subscriber Guidance Misses Estimates<blockquote>订户指引未达预期后Netflix股价下滑</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 15:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Recent earnings reports from streaming giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> have been a mixed bag: the stock tumbled three quarters ago when the company reported earnings for its first full \"post Corona\" quarter and warned that<i>\"growth is slowing\",</i>before againplunging three quarters agowhen the company reported a huge miss in both EPS and new subs, which at 2.2 million was tied for the worst quarter in the past five years, while also reporting a worse than expected outlook for the current quarter. This reversedtwo quarters agowhen Netflix reported a blowout subscriber beat and projected it would soon be cash flow positive, sending its stock soaring to an all time high - if only briefly before again reversing and then tumblinglast quarterwhen Netflix again disappointed when it reported a huge subscriber miss and giving dismal guidance.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体巨头最近的收益报告<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>情况好坏参半：三个季度前，当该公司公布第一个完整的“后电晕”季度收益时，该股暴跌，并警告称<i>“增长放缓”，</i>在三个季度前再次暴跌之前，该公司报告每股收益和新潜艇均大幅下滑，为220万辆，并列过去五年来最糟糕的季度，同时还报告了本季度的前景差于预期。两个季度前，这种情况发生了逆转，当时Netflix报告订户数量井喷，并预计很快就会实现正现金流，导致其股价飙升至历史新高——即使只是短暂的，然后再次逆转，然后暴跌。上个季度，Netflix报告订户数量巨大，再次感到失望。错过并给出令人沮丧的指导。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fe65be48d8a2ae27f38c5f2f476d77\" tg-width=\"1223\" tg-height=\"670\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Which brings us to today, when investors are on edge today to find out not whether the company would beat or miss expectations, but rather if the slowdown CEO Reed Hastings warned about is for real and has pulled forward even more subscribers due to covid? After all, Netflix has been warning for months that growth would slow in 2021 compared to the phenomenal signup rate at the start of the pandemic lockdown last year. And yes, brace for a huge base effect hit:<i>in the second quarter of 2020, the service added 10 million new customers, second only to the 15.77 million it added in the record first quarter of 2020.</i></p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了今天，投资者今天紧张地想知道的不是该公司是否会超出或低于预期，而是首席执行官里德·黑斯廷斯警告的经济放缓是否是真的，并且由于新冠疫情而吸引了更多的订户？毕竟，Netflix几个月来一直警告称，与去年大流行封锁开始时惊人的注册率相比，2021年的增长将放缓。是的，准备好迎接巨大的基础效应吧：<i>2020年第二季度，该服务新增客户1000万，仅次于创纪录的2020年第一季度新增的1577万。</i></blockquote></p><p> To be sure, despite a series of hit or miss earnings, the company has been riding a wave of optimism, its stock soaring in early 2021. Still, after hitting to a record high in January, the stock has traded rangbeound, unable to break out to a new high, for the past seven months. And while there’s no doubt that viewership has surged during the Covid-19 lockdowns in the U.S. and much of the world, there are complications: the virus has brought TV and film production to a halt, a situation that may only get more dire for Netflix as the months wear on. But the biggest question remains<b>how many future subs has covid brought to the present, and tied to that - will the panic over the Delta strain lead to another mini burst in subscribers in the coming quater(s)?</b></p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，尽管盈利出现了一系列时好时坏的情况，但该公司一直在乘着乐观情绪的浪潮，其股价在2021年初飙升。尽管如此，在一月份创下历史新高后，该股在过去七个月里一直徘徊不前，未能突破新高。尽管毫无疑问，在美国和世界大部分地区的Covid-19封锁期间，收视率激增，但也存在复杂情况：病毒导致电视和电影制作停止，随着时间的推移，这种情况对Netflix来说可能只会变得更加可怕。但最大的问题依然存在<b>covid为现在带来了多少未来的subs，与此相关的是，对Delta菌株的恐慌会导致未来几个季度用户的另一次小爆发吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Indicatively, consensus expects just 1.12 million new subscribers to be added in the second quarter, just above the company's own projection of 1 million new subs. Revenue are expected to come in at $7.32 billion, up from $7.16 billion last quarter, and resulting in EPS of $3.36, down slightly from last quarter's $3.75. This, as streaming video remains on a hot streak since the pandemic struck.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，市场普遍预计第二季度仅新增112万新用户，略高于该公司自己预测的100万新用户。收入预计为73.2亿美元，高于上季度的71.6亿美元，每股收益为3.36美元，略低于上季度的3.75美元。这是因为自疫情袭击以来，流媒体视频一直保持火爆势头。</blockquote></p><p> Previewing the quarterly result, Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Geetha Ranganathan and Amine Bensaid cautioned that Netflix’s massive 2020 is leading to more muted subscriber gains this year: \"Netflix will continue to feel the aftereffects of a super-charged 1H20, with a massive pull-forward of demand prompting tempered expectations for 1 million additions in 2Q, its lowest quarterly level since 4Q11. The pull-forward may have also been amplified by price increases and pent-up demand for outdoor entertainment leading to uncertainty in 3Q guidance, though the return of several high-profile titles (‘Witcher,’ ‘Cobra Kai,’ ‘You’ and ‘Money Heist’) will be a clear catalyst for normalizing subscriber gains from 4Q and into 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>彭博资讯(Bloomberg Intelligence)分析师Geetha Ranganathan和Amine Bensaid在预览季度业绩时警告称，Netflix 2020年的大规模增长将导致今年的订户增长更加疲软：Netflix, Inc.将继续感受到1H20超负荷的后遗症，需求将大幅拉动第二季度新增100万人的预期，这是自2011年第四季度以来的最低季度水平。价格上涨和户外娱乐需求被压抑，导致第三季度指引的不确定性，尽管几部备受瞩目的游戏（《巫师》、《眼镜蛇凯》、《你》和《金钱大劫案》）的回归将成为第四季度至2022年订户增长正常化的明显催化剂。”</blockquote></p><p> LightShed Partners media analyst Rich Greenfield published what he sees as the key questions Netflix investors should ask management after its earnings report. Among them are when Netflix’s subscriber growth will normalize, whether India can be a meaningful driver of profitability, and where the company sees opportunities in video games. Greenfield asks: “Is the goal to leverage IP you create for TV/film or create original video game IP that can be leveraged into TV/film production?”</p><p><blockquote>LightShed Partners媒体分析师Rich Greenfield发表了他认为Netflix投资者在财报发布后应该向管理层提出的关键问题。其中包括Netflix的用户增长何时会正常化，印度是否可以成为盈利的有意义的驱动力，以及该公司在视频游戏领域看到了哪些机会。格林菲尔德问道：“目标是利用你为电视/电影创作的IP，还是创造可以用于电视/电影制作的原创视频游戏IP？”</blockquote></p><p> Another thing to watch out for is how a slowdown in production last year is affecting the service. The filming of new shows and movies basically came to a standstill in early 2020, which curbed output in the following months.</p><p><blockquote>另一件需要注意的事情是去年生产放缓如何影响服务。新节目和电影的拍摄在2020年初基本陷入停滞，这抑制了随后几个月的产量。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> <b>So with all that in mind, was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> the quarter that would finally unleash another repricing higher for Netflix stock?</b>Alas, it would again not be this time because despite beating on the top line, and adding more subscribers than expected, the company missed on EPS and<i>again</i>reported another dismal quarterly guidance which came in well below expectations (full letter to shareholders).</p><p><blockquote><b>考虑到这一点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>这个季度最终会引发Netflix股票的另一次重新定价？</b>唉，这次又不会了，因为尽管营收超出预期，订户数量也超出预期，但该公司未能实现每股收益和<i>再一次</i>报告了另一份惨淡的季度指引，远低于预期（致股东的完整信）。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a>, the good news:</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>好消息是：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>Q2 revenue $7.34B,<i><b>beating</b></i>Est. $7.32B</li>  <li>Q2 Streaming Paid Net Change +1.54M,<i><b>beating</b></i>Est. +1.12M</li>  <li>Operating margin of 25.2% came in on top of estiamtes of 25.2%</li> </ul> And then the bad news:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第二季度收入$7.34 B，<i><b>殴打</b></i>是的。$7.32 B</li><li>第二季度流媒体付费净变化+154万，<i><b>殴打</b></i>是的。+1.12 M</li><li>营业利润率为25.2%，高于预期的25.2%</li></ul>然后是坏消息：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Q2 EPS $2.97 missing consensus Est. $3.14</b></li>  <li><b>Company sees Q3 Streaming Paid Net Change +3.50M, far below the Wall Street estimate of +5.86M</b></li> </ul> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> as bad,<b>the company reported its first decline in US/Canada paid subscribers, which shrank by 430K to 73.95MM. This was the first time NFLX lost customers domestically since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>第二季度每股收益2.97美元，未达到共识预期。$3.14</b></li><li><b>公司预计第三季度流媒体付费净变化+350万，远低于华尔街预期的+586万</b></li></ul><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>同样糟糕，<b>该公司报告称，美国/加拿大付费用户首次下降，减少43万至7395万。这是NFLX自2019年以来首次在国内失去客户。</b></blockquote></p><p> In other words, while q2 revenue rose 19% and operating income rose 36%,<b>shares tumbled after its third-quarter subscriber forecast missed estimates.</b></p><p><blockquote>也就是说，在q2营收增长19%、营业收入增长36%的同时，<b>第三季度订户预测未达到预期后，股价暴跌。</b></blockquote></p><p> Here is the full breakdown of Q2 subs which saw a drop in US/Canada paid subs:</p><p><blockquote>以下是第二季度美国/加拿大付费潜艇数量下降的潜艇的完整明细：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>UCAN streaming paid net change -430,000, estimate +52,190</b></li>  <li>EMEA streaming paid net change +190,000, estimate +429,335</li>  <li>LATAM streaming paid net change +760,000, estimate +128,719</li>  <li>APAC streaming paid net change +1.02 million, estimate +524,900</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">Total</a> Streaming paid net change +1.54 million, estimate +1.12 million (Bloomberg Consensus)</li> </ul> And visually:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>UCAN streaming付费净变化-430,000，估计+52,190</b></li><li>EMEA流媒体付费净变化+190,000，预估+429,335</li><li>LATAM streaming付费净变化+760,000，预估+128,719</li><li>亚太地区流媒体付费净变化+102万，预估+524,900</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">总的</a>流媒体付费净变化+154万，预估+112万（彭博共识）</li></ul>视觉上：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85f0ab057ffe490df75bde4db70226d4\" tg-width=\"863\" tg-height=\"842\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Commenting on the Q2 results, NFLX said that revenue growth was driven by an 11% increase in average paid streaming memberships and 8% growth in average revenue per membership (ARM). “COVID has created some lumpiness in our membership growth (higher growth in 2020, slower growth this year), which is working its way through.”</p><p><blockquote>NFLX在评论第二季度业绩时表示，收入增长是由平均付费流媒体会员数量增长11%和平均每位会员收入(ARM)增长8%推动的。“新冠疫情给我们的会员增长带来了一些波动（2020年增长较高，今年增长较慢），但这种情况正在得到解决。”</blockquote></p><p> A more detailed breakdown of why the company continues to see \"choppiness\" in its earnings:</p><p><blockquote>更详细地分析了该公司盈利持续“波动”的原因：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>\"The pandemic has created unusual choppiness in our growth and distorts year-over-year comparisons as acquisition and engagement per member household spiked in the early months of COVID. In Q2’21, our engagement per member household was, as expected, down vs. those unprecedented levels but was still up 17% compared with a more comparable Q2’19. Similarly, retention continues to be strong and better than pre-COVID Q2’19 levels, even as average revenue per membership has grown 8% over this two-year period, demonstrating how much our members value Netflix and that as we improve our service we can charge a bit more. \"</i>  NFLX also said that it added 1.5m paid memberships in Q2, \"slightly ahead of our 1.0m guidance forecast\"<b>with the APAC region representing about two-thirds of global paid net adds in the quarter</b>. Meanwhile, as noted above,<b>Q2 paid memberships in the UCAN region were down sequentially (-0.4m paid net adds):</b>\"<i>We believe our large membership base in UCAN coupled with a seasonally smaller quarter for acquisition is the main reason for this dynamic. This is similar to what we experienced in Q2’19 when our UCAN paid net adds were -0.1m; since then we’ve added nearly 7.5m paid net adds in UCAN\"</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“疫情给我们的增长带来了异常波动，并扭曲了同比比较，因为在新冠疫情爆发的最初几个月，每个成员家庭的收购和参与度激增。在21年第二季度，我们每个成员家庭的参与度正如预期的那样有所下降。这些前所未有的水平，但与更具可比性的2019年第二季度相比仍增长了17%。同样，尽管每位会员的平均收入在这两年期间增长了8%，但保留率仍然强劲，并且好于2019年第二季度新冠疫情爆发前的水平，这表明我们的会员对Netflix的重视程度以及我们改进我们的服务我们可以多收一点钱。”</i>NFLX还表示，第二季度付费会员数量增加了150万，“略高于我们100万的指导预测”<b>亚太地区约占本季度全球付费净增额的三分之二</b>同时，如上所述，<b>UCAN地区第二季度付费会员数量环比下降（付费净增-40万）：</b>\"<i>我们认为，我们在UCAN的庞大会员基础加上季节性较小的季度收购是这种动态的主要原因。这与我们在2019年第二季度经历的情况类似，当时我们的UCAN付费净增额为-0.1 M；从那时起，我们在UCAN中增加了近750万付费净添加量”</i></blockquote></p><p> This means that the covid pandemic in 2020 pulled forward so many subs that 2021 is shaping up to be the wirst year since at least 2016.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2020年的covid疫情号推进了如此多的潜艇，以至于2021年将成为至少自2016年以来的第一年。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1a78edf8126b85753fd3218713aba96\" tg-width=\"820\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Understandably, now that companies are comping to 2019 not to 2020 (for the dismal base effect), Netflix is urging investors to compare this year to 2019 and not to the same quarter a year ago (when the pandemic boosted subscriber growth). Oddly the company had no problem comparing 2020 to 2019 when the numbers were in its favor, but we digress... The company points out that user engagement per member household was down in the second quarter compared with “those unprecedented levels” of 2020, but it was up 17% “compared with a more comparable Q2’19.”</p><p><blockquote>可以理解的是，现在公司正在与2019年而不是2020年竞争（由于惨淡的基数效应），Netflix敦促投资者将今年与2019年进行比较，而不是与一年前的同一季度（当时大流行促进了用户增长）进行比较。奇怪的是，当数字对其有利时，该公司在比较2020年和2019年时没有问题，但我们跑题了...该公司指出，与2020年“前所未有的水平”相比，第二季度每个成员家庭的用户参与度有所下降，但“与更具可比性的2019年第二季度相比”增长了17%。</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps in an attempt to divert attention from (lack of) subscriber growth, Netflix said it was making good on its promise back in 2016 to steadily grow its operating margin. The streaming giant is targeting a 20% operating margin for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>或许是为了转移人们对（缺乏）用户增长的注意力，Netflix表示，它正在兑现2016年的承诺，稳步提高营业利润率。这家流媒体巨头的目标是2021年营业利润率达到20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f26d1f9fee9dc38cc58bff5bdc43c73\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Some more details here:</p><p><blockquote>更多详情请点击此处：</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   <i><b>“Assuming we achieve our margin target this year, we will have quintupled our operating margin in the last five years and are tracking ahead of this average annual three percentage point pace..</b></i>   <i>.. With revenue and margin both increasing, our operating profit dollars have risen dramatically as well (even as we have been investing heavily), from about $100 million per quarter in 2016 to nearly $2 billion per quarter so far in 2021.</i>  But while shareholders may excuse the decline in US subs, they were not happy with the company's overall guidance,<b>where it now sees just 3.5 million new subs in Q3, far below the 5.86 million expected.</b></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“假设我们今年实现利润率目标，我们的营业利润率将在过去五年中增长五倍，并且领先于年均三个百分点的速度。</b></i><i>..随着收入和利润率的增长，我们的营业利润也大幅增长（尽管我们一直在大力投资），从2016年的每季度约1亿美元增加到2021年迄今为止的每季度近20亿美元。</i>但是，尽管股东可能会原谅美国潜艇的下降，但他们对公司的整体指导并不满意，<b>目前第三季度新增潜艇数量仅为350万艘，远低于预期的586万艘。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23205a0bb2f7fde61b3ef2da7b7a56bb\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">* * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> Looking at its content slate, Netflix said it would be light in the first half due to Covid. The company is now playing catch-up, with spending on new TV shows and movies up 41% to $8 billion in the first half. The company is targeting $12 billion in content spending for the year, a 12% bump, to wit:</p><p><blockquote>从其内容清单来看，Netflix表示，由于新冠疫情，上半年的内容将会清淡。该公司现在正在迎头赶上，上半年在新电视节目和电影上的支出增长了41%，达到80亿美元。该公司今年的内容支出目标为120亿美元，增长12%，即：</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>Through the first half of 2021 we’ve already spent $8 billion in cash on content (up 41% yr-over-yr and 1.4x our content amortization)</b></i>   <i>and we expect content amortization to be around $12 billion for the full year (+12% year over year). Our Q3 slate will include new seasons of fan favorites La Casa de Papel (aka Money Heist), Sex Education, Virgin River and Never Have I Ever as well as live action films including Sweet Girl (starring Jason Momoa), Kissing Booth 3, and Kate (starring Mary Elizabeth Winstead) and the animated feature film Vivo, featuring all-new songs from Lin-Manuel Miranda.</i>  Netflix offers shared some more details on its upcoming entrance into the gaming arena:</p><p><blockquote><i><b>截至2021年上半年，我们已在内容上花费了80亿美元现金（同比增长41%，内容摊销是1.4倍）</b></i><i>我们预计全年内容摊销约为120亿美元（同比增长12%）。我们的第三季度名单将包括粉丝最爱的《La Casa de Papel》（又名《金钱大劫案》）、《性教育》、《处女河》和《从未有过我》的新一季，以及真人电影，包括《甜蜜的女孩》（由杰森·莫玛主演）、《接吻亭3》和《凯特》（由玛丽·伊丽莎白·温斯蒂德主演）和动画故事片《Vivo》，其中收录了林·曼努尔·米兰达的全新歌曲。</i>Netflix offers分享了有关其即将进入游戏领域的更多细节：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We’re also in the early stages of further expanding into games, building on our earlier efforts around interactivity (e.g., Black Mirror Bandersnatch) and our Stranger Things games. We view gaming as another new content category for us, similar to our expansion into original films, animation and unscripted TV.</i>   <i><b>Games will be included in members’ Netflix subscription at no additional cost, similar to films and series</b></i>   <i>. Initially, we’ll be primarily focused on games for mobile devices. We’re excited as ever about our movies and TV series offering and we expect a long runway of increasing investment and growth across all of our existing content categories, but since we are nearly a decade into our push into original programming, we think the time is right to learn more about how our members value games.”</i>  In its cursory overview of the competitive landscape, Netflix pointed out mergers like WarnerMedia/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISCA\">Discovery</a>, saying they “don’t believe this consolidation has affected our growth much, if at all.” The company also noted that while it’s always evaluating merger opportunities: “We don’t view any assets as ‘must-have’ and we haven’t yet found any large scale ones to be sufficiently compelling to act upon.”</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们还处于进一步向游戏领域扩张的早期阶段，建立在我们早期围绕交互性（例如Black Mirror Bandersnatch）和Stranger Things游戏的基础上。我们将游戏视为我们的另一个新内容类别，类似于我们向原创电影、动画和无脚本电视的扩张。</i><i><b>游戏将免费包含在会员的Netflix订阅中，类似于电影和连续剧</b></i><i>最初，我们将主要关注移动设备上的游戏。我们一如既往地对我们的电影和电视剧产品感到兴奋，我们预计我们所有现有内容类别的投资和增长将会有很长的路要走，但由于我们进军原创节目已近十年，我们认为是时候了解更多有关我们的会员如何重视游戏的信息了。”</i>在对竞争格局的粗略概述中，Netflix指出了像华纳媒体/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISCA\">发现</a>，表示他们“不认为这次整合对我们的增长有太大影响，如果有的话。”该公司还指出，虽然它一直在评估合并机会：“我们不认为任何资产是‘必须拥有的’，而且我们还没有发现任何足以令人信服地采取行动的大规模资产。”</blockquote></p><p> There was more bad news in NFLX cash flow, which after last quarter's surge reversed again, and dropped by $175 million, vs a positive cash flow of $899 million a year ago. NFLX notes that it is \"still expecting full year 2021 free cash flow to be approximately break even.\" The company also believes it no longer needs to raise external financing to fund our day-to-day operations. We'll see if at least that promise pans out.</p><p><blockquote>NFLX现金流方面有更多坏消息，继上季度激增后再次逆转，下降了1.75亿美元，而一年前现金流为正8.99亿美元。NFLX指出，“仍预计2021年全年自由现金流将接近收支平衡。”该公司还认为，不再需要筹集外部融资来为我们的日常运营提供资金。我们将看看至少这个承诺是否会实现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ceb3aed0130e94558eb4acfb4ed6369\" tg-width=\"1022\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In other news, during Q2, NFLX increased its revolving credit facility (which remains undrawn) to $1 billion from $750 million and extended the maturity from 2024 to 2026. The company also repurchased 1 million shares for $500 million (at an average per share price of about $500) under our $5 billion share authorization: the company said its \"main priority is to invest in the organic growth of our business while maintaining strong liquidity and retaining financial flexibility for strategic investments.\"</p><p><blockquote>其他消息方面，第二季度，NFLX将其循环信贷额度（仍未提取）从7.5亿美元增加到10亿美元，并将期限从2024年延长至2026年。该公司还根据我们50亿美元的股票授权，以5亿美元（平均每股价格约为500美元）回购了100万股股票：该公司表示，其“主要优先事项是投资于我们业务的有机增长，同时保持强劲的流动性并保留战略投资的财务灵活性。”</blockquote></p><p> After all that, the market was unimpressed but it could have been worse: after initially plunging below $500 briefly, the stock has since stabilized down 2% around $515. Among stocks that are down in sympathy, video-streaming platform Roku falls 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，市场并不为所动，但情况可能会更糟：在最初短暂跌破500美元后，该股此后稳定下跌2%，约为515美元。在同情下跌的股票中，视频流媒体平台Roku下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7e85e2830bd58f17652f92dedb29b4\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Netflix Slides&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix在盘前交易中下滑。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/304dae8666ce15371c9686fbd96d32bb\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"486\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/netflix-slides-after-subscriber-guidance-misses-estimates\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/netflix-slides-after-subscriber-guidance-misses-estimates","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183563723","content_text":"Recent earnings reports from streaming giant Netflix have been a mixed bag: the stock tumbled three quarters ago when the company reported earnings for its first full \"post Corona\" quarter and warned that\"growth is slowing\",before againplunging three quarters agowhen the company reported a huge miss in both EPS and new subs, which at 2.2 million was tied for the worst quarter in the past five years, while also reporting a worse than expected outlook for the current quarter. This reversedtwo quarters agowhen Netflix reported a blowout subscriber beat and projected it would soon be cash flow positive, sending its stock soaring to an all time high - if only briefly before again reversing and then tumblinglast quarterwhen Netflix again disappointed when it reported a huge subscriber miss and giving dismal guidance.\nWhich brings us to today, when investors are on edge today to find out not whether the company would beat or miss expectations, but rather if the slowdown CEO Reed Hastings warned about is for real and has pulled forward even more subscribers due to covid? After all, Netflix has been warning for months that growth would slow in 2021 compared to the phenomenal signup rate at the start of the pandemic lockdown last year. And yes, brace for a huge base effect hit:in the second quarter of 2020, the service added 10 million new customers, second only to the 15.77 million it added in the record first quarter of 2020.\nTo be sure, despite a series of hit or miss earnings, the company has been riding a wave of optimism, its stock soaring in early 2021. Still, after hitting to a record high in January, the stock has traded rangbeound, unable to break out to a new high, for the past seven months. And while there’s no doubt that viewership has surged during the Covid-19 lockdowns in the U.S. and much of the world, there are complications: the virus has brought TV and film production to a halt, a situation that may only get more dire for Netflix as the months wear on. But the biggest question remainshow many future subs has covid brought to the present, and tied to that - will the panic over the Delta strain lead to another mini burst in subscribers in the coming quater(s)?\nIndicatively, consensus expects just 1.12 million new subscribers to be added in the second quarter, just above the company's own projection of 1 million new subs. Revenue are expected to come in at $7.32 billion, up from $7.16 billion last quarter, and resulting in EPS of $3.36, down slightly from last quarter's $3.75. This, as streaming video remains on a hot streak since the pandemic struck.\nPreviewing the quarterly result, Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Geetha Ranganathan and Amine Bensaid cautioned that Netflix’s massive 2020 is leading to more muted subscriber gains this year: \"Netflix will continue to feel the aftereffects of a super-charged 1H20, with a massive pull-forward of demand prompting tempered expectations for 1 million additions in 2Q, its lowest quarterly level since 4Q11. The pull-forward may have also been amplified by price increases and pent-up demand for outdoor entertainment leading to uncertainty in 3Q guidance, though the return of several high-profile titles (‘Witcher,’ ‘Cobra Kai,’ ‘You’ and ‘Money Heist’) will be a clear catalyst for normalizing subscriber gains from 4Q and into 2022.\"\nLightShed Partners media analyst Rich Greenfield published what he sees as the key questions Netflix investors should ask management after its earnings report. Among them are when Netflix’s subscriber growth will normalize, whether India can be a meaningful driver of profitability, and where the company sees opportunities in video games. Greenfield asks: “Is the goal to leverage IP you create for TV/film or create original video game IP that can be leveraged into TV/film production?”\nAnother thing to watch out for is how a slowdown in production last year is affecting the service. The filming of new shows and movies basically came to a standstill in early 2020, which curbed output in the following months.\n* * *\nSo with all that in mind, was Q2 the quarter that would finally unleash another repricing higher for Netflix stock?Alas, it would again not be this time because despite beating on the top line, and adding more subscribers than expected, the company missed on EPS andagainreported another dismal quarterly guidance which came in well below expectations (full letter to shareholders).\nFirst, the good news:\n\nQ2 revenue $7.34B,beatingEst. $7.32B\nQ2 Streaming Paid Net Change +1.54M,beatingEst. +1.12M\nOperating margin of 25.2% came in on top of estiamtes of 25.2%\n\nAnd then the bad news:\n\nQ2 EPS $2.97 missing consensus Est. $3.14\nCompany sees Q3 Streaming Paid Net Change +3.50M, far below the Wall Street estimate of +5.86M\n\nJust as bad,the company reported its first decline in US/Canada paid subscribers, which shrank by 430K to 73.95MM. This was the first time NFLX lost customers domestically since 2019.\nIn other words, while q2 revenue rose 19% and operating income rose 36%,shares tumbled after its third-quarter subscriber forecast missed estimates.\nHere is the full breakdown of Q2 subs which saw a drop in US/Canada paid subs:\n\nUCAN streaming paid net change -430,000, estimate +52,190\nEMEA streaming paid net change +190,000, estimate +429,335\nLATAM streaming paid net change +760,000, estimate +128,719\nAPAC streaming paid net change +1.02 million, estimate +524,900\nTotal Streaming paid net change +1.54 million, estimate +1.12 million (Bloomberg Consensus)\n\nAnd visually:\nCommenting on the Q2 results, NFLX said that revenue growth was driven by an 11% increase in average paid streaming memberships and 8% growth in average revenue per membership (ARM). “COVID has created some lumpiness in our membership growth (higher growth in 2020, slower growth this year), which is working its way through.”\nA more detailed breakdown of why the company continues to see \"choppiness\" in its earnings:\n\n\"The pandemic has created unusual choppiness in our growth and distorts year-over-year comparisons as acquisition and engagement per member household spiked in the early months of COVID. In Q2’21, our engagement per member household was, as expected, down vs. those unprecedented levels but was still up 17% compared with a more comparable Q2’19. Similarly, retention continues to be strong and better than pre-COVID Q2’19 levels, even as average revenue per membership has grown 8% over this two-year period, demonstrating how much our members value Netflix and that as we improve our service we can charge a bit more. \"\n\nNFLX also said that it added 1.5m paid memberships in Q2, \"slightly ahead of our 1.0m guidance forecast\"with the APAC region representing about two-thirds of global paid net adds in the quarter. Meanwhile, as noted above,Q2 paid memberships in the UCAN region were down sequentially (-0.4m paid net adds):\"We believe our large membership base in UCAN coupled with a seasonally smaller quarter for acquisition is the main reason for this dynamic. This is similar to what we experienced in Q2’19 when our UCAN paid net adds were -0.1m; since then we’ve added nearly 7.5m paid net adds in UCAN\"\nThis means that the covid pandemic in 2020 pulled forward so many subs that 2021 is shaping up to be the wirst year since at least 2016.\nUnderstandably, now that companies are comping to 2019 not to 2020 (for the dismal base effect), Netflix is urging investors to compare this year to 2019 and not to the same quarter a year ago (when the pandemic boosted subscriber growth). Oddly the company had no problem comparing 2020 to 2019 when the numbers were in its favor, but we digress... The company points out that user engagement per member household was down in the second quarter compared with “those unprecedented levels” of 2020, but it was up 17% “compared with a more comparable Q2’19.”\nPerhaps in an attempt to divert attention from (lack of) subscriber growth, Netflix said it was making good on its promise back in 2016 to steadily grow its operating margin. The streaming giant is targeting a 20% operating margin for 2021.\nSome more details here:\n\n“Assuming we achieve our margin target this year, we will have quintupled our operating margin in the last five years and are tracking ahead of this average annual three percentage point pace..\n.. With revenue and margin both increasing, our operating profit dollars have risen dramatically as well (even as we have been investing heavily), from about $100 million per quarter in 2016 to nearly $2 billion per quarter so far in 2021.\n\nBut while shareholders may excuse the decline in US subs, they were not happy with the company's overall guidance,where it now sees just 3.5 million new subs in Q3, far below the 5.86 million expected.\n* * *\nLooking at its content slate, Netflix said it would be light in the first half due to Covid. The company is now playing catch-up, with spending on new TV shows and movies up 41% to $8 billion in the first half. The company is targeting $12 billion in content spending for the year, a 12% bump, to wit:\n\nThrough the first half of 2021 we’ve already spent $8 billion in cash on content (up 41% yr-over-yr and 1.4x our content amortization)\nand we expect content amortization to be around $12 billion for the full year (+12% year over year). Our Q3 slate will include new seasons of fan favorites La Casa de Papel (aka Money Heist), Sex Education, Virgin River and Never Have I Ever as well as live action films including Sweet Girl (starring Jason Momoa), Kissing Booth 3, and Kate (starring Mary Elizabeth Winstead) and the animated feature film Vivo, featuring all-new songs from Lin-Manuel Miranda.\n\nNetflix offers shared some more details on its upcoming entrance into the gaming arena:\n\n“We’re also in the early stages of further expanding into games, building on our earlier efforts around interactivity (e.g., Black Mirror Bandersnatch) and our Stranger Things games. We view gaming as another new content category for us, similar to our expansion into original films, animation and unscripted TV.\nGames will be included in members’ Netflix subscription at no additional cost, similar to films and series\n. Initially, we’ll be primarily focused on games for mobile devices. We’re excited as ever about our movies and TV series offering and we expect a long runway of increasing investment and growth across all of our existing content categories, but since we are nearly a decade into our push into original programming, we think the time is right to learn more about how our members value games.”\n\nIn its cursory overview of the competitive landscape, Netflix pointed out mergers like WarnerMedia/Discovery, saying they “don’t believe this consolidation has affected our growth much, if at all.” The company also noted that while it’s always evaluating merger opportunities: “We don’t view any assets as ‘must-have’ and we haven’t yet found any large scale ones to be sufficiently compelling to act upon.”\nThere was more bad news in NFLX cash flow, which after last quarter's surge reversed again, and dropped by $175 million, vs a positive cash flow of $899 million a year ago. NFLX notes that it is \"still expecting full year 2021 free cash flow to be approximately break even.\" The company also believes it no longer needs to raise external financing to fund our day-to-day operations. We'll see if at least that promise pans out.\nIn other news, during Q2, NFLX increased its revolving credit facility (which remains undrawn) to $1 billion from $750 million and extended the maturity from 2024 to 2026. The company also repurchased 1 million shares for $500 million (at an average per share price of about $500) under our $5 billion share authorization: the company said its \"main priority is to invest in the organic growth of our business while maintaining strong liquidity and retaining financial flexibility for strategic investments.\"\nAfter all that, the market was unimpressed but it could have been worse: after initially plunging below $500 briefly, the stock has since stabilized down 2% around $515. Among stocks that are down in sympathy, video-streaming platform Roku falls 1.4%.\nNetflix Slides in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QNETCN":0.9,"NFLX":0.9,"GUID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372868549,"gmtCreate":1619191855581,"gmtModify":1634287852764,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go baba go!&nbsp;","listText":"Go baba go!&nbsp;","text":"Go baba go!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372868549","repostId":"1170805005","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":829671416,"gmtCreate":1633507200935,"gmtModify":1633507215458,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip.&nbsp;","listText":"Buy the dip.&nbsp;","text":"Buy the dip.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829671416","repostId":"1123518290","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373969283,"gmtCreate":1618812188642,"gmtModify":1634290737944,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","listText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","text":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373969283","repostId":"1114523776","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379443944,"gmtCreate":1618791662588,"gmtModify":1634290939338,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"❤️ 🍎&nbsp;","listText":"❤️ 🍎&nbsp;","text":"❤️ 🍎","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379443944","repostId":"1162662309","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162662309","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618762645,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162662309?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-19 00:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks To Watch: Apple Event, Disney Callout And Earnings Blitz<blockquote>值得关注的股票：苹果活动、迪士尼预告和盈利闪电战</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162662309","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday morning. A podcast of Stocks to Watch is also available on Sundays onSeeking Alpha,Apple Podcasts,StitcherandSpotify.Economic reports due out this week include the latest updates on existing home sales, new home sales, jobless claims and PMI. Big earnings reports blast in every day this week across ","content":"<p>Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday morning. A podcast of Stocks to Watch is also available on Sundays onSeeking Alpha,Apple Podcasts,StitcherandSpotify(click the highlighted links).</p><p><blockquote>欢迎来到Seeking Alpha的股票观看-本周计划的关键事件预览。关注此帐户并打开电子邮件提醒，每周六早上在您的收件箱中收到这篇文章。周日还可以在Seeking Alpha、苹果播客、Stitcher和Spotify上观看值得关注的股票播客（单击突出显示的链接）。</blockquote></p><p>Economic reports due out this week include the latest updates on existing home sales, new home sales, jobless claims and PMI. Big earnings reports blast in every day this week across sectors. Of note, the follow-up conference calls from Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)could be on the interesting side. On the vaccine front, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices is expected to meet late this week to consider recommendations for Johnson &amp; Johnson's(NYSE:JNJ)shot, which has been linked to rare blood clots in the brain.</p><p><blockquote>本周将发布的经济报告包括成屋销售、新屋销售、初请失业金人数和PMI的最新数据。本周各行业每天都会发布大型盈利报告。值得注意的是，可口可乐（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KO）、Netflix（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）和英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）的后续会议评级可能会很有趣。在疫苗方面，美国疾病控制与预防中心免疫实践咨询委员会预计将于本周晚些时候召开会议，考虑强生公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JNJ）疫苗的建议，该疫苗与大脑中罕见的血栓有关。</blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings spotlight:</b>&nbsp;Earnings season heats up in a big way with reports due in from Coca-Cola (KO), IBM(NYSE:IBM)and United Airlines(NASDAQ:UAL)on April 19; Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ), Procter &amp; Gamble(NYSE:PG), Philip Morris International(NYSE:PM), Abbott Labs(NYSE:ABT)and Netflix (NFLX) on April 20; Anthem(NYSE:ANTM), Verizon(NYSE:VZ), Chipotle(NYSE:CMG)and Lam Research(NASDAQ:LRCX)on April 21; AT&amp;T(NYSE:T), Dow(NYSE:DOW), Intel (INTC), Seagate Tech(NASDAQ:STX)and Mattel(NASDAQ:MAT)on April 22; as well as American Express(NYSE:AXP)and Honeywell(NYSE:HON)on April 23.</p><p><blockquote><b>盈利聚焦：</b>随着可口可乐(KO)、IBM(NYSE：IBM)和联合航空(纳斯达克：UAL)将于4月19日发布报告，财报季大幅升温；4月20日，强生公司(JNJ)、宝洁公司(NYSE：PG)、菲利普莫里斯国际公司(NYSE：PM)、雅培实验室(NYSE：ABT)和Netflix(NFLX)；Anthem（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ANTM）、Verizon（纽约证券交易所股票代码：VZ）、Chipotle（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CMG）和Lam Research（纳斯达克股票代码：LRCX）4月21日；AT&amp;T（纽约证券交易所股票代码：T）、陶氏化学（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DOW）、英特尔（INTC）、希捷科技（纳斯达克股票代码：STX）和美泰（纳斯达克股票代码：MAT）4月22日；以及4月23日的美国运通（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AXP）和霍尼韦尔（纽约证券交易所股票代码：HON）。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/522c9bdad799a71c4e6bad965f9f00f3\" tg-width=\"1530\" tg-height=\"650\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>IPO watch:</b>&nbsp;IPOs expected to start trading during the week include UiPAth (PATH), DoubleVerify (DV) and NeuroPace (NPCE) on April 20, as well as Zymergern (ZY) and KnowBe4 (KNBE) on April 22. IPO lockup periods expire on Datto Holding(NYSE:MSP), Topaz Energy(NYSE:TPZ), McAfee(NASDAQ:MCFE), Guild Holdings(NYSE:GHLD), Foghorn Therapeutics(NASDAQ:FHTX)and ComSovereign Holding(NASDAQ:COMS). The analyst quiet period expires on ThredUp(NASDAQ:TDUP)on April 20 to free up analysts to post ratings. Shares of Trip.com(NASDAQ:TRIP)will begin trading in Hong Kong this week following a new listing.</p><p><blockquote><b>IPO观察：</b>预计本周开始交易的IPO包括4月20日的UiPAth(PATH)、DoubleVerify(DV)和NeuroPace(NPCE)，以及4月22日的Zymergern(ZY)和KnowBe4(KNBE)。Datto Holding(NYSE：MSP)、Topaz Energy(NYSE：TPZ)、McAfee(纳斯达克：MCFE)、Guild Holdings(NYSE：GHLD)、Foghorn Therapeutics(纳斯达克：FHTX)和ComSovereign Holding(纳斯达克：COMS）。ThredUp（纳斯达克股票代码：TDUP）的分析师静默期将于4月20日到期，以便分析师可以发布评级。携程（纳斯达克股票代码：TRIP）的股票将于本周在香港上市后开始交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>Apple event:</b>&nbsp;Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)holds an event on April 20 called \"Spring Loaded\" to show off new products. Information out of Cupertino has been pretty tight, but the company could reveal new iPads, new iMacs, new AirPods, AirTags, a new Apple TV and possibly a new Apple Pencil.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果事件：</b>苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）将于4月20日举办名为“Spring Loaded”的活动，展示新产品。来自库比蒂诺的信息相当紧张，但该公司可能会发布新的iPad、新的iMac、新的AirPods、AirTags、新的苹果电视，可能还有新的苹果铅笔。</blockquote></p><p><b>Projected dividend increases (quarterly):</b>&nbsp;Expected dividend boosts for the week include Comfort Systems USA(NYSE:FIX)to $0.125 from $0.1115, HP Enterprise(NYSE:HPE)to $0.1275 from $0.12, Pool Corp(NASDAQ:POOL)to $0.61 from $0.58, Johnson &amp; Johnson to $1.06 from $1.01, Travelers(NYSE:TRV)to $0.88 from $0.85, Southern Company(NYSE:SO)to $0.66 from $0.64, Kinder Morgan(NYSE:KMI)to $0.27 from $0.2625 and Nasdaq(NASDAQ:NDAQ)to $0.50 from $0.49.</p><p><blockquote><b>预计股息增加（季度）：</b>预计本周股息上调包括Comfort Systems USA(NYSE：FIX)从0.1115美元上调至0.125美元，HP Enterprise(NYSE：HPE)从0.12美元上调至0.1275美元，Pool Corp(纳斯达克：POOL)从0.58美元上调至0.61美元，强生公司(NYSE：TRV)从0.85美元上调至0.88美元，南方公司(NYSE：SO)从0.64美元上调至0.66美元，金德摩根(NYSE：KMI)从0.2625美元上调至0.27美元，纳斯达克(纳斯达克：NDAQ)从0.49美元上调至0.50美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>M&amp;A tidbits:</b>&nbsp;The highly-anticipated Aphria(NASDAQ:APHA)-Tilray(NASDAQ:TLRY)merger is expected to close on April 20. The tender offer on the GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)-Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)deal expires on April 21. GW Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:GWPH)shareholders vote on the Jazz Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:JAZZ)deal on April 23.</p><p><blockquote><b>并购花絮：</b>备受期待的Aphria（纳斯达克：APHA）-Tilray（纳斯达克：TLRY）合并预计将于4月20日完成。GenMark Diagnostics（纳斯达克：GNMK）-罗氏（OTCQX：RHHBY）交易的要约收购将于4月21日到期。GW Pharmaceuticals（纳斯达克股票代码：GWPH）股东将于4月23日就Jazz Pharmaceuticals（纳斯达克股票代码：JAZZ）交易进行投票。</blockquote></p><p><b>ARK Invest watch:</b>&nbsp;Investors may want to keep an eye on Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)after ARK Invest came in Friday with a purchase of 19,599 shares for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF)and 112,539 shares for the ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). Cathie Wood's firm also defended Silvergate(NYSE:SI)after its mid-week stumble likely in response to the Coinbase IPO. \"Investors potentially took profits to diversify their exposure to crypto in the public markets. \"In our view, the Silvergate Exchange Network, with its strong network effects, positions Silvergate as both a facilitator and a prime beneficiary of increased crypto adoption,\" ARK reasons.</p><p><blockquote><b>方舟投资观察：</b>在ARK Invest周五购买了19,599股ARK Fintech Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKF）和112,539股ARK Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKF）后，投资者可能需要关注Coinbase Global（纳斯达克：COIN）：ARKK）。Cathie Wood的公司还为Silvergate(NYSE：SI)进行了辩护，此前Silvergate(NYSE：SI)在周中因Coinbase IPO而出现失误。“投资者可能会获利了结，以分散他们在公开市场上对加密货币的投资。”我们认为，Silvergate交换网络凭借其强大的网络效应，使Silvergate既是加密货币采用增加的推动者，也是主要受益者，”ARK解释道。</blockquote></p><p><b>Corporate spotlight:</b>&nbsp;Major events this week include strategic updates from Advance Auto Parts(NYSE:AAP)and Royal Gold(NYSE:GOLD)on April 20, as well as investor days for Dye &amp; Durham(OTC:DYNDF)and SMART Global(NASDAQ:SGH). On April 21, MGM Resorts(NYSE:MGM)and Entain(OTCPK:GMVHF)along with their U.S. venture BetMGM will host a business update event for analysts and investors. The event will provide deeper insights into the rapidly growing U.S. sports betting and iGaming business of BetMGM. A new forecast on the industry's total addressable market could be a share price catalyst for DraftKings(NASDAQ:DKNG)and Penn National Gaming(NASDAQ:PENN)as well. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of more events to watch.</p><p><blockquote><b>企业聚焦：</b>本周的重大活动包括Advance Auto Parts(NYSE：AAP)和Royal Gold(NYSE：GOLD)4月20日的战略更新，以及Dye&amp;Durham(OTC：DYNDF)和SMART Global(纳斯达克：SGH)的投资者日。4月21日，米高梅度假村(NYSE：MGM)和Entain(OTCPK：GMVHF)及其美国合资企业BetMGM将为分析师和投资者举办业务更新活动。该活动将让人们更深入地了解BetMGM快速增长的美国体育博彩和iGaming业务。对该行业总潜在市场的新预测也可能成为DraftKings（纳斯达克：DKNG）和Penn National Gaming（纳斯达克：PENN）的股价催化剂。查看outSeeking Alpha的Catalyst Watch，了解更多值得关注的活动的详细列表。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Conferences rundown:</b>&nbsp;Notable conferences running during the week include the H.C Wainwright Spring Mining Conference, Linley Spring Processor Conference 2021, the Kempen Life Sciences Conference, the Jefferies Microbiome-based Therapeutics Summit 2021 and the Stifel GMP &amp; Stifel First Energy Canada Cross Sector Insight Conference 2021. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of events to watch.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议概要：</b>本周举行的著名会议包括H.C Wainwright春季采矿会议、2021年Linley春季加工商会议、Kempen生命科学会议、2021年Jefferies基于微生物组的治疗峰会以及2021年Stifel GMP和Stifel First Energy Canada跨部门洞察会议。查看outSeeking Alpha的Catalyst手表，了解要观看的事件的详细列表。</blockquote></p><p><b>Barron's mentions:</b>&nbsp;Disney(NYSE:DIS)makes the cover of Barron's this week as the media giant is given credit for positioning itself for post-COVID growth. Disney is said to have come out ahead after CEO Bob Chapek and team faced the severest of financial stress tests. \"When parks and theaters emptied out a year ago, costs kept rolling in, and the fastest-growing part of the business, streaming, was consuming cash—as it still is. Yet, Disney generated $3.6 billion in free cash during its fiscal year ended last September. It’s seen producing $3.3 billion this year before the numbers begin a sharp rebound,\" notes Jack Hough. While the movie business is still sputtering to restart and the TV business is seen holding steady at best, streaming results have shattered forecasts. Disney+ smashed expectations in piling up 100M in less than 18 months, compared to the 10 years it took Netflix to hit that level. Disney is targeting 300M to 350M subscribers by 2024 across all of its streaming platforms, including Hulu, ESPN+, Hotstar in India, and Star+ in Latin America (launches in June). PetIQ(NASDAQ:PETQ)and O'Reilly Automotive(NASDAQ:ORLY)also land favorable write-ups this week.</p><p><blockquote><b>《巴伦周刊》提到：</b>迪士尼（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）本周登上了《巴伦周刊》的封面，这家媒体巨头因为新冠疫情后的增长做好了定位而受到赞誉。据说，在首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克和团队面临最严峻的财务压力测试后，迪士尼脱颖而出。“一年前，当公园和剧院空无一人时，成本不断滚滚而来，流媒体业务增长最快的部分正在消耗现金——现在仍然如此。然而，迪士尼在截至去年9月的财年中产生了36亿美元的自由现金。在数字开始大幅反弹之前，今年的收入为33亿美元，”杰克·霍夫指出。虽然电影业务仍在艰难重启，电视业务充其量也保持稳定，但流媒体业绩却超出了预期。Disney+在不到18个月的时间里积累了1亿美元，超出了预期，而Netflix花了10年时间才达到这一水平。迪士尼的目标是到2024年在其所有流媒体平台上拥有3亿至3.5亿用户，包括印度的Hulu、ESPN+、Hotstar和拉丁美洲的Star+（6月推出）。PetIQ（纳斯达克股票代码：PETQ）和O’Reilly Automotive（纳斯达克股票代码：ORLY）本周也获得了好评。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks To Watch: Apple Event, Disney Callout And Earnings Blitz<blockquote>值得关注的股票：苹果活动、迪士尼预告和盈利闪电战</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks To Watch: Apple Event, Disney Callout And Earnings Blitz<blockquote>值得关注的股票：苹果活动、迪士尼预告和盈利闪电战</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-19 00:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday morning. A podcast of Stocks to Watch is also available on Sundays onSeeking Alpha,Apple Podcasts,StitcherandSpotify(click the highlighted links).</p><p><blockquote>欢迎来到Seeking Alpha的股票观看-本周计划的关键事件预览。关注此帐户并打开电子邮件提醒，每周六早上在您的收件箱中收到这篇文章。周日还可以在Seeking Alpha、苹果播客、Stitcher和Spotify上观看值得关注的股票播客（单击突出显示的链接）。</blockquote></p><p>Economic reports due out this week include the latest updates on existing home sales, new home sales, jobless claims and PMI. Big earnings reports blast in every day this week across sectors. Of note, the follow-up conference calls from Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)could be on the interesting side. On the vaccine front, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices is expected to meet late this week to consider recommendations for Johnson &amp; Johnson's(NYSE:JNJ)shot, which has been linked to rare blood clots in the brain.</p><p><blockquote>本周将发布的经济报告包括成屋销售、新屋销售、初请失业金人数和PMI的最新数据。本周各行业每天都会发布大型盈利报告。值得注意的是，可口可乐（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KO）、Netflix（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）和英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）的后续会议评级可能会很有趣。在疫苗方面，美国疾病控制与预防中心免疫实践咨询委员会预计将于本周晚些时候召开会议，考虑强生公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JNJ）疫苗的建议，该疫苗与大脑中罕见的血栓有关。</blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings spotlight:</b>&nbsp;Earnings season heats up in a big way with reports due in from Coca-Cola (KO), IBM(NYSE:IBM)and United Airlines(NASDAQ:UAL)on April 19; Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ), Procter &amp; Gamble(NYSE:PG), Philip Morris International(NYSE:PM), Abbott Labs(NYSE:ABT)and Netflix (NFLX) on April 20; Anthem(NYSE:ANTM), Verizon(NYSE:VZ), Chipotle(NYSE:CMG)and Lam Research(NASDAQ:LRCX)on April 21; AT&amp;T(NYSE:T), Dow(NYSE:DOW), Intel (INTC), Seagate Tech(NASDAQ:STX)and Mattel(NASDAQ:MAT)on April 22; as well as American Express(NYSE:AXP)and Honeywell(NYSE:HON)on April 23.</p><p><blockquote><b>盈利聚焦：</b>随着可口可乐(KO)、IBM(NYSE：IBM)和联合航空(纳斯达克：UAL)将于4月19日发布报告，财报季大幅升温；4月20日，强生公司(JNJ)、宝洁公司(NYSE：PG)、菲利普莫里斯国际公司(NYSE：PM)、雅培实验室(NYSE：ABT)和Netflix(NFLX)；Anthem（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ANTM）、Verizon（纽约证券交易所股票代码：VZ）、Chipotle（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CMG）和Lam Research（纳斯达克股票代码：LRCX）4月21日；AT&amp;T（纽约证券交易所股票代码：T）、陶氏化学（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DOW）、英特尔（INTC）、希捷科技（纳斯达克股票代码：STX）和美泰（纳斯达克股票代码：MAT）4月22日；以及4月23日的美国运通（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AXP）和霍尼韦尔（纽约证券交易所股票代码：HON）。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/522c9bdad799a71c4e6bad965f9f00f3\" tg-width=\"1530\" tg-height=\"650\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>IPO watch:</b>&nbsp;IPOs expected to start trading during the week include UiPAth (PATH), DoubleVerify (DV) and NeuroPace (NPCE) on April 20, as well as Zymergern (ZY) and KnowBe4 (KNBE) on April 22. IPO lockup periods expire on Datto Holding(NYSE:MSP), Topaz Energy(NYSE:TPZ), McAfee(NASDAQ:MCFE), Guild Holdings(NYSE:GHLD), Foghorn Therapeutics(NASDAQ:FHTX)and ComSovereign Holding(NASDAQ:COMS). The analyst quiet period expires on ThredUp(NASDAQ:TDUP)on April 20 to free up analysts to post ratings. Shares of Trip.com(NASDAQ:TRIP)will begin trading in Hong Kong this week following a new listing.</p><p><blockquote><b>IPO观察：</b>预计本周开始交易的IPO包括4月20日的UiPAth(PATH)、DoubleVerify(DV)和NeuroPace(NPCE)，以及4月22日的Zymergern(ZY)和KnowBe4(KNBE)。Datto Holding(NYSE：MSP)、Topaz Energy(NYSE：TPZ)、McAfee(纳斯达克：MCFE)、Guild Holdings(NYSE：GHLD)、Foghorn Therapeutics(纳斯达克：FHTX)和ComSovereign Holding(纳斯达克：COMS）。ThredUp（纳斯达克股票代码：TDUP）的分析师静默期将于4月20日到期，以便分析师可以发布评级。携程（纳斯达克股票代码：TRIP）的股票将于本周在香港上市后开始交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>Apple event:</b>&nbsp;Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)holds an event on April 20 called \"Spring Loaded\" to show off new products. Information out of Cupertino has been pretty tight, but the company could reveal new iPads, new iMacs, new AirPods, AirTags, a new Apple TV and possibly a new Apple Pencil.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果事件：</b>苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）将于4月20日举办名为“Spring Loaded”的活动，展示新产品。来自库比蒂诺的信息相当紧张，但该公司可能会发布新的iPad、新的iMac、新的AirPods、AirTags、新的苹果电视，可能还有新的苹果铅笔。</blockquote></p><p><b>Projected dividend increases (quarterly):</b>&nbsp;Expected dividend boosts for the week include Comfort Systems USA(NYSE:FIX)to $0.125 from $0.1115, HP Enterprise(NYSE:HPE)to $0.1275 from $0.12, Pool Corp(NASDAQ:POOL)to $0.61 from $0.58, Johnson &amp; Johnson to $1.06 from $1.01, Travelers(NYSE:TRV)to $0.88 from $0.85, Southern Company(NYSE:SO)to $0.66 from $0.64, Kinder Morgan(NYSE:KMI)to $0.27 from $0.2625 and Nasdaq(NASDAQ:NDAQ)to $0.50 from $0.49.</p><p><blockquote><b>预计股息增加（季度）：</b>预计本周股息上调包括Comfort Systems USA(NYSE：FIX)从0.1115美元上调至0.125美元，HP Enterprise(NYSE：HPE)从0.12美元上调至0.1275美元，Pool Corp(纳斯达克：POOL)从0.58美元上调至0.61美元，强生公司(NYSE：TRV)从0.85美元上调至0.88美元，南方公司(NYSE：SO)从0.64美元上调至0.66美元，金德摩根(NYSE：KMI)从0.2625美元上调至0.27美元，纳斯达克(纳斯达克：NDAQ)从0.49美元上调至0.50美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>M&amp;A tidbits:</b>&nbsp;The highly-anticipated Aphria(NASDAQ:APHA)-Tilray(NASDAQ:TLRY)merger is expected to close on April 20. The tender offer on the GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)-Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)deal expires on April 21. GW Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:GWPH)shareholders vote on the Jazz Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:JAZZ)deal on April 23.</p><p><blockquote><b>并购花絮：</b>备受期待的Aphria（纳斯达克：APHA）-Tilray（纳斯达克：TLRY）合并预计将于4月20日完成。GenMark Diagnostics（纳斯达克：GNMK）-罗氏（OTCQX：RHHBY）交易的要约收购将于4月21日到期。GW Pharmaceuticals（纳斯达克股票代码：GWPH）股东将于4月23日就Jazz Pharmaceuticals（纳斯达克股票代码：JAZZ）交易进行投票。</blockquote></p><p><b>ARK Invest watch:</b>&nbsp;Investors may want to keep an eye on Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)after ARK Invest came in Friday with a purchase of 19,599 shares for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF)and 112,539 shares for the ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). Cathie Wood's firm also defended Silvergate(NYSE:SI)after its mid-week stumble likely in response to the Coinbase IPO. \"Investors potentially took profits to diversify their exposure to crypto in the public markets. \"In our view, the Silvergate Exchange Network, with its strong network effects, positions Silvergate as both a facilitator and a prime beneficiary of increased crypto adoption,\" ARK reasons.</p><p><blockquote><b>方舟投资观察：</b>在ARK Invest周五购买了19,599股ARK Fintech Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKF）和112,539股ARK Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKF）后，投资者可能需要关注Coinbase Global（纳斯达克：COIN）：ARKK）。Cathie Wood的公司还为Silvergate(NYSE：SI)进行了辩护，此前Silvergate(NYSE：SI)在周中因Coinbase IPO而出现失误。“投资者可能会获利了结，以分散他们在公开市场上对加密货币的投资。”我们认为，Silvergate交换网络凭借其强大的网络效应，使Silvergate既是加密货币采用增加的推动者，也是主要受益者，”ARK解释道。</blockquote></p><p><b>Corporate spotlight:</b>&nbsp;Major events this week include strategic updates from Advance Auto Parts(NYSE:AAP)and Royal Gold(NYSE:GOLD)on April 20, as well as investor days for Dye &amp; Durham(OTC:DYNDF)and SMART Global(NASDAQ:SGH). On April 21, MGM Resorts(NYSE:MGM)and Entain(OTCPK:GMVHF)along with their U.S. venture BetMGM will host a business update event for analysts and investors. The event will provide deeper insights into the rapidly growing U.S. sports betting and iGaming business of BetMGM. A new forecast on the industry's total addressable market could be a share price catalyst for DraftKings(NASDAQ:DKNG)and Penn National Gaming(NASDAQ:PENN)as well. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of more events to watch.</p><p><blockquote><b>企业聚焦：</b>本周的重大活动包括Advance Auto Parts(NYSE：AAP)和Royal Gold(NYSE：GOLD)4月20日的战略更新，以及Dye&amp;Durham(OTC：DYNDF)和SMART Global(纳斯达克：SGH)的投资者日。4月21日，米高梅度假村(NYSE：MGM)和Entain(OTCPK：GMVHF)及其美国合资企业BetMGM将为分析师和投资者举办业务更新活动。该活动将让人们更深入地了解BetMGM快速增长的美国体育博彩和iGaming业务。对该行业总潜在市场的新预测也可能成为DraftKings（纳斯达克：DKNG）和Penn National Gaming（纳斯达克：PENN）的股价催化剂。查看outSeeking Alpha的Catalyst Watch，了解更多值得关注的活动的详细列表。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Conferences rundown:</b>&nbsp;Notable conferences running during the week include the H.C Wainwright Spring Mining Conference, Linley Spring Processor Conference 2021, the Kempen Life Sciences Conference, the Jefferies Microbiome-based Therapeutics Summit 2021 and the Stifel GMP &amp; Stifel First Energy Canada Cross Sector Insight Conference 2021. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of events to watch.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议概要：</b>本周举行的著名会议包括H.C Wainwright春季采矿会议、2021年Linley春季加工商会议、Kempen生命科学会议、2021年Jefferies基于微生物组的治疗峰会以及2021年Stifel GMP和Stifel First Energy Canada跨部门洞察会议。查看outSeeking Alpha的Catalyst手表，了解要观看的事件的详细列表。</blockquote></p><p><b>Barron's mentions:</b>&nbsp;Disney(NYSE:DIS)makes the cover of Barron's this week as the media giant is given credit for positioning itself for post-COVID growth. Disney is said to have come out ahead after CEO Bob Chapek and team faced the severest of financial stress tests. \"When parks and theaters emptied out a year ago, costs kept rolling in, and the fastest-growing part of the business, streaming, was consuming cash—as it still is. Yet, Disney generated $3.6 billion in free cash during its fiscal year ended last September. It’s seen producing $3.3 billion this year before the numbers begin a sharp rebound,\" notes Jack Hough. While the movie business is still sputtering to restart and the TV business is seen holding steady at best, streaming results have shattered forecasts. Disney+ smashed expectations in piling up 100M in less than 18 months, compared to the 10 years it took Netflix to hit that level. Disney is targeting 300M to 350M subscribers by 2024 across all of its streaming platforms, including Hulu, ESPN+, Hotstar in India, and Star+ in Latin America (launches in June). PetIQ(NASDAQ:PETQ)and O'Reilly Automotive(NASDAQ:ORLY)also land favorable write-ups this week.</p><p><blockquote><b>《巴伦周刊》提到：</b>迪士尼（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）本周登上了《巴伦周刊》的封面，这家媒体巨头因为新冠疫情后的增长做好了定位而受到赞誉。据说，在首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克和团队面临最严峻的财务压力测试后，迪士尼脱颖而出。“一年前，当公园和剧院空无一人时，成本不断滚滚而来，流媒体业务增长最快的部分正在消耗现金——现在仍然如此。然而，迪士尼在截至去年9月的财年中产生了36亿美元的自由现金。在数字开始大幅反弹之前，今年的收入为33亿美元，”杰克·霍夫指出。虽然电影业务仍在艰难重启，电视业务充其量也保持稳定，但流媒体业绩却超出了预期。Disney+在不到18个月的时间里积累了1亿美元，超出了预期，而Netflix花了10年时间才达到这一水平。迪士尼的目标是到2024年在其所有流媒体平台上拥有3亿至3.5亿用户，包括印度的Hulu、ESPN+、Hotstar和拉丁美洲的Star+（6月推出）。PetIQ（纳斯达克股票代码：PETQ）和O’Reilly Automotive（纳斯达克股票代码：ORLY）本周也获得了好评。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419571-stocks-to-watch-apple-event-disney-callout-and-earnings-blitz\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419571-stocks-to-watch-apple-event-disney-callout-and-earnings-blitz","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162662309","content_text":"Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday morning. A podcast of Stocks to Watch is also available on Sundays onSeeking Alpha,Apple Podcasts,StitcherandSpotify(click the highlighted links).Economic reports due out this week include the latest updates on existing home sales, new home sales, jobless claims and PMI. Big earnings reports blast in every day this week across sectors. Of note, the follow-up conference calls from Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)could be on the interesting side. On the vaccine front, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices is expected to meet late this week to consider recommendations for Johnson & Johnson's(NYSE:JNJ)shot, which has been linked to rare blood clots in the brain.Earnings spotlight: Earnings season heats up in a big way with reports due in from Coca-Cola (KO), IBM(NYSE:IBM)and United Airlines(NASDAQ:UAL)on April 19; Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Procter & Gamble(NYSE:PG), Philip Morris International(NYSE:PM), Abbott Labs(NYSE:ABT)and Netflix (NFLX) on April 20; Anthem(NYSE:ANTM), Verizon(NYSE:VZ), Chipotle(NYSE:CMG)and Lam Research(NASDAQ:LRCX)on April 21; AT&T(NYSE:T), Dow(NYSE:DOW), Intel (INTC), Seagate Tech(NASDAQ:STX)and Mattel(NASDAQ:MAT)on April 22; as well as American Express(NYSE:AXP)and Honeywell(NYSE:HON)on April 23.IPO watch: IPOs expected to start trading during the week include UiPAth (PATH), DoubleVerify (DV) and NeuroPace (NPCE) on April 20, as well as Zymergern (ZY) and KnowBe4 (KNBE) on April 22. IPO lockup periods expire on Datto Holding(NYSE:MSP), Topaz Energy(NYSE:TPZ), McAfee(NASDAQ:MCFE), Guild Holdings(NYSE:GHLD), Foghorn Therapeutics(NASDAQ:FHTX)and ComSovereign Holding(NASDAQ:COMS). The analyst quiet period expires on ThredUp(NASDAQ:TDUP)on April 20 to free up analysts to post ratings. Shares of Trip.com(NASDAQ:TRIP)will begin trading in Hong Kong this week following a new listing.Apple event: Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)holds an event on April 20 called \"Spring Loaded\" to show off new products. Information out of Cupertino has been pretty tight, but the company could reveal new iPads, new iMacs, new AirPods, AirTags, a new Apple TV and possibly a new Apple Pencil.Projected dividend increases (quarterly): Expected dividend boosts for the week include Comfort Systems USA(NYSE:FIX)to $0.125 from $0.1115, HP Enterprise(NYSE:HPE)to $0.1275 from $0.12, Pool Corp(NASDAQ:POOL)to $0.61 from $0.58, Johnson & Johnson to $1.06 from $1.01, Travelers(NYSE:TRV)to $0.88 from $0.85, Southern Company(NYSE:SO)to $0.66 from $0.64, Kinder Morgan(NYSE:KMI)to $0.27 from $0.2625 and Nasdaq(NASDAQ:NDAQ)to $0.50 from $0.49.M&A tidbits: The highly-anticipated Aphria(NASDAQ:APHA)-Tilray(NASDAQ:TLRY)merger is expected to close on April 20. The tender offer on the GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)-Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)deal expires on April 21. GW Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:GWPH)shareholders vote on the Jazz Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:JAZZ)deal on April 23.ARK Invest watch: Investors may want to keep an eye on Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)after ARK Invest came in Friday with a purchase of 19,599 shares for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF)and 112,539 shares for the ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). Cathie Wood's firm also defended Silvergate(NYSE:SI)after its mid-week stumble likely in response to the Coinbase IPO. \"Investors potentially took profits to diversify their exposure to crypto in the public markets. \"In our view, the Silvergate Exchange Network, with its strong network effects, positions Silvergate as both a facilitator and a prime beneficiary of increased crypto adoption,\" ARK reasons.Corporate spotlight: Major events this week include strategic updates from Advance Auto Parts(NYSE:AAP)and Royal Gold(NYSE:GOLD)on April 20, as well as investor days for Dye & Durham(OTC:DYNDF)and SMART Global(NASDAQ:SGH). On April 21, MGM Resorts(NYSE:MGM)and Entain(OTCPK:GMVHF)along with their U.S. venture BetMGM will host a business update event for analysts and investors. The event will provide deeper insights into the rapidly growing U.S. sports betting and iGaming business of BetMGM. A new forecast on the industry's total addressable market could be a share price catalyst for DraftKings(NASDAQ:DKNG)and Penn National Gaming(NASDAQ:PENN)as well. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of more events to watch.Conferences rundown: Notable conferences running during the week include the H.C Wainwright Spring Mining Conference, Linley Spring Processor Conference 2021, the Kempen Life Sciences Conference, the Jefferies Microbiome-based Therapeutics Summit 2021 and the Stifel GMP & Stifel First Energy Canada Cross Sector Insight Conference 2021. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of events to watch.Barron's mentions: Disney(NYSE:DIS)makes the cover of Barron's this week as the media giant is given credit for positioning itself for post-COVID growth. Disney is said to have come out ahead after CEO Bob Chapek and team faced the severest of financial stress tests. \"When parks and theaters emptied out a year ago, costs kept rolling in, and the fastest-growing part of the business, streaming, was consuming cash—as it still is. Yet, Disney generated $3.6 billion in free cash during its fiscal year ended last September. It’s seen producing $3.3 billion this year before the numbers begin a sharp rebound,\" notes Jack Hough. While the movie business is still sputtering to restart and the TV business is seen holding steady at best, streaming results have shattered forecasts. Disney+ smashed expectations in piling up 100M in less than 18 months, compared to the 10 years it took Netflix to hit that level. Disney is targeting 300M to 350M subscribers by 2024 across all of its streaming platforms, including Hulu, ESPN+, Hotstar in India, and Star+ in Latin America (launches in June). PetIQ(NASDAQ:PETQ)and O'Reilly Automotive(NASDAQ:ORLY)also land favorable write-ups this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810670442,"gmtCreate":1629976160886,"gmtModify":1631889815553,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am right here waiting NVDA. ❤️","listText":"I am right here waiting NVDA. ❤️","text":"I am right here waiting NVDA. ❤️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810670442","repostId":"1155499213","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2731,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890530433,"gmtCreate":1628122909722,"gmtModify":1631889815579,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yay!&nbsp;","listText":"Yay!&nbsp;","text":"Yay!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890530433","repostId":"1116782530","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802477421,"gmtCreate":1627801078163,"gmtModify":1631885102347,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time for bargain hunting!&nbsp;","listText":"Time for bargain hunting!&nbsp;","text":"Time for bargain hunting!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802477421","repostId":"1142925544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142925544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627787240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142925544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142925544","media":"Barron's","summary":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970","content":"<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多很好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-01 11:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多很好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142925544","content_text":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.\nBut the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.\nAugust actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.\nThis July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.\nAugust’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”\nNot surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.\nPast isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.\nThe company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.\nAmong those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.\nTo be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.\nBut in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”\nHow those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.\nEconomists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.\nMarkowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174709622,"gmtCreate":1627134576366,"gmtModify":1631889815641,"author":{"id":"3577096177015881","authorId":"3577096177015881","name":"ET88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972aa6dd92772d6bf44c97a3096c29b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577096177015881","authorIdStr":"3577096177015881"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go FB!&nbsp;","listText":"Go FB!&nbsp;","text":"Go FB!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174709622","repostId":"1181195967","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}