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2021-06-17

hmmm

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2021-06-17

wow!!!

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2021-06-17

:0!

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2021-05-26

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$30?

2021-05-25

nice

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2021-05-11

nicr

What's Up With AMC Stock?<blockquote>AMC 股票怎么样了？</blockquote>

2021-05-07

palantir [Thinking] [Thinking]

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2021-05-07

ooh

Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>

2021-05-02

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$go up!!!

2021-04-29

Please help me like

NIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年第一季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote>

2021-04-28

yes!!

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2021-04-28

hmmm

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2021-04-28

:0

Microsoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote>

2021-04-26

🤔🤔

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2021-04-26

power

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2021-04-23

😯😯😯

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2021-04-22

wow

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2021-04-20

😢

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2021-04-20

hi

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2021-04-15

hi

Wall Street Breakfast: Retail Rebound<blockquote>华尔街早餐：零售业反弹</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>30?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>30?","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$30?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132038450","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138223867,"gmtCreate":1621944803659,"gmtModify":1634185294801,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138223867","repostId":"2138164693","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1781,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199589291,"gmtCreate":1620717967913,"gmtModify":1634196869912,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"nicr","listText":"nicr","text":"nicr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199589291","repostId":"1112952533","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1112952533","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620714778,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112952533?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-11 14:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What's Up With AMC Stock?<blockquote>AMC 股票怎么样了？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112952533","media":"benzinga","summary":"AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc shares moved past the $10 psychological mark in Monday’s after-hours ","content":"<p><div> AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc shares moved past the $10 psychological mark in Monday’s after-hours session, spiking over 5%.What Happened:There were no significant triggers for the movement in the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>AMC院线控股公司股价在周一盘后交易中突破了10美元的心理关口，飙升超过5%。</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21050895/whats-up-with-amc-stock\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21050895/whats-up-with-amc-stock\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What's Up With AMC Stock?<blockquote>AMC 股票怎么样了？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat's Up With AMC Stock?<blockquote>AMC 股票怎么样了？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-11 14:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc shares moved past the $10 psychological mark in Monday’s after-hours session, spiking over 5%.What Happened:There were no significant triggers for the movement in the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>AMC院线控股公司股价在周一盘后交易中突破了10美元的心理关口，飙升超过5%。</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21050895/whats-up-with-amc-stock\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21050895/whats-up-with-amc-stock\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21050895/whats-up-with-amc-stock\">benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21050895/whats-up-with-amc-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112952533","content_text":"AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc shares moved past the $10 psychological mark in Monday’s after-hours session, spiking over 5%.What Happened:There were no significant triggers for the movement in the shares. AMC continues to remain popular as a meme stock among retail investors.AMC was the fourth most mentioned stock on r/WallStreetBets over the past 24 hours to press time, attracting 250 mentions on the forum, according to data obtained from Quiver Quantitative.Tesla Inc and GameStop Corporation were ahead of AMC in terms of mentions, but Palantir Technologies Inc was the most mentioned on WallStreetBets.AMC shares spiked 5.13% in Monday’s after-hours session to $10.24 after closing 2.42% higher at $9.74 in the regular session.AMC is also the top-trending ticket on Stocktwits at press time.Why It Matters:Last week, AMC CEO Adam Aron said that the company is staring at an “increasingly favorable environment.”AMC attracted nearly 7 million U.S. and international moviegoers to its cinemas in the first quarter, as per the CEO. On a year-till-date basis, AMC shares have spiked 359.14%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104211970,"gmtCreate":1620393057590,"gmtModify":1634205570398,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"palantir [Thinking]&nbsp;[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"palantir [Thinking]&nbsp;[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"palantir [Thinking] [Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104211970","repostId":"2133520488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104213670,"gmtCreate":1620393011390,"gmtModify":1634205570739,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ooh","listText":"ooh","text":"ooh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104213670","repostId":"1157328258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157328258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620360165,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1157328258?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157328258","media":"Seeking alpha","summary":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entere","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股价目标表明有 30% 的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上一季度的业绩介绍了我对亚马逊 (AMZN) 的全面分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1 价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊的增长在上一季度是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”细分市场的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了近乎线性的趋势。现在，它已经成倍增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场 - 加速依然存在，上一季度的业绩好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）分部也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘亚马逊网络服务’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的业绩来看，有逐渐恢复到之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的收入也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计学上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键分部</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去的10年里，亚马逊的资本化与其收入一直处于定性的线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大家可以看到，首先，这个模型表明公司目前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%的增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2 比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一节中，我根据收入模拟了亚马逊的平衡价格。值得注意的是，如果我们对公司使用倍数的比较估值应用同样的方法，我们将失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数，可以成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3 贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我还从分析师对该公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，营业利润率在最后一年逐步增加到8%是一个非常现实的场景。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用股票风险溢价（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。对于最后一年，我使用了等于1的Beta。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>这是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股票目标价为 4,280 美元，上涨空间为 29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段，并不意味着其资本化不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，该公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的 DCF 模型分析师表明估值被低估了 30%。今年年初，一个类似的模型表明估值被低估了 20%。</li><li>当你看到亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 12:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股价目标表明有 30% 的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上一季度的业绩介绍了我对亚马逊 (AMZN) 的全面分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1 价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊的增长在上一季度是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”细分市场的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了近乎线性的趋势。现在，它已经成倍增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场 - 加速依然存在，上一季度的业绩好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）分部也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘亚马逊网络服务’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的业绩来看，有逐渐恢复到之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的收入也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计学上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键分部</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去的10年里，亚马逊的资本化与其收入一直处于定性的线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大家可以看到，首先，这个模型表明公司目前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%的增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2 比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一节中，我根据收入模拟了亚马逊的平衡价格。值得注意的是，如果我们对公司使用倍数的比较估值应用同样的方法，我们将失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数，可以成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3 贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我还从分析师对该公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，营业利润率在最后一年逐步增加到8%是一个非常现实的场景。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用股票风险溢价（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。对于最后一年，我使用了等于1的Beta。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>这是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股票目标价为 4,280 美元，上涨空间为 29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段，并不意味着其资本化不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，该公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的 DCF 模型分析师表明估值被低估了 30%。今年年初，一个类似的模型表明估值被低估了 20%。</li><li>当你看到亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company\">Seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157328258","content_text":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.#1 Price vs. GrowthFirst of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comGeographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comSo, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growthin all key segments. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThere is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comBased on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is alreadybelow the balanced level. And secondly, it assumes a25% growthin capitalization in the next four quarters.#2 Comparative ValuationIn the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.#3 Discounted Cash Flow ModelWhen predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:Source: Seeking Alpha ProWhen predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:Source: AuthorSome explanations:In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.Here is the model itself:(In high resolution)Source: AuthorThe DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.Final thoughtsAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company isundervalued.Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company ismuch cheaperthan the market.DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2000,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108034103,"gmtCreate":1619958754402,"gmtModify":1634208877194,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>go up!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>go up!!!","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$go up!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108034103","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":109299075,"gmtCreate":1619697425097,"gmtModify":1634210654744,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please help me like","listText":"Please help me like","text":"Please help me like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109299075","repostId":"1183966356","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183966356","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619665696,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1183966356?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年第一季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183966356","media":"InvestoPedia","summary":"Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.NIO Inc. , like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles . NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record ve","content":"<p>Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries</p><p><blockquote>专注于蔚来汽车交付</blockquote></p><p> <b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.</li>  <li>Vehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.</li>  <li>Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.</li> </ul> NIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计 2020 财年第一季度每股美国存托凭证收益为 -0.72 元，而 -1.66 元。</li><li>已经宣布的汽车交付量同比大幅增长。</li><li>随着汽车销量的扩大，收入预计将飙升。</li></ul>与许多其他汽车制造商一样，由于全球半导体短缺，蔚来（蔚来）今年被迫停产。半导体芯片广泛用于智能手机、计算机和其他电子设备，对于高端电动汽车 (EV) 制造商蔚来来说尤为重要。蔚来汽车3月下旬的停产对该公司第一季度创纪录的汽车交付量影响不大，但可能会影响未来的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.</p><p><blockquote>当蔚来汽车于 2021 年 4 月 29 日公布 2021 财年第一季度收益时，投资者将关注这些力量如何影响蔚来汽车的近期业绩及其财务前景。分析师预计，随着收入的快速增长，该公司每股美国存托股 (ADS) 的亏损将大幅缩小。</blockquote></p><p> Vehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.</p><p><blockquote>汽车交付量是投资者衡量公司生产能力的另一个关键指标。蔚来本月早些时候已经公布了第一季度的汽车交付量，尽管总交付量略低于预期，但仍创下了新的季度记录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&amp;P 500's total return of 45.5%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，蔚来股价的表现大幅优于大盘。但在今年早些时候触及历史高点后，该股大幅下跌，自 3 月初以来大部分时间横盘整理。过去一年，蔚来汽车的股票为投资者提供了1,171.9%的天文数字总回报率，远高于标准普尔500指数45.5%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11e1a915810ccbc7f07ec2adf16865b\" tg-width=\"3004\" tg-height=\"1798\"><span>Source: TradingView.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Earnings History</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来盈利历史</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's&nbsp;Q4 FY 2020 earnings&nbsp;report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its&nbsp;gross margin&nbsp;rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该股在 2 月中旬左右见顶后一直在积聚下跌动力，但在蔚来汽车 3 月初发布 2020 财年第四季度收益报告后暴跌。该公司报告的每股美国存托凭证亏损远高于分析师预期，收入也低于预期。不过，蔚来汽车的亏损较去年同期大幅收窄，收入仍增长133.2%。该公司对其业绩持乐观态度，指出其毛利率从去年同期的负8.9%升至17.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.</p><p><blockquote>2020财年第三季度，蔚来公布每股美国存托凭证亏损0.98元（按2021年4月27日人民币/美元汇率计算为0.15美元）。这是至少11个季度以来最小的损失。收入增长146.4%，保持了第二季度的增长速度。蔚来表示，交付的车辆数量创历史新高，平均售价有所提高。该公司还表示，这是连续第二个季度经营活动现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计蔚来汽车2021财年第一季度的财务业绩将继续改善。虽然预计蔚来每股广告仍将出现另一次亏损，但预计这是至少 14 个季度以来的最低水平。该季度收入预计将增长 446.1%，这将是自 2019 财年第二季度以来的最快增速。对于2021财年全年，分析师目前预计蔚来每股ADS亏损2.72元，这将是至少五年来的最小亏损。收入预计将增长 109.7%，增速快于过去两年的每一年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d412a9c0aea28621f713f5afbfba444c\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：可见阿尔法；蔚来</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者也在关注蔚来每个季度交付的汽车数量。蔚来从其提供的各种服务中产生一些收入，但大部分收入来自汽车销售。目前，该公司交付三种类型的车辆：ES8，该公司的6座和7座旗舰高端智能电动SUV；ES6，该公司的5座高性能高端智能电动SUV；以及该公司的 5 座高端电动轿跑车 EC6。车辆交付数量表明了蔚来汽车的需求以及该公司扩大生产的能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在过去几年中大幅增加了产量。该公司在2018财年交付了11,350辆汽车。2020 财年，这一数字几乎翻了两番，交付了 43,730 辆汽车。尽管2020财年第一季度因新冠肺炎疫情而放缓，但蔚来迅速弥补了第一季度交付量的下降，2020财年第二季度交付量同比增长190.8%。第三季度汽车总交付量增长率放缓至 154.3%，第四季度又放缓至 111.0%。然而，如上所述，2021 财年第一季度汽车交付量增长了 423.0%，创下了新的季度记录。对于2021财年全年，分析师预测蔚来将交付88,280辆汽车，这将是去年总交付量的两倍多。然而，蔚来在3月初警告投资者，全球芯片短缺可能会削减其产能，至少在第二季度如此。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年第一季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年第一季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestoPedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-29 11:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries</p><p><blockquote>专注于蔚来汽车交付</blockquote></p><p> <b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.</li>  <li>Vehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.</li>  <li>Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.</li> </ul> NIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计 2020 财年第一季度每股美国存托凭证收益为 -0.72 元，而 -1.66 元。</li><li>已经宣布的汽车交付量同比大幅增长。</li><li>随着汽车销量的扩大，收入预计将飙升。</li></ul>与许多其他汽车制造商一样，由于全球半导体短缺，蔚来（蔚来）今年被迫停产。半导体芯片广泛用于智能手机、计算机和其他电子设备，对于高端电动汽车 (EV) 制造商蔚来来说尤为重要。蔚来汽车3月下旬的停产对该公司第一季度创纪录的汽车交付量影响不大，但可能会影响未来的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.</p><p><blockquote>当蔚来汽车于 2021 年 4 月 29 日公布 2021 财年第一季度收益时，投资者将关注这些力量如何影响蔚来汽车的近期业绩及其财务前景。分析师预计，随着收入的快速增长，该公司每股美国存托股 (ADS) 的亏损将大幅缩小。</blockquote></p><p> Vehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.</p><p><blockquote>汽车交付量是投资者衡量公司生产能力的另一个关键指标。蔚来本月早些时候已经公布了第一季度的汽车交付量，尽管总交付量略低于预期，但仍创下了新的季度记录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&amp;P 500's total return of 45.5%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，蔚来股价的表现大幅优于大盘。但在今年早些时候触及历史高点后，该股大幅下跌，自 3 月初以来大部分时间横盘整理。过去一年，蔚来汽车的股票为投资者提供了1,171.9%的天文数字总回报率，远高于标准普尔500指数45.5%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11e1a915810ccbc7f07ec2adf16865b\" tg-width=\"3004\" tg-height=\"1798\"><span>Source: TradingView.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Earnings History</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来盈利历史</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's&nbsp;Q4 FY 2020 earnings&nbsp;report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its&nbsp;gross margin&nbsp;rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该股在 2 月中旬左右见顶后一直在积聚下跌动力，但在蔚来汽车 3 月初发布 2020 财年第四季度收益报告后暴跌。该公司报告的每股美国存托凭证亏损远高于分析师预期，收入也低于预期。不过，蔚来汽车的亏损较去年同期大幅收窄，收入仍增长133.2%。该公司对其业绩持乐观态度，指出其毛利率从去年同期的负8.9%升至17.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.</p><p><blockquote>2020财年第三季度，蔚来公布每股美国存托凭证亏损0.98元（按2021年4月27日人民币/美元汇率计算为0.15美元）。这是至少11个季度以来最小的损失。收入增长146.4%，保持了第二季度的增长速度。蔚来表示，交付的车辆数量创历史新高，平均售价有所提高。该公司还表示，这是连续第二个季度经营活动现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计蔚来汽车2021财年第一季度的财务业绩将继续改善。虽然预计蔚来每股广告仍将出现另一次亏损，但预计这是至少 14 个季度以来的最低水平。该季度收入预计将增长 446.1%，这将是自 2019 财年第二季度以来的最快增速。对于2021财年全年，分析师目前预计蔚来每股ADS亏损2.72元，这将是至少五年来的最小亏损。收入预计将增长 109.7%，增速快于过去两年的每一年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d412a9c0aea28621f713f5afbfba444c\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：可见阿尔法；蔚来</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者也在关注蔚来每个季度交付的汽车数量。蔚来从其提供的各种服务中产生一些收入，但大部分收入来自汽车销售。目前，该公司交付三种类型的车辆：ES8，该公司的6座和7座旗舰高端智能电动SUV；ES6，该公司的5座高性能高端智能电动SUV；以及该公司的 5 座高端电动轿跑车 EC6。车辆交付数量表明了蔚来汽车的需求以及该公司扩大生产的能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在过去几年中大幅增加了产量。该公司在2018财年交付了11,350辆汽车。2020 财年，这一数字几乎翻了两番，交付了 43,730 辆汽车。尽管2020财年第一季度因新冠肺炎疫情而放缓，但蔚来迅速弥补了第一季度交付量的下降，2020财年第二季度交付量同比增长190.8%。第三季度汽车总交付量增长率放缓至 154.3%，第四季度又放缓至 111.0%。然而，如上所述，2021 财年第一季度汽车交付量增长了 423.0%，创下了新的季度记录。对于2021财年全年，分析师预测蔚来将交付88,280辆汽车，这将是去年总交付量的两倍多。然而，蔚来在3月初警告投资者，全球芯片短缺可能会削减其产能，至少在第二季度如此。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/nio-q1-2021-earnings-report-preview-5180991\">InvestoPedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/nio-q1-2021-earnings-report-preview-5180991","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183966356","content_text":"Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries\nKEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nAnalysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.\nVehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.\nRevenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.\n\nNIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.\nInvestors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.\nVehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.\nShares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&P 500's total return of 45.5%.\nSource: TradingView.\nNIO Earnings History\nThe stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's Q4 FY 2020 earnings report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its gross margin rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.\nIn Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.\nAnalysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.\nSource: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.\nThe Key Metric\nAs mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.\nNIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100341580,"gmtCreate":1619584237240,"gmtModify":1634211550521,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"yes!!","listText":"yes!!","text":"yes!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100341580","repostId":"1157971960","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377498888,"gmtCreate":1619542754344,"gmtModify":1634211916040,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hmmm","listText":"hmmm","text":"hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377498888","repostId":"1175975173","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":523,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377498916,"gmtCreate":1619542709935,"gmtModify":1634211916388,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":":0","listText":":0","text":":0","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377498916","repostId":"1155157199","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155157199","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619494851,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1155157199?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-27 11:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155157199","media":"Barrons","summary":"Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.  On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.J.P. Mo","content":"<p>Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计微软将在周二收盘后公布 3 月份季度数据时公布强劲的财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.&nbsp; On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.</p><p><blockquote>分析师一致预测营收为 410 亿美元，同比增长 17%，每股收益为 1.78 美元。周一，微软股价创下 262.44 美元的盘中纪录，该股距离首次触及 2 万亿美元估值仅一步之遥。要实现这一目标，该股需要上涨至 264.55 美元。</blockquote></p><p>The shares have gained 18% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，该股已上涨 18%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计该公司的 Azure 和 Office 365 云业务将在本季度再次表现强劲，并将寻找企业运营加速增长的迹象。鉴于最近 PC 购买量的巨大增长，Surface 硬件（笔记本电脑和白板）的销售可能会在本季度强劲，尽管组件短缺可能会导致需求未满足。个人电脑市场的强劲也预示着Windows操作系统的销售。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft breaks down its results into&nbsp;three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.</p><p><blockquote>微软将其业绩分为三个部分：生产力和业务流程，包括Office 365、Dynamics和LinkedIn；智能云，其中包括Azure和企业服务器软件；以及更多的个人计算，包括Windows、Xbox、Surface硬件和Bing。</blockquote></p><p>When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当微软在 1 月底公布第二财季业绩时，首席财务官 Amy Hood 提供了每个部门的收入指导。对于生产力和业务流程，她预计收入为 133.5 亿至 136 亿美元。智能云的看涨期权是收入为147亿至149.5亿美元，而她预测更多个人计算的收入为123亿至127亿美元。如果每个部门的收入达到预测范围的顶部，总收入将达到 412.5 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.</p><p><blockquote>在研究报告中，几位分析师引用了客户和经销商的积极评价，预计业绩将强劲。</blockquote></p><p>Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.</p><p><blockquote>上周，KeyBanc Capital 的 Michael Turits 重申了对该股的跑赢大盘评级，同时将目标价从 280 美元上调至 295 美元。他表示，该公司可能受益于强劲的 IT 需求和个人电脑出货量的持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我们继续看到微软扩大 Azure 范围、广泛的企业应用创新和积极的捆绑组合在市场上取得成功。“我们采访过的几乎所有北美微软分销商/经销商都报告说，微软渠道收入达到或超过了计划”。</blockquote></p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师 Mark Murphy 在自己对微软产品经销商进行的最新调查中对前景感到鼓舞。他说，在企业需求改善的推动下，这些公司的微软商品季度销售额平均比预期高出 3.3%。他报告了公司整个企业产品线的实力，Azure、Teams、Office 365 和安全产品等领域都取得了增长。Murphy 对跑赢大盘微软的评级，并将股价目标定为 245 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives&nbsp;forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush 分析师丹-艾夫斯（Dan Ives）预测，在 Azure 至少增长 45% 的推动下，“又一个杰作季度”，他认为 Azure 正在从亚马逊网络服务手中夺走市场份额。他说，当前的在家办公环境鼓励更多企业向基于云的运营做出战略举措，“微软全面展开，Azure 的增长依然强劲”。他维持跑赢大盘评级，目标股价为300美元。</blockquote></p><p>Citi analyst Tyler Radke&nbsp;last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师泰勒-拉德克（Tyler Radke）上周重申了对微软股票的买入评级，将目标价从 292 美元上调至 302 美元，并在业绩公布前对该股进行了 “积极催化剂观察”。他写道，对经销商的调查和渠道检查相结合，让他更有信心微软能够推动所有三个主要业务部门的收入，消费者和企业对个人电脑的需求都很强劲，服务器软件的强劲升级活动也很活跃，Azure 也因 “企业消费持续强劲增长 ”而持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-27 11:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计微软将在周二收盘后公布 3 月份季度数据时公布强劲的财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.&nbsp; On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.</p><p><blockquote>分析师一致预测营收为 410 亿美元，同比增长 17%，每股收益为 1.78 美元。周一，微软股价创下 262.44 美元的盘中纪录，该股距离首次触及 2 万亿美元估值仅一步之遥。要实现这一目标，该股需要上涨至 264.55 美元。</blockquote></p><p>The shares have gained 18% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，该股已上涨 18%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计该公司的 Azure 和 Office 365 云业务将在本季度再次表现强劲，并将寻找企业运营加速增长的迹象。鉴于最近 PC 购买量的巨大增长，Surface 硬件（笔记本电脑和白板）的销售可能会在本季度强劲，尽管组件短缺可能会导致需求未满足。个人电脑市场的强劲也预示着Windows操作系统的销售。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft breaks down its results into&nbsp;three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.</p><p><blockquote>微软将其业绩分为三个部分：生产力和业务流程，包括Office 365、Dynamics和LinkedIn；智能云，其中包括Azure和企业服务器软件；以及更多的个人计算，包括Windows、Xbox、Surface硬件和Bing。</blockquote></p><p>When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当微软在 1 月底公布第二财季业绩时，首席财务官 Amy Hood 提供了每个部门的收入指导。对于生产力和业务流程，她预计收入为 133.5 亿至 136 亿美元。智能云的看涨期权是收入为147亿至149.5亿美元，而她预测更多个人计算的收入为123亿至127亿美元。如果每个部门的收入达到预测范围的顶部，总收入将达到 412.5 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.</p><p><blockquote>在研究报告中，几位分析师引用了客户和经销商的积极评价，预计业绩将强劲。</blockquote></p><p>Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.</p><p><blockquote>上周，KeyBanc Capital 的 Michael Turits 重申了对该股的跑赢大盘评级，同时将目标价从 280 美元上调至 295 美元。他表示，该公司可能受益于强劲的 IT 需求和个人电脑出货量的持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我们继续看到微软扩大 Azure 范围、广泛的企业应用创新和积极的捆绑组合在市场上取得成功。“我们采访过的几乎所有北美微软分销商/经销商都报告说，微软渠道收入达到或超过了计划”。</blockquote></p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师 Mark Murphy 在自己对微软产品经销商进行的最新调查中对前景感到鼓舞。他说，在企业需求改善的推动下，这些公司的微软商品季度销售额平均比预期高出 3.3%。他报告了公司整个企业产品线的实力，Azure、Teams、Office 365 和安全产品等领域都取得了增长。Murphy 对跑赢大盘微软的评级，并将股价目标定为 245 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives&nbsp;forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush 分析师丹-艾夫斯（Dan Ives）预测，在 Azure 至少增长 45% 的推动下，“又一个杰作季度”，他认为 Azure 正在从亚马逊网络服务手中夺走市场份额。他说，当前的在家办公环境鼓励更多企业向基于云的运营做出战略举措，“微软全面展开，Azure 的增长依然强劲”。他维持跑赢大盘评级，目标股价为300美元。</blockquote></p><p>Citi analyst Tyler Radke&nbsp;last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师泰勒-拉德克（Tyler Radke）上周重申了对微软股票的买入评级，将目标价从 292 美元上调至 302 美元，并在业绩公布前对该股进行了 “积极催化剂观察”。他写道，对经销商的调查和渠道检查相结合，让他更有信心微软能够推动所有三个主要业务部门的收入，消费者和企业对个人电脑的需求都很强劲，服务器软件的强劲升级活动也很活跃，Azure 也因 “企业消费持续强劲增长 ”而持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-nears-2-trillion-market-cap-earnings-are-tuesday-51619457928?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-nears-2-trillion-market-cap-earnings-are-tuesday-51619457928?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155157199","content_text":"Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.  On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.The shares have gained 18% year to date.Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system. Microsoft breaks down its results into three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.Wedbush analyst Dan Ives forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.Citi analyst Tyler Radke last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":900,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374310980,"gmtCreate":1619417620640,"gmtModify":1634273638578,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"🤔🤔","listText":"🤔🤔","text":"🤔🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374310980","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374310021,"gmtCreate":1619417603963,"gmtModify":1634273638696,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"power","listText":"power","text":"power","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374310021","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372989547,"gmtCreate":1619168109289,"gmtModify":1634288041743,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"&nbsp;😯😯😯","listText":"&nbsp;😯😯😯","text":"😯😯😯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372989547","repostId":"1143062408","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376026398,"gmtCreate":1619072210614,"gmtModify":1634288754219,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376026398","repostId":"1143508710","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371908500,"gmtCreate":1618897889500,"gmtModify":1634290046345,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"😢","listText":"😢","text":"😢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371908500","repostId":"1132732309","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371901670,"gmtCreate":1618897833390,"gmtModify":1634290047436,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371901670","repostId":"2128689062","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347840642,"gmtCreate":1618488707386,"gmtModify":1634292612518,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347840642","repostId":"1128319234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128319234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618486201,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1128319234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-15 19:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Breakfast: Retail Rebound<blockquote>华尔街早餐：零售业反弹</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128319234","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Retail reboundThe market will get some insight into how much the consumer is participating in the ec","content":"<p><b>Retail rebound</b></p><p><blockquote><b>零售反弹</b></blockquote></p><p>The market will get some insight into how much the consumer is participating in the economic recovery with the latest retail sales numbers today. S&amp;P futures(SPX), Nasdaq futures(NDX:IND)and Dow futures(INDU)are all in the green.</p><p><blockquote>通过今天最新的零售销售数据，市场将深入了解消费者在多大程度上参与了经济复苏。标准普尔期货 (SPX)、纳斯达克期货 (NDX:IND) 和道琼斯期货 (INDU) 均为绿色。</blockquote></p><p>The Commerce Department will release March retail sales at 8:30 AM ET. Economists, on average, are looking for a strong rebound, with sales rising 5.9%, compared with a 3% drop in February. Core retail sales, which exclude autos, are forecast to rise 5%, reversing a 2.7% decline the month before. Retail sales have posted gains in just four months since the lockdown measures took hold last year, the most recent being a 5.3% gain for January.</p><p><blockquote>商务部将于美国东部时间上午 8:30 发布 3 月份零售销售数据。平均而言，经济学家正在寻求强劲反弹，销售额增长 5.9%，而 2 月份则下降了 3%。不包括汽车在内的核心零售额预计将增长 5%，扭转上月 2.7% 的跌幅。自去年实施封锁措施以来，短短四个月内零售额就出现了增长，最近一次是 1 月份增长了 5.3%。</blockquote></p><p>If sales rise as anticipated, that would be a good indication that the latest round of $1,400 direct checks are making their way into the economy, providing the stimulus intended by the White House. A miss may indicate that the money is being channeled to other avenues, such as savings or asset purchases. The New York Fed said last week that 42 cents of every stimulus dollar were being saved, while 25% of funds are being spent and the rest is being used to pay down debt.</p><p><blockquote>如果销售额如预期增长，这将是一个很好的迹象，表明最新一轮1400美元的直接支票正在进入经济，提供白宫想要的刺激。错过可能表明资金被引导到其他渠道，例如储蓄或资产购买。纽约联储上周表示，每笔刺激资金中有42美分被节省，而25%的资金被花掉，其余用于偿还债务。</blockquote></p><p>Reflation trade: For the stock market, a strong retail sales number could kick-start the reflation trade that favors cyclicals, which has lost steam of late. Despite a number of market-moving events, the S&amp;P(NYSEARCA:SPY)has struggled to gain traction in either direction and is down 0.1% for the week.</p><p><blockquote>再通胀交易：对于股市来说，强劲的零售销售数据可能会引发有利于周期性商品的再通胀交易，而周期性商品最近已经失去了动力。尽管发生了许多影响市场的事件，标准普尔 (NYSEARCA:SPY) 仍难以在这两个方向上获得牵引力，本周下跌 0.1%。</blockquote></p><p>“The reflation trade has been taking a spring break,” says UBS Global Wealth Management CIO Mark Haefele. “We believe investors should continue to position for reflation” as vaccinations roll out and economies recover, he adds, according to Bloomberg. Financials(NYSEARCA:XLF), Industrials(NYSEARCA:XLI)and Energy(NYSEARCA:XLE)are likely to outperform.</p><p><blockquote>“瑞银全球财富管理公司首席信息官马克-海费勒（Mark Haefele）说：”通货膨胀再膨胀交易一直在进行春假。据彭博社报道，他补充说：“我们认为，随着疫苗接种的推广和经济复苏，投资者应继续为通货膨胀做好准备”。金融(NYSEARCA:XLF)、工业(NYSEARCA:XLI)和能源(NYSEARCA:XLE)可能跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p>Barclays strategist Emmanuel Cau says value is attractive as a hedge to overheating, but he's less positive on leisure, food retail and autos.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱策略师伊曼纽尔·考表示，价值作为对冲过热的手段很有吸引力，但他对休闲、食品零售和汽车的看法不太乐观。</blockquote></p><p>Economy accelerating, but still moderate: The Fed's Beige Book, out yesterday, said the U.S. economy is accelerating to a moderate pace, while some of the sectors hit hardest by the pandemic are showing signs of recovery.</p><p><blockquote>经济加速，但仍温和：美联储昨天发布的褐皮书称，美国经济正在以温和的速度加速，而一些受疫情打击最严重的行业正在显示出复苏迹象。</blockquote></p><p>\"Reports on tourism were more upbeat, bolstered by a pickup in demand for leisure activities and travel which contacts attributed to spring break, an easing of pandemic-related restrictions, increased vaccinations, and recent stimulus payments among other factors,\" the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“旅游业报告更加乐观，这得益于休闲活动和旅游需求的回升，联系人将其归因于春假、与大流行相关的限制放松、疫苗接种增加以及最近的刺激付款等因素。”</blockquote></p><p>Economic growth and consumer spending \"accelerated over the last 6 weeks and pent-up demand for leisure activity and travel are starting to materialize,\" DataTrek Research writes. \"Inflation has picked up and companies face both labor shortages and supply chain disruptions. In the end, we continue to agree with the Fed that near-term inflation is transitory rather than structural, so we don’t think Chair Powell will view these inflationary pressures as a major red flag.\"</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research 写道，经济增长和消费者支出“在过去 6 周内加速，被压抑的休闲活动和旅游需求开始实现”。“通胀有所回升，企业面临着劳动力短缺和供应链中断的双重问题。最终，我们继续同意美联储的观点，即近期通胀是暂时的，而不是结构性的，因此我们认为鲍威尔主席不会将这些通胀压力视为重大危险信号”。</blockquote></p><p>\"Moreover, the latest Fed Beige Book reports continue to show employers’ challenge of pulling workers back into the labor force,\" DataTrek adds. \"That will take time as vaccines roll out and childcare becomes more accessible, factors that are out of Chair Powell’s control. That’s why he and the Fed continue to signal holding rates near zero through at least 2022 to let the economy run hot enough to achieve their dual mandate.\"</p><p><blockquote>“此外，最新的美联储褐皮书报告继续显示雇主在吸引工人重返劳动力市场方面面临的挑战，”DataTrek 补充道。“随着疫苗的推广和托儿服务的普及，这需要时间，而这些因素都是鲍威尔主席无法控制的。这就是为什么他和美联储继续发出信号，至少在2022年之前将利率维持在接近于零的水平，让经济足够火热，以实现他们的双重使命”。</blockquote></p><p><b>ARK Invest snaps up Coinbase</b></p><p><blockquote><b>方舟投资收购 Coinbase</b></blockquote></p><p>ARK Investment Management bought shares of newly-public Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)for three different funds, while selling some of its Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)holdings.</p><p><blockquote>ARK Investment Management 为三只不同的基金购买了新上市的 Coinbase Global（纳斯达克股票代码：COIN）的股票，同时出售了部分特斯拉（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）持有的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Cathie Wood bought 89,589 shares of Coinbase for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF). She bought 512,535 shares of the crypto trading platform for the flagship ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). And she added 147,081 COIN shares to the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKW). That was about $246M worth of Coinbase shares.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood 为 ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKF) 购买了 89,589 股 Coinbase 股票。她为旗舰 ARK Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA:ARKK）购买了 512,535 股加密货币交易平台股票。她还向 ARK 下一代互联网 ETF（NYSEARCA:ARKW）添加了 147,081 股硬币股票。这是价值约 2.46 亿美元的 Coinbase 股票。</blockquote></p><p>\"There are going to be great opportunities from now and five years to buy (Coinbase) on dips,\" Wood told Bloomberg. ARK thinks institutional interest could add $500K to the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD). ARK sold 185,712 shares of Tesla from ARKK and 57,043 shares of the automaker from ARKW. Tesla is the top holding in ARKW and ARKK. Coinbase rose 30% in its debut yesterday, but closed down from where it opened the day.</p><p><blockquote>伍德告诉彭博社：“从现在和五年后，逢低买入（Coinbase）的机会将会很大。”ARK 认为机构兴趣可能会使比特币 (BTC-USD) 的价格增加 50 万美元。ARK 从 ARKK 出售了 185,712 股特斯拉股票，从 ARKW 出售了 57,043 股该汽车制造商股票。特斯拉是 ARKW 和 ARKK 的最大持股。Coinbase 昨天首次亮相时上涨了 30%，但收盘价较当天开盘时下跌。</blockquote></p><p><b>SpaceX valued at $74B</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SpaceX 估值为 $74B</b></blockquote></p><p>SpaceX (SPACE) increased the size of its last equity raise, according to an SEC filing. The company brought in another $314M to add to the $850M previously reported. The new total equity raise of $1.16B values SpaceX at around $74B.</p><p><blockquote>根据 SEC 提交的文件，SpaceX (SPACE) 增加了上次股权融资的规模。该公司在之前报告的 8.5 亿美元基础上又筹集了 3.14 亿美元。新的总股本筹集了 1.16B 美元，SpaceX 的估值约为 74B 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Investors in SpaceX are likely to be looking for a payoff from the Starlink (STRLK) Internet satellite business. There is speculation that Starlink will be set free in an IPO at some point. Looking at SpaceX's launch plans, a trip to the moon is planned for as early as 2022 with the Falcon 9 rocket slated to deliver an exploration rover on behalf of the United Arab Emirates.</p><p><blockquote>SpaceX 的投资者可能会从 Starlink (STRLK) 互联网卫星业务中寻求回报。有猜测称，星链将在某个时候进行首次公开募股。从 SpaceX 的发射计划来看，计划最早于 2022 年进行月球之旅，猎鹰 9 号火箭将代表阿拉伯联合酋长国运送一辆探索漫游车。</blockquote></p><p><b>Self-driving truck startup TuSimple is said to have raised $1.35B in IPO.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>据称，自动驾驶卡车初创公司图森未来在 IPO 中筹集了 13.5 亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p>Self-driving truck startup TuSimple (TSP) is said to have raised $1.35B in an IPO, pricing the shares at $40, above an earlier range. TuSimple and a selling shareholder sold 34M shares at $40 each, above an estimated price of $35-$39, according to a Bloomberg report.</p><p><blockquote>据称，自动驾驶卡车初创公司图森未来 (TSP) 在 IPO 中筹集了 1.35B 美元，股价为 40 美元，高于之前的区间。据彭博社报道，图森未来和一名出售股东以每股 40 美元的价格出售了 3400 万股股票，高于 35-39 美元的预估价格。</blockquote></p><p>The company is backed by strategic investors, including Volkswagen AG’s(OTCPK:VLKAF)heavy-truck business The Traton Group, Navistar(NYSE:NAV), Goodyear(NASDAQ:GT), U.S. Xpress(NYSE:USX), NVIDIA(NASDAQ:NVDA)and United Parcel Service(NYSE:UPS).</p><p><blockquote>该公司得到了战略投资者的支持，包括大众汽车公司（OTCPK:VLKAF）的重型卡车业务 Traton Group、Navistar（NYSE:NAV）、固特异（NASDAQ:GT）、U.S. Xpress（NYSE:USX）、NVIDIA（NASDAQ:NVDA）和联合包裹服务公司（NYSE:UPS）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lucid Motors says its new electric vehicle is ready for the cold stuff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Lucid Motors 表示其新型电动汽车已做好应对寒冷天气的准备</b></blockquote></p><p>Lucid Motors (LUCIDM) updates on a cold weather test run on the Lucid Air at -40 degrees Celsius.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid Motors (LUCIDM) 更新了在 -40 摄氏度的 Lucid Air 上进行的寒冷天气测试。</blockquote></p><p>\"Lucid Air hit all its cold weather testing targets from quickly warming up, to starting, charging, and more. And despite cold temperatures, the quietness of the cabin was notable. Typically, interior components of a vehicle get noisier as its temperature drops. Not Lucid Air. Its NVH aspect - or Noise, Vibration, and Harshness rating - tested exceptionally well. And for luxury vehicle owners, that's a crucial outcome.\"</p><p><blockquote>“Lucid Air 满足了所有寒冷天气测试目标，从快速预热到启动、充电等等。尽管气温寒冷，车内的安静程度依然令人瞩目。通常情况下，随着温度下降，车辆内部部件的噪音会越来越大。Lucid Air 则不然。它的 NVH 方面（即噪音、振动和粗糙度等级）的测试非常出色。”对于豪华车车主来说，这是一个至关重要的结果。”</blockquote></p><p><b>What else is happening...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还发生了什么……</b></blockquote></p><p>Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)EPS beats by $0.04, beats on revenue.Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)loses some key execsamid growth push.Bitcoin (BTC-USD)hangs near record high.Oil(CL1:COM)hits highest since mid-Marchon strong demand outlook.Copper(HG1:COM)on path to $15K/ton in 2025thanks to green transition, Goldman says.AstraZenca’s(NASDAQ:AZN)COVID-19 vaccine trumps Ocugen's Covaxinin Indian study.</p><p><blockquote>台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）超过预期每股收益为 0.04 美元，收入超出预期。 Shopify（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）在增长推动中失去了一些关键高管。比特币 (BTC-USD) 徘徊在历史新高附近。由于需求前景强劲，石油 (CL1:COM) 触及三月中旬以来的最高水平。高盛表示，由于绿色转型，铜（HG1:COM）有望在2025年达到1.5万美元/吨。</blockquote></p><p><b>Today's Markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>今日市场</b></blockquote></p><p><b>In Asia,</b>Japan+0.1%. Hong Kong-0.4%. China-0.5%. India+0.6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在亚洲，</b>日本+0.1%。香港-0.4%。中国-0.5%。印度+0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In Europe,</b>at midday, London+0.4%. Paris+0.3%. Frankfurt+0.3%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在欧洲，</b>午盘，伦敦+0.4%。巴黎+0.3%。法兰克福+0.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Futures at 6:20,</b>Dow+0.4%. S&amp;P+0.4%. Nasdaq+0.5%. Crude-0.7%to $62.70. Gold+0.6%at $1747.60. Bitcoin-2%to $62311.</p><p><blockquote><b>期货6:20，</b>道琼斯指数+0.4%。标准普尔+0.4%。纳斯达克+0.5%。原油-0.7%至62.70美元。黄金+0.6%，至1747.60美元。比特币-2%至62311美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ten-year Treasury Yield</b>-2 bps to1.615%</p><p><blockquote><b>十年期国债收益率</b>-2个基点至1.615%</blockquote></p><p><b>Today's Economic Calendar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>今日经济日历</b></blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Initial Jobless Claims</p><p><blockquote>8:30 首次申请失业救济人数</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Philly Fed Business Outlook</p><p><blockquote>8:30 费城联储商业展望</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Retail Sales</p><p><blockquote>8:30 零售销售</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Empire State Mfg Survey</p><p><blockquote>8:30 帝国大厦制造调查</blockquote></p><p>9:15&nbsp;Industrial Production</p><p><blockquote>9:15 工业生产</blockquote></p><p>10:00&nbsp;Business Inventories</p><p><blockquote>10:00 商业库存</blockquote></p><p>10:00&nbsp;NAHB Housing Market Index</p><p><blockquote>10:00 NAHB 房地产市场指数</blockquote></p><p>10:30&nbsp;EIA Natural Gas Inventory</p><p><blockquote>10:30 EIA天然气库存</blockquote></p><p>11:30&nbsp;Fed's Bostic: \"The Atlantic's Progress Report: The State of the Black Community\"</p><p><blockquote>11:30 美联储博斯蒂克：“大西洋月刊的进展报告：黑人社区的状况”</blockquote></p><p>2:00 PMFed’s Daly Speech</p><p><blockquote>下午 2:00 美联储戴利演讲</blockquote></p><p>4:00 PMFed’s Mester: \"Economic Inclusion\"</p><p><blockquote>下午 4:00 美联储大师：“经济包容性”</blockquote></p><p>4:00 PMTreasury International Capital</p><p><blockquote>下午 4:00 财政部国际资本</blockquote></p><p>4:30 PMFed Balance Sheet</p><p><blockquote>下午 4:30 美联储资产负债表</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Breakfast: Retail Rebound<blockquote>华尔街早餐：零售业反弹</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Breakfast: Retail Rebound<blockquote>华尔街早餐：零售业反弹</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-15 19:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Retail rebound</b></p><p><blockquote><b>零售反弹</b></blockquote></p><p>The market will get some insight into how much the consumer is participating in the economic recovery with the latest retail sales numbers today. S&amp;P futures(SPX), Nasdaq futures(NDX:IND)and Dow futures(INDU)are all in the green.</p><p><blockquote>通过今天最新的零售销售数据，市场将深入了解消费者在多大程度上参与了经济复苏。标准普尔期货 (SPX)、纳斯达克期货 (NDX:IND) 和道琼斯期货 (INDU) 均为绿色。</blockquote></p><p>The Commerce Department will release March retail sales at 8:30 AM ET. Economists, on average, are looking for a strong rebound, with sales rising 5.9%, compared with a 3% drop in February. Core retail sales, which exclude autos, are forecast to rise 5%, reversing a 2.7% decline the month before. Retail sales have posted gains in just four months since the lockdown measures took hold last year, the most recent being a 5.3% gain for January.</p><p><blockquote>商务部将于美国东部时间上午 8:30 发布 3 月份零售销售数据。平均而言，经济学家正在寻求强劲反弹，销售额增长 5.9%，而 2 月份则下降了 3%。不包括汽车在内的核心零售额预计将增长 5%，扭转上月 2.7% 的跌幅。自去年实施封锁措施以来，短短四个月内零售额就出现了增长，最近一次是 1 月份增长了 5.3%。</blockquote></p><p>If sales rise as anticipated, that would be a good indication that the latest round of $1,400 direct checks are making their way into the economy, providing the stimulus intended by the White House. A miss may indicate that the money is being channeled to other avenues, such as savings or asset purchases. The New York Fed said last week that 42 cents of every stimulus dollar were being saved, while 25% of funds are being spent and the rest is being used to pay down debt.</p><p><blockquote>如果销售额如预期增长，这将是一个很好的迹象，表明最新一轮1400美元的直接支票正在进入经济，提供白宫想要的刺激。错过可能表明资金被引导到其他渠道，例如储蓄或资产购买。纽约联储上周表示，每笔刺激资金中有42美分被节省，而25%的资金被花掉，其余用于偿还债务。</blockquote></p><p>Reflation trade: For the stock market, a strong retail sales number could kick-start the reflation trade that favors cyclicals, which has lost steam of late. Despite a number of market-moving events, the S&amp;P(NYSEARCA:SPY)has struggled to gain traction in either direction and is down 0.1% for the week.</p><p><blockquote>再通胀交易：对于股市来说，强劲的零售销售数据可能会引发有利于周期性商品的再通胀交易，而周期性商品最近已经失去了动力。尽管发生了许多影响市场的事件，标准普尔 (NYSEARCA:SPY) 仍难以在这两个方向上获得牵引力，本周下跌 0.1%。</blockquote></p><p>“The reflation trade has been taking a spring break,” says UBS Global Wealth Management CIO Mark Haefele. “We believe investors should continue to position for reflation” as vaccinations roll out and economies recover, he adds, according to Bloomberg. Financials(NYSEARCA:XLF), Industrials(NYSEARCA:XLI)and Energy(NYSEARCA:XLE)are likely to outperform.</p><p><blockquote>“瑞银全球财富管理公司首席信息官马克-海费勒（Mark Haefele）说：”通货膨胀再膨胀交易一直在进行春假。据彭博社报道，他补充说：“我们认为，随着疫苗接种的推广和经济复苏，投资者应继续为通货膨胀做好准备”。金融(NYSEARCA:XLF)、工业(NYSEARCA:XLI)和能源(NYSEARCA:XLE)可能跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p>Barclays strategist Emmanuel Cau says value is attractive as a hedge to overheating, but he's less positive on leisure, food retail and autos.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱策略师伊曼纽尔·考表示，价值作为对冲过热的手段很有吸引力，但他对休闲、食品零售和汽车的看法不太乐观。</blockquote></p><p>Economy accelerating, but still moderate: The Fed's Beige Book, out yesterday, said the U.S. economy is accelerating to a moderate pace, while some of the sectors hit hardest by the pandemic are showing signs of recovery.</p><p><blockquote>经济加速，但仍温和：美联储昨天发布的褐皮书称，美国经济正在以温和的速度加速，而一些受疫情打击最严重的行业正在显示出复苏迹象。</blockquote></p><p>\"Reports on tourism were more upbeat, bolstered by a pickup in demand for leisure activities and travel which contacts attributed to spring break, an easing of pandemic-related restrictions, increased vaccinations, and recent stimulus payments among other factors,\" the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“旅游业报告更加乐观，这得益于休闲活动和旅游需求的回升，联系人将其归因于春假、与大流行相关的限制放松、疫苗接种增加以及最近的刺激付款等因素。”</blockquote></p><p>Economic growth and consumer spending \"accelerated over the last 6 weeks and pent-up demand for leisure activity and travel are starting to materialize,\" DataTrek Research writes. \"Inflation has picked up and companies face both labor shortages and supply chain disruptions. In the end, we continue to agree with the Fed that near-term inflation is transitory rather than structural, so we don’t think Chair Powell will view these inflationary pressures as a major red flag.\"</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research 写道，经济增长和消费者支出“在过去 6 周内加速，被压抑的休闲活动和旅游需求开始实现”。“通胀有所回升，企业面临着劳动力短缺和供应链中断的双重问题。最终，我们继续同意美联储的观点，即近期通胀是暂时的，而不是结构性的，因此我们认为鲍威尔主席不会将这些通胀压力视为重大危险信号”。</blockquote></p><p>\"Moreover, the latest Fed Beige Book reports continue to show employers’ challenge of pulling workers back into the labor force,\" DataTrek adds. \"That will take time as vaccines roll out and childcare becomes more accessible, factors that are out of Chair Powell’s control. That’s why he and the Fed continue to signal holding rates near zero through at least 2022 to let the economy run hot enough to achieve their dual mandate.\"</p><p><blockquote>“此外，最新的美联储褐皮书报告继续显示雇主在吸引工人重返劳动力市场方面面临的挑战，”DataTrek 补充道。“随着疫苗的推广和托儿服务的普及，这需要时间，而这些因素都是鲍威尔主席无法控制的。这就是为什么他和美联储继续发出信号，至少在2022年之前将利率维持在接近于零的水平，让经济足够火热，以实现他们的双重使命”。</blockquote></p><p><b>ARK Invest snaps up Coinbase</b></p><p><blockquote><b>方舟投资收购 Coinbase</b></blockquote></p><p>ARK Investment Management bought shares of newly-public Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)for three different funds, while selling some of its Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)holdings.</p><p><blockquote>ARK Investment Management 为三只不同的基金购买了新上市的 Coinbase Global（纳斯达克股票代码：COIN）的股票，同时出售了部分特斯拉（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）持有的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Cathie Wood bought 89,589 shares of Coinbase for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF). She bought 512,535 shares of the crypto trading platform for the flagship ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). And she added 147,081 COIN shares to the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKW). That was about $246M worth of Coinbase shares.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood 为 ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKF) 购买了 89,589 股 Coinbase 股票。她为旗舰 ARK Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA:ARKK）购买了 512,535 股加密货币交易平台股票。她还向 ARK 下一代互联网 ETF（NYSEARCA:ARKW）添加了 147,081 股硬币股票。这是价值约 2.46 亿美元的 Coinbase 股票。</blockquote></p><p>\"There are going to be great opportunities from now and five years to buy (Coinbase) on dips,\" Wood told Bloomberg. ARK thinks institutional interest could add $500K to the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD). ARK sold 185,712 shares of Tesla from ARKK and 57,043 shares of the automaker from ARKW. Tesla is the top holding in ARKW and ARKK. Coinbase rose 30% in its debut yesterday, but closed down from where it opened the day.</p><p><blockquote>伍德告诉彭博社：“从现在和五年后，逢低买入（Coinbase）的机会将会很大。”ARK 认为机构兴趣可能会使比特币 (BTC-USD) 的价格增加 50 万美元。ARK 从 ARKK 出售了 185,712 股特斯拉股票，从 ARKW 出售了 57,043 股该汽车制造商股票。特斯拉是 ARKW 和 ARKK 的最大持股。Coinbase 昨天首次亮相时上涨了 30%，但收盘价较当天开盘时下跌。</blockquote></p><p><b>SpaceX valued at $74B</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SpaceX 估值为 $74B</b></blockquote></p><p>SpaceX (SPACE) increased the size of its last equity raise, according to an SEC filing. The company brought in another $314M to add to the $850M previously reported. The new total equity raise of $1.16B values SpaceX at around $74B.</p><p><blockquote>根据 SEC 提交的文件，SpaceX (SPACE) 增加了上次股权融资的规模。该公司在之前报告的 8.5 亿美元基础上又筹集了 3.14 亿美元。新的总股本筹集了 1.16B 美元，SpaceX 的估值约为 74B 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Investors in SpaceX are likely to be looking for a payoff from the Starlink (STRLK) Internet satellite business. There is speculation that Starlink will be set free in an IPO at some point. Looking at SpaceX's launch plans, a trip to the moon is planned for as early as 2022 with the Falcon 9 rocket slated to deliver an exploration rover on behalf of the United Arab Emirates.</p><p><blockquote>SpaceX 的投资者可能会从 Starlink (STRLK) 互联网卫星业务中寻求回报。有猜测称，星链将在某个时候进行首次公开募股。从 SpaceX 的发射计划来看，计划最早于 2022 年进行月球之旅，猎鹰 9 号火箭将代表阿拉伯联合酋长国运送一辆探索漫游车。</blockquote></p><p><b>Self-driving truck startup TuSimple is said to have raised $1.35B in IPO.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>据称，自动驾驶卡车初创公司图森未来在 IPO 中筹集了 13.5 亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p>Self-driving truck startup TuSimple (TSP) is said to have raised $1.35B in an IPO, pricing the shares at $40, above an earlier range. TuSimple and a selling shareholder sold 34M shares at $40 each, above an estimated price of $35-$39, according to a Bloomberg report.</p><p><blockquote>据称，自动驾驶卡车初创公司图森未来 (TSP) 在 IPO 中筹集了 1.35B 美元，股价为 40 美元，高于之前的区间。据彭博社报道，图森未来和一名出售股东以每股 40 美元的价格出售了 3400 万股股票，高于 35-39 美元的预估价格。</blockquote></p><p>The company is backed by strategic investors, including Volkswagen AG’s(OTCPK:VLKAF)heavy-truck business The Traton Group, Navistar(NYSE:NAV), Goodyear(NASDAQ:GT), U.S. Xpress(NYSE:USX), NVIDIA(NASDAQ:NVDA)and United Parcel Service(NYSE:UPS).</p><p><blockquote>该公司得到了战略投资者的支持，包括大众汽车公司（OTCPK:VLKAF）的重型卡车业务 Traton Group、Navistar（NYSE:NAV）、固特异（NASDAQ:GT）、U.S. Xpress（NYSE:USX）、NVIDIA（NASDAQ:NVDA）和联合包裹服务公司（NYSE:UPS）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lucid Motors says its new electric vehicle is ready for the cold stuff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Lucid Motors 表示其新型电动汽车已做好应对寒冷天气的准备</b></blockquote></p><p>Lucid Motors (LUCIDM) updates on a cold weather test run on the Lucid Air at -40 degrees Celsius.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid Motors (LUCIDM) 更新了在 -40 摄氏度的 Lucid Air 上进行的寒冷天气测试。</blockquote></p><p>\"Lucid Air hit all its cold weather testing targets from quickly warming up, to starting, charging, and more. And despite cold temperatures, the quietness of the cabin was notable. Typically, interior components of a vehicle get noisier as its temperature drops. Not Lucid Air. Its NVH aspect - or Noise, Vibration, and Harshness rating - tested exceptionally well. And for luxury vehicle owners, that's a crucial outcome.\"</p><p><blockquote>“Lucid Air 满足了所有寒冷天气测试目标，从快速预热到启动、充电等等。尽管气温寒冷，车内的安静程度依然令人瞩目。通常情况下，随着温度下降，车辆内部部件的噪音会越来越大。Lucid Air 则不然。它的 NVH 方面（即噪音、振动和粗糙度等级）的测试非常出色。”对于豪华车车主来说，这是一个至关重要的结果。”</blockquote></p><p><b>What else is happening...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还发生了什么……</b></blockquote></p><p>Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)EPS beats by $0.04, beats on revenue.Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)loses some key execsamid growth push.Bitcoin (BTC-USD)hangs near record high.Oil(CL1:COM)hits highest since mid-Marchon strong demand outlook.Copper(HG1:COM)on path to $15K/ton in 2025thanks to green transition, Goldman says.AstraZenca’s(NASDAQ:AZN)COVID-19 vaccine trumps Ocugen's Covaxinin Indian study.</p><p><blockquote>台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）超过预期每股收益为 0.04 美元，收入超出预期。 Shopify（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）在增长推动中失去了一些关键高管。比特币 (BTC-USD) 徘徊在历史新高附近。由于需求前景强劲，石油 (CL1:COM) 触及三月中旬以来的最高水平。高盛表示，由于绿色转型，铜（HG1:COM）有望在2025年达到1.5万美元/吨。</blockquote></p><p><b>Today's Markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>今日市场</b></blockquote></p><p><b>In Asia,</b>Japan+0.1%. Hong Kong-0.4%. China-0.5%. India+0.6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在亚洲，</b>日本+0.1%。香港-0.4%。中国-0.5%。印度+0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In Europe,</b>at midday, London+0.4%. Paris+0.3%. Frankfurt+0.3%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在欧洲，</b>午盘，伦敦+0.4%。巴黎+0.3%。法兰克福+0.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Futures at 6:20,</b>Dow+0.4%. S&amp;P+0.4%. Nasdaq+0.5%. Crude-0.7%to $62.70. Gold+0.6%at $1747.60. Bitcoin-2%to $62311.</p><p><blockquote><b>期货6:20，</b>道琼斯指数+0.4%。标准普尔+0.4%。纳斯达克+0.5%。原油-0.7%至62.70美元。黄金+0.6%，至1747.60美元。比特币-2%至62311美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ten-year Treasury Yield</b>-2 bps to1.615%</p><p><blockquote><b>十年期国债收益率</b>-2个基点至1.615%</blockquote></p><p><b>Today's Economic Calendar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>今日经济日历</b></blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Initial Jobless Claims</p><p><blockquote>8:30 首次申请失业救济人数</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Philly Fed Business Outlook</p><p><blockquote>8:30 费城联储商业展望</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Retail Sales</p><p><blockquote>8:30 零售销售</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Empire State Mfg Survey</p><p><blockquote>8:30 帝国大厦制造调查</blockquote></p><p>9:15&nbsp;Industrial Production</p><p><blockquote>9:15 工业生产</blockquote></p><p>10:00&nbsp;Business Inventories</p><p><blockquote>10:00 商业库存</blockquote></p><p>10:00&nbsp;NAHB Housing Market Index</p><p><blockquote>10:00 NAHB 房地产市场指数</blockquote></p><p>10:30&nbsp;EIA Natural Gas Inventory</p><p><blockquote>10:30 EIA天然气库存</blockquote></p><p>11:30&nbsp;Fed's Bostic: \"The Atlantic's Progress Report: The State of the Black Community\"</p><p><blockquote>11:30 美联储博斯蒂克：“大西洋月刊的进展报告：黑人社区的状况”</blockquote></p><p>2:00 PMFed’s Daly Speech</p><p><blockquote>下午 2:00 美联储戴利演讲</blockquote></p><p>4:00 PMFed’s Mester: \"Economic Inclusion\"</p><p><blockquote>下午 4:00 美联储大师：“经济包容性”</blockquote></p><p>4:00 PMTreasury International Capital</p><p><blockquote>下午 4:00 财政部国际资本</blockquote></p><p>4:30 PMFed Balance Sheet</p><p><blockquote>下午 4:30 美联储资产负债表</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419172-wall-street-breakfast-retail-rebound\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419172-wall-street-breakfast-retail-rebound","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128319234","content_text":"Retail reboundThe market will get some insight into how much the consumer is participating in the economic recovery with the latest retail sales numbers today. S&P futures(SPX), Nasdaq futures(NDX:IND)and Dow futures(INDU)are all in the green.The Commerce Department will release March retail sales at 8:30 AM ET. Economists, on average, are looking for a strong rebound, with sales rising 5.9%, compared with a 3% drop in February. Core retail sales, which exclude autos, are forecast to rise 5%, reversing a 2.7% decline the month before. Retail sales have posted gains in just four months since the lockdown measures took hold last year, the most recent being a 5.3% gain for January.If sales rise as anticipated, that would be a good indication that the latest round of $1,400 direct checks are making their way into the economy, providing the stimulus intended by the White House. A miss may indicate that the money is being channeled to other avenues, such as savings or asset purchases. The New York Fed said last week that 42 cents of every stimulus dollar were being saved, while 25% of funds are being spent and the rest is being used to pay down debt.Reflation trade: For the stock market, a strong retail sales number could kick-start the reflation trade that favors cyclicals, which has lost steam of late. Despite a number of market-moving events, the S&P(NYSEARCA:SPY)has struggled to gain traction in either direction and is down 0.1% for the week.“The reflation trade has been taking a spring break,” says UBS Global Wealth Management CIO Mark Haefele. “We believe investors should continue to position for reflation” as vaccinations roll out and economies recover, he adds, according to Bloomberg. Financials(NYSEARCA:XLF), Industrials(NYSEARCA:XLI)and Energy(NYSEARCA:XLE)are likely to outperform.Barclays strategist Emmanuel Cau says value is attractive as a hedge to overheating, but he's less positive on leisure, food retail and autos.Economy accelerating, but still moderate: The Fed's Beige Book, out yesterday, said the U.S. economy is accelerating to a moderate pace, while some of the sectors hit hardest by the pandemic are showing signs of recovery.\"Reports on tourism were more upbeat, bolstered by a pickup in demand for leisure activities and travel which contacts attributed to spring break, an easing of pandemic-related restrictions, increased vaccinations, and recent stimulus payments among other factors,\" the report said.Economic growth and consumer spending \"accelerated over the last 6 weeks and pent-up demand for leisure activity and travel are starting to materialize,\" DataTrek Research writes. \"Inflation has picked up and companies face both labor shortages and supply chain disruptions. In the end, we continue to agree with the Fed that near-term inflation is transitory rather than structural, so we don’t think Chair Powell will view these inflationary pressures as a major red flag.\"\"Moreover, the latest Fed Beige Book reports continue to show employers’ challenge of pulling workers back into the labor force,\" DataTrek adds. \"That will take time as vaccines roll out and childcare becomes more accessible, factors that are out of Chair Powell’s control. That’s why he and the Fed continue to signal holding rates near zero through at least 2022 to let the economy run hot enough to achieve their dual mandate.\"ARK Invest snaps up CoinbaseARK Investment Management bought shares of newly-public Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)for three different funds, while selling some of its Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)holdings.Cathie Wood bought 89,589 shares of Coinbase for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF). She bought 512,535 shares of the crypto trading platform for the flagship ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). And she added 147,081 COIN shares to the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKW). That was about $246M worth of Coinbase shares.\"There are going to be great opportunities from now and five years to buy (Coinbase) on dips,\" Wood told Bloomberg. ARK thinks institutional interest could add $500K to the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD). ARK sold 185,712 shares of Tesla from ARKK and 57,043 shares of the automaker from ARKW. Tesla is the top holding in ARKW and ARKK. Coinbase rose 30% in its debut yesterday, but closed down from where it opened the day.SpaceX valued at $74BSpaceX (SPACE) increased the size of its last equity raise, according to an SEC filing. The company brought in another $314M to add to the $850M previously reported. The new total equity raise of $1.16B values SpaceX at around $74B.Investors in SpaceX are likely to be looking for a payoff from the Starlink (STRLK) Internet satellite business. There is speculation that Starlink will be set free in an IPO at some point. Looking at SpaceX's launch plans, a trip to the moon is planned for as early as 2022 with the Falcon 9 rocket slated to deliver an exploration rover on behalf of the United Arab Emirates.Self-driving truck startup TuSimple is said to have raised $1.35B in IPO.Self-driving truck startup TuSimple (TSP) is said to have raised $1.35B in an IPO, pricing the shares at $40, above an earlier range. TuSimple and a selling shareholder sold 34M shares at $40 each, above an estimated price of $35-$39, according to a Bloomberg report.The company is backed by strategic investors, including Volkswagen AG’s(OTCPK:VLKAF)heavy-truck business The Traton Group, Navistar(NYSE:NAV), Goodyear(NASDAQ:GT), U.S. Xpress(NYSE:USX), NVIDIA(NASDAQ:NVDA)and United Parcel Service(NYSE:UPS).Lucid Motors says its new electric vehicle is ready for the cold stuffLucid Motors (LUCIDM) updates on a cold weather test run on the Lucid Air at -40 degrees Celsius.\"Lucid Air hit all its cold weather testing targets from quickly warming up, to starting, charging, and more. And despite cold temperatures, the quietness of the cabin was notable. Typically, interior components of a vehicle get noisier as its temperature drops. Not Lucid Air. Its NVH aspect - or Noise, Vibration, and Harshness rating - tested exceptionally well. And for luxury vehicle owners, that's a crucial outcome.\"What else is happening...Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)EPS beats by $0.04, beats on revenue.Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)loses some key execsamid growth push.Bitcoin (BTC-USD)hangs near record high.Oil(CL1:COM)hits highest since mid-Marchon strong demand outlook.Copper(HG1:COM)on path to $15K/ton in 2025thanks to green transition, Goldman says.AstraZenca’s(NASDAQ:AZN)COVID-19 vaccine trumps Ocugen's Covaxinin Indian study.Today's MarketsIn Asia,Japan+0.1%. Hong Kong-0.4%. China-0.5%. India+0.6%.In Europe,at midday, London+0.4%. Paris+0.3%. Frankfurt+0.3%.Futures at 6:20,Dow+0.4%. S&P+0.4%. Nasdaq+0.5%. Crude-0.7%to $62.70. Gold+0.6%at $1747.60. Bitcoin-2%to $62311.Ten-year Treasury Yield-2 bps to1.615%Today's Economic Calendar8:30 Initial Jobless Claims8:30 Philly Fed Business Outlook8:30 Retail Sales8:30 Empire State Mfg Survey9:15 Industrial Production10:00 Business Inventories10:00 NAHB Housing Market Index10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory11:30 Fed's Bostic: \"The Atlantic's Progress Report: The State of the Black Community\"2:00 PMFed’s Daly Speech4:00 PMFed’s Mester: \"Economic Inclusion\"4:00 PMTreasury International Capital4:30 PMFed Balance Sheet","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":132038450,"gmtCreate":1622043851570,"gmtModify":1634184368615,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>30?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>30?","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$30?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132038450","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":109299075,"gmtCreate":1619697425097,"gmtModify":1634210654744,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please help me like","listText":"Please help me like","text":"Please help me like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109299075","repostId":"1183966356","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183966356","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619665696,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1183966356?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年第一季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183966356","media":"InvestoPedia","summary":"Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.NIO Inc. , like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles . NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record ve","content":"<p>Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries</p><p><blockquote>专注于蔚来汽车交付</blockquote></p><p> <b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.</li>  <li>Vehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.</li>  <li>Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.</li> </ul> NIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计 2020 财年第一季度每股美国存托凭证收益为 -0.72 元，而 -1.66 元。</li><li>已经宣布的汽车交付量同比大幅增长。</li><li>随着汽车销量的扩大，收入预计将飙升。</li></ul>与许多其他汽车制造商一样，由于全球半导体短缺，蔚来（蔚来）今年被迫停产。半导体芯片广泛用于智能手机、计算机和其他电子设备，对于高端电动汽车 (EV) 制造商蔚来来说尤为重要。蔚来汽车3月下旬的停产对该公司第一季度创纪录的汽车交付量影响不大，但可能会影响未来的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.</p><p><blockquote>当蔚来汽车于 2021 年 4 月 29 日公布 2021 财年第一季度收益时，投资者将关注这些力量如何影响蔚来汽车的近期业绩及其财务前景。分析师预计，随着收入的快速增长，该公司每股美国存托股 (ADS) 的亏损将大幅缩小。</blockquote></p><p> Vehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.</p><p><blockquote>汽车交付量是投资者衡量公司生产能力的另一个关键指标。蔚来本月早些时候已经公布了第一季度的汽车交付量，尽管总交付量略低于预期，但仍创下了新的季度记录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&amp;P 500's total return of 45.5%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，蔚来股价的表现大幅优于大盘。但在今年早些时候触及历史高点后，该股大幅下跌，自 3 月初以来大部分时间横盘整理。过去一年，蔚来汽车的股票为投资者提供了1,171.9%的天文数字总回报率，远高于标准普尔500指数45.5%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11e1a915810ccbc7f07ec2adf16865b\" tg-width=\"3004\" tg-height=\"1798\"><span>Source: TradingView.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Earnings History</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来盈利历史</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's&nbsp;Q4 FY 2020 earnings&nbsp;report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its&nbsp;gross margin&nbsp;rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该股在 2 月中旬左右见顶后一直在积聚下跌动力，但在蔚来汽车 3 月初发布 2020 财年第四季度收益报告后暴跌。该公司报告的每股美国存托凭证亏损远高于分析师预期，收入也低于预期。不过，蔚来汽车的亏损较去年同期大幅收窄，收入仍增长133.2%。该公司对其业绩持乐观态度，指出其毛利率从去年同期的负8.9%升至17.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.</p><p><blockquote>2020财年第三季度，蔚来公布每股美国存托凭证亏损0.98元（按2021年4月27日人民币/美元汇率计算为0.15美元）。这是至少11个季度以来最小的损失。收入增长146.4%，保持了第二季度的增长速度。蔚来表示，交付的车辆数量创历史新高，平均售价有所提高。该公司还表示，这是连续第二个季度经营活动现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计蔚来汽车2021财年第一季度的财务业绩将继续改善。虽然预计蔚来每股广告仍将出现另一次亏损，但预计这是至少 14 个季度以来的最低水平。该季度收入预计将增长 446.1%，这将是自 2019 财年第二季度以来的最快增速。对于2021财年全年，分析师目前预计蔚来每股ADS亏损2.72元，这将是至少五年来的最小亏损。收入预计将增长 109.7%，增速快于过去两年的每一年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d412a9c0aea28621f713f5afbfba444c\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：可见阿尔法；蔚来</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者也在关注蔚来每个季度交付的汽车数量。蔚来从其提供的各种服务中产生一些收入，但大部分收入来自汽车销售。目前，该公司交付三种类型的车辆：ES8，该公司的6座和7座旗舰高端智能电动SUV；ES6，该公司的5座高性能高端智能电动SUV；以及该公司的 5 座高端电动轿跑车 EC6。车辆交付数量表明了蔚来汽车的需求以及该公司扩大生产的能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在过去几年中大幅增加了产量。该公司在2018财年交付了11,350辆汽车。2020 财年，这一数字几乎翻了两番，交付了 43,730 辆汽车。尽管2020财年第一季度因新冠肺炎疫情而放缓，但蔚来迅速弥补了第一季度交付量的下降，2020财年第二季度交付量同比增长190.8%。第三季度汽车总交付量增长率放缓至 154.3%，第四季度又放缓至 111.0%。然而，如上所述，2021 财年第一季度汽车交付量增长了 423.0%，创下了新的季度记录。对于2021财年全年，分析师预测蔚来将交付88,280辆汽车，这将是去年总交付量的两倍多。然而，蔚来在3月初警告投资者，全球芯片短缺可能会削减其产能，至少在第二季度如此。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年第一季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年第一季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestoPedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-29 11:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries</p><p><blockquote>专注于蔚来汽车交付</blockquote></p><p> <b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.</li>  <li>Vehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.</li>  <li>Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.</li> </ul> NIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计 2020 财年第一季度每股美国存托凭证收益为 -0.72 元，而 -1.66 元。</li><li>已经宣布的汽车交付量同比大幅增长。</li><li>随着汽车销量的扩大，收入预计将飙升。</li></ul>与许多其他汽车制造商一样，由于全球半导体短缺，蔚来（蔚来）今年被迫停产。半导体芯片广泛用于智能手机、计算机和其他电子设备，对于高端电动汽车 (EV) 制造商蔚来来说尤为重要。蔚来汽车3月下旬的停产对该公司第一季度创纪录的汽车交付量影响不大，但可能会影响未来的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.</p><p><blockquote>当蔚来汽车于 2021 年 4 月 29 日公布 2021 财年第一季度收益时，投资者将关注这些力量如何影响蔚来汽车的近期业绩及其财务前景。分析师预计，随着收入的快速增长，该公司每股美国存托股 (ADS) 的亏损将大幅缩小。</blockquote></p><p> Vehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.</p><p><blockquote>汽车交付量是投资者衡量公司生产能力的另一个关键指标。蔚来本月早些时候已经公布了第一季度的汽车交付量，尽管总交付量略低于预期，但仍创下了新的季度记录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&amp;P 500's total return of 45.5%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，蔚来股价的表现大幅优于大盘。但在今年早些时候触及历史高点后，该股大幅下跌，自 3 月初以来大部分时间横盘整理。过去一年，蔚来汽车的股票为投资者提供了1,171.9%的天文数字总回报率，远高于标准普尔500指数45.5%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11e1a915810ccbc7f07ec2adf16865b\" tg-width=\"3004\" tg-height=\"1798\"><span>Source: TradingView.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Earnings History</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来盈利历史</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's&nbsp;Q4 FY 2020 earnings&nbsp;report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its&nbsp;gross margin&nbsp;rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该股在 2 月中旬左右见顶后一直在积聚下跌动力，但在蔚来汽车 3 月初发布 2020 财年第四季度收益报告后暴跌。该公司报告的每股美国存托凭证亏损远高于分析师预期，收入也低于预期。不过，蔚来汽车的亏损较去年同期大幅收窄，收入仍增长133.2%。该公司对其业绩持乐观态度，指出其毛利率从去年同期的负8.9%升至17.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.</p><p><blockquote>2020财年第三季度，蔚来公布每股美国存托凭证亏损0.98元（按2021年4月27日人民币/美元汇率计算为0.15美元）。这是至少11个季度以来最小的损失。收入增长146.4%，保持了第二季度的增长速度。蔚来表示，交付的车辆数量创历史新高，平均售价有所提高。该公司还表示，这是连续第二个季度经营活动现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计蔚来汽车2021财年第一季度的财务业绩将继续改善。虽然预计蔚来每股广告仍将出现另一次亏损，但预计这是至少 14 个季度以来的最低水平。该季度收入预计将增长 446.1%，这将是自 2019 财年第二季度以来的最快增速。对于2021财年全年，分析师目前预计蔚来每股ADS亏损2.72元，这将是至少五年来的最小亏损。收入预计将增长 109.7%，增速快于过去两年的每一年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d412a9c0aea28621f713f5afbfba444c\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：可见阿尔法；蔚来</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者也在关注蔚来每个季度交付的汽车数量。蔚来从其提供的各种服务中产生一些收入，但大部分收入来自汽车销售。目前，该公司交付三种类型的车辆：ES8，该公司的6座和7座旗舰高端智能电动SUV；ES6，该公司的5座高性能高端智能电动SUV；以及该公司的 5 座高端电动轿跑车 EC6。车辆交付数量表明了蔚来汽车的需求以及该公司扩大生产的能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在过去几年中大幅增加了产量。该公司在2018财年交付了11,350辆汽车。2020 财年，这一数字几乎翻了两番，交付了 43,730 辆汽车。尽管2020财年第一季度因新冠肺炎疫情而放缓，但蔚来迅速弥补了第一季度交付量的下降，2020财年第二季度交付量同比增长190.8%。第三季度汽车总交付量增长率放缓至 154.3%，第四季度又放缓至 111.0%。然而，如上所述，2021 财年第一季度汽车交付量增长了 423.0%，创下了新的季度记录。对于2021财年全年，分析师预测蔚来将交付88,280辆汽车，这将是去年总交付量的两倍多。然而，蔚来在3月初警告投资者，全球芯片短缺可能会削减其产能，至少在第二季度如此。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/nio-q1-2021-earnings-report-preview-5180991\">InvestoPedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/nio-q1-2021-earnings-report-preview-5180991","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183966356","content_text":"Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries\nKEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nAnalysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.\nVehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.\nRevenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.\n\nNIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.\nInvestors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.\nVehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.\nShares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&P 500's total return of 45.5%.\nSource: TradingView.\nNIO Earnings History\nThe stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's Q4 FY 2020 earnings report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its gross margin rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.\nIn Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.\nAnalysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.\nSource: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.\nThe Key Metric\nAs mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.\nNIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":324343541,"gmtCreate":1615968865783,"gmtModify":1703495651198,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"comment please","listText":"comment please","text":"comment 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1617280365,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1144081100?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-01 20:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US.weekly jobless claims total 719,000, above expected<blockquote>美国每周申请失业救济人数总计 71.9 万人，高于预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144081100","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(April 1) First-time claims for jobless benefits were higher than expected last week, with 719,000 m","content":"<p>(April 1)&nbsp;First-time claims for jobless benefits were higher than expected last week, with 719,000 more workers heading to the unemployment line, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>（4月1日）美国劳工部周四报告称，上周首次申请失业救济人数高于预期，有71.9万名工人走向失业线。</blockquote></p><p>The total compared to the 675,000 estimate from Dow Jones and was above last week’s downwardly revised 658,000.</p><p><blockquote>与道琼斯预估的 67.5 万股相比，这一总数高于上周向下修正的 65.8 万股。</blockquote></p><p>While the number of weekly claims remains inordinately high by historical means, the trend is falling now that the U.S. economy continues to reopen and close to 3 million Americans receive vacations each day for Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>虽然从历史角度来看，每周索赔人数仍然非常高，但随着美国经济继续重新开放，每天有近300万美国人因新冠肺炎休假，这一趋势正在下降。</blockquote></p><p>Continuing claims, which run a week behind the headline number, fell by 46,000 to just below 3.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>继续申请人数比总体数字晚一周，下降了 46,000 人，至略低于 380 万人。</blockquote></p><p>The report comes a day ahead of the government’s nonfarm payrolls count for March, which is expected to show a gain of 675,000, to follow on February’s 379,000.</p><p><blockquote>这份报告是在政府公布 3 月份非农就业人数的前一天发布的，预计 3 月份非农就业人数将增加 67.5 万人，而 2 月份非农就业人数将增加 37.9 万人。</blockquote></p><p>Along with the efforts to combat the virus, the Biden Administration continues to shovel money to boost an economy that is showing signs of solid growth. The president put forth a $2 trillion spending plan Thursday that will build on more than $5 trillion of stimulus either already spent or announced on programs aimed at pulling the nation out of the crisis slump.</p><p><blockquote>在努力抗击病毒的同时，拜登政府继续投入资金来提振显示出稳健增长迹象的经济。总统周四提出了一项2万亿美元的支出计划，该计划将建立在已经花费或宣布的超过5万亿美元的刺激计划的基础上，旨在使国家摆脱危机低迷。</blockquote></p><p>While the pace of job gains slowed in the early part of the winter, recent indications are that hiring has picked up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然冬季初期就业增长速度放缓，但最近的迹象表明招聘有所回升。</blockquote></p><p>Payroll processing firm ADP estimated that the companies added 517,000 workers in March, the fastest pace since September. Recent manufacturing reports also show plans ahead for more hiring, and job gains appear to be strongest in the battered hospitality sector, which took the worst of the losses due to social distancing and government-imposed restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>工资处理公司 ADP 估计，这些公司 3 月份增加了 517,000 名员工，这是自 9 月份以来的最快增速。最近的制造业报告还显示了未来增加招聘的计划，而遭受重创的酒店业的就业增长似乎最为强劲，由于社交距离和政府实施的限制，该行业遭受了最严重的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US.weekly jobless claims total 719,000, above expected<blockquote>美国每周申请失业救济人数总计 71.9 万人，高于预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS.weekly jobless claims total 719,000, above expected<blockquote>美国每周申请失业救济人数总计 71.9 万人，高于预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-01 20:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(April 1)&nbsp;First-time claims for jobless benefits were higher than expected last week, with 719,000 more workers heading to the unemployment line, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>（4月1日）美国劳工部周四报告称，上周首次申请失业救济人数高于预期，有71.9万名工人走向失业线。</blockquote></p><p>The total compared to the 675,000 estimate from Dow Jones and was above last week’s downwardly revised 658,000.</p><p><blockquote>与道琼斯预估的 67.5 万股相比，这一总数高于上周向下修正的 65.8 万股。</blockquote></p><p>While the number of weekly claims remains inordinately high by historical means, the trend is falling now that the U.S. economy continues to reopen and close to 3 million Americans receive vacations each day for Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>虽然从历史角度来看，每周索赔人数仍然非常高，但随着美国经济继续重新开放，每天有近300万美国人因新冠肺炎休假，这一趋势正在下降。</blockquote></p><p>Continuing claims, which run a week behind the headline number, fell by 46,000 to just below 3.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>继续申请人数比总体数字晚一周，下降了 46,000 人，至略低于 380 万人。</blockquote></p><p>The report comes a day ahead of the government’s nonfarm payrolls count for March, which is expected to show a gain of 675,000, to follow on February’s 379,000.</p><p><blockquote>这份报告是在政府公布 3 月份非农就业人数的前一天发布的，预计 3 月份非农就业人数将增加 67.5 万人，而 2 月份非农就业人数将增加 37.9 万人。</blockquote></p><p>Along with the efforts to combat the virus, the Biden Administration continues to shovel money to boost an economy that is showing signs of solid growth. The president put forth a $2 trillion spending plan Thursday that will build on more than $5 trillion of stimulus either already spent or announced on programs aimed at pulling the nation out of the crisis slump.</p><p><blockquote>在努力抗击病毒的同时，拜登政府继续投入资金来提振显示出稳健增长迹象的经济。总统周四提出了一项2万亿美元的支出计划，该计划将建立在已经花费或宣布的超过5万亿美元的刺激计划的基础上，旨在使国家摆脱危机低迷。</blockquote></p><p>While the pace of job gains slowed in the early part of the winter, recent indications are that hiring has picked up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然冬季初期就业增长速度放缓，但最近的迹象表明招聘有所回升。</blockquote></p><p>Payroll processing firm ADP estimated that the companies added 517,000 workers in March, the fastest pace since September. Recent manufacturing reports also show plans ahead for more hiring, and job gains appear to be strongest in the battered hospitality sector, which took the worst of the losses due to social distancing and government-imposed restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>工资处理公司 ADP 估计，这些公司 3 月份增加了 517,000 名员工，这是自 9 月份以来的最快增速。最近的制造业报告还显示了未来增加招聘的计划，而遭受重创的酒店业的就业增长似乎最为强劲，由于社交距离和政府实施的限制，该行业遭受了最严重的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144081100","content_text":"(April 1) First-time claims for jobless benefits were higher than expected last week, with 719,000 more workers heading to the unemployment line, the Labor Department reported Thursday.The total compared to the 675,000 estimate from Dow Jones and was above last week’s downwardly revised 658,000.While the number of weekly claims remains inordinately high by historical means, the trend is falling now that the U.S. economy continues to reopen and close to 3 million Americans receive vacations each day for Covid-19.Continuing claims, which run a week behind the headline number, fell by 46,000 to just below 3.8 million.The report comes a day ahead of the government’s nonfarm payrolls count for March, which is expected to show a gain of 675,000, to follow on February’s 379,000.Along with the efforts to combat the virus, the Biden Administration continues to shovel money to boost an economy that is showing signs of solid growth. The president put forth a $2 trillion spending plan Thursday that will build on more than $5 trillion of stimulus either already spent or announced on programs aimed at pulling the nation out of the crisis slump.While the pace of job gains slowed in the early part of the winter, recent indications are that hiring has picked up.Payroll processing firm ADP estimated that the companies added 517,000 workers in March, the fastest pace since September. Recent manufacturing reports also show plans ahead for more hiring, and job gains appear to be strongest in the battered hospitality sector, which took the worst of the losses due to social distancing and government-imposed restrictions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354300570,"gmtCreate":1617125801290,"gmtModify":1634522514004,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"comment and like","listText":"comment and like","text":"comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354300570","repostId":"1163996400","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104213670,"gmtCreate":1620393011390,"gmtModify":1634205570739,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ooh","listText":"ooh","text":"ooh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104213670","repostId":"1157328258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157328258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620360165,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1157328258?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157328258","media":"Seeking alpha","summary":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entere","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股价目标表明有 30% 的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上一季度的业绩介绍了我对亚马逊 (AMZN) 的全面分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1 价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊的增长在上一季度是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”细分市场的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了近乎线性的趋势。现在，它已经成倍增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场 - 加速依然存在，上一季度的业绩好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）分部也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘亚马逊网络服务’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的业绩来看，有逐渐恢复到之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的收入也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计学上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键分部</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去的10年里，亚马逊的资本化与其收入一直处于定性的线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大家可以看到，首先，这个模型表明公司目前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%的增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2 比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一节中，我根据收入模拟了亚马逊的平衡价格。值得注意的是，如果我们对公司使用倍数的比较估值应用同样的方法，我们将失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数，可以成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3 贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我还从分析师对该公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，营业利润率在最后一年逐步增加到8%是一个非常现实的场景。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用股票风险溢价（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。对于最后一年，我使用了等于1的Beta。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>这是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股票目标价为 4,280 美元，上涨空间为 29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段，并不意味着其资本化不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，该公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的 DCF 模型分析师表明估值被低估了 30%。今年年初，一个类似的模型表明估值被低估了 20%。</li><li>当你看到亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 12:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股价目标表明有 30% 的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上一季度的业绩介绍了我对亚马逊 (AMZN) 的全面分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1 价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊的增长在上一季度是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”细分市场的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了近乎线性的趋势。现在，它已经成倍增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场 - 加速依然存在，上一季度的业绩好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）分部也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘亚马逊网络服务’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的业绩来看，有逐渐恢复到之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的收入也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计学上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键分部</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去的10年里，亚马逊的资本化与其收入一直处于定性的线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大家可以看到，首先，这个模型表明公司目前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%的增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2 比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一节中，我根据收入模拟了亚马逊的平衡价格。值得注意的是，如果我们对公司使用倍数的比较估值应用同样的方法，我们将失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数，可以成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3 贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我还从分析师对该公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，营业利润率在最后一年逐步增加到8%是一个非常现实的场景。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用股票风险溢价（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。对于最后一年，我使用了等于1的Beta。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>这是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股票目标价为 4,280 美元，上涨空间为 29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段，并不意味着其资本化不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，该公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的 DCF 模型分析师表明估值被低估了 30%。今年年初，一个类似的模型表明估值被低估了 20%。</li><li>当你看到亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company\">Seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157328258","content_text":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.#1 Price vs. GrowthFirst of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comGeographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comSo, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growthin all key segments. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThere is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comBased on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is alreadybelow the balanced level. And secondly, it assumes a25% growthin capitalization in the next four quarters.#2 Comparative ValuationIn the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.#3 Discounted Cash Flow ModelWhen predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:Source: Seeking Alpha ProWhen predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:Source: AuthorSome explanations:In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.Here is the model itself:(In high resolution)Source: AuthorThe DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.Final thoughtsAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company isundervalued.Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company ismuch cheaperthan the market.DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2000,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374310980,"gmtCreate":1619417620640,"gmtModify":1634273638578,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"🤔🤔","listText":"🤔🤔","text":"🤔🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374310980","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358268169,"gmtCreate":1616700766351,"gmtModify":1634524498868,"author":{"id":"3577226353596605","authorId":"3577226353596605","name":"Kure","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d884cb2a13cb073fbb3d239f8090478e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577226353596605","authorIdStr":"3577226353596605"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow!","listText":"wow!","text":"wow!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358268169","repostId":"1112798343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112798343","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616688349,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112798343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 00:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China’s $6 Billion Social E-Commerce App Hires CFO as It Eyes US IPO<blockquote>中国价值 60 亿美元的社交电子商务应用聘请首席财务官，着眼于美国 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112798343","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The list of Chinese tech firms heading to the public markets is getting longer. The latest to lay th","content":"<p>The list of Chinese tech firms heading to the public markets is getting longer. The latest to lay the groundwork for an initial public offering is Xiaohongshu, an Instagram-like social e-commerce platform. The company recently hired a chief financial officer and is considering going public in the U.S. as early as this year, according to people familiar with the matter,According to The information.</p><p><blockquote>进入公开市场的中国科技公司名单越来越长。最新为首次公开募股奠定基础的是小红书，一个类似Instagram的社交电子商务平台。据知情人士透露，该公司最近聘请了一名首席财务官，并考虑最早今年在美国上市。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China’s $6 Billion Social E-Commerce App Hires CFO as It Eyes US IPO<blockquote>中国价值 60 亿美元的社交电子商务应用聘请首席财务官，着眼于美国 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina’s $6 Billion Social E-Commerce App Hires CFO as It Eyes US IPO<blockquote>中国价值 60 亿美元的社交电子商务应用聘请首席财务官，着眼于美国 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-26 00:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The list of Chinese tech firms heading to the public markets is getting longer. The latest to lay the groundwork for an initial public offering is Xiaohongshu, an Instagram-like social e-commerce platform. The company recently hired a chief financial officer and is considering going public in the U.S. as early as this year, according to people familiar with the matter,According to The information.</p><p><blockquote>进入公开市场的中国科技公司名单越来越长。最新为首次公开募股奠定基础的是小红书，一个类似Instagram的社交电子商务平台。据知情人士透露，该公司最近聘请了一名首席财务官，并考虑最早今年在美国上市。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MOGU":"蘑菇街","YSG":"逸仙电商"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112798343","content_text":"The list of Chinese tech firms heading to the public markets is getting longer. The latest to lay the groundwork for an initial public offering is Xiaohongshu, an Instagram-like social e-commerce platform. The company recently hired a chief financial officer and is considering going public in the U.S. as early as this year, according to people familiar with the matter,According to The information.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MOGU":0.9,"YSG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}