Nzt48的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Nzt48

Nzt48

Don’t short a new high

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2021-06-16

Finally

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2021-06-16

To share

2021-06-09

Wp

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-09

Wp

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-09

Wp

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2021-05-30

Share share share

2021-05-30

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-29

Keep

2021-05-27

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$700 way to go

2021-05-27

Hmmm

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2021-05-27

Let’s go

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-27

Let’s go

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-27

Let’s go

2021-05-26

Wow

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2021-05-25

Nothing is going wrong

What's Going On With PG&E Stock?<blockquote>PG&E股票怎么了？</blockquote>

2021-05-22

Shall see

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-21

To share

2021-05-20

Let’s go

2021-05-20

$Exxon Mobil(XOM)$I wonder

2021-05-19

Time

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is going wrong","listText":"Nothing is going wrong","text":"Nothing is going wrong","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138839822","repostId":"1153229399","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153229399","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1621921219,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153229399?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-25 13:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What's Going On With PG&E Stock?<blockquote>PG&amp;E股票怎么了？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153229399","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Shares ofPG&E Corporation PCG 3.02% rose as much as 3.11% on Monday after the California utility com","content":"<p>Shares of<b>PG&amp;E Corporation</b>&nbsp;PCG 3.02%&nbsp;rose as much as 3.11% on Monday after the California utility company disclosed plans to sell its San Francisco headquarters to Hines Atlas US LP for $800 million and return up to $420 million back to its customers.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b>PG&amp;E公司</b>PCG 3.02%周一上涨3.11%，此前这家加州公用事业公司披露计划以8亿美元将其旧金山总部出售给Hines Atlas US LP，并向客户返还至多4.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>What Happened:</b>The sale is part of the gas and power&nbsp;company's planned move to Oakland in 2022 and consolidate two additional Bay Area offices into its new headquarters.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>此次出售是该天然气和电力公司计划于2022年迁至奥克兰并将另外两个湾区办事处整合到其新总部的一部分。</blockquote></p><p>The deal will need the approval of&nbsp;the California Public Utilities Commission and is not anticipated to have an impact on the company’s 2021 equity needs, PG&amp;E said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>PG&amp;E在一份声明中表示，该交易需要获得加州公用事业委员会的批准，预计不会对该公司2021年的股权需求产生影响。</blockquote></p><p>The company had inFebruaryannounced a $973 million sale of transmission tower wireless licenses, another strategic sale of its non-core assets.</p><p><blockquote>该公司2月份宣布以9.73亿美元出售传输塔无线许可证，这是其非核心资产的又一次战略出售。</blockquote></p><p>According to PG&amp;E's most recent balance sheet, as reported on April 29,&nbsp; the company’s total debt is at $41.06 billion, with $37.80 billion in long-term debt and $3.26 billion in current debt.</p><p><blockquote>根据PG&amp;E 4月29日公布的最新资产负债表，该公司总债务为410.6亿美元，其中长期债务为378.0亿美元，流动债务为32.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>Price Action:</b>PG&amp;E shares closed 2.8% higher at $10.58 on Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>PG&amp;E股价周一收盘上涨2.8%，至10.58美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What's Going On With PG&E Stock?<blockquote>PG&amp;E股票怎么了？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat's Going On With PG&E Stock?<blockquote>PG&amp;E股票怎么了？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-25 13:40</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of<b>PG&amp;E Corporation</b>&nbsp;PCG 3.02%&nbsp;rose as much as 3.11% on Monday after the California utility company disclosed plans to sell its San Francisco headquarters to Hines Atlas US LP for $800 million and return up to $420 million back to its customers.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b>PG&amp;E公司</b>PCG 3.02%周一上涨3.11%，此前这家加州公用事业公司披露计划以8亿美元将其旧金山总部出售给Hines Atlas US LP，并向客户返还至多4.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>What Happened:</b>The sale is part of the gas and power&nbsp;company's planned move to Oakland in 2022 and consolidate two additional Bay Area offices into its new headquarters.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>此次出售是该天然气和电力公司计划于2022年迁至奥克兰并将另外两个湾区办事处整合到其新总部的一部分。</blockquote></p><p>The deal will need the approval of&nbsp;the California Public Utilities Commission and is not anticipated to have an impact on the company’s 2021 equity needs, PG&amp;E said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>PG&amp;E在一份声明中表示，该交易需要获得加州公用事业委员会的批准，预计不会对该公司2021年的股权需求产生影响。</blockquote></p><p>The company had inFebruaryannounced a $973 million sale of transmission tower wireless licenses, another strategic sale of its non-core assets.</p><p><blockquote>该公司2月份宣布以9.73亿美元出售传输塔无线许可证，这是其非核心资产的又一次战略出售。</blockquote></p><p>According to PG&amp;E's most recent balance sheet, as reported on April 29,&nbsp; the company’s total debt is at $41.06 billion, with $37.80 billion in long-term debt and $3.26 billion in current debt.</p><p><blockquote>根据PG&amp;E 4月29日公布的最新资产负债表，该公司总债务为410.6亿美元，其中长期债务为378.0亿美元，流动债务为32.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>Price Action:</b>PG&amp;E shares closed 2.8% higher at $10.58 on Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>PG&amp;E股价周一收盘上涨2.8%，至10.58美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PCG":"太平洋煤气电力"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153229399","content_text":"Shares ofPG&E Corporation PCG 3.02% rose as much as 3.11% on Monday after the California utility company disclosed plans to sell its San Francisco headquarters to Hines Atlas US LP for $800 million and return up to $420 million back to its customers.What Happened:The sale is part of the gas and power company's planned move to Oakland in 2022 and consolidate two additional Bay Area offices into its new headquarters.The deal will need the approval of the California Public Utilities Commission and is not anticipated to have an impact on the company’s 2021 equity needs, PG&E said in a statement.The company had inFebruaryannounced a $973 million sale of transmission tower wireless licenses, another strategic sale of its non-core assets.According to PG&E's most recent balance sheet, as reported on April 29,  the company’s total debt is at $41.06 billion, with $37.80 billion in long-term debt and $3.26 billion in current debt.Price Action:PG&E shares closed 2.8% higher at $10.58 on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PCG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133024486,"gmtCreate":1621672349645,"gmtModify":1631892765892,"author":{"id":"3577231591134113","authorId":"3577231591134113","name":"Nzt48","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5f0cd8c4e1948ccc7e0a454c7af4f75","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577231591134113","idStr":"3577231591134113"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shall see","listText":"Shall see","text":"Shall 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>My tiger seemed so relax","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>My tiger seemed so relax","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$My tiger seemed so 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help on replying this post thank you","listText":"Need help on replying this post thank you","text":"Need help on replying this post thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350297114","repostId":"1199154789","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199154789","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616164372,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199154789?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望，让SLR救助到期：接下来会发生什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199154789","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio  exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on ","content":"<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><p><blockquote>正如本文所暗示和深入讨论的那样，在伊丽莎白·沃伦(Elizabeth Warren)和谢罗德·布朗(Sherrod Brown)等进步民主党人的政治压力下，美联储决定让临时补充杠杆率(SLR)豁免如期于3月31日（规则变更一周年）到期。</blockquote></p><p>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>联邦银行监管机构今天宣布，2020年5月15日发布的存款机构补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变更将于2021年3月31日如期到期。鉴于新冠肺炎事件，这一临时变化是为了为存款机构向家庭和企业提供信贷提供灵活性。这一结果是前纽约联储大师Zoltan Pozsar（再次）正确预测的结果，他跟随FOMC表示，“事实上，美联储实际上是先发制人地做出了这一调整——目前没有使用o/n RRP工具，因此没有能力限制，而回购和票据收益率尚未为负——<b>暗示美联储正在为SLR豁免的结束“铺路”</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><p><blockquote>美联储深知这将是市场的一个非常热门的问题，因此发表了以下声明以缓解交易员的紧张情绪，并指出，虽然SLR特殊待遇将于3月31日到期，但美联储正在“邀请公众就几项潜在的SLR修改发表评论”。此外，”<b>随着时间的推移，董事会可能需要解决SLR当前的设计和校准问题，以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力</b>”——简而言之，如果收益率飙升，美联储将立即重新引入SLR：</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布，银行控股公司补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外，董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动，确保SLR的任何变化不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解COVID-19大流行造成的国债市场压力并促进对家庭和企业的贷款，董事会去年暂时修改了SLR，将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。从那时起，国债市场已经稳定下来。<b>然而，由于最近中央银行储备供应和国债发行的增长，理事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保SLR（2014年作为额外资本要求而设立）在准备金较高的环境下保持有效，董事会将很快就几项潜在的SLR修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和评论将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来工作进行持续讨论，以确保国债市场的弹性。尽管美联储的WOD令人宽慰，<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后，美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息，股市暴跌...</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是受SLR救济影响最大的银行（正如昨天在“面对摩根大通的杠杆救济威胁”中所指出的）...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....萎靡不振。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下，以下是您应该关心SLR决定的原因：首先，对于那些错过了我们关于这个问题的入门知识的人来说，摩根大通的一些背景（具有讽刺意味的是，这是一家从美联储损失最大的银行）的决定）底线是，如果没有SLR救济，<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金（不一定是所有这些，也不是按这个顺序），就像美联储向市场注入数千亿美元一样随着财政部耗尽其TGA账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着美联储银行持有的银行准备金也同样大幅增长。<b>监管救济到期将使8个GSIB的杠杆敞口增加约2.1万亿美元。此外，TGA的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在2021年为系统再增加约2.35万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然3月31日豁免到期不会对GSIB产生直接影响，但全年杠杆资产的持续增加将增加长期债务(LTD)和优先要求。在这里，摩根大通持乐观观点，并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的发行情况也是非常可控的，LTD需要350亿美元来满足TLAC要求，优先需求为150-200亿美元，以将全行业SLR维持在5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大，其杠杆敞口增加的能力约为7,650亿美元，SLR为6.2%。”高盛的观点更令人不安：该行估计，在持续的量化宽松制度下，储备能力将出现约2万亿美元的缺口，主要是银行无法接受的存款形式，作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分（高盛对SLR困境的全面理解更是如此）。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢？</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>针对这个话题，昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm写道“<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表，但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免....以下是几种情况及其对回购市场的影响</i>：</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经完全定价了。准备金的豁免继续，但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性会增加。储备和国库的豁免均终止。同上。</b>换句话说，Skyrm持相对悲观的观点，警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。”此外，随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性可能会增加...</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了？上周，摩根大通为SLR制定了5种情景，其中两种预测SLR救济将于3月31日结束，具体如下：</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital &amp; de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.纾困3月31日结束银行全面融资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.纾困3月31日结束，银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到Zoltan，让我们回想一下，这位回购大师还警告说，“结束准备金和国债在SLR计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金（而不是国债）的存款和准备金，为市场留出更多空间。做市活动，<b>这些资金流动将进一步增加来自TGA提款的货币基金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，Zoltan预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现广泛的混乱，相反，正如他在周二的一份报告中解释的那样，他对SLR已经产生的微不足道的影响（如果它被消除，将会产生）提供了更良性的看法。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定Zoltan的良性观点是否正确？他在报告的最后写道，“鉴于我们到6月底FRA-OIS利差为零至负的看涨期权是基于SLR延期的结束以及美联储将尝试解决数量问题的假设价格而不是数量，今天的调整意味着FRA-OIS不会一直跌至零或负值。”</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>这里的FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易紧张程度，但以远低于零利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险...虽然账单偶尔会跌入负值，但到目前为止，它们避免了全面陷入NIRP，这可能只是市场正在等待的积极信号，以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* *&nbsp; *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，对于那些好奇对市场的直接影响会是什么的人来说，国民西敏寺银行策略师布莱克·格温(Blake Gwinn)写道，美联储宣布银行监管豁免将于本月底到期，“确实是穿针引线”，缓解了人们对银行监管豁免的担忧。对市场的潜在长期影响<b>SLR承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题，以防止紧张局势的发展，从而“结束了它，但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>格温说：“我从来不担心银行第一天就会吐出国债或回购提款或类似的情况。”“我担心的是，从长远来看”，随着准备金继续上升，SLR是否会“成为一个麻烦并拖累国债和利差”格温总结道，通过这份声明，美联储<b>“真正解决这些恐惧，基本上是说，‘别担心，我们正在努力’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，随着收益率在早期四女巫交易中飙升至HOD，市场似乎确实对美联储的行动持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望，让SLR救助到期：接下来会发生什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-19 22:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><p><blockquote>正如本文所暗示和深入讨论的那样，在伊丽莎白·沃伦(Elizabeth Warren)和谢罗德·布朗(Sherrod Brown)等进步民主党人的政治压力下，美联储决定让临时补充杠杆率(SLR)豁免如期于3月31日（规则变更一周年）到期。</blockquote></p><p>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>联邦银行监管机构今天宣布，2020年5月15日发布的存款机构补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变更将于2021年3月31日如期到期。鉴于新冠肺炎事件，这一临时变化是为了为存款机构向家庭和企业提供信贷提供灵活性。这一结果是前纽约联储大师Zoltan Pozsar（再次）正确预测的结果，他跟随FOMC表示，“事实上，美联储实际上是先发制人地做出了这一调整——目前没有使用o/n RRP工具，因此没有能力限制，而回购和票据收益率尚未为负——<b>暗示美联储正在为SLR豁免的结束“铺路”</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><p><blockquote>美联储深知这将是市场的一个非常热门的问题，因此发表了以下声明以缓解交易员的紧张情绪，并指出，虽然SLR特殊待遇将于3月31日到期，但美联储正在“邀请公众就几项潜在的SLR修改发表评论”。此外，”<b>随着时间的推移，董事会可能需要解决SLR当前的设计和校准问题，以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力</b>”——简而言之，如果收益率飙升，美联储将立即重新引入SLR：</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布，银行控股公司补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外，董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动，确保SLR的任何变化不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解COVID-19大流行造成的国债市场压力并促进对家庭和企业的贷款，董事会去年暂时修改了SLR，将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。从那时起，国债市场已经稳定下来。<b>然而，由于最近中央银行储备供应和国债发行的增长，理事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保SLR（2014年作为额外资本要求而设立）在准备金较高的环境下保持有效，董事会将很快就几项潜在的SLR修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和评论将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来工作进行持续讨论，以确保国债市场的弹性。尽管美联储的WOD令人宽慰，<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后，美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息，股市暴跌...</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是受SLR救济影响最大的银行（正如昨天在“面对摩根大通的杠杆救济威胁”中所指出的）...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....萎靡不振。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下，以下是您应该关心SLR决定的原因：首先，对于那些错过了我们关于这个问题的入门知识的人来说，摩根大通的一些背景（具有讽刺意味的是，这是一家从美联储损失最大的银行）的决定）底线是，如果没有SLR救济，<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金（不一定是所有这些，也不是按这个顺序），就像美联储向市场注入数千亿美元一样随着财政部耗尽其TGA账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着美联储银行持有的银行准备金也同样大幅增长。<b>监管救济到期将使8个GSIB的杠杆敞口增加约2.1万亿美元。此外，TGA的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在2021年为系统再增加约2.35万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然3月31日豁免到期不会对GSIB产生直接影响，但全年杠杆资产的持续增加将增加长期债务(LTD)和优先要求。在这里，摩根大通持乐观观点，并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的发行情况也是非常可控的，LTD需要350亿美元来满足TLAC要求，优先需求为150-200亿美元，以将全行业SLR维持在5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大，其杠杆敞口增加的能力约为7,650亿美元，SLR为6.2%。”高盛的观点更令人不安：该行估计，在持续的量化宽松制度下，储备能力将出现约2万亿美元的缺口，主要是银行无法接受的存款形式，作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分（高盛对SLR困境的全面理解更是如此）。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢？</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>针对这个话题，昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm写道“<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表，但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免....以下是几种情况及其对回购市场的影响</i>：</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经完全定价了。准备金的豁免继续，但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性会增加。储备和国库的豁免均终止。同上。</b>换句话说，Skyrm持相对悲观的观点，警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。”此外，随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性可能会增加...</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了？上周，摩根大通为SLR制定了5种情景，其中两种预测SLR救济将于3月31日结束，具体如下：</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital &amp; de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.纾困3月31日结束银行全面融资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.纾困3月31日结束，银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到Zoltan，让我们回想一下，这位回购大师还警告说，“结束准备金和国债在SLR计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金（而不是国债）的存款和准备金，为市场留出更多空间。做市活动，<b>这些资金流动将进一步增加来自TGA提款的货币基金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，Zoltan预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现广泛的混乱，相反，正如他在周二的一份报告中解释的那样，他对SLR已经产生的微不足道的影响（如果它被消除，将会产生）提供了更良性的看法。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定Zoltan的良性观点是否正确？他在报告的最后写道，“鉴于我们到6月底FRA-OIS利差为零至负的看涨期权是基于SLR延期的结束以及美联储将尝试解决数量问题的假设价格而不是数量，今天的调整意味着FRA-OIS不会一直跌至零或负值。”</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>这里的FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易紧张程度，但以远低于零利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险...虽然账单偶尔会跌入负值，但到目前为止，它们避免了全面陷入NIRP，这可能只是市场正在等待的积极信号，以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* *&nbsp; *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，对于那些好奇对市场的直接影响会是什么的人来说，国民西敏寺银行策略师布莱克·格温(Blake Gwinn)写道，美联储宣布银行监管豁免将于本月底到期，“确实是穿针引线”，缓解了人们对银行监管豁免的担忧。对市场的潜在长期影响<b>SLR承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题，以防止紧张局势的发展，从而“结束了它，但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>格温说：“我从来不担心银行第一天就会吐出国债或回购提款或类似的情况。”“我担心的是，从长远来看”，随着准备金继续上升，SLR是否会“成为一个麻烦并拖累国债和利差”格温总结道，通过这份声明，美联储<b>“真正解决这些恐惧，基本上是说，‘别担心，我们正在努力’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，随着收益率在早期四女巫交易中飙升至HOD，市场似乎确实对美联储的行动持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199154789","content_text":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption.\"Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...Bond yields spiked...... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")....... slumped.In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).So what happens next?Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market:The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates 4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever Impact on BanksRatesFront-End RatesGoing back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.\"More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.* *  *Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" asthe SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing.“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347548698,"gmtCreate":1618504485514,"gmtModify":1631884911714,"author":{"id":"3577231591134113","authorId":"3577231591134113","name":"Nzt48","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5f0cd8c4e1948ccc7e0a454c7af4f75","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577231591134113","idStr":"3577231591134113"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>Did I buy the wrong stock?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>Did I buy the wrong stock?","text":"$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$Did I buy the wrong stock?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76669abb38b5449b5638f207c8e570a8","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":13,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347548698","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189844228,"gmtCreate":1623252943364,"gmtModify":1631890974554,"author":{"id":"3577231591134113","authorId":"3577231591134113","name":"Nzt48","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5f0cd8c4e1948ccc7e0a454c7af4f75","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577231591134113","idStr":"3577231591134113"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wp","listText":"Wp","text":"Wp","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":19,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189844228","repostId":"1188697627","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104023985,"gmtCreate":1620346318847,"gmtModify":1631892765811,"author":{"id":"3577231591134113","authorId":"3577231591134113","name":"Nzt48","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5f0cd8c4e1948ccc7e0a454c7af4f75","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577231591134113","idStr":"3577231591134113"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let’s go","listText":"Let’s go","text":"Let’s go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104023985","repostId":"1123939866","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123939866","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620342830,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123939866?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 07:13","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Square gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%<blockquote>Square比特币增长，收入增长266%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123939866","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Square shares rose as much as 6% in after-hours trading Thursday after the company reported fiscal f","content":"<p>Square&nbsp;shares rose as much as 6% in after-hours trading Thursday after the company&nbsp;reported fiscal first-quarter earnings&nbsp;that blew past Wall Street's expectations.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf038ea81aa7f2f8ad95bf04e9d86fc9\" tg-width=\"702\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>Square公布第一财季盈利超出华尔街预期后，该公司股价在周四盘后交易中上涨6%。</blockquote></p><p>Here's how the company did:</p><p><blockquote>该公司的做法如下：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Earnings per share:</b>41 cents, adjusted, vs. 16 cents expected in a Refinitiv survey of analysts</li></ul><ul><li><b>Revenue:</b>$5.06 billion vs. $3.36 billion expected by Refinitiv</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91be60df3686c86a419c071c067ea8d8\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">First-quarter revenue rose to $5.06 billion, up 266% year over year, largely thanks to gains in bitcoin revenue. Net income for the quarter was $39 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>每股盈利：</b>调整后为41美分，而Refinitiv对分析师的调查预期为16美分</li></ul><ul><li><b>收入：</b>50.6亿美元，而Refinitiv预期为33.6亿美元</li></ul>第一季度营收升至50.6亿美元，同比增长266%，这主要得益于比特币营收的增长。该季度净利润为3900万美元。</blockquote></p><p>Gross profit grew 79% year over year to $964 million in the quarter that ended Mar. 31, according to a statement.</p><p><blockquote>一份声明称，截至3月31日的季度，毛利润同比增长79%，达到9.64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Cash App gross profit came in at $495 million, up 171% year over year. In March, Square's peer-to-peer competitor to Venmo began offering customers the ability to instantly send bitcoin for free.</p><p><blockquote>Cash App毛利润为4.95亿美元，同比增长171%。今年3月，Square与Venmo的点对点竞争对手开始为客户提供免费即时发送比特币的功能。</blockquote></p><p>Square reported $3.5 billion in bitcoin revenue, up 11 times year over year. But bitcoin gross profit was only $75 million, or approximately 2% of revenue.</p><p><blockquote>Square公布的比特币收入为35亿美元，同比增长11倍。但比特币的毛利润仅为7500万美元，约占营收的2%。</blockquote></p><p>On the company's earnings call, CEO Jack Dorsey said Square sees bitcoin as the internet's potential to have a native currency, and the company wants to \"further that as much as we can.\"</p><p><blockquote>在公司的盈利看涨期权上，首席执行官Jack Dorsey表示，Square将比特币视为互联网拥有本土货币的潜力，该公司希望“尽我们所能进一步发展这一潜力”。</blockquote></p><p>\"Our focus, first and foremost, is on enabling ... bitcoin to be the native currency,\" said Dorsey. \"It removes a bunch of friction for our business. And we believe fully that it creates more opportunities for economic empowerment around the world.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们的重点首先是让……比特币成为本国货币，”Dorsey说。“它消除了我们业务的一系列摩擦。我们完全相信，它为世界各地的经济赋权创造了更多机会。”</blockquote></p><p>Beyond offering users the ability to buy and sell bitcoin in the Cash App, the company also launched the Cryptocurrency Open Patent Alliance, or COPA, which is an open-source foundation for crypto patents to protect the community.</p><p><blockquote>除了为用户提供在Cash应用程序中买卖比特币的能力外，该公司还推出了加密货币开放专利联盟（COPA），这是一个保护社区的加密专利开源基金会。</blockquote></p><p>Square itself bought $50 million worth of bitcoin in October and an additional $170 million worth of bitcoin in February. The company said that as of March 31, it had lost $20 million on its bitcoin investment for the quarter, though the fair value of its investment was $472 million, based on observable market prices.</p><p><blockquote>Square本身在10月份收购了价值5000万美元的比特币，并在2月份又收购了价值1.7亿美元的比特币。该公司表示，截至3月31日，本季度比特币投资损失了2000万美元，尽管根据可观察的市场价格，其投资的公允价值为4.72亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>With respect to guidance, the company expects gross profit to grow by more than 135% year over year for its seller ecosystem and by approximately 130% year over year for its Cash App, in April.</p><p><blockquote>在指引方面，该公司预计4月份卖家生态系统的毛利润将同比增长135%以上，现金应用程序的毛利润将同比增长约130%。</blockquote></p><p>CFO Amrita Ahuja said the company expected year-over-year gross profit growth rates to moderate from April to the remainder of the second quarter, as growth comparisons get tougher in May and June.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官Amrita Ahuja表示，随着5月和6月的增长比较变得更加严格，该公司预计从4月到第二季度剩余时间的毛利润同比增长率将放缓。</blockquote></p><p>\"We believe our customers had greater spending power from government funds, which drove an uplift in inflows in March,\" said Ahuja. \"We have since seen a normalization with inflows down 16% in April, compared to March.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ahuja表示：“我们相信，我们的客户从政府资金中获得了更大的消费能力，这推动了3月份资金流入的增加。”“此后，我们看到了正常化，与3月份相比，4月份的流入量下降了16%。”</blockquote></p><p>Excluding the after-hours move, Square stock has risen about 2.3% since the start of the year, while theNasdaqis up about 5.8% over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>排除盘后走势，Square股价自今年年初以来已上涨约2.3%，而纳斯达克指数同期上涨约5.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Square gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%<blockquote>Square比特币增长，收入增长266%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSquare gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%<blockquote>Square比特币增长，收入增长266%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-07 07:13</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Square&nbsp;shares rose as much as 6% in after-hours trading Thursday after the company&nbsp;reported fiscal first-quarter earnings&nbsp;that blew past Wall Street's expectations.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf038ea81aa7f2f8ad95bf04e9d86fc9\" tg-width=\"702\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>Square公布第一财季盈利超出华尔街预期后，该公司股价在周四盘后交易中上涨6%。</blockquote></p><p>Here's how the company did:</p><p><blockquote>该公司的做法如下：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Earnings per share:</b>41 cents, adjusted, vs. 16 cents expected in a Refinitiv survey of analysts</li></ul><ul><li><b>Revenue:</b>$5.06 billion vs. $3.36 billion expected by Refinitiv</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91be60df3686c86a419c071c067ea8d8\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">First-quarter revenue rose to $5.06 billion, up 266% year over year, largely thanks to gains in bitcoin revenue. Net income for the quarter was $39 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>每股盈利：</b>调整后为41美分，而Refinitiv对分析师的调查预期为16美分</li></ul><ul><li><b>收入：</b>50.6亿美元，而Refinitiv预期为33.6亿美元</li></ul>第一季度营收升至50.6亿美元，同比增长266%，这主要得益于比特币营收的增长。该季度净利润为3900万美元。</blockquote></p><p>Gross profit grew 79% year over year to $964 million in the quarter that ended Mar. 31, according to a statement.</p><p><blockquote>一份声明称，截至3月31日的季度，毛利润同比增长79%，达到9.64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Cash App gross profit came in at $495 million, up 171% year over year. In March, Square's peer-to-peer competitor to Venmo began offering customers the ability to instantly send bitcoin for free.</p><p><blockquote>Cash App毛利润为4.95亿美元，同比增长171%。今年3月，Square与Venmo的点对点竞争对手开始为客户提供免费即时发送比特币的功能。</blockquote></p><p>Square reported $3.5 billion in bitcoin revenue, up 11 times year over year. But bitcoin gross profit was only $75 million, or approximately 2% of revenue.</p><p><blockquote>Square公布的比特币收入为35亿美元，同比增长11倍。但比特币的毛利润仅为7500万美元，约占营收的2%。</blockquote></p><p>On the company's earnings call, CEO Jack Dorsey said Square sees bitcoin as the internet's potential to have a native currency, and the company wants to \"further that as much as we can.\"</p><p><blockquote>在公司的盈利看涨期权上，首席执行官Jack Dorsey表示，Square将比特币视为互联网拥有本土货币的潜力，该公司希望“尽我们所能进一步发展这一潜力”。</blockquote></p><p>\"Our focus, first and foremost, is on enabling ... bitcoin to be the native currency,\" said Dorsey. \"It removes a bunch of friction for our business. And we believe fully that it creates more opportunities for economic empowerment around the world.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们的重点首先是让……比特币成为本国货币，”Dorsey说。“它消除了我们业务的一系列摩擦。我们完全相信，它为世界各地的经济赋权创造了更多机会。”</blockquote></p><p>Beyond offering users the ability to buy and sell bitcoin in the Cash App, the company also launched the Cryptocurrency Open Patent Alliance, or COPA, which is an open-source foundation for crypto patents to protect the community.</p><p><blockquote>除了为用户提供在Cash应用程序中买卖比特币的能力外，该公司还推出了加密货币开放专利联盟（COPA），这是一个保护社区的加密专利开源基金会。</blockquote></p><p>Square itself bought $50 million worth of bitcoin in October and an additional $170 million worth of bitcoin in February. The company said that as of March 31, it had lost $20 million on its bitcoin investment for the quarter, though the fair value of its investment was $472 million, based on observable market prices.</p><p><blockquote>Square本身在10月份收购了价值5000万美元的比特币，并在2月份又收购了价值1.7亿美元的比特币。该公司表示，截至3月31日，本季度比特币投资损失了2000万美元，尽管根据可观察的市场价格，其投资的公允价值为4.72亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>With respect to guidance, the company expects gross profit to grow by more than 135% year over year for its seller ecosystem and by approximately 130% year over year for its Cash App, in April.</p><p><blockquote>在指引方面，该公司预计4月份卖家生态系统的毛利润将同比增长135%以上，现金应用程序的毛利润将同比增长约130%。</blockquote></p><p>CFO Amrita Ahuja said the company expected year-over-year gross profit growth rates to moderate from April to the remainder of the second quarter, as growth comparisons get tougher in May and June.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官Amrita Ahuja表示，随着5月和6月的增长比较变得更加严格，该公司预计从4月到第二季度剩余时间的毛利润同比增长率将放缓。</blockquote></p><p>\"We believe our customers had greater spending power from government funds, which drove an uplift in inflows in March,\" said Ahuja. \"We have since seen a normalization with inflows down 16% in April, compared to March.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ahuja表示：“我们相信，我们的客户从政府资金中获得了更大的消费能力，这推动了3月份资金流入的增加。”“此后，我们看到了正常化，与3月份相比，4月份的流入量下降了16%。”</blockquote></p><p>Excluding the after-hours move, Square stock has risen about 2.3% since the start of the year, while theNasdaqis up about 5.8% over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>排除盘后走势，Square股价自今年年初以来已上涨约2.3%，而纳斯达克指数同期上涨约5.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123939866","content_text":"Square shares rose as much as 6% in after-hours trading Thursday after the company reported fiscal first-quarter earnings that blew past Wall Street's expectations.Here's how the company did:Earnings per share:41 cents, adjusted, vs. 16 cents expected in a Refinitiv survey of analystsRevenue:$5.06 billion vs. $3.36 billion expected by RefinitivFirst-quarter revenue rose to $5.06 billion, up 266% year over year, largely thanks to gains in bitcoin revenue. Net income for the quarter was $39 million.Gross profit grew 79% year over year to $964 million in the quarter that ended Mar. 31, according to a statement.Cash App gross profit came in at $495 million, up 171% year over year. In March, Square's peer-to-peer competitor to Venmo began offering customers the ability to instantly send bitcoin for free.Square reported $3.5 billion in bitcoin revenue, up 11 times year over year. But bitcoin gross profit was only $75 million, or approximately 2% of revenue.On the company's earnings call, CEO Jack Dorsey said Square sees bitcoin as the internet's potential to have a native currency, and the company wants to \"further that as much as we can.\"\"Our focus, first and foremost, is on enabling ... bitcoin to be the native currency,\" said Dorsey. \"It removes a bunch of friction for our business. And we believe fully that it creates more opportunities for economic empowerment around the world.\"Beyond offering users the ability to buy and sell bitcoin in the Cash App, the company also launched the Cryptocurrency Open Patent Alliance, or COPA, which is an open-source foundation for crypto patents to protect the community.Square itself bought $50 million worth of bitcoin in October and an additional $170 million worth of bitcoin in February. The company said that as of March 31, it had lost $20 million on its bitcoin investment for the quarter, though the fair value of its investment was $472 million, based on observable market prices.With respect to guidance, the company expects gross profit to grow by more than 135% year over year for its seller ecosystem and by approximately 130% year over year for its Cash App, in April.CFO Amrita Ahuja said the company expected year-over-year gross profit growth rates to moderate from April to the remainder of the second quarter, as growth comparisons get tougher in May and June.\"We believe our customers had greater spending power from government funds, which drove an uplift in inflows in March,\" said Ahuja. \"We have since seen a normalization with inflows down 16% in April, compared to March.\"Excluding the after-hours move, Square stock has risen about 2.3% since the start of the year, while theNasdaqis up about 5.8% over the same 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see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370960071","repostId":"2127865888","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2127865888","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1618543026,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2127865888?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 11:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel faces a costly and uncertain road back to glory, analyst warns of 'pain' ahead<blockquote>分析师警告称，英特尔重返荣耀面临代价高昂且不确定的道路，未来将面临“痛苦”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2127865888","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'\nRecent","content":"<p>Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James转而看跌英特尔股价，但评级竞争对手芯片制造商英伟达“强力买入”</blockquote></p><p> Recent enthusiasm for Intel Corp.'s new chief executive and his ambitious plans to transform the company overlooks the risks and costs associated with the chipmaker's strategy, an analyst argued Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>一位分析师周四表示，最近人们对英特尔公司新任首席执行官及其雄心勃勃的公司转型计划的热情忽视了与这家芯片制造商战略相关的风险和成本。</blockquote></p><p> Chris Caso of Raymond James downgraded Intel's stock to underperform from market perform, writing that Intel <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$(INTC)$</a> faces an expensive and uncertain journey as it tries to recover from a series of missteps and reassert its dominance in the chip landscape.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James的Chris Caso将英特尔股票评级从市场表现下调至表现不佳，他写道，英特尔<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$(INTC)$</a>在试图从一系列失误中恢复过来并重新确立其在芯片领域的主导地位时，它面临着一段昂贵且不确定的旅程。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares are up 21% since the company announced that Pat Gelsinger, who had been serving as chief executive of VMware Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMW\">$(VMW)$</a>, would be taking over the top spot at Intel. Gelsinger recently laid out plans for Intel to expand its manufacturing capacity and launch a foundry business that would make chips for other companies, but Caso has concerns about the prospects for and cost of success.</p><p><blockquote>自英特尔宣布一直担任VMware Inc.首席执行官的帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)上任以来，英特尔股价已上涨21%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMW\">$(VMW)$</a>，将取代英特尔的头把交椅。基辛格最近为英特尔制定了扩大制造能力并推出代工业务的计划，为其他公司生产芯片，但卡索对成功的前景和成本感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our underperform rating reflects not just the risk that Intel won't reach that goal, but also the pain they will likely endure in pursuit of that goal in terms of capex, lost market share, and a shifting landscape in datacenter that will make the industry less dependent on Intel,\" he wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>“我们的表现不佳评级不仅反映了英特尔无法实现这一目标的风险，还反映了他们在追求这一目标的过程中可能会在资本支出、市场份额损失以及数据中心格局的变化方面忍受的痛苦，这将使该行业减少对英特尔的依赖，”他在给客户的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Caso worries that demand for personal computers has been \"significantly pulled forward\" due to the pandemic, which could eventually lead to a reversion to the mean. The problem for Intel is that the mean reversion \"may unfortunately occur just as Intel needs to ramp investment.\"</p><p><blockquote>卡索担心，由于疫情，对个人电脑的需求已经“显着提前”，这最终可能导致回归均值。英特尔面临的问题是，均值回归“可能会在英特尔需要增加投资时不幸发生”。</blockquote></p><p> Even though Intel could receive some government assistance, Caso expects that the company's plans to open a foundry business will be expensive. \"We therefore believe the fall analyst day could be a negative catalyst, as investors get the bill for that investment,\" he wrote. In addition, he's skeptical that the company has the technology to effectively compete in this business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管英特尔可能会获得一些政府援助，但Caso预计该公司开设代工业务的计划将耗资巨大。他写道：“因此，我们认为秋季分析师日可能会成为负面催化剂，因为投资者会为该投资买单。”此外，他怀疑该公司是否拥有在这项业务中有效竞争的技术。</blockquote></p><p> \"For investors who have a higher confidence in a turnaround than we do, we simply don't see a reason to make that bet now since any turnaround would be several years away, with many cyclical and Intel-specific issues that could weigh on estimates in the meantime,\" Caso wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“对于比我们对扭亏为盈更有信心的投资者来说，我们根本看不出现在有理由下这样的赌注，因为任何扭亏为盈都需要几年的时间，许多周期性和英特尔特有的问题可能会影响估值与此同时，”卡索写道。</blockquote></p><p> He's partial to other chip names, including Nvidia Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a>, which he upgraded to strong buy from outperform Thursday in a sign of his \"conviction in both the short and long term.\" Caso also initiated coverage of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$(AMD)$</a> with an outperform rating and $100 price target, arguing that the company has \"a durable technical advantage versus Intel.\"</p><p><blockquote>他偏爱其他芯片公司，包括英伟达公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a>周四，他将其评级从跑赢大盘上调至强力买入，这表明他“对短期和长期的信念”。Caso还开始报道Advanced Micro Devices Inc.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$(AMD)$</a>给予跑赢大盘评级和100美元的目标价，认为该公司“相对于英特尔拥有持久的技术优势”。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares have lost 7% over the past three months, as Nvidia shares have risen 24% and as Intel shares have increased 14%. The S&amp;P 500 is up 10% in that span, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index has gained 9%.</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月，AMD股价下跌7%，英伟达股价上涨24%，英特尔股价上涨14%。标普500在此期间上涨了10%，而PHLX半导体指数则上涨了9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel faces a costly and uncertain road back to glory, analyst warns of 'pain' ahead<blockquote>分析师警告称，英特尔重返荣耀面临代价高昂且不确定的道路，未来将面临“痛苦”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel faces a costly and uncertain road back to glory, analyst warns of 'pain' ahead<blockquote>分析师警告称，英特尔重返荣耀面临代价高昂且不确定的道路，未来将面临“痛苦”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 11:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James转而看跌英特尔股价，但评级竞争对手芯片制造商英伟达“强力买入”</blockquote></p><p> Recent enthusiasm for Intel Corp.'s new chief executive and his ambitious plans to transform the company overlooks the risks and costs associated with the chipmaker's strategy, an analyst argued Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>一位分析师周四表示，最近人们对英特尔公司新任首席执行官及其雄心勃勃的公司转型计划的热情忽视了与这家芯片制造商战略相关的风险和成本。</blockquote></p><p> Chris Caso of Raymond James downgraded Intel's stock to underperform from market perform, writing that Intel <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$(INTC)$</a> faces an expensive and uncertain journey as it tries to recover from a series of missteps and reassert its dominance in the chip landscape.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James的Chris Caso将英特尔股票评级从市场表现下调至表现不佳，他写道，英特尔<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$(INTC)$</a>在试图从一系列失误中恢复过来并重新确立其在芯片领域的主导地位时，它面临着一段昂贵且不确定的旅程。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares are up 21% since the company announced that Pat Gelsinger, who had been serving as chief executive of VMware Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMW\">$(VMW)$</a>, would be taking over the top spot at Intel. Gelsinger recently laid out plans for Intel to expand its manufacturing capacity and launch a foundry business that would make chips for other companies, but Caso has concerns about the prospects for and cost of success.</p><p><blockquote>自英特尔宣布一直担任VMware Inc.首席执行官的帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)上任以来，英特尔股价已上涨21%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMW\">$(VMW)$</a>，将取代英特尔的头把交椅。基辛格最近为英特尔制定了扩大制造能力并推出代工业务的计划，为其他公司生产芯片，但卡索对成功的前景和成本感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our underperform rating reflects not just the risk that Intel won't reach that goal, but also the pain they will likely endure in pursuit of that goal in terms of capex, lost market share, and a shifting landscape in datacenter that will make the industry less dependent on Intel,\" he wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>“我们的表现不佳评级不仅反映了英特尔无法实现这一目标的风险，还反映了他们在追求这一目标的过程中可能会在资本支出、市场份额损失以及数据中心格局的变化方面忍受的痛苦，这将使该行业减少对英特尔的依赖，”他在给客户的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Caso worries that demand for personal computers has been \"significantly pulled forward\" due to the pandemic, which could eventually lead to a reversion to the mean. The problem for Intel is that the mean reversion \"may unfortunately occur just as Intel needs to ramp investment.\"</p><p><blockquote>卡索担心，由于疫情，对个人电脑的需求已经“显着提前”，这最终可能导致回归均值。英特尔面临的问题是，均值回归“可能会在英特尔需要增加投资时不幸发生”。</blockquote></p><p> Even though Intel could receive some government assistance, Caso expects that the company's plans to open a foundry business will be expensive. \"We therefore believe the fall analyst day could be a negative catalyst, as investors get the bill for that investment,\" he wrote. In addition, he's skeptical that the company has the technology to effectively compete in this business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管英特尔可能会获得一些政府援助，但Caso预计该公司开设代工业务的计划将耗资巨大。他写道：“因此，我们认为秋季分析师日可能会成为负面催化剂，因为投资者会为该投资买单。”此外，他怀疑该公司是否拥有在这项业务中有效竞争的技术。</blockquote></p><p> \"For investors who have a higher confidence in a turnaround than we do, we simply don't see a reason to make that bet now since any turnaround would be several years away, with many cyclical and Intel-specific issues that could weigh on estimates in the meantime,\" Caso wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“对于比我们对扭亏为盈更有信心的投资者来说，我们根本看不出现在有理由下这样的赌注，因为任何扭亏为盈都需要几年的时间，许多周期性和英特尔特有的问题可能会影响估值与此同时，”卡索写道。</blockquote></p><p> He's partial to other chip names, including Nvidia Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a>, which he upgraded to strong buy from outperform Thursday in a sign of his \"conviction in both the short and long term.\" Caso also initiated coverage of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$(AMD)$</a> with an outperform rating and $100 price target, arguing that the company has \"a durable technical advantage versus Intel.\"</p><p><blockquote>他偏爱其他芯片公司，包括英伟达公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a>周四，他将其评级从跑赢大盘上调至强力买入，这表明他“对短期和长期的信念”。Caso还开始报道Advanced Micro Devices Inc.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$(AMD)$</a>给予跑赢大盘评级和100美元的目标价，认为该公司“相对于英特尔拥有持久的技术优势”。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares have lost 7% over the past three months, as Nvidia shares have risen 24% and as Intel shares have increased 14%. The S&amp;P 500 is up 10% in that span, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index has gained 9%.</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月，AMD股价下跌7%，英伟达股价上涨24%，英特尔股价上涨14%。标普500在此期间上涨了10%，而PHLX半导体指数则上涨了9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/intel-faces-a-costly-and-uncertain-road-back-to-glory-analyst-warns-of-pain-ahead-11618502833?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔","AMD":"美国超微公司","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/intel-faces-a-costly-and-uncertain-road-back-to-glory-analyst-warns-of-pain-ahead-11618502833?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2127865888","content_text":"Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'\nRecent enthusiasm for Intel Corp.'s new chief executive and his ambitious plans to transform the company overlooks the risks and costs associated with the chipmaker's strategy, an analyst argued Thursday.\nChris Caso of Raymond James downgraded Intel's stock to underperform from market perform, writing that Intel $(INTC)$ faces an expensive and uncertain journey as it tries to recover from a series of missteps and reassert its dominance in the chip landscape.\nIntel shares are up 21% since the company announced that Pat Gelsinger, who had been serving as chief executive of VMware Inc. $(VMW)$, would be taking over the top spot at Intel. Gelsinger recently laid out plans for Intel to expand its manufacturing capacity and launch a foundry business that would make chips for other companies, but Caso has concerns about the prospects for and cost of success.\n\"Our underperform rating reflects not just the risk that Intel won't reach that goal, but also the pain they will likely endure in pursuit of that goal in terms of capex, lost market share, and a shifting landscape in datacenter that will make the industry less dependent on Intel,\" he wrote in a note to clients.\nCaso worries that demand for personal computers has been \"significantly pulled forward\" due to the pandemic, which could eventually lead to a reversion to the mean. The problem for Intel is that the mean reversion \"may unfortunately occur just as Intel needs to ramp investment.\"\nEven though Intel could receive some government assistance, Caso expects that the company's plans to open a foundry business will be expensive. \"We therefore believe the fall analyst day could be a negative catalyst, as investors get the bill for that investment,\" he wrote. In addition, he's skeptical that the company has the technology to effectively compete in this business.\n\"For investors who have a higher confidence in a turnaround than we do, we simply don't see a reason to make that bet now since any turnaround would be several years away, with many cyclical and Intel-specific issues that could weigh on estimates in the meantime,\" Caso wrote.\nHe's partial to other chip names, including Nvidia Corp. $(NVDA)$, which he upgraded to strong buy from outperform Thursday in a sign of his \"conviction in both the short and long term.\" Caso also initiated coverage of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. $(AMD)$ with an outperform rating and $100 price target, arguing that the company has \"a durable technical advantage versus Intel.\"\nAMD shares have lost 7% over the past three months, as Nvidia shares have risen 24% and as Intel shares have increased 14%. 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