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lauwl97460

lauwl97460

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2021-07-06

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$how?

2021-08-14

Good

Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote>

2021-08-15

Hmmmmm[得意] [得意] [得意]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-14

Thanks

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-08

Good

Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote>

2021-06-30

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$after right issue what price will be maintained?

2021-08-13

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$[无语] [无语] [无语]

2021-07-27

Good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-14

Good[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]

Dow, S&P End Week at Record Highs. It’s Not That Exciting.<blockquote>道琼斯指数和标准普尔指数周末创下历史新高。没那么刺激。</blockquote>

2021-08-14

Good

Tesla seeks to reduce board members’ terms, make other changes in October shareholder meeting<blockquote>特斯拉寻求缩短董事会成员任期，并在十月股东大会上做出其他改变</blockquote>

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[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836181496","repostId":"2159980642","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":944,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":836114694,"gmtCreate":1629464580618,"gmtModify":1631890123667,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577252515208021","idStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for information","listText":"Thanks for information","text":"Thanks for information","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836114694","repostId":"1180862486","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180862486","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629460028,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180862486?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 19:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180862486","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and t","content":"<p>(Aug 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&amp;P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.</p><p><blockquote>（8月20日）美国。股指期货周五下跌，因对经济复苏放缓和可能缩减货币刺激的担忧损害了与经济相关的板块，并使道指和标普500走上了自6月中旬以来最糟糕的一周。</blockquote></p><p> At 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were down&nbsp;16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were&nbsp;down&nbsp;24 points, or 0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午07:52，道琼斯指数下跌139点，跌幅0.40%，标普500指数下跌16.5点，跌幅0.37%，纳斯达克100指数下跌24点，跌幅0.16%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1746670a754aa5714712ad089963b51\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> 1)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.</p><p><blockquote>1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>-这家重型设备制造商公布的季度收益为每股5.32美元，而市场普遍预期为4.58美元，其收入也超出了预期。Deere在盘前交易中上涨1.1%，由于农业设备需求强劲，该公司还上调了全年盈利预期。</blockquote></p><p> 2)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a>&nbsp;– Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.</p><p><blockquote>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">脚锁</a>-运动鞋和服装制造商Foot Locker公布好于预期的第二季度业绩后，该公司股价在盘前飙升6.2%。Foot Locker调整后每股收益为2.21美元，市场普遍预期为1.01美元，可比商店销售额增长6.9%。分析师此前预计公司销售额将略有下降。</blockquote></p><p> 3)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">扣</a>-这家时尚配饰零售商超出预期18美分，季度收益为每股1.04美元，收入高于预期，因为该公司受益于更多的面对面购物。该股在盘前交易中上涨4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 4)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify Technology S.A.</a> – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify技术有限公司。</a>–这家音乐流媒体服务公司宣布其董事会批准了10亿美元的股票回购。首席财务官Paul Vogel表示，此举表明了公司对其业务和长期增长机会的信心。Spotify盘前上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> 5)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a> – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>-这家半导体制造设备制造商超出预期13美分，调整后季度利润为每股1.90美元，收入也超出分析师预测。它还给出了好于预期的前景，但应用材料公司股价在盘前交易中下跌1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> 6)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">罗斯</a>-这家折扣零售商报告季度利润为每股1.39美元，超出市场普遍预期的98美分，收入也好于预期。然而，其本季度和全年盈利前景低于分析师预测，该股在盘前下跌4%。</blockquote></p><p> 7)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a> – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.</p><p><blockquote>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a>–首席执行官Alex Gorsky于1月3日宣布计划辞职，由公司资深人士Joaquin Duato接任，Gorsky担任执行董事长。</blockquote></p><p> 8)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">Lordstown Motors Corp.</a> – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.</p><p><blockquote>8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">洛兹敦汽车公司。</a>–这家电动汽车制造商的股价在盘前上涨2.1%，收复了周四9.5%跌幅的一小部分，该跌幅导致该股跌至上市以来的最低水平。这发生在仅持续10分钟的年度股东大会之后。</blockquote></p><p> 9)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.</p><p><blockquote>9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a>–该软件制造商宣布以12.75亿美元现金收购基于云的视频协作平台Frame.io的交易。此次收购将用于扩展Adobe Create Cloud软件套件的功能。</blockquote></p><p> 10)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco健康和保健公司。</a>–Petco盘前上涨2.1%，周四上涨3.6%，瑞士信贷将这家宠物产品零售商的股票评级从“中性”上调至“跑赢大盘”。瑞士信贷表示，在Petco发布乐观的财报后，该公司对该公司的业务前景更加乐观。</blockquote></p><p> 11)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">Mosaic</a> – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.</p><p><blockquote>11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">马赛克</a>-基于化肥价格上涨的预期收益，汇丰银行将该化肥生产商的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>In FX,</b>the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.</p><p><blockquote><b>在FX中，</b>由于风险基调仍然倾向于谨慎/避险，该指数在FOMC会议后继续上涨。隔夜，由于欧洲情绪在早盘交易中受到影响，DXY在93.500点触底，然后最多升至93.684点。从技术角度来看，该指数关注93.900关口附近的阻力位——该关口在2020年第三季度和第四季度多次充当上限。在此之上，突破94.000心理关口可能会为94.300（2020年11月4日高点）、94.500附近的阻力打开大门，随后是94.650和94.807的100和200 WMA——尽管这些还有一段路要走。下行方面，昨日低点为93.214，心理低点为93.000，而21日均线(92.674)和50日均线(92.377)位于下方。未来，国家日历将是空的，但价格走势可能会由风险基调决定。顺便说一句，美联储主席鲍威尔将于8月27日英国夏令时15:00/美国东部时间10:00在杰克逊霍尔研讨会上就经济前景发表讲话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中，</b>由于对COVID的持续担忧以及市场的谨慎基调，WTI和布伦特原油近月期货再次走软。在前者方面，隔夜交易中，新西兰全国范围内的封锁延长，澳大利亚悉尼的限制延长至9月底。除此之外，该综合体和整个市场的消息一直很平静——在缺乏催化剂的情况下，情绪和达美航空的困境可能会优先。WTI原油价格回到63美元/桶（相对于64.04美元/桶的高点），布伦特原油价格回到66美元/桶（相对于66.93美元/桶的高点）。在其他地方，现货黄金和白银各不相同，但在更大的范围内分别保持在1775美元/盎司以上和23美元/盎司以上。与此同时，基本金属从昨日的剧烈抛售中温和反弹，但基准LME铜在找到上限后仍低于9000/吨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-20 19:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&amp;P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.</p><p><blockquote>（8月20日）美国。股指期货周五下跌，因对经济复苏放缓和可能缩减货币刺激的担忧损害了与经济相关的板块，并使道指和标普500走上了自6月中旬以来最糟糕的一周。</blockquote></p><p> At 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were down&nbsp;16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were&nbsp;down&nbsp;24 points, or 0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午07:52，道琼斯指数下跌139点，跌幅0.40%，标普500指数下跌16.5点，跌幅0.37%，纳斯达克100指数下跌24点，跌幅0.16%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1746670a754aa5714712ad089963b51\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> 1)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.</p><p><blockquote>1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>-这家重型设备制造商公布的季度收益为每股5.32美元，而市场普遍预期为4.58美元，其收入也超出了预期。Deere在盘前交易中上涨1.1%，由于农业设备需求强劲，该公司还上调了全年盈利预期。</blockquote></p><p> 2)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a>&nbsp;– Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.</p><p><blockquote>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">脚锁</a>-运动鞋和服装制造商Foot Locker公布好于预期的第二季度业绩后，该公司股价在盘前飙升6.2%。Foot Locker调整后每股收益为2.21美元，市场普遍预期为1.01美元，可比商店销售额增长6.9%。分析师此前预计公司销售额将略有下降。</blockquote></p><p> 3)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">扣</a>-这家时尚配饰零售商超出预期18美分，季度收益为每股1.04美元，收入高于预期，因为该公司受益于更多的面对面购物。该股在盘前交易中上涨4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 4)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify Technology S.A.</a> – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify技术有限公司。</a>–这家音乐流媒体服务公司宣布其董事会批准了10亿美元的股票回购。首席财务官Paul Vogel表示，此举表明了公司对其业务和长期增长机会的信心。Spotify盘前上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> 5)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a> – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>-这家半导体制造设备制造商超出预期13美分，调整后季度利润为每股1.90美元，收入也超出分析师预测。它还给出了好于预期的前景，但应用材料公司股价在盘前交易中下跌1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> 6)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">罗斯</a>-这家折扣零售商报告季度利润为每股1.39美元，超出市场普遍预期的98美分，收入也好于预期。然而，其本季度和全年盈利前景低于分析师预测，该股在盘前下跌4%。</blockquote></p><p> 7)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a> – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.</p><p><blockquote>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a>–首席执行官Alex Gorsky于1月3日宣布计划辞职，由公司资深人士Joaquin Duato接任，Gorsky担任执行董事长。</blockquote></p><p> 8)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">Lordstown Motors Corp.</a> – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.</p><p><blockquote>8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">洛兹敦汽车公司。</a>–这家电动汽车制造商的股价在盘前上涨2.1%，收复了周四9.5%跌幅的一小部分，该跌幅导致该股跌至上市以来的最低水平。这发生在仅持续10分钟的年度股东大会之后。</blockquote></p><p> 9)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.</p><p><blockquote>9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a>–该软件制造商宣布以12.75亿美元现金收购基于云的视频协作平台Frame.io的交易。此次收购将用于扩展Adobe Create Cloud软件套件的功能。</blockquote></p><p> 10)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco健康和保健公司。</a>–Petco盘前上涨2.1%，周四上涨3.6%，瑞士信贷将这家宠物产品零售商的股票评级从“中性”上调至“跑赢大盘”。瑞士信贷表示，在Petco发布乐观的财报后，该公司对该公司的业务前景更加乐观。</blockquote></p><p> 11)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">Mosaic</a> – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.</p><p><blockquote>11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">马赛克</a>-基于化肥价格上涨的预期收益，汇丰银行将该化肥生产商的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>In FX,</b>the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.</p><p><blockquote><b>在FX中，</b>由于风险基调仍然倾向于谨慎/避险，该指数在FOMC会议后继续上涨。隔夜，由于欧洲情绪在早盘交易中受到影响，DXY在93.500点触底，然后最多升至93.684点。从技术角度来看，该指数关注93.900关口附近的阻力位——该关口在2020年第三季度和第四季度多次充当上限。在此之上，突破94.000心理关口可能会为94.300（2020年11月4日高点）、94.500附近的阻力打开大门，随后是94.650和94.807的100和200 WMA——尽管这些还有一段路要走。下行方面，昨日低点为93.214，心理低点为93.000，而21日均线(92.674)和50日均线(92.377)位于下方。未来，国家日历将是空的，但价格走势可能会由风险基调决定。顺便说一句，美联储主席鲍威尔将于8月27日英国夏令时15:00/美国东部时间10:00在杰克逊霍尔研讨会上就经济前景发表讲话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中，</b>由于对COVID的持续担忧以及市场的谨慎基调，WTI和布伦特原油近月期货再次走软。在前者方面，隔夜交易中，新西兰全国范围内的封锁延长，澳大利亚悉尼的限制延长至9月底。除此之外，该综合体和整个市场的消息一直很平静——在缺乏催化剂的情况下，情绪和达美航空的困境可能会优先。WTI原油价格回到63美元/桶（相对于64.04美元/桶的高点），布伦特原油价格回到66美元/桶（相对于66.93美元/桶的高点）。在其他地方，现货黄金和白银各不相同，但在更大的范围内分别保持在1775美元/盎司以上和23美元/盎司以上。与此同时，基本金属从昨日的剧烈抛售中温和反弹，但基准LME铜在找到上限后仍低于9000/吨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180862486","content_text":"(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.\nAt 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 24 points, or 0.16%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\n1) John Deere – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.\n2) Foot Locker – Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.\n3) Buckle – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.\n4) Spotify Technology S.A. – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.\n5) Applied Materials – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.\n6) Ross – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.\n7) Johnson & Johnson – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.\n8) Lordstown Motors Corp. – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.\n9) Adobe – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.\n10) Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.\n11) Mosaic – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.\nIn FX,the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.\nIn commodities,WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836114391,"gmtCreate":1629464552313,"gmtModify":1633684668996,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577252515208021","idStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[呆住]&nbsp;[呆住]&nbsp;[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"[呆住]&nbsp;[呆住]&nbsp;[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"[呆住] [呆住] [呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836114391","repostId":"2160571441","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2160571441","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1629463677,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2160571441?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 20:47","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Deere Stock Gains After Solid Q3 Results<blockquote>第三季度业绩稳健后，Deere股价上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160571441","media":"Benzinga","summary":"\n","content":"<p><ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> Company&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:&nbsp;DE)&nbsp;reported third-quarter&nbsp;net sales and revenue growth of 29.2% year-over-year to $11.53 billion, beating the consensus of $10.3 billion.</li>  <li>Equipment Operations net sales improved 32%, and the Equipment-division operating margin was 19%.</li>  <li><b>Sales by segments</b>: Production &amp; Precision Agriculture $4.25 billion (+29% Y/Y), Small Agriculture &amp; Turf $3.15 billion (+32% Y/Y), and Construction &amp; Forestry $3.02 billion (+38% Y/Y), Financial services revenues $902 million (+1% Y/Y) and Others $212 million (+22% Y/Y).</li>  <li>EPS improved to $5.32 from $2.57 in 3Q20, beating the consensus of $4.57.</li>  <li>Deere's operating profit increased by 61.4% Y/Y to $2.24 billion, and the margin expanded by 388 bps to 19.5%.</li>  <li>Deere generated cash from operating activities year-to-date of $4.31 billion, compared to $4.06 billion a year ago.</li>  <li>Recently, the company announced&nbsp;the acquisition of the Deere-Hitachi JV business&nbsp;for $275 million as consideration for the factories and intellectual property. The transaction is to be accretive to EPS in the first year.</li>  <li><b>FY21 Outlook:</b>&nbsp;Deere expects net income attributable of $5.7 billion - $5.9 billion (prior $5.3 billion - $5.7 billion). Net operating cash flow from Equipment operations of $5.8 billion - $6 billion.</li>  <li><b>Price Action:&nbsp;</b>DE shares are trading higher by 1.40% ay $363.99 during the premarket session on Friday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DE）公布第三季度净销售额和收入同比增长29.2%，达到115.3亿美元，超出市场预期的103亿美元。</li><li>设备业务净销售额增长32%，设备部门营业利润率为19%。</li><li><b>按分部划分的销售额</b>：生产和精准农业42.5亿美元（同比增长29%），小型农业和草坪31.5亿美元（同比增长32%），建筑和林业30.2亿美元（同比增长38%），金融服务收入9.02亿美元（同比增长1%），其他2.12亿美元（同比增长22%）。</li><li>2020年第三季度每股收益从2.57美元提高至5.32美元，超出市场普遍预期的4.57美元。</li><li>Deere营业利润同比增长61.4%至22.4亿美元，利润率扩大388个基点至19.5%。</li><li>Deere今年迄今从经营活动中产生的现金为43.1亿美元，而去年同期为40.6亿美元。</li><li>最近，该公司宣布以2.75亿美元收购Deere-日立合资业务，作为工厂和知识产权的对价。该交易将在第一年增加每股收益。</li><li><b>2021财年展望：</b>Deere预计归属净利润为57亿至59亿美元（此前为53亿至57亿美元）。设备运营产生的净运营现金流为58亿至60亿美元。</li><li><b>价格走势：</b>周五盘前交易中，DE股价上涨1.40%至363.99美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Deere Stock Gains After Solid Q3 Results<blockquote>第三季度业绩稳健后，Deere股价上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDeere Stock Gains After Solid Q3 Results<blockquote>第三季度业绩稳健后，Deere股价上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-20 20:47</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> Company&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:&nbsp;DE)&nbsp;reported third-quarter&nbsp;net sales and revenue growth of 29.2% year-over-year to $11.53 billion, beating the consensus of $10.3 billion.</li>  <li>Equipment Operations net sales improved 32%, and the Equipment-division operating margin was 19%.</li>  <li><b>Sales by segments</b>: Production &amp; Precision Agriculture $4.25 billion (+29% Y/Y), Small Agriculture &amp; Turf $3.15 billion (+32% Y/Y), and Construction &amp; Forestry $3.02 billion (+38% Y/Y), Financial services revenues $902 million (+1% Y/Y) and Others $212 million (+22% Y/Y).</li>  <li>EPS improved to $5.32 from $2.57 in 3Q20, beating the consensus of $4.57.</li>  <li>Deere's operating profit increased by 61.4% Y/Y to $2.24 billion, and the margin expanded by 388 bps to 19.5%.</li>  <li>Deere generated cash from operating activities year-to-date of $4.31 billion, compared to $4.06 billion a year ago.</li>  <li>Recently, the company announced&nbsp;the acquisition of the Deere-Hitachi JV business&nbsp;for $275 million as consideration for the factories and intellectual property. The transaction is to be accretive to EPS in the first year.</li>  <li><b>FY21 Outlook:</b>&nbsp;Deere expects net income attributable of $5.7 billion - $5.9 billion (prior $5.3 billion - $5.7 billion). Net operating cash flow from Equipment operations of $5.8 billion - $6 billion.</li>  <li><b>Price Action:&nbsp;</b>DE shares are trading higher by 1.40% ay $363.99 during the premarket session on Friday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DE）公布第三季度净销售额和收入同比增长29.2%，达到115.3亿美元，超出市场预期的103亿美元。</li><li>设备业务净销售额增长32%，设备部门营业利润率为19%。</li><li><b>按分部划分的销售额</b>：生产和精准农业42.5亿美元（同比增长29%），小型农业和草坪31.5亿美元（同比增长32%），建筑和林业30.2亿美元（同比增长38%），金融服务收入9.02亿美元（同比增长1%），其他2.12亿美元（同比增长22%）。</li><li>2020年第三季度每股收益从2.57美元提高至5.32美元，超出市场普遍预期的4.57美元。</li><li>Deere营业利润同比增长61.4%至22.4亿美元，利润率扩大388个基点至19.5%。</li><li>Deere今年迄今从经营活动中产生的现金为43.1亿美元，而去年同期为40.6亿美元。</li><li>最近，该公司宣布以2.75亿美元收购Deere-日立合资业务，作为工厂和知识产权的对价。该交易将在第一年增加每股收益。</li><li><b>2021财年展望：</b>Deere预计归属净利润为57亿至59亿美元（此前为53亿至57亿美元）。设备运营产生的净运营现金流为58亿至60亿美元。</li><li><b>价格走势：</b>周五盘前交易中，DE股价上涨1.40%至363.99美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DE":"迪尔股份有限公司"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160571441","content_text":"John Deere Company (NYSE: DE) reported third-quarter net sales and revenue growth of 29.2% year-over-year to $11.53 billion, beating the consensus of $10.3 billion.\nEquipment Operations net sales improved 32%, and the Equipment-division operating margin was 19%.\nSales by segments: Production & Precision Agriculture $4.25 billion (+29% Y/Y), Small Agriculture & Turf $3.15 billion (+32% Y/Y), and Construction & Forestry $3.02 billion (+38% Y/Y), Financial services revenues $902 million (+1% Y/Y) and Others $212 million (+22% Y/Y).\nEPS improved to $5.32 from $2.57 in 3Q20, beating the consensus of $4.57.\nDeere's operating profit increased by 61.4% Y/Y to $2.24 billion, and the margin expanded by 388 bps to 19.5%.\nDeere generated cash from operating activities year-to-date of $4.31 billion, compared to $4.06 billion a year ago.\nRecently, the company announced the acquisition of the Deere-Hitachi JV business for $275 million as consideration for the factories and intellectual property. The transaction is to be accretive to EPS in the first year.\nFY21 Outlook: Deere expects net income attributable of $5.7 billion - $5.9 billion (prior $5.3 billion - $5.7 billion). Net operating cash flow from Equipment operations of $5.8 billion - $6 billion.\nPrice Action: DE shares are trading higher by 1.40% ay $363.99 during the premarket session on Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":970,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":836115329,"gmtCreate":1629464515761,"gmtModify":1633684669999,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577252515208021","idStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836115329","repostId":"2160142537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838054933,"gmtCreate":1629361030722,"gmtModify":1633685419700,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577252515208021","idStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can buy now?","listText":"Can buy now?","text":"Can buy now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838054933","repostId":"1160717844","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":849,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831287751,"gmtCreate":1629330470273,"gmtModify":1633685694771,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577252515208021","idStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"Good[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","text":"Good[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831287751","repostId":"1187178209","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":157974821,"gmtCreate":1625562636863,"gmtModify":1631884853592,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577252515208021","authorIdStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>how?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>how?","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$how?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b493f2467094ae5a4ed0f14eacf66b","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157974821","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897611928,"gmtCreate":1628911609464,"gmtModify":1633688542765,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577252515208021","authorIdStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897611928","repostId":"1149823415","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149823415","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628909753,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149823415?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149823415","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nVirgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"d","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Virgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.</li>  <li>However, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.</li>  <li>We would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.</li>  <li>Lastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00922c9874a28954c08c613b8dbf378b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"493\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nastco/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于市场对影响其私人商业收入服务推出的“延迟”感到失望，维珍银河财报后下跌超过30%。</li><li>然而，我们认为该公司的“延迟”对于纠正供应限制并满足该公司正在经历的巨大需求是必要的。</li><li>我们还将详细讨论公司的长期机遇和威胁，以及投资者未来需要监控的内容。</li><li>最后，我们为正在考虑增加维珍银河投资的长期投资者提出了我们的估值论点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nastco/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Back in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.</p><p><blockquote>早在5月份，当我们发表关于维珍银河(SPCE)的上一篇文章（链接到本文所附文章）时，我们明确强调，我们认为华尔街的共识对维珍银河的收入预测过于乐观，因为我们认为这些预测夸大了市场根据我们咨询多个来源的研究，未来10年亚轨道太空旅游的机会在很大程度上，我们提交了修订后的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from&nbsp;late Q3'CY22.</p><p><blockquote>此后，华尔街日报下调了近期预测，因为该公司最近表示，他们预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始提供商业服务。</blockquote></p><p> This article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.</p><p><blockquote>本文将讨论导致维珍银河“延迟”发射的情况、长期机遇以及维珍在亚轨道太空旅游领域寻求领导地位所面临的竞争威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们将为目前考虑增加该股投资的长期投资者提出我们的估值论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对维珍银河平均共识估计的修正</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e15e65a740bf4a03405cd6f31e82bfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>May's consensus revenue estimates &amp; Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>5月份的普遍收入估计和8月份的普遍收入估计。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149d99203d29b3a3e785096ccc509c57\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>修订估计数的规模（5月至8月估计数之间）。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够清楚地收集到，近期共识预期较5月份影响21年至25年的预测有所下调。然而，我们认为投资者需要注意的是，华尔街从CY26大幅上调了其预期，以反映SPCE在最近的盈利看涨期权中强调的强劲需求，我们认为这表明了该公司对强劲收入跑道的信心长期，我们将在后续章节中详细讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Private Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>私人商业全收入服务预计从2022年第三季度开始</b></blockquote></p><p> SPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.</p><p><blockquote>自8月5日发布财报以来，SPCE的价值已下跌约33%，我们认为这主要是由于VSS Unity和VSS Unity拟议的关键增强功能导致其商业服务推出“延迟”而带来的近期阻力。母舰VMS Eve将显着增加飞行和维护之间的周转时间。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.</p><p><blockquote>由于Unity 23与意大利空军的创收飞行完成后将进行的增强，该公司预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始其私人商业全面收入服务，我们认为这可能会让投资者大吃一惊，因为虽然市场预计全面商业服务将于2022年开始，但他们预计不会晚于第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> However, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为市场再次选择关注近期收入服务延迟带来的不确定性，而忽视了预计将显着改善VMS Eve周转时间的增强功能的重要性，以至于维珍银河强调：</blockquote></p><p>   These enhancements  <i>could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections</i>. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.  In addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"</p><p><blockquote>这些增强功能<i>可能允许Eve在主要维护检查之间飞行100次航班</i>这比今天主要检查之间的10个航班间隔有所增加。在早期商业服务期间，当我们正在制造更多母舰时，这将是一个非常重要的成功因素。此外，该公司还强调，随着这些改进，该公司还“目标是减少Unity航班之间的周转航班，时间从VSS Unity的7至8周。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>华尔街和市场当然对这一消息感到失望，因为分析师下调了近期预测并下调了评级，摩根士丹利还强调：“在这个繁重的维护期间，维珍银河在2022年夏季之前都无法进行任何太空飞行。”</blockquote></p><p> Sure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有航班。我们当然不担心，因为该公司重申了这些增强功能的重要性：</blockquote></p><p>   These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and  <i>that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today</i>.\"  If investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:</p><p><blockquote>这些都是对Eve相当稳健的修改。但是，我们为Eve的增强期增加范围和时间的原因是，在此增强期之后，我们将从Eve获得的飞行率是我们计划建立的。在主要检查和我们现在所做的之间，这几乎是10倍。这将使我们能够更频繁地飞行Eve，并且<i>这对我们未来的第一批宇航员以及我们将从今天开始报名的人来说非常重要</i>.“如果投资者能够清楚地收集该公司在上述句子中使用的语言，那么该公司显然这样做是因为他们预计对其太空飞行服务的需求如此强劲，我们认为这可能超出了该公司最初的计划。因此，虽然最近与理查德·布兰森爵士举行的发布会在很大程度上被视为一次重大的公关妙招，但它无疑让该公司能够衡量感兴趣的客户的反应，并且该公司明确表示，他们看到了如此强劲的需求，因此需要开放正如首席执行官迈克尔·科尔格拉齐尔(Michael Colglazier)所阐明的那样，尽快列出优先事项清单：</blockquote></p><p>   Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.  We are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).</p><p><blockquote>利用我们在网站上看到的巨大需求，我很高兴地宣布，我们将很快为希望成为下一个的未来太空旅行者开放一个优先名单。在我们的太空人转换过程结束后，我们将首先向这个列表提供任何可用的库存。该名单的注册将很快在我们的网站上提供...我们对整个潜在市场充满信心，对[理查德·布兰森爵士]Unity 22的反应就表明了这一点。所以我们不会全部吸收，但我们确实认为我们可以在这里向前迈出一大步。我们不确定市场和其他投资者的想法。尽管如此，该公司仍需要找到一种方法来应对供应明显严重受限的情况下的需求。他们在短期内会做的下一件最好的事情是对VMS Eve和VSS Unity进行必要的修改，以确保这些高价值的潜在客户不会去敲杰夫·贝索斯蓝色起源(BORGN)的门。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真的有那么多迫不及待想上VSS Unity的客户吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket&nbsp;holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"</p><p><blockquote>是的，想到该公司期待这么多迫不及待地加入的客户，真是令人难以置信。风险投资公司Hemisphere Ventures的管理合伙人丽莎·里奇(Lisa Rich)明确表示：“……这些年来，我遇到了很多维珍（银河）的持票人。顺便说一句，他们每个人都告诉我，由于他们多年来分享的经历，他们花在等待上的25万美元已经收回了10倍。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该清楚地了解，多年来，由600名致力于维珍银河飞行服务的未来宇航员组成的社区形成了一个紧密团结的团体，正如该公司所强调的那样：“我认为在现有的未来宇航员之外可能不为人所知的一件事是维珍银河的秘密武器之一，那就是我们的宇航员办公室。这是一群人，他们将这600人聚集成了一个真正的社区。”</blockquote></p><p> The company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调，这些客户真正重视实现飞行体验的旅程，因为这些客户认为这是一次“人生过渡之旅”。他们看到了维珍银河所做的事情的巨大价值，以至于该公司强调，他们的客户认为加入该公司汇集的社区是“首要考虑的[优先事项]并且非常强大”。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，该公司还强调，他们已经向通过该公司“一小步”计划注册的1000多名“宇航员”社区开放了门票销售，每个座位的价格从45万美元起，远高于最初600名未来宇航员注册的每个座位20万至25万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Virgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience<b><i>.</i></b>And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河认为，这些未来的宇航员将成为公司的“销售大使”，因为他们拥有该公司煞费苦心建立的强大而紧密的宇航员社区的经验：“……所以我认为你可以从几个方面来思考终身价值。其中之一是当人们从未来的宇航员毕业生进入宇航员社区时，我认为他们会回来，我认为人们分享这些经验是非常自然的<b><i>.</i></b>我认为他们分享这段经历不仅会让人们说这是多么美妙，还会给人类航天的概念带来常态。因此，当我们将这群人引入时，他们的终身价值是全面的需求，并在他们走出去分享他们所做的事情时继续增加总的潜在市场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage</b></p><p><blockquote><b>强劲的需求证明快速扩大规模以实现强劲的运营杠杆是合理的</b></blockquote></p><p> Astute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.</p><p><blockquote>精明的投资者会清楚地认识到，如果该公司仅依靠VSS Unity或VSS Imagine机队来主导亚轨道太空旅游市场，这在很大程度上是不够的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的指导和华尔街的估计，如果不对VMS Eve进行修改，该公司最初的600名未来宇航员社区的工作至少需要几年时间。</blockquote></p><p> The initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.</p><p><blockquote>2022年的初始节奏（修改前）是最多10个收入航班，总共60名乘客。到2023年，该公司每年最多只能飞行24至36次航班，这将允许他们最多飞行144至216名宇航员。因此，到2025年，维珍银河可能至少还需要2年时间才能开始处理1000名宇航员社区的订单，我们认为到那时，至少其中一些人会去蓝色起源。因此，最初的节奏真的不起作用，特别是该公司准备很快为Unity 22公关活动产生的兴趣制定优先列表，他们需要快速完成1600名未来宇航员的工作，这在短期内将通过Eve的修改来解决，因为它允许SPCE在主要检查之间多飞行10倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司仍然认为这仍然不足以满足他们所经历的需求水平。因此，他们宣布将制造下一代Delta级车辆，“能够每隔一周启动一次”。随着时间的推移，此类船舶预计将构成该公司未来运力的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason that the company needed to raise the&nbsp;$500M equity&nbsp;offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近需要筹集5亿美元股票发行的部分原因是，他们已准备好开始开发和制造Delta级车辆，这将非常有助于满足其长期产能和节奏，VSS Unity和VSS想象永远无法充分满足。</blockquote></p><p> Crucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，该公司强调，通过提高达美级的产量和产能，他们将能够实现显著的运营杠杆，正如维珍银河强调的那样：“...这就是为什么我们如此专注于用下一代母舰获得达美级。这是我们真正获得效率的地方。这是我们获得规模的地方。这是你真正看到流通的地方，因为我们将有一个固定的成本基础，便于我们沟通，也便于我们在未来为效率做出贡献。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competing Against Blue Origin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与蓝色起源竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> We think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为运营杠杆将成为这里的游戏名称，维珍银河清楚地认识到，对于该公司来说，以其需求驱动因素所证明的足够规模运营以与蓝色起源进行强有力的竞争至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture&nbsp;and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不认为蓝色起源的主要游戏是亚轨道太空旅游，但正如杰夫·贝索斯之前也强调的那样：“我们选择的架构和技术对于亚轨道旅游任务来说完全是矫枉过正。”</blockquote></p><p> We think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"</p><p><blockquote>我们认为蓝色起源的主要市场肯定超出了亚轨道太空旅游，摩根士丹利强调，“贝佐斯先生的公司正在太空市场寻求业务，假设技术快速发展，到2040年，太空市场的规模将扩大两倍，年销售额将超过1万亿美元。实现例行登月、小行星采矿和太空旅游。”</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然蓝色起源专注于建立其太空殖民地的长期愿景，但我们认为他们肯定能够快速提高产量并获得显着的运营杠杆。关键是这些优势如何在短期内转化为其亚轨道太空旅游领域，这将是决定维珍银河领导地位的关键。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.</p><p><blockquote>有一件事是肯定的。两家公司预计，随着生产规模的扩大和技术的改进，亚轨道太空旅游门票的价格将随着时间的推移大幅下降。因此，维珍银河在这个市场中的领导地位和生存的关键是尽快获得运营杠杆以建立这些优势，而蓝色起源则忙于其整个领域的各种项目。</blockquote></p><p> Virgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河希望让亚轨道太空旅游变得更加容易，而实现这一目标的关键是通过提高产量实现的运营杠杆来降低价格。因此，我们认为该公司的达美级计划对于维珍银河对抗蓝色起源的领导地位至关重要，并强烈鼓励投资者密切关注这些计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Forecast &amp; Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流预测和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48be5e8da375fdc72591e31b96a223f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EBITDA margin forecast &amp; CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EBITDA利润率预测和资本支出利润率预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57509b52b1c0ac46a44e7a0dd619bd97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd EBITDA趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全面收入服务的推出推迟到22年第三季度，但华尔街预计该公司将从2024财年末开始实现自由现金流盈利。我们认为这很重要，因为它展示了公司业务在这个市场的长期现金流潜力，目前只有BORGN和SPCE是明显的领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，到2030年底，估值看起来仍然昂贵，为18.5倍，比航空航天和国防同行13.61倍的平均水平高出36%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1084f3186f9732fad8d28b824c65de2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Street's mean price target. Source: TIKR</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Street的平均目标价。来源：TIKR</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也不太乐观，平均目标价为35.55美元，仅比上一收盘价高出13.5%，因为分析师关注SPCE将其收入服务转移到2022年第三季度的近期“阻力”，我们认为这对其长期竞争优势非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们对该公司的长期前景以及将亚轨道太空旅游带给世界的雄心感到非常兴奋，但我们对维珍银河看似昂贵的估值并不那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SPCE股价走势及趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f872b3e8670eac6d5ca4d8afce15200\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然鉴于SPCE的估值昂贵，我们认为SPCE不适合长期投资者，但我们认为头寸交易者仍可能发现该股潜伏的机会。</blockquote></p><p> SPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.</p><p><blockquote>SPCE在50周移动平均线动态支撑位上受到强有力的支撑，该支撑位自2020年以来一直保持强劲，包括最近5月份出现的下行错误突破（熊市陷阱）。因此，我们希望，一旦价格走势在未来几周内自行解决，热衷于交易该股票的头寸交易者可能会找到机会。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我们为长期投资者给予SPCE中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-14 10:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Virgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.</li>  <li>However, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.</li>  <li>We would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.</li>  <li>Lastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00922c9874a28954c08c613b8dbf378b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"493\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nastco/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于市场对影响其私人商业收入服务推出的“延迟”感到失望，维珍银河财报后下跌超过30%。</li><li>然而，我们认为该公司的“延迟”对于纠正供应限制并满足该公司正在经历的巨大需求是必要的。</li><li>我们还将详细讨论公司的长期机遇和威胁，以及投资者未来需要监控的内容。</li><li>最后，我们为正在考虑增加维珍银河投资的长期投资者提出了我们的估值论点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nastco/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Back in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.</p><p><blockquote>早在5月份，当我们发表关于维珍银河(SPCE)的上一篇文章（链接到本文所附文章）时，我们明确强调，我们认为华尔街的共识对维珍银河的收入预测过于乐观，因为我们认为这些预测夸大了市场根据我们咨询多个来源的研究，未来10年亚轨道太空旅游的机会在很大程度上，我们提交了修订后的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from&nbsp;late Q3'CY22.</p><p><blockquote>此后，华尔街日报下调了近期预测，因为该公司最近表示，他们预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始提供商业服务。</blockquote></p><p> This article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.</p><p><blockquote>本文将讨论导致维珍银河“延迟”发射的情况、长期机遇以及维珍在亚轨道太空旅游领域寻求领导地位所面临的竞争威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们将为目前考虑增加该股投资的长期投资者提出我们的估值论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对维珍银河平均共识估计的修正</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e15e65a740bf4a03405cd6f31e82bfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>May's consensus revenue estimates &amp; Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>5月份的普遍收入估计和8月份的普遍收入估计。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149d99203d29b3a3e785096ccc509c57\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>修订估计数的规模（5月至8月估计数之间）。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够清楚地收集到，近期共识预期较5月份影响21年至25年的预测有所下调。然而，我们认为投资者需要注意的是，华尔街从CY26大幅上调了其预期，以反映SPCE在最近的盈利看涨期权中强调的强劲需求，我们认为这表明了该公司对强劲收入跑道的信心长期，我们将在后续章节中详细讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Private Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>私人商业全收入服务预计从2022年第三季度开始</b></blockquote></p><p> SPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.</p><p><blockquote>自8月5日发布财报以来，SPCE的价值已下跌约33%，我们认为这主要是由于VSS Unity和VSS Unity拟议的关键增强功能导致其商业服务推出“延迟”而带来的近期阻力。母舰VMS Eve将显着增加飞行和维护之间的周转时间。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.</p><p><blockquote>由于Unity 23与意大利空军的创收飞行完成后将进行的增强，该公司预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始其私人商业全面收入服务，我们认为这可能会让投资者大吃一惊，因为虽然市场预计全面商业服务将于2022年开始，但他们预计不会晚于第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> However, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为市场再次选择关注近期收入服务延迟带来的不确定性，而忽视了预计将显着改善VMS Eve周转时间的增强功能的重要性，以至于维珍银河强调：</blockquote></p><p>   These enhancements  <i>could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections</i>. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.  In addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"</p><p><blockquote>这些增强功能<i>可能允许Eve在主要维护检查之间飞行100次航班</i>这比今天主要检查之间的10个航班间隔有所增加。在早期商业服务期间，当我们正在制造更多母舰时，这将是一个非常重要的成功因素。此外，该公司还强调，随着这些改进，该公司还“目标是减少Unity航班之间的周转航班，时间从VSS Unity的7至8周。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>华尔街和市场当然对这一消息感到失望，因为分析师下调了近期预测并下调了评级，摩根士丹利还强调：“在这个繁重的维护期间，维珍银河在2022年夏季之前都无法进行任何太空飞行。”</blockquote></p><p> Sure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有航班。我们当然不担心，因为该公司重申了这些增强功能的重要性：</blockquote></p><p>   These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and  <i>that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today</i>.\"  If investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:</p><p><blockquote>这些都是对Eve相当稳健的修改。但是，我们为Eve的增强期增加范围和时间的原因是，在此增强期之后，我们将从Eve获得的飞行率是我们计划建立的。在主要检查和我们现在所做的之间，这几乎是10倍。这将使我们能够更频繁地飞行Eve，并且<i>这对我们未来的第一批宇航员以及我们将从今天开始报名的人来说非常重要</i>.“如果投资者能够清楚地收集该公司在上述句子中使用的语言，那么该公司显然这样做是因为他们预计对其太空飞行服务的需求如此强劲，我们认为这可能超出了该公司最初的计划。因此，虽然最近与理查德·布兰森爵士举行的发布会在很大程度上被视为一次重大的公关妙招，但它无疑让该公司能够衡量感兴趣的客户的反应，并且该公司明确表示，他们看到了如此强劲的需求，因此需要开放正如首席执行官迈克尔·科尔格拉齐尔(Michael Colglazier)所阐明的那样，尽快列出优先事项清单：</blockquote></p><p>   Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.  We are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).</p><p><blockquote>利用我们在网站上看到的巨大需求，我很高兴地宣布，我们将很快为希望成为下一个的未来太空旅行者开放一个优先名单。在我们的太空人转换过程结束后，我们将首先向这个列表提供任何可用的库存。该名单的注册将很快在我们的网站上提供...我们对整个潜在市场充满信心，对[理查德·布兰森爵士]Unity 22的反应就表明了这一点。所以我们不会全部吸收，但我们确实认为我们可以在这里向前迈出一大步。我们不确定市场和其他投资者的想法。尽管如此，该公司仍需要找到一种方法来应对供应明显严重受限的情况下的需求。他们在短期内会做的下一件最好的事情是对VMS Eve和VSS Unity进行必要的修改，以确保这些高价值的潜在客户不会去敲杰夫·贝索斯蓝色起源(BORGN)的门。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真的有那么多迫不及待想上VSS Unity的客户吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket&nbsp;holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"</p><p><blockquote>是的，想到该公司期待这么多迫不及待地加入的客户，真是令人难以置信。风险投资公司Hemisphere Ventures的管理合伙人丽莎·里奇(Lisa Rich)明确表示：“……这些年来，我遇到了很多维珍（银河）的持票人。顺便说一句，他们每个人都告诉我，由于他们多年来分享的经历，他们花在等待上的25万美元已经收回了10倍。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该清楚地了解，多年来，由600名致力于维珍银河飞行服务的未来宇航员组成的社区形成了一个紧密团结的团体，正如该公司所强调的那样：“我认为在现有的未来宇航员之外可能不为人所知的一件事是维珍银河的秘密武器之一，那就是我们的宇航员办公室。这是一群人，他们将这600人聚集成了一个真正的社区。”</blockquote></p><p> The company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调，这些客户真正重视实现飞行体验的旅程，因为这些客户认为这是一次“人生过渡之旅”。他们看到了维珍银河所做的事情的巨大价值，以至于该公司强调，他们的客户认为加入该公司汇集的社区是“首要考虑的[优先事项]并且非常强大”。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，该公司还强调，他们已经向通过该公司“一小步”计划注册的1000多名“宇航员”社区开放了门票销售，每个座位的价格从45万美元起，远高于最初600名未来宇航员注册的每个座位20万至25万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Virgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience<b><i>.</i></b>And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河认为，这些未来的宇航员将成为公司的“销售大使”，因为他们拥有该公司煞费苦心建立的强大而紧密的宇航员社区的经验：“……所以我认为你可以从几个方面来思考终身价值。其中之一是当人们从未来的宇航员毕业生进入宇航员社区时，我认为他们会回来，我认为人们分享这些经验是非常自然的<b><i>.</i></b>我认为他们分享这段经历不仅会让人们说这是多么美妙，还会给人类航天的概念带来常态。因此，当我们将这群人引入时，他们的终身价值是全面的需求，并在他们走出去分享他们所做的事情时继续增加总的潜在市场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage</b></p><p><blockquote><b>强劲的需求证明快速扩大规模以实现强劲的运营杠杆是合理的</b></blockquote></p><p> Astute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.</p><p><blockquote>精明的投资者会清楚地认识到，如果该公司仅依靠VSS Unity或VSS Imagine机队来主导亚轨道太空旅游市场，这在很大程度上是不够的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的指导和华尔街的估计，如果不对VMS Eve进行修改，该公司最初的600名未来宇航员社区的工作至少需要几年时间。</blockquote></p><p> The initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.</p><p><blockquote>2022年的初始节奏（修改前）是最多10个收入航班，总共60名乘客。到2023年，该公司每年最多只能飞行24至36次航班，这将允许他们最多飞行144至216名宇航员。因此，到2025年，维珍银河可能至少还需要2年时间才能开始处理1000名宇航员社区的订单，我们认为到那时，至少其中一些人会去蓝色起源。因此，最初的节奏真的不起作用，特别是该公司准备很快为Unity 22公关活动产生的兴趣制定优先列表，他们需要快速完成1600名未来宇航员的工作，这在短期内将通过Eve的修改来解决，因为它允许SPCE在主要检查之间多飞行10倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司仍然认为这仍然不足以满足他们所经历的需求水平。因此，他们宣布将制造下一代Delta级车辆，“能够每隔一周启动一次”。随着时间的推移，此类船舶预计将构成该公司未来运力的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason that the company needed to raise the&nbsp;$500M equity&nbsp;offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近需要筹集5亿美元股票发行的部分原因是，他们已准备好开始开发和制造Delta级车辆，这将非常有助于满足其长期产能和节奏，VSS Unity和VSS想象永远无法充分满足。</blockquote></p><p> Crucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，该公司强调，通过提高达美级的产量和产能，他们将能够实现显著的运营杠杆，正如维珍银河强调的那样：“...这就是为什么我们如此专注于用下一代母舰获得达美级。这是我们真正获得效率的地方。这是我们获得规模的地方。这是你真正看到流通的地方，因为我们将有一个固定的成本基础，便于我们沟通，也便于我们在未来为效率做出贡献。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competing Against Blue Origin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与蓝色起源竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> We think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为运营杠杆将成为这里的游戏名称，维珍银河清楚地认识到，对于该公司来说，以其需求驱动因素所证明的足够规模运营以与蓝色起源进行强有力的竞争至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture&nbsp;and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不认为蓝色起源的主要游戏是亚轨道太空旅游，但正如杰夫·贝索斯之前也强调的那样：“我们选择的架构和技术对于亚轨道旅游任务来说完全是矫枉过正。”</blockquote></p><p> We think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"</p><p><blockquote>我们认为蓝色起源的主要市场肯定超出了亚轨道太空旅游，摩根士丹利强调，“贝佐斯先生的公司正在太空市场寻求业务，假设技术快速发展，到2040年，太空市场的规模将扩大两倍，年销售额将超过1万亿美元。实现例行登月、小行星采矿和太空旅游。”</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然蓝色起源专注于建立其太空殖民地的长期愿景，但我们认为他们肯定能够快速提高产量并获得显着的运营杠杆。关键是这些优势如何在短期内转化为其亚轨道太空旅游领域，这将是决定维珍银河领导地位的关键。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.</p><p><blockquote>有一件事是肯定的。两家公司预计，随着生产规模的扩大和技术的改进，亚轨道太空旅游门票的价格将随着时间的推移大幅下降。因此，维珍银河在这个市场中的领导地位和生存的关键是尽快获得运营杠杆以建立这些优势，而蓝色起源则忙于其整个领域的各种项目。</blockquote></p><p> Virgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河希望让亚轨道太空旅游变得更加容易，而实现这一目标的关键是通过提高产量实现的运营杠杆来降低价格。因此，我们认为该公司的达美级计划对于维珍银河对抗蓝色起源的领导地位至关重要，并强烈鼓励投资者密切关注这些计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Forecast &amp; Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流预测和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48be5e8da375fdc72591e31b96a223f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EBITDA margin forecast &amp; CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EBITDA利润率预测和资本支出利润率预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57509b52b1c0ac46a44e7a0dd619bd97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd EBITDA趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全面收入服务的推出推迟到22年第三季度，但华尔街预计该公司将从2024财年末开始实现自由现金流盈利。我们认为这很重要，因为它展示了公司业务在这个市场的长期现金流潜力，目前只有BORGN和SPCE是明显的领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，到2030年底，估值看起来仍然昂贵，为18.5倍，比航空航天和国防同行13.61倍的平均水平高出36%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1084f3186f9732fad8d28b824c65de2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Street's mean price target. Source: TIKR</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Street的平均目标价。来源：TIKR</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也不太乐观，平均目标价为35.55美元，仅比上一收盘价高出13.5%，因为分析师关注SPCE将其收入服务转移到2022年第三季度的近期“阻力”，我们认为这对其长期竞争优势非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们对该公司的长期前景以及将亚轨道太空旅游带给世界的雄心感到非常兴奋，但我们对维珍银河看似昂贵的估值并不那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SPCE股价走势及趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f872b3e8670eac6d5ca4d8afce15200\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然鉴于SPCE的估值昂贵，我们认为SPCE不适合长期投资者，但我们认为头寸交易者仍可能发现该股潜伏的机会。</blockquote></p><p> SPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.</p><p><blockquote>SPCE在50周移动平均线动态支撑位上受到强有力的支撑，该支撑位自2020年以来一直保持强劲，包括最近5月份出现的下行错误突破（熊市陷阱）。因此，我们希望，一旦价格走势在未来几周内自行解决，热衷于交易该股票的头寸交易者可能会找到机会。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我们为长期投资者给予SPCE中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449270-virgin-galactic-stock-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449270-virgin-galactic-stock-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149823415","content_text":"Summary\n\nVirgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.\nHowever, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.\nWe would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.\nLastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.\n\nNastco/iStock via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nBack in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.\nSince then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from late Q3'CY22.\nThis article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.\nLastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.\nRevisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates\nMay's consensus revenue estimates & Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nScale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nInvestors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.\nPrivate Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22\nSPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.\nAs a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.\nHowever, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:\n\n These enhancements\n could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.\n\nIn addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"\nThe Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"\nSure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:\n\n These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and\n that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today.\"\n\nIf investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:\n\n Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.\n\nWe are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).\nAre There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?\nYes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"\nInvestors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"\nThe company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"\nImportantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.\nVirgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience.And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"\nStrong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage\nAstute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.\nBased on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.\nThe initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.\nHowever, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.\nPart of the reason that the company needed to raise the $500M equity offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.\nCrucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"\nCompeting Against Blue Origin\nWe think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.\nWhile we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”\nWe think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"\nTherefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.\nOne thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.\nVirgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.\nFree Cash Flow Forecast & Valuations\nEBITDA margin forecast & CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nDespite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.\nHowever, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.\nStreet's mean price target. Source: TIKR\nThe Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.\nWhile we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.\nSPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nWhile we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.\nSPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.\nIn summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830328902,"gmtCreate":1629015145806,"gmtModify":1633687943773,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577252515208021","authorIdStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmmmm[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"Hmmmmm[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","text":"Hmmmmm[得意] [得意] [得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830328902","repostId":"2159145532","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":339,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":897490492,"gmtCreate":1628953546416,"gmtModify":1633688323105,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577252515208021","authorIdStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897490492","repostId":"2159655218","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891209806,"gmtCreate":1628389238005,"gmtModify":1633747469637,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577252515208021","authorIdStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891209806","repostId":"1159872041","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159872041","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628385224,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159872041?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-08 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159872041","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.It's been a wild year for Teslastock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the S&P 500's 18% gain this year.In February,Piper Sandler analys","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.</li>  <li>Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.</li>  <li>Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.</li> </ul> It's been a wild year for&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s 18% gain this year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉第二季度的交付量同比增长了一倍多。</li><li>电动汽车需求的增长可能有利于特斯拉。</li><li>投资者在考虑分析师的目标价时应保持谨慎。</li></ul>这是疯狂的一年<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）股票。今年年初，股价最初飙升超过20%。但该股现在已经回吐了所有涨幅，今年迄今的回报率为负1%。这意味着该股的表现明显落后于<b>标普500</b>今年增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p> But one analyst thinks the stock could take off.</p><p><blockquote>但一位分析师认为该股可能会起飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"We still really like this stock.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。”</b></blockquote></p><p> In February,<b>Piper Sandler</b>&nbsp;analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.</p><p><blockquote>2月份，<b>派珀·桑德勒</b>分析师Alexander Potter做出了大胆的看涨期权，将这只成长型股票的12个月目标价从515美元上调至1,200美元。他表示，特斯拉的交付量可能会从2020年的50万辆增加到今年的近90万辆。当然，这一预测是在全球供应短缺恶化之前做出的。尽管如此，特斯拉的增长速度极快。该公司第二季度的交付量比去年同期增长了一倍多，达到201,304辆。</blockquote></p><p> Following Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.</p><p><blockquote>继特斯拉上月底发布第二季度财报后，该分析师重申了这一目标，并指出该公司似乎有望受益于市场份额的增长、该公司自动驾驶软件的货币化以及特斯拉能源业务中“未被充分重视的机会”，其中包括电池储能和太阳能发电产品的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.</p><p><blockquote>此外，波特指出，特斯拉第二季度营业利润率强劲，为11%，他预计特斯拉最近推出的Autopilot订阅将带来增量改善。</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.</p><p><blockquote>8月3日，波特再次重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级和1200美元的目标价，称“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票”。他指出，总体而言，对纯电动汽车的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what gives?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么是什么给了？</b></blockquote></p><p> If shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.</p><p><blockquote>如果股价真的能涨到1200美元，为什么这么多投资者似乎认为该股的价值如此之低（基于撰写本文时该股的价格略低于700美元）。毕竟，如果投资者普遍认为特斯拉股票在未来12个月内可能达到1,200美元，那么今天的股价将大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.</p><p><blockquote>问题归结为股票的前瞻性估值。截至撰写本文时，特斯拉股价的市盈率约为370，很大程度上预计未来几年将强劲增长。由于该公司的估值很大程度上基于未来的利润，因此对特斯拉未来增长轨迹的看法略有差异，就会对该股目前的内在价值产生截然不同的假设。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者不应仅仅因为一位分析师的股价目标较高就急于购买特斯拉股票。尽管如此，波特确实对特斯拉强劲的商业势头有一些优点。就连特斯拉本身也重申了今年汽车交付量增长50%以上的指导意见，而这一指导意见是在全球许多公司（包括特斯拉）都受到供应链短缺的负面影响之际提供的。此外，特斯拉管理层在第二季度更新中指出，进入第三季度，对其车辆的需求创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> While a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然特斯拉股票1,200美元的目标价很难证明合理，但该股的交易价格可能足够低，投资者可以在该股建立少量头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-08 09:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.</li>  <li>Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.</li>  <li>Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.</li> </ul> It's been a wild year for&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s 18% gain this year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉第二季度的交付量同比增长了一倍多。</li><li>电动汽车需求的增长可能有利于特斯拉。</li><li>投资者在考虑分析师的目标价时应保持谨慎。</li></ul>这是疯狂的一年<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）股票。今年年初，股价最初飙升超过20%。但该股现在已经回吐了所有涨幅，今年迄今的回报率为负1%。这意味着该股的表现明显落后于<b>标普500</b>今年增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p> But one analyst thinks the stock could take off.</p><p><blockquote>但一位分析师认为该股可能会起飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"We still really like this stock.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。”</b></blockquote></p><p> In February,<b>Piper Sandler</b>&nbsp;analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.</p><p><blockquote>2月份，<b>派珀·桑德勒</b>分析师Alexander Potter做出了大胆的看涨期权，将这只成长型股票的12个月目标价从515美元上调至1,200美元。他表示，特斯拉的交付量可能会从2020年的50万辆增加到今年的近90万辆。当然，这一预测是在全球供应短缺恶化之前做出的。尽管如此，特斯拉的增长速度极快。该公司第二季度的交付量比去年同期增长了一倍多，达到201,304辆。</blockquote></p><p> Following Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.</p><p><blockquote>继特斯拉上月底发布第二季度财报后，该分析师重申了这一目标，并指出该公司似乎有望受益于市场份额的增长、该公司自动驾驶软件的货币化以及特斯拉能源业务中“未被充分重视的机会”，其中包括电池储能和太阳能发电产品的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.</p><p><blockquote>此外，波特指出，特斯拉第二季度营业利润率强劲，为11%，他预计特斯拉最近推出的Autopilot订阅将带来增量改善。</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.</p><p><blockquote>8月3日，波特再次重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级和1200美元的目标价，称“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票”。他指出，总体而言，对纯电动汽车的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what gives?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么是什么给了？</b></blockquote></p><p> If shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.</p><p><blockquote>如果股价真的能涨到1200美元，为什么这么多投资者似乎认为该股的价值如此之低（基于撰写本文时该股的价格略低于700美元）。毕竟，如果投资者普遍认为特斯拉股票在未来12个月内可能达到1,200美元，那么今天的股价将大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.</p><p><blockquote>问题归结为股票的前瞻性估值。截至撰写本文时，特斯拉股价的市盈率约为370，很大程度上预计未来几年将强劲增长。由于该公司的估值很大程度上基于未来的利润，因此对特斯拉未来增长轨迹的看法略有差异，就会对该股目前的内在价值产生截然不同的假设。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者不应仅仅因为一位分析师的股价目标较高就急于购买特斯拉股票。尽管如此，波特确实对特斯拉强劲的商业势头有一些优点。就连特斯拉本身也重申了今年汽车交付量增长50%以上的指导意见，而这一指导意见是在全球许多公司（包括特斯拉）都受到供应链短缺的负面影响之际提供的。此外，特斯拉管理层在第二季度更新中指出，进入第三季度，对其车辆的需求创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> While a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然特斯拉股票1,200美元的目标价很难证明合理，但该股的交易价格可能足够低，投资者可以在该股建立少量头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/07/tesla-stock-headed-to-1200/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/07/tesla-stock-headed-to-1200/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159872041","content_text":"Key Points\n\nTesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.\nRising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.\nInvestors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.\n\nIt's been a wild year for Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the S&P 500's 18% gain this year.\nBut one analyst thinks the stock could take off.\n\"We still really like this stock.\"\nIn February,Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.\nFollowing Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.\nFurther, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.\nOn Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.\nSo what gives?\nIf shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.\nThe issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.\nInvestors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.\nWhile a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151189834,"gmtCreate":1625067456328,"gmtModify":1631884853693,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577252515208021","authorIdStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>after right issue what&nbsp;price will be maintained?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>after right issue what&nbsp;price will be maintained?","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$after right issue what price will be maintained?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8116de26abfe9da292b92314a1a69acf","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151189834","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894866369,"gmtCreate":1628816989651,"gmtModify":1631884765009,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577252515208021","authorIdStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>[无语]&nbsp;[无语]&nbsp;[无语]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>[无语]&nbsp;[无语]&nbsp;[无语]&nbsp;","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$[无语] [无语] [无语]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05b335e270408f43c564c5dcd6a4912f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894866369","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809756106,"gmtCreate":1627394167605,"gmtModify":1633765427307,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577252515208021","authorIdStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809756106","repostId":"1112531605","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897499608,"gmtCreate":1628953625004,"gmtModify":1633688322495,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577252515208021","authorIdStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"Good[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"Good[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897499608","repostId":"1144073354","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144073354","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628904044,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144073354?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow, S&P End Week at Record Highs. It’s Not That Exciting.<blockquote>道琼斯指数和标准普尔指数周末创下历史新高。没那么刺激。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144073354","media":"Barrons","summary":"Adventure. Excitement. The stock market doesn’t seem to crave these things lately. Investors should ","content":"<p>Adventure. Excitement. The stock market doesn’t seem to crave these things lately. Investors should hope it stays that way.</p><p><blockquote>冒险。兴奋。最近股市似乎并不渴望这些东西。投资者应该希望这种情况保持下去。</blockquote></p><p> It wasn’t quite like watching paint dry this past week, but it wasn’t that far off, either. Earnings reports were few and far between, the most prominent coming from Walt Disney (ticker: DIS) and eBay (EBAY). The economic news, including July’s consumer-price data, didn’t contain any shockers. And while the S&amp;P 500 closed the week on a streak of four new highs, one of them was by less than a quarter of&nbsp;a point. The index rose 0.7%, to 4468.00, while the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;gained 306.87 points, or 0.9%, to 35,515.38. The&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;dipped 0.1%. to 14,822.90.</p><p><blockquote>这不太像在过去的一周里看着油漆变干，但也不远了。收益报告很少，其中最突出的来自华特迪士尼（股票代码：DIS）和eBay(EBAY)。包括7月份消费者价格数据在内的经济新闻没有任何令人震惊的内容。尽管标普500本周连续四次创下新高，但其中一次涨幅不到四分之一个百分点。该指数上涨0.7%，至4468.00点，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨306.87点，即0.9%，至35,515.38点。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.1%。至14,822.90。</blockquote></p><p> Exuberance this ain’t.</p><p><blockquote>繁荣这不是。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Stock Prices Are Poised to Keep Rising</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么股价将持续上涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Still, there was some action underneath the surface. Tech,particularly chip stockslikeMicron Technology(MU),Lam Research(LRCX), andApplied Materials(AMAT), took it on the chin, while banks, includingGoldman Sachs Group(GS), and industrials such asCaterpillar(CAT), soared. And theInvesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weightexchange-traded fund (RSP) gained 0.8% on the week, outpacing the market-cap-weighted version.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，表面之下还是有一些行动。科技股，尤其是美光科技(MU)、泛林研究(LRCX)和应用材料(AMAT)等芯片股表现强劲，而高盛集团(GS)等银行股和卡特彼勒(CAT)等工业股则飙升。景顺标普500等权重交易所交易基金(RSP)本周上涨0.8%，超过市值加权版本。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d14ffc0d585bc642e9dfa4eebe4b998b\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"647\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That suggests that&nbsp;the stock market is rotating&nbsp;once again, out of tech and other growth stocks, which had been outperforming since May, and back into stocks that benefit from the strength of the U.S. economy, says Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies. “A lot of rotation in constituents can fuel a bull market,” she says, noting that if more stocks start winning, it’s only a matter of time before the small-cap&nbsp;Russell 2000 index&nbsp;does, too.</p><p><blockquote>Fairlead Strategies创始人凯蒂·斯托克顿(Katie Stockton)表示，这表明股市再次轮动，从5月份以来表现出色的科技股和其他成长型股转向受益于美国经济强劲的股票。她表示：“成分股的大量轮换可以推动牛市。”她指出，如果更多股票开始上涨，那么小盘股罗素2000指数也会上涨只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> That cyclicals have started breaking out again is impressive, particularly given the nonstop focus on the Covid-19 Delta variant. Whether it’s about states like&nbsp;Mississippi&nbsp;and&nbsp;Florida, or the Food and Drug Administration’s&nbsp;approval of a vaccine booster&nbsp;shot for people with compromised immune systems, renewed pandemic fears should have hit those stocks hard. That they didn’t says a lot about what investors are thinking.</p><p><blockquote>周期性再次开始爆发令人印象深刻，特别是考虑到人们对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的持续关注。无论是密西西比州和佛罗里达州等州，还是美国食品和药物管理局批准为免疫系统受损的人注射疫苗加强针，新的大流行担忧应该会对这些股票造成沉重打击。他们并没有充分说明投资者的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “If you just look at the market action this week, it’s saying the Delta variant is a public-health crisis, but not an economic crisis,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.</p><p><blockquote>CIBC Private Wealth US首席投资官Dave Donabedian表示：“如果你只看本周的市场走势，就会发现德尔塔变异毒株是一场公共卫生危机，而不是经济危机。”</blockquote></p><p> At some point, the boredom will end, and the market will get more volatile. And the biggest risk might be that investors use the volatility to push the entire stock market higher, notes BTIG’s Julian Emanuel, treating it like one big meme stock.</p><p><blockquote>在某个时候，无聊会结束，市场会变得更加波动。BTIG的朱利安·伊曼纽尔(Julian Emanuel)指出，最大的风险可能是投资者利用波动性推高整个股市，将其视为一只大型模因股票。</blockquote></p><p> “[The] dramatic price action in ‘meme stocks’ both old and new raises the probability that higher volatility could result in an ‘altered reality’ exception,” he writes. “And there is only one previous exception where volatility went up and stocks continued to go up, and up, and up. At least for a while.”</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“新旧‘模因股票’的剧烈价格走势增加了波动性上升可能导致‘现实改变’例外的可能性。”“之前只有一个例外，波动性上升，股市继续上涨，上涨，上涨。至少在一段时间内是这样。”</blockquote></p><p> That, of course, was in 1999. Let’s hope we avoid the kind of excitement that followed.</p><p><blockquote>当然，那是在1999年。希望我们能避免随之而来的那种兴奋。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow, S&P End Week at Record Highs. It’s Not That Exciting.<blockquote>道琼斯指数和标准普尔指数周末创下历史新高。没那么刺激。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow, S&P End Week at Record Highs. It’s Not That Exciting.<blockquote>道琼斯指数和标准普尔指数周末创下历史新高。没那么刺激。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-14 09:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Adventure. Excitement. The stock market doesn’t seem to crave these things lately. Investors should hope it stays that way.</p><p><blockquote>冒险。兴奋。最近股市似乎并不渴望这些东西。投资者应该希望这种情况保持下去。</blockquote></p><p> It wasn’t quite like watching paint dry this past week, but it wasn’t that far off, either. Earnings reports were few and far between, the most prominent coming from Walt Disney (ticker: DIS) and eBay (EBAY). The economic news, including July’s consumer-price data, didn’t contain any shockers. And while the S&amp;P 500 closed the week on a streak of four new highs, one of them was by less than a quarter of&nbsp;a point. The index rose 0.7%, to 4468.00, while the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;gained 306.87 points, or 0.9%, to 35,515.38. The&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;dipped 0.1%. to 14,822.90.</p><p><blockquote>这不太像在过去的一周里看着油漆变干，但也不远了。收益报告很少，其中最突出的来自华特迪士尼（股票代码：DIS）和eBay(EBAY)。包括7月份消费者价格数据在内的经济新闻没有任何令人震惊的内容。尽管标普500本周连续四次创下新高，但其中一次涨幅不到四分之一个百分点。该指数上涨0.7%，至4468.00点，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨306.87点，即0.9%，至35,515.38点。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.1%。至14,822.90。</blockquote></p><p> Exuberance this ain’t.</p><p><blockquote>繁荣这不是。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Stock Prices Are Poised to Keep Rising</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么股价将持续上涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Still, there was some action underneath the surface. Tech,particularly chip stockslikeMicron Technology(MU),Lam Research(LRCX), andApplied Materials(AMAT), took it on the chin, while banks, includingGoldman Sachs Group(GS), and industrials such asCaterpillar(CAT), soared. And theInvesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weightexchange-traded fund (RSP) gained 0.8% on the week, outpacing the market-cap-weighted version.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，表面之下还是有一些行动。科技股，尤其是美光科技(MU)、泛林研究(LRCX)和应用材料(AMAT)等芯片股表现强劲，而高盛集团(GS)等银行股和卡特彼勒(CAT)等工业股则飙升。景顺标普500等权重交易所交易基金(RSP)本周上涨0.8%，超过市值加权版本。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d14ffc0d585bc642e9dfa4eebe4b998b\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"647\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That suggests that&nbsp;the stock market is rotating&nbsp;once again, out of tech and other growth stocks, which had been outperforming since May, and back into stocks that benefit from the strength of the U.S. economy, says Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies. “A lot of rotation in constituents can fuel a bull market,” she says, noting that if more stocks start winning, it’s only a matter of time before the small-cap&nbsp;Russell 2000 index&nbsp;does, too.</p><p><blockquote>Fairlead Strategies创始人凯蒂·斯托克顿(Katie Stockton)表示，这表明股市再次轮动，从5月份以来表现出色的科技股和其他成长型股转向受益于美国经济强劲的股票。她表示：“成分股的大量轮换可以推动牛市。”她指出，如果更多股票开始上涨，那么小盘股罗素2000指数也会上涨只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> That cyclicals have started breaking out again is impressive, particularly given the nonstop focus on the Covid-19 Delta variant. Whether it’s about states like&nbsp;Mississippi&nbsp;and&nbsp;Florida, or the Food and Drug Administration’s&nbsp;approval of a vaccine booster&nbsp;shot for people with compromised immune systems, renewed pandemic fears should have hit those stocks hard. That they didn’t says a lot about what investors are thinking.</p><p><blockquote>周期性再次开始爆发令人印象深刻，特别是考虑到人们对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的持续关注。无论是密西西比州和佛罗里达州等州，还是美国食品和药物管理局批准为免疫系统受损的人注射疫苗加强针，新的大流行担忧应该会对这些股票造成沉重打击。他们并没有充分说明投资者的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “If you just look at the market action this week, it’s saying the Delta variant is a public-health crisis, but not an economic crisis,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.</p><p><blockquote>CIBC Private Wealth US首席投资官Dave Donabedian表示：“如果你只看本周的市场走势，就会发现德尔塔变异毒株是一场公共卫生危机，而不是经济危机。”</blockquote></p><p> At some point, the boredom will end, and the market will get more volatile. And the biggest risk might be that investors use the volatility to push the entire stock market higher, notes BTIG’s Julian Emanuel, treating it like one big meme stock.</p><p><blockquote>在某个时候，无聊会结束，市场会变得更加波动。BTIG的朱利安·伊曼纽尔(Julian Emanuel)指出，最大的风险可能是投资者利用波动性推高整个股市，将其视为一只大型模因股票。</blockquote></p><p> “[The] dramatic price action in ‘meme stocks’ both old and new raises the probability that higher volatility could result in an ‘altered reality’ exception,” he writes. “And there is only one previous exception where volatility went up and stocks continued to go up, and up, and up. At least for a while.”</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“新旧‘模因股票’的剧烈价格走势增加了波动性上升可能导致‘现实改变’例外的可能性。”“之前只有一个例外，波动性上升，股市继续上涨，上涨，上涨。至少在一段时间内是这样。”</blockquote></p><p> That, of course, was in 1999. Let’s hope we avoid the kind of excitement that followed.</p><p><blockquote>当然，那是在1999年。希望我们能避免随之而来的那种兴奋。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/dow-stock-market-sp-500-51628901659?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/dow-stock-market-sp-500-51628901659?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144073354","content_text":"Adventure. Excitement. The stock market doesn’t seem to crave these things lately. Investors should hope it stays that way.\nIt wasn’t quite like watching paint dry this past week, but it wasn’t that far off, either. Earnings reports were few and far between, the most prominent coming from Walt Disney (ticker: DIS) and eBay (EBAY). The economic news, including July’s consumer-price data, didn’t contain any shockers. And while the S&P 500 closed the week on a streak of four new highs, one of them was by less than a quarter of a point. The index rose 0.7%, to 4468.00, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 306.87 points, or 0.9%, to 35,515.38. The Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.1%. to 14,822.90.\nExuberance this ain’t.\nWhy Stock Prices Are Poised to Keep Rising\nStill, there was some action underneath the surface. Tech,particularly chip stockslikeMicron Technology(MU),Lam Research(LRCX), andApplied Materials(AMAT), took it on the chin, while banks, includingGoldman Sachs Group(GS), and industrials such asCaterpillar(CAT), soared. And theInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weightexchange-traded fund (RSP) gained 0.8% on the week, outpacing the market-cap-weighted version.\n\nThat suggests that the stock market is rotating once again, out of tech and other growth stocks, which had been outperforming since May, and back into stocks that benefit from the strength of the U.S. economy, says Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies. “A lot of rotation in constituents can fuel a bull market,” she says, noting that if more stocks start winning, it’s only a matter of time before the small-cap Russell 2000 index does, too.\nThat cyclicals have started breaking out again is impressive, particularly given the nonstop focus on the Covid-19 Delta variant. Whether it’s about states like Mississippi and Florida, or the Food and Drug Administration’s approval of a vaccine booster shot for people with compromised immune systems, renewed pandemic fears should have hit those stocks hard. That they didn’t says a lot about what investors are thinking.\n“If you just look at the market action this week, it’s saying the Delta variant is a public-health crisis, but not an economic crisis,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.\nAt some point, the boredom will end, and the market will get more volatile. And the biggest risk might be that investors use the volatility to push the entire stock market higher, notes BTIG’s Julian Emanuel, treating it like one big meme stock.\n“[The] dramatic price action in ‘meme stocks’ both old and new raises the probability that higher volatility could result in an ‘altered reality’ exception,” he writes. “And there is only one previous exception where volatility went up and stocks continued to go up, and up, and up. At least for a while.”\nThat, of course, was in 1999. Let’s hope we avoid the kind of excitement that followed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":897490597,"gmtCreate":1628953509519,"gmtModify":1633688323228,"author":{"id":"3577252515208021","authorId":"3577252515208021","name":"lauwl97460","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd6ec96a45f5f52eb93e43bafa3c3599","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577252515208021","authorIdStr":"3577252515208021"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897490597","repostId":"2159321505","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2159321505","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1628911811,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2159321505?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla seeks to reduce board members’ terms, make other changes in October shareholder meeting<blockquote>特斯拉寻求缩短董事会成员任期，并在十月股东大会上做出其他改变</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159321505","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Board members would serve for two years rather than three\nTesla CEO Elon Musk in Germany last year. ","content":"<p>Board members would serve for two years rather than three</p><p><blockquote>董事会成员的任期为两年，而不是三年</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abc701f141f0c0044cabe912e510fe2e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Tesla CEO Elon Musk in Germany last year. MAJA HITIJ/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk去年在德国。玛雅·希蒂吉/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla Inc. set its shareholder meeting for Oct. 7 at the Fremont, Calif., factory, with a call for reducing its directors’ terms among the proposals the electric-car maker will bring to the table, the company said in filing late Friday.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公司在周五晚间提交的文件中表示，该公司将于10月7日在加州弗里蒙特工厂举行股东大会，该公司将提出的提案包括缩短董事任期的看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> One of the proposals calls for each director’s term to be reduced from three years to two years. Tesla’s&nbsp;board currently has nine members who are divided into three classes in staggered three-year terms.</p><p><blockquote>其中一项建议是评级将每名董事的任期从三年减至两年。特斯拉董事会目前有九名成员，分为三类，任期三年。</blockquote></p><p> If the proposal is approved, however, the board will be divided into two classes with staggered two-year terms, with directors distributed as equally between the classes as possible, Tesla said in the&nbsp;filing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉在文件中表示，如果该提案获得批准，董事会将分为两个任期交错的类别，董事在两个类别之间的分布尽可能平均。</blockquote></p><p> The board would be reduced to eight members, since Antonio Gracias, a venture capitalist who has served on the Tesla board since 2007, said in 2019 he’d not be seeking reelection when his term ends this year.</p><p><blockquote>自2007年以来一直在特斯拉董事会任职的风险投资家Antonio Gracias在2019年表示，今年任期结束后，他不会寻求连任，董事会成员将减少至8名。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s board nominated current board members James Murdoch, the youngest son of News Corp&nbsp;founder Rupert Murdoch, and Kimbal Musk, Chief Executive Elon Musk’s brother, for re-election as class II directors, with terms expiring in 2024. If the term reduction is approved, then their terms would end in 2023, the company said.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉董事会提名现任董事会成员、新闻集团创始人默多克的小儿子默多克（James Murdoch）和首席执行官马斯克（Elon Musk）的哥哥马斯克（Kimbal Musk）连任二级董事，任期将于2024年届满。该公司表示，如果期限缩减获得批准，那么他们的期限将于2023年结束。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s curtailing board member terms was a response to a shareholder proposal calling to elect each board member for one year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉缩短董事会成员任期是对股东提议选举每位董事会成员一年的回应。</blockquote></p><p> The two-year term, however, “strikes a suitable balance to the long-term interests of and nearer-term accountability to our stockholders at this time,” Tesla said.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉表示，两年任期“在股东的长期利益和近期责任之间取得了适当的平衡”。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares were flat in after-hours trading after ending the regular trading day down 0.7%. The stock has gained 1.6% this year, compared with gains of around 19% for the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在常规交易日收盘下跌0.7%后，在盘后交易中持平。该股今年已上涨1.6%，而标普500指数的涨幅约为19%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla seeks to reduce board members’ terms, make other changes in October shareholder meeting<blockquote>特斯拉寻求缩短董事会成员任期，并在十月股东大会上做出其他改变</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla seeks to reduce board members’ terms, make other changes in October shareholder meeting<blockquote>特斯拉寻求缩短董事会成员任期，并在十月股东大会上做出其他改变</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-14 11:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Board members would serve for two years rather than three</p><p><blockquote>董事会成员的任期为两年，而不是三年</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abc701f141f0c0044cabe912e510fe2e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Tesla CEO Elon Musk in Germany last year. MAJA HITIJ/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk去年在德国。玛雅·希蒂吉/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla Inc. set its shareholder meeting for Oct. 7 at the Fremont, Calif., factory, with a call for reducing its directors’ terms among the proposals the electric-car maker will bring to the table, the company said in filing late Friday.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公司在周五晚间提交的文件中表示，该公司将于10月7日在加州弗里蒙特工厂举行股东大会，该公司将提出的提案包括缩短董事任期的看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> One of the proposals calls for each director’s term to be reduced from three years to two years. Tesla’s&nbsp;board currently has nine members who are divided into three classes in staggered three-year terms.</p><p><blockquote>其中一项建议是评级将每名董事的任期从三年减至两年。特斯拉董事会目前有九名成员，分为三类，任期三年。</blockquote></p><p> If the proposal is approved, however, the board will be divided into two classes with staggered two-year terms, with directors distributed as equally between the classes as possible, Tesla said in the&nbsp;filing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉在文件中表示，如果该提案获得批准，董事会将分为两个任期交错的类别，董事在两个类别之间的分布尽可能平均。</blockquote></p><p> The board would be reduced to eight members, since Antonio Gracias, a venture capitalist who has served on the Tesla board since 2007, said in 2019 he’d not be seeking reelection when his term ends this year.</p><p><blockquote>自2007年以来一直在特斯拉董事会任职的风险投资家Antonio Gracias在2019年表示，今年任期结束后，他不会寻求连任，董事会成员将减少至8名。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s board nominated current board members James Murdoch, the youngest son of News Corp&nbsp;founder Rupert Murdoch, and Kimbal Musk, Chief Executive Elon Musk’s brother, for re-election as class II directors, with terms expiring in 2024. If the term reduction is approved, then their terms would end in 2023, the company said.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉董事会提名现任董事会成员、新闻集团创始人默多克的小儿子默多克（James Murdoch）和首席执行官马斯克（Elon Musk）的哥哥马斯克（Kimbal Musk）连任二级董事，任期将于2024年届满。该公司表示，如果期限缩减获得批准，那么他们的期限将于2023年结束。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s curtailing board member terms was a response to a shareholder proposal calling to elect each board member for one year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉缩短董事会成员任期是对股东提议选举每位董事会成员一年的回应。</blockquote></p><p> The two-year term, however, “strikes a suitable balance to the long-term interests of and nearer-term accountability to our stockholders at this time,” Tesla said.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉表示，两年任期“在股东的长期利益和近期责任之间取得了适当的平衡”。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares were flat in after-hours trading after ending the regular trading day down 0.7%. The stock has gained 1.6% this year, compared with gains of around 19% for the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在常规交易日收盘下跌0.7%后，在盘后交易中持平。该股今年已上涨1.6%，而标普500指数的涨幅约为19%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-seeks-to-reduce-board-terms-in-october-shareholder-meeting-11628888340?mod=newsviewer_click\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-seeks-to-reduce-board-terms-in-october-shareholder-meeting-11628888340?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159321505","content_text":"Board members would serve for two years rather than three\nTesla CEO Elon Musk in Germany last year. MAJA HITIJ/GETTY IMAGES\nTesla Inc. set its shareholder meeting for Oct. 7 at the Fremont, Calif., factory, with a call for reducing its directors’ terms among the proposals the electric-car maker will bring to the table, the company said in filing late Friday.\nOne of the proposals calls for each director’s term to be reduced from three years to two years. Tesla’s board currently has nine members who are divided into three classes in staggered three-year terms.\nIf the proposal is approved, however, the board will be divided into two classes with staggered two-year terms, with directors distributed as equally between the classes as possible, Tesla said in the filing.\nThe board would be reduced to eight members, since Antonio Gracias, a venture capitalist who has served on the Tesla board since 2007, said in 2019 he’d not be seeking reelection when his term ends this year.\nTesla’s board nominated current board members James Murdoch, the youngest son of News Corp founder Rupert Murdoch, and Kimbal Musk, Chief Executive Elon Musk’s brother, for re-election as class II directors, with terms expiring in 2024. If the term reduction is approved, then their terms would end in 2023, the company said.\nTesla’s curtailing board member terms was a response to a shareholder proposal calling to elect each board member for one year.\nThe two-year term, however, “strikes a suitable balance to the long-term interests of and nearer-term accountability to our stockholders at this time,” Tesla said.\nTesla shares were flat in after-hours trading after ending the regular trading day down 0.7%. The stock has gained 1.6% this year, compared with gains of around 19% for the S&P 500 index.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}