kawa86的个人主页 - 老虎社区

kawa86

kawa86

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

607关注

9粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-04-02

lets go....like & comment pls

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-12

release the bull...pls like & comment

How much higher will this bull market go?<blockquote>这轮牛市会涨到多高？</blockquote>

2021-04-15

not cool...pls like & comment

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-10

pls comment & like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-26

positive...pls like & comment

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-22

nice

Temasek-backed CapitaLand to split into two as it seeks asset-light growth<blockquote>淡马锡支持的凯德置地将一分为二，寻求轻资产增长</blockquote>

2021-08-15

like pls

How to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote>

2021-07-14

bear is coming??

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-09

pls recover

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-07

pls like & comment

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3577278649305758","uuid":"3577278649305758","gmtCreate":1614185921240,"gmtModify":1615429054027,"name":"kawa86","pinyin":"kawa86","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":9,"headSize":607,"tweetSize":102,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.01.06","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-2","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"资深虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.11.22","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"60.04%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":830934724,"gmtCreate":1628999381268,"gmtModify":1631885224471,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830934724","repostId":"2159214569","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2159214569","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1628989290,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2159214569?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159214569","media":"MarkeWatch","summary":"Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.So where does Nio $$","content":"<p>Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来可能是一家相对较小的公司。但投资者看好这家中国电动汽车制造商的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459f713c5dfcf08752165d643a5f1463\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>上海市中心的一家蔚来店。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来在美国不销售汽车，其市值为602亿美元。以此衡量，它比1903年成立的福特汽车公司还要大。</blockquote></p><p> That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.</p><p><blockquote>作为投资者，这对您来说可能是有意义的——毕竟，蔚来是一家只销售电动汽车的创新公司。福特是一家传统汽车制造商，正在努力迎头赶上并最终全面过渡到电动汽车。蔚来的股价在过去一年上涨了两倍多，而福特的股价在过去十年暴跌后几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> So where does Nio <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>那么蔚来在哪里<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>该公司在周三股市收盘后公布了第二季度业绩，符合投资理论吗？下面的屏幕显示了其股票估值与汽车产量的比较，以及该估值与2025年预计收益的关系。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Doubling car production</b></p><p><blockquote><b>汽车产量翻倍</b></blockquote></p><p> For the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长112%。增长令人印象深刻，但销售的车辆总数仍然相对较少。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:</p><p><blockquote>以下是按市值计算的10家最大汽车制造商，以及它们第二季度的销售额或交付量（如果两者都报告，以较高者为准）以及表下方的附加颜色：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9e9aed76c94544dbe44cde9f7c8bebc\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"761\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> You can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc.&nbsp;and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>你可以看到，这些估值是关于未来的，届时电动汽车领域的创新者——名单上的特斯拉公司和蔚来——可能（也可能不会）变得与传统企业一样大。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine&nbsp;vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.</p><p><blockquote>目前，福特主要生产内燃机汽车，其速度几乎是蔚来电动汽车生产速度的35倍。</blockquote></p><p> One thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的一件事是，传统汽车制造商并不都以相同的方式报告其销量。大多数人都没有公布电动汽车销量。</blockquote></p><p> Among those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:</p><p><blockquote>在那些这样做的国家中，定义各不相同。例如，丰田汽车公司（7203.TO）报告称，第二季度“电动汽车”销量占汽车总销量的26.6%。但该类别包括：</blockquote></p><p> For Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>对于丰田来说，纯电动汽车仅占第二季度销量的0.2%，而蔚来和特斯拉则占100%。丰田的PHEV销量占总销量的1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车公司报告称，电动汽车销量包括PHEV（占第二季度销量的6.7%）和BEV（占总销量的4.4%）。这些数字令人印象深刻：总计11.1%。</blockquote></p><p> For Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>对于Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft（更广为人知的名称是BWM Group）来说，第二季度电动汽车交付量的细分数据尚未公布，但2021年上半年，交付了153,243辆全电动或插电式混合动力汽车，或占总交付量的11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to earnings estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与盈利预测之比</b></blockquote></p><p> For companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>对于处于早期阶段的公司来说，市盈率的比较可能意义不大。这类公司关注的是增长而不是利润。这方面的一个例子是亚马逊公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>几十年来，该公司的市盈率一直很高，因为它一直在努力扩展到新的业务领域，但牺牲了利润。</blockquote></p><p> A high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>高市盈率可以反映投资者对创新的热情，就电动汽车而言，也可以反映行业转型的政治共识。因此，蔚来和特斯拉的市盈率远高于传统汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，非常低的市盈率可能表明投资者对老牌制造商过于蔑视，因为他们利用持续大量销售传统汽车的现金流来资助电动汽车的开发。机会可能会凸显。</blockquote></p><p> Normally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.</p><p><blockquote>通常，远期市盈率的计算方法是将股价除以12个月每股收益的滚动共识估计。这并不适用于此处列出的所有公司，因此我们使用对2022年净利润的共识估计。</blockquote></p><p> First, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:</p><p><blockquote>首先，以下是基于当前市值和FactSet调查的分析师对2022年普遍预期的市盈率。该表包括截至2025年的年度预测，以及基于当前市值和2025年预测的市盈率：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459439c822252d09b3dfb73cc5d51211\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"743\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> Nio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&amp;P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来预计将于2023年实现盈利。展望2024年，其远期市盈率低于特斯拉。为了正确看待未来市盈率估值，标普500指数的加权交易价格是2022年每股收益普遍预期的20.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to sales</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与销售额之比</b></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Forward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table>对于利润较低或净亏损的早期公司来说，远期市销率估计可能更有用。话又说回来，同样的扭曲也适用：投资者现在喜欢纯电动汽车制造商，当你考虑到蔚来的股价在过去一年中上涨了两倍多，而特斯拉的股价却上涨了150%时，他们可能会为它们支付过高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:</p><p><blockquote>以下是一组推动市销率的类似数据，再次使用当前市值（在本文顶部的第一个表格中）和以百万美元为单位的共识全年估计：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8c0b7d002e07914e42fcdf0e624b25c\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"668\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> For reference, the S&amp;P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，标普500的交易价格是其2022年普遍销售预期的2.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Analysts' opinions</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table><b>分析师观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:</p><p><blockquote>以下是FactSet调查的分析师对10家汽车制造商的看法摘要。对于主要在美国以外上市的公司，使用当地股票代码。所有股价和目标均以当地货币计算：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f38063eabf2e93f73561a0454a44ac\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"639\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarkeWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 09:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来可能是一家相对较小的公司。但投资者看好这家中国电动汽车制造商的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459f713c5dfcf08752165d643a5f1463\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>上海市中心的一家蔚来店。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来在美国不销售汽车，其市值为602亿美元。以此衡量，它比1903年成立的福特汽车公司还要大。</blockquote></p><p> That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.</p><p><blockquote>作为投资者，这对您来说可能是有意义的——毕竟，蔚来是一家只销售电动汽车的创新公司。福特是一家传统汽车制造商，正在努力迎头赶上并最终全面过渡到电动汽车。蔚来的股价在过去一年上涨了两倍多，而福特的股价在过去十年暴跌后几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> So where does Nio <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>那么蔚来在哪里<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>该公司在周三股市收盘后公布了第二季度业绩，符合投资理论吗？下面的屏幕显示了其股票估值与汽车产量的比较，以及该估值与2025年预计收益的关系。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Doubling car production</b></p><p><blockquote><b>汽车产量翻倍</b></blockquote></p><p> For the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长112%。增长令人印象深刻，但销售的车辆总数仍然相对较少。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:</p><p><blockquote>以下是按市值计算的10家最大汽车制造商，以及它们第二季度的销售额或交付量（如果两者都报告，以较高者为准）以及表下方的附加颜色：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9e9aed76c94544dbe44cde9f7c8bebc\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"761\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> You can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc.&nbsp;and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>你可以看到，这些估值是关于未来的，届时电动汽车领域的创新者——名单上的特斯拉公司和蔚来——可能（也可能不会）变得与传统企业一样大。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine&nbsp;vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.</p><p><blockquote>目前，福特主要生产内燃机汽车，其速度几乎是蔚来电动汽车生产速度的35倍。</blockquote></p><p> One thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的一件事是，传统汽车制造商并不都以相同的方式报告其销量。大多数人都没有公布电动汽车销量。</blockquote></p><p> Among those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:</p><p><blockquote>在那些这样做的国家中，定义各不相同。例如，丰田汽车公司（7203.TO）报告称，第二季度“电动汽车”销量占汽车总销量的26.6%。但该类别包括：</blockquote></p><p> For Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>对于丰田来说，纯电动汽车仅占第二季度销量的0.2%，而蔚来和特斯拉则占100%。丰田的PHEV销量占总销量的1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车公司报告称，电动汽车销量包括PHEV（占第二季度销量的6.7%）和BEV（占总销量的4.4%）。这些数字令人印象深刻：总计11.1%。</blockquote></p><p> For Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>对于Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft（更广为人知的名称是BWM Group）来说，第二季度电动汽车交付量的细分数据尚未公布，但2021年上半年，交付了153,243辆全电动或插电式混合动力汽车，或占总交付量的11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to earnings estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与盈利预测之比</b></blockquote></p><p> For companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>对于处于早期阶段的公司来说，市盈率的比较可能意义不大。这类公司关注的是增长而不是利润。这方面的一个例子是亚马逊公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>几十年来，该公司的市盈率一直很高，因为它一直在努力扩展到新的业务领域，但牺牲了利润。</blockquote></p><p> A high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>高市盈率可以反映投资者对创新的热情，就电动汽车而言，也可以反映行业转型的政治共识。因此，蔚来和特斯拉的市盈率远高于传统汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，非常低的市盈率可能表明投资者对老牌制造商过于蔑视，因为他们利用持续大量销售传统汽车的现金流来资助电动汽车的开发。机会可能会凸显。</blockquote></p><p> Normally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.</p><p><blockquote>通常，远期市盈率的计算方法是将股价除以12个月每股收益的滚动共识估计。这并不适用于此处列出的所有公司，因此我们使用对2022年净利润的共识估计。</blockquote></p><p> First, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:</p><p><blockquote>首先，以下是基于当前市值和FactSet调查的分析师对2022年普遍预期的市盈率。该表包括截至2025年的年度预测，以及基于当前市值和2025年预测的市盈率：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459439c822252d09b3dfb73cc5d51211\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"743\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> Nio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&amp;P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来预计将于2023年实现盈利。展望2024年，其远期市盈率低于特斯拉。为了正确看待未来市盈率估值，标普500指数的加权交易价格是2022年每股收益普遍预期的20.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to sales</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与销售额之比</b></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Forward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table>对于利润较低或净亏损的早期公司来说，远期市销率估计可能更有用。话又说回来，同样的扭曲也适用：投资者现在喜欢纯电动汽车制造商，当你考虑到蔚来的股价在过去一年中上涨了两倍多，而特斯拉的股价却上涨了150%时，他们可能会为它们支付过高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:</p><p><blockquote>以下是一组推动市销率的类似数据，再次使用当前市值（在本文顶部的第一个表格中）和以百万美元为单位的共识全年估计：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8c0b7d002e07914e42fcdf0e624b25c\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"668\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> For reference, the S&amp;P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，标普500的交易价格是其2022年普遍销售预期的2.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Analysts' opinions</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table><b>分析师观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:</p><p><blockquote>以下是FactSet调查的分析师对10家汽车制造商的看法摘要。对于主要在美国以外上市的公司，使用当地股票代码。所有股价和目标均以当地货币计算：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f38063eabf2e93f73561a0454a44ac\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"639\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nio-releases-earnings-wednesday-heres-how-to-value-its-stock-compared-to-tesla-ford-and-other-rivals-11628716814?mod=mw_quote_news\">MarkeWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉","GM":"通用汽车","HMC":"本田汽车","STLA":"Stellantis NV","F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nio-releases-earnings-wednesday-heres-how-to-value-its-stock-compared-to-tesla-ford-and-other-rivals-11628716814?mod=mw_quote_news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159214569","content_text":"Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.\nA Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)\nChinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.\nThat might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.\nSo where does Nio $(NIO)$, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.\nDoubling car production\nFor the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.\nHere's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:\n\n\n\n\n\n\nYou can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc. and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.\nFor now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.\nOne thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.\nAmong those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:\nFor Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.\nVolkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.\nFor Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.\nValuation to earnings estimates\nFor companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.\nA high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.\nThen again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.\nNormally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.\nFirst, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:\n\nNio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.\nValuation to sales\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.\nHere's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:\n\nFor reference, the S&P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.\n\n\n\n\n\nAnalysts' opinions\nHere's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"STLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"GM":0.9,"HMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800249960,"gmtCreate":1627306761050,"gmtModify":1631885224483,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"lets go crypto&nbsp;","listText":"lets go crypto&nbsp;","text":"lets go crypto","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800249960","repostId":"1144558005","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144558005","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627304910,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144558005?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 21:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon’s Cryptocurrency Plan Could Be a Game Changer<blockquote>亚马逊的加密货币计划可能会改变游戏规则</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144558005","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have fallen on hard times recently, but the sector may have found","content":"<p>Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have fallen on hard times recently, but the sector may have found its hero in the form of Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>比特币和其他加密货币最近陷入困境，但该行业可能已经找到了亚马逊的英雄。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s job vacancy advertising for a “digital currency and blockchain product lead” has sparked rampant speculation over what the tech giant might have planned. The new position will be part of the team responsible for how Amazon’s customers pay on its platforms.</p><p><blockquote>该公司“数字货币和区块链产品负责人”的职位空缺广告引发了人们对这家科技巨头可能计划的广泛猜测。新职位将成为负责亚马逊客户如何在其平台上支付的团队的一员。</blockquote></p><p> The possibility of Amazon accepting cryptocurrency payments—by the end of the year,according to some reports—saw Bitcoin surge to six-week highs just below $40,000. There’s even the suggestion the internet behemoth could be developing its own coin and may also accept alternatives such as Ethereum.</p><p><blockquote>根据一些报道，亚马逊接受加密货币支付的可能性——到今年年底——导致比特币飙升至略低于4万美元的六周高点。甚至有迹象表明，这家互联网巨头可能正在开发自己的代币，也可能接受以太币等替代品。</blockquote></p><p> Cryptocurrencies face a fight over their role in society, their use, and ultimately their value. Acceptance by a company as big as Amazon will only help their case. It’s a bold move from Amazon, and how the company deals with the famed volatility of cryptocurrencies will be fascinating to see.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币面临着一场关于其在社会中的角色、用途以及最终价值的斗争。被亚马逊这样大的公司接受只会有助于他们的案子。这是亚马逊的一个大胆举措，该公司如何应对著名的加密货币波动性将令人着迷。</blockquote></p><p> Investors may not need to wait long for answers. Amazon&nbsp;reports earnings on Thursday&nbsp;and executives will surely face a volley of questions on the matter.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可能不需要等待太久就能得到答案。亚马逊将于周四公布财报，高管们肯定会就此问题面临一系列问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon’s Cryptocurrency Plan Could Be a Game Changer<blockquote>亚马逊的加密货币计划可能会改变游戏规则</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon’s Cryptocurrency Plan Could Be a Game Changer<blockquote>亚马逊的加密货币计划可能会改变游戏规则</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-26 21:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have fallen on hard times recently, but the sector may have found its hero in the form of Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>比特币和其他加密货币最近陷入困境，但该行业可能已经找到了亚马逊的英雄。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s job vacancy advertising for a “digital currency and blockchain product lead” has sparked rampant speculation over what the tech giant might have planned. The new position will be part of the team responsible for how Amazon’s customers pay on its platforms.</p><p><blockquote>该公司“数字货币和区块链产品负责人”的职位空缺广告引发了人们对这家科技巨头可能计划的广泛猜测。新职位将成为负责亚马逊客户如何在其平台上支付的团队的一员。</blockquote></p><p> The possibility of Amazon accepting cryptocurrency payments—by the end of the year,according to some reports—saw Bitcoin surge to six-week highs just below $40,000. There’s even the suggestion the internet behemoth could be developing its own coin and may also accept alternatives such as Ethereum.</p><p><blockquote>根据一些报道，亚马逊接受加密货币支付的可能性——到今年年底——导致比特币飙升至略低于4万美元的六周高点。甚至有迹象表明，这家互联网巨头可能正在开发自己的代币，也可能接受以太币等替代品。</blockquote></p><p> Cryptocurrencies face a fight over their role in society, their use, and ultimately their value. Acceptance by a company as big as Amazon will only help their case. It’s a bold move from Amazon, and how the company deals with the famed volatility of cryptocurrencies will be fascinating to see.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币面临着一场关于其在社会中的角色、用途以及最终价值的斗争。被亚马逊这样大的公司接受只会有助于他们的案子。这是亚马逊的一个大胆举措，该公司如何应对著名的加密货币波动性将令人着迷。</blockquote></p><p> Investors may not need to wait long for answers. Amazon&nbsp;reports earnings on Thursday&nbsp;and executives will surely face a volley of questions on the matter.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可能不需要等待太久就能得到答案。亚马逊将于周四公布财报，高管们肯定会就此问题面临一系列问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/things-to-know-today-51627294089?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/things-to-know-today-51627294089?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144558005","content_text":"Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have fallen on hard times recently, but the sector may have found its hero in the form of Amazon.\nThe company’s job vacancy advertising for a “digital currency and blockchain product lead” has sparked rampant speculation over what the tech giant might have planned. The new position will be part of the team responsible for how Amazon’s customers pay on its platforms.\nThe possibility of Amazon accepting cryptocurrency payments—by the end of the year,according to some reports—saw Bitcoin surge to six-week highs just below $40,000. There’s even the suggestion the internet behemoth could be developing its own coin and may also accept alternatives such as Ethereum.\nCryptocurrencies face a fight over their role in society, their use, and ultimately their value. Acceptance by a company as big as Amazon will only help their case. It’s a bold move from Amazon, and how the company deals with the famed volatility of cryptocurrencies will be fascinating to see.\nInvestors may not need to wait long for answers. Amazon reports earnings on Thursday and executives will surely face a volley of questions on the matter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XBTmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"MBTmain":0.9,"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174121126,"gmtCreate":1627086883365,"gmtModify":1631885224496,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174121126","repostId":"2153980423","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175715863,"gmtCreate":1627049081952,"gmtModify":1631885224509,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"so unstable&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","listText":"so unstable&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","text":"so unstable [思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175715863","repostId":"1189107355","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189107355","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627048116,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189107355?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 21:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189107355","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":" EV stocks fell in morning trading.NIO fell over 4% in morning trading. Share of Nio Inc. $$ shed over 4% in morning trading Friday, after the China-based electric vehicle maker disclosed the offering of 1.68 million shares by selling stockholders.In and S-1 filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission late Thursday, Quasar Energy Partners LLC, Philipp Brothers Fertilizer LLC and Little Brothers LLC are selling off their entire stakes in Nio, totaling 1,682,267 shares, representing 0.4% of","content":"<p>(July 23)&nbsp;EV stocks fell in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f45ffb8434a296f7bba1b10ac9e9b88f\" tg-width=\"374\" tg-height=\"206\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>NIO</b>&nbsp;<b>fell</b>&nbsp;<b>over&nbsp;4% in morning trading</b></p><p><blockquote>（7月23日）电动汽车股早盘下跌。<b>蔚来</b> <b>费尔</b> <b>早盘涨幅超过4%</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Share of Nio Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a> shed over&nbsp;4% in morning trading Friday</b>, after the China-based electric vehicle maker disclosed the offering of 1.68 million shares by selling stockholders.</li>  <li>In and S-1 filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission late Thursday, Quasar Energy Partners LLC, Philipp Brothers Fertilizer LLC and Little Brothers LLC are selling off their entire stakes in Nio, totaling 1,682,267 shares, representing 0.4% of the shares outstanding and valued at $77.5 million at Thursday's closing price of $46.07.</li>  <li>The company said it will not receive any proceeds from the offering.</li>  <li>The stock has lost 5.5% year to date, while shares of U.S.-based EV leader Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> have declined 8.0%, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IHPXF\">iShares MSCI</a> China ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCHI\">$(MCHI)$</a> has slipped 4.3% and the S&amp;P 500 has gained 16.3%.</li> </ul> <b><b>Tesla</b></b><b>&nbsp;fell&nbsp;0.87%&nbsp;in morning trading</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>佔蔚来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>周五早盘下跌超过4%</b>此前，这家中国电动汽车制造商披露了通过出售股东发行168万股股票的消息。</li><li>在周四晚间向美国证券交易委员会提交的S-1文件中，Quasar Energy Partners LLC、Philipp Brothers Fertilizer LLC和Little Brothers LLC正在出售其在蔚来的全部股份，总计1,682,267股，占已发行股份的0.4%，周四收盘价为46.07美元，价值为7750万美元。</li><li>该公司表示，不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。</li><li>该股今年迄今已下跌5.5%，而美国电动汽车领导者特斯拉公司的股价则下跌5.5%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>下降了8.0%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IHPXF\">iShares MSCI</a>中国ETF<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCHI\">$(MCHI)$</a>下跌4.3%，标普500上涨16.3%。</li></ul><b><b>特斯拉</b></b><b>早盘下跌0.87%</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>T</b><b>esla Inc</b>TSLA 0.8%has once again hiked the prices of some of its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in the United States.</li>  <li><b>What Happened:</b>The<b>Elon Musk</b>-led company’s latest price hike is a steep $1,000 for the Long Range editions of both Model 3 and Model Y, as per the company’s website.</li>  <li><b>The Price Hike:</b>The Model 3 Long Range price now starts at $49,990 and the Model Y Long Range at $53,990.</li>  <li>The estimated delivery time for Model 3 Long Range is 10 to 16 weeks, while for Model Y LR the company website doesn't give any estimated delivery time.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>T</b><b>esla公司</b>TSLA 0.8%再次提高了部分Model 3和Model Y汽车在美国的价格。</li><li><b>发生了什么：</b>The<b>埃隆·马斯克</b>据该公司网站称，该公司最新的Model 3和Model Y长续航版价格大幅上涨了1,000美元。</li><li><b>价格上涨：</b>Model 3 Long Range的起价为49,990美元，Model Y Long Range的起价为53,990美元。</li><li>Model 3 Long Range的预计交付时间为10至16周，而Model Y LR的公司网站没有给出任何预计交付时间。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-23 21:48</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July 23)&nbsp;EV stocks fell in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f45ffb8434a296f7bba1b10ac9e9b88f\" tg-width=\"374\" tg-height=\"206\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>NIO</b>&nbsp;<b>fell</b>&nbsp;<b>over&nbsp;4% in morning trading</b></p><p><blockquote>（7月23日）电动汽车股早盘下跌。<b>蔚来</b> <b>费尔</b> <b>早盘涨幅超过4%</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Share of Nio Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a> shed over&nbsp;4% in morning trading Friday</b>, after the China-based electric vehicle maker disclosed the offering of 1.68 million shares by selling stockholders.</li>  <li>In and S-1 filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission late Thursday, Quasar Energy Partners LLC, Philipp Brothers Fertilizer LLC and Little Brothers LLC are selling off their entire stakes in Nio, totaling 1,682,267 shares, representing 0.4% of the shares outstanding and valued at $77.5 million at Thursday's closing price of $46.07.</li>  <li>The company said it will not receive any proceeds from the offering.</li>  <li>The stock has lost 5.5% year to date, while shares of U.S.-based EV leader Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> have declined 8.0%, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IHPXF\">iShares MSCI</a> China ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCHI\">$(MCHI)$</a> has slipped 4.3% and the S&amp;P 500 has gained 16.3%.</li> </ul> <b><b>Tesla</b></b><b>&nbsp;fell&nbsp;0.87%&nbsp;in morning trading</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>佔蔚来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>周五早盘下跌超过4%</b>此前，这家中国电动汽车制造商披露了通过出售股东发行168万股股票的消息。</li><li>在周四晚间向美国证券交易委员会提交的S-1文件中，Quasar Energy Partners LLC、Philipp Brothers Fertilizer LLC和Little Brothers LLC正在出售其在蔚来的全部股份，总计1,682,267股，占已发行股份的0.4%，周四收盘价为46.07美元，价值为7750万美元。</li><li>该公司表示，不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。</li><li>该股今年迄今已下跌5.5%，而美国电动汽车领导者特斯拉公司的股价则下跌5.5%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>下降了8.0%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IHPXF\">iShares MSCI</a>中国ETF<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCHI\">$(MCHI)$</a>下跌4.3%，标普500上涨16.3%。</li></ul><b><b>特斯拉</b></b><b>早盘下跌0.87%</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>T</b><b>esla Inc</b>TSLA 0.8%has once again hiked the prices of some of its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in the United States.</li>  <li><b>What Happened:</b>The<b>Elon Musk</b>-led company’s latest price hike is a steep $1,000 for the Long Range editions of both Model 3 and Model Y, as per the company’s website.</li>  <li><b>The Price Hike:</b>The Model 3 Long Range price now starts at $49,990 and the Model Y Long Range at $53,990.</li>  <li>The estimated delivery time for Model 3 Long Range is 10 to 16 weeks, while for Model Y LR the company website doesn't give any estimated delivery time.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>T</b><b>esla公司</b>TSLA 0.8%再次提高了部分Model 3和Model Y汽车在美国的价格。</li><li><b>发生了什么：</b>The<b>埃隆·马斯克</b>据该公司网站称，该公司最新的Model 3和Model Y长续航版价格大幅上涨了1,000美元。</li><li><b>价格上涨：</b>Model 3 Long Range的起价为49,990美元，Model Y Long Range的起价为53,990美元。</li><li>Model 3 Long Range的预计交付时间为10至16周，而Model Y LR的公司网站没有给出任何预计交付时间。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189107355","content_text":"(July 23) EV stocks fell in morning trading.NIO fell over 4% in morning trading\n\nShare of Nio Inc. $(NIO)$ shed over 4% in morning trading Friday, after the China-based electric vehicle maker disclosed the offering of 1.68 million shares by selling stockholders.\nIn and S-1 filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission late Thursday, Quasar Energy Partners LLC, Philipp Brothers Fertilizer LLC and Little Brothers LLC are selling off their entire stakes in Nio, totaling 1,682,267 shares, representing 0.4% of the shares outstanding and valued at $77.5 million at Thursday's closing price of $46.07.\nThe company said it will not receive any proceeds from the offering.\nThe stock has lost 5.5% year to date, while shares of U.S.-based EV leader Tesla Inc. $(TSLA)$ have declined 8.0%, the iShares MSCI China ETF $(MCHI)$ has slipped 4.3% and the S&P 500 has gained 16.3%.\n\nTesla fell 0.87% in morning trading\n\nTesla IncTSLA 0.8%has once again hiked the prices of some of its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in the United States.\nWhat Happened:TheElon Musk-led company’s latest price hike is a steep $1,000 for the Long Range editions of both Model 3 and Model Y, as per the company’s website.\nThe Price Hike:The Model 3 Long Range price now starts at $49,990 and the Model Y Long Range at $53,990.\nThe estimated delivery time for Model 3 Long Range is 10 to 16 weeks, while for Model Y LR the company website doesn't give any estimated delivery time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":171649802,"gmtCreate":1626743633106,"gmtModify":1631885224522,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"bear is here","listText":"bear is here","text":"bear is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171649802","repostId":"2152652683","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1690,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179647536,"gmtCreate":1626525671125,"gmtModify":1631885224533,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"possible??[思考]&nbsp;","listText":"possible??[思考]&nbsp;","text":"possible??[思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179647536","repostId":"2152168594","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":170418725,"gmtCreate":1626445496367,"gmtModify":1631885224546,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up to the sky","listText":"up to the sky","text":"up to the sky","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170418725","repostId":"1167804296","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167804296","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626442279,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167804296?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 21:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow jumps above 35,000 as retail sales top expectations<blockquote>零售销售超出预期，道指跃升至35,000点以上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167804296","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock indexes rose on Friday as the latest retail sales data topped economists' expectations.\nT","content":"<p>U.S. stock indexes rose on Friday as the latest retail sales data topped economists' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>由于最新的零售销售数据超出了经济学家的预期，美国股指周五上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained about 80 points, or 0.23%. The S&amp;P 500 added 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约80点，涨幅0.23%。标普500上涨0.4%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> June&nbsp;retail and food service sales&nbsp;rose 0.6%, while economists surveyed by the Dow Jones had expected a 0.4% decline. Excluding autos, those sales jumped 1.3%, beating economists' estimate of a 0.4% gain.</p><p><blockquote>6月份零售和食品服务销售额增长0.6%，而道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计下降0.4%。不包括汽车在内，这些销售额增长了1.3%，超出了经济学家预期的0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Cyclical stocks tied to the economic recovery saw gains in early morning trading.A stabilization in bond yieldsaided this move with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing back up above 1.30%.</p><p><blockquote>与经济复苏相关的周期性股票在早盘交易中上涨。债券收益率企稳证实了这一举措，10年期国债收益率回升至1.30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> “While stock market valuations appear lofty, the global economic recovery continues to surge. Strong GDP and earnings growth, supportive fiscal and monetary policy, and a recovering labor market all support an optimistic view on stocks for the remainder of the year,” said Greg Marcus, UBS Private Wealth Management managing director.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银私人财富管理董事总经理Greg Marcus表示：“虽然股市估值看起来很高，但全球经济复苏仍在继续飙升。强劲的GDP和盈利增长、支持性的财政和货币政策以及复苏的劳动力市场都支持了对今年剩余时间股市的乐观看法。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America led gains in bank stocks in premarket trading. Boeing shares edged higher. Airlines, casinos, and energy stocks inched into the green.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行在盘前交易中领涨银行股。波音股价小幅走高。航空公司、赌场和能源股小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Russell 2000 ETF, containing small cap shares more reliant on the U.S. economy, gained in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>iShares Russell 2000 ETF包含更依赖美国经济的小盘股，在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Live Nation’s stock rose in the premarket afterGoldman said the stock can rally nearly 40%as concerts return.</p><p><blockquote>高盛表示，随着音乐会的回归，Live Nation的股价可能会上涨近40%，该股在盘前上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian each increased in early morning trading after Canada announced it wouldallow cruise ships to resume operationsin its waters starting Nov. 1, sooner than planned. Previously, the Canadian government extended its cruise ban until the end of February 2022.</p><p><blockquote>在加拿大宣布将允许游轮从11月1日起恢复在其水域运营（比原计划更早）后，嘉年华、皇家加勒比和挪威的股价在早盘交易中均上涨。此前，加拿大政府将邮轮禁令延长至2022年2月底。</blockquote></p><p> The moves in recovery-related stocks came even amid concerns about ultra-infectious variants of the coronavirus. Los Angeles County announced Thursday it wouldrestore an indoor mask mandate, including for fully-vaccinated people, due to a rapid and sustained increase in Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>尽管人们对冠状病毒的高传染性变种感到担忧，但与复苏相关的股票还是出现了走势。由于新冠肺炎病例快速持续增加，洛杉矶县周四宣布将恢复室内口罩强制令，包括对完全接种疫苗的人。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also digested strong earnings results from the first major week of second-quarter reports. Though some of the nation’s largest companies posted healthy profits and revenues amid the economic recovery, the reaction in the stock market has so far been muted.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还消化了第二季度报告第一个重要周的强劲盈利结果。尽管美国一些最大的公司在经济复苏中公布了健康的利润和收入，但迄今为止股市的反应一直很平静。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley’s&nbsp;second-quarter earnings report, for example, topped analysts’ expectations Thursday, yet its shares closed just 0.18% higher.</p><p><blockquote>例如，摩根士丹利周四发布的第二季度收益报告超出了分析师的预期，但其股价仅收盘上涨0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> For18 S&amp;P 500 companies that beat analyst estimates for second-quarter earnings this week, the average earnings-per-share result was 18% higher than expected. But those companies saw their shares fall 0.58% on average after reporting.</p><p><blockquote>本周第二季度盈利超出分析师预期的18家标普500公司，平均每股收益比预期高出18%。但这些公司的股价在发布报告后平均下跌0.58%。</blockquote></p><p> The soft moves in reaction to corporate earnings have contributed to a lackluster week for the S&amp;P 500, which dipped 0.2% on the week as of Thursday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>对企业盈利的疲软反应导致标普500本周表现低迷，截至周四收盘，该股本周下跌0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Much of the market’s upward pressure over the last week has come from a handful of mega-cap internet and communications stocks. Apple, Netflix, Google-parent Alphabet and Microsoft are all up this week.</p><p><blockquote>上周市场的大部分上行压力来自少数大型互联网和通信股。苹果、Netflix、谷歌母公司Alphabet和微软本周均上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street may be checking its optimism in the aftermath of the recent hotconsumer price index inflation reportand commentary from both Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen about the pace of price appreciation in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在最近热门的消费者价格指数通胀报告以及美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔和财政部长珍妮特·耶伦对近期物价升值步伐的评论之后，华尔街可能会检查其乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Yellen, who spoke to CNBC’s “Closing Bell” on Thursday, said she predictsprices could continue to rise for several more months before cooling off.</p><p><blockquote>耶伦周四在CNBC的“收盘钟声”节目中表示，她预计价格可能会继续上涨几个月，然后才会降温。</blockquote></p><p> “I’m not saying that this is a one-month phenomenon. But I think over the medium term, we’ll see inflation decline back toward normal levels,” she said. “But, of course, we have to keep a careful eye on it.”</p><p><blockquote>“我并不是说这是一个月的现象。但我认为，从中期来看，我们将看到通胀回落至正常水平，”她说。“但是，当然，我们必须密切关注它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow jumps above 35,000 as retail sales top expectations<blockquote>零售销售超出预期，道指跃升至35,000点以上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow jumps above 35,000 as retail sales top expectations<blockquote>零售销售超出预期，道指跃升至35,000点以上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-16 21:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock indexes rose on Friday as the latest retail sales data topped economists' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>由于最新的零售销售数据超出了经济学家的预期，美国股指周五上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained about 80 points, or 0.23%. The S&amp;P 500 added 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约80点，涨幅0.23%。标普500上涨0.4%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> June&nbsp;retail and food service sales&nbsp;rose 0.6%, while economists surveyed by the Dow Jones had expected a 0.4% decline. Excluding autos, those sales jumped 1.3%, beating economists' estimate of a 0.4% gain.</p><p><blockquote>6月份零售和食品服务销售额增长0.6%，而道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计下降0.4%。不包括汽车在内，这些销售额增长了1.3%，超出了经济学家预期的0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Cyclical stocks tied to the economic recovery saw gains in early morning trading.A stabilization in bond yieldsaided this move with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing back up above 1.30%.</p><p><blockquote>与经济复苏相关的周期性股票在早盘交易中上涨。债券收益率企稳证实了这一举措，10年期国债收益率回升至1.30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> “While stock market valuations appear lofty, the global economic recovery continues to surge. Strong GDP and earnings growth, supportive fiscal and monetary policy, and a recovering labor market all support an optimistic view on stocks for the remainder of the year,” said Greg Marcus, UBS Private Wealth Management managing director.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银私人财富管理董事总经理Greg Marcus表示：“虽然股市估值看起来很高，但全球经济复苏仍在继续飙升。强劲的GDP和盈利增长、支持性的财政和货币政策以及复苏的劳动力市场都支持了对今年剩余时间股市的乐观看法。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America led gains in bank stocks in premarket trading. Boeing shares edged higher. Airlines, casinos, and energy stocks inched into the green.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行在盘前交易中领涨银行股。波音股价小幅走高。航空公司、赌场和能源股小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Russell 2000 ETF, containing small cap shares more reliant on the U.S. economy, gained in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>iShares Russell 2000 ETF包含更依赖美国经济的小盘股，在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Live Nation’s stock rose in the premarket afterGoldman said the stock can rally nearly 40%as concerts return.</p><p><blockquote>高盛表示，随着音乐会的回归，Live Nation的股价可能会上涨近40%，该股在盘前上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian each increased in early morning trading after Canada announced it wouldallow cruise ships to resume operationsin its waters starting Nov. 1, sooner than planned. Previously, the Canadian government extended its cruise ban until the end of February 2022.</p><p><blockquote>在加拿大宣布将允许游轮从11月1日起恢复在其水域运营（比原计划更早）后，嘉年华、皇家加勒比和挪威的股价在早盘交易中均上涨。此前，加拿大政府将邮轮禁令延长至2022年2月底。</blockquote></p><p> The moves in recovery-related stocks came even amid concerns about ultra-infectious variants of the coronavirus. Los Angeles County announced Thursday it wouldrestore an indoor mask mandate, including for fully-vaccinated people, due to a rapid and sustained increase in Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>尽管人们对冠状病毒的高传染性变种感到担忧，但与复苏相关的股票还是出现了走势。由于新冠肺炎病例快速持续增加，洛杉矶县周四宣布将恢复室内口罩强制令，包括对完全接种疫苗的人。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also digested strong earnings results from the first major week of second-quarter reports. Though some of the nation’s largest companies posted healthy profits and revenues amid the economic recovery, the reaction in the stock market has so far been muted.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还消化了第二季度报告第一个重要周的强劲盈利结果。尽管美国一些最大的公司在经济复苏中公布了健康的利润和收入，但迄今为止股市的反应一直很平静。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley’s&nbsp;second-quarter earnings report, for example, topped analysts’ expectations Thursday, yet its shares closed just 0.18% higher.</p><p><blockquote>例如，摩根士丹利周四发布的第二季度收益报告超出了分析师的预期，但其股价仅收盘上涨0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> For18 S&amp;P 500 companies that beat analyst estimates for second-quarter earnings this week, the average earnings-per-share result was 18% higher than expected. But those companies saw their shares fall 0.58% on average after reporting.</p><p><blockquote>本周第二季度盈利超出分析师预期的18家标普500公司，平均每股收益比预期高出18%。但这些公司的股价在发布报告后平均下跌0.58%。</blockquote></p><p> The soft moves in reaction to corporate earnings have contributed to a lackluster week for the S&amp;P 500, which dipped 0.2% on the week as of Thursday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>对企业盈利的疲软反应导致标普500本周表现低迷，截至周四收盘，该股本周下跌0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Much of the market’s upward pressure over the last week has come from a handful of mega-cap internet and communications stocks. Apple, Netflix, Google-parent Alphabet and Microsoft are all up this week.</p><p><blockquote>上周市场的大部分上行压力来自少数大型互联网和通信股。苹果、Netflix、谷歌母公司Alphabet和微软本周均上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street may be checking its optimism in the aftermath of the recent hotconsumer price index inflation reportand commentary from both Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen about the pace of price appreciation in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在最近热门的消费者价格指数通胀报告以及美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔和财政部长珍妮特·耶伦对近期物价升值步伐的评论之后，华尔街可能会检查其乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Yellen, who spoke to CNBC’s “Closing Bell” on Thursday, said she predictsprices could continue to rise for several more months before cooling off.</p><p><blockquote>耶伦周四在CNBC的“收盘钟声”节目中表示，她预计价格可能会继续上涨几个月，然后才会降温。</blockquote></p><p> “I’m not saying that this is a one-month phenomenon. But I think over the medium term, we’ll see inflation decline back toward normal levels,” she said. “But, of course, we have to keep a careful eye on it.”</p><p><blockquote>“我并不是说这是一个月的现象。但我认为，从中期来看，我们将看到通胀回落至正常水平，”她说。“但是，当然，我们必须密切关注它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167804296","content_text":"U.S. stock indexes rose on Friday as the latest retail sales data topped economists' expectations.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average gained about 80 points, or 0.23%. The S&P 500 added 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.3%.\nJune retail and food service sales rose 0.6%, while economists surveyed by the Dow Jones had expected a 0.4% decline. Excluding autos, those sales jumped 1.3%, beating economists' estimate of a 0.4% gain.\nCyclical stocks tied to the economic recovery saw gains in early morning trading.A stabilization in bond yieldsaided this move with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing back up above 1.30%.\n“While stock market valuations appear lofty, the global economic recovery continues to surge. Strong GDP and earnings growth, supportive fiscal and monetary policy, and a recovering labor market all support an optimistic view on stocks for the remainder of the year,” said Greg Marcus, UBS Private Wealth Management managing director.\nBank of America led gains in bank stocks in premarket trading. Boeing shares edged higher. Airlines, casinos, and energy stocks inched into the green.\nThe iShares Russell 2000 ETF, containing small cap shares more reliant on the U.S. economy, gained in premarket trading.\nLive Nation’s stock rose in the premarket afterGoldman said the stock can rally nearly 40%as concerts return.\nShares of Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian each increased in early morning trading after Canada announced it wouldallow cruise ships to resume operationsin its waters starting Nov. 1, sooner than planned. Previously, the Canadian government extended its cruise ban until the end of February 2022.\nThe moves in recovery-related stocks came even amid concerns about ultra-infectious variants of the coronavirus. Los Angeles County announced Thursday it wouldrestore an indoor mask mandate, including for fully-vaccinated people, due to a rapid and sustained increase in Covid-19 cases.\nInvestors also digested strong earnings results from the first major week of second-quarter reports. Though some of the nation’s largest companies posted healthy profits and revenues amid the economic recovery, the reaction in the stock market has so far been muted.\nMorgan Stanley’s second-quarter earnings report, for example, topped analysts’ expectations Thursday, yet its shares closed just 0.18% higher.\nFor18 S&P 500 companies that beat analyst estimates for second-quarter earnings this week, the average earnings-per-share result was 18% higher than expected. But those companies saw their shares fall 0.58% on average after reporting.\nThe soft moves in reaction to corporate earnings have contributed to a lackluster week for the S&P 500, which dipped 0.2% on the week as of Thursday’s close.\nMuch of the market’s upward pressure over the last week has come from a handful of mega-cap internet and communications stocks. Apple, Netflix, Google-parent Alphabet and Microsoft are all up this week.\nWall Street may be checking its optimism in the aftermath of the recent hotconsumer price index inflation reportand commentary from both Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen about the pace of price appreciation in the near term.\nYellen, who spoke to CNBC’s “Closing Bell” on Thursday, said she predictsprices could continue to rise for several more months before cooling off.\n“I’m not saying that this is a one-month phenomenon. But I think over the medium term, we’ll see inflation decline back toward normal levels,” she said. “But, of course, we have to keep a careful eye on it.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144243790,"gmtCreate":1626303837210,"gmtModify":1631885224554,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hope will be green the next day","listText":"hope will be green the next day","text":"hope will be green the next day","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144243790","repostId":"2151548988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145854501,"gmtCreate":1626218882403,"gmtModify":1631885224568,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"bear is coming??","listText":"bear is coming??","text":"bear is coming??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145854501","repostId":"2151560584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145037633,"gmtCreate":1626182592922,"gmtModify":1631885224581,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"is the bear coming again???","listText":"is the bear coming again???","text":"is the bear coming again???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145037633","repostId":"1168255542","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1908,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146903156,"gmtCreate":1626047582675,"gmtModify":1631885224592,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"buy or wait??[思考]&nbsp;","listText":"buy or wait??[思考]&nbsp;","text":"buy or wait??[思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146903156","repostId":"1101522066","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1287,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":143124924,"gmtCreate":1625783933568,"gmtModify":1631885224612,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls recover","listText":"pls recover","text":"pls recover","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143124924","repostId":"1162204971","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149263921,"gmtCreate":1625731096663,"gmtModify":1631885224618,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"follow","listText":"follow","text":"follow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149263921","repostId":"2149313255","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157722099,"gmtCreate":1625616471911,"gmtModify":1631885224628,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls like &amp; comment","listText":"pls like &amp; comment","text":"pls like & comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157722099","repostId":"1189309849","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152105676,"gmtCreate":1625273959195,"gmtModify":1631885224642,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"buy more","listText":"buy more","text":"buy more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152105676","repostId":"1120590567","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120590567","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625238577,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120590567?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO May Grow Even Faster Than Expected<blockquote>蔚来的增长速度可能比预期还要快</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120590567","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nNIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.\nThe Chinese EV maker returned to triple-d","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.</li>  <li>The Chinese EV maker returned to triple-digit delivery growth last month, helped by strong Y/Y growth in NIO’s flagship model ES6.</li>  <li>NIO is set to overcome production setbacks and ramp up production in the second half of 2021.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ca537373e278344c3447309dd586ea\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来6月份的交付量以令人印象深刻的速度增长。</li><li>得益于蔚来旗舰车型ES6的强劲同比增长，这家中国电动汽车制造商上个月的交付量恢复了三位数增长。</li><li>蔚来将克服生产挫折，并在2021年下半年提高产量。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (NIO) is rebounding fast from the pandemic-driven chip supply shortage and the proof is in surging EV deliveries. Impressive delivery rates for the month of June show that the market may underestimate NIO's growth potential.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）正在从大流行导致的芯片供应短缺中迅速反弹，电动汽车交付量激增就是证明。6月份令人印象深刻的交付率表明市场可能低估了蔚来的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Shipping volumes are accelerating</b></p><p><blockquote><b>出货量正在加速</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO guided for lower production volumes in the second quarter due to the global chip and battery supply shortage. The shortage was set to&nbsp;reduce NIO's factory output&nbsp;from 10,000 vehicles to 7,500 vehicles a month.</p><p><blockquote>由于全球芯片和电池供应短缺，蔚来预计第二季度产量将下降。此次短缺将使蔚来工厂的产量从每月10,000辆减少到7,500辆。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor supply shortage has its roots in the COVID-19 pandemic. As more people started to work from home, a sharp increase in demand for semiconductors from the consumer electronics industry coincided with a faster than anticipated rebound in chip demand from the auto industry, leading to a global shortage in semiconductors that is throttling auto production from the US to China. NIO's guidance for lower factory output has lowered delivery expectations but a return to triple-digit growth rates may now push NIO's stock higher again.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体供应短缺的根源在于COVID-19大流行。随着越来越多的人开始在家工作，消费电子行业对半导体的需求急剧增加，而汽车行业的芯片需求反弹速度快于预期，导致全球半导体短缺，抑制了美国到中国的汽车生产。蔚来对工厂产出下降的指导降低了交付预期，但恢复三位数的增长率现在可能会推动蔚来股价再次走高。</blockquote></p><p> While the temporary production drop was a setback for NIO, it seems that the electric vehicle maker is ready to bounce back.NIO's June deliveries&nbsp;were nothing short of impressive and the market may underestimate NIO's ability to grow EV deliveries at triple digits this year. The Chinese EV maker delivered a total 8,083 vehicles in June, bringing the Q2'21 total to 21,896 EVs consisting of all models… NIO's 5-seater electric SUV ES6, the 5-seater electric coupe SUV EC6 and the 6-seater or 7-seater electric SUV ES8. NIO's monthly and quarterly delivery totals hit records in the second quarter and the EV maker is set to reach new records for the rest of the year. Total June deliveries saw 116% growth Y/Y with the largest growth coming from the ES6 model. The ES6 category saw 52% growth Y/Y. Total deliveries for Q2'21 were 21,896, most of which were ES6s, showing growth of 112% Y/Y… and that's despite production problems in the second quarter. Comparable figures for the EC6 are not available since deliveries for this model only began after the second quarter last year. What stands out from NIO's June delivery report is that shipping growth is speeding up compared to the previous month, which may be seen as a sign that NIO's delivery capabilities are undervalued. In May, NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles which is equivalent to a Y/Y growth rate of 95%. Strong delivery numbers for the month of June may be a cue that NIO's production problems are easing and that NIO is ready to return to full production capacity.</p><p><blockquote>虽然暂时的产量下降对蔚来来说是一个挫折，但这家电动汽车制造商似乎已准备好反弹。蔚来6月份的交付量令人印象深刻，市场可能低估了蔚来今年电动汽车交付量以三位数增长的能力。这家中国电动汽车制造商在6月份共交付了8,083辆汽车，使21年第二季度的电动汽车总数达到21,896辆，包括所有车型……蔚来的5座电动SUV ES6、5座电动轿跑车SUV EC6和6座或7座电动SUV ES8。蔚来第二季度的月度和季度交付总量创下纪录，这家电动汽车制造商将在今年剩余时间内创下新纪录。6月份总交付量同比增长116%，其中ES6车型增长最大。ES6类别同比增长52%。21年第二季度的总交付量为21,896辆，其中大部分是ES6，同比增长112%……尽管第二季度出现了生产问题。EC6的可比数据不可用，因为该车型在去年第二季度之后才开始交付。蔚来6月交付报告中值得注意的是，与上个月相比，航运增长正在加快，这可能被视为蔚来交付能力被低估的迹象。5月份，蔚来交付汽车6,711辆，同比增长率为95%。6月份强劲的交付数据可能表明蔚来的生产问题正在缓解，蔚来已准备好恢复满负荷产能。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af76b71f8259337d534fb29b1a6a8c4\" tg-width=\"673\" tg-height=\"129\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles which the EV maker is not fully utilizing due to the semiconductor shortage. As soon as the chip shortage eases, which can be expected to be the case in the second half of the year, we should see a steady ramp up in NIO's factory output and deliveries. The speed of the ramp up will depend less on demand but rather on the severity of the supply shortage. The semiconductor shortage is a primary risk factor that will impact NIO's delivery success in the remaining two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的年产能为15万辆汽车，但由于半导体短缺，该电动汽车制造商并未充分利用该产能。一旦芯片短缺问题得到缓解（预计下半年的情况），我们应该会看到蔚来工厂产量和交付量稳步上升。增长的速度将不太取决于需求，而是取决于供应短缺的严重程度。半导体短缺是影响蔚来在剩余两个季度交付成功的主要风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> The market for electric vehicles is very resilient in China and demand for zero-emission passenger vehicles is not going away due to delays in production, which may be a sort of luxury problem for Chinese EV makers. NIO's EV sales in China have surged this year, but the second half of the year may see even faster growth as the industry works through the supply problem.</p><p><blockquote>中国的电动汽车市场非常有弹性，对零排放乘用车的需求不会因为生产延迟而消失，这对中国电动汽车制造商来说可能是一种奢侈问题。蔚来今年在华电动汽车销量激增，但随着该行业解决供应问题，下半年可能会出现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7579fc2abe7ca63887e68a9256b54cb3\" tg-width=\"921\" tg-height=\"438\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> XPeng (XPEV), another Chinese electric vehicle maker,delivered&nbsp;6,565 Smart EVs in June 2021, representing growth of 617% Y/Y. XPeng sold 4,730 electric sport sedans and 1,835 compact SUVs last month, more than ever before. In Q2'21, XPeng delivered 17,398 deliveries, representing 439% growth Y/Y.</p><p><blockquote>另一家中国电动汽车制造商小鹏汽车(XPEV)于2021年6月交付了6,565辆智能电动汽车，同比增长617%。小鹏汽车上个月售出了4,730辆电动运动轿车和1,835辆紧凑型SUV，比以往任何时候都多。21年第二季度，小鹏汽车交付量为17,398辆，同比增长439%。</blockquote></p><p> XPeng's EV sales in China are also soaring showing strong demand and customer uptake of EV vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车在中国的电动汽车销量也在飙升，显示出电动汽车的强劲需求和客户接受度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c8cd25b4fd64f193bc91dabbee99e54\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"445\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>NIO FY 2021 delivery projections</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来2021财年交付预测</b></blockquote></p><p> My estimates for Q3'21 and Q4'21 deliveries are shown in the graph below and assume a ramp up especially in NIO's ES6 delivery capability and a continual escalation to a quarterly output of 30,000 vehicles by year-end. A quarterly output volume of around 30,000 cars by year-end is realistic to achieve and NIO would still be operating 20% below full production capacity. Calculating the delivery totals for Q1 and Q2 together with my estimates for Q3 and Q4 results in a total delivery potential of 97,056 vehicles (across all three models) in FY 2021 and NIO may even be able to crack the 100,000 barrier if shipment volumes continue to accelerate at a strong rate in the last two quarters of the year. NIO delivered 43,728 vehicles in 2020 in total, so a 97,056 delivery estimate for 2021 implies 122% Y/Y growth. In the first six months of 2021, NIO already delivered 41,956 or 43% of my FY 2021 delivery estimate. As production returns to normal in the second half of the year, NIO should be able to create triple-digit delivery growth on a Y/Y basis.</p><p><blockquote>我对21年第3季度和21年第4季度交付量的估计如下图所示，并假设蔚来的ES6交付能力将有所提高，并且到年底季度产量将持续升级至30,000辆。到年底实现约30,000辆汽车的季度产量是现实的，而蔚来的运营仍将比满负荷产能低20%。计算第一季度和第二季度的交付总量以及我对第三季度和第四季度的估计，2021财年的总交付潜力为97,056辆汽车（包括所有三种车型），如果出货量继续增长，蔚来甚至可能能够突破100,000辆大关今年最后两个季度以强劲的速度加速。蔚来在2020年总共交付了43,728辆汽车，因此2021年的交付量预计为97,056辆，意味着同比增长122%。2021年前六个月，蔚来已交付41,956辆，占我2021财年交付预期的43%。随着下半年生产恢复正常，蔚来应该能够创造三位数的同比交付增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb01be329ab1b6d9a6097e74a1d5b250\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"116\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO's sales growth is cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的销售增长很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> EV makers are not cheap and that is because the market values sales and delivery growth more than anything. NIO trades at a P-S ratio of 9.4 and the valuation multiplier factor is not that much different from other EV makers. Compared against Tesla (TSLA), which trades at a P-S ratio of 9.9, NIO has more revaluation potential because it operates in a larger market and has a lower revenue base.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商的价格并不便宜，这是因为市场最看重销售和交付增长。蔚来的市盈率为9.4，估值乘数因素与其他电动汽车制造商没有太大区别。与市盈率为9.9的特斯拉(TSLA)相比，蔚来具有更大的重估潜力，因为它在更大的市场中运营且收入基础较低。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84e0cee1726c807b6b7d04f4f4e44f2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The chip supply shortage is still a major risk factor for NIO and it will have an impact on NIO's Q3 and Q4 production output... which will be below potential. As conditions normalize slowly in the second half, NIO should be able to ramp up factory output and deliveries. While delivery growth rates are influenced by factors outside of NIO's operations, they also represent a big opportunity for NIO to surprise the market. Better than expected growth rates and a fast return to full production could create fertile ground for stock price appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>芯片供应短缺仍然是蔚来的一个主要风险因素，它将对蔚来第三季度和第四季度的产量产生影响...这将低于电位。随着下半年情况慢慢正常化，蔚来应该能够提高工厂产量和交付量。虽然交付增长率受到蔚来运营之外因素的影响，但它们也代表着蔚来给市场带来惊喜的巨大机会。好于预期的增长率和快速恢复全面生产可能会为股价升值创造沃土。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO may be growing faster than expected in 2021 as the chip supply shortage eases and a strong rebound in the second half of the year could push NIO to hit the critical 100,000 annual delivery milestone. Demand for EVs remained strong in 2021 and Chinese EV makers are killing it. I believe 120% Y/Y growth in annual deliveries is possible in 2021 as factory output normalizes in the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>随着芯片供应短缺的缓解，蔚来在2021年的增长速度可能会快于预期，下半年的强劲反弹可能会推动蔚来达到关键的10万辆年交付里程碑。2021年电动汽车需求依然强劲，而中国电动汽车制造商正在扼杀这一需求。我相信，随着下半年工厂产出正常化，2021年全年交付量有可能同比增长120%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO May Grow Even Faster Than Expected<blockquote>蔚来的增长速度可能比预期还要快</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO May Grow Even Faster Than Expected<blockquote>蔚来的增长速度可能比预期还要快</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 23:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.</li>  <li>The Chinese EV maker returned to triple-digit delivery growth last month, helped by strong Y/Y growth in NIO’s flagship model ES6.</li>  <li>NIO is set to overcome production setbacks and ramp up production in the second half of 2021.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ca537373e278344c3447309dd586ea\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来6月份的交付量以令人印象深刻的速度增长。</li><li>得益于蔚来旗舰车型ES6的强劲同比增长，这家中国电动汽车制造商上个月的交付量恢复了三位数增长。</li><li>蔚来将克服生产挫折，并在2021年下半年提高产量。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (NIO) is rebounding fast from the pandemic-driven chip supply shortage and the proof is in surging EV deliveries. Impressive delivery rates for the month of June show that the market may underestimate NIO's growth potential.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）正在从大流行导致的芯片供应短缺中迅速反弹，电动汽车交付量激增就是证明。6月份令人印象深刻的交付率表明市场可能低估了蔚来的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Shipping volumes are accelerating</b></p><p><blockquote><b>出货量正在加速</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO guided for lower production volumes in the second quarter due to the global chip and battery supply shortage. The shortage was set to&nbsp;reduce NIO's factory output&nbsp;from 10,000 vehicles to 7,500 vehicles a month.</p><p><blockquote>由于全球芯片和电池供应短缺，蔚来预计第二季度产量将下降。此次短缺将使蔚来工厂的产量从每月10,000辆减少到7,500辆。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor supply shortage has its roots in the COVID-19 pandemic. As more people started to work from home, a sharp increase in demand for semiconductors from the consumer electronics industry coincided with a faster than anticipated rebound in chip demand from the auto industry, leading to a global shortage in semiconductors that is throttling auto production from the US to China. NIO's guidance for lower factory output has lowered delivery expectations but a return to triple-digit growth rates may now push NIO's stock higher again.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体供应短缺的根源在于COVID-19大流行。随着越来越多的人开始在家工作，消费电子行业对半导体的需求急剧增加，而汽车行业的芯片需求反弹速度快于预期，导致全球半导体短缺，抑制了美国到中国的汽车生产。蔚来对工厂产出下降的指导降低了交付预期，但恢复三位数的增长率现在可能会推动蔚来股价再次走高。</blockquote></p><p> While the temporary production drop was a setback for NIO, it seems that the electric vehicle maker is ready to bounce back.NIO's June deliveries&nbsp;were nothing short of impressive and the market may underestimate NIO's ability to grow EV deliveries at triple digits this year. The Chinese EV maker delivered a total 8,083 vehicles in June, bringing the Q2'21 total to 21,896 EVs consisting of all models… NIO's 5-seater electric SUV ES6, the 5-seater electric coupe SUV EC6 and the 6-seater or 7-seater electric SUV ES8. NIO's monthly and quarterly delivery totals hit records in the second quarter and the EV maker is set to reach new records for the rest of the year. Total June deliveries saw 116% growth Y/Y with the largest growth coming from the ES6 model. The ES6 category saw 52% growth Y/Y. Total deliveries for Q2'21 were 21,896, most of which were ES6s, showing growth of 112% Y/Y… and that's despite production problems in the second quarter. Comparable figures for the EC6 are not available since deliveries for this model only began after the second quarter last year. What stands out from NIO's June delivery report is that shipping growth is speeding up compared to the previous month, which may be seen as a sign that NIO's delivery capabilities are undervalued. In May, NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles which is equivalent to a Y/Y growth rate of 95%. Strong delivery numbers for the month of June may be a cue that NIO's production problems are easing and that NIO is ready to return to full production capacity.</p><p><blockquote>虽然暂时的产量下降对蔚来来说是一个挫折，但这家电动汽车制造商似乎已准备好反弹。蔚来6月份的交付量令人印象深刻，市场可能低估了蔚来今年电动汽车交付量以三位数增长的能力。这家中国电动汽车制造商在6月份共交付了8,083辆汽车，使21年第二季度的电动汽车总数达到21,896辆，包括所有车型……蔚来的5座电动SUV ES6、5座电动轿跑车SUV EC6和6座或7座电动SUV ES8。蔚来第二季度的月度和季度交付总量创下纪录，这家电动汽车制造商将在今年剩余时间内创下新纪录。6月份总交付量同比增长116%，其中ES6车型增长最大。ES6类别同比增长52%。21年第二季度的总交付量为21,896辆，其中大部分是ES6，同比增长112%……尽管第二季度出现了生产问题。EC6的可比数据不可用，因为该车型在去年第二季度之后才开始交付。蔚来6月交付报告中值得注意的是，与上个月相比，航运增长正在加快，这可能被视为蔚来交付能力被低估的迹象。5月份，蔚来交付汽车6,711辆，同比增长率为95%。6月份强劲的交付数据可能表明蔚来的生产问题正在缓解，蔚来已准备好恢复满负荷产能。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af76b71f8259337d534fb29b1a6a8c4\" tg-width=\"673\" tg-height=\"129\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles which the EV maker is not fully utilizing due to the semiconductor shortage. As soon as the chip shortage eases, which can be expected to be the case in the second half of the year, we should see a steady ramp up in NIO's factory output and deliveries. The speed of the ramp up will depend less on demand but rather on the severity of the supply shortage. The semiconductor shortage is a primary risk factor that will impact NIO's delivery success in the remaining two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的年产能为15万辆汽车，但由于半导体短缺，该电动汽车制造商并未充分利用该产能。一旦芯片短缺问题得到缓解（预计下半年的情况），我们应该会看到蔚来工厂产量和交付量稳步上升。增长的速度将不太取决于需求，而是取决于供应短缺的严重程度。半导体短缺是影响蔚来在剩余两个季度交付成功的主要风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> The market for electric vehicles is very resilient in China and demand for zero-emission passenger vehicles is not going away due to delays in production, which may be a sort of luxury problem for Chinese EV makers. NIO's EV sales in China have surged this year, but the second half of the year may see even faster growth as the industry works through the supply problem.</p><p><blockquote>中国的电动汽车市场非常有弹性，对零排放乘用车的需求不会因为生产延迟而消失，这对中国电动汽车制造商来说可能是一种奢侈问题。蔚来今年在华电动汽车销量激增，但随着该行业解决供应问题，下半年可能会出现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7579fc2abe7ca63887e68a9256b54cb3\" tg-width=\"921\" tg-height=\"438\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> XPeng (XPEV), another Chinese electric vehicle maker,delivered&nbsp;6,565 Smart EVs in June 2021, representing growth of 617% Y/Y. XPeng sold 4,730 electric sport sedans and 1,835 compact SUVs last month, more than ever before. In Q2'21, XPeng delivered 17,398 deliveries, representing 439% growth Y/Y.</p><p><blockquote>另一家中国电动汽车制造商小鹏汽车(XPEV)于2021年6月交付了6,565辆智能电动汽车，同比增长617%。小鹏汽车上个月售出了4,730辆电动运动轿车和1,835辆紧凑型SUV，比以往任何时候都多。21年第二季度，小鹏汽车交付量为17,398辆，同比增长439%。</blockquote></p><p> XPeng's EV sales in China are also soaring showing strong demand and customer uptake of EV vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车在中国的电动汽车销量也在飙升，显示出电动汽车的强劲需求和客户接受度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c8cd25b4fd64f193bc91dabbee99e54\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"445\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>NIO FY 2021 delivery projections</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来2021财年交付预测</b></blockquote></p><p> My estimates for Q3'21 and Q4'21 deliveries are shown in the graph below and assume a ramp up especially in NIO's ES6 delivery capability and a continual escalation to a quarterly output of 30,000 vehicles by year-end. A quarterly output volume of around 30,000 cars by year-end is realistic to achieve and NIO would still be operating 20% below full production capacity. Calculating the delivery totals for Q1 and Q2 together with my estimates for Q3 and Q4 results in a total delivery potential of 97,056 vehicles (across all three models) in FY 2021 and NIO may even be able to crack the 100,000 barrier if shipment volumes continue to accelerate at a strong rate in the last two quarters of the year. NIO delivered 43,728 vehicles in 2020 in total, so a 97,056 delivery estimate for 2021 implies 122% Y/Y growth. In the first six months of 2021, NIO already delivered 41,956 or 43% of my FY 2021 delivery estimate. As production returns to normal in the second half of the year, NIO should be able to create triple-digit delivery growth on a Y/Y basis.</p><p><blockquote>我对21年第3季度和21年第4季度交付量的估计如下图所示，并假设蔚来的ES6交付能力将有所提高，并且到年底季度产量将持续升级至30,000辆。到年底实现约30,000辆汽车的季度产量是现实的，而蔚来的运营仍将比满负荷产能低20%。计算第一季度和第二季度的交付总量以及我对第三季度和第四季度的估计，2021财年的总交付潜力为97,056辆汽车（包括所有三种车型），如果出货量继续增长，蔚来甚至可能能够突破100,000辆大关今年最后两个季度以强劲的速度加速。蔚来在2020年总共交付了43,728辆汽车，因此2021年的交付量预计为97,056辆，意味着同比增长122%。2021年前六个月，蔚来已交付41,956辆，占我2021财年交付预期的43%。随着下半年生产恢复正常，蔚来应该能够创造三位数的同比交付增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb01be329ab1b6d9a6097e74a1d5b250\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"116\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO's sales growth is cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的销售增长很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> EV makers are not cheap and that is because the market values sales and delivery growth more than anything. NIO trades at a P-S ratio of 9.4 and the valuation multiplier factor is not that much different from other EV makers. Compared against Tesla (TSLA), which trades at a P-S ratio of 9.9, NIO has more revaluation potential because it operates in a larger market and has a lower revenue base.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商的价格并不便宜，这是因为市场最看重销售和交付增长。蔚来的市盈率为9.4，估值乘数因素与其他电动汽车制造商没有太大区别。与市盈率为9.9的特斯拉(TSLA)相比，蔚来具有更大的重估潜力，因为它在更大的市场中运营且收入基础较低。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84e0cee1726c807b6b7d04f4f4e44f2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The chip supply shortage is still a major risk factor for NIO and it will have an impact on NIO's Q3 and Q4 production output... which will be below potential. As conditions normalize slowly in the second half, NIO should be able to ramp up factory output and deliveries. While delivery growth rates are influenced by factors outside of NIO's operations, they also represent a big opportunity for NIO to surprise the market. Better than expected growth rates and a fast return to full production could create fertile ground for stock price appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>芯片供应短缺仍然是蔚来的一个主要风险因素，它将对蔚来第三季度和第四季度的产量产生影响...这将低于电位。随着下半年情况慢慢正常化，蔚来应该能够提高工厂产量和交付量。虽然交付增长率受到蔚来运营之外因素的影响，但它们也代表着蔚来给市场带来惊喜的巨大机会。好于预期的增长率和快速恢复全面生产可能会为股价升值创造沃土。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO may be growing faster than expected in 2021 as the chip supply shortage eases and a strong rebound in the second half of the year could push NIO to hit the critical 100,000 annual delivery milestone. Demand for EVs remained strong in 2021 and Chinese EV makers are killing it. I believe 120% Y/Y growth in annual deliveries is possible in 2021 as factory output normalizes in the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>随着芯片供应短缺的缓解，蔚来在2021年的增长速度可能会快于预期，下半年的强劲反弹可能会推动蔚来达到关键的10万辆年交付里程碑。2021年电动汽车需求依然强劲，而中国电动汽车制造商正在扼杀这一需求。我相信，随着下半年工厂产出正常化，2021年全年交付量有可能同比增长120%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437606-nio-may-grow-faster-than-expected\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437606-nio-may-grow-faster-than-expected","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120590567","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.\nThe Chinese EV maker returned to triple-digit delivery growth last month, helped by strong Y/Y growth in NIO’s flagship model ES6.\nNIO is set to overcome production setbacks and ramp up production in the second half of 2021.\n\npeterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images\nChinese electric vehicle maker NIO (NIO) is rebounding fast from the pandemic-driven chip supply shortage and the proof is in surging EV deliveries. Impressive delivery rates for the month of June show that the market may underestimate NIO's growth potential.\nShipping volumes are accelerating\nNIO guided for lower production volumes in the second quarter due to the global chip and battery supply shortage. The shortage was set to reduce NIO's factory output from 10,000 vehicles to 7,500 vehicles a month.\nThe global semiconductor supply shortage has its roots in the COVID-19 pandemic. As more people started to work from home, a sharp increase in demand for semiconductors from the consumer electronics industry coincided with a faster than anticipated rebound in chip demand from the auto industry, leading to a global shortage in semiconductors that is throttling auto production from the US to China. NIO's guidance for lower factory output has lowered delivery expectations but a return to triple-digit growth rates may now push NIO's stock higher again.\nWhile the temporary production drop was a setback for NIO, it seems that the electric vehicle maker is ready to bounce back.NIO's June deliveries were nothing short of impressive and the market may underestimate NIO's ability to grow EV deliveries at triple digits this year. The Chinese EV maker delivered a total 8,083 vehicles in June, bringing the Q2'21 total to 21,896 EVs consisting of all models… NIO's 5-seater electric SUV ES6, the 5-seater electric coupe SUV EC6 and the 6-seater or 7-seater electric SUV ES8. NIO's monthly and quarterly delivery totals hit records in the second quarter and the EV maker is set to reach new records for the rest of the year. Total June deliveries saw 116% growth Y/Y with the largest growth coming from the ES6 model. The ES6 category saw 52% growth Y/Y. Total deliveries for Q2'21 were 21,896, most of which were ES6s, showing growth of 112% Y/Y… and that's despite production problems in the second quarter. Comparable figures for the EC6 are not available since deliveries for this model only began after the second quarter last year. What stands out from NIO's June delivery report is that shipping growth is speeding up compared to the previous month, which may be seen as a sign that NIO's delivery capabilities are undervalued. In May, NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles which is equivalent to a Y/Y growth rate of 95%. Strong delivery numbers for the month of June may be a cue that NIO's production problems are easing and that NIO is ready to return to full production capacity.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO has an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles which the EV maker is not fully utilizing due to the semiconductor shortage. As soon as the chip shortage eases, which can be expected to be the case in the second half of the year, we should see a steady ramp up in NIO's factory output and deliveries. The speed of the ramp up will depend less on demand but rather on the severity of the supply shortage. The semiconductor shortage is a primary risk factor that will impact NIO's delivery success in the remaining two quarters.\nThe market for electric vehicles is very resilient in China and demand for zero-emission passenger vehicles is not going away due to delays in production, which may be a sort of luxury problem for Chinese EV makers. NIO's EV sales in China have surged this year, but the second half of the year may see even faster growth as the industry works through the supply problem.\n(Source:InsideEVs)\nXPeng (XPEV), another Chinese electric vehicle maker,delivered 6,565 Smart EVs in June 2021, representing growth of 617% Y/Y. XPeng sold 4,730 electric sport sedans and 1,835 compact SUVs last month, more than ever before. In Q2'21, XPeng delivered 17,398 deliveries, representing 439% growth Y/Y.\nXPeng's EV sales in China are also soaring showing strong demand and customer uptake of EV vehicles.\n(Source:InsideEVs)\nNIO FY 2021 delivery projections\nMy estimates for Q3'21 and Q4'21 deliveries are shown in the graph below and assume a ramp up especially in NIO's ES6 delivery capability and a continual escalation to a quarterly output of 30,000 vehicles by year-end. A quarterly output volume of around 30,000 cars by year-end is realistic to achieve and NIO would still be operating 20% below full production capacity. Calculating the delivery totals for Q1 and Q2 together with my estimates for Q3 and Q4 results in a total delivery potential of 97,056 vehicles (across all three models) in FY 2021 and NIO may even be able to crack the 100,000 barrier if shipment volumes continue to accelerate at a strong rate in the last two quarters of the year. NIO delivered 43,728 vehicles in 2020 in total, so a 97,056 delivery estimate for 2021 implies 122% Y/Y growth. In the first six months of 2021, NIO already delivered 41,956 or 43% of my FY 2021 delivery estimate. As production returns to normal in the second half of the year, NIO should be able to create triple-digit delivery growth on a Y/Y basis.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO's sales growth is cheap\nEV makers are not cheap and that is because the market values sales and delivery growth more than anything. NIO trades at a P-S ratio of 9.4 and the valuation multiplier factor is not that much different from other EV makers. Compared against Tesla (TSLA), which trades at a P-S ratio of 9.9, NIO has more revaluation potential because it operates in a larger market and has a lower revenue base.\nData by YCharts\nRisks\nThe chip supply shortage is still a major risk factor for NIO and it will have an impact on NIO's Q3 and Q4 production output... which will be below potential. As conditions normalize slowly in the second half, NIO should be able to ramp up factory output and deliveries. While delivery growth rates are influenced by factors outside of NIO's operations, they also represent a big opportunity for NIO to surprise the market. Better than expected growth rates and a fast return to full production could create fertile ground for stock price appreciation.\nFinal thoughts\nNIO may be growing faster than expected in 2021 as the chip supply shortage eases and a strong rebound in the second half of the year could push NIO to hit the critical 100,000 annual delivery milestone. Demand for EVs remained strong in 2021 and Chinese EV makers are killing it. I believe 120% Y/Y growth in annual deliveries is possible in 2021 as factory output normalizes in the second half of the year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156990704,"gmtCreate":1625189166508,"gmtModify":1631885224652,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"tesla gogogo","listText":"tesla gogogo","text":"tesla gogogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156990704","repostId":"2148820668","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151057815,"gmtCreate":1625059964137,"gmtModify":1631885224670,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls like &amp; comment","listText":"pls like &amp; comment","text":"pls like & comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151057815","repostId":"1195094821","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128353005,"gmtCreate":1624502844707,"gmtModify":1631885224675,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hope it can maintain&nbsp;[保佑]&nbsp;","listText":"hope it can maintain&nbsp;[保佑]&nbsp;","text":"hope it can maintain [保佑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128353005","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":167248559,"gmtCreate":1624273565271,"gmtModify":1631885224685,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167248559","repostId":"1147979715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":164959989,"gmtCreate":1624167306341,"gmtModify":1631885224697,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577278649305758","authorIdStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"is it a bull or a bear??🐮🐻","listText":"is it a bull or a bear??🐮🐻","text":"is it a bull or a bear??🐮🐻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164959989","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":912,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":340014186,"gmtCreate":1617322518545,"gmtModify":1634521464222,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577278649305758","idStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"lets go....like &amp; comment pls","listText":"lets go....like &amp; comment pls","text":"lets go....like & comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340014186","repostId":"1103381745","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342120359,"gmtCreate":1618191760071,"gmtModify":1634294528835,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577278649305758","idStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"release the bull...pls like &amp; comment","listText":"release the bull...pls like &amp; comment","text":"release the bull...pls like & comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342120359","repostId":"2126035702","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2126035702","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1618189189,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2126035702?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-12 08:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How much higher will this bull market go?<blockquote>这轮牛市会涨到多高？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2126035702","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The lessons of past U.S. bull marketsErnesto Benavides/AFP via Getty ImagesThis bull market's strong","content":"<p>The lessons of past U.S. bull markets</p><p><blockquote>美国过去牛市的教训</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a880e4a04ded029efefe9b3e3d87dc06\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Ernesto Benavides/AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>埃内斯托·贝纳维德斯/法新社，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p>This bull market's strongest gains are behind us.</p><p><blockquote>本轮牛市最强劲的涨幅已经过去。</blockquote></p><p>That's the conclusion I reached upon analyzing all U.S. bull markets since 1900. The good news is that, assuming the future is like the past, the current bull market still has more months of life in store. The bad news is that the stock market's gains during those months are likely to be far more modest than what we've gotten used to over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>这是我在分析1900年以来所有美国牛市后得出的结论。好消息是，假设未来像过去一样，当前的牛市还有更多几个月的生命。坏消息是，这几个月股市的涨幅可能比我们过去12个月所习惯的要温和得多。</blockquote></p><p>This suggests that we should not extrapolate the last 12 months' gains into the future.</p><p><blockquote>这表明我们不应该将过去12个月的涨幅外推到未来。</blockquote></p><p>My analysis takes issue with those analysts who argue that the stock market's strength over the last 12 months is a bullish omen. In fact there's nothing particularly unusual about how strong the market was coming off its March 23, 2020, low.</p><p><blockquote>我的分析对那些认为股市过去12个月的走强是看涨预兆的分析师提出了质疑。事实上，市场从2020年3月23日的低点走出的强劲程度并没有什么特别不寻常的。</blockquote></p><p>That may seem hard to believe, given that the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained an incredible 74.4% over the 12 months from that low. But there actually are three other bull markets since 1900 in the calendar maintained by Ned Davis Research in which the Dow rose even more over the 12 months subsequent to their beginnings. The bull market that began following the Great Financial Crisis was not <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of those three, but it came close: In the 12 months following the Mar. 9, 2009, low, for example, the DJIA gained 61.4%.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎令人难以置信，因为道琼斯工业平均指数在12个月内从该低点上涨了令人难以置信的74.4%。但实际上，在Ned Davis Research维护的日历中，自1900年以来还有另外三次牛市，其中道琼斯指数在开始后的12个月内涨幅更大。大金融危机后开始的牛市并不是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>在这三个国家中，但已经接近了：例如，在2009年3月9日低点之后的12个月里，道琼斯上涨了61.4%。</blockquote></p><p>The general pattern is that bull markets typically are strongest right after they're born: More than half of bull markets' total gains are produced in their first 12 months, on average. Consider the average bull market in the Ned Davis calendar. Not counting the current <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, there were 37 since 1900. Of them, nine--or 24%--didn't make it to their first birthdays. The remaining 28 lived to be 2.7 years old and during them the DJIA gained a total of 93.9%. If the current bull market is \"average,\" therefore, it will continue until November of next year--but produce only a modest gain from now until then.</p><p><blockquote>一般模式是，牛市通常在诞生后最强劲：平均而言，牛市总收益的一半以上是在前12个月产生的。考虑一下内德·戴维斯日历中的平均牛市。不算电流<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>自1900年以来有37个。其中，9人（24%）没能活到一岁生日。剩下的28只活到了2.7岁，在此期间，道琼斯总共增加了93.9%。因此，如果当前的牛市“一般”，它将持续到明年11月，但从现在到那时只会产生适度的收益。</blockquote></p><p>Furthermore, the market's prospects may actually be more subdued because of its first-12-months strength. That's because there is a weak inverse correlation between a bull market's return it its first 12 months and how strong it is thereafter: Bull markets with the strongest first years tend not to last as long, or rise as far, as those bull markets that are slower to take off. (Note that this correlation is statistically weak, however, so you shouldn't make too much of it.)</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于前12个月的强势，市场前景实际上可能更加黯淡。这是因为牛市在前12个月的回报与此后的强劲程度之间存在微弱的负相关：第一年最强劲的牛市往往不会像那些牛市那样持续那么长时间或上涨那么远起飞速度较慢。（不过，请注意，这种相关性在统计上很弱，所以你不应该过分强调它。）</blockquote></p><p><b>What stock market return should you expect going forward?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来你应该期待什么样的股市回报？</b></blockquote></p><p>What future equity return, then, should retirees and near-retirees assume in constructing their financial plans?</p><p><blockquote>那么，退休人员和接近退休人员在制定财务计划时应该假设什么样的未来股权回报呢？</blockquote></p><p>The efficient market hypothesis <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMH.UK\">$(EMH.UK)$</a> tells us that the stock market's expected return at any given time is independent of what has happened up until that point. That's because the stock market is a forward-looking, discounting mechanism. So its future return will be a function of whether the future turns out to be better or worse than what is currently anticipated--not by how the market has performed up until now.</p><p><blockquote>有效市场假说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMH.UK\">$(EMH.UK)$</a>告诉我们，股票市场在任何给定时间的预期回报都与该时间之前发生的事情无关。这是因为股票市场是一种前瞻性的贴现机制。因此，它未来的回报将取决于未来是比目前预期的更好还是更差，而不是取决于市场迄今为止的表现。</blockquote></p><p>The stock market's has produced an inflation-adjusted total return of 6.0% annualized since 1793, according to research conducted by Edward McQuarrie, a professor emeritus at the Leavey School of Business at Santa Clara University . So if you were agnostic about where we are in the stock market's cycle, and assuming the future is like the past, that's the expected return to imbed in your financial plans.</p><p><blockquote>根据圣克拉拉大学利维商学院名誉教授爱德华·麦夸里(Edward McQuarrie)进行的研究，自1793年以来，股市经通胀调整后的年化总回报率为6.0%。因此，如果您不知道我们在股市周期中所处的位置，并假设未来与过去一样，那么这就是您财务计划中的预期回报。</blockquote></p><p>You may not adhere to the EMH, of course. Or you may worry that, since the stock market is overvalued currently according to any of a number of valuation measures, its expected return going forward is lower than average. I share that worry, as I have written in recent columns .</p><p><blockquote>当然，你可能不会坚持有效市场假说。或者您可能会担心，由于根据多种估值指标中的任何一种，股市目前被高估，因此其未来的预期回报低于平均水平。正如我在最近的专栏中所写的那样，我也有同样的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>But even if you don't lower your expected return assumption because of overvaluation concerns, notice that the expected equity return you should include in your financial plan rises only to 6.0% annualized on an inflation- and dividend-adjusted basis. That's still far short of what the stock market produced over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但即使您没有因为高估担忧而降低预期回报假设，请注意，在通胀和股息调整后，您应该包含在财务计划中的预期股权回报率年化仅升至6.0%。这仍远低于股市过去12个月的表现。</blockquote></p><p>Trees don't grow to the sky, as John Maynard Keynes wrote a century ago. We forget that at our peril.</p><p><blockquote>正如约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯一个世纪前所写的那样，树木不会长到天空。我们忘记了这一点，后果自负。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How much higher will this bull market go?<blockquote>这轮牛市会涨到多高？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow much higher will this bull market go?<blockquote>这轮牛市会涨到多高？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-12 08:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The lessons of past U.S. bull markets</p><p><blockquote>美国过去牛市的教训</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a880e4a04ded029efefe9b3e3d87dc06\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Ernesto Benavides/AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>埃内斯托·贝纳维德斯/法新社，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p>This bull market's strongest gains are behind us.</p><p><blockquote>本轮牛市最强劲的涨幅已经过去。</blockquote></p><p>That's the conclusion I reached upon analyzing all U.S. bull markets since 1900. The good news is that, assuming the future is like the past, the current bull market still has more months of life in store. The bad news is that the stock market's gains during those months are likely to be far more modest than what we've gotten used to over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>这是我在分析1900年以来所有美国牛市后得出的结论。好消息是，假设未来像过去一样，当前的牛市还有更多几个月的生命。坏消息是，这几个月股市的涨幅可能比我们过去12个月所习惯的要温和得多。</blockquote></p><p>This suggests that we should not extrapolate the last 12 months' gains into the future.</p><p><blockquote>这表明我们不应该将过去12个月的涨幅外推到未来。</blockquote></p><p>My analysis takes issue with those analysts who argue that the stock market's strength over the last 12 months is a bullish omen. In fact there's nothing particularly unusual about how strong the market was coming off its March 23, 2020, low.</p><p><blockquote>我的分析对那些认为股市过去12个月的走强是看涨预兆的分析师提出了质疑。事实上，市场从2020年3月23日的低点走出的强劲程度并没有什么特别不寻常的。</blockquote></p><p>That may seem hard to believe, given that the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained an incredible 74.4% over the 12 months from that low. But there actually are three other bull markets since 1900 in the calendar maintained by Ned Davis Research in which the Dow rose even more over the 12 months subsequent to their beginnings. The bull market that began following the Great Financial Crisis was not <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of those three, but it came close: In the 12 months following the Mar. 9, 2009, low, for example, the DJIA gained 61.4%.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎令人难以置信，因为道琼斯工业平均指数在12个月内从该低点上涨了令人难以置信的74.4%。但实际上，在Ned Davis Research维护的日历中，自1900年以来还有另外三次牛市，其中道琼斯指数在开始后的12个月内涨幅更大。大金融危机后开始的牛市并不是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>在这三个国家中，但已经接近了：例如，在2009年3月9日低点之后的12个月里，道琼斯上涨了61.4%。</blockquote></p><p>The general pattern is that bull markets typically are strongest right after they're born: More than half of bull markets' total gains are produced in their first 12 months, on average. Consider the average bull market in the Ned Davis calendar. Not counting the current <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, there were 37 since 1900. Of them, nine--or 24%--didn't make it to their first birthdays. The remaining 28 lived to be 2.7 years old and during them the DJIA gained a total of 93.9%. If the current bull market is \"average,\" therefore, it will continue until November of next year--but produce only a modest gain from now until then.</p><p><blockquote>一般模式是，牛市通常在诞生后最强劲：平均而言，牛市总收益的一半以上是在前12个月产生的。考虑一下内德·戴维斯日历中的平均牛市。不算电流<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>自1900年以来有37个。其中，9人（24%）没能活到一岁生日。剩下的28只活到了2.7岁，在此期间，道琼斯总共增加了93.9%。因此，如果当前的牛市“一般”，它将持续到明年11月，但从现在到那时只会产生适度的收益。</blockquote></p><p>Furthermore, the market's prospects may actually be more subdued because of its first-12-months strength. That's because there is a weak inverse correlation between a bull market's return it its first 12 months and how strong it is thereafter: Bull markets with the strongest first years tend not to last as long, or rise as far, as those bull markets that are slower to take off. (Note that this correlation is statistically weak, however, so you shouldn't make too much of it.)</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于前12个月的强势，市场前景实际上可能更加黯淡。这是因为牛市在前12个月的回报与此后的强劲程度之间存在微弱的负相关：第一年最强劲的牛市往往不会像那些牛市那样持续那么长时间或上涨那么远起飞速度较慢。（不过，请注意，这种相关性在统计上很弱，所以你不应该过分强调它。）</blockquote></p><p><b>What stock market return should you expect going forward?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来你应该期待什么样的股市回报？</b></blockquote></p><p>What future equity return, then, should retirees and near-retirees assume in constructing their financial plans?</p><p><blockquote>那么，退休人员和接近退休人员在制定财务计划时应该假设什么样的未来股权回报呢？</blockquote></p><p>The efficient market hypothesis <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMH.UK\">$(EMH.UK)$</a> tells us that the stock market's expected return at any given time is independent of what has happened up until that point. That's because the stock market is a forward-looking, discounting mechanism. So its future return will be a function of whether the future turns out to be better or worse than what is currently anticipated--not by how the market has performed up until now.</p><p><blockquote>有效市场假说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMH.UK\">$(EMH.UK)$</a>告诉我们，股票市场在任何给定时间的预期回报都与该时间之前发生的事情无关。这是因为股票市场是一种前瞻性的贴现机制。因此，它未来的回报将取决于未来是比目前预期的更好还是更差，而不是取决于市场迄今为止的表现。</blockquote></p><p>The stock market's has produced an inflation-adjusted total return of 6.0% annualized since 1793, according to research conducted by Edward McQuarrie, a professor emeritus at the Leavey School of Business at Santa Clara University . So if you were agnostic about where we are in the stock market's cycle, and assuming the future is like the past, that's the expected return to imbed in your financial plans.</p><p><blockquote>根据圣克拉拉大学利维商学院名誉教授爱德华·麦夸里(Edward McQuarrie)进行的研究，自1793年以来，股市经通胀调整后的年化总回报率为6.0%。因此，如果您不知道我们在股市周期中所处的位置，并假设未来与过去一样，那么这就是您财务计划中的预期回报。</blockquote></p><p>You may not adhere to the EMH, of course. Or you may worry that, since the stock market is overvalued currently according to any of a number of valuation measures, its expected return going forward is lower than average. I share that worry, as I have written in recent columns .</p><p><blockquote>当然，你可能不会坚持有效市场假说。或者您可能会担心，由于根据多种估值指标中的任何一种，股市目前被高估，因此其未来的预期回报低于平均水平。正如我在最近的专栏中所写的那样，我也有同样的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>But even if you don't lower your expected return assumption because of overvaluation concerns, notice that the expected equity return you should include in your financial plan rises only to 6.0% annualized on an inflation- and dividend-adjusted basis. That's still far short of what the stock market produced over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但即使您没有因为高估担忧而降低预期回报假设，请注意，在通胀和股息调整后，您应该包含在财务计划中的预期股权回报率年化仅升至6.0%。这仍远低于股市过去12个月的表现。</blockquote></p><p>Trees don't grow to the sky, as John Maynard Keynes wrote a century ago. We forget that at our peril.</p><p><blockquote>正如约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯一个世纪前所写的那样，树木不会长到天空。我们忘记了这一点，后果自负。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-much-higher-will-this-bull-market-go-11617981444?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".DJI":"道琼斯","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-much-higher-will-this-bull-market-go-11617981444?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2126035702","content_text":"The lessons of past U.S. bull marketsErnesto Benavides/AFP via Getty ImagesThis bull market's strongest gains are behind us.That's the conclusion I reached upon analyzing all U.S. bull markets since 1900. The good news is that, assuming the future is like the past, the current bull market still has more months of life in store. The bad news is that the stock market's gains during those months are likely to be far more modest than what we've gotten used to over the last 12 months.This suggests that we should not extrapolate the last 12 months' gains into the future.My analysis takes issue with those analysts who argue that the stock market's strength over the last 12 months is a bullish omen. In fact there's nothing particularly unusual about how strong the market was coming off its March 23, 2020, low.That may seem hard to believe, given that the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained an incredible 74.4% over the 12 months from that low. But there actually are three other bull markets since 1900 in the calendar maintained by Ned Davis Research in which the Dow rose even more over the 12 months subsequent to their beginnings. The bull market that began following the Great Financial Crisis was not one of those three, but it came close: In the 12 months following the Mar. 9, 2009, low, for example, the DJIA gained 61.4%.The general pattern is that bull markets typically are strongest right after they're born: More than half of bull markets' total gains are produced in their first 12 months, on average. Consider the average bull market in the Ned Davis calendar. Not counting the current one, there were 37 since 1900. Of them, nine--or 24%--didn't make it to their first birthdays. The remaining 28 lived to be 2.7 years old and during them the DJIA gained a total of 93.9%. If the current bull market is \"average,\" therefore, it will continue until November of next year--but produce only a modest gain from now until then.Furthermore, the market's prospects may actually be more subdued because of its first-12-months strength. That's because there is a weak inverse correlation between a bull market's return it its first 12 months and how strong it is thereafter: Bull markets with the strongest first years tend not to last as long, or rise as far, as those bull markets that are slower to take off. (Note that this correlation is statistically weak, however, so you shouldn't make too much of it.)What stock market return should you expect going forward?What future equity return, then, should retirees and near-retirees assume in constructing their financial plans?The efficient market hypothesis $(EMH.UK)$ tells us that the stock market's expected return at any given time is independent of what has happened up until that point. That's because the stock market is a forward-looking, discounting mechanism. So its future return will be a function of whether the future turns out to be better or worse than what is currently anticipated--not by how the market has performed up until now.The stock market's has produced an inflation-adjusted total return of 6.0% annualized since 1793, according to research conducted by Edward McQuarrie, a professor emeritus at the Leavey School of Business at Santa Clara University . So if you were agnostic about where we are in the stock market's cycle, and assuming the future is like the past, that's the expected return to imbed in your financial plans.You may not adhere to the EMH, of course. Or you may worry that, since the stock market is overvalued currently according to any of a number of valuation measures, its expected return going forward is lower than average. I share that worry, as I have written in recent columns .But even if you don't lower your expected return assumption because of overvaluation concerns, notice that the expected equity return you should include in your financial plan rises only to 6.0% annualized on an inflation- and dividend-adjusted basis. That's still far short of what the stock market produced over the last 12 months.Trees don't grow to the sky, as John Maynard Keynes wrote a century ago. We forget that at our peril.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DJX":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"DDM":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"DOG":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344757562,"gmtCreate":1618445811156,"gmtModify":1634292921960,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577278649305758","idStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"not cool...pls like &amp; comment","listText":"not cool...pls like &amp; comment","text":"not cool...pls like & comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344757562","repostId":"1189551384","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190869965,"gmtCreate":1620611265457,"gmtModify":1634197733678,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577278649305758","idStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls comment &amp; like","listText":"pls comment &amp; like","text":"pls comment & like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190869965","repostId":"2134686276","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":375794782,"gmtCreate":1619396122046,"gmtModify":1634273876069,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577278649305758","idStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"positive...pls like &amp; comment","listText":"positive...pls like &amp; comment","text":"positive...pls like & comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375794782","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":359232166,"gmtCreate":1616402239355,"gmtModify":1634526039729,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577278649305758","idStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359232166","repostId":"1155967849","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155967849","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616400725,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155967849?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-22 16:12","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Temasek-backed CapitaLand to split into two as it seeks asset-light growth<blockquote>淡马锡支持的凯德置地将一分为二，寻求轻资产增长</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155967849","media":"reuters","summary":"SINGAPORE (Reuters) - CapitaLand Ltd, majority-owned by Singapore state investor Temasek, announced ","content":"<p>SINGAPORE (Reuters) - CapitaLand Ltd, majority-owned by Singapore state investor Temasek, announced on Monday plans to split itself into two in a strategy aimed at pursuing growth as an asset-light company.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡（路透社）-新加坡国有投资者淡马锡持有多数股权的凯德置地有限公司周一宣布，计划将自己一分为二，旨在寻求作为一家轻资产公司的增长。</blockquote></p><p> It is proposing to inject its real estate investment trusts and investment management unit into a separate listed Singapore entity and place its real estate development business under a Temasek unit.</p><p><blockquote>该公司提议将其房地产投资信托和投资管理部门注入一家独立的新加坡上市实体，并将其房地产开发业务置于淡马锡旗下。</blockquote></p><p> The restructuring move by CapitaLand comes after it posted its first annual loss in nearly two decades in 2020, and like rival property developers, faces a tough outlook due to the coronavirus pandemic. It is one of Asia’s largest real estate firms by assets with operations in Singapore, China, India and other markets.</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地(CapitaLand)采取重组举措之前，该公司在2020年公布了近二十年来的首次年度亏损，与竞争对手房地产开发商一样，由于冠状病毒大流行，该公司面临着严峻的前景。按资产计算，它是亚洲最大的房地产公司之一，业务遍及新加坡、中国、印度和其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> CapitaLand plans to merge its investment management platform and lodging business into a separate listed entity called CapitaLand Investment Management (CLIM).</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地计划将其投资管理平台和住宿业务合并为一个名为凯德置地投资管理（CLIM）的独立上市实体。</blockquote></p><p> The company will also place its real estate development business under private ownership of CLA Real Estate Holdings, an indirect fully owned unit of Temasek Holdings, which owns 52% of CapitaLand.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还将把其房地产开发业务置于CLA Real Estate Holdings的私人所有权之下，CLA Real Estate Holdings是淡马锡控股的间接全资子公司，后者拥有凯德置地52%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> “The overarching objective of the scheme is to sharpen the group’s focus and position it to be an asset-light and capital-efficient business through CLIM,” CapitaLand said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地在一份声明中表示：“该计划的总体目标是加强集团的重点，并通过CLIM将其定位为轻资产和资本高效的企业。”</blockquote></p><p> CLIM, which will be listed on the Singapore Exchange, is expected to become Asia’s largest real estate investment manager with assets under management of about S$115 billion ($85.7 billion). It will also hold stakes in CapitaLand’s listed real estate investment trusts and business trusts.</p><p><blockquote>CLIM将在新加坡交易所上市，预计将成为亚洲最大的房地产投资管理公司，管理资产约为1150亿新元（857亿美元）。它还将持有凯德置地上市房地产投资信托和商业信托的股份。</blockquote></p><p> CapitaLand will become the privatised development arm and hold a 51.8% stake in CLIM.</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地将成为私有化开发部门，并持有Clim 51.8%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> CapitaLand shareholders will receive an implied consideration of S$4.102 per share in cash and scrip, including a one-for-one equivalent stake in CLIM.</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地股东将以现金和股票的形式获得每股4.102新元的隐含对价，其中包括CLIM的一对一等值股份。</blockquote></p><p> Trading in CapitaLand’s shares was halted on Monday ahead of the announcement. Trading in units of its real estate investment trusts - Ascott Residence Trust, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Ascendas, CapitaLand China Trust and Ascendas India Trust - was also halted.</p><p><blockquote>在宣布这一消息之前，凯德置地的股票于周一暂停交易。其房地产投资信托基金——雅诗阁住宅信托、凯德综合商业信托、腾飞、凯德中国信托和腾飞印度信托——的单位交易也被暂停。</blockquote></p><p> CapitaLand has a market value of S$17.4 billion ($13 billion). The halted CapitaLand REITs have a total market value of S$33.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地的市值为174亿新元（130亿美元）。被叫停的凯德置地REITs总市值为336亿新元。</blockquote></p><p> ($1 = 1.3432 Singapore dollars)</p><p><blockquote>（1美元=1.3432新加坡元）</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Temasek-backed CapitaLand to split into two as it seeks asset-light growth<blockquote>淡马锡支持的凯德置地将一分为二，寻求轻资产增长</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTemasek-backed CapitaLand to split into two as it seeks asset-light growth<blockquote>淡马锡支持的凯德置地将一分为二，寻求轻资产增长</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-22 16:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SINGAPORE (Reuters) - CapitaLand Ltd, majority-owned by Singapore state investor Temasek, announced on Monday plans to split itself into two in a strategy aimed at pursuing growth as an asset-light company.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡（路透社）-新加坡国有投资者淡马锡持有多数股权的凯德置地有限公司周一宣布，计划将自己一分为二，旨在寻求作为一家轻资产公司的增长。</blockquote></p><p> It is proposing to inject its real estate investment trusts and investment management unit into a separate listed Singapore entity and place its real estate development business under a Temasek unit.</p><p><blockquote>该公司提议将其房地产投资信托和投资管理部门注入一家独立的新加坡上市实体，并将其房地产开发业务置于淡马锡旗下。</blockquote></p><p> The restructuring move by CapitaLand comes after it posted its first annual loss in nearly two decades in 2020, and like rival property developers, faces a tough outlook due to the coronavirus pandemic. It is one of Asia’s largest real estate firms by assets with operations in Singapore, China, India and other markets.</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地(CapitaLand)采取重组举措之前，该公司在2020年公布了近二十年来的首次年度亏损，与竞争对手房地产开发商一样，由于冠状病毒大流行，该公司面临着严峻的前景。按资产计算，它是亚洲最大的房地产公司之一，业务遍及新加坡、中国、印度和其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> CapitaLand plans to merge its investment management platform and lodging business into a separate listed entity called CapitaLand Investment Management (CLIM).</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地计划将其投资管理平台和住宿业务合并为一个名为凯德置地投资管理（CLIM）的独立上市实体。</blockquote></p><p> The company will also place its real estate development business under private ownership of CLA Real Estate Holdings, an indirect fully owned unit of Temasek Holdings, which owns 52% of CapitaLand.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还将把其房地产开发业务置于CLA Real Estate Holdings的私人所有权之下，CLA Real Estate Holdings是淡马锡控股的间接全资子公司，后者拥有凯德置地52%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> “The overarching objective of the scheme is to sharpen the group’s focus and position it to be an asset-light and capital-efficient business through CLIM,” CapitaLand said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地在一份声明中表示：“该计划的总体目标是加强集团的重点，并通过CLIM将其定位为轻资产和资本高效的企业。”</blockquote></p><p> CLIM, which will be listed on the Singapore Exchange, is expected to become Asia’s largest real estate investment manager with assets under management of about S$115 billion ($85.7 billion). It will also hold stakes in CapitaLand’s listed real estate investment trusts and business trusts.</p><p><blockquote>CLIM将在新加坡交易所上市，预计将成为亚洲最大的房地产投资管理公司，管理资产约为1150亿新元（857亿美元）。它还将持有凯德置地上市房地产投资信托和商业信托的股份。</blockquote></p><p> CapitaLand will become the privatised development arm and hold a 51.8% stake in CLIM.</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地将成为私有化开发部门，并持有Clim 51.8%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> CapitaLand shareholders will receive an implied consideration of S$4.102 per share in cash and scrip, including a one-for-one equivalent stake in CLIM.</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地股东将以现金和股票的形式获得每股4.102新元的隐含对价，其中包括CLIM的一对一等值股份。</blockquote></p><p> Trading in CapitaLand’s shares was halted on Monday ahead of the announcement. Trading in units of its real estate investment trusts - Ascott Residence Trust, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Ascendas, CapitaLand China Trust and Ascendas India Trust - was also halted.</p><p><blockquote>在宣布这一消息之前，凯德置地的股票于周一暂停交易。其房地产投资信托基金——雅诗阁住宅信托、凯德综合商业信托、腾飞、凯德中国信托和腾飞印度信托——的单位交易也被暂停。</blockquote></p><p> CapitaLand has a market value of S$17.4 billion ($13 billion). The halted CapitaLand REITs have a total market value of S$33.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>凯德置地的市值为174亿新元（130亿美元）。被叫停的凯德置地REITs总市值为336亿新元。</blockquote></p><p> ($1 = 1.3432 Singapore dollars)</p><p><blockquote>（1美元=1.3432新加坡元）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-capitaland-reits/temasek-backed-capitaland-to-split-into-two-as-it-seeks-asset-light-growth-idUSKBN2BE0GI\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-capitaland-reits/temasek-backed-capitaland-to-split-into-two-as-it-seeks-asset-light-growth-idUSKBN2BE0GI","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155967849","content_text":"SINGAPORE (Reuters) - CapitaLand Ltd, majority-owned by Singapore state investor Temasek, announced on Monday plans to split itself into two in a strategy aimed at pursuing growth as an asset-light company.\nIt is proposing to inject its real estate investment trusts and investment management unit into a separate listed Singapore entity and place its real estate development business under a Temasek unit.\nThe restructuring move by CapitaLand comes after it posted its first annual loss in nearly two decades in 2020, and like rival property developers, faces a tough outlook due to the coronavirus pandemic. It is one of Asia’s largest real estate firms by assets with operations in Singapore, China, India and other markets.\nCapitaLand plans to merge its investment management platform and lodging business into a separate listed entity called CapitaLand Investment Management (CLIM).\nThe company will also place its real estate development business under private ownership of CLA Real Estate Holdings, an indirect fully owned unit of Temasek Holdings, which owns 52% of CapitaLand.\n“The overarching objective of the scheme is to sharpen the group’s focus and position it to be an asset-light and capital-efficient business through CLIM,” CapitaLand said in a statement.\nCLIM, which will be listed on the Singapore Exchange, is expected to become Asia’s largest real estate investment manager with assets under management of about S$115 billion ($85.7 billion). It will also hold stakes in CapitaLand’s listed real estate investment trusts and business trusts.\nCapitaLand will become the privatised development arm and hold a 51.8% stake in CLIM.\nCapitaLand shareholders will receive an implied consideration of S$4.102 per share in cash and scrip, including a one-for-one equivalent stake in CLIM.\nTrading in CapitaLand’s shares was halted on Monday ahead of the announcement. Trading in units of its real estate investment trusts - Ascott Residence Trust, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Ascendas, CapitaLand China Trust and Ascendas India Trust - was also halted.\nCapitaLand has a market value of S$17.4 billion ($13 billion). The halted CapitaLand REITs have a total market value of S$33.6 billion.\n($1 = 1.3432 Singapore dollars)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830934724,"gmtCreate":1628999381268,"gmtModify":1631885224471,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577278649305758","idStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830934724","repostId":"2159214569","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2159214569","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1628989290,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2159214569?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159214569","media":"MarkeWatch","summary":"Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.So where does Nio $$","content":"<p>Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来可能是一家相对较小的公司。但投资者看好这家中国电动汽车制造商的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459f713c5dfcf08752165d643a5f1463\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>上海市中心的一家蔚来店。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来在美国不销售汽车，其市值为602亿美元。以此衡量，它比1903年成立的福特汽车公司还要大。</blockquote></p><p> That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.</p><p><blockquote>作为投资者，这对您来说可能是有意义的——毕竟，蔚来是一家只销售电动汽车的创新公司。福特是一家传统汽车制造商，正在努力迎头赶上并最终全面过渡到电动汽车。蔚来的股价在过去一年上涨了两倍多，而福特的股价在过去十年暴跌后几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> So where does Nio <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>那么蔚来在哪里<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>该公司在周三股市收盘后公布了第二季度业绩，符合投资理论吗？下面的屏幕显示了其股票估值与汽车产量的比较，以及该估值与2025年预计收益的关系。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Doubling car production</b></p><p><blockquote><b>汽车产量翻倍</b></blockquote></p><p> For the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长112%。增长令人印象深刻，但销售的车辆总数仍然相对较少。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:</p><p><blockquote>以下是按市值计算的10家最大汽车制造商，以及它们第二季度的销售额或交付量（如果两者都报告，以较高者为准）以及表下方的附加颜色：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9e9aed76c94544dbe44cde9f7c8bebc\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"761\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> You can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc.&nbsp;and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>你可以看到，这些估值是关于未来的，届时电动汽车领域的创新者——名单上的特斯拉公司和蔚来——可能（也可能不会）变得与传统企业一样大。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine&nbsp;vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.</p><p><blockquote>目前，福特主要生产内燃机汽车，其速度几乎是蔚来电动汽车生产速度的35倍。</blockquote></p><p> One thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的一件事是，传统汽车制造商并不都以相同的方式报告其销量。大多数人都没有公布电动汽车销量。</blockquote></p><p> Among those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:</p><p><blockquote>在那些这样做的国家中，定义各不相同。例如，丰田汽车公司（7203.TO）报告称，第二季度“电动汽车”销量占汽车总销量的26.6%。但该类别包括：</blockquote></p><p> For Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>对于丰田来说，纯电动汽车仅占第二季度销量的0.2%，而蔚来和特斯拉则占100%。丰田的PHEV销量占总销量的1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车公司报告称，电动汽车销量包括PHEV（占第二季度销量的6.7%）和BEV（占总销量的4.4%）。这些数字令人印象深刻：总计11.1%。</blockquote></p><p> For Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>对于Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft（更广为人知的名称是BWM Group）来说，第二季度电动汽车交付量的细分数据尚未公布，但2021年上半年，交付了153,243辆全电动或插电式混合动力汽车，或占总交付量的11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to earnings estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与盈利预测之比</b></blockquote></p><p> For companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>对于处于早期阶段的公司来说，市盈率的比较可能意义不大。这类公司关注的是增长而不是利润。这方面的一个例子是亚马逊公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>几十年来，该公司的市盈率一直很高，因为它一直在努力扩展到新的业务领域，但牺牲了利润。</blockquote></p><p> A high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>高市盈率可以反映投资者对创新的热情，就电动汽车而言，也可以反映行业转型的政治共识。因此，蔚来和特斯拉的市盈率远高于传统汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，非常低的市盈率可能表明投资者对老牌制造商过于蔑视，因为他们利用持续大量销售传统汽车的现金流来资助电动汽车的开发。机会可能会凸显。</blockquote></p><p> Normally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.</p><p><blockquote>通常，远期市盈率的计算方法是将股价除以12个月每股收益的滚动共识估计。这并不适用于此处列出的所有公司，因此我们使用对2022年净利润的共识估计。</blockquote></p><p> First, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:</p><p><blockquote>首先，以下是基于当前市值和FactSet调查的分析师对2022年普遍预期的市盈率。该表包括截至2025年的年度预测，以及基于当前市值和2025年预测的市盈率：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459439c822252d09b3dfb73cc5d51211\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"743\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> Nio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&amp;P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来预计将于2023年实现盈利。展望2024年，其远期市盈率低于特斯拉。为了正确看待未来市盈率估值，标普500指数的加权交易价格是2022年每股收益普遍预期的20.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to sales</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与销售额之比</b></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Forward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table>对于利润较低或净亏损的早期公司来说，远期市销率估计可能更有用。话又说回来，同样的扭曲也适用：投资者现在喜欢纯电动汽车制造商，当你考虑到蔚来的股价在过去一年中上涨了两倍多，而特斯拉的股价却上涨了150%时，他们可能会为它们支付过高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:</p><p><blockquote>以下是一组推动市销率的类似数据，再次使用当前市值（在本文顶部的第一个表格中）和以百万美元为单位的共识全年估计：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8c0b7d002e07914e42fcdf0e624b25c\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"668\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> For reference, the S&amp;P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，标普500的交易价格是其2022年普遍销售预期的2.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Analysts' opinions</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table><b>分析师观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:</p><p><blockquote>以下是FactSet调查的分析师对10家汽车制造商的看法摘要。对于主要在美国以外上市的公司，使用当地股票代码。所有股价和目标均以当地货币计算：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f38063eabf2e93f73561a0454a44ac\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"639\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarkeWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 09:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来可能是一家相对较小的公司。但投资者看好这家中国电动汽车制造商的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459f713c5dfcf08752165d643a5f1463\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>上海市中心的一家蔚来店。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来在美国不销售汽车，其市值为602亿美元。以此衡量，它比1903年成立的福特汽车公司还要大。</blockquote></p><p> That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.</p><p><blockquote>作为投资者，这对您来说可能是有意义的——毕竟，蔚来是一家只销售电动汽车的创新公司。福特是一家传统汽车制造商，正在努力迎头赶上并最终全面过渡到电动汽车。蔚来的股价在过去一年上涨了两倍多，而福特的股价在过去十年暴跌后几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> So where does Nio <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>那么蔚来在哪里<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>该公司在周三股市收盘后公布了第二季度业绩，符合投资理论吗？下面的屏幕显示了其股票估值与汽车产量的比较，以及该估值与2025年预计收益的关系。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Doubling car production</b></p><p><blockquote><b>汽车产量翻倍</b></blockquote></p><p> For the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长112%。增长令人印象深刻，但销售的车辆总数仍然相对较少。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:</p><p><blockquote>以下是按市值计算的10家最大汽车制造商，以及它们第二季度的销售额或交付量（如果两者都报告，以较高者为准）以及表下方的附加颜色：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9e9aed76c94544dbe44cde9f7c8bebc\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"761\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> You can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc.&nbsp;and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>你可以看到，这些估值是关于未来的，届时电动汽车领域的创新者——名单上的特斯拉公司和蔚来——可能（也可能不会）变得与传统企业一样大。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine&nbsp;vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.</p><p><blockquote>目前，福特主要生产内燃机汽车，其速度几乎是蔚来电动汽车生产速度的35倍。</blockquote></p><p> One thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的一件事是，传统汽车制造商并不都以相同的方式报告其销量。大多数人都没有公布电动汽车销量。</blockquote></p><p> Among those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:</p><p><blockquote>在那些这样做的国家中，定义各不相同。例如，丰田汽车公司（7203.TO）报告称，第二季度“电动汽车”销量占汽车总销量的26.6%。但该类别包括：</blockquote></p><p> For Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>对于丰田来说，纯电动汽车仅占第二季度销量的0.2%，而蔚来和特斯拉则占100%。丰田的PHEV销量占总销量的1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车公司报告称，电动汽车销量包括PHEV（占第二季度销量的6.7%）和BEV（占总销量的4.4%）。这些数字令人印象深刻：总计11.1%。</blockquote></p><p> For Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>对于Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft（更广为人知的名称是BWM Group）来说，第二季度电动汽车交付量的细分数据尚未公布，但2021年上半年，交付了153,243辆全电动或插电式混合动力汽车，或占总交付量的11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to earnings estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与盈利预测之比</b></blockquote></p><p> For companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>对于处于早期阶段的公司来说，市盈率的比较可能意义不大。这类公司关注的是增长而不是利润。这方面的一个例子是亚马逊公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>几十年来，该公司的市盈率一直很高，因为它一直在努力扩展到新的业务领域，但牺牲了利润。</blockquote></p><p> A high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>高市盈率可以反映投资者对创新的热情，就电动汽车而言，也可以反映行业转型的政治共识。因此，蔚来和特斯拉的市盈率远高于传统汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，非常低的市盈率可能表明投资者对老牌制造商过于蔑视，因为他们利用持续大量销售传统汽车的现金流来资助电动汽车的开发。机会可能会凸显。</blockquote></p><p> Normally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.</p><p><blockquote>通常，远期市盈率的计算方法是将股价除以12个月每股收益的滚动共识估计。这并不适用于此处列出的所有公司，因此我们使用对2022年净利润的共识估计。</blockquote></p><p> First, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:</p><p><blockquote>首先，以下是基于当前市值和FactSet调查的分析师对2022年普遍预期的市盈率。该表包括截至2025年的年度预测，以及基于当前市值和2025年预测的市盈率：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459439c822252d09b3dfb73cc5d51211\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"743\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> Nio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&amp;P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来预计将于2023年实现盈利。展望2024年，其远期市盈率低于特斯拉。为了正确看待未来市盈率估值，标普500指数的加权交易价格是2022年每股收益普遍预期的20.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to sales</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与销售额之比</b></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Forward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table>对于利润较低或净亏损的早期公司来说，远期市销率估计可能更有用。话又说回来，同样的扭曲也适用：投资者现在喜欢纯电动汽车制造商，当你考虑到蔚来的股价在过去一年中上涨了两倍多，而特斯拉的股价却上涨了150%时，他们可能会为它们支付过高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:</p><p><blockquote>以下是一组推动市销率的类似数据，再次使用当前市值（在本文顶部的第一个表格中）和以百万美元为单位的共识全年估计：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8c0b7d002e07914e42fcdf0e624b25c\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"668\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> For reference, the S&amp;P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，标普500的交易价格是其2022年普遍销售预期的2.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Analysts' opinions</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table><b>分析师观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:</p><p><blockquote>以下是FactSet调查的分析师对10家汽车制造商的看法摘要。对于主要在美国以外上市的公司，使用当地股票代码。所有股价和目标均以当地货币计算：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f38063eabf2e93f73561a0454a44ac\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"639\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nio-releases-earnings-wednesday-heres-how-to-value-its-stock-compared-to-tesla-ford-and-other-rivals-11628716814?mod=mw_quote_news\">MarkeWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉","GM":"通用汽车","HMC":"本田汽车","STLA":"Stellantis NV","F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nio-releases-earnings-wednesday-heres-how-to-value-its-stock-compared-to-tesla-ford-and-other-rivals-11628716814?mod=mw_quote_news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159214569","content_text":"Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.\nA Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)\nChinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.\nThat might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.\nSo where does Nio $(NIO)$, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.\nDoubling car production\nFor the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.\nHere's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:\n\n\n\n\n\n\nYou can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc. and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.\nFor now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.\nOne thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.\nAmong those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:\nFor Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.\nVolkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.\nFor Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.\nValuation to earnings estimates\nFor companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.\nA high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.\nThen again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.\nNormally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.\nFirst, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:\n\nNio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.\nValuation to sales\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.\nHere's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:\n\nFor reference, the S&P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.\n\n\n\n\n\nAnalysts' opinions\nHere's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"STLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"GM":0.9,"HMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145854501,"gmtCreate":1626218882403,"gmtModify":1631885224568,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577278649305758","idStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"bear is coming??","listText":"bear is coming??","text":"bear is coming??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145854501","repostId":"2151560584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143124924,"gmtCreate":1625783933568,"gmtModify":1631885224612,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577278649305758","idStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls recover","listText":"pls recover","text":"pls recover","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143124924","repostId":"1162204971","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157722099,"gmtCreate":1625616471911,"gmtModify":1631885224628,"author":{"id":"3577278649305758","authorId":"3577278649305758","name":"kawa86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb30220b2a555e9c653be64d2421ff9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577278649305758","idStr":"3577278649305758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls like &amp; comment","listText":"pls like &amp; comment","text":"pls like & comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157722099","repostId":"1189309849","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}