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Jahme
2021-12-16
Wah qnm 🤔
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Jahme
2021-12-15
Good
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Jahme
2021-12-14
🤔
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Jahme
2021-12-13
Wow wow
Palantir Has Now Entered A New Dimension<blockquote>Palantir 现已进入一个新的维度</blockquote>
Jahme
2021-12-12
[Speechless]
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Jahme
2021-12-12
Yess
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Jahme
2021-12-11
Wat deee
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Jahme
2021-12-10
Good
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Jahme
2021-12-09
Really
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Jahme
2021-12-09
😱 crypto
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Jahme
2021-12-08
ASad
Amazon announces progress after an outage disrupted sites across the internet<blockquote>亚马逊在互联网网站中断后宣布取得进展</blockquote>
Jahme
2021-12-07
Wat
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Jahme
2021-12-07
[Speechless]
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Jahme
2021-12-06
😱
Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.<blockquote>理想汽车股价在香港股市下跌超过14%,小鹏汽车股价下跌近9%。</blockquote>
Jahme
2021-12-05
Orhh
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Jahme
2021-12-04
😵💫
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Jahme
2021-12-03
More to come
DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.<blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市,在香港上市。</blockquote>
Jahme
2021-12-03
Not too bad
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Jahme
2021-12-02
Good
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Jahme
2021-12-01
🤩
Grab Heads for Public Market After Investors Approve SPAC Merger<blockquote>投资者批准 SPAC 合并后,争取公开市场人才</blockquote>
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qnm 🤔 ","listText":"Wah qnm 🤔 ","text":"Wah qnm 🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690918328","repostId":"1192225285","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607209613,"gmtCreate":1639539137635,"gmtModify":1639539137971,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607209613","repostId":"2191995516","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604712236,"gmtCreate":1639445909375,"gmtModify":1639445983358,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"🤔 ","listText":"🤔 ","text":"🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604712236","repostId":"1144236332","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4096,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604807444,"gmtCreate":1639365419119,"gmtModify":1639365419484,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow wow","listText":"Wow wow","text":"Wow wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604807444","repostId":"1163753909","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163753909","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639365199,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1163753909?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 11:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Has Now Entered A New Dimension<blockquote>Palantir 现已进入一个新的维度</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163753909","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir recently launched Foundry for Crypto to empower the future of finance.\nPalantir no","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Palantir recently launched Foundry for Crypto to empower the future of finance.</li> <li>Palantir now has the opportunity to leverage its platform's connective tissue to track the flow of funds within decentralized finance applications.</li> <li>Palantir's worked with the IRS since 2013 and prior to the release of Foundry, Gotham was deployed for large financial institutions.</li> <li>In today's article, I will highlight Palantir's roots that lead back to PayPal as well as Palantir's opportunity within fintech.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b19fbe474b2b948c1dd476507722b776\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Olemedia/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir最近推出了Foundry for Crypto,以赋能金融的未来。</li><li>Palantir现在有机会利用其平台的结缔组织来跟踪去中心化金融应用程序中的资金流动。</li><li>Palantir自2013年以来一直与美国国税局合作,在Foundry发布之前,Gotham被部署到大型金融机构。</li><li>在今天的文章中,我将重点介绍 Palantir 的PayPal根源以及 Palantir 在金融科技领域的机会。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Olemedia/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to Palantir (PLTR), most investors are excited by its government business as well as its opportunity in the commercial sector with Foundry for Builders. Today, ~60% of Palantir's business stems from the government, while the other portion comes from the commercial sector. Palantir's platform is known for its artificial intelligence (AI) and deep data insights that provide its customers with critical information to help maximize their profits. Palantir's solutions are built around \"mission-driven engineering\" to integrate information from siloed and unstructured data sets. In this article, we'll explore Palantir's roots that go back to the payments industry and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>谈到 Palantir (PLTR),大多数投资者对其政府业务以及其在商业领域为建筑商提供铸造厂的机会感到兴奋。如今,Palantir 约 60% 的业务来自政府,而另一部分来自商业部门。Palantir 的平台以其人工智能 (AI) 和深度数据洞察而闻名,可为客户提供关键信息,帮助他们实现利润最大化。Palantir的解决方案围绕“任务驱动的工程”构建,以整合来自孤岛和非结构化数据集的信息。在本文中,我们将探索 Palantir 的根源,可以追溯到支付行业和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p> PayPal and Palantir co-founder Peter Thiel approached fellow Palantir co-founder, Stephen Cohen, in 2004 and told him about his idea for Palantir, here's what he envisioned.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal和Palantir联合创始人Peter Thiel在2004年找到了Palantir联合创始人Stephen Cohen,告诉他他对Palantir的想法,以下是他的设想。</blockquote></p><p> Let's take some of the ideas from the PayPal Anti-Fraud platform and let's try to generalize them to solve the country's counterterrorism problem. And we'll start by selling it directly to the U.S. Government. And while we're at it, let's solve the generalized enterprise information management platforms that are out there. Let's help big enterprises use a Silicon Valley approach to understanding their data.\"-Stephen Cohen, 2013 Five years ago, a quarter of Palantir's business stemmed from the financial sector - while Palantir's connection to the fintech may not be clear on the surface, the company has a significant opportunity to deploy its AI, specifically Foundry, for fintech applications whether that's current banks or fintech companies such as Elementus, a blockchain analytics platform. Palantir currently serves the IRS and the current banking infrastructure as well as future innovative payment technologies such as cryptocurrencies and smart contracts.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从PayPal反欺诈平台中汲取一些想法,并尝试将它们概括起来,以解决国家的反恐问题。我们将首先直接卖给美国政府。同时,让我们来解决现有的通用企业信息管理平台。让我们帮助大型企业使用硅谷方法来理解他们的数据。”——Stephen Cohen,2013 五年前,Palantir 四分之一的业务来自金融领域——虽然 Palantir 与金融科技的联系表面上可能并不清楚,但该公司拥有为金融科技应用部署其人工智能(特别是 Foundry)的重大机会,无论是当前的银行还是区块链分析平台 Elementus 等金融科技公司。Palantir目前为美国国税局和当前的银行基础设施以及未来的创新支付技术(如加密货币和智能合约)提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deep Roots In Payments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>深深扎根于支付</b></blockquote></p><p> Much of the Palantir \"DNA\" and culture is replicated from PayPal. Palantir's core technology was also inspired by PayPal, specifically PayPal's Anti-Fraud platform. Peter Thiel co-founded PayPal with Max Levchin and would later go on to co-find Palantir along with Nathan Gettings, Palantir's first chief technology officer, who was an engineer at PayPal where he worked closely with Levchin fighting payment fraud. This PayPal Anti-Fraud framework would go on to provide the fundamental building blocks for Palantir's first initiative to fight counterterrorism.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的大部分“DNA”和文化是从PayPal复制的。Palantir的核心技术也受到了PayPal的启发,特别是PayPal的反欺诈平台。Peter Thiel与Max Levchin共同创立了PayPal,后来与Palantir的第一任首席技术官Nathan Gettings共同创立了Palantir,Nathan Gettings是PayPal的一名工程师,在那里他与Levchin密切合作,打击支付欺诈。这个PayPal反欺诈框架将继续为Palantir打击恐怖主义的第一个举措提供基本构件。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir deploys technology within the government that is similar to what it deploys for large financial institutions. The challenges that financial institutions must overcome are similar to those faced in the government context because there are many data sources and many systems that feed input into the financial service sector as well as the government sector. Palantir uses deep data analytics to identify patterns and trends within this information to help its customers manage risk and execute their plans to better navigate complex environments that are constantly changing.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir在政府内部部署的技术类似于它为大型金融机构部署的技术。金融机构必须克服的挑战与政府部门面临的挑战相似,因为有许多数据源和许多系统向金融服务部门和政府部门提供投入。Palantir使用深度数据分析来识别这些信息中的模式和趋势,以帮助其客户管理风险并执行他们的计划,以更好地驾驭不断变化的复杂环境。</blockquote></p><p> In 2016, about 25% of Palantir's business came from the financial sector as Palantir deployed its Gotham Platform to investigate fraud for large institutions, as reported in its S1. Palantir works with a lot of banks and replaced legacy technology that's been around for over 30 years. For example, Credit Suisse has used Palantir since 2013 to analyze risks and detect fraud using data from more than a hundred systems across their operations.</p><p><blockquote>2016年,Palantir约25%的业务来自金融领域,因为Palantir部署了其Gotham平台来调查大型机构的欺诈行为,正如其S1中所报告的那样。Palantir 与许多银行合作,取代了已经存在了 30 多年的传统技术。例如,瑞士信贷自 2013 年以来一直使用 Palantir,利用其运营中一百多个系统的数据来分析风险并检测欺诈。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir seeks to become the central operating system for entire industries rather than just a singular customer and Palantir sees an opportunity to create similar industry-wide partnerships within the financial services industry as it has within the U.S. government and aviation industry. Palantir's consistently winning government contracts while Palantir partnered with Airbus(OTCPK:EADSF) to launch SkyWise in 2017 and now works with over 100 airlines.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 寻求成为整个行业的中央操作系统,而不仅仅是一个单一客户,Palantir 看到了在金融服务行业内建立类似于在美国政府和航空业的全行业合作伙伴关系的机会。Palantir 不断赢得政府合同,同时 Palantir 与空中客车公司 (OTCPK: EADSF) 合作,于 2017 年推出 SkyWise,目前与 100 多家航空公司合作。</blockquote></p><p> Significant Opportunity At Hand</p><p><blockquote>重大机遇即将到来</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On November 23, Palantir launched Foundry for Crypto, which will leverage Foundry's defined data integration to automatically build data pipelines and convert unorganized data into a transparent hub.</p><p><blockquote>11月23日,Palantir推出了Foundry for Crypto,它将利用Foundry定义的数据集成来自动构建数据管道,并将无组织的数据转换为透明的中心。</blockquote></p><p> Foundry for Crypto will enable Web3 startups to leverage the technology that financial institutions use to fight crime. With the current digital transformation underway and the rise of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies, Palantir leverages its data expertise to power the next generation of finance software.</p><p><blockquote>Foundry for Crypto将使Web3初创公司能够利用金融机构用来打击犯罪的技术。随着当前数字化转型的进行以及加密货币和区块链技术的兴起,Palantir利用其数据专业知识为下一代金融软件提供动力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f2a3fb5ad32eff1f464c225cc4b1f1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"621\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Offerings | Crypto</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:产品 | Crypto</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As indicated above, Palantir is chain-agnostic, meaning that Palantir works with multiple blockchains. Palantir integrates transaction data as well as smart contract data which will enable Palantir to leverage the core competencies of its AI and data analysis to provide its KYC (Know-Your-Customer) insights. For example, if somebody were to make a transaction using cryptocurrency from a non-custodial wallet, then it'd typically be a challenge to decipher KYC information from that wallet since the blockchain itself is encrypted and decentralized. Palantir traces the assets in a non-custodial wallet and tracks where the assets were transferred from. This allows Palantir to locate the exchange the asset was originally transferred from and then Palantir can track customer data from the crypto exchange where the asset was purchased, like Coinbase.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述,Palantir是链不可知的,这意味着Palantir可以与多个区块链合作。Palantir整合了交易数据和智能合约数据,这将使Palantir能够利用其人工智能和数据分析的核心能力来提供KYC(了解你的客户)见解。例如,如果有人从非托管钱包中使用加密货币进行交易,那么从该钱包中解密KYC信息通常是一个挑战,因为区块链本身是加密和分散的。Palantir跟踪非托管钱包中的资产,并跟踪资产的转移位置。这使得 Palantir 能够找到最初转移资产的交易所,然后 Palantir 可以跟踪购买资产的加密货币交易所(如 Coinbase)的客户数据。</blockquote></p><p> The example above highlights how Palantir digs deep and scrapes the data from the blockchain to learn about a specific individual. This goes a long way in validating secure transactions as Palantir identifies malicious transactions on the blockchain, based on the transaction's location and specific properties. Companies that want to accept cryptocurrencies need secure solutions while they also want to gather insights around their customers to propel their businesses. BNPL companies, like Affirm, which was started by Max Levchin and Nathan Gettings, use advanced risk modeling (also referred to as AI) to offer consumers more fair credit assessments because BNPL companies have access to essential data from both the merchant and the consumer. Palantir could leverage its AI and data insights to help its customers better understand their clientele to offer targeted marketing campaigns or help them identify opportunities that will decrease expenses.</p><p><blockquote>上面的例子强调了Palantir如何深入挖掘和从区块链中抓取数据来了解特定个人。这在验证安全交易方面有很大帮助,因为Palantir会根据交易的位置和特定属性识别区块链上的恶意交易。想要接受加密货币的公司需要安全的解决方案,同时他们也希望收集客户周围的见解来推动他们的业务。BNPL 公司,例如由 Max Levchin 和 Nathan Gettings 创办的 Affirm,使用高级风险建模(也称为 AI)为消费者提供更公平的信用评估,因为 BNPL 公司可以访问商家和消费者的基本数据。Palantir 可以利用其人工智能和数据洞察力来帮助客户更好地了解他们的客户,以提供有针对性的营销活动或帮助他们识别降低费用的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Foundry for Crypto is still in its early adoption stage as it was recently rolled out and Palantir has multiple opportunities to implement this platform in a variety of industries as payment technology continues to evolve and will reshape the current payments landscape.</p><p><blockquote>Foundry for Crypto仍处于早期采用阶段,因为它是最近推出的,随着支付技术的不断发展并将重塑当前的支付格局,Palantir有多个机会在各种行业实施该平台。</blockquote></p><p> Smart contracts are another significant opportunity for Palantir. Smart contracts are a set of protocols that are validated and carried out on the flow of data, meaning that once the contract is fulfilled, the data will indicate the contract is satisfied and ensure that the liable party transfers the agreed-upon funds. Palantir has a great opportunity to play a role in the facilitation of data within smart contracts while removing the costs of working with third networks and banks.</p><p><blockquote>智能合约是 Palantir 的另一个重要机遇。智能合约是一组对数据流进行验证和执行的协议,这意味着一旦合同履行,数据将表明合同得到满足,并确保责任方转移约定的资金。Palantir有很好的机会在促进智能合约中的数据方面发挥作用,同时消除与第三方网络和银行合作的成本。</blockquote></p><p> One of Palantir's SPAC investments, BlackSky, deploys Foundry and processes real-time satellite imagery to monitor events taking place on Earth. For example, BlackSky can detect if the shipment has been delivered since BlackSky's satellites take images multiple times throughout the day. BlackSky monitors data and information that can only be processed through imagery and is the custodian of monitoring these actions and generating these actions into data points, so that they can inform smart contracts as to whether or not the contract was satisfied. This is a great example of how Palantir's customers may leverage Foundry to process information relating to digital assets and new digital protocols.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 的 SPAC 投资之一 BlackSky 部署铸造厂并处理实时卫星图像来监控地球上发生的事件。例如,BlackSky可以检测货物是否已经交付,因为BlackSky的卫星全天多次拍摄图像。BlackSky监控只能通过图像处理的数据和信息,并且是监控这些动作并将这些动作生成数据点的保管人,这样他们就可以告知智能合约合同是否得到满足。这是Palantir的客户如何利用Foundry来处理与数字资产和新数字协议相关的信息的一个很好的例子。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Government's Implemented Palantir's \"FinTech\" Solution Since 2013</b></p><p><blockquote><b>政府自2013年起实施Palantir的“金融科技”解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p> The IRS started working with Palantir in 2013 and Palantir continues to land and expand its partnership with the IRS as it's been awarded nearly $20 million from them over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>美国国税局于2013年开始与Palantir合作,Palantir继续建立并扩大与美国国税局的合作伙伴关系,因为在过去12个月中,它从他们那里获得了近2000万美元的奖励。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e748221a3ed9fc319e2be6ebf40a8e95\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"524\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: USAspending.gov</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:USAspending.gov</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In May, the IRS launched \"Operation Hidden Gem\", which is an initiative to focus on taxpayers who don't report cryptocurrencies gains. Carolyn Schenck, National Fraud Counsel for the IRS, recently had the following in regards to cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>5月,美国国税局启动了“隐藏宝石行动”,这是一项针对不报告加密货币收益的纳税人的举措。美国国税局的国家欺诈法律顾问卡罗琳·申克(Carolyn Schenck)最近对加密货币发表了以下看法。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> These transactions are not anonymous, we see you.\" Another issue around crypto fraud, which Palantir's AML is designed to detect, is similar to PayPal's Anti-Fraud platform. The IRS recently revealed in its annual report that it seized $3.5 billion so far this year from cryptocurrency-related fraud. Palantir enables the IRS with the solutions that decipher criminal financial schemes and analyzes a variety of data sources in real-time. In the past, Palantir allowed the IRS to track the flow of funds or the flow of assets. For example, if someone were to transfer assets to a bank in the Cayman Islands and then withdraw the cash in the U.S. and use it for a down payment on something like an additional property, Palantir's deep data analysis will connect this information that's siloed, and present it to the IRS so that they can handle the specific situations accordingly.</p><p><blockquote>这些交易不是匿名的,我们看到了你。”Palantir 的 AML 旨在检测加密货币欺诈的另一个问题与 PayPal 的反欺诈平台类似。美国国税局最近在其年度报告中透露,今年迄今为止,它从加密货币相关欺诈中查获了35亿美元。Palantir为美国国税局提供破译犯罪金融计划和实时分析各种数据源的解决方案。过去,Palantir允许国税局跟踪资金流动或资产流动。例如,如果有人将资产转移到开曼群岛的一家银行,然后在美国提取现金,并用它来支付额外房产等的首付,Palantir 的深度数据分析将连接这些孤立的信息,并将其提交给国税局,以便他们可以相应地处理具体情况。</blockquote></p><p> Based on Palantir's recent launch of Foundry for Crypto, Palantir could already be using its platform to provide real value for the U.S. government. As more information moves online and it becomes more complex to track complex digital assets, Palantir's technology remains one step ahead of trends when it comes to AI. Palantir continuously creates out-of-the-box solutions for the government, it then filters for commercial use cases.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Palantir 最近推出的 Foundry for Crypto,Palantir 可能已经在使用其平台为美国政府提供真正的价值。随着越来越多的信息转移到网上,跟踪复杂的数字资产变得越来越复杂,Palantir的技术在人工智能方面仍然领先趋势一步。Palantir不断为政府创造开箱即用的解决方案,然后筛选商业用例。</blockquote></p><p> Now, let's use the L.A. Valuation Stevens Model to provide an updated fair value, then discuss risks associated with Palantir's entrance into crypto.</p><p><blockquote>现在,让我们使用洛杉矶估值史蒂文斯模型来提供更新的公允价值,然后讨论与 Palantir 进入加密货币相关的风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir continues to land new commercial clients and demonstrate the value of its platform through strong quarterly results. In Q3, Palantir grew its commercial customer count by 46% quarter-over-quarter to over 200 customers. Below are some of Palantir's notable financial metrics.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 继续获得新的商业客户,并通过强劲的季度业绩展示其平台的价值。第三季度,Palantir 的商业客户数量环比增长 46%,达到 200 多家。以下是 Palantir 的一些著名财务指标。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>$1.43B in TTM revenue</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>$1.43B TTM 收入</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>77% gross profit margins</p><p><blockquote><li>77% 毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>$120 billion TAM</p><p><blockquote><li>1200亿美元TAM</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Palantir's Fair Value And Expected Return</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir 的公允价值和预期回报</b></blockquote></p><p> To determine Palantir's fair value, we will employ our proprietary valuation model. Here's what it entails:</p><p><blockquote>为厘定Palantir的公允价值,我们将采用我们的专有估值模型。以下是它需要的内容:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>In step 1, we use a traditional DCF model with free cash flow discounted by our (shareholders) cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在第一步中,我们使用传统的DCF模型,自由现金流被我们(股东)的资本成本贴现。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>In step 2, the model accounts for the effects of the change in shares outstanding (buybacks/dilutions).</p><p><blockquote><li>在步骤2中,该模型考虑了流通股变化(回购/稀释)的影响。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>In step 3, we normalize valuation for future growth prospects at the end of the ten years. Then, we arrive at a CAGR using today's share price and the projected share price at the end of 10 years. If this beats the market by enough of a margin, we invest. If not, we wait for a better entry point.</p><p><blockquote><li>在第三步中,我们在十年结束时对未来增长前景进行估值正常化。然后,我们使用今天的股价和 10 年底的预计股价得出 CAGR。如果这比市场有足够的优势,我们就会投资。如果没有,我们等待更好的切入点。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Assumptions:</p><p><blockquote>假设:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1499608f487046f492724343ce6250\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"572\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Results:</p><p><blockquote>结果:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cad4b65a88b3612deb98a837e64a5193\" tg-width=\"738\" tg-height=\"912\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: L.A. Stevens Valuation Model</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:洛杉矶史蒂文斯估值模型</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Based on conservative estimates, Palantir is worth ~$31 today when accounting for future dilution, hence Palantir is significantly undervalued.</p><p><blockquote>根据保守估计,考虑到未来的稀释,Palantir 目前的价值约为 31 美元,因此 Palantir 被严重低估。</blockquote></p><p> In order for us to determine if Palantir is worth an investment today, we'll project the expected return for Palantir over the next 10 years at today's price. To calculate the total expected return for the next decade, we grow the above free cash flow per share at our conservative growth rate, then assign a conservative Price-to-FCF multiple (35x) to it for year ten. Thereby, we create a conservative intrinsic value projection (2031 price target), by which we determine the 10-yr expected CAGR returns. If these returns beat our hurdle rate of 15%, we buy, else we wait for a better buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>为了让我们确定 Palantir 今天是否值得投资,我们将按今天的价格预测 Palantir 未来 10 年的预期回报。为了计算未来十年的总预期回报,我们以保守的增长率增长上述每股自由现金流,然后为第十年分配一个保守的价格与自由现金流倍数(35倍)。因此,我们创建了一个保守的内在价值预测(2031年价格目标),通过该预测我们确定10年预期CAGR回报。如果这些回报率超过我们15%的门槛,我们就买入,否则我们等待更好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc7e1db2ce3e749cd8088652a7029424\" tg-width=\"736\" tg-height=\"534\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: L.A. Stevens Valuation Model</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:洛杉矶史蒂文斯估值模型</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Palantir is expected to generate ~20% annualized returns over the next 10 years, therefore, now is an ideal time to add to a position or start one. Palantir's expected to beat our 15% hurdle rate by a wide margin, hence I rate Palantir a strong buy around $20.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 预计在未来 10 年内将产生约 20% 的年化回报率,因此,现在是加仓或开始建仓的理想时机。Palantir 预计将大幅超过我们 15% 的门槛,因此我将 Palantir 评级为 20 美元左右的强力买入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><i>There are unforeseen risks given that cryptocurrency is a relatively new technology and there is uncertainty around future regulation.</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>鉴于加密货币是一项相对较新的技术,并且未来监管存在不确定性,因此存在不可预见的风险。</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li> </ul> Palantir faces competition from both large incumbent tech companies such as Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) as well as startups such as Chainalysis. Palantir needs to offer solutions that generate alpha in digital environments that leverage future technological innovations. Chainalysis is a fintech startup that offers KYC and AML automated transaction monitoring on multiple blockchains, similar to Foundry for Crypto. Chainalysis raised $100 million this summer at a $4.2 billion valuation and operates in over 60 countries. On the other side of the spectrum are the large tech giants such as Amazon, which started offering the Amazon Managed Blockchain service in 2018, which makes it easy to utilize blockchains such as Ethereum.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 面临着来自亚马逊(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)等大型现有科技公司以及 Chainalysis 等初创公司的竞争。Palantir需要提供在数字环境中产生alpha的解决方案,利用未来的技术创新。Chainalysis是一家金融科技初创公司,在多个区块链上提供KYC和AML自动交易监控,类似于加密铸造厂。Chainalysis 今年夏天以 42 亿美元的估值筹集了 1 亿美元,业务遍及 60 多个国家。另一方面是亚马逊等大型科技巨头,该公司于2018年开始提供亚马逊托管区块链服务,这使得利用以太币等区块链变得容易。</blockquote></p><p> The intersection of digital payments resembles a large opportunity as the banks and card networks have incredibly large networks developed at scale. This results in a fintech landscape that is ripe for innovation and it will be increasingly more competitive, as the top 250 fintech unicorns have raised over $73 billion since 2016. Palantir will rely on developing the next wave of AI solutions when it comes to payments, by deploying them for the government to create the core technology and then filtering the solution for the commercial sector.</p><p><blockquote>数字支付的交叉类似于一个巨大的机会,因为银行和信用卡网络已经大规模开发了令人难以置信的庞大网络。这导致金融科技格局的创新时机已经成熟,并且竞争将越来越激烈,因为自2016年以来,前250家金融科技独角兽已经筹集了超过730亿美元。在支付方面,Palantir 将依靠开发下一波人工智能解决方案,为政府部署这些解决方案来创建核心技术,然后为商业部门筛选解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir is at the forefront of the digital transformation underway as its platform is the connective tissue for modern organizations to generate insights from many sources of information. In regard to payments and fintech, Palantir has deep roots that link back to the early days of PayPal as Palantir's targeted the large financial institutions since the early 2010s. Palantir continues to expand its platform to apply its deep data insights to information within decentralized finance applications like smart contracts. Palantir's well-positioned to leverage its platform to connect the data from these blockchain applications and with its AI expertise to enable its customers to offer innovative fintech solutions.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir处于正在进行的数字化转型的最前沿,因为其平台是现代组织从许多信息源中生成见解的结缔组织。在支付和金融科技方面,Palantir 有着深厚的根基,可以追溯到PayPal的早期,因为 Palantir 自 2010 年代初以来一直瞄准大型金融机构。Palantir继续扩展其平台,将其深度数据洞察力应用于智能合约等去中心化金融应用程序中的信息。Palantir 处于有利地位,可以利用其平台连接来自这些区块链应用程序的数据,并利用其人工智能专业知识,使其客户能够提供创新的金融科技解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> I've been bullish on Palantir over the past year and trading below $20, Palantir represents an attractive price for long-term investors given that Palantir is a generational company and has strong ties to PayPal's early days. I rate Palantir a strong buy at $20.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年我一直看好 Palantir,交易价格低于 20 美元,鉴于 Palantir 是一家世代公司,并且与 PayPal 的早期有着密切的联系,Palantir 对长期投资者来说是一个有吸引力的价格。我以 20 美元的价格强力买入 Palantir。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Has Now Entered A New Dimension<blockquote>Palantir 现已进入一个新的维度</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Has Now Entered A New Dimension<blockquote>Palantir 现已进入一个新的维度</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 11:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Palantir recently launched Foundry for Crypto to empower the future of finance.</li> <li>Palantir now has the opportunity to leverage its platform's connective tissue to track the flow of funds within decentralized finance applications.</li> <li>Palantir's worked with the IRS since 2013 and prior to the release of Foundry, Gotham was deployed for large financial institutions.</li> <li>In today's article, I will highlight Palantir's roots that lead back to PayPal as well as Palantir's opportunity within fintech.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b19fbe474b2b948c1dd476507722b776\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Olemedia/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir最近推出了Foundry for Crypto,以赋能金融的未来。</li><li>Palantir现在有机会利用其平台的结缔组织来跟踪去中心化金融应用程序中的资金流动。</li><li>Palantir自2013年以来一直与美国国税局合作,在Foundry发布之前,Gotham被部署到大型金融机构。</li><li>在今天的文章中,我将重点介绍 Palantir 的PayPal根源以及 Palantir 在金融科技领域的机会。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Olemedia/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to Palantir (PLTR), most investors are excited by its government business as well as its opportunity in the commercial sector with Foundry for Builders. Today, ~60% of Palantir's business stems from the government, while the other portion comes from the commercial sector. Palantir's platform is known for its artificial intelligence (AI) and deep data insights that provide its customers with critical information to help maximize their profits. Palantir's solutions are built around \"mission-driven engineering\" to integrate information from siloed and unstructured data sets. In this article, we'll explore Palantir's roots that go back to the payments industry and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>谈到 Palantir (PLTR),大多数投资者对其政府业务以及其在商业领域为建筑商提供铸造厂的机会感到兴奋。如今,Palantir 约 60% 的业务来自政府,而另一部分来自商业部门。Palantir 的平台以其人工智能 (AI) 和深度数据洞察而闻名,可为客户提供关键信息,帮助他们实现利润最大化。Palantir的解决方案围绕“任务驱动的工程”构建,以整合来自孤岛和非结构化数据集的信息。在本文中,我们将探索 Palantir 的根源,可以追溯到支付行业和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p> PayPal and Palantir co-founder Peter Thiel approached fellow Palantir co-founder, Stephen Cohen, in 2004 and told him about his idea for Palantir, here's what he envisioned.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal和Palantir联合创始人Peter Thiel在2004年找到了Palantir联合创始人Stephen Cohen,告诉他他对Palantir的想法,以下是他的设想。</blockquote></p><p> Let's take some of the ideas from the PayPal Anti-Fraud platform and let's try to generalize them to solve the country's counterterrorism problem. And we'll start by selling it directly to the U.S. Government. And while we're at it, let's solve the generalized enterprise information management platforms that are out there. Let's help big enterprises use a Silicon Valley approach to understanding their data.\"-Stephen Cohen, 2013 Five years ago, a quarter of Palantir's business stemmed from the financial sector - while Palantir's connection to the fintech may not be clear on the surface, the company has a significant opportunity to deploy its AI, specifically Foundry, for fintech applications whether that's current banks or fintech companies such as Elementus, a blockchain analytics platform. Palantir currently serves the IRS and the current banking infrastructure as well as future innovative payment technologies such as cryptocurrencies and smart contracts.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从PayPal反欺诈平台中汲取一些想法,并尝试将它们概括起来,以解决国家的反恐问题。我们将首先直接卖给美国政府。同时,让我们来解决现有的通用企业信息管理平台。让我们帮助大型企业使用硅谷方法来理解他们的数据。”——Stephen Cohen,2013 五年前,Palantir 四分之一的业务来自金融领域——虽然 Palantir 与金融科技的联系表面上可能并不清楚,但该公司拥有为金融科技应用部署其人工智能(特别是 Foundry)的重大机会,无论是当前的银行还是区块链分析平台 Elementus 等金融科技公司。Palantir目前为美国国税局和当前的银行基础设施以及未来的创新支付技术(如加密货币和智能合约)提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deep Roots In Payments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>深深扎根于支付</b></blockquote></p><p> Much of the Palantir \"DNA\" and culture is replicated from PayPal. Palantir's core technology was also inspired by PayPal, specifically PayPal's Anti-Fraud platform. Peter Thiel co-founded PayPal with Max Levchin and would later go on to co-find Palantir along with Nathan Gettings, Palantir's first chief technology officer, who was an engineer at PayPal where he worked closely with Levchin fighting payment fraud. This PayPal Anti-Fraud framework would go on to provide the fundamental building blocks for Palantir's first initiative to fight counterterrorism.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的大部分“DNA”和文化是从PayPal复制的。Palantir的核心技术也受到了PayPal的启发,特别是PayPal的反欺诈平台。Peter Thiel与Max Levchin共同创立了PayPal,后来与Palantir的第一任首席技术官Nathan Gettings共同创立了Palantir,Nathan Gettings是PayPal的一名工程师,在那里他与Levchin密切合作,打击支付欺诈。这个PayPal反欺诈框架将继续为Palantir打击恐怖主义的第一个举措提供基本构件。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir deploys technology within the government that is similar to what it deploys for large financial institutions. The challenges that financial institutions must overcome are similar to those faced in the government context because there are many data sources and many systems that feed input into the financial service sector as well as the government sector. Palantir uses deep data analytics to identify patterns and trends within this information to help its customers manage risk and execute their plans to better navigate complex environments that are constantly changing.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir在政府内部部署的技术类似于它为大型金融机构部署的技术。金融机构必须克服的挑战与政府部门面临的挑战相似,因为有许多数据源和许多系统向金融服务部门和政府部门提供投入。Palantir使用深度数据分析来识别这些信息中的模式和趋势,以帮助其客户管理风险并执行他们的计划,以更好地驾驭不断变化的复杂环境。</blockquote></p><p> In 2016, about 25% of Palantir's business came from the financial sector as Palantir deployed its Gotham Platform to investigate fraud for large institutions, as reported in its S1. Palantir works with a lot of banks and replaced legacy technology that's been around for over 30 years. For example, Credit Suisse has used Palantir since 2013 to analyze risks and detect fraud using data from more than a hundred systems across their operations.</p><p><blockquote>2016年,Palantir约25%的业务来自金融领域,因为Palantir部署了其Gotham平台来调查大型机构的欺诈行为,正如其S1中所报告的那样。Palantir 与许多银行合作,取代了已经存在了 30 多年的传统技术。例如,瑞士信贷自 2013 年以来一直使用 Palantir,利用其运营中一百多个系统的数据来分析风险并检测欺诈。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir seeks to become the central operating system for entire industries rather than just a singular customer and Palantir sees an opportunity to create similar industry-wide partnerships within the financial services industry as it has within the U.S. government and aviation industry. Palantir's consistently winning government contracts while Palantir partnered with Airbus(OTCPK:EADSF) to launch SkyWise in 2017 and now works with over 100 airlines.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 寻求成为整个行业的中央操作系统,而不仅仅是一个单一客户,Palantir 看到了在金融服务行业内建立类似于在美国政府和航空业的全行业合作伙伴关系的机会。Palantir 不断赢得政府合同,同时 Palantir 与空中客车公司 (OTCPK: EADSF) 合作,于 2017 年推出 SkyWise,目前与 100 多家航空公司合作。</blockquote></p><p> Significant Opportunity At Hand</p><p><blockquote>重大机遇即将到来</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On November 23, Palantir launched Foundry for Crypto, which will leverage Foundry's defined data integration to automatically build data pipelines and convert unorganized data into a transparent hub.</p><p><blockquote>11月23日,Palantir推出了Foundry for Crypto,它将利用Foundry定义的数据集成来自动构建数据管道,并将无组织的数据转换为透明的中心。</blockquote></p><p> Foundry for Crypto will enable Web3 startups to leverage the technology that financial institutions use to fight crime. With the current digital transformation underway and the rise of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies, Palantir leverages its data expertise to power the next generation of finance software.</p><p><blockquote>Foundry for Crypto将使Web3初创公司能够利用金融机构用来打击犯罪的技术。随着当前数字化转型的进行以及加密货币和区块链技术的兴起,Palantir利用其数据专业知识为下一代金融软件提供动力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f2a3fb5ad32eff1f464c225cc4b1f1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"621\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Offerings | Crypto</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:产品 | Crypto</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As indicated above, Palantir is chain-agnostic, meaning that Palantir works with multiple blockchains. Palantir integrates transaction data as well as smart contract data which will enable Palantir to leverage the core competencies of its AI and data analysis to provide its KYC (Know-Your-Customer) insights. For example, if somebody were to make a transaction using cryptocurrency from a non-custodial wallet, then it'd typically be a challenge to decipher KYC information from that wallet since the blockchain itself is encrypted and decentralized. Palantir traces the assets in a non-custodial wallet and tracks where the assets were transferred from. This allows Palantir to locate the exchange the asset was originally transferred from and then Palantir can track customer data from the crypto exchange where the asset was purchased, like Coinbase.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述,Palantir是链不可知的,这意味着Palantir可以与多个区块链合作。Palantir整合了交易数据和智能合约数据,这将使Palantir能够利用其人工智能和数据分析的核心能力来提供KYC(了解你的客户)见解。例如,如果有人从非托管钱包中使用加密货币进行交易,那么从该钱包中解密KYC信息通常是一个挑战,因为区块链本身是加密和分散的。Palantir跟踪非托管钱包中的资产,并跟踪资产的转移位置。这使得 Palantir 能够找到最初转移资产的交易所,然后 Palantir 可以跟踪购买资产的加密货币交易所(如 Coinbase)的客户数据。</blockquote></p><p> The example above highlights how Palantir digs deep and scrapes the data from the blockchain to learn about a specific individual. This goes a long way in validating secure transactions as Palantir identifies malicious transactions on the blockchain, based on the transaction's location and specific properties. Companies that want to accept cryptocurrencies need secure solutions while they also want to gather insights around their customers to propel their businesses. BNPL companies, like Affirm, which was started by Max Levchin and Nathan Gettings, use advanced risk modeling (also referred to as AI) to offer consumers more fair credit assessments because BNPL companies have access to essential data from both the merchant and the consumer. Palantir could leverage its AI and data insights to help its customers better understand their clientele to offer targeted marketing campaigns or help them identify opportunities that will decrease expenses.</p><p><blockquote>上面的例子强调了Palantir如何深入挖掘和从区块链中抓取数据来了解特定个人。这在验证安全交易方面有很大帮助,因为Palantir会根据交易的位置和特定属性识别区块链上的恶意交易。想要接受加密货币的公司需要安全的解决方案,同时他们也希望收集客户周围的见解来推动他们的业务。BNPL 公司,例如由 Max Levchin 和 Nathan Gettings 创办的 Affirm,使用高级风险建模(也称为 AI)为消费者提供更公平的信用评估,因为 BNPL 公司可以访问商家和消费者的基本数据。Palantir 可以利用其人工智能和数据洞察力来帮助客户更好地了解他们的客户,以提供有针对性的营销活动或帮助他们识别降低费用的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Foundry for Crypto is still in its early adoption stage as it was recently rolled out and Palantir has multiple opportunities to implement this platform in a variety of industries as payment technology continues to evolve and will reshape the current payments landscape.</p><p><blockquote>Foundry for Crypto仍处于早期采用阶段,因为它是最近推出的,随着支付技术的不断发展并将重塑当前的支付格局,Palantir有多个机会在各种行业实施该平台。</blockquote></p><p> Smart contracts are another significant opportunity for Palantir. Smart contracts are a set of protocols that are validated and carried out on the flow of data, meaning that once the contract is fulfilled, the data will indicate the contract is satisfied and ensure that the liable party transfers the agreed-upon funds. Palantir has a great opportunity to play a role in the facilitation of data within smart contracts while removing the costs of working with third networks and banks.</p><p><blockquote>智能合约是 Palantir 的另一个重要机遇。智能合约是一组对数据流进行验证和执行的协议,这意味着一旦合同履行,数据将表明合同得到满足,并确保责任方转移约定的资金。Palantir有很好的机会在促进智能合约中的数据方面发挥作用,同时消除与第三方网络和银行合作的成本。</blockquote></p><p> One of Palantir's SPAC investments, BlackSky, deploys Foundry and processes real-time satellite imagery to monitor events taking place on Earth. For example, BlackSky can detect if the shipment has been delivered since BlackSky's satellites take images multiple times throughout the day. BlackSky monitors data and information that can only be processed through imagery and is the custodian of monitoring these actions and generating these actions into data points, so that they can inform smart contracts as to whether or not the contract was satisfied. This is a great example of how Palantir's customers may leverage Foundry to process information relating to digital assets and new digital protocols.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 的 SPAC 投资之一 BlackSky 部署铸造厂并处理实时卫星图像来监控地球上发生的事件。例如,BlackSky可以检测货物是否已经交付,因为BlackSky的卫星全天多次拍摄图像。BlackSky监控只能通过图像处理的数据和信息,并且是监控这些动作并将这些动作生成数据点的保管人,这样他们就可以告知智能合约合同是否得到满足。这是Palantir的客户如何利用Foundry来处理与数字资产和新数字协议相关的信息的一个很好的例子。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Government's Implemented Palantir's \"FinTech\" Solution Since 2013</b></p><p><blockquote><b>政府自2013年起实施Palantir的“金融科技”解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p> The IRS started working with Palantir in 2013 and Palantir continues to land and expand its partnership with the IRS as it's been awarded nearly $20 million from them over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>美国国税局于2013年开始与Palantir合作,Palantir继续建立并扩大与美国国税局的合作伙伴关系,因为在过去12个月中,它从他们那里获得了近2000万美元的奖励。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e748221a3ed9fc319e2be6ebf40a8e95\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"524\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: USAspending.gov</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:USAspending.gov</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In May, the IRS launched \"Operation Hidden Gem\", which is an initiative to focus on taxpayers who don't report cryptocurrencies gains. Carolyn Schenck, National Fraud Counsel for the IRS, recently had the following in regards to cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>5月,美国国税局启动了“隐藏宝石行动”,这是一项针对不报告加密货币收益的纳税人的举措。美国国税局的国家欺诈法律顾问卡罗琳·申克(Carolyn Schenck)最近对加密货币发表了以下看法。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> These transactions are not anonymous, we see you.\" Another issue around crypto fraud, which Palantir's AML is designed to detect, is similar to PayPal's Anti-Fraud platform. The IRS recently revealed in its annual report that it seized $3.5 billion so far this year from cryptocurrency-related fraud. Palantir enables the IRS with the solutions that decipher criminal financial schemes and analyzes a variety of data sources in real-time. In the past, Palantir allowed the IRS to track the flow of funds or the flow of assets. For example, if someone were to transfer assets to a bank in the Cayman Islands and then withdraw the cash in the U.S. and use it for a down payment on something like an additional property, Palantir's deep data analysis will connect this information that's siloed, and present it to the IRS so that they can handle the specific situations accordingly.</p><p><blockquote>这些交易不是匿名的,我们看到了你。”Palantir 的 AML 旨在检测加密货币欺诈的另一个问题与 PayPal 的反欺诈平台类似。美国国税局最近在其年度报告中透露,今年迄今为止,它从加密货币相关欺诈中查获了35亿美元。Palantir为美国国税局提供破译犯罪金融计划和实时分析各种数据源的解决方案。过去,Palantir允许国税局跟踪资金流动或资产流动。例如,如果有人将资产转移到开曼群岛的一家银行,然后在美国提取现金,并用它来支付额外房产等的首付,Palantir 的深度数据分析将连接这些孤立的信息,并将其提交给国税局,以便他们可以相应地处理具体情况。</blockquote></p><p> Based on Palantir's recent launch of Foundry for Crypto, Palantir could already be using its platform to provide real value for the U.S. government. As more information moves online and it becomes more complex to track complex digital assets, Palantir's technology remains one step ahead of trends when it comes to AI. Palantir continuously creates out-of-the-box solutions for the government, it then filters for commercial use cases.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Palantir 最近推出的 Foundry for Crypto,Palantir 可能已经在使用其平台为美国政府提供真正的价值。随着越来越多的信息转移到网上,跟踪复杂的数字资产变得越来越复杂,Palantir的技术在人工智能方面仍然领先趋势一步。Palantir不断为政府创造开箱即用的解决方案,然后筛选商业用例。</blockquote></p><p> Now, let's use the L.A. Valuation Stevens Model to provide an updated fair value, then discuss risks associated with Palantir's entrance into crypto.</p><p><blockquote>现在,让我们使用洛杉矶估值史蒂文斯模型来提供更新的公允价值,然后讨论与 Palantir 进入加密货币相关的风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir continues to land new commercial clients and demonstrate the value of its platform through strong quarterly results. In Q3, Palantir grew its commercial customer count by 46% quarter-over-quarter to over 200 customers. Below are some of Palantir's notable financial metrics.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 继续获得新的商业客户,并通过强劲的季度业绩展示其平台的价值。第三季度,Palantir 的商业客户数量环比增长 46%,达到 200 多家。以下是 Palantir 的一些著名财务指标。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>$1.43B in TTM revenue</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>$1.43B TTM 收入</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>77% gross profit margins</p><p><blockquote><li>77% 毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>$120 billion TAM</p><p><blockquote><li>1200亿美元TAM</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Palantir's Fair Value And Expected Return</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir 的公允价值和预期回报</b></blockquote></p><p> To determine Palantir's fair value, we will employ our proprietary valuation model. Here's what it entails:</p><p><blockquote>为厘定Palantir的公允价值,我们将采用我们的专有估值模型。以下是它需要的内容:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>In step 1, we use a traditional DCF model with free cash flow discounted by our (shareholders) cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在第一步中,我们使用传统的DCF模型,自由现金流被我们(股东)的资本成本贴现。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>In step 2, the model accounts for the effects of the change in shares outstanding (buybacks/dilutions).</p><p><blockquote><li>在步骤2中,该模型考虑了流通股变化(回购/稀释)的影响。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>In step 3, we normalize valuation for future growth prospects at the end of the ten years. Then, we arrive at a CAGR using today's share price and the projected share price at the end of 10 years. If this beats the market by enough of a margin, we invest. If not, we wait for a better entry point.</p><p><blockquote><li>在第三步中,我们在十年结束时对未来增长前景进行估值正常化。然后,我们使用今天的股价和 10 年底的预计股价得出 CAGR。如果这比市场有足够的优势,我们就会投资。如果没有,我们等待更好的切入点。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Assumptions:</p><p><blockquote>假设:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1499608f487046f492724343ce6250\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"572\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Results:</p><p><blockquote>结果:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cad4b65a88b3612deb98a837e64a5193\" tg-width=\"738\" tg-height=\"912\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: L.A. Stevens Valuation Model</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:洛杉矶史蒂文斯估值模型</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Based on conservative estimates, Palantir is worth ~$31 today when accounting for future dilution, hence Palantir is significantly undervalued.</p><p><blockquote>根据保守估计,考虑到未来的稀释,Palantir 目前的价值约为 31 美元,因此 Palantir 被严重低估。</blockquote></p><p> In order for us to determine if Palantir is worth an investment today, we'll project the expected return for Palantir over the next 10 years at today's price. To calculate the total expected return for the next decade, we grow the above free cash flow per share at our conservative growth rate, then assign a conservative Price-to-FCF multiple (35x) to it for year ten. Thereby, we create a conservative intrinsic value projection (2031 price target), by which we determine the 10-yr expected CAGR returns. If these returns beat our hurdle rate of 15%, we buy, else we wait for a better buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>为了让我们确定 Palantir 今天是否值得投资,我们将按今天的价格预测 Palantir 未来 10 年的预期回报。为了计算未来十年的总预期回报,我们以保守的增长率增长上述每股自由现金流,然后为第十年分配一个保守的价格与自由现金流倍数(35倍)。因此,我们创建了一个保守的内在价值预测(2031年价格目标),通过该预测我们确定10年预期CAGR回报。如果这些回报率超过我们15%的门槛,我们就买入,否则我们等待更好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc7e1db2ce3e749cd8088652a7029424\" tg-width=\"736\" tg-height=\"534\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: L.A. Stevens Valuation Model</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:洛杉矶史蒂文斯估值模型</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Palantir is expected to generate ~20% annualized returns over the next 10 years, therefore, now is an ideal time to add to a position or start one. Palantir's expected to beat our 15% hurdle rate by a wide margin, hence I rate Palantir a strong buy around $20.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 预计在未来 10 年内将产生约 20% 的年化回报率,因此,现在是加仓或开始建仓的理想时机。Palantir 预计将大幅超过我们 15% 的门槛,因此我将 Palantir 评级为 20 美元左右的强力买入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><i>There are unforeseen risks given that cryptocurrency is a relatively new technology and there is uncertainty around future regulation.</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>鉴于加密货币是一项相对较新的技术,并且未来监管存在不确定性,因此存在不可预见的风险。</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li> </ul> Palantir faces competition from both large incumbent tech companies such as Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) as well as startups such as Chainalysis. Palantir needs to offer solutions that generate alpha in digital environments that leverage future technological innovations. Chainalysis is a fintech startup that offers KYC and AML automated transaction monitoring on multiple blockchains, similar to Foundry for Crypto. Chainalysis raised $100 million this summer at a $4.2 billion valuation and operates in over 60 countries. On the other side of the spectrum are the large tech giants such as Amazon, which started offering the Amazon Managed Blockchain service in 2018, which makes it easy to utilize blockchains such as Ethereum.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 面临着来自亚马逊(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)等大型现有科技公司以及 Chainalysis 等初创公司的竞争。Palantir需要提供在数字环境中产生alpha的解决方案,利用未来的技术创新。Chainalysis是一家金融科技初创公司,在多个区块链上提供KYC和AML自动交易监控,类似于加密铸造厂。Chainalysis 今年夏天以 42 亿美元的估值筹集了 1 亿美元,业务遍及 60 多个国家。另一方面是亚马逊等大型科技巨头,该公司于2018年开始提供亚马逊托管区块链服务,这使得利用以太币等区块链变得容易。</blockquote></p><p> The intersection of digital payments resembles a large opportunity as the banks and card networks have incredibly large networks developed at scale. This results in a fintech landscape that is ripe for innovation and it will be increasingly more competitive, as the top 250 fintech unicorns have raised over $73 billion since 2016. Palantir will rely on developing the next wave of AI solutions when it comes to payments, by deploying them for the government to create the core technology and then filtering the solution for the commercial sector.</p><p><blockquote>数字支付的交叉类似于一个巨大的机会,因为银行和信用卡网络已经大规模开发了令人难以置信的庞大网络。这导致金融科技格局的创新时机已经成熟,并且竞争将越来越激烈,因为自2016年以来,前250家金融科技独角兽已经筹集了超过730亿美元。在支付方面,Palantir 将依靠开发下一波人工智能解决方案,为政府部署这些解决方案来创建核心技术,然后为商业部门筛选解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir is at the forefront of the digital transformation underway as its platform is the connective tissue for modern organizations to generate insights from many sources of information. In regard to payments and fintech, Palantir has deep roots that link back to the early days of PayPal as Palantir's targeted the large financial institutions since the early 2010s. Palantir continues to expand its platform to apply its deep data insights to information within decentralized finance applications like smart contracts. Palantir's well-positioned to leverage its platform to connect the data from these blockchain applications and with its AI expertise to enable its customers to offer innovative fintech solutions.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir处于正在进行的数字化转型的最前沿,因为其平台是现代组织从许多信息源中生成见解的结缔组织。在支付和金融科技方面,Palantir 有着深厚的根基,可以追溯到PayPal的早期,因为 Palantir 自 2010 年代初以来一直瞄准大型金融机构。Palantir继续扩展其平台,将其深度数据洞察力应用于智能合约等去中心化金融应用程序中的信息。Palantir 处于有利地位,可以利用其平台连接来自这些区块链应用程序的数据,并利用其人工智能专业知识,使其客户能够提供创新的金融科技解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> I've been bullish on Palantir over the past year and trading below $20, Palantir represents an attractive price for long-term investors given that Palantir is a generational company and has strong ties to PayPal's early days. I rate Palantir a strong buy at $20.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年我一直看好 Palantir,交易价格低于 20 美元,鉴于 Palantir 是一家世代公司,并且与 PayPal 的早期有着密切的联系,Palantir 对长期投资者来说是一个有吸引力的价格。我以 20 美元的价格强力买入 Palantir。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474525-palantir-stock-foundry-for-crypto-fintech-opportunity\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474525-palantir-stock-foundry-for-crypto-fintech-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163753909","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir recently launched Foundry for Crypto to empower the future of finance.\nPalantir now has the opportunity to leverage its platform's connective tissue to track the flow of funds within decentralized finance applications.\nPalantir's worked with the IRS since 2013 and prior to the release of Foundry, Gotham was deployed for large financial institutions.\nIn today's article, I will highlight Palantir's roots that lead back to PayPal as well as Palantir's opportunity within fintech.\n\nOlemedia/E+ via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nWhen it comes to Palantir (PLTR), most investors are excited by its government business as well as its opportunity in the commercial sector with Foundry for Builders. Today, ~60% of Palantir's business stems from the government, while the other portion comes from the commercial sector. Palantir's platform is known for its artificial intelligence (AI) and deep data insights that provide its customers with critical information to help maximize their profits. Palantir's solutions are built around \"mission-driven engineering\" to integrate information from siloed and unstructured data sets. In this article, we'll explore Palantir's roots that go back to the payments industry and PayPal.\nPayPal and Palantir co-founder Peter Thiel approached fellow Palantir co-founder, Stephen Cohen, in 2004 and told him about his idea for Palantir, here's what he envisioned.\n\n Let's take some of the ideas from the PayPal Anti-Fraud platform and let's try to generalize them to solve the country's counterterrorism problem. And we'll start by selling it directly to the U.S. Government.\n\n\n And while we're at it, let's solve the generalized enterprise information management platforms that are out there. Let's help big enterprises use a Silicon Valley approach to understanding their data.\"-Stephen Cohen, 2013\n\nFive years ago, a quarter of Palantir's business stemmed from the financial sector - while Palantir's connection to the fintech may not be clear on the surface, the company has a significant opportunity to deploy its AI, specifically Foundry, for fintech applications whether that's current banks or fintech companies such as Elementus, a blockchain analytics platform. Palantir currently serves the IRS and the current banking infrastructure as well as future innovative payment technologies such as cryptocurrencies and smart contracts.\nDeep Roots In Payments\nMuch of the Palantir \"DNA\" and culture is replicated from PayPal. Palantir's core technology was also inspired by PayPal, specifically PayPal's Anti-Fraud platform. Peter Thiel co-founded PayPal with Max Levchin and would later go on to co-find Palantir along with Nathan Gettings, Palantir's first chief technology officer, who was an engineer at PayPal where he worked closely with Levchin fighting payment fraud. This PayPal Anti-Fraud framework would go on to provide the fundamental building blocks for Palantir's first initiative to fight counterterrorism.\nPalantir deploys technology within the government that is similar to what it deploys for large financial institutions. The challenges that financial institutions must overcome are similar to those faced in the government context because there are many data sources and many systems that feed input into the financial service sector as well as the government sector. Palantir uses deep data analytics to identify patterns and trends within this information to help its customers manage risk and execute their plans to better navigate complex environments that are constantly changing.\nIn 2016, about 25% of Palantir's business came from the financial sector as Palantir deployed its Gotham Platform to investigate fraud for large institutions, as reported in its S1. Palantir works with a lot of banks and replaced legacy technology that's been around for over 30 years. For example, Credit Suisse has used Palantir since 2013 to analyze risks and detect fraud using data from more than a hundred systems across their operations.\nPalantir seeks to become the central operating system for entire industries rather than just a singular customer and Palantir sees an opportunity to create similar industry-wide partnerships within the financial services industry as it has within the U.S. government and aviation industry. Palantir's consistently winning government contracts while Palantir partnered with Airbus(OTCPK:EADSF) to launch SkyWise in 2017 and now works with over 100 airlines.\nSignificant Opportunity At Hand\nOn November 23, Palantir launched Foundry for Crypto, which will leverage Foundry's defined data integration to automatically build data pipelines and convert unorganized data into a transparent hub.\nFoundry for Crypto will enable Web3 startups to leverage the technology that financial institutions use to fight crime. With the current digital transformation underway and the rise of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies, Palantir leverages its data expertise to power the next generation of finance software.\nSource: Offerings | Crypto\nAs indicated above, Palantir is chain-agnostic, meaning that Palantir works with multiple blockchains. Palantir integrates transaction data as well as smart contract data which will enable Palantir to leverage the core competencies of its AI and data analysis to provide its KYC (Know-Your-Customer) insights. For example, if somebody were to make a transaction using cryptocurrency from a non-custodial wallet, then it'd typically be a challenge to decipher KYC information from that wallet since the blockchain itself is encrypted and decentralized. Palantir traces the assets in a non-custodial wallet and tracks where the assets were transferred from. This allows Palantir to locate the exchange the asset was originally transferred from and then Palantir can track customer data from the crypto exchange where the asset was purchased, like Coinbase.\nThe example above highlights how Palantir digs deep and scrapes the data from the blockchain to learn about a specific individual. This goes a long way in validating secure transactions as Palantir identifies malicious transactions on the blockchain, based on the transaction's location and specific properties. Companies that want to accept cryptocurrencies need secure solutions while they also want to gather insights around their customers to propel their businesses. BNPL companies, like Affirm, which was started by Max Levchin and Nathan Gettings, use advanced risk modeling (also referred to as AI) to offer consumers more fair credit assessments because BNPL companies have access to essential data from both the merchant and the consumer. Palantir could leverage its AI and data insights to help its customers better understand their clientele to offer targeted marketing campaigns or help them identify opportunities that will decrease expenses.\nFoundry for Crypto is still in its early adoption stage as it was recently rolled out and Palantir has multiple opportunities to implement this platform in a variety of industries as payment technology continues to evolve and will reshape the current payments landscape.\nSmart contracts are another significant opportunity for Palantir. Smart contracts are a set of protocols that are validated and carried out on the flow of data, meaning that once the contract is fulfilled, the data will indicate the contract is satisfied and ensure that the liable party transfers the agreed-upon funds. Palantir has a great opportunity to play a role in the facilitation of data within smart contracts while removing the costs of working with third networks and banks.\nOne of Palantir's SPAC investments, BlackSky, deploys Foundry and processes real-time satellite imagery to monitor events taking place on Earth. For example, BlackSky can detect if the shipment has been delivered since BlackSky's satellites take images multiple times throughout the day. BlackSky monitors data and information that can only be processed through imagery and is the custodian of monitoring these actions and generating these actions into data points, so that they can inform smart contracts as to whether or not the contract was satisfied. This is a great example of how Palantir's customers may leverage Foundry to process information relating to digital assets and new digital protocols.\nThe Government's Implemented Palantir's \"FinTech\" Solution Since 2013\nThe IRS started working with Palantir in 2013 and Palantir continues to land and expand its partnership with the IRS as it's been awarded nearly $20 million from them over the last 12 months.\nSource: USAspending.gov\nIn May, the IRS launched \"Operation Hidden Gem\", which is an initiative to focus on taxpayers who don't report cryptocurrencies gains. Carolyn Schenck, National Fraud Counsel for the IRS, recently had the following in regards to cryptocurrencies.\n\n These transactions are not anonymous, we see you.\"\n\nAnother issue around crypto fraud, which Palantir's AML is designed to detect, is similar to PayPal's Anti-Fraud platform. The IRS recently revealed in its annual report that it seized $3.5 billion so far this year from cryptocurrency-related fraud. Palantir enables the IRS with the solutions that decipher criminal financial schemes and analyzes a variety of data sources in real-time. In the past, Palantir allowed the IRS to track the flow of funds or the flow of assets. For example, if someone were to transfer assets to a bank in the Cayman Islands and then withdraw the cash in the U.S. and use it for a down payment on something like an additional property, Palantir's deep data analysis will connect this information that's siloed, and present it to the IRS so that they can handle the specific situations accordingly.\nBased on Palantir's recent launch of Foundry for Crypto, Palantir could already be using its platform to provide real value for the U.S. government. As more information moves online and it becomes more complex to track complex digital assets, Palantir's technology remains one step ahead of trends when it comes to AI. Palantir continuously creates out-of-the-box solutions for the government, it then filters for commercial use cases.\nNow, let's use the L.A. Valuation Stevens Model to provide an updated fair value, then discuss risks associated with Palantir's entrance into crypto.\nValuation\nPalantir continues to land new commercial clients and demonstrate the value of its platform through strong quarterly results. In Q3, Palantir grew its commercial customer count by 46% quarter-over-quarter to over 200 customers. Below are some of Palantir's notable financial metrics.\n\n$1.43B in TTM revenue\n77% gross profit margins\n$120 billion TAM\n\nPalantir's Fair Value And Expected Return\nTo determine Palantir's fair value, we will employ our proprietary valuation model. Here's what it entails:\n\nIn step 1, we use a traditional DCF model with free cash flow discounted by our (shareholders) cost of capital.\nIn step 2, the model accounts for the effects of the change in shares outstanding (buybacks/dilutions).\nIn step 3, we normalize valuation for future growth prospects at the end of the ten years. Then, we arrive at a CAGR using today's share price and the projected share price at the end of 10 years. If this beats the market by enough of a margin, we invest. If not, we wait for a better entry point.\n\nAssumptions:\n\nResults:\nSource: L.A. Stevens Valuation Model\nBased on conservative estimates, Palantir is worth ~$31 today when accounting for future dilution, hence Palantir is significantly undervalued.\nIn order for us to determine if Palantir is worth an investment today, we'll project the expected return for Palantir over the next 10 years at today's price. To calculate the total expected return for the next decade, we grow the above free cash flow per share at our conservative growth rate, then assign a conservative Price-to-FCF multiple (35x) to it for year ten. Thereby, we create a conservative intrinsic value projection (2031 price target), by which we determine the 10-yr expected CAGR returns. If these returns beat our hurdle rate of 15%, we buy, else we wait for a better buying opportunity.\nSource: L.A. Stevens Valuation Model\nPalantir is expected to generate ~20% annualized returns over the next 10 years, therefore, now is an ideal time to add to a position or start one. Palantir's expected to beat our 15% hurdle rate by a wide margin, hence I rate Palantir a strong buy around $20.\nRisks\n\nThere are unforeseen risks given that cryptocurrency is a relatively new technology and there is uncertainty around future regulation.\n\nPalantir faces competition from both large incumbent tech companies such as Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) as well as startups such as Chainalysis. Palantir needs to offer solutions that generate alpha in digital environments that leverage future technological innovations. Chainalysis is a fintech startup that offers KYC and AML automated transaction monitoring on multiple blockchains, similar to Foundry for Crypto. Chainalysis raised $100 million this summer at a $4.2 billion valuation and operates in over 60 countries. On the other side of the spectrum are the large tech giants such as Amazon, which started offering the Amazon Managed Blockchain service in 2018, which makes it easy to utilize blockchains such as Ethereum.\nThe intersection of digital payments resembles a large opportunity as the banks and card networks have incredibly large networks developed at scale. This results in a fintech landscape that is ripe for innovation and it will be increasingly more competitive, as the top 250 fintech unicorns have raised over $73 billion since 2016. Palantir will rely on developing the next wave of AI solutions when it comes to payments, by deploying them for the government to create the core technology and then filtering the solution for the commercial sector.\nConclusion\nPalantir is at the forefront of the digital transformation underway as its platform is the connective tissue for modern organizations to generate insights from many sources of information. In regard to payments and fintech, Palantir has deep roots that link back to the early days of PayPal as Palantir's targeted the large financial institutions since the early 2010s. Palantir continues to expand its platform to apply its deep data insights to information within decentralized finance applications like smart contracts. Palantir's well-positioned to leverage its platform to connect the data from these blockchain applications and with its AI expertise to enable its customers to offer innovative fintech solutions.\nI've been bullish on Palantir over the past year and trading below $20, Palantir represents an attractive price for long-term investors given that Palantir is a generational company and has strong ties to PayPal's early days. I rate Palantir a strong buy at $20.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4087,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604024933,"gmtCreate":1639286004239,"gmtModify":1639298278950,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Speechless] ","listText":"[Speechless] 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crypto","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602295040","repostId":"2189695656","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606718799,"gmtCreate":1638927353226,"gmtModify":1638927353462,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ASad","listText":"ASad","text":"ASad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606718799","repostId":"1107823408","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107823408","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638925825,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107823408?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-08 09:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon announces progress after an outage disrupted sites across the internet<blockquote>亚马逊在互联网网站中断后宣布取得进展</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107823408","media":"IOWApublicradio","summary":"Amazon Web Services, the cloud computing unit of Amazon, reports its \"network device issues [are] re","content":"<p>Amazon Web Services, the cloud computing unit of Amazon, reports its \"network device issues [are] resolved\" after suffering a major outage on Tuesday, leaving thousands of users unable to access huge portions of the internet, including a broad range of apps.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的云计算部门亚马逊网络服务在周二遭遇重大中断后报告称,其“网络设备问题已得到解决”,导致数千名用户无法访问互联网的大部分内容,包括各种应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> The outage, which caused slow loading or access failures, began at around 11 a.m. ET and was largely concentrated along the East Coast, according to the company.</p><p><blockquote>据该公司称,停电导致加载缓慢或访问故障,停电始于美国东部时间上午 11 点左右,主要集中在东海岸。</blockquote></p><p> It explained, \"We are seeing impact to multiple [Amazon Web Services] APIs [application programming interfaces] in the US-EAST-1 Region.\"</p><p><blockquote>它解释说,“我们看到了对美国东1地区多个[亚马逊网络服务]API[应用程序编程接口]的影响。”</blockquote></p><p> \"We are now working towards recovery of any impaired services,\" an Amazon update said later.</p><p><blockquote>“我们现在正在努力恢复任何受损的服务,”亚马逊后来的更新称。</blockquote></p><p> AWS is a cloud computing service that allows companies to rent computing, storage and network capabilities, which is why the outage has shut down or slowed access to such a wide variety of sites and apps across the internet.</p><p><blockquote>AWS 是一项云计算服务,允许公司租用计算、存储和网络功能,这就是为什么此次中断关闭或减缓了对互联网上各种网站和应用程序的访问。</blockquote></p><p> Users reported problems logging on to not just Amazon's products — Amazon.com, Prime Video, Alexa AI and Kindle — but also Netflix, Venmo, Disney+, Ring, Roku, Duolingo, Chime, Fidelity Investments and NPR's own news apps.</p><p><blockquote>用户不仅报告了登录亚马逊产品(亚马逊、Prime Video、Alexa AI 和 Kindle)的问题,还报告了 Netflix、Venmo、Disney+、Ring、Roku、Duolingo、Chime、富达投资和 NPR 自己的新闻应用程序的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1638925883049","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon announces progress after an outage disrupted sites across the internet<blockquote>亚马逊在互联网网站中断后宣布取得进展</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon announces progress after an outage disrupted sites across the internet<blockquote>亚马逊在互联网网站中断后宣布取得进展</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">IOWApublicradio</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-08 09:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon Web Services, the cloud computing unit of Amazon, reports its \"network device issues [are] resolved\" after suffering a major outage on Tuesday, leaving thousands of users unable to access huge portions of the internet, including a broad range of apps.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的云计算部门亚马逊网络服务在周二遭遇重大中断后报告称,其“网络设备问题已得到解决”,导致数千名用户无法访问互联网的大部分内容,包括各种应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> The outage, which caused slow loading or access failures, began at around 11 a.m. ET and was largely concentrated along the East Coast, according to the company.</p><p><blockquote>据该公司称,停电导致加载缓慢或访问故障,停电始于美国东部时间上午 11 点左右,主要集中在东海岸。</blockquote></p><p> It explained, \"We are seeing impact to multiple [Amazon Web Services] APIs [application programming interfaces] in the US-EAST-1 Region.\"</p><p><blockquote>它解释说,“我们看到了对美国东1地区多个[亚马逊网络服务]API[应用程序编程接口]的影响。”</blockquote></p><p> \"We are now working towards recovery of any impaired services,\" an Amazon update said later.</p><p><blockquote>“我们现在正在努力恢复任何受损的服务,”亚马逊后来的更新称。</blockquote></p><p> AWS is a cloud computing service that allows companies to rent computing, storage and network capabilities, which is why the outage has shut down or slowed access to such a wide variety of sites and apps across the internet.</p><p><blockquote>AWS 是一项云计算服务,允许公司租用计算、存储和网络功能,这就是为什么此次中断关闭或减缓了对互联网上各种网站和应用程序的访问。</blockquote></p><p> Users reported problems logging on to not just Amazon's products — Amazon.com, Prime Video, Alexa AI and Kindle — but also Netflix, Venmo, Disney+, Ring, Roku, Duolingo, Chime, Fidelity Investments and NPR's own news apps.</p><p><blockquote>用户不仅报告了登录亚马逊产品(亚马逊、Prime Video、Alexa AI 和 Kindle)的问题,还报告了 Netflix、Venmo、Disney+、Ring、Roku、Duolingo、Chime、富达投资和 NPR 自己的新闻应用程序的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.iowapublicradio.org/news-from-npr/2021-12-07/amazon-announces-progress-after-an-outage-disrupted-sites-across-the-internet\">IOWApublicradio</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.iowapublicradio.org/news-from-npr/2021-12-07/amazon-announces-progress-after-an-outage-disrupted-sites-across-the-internet","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107823408","content_text":"Amazon Web Services, the cloud computing unit of Amazon, reports its \"network device issues [are] resolved\" after suffering a major outage on Tuesday, leaving thousands of users unable to access huge portions of the internet, including a broad range of apps.\nThe outage, which caused slow loading or access failures, began at around 11 a.m. ET and was largely concentrated along the East Coast, according to the company.\nIt explained, \"We are seeing impact to multiple [Amazon Web Services] APIs [application programming interfaces] in the US-EAST-1 Region.\"\n\"We are now working towards recovery of any impaired services,\" an Amazon update said later.\nAWS is a cloud computing service that allows companies to rent computing, storage and network capabilities, which is why the outage has shut down or slowed access to such a wide variety of sites and apps across the internet.\nUsers reported problems logging on to not just Amazon's products — Amazon.com, Prime Video, Alexa AI and Kindle — but also Netflix, Venmo, Disney+, Ring, Roku, Duolingo, Chime, Fidelity Investments and NPR's own news 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","text":"[Speechless]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606891427","repostId":"1134882584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608555274,"gmtCreate":1638764253482,"gmtModify":1638764253618,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"😱 ","listText":"😱 ","text":"😱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608555274","repostId":"1107533977","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107533977","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638754268,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107533977?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.<blockquote>理想汽车股价在香港股市下跌超过14%,小鹏汽车股价下跌近9%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107533977","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.","content":"<p>Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4c63a9e3fe26341f23934616826c6a2\" tg-width=\"747\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12cd5c05e050cc41f92f4263ac49921a\" tg-width=\"710\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>理想汽车股价在香港股市下跌超过14%,小鹏汽车股价下跌近9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.<blockquote>理想汽车股价在香港股市下跌超过14%,小鹏汽车股价下跌近9%。</blockquote></title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLi Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.<blockquote>理想汽车股价在香港股市下跌超过14%,小鹏汽车股价下跌近9%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-06 09:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4c63a9e3fe26341f23934616826c6a2\" tg-width=\"747\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12cd5c05e050cc41f92f4263ac49921a\" tg-width=\"710\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>理想汽车股价在香港股市下跌超过14%,小鹏汽车股价下跌近9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏集团","02015":"理想汽车-W","09868":"小鹏集团-W","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107533977","content_text":"Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02015":0.9,"09868":0.9,"LI":0.9,"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":797,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608868749,"gmtCreate":1638683354315,"gmtModify":1638683354466,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Orhh","listText":"Orhh","text":"Orhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608868749","repostId":"2188787815","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608018187,"gmtCreate":1638580815360,"gmtModify":1638580815531,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"😵💫","listText":"😵💫","text":"😵💫","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608018187","repostId":"1158981658","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601347048,"gmtCreate":1638494547117,"gmtModify":1638494547246,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"More to come ","listText":"More to come ","text":"More to come","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601347048","repostId":"1101828151","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101828151","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638493297,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1101828151?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-03 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.<blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市,在香港上市。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101828151","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.\nDiDi Global Inc. (NYSE: DIDI), th","content":"<p>DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市,在香港上市。</blockquote></p><p> DiDi Global Inc. (NYSE: DIDI), the world’s leading mobility technology platform, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has authorized and supports the Company to undertake the necessary procedures and file the relevant application(s) for the delisting of the Company’s ADSs from the New York Stock Exchange, while ensuring that ADSs will be convertible into freely tradable shares of the Company on another internationally recognized stock exchange at the election of ADS holders.</p><p><blockquote>全球领先的出行技术平台滴滴全球有限公司(纽约证券交易所代码:DIDI)今天宣布,其董事会(“董事会”)已授权并支持公司采取必要程序并提交相关申请,将公司的美国存托凭证从纽约证券交易所退市,同时确保美国存托凭证持有人选举时,美国存托凭证可在另一家国际认可的证券交易所转换为公司可自由交易的股份。</blockquote></p><p> The Company will organize a shareholders meeting to vote on the above matter at an appropriate time in the future, following necessary procedures. The Board has also authorized the Company to pursue a listing of its class A ordinary shares on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><blockquote>公司将在未来适当的时候,按照必要的程序,组织股东大会对上述事项进行表决。董事会亦已授权本公司寻求将其A类普通股于香港联交所主板上市。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.<blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市,在香港上市。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.<blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市,在香港上市。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-03 09:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市,在香港上市。</blockquote></p><p> DiDi Global Inc. (NYSE: DIDI), the world’s leading mobility technology platform, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has authorized and supports the Company to undertake the necessary procedures and file the relevant application(s) for the delisting of the Company’s ADSs from the New York Stock Exchange, while ensuring that ADSs will be convertible into freely tradable shares of the Company on another internationally recognized stock exchange at the election of ADS holders.</p><p><blockquote>全球领先的出行技术平台滴滴全球有限公司(纽约证券交易所代码:DIDI)今天宣布,其董事会(“董事会”)已授权并支持公司采取必要程序并提交相关申请,将公司的美国存托凭证从纽约证券交易所退市,同时确保美国存托凭证持有人选举时,美国存托凭证可在另一家国际认可的证券交易所转换为公司可自由交易的股份。</blockquote></p><p> The Company will organize a shareholders meeting to vote on the above matter at an appropriate time in the future, following necessary procedures. The Board has also authorized the Company to pursue a listing of its class A ordinary shares on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><blockquote>公司将在未来适当的时候,按照必要的程序,组织股东大会对上述事项进行表决。董事会亦已授权本公司寻求将其A类普通股于香港联交所主板上市。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101828151","content_text":"DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.\nDiDi Global Inc. (NYSE: DIDI), the world’s leading mobility technology platform, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has authorized and supports the Company to undertake the necessary procedures and file the relevant application(s) for the delisting of the Company’s ADSs from the New York Stock Exchange, while ensuring that ADSs will be convertible into freely tradable shares of the Company on another internationally recognized stock exchange at the election of ADS holders.\nThe Company will organize a shareholders meeting to vote on the above matter at an appropriate time in the future, following necessary procedures. The Board has also authorized the Company to pursue a listing of its class A ordinary shares on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601344825,"gmtCreate":1638494497171,"gmtModify":1638494497302,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Not too bad","listText":"Not too bad","text":"Not too bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601344825","repostId":"2188510525","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1053,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603237332,"gmtCreate":1638411799345,"gmtModify":1638413411213,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603237332","repostId":"1119970191","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609705949,"gmtCreate":1638322741454,"gmtModify":1638322741575,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"🤩 ","listText":"🤩 ","text":"🤩","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609705949","repostId":"1176118155","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176118155","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638315561,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1176118155?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Heads for Public Market After Investors Approve SPAC Merger<blockquote>投资者批准 SPAC 合并后,争取公开市场人才</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176118155","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Altimeter Growth Corp. shareholders approved the previously announced business combination with Grab","content":"<p> Altimeter Growth Corp. shareholders approved the previously announced business combination with Grab, Southeast Asia's leading superapp, at an extraordinary meeting of shareholders today.</p><p><blockquote>Altimeter Growth Corp.股东在今天的一次特别股东大会上批准了之前宣布的与东南亚领先的超级应用程序Grab的业务合并。</blockquote></p><p> Class A common stock is expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq on December 2, 2021 under the ticker symbol \"GRAB.\"</p><p><blockquote>A类普通股预计将于2021年12月2日开始在纳斯达克交易,股票代码为“GRAB”。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Altimeter Growth Corporation fell 5.8 per cent to close at US$12.72 on Tuesday (Nov 30), after the proposal passed at an extraordinary general meeting. It rebounded slightly in post-market trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c44cc96b82fbb5b8e1da121b6951971\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Investors that back a SPAC (special purpose acquisition company) have a chance to redeem their bets at the issue price before the merger is completed. In Grab's case, 0.02 per cent of shares were redeemed, Altimeter said in a statement. Grab's redemption rate could be considered low compared to its US peers, where interest in SPAC deals have sizzled out of late.</p><p><blockquote>在特别股东大会上通过该提案后,Altimeter Growth Corporation 的股价周二(11 月 30 日)下跌 5.8%,收于 12.72 美元。盘后交易中小幅反弹。支持 SPAC(特殊目的收购公司)的投资者有机会在合并完成前以发行价赎回他们的赌注。Altimeter 在一份声明中表示,就 Grab 而言,0.02% 的股份被赎回。与美国同行相比,Grab 的赎回率可能被认为较低,美国对 SPAC 交易的兴趣最近迅速消退。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the transaction, Grab will receive a US$4.5 billion cash injection, which includes US$4 billion in private investment in public equity arrangement, from the SPAC promoted by Silicon Valley investor Brad Gerstner.</p><p><blockquote>交易完成后,Grab 将从硅谷投资者 Brad Gerstner 推动的 SPAC 获得 45 亿美元现金注入,其中包括 40 亿美元的公共股权安排私人投资。</blockquote></p><p> But the road to public markets has been rocky. After Grab unveiled plans to merge with Altimeter Capital Management’s SPAC in a $40 billion deal, they had to postpone the closing to work on an audit of the past three years’ accounts. Meanwhile, regulatory scrutiny of SPACs and a resurgence of fears about Covid-19 infections threatened to derail the agreement.</p><p><blockquote>但通往公开市场的道路一直崎岖不平。在 Grab 公布了与 Altimeter Capital Management 旗下 SPAC 以 400 亿美元的价格合并的计划后,他们不得不推迟交割,以便对过去三年的账目进行审计。与此同时,监管机构对 SPAC 的审查以及对 Covid-19 感染的担忧死灰复燃,有可能破坏该协议。</blockquote></p><p> Singapore-based Grab, led by Chief Executive Officer Anthony Tan, had long been viewed as a marquee company in Southeast Asia and a promising candidate to go public. Tan and co-founder Hooi Ling Tan, backed by SoftBank Group Corp., fought off aggressive competition to become one of the largest ride-hailing and delivery companies in the region -- and the most valuable startup.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于新加坡的 Grab 由首席执行官 Anthony Tan 领导,长期以来一直被视为东南亚的一家知名公司,也是一家有前途的上市候选者。Tan和联合创始人Hooi Ling Tan在软银集团公司的支持下,击退了激烈的竞争,成为该地区最大的打车和送货公司之一,也是最有价值的初创公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Heads for Public Market After Investors Approve SPAC Merger<blockquote>投资者批准 SPAC 合并后,争取公开市场人才</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Heads for Public Market After Investors Approve SPAC Merger<blockquote>投资者批准 SPAC 合并后,争取公开市场人才</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-01 07:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> Altimeter Growth Corp. shareholders approved the previously announced business combination with Grab, Southeast Asia's leading superapp, at an extraordinary meeting of shareholders today.</p><p><blockquote>Altimeter Growth Corp.股东在今天的一次特别股东大会上批准了之前宣布的与东南亚领先的超级应用程序Grab的业务合并。</blockquote></p><p> Class A common stock is expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq on December 2, 2021 under the ticker symbol \"GRAB.\"</p><p><blockquote>A类普通股预计将于2021年12月2日开始在纳斯达克交易,股票代码为“GRAB”。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Altimeter Growth Corporation fell 5.8 per cent to close at US$12.72 on Tuesday (Nov 30), after the proposal passed at an extraordinary general meeting. It rebounded slightly in post-market trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c44cc96b82fbb5b8e1da121b6951971\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Investors that back a SPAC (special purpose acquisition company) have a chance to redeem their bets at the issue price before the merger is completed. In Grab's case, 0.02 per cent of shares were redeemed, Altimeter said in a statement. Grab's redemption rate could be considered low compared to its US peers, where interest in SPAC deals have sizzled out of late.</p><p><blockquote>在特别股东大会上通过该提案后,Altimeter Growth Corporation 的股价周二(11 月 30 日)下跌 5.8%,收于 12.72 美元。盘后交易中小幅反弹。支持 SPAC(特殊目的收购公司)的投资者有机会在合并完成前以发行价赎回他们的赌注。Altimeter 在一份声明中表示,就 Grab 而言,0.02% 的股份被赎回。与美国同行相比,Grab 的赎回率可能被认为较低,美国对 SPAC 交易的兴趣最近迅速消退。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the transaction, Grab will receive a US$4.5 billion cash injection, which includes US$4 billion in private investment in public equity arrangement, from the SPAC promoted by Silicon Valley investor Brad Gerstner.</p><p><blockquote>交易完成后,Grab 将从硅谷投资者 Brad Gerstner 推动的 SPAC 获得 45 亿美元现金注入,其中包括 40 亿美元的公共股权安排私人投资。</blockquote></p><p> But the road to public markets has been rocky. After Grab unveiled plans to merge with Altimeter Capital Management’s SPAC in a $40 billion deal, they had to postpone the closing to work on an audit of the past three years’ accounts. Meanwhile, regulatory scrutiny of SPACs and a resurgence of fears about Covid-19 infections threatened to derail the agreement.</p><p><blockquote>但通往公开市场的道路一直崎岖不平。在 Grab 公布了与 Altimeter Capital Management 旗下 SPAC 以 400 亿美元的价格合并的计划后,他们不得不推迟交割,以便对过去三年的账目进行审计。与此同时,监管机构对 SPAC 的审查以及对 Covid-19 感染的担忧死灰复燃,有可能破坏该协议。</blockquote></p><p> Singapore-based Grab, led by Chief Executive Officer Anthony Tan, had long been viewed as a marquee company in Southeast Asia and a promising candidate to go public. Tan and co-founder Hooi Ling Tan, backed by SoftBank Group Corp., fought off aggressive competition to become one of the largest ride-hailing and delivery companies in the region -- and the most valuable startup.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于新加坡的 Grab 由首席执行官 Anthony Tan 领导,长期以来一直被视为东南亚的一家知名公司,也是一家有前途的上市候选者。Tan和联合创始人Hooi Ling Tan在软银集团公司的支持下,击退了激烈的竞争,成为该地区最大的打车和送货公司之一,也是最有价值的初创公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176118155","content_text":"Altimeter Growth Corp. shareholders approved the previously announced business combination with Grab, Southeast Asia's leading superapp, at an extraordinary meeting of shareholders today.\nClass A common stock is expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq on December 2, 2021 under the ticker symbol \"GRAB.\"\nShares of Altimeter Growth Corporation fell 5.8 per cent to close at US$12.72 on Tuesday (Nov 30), after the proposal passed at an extraordinary general meeting. It rebounded slightly in post-market trading.Investors that back a SPAC (special purpose acquisition company) have a chance to redeem their bets at the issue price before the merger is completed. In Grab's case, 0.02 per cent of shares were redeemed, Altimeter said in a statement. Grab's redemption rate could be considered low compared to its US peers, where interest in SPAC deals have sizzled out of late.\nAs a result of the transaction, Grab will receive a US$4.5 billion cash injection, which includes US$4 billion in private investment in public equity arrangement, from the SPAC promoted by Silicon Valley investor Brad Gerstner.\nBut the road to public markets has been rocky. After Grab unveiled plans to merge with Altimeter Capital Management’s SPAC in a $40 billion deal, they had to postpone the closing to work on an audit of the past three years’ accounts. Meanwhile, regulatory scrutiny of SPACs and a resurgence of fears about Covid-19 infections threatened to derail the agreement.\nSingapore-based Grab, led by Chief Executive Officer Anthony Tan, had long been viewed as a marquee company in Southeast Asia and a promising candidate to go public. Tan and co-founder Hooi Ling Tan, backed by SoftBank Group Corp., fought off aggressive competition to become one of the largest ride-hailing and delivery companies in the region -- and the most valuable startup.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AGC":0.9,"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":887675179,"gmtCreate":1632036217291,"gmtModify":1632803186133,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Saddd ","listText":"Saddd ","text":"Saddd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887675179","repostId":"2168089015","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":857702206,"gmtCreate":1635558911919,"gmtModify":1635558912012,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Expecting the worse ","listText":"Expecting the worse ","text":"Expecting the worse","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857702206","repostId":"1122066989","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845508074,"gmtCreate":1636346842096,"gmtModify":1636346925482,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845508074","repostId":"2181284457","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":844,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601344825,"gmtCreate":1638494497171,"gmtModify":1638494497302,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Not too bad","listText":"Not too bad","text":"Not too bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601344825","repostId":"2188510525","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1053,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609395484,"gmtCreate":1638237066927,"gmtModify":1638237462261,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"So much u certainty ","listText":"So much u certainty ","text":"So much u certainty","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609395484","repostId":"2187505305","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2187505305","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638236834,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2187505305?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-30 09:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Omicron stock market rout doesn't mean stocks are a 'screaming' buy: strategist<blockquote>策略师:奥密克戎股市崩盘并不意味着股票值得“尖叫”买入</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2187505305","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Don't back up the truck just yet on stocks even in the wake of Friday's brutal Omicron variant fuele","content":"<p><div> Don't back up the truck just yet on stocks even in the wake of Friday's brutal Omicron variant fueled sell-off, warns one long-time strategist. \"I just don't think we hit the level on the S&P 500 ...</p><p><blockquote><div>一位长期策略师警告说,即使在周五残酷的奥密克戎变体引发抛售之后,也不要急于买入股票。“我只是不认为我们达到了标普500的水平……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/omicron-stock-market-rout-doesnt-mean-stocks-are-a-screaming-buy-strategist-192814731.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/omicron-stock-market-rout-doesnt-mean-stocks-are-a-screaming-buy-strategist-192814731.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Omicron stock market rout doesn't mean stocks are a 'screaming' buy: strategist<blockquote>策略师:奥密克戎股市崩盘并不意味着股票值得“尖叫”买入</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOmicron stock market rout doesn't mean stocks are a 'screaming' buy: strategist<blockquote>策略师:奥密克戎股市崩盘并不意味着股票值得“尖叫”买入</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-30 09:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Don't back up the truck just yet on stocks even in the wake of Friday's brutal Omicron variant fueled sell-off, warns one long-time strategist. \"I just don't think we hit the level on the S&P 500 ...</p><p><blockquote><div>一位长期策略师警告说,即使在周五残酷的奥密克戎变体引发抛售之后,也不要急于买入股票。“我只是不认为我们达到了标普500的水平……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/omicron-stock-market-rout-doesnt-mean-stocks-are-a-screaming-buy-strategist-192814731.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/omicron-stock-market-rout-doesnt-mean-stocks-are-a-screaming-buy-strategist-192814731.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/omicron-stock-market-rout-doesnt-mean-stocks-are-a-screaming-buy-strategist-192814731.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","PFE":"辉瑞","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/omicron-stock-market-rout-doesnt-mean-stocks-are-a-screaming-buy-strategist-192814731.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2187505305","content_text":"Don't back up the truck just yet on stocks even in the wake of Friday's brutal Omicron variant fueled sell-off, warns one long-time strategist.\n\"I just don't think we hit the level on the S&P 500 where I am willing to say this is a screaming buying opportunity right now,\" said iCapital Network chief investment strategist Anastasia Amoroso on Yahoo Finance Live. \"We don't see that from the oversold technical levels and also we have another potentially negative catalyst here which is the Federal Reserve. If Omicron is not an issue, but the Fed starts to react to higher inflation, we would have a hawkish Fed pivot. So I think we need to maybe put a pause on the Santa rally expectations, and look for pockets of opportunity, which I do see a few.\"\nAmoroso thinks those pockets of opportunity exist in the biotech space as traders are reminded the pandemic is far from over. Oil stocks also look oversold, Amoroso thinks.\nTraders nibbled at stocks on Monday after the Dow Jones Industrial Average cratered more than 1,000 points the day after Thanksgiving. The violent sell-off transpired as reports of the Omicron variant spreading to more countries — leading to a host of new travel bans — surfaced. Concerns mounted on the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines from Moderna, Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson against Omicron and other potential mutations.\nThe CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) — aka Wall Street's measurement of fear in the markets — shot higher by 54% on the session. That marked the the fourth greatest one-day percentage rise for the VIX since 1990, according to data from Truist.\nTravel stocks like Delta and Hilton were pummeled, while traders rotated into work-from-home names such as Zoom on a view office returns would be pushed out again.\nReopening plays in the travel space saw tepid buying interest on Monday as traders awaited another potential shoe to drop on the Omicron front. The VIX — while down 22% on Monday's session — hovered around levels last seen in September during the inflation-fears driven market sell-off.\nThat said, some strategists are staying with their buy the dip mentality post Friday's drubbing. History suggests that is the right course of action, however painful the short-term may be for the markets.\n\"The evidence suggests selling on the type of fear seen on Friday has often been the wrong decision, at least longer term. Indeed, when we look at the previous instances when the VIX spiked more than 40% in one day, stocks were higher 18 out of 19 times a year later, with an average gain of 20%,\" said Keith Lerner, Truist co-chief investment officer, in a research note to clients.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"SPY.AU":0.9,"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":862,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605531277,"gmtCreate":1639188399047,"gmtModify":1639188399358,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wat deee","listText":"Wat deee","text":"Wat deee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605531277","repostId":"2190620320","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821997870,"gmtCreate":1633683030213,"gmtModify":1633683030435,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hahaha ","listText":"Hahaha ","text":"Hahaha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821997870","repostId":"1126058579","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126058579","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633680579,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1126058579?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 16:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba rose over 2% after surged 8% yesterday<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继昨天飙升 8% 后上涨超过 2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126058579","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Oct 8) Alibaba rose over 2% in premarket trading, after surged 8% yesterday. \nThe stock is looking ","content":"<p>(Oct 8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a> rose over 2% in premarket trading, after surged 8% yesterday. </p><p><blockquote>(10月8日)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>继昨天飙升 8% 后,盘前交易中上涨超过 2%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is looking to make it three up days in a row for the first time in a month aftera strong session in Hong Kong for China tech companies overall.</p><p><blockquote>在香港中国科技公司整体表现强劲后,该股有望一个月来首次连续三天上涨。</blockquote></p><p> BABA is the most mentioned ticker on the WallStreetBets subreddit today, with more than 150 mentions, according to data from Quiver Quantitative.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Quiver Quantitative 的数据,BABA 是今天 WallStreetBets 子 Reddit 上被提及最多的股票,被提及超过 150 次。</blockquote></p><p> The stock had seen a 20% bear correction from early September highs before it started to gain some ground on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在周二开始上涨之前,该股已从 9 月初的高点回调了 20%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, it saw only a one-day dip into oversold territory, with therelative strength index moving below 30 on September 24.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,它仅在一天内跌入超卖区域,其相对强度指数在9月24日跌破30。</blockquote></p><p> Other china tech names mixed.</p><p><blockquote>其他中国科技公司也参差不齐。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17dc323caf557c06a4fb6278d117796f\" tg-width=\"343\" tg-height=\"836\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba rose over 2% after surged 8% yesterday<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继昨天飙升 8% 后上涨超过 2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba rose over 2% after surged 8% yesterday<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继昨天飙升 8% 后上涨超过 2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-08 16:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Oct 8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a> rose over 2% in premarket trading, after surged 8% yesterday. </p><p><blockquote>(10月8日)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>继昨天飙升 8% 后,盘前交易中上涨超过 2%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is looking to make it three up days in a row for the first time in a month aftera strong session in Hong Kong for China tech companies overall.</p><p><blockquote>在香港中国科技公司整体表现强劲后,该股有望一个月来首次连续三天上涨。</blockquote></p><p> BABA is the most mentioned ticker on the WallStreetBets subreddit today, with more than 150 mentions, according to data from Quiver Quantitative.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Quiver Quantitative 的数据,BABA 是今天 WallStreetBets 子 Reddit 上被提及最多的股票,被提及超过 150 次。</blockquote></p><p> The stock had seen a 20% bear correction from early September highs before it started to gain some ground on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在周二开始上涨之前,该股已从 9 月初的高点回调了 20%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, it saw only a one-day dip into oversold territory, with therelative strength index moving below 30 on September 24.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,它仅在一天内跌入超卖区域,其相对强度指数在9月24日跌破30。</blockquote></p><p> Other china tech names mixed.</p><p><blockquote>其他中国科技公司也参差不齐。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17dc323caf557c06a4fb6278d117796f\" tg-width=\"343\" tg-height=\"836\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126058579","content_text":"(Oct 8) Alibaba rose over 2% in premarket trading, after surged 8% yesterday. \nThe stock is looking to make it three up days in a row for the first time in a month aftera strong session in Hong Kong for China tech companies overall.\nBABA is the most mentioned ticker on the WallStreetBets subreddit today, with more than 150 mentions, according to data from Quiver Quantitative.\nThe stock had seen a 20% bear correction from early September highs before it started to gain some ground on Tuesday.\nStill, it saw only a one-day dip into oversold territory, with therelative strength index moving below 30 on September 24.\nOther china tech names mixed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":815,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861447362,"gmtCreate":1632534678956,"gmtModify":1632710091748,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good ","listText":"Good ","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861447362","repostId":"2170619785","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":889338229,"gmtCreate":1631108941161,"gmtModify":1631889264941,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh no ","listText":"Oh no ","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889338229","repostId":"1154837170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154837170","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631090918,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1154837170?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-08 16:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154837170","media":"Barron's","summary":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.Bitcoin was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum , down 12% to $3,460.The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum ","content":"<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.</p><p><blockquote>对比特币来说,这本应是快乐的一天,但却变成了溃败。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.</p><p><blockquote>比特币(股票代码:BTC)周二下午交易价格约为 47,000 美元,在过去 24 小时内下跌 9%,今天上午跌至 42,900 美元。抛售前,比特币股价已超过 52,800 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.</p><p><blockquote>其他加密货币也陷入困境,包括以太币 (ETH),下跌 12%,至 3,460 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.</p><p><blockquote>抛售可能反映了7月下旬价格开始上涨后的获利了结。自 7 月下旬以来,比特币股价已上涨超过 50%,当时股价约为 34,000 美元。在其底层区块链网络进行技术升级后,以太币也一直在飞翔。</blockquote></p><p> The down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多成为第一个将比特币与该国另一种官方货币美元一起作为法定货币的国家后,这一低迷的一天可能也反映了 “抛售新闻 ”的动态。</blockquote></p><p> Merchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多的商人现在应该接受商品和服务的比特币。政府承诺在公民的数字钱包中提供价值30美元的比特币。据路透社报道,麦当劳已开始在萨尔瓦多接受比特币。在正式发射前,纳伊布·布克莱总统的政府一直在购买比特币,包括价值至少2000万美元的产品。</blockquote></p><p> But El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.</p><p><blockquote>但萨尔瓦多的加密货币实验并没有得到国际货币基金组织和世界银行等组织的认可,这些组织警告萨尔瓦多,将其作为法定货币可能会危及金融稳定。其他国家正在打击加密交易、采矿和交易所,这表明萨尔瓦多目前可能是一个例外。</blockquote></p><p> Crypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).</p><p><blockquote>加密货币观察人士也将市场低迷归咎于技术因素。加密货币交易研究公司 Fairlead Strategies 的创始人兼管理合伙人凯蒂-斯托克顿(Katie Stockton)说,假设价格不会突然飙升,比特币现在将迎来 “外部下跌 ”的一天。这意味着比特币的交易区间更大,收盘价将低于昨天(假设下午 5 点截止,尽管它 24 小时交易)。</blockquote></p><p> “The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.</p><p><blockquote>“她说:”这意味着要进一步整合。她补充说,到目前为止,抛售看起来只是一个小小的挫折,因为比特币还没有突破 4.4 万美元左右的 50 天移动平均线,这是其下一个支撑位。</blockquote></p><p> “A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说:”44,000 美元的违规并不意味着破产。“这是对 50 天移动平均线的测试。“比特币和大多数接近当前低点的加密货币都有强有力的支撑”。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.</p><p><blockquote>其他可能导致抛售的因素还包括领先的加密货币交易所 Bitfinix 的停电和 “计划外维护 ”的报道。据 Downdetector 称,Coinbase Global(股票代码:COIN)在中午前后也经历了停电激增。</blockquote></p><p> Even if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.</p><p><blockquote>即使价格从这里稳定下来,这也提醒人们,比特币和其他加密货币仍然容易受到快速下跌的影响。虽然你可以在圣萨尔瓦多买到一个加了一小块比特币的巨无霸,但你最好还是把它放在你的数字钱包里——或者不放在那里——这取决于一天中的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-08 16:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.</p><p><blockquote>对比特币来说,这本应是快乐的一天,但却变成了溃败。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.</p><p><blockquote>比特币(股票代码:BTC)周二下午交易价格约为 47,000 美元,在过去 24 小时内下跌 9%,今天上午跌至 42,900 美元。抛售前,比特币股价已超过 52,800 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.</p><p><blockquote>其他加密货币也陷入困境,包括以太币 (ETH),下跌 12%,至 3,460 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.</p><p><blockquote>抛售可能反映了7月下旬价格开始上涨后的获利了结。自 7 月下旬以来,比特币股价已上涨超过 50%,当时股价约为 34,000 美元。在其底层区块链网络进行技术升级后,以太币也一直在飞翔。</blockquote></p><p> The down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多成为第一个将比特币与该国另一种官方货币美元一起作为法定货币的国家后,这一低迷的一天可能也反映了 “抛售新闻 ”的动态。</blockquote></p><p> Merchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多的商人现在应该接受商品和服务的比特币。政府承诺在公民的数字钱包中提供价值30美元的比特币。据路透社报道,麦当劳已开始在萨尔瓦多接受比特币。在正式发射前,纳伊布·布克莱总统的政府一直在购买比特币,包括价值至少2000万美元的产品。</blockquote></p><p> But El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.</p><p><blockquote>但萨尔瓦多的加密货币实验并没有得到国际货币基金组织和世界银行等组织的认可,这些组织警告萨尔瓦多,将其作为法定货币可能会危及金融稳定。其他国家正在打击加密交易、采矿和交易所,这表明萨尔瓦多目前可能是一个例外。</blockquote></p><p> Crypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).</p><p><blockquote>加密货币观察人士也将市场低迷归咎于技术因素。加密货币交易研究公司 Fairlead Strategies 的创始人兼管理合伙人凯蒂-斯托克顿(Katie Stockton)说,假设价格不会突然飙升,比特币现在将迎来 “外部下跌 ”的一天。这意味着比特币的交易区间更大,收盘价将低于昨天(假设下午 5 点截止,尽管它 24 小时交易)。</blockquote></p><p> “The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.</p><p><blockquote>“她说:”这意味着要进一步整合。她补充说,到目前为止,抛售看起来只是一个小小的挫折,因为比特币还没有突破 4.4 万美元左右的 50 天移动平均线,这是其下一个支撑位。</blockquote></p><p> “A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说:”44,000 美元的违规并不意味着破产。“这是对 50 天移动平均线的测试。“比特币和大多数接近当前低点的加密货币都有强有力的支撑”。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.</p><p><blockquote>其他可能导致抛售的因素还包括领先的加密货币交易所 Bitfinix 的停电和 “计划外维护 ”的报道。据 Downdetector 称,Coinbase Global(股票代码:COIN)在中午前后也经历了停电激增。</blockquote></p><p> Even if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.</p><p><blockquote>即使价格从这里稳定下来,这也提醒人们,比特币和其他加密货币仍然容易受到快速下跌的影响。虽然你可以在圣萨尔瓦多买到一个加了一小块比特币的巨无霸,但你最好还是把它放在你的数字钱包里——或者不放在那里——这取决于一天中的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154837170","content_text":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.\nBitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.\nOther cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.\nThe selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.\nThe down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.\nMerchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.\nBut El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.\nCrypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).\n“The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.\n“A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”\nOther factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.\nEven if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":705,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177172138,"gmtCreate":1627191007224,"gmtModify":1631889871081,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577502940596690","idStr":"3577502940596690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"just wait ☺️","listText":"just wait ☺️","text":"just wait ☺️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177172138","repostId":"1176552691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176552691","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627183789,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1176552691?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM 股票被低估还是被高估?需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176552691","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li> <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li> <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>IBM 第二季度盈利超出分析师预期,云收入和营业利润率均有所提高。</li><li>在第一季度之前,IBM 连续四个季度收入下降,过去 34 个季度中有 30 个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多的透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊桑·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商用机器公司(IBM)是一家处于转型期的公司。对投资者来说不幸的是,这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及传统业务的剥离。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象,但播种的种子是否落在岩石地上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面的业务快速增长,并且在量子计算方面是一个潜在的增长引擎,但它面临着前者行业的激烈竞争和后者行业的不确定前景。公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态,因此 IBM 的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,截至今天,IBM 拥有合理且不断减少的债务负担和强劲的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来解决增长问题,同时剥离托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为 Kyndryl。然而,新实体将承担的债务以及它将承担的当前股息部分尚未披露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司非 GAAP 每股收益为 2.33 美元,超出预期 0.04 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后,收入为 187 亿美元,持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了 7%。然而,这主要是由于正常的 IBM Z 大型机周期,同比下降 13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门占总收入的个位数比例较低,下降了 9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一,并将大部分分拆为 Kyndryl,但增长持平。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极方面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%,全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去 12 个月,云总收入为 270 亿美元,增长了 15%,而本季度云收入增长了 13%,达到 70 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去 12 个月,经营活动产生的净现金达到 177 亿美元,调整后自由现金流总计 110 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来,该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM的立足点</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM充其量是一家三流IT公司,最坏的情况是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,该公司的收入多年来一直在下降;然而,要准确评估该股,投资者必须了解 IBM 的传统业务有很多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如,IBM 是世界上最大的 IT 服务公司,也是大型机的主要供应商。在财富50强公司中,有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接都由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 的大型机系统处理了全球近 90% 的信用卡交易,全球 97% 的最大银行依赖 IBM 的产品和服务。因此,每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务,而旅游业80%的预订都是通过IBM系统进行的。这导致使用该公司的 IT 服务处理了 40 亿个航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,IBM拥有庞大的客户群,提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下,转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息传输的风险,这是许多人不愿意采取的举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而,随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡,企业越来越多地采用混合匹配的IT基础架构。反过来,这又侵蚀了 IBM 在客户转换成本方面的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍意识到 IBM 通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。不过,在摩根大通最近举行的投资者大会上,首席财务官吉姆-卡瓦诺(Jim Kavanaugh)在接受提问时,就混合云如何推动 IBM 其他一些部门的收入提出了见解。</blockquote></p><p> For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall. Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们每在混合云平台上投入1美元(在业务中),就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然,卡瓦诺使用的是 drag 指的是与采用 IBM 混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确,这意味着在公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都能从公司的软件和服务产品中获得 9 到 13 美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>因为混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务,所以它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。医疗保健和金融服务领域的客户尤其关注这一点。因此,我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势,因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最新的研究也属于其他预测的范围,是由魔多情报公司进行的。该公司预测 2021 年至 2026 年的复合年增长率为 18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该意识到,该领域的主要运营商是思科 (CSCO)、惠普 (HPE)、亚马逊 (AMZN)、思杰系统 (CTXS) 和 IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云,还有另一个潜在增长来源,尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初,IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>请原谅这个双关语,但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测,到2030年,该行业的CAGR将达到56%,量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和 IBM 在该行业中的地位的更多见解,我向您推荐我的文章《IBM:为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人》。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦推出,将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多名客户。随着600亿美元的服务积压,新实体的预计收入将达到190亿美元。该公司的规模是其最接近的竞争对手的两倍,将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次拆分将使 IBM 从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务一半以上收入的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占该公司收入的 22%,将占销售额的 40% 以上。值得注意的是,该部门上一季度的收入同比增长了 12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 将保留 Red Hat 及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务,以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件产品组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初,两家公司将各自成为对方最大的客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆,仍有待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务,以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示,两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM已经转危为安了吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道,该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图记录了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ycharts 数据 / 作者提供的图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨,但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与 Kyndryl 分拆相关的 30 亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示,他预计 IBM 到 2022 年将产生 120 亿至 130 亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层变动,但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自 2019 年中期达到峰值以来,该公司已将债务减少了约 180 亿美元。IBM 维持投资级信用评级,下图记录了该公司近期偿还债务的进展情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%,派息率略低于61%,5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述,Kyndryl 分拆后,两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票被高估了吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 股价交易价格为 141.13 美元。8 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 153.50 美元。自上次收益报告以来,3 位分析师对该股的目标价为 151.33 美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍,远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下,其五年平均水平分别为 16.42 倍和 13.25 倍。这两个指标都远低于行业平均水平,行业平均水平都在三十分左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium 提供的 3 至 5 年期 PEG 为 1.16 倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍,雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后 IBM 增长的预期。挂钩比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票是一项好的长期投资吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中拥有根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是,被视为公司主要增长途径的云计算也可能导致公司一些传统业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务的快速增长是显而易见的: IBM 现在拥有 3200 多家客户使用公司的混合云平台。这几乎是红帽收购前数字的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确,混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。再加上 Kyndryl 发展缓慢的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆,我们有理由相信 IBM 将实现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 拥有稳健的资产负债表、强劲的收益率,当使用 PEG 比率作为股票估值的基础时,股票交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑,我将 IBM 评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期内最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢,而投资者却获得了相当丰厚的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM 股票被低估还是被高估?需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM 股票被低估还是被高估?需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li> <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li> <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>IBM 第二季度盈利超出分析师预期,云收入和营业利润率均有所提高。</li><li>在第一季度之前,IBM 连续四个季度收入下降,过去 34 个季度中有 30 个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多的透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊桑·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商用机器公司(IBM)是一家处于转型期的公司。对投资者来说不幸的是,这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及传统业务的剥离。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象,但播种的种子是否落在岩石地上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面的业务快速增长,并且在量子计算方面是一个潜在的增长引擎,但它面临着前者行业的激烈竞争和后者行业的不确定前景。公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态,因此 IBM 的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,截至今天,IBM 拥有合理且不断减少的债务负担和强劲的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来解决增长问题,同时剥离托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为 Kyndryl。然而,新实体将承担的债务以及它将承担的当前股息部分尚未披露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司非 GAAP 每股收益为 2.33 美元,超出预期 0.04 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后,收入为 187 亿美元,持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了 7%。然而,这主要是由于正常的 IBM Z 大型机周期,同比下降 13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门占总收入的个位数比例较低,下降了 9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一,并将大部分分拆为 Kyndryl,但增长持平。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极方面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%,全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去 12 个月,云总收入为 270 亿美元,增长了 15%,而本季度云收入增长了 13%,达到 70 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去 12 个月,经营活动产生的净现金达到 177 亿美元,调整后自由现金流总计 110 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来,该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM的立足点</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM充其量是一家三流IT公司,最坏的情况是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,该公司的收入多年来一直在下降;然而,要准确评估该股,投资者必须了解 IBM 的传统业务有很多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如,IBM 是世界上最大的 IT 服务公司,也是大型机的主要供应商。在财富50强公司中,有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接都由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 的大型机系统处理了全球近 90% 的信用卡交易,全球 97% 的最大银行依赖 IBM 的产品和服务。因此,每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务,而旅游业80%的预订都是通过IBM系统进行的。这导致使用该公司的 IT 服务处理了 40 亿个航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,IBM拥有庞大的客户群,提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下,转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息传输的风险,这是许多人不愿意采取的举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而,随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡,企业越来越多地采用混合匹配的IT基础架构。反过来,这又侵蚀了 IBM 在客户转换成本方面的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍意识到 IBM 通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。不过,在摩根大通最近举行的投资者大会上,首席财务官吉姆-卡瓦诺(Jim Kavanaugh)在接受提问时,就混合云如何推动 IBM 其他一些部门的收入提出了见解。</blockquote></p><p> For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall. Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们每在混合云平台上投入1美元(在业务中),就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然,卡瓦诺使用的是 drag 指的是与采用 IBM 混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确,这意味着在公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都能从公司的软件和服务产品中获得 9 到 13 美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>因为混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务,所以它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。医疗保健和金融服务领域的客户尤其关注这一点。因此,我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势,因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最新的研究也属于其他预测的范围,是由魔多情报公司进行的。该公司预测 2021 年至 2026 年的复合年增长率为 18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该意识到,该领域的主要运营商是思科 (CSCO)、惠普 (HPE)、亚马逊 (AMZN)、思杰系统 (CTXS) 和 IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云,还有另一个潜在增长来源,尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初,IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>请原谅这个双关语,但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测,到2030年,该行业的CAGR将达到56%,量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和 IBM 在该行业中的地位的更多见解,我向您推荐我的文章《IBM:为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人》。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦推出,将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多名客户。随着600亿美元的服务积压,新实体的预计收入将达到190亿美元。该公司的规模是其最接近的竞争对手的两倍,将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次拆分将使 IBM 从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务一半以上收入的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占该公司收入的 22%,将占销售额的 40% 以上。值得注意的是,该部门上一季度的收入同比增长了 12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 将保留 Red Hat 及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务,以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件产品组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初,两家公司将各自成为对方最大的客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆,仍有待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务,以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示,两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM已经转危为安了吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道,该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图记录了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ycharts 数据 / 作者提供的图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨,但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与 Kyndryl 分拆相关的 30 亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示,他预计 IBM 到 2022 年将产生 120 亿至 130 亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层变动,但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自 2019 年中期达到峰值以来,该公司已将债务减少了约 180 亿美元。IBM 维持投资级信用评级,下图记录了该公司近期偿还债务的进展情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%,派息率略低于61%,5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述,Kyndryl 分拆后,两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票被高估了吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 股价交易价格为 141.13 美元。8 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 153.50 美元。自上次收益报告以来,3 位分析师对该股的目标价为 151.33 美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍,远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下,其五年平均水平分别为 16.42 倍和 13.25 倍。这两个指标都远低于行业平均水平,行业平均水平都在三十分左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium 提供的 3 至 5 年期 PEG 为 1.16 倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍,雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后 IBM 增长的预期。挂钩比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票是一项好的长期投资吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中拥有根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是,被视为公司主要增长途径的云计算也可能导致公司一些传统业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务的快速增长是显而易见的: IBM 现在拥有 3200 多家客户使用公司的混合云平台。这几乎是红帽收购前数字的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确,混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。再加上 Kyndryl 发展缓慢的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆,我们有理由相信 IBM 将实现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 拥有稳健的资产负债表、强劲的收益率,当使用 PEG 比率作为股票估值的基础时,股票交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑,我将 IBM 评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期内最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢,而投资者却获得了相当丰厚的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176552691","content_text":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.\nMore transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.\n\nEthan Miller/Getty Images News\nInternational Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.\nAlthough the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.\nWhat is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.\nManagement is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.\nRecent Quarterly Results\nIBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.\nRevenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.\nThe negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.\nThe global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.\nThe positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.\nNet cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.\nSince year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.\nManagement guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.\nWhere IBM Stands Tall\nIBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.\nIt is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.\nFor example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.\nHalf of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.\nIBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.\nEight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.\nSource: Forbes\nIt is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.\nHowever, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.\nThe Sources Of Potential Growth\nInvestors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.\n\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n\nOf course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.\nBecause hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.\nI reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.\nInvestors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.\nThe following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.\nSource: Company reports / Chart by Author\nAside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.\nEarly in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.\nPardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.\nFor additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”\nUnderstanding Kyndryl\nOnce Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.\nThe split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.\nGlobal Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.\nIBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.\nInitially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.\nWhat remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.\nHas IBM Turned The Corner?\nAnyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.\nSource: Data from ycharts / chart by author\nWhile this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.\nIn 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.\nThe CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.\nDebt And Dividend\nWhile investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.\nThe company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.\nSource: IBM Presentation\nIBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.\nIs IBM Stock Overvalued?\nIBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.\nIBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.\nThe 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.\nI believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.\nIs IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?\nIBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.\nThat the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.\nIf management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.\nIBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.\nAll considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.\nI think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":922,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}