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Masterpumper

Masterpumper

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2021-04-01

All hype

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-31

$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$Waiting for strong pump

2021-03-24

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Burning

2021-03-06

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Gg

2021-03-19

Pew pew

2021-03-19

Gggg

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-26

Tech pump

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-31

Oil bad, tech pump

OPEC+ Sees Slower Oil Demand Recovery Amid New Lockdowns<blockquote>OPEC+认为在新的封锁期间石油需求复苏放缓</blockquote>

2021-03-19

LMUNNY

This is the key question that will determine whether stimulus money overheats the economy<blockquote>这是决定刺激资金是否会使经济过热的关键问题</blockquote>

2021-03-19

$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$Weee

2021-03-18

$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$TO THE MOOOOON

2021-03-10

$Apple(AAPL)$Boring where is pump??

2021-03-23

$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$Cry

2021-03-15

Bonds lousy

Why inflation makes holding bonds for the long run riskier than owning stocks<blockquote>为什么通货膨胀使长期持有债券比持有股票风险更大</blockquote>

2021-04-06

$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$Waitingggg

2021-03-30

BIG BULL PUMPERS

Beware The 11 Most Overvalued Stocks Now, Analysts Warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，现在要小心11只最被高估的股票</blockquote>

2021-03-19

Nuce

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2021-03-17

$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$Yummy

2021-03-16

$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$Rocket

2021-03-31

Like mee

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b00ms","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340412650","repostId":"1176602902","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176602902","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1617366683,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176602902?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. added 916,000 jobs in March, above expectations<blockquote>美国3月新增就业91.6万个，高于预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176602902","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(April 2) Job growth boomed in March at the fastest pace since last summer as stronger economic grow","content":"<p>(April&nbsp;2)&nbsp;Job growth boomed in March at the fastest pace since last summer as stronger economic growth and an aggressive vaccination effort pushed companies to step up hiring, the Labor Department reported Friday.</p><p><blockquote>（4月2日）美国劳工部周五报告称，由于强劲的经济增长和积极的疫苗接种工作推动企业加大招聘力度，3月份就业增长以去年夏天以来的最快速度增长。</blockquote></p><p>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 916,000 for the month while the unemployment rate fell to 6%.</p><p><blockquote>当月非农就业人数增加91.6万人，失业率降至6%。</blockquote></p><p>Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 675,000 and an unemployment rate of 6%.</p><p><blockquote>接受道琼斯调查的经济学家一直预计增加675,000人，失业率为6%。</blockquote></p><p>The report comes amid a slew of other indicators pointing to stronger growth as the U.S. tries to shake off the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. States and municipalities across the country continue to reopen after a year of operating at reduced capacity.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，一系列其他指标表明，随着美国试图摆脱Covid-19大流行的影响，经济增长将更加强劲。在经历了一年的产能减少后，全国各地的州和市继续重新开放。</blockquote></p><p>Business activity has returned to close to normal levels in much of the company despite the restrictions, with a tracker by Jeffries indicating that activity is at 93.5% of its pre-pandemic level.</p><p><blockquote>尽管受到限制，该公司大部分地区的业务活动已恢复到接近正常水平，Jeffries的跟踪显示，业务活动为大流行前水平的93.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Data from Homebase shows that employees working and hours worked both gained sharply over the past month, with significant improvements in both hospitality and entertainment. Those have been the hardest-hit sectors, but have improved over the past two months as governments have loosened up on some of the harshest restrictions on activity.</p><p><blockquote>Homebase的数据显示，过去一个月，员工的工作时间和工作时间都大幅增加，接待和娱乐方面都有显着改善。这些是受打击最严重的行业，但随着政府放松了一些最严厉的活动限制，过去两个月有所改善。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, manufacturing is enjoying a boom, with an Institute for Supply Management gauge of activity in the sector hitting its highest level since late 1983 in March.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，制造业正在蓬勃发展，供应管理协会对该行业活动的衡量在3月份达到了1983年底以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>The pace of gains combined with the unprecedented level of government stimulus has kindled worries about inflation, though Federal Reserve officials say any increases will be temporary.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美联储官员表示，任何加息都将是暂时的，但加息速度加上政府前所未有的刺激措施引发了人们对通胀的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>The Fed is keeping a close eye on the jobs data, but policymakers have said repeatedly that even with the recent improvements the labor market is nowhere near a point that would push the central bank into raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储正在密切关注就业数据，但政策制定者一再表示，即使最近有所改善，劳动力市场也远未达到推动央行加息的程度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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States and municipalities across the country continue to reopen after a year of operating at reduced capacity.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，一系列其他指标表明，随着美国试图摆脱Covid-19大流行的影响，经济增长将更加强劲。在经历了一年的产能减少后，全国各地的州和市继续重新开放。</blockquote></p><p>Business activity has returned to close to normal levels in much of the company despite the restrictions, with a tracker by Jeffries indicating that activity is at 93.5% of its pre-pandemic level.</p><p><blockquote>尽管受到限制，该公司大部分地区的业务活动已恢复到接近正常水平，Jeffries的跟踪显示，业务活动为大流行前水平的93.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Data from Homebase shows that employees working and hours worked both gained sharply over the past month, with significant improvements in both hospitality and entertainment. Those have been the hardest-hit sectors, but have improved over the past two months as governments have loosened up on some of the harshest restrictions on activity.</p><p><blockquote>Homebase的数据显示，过去一个月，员工的工作时间和工作时间都大幅增加，接待和娱乐方面都有显着改善。这些是受打击最严重的行业，但随着政府放松了一些最严厉的活动限制，过去两个月有所改善。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, manufacturing is enjoying a boom, with an Institute for Supply Management gauge of activity in the sector hitting its highest level since late 1983 in March.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，制造业正在蓬勃发展，供应管理协会对该行业活动的衡量在3月份达到了1983年底以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>The pace of gains combined with the unprecedented level of government stimulus has kindled worries about inflation, though Federal Reserve officials say any increases will be temporary.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美联储官员表示，任何加息都将是暂时的，但加息速度加上政府前所未有的刺激措施引发了人们对通胀的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>The Fed is keeping a close eye on the jobs data, but policymakers have said repeatedly that even with the recent improvements the labor market is nowhere near a point that would push the central bank into raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储正在密切关注就业数据，但政策制定者一再表示，即使最近有所改善，劳动力市场也远未达到推动央行加息的程度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176602902","content_text":"(April 2) Job growth boomed in March at the fastest pace since last summer as stronger economic growth and an aggressive vaccination effort pushed companies to step up hiring, the Labor Department reported Friday.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 916,000 for the month while the unemployment rate fell to 6%.Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 675,000 and an unemployment rate of 6%.The report comes amid a slew of other indicators pointing to stronger growth as the U.S. tries to shake off the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. States and municipalities across the country continue to reopen after a year of operating at reduced capacity.Business activity has returned to close to normal levels in much of the company despite the restrictions, with a tracker by Jeffries indicating that activity is at 93.5% of its pre-pandemic level.Data from Homebase shows that employees working and hours worked both gained sharply over the past month, with significant improvements in both hospitality and entertainment. Those have been the hardest-hit sectors, but have improved over the past two months as governments have loosened up on some of the harshest restrictions on activity.At the same time, manufacturing is enjoying a boom, with an Institute for Supply Management gauge of activity in the sector hitting its highest level since late 1983 in March.The pace of gains combined with the unprecedented level of government stimulus has kindled worries about inflation, though Federal Reserve officials say any increases will be temporary.The Fed is keeping a close eye on the jobs data, but policymakers have said repeatedly that even with the recent improvements the labor market is nowhere near a point that would push the central bank into raising interest rates.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357114772,"gmtCreate":1617245934796,"gmtModify":1634521827070,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All hype","listText":"All hype","text":"All hype","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357114772","repostId":"2124834205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354780844,"gmtCreate":1617201186988,"gmtModify":1634522087198,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like mee","listText":"Like mee","text":"Like mee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354780844","repostId":"2123273610","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2123273610","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1617200822,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2123273610?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-31 22:27","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"BRIEF-Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital FY Profit Attributable RMB298 Mln<blockquote>简介-上海锦江资本财年归属利润人民币2.98亿元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2123273610","media":"Reuters","summary":"March 31 (Reuters) - Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Co Ltd :   * FY REVENUE RMB14,201 MILLION VERSUS RMB","content":"<p><html><body>March 31 (Reuters) - Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Co Ltd</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透3月31日-上海锦江资本有限公司</body></html></blockquote></p><p> :</p><p><blockquote>：</blockquote></p><p>   * FY REVENUE RMB14,201 MILLION VERSUS RMB20,977 MILLION</p><p><blockquote>*财年收入人民币142.01亿元对比人民币209.77亿元</blockquote></p><p>   * PROPOSED A DISTRIBUTION OF RMB1.02 CENTS PER SHARE FOR 2020</p><p><blockquote>*建议2020年分派每股人民币1.02分</blockquote></p><p>   * FY PROFIT ATTRIBUTABLE RMB298 MILLION VERSUS RMB676 MILLION</p><p><blockquote>*财年应佔溢利人民币298百万元对人民币676百万元</blockquote></p><p>Source text for Eikon:    Further company coverage:   </p><p><blockquote>Eikon的源文本：更多公司报道：</blockquote></p><p> ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com))</p><p><blockquote>((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com))</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BRIEF-Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital FY Profit Attributable RMB298 Mln<blockquote>简介-上海锦江资本财年归属利润人民币2.98亿元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBRIEF-Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital FY Profit Attributable RMB298 Mln<blockquote>简介-上海锦江资本财年归属利润人民币2.98亿元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-31 22:27</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>March 31 (Reuters) - Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Co Ltd</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透3月31日-上海锦江资本有限公司</body></html></blockquote></p><p> :</p><p><blockquote>：</blockquote></p><p>   * FY REVENUE RMB14,201 MILLION VERSUS RMB20,977 MILLION</p><p><blockquote>*财年收入人民币142.01亿元对比人民币209.77亿元</blockquote></p><p>   * PROPOSED A DISTRIBUTION OF RMB1.02 CENTS PER SHARE FOR 2020</p><p><blockquote>*建议2020年分派每股人民币1.02分</blockquote></p><p>   * FY PROFIT ATTRIBUTABLE RMB298 MILLION VERSUS RMB676 MILLION</p><p><blockquote>*财年应佔溢利人民币298百万元对人民币676百万元</blockquote></p><p>Source text for Eikon:    Further company coverage:   </p><p><blockquote>Eikon的源文本：更多公司报道：</blockquote></p><p> ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com))</p><p><blockquote>((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com))</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2123273610","content_text":"March 31 (Reuters) - Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Co Ltd :   * FY REVENUE RMB14,201 MILLION VERSUS RMB20,977 MILLION   * PROPOSED A DISTRIBUTION OF RMB1.02 CENTS PER SHARE FOR 2020   * FY PROFIT ATTRIBUTABLE RMB298 MILLION VERSUS RMB676 MILLIONSource text for Eikon:    Further company coverage:    ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com))","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02006":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354714652,"gmtCreate":1617201133476,"gmtModify":1631888163384,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLGT\">$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$</a>Waiting for strong pump","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLGT\">$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$</a>Waiting for strong pump","text":"$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$Waiting for strong pump","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72203a32d22fc26228239bf8624dfdca","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354714652","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354715270,"gmtCreate":1617201096790,"gmtModify":1634522089077,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oil bad, tech pump","listText":"Oil bad, tech pump","text":"Oil bad, tech pump","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354715270","repostId":"1181282052","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181282052","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617200948,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181282052?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-31 22:29","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"OPEC+ Sees Slower Oil Demand Recovery Amid New Lockdowns<blockquote>OPEC+认为在新的封锁期间石油需求复苏放缓</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181282052","media":"Oilprice","summary":"An OPEC+ panel advising the group has revised down its global oil demand forecast for 2021 by 300,00","content":"<p>An OPEC+ panel advising the group has revised down its global oil demand forecast for 2021 by 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) in light of the renewed lockdowns in Europe amid a third wave of the pandemic, Reutersreportedon&nbsp; Wednesday, citing a report from the Joint Technical Committee (JTC) it had seen.</p><p><blockquote>据路透社周三援引联合组织的一份报告报道，鉴于欧洲在第三波疫情期间重新实施封锁，为该组织提供咨询的OPEC+小组已将2021年全球石油需求预测下调了30万桶/日。技术委员会（JTC）已经看到。</blockquote></p><p>The committeemeton Tuesday, beginning the monthly OPEC+ meetings that are expected to decide how the alliance will proceed with the production cuts in May.</p><p><blockquote>该委员会将于周二开始每月一次的OPEC+会议，预计将决定该联盟如何在5月份继续减产。</blockquote></p><p>“The most recent edition of OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report projecting growth of 5.1 per cent in 2021, while world oil demand is estimated to rise by 5.9 mb/d,” OPEC said at the end of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote>欧佩克在会议结束时表示：“最新版的欧佩克月度石油市场报告预计2021年将增长5.1%，而世界石油需求预计将增长590万桶/日。”</blockquote></p><p>But the JTC’s base-case scenario, according to the report Reuters has seen, now forecasts demand growth of 5.6 million bpd, down by 300,000 bpd.</p><p><blockquote>但根据路透社看到的报告，JTC的基本情景目前预测需求增长560万桶/日，下降30万桶/日。</blockquote></p><p>Global oil supply, on the other hand, is set to rise by 1.6 million bpd this year, the JTC now expects. This is 200,000 bpd higher than its previous supply growth estimate.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，JTC现在预计，今年全球石油供应将增加160万桶/日。这比之前的供应增长估计高出20万桶/日。</blockquote></p><p>At the JTC meeting, OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo “expressed cautious optimism about the positive trajectory of the recovery in the oil market and global economy,” OPECsaid.</p><p><blockquote>欧佩克表示，在JTC会议上，欧佩克秘书长穆罕默德·巴尔金多“对石油市场和全球经济复苏的积极轨迹表示谨慎乐观”。</blockquote></p><p>One of the Arab Gulf members of OPEC, Kuwait, alsosaidon Wednesday that it was “cautiously optimistic” about global oil demand growth this year, its Oil Minister, Mohammad Abdulatif al-Fares, said, as per Kuwait’s state news agency KUNA. Kuwait reiterated its full support to OPEC+ efforts to rebalance the market, the minister added.</p><p><blockquote>据科威特国家通讯社KUNA报道，石油输出国组织阿拉伯海湾成员国之一科威特石油部长穆罕默德·阿卜杜拉蒂夫·法雷斯(Mohammad Abdulatif al-Fares)周三也表示，对今年全球石油需求增长持“谨慎乐观”态度。这位部长补充说，科威特重申全力支持欧佩克+重新平衡市场的努力。</blockquote></p><p>The “cautious optimism” messages coming from OPEC and the OPEC+ group this week suggest that the group is more likely than not to roll over the current cuts into May, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，本周来自OPEC和OPEC+集团的“谨慎乐观”信息表明，该集团更有可能将当前的减产推迟到5月份。</blockquote></p><p>Russia is reportedly favoring a rollover of the alliance’s oil production cuts, but it is&nbsp;seeking a slight increase for itself&nbsp;to meet higher domestic seasonal demand, a source with knowledge of Moscow’s plans told Reuters on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>一位了解莫斯科计划的消息人士周一告诉路透社，据报道，俄罗斯赞成延长该联盟的石油减产，但它正在寻求小幅增加产量，以满足国内更高的季节性需求。</blockquote></p><p>OPEC’s top producer and de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, is also reportedly ready to extend current OPEC+ production cuts over May and June and&nbsp;also keep cutting 1 million bpd&nbsp;in oil output unilaterally, according to an unnamed source who&nbsp;spoke&nbsp;to Reuters.</p><p><blockquote>据一位不愿透露姓名的消息人士透露，据报道，欧佩克最大产油国和事实上的领导者沙特阿拉伯也准备在5月和6月延长目前的欧佩克+减产，并继续单方面削减100万桶/日的石油产量。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606109400967","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>OPEC+ Sees Slower Oil Demand Recovery Amid New Lockdowns<blockquote>OPEC+认为在新的封锁期间石油需求复苏放缓</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOPEC+ Sees Slower Oil Demand Recovery Amid New Lockdowns<blockquote>OPEC+认为在新的封锁期间石油需求复苏放缓</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Oilprice</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-31 22:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>An OPEC+ panel advising the group has revised down its global oil demand forecast for 2021 by 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) in light of the renewed lockdowns in Europe amid a third wave of the pandemic, Reutersreportedon&nbsp; Wednesday, citing a report from the Joint Technical Committee (JTC) it had seen.</p><p><blockquote>据路透社周三援引联合组织的一份报告报道，鉴于欧洲在第三波疫情期间重新实施封锁，为该组织提供咨询的OPEC+小组已将2021年全球石油需求预测下调了30万桶/日。技术委员会（JTC）已经看到。</blockquote></p><p>The committeemeton Tuesday, beginning the monthly OPEC+ meetings that are expected to decide how the alliance will proceed with the production cuts in May.</p><p><blockquote>该委员会将于周二开始每月一次的OPEC+会议，预计将决定该联盟如何在5月份继续减产。</blockquote></p><p>“The most recent edition of OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report projecting growth of 5.1 per cent in 2021, while world oil demand is estimated to rise by 5.9 mb/d,” OPEC said at the end of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote>欧佩克在会议结束时表示：“最新版的欧佩克月度石油市场报告预计2021年将增长5.1%，而世界石油需求预计将增长590万桶/日。”</blockquote></p><p>But the JTC’s base-case scenario, according to the report Reuters has seen, now forecasts demand growth of 5.6 million bpd, down by 300,000 bpd.</p><p><blockquote>但根据路透社看到的报告，JTC的基本情景目前预测需求增长560万桶/日，下降30万桶/日。</blockquote></p><p>Global oil supply, on the other hand, is set to rise by 1.6 million bpd this year, the JTC now expects. This is 200,000 bpd higher than its previous supply growth estimate.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，JTC现在预计，今年全球石油供应将增加160万桶/日。这比之前的供应增长估计高出20万桶/日。</blockquote></p><p>At the JTC meeting, OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo “expressed cautious optimism about the positive trajectory of the recovery in the oil market and global economy,” OPECsaid.</p><p><blockquote>欧佩克表示，在JTC会议上，欧佩克秘书长穆罕默德·巴尔金多“对石油市场和全球经济复苏的积极轨迹表示谨慎乐观”。</blockquote></p><p>One of the Arab Gulf members of OPEC, Kuwait, alsosaidon Wednesday that it was “cautiously optimistic” about global oil demand growth this year, its Oil Minister, Mohammad Abdulatif al-Fares, said, as per Kuwait’s state news agency KUNA. Kuwait reiterated its full support to OPEC+ efforts to rebalance the market, the minister added.</p><p><blockquote>据科威特国家通讯社KUNA报道，石油输出国组织阿拉伯海湾成员国之一科威特石油部长穆罕默德·阿卜杜拉蒂夫·法雷斯(Mohammad Abdulatif al-Fares)周三也表示，对今年全球石油需求增长持“谨慎乐观”态度。这位部长补充说，科威特重申全力支持欧佩克+重新平衡市场的努力。</blockquote></p><p>The “cautious optimism” messages coming from OPEC and the OPEC+ group this week suggest that the group is more likely than not to roll over the current cuts into May, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，本周来自OPEC和OPEC+集团的“谨慎乐观”信息表明，该集团更有可能将当前的减产推迟到5月份。</blockquote></p><p>Russia is reportedly favoring a rollover of the alliance’s oil production cuts, but it is&nbsp;seeking a slight increase for itself&nbsp;to meet higher domestic seasonal demand, a source with knowledge of Moscow’s plans told Reuters on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>一位了解莫斯科计划的消息人士周一告诉路透社，据报道，俄罗斯赞成延长该联盟的石油减产，但它正在寻求小幅增加产量，以满足国内更高的季节性需求。</blockquote></p><p>OPEC’s top producer and de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, is also reportedly ready to extend current OPEC+ production cuts over May and June and&nbsp;also keep cutting 1 million bpd&nbsp;in oil output unilaterally, according to an unnamed source who&nbsp;spoke&nbsp;to Reuters.</p><p><blockquote>据一位不愿透露姓名的消息人士透露，据报道，欧佩克最大产油国和事实上的领导者沙特阿拉伯也准备在5月和6月延长目前的欧佩克+减产，并继续单方面削减100万桶/日的石油产量。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/OPEC-Sees-Slower-Oil-Demand-Recovery-Amid-New-Lockdowns.html\">Oilprice</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50ab1228da008e61faa75a03abe0e560","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/OPEC-Sees-Slower-Oil-Demand-Recovery-Amid-New-Lockdowns.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181282052","content_text":"An OPEC+ panel advising the group has revised down its global oil demand forecast for 2021 by 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) in light of the renewed lockdowns in Europe amid a third wave of the pandemic, Reutersreportedon  Wednesday, citing a report from the Joint Technical Committee (JTC) it had seen.The committeemeton Tuesday, beginning the monthly OPEC+ meetings that are expected to decide how the alliance will proceed with the production cuts in May.“The most recent edition of OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report projecting growth of 5.1 per cent in 2021, while world oil demand is estimated to rise by 5.9 mb/d,” OPEC said at the end of the meeting.But the JTC’s base-case scenario, according to the report Reuters has seen, now forecasts demand growth of 5.6 million bpd, down by 300,000 bpd.Global oil supply, on the other hand, is set to rise by 1.6 million bpd this year, the JTC now expects. This is 200,000 bpd higher than its previous supply growth estimate.At the JTC meeting, OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo “expressed cautious optimism about the positive trajectory of the recovery in the oil market and global economy,” OPECsaid.One of the Arab Gulf members of OPEC, Kuwait, alsosaidon Wednesday that it was “cautiously optimistic” about global oil demand growth this year, its Oil Minister, Mohammad Abdulatif al-Fares, said, as per Kuwait’s state news agency KUNA. Kuwait reiterated its full support to OPEC+ efforts to rebalance the market, the minister added.The “cautious optimism” messages coming from OPEC and the OPEC+ group this week suggest that the group is more likely than not to roll over the current cuts into May, analysts say.Russia is reportedly favoring a rollover of the alliance’s oil production cuts, but it is seeking a slight increase for itself to meet higher domestic seasonal demand, a source with knowledge of Moscow’s plans told Reuters on Monday.OPEC’s top producer and de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, is also reportedly ready to extend current OPEC+ production cuts over May and June and also keep cutting 1 million bpd in oil output unilaterally, according to an unnamed source who spoke to Reuters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":355247097,"gmtCreate":1617079667019,"gmtModify":1634522767444,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Overvalued","listText":"Overvalued","text":"Overvalued","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9be946ca6075227624d455009b8d176","width":"750","height":"1560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355247097","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1850,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":355244300,"gmtCreate":1617079634900,"gmtModify":1634522767904,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"BIG BULL PUMPERS","listText":"BIG BULL PUMPERS","text":"BIG BULL PUMPERS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355244300","repostId":"2123607230","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2123607230","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1617070299,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2123607230?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-30 10:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beware The 11 Most Overvalued Stocks Now, Analysts Warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，现在要小心11只最被高估的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2123607230","media":"Investors","summary":"Analysts called the Tesla crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&P 500 companies.","content":"<p>Analysts called the <b>Tesla</b> crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&amp;P 500 companies.</p><p><blockquote>分析师称<b>特斯拉</b>视频流媒体股票的崩盘和大幅下跌。但他们的警告仍然被许多标普500公司忽视。</blockquote></p><p>Nearly a dozen S&amp;P 500 companies, including industrials <b>American Airlines</b> and <b>Snap-on</b> plus communications services <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">Lumen Technologies</a></b> are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.</p><p><blockquote>近十几家标普500公司，包括工业<b>美国航空公司</b>和<b>Snap-on</b>加上通信服务<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">流明技术</a></b>《投资者商业日报》对标准普尔全球市场情报和MarketSmith数据的分析表示，与分析师对这些股票的12个月目标价相比，这些股票的估值仍然被严重高估。</blockquote></p><p>By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&amp;P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.</p><p><blockquote>据分析师估计，所有这11只标普500股票都被高估了至少10%。这些警告是在大多数国家大幅上涨之际发出的。投资者纷纷涌入被认为受益于经济走强的股票。这11只股票今年平均上涨28.2%，而SPDR标普500 ETF信托仅上涨5.9%。更重要的是，到目前为止，11家公司中有8家在2021年上涨了20%或更多。</blockquote></p><p>Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，分析师在反弹期间不断发出降低目标价的警告，尤其是周期性股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Analysts Are Actually Bullish</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500分析师实际上看涨</b></blockquote></p><p>Analysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of <b>ViacomCBS</b> and <b>Discovery</b> before they sold off.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票估值过高发出警告。他们还对股票发出警告<b>ViacomCBS</b>和<b>发现</b>在他们卖掉之前。</blockquote></p><p>But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&amp;P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.</p><p><blockquote>但总体而言，分析师与往常一样大多看好标普500股票。分析师对标普500个股的12个月目标价较周五收盘价上涨6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.</p><p><blockquote>基本面支持看涨情绪。Factset盈利分析师约翰·巴特斯(John Butters)表示，今年已有60家公司告诉分析师，他们本季度的盈利将好于之前的预期。</blockquote></p><p>That's the highest number of S&amp;P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&amp;P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这是至少自2006年以来季度发布积极指引的标普500公司数量最多的一次。一年前同一季度，只有大约一半的公司如此乐观。这反过来意味着分析师现在认为标普500公司第一季度的利润将增长23.3%。截至2020年底，他们第一季度利润仅增长了15.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>But Analysts See Pockets Of Overvaluation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>但分析师认为部分地区估值过高</b></blockquote></p><p>American Airlines is the S&amp;P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.</p><p><blockquote>分析师认为美国航空的标普500股票远远超出了应有的水平。原因显而易见。</blockquote></p><p>Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.</p><p><blockquote>就在今年，该航空公司的股价飙升45.4%，至每股22.93美元。尽管由于疫情几乎关闭了航空旅行，该航空公司在2020年损失了约90亿美元，但新投资者还是涌入了该航空公司的股票。分析师认为某种程度上会卷土重来。美国航空预计2021年仅亏损约40亿美元，即每股7.61美元。但要到2022年才能实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?</p><p><blockquote>因此，分析师对美国航空的12个月目标价仅为每股15.47美元。如果这是正确的，这意味着该股被高估了33%。而且它也没有足够强大的基本面来支撑它。该公司的IBD综合评级仅为45。你知道在购买美国航空公司的股票之前要看什么吗？</blockquote></p><p>Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.</p><p><blockquote>同样在工业领域，分析师认为工具销售商Snap安也涨得太远了。今年股价上涨超过34%，至229.63点。</blockquote></p><p>Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.</p><p><blockquote>与美国不同，Snap安有基本面支持。</blockquote></p><p>It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.</p><p><blockquote>它的综合评分为88分。Snap-安预计2021年调整后每股利润将达到12.44美元，比2020年增长近7%。但分析师再次认为多头正在得意忘形。毕竟，2020年利润下降了5%。因此，分析师认为该公司12个月内每股价值仅为190.33美元，比目前的交易价格低16%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Watch Out For S&amp;P 500 Dividend Darlings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>留意标普500股息宠儿</b></blockquote></p><p>High dividend payers in the S&amp;P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的高股息支付者正在点燃市场。到目前为止，标普500中收益最高的八只股票都在2021年高居该指数榜首。其中包括语音和数据网络公司Lumen。</blockquote></p><p>Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&amp;P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Lumen以其高达7.4%的股息收益率而闻名。在标普500收益率仅为1.5%的世界里，这是可靠的。但今年它在投资者中更加出名，因为它的股价上涨了35%，达到13.16。这也不是一个非常积极的基本面故事。2020年每股利润增长26.5%。但预计2021年利润将下降6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.</p><p><blockquote>分析师只是认为这不值得投资者支付的费用。他们呼吁Lumen在12个月内的交易价格为每股10.78美元，比现在低18%。</blockquote></p><p>It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&amp;P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.</p><p><blockquote>不用说，分析师并不总是对的。他们经常是错的。但他们今年对标普500雄心勃勃的人的警告非常准确，至少值得一听。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Most Overvalued S&amp;P 500 Stocks: Analysts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最被高估的标普500股票：分析师</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><table><thead><tr><th>Company</th><th>Symbol</th><th>Target Price*</th><th>Stock YTD % Ch.</th><th>Implied Downside*</th><th>Sector</th><th>Composite Rating</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>American Airlines</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>Lumen Technologies</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>Communication Services</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>Nucor</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>Materials</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>Expeditors International of Washington</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>Franklin Resources</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>Genuine Parts</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>Whirlpool</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>Iron Mountain</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Real Estate</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>Unum</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A. O. Smith</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>Sources: IBD, S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence, * — based on analysts' 12-month price target</h5></p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司</th><th>象征</th><th>目标价格*</th><th>股票年初至今%Ch。</th><th>隐含的负面影响*</th><th>部门</th><th>综合评级</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>美国航空公司</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>流明技术</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>通讯服务</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>纽科尔</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>材料</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>华盛顿国际快递公司</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>富兰克林资源公司</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>正品零件</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>漩涡</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>铁山</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>房地产</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>尤努姆</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A.O.史密斯</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>资料来源：IBD、标准普尔全球市场情报*——基于分析师12个月目标价</h5></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeware The 11 Most Overvalued Stocks Now, Analysts Warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，现在要小心11只最被高估的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-30 10:11</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Analysts called the <b>Tesla</b> crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&amp;P 500 companies.</p><p><blockquote>分析师称<b>特斯拉</b>视频流媒体股票的崩盘和大幅下跌。但他们的警告仍然被许多标普500公司忽视。</blockquote></p><p>Nearly a dozen S&amp;P 500 companies, including industrials <b>American Airlines</b> and <b>Snap-on</b> plus communications services <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">Lumen Technologies</a></b> are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.</p><p><blockquote>近十几家标普500公司，包括工业<b>美国航空公司</b>和<b>Snap-on</b>加上通信服务<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">流明技术</a></b>《投资者商业日报》对标准普尔全球市场情报和MarketSmith数据的分析表示，与分析师对这些股票的12个月目标价相比，这些股票的估值仍然被严重高估。</blockquote></p><p>By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&amp;P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.</p><p><blockquote>据分析师估计，所有这11只标普500股票都被高估了至少10%。这些警告是在大多数国家大幅上涨之际发出的。投资者纷纷涌入被认为受益于经济走强的股票。这11只股票今年平均上涨28.2%，而SPDR标普500 ETF信托仅上涨5.9%。更重要的是，到目前为止，11家公司中有8家在2021年上涨了20%或更多。</blockquote></p><p>Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，分析师在反弹期间不断发出降低目标价的警告，尤其是周期性股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Analysts Are Actually Bullish</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500分析师实际上看涨</b></blockquote></p><p>Analysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of <b>ViacomCBS</b> and <b>Discovery</b> before they sold off.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票估值过高发出警告。他们还对股票发出警告<b>ViacomCBS</b>和<b>发现</b>在他们卖掉之前。</blockquote></p><p>But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&amp;P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.</p><p><blockquote>但总体而言，分析师与往常一样大多看好标普500股票。分析师对标普500个股的12个月目标价较周五收盘价上涨6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.</p><p><blockquote>基本面支持看涨情绪。Factset盈利分析师约翰·巴特斯(John Butters)表示，今年已有60家公司告诉分析师，他们本季度的盈利将好于之前的预期。</blockquote></p><p>That's the highest number of S&amp;P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&amp;P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这是至少自2006年以来季度发布积极指引的标普500公司数量最多的一次。一年前同一季度，只有大约一半的公司如此乐观。这反过来意味着分析师现在认为标普500公司第一季度的利润将增长23.3%。截至2020年底，他们第一季度利润仅增长了15.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>But Analysts See Pockets Of Overvaluation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>但分析师认为部分地区估值过高</b></blockquote></p><p>American Airlines is the S&amp;P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.</p><p><blockquote>分析师认为美国航空的标普500股票远远超出了应有的水平。原因显而易见。</blockquote></p><p>Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.</p><p><blockquote>就在今年，该航空公司的股价飙升45.4%，至每股22.93美元。尽管由于疫情几乎关闭了航空旅行，该航空公司在2020年损失了约90亿美元，但新投资者还是涌入了该航空公司的股票。分析师认为某种程度上会卷土重来。美国航空预计2021年仅亏损约40亿美元，即每股7.61美元。但要到2022年才能实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?</p><p><blockquote>因此，分析师对美国航空的12个月目标价仅为每股15.47美元。如果这是正确的，这意味着该股被高估了33%。而且它也没有足够强大的基本面来支撑它。该公司的IBD综合评级仅为45。你知道在购买美国航空公司的股票之前要看什么吗？</blockquote></p><p>Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.</p><p><blockquote>同样在工业领域，分析师认为工具销售商Snap安也涨得太远了。今年股价上涨超过34%，至229.63点。</blockquote></p><p>Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.</p><p><blockquote>与美国不同，Snap安有基本面支持。</blockquote></p><p>It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.</p><p><blockquote>它的综合评分为88分。Snap-安预计2021年调整后每股利润将达到12.44美元，比2020年增长近7%。但分析师再次认为多头正在得意忘形。毕竟，2020年利润下降了5%。因此，分析师认为该公司12个月内每股价值仅为190.33美元，比目前的交易价格低16%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Watch Out For S&amp;P 500 Dividend Darlings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>留意标普500股息宠儿</b></blockquote></p><p>High dividend payers in the S&amp;P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的高股息支付者正在点燃市场。到目前为止，标普500中收益最高的八只股票都在2021年高居该指数榜首。其中包括语音和数据网络公司Lumen。</blockquote></p><p>Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&amp;P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Lumen以其高达7.4%的股息收益率而闻名。在标普500收益率仅为1.5%的世界里，这是可靠的。但今年它在投资者中更加出名，因为它的股价上涨了35%，达到13.16。这也不是一个非常积极的基本面故事。2020年每股利润增长26.5%。但预计2021年利润将下降6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.</p><p><blockquote>分析师只是认为这不值得投资者支付的费用。他们呼吁Lumen在12个月内的交易价格为每股10.78美元，比现在低18%。</blockquote></p><p>It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&amp;P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.</p><p><blockquote>不用说，分析师并不总是对的。他们经常是错的。但他们今年对标普500雄心勃勃的人的警告非常准确，至少值得一听。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Most Overvalued S&amp;P 500 Stocks: Analysts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最被高估的标普500股票：分析师</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><table><thead><tr><th>Company</th><th>Symbol</th><th>Target Price*</th><th>Stock YTD % Ch.</th><th>Implied Downside*</th><th>Sector</th><th>Composite Rating</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>American Airlines</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>Lumen Technologies</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>Communication Services</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>Nucor</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>Materials</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>Expeditors International of Washington</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>Franklin Resources</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>Genuine Parts</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>Whirlpool</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>Iron Mountain</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Real Estate</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>Unum</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A. O. Smith</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>Sources: IBD, S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence, * — based on analysts' 12-month price target</h5></p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司</th><th>象征</th><th>目标价格*</th><th>股票年初至今%Ch。</th><th>隐含的负面影响*</th><th>部门</th><th>综合评级</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>美国航空公司</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>流明技术</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>通讯服务</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>纽科尔</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>材料</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>华盛顿国际快递公司</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>富兰克林资源公司</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>正品零件</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>漩涡</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>铁山</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>房地产</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>尤努姆</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A.O.史密斯</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>资料来源：IBD、标准普尔全球市场情报*——基于分析师12个月目标价</h5></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa7c522340c9f1e78e78f0c1543440e","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2123607230","content_text":"Analysts called the Tesla crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&P 500 companies.Nearly a dozen S&P 500 companies, including industrials American Airlines and Snap-on plus communications services Lumen Technologies are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.S&P 500 Analysts Are Actually BullishAnalysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of ViacomCBS and Discovery before they sold off.But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.That's the highest number of S&P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.But Analysts See Pockets Of OvervaluationAmerican Airlines is the S&P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.Watch Out For S&P 500 Dividend DarlingsHigh dividend payers in the S&P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.The Most Overvalued S&P 500 Stocks: AnalystsCompanySymbolTarget Price*Stock YTD % Ch.Implied Downside*SectorComposite RatingAmerican Airlines15.4745.4%-32.5%Industrials45Lumen Technologies10.7835.0%-18.1%Communication Services61Snap-on190.3334.2%-17.1%Industrials88Nucor66.3849.1%-16.3%Materials97Expeditors International of Washington91.6413.3%-15.0%Industrials80Franklin Resources25.4717.6%-13.4%Financials79Genuine Parts104.3318.0%-12.0%Consumer Discretionary64Whirlpool196.4423.6%-11.9%Consumer Discretionary91Iron Mountain33.2526.5%-10.8%Real Estate70Unum24.7320.8%-10.8%Financials59A. O. 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pump","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354715270","repostId":"1181282052","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181282052","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617200948,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181282052?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-31 22:29","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"OPEC+ Sees Slower Oil Demand Recovery Amid New Lockdowns<blockquote>OPEC+认为在新的封锁期间石油需求复苏放缓</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181282052","media":"Oilprice","summary":"An OPEC+ panel advising the group has revised down its global oil demand forecast for 2021 by 300,00","content":"<p>An OPEC+ panel advising the group has revised down its global oil demand forecast for 2021 by 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) in light of the renewed lockdowns in Europe amid a third wave of the pandemic, Reutersreportedon&nbsp; Wednesday, citing a report from the Joint Technical Committee (JTC) it had seen.</p><p><blockquote>据路透社周三援引联合组织的一份报告报道，鉴于欧洲在第三波疫情期间重新实施封锁，为该组织提供咨询的OPEC+小组已将2021年全球石油需求预测下调了30万桶/日。技术委员会（JTC）已经看到。</blockquote></p><p>The committeemeton Tuesday, beginning the monthly OPEC+ meetings that are expected to decide how the alliance will proceed with the production cuts in May.</p><p><blockquote>该委员会将于周二开始每月一次的OPEC+会议，预计将决定该联盟如何在5月份继续减产。</blockquote></p><p>“The most recent edition of OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report projecting growth of 5.1 per cent in 2021, while world oil demand is estimated to rise by 5.9 mb/d,” OPEC said at the end of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote>欧佩克在会议结束时表示：“最新版的欧佩克月度石油市场报告预计2021年将增长5.1%，而世界石油需求预计将增长590万桶/日。”</blockquote></p><p>But the JTC’s base-case scenario, according to the report Reuters has seen, now forecasts demand growth of 5.6 million bpd, down by 300,000 bpd.</p><p><blockquote>但根据路透社看到的报告，JTC的基本情景目前预测需求增长560万桶/日，下降30万桶/日。</blockquote></p><p>Global oil supply, on the other hand, is set to rise by 1.6 million bpd this year, the JTC now expects. This is 200,000 bpd higher than its previous supply growth estimate.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，JTC现在预计，今年全球石油供应将增加160万桶/日。这比之前的供应增长估计高出20万桶/日。</blockquote></p><p>At the JTC meeting, OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo “expressed cautious optimism about the positive trajectory of the recovery in the oil market and global economy,” OPECsaid.</p><p><blockquote>欧佩克表示，在JTC会议上，欧佩克秘书长穆罕默德·巴尔金多“对石油市场和全球经济复苏的积极轨迹表示谨慎乐观”。</blockquote></p><p>One of the Arab Gulf members of OPEC, Kuwait, alsosaidon Wednesday that it was “cautiously optimistic” about global oil demand growth this year, its Oil Minister, Mohammad Abdulatif al-Fares, said, as per Kuwait’s state news agency KUNA. Kuwait reiterated its full support to OPEC+ efforts to rebalance the market, the minister added.</p><p><blockquote>据科威特国家通讯社KUNA报道，石油输出国组织阿拉伯海湾成员国之一科威特石油部长穆罕默德·阿卜杜拉蒂夫·法雷斯(Mohammad Abdulatif al-Fares)周三也表示，对今年全球石油需求增长持“谨慎乐观”态度。这位部长补充说，科威特重申全力支持欧佩克+重新平衡市场的努力。</blockquote></p><p>The “cautious optimism” messages coming from OPEC and the OPEC+ group this week suggest that the group is more likely than not to roll over the current cuts into May, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，本周来自OPEC和OPEC+集团的“谨慎乐观”信息表明，该集团更有可能将当前的减产推迟到5月份。</blockquote></p><p>Russia is reportedly favoring a rollover of the alliance’s oil production cuts, but it is&nbsp;seeking a slight increase for itself&nbsp;to meet higher domestic seasonal demand, a source with knowledge of Moscow’s plans told Reuters on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>一位了解莫斯科计划的消息人士周一告诉路透社，据报道，俄罗斯赞成延长该联盟的石油减产，但它正在寻求小幅增加产量，以满足国内更高的季节性需求。</blockquote></p><p>OPEC’s top producer and de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, is also reportedly ready to extend current OPEC+ production cuts over May and June and&nbsp;also keep cutting 1 million bpd&nbsp;in oil output unilaterally, according to an unnamed source who&nbsp;spoke&nbsp;to Reuters.</p><p><blockquote>据一位不愿透露姓名的消息人士透露，据报道，欧佩克最大产油国和事实上的领导者沙特阿拉伯也准备在5月和6月延长目前的欧佩克+减产，并继续单方面削减100万桶/日的石油产量。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606109400967","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>OPEC+ Sees Slower Oil Demand Recovery Amid New Lockdowns<blockquote>OPEC+认为在新的封锁期间石油需求复苏放缓</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOPEC+ Sees Slower Oil Demand Recovery Amid New Lockdowns<blockquote>OPEC+认为在新的封锁期间石油需求复苏放缓</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Oilprice</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-31 22:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>An OPEC+ panel advising the group has revised down its global oil demand forecast for 2021 by 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) in light of the renewed lockdowns in Europe amid a third wave of the pandemic, Reutersreportedon&nbsp; Wednesday, citing a report from the Joint Technical Committee (JTC) it had seen.</p><p><blockquote>据路透社周三援引联合组织的一份报告报道，鉴于欧洲在第三波疫情期间重新实施封锁，为该组织提供咨询的OPEC+小组已将2021年全球石油需求预测下调了30万桶/日。技术委员会（JTC）已经看到。</blockquote></p><p>The committeemeton Tuesday, beginning the monthly OPEC+ meetings that are expected to decide how the alliance will proceed with the production cuts in May.</p><p><blockquote>该委员会将于周二开始每月一次的OPEC+会议，预计将决定该联盟如何在5月份继续减产。</blockquote></p><p>“The most recent edition of OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report projecting growth of 5.1 per cent in 2021, while world oil demand is estimated to rise by 5.9 mb/d,” OPEC said at the end of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote>欧佩克在会议结束时表示：“最新版的欧佩克月度石油市场报告预计2021年将增长5.1%，而世界石油需求预计将增长590万桶/日。”</blockquote></p><p>But the JTC’s base-case scenario, according to the report Reuters has seen, now forecasts demand growth of 5.6 million bpd, down by 300,000 bpd.</p><p><blockquote>但根据路透社看到的报告，JTC的基本情景目前预测需求增长560万桶/日，下降30万桶/日。</blockquote></p><p>Global oil supply, on the other hand, is set to rise by 1.6 million bpd this year, the JTC now expects. This is 200,000 bpd higher than its previous supply growth estimate.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，JTC现在预计，今年全球石油供应将增加160万桶/日。这比之前的供应增长估计高出20万桶/日。</blockquote></p><p>At the JTC meeting, OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo “expressed cautious optimism about the positive trajectory of the recovery in the oil market and global economy,” OPECsaid.</p><p><blockquote>欧佩克表示，在JTC会议上，欧佩克秘书长穆罕默德·巴尔金多“对石油市场和全球经济复苏的积极轨迹表示谨慎乐观”。</blockquote></p><p>One of the Arab Gulf members of OPEC, Kuwait, alsosaidon Wednesday that it was “cautiously optimistic” about global oil demand growth this year, its Oil Minister, Mohammad Abdulatif al-Fares, said, as per Kuwait’s state news agency KUNA. Kuwait reiterated its full support to OPEC+ efforts to rebalance the market, the minister added.</p><p><blockquote>据科威特国家通讯社KUNA报道，石油输出国组织阿拉伯海湾成员国之一科威特石油部长穆罕默德·阿卜杜拉蒂夫·法雷斯(Mohammad Abdulatif al-Fares)周三也表示，对今年全球石油需求增长持“谨慎乐观”态度。这位部长补充说，科威特重申全力支持欧佩克+重新平衡市场的努力。</blockquote></p><p>The “cautious optimism” messages coming from OPEC and the OPEC+ group this week suggest that the group is more likely than not to roll over the current cuts into May, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，本周来自OPEC和OPEC+集团的“谨慎乐观”信息表明，该集团更有可能将当前的减产推迟到5月份。</blockquote></p><p>Russia is reportedly favoring a rollover of the alliance’s oil production cuts, but it is&nbsp;seeking a slight increase for itself&nbsp;to meet higher domestic seasonal demand, a source with knowledge of Moscow’s plans told Reuters on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>一位了解莫斯科计划的消息人士周一告诉路透社，据报道，俄罗斯赞成延长该联盟的石油减产，但它正在寻求小幅增加产量，以满足国内更高的季节性需求。</blockquote></p><p>OPEC’s top producer and de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, is also reportedly ready to extend current OPEC+ production cuts over May and June and&nbsp;also keep cutting 1 million bpd&nbsp;in oil output unilaterally, according to an unnamed source who&nbsp;spoke&nbsp;to Reuters.</p><p><blockquote>据一位不愿透露姓名的消息人士透露，据报道，欧佩克最大产油国和事实上的领导者沙特阿拉伯也准备在5月和6月延长目前的欧佩克+减产，并继续单方面削减100万桶/日的石油产量。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/OPEC-Sees-Slower-Oil-Demand-Recovery-Amid-New-Lockdowns.html\">Oilprice</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50ab1228da008e61faa75a03abe0e560","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/OPEC-Sees-Slower-Oil-Demand-Recovery-Amid-New-Lockdowns.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181282052","content_text":"An OPEC+ panel advising the group has revised down its global oil demand forecast for 2021 by 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) in light of the renewed lockdowns in Europe amid a third wave of the pandemic, Reutersreportedon  Wednesday, citing a report from the Joint Technical Committee (JTC) it had seen.The committeemeton Tuesday, beginning the monthly OPEC+ meetings that are expected to decide how the alliance will proceed with the production cuts in May.“The most recent edition of OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report projecting growth of 5.1 per cent in 2021, while world oil demand is estimated to rise by 5.9 mb/d,” OPEC said at the end of the meeting.But the JTC’s base-case scenario, according to the report Reuters has seen, now forecasts demand growth of 5.6 million bpd, down by 300,000 bpd.Global oil supply, on the other hand, is set to rise by 1.6 million bpd this year, the JTC now expects. This is 200,000 bpd higher than its previous supply growth estimate.At the JTC meeting, OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo “expressed cautious optimism about the positive trajectory of the recovery in the oil market and global economy,” OPECsaid.One of the Arab Gulf members of OPEC, Kuwait, alsosaidon Wednesday that it was “cautiously optimistic” about global oil demand growth this year, its Oil Minister, Mohammad Abdulatif al-Fares, said, as per Kuwait’s state news agency KUNA. Kuwait reiterated its full support to OPEC+ efforts to rebalance the market, the minister added.The “cautious optimism” messages coming from OPEC and the OPEC+ group this week suggest that the group is more likely than not to roll over the current cuts into May, analysts say.Russia is reportedly favoring a rollover of the alliance’s oil production cuts, but it is seeking a slight increase for itself to meet higher domestic seasonal demand, a source with knowledge of Moscow’s plans told Reuters on Monday.OPEC’s top producer and de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, is also reportedly ready to extend current OPEC+ production cuts over May and June and also keep cutting 1 million bpd in oil output unilaterally, according to an unnamed source who spoke to Reuters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350308296,"gmtCreate":1616157103515,"gmtModify":1634526963750,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LMUNNY","listText":"LMUNNY","text":"LMUNNY","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350308296","repostId":"1197492329","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197492329","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616153345,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197492329?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 19:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This is the key question that will determine whether stimulus money overheats the economy<blockquote>这是决定刺激资金是否会使经济过热的关键问题</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197492329","media":"marketwatch","summary":"Critical information for the trading day.The question still reverberating in financial markets is to","content":"<p><b>Critical information for the trading day.</b>The question still reverberating in financial markets is to what degree the $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief will be spent, either immediately or if the virus recedes enough for shoppers to be allowed, and wanting, to go out.</p><p><blockquote><b>交易日的关键信息。</b>金融市场上仍在回响的问题是，1.9万亿美元的冠状病毒救助将在多大程度上支出，要么立即支出，要么病毒消退到足以让购物者被允许并愿意外出。</blockquote></p><p>This column previously pointed to surveys of both how the initial $600 stimulus was used, and plans for the $1,400 that has arrived for many households, to suggest much of it won’t be deployed into the economy.</p><p><blockquote>本专栏此前指出，对最初600美元刺激计划的使用情况以及许多家庭收到的1,400美元计划的调查表明，其中大部分不会部署到经济中。</blockquote></p><p>Another way to look at it is if households perceive the stimulus to be additional income or additional wealth. Studies have shown that the propensity to spend out of wealth is just 5%, while the propensity to spend out of income ranges from 10% to 50%, according to a recent speech from Gertjan Vlieghe, a voting member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee.</p><p><blockquote>另一种看待它的方式是，家庭是否认为刺激是额外的收入或额外的财富。根据英国央行货币政策委员会投票成员格特简·弗利葛最近的讲话，研究表明，出于财富的支出倾向仅为5%，而出于收入的支出倾向为10%至50%。</blockquote></p><p>Dhaval Joshi, chief strategist at BCA Research, says whether the new stimulus is considered wealth or income depends on whether the household receiving it has a low or high income to begin with. But looking at past stimulus checks, there weren’t meaningful shifts in either consumption or inflation.</p><p><blockquote>BCA Research首席策略师达瓦尔·乔希(Dhaval Joshi)表示，新的刺激措施是被视为财富还是收入，取决于接受刺激的家庭一开始的收入是低还是高。但看看过去的刺激检查，消费或通胀都没有发生有意义的变化。</blockquote></p><p>Accordingly, he thinks market expectations about inflation are getting carried away. He also says — in a note written before Thursday’s plunge in crude-oil prices — that inflation expectations are positively correlated with high commodity prices, even though actual inflation tends to drop when commodity prices are high.</p><p><blockquote>因此，他认为市场对通胀的预期正在被冲昏头脑。他还在周四原油价格暴跌前撰写的一份报告中表示，通胀预期与高大宗商品价格正相关，尽管当大宗商品价格高企时，实际通胀往往会下降。</blockquote></p><p>“Given that the bond market is useless at predicting inflation, it is also useless at assessing real interest rates,” he says. If the bond market is exaggerating the future level of inflation, than the correct inflation-adjusted bond yield should be even higher. “The important takeaway right now is that in any comparison with the real bond yield, equities and other risk-assets are even more expensive than they appear.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于债券市场在预测通胀方面毫无用处，它在评估实际利率方面也毫无用处，”他说。如果债券市场夸大了未来的通胀水平，那么正确的经通胀调整的债券收益率应该更高。“目前重要的一点是，与实际债券收益率相比，股票和其他风险资产甚至比看起来更昂贵。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Frosty talks in China</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国的冷淡谈判</b></blockquote></p><p>Talks between the U.S. and China got off to a frosty start in Alaska, with public criticism made by each side in opening remarks.</p><p><blockquote>美国和中国在阿拉斯加的会谈开局冷淡，双方在开场白中都提出了公开批评。</blockquote></p><p>FedEx FDX, -0.88% may climb after the delivery service said fiscal third-quarter earnings rose by more than analysts anticipated and guided for a stronger current quarter than expected.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递FDX,-0.88%可能会攀升，此前该快递服务公司表示第三财季盈利增幅超出分析师预期，并预计本季度盈利将强于预期。</blockquote></p><p>Nike NKE, -1.14% may slip after the apparel maker reported slower sales growth than expected in its fiscal third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>耐克NKE(-1.14%)可能会下滑，此前该服装制造商公布第三财季销售增长慢于预期。</blockquote></p><p>Chubb CB, -2.63% has made a $65 per share offer to buy rival insurer Hartford Financial Services Group HIG, +18.71%.</p><p><blockquote>Chubb CB,-2.63%已提出每股65美元的收购竞争对手保险公司Hartford Financial Services Group HIG,+18.71%。</blockquote></p><p>The Bank of Japan removed targets for purchasing exchange-traded funds and real-estate investment trusts and widened the band it will allow 10 year bonds to trade in.</p><p><blockquote>日本央行取消了购买交易所交易基金和房地产投资信托的目标，并扩大了允许10年期债券交易的范围。</blockquote></p><p><b>Oil recovering, a little</b></p><p><blockquote><b>石油正在恢复，一点点</b></blockquote></p><p>After the 7% plunge in crude-oil prices on Thursday, light-sweet crude futures CL.1, 0.50% were a bit higher. Analysts at UBS say to focus on the pace of COVID-19 vaccinations, which should help ease restrictions and support oil demand.</p><p><blockquote>周四原油价格暴跌7%后，轻质低硫原油期货CL.1, 0.50%小幅上涨。瑞银分析师表示，要关注COVID-19疫苗接种的速度，这应该有助于放松限制并支持石油需求。</blockquote></p><p>The yield on the 10-year Treasury TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.701% fell slightly to 1.69%. U.S. stock futures ES00, 0.29% NQ00, 0.53% were higher.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.701%的收益率小幅下跌至1.69%。美股期货ES00、0.29%NQ00、0.53%走高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Bitcoin flows mirror stock flows</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币流量反映股票流量</b></blockquote></p><p>Is bitcoin BTCUSD, 1.62% a diversifier? It is a huge debate in markets, that several major banks have taken on in just the last two weeks. Sven Henrich, the technical analyst who runs the Northman Trader website, produced this chart, showing that correlation between the weekly flows into bitcoin and stocks is at the highest level ever.</p><p><blockquote>比特币BTCUSD, 1.62%是多元化投资吗？这是市场上的一场大辩论，几家主要银行在过去两周内就开始了这场辩论。运营Northman Trader网站的技术分析师Sven Henrich制作了这张图表，显示每周流入比特币的资金与股市之间的相关性处于有史以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This is the key question that will determine whether stimulus money overheats the economy<blockquote>这是决定刺激资金是否会使经济过热的关键问题</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis is the key question that will determine whether stimulus money overheats the economy<blockquote>这是决定刺激资金是否会使经济过热的关键问题</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-19 19:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Critical information for the trading day.</b>The question still reverberating in financial markets is to what degree the $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief will be spent, either immediately or if the virus recedes enough for shoppers to be allowed, and wanting, to go out.</p><p><blockquote><b>交易日的关键信息。</b>金融市场上仍在回响的问题是，1.9万亿美元的冠状病毒救助将在多大程度上支出，要么立即支出，要么病毒消退到足以让购物者被允许并愿意外出。</blockquote></p><p>This column previously pointed to surveys of both how the initial $600 stimulus was used, and plans for the $1,400 that has arrived for many households, to suggest much of it won’t be deployed into the economy.</p><p><blockquote>本专栏此前指出，对最初600美元刺激计划的使用情况以及许多家庭收到的1,400美元计划的调查表明，其中大部分不会部署到经济中。</blockquote></p><p>Another way to look at it is if households perceive the stimulus to be additional income or additional wealth. Studies have shown that the propensity to spend out of wealth is just 5%, while the propensity to spend out of income ranges from 10% to 50%, according to a recent speech from Gertjan Vlieghe, a voting member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee.</p><p><blockquote>另一种看待它的方式是，家庭是否认为刺激是额外的收入或额外的财富。根据英国央行货币政策委员会投票成员格特简·弗利葛最近的讲话，研究表明，出于财富的支出倾向仅为5%，而出于收入的支出倾向为10%至50%。</blockquote></p><p>Dhaval Joshi, chief strategist at BCA Research, says whether the new stimulus is considered wealth or income depends on whether the household receiving it has a low or high income to begin with. But looking at past stimulus checks, there weren’t meaningful shifts in either consumption or inflation.</p><p><blockquote>BCA Research首席策略师达瓦尔·乔希(Dhaval Joshi)表示，新的刺激措施是被视为财富还是收入，取决于接受刺激的家庭一开始的收入是低还是高。但看看过去的刺激检查，消费或通胀都没有发生有意义的变化。</blockquote></p><p>Accordingly, he thinks market expectations about inflation are getting carried away. He also says — in a note written before Thursday’s plunge in crude-oil prices — that inflation expectations are positively correlated with high commodity prices, even though actual inflation tends to drop when commodity prices are high.</p><p><blockquote>因此，他认为市场对通胀的预期正在被冲昏头脑。他还在周四原油价格暴跌前撰写的一份报告中表示，通胀预期与高大宗商品价格正相关，尽管当大宗商品价格高企时，实际通胀往往会下降。</blockquote></p><p>“Given that the bond market is useless at predicting inflation, it is also useless at assessing real interest rates,” he says. If the bond market is exaggerating the future level of inflation, than the correct inflation-adjusted bond yield should be even higher. “The important takeaway right now is that in any comparison with the real bond yield, equities and other risk-assets are even more expensive than they appear.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于债券市场在预测通胀方面毫无用处，它在评估实际利率方面也毫无用处，”他说。如果债券市场夸大了未来的通胀水平，那么正确的经通胀调整的债券收益率应该更高。“目前重要的一点是，与实际债券收益率相比，股票和其他风险资产甚至比看起来更昂贵。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Frosty talks in China</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国的冷淡谈判</b></blockquote></p><p>Talks between the U.S. and China got off to a frosty start in Alaska, with public criticism made by each side in opening remarks.</p><p><blockquote>美国和中国在阿拉斯加的会谈开局冷淡，双方在开场白中都提出了公开批评。</blockquote></p><p>FedEx FDX, -0.88% may climb after the delivery service said fiscal third-quarter earnings rose by more than analysts anticipated and guided for a stronger current quarter than expected.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递FDX,-0.88%可能会攀升，此前该快递服务公司表示第三财季盈利增幅超出分析师预期，并预计本季度盈利将强于预期。</blockquote></p><p>Nike NKE, -1.14% may slip after the apparel maker reported slower sales growth than expected in its fiscal third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>耐克NKE(-1.14%)可能会下滑，此前该服装制造商公布第三财季销售增长慢于预期。</blockquote></p><p>Chubb CB, -2.63% has made a $65 per share offer to buy rival insurer Hartford Financial Services Group HIG, +18.71%.</p><p><blockquote>Chubb CB,-2.63%已提出每股65美元的收购竞争对手保险公司Hartford Financial Services Group HIG,+18.71%。</blockquote></p><p>The Bank of Japan removed targets for purchasing exchange-traded funds and real-estate investment trusts and widened the band it will allow 10 year bonds to trade in.</p><p><blockquote>日本央行取消了购买交易所交易基金和房地产投资信托的目标，并扩大了允许10年期债券交易的范围。</blockquote></p><p><b>Oil recovering, a little</b></p><p><blockquote><b>石油正在恢复，一点点</b></blockquote></p><p>After the 7% plunge in crude-oil prices on Thursday, light-sweet crude futures CL.1, 0.50% were a bit higher. Analysts at UBS say to focus on the pace of COVID-19 vaccinations, which should help ease restrictions and support oil demand.</p><p><blockquote>周四原油价格暴跌7%后，轻质低硫原油期货CL.1, 0.50%小幅上涨。瑞银分析师表示，要关注COVID-19疫苗接种的速度，这应该有助于放松限制并支持石油需求。</blockquote></p><p>The yield on the 10-year Treasury TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.701% fell slightly to 1.69%. U.S. stock futures ES00, 0.29% NQ00, 0.53% were higher.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.701%的收益率小幅下跌至1.69%。美股期货ES00、0.29%NQ00、0.53%走高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Bitcoin flows mirror stock flows</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币流量反映股票流量</b></blockquote></p><p>Is bitcoin BTCUSD, 1.62% a diversifier? It is a huge debate in markets, that several major banks have taken on in just the last two weeks. Sven Henrich, the technical analyst who runs the Northman Trader website, produced this chart, showing that correlation between the weekly flows into bitcoin and stocks is at the highest level ever.</p><p><blockquote>比特币BTCUSD, 1.62%是多元化投资吗？这是市场上的一场大辩论，几家主要银行在过去两周内就开始了这场辩论。运营Northman Trader网站的技术分析师Sven Henrich制作了这张图表，显示每周流入比特币的资金与股市之间的相关性处于有史以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-is-the-key-question-that-will-determine-whether-stimulus-money-overheats-the-economy-11616150658?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-is-the-key-question-that-will-determine-whether-stimulus-money-overheats-the-economy-11616150658?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1197492329","content_text":"Critical information for the trading day.The question still reverberating in financial markets is to what degree the $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief will be spent, either immediately or if the virus recedes enough for shoppers to be allowed, and wanting, to go out.This column previously pointed to surveys of both how the initial $600 stimulus was used, and plans for the $1,400 that has arrived for many households, to suggest much of it won’t be deployed into the economy.Another way to look at it is if households perceive the stimulus to be additional income or additional wealth. Studies have shown that the propensity to spend out of wealth is just 5%, while the propensity to spend out of income ranges from 10% to 50%, according to a recent speech from Gertjan Vlieghe, a voting member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee.Dhaval Joshi, chief strategist at BCA Research, says whether the new stimulus is considered wealth or income depends on whether the household receiving it has a low or high income to begin with. But looking at past stimulus checks, there weren’t meaningful shifts in either consumption or inflation.Accordingly, he thinks market expectations about inflation are getting carried away. He also says — in a note written before Thursday’s plunge in crude-oil prices — that inflation expectations are positively correlated with high commodity prices, even though actual inflation tends to drop when commodity prices are high.“Given that the bond market is useless at predicting inflation, it is also useless at assessing real interest rates,” he says. If the bond market is exaggerating the future level of inflation, than the correct inflation-adjusted bond yield should be even higher. “The important takeaway right now is that in any comparison with the real bond yield, equities and other risk-assets are even more expensive than they appear.”Frosty talks in ChinaTalks between the U.S. and China got off to a frosty start in Alaska, with public criticism made by each side in opening remarks.FedEx FDX, -0.88% may climb after the delivery service said fiscal third-quarter earnings rose by more than analysts anticipated and guided for a stronger current quarter than expected.Nike NKE, -1.14% may slip after the apparel maker reported slower sales growth than expected in its fiscal third quarter.Chubb CB, -2.63% has made a $65 per share offer to buy rival insurer Hartford Financial Services Group HIG, +18.71%.The Bank of Japan removed targets for purchasing exchange-traded funds and real-estate investment trusts and widened the band it will allow 10 year bonds to trade in.Oil recovering, a littleAfter the 7% plunge in crude-oil prices on Thursday, light-sweet crude futures CL.1, 0.50% were a bit higher. Analysts at UBS say to focus on the pace of COVID-19 vaccinations, which should help ease restrictions and support oil demand.The yield on the 10-year Treasury TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.701% fell slightly to 1.69%. U.S. stock futures ES00, 0.29% NQ00, 0.53% were higher.Bitcoin flows mirror stock flowsIs bitcoin BTCUSD, 1.62% a diversifier? It is a huge debate in markets, that several major banks have taken on in just the last two weeks. Sven Henrich, the technical analyst who runs the Northman Trader website, produced this chart, showing that correlation between the weekly flows into bitcoin and stocks is at the highest level ever.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327276372,"gmtCreate":1616104058196,"gmtModify":1631887366628,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a>Weee","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a>Weee","text":"$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$Weee","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5126cdaba75b026c3e3a74117e23869","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327276372","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327350219,"gmtCreate":1616062307931,"gmtModify":1634527441710,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>TO THE MOOOOON","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>TO THE MOOOOON","text":"$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$TO THE MOOOOON","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10dd670bde6db635e2e1909445b2e39a","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327350219","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321942865,"gmtCreate":1615390709157,"gmtModify":1703488433794,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Boring where is pump??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Boring where is pump??","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Boring where is pump??","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dbffd3585ffb21560ae18f5dbc37555","width":"750","height":"1224"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321942865","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353490934,"gmtCreate":1616510586428,"gmtModify":1631888163390,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLGT\">$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$</a>Cry","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLGT\">$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$</a>Cry","text":"$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$Cry","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f103526ec2a2324deea29b112c7d9f2d","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353490934","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":915,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":322170383,"gmtCreate":1615788287042,"gmtModify":1703492954257,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bonds lousy","listText":"Bonds lousy","text":"Bonds lousy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322170383","repostId":"1100888274","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100888274","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615786808,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100888274?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-15 13:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why inflation makes holding bonds for the long run riskier than owning stocks<blockquote>为什么通货膨胀使长期持有债券比持有股票风险更大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100888274","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"You’d have to hold U.S. Treasury bonds for 57 years to not lose to inflation\nHow long is the long te","content":"<p>You’d have to hold U.S. Treasury bonds for 57 years to not lose to inflation</p><p><blockquote>你必须持有美国国债57年才能不输给通货膨胀</blockquote></p><p> How long is the long term in the bond market? Would you believe 57 years? That’s how long you must be prepared to own U.S. government bonds if you want to be assured of not losing to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>债券市场的长期有多长？你相信57年吗？如果你想确保不输给通货膨胀，你必须准备持有美国政府债券的时间。</blockquote></p><p> This depressing statistic comes from the just-released 2021 edition of Credit Suisse’s&nbsp;Global Investment Returns Yearbook. The authors — Elroy Dimson, a finance professor at Cambridge University, Paul Marsh, a finance professor at the London Business School and Mike Staunton, director of that institution’s London Share Price Database — measured the longest period in U.S. history (since 1900) over which U.S. government bonds produced an inflation-adjusted loss.</p><p><blockquote>这一令人沮丧的统计数据来自刚刚发布的2021年版瑞士信贷全球投资回报年鉴。作者——剑桥大学金融学教授埃尔罗伊·迪姆森(Elroy Dimson)、伦敦商学院金融学教授保罗·马什(Paul Marsh)和该机构伦敦股价数据库主任迈克·斯汤顿(Mike Staunton)——测量了美国历史上（自1900年以来）美国政府债券产生通胀调整后损失的最长时期。</blockquote></p><p> The future might not be like the past, of course. But with current interest rates so low, it seems likely that, in the event the future isn’t like the past, it will be worse for bonds—not better.</p><p><blockquote>当然，未来可能不会像过去那样。但由于目前的利率如此之低，如果未来与过去不同，债券的情况可能会更糟，而不是更好。</blockquote></p><p> The 57-year period in which U.S. government bonds lost ground to inflation began in 1924, when the 10-year Treasury yield stood at 3.93% and inflation over the trailing 12 months was negative 0.58% (according to data provided by Yale University professor Robert Shiller). That meant that there was deflation at the time, not inflation. The real (inflation-adjusted) 10-year yield at the time was therefore 4.51%.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府债券因通胀而失利的57年时期始于1924年，当时10年期国债收益率为3.93%，过去12个月的通胀率为负0.58%（根据耶鲁大学教授罗伯特·席勒提供的数据）。这意味着当时存在通货紧缩，而不是通货膨胀。因此，当时实际（经通胀调整）10年期国债收益率为4.51%。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, the 10-year yield&nbsp;stood at 1.53% on March 11 and inflation over the trailing 12 months is 1.68%. So the comparable real yield in this case is negative 0.15%. That low rate translates to significant headwinds in the face of bonds purchased today producing a positive real rate of return in coming years.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，3月11日10年期国债收益率为1.53%，过去12个月的通胀率为1.68%。因此，在这种情况下，可比实际收益率为负0.15%。面对今天购买的债券，这种低利率意味着在未来几年产生正的实际回报率，将面临巨大的阻力。</blockquote></p><p> The Credit Suisse Yearbook forces us to reconsider the standard narrative that stocks are less risky than bonds. Instead of 57 years, the comparable “long term” for U.S. stocks is 16 years. (See chart, below.) That’s the longest period since 1900 in which U.S. equities produced a negative real return. From the point of view of the long-term investor, stocks therefore appear to be far less risky.</p><p><blockquote>《瑞士信贷年鉴》迫使我们重新考虑股票风险低于债券的标准说法。美股可比的“长期”不是57年，而是16年。（见下图。）这是自1900年以来美国股市实际回报率为负的最长时期。因此，从长期投资者的角度来看，股票的风险似乎要小得多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3a63641318cf3034c54f3253db53e8d\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"849\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There is one sense in which government bonds are less risky than stocks. Assuming the federal government doesn’t default, then U.S. government bonds are undoubtedly safer than stocks. But, as the Credit Suisse Yearbook’s authors point out, “there is a price to be paid” for that safety. “In terms of inflation-adjusted returns, there is a high chance of disappointment.”</p><p><blockquote>从某种意义上说，政府债券的风险低于股票。假设联邦政府不违约，那么美国国债无疑比股票更安全。但是，正如《瑞士信贷年鉴》的作者指出的那样，这种安全“是要付出代价的”。“就通胀调整后的回报而言，很有可能会令人失望。”</blockquote></p><p> At a minimum, the Yearbook encourages us to focus on risk from many different angles. An asset that appears to be conservative when considering the possibility of default may be quite risky from the perspective of how long it may lag inflation.</p><p><blockquote>至少，《年鉴》鼓励我们从许多不同的角度关注风险。一项在考虑违约可能性时显得保守的资产，从其可能滞后通胀多长时间的角度来看，可能风险相当大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expand focus outside of the U.S.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将关注点扩展到美国以外。</b></blockquote></p><p> When focusing on the U.S. from this perspective of lagging inflation over the long term, it certainly appears as though stocks are less risky than bonds. When we expand our focus to non-U.S. stock markets, this conclusion is premature.</p><p><blockquote>当从长期滞后通胀的角度关注美国时，股票的风险似乎确实低于债券。当我们将关注点扩大到非美股市场时，这个结论还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p> Consider Japan, for example. According to the Credit Suisse Yearbook, the longest stretch of time in which that country’s equities lost ground to inflation is 51 years. That’s the same order of magnitude as for U.S. Treasury bonds.</p><p><blockquote>以日本为例。根据瑞士信贷年鉴，该国股市因通胀而下跌的最长时间是51年。这与美国国债的数量级相同。</blockquote></p><p> This underlines the importance of focusing on as many different markets as possible, over as many years as possible. Most of what is taken to be conventional wisdom in the financial-planning world derives from a database covering just U.S. stocks and bonds back to 1926. Since the U.S. equity and fixed income markets are the world’s largest, focusing on them is “susceptible to success bias,” as the Yearbook’s authors put it.</p><p><blockquote>这强调了在尽可能多的时间内关注尽可能多的不同市场的重要性。财务规划界的大部分传统智慧都来自一个仅涵盖1926年以来美国股票和债券的数据库。正如年鉴作者所说，由于美国股票和固定收益市场是世界上最大的，关注它们“容易受到成功偏见的影响”。</blockquote></p><p> Unless we are willing to bet that the U.S. markets over the next century will outperform the rest of the world by as much as they have since the 1920s, we should be basing our forecasts on the performance of global markets for as many years for which data are available.</p><p><blockquote>除非我们愿意打赌美国市场在下个世纪的表现将像自20世纪20年代以来一样优于世界其他地区，否则我们的预测应该基于全球市场多年来的表现。有数据可用。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why inflation makes holding bonds for the long run riskier than owning stocks<blockquote>为什么通货膨胀使长期持有债券比持有股票风险更大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy inflation makes holding bonds for the long run riskier than owning stocks<blockquote>为什么通货膨胀使长期持有债券比持有股票风险更大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-15 13:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>You’d have to hold U.S. Treasury bonds for 57 years to not lose to inflation</p><p><blockquote>你必须持有美国国债57年才能不输给通货膨胀</blockquote></p><p> How long is the long term in the bond market? Would you believe 57 years? That’s how long you must be prepared to own U.S. government bonds if you want to be assured of not losing to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>债券市场的长期有多长？你相信57年吗？如果你想确保不输给通货膨胀，你必须准备持有美国政府债券的时间。</blockquote></p><p> This depressing statistic comes from the just-released 2021 edition of Credit Suisse’s&nbsp;Global Investment Returns Yearbook. The authors — Elroy Dimson, a finance professor at Cambridge University, Paul Marsh, a finance professor at the London Business School and Mike Staunton, director of that institution’s London Share Price Database — measured the longest period in U.S. history (since 1900) over which U.S. government bonds produced an inflation-adjusted loss.</p><p><blockquote>这一令人沮丧的统计数据来自刚刚发布的2021年版瑞士信贷全球投资回报年鉴。作者——剑桥大学金融学教授埃尔罗伊·迪姆森(Elroy Dimson)、伦敦商学院金融学教授保罗·马什(Paul Marsh)和该机构伦敦股价数据库主任迈克·斯汤顿(Mike Staunton)——测量了美国历史上（自1900年以来）美国政府债券产生通胀调整后损失的最长时期。</blockquote></p><p> The future might not be like the past, of course. But with current interest rates so low, it seems likely that, in the event the future isn’t like the past, it will be worse for bonds—not better.</p><p><blockquote>当然，未来可能不会像过去那样。但由于目前的利率如此之低，如果未来与过去不同，债券的情况可能会更糟，而不是更好。</blockquote></p><p> The 57-year period in which U.S. government bonds lost ground to inflation began in 1924, when the 10-year Treasury yield stood at 3.93% and inflation over the trailing 12 months was negative 0.58% (according to data provided by Yale University professor Robert Shiller). That meant that there was deflation at the time, not inflation. The real (inflation-adjusted) 10-year yield at the time was therefore 4.51%.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府债券因通胀而失利的57年时期始于1924年，当时10年期国债收益率为3.93%，过去12个月的通胀率为负0.58%（根据耶鲁大学教授罗伯特·席勒提供的数据）。这意味着当时存在通货紧缩，而不是通货膨胀。因此，当时实际（经通胀调整）10年期国债收益率为4.51%。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, the 10-year yield&nbsp;stood at 1.53% on March 11 and inflation over the trailing 12 months is 1.68%. So the comparable real yield in this case is negative 0.15%. That low rate translates to significant headwinds in the face of bonds purchased today producing a positive real rate of return in coming years.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，3月11日10年期国债收益率为1.53%，过去12个月的通胀率为1.68%。因此，在这种情况下，可比实际收益率为负0.15%。面对今天购买的债券，这种低利率意味着在未来几年产生正的实际回报率，将面临巨大的阻力。</blockquote></p><p> The Credit Suisse Yearbook forces us to reconsider the standard narrative that stocks are less risky than bonds. Instead of 57 years, the comparable “long term” for U.S. stocks is 16 years. (See chart, below.) That’s the longest period since 1900 in which U.S. equities produced a negative real return. From the point of view of the long-term investor, stocks therefore appear to be far less risky.</p><p><blockquote>《瑞士信贷年鉴》迫使我们重新考虑股票风险低于债券的标准说法。美股可比的“长期”不是57年，而是16年。（见下图。）这是自1900年以来美国股市实际回报率为负的最长时期。因此，从长期投资者的角度来看，股票的风险似乎要小得多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3a63641318cf3034c54f3253db53e8d\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"849\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There is one sense in which government bonds are less risky than stocks. Assuming the federal government doesn’t default, then U.S. government bonds are undoubtedly safer than stocks. But, as the Credit Suisse Yearbook’s authors point out, “there is a price to be paid” for that safety. “In terms of inflation-adjusted returns, there is a high chance of disappointment.”</p><p><blockquote>从某种意义上说，政府债券的风险低于股票。假设联邦政府不违约，那么美国国债无疑比股票更安全。但是，正如《瑞士信贷年鉴》的作者指出的那样，这种安全“是要付出代价的”。“就通胀调整后的回报而言，很有可能会令人失望。”</blockquote></p><p> At a minimum, the Yearbook encourages us to focus on risk from many different angles. An asset that appears to be conservative when considering the possibility of default may be quite risky from the perspective of how long it may lag inflation.</p><p><blockquote>至少，《年鉴》鼓励我们从许多不同的角度关注风险。一项在考虑违约可能性时显得保守的资产，从其可能滞后通胀多长时间的角度来看，可能风险相当大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expand focus outside of the U.S.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将关注点扩展到美国以外。</b></blockquote></p><p> When focusing on the U.S. from this perspective of lagging inflation over the long term, it certainly appears as though stocks are less risky than bonds. When we expand our focus to non-U.S. stock markets, this conclusion is premature.</p><p><blockquote>当从长期滞后通胀的角度关注美国时，股票的风险似乎确实低于债券。当我们将关注点扩大到非美股市场时，这个结论还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p> Consider Japan, for example. According to the Credit Suisse Yearbook, the longest stretch of time in which that country’s equities lost ground to inflation is 51 years. That’s the same order of magnitude as for U.S. Treasury bonds.</p><p><blockquote>以日本为例。根据瑞士信贷年鉴，该国股市因通胀而下跌的最长时间是51年。这与美国国债的数量级相同。</blockquote></p><p> This underlines the importance of focusing on as many different markets as possible, over as many years as possible. Most of what is taken to be conventional wisdom in the financial-planning world derives from a database covering just U.S. stocks and bonds back to 1926. Since the U.S. equity and fixed income markets are the world’s largest, focusing on them is “susceptible to success bias,” as the Yearbook’s authors put it.</p><p><blockquote>这强调了在尽可能多的时间内关注尽可能多的不同市场的重要性。财务规划界的大部分传统智慧都来自一个仅涵盖1926年以来美国股票和债券的数据库。正如年鉴作者所说，由于美国股票和固定收益市场是世界上最大的，关注它们“容易受到成功偏见的影响”。</blockquote></p><p> Unless we are willing to bet that the U.S. markets over the next century will outperform the rest of the world by as much as they have since the 1920s, we should be basing our forecasts on the performance of global markets for as many years for which data are available.</p><p><blockquote>除非我们愿意打赌美国市场在下个世纪的表现将像自20世纪20年代以来一样优于世界其他地区，否则我们的预测应该基于全球市场多年来的表现。有数据可用。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-inflation-makes-holding-bonds-for-the-long-run-riskier-than-owning-stocks-11615586194?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-inflation-makes-holding-bonds-for-the-long-run-riskier-than-owning-stocks-11615586194?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1100888274","content_text":"You’d have to hold U.S. Treasury bonds for 57 years to not lose to inflation\nHow long is the long term in the bond market? Would you believe 57 years? That’s how long you must be prepared to own U.S. government bonds if you want to be assured of not losing to inflation.\nThis depressing statistic comes from the just-released 2021 edition of Credit Suisse’s Global Investment Returns Yearbook. The authors — Elroy Dimson, a finance professor at Cambridge University, Paul Marsh, a finance professor at the London Business School and Mike Staunton, director of that institution’s London Share Price Database — measured the longest period in U.S. history (since 1900) over which U.S. government bonds produced an inflation-adjusted loss.\nThe future might not be like the past, of course. But with current interest rates so low, it seems likely that, in the event the future isn’t like the past, it will be worse for bonds—not better.\nThe 57-year period in which U.S. government bonds lost ground to inflation began in 1924, when the 10-year Treasury yield stood at 3.93% and inflation over the trailing 12 months was negative 0.58% (according to data provided by Yale University professor Robert Shiller). That meant that there was deflation at the time, not inflation. The real (inflation-adjusted) 10-year yield at the time was therefore 4.51%.\nIn contrast, the 10-year yield stood at 1.53% on March 11 and inflation over the trailing 12 months is 1.68%. So the comparable real yield in this case is negative 0.15%. That low rate translates to significant headwinds in the face of bonds purchased today producing a positive real rate of return in coming years.\nThe Credit Suisse Yearbook forces us to reconsider the standard narrative that stocks are less risky than bonds. Instead of 57 years, the comparable “long term” for U.S. stocks is 16 years. (See chart, below.) That’s the longest period since 1900 in which U.S. equities produced a negative real return. From the point of view of the long-term investor, stocks therefore appear to be far less risky.\n\nThere is one sense in which government bonds are less risky than stocks. Assuming the federal government doesn’t default, then U.S. government bonds are undoubtedly safer than stocks. But, as the Credit Suisse Yearbook’s authors point out, “there is a price to be paid” for that safety. “In terms of inflation-adjusted returns, there is a high chance of disappointment.”\nAt a minimum, the Yearbook encourages us to focus on risk from many different angles. An asset that appears to be conservative when considering the possibility of default may be quite risky from the perspective of how long it may lag inflation.\nExpand focus outside of the U.S.\nWhen focusing on the U.S. from this perspective of lagging inflation over the long term, it certainly appears as though stocks are less risky than bonds. When we expand our focus to non-U.S. stock markets, this conclusion is premature.\nConsider Japan, for example. According to the Credit Suisse Yearbook, the longest stretch of time in which that country’s equities lost ground to inflation is 51 years. That’s the same order of magnitude as for U.S. Treasury bonds.\nThis underlines the importance of focusing on as many different markets as possible, over as many years as possible. Most of what is taken to be conventional wisdom in the financial-planning world derives from a database covering just U.S. stocks and bonds back to 1926. Since the U.S. equity and fixed income markets are the world’s largest, focusing on them is “susceptible to success bias,” as the Yearbook’s authors put it.\nUnless we are willing to bet that the U.S. markets over the next century will outperform the rest of the world by as much as they have since the 1920s, we should be basing our forecasts on the performance of global markets for as many years for which data are available.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ZNmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343874009,"gmtCreate":1617708653601,"gmtModify":1631888163383,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLGT\">$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$</a>Waitingggg","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLGT\">$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$</a>Waitingggg","text":"$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$Waitingggg","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916443417779a303994aad86053a11d1","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343874009","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3067,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":355244300,"gmtCreate":1617079634900,"gmtModify":1634522767904,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"BIG BULL PUMPERS","listText":"BIG BULL PUMPERS","text":"BIG BULL PUMPERS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355244300","repostId":"2123607230","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2123607230","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1617070299,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2123607230?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-30 10:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beware The 11 Most Overvalued Stocks Now, Analysts Warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，现在要小心11只最被高估的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2123607230","media":"Investors","summary":"Analysts called the Tesla crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&P 500 companies.","content":"<p>Analysts called the <b>Tesla</b> crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&amp;P 500 companies.</p><p><blockquote>分析师称<b>特斯拉</b>视频流媒体股票的崩盘和大幅下跌。但他们的警告仍然被许多标普500公司忽视。</blockquote></p><p>Nearly a dozen S&amp;P 500 companies, including industrials <b>American Airlines</b> and <b>Snap-on</b> plus communications services <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">Lumen Technologies</a></b> are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.</p><p><blockquote>近十几家标普500公司，包括工业<b>美国航空公司</b>和<b>Snap-on</b>加上通信服务<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">流明技术</a></b>《投资者商业日报》对标准普尔全球市场情报和MarketSmith数据的分析表示，与分析师对这些股票的12个月目标价相比，这些股票的估值仍然被严重高估。</blockquote></p><p>By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&amp;P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.</p><p><blockquote>据分析师估计，所有这11只标普500股票都被高估了至少10%。这些警告是在大多数国家大幅上涨之际发出的。投资者纷纷涌入被认为受益于经济走强的股票。这11只股票今年平均上涨28.2%，而SPDR标普500 ETF信托仅上涨5.9%。更重要的是，到目前为止，11家公司中有8家在2021年上涨了20%或更多。</blockquote></p><p>Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，分析师在反弹期间不断发出降低目标价的警告，尤其是周期性股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Analysts Are Actually Bullish</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500分析师实际上看涨</b></blockquote></p><p>Analysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of <b>ViacomCBS</b> and <b>Discovery</b> before they sold off.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票估值过高发出警告。他们还对股票发出警告<b>ViacomCBS</b>和<b>发现</b>在他们卖掉之前。</blockquote></p><p>But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&amp;P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.</p><p><blockquote>但总体而言，分析师与往常一样大多看好标普500股票。分析师对标普500个股的12个月目标价较周五收盘价上涨6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.</p><p><blockquote>基本面支持看涨情绪。Factset盈利分析师约翰·巴特斯(John Butters)表示，今年已有60家公司告诉分析师，他们本季度的盈利将好于之前的预期。</blockquote></p><p>That's the highest number of S&amp;P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&amp;P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这是至少自2006年以来季度发布积极指引的标普500公司数量最多的一次。一年前同一季度，只有大约一半的公司如此乐观。这反过来意味着分析师现在认为标普500公司第一季度的利润将增长23.3%。截至2020年底，他们第一季度利润仅增长了15.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>But Analysts See Pockets Of Overvaluation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>但分析师认为部分地区估值过高</b></blockquote></p><p>American Airlines is the S&amp;P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.</p><p><blockquote>分析师认为美国航空的标普500股票远远超出了应有的水平。原因显而易见。</blockquote></p><p>Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.</p><p><blockquote>就在今年，该航空公司的股价飙升45.4%，至每股22.93美元。尽管由于疫情几乎关闭了航空旅行，该航空公司在2020年损失了约90亿美元，但新投资者还是涌入了该航空公司的股票。分析师认为某种程度上会卷土重来。美国航空预计2021年仅亏损约40亿美元，即每股7.61美元。但要到2022年才能实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?</p><p><blockquote>因此，分析师对美国航空的12个月目标价仅为每股15.47美元。如果这是正确的，这意味着该股被高估了33%。而且它也没有足够强大的基本面来支撑它。该公司的IBD综合评级仅为45。你知道在购买美国航空公司的股票之前要看什么吗？</blockquote></p><p>Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.</p><p><blockquote>同样在工业领域，分析师认为工具销售商Snap安也涨得太远了。今年股价上涨超过34%，至229.63点。</blockquote></p><p>Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.</p><p><blockquote>与美国不同，Snap安有基本面支持。</blockquote></p><p>It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.</p><p><blockquote>它的综合评分为88分。Snap-安预计2021年调整后每股利润将达到12.44美元，比2020年增长近7%。但分析师再次认为多头正在得意忘形。毕竟，2020年利润下降了5%。因此，分析师认为该公司12个月内每股价值仅为190.33美元，比目前的交易价格低16%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Watch Out For S&amp;P 500 Dividend Darlings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>留意标普500股息宠儿</b></blockquote></p><p>High dividend payers in the S&amp;P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的高股息支付者正在点燃市场。到目前为止，标普500中收益最高的八只股票都在2021年高居该指数榜首。其中包括语音和数据网络公司Lumen。</blockquote></p><p>Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&amp;P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Lumen以其高达7.4%的股息收益率而闻名。在标普500收益率仅为1.5%的世界里，这是可靠的。但今年它在投资者中更加出名，因为它的股价上涨了35%，达到13.16。这也不是一个非常积极的基本面故事。2020年每股利润增长26.5%。但预计2021年利润将下降6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.</p><p><blockquote>分析师只是认为这不值得投资者支付的费用。他们呼吁Lumen在12个月内的交易价格为每股10.78美元，比现在低18%。</blockquote></p><p>It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&amp;P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.</p><p><blockquote>不用说，分析师并不总是对的。他们经常是错的。但他们今年对标普500雄心勃勃的人的警告非常准确，至少值得一听。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Most Overvalued S&amp;P 500 Stocks: Analysts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最被高估的标普500股票：分析师</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><table><thead><tr><th>Company</th><th>Symbol</th><th>Target Price*</th><th>Stock YTD % Ch.</th><th>Implied Downside*</th><th>Sector</th><th>Composite Rating</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>American Airlines</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>Lumen Technologies</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>Communication Services</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>Nucor</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>Materials</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>Expeditors International of Washington</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>Franklin Resources</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>Genuine Parts</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>Whirlpool</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>Iron Mountain</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Real Estate</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>Unum</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A. O. Smith</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>Sources: IBD, S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence, * — based on analysts' 12-month price target</h5></p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司</th><th>象征</th><th>目标价格*</th><th>股票年初至今%Ch。</th><th>隐含的负面影响*</th><th>部门</th><th>综合评级</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>美国航空公司</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>流明技术</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>通讯服务</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>纽科尔</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>材料</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>华盛顿国际快递公司</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>富兰克林资源公司</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>正品零件</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>漩涡</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>铁山</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>房地产</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>尤努姆</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A.O.史密斯</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>资料来源：IBD、标准普尔全球市场情报*——基于分析师12个月目标价</h5></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeware The 11 Most Overvalued Stocks Now, Analysts Warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，现在要小心11只最被高估的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-30 10:11</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Analysts called the <b>Tesla</b> crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&amp;P 500 companies.</p><p><blockquote>分析师称<b>特斯拉</b>视频流媒体股票的崩盘和大幅下跌。但他们的警告仍然被许多标普500公司忽视。</blockquote></p><p>Nearly a dozen S&amp;P 500 companies, including industrials <b>American Airlines</b> and <b>Snap-on</b> plus communications services <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">Lumen Technologies</a></b> are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.</p><p><blockquote>近十几家标普500公司，包括工业<b>美国航空公司</b>和<b>Snap-on</b>加上通信服务<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">流明技术</a></b>《投资者商业日报》对标准普尔全球市场情报和MarketSmith数据的分析表示，与分析师对这些股票的12个月目标价相比，这些股票的估值仍然被严重高估。</blockquote></p><p>By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&amp;P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.</p><p><blockquote>据分析师估计，所有这11只标普500股票都被高估了至少10%。这些警告是在大多数国家大幅上涨之际发出的。投资者纷纷涌入被认为受益于经济走强的股票。这11只股票今年平均上涨28.2%，而SPDR标普500 ETF信托仅上涨5.9%。更重要的是，到目前为止，11家公司中有8家在2021年上涨了20%或更多。</blockquote></p><p>Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，分析师在反弹期间不断发出降低目标价的警告，尤其是周期性股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Analysts Are Actually Bullish</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500分析师实际上看涨</b></blockquote></p><p>Analysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of <b>ViacomCBS</b> and <b>Discovery</b> before they sold off.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票估值过高发出警告。他们还对股票发出警告<b>ViacomCBS</b>和<b>发现</b>在他们卖掉之前。</blockquote></p><p>But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&amp;P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.</p><p><blockquote>但总体而言，分析师与往常一样大多看好标普500股票。分析师对标普500个股的12个月目标价较周五收盘价上涨6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.</p><p><blockquote>基本面支持看涨情绪。Factset盈利分析师约翰·巴特斯(John Butters)表示，今年已有60家公司告诉分析师，他们本季度的盈利将好于之前的预期。</blockquote></p><p>That's the highest number of S&amp;P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&amp;P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这是至少自2006年以来季度发布积极指引的标普500公司数量最多的一次。一年前同一季度，只有大约一半的公司如此乐观。这反过来意味着分析师现在认为标普500公司第一季度的利润将增长23.3%。截至2020年底，他们第一季度利润仅增长了15.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>But Analysts See Pockets Of Overvaluation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>但分析师认为部分地区估值过高</b></blockquote></p><p>American Airlines is the S&amp;P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.</p><p><blockquote>分析师认为美国航空的标普500股票远远超出了应有的水平。原因显而易见。</blockquote></p><p>Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.</p><p><blockquote>就在今年，该航空公司的股价飙升45.4%，至每股22.93美元。尽管由于疫情几乎关闭了航空旅行，该航空公司在2020年损失了约90亿美元，但新投资者还是涌入了该航空公司的股票。分析师认为某种程度上会卷土重来。美国航空预计2021年仅亏损约40亿美元，即每股7.61美元。但要到2022年才能实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?</p><p><blockquote>因此，分析师对美国航空的12个月目标价仅为每股15.47美元。如果这是正确的，这意味着该股被高估了33%。而且它也没有足够强大的基本面来支撑它。该公司的IBD综合评级仅为45。你知道在购买美国航空公司的股票之前要看什么吗？</blockquote></p><p>Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.</p><p><blockquote>同样在工业领域，分析师认为工具销售商Snap安也涨得太远了。今年股价上涨超过34%，至229.63点。</blockquote></p><p>Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.</p><p><blockquote>与美国不同，Snap安有基本面支持。</blockquote></p><p>It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.</p><p><blockquote>它的综合评分为88分。Snap-安预计2021年调整后每股利润将达到12.44美元，比2020年增长近7%。但分析师再次认为多头正在得意忘形。毕竟，2020年利润下降了5%。因此，分析师认为该公司12个月内每股价值仅为190.33美元，比目前的交易价格低16%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Watch Out For S&amp;P 500 Dividend Darlings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>留意标普500股息宠儿</b></blockquote></p><p>High dividend payers in the S&amp;P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的高股息支付者正在点燃市场。到目前为止，标普500中收益最高的八只股票都在2021年高居该指数榜首。其中包括语音和数据网络公司Lumen。</blockquote></p><p>Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&amp;P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Lumen以其高达7.4%的股息收益率而闻名。在标普500收益率仅为1.5%的世界里，这是可靠的。但今年它在投资者中更加出名，因为它的股价上涨了35%，达到13.16。这也不是一个非常积极的基本面故事。2020年每股利润增长26.5%。但预计2021年利润将下降6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.</p><p><blockquote>分析师只是认为这不值得投资者支付的费用。他们呼吁Lumen在12个月内的交易价格为每股10.78美元，比现在低18%。</blockquote></p><p>It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&amp;P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.</p><p><blockquote>不用说，分析师并不总是对的。他们经常是错的。但他们今年对标普500雄心勃勃的人的警告非常准确，至少值得一听。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Most Overvalued S&amp;P 500 Stocks: Analysts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最被高估的标普500股票：分析师</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><table><thead><tr><th>Company</th><th>Symbol</th><th>Target Price*</th><th>Stock YTD % Ch.</th><th>Implied Downside*</th><th>Sector</th><th>Composite Rating</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>American Airlines</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>Lumen Technologies</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>Communication Services</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>Nucor</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>Materials</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>Expeditors International of Washington</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>Franklin Resources</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>Genuine Parts</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>Whirlpool</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>Iron Mountain</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Real Estate</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>Unum</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A. O. Smith</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>Sources: IBD, S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence, * — based on analysts' 12-month price target</h5></p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司</th><th>象征</th><th>目标价格*</th><th>股票年初至今%Ch。</th><th>隐含的负面影响*</th><th>部门</th><th>综合评级</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>美国航空公司</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>流明技术</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>通讯服务</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>纽科尔</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>材料</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>华盛顿国际快递公司</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>富兰克林资源公司</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>正品零件</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>漩涡</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>铁山</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>房地产</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>尤努姆</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A.O.史密斯</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>资料来源：IBD、标准普尔全球市场情报*——基于分析师12个月目标价</h5></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa7c522340c9f1e78e78f0c1543440e","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2123607230","content_text":"Analysts called the Tesla crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&P 500 companies.Nearly a dozen S&P 500 companies, including industrials American Airlines and Snap-on plus communications services Lumen Technologies are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.S&P 500 Analysts Are Actually BullishAnalysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of ViacomCBS and Discovery before they sold off.But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.That's the highest number of S&P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.But Analysts See Pockets Of OvervaluationAmerican Airlines is the S&P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.Watch Out For S&P 500 Dividend DarlingsHigh dividend payers in the S&P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.The Most Overvalued S&P 500 Stocks: AnalystsCompanySymbolTarget Price*Stock YTD % Ch.Implied Downside*SectorComposite RatingAmerican Airlines15.4745.4%-32.5%Industrials45Lumen Technologies10.7835.0%-18.1%Communication Services61Snap-on190.3334.2%-17.1%Industrials88Nucor66.3849.1%-16.3%Materials97Expeditors International of Washington91.6413.3%-15.0%Industrials80Franklin Resources25.4717.6%-13.4%Financials79Genuine Parts104.3318.0%-12.0%Consumer Discretionary64Whirlpool196.4423.6%-11.9%Consumer Discretionary91Iron Mountain33.2526.5%-10.8%Real Estate70Unum24.7320.8%-10.8%Financials59A. O. Smith62.1126.8%-10.6%Industrials74Sources: IBD, S&P Global Market Intelligence, * — based on analysts' 12-month price target","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"IVV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327278473,"gmtCreate":1616103985792,"gmtModify":1634527259972,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nuce","listText":"Nuce","text":"Nuce","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327278473","repostId":"2120165521","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":324109826,"gmtCreate":1615970543665,"gmtModify":1703495678657,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLGT\">$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$</a>Yummy","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLGT\">$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$</a>Yummy","text":"$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$Yummy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fd7ac5315f982b1fea441c5a8175189","width":"750","height":"1224"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324109826","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":322712862,"gmtCreate":1615826827256,"gmtModify":1703493745187,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLGT\">$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$</a>Rocket","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLGT\">$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$</a>Rocket","text":"$Fulgent Genetics Inc.(FLGT)$Rocket","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361b1a5f01fa3ac17e05a55a14e62a79","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322712862","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354780844,"gmtCreate":1617201186988,"gmtModify":1634522087198,"author":{"id":"3577679283766533","authorId":"3577679283766533","name":"Masterpumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c676857d1652a8383690e8b7a7a20a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577679283766533","idStr":"3577679283766533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like mee","listText":"Like mee","text":"Like mee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354780844","repostId":"2123273610","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}