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2021-06-20

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2021-06-22

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2021-06-07

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2021-11-07

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2021-06-18

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Palantir: The Untold Truth<blockquote>Palantir：不为人知的真相</blockquote>

2021-05-13

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Taiwan Stock Crash Shows World Dangers of Too Much Leverage<blockquote>台湾股市崩盘向世界展示了杠杆过高的危险</blockquote>

2021-12-09

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Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high<blockquote>苹果股价上涨近2%，创新高</blockquote>

2021-06-05

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Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价能否触及500美元？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote>

2021-10-15

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Crypto stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>加密货币股票早盘上涨</blockquote>

2021-05-01

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high<blockquote>苹果股价上涨近2%，创新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-08 23:26</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high&nbsp;in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在早盘交易中上涨近2%，创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9f5fdc1cb0a898675c515a39de7611\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPinduoduo shares surged 11% in morning trading<blockquote>拼多多股价早盘飙升11%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-07 23:13</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Pinduoduo shares surged 11% in morning trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;Macquarie gave pinduoduo a market beating rating with a target price of $95.</p><p><blockquote>麦格理给予拼多多跑赢大盘的评级，目标价95美元后，拼多多股价早盘飙升11%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38c15dca491bd8741f8ac3af099bdeb7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PDD":"拼多多"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142645155","content_text":"Pinduoduo shares surged 11% in morning trading after Macquarie gave pinduoduo a market beating rating with a target price of 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVaccine stocks mixed in morning trading<blockquote>疫苗股早盘涨跌互现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-06 23:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Vaccine&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;mixed&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.Moderna and BioNTech SE plunged more than 12% while Johnson &amp; Johnson and&nbsp;AstraZeneca&nbsp;rose&nbsp;about 2%.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗股早盘涨跌不一，Moderna和BioNTech SE暴跌超12%，强生和阿斯利康涨约2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a026a8b3f73899e06c8e4913061f6618\" tg-width=\"410\" tg-height=\"722\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","REGN":"再生元制药公司","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","GILD":"吉利德科学","JNJ":"强生","SNY":"赛诺菲安万特","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","GSK":"葛兰素史克","LLY":"礼来","MRK":"默沙东"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172118771","content_text":"Vaccine stocks mixed in morning trading.Moderna and BioNTech SE plunged more than 12% while Johnson & Johnson and AstraZeneca rose about 2%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"SNY":0.9,"LLY":0.9,"GSK":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"MRK":0.9,"REGN":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"GILD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2802,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608201573,"gmtCreate":1638744390073,"gmtModify":1638744478672,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608201573","repostId":"2189576203","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608833375,"gmtCreate":1638676211407,"gmtModify":1638676454681,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608833375","repostId":"1158981658","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601767658,"gmtCreate":1638572778596,"gmtModify":1638572873826,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601767658","repostId":"1164103185","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164103185","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638543422,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1164103185?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-03 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Semiconductor stocks slid in morning trading<blockquote>半导体股早盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164103185","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Semiconductor stocks slid in morning trading.Nvidia,TSMC,ASML and AMD fell about 2% while Marvell Te","content":"<p>Semiconductor stocks slid in morning trading.Nvidia,TSMC,ASML&nbsp;and&nbsp;AMD&nbsp;fell&nbsp;about&nbsp;2%&nbsp;while&nbsp;Marvell Technology&nbsp;soared&nbsp;17%.</p><p><blockquote>半导体股早盘下跌。英伟达、台积电、ASML和AMD下跌约2%，而Marvell Technology飙升17%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4d133b94a6a4da67cbdefb76522317d\" tg-width=\"405\" tg-height=\"302\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Semiconductor stocks slid in morning trading<blockquote>半导体股早盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style 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22:57</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Semiconductor stocks slid in morning trading.Nvidia,TSMC,ASML&nbsp;and&nbsp;AMD&nbsp;fell&nbsp;about&nbsp;2%&nbsp;while&nbsp;Marvell Technology&nbsp;soared&nbsp;17%.</p><p><blockquote>半导体股早盘下跌。英伟达、台积电、ASML和AMD下跌约2%，而Marvell Technology飙升17%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4d133b94a6a4da67cbdefb76522317d\" tg-width=\"405\" tg-height=\"302\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164103185","content_text":"Semiconductor stocks slid in morning trading.Nvidia,TSMC,ASML and AMD fell about 2% while Marvell Technology soared 17%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601976871,"gmtCreate":1638488546991,"gmtModify":1638488552218,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>uup","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>uup","text":"$AMC 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Private-equity firm CVC Capital Partners is part of the consortium, Razer said Thursday in a filing to the Hong Kong bourse.</p><p><blockquote>雷蛇周四在提交给香港交易所的一份文件中表示，私募股权公司CVC Capital Partners是该财团的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> The consortium is offering HK$2.82 a share to buy all shares it doesn't currently hold, representing a 5.6% premium to the stock's last closing price. The offer is final, Razer said.</p><p><blockquote>该财团出价每股2.82港元购买其目前未持有的所有股份，较该股最后收盘价溢价5.6%。雷蛇表示，报价是最终的。</blockquote></p><p> Razer, which sells gear for gamers such as keyboards and headphones and has bases in California and Singapore, was founded in 2005 and went public in 2017. Shares are up 12% this year, but remain well below their initial public offering price.</p><p><blockquote>Razer成立于2005年，2017年上市，为游戏玩家销售键盘和耳机等设备，在加州和新加坡设有基地。今年股价上涨了12%，但仍远低于首次公开募股价格。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Razer will be privatized at a price of HK $2.82 per share<blockquote>雷蛇将以每股2.82港元的价格私有化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRazer will be privatized at a price of HK $2.82 per share<blockquote>雷蛇将以每股2.82港元的价格私有化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-02 08:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A consortium led by the founders of gaming equipment maker Razer Inc. have made an offer of up to 10.79 billion Hong Kong dollars (US$1.38 billion) to take the Hong Kong-listed company private.</p><p><blockquote>由游戏设备制造商Razer Inc.创始人领导的财团已提出高达107.9亿港元（13.8亿美元）的报价，将这家在香港上市的公司私有化。</blockquote></p><p> Private-equity firm CVC Capital Partners is part of the consortium, Razer said Thursday in a filing to the Hong Kong bourse.</p><p><blockquote>雷蛇周四在提交给香港交易所的一份文件中表示，私募股权公司CVC Capital Partners是该财团的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> The consortium is offering HK$2.82 a share to buy all shares it doesn't currently hold, representing a 5.6% premium to the stock's last closing price. The offer is final, Razer said.</p><p><blockquote>该财团出价每股2.82港元购买其目前未持有的所有股份，较该股最后收盘价溢价5.6%。雷蛇表示，报价是最终的。</blockquote></p><p> Razer, which sells gear for gamers such as keyboards and headphones and has bases in California and Singapore, was founded in 2005 and went public in 2017. Shares are up 12% this year, but remain well below their initial public offering price.</p><p><blockquote>Razer成立于2005年，2017年上市，为游戏玩家销售键盘和耳机等设备，在加州和新加坡设有基地。今年股价上涨了12%，但仍远低于首次公开募股价格。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"01337":"雷蛇"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197247033","content_text":"A consortium led by the founders of gaming equipment maker Razer Inc. have made an offer of up to 10.79 billion Hong Kong dollars (US$1.38 billion) to take the Hong Kong-listed company private.\nPrivate-equity firm CVC Capital Partners is part of the consortium, Razer said Thursday in a filing to the Hong Kong bourse.\nThe consortium is offering HK$2.82 a share to buy all shares it doesn't currently hold, representing a 5.6% premium to the stock's last closing price. The offer is final, Razer said.\nRazer, which sells gear for gamers such as keyboards and headphones and has bases in California and Singapore, was founded in 2005 and went public in 2017. Shares are up 12% this year, but remain well below their initial public offering price.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01337":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603201626,"gmtCreate":1638409649668,"gmtModify":1638409951591,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>uup","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>uup","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$uup","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ded8270623604e8014a10718a7c2ed18","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603201626","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603201956,"gmtCreate":1638409638329,"gmtModify":1638409913439,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKF\">$ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(ARKF)$</a>uup","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKF\">$ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(ARKF)$</a>uup","text":"$ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(ARKF)$uup","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5651d3ad5227877ff90411287f8872dd","width":"1080","height":"3501"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603201956","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609521108,"gmtCreate":1638311712503,"gmtModify":1638311717364,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XELA\">$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$</a>up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XELA\">$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$</a>up","text":"$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d08dee364742d20b92bfec841932193","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609521108","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609521964,"gmtCreate":1638311702041,"gmtModify":1638311706972,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F34.SI\">$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$</a>uup","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F34.SI\">$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$</a>uup","text":"$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$uup","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a655131e18a2fbd10d251a7f05f88cd","width":"1080","height":"3402"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609521964","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609523654,"gmtCreate":1638311590127,"gmtModify":1638311681288,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":17,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609523654","repostId":"1158390889","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158390889","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638285505,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158390889?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-30 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What to Expect During the Holiday Season<blockquote>苹果股票：假期期间的预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158390889","media":"TheStreet","summary":"The 2021 holiday shopping season has officially started. Here is what Apple investors should expect of the Cupertino company and its stock in the next few weeks.Black Friday and Cyber Monday are behind us. With that, the 2021 holiday season in the US and parts of the world has officially begun. Consumer product and service companies like Apple are staring into the busiest weeks of sales in the year.Figure 1: Apple's iPhone, Apple Watch and Air Pods boxes.Today, the Apple Maven talks about what A","content":"<p>The 2021 holiday shopping season has officially started. Here is what Apple investors should expect of the Cupertino company and its stock in the next few weeks.</p><p><blockquote>2021年假日购物季正式开启。以下是苹果投资者在未来几周内对库比蒂诺公司及其股票的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Black Friday and Cyber Monday are behind us. With that, the 2021 holiday season in the US and parts of the world has officially begun. Consumer product and service companies like Apple are staring into the busiest weeks of sales in the year.</p><p><blockquote>黑色星期五和网络星期一已经过去了。至此，美国和世界部分地区的2021年假期正式开始。像苹果这样的消费品和服务公司正面临一年中销售最繁忙的几周。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84c9d46c1a03b350ba81dcd1e6e39c83\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone, Apple Watch and Air Pods boxes.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果的iPhone、苹果手表和Air Pods盒子。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven talks about what Apple stock&nbsp;investors should think about as the shopping season kicks into gear.</p><p><blockquote>今天，这位苹果专家谈论了随着购物季的到来，苹果股票投资者应该思考什么。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple to benefit from strong consumer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果将受益于强劲的消费者</b></blockquote></p><p> At the highest level possible, Apple is likely to benefit from a rising tide that lifts all boats in 2021. The chart below clearly shows that consumer spending in the US has not only recovered from the 2020 flash recession, but it has been “making up for lost time”. Spending trends have even accelerated slightly compared to the pre-pandemic period.</p><p><blockquote>在可能的最高水平上，苹果可能会受益于2021年的涨潮。下图清楚地表明，美国的消费者支出不仅从2020年的快速衰退中恢复过来，而且一直在“弥补失去的时间”。与疫情之前相比，支出趋势甚至略有加速。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edfb88f466fa1cfe1c35bddbd1cf1bb7\" tg-width=\"756\" tg-height=\"357\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Consumer spending in US.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：美国消费者支出。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Regarding the holiday period, however, consumer product and service sales may look a bit atypical. Adobe has recently&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that Black Friday activity online dropped year-over-year for the first time ever. Online sales reached $8.9 billion, lower than 2020’s $9 billion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，就假期而言，消费品和服务销售可能看起来有点不寻常。Adobe最近报告称，黑色星期五在线活动首次同比下降。在线销售额达到89亿美元，低于2020年的90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Without context, these numbers may look concerning. But once again, there is nothing typical about this COVID-19 crisis. Black Friday likely suffered from (1) consumers buying earlier than usual, to avoid delayed deliveries in late November and December, and (2) supply chain constraints causing shortages and missed sales opportunities.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有背景，这些数字可能看起来令人担忧。但同样，这场新冠肺炎危机没有任何典型之处。黑色星期五可能受到以下影响：(1)消费者比平时更早购买，以避免11月底和12月的延迟交货，以及(2)供应链限制导致短缺和错失销售机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple could do better than average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果可以做得比平均水平更好</b></blockquote></p><p> The demand scenario described above is at least modestly optimistic, in my view, even if not without challenges on the supply side. Even so, I think that Apple has a good chance of performing better than average in the next few weeks.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，上述需求情景至少是适度乐观的，即使供应方面并非没有挑战。即便如此，我认为苹果在未来几周的表现很有可能好于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For starters, the Cupertino company is&nbsp;one of the best in the world at managing inventory&nbsp;and supply chain. Consider, however, that CEO Tim Cook&nbsp;has already warned of an impact&nbsp;of $6 billion to revenues in the holiday quarter caused by the production and logistics bottlenecks.</p><p><blockquote>首先，库比蒂诺公司是世界上管理库存和供应链最好的公司之一。然而，首席执行官蒂姆·库克已经警告称，生产和物流瓶颈将对假日季度的收入造成60亿美元的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the demand for Apple’s products and services seems unshaken.I have discussed a few times that the iPhone, for example, is likely to have its best years of sales ever in fiscal 2021 and 2022. Not even the tough comps introduced by the first 5G-capable model will likely be enough to steal the thunder of a well-received iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>其次，对苹果产品和服务的需求似乎没有动摇。例如，我曾多次讨论过iPhone可能会在2021财年和2022财年迎来有史以来销量最好的年份。即使是第一款支持5G的机型推出的强硬竞争也可能不足以抢走广受好评的iPhone 13的风头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>But how about AAPL stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>但苹果公司的股票怎么样？</b></blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that financial performance, especially in the short term, does not always correlate with share price movements. In fact, any impact that the holiday P&amp;L results may have on Apple stock would likely not happen until late January 2022, when the company reports fiscal Q1 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，财务业绩，尤其是短期业绩，并不总是与股价变动相关。事实上，假日损益结果可能对苹果股票产生的任何影响可能要到2022年1月下旬该公司报告第一财季收益时才会发生。</blockquote></p><p> For the immediate term, Apple investors should keep in mind that the stock’s&nbsp;seasonal patterns have been historically unfavorable&nbsp;around this time of the year. The chart below shows that AAPL has clearly underperformed in November through January. Will this time be any different? Only time will tell.</p><p><blockquote>就近期而言，苹果投资者应记住，该股的季节性模式在每年的这个时候历来都是不利的。下图显示，AAPL从11月到1月的表现明显不佳。这次会有什么不同吗？只有时间能证明一切。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4c72a2f9720f472ceba32b24f4a2a78\" tg-width=\"682\" tg-height=\"357\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: AAPL average monthly return since iPhone launch.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图3：自iPhone推出以来AAPL的平均月回报率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What to Expect During the Holiday Season<blockquote>苹果股票：假期期间的预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What to Expect During the Holiday Season<blockquote>苹果股票：假期期间的预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-30 23:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The 2021 holiday shopping season has officially started. Here is what Apple investors should expect of the Cupertino company and its stock in the next few weeks.</p><p><blockquote>2021年假日购物季正式开启。以下是苹果投资者在未来几周内对库比蒂诺公司及其股票的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Black Friday and Cyber Monday are behind us. With that, the 2021 holiday season in the US and parts of the world has officially begun. Consumer product and service companies like Apple are staring into the busiest weeks of sales in the year.</p><p><blockquote>黑色星期五和网络星期一已经过去了。至此，美国和世界部分地区的2021年假期正式开始。像苹果这样的消费品和服务公司正面临一年中销售最繁忙的几周。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84c9d46c1a03b350ba81dcd1e6e39c83\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone, Apple Watch and Air Pods boxes.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果的iPhone、苹果手表和Air Pods盒子。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven talks about what Apple stock&nbsp;investors should think about as the shopping season kicks into gear.</p><p><blockquote>今天，这位苹果专家谈论了随着购物季的到来，苹果股票投资者应该思考什么。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple to benefit from strong consumer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果将受益于强劲的消费者</b></blockquote></p><p> At the highest level possible, Apple is likely to benefit from a rising tide that lifts all boats in 2021. The chart below clearly shows that consumer spending in the US has not only recovered from the 2020 flash recession, but it has been “making up for lost time”. Spending trends have even accelerated slightly compared to the pre-pandemic period.</p><p><blockquote>在可能的最高水平上，苹果可能会受益于2021年的涨潮。下图清楚地表明，美国的消费者支出不仅从2020年的快速衰退中恢复过来，而且一直在“弥补失去的时间”。与疫情之前相比，支出趋势甚至略有加速。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edfb88f466fa1cfe1c35bddbd1cf1bb7\" tg-width=\"756\" tg-height=\"357\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Consumer spending in US.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：美国消费者支出。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Regarding the holiday period, however, consumer product and service sales may look a bit atypical. Adobe has recently&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that Black Friday activity online dropped year-over-year for the first time ever. Online sales reached $8.9 billion, lower than 2020’s $9 billion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，就假期而言，消费品和服务销售可能看起来有点不寻常。Adobe最近报告称，黑色星期五在线活动首次同比下降。在线销售额达到89亿美元，低于2020年的90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Without context, these numbers may look concerning. But once again, there is nothing typical about this COVID-19 crisis. Black Friday likely suffered from (1) consumers buying earlier than usual, to avoid delayed deliveries in late November and December, and (2) supply chain constraints causing shortages and missed sales opportunities.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有背景，这些数字可能看起来令人担忧。但同样，这场新冠肺炎危机没有任何典型之处。黑色星期五可能受到以下影响：(1)消费者比平时更早购买，以避免11月底和12月的延迟交货，以及(2)供应链限制导致短缺和错失销售机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple could do better than average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果可以做得比平均水平更好</b></blockquote></p><p> The demand scenario described above is at least modestly optimistic, in my view, even if not without challenges on the supply side. Even so, I think that Apple has a good chance of performing better than average in the next few weeks.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，上述需求情景至少是适度乐观的，即使供应方面并非没有挑战。即便如此，我认为苹果在未来几周的表现很有可能好于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For starters, the Cupertino company is&nbsp;one of the best in the world at managing inventory&nbsp;and supply chain. Consider, however, that CEO Tim Cook&nbsp;has already warned of an impact&nbsp;of $6 billion to revenues in the holiday quarter caused by the production and logistics bottlenecks.</p><p><blockquote>首先，库比蒂诺公司是世界上管理库存和供应链最好的公司之一。然而，首席执行官蒂姆·库克已经警告称，生产和物流瓶颈将对假日季度的收入造成60亿美元的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the demand for Apple’s products and services seems unshaken.I have discussed a few times that the iPhone, for example, is likely to have its best years of sales ever in fiscal 2021 and 2022. Not even the tough comps introduced by the first 5G-capable model will likely be enough to steal the thunder of a well-received iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>其次，对苹果产品和服务的需求似乎没有动摇。例如，我曾多次讨论过iPhone可能会在2021财年和2022财年迎来有史以来销量最好的年份。即使是第一款支持5G的机型推出的强硬竞争也可能不足以抢走广受好评的iPhone 13的风头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>But how about AAPL stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>但苹果公司的股票怎么样？</b></blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that financial performance, especially in the short term, does not always correlate with share price movements. In fact, any impact that the holiday P&amp;L results may have on Apple stock would likely not happen until late January 2022, when the company reports fiscal Q1 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，财务业绩，尤其是短期业绩，并不总是与股价变动相关。事实上，假日损益结果可能对苹果股票产生的任何影响可能要到2022年1月下旬该公司报告第一财季收益时才会发生。</blockquote></p><p> For the immediate term, Apple investors should keep in mind that the stock’s&nbsp;seasonal patterns have been historically unfavorable&nbsp;around this time of the year. The chart below shows that AAPL has clearly underperformed in November through January. Will this time be any different? Only time will tell.</p><p><blockquote>就近期而言，苹果投资者应记住，该股的季节性模式在每年的这个时候历来都是不利的。下图显示，AAPL从11月到1月的表现明显不佳。这次会有什么不同吗？只有时间能证明一切。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4c72a2f9720f472ceba32b24f4a2a78\" tg-width=\"682\" tg-height=\"357\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: AAPL average monthly return since iPhone launch.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图3：自iPhone推出以来AAPL的平均月回报率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-holiday-season-starts-what-next\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-holiday-season-starts-what-next","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158390889","content_text":"The 2021 holiday shopping season has officially started. Here is what Apple investors should expect of the Cupertino company and its stock in the next few weeks.\nBlack Friday and Cyber Monday are behind us. With that, the 2021 holiday season in the US and parts of the world has officially begun. Consumer product and service companies like Apple are staring into the busiest weeks of sales in the year.\nFigure 1: Apple's iPhone, Apple Watch and Air Pods boxes.\nToday, the Apple Maven talks about what Apple stock investors should think about as the shopping season kicks into gear.\nApple to benefit from strong consumer\nAt the highest level possible, Apple is likely to benefit from a rising tide that lifts all boats in 2021. The chart below clearly shows that consumer spending in the US has not only recovered from the 2020 flash recession, but it has been “making up for lost time”. Spending trends have even accelerated slightly compared to the pre-pandemic period.\nFigure 2: Consumer spending in US.\nRegarding the holiday period, however, consumer product and service sales may look a bit atypical. Adobe has recently reported that Black Friday activity online dropped year-over-year for the first time ever. Online sales reached $8.9 billion, lower than 2020’s $9 billion.\nWithout context, these numbers may look concerning. But once again, there is nothing typical about this COVID-19 crisis. Black Friday likely suffered from (1) consumers buying earlier than usual, to avoid delayed deliveries in late November and December, and (2) supply chain constraints causing shortages and missed sales opportunities.\nApple could do better than average\nThe demand scenario described above is at least modestly optimistic, in my view, even if not without challenges on the supply side. Even so, I think that Apple has a good chance of performing better than average in the next few weeks.\nFor starters, the Cupertino company is one of the best in the world at managing inventory and supply chain. Consider, however, that CEO Tim Cook has already warned of an impact of $6 billion to revenues in the holiday quarter caused by the production and logistics bottlenecks.\nSecond, the demand for Apple’s products and services seems unshaken.I have discussed a few times that the iPhone, for example, is likely to have its best years of sales ever in fiscal 2021 and 2022. Not even the tough comps introduced by the first 5G-capable model will likely be enough to steal the thunder of a well-received iPhone 13.\nBut how about AAPL stock?\nKeep in mind that financial performance, especially in the short term, does not always correlate with share price movements. In fact, any impact that the holiday P&L results may have on Apple stock would likely not happen until late January 2022, when the company reports fiscal Q1 earnings.\nFor the immediate term, Apple investors should keep in mind that the stock’s seasonal patterns have been historically unfavorable around this time of the year. The chart below shows that AAPL has clearly underperformed in November through January. Will this time be any different? Only time will tell.\nFigure 3: AAPL average monthly return since iPhone launch.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609078913,"gmtCreate":1638228504693,"gmtModify":1638228530036,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XELA\">$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$</a>uup","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XELA\">$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$</a>uup","text":"$Exela Technologies, 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>uup","text":"$Unity Software Inc.(U)$uup","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63fad82123b9f933910c4aacedf04f86","width":"1080","height":"3543"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600860468","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600860987,"gmtCreate":1638138027424,"gmtModify":1638138137236,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600860987","repostId":"2186432895","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":165273358,"gmtCreate":1624149388374,"gmtModify":1634010334122,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment 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me pls","listText":"Comment me pls","text":"Comment me pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":20,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168737806","repostId":"1180977741","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180977741","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623981539,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180977741?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: The Untold Truth<blockquote>Palantir：不为人知的真相</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180977741","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir is often criticized for its lofty valuation multiples, stagnating customer base an","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir is often criticized for its lofty valuation multiples, stagnating customer base and its bleak margin profile.</li>  <li>But the company is actually doing well in terms of customer growth, margin expansion and government order wins.</li>  <li>Investors with a long-term time horizon may want to accumulate its shares on potential price corrections.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6abc7f93f4c7e615f66dca20523d1c16\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1077\"><span>C Flanigan/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir经常因其高估值倍数、停滞的客户群和黯淡的利润率而受到批评。</li><li>但该公司实际上在客户增长、利润率扩张和赢得政府订单方面表现良好。</li><li>具有长期视野的投资者可能希望在潜在的价格调整时增持其股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>C·弗拉尼根/盖蒂图片社娱乐</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Palantir (PLTR) is lately being lambasted in various investing forums on speculative grounds such as how its growth momentum could fizzle out soon, how its margin profile is dragging the company down and that the stock doesn’t justify its price premium. But the company isn't as bad. On the contrary, the data analytics firm is performing well on several parameters – such as customer growth, government order wins and margin expansion – which should come as an encouraging sign for its long-side investors and dispel such speculative bearish narratives. Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir(PLTR)最近在各种投资论坛上因投机原因而受到严厉批评，例如其增长势头可能很快就会消失、其利润率状况如何拖累公司以及该股没有证明其溢价是合理的。但这家公司并没有那么糟糕。相反，这家数据分析公司在客户增长、政府订单赢得和利润率扩张等多个参数上表现良好，这对其多头投资者来说应该是一个令人鼓舞的迹象，并消除此类投机性看跌叙事。让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rapid Customer Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户快速增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Bears have been criticizing Palantir for its bespoke functionality ever since it went public. Its platforms involve customization for various workflows and customer needs, so bears feel the company faces difficulty in onboarding several customers at once and as a result, it’s bottlenecked and its growth momentum can fizzle out. While I respect contrasting opinions, fact of the matter here is that Palantir doesn’t seem to be struggling with customer adds.</p><p><blockquote>自Palantir上市以来，看空者一直批评其定制功能。其平台涉及针对各种工作流程和客户需求的定制，因此看空者认为该公司在同时吸引多个客户方面面临困难，因此，它遇到了瓶颈，其增长势头可能会消失。虽然我尊重不同的意见，但事实是Palantir似乎并没有在客户添加方面遇到困难。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s customer count increased by over 7% on a sequential basis in Q1 2021. Our database at Business Quant reveals that this pace of growth is actually higher than that reported by some of the other renowned names in the software application and infrastructure industries. This immediately dispels the narrative that Palantir faces difficulty in scaling customer relationships due to its bespoke features, whenit's performing better than peers in this regard.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度，该公司的客户数量环比增长超过7%。我们在Business Quant的数据库显示，这一增长速度实际上高于软件应用和基础设施行业的其他一些知名公司报告的增长速度。这立即消除了Palantir因其定制功能而在扩大客户关系方面面临困难的说法，尽管它在这方面的表现优于同行。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37577e60466b8a980efd8bee77b02711\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company’s elevated pace of customer additions shouldn’t come as a surprise to my readers. I’ve explained in my prior articles how the company is undertaking a slew of measures – such as adopting a customer-friendly&nbsp;payment model, ramping up its&nbsp;sales function&nbsp;and introducing&nbsp;free trials&nbsp;for major enterprises – to expand its customer base. These initiatives were announced only a few months ago, and will continue for the rest of FY21, so I expect Palantir to continue adding customers at a rapid rate in near future as well.</p><p><blockquote>我的读者不应该对该公司增加客户的速度感到惊讶。我在之前的文章中解释了该公司如何采取一系列措施来扩大客户群，例如采用客户友好的支付模式、增强销售功能以及为主要企业引入免费试用。这些举措是几个月前才宣布的，并将持续到2021财年的剩余时间，因此我预计Palantir在不久的将来也会继续快速增加客户。</blockquote></p><p> Having said that, there’s no denying that Palantir’s customer base isn’t as sizable as some of its peers, but that’s also where its growth opportunity lies. It suggests that Palantir is yet to penetrate its target market in a big way and that its lower base effect makes it easier for the company to continue expanding its customer base at elevated rates.</p><p><blockquote>话虽如此，不可否认的是，Palantir的客户群不如一些同行那么大，但这也是其增长机会所在。这表明Palantir尚未大规模渗透其目标市场，其较低的基数效应使该公司更容易继续高速扩大其客户群。</blockquote></p><p> There are broadly four takeaways here, which, by the way, the bears seem to discount time and again. These are:</p><p><blockquote>这里大致有四个要点，顺便说一句，空头似乎一次又一次地打折。这些是：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir's target market isn't saturated yet and it can still find new customers with ease,</li>  <li>These new customers are bound to lift the company’s revenue higher in 2021 by a varied magnitude, depending on their contract value,</li>  <li>If these are recurring contracts, then that’s going to boost Palantir’s future revenue projections and guidance,</li>  <li>If these new customers eventually ramp up their spend, then that's also going to boost Palantir’s future cash flows.</li> </ul> Regarding the last bullet, it's worth noting that Palantir’s top 20 customers, in general, have significantly ramped up their spending on the company’s data analytics platforms in each of the last 10 years. This new batch of customers, and any future customer additions, could also go through this spending expansion phase in the subsequent years and gradually boost Palantir’s revenue along the way. So, we must give due importance to its rapid pace of customer adds and not take it lightly.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir的目标市场尚未饱和，仍然可以轻松找到新客户，</li><li>这些新客户势必会在2021年以不同幅度提升公司的收入，具体取决于其合同价值，</li><li>如果这些是经常性合同，那么这将提高Palantir未来的收入预测和指导，</li><li>如果这些新客户最终增加支出，那么这也将增加Palantir未来的现金流。</li></ul>关于最后一个要点，值得注意的是，Palantir的前20名客户总体上在过去10年中每年都大幅增加了在该公司数据分析平台上的支出。这批新客户以及任何未来新增的客户也可能在随后几年经历这一支出扩张阶段，并在此过程中逐渐增加Palantir的收入。因此，我们必须对其快速的客户增长给予应有的重视，而不是掉以轻心。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4923a1dd5cc6af812c6dd7b8335f878\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"426\"><span>(Source: BusinessQuant.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：BusinessQuant.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Margin Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利润扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> Another issue with assessing Palantir’s growth prospects is that the company isn’t profitable yet. While some feel the stock will remain subdued due to its weak margin profile, others feel it can collapse down to single digits. The frustration is understandable given the company posted a net loss of $0.07 per share in its most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>评估Palantir增长前景的另一个问题是该公司尚未盈利。虽然一些人认为该股由于利润率疲弱而将保持低迷，但另一些人则认为该股可能会跌至个位数。鉴于该公司最近一个季度每股净亏损0.07美元，这种沮丧是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/facd3a7bf5326c841c6f0e79d392d160\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"125\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：寻求阿尔法）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But I wanted to see for myself if Palantir’s margin profile was actually as hopeless as many believe it to be. So, I compiled the margin profiles for about 90 software infrastructure stocks listed on US bourses. There's no denying that the company's net profit margin is in the red. But what's surprising here is that Palantir had actually posted one of the highest sequential net margin expansions in Q1, in its peer group. To the best of my knowledge, this aspect of Palantir’s business hasn’t been discussed on any investing forum.</p><p><blockquote>但我想亲眼看看Palantir的利润率是否真的像许多人认为的那样无望。因此，我编制了在美国证券交易所上市的约90只软件基础设施股票的保证金概况。不可否认，该公司的净利润率是亏损的。但令人惊讶的是，Palantir实际上是同行中第一季度净利润增长率最高的公司之一。据我所知，Palantir业务的这一方面尚未在任何投资论坛上讨论过。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25614333f421bbcdaf90b43a6ed8e011\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"552\"><span>(Source: BusinessQuant.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：BusinessQuant.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company may not have been profitable so far, but that doesn’t mean it will remain unprofitable in the future as well. If its recent pace of margin expansion continues in the next several quarters, the company could become profitable in the next 2 to 3 years without sacrificing on its growth momentum. So, let’s give credit where it’s due. The community of professional analysts also shares this line of thought and projects Palantir's margin profile to materially improve going forward.</p><p><blockquote>该公司到目前为止可能尚未盈利，但这并不意味着它未来也将保持无利可图。如果其最近的利润率扩张步伐在未来几个季度继续下去，该公司可能会在未来2到3年内实现盈利，而不会牺牲其增长势头。所以，让我们给予应有的信任。专业分析师社区也认同这一想法，并预计Palantir的利润率状况未来将大幅改善。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b0017c547d56295730e8f7f4124935d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\"><span>(Source:MarketScreener)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：MarketScreener）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Besides, with public shareholding involved now, its management is likely to be under constant pressure to deliver breakneck revenue growth rates, and/or achieve profitability in the near future, or risk being voted out of their positions. This pressure may not have been as intense prior to its direct listing, when fewer shareholders were involved. So, overall, I don’t think Palantir’s margin profile is hopeless as many believe it to be, and I expect the company to become profitable by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于现在涉及公众持股，其管理层可能会面临持续的压力，以实现惊人的收入增长率，和/或在不久的将来实现盈利，否则将面临被投票罢免的风险。这种压力可能没有直接上市前那么大，当时参与的股东较少。因此，总体而言，我不认为Palantir的利润率状况像许多人认为的那样毫无希望，我预计该公司将在2024年实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Government Contract Wins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>赢得政府合同</b></blockquote></p><p> Moving on, Palantir has been doing extremely well when it comes to securing government contracts. B2G contracts are generally tough to win – given the extensive qualification criteria, long turnaround times and heightened competition – but Palantir seems to have the figured out recipe for success on the government side of its business. For the uninitiated, its revenue from government contracts rose 76% year over year, accounted for about 61% of the company's overall revenue, in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Palantir在获得政府合同方面做得非常好。考虑到广泛的资格标准、较长的周转时间和激烈的竞争，B2G合同通常很难赢得，但Palantir似乎已经找到了在政府业务方面取得成功的秘诀。对于外行人来说，第一季度其政府合同收入同比增长76%，约占公司总收入的61%。</blockquote></p><p> Unless the company botches up somewhere, these government agencies are likely going to internally recommend it for varied applications. They won’t have to qualify Palantir time and again for several criteria which could drive these internal cross-agency referrals in a speedy manner and these agencies might even ramp up their spending in pre-existing contracts. So, Palantir just needs to rinse-and-repeat its B2G (Business-to-Government) strategy, and its government revenue could continue growing rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>除非公司在某个地方搞砸了，否则这些政府机构很可能会在内部推荐它用于各种应用。他们不必一次又一次地对Palantir进行资格认证，这些标准可能会迅速推动这些内部跨机构推荐，这些机构甚至可能会增加在现有合同上的支出。因此，Palantir只需要冲洗并重复其B2G（企业对政府）战略，其政府收入就可以继续快速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has also made steady progress with regards to its government business so far in Q2. Its Q2 is still ongoing, but at the time of this writing, the company has over $36 million worth of new current action obligations from government deals, agreements and contracts, most of which haven’t made the headlines. For the uninitiated, a new deal could be an addition to pre-existing deal, expand the scope of previously agreed upon deliverables, it could be entirely new in nature, have varied execution periods that span from months to years and/or also have a recurring revenue stream attached to it.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，Palantir在第二季度的政府业务方面也取得了稳步进展。其第二季度仍在进行中，但在撰写本文时，该公司从政府交易、协议和合同中承担了价值超过3600万美元的新当前行动义务，其中大部分尚未成为头条新闻。对于门外汉来说，新交易可能是对现有交易的补充，扩大了先前商定的可交付成果的范围，它可能是全新的，具有从几个月到几年的不同执行期和/或还具有附加的经常性收入流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/091203d7b476076ff008ca0c3b0f6ad2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>(Source: BusinessQuant.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：BusinessQuant.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So, while there are several variables that prevent us from reliably estimating the near-term revenue impact from these deals, Palantir’s shareholders with a long-term time horizon should feel reassured that their company continues to make steady progress towards growing its government business.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然有几个变量阻止我们可靠地估计这些交易的近期收入影响，但Palantir的长期股东应该感到放心，他们的公司在发展政府业务方面继续取得稳步进展。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir’s shares are currently trading at about 43-times its trailing twelve-month sales which is, undeniably, high by conventional standards.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的股价目前约为过去12个月销售额的43倍，不可否认，按照传统标准，这一数字很高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40584e7d2ca5458e8609338887f80e2f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>(Source: BusinessQuant.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：BusinessQuant.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, its rich valuations alone shouldn't be the basis of a bear thesis. Palantir's valuation multiples may be high, but note from the chart above thatits revenue growth rate in Q1 was also higher than most of its peers.</p><p><blockquote>然而，其丰厚的估值本身不应成为熊市论点的基础。Palantir的估值倍数可能很高，但从上图中可以看出，其第一季度的收入增长率也高于大多数同行。</blockquote></p><p> So, I believe the price premium is justified by the company’s rapid pace of revenue growth (illustrated in the chart above), its qualitative growth catalysts discussed in this article and its relatively secure government revenue stream.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我认为该公司的快速收入增长（如上图所示）、本文讨论的定性增长催化剂以及相对安全的政府收入流证明了溢价是合理的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Keeping these factors in mind, investors with a multi-year time horizon may want to increase exposure to Palantir on potential price corrections. The stock is likely to reach new highs as its growth catalysts eventually materialize, and as the company approaches profitability, in the next 2 to 3 years. Good Luck!</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这些因素，具有多年时间范围的投资者可能希望在潜在价格调整时增加对Palantir的投资。随着其增长催化剂最终实现以及公司接近盈利，该股可能会在未来2到3年内创下新高。祝你好运！</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: The Untold Truth<blockquote>Palantir：不为人知的真相</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: The Untold Truth<blockquote>Palantir：不为人知的真相</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir is often criticized for its lofty valuation multiples, stagnating customer base and its bleak margin profile.</li>  <li>But the company is actually doing well in terms of customer growth, margin expansion and government order wins.</li>  <li>Investors with a long-term time horizon may want to accumulate its shares on potential price corrections.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6abc7f93f4c7e615f66dca20523d1c16\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1077\"><span>C Flanigan/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir经常因其高估值倍数、停滞的客户群和黯淡的利润率而受到批评。</li><li>但该公司实际上在客户增长、利润率扩张和赢得政府订单方面表现良好。</li><li>具有长期视野的投资者可能希望在潜在的价格调整时增持其股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>C·弗拉尼根/盖蒂图片社娱乐</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Palantir (PLTR) is lately being lambasted in various investing forums on speculative grounds such as how its growth momentum could fizzle out soon, how its margin profile is dragging the company down and that the stock doesn’t justify its price premium. But the company isn't as bad. On the contrary, the data analytics firm is performing well on several parameters – such as customer growth, government order wins and margin expansion – which should come as an encouraging sign for its long-side investors and dispel such speculative bearish narratives. Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir(PLTR)最近在各种投资论坛上因投机原因而受到严厉批评，例如其增长势头可能很快就会消失、其利润率状况如何拖累公司以及该股没有证明其溢价是合理的。但这家公司并没有那么糟糕。相反，这家数据分析公司在客户增长、政府订单赢得和利润率扩张等多个参数上表现良好，这对其多头投资者来说应该是一个令人鼓舞的迹象，并消除此类投机性看跌叙事。让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rapid Customer Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户快速增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Bears have been criticizing Palantir for its bespoke functionality ever since it went public. Its platforms involve customization for various workflows and customer needs, so bears feel the company faces difficulty in onboarding several customers at once and as a result, it’s bottlenecked and its growth momentum can fizzle out. While I respect contrasting opinions, fact of the matter here is that Palantir doesn’t seem to be struggling with customer adds.</p><p><blockquote>自Palantir上市以来，看空者一直批评其定制功能。其平台涉及针对各种工作流程和客户需求的定制，因此看空者认为该公司在同时吸引多个客户方面面临困难，因此，它遇到了瓶颈，其增长势头可能会消失。虽然我尊重不同的意见，但事实是Palantir似乎并没有在客户添加方面遇到困难。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s customer count increased by over 7% on a sequential basis in Q1 2021. Our database at Business Quant reveals that this pace of growth is actually higher than that reported by some of the other renowned names in the software application and infrastructure industries. This immediately dispels the narrative that Palantir faces difficulty in scaling customer relationships due to its bespoke features, whenit's performing better than peers in this regard.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度，该公司的客户数量环比增长超过7%。我们在Business Quant的数据库显示，这一增长速度实际上高于软件应用和基础设施行业的其他一些知名公司报告的增长速度。这立即消除了Palantir因其定制功能而在扩大客户关系方面面临困难的说法，尽管它在这方面的表现优于同行。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37577e60466b8a980efd8bee77b02711\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company’s elevated pace of customer additions shouldn’t come as a surprise to my readers. I’ve explained in my prior articles how the company is undertaking a slew of measures – such as adopting a customer-friendly&nbsp;payment model, ramping up its&nbsp;sales function&nbsp;and introducing&nbsp;free trials&nbsp;for major enterprises – to expand its customer base. These initiatives were announced only a few months ago, and will continue for the rest of FY21, so I expect Palantir to continue adding customers at a rapid rate in near future as well.</p><p><blockquote>我的读者不应该对该公司增加客户的速度感到惊讶。我在之前的文章中解释了该公司如何采取一系列措施来扩大客户群，例如采用客户友好的支付模式、增强销售功能以及为主要企业引入免费试用。这些举措是几个月前才宣布的，并将持续到2021财年的剩余时间，因此我预计Palantir在不久的将来也会继续快速增加客户。</blockquote></p><p> Having said that, there’s no denying that Palantir’s customer base isn’t as sizable as some of its peers, but that’s also where its growth opportunity lies. It suggests that Palantir is yet to penetrate its target market in a big way and that its lower base effect makes it easier for the company to continue expanding its customer base at elevated rates.</p><p><blockquote>话虽如此，不可否认的是，Palantir的客户群不如一些同行那么大，但这也是其增长机会所在。这表明Palantir尚未大规模渗透其目标市场，其较低的基数效应使该公司更容易继续高速扩大其客户群。</blockquote></p><p> There are broadly four takeaways here, which, by the way, the bears seem to discount time and again. These are:</p><p><blockquote>这里大致有四个要点，顺便说一句，空头似乎一次又一次地打折。这些是：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir's target market isn't saturated yet and it can still find new customers with ease,</li>  <li>These new customers are bound to lift the company’s revenue higher in 2021 by a varied magnitude, depending on their contract value,</li>  <li>If these are recurring contracts, then that’s going to boost Palantir’s future revenue projections and guidance,</li>  <li>If these new customers eventually ramp up their spend, then that's also going to boost Palantir’s future cash flows.</li> </ul> Regarding the last bullet, it's worth noting that Palantir’s top 20 customers, in general, have significantly ramped up their spending on the company’s data analytics platforms in each of the last 10 years. This new batch of customers, and any future customer additions, could also go through this spending expansion phase in the subsequent years and gradually boost Palantir’s revenue along the way. So, we must give due importance to its rapid pace of customer adds and not take it lightly.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir的目标市场尚未饱和，仍然可以轻松找到新客户，</li><li>这些新客户势必会在2021年以不同幅度提升公司的收入，具体取决于其合同价值，</li><li>如果这些是经常性合同，那么这将提高Palantir未来的收入预测和指导，</li><li>如果这些新客户最终增加支出，那么这也将增加Palantir未来的现金流。</li></ul>关于最后一个要点，值得注意的是，Palantir的前20名客户总体上在过去10年中每年都大幅增加了在该公司数据分析平台上的支出。这批新客户以及任何未来新增的客户也可能在随后几年经历这一支出扩张阶段，并在此过程中逐渐增加Palantir的收入。因此，我们必须对其快速的客户增长给予应有的重视，而不是掉以轻心。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4923a1dd5cc6af812c6dd7b8335f878\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"426\"><span>(Source: BusinessQuant.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：BusinessQuant.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Margin Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利润扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> Another issue with assessing Palantir’s growth prospects is that the company isn’t profitable yet. While some feel the stock will remain subdued due to its weak margin profile, others feel it can collapse down to single digits. The frustration is understandable given the company posted a net loss of $0.07 per share in its most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>评估Palantir增长前景的另一个问题是该公司尚未盈利。虽然一些人认为该股由于利润率疲弱而将保持低迷，但另一些人则认为该股可能会跌至个位数。鉴于该公司最近一个季度每股净亏损0.07美元，这种沮丧是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/facd3a7bf5326c841c6f0e79d392d160\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"125\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：寻求阿尔法）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But I wanted to see for myself if Palantir’s margin profile was actually as hopeless as many believe it to be. So, I compiled the margin profiles for about 90 software infrastructure stocks listed on US bourses. There's no denying that the company's net profit margin is in the red. But what's surprising here is that Palantir had actually posted one of the highest sequential net margin expansions in Q1, in its peer group. To the best of my knowledge, this aspect of Palantir’s business hasn’t been discussed on any investing forum.</p><p><blockquote>但我想亲眼看看Palantir的利润率是否真的像许多人认为的那样无望。因此，我编制了在美国证券交易所上市的约90只软件基础设施股票的保证金概况。不可否认，该公司的净利润率是亏损的。但令人惊讶的是，Palantir实际上是同行中第一季度净利润增长率最高的公司之一。据我所知，Palantir业务的这一方面尚未在任何投资论坛上讨论过。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25614333f421bbcdaf90b43a6ed8e011\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"552\"><span>(Source: BusinessQuant.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：BusinessQuant.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company may not have been profitable so far, but that doesn’t mean it will remain unprofitable in the future as well. If its recent pace of margin expansion continues in the next several quarters, the company could become profitable in the next 2 to 3 years without sacrificing on its growth momentum. So, let’s give credit where it’s due. The community of professional analysts also shares this line of thought and projects Palantir's margin profile to materially improve going forward.</p><p><blockquote>该公司到目前为止可能尚未盈利，但这并不意味着它未来也将保持无利可图。如果其最近的利润率扩张步伐在未来几个季度继续下去，该公司可能会在未来2到3年内实现盈利，而不会牺牲其增长势头。所以，让我们给予应有的信任。专业分析师社区也认同这一想法，并预计Palantir的利润率状况未来将大幅改善。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b0017c547d56295730e8f7f4124935d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\"><span>(Source:MarketScreener)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：MarketScreener）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Besides, with public shareholding involved now, its management is likely to be under constant pressure to deliver breakneck revenue growth rates, and/or achieve profitability in the near future, or risk being voted out of their positions. This pressure may not have been as intense prior to its direct listing, when fewer shareholders were involved. So, overall, I don’t think Palantir’s margin profile is hopeless as many believe it to be, and I expect the company to become profitable by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于现在涉及公众持股，其管理层可能会面临持续的压力，以实现惊人的收入增长率，和/或在不久的将来实现盈利，否则将面临被投票罢免的风险。这种压力可能没有直接上市前那么大，当时参与的股东较少。因此，总体而言，我不认为Palantir的利润率状况像许多人认为的那样毫无希望，我预计该公司将在2024年实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Government Contract Wins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>赢得政府合同</b></blockquote></p><p> Moving on, Palantir has been doing extremely well when it comes to securing government contracts. B2G contracts are generally tough to win – given the extensive qualification criteria, long turnaround times and heightened competition – but Palantir seems to have the figured out recipe for success on the government side of its business. For the uninitiated, its revenue from government contracts rose 76% year over year, accounted for about 61% of the company's overall revenue, in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Palantir在获得政府合同方面做得非常好。考虑到广泛的资格标准、较长的周转时间和激烈的竞争，B2G合同通常很难赢得，但Palantir似乎已经找到了在政府业务方面取得成功的秘诀。对于外行人来说，第一季度其政府合同收入同比增长76%，约占公司总收入的61%。</blockquote></p><p> Unless the company botches up somewhere, these government agencies are likely going to internally recommend it for varied applications. They won’t have to qualify Palantir time and again for several criteria which could drive these internal cross-agency referrals in a speedy manner and these agencies might even ramp up their spending in pre-existing contracts. So, Palantir just needs to rinse-and-repeat its B2G (Business-to-Government) strategy, and its government revenue could continue growing rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>除非公司在某个地方搞砸了，否则这些政府机构很可能会在内部推荐它用于各种应用。他们不必一次又一次地对Palantir进行资格认证，这些标准可能会迅速推动这些内部跨机构推荐，这些机构甚至可能会增加在现有合同上的支出。因此，Palantir只需要冲洗并重复其B2G（企业对政府）战略，其政府收入就可以继续快速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has also made steady progress with regards to its government business so far in Q2. Its Q2 is still ongoing, but at the time of this writing, the company has over $36 million worth of new current action obligations from government deals, agreements and contracts, most of which haven’t made the headlines. For the uninitiated, a new deal could be an addition to pre-existing deal, expand the scope of previously agreed upon deliverables, it could be entirely new in nature, have varied execution periods that span from months to years and/or also have a recurring revenue stream attached to it.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，Palantir在第二季度的政府业务方面也取得了稳步进展。其第二季度仍在进行中，但在撰写本文时，该公司从政府交易、协议和合同中承担了价值超过3600万美元的新当前行动义务，其中大部分尚未成为头条新闻。对于门外汉来说，新交易可能是对现有交易的补充，扩大了先前商定的可交付成果的范围，它可能是全新的，具有从几个月到几年的不同执行期和/或还具有附加的经常性收入流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/091203d7b476076ff008ca0c3b0f6ad2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>(Source: BusinessQuant.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：BusinessQuant.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So, while there are several variables that prevent us from reliably estimating the near-term revenue impact from these deals, Palantir’s shareholders with a long-term time horizon should feel reassured that their company continues to make steady progress towards growing its government business.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然有几个变量阻止我们可靠地估计这些交易的近期收入影响，但Palantir的长期股东应该感到放心，他们的公司在发展政府业务方面继续取得稳步进展。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir’s shares are currently trading at about 43-times its trailing twelve-month sales which is, undeniably, high by conventional standards.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的股价目前约为过去12个月销售额的43倍，不可否认，按照传统标准，这一数字很高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40584e7d2ca5458e8609338887f80e2f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>(Source: BusinessQuant.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：BusinessQuant.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, its rich valuations alone shouldn't be the basis of a bear thesis. Palantir's valuation multiples may be high, but note from the chart above thatits revenue growth rate in Q1 was also higher than most of its peers.</p><p><blockquote>然而，其丰厚的估值本身不应成为熊市论点的基础。Palantir的估值倍数可能很高，但从上图中可以看出，其第一季度的收入增长率也高于大多数同行。</blockquote></p><p> So, I believe the price premium is justified by the company’s rapid pace of revenue growth (illustrated in the chart above), its qualitative growth catalysts discussed in this article and its relatively secure government revenue stream.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我认为该公司的快速收入增长（如上图所示）、本文讨论的定性增长催化剂以及相对安全的政府收入流证明了溢价是合理的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Keeping these factors in mind, investors with a multi-year time horizon may want to increase exposure to Palantir on potential price corrections. The stock is likely to reach new highs as its growth catalysts eventually materialize, and as the company approaches profitability, in the next 2 to 3 years. Good Luck!</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这些因素，具有多年时间范围的投资者可能希望在潜在价格调整时增加对Palantir的投资。随着其增长催化剂最终实现以及公司接近盈利，该股可能会在未来2到3年内创下新高。祝你好运！</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435125-palantir-the-untold-truth\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435125-palantir-the-untold-truth","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180977741","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir is often criticized for its lofty valuation multiples, stagnating customer base and its bleak margin profile.\nBut the company is actually doing well in terms of customer growth, margin expansion and government order wins.\nInvestors with a long-term time horizon may want to accumulate its shares on potential price corrections.\n\nC Flanigan/Getty Images Entertainment\nPalantir (PLTR) is lately being lambasted in various investing forums on speculative grounds such as how its growth momentum could fizzle out soon, how its margin profile is dragging the company down and that the stock doesn’t justify its price premium. But the company isn't as bad. On the contrary, the data analytics firm is performing well on several parameters – such as customer growth, government order wins and margin expansion – which should come as an encouraging sign for its long-side investors and dispel such speculative bearish narratives. Let's take a closer look.\nRapid Customer Growth\nBears have been criticizing Palantir for its bespoke functionality ever since it went public. Its platforms involve customization for various workflows and customer needs, so bears feel the company faces difficulty in onboarding several customers at once and as a result, it’s bottlenecked and its growth momentum can fizzle out. While I respect contrasting opinions, fact of the matter here is that Palantir doesn’t seem to be struggling with customer adds.\nThe company’s customer count increased by over 7% on a sequential basis in Q1 2021. Our database at Business Quant reveals that this pace of growth is actually higher than that reported by some of the other renowned names in the software application and infrastructure industries. This immediately dispels the narrative that Palantir faces difficulty in scaling customer relationships due to its bespoke features, whenit's performing better than peers in this regard.\n\nThe company’s elevated pace of customer additions shouldn’t come as a surprise to my readers. I’ve explained in my prior articles how the company is undertaking a slew of measures – such as adopting a customer-friendly payment model, ramping up its sales function and introducing free trials for major enterprises – to expand its customer base. These initiatives were announced only a few months ago, and will continue for the rest of FY21, so I expect Palantir to continue adding customers at a rapid rate in near future as well.\nHaving said that, there’s no denying that Palantir’s customer base isn’t as sizable as some of its peers, but that’s also where its growth opportunity lies. It suggests that Palantir is yet to penetrate its target market in a big way and that its lower base effect makes it easier for the company to continue expanding its customer base at elevated rates.\nThere are broadly four takeaways here, which, by the way, the bears seem to discount time and again. These are:\n\nPalantir's target market isn't saturated yet and it can still find new customers with ease,\nThese new customers are bound to lift the company’s revenue higher in 2021 by a varied magnitude, depending on their contract value,\nIf these are recurring contracts, then that’s going to boost Palantir’s future revenue projections and guidance,\nIf these new customers eventually ramp up their spend, then that's also going to boost Palantir’s future cash flows.\n\nRegarding the last bullet, it's worth noting that Palantir’s top 20 customers, in general, have significantly ramped up their spending on the company’s data analytics platforms in each of the last 10 years. This new batch of customers, and any future customer additions, could also go through this spending expansion phase in the subsequent years and gradually boost Palantir’s revenue along the way. So, we must give due importance to its rapid pace of customer adds and not take it lightly.\n(Source: BusinessQuant.com)\nMargin Expansion\nAnother issue with assessing Palantir’s growth prospects is that the company isn’t profitable yet. While some feel the stock will remain subdued due to its weak margin profile, others feel it can collapse down to single digits. The frustration is understandable given the company posted a net loss of $0.07 per share in its most recent quarter.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nBut I wanted to see for myself if Palantir’s margin profile was actually as hopeless as many believe it to be. So, I compiled the margin profiles for about 90 software infrastructure stocks listed on US bourses. There's no denying that the company's net profit margin is in the red. But what's surprising here is that Palantir had actually posted one of the highest sequential net margin expansions in Q1, in its peer group. To the best of my knowledge, this aspect of Palantir’s business hasn’t been discussed on any investing forum.\n(Source: BusinessQuant.com)\nThe company may not have been profitable so far, but that doesn’t mean it will remain unprofitable in the future as well. If its recent pace of margin expansion continues in the next several quarters, the company could become profitable in the next 2 to 3 years without sacrificing on its growth momentum. So, let’s give credit where it’s due. The community of professional analysts also shares this line of thought and projects Palantir's margin profile to materially improve going forward.\n(Source:MarketScreener)\nBesides, with public shareholding involved now, its management is likely to be under constant pressure to deliver breakneck revenue growth rates, and/or achieve profitability in the near future, or risk being voted out of their positions. This pressure may not have been as intense prior to its direct listing, when fewer shareholders were involved. So, overall, I don’t think Palantir’s margin profile is hopeless as many believe it to be, and I expect the company to become profitable by 2024.\nGovernment Contract Wins\nMoving on, Palantir has been doing extremely well when it comes to securing government contracts. B2G contracts are generally tough to win – given the extensive qualification criteria, long turnaround times and heightened competition – but Palantir seems to have the figured out recipe for success on the government side of its business. For the uninitiated, its revenue from government contracts rose 76% year over year, accounted for about 61% of the company's overall revenue, in Q1.\nUnless the company botches up somewhere, these government agencies are likely going to internally recommend it for varied applications. They won’t have to qualify Palantir time and again for several criteria which could drive these internal cross-agency referrals in a speedy manner and these agencies might even ramp up their spending in pre-existing contracts. So, Palantir just needs to rinse-and-repeat its B2G (Business-to-Government) strategy, and its government revenue could continue growing rapidly.\nPalantir has also made steady progress with regards to its government business so far in Q2. Its Q2 is still ongoing, but at the time of this writing, the company has over $36 million worth of new current action obligations from government deals, agreements and contracts, most of which haven’t made the headlines. For the uninitiated, a new deal could be an addition to pre-existing deal, expand the scope of previously agreed upon deliverables, it could be entirely new in nature, have varied execution periods that span from months to years and/or also have a recurring revenue stream attached to it.\n(Source: BusinessQuant.com)\nSo, while there are several variables that prevent us from reliably estimating the near-term revenue impact from these deals, Palantir’s shareholders with a long-term time horizon should feel reassured that their company continues to make steady progress towards growing its government business.\nFinal Thoughts\nPalantir’s shares are currently trading at about 43-times its trailing twelve-month sales which is, undeniably, high by conventional standards.\n(Source: BusinessQuant.com)\nHowever, its rich valuations alone shouldn't be the basis of a bear thesis. Palantir's valuation multiples may be high, but note from the chart above thatits revenue growth rate in Q1 was also higher than most of its peers.\nSo, I believe the price premium is justified by the company’s rapid pace of revenue growth (illustrated in the chart above), its qualitative growth catalysts discussed in this article and its relatively secure government revenue stream.\nKeeping these factors in mind, investors with a multi-year time horizon may want to increase exposure to Palantir on potential price corrections. The stock is likely to reach new highs as its growth catalysts eventually materialize, and as the company approaches profitability, in the next 2 to 3 years. Good Luck!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191156406,"gmtCreate":1620865752005,"gmtModify":1634195798828,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment me pls","listText":"Comment me pls","text":"Comment me pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":22,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191156406","repostId":"1138978293","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138978293","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620865298,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138978293?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-13 08:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Taiwan Stock Crash Shows World Dangers of Too Much Leverage<blockquote>台湾股市崩盘向世界展示了杠杆过高的危险</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138978293","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Few things evoke fear in equity markets like a margin call. On Wednesday that fear tu","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Few things evoke fear in equity markets like a margin call. On Wednesday that fear turned into panic in Taiwan, offering another warning for the world on what can happen when leverage unwinds.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）--很少有事情像保证金看涨期权那样在股票市场引起恐惧。周三，这种担忧在台湾变成了恐慌，向世界发出了另一个警告，即当杠杆解除时会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p>The trading day started out quiet in Taipei’s $2 trillion stock bourse. But before the morning was over, the local benchmark index had plummeted almost 9% in the worst one-day performance in its 54-year history.</p><p><blockquote>这个交易日在台北价值2万亿美元的股票交易所开始时很平静。但上午结束前，当地基准指数暴跌近9%，创下54年历史上最糟糕的单日表现。</blockquote></p><p>There were reasons to sell. New data showed a worsening Covid-19 outbreak in an island where almost no one is vaccinated. A deepening slump in global tech shares also undermined the appeal of a market dominated by the industry. But the swiftness of the plunge that followed suggests bigger forces were at play.</p><p><blockquote>有理由出售。新数据显示，在一个几乎没有人接种疫苗的岛屿上，新冠肺炎疫情正在恶化。全球科技股的进一步暴跌也削弱了由该行业主导的市场的吸引力。但随后暴跌的速度表明，更大的力量在起作用。</blockquote></p><p>For months, bull market skeptics around the world have warned that surging leverage is making equity markets riskier -- and the blowup of Archegos Capital Management in March served as a reminder of that. Yet stocks have continued to rise, with the MSCI All-Country World Index closing at a record as recently as Friday. In the U.S., margin debt topped $822 billion by the end of March -- the latest available data. That’s up 72% year on year.</p><p><blockquote>几个月来，世界各地的牛市怀疑论者一直警告称，杠杆率飙升正在使股市风险更大，而Archegos Capital Management三月份的爆仓就提醒了这一点。然而，股市仍在继续上涨，摩根士丹利资本国际全球指数周五收盘创下历史新高。在美国，截至3月底，保证金债务超过8220亿美元——最新数据。同比增长72%。</blockquote></p><p>On a smaller scale, the same happened in Taiwan. Armed with conviction, and with history on their side, investors took on increasing amounts of leverage. The result was a 46% expansion in margin debt this year to about NT$274 billion ($9.8 billion) two weeks ago, the highest since 2011. By comparison, the Taiwan benchmark was up just 19% in that period, an indication that people were taking out loans faster than stocks were appreciating.</p><p><blockquote>在较小的范围内，同样的事情也发生在台湾。带着信念和历史的支持，投资者承担了越来越多的杠杆。结果是，两周前，保证金债务今年扩大了46%，达到约2740亿新台币（合98亿美元），为2011年以来的最高水平。相比之下，台湾基准指数在此期间仅上涨了19%，这表明人们贷款的速度快于股票升值的速度。</blockquote></p><p>Local investors had little reason to fear losses. Taiwan’s economy became one of the biggest winners from U.S.-China rivalry. Its chipmakers flourished as Washington sought to hobble Beijing’s efforts to build a domestic chip industry. During President Donald Trump’s four-year term, the Taiex benchmark became the world’s best performing stock gauge, gaining more than 90% in U.S. dollar terms.</p><p><blockquote>当地投资者没有理由担心损失。台湾经济成为中美竞争的最大赢家之一。随着华盛顿试图阻碍北京建立国内芯片产业的努力，其芯片制造商蓬勃发展。在唐纳德·特朗普总统的四年任期内，Taiex基准成为全球表现最好的股票指标，以美元计算上涨了90%以上。</blockquote></p><p>Gains extended this year as the pandemic created a shortage of chips, with the index rising for seven straight months through April.</p><p><blockquote>由于疫情造成芯片短缺，今年涨幅扩大，截至4月份，该指数连续七个月上涨。</blockquote></p><p>The euphoria began to unravel this week as the threat of inflation sank the Nasdaq, with tech stocks around the world following suit. As the Taiex slid 3.8% on Tuesday in Taiwan, the level of margin debt fell by NT$12.6 billion, the most since October 2018. That suggests traders faced margin calls by brokers to cover losses in their stock accounts.</p><p><blockquote>随着通胀威胁导致纳斯达克下跌，这种兴奋情绪本周开始瓦解，全球科技股纷纷效仿。随着台湾Taiex周二下跌3.8%，保证金债务水平下降了126亿新台币，为2018年10月以来最大。这表明交易员面临经纪商的保证金评级，以弥补其股票账户的损失。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday’s record rout is likely to have spurred a bigger unwinding of leverage. (Comparatives are skewed by the widening of daily price limits for individual stocks in 2015.)</p><p><blockquote>周三创纪录的暴跌可能会刺激更大规模的杠杆放松。（2015年个股每日涨跌幅限制的扩大导致比较结果出现偏差。）</blockquote></p><p>“Margin trading boosted the Taiex over the past few months, which may add to declines if they face margin calls,” said MasterLink Securities Investment Advisory President Paul Cheng.</p><p><blockquote>万事达证券投资咨询总裁Paul Cheng表示：“过去几个月，保证金交易提振了Taiex，如果面临保证金评级，这可能会加剧跌幅。”</blockquote></p><p>The fear of further losses was evident in a stock market where individual investors account for about 60% of transactions. The derivatives market burst with activity: more than 1.75 million options tracking the Taiex changed hands on Wednesday, the third-busiest day since 2016. Traders snapped up bearish contracts even as dozens of short-term options expired, with the price of one put surging as much as 7,757%.</p><p><blockquote>在个人投资者约占交易量60%的股市中，对进一步损失的担忧显而易见。衍生品市场活跃：周三，超过175万份追踪Taiex的期权易手，这是自2016年以来第三繁忙的一天。尽管数十份短期期权到期，交易员仍抢购看跌合约，其中一份看跌期权价格飙升高达7,757%。</blockquote></p><p>KGI Securities’ trader Kevin Lee, who has been a local stocks trader for a decade, said clients started to panic as the morning wore on.</p><p><blockquote>凯基证券(KGI Securities)交易员凯文·李(Kevin Lee)在当地做了十年股票交易员，他表示，随着时间的推移，客户开始恐慌。</blockquote></p><p>“There were non-stop orders coming in,” Lee said. “Investors were crazy as there were lots of news during trading hours and we didn’t know if they were true or not.”</p><p><blockquote>“不断有订单进来，”李说。“投资者很疯狂，因为交易时间有很多消息，我们不知道它们是真是假。”</blockquote></p><p>By the end of the day, the index had pared its losses to 4.1%. But the damage to investor confidence was already done.</p><p><blockquote>截至当天收盘，该指数已将跌幅收窄至4.1%。但对投资者信心的损害已经造成。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taiwan Stock Crash Shows World Dangers of Too Much Leverage<blockquote>台湾股市崩盘向世界展示了杠杆过高的危险</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaiwan Stock Crash Shows World Dangers of Too Much Leverage<blockquote>台湾股市崩盘向世界展示了杠杆过高的危险</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-13 08:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Few things evoke fear in equity markets like a margin call. On Wednesday that fear turned into panic in Taiwan, offering another warning for the world on what can happen when leverage unwinds.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）--很少有事情像保证金看涨期权那样在股票市场引起恐惧。周三，这种担忧在台湾变成了恐慌，向世界发出了另一个警告，即当杠杆解除时会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p>The trading day started out quiet in Taipei’s $2 trillion stock bourse. But before the morning was over, the local benchmark index had plummeted almost 9% in the worst one-day performance in its 54-year history.</p><p><blockquote>这个交易日在台北价值2万亿美元的股票交易所开始时很平静。但上午结束前，当地基准指数暴跌近9%，创下54年历史上最糟糕的单日表现。</blockquote></p><p>There were reasons to sell. New data showed a worsening Covid-19 outbreak in an island where almost no one is vaccinated. A deepening slump in global tech shares also undermined the appeal of a market dominated by the industry. But the swiftness of the plunge that followed suggests bigger forces were at play.</p><p><blockquote>有理由出售。新数据显示，在一个几乎没有人接种疫苗的岛屿上，新冠肺炎疫情正在恶化。全球科技股的进一步暴跌也削弱了由该行业主导的市场的吸引力。但随后暴跌的速度表明，更大的力量在起作用。</blockquote></p><p>For months, bull market skeptics around the world have warned that surging leverage is making equity markets riskier -- and the blowup of Archegos Capital Management in March served as a reminder of that. Yet stocks have continued to rise, with the MSCI All-Country World Index closing at a record as recently as Friday. In the U.S., margin debt topped $822 billion by the end of March -- the latest available data. That’s up 72% year on year.</p><p><blockquote>几个月来，世界各地的牛市怀疑论者一直警告称，杠杆率飙升正在使股市风险更大，而Archegos Capital Management三月份的爆仓就提醒了这一点。然而，股市仍在继续上涨，摩根士丹利资本国际全球指数周五收盘创下历史新高。在美国，截至3月底，保证金债务超过8220亿美元——最新数据。同比增长72%。</blockquote></p><p>On a smaller scale, the same happened in Taiwan. Armed with conviction, and with history on their side, investors took on increasing amounts of leverage. The result was a 46% expansion in margin debt this year to about NT$274 billion ($9.8 billion) two weeks ago, the highest since 2011. By comparison, the Taiwan benchmark was up just 19% in that period, an indication that people were taking out loans faster than stocks were appreciating.</p><p><blockquote>在较小的范围内，同样的事情也发生在台湾。带着信念和历史的支持，投资者承担了越来越多的杠杆。结果是，两周前，保证金债务今年扩大了46%，达到约2740亿新台币（合98亿美元），为2011年以来的最高水平。相比之下，台湾基准指数在此期间仅上涨了19%，这表明人们贷款的速度快于股票升值的速度。</blockquote></p><p>Local investors had little reason to fear losses. Taiwan’s economy became one of the biggest winners from U.S.-China rivalry. Its chipmakers flourished as Washington sought to hobble Beijing’s efforts to build a domestic chip industry. During President Donald Trump’s four-year term, the Taiex benchmark became the world’s best performing stock gauge, gaining more than 90% in U.S. dollar terms.</p><p><blockquote>当地投资者没有理由担心损失。台湾经济成为中美竞争的最大赢家之一。随着华盛顿试图阻碍北京建立国内芯片产业的努力，其芯片制造商蓬勃发展。在唐纳德·特朗普总统的四年任期内，Taiex基准成为全球表现最好的股票指标，以美元计算上涨了90%以上。</blockquote></p><p>Gains extended this year as the pandemic created a shortage of chips, with the index rising for seven straight months through April.</p><p><blockquote>由于疫情造成芯片短缺，今年涨幅扩大，截至4月份，该指数连续七个月上涨。</blockquote></p><p>The euphoria began to unravel this week as the threat of inflation sank the Nasdaq, with tech stocks around the world following suit. As the Taiex slid 3.8% on Tuesday in Taiwan, the level of margin debt fell by NT$12.6 billion, the most since October 2018. That suggests traders faced margin calls by brokers to cover losses in their stock accounts.</p><p><blockquote>随着通胀威胁导致纳斯达克下跌，这种兴奋情绪本周开始瓦解，全球科技股纷纷效仿。随着台湾Taiex周二下跌3.8%，保证金债务水平下降了126亿新台币，为2018年10月以来最大。这表明交易员面临经纪商的保证金评级，以弥补其股票账户的损失。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday’s record rout is likely to have spurred a bigger unwinding of leverage. (Comparatives are skewed by the widening of daily price limits for individual stocks in 2015.)</p><p><blockquote>周三创纪录的暴跌可能会刺激更大规模的杠杆放松。（2015年个股每日涨跌幅限制的扩大导致比较结果出现偏差。）</blockquote></p><p>“Margin trading boosted the Taiex over the past few months, which may add to declines if they face margin calls,” said MasterLink Securities Investment Advisory President Paul Cheng.</p><p><blockquote>万事达证券投资咨询总裁Paul Cheng表示：“过去几个月，保证金交易提振了Taiex，如果面临保证金评级，这可能会加剧跌幅。”</blockquote></p><p>The fear of further losses was evident in a stock market where individual investors account for about 60% of transactions. The derivatives market burst with activity: more than 1.75 million options tracking the Taiex changed hands on Wednesday, the third-busiest day since 2016. Traders snapped up bearish contracts even as dozens of short-term options expired, with the price of one put surging as much as 7,757%.</p><p><blockquote>在个人投资者约占交易量60%的股市中，对进一步损失的担忧显而易见。衍生品市场活跃：周三，超过175万份追踪Taiex的期权易手，这是自2016年以来第三繁忙的一天。尽管数十份短期期权到期，交易员仍抢购看跌合约，其中一份看跌期权价格飙升高达7,757%。</blockquote></p><p>KGI Securities’ trader Kevin Lee, who has been a local stocks trader for a decade, said clients started to panic as the morning wore on.</p><p><blockquote>凯基证券(KGI Securities)交易员凯文·李(Kevin Lee)在当地做了十年股票交易员，他表示，随着时间的推移，客户开始恐慌。</blockquote></p><p>“There were non-stop orders coming in,” Lee said. “Investors were crazy as there were lots of news during trading hours and we didn’t know if they were true or not.”</p><p><blockquote>“不断有订单进来，”李说。“投资者很疯狂，因为交易时间有很多消息，我们不知道它们是真是假。”</blockquote></p><p>By the end of the day, the index had pared its losses to 4.1%. But the damage to investor confidence was already done.</p><p><blockquote>截至当天收盘，该指数已将跌幅收窄至4.1%。但对投资者信心的损害已经造成。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/taiwan-stock-crash-fueled-forced-050056677.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/taiwan-stock-crash-fueled-forced-050056677.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138978293","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Few things evoke fear in equity markets like a margin call. On Wednesday that fear turned into panic in Taiwan, offering another warning for the world on what can happen when leverage unwinds.The trading day started out quiet in Taipei’s $2 trillion stock bourse. But before the morning was over, the local benchmark index had plummeted almost 9% in the worst one-day performance in its 54-year history.There were reasons to sell. New data showed a worsening Covid-19 outbreak in an island where almost no one is vaccinated. A deepening slump in global tech shares also undermined the appeal of a market dominated by the industry. But the swiftness of the plunge that followed suggests bigger forces were at play.For months, bull market skeptics around the world have warned that surging leverage is making equity markets riskier -- and the blowup of Archegos Capital Management in March served as a reminder of that. Yet stocks have continued to rise, with the MSCI All-Country World Index closing at a record as recently as Friday. In the U.S., margin debt topped $822 billion by the end of March -- the latest available data. That’s up 72% year on year.On a smaller scale, the same happened in Taiwan. Armed with conviction, and with history on their side, investors took on increasing amounts of leverage. The result was a 46% expansion in margin debt this year to about NT$274 billion ($9.8 billion) two weeks ago, the highest since 2011. By comparison, the Taiwan benchmark was up just 19% in that period, an indication that people were taking out loans faster than stocks were appreciating.Local investors had little reason to fear losses. Taiwan’s economy became one of the biggest winners from U.S.-China rivalry. Its chipmakers flourished as Washington sought to hobble Beijing’s efforts to build a domestic chip industry. During President Donald Trump’s four-year term, the Taiex benchmark became the world’s best performing stock gauge, gaining more than 90% in U.S. dollar terms.Gains extended this year as the pandemic created a shortage of chips, with the index rising for seven straight months through April.The euphoria began to unravel this week as the threat of inflation sank the Nasdaq, with tech stocks around the world following suit. As the Taiex slid 3.8% on Tuesday in Taiwan, the level of margin debt fell by NT$12.6 billion, the most since October 2018. That suggests traders faced margin calls by brokers to cover losses in their stock accounts.Wednesday’s record rout is likely to have spurred a bigger unwinding of leverage. (Comparatives are skewed by the widening of daily price limits for individual stocks in 2015.)“Margin trading boosted the Taiex over the past few months, which may add to declines if they face margin calls,” said MasterLink Securities Investment Advisory President Paul Cheng.The fear of further losses was evident in a stock market where individual investors account for about 60% of transactions. The derivatives market burst with activity: more than 1.75 million options tracking the Taiex changed hands on Wednesday, the third-busiest day since 2016. Traders snapped up bearish contracts even as dozens of short-term options expired, with the price of one put surging as much as 7,757%.KGI Securities’ trader Kevin Lee, who has been a local stocks trader for a decade, said clients started to panic as the morning wore on.“There were non-stop orders coming in,” Lee said. “Investors were crazy as there were lots of news during trading hours and we didn’t know if they were true or not.”By the end of the day, the index had pared its losses to 4.1%. But the damage to investor confidence was already done.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3582311267796115","authorId":"3582311267796115","name":"犇鑫磊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2978a0b1bfc84833e31420e7fdfa0e1e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3582311267796115","idStr":"3582311267796115"},"content":"回复我的评论！ [微笑] [微笑]","text":"回复我的评论！ [微笑] [微笑]","html":"回复我的评论！ [微笑] [微笑]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":602173201,"gmtCreate":1639002757519,"gmtModify":1639002854659,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":17,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602173201","repostId":"1161444269","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161444269","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638977215,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161444269?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-08 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high<blockquote>苹果股价上涨近2%，创新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161444269","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high in morning trading.","content":"<p>Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high&nbsp;in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在早盘交易中上涨近2%，创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9f5fdc1cb0a898675c515a39de7611\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high<blockquote>苹果股价上涨近2%，创新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high<blockquote>苹果股价上涨近2%，创新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-08 23:26</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high&nbsp;in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在早盘交易中上涨近2%，创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9f5fdc1cb0a898675c515a39de7611\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161444269","content_text":"Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":112968585,"gmtCreate":1622846488247,"gmtModify":1634097529530,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Moon","listText":"Moon","text":"Moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":17,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112968585","repostId":"1154529120","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154529120","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622810459,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154529120?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 20:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价能否触及500美元？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154529120","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:. Alibaba Group'","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.</li>  <li>I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.</li>  <li>In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/567d19950e6c8789ce2192b4503f0fa5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by efetova/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一只战场股票，有些人看到了很多机会，而另一些人则看到了很多风险。</li><li>我相信机遇和风险都存在，但我认为前者大于后者。</li><li>从长远来看，阿里巴巴有机会为那些以目前相当低的估值买入的人带来强劲收益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：efetova/iStock，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW集团（BABA）是一家全球领先的高科技公司，持续产生有吸引力的增长，并为投资者提供了接触高增长的中国消费市场的机会。与此同时，通过一系列合资企业，阿里巴巴-SW还活跃在云计算等其他行业。过去几个月股价大幅下跌，但我相信长期潜力巨大。如果股价上涨至500美元，我不会感到惊讶，尽管这不会在短期内发生。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:</p><p><blockquote>自IPO以来，阿里巴巴-SW股价强劲上涨，但也应该提到的是，股价在2020年下半年确实出现了小幅上涨，此后大幅下跌：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8079eeb5384ea003fb3725d3cd1e877f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a&nbsp;revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.</p><p><blockquote>由于蚂蚁金服IPO计划被叫停后，2020年夏季的涨幅已被抹去，股价目前基本处于一年前的水平。不过，去年持平的股价表现有些令人惊讶，因为阿里巴巴-SW在此期间继续取得强劲业绩。例如，上一季度，阿里巴巴-SW的收入增长率为64%，而上一季度的收入增长也非常强劲，在50%左右。然而，这并不是阿里巴巴-SW财报中唯一的积极因素。仅在最近一个季度，该公司的用户数量就增加了3200万，相当于用户年化增长率约为20%。这对未来几个季度来说是个好兆头，因为阿里巴巴-SW平台上的更多用户应该会转化为更高的收入。最重要的是，强劲的用户增长表明，对阿里巴巴-SW平台提供的购物服务的需求仍在增长——市场根本没有饱和。阿里巴巴-SW的EBITDA也同比增长了25%，这也是一个有吸引力的增长速度，尽管管理层在评级关键增长领域的投资不断增加，但这一增长还是实现了。与此同时，由于一些运营杠杆，运营收入增长速度更快，经调整阿里巴巴-SW第一季度必须支付的罚款后，同比增长48%。我认为，为了更清楚地了解阿里巴巴-SW平均季度的基本“核心”盈利能力，放弃这一一次性项目是有意义的。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and&nbsp;fears about regulation.</p><p><blockquote>因此，相对于大盘和其他科技股，阿里巴巴-SW集团的股价表现疲软，并不是经营业绩疲软的结果，而是多重压缩的结果，原因是投资者情绪疲软以及对监管的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> At its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.</p><p><blockquote>以目前220美元的价格计算，与目前分析师298美元的一致目标价相比，阿里巴巴的交易价格有相当大的折扣。如果阿里巴巴-SW达到这一目标，股价将上涨35%。分析师的价格目标通常以1年的时间框架发布，因此，如果分析师界是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW可能是一项伟大的投资。从估值的角度来看，这个目标价似乎一点也不离谱，因为298美元相当于今年预期净利润的29倍左右，或明年净利润的23倍。当我们谈论2022年夏季（即一年后）的价格目标时，后者可能更能说明问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股价能否触及500美元？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，这个问题的答案取决于你的时间框架。如果你着眼于12个月的窗口期，那么阿里巴巴-SW很可能无法达到500美元。300美元左右的价格目标似乎是可以实现的，尽管这当然也不能保证。然而，如果我们从更长远的角度来看，那么500美元似乎是阿里巴巴最终可能触及的股价。让我们看几个例子。</blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW在某个时候每股收益为20美元，市盈率为25倍，那么股价将为500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益为25美元，市盈率为20倍，那么股价将为500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益为17美元，交易价格为净利润的29倍，那么股价将为（略低于）500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:</p><p><blockquote>我们看到，有很多情况可以让阿里巴巴的股价达到500美元，其中一些情况比其他情况更有可能。当然，你的目标倍数越高，所需的收益就越低。这反过来意味着可以更快达到价格目标，因为所需的累计盈利增长较少。当我们看一下阿里巴巴-SW过去的估值时，我们会发现阿里巴巴的长期市盈率中位数如下所示：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd2d42b7094deb394266d6410287c2e4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为30-40倍，相对于目前的股价估值（约为今年盈利的20倍），显然存在巨大溢价。我认为目前的估值太低，但另一方面，我预计阿里巴巴-SW未来几年的净利润不会达到30倍、35倍甚至40倍。由于阿里巴巴-SW的规模不断扩大，这使得其在未来几年保持出色的增长变得更加困难，与过去的估值相比，未来几年的股价可能会较低。</blockquote></p><p> I still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为，从目前21倍左右的市盈率来看，该股确实有一定的估值扩张潜力，因此让我们假设该股未来的净利润为23倍。与历史估值相比，这仍然是一个巨大的折扣，与美国高科技大型股的估值相比也是一个巨大的折扣——例如，亚马逊(AMZN)的交易价格是今年市盈率的59倍。</blockquote></p><p> If we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们想使用23倍的市盈率将阿里巴巴的股价达到500美元，那么阿里巴巴-SW必须产生的每股收益为21.70美元。什么时候会是这种情况？在下图中，我们看到了本年度、明年（2022财年）和2023财年的每股收益预测：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf78e0b071eff9753afbdcd96f751c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师是对的，阿里巴巴-SW到2023年每股收益将无法达到22美元，我认为这是现实的。我也不认为今年到2023年间每股收益会增长100%以上。从2023年开始，阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益需要再增长43%才能达到21.70美元，这是我们500美元股价的“目标每股收益”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b4c351b4b5eb3328191ccaa9a3b776c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>分析师目前预测长期每股收益增长约为27%，这意味着阿里巴巴-SW需要大约1.5年的时间才能将每股收益从15.20美元（2023年估计）增长到我们21.70美元的目标。即使我们假设这过于乐观，2024年和2025年的增长率仅为20%，到2025年底每股收益也可能达到21.70美元。因此，换句话说，如果阿里巴巴-SW的增长略低于分析师目前的预测，那么到2025年底（即4.5年后），阿里巴巴-SW的交易价格可能会达到500美元。请注意，这种情况根本不需要很高的市盈率——我相信，阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为23倍，价格并不昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> We can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以更加保守地假设2023年每股收益预期过高10%，并且2023年之后的几年每股收益每年仅增长17%（而分析师社区的长期预测为每年27%）。在这种情况下，阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益将在2026年达到21.70美元，股价将在未来5.5年内升至500美元。即使在这种情况下，阿里巴巴也根本不是一项糟糕的投资——未来5.5年内股价较当前水平上涨130%，相当于年化回报率为16%。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum this section up, I'd say<i>yes, BABA can hit $500</i>-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结一下这一部分，我想说<i>是的，阿里巴巴可以达到500美元</i>——但实际上需要几年时间。到2020年代中期，对我来说，这似乎是一个非常可以实现的目标，尽管当然没有任何保证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票现在是买入还是卖出？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，阿里巴巴-SW集团是一项强有力的投资。该公司增长强劲，利润来自多个长期宏观趋势，例如中国消费者支出的增长、电子商务市场份额的增长和云计算。然而，也有一些风险需要考虑：阿里巴巴-SW高度依赖中国，如果中国的经济增长故事结束，阿里巴巴-SW将受到很大伤害。最重要的是，阿里巴巴-SW可能会再次成为监管机构的目标，尽管我个人认为伤害中国增长最快的科技公司之一不符合中国的最佳利益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些担心这些风险的人来说，阿里巴巴-SW可能不是正确的选择，但对于那些认为阿里巴巴-SW对中国消费者来说可能非常有益的投资的人来说，阿里巴巴可能是多元化投资组合中的一个强有力的选择。我属于后一类，因此按当前估值将该股评级为买入，预计未来几年将大幅上涨。然而，根据您的风险承受能力以及您如何权衡投资中国公司的机会和威胁，您可能会做出不同的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价能否触及500美元？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价能否触及500美元？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 20:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.</li>  <li>I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.</li>  <li>In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/567d19950e6c8789ce2192b4503f0fa5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by efetova/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一只战场股票，有些人看到了很多机会，而另一些人则看到了很多风险。</li><li>我相信机遇和风险都存在，但我认为前者大于后者。</li><li>从长远来看，阿里巴巴有机会为那些以目前相当低的估值买入的人带来强劲收益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：efetova/iStock，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW集团（BABA）是一家全球领先的高科技公司，持续产生有吸引力的增长，并为投资者提供了接触高增长的中国消费市场的机会。与此同时，通过一系列合资企业，阿里巴巴-SW还活跃在云计算等其他行业。过去几个月股价大幅下跌，但我相信长期潜力巨大。如果股价上涨至500美元，我不会感到惊讶，尽管这不会在短期内发生。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:</p><p><blockquote>自IPO以来，阿里巴巴-SW股价强劲上涨，但也应该提到的是，股价在2020年下半年确实出现了小幅上涨，此后大幅下跌：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8079eeb5384ea003fb3725d3cd1e877f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a&nbsp;revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.</p><p><blockquote>由于蚂蚁金服IPO计划被叫停后，2020年夏季的涨幅已被抹去，股价目前基本处于一年前的水平。不过，去年持平的股价表现有些令人惊讶，因为阿里巴巴-SW在此期间继续取得强劲业绩。例如，上一季度，阿里巴巴-SW的收入增长率为64%，而上一季度的收入增长也非常强劲，在50%左右。然而，这并不是阿里巴巴-SW财报中唯一的积极因素。仅在最近一个季度，该公司的用户数量就增加了3200万，相当于用户年化增长率约为20%。这对未来几个季度来说是个好兆头，因为阿里巴巴-SW平台上的更多用户应该会转化为更高的收入。最重要的是，强劲的用户增长表明，对阿里巴巴-SW平台提供的购物服务的需求仍在增长——市场根本没有饱和。阿里巴巴-SW的EBITDA也同比增长了25%，这也是一个有吸引力的增长速度，尽管管理层在评级关键增长领域的投资不断增加，但这一增长还是实现了。与此同时，由于一些运营杠杆，运营收入增长速度更快，经调整阿里巴巴-SW第一季度必须支付的罚款后，同比增长48%。我认为，为了更清楚地了解阿里巴巴-SW平均季度的基本“核心”盈利能力，放弃这一一次性项目是有意义的。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and&nbsp;fears about regulation.</p><p><blockquote>因此，相对于大盘和其他科技股，阿里巴巴-SW集团的股价表现疲软，并不是经营业绩疲软的结果，而是多重压缩的结果，原因是投资者情绪疲软以及对监管的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> At its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.</p><p><blockquote>以目前220美元的价格计算，与目前分析师298美元的一致目标价相比，阿里巴巴的交易价格有相当大的折扣。如果阿里巴巴-SW达到这一目标，股价将上涨35%。分析师的价格目标通常以1年的时间框架发布，因此，如果分析师界是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW可能是一项伟大的投资。从估值的角度来看，这个目标价似乎一点也不离谱，因为298美元相当于今年预期净利润的29倍左右，或明年净利润的23倍。当我们谈论2022年夏季（即一年后）的价格目标时，后者可能更能说明问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股价能否触及500美元？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，这个问题的答案取决于你的时间框架。如果你着眼于12个月的窗口期，那么阿里巴巴-SW很可能无法达到500美元。300美元左右的价格目标似乎是可以实现的，尽管这当然也不能保证。然而，如果我们从更长远的角度来看，那么500美元似乎是阿里巴巴最终可能触及的股价。让我们看几个例子。</blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW在某个时候每股收益为20美元，市盈率为25倍，那么股价将为500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益为25美元，市盈率为20倍，那么股价将为500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益为17美元，交易价格为净利润的29倍，那么股价将为（略低于）500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:</p><p><blockquote>我们看到，有很多情况可以让阿里巴巴的股价达到500美元，其中一些情况比其他情况更有可能。当然，你的目标倍数越高，所需的收益就越低。这反过来意味着可以更快达到价格目标，因为所需的累计盈利增长较少。当我们看一下阿里巴巴-SW过去的估值时，我们会发现阿里巴巴的长期市盈率中位数如下所示：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd2d42b7094deb394266d6410287c2e4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为30-40倍，相对于目前的股价估值（约为今年盈利的20倍），显然存在巨大溢价。我认为目前的估值太低，但另一方面，我预计阿里巴巴-SW未来几年的净利润不会达到30倍、35倍甚至40倍。由于阿里巴巴-SW的规模不断扩大，这使得其在未来几年保持出色的增长变得更加困难，与过去的估值相比，未来几年的股价可能会较低。</blockquote></p><p> I still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为，从目前21倍左右的市盈率来看，该股确实有一定的估值扩张潜力，因此让我们假设该股未来的净利润为23倍。与历史估值相比，这仍然是一个巨大的折扣，与美国高科技大型股的估值相比也是一个巨大的折扣——例如，亚马逊(AMZN)的交易价格是今年市盈率的59倍。</blockquote></p><p> If we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们想使用23倍的市盈率将阿里巴巴的股价达到500美元，那么阿里巴巴-SW必须产生的每股收益为21.70美元。什么时候会是这种情况？在下图中，我们看到了本年度、明年（2022财年）和2023财年的每股收益预测：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf78e0b071eff9753afbdcd96f751c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师是对的，阿里巴巴-SW到2023年每股收益将无法达到22美元，我认为这是现实的。我也不认为今年到2023年间每股收益会增长100%以上。从2023年开始，阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益需要再增长43%才能达到21.70美元，这是我们500美元股价的“目标每股收益”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b4c351b4b5eb3328191ccaa9a3b776c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>分析师目前预测长期每股收益增长约为27%，这意味着阿里巴巴-SW需要大约1.5年的时间才能将每股收益从15.20美元（2023年估计）增长到我们21.70美元的目标。即使我们假设这过于乐观，2024年和2025年的增长率仅为20%，到2025年底每股收益也可能达到21.70美元。因此，换句话说，如果阿里巴巴-SW的增长略低于分析师目前的预测，那么到2025年底（即4.5年后），阿里巴巴-SW的交易价格可能会达到500美元。请注意，这种情况根本不需要很高的市盈率——我相信，阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为23倍，价格并不昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> We can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以更加保守地假设2023年每股收益预期过高10%，并且2023年之后的几年每股收益每年仅增长17%（而分析师社区的长期预测为每年27%）。在这种情况下，阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益将在2026年达到21.70美元，股价将在未来5.5年内升至500美元。即使在这种情况下，阿里巴巴也根本不是一项糟糕的投资——未来5.5年内股价较当前水平上涨130%，相当于年化回报率为16%。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum this section up, I'd say<i>yes, BABA can hit $500</i>-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结一下这一部分，我想说<i>是的，阿里巴巴可以达到500美元</i>——但实际上需要几年时间。到2020年代中期，对我来说，这似乎是一个非常可以实现的目标，尽管当然没有任何保证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票现在是买入还是卖出？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，阿里巴巴-SW集团是一项强有力的投资。该公司增长强劲，利润来自多个长期宏观趋势，例如中国消费者支出的增长、电子商务市场份额的增长和云计算。然而，也有一些风险需要考虑：阿里巴巴-SW高度依赖中国，如果中国的经济增长故事结束，阿里巴巴-SW将受到很大伤害。最重要的是，阿里巴巴-SW可能会再次成为监管机构的目标，尽管我个人认为伤害中国增长最快的科技公司之一不符合中国的最佳利益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些担心这些风险的人来说，阿里巴巴-SW可能不是正确的选择，但对于那些认为阿里巴巴-SW对中国消费者来说可能非常有益的投资的人来说，阿里巴巴可能是多元化投资组合中的一个强有力的选择。我属于后一类，因此按当前估值将该股评级为买入，预计未来几年将大幅上涨。然而，根据您的风险承受能力以及您如何权衡投资中国公司的机会和威胁，您可能会做出不同的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432992-alibaba-stock-hit-500\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432992-alibaba-stock-hit-500","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154529120","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.\nI believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.\nIn the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.\n\nPhoto by efetova/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nAlibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.\nBABA Stock Price\nSince its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:\nData byYCharts\nShares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.\nAlibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and fears about regulation.\nAt its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $500?\nThe answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.\nWe see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:\nData byYCharts\nAt 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.\nI still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.\nIf we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:\nData byYCharts\nIf analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.\nData byYCharts\nAnalysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.\nWe can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.\nSo, to sum this section up, I'd sayyes, BABA can hit $500-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.\nIs Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?\nAlibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.\nFor those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":824194781,"gmtCreate":1634287485789,"gmtModify":1634287591293,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824194781","repostId":"1126921416","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126921416","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634306113,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126921416?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 21:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>加密货币股票早盘上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126921416","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto stocks jumped in morning trading after bitcoin hitting $60,000 as investors eye first U.S. ET","content":"<p>Crypto stocks jumped in morning trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;bitcoin hitting $60,000 as investors eye first U.S. ETFs.Bit Digital,Bit Mining,Marathon Digital,SoS Ltd,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase,The9 and Canaan climbed between 2% and 8%.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者首先关注美国ETF，比特币触及60,000美元后，加密货币股票在早盘交易中上涨。Bit Digital、Bit Mining、Marathon Digital、SoS Ltd、Riot Blockchain、Coinbase、第九城市和嘉楠耘智股价上涨2%至8%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11637edfa19a44b24ed7dcd77f7ba107\" tg-width=\"406\" tg-height=\"549\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin hit a six-month high on Friday, approaching the record hit in April, as traders became increasingly confident that U.S. regulators would approve the launch of an exchange-traded fund based on its futures contracts.</p><p><blockquote>比特币周五触及六个月高位，逼近4月份触及的纪录，因交易员越来越有信心美国监管机构将批准推出基于其期货合约的交易所交易基金。</blockquote></p><p> The world’s biggest cryptocurrency rose more&nbsp;than&nbsp;4% to as high as $60000, its highest since mid-April. It has doubled in value this year and is near April’s record high of $64,895.</p><p><blockquote>全球最大的加密货币上涨超过4%，至60000美元，为4月中旬以来的最高水平。今年它的价值已经翻了一番，接近4月份64,895美元的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is poised to allow the first U.S. bitcoin futures ETF to begin trading next week, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博新闻社周四援引知情人士报道，美国证券交易委员会(SEC)准备允许首只美国比特币期货ETF于下周开始交易。</blockquote></p><p> Ben Caselin, head of research and strategy at Asia-based cryptocurrency exchange AAX, said bitcoin’s spike above $59,000 wasn’t arbitrary and long-term investors had been accumulating it for a while.</p><p><blockquote>亚洲加密货币交易所AAX的研究和策略主管Ben Caselin表示，比特币飙升至59,000美元以上并不是任意的，长期投资者已经积累了一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> “It is widely expected that Q4 will see significant progress around a bitcoin ETF in the U.S.,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们普遍预计第四季度美国比特币ETF将取得重大进展，”他表示。</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s moves were also spurred by a tweet from the SEC’s investor education office, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，周五的举措也受到了美国证券交易委员会投资者教育办公室一条推文的推动。</blockquote></p><p> \"Before investing in a fund that holds Bitcoin futures contracts, make sure you carefully weigh the potential risks and benefits,\" the SEC tweet&nbsp;here&nbsp;stated.</p><p><blockquote>“在投资持有比特币期货合约的基金之前，请确保仔细权衡潜在的风险和收益，”美国证券交易委员会的推文称。</blockquote></p><p> Cryptocurrency investors have been waiting for news of approval of the country’s first bitcoin ETF, and some of bitcoin’s rally in recent months has been in anticipation of that move and how it could speed up its mainstream adoption and trading.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币投资者一直在等待该国首只比特币ETF获得批准的消息，比特币近几个月的反弹部分是出于对这一举措以及如何加速其主流采用和交易的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Several fund managers, including the VanEck Bitcoin Trust, ProShares, Invesco, Valkyrie and Galaxy Digital Funds have applied to launch bitcoin ETFs in the United States. Cryptocurrency ETFs have been launched this year in Canada and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>包括VanEck比特币信托基金、ProShares、Invesco、Valkyrie和Galaxy Digital Funds在内的多家基金管理公司已申请在美国推出比特币ETF。加密货币ETF今年已在加拿大和欧洲推出。</blockquote></p><p> SEC Chair Gary Gensler has previously said the crypto market involves many tokens which may be unregistered securities and leaves prices open to manipulation and millions of investors vulnerable to risks.</p><p><blockquote>SEC主席Gary Gensler此前曾表示，加密货币市场涉及许多代币，这些代币可能是未注册的证券，使价格容易受到操纵，数百万投资者容易受到风险的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The Bloomberg report said that the proposals by ProShares and Invesco are based on futures contracts and were filed under mutual fund rules that Gensler has said provide “significant investor protections”.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社的报道称，ProShares和Invesco的提议基于期货合约，并根据共同基金规则提交，Gensler称这些规则提供了“重要的投资者保护”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>加密货币股票早盘上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>加密货币股票早盘上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-15 21:55</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Crypto stocks jumped in morning trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;bitcoin hitting $60,000 as investors eye first U.S. ETFs.Bit Digital,Bit Mining,Marathon Digital,SoS Ltd,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase,The9 and Canaan climbed between 2% and 8%.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者首先关注美国ETF，比特币触及60,000美元后，加密货币股票在早盘交易中上涨。Bit Digital、Bit Mining、Marathon Digital、SoS Ltd、Riot Blockchain、Coinbase、第九城市和嘉楠耘智股价上涨2%至8%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11637edfa19a44b24ed7dcd77f7ba107\" tg-width=\"406\" tg-height=\"549\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin hit a six-month high on Friday, approaching the record hit in April, as traders became increasingly confident that U.S. regulators would approve the launch of an exchange-traded fund based on its futures contracts.</p><p><blockquote>比特币周五触及六个月高位，逼近4月份触及的纪录，因交易员越来越有信心美国监管机构将批准推出基于其期货合约的交易所交易基金。</blockquote></p><p> The world’s biggest cryptocurrency rose more&nbsp;than&nbsp;4% to as high as $60000, its highest since mid-April. It has doubled in value this year and is near April’s record high of $64,895.</p><p><blockquote>全球最大的加密货币上涨超过4%，至60000美元，为4月中旬以来的最高水平。今年它的价值已经翻了一番，接近4月份64,895美元的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is poised to allow the first U.S. bitcoin futures ETF to begin trading next week, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博新闻社周四援引知情人士报道，美国证券交易委员会(SEC)准备允许首只美国比特币期货ETF于下周开始交易。</blockquote></p><p> Ben Caselin, head of research and strategy at Asia-based cryptocurrency exchange AAX, said bitcoin’s spike above $59,000 wasn’t arbitrary and long-term investors had been accumulating it for a while.</p><p><blockquote>亚洲加密货币交易所AAX的研究和策略主管Ben Caselin表示，比特币飙升至59,000美元以上并不是任意的，长期投资者已经积累了一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> “It is widely expected that Q4 will see significant progress around a bitcoin ETF in the U.S.,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们普遍预计第四季度美国比特币ETF将取得重大进展，”他表示。</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s moves were also spurred by a tweet from the SEC’s investor education office, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，周五的举措也受到了美国证券交易委员会投资者教育办公室一条推文的推动。</blockquote></p><p> \"Before investing in a fund that holds Bitcoin futures contracts, make sure you carefully weigh the potential risks and benefits,\" the SEC tweet&nbsp;here&nbsp;stated.</p><p><blockquote>“在投资持有比特币期货合约的基金之前，请确保仔细权衡潜在的风险和收益，”美国证券交易委员会的推文称。</blockquote></p><p> Cryptocurrency investors have been waiting for news of approval of the country’s first bitcoin ETF, and some of bitcoin’s rally in recent months has been in anticipation of that move and how it could speed up its mainstream adoption and trading.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币投资者一直在等待该国首只比特币ETF获得批准的消息，比特币近几个月的反弹部分是出于对这一举措以及如何加速其主流采用和交易的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Several fund managers, including the VanEck Bitcoin Trust, ProShares, Invesco, Valkyrie and Galaxy Digital Funds have applied to launch bitcoin ETFs in the United States. Cryptocurrency ETFs have been launched this year in Canada and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>包括VanEck比特币信托基金、ProShares、Invesco、Valkyrie和Galaxy Digital Funds在内的多家基金管理公司已申请在美国推出比特币ETF。加密货币ETF今年已在加拿大和欧洲推出。</blockquote></p><p> SEC Chair Gary Gensler has previously said the crypto market involves many tokens which may be unregistered securities and leaves prices open to manipulation and millions of investors vulnerable to risks.</p><p><blockquote>SEC主席Gary Gensler此前曾表示，加密货币市场涉及许多代币，这些代币可能是未注册的证券，使价格容易受到操纵，数百万投资者容易受到风险的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The Bloomberg report said that the proposals by ProShares and Invesco are based on futures contracts and were filed under mutual fund rules that Gensler has said provide “significant investor protections”.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社的报道称，ProShares和Invesco的提议基于期货合约，并根据共同基金规则提交，Gensler称这些规则提供了“重要的投资者保护”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MARA":"MARA Holdings","SOS":"SOS Limited","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","CAN":"嘉楠科技","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","NCTY":"第九城市","RIOT":"Riot Platforms"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126921416","content_text":"Crypto stocks jumped in morning trading after bitcoin hitting $60,000 as investors eye first U.S. ETFs.Bit Digital,Bit Mining,Marathon Digital,SoS Ltd,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase,The9 and Canaan climbed between 2% and 8%.\n\nBitcoin hit a six-month high on Friday, approaching the record hit in April, as traders became increasingly confident that U.S. regulators would approve the launch of an exchange-traded fund based on its futures contracts.\nThe world’s biggest cryptocurrency rose more than 4% to as high as $60000, its highest since mid-April. It has doubled in value this year and is near April’s record high of $64,895.\nThe U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is poised to allow the first U.S. bitcoin futures ETF to begin trading next week, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter.\nBen Caselin, head of research and strategy at Asia-based cryptocurrency exchange AAX, said bitcoin’s spike above $59,000 wasn’t arbitrary and long-term investors had been accumulating it for a while.\n“It is widely expected that Q4 will see significant progress around a bitcoin ETF in the U.S.,” he said.\nFriday’s moves were also spurred by a tweet from the SEC’s investor education office, he said.\n\"Before investing in a fund that holds Bitcoin futures contracts, make sure you carefully weigh the potential risks and benefits,\" the SEC tweet here stated.\nCryptocurrency investors have been waiting for news of approval of the country’s first bitcoin ETF, and some of bitcoin’s rally in recent months has been in anticipation of that move and how it could speed up its mainstream adoption and trading.\nSeveral fund managers, including the VanEck Bitcoin Trust, ProShares, Invesco, Valkyrie and Galaxy Digital Funds have applied to launch bitcoin ETFs in the United States. Cryptocurrency ETFs have been launched this year in Canada and Europe.\nSEC Chair Gary Gensler has previously said the crypto market involves many tokens which may be unregistered securities and leaves prices open to manipulation and millions of investors vulnerable to risks.\nThe Bloomberg report said that the proposals by ProShares and Invesco are based on futures contracts and were filed under mutual fund rules that Gensler has said provide “significant investor protections”.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SOS":0.9,"RIOT":0.9,"BTBT":0.9,"CAN":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"MARA":0.9,"BTCM":0.9,"NCTY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":101967004,"gmtCreate":1619838026008,"gmtModify":1634209569730,"author":{"id":"3577937302028167","authorId":"3577937302028167","name":"newwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c72fb9a7e595dfd0c2e4e983607d1d0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577937302028167","idStr":"3577937302028167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment me pls","listText":"Comment me pls","text":"Comment me pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":19,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101967004","repostId":"1142063705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}