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US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote>
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09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why cannabis investors need to pay attention to ancillary companies<blockquote>为什么大麻投资者需要关注辅助公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198001868","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"While it may take a village to raise a child, it takes a large number of resources to grow a healthy","content":"<p><ul> <li>While it may take a village to raise a child, it takes a large number of resources to grow a healthy cannabis plant.</li> <li>Investors keeping tabs on the cannabis industry are missing out if they are only paying attention to Canadian licensed producers (LPs) and multi-state operators (MSOs).</li> <li>There is a group of companies that are essential -- both literally and figuratively -- to the growth of the cannabis industry: ancillary companies.</li> <li>These companies run the gamut and include fertilizer producers, hydroponic equipment, grow lights, and REITs that own the greenhouses where marijuana is grown.</li> <li>New Cannabis Ventures created the Ancillary Cannabis Index on March 31 to track such companies.Like Canadian LPs and MSOs, after a strong Q1, the index had dropped precipitously.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e7beacc5eafa7a5e3f332115fbc78e7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"691\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>虽然抚养一个孩子可能需要一个村庄，但种植一株健康的大麻植物需要大量的资源。</li><li>如果关注大麻行业的投资者只关注加拿大特许生产商（LP）和多州运营商（MSO），他们就会错过。</li><li>有一组公司对大麻产业的发展至关重要——无论是字面上还是象征性的——辅助公司。</li><li>这些公司经营着各种各样的业务，包括化肥生产商、水培设备、种植灯和拥有种植大麻温室的房地产投资信托基金。</li><li>New Cannabis Ventures 于 3 月 31 日创建了辅助大麻指数来跟踪此类公司。与加拿大有限合伙人和 MSO 一样，在经历了强劲的第一季度后，该指数急剧下降。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The two best performing stocks in this index are industrial REITs whose holdings focus on properties, such as greenhouses are warehouses, utilized specifically by licensed cannabis operators. They are Innovative Industrial Properties(NYSE:IIPR)and Power REIT(NYSE:PW).</li> <li>Innovative is up 37%year to date, while Power is up 134%.</li> <li>While Innovative is invested exclusively in cannabis activity-related properties, Power is more diversified as its holdings include controlled environment agriculture (greenhouses), solar farm land and transportation (railroad real estate).</li> <li>Five of Innovative's nine properties are in California, while all but three of Power's 18 cannabis properties are in Colorado.</li> <li>Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating is very bullish on Power, but neutral on Innovative.</li> <li>A marijuana REIT newcomer is NewLake Capital Partners, which went public in August. It is down ~6%since then. Note it is not included Ancillary Cannabis Index.</li> <li>Another star performer in the index is AFC Gamma(NASDAQ:AFCG), which operates as a mortgage REIT that structures and underwrites loans for licensed cannabis industry companies. Since its March IPO, the stock is up ~15% year to date.</li> <li>While the company is currently very profitable, that might change if proposed legislation is approved that would allow commercial banks to do business with cannabis companies, according to Seeking Alpha contributor Austin Rogers, who has a neutral rating on shares.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95068d19d7c53441b6c338458944fe89\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>该指数中表现最好的两只股票是工业房地产投资信托基金，其持有重点是房地产，例如温室是专门由持牌大麻经营者使用的仓库。它们是创新工业地产（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IIPR）和电力房地产投资信托基金（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PW）。</li><li>今年迄今为止，Innovative 上涨了 37%，Power 上涨了 134%。</li><li>虽然 Innovative 专门投资于与大麻活动相关的地产，但 Power 更加多元化，因为其持有的资产包括受控环境农业（温室）、太阳能农场土地和交通（铁路房地产）。</li><li>Innovative 的 9 处房产中有 5 处位于加利福尼亚州，而 Power 的 18 处大麻房产中除 3 处外其余均位于科罗拉多州。</li><li>Seeking Alpha 的量化评级非常看好电力，但对创新持中立态度。</li><li>大麻房地产投资信托基金的新来者是 NewLake Capital Partners，该公司于 8 月份上市。自那以后，它已经下跌了约6%。请注意，它不包括辅助大麻指数。</li><li>该指数中的另一个明星表现是 AFC Gamma（纳斯达克股票代码：AFCG），该公司作为抵押房地产投资信托基金运营，为获得许可的大麻行业公司构建和承销贷款。自 3 月份首次公开募股以来，该股今年迄今已上涨约 15%。</li><li>Seeking Alpha 撰稿人奥斯汀·罗杰斯 (Austin Rogers) 表示，虽然该公司目前盈利能力很强，但如果允许商业银行与大麻公司开展业务的拟议立法获得批准，这种情况可能会发生变化，他对该公司的股票评级为中性。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The best performing stock in the index outside of REITs is urban-gro(NASDAQ:UGRO), which provides indoor cultivation systems and equipment. YTD, the company is up 71%.</li> <li>urban-gro uplisted to Nasdaq earlier this year. In August, Seeking Alpha contributor Shareholders Unite said the company is \"very well positioned to benefit from the tailwind of two secular growth markets, cannabis, and the controlled environment ag markets.\"</li> <li>Although in the red down ~15%YTD, Agrify(NASDAQ:AGFY)considers itself a vertically integrated solution provider for the cannabis industry providing facility design and construction, as well as consulting services.</li> <li>However, Seeking Alpha contributor Daniel Jones, who has a neutral rating on shares, just wrote that Agrify is a risky bet considering the company's losses and net cash outflows are growing.</li> <li>With brick-and-mortar stores and a large commercial services operation providing hydroponic products and services, GrowGeneration(NASDAQ:GRWG)is another company to pay attention to. Shares aredown 66%YTD.</li> <li>Wells Fargo recently initiated GrowGeneration with an equal weight rating.</li> <li>With a market cap ~$8.8B, Scotts Miracle Grow(NYSE:SMG)is the largest company in the ancillary cannabis space. Its shares are down 19%YTD.</li> <li>While not a pure play ancillary company, Scotts' fertilizers are used in marijuana plant growing. Also, products from its brands including General Hydroponics, Botanicare, and Gavita Horticultural Lighting are extensively used in the cannabis industry.</li> <li>Wells Fargo recently started the company with an overweight rating.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>房地产投资信托基金以外该指数中表现最好的股票是 urban-gro（纳斯达克股票代码：UGRO），该公司提供室内栽培系统和设备。年初至今，该公司股价上涨 71%。</li><li>urban-gro 今年早些时候在纳斯达克上市。8 月，Seeking Alpha contributor Shareholders Unite 表示，该公司“处于非常有利的地位，可以从大麻和受控环境农业市场这两个长期增长市场的顺风中受益”。</li><li>尽管年初至今下跌约 15%，但 Agrify（纳斯达克股票代码：AGFY）认为自己是大麻行业的垂直整合解决方案提供商，提供设施设计和施工以及咨询服务。</li><li>然而，对股票给予中性评级的 Seeking Alpha 撰稿人丹尼尔·琼斯 (Daniel Jones) 刚刚写道，考虑到该公司的亏损和净现金流出不断增长，Agrify 是一个有风险的赌注。</li><li>GrowGeneration（纳斯达克股票代码：GRWG）拥有实体店和提供水培产品和服务的大型商业服务业务，是另一家值得关注的公司。年初至今股价下跌 66%。</li><li>富国银行最近以同等权重评级启动了 GrowGeneration。</li><li>Scotts Miracle Grow（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SMG）的市值约为$8.8B，是辅助大麻领域最大的公司。年初至今，其股价已下跌 19%。</li><li>虽然不是一家纯粹的游戏辅助公司，但斯科茨的肥料用于大麻植物种植。此外，其品牌的产品包括General Hydroponics、Botanicare和Gavita园艺照明广泛应用于大麻行业。</li><li>富国银行最近创办了该公司，并获得了跑赢大盘评级。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why cannabis investors need to pay attention to ancillary companies<blockquote>为什么大麻投资者需要关注辅助公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy cannabis investors need to pay attention to ancillary companies<blockquote>为什么大麻投资者需要关注辅助公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-26 09:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul> <li>While it may take a village to raise a child, it takes a large number of resources to grow a healthy cannabis plant.</li> <li>Investors keeping tabs on the cannabis industry are missing out if they are only paying attention to Canadian licensed producers (LPs) and multi-state operators (MSOs).</li> <li>There is a group of companies that are essential -- both literally and figuratively -- to the growth of the cannabis industry: ancillary companies.</li> <li>These companies run the gamut and include fertilizer producers, hydroponic equipment, grow lights, and REITs that own the greenhouses where marijuana is grown.</li> <li>New Cannabis Ventures created the Ancillary Cannabis Index on March 31 to track such companies.Like Canadian LPs and MSOs, after a strong Q1, the index had dropped precipitously.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e7beacc5eafa7a5e3f332115fbc78e7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"691\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>虽然抚养一个孩子可能需要一个村庄，但种植一株健康的大麻植物需要大量的资源。</li><li>如果关注大麻行业的投资者只关注加拿大特许生产商（LP）和多州运营商（MSO），他们就会错过。</li><li>有一组公司对大麻产业的发展至关重要——无论是字面上还是象征性的——辅助公司。</li><li>这些公司经营着各种各样的业务，包括化肥生产商、水培设备、种植灯和拥有种植大麻温室的房地产投资信托基金。</li><li>New Cannabis Ventures 于 3 月 31 日创建了辅助大麻指数来跟踪此类公司。与加拿大有限合伙人和 MSO 一样，在经历了强劲的第一季度后，该指数急剧下降。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The two best performing stocks in this index are industrial REITs whose holdings focus on properties, such as greenhouses are warehouses, utilized specifically by licensed cannabis operators. They are Innovative Industrial Properties(NYSE:IIPR)and Power REIT(NYSE:PW).</li> <li>Innovative is up 37%year to date, while Power is up 134%.</li> <li>While Innovative is invested exclusively in cannabis activity-related properties, Power is more diversified as its holdings include controlled environment agriculture (greenhouses), solar farm land and transportation (railroad real estate).</li> <li>Five of Innovative's nine properties are in California, while all but three of Power's 18 cannabis properties are in Colorado.</li> <li>Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating is very bullish on Power, but neutral on Innovative.</li> <li>A marijuana REIT newcomer is NewLake Capital Partners, which went public in August. It is down ~6%since then. Note it is not included Ancillary Cannabis Index.</li> <li>Another star performer in the index is AFC Gamma(NASDAQ:AFCG), which operates as a mortgage REIT that structures and underwrites loans for licensed cannabis industry companies. Since its March IPO, the stock is up ~15% year to date.</li> <li>While the company is currently very profitable, that might change if proposed legislation is approved that would allow commercial banks to do business with cannabis companies, according to Seeking Alpha contributor Austin Rogers, who has a neutral rating on shares.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95068d19d7c53441b6c338458944fe89\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>该指数中表现最好的两只股票是工业房地产投资信托基金，其持有重点是房地产，例如温室是专门由持牌大麻经营者使用的仓库。它们是创新工业地产（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IIPR）和电力房地产投资信托基金（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PW）。</li><li>今年迄今为止，Innovative 上涨了 37%，Power 上涨了 134%。</li><li>虽然 Innovative 专门投资于与大麻活动相关的地产，但 Power 更加多元化，因为其持有的资产包括受控环境农业（温室）、太阳能农场土地和交通（铁路房地产）。</li><li>Innovative 的 9 处房产中有 5 处位于加利福尼亚州，而 Power 的 18 处大麻房产中除 3 处外其余均位于科罗拉多州。</li><li>Seeking Alpha 的量化评级非常看好电力，但对创新持中立态度。</li><li>大麻房地产投资信托基金的新来者是 NewLake Capital Partners，该公司于 8 月份上市。自那以后，它已经下跌了约6%。请注意，它不包括辅助大麻指数。</li><li>该指数中的另一个明星表现是 AFC Gamma（纳斯达克股票代码：AFCG），该公司作为抵押房地产投资信托基金运营，为获得许可的大麻行业公司构建和承销贷款。自 3 月份首次公开募股以来，该股今年迄今已上涨约 15%。</li><li>Seeking Alpha 撰稿人奥斯汀·罗杰斯 (Austin Rogers) 表示，虽然该公司目前盈利能力很强，但如果允许商业银行与大麻公司开展业务的拟议立法获得批准，这种情况可能会发生变化，他对该公司的股票评级为中性。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The best performing stock in the index outside of REITs is urban-gro(NASDAQ:UGRO), which provides indoor cultivation systems and equipment. YTD, the company is up 71%.</li> <li>urban-gro uplisted to Nasdaq earlier this year. In August, Seeking Alpha contributor Shareholders Unite said the company is \"very well positioned to benefit from the tailwind of two secular growth markets, cannabis, and the controlled environment ag markets.\"</li> <li>Although in the red down ~15%YTD, Agrify(NASDAQ:AGFY)considers itself a vertically integrated solution provider for the cannabis industry providing facility design and construction, as well as consulting services.</li> <li>However, Seeking Alpha contributor Daniel Jones, who has a neutral rating on shares, just wrote that Agrify is a risky bet considering the company's losses and net cash outflows are growing.</li> <li>With brick-and-mortar stores and a large commercial services operation providing hydroponic products and services, GrowGeneration(NASDAQ:GRWG)is another company to pay attention to. Shares aredown 66%YTD.</li> <li>Wells Fargo recently initiated GrowGeneration with an equal weight rating.</li> <li>With a market cap ~$8.8B, Scotts Miracle Grow(NYSE:SMG)is the largest company in the ancillary cannabis space. Its shares are down 19%YTD.</li> <li>While not a pure play ancillary company, Scotts' fertilizers are used in marijuana plant growing. Also, products from its brands including General Hydroponics, Botanicare, and Gavita Horticultural Lighting are extensively used in the cannabis industry.</li> <li>Wells Fargo recently started the company with an overweight rating.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>房地产投资信托基金以外该指数中表现最好的股票是 urban-gro（纳斯达克股票代码：UGRO），该公司提供室内栽培系统和设备。年初至今，该公司股价上涨 71%。</li><li>urban-gro 今年早些时候在纳斯达克上市。8 月，Seeking Alpha contributor Shareholders Unite 表示，该公司“处于非常有利的地位，可以从大麻和受控环境农业市场这两个长期增长市场的顺风中受益”。</li><li>尽管年初至今下跌约 15%，但 Agrify（纳斯达克股票代码：AGFY）认为自己是大麻行业的垂直整合解决方案提供商，提供设施设计和施工以及咨询服务。</li><li>然而，对股票给予中性评级的 Seeking Alpha 撰稿人丹尼尔·琼斯 (Daniel Jones) 刚刚写道，考虑到该公司的亏损和净现金流出不断增长，Agrify 是一个有风险的赌注。</li><li>GrowGeneration（纳斯达克股票代码：GRWG）拥有实体店和提供水培产品和服务的大型商业服务业务，是另一家值得关注的公司。年初至今股价下跌 66%。</li><li>富国银行最近以同等权重评级启动了 GrowGeneration。</li><li>Scotts Miracle Grow（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SMG）的市值约为$8.8B，是辅助大麻领域最大的公司。年初至今，其股价已下跌 19%。</li><li>虽然不是一家纯粹的游戏辅助公司，但斯科茨的肥料用于大麻植物种植。此外，其品牌的产品包括General Hydroponics、Botanicare和Gavita园艺照明广泛应用于大麻行业。</li><li>富国银行最近创办了该公司，并获得了跑赢大盘评级。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3783313-why-cannabis-investors-need-to-pay-attention-to-ancillary-companies\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PW":"Power REIT","IIPR":"Innovative Industrial Properties Inc"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3783313-why-cannabis-investors-need-to-pay-attention-to-ancillary-companies","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198001868","content_text":"While it may take a village to raise a child, it takes a large number of resources to grow a healthy cannabis plant.\nInvestors keeping tabs on the cannabis industry are missing out if they are only paying attention to Canadian licensed producers (LPs) and multi-state operators (MSOs).\nThere is a group of companies that are essential -- both literally and figuratively -- to the growth of the cannabis industry: ancillary companies.\nThese companies run the gamut and include fertilizer producers, hydroponic equipment, grow lights, and REITs that own the greenhouses where marijuana is grown.\nNew Cannabis Ventures created the Ancillary Cannabis Index on March 31 to track such companies.Like Canadian LPs and MSOs, after a strong Q1, the index had dropped precipitously.\n\n\n\nThe two best performing stocks in this index are industrial REITs whose holdings focus on properties, such as greenhouses are warehouses, utilized specifically by licensed cannabis operators. They are Innovative Industrial Properties(NYSE:IIPR)and Power REIT(NYSE:PW).\nInnovative is up 37%year to date, while Power is up 134%.\nWhile Innovative is invested exclusively in cannabis activity-related properties, Power is more diversified as its holdings include controlled environment agriculture (greenhouses), solar farm land and transportation (railroad real estate).\nFive of Innovative's nine properties are in California, while all but three of Power's 18 cannabis properties are in Colorado.\nSeeking Alpha's Quant Rating is very bullish on Power, but neutral on Innovative.\nA marijuana REIT newcomer is NewLake Capital Partners, which went public in August. It is down ~6%since then. Note it is not included Ancillary Cannabis Index.\nAnother star performer in the index is AFC Gamma(NASDAQ:AFCG), which operates as a mortgage REIT that structures and underwrites loans for licensed cannabis industry companies. Since its March IPO, the stock is up ~15% year to date.\nWhile the company is currently very profitable, that might change if proposed legislation is approved that would allow commercial banks to do business with cannabis companies, according to Seeking Alpha contributor Austin Rogers, who has a neutral rating on shares.\n\n\n\nThe best performing stock in the index outside of REITs is urban-gro(NASDAQ:UGRO), which provides indoor cultivation systems and equipment. YTD, the company is up 71%.\nurban-gro uplisted to Nasdaq earlier this year. In August, Seeking Alpha contributor Shareholders Unite said the company is \"very well positioned to benefit from the tailwind of two secular growth markets, cannabis, and the controlled environment ag markets.\"\nAlthough in the red down ~15%YTD, Agrify(NASDAQ:AGFY)considers itself a vertically integrated solution provider for the cannabis industry providing facility design and construction, as well as consulting services.\nHowever, Seeking Alpha contributor Daniel Jones, who has a neutral rating on shares, just wrote that Agrify is a risky bet considering the company's losses and net cash outflows are growing.\nWith brick-and-mortar stores and a large commercial services operation providing hydroponic products and services, GrowGeneration(NASDAQ:GRWG)is another company to pay attention to. Shares aredown 66%YTD.\nWells Fargo recently initiated GrowGeneration with an equal weight rating.\nWith a market cap ~$8.8B, Scotts Miracle Grow(NYSE:SMG)is the largest company in the ancillary cannabis space. Its shares are down 19%YTD.\nWhile not a pure play ancillary company, Scotts' fertilizers are used in marijuana plant growing. Also, products from its brands including General Hydroponics, Botanicare, and Gavita Horticultural Lighting are extensively used in the cannabis industry.\nWells Fargo recently started the company with an overweight rating.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IIPR":0.9,"PW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698571659,"gmtCreate":1640481410176,"gmtModify":1640481410471,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698571659","repostId":"1121906206","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121906206","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640481135,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1121906206?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-26 09:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SOXL, LABU and PALL among ETF weekly movers<blockquote>SOXL、LABU 和 PALL 跻身 ETF 周涨幅之列</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121906206","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Gainers:S&P Biotech Bull 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:LABU)+22%.\nDirexion Travel & Vacation Bull 2X ETF(NYSE","content":"<p><ul> <li><b>Gainers:</b>S&P Biotech Bull 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:LABU)+22%.</li> <li>Direxion Travel & Vacation Bull 2X ETF(NYSEARCA:OOTO)+21%.</li> <li>Semiconductor Bull 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:SOXL)+14%.</li> <li>Physical Palladium ETF(NYSEARCA:PALL)+13%.</li> <li>Ultrapro Russell 2000 ETF(NYSEARCA:URTY)+13%.</li> <li><b>Losers:</b></li> <li>Entrepreneur 30 Fund(NYSEARCA:ENTR)-35%.</li> <li>S&P Biotech Bear 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:LABD)-21%.</li> <li>Ershares Non-US Small Cap ETF(NYSEARCA:ERSX)-16%.</li> <li>Arrow DWA Tactic ETF(NASDAQ:DWAT)-16%.</li> <li>All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF(NYSEARCA:BCI)-15%.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>收益者：</b>标准普尔生物技术牛市 3 倍 Direxion（NYSEARCA：LABU）+22%。</li><li>Direxion Travel & Vacation Bull 2X ETF(NYSEARCA:OOTO)+21%。</li><li>半导体牛市 3 倍 Direxion(NYSEARCA:SOXL)+14%。</li><li>实物钯金 ETF（NYSEARCA：PALL）+13%。</li><li>Ultrapro Russell 2000 ETF(NYSEARCA:URTY)+13%。</li><li><b>失败者：</b></li><li>企业家30基金（NYSEARCA：ENTR）-35%。</li><li>标准普尔生物技术熊 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:LABD)-21%。</li><li>Ershares 非美国小型股 ETF(NYSEARCA:ERSX)-16%。</li><li>Arrow DWA Tactic ETF（纳斯达克股票代码：DWAT）-16%。</li><li>所有商品策略 K-1 免费 ETF(NYSEARCA:BCI)-15%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SOXL, LABU and PALL among ETF weekly movers<blockquote>SOXL、LABU 和 PALL 跻身 ETF 周涨幅之列</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ 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.h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSOXL, LABU and PALL among ETF weekly movers<blockquote>SOXL、LABU 和 PALL 跻身 ETF 周涨幅之列</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-26 09:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul> <li><b>Gainers:</b>S&P Biotech Bull 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:LABU)+22%.</li> <li>Direxion Travel & Vacation Bull 2X ETF(NYSEARCA:OOTO)+21%.</li> <li>Semiconductor Bull 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:SOXL)+14%.</li> <li>Physical Palladium ETF(NYSEARCA:PALL)+13%.</li> <li>Ultrapro Russell 2000 ETF(NYSEARCA:URTY)+13%.</li> <li><b>Losers:</b></li> <li>Entrepreneur 30 Fund(NYSEARCA:ENTR)-35%.</li> <li>S&P Biotech Bear 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:LABD)-21%.</li> <li>Ershares Non-US Small Cap ETF(NYSEARCA:ERSX)-16%.</li> <li>Arrow DWA Tactic ETF(NASDAQ:DWAT)-16%.</li> <li>All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF(NYSEARCA:BCI)-15%.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>收益者：</b>标准普尔生物技术牛市 3 倍 Direxion（NYSEARCA：LABU）+22%。</li><li>Direxion Travel & Vacation Bull 2X ETF(NYSEARCA:OOTO)+21%。</li><li>半导体牛市 3 倍 Direxion(NYSEARCA:SOXL)+14%。</li><li>实物钯金 ETF（NYSEARCA：PALL）+13%。</li><li>Ultrapro Russell 2000 ETF(NYSEARCA:URTY)+13%。</li><li><b>失败者：</b></li><li>企业家30基金（NYSEARCA：ENTR）-35%。</li><li>标准普尔生物技术熊 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:LABD)-21%。</li><li>Ershares 非美国小型股 ETF(NYSEARCA:ERSX)-16%。</li><li>Arrow DWA Tactic ETF（纳斯达克股票代码：DWAT）-16%。</li><li>所有商品策略 K-1 免费 ETF(NYSEARCA:BCI)-15%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3783329-soxl-labu-and-pall-among-etf-weekly-movers\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOXL":"三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily","LABU":"三倍做多标普生物-Direxion","PALL":"abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3783329-soxl-labu-and-pall-among-etf-weekly-movers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121906206","content_text":"Gainers:S&P Biotech Bull 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:LABU)+22%.\nDirexion Travel & Vacation Bull 2X ETF(NYSEARCA:OOTO)+21%.\nSemiconductor Bull 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:SOXL)+14%.\nPhysical Palladium ETF(NYSEARCA:PALL)+13%.\nUltrapro Russell 2000 ETF(NYSEARCA:URTY)+13%.\nLosers:\nEntrepreneur 30 Fund(NYSEARCA:ENTR)-35%.\nS&P Biotech Bear 3X Direxion(NYSEARCA:LABD)-21%.\nErshares Non-US Small Cap ETF(NYSEARCA:ERSX)-16%.\nArrow DWA Tactic ETF(NASDAQ:DWAT)-16%.\nAll Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF(NYSEARCA:BCI)-15%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PALL":0.9,"SOXL":0.9,"LABU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698891601,"gmtCreate":1640331390053,"gmtModify":1640331634896,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698891601","repostId":"2193078140","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691516161,"gmtCreate":1640220075500,"gmtModify":1640220075824,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691516161","repostId":"2193113147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691516939,"gmtCreate":1640220058579,"gmtModify":1640220058878,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691516939","repostId":"1113181515","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1113181515","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640219427,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1113181515?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 08:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tencent to declare interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of class a ordinary shares of JD.com<blockquote>腾讯控股将以实物分派京东A类普通股的方式宣派中期股息</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113181515","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tencent announced today that it has resolved to declare a special interim dividend in the form of a ","content":"<p>Tencent announced today that it has resolved to declare a special interim dividend in the form of a distribution in specie of 457,326,671 Class A ordinary shares of JD.com (assuming there is no change in the total number of issued Shares from the date of this announcement to the Record Date) indirectly held by the Company through Huang River to the Shareholders whose names appear on the register of members of the Company on the Record Date in proportion to their then respective shareholdings in the Company on the basis of 1 Class A ordinary share of JD.com for every 21 Shares held by the Qualifying Shareholders, being rounded down to the nearest whole number of JD.com Shares.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股今日宣布，其议决以实物分派本公司通过黄河间接持有的457,326,671股京东A类普通股（假设自本公告日期起至记录日期已发行股份总数并无变动）的形式向于记录日期名列本公司股东名册的股东宣派特别中期股息，按合资格股东每持有21股股份获发1股京东A类普通股，并向下取整至最接近的京东股份整数。</blockquote></p><p> The exact total number of the JD.com Shares to be distributed by the Company is subject to such adjustments where appropriate and necessary in order to give effect to the Distribution in Specie on the basis of 1 Class A ordinary share of JD.com for every 21 Shares held on theRecord Date and such other arrangements in relation to the Distribution in Specie as set out in this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>本公司将予分派之京东股份之确切总数可予适当及必要调整，以落实按于记录日期每持有21股股份获发1股京东A类普通股基准进行实物分派及本公告所载有关实物分派之其他安排。</blockquote></p><p> Non-Qualifying Shareholders will not be entitled to receive the JD.com Shares and will instead receive cash in lieu of the JD.com Shares in respect of the Shares held by them on the basis of 1 Class A ordinary share of JD.com for every 21 Shares held on the Record Date.</p><p><blockquote>不合资格股东将无权收取京东股份，而是将就其所持股份收取现金以代替京东股份，基准为于记录日期每持有21股股份获发1股京东A类普通股。</blockquote></p><p> For determining entitlements to the Distribution in Specie, the register of members and transfer book of the Company will be closed from 24 January 2022, Monday to 25 January 2022, Tuesday, both days inclusive, during which period no transfer of Shares will be registered. In order to qualify for the Distribution in Specie, any document in respect of the transfer of Shares accompanied by the relevant share certificates must be lodged with the Company’s Hong Kong branch share registrar and transfer office, Computershare Hong Kong Investor Services Limited, at Shops 1712-1716, 17th Floor, Hopewell Centre, 183 Queen’s Road East, Wan Chai, Hong Kong for registration not later than 4:30 p.m. on 21 January 2022, Friday. The last day for dealing in Shares on the Stock Exchange with entitlements to the Distribution in Specie is expected to be 19 January 2022, Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>为厘定实物分派的权利，本公司将于二零二二年一月二十四日（星期一）至二零二二年一月二十五日（星期二）（包括首尾两天）暂停办理股份过户登记手续，期间将不会办理股份过户登记手续。为符合实物分派的资格，有关股份过户的任何文件连同有关股票必须于二零二二年一月二十一日（星期五）下午四时三十分前送达本公司的香港股份过户登记分处香港中央证券登记有限公司，地址为香港湾仔皇后大道东183号合和中心17楼1712-1716号铺，以便办理过户登记手续。有权获得实物分派的股份于联交所买卖的最后日期预期为二零二二年一月十九日（星期三）。</blockquote></p><p> JD.com also announced same things.JD.com is aware that Tencent Holdings Limited (“Tencent”), that currently owns indirectly approximately 17.0% of the Company’s outstanding shares, announced that it will distribute approximately 460 million Class A ordinary shares of the Company owned by Tencent to its shareholders. Immediately following the distribution, Tencent’s shareholding in the Company will be approximately 2.3%, and the shareholders of Tencent who receive shares of the Company in the distribution will become the shareholders of the Company. The Company and Tencent will continue to maintain their mutually beneficial business relationship, including their ongoing strategic partnership agreement.</p><p><blockquote>京东也宣布了同样的事情。京东获悉，目前间接拥有该公司约17.0%流通股的腾讯控股控股有限公司（“腾讯控股”）宣布将向其股东分配腾讯控股拥有的约4.6亿股公司A类普通股。紧随分配后，腾讯控股在公司的持股比例将约为2.3%，而在分配中获得公司股份的腾讯控股股东将成为公司股东。本公司与腾讯控股将继续维持互惠互利的业务关系，包括其正在进行的战略合作伙伴协议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tencent to declare interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of class a ordinary shares of JD.com<blockquote>腾讯控股将以实物分派京东A类普通股的方式宣派中期股息</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTencent to declare interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of class a ordinary shares of JD.com<blockquote>腾讯控股将以实物分派京东A类普通股的方式宣派中期股息</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-23 08:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tencent announced today that it has resolved to declare a special interim dividend in the form of a distribution in specie of 457,326,671 Class A ordinary shares of JD.com (assuming there is no change in the total number of issued Shares from the date of this announcement to the Record Date) indirectly held by the Company through Huang River to the Shareholders whose names appear on the register of members of the Company on the Record Date in proportion to their then respective shareholdings in the Company on the basis of 1 Class A ordinary share of JD.com for every 21 Shares held by the Qualifying Shareholders, being rounded down to the nearest whole number of JD.com Shares.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股今日宣布，其议决以实物分派本公司通过黄河间接持有的457,326,671股京东A类普通股（假设自本公告日期起至记录日期已发行股份总数并无变动）的形式向于记录日期名列本公司股东名册的股东宣派特别中期股息，按合资格股东每持有21股股份获发1股京东A类普通股，并向下取整至最接近的京东股份整数。</blockquote></p><p> The exact total number of the JD.com Shares to be distributed by the Company is subject to such adjustments where appropriate and necessary in order to give effect to the Distribution in Specie on the basis of 1 Class A ordinary share of JD.com for every 21 Shares held on theRecord Date and such other arrangements in relation to the Distribution in Specie as set out in this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>本公司将予分派之京东股份之确切总数可予适当及必要调整，以落实按于记录日期每持有21股股份获发1股京东A类普通股基准进行实物分派及本公告所载有关实物分派之其他安排。</blockquote></p><p> Non-Qualifying Shareholders will not be entitled to receive the JD.com Shares and will instead receive cash in lieu of the JD.com Shares in respect of the Shares held by them on the basis of 1 Class A ordinary share of JD.com for every 21 Shares held on the Record Date.</p><p><blockquote>不合资格股东将无权收取京东股份，而是将就其所持股份收取现金以代替京东股份，基准为于记录日期每持有21股股份获发1股京东A类普通股。</blockquote></p><p> For determining entitlements to the Distribution in Specie, the register of members and transfer book of the Company will be closed from 24 January 2022, Monday to 25 January 2022, Tuesday, both days inclusive, during which period no transfer of Shares will be registered. In order to qualify for the Distribution in Specie, any document in respect of the transfer of Shares accompanied by the relevant share certificates must be lodged with the Company’s Hong Kong branch share registrar and transfer office, Computershare Hong Kong Investor Services Limited, at Shops 1712-1716, 17th Floor, Hopewell Centre, 183 Queen’s Road East, Wan Chai, Hong Kong for registration not later than 4:30 p.m. on 21 January 2022, Friday. The last day for dealing in Shares on the Stock Exchange with entitlements to the Distribution in Specie is expected to be 19 January 2022, Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>为厘定实物分派的权利，本公司将于二零二二年一月二十四日（星期一）至二零二二年一月二十五日（星期二）（包括首尾两天）暂停办理股份过户登记手续，期间将不会办理股份过户登记手续。为符合实物分派的资格，有关股份过户的任何文件连同有关股票必须于二零二二年一月二十一日（星期五）下午四时三十分前送达本公司的香港股份过户登记分处香港中央证券登记有限公司，地址为香港湾仔皇后大道东183号合和中心17楼1712-1716号铺，以便办理过户登记手续。有权获得实物分派的股份于联交所买卖的最后日期预期为二零二二年一月十九日（星期三）。</blockquote></p><p> JD.com also announced same things.JD.com is aware that Tencent Holdings Limited (“Tencent”), that currently owns indirectly approximately 17.0% of the Company’s outstanding shares, announced that it will distribute approximately 460 million Class A ordinary shares of the Company owned by Tencent to its shareholders. Immediately following the distribution, Tencent’s shareholding in the Company will be approximately 2.3%, and the shareholders of Tencent who receive shares of the Company in the distribution will become the shareholders of the Company. The Company and Tencent will continue to maintain their mutually beneficial business relationship, including their ongoing strategic partnership agreement.</p><p><blockquote>京东也宣布了同样的事情。京东获悉，目前间接拥有该公司约17.0%流通股的腾讯控股控股有限公司（“腾讯控股”）宣布将向其股东分配腾讯控股拥有的约4.6亿股公司A类普通股。紧随分配后，腾讯控股在公司的持股比例将约为2.3%，而在分配中获得公司股份的腾讯控股股东将成为公司股东。本公司与腾讯控股将继续维持互惠互利的业务关系，包括其正在进行的战略合作伙伴协议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JD":"京东","09618":"京东集团-SW","00700":"腾讯控股","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113181515","content_text":"Tencent announced today that it has resolved to declare a special interim dividend in the form of a distribution in specie of 457,326,671 Class A ordinary shares of JD.com (assuming there is no change in the total number of issued Shares from the date of this announcement to the Record Date) indirectly held by the Company through Huang River to the Shareholders whose names appear on the register of members of the Company on the Record Date in proportion to their then respective shareholdings in the Company on the basis of 1 Class A ordinary share of JD.com for every 21 Shares held by the Qualifying Shareholders, being rounded down to the nearest whole number of JD.com Shares.\nThe exact total number of the JD.com Shares to be distributed by the Company is subject to such adjustments where appropriate and necessary in order to give effect to the Distribution in Specie on the basis of 1 Class A ordinary share of JD.com for every 21 Shares held on theRecord Date and such other arrangements in relation to the Distribution in Specie as set out in this announcement.\nNon-Qualifying Shareholders will not be entitled to receive the JD.com Shares and will instead receive cash in lieu of the JD.com Shares in respect of the Shares held by them on the basis of 1 Class A ordinary share of JD.com for every 21 Shares held on the Record Date.\nFor determining entitlements to the Distribution in Specie, the register of members and transfer book of the Company will be closed from 24 January 2022, Monday to 25 January 2022, Tuesday, both days inclusive, during which period no transfer of Shares will be registered. In order to qualify for the Distribution in Specie, any document in respect of the transfer of Shares accompanied by the relevant share certificates must be lodged with the Company’s Hong Kong branch share registrar and transfer office, Computershare Hong Kong Investor Services Limited, at Shops 1712-1716, 17th Floor, Hopewell Centre, 183 Queen’s Road East, Wan Chai, Hong Kong for registration not later than 4:30 p.m. on 21 January 2022, Friday. The last day for dealing in Shares on the Stock Exchange with entitlements to the Distribution in Specie is expected to be 19 January 2022, Wednesday.\nJD.com also announced same things.JD.com is aware that Tencent Holdings Limited (“Tencent”), that currently owns indirectly approximately 17.0% of the Company’s outstanding shares, announced that it will distribute approximately 460 million Class A ordinary shares of the Company owned by Tencent to its shareholders. Immediately following the distribution, Tencent’s shareholding in the Company will be approximately 2.3%, and the shareholders of Tencent who receive shares of the Company in the distribution will become the shareholders of the Company. The Company and Tencent will continue to maintain their mutually beneficial business relationship, including their ongoing strategic partnership agreement.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JD":0.9,"TCEHY":0.9,"09618":0.9,"00700":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691175788,"gmtCreate":1640156640240,"gmtModify":1640156640536,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691175788","repostId":"1123940793","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1123940793","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640153635,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1123940793?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 14:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Rivian Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?<blockquote>Rivian股票是买入、卖出还是持有？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123940793","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nRivian stock has dropped more than 25% since our last Neutral call.\nThe company reported a ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Rivian stock has dropped more than 25% since our last Neutral call.</li> <li>The company reported a slight production target miss in its FQ3 earnings call. However, we don't think investors should be overly worried.</li> <li>We discuss why we think RIVN stock is a Buy now.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69bdd77748b1c27c695aff2846bb30c6\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自上次中性看涨期权以来，Rivian股价已下跌超过 25%。</li><li>该公司在第三季度收益看涨期权中报告称，产量目标略有低于预期。不过，我们认为投资者不必过度担心。</li><li>我们讨论为什么我们认为 RIVN 股票现在值得买入。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>迈克尔·M·圣地亚哥/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) recently released its first earnings reports for FQ3'21 as a public company. Notably, the company missed its 1,200 vehicle production target by \"a few hundred vehicles.\" However, we weren't surprised, given the current supply chain bottlenecks and the challenges in ramping production. Moreover, we don't think investors should be unduly concerned about its short-term production goal. Management was clear as it emphasized that its long-term production targets remain unaffected.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian汽车公司 (RIVN) 最近作为上市公司发布了 2021 年第三季度的第一份收益报告。值得注意的是，该公司距离 1,200 辆汽车的产量目标差了“几百辆”。然而，考虑到当前的供应链瓶颈和提高产量的挑战，我们并不感到惊讶。此外，我们认为投资者不应过度担心其短期生产目标。管理层明确强调其长期生产目标不受影响。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, we believe that ramping production successfully will continue to be a key hurdle facing CEO RJ Scaringe & Co. Investors sent the stock tumbling after its earnings report, which we believe the market took the opportunity to pare down risk. After all, RIVN stock had traded at an incredible market cap of $112.8B when we wrote our previous article. Following the recent sell-off, Rivian's market cap has dropped to $88B. Therefore, we believe it's an appropriate time to revisit our thesis on RIVN stock post-FQ3 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们相信成功提高产量仍将是首席执行官 RJ Scaringe & Co. 面临的主要障碍。投资者在财报发布后导致该股暴跌，我们认为市场借此机会降低了风险。毕竟，当我们撰写上一篇文章时，RIVN 股票的市值达到了令人难以置信的 $112.8B。继最近的抛售之后，Rivian 的市值已降至 $88B。因此，我们认为现在是重新审视我们关于 RIVN 股票第三季度后收益的论点的合适时机。</blockquote></p><p> We also discuss why we think the stock seems fairly valued now.</p><p><blockquote>我们还讨论了为什么我们认为该股票现在的估值似乎合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rivian Market Cap Trend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Rivian市值趋势</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a528b02874c529215e0428c40adc5ad1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RIVN market cap analysis (as of 17 December'21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RIVN市值分析（截至21年12月17日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Readers can quickly glean that Rivian's market cap has dropped dramatically back to where it started life as a public company. It last registered a market cap of $88B, while it began trading with a market cap of $83.6B in early November.</p><p><blockquote>读者很快就会发现，Rivian 的市值已大幅回落至其作为上市公司的起点。它最后一次注册的市值为 88B 美元，而它在 11 月初开始交易的市值为 83.6B 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, Rivian's market cap still exceeded Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) market cap even as it just started making deliveries in September. Some investors find it incredulous that a company that hasn't even ramped production could be worth more than both the US auto leaders.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Rivian 的市值仍然超过了福特 (F) 和通用汽车 (GM) 的市值，尽管它在 9 月份才开始交付。一些投资者觉得难以置信，一家甚至没有提高产量的公司竟然比两家美国汽车巨头的价值还要高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why We Think Rivian Investors Remain Optimistic Post-FQ3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么我们认为Rivian投资者在第三季度后保持乐观</b></blockquote></p><p> Rivian's report card wasn't a disaster, even if the company missed its production guidance for 2021. CEO RJ Scaringe offered assurances as he emphasized (edited):</p><p><blockquote>Rivian 的成绩单并不是一场灾难，即使该公司错过了 2021 年的生产指导。首席执行官 RJ Scaringe 提供了保证，他强调（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p> For 2021, <i>we expect to produce a few hundred vehicles short of our initial 1,200 vehicle production target</i>. We do not believe any of our supply chain challenges represent long-term systemic issues. We remain well-positioned to capture and drive the accelerated large-scale adoption of sustainable transportation. However, a small number of suppliers or small number of components may be ramping a little slower, creating constraints or bottlenecks. Those challenges have been really a focal point for us over the last two and a half, three months. <i>But, these issues are short-term in nature and they are solvable problems</i>. So, we don't see any long-term systemic challenges associated with ramping the supply chain. (Rivian's FQ3'21 earnings call) <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36ec61d947f0a1da5f4d5883a8941a7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Rivian planned production capacity and delivery consensus estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ, Barron's</span></p><p><blockquote>2021年，<i>我们预计生产几百辆汽车，低于最初 1,200 辆汽车的生产目标</i>我们不认为我们的任何供应链挑战代表长期的系统性问题。我们仍然处于有利地位，能够抓住和推动可持续交通的加速大规模采用。然而，少数供应商或少数组件的速度可能会稍微慢一些，从而造成限制或瓶颈。在过去的两个半月到三个月里，这些挑战确实是我们关注的焦点。<i>但是，这些问题本质上是短期的，是可以解决的问题</i>因此，我们看不到任何与提升供应链相关的长期系统性挑战。（Rivian 2021 年第三季度盈利看涨期权）<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Rivian计划产能和交付共识估计。数据来源：S&P Capital IQ、巴伦周刊</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Rivian telegraphed that it would be commencing its new Georgia production facility in mid'22 and ready to begin production from 2024. Georgia's planned annual run rate is estimated at 400K. Therefore, it would afford Rivian a collective annual production capacity of 600K if we include its Illinois facility. Nevertheless, the company did not specify how long it would take to ramp production to its planned capacity. However, consensus estimates point to a relatively positive ramp through FY25. As a result, Rivian is estimated to deliver about 40K of vehicles in FY22. However, it would reach the 360K milestone by FY25, registering an estimated delivery CAGR of 108%. Its 360K estimate includes the 100K EDV orders from its exclusive last-mile delivery partner and cornerstone investor Amazon (AMZN).</p><p><blockquote>Rivian电报称，该公司将于 2022 年中期在佐治亚州启动新的生产设施，并准备从 2024 年开始生产。佐治亚州的计划年运行率估计为40万。因此，如果算上伊利诺伊州工厂，Rivian的年产能将达到 60 万辆。不过，该公司没有具体说明将产量提高到计划产能需要多长时间。然而，共识估计表明，2025 财年将出现相对积极的增长。因此，Rivian预计将在 2022 财年交付约 4 万辆汽车。然而，到 25 财年，它将达到 36 万辆的里程碑，预计交付复合年增长率为 108%。其 36 万份估计包括来自其独家最后一英里配送合作伙伴和基石投资者亚马逊 (AMZN) 的 10 万份 EDV 订单。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> There's little doubt that the delivery cadence estimates look very aggressive. But, if done well, it's also not impossible. Keen investors should recall that Tesla (TSLA) took just two years to ramp Giga Shanghai from zero to its current 600K annual run rate. It has even recently made new investments to enhance its production capacity further. Rivian also seems highly confident that they can ramp successfully, as CEO RJ Scaringe emphasized (edited):</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，交付节奏的估计看起来非常激进。但是，如果做得好，这也不是不可能的。敏锐的投资者应该还记得，特斯拉 (TSLA) 仅用了两年时间就将 Giga Shanghai 从零提高到目前 60 万辆的年运行率。它最近甚至进行了新的投资，以进一步提高其产能。正如首席执行官 RJ Scaringe 强调的那样，Rivian似乎也对他们能够成功实现增长充满信心（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p> We've architected the product development to be capable of running more than one program and launching more than one program at once, but also to have those fast feedback loops between the different programs. So with that, the commercial van has actually learned a lot from the R1 platform and the R1 platform launch. What you see in terms of the facility in Georgia, is key for us from an expansion point of view. We're quite confident in the path ahead. All three of our vehicles have been certified for sale and they're being produced on two different production lines. <i>The organization was architected to facilitate running and operating multiple programs at the same time</i>. And so as we now look at what the ramp will look like for both R1T and R1S into next year, it really positions us to rapidly grow through the course of 2022. (Rivian's FQ3'21 earnings call) While it's still early, Rivian investors are undoubtedly confident that the company can deliver on its production cadence to meet its delivery milestones. The company is not facing a demand issue compared to short-term supply constraints. They updated that R1 orders have climbed to 71K from 55K in the previous update. Nevertheless, these are cancelable orders, as their delivery timeline has been stretched to 2023 if a new order is placed now. Given that auto leaders General Motors, Ford, and Tesla will also be expected to compete with their pickup trucks soon, Rivian must maintain its production cadence. Therefore, we encourage investors to monitor their production milestones very carefully moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>我们设计了产品开发，使其能够运行多个程序并同时启动多个程序，同时还能在不同程序之间实现快速反馈循环。因此，商用厢式货车实际上从R1平台和R1平台发布中学到了很多东西。从扩张的角度来看，您在佐治亚州的工厂对我们来说至关重要。我们对前进的道路很有信心。我们的所有三款车辆都已获得销售认证，并在两条不同的生产线上生产。<i>该组织的架构是为了便于同时运行和操作多个程序</i>.因此，当我们现在看到明年 R1T 和 R1S 的斜坡时，它确实使我们能够在 2022 年快速增长。（Rivian 的 2021 年第三季度盈利看涨期权）虽然现在还为时尚早，但Rivian投资者无疑对该公司能够加快生产节奏以实现交付里程碑充满信心。与短期供应限制相比，该公司并未面临需求问题。他们更新说，R1订单已经从上次更新的5.5万攀升到7.1万。尽管如此，这些都是可取消的订单，因为如果现在下新订单，它们的交货时间表已延长至 2023 年。鉴于汽车领导者通用汽车、福特和特斯拉预计也将很快与他们的皮卡车竞争，Rivian必须保持其生产节奏。因此，我们鼓励投资者在未来非常仔细地监控其生产里程碑。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investors Must Carefully Monitor Amazon's EDV Range</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者必须仔细监控亚马逊的 EDV 产品系列</b></blockquote></p><p> The partnership with Amazon is critical to jumpstarting Rivian's ambitions into the commercial fleet segment. Not only does it offer the opportunity of massive fleet sales, but it also sells its fleet management subscriptions as part of its commercial sales. Consequently, it introduces a recurring software revenue stream component on top of its hardware revenue. It also applies to the Amazon fleet, as Rivian accentuated: \"That software subscription goes live basically now on the commercial side.\"</p><p><blockquote>与亚马逊的合作对于启动 Rivian 进军商业车队领域的雄心至关重要。它不仅提供了大规模车队销售的机会，还将其车队管理订阅作为商业销售的一部分出售。因此，除了硬件收入之外，它还引入了一个经常性的软件收入流组成部分。这也适用于亚马逊车队，正如Rivian强调的那样：“该软件订阅现在基本上已经在商业方面上线。”</blockquote></p><p> Rivian is expected to deliver 10K EDV by 2022 following \"months of testing in 15 cities.\" Investors should remember that Amazon retains the right to change its number of orders. Therefore it's critical that Rivian can meet Amazon's expectations. We believe it has also driven Rivian to ramp production quickly. Given how quickly they secured their second production facility, we believe that the company seems confident in meeting its production targets, and consequently, Amazon's orders.</p><p><blockquote>经过“在 15 个城市进行数月的测试”，Rivian预计到 2022 年将交付 1 万台 EDV。投资者应该记住，亚马逊保留更改其订单数量的权利。因此，Rivian能够满足亚马逊的期望至关重要。我们相信这也促使Rivian迅速提高产量。考虑到他们获得第二个生产设施的速度，我们相信该公司似乎有信心实现其生产目标，从而实现亚马逊的订单。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian emphasized that its EDV is capable of 201 miles range, and it is on track to deliver its vehicles to Amazon. However, a previous report by The Information highlighted some challenges in Amazon's testing, on top of its battery draining problem. The Information reported (edited):</p><p><blockquote>Rivian强调，其 EDV 的续航里程为 201 英里，并且有望向亚马逊交付车辆。然而，《信息报》之前的一份报告强调了亚马逊测试中的一些挑战，除了电池耗尽问题之外。报告信息（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p> Rivian said the Amazon vans would have a range of between 120 miles and 150 miles depending on their size. But one driver involved in testing the vans said the range could be much less, depending on the weather. The driver who spoke to The Information said the battery drained about 40% faster than normal if the van’s heating or cooling was on. As a result, drivers have been testing the vans on what they dubbed “nursery routes,” where vans didn’t venture too far away from the contractors’ headquarters. (The Information) Nevertheless, Amazon's director of Global Fleets and Products, Ross Rachey, noted that once the vans are in production, \"they would have a range of 150 miles, which is double the range of the majority of Amazon's routes.\" Notably, the company also quickly emphasized that these test vans are not fully developed yet.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian表示，亚马逊货车的续航里程将在 120 英里至 150 英里之间，具体取决于其尺寸。但一名参与测试货车的司机表示，根据天气情况，续航里程可能会短得多。接受《信息报》采访的司机说，如果面包车开着暖气或冷却装置，电池的耗尽速度会比正常情况快 40% 左右。因此，司机们一直在他们所谓的 “苗圃路线 ”上测试货车，在这些路线上，货车不会冒险离开承包商总部太远。（The Information）尽管如此，亚马逊全球车队和产品总监 Ross Rachey 指出，一旦这些货车投入生产，“它们的续航里程将达到 150 英里，是亚马逊大多数路线续航里程的两倍。”值得注意的是，该公司还很快强调，这些测试货车尚未完全开发。</blockquote></p><p> We believe a successful launch program with Amazon could open up many potential opportunities outside of the Last Mile segment. Investors should note that Amazon's exclusive partnership with Rivian is limited to Last Mile. But, the commercial space is much larger than the Last Mile segment. Rivian also raved about its market opportunities in the larger commercial space, as Scaringe added (edited):</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，与亚马逊的成功发布计划可以在最后一英里领域之外开辟许多潜在的机会。投资者应该注意，亚马逊与Rivian的独家合作仅限于最后一英里。但是，商业空间比最后一英里段大得多。Rivian还对其在更大的商业空间中的市场机会赞不绝口，斯卡林奇补充道（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <i>Amazon represents such a large pool of demand for us.</i>So it's really critical that we do not starve them of vehicles. Nevertheless, the RCV platform was architected and designed <i>fully contemplating vehicles beyond Last Mile, such as in the cargo space</i>, or in the workspace. So there's a whole host of opportunities that exists both in large volumes, but also across a very long spread-out tail of commercial applications. Thus, we also have an eye on launching non-EDV versions on the RCV platform to capitalize on these opportunities. (Rivian's FQ3'21 earnings call) <b>So, is RIVN Stock a Buy/Hold/Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><i>亚马逊代表了我们如此庞大的需求。</i>因此，我们不要让他们挨饿，这一点非常重要。然而，RCV平台的架构和设计<i>充分考虑最后一英里以外的车辆，例如货舱</i>，或在工作区中。因此，有一大堆机会，既存在于大量，也存在于一个非常长的商业应用尾部。因此，我们也着眼于在RCV平台上推出非EDV版本，以利用这些机会。（Rivian 2021 年第三季度盈利看涨期权）<b>那么，RIVN股票现在是买入/持有/卖出吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/264dc3dc91fc844d920e73a7f69cf920\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Rivian revenue and adjusted EBIT margins mean consensus estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Rivian收入和调整后息税前利润率是普遍预期。数据来源：S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1069e7fc16920da396615f6df6ff5951\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RIVN and TSLA stock EV/Fwd Revenue valuation comps. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RIVN 和 TSLA 股票 EV/Fwd 收入估值比较。数据来源：S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Consensus estimates point to a largely successful ramp, as we explained earlier. As a result, Rivian's revenue is estimated to reach $27.84B by FY25. However, the company is not expected to be profitable based on adjusted EBIT margins by then. Therefore, investors are encouraged to monitor its production ramp and profitability dynamics moving forward carefully.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们之前解释的那样，共识估计指向一个很大程度上成功的斜坡。因此，到 2025 财年，Rivian 的收入预计将达到 27.84B 美元。然而，根据调整后的息税前利润率，预计该公司届时不会盈利。因此，鼓励投资者仔细监控其产量增长和盈利能力动态。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, its valuations have dropped significantly since its earlier momentum spike. The stock has declined more than 25% since our Neutral call, as we encouraged investors to wait for the dip.</p><p><blockquote>然而，自早些时候的势头飙升以来，其估值已大幅下降。自我们采取中性看涨期权以来，该股已下跌超过 25%，因为我们鼓励投资者等待下跌。</blockquote></p><p> If we consider Rivian's valuations against Tesla moving forward, it may seem more reasonable than the EV leader. However, investors should note that Tesla is already a solidly profitable EV maker. It also has proven its production ramp capabilities exceptionally well. Moreover, its brand value has also increased tremendously globally. Therefore, comparing their revenue multiples directly without adjusting for Tesla's advantages would not make sense.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们将 Rivian 的估值与特斯拉的估值进行比较，它似乎比电动汽车领导者更合理。然而，投资者应该注意到，特斯拉已经是一家盈利稳健的电动汽车制造商。它还证明了其出色的生产能力。此外，其品牌价值在全球范围内也大幅增长。因此，在不调整特斯拉优势的情况下直接比较它们的收入倍数是没有意义的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on Rivian stock's EV/FY25 revenue multiple of 3.4x, it's trading at 50% of Tesla's FY25 revenue multiple. Therefore, we think RIVN stock looks fairly valued now. Nevertheless, we believe that RIVN stock remains a highly speculative play. However, the company seems to be getting well on track to meet its mid-term production guidance. Therefore, the current weakness could offer speculative investors a potential opportunity to add exposure at a more reasonable valuation.</p><p><blockquote>根据Rivian股票 3.4 倍的 EV/25 财年收入倍数，其交易价格是特斯拉 25 财年收入倍数的 50%。因此，我们认为 RIVN 股票现在看起来估值合理。尽管如此，我们认为 RIVN 股票仍然是一个高度投机性的股票。然而，该公司似乎正在顺利实现中期生产指导。因此，当前的疲软可能会为投机投资者提供一个以更合理的估值增加风险敞口的潜在机会。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently,<i>we revise our rating on RIVN stock to Buy.</i>However, we would like to caution that RIVN stock may be suitable for speculative investors only. Moreover, the stock could continue to exhibit tremendous volatility. Therefore, investors are encouraged to add in phases.</p><p><blockquote>因此，<i>我们将 RIVN 股票的评级修改为买入。</i>然而，我们想提醒的是，RIVN 股票可能只适合投机投资者。此外，该股可能会继续表现出巨大的波动性。因此，鼓励投资者分阶段增持。</blockquote></p><p> This article was written by JR Research.</p><p><blockquote>本文由JR Research撰写。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Rivian Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?<blockquote>Rivian股票是买入、卖出还是持有？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Rivian Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?<blockquote>Rivian股票是买入、卖出还是持有？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-22 14:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Rivian stock has dropped more than 25% since our last Neutral call.</li> <li>The company reported a slight production target miss in its FQ3 earnings call. However, we don't think investors should be overly worried.</li> <li>We discuss why we think RIVN stock is a Buy now.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69bdd77748b1c27c695aff2846bb30c6\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自上次中性看涨期权以来，Rivian股价已下跌超过 25%。</li><li>该公司在第三季度收益看涨期权中报告称，产量目标略有低于预期。不过，我们认为投资者不必过度担心。</li><li>我们讨论为什么我们认为 RIVN 股票现在值得买入。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>迈克尔·M·圣地亚哥/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) recently released its first earnings reports for FQ3'21 as a public company. Notably, the company missed its 1,200 vehicle production target by \"a few hundred vehicles.\" However, we weren't surprised, given the current supply chain bottlenecks and the challenges in ramping production. Moreover, we don't think investors should be unduly concerned about its short-term production goal. Management was clear as it emphasized that its long-term production targets remain unaffected.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian汽车公司 (RIVN) 最近作为上市公司发布了 2021 年第三季度的第一份收益报告。值得注意的是，该公司距离 1,200 辆汽车的产量目标差了“几百辆”。然而，考虑到当前的供应链瓶颈和提高产量的挑战，我们并不感到惊讶。此外，我们认为投资者不应过度担心其短期生产目标。管理层明确强调其长期生产目标不受影响。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, we believe that ramping production successfully will continue to be a key hurdle facing CEO RJ Scaringe & Co. Investors sent the stock tumbling after its earnings report, which we believe the market took the opportunity to pare down risk. After all, RIVN stock had traded at an incredible market cap of $112.8B when we wrote our previous article. Following the recent sell-off, Rivian's market cap has dropped to $88B. Therefore, we believe it's an appropriate time to revisit our thesis on RIVN stock post-FQ3 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们相信成功提高产量仍将是首席执行官 RJ Scaringe & Co. 面临的主要障碍。投资者在财报发布后导致该股暴跌，我们认为市场借此机会降低了风险。毕竟，当我们撰写上一篇文章时，RIVN 股票的市值达到了令人难以置信的 $112.8B。继最近的抛售之后，Rivian 的市值已降至 $88B。因此，我们认为现在是重新审视我们关于 RIVN 股票第三季度后收益的论点的合适时机。</blockquote></p><p> We also discuss why we think the stock seems fairly valued now.</p><p><blockquote>我们还讨论了为什么我们认为该股票现在的估值似乎合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rivian Market Cap Trend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Rivian市值趋势</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a528b02874c529215e0428c40adc5ad1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RIVN market cap analysis (as of 17 December'21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RIVN市值分析（截至21年12月17日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Readers can quickly glean that Rivian's market cap has dropped dramatically back to where it started life as a public company. It last registered a market cap of $88B, while it began trading with a market cap of $83.6B in early November.</p><p><blockquote>读者很快就会发现，Rivian 的市值已大幅回落至其作为上市公司的起点。它最后一次注册的市值为 88B 美元，而它在 11 月初开始交易的市值为 83.6B 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, Rivian's market cap still exceeded Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) market cap even as it just started making deliveries in September. Some investors find it incredulous that a company that hasn't even ramped production could be worth more than both the US auto leaders.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Rivian 的市值仍然超过了福特 (F) 和通用汽车 (GM) 的市值，尽管它在 9 月份才开始交付。一些投资者觉得难以置信，一家甚至没有提高产量的公司竟然比两家美国汽车巨头的价值还要高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why We Think Rivian Investors Remain Optimistic Post-FQ3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么我们认为Rivian投资者在第三季度后保持乐观</b></blockquote></p><p> Rivian's report card wasn't a disaster, even if the company missed its production guidance for 2021. CEO RJ Scaringe offered assurances as he emphasized (edited):</p><p><blockquote>Rivian 的成绩单并不是一场灾难，即使该公司错过了 2021 年的生产指导。首席执行官 RJ Scaringe 提供了保证，他强调（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p> For 2021, <i>we expect to produce a few hundred vehicles short of our initial 1,200 vehicle production target</i>. We do not believe any of our supply chain challenges represent long-term systemic issues. We remain well-positioned to capture and drive the accelerated large-scale adoption of sustainable transportation. However, a small number of suppliers or small number of components may be ramping a little slower, creating constraints or bottlenecks. Those challenges have been really a focal point for us over the last two and a half, three months. <i>But, these issues are short-term in nature and they are solvable problems</i>. So, we don't see any long-term systemic challenges associated with ramping the supply chain. (Rivian's FQ3'21 earnings call) <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36ec61d947f0a1da5f4d5883a8941a7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Rivian planned production capacity and delivery consensus estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ, Barron's</span></p><p><blockquote>2021年，<i>我们预计生产几百辆汽车，低于最初 1,200 辆汽车的生产目标</i>我们不认为我们的任何供应链挑战代表长期的系统性问题。我们仍然处于有利地位，能够抓住和推动可持续交通的加速大规模采用。然而，少数供应商或少数组件的速度可能会稍微慢一些，从而造成限制或瓶颈。在过去的两个半月到三个月里，这些挑战确实是我们关注的焦点。<i>但是，这些问题本质上是短期的，是可以解决的问题</i>因此，我们看不到任何与提升供应链相关的长期系统性挑战。（Rivian 2021 年第三季度盈利看涨期权）<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Rivian计划产能和交付共识估计。数据来源：S&P Capital IQ、巴伦周刊</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Rivian telegraphed that it would be commencing its new Georgia production facility in mid'22 and ready to begin production from 2024. Georgia's planned annual run rate is estimated at 400K. Therefore, it would afford Rivian a collective annual production capacity of 600K if we include its Illinois facility. Nevertheless, the company did not specify how long it would take to ramp production to its planned capacity. However, consensus estimates point to a relatively positive ramp through FY25. As a result, Rivian is estimated to deliver about 40K of vehicles in FY22. However, it would reach the 360K milestone by FY25, registering an estimated delivery CAGR of 108%. Its 360K estimate includes the 100K EDV orders from its exclusive last-mile delivery partner and cornerstone investor Amazon (AMZN).</p><p><blockquote>Rivian电报称，该公司将于 2022 年中期在佐治亚州启动新的生产设施，并准备从 2024 年开始生产。佐治亚州的计划年运行率估计为40万。因此，如果算上伊利诺伊州工厂，Rivian的年产能将达到 60 万辆。不过，该公司没有具体说明将产量提高到计划产能需要多长时间。然而，共识估计表明，2025 财年将出现相对积极的增长。因此，Rivian预计将在 2022 财年交付约 4 万辆汽车。然而，到 25 财年，它将达到 36 万辆的里程碑，预计交付复合年增长率为 108%。其 36 万份估计包括来自其独家最后一英里配送合作伙伴和基石投资者亚马逊 (AMZN) 的 10 万份 EDV 订单。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> There's little doubt that the delivery cadence estimates look very aggressive. But, if done well, it's also not impossible. Keen investors should recall that Tesla (TSLA) took just two years to ramp Giga Shanghai from zero to its current 600K annual run rate. It has even recently made new investments to enhance its production capacity further. Rivian also seems highly confident that they can ramp successfully, as CEO RJ Scaringe emphasized (edited):</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，交付节奏的估计看起来非常激进。但是，如果做得好，这也不是不可能的。敏锐的投资者应该还记得，特斯拉 (TSLA) 仅用了两年时间就将 Giga Shanghai 从零提高到目前 60 万辆的年运行率。它最近甚至进行了新的投资，以进一步提高其产能。正如首席执行官 RJ Scaringe 强调的那样，Rivian似乎也对他们能够成功实现增长充满信心（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p> We've architected the product development to be capable of running more than one program and launching more than one program at once, but also to have those fast feedback loops between the different programs. So with that, the commercial van has actually learned a lot from the R1 platform and the R1 platform launch. What you see in terms of the facility in Georgia, is key for us from an expansion point of view. We're quite confident in the path ahead. All three of our vehicles have been certified for sale and they're being produced on two different production lines. <i>The organization was architected to facilitate running and operating multiple programs at the same time</i>. And so as we now look at what the ramp will look like for both R1T and R1S into next year, it really positions us to rapidly grow through the course of 2022. (Rivian's FQ3'21 earnings call) While it's still early, Rivian investors are undoubtedly confident that the company can deliver on its production cadence to meet its delivery milestones. The company is not facing a demand issue compared to short-term supply constraints. They updated that R1 orders have climbed to 71K from 55K in the previous update. Nevertheless, these are cancelable orders, as their delivery timeline has been stretched to 2023 if a new order is placed now. Given that auto leaders General Motors, Ford, and Tesla will also be expected to compete with their pickup trucks soon, Rivian must maintain its production cadence. Therefore, we encourage investors to monitor their production milestones very carefully moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>我们设计了产品开发，使其能够运行多个程序并同时启动多个程序，同时还能在不同程序之间实现快速反馈循环。因此，商用厢式货车实际上从R1平台和R1平台发布中学到了很多东西。从扩张的角度来看，您在佐治亚州的工厂对我们来说至关重要。我们对前进的道路很有信心。我们的所有三款车辆都已获得销售认证，并在两条不同的生产线上生产。<i>该组织的架构是为了便于同时运行和操作多个程序</i>.因此，当我们现在看到明年 R1T 和 R1S 的斜坡时，它确实使我们能够在 2022 年快速增长。（Rivian 的 2021 年第三季度盈利看涨期权）虽然现在还为时尚早，但Rivian投资者无疑对该公司能够加快生产节奏以实现交付里程碑充满信心。与短期供应限制相比，该公司并未面临需求问题。他们更新说，R1订单已经从上次更新的5.5万攀升到7.1万。尽管如此，这些都是可取消的订单，因为如果现在下新订单，它们的交货时间表已延长至 2023 年。鉴于汽车领导者通用汽车、福特和特斯拉预计也将很快与他们的皮卡车竞争，Rivian必须保持其生产节奏。因此，我们鼓励投资者在未来非常仔细地监控其生产里程碑。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investors Must Carefully Monitor Amazon's EDV Range</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者必须仔细监控亚马逊的 EDV 产品系列</b></blockquote></p><p> The partnership with Amazon is critical to jumpstarting Rivian's ambitions into the commercial fleet segment. Not only does it offer the opportunity of massive fleet sales, but it also sells its fleet management subscriptions as part of its commercial sales. Consequently, it introduces a recurring software revenue stream component on top of its hardware revenue. It also applies to the Amazon fleet, as Rivian accentuated: \"That software subscription goes live basically now on the commercial side.\"</p><p><blockquote>与亚马逊的合作对于启动 Rivian 进军商业车队领域的雄心至关重要。它不仅提供了大规模车队销售的机会，还将其车队管理订阅作为商业销售的一部分出售。因此，除了硬件收入之外，它还引入了一个经常性的软件收入流组成部分。这也适用于亚马逊车队，正如Rivian强调的那样：“该软件订阅现在基本上已经在商业方面上线。”</blockquote></p><p> Rivian is expected to deliver 10K EDV by 2022 following \"months of testing in 15 cities.\" Investors should remember that Amazon retains the right to change its number of orders. Therefore it's critical that Rivian can meet Amazon's expectations. We believe it has also driven Rivian to ramp production quickly. Given how quickly they secured their second production facility, we believe that the company seems confident in meeting its production targets, and consequently, Amazon's orders.</p><p><blockquote>经过“在 15 个城市进行数月的测试”，Rivian预计到 2022 年将交付 1 万台 EDV。投资者应该记住，亚马逊保留更改其订单数量的权利。因此，Rivian能够满足亚马逊的期望至关重要。我们相信这也促使Rivian迅速提高产量。考虑到他们获得第二个生产设施的速度，我们相信该公司似乎有信心实现其生产目标，从而实现亚马逊的订单。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian emphasized that its EDV is capable of 201 miles range, and it is on track to deliver its vehicles to Amazon. However, a previous report by The Information highlighted some challenges in Amazon's testing, on top of its battery draining problem. The Information reported (edited):</p><p><blockquote>Rivian强调，其 EDV 的续航里程为 201 英里，并且有望向亚马逊交付车辆。然而，《信息报》之前的一份报告强调了亚马逊测试中的一些挑战，除了电池耗尽问题之外。报告信息（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p> Rivian said the Amazon vans would have a range of between 120 miles and 150 miles depending on their size. But one driver involved in testing the vans said the range could be much less, depending on the weather. The driver who spoke to The Information said the battery drained about 40% faster than normal if the van’s heating or cooling was on. As a result, drivers have been testing the vans on what they dubbed “nursery routes,” where vans didn’t venture too far away from the contractors’ headquarters. (The Information) Nevertheless, Amazon's director of Global Fleets and Products, Ross Rachey, noted that once the vans are in production, \"they would have a range of 150 miles, which is double the range of the majority of Amazon's routes.\" Notably, the company also quickly emphasized that these test vans are not fully developed yet.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian表示，亚马逊货车的续航里程将在 120 英里至 150 英里之间，具体取决于其尺寸。但一名参与测试货车的司机表示，根据天气情况，续航里程可能会短得多。接受《信息报》采访的司机说，如果面包车开着暖气或冷却装置，电池的耗尽速度会比正常情况快 40% 左右。因此，司机们一直在他们所谓的 “苗圃路线 ”上测试货车，在这些路线上，货车不会冒险离开承包商总部太远。（The Information）尽管如此，亚马逊全球车队和产品总监 Ross Rachey 指出，一旦这些货车投入生产，“它们的续航里程将达到 150 英里，是亚马逊大多数路线续航里程的两倍。”值得注意的是，该公司还很快强调，这些测试货车尚未完全开发。</blockquote></p><p> We believe a successful launch program with Amazon could open up many potential opportunities outside of the Last Mile segment. Investors should note that Amazon's exclusive partnership with Rivian is limited to Last Mile. But, the commercial space is much larger than the Last Mile segment. Rivian also raved about its market opportunities in the larger commercial space, as Scaringe added (edited):</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，与亚马逊的成功发布计划可以在最后一英里领域之外开辟许多潜在的机会。投资者应该注意，亚马逊与Rivian的独家合作仅限于最后一英里。但是，商业空间比最后一英里段大得多。Rivian还对其在更大的商业空间中的市场机会赞不绝口，斯卡林奇补充道（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <i>Amazon represents such a large pool of demand for us.</i>So it's really critical that we do not starve them of vehicles. Nevertheless, the RCV platform was architected and designed <i>fully contemplating vehicles beyond Last Mile, such as in the cargo space</i>, or in the workspace. So there's a whole host of opportunities that exists both in large volumes, but also across a very long spread-out tail of commercial applications. Thus, we also have an eye on launching non-EDV versions on the RCV platform to capitalize on these opportunities. (Rivian's FQ3'21 earnings call) <b>So, is RIVN Stock a Buy/Hold/Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><i>亚马逊代表了我们如此庞大的需求。</i>因此，我们不要让他们挨饿，这一点非常重要。然而，RCV平台的架构和设计<i>充分考虑最后一英里以外的车辆，例如货舱</i>，或在工作区中。因此，有一大堆机会，既存在于大量，也存在于一个非常长的商业应用尾部。因此，我们也着眼于在RCV平台上推出非EDV版本，以利用这些机会。（Rivian 2021 年第三季度盈利看涨期权）<b>那么，RIVN股票现在是买入/持有/卖出吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/264dc3dc91fc844d920e73a7f69cf920\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Rivian revenue and adjusted EBIT margins mean consensus estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Rivian收入和调整后息税前利润率是普遍预期。数据来源：S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1069e7fc16920da396615f6df6ff5951\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RIVN and TSLA stock EV/Fwd Revenue valuation comps. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RIVN 和 TSLA 股票 EV/Fwd 收入估值比较。数据来源：S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Consensus estimates point to a largely successful ramp, as we explained earlier. As a result, Rivian's revenue is estimated to reach $27.84B by FY25. However, the company is not expected to be profitable based on adjusted EBIT margins by then. Therefore, investors are encouraged to monitor its production ramp and profitability dynamics moving forward carefully.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们之前解释的那样，共识估计指向一个很大程度上成功的斜坡。因此，到 2025 财年，Rivian 的收入预计将达到 27.84B 美元。然而，根据调整后的息税前利润率，预计该公司届时不会盈利。因此，鼓励投资者仔细监控其产量增长和盈利能力动态。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, its valuations have dropped significantly since its earlier momentum spike. The stock has declined more than 25% since our Neutral call, as we encouraged investors to wait for the dip.</p><p><blockquote>然而，自早些时候的势头飙升以来，其估值已大幅下降。自我们采取中性看涨期权以来，该股已下跌超过 25%，因为我们鼓励投资者等待下跌。</blockquote></p><p> If we consider Rivian's valuations against Tesla moving forward, it may seem more reasonable than the EV leader. However, investors should note that Tesla is already a solidly profitable EV maker. It also has proven its production ramp capabilities exceptionally well. Moreover, its brand value has also increased tremendously globally. Therefore, comparing their revenue multiples directly without adjusting for Tesla's advantages would not make sense.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们将 Rivian 的估值与特斯拉的估值进行比较，它似乎比电动汽车领导者更合理。然而，投资者应该注意到，特斯拉已经是一家盈利稳健的电动汽车制造商。它还证明了其出色的生产能力。此外，其品牌价值在全球范围内也大幅增长。因此，在不调整特斯拉优势的情况下直接比较它们的收入倍数是没有意义的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on Rivian stock's EV/FY25 revenue multiple of 3.4x, it's trading at 50% of Tesla's FY25 revenue multiple. Therefore, we think RIVN stock looks fairly valued now. Nevertheless, we believe that RIVN stock remains a highly speculative play. However, the company seems to be getting well on track to meet its mid-term production guidance. Therefore, the current weakness could offer speculative investors a potential opportunity to add exposure at a more reasonable valuation.</p><p><blockquote>根据Rivian股票 3.4 倍的 EV/25 财年收入倍数，其交易价格是特斯拉 25 财年收入倍数的 50%。因此，我们认为 RIVN 股票现在看起来估值合理。尽管如此，我们认为 RIVN 股票仍然是一个高度投机性的股票。然而，该公司似乎正在顺利实现中期生产指导。因此，当前的疲软可能会为投机投资者提供一个以更合理的估值增加风险敞口的潜在机会。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently,<i>we revise our rating on RIVN stock to Buy.</i>However, we would like to caution that RIVN stock may be suitable for speculative investors only. Moreover, the stock could continue to exhibit tremendous volatility. Therefore, investors are encouraged to add in phases.</p><p><blockquote>因此，<i>我们将 RIVN 股票的评级修改为买入。</i>然而，我们想提醒的是，RIVN 股票可能只适合投机投资者。此外，该股可能会继续表现出巨大的波动性。因此，鼓励投资者分阶段增持。</blockquote></p><p> This article was written by JR Research.</p><p><blockquote>本文由JR Research撰写。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476199-rivian-stock-buy-sell-hold\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476199-rivian-stock-buy-sell-hold","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123940793","content_text":"Summary\n\nRivian stock has dropped more than 25% since our last Neutral call.\nThe company reported a slight production target miss in its FQ3 earnings call. However, we don't think investors should be overly worried.\nWe discuss why we think RIVN stock is a Buy now.\n\nMichael M. Santiago/Getty Images News\nInvestment Thesis\nRivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) recently released its first earnings reports for FQ3'21 as a public company. Notably, the company missed its 1,200 vehicle production target by \"a few hundred vehicles.\" However, we weren't surprised, given the current supply chain bottlenecks and the challenges in ramping production. Moreover, we don't think investors should be unduly concerned about its short-term production goal. Management was clear as it emphasized that its long-term production targets remain unaffected.\nNevertheless, we believe that ramping production successfully will continue to be a key hurdle facing CEO RJ Scaringe & Co. Investors sent the stock tumbling after its earnings report, which we believe the market took the opportunity to pare down risk. After all, RIVN stock had traded at an incredible market cap of $112.8B when we wrote our previous article. Following the recent sell-off, Rivian's market cap has dropped to $88B. Therefore, we believe it's an appropriate time to revisit our thesis on RIVN stock post-FQ3 earnings.\nWe also discuss why we think the stock seems fairly valued now.\nRivian Market Cap Trend\nRIVN market cap analysis (as of 17 December'21).\nReaders can quickly glean that Rivian's market cap has dropped dramatically back to where it started life as a public company. It last registered a market cap of $88B, while it began trading with a market cap of $83.6B in early November.\nNevertheless, Rivian's market cap still exceeded Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) market cap even as it just started making deliveries in September. Some investors find it incredulous that a company that hasn't even ramped production could be worth more than both the US auto leaders.\nWhy We Think Rivian Investors Remain Optimistic Post-FQ3\nRivian's report card wasn't a disaster, even if the company missed its production guidance for 2021. CEO RJ Scaringe offered assurances as he emphasized (edited):\n\n For 2021, \n we expect to produce a few hundred vehicles short of our initial 1,200 vehicle production target. We do not believe any of our supply chain challenges represent long-term systemic issues. We remain well-positioned to capture and drive the accelerated large-scale adoption of sustainable transportation. However, a small number of suppliers or small number of components may be ramping a little slower, creating constraints or bottlenecks. Those challenges have been really a focal point for us over the last two and a half, three months. \n But, these issues are short-term in nature and they are solvable problems. So, we don't see any long-term systemic challenges associated with ramping the supply chain. (Rivian's FQ3'21 earnings call)\n\nRivian planned production capacity and delivery consensus estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ, Barron's\nRivian telegraphed that it would be commencing its new Georgia production facility in mid'22 and ready to begin production from 2024. Georgia's planned annual run rate is estimated at 400K. Therefore, it would afford Rivian a collective annual production capacity of 600K if we include its Illinois facility. Nevertheless, the company did not specify how long it would take to ramp production to its planned capacity. However, consensus estimates point to a relatively positive ramp through FY25. As a result, Rivian is estimated to deliver about 40K of vehicles in FY22. However, it would reach the 360K milestone by FY25, registering an estimated delivery CAGR of 108%. Its 360K estimate includes the 100K EDV orders from its exclusive last-mile delivery partner and cornerstone investor Amazon (AMZN).\nThere's little doubt that the delivery cadence estimates look very aggressive. But, if done well, it's also not impossible. Keen investors should recall that Tesla (TSLA) took just two years to ramp Giga Shanghai from zero to its current 600K annual run rate. It has even recently made new investments to enhance its production capacity further. Rivian also seems highly confident that they can ramp successfully, as CEO RJ Scaringe emphasized (edited):\n\n We've architected the product development to be capable of running more than one program and launching more than one program at once, but also to have those fast feedback loops between the different programs. So with that, the commercial van has actually learned a lot from the R1 platform and the R1 platform launch. What you see in terms of the facility in Georgia, is key for us from an expansion point of view. We're quite confident in the path ahead. All three of our vehicles have been certified for sale and they're being produced on two different production lines. \n The organization was architected to facilitate running and operating multiple programs at the same time. And so as we now look at what the ramp will look like for both R1T and R1S into next year, it really positions us to rapidly grow through the course of 2022. (Rivian's FQ3'21 earnings call)\n\nWhile it's still early, Rivian investors are undoubtedly confident that the company can deliver on its production cadence to meet its delivery milestones. The company is not facing a demand issue compared to short-term supply constraints. They updated that R1 orders have climbed to 71K from 55K in the previous update. Nevertheless, these are cancelable orders, as their delivery timeline has been stretched to 2023 if a new order is placed now. Given that auto leaders General Motors, Ford, and Tesla will also be expected to compete with their pickup trucks soon, Rivian must maintain its production cadence. Therefore, we encourage investors to monitor their production milestones very carefully moving ahead.\nInvestors Must Carefully Monitor Amazon's EDV Range\nThe partnership with Amazon is critical to jumpstarting Rivian's ambitions into the commercial fleet segment. Not only does it offer the opportunity of massive fleet sales, but it also sells its fleet management subscriptions as part of its commercial sales. Consequently, it introduces a recurring software revenue stream component on top of its hardware revenue. It also applies to the Amazon fleet, as Rivian accentuated: \"That software subscription goes live basically now on the commercial side.\"\nRivian is expected to deliver 10K EDV by 2022 following \"months of testing in 15 cities.\" Investors should remember that Amazon retains the right to change its number of orders. Therefore it's critical that Rivian can meet Amazon's expectations. We believe it has also driven Rivian to ramp production quickly. Given how quickly they secured their second production facility, we believe that the company seems confident in meeting its production targets, and consequently, Amazon's orders.\nRivian emphasized that its EDV is capable of 201 miles range, and it is on track to deliver its vehicles to Amazon. However, a previous report by The Information highlighted some challenges in Amazon's testing, on top of its battery draining problem. The Information reported (edited):\n\n Rivian said the Amazon vans would have a range of between 120 miles and 150 miles depending on their size. But one driver involved in testing the vans said the range could be much less, depending on the weather. The driver who spoke to The Information said the battery drained about 40% faster than normal if the van’s heating or cooling was on. As a result, drivers have been testing the vans on what they dubbed “nursery routes,” where vans didn’t venture too far away from the contractors’ headquarters. (The Information)\n\nNevertheless, Amazon's director of Global Fleets and Products, Ross Rachey, noted that once the vans are in production, \"they would have a range of 150 miles, which is double the range of the majority of Amazon's routes.\" Notably, the company also quickly emphasized that these test vans are not fully developed yet.\nWe believe a successful launch program with Amazon could open up many potential opportunities outside of the Last Mile segment. Investors should note that Amazon's exclusive partnership with Rivian is limited to Last Mile. But, the commercial space is much larger than the Last Mile segment. Rivian also raved about its market opportunities in the larger commercial space, as Scaringe added (edited):\n\nAmazon represents such a large pool of demand for us.So it's really critical that we do not starve them of vehicles. Nevertheless, the RCV platform was architected and designed \n fully contemplating vehicles beyond Last Mile, such as in the cargo space, or in the workspace. So there's a whole host of opportunities that exists both in large volumes, but also across a very long spread-out tail of commercial applications. Thus, we also have an eye on launching non-EDV versions on the RCV platform to capitalize on these opportunities. (Rivian's FQ3'21 earnings call)\n\nSo, is RIVN Stock a Buy/Hold/Sell Now?\nRivian revenue and adjusted EBIT margins mean consensus estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nRIVN and TSLA stock EV/Fwd Revenue valuation comps. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nConsensus estimates point to a largely successful ramp, as we explained earlier. As a result, Rivian's revenue is estimated to reach $27.84B by FY25. However, the company is not expected to be profitable based on adjusted EBIT margins by then. Therefore, investors are encouraged to monitor its production ramp and profitability dynamics moving forward carefully.\nNevertheless, its valuations have dropped significantly since its earlier momentum spike. The stock has declined more than 25% since our Neutral call, as we encouraged investors to wait for the dip.\nIf we consider Rivian's valuations against Tesla moving forward, it may seem more reasonable than the EV leader. However, investors should note that Tesla is already a solidly profitable EV maker. It also has proven its production ramp capabilities exceptionally well. Moreover, its brand value has also increased tremendously globally. Therefore, comparing their revenue multiples directly without adjusting for Tesla's advantages would not make sense.\nBased on Rivian stock's EV/FY25 revenue multiple of 3.4x, it's trading at 50% of Tesla's FY25 revenue multiple. Therefore, we think RIVN stock looks fairly valued now. Nevertheless, we believe that RIVN stock remains a highly speculative play. However, the company seems to be getting well on track to meet its mid-term production guidance. Therefore, the current weakness could offer speculative investors a potential opportunity to add exposure at a more reasonable valuation.\nConsequently,we revise our rating on RIVN stock to Buy.However, we would like to caution that RIVN stock may be suitable for speculative investors only. Moreover, the stock could continue to exhibit tremendous volatility. Therefore, investors are encouraged to add in phases.\nThis article was written by JR Research.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693273883,"gmtCreate":1640045508172,"gmtModify":1640045508510,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693273883","repostId":"1102941409","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693273072,"gmtCreate":1640045484194,"gmtModify":1640045484501,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693273072","repostId":"1120669458","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1120669458","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640045309,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1120669458?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-21 08:08","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Continued Consolidation Anticipated For Singapore Stock Market<blockquote>新加坡股市预期持续盘整</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120669458","media":"RTTNews","summary":"The Singapore stock market has finished lower in back-to-back trading days, slumping more than 40 po","content":"<p>The Singapore stock market has finished lower in back-to-back trading days, slumping more than 40 points or 1.3 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,070-point plateau and it may take further damage again on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市连续几个交易日收低，一路下跌超过40点或1.3%。海峡时报指数目前位于 3,070 点平台上方，周二可能会再次遭受进一步损害。</blockquote></p><p> The global forecast for the Asian markets suggests continued consolidation on rising Omicron COVID-19 concerns. The European and U.S. markets were solidly lower and the Asian markets are tipped to open in similar fashion.</p><p><blockquote>亚洲市场的全球预测表明，由于奥密克戎新冠肺炎担忧加剧，亚洲市场将继续盘整。欧洲和美国市场大幅走低，亚洲市场预计也会以类似的方式开盘。</blockquote></p><p> The STI finished sharply lower on Monday with losses in every sector - most notably, financials, properties and industrials.</p><p><blockquote>STI 周一大幅收低，各个板块均下跌，其中最引人注目的是金融、房地产和工业板块。</blockquote></p><p> For the day, the index dropped 38.66 points or 1.24 percent to finish at 3,072.97 after trading between 3,068.21 and 3,098.49. Volume was 1.1 billion shares worth 1.03 billion Singapore dollars. There were 369 decliners and 147 gainers.</p><p><blockquote>当天，该指数下跌 38.66 点或 1.24%，收于 3,072.97 点，交易价格在 3,068.21 至 3,098.49 之间。成交量为11亿股，价值10.3亿新加坡元。下跌者369人，上涨者147人。</blockquote></p><p> Among the actives, Ascendas REIT lost 1.03 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust dipped 0.51 percent, City Developments tanked 1.77 percent, Comfort DelGro stumbled 1.46 percent, Dairy Farm International cratered 4.01 percent, DBS Group fell 0.89 percent, Genting Singapore plummeted 2.60 percent, Keppel Corp tumbled 1.75 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust retreated 1.49 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust and Singapore Technologies Engineering both surrendered 1.61 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation declined 1.50 percent, SATS shed 1.04 percent, SembCorp Industries plunged 2.01 percent, Singapore Airlines sank 1.23 percent, Singapore Exchange weakened 1.30 percent, Singapore Press Holdings was down 0.43 percent, SingTel slumped 1.27 percent, United Overseas Bank dropped 1.15 percent, Wilmar International skidded 1.47 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding slid 0.78 percent and Thai Beverage was unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>资产中，Ascendas REIT 下跌 1.03%，凯德综合商业信托下跌 0.51%，City Developments 下跌 1.77%，Comfort DelGro 下跌 1.46%，Dairy Farm International 下跌 4.01%，星展集团下跌 0.89%，云顶新加坡暴跌 2.60%，吉宝公司下跌 1.75%，丰树商业信托下跌 1.49%，丰树物流信托和新加坡科技工程均下跌 1.61%，华侨银行下跌 1.50%，SATS 下跌 1.04%，胜科实业下跌 2.01%，新加坡航空下跌 1.23%，新加坡交易所下跌 1.30%，新加坡报业控股下跌 0.43%，新加坡电信下跌 1.27%，大华银行下跌 1.15%，丰益嘉里</blockquote></p><p> The lead from Wall Street is negative as the major averages opened sharply lower on Monday and remained that way throughout the session.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的领先优势是负面的，因为主要股指周一大幅开盘走低，并在整个交易日保持这种走势。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow dropped 433.28 points or 1.23 percent to finish at 34,932.16, while the NASDAQ sank 188.74 points or 1.24 percent to close at 14,980.94 and the S&P 500 lost 52.62 points or 1.14 percent to end at 4,568.02.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数下跌433.28点或1.23%，收于34932.16点，纳斯达克指数下跌188.74点或1.24%，收于14980.94点，标普500指数下跌52.62点或1.14%，收于4568.02点。</blockquote></p><p> Concerns about the rapid spread of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus contributed to the weakness on Wall Street. With the World Health Organization saying the number of cases is doubling in 1.5 to 3 days in areas with community transmission, traders seem worried the new strain could derail the global economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>对冠状病毒奥密克戎变种快速传播的担忧导致了华尔街的疲软。世界卫生组织表示，社区传播地区的病例数量在1.5至3天内翻了一番，交易员似乎担心这种新毒株可能会破坏全球经济复苏。</blockquote></p><p> The spread of the Omicron variant could also lead to further global supply chain issues, which have contributed to elevated inflation.</p><p><blockquote>奥密克戎变种的传播也可能导致进一步的全球供应链问题，从而导致通胀上升。</blockquote></p><p> Democratic West Virgina senator Joe Manchin's announcement that he will not support the Biden administration's Build Back Better plan added to the negative sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>民主党西弗吉尼亚州参议员乔·曼钦宣布他不会支持拜登政府的“重建更好”计划，这加剧了负面情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Crude oil futures settled sharply lower Monday as a rapid surge in Omicron variant of the coronavirus and stricter restrictions on movements in several countries raised concerns about outlook for energy demand. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February ended down by $2.63 or 3.7 percent at $68.23 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>原油期货周一大幅走低，原因是冠状病毒奥密克戎变种的迅速激增以及几个国家对行动的更严格限制引发了人们对能源需求前景的担忧。2月份西德克萨斯中质原油期货收盘下跌2.63美元，跌幅3.7%，至每桶68.23美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1626938412129","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Continued Consolidation Anticipated For Singapore Stock Market<blockquote>新加坡股市预期持续盘整</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nContinued Consolidation Anticipated For Singapore Stock Market<blockquote>新加坡股市预期持续盘整</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">RTTNews</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-21 08:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has finished lower in back-to-back trading days, slumping more than 40 points or 1.3 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,070-point plateau and it may take further damage again on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市连续几个交易日收低，一路下跌超过40点或1.3%。海峡时报指数目前位于 3,070 点平台上方，周二可能会再次遭受进一步损害。</blockquote></p><p> The global forecast for the Asian markets suggests continued consolidation on rising Omicron COVID-19 concerns. The European and U.S. markets were solidly lower and the Asian markets are tipped to open in similar fashion.</p><p><blockquote>亚洲市场的全球预测表明，由于奥密克戎新冠肺炎担忧加剧，亚洲市场将继续盘整。欧洲和美国市场大幅走低，亚洲市场预计也会以类似的方式开盘。</blockquote></p><p> The STI finished sharply lower on Monday with losses in every sector - most notably, financials, properties and industrials.</p><p><blockquote>STI 周一大幅收低，各个板块均下跌，其中最引人注目的是金融、房地产和工业板块。</blockquote></p><p> For the day, the index dropped 38.66 points or 1.24 percent to finish at 3,072.97 after trading between 3,068.21 and 3,098.49. Volume was 1.1 billion shares worth 1.03 billion Singapore dollars. There were 369 decliners and 147 gainers.</p><p><blockquote>当天，该指数下跌 38.66 点或 1.24%，收于 3,072.97 点，交易价格在 3,068.21 至 3,098.49 之间。成交量为11亿股，价值10.3亿新加坡元。下跌者369人，上涨者147人。</blockquote></p><p> Among the actives, Ascendas REIT lost 1.03 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust dipped 0.51 percent, City Developments tanked 1.77 percent, Comfort DelGro stumbled 1.46 percent, Dairy Farm International cratered 4.01 percent, DBS Group fell 0.89 percent, Genting Singapore plummeted 2.60 percent, Keppel Corp tumbled 1.75 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust retreated 1.49 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust and Singapore Technologies Engineering both surrendered 1.61 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation declined 1.50 percent, SATS shed 1.04 percent, SembCorp Industries plunged 2.01 percent, Singapore Airlines sank 1.23 percent, Singapore Exchange weakened 1.30 percent, Singapore Press Holdings was down 0.43 percent, SingTel slumped 1.27 percent, United Overseas Bank dropped 1.15 percent, Wilmar International skidded 1.47 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding slid 0.78 percent and Thai Beverage was unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>资产中，Ascendas REIT 下跌 1.03%，凯德综合商业信托下跌 0.51%，City Developments 下跌 1.77%，Comfort DelGro 下跌 1.46%，Dairy Farm International 下跌 4.01%，星展集团下跌 0.89%，云顶新加坡暴跌 2.60%，吉宝公司下跌 1.75%，丰树商业信托下跌 1.49%，丰树物流信托和新加坡科技工程均下跌 1.61%，华侨银行下跌 1.50%，SATS 下跌 1.04%，胜科实业下跌 2.01%，新加坡航空下跌 1.23%，新加坡交易所下跌 1.30%，新加坡报业控股下跌 0.43%，新加坡电信下跌 1.27%，大华银行下跌 1.15%，丰益嘉里</blockquote></p><p> The lead from Wall Street is negative as the major averages opened sharply lower on Monday and remained that way throughout the session.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的领先优势是负面的，因为主要股指周一大幅开盘走低，并在整个交易日保持这种走势。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow dropped 433.28 points or 1.23 percent to finish at 34,932.16, while the NASDAQ sank 188.74 points or 1.24 percent to close at 14,980.94 and the S&P 500 lost 52.62 points or 1.14 percent to end at 4,568.02.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数下跌433.28点或1.23%，收于34932.16点，纳斯达克指数下跌188.74点或1.24%，收于14980.94点，标普500指数下跌52.62点或1.14%，收于4568.02点。</blockquote></p><p> Concerns about the rapid spread of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus contributed to the weakness on Wall Street. With the World Health Organization saying the number of cases is doubling in 1.5 to 3 days in areas with community transmission, traders seem worried the new strain could derail the global economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>对冠状病毒奥密克戎变种快速传播的担忧导致了华尔街的疲软。世界卫生组织表示，社区传播地区的病例数量在1.5至3天内翻了一番，交易员似乎担心这种新毒株可能会破坏全球经济复苏。</blockquote></p><p> The spread of the Omicron variant could also lead to further global supply chain issues, which have contributed to elevated inflation.</p><p><blockquote>奥密克戎变种的传播也可能导致进一步的全球供应链问题，从而导致通胀上升。</blockquote></p><p> Democratic West Virgina senator Joe Manchin's announcement that he will not support the Biden administration's Build Back Better plan added to the negative sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>民主党西弗吉尼亚州参议员乔·曼钦宣布他不会支持拜登政府的“重建更好”计划，这加剧了负面情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Crude oil futures settled sharply lower Monday as a rapid surge in Omicron variant of the coronavirus and stricter restrictions on movements in several countries raised concerns about outlook for energy demand. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February ended down by $2.63 or 3.7 percent at $68.23 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>原油期货周一大幅走低，原因是冠状病毒奥密克戎变种的迅速激增以及几个国家对行动的更严格限制引发了人们对能源需求前景的担忧。2月份西德克萨斯中质原油期货收盘下跌2.63美元，跌幅3.7%，至每桶68.23美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3250618/continued-consolidation-anticipated-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx\">RTTNews</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3250618/continued-consolidation-anticipated-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120669458","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has finished lower in back-to-back trading days, slumping more than 40 points or 1.3 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,070-point plateau and it may take further damage again on Tuesday.\nThe global forecast for the Asian markets suggests continued consolidation on rising Omicron COVID-19 concerns. The European and U.S. markets were solidly lower and the Asian markets are tipped to open in similar fashion.\nThe STI finished sharply lower on Monday with losses in every sector - most notably, financials, properties and industrials.\nFor the day, the index dropped 38.66 points or 1.24 percent to finish at 3,072.97 after trading between 3,068.21 and 3,098.49. Volume was 1.1 billion shares worth 1.03 billion Singapore dollars. There were 369 decliners and 147 gainers.\nAmong the actives, Ascendas REIT lost 1.03 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust dipped 0.51 percent, City Developments tanked 1.77 percent, Comfort DelGro stumbled 1.46 percent, Dairy Farm International cratered 4.01 percent, DBS Group fell 0.89 percent, Genting Singapore plummeted 2.60 percent, Keppel Corp tumbled 1.75 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust retreated 1.49 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust and Singapore Technologies Engineering both surrendered 1.61 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation declined 1.50 percent, SATS shed 1.04 percent, SembCorp Industries plunged 2.01 percent, Singapore Airlines sank 1.23 percent, Singapore Exchange weakened 1.30 percent, Singapore Press Holdings was down 0.43 percent, SingTel slumped 1.27 percent, United Overseas Bank dropped 1.15 percent, Wilmar International skidded 1.47 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding slid 0.78 percent and Thai Beverage was unchanged.\nThe lead from Wall Street is negative as the major averages opened sharply lower on Monday and remained that way throughout the session.\nThe Dow dropped 433.28 points or 1.23 percent to finish at 34,932.16, while the NASDAQ sank 188.74 points or 1.24 percent to close at 14,980.94 and the S&P 500 lost 52.62 points or 1.14 percent to end at 4,568.02.\nConcerns about the rapid spread of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus contributed to the weakness on Wall Street. With the World Health Organization saying the number of cases is doubling in 1.5 to 3 days in areas with community transmission, traders seem worried the new strain could derail the global economic recovery.\nThe spread of the Omicron variant could also lead to further global supply chain issues, which have contributed to elevated inflation.\nDemocratic West Virgina senator Joe Manchin's announcement that he will not support the Biden administration's Build Back Better plan added to the negative sentiment.\nCrude oil futures settled sharply lower Monday as a rapid surge in Omicron variant of the coronavirus and stricter restrictions on movements in several countries raised concerns about outlook for energy demand. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February ended down by $2.63 or 3.7 percent at $68.23 a barrel.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693895320,"gmtCreate":1639996060548,"gmtModify":1639996067767,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693895320","repostId":"1130704419","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130704419","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639953553,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1130704419?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、美光、黑莓、CarMax 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130704419","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports per","content":"<p>Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>世界各地的股票和债券市场将于周五休市，以纪念圣诞节。假期前，耐克和美光科技周一发布报告，黑莓和通用磨坊周二发布报告，CarMax、Cintas 和 Paychex 周三发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>这将是经济数据发布繁忙的一周。周一，世界大型企业联合会将发布 11 月份领先经济指数，随后于周三发布 12 月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.</p><p><blockquote>周四，经济分析局报告了11月份的个人收入和消费支出。消费者收入预计将增长 0.6%，支出预计将增长 0.5%。美联储首选的通胀指标--核心 PCE 价格指数预计将在 11 月份飙升 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周四，人口普查局发布了11月份的耐用品报告，这将为经济中的投资支出提供一个窗口。新订单预计将增长2.1%。本周公布的房地产市场指标包括周三公布的 11 月份成屋销售和周四公布的 11 月份新屋销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/20星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技和耐克公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议委员会</b>发布 11 月份领先经济指数。一致估计读数为 119，比 10 月份的水平高出 0.6%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计第四季度国内生产总值增长率为 5%，2022 年增长率将放缓但仍然强劲的 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/21星期二</b></blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓、FactSet Research Systems 和通用磨坊公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12月22日星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The NAR reports</b> existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote><b>NAR报告</b>11月份的成屋销售。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的年销量为640万套，略高于10月份，是今年年初以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax、Cintas 和 Paychex 在评级举行会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对第三季度 GDP 的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 2.1%，与 11 月份的第二次估计值持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议委员会</b>发布12月份消费者信心指数。与 11 月份的数据大致持平，预计读数为 110。由于对价格上涨以及在较小程度上对 Covid-19 变种的担忧，该指数比今年 6 月达到的疫情后峰值低 15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 12/23</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至 12 月 18 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。11 月和 12 月平均每周申请失业救济人数为 225,667 人，最终达到大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告11月份的新房销售情况。普遍估计，经季节性调整后，每年新单户住宅销量为 77 万套，比 10 月份增加 2.5 万套。10月份售出的新房销售价格中位数为40.77万美元，而平均销售价格为47.78万美元，均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>11月份个人收入和消费支出。经济学家预测收入每月增长0.6%，消费每月增长0.5%。相比之下，10 月份的涨幅分别为 0.5% 和 1.3%。美联储首选的通胀指标--核心 PCE 价格指数 10 月份同比上涨 4.1%，为 1991 年以来的最快增速。预计 11 月份将飙升 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份耐用品报告。耐用制成品新订单预计将增长 2.1%，达到 2656 亿美元。不包括运输，新订单增长0.6%，而10月份增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/24星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. equity</b> and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股权</b>固定收益市场因圣诞节休市。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、美光、黑莓、CarMax 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、美光、黑莓、CarMax 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 06:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>世界各地的股票和债券市场将于周五休市，以纪念圣诞节。假期前，耐克和美光科技周一发布报告，黑莓和通用磨坊周二发布报告，CarMax、Cintas 和 Paychex 周三发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>这将是经济数据发布繁忙的一周。周一，世界大型企业联合会将发布 11 月份领先经济指数，随后于周三发布 12 月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.</p><p><blockquote>周四，经济分析局报告了11月份的个人收入和消费支出。消费者收入预计将增长 0.6%，支出预计将增长 0.5%。美联储首选的通胀指标--核心 PCE 价格指数预计将在 11 月份飙升 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周四，人口普查局发布了11月份的耐用品报告，这将为经济中的投资支出提供一个窗口。新订单预计将增长2.1%。本周公布的房地产市场指标包括周三公布的 11 月份成屋销售和周四公布的 11 月份新屋销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/20星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技和耐克公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议委员会</b>发布 11 月份领先经济指数。一致估计读数为 119，比 10 月份的水平高出 0.6%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计第四季度国内生产总值增长率为 5%，2022 年增长率将放缓但仍然强劲的 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/21星期二</b></blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓、FactSet Research Systems 和通用磨坊公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12月22日星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The NAR reports</b> existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote><b>NAR报告</b>11月份的成屋销售。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的年销量为640万套，略高于10月份，是今年年初以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax、Cintas 和 Paychex 在评级举行会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对第三季度 GDP 的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 2.1%，与 11 月份的第二次估计值持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议委员会</b>发布12月份消费者信心指数。与 11 月份的数据大致持平，预计读数为 110。由于对价格上涨以及在较小程度上对 Covid-19 变种的担忧，该指数比今年 6 月达到的疫情后峰值低 15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 12/23</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至 12 月 18 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。11 月和 12 月平均每周申请失业救济人数为 225,667 人，最终达到大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告11月份的新房销售情况。普遍估计，经季节性调整后，每年新单户住宅销量为 77 万套，比 10 月份增加 2.5 万套。10月份售出的新房销售价格中位数为40.77万美元，而平均销售价格为47.78万美元，均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>11月份个人收入和消费支出。经济学家预测收入每月增长0.6%，消费每月增长0.5%。相比之下，10 月份的涨幅分别为 0.5% 和 1.3%。美联储首选的通胀指标--核心 PCE 价格指数 10 月份同比上涨 4.1%，为 1991 年以来的最快增速。预计 11 月份将飙升 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份耐用品报告。耐用制成品新订单预计将增长 2.1%，达到 2656 亿美元。不包括运输，新订单增长0.6%，而10月份增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/24星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. equity</b> and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股权</b>固定收益市场因圣诞节休市。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-micron-blackberry-carmax-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51639944183?mod=hp_LEAD_5\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KMX":"车美仕","PAYX":"沛齐",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","GIS":"通用磨坊","CTAS":"信达思","MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-micron-blackberry-carmax-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51639944183?mod=hp_LEAD_5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130704419","content_text":"Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.\nIt will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.\nOn Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.\nAlso Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.\nMonday 12/20\nMicron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.\nTuesday 12/21\nBlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.\nWednesday 12/22\nThe NAR reports existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.\nCarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.\nThe Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.\nThursday 12/23\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.\nThe Census Bureau reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.\nThe BEA reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.\nThe Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.\nFriday 12/24\nU.S. equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":0.9,"KMX":0.9,"PAYX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"CTAS":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"GIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":958,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699485595,"gmtCreate":1639877235624,"gmtModify":1639877235915,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699485595","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 华尔街周五收低，受到大型科技公司的拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%，Alphabet下跌 1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌，其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期（被称为三重巫术）是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日，”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎，你就会出现波动，我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘，而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期，基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，而标普500指数下跌1.03%，至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%，至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看，小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股，远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，甲骨文暴跌 6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner，交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测，尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润，但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 华尔街周五收低，受到大型科技公司的拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%，Alphabet下跌 1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌，其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期（被称为三重巫术）是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日，”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎，你就会出现波动，我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘，而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期，基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，而标普500指数下跌1.03%，至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%，至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看，小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股，远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，甲骨文暴跌 6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner，交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测，尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润，但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699666724,"gmtCreate":1639793371813,"gmtModify":1639793372111,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699666724","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 华尔街周五收低，受到大型科技公司的拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%，Alphabet下跌 1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌，其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期（被称为三重巫术）是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日，”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎，你就会出现波动，我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘，而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期，基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，而标普500指数下跌1.03%，至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%，至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看，小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股，远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，甲骨文暴跌 6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner，交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测，尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润，但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 华尔街周五收低，受到大型科技公司的拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%，Alphabet下跌 1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌，其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期（被称为三重巫术）是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日，”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎，你就会出现波动，我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘，而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期，基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，而标普500指数下跌1.03%，至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%，至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看，小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股，远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中，甲骨文暴跌 6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner，交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测，尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润，但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690933373,"gmtCreate":1639619910155,"gmtModify":1639620232359,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690933373","repostId":"1169073405","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169073405","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639618868,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1169073405?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 09:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cloudflare Stock Could Have a Rough 2022<blockquote>Cloudflare 股票 2022 年可能会经历艰难</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169073405","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Cloudflare is a good business, but that doesn't make NET stock worth owning at this price","content":"<p><div> Cloudflare(NYSE:NET) has been one of the year’s biggest winners. The edge computing provider has enjoyed a huge run-up amid a burst of demand for the company’s products. NET stock is up around 90% ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Cloudflare（纽约证券交易所股票代码：NET）是今年最大的赢家之一。在对公司产品的需求激增的情况下，这家边缘计算提供商获得了巨大的增长。净库存上涨了90%左右……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/net-stock-could-have-a-rough-2022/\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/net-stock-could-have-a-rough-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cloudflare Stock Could Have a Rough 2022<blockquote>Cloudflare 股票 2022 年可能会经历艰难</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCloudflare Stock Could Have a Rough 2022<blockquote>Cloudflare 股票 2022 年可能会经历艰难</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 09:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Cloudflare(NYSE:NET) has been one of the year’s biggest winners. The edge computing provider has enjoyed a huge run-up amid a burst of demand for the company’s products. NET stock is up around 90% ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Cloudflare（纽约证券交易所股票代码：NET）是今年最大的赢家之一。在对公司产品的需求激增的情况下，这家边缘计算提供商获得了巨大的增长。净库存上涨了90%左右……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/net-stock-could-have-a-rough-2022/\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/net-stock-could-have-a-rough-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/net-stock-could-have-a-rough-2022/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NET":"Cloudflare, Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/net-stock-could-have-a-rough-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169073405","content_text":"Cloudflare(NYSE:NET) has been one of the year’s biggest winners. The edge computing provider has enjoyed a huge run-up amid a burst of demand for the company’s products. NET stock is up around 90% year-to-date.\nHowever, the enthusiasm has dimmed considerably over the past month. NET stock had rallied from $60 to $220 over the past year, but has now slid back under the $150 level.\nThis isn’t due to any particularly bad news for Cloudflare. In fact, the company’s last earnings report was generally upbeat, with the company topping both revenues and earnings estimates. Guidance was also quite strong. In addition to that, Cloudflare recently announced that it will be buying Zaraz, which is a firm that helps speed up computing without sacrificing user privacy.\nSo if Cloudflare is continuing to grow and putting up good earnings, why is NET stock dropping now? Simply put, it’s not the company that’s the problem, but rather, the valuation. Cloudflare went up too much, too quickly, and is now seeing the other side of the peak.\nFastly: We’ve Seen This Movie Before\nCloudflare’s meteoric rise is not without precedent. Go back in time just 12 months ago, and Cloudflare wasn’t the hottest edge computing stock out there. Rather, that honor went to Fastly(NYSE:FSLY).\nFastly completed its initial public offering (IPO) in early 2019 and shares traded listlessly around $25 for the next year. Once the pandemic started, however, demand for bandwidth went through the roof. As Fastly charges based on usage, its revenues suddenly went stratospheric as everyone started using the net for video conferencing, telemedicine, remote education and the like.\nMomentum traders, however, got carried away, pushing Fastly stock up to $125 at one point. Fastly’s business prospects had improved but they hadn’t come close to quintupling. Once the pandemic tailwind faded, Fastly’s stock price crashed. Shares are down by more than two-thirds from their recent peak. With the company remaining unprofitable and its growth trajectory slowed dramatically in the economic reopening, Fastly has a slow road back to recovery.\nNet Stock Will Follow The Same Trajectory\nFastly was trading around 12 times revenues following its IPO. In the summer and fall of 2020, the stock suddenly went from 12 times revenues to 50. It held in the 30 range until early 2021 when its revenue growth fell short of traders’ eager expectations. FSLY stock is back down to 12 times revenues once again. It’s as though the pandemic surge never happened.\nCloudflare, by contrast, started trading around 15 times revenues following its own 2019 IPO. The stock gradually advanced to around 30 times revenues early in the pandemic. It shot up to 60 early this year and leveled off around there for awhile. In October, shockingly, NET stock topped 100 times sales. That’s ludicrously excessive.\nWith the recent pullback, NET stock is back to 73x revenues. Unfortunately, that means the stock still has something like 70% downside ahead. Almost all the leading growth stocks have fallen to less than 20 times revenues in recent months. The market simply isn’t willing to assign pie-in-the-sky valuations to most growth companies anymore, particularly ones that aren’t even profitable yet.\nCloudflare’s decline from 100 times sales to 20 times or less will be a long and painful lesson for traders that ignored valuation. Don’t believe me? Just ask people that owned Fastly stock at 50 times sales last year how that worked out for them.\nNET Stock Verdict\nThere’s an old adage that a good company isn’t necessarily a good investment. Price is a crucial component of investment success. And the historical record shows that buying stocks at 75 times revenues usually doesn’t turn out well.\nEven in the unlikely event that a company is in fact the next Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), you generally aren’t going to do well buying at such an inflated price/sales ratio. Don’t forget that AMZN stock itself dropped 90% in the wake of the dot-com bubble crash. Put aside your opinions of Cloudflare’s business fundamentals for the moment. With NET’s stock price this high, the odds are greatly stacked against investors here. Give this one another look in 2022 once shares reach a more sensible level.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NET":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1090,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607639552,"gmtCreate":1639531179422,"gmtModify":1639531179708,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607639552","repostId":"2191784951","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607035144,"gmtCreate":1639455415277,"gmtModify":1639455415569,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607035144","repostId":"1120286910","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120286910","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639453388,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1120286910?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal 最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120286910","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI wa","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li> <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li> <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li> <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌了-35%以上，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在 2021 年 2 月就警告投资者，PayPal被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股票在未来 3 年内仍有超过 -50% 的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，所以我分析了这只股票，以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在 2021 年 2 月 6 日，我制作了一个视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal (PYPL) 股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的寻求阿尔法博客上分享了那个视频。从那时起，PayPal无论从绝对角度还是相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）来说都表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我警告投资者以来，股价已下跌约 -30%，较今年最高价下跌约 -38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有任何问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可以讲。价格已经被疯狂高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙述。当时的数字毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这对于中长期投资者来说，应该是一个重要的教训。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难在于投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑是这样硬连线的。自从我分享了我的2月份PayPal看跌视频以来，在Seeking Alpha报道PayPal的62篇文章中，还没有一篇“看跌”的文章被写出来。主要原因是 PayPal 的说法如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不切实际。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我当前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际下购买的价格。这与我在 2021 年 2 月确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和业务回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以 10 年 CAGR 预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来估值股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益 1) 没有足够长的历史 2) 本质上不稳定，或者 3) 周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一个明确的长期增长模式，这使得该股作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自 2015 年以来，还没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股可能非常适合我要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长时间、更持久的衰退期间，PayPal 的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察易贝（eBay）在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，我将继续进行我的全周期盈利分析，即使我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的确切历史数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回报预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估算未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，10年后我们可能预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一场衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并在2021年的预测中运行。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>从2015年到现在，PayPal的平均市盈率一直是健康的34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用 2021 年的预期盈利 4.60 美元（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为 40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年内恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的价格将会下降，10年CAGR将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪均值回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报。如果恢复时间短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪回归均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且经常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散的联系。在本节中，我们将考察企业的实际收入。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道，如果我们以今天的价格收购业务并将所有收入留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是预期收益增长率。让我们从市盈率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率/市盈率）开始。目前的市盈率约为+2.46%。我喜欢这样想，如果我现在以100美元收购该公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年将从投资中获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估算公司在此期间的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率，并将该增长率应用于未来 10 年来做到这一点。这包括计算2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时间段内发生的任何股票回购（因为减少股票会增加每股收益，因为股票减少）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的比例，回购看起来比实际大得多，这里没有太多需要调整的地方。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此两者都不需要盈利增长下降来调整。这使得估计 PayPal 的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计 PayPal 的盈利增长约为 +23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这就是我的保守主义在问自己“出于估值目的，未来 10 年的合理预期是多少？”对于企业来说，在整整十年内每年增长超过20%的收益是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年中已经这样做了）。因此，我在将所有长期远期盈利增长预测用于估值时，将其上限设定为 20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高的费用的方法。因此，对于这次估值练习，我将盈利增长假设限制在 20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将把这个增长率应用于当前的收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年CAGR估计。我的想法是，如果我花100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长率，此后10年，这笔金额将以+20.00%的速度每年增长。我想知道10年后我的100美元投资总共有多少钱，我计算大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我把增长率输入复合年增长率计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务收益回报的 10 年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10 年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要来源：市场情绪回报或企业盈利回报。如果我们假设市场情绪在未来 10 年内恢复到上一个周期的平均值，那么PayPal的复合年增长率将达到 -1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的 10 年复合年增长率应该在 +5.85% 左右。如果我们把两者放在一起，我们得到的预期10年全周期CAGR为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对这类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：高于12%的CAGR是买入，低于4%的预期CAGR是卖出，4%到12%之间是持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强进入“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意根据收益购买具有安全边际的股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看待 PayPal 的估值，以便我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用我在本文中使用的相同假设和输入，从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股 126.50 美元至 164.00 美元。我目前的购买价格（包括安全边际）是 112.10 美元。低于该价格购买的投资者很有可能在中期内获得股票的丰厚回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和 2022 年，我将开始提前预测 PayPal 2022 年的收益。目前，分析师预计 2022 年每股收益为 5.25 美元。如果 PayPal 的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高 PayPal 的估值，并将其公允价值范围提高到每股 145.00 美元至 187.50 美元，安全边际买入价为每股 128.00 美元。当然，这是假设分析师保持对 2022 年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这还意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内继续在当前价格附近交易价格，它就已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上端。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一类型的分析。对于某些具有快速利润增长势头的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析，以帮助识别快速增长的企业，这些企业可能永远不会变得便宜到仅仅根据收益来收购。这种分析方法是我的私人服务周期投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于 PayPal 的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享那种“买入价格”分析产生的，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析法检查PayPal时，它产生的买入价为 144.90 美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间位置。这是假设 PayPal 的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，并且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到 2022 年 2 月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约一年后我就其高估值向投资者发出警告。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的下滑是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的 PayPal 股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他高估值科技股也会经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能会在 2022 年下跌。对于跑赢大盘这类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化投资的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票简单地停滞几年而一事无成，也有少数股票设法保持上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal所经历的那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal 最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal 最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 11:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li> <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li> <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li> <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌了-35%以上，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在 2021 年 2 月就警告投资者，PayPal被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股票在未来 3 年内仍有超过 -50% 的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，所以我分析了这只股票，以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在 2021 年 2 月 6 日，我制作了一个视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal (PYPL) 股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的寻求阿尔法博客上分享了那个视频。从那时起，PayPal无论从绝对角度还是相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）来说都表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我警告投资者以来，股价已下跌约 -30%，较今年最高价下跌约 -38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有任何问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可以讲。价格已经被疯狂高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙述。当时的数字毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这对于中长期投资者来说，应该是一个重要的教训。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难在于投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑是这样硬连线的。自从我分享了我的2月份PayPal看跌视频以来，在Seeking Alpha报道PayPal的62篇文章中，还没有一篇“看跌”的文章被写出来。主要原因是 PayPal 的说法如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不切实际。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我当前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际下购买的价格。这与我在 2021 年 2 月确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和业务回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以 10 年 CAGR 预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来估值股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益 1) 没有足够长的历史 2) 本质上不稳定，或者 3) 周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一个明确的长期增长模式，这使得该股作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自 2015 年以来，还没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股可能非常适合我要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长时间、更持久的衰退期间，PayPal 的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察易贝（eBay）在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，我将继续进行我的全周期盈利分析，即使我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的确切历史数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回报预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估算未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，10年后我们可能预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一场衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并在2021年的预测中运行。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>从2015年到现在，PayPal的平均市盈率一直是健康的34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用 2021 年的预期盈利 4.60 美元（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为 40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年内恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的价格将会下降，10年CAGR将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪均值回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报。如果恢复时间短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪回归均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且经常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散的联系。在本节中，我们将考察企业的实际收入。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道，如果我们以今天的价格收购业务并将所有收入留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是预期收益增长率。让我们从市盈率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率/市盈率）开始。目前的市盈率约为+2.46%。我喜欢这样想，如果我现在以100美元收购该公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年将从投资中获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估算公司在此期间的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率，并将该增长率应用于未来 10 年来做到这一点。这包括计算2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时间段内发生的任何股票回购（因为减少股票会增加每股收益，因为股票减少）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的比例，回购看起来比实际大得多，这里没有太多需要调整的地方。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此两者都不需要盈利增长下降来调整。这使得估计 PayPal 的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计 PayPal 的盈利增长约为 +23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这就是我的保守主义在问自己“出于估值目的，未来 10 年的合理预期是多少？”对于企业来说，在整整十年内每年增长超过20%的收益是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年中已经这样做了）。因此，我在将所有长期远期盈利增长预测用于估值时，将其上限设定为 20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高的费用的方法。因此，对于这次估值练习，我将盈利增长假设限制在 20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将把这个增长率应用于当前的收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年CAGR估计。我的想法是，如果我花100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长率，此后10年，这笔金额将以+20.00%的速度每年增长。我想知道10年后我的100美元投资总共有多少钱，我计算大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我把增长率输入复合年增长率计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务收益回报的 10 年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10 年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要来源：市场情绪回报或企业盈利回报。如果我们假设市场情绪在未来 10 年内恢复到上一个周期的平均值，那么PayPal的复合年增长率将达到 -1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的 10 年复合年增长率应该在 +5.85% 左右。如果我们把两者放在一起，我们得到的预期10年全周期CAGR为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对这类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：高于12%的CAGR是买入，低于4%的预期CAGR是卖出，4%到12%之间是持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强进入“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意根据收益购买具有安全边际的股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看待 PayPal 的估值，以便我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用我在本文中使用的相同假设和输入，从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股 126.50 美元至 164.00 美元。我目前的购买价格（包括安全边际）是 112.10 美元。低于该价格购买的投资者很有可能在中期内获得股票的丰厚回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和 2022 年，我将开始提前预测 PayPal 2022 年的收益。目前，分析师预计 2022 年每股收益为 5.25 美元。如果 PayPal 的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高 PayPal 的估值，并将其公允价值范围提高到每股 145.00 美元至 187.50 美元，安全边际买入价为每股 128.00 美元。当然，这是假设分析师保持对 2022 年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这还意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内继续在当前价格附近交易价格，它就已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上端。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一类型的分析。对于某些具有快速利润增长势头的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析，以帮助识别快速增长的企业，这些企业可能永远不会变得便宜到仅仅根据收益来收购。这种分析方法是我的私人服务周期投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于 PayPal 的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享那种“买入价格”分析产生的，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析法检查PayPal时，它产生的买入价为 144.90 美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间位置。这是假设 PayPal 的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，并且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到 2022 年 2 月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约一年后我就其高估值向投资者发出警告。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的下滑是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的 PayPal 股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他高估值科技股也会经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能会在 2022 年下跌。对于跑赢大盘这类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化投资的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票简单地停滞几年而一事无成，也有少数股票设法保持上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal所经历的那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120286910","content_text":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.\nThat warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.\nPayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.\n\nBsWei/iStock via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nBack on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&P 500 (SPY).\nData by YCharts\nThe stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.\nThe truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.\nThis should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.\nThe difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investorslovenarratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.\nIn this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.\nFull-Cycle Earnings Analysis\nAs part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.\nBefore I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.\n\nWe can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.\nMarket Sentiment Return Expectations\nIn order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.\n\nPayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of-1.75%. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.\nBusiness Earnings Expectations\nWe previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.\nThere are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.\nThe next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).\nData by YCharts\nDue to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.\nNow, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.\nNext, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a+5.85%10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.\n10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate\nPotential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of+4.10%at today's price.\nMy Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.\nAdditional Considerations\nI consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.\nFirst, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.\nOnce we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.\nThe Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.\nWhen I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.\nConclusion\nI think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604883448,"gmtCreate":1639369792942,"gmtModify":1639369793268,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604883448","repostId":"1171271872","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171271872","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639348466,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1171271872?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 06:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、FedEx、Lenner、Campbell Soup 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171271872","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and","content":"<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要活动将是美联储利率制定委员会 2021 年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减规模的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但将包括周二的金宝汤；Lenner、埃森哲、联邦快递、Rivian Automotive 和 Adobe 周四；周五的达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的 11 月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计总体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都将大致与 10 月份的生产者通胀率持平。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他数据还包括周二公布的全国独立企业联合会（National Federation of Independent Businesses）的情绪指数、周三公布的人口普查局（Census Bureau）的 11 月份零售销售支出以及周四公布的 11 月份房屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/13星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill 和 PHX Minerals 在评级举办盈利会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Campbell Soup、Barnes Group 和 Avaya Holdings 举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布了11月份的生产者价格指数。普遍预计环比上涨 0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心 PPI 将上涨 0.4%。相比之下，10 月份分别增长了 0.6% 和 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b> of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5000名小企业主。看涨期权的预期读数为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/15星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束为期两天的会议，政策制定者将讨论加快逐步减少每月证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告</b>11月份进出口价格数据。预计出口价格将环比上涨 0.5%，而进口价格将上涨 0.5%。相比之下，10 月份的涨幅分别为 1.5% 和 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>住宅建筑商发布了12月份的NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11 月份零售支出报告。经季节性调整后，预计零售额环比增长 0.7%，而 10 月份为 1.7%。不包括汽车，支出预计增长 0.8%，而上一时期为 1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、埃森哲、联邦快递、捷普、Adobe、Rivian汽车和诺信等公司在评级举办了财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。经季节性调整后的新屋开工率预计为156.3万套，而10月份为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开始计算。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继 10 月份上涨 1.6% 之后，经济学家预计上涨 0.6%。产能利用率预计为 76.8%，与 10 月份的 76.4% 大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/17星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants 和 Quanex Building Products 在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、FedEx、Lenner、Campbell Soup 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、FedEx、Lenner、Campbell Soup 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 06:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要活动将是美联储利率制定委员会 2021 年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减规模的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但将包括周二的金宝汤；Lenner、埃森哲、联邦快递、Rivian Automotive 和 Adobe 周四；周五的达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的 11 月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计总体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都将大致与 10 月份的生产者通胀率持平。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他数据还包括周二公布的全国独立企业联合会（National Federation of Independent Businesses）的情绪指数、周三公布的人口普查局（Census Bureau）的 11 月份零售销售支出以及周四公布的 11 月份房屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/13星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill 和 PHX Minerals 在评级举办盈利会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Campbell Soup、Barnes Group 和 Avaya Holdings 举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布了11月份的生产者价格指数。普遍预计环比上涨 0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心 PPI 将上涨 0.4%。相比之下，10 月份分别增长了 0.6% 和 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b> of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5000名小企业主。看涨期权的预期读数为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/15星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束为期两天的会议，政策制定者将讨论加快逐步减少每月证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告</b>11月份进出口价格数据。预计出口价格将环比上涨 0.5%，而进口价格将上涨 0.5%。相比之下，10 月份的涨幅分别为 1.5% 和 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>住宅建筑商发布了12月份的NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11 月份零售支出报告。经季节性调整后，预计零售额环比增长 0.7%，而 10 月份为 1.7%。不包括汽车，支出预计增长 0.8%，而上一时期为 1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、埃森哲、联邦快递、捷普、Adobe、Rivian汽车和诺信等公司在评级举办了财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。经季节性调整后的新屋开工率预计为156.3万套，而10月份为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开始计算。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继 10 月份上涨 1.6% 之后，经济学家预计上涨 0.6%。产能利用率预计为 76.8%，与 10 月份的 76.4% 大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/17星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants 和 Quanex Building Products 在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司",".DJI":"道琼斯","FDX":"联邦快递","HEI":"海科航空","JILL":"J.Jill Inc.","CPB":"金宝汤","ADBE":"Adobe",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ACN":"埃森哲","PHX":"潘汉德尔油气","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","DRI":"达登饭店"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171271872","content_text":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.\nEarnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.\nEconomic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.\nOther data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.\nMonday 12/13\nJ.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.\nTuesday 12/14\nCampbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Federation of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.\nWednesday 12/15\nThe Federal Open Market Committee concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.\nThe BLS reports export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.\nThe Census Bureau reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.\nThursday 12/16\nHeico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureaureleases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.\nThe Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.\nFriday 12/17\nSteelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference 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07:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171558890","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billio","content":"<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏天可能已经过去，但 IPO 市场正在升温，未来一周将有 14 家 IPO 筹集 53 亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费产品、支付技术等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>新鲜作品</b>(FRSH) 计划以 96 亿美元的市值筹集 8.55 亿美元。该公司的核心产品是客户支持软件，同时还提供 IT 服务管理软件和 CRM 解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&M支出而增加，但截至2021年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长，并保留了100%以上的净美元收入。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company <b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿开发</b>（KDC）计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种不同类别的产品，其产品由其品牌合作伙伴在70多个国家销售。尽管使用发行收益来偿还债务，诺尔顿在首次公开募股后仍将受到杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor <b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST) 计划以 179 亿美元的市值筹集 6.85 亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在 2021 年上半年的 ARR 增长超过 100%，但历史上一直没有盈利，而且随着餐馆重新开业带来的利好减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm <b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>汇款全球</b>（RELY）计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly 为超过 135 个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球 1,700 多个走廊。该公司表现出增长和利润率的改善，尽管它仍然没有盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm <b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 4.5 亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多个客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在首次公开募股中购买价值 1.5 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company <b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>Sovos品牌</b>（SOVO）计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International成立，提供一系列精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s在意大利面和披萨酱类别中排名第一。Sovos 盈利且增长稳健，将在 IPO 后发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider <b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT) 计划以 41 亿美元的市值筹集 3.49 亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性的客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider <b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。该公司为超过 50% 的财富 100 强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同，尽管它在竞争激烈的市场中运营。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer <b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT) 计划以 14 亿美元筹集 2.5 亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过37万名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform <b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>在线时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA) 计划以 23 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。a.k.a.收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的专注于数字的时尚品牌，从2018年收购Princess Polly开始。该公司已成功扩张 Princess Polly，并在美国发展其品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker <b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>线索健康</b>(HLTH) 计划以 24 亿美元的市值筹集 2 亿美元。Cue 首个用于 Cue 健康监测系统的商业化诊断测试是其 COVID-19 检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个 EUA 的授权。Cue 还有五个额外的测试试剂盒处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将在 2022 年下半年开始寻求 FDA 的授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company <b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK) 计划以 8.55 亿美元的市值筹集 1.38 亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo 拥有超过 21,000 台专用计算机（采矿机），每秒可生成超过 1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller <b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN) 计划以 8.92 亿美元的市值筹集 1.26 亿美元。公司的垂直整合品牌 Thorne 和 Onegevity 提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。盈利且增长强劲，索恩拥有超过 300 万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank <b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>（VBNK）计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是一家加拿大附表I特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元的资产、16亿美元的贷款、15亿美元的存款和2.02亿美元的股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-18 07:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏天可能已经过去，但 IPO 市场正在升温，未来一周将有 14 家 IPO 筹集 53 亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费产品、支付技术等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>新鲜作品</b>(FRSH) 计划以 96 亿美元的市值筹集 8.55 亿美元。该公司的核心产品是客户支持软件，同时还提供 IT 服务管理软件和 CRM 解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&M支出而增加，但截至2021年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长，并保留了100%以上的净美元收入。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company <b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿开发</b>（KDC）计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种不同类别的产品，其产品由其品牌合作伙伴在70多个国家销售。尽管使用发行收益来偿还债务，诺尔顿在首次公开募股后仍将受到杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor <b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST) 计划以 179 亿美元的市值筹集 6.85 亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在 2021 年上半年的 ARR 增长超过 100%，但历史上一直没有盈利，而且随着餐馆重新开业带来的利好减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm <b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>汇款全球</b>（RELY）计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly 为超过 135 个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球 1,700 多个走廊。该公司表现出增长和利润率的改善，尽管它仍然没有盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm <b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 4.5 亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多个客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在首次公开募股中购买价值 1.5 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company <b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>Sovos品牌</b>（SOVO）计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International成立，提供一系列精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s在意大利面和披萨酱类别中排名第一。Sovos 盈利且增长稳健，将在 IPO 后发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider <b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT) 计划以 41 亿美元的市值筹集 3.49 亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性的客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider <b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。该公司为超过 50% 的财富 100 强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同，尽管它在竞争激烈的市场中运营。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer <b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT) 计划以 14 亿美元筹集 2.5 亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过37万名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform <b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>在线时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA) 计划以 23 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。a.k.a.收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的专注于数字的时尚品牌，从2018年收购Princess Polly开始。该公司已成功扩张 Princess Polly，并在美国发展其品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker <b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>线索健康</b>(HLTH) 计划以 24 亿美元的市值筹集 2 亿美元。Cue 首个用于 Cue 健康监测系统的商业化诊断测试是其 COVID-19 检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个 EUA 的授权。Cue 还有五个额外的测试试剂盒处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将在 2022 年下半年开始寻求 FDA 的授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company <b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK) 计划以 8.55 亿美元的市值筹集 1.38 亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo 拥有超过 21,000 台专用计算机（采矿机），每秒可生成超过 1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller <b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN) 计划以 8.92 亿美元的市值筹集 1.26 亿美元。公司的垂直整合品牌 Thorne 和 Onegevity 提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。盈利且增长强劲，索恩拥有超过 300 万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank <b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>（VBNK）计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是一家加拿大附表I特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元的资产、16亿美元的贷款、15亿美元的存款和2.02亿美元的股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HLTH":"TEMA HEALTHCARE AI ETF","FRSH":"Freshworks","CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.","AKA":"a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.","ARBK":"Argo Blockchain Plc","SOVO":"Sovos Brands, Inc.","TOST":"Toast, Inc.","BRLT":"Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.","RELY":"Remitly Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171558890","content_text":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.\nThe largest deal of the week,Freshworks(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.\nCanadian consumer products company Knowlton Development(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.\nRestaurant payment processor Toast(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.\nGlobal money transfer firm Remitly Global(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.\nSoftware firm Clearwater Analytics(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.\nFood company Sovos Brands(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.\nCustomer engagement software provider EngageSmart(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.\nHiring solutions provider Sterling Check(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.\nJewelry retailer Brilliant Earth Group(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.\nOnline fashion platform a.k.a. Brands(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&A strategy carries execution risk.\nCOVID-19 test maker Cue Health(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.\nLondon-listed crypto mining company Argo Blockchain(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.\nPersonalized supplements seller Thorne Healthtech(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.\nCanadian bank VersaBank(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"THRN":0.9,"BRLT":0.9,"KDC":0.9,"CWAN":0.9,"ESMT":0.9,"SOVO":0.9,"STER":0.9,"AKA":0.9,"HLTH":0.9,"RELY":0.9,"TOST":0.9,"FRSH":0.9,"ARBK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831279787,"gmtCreate":1629332377549,"gmtModify":1633685657793,"author":{"id":"3578176602660058","authorId":"3578176602660058","name":"63031164","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578176602660058","idStr":"3578176602660058"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831279787","repostId":"1183927541","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
