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Bruhman24
2021-06-18
wow
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Bruhman24
2021-06-18
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Bruhman24
2021-06-16
nice
ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote>
Bruhman24
2021-06-16
nice
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Bruhman24
2021-06-16
nice
Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>
Bruhman24
2021-06-15
nice
Apple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果:模因股票还是苹果,我每次都选择苹果</blockquote>
Bruhman24
2021-06-15
wow
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Bruhman24
2021-06-15
wow
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Bruhman24
2021-06-15
wow
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Bruhman24
2021-06-15
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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623764438,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185254731?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185254731","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for n","content":"<p>(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.</p><p><blockquote>(6月15日)ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%。ContextLogic目前涨幅近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f3eeb6c29b019970adceac690d15c3\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>ContextLogic昨天与电子商务平台PrestaShop签署了为期两年的合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p> More than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>PrestaShop平台上的30多万个商家和品牌将能够在Wish marketplace上轻松地向数百万消费者销售。</blockquote></p><p> Alan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”</p><p><blockquote>Wish 欧洲高级业务发展经理 Alan Small 表示: “Wish 以实惠的价格提供高品质的产品和个性化、有趣的购物体验,为全球数百万消费者提供服务。与 PrestaShop 的合作将使我们能够为消费者提供更优质的商家和品牌,并为 PrestaShop 商家提供一个全球交易平台。”</blockquote></p><p> Last week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.</p><p><blockquote>上周, 该公司股价在 WallStreetBets Reddit 论坛上引起关注后飙升。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-15 21:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.</p><p><blockquote>(6月15日)ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%。ContextLogic目前涨幅近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f3eeb6c29b019970adceac690d15c3\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>ContextLogic昨天与电子商务平台PrestaShop签署了为期两年的合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p> More than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>PrestaShop平台上的30多万个商家和品牌将能够在Wish marketplace上轻松地向数百万消费者销售。</blockquote></p><p> Alan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”</p><p><blockquote>Wish 欧洲高级业务发展经理 Alan Small 表示: “Wish 以实惠的价格提供高品质的产品和个性化、有趣的购物体验,为全球数百万消费者提供服务。与 PrestaShop 的合作将使我们能够为消费者提供更优质的商家和品牌,并为 PrestaShop 商家提供一个全球交易平台。”</blockquote></p><p> Last week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.</p><p><blockquote>上周, 该公司股价在 WallStreetBets Reddit 论坛上引起关注后飙升。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185254731","content_text":"(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.\n\nContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.\nMore than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.\nAlan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”\nLast week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WISH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3046,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160886833,"gmtCreate":1623780102422,"gmtModify":1634028313833,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160886833","repostId":"1193362930","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160888949,"gmtCreate":1623779984981,"gmtModify":1634028314780,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160888949","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周,在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时,我们表示,这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫,届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险,在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中(参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”)。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此,高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时,对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览,他称之为 “规模庞大,堪比典型的季度”。具体而言,<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期,此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,尽管这些总数很大,<b>根据指数规模进行调整后,在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,根据高盛的估计,组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权,</b>因此,调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元,仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额(7750 亿美元)。此外,由于股市处于历史高位,预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示,双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后,这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力,直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况,并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%,为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比;AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的(但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天,远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天),同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后,正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样,高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的,在这种情况下,Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的,即 “一旦头寸更加干净,实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时,SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明,如果市场抛售,投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译:<u><b>在抛售中,市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致,高盛还指出,虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高,但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周,由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大,以及零售活动的预测价值,都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票,导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时,高盛发现,过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点,这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是,高盛观察到,短期 SPX 期权(每周)和远离季度的趋势仍在继续,这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一,也是为什么随着到期日的临近,其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样,投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历,包括每周一和周三的到期日,因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实,<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点,</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量: 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围,他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸,以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要?因为如果这种趋势足够大,它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是,通过增加单一名称,“最卖空的名称”,散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周,在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时,我们表示,这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫,届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险,在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中(参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”)。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此,高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时,对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览,他称之为 “规模庞大,堪比典型的季度”。具体而言,<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期,此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,尽管这些总数很大,<b>根据指数规模进行调整后,在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,根据高盛的估计,组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权,</b>因此,调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元,仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额(7750 亿美元)。此外,由于股市处于历史高位,预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示,双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后,这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力,直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况,并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%,为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比;AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的(但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天,远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天),同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后,正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样,高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的,在这种情况下,Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的,即 “一旦头寸更加干净,实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时,SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明,如果市场抛售,投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译:<u><b>在抛售中,市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致,高盛还指出,虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高,但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周,由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大,以及零售活动的预测价值,都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票,导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时,高盛发现,过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点,这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是,高盛观察到,短期 SPX 期权(每周)和远离季度的趋势仍在继续,这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一,也是为什么随着到期日的临近,其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样,投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历,包括每周一和周三的到期日,因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实,<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点,</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量: 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围,他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸,以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要?因为如果这种趋势足够大,它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是,通过增加单一名称,“最卖空的名称”,散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187140285,"gmtCreate":1623747720447,"gmtModify":1634029182195,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187140285","repostId":"1167720481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167720481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623723356,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1167720481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果:模因股票还是苹果,我每次都选择苹果</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167720481","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.So what does AAPL do with all of the cash","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.</li> <li>Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.</li> <li>Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.</li> <li>Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54c3b80a3353ef82f618688f13f74658\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在2021年一直是一项负面投资,而模因股票却爆炸式增长,这是荒谬的。</li><li>投资者有机会在苹果下一次上涨之前购买它,而注意力已转移到追逐模因股票的快速收益。</li><li>苹果预计 2021 财年收入将超过 3000 亿美元,净利润将达到 750 亿美元。</li><li>最终,苹果将被重新投入到党中,他们的数字将被庆祝。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers Cathie Wood of Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年,苹果(AAPL)已成为负回报投资,其表现逊于SPDR标普500信托ETF(SPDR标普500指数ETF)超过15%。2021 年 5 月,Ark Invest 最热门的基金经理之一 Cathie Wood 从 Ark Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) 中出售了近 300,000 股 AAPL 股票。据报道,ARK 一度减持 AAPL 股份,以增加其在 Coinbase (COIN) 和 DraftKings (DKNG) 的头寸。one’s ARK 等主动管理基金每天监督股票的买卖,并可能使用 AAPL 作为现金的替代品。AAPL 的评论褒贬不一,一些人认为其最好的日子还在后头,而另一些人则认为辉煌的日子将无法重现。我认为市场正在给投资者一个机会,因为苹果公司应该会在 2021 年下半年摆脱横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> The market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation & gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.</p><p><blockquote>市场对 AAPL 在第一季度和第二季度的井喷并没有留下深刻印象。AAPL 股价并没有在基本面支撑下上涨,而是一直在下跌。作为一名 AAPL 多头,令人困惑的是,当 AAPL 等公司正在为其有史以来最好的一年奠定基础时,如此多的注意力却集中在模因股票上,而不是像 AAPL 这样的公司上。在阅读了最近关于模因股票的文章的评论后,我写道,然后回顾一些AAPL文章的评论部分,我只是不明白心态是如何转向彻底的投机和赌博而不是投资的。在本财年的前两个季度,AAPL 的每股收益为 3.08 美元,而整个 2020 财年的每股收益为 3.31 美元。AAPL 在许多指标上都在巩固其有史以来最好的一年的基础,但市场并没有留下深刻印象。我相信2021年下半年将会有令人印象深刻的烟火,随着第三季度和第四季度数据的公布,耐心的股东将会得到回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86cb02096dfa9c6da05e350f274aa64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"556\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果相信这是市场上最好的投资,并说到做到</b></blockquote></p><p> So what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&D]. In 2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.</p><p><blockquote>那么,AAPL如何处理它产生的所有现金呢?首先,他们每年花费数百亿美元来发展业务,同时投资于研发[R&D]。2020年,AAPL在创收成本上花费了1695.6亿美元。他们的劳动成果可以从他们的产品以及他们最新的业务部门(包括服务和可穿戴设备、家居和配件)的增长速度中看出。AAPL在2020年拨款187.5亿美元用于研发,为他们心爱的产品带来了进步。AAPL拥有类似于邪教心态的客户群的原因之一是因为AAPL没有停止创新。他们总是站在技术如何改善个人日常生活的最前沿。</blockquote></p><p> So what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's board authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost $23 billion in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.</p><p><blockquote>那么AAPL的业务费用兑现后剩余的现金怎么办呢?AAPL 押注于自己,并将其股票视为一项投资。自2012财年以来,AAPL已回购了4217亿美元的自有股票。2021年,AAPL回购了430亿美元的股票,表明高层领导认为拥有AAPL股票具有巨大的价值。我记得当内部人士购买他们公司股票时,每个人都很兴奋的日子。对于 AAPL 来说,回购股票只是一个普通的星期一。过去十年,苹果公司回购的股票数量超过了大多数公司的市值增长。AAPL 董事会授权向其现有股票回购计划追加 900 亿美元,AAPL 在 2021 年第二季度向股东返还了近 230 亿美元的资本,没有比这更乐观的了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dbaf61374104ed17e51201af591ab7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(资料来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Meme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>模因股票与苹果以及这个市场的疯狂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> GameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME & AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站 (GME) 和AMC院线控股公司 (AMC) 在 2021 年上半年的股价升值幅度大幅削弱了 AAPL。不管GME和AMC为什么上涨,事实是GME的回报率超过了1,100%,AMC的回报率超过了2,000%。任何骑过 GME 或 AMC 的人,我都向你们表示祝贺并脱帽致敬。由于 AAPL 今年表现不佳,市场受到了宏伟错觉的推动,而 GME 和 AMC 却绝对上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c85258331453c02381346f8b6c676cec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.</p><p><blockquote>过去几个月AMC发生了什么变化?我可以告诉你,一件事都没有。AMC仍然是一家亏损的公司,几乎不赚钱。我明白投资像 AMC 这样的公司可以由于波动性而产生巨大回报,我并没有否认这一点。如果你能在上面赚钱,无论如何,不要让任何人挡你的路,但要小心。当你通读AMC的损益表时,他们的净利润从未超过4亿美元。在过去十年中,AMC最赚钱的一年是2013年,净利润为3.644亿美元。2019 年,由于 COVID 的影响为零,AMC 创造了 54.7 亿美元的收入,但甚至无法盈利,因为他们亏损了 1.491 亿美元。AMC 上一季度报告显示其资产负债表上的股本为 -23 亿美元。现实情况是,AMC 可以发行额外股票并出售以筹集资金。这将使 AMC 受益,改善其资产负债表并增加手头现金。人们似乎不明白,当一家公司发行更多股票时,最初的一批股票会因为额外的供应量而被稀释,变得一文不值。AMC可以发行股票并加强其资产负债表,但这并不能解决其利润问题。AAPL 每个季度向股东支付的股息比 AMC 过去十年产生的利润还要多,但 AMC 是产生更大回报的股票。</blockquote></p><p> When investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN) has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者购买 AMC 股票时,他们购买的是一家每股收益为负的公司。AMC 的市盈率无法在过去 12 个月或远期基础上衡量,但投资者愿意为不存在的收益买单。在我的AMC文章的评论中,人们说基本面并不重要。我知道 AMC 一直是一项技术性交易,但这并不能改变投资者为负收益公司买单的现实。目前,标准普尔的平均市盈率为45.02。如果我使用 AAPL 在 2021 财年前 6 个月产生的每股收益 3.08 美元,他们的市盈率将为 40.55。对于 TTM,AAPL 的每股收益为 4.49 美元,这使得他们的市盈率降至 28.09。目前,投资者为 AAPL 每产生 1 美元的收益支付 28.09 美元,这对于科技行业来说是较低的。亚马逊 (AMZN) 的市盈率为 62.44,微软 (MSFT) 为 34.93,谷歌 (GOOGL) 为 32.05。看涨期权我很守旧,但我喜欢投资盈利的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e06d9bc68454731c984429111ff056\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"661\"><span>(Source:multpl.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:multpl.com)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Laying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阐述苹果的牛市理由以及为什么突破上行是不可避免的</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 拥有一批狂热的追随者,他们被其产品和服务所吸引。2021年前6个月,AAPLhas实现收入2010.2亿美元,毛利润824.1亿美元,净利润523.9亿美元。2021年,AAPL已经创造了2020年总收入的73.23%(2010.2亿美元),然后是2020年总收入的78.51%(824.1亿美元)和2020年总净收入的91.25%(523.9亿美元)。AAPL 有望打破其之前的记录,除非发生深不可测的事情,否则 2021 年将是 AAPL 有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> So the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.</p><p><blockquote>因此,真正的问题是,是什么导致了 AAPL 财务状况的飙升,以及它们是否可持续?部分原因是苹果公司的硬件销量从 iPhone 12 到 iPad 都有所增长。可以说,由于在家工作或远程学习,许多人在疫情期间需要升级他们的技术,但这种逻辑不能用于2021年。4月底,苹果公司公布第二季度业绩时,其iPhone销售额超出预期71.4亿美元,Mac销售额超出预期22亿美元,iPad销售额超出预期20.1亿美元。这些数字是在一年后公布的,虽然苹果公司发布的第一款 5G 手机 iPhone 12 预计会带来顺风,但我相信疫情将社会推向了一个更加重视技术的地方。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In 2018 Services generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.</p><p><blockquote>我相信 AAPL 将继续看到强劲的硬件销售,但这只是难题的一部分。服务、可穿戴设备、家居和配件正在成为 AAPL 财务指标的重要组成部分。2018年,服务业创造了397.5亿美元的收入。2019年,服务业增长了65.4亿美元(16.46%),年收入为462.9亿美元。2020年,服务业增长了74.8亿美元(16.15%),收入总计537.7亿美元。2020年前6个月,服务业已经创造了326.6亿美元的收入,占2020年总收入的60.75%。服务持续增长,为 AAPL 创造了一个真正的经常性收入业务部门。服务之美在于AAPL销售的每一件硬件;每个月都有机会通过服务产生额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Services are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.</p><p><blockquote>随着 AAPL 实现收入结构多元化,不再仅仅依赖实体产品,服务正在成为 AAPL 的本垒打。截至 2020 财年末,Services 在短短 4 年内年收入增加了 294.2 亿美元(120.83%)。2021年前6个月,服务业创造了326.6亿美元,占2020年年收入的60%。AAPL 有望在 2021 财年实现 600 亿美元的服务收入。展望未来,在不久的将来,服务业可能会产生 1000 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f044f79f7525038fb94ed27b6a92209\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Steven Fiorillo)(数据来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Wearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.</p><p><blockquote>家庭可穿戴设备和配件继续追随 Service 的脚步,因为它已成为比 iPad 和 Mac 更大的收入领域。随着苹果观察的推出,这一类别已经从2016年的111.3亿美元增长到2020年的306.2亿美元。在4个财年中,可穿戴家居和配件的收入增加了244.8亿美元(175.06%),并且增长不断扩大。2021年前6个月,家用可穿戴设备和配件创造了208.1亿美元的收入,占2020年总收入的67.95%。AAPL 肯定有望在 2021 财年从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生超过 350 亿美元的收入。未来几年,AAPL 有望从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生 500 亿美元的年收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7071ec652302c6cab585fef4c408d65\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Steven Fiorillo)(数据来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.</p><p><blockquote>到 2025 财年末,服务很有可能产生超过 780 亿美元的收入,如果家用可穿戴设备和配件都以 10% 的速度增长,则年收入可能超过 440 亿美元。这两个类别的总收入有望超过 1000 亿美元,到 2020 年代末,每年可能会增长到 1500 亿美元。我感到震惊的是,投资者没有大量涌入 AAPL,更可笑的是,对 AAPL 数据的强调没有得到更详细的讨论。当服务收入达到 1000 亿美元,家用可穿戴设备和配件收入达到 500 亿美元时,AAPL 的未来价值是多少?在过去的十年里,AAPL不断创新和改变技术的使用方式,我拒绝相信他们最好的日子已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cd231b75d9f875329f6713debe846b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"191\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(资料来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> The meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. I am a shareholder of AAPL, and I plan on buying more before Q3 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票给一些投资者带来了极大的兴奋,而他们却让另一大群人摇头。除了赌博之外,我无法理解当你可以购买出售的 AAPL 股票时,为什么人们还要投资 AMC。苹果公司本应暴涨,但其最近两个季度的井喷并没有改变局面。我相信一旦第三季度数据公布,情况就会有所不同。我们将再次发现,AAPL 继续购买数十亿美元的股票,同时报告称,在 9 个月内,他们产生的净利润超过了 2020 年全年。在运营的前6个月,AAPL创造了2010.2亿美元的收入和523.9亿美元的净利润,同时返还了532亿美元的回购和股息。投资者有机会在下一次上涨之前购买更多 AAPL。我是 AAPL 的股东,我计划在第三季度财报公布之前购买更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果:模因股票还是苹果,我每次都选择苹果</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果:模因股票还是苹果,我每次都选择苹果</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 10:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.</li> <li>Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.</li> <li>Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.</li> <li>Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54c3b80a3353ef82f618688f13f74658\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在2021年一直是一项负面投资,而模因股票却爆炸式增长,这是荒谬的。</li><li>投资者有机会在苹果下一次上涨之前购买它,而注意力已转移到追逐模因股票的快速收益。</li><li>苹果预计 2021 财年收入将超过 3000 亿美元,净利润将达到 750 亿美元。</li><li>最终,苹果将被重新投入到党中,他们的数字将被庆祝。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers Cathie Wood of Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年,苹果(AAPL)已成为负回报投资,其表现逊于SPDR标普500信托ETF(SPDR标普500指数ETF)超过15%。2021 年 5 月,Ark Invest 最热门的基金经理之一 Cathie Wood 从 Ark Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) 中出售了近 300,000 股 AAPL 股票。据报道,ARK 一度减持 AAPL 股份,以增加其在 Coinbase (COIN) 和 DraftKings (DKNG) 的头寸。one’s ARK 等主动管理基金每天监督股票的买卖,并可能使用 AAPL 作为现金的替代品。AAPL 的评论褒贬不一,一些人认为其最好的日子还在后头,而另一些人则认为辉煌的日子将无法重现。我认为市场正在给投资者一个机会,因为苹果公司应该会在 2021 年下半年摆脱横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> The market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation & gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.</p><p><blockquote>市场对 AAPL 在第一季度和第二季度的井喷并没有留下深刻印象。AAPL 股价并没有在基本面支撑下上涨,而是一直在下跌。作为一名 AAPL 多头,令人困惑的是,当 AAPL 等公司正在为其有史以来最好的一年奠定基础时,如此多的注意力却集中在模因股票上,而不是像 AAPL 这样的公司上。在阅读了最近关于模因股票的文章的评论后,我写道,然后回顾一些AAPL文章的评论部分,我只是不明白心态是如何转向彻底的投机和赌博而不是投资的。在本财年的前两个季度,AAPL 的每股收益为 3.08 美元,而整个 2020 财年的每股收益为 3.31 美元。AAPL 在许多指标上都在巩固其有史以来最好的一年的基础,但市场并没有留下深刻印象。我相信2021年下半年将会有令人印象深刻的烟火,随着第三季度和第四季度数据的公布,耐心的股东将会得到回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86cb02096dfa9c6da05e350f274aa64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"556\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果相信这是市场上最好的投资,并说到做到</b></blockquote></p><p> So what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&D]. In 2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.</p><p><blockquote>那么,AAPL如何处理它产生的所有现金呢?首先,他们每年花费数百亿美元来发展业务,同时投资于研发[R&D]。2020年,AAPL在创收成本上花费了1695.6亿美元。他们的劳动成果可以从他们的产品以及他们最新的业务部门(包括服务和可穿戴设备、家居和配件)的增长速度中看出。AAPL在2020年拨款187.5亿美元用于研发,为他们心爱的产品带来了进步。AAPL拥有类似于邪教心态的客户群的原因之一是因为AAPL没有停止创新。他们总是站在技术如何改善个人日常生活的最前沿。</blockquote></p><p> So what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's board authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost $23 billion in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.</p><p><blockquote>那么AAPL的业务费用兑现后剩余的现金怎么办呢?AAPL 押注于自己,并将其股票视为一项投资。自2012财年以来,AAPL已回购了4217亿美元的自有股票。2021年,AAPL回购了430亿美元的股票,表明高层领导认为拥有AAPL股票具有巨大的价值。我记得当内部人士购买他们公司股票时,每个人都很兴奋的日子。对于 AAPL 来说,回购股票只是一个普通的星期一。过去十年,苹果公司回购的股票数量超过了大多数公司的市值增长。AAPL 董事会授权向其现有股票回购计划追加 900 亿美元,AAPL 在 2021 年第二季度向股东返还了近 230 亿美元的资本,没有比这更乐观的了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dbaf61374104ed17e51201af591ab7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(资料来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Meme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>模因股票与苹果以及这个市场的疯狂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> GameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME & AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站 (GME) 和AMC院线控股公司 (AMC) 在 2021 年上半年的股价升值幅度大幅削弱了 AAPL。不管GME和AMC为什么上涨,事实是GME的回报率超过了1,100%,AMC的回报率超过了2,000%。任何骑过 GME 或 AMC 的人,我都向你们表示祝贺并脱帽致敬。由于 AAPL 今年表现不佳,市场受到了宏伟错觉的推动,而 GME 和 AMC 却绝对上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c85258331453c02381346f8b6c676cec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.</p><p><blockquote>过去几个月AMC发生了什么变化?我可以告诉你,一件事都没有。AMC仍然是一家亏损的公司,几乎不赚钱。我明白投资像 AMC 这样的公司可以由于波动性而产生巨大回报,我并没有否认这一点。如果你能在上面赚钱,无论如何,不要让任何人挡你的路,但要小心。当你通读AMC的损益表时,他们的净利润从未超过4亿美元。在过去十年中,AMC最赚钱的一年是2013年,净利润为3.644亿美元。2019 年,由于 COVID 的影响为零,AMC 创造了 54.7 亿美元的收入,但甚至无法盈利,因为他们亏损了 1.491 亿美元。AMC 上一季度报告显示其资产负债表上的股本为 -23 亿美元。现实情况是,AMC 可以发行额外股票并出售以筹集资金。这将使 AMC 受益,改善其资产负债表并增加手头现金。人们似乎不明白,当一家公司发行更多股票时,最初的一批股票会因为额外的供应量而被稀释,变得一文不值。AMC可以发行股票并加强其资产负债表,但这并不能解决其利润问题。AAPL 每个季度向股东支付的股息比 AMC 过去十年产生的利润还要多,但 AMC 是产生更大回报的股票。</blockquote></p><p> When investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN) has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者购买 AMC 股票时,他们购买的是一家每股收益为负的公司。AMC 的市盈率无法在过去 12 个月或远期基础上衡量,但投资者愿意为不存在的收益买单。在我的AMC文章的评论中,人们说基本面并不重要。我知道 AMC 一直是一项技术性交易,但这并不能改变投资者为负收益公司买单的现实。目前,标准普尔的平均市盈率为45.02。如果我使用 AAPL 在 2021 财年前 6 个月产生的每股收益 3.08 美元,他们的市盈率将为 40.55。对于 TTM,AAPL 的每股收益为 4.49 美元,这使得他们的市盈率降至 28.09。目前,投资者为 AAPL 每产生 1 美元的收益支付 28.09 美元,这对于科技行业来说是较低的。亚马逊 (AMZN) 的市盈率为 62.44,微软 (MSFT) 为 34.93,谷歌 (GOOGL) 为 32.05。看涨期权我很守旧,但我喜欢投资盈利的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e06d9bc68454731c984429111ff056\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"661\"><span>(Source:multpl.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:multpl.com)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Laying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阐述苹果的牛市理由以及为什么突破上行是不可避免的</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 拥有一批狂热的追随者,他们被其产品和服务所吸引。2021年前6个月,AAPLhas实现收入2010.2亿美元,毛利润824.1亿美元,净利润523.9亿美元。2021年,AAPL已经创造了2020年总收入的73.23%(2010.2亿美元),然后是2020年总收入的78.51%(824.1亿美元)和2020年总净收入的91.25%(523.9亿美元)。AAPL 有望打破其之前的记录,除非发生深不可测的事情,否则 2021 年将是 AAPL 有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> So the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.</p><p><blockquote>因此,真正的问题是,是什么导致了 AAPL 财务状况的飙升,以及它们是否可持续?部分原因是苹果公司的硬件销量从 iPhone 12 到 iPad 都有所增长。可以说,由于在家工作或远程学习,许多人在疫情期间需要升级他们的技术,但这种逻辑不能用于2021年。4月底,苹果公司公布第二季度业绩时,其iPhone销售额超出预期71.4亿美元,Mac销售额超出预期22亿美元,iPad销售额超出预期20.1亿美元。这些数字是在一年后公布的,虽然苹果公司发布的第一款 5G 手机 iPhone 12 预计会带来顺风,但我相信疫情将社会推向了一个更加重视技术的地方。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In 2018 Services generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.</p><p><blockquote>我相信 AAPL 将继续看到强劲的硬件销售,但这只是难题的一部分。服务、可穿戴设备、家居和配件正在成为 AAPL 财务指标的重要组成部分。2018年,服务业创造了397.5亿美元的收入。2019年,服务业增长了65.4亿美元(16.46%),年收入为462.9亿美元。2020年,服务业增长了74.8亿美元(16.15%),收入总计537.7亿美元。2020年前6个月,服务业已经创造了326.6亿美元的收入,占2020年总收入的60.75%。服务持续增长,为 AAPL 创造了一个真正的经常性收入业务部门。服务之美在于AAPL销售的每一件硬件;每个月都有机会通过服务产生额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Services are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.</p><p><blockquote>随着 AAPL 实现收入结构多元化,不再仅仅依赖实体产品,服务正在成为 AAPL 的本垒打。截至 2020 财年末,Services 在短短 4 年内年收入增加了 294.2 亿美元(120.83%)。2021年前6个月,服务业创造了326.6亿美元,占2020年年收入的60%。AAPL 有望在 2021 财年实现 600 亿美元的服务收入。展望未来,在不久的将来,服务业可能会产生 1000 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f044f79f7525038fb94ed27b6a92209\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Steven Fiorillo)(数据来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Wearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.</p><p><blockquote>家庭可穿戴设备和配件继续追随 Service 的脚步,因为它已成为比 iPad 和 Mac 更大的收入领域。随着苹果观察的推出,这一类别已经从2016年的111.3亿美元增长到2020年的306.2亿美元。在4个财年中,可穿戴家居和配件的收入增加了244.8亿美元(175.06%),并且增长不断扩大。2021年前6个月,家用可穿戴设备和配件创造了208.1亿美元的收入,占2020年总收入的67.95%。AAPL 肯定有望在 2021 财年从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生超过 350 亿美元的收入。未来几年,AAPL 有望从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生 500 亿美元的年收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7071ec652302c6cab585fef4c408d65\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Steven Fiorillo)(数据来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.</p><p><blockquote>到 2025 财年末,服务很有可能产生超过 780 亿美元的收入,如果家用可穿戴设备和配件都以 10% 的速度增长,则年收入可能超过 440 亿美元。这两个类别的总收入有望超过 1000 亿美元,到 2020 年代末,每年可能会增长到 1500 亿美元。我感到震惊的是,投资者没有大量涌入 AAPL,更可笑的是,对 AAPL 数据的强调没有得到更详细的讨论。当服务收入达到 1000 亿美元,家用可穿戴设备和配件收入达到 500 亿美元时,AAPL 的未来价值是多少?在过去的十年里,AAPL不断创新和改变技术的使用方式,我拒绝相信他们最好的日子已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cd231b75d9f875329f6713debe846b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"191\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(资料来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> The meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. I am a shareholder of AAPL, and I plan on buying more before Q3 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票给一些投资者带来了极大的兴奋,而他们却让另一大群人摇头。除了赌博之外,我无法理解当你可以购买出售的 AAPL 股票时,为什么人们还要投资 AMC。苹果公司本应暴涨,但其最近两个季度的井喷并没有改变局面。我相信一旦第三季度数据公布,情况就会有所不同。我们将再次发现,AAPL 继续购买数十亿美元的股票,同时报告称,在 9 个月内,他们产生的净利润超过了 2020 年全年。在运营的前6个月,AAPL创造了2010.2亿美元的收入和523.9亿美元的净利润,同时返还了532亿美元的回购和股息。投资者有机会在下一次上涨之前购买更多 AAPL。我是 AAPL 的股东,我计划在第三季度财报公布之前购买更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434600-apple-meme-stocks-or-apple-i-choose-apple-every-time\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434600-apple-meme-stocks-or-apple-i-choose-apple-every-time","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167720481","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.\nInvestors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.\nApple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.\nEventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nIn 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers Cathie Wood of Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.\nThe market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation & gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nApple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is\nSo what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&D]. In 2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.\nSo what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's board authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost $23 billion in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.\n(Source: Apple)\nMeme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market\nGameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME & AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nWhat's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.\nWhen investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN) has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.\n(Source:multpl.com)\nLaying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable\nAAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.\nSo the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.\nI believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In 2018 Services generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.\nServices are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nWearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nBy the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.\n(Source: Apple)\nConclusion\nThe meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. I am a shareholder of AAPL, and I plan on buying more before Q3 earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187156564,"gmtCreate":1623747609458,"gmtModify":1634029186494,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187156564","repostId":"1186361842","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187156381,"gmtCreate":1623747599843,"gmtModify":1634029186859,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187156381","repostId":"1140381227","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187151599,"gmtCreate":1623747562811,"gmtModify":1634029187931,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187151599","repostId":"2143377637","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187159483,"gmtCreate":1623747528142,"gmtModify":1634029189687,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187159483","repostId":"1140381227","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":168915922,"gmtCreate":1623946593366,"gmtModify":1634025404430,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168915922","repostId":"1178576120","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168912273,"gmtCreate":1623946582292,"gmtModify":1634025404897,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168912273","repostId":"2144493207","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160886669,"gmtCreate":1623780113251,"gmtModify":1634028313709,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160886669","repostId":"1185254731","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185254731","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623764438,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185254731?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185254731","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for n","content":"<p>(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.</p><p><blockquote>(6月15日)ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%。ContextLogic目前涨幅近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f3eeb6c29b019970adceac690d15c3\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>ContextLogic昨天与电子商务平台PrestaShop签署了为期两年的合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p> More than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>PrestaShop平台上的30多万个商家和品牌将能够在Wish marketplace上轻松地向数百万消费者销售。</blockquote></p><p> Alan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”</p><p><blockquote>Wish 欧洲高级业务发展经理 Alan Small 表示: “Wish 以实惠的价格提供高品质的产品和个性化、有趣的购物体验,为全球数百万消费者提供服务。与 PrestaShop 的合作将使我们能够为消费者提供更优质的商家和品牌,并为 PrestaShop 商家提供一个全球交易平台。”</blockquote></p><p> Last week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.</p><p><blockquote>上周, 该公司股价在 WallStreetBets Reddit 论坛上引起关注后飙升。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-15 21:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.</p><p><blockquote>(6月15日)ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%。ContextLogic目前涨幅近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f3eeb6c29b019970adceac690d15c3\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>ContextLogic昨天与电子商务平台PrestaShop签署了为期两年的合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p> More than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>PrestaShop平台上的30多万个商家和品牌将能够在Wish marketplace上轻松地向数百万消费者销售。</blockquote></p><p> Alan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”</p><p><blockquote>Wish 欧洲高级业务发展经理 Alan Small 表示: “Wish 以实惠的价格提供高品质的产品和个性化、有趣的购物体验,为全球数百万消费者提供服务。与 PrestaShop 的合作将使我们能够为消费者提供更优质的商家和品牌,并为 PrestaShop 商家提供一个全球交易平台。”</blockquote></p><p> Last week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.</p><p><blockquote>上周, 该公司股价在 WallStreetBets Reddit 论坛上引起关注后飙升。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185254731","content_text":"(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.\n\nContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.\nMore than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.\nAlan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”\nLast week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WISH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3046,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160886833,"gmtCreate":1623780102422,"gmtModify":1634028313833,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160886833","repostId":"1193362930","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160888949,"gmtCreate":1623779984981,"gmtModify":1634028314780,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160888949","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周,在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时,我们表示,这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫,届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险,在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中(参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”)。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此,高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时,对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览,他称之为 “规模庞大,堪比典型的季度”。具体而言,<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期,此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,尽管这些总数很大,<b>根据指数规模进行调整后,在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,根据高盛的估计,组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权,</b>因此,调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元,仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额(7750 亿美元)。此外,由于股市处于历史高位,预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示,双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后,这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力,直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况,并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%,为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比;AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的(但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天,远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天),同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后,正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样,高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的,在这种情况下,Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的,即 “一旦头寸更加干净,实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时,SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明,如果市场抛售,投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译:<u><b>在抛售中,市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致,高盛还指出,虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高,但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周,由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大,以及零售活动的预测价值,都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票,导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时,高盛发现,过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点,这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是,高盛观察到,短期 SPX 期权(每周)和远离季度的趋势仍在继续,这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一,也是为什么随着到期日的临近,其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样,投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历,包括每周一和周三的到期日,因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实,<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点,</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量: 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围,他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸,以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要?因为如果这种趋势足够大,它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是,通过增加单一名称,“最卖空的名称”,散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周,在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时,我们表示,这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫,届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险,在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中(参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”)。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此,高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时,对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览,他称之为 “规模庞大,堪比典型的季度”。具体而言,<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期,此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,尽管这些总数很大,<b>根据指数规模进行调整后,在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,根据高盛的估计,组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权,</b>因此,调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元,仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额(7750 亿美元)。此外,由于股市处于历史高位,预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示,双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后,这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力,直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况,并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%,为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比;AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的(但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天,远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天),同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后,正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样,高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的,在这种情况下,Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的,即 “一旦头寸更加干净,实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时,SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明,如果市场抛售,投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译:<u><b>在抛售中,市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致,高盛还指出,虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高,但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周,由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大,以及零售活动的预测价值,都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票,导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时,高盛发现,过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点,这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是,高盛观察到,短期 SPX 期权(每周)和远离季度的趋势仍在继续,这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一,也是为什么随着到期日的临近,其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样,投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历,包括每周一和周三的到期日,因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实,<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点,</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量: 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围,他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸,以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要?因为如果这种趋势足够大,它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是,通过增加单一名称,“最卖空的名称”,散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187140285,"gmtCreate":1623747720447,"gmtModify":1634029182195,"author":{"id":"3578182178836822","authorId":"3578182178836822","name":"Bruhman24","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578182178836822","authorIdStr":"3578182178836822"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187140285","repostId":"1167720481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167720481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623723356,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1167720481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果:模因股票还是苹果,我每次都选择苹果</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167720481","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.So what does AAPL do with all of the cash","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.</li> <li>Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.</li> <li>Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.</li> <li>Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54c3b80a3353ef82f618688f13f74658\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在2021年一直是一项负面投资,而模因股票却爆炸式增长,这是荒谬的。</li><li>投资者有机会在苹果下一次上涨之前购买它,而注意力已转移到追逐模因股票的快速收益。</li><li>苹果预计 2021 财年收入将超过 3000 亿美元,净利润将达到 750 亿美元。</li><li>最终,苹果将被重新投入到党中,他们的数字将被庆祝。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers Cathie Wood of Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年,苹果(AAPL)已成为负回报投资,其表现逊于SPDR标普500信托ETF(SPDR标普500指数ETF)超过15%。2021 年 5 月,Ark Invest 最热门的基金经理之一 Cathie Wood 从 Ark Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) 中出售了近 300,000 股 AAPL 股票。据报道,ARK 一度减持 AAPL 股份,以增加其在 Coinbase (COIN) 和 DraftKings (DKNG) 的头寸。one’s ARK 等主动管理基金每天监督股票的买卖,并可能使用 AAPL 作为现金的替代品。AAPL 的评论褒贬不一,一些人认为其最好的日子还在后头,而另一些人则认为辉煌的日子将无法重现。我认为市场正在给投资者一个机会,因为苹果公司应该会在 2021 年下半年摆脱横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> The market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation & gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.</p><p><blockquote>市场对 AAPL 在第一季度和第二季度的井喷并没有留下深刻印象。AAPL 股价并没有在基本面支撑下上涨,而是一直在下跌。作为一名 AAPL 多头,令人困惑的是,当 AAPL 等公司正在为其有史以来最好的一年奠定基础时,如此多的注意力却集中在模因股票上,而不是像 AAPL 这样的公司上。在阅读了最近关于模因股票的文章的评论后,我写道,然后回顾一些AAPL文章的评论部分,我只是不明白心态是如何转向彻底的投机和赌博而不是投资的。在本财年的前两个季度,AAPL 的每股收益为 3.08 美元,而整个 2020 财年的每股收益为 3.31 美元。AAPL 在许多指标上都在巩固其有史以来最好的一年的基础,但市场并没有留下深刻印象。我相信2021年下半年将会有令人印象深刻的烟火,随着第三季度和第四季度数据的公布,耐心的股东将会得到回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86cb02096dfa9c6da05e350f274aa64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"556\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果相信这是市场上最好的投资,并说到做到</b></blockquote></p><p> So what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&D]. In 2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.</p><p><blockquote>那么,AAPL如何处理它产生的所有现金呢?首先,他们每年花费数百亿美元来发展业务,同时投资于研发[R&D]。2020年,AAPL在创收成本上花费了1695.6亿美元。他们的劳动成果可以从他们的产品以及他们最新的业务部门(包括服务和可穿戴设备、家居和配件)的增长速度中看出。AAPL在2020年拨款187.5亿美元用于研发,为他们心爱的产品带来了进步。AAPL拥有类似于邪教心态的客户群的原因之一是因为AAPL没有停止创新。他们总是站在技术如何改善个人日常生活的最前沿。</blockquote></p><p> So what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's board authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost $23 billion in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.</p><p><blockquote>那么AAPL的业务费用兑现后剩余的现金怎么办呢?AAPL 押注于自己,并将其股票视为一项投资。自2012财年以来,AAPL已回购了4217亿美元的自有股票。2021年,AAPL回购了430亿美元的股票,表明高层领导认为拥有AAPL股票具有巨大的价值。我记得当内部人士购买他们公司股票时,每个人都很兴奋的日子。对于 AAPL 来说,回购股票只是一个普通的星期一。过去十年,苹果公司回购的股票数量超过了大多数公司的市值增长。AAPL 董事会授权向其现有股票回购计划追加 900 亿美元,AAPL 在 2021 年第二季度向股东返还了近 230 亿美元的资本,没有比这更乐观的了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dbaf61374104ed17e51201af591ab7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(资料来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Meme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>模因股票与苹果以及这个市场的疯狂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> GameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME & AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站 (GME) 和AMC院线控股公司 (AMC) 在 2021 年上半年的股价升值幅度大幅削弱了 AAPL。不管GME和AMC为什么上涨,事实是GME的回报率超过了1,100%,AMC的回报率超过了2,000%。任何骑过 GME 或 AMC 的人,我都向你们表示祝贺并脱帽致敬。由于 AAPL 今年表现不佳,市场受到了宏伟错觉的推动,而 GME 和 AMC 却绝对上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c85258331453c02381346f8b6c676cec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.</p><p><blockquote>过去几个月AMC发生了什么变化?我可以告诉你,一件事都没有。AMC仍然是一家亏损的公司,几乎不赚钱。我明白投资像 AMC 这样的公司可以由于波动性而产生巨大回报,我并没有否认这一点。如果你能在上面赚钱,无论如何,不要让任何人挡你的路,但要小心。当你通读AMC的损益表时,他们的净利润从未超过4亿美元。在过去十年中,AMC最赚钱的一年是2013年,净利润为3.644亿美元。2019 年,由于 COVID 的影响为零,AMC 创造了 54.7 亿美元的收入,但甚至无法盈利,因为他们亏损了 1.491 亿美元。AMC 上一季度报告显示其资产负债表上的股本为 -23 亿美元。现实情况是,AMC 可以发行额外股票并出售以筹集资金。这将使 AMC 受益,改善其资产负债表并增加手头现金。人们似乎不明白,当一家公司发行更多股票时,最初的一批股票会因为额外的供应量而被稀释,变得一文不值。AMC可以发行股票并加强其资产负债表,但这并不能解决其利润问题。AAPL 每个季度向股东支付的股息比 AMC 过去十年产生的利润还要多,但 AMC 是产生更大回报的股票。</blockquote></p><p> When investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN) has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者购买 AMC 股票时,他们购买的是一家每股收益为负的公司。AMC 的市盈率无法在过去 12 个月或远期基础上衡量,但投资者愿意为不存在的收益买单。在我的AMC文章的评论中,人们说基本面并不重要。我知道 AMC 一直是一项技术性交易,但这并不能改变投资者为负收益公司买单的现实。目前,标准普尔的平均市盈率为45.02。如果我使用 AAPL 在 2021 财年前 6 个月产生的每股收益 3.08 美元,他们的市盈率将为 40.55。对于 TTM,AAPL 的每股收益为 4.49 美元,这使得他们的市盈率降至 28.09。目前,投资者为 AAPL 每产生 1 美元的收益支付 28.09 美元,这对于科技行业来说是较低的。亚马逊 (AMZN) 的市盈率为 62.44,微软 (MSFT) 为 34.93,谷歌 (GOOGL) 为 32.05。看涨期权我很守旧,但我喜欢投资盈利的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e06d9bc68454731c984429111ff056\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"661\"><span>(Source:multpl.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:multpl.com)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Laying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阐述苹果的牛市理由以及为什么突破上行是不可避免的</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 拥有一批狂热的追随者,他们被其产品和服务所吸引。2021年前6个月,AAPLhas实现收入2010.2亿美元,毛利润824.1亿美元,净利润523.9亿美元。2021年,AAPL已经创造了2020年总收入的73.23%(2010.2亿美元),然后是2020年总收入的78.51%(824.1亿美元)和2020年总净收入的91.25%(523.9亿美元)。AAPL 有望打破其之前的记录,除非发生深不可测的事情,否则 2021 年将是 AAPL 有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> So the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.</p><p><blockquote>因此,真正的问题是,是什么导致了 AAPL 财务状况的飙升,以及它们是否可持续?部分原因是苹果公司的硬件销量从 iPhone 12 到 iPad 都有所增长。可以说,由于在家工作或远程学习,许多人在疫情期间需要升级他们的技术,但这种逻辑不能用于2021年。4月底,苹果公司公布第二季度业绩时,其iPhone销售额超出预期71.4亿美元,Mac销售额超出预期22亿美元,iPad销售额超出预期20.1亿美元。这些数字是在一年后公布的,虽然苹果公司发布的第一款 5G 手机 iPhone 12 预计会带来顺风,但我相信疫情将社会推向了一个更加重视技术的地方。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In 2018 Services generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.</p><p><blockquote>我相信 AAPL 将继续看到强劲的硬件销售,但这只是难题的一部分。服务、可穿戴设备、家居和配件正在成为 AAPL 财务指标的重要组成部分。2018年,服务业创造了397.5亿美元的收入。2019年,服务业增长了65.4亿美元(16.46%),年收入为462.9亿美元。2020年,服务业增长了74.8亿美元(16.15%),收入总计537.7亿美元。2020年前6个月,服务业已经创造了326.6亿美元的收入,占2020年总收入的60.75%。服务持续增长,为 AAPL 创造了一个真正的经常性收入业务部门。服务之美在于AAPL销售的每一件硬件;每个月都有机会通过服务产生额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Services are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.</p><p><blockquote>随着 AAPL 实现收入结构多元化,不再仅仅依赖实体产品,服务正在成为 AAPL 的本垒打。截至 2020 财年末,Services 在短短 4 年内年收入增加了 294.2 亿美元(120.83%)。2021年前6个月,服务业创造了326.6亿美元,占2020年年收入的60%。AAPL 有望在 2021 财年实现 600 亿美元的服务收入。展望未来,在不久的将来,服务业可能会产生 1000 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f044f79f7525038fb94ed27b6a92209\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Steven Fiorillo)(数据来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Wearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.</p><p><blockquote>家庭可穿戴设备和配件继续追随 Service 的脚步,因为它已成为比 iPad 和 Mac 更大的收入领域。随着苹果观察的推出,这一类别已经从2016年的111.3亿美元增长到2020年的306.2亿美元。在4个财年中,可穿戴家居和配件的收入增加了244.8亿美元(175.06%),并且增长不断扩大。2021年前6个月,家用可穿戴设备和配件创造了208.1亿美元的收入,占2020年总收入的67.95%。AAPL 肯定有望在 2021 财年从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生超过 350 亿美元的收入。未来几年,AAPL 有望从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生 500 亿美元的年收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7071ec652302c6cab585fef4c408d65\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Steven Fiorillo)(数据来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.</p><p><blockquote>到 2025 财年末,服务很有可能产生超过 780 亿美元的收入,如果家用可穿戴设备和配件都以 10% 的速度增长,则年收入可能超过 440 亿美元。这两个类别的总收入有望超过 1000 亿美元,到 2020 年代末,每年可能会增长到 1500 亿美元。我感到震惊的是,投资者没有大量涌入 AAPL,更可笑的是,对 AAPL 数据的强调没有得到更详细的讨论。当服务收入达到 1000 亿美元,家用可穿戴设备和配件收入达到 500 亿美元时,AAPL 的未来价值是多少?在过去的十年里,AAPL不断创新和改变技术的使用方式,我拒绝相信他们最好的日子已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cd231b75d9f875329f6713debe846b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"191\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(资料来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> The meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. I am a shareholder of AAPL, and I plan on buying more before Q3 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票给一些投资者带来了极大的兴奋,而他们却让另一大群人摇头。除了赌博之外,我无法理解当你可以购买出售的 AAPL 股票时,为什么人们还要投资 AMC。苹果公司本应暴涨,但其最近两个季度的井喷并没有改变局面。我相信一旦第三季度数据公布,情况就会有所不同。我们将再次发现,AAPL 继续购买数十亿美元的股票,同时报告称,在 9 个月内,他们产生的净利润超过了 2020 年全年。在运营的前6个月,AAPL创造了2010.2亿美元的收入和523.9亿美元的净利润,同时返还了532亿美元的回购和股息。投资者有机会在下一次上涨之前购买更多 AAPL。我是 AAPL 的股东,我计划在第三季度财报公布之前购买更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果:模因股票还是苹果,我每次都选择苹果</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果:模因股票还是苹果,我每次都选择苹果</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 10:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.</li> <li>Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.</li> <li>Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.</li> <li>Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54c3b80a3353ef82f618688f13f74658\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在2021年一直是一项负面投资,而模因股票却爆炸式增长,这是荒谬的。</li><li>投资者有机会在苹果下一次上涨之前购买它,而注意力已转移到追逐模因股票的快速收益。</li><li>苹果预计 2021 财年收入将超过 3000 亿美元,净利润将达到 750 亿美元。</li><li>最终,苹果将被重新投入到党中,他们的数字将被庆祝。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers Cathie Wood of Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年,苹果(AAPL)已成为负回报投资,其表现逊于SPDR标普500信托ETF(SPDR标普500指数ETF)超过15%。2021 年 5 月,Ark Invest 最热门的基金经理之一 Cathie Wood 从 Ark Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) 中出售了近 300,000 股 AAPL 股票。据报道,ARK 一度减持 AAPL 股份,以增加其在 Coinbase (COIN) 和 DraftKings (DKNG) 的头寸。one’s ARK 等主动管理基金每天监督股票的买卖,并可能使用 AAPL 作为现金的替代品。AAPL 的评论褒贬不一,一些人认为其最好的日子还在后头,而另一些人则认为辉煌的日子将无法重现。我认为市场正在给投资者一个机会,因为苹果公司应该会在 2021 年下半年摆脱横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> The market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation & gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.</p><p><blockquote>市场对 AAPL 在第一季度和第二季度的井喷并没有留下深刻印象。AAPL 股价并没有在基本面支撑下上涨,而是一直在下跌。作为一名 AAPL 多头,令人困惑的是,当 AAPL 等公司正在为其有史以来最好的一年奠定基础时,如此多的注意力却集中在模因股票上,而不是像 AAPL 这样的公司上。在阅读了最近关于模因股票的文章的评论后,我写道,然后回顾一些AAPL文章的评论部分,我只是不明白心态是如何转向彻底的投机和赌博而不是投资的。在本财年的前两个季度,AAPL 的每股收益为 3.08 美元,而整个 2020 财年的每股收益为 3.31 美元。AAPL 在许多指标上都在巩固其有史以来最好的一年的基础,但市场并没有留下深刻印象。我相信2021年下半年将会有令人印象深刻的烟火,随着第三季度和第四季度数据的公布,耐心的股东将会得到回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86cb02096dfa9c6da05e350f274aa64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"556\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果相信这是市场上最好的投资,并说到做到</b></blockquote></p><p> So what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&D]. In 2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.</p><p><blockquote>那么,AAPL如何处理它产生的所有现金呢?首先,他们每年花费数百亿美元来发展业务,同时投资于研发[R&D]。2020年,AAPL在创收成本上花费了1695.6亿美元。他们的劳动成果可以从他们的产品以及他们最新的业务部门(包括服务和可穿戴设备、家居和配件)的增长速度中看出。AAPL在2020年拨款187.5亿美元用于研发,为他们心爱的产品带来了进步。AAPL拥有类似于邪教心态的客户群的原因之一是因为AAPL没有停止创新。他们总是站在技术如何改善个人日常生活的最前沿。</blockquote></p><p> So what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's board authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost $23 billion in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.</p><p><blockquote>那么AAPL的业务费用兑现后剩余的现金怎么办呢?AAPL 押注于自己,并将其股票视为一项投资。自2012财年以来,AAPL已回购了4217亿美元的自有股票。2021年,AAPL回购了430亿美元的股票,表明高层领导认为拥有AAPL股票具有巨大的价值。我记得当内部人士购买他们公司股票时,每个人都很兴奋的日子。对于 AAPL 来说,回购股票只是一个普通的星期一。过去十年,苹果公司回购的股票数量超过了大多数公司的市值增长。AAPL 董事会授权向其现有股票回购计划追加 900 亿美元,AAPL 在 2021 年第二季度向股东返还了近 230 亿美元的资本,没有比这更乐观的了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dbaf61374104ed17e51201af591ab7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(资料来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Meme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>模因股票与苹果以及这个市场的疯狂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> GameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME & AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站 (GME) 和AMC院线控股公司 (AMC) 在 2021 年上半年的股价升值幅度大幅削弱了 AAPL。不管GME和AMC为什么上涨,事实是GME的回报率超过了1,100%,AMC的回报率超过了2,000%。任何骑过 GME 或 AMC 的人,我都向你们表示祝贺并脱帽致敬。由于 AAPL 今年表现不佳,市场受到了宏伟错觉的推动,而 GME 和 AMC 却绝对上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c85258331453c02381346f8b6c676cec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.</p><p><blockquote>过去几个月AMC发生了什么变化?我可以告诉你,一件事都没有。AMC仍然是一家亏损的公司,几乎不赚钱。我明白投资像 AMC 这样的公司可以由于波动性而产生巨大回报,我并没有否认这一点。如果你能在上面赚钱,无论如何,不要让任何人挡你的路,但要小心。当你通读AMC的损益表时,他们的净利润从未超过4亿美元。在过去十年中,AMC最赚钱的一年是2013年,净利润为3.644亿美元。2019 年,由于 COVID 的影响为零,AMC 创造了 54.7 亿美元的收入,但甚至无法盈利,因为他们亏损了 1.491 亿美元。AMC 上一季度报告显示其资产负债表上的股本为 -23 亿美元。现实情况是,AMC 可以发行额外股票并出售以筹集资金。这将使 AMC 受益,改善其资产负债表并增加手头现金。人们似乎不明白,当一家公司发行更多股票时,最初的一批股票会因为额外的供应量而被稀释,变得一文不值。AMC可以发行股票并加强其资产负债表,但这并不能解决其利润问题。AAPL 每个季度向股东支付的股息比 AMC 过去十年产生的利润还要多,但 AMC 是产生更大回报的股票。</blockquote></p><p> When investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN) has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者购买 AMC 股票时,他们购买的是一家每股收益为负的公司。AMC 的市盈率无法在过去 12 个月或远期基础上衡量,但投资者愿意为不存在的收益买单。在我的AMC文章的评论中,人们说基本面并不重要。我知道 AMC 一直是一项技术性交易,但这并不能改变投资者为负收益公司买单的现实。目前,标准普尔的平均市盈率为45.02。如果我使用 AAPL 在 2021 财年前 6 个月产生的每股收益 3.08 美元,他们的市盈率将为 40.55。对于 TTM,AAPL 的每股收益为 4.49 美元,这使得他们的市盈率降至 28.09。目前,投资者为 AAPL 每产生 1 美元的收益支付 28.09 美元,这对于科技行业来说是较低的。亚马逊 (AMZN) 的市盈率为 62.44,微软 (MSFT) 为 34.93,谷歌 (GOOGL) 为 32.05。看涨期权我很守旧,但我喜欢投资盈利的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e06d9bc68454731c984429111ff056\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"661\"><span>(Source:multpl.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:multpl.com)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Laying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阐述苹果的牛市理由以及为什么突破上行是不可避免的</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 拥有一批狂热的追随者,他们被其产品和服务所吸引。2021年前6个月,AAPLhas实现收入2010.2亿美元,毛利润824.1亿美元,净利润523.9亿美元。2021年,AAPL已经创造了2020年总收入的73.23%(2010.2亿美元),然后是2020年总收入的78.51%(824.1亿美元)和2020年总净收入的91.25%(523.9亿美元)。AAPL 有望打破其之前的记录,除非发生深不可测的事情,否则 2021 年将是 AAPL 有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> So the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.</p><p><blockquote>因此,真正的问题是,是什么导致了 AAPL 财务状况的飙升,以及它们是否可持续?部分原因是苹果公司的硬件销量从 iPhone 12 到 iPad 都有所增长。可以说,由于在家工作或远程学习,许多人在疫情期间需要升级他们的技术,但这种逻辑不能用于2021年。4月底,苹果公司公布第二季度业绩时,其iPhone销售额超出预期71.4亿美元,Mac销售额超出预期22亿美元,iPad销售额超出预期20.1亿美元。这些数字是在一年后公布的,虽然苹果公司发布的第一款 5G 手机 iPhone 12 预计会带来顺风,但我相信疫情将社会推向了一个更加重视技术的地方。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In 2018 Services generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.</p><p><blockquote>我相信 AAPL 将继续看到强劲的硬件销售,但这只是难题的一部分。服务、可穿戴设备、家居和配件正在成为 AAPL 财务指标的重要组成部分。2018年,服务业创造了397.5亿美元的收入。2019年,服务业增长了65.4亿美元(16.46%),年收入为462.9亿美元。2020年,服务业增长了74.8亿美元(16.15%),收入总计537.7亿美元。2020年前6个月,服务业已经创造了326.6亿美元的收入,占2020年总收入的60.75%。服务持续增长,为 AAPL 创造了一个真正的经常性收入业务部门。服务之美在于AAPL销售的每一件硬件;每个月都有机会通过服务产生额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Services are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.</p><p><blockquote>随着 AAPL 实现收入结构多元化,不再仅仅依赖实体产品,服务正在成为 AAPL 的本垒打。截至 2020 财年末,Services 在短短 4 年内年收入增加了 294.2 亿美元(120.83%)。2021年前6个月,服务业创造了326.6亿美元,占2020年年收入的60%。AAPL 有望在 2021 财年实现 600 亿美元的服务收入。展望未来,在不久的将来,服务业可能会产生 1000 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f044f79f7525038fb94ed27b6a92209\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Steven Fiorillo)(数据来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Wearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.</p><p><blockquote>家庭可穿戴设备和配件继续追随 Service 的脚步,因为它已成为比 iPad 和 Mac 更大的收入领域。随着苹果观察的推出,这一类别已经从2016年的111.3亿美元增长到2020年的306.2亿美元。在4个财年中,可穿戴家居和配件的收入增加了244.8亿美元(175.06%),并且增长不断扩大。2021年前6个月,家用可穿戴设备和配件创造了208.1亿美元的收入,占2020年总收入的67.95%。AAPL 肯定有望在 2021 财年从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生超过 350 亿美元的收入。未来几年,AAPL 有望从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生 500 亿美元的年收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7071ec652302c6cab585fef4c408d65\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:Steven Fiorillo)(数据来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.</p><p><blockquote>到 2025 财年末,服务很有可能产生超过 780 亿美元的收入,如果家用可穿戴设备和配件都以 10% 的速度增长,则年收入可能超过 440 亿美元。这两个类别的总收入有望超过 1000 亿美元,到 2020 年代末,每年可能会增长到 1500 亿美元。我感到震惊的是,投资者没有大量涌入 AAPL,更可笑的是,对 AAPL 数据的强调没有得到更详细的讨论。当服务收入达到 1000 亿美元,家用可穿戴设备和配件收入达到 500 亿美元时,AAPL 的未来价值是多少?在过去的十年里,AAPL不断创新和改变技术的使用方式,我拒绝相信他们最好的日子已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cd231b75d9f875329f6713debe846b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"191\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(资料来源:苹果)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> The meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. I am a shareholder of AAPL, and I plan on buying more before Q3 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票给一些投资者带来了极大的兴奋,而他们却让另一大群人摇头。除了赌博之外,我无法理解当你可以购买出售的 AAPL 股票时,为什么人们还要投资 AMC。苹果公司本应暴涨,但其最近两个季度的井喷并没有改变局面。我相信一旦第三季度数据公布,情况就会有所不同。我们将再次发现,AAPL 继续购买数十亿美元的股票,同时报告称,在 9 个月内,他们产生的净利润超过了 2020 年全年。在运营的前6个月,AAPL创造了2010.2亿美元的收入和523.9亿美元的净利润,同时返还了532亿美元的回购和股息。投资者有机会在下一次上涨之前购买更多 AAPL。我是 AAPL 的股东,我计划在第三季度财报公布之前购买更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434600-apple-meme-stocks-or-apple-i-choose-apple-every-time\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434600-apple-meme-stocks-or-apple-i-choose-apple-every-time","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167720481","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.\nInvestors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.\nApple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.\nEventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nIn 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers Cathie Wood of Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.\nThe market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation & gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nApple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is\nSo what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&D]. In 2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.\nSo what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's board authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost $23 billion in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.\n(Source: Apple)\nMeme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market\nGameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME & AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nWhat's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.\nWhen investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN) has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.\n(Source:multpl.com)\nLaying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable\nAAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.\nSo the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.\nI believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In 2018 Services generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.\nServices are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nWearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nBy the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.\n(Source: Apple)\nConclusion\nThe meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. 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