DJJJ的个人主页 - 老虎社区

DJJJ

DJJJ

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

32关注

6粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-05-06

Oh no..

Yale's chief investment manager David Swensen dies at 67<blockquote>耶鲁大学首席投资经理大卫·斯文森去世，享年67岁</blockquote>

2021-04-15

When is XPeng gonna rise?...

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-31

Should we then buy semiconductor stocks now?

Global chip shortage could cost automakers 1.3M production vehicles in Q2<blockquote>全球芯片短缺可能导致汽车制造商第二季度损失130万辆量产车</blockquote>

2021-04-05

Both companies are very strong..But the political risks are deterring investors to invest more in them.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-05

Looks like FB's stocks will tumble this week..

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-23

Apparently all US stocks are doing well for today.. strange.. could it be the storm will nxt week?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-06

[思考]

Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote>

2021-04-02

I super agree with this article! Let's huat ah!

3 Beaten-Down Stocks That Could Double Your Money<blockquote>3只遭受重创的股票可以让你的钱翻倍</blockquote>

2021-06-15

She is good manz..!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-04

Meme stocks are usually not for holding long time.. buy and dump type.. abit too scary for me.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-10

With such news, US stocks gonna drop drop drop... time to average down current stocks.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-10

上上上!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-11

Totally agree with this article! Just like Buffer who loves saying this -"Get rich slowly" [美金]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-28

I think at this rate, soon it will hit another all time high.. around $40!!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-20

Is Tik Tok listed? Will it be listed soon?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-18

I couldn't agree more! Go go Posh!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-12

Too much relief packages from governments, so inflation increases along with interest.. [惊讶]

Inflation Is Running Hot. What It Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>通货膨胀正在升温。这对股市意味着什么</blockquote>

2021-05-25

Wowww.. interesting!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-07

Looks like i missed the boat.. :(

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-06

I don't quite get it.. [疑问] Doesn't make sense to me[摊手]

Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3578189492032448","uuid":"3578189492032448","gmtCreate":1615283193813,"gmtModify":1617281034893,"name":"DJJJ","pinyin":"djjj","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":6,"headSize":32,"tweetSize":28,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.08.01","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":3,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":187057389,"gmtCreate":1623731875941,"gmtModify":1634029407764,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"She is good manz..!&nbsp;","listText":"She is good manz..!&nbsp;","text":"She is good manz..!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187057389","repostId":"1164323104","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187056797,"gmtCreate":1623731723819,"gmtModify":1634029410489,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>So glad that I have gotten to own this stock through a sell put.. double earnings from options and stock appreciation!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>So glad that I have gotten to own this stock through a sell put.. double earnings from options and stock appreciation!","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$So glad that I have gotten to own this stock through a sell put.. double earnings from options and stock appreciation!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f86b2ab4a675f17c1ceed90d73b08e","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187056797","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181586412,"gmtCreate":1623401780336,"gmtModify":1634033725259,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Totally agree with this article!&nbsp;Just like Buffer who loves saying this -\"Get rich slowly\"&nbsp;[美金]&nbsp;","listText":"Totally agree with this article!&nbsp;Just like Buffer who loves saying this -\"Get rich slowly\"&nbsp;[美金]&nbsp;","text":"Totally agree with this article! Just like Buffer who loves saying this -\"Get rich slowly\" [美金]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181586412","repostId":"2142221222","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":183189953,"gmtCreate":1623314645572,"gmtModify":1634034673577,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My personal view is that this may not be happening.. even if it happens, with the fierce competition in this space, Grab may not do well.","listText":"My personal view is that this may not be happening.. even if it happens, with the fierce competition in this space, Grab may not do well.","text":"My personal view is that this may not be happening.. even if it happens, with the fierce competition in this space, Grab may not do well.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183189953","repostId":"2142321626","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116822235,"gmtCreate":1622790683127,"gmtModify":1634097974107,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Meme stocks are usually not for holding long time.. buy and dump type.. abit too scary for me.","listText":"Meme stocks are usually not for holding long time.. buy and dump type.. abit too scary for me.","text":"Meme stocks are usually not for holding long time.. buy and dump type.. abit too scary for me.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116822235","repostId":"2140026421","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1785,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119704193,"gmtCreate":1622562430412,"gmtModify":1634100428639,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great advices! Never invest with emotions but with data and research of the company.&nbsp;","listText":"Great advices! Never invest with emotions but with data and research of the company.&nbsp;","text":"Great advices! Never invest with emotions but with data and research of the company.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119704193","repostId":"2139589924","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134370351,"gmtCreate":1622209699173,"gmtModify":1634182824078,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I think at this rate, soon it will hit another all time high.. around $40!!","listText":"I think at this rate, soon it will hit another all time high.. around $40!!","text":"I think at this rate, soon it will hit another all time high.. around $40!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134370351","repostId":"1142858927","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138449303,"gmtCreate":1621956302402,"gmtModify":1634185147162,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wowww.. interesting!","listText":"Wowww.. interesting!","text":"Wowww.. interesting!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138449303","repostId":"1144527778","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133409983,"gmtCreate":1621777561042,"gmtModify":1634186635688,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rise rise rise! Go go go Tiger!","listText":"Rise rise rise! Go go go Tiger!","text":"Rise rise rise! Go go go Tiger!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133409983","repostId":"1149675883","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130002831,"gmtCreate":1621491559223,"gmtModify":1634188690543,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I believe&nbsp;Crypto is gonna be big in the future..&nbsp;","listText":"I believe&nbsp;Crypto is gonna be big in the future..&nbsp;","text":"I believe Crypto is gonna be big in the future..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130002831","repostId":"1182363238","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2000,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130008642,"gmtCreate":1621491353486,"gmtModify":1634188691595,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is Tik Tok listed? Will it be listed soon?","listText":"Is Tik Tok listed? Will it be listed soon?","text":"Is Tik Tok listed? Will it be listed soon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130008642","repostId":"2136443947","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195401716,"gmtCreate":1621305071735,"gmtModify":1634192595593,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I couldn't agree more! Go go Posh!","listText":"I couldn't agree more! Go go Posh!","text":"I couldn't agree more! Go go Posh!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195401716","repostId":"1117656381","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193776836,"gmtCreate":1620825153025,"gmtModify":1634196049199,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too much relief packages from governments, so inflation increases along with interest..&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;","listText":"Too much relief packages from governments, so inflation increases along with interest..&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;","text":"Too much relief packages from governments, so inflation increases along with interest.. [惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193776836","repostId":"1188486043","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188486043","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620824363,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188486043?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-12 20:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Is Running Hot. What It Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>通货膨胀正在升温。这对股市意味着什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188486043","media":"Barron's","summary":"April’s inflation datawas released today—and it’s running very hot. That’s no surprise despite peopl","content":"<p>April’s inflation datawas released today—and it’s running very hot. That’s no surprise despite people acting shocked by the rise in prices.</p><p><blockquote>四月份的通胀数据今天发布，而且非常火爆。尽管人们对价格上涨感到震惊，但这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation worries have been on the rise recently, with the prices of everything from food to cars to gasoline increasing. April’s consumer-price index, which rose 4.2% year over year, is unlikely to assuage those concerns.</p><p><blockquote>通胀担忧最近一直在上升，从食品到汽车再到汽油，所有东西的价格都在上涨。4月份消费者价格指数同比上涨4.2%，不太可能缓解这些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> A little bit of inflation is a good thing, a sign that the economy is operating properly. High inflation, though, eats into savings and sucks the energy out of the economy. It also forces central bankers toraise interest rates, which slows the economy and causes stock valuations to fall. That’s why the Federal Reserve wants to keep inflation running at around 2%—not too hot and not too cold.</p><p><blockquote>有一点通胀是好事，是经济正常运行的标志。然而，高通胀会侵蚀储蓄并耗尽经济的能量。它还迫使央行加息，从而减缓经济并导致股票估值下跌。这就是为什么美联储希望将通胀率保持在2%左右——既不太热也不太冷。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday’s inflation rate doubled that level year over year. It can safely be ignored, however, because the economy was falling apart in April 2020 because of Covid-19 lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>周三的通胀率同比翻了一番。然而，它可以被安全地忽略，因为由于新冠肺炎的封锁，经济在2020年4月崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p> The month-over-month change is another story. It rose 0.9% from March to April, excluding food and energy—economists like to assume people don’t drive or eat—beating forecasts for 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>环比变化是另一回事。从3月到4月，不包括食品和能源（经济学家喜欢假设人们不开车或不吃饭），它上涨了0.9%，超出了0.2%的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500slumped 0.8% on the news, but even a number this strong is unlikely to change the Fed’s plans, at least not in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>受此消息影响，标准普尔500指数下跌0.8%，但即使是如此强劲的数字也不太可能改变美联储的计划，至少在短期内不会。</blockquote></p><p> No matter what the market wants.</p><p><blockquote>不管市场想要什么。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Is Running Hot. What It Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>通货膨胀正在升温。这对股市意味着什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Is Running Hot. What It Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>通货膨胀正在升温。这对股市意味着什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-12 20:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>April’s inflation datawas released today—and it’s running very hot. That’s no surprise despite people acting shocked by the rise in prices.</p><p><blockquote>四月份的通胀数据今天发布，而且非常火爆。尽管人们对价格上涨感到震惊，但这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation worries have been on the rise recently, with the prices of everything from food to cars to gasoline increasing. April’s consumer-price index, which rose 4.2% year over year, is unlikely to assuage those concerns.</p><p><blockquote>通胀担忧最近一直在上升，从食品到汽车再到汽油，所有东西的价格都在上涨。4月份消费者价格指数同比上涨4.2%，不太可能缓解这些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> A little bit of inflation is a good thing, a sign that the economy is operating properly. High inflation, though, eats into savings and sucks the energy out of the economy. It also forces central bankers toraise interest rates, which slows the economy and causes stock valuations to fall. That’s why the Federal Reserve wants to keep inflation running at around 2%—not too hot and not too cold.</p><p><blockquote>有一点通胀是好事，是经济正常运行的标志。然而，高通胀会侵蚀储蓄并耗尽经济的能量。它还迫使央行加息，从而减缓经济并导致股票估值下跌。这就是为什么美联储希望将通胀率保持在2%左右——既不太热也不太冷。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday’s inflation rate doubled that level year over year. It can safely be ignored, however, because the economy was falling apart in April 2020 because of Covid-19 lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>周三的通胀率同比翻了一番。然而，它可以被安全地忽略，因为由于新冠肺炎的封锁，经济在2020年4月崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p> The month-over-month change is another story. It rose 0.9% from March to April, excluding food and energy—economists like to assume people don’t drive or eat—beating forecasts for 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>环比变化是另一回事。从3月到4月，不包括食品和能源（经济学家喜欢假设人们不开车或不吃饭），它上涨了0.9%，超出了0.2%的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500slumped 0.8% on the news, but even a number this strong is unlikely to change the Fed’s plans, at least not in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>受此消息影响，标准普尔500指数下跌0.8%，但即使是如此强劲的数字也不太可能改变美联储的计划，至少在短期内不会。</blockquote></p><p> No matter what the market wants.</p><p><blockquote>不管市场想要什么。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/inflation-is-running-hot-what-it-means-for-the-stock-market-51620823775?mod=mw_latestnews\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/inflation-is-running-hot-what-it-means-for-the-stock-market-51620823775?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188486043","content_text":"April’s inflation datawas released today—and it’s running very hot. That’s no surprise despite people acting shocked by the rise in prices.\nInflation worries have been on the rise recently, with the prices of everything from food to cars to gasoline increasing. April’s consumer-price index, which rose 4.2% year over year, is unlikely to assuage those concerns.\nA little bit of inflation is a good thing, a sign that the economy is operating properly. High inflation, though, eats into savings and sucks the energy out of the economy. It also forces central bankers toraise interest rates, which slows the economy and causes stock valuations to fall. That’s why the Federal Reserve wants to keep inflation running at around 2%—not too hot and not too cold.\nWednesday’s inflation rate doubled that level year over year. It can safely be ignored, however, because the economy was falling apart in April 2020 because of Covid-19 lockdowns.\nThe month-over-month change is another story. It rose 0.9% from March to April, excluding food and energy—economists like to assume people don’t drive or eat—beating forecasts for 0.2%.\nThe S&P 500slumped 0.8% on the news, but even a number this strong is unlikely to change the Fed’s plans, at least not in the short term.\nNo matter what the market wants.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":190885883,"gmtCreate":1620611170242,"gmtModify":1634197737594,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"With such news, US stocks gonna drop drop drop... time to average down current stocks.&nbsp;","listText":"With such news, US stocks gonna drop drop drop... time to average down current stocks.&nbsp;","text":"With such news, US stocks gonna drop drop drop... time to average down current stocks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190885883","repostId":"1185146568","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":746,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105493983,"gmtCreate":1620314422442,"gmtModify":1634206130143,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no..","listText":"Oh no..","text":"Oh no..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105493983","repostId":"1188985089","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188985089","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620309854,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188985089?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-06 22:04","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Yale's chief investment manager David Swensen dies at 67<blockquote>耶鲁大学首席投资经理大卫·斯文森去世，享年67岁</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188985089","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"David Swensen, the head of Yale University’s endowment who helped reshape how institutions manage th","content":"<p>David Swensen, the head of Yale University’s endowment who helped reshape how institutions manage their money, has died from cancer aged 67.</p><p><blockquote>耶鲁大学捐赠基金负责人大卫·斯文森(David Swensen)因癌症去世，享年67岁，他帮助重塑了机构管理资金的方式。</blockquote></p><p>After stints at Salomon Brothers and Lehman Brothers, Swensen returned to his alma mater in 1985 to lead its investment office. At the time, endowments were typically conservatively managed, but Swensen overhauled the model dramatically, taking advantage of their long-term focus to invest heavily in the nascent private equity and hedge fund industries.</p><p><blockquote>在所罗门兄弟和雷曼兄弟工作后，斯文森于1985年回到母校领导其投资办公室。当时，捐赠基金的管理通常是保守的，但斯文森大幅改革了这一模式，利用其长期关注的优势，大力投资新兴的私募股权和对冲基金行业。</blockquote></p><p>His approach was so successful it revolutionised how endowments and many other institutional investors allocate their money, and the “Yale model” spread and helped change the wider investment industry.</p><p><blockquote>他的方法非常成功，彻底改变了捐赠基金和许多其他机构投资者分配资金的方式，“耶鲁模式”传播开来，并帮助改变了更广泛的投资行业。</blockquote></p><p>“With his guidance, Yale’s endowment yielded returns that established him as a legend among institutional investors,” Peter Salovey, Yale’s president, said in a statement. “A natural teacher, he prepared a generation of institutional investors who have gone on to lead investment offices at other colleges and universities, further extending the scope of David’s influence.”</p><p><blockquote>耶鲁大学校长彼得·萨洛维在一份声明中表示：“在他的指导下，耶鲁大学的捐赠基金产生了回报，使他成为机构投资者中的传奇人物。”“作为一名天生的老师，他培养了一代机构投资者，他们后来领导了其他学院和大学的投资办公室，进一步扩大了大卫的影响范围。”</blockquote></p><p>The Yale Investments Office managed $31.2bn as of June 2020, and says it has averaged annual returns of 12. 4 per cent a year over the past three decades. In the 2021 fiscal year its contributions accounted for over a third of the university’s overall revenues.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年6月，耶鲁投资办公室管理着312亿美元的资产，并表示在过去30年里，该办公室的平均年回报率为12.在2021财年，它的贡献占该大学总收入的三分之一以上。</blockquote></p><p>Almost a quarter of the endowment is invested in venture capital, and combined with private equity, hedge funds and real estate, so-called “alternative” investments account for nearly three quarters of its assets.</p><p><blockquote>几乎四分之一的捐赠基金投资于风险投资，加上私募股权、对冲基金和房地产，所谓的“另类”投资占其资产的近四分之三。</blockquote></p><p><b>Early life and education</b></p><p><blockquote><b>早期生活和教育</b></blockquote></p><p>David F. Swensen was born inRiver Falls, Wisconsin. His father, Richard Swensen, was a chemistry professor and dean at the University of Wisconsin-River Falls. His mother, Grace, after raising six children, became a Lutheran minister. After graduating from River Falls High School in 1971 Swensen elected to stay in his hometown of River Falls and receive hisB.A.andB.S.in 1975 from theUniversity of Wisconsin-River Fallswhere his father Richard Swensen was a professor. Swensen pursued a PhD ineconomicsat Yale, where he wrote hisdissertation,<i>A Model for the Valuation ofCorporate Bonds.</i>One of Swensen's dissertation advisers at Yale wasJames Tobin, a top economic adviser toJohn F. Kennedyadministration and a future Nobel Prize laureate in economics. According to Charles Ellis, founder of Greenwich Associates and former chair of Yale's investment committee, \"When it snowed, David went to Jim's house to shovel the sidewalk\". James Tobin's Nobel Prize, among other things, was for his contribution in creation of Modern Portfolio Theory. Swensen was fascinated by the idea of Modern Portfolio Theory. During his 2018 reunion speech Swensen said: \"For a given level of return, if you diversify you can get that return at lower risk. For a given level of risk, if you diversify you can get a higher return. That's pretty cool! Free lunch!\"</p><p><blockquote>大卫·F·斯文森出生于威斯康星州的里弗福尔斯。他的父亲理查德·斯文森是威斯康星大学里弗福尔斯分校的化学教授兼院长。他的母亲格蕾丝在抚养了六个孩子后，成为了一名路德教牧师。1971年从里弗福尔斯高中毕业后，斯文森选择留在他的家乡里弗福尔斯，并于1975年在威斯康星大学里弗福尔斯分校获得学士学位和学士学位，他的父亲理查德·斯文森是该校的教授。斯文森在耶鲁大学攻读经济学博士学位，<i>公司债券估值模型。</i>斯文森在耶鲁大学的论文导师之一是詹姆斯·托宾，他是约翰·肯尼迪政府的高级经济顾问，也是未来的诺贝尔经济学奖得主。据格林威治联合公司创始人、耶鲁大学投资委员会前主席查尔斯·埃利斯说，“下雪的时候，大卫去吉姆家铲人行道”。詹姆斯·托宾获得诺贝尔奖的原因之一是他在创立现代投资组合理论方面的贡献。斯文森对现代投资组合理论的理念非常着迷。斯文森在2018年的团聚演讲中表示：“对于给定的回报水平，如果你分散投资，你可以以较低的风险获得回报。对于给定的风险水平，如果你分散投资，你可以获得更高的回报。这很酷！免费午餐！”</blockquote></p><p><b>Investment career</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资生涯</b></blockquote></p><p>Swensen began his investment career in the early 1980s, and has since advised theCarnegie Corporation, theNew York Stock Exchange, theHoward Hughes Medical Institute, theCourtauld Institute of Art, theYale-New Haven Hospital, The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF), theEdna McConnell Clark Foundation, and the States of&nbsp;Connecticut&nbsp;and&nbsp;Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>斯文森于20世纪80年代初开始了他的投资生涯，此后曾为卡内基公司、纽约证券交易所、霍华德休斯医学研究所、考陶德艺术研究所、耶鲁-纽黑文医院、基金会投资基金(TIFF)、DNA McConnell Clark基金会以及康涅狄格州和马萨诸塞州提供咨询服务。</blockquote></p><p><b>Salomon Brothers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>所罗门兄弟</b></blockquote></p><p>Following his academic interest in valuation of corporate bonds, Swensen joined Salomon Brothers in 1980. This career move was suggested by a Salomon Brothers investment banker and Yale alumni, Gene Dattel, who was deeply impressed by Swensen. In 1981 Swensen worked to structure the world's first swap agreement, a deal betweenIBMand theWorld Bankwhich allowed to hedge their exposure to Swiss francs and German marks.</p><p><blockquote>出于对公司债券估值的学术兴趣，斯文森于1980年加入所罗门兄弟公司。这一职业转变是由所罗门兄弟投资银行家、耶鲁校友吉恩·达特尔建议的，他对斯文森印象深刻。1981年，斯文森致力于构建世界上第一个互换协议，这是IBM和世界银行之间的一项交易，允许他们对冲瑞士法郎和德国马克的风险敞口。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lehman Brothers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雷曼兄弟</b></blockquote></p><p>Prior to joining Yale in 1985, Swensen spent six years onWall Streetas senior vice president atLehman Brothers,&nbsp;specializing in the firm'sswapactivities, and as an associate incorporate financeforSalomon Brothers(here he worked for three years prior to joining Lehman Brothers), where his work focused on developing new financial technologies. Swensen engineered the first swap transaction according to<i>When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management</i>byRoger Lowenstein.</p><p><blockquote>在1985年加入耶鲁大学之前，斯文森在华尔街工作了六年，担任雷曼兄弟公司的高级副总裁，专门从事该公司的互换活动，并担任所罗门兄弟公司的合伙人（在加入雷曼兄弟之前，他在这里工作了三年），他的工作重点是开发新的金融技术。斯文森根据<i>当天才失败时：长期资本管理的兴衰</i>作者：罗杰·洛温斯坦。</blockquote></p><p><b>Yale University endowment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶鲁大学捐赠</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>Swensen was tapped to serve as the Yale endowment manager at age 31 in 1985.&nbsp;This position was offered by Swensen's other dissertation adviser, Yale's provost,William Brainard. Swensen's candidacy was suggested by James Tobin, who, despite his former student's young age, believed he could be the right person. Swensen was hesitant about taking the job at first, since he did not know much about portfolio management aside from his studies in graduate school. Nevertheless, Brainard convinced him to take the position and Swensen started on April 1, 1985 by taking 80% pay cut.&nbsp;A year later, in 1986, he was joined by Yale College and School of Management graduate Dean Takahashi, who soon became Swensen's trusted deputy. In 1985, when Swensen started managing the endowment, it was worth $1 billion; in 2019 it was worth $29.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>1985年，31岁的斯文森被任命为耶鲁大学捐赠基金经理。这个职位是由斯文森的另一位论文导师、耶鲁大学教务长威廉·布雷纳德提供的。詹姆斯·托宾建议斯文森参选，尽管他以前的学生年龄很小，但他相信他可能是合适的人选。斯文森起初对接受这份工作犹豫不决，因为除了在研究生院的学习之外，他对投资组合管理了解不多。尽管如此，布雷纳德还是说服他接受了这个职位，斯文森从1985年4月1日开始减薪80%。一年后，在1986年，耶鲁大学和管理学院毕业生高桥院长加入了他的行列，他很快成为斯文森信任的副手。1985年，当斯文森开始管理该捐赠基金时，它价值10亿美元；2019年，其价值为294亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>As of 2005, the fund has managed annualized returns of 16.1%. He has been called \"Yale's 8 billion dollar man\" for his attainment of nearly $8 billion for the college endowment from 1985 to 2005.&nbsp;According to former Yale President, economistRichard Levin, Swensen's \"contribution\" to Yale is greater than the sum of all the donations made in more than two decades. \"We've just done better,\" Levin says, because of Swensen's \"uncanny ability\" to pick the best outside money managers. Swensen's former staff members, who later became managers of other endowment funds - includingMIT,StanfordandPrinceton- also showed impressive results in multiplying fund wealth.</p><p><blockquote>截至2005年，该基金管理的年化回报率为16.1%。他被称为“耶鲁80亿美元的人”，因为他从1985年到2005年为大学捐赠了近80亿美元。根据耶鲁前校长、经济学家理查德·莱文的说法，斯文森对耶鲁的“贡献”超过了二十多年来所有捐款的总和。“我们做得更好了，”莱文说，因为斯文森拥有挑选最佳外部基金经理的“不可思议的能力”。斯文森的前员工后来成为其他捐赠基金的经理——包括麻省理工学院、斯坦福大学和普林斯顿大学——在基金财富倍增方面也表现出了令人印象深刻的成果。</blockquote></p><p>In September 2014, Swensen began to move the Yale endowment away from investment in companies that have a large greenhouse footprint, expressing Yale's preferences in a letter to the endowment's money managers. The letter asked them to consider the effect of their investments on climate change, and to refrain from investing in companies that do not make reasonable efforts to reduce carbon emissions. This method was characterized by Swensen as a more subtle and flexible approach, as opposed to outright divestment.</p><p><blockquote>2014年9月，斯文森开始让耶鲁捐赠基金不再投资温室气体排放量大的公司，并在给捐赠基金经理的一封信中表达了耶鲁的偏好。这封信要求他们考虑投资对气候变化的影响，并避免投资于没有做出合理努力减少碳排放的公司。斯文森认为这种方法是一种更微妙、更灵活的方法，而不是直接撤资。</blockquote></p><p>Swensen made headlines on March 5, 2018 for arguing with the undergraduate editor-in-chief of the<i>Yale Daily News</i>. Swensen called the editor-in-chief a \"coward\" for deleting an inaccurate sentence and removing a footnote in an op-ed that he submitted to the paper; his column, which he required to be published unedited, responded to a student teach-in that criticized companies allegedly in the Yale portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>2018年3月5日，斯文森因与本科生主编发生争执而成为头条新闻。<i>耶鲁每日新闻</i>斯文森称主编为“懦夫”，因为他在提交给该报的一篇专栏文章中删除了一个不准确的句子和一个脚注；他要求未经编辑发表的专栏回应了一位学生的讲座，该讲座批评了据称在耶鲁投资组合中的公司。</blockquote></p><p><b>Unconventional success</b></p><p><blockquote><b>非常规的成功</b></blockquote></p><p>In 2005, Swensen wrote a book called<i>Unconventional Success,</i>which is an investment guide for the individual investor. The general strategy that he presents can be boiled down to the following three main points of advice:</p><p><blockquote>2005年，斯文森写了一本名为<i>非常规的成功，</i>这是个人投资者的投资指南。他提出的总体策略可以归结为以下三点建议：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>The investor should construct a portfolio with money allocated to 6 core asset classes, diversifying among them and biasing toward the equity sections.</li><li>The investor should rebalance the portfolio on a regular basis (rebalancingback to the original weightings of the asset classes in the portfolio).</li><li>In the absence of confidence in a market-beating strategy, invest in low-costindex fundsandexchange-traded funds. The investor should be very watchful of costs as some indices are poorly constructed and some fund companies charge excessive fees (or generate large tax liabilities).</li></ul>He slams manymutual fundcompanies for charging excessive fees and not living up to their fiduciary responsibility. He highlights the conflict of interest inherent in the mutual funds, claiming they want high fee, high turnover funds while investors want the opposite.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>投资者应该构建一个投资组合，将资金分配到6个核心资产类别，在其中分散投资并偏向股票部分。</li><li>投资者应定期重新平衡投资组合（重新平衡回投资组合中资产类别的原始权重）。</li><li>如果对跑赢市场的策略缺乏信心，请投资低成本指数基金和交易所交易基金。投资者应该非常警惕成本，因为一些指数构建不良，一些基金公司收取过高的费用（或产生大量的纳税义务）。</li></ul>他抨击许多共同基金公司收取过高的费用并且没有履行其信托责任。他强调了共同基金固有的利益冲突，声称他们想要高费用、高周转率的基金，而投资者想要相反的基金。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Yale's chief investment manager David Swensen dies at 67<blockquote>耶鲁大学首席投资经理大卫·斯文森去世，享年67岁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYale's chief investment manager David Swensen dies at 67<blockquote>耶鲁大学首席投资经理大卫·斯文森去世，享年67岁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-06 22:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>David Swensen, the head of Yale University’s endowment who helped reshape how institutions manage their money, has died from cancer aged 67.</p><p><blockquote>耶鲁大学捐赠基金负责人大卫·斯文森(David Swensen)因癌症去世，享年67岁，他帮助重塑了机构管理资金的方式。</blockquote></p><p>After stints at Salomon Brothers and Lehman Brothers, Swensen returned to his alma mater in 1985 to lead its investment office. At the time, endowments were typically conservatively managed, but Swensen overhauled the model dramatically, taking advantage of their long-term focus to invest heavily in the nascent private equity and hedge fund industries.</p><p><blockquote>在所罗门兄弟和雷曼兄弟工作后，斯文森于1985年回到母校领导其投资办公室。当时，捐赠基金的管理通常是保守的，但斯文森大幅改革了这一模式，利用其长期关注的优势，大力投资新兴的私募股权和对冲基金行业。</blockquote></p><p>His approach was so successful it revolutionised how endowments and many other institutional investors allocate their money, and the “Yale model” spread and helped change the wider investment industry.</p><p><blockquote>他的方法非常成功，彻底改变了捐赠基金和许多其他机构投资者分配资金的方式，“耶鲁模式”传播开来，并帮助改变了更广泛的投资行业。</blockquote></p><p>“With his guidance, Yale’s endowment yielded returns that established him as a legend among institutional investors,” Peter Salovey, Yale’s president, said in a statement. “A natural teacher, he prepared a generation of institutional investors who have gone on to lead investment offices at other colleges and universities, further extending the scope of David’s influence.”</p><p><blockquote>耶鲁大学校长彼得·萨洛维在一份声明中表示：“在他的指导下，耶鲁大学的捐赠基金产生了回报，使他成为机构投资者中的传奇人物。”“作为一名天生的老师，他培养了一代机构投资者，他们后来领导了其他学院和大学的投资办公室，进一步扩大了大卫的影响范围。”</blockquote></p><p>The Yale Investments Office managed $31.2bn as of June 2020, and says it has averaged annual returns of 12. 4 per cent a year over the past three decades. In the 2021 fiscal year its contributions accounted for over a third of the university’s overall revenues.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年6月，耶鲁投资办公室管理着312亿美元的资产，并表示在过去30年里，该办公室的平均年回报率为12.在2021财年，它的贡献占该大学总收入的三分之一以上。</blockquote></p><p>Almost a quarter of the endowment is invested in venture capital, and combined with private equity, hedge funds and real estate, so-called “alternative” investments account for nearly three quarters of its assets.</p><p><blockquote>几乎四分之一的捐赠基金投资于风险投资，加上私募股权、对冲基金和房地产，所谓的“另类”投资占其资产的近四分之三。</blockquote></p><p><b>Early life and education</b></p><p><blockquote><b>早期生活和教育</b></blockquote></p><p>David F. Swensen was born inRiver Falls, Wisconsin. His father, Richard Swensen, was a chemistry professor and dean at the University of Wisconsin-River Falls. His mother, Grace, after raising six children, became a Lutheran minister. After graduating from River Falls High School in 1971 Swensen elected to stay in his hometown of River Falls and receive hisB.A.andB.S.in 1975 from theUniversity of Wisconsin-River Fallswhere his father Richard Swensen was a professor. Swensen pursued a PhD ineconomicsat Yale, where he wrote hisdissertation,<i>A Model for the Valuation ofCorporate Bonds.</i>One of Swensen's dissertation advisers at Yale wasJames Tobin, a top economic adviser toJohn F. Kennedyadministration and a future Nobel Prize laureate in economics. According to Charles Ellis, founder of Greenwich Associates and former chair of Yale's investment committee, \"When it snowed, David went to Jim's house to shovel the sidewalk\". James Tobin's Nobel Prize, among other things, was for his contribution in creation of Modern Portfolio Theory. Swensen was fascinated by the idea of Modern Portfolio Theory. During his 2018 reunion speech Swensen said: \"For a given level of return, if you diversify you can get that return at lower risk. For a given level of risk, if you diversify you can get a higher return. That's pretty cool! Free lunch!\"</p><p><blockquote>大卫·F·斯文森出生于威斯康星州的里弗福尔斯。他的父亲理查德·斯文森是威斯康星大学里弗福尔斯分校的化学教授兼院长。他的母亲格蕾丝在抚养了六个孩子后，成为了一名路德教牧师。1971年从里弗福尔斯高中毕业后，斯文森选择留在他的家乡里弗福尔斯，并于1975年在威斯康星大学里弗福尔斯分校获得学士学位和学士学位，他的父亲理查德·斯文森是该校的教授。斯文森在耶鲁大学攻读经济学博士学位，<i>公司债券估值模型。</i>斯文森在耶鲁大学的论文导师之一是詹姆斯·托宾，他是约翰·肯尼迪政府的高级经济顾问，也是未来的诺贝尔经济学奖得主。据格林威治联合公司创始人、耶鲁大学投资委员会前主席查尔斯·埃利斯说，“下雪的时候，大卫去吉姆家铲人行道”。詹姆斯·托宾获得诺贝尔奖的原因之一是他在创立现代投资组合理论方面的贡献。斯文森对现代投资组合理论的理念非常着迷。斯文森在2018年的团聚演讲中表示：“对于给定的回报水平，如果你分散投资，你可以以较低的风险获得回报。对于给定的风险水平，如果你分散投资，你可以获得更高的回报。这很酷！免费午餐！”</blockquote></p><p><b>Investment career</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资生涯</b></blockquote></p><p>Swensen began his investment career in the early 1980s, and has since advised theCarnegie Corporation, theNew York Stock Exchange, theHoward Hughes Medical Institute, theCourtauld Institute of Art, theYale-New Haven Hospital, The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF), theEdna McConnell Clark Foundation, and the States of&nbsp;Connecticut&nbsp;and&nbsp;Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>斯文森于20世纪80年代初开始了他的投资生涯，此后曾为卡内基公司、纽约证券交易所、霍华德休斯医学研究所、考陶德艺术研究所、耶鲁-纽黑文医院、基金会投资基金(TIFF)、DNA McConnell Clark基金会以及康涅狄格州和马萨诸塞州提供咨询服务。</blockquote></p><p><b>Salomon Brothers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>所罗门兄弟</b></blockquote></p><p>Following his academic interest in valuation of corporate bonds, Swensen joined Salomon Brothers in 1980. This career move was suggested by a Salomon Brothers investment banker and Yale alumni, Gene Dattel, who was deeply impressed by Swensen. In 1981 Swensen worked to structure the world's first swap agreement, a deal betweenIBMand theWorld Bankwhich allowed to hedge their exposure to Swiss francs and German marks.</p><p><blockquote>出于对公司债券估值的学术兴趣，斯文森于1980年加入所罗门兄弟公司。这一职业转变是由所罗门兄弟投资银行家、耶鲁校友吉恩·达特尔建议的，他对斯文森印象深刻。1981年，斯文森致力于构建世界上第一个互换协议，这是IBM和世界银行之间的一项交易，允许他们对冲瑞士法郎和德国马克的风险敞口。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lehman Brothers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雷曼兄弟</b></blockquote></p><p>Prior to joining Yale in 1985, Swensen spent six years onWall Streetas senior vice president atLehman Brothers,&nbsp;specializing in the firm'sswapactivities, and as an associate incorporate financeforSalomon Brothers(here he worked for three years prior to joining Lehman Brothers), where his work focused on developing new financial technologies. Swensen engineered the first swap transaction according to<i>When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management</i>byRoger Lowenstein.</p><p><blockquote>在1985年加入耶鲁大学之前，斯文森在华尔街工作了六年，担任雷曼兄弟公司的高级副总裁，专门从事该公司的互换活动，并担任所罗门兄弟公司的合伙人（在加入雷曼兄弟之前，他在这里工作了三年），他的工作重点是开发新的金融技术。斯文森根据<i>当天才失败时：长期资本管理的兴衰</i>作者：罗杰·洛温斯坦。</blockquote></p><p><b>Yale University endowment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶鲁大学捐赠</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>Swensen was tapped to serve as the Yale endowment manager at age 31 in 1985.&nbsp;This position was offered by Swensen's other dissertation adviser, Yale's provost,William Brainard. Swensen's candidacy was suggested by James Tobin, who, despite his former student's young age, believed he could be the right person. Swensen was hesitant about taking the job at first, since he did not know much about portfolio management aside from his studies in graduate school. Nevertheless, Brainard convinced him to take the position and Swensen started on April 1, 1985 by taking 80% pay cut.&nbsp;A year later, in 1986, he was joined by Yale College and School of Management graduate Dean Takahashi, who soon became Swensen's trusted deputy. In 1985, when Swensen started managing the endowment, it was worth $1 billion; in 2019 it was worth $29.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>1985年，31岁的斯文森被任命为耶鲁大学捐赠基金经理。这个职位是由斯文森的另一位论文导师、耶鲁大学教务长威廉·布雷纳德提供的。詹姆斯·托宾建议斯文森参选，尽管他以前的学生年龄很小，但他相信他可能是合适的人选。斯文森起初对接受这份工作犹豫不决，因为除了在研究生院的学习之外，他对投资组合管理了解不多。尽管如此，布雷纳德还是说服他接受了这个职位，斯文森从1985年4月1日开始减薪80%。一年后，在1986年，耶鲁大学和管理学院毕业生高桥院长加入了他的行列，他很快成为斯文森信任的副手。1985年，当斯文森开始管理该捐赠基金时，它价值10亿美元；2019年，其价值为294亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>As of 2005, the fund has managed annualized returns of 16.1%. He has been called \"Yale's 8 billion dollar man\" for his attainment of nearly $8 billion for the college endowment from 1985 to 2005.&nbsp;According to former Yale President, economistRichard Levin, Swensen's \"contribution\" to Yale is greater than the sum of all the donations made in more than two decades. \"We've just done better,\" Levin says, because of Swensen's \"uncanny ability\" to pick the best outside money managers. Swensen's former staff members, who later became managers of other endowment funds - includingMIT,StanfordandPrinceton- also showed impressive results in multiplying fund wealth.</p><p><blockquote>截至2005年，该基金管理的年化回报率为16.1%。他被称为“耶鲁80亿美元的人”，因为他从1985年到2005年为大学捐赠了近80亿美元。根据耶鲁前校长、经济学家理查德·莱文的说法，斯文森对耶鲁的“贡献”超过了二十多年来所有捐款的总和。“我们做得更好了，”莱文说，因为斯文森拥有挑选最佳外部基金经理的“不可思议的能力”。斯文森的前员工后来成为其他捐赠基金的经理——包括麻省理工学院、斯坦福大学和普林斯顿大学——在基金财富倍增方面也表现出了令人印象深刻的成果。</blockquote></p><p>In September 2014, Swensen began to move the Yale endowment away from investment in companies that have a large greenhouse footprint, expressing Yale's preferences in a letter to the endowment's money managers. The letter asked them to consider the effect of their investments on climate change, and to refrain from investing in companies that do not make reasonable efforts to reduce carbon emissions. This method was characterized by Swensen as a more subtle and flexible approach, as opposed to outright divestment.</p><p><blockquote>2014年9月，斯文森开始让耶鲁捐赠基金不再投资温室气体排放量大的公司，并在给捐赠基金经理的一封信中表达了耶鲁的偏好。这封信要求他们考虑投资对气候变化的影响，并避免投资于没有做出合理努力减少碳排放的公司。斯文森认为这种方法是一种更微妙、更灵活的方法，而不是直接撤资。</blockquote></p><p>Swensen made headlines on March 5, 2018 for arguing with the undergraduate editor-in-chief of the<i>Yale Daily News</i>. Swensen called the editor-in-chief a \"coward\" for deleting an inaccurate sentence and removing a footnote in an op-ed that he submitted to the paper; his column, which he required to be published unedited, responded to a student teach-in that criticized companies allegedly in the Yale portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>2018年3月5日，斯文森因与本科生主编发生争执而成为头条新闻。<i>耶鲁每日新闻</i>斯文森称主编为“懦夫”，因为他在提交给该报的一篇专栏文章中删除了一个不准确的句子和一个脚注；他要求未经编辑发表的专栏回应了一位学生的讲座，该讲座批评了据称在耶鲁投资组合中的公司。</blockquote></p><p><b>Unconventional success</b></p><p><blockquote><b>非常规的成功</b></blockquote></p><p>In 2005, Swensen wrote a book called<i>Unconventional Success,</i>which is an investment guide for the individual investor. The general strategy that he presents can be boiled down to the following three main points of advice:</p><p><blockquote>2005年，斯文森写了一本名为<i>非常规的成功，</i>这是个人投资者的投资指南。他提出的总体策略可以归结为以下三点建议：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>The investor should construct a portfolio with money allocated to 6 core asset classes, diversifying among them and biasing toward the equity sections.</li><li>The investor should rebalance the portfolio on a regular basis (rebalancingback to the original weightings of the asset classes in the portfolio).</li><li>In the absence of confidence in a market-beating strategy, invest in low-costindex fundsandexchange-traded funds. The investor should be very watchful of costs as some indices are poorly constructed and some fund companies charge excessive fees (or generate large tax liabilities).</li></ul>He slams manymutual fundcompanies for charging excessive fees and not living up to their fiduciary responsibility. He highlights the conflict of interest inherent in the mutual funds, claiming they want high fee, high turnover funds while investors want the opposite.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>投资者应该构建一个投资组合，将资金分配到6个核心资产类别，在其中分散投资并偏向股票部分。</li><li>投资者应定期重新平衡投资组合（重新平衡回投资组合中资产类别的原始权重）。</li><li>如果对跑赢市场的策略缺乏信心，请投资低成本指数基金和交易所交易基金。投资者应该非常警惕成本，因为一些指数构建不良，一些基金公司收取过高的费用（或产生大量的纳税义务）。</li></ul>他抨击许多共同基金公司收取过高的费用并且没有履行其信托责任。他强调了共同基金固有的利益冲突，声称他们想要高费用、高周转率的基金，而投资者想要相反的基金。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188985089","content_text":"David Swensen, the head of Yale University’s endowment who helped reshape how institutions manage their money, has died from cancer aged 67.After stints at Salomon Brothers and Lehman Brothers, Swensen returned to his alma mater in 1985 to lead its investment office. At the time, endowments were typically conservatively managed, but Swensen overhauled the model dramatically, taking advantage of their long-term focus to invest heavily in the nascent private equity and hedge fund industries.His approach was so successful it revolutionised how endowments and many other institutional investors allocate their money, and the “Yale model” spread and helped change the wider investment industry.“With his guidance, Yale’s endowment yielded returns that established him as a legend among institutional investors,” Peter Salovey, Yale’s president, said in a statement. “A natural teacher, he prepared a generation of institutional investors who have gone on to lead investment offices at other colleges and universities, further extending the scope of David’s influence.”The Yale Investments Office managed $31.2bn as of June 2020, and says it has averaged annual returns of 12. 4 per cent a year over the past three decades. In the 2021 fiscal year its contributions accounted for over a third of the university’s overall revenues.Almost a quarter of the endowment is invested in venture capital, and combined with private equity, hedge funds and real estate, so-called “alternative” investments account for nearly three quarters of its assets.Early life and educationDavid F. Swensen was born inRiver Falls, Wisconsin. His father, Richard Swensen, was a chemistry professor and dean at the University of Wisconsin-River Falls. His mother, Grace, after raising six children, became a Lutheran minister. After graduating from River Falls High School in 1971 Swensen elected to stay in his hometown of River Falls and receive hisB.A.andB.S.in 1975 from theUniversity of Wisconsin-River Fallswhere his father Richard Swensen was a professor. Swensen pursued a PhD ineconomicsat Yale, where he wrote hisdissertation,A Model for the Valuation ofCorporate Bonds.One of Swensen's dissertation advisers at Yale wasJames Tobin, a top economic adviser toJohn F. Kennedyadministration and a future Nobel Prize laureate in economics. According to Charles Ellis, founder of Greenwich Associates and former chair of Yale's investment committee, \"When it snowed, David went to Jim's house to shovel the sidewalk\". James Tobin's Nobel Prize, among other things, was for his contribution in creation of Modern Portfolio Theory. Swensen was fascinated by the idea of Modern Portfolio Theory. During his 2018 reunion speech Swensen said: \"For a given level of return, if you diversify you can get that return at lower risk. For a given level of risk, if you diversify you can get a higher return. That's pretty cool! Free lunch!\"Investment careerSwensen began his investment career in the early 1980s, and has since advised theCarnegie Corporation, theNew York Stock Exchange, theHoward Hughes Medical Institute, theCourtauld Institute of Art, theYale-New Haven Hospital, The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF), theEdna McConnell Clark Foundation, and the States of Connecticut and Massachusetts.Salomon BrothersFollowing his academic interest in valuation of corporate bonds, Swensen joined Salomon Brothers in 1980. This career move was suggested by a Salomon Brothers investment banker and Yale alumni, Gene Dattel, who was deeply impressed by Swensen. In 1981 Swensen worked to structure the world's first swap agreement, a deal betweenIBMand theWorld Bankwhich allowed to hedge their exposure to Swiss francs and German marks.Lehman BrothersPrior to joining Yale in 1985, Swensen spent six years onWall Streetas senior vice president atLehman Brothers, specializing in the firm'sswapactivities, and as an associate incorporate financeforSalomon Brothers(here he worked for three years prior to joining Lehman Brothers), where his work focused on developing new financial technologies. Swensen engineered the first swap transaction according toWhen Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital ManagementbyRoger Lowenstein.Yale University endowmentSwensen was tapped to serve as the Yale endowment manager at age 31 in 1985. This position was offered by Swensen's other dissertation adviser, Yale's provost,William Brainard. Swensen's candidacy was suggested by James Tobin, who, despite his former student's young age, believed he could be the right person. Swensen was hesitant about taking the job at first, since he did not know much about portfolio management aside from his studies in graduate school. Nevertheless, Brainard convinced him to take the position and Swensen started on April 1, 1985 by taking 80% pay cut. A year later, in 1986, he was joined by Yale College and School of Management graduate Dean Takahashi, who soon became Swensen's trusted deputy. In 1985, when Swensen started managing the endowment, it was worth $1 billion; in 2019 it was worth $29.4 billion.As of 2005, the fund has managed annualized returns of 16.1%. He has been called \"Yale's 8 billion dollar man\" for his attainment of nearly $8 billion for the college endowment from 1985 to 2005. According to former Yale President, economistRichard Levin, Swensen's \"contribution\" to Yale is greater than the sum of all the donations made in more than two decades. \"We've just done better,\" Levin says, because of Swensen's \"uncanny ability\" to pick the best outside money managers. Swensen's former staff members, who later became managers of other endowment funds - includingMIT,StanfordandPrinceton- also showed impressive results in multiplying fund wealth.In September 2014, Swensen began to move the Yale endowment away from investment in companies that have a large greenhouse footprint, expressing Yale's preferences in a letter to the endowment's money managers. The letter asked them to consider the effect of their investments on climate change, and to refrain from investing in companies that do not make reasonable efforts to reduce carbon emissions. This method was characterized by Swensen as a more subtle and flexible approach, as opposed to outright divestment.Swensen made headlines on March 5, 2018 for arguing with the undergraduate editor-in-chief of theYale Daily News. Swensen called the editor-in-chief a \"coward\" for deleting an inaccurate sentence and removing a footnote in an op-ed that he submitted to the paper; his column, which he required to be published unedited, responded to a student teach-in that criticized companies allegedly in the Yale portfolio.Unconventional successIn 2005, Swensen wrote a book calledUnconventional Success,which is an investment guide for the individual investor. The general strategy that he presents can be boiled down to the following three main points of advice:The investor should construct a portfolio with money allocated to 6 core asset classes, diversifying among them and biasing toward the equity sections.The investor should rebalance the portfolio on a regular basis (rebalancingback to the original weightings of the asset classes in the portfolio).In the absence of confidence in a market-beating strategy, invest in low-costindex fundsandexchange-traded funds. The investor should be very watchful of costs as some indices are poorly constructed and some fund companies charge excessive fees (or generate large tax liabilities).He slams manymutual fundcompanies for charging excessive fees and not living up to their fiduciary responsibility. He highlights the conflict of interest inherent in the mutual funds, claiming they want high fee, high turnover funds while investors want the opposite.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372861214,"gmtCreate":1619191788638,"gmtModify":1634287853684,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apparently all US stocks are doing well for today.. strange.. could it be the storm will nxt week?","listText":"Apparently all US stocks are doing well for today.. strange.. could it be the storm will nxt week?","text":"Apparently all US stocks are doing well for today.. strange.. could it be the storm will nxt week?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372861214","repostId":"1128911279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371108360,"gmtCreate":1618917387650,"gmtModify":1634289934083,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How come Microsoft is not part of it?","listText":"How come Microsoft is not part of it?","text":"How come Microsoft is not part of it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371108360","repostId":"1162754081","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347958545,"gmtCreate":1618459107487,"gmtModify":1634292795936,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When is XPeng gonna rise?...&nbsp;","listText":"When is XPeng gonna rise?...&nbsp;","text":"When is XPeng gonna rise?...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347958545","repostId":"1115715092","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346970466,"gmtCreate":1617984065055,"gmtModify":1634295362544,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"上上上!&nbsp;","listText":"上上上!&nbsp;","text":"上上上!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346970466","repostId":"1142324412","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":943,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":341884277,"gmtCreate":1617803284499,"gmtModify":1634296427328,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like i missed the boat.. :(","listText":"Looks like i missed the boat.. :(","text":"Looks like i missed the boat.. :(","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341884277","repostId":"2125740850","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":105493983,"gmtCreate":1620314422442,"gmtModify":1634206130143,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no..","listText":"Oh no..","text":"Oh no..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105493983","repostId":"1188985089","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188985089","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620309854,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188985089?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-06 22:04","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Yale's chief investment manager David Swensen dies at 67<blockquote>耶鲁大学首席投资经理大卫·斯文森去世，享年67岁</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188985089","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"David Swensen, the head of Yale University’s endowment who helped reshape how institutions manage th","content":"<p>David Swensen, the head of Yale University’s endowment who helped reshape how institutions manage their money, has died from cancer aged 67.</p><p><blockquote>耶鲁大学捐赠基金负责人大卫·斯文森(David Swensen)因癌症去世，享年67岁，他帮助重塑了机构管理资金的方式。</blockquote></p><p>After stints at Salomon Brothers and Lehman Brothers, Swensen returned to his alma mater in 1985 to lead its investment office. At the time, endowments were typically conservatively managed, but Swensen overhauled the model dramatically, taking advantage of their long-term focus to invest heavily in the nascent private equity and hedge fund industries.</p><p><blockquote>在所罗门兄弟和雷曼兄弟工作后，斯文森于1985年回到母校领导其投资办公室。当时，捐赠基金的管理通常是保守的，但斯文森大幅改革了这一模式，利用其长期关注的优势，大力投资新兴的私募股权和对冲基金行业。</blockquote></p><p>His approach was so successful it revolutionised how endowments and many other institutional investors allocate their money, and the “Yale model” spread and helped change the wider investment industry.</p><p><blockquote>他的方法非常成功，彻底改变了捐赠基金和许多其他机构投资者分配资金的方式，“耶鲁模式”传播开来，并帮助改变了更广泛的投资行业。</blockquote></p><p>“With his guidance, Yale’s endowment yielded returns that established him as a legend among institutional investors,” Peter Salovey, Yale’s president, said in a statement. “A natural teacher, he prepared a generation of institutional investors who have gone on to lead investment offices at other colleges and universities, further extending the scope of David’s influence.”</p><p><blockquote>耶鲁大学校长彼得·萨洛维在一份声明中表示：“在他的指导下，耶鲁大学的捐赠基金产生了回报，使他成为机构投资者中的传奇人物。”“作为一名天生的老师，他培养了一代机构投资者，他们后来领导了其他学院和大学的投资办公室，进一步扩大了大卫的影响范围。”</blockquote></p><p>The Yale Investments Office managed $31.2bn as of June 2020, and says it has averaged annual returns of 12. 4 per cent a year over the past three decades. In the 2021 fiscal year its contributions accounted for over a third of the university’s overall revenues.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年6月，耶鲁投资办公室管理着312亿美元的资产，并表示在过去30年里，该办公室的平均年回报率为12.在2021财年，它的贡献占该大学总收入的三分之一以上。</blockquote></p><p>Almost a quarter of the endowment is invested in venture capital, and combined with private equity, hedge funds and real estate, so-called “alternative” investments account for nearly three quarters of its assets.</p><p><blockquote>几乎四分之一的捐赠基金投资于风险投资，加上私募股权、对冲基金和房地产，所谓的“另类”投资占其资产的近四分之三。</blockquote></p><p><b>Early life and education</b></p><p><blockquote><b>早期生活和教育</b></blockquote></p><p>David F. Swensen was born inRiver Falls, Wisconsin. His father, Richard Swensen, was a chemistry professor and dean at the University of Wisconsin-River Falls. His mother, Grace, after raising six children, became a Lutheran minister. After graduating from River Falls High School in 1971 Swensen elected to stay in his hometown of River Falls and receive hisB.A.andB.S.in 1975 from theUniversity of Wisconsin-River Fallswhere his father Richard Swensen was a professor. Swensen pursued a PhD ineconomicsat Yale, where he wrote hisdissertation,<i>A Model for the Valuation ofCorporate Bonds.</i>One of Swensen's dissertation advisers at Yale wasJames Tobin, a top economic adviser toJohn F. Kennedyadministration and a future Nobel Prize laureate in economics. According to Charles Ellis, founder of Greenwich Associates and former chair of Yale's investment committee, \"When it snowed, David went to Jim's house to shovel the sidewalk\". James Tobin's Nobel Prize, among other things, was for his contribution in creation of Modern Portfolio Theory. Swensen was fascinated by the idea of Modern Portfolio Theory. During his 2018 reunion speech Swensen said: \"For a given level of return, if you diversify you can get that return at lower risk. For a given level of risk, if you diversify you can get a higher return. That's pretty cool! Free lunch!\"</p><p><blockquote>大卫·F·斯文森出生于威斯康星州的里弗福尔斯。他的父亲理查德·斯文森是威斯康星大学里弗福尔斯分校的化学教授兼院长。他的母亲格蕾丝在抚养了六个孩子后，成为了一名路德教牧师。1971年从里弗福尔斯高中毕业后，斯文森选择留在他的家乡里弗福尔斯，并于1975年在威斯康星大学里弗福尔斯分校获得学士学位和学士学位，他的父亲理查德·斯文森是该校的教授。斯文森在耶鲁大学攻读经济学博士学位，<i>公司债券估值模型。</i>斯文森在耶鲁大学的论文导师之一是詹姆斯·托宾，他是约翰·肯尼迪政府的高级经济顾问，也是未来的诺贝尔经济学奖得主。据格林威治联合公司创始人、耶鲁大学投资委员会前主席查尔斯·埃利斯说，“下雪的时候，大卫去吉姆家铲人行道”。詹姆斯·托宾获得诺贝尔奖的原因之一是他在创立现代投资组合理论方面的贡献。斯文森对现代投资组合理论的理念非常着迷。斯文森在2018年的团聚演讲中表示：“对于给定的回报水平，如果你分散投资，你可以以较低的风险获得回报。对于给定的风险水平，如果你分散投资，你可以获得更高的回报。这很酷！免费午餐！”</blockquote></p><p><b>Investment career</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资生涯</b></blockquote></p><p>Swensen began his investment career in the early 1980s, and has since advised theCarnegie Corporation, theNew York Stock Exchange, theHoward Hughes Medical Institute, theCourtauld Institute of Art, theYale-New Haven Hospital, The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF), theEdna McConnell Clark Foundation, and the States of&nbsp;Connecticut&nbsp;and&nbsp;Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>斯文森于20世纪80年代初开始了他的投资生涯，此后曾为卡内基公司、纽约证券交易所、霍华德休斯医学研究所、考陶德艺术研究所、耶鲁-纽黑文医院、基金会投资基金(TIFF)、DNA McConnell Clark基金会以及康涅狄格州和马萨诸塞州提供咨询服务。</blockquote></p><p><b>Salomon Brothers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>所罗门兄弟</b></blockquote></p><p>Following his academic interest in valuation of corporate bonds, Swensen joined Salomon Brothers in 1980. This career move was suggested by a Salomon Brothers investment banker and Yale alumni, Gene Dattel, who was deeply impressed by Swensen. In 1981 Swensen worked to structure the world's first swap agreement, a deal betweenIBMand theWorld Bankwhich allowed to hedge their exposure to Swiss francs and German marks.</p><p><blockquote>出于对公司债券估值的学术兴趣，斯文森于1980年加入所罗门兄弟公司。这一职业转变是由所罗门兄弟投资银行家、耶鲁校友吉恩·达特尔建议的，他对斯文森印象深刻。1981年，斯文森致力于构建世界上第一个互换协议，这是IBM和世界银行之间的一项交易，允许他们对冲瑞士法郎和德国马克的风险敞口。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lehman Brothers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雷曼兄弟</b></blockquote></p><p>Prior to joining Yale in 1985, Swensen spent six years onWall Streetas senior vice president atLehman Brothers,&nbsp;specializing in the firm'sswapactivities, and as an associate incorporate financeforSalomon Brothers(here he worked for three years prior to joining Lehman Brothers), where his work focused on developing new financial technologies. Swensen engineered the first swap transaction according to<i>When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management</i>byRoger Lowenstein.</p><p><blockquote>在1985年加入耶鲁大学之前，斯文森在华尔街工作了六年，担任雷曼兄弟公司的高级副总裁，专门从事该公司的互换活动，并担任所罗门兄弟公司的合伙人（在加入雷曼兄弟之前，他在这里工作了三年），他的工作重点是开发新的金融技术。斯文森根据<i>当天才失败时：长期资本管理的兴衰</i>作者：罗杰·洛温斯坦。</blockquote></p><p><b>Yale University endowment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶鲁大学捐赠</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>Swensen was tapped to serve as the Yale endowment manager at age 31 in 1985.&nbsp;This position was offered by Swensen's other dissertation adviser, Yale's provost,William Brainard. Swensen's candidacy was suggested by James Tobin, who, despite his former student's young age, believed he could be the right person. Swensen was hesitant about taking the job at first, since he did not know much about portfolio management aside from his studies in graduate school. Nevertheless, Brainard convinced him to take the position and Swensen started on April 1, 1985 by taking 80% pay cut.&nbsp;A year later, in 1986, he was joined by Yale College and School of Management graduate Dean Takahashi, who soon became Swensen's trusted deputy. In 1985, when Swensen started managing the endowment, it was worth $1 billion; in 2019 it was worth $29.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>1985年，31岁的斯文森被任命为耶鲁大学捐赠基金经理。这个职位是由斯文森的另一位论文导师、耶鲁大学教务长威廉·布雷纳德提供的。詹姆斯·托宾建议斯文森参选，尽管他以前的学生年龄很小，但他相信他可能是合适的人选。斯文森起初对接受这份工作犹豫不决，因为除了在研究生院的学习之外，他对投资组合管理了解不多。尽管如此，布雷纳德还是说服他接受了这个职位，斯文森从1985年4月1日开始减薪80%。一年后，在1986年，耶鲁大学和管理学院毕业生高桥院长加入了他的行列，他很快成为斯文森信任的副手。1985年，当斯文森开始管理该捐赠基金时，它价值10亿美元；2019年，其价值为294亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>As of 2005, the fund has managed annualized returns of 16.1%. He has been called \"Yale's 8 billion dollar man\" for his attainment of nearly $8 billion for the college endowment from 1985 to 2005.&nbsp;According to former Yale President, economistRichard Levin, Swensen's \"contribution\" to Yale is greater than the sum of all the donations made in more than two decades. \"We've just done better,\" Levin says, because of Swensen's \"uncanny ability\" to pick the best outside money managers. Swensen's former staff members, who later became managers of other endowment funds - includingMIT,StanfordandPrinceton- also showed impressive results in multiplying fund wealth.</p><p><blockquote>截至2005年，该基金管理的年化回报率为16.1%。他被称为“耶鲁80亿美元的人”，因为他从1985年到2005年为大学捐赠了近80亿美元。根据耶鲁前校长、经济学家理查德·莱文的说法，斯文森对耶鲁的“贡献”超过了二十多年来所有捐款的总和。“我们做得更好了，”莱文说，因为斯文森拥有挑选最佳外部基金经理的“不可思议的能力”。斯文森的前员工后来成为其他捐赠基金的经理——包括麻省理工学院、斯坦福大学和普林斯顿大学——在基金财富倍增方面也表现出了令人印象深刻的成果。</blockquote></p><p>In September 2014, Swensen began to move the Yale endowment away from investment in companies that have a large greenhouse footprint, expressing Yale's preferences in a letter to the endowment's money managers. The letter asked them to consider the effect of their investments on climate change, and to refrain from investing in companies that do not make reasonable efforts to reduce carbon emissions. This method was characterized by Swensen as a more subtle and flexible approach, as opposed to outright divestment.</p><p><blockquote>2014年9月，斯文森开始让耶鲁捐赠基金不再投资温室气体排放量大的公司，并在给捐赠基金经理的一封信中表达了耶鲁的偏好。这封信要求他们考虑投资对气候变化的影响，并避免投资于没有做出合理努力减少碳排放的公司。斯文森认为这种方法是一种更微妙、更灵活的方法，而不是直接撤资。</blockquote></p><p>Swensen made headlines on March 5, 2018 for arguing with the undergraduate editor-in-chief of the<i>Yale Daily News</i>. Swensen called the editor-in-chief a \"coward\" for deleting an inaccurate sentence and removing a footnote in an op-ed that he submitted to the paper; his column, which he required to be published unedited, responded to a student teach-in that criticized companies allegedly in the Yale portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>2018年3月5日，斯文森因与本科生主编发生争执而成为头条新闻。<i>耶鲁每日新闻</i>斯文森称主编为“懦夫”，因为他在提交给该报的一篇专栏文章中删除了一个不准确的句子和一个脚注；他要求未经编辑发表的专栏回应了一位学生的讲座，该讲座批评了据称在耶鲁投资组合中的公司。</blockquote></p><p><b>Unconventional success</b></p><p><blockquote><b>非常规的成功</b></blockquote></p><p>In 2005, Swensen wrote a book called<i>Unconventional Success,</i>which is an investment guide for the individual investor. The general strategy that he presents can be boiled down to the following three main points of advice:</p><p><blockquote>2005年，斯文森写了一本名为<i>非常规的成功，</i>这是个人投资者的投资指南。他提出的总体策略可以归结为以下三点建议：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>The investor should construct a portfolio with money allocated to 6 core asset classes, diversifying among them and biasing toward the equity sections.</li><li>The investor should rebalance the portfolio on a regular basis (rebalancingback to the original weightings of the asset classes in the portfolio).</li><li>In the absence of confidence in a market-beating strategy, invest in low-costindex fundsandexchange-traded funds. The investor should be very watchful of costs as some indices are poorly constructed and some fund companies charge excessive fees (or generate large tax liabilities).</li></ul>He slams manymutual fundcompanies for charging excessive fees and not living up to their fiduciary responsibility. He highlights the conflict of interest inherent in the mutual funds, claiming they want high fee, high turnover funds while investors want the opposite.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>投资者应该构建一个投资组合，将资金分配到6个核心资产类别，在其中分散投资并偏向股票部分。</li><li>投资者应定期重新平衡投资组合（重新平衡回投资组合中资产类别的原始权重）。</li><li>如果对跑赢市场的策略缺乏信心，请投资低成本指数基金和交易所交易基金。投资者应该非常警惕成本，因为一些指数构建不良，一些基金公司收取过高的费用（或产生大量的纳税义务）。</li></ul>他抨击许多共同基金公司收取过高的费用并且没有履行其信托责任。他强调了共同基金固有的利益冲突，声称他们想要高费用、高周转率的基金，而投资者想要相反的基金。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Yale's chief investment manager David Swensen dies at 67<blockquote>耶鲁大学首席投资经理大卫·斯文森去世，享年67岁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYale's chief investment manager David Swensen dies at 67<blockquote>耶鲁大学首席投资经理大卫·斯文森去世，享年67岁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-06 22:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>David Swensen, the head of Yale University’s endowment who helped reshape how institutions manage their money, has died from cancer aged 67.</p><p><blockquote>耶鲁大学捐赠基金负责人大卫·斯文森(David Swensen)因癌症去世，享年67岁，他帮助重塑了机构管理资金的方式。</blockquote></p><p>After stints at Salomon Brothers and Lehman Brothers, Swensen returned to his alma mater in 1985 to lead its investment office. At the time, endowments were typically conservatively managed, but Swensen overhauled the model dramatically, taking advantage of their long-term focus to invest heavily in the nascent private equity and hedge fund industries.</p><p><blockquote>在所罗门兄弟和雷曼兄弟工作后，斯文森于1985年回到母校领导其投资办公室。当时，捐赠基金的管理通常是保守的，但斯文森大幅改革了这一模式，利用其长期关注的优势，大力投资新兴的私募股权和对冲基金行业。</blockquote></p><p>His approach was so successful it revolutionised how endowments and many other institutional investors allocate their money, and the “Yale model” spread and helped change the wider investment industry.</p><p><blockquote>他的方法非常成功，彻底改变了捐赠基金和许多其他机构投资者分配资金的方式，“耶鲁模式”传播开来，并帮助改变了更广泛的投资行业。</blockquote></p><p>“With his guidance, Yale’s endowment yielded returns that established him as a legend among institutional investors,” Peter Salovey, Yale’s president, said in a statement. “A natural teacher, he prepared a generation of institutional investors who have gone on to lead investment offices at other colleges and universities, further extending the scope of David’s influence.”</p><p><blockquote>耶鲁大学校长彼得·萨洛维在一份声明中表示：“在他的指导下，耶鲁大学的捐赠基金产生了回报，使他成为机构投资者中的传奇人物。”“作为一名天生的老师，他培养了一代机构投资者，他们后来领导了其他学院和大学的投资办公室，进一步扩大了大卫的影响范围。”</blockquote></p><p>The Yale Investments Office managed $31.2bn as of June 2020, and says it has averaged annual returns of 12. 4 per cent a year over the past three decades. In the 2021 fiscal year its contributions accounted for over a third of the university’s overall revenues.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年6月，耶鲁投资办公室管理着312亿美元的资产，并表示在过去30年里，该办公室的平均年回报率为12.在2021财年，它的贡献占该大学总收入的三分之一以上。</blockquote></p><p>Almost a quarter of the endowment is invested in venture capital, and combined with private equity, hedge funds and real estate, so-called “alternative” investments account for nearly three quarters of its assets.</p><p><blockquote>几乎四分之一的捐赠基金投资于风险投资，加上私募股权、对冲基金和房地产，所谓的“另类”投资占其资产的近四分之三。</blockquote></p><p><b>Early life and education</b></p><p><blockquote><b>早期生活和教育</b></blockquote></p><p>David F. Swensen was born inRiver Falls, Wisconsin. His father, Richard Swensen, was a chemistry professor and dean at the University of Wisconsin-River Falls. His mother, Grace, after raising six children, became a Lutheran minister. After graduating from River Falls High School in 1971 Swensen elected to stay in his hometown of River Falls and receive hisB.A.andB.S.in 1975 from theUniversity of Wisconsin-River Fallswhere his father Richard Swensen was a professor. Swensen pursued a PhD ineconomicsat Yale, where he wrote hisdissertation,<i>A Model for the Valuation ofCorporate Bonds.</i>One of Swensen's dissertation advisers at Yale wasJames Tobin, a top economic adviser toJohn F. Kennedyadministration and a future Nobel Prize laureate in economics. According to Charles Ellis, founder of Greenwich Associates and former chair of Yale's investment committee, \"When it snowed, David went to Jim's house to shovel the sidewalk\". James Tobin's Nobel Prize, among other things, was for his contribution in creation of Modern Portfolio Theory. Swensen was fascinated by the idea of Modern Portfolio Theory. During his 2018 reunion speech Swensen said: \"For a given level of return, if you diversify you can get that return at lower risk. For a given level of risk, if you diversify you can get a higher return. That's pretty cool! Free lunch!\"</p><p><blockquote>大卫·F·斯文森出生于威斯康星州的里弗福尔斯。他的父亲理查德·斯文森是威斯康星大学里弗福尔斯分校的化学教授兼院长。他的母亲格蕾丝在抚养了六个孩子后，成为了一名路德教牧师。1971年从里弗福尔斯高中毕业后，斯文森选择留在他的家乡里弗福尔斯，并于1975年在威斯康星大学里弗福尔斯分校获得学士学位和学士学位，他的父亲理查德·斯文森是该校的教授。斯文森在耶鲁大学攻读经济学博士学位，<i>公司债券估值模型。</i>斯文森在耶鲁大学的论文导师之一是詹姆斯·托宾，他是约翰·肯尼迪政府的高级经济顾问，也是未来的诺贝尔经济学奖得主。据格林威治联合公司创始人、耶鲁大学投资委员会前主席查尔斯·埃利斯说，“下雪的时候，大卫去吉姆家铲人行道”。詹姆斯·托宾获得诺贝尔奖的原因之一是他在创立现代投资组合理论方面的贡献。斯文森对现代投资组合理论的理念非常着迷。斯文森在2018年的团聚演讲中表示：“对于给定的回报水平，如果你分散投资，你可以以较低的风险获得回报。对于给定的风险水平，如果你分散投资，你可以获得更高的回报。这很酷！免费午餐！”</blockquote></p><p><b>Investment career</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资生涯</b></blockquote></p><p>Swensen began his investment career in the early 1980s, and has since advised theCarnegie Corporation, theNew York Stock Exchange, theHoward Hughes Medical Institute, theCourtauld Institute of Art, theYale-New Haven Hospital, The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF), theEdna McConnell Clark Foundation, and the States of&nbsp;Connecticut&nbsp;and&nbsp;Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>斯文森于20世纪80年代初开始了他的投资生涯，此后曾为卡内基公司、纽约证券交易所、霍华德休斯医学研究所、考陶德艺术研究所、耶鲁-纽黑文医院、基金会投资基金(TIFF)、DNA McConnell Clark基金会以及康涅狄格州和马萨诸塞州提供咨询服务。</blockquote></p><p><b>Salomon Brothers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>所罗门兄弟</b></blockquote></p><p>Following his academic interest in valuation of corporate bonds, Swensen joined Salomon Brothers in 1980. This career move was suggested by a Salomon Brothers investment banker and Yale alumni, Gene Dattel, who was deeply impressed by Swensen. In 1981 Swensen worked to structure the world's first swap agreement, a deal betweenIBMand theWorld Bankwhich allowed to hedge their exposure to Swiss francs and German marks.</p><p><blockquote>出于对公司债券估值的学术兴趣，斯文森于1980年加入所罗门兄弟公司。这一职业转变是由所罗门兄弟投资银行家、耶鲁校友吉恩·达特尔建议的，他对斯文森印象深刻。1981年，斯文森致力于构建世界上第一个互换协议，这是IBM和世界银行之间的一项交易，允许他们对冲瑞士法郎和德国马克的风险敞口。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lehman Brothers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雷曼兄弟</b></blockquote></p><p>Prior to joining Yale in 1985, Swensen spent six years onWall Streetas senior vice president atLehman Brothers,&nbsp;specializing in the firm'sswapactivities, and as an associate incorporate financeforSalomon Brothers(here he worked for three years prior to joining Lehman Brothers), where his work focused on developing new financial technologies. Swensen engineered the first swap transaction according to<i>When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management</i>byRoger Lowenstein.</p><p><blockquote>在1985年加入耶鲁大学之前，斯文森在华尔街工作了六年，担任雷曼兄弟公司的高级副总裁，专门从事该公司的互换活动，并担任所罗门兄弟公司的合伙人（在加入雷曼兄弟之前，他在这里工作了三年），他的工作重点是开发新的金融技术。斯文森根据<i>当天才失败时：长期资本管理的兴衰</i>作者：罗杰·洛温斯坦。</blockquote></p><p><b>Yale University endowment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶鲁大学捐赠</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>Swensen was tapped to serve as the Yale endowment manager at age 31 in 1985.&nbsp;This position was offered by Swensen's other dissertation adviser, Yale's provost,William Brainard. Swensen's candidacy was suggested by James Tobin, who, despite his former student's young age, believed he could be the right person. Swensen was hesitant about taking the job at first, since he did not know much about portfolio management aside from his studies in graduate school. Nevertheless, Brainard convinced him to take the position and Swensen started on April 1, 1985 by taking 80% pay cut.&nbsp;A year later, in 1986, he was joined by Yale College and School of Management graduate Dean Takahashi, who soon became Swensen's trusted deputy. In 1985, when Swensen started managing the endowment, it was worth $1 billion; in 2019 it was worth $29.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>1985年，31岁的斯文森被任命为耶鲁大学捐赠基金经理。这个职位是由斯文森的另一位论文导师、耶鲁大学教务长威廉·布雷纳德提供的。詹姆斯·托宾建议斯文森参选，尽管他以前的学生年龄很小，但他相信他可能是合适的人选。斯文森起初对接受这份工作犹豫不决，因为除了在研究生院的学习之外，他对投资组合管理了解不多。尽管如此，布雷纳德还是说服他接受了这个职位，斯文森从1985年4月1日开始减薪80%。一年后，在1986年，耶鲁大学和管理学院毕业生高桥院长加入了他的行列，他很快成为斯文森信任的副手。1985年，当斯文森开始管理该捐赠基金时，它价值10亿美元；2019年，其价值为294亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>As of 2005, the fund has managed annualized returns of 16.1%. He has been called \"Yale's 8 billion dollar man\" for his attainment of nearly $8 billion for the college endowment from 1985 to 2005.&nbsp;According to former Yale President, economistRichard Levin, Swensen's \"contribution\" to Yale is greater than the sum of all the donations made in more than two decades. \"We've just done better,\" Levin says, because of Swensen's \"uncanny ability\" to pick the best outside money managers. Swensen's former staff members, who later became managers of other endowment funds - includingMIT,StanfordandPrinceton- also showed impressive results in multiplying fund wealth.</p><p><blockquote>截至2005年，该基金管理的年化回报率为16.1%。他被称为“耶鲁80亿美元的人”，因为他从1985年到2005年为大学捐赠了近80亿美元。根据耶鲁前校长、经济学家理查德·莱文的说法，斯文森对耶鲁的“贡献”超过了二十多年来所有捐款的总和。“我们做得更好了，”莱文说，因为斯文森拥有挑选最佳外部基金经理的“不可思议的能力”。斯文森的前员工后来成为其他捐赠基金的经理——包括麻省理工学院、斯坦福大学和普林斯顿大学——在基金财富倍增方面也表现出了令人印象深刻的成果。</blockquote></p><p>In September 2014, Swensen began to move the Yale endowment away from investment in companies that have a large greenhouse footprint, expressing Yale's preferences in a letter to the endowment's money managers. The letter asked them to consider the effect of their investments on climate change, and to refrain from investing in companies that do not make reasonable efforts to reduce carbon emissions. This method was characterized by Swensen as a more subtle and flexible approach, as opposed to outright divestment.</p><p><blockquote>2014年9月，斯文森开始让耶鲁捐赠基金不再投资温室气体排放量大的公司，并在给捐赠基金经理的一封信中表达了耶鲁的偏好。这封信要求他们考虑投资对气候变化的影响，并避免投资于没有做出合理努力减少碳排放的公司。斯文森认为这种方法是一种更微妙、更灵活的方法，而不是直接撤资。</blockquote></p><p>Swensen made headlines on March 5, 2018 for arguing with the undergraduate editor-in-chief of the<i>Yale Daily News</i>. Swensen called the editor-in-chief a \"coward\" for deleting an inaccurate sentence and removing a footnote in an op-ed that he submitted to the paper; his column, which he required to be published unedited, responded to a student teach-in that criticized companies allegedly in the Yale portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>2018年3月5日，斯文森因与本科生主编发生争执而成为头条新闻。<i>耶鲁每日新闻</i>斯文森称主编为“懦夫”，因为他在提交给该报的一篇专栏文章中删除了一个不准确的句子和一个脚注；他要求未经编辑发表的专栏回应了一位学生的讲座，该讲座批评了据称在耶鲁投资组合中的公司。</blockquote></p><p><b>Unconventional success</b></p><p><blockquote><b>非常规的成功</b></blockquote></p><p>In 2005, Swensen wrote a book called<i>Unconventional Success,</i>which is an investment guide for the individual investor. The general strategy that he presents can be boiled down to the following three main points of advice:</p><p><blockquote>2005年，斯文森写了一本名为<i>非常规的成功，</i>这是个人投资者的投资指南。他提出的总体策略可以归结为以下三点建议：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>The investor should construct a portfolio with money allocated to 6 core asset classes, diversifying among them and biasing toward the equity sections.</li><li>The investor should rebalance the portfolio on a regular basis (rebalancingback to the original weightings of the asset classes in the portfolio).</li><li>In the absence of confidence in a market-beating strategy, invest in low-costindex fundsandexchange-traded funds. The investor should be very watchful of costs as some indices are poorly constructed and some fund companies charge excessive fees (or generate large tax liabilities).</li></ul>He slams manymutual fundcompanies for charging excessive fees and not living up to their fiduciary responsibility. He highlights the conflict of interest inherent in the mutual funds, claiming they want high fee, high turnover funds while investors want the opposite.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>投资者应该构建一个投资组合，将资金分配到6个核心资产类别，在其中分散投资并偏向股票部分。</li><li>投资者应定期重新平衡投资组合（重新平衡回投资组合中资产类别的原始权重）。</li><li>如果对跑赢市场的策略缺乏信心，请投资低成本指数基金和交易所交易基金。投资者应该非常警惕成本，因为一些指数构建不良，一些基金公司收取过高的费用（或产生大量的纳税义务）。</li></ul>他抨击许多共同基金公司收取过高的费用并且没有履行其信托责任。他强调了共同基金固有的利益冲突，声称他们想要高费用、高周转率的基金，而投资者想要相反的基金。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188985089","content_text":"David Swensen, the head of Yale University’s endowment who helped reshape how institutions manage their money, has died from cancer aged 67.After stints at Salomon Brothers and Lehman Brothers, Swensen returned to his alma mater in 1985 to lead its investment office. At the time, endowments were typically conservatively managed, but Swensen overhauled the model dramatically, taking advantage of their long-term focus to invest heavily in the nascent private equity and hedge fund industries.His approach was so successful it revolutionised how endowments and many other institutional investors allocate their money, and the “Yale model” spread and helped change the wider investment industry.“With his guidance, Yale’s endowment yielded returns that established him as a legend among institutional investors,” Peter Salovey, Yale’s president, said in a statement. “A natural teacher, he prepared a generation of institutional investors who have gone on to lead investment offices at other colleges and universities, further extending the scope of David’s influence.”The Yale Investments Office managed $31.2bn as of June 2020, and says it has averaged annual returns of 12. 4 per cent a year over the past three decades. In the 2021 fiscal year its contributions accounted for over a third of the university’s overall revenues.Almost a quarter of the endowment is invested in venture capital, and combined with private equity, hedge funds and real estate, so-called “alternative” investments account for nearly three quarters of its assets.Early life and educationDavid F. Swensen was born inRiver Falls, Wisconsin. His father, Richard Swensen, was a chemistry professor and dean at the University of Wisconsin-River Falls. His mother, Grace, after raising six children, became a Lutheran minister. After graduating from River Falls High School in 1971 Swensen elected to stay in his hometown of River Falls and receive hisB.A.andB.S.in 1975 from theUniversity of Wisconsin-River Fallswhere his father Richard Swensen was a professor. Swensen pursued a PhD ineconomicsat Yale, where he wrote hisdissertation,A Model for the Valuation ofCorporate Bonds.One of Swensen's dissertation advisers at Yale wasJames Tobin, a top economic adviser toJohn F. Kennedyadministration and a future Nobel Prize laureate in economics. According to Charles Ellis, founder of Greenwich Associates and former chair of Yale's investment committee, \"When it snowed, David went to Jim's house to shovel the sidewalk\". James Tobin's Nobel Prize, among other things, was for his contribution in creation of Modern Portfolio Theory. Swensen was fascinated by the idea of Modern Portfolio Theory. During his 2018 reunion speech Swensen said: \"For a given level of return, if you diversify you can get that return at lower risk. For a given level of risk, if you diversify you can get a higher return. That's pretty cool! Free lunch!\"Investment careerSwensen began his investment career in the early 1980s, and has since advised theCarnegie Corporation, theNew York Stock Exchange, theHoward Hughes Medical Institute, theCourtauld Institute of Art, theYale-New Haven Hospital, The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF), theEdna McConnell Clark Foundation, and the States of Connecticut and Massachusetts.Salomon BrothersFollowing his academic interest in valuation of corporate bonds, Swensen joined Salomon Brothers in 1980. This career move was suggested by a Salomon Brothers investment banker and Yale alumni, Gene Dattel, who was deeply impressed by Swensen. In 1981 Swensen worked to structure the world's first swap agreement, a deal betweenIBMand theWorld Bankwhich allowed to hedge their exposure to Swiss francs and German marks.Lehman BrothersPrior to joining Yale in 1985, Swensen spent six years onWall Streetas senior vice president atLehman Brothers, specializing in the firm'sswapactivities, and as an associate incorporate financeforSalomon Brothers(here he worked for three years prior to joining Lehman Brothers), where his work focused on developing new financial technologies. Swensen engineered the first swap transaction according toWhen Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital ManagementbyRoger Lowenstein.Yale University endowmentSwensen was tapped to serve as the Yale endowment manager at age 31 in 1985. This position was offered by Swensen's other dissertation adviser, Yale's provost,William Brainard. Swensen's candidacy was suggested by James Tobin, who, despite his former student's young age, believed he could be the right person. Swensen was hesitant about taking the job at first, since he did not know much about portfolio management aside from his studies in graduate school. Nevertheless, Brainard convinced him to take the position and Swensen started on April 1, 1985 by taking 80% pay cut. A year later, in 1986, he was joined by Yale College and School of Management graduate Dean Takahashi, who soon became Swensen's trusted deputy. In 1985, when Swensen started managing the endowment, it was worth $1 billion; in 2019 it was worth $29.4 billion.As of 2005, the fund has managed annualized returns of 16.1%. He has been called \"Yale's 8 billion dollar man\" for his attainment of nearly $8 billion for the college endowment from 1985 to 2005. According to former Yale President, economistRichard Levin, Swensen's \"contribution\" to Yale is greater than the sum of all the donations made in more than two decades. \"We've just done better,\" Levin says, because of Swensen's \"uncanny ability\" to pick the best outside money managers. Swensen's former staff members, who later became managers of other endowment funds - includingMIT,StanfordandPrinceton- also showed impressive results in multiplying fund wealth.In September 2014, Swensen began to move the Yale endowment away from investment in companies that have a large greenhouse footprint, expressing Yale's preferences in a letter to the endowment's money managers. The letter asked them to consider the effect of their investments on climate change, and to refrain from investing in companies that do not make reasonable efforts to reduce carbon emissions. This method was characterized by Swensen as a more subtle and flexible approach, as opposed to outright divestment.Swensen made headlines on March 5, 2018 for arguing with the undergraduate editor-in-chief of theYale Daily News. Swensen called the editor-in-chief a \"coward\" for deleting an inaccurate sentence and removing a footnote in an op-ed that he submitted to the paper; his column, which he required to be published unedited, responded to a student teach-in that criticized companies allegedly in the Yale portfolio.Unconventional successIn 2005, Swensen wrote a book calledUnconventional Success,which is an investment guide for the individual investor. The general strategy that he presents can be boiled down to the following three main points of advice:The investor should construct a portfolio with money allocated to 6 core asset classes, diversifying among them and biasing toward the equity sections.The investor should rebalance the portfolio on a regular basis (rebalancingback to the original weightings of the asset classes in the portfolio).In the absence of confidence in a market-beating strategy, invest in low-costindex fundsandexchange-traded funds. The investor should be very watchful of costs as some indices are poorly constructed and some fund companies charge excessive fees (or generate large tax liabilities).He slams manymutual fundcompanies for charging excessive fees and not living up to their fiduciary responsibility. He highlights the conflict of interest inherent in the mutual funds, claiming they want high fee, high turnover funds while investors want the opposite.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347958545,"gmtCreate":1618459107487,"gmtModify":1634292795936,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When is XPeng gonna rise?...&nbsp;","listText":"When is XPeng gonna rise?...&nbsp;","text":"When is XPeng gonna rise?...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347958545","repostId":"1115715092","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357030538,"gmtCreate":1617205977424,"gmtModify":1634522041667,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should we then buy semiconductor stocks now?","listText":"Should we then buy semiconductor stocks now?","text":"Should we then buy semiconductor stocks now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357030538","repostId":"1121324187","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121324187","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617203600,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121324187?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-31 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Global chip shortage could cost automakers 1.3M production vehicles in Q2<blockquote>全球芯片短缺可能导致汽车制造商第二季度损失130万辆量产车</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121324187","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"A recent winter storm in Texas and fire at a Renesas (OTCPK:RNECF,OTCPK:RNECY) chip fab have left Q2","content":"<p>A recent winter storm in Texas and fire at a Renesas (OTCPK:RNECF,OTCPK:RNECY) chip fab have left Q2 automotive output \"asexposed\" to the global chip quarter as Q1, according toIHS&nbsp;Markit. Semi supplies might not stabilize until Q4.</p><p><blockquote>根据IHS Markit的数据，最近德克萨斯州的冬季风暴和瑞萨（OTCPK：RNECF，OTCPK：RNECY）芯片工厂的火灾导致第二季度汽车产量与第一季度一样“暴露”在全球芯片季度中。半成品供应可能要到第四季度才能稳定下来。</blockquote></p><p> The shortage could cost automakers 1.3M production vehicles during the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>这种短缺可能会使汽车制造商在第二季度损失130万辆量产车。</blockquote></p><p> Early last month, IHS Markit said the shortage could impact 672,000 light vehicle production units in Q1, and predicted that the chip shortage wouldstretch until Q3.</p><p><blockquote>上月初，IHS Markit表示，芯片短缺可能会影响第一季度672,000辆轻型汽车产量，并预测芯片短缺将持续到第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> Foundry giant TSMC(TSM+1.9%)&nbsp;and semiconductor equipment makers Lam Research(LRCX+3.6%), Applied Materials(AMAT+4.4%), and KLA&nbsp;(KLAC+3.4%)&nbsp;are all trading up. Lam reports earnings after the bell today.</p><p><blockquote>代工巨头台积电(TSM+1.9%)和半导体设备制造商泛林研究(LRCX+3.6%)、应用材料(AMAT+4.4%)和KLA(KLAC+3.4%)均上涨。林郑月娥今天盘后公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Auto chip supplier stocks in the green include Texas Instruments(TXN+1.2%), ON&nbsp;Semi(ON+2.7%), and STMicroelectronics(STM+2.2%).</p><p><blockquote>绿色的汽车芯片供应商股票包括德州仪器(TXN+1.2%)、安森美(ON+2.7%)和意法半导体(STM+2.2%)。</blockquote></p><p> Yesterday, Renesas said it would likely take up to three months to return to pre-fire production levels at the affected fab.</p><p><blockquote>昨天，瑞萨表示，受影响工厂可能需要长达三个月的时间才能恢复到火灾前的生产水平。</blockquote></p><p> Samsung's foundry said its operations in Austin, which were paused last month during a weather-related power outage, have returned to nearly normal levels.</p><p><blockquote>三星代工厂表示，其在奥斯汀的运营上个月因天气原因停电而暂停，现已恢复到接近正常水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Global chip shortage could cost automakers 1.3M production vehicles in Q2<blockquote>全球芯片短缺可能导致汽车制造商第二季度损失130万辆量产车</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobal chip shortage could cost automakers 1.3M production vehicles in Q2<blockquote>全球芯片短缺可能导致汽车制造商第二季度损失130万辆量产车</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-31 23:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A recent winter storm in Texas and fire at a Renesas (OTCPK:RNECF,OTCPK:RNECY) chip fab have left Q2 automotive output \"asexposed\" to the global chip quarter as Q1, according toIHS&nbsp;Markit. Semi supplies might not stabilize until Q4.</p><p><blockquote>根据IHS Markit的数据，最近德克萨斯州的冬季风暴和瑞萨（OTCPK：RNECF，OTCPK：RNECY）芯片工厂的火灾导致第二季度汽车产量与第一季度一样“暴露”在全球芯片季度中。半成品供应可能要到第四季度才能稳定下来。</blockquote></p><p> The shortage could cost automakers 1.3M production vehicles during the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>这种短缺可能会使汽车制造商在第二季度损失130万辆量产车。</blockquote></p><p> Early last month, IHS Markit said the shortage could impact 672,000 light vehicle production units in Q1, and predicted that the chip shortage wouldstretch until Q3.</p><p><blockquote>上月初，IHS Markit表示，芯片短缺可能会影响第一季度672,000辆轻型汽车产量，并预测芯片短缺将持续到第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> Foundry giant TSMC(TSM+1.9%)&nbsp;and semiconductor equipment makers Lam Research(LRCX+3.6%), Applied Materials(AMAT+4.4%), and KLA&nbsp;(KLAC+3.4%)&nbsp;are all trading up. Lam reports earnings after the bell today.</p><p><blockquote>代工巨头台积电(TSM+1.9%)和半导体设备制造商泛林研究(LRCX+3.6%)、应用材料(AMAT+4.4%)和KLA(KLAC+3.4%)均上涨。林郑月娥今天盘后公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Auto chip supplier stocks in the green include Texas Instruments(TXN+1.2%), ON&nbsp;Semi(ON+2.7%), and STMicroelectronics(STM+2.2%).</p><p><blockquote>绿色的汽车芯片供应商股票包括德州仪器(TXN+1.2%)、安森美(ON+2.7%)和意法半导体(STM+2.2%)。</blockquote></p><p> Yesterday, Renesas said it would likely take up to three months to return to pre-fire production levels at the affected fab.</p><p><blockquote>昨天，瑞萨表示，受影响工厂可能需要长达三个月的时间才能恢复到火灾前的生产水平。</blockquote></p><p> Samsung's foundry said its operations in Austin, which were paused last month during a weather-related power outage, have returned to nearly normal levels.</p><p><blockquote>三星代工厂表示，其在奥斯汀的运营上个月因天气原因停电而暂停，现已恢复到接近正常水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3678125-global-chip-shortage-could-cost-automakers-13m-production-vehicles-in-q2\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11fb5ef0b1cb032e12ea701b85e5650d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3678125-global-chip-shortage-could-cost-automakers-13m-production-vehicles-in-q2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121324187","content_text":"A recent winter storm in Texas and fire at a Renesas (OTCPK:RNECF,OTCPK:RNECY) chip fab have left Q2 automotive output \"asexposed\" to the global chip quarter as Q1, according toIHS Markit. Semi supplies might not stabilize until Q4.\nThe shortage could cost automakers 1.3M production vehicles during the second quarter.\nEarly last month, IHS Markit said the shortage could impact 672,000 light vehicle production units in Q1, and predicted that the chip shortage wouldstretch until Q3.\nFoundry giant TSMC(TSM+1.9%) and semiconductor equipment makers Lam Research(LRCX+3.6%), Applied Materials(AMAT+4.4%), and KLA (KLAC+3.4%) are all trading up. Lam reports earnings after the bell today.\nAuto chip supplier stocks in the green include Texas Instruments(TXN+1.2%), ON Semi(ON+2.7%), and STMicroelectronics(STM+2.2%).\nYesterday, Renesas said it would likely take up to three months to return to pre-fire production levels at the affected fab.\nSamsung's foundry said its operations in Austin, which were paused last month during a weather-related power outage, have returned to nearly normal levels.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349662852,"gmtCreate":1617606590176,"gmtModify":1634297628846,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Both companies are very strong..But the political risks are deterring investors to invest more in them.","listText":"Both companies are very strong..But the political risks are deterring investors to invest more in them.","text":"Both companies are very strong..But the political risks are deterring investors to invest more in them.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/349662852","repostId":"1115649076","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349661648,"gmtCreate":1617606155584,"gmtModify":1634297630564,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like FB's stocks will tumble this week..","listText":"Looks like FB's stocks will tumble this week..","text":"Looks like FB's stocks will tumble this week..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/349661648","repostId":"1111940400","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372861214,"gmtCreate":1619191788638,"gmtModify":1634287853684,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apparently all US stocks are doing well for today.. strange.. could it be the storm will nxt week?","listText":"Apparently all US stocks are doing well for today.. strange.. could it be the storm will nxt week?","text":"Apparently all US stocks are doing well for today.. strange.. could it be the storm will nxt week?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372861214","repostId":"1128911279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343243361,"gmtCreate":1617720616753,"gmtModify":1634296908691,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[思考]&nbsp;","listText":"[思考]&nbsp;","text":"[思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343243361","repostId":"1101907559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101907559","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617672655,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101907559?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-06 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101907559","media":"marketwatch","summary":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management. Its reach and operating practices were","content":"<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能肯定地说，所谓的家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机从来都不完全一样。20世纪80年代末，美国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终获得了约2650亿美元的纳税人救助（按2021年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄国的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运营实践如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦·格林斯潘说，当LTCM失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何与他所感受到的恐怖相比的事情”。LTCM被认为“太大而不能倒”，他策划了对14家美国主要金融机构的救助。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构的过度杠杆化，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行再一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人前来救援。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆发，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于外行人来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思：咨询公司安永估计全球约有10,000个家族理财室，但市场研究公司Campden Research的另一项估计称，管理家族理财室的规模接近6万亿美元。鉴于这6万亿美元是基于2019年的数据，现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的基金经理</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这是潜在的危险。家族理财室通常不受监管。1940年《投资顾问法》规定，拥有15名或更少客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元正在发挥作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，它投资于什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大举押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司VIPS，-1.19%，在美国上市的中国家教公司跟谁学GSX，-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。最近股价暴跌，引发Archegos的大量抛售（约300亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道Archegos与华尔街的一些大牌合作，包括瑞士信贷集团AGCS，+1.59%，瑞银集团AGUBS，+1.01%，高盛集团Inc.GS，-1.25%，摩根士丹利MS，-0.28%，德意志银行AGDB，+0.74%，野村控股公司NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但由于家族办公室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说这里真正涉及多少资金以及市场风险有多大？我的同事Mark DeCambre上周报告称，Archegos对不良交易的真实敞口实际上可能接近1000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险的危险性</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的用武之地。随着Archegos的赌注落空，上述银行考虑到自己的损失，以保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行迅速抛售了约40亿美元的持股，而高盛和摩根士丹利据说也已平仓，这或许限制了它们的下跌空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎不是。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会还是对Archegos及其创始人Bill Hwang展开了初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors的研究主管Tom Lee是他认识的“十大最佳投资头脑”之一的评级·黄。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012年，黄禹锡的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司(Tiger Asia Management)认罪并支付了超过6000万美元的罚款，此前该公司被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄禹锡代表客户管理资金——实质上是将他踢出对冲基金行业。因此，Hwang开设了Archegos，同样，家族理财室通常不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的关注。她上周表示，需要加强对金融业这些私人角落的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新成立了一个工作组，以帮助各机构更好地“共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯（Abe Lincoln）的话，家族办公室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在一个比以往任何时候都更加交织在一起的全球金融体系中，很大程度上被允许在阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪经营，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的倒闭可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但谁能说其他数千家家族理财室正在用他们的数万亿美元做什么，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-06 09:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能肯定地说，所谓的家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机从来都不完全一样。20世纪80年代末，美国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终获得了约2650亿美元的纳税人救助（按2021年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄国的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运营实践如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦·格林斯潘说，当LTCM失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何与他所感受到的恐怖相比的事情”。LTCM被认为“太大而不能倒”，他策划了对14家美国主要金融机构的救助。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构的过度杠杆化，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行再一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人前来救援。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆发，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于外行人来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思：咨询公司安永估计全球约有10,000个家族理财室，但市场研究公司Campden Research的另一项估计称，管理家族理财室的规模接近6万亿美元。鉴于这6万亿美元是基于2019年的数据，现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的基金经理</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这是潜在的危险。家族理财室通常不受监管。1940年《投资顾问法》规定，拥有15名或更少客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元正在发挥作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，它投资于什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大举押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司VIPS，-1.19%，在美国上市的中国家教公司跟谁学GSX，-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。最近股价暴跌，引发Archegos的大量抛售（约300亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道Archegos与华尔街的一些大牌合作，包括瑞士信贷集团AGCS，+1.59%，瑞银集团AGUBS，+1.01%，高盛集团Inc.GS，-1.25%，摩根士丹利MS，-0.28%，德意志银行AGDB，+0.74%，野村控股公司NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但由于家族办公室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说这里真正涉及多少资金以及市场风险有多大？我的同事Mark DeCambre上周报告称，Archegos对不良交易的真实敞口实际上可能接近1000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险的危险性</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的用武之地。随着Archegos的赌注落空，上述银行考虑到自己的损失，以保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行迅速抛售了约40亿美元的持股，而高盛和摩根士丹利据说也已平仓，这或许限制了它们的下跌空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎不是。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会还是对Archegos及其创始人Bill Hwang展开了初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors的研究主管Tom Lee是他认识的“十大最佳投资头脑”之一的评级·黄。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012年，黄禹锡的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司(Tiger Asia Management)认罪并支付了超过6000万美元的罚款，此前该公司被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄禹锡代表客户管理资金——实质上是将他踢出对冲基金行业。因此，Hwang开设了Archegos，同样，家族理财室通常不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的关注。她上周表示，需要加强对金融业这些私人角落的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新成立了一个工作组，以帮助各机构更好地“共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯（Abe Lincoln）的话，家族办公室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在一个比以往任何时候都更加交织在一起的全球金融体系中，很大程度上被允许在阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪经营，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的倒闭可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但谁能说其他数千家家族理财室正在用他们的数万亿美元做什么，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101907559","content_text":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.\nIn 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.\nExactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.\nThe trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?\nA family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.\nUnregulated money managers\nHere’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)\nThis appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.\nThe problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.\nBut since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.\nDanger of counterparty risk\nThis is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.\nSo is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.\nOne peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.\nBut federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.\nYellen on the case\nThis issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”\nMost financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.\nThe Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":340841650,"gmtCreate":1617377771270,"gmtModify":1634521174888,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I super agree with this article! Let's huat ah!","listText":"I super agree with this article! Let's huat ah!","text":"I super agree with this article! Let's huat ah!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340841650","repostId":"1188150614","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188150614","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617366389,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188150614?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Beaten-Down Stocks That Could Double Your Money<blockquote>3只遭受重创的股票可以让你的钱翻倍</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188150614","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Market rotation malaise has infected many investors. Last year, the growth stocks in theNasdaq-100index trounced the staid giants in theDow Jones Industrial Average. It's been a different story so far in 2021, though. The big money appears to be moving into so-called \"risk-off\" stocks.As a result, many of the high-flyers from just a few months ago are now stuck in the doldrums. Some are even down more than 30% from their peaks set earlier this year. There's a silver lining in this dark cloud, ho","content":"<p>Market rotation malaise has infected many investors. Last year, the growth stocks in the<b>Nasdaq-100</b>index trounced the staid giants in the<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>. It's been a different story so far in 2021, though. The big money appears to be moving into so-called \"risk-off\" stocks.</p><p><blockquote>市场轮动的萎靡已经感染了许多投资者。去年，成长股<b>纳斯达克100</b>指数击败了稳重的巨头<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>.不过，2021年到目前为止，情况有所不同。大笔资金似乎正在转向所谓的“避险”股票。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, many of the high-flyers from just a few months ago are now stuck in the doldrums. Some are even down more than 30% from their peaks set earlier this year. There's a silver lining in this dark cloud, however: Quite a few stocks with strong growth prospects are available at discounted prices.&nbsp;Here are three beaten-down stocks that could even double your money -- or more.</p><p><blockquote>结果，许多几个月前雄心勃勃的人现在都陷入了低迷。有些甚至比今年早些时候创下的峰值下降了30%以上。然而，乌云中也有一线希望：相当多具有强劲增长前景的股票可以打折购买。这里有三只遭受重创的股票，它们甚至可以让你的钱翻倍甚至更多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DermTech</b></p><p><blockquote><b>皮肤技术</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DermTech</b>(NASDAQ:DMTK)markets an exciting product: a skin genomics test that can detect melanoma more accurately and cheaper than surgical biopsy. Its shares soared over 145% year to date by the third week of February. Since then, though, thehealthcare stockhas fallen more than 35%.</p><p><blockquote><b>皮肤技术</b>（纳斯达克：DMTK）推出了一款令人兴奋的产品：一种皮肤基因组学测试，可以比手术活检更准确、更便宜地检测黑色素瘤。截至2月第三周，其股价今年迄今已飙升超过145%。不过，自那以来，医疗保健股已下跌超过35%。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem was the aforementioned general sell-off of growth stocks. However, DermTech also provided disappointing guidance in its fourth-quarter update. The company expects first-quarter assay revenue of between $1.6 million and $1.9 million compared to Q4 assay revenue of $1.6 million.</p><p><blockquote>部分问题在于前面提到的成长型股票的普遍抛售。然而，DermTech在第四季度更新中也提供了令人失望的指引。该公司预计第一季度检测收入在160万美元至190万美元之间，而第四季度检测收入为160万美元。</blockquote></p><p> DermTech still faces some COVID-19 headwinds in reaching out to physicians. The company's long-term growth prospects remain bright, though. DermTech continues to pick up commercial payer reimbursement for its first product, Pigmented Lesion Assay (PLA). It expects to launch an at-home genomics test that identifies ultraviolet ray damage and skin cancer risk next year.</p><p><blockquote>DermTech在接触医生方面仍然面临一些新冠肺炎的阻力。不过，该公司的长期增长前景仍然光明。DermTech继续为其首款产品色素性病变检测(PLA)获得商业付款人报销。它预计明年将推出一项家庭基因组学测试，以识别紫外线损伤和皮肤癌风险。</blockquote></p><p> The total addressable U.S. market that DermTech is targeting for all types of skin cancer is around $10 billion. With the company's market cap currently below $1.5 billion, DermTech should only have to capture a tiny sliver of this market to deliver huge returns for investors.</p><p><blockquote>DermTech针对所有类型皮肤癌的潜在美国市场总额约为100亿美元。由于该公司的市值目前低于15亿美元，DermTech应该只需占领这个市场的一小部分，就可以为投资者带来巨额回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Gores Holdings VI</b></p><p><blockquote><b>戈尔斯控股VI</b></blockquote></p><p> Special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) stocks were wildly popular not long ago. That's changed quite a bit.&nbsp;<b>Gores Holdings VI</b>(NASDAQ:GHVI)serves as a great example: The SPAC's shares skyrocketed more than 120% year to date by mid-February but are now down over 40% from those highs.</p><p><blockquote>特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）股票不久前广受欢迎。这已经改变了很多。<b>戈尔斯控股VI</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：GHVI）就是一个很好的例子：截至2月中旬，SPAC的股价今年迄今飙升了120%以上，但现在较高点下跌了40%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Gores Holdings VI and spatial data company Matterport announced on Feb. 8 that they plan to merge in a deal that will take Matterport public at an equity value of around $2.9 billion. But Matterport should be able to grow much larger than that relatively quickly.</p><p><blockquote>Gores Holdings VI和空间数据公司Matterport于2月8日宣布，他们计划合并，Matterport将以约29亿美元的股权价值上市。但Matterport应该能够相对较快地发展得更大。</blockquote></p><p> Matterport pioneered the spatial data market a decade ago. The company's technology can create a 3D \"digital twin\" of any physical space. Consulting firm<b>Accenture</b>recently picked digital twin technology asone of its top five tech trends of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Matterport十年前开创了空间数据市场。该公司的技术可以创建任何物理空间的3D“数字孪生”。咨询公司<b>埃森哲</b>最近将数字孪生技术选为2021年五大技术趋势之一。</blockquote></p><p> The company already has over 250,000 customers, including 13% of the Fortune 1000. However, less than 1% of the more than 4 billion buildings across the world are currently digitized. This represents a $240 billion opportunity for Matterport. The company expects to nearly double its revenue in 2022 with growth accelerating in subsequent years.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已经拥有超过250,000名客户，其中包括财富1000强中的13%。然而，目前全球40多亿栋建筑中只有不到1%实现了数字化。这对Matterport来说意味着2400亿美元的机会。该公司预计2022年收入将增长近一倍，随后几年增长将加速。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillz</b></p><p><blockquote><b>斯基尔茨</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillz</b>(NYSE:SKLZ)stands as the biggest loser of these three beaten-down stocks. Shares of the mobile game platform provider soared nearly 120% by early February only to give up all of those gains and then some. The stock is now down over 5% year to date.</p><p><blockquote><b>斯基尔茨</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SKLZ）是这三只遭受重创的股票中跌幅最大的。截至2月初，这家移动游戏平台提供商的股价飙升近120%，但随后又回吐了全部涨幅，甚至部分涨幅。今年迄今为止，该股已下跌超过5%。</blockquote></p><p> Like DermTech and Gores Holdings VI, Skillz was negatively impacted by the market rotation away from growth stocks. However, the company's decision to sell 17 million shares in a public offering also hurt.</p><p><blockquote>与DermTech和Gores Holdings VI一样，Skillz也受到了市场远离成长型股票的负面影响。然而，该公司公开发行出售1700万股股票的决定也造成了伤害。</blockquote></p><p> Skillz's competition-focused approach keeps users more engaged than other leading online platforms. It's also driving tremendous growth. The company's revenue nearly doubled in 2020. Skillz is especially making inroads in converting users to paying customers.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz以竞争为中心的方法比其他领先的在线平台更能吸引用户。它也推动了巨大的增长。该公司的收入在2020年几乎翻了一番。Skillz在将用户转化为付费客户方面尤其取得了进展。</blockquote></p><p> The mobile gaming market totaled $86 billion last year and continues to grow rapidly. Skillz should be able to increase its market share as it expands internationally and adds new genres of games to its platform. The company's multi-year agreement with the NFL could also provide a big boost.</p><p><blockquote>去年移动游戏市场总额为860亿美元，并继续快速增长。随着Skillz在国际上扩张并在其平台上添加新类型的游戏，它应该能够增加其市场份额。该公司与NFL的多年协议也可能带来巨大推动。</blockquote></p><p> Skillz looks like a stock that could easily double your money and perhaps deliver much greater returns than that over the next couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz看起来像是一只可以轻松让你的钱翻倍的股票，并且在未来几年内可能会带来比这更高的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Beaten-Down Stocks That Could Double Your Money<blockquote>3只遭受重创的股票可以让你的钱翻倍</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Beaten-Down Stocks That Could Double Your Money<blockquote>3只遭受重创的股票可以让你的钱翻倍</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-02 20:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Market rotation malaise has infected many investors. Last year, the growth stocks in the<b>Nasdaq-100</b>index trounced the staid giants in the<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>. It's been a different story so far in 2021, though. The big money appears to be moving into so-called \"risk-off\" stocks.</p><p><blockquote>市场轮动的萎靡已经感染了许多投资者。去年，成长股<b>纳斯达克100</b>指数击败了稳重的巨头<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>.不过，2021年到目前为止，情况有所不同。大笔资金似乎正在转向所谓的“避险”股票。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, many of the high-flyers from just a few months ago are now stuck in the doldrums. Some are even down more than 30% from their peaks set earlier this year. There's a silver lining in this dark cloud, however: Quite a few stocks with strong growth prospects are available at discounted prices.&nbsp;Here are three beaten-down stocks that could even double your money -- or more.</p><p><blockquote>结果，许多几个月前雄心勃勃的人现在都陷入了低迷。有些甚至比今年早些时候创下的峰值下降了30%以上。然而，乌云中也有一线希望：相当多具有强劲增长前景的股票可以打折购买。这里有三只遭受重创的股票，它们甚至可以让你的钱翻倍甚至更多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DermTech</b></p><p><blockquote><b>皮肤技术</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DermTech</b>(NASDAQ:DMTK)markets an exciting product: a skin genomics test that can detect melanoma more accurately and cheaper than surgical biopsy. Its shares soared over 145% year to date by the third week of February. Since then, though, thehealthcare stockhas fallen more than 35%.</p><p><blockquote><b>皮肤技术</b>（纳斯达克：DMTK）推出了一款令人兴奋的产品：一种皮肤基因组学测试，可以比手术活检更准确、更便宜地检测黑色素瘤。截至2月第三周，其股价今年迄今已飙升超过145%。不过，自那以来，医疗保健股已下跌超过35%。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem was the aforementioned general sell-off of growth stocks. However, DermTech also provided disappointing guidance in its fourth-quarter update. The company expects first-quarter assay revenue of between $1.6 million and $1.9 million compared to Q4 assay revenue of $1.6 million.</p><p><blockquote>部分问题在于前面提到的成长型股票的普遍抛售。然而，DermTech在第四季度更新中也提供了令人失望的指引。该公司预计第一季度检测收入在160万美元至190万美元之间，而第四季度检测收入为160万美元。</blockquote></p><p> DermTech still faces some COVID-19 headwinds in reaching out to physicians. The company's long-term growth prospects remain bright, though. DermTech continues to pick up commercial payer reimbursement for its first product, Pigmented Lesion Assay (PLA). It expects to launch an at-home genomics test that identifies ultraviolet ray damage and skin cancer risk next year.</p><p><blockquote>DermTech在接触医生方面仍然面临一些新冠肺炎的阻力。不过，该公司的长期增长前景仍然光明。DermTech继续为其首款产品色素性病变检测(PLA)获得商业付款人报销。它预计明年将推出一项家庭基因组学测试，以识别紫外线损伤和皮肤癌风险。</blockquote></p><p> The total addressable U.S. market that DermTech is targeting for all types of skin cancer is around $10 billion. With the company's market cap currently below $1.5 billion, DermTech should only have to capture a tiny sliver of this market to deliver huge returns for investors.</p><p><blockquote>DermTech针对所有类型皮肤癌的潜在美国市场总额约为100亿美元。由于该公司的市值目前低于15亿美元，DermTech应该只需占领这个市场的一小部分，就可以为投资者带来巨额回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Gores Holdings VI</b></p><p><blockquote><b>戈尔斯控股VI</b></blockquote></p><p> Special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) stocks were wildly popular not long ago. That's changed quite a bit.&nbsp;<b>Gores Holdings VI</b>(NASDAQ:GHVI)serves as a great example: The SPAC's shares skyrocketed more than 120% year to date by mid-February but are now down over 40% from those highs.</p><p><blockquote>特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）股票不久前广受欢迎。这已经改变了很多。<b>戈尔斯控股VI</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：GHVI）就是一个很好的例子：截至2月中旬，SPAC的股价今年迄今飙升了120%以上，但现在较高点下跌了40%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Gores Holdings VI and spatial data company Matterport announced on Feb. 8 that they plan to merge in a deal that will take Matterport public at an equity value of around $2.9 billion. But Matterport should be able to grow much larger than that relatively quickly.</p><p><blockquote>Gores Holdings VI和空间数据公司Matterport于2月8日宣布，他们计划合并，Matterport将以约29亿美元的股权价值上市。但Matterport应该能够相对较快地发展得更大。</blockquote></p><p> Matterport pioneered the spatial data market a decade ago. The company's technology can create a 3D \"digital twin\" of any physical space. Consulting firm<b>Accenture</b>recently picked digital twin technology asone of its top five tech trends of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Matterport十年前开创了空间数据市场。该公司的技术可以创建任何物理空间的3D“数字孪生”。咨询公司<b>埃森哲</b>最近将数字孪生技术选为2021年五大技术趋势之一。</blockquote></p><p> The company already has over 250,000 customers, including 13% of the Fortune 1000. However, less than 1% of the more than 4 billion buildings across the world are currently digitized. This represents a $240 billion opportunity for Matterport. The company expects to nearly double its revenue in 2022 with growth accelerating in subsequent years.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已经拥有超过250,000名客户，其中包括财富1000强中的13%。然而，目前全球40多亿栋建筑中只有不到1%实现了数字化。这对Matterport来说意味着2400亿美元的机会。该公司预计2022年收入将增长近一倍，随后几年增长将加速。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillz</b></p><p><blockquote><b>斯基尔茨</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillz</b>(NYSE:SKLZ)stands as the biggest loser of these three beaten-down stocks. Shares of the mobile game platform provider soared nearly 120% by early February only to give up all of those gains and then some. The stock is now down over 5% year to date.</p><p><blockquote><b>斯基尔茨</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SKLZ）是这三只遭受重创的股票中跌幅最大的。截至2月初，这家移动游戏平台提供商的股价飙升近120%，但随后又回吐了全部涨幅，甚至部分涨幅。今年迄今为止，该股已下跌超过5%。</blockquote></p><p> Like DermTech and Gores Holdings VI, Skillz was negatively impacted by the market rotation away from growth stocks. However, the company's decision to sell 17 million shares in a public offering also hurt.</p><p><blockquote>与DermTech和Gores Holdings VI一样，Skillz也受到了市场远离成长型股票的负面影响。然而，该公司公开发行出售1700万股股票的决定也造成了伤害。</blockquote></p><p> Skillz's competition-focused approach keeps users more engaged than other leading online platforms. It's also driving tremendous growth. The company's revenue nearly doubled in 2020. Skillz is especially making inroads in converting users to paying customers.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz以竞争为中心的方法比其他领先的在线平台更能吸引用户。它也推动了巨大的增长。该公司的收入在2020年几乎翻了一番。Skillz在将用户转化为付费客户方面尤其取得了进展。</blockquote></p><p> The mobile gaming market totaled $86 billion last year and continues to grow rapidly. Skillz should be able to increase its market share as it expands internationally and adds new genres of games to its platform. The company's multi-year agreement with the NFL could also provide a big boost.</p><p><blockquote>去年移动游戏市场总额为860亿美元，并继续快速增长。随着Skillz在国际上扩张并在其平台上添加新类型的游戏，它应该能够增加其市场份额。该公司与NFL的多年协议也可能带来巨大推动。</blockquote></p><p> Skillz looks like a stock that could easily double your money and perhaps deliver much greater returns than that over the next couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz看起来像是一只可以轻松让你的钱翻倍的股票，并且在未来几年内可能会带来比这更高的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/3-beaten-down-stocks-that-could-double-your-money/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/3-beaten-down-stocks-that-could-double-your-money/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188150614","content_text":"Market rotation malaise has infected many investors. Last year, the growth stocks in theNasdaq-100index trounced the staid giants in theDow Jones Industrial Average. It's been a different story so far in 2021, though. The big money appears to be moving into so-called \"risk-off\" stocks.\nAs a result, many of the high-flyers from just a few months ago are now stuck in the doldrums. Some are even down more than 30% from their peaks set earlier this year. There's a silver lining in this dark cloud, however: Quite a few stocks with strong growth prospects are available at discounted prices. Here are three beaten-down stocks that could even double your money -- or more.\nDermTech\nDermTech(NASDAQ:DMTK)markets an exciting product: a skin genomics test that can detect melanoma more accurately and cheaper than surgical biopsy. Its shares soared over 145% year to date by the third week of February. Since then, though, thehealthcare stockhas fallen more than 35%.\nPart of the problem was the aforementioned general sell-off of growth stocks. However, DermTech also provided disappointing guidance in its fourth-quarter update. The company expects first-quarter assay revenue of between $1.6 million and $1.9 million compared to Q4 assay revenue of $1.6 million.\nDermTech still faces some COVID-19 headwinds in reaching out to physicians. The company's long-term growth prospects remain bright, though. DermTech continues to pick up commercial payer reimbursement for its first product, Pigmented Lesion Assay (PLA). It expects to launch an at-home genomics test that identifies ultraviolet ray damage and skin cancer risk next year.\nThe total addressable U.S. market that DermTech is targeting for all types of skin cancer is around $10 billion. With the company's market cap currently below $1.5 billion, DermTech should only have to capture a tiny sliver of this market to deliver huge returns for investors.\nGores Holdings VI\nSpecial purpose acquisition company (SPAC) stocks were wildly popular not long ago. That's changed quite a bit. Gores Holdings VI(NASDAQ:GHVI)serves as a great example: The SPAC's shares skyrocketed more than 120% year to date by mid-February but are now down over 40% from those highs.\nGores Holdings VI and spatial data company Matterport announced on Feb. 8 that they plan to merge in a deal that will take Matterport public at an equity value of around $2.9 billion. But Matterport should be able to grow much larger than that relatively quickly.\nMatterport pioneered the spatial data market a decade ago. The company's technology can create a 3D \"digital twin\" of any physical space. Consulting firmAccenturerecently picked digital twin technology asone of its top five tech trends of 2021.\nThe company already has over 250,000 customers, including 13% of the Fortune 1000. However, less than 1% of the more than 4 billion buildings across the world are currently digitized. This represents a $240 billion opportunity for Matterport. The company expects to nearly double its revenue in 2022 with growth accelerating in subsequent years.\nSkillz\nSkillz(NYSE:SKLZ)stands as the biggest loser of these three beaten-down stocks. Shares of the mobile game platform provider soared nearly 120% by early February only to give up all of those gains and then some. The stock is now down over 5% year to date.\nLike DermTech and Gores Holdings VI, Skillz was negatively impacted by the market rotation away from growth stocks. However, the company's decision to sell 17 million shares in a public offering also hurt.\nSkillz's competition-focused approach keeps users more engaged than other leading online platforms. It's also driving tremendous growth. The company's revenue nearly doubled in 2020. Skillz is especially making inroads in converting users to paying customers.\nThe mobile gaming market totaled $86 billion last year and continues to grow rapidly. Skillz should be able to increase its market share as it expands internationally and adds new genres of games to its platform. The company's multi-year agreement with the NFL could also provide a big boost.\nSkillz looks like a stock that could easily double your money and perhaps deliver much greater returns than that over the next couple of years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187057389,"gmtCreate":1623731875941,"gmtModify":1634029407764,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"She is good manz..!&nbsp;","listText":"She is good manz..!&nbsp;","text":"She is good manz..!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187057389","repostId":"1164323104","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116822235,"gmtCreate":1622790683127,"gmtModify":1634097974107,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Meme stocks are usually not for holding long time.. buy and dump type.. abit too scary for me.","listText":"Meme stocks are usually not for holding long time.. buy and dump type.. abit too scary for me.","text":"Meme stocks are usually not for holding long time.. buy and dump type.. abit too scary for me.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116822235","repostId":"2140026421","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1785,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190885883,"gmtCreate":1620611170242,"gmtModify":1634197737594,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"With such news, US stocks gonna drop drop drop... time to average down current stocks.&nbsp;","listText":"With such news, US stocks gonna drop drop drop... time to average down current stocks.&nbsp;","text":"With such news, US stocks gonna drop drop drop... time to average down current stocks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190885883","repostId":"1185146568","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":746,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346970466,"gmtCreate":1617984065055,"gmtModify":1634295362544,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"上上上!&nbsp;","listText":"上上上!&nbsp;","text":"上上上!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346970466","repostId":"1142324412","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":943,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":181586412,"gmtCreate":1623401780336,"gmtModify":1634033725259,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Totally agree with this article!&nbsp;Just like Buffer who loves saying this -\"Get rich slowly\"&nbsp;[美金]&nbsp;","listText":"Totally agree with this article!&nbsp;Just like Buffer who loves saying this -\"Get rich slowly\"&nbsp;[美金]&nbsp;","text":"Totally agree with this article! Just like Buffer who loves saying this -\"Get rich slowly\" [美金]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181586412","repostId":"2142221222","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":134370351,"gmtCreate":1622209699173,"gmtModify":1634182824078,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I think at this rate, soon it will hit another all time high.. around $40!!","listText":"I think at this rate, soon it will hit another all time high.. around $40!!","text":"I think at this rate, soon it will hit another all time high.. around $40!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134370351","repostId":"1142858927","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130008642,"gmtCreate":1621491353486,"gmtModify":1634188691595,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is Tik Tok listed? Will it be listed soon?","listText":"Is Tik Tok listed? Will it be listed soon?","text":"Is Tik Tok listed? Will it be listed soon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130008642","repostId":"2136443947","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195401716,"gmtCreate":1621305071735,"gmtModify":1634192595593,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I couldn't agree more! Go go Posh!","listText":"I couldn't agree more! Go go Posh!","text":"I couldn't agree more! Go go Posh!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195401716","repostId":"1117656381","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193776836,"gmtCreate":1620825153025,"gmtModify":1634196049199,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too much relief packages from governments, so inflation increases along with interest..&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;","listText":"Too much relief packages from governments, so inflation increases along with interest..&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;","text":"Too much relief packages from governments, so inflation increases along with interest.. [惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193776836","repostId":"1188486043","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188486043","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620824363,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188486043?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-12 20:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Is Running Hot. What It Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>通货膨胀正在升温。这对股市意味着什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188486043","media":"Barron's","summary":"April’s inflation datawas released today—and it’s running very hot. That’s no surprise despite peopl","content":"<p>April’s inflation datawas released today—and it’s running very hot. That’s no surprise despite people acting shocked by the rise in prices.</p><p><blockquote>四月份的通胀数据今天发布，而且非常火爆。尽管人们对价格上涨感到震惊，但这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation worries have been on the rise recently, with the prices of everything from food to cars to gasoline increasing. April’s consumer-price index, which rose 4.2% year over year, is unlikely to assuage those concerns.</p><p><blockquote>通胀担忧最近一直在上升，从食品到汽车再到汽油，所有东西的价格都在上涨。4月份消费者价格指数同比上涨4.2%，不太可能缓解这些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> A little bit of inflation is a good thing, a sign that the economy is operating properly. High inflation, though, eats into savings and sucks the energy out of the economy. It also forces central bankers toraise interest rates, which slows the economy and causes stock valuations to fall. That’s why the Federal Reserve wants to keep inflation running at around 2%—not too hot and not too cold.</p><p><blockquote>有一点通胀是好事，是经济正常运行的标志。然而，高通胀会侵蚀储蓄并耗尽经济的能量。它还迫使央行加息，从而减缓经济并导致股票估值下跌。这就是为什么美联储希望将通胀率保持在2%左右——既不太热也不太冷。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday’s inflation rate doubled that level year over year. It can safely be ignored, however, because the economy was falling apart in April 2020 because of Covid-19 lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>周三的通胀率同比翻了一番。然而，它可以被安全地忽略，因为由于新冠肺炎的封锁，经济在2020年4月崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p> The month-over-month change is another story. It rose 0.9% from March to April, excluding food and energy—economists like to assume people don’t drive or eat—beating forecasts for 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>环比变化是另一回事。从3月到4月，不包括食品和能源（经济学家喜欢假设人们不开车或不吃饭），它上涨了0.9%，超出了0.2%的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500slumped 0.8% on the news, but even a number this strong is unlikely to change the Fed’s plans, at least not in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>受此消息影响，标准普尔500指数下跌0.8%，但即使是如此强劲的数字也不太可能改变美联储的计划，至少在短期内不会。</blockquote></p><p> No matter what the market wants.</p><p><blockquote>不管市场想要什么。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Is Running Hot. What It Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>通货膨胀正在升温。这对股市意味着什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Is Running Hot. What It Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>通货膨胀正在升温。这对股市意味着什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-12 20:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>April’s inflation datawas released today—and it’s running very hot. That’s no surprise despite people acting shocked by the rise in prices.</p><p><blockquote>四月份的通胀数据今天发布，而且非常火爆。尽管人们对价格上涨感到震惊，但这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation worries have been on the rise recently, with the prices of everything from food to cars to gasoline increasing. April’s consumer-price index, which rose 4.2% year over year, is unlikely to assuage those concerns.</p><p><blockquote>通胀担忧最近一直在上升，从食品到汽车再到汽油，所有东西的价格都在上涨。4月份消费者价格指数同比上涨4.2%，不太可能缓解这些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> A little bit of inflation is a good thing, a sign that the economy is operating properly. High inflation, though, eats into savings and sucks the energy out of the economy. It also forces central bankers toraise interest rates, which slows the economy and causes stock valuations to fall. That’s why the Federal Reserve wants to keep inflation running at around 2%—not too hot and not too cold.</p><p><blockquote>有一点通胀是好事，是经济正常运行的标志。然而，高通胀会侵蚀储蓄并耗尽经济的能量。它还迫使央行加息，从而减缓经济并导致股票估值下跌。这就是为什么美联储希望将通胀率保持在2%左右——既不太热也不太冷。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday’s inflation rate doubled that level year over year. It can safely be ignored, however, because the economy was falling apart in April 2020 because of Covid-19 lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>周三的通胀率同比翻了一番。然而，它可以被安全地忽略，因为由于新冠肺炎的封锁，经济在2020年4月崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p> The month-over-month change is another story. It rose 0.9% from March to April, excluding food and energy—economists like to assume people don’t drive or eat—beating forecasts for 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>环比变化是另一回事。从3月到4月，不包括食品和能源（经济学家喜欢假设人们不开车或不吃饭），它上涨了0.9%，超出了0.2%的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500slumped 0.8% on the news, but even a number this strong is unlikely to change the Fed’s plans, at least not in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>受此消息影响，标准普尔500指数下跌0.8%，但即使是如此强劲的数字也不太可能改变美联储的计划，至少在短期内不会。</blockquote></p><p> No matter what the market wants.</p><p><blockquote>不管市场想要什么。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/inflation-is-running-hot-what-it-means-for-the-stock-market-51620823775?mod=mw_latestnews\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/inflation-is-running-hot-what-it-means-for-the-stock-market-51620823775?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188486043","content_text":"April’s inflation datawas released today—and it’s running very hot. That’s no surprise despite people acting shocked by the rise in prices.\nInflation worries have been on the rise recently, with the prices of everything from food to cars to gasoline increasing. April’s consumer-price index, which rose 4.2% year over year, is unlikely to assuage those concerns.\nA little bit of inflation is a good thing, a sign that the economy is operating properly. High inflation, though, eats into savings and sucks the energy out of the economy. It also forces central bankers toraise interest rates, which slows the economy and causes stock valuations to fall. That’s why the Federal Reserve wants to keep inflation running at around 2%—not too hot and not too cold.\nWednesday’s inflation rate doubled that level year over year. It can safely be ignored, however, because the economy was falling apart in April 2020 because of Covid-19 lockdowns.\nThe month-over-month change is another story. It rose 0.9% from March to April, excluding food and energy—economists like to assume people don’t drive or eat—beating forecasts for 0.2%.\nThe S&P 500slumped 0.8% on the news, but even a number this strong is unlikely to change the Fed’s plans, at least not in the short term.\nNo matter what the market wants.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":138449303,"gmtCreate":1621956302402,"gmtModify":1634185147162,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wowww.. interesting!","listText":"Wowww.. interesting!","text":"Wowww.. interesting!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138449303","repostId":"1144527778","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341884277,"gmtCreate":1617803284499,"gmtModify":1634296427328,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like i missed the boat.. :(","listText":"Looks like i missed the boat.. :(","text":"Looks like i missed the boat.. :(","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341884277","repostId":"2125740850","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343240997,"gmtCreate":1617720540119,"gmtModify":1634296910091,"author":{"id":"3578189492032448","authorId":"3578189492032448","name":"DJJJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a34f7c7af1d13e4bd21ac607b159890","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578189492032448","idStr":"3578189492032448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I don't quite get it..&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;Doesn't make sense to me[摊手]&nbsp;","listText":"I don't quite get it..&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;Doesn't make sense to me[摊手]&nbsp;","text":"I don't quite get it.. [疑问] Doesn't make sense to me[摊手]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343240997","repostId":"1101907559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101907559","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617672655,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101907559?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-06 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101907559","media":"marketwatch","summary":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management. Its reach and operating practices were","content":"<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能肯定地说，所谓的家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机从来都不完全一样。20世纪80年代末，美国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终获得了约2650亿美元的纳税人救助（按2021年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄国的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运营实践如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦·格林斯潘说，当LTCM失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何与他所感受到的恐怖相比的事情”。LTCM被认为“太大而不能倒”，他策划了对14家美国主要金融机构的救助。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构的过度杠杆化，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行再一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人前来救援。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆发，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于外行人来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思：咨询公司安永估计全球约有10,000个家族理财室，但市场研究公司Campden Research的另一项估计称，管理家族理财室的规模接近6万亿美元。鉴于这6万亿美元是基于2019年的数据，现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的基金经理</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这是潜在的危险。家族理财室通常不受监管。1940年《投资顾问法》规定，拥有15名或更少客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元正在发挥作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，它投资于什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大举押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司VIPS，-1.19%，在美国上市的中国家教公司跟谁学GSX，-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。最近股价暴跌，引发Archegos的大量抛售（约300亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道Archegos与华尔街的一些大牌合作，包括瑞士信贷集团AGCS，+1.59%，瑞银集团AGUBS，+1.01%，高盛集团Inc.GS，-1.25%，摩根士丹利MS，-0.28%，德意志银行AGDB，+0.74%，野村控股公司NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但由于家族办公室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说这里真正涉及多少资金以及市场风险有多大？我的同事Mark DeCambre上周报告称，Archegos对不良交易的真实敞口实际上可能接近1000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险的危险性</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的用武之地。随着Archegos的赌注落空，上述银行考虑到自己的损失，以保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行迅速抛售了约40亿美元的持股，而高盛和摩根士丹利据说也已平仓，这或许限制了它们的下跌空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎不是。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会还是对Archegos及其创始人Bill Hwang展开了初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors的研究主管Tom Lee是他认识的“十大最佳投资头脑”之一的评级·黄。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012年，黄禹锡的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司(Tiger Asia Management)认罪并支付了超过6000万美元的罚款，此前该公司被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄禹锡代表客户管理资金——实质上是将他踢出对冲基金行业。因此，Hwang开设了Archegos，同样，家族理财室通常不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的关注。她上周表示，需要加强对金融业这些私人角落的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新成立了一个工作组，以帮助各机构更好地“共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯（Abe Lincoln）的话，家族办公室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在一个比以往任何时候都更加交织在一起的全球金融体系中，很大程度上被允许在阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪经营，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的倒闭可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但谁能说其他数千家家族理财室正在用他们的数万亿美元做什么，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-06 09:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能肯定地说，所谓的家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机从来都不完全一样。20世纪80年代末，美国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终获得了约2650亿美元的纳税人救助（按2021年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄国的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运营实践如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦·格林斯潘说，当LTCM失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何与他所感受到的恐怖相比的事情”。LTCM被认为“太大而不能倒”，他策划了对14家美国主要金融机构的救助。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构的过度杠杆化，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行再一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人前来救援。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆发，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于外行人来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思：咨询公司安永估计全球约有10,000个家族理财室，但市场研究公司Campden Research的另一项估计称，管理家族理财室的规模接近6万亿美元。鉴于这6万亿美元是基于2019年的数据，现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的基金经理</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这是潜在的危险。家族理财室通常不受监管。1940年《投资顾问法》规定，拥有15名或更少客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元正在发挥作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，它投资于什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大举押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司VIPS，-1.19%，在美国上市的中国家教公司跟谁学GSX，-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。最近股价暴跌，引发Archegos的大量抛售（约300亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道Archegos与华尔街的一些大牌合作，包括瑞士信贷集团AGCS，+1.59%，瑞银集团AGUBS，+1.01%，高盛集团Inc.GS，-1.25%，摩根士丹利MS，-0.28%，德意志银行AGDB，+0.74%，野村控股公司NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但由于家族办公室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说这里真正涉及多少资金以及市场风险有多大？我的同事Mark DeCambre上周报告称，Archegos对不良交易的真实敞口实际上可能接近1000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险的危险性</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的用武之地。随着Archegos的赌注落空，上述银行考虑到自己的损失，以保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行迅速抛售了约40亿美元的持股，而高盛和摩根士丹利据说也已平仓，这或许限制了它们的下跌空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎不是。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会还是对Archegos及其创始人Bill Hwang展开了初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors的研究主管Tom Lee是他认识的“十大最佳投资头脑”之一的评级·黄。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012年，黄禹锡的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司(Tiger Asia Management)认罪并支付了超过6000万美元的罚款，此前该公司被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄禹锡代表客户管理资金——实质上是将他踢出对冲基金行业。因此，Hwang开设了Archegos，同样，家族理财室通常不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的关注。她上周表示，需要加强对金融业这些私人角落的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新成立了一个工作组，以帮助各机构更好地“共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯（Abe Lincoln）的话，家族办公室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在一个比以往任何时候都更加交织在一起的全球金融体系中，很大程度上被允许在阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪经营，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的倒闭可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但谁能说其他数千家家族理财室正在用他们的数万亿美元做什么，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101907559","content_text":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.\nIn 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.\nExactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.\nThe trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?\nA family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.\nUnregulated money managers\nHere’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)\nThis appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.\nThe problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.\nBut since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.\nDanger of counterparty risk\nThis is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.\nSo is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.\nOne peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.\nBut federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.\nYellen on the case\nThis issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”\nMost financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.\nThe Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}