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ElginLow

ElginLow

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2021-10-06

Man

Most of Semiconductor stocks, big tech stocks fell in premarket trading<blockquote>大多数半导体股、大型科技股在盘前交易中下跌</blockquote>

2021-09-02

Nice

Moderna Seeks FDA Approval For COVID-19 Booster Shot<blockquote>Moderna 寻求 FDA 批准 COVID-19 加强注射</blockquote>

2021-08-28

Nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-26

:)

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-18

:/

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-03

Haha

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-02

Woo

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-29

Wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-23

Wow

Microsoft Stock Hits New High as Street Raises Price Targets Ahead of Earnings<blockquote>华尔街在财报公布前上调目标价，微软股价创下新高</blockquote>

2021-07-22

Nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-19

:)

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-13

[呆住] [呆住]

Consumer price index increases 5.4% in June vs. 5% estimate<blockquote>6 月份消费者价格指数上涨 5.4%，而预期为 5%</blockquote>

2021-07-07

[开心]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-06

[开心]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-01

[财迷]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-29

[呆住]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-28

[财迷]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-25

[微笑]

Why Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票落入福特和通用汽车的尘埃中</blockquote>

2021-06-24

Nice!

The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转--这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>

2021-06-23

[微笑]

抱歉，原内容已删除

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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMost of Semiconductor stocks, big tech stocks fell in premarket trading<blockquote>大多数半导体股、大型科技股在盘前交易中下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-06 16:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Oct 6)&nbsp;Most of Semiconductor stocks,&nbsp;big&nbsp;tech&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;fell in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>（10月6日）大多数半导体股、大型科技股在盘前交易中下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e606408ac4b36def92187ad82a44f86\" tg-width=\"334\" tg-height=\"328\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b77ce5541cff358d6075503a4af8047\" tg-width=\"334\" tg-height=\"402\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178017220","content_text":"(Oct 6) Most of Semiconductor stocks, big tech stocks fell in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":812850874,"gmtCreate":1630575675198,"gmtModify":1631890511573,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812850874","repostId":"1188874540","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188874540","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630571264,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1188874540?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-02 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna Seeks FDA Approval For COVID-19 Booster Shot<blockquote>Moderna 寻求 FDA 批准 COVID-19 加强注射</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188874540","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Moderna Inc is pushing ahead for authorization of a third shot of its COVID-19 vaccine as a booster.","content":"<p><div> Moderna Inc is pushing ahead for authorization of a third shot of its COVID-19 vaccine as a booster. What Happened:The Massachusetts-based company said in a statement Wednesday that it had initiated ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Moderna Inc 正在推动授权其第三剂 COVID-19 疫苗作为加强剂。发生了什么：这家总部位于马萨诸塞州的公司周三在一份声明中表示，它已经启动了……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/09/22772682/moderna-seeks-fda-approval-for-covid-19-booster-shot\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/09/22772682/moderna-seeks-fda-approval-for-covid-19-booster-shot\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna Seeks FDA Approval For COVID-19 Booster Shot<blockquote>Moderna 寻求 FDA 批准 COVID-19 加强注射</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna Seeks FDA Approval For COVID-19 Booster Shot<blockquote>Moderna 寻求 FDA 批准 COVID-19 加强注射</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-02 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Moderna Inc is pushing ahead for authorization of a third shot of its COVID-19 vaccine as a booster. What Happened:The Massachusetts-based company said in a statement Wednesday that it had initiated ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Moderna Inc 正在推动授权其第三剂 COVID-19 疫苗作为加强剂。发生了什么：这家总部位于马萨诸塞州的公司周三在一份声明中表示，它已经启动了……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/09/22772682/moderna-seeks-fda-approval-for-covid-19-booster-shot\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/09/22772682/moderna-seeks-fda-approval-for-covid-19-booster-shot\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/09/22772682/moderna-seeks-fda-approval-for-covid-19-booster-shot\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/09/22772682/moderna-seeks-fda-approval-for-covid-19-booster-shot","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188874540","content_text":"Moderna Inc is pushing ahead for authorization of a third shot of its COVID-19 vaccine as a booster.\nWhat Happened:The Massachusetts-based company said in a statement Wednesday that it had initiated its submission to the U.S.Food and Drug Administration for evaluation of a booster dose of its vaccine at the 50 microgram dose level.\n“Our submission is supported by data generated with the 50 µg dose of our COVID-19 vaccine, which shows robust antibody responses against the Delta variant,” said Stéphane Bancel, Chief Executive Officer of Moderna.\nThe usual dose for Moderna’s vaccinecontains100 micrograms of mRNA per shot.\nWhy It Matters:Moderna said it expects to submit data to the European Medicines Agency(EMA) and other regulatory authorities globally in the “coming days.”\nIn April, Moderna posted an update to its vaccine program, which included an examination of the vaccine’s effectiveness at the six-month mark.\nAt the time, the company said that its COVID-19 vaccine provided over 90% effectiveness against all cases after the second dose.\nModerna said on Wednesday that the Phase 2 study of mRNA-1273 was amended to offer a booster dose at the 50 microgram dose to interested participants 6 months after their second dose.\n“Neutralizing antibody titers had waned significantly prior to boosting at approximately 6 months. A booster dose of mRNA-1273 at the 50 µg dose level boosted neutralizing titers significantly above the Phase 3 benchmark,” the company said.\nLast month, the FDA approved a booster dose of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines for immunocompromised individuals who have already received two shots citing the need for extra protection.\nOn Monday, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention scientist Sara Oliver said at an advisory group meeting thatdata required to evaluate booster shots for the general population is limited.\nPrice Action:On Wednesday, Moderna shares closed nearly 3.5% higher at $389.94 in the regular session and rose 0.81% higher to $393.10 in the after-hours 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08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft Stock Hits New High as Street Raises Price Targets Ahead of Earnings<blockquote>华尔街在财报公布前上调目标价，微软股价创下新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136017934","media":"Barrons","summary":"Amid growing signs of an acceleration of corporate IT spending, Wall Street analysts are ratcheting ","content":"<p>Amid growing signs of an acceleration of corporate IT spending, Wall Street analysts are ratcheting up expectations for Microsoft, which is due to report fiscal-fourth-quarter results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的迹象表明企业 IT 支出加速，华尔街分析师正在提高对微软的预期，该公司将于周二公布第四财季业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The bullish sentiment has driven Microsoft shares (ticker: MSFT) to a record high. The stock is up 1.7%, at $286.11, in recent trading. It is up nearly 29% year to date, driving the company’s market cap to $2.1 trillion, trailing only Apple (AAPL) at $2.5 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>看涨情绪推动微软股价（股票代码：MSFT）创下历史新高。该股在最近的交易中上涨了 1.7%，至 286.11 美元。今年迄今为止，该公司的市值已上涨近 29%，达到 2.1 万亿美元，仅次于苹果（AAPL）的 2.5 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Street consensus calls for Microsoft revenue of $44.1 billion and profits of $1.90 a share. Microsoft provides guidance for each of its three reporting segments; at the top of the projected range for each, revenues would be $44.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街一致认为微软营收为 441 亿美元，每股利润为 1.90 美元。微软为其三个报告分部中的每一个提供指导；在预计范围的顶部，收入将达到 445 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft forecast June-quarter revenue from its Productivity and Business Processes segment (which includes Office) of $13.8 billion to $14.05 billion; for Intelligent Cloud (including Azure), $16.2 billion to $16.45 billion; and for More Personal Computing (including Windows and Xbox), $13.6 billion to $14 billion.</p><p><blockquote>微软预计 6 月季度生产力和业务流程部门（包括 Office）的收入为 138 亿至 140.5 亿美元；对于智能云（包括Azure），162亿美元至164.5亿美元；而对于更多的个人计算（包括Windows和Xbox），136亿至140亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For the September quarter, the Street consensus calls for revenue of $42.5 billion and profits of $1.95 a share.</p><p><blockquote>9 月份季度，华尔街一致评级收入为 425 亿美元，每股利润为 1.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s software analysts have been busily surveying Microsoft’s partners and resellers for clues to the quarter, and they’re all finding reasons for optimism.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的软件分析师们一直在忙着调查微软的合作伙伴和经销商，寻找本季度的线索，他们都在寻找乐观的理由。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup analyst Tyler Radke on Thursday repeated his Buy rating on Microsoft shares, jumping his target price to a Street-high $378 from $310, after a survey of IT resellers. His new target implies a 35% upside from Wednesday’s closing level. Radke expects a strong finish to the company’s fiscal year, driven by recovering IT budgets, reacceleration in Azure, and continued strength in personal computer sales. He writes that Microsoft remains his favorite pick in the megacap software sector, with “multiple levers” for double-digit growth.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团分析师泰勒·拉德克 (Tyler Radke) 周四重申了对微软股票的买入评级，在对 IT 经销商进行调查后，将目标价从 310 美元上调至华尔街高点 378 美元。他的新目标意味着比周三收盘价上涨 35%。拉德克预计，在 IT 预算恢复、Azure 业务重新加速以及个人电脑销售持续强劲的推动下，公司本财年将取得强劲收官。他写道，微软仍然是他在大型软件行业最喜欢的选择，拥有实现两位数增长的 “多重杠杆 ”。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities analyst Brad Sills likewise reiterates a Buy rating after a series of “channel checks,” while upping his target to $325 from $305. He thinks revenue could beat consensus by 2% to 3%, driven by strength in Azure and Office 365 demand. Sills believes Azure can continue to grow at better than 50%, following 59% growth in the March quarter. (He notes that the company gets a relatively easy comparison on Azure, with 47% growth in the year-earlier quarter.)</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券分析师布拉德-西尔斯（Brad Sills）在经过一系列 “渠道检查 ”后同样重申了买入评级，同时将目标价从 305 美元上调至 325 美元。他认为，在 Azure 和 Office 365 需求强劲的推动下，收入可能会比市场预期高出 2% 至 3%。Sills 认为，继 3 月份季度增长 59% 之后，Azure 可以继续以超过 50% 的速度增长。（他指出，该公司在 Azure 上的比较相对容易，去年同期增长了 47%。）</blockquote></p><p> KeyBanc analyst Michael Turits maintains his Overweight rating on Microsoft, while lifting his target to $330 from $305. His call is part of a broadly optimistic take on June quarter IT spending based on a reseller survey. He says respondents now see 5.6% growth in 2021 IT budgets, up from 4.6% in the first-quarter version of the same survey. Turits writes that the survey found Microsoft’s strategic importance is increasing. He also raised targets on Arista Networks (ANET), Commvault (CVLT), Fortinet (FTNT), Okta (OKTA), Oracle (ORCL), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), and Vonage Holdings (VG).</p><p><blockquote>KeyBanc 分析师 Michael Turits 维持微软的跑赢大盘评级，同时将目标评级从 305 美元上调至 330 美元。根据经销商调查，他的看涨期权是对 6 月份季度 IT 支出普遍乐观看法的一部分。他表示，受访者现在预计 2021 年 IT 预算将增长 5.6%，高于同一调查第一季度版本的 4.6%。图里茨写道，调查发现微软的战略重要性正在增加。他还提出了 Arista Networks (ANET)、Commvault (CVLT)、Fortinet (FTNT)、Okta (OKTA)、Oracle (ORCL)、Palo Alto Networks (PANW) 和 Vonage Holdings (VG) 的目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft Stock Hits New High as Street Raises Price Targets Ahead of Earnings<blockquote>华尔街在财报公布前上调目标价，微软股价创下新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Stock Hits New High as Street Raises Price Targets Ahead of Earnings<blockquote>华尔街在财报公布前上调目标价，微软股价创下新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-23 08:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amid growing signs of an acceleration of corporate IT spending, Wall Street analysts are ratcheting up expectations for Microsoft, which is due to report fiscal-fourth-quarter results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的迹象表明企业 IT 支出加速，华尔街分析师正在提高对微软的预期，该公司将于周二公布第四财季业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The bullish sentiment has driven Microsoft shares (ticker: MSFT) to a record high. The stock is up 1.7%, at $286.11, in recent trading. It is up nearly 29% year to date, driving the company’s market cap to $2.1 trillion, trailing only Apple (AAPL) at $2.5 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>看涨情绪推动微软股价（股票代码：MSFT）创下历史新高。该股在最近的交易中上涨了 1.7%，至 286.11 美元。今年迄今为止，该公司的市值已上涨近 29%，达到 2.1 万亿美元，仅次于苹果（AAPL）的 2.5 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Street consensus calls for Microsoft revenue of $44.1 billion and profits of $1.90 a share. Microsoft provides guidance for each of its three reporting segments; at the top of the projected range for each, revenues would be $44.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街一致认为微软营收为 441 亿美元，每股利润为 1.90 美元。微软为其三个报告分部中的每一个提供指导；在预计范围的顶部，收入将达到 445 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft forecast June-quarter revenue from its Productivity and Business Processes segment (which includes Office) of $13.8 billion to $14.05 billion; for Intelligent Cloud (including Azure), $16.2 billion to $16.45 billion; and for More Personal Computing (including Windows and Xbox), $13.6 billion to $14 billion.</p><p><blockquote>微软预计 6 月季度生产力和业务流程部门（包括 Office）的收入为 138 亿至 140.5 亿美元；对于智能云（包括Azure），162亿美元至164.5亿美元；而对于更多的个人计算（包括Windows和Xbox），136亿至140亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For the September quarter, the Street consensus calls for revenue of $42.5 billion and profits of $1.95 a share.</p><p><blockquote>9 月份季度，华尔街一致评级收入为 425 亿美元，每股利润为 1.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s software analysts have been busily surveying Microsoft’s partners and resellers for clues to the quarter, and they’re all finding reasons for optimism.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的软件分析师们一直在忙着调查微软的合作伙伴和经销商，寻找本季度的线索，他们都在寻找乐观的理由。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup analyst Tyler Radke on Thursday repeated his Buy rating on Microsoft shares, jumping his target price to a Street-high $378 from $310, after a survey of IT resellers. His new target implies a 35% upside from Wednesday’s closing level. Radke expects a strong finish to the company’s fiscal year, driven by recovering IT budgets, reacceleration in Azure, and continued strength in personal computer sales. He writes that Microsoft remains his favorite pick in the megacap software sector, with “multiple levers” for double-digit growth.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团分析师泰勒·拉德克 (Tyler Radke) 周四重申了对微软股票的买入评级，在对 IT 经销商进行调查后，将目标价从 310 美元上调至华尔街高点 378 美元。他的新目标意味着比周三收盘价上涨 35%。拉德克预计，在 IT 预算恢复、Azure 业务重新加速以及个人电脑销售持续强劲的推动下，公司本财年将取得强劲收官。他写道，微软仍然是他在大型软件行业最喜欢的选择，拥有实现两位数增长的 “多重杠杆 ”。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities analyst Brad Sills likewise reiterates a Buy rating after a series of “channel checks,” while upping his target to $325 from $305. He thinks revenue could beat consensus by 2% to 3%, driven by strength in Azure and Office 365 demand. Sills believes Azure can continue to grow at better than 50%, following 59% growth in the March quarter. (He notes that the company gets a relatively easy comparison on Azure, with 47% growth in the year-earlier quarter.)</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券分析师布拉德-西尔斯（Brad Sills）在经过一系列 “渠道检查 ”后同样重申了买入评级，同时将目标价从 305 美元上调至 325 美元。他认为，在 Azure 和 Office 365 需求强劲的推动下，收入可能会比市场预期高出 2% 至 3%。Sills 认为，继 3 月份季度增长 59% 之后，Azure 可以继续以超过 50% 的速度增长。（他指出，该公司在 Azure 上的比较相对容易，去年同期增长了 47%。）</blockquote></p><p> KeyBanc analyst Michael Turits maintains his Overweight rating on Microsoft, while lifting his target to $330 from $305. His call is part of a broadly optimistic take on June quarter IT spending based on a reseller survey. He says respondents now see 5.6% growth in 2021 IT budgets, up from 4.6% in the first-quarter version of the same survey. Turits writes that the survey found Microsoft’s strategic importance is increasing. He also raised targets on Arista Networks (ANET), Commvault (CVLT), Fortinet (FTNT), Okta (OKTA), Oracle (ORCL), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), and Vonage Holdings (VG).</p><p><blockquote>KeyBanc 分析师 Michael Turits 维持微软的跑赢大盘评级，同时将目标评级从 305 美元上调至 330 美元。根据经销商调查，他的看涨期权是对 6 月份季度 IT 支出普遍乐观看法的一部分。他表示，受访者现在预计 2021 年 IT 预算将增长 5.6%，高于同一调查第一季度版本的 4.6%。图里茨写道，调查发现微软的战略重要性正在增加。他还提出了 Arista Networks (ANET)、Commvault (CVLT)、Fortinet (FTNT)、Okta (OKTA)、Oracle (ORCL)、Palo Alto Networks (PANW) 和 Vonage Holdings (VG) 的目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-stock-hits-new-high-as-street-raises-price-targets-ahead-of-earnings-51626965343?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-stock-hits-new-high-as-street-raises-price-targets-ahead-of-earnings-51626965343?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136017934","content_text":"Amid growing signs of an acceleration of corporate IT spending, Wall Street analysts are ratcheting up expectations for Microsoft, which is due to report fiscal-fourth-quarter results on Tuesday.\nThe bullish sentiment has driven Microsoft shares (ticker: MSFT) to a record high. The stock is up 1.7%, at $286.11, in recent trading. It is up nearly 29% year to date, driving the company’s market cap to $2.1 trillion, trailing only Apple (AAPL) at $2.5 trillion.\nStreet consensus calls for Microsoft revenue of $44.1 billion and profits of $1.90 a share. Microsoft provides guidance for each of its three reporting segments; at the top of the projected range for each, revenues would be $44.5 billion.\nMicrosoft forecast June-quarter revenue from its Productivity and Business Processes segment (which includes Office) of $13.8 billion to $14.05 billion; for Intelligent Cloud (including Azure), $16.2 billion to $16.45 billion; and for More Personal Computing (including Windows and Xbox), $13.6 billion to $14 billion.\nFor the September quarter, the Street consensus calls for revenue of $42.5 billion and profits of $1.95 a share.\nWall Street’s software analysts have been busily surveying Microsoft’s partners and resellers for clues to the quarter, and they’re all finding reasons for optimism.\nCitigroup analyst Tyler Radke on Thursday repeated his Buy rating on Microsoft shares, jumping his target price to a Street-high $378 from $310, after a survey of IT resellers. His new target implies a 35% upside from Wednesday’s closing level. Radke expects a strong finish to the company’s fiscal year, driven by recovering IT budgets, reacceleration in Azure, and continued strength in personal computer sales. He writes that Microsoft remains his favorite pick in the megacap software sector, with “multiple levers” for double-digit growth.\nBofA Securities analyst Brad Sills likewise reiterates a Buy rating after a series of “channel checks,” while upping his target to $325 from $305. He thinks revenue could beat consensus by 2% to 3%, driven by strength in Azure and Office 365 demand. Sills believes Azure can continue to grow at better than 50%, following 59% growth in the March quarter. (He notes that the company gets a relatively easy comparison on Azure, with 47% growth in the year-earlier quarter.)\nKeyBanc analyst Michael Turits maintains his Overweight rating on Microsoft, while lifting his target to $330 from $305. His call is part of a broadly optimistic take on June quarter IT spending based on a reseller survey. He says respondents now see 5.6% growth in 2021 IT budgets, up from 4.6% in the first-quarter version of the same survey. Turits writes that the survey found Microsoft’s strategic importance is increasing. He also raised targets on Arista Networks (ANET), Commvault (CVLT), Fortinet (FTNT), Okta (OKTA), Oracle (ORCL), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), and Vonage Holdings (VG).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172806191,"gmtCreate":1626947938213,"gmtModify":1631890511597,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172806191","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173514637,"gmtCreate":1626669613129,"gmtModify":1631890511600,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":":)&nbsp;","listText":":)&nbsp;","text":":)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173514637","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142757160,"gmtCreate":1626179793050,"gmtModify":1631893622112,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[呆住]&nbsp;[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"[呆住]&nbsp;[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"[呆住] [呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142757160","repostId":"1162410134","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162410134","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626179564,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1162410134?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 20:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Consumer price index increases 5.4% in June vs. 5% estimate<blockquote>6 月份消费者价格指数上涨 5.4%，而预期为 5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162410134","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Inflation continued its rapid surge in June, rising its fastest pace in nearly 13 years, the Labor D","content":"<p>Inflation continued its rapid surge in June, rising its fastest pace in nearly 13 years, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周二报告称，6 月份通胀继续快速飙升，以近 13 年来最快的速度上升。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the largest jump since just before the financial crisis. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a 5% gain.</p><p><blockquote>消费者价格指数同比上涨5.4%，为金融危机前以来的最大涨幅。道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计股价将上涨 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Stripping out volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI rose 4.5%, the sharpest move for that measure since September 1991 and well above the estimate of 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格，核心 CPI 上涨 4.5%，为 1991 年 9 月以来该指标的最大涨幅，远高于 3.8% 的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been rising due to a number of factors, including supply chain bottlenecks, extraordinarily high demand as the Covid-19 pandemic eases, and year-over-year comparisons to a time when the economy was struggling to reopen in the early months of the crisis.</p><p><blockquote>由于多种因素，通货膨胀一直在上升，包括供应链瓶颈、随着 Covid-19 大流行的缓解而异常高的需求，以及与危机最初几个月经济难以重新开放的时期的同比相比。</blockquote></p><p> Policymakers at the Federal Reserve and the White House expect the current pressures to begin to ease, though central bank officials have acknowledged that inflation is stronger and perhaps more durable than they had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>美联储和白宫的政策制定者预计当前的压力将开始缓解，尽管央行官员已经承认通胀比他们预期的更强劲，也可能更持久。</blockquote></p><p> Much of the price pressures have come from sectors particularly influenced by the shutdown – used car prices, air fares and transportation costs, to name three.</p><p><blockquote>大部分价格压力来自受停工影响特别大的行业——二手车价格、机票和运输成本等等。</blockquote></p><p> However, housing and shelter prices continue to climb, adding fuel to the belief that inflation could stick around for a while.</p><p><blockquote>然而，住房和住房价格继续攀升，加剧了通货膨胀可能会持续一段时间的信念。</blockquote></p><p> Consumers see prices overall up 4.8% in the next 12 months, according to a New York Fed survey released Monday, though a separate survey from Bank of America out Tuesday indicated that</p><p><blockquote>纽约联储周一发布的一项调查显示，消费者预计未来 12 个月物价总体将上涨 4.8%，不过美国银行周二发布的另一项调查显示，</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Consumer price index increases 5.4% in June vs. 5% estimate<blockquote>6 月份消费者价格指数上涨 5.4%，而预期为 5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nConsumer price index increases 5.4% in June vs. 5% estimate<blockquote>6 月份消费者价格指数上涨 5.4%，而预期为 5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-13 20:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Inflation continued its rapid surge in June, rising its fastest pace in nearly 13 years, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周二报告称，6 月份通胀继续快速飙升，以近 13 年来最快的速度上升。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the largest jump since just before the financial crisis. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a 5% gain.</p><p><blockquote>消费者价格指数同比上涨5.4%，为金融危机前以来的最大涨幅。道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计股价将上涨 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Stripping out volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI rose 4.5%, the sharpest move for that measure since September 1991 and well above the estimate of 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格，核心 CPI 上涨 4.5%，为 1991 年 9 月以来该指标的最大涨幅，远高于 3.8% 的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been rising due to a number of factors, including supply chain bottlenecks, extraordinarily high demand as the Covid-19 pandemic eases, and year-over-year comparisons to a time when the economy was struggling to reopen in the early months of the crisis.</p><p><blockquote>由于多种因素，通货膨胀一直在上升，包括供应链瓶颈、随着 Covid-19 大流行的缓解而异常高的需求，以及与危机最初几个月经济难以重新开放的时期的同比相比。</blockquote></p><p> Policymakers at the Federal Reserve and the White House expect the current pressures to begin to ease, though central bank officials have acknowledged that inflation is stronger and perhaps more durable than they had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>美联储和白宫的政策制定者预计当前的压力将开始缓解，尽管央行官员已经承认通胀比他们预期的更强劲，也可能更持久。</blockquote></p><p> Much of the price pressures have come from sectors particularly influenced by the shutdown – used car prices, air fares and transportation costs, to name three.</p><p><blockquote>大部分价格压力来自受停工影响特别大的行业——二手车价格、机票和运输成本等等。</blockquote></p><p> However, housing and shelter prices continue to climb, adding fuel to the belief that inflation could stick around for a while.</p><p><blockquote>然而，住房和住房价格继续攀升，加剧了通货膨胀可能会持续一段时间的信念。</blockquote></p><p> Consumers see prices overall up 4.8% in the next 12 months, according to a New York Fed survey released Monday, though a separate survey from Bank of America out Tuesday indicated that</p><p><blockquote>纽约联储周一发布的一项调查显示，消费者预计未来 12 个月物价总体将上涨 4.8%，不过美国银行周二发布的另一项调查显示，</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162410134","content_text":"Inflation continued its rapid surge in June, rising its fastest pace in nearly 13 years, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.\nThe consumer price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the largest jump since just before the financial crisis. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a 5% gain.\nStripping out volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI rose 4.5%, the sharpest move for that measure since September 1991 and well above the estimate of 3.8%.\nInflation has been rising due to a number of factors, including supply chain bottlenecks, extraordinarily high demand as the Covid-19 pandemic eases, and year-over-year comparisons to a time when the economy was struggling to reopen in the early months of the crisis.\nPolicymakers at the Federal Reserve and the White House expect the current pressures to begin to ease, though central bank officials have acknowledged that inflation is stronger and perhaps more durable than they had anticipated.\nMuch of the price pressures have come from sectors particularly influenced by the shutdown – used car prices, air fares and transportation costs, to name three.\nHowever, housing and shelter prices continue to climb, adding fuel to the belief that inflation could stick around for a while.\nConsumers see prices overall up 4.8% in the next 12 months, according to a New York Fed survey released Monday, though a separate survey from Bank of America out Tuesday indicated that","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":140855405,"gmtCreate":1625648686307,"gmtModify":1631893622120,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140855405","repostId":"1127037929","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":154205496,"gmtCreate":1625528611815,"gmtModify":1631893622136,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154205496","repostId":"1116255026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":158647701,"gmtCreate":1625149209103,"gmtModify":1631893622145,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158647701","repostId":"2148840288","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":159523758,"gmtCreate":1624974838574,"gmtModify":1631893622160,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"[呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159523758","repostId":"2146388793","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1015,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":150972825,"gmtCreate":1624885313367,"gmtModify":1631893622169,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150972825","repostId":"1118489554","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":125012695,"gmtCreate":1624636536117,"gmtModify":1631893622184,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125012695","repostId":"1116076888","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116076888","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624612129,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116076888?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 17:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票落入福特和通用汽车的尘埃中</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116076888","media":"cnn","summary":"New York Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.Tesla  shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand thei","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&amp;P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN Business）特斯拉在 2020 年表现出色：这家电动汽车制造商被纳入标普500，股价飙升 743%。但最近一些投资者已经放弃了该公司。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉 (TSLA) 股价比今年早些时候创下的历史高点低了近 25%，2021 年迄今已下跌 2%——此时传统汽车制造商正在加大电动汽车雄心，股价正在飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Ford (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&amp;P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>福特 (F) 股价上涨近 75%，跻身 2021 年标普500前 10 名。该公司上个月推出了电动 F-150 Lightning 卡车，并告诉投资者，目前预计到 2030 年电动汽车将占全球销量的 40%。</blockquote></p><p> And GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车 (GM) 也上涨了 40% 以上。这家雪佛兰、别克和凯迪拉克制造商本月表示，计划到 2025 年在电动汽车上花费高达 350 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎对这些传统的三大汽车制造商有点着迷，因为他们希望迅速扩大电动汽车产品，以赶上特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉仍在快速增长。分析师预计今年每股收益将翻一番以上，未来几年平均每年增长约 45%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉是华尔街两极分化最严重的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> According to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.</p><p><blockquote>据 Refinitiv 称，14 位分析师将该股评级为“买入”，13 位分析师将其评级为“持有”，10 位分析师将其评级为“卖出”。相比之下，通用汽车有 20 个买入评级，2 个持有评级，没有卖出评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怀疑论者对特斯拉和马斯克有很多疑问</b></blockquote></p><p> The consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票的一致目标价为 652 美元，比当前价格低约 6%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的批评者有一堆担忧要指出。《大空头》中一位著名的卖空者正在做空该公司。在长期高管杰罗姆·吉伦本月早些时候突然离职后，人们对特斯拉管理层的担忧油然而生，特别是因为首席执行官埃隆·马斯克也忙于运营 SpaceX。</blockquote></p><p> And Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克对比特币和狗狗币的痴迷，以及主持《周六夜现场》和不断发推文等其他课外活动，可能会让一些投资者和分析师望而却步。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，不可否认的是，该公司拥有大量狂热的粉丝，仅在本周，其车辆就占据了大量正面头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.</p><p><blockquote>例如，Cars.com (CARS) 本周早些时候宣布，特斯拉的 Model 3 在其美国制造指数中排名第一，该指数根据国内工厂就业、制造工厂和零部件采购等因素衡量汽车对美国经济的贡献程度。</blockquote></p><p> The Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.</p><p><blockquote>Model 3 击败福特野马登顶，特斯拉 Model Y 也位居榜单第三。消息传出后，特斯拉股价周三上涨超过 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克前一天晚上在推特上表示，如果 SpaceX 最终决定在几年内剥离卫星互联网服务，特斯拉投资者可能会获得购买 SpaceX 旗下 Starlink 股票的优惠待遇，该股周四进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> So even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>因此，尽管特斯拉的股价今年仍处于亏损状态，但在过去五天飙升超过 12% 后，该股已迅速收复 2021 年的大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is nothing if not volatile.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉除了变化无常之外什么都不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票落入福特和通用汽车的尘埃中</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票落入福特和通用汽车的尘埃中</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-25 17:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&amp;P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN Business）特斯拉在 2020 年表现出色：这家电动汽车制造商被纳入标普500，股价飙升 743%。但最近一些投资者已经放弃了该公司。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉 (TSLA) 股价比今年早些时候创下的历史高点低了近 25%，2021 年迄今已下跌 2%——此时传统汽车制造商正在加大电动汽车雄心，股价正在飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Ford (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&amp;P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>福特 (F) 股价上涨近 75%，跻身 2021 年标普500前 10 名。该公司上个月推出了电动 F-150 Lightning 卡车，并告诉投资者，目前预计到 2030 年电动汽车将占全球销量的 40%。</blockquote></p><p> And GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车 (GM) 也上涨了 40% 以上。这家雪佛兰、别克和凯迪拉克制造商本月表示，计划到 2025 年在电动汽车上花费高达 350 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎对这些传统的三大汽车制造商有点着迷，因为他们希望迅速扩大电动汽车产品，以赶上特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉仍在快速增长。分析师预计今年每股收益将翻一番以上，未来几年平均每年增长约 45%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉是华尔街两极分化最严重的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> According to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.</p><p><blockquote>据 Refinitiv 称，14 位分析师将该股评级为“买入”，13 位分析师将其评级为“持有”，10 位分析师将其评级为“卖出”。相比之下，通用汽车有 20 个买入评级，2 个持有评级，没有卖出评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怀疑论者对特斯拉和马斯克有很多疑问</b></blockquote></p><p> The consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票的一致目标价为 652 美元，比当前价格低约 6%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的批评者有一堆担忧要指出。《大空头》中一位著名的卖空者正在做空该公司。在长期高管杰罗姆·吉伦本月早些时候突然离职后，人们对特斯拉管理层的担忧油然而生，特别是因为首席执行官埃隆·马斯克也忙于运营 SpaceX。</blockquote></p><p> And Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克对比特币和狗狗币的痴迷，以及主持《周六夜现场》和不断发推文等其他课外活动，可能会让一些投资者和分析师望而却步。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，不可否认的是，该公司拥有大量狂热的粉丝，仅在本周，其车辆就占据了大量正面头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.</p><p><blockquote>例如，Cars.com (CARS) 本周早些时候宣布，特斯拉的 Model 3 在其美国制造指数中排名第一，该指数根据国内工厂就业、制造工厂和零部件采购等因素衡量汽车对美国经济的贡献程度。</blockquote></p><p> The Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.</p><p><blockquote>Model 3 击败福特野马登顶，特斯拉 Model Y 也位居榜单第三。消息传出后，特斯拉股价周三上涨超过 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克前一天晚上在推特上表示，如果 SpaceX 最终决定在几年内剥离卫星互联网服务，特斯拉投资者可能会获得购买 SpaceX 旗下 Starlink 股票的优惠待遇，该股周四进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> So even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>因此，尽管特斯拉的股价今年仍处于亏损状态，但在过去五天飙升超过 12% 后，该股已迅速收复 2021 年的大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is nothing if not volatile.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉除了变化无常之外什么都不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/24/investing/tesla-stock-ford-gm/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/24/investing/tesla-stock-ford-gm/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116076888","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.\nTesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.\nFord (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.\nAnd GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.\nIt seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.\nTesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.\nYet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.\nAccording to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.\nSkeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk\nThe consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.\nTesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.\nAnd Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.\nStill, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.\nFor example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.\nThe Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.\nThe stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.\nSo even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.\nTesla is nothing if not volatile.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":126913131,"gmtCreate":1624541929623,"gmtModify":1631893622196,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice!&nbsp;","listText":"Nice!&nbsp;","text":"Nice!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126913131","repostId":"1187819280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187819280","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624529642,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1187819280?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转--这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187819280","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pan","content":"<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫情大趋势结束的 5 个原因。</b>COVID-19 大流行期间最大的投资故事之一是以 “郊区避难所 ”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装卖场再到家具家居用品商家，不少顶尖表现者都符合这一口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的先锋非必需消费品指数基金 ETF VCR 为例，该基金上涨 0.66%，从 2020 年 3 月到 2021 年 3 月飙升 90% 以上。这得益于家装股 Lowe's LOW（-0.30%）和 Home Depot HD（-0.33%）等成分股，以及 TJX TJX（-0.08%）等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名字的表现开始落后。事实上，自 4 月 1 日以来，我们已经看到这三只股票都小幅飘红，即使标普500 SPX 指数同期上涨了约 6%，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些恐惧可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的家居类股票即将 “大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些大牌 “郊区 ”行业仍相对稳定，但边缘地区已经出现了麻烦的迹象。Century Communities CCS（-0.34%）和Dream Finders Homes DFH（-2.55%）是两家中型单户住宅建筑商，其股价在过去一个月暴跌了两位数。在家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR（-0.51%）和百货公司Nordstrom JWN（+2.03%）从春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五个主要原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们注意到了逾期的项目，并利用能够轻松地与承包商会面的优势。但在很多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑房主正在进行的购买类型。水龙头、橱柜甚至马桶都是2020年最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循这种每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月创下了相关网站历史上最高的访问量，有1.33亿网民购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或灯具不是每年都要买的——所以这种趋势似乎不可持续太久。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>说到大流行后家居用品供应商的高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过提高利润和销售额来承受这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更厉害--它们的估值超出了历史常态。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过 26，而 2020 年春季的远期市盈率仅为 21。其历史市销率目前为 2.1，而之前为 1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX 等昔日宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为 22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货 M, +0.70% 和 Big Lots Big, -3.71% 的远期市盈率实际上远低于 10。当然，你可以说 TJX 是独一无二的.但你可能也想知道，目前除了时尚的居家交易之外，许多其他股票的 “公允价值 ”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票未来从疫情推动的峰值增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外航运延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但 “宅在家里 ”的股票似乎受到的打击尤为严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会（National Association of Home Builders）的数据，大约 94% 的建筑商表示 “至少存在一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺少框架木材，87%的人说很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你能摆脱需求担忧，如果没有原材料来生产，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有花钱买承包商，也没有接受昂贵的新家具长期延误的人来说，现在有一个相当大的阻碍因素会阻碍新购物者：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>以消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本在5月份上涨了0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏天以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它已经侵蚀了购买力，并可能削减我们在过去一年左右看到的 “宅在家里 ”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通胀：5月份，美国房屋的中位数价格有史以来首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨了23.6%。此外，Realtor.com 的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的出售房主希望获得高于要价的价格，大约同样数量的房主希望在挂牌一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，许多文章都在谈论有吸引力的市场供应短缺的问题，重要的是要承认，大流行病的远程工作确实让人们对人们为何生活在这样的地方进行了一些颠覆性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但问题就出在这里： 已经提前支付了房价预期溢价的房主。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当时类似的卖家权利？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主确实有可能对自己的房屋价值过于乐观--而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款很可能根本无法持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转--这些股票将受到影响</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转--这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 18:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫情大趋势结束的 5 个原因。</b>COVID-19 大流行期间最大的投资故事之一是以 “郊区避难所 ”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装卖场再到家具家居用品商家，不少顶尖表现者都符合这一口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的先锋非必需消费品指数基金 ETF VCR 为例，该基金上涨 0.66%，从 2020 年 3 月到 2021 年 3 月飙升 90% 以上。这得益于家装股 Lowe's LOW（-0.30%）和 Home Depot HD（-0.33%）等成分股，以及 TJX TJX（-0.08%）等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名字的表现开始落后。事实上，自 4 月 1 日以来，我们已经看到这三只股票都小幅飘红，即使标普500 SPX 指数同期上涨了约 6%，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些恐惧可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的家居类股票即将 “大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些大牌 “郊区 ”行业仍相对稳定，但边缘地区已经出现了麻烦的迹象。Century Communities CCS（-0.34%）和Dream Finders Homes DFH（-2.55%）是两家中型单户住宅建筑商，其股价在过去一个月暴跌了两位数。在家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR（-0.51%）和百货公司Nordstrom JWN（+2.03%）从春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五个主要原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们注意到了逾期的项目，并利用能够轻松地与承包商会面的优势。但在很多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑房主正在进行的购买类型。水龙头、橱柜甚至马桶都是2020年最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循这种每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月创下了相关网站历史上最高的访问量，有1.33亿网民购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或灯具不是每年都要买的——所以这种趋势似乎不可持续太久。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>说到大流行后家居用品供应商的高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过提高利润和销售额来承受这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更厉害--它们的估值超出了历史常态。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过 26，而 2020 年春季的远期市盈率仅为 21。其历史市销率目前为 2.1，而之前为 1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX 等昔日宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为 22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货 M, +0.70% 和 Big Lots Big, -3.71% 的远期市盈率实际上远低于 10。当然，你可以说 TJX 是独一无二的.但你可能也想知道，目前除了时尚的居家交易之外，许多其他股票的 “公允价值 ”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票未来从疫情推动的峰值增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外航运延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但 “宅在家里 ”的股票似乎受到的打击尤为严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会（National Association of Home Builders）的数据，大约 94% 的建筑商表示 “至少存在一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺少框架木材，87%的人说很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你能摆脱需求担忧，如果没有原材料来生产，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有花钱买承包商，也没有接受昂贵的新家具长期延误的人来说，现在有一个相当大的阻碍因素会阻碍新购物者：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>以消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本在5月份上涨了0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏天以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它已经侵蚀了购买力，并可能削减我们在过去一年左右看到的 “宅在家里 ”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通胀：5月份，美国房屋的中位数价格有史以来首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨了23.6%。此外，Realtor.com 的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的出售房主希望获得高于要价的价格，大约同样数量的房主希望在挂牌一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，许多文章都在谈论有吸引力的市场供应短缺的问题，重要的是要承认，大流行病的远程工作确实让人们对人们为何生活在这样的地方进行了一些颠覆性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但问题就出在这里： 已经提前支付了房价预期溢价的房主。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当时类似的卖家权利？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主确实有可能对自己的房屋价值过于乐观--而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款很可能根本无法持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187819280","content_text":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.\nTake the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.\nLately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.\nAnd some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.\nWhile some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.\nHere are five big reasons why:\n1. The upgrade cycle is over\nLast summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.\nConsider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.\nThe same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.\n2. Valuations are stretched\nSpeaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.\nTake TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.\nWhat’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.\n3. Delays and shortages\nFuture growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.\nHome improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.\nEven if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.\n4. Inflationary pressures\nFor the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.\nThe cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.\nInflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.\n5. Home-equity hubris\nSpeaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.\nSome of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.\nBut here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.\nAnyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":550,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123104919,"gmtCreate":1624411117531,"gmtModify":1631893622206,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123104919","repostId":"2145737065","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":819771836,"gmtCreate":1630110998225,"gmtModify":1704956049492,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819771836","repostId":"2162907389","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":807004555,"gmtCreate":1627986246177,"gmtModify":1631890511585,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Haha","listText":"Haha","text":"Haha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807004555","repostId":"1138232884","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185131796,"gmtCreate":1623636111515,"gmtModify":1634030874542,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[龇牙]&nbsp;","listText":"[龇牙]&nbsp;","text":"[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185131796","repostId":"1146430910","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":196114572,"gmtCreate":1621036077396,"gmtModify":1634194466317,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oic","listText":"Oic","text":"Oic","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196114572","repostId":"1173244066","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173244066","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621004086,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173244066?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 22:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Disney, Airbnb and DoorDash results reveal about the post-pandemic economy<blockquote>迪士尼、爱彼迎和 DoorDash 的业绩揭示了大流行后的经济</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173244066","media":"CNN","summary":"London (CNN Business)Companies are gearing up for an era in which Covid-19 isn't the primary driver ","content":"<p>London (CNN Business)Companies are gearing up for an era in which Covid-19 isn't the primary driver of how people spend their money.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦（CNN Business）公司正在为一个时代做准备，在这个时代，Covid-19 不再是人们花钱的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The big question: As the coronavirus situation improves in countries like the United States, which trends from the past 14 months will have staying power, and which will be resigned to the pandemic past?</p><p><blockquote>最大的问题是：随着冠状病毒情况在美国等国家的改善，过去14个月的哪些趋势将具有持久力，哪些将屈服于疫情的过去？</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb, DoorDash and Disney (DIS), which reported results after US markets closed on Thursday, provide some idea.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎、DoorDash 和迪士尼 (DIS) 在美国市场周四收盘后公布了业绩，提供了一些思路。</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb: The company said interest in travel is surging again as vaccines become more widely available, pointing to a sharp increase in bookings in the United Kingdom immediately after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced plans in February to gradually exit lockdown. For US customers aged 60 and above, searches on Airbnb for summer travel rose by more than 60% between February and March.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎：该公司表示，随着疫苗变得更加广泛，人们对旅行的兴趣再次激增，这表明在英国首相鲍里斯·约翰逊 (Boris Johnson) 2 月份宣布逐步解除封锁的计划后，英国的预订量立即大幅增加。对于60岁及以上的美国客户来说，2月至3月期间，爱彼迎上夏季旅游的搜索量增长了60%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also ready for more customers to use Airbnb for longer-term stays as they take advantage of greater acceptance of remote work. It said that nearly a quarter of stays last quarter were for 28 days or more, up 14% from 2019. Shares are down slightly in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还准备让更多的客户使用爱彼迎进行长期停留，因为他们利用了对远程工作的更大接受度。该公司表示，上季度近四分之一的住宿时间为 28 天或以上，比 2019 年增长了 14%。股价在盘前交易中小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> DoorDash: People are still ordering lots of food delivery even as restaurants open back up for traditional dining. DoorDash reported a 198% jump in revenue last quarter to $1.1 billion even as it dealt with a shortage of workers, and increased its full-year outlook.</p><p><blockquote>DoorDash：尽管餐馆重新开放传统餐饮，但人们仍然订购大量外卖。DoorDash 报告称，尽管面临工人短缺的问题，上季度收入仍增长了 198%，达到 11 亿美元，并上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"As markets continued reopening and in-store dining increased across the US, the impact to our order volume was smaller than we expected, which contributed to strong performance in the quarter,\" the company said, though it cautioned that may have been partially attributable to stimulus checks. Shares are up almost 9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示：“随着市场继续重新开放以及美国各地店内就餐的增加，对我们订单量的影响小于我们的预期，这促成了本季度的强劲业绩。”不过该公司警告称，这可能部分归因于刺激检查。股价在盘前交易中上涨近 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Disney: Streaming has carried Disney through the pandemic, with Disney+ growing to more than 100 million subscribers. Yet the biggest star in Disney's media universe appears to be shining a little less bright, sending shares down 4%.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼：流媒体带领迪士尼穿越了疫情，迪士尼+的订阅用户已超过1亿。然而，这位迪士尼媒体界最大的明星似乎没有那么耀眼，导致股价下跌 4%。</blockquote></p><p> The company said Thursday that Disney+ now has 103.6 million subscribers, below the 110 million Wall Street was expecting. That's forced investors to wonder: Is that because people are getting vaccinated and stepping away from streaming? Netflix also reported sluggish subscription growth last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司周四表示，Disney+ 目前拥有 1.036 亿用户，低于华尔街预期的 1.1 亿用户。这迫使投资者怀疑：这是因为人们正在接种疫苗并远离流媒体吗？Netflix 上季度还报告订阅增长缓慢。</blockquote></p><p> Down but not out: Disney said it remains on track to reach its long-term subscriber goals despite the apparent slowdown. It's betting that as the pandemic eases, it will be able to produce more movies and shows, helping to bring in new customers.</p><p><blockquote>下降但并未出局：迪士尼表示，尽管增长明显放缓，但仍有望实现其长期用户目标。它打赌，随着疫情的缓解，它将能够制作更多的电影和节目，帮助吸引新客户。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it's right will become clearer in the months ahead, which will pose the true test of whether people actually ditch their sweatpants, get out of the house and shake up the economy once again.</p><p><blockquote>这是否正确将在未来几个月变得更加清晰，这将真正考验人们是否真的扔掉运动裤，走出家门，再次撼动经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It could get easier to get a credit card without a credit score</b></p><p><blockquote><b>无需信用评分即可获得信用卡可能会变得更容易</b></blockquote></p><p> For years, if you didn't have a credit score it was extremely difficult to get a credit card or certain types of loans. But a new plan among some of the nation's largest banks may help Americans without traditional credit histories get approved.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，如果你没有信用评分，就很难获得信用卡或某些类型的贷款。但美国一些最大银行的一项新计划可能会帮助没有传统信用记录的美国人获得批准。</blockquote></p><p> Ten banks — including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC) and U.S. Bancorp (USB) — have tentatively agreed to a plan to share data like bank account deposits and bill payment activity to help qualify borrowers without traditional credit histories, according to the Wall Street Journal.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道，包括摩根大通 (JPM)、富国银行 (WFC) 和合众银行 (USB) 在内的十家银行已初步同意一项共享银行账户存款和账单支付活动等数据的计划，以帮助确定没有传统信用记录的借款人的资格。</blockquote></p><p> The push for financial institutions to come to a data sharing agreement came from a program run by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The OCC has confirmed there is a plan, but the details of the agreement among the banks still need to be worked out.</p><p><blockquote>推动金融机构达成数据共享协议的动力来自货币监理署开展的一项计划。OCC已经确认有一个计划，但银行之间协议的细节仍需制定。</blockquote></p><p> Should the proposed arrangement go through, it would mean that if you don't have a credit score but you have a bank account at Wells Fargo, for example, you can use that financial history to help you get a credit card with another bank, like JPMorgan Chase.</p><p><blockquote>如果提议的安排获得通过，这将意味着，例如，如果您没有信用评分，但您在富国银行拥有银行账户，您可以使用该财务历史来帮助您获得另一家银行的信用卡，例如摩根大通。</blockquote></p><p> \"This will give millions of Americans the opportunity to access credit that's essential to building wealth — buying a home, starting a business, or financing education,\" Trish Wexler, a spokesperson for JPMorgan Chase, told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发言人特里什·韦克斯勒 (Trish Wexler) 告诉 CNN 商业频道：“这将使数百万美国人有机会获得积累财富所必需的信贷——买房、创业或资助教育。”</blockquote></p><p> The backstory: There are currently 53 million people without a credit score, according to the Fair Isaac Corporation, the creator of FICO credit scores. These consumers, who are disproportionately lower income and people of color, face higher borrowing costs because they're forced to turn to products like payday loans.</p><p><blockquote>背景故事：根据 FICO 信用评分的创建者 Fair Isaac Corporation 的数据，目前有 5300 万人没有信用评分。这些低收入和有色人种的消费者面临着更高的借贷成本，因为他们被迫转向发薪日贷款等产品。</blockquote></p><p> Banks and lenders refer to those without credit history as \"credit invisible.\" This group can include young people or recent immigrants, as well as people who haven't used credit in a long time or who have lost their access due to financial difficulties.</p><p><blockquote>银行和贷方将那些没有信用记录的人称为“隐形信用”。这个群体可能包括年轻人或新移民，以及很长时间没有使用信贷或由于经济困难而失去使用信贷的人。</blockquote></p><p> The business angle: Big banks may also be eager to revise their policies as online upstarts chip away at demand for their products.</p><p><blockquote>商业角度：随着在线新贵根据需求抢购其产品，大银行可能也渴望修改其政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Some of this cooperation among the biggest banks may be a bit of reaction to smaller banks and fintech companies infringing on their space,\" said Matt Schulz, chief industry analyst at LendingTree.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree 首席行业分析师马特·舒尔茨 (Matt Schulz) 表示：“最大银行之间的一些合作可能是对小型银行和金融科技公司侵犯其领域的一种反应。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Target will temporarily stop selling trading cards amid frenzy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>塔吉特将在狂热中暂时停止销售交易卡</b></blockquote></p><p> Target (TGT) has announced that it will stop selling trading cards in its stores following a violent dispute at one of its locations — a sign of just how overheated the market for collectibles has become.</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特 (TGT) 宣布，在其一家门店发生暴力纠纷后，将停止在其商店销售交易卡——这表明收藏品市场已经变得多么过热。</blockquote></p><p> The details: Last week, a Target in Wisconsin was locked down after a man was physically assaulted by four others over sports trading cards.</p><p><blockquote>细节：上周，威斯康星州的一个目标在一名男子因体育交易卡被另外四人殴打后被锁定。</blockquote></p><p> \"The safety of our guests and our team is our top priority,\" Target said in a statement. \"Out of an abundance of caution, we've decided to temporarily suspend the sale of MLB, NFL, NBA and Pokémon trading cards within our stores, effective [Friday].\"</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特在一份声明中表示：“客人和团队的安全是我们的首要任务。”“出于谨慎，我们决定暂时停止在我们的商店内销售 MLB、NFL、NBA 和神奇宝贝交易卡，自 [周五] 起生效。”</blockquote></p><p> The cards will still be available online, the company said.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，这些卡仍将在网上提供。</blockquote></p><p> Remember: The value of trading cards has skyrocketed in recent months during the Covid-19 pandemic. That's grabbed interest from both amateur and professional investors looking to cash in on spectacular returns.</p><p><blockquote>请记住：在 Covid-19 大流行期间，最近几个月交易卡的价值飙升。这引起了业余和专业投资者的兴趣，他们希望从惊人的回报中获利。</blockquote></p><p> Target previously was limiting card purchases to just one item a day, saying that guests were lining up overnight to get their hands on hot items, per CNN affiliate WISN.</p><p><blockquote>据美国有线电视新闻网 (CNN) 附属机构 WISN 报道，塔吉特此前将卡购买限制为每天只能购买一件商品，称客人整夜排队购买热门商品。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart (WMT), for its part, said it will keep selling cards in stores for now.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛 (WMT) 则表示，目前将继续在商店销售贺卡。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are determining what, if any, changes are needed to meet customer demand while ensuring a safe and enjoyable shopping experience,\" a spokesperson said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>一位发言人在一份声明中表示：“我们正在确定需要做出哪些改变（如果有的话）来满足客户需求，同时确保安全愉快的购物体验。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Up next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个</b></blockquote></p><p> Data on US retail sales, import and export prices and industrial production arrives at 8:30 a.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>美国零售销售、进出口价格和工业生产数据将于美国东部时间上午 8:30 公布。</blockquote></p><p> Coming next week: Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) report earnings as the housing market booms.</p><p><blockquote>下周：随着房地产市场繁荣，家得宝 (HD) 和劳氏 (LOW) 公布收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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For US customers aged 60 and above, searches on Airbnb for summer travel rose by more than 60% between February and March.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎：该公司表示，随着疫苗变得更加广泛，人们对旅行的兴趣再次激增，这表明在英国首相鲍里斯·约翰逊 (Boris Johnson) 2 月份宣布逐步解除封锁的计划后，英国的预订量立即大幅增加。对于60岁及以上的美国客户来说，2月至3月期间，爱彼迎上夏季旅游的搜索量增长了60%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also ready for more customers to use Airbnb for longer-term stays as they take advantage of greater acceptance of remote work. It said that nearly a quarter of stays last quarter were for 28 days or more, up 14% from 2019. Shares are down slightly in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还准备让更多的客户使用爱彼迎进行长期停留，因为他们利用了对远程工作的更大接受度。该公司表示，上季度近四分之一的住宿时间为 28 天或以上，比 2019 年增长了 14%。股价在盘前交易中小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> DoorDash: People are still ordering lots of food delivery even as restaurants open back up for traditional dining. DoorDash reported a 198% jump in revenue last quarter to $1.1 billion even as it dealt with a shortage of workers, and increased its full-year outlook.</p><p><blockquote>DoorDash：尽管餐馆重新开放传统餐饮，但人们仍然订购大量外卖。DoorDash 报告称，尽管面临工人短缺的问题，上季度收入仍增长了 198%，达到 11 亿美元，并上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"As markets continued reopening and in-store dining increased across the US, the impact to our order volume was smaller than we expected, which contributed to strong performance in the quarter,\" the company said, though it cautioned that may have been partially attributable to stimulus checks. Shares are up almost 9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示：“随着市场继续重新开放以及美国各地店内就餐的增加，对我们订单量的影响小于我们的预期，这促成了本季度的强劲业绩。”不过该公司警告称，这可能部分归因于刺激检查。股价在盘前交易中上涨近 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Disney: Streaming has carried Disney through the pandemic, with Disney+ growing to more than 100 million subscribers. Yet the biggest star in Disney's media universe appears to be shining a little less bright, sending shares down 4%.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼：流媒体带领迪士尼穿越了疫情，迪士尼+的订阅用户已超过1亿。然而，这位迪士尼媒体界最大的明星似乎没有那么耀眼，导致股价下跌 4%。</blockquote></p><p> The company said Thursday that Disney+ now has 103.6 million subscribers, below the 110 million Wall Street was expecting. That's forced investors to wonder: Is that because people are getting vaccinated and stepping away from streaming? Netflix also reported sluggish subscription growth last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司周四表示，Disney+ 目前拥有 1.036 亿用户，低于华尔街预期的 1.1 亿用户。这迫使投资者怀疑：这是因为人们正在接种疫苗并远离流媒体吗？Netflix 上季度还报告订阅增长缓慢。</blockquote></p><p> Down but not out: Disney said it remains on track to reach its long-term subscriber goals despite the apparent slowdown. It's betting that as the pandemic eases, it will be able to produce more movies and shows, helping to bring in new customers.</p><p><blockquote>下降但并未出局：迪士尼表示，尽管增长明显放缓，但仍有望实现其长期用户目标。它打赌，随着疫情的缓解，它将能够制作更多的电影和节目，帮助吸引新客户。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it's right will become clearer in the months ahead, which will pose the true test of whether people actually ditch their sweatpants, get out of the house and shake up the economy once again.</p><p><blockquote>这是否正确将在未来几个月变得更加清晰，这将真正考验人们是否真的扔掉运动裤，走出家门，再次撼动经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It could get easier to get a credit card without a credit score</b></p><p><blockquote><b>无需信用评分即可获得信用卡可能会变得更容易</b></blockquote></p><p> For years, if you didn't have a credit score it was extremely difficult to get a credit card or certain types of loans. But a new plan among some of the nation's largest banks may help Americans without traditional credit histories get approved.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，如果你没有信用评分，就很难获得信用卡或某些类型的贷款。但美国一些最大银行的一项新计划可能会帮助没有传统信用记录的美国人获得批准。</blockquote></p><p> Ten banks — including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC) and U.S. Bancorp (USB) — have tentatively agreed to a plan to share data like bank account deposits and bill payment activity to help qualify borrowers without traditional credit histories, according to the Wall Street Journal.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道，包括摩根大通 (JPM)、富国银行 (WFC) 和合众银行 (USB) 在内的十家银行已初步同意一项共享银行账户存款和账单支付活动等数据的计划，以帮助确定没有传统信用记录的借款人的资格。</blockquote></p><p> The push for financial institutions to come to a data sharing agreement came from a program run by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The OCC has confirmed there is a plan, but the details of the agreement among the banks still need to be worked out.</p><p><blockquote>推动金融机构达成数据共享协议的动力来自货币监理署开展的一项计划。OCC已经确认有一个计划，但银行之间协议的细节仍需制定。</blockquote></p><p> Should the proposed arrangement go through, it would mean that if you don't have a credit score but you have a bank account at Wells Fargo, for example, you can use that financial history to help you get a credit card with another bank, like JPMorgan Chase.</p><p><blockquote>如果提议的安排获得通过，这将意味着，例如，如果您没有信用评分，但您在富国银行拥有银行账户，您可以使用该财务历史来帮助您获得另一家银行的信用卡，例如摩根大通。</blockquote></p><p> \"This will give millions of Americans the opportunity to access credit that's essential to building wealth — buying a home, starting a business, or financing education,\" Trish Wexler, a spokesperson for JPMorgan Chase, told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发言人特里什·韦克斯勒 (Trish Wexler) 告诉 CNN 商业频道：“这将使数百万美国人有机会获得积累财富所必需的信贷——买房、创业或资助教育。”</blockquote></p><p> The backstory: There are currently 53 million people without a credit score, according to the Fair Isaac Corporation, the creator of FICO credit scores. These consumers, who are disproportionately lower income and people of color, face higher borrowing costs because they're forced to turn to products like payday loans.</p><p><blockquote>背景故事：根据 FICO 信用评分的创建者 Fair Isaac Corporation 的数据，目前有 5300 万人没有信用评分。这些低收入和有色人种的消费者面临着更高的借贷成本，因为他们被迫转向发薪日贷款等产品。</blockquote></p><p> Banks and lenders refer to those without credit history as \"credit invisible.\" This group can include young people or recent immigrants, as well as people who haven't used credit in a long time or who have lost their access due to financial difficulties.</p><p><blockquote>银行和贷方将那些没有信用记录的人称为“隐形信用”。这个群体可能包括年轻人或新移民，以及很长时间没有使用信贷或由于经济困难而失去使用信贷的人。</blockquote></p><p> The business angle: Big banks may also be eager to revise their policies as online upstarts chip away at demand for their products.</p><p><blockquote>商业角度：随着在线新贵根据需求抢购其产品，大银行可能也渴望修改其政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Some of this cooperation among the biggest banks may be a bit of reaction to smaller banks and fintech companies infringing on their space,\" said Matt Schulz, chief industry analyst at LendingTree.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree 首席行业分析师马特·舒尔茨 (Matt Schulz) 表示：“最大银行之间的一些合作可能是对小型银行和金融科技公司侵犯其领域的一种反应。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Target will temporarily stop selling trading cards amid frenzy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>塔吉特将在狂热中暂时停止销售交易卡</b></blockquote></p><p> Target (TGT) has announced that it will stop selling trading cards in its stores following a violent dispute at one of its locations — a sign of just how overheated the market for collectibles has become.</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特 (TGT) 宣布，在其一家门店发生暴力纠纷后，将停止在其商店销售交易卡——这表明收藏品市场已经变得多么过热。</blockquote></p><p> The details: Last week, a Target in Wisconsin was locked down after a man was physically assaulted by four others over sports trading cards.</p><p><blockquote>细节：上周，威斯康星州的一个目标在一名男子因体育交易卡被另外四人殴打后被锁定。</blockquote></p><p> \"The safety of our guests and our team is our top priority,\" Target said in a statement. \"Out of an abundance of caution, we've decided to temporarily suspend the sale of MLB, NFL, NBA and Pokémon trading cards within our stores, effective [Friday].\"</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特在一份声明中表示：“客人和团队的安全是我们的首要任务。”“出于谨慎，我们决定暂时停止在我们的商店内销售 MLB、NFL、NBA 和神奇宝贝交易卡，自 [周五] 起生效。”</blockquote></p><p> The cards will still be available online, the company said.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，这些卡仍将在网上提供。</blockquote></p><p> Remember: The value of trading cards has skyrocketed in recent months during the Covid-19 pandemic. That's grabbed interest from both amateur and professional investors looking to cash in on spectacular returns.</p><p><blockquote>请记住：在 Covid-19 大流行期间，最近几个月交易卡的价值飙升。这引起了业余和专业投资者的兴趣，他们希望从惊人的回报中获利。</blockquote></p><p> Target previously was limiting card purchases to just one item a day, saying that guests were lining up overnight to get their hands on hot items, per CNN affiliate WISN.</p><p><blockquote>据美国有线电视新闻网 (CNN) 附属机构 WISN 报道，塔吉特此前将卡购买限制为每天只能购买一件商品，称客人整夜排队购买热门商品。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart (WMT), for its part, said it will keep selling cards in stores for now.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛 (WMT) 则表示，目前将继续在商店销售贺卡。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are determining what, if any, changes are needed to meet customer demand while ensuring a safe and enjoyable shopping experience,\" a spokesperson said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>一位发言人在一份声明中表示：“我们正在确定需要做出哪些改变（如果有的话）来满足客户需求，同时确保安全愉快的购物体验。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Up next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个</b></blockquote></p><p> Data on US retail sales, import and export prices and industrial production arrives at 8:30 a.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>美国零售销售、进出口价格和工业生产数据将于美国东部时间上午 8:30 公布。</blockquote></p><p> Coming next week: Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) report earnings as the housing market booms.</p><p><blockquote>下周：随着房地产市场繁荣，家得宝 (HD) 和劳氏 (LOW) 公布收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/14/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html\">CNN</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼","DASH":"DoorDash, Inc.","ABNB":"爱彼迎"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/14/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173244066","content_text":"London (CNN Business)Companies are gearing up for an era in which Covid-19 isn't the primary driver of how people spend their money.\nThe big question: As the coronavirus situation improves in countries like the United States, which trends from the past 14 months will have staying power, and which will be resigned to the pandemic past?\nAirbnb, DoorDash and Disney (DIS), which reported results after US markets closed on Thursday, provide some idea.\nAirbnb: The company said interest in travel is surging again as vaccines become more widely available, pointing to a sharp increase in bookings in the United Kingdom immediately after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced plans in February to gradually exit lockdown. For US customers aged 60 and above, searches on Airbnb for summer travel rose by more than 60% between February and March.\nThe company is also ready for more customers to use Airbnb for longer-term stays as they take advantage of greater acceptance of remote work. It said that nearly a quarter of stays last quarter were for 28 days or more, up 14% from 2019. Shares are down slightly in premarket trading.\nDoorDash: People are still ordering lots of food delivery even as restaurants open back up for traditional dining. DoorDash reported a 198% jump in revenue last quarter to $1.1 billion even as it dealt with a shortage of workers, and increased its full-year outlook.\n\"As markets continued reopening and in-store dining increased across the US, the impact to our order volume was smaller than we expected, which contributed to strong performance in the quarter,\" the company said, though it cautioned that may have been partially attributable to stimulus checks. Shares are up almost 9% in premarket trading.\nDisney: Streaming has carried Disney through the pandemic, with Disney+ growing to more than 100 million subscribers. Yet the biggest star in Disney's media universe appears to be shining a little less bright, sending shares down 4%.\nThe company said Thursday that Disney+ now has 103.6 million subscribers, below the 110 million Wall Street was expecting. That's forced investors to wonder: Is that because people are getting vaccinated and stepping away from streaming? Netflix also reported sluggish subscription growth last quarter.\nDown but not out: Disney said it remains on track to reach its long-term subscriber goals despite the apparent slowdown. It's betting that as the pandemic eases, it will be able to produce more movies and shows, helping to bring in new customers.\nWhether it's right will become clearer in the months ahead, which will pose the true test of whether people actually ditch their sweatpants, get out of the house and shake up the economy once again.\nIt could get easier to get a credit card without a credit score\nFor years, if you didn't have a credit score it was extremely difficult to get a credit card or certain types of loans. But a new plan among some of the nation's largest banks may help Americans without traditional credit histories get approved.\nTen banks — including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC) and U.S. Bancorp (USB) — have tentatively agreed to a plan to share data like bank account deposits and bill payment activity to help qualify borrowers without traditional credit histories, according to the Wall Street Journal.\nThe push for financial institutions to come to a data sharing agreement came from a program run by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The OCC has confirmed there is a plan, but the details of the agreement among the banks still need to be worked out.\nShould the proposed arrangement go through, it would mean that if you don't have a credit score but you have a bank account at Wells Fargo, for example, you can use that financial history to help you get a credit card with another bank, like JPMorgan Chase.\n\"This will give millions of Americans the opportunity to access credit that's essential to building wealth — buying a home, starting a business, or financing education,\" Trish Wexler, a spokesperson for JPMorgan Chase, told CNN Business.\nThe backstory: There are currently 53 million people without a credit score, according to the Fair Isaac Corporation, the creator of FICO credit scores. These consumers, who are disproportionately lower income and people of color, face higher borrowing costs because they're forced to turn to products like payday loans.\nBanks and lenders refer to those without credit history as \"credit invisible.\" This group can include young people or recent immigrants, as well as people who haven't used credit in a long time or who have lost their access due to financial difficulties.\nThe business angle: Big banks may also be eager to revise their policies as online upstarts chip away at demand for their products.\n\"Some of this cooperation among the biggest banks may be a bit of reaction to smaller banks and fintech companies infringing on their space,\" said Matt Schulz, chief industry analyst at LendingTree.\nTarget will temporarily stop selling trading cards amid frenzy\nTarget (TGT) has announced that it will stop selling trading cards in its stores following a violent dispute at one of its locations — a sign of just how overheated the market for collectibles has become.\nThe details: Last week, a Target in Wisconsin was locked down after a man was physically assaulted by four others over sports trading cards.\n\"The safety of our guests and our team is our top priority,\" Target said in a statement. \"Out of an abundance of caution, we've decided to temporarily suspend the sale of MLB, NFL, NBA and Pokémon trading cards within our stores, effective [Friday].\"\nThe cards will still be available online, the company said.\nRemember: The value of trading cards has skyrocketed in recent months during the Covid-19 pandemic. That's grabbed interest from both amateur and professional investors looking to cash in on spectacular returns.\nTarget previously was limiting card purchases to just one item a day, saying that guests were lining up overnight to get their hands on hot items, per CNN affiliate WISN.\nWalmart (WMT), for its part, said it will keep selling cards in stores for now.\n\"We are determining what, if any, changes are needed to meet customer demand while ensuring a safe and enjoyable shopping experience,\" a spokesperson said in a statement.\nUp next\nData on US retail sales, import and export prices and industrial production arrives at 8:30 a.m. ET.\nComing next week: Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) report earnings as the housing market booms.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DASH":0.9,"ABNB":0.9,"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166946011,"gmtCreate":1623989725233,"gmtModify":1634024505604,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166946011","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中拥有多种增长动力，这使得其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会随着潜在的双底价格行动信号而转向看涨。</li><li>我们将讨论公司的多重增长动力，让投资者自己判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永元/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自 11 月 20 日初蚂蚁金服 IPO 被撤销以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价经历了可怕的 8 个月，该股在低迷中萎靡不振，较高点下跌了 34%。在考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显，阿里巴巴具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且在其关键的 50W 均线上总体上得到了良好的支撑。在过去 4 年中，它唯一一次失去关键的 50W MA 支撑位是在 2018 年熊市期间，当时阿里巴巴下跌了约 40%，但仍在重要的 200W MA 上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是 “最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA以上得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像 2018 年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平可能是一个可能的技术性买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩张的增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度电子商务收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV从1.68吨人民币增长到7.49吨人民币，仅用了7年时间，复合年增长率达到了23.8%，增长率着实惊人。我们还看到其 GMV 增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从 76.7 亿元人民币增长到 473.68 亿元人民币，过去 10 年的复合年增长率为 51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然小得多，但在过去10年中，其CAGR仍以30.42%的速度增长，这绝不是缓慢的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度预计将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为 12.4%，从 2021 年的 13.8 万亿元人民币（相当于 2.16 万亿元人民币）下降到 2024 年的 19.6 万亿元人民币（相当于 3.06 万亿元人民币），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将中国市场的增长率和规模与美国电子商务市场进行比较时，我们可以看到它们在规模和增长率上的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场从 2021 年到 2025 年的复合年增长率预计仅为 4.67%，大大低于中国的 12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约 5630 亿美元，相当于届时中国市场预期价值的 18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自其快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克股票代码：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克股票代码：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经经营着一项利润更高的业务（息税前税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计将继续实现强劲的盈利能力展望未来，这将为该公司提供巨大的灵活性，以与京东和PDD正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到了其 SG&amp;A 中反映的 27.82 亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率向下倾斜。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个重要举措是公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是 PDD 的主要电子商务战略，PDD 在最近一个季度共获得了 8.23 亿 AAC，而阿里巴巴的 8.91 亿 AAC。考虑到 2017 年第二季度 PDD 的 AAC 数量仅为 1 亿，而同期阿里巴巴的 AAC 数量为 4.66 亿，PDD 的 AAC 增长确实惊人。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转移到社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出它的大枪（它已经拥有）来与PDD和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到 2022 年 1020 亿元人民币的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴 21 财年中国商业收入的 21.5% 左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过 2019 年至 2022 年 3 年间 44.22% 的快速复合年增长率。虽然这个市场还比较小，但阿里巴巴不能让这个市场目前的领头羊：PDD在众人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地占据主导地位，吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取其在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止PDD扩大其领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中我们可以观察到，PDD 预计将在未来几年继续快速增长其收入，尽管预计随后将恢复正常。更重要的是，PDD 预计未来还将不断提高其息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力。这表明，社区市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势加以利用，才能在游戏初期否认 PDD 无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公共云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；通道</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：CAICT；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公共云市场占有 40% 的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管阿里巴巴处于领先地位，但阿里巴巴仍处于大量投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从 2017 年的 264.8 亿元人民币增长到 2023 年的 2307.4 亿元人民币，复合年增长率将达到 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的惊人增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤为明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从 2017 年的 1450 亿美元增长到 2022 年的 3970 亿美元，复合年增长率将达到 22.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。资料来源：CnTechPost；高德纳</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在 2020 年以 9.5% 的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOGL）（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOG）GCP 的领先优势，我并不感到惊讶。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场的明显领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。虽然阿里巴巴的云业务尚未实现息税前利润（21 财年息税前利润率：-15%，20 财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的 GCP 也没有实现盈利（20 财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19 财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务，预计阿里巴巴将在这些地区拥有更强大的领导地位，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常有说服力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/息税前利润3年范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/前轮驱动息税前利润和电动汽车/前轮驱动转速趋势。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑到阿里巴巴的 TEV / EBIT 历史范围（3 年平均值为 33.54 倍）时，阿里巴巴的 EV / Fwd EBIT 趋势无疑意味着该股被严重低估，因为阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍有望快速增长。不过，由于我们希望更清楚地了解阿里巴巴的息税前利润是如何估值的，因此我们认为，如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，这将是有用的，如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史息税前利润和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司的一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的电动汽车/息税前利润看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴在区间中点的公允价值区间为 294.98 美元，基于当前 210 美元的股价，这代表着 40.5% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着 Mr.市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场计划和不断增长的阿里云部门等仍有很大的潜在上涨空间。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因仅仅是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该认识到这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。关键在于，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有巨大的影响力，而这些行为和行动有时在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能因此大幅打折阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长征程中的一个昙花一现，那么你一定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续交付稳健的业绩，证明了该公司良好执行的强大能力。由于公司将继续在一个拥有众多增长动力的市场中运营，这些增长动力有望推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现目前的估值极具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中拥有多种增长动力，这使得其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会随着潜在的双底价格行动信号而转向看涨。</li><li>我们将讨论公司的多重增长动力，让投资者自己判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永元/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自 11 月 20 日初蚂蚁金服 IPO 被撤销以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价经历了可怕的 8 个月，该股在低迷中萎靡不振，较高点下跌了 34%。在考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显，阿里巴巴具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且在其关键的 50W 均线上总体上得到了良好的支撑。在过去 4 年中，它唯一一次失去关键的 50W MA 支撑位是在 2018 年熊市期间，当时阿里巴巴下跌了约 40%，但仍在重要的 200W MA 上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是 “最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA以上得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像 2018 年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平可能是一个可能的技术性买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩张的增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度电子商务收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV从1.68吨人民币增长到7.49吨人民币，仅用了7年时间，复合年增长率达到了23.8%，增长率着实惊人。我们还看到其 GMV 增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从 76.7 亿元人民币增长到 473.68 亿元人民币，过去 10 年的复合年增长率为 51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然小得多，但在过去10年中，其CAGR仍以30.42%的速度增长，这绝不是缓慢的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度预计将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为 12.4%，从 2021 年的 13.8 万亿元人民币（相当于 2.16 万亿元人民币）下降到 2024 年的 19.6 万亿元人民币（相当于 3.06 万亿元人民币），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将中国市场的增长率和规模与美国电子商务市场进行比较时，我们可以看到它们在规模和增长率上的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场从 2021 年到 2025 年的复合年增长率预计仅为 4.67%，大大低于中国的 12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约 5630 亿美元，相当于届时中国市场预期价值的 18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自其快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克股票代码：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克股票代码：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经经营着一项利润更高的业务（息税前税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计将继续实现强劲的盈利能力展望未来，这将为该公司提供巨大的灵活性，以与京东和PDD正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到了其 SG&amp;A 中反映的 27.82 亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率向下倾斜。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个重要举措是公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是 PDD 的主要电子商务战略，PDD 在最近一个季度共获得了 8.23 亿 AAC，而阿里巴巴的 8.91 亿 AAC。考虑到 2017 年第二季度 PDD 的 AAC 数量仅为 1 亿，而同期阿里巴巴的 AAC 数量为 4.66 亿，PDD 的 AAC 增长确实惊人。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转移到社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出它的大枪（它已经拥有）来与PDD和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到 2022 年 1020 亿元人民币的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴 21 财年中国商业收入的 21.5% 左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过 2019 年至 2022 年 3 年间 44.22% 的快速复合年增长率。虽然这个市场还比较小，但阿里巴巴不能让这个市场目前的领头羊：PDD在众人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地占据主导地位，吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取其在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止PDD扩大其领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中我们可以观察到，PDD 预计将在未来几年继续快速增长其收入，尽管预计随后将恢复正常。更重要的是，PDD 预计未来还将不断提高其息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力。这表明，社区市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势加以利用，才能在游戏初期否认 PDD 无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公共云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；通道</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：CAICT；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公共云市场占有 40% 的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管阿里巴巴处于领先地位，但阿里巴巴仍处于大量投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从 2017 年的 264.8 亿元人民币增长到 2023 年的 2307.4 亿元人民币，复合年增长率将达到 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的惊人增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤为明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从 2017 年的 1450 亿美元增长到 2022 年的 3970 亿美元，复合年增长率将达到 22.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。资料来源：CnTechPost；高德纳</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在 2020 年以 9.5% 的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOGL）（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOG）GCP 的领先优势，我并不感到惊讶。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场的明显领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。虽然阿里巴巴的云业务尚未实现息税前利润（21 财年息税前利润率：-15%，20 财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的 GCP 也没有实现盈利（20 财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19 财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务，预计阿里巴巴将在这些地区拥有更强大的领导地位，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常有说服力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/息税前利润3年范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/前轮驱动息税前利润和电动汽车/前轮驱动转速趋势。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑到阿里巴巴的 TEV / EBIT 历史范围（3 年平均值为 33.54 倍）时，阿里巴巴的 EV / Fwd EBIT 趋势无疑意味着该股被严重低估，因为阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍有望快速增长。不过，由于我们希望更清楚地了解阿里巴巴的息税前利润是如何估值的，因此我们认为，如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，这将是有用的，如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史息税前利润和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司的一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的电动汽车/息税前利润看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴在区间中点的公允价值区间为 294.98 美元，基于当前 210 美元的股价，这代表着 40.5% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着 Mr.市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场计划和不断增长的阿里云部门等仍有很大的潜在上涨空间。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因仅仅是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该认识到这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。关键在于，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有巨大的影响力，而这些行为和行动有时在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能因此大幅打折阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长征程中的一个昙花一现，那么你一定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续交付稳健的业绩，证明了该公司良好执行的强大能力。由于公司将继续在一个拥有众多增长动力的市场中运营，这些增长动力有望推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现目前的估值极具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":109661509,"gmtCreate":1619692120101,"gmtModify":1634210693503,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Awesome!&nbsp;","listText":"Awesome!&nbsp;","text":"Awesome!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109661509","repostId":"1183966356","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183966356","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619665696,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1183966356?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年第一季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183966356","media":"InvestoPedia","summary":"Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.NIO Inc. , like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles . NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record ve","content":"<p>Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries</p><p><blockquote>专注于蔚来汽车交付</blockquote></p><p> <b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.</li>  <li>Vehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.</li>  <li>Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.</li> </ul> NIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计 2020 财年第一季度每股美国存托凭证收益为 -0.72 元，而 -1.66 元。</li><li>已经宣布的汽车交付量同比大幅增长。</li><li>随着汽车销量的扩大，收入预计将飙升。</li></ul>与许多其他汽车制造商一样，由于全球半导体短缺，蔚来（蔚来）今年被迫停产。半导体芯片广泛用于智能手机、计算机和其他电子设备，对于高端电动汽车 (EV) 制造商蔚来来说尤为重要。蔚来汽车3月下旬的停产对该公司第一季度创纪录的汽车交付量影响不大，但可能会影响未来的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.</p><p><blockquote>当蔚来汽车于 2021 年 4 月 29 日公布 2021 财年第一季度收益时，投资者将关注这些力量如何影响蔚来汽车的近期业绩及其财务前景。分析师预计，随着收入的快速增长，该公司每股美国存托股 (ADS) 的亏损将大幅缩小。</blockquote></p><p> Vehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.</p><p><blockquote>汽车交付量是投资者衡量公司生产能力的另一个关键指标。蔚来本月早些时候已经公布了第一季度的汽车交付量，尽管总交付量略低于预期，但仍创下了新的季度记录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&amp;P 500's total return of 45.5%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，蔚来股价的表现大幅优于大盘。但在今年早些时候触及历史高点后，该股大幅下跌，自 3 月初以来大部分时间横盘整理。过去一年，蔚来汽车的股票为投资者提供了1,171.9%的天文数字总回报率，远高于标准普尔500指数45.5%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11e1a915810ccbc7f07ec2adf16865b\" tg-width=\"3004\" tg-height=\"1798\"><span>Source: TradingView.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Earnings History</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来盈利历史</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's&nbsp;Q4 FY 2020 earnings&nbsp;report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its&nbsp;gross margin&nbsp;rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该股在 2 月中旬左右见顶后一直在积聚下跌动力，但在蔚来汽车 3 月初发布 2020 财年第四季度收益报告后暴跌。该公司报告的每股美国存托凭证亏损远高于分析师预期，收入也低于预期。不过，蔚来汽车的亏损较去年同期大幅收窄，收入仍增长133.2%。该公司对其业绩持乐观态度，指出其毛利率从去年同期的负8.9%升至17.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.</p><p><blockquote>2020财年第三季度，蔚来公布每股美国存托凭证亏损0.98元（按2021年4月27日人民币/美元汇率计算为0.15美元）。这是至少11个季度以来最小的损失。收入增长146.4%，保持了第二季度的增长速度。蔚来表示，交付的车辆数量创历史新高，平均售价有所提高。该公司还表示，这是连续第二个季度经营活动现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计蔚来汽车2021财年第一季度的财务业绩将继续改善。虽然预计蔚来每股广告仍将出现另一次亏损，但预计这是至少 14 个季度以来的最低水平。该季度收入预计将增长 446.1%，这将是自 2019 财年第二季度以来的最快增速。对于2021财年全年，分析师目前预计蔚来每股ADS亏损2.72元，这将是至少五年来的最小亏损。收入预计将增长 109.7%，增速快于过去两年的每一年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d412a9c0aea28621f713f5afbfba444c\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：可见阿尔法；蔚来</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者也在关注蔚来每个季度交付的汽车数量。蔚来从其提供的各种服务中产生一些收入，但大部分收入来自汽车销售。目前，该公司交付三种类型的车辆：ES8，该公司的6座和7座旗舰高端智能电动SUV；ES6，该公司的5座高性能高端智能电动SUV；以及该公司的 5 座高端电动轿跑车 EC6。车辆交付数量表明了蔚来汽车的需求以及该公司扩大生产的能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在过去几年中大幅增加了产量。该公司在2018财年交付了11,350辆汽车。2020 财年，这一数字几乎翻了两番，交付了 43,730 辆汽车。尽管2020财年第一季度因新冠肺炎疫情而放缓，但蔚来迅速弥补了第一季度交付量的下降，2020财年第二季度交付量同比增长190.8%。第三季度汽车总交付量增长率放缓至 154.3%，第四季度又放缓至 111.0%。然而，如上所述，2021 财年第一季度汽车交付量增长了 423.0%，创下了新的季度记录。对于2021财年全年，分析师预测蔚来将交付88,280辆汽车，这将是去年总交付量的两倍多。然而，蔚来在3月初警告投资者，全球芯片短缺可能会削减其产能，至少在第二季度如此。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年第一季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年第一季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestoPedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-29 11:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries</p><p><blockquote>专注于蔚来汽车交付</blockquote></p><p> <b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.</li>  <li>Vehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.</li>  <li>Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.</li> </ul> NIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计 2020 财年第一季度每股美国存托凭证收益为 -0.72 元，而 -1.66 元。</li><li>已经宣布的汽车交付量同比大幅增长。</li><li>随着汽车销量的扩大，收入预计将飙升。</li></ul>与许多其他汽车制造商一样，由于全球半导体短缺，蔚来（蔚来）今年被迫停产。半导体芯片广泛用于智能手机、计算机和其他电子设备，对于高端电动汽车 (EV) 制造商蔚来来说尤为重要。蔚来汽车3月下旬的停产对该公司第一季度创纪录的汽车交付量影响不大，但可能会影响未来的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.</p><p><blockquote>当蔚来汽车于 2021 年 4 月 29 日公布 2021 财年第一季度收益时，投资者将关注这些力量如何影响蔚来汽车的近期业绩及其财务前景。分析师预计，随着收入的快速增长，该公司每股美国存托股 (ADS) 的亏损将大幅缩小。</blockquote></p><p> Vehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.</p><p><blockquote>汽车交付量是投资者衡量公司生产能力的另一个关键指标。蔚来本月早些时候已经公布了第一季度的汽车交付量，尽管总交付量略低于预期，但仍创下了新的季度记录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&amp;P 500's total return of 45.5%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，蔚来股价的表现大幅优于大盘。但在今年早些时候触及历史高点后，该股大幅下跌，自 3 月初以来大部分时间横盘整理。过去一年，蔚来汽车的股票为投资者提供了1,171.9%的天文数字总回报率，远高于标准普尔500指数45.5%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11e1a915810ccbc7f07ec2adf16865b\" tg-width=\"3004\" tg-height=\"1798\"><span>Source: TradingView.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Earnings History</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来盈利历史</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's&nbsp;Q4 FY 2020 earnings&nbsp;report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its&nbsp;gross margin&nbsp;rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该股在 2 月中旬左右见顶后一直在积聚下跌动力，但在蔚来汽车 3 月初发布 2020 财年第四季度收益报告后暴跌。该公司报告的每股美国存托凭证亏损远高于分析师预期，收入也低于预期。不过，蔚来汽车的亏损较去年同期大幅收窄，收入仍增长133.2%。该公司对其业绩持乐观态度，指出其毛利率从去年同期的负8.9%升至17.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.</p><p><blockquote>2020财年第三季度，蔚来公布每股美国存托凭证亏损0.98元（按2021年4月27日人民币/美元汇率计算为0.15美元）。这是至少11个季度以来最小的损失。收入增长146.4%，保持了第二季度的增长速度。蔚来表示，交付的车辆数量创历史新高，平均售价有所提高。该公司还表示，这是连续第二个季度经营活动现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计蔚来汽车2021财年第一季度的财务业绩将继续改善。虽然预计蔚来每股广告仍将出现另一次亏损，但预计这是至少 14 个季度以来的最低水平。该季度收入预计将增长 446.1%，这将是自 2019 财年第二季度以来的最快增速。对于2021财年全年，分析师目前预计蔚来每股ADS亏损2.72元，这将是至少五年来的最小亏损。收入预计将增长 109.7%，增速快于过去两年的每一年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d412a9c0aea28621f713f5afbfba444c\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：可见阿尔法；蔚来</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者也在关注蔚来每个季度交付的汽车数量。蔚来从其提供的各种服务中产生一些收入，但大部分收入来自汽车销售。目前，该公司交付三种类型的车辆：ES8，该公司的6座和7座旗舰高端智能电动SUV；ES6，该公司的5座高性能高端智能电动SUV；以及该公司的 5 座高端电动轿跑车 EC6。车辆交付数量表明了蔚来汽车的需求以及该公司扩大生产的能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在过去几年中大幅增加了产量。该公司在2018财年交付了11,350辆汽车。2020 财年，这一数字几乎翻了两番，交付了 43,730 辆汽车。尽管2020财年第一季度因新冠肺炎疫情而放缓，但蔚来迅速弥补了第一季度交付量的下降，2020财年第二季度交付量同比增长190.8%。第三季度汽车总交付量增长率放缓至 154.3%，第四季度又放缓至 111.0%。然而，如上所述，2021 财年第一季度汽车交付量增长了 423.0%，创下了新的季度记录。对于2021财年全年，分析师预测蔚来将交付88,280辆汽车，这将是去年总交付量的两倍多。然而，蔚来在3月初警告投资者，全球芯片短缺可能会削减其产能，至少在第二季度如此。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/nio-q1-2021-earnings-report-preview-5180991\">InvestoPedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/nio-q1-2021-earnings-report-preview-5180991","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183966356","content_text":"Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries\nKEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nAnalysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.\nVehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.\nRevenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.\n\nNIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.\nInvestors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.\nVehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.\nShares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&P 500's total return of 45.5%.\nSource: TradingView.\nNIO Earnings History\nThe stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's Q4 FY 2020 earnings report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its gross margin rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.\nIn Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.\nAnalysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.\nSource: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.\nThe Key Metric\nAs mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.\nNIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136043252,"gmtCreate":1621987657276,"gmtModify":1634185006601,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Is it better?","listText":"Is it better?","text":"Is it better?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136043252","repostId":"1116025923","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":774,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158647701,"gmtCreate":1625149209103,"gmtModify":1631893622145,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158647701","repostId":"2148840288","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":194780279,"gmtCreate":1621400736691,"gmtModify":1634189443315,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy!&nbsp;","listText":"Buy!&nbsp;","text":"Buy!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194780279","repostId":"2136738931","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2136738931","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621318800,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2136738931?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 14:20","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"JD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流在香港首次公开募股，筹集高达34亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2136738931","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering  to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion  if the deal is priced at the top end.JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibilli","content":"<p>The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务巨头京东的物流部门周一开始以每股 39.36 港元至 43.36 港元的价格向散户投资者推销其香港首次公开募股 (IPO)，如果该交易定价为高端，该公司可能会筹集高达 264 亿港元（34 亿美元）。<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（点击此处申请京东物流股份）</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的公开募股将于周一至周五进行。其股票预计将于5月28日在香港联交所主板开始交易。</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流计划出售6.092亿股股票，占其扩大股本的10%。如果需求强劲，可以选择再出售最多 9140 万股股票。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd9320033ea7302952fa2cb6ece8339a\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"464\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.</p><p><blockquote>阁下的申请必须认购最少100股香港发售股份，且认购数目须为下表所列其中一个数目。您需要支付您选择的号码旁边的金额。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f72efeb4b54a02dbfe728ebb1099dd\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"437\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的此次发行预计将是今年香港证券交易所第二次数十亿美元的IPO，此前腾讯控股支持的短视频平台快手科技在1月份筹集了62亿美元。快手IPO是今年迄今为止全球规模最大的IPO。</blockquote></p><p>Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.</p><p><blockquote>八家基石投资者已承诺购买总价值 15 亿美元的京东物流股票，如果交易定价为高端，这将占其全球发行的约 39%。</blockquote></p><p>The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.</p><p><blockquote>投资者包括软银、新加坡主权财富基金淡马锡控股、中国结构性改革基金以及黑石、老虎环球管理等资产管理公司。</blockquote></p><p>BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券、高盛和海通国际担任此次交易的联席保荐人，瑞银担任财务顾问。</blockquote></p><p>Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.</p><p><blockquote>假设该交易定价为高端，京东物流的市值将为2641亿港元，估值高于中通快递。</blockquote></p><p>Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于上海的中通，阿里巴巴-SW集团控股是其股东之一，去年9月通过二次上市在香港上市时，市值为1807亿港元。阿里巴巴-SW拥有《南华早报》。</blockquote></p><p>Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将渴望了解更多有关京东物流盈利计划的信息。这家总部位于北京的公司在招股说明书中表示，继2018年亏损28亿元人民币（4.35亿美元）、2019年亏损22亿元人民币和2020年亏损40亿元人民币之后，预计今年净亏损将更大。</blockquote></p><p>\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在招股说明书草案中表示：“由于我们目前将业务增长和市场份额扩大置于盈利之上，因此在中短期内，我们的盈利能力可能会出现大幅波动。”</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流正在寻求将自己与中通和韵达控股等其他参与者区分开来，宣传自己是一家技术驱动的物流服务提供商，使用自主移动机器人、分拣机器人和自动驾驶车辆来提高送货速度和准确性。</blockquote></p><p>Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.</p><p><blockquote>从技术角度推销股票出售可以帮助京东物流描绘更积极的前景。这是因为快递行业的竞争尤其激烈，有报道称一些新参与者以低于成本的价格提供服务以抢占业务。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>华兴资本分析师Charlie Chen表示，过去三年，由于市场竞争激烈，快递公司每个包裹的平均收入下降了50%至60%。</blockquote></p><p>SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.</p><p><blockquote>中国最大的快递服务提供商顺丰速运本月震惊了市场，此前该公司预测第一季度亏损11亿元人民币，引发了股票的抛售。截至周五收盘，其在上海的股价较2月中旬的峰值几乎下跌了一半。</blockquote></p><p>Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.</p><p><blockquote>中通、圆通快递、申通快递、顺丰速运和韵达控股这五家公司占据了中国快递服务市场近80%的份额。</blockquote></p><p>China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>按支出计算，中国是全球最大的物流市场，2020年物流总支出达到14.9万亿元。京东物流招股说明书中引用的研究公司China Insights Consultancy的数据显示，到2025年，这一数字预计将增至19.3万亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流在香港首次公开募股，筹集高达34亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流在香港首次公开募股，筹集高达34亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-18 14:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务巨头京东的物流部门周一开始以每股 39.36 港元至 43.36 港元的价格向散户投资者推销其香港首次公开募股 (IPO)，如果该交易定价为高端，该公司可能会筹集高达 264 亿港元（34 亿美元）。<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（点击此处申请京东物流股份）</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的公开募股将于周一至周五进行。其股票预计将于5月28日在香港联交所主板开始交易。</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流计划出售6.092亿股股票，占其扩大股本的10%。如果需求强劲，可以选择再出售最多 9140 万股股票。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd9320033ea7302952fa2cb6ece8339a\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"464\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.</p><p><blockquote>阁下的申请必须认购最少100股香港发售股份，且认购数目须为下表所列其中一个数目。您需要支付您选择的号码旁边的金额。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f72efeb4b54a02dbfe728ebb1099dd\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"437\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的此次发行预计将是今年香港证券交易所第二次数十亿美元的IPO，此前腾讯控股支持的短视频平台快手科技在1月份筹集了62亿美元。快手IPO是今年迄今为止全球规模最大的IPO。</blockquote></p><p>Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.</p><p><blockquote>八家基石投资者已承诺购买总价值 15 亿美元的京东物流股票，如果交易定价为高端，这将占其全球发行的约 39%。</blockquote></p><p>The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.</p><p><blockquote>投资者包括软银、新加坡主权财富基金淡马锡控股、中国结构性改革基金以及黑石、老虎环球管理等资产管理公司。</blockquote></p><p>BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券、高盛和海通国际担任此次交易的联席保荐人，瑞银担任财务顾问。</blockquote></p><p>Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.</p><p><blockquote>假设该交易定价为高端，京东物流的市值将为2641亿港元，估值高于中通快递。</blockquote></p><p>Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于上海的中通，阿里巴巴-SW集团控股是其股东之一，去年9月通过二次上市在香港上市时，市值为1807亿港元。阿里巴巴-SW拥有《南华早报》。</blockquote></p><p>Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将渴望了解更多有关京东物流盈利计划的信息。这家总部位于北京的公司在招股说明书中表示，继2018年亏损28亿元人民币（4.35亿美元）、2019年亏损22亿元人民币和2020年亏损40亿元人民币之后，预计今年净亏损将更大。</blockquote></p><p>\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在招股说明书草案中表示：“由于我们目前将业务增长和市场份额扩大置于盈利之上，因此在中短期内，我们的盈利能力可能会出现大幅波动。”</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流正在寻求将自己与中通和韵达控股等其他参与者区分开来，宣传自己是一家技术驱动的物流服务提供商，使用自主移动机器人、分拣机器人和自动驾驶车辆来提高送货速度和准确性。</blockquote></p><p>Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.</p><p><blockquote>从技术角度推销股票出售可以帮助京东物流描绘更积极的前景。这是因为快递行业的竞争尤其激烈，有报道称一些新参与者以低于成本的价格提供服务以抢占业务。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>华兴资本分析师Charlie Chen表示，过去三年，由于市场竞争激烈，快递公司每个包裹的平均收入下降了50%至60%。</blockquote></p><p>SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.</p><p><blockquote>中国最大的快递服务提供商顺丰速运本月震惊了市场，此前该公司预测第一季度亏损11亿元人民币，引发了股票的抛售。截至周五收盘，其在上海的股价较2月中旬的峰值几乎下跌了一半。</blockquote></p><p>Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.</p><p><blockquote>中通、圆通快递、申通快递、顺丰速运和韵达控股这五家公司占据了中国快递服务市场近80%的份额。</blockquote></p><p>China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>按支出计算，中国是全球最大的物流市场，2020年物流总支出达到14.9万亿元。京东物流招股说明书中引用的研究公司China Insights Consultancy的数据显示，到2025年，这一数字预计将增至19.3万亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"02618":"京东物流"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2136738931","content_text":"The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140855405,"gmtCreate":1625648686307,"gmtModify":1631893622120,"author":{"id":"3578313543552744","authorId":"3578313543552744","name":"ElginLow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d66a2d7ac712e903ddee8420e88c27","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578313543552744","idStr":"3578313543552744"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140855405","repostId":"1127037929","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}