+关注
DukeAlan
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:未知
134
关注
33
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
DukeAlan
2021-11-05
Good
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-08-18
$Tuniu(TOUR)$
P.O.S.
DukeAlan
2021-08-18
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
The good news after several days of diving is, it will jump up soon (I hope). Fingers crossed.
DukeAlan
2021-08-09
Like
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-08-09
Share
DukeAlan
2021-08-09
👌 ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-08-03
Ok
US Factory Orders Top 2018 Highs, Despite Tumbling ISM<blockquote>尽管 ISM 暴跌,美国工厂订单仍创 2018 年新高</blockquote>
DukeAlan
2021-07-26
Wrong bet on this sectors. Suffered loses but glad I left.
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-07-23
Wah. Jialat.
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-07-21
$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$
junk stock.
DukeAlan
2021-07-08
Help like my post pls
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-07-01
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-07-01
Yeah... what did you get?
DukeAlan
2021-06-28
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-06-27
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-06-26
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-06-20
Like n comment. Will reply to your comments
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-06-19
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-06-18
Like n comment. Will reply to all your comments
抱歉,原内容已删除
DukeAlan
2021-06-16
Ok
4 things to watch for when the Fed meets Wednesday<blockquote>美联储周三会议时需要注意的 4 件事</blockquote>
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3578446470950082","uuid":"3578446470950082","gmtCreate":1615377960683,"gmtModify":1616855130353,"name":"DukeAlan","pinyin":"dukealan","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":33,"headSize":134,"tweetSize":162,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.22","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"80.78%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"60.59%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":846332899,"gmtCreate":1636047987526,"gmtModify":1636047988148,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846332899","repostId":"1198103703","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":833826546,"gmtCreate":1629217881885,"gmtModify":1631886858633,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">$Tuniu(TOUR)$</a>P.O.S. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">$Tuniu(TOUR)$</a>P.O.S. ","text":"$Tuniu(TOUR)$P.O.S.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812ae9c1ea44cb7045eecda0d23cb62b","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833826546","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2090,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833828780,"gmtCreate":1629217776740,"gmtModify":1633686464679,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>The good news after several days of diving is, it will jump up soon (I hope). Fingers crossed.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>The good news after several days of diving is, it will jump up soon (I hope). Fingers crossed.","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$The good news after several days of diving is, it will jump up soon (I hope). Fingers crossed.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833828780","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898708872,"gmtCreate":1628519878096,"gmtModify":1633746481045,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898708872","repostId":"2158444273","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3912,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898478744,"gmtCreate":1628519538288,"gmtModify":1633746486126,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Share","listText":"Share","text":"Share","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab1b75dbd95b713c0f4a62a91df1316d","width":"1080","height":"3010"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898478744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898473725,"gmtCreate":1628519469067,"gmtModify":1633746487201,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌 ok","listText":"👌 ok","text":"👌 ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898473725","repostId":"1141877175","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":807314988,"gmtCreate":1628000328144,"gmtModify":1633754498149,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807314988","repostId":"1184642734","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184642734","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627999990,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1184642734?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-03 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Factory Orders Top 2018 Highs, Despite Tumbling ISM<blockquote>尽管 ISM 暴跌,美国工厂订单仍创 2018 年新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184642734","media":"zerohedge","summary":"(Aug 3) Despite a notably weak print for ISM's Manufacturing survey (at 2021 lows), analysts expecte","content":"<p>(Aug 3) Despite a notably weak print for ISM's Manufacturing survey (at 2021 lows), analysts expected US Factory orders to continue their rebound back near 2018's record highs, and they did, rising 1.5% MoM, better than the 1.0% increase expected.</p><p><blockquote>(8 月 3 日)尽管 ISM 制造业调查明显疲软(处于 2021 年低点),但分析师预计美国工厂订单将继续反弹至 2018 年历史高点附近,事实也确实如此,环比增长 1.5%,好于预期的 1.0% 增幅。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f428881ba2d140bd04f6d5fec2f02f46\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"566\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>That is the 13th monthly increase of the last 14 and puts Factory orders back at their 2018 highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是过去 14 年中的第 13 个月增长,使工厂订单回到 2018 年的高点。</b></blockquote></p><p> The final print for durable goods orders in June were slightly better than expected and improved over the month.</p><p><blockquote>6月份耐用品订单的最终印刷略好于预期,并在本月有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, just like we saw in Q2 2018, survey data appears to be signaling something not so positive for US factory orders going forward...</p><p><blockquote>最后,正如我们在2018年第二季度看到的那样,调查数据似乎预示着美国工厂订单的未来将出现一些不那么积极的情况……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4150df7f625f92e68cd729cbf4044c0c\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Unless, of course, we get another few trillion in Washington largesse washing around the nation's crony capitalists.</p><p><blockquote>当然,除非我们从华盛顿得到另外几万亿的慷慨,在这个国家的裙带资本家周围洗刷。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Factory Orders Top 2018 Highs, Despite Tumbling ISM<blockquote>尽管 ISM 暴跌,美国工厂订单仍创 2018 年新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Factory Orders Top 2018 Highs, Despite Tumbling ISM<blockquote>尽管 ISM 暴跌,美国工厂订单仍创 2018 年新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-03 22:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 3) Despite a notably weak print for ISM's Manufacturing survey (at 2021 lows), analysts expected US Factory orders to continue their rebound back near 2018's record highs, and they did, rising 1.5% MoM, better than the 1.0% increase expected.</p><p><blockquote>(8 月 3 日)尽管 ISM 制造业调查明显疲软(处于 2021 年低点),但分析师预计美国工厂订单将继续反弹至 2018 年历史高点附近,事实也确实如此,环比增长 1.5%,好于预期的 1.0% 增幅。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f428881ba2d140bd04f6d5fec2f02f46\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"566\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>That is the 13th monthly increase of the last 14 and puts Factory orders back at their 2018 highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是过去 14 年中的第 13 个月增长,使工厂订单回到 2018 年的高点。</b></blockquote></p><p> The final print for durable goods orders in June were slightly better than expected and improved over the month.</p><p><blockquote>6月份耐用品订单的最终印刷略好于预期,并在本月有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, just like we saw in Q2 2018, survey data appears to be signaling something not so positive for US factory orders going forward...</p><p><blockquote>最后,正如我们在2018年第二季度看到的那样,调查数据似乎预示着美国工厂订单的未来将出现一些不那么积极的情况……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4150df7f625f92e68cd729cbf4044c0c\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Unless, of course, we get another few trillion in Washington largesse washing around the nation's crony capitalists.</p><p><blockquote>当然,除非我们从华盛顿得到另外几万亿的慷慨,在这个国家的裙带资本家周围洗刷。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-factory-orders-top-2018-highs-despite-tumbling-ism\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-factory-orders-top-2018-highs-despite-tumbling-ism","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184642734","content_text":"(Aug 3) Despite a notably weak print for ISM's Manufacturing survey (at 2021 lows), analysts expected US Factory orders to continue their rebound back near 2018's record highs, and they did, rising 1.5% MoM, better than the 1.0% increase expected.\nSource: Bloomberg\nThat is the 13th monthly increase of the last 14 and puts Factory orders back at their 2018 highs.\nThe final print for durable goods orders in June were slightly better than expected and improved over the month.\nFinally, just like we saw in Q2 2018, survey data appears to be signaling something not so positive for US factory orders going forward...\n\nSource: Bloomberg\nUnless, of course, we get another few trillion in Washington largesse washing around the nation's crony capitalists.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800631445,"gmtCreate":1627296565287,"gmtModify":1633766423169,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wrong bet on this sectors. Suffered loses but glad I left.","listText":"Wrong bet on this sectors. Suffered loses but glad I left.","text":"Wrong bet on this sectors. Suffered loses but glad I left.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800631445","repostId":"1176724863","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175205403,"gmtCreate":1627031915902,"gmtModify":1633768617798,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wah. Jialat. ","listText":"Wah. Jialat. ","text":"Wah. Jialat.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175205403","repostId":"2153600177","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176096027,"gmtCreate":1626843244669,"gmtModify":1631887103862,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/Z74.SI\">$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$</a>junk stock. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/Z74.SI\">$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$</a>junk stock. ","text":"$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$junk stock.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e431e0327871df08d83e70f972237aa","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176096027","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149129056,"gmtCreate":1625710092075,"gmtModify":1633938121777,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Help like my post pls","listText":"Help like my post pls","text":"Help like my post pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149129056","repostId":"1176865752","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158811230,"gmtCreate":1625143213320,"gmtModify":1633944339296,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158811230","repostId":"1131385251","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151868481,"gmtCreate":1625072043343,"gmtModify":1633945110338,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yeah... what did you get? ","listText":"Yeah... what did you get? ","text":"Yeah... what did you get?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4db4cf6c87a229561a60c82b604f32c5","width":"750","height":"1238"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151868481","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127674548,"gmtCreate":1624848735884,"gmtModify":1633948002858,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127674548","repostId":"2146007118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124751808,"gmtCreate":1624796254804,"gmtModify":1633948554391,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124751808","repostId":"2146090006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":942,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125247542,"gmtCreate":1624677475086,"gmtModify":1633949694461,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125247542","repostId":"1100072036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164380004,"gmtCreate":1624171527608,"gmtModify":1634009818074,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like n comment. Will reply to your comments","listText":"Like n comment. Will reply to your comments","text":"Like n comment. Will reply to your comments","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164380004","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165175449,"gmtCreate":1624111866581,"gmtModify":1634010603387,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165175449","repostId":"1156696708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166907542,"gmtCreate":1623987049086,"gmtModify":1634024571710,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like n comment. Will reply to all your comments","listText":"Like n comment. Will reply to all your comments","text":"Like n comment. Will reply to all your comments","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166907542","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":982,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169869089,"gmtCreate":1623827943041,"gmtModify":1634027470651,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578446470950082","idStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169869089","repostId":"2143375006","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143375006","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623825047,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2143375006?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 14:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 things to watch for when the Fed meets Wednesday<blockquote>美联储周三会议时需要注意的 4 件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143375006","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Despite the big spike in inflation, the Federal Reserve is set to signal on Wedesday that it is not ","content":"<p>Despite the big spike in inflation, the Federal Reserve is set to signal on Wedesday that it is not going to change interest rate policy anytime soon -- at least through the end of 2022, economists say.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家表示,尽管通胀大幅飙升,但美联储将于周三发出信号,表示不会很快改变利率政策——至少在 2022 年底之前不会。</blockquote></p><p> \"The message this week will likely be a heavy dose of 'still a long way to go' sprinkled with concerns about upside risks to inflation,\" wrote Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Barclays.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱银行首席美国经济学家迈克尔·加彭写道:“本周的信息可能是‘还有很长的路要走’,并夹杂着对通胀上行风险的担忧。”</blockquote></p><p> The Fed meets Tuesday and Wednesday this week against a backdrop of the consumer price index up 5% annual rate.</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于本周二和周三召开会议,背景是消费者价格指数年率上涨 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed is still buying $80 billion of Treasurys and $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities each month along with keeping its benchmark rate close to zero, in order to support the economy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储每月仍购买 800 亿美元国债和 400 亿美元抵押贷款支持证券,同时将基准利率保持在接近于零的水平,以支持经济。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials have guided the market that it won't scale back the asset purchases until it sees \"substantial further progress\" towards its unemployment target in particular as the economy recovers from the pandemic. Slowing back asset purchases would be taking the central bank's foot off the gas -- a long way from actually tapping on the brakes with higher interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员已指示市场,在看到失业目标取得“实质性进一步进展”之前,不会缩减资产购买规模,特别是随着经济从疫情中复苏。减缓资产购买速度将使央行放松警惕——距离真正踩下更高利率的刹车还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Economists think markets have been so far surprisingly complacent about inflation. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has fallen to 1.5% from closer to 1.64% just after the Fed's last meeting in late April.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家认为,到目前为止,市场对通胀的自满情绪令人惊讶。美联储 4 月底召开上次会议后,10 年期国债收益率已从接近 1.64% 降至 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at what economists and investors will be watching for Wednesday when the Fed concludes the two-day meeting. Fed officials will release a statement at 2pm Eastern followed by a press conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at 2:30 p.m.</p><p><blockquote>以下是周三美联储结束为期两天的会议时经济学家和投资者将关注的内容。美联储官员将于东部时间下午 2 点发表声明,随后美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将于下午 2:30 召开新闻发布会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflation is transitory</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通货膨胀是暂时的</b></blockquote></p><p> The Fed statement is widely expected to repeat the phrase that the pickup in inflation \"largely reflects transitory factors.\" The Fed may drive this point home in its updated economic forecasts. In March, the Fed had core PCE inflation at 2.2% in 2021, 2% in 2022 and 2.1% in 2023. The 2021 forecast of core inflation is likely to rise but the Fed is expected to keep 2023 core inflation unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍预计美联储声明将重复通胀回升“在很大程度上反映了暂时因素”的说法。美联储可能会在其更新的经济预测中强调这一点。3月份,美联储预计2021年PCE核心通胀率为2.2%,2022年为2%,2023年为2.1%。2021 年核心通胀预测可能会上升,但美联储预计将维持 2023 年核心通胀不变。</blockquote></p><p> <b>'Talking about talking about' tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“谈论谈论”缩减</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed officials are expected to discuss slowing down, or tapering, asset purchases, but only in a preliminary way without laying out any plans. \"We expect Chair Powell to stress that all, or almost all, participants, see tapering action as very premature,\" wrote Steve Englander, head of North American macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank.</p><p><blockquote>预计美联储官员将讨论放缓或缩减资产购买规模,但只是初步讨论,没有制定任何计划。渣打银行北美宏观策略主管史蒂夫·英格兰德写道:“我们预计鲍威尔主席将强调,所有或几乎所有参与者都认为缩减规模行动为时过早。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tolerate a rising expectation of higher rates over 2023-2024</b></p><p><blockquote><b>容忍 2023-2024 年加息预期上升</b></blockquote></p><p> If inflation is more persistent than the Fed now believes, the central bank needs to signal it will do what it needs to do to keep inflation under control. \"In that record, the Fed will, if not encourage, at least tolerate, a rising expectation of [higher] rates over 2023 and 2024,\" said Bruce Kazman, chief economist at JPMorgan Chase, in an interview on Bloomberg Television.</p><p><blockquote>如果通胀比美联储现在认为的更持久,央行需要发出信号,将采取必要措施控制通胀。摩根大通首席经济学家布鲁斯·卡兹曼在接受彭博电视台采访时表示:“根据这一记录,美联储即使不鼓励,至少也会容忍 2023 年和 2024 年加息预期上升。”</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, the median dot on the chart that signal's the Fed's consensus could signal the first rate hike in 2023. In March, 11 of 18 top Fed officials thought policy would be unchanged. Only four of 18 officials were projecting a rate hike in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>因此,图表上表示美联储达成共识的中间点可能预示着 2023 年首次加息。3月份,18名美联储高级官员中有11人认为政策不会改变。18 名官员中只有 4 名预计 2022 年将加息。</blockquote></p><p> Many other economists think it is still unlikely the median projection will change from the current rate close to zero.</p><p><blockquote>许多其他经济学家认为,预测中值仍然不太可能从目前接近于零的利率发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Powell repeat that the Fed is 'a long way' from its goals and 'some time' for substantial further progress?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>鲍威尔会重申美联储距离其目标“还有很长的路要走”,并且需要“一些时间”才能取得实质性的进一步进展?</b></blockquote></p><p> Jim O'Sullivan, thinks the Fed has to start getting away from this language, which Powell used to signal that policy would remain unchanged. \"The longer you leave it in place, the bigger deal it is when you drop it,\" he said. So he thinks Powell will no longer say that it will be \"some time\" before the economy reaches the benchmark of \"some further progress\" to allow the Fed to taper asset purchases. This won't be a signal of imminent tapering. \"It is not in the next three months -- it could happen by the end of the year. O'Sullivan thinks the Fed will show patience and not start tapering until next March.</p><p><blockquote>吉姆·奥沙利文认为,美联储必须开始摆脱这种措辞,鲍威尔用这种措辞表示政策将保持不变。“你把它放在原处的时间越长,掉下来的时候就越重要,”他说。因此,他认为鲍威尔将不再表示,在经济达到“一些进一步进展”的基准以允许美联储缩减资产购买规模之前,还需要“一段时间”。这不会是即将缩减规模的信号。“这不是在未来三个月内,而是可能在今年年底发生。奥沙利文认为美联储将表现出耐心,直到明年三月才开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, wrote she wouldn't be shocked if Powell set out conditions for \"substantial further progress.\" This would go a long way toward removing uncertainty about when the Fed might reach the threshold, she said.</p><p><blockquote>High Frequency Economics 首席美国经济学家鲁贝拉·法鲁奇 (Rubeela Farooqi) 写道,如果鲍威尔为“进一步取得实质性进展”设定条件,她不会感到震惊。她表示,这将大大有助于消除美联储何时可能达到门槛的不确定性。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 things to watch for when the Fed meets Wednesday<blockquote>美联储周三会议时需要注意的 4 件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 things to watch for when the Fed meets Wednesday<blockquote>美联储周三会议时需要注意的 4 件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 14:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Despite the big spike in inflation, the Federal Reserve is set to signal on Wedesday that it is not going to change interest rate policy anytime soon -- at least through the end of 2022, economists say.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家表示,尽管通胀大幅飙升,但美联储将于周三发出信号,表示不会很快改变利率政策——至少在 2022 年底之前不会。</blockquote></p><p> \"The message this week will likely be a heavy dose of 'still a long way to go' sprinkled with concerns about upside risks to inflation,\" wrote Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Barclays.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱银行首席美国经济学家迈克尔·加彭写道:“本周的信息可能是‘还有很长的路要走’,并夹杂着对通胀上行风险的担忧。”</blockquote></p><p> The Fed meets Tuesday and Wednesday this week against a backdrop of the consumer price index up 5% annual rate.</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于本周二和周三召开会议,背景是消费者价格指数年率上涨 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed is still buying $80 billion of Treasurys and $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities each month along with keeping its benchmark rate close to zero, in order to support the economy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储每月仍购买 800 亿美元国债和 400 亿美元抵押贷款支持证券,同时将基准利率保持在接近于零的水平,以支持经济。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials have guided the market that it won't scale back the asset purchases until it sees \"substantial further progress\" towards its unemployment target in particular as the economy recovers from the pandemic. Slowing back asset purchases would be taking the central bank's foot off the gas -- a long way from actually tapping on the brakes with higher interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员已指示市场,在看到失业目标取得“实质性进一步进展”之前,不会缩减资产购买规模,特别是随着经济从疫情中复苏。减缓资产购买速度将使央行放松警惕——距离真正踩下更高利率的刹车还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Economists think markets have been so far surprisingly complacent about inflation. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has fallen to 1.5% from closer to 1.64% just after the Fed's last meeting in late April.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家认为,到目前为止,市场对通胀的自满情绪令人惊讶。美联储 4 月底召开上次会议后,10 年期国债收益率已从接近 1.64% 降至 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at what economists and investors will be watching for Wednesday when the Fed concludes the two-day meeting. Fed officials will release a statement at 2pm Eastern followed by a press conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at 2:30 p.m.</p><p><blockquote>以下是周三美联储结束为期两天的会议时经济学家和投资者将关注的内容。美联储官员将于东部时间下午 2 点发表声明,随后美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将于下午 2:30 召开新闻发布会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflation is transitory</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通货膨胀是暂时的</b></blockquote></p><p> The Fed statement is widely expected to repeat the phrase that the pickup in inflation \"largely reflects transitory factors.\" The Fed may drive this point home in its updated economic forecasts. In March, the Fed had core PCE inflation at 2.2% in 2021, 2% in 2022 and 2.1% in 2023. The 2021 forecast of core inflation is likely to rise but the Fed is expected to keep 2023 core inflation unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍预计美联储声明将重复通胀回升“在很大程度上反映了暂时因素”的说法。美联储可能会在其更新的经济预测中强调这一点。3月份,美联储预计2021年PCE核心通胀率为2.2%,2022年为2%,2023年为2.1%。2021 年核心通胀预测可能会上升,但美联储预计将维持 2023 年核心通胀不变。</blockquote></p><p> <b>'Talking about talking about' tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“谈论谈论”缩减</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed officials are expected to discuss slowing down, or tapering, asset purchases, but only in a preliminary way without laying out any plans. \"We expect Chair Powell to stress that all, or almost all, participants, see tapering action as very premature,\" wrote Steve Englander, head of North American macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank.</p><p><blockquote>预计美联储官员将讨论放缓或缩减资产购买规模,但只是初步讨论,没有制定任何计划。渣打银行北美宏观策略主管史蒂夫·英格兰德写道:“我们预计鲍威尔主席将强调,所有或几乎所有参与者都认为缩减规模行动为时过早。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tolerate a rising expectation of higher rates over 2023-2024</b></p><p><blockquote><b>容忍 2023-2024 年加息预期上升</b></blockquote></p><p> If inflation is more persistent than the Fed now believes, the central bank needs to signal it will do what it needs to do to keep inflation under control. \"In that record, the Fed will, if not encourage, at least tolerate, a rising expectation of [higher] rates over 2023 and 2024,\" said Bruce Kazman, chief economist at JPMorgan Chase, in an interview on Bloomberg Television.</p><p><blockquote>如果通胀比美联储现在认为的更持久,央行需要发出信号,将采取必要措施控制通胀。摩根大通首席经济学家布鲁斯·卡兹曼在接受彭博电视台采访时表示:“根据这一记录,美联储即使不鼓励,至少也会容忍 2023 年和 2024 年加息预期上升。”</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, the median dot on the chart that signal's the Fed's consensus could signal the first rate hike in 2023. In March, 11 of 18 top Fed officials thought policy would be unchanged. Only four of 18 officials were projecting a rate hike in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>因此,图表上表示美联储达成共识的中间点可能预示着 2023 年首次加息。3月份,18名美联储高级官员中有11人认为政策不会改变。18 名官员中只有 4 名预计 2022 年将加息。</blockquote></p><p> Many other economists think it is still unlikely the median projection will change from the current rate close to zero.</p><p><blockquote>许多其他经济学家认为,预测中值仍然不太可能从目前接近于零的利率发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Powell repeat that the Fed is 'a long way' from its goals and 'some time' for substantial further progress?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>鲍威尔会重申美联储距离其目标“还有很长的路要走”,并且需要“一些时间”才能取得实质性的进一步进展?</b></blockquote></p><p> Jim O'Sullivan, thinks the Fed has to start getting away from this language, which Powell used to signal that policy would remain unchanged. \"The longer you leave it in place, the bigger deal it is when you drop it,\" he said. So he thinks Powell will no longer say that it will be \"some time\" before the economy reaches the benchmark of \"some further progress\" to allow the Fed to taper asset purchases. This won't be a signal of imminent tapering. \"It is not in the next three months -- it could happen by the end of the year. O'Sullivan thinks the Fed will show patience and not start tapering until next March.</p><p><blockquote>吉姆·奥沙利文认为,美联储必须开始摆脱这种措辞,鲍威尔用这种措辞表示政策将保持不变。“你把它放在原处的时间越长,掉下来的时候就越重要,”他说。因此,他认为鲍威尔将不再表示,在经济达到“一些进一步进展”的基准以允许美联储缩减资产购买规模之前,还需要“一段时间”。这不会是即将缩减规模的信号。“这不是在未来三个月内,而是可能在今年年底发生。奥沙利文认为美联储将表现出耐心,直到明年三月才开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, wrote she wouldn't be shocked if Powell set out conditions for \"substantial further progress.\" This would go a long way toward removing uncertainty about when the Fed might reach the threshold, she said.</p><p><blockquote>High Frequency Economics 首席美国经济学家鲁贝拉·法鲁奇 (Rubeela Farooqi) 写道,如果鲍威尔为“进一步取得实质性进展”设定条件,她不会感到震惊。她表示,这将大大有助于消除美联储何时可能达到门槛的不确定性。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/4-things-to-watch-for-when-the-fed-meets-wednesday-11623774676?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/4-things-to-watch-for-when-the-fed-meets-wednesday-11623774676?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143375006","content_text":"Despite the big spike in inflation, the Federal Reserve is set to signal on Wedesday that it is not going to change interest rate policy anytime soon -- at least through the end of 2022, economists say.\n\"The message this week will likely be a heavy dose of 'still a long way to go' sprinkled with concerns about upside risks to inflation,\" wrote Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Barclays.\nThe Fed meets Tuesday and Wednesday this week against a backdrop of the consumer price index up 5% annual rate.\nThe Fed is still buying $80 billion of Treasurys and $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities each month along with keeping its benchmark rate close to zero, in order to support the economy.\nFed officials have guided the market that it won't scale back the asset purchases until it sees \"substantial further progress\" towards its unemployment target in particular as the economy recovers from the pandemic. Slowing back asset purchases would be taking the central bank's foot off the gas -- a long way from actually tapping on the brakes with higher interest rates.\nEconomists think markets have been so far surprisingly complacent about inflation. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has fallen to 1.5% from closer to 1.64% just after the Fed's last meeting in late April.\nHere's a look at what economists and investors will be watching for Wednesday when the Fed concludes the two-day meeting. Fed officials will release a statement at 2pm Eastern followed by a press conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at 2:30 p.m.\nInflation is transitory\nThe Fed statement is widely expected to repeat the phrase that the pickup in inflation \"largely reflects transitory factors.\" The Fed may drive this point home in its updated economic forecasts. In March, the Fed had core PCE inflation at 2.2% in 2021, 2% in 2022 and 2.1% in 2023. The 2021 forecast of core inflation is likely to rise but the Fed is expected to keep 2023 core inflation unchanged.\n'Talking about talking about' tapering\nFed officials are expected to discuss slowing down, or tapering, asset purchases, but only in a preliminary way without laying out any plans. \"We expect Chair Powell to stress that all, or almost all, participants, see tapering action as very premature,\" wrote Steve Englander, head of North American macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank.\nTolerate a rising expectation of higher rates over 2023-2024\nIf inflation is more persistent than the Fed now believes, the central bank needs to signal it will do what it needs to do to keep inflation under control. \"In that record, the Fed will, if not encourage, at least tolerate, a rising expectation of [higher] rates over 2023 and 2024,\" said Bruce Kazman, chief economist at JPMorgan Chase, in an interview on Bloomberg Television.\nConsequently, the median dot on the chart that signal's the Fed's consensus could signal the first rate hike in 2023. In March, 11 of 18 top Fed officials thought policy would be unchanged. Only four of 18 officials were projecting a rate hike in 2022.\nMany other economists think it is still unlikely the median projection will change from the current rate close to zero.\nWill Powell repeat that the Fed is 'a long way' from its goals and 'some time' for substantial further progress?\nJim O'Sullivan, thinks the Fed has to start getting away from this language, which Powell used to signal that policy would remain unchanged. \"The longer you leave it in place, the bigger deal it is when you drop it,\" he said. So he thinks Powell will no longer say that it will be \"some time\" before the economy reaches the benchmark of \"some further progress\" to allow the Fed to taper asset purchases. This won't be a signal of imminent tapering. \"It is not in the next three months -- it could happen by the end of the year. O'Sullivan thinks the Fed will show patience and not start tapering until next March.\nRubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, wrote she wouldn't be shocked if Powell set out conditions for \"substantial further progress.\" This would go a long way toward removing uncertainty about when the Fed might reach the threshold, she said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":136431527,"gmtCreate":1622034726169,"gmtModify":1634184491144,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578446470950082","authorIdStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136431527","repostId":"2138895110","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112276004,"gmtCreate":1622879526908,"gmtModify":1634097097989,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578446470950082","authorIdStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Help like and comment, I will reply to all your comments","listText":"Help like and comment, I will reply to all your comments","text":"Help like and comment, I will reply to all your comments","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112276004","repostId":"1106312903","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106312903","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622855773,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1106312903?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周:数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106312903","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental h","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li> <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li> <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元,涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</li><li>支付平台 Marqeta 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元,涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform <b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>市场</b>(MQ) 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划,向客户或最终用户发行卡,以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta 发展迅速,其客户中包括 Affirm (AFRM) 和 DoorDash (DASH) 等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform <b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ) 计划以 82 亿美元的市值筹集 8.64 亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台,促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称,根据MAUs,它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider <b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>LifeStance健康</b>(LFST) 计划以 61 亿美元的市值筹集 6.4 亿美元。LifeStance表示,它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一,截至2021年3月31日,在27个州的73个MSA雇佣了3300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管息税前利润在2021年第一季度变为负值,但该公司仍表现出增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s <b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>星期一网</b>(MNDY) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 4.9 亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建适合其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日,它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce 和 Zoom 计划同时投资 1.5 亿美元进行私募。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor <b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>口袋</b>(任务)计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商,提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日,该公司盈利且增长强劲,拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform <b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。该公司的 Zeta 营销平台利用身份数据,通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta 盈利,为 1,000 多名客户提供服务,到 2020 年将提供大约 5 亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace <b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>在线奢侈品市场<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) 计划以 7.73 亿美元的市值筹集 1.12 亿美元。1stDibs连接古董、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020 年,该市场在过去一年中有超过 58,000 名买家进行了购买,平均每年总购买金额超过 5,500 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform <b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME) 计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 4300 万美元。掌门教育表示,自2017年以来,按收入计算,它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商,2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将对 6 家公司进行街头调查,多达 11 家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年6月3日,文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌6.0%,而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPO)追踪该指数,持有量最大的 ETF 包括Zoom Video (ZM) 和优步 (UBER)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 1.1%,而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.5%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPOS)追踪该指数,持有的 ETF 包括 Nexi 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周:数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周:数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li> <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li> <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元,涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</li><li>支付平台 Marqeta 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元,涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform <b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>市场</b>(MQ) 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划,向客户或最终用户发行卡,以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta 发展迅速,其客户中包括 Affirm (AFRM) 和 DoorDash (DASH) 等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform <b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ) 计划以 82 亿美元的市值筹集 8.64 亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台,促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称,根据MAUs,它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider <b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>LifeStance健康</b>(LFST) 计划以 61 亿美元的市值筹集 6.4 亿美元。LifeStance表示,它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一,截至2021年3月31日,在27个州的73个MSA雇佣了3300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管息税前利润在2021年第一季度变为负值,但该公司仍表现出增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s <b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>星期一网</b>(MNDY) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 4.9 亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建适合其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日,它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce 和 Zoom 计划同时投资 1.5 亿美元进行私募。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor <b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>口袋</b>(任务)计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商,提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日,该公司盈利且增长强劲,拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform <b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。该公司的 Zeta 营销平台利用身份数据,通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta 盈利,为 1,000 多名客户提供服务,到 2020 年将提供大约 5 亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace <b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>在线奢侈品市场<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) 计划以 7.73 亿美元的市值筹集 1.12 亿美元。1stDibs连接古董、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020 年,该市场在过去一年中有超过 58,000 名买家进行了购买,平均每年总购买金额超过 5,500 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform <b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME) 计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 4300 万美元。掌门教育表示,自2017年以来,按收入计算,它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商,2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将对 6 家公司进行街头调查,多达 11 家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年6月3日,文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌6.0%,而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPO)追踪该指数,持有量最大的 ETF 包括Zoom Video (ZM) 和优步 (UBER)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 1.1%,而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.5%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPOS)追踪该指数,持有的 ETF 包括 Nexi 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TASK":"TaskUs Inc.","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DIBS":"1stdibs.com Inc.","ZETA":"Zeta Global Holdings Corp.","ZME":"掌门教育",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BZ":"BOSS直聘","MQ":"Marqeta, Inc.","LFST":"LifeStance Health Group, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106312903","content_text":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.\nMental health services provider LifeStance Health(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.\nIsrael’s monday.com(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.\nBPO vendor TaskUs(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.\nData-driven marketing platform Zeta Global(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.\nOnline luxury goods marketplace 1stDibs(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.\nChinese online tutoring platform Zhangmen Education(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LFST":0.9,"ZME":0.9,"MNDY":0.9,"MQ":0.9,"TASK":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"DIBS":0.9,"ZETA":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"BZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137030995,"gmtCreate":1622266151617,"gmtModify":1634102616478,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578446470950082","authorIdStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137030995","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":539,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113303935,"gmtCreate":1622592700827,"gmtModify":1634100197643,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578446470950082","authorIdStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113303935","repostId":"2140491365","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166907542,"gmtCreate":1623987049086,"gmtModify":1634024571710,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578446470950082","authorIdStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like n comment. Will reply to all your comments","listText":"Like n comment. Will reply to all your comments","text":"Like n comment. Will reply to all your comments","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166907542","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":982,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164380004,"gmtCreate":1624171527608,"gmtModify":1634009818074,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578446470950082","authorIdStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like n comment. Will reply to your comments","listText":"Like n comment. Will reply to your comments","text":"Like n comment. Will reply to your comments","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164380004","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133236209,"gmtCreate":1621751155701,"gmtModify":1634186773817,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578446470950082","authorIdStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133236209","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107054043,"gmtCreate":1620435421182,"gmtModify":1634198830960,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578446470950082","authorIdStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107054043","repostId":"1120904578","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120904578","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620429937,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1120904578?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 07:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Dow hit record highs as weak jobs data eases rate worries<blockquote>疲软的就业数据缓解了利率担忧,标普500和道琼斯指数创下历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120904578","media":"Reuters","summary":"The Dow and S&P 500 hit record closing highs on Friday while registering gains for the week, and the","content":"<p>The Dow and S&P 500 hit record closing highs on Friday while registering gains for the week, and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> recovered after U.S. jobs data eased concerns over prospects for rising rates.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数和标普500指数周五创下收盘新高,本周上涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>美国就业数据缓解了人们对加息前景的担忧后复苏。</blockquote></p><p>U.S. job growth unexpectedly slowed in April, likely restrained by shortages of workers, the Labor Department report showed.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告显示,美国4月份就业增长意外放缓,可能受到工人短缺的限制。</blockquote></p><p>The report alleviated some concerns about rising inflation and potentially higher U.S. interest rates, which some investors worry would hurt growth companies with high valuations.</p><p><blockquote>该报告缓解了对通胀上升和美国利率潜在上升的一些担忧,一些投资者担心这将损害高估值的成长型公司。</blockquote></p><p>“Growth names that were taken to the woodshed are getting another chance, because they will be perceived to be less risky in an environment where there is a slower recovery, and that’s really what the jobs data is indicating”, said Tom Martin, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments.</p><p><blockquote>“Globalt Investments 高级投资组合经理汤姆-马丁(Tom Martin)说:”那些被淘汰的成长型股票又获得了一次机会,因为在复苏放缓的环境中,它们会被认为风险较小,而就业数据正是表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>Heavily-weighted growth stocks such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp MSFT.O and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc AAPL.O rose by 1.1% and 0.5%, respectively, giving the S&P 500 and Nasdaq their biggest boosts.</p><p><blockquote>权重较大的成长股,例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司MSFT.O和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc AAPL.O 分别上涨 1.1% 和 0.5%,给标普500和纳斯达克带来最大提振。</blockquote></p><p>But gains were broad-based, with all major S&P 500 sectors ending in the green and energy SPNY and real estate SPLRCR leading the advance. Energy and materials SPLRCM both hit fresh highs.</p><p><blockquote>但涨幅是广泛的,所有主要标普500板块均以绿色和能源 SPNY 收盘,房地产 SPLRCR 领涨。能源和材料SPLRCM均创下新高。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow .DJI rose 229.23 points, or 0.66%, to 34,777.76, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 30.98 points, or 0.74%, to 4,232.6 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 119.40 points, or 0.88%, to 13,752.24.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数上涨229.23点,或0.66%,至34,777.76点;标普500指数上涨30.98点,或0.74%,至4,232.6点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨119.40点,或0.88%,至13,752.24点。</blockquote></p><p>For the week, the Dow rose 2.7%, its biggest weekly percentage gain since March. The S&P 500 gained 1.2%, its best week since mid-April, while the Nasdaq shed 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本周道琼斯指数上涨 2.7%,为 3 月份以来最大单周百分比涨幅。标普500指数上涨 1.2%,为 4 月中旬以来最好的一周,而纳斯达克指数下跌 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>“The anticipation and confirmation of (Federal Reserve) policy staying the same and continued economic recovery with vaccines rollout have fueled these all-time highs, but we do believe the volatility is going to be tightened in the short term,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive at Axs Investments.</p><p><blockquote>“Axs Investments 首席执行官格雷格-巴苏克(Greg Bassuk)说:”(美联储)政策保持不变的预期和确认,以及随着疫苗的推出,经济持续复苏,推动了这些历史新高,但我们确实认为,短期内波动性将会加剧。</blockquote></p><p>A raft of upbeat earnings also helped stocks, and S&P 500 earnings are now estimated to have increased 50.4% in the first quarter from a year ago, which would be the highest growth rate since the first quarter of 2010, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p><blockquote>大量乐观的盈利也帮助了股市,根据路孚特的数据,目前预计标普500第一季度盈利将比去年同期增长 50.4%,这将是自 2010 年第一季度以来的最高增长率。</blockquote></p><p>Payments firm <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a> Inc SQ.N rose 4.2% after reporting a better-than-expected quarterly profit, as surging demand for bitcoin fueled a jump in cryptocurrency transactions on its application. (Full Story)</p><p><blockquote>支付公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>Inc SQ.N 公布好于预期的季度利润后上涨 4.2%,因为对比特币的需求激增推动了其应用程序上加密货币交易的激增。(全文)</blockquote></p><p>Streaming device maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">Roku Inc</a> ROKU.O jumped 11.5%following an upbeat revenue outlook, while fitness equipment maker Peloton Interactive Inc PTON.O gained as it laid out steps to improve the safety of its equipment. (Full Story) (Full Story)</p><p><blockquote>流媒体设备制造商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">Roku公司</a>ROKU.O 因营收前景乐观而上涨 11.5%,而健身器材制造商 Peloton Interactive Inc PTON.O 则因采取措施提高设备安全性而上涨。(完整故事)(完整故事)</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a> Group Inc EXPE.O shares rose 5.2% as analysts raised price targets following the company’s upbeat results.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a>Group Inc EXPE.O 的股价上涨了 5.2%,原因是分析师在该公司业绩乐观后上调了目标价。</blockquote></p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨发行量超过下跌发行量,比例为 3.27 比 1;在纳斯达克,2.12比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p>The S&P 500 posted 164 new 52-week highs and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 164 new highs and 64 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 164 个 52 周新高,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>新低;纳斯达克综合指数创下164个新高和64个新低。</blockquote></p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.23 billion shares, compared with the 10.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 102.3 亿股,而过去 20 个交易日整个交易日的平均成交量为 101.1 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Dow hit record highs as weak jobs data eases rate worries<blockquote>疲软的就业数据缓解了利率担忧,标普500和道琼斯指数创下历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Dow hit record highs as weak jobs data eases rate worries<blockquote>疲软的就业数据缓解了利率担忧,标普500和道琼斯指数创下历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 07:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Dow and S&P 500 hit record closing highs on Friday while registering gains for the week, and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> recovered after U.S. jobs data eased concerns over prospects for rising rates.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数和标普500指数周五创下收盘新高,本周上涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>美国就业数据缓解了人们对加息前景的担忧后复苏。</blockquote></p><p>U.S. job growth unexpectedly slowed in April, likely restrained by shortages of workers, the Labor Department report showed.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告显示,美国4月份就业增长意外放缓,可能受到工人短缺的限制。</blockquote></p><p>The report alleviated some concerns about rising inflation and potentially higher U.S. interest rates, which some investors worry would hurt growth companies with high valuations.</p><p><blockquote>该报告缓解了对通胀上升和美国利率潜在上升的一些担忧,一些投资者担心这将损害高估值的成长型公司。</blockquote></p><p>“Growth names that were taken to the woodshed are getting another chance, because they will be perceived to be less risky in an environment where there is a slower recovery, and that’s really what the jobs data is indicating”, said Tom Martin, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments.</p><p><blockquote>“Globalt Investments 高级投资组合经理汤姆-马丁(Tom Martin)说:”那些被淘汰的成长型股票又获得了一次机会,因为在复苏放缓的环境中,它们会被认为风险较小,而就业数据正是表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>Heavily-weighted growth stocks such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp MSFT.O and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc AAPL.O rose by 1.1% and 0.5%, respectively, giving the S&P 500 and Nasdaq their biggest boosts.</p><p><blockquote>权重较大的成长股,例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司MSFT.O和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc AAPL.O 分别上涨 1.1% 和 0.5%,给标普500和纳斯达克带来最大提振。</blockquote></p><p>But gains were broad-based, with all major S&P 500 sectors ending in the green and energy SPNY and real estate SPLRCR leading the advance. Energy and materials SPLRCM both hit fresh highs.</p><p><blockquote>但涨幅是广泛的,所有主要标普500板块均以绿色和能源 SPNY 收盘,房地产 SPLRCR 领涨。能源和材料SPLRCM均创下新高。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow .DJI rose 229.23 points, or 0.66%, to 34,777.76, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 30.98 points, or 0.74%, to 4,232.6 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 119.40 points, or 0.88%, to 13,752.24.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数上涨229.23点,或0.66%,至34,777.76点;标普500指数上涨30.98点,或0.74%,至4,232.6点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨119.40点,或0.88%,至13,752.24点。</blockquote></p><p>For the week, the Dow rose 2.7%, its biggest weekly percentage gain since March. The S&P 500 gained 1.2%, its best week since mid-April, while the Nasdaq shed 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本周道琼斯指数上涨 2.7%,为 3 月份以来最大单周百分比涨幅。标普500指数上涨 1.2%,为 4 月中旬以来最好的一周,而纳斯达克指数下跌 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>“The anticipation and confirmation of (Federal Reserve) policy staying the same and continued economic recovery with vaccines rollout have fueled these all-time highs, but we do believe the volatility is going to be tightened in the short term,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive at Axs Investments.</p><p><blockquote>“Axs Investments 首席执行官格雷格-巴苏克(Greg Bassuk)说:”(美联储)政策保持不变的预期和确认,以及随着疫苗的推出,经济持续复苏,推动了这些历史新高,但我们确实认为,短期内波动性将会加剧。</blockquote></p><p>A raft of upbeat earnings also helped stocks, and S&P 500 earnings are now estimated to have increased 50.4% in the first quarter from a year ago, which would be the highest growth rate since the first quarter of 2010, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p><blockquote>大量乐观的盈利也帮助了股市,根据路孚特的数据,目前预计标普500第一季度盈利将比去年同期增长 50.4%,这将是自 2010 年第一季度以来的最高增长率。</blockquote></p><p>Payments firm <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a> Inc SQ.N rose 4.2% after reporting a better-than-expected quarterly profit, as surging demand for bitcoin fueled a jump in cryptocurrency transactions on its application. (Full Story)</p><p><blockquote>支付公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>Inc SQ.N 公布好于预期的季度利润后上涨 4.2%,因为对比特币的需求激增推动了其应用程序上加密货币交易的激增。(全文)</blockquote></p><p>Streaming device maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">Roku Inc</a> ROKU.O jumped 11.5%following an upbeat revenue outlook, while fitness equipment maker Peloton Interactive Inc PTON.O gained as it laid out steps to improve the safety of its equipment. (Full Story) (Full Story)</p><p><blockquote>流媒体设备制造商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">Roku公司</a>ROKU.O 因营收前景乐观而上涨 11.5%,而健身器材制造商 Peloton Interactive Inc PTON.O 则因采取措施提高设备安全性而上涨。(完整故事)(完整故事)</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a> Group Inc EXPE.O shares rose 5.2% as analysts raised price targets following the company’s upbeat results.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a>Group Inc EXPE.O 的股价上涨了 5.2%,原因是分析师在该公司业绩乐观后上调了目标价。</blockquote></p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨发行量超过下跌发行量,比例为 3.27 比 1;在纳斯达克,2.12比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p>The S&P 500 posted 164 new 52-week highs and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 164 new highs and 64 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 164 个 52 周新高,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>新低;纳斯达克综合指数创下164个新高和64个新低。</blockquote></p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.23 billion shares, compared with the 10.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 102.3 亿股,而过去 20 个交易日整个交易日的平均成交量为 101.1 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-dow-hit-record-highs-weak-jobs-data-eases-rate-worries-2021-05-07/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","EXPE":"Expedia","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","ROKU":"Roku Inc","MSFT":"微软",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","AAPL":"苹果","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-dow-hit-record-highs-weak-jobs-data-eases-rate-worries-2021-05-07/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120904578","content_text":"The Dow and S&P 500 hit record closing highs on Friday while registering gains for the week, and the Nasdaq recovered after U.S. jobs data eased concerns over prospects for rising rates.U.S. job growth unexpectedly slowed in April, likely restrained by shortages of workers, the Labor Department report showed.The report alleviated some concerns about rising inflation and potentially higher U.S. interest rates, which some investors worry would hurt growth companies with high valuations.“Growth names that were taken to the woodshed are getting another chance, because they will be perceived to be less risky in an environment where there is a slower recovery, and that’s really what the jobs data is indicating”, said Tom Martin, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments.Heavily-weighted growth stocks such as Microsoft Corp MSFT.O and Apple Inc AAPL.O rose by 1.1% and 0.5%, respectively, giving the S&P 500 and Nasdaq their biggest boosts.But gains were broad-based, with all major S&P 500 sectors ending in the green and energy SPNY and real estate SPLRCR leading the advance. Energy and materials SPLRCM both hit fresh highs.The Dow .DJI rose 229.23 points, or 0.66%, to 34,777.76, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 30.98 points, or 0.74%, to 4,232.6 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 119.40 points, or 0.88%, to 13,752.24.For the week, the Dow rose 2.7%, its biggest weekly percentage gain since March. The S&P 500 gained 1.2%, its best week since mid-April, while the Nasdaq shed 1.5%.“The anticipation and confirmation of (Federal Reserve) policy staying the same and continued economic recovery with vaccines rollout have fueled these all-time highs, but we do believe the volatility is going to be tightened in the short term,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive at Axs Investments.A raft of upbeat earnings also helped stocks, and S&P 500 earnings are now estimated to have increased 50.4% in the first quarter from a year ago, which would be the highest growth rate since the first quarter of 2010, according to Refinitiv data.Payments firm Square Inc SQ.N rose 4.2% after reporting a better-than-expected quarterly profit, as surging demand for bitcoin fueled a jump in cryptocurrency transactions on its application. (Full Story)Streaming device maker Roku Inc ROKU.O jumped 11.5%following an upbeat revenue outlook, while fitness equipment maker Peloton Interactive Inc PTON.O gained as it laid out steps to improve the safety of its equipment. (Full Story) (Full Story)Expedia Group Inc EXPE.O shares rose 5.2% as analysts raised price targets following the company’s upbeat results.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 164 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 164 new highs and 64 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.23 billion shares, compared with the 10.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"EXPE":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SH":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SQ":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"OEF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":989,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379501596,"gmtCreate":1618755819415,"gmtModify":1634291086376,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578446470950082","authorIdStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379501596","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175692875?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期:以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天不是四倍(甚至三倍)魔法日,但今天有很多每周期权将到期,其中五个将毫无价值,而其他期权将为基础价格提供支撑“大头针”。这就是为什么,尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周,但高盛指出,单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说,4 月份每日期权交易量较 3 月 30 日年初以来 24 亿美元的低点增长了 70%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总共有 5,440 亿美元的单只股票期权将于今天到期,其中包括 3,050 亿美元的评级。</b>因此,今天的到期日对于持有大量现值(ATM)期权未平仓合约的股票来说可能非常重要,因为做市商将积极对冲其异常庞大的期权投资组合。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动性,同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易?</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的 Vishal Vivek 所写,在重大到期日,期权交易者会跟踪以下情况:<b>大量未平仓合约将到期。</b>在平价行权(行权价格等于或非常接近当前股价)中有大量到期未平仓合约的情况下,三角洲对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对冲其头寸的期权交易者是净多头 ATM 期权,则与到期相关的流动可能会产生抑制股价变动的效果,导致股价以大量未平仓合约结算在罢工点附近。这种情况通常被称为“pin”,对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大投资者来说,这是一种理想的情况。或者,如果delta-hedgers是净空头ATM期权(具有“负伽马”头寸),他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致拥有大量 ATM 未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此,为了帮助希望抓住日内交易机会的交易者,这里有一个表格,确定了今天到期的大量 ATM 未平仓合约的可能重点股票,并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说,“<i>如果未平仓合约在股票成交量中占很大比例,那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后,值得一提的是,今天早上我们在 SpotGamma 的朋友们写道,这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期,“持续的、近乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙像这样 “突破 ”过很多次,但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象,比如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论,并将在一篇较长的文章中发布”。</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法,由于隐含波动性现在已经被压缩(即VIX在新低),现在有更大的潜力出现“长期”波动性。回想一下,最近市场的任何急剧、剧烈下跌是如何被如此迅速地买入的(见下图)。<b>这些突破下跌与创纪录的 VIX 峰值同时发生,但反思性的snap回购将带来与 VIX(即隐含波动率)逆转同等强度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma 的另一个奇怪观察结果:</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动性非常高时,它对市场走势非常敏感,也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或触及支撑位,隐含的波动性就会迅速回落。<b>我们经常想到这个类比,如果鲨鱼停止游泳,它就会下沉(部分正确!).如果市场停止下跌,那么隐含的波动性就会下降。</b>因此,正如我们经常谈论的那样,较低的隐含波动率(即较低的VIX)表明做市商必须回购推动反弹的空头对冲。SG 的结论: 目前较低的隐含波动率水平为市场提供了更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始,“减缓”了这种反应灵敏的 “snap回调 ”买入机制。此外,当 IV 较低时,伽马值较高,因此伽马翻转可能会有更多的作用。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期:以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期:以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天不是四倍(甚至三倍)魔法日,但今天有很多每周期权将到期,其中五个将毫无价值,而其他期权将为基础价格提供支撑“大头针”。这就是为什么,尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周,但高盛指出,单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说,4 月份每日期权交易量较 3 月 30 日年初以来 24 亿美元的低点增长了 70%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总共有 5,440 亿美元的单只股票期权将于今天到期,其中包括 3,050 亿美元的评级。</b>因此,今天的到期日对于持有大量现值(ATM)期权未平仓合约的股票来说可能非常重要,因为做市商将积极对冲其异常庞大的期权投资组合。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动性,同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易?</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的 Vishal Vivek 所写,在重大到期日,期权交易者会跟踪以下情况:<b>大量未平仓合约将到期。</b>在平价行权(行权价格等于或非常接近当前股价)中有大量到期未平仓合约的情况下,三角洲对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对冲其头寸的期权交易者是净多头 ATM 期权,则与到期相关的流动可能会产生抑制股价变动的效果,导致股价以大量未平仓合约结算在罢工点附近。这种情况通常被称为“pin”,对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大投资者来说,这是一种理想的情况。或者,如果delta-hedgers是净空头ATM期权(具有“负伽马”头寸),他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致拥有大量 ATM 未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此,为了帮助希望抓住日内交易机会的交易者,这里有一个表格,确定了今天到期的大量 ATM 未平仓合约的可能重点股票,并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说,“<i>如果未平仓合约在股票成交量中占很大比例,那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后,值得一提的是,今天早上我们在 SpotGamma 的朋友们写道,这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期,“持续的、近乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙像这样 “突破 ”过很多次,但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象,比如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论,并将在一篇较长的文章中发布”。</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法,由于隐含波动性现在已经被压缩(即VIX在新低),现在有更大的潜力出现“长期”波动性。回想一下,最近市场的任何急剧、剧烈下跌是如何被如此迅速地买入的(见下图)。<b>这些突破下跌与创纪录的 VIX 峰值同时发生,但反思性的snap回购将带来与 VIX(即隐含波动率)逆转同等强度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma 的另一个奇怪观察结果:</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动性非常高时,它对市场走势非常敏感,也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或触及支撑位,隐含的波动性就会迅速回落。<b>我们经常想到这个类比,如果鲨鱼停止游泳,它就会下沉(部分正确!).如果市场停止下跌,那么隐含的波动性就会下降。</b>因此,正如我们经常谈论的那样,较低的隐含波动率(即较低的VIX)表明做市商必须回购推动反弹的空头对冲。SG 的结论: 目前较低的隐含波动率水平为市场提供了更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始,“减缓”了这种反应灵敏的 “snap回调 ”买入机制。此外,当 IV 较低时,伽马值较高,因此伽马翻转可能会有更多的作用。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":744,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160942870,"gmtCreate":1623770688890,"gmtModify":1634028526241,"author":{"id":"3578446470950082","authorId":"3578446470950082","name":"DukeAlan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8e6962022e3365333d669221455dd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578446470950082","authorIdStr":"3578446470950082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160942870","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周,在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时,我们表示,这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫,届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险,在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中(参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”)。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此,高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时,对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览,他称之为 “规模庞大,堪比典型的季度”。具体而言,<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期,此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,尽管这些总数很大,<b>根据指数规模进行调整后,在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,根据高盛的估计,组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权,</b>因此,调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元,仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额(7750 亿美元)。此外,由于股市处于历史高位,预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示,双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后,这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力,直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况,并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%,为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比;AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的(但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天,远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天),同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后,正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样,高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的,在这种情况下,Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的,即 “一旦头寸更加干净,实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时,SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明,如果市场抛售,投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译:<u><b>在抛售中,市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致,高盛还指出,虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高,但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周,由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大,以及零售活动的预测价值,都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票,导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时,高盛发现,过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点,这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是,高盛观察到,短期 SPX 期权(每周)和远离季度的趋势仍在继续,这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一,也是为什么随着到期日的临近,其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样,投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历,包括每周一和周三的到期日,因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实,<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点,</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量: 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围,他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸,以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要?因为如果这种趋势足够大,它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是,通过增加单一名称,“最卖空的名称”,散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周,在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时,我们表示,这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫,届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险,在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中(参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”)。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此,高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时,对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览,他称之为 “规模庞大,堪比典型的季度”。具体而言,<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期,此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,尽管这些总数很大,<b>根据指数规模进行调整后,在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,根据高盛的估计,组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权,</b>因此,调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元,仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额(7750 亿美元)。此外,由于股市处于历史高位,预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示,双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后,这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力,直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况,并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%,为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比;AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的(但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天,远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天),同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后,正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样,高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的,在这种情况下,Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的,即 “一旦头寸更加干净,实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时,SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明,如果市场抛售,投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译:<u><b>在抛售中,市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致,高盛还指出,虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高,但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周,由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大,以及零售活动的预测价值,都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票,导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时,高盛发现,过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点,这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是,高盛观察到,短期 SPX 期权(每周)和远离季度的趋势仍在继续,这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一,也是为什么随着到期日的临近,其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样,投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历,包括每周一和周三的到期日,因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实,<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点,</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量: 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围,他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸,以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要?因为如果这种趋势足够大,它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是,通过增加单一名称,“最卖空的名称”,散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}