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2022-01-24

Opportunity?

Crypto Stocks Dropped in Morning Trading,with Bit Digital,Canaan and Riot Blockchain Falling over 10%<blockquote>加密货币股早盘下跌，Bit Digital、Canaan和Riot Blockchain跌幅超过10%</blockquote>

2022-01-24

Trade carefully

开盘：美股跌势不止！三大股指集体低开

2022-01-24

Market on downtrend still???

Dow Falls for a 7th Day on Monday, S&P 500 Pullback Reaches 10%<blockquote>道指周一连续第7天下跌标普500回调幅度达10%</blockquote>

2022-01-20

Thanks for sharing

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-01-20

Thanks for sharing

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-20

Go Amazon

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2021-08-20

[捂脸] [捂脸]

Ark's Cathie Wood says stock market 'couldn't be further away from a bubble.' Here's why.<blockquote>Ark的凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，股市“离泡沫再远不过了”。原因如下。</blockquote>

2021-08-18

'The S&P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 318 new lows.'

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-20

Is it just the beginning

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2021-07-15

[强]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-14

Go airbnb

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2021-07-07

[强]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-05

IBD Stock Checkup[强]

Here's How The Laws Of Supply And Demand Lead To Major Moves For Growth Stocks<blockquote>以下是供求规律如何导致成长型股票的重大走势</blockquote>

2021-07-03

NIO will continue to grow in the next half of 2021

NIO May Grow Even Faster Than Expected<blockquote>蔚来的增长速度可能比预期还要快</blockquote>

2021-07-01

[开心]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-30

That's great

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-28

Very challenging for Crypto

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-19

Probably a healthy correction

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-18

Banks stocks has been ever green stock to pick up over the long run, despite corrections.

Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>

2021-06-17

Oh wow, very interesting

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sell-off.</p><p><blockquote>比特币周一暴跌近9%，至六个月来的最低水平，因担心俄罗斯袭击乌克兰，全球风险较高的资产扩大抛售。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CAN":"嘉楠科技","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","RIOT":"Riot Platforms"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132841886","content_text":"Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading,with Bit Digital,Canaan and Riot Blockchain falling over 10%.Bitcoin tumbled almost 9per cent on Monday to its lowest in six months as fears of a Russian attack on Ukraine saw riskier assets worldwide extend their 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>近4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">谷歌A</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌约3%；</p><p>区块链概念股重挫，Bit Digital跌逾12%，Marathon Digital跌逾10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">嘉楠科技</a>跌超11%；</p><p>热门中概股集体低开，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">晶科能源</a>跌超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>跌超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>跌近6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌近5%；</p><p>新能源车股普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车跌近6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>均跌超4%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KSS\">科尔士百货</a>涨超30%，据悉激进投资公司Starboard支持的Acacia Research以及私募股权公司Sycamore Partners均对该公司提出收购要约。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n开盘：美股跌势不止！三大股指集体低开\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-24 22:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>1月24日，道琼斯指数开盘下跌453.02点，跌幅1.32%，报33812.35点；标普500指数开盘下跌73.11点，跌幅1.66%，报4324.82点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌295.2点，跌幅2.14%，报13473.7点。</p><p>大型科技股普遍低开，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>近4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">谷歌A</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌约3%；</p><p>区块链概念股重挫，Bit Digital跌逾12%，Marathon Digital跌逾10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">嘉楠科技</a>跌超11%；</p><p>热门中概股集体低开，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">晶科能源</a>跌超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>跌超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>跌近6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌近5%；</p><p>新能源车股普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车跌近6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>均跌超4%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KSS\">科尔士百货</a>涨超30%，据悉激进投资公司Starboard支持的Acacia Research以及私募股权公司Sycamore Partners均对该公司提出收购要约。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","KSS":"柯尔百货",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157289589","content_text":"1月24日，道琼斯指数开盘下跌453.02点，跌幅1.32%，报33812.35点；标普500指数开盘下跌73.11点，跌幅1.66%，报4324.82点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌295.2点，跌幅2.14%，报13473.7点。大型科技股普遍低开，特斯拉、阿里巴巴近4%，谷歌A、亚马逊跌约3%；区块链概念股重挫，Bit Digital跌逾12%，Marathon Digital跌逾10%，嘉楠科技跌超11%；热门中概股集体低开，晶科能源跌超8%，哔哩哔哩跌超6%，腾讯音乐跌近6%，拼多多跌近5%；新能源车股普跌，蔚来汽车跌近6%，小鹏汽车、理想汽车均跌超4%科尔士百货涨超30%，据悉激进投资公司Starboard支持的Acacia Research以及私募股权公司Sycamore Partners均对该公司提出收购要约。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"KSS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630712417,"gmtCreate":1643039646963,"gmtModify":1643039647146,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Market on downtrend still???&nbsp;","listText":"Market on downtrend still???&nbsp;","text":"Market on downtrend still???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630712417","repostId":"1129677909","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129677909","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1643034698,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129677909?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-24 22:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Falls for a 7th Day on Monday, S&P 500 Pullback Reaches 10%<blockquote>道指周一连续第7天下跌标普500回调幅度达10%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129677909","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks fell Monday following the S&P 500′s worst week since March 2020, as investors awaited mo","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>U.S. stocks fell Monday following the S&amp;P 500′s worst week since March 2020, as investors awaited more corporate earnings results and a key policy decision from the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>美国股市周一下跌，此前标普500经历了2020年3月以来最糟糕的一周，投资者等待更多企业盈利结果和美联储的关键政策决定。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost about 450 points, or 1.3%, falling for a seventh-straight day. The S&amp;P 500 dipped 1.6%. The benchmark is now down more than 10% from its intraday high. The Nasdaq Composite declined 2.1%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌约450点，跌幅1.3%，连续第七天下跌。标普500下跌1.6%。该基准指数目前较盘中高点下跌超过10%。纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.1%。</blockquote></p><p>The Monday action followed a brutal week on Wall Street in the face of mixed company earnings and worries about rising interest rates. The S&amp;P 500 closed last week below its 200-day moving average, a key technical level, for the first time since June 2020. The blue-chip Dow posted its worst week since October 2020. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite notched its fourth straight weekly loss, falling deeper into correction territory.</p><p><blockquote>周一的行动是在华尔街经历了残酷的一周之后进行的，原因是公司盈利好坏参半以及对利率上升的担忧。标普500上周收于关键技术水平200日移动均线下方，为2020年6月以来首次。蓝筹股道琼斯指数创下2020年10月以来最糟糕的一周。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数连续第四周下跌，进一步跌入回调区域。</blockquote></p><p>The fourth-quarter earnings season has been a mixed bag. While more than 74% of S&amp;P 500 companies that have reported results have topped Wall Street estimates, a couple of key firms let down investors last week, including Goldman Sachs and Netflix.</p><p><blockquote>第四季度财报季好坏参半。尽管超过74%公布业绩的标普500公司超出了华尔街的预期，但上周包括高盛和Netflix在内的几家主要公司却让投资者失望。</blockquote></p><p>“What had initially been a stimulus withdrawal-driven decline morphed last week to include earnings jitters,” Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, said in a note. “So investors are now worried not just about the multiple placed on earnings, but the EPS (earnings-per-share) forecasts themselves.”</p><p><blockquote>Vital Knowledge创始人亚当·克里萨富利(Adam Crisafulli)在一份报告中表示：“最初因刺激措施退出而导致的下滑上周发生了变化，其中包括盈利紧张。”“因此，投资者现在不仅担心市盈率，还担心EPS（每股收益）预测本身。”</blockquote></p><p>Investors are anticipating a slew of high-stakes earnings reports from mega-cap tech companies this week, including Microsoft, Tesla and Apple. Tesla fell 4.6% and Apple lost 1.2% in the premarket ahead of the quarterly reports.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计微软、特斯拉和苹果等大型科技公司本周将发布一系列高风险收益报告。在季度报告发布前的盘前，特斯拉下跌4.6%，苹果下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Peloton shares fell about 2% in premarket trading following news that activist investor Blackwells is calling for the interactive fitness company to fire CEO John Foley and to seek a buyer.</p><p><blockquote>有消息称，激进投资者Blackwells呼吁这家互动健身公司解雇首席执行官John Foley并寻找买家，Peloton股价在盘前交易中下跌约2%。</blockquote></p><p>Another crucial market driver will be the Fed’s policy meeting, which wraps up on Wednesday. Investors are anxious to find out any signals on how much the central bank will raise interest rates this year and when it will start.</p><p><blockquote>另一个重要的市场驱动因素将是周三结束的美联储政策会议。投资者急于了解央行今年加息幅度以及何时开始的任何信号。</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee, which sets interest rates, meets with expectations that it won’t act at this meeting but will tee up the first of multiple rate hikes starting in March. In addition, the Fed is expected to wrap up its monthly asset purchase program that same month.</p><p><blockquote>负责制定利率的联邦公开市场委员会符合预期，即它不会在本次会议上采取行动，但将从3月份开始进行多次加息中的第一次。此外，美联储预计将在同月结束月度资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p>At his post-meeting news conference, Chairman Jerome Powell also could signal when the Fed will start to unwind its mammoth balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>在会后新闻发布会上，主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔还可能暗示美联储何时开始缩减庞大的资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p>Goldman Sachs said over the weekend that it sees risks rising that the Fed could enact even more than the four quarter-percentage-point hikes that the market has priced in for this year, and might start running off the nearly $9 trillion in assets it is holding in July.</p><p><blockquote>高盛周末表示，它认为美联储加息幅度可能超过市场今年预期的四次25个百分点的风险正在上升，并可能开始耗尽其持有的近9万亿美元资产。七月持有。</blockquote></p><p>Bond yields have surged in the new year in anticipation of Fed rate hikes, which partly triggered the drastic sell-off in growth-oriented tech shares. While the 10-year Treasury yield finished last week lower around 1.76%, the benchmark rate has jumped about a quarter of a percentage point in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>由于美联储加息的预期，债券收益率在新的一年飙升，这在一定程度上引发了成长型科技股的大幅抛售。尽管10年期国债收益率上周收低至1.76%左右，但基准利率在2022年已上涨约四分之一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p>“The big story so far in 2022 has been the rapid move higher in interest rates, which is prompting investors to re-assess valuations for some of the most expensive segments of the market and rotate into value stocks,” said David Lefkowitz, head of equities Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理美洲股票主管戴维·莱夫科维茨(David Lefkowitz)表示：“2022年迄今为止的重大事件是利率迅速走高，这促使投资者重新评估市场上一些最昂贵细分市场的估值，并转向价值股。”</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, investors are dumping riskier assets this year as they brace for the Fed to tighten monetary policy. Bitcoin dropped more than 8% over the weekend, wiping out nearly half of its value at its record high reached in November. The price fell another roughly 5% Monday morning below $34,000.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，投资者今年正在抛售风险较高的资产，为美联储收紧货币政策做准备。比特币周末下跌超过8%，从11月份创下的历史新高蒸发了近一半。周一上午，价格又下跌约5%，跌破34,000美元。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Falls for a 7th Day on Monday, S&P 500 Pullback Reaches 10%<blockquote>道指周一连续第7天下跌标普500回调幅度达10%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Falls for a 7th Day on Monday, S&P 500 Pullback Reaches 10%<blockquote>道指周一连续第7天下跌标普500回调幅度达10%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-01-24 22:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>U.S. stocks fell Monday following the S&amp;P 500′s worst week since March 2020, as investors awaited more corporate earnings results and a key policy decision from the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>美国股市周一下跌，此前标普500经历了2020年3月以来最糟糕的一周，投资者等待更多企业盈利结果和美联储的关键政策决定。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost about 450 points, or 1.3%, falling for a seventh-straight day. The S&amp;P 500 dipped 1.6%. The benchmark is now down more than 10% from its intraday high. The Nasdaq Composite declined 2.1%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌约450点，跌幅1.3%，连续第七天下跌。标普500下跌1.6%。该基准指数目前较盘中高点下跌超过10%。纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.1%。</blockquote></p><p>The Monday action followed a brutal week on Wall Street in the face of mixed company earnings and worries about rising interest rates. The S&amp;P 500 closed last week below its 200-day moving average, a key technical level, for the first time since June 2020. The blue-chip Dow posted its worst week since October 2020. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite notched its fourth straight weekly loss, falling deeper into correction territory.</p><p><blockquote>周一的行动是在华尔街经历了残酷的一周之后进行的，原因是公司盈利好坏参半以及对利率上升的担忧。标普500上周收于关键技术水平200日移动均线下方，为2020年6月以来首次。蓝筹股道琼斯指数创下2020年10月以来最糟糕的一周。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数连续第四周下跌，进一步跌入回调区域。</blockquote></p><p>The fourth-quarter earnings season has been a mixed bag. While more than 74% of S&amp;P 500 companies that have reported results have topped Wall Street estimates, a couple of key firms let down investors last week, including Goldman Sachs and Netflix.</p><p><blockquote>第四季度财报季好坏参半。尽管超过74%公布业绩的标普500公司超出了华尔街的预期，但上周包括高盛和Netflix在内的几家主要公司却让投资者失望。</blockquote></p><p>“What had initially been a stimulus withdrawal-driven decline morphed last week to include earnings jitters,” Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, said in a note. “So investors are now worried not just about the multiple placed on earnings, but the EPS (earnings-per-share) forecasts themselves.”</p><p><blockquote>Vital Knowledge创始人亚当·克里萨富利(Adam Crisafulli)在一份报告中表示：“最初因刺激措施退出而导致的下滑上周发生了变化，其中包括盈利紧张。”“因此，投资者现在不仅担心市盈率，还担心EPS（每股收益）预测本身。”</blockquote></p><p>Investors are anticipating a slew of high-stakes earnings reports from mega-cap tech companies this week, including Microsoft, Tesla and Apple. Tesla fell 4.6% and Apple lost 1.2% in the premarket ahead of the quarterly reports.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计微软、特斯拉和苹果等大型科技公司本周将发布一系列高风险收益报告。在季度报告发布前的盘前，特斯拉下跌4.6%，苹果下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Peloton shares fell about 2% in premarket trading following news that activist investor Blackwells is calling for the interactive fitness company to fire CEO John Foley and to seek a buyer.</p><p><blockquote>有消息称，激进投资者Blackwells呼吁这家互动健身公司解雇首席执行官John Foley并寻找买家，Peloton股价在盘前交易中下跌约2%。</blockquote></p><p>Another crucial market driver will be the Fed’s policy meeting, which wraps up on Wednesday. Investors are anxious to find out any signals on how much the central bank will raise interest rates this year and when it will start.</p><p><blockquote>另一个重要的市场驱动因素将是周三结束的美联储政策会议。投资者急于了解央行今年加息幅度以及何时开始的任何信号。</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee, which sets interest rates, meets with expectations that it won’t act at this meeting but will tee up the first of multiple rate hikes starting in March. In addition, the Fed is expected to wrap up its monthly asset purchase program that same month.</p><p><blockquote>负责制定利率的联邦公开市场委员会符合预期，即它不会在本次会议上采取行动，但将从3月份开始进行多次加息中的第一次。此外，美联储预计将在同月结束月度资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p>At his post-meeting news conference, Chairman Jerome Powell also could signal when the Fed will start to unwind its mammoth balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>在会后新闻发布会上，主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔还可能暗示美联储何时开始缩减庞大的资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p>Goldman Sachs said over the weekend that it sees risks rising that the Fed could enact even more than the four quarter-percentage-point hikes that the market has priced in for this year, and might start running off the nearly $9 trillion in assets it is holding in July.</p><p><blockquote>高盛周末表示，它认为美联储加息幅度可能超过市场今年预期的四次25个百分点的风险正在上升，并可能开始耗尽其持有的近9万亿美元资产。七月持有。</blockquote></p><p>Bond yields have surged in the new year in anticipation of Fed rate hikes, which partly triggered the drastic sell-off in growth-oriented tech shares. While the 10-year Treasury yield finished last week lower around 1.76%, the benchmark rate has jumped about a quarter of a percentage point in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>由于美联储加息的预期，债券收益率在新的一年飙升，这在一定程度上引发了成长型科技股的大幅抛售。尽管10年期国债收益率上周收低至1.76%左右，但基准利率在2022年已上涨约四分之一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p>“The big story so far in 2022 has been the rapid move higher in interest rates, which is prompting investors to re-assess valuations for some of the most expensive segments of the market and rotate into value stocks,” said David Lefkowitz, head of equities Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理美洲股票主管戴维·莱夫科维茨(David Lefkowitz)表示：“2022年迄今为止的重大事件是利率迅速走高，这促使投资者重新评估市场上一些最昂贵细分市场的估值，并转向价值股。”</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, investors are dumping riskier assets this year as they brace for the Fed to tighten monetary policy. Bitcoin dropped more than 8% over the weekend, wiping out nearly half of its value at its record high reached in November. The price fell another roughly 5% Monday morning below $34,000.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，投资者今年正在抛售风险较高的资产，为美联储收紧货币政策做准备。比特币周末下跌超过8%，从11月份创下的历史新高蒸发了近一半。周一上午，价格又下跌约5%，跌破34,000美元。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de0bbe341ac5d74e1a8d74c9ca5de715","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129677909","content_text":"U.S. stocks fell Monday following the S&P 500′s worst week since March 2020, as investors awaited more corporate earnings results and a key policy decision from the Federal Reserve.The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost about 450 points, or 1.3%, falling for a seventh-straight day. The S&P 500 dipped 1.6%. The benchmark is now down more than 10% from its intraday high. The Nasdaq Composite declined 2.1%.The Monday action followed a brutal week on Wall Street in the face of mixed company earnings and worries about rising interest rates. The S&P 500 closed last week below its 200-day moving average, a key technical level, for the first time since June 2020. The blue-chip Dow posted its worst week since October 2020. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite notched its fourth straight weekly loss, falling deeper into correction territory.The fourth-quarter earnings season has been a mixed bag. While more than 74% of S&P 500 companies that have reported results have topped Wall Street estimates, a couple of key firms let down investors last week, including Goldman Sachs and Netflix.“What had initially been a stimulus withdrawal-driven decline morphed last week to include earnings jitters,” Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, said in a note. “So investors are now worried not just about the multiple placed on earnings, but the EPS (earnings-per-share) forecasts themselves.”Investors are anticipating a slew of high-stakes earnings reports from mega-cap tech companies this week, including Microsoft, Tesla and Apple. Tesla fell 4.6% and Apple lost 1.2% in the premarket ahead of the quarterly reports.Peloton shares fell about 2% in premarket trading following news that activist investor Blackwells is calling for the interactive fitness company to fire CEO John Foley and to seek a buyer.Another crucial market driver will be the Fed’s policy meeting, which wraps up on Wednesday. Investors are anxious to find out any signals on how much the central bank will raise interest rates this year and when it will start.The Federal Open Market Committee, which sets interest rates, meets with expectations that it won’t act at this meeting but will tee up the first of multiple rate hikes starting in March. In addition, the Fed is expected to wrap up its monthly asset purchase program that same month.At his post-meeting news conference, Chairman Jerome Powell also could signal when the Fed will start to unwind its mammoth balance sheet.Goldman Sachs said over the weekend that it sees risks rising that the Fed could enact even more than the four quarter-percentage-point hikes that the market has priced in for this year, and might start running off the nearly $9 trillion in assets it is holding in July.Bond yields have surged in the new year in anticipation of Fed rate hikes, which partly triggered the drastic sell-off in growth-oriented tech shares. While the 10-year Treasury yield finished last week lower around 1.76%, the benchmark rate has jumped about a quarter of a percentage point in 2022.“The big story so far in 2022 has been the rapid move higher in interest rates, which is prompting investors to re-assess valuations for some of the most expensive segments of the market and rotate into value stocks,” said David Lefkowitz, head of equities Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management.Meanwhile, investors are dumping riskier assets this year as they brace for the Fed to tighten monetary policy. Bitcoin dropped more than 8% over the weekend, wiping out nearly half of its value at its record high reached in November. The price fell another roughly 5% Monday morning below $34,000.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630931320,"gmtCreate":1642658908334,"gmtModify":1642658908471,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks for sharing&nbsp;","text":"Thanks for sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630931320","repostId":"2204056629","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630933750,"gmtCreate":1642658853587,"gmtModify":1642658853814,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks for sharing&nbsp;","text":"Thanks for sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630933750","repostId":"1124078966","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":838552414,"gmtCreate":1629420840138,"gmtModify":1631884153520,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go Amazon","listText":"Go Amazon","text":"Go Amazon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838552414","repostId":"2160670097","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838551029,"gmtCreate":1629420627961,"gmtModify":1633684994620,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"[捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838551029","repostId":"2160848793","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2160848793","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1629420499,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2160848793?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 08:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ark's Cathie Wood says stock market 'couldn't be further away from a bubble.' Here's why.<blockquote>Ark的凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，股市“离泡沫再远不过了”。原因如下。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160848793","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Wood says she's emboldened by bad news\nCathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment off","content":"<p>Wood says she's emboldened by bad news</p><p><blockquote>伍德说她被坏消息鼓舞了</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b1e646cb0a6ddf4ac942ed5c913a4e4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Cathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment officer of ARK Investment Management</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Cathie Wood，方舟投资管理公司首席执行官兼首席投资官</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There'a growing sense of unease emanating from equity markets in recent trade, despite, and perhaps because, of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 index trading near record heights.</p><p><blockquote>尽管道琼斯工业平均指数（Dow Jones Industrial Average）和标普500指数（Bank of America Index）接近历史新高，但在最近的交易中，人们越来越感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> However, star investor Cathie Wood, who runs a suite of popular ETFs in Ark Investment Management, says that there's no reason to fear that the market is becoming too bubblicious.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在Ark Investment Management经营一系列受欢迎的ETF的明星投资者凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，没有理由担心市场变得过于泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> As the Ark founder puts it: \"I don't think we're in a bubble which is what I think many bears think we are,\" during a Thursday interview with CNBC near midday .</p><p><blockquote>正如方舟创始人在周四中午接受CNBC采访时所说：“我不认为我们处于泡沫之中，我认为许多空头认为我们处于泡沫之中。”</blockquote></p><p> Her comments coming amid intensifying worries about a possible slowdown in economic growth as the delta variant of COVID-19 gathers momentum, creating headwinds for a fuller recovery from the pandemic that has gripped the globe for well over a year.</p><p><blockquote>她发表此番言论之际，人们越来越担心随着COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株势头增强，经济增长可能放缓，这给从席卷全球一年多的大流行中全面复苏带来了阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also have been wringing their hands over the prospects of the Federal Reserve scaling back easy-money policies, notably the monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortage-backed securities, as anxieties grow.</p><p><blockquote>随着焦虑情绪的加剧，投资者也一直在担心美联储缩减宽松货币政策的前景，特别是每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's investment funds, highlighted by the flagship Ark Innovation, have been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> area that has been cited as possibly overvalued and vulnerable to a dramatic swing lower if the market starts to deflate considerably from its current levels.</p><p><blockquote>伍德的投资基金，以旗舰Ark Innovation为重点，已<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>该区域被认为可能被高估，如果市场开始从当前水平大幅萎缩，则容易大幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> Ark Innovation ETF is down 5.2% so far this week and has lost 8.6% in the year to date, badly underperforming the broader market and coming after the fund rang up one-year return of 149%, FactSet data show.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，Ark Innovation ETF本周迄今已下跌5.2%，今年迄今已下跌8.6%，表现严重逊于大盘，此前该基金的一年回报率达到149%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cca916bae90134d64f9ba249031e782\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> By comparison , the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 1.8% this week but up 14% this year, while the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index is off 1.9% on the week but has risen over 12.8% so far in 2021, and the broad-market S&amp;P 500 index is off 1.4% in the week to date but boasts a nearly 17.3% gain for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，道琼斯工业平均指数本周下跌1.8%，但今年上涨14%，而科技含量较高的纳斯达克综合指数本周下跌1.9%，但2021年迄今已上涨超过12.8%，大盘标普500指数本周迄今下跌1.4%，但2021年上涨近17.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's view on the market, however, is that investors are acting much more sedately and prudently, compared with the euphoria that was characteristic of the late 1990s and early 2000s dot-com boom.</p><p><blockquote>然而，伍德对市场的看法是，与20世纪90年代末和21世纪初互联网繁荣时期特有的兴奋相比，投资者的行为更加冷静和谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> \"In a bubble...and I remember the late '90s...our strategies would have been cheered on,\" she told the business network. \"You remember the leapfrogging of analysts making estimates one higher than the other, price targets one higher than the other,\" she said on \"Tech Check.\"</p><p><blockquote>“在泡沫中……我记得90年代末……我们的战略会受到欢呼，”她告诉商业网。她在“Tech Check”节目中表示：“你还记得分析师的预测一个比另一个高，价格目标一个比另一个高。”</blockquote></p><p> She also noted that negative sentiment in the market as a contra-indication, suggesting that growing pessimism may actually fuel further gains rather than inflating a bubble.</p><p><blockquote>她还指出，市场的负面情绪是一个禁忌症，这表明日益增长的悲观情绪实际上可能会推动进一步上涨，而不是吹大泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> \"I like bad news,\" she said.</p><p><blockquote>“我喜欢坏消息，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> \"When I see such negative sentiment out there, especially when it comes to valuation and longer time horizons, investment time horizons, I actually feel a little more comfortable,\" Wood said.</p><p><blockquote>伍德说：“当我看到这种负面情绪时，尤其是在估值和更长的时间范围、投资时间范围方面，我实际上感觉更舒服一些。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ark's Cathie Wood says stock market 'couldn't be further away from a bubble.' Here's why.<blockquote>Ark的凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，股市“离泡沫再远不过了”。原因如下。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nArk's Cathie Wood says stock market 'couldn't be further away from a bubble.' Here's why.<blockquote>Ark的凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，股市“离泡沫再远不过了”。原因如下。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-20 08:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wood says she's emboldened by bad news</p><p><blockquote>伍德说她被坏消息鼓舞了</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b1e646cb0a6ddf4ac942ed5c913a4e4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Cathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment officer of ARK Investment Management</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Cathie Wood，方舟投资管理公司首席执行官兼首席投资官</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There'a growing sense of unease emanating from equity markets in recent trade, despite, and perhaps because, of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 index trading near record heights.</p><p><blockquote>尽管道琼斯工业平均指数（Dow Jones Industrial Average）和标普500指数（Bank of America Index）接近历史新高，但在最近的交易中，人们越来越感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> However, star investor Cathie Wood, who runs a suite of popular ETFs in Ark Investment Management, says that there's no reason to fear that the market is becoming too bubblicious.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在Ark Investment Management经营一系列受欢迎的ETF的明星投资者凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，没有理由担心市场变得过于泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> As the Ark founder puts it: \"I don't think we're in a bubble which is what I think many bears think we are,\" during a Thursday interview with CNBC near midday .</p><p><blockquote>正如方舟创始人在周四中午接受CNBC采访时所说：“我不认为我们处于泡沫之中，我认为许多空头认为我们处于泡沫之中。”</blockquote></p><p> Her comments coming amid intensifying worries about a possible slowdown in economic growth as the delta variant of COVID-19 gathers momentum, creating headwinds for a fuller recovery from the pandemic that has gripped the globe for well over a year.</p><p><blockquote>她发表此番言论之际，人们越来越担心随着COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株势头增强，经济增长可能放缓，这给从席卷全球一年多的大流行中全面复苏带来了阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also have been wringing their hands over the prospects of the Federal Reserve scaling back easy-money policies, notably the monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortage-backed securities, as anxieties grow.</p><p><blockquote>随着焦虑情绪的加剧，投资者也一直在担心美联储缩减宽松货币政策的前景，特别是每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's investment funds, highlighted by the flagship Ark Innovation, have been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> area that has been cited as possibly overvalued and vulnerable to a dramatic swing lower if the market starts to deflate considerably from its current levels.</p><p><blockquote>伍德的投资基金，以旗舰Ark Innovation为重点，已<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>该区域被认为可能被高估，如果市场开始从当前水平大幅萎缩，则容易大幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> Ark Innovation ETF is down 5.2% so far this week and has lost 8.6% in the year to date, badly underperforming the broader market and coming after the fund rang up one-year return of 149%, FactSet data show.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，Ark Innovation ETF本周迄今已下跌5.2%，今年迄今已下跌8.6%，表现严重逊于大盘，此前该基金的一年回报率达到149%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cca916bae90134d64f9ba249031e782\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> By comparison , the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 1.8% this week but up 14% this year, while the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index is off 1.9% on the week but has risen over 12.8% so far in 2021, and the broad-market S&amp;P 500 index is off 1.4% in the week to date but boasts a nearly 17.3% gain for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，道琼斯工业平均指数本周下跌1.8%，但今年上涨14%，而科技含量较高的纳斯达克综合指数本周下跌1.9%，但2021年迄今已上涨超过12.8%，大盘标普500指数本周迄今下跌1.4%，但2021年上涨近17.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's view on the market, however, is that investors are acting much more sedately and prudently, compared with the euphoria that was characteristic of the late 1990s and early 2000s dot-com boom.</p><p><blockquote>然而，伍德对市场的看法是，与20世纪90年代末和21世纪初互联网繁荣时期特有的兴奋相比，投资者的行为更加冷静和谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> \"In a bubble...and I remember the late '90s...our strategies would have been cheered on,\" she told the business network. \"You remember the leapfrogging of analysts making estimates one higher than the other, price targets one higher than the other,\" she said on \"Tech Check.\"</p><p><blockquote>“在泡沫中……我记得90年代末……我们的战略会受到欢呼，”她告诉商业网。她在“Tech Check”节目中表示：“你还记得分析师的预测一个比另一个高，价格目标一个比另一个高。”</blockquote></p><p> She also noted that negative sentiment in the market as a contra-indication, suggesting that growing pessimism may actually fuel further gains rather than inflating a bubble.</p><p><blockquote>她还指出，市场的负面情绪是一个禁忌症，这表明日益增长的悲观情绪实际上可能会推动进一步上涨，而不是吹大泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> \"I like bad news,\" she said.</p><p><blockquote>“我喜欢坏消息，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> \"When I see such negative sentiment out there, especially when it comes to valuation and longer time horizons, investment time horizons, I actually feel a little more comfortable,\" Wood said.</p><p><blockquote>伍德说：“当我看到这种负面情绪时，尤其是在估值和更长的时间范围、投资时间范围方面，我实际上感觉更舒服一些。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/arks-cathie-wood-says-stock-market-couldnt-be-further-away-from-a-bubble-heres-why-11629393761?adobe_mc=MCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1629420103\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/arks-cathie-wood-says-stock-market-couldnt-be-further-away-from-a-bubble-heres-why-11629393761?adobe_mc=MCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1629420103","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160848793","content_text":"Wood says she's emboldened by bad news\nCathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment officer of ARK Investment Management\nThere'a growing sense of unease emanating from equity markets in recent trade, despite, and perhaps because, of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index trading near record heights.\nHowever, star investor Cathie Wood, who runs a suite of popular ETFs in Ark Investment Management, says that there's no reason to fear that the market is becoming too bubblicious.\nAs the Ark founder puts it: \"I don't think we're in a bubble which is what I think many bears think we are,\" during a Thursday interview with CNBC near midday .\nHer comments coming amid intensifying worries about a possible slowdown in economic growth as the delta variant of COVID-19 gathers momentum, creating headwinds for a fuller recovery from the pandemic that has gripped the globe for well over a year.\nInvestors also have been wringing their hands over the prospects of the Federal Reserve scaling back easy-money policies, notably the monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortage-backed securities, as anxieties grow.\nWood's investment funds, highlighted by the flagship Ark Innovation, have been one area that has been cited as possibly overvalued and vulnerable to a dramatic swing lower if the market starts to deflate considerably from its current levels.\nArk Innovation ETF is down 5.2% so far this week and has lost 8.6% in the year to date, badly underperforming the broader market and coming after the fund rang up one-year return of 149%, FactSet data show.\n\nBy comparison , the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 1.8% this week but up 14% this year, while the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index is off 1.9% on the week but has risen over 12.8% so far in 2021, and the broad-market S&P 500 index is off 1.4% in the week to date but boasts a nearly 17.3% gain for 2021.\nWood's view on the market, however, is that investors are acting much more sedately and prudently, compared with the euphoria that was characteristic of the late 1990s and early 2000s dot-com boom.\n\"In a bubble...and I remember the late '90s...our strategies would have been cheered on,\" she told the business network. \"You remember the leapfrogging of analysts making estimates one higher than the other, price targets one higher than the other,\" she said on \"Tech Check.\"\nShe also noted that negative sentiment in the market as a contra-indication, suggesting that growing pessimism may actually fuel further gains rather than inflating a bubble.\n\"I like bad news,\" she said.\n\"When I see such negative sentiment out there, especially when it comes to valuation and longer time horizons, investment time horizons, I actually feel a little more comfortable,\" Wood said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"ARKIU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1654,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":833290760,"gmtCreate":1629243737350,"gmtModify":1631883817799,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"'The S&amp;P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 318 new lows.'&nbsp;","listText":"'The S&amp;P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 318 new lows.'&nbsp;","text":"'The S&P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 318 new lows.'","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833290760","repostId":"2160880977","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178919167,"gmtCreate":1626780326559,"gmtModify":1633771122445,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is it just the beginning","listText":"Is it just the beginning","text":"Is it just the beginning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178919167","repostId":"2152522116","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147214846,"gmtCreate":1626359326585,"gmtModify":1633927512199,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147214846","repostId":"2151526974","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2768,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":144028123,"gmtCreate":1626255153662,"gmtModify":1633928599464,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go airbnb","listText":"Go airbnb","text":"Go airbnb","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144028123","repostId":"2151059033","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157535785,"gmtCreate":1625587748247,"gmtModify":1633939297163,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157535785","repostId":"1117990582","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":155284189,"gmtCreate":1625440622141,"gmtModify":1633940785515,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"IBD Stock Checkup[强]&nbsp;","listText":"IBD Stock Checkup[强]&nbsp;","text":"IBD Stock Checkup[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155284189","repostId":"1124717185","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124717185","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625371001,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124717185?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-04 11:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's How The Laws Of Supply And Demand Lead To Major Moves For Growth Stocks<blockquote>以下是供求规律如何导致成长型股票的重大走势</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124717185","media":"investors","summary":"The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key","content":"<p>The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key for stock investors who want to take advantage of major price moves.</p><p><blockquote>供求规律表面上看起来很简单，但对于想要利用重大价格波动的股票投资者来说，理解其中的细微差别是关键。</blockquote></p><p> Supply and demand is one of the bedrock principles of business and economics. A simple recent example is how the price of lumber skyrocketed amid Covid-related shortages.</p><p><blockquote>供求是商业和经济学的基本原则之一。最近的一个简单例子是，在与Covid相关的短缺中，木材价格如何飙升。</blockquote></p><p> In the stock market, the companies seen as the best positioned by big money will see their share price driven higher as demand ramps up. When this happens, supply will also be constricted, as holders will be more reluctant to sell their shares. Thus, supply and demand is the S in IBD'sCAN SLIM investing method, and the subject of the fourth in an Investor's Corner series.</p><p><blockquote>在股市上，随着需求的增加，被大资金视为最佳定位的公司的股价将被推高。当这种情况发生时，供应也将受到限制，因为持有者将更不愿意出售他们的股票。因此，供给和需求是IBD的Can Slim投资方法中的S，也是投资者角系列第四篇的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Legendary IBD founder William O'Neil, writing in his classic tome, \"How to Make Money in Stocks,\" said supply and demand is \"more important than the opinions of all the analysts on Wall Street, no matter what schools they attended, what degrees they earned, or how high their IQs.\"</p><p><blockquote>IBD传奇创始人威廉·奥尼尔(William O'Neil)在他的经典著作《如何在股票中赚钱》中写道，供求关系“比华尔街所有分析师的意见更重要，无论他们上过什么学校，他们获得了什么学位，或者他们的智商有多高。”</blockquote></p><p> Float Size Matters</p><p><blockquote>浮子大小很重要</blockquote></p><p> A key point to bear in mind is whether the stock you are eying has a large or a small float: the number of shares available for trading. Getting locked into a stock with a small supply of shares means you can be taken on wild rides, both on the upside and the downside.</p><p><blockquote>要记住的关键点是您关注的股票的流通量是大还是小：可供交易的股票数量。锁定一只股票供应量较少的股票意味着你可能会陷入疯狂，无论是上涨还是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, investing in a big-cap name with a massive amount of shares outstanding means it is much more difficult for that stock to make big moves. On the plus side, this can also be less stressful on one's stomach.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，投资拥有大量流通股的大盘股意味着该股票更难做出大动作。从好的方面来说，这也可以减轻胃部的压力。</blockquote></p><p> The ideal is to find a happy medium — a stock that boasts strong earnings growth, and one that is still expanding by offering new products and services. Also look for one that is attracting the attention of institutional investors. Nevertheless, stocks of companies with any size of capitalization can be bought byCAN SLIM investors.</p><p><blockquote>理想的情况是找到一个快乐的媒介——一只拥有强劲盈利增长的股票，并且仍在通过提供新产品和服务进行扩张的股票。还要寻找一个吸引机构投资者注意的。尽管如此，任何资本规模的公司的股票都可以被苗条的投资者购买。</blockquote></p><p> Other encouraging signs to look for are companies that are buying back their stock, which reduces the supply of shares in the market.</p><p><blockquote>其他值得关注的令人鼓舞的迹象是公司正在回购股票，这减少了市场上的股票供应。</blockquote></p><p> How do you measure demand?</p><p><blockquote>你如何衡量需求？</blockquote></p><p> As is often the case when researching a stock, charts are key. Look at the average daily trading volume. Days where the number of shares traded is much higher, or lower, than normal are a key indicator.</p><p><blockquote>正如研究股票时经常出现的情况一样，图表是关键。看日均交易量。股票交易数量远高于或低于正常水平的天数是一个关键指标。</blockquote></p><p> When a share price spikes in big trading volume, this is a clear sign of institutional demand. It is a key indicator that mutual fund managers and other big money buyers, who account for most trading in the stock market, are snapping up a stock. This sort of accumulation is the main driver for big price moves.</p><p><blockquote>当股价在交易量大的情况下飙升时，这是机构需求的明显迹象。这是一个关键指标，表明占股市大部分交易的共同基金经理和其他大额买家正在抢购股票。这种积累是价格大幅波动的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> Piggybacking on such action is a proven way for the intelligent investor to succeed. But make sure to carefully study price charts to find stocks that arebreaking out of proper basesor rebounding from key chart levels. When a stock tops abuy point, ideally volume will be at least 40% above average.</p><p><blockquote>对于聪明的投资者来说，利用这种行动是一种行之有效的成功方式。但请务必仔细研究价格图表，以找到突破适当基础或从关键图表水平反弹的股票。当股票达到买入点时，理想情况下成交量将比平均水平高出至少40%。</blockquote></p><p> The IBD Stock Checkup is another key tool. Under the supply and demand section, you'll find pass or fail ratings for all key related criteria.</p><p><blockquote>IBD股票检查是另一个关键工具。在供应和需求部分，您可以找到所有关键相关标准的通过或失败评级。</blockquote></p><p> That includes information on a stock's market capitalization and itsAccumulation/Distribution Rating, which gauges institutional buying and selling over the previous 13 weeks. Also, the percentage change in funds owning a stock and the number of quarters of increasing fund ownership. Look for stocks flashing green lights in all of these areas.</p><p><blockquote>这包括有关股票市值及其累积/分配评级的信息，该评级衡量过去13周的机构买卖情况。此外，拥有股票的基金的百分比变化以及基金所有权增加的季度数。寻找在所有这些领域亮起绿灯的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's How The Laws Of Supply And Demand Lead To Major Moves For Growth Stocks<blockquote>以下是供求规律如何导致成长型股票的重大走势</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's How The Laws Of Supply And Demand Lead To Major Moves For Growth Stocks<blockquote>以下是供求规律如何导致成长型股票的重大走势</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-04 11:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key for stock investors who want to take advantage of major price moves.</p><p><blockquote>供求规律表面上看起来很简单，但对于想要利用重大价格波动的股票投资者来说，理解其中的细微差别是关键。</blockquote></p><p> Supply and demand is one of the bedrock principles of business and economics. A simple recent example is how the price of lumber skyrocketed amid Covid-related shortages.</p><p><blockquote>供求是商业和经济学的基本原则之一。最近的一个简单例子是，在与Covid相关的短缺中，木材价格如何飙升。</blockquote></p><p> In the stock market, the companies seen as the best positioned by big money will see their share price driven higher as demand ramps up. When this happens, supply will also be constricted, as holders will be more reluctant to sell their shares. Thus, supply and demand is the S in IBD'sCAN SLIM investing method, and the subject of the fourth in an Investor's Corner series.</p><p><blockquote>在股市上，随着需求的增加，被大资金视为最佳定位的公司的股价将被推高。当这种情况发生时，供应也将受到限制，因为持有者将更不愿意出售他们的股票。因此，供给和需求是IBD的Can Slim投资方法中的S，也是投资者角系列第四篇的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Legendary IBD founder William O'Neil, writing in his classic tome, \"How to Make Money in Stocks,\" said supply and demand is \"more important than the opinions of all the analysts on Wall Street, no matter what schools they attended, what degrees they earned, or how high their IQs.\"</p><p><blockquote>IBD传奇创始人威廉·奥尼尔(William O'Neil)在他的经典著作《如何在股票中赚钱》中写道，供求关系“比华尔街所有分析师的意见更重要，无论他们上过什么学校，他们获得了什么学位，或者他们的智商有多高。”</blockquote></p><p> Float Size Matters</p><p><blockquote>浮子大小很重要</blockquote></p><p> A key point to bear in mind is whether the stock you are eying has a large or a small float: the number of shares available for trading. Getting locked into a stock with a small supply of shares means you can be taken on wild rides, both on the upside and the downside.</p><p><blockquote>要记住的关键点是您关注的股票的流通量是大还是小：可供交易的股票数量。锁定一只股票供应量较少的股票意味着你可能会陷入疯狂，无论是上涨还是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, investing in a big-cap name with a massive amount of shares outstanding means it is much more difficult for that stock to make big moves. On the plus side, this can also be less stressful on one's stomach.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，投资拥有大量流通股的大盘股意味着该股票更难做出大动作。从好的方面来说，这也可以减轻胃部的压力。</blockquote></p><p> The ideal is to find a happy medium — a stock that boasts strong earnings growth, and one that is still expanding by offering new products and services. Also look for one that is attracting the attention of institutional investors. Nevertheless, stocks of companies with any size of capitalization can be bought byCAN SLIM investors.</p><p><blockquote>理想的情况是找到一个快乐的媒介——一只拥有强劲盈利增长的股票，并且仍在通过提供新产品和服务进行扩张的股票。还要寻找一个吸引机构投资者注意的。尽管如此，任何资本规模的公司的股票都可以被苗条的投资者购买。</blockquote></p><p> Other encouraging signs to look for are companies that are buying back their stock, which reduces the supply of shares in the market.</p><p><blockquote>其他值得关注的令人鼓舞的迹象是公司正在回购股票，这减少了市场上的股票供应。</blockquote></p><p> How do you measure demand?</p><p><blockquote>你如何衡量需求？</blockquote></p><p> As is often the case when researching a stock, charts are key. Look at the average daily trading volume. Days where the number of shares traded is much higher, or lower, than normal are a key indicator.</p><p><blockquote>正如研究股票时经常出现的情况一样，图表是关键。看日均交易量。股票交易数量远高于或低于正常水平的天数是一个关键指标。</blockquote></p><p> When a share price spikes in big trading volume, this is a clear sign of institutional demand. It is a key indicator that mutual fund managers and other big money buyers, who account for most trading in the stock market, are snapping up a stock. This sort of accumulation is the main driver for big price moves.</p><p><blockquote>当股价在交易量大的情况下飙升时，这是机构需求的明显迹象。这是一个关键指标，表明占股市大部分交易的共同基金经理和其他大额买家正在抢购股票。这种积累是价格大幅波动的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> Piggybacking on such action is a proven way for the intelligent investor to succeed. But make sure to carefully study price charts to find stocks that arebreaking out of proper basesor rebounding from key chart levels. When a stock tops abuy point, ideally volume will be at least 40% above average.</p><p><blockquote>对于聪明的投资者来说，利用这种行动是一种行之有效的成功方式。但请务必仔细研究价格图表，以找到突破适当基础或从关键图表水平反弹的股票。当股票达到买入点时，理想情况下成交量将比平均水平高出至少40%。</blockquote></p><p> The IBD Stock Checkup is another key tool. Under the supply and demand section, you'll find pass or fail ratings for all key related criteria.</p><p><blockquote>IBD股票检查是另一个关键工具。在供应和需求部分，您可以找到所有关键相关标准的通过或失败评级。</blockquote></p><p> That includes information on a stock's market capitalization and itsAccumulation/Distribution Rating, which gauges institutional buying and selling over the previous 13 weeks. Also, the percentage change in funds owning a stock and the number of quarters of increasing fund ownership. Look for stocks flashing green lights in all of these areas.</p><p><blockquote>这包括有关股票市值及其累积/分配评级的信息，该评级衡量过去13周的机构买卖情况。此外，拥有股票的基金的百分比变化以及基金所有权增加的季度数。寻找在所有这些领域亮起绿灯的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/how-to-invest/investors-corner/heres-how-the-laws-of-supply-and-demand-lead-to-major-moves-for-growth-stocks/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/how-to-invest/investors-corner/heres-how-the-laws-of-supply-and-demand-lead-to-major-moves-for-growth-stocks/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124717185","content_text":"The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key for stock investors who want to take advantage of major price moves.\nSupply and demand is one of the bedrock principles of business and economics. A simple recent example is how the price of lumber skyrocketed amid Covid-related shortages.\nIn the stock market, the companies seen as the best positioned by big money will see their share price driven higher as demand ramps up. When this happens, supply will also be constricted, as holders will be more reluctant to sell their shares. Thus, supply and demand is the S in IBD'sCAN SLIM investing method, and the subject of the fourth in an Investor's Corner series.\nLegendary IBD founder William O'Neil, writing in his classic tome, \"How to Make Money in Stocks,\" said supply and demand is \"more important than the opinions of all the analysts on Wall Street, no matter what schools they attended, what degrees they earned, or how high their IQs.\"\nFloat Size Matters\nA key point to bear in mind is whether the stock you are eying has a large or a small float: the number of shares available for trading. Getting locked into a stock with a small supply of shares means you can be taken on wild rides, both on the upside and the downside.\nOn the other hand, investing in a big-cap name with a massive amount of shares outstanding means it is much more difficult for that stock to make big moves. On the plus side, this can also be less stressful on one's stomach.\nThe ideal is to find a happy medium — a stock that boasts strong earnings growth, and one that is still expanding by offering new products and services. Also look for one that is attracting the attention of institutional investors. Nevertheless, stocks of companies with any size of capitalization can be bought byCAN SLIM investors.\nOther encouraging signs to look for are companies that are buying back their stock, which reduces the supply of shares in the market.\nHow do you measure demand?\nAs is often the case when researching a stock, charts are key. Look at the average daily trading volume. Days where the number of shares traded is much higher, or lower, than normal are a key indicator.\nWhen a share price spikes in big trading volume, this is a clear sign of institutional demand. It is a key indicator that mutual fund managers and other big money buyers, who account for most trading in the stock market, are snapping up a stock. This sort of accumulation is the main driver for big price moves.\nPiggybacking on such action is a proven way for the intelligent investor to succeed. But make sure to carefully study price charts to find stocks that arebreaking out of proper basesor rebounding from key chart levels. When a stock tops abuy point, ideally volume will be at least 40% above average.\nThe IBD Stock Checkup is another key tool. Under the supply and demand section, you'll find pass or fail ratings for all key related criteria.\nThat includes information on a stock's market capitalization and itsAccumulation/Distribution Rating, which gauges institutional buying and selling over the previous 13 weeks. Also, the percentage change in funds owning a stock and the number of quarters of increasing fund ownership. Look for stocks flashing green lights in all of these areas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":152163658,"gmtCreate":1625276294874,"gmtModify":1633941877793,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NIO will continue to grow in the next half of 2021","listText":"NIO will continue to grow in the next half of 2021","text":"NIO will continue to grow in the next half of 2021","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152163658","repostId":"1120590567","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120590567","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625238577,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120590567?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO May Grow Even Faster Than Expected<blockquote>蔚来的增长速度可能比预期还要快</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120590567","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nNIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.\nThe Chinese EV maker returned to triple-d","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.</li>  <li>The Chinese EV maker returned to triple-digit delivery growth last month, helped by strong Y/Y growth in NIO’s flagship model ES6.</li>  <li>NIO is set to overcome production setbacks and ramp up production in the second half of 2021.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ca537373e278344c3447309dd586ea\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来6月份的交付量以令人印象深刻的速度增长。</li><li>得益于蔚来旗舰车型ES6的强劲同比增长，这家中国电动汽车制造商上个月的交付量恢复了三位数增长。</li><li>蔚来将克服生产挫折，并在2021年下半年提高产量。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (NIO) is rebounding fast from the pandemic-driven chip supply shortage and the proof is in surging EV deliveries. Impressive delivery rates for the month of June show that the market may underestimate NIO's growth potential.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）正在从大流行导致的芯片供应短缺中迅速反弹，电动汽车交付量激增就是证明。6月份令人印象深刻的交付率表明市场可能低估了蔚来的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Shipping volumes are accelerating</b></p><p><blockquote><b>出货量正在加速</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO guided for lower production volumes in the second quarter due to the global chip and battery supply shortage. The shortage was set to&nbsp;reduce NIO's factory output&nbsp;from 10,000 vehicles to 7,500 vehicles a month.</p><p><blockquote>由于全球芯片和电池供应短缺，蔚来预计第二季度产量将下降。此次短缺将使蔚来工厂的产量从每月10,000辆减少到7,500辆。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor supply shortage has its roots in the COVID-19 pandemic. As more people started to work from home, a sharp increase in demand for semiconductors from the consumer electronics industry coincided with a faster than anticipated rebound in chip demand from the auto industry, leading to a global shortage in semiconductors that is throttling auto production from the US to China. NIO's guidance for lower factory output has lowered delivery expectations but a return to triple-digit growth rates may now push NIO's stock higher again.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体供应短缺的根源在于COVID-19大流行。随着越来越多的人开始在家工作，消费电子行业对半导体的需求急剧增加，而汽车行业的芯片需求反弹速度快于预期，导致全球半导体短缺，抑制了美国到中国的汽车生产。蔚来对工厂产出下降的指导降低了交付预期，但恢复三位数的增长率现在可能会推动蔚来股价再次走高。</blockquote></p><p> While the temporary production drop was a setback for NIO, it seems that the electric vehicle maker is ready to bounce back.NIO's June deliveries&nbsp;were nothing short of impressive and the market may underestimate NIO's ability to grow EV deliveries at triple digits this year. The Chinese EV maker delivered a total 8,083 vehicles in June, bringing the Q2'21 total to 21,896 EVs consisting of all models… NIO's 5-seater electric SUV ES6, the 5-seater electric coupe SUV EC6 and the 6-seater or 7-seater electric SUV ES8. NIO's monthly and quarterly delivery totals hit records in the second quarter and the EV maker is set to reach new records for the rest of the year. Total June deliveries saw 116% growth Y/Y with the largest growth coming from the ES6 model. The ES6 category saw 52% growth Y/Y. Total deliveries for Q2'21 were 21,896, most of which were ES6s, showing growth of 112% Y/Y… and that's despite production problems in the second quarter. Comparable figures for the EC6 are not available since deliveries for this model only began after the second quarter last year. What stands out from NIO's June delivery report is that shipping growth is speeding up compared to the previous month, which may be seen as a sign that NIO's delivery capabilities are undervalued. In May, NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles which is equivalent to a Y/Y growth rate of 95%. Strong delivery numbers for the month of June may be a cue that NIO's production problems are easing and that NIO is ready to return to full production capacity.</p><p><blockquote>虽然暂时的产量下降对蔚来来说是一个挫折，但这家电动汽车制造商似乎已准备好反弹。蔚来6月份的交付量令人印象深刻，市场可能低估了蔚来今年电动汽车交付量以三位数增长的能力。这家中国电动汽车制造商在6月份共交付了8,083辆汽车，使21年第二季度的电动汽车总数达到21,896辆，包括所有车型……蔚来的5座电动SUV ES6、5座电动轿跑车SUV EC6和6座或7座电动SUV ES8。蔚来第二季度的月度和季度交付总量创下纪录，这家电动汽车制造商将在今年剩余时间内创下新纪录。6月份总交付量同比增长116%，其中ES6车型增长最大。ES6类别同比增长52%。21年第二季度的总交付量为21,896辆，其中大部分是ES6，同比增长112%……尽管第二季度出现了生产问题。EC6的可比数据不可用，因为该车型在去年第二季度之后才开始交付。蔚来6月交付报告中值得注意的是，与上个月相比，航运增长正在加快，这可能被视为蔚来交付能力被低估的迹象。5月份，蔚来交付汽车6,711辆，同比增长率为95%。6月份强劲的交付数据可能表明蔚来的生产问题正在缓解，蔚来已准备好恢复满负荷产能。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af76b71f8259337d534fb29b1a6a8c4\" tg-width=\"673\" tg-height=\"129\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles which the EV maker is not fully utilizing due to the semiconductor shortage. As soon as the chip shortage eases, which can be expected to be the case in the second half of the year, we should see a steady ramp up in NIO's factory output and deliveries. The speed of the ramp up will depend less on demand but rather on the severity of the supply shortage. The semiconductor shortage is a primary risk factor that will impact NIO's delivery success in the remaining two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的年产能为15万辆汽车，但由于半导体短缺，该电动汽车制造商并未充分利用该产能。一旦芯片短缺问题得到缓解（预计下半年的情况），我们应该会看到蔚来工厂产量和交付量稳步上升。增长的速度将不太取决于需求，而是取决于供应短缺的严重程度。半导体短缺是影响蔚来在剩余两个季度交付成功的主要风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> The market for electric vehicles is very resilient in China and demand for zero-emission passenger vehicles is not going away due to delays in production, which may be a sort of luxury problem for Chinese EV makers. NIO's EV sales in China have surged this year, but the second half of the year may see even faster growth as the industry works through the supply problem.</p><p><blockquote>中国的电动汽车市场非常有弹性，对零排放乘用车的需求不会因为生产延迟而消失，这对中国电动汽车制造商来说可能是一种奢侈问题。蔚来今年在华电动汽车销量激增，但随着该行业解决供应问题，下半年可能会出现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7579fc2abe7ca63887e68a9256b54cb3\" tg-width=\"921\" tg-height=\"438\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> XPeng (XPEV), another Chinese electric vehicle maker,delivered&nbsp;6,565 Smart EVs in June 2021, representing growth of 617% Y/Y. XPeng sold 4,730 electric sport sedans and 1,835 compact SUVs last month, more than ever before. In Q2'21, XPeng delivered 17,398 deliveries, representing 439% growth Y/Y.</p><p><blockquote>另一家中国电动汽车制造商小鹏汽车(XPEV)于2021年6月交付了6,565辆智能电动汽车，同比增长617%。小鹏汽车上个月售出了4,730辆电动运动轿车和1,835辆紧凑型SUV，比以往任何时候都多。21年第二季度，小鹏汽车交付量为17,398辆，同比增长439%。</blockquote></p><p> XPeng's EV sales in China are also soaring showing strong demand and customer uptake of EV vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车在中国的电动汽车销量也在飙升，显示出电动汽车的强劲需求和客户接受度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c8cd25b4fd64f193bc91dabbee99e54\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"445\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>NIO FY 2021 delivery projections</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来2021财年交付预测</b></blockquote></p><p> My estimates for Q3'21 and Q4'21 deliveries are shown in the graph below and assume a ramp up especially in NIO's ES6 delivery capability and a continual escalation to a quarterly output of 30,000 vehicles by year-end. A quarterly output volume of around 30,000 cars by year-end is realistic to achieve and NIO would still be operating 20% below full production capacity. Calculating the delivery totals for Q1 and Q2 together with my estimates for Q3 and Q4 results in a total delivery potential of 97,056 vehicles (across all three models) in FY 2021 and NIO may even be able to crack the 100,000 barrier if shipment volumes continue to accelerate at a strong rate in the last two quarters of the year. NIO delivered 43,728 vehicles in 2020 in total, so a 97,056 delivery estimate for 2021 implies 122% Y/Y growth. In the first six months of 2021, NIO already delivered 41,956 or 43% of my FY 2021 delivery estimate. As production returns to normal in the second half of the year, NIO should be able to create triple-digit delivery growth on a Y/Y basis.</p><p><blockquote>我对21年第3季度和21年第4季度交付量的估计如下图所示，并假设蔚来ES6交付能力将有所提高，并且到年底季度产量将持续升级至30,000辆。到年底实现约30,000辆汽车的季度产量是现实的，而蔚来的运营仍将比满负荷产能低20%。计算第一季度和第二季度的交付总量以及我对第三季度和第四季度的估计，2021财年的总交付潜力为97,056辆汽车（包括所有三种车型），如果出货量继续增长，蔚来甚至可能能够突破100,000辆大关今年最后两个季度以强劲的速度加速。蔚来在2020年总共交付了43,728辆汽车，因此2021年的交付量预计为97,056辆，意味着同比增长122%。2021年前六个月，蔚来已交付41,956辆，占我2021财年交付预期的43%。随着下半年生产恢复正常，蔚来应该能够创造三位数的同比交付增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb01be329ab1b6d9a6097e74a1d5b250\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"116\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO's sales growth is cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的销售增长很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> EV makers are not cheap and that is because the market values sales and delivery growth more than anything. NIO trades at a P-S ratio of 9.4 and the valuation multiplier factor is not that much different from other EV makers. Compared against Tesla (TSLA), which trades at a P-S ratio of 9.9, NIO has more revaluation potential because it operates in a larger market and has a lower revenue base.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商的价格并不便宜，这是因为市场最看重销售和交付增长。蔚来的市盈率为9.4，估值乘数因素与其他电动汽车制造商没有太大区别。与市盈率为9.9的特斯拉(TSLA)相比，蔚来具有更大的重估潜力，因为它在更大的市场中运营且收入基础较低。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84e0cee1726c807b6b7d04f4f4e44f2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The chip supply shortage is still a major risk factor for NIO and it will have an impact on NIO's Q3 and Q4 production output... which will be below potential. As conditions normalize slowly in the second half, NIO should be able to ramp up factory output and deliveries. While delivery growth rates are influenced by factors outside of NIO's operations, they also represent a big opportunity for NIO to surprise the market. Better than expected growth rates and a fast return to full production could create fertile ground for stock price appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>芯片供应短缺仍然是蔚来的一个主要风险因素，它将对蔚来第三季度和第四季度的产量产生影响...这将低于电位。随着下半年情况慢慢正常化，蔚来应该能够提高工厂产量和交付量。虽然交付增长率受到蔚来运营之外因素的影响，但它们也代表着蔚来给市场带来惊喜的巨大机会。好于预期的增长率和快速恢复全面生产可能会为股价升值创造沃土。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO may be growing faster than expected in 2021 as the chip supply shortage eases and a strong rebound in the second half of the year could push NIO to hit the critical 100,000 annual delivery milestone. Demand for EVs remained strong in 2021 and Chinese EV makers are killing it. I believe 120% Y/Y growth in annual deliveries is possible in 2021 as factory output normalizes in the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>随着芯片供应短缺的缓解，蔚来在2021年的增长速度可能会快于预期，下半年的强劲反弹可能会推动蔚来达到关键的10万辆年交付里程碑。2021年电动汽车需求依然强劲，而中国电动汽车制造商正在扼杀这一需求。我相信，随着下半年工厂产出正常化，2021年全年交付量有可能同比增长120%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO May Grow Even Faster Than Expected<blockquote>蔚来的增长速度可能比预期还要快</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO May Grow Even Faster Than Expected<blockquote>蔚来的增长速度可能比预期还要快</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 23:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.</li>  <li>The Chinese EV maker returned to triple-digit delivery growth last month, helped by strong Y/Y growth in NIO’s flagship model ES6.</li>  <li>NIO is set to overcome production setbacks and ramp up production in the second half of 2021.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ca537373e278344c3447309dd586ea\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来6月份的交付量以令人印象深刻的速度增长。</li><li>得益于蔚来旗舰车型ES6的强劲同比增长，这家中国电动汽车制造商上个月的交付量恢复了三位数增长。</li><li>蔚来将克服生产挫折，并在2021年下半年提高产量。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (NIO) is rebounding fast from the pandemic-driven chip supply shortage and the proof is in surging EV deliveries. Impressive delivery rates for the month of June show that the market may underestimate NIO's growth potential.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）正在从大流行导致的芯片供应短缺中迅速反弹，电动汽车交付量激增就是证明。6月份令人印象深刻的交付率表明市场可能低估了蔚来的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Shipping volumes are accelerating</b></p><p><blockquote><b>出货量正在加速</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO guided for lower production volumes in the second quarter due to the global chip and battery supply shortage. The shortage was set to&nbsp;reduce NIO's factory output&nbsp;from 10,000 vehicles to 7,500 vehicles a month.</p><p><blockquote>由于全球芯片和电池供应短缺，蔚来预计第二季度产量将下降。此次短缺将使蔚来工厂的产量从每月10,000辆减少到7,500辆。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor supply shortage has its roots in the COVID-19 pandemic. As more people started to work from home, a sharp increase in demand for semiconductors from the consumer electronics industry coincided with a faster than anticipated rebound in chip demand from the auto industry, leading to a global shortage in semiconductors that is throttling auto production from the US to China. NIO's guidance for lower factory output has lowered delivery expectations but a return to triple-digit growth rates may now push NIO's stock higher again.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体供应短缺的根源在于COVID-19大流行。随着越来越多的人开始在家工作，消费电子行业对半导体的需求急剧增加，而汽车行业的芯片需求反弹速度快于预期，导致全球半导体短缺，抑制了美国到中国的汽车生产。蔚来对工厂产出下降的指导降低了交付预期，但恢复三位数的增长率现在可能会推动蔚来股价再次走高。</blockquote></p><p> While the temporary production drop was a setback for NIO, it seems that the electric vehicle maker is ready to bounce back.NIO's June deliveries&nbsp;were nothing short of impressive and the market may underestimate NIO's ability to grow EV deliveries at triple digits this year. The Chinese EV maker delivered a total 8,083 vehicles in June, bringing the Q2'21 total to 21,896 EVs consisting of all models… NIO's 5-seater electric SUV ES6, the 5-seater electric coupe SUV EC6 and the 6-seater or 7-seater electric SUV ES8. NIO's monthly and quarterly delivery totals hit records in the second quarter and the EV maker is set to reach new records for the rest of the year. Total June deliveries saw 116% growth Y/Y with the largest growth coming from the ES6 model. The ES6 category saw 52% growth Y/Y. Total deliveries for Q2'21 were 21,896, most of which were ES6s, showing growth of 112% Y/Y… and that's despite production problems in the second quarter. Comparable figures for the EC6 are not available since deliveries for this model only began after the second quarter last year. What stands out from NIO's June delivery report is that shipping growth is speeding up compared to the previous month, which may be seen as a sign that NIO's delivery capabilities are undervalued. In May, NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles which is equivalent to a Y/Y growth rate of 95%. Strong delivery numbers for the month of June may be a cue that NIO's production problems are easing and that NIO is ready to return to full production capacity.</p><p><blockquote>虽然暂时的产量下降对蔚来来说是一个挫折，但这家电动汽车制造商似乎已准备好反弹。蔚来6月份的交付量令人印象深刻，市场可能低估了蔚来今年电动汽车交付量以三位数增长的能力。这家中国电动汽车制造商在6月份共交付了8,083辆汽车，使21年第二季度的电动汽车总数达到21,896辆，包括所有车型……蔚来的5座电动SUV ES6、5座电动轿跑车SUV EC6和6座或7座电动SUV ES8。蔚来第二季度的月度和季度交付总量创下纪录，这家电动汽车制造商将在今年剩余时间内创下新纪录。6月份总交付量同比增长116%，其中ES6车型增长最大。ES6类别同比增长52%。21年第二季度的总交付量为21,896辆，其中大部分是ES6，同比增长112%……尽管第二季度出现了生产问题。EC6的可比数据不可用，因为该车型在去年第二季度之后才开始交付。蔚来6月交付报告中值得注意的是，与上个月相比，航运增长正在加快，这可能被视为蔚来交付能力被低估的迹象。5月份，蔚来交付汽车6,711辆，同比增长率为95%。6月份强劲的交付数据可能表明蔚来的生产问题正在缓解，蔚来已准备好恢复满负荷产能。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af76b71f8259337d534fb29b1a6a8c4\" tg-width=\"673\" tg-height=\"129\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles which the EV maker is not fully utilizing due to the semiconductor shortage. As soon as the chip shortage eases, which can be expected to be the case in the second half of the year, we should see a steady ramp up in NIO's factory output and deliveries. The speed of the ramp up will depend less on demand but rather on the severity of the supply shortage. The semiconductor shortage is a primary risk factor that will impact NIO's delivery success in the remaining two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的年产能为15万辆汽车，但由于半导体短缺，该电动汽车制造商并未充分利用该产能。一旦芯片短缺问题得到缓解（预计下半年的情况），我们应该会看到蔚来工厂产量和交付量稳步上升。增长的速度将不太取决于需求，而是取决于供应短缺的严重程度。半导体短缺是影响蔚来在剩余两个季度交付成功的主要风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> The market for electric vehicles is very resilient in China and demand for zero-emission passenger vehicles is not going away due to delays in production, which may be a sort of luxury problem for Chinese EV makers. NIO's EV sales in China have surged this year, but the second half of the year may see even faster growth as the industry works through the supply problem.</p><p><blockquote>中国的电动汽车市场非常有弹性，对零排放乘用车的需求不会因为生产延迟而消失，这对中国电动汽车制造商来说可能是一种奢侈问题。蔚来今年在华电动汽车销量激增，但随着该行业解决供应问题，下半年可能会出现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7579fc2abe7ca63887e68a9256b54cb3\" tg-width=\"921\" tg-height=\"438\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> XPeng (XPEV), another Chinese electric vehicle maker,delivered&nbsp;6,565 Smart EVs in June 2021, representing growth of 617% Y/Y. XPeng sold 4,730 electric sport sedans and 1,835 compact SUVs last month, more than ever before. In Q2'21, XPeng delivered 17,398 deliveries, representing 439% growth Y/Y.</p><p><blockquote>另一家中国电动汽车制造商小鹏汽车(XPEV)于2021年6月交付了6,565辆智能电动汽车，同比增长617%。小鹏汽车上个月售出了4,730辆电动运动轿车和1,835辆紧凑型SUV，比以往任何时候都多。21年第二季度，小鹏汽车交付量为17,398辆，同比增长439%。</blockquote></p><p> XPeng's EV sales in China are also soaring showing strong demand and customer uptake of EV vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车在中国的电动汽车销量也在飙升，显示出电动汽车的强劲需求和客户接受度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c8cd25b4fd64f193bc91dabbee99e54\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"445\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>NIO FY 2021 delivery projections</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来2021财年交付预测</b></blockquote></p><p> My estimates for Q3'21 and Q4'21 deliveries are shown in the graph below and assume a ramp up especially in NIO's ES6 delivery capability and a continual escalation to a quarterly output of 30,000 vehicles by year-end. A quarterly output volume of around 30,000 cars by year-end is realistic to achieve and NIO would still be operating 20% below full production capacity. Calculating the delivery totals for Q1 and Q2 together with my estimates for Q3 and Q4 results in a total delivery potential of 97,056 vehicles (across all three models) in FY 2021 and NIO may even be able to crack the 100,000 barrier if shipment volumes continue to accelerate at a strong rate in the last two quarters of the year. NIO delivered 43,728 vehicles in 2020 in total, so a 97,056 delivery estimate for 2021 implies 122% Y/Y growth. In the first six months of 2021, NIO already delivered 41,956 or 43% of my FY 2021 delivery estimate. As production returns to normal in the second half of the year, NIO should be able to create triple-digit delivery growth on a Y/Y basis.</p><p><blockquote>我对21年第3季度和21年第4季度交付量的估计如下图所示，并假设蔚来ES6交付能力将有所提高，并且到年底季度产量将持续升级至30,000辆。到年底实现约30,000辆汽车的季度产量是现实的，而蔚来的运营仍将比满负荷产能低20%。计算第一季度和第二季度的交付总量以及我对第三季度和第四季度的估计，2021财年的总交付潜力为97,056辆汽车（包括所有三种车型），如果出货量继续增长，蔚来甚至可能能够突破100,000辆大关今年最后两个季度以强劲的速度加速。蔚来在2020年总共交付了43,728辆汽车，因此2021年的交付量预计为97,056辆，意味着同比增长122%。2021年前六个月，蔚来已交付41,956辆，占我2021财年交付预期的43%。随着下半年生产恢复正常，蔚来应该能够创造三位数的同比交付增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb01be329ab1b6d9a6097e74a1d5b250\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"116\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO's sales growth is cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的销售增长很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> EV makers are not cheap and that is because the market values sales and delivery growth more than anything. NIO trades at a P-S ratio of 9.4 and the valuation multiplier factor is not that much different from other EV makers. Compared against Tesla (TSLA), which trades at a P-S ratio of 9.9, NIO has more revaluation potential because it operates in a larger market and has a lower revenue base.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商的价格并不便宜，这是因为市场最看重销售和交付增长。蔚来的市盈率为9.4，估值乘数因素与其他电动汽车制造商没有太大区别。与市盈率为9.9的特斯拉(TSLA)相比，蔚来具有更大的重估潜力，因为它在更大的市场中运营且收入基础较低。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84e0cee1726c807b6b7d04f4f4e44f2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The chip supply shortage is still a major risk factor for NIO and it will have an impact on NIO's Q3 and Q4 production output... which will be below potential. As conditions normalize slowly in the second half, NIO should be able to ramp up factory output and deliveries. While delivery growth rates are influenced by factors outside of NIO's operations, they also represent a big opportunity for NIO to surprise the market. Better than expected growth rates and a fast return to full production could create fertile ground for stock price appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>芯片供应短缺仍然是蔚来的一个主要风险因素，它将对蔚来第三季度和第四季度的产量产生影响...这将低于电位。随着下半年情况慢慢正常化，蔚来应该能够提高工厂产量和交付量。虽然交付增长率受到蔚来运营之外因素的影响，但它们也代表着蔚来给市场带来惊喜的巨大机会。好于预期的增长率和快速恢复全面生产可能会为股价升值创造沃土。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO may be growing faster than expected in 2021 as the chip supply shortage eases and a strong rebound in the second half of the year could push NIO to hit the critical 100,000 annual delivery milestone. Demand for EVs remained strong in 2021 and Chinese EV makers are killing it. I believe 120% Y/Y growth in annual deliveries is possible in 2021 as factory output normalizes in the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>随着芯片供应短缺的缓解，蔚来在2021年的增长速度可能会快于预期，下半年的强劲反弹可能会推动蔚来达到关键的10万辆年交付里程碑。2021年电动汽车需求依然强劲，而中国电动汽车制造商正在扼杀这一需求。我相信，随着下半年工厂产出正常化，2021年全年交付量有可能同比增长120%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437606-nio-may-grow-faster-than-expected\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437606-nio-may-grow-faster-than-expected","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120590567","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.\nThe Chinese EV maker returned to triple-digit delivery growth last month, helped by strong Y/Y growth in NIO’s flagship model ES6.\nNIO is set to overcome production setbacks and ramp up production in the second half of 2021.\n\npeterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images\nChinese electric vehicle maker NIO (NIO) is rebounding fast from the pandemic-driven chip supply shortage and the proof is in surging EV deliveries. Impressive delivery rates for the month of June show that the market may underestimate NIO's growth potential.\nShipping volumes are accelerating\nNIO guided for lower production volumes in the second quarter due to the global chip and battery supply shortage. The shortage was set to reduce NIO's factory output from 10,000 vehicles to 7,500 vehicles a month.\nThe global semiconductor supply shortage has its roots in the COVID-19 pandemic. As more people started to work from home, a sharp increase in demand for semiconductors from the consumer electronics industry coincided with a faster than anticipated rebound in chip demand from the auto industry, leading to a global shortage in semiconductors that is throttling auto production from the US to China. NIO's guidance for lower factory output has lowered delivery expectations but a return to triple-digit growth rates may now push NIO's stock higher again.\nWhile the temporary production drop was a setback for NIO, it seems that the electric vehicle maker is ready to bounce back.NIO's June deliveries were nothing short of impressive and the market may underestimate NIO's ability to grow EV deliveries at triple digits this year. The Chinese EV maker delivered a total 8,083 vehicles in June, bringing the Q2'21 total to 21,896 EVs consisting of all models… NIO's 5-seater electric SUV ES6, the 5-seater electric coupe SUV EC6 and the 6-seater or 7-seater electric SUV ES8. NIO's monthly and quarterly delivery totals hit records in the second quarter and the EV maker is set to reach new records for the rest of the year. Total June deliveries saw 116% growth Y/Y with the largest growth coming from the ES6 model. The ES6 category saw 52% growth Y/Y. Total deliveries for Q2'21 were 21,896, most of which were ES6s, showing growth of 112% Y/Y… and that's despite production problems in the second quarter. Comparable figures for the EC6 are not available since deliveries for this model only began after the second quarter last year. What stands out from NIO's June delivery report is that shipping growth is speeding up compared to the previous month, which may be seen as a sign that NIO's delivery capabilities are undervalued. In May, NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles which is equivalent to a Y/Y growth rate of 95%. Strong delivery numbers for the month of June may be a cue that NIO's production problems are easing and that NIO is ready to return to full production capacity.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO has an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles which the EV maker is not fully utilizing due to the semiconductor shortage. As soon as the chip shortage eases, which can be expected to be the case in the second half of the year, we should see a steady ramp up in NIO's factory output and deliveries. The speed of the ramp up will depend less on demand but rather on the severity of the supply shortage. The semiconductor shortage is a primary risk factor that will impact NIO's delivery success in the remaining two quarters.\nThe market for electric vehicles is very resilient in China and demand for zero-emission passenger vehicles is not going away due to delays in production, which may be a sort of luxury problem for Chinese EV makers. NIO's EV sales in China have surged this year, but the second half of the year may see even faster growth as the industry works through the supply problem.\n(Source:InsideEVs)\nXPeng (XPEV), another Chinese electric vehicle maker,delivered 6,565 Smart EVs in June 2021, representing growth of 617% Y/Y. XPeng sold 4,730 electric sport sedans and 1,835 compact SUVs last month, more than ever before. In Q2'21, XPeng delivered 17,398 deliveries, representing 439% growth Y/Y.\nXPeng's EV sales in China are also soaring showing strong demand and customer uptake of EV vehicles.\n(Source:InsideEVs)\nNIO FY 2021 delivery projections\nMy estimates for Q3'21 and Q4'21 deliveries are shown in the graph below and assume a ramp up especially in NIO's ES6 delivery capability and a continual escalation to a quarterly output of 30,000 vehicles by year-end. A quarterly output volume of around 30,000 cars by year-end is realistic to achieve and NIO would still be operating 20% below full production capacity. Calculating the delivery totals for Q1 and Q2 together with my estimates for Q3 and Q4 results in a total delivery potential of 97,056 vehicles (across all three models) in FY 2021 and NIO may even be able to crack the 100,000 barrier if shipment volumes continue to accelerate at a strong rate in the last two quarters of the year. NIO delivered 43,728 vehicles in 2020 in total, so a 97,056 delivery estimate for 2021 implies 122% Y/Y growth. In the first six months of 2021, NIO already delivered 41,956 or 43% of my FY 2021 delivery estimate. As production returns to normal in the second half of the year, NIO should be able to create triple-digit delivery growth on a Y/Y basis.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO's sales growth is cheap\nEV makers are not cheap and that is because the market values sales and delivery growth more than anything. NIO trades at a P-S ratio of 9.4 and the valuation multiplier factor is not that much different from other EV makers. Compared against Tesla (TSLA), which trades at a P-S ratio of 9.9, NIO has more revaluation potential because it operates in a larger market and has a lower revenue base.\nData by YCharts\nRisks\nThe chip supply shortage is still a major risk factor for NIO and it will have an impact on NIO's Q3 and Q4 production output... which will be below potential. As conditions normalize slowly in the second half, NIO should be able to ramp up factory output and deliveries. While delivery growth rates are influenced by factors outside of NIO's operations, they also represent a big opportunity for NIO to surprise the market. Better than expected growth rates and a fast return to full production could create fertile ground for stock price appreciation.\nFinal thoughts\nNIO may be growing faster than expected in 2021 as the chip supply shortage eases and a strong rebound in the second half of the year could push NIO to hit the critical 100,000 annual delivery milestone. Demand for EVs remained strong in 2021 and Chinese EV makers are killing it. I believe 120% Y/Y growth in annual deliveries is possible in 2021 as factory output normalizes in the second half of the year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158230369,"gmtCreate":1625150251451,"gmtModify":1633944220405,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158230369","repostId":"1186720190","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":151120052,"gmtCreate":1625068128376,"gmtModify":1633945182709,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That's great&nbsp;","listText":"That's great&nbsp;","text":"That's great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151120052","repostId":"1105779613","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127116091,"gmtCreate":1624839405213,"gmtModify":1633948232983,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very challenging for Crypto&nbsp;","listText":"Very challenging for Crypto&nbsp;","text":"Very challenging for Crypto","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127116091","repostId":"1149670859","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162749407,"gmtCreate":1624077466809,"gmtModify":1634010965607,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Probably a healthy correction","listText":"Probably a healthy correction","text":"Probably a healthy correction","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162749407","repostId":"1156696708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162056692,"gmtCreate":1624028804216,"gmtModify":1634023849522,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Banks stocks has been ever green stock to pick up over the long run, despite corrections.&nbsp;","listText":"Banks stocks has been ever green stock to pick up over the long run, despite corrections.&nbsp;","text":"Banks stocks has been ever green stock to pick up over the long run, despite corrections.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162056692","repostId":"1119296361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119296361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624028454,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119296361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119296361","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier","content":"<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 23:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛","WFC":"富国银行","C":"花旗","BAC":"美国银行","JPM":"摩根大通","MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119296361","content_text":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.\nThere’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.\nAfter Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%\nThe market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.\nWhy the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.\nUntil that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WFC":0.9,"C":0.9,"GS":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"MS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161785543,"gmtCreate":1623940758982,"gmtModify":1634025541561,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh wow, very interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Oh wow, very interesting&nbsp;","text":"Oh wow, very interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161785543","repostId":"1162782159","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":833290760,"gmtCreate":1629243737350,"gmtModify":1631883817799,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"'The S&amp;P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 318 new lows.'&nbsp;","listText":"'The S&amp;P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 318 new lows.'&nbsp;","text":"'The S&P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 318 new lows.'","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833290760","repostId":"2160880977","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327844183,"gmtCreate":1616078036242,"gmtModify":1634527345431,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"On long term wise it should be on the growth side as can't live without technology","listText":"On long term wise it should be on the growth side as can't live without technology","text":"On long term wise it should be on the growth side as can't live without technology","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327844183","repostId":"1172934216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131723307,"gmtCreate":1621897846509,"gmtModify":1634185800713,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131723307","repostId":"2137155484","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178919167,"gmtCreate":1626780326559,"gmtModify":1633771122445,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is it just the beginning","listText":"Is it just the beginning","text":"Is it just the beginning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178919167","repostId":"2152522116","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112421491,"gmtCreate":1622905307713,"gmtModify":1634096969547,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"At the beginning of 2020, shares were trading a few bucks shy of triple digits. It would later close at over $883 in January 2021 before shedding a significant portion of those gains.","listText":"At the beginning of 2020, shares were trading a few bucks shy of triple digits. It would later close at over $883 in January 2021 before shedding a significant portion of those gains.","text":"At the beginning of 2020, shares were trading a few bucks shy of triple digits. It would later close at over $883 in January 2021 before shedding a significant portion of those gains.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112421491","repostId":"1188570839","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162749407,"gmtCreate":1624077466809,"gmtModify":1634010965607,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Probably a healthy correction","listText":"Probably a healthy correction","text":"Probably a healthy correction","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162749407","repostId":"1156696708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105734624,"gmtCreate":1620338694568,"gmtModify":1634206057894,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Online payment trend continue and fly","listText":"Online payment trend continue and fly","text":"Online payment trend continue and fly","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105734624","repostId":"1147105479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160058390,"gmtCreate":1623767378110,"gmtModify":1634028612979,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Look forward more opportunities for investment&nbsp;","listText":"Look forward more opportunities for investment&nbsp;","text":"Look forward more opportunities for investment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160058390","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184278755,"gmtCreate":1623717372577,"gmtModify":1634029714496,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"From 2014 to 2018, Mr. Buffett’s wealth soared by $24.3 billion, according to ProPublica. (To underline, this is just the amount the fortune grew.) The amount of taxes Mr. Buffett paid over this period? $23.7 million.&nbsp;[惊吓]&nbsp;","listText":"From 2014 to 2018, Mr. Buffett’s wealth soared by $24.3 billion, according to ProPublica. (To underline, this is just the amount the fortune grew.) The amount of taxes Mr. Buffett paid over this period? $23.7 million.&nbsp;[惊吓]&nbsp;","text":"From 2014 to 2018, Mr. Buffett’s wealth soared by $24.3 billion, according to ProPublica. (To underline, this is just the amount the fortune grew.) The amount of taxes Mr. Buffett paid over this period? $23.7 million. [惊吓]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184278755","repostId":"1112731941","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112731941","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623716319,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112731941?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 08:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett and the Myth of the ‘Good Billionaire’<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特和“优秀亿万富翁”的神话</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112731941","media":"The New York Times","summary":"Illustration by The New York Times; Photograph via Getty\nWarren Buffett appears to be the safest kin","content":"<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002912ff5cccdf9eee5a5197b6b82e93\" tg-width=\"1600\" tg-height=\"1600\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Illustration by The New York Times; Photograph via Getty</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>《纽约时报》插图；照片来自盖蒂</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett appears to be the safest kind of billionaire: the good kind. Mr. Buffett is neither Zuckerbergian messiah nor Musky provocateur, neither Bezosist space cadet nor Sacklerian undertaker. He is, or seems to be, quiet, humble, indifferent to money, philanthropic and critical of the system that allowed him to rise. Years ago, a proposed tax increase was named after him.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特似乎是最安全的亿万富翁：善良的那种。巴菲特既不是扎克伯格式的救世主，也不是麝香式的挑衅者，既不是贝佐斯式的太空学员，也不是萨克勒式的殡仪员。他是，或者看起来是，安静、谦逊、对金钱漠不关心、乐善好施，对让他崛起的体制持批评态度。几年前，一项增税提案以他的名字命名。</blockquote></p><p> It’s easy for people to think: If only members of the Sackler family were more like Mr. Buffett, imagine how many lives would have been saved. If only the billionaires who haven’t signed the Giving Pledge would give away as much as Mr. Buffett has pledged to, imagine the impact on the world. If only more billionaires would make use of the system without feeling the need to pervert it, so many of our troubles would vanish.</p><p><blockquote>人们很容易想到：要是萨克勒家族的成员更像巴菲特先生就好了，想象一下会有多少人的生命得到挽救。如果没有签署捐赠誓言的亿万富翁们能像巴菲特先生承诺的那样捐赠那么多，想象一下对世界的影响。如果更多的亿万富翁能够利用这个系统，而不觉得有必要扭曲它，我们的许多麻烦就会消失。</blockquote></p><p> So I regret to inform you that Mr. Buffett is actually the most dangerous kind of billionaire we have. The worst billionaires are the Good Billionaires. The sort who make it seem like the problem is the distortion of the system when, in fact, the problem is the system.</p><p><blockquote>所以我很遗憾地告诉大家，巴菲特先生实际上是我们拥有的最危险的亿万富翁。最糟糕的亿万富翁是优秀的亿万富翁。让它看起来像是问题的人是系统的扭曲，而事实上，问题是系统。</blockquote></p><p> Actually malevolent and disastrously negligent plutocrats get most of the attention. And when we hear about these Bad Billionaire exploits, it is possible to conclude from them that the system needs better policing, updated regulations and maybe slightly higher taxes. The system needs to be made to work again.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，恶意和灾难性疏忽的财阀得到了最多的关注。当我们听到这些糟糕的亿万富翁剥削时，有可能从中得出结论，该系统需要更好的监管、更新的法规，也许还需要稍微提高税收。这个系统需要重新工作。</blockquote></p><p> But as America slouches toward plutocracy, our problem isn’t the virtue level of billionaires. It’s a set of social arrangements that make it possible for anyone to gain and guard and keep so much wealth, even as millions of others lack for food, work, housing, health, connectivity, education, dignity and the occasion to pursue their happiness.</p><p><blockquote>但随着美国无精打采地走向富豪统治，我们的问题不在于亿万富翁的美德水平。这是一套社会安排，使任何人都有可能获得、保护和保留如此多的财富，即使数百万人缺乏食物、工作、住房、健康、连通性、教育、尊严和追求幸福的机会。</blockquote></p><p> There is no way to be a billionaire in America without taking advantage of a system predicated on cruelty, a system whose tax code and labor laws and regulatory apparatus prioritize your needs above most people’s. Even noted Good Billionaire Mr. Buffett has profited from Coca-Cola’s sugary drinks, Amazon’s union busting, Chevron’s oil drilling, Clayton Homes’s predatory loans and, as the country learned recently, the failure to tax billionaires on their wealth.</p><p><blockquote>在美国，如果不利用一个建立在残酷基础上的体系，就不可能成为亿万富翁，这个体系的税法、劳动法和监管机构将你的需求置于大多数人的需求之上。即使是著名的亿万富翁巴菲特也从可口可乐的含糖饮料、亚马逊的工会破坏、雪佛龙的石油钻探、克莱顿住宅的掠夺性贷款以及美国最近了解到的未能对亿万富翁的财富征税中获利。</blockquote></p><p> The Good Billionaire myth took a hard blow in recent days when Mr. Buffett won a dubious distinction. A&nbsp;staggering exposé&nbsp;published by ProPublica revealed just how little the biggest plutocrats pay in taxes, despite mounting piles of wealth. And at the very top of that list of plutocrats — many of them with troubled reputations — was the cleanest, grandfatherliest plutocrat of them all: Mr. Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>最近几天，当巴菲特赢得一项可疑的荣誉时，亿万富翁的神话受到了沉重打击。ProPublica发布的一份令人震惊的曝光显示，尽管财富不断增加，但最大的富豪缴纳的税款是多么之少。在这份富豪名单中——他们中的许多人名声不佳——最干净、最慷慨的是巴菲特先生。</blockquote></p><p> ProPublica’s story was unusual in that, for once, it was the Good Billionaire at the top of the naughty list. This was helpful, because it served to indict the system that makes him possible, even when it is working perfectly, wholly lawfully.</p><p><blockquote>ProPublica的故事不同寻常，因为这一次，它是在淘气名单上名列前茅的优秀亿万富翁。这是有帮助的，因为它有助于起诉使他成为可能的系统，即使它是完美的，完全合法的。</blockquote></p><p> From 2014 to 2018, Mr. Buffett’s wealth soared by $24.3 billion, according to ProPublica. (To underline, this is just the amount the fortune grew.) The amount of taxes Mr. Buffett paid over this period? $23.7 million. If middle-class Americans in their 40s enjoyed such a low effective tax rate, they would have paid a few dozen bucks per household over this same time period. Instead, as the ProPublica story notes, they paid around $62,000.</p><p><blockquote>根据ProPublica的数据，从2014年到2018年，巴菲特的财富飙升了243亿美元。（需要强调的是，这只是财富增长的金额。）巴菲特先生在此期间缴纳的税款？2370万美元。如果40多岁的美国中产阶级享受如此低的有效税率，他们在同一时期每户将支付几十美元。相反，正如ProPublica的故事所指出的，他们支付了大约62,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> Imagine if Mr. Buffett had to pay the same fraction of the growth of his net worth that regular people do. Taxing that money could have helped pay for bridge repairs, mammograms, and free day care. More important — and this isn’t said enough — there is intrinsic value in shrinking gargantuan fortunes. The sway plutocrats have over public life is inconsistent with a one person, one vote democracy.</p><p><blockquote>想象一下，如果巴菲特先生必须支付与普通人相同比例的净资产增长。对这笔钱征税可以帮助支付桥梁维修、乳房x光检查和免费日托。更重要的是——这还不够——巨额财富的缩水具有内在价值。财阀对公共生活的影响力与一人一票的民主不一致。</blockquote></p><p> The important point here is that Mr. Buffett’s tax payments as detailed by ProPublica are fully legal. Though Mr. Buffett has called for changing the tax system, while we have the one we have, he will continue to benefit from the madness of taxing billionaires for their income, rather than their wealth, when their income is pretty much just a number they can construct.</p><p><blockquote>这里重要的一点是，ProPublica详细介绍的巴菲特先生的纳税情况是完全合法的。尽管巴菲特先生呼吁改变税收制度，但当我们拥有现有的税收制度时，他将继续受益于对亿万富翁的收入而不是财富征税的疯狂行为，而他们的收入几乎只是一个数字。他们可以构建。</blockquote></p><p> I asked Mr. Buffett last week, via his longtime secretary, Debbie Bosanek, if he could think of even one tax or accounting practice that he has come to regret. Sure, he may have followed the letter of the law. But was there any aspect of his patriotism or humanity that left him feeling guilty for hoarding so much untaxed when regular people pay so much in taxes? Though Ms. Bosanek responded to an initial inquiry, she declined to offer any such examples.</p><p><blockquote>上周，我通过巴菲特的长期秘书黛比·博萨内克（Debbie Bosanek）问他是否能想到一个让他后悔的税务或会计做法。当然，他可能遵守了法律条文。但是，当普通人缴纳如此多的税款时，他的爱国主义或人性是否有任何方面让他为囤积如此多未缴税而感到内疚？尽管Bosanek女士对初步调查做出了回应，但她拒绝提供任何此类例子。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> In a long statement last week, Mr. Buffett&nbsp;defended himself&nbsp;by pointing to his long advocacy for a fairer taxation system, and then he immediately told on himself by undermining the very idea of taxes in the same letter. “I believe the money will be of more use to society if disbursed philanthropically than if it is used to slightly reduce an ever-increasing U.S. debt.”</p><p><blockquote>在上周的一份长篇声明中，巴菲特为自己辩护，指出他长期以来一直倡导更公平的税收制度，然后他立即在同一封信中破坏了税收的想法。“我相信，如果这笔钱用于慈善事业，比用于略微减少不断增加的美国债务对社会的用处更大。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words: I believe in higher income taxes on people like me, but I’m highly organized to avoid having income to report, and I don’t really believe in taxes because I think I should decide how these surplus resources are spent.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说：我相信对像我这样的人征收更高的所得税，但我高度组织化以避免报告收入，我并不真正相信税收，因为我认为我应该决定如何使用这些剩余资源。</blockquote></p><p> And this points to another way in which the Good Billionaire is hard to deal with. The crooks and the scoundrels and the people manifestly looking for quick P.R. highs come to philanthropy for the marketing payoff. When Goldman Sachs announces a new initiative on fighting the racial wealth gap despite having done little to repair the damage it did to Black homeowners in contributing to the 2008 financial meltdown, some may be fooled, but, more and more, many are not.</p><p><blockquote>这指出了优秀亿万富翁难以相处的另一种方式。骗子、无赖和明显寻求快速公关高潮的人来到慈善事业是为了营销回报。当高盛宣布一项消除种族贫富差距的新举措时，尽管它几乎没有采取任何措施来修复2008年金融危机对黑人房主造成的损害，一些人可能会被愚弄，但越来越多的人没有被愚弄。</blockquote></p><p> Supposed Good Billionaires like Mr. Buffett and his friend Bill Gates are more complicated because they give real money. They may benefit from marketing but also seem to many people to be motivated by more than that, and they apply their smarts to the work.</p><p><blockquote>像巴菲特先生和他的朋友比尔·盖茨这样所谓的好亿万富翁更复杂，因为他们给的是真金白银。他们可能会从营销中受益，但在许多人看来，他们的动机不止于此，他们将自己的智慧运用到工作中。</blockquote></p><p> Yet because of this, it is often the Good Billionaires who end up with the most illegitimate influence over public life. No one is asking members of the Sackler family for public health advice. But Mr. Gates has become a major policy voice on vaccines despite holding no elected position. Mr. Buffett, for his part, has shied away from that kind of lane hopping and richsplaining, but in donating his fortune to Mr. Gates’s foundation he has pumped up that undemocratic influence.</p><p><blockquote>然而，正因为如此，往往是优秀的亿万富翁最终对公共生活产生了最不正当的影响。没有人向萨克勒家族成员寻求公共卫生建议。但是盖茨先生已经成为疫苗政策的主要代言人，尽管他没有担任民选职位。就巴菲特而言，他避免了这种跳跃和炫耀财富的行为，但通过将自己的财富捐给盖茨的基金会，他增强了这种不民主的影响力。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Buffett is almost the perfectly made billionaire for this moment in which, at last, many Americans are beginning to question not only corruptions of the system but the matter of whether billionaires should exist at all. He doesn’t do the things the worst of them do. He isn’t in it for what they’re in it for. He clearly must care about money, but he also kind of doesn’t care about money. Even in his generosity, he has avoided the imperial lording over that others cannot resist.</p><p><blockquote>在这个时刻，巴菲特先生几乎是完美的亿万富翁，许多美国人终于开始不仅质疑金融体系的腐败，还质疑亿万富翁是否应该存在。他不会做他们中最坏的人会做的事情。他不是为了他们的目的。他显然关心钱，但他也有点不在乎钱。即使在他的慷慨中，他也避免了别人无法抗拒的帝国统治。</blockquote></p><p> And this is what makes him so troubling, because through him we are tempted into believing that a system can be defended that allows a man to accumulate more than $100 billion while people are sleeping, in hock to him, in his mobile homes, shortening their lives with the beverages he’s invested in, scampering around the warehouses whose nonunion status has redounded to his money pile.</p><p><blockquote>这就是他如此令人不安的原因，因为通过他，我们倾向于相信一个系统是可以捍卫的，这个系统允许一个人在人们睡觉的时候积累超过1000亿美元，抵押给他，在他的活动房屋里，用他投资的饮料缩短他们的寿命，在仓库里蹦蹦跳跳，这些仓库的非工会身份帮助了他的钱堆。</blockquote></p><p> It can’t. And who keeps us from seeing that simple, stark truth more effectively, more perniciously, than the Good Billionaire?</p><p><blockquote>它不能。谁能比善良的亿万富翁更有效、更有害地阻止我们看到这个简单、赤裸裸的事实呢？</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1608616134662","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett and the Myth of the ‘Good Billionaire’<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特和“优秀亿万富翁”的神话</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett and the Myth of the ‘Good Billionaire’<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特和“优秀亿万富翁”的神话</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The New York Times</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 08:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002912ff5cccdf9eee5a5197b6b82e93\" tg-width=\"1600\" tg-height=\"1600\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Illustration by The New York Times; Photograph via Getty</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>《纽约时报》插图；照片来自盖蒂</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett appears to be the safest kind of billionaire: the good kind. Mr. Buffett is neither Zuckerbergian messiah nor Musky provocateur, neither Bezosist space cadet nor Sacklerian undertaker. He is, or seems to be, quiet, humble, indifferent to money, philanthropic and critical of the system that allowed him to rise. Years ago, a proposed tax increase was named after him.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特似乎是最安全的亿万富翁：善良的那种。巴菲特既不是扎克伯格式的救世主，也不是麝香式的挑衅者，既不是贝佐斯式的太空学员，也不是萨克勒式的殡仪员。他是，或者看起来是，安静、谦逊、对金钱漠不关心、乐善好施，对让他崛起的体制持批评态度。几年前，一项增税提案以他的名字命名。</blockquote></p><p> It’s easy for people to think: If only members of the Sackler family were more like Mr. Buffett, imagine how many lives would have been saved. If only the billionaires who haven’t signed the Giving Pledge would give away as much as Mr. Buffett has pledged to, imagine the impact on the world. If only more billionaires would make use of the system without feeling the need to pervert it, so many of our troubles would vanish.</p><p><blockquote>人们很容易想到：要是萨克勒家族的成员更像巴菲特先生就好了，想象一下会有多少人的生命得到挽救。如果没有签署捐赠誓言的亿万富翁们能像巴菲特先生承诺的那样捐赠那么多，想象一下对世界的影响。如果更多的亿万富翁能够利用这个系统，而不觉得有必要扭曲它，我们的许多麻烦就会消失。</blockquote></p><p> So I regret to inform you that Mr. Buffett is actually the most dangerous kind of billionaire we have. The worst billionaires are the Good Billionaires. The sort who make it seem like the problem is the distortion of the system when, in fact, the problem is the system.</p><p><blockquote>所以我很遗憾地告诉大家，巴菲特先生实际上是我们拥有的最危险的亿万富翁。最糟糕的亿万富翁是优秀的亿万富翁。让它看起来像是问题的人是系统的扭曲，而事实上，问题是系统。</blockquote></p><p> Actually malevolent and disastrously negligent plutocrats get most of the attention. And when we hear about these Bad Billionaire exploits, it is possible to conclude from them that the system needs better policing, updated regulations and maybe slightly higher taxes. The system needs to be made to work again.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，恶意和灾难性疏忽的财阀得到了最多的关注。当我们听到这些糟糕的亿万富翁剥削时，有可能从中得出结论，该系统需要更好的监管、更新的法规，也许还需要稍微提高税收。这个系统需要重新工作。</blockquote></p><p> But as America slouches toward plutocracy, our problem isn’t the virtue level of billionaires. It’s a set of social arrangements that make it possible for anyone to gain and guard and keep so much wealth, even as millions of others lack for food, work, housing, health, connectivity, education, dignity and the occasion to pursue their happiness.</p><p><blockquote>但随着美国无精打采地走向富豪统治，我们的问题不在于亿万富翁的美德水平。这是一套社会安排，使任何人都有可能获得、保护和保留如此多的财富，即使数百万人缺乏食物、工作、住房、健康、连通性、教育、尊严和追求幸福的机会。</blockquote></p><p> There is no way to be a billionaire in America without taking advantage of a system predicated on cruelty, a system whose tax code and labor laws and regulatory apparatus prioritize your needs above most people’s. Even noted Good Billionaire Mr. Buffett has profited from Coca-Cola’s sugary drinks, Amazon’s union busting, Chevron’s oil drilling, Clayton Homes’s predatory loans and, as the country learned recently, the failure to tax billionaires on their wealth.</p><p><blockquote>在美国，如果不利用一个建立在残酷基础上的体系，就不可能成为亿万富翁，这个体系的税法、劳动法和监管机构将你的需求置于大多数人的需求之上。即使是著名的亿万富翁巴菲特也从可口可乐的含糖饮料、亚马逊的工会破坏、雪佛龙的石油钻探、克莱顿住宅的掠夺性贷款以及美国最近了解到的未能对亿万富翁的财富征税中获利。</blockquote></p><p> The Good Billionaire myth took a hard blow in recent days when Mr. Buffett won a dubious distinction. A&nbsp;staggering exposé&nbsp;published by ProPublica revealed just how little the biggest plutocrats pay in taxes, despite mounting piles of wealth. And at the very top of that list of plutocrats — many of them with troubled reputations — was the cleanest, grandfatherliest plutocrat of them all: Mr. Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>最近几天，当巴菲特赢得一项可疑的荣誉时，亿万富翁的神话受到了沉重打击。ProPublica发布的一份令人震惊的曝光显示，尽管财富不断增加，但最大的富豪缴纳的税款是多么之少。在这份富豪名单中——他们中的许多人名声不佳——最干净、最慷慨的是巴菲特先生。</blockquote></p><p> ProPublica’s story was unusual in that, for once, it was the Good Billionaire at the top of the naughty list. This was helpful, because it served to indict the system that makes him possible, even when it is working perfectly, wholly lawfully.</p><p><blockquote>ProPublica的故事不同寻常，因为这一次，它是在淘气名单上名列前茅的优秀亿万富翁。这是有帮助的，因为它有助于起诉使他成为可能的系统，即使它是完美的，完全合法的。</blockquote></p><p> From 2014 to 2018, Mr. Buffett’s wealth soared by $24.3 billion, according to ProPublica. (To underline, this is just the amount the fortune grew.) The amount of taxes Mr. Buffett paid over this period? $23.7 million. If middle-class Americans in their 40s enjoyed such a low effective tax rate, they would have paid a few dozen bucks per household over this same time period. Instead, as the ProPublica story notes, they paid around $62,000.</p><p><blockquote>根据ProPublica的数据，从2014年到2018年，巴菲特的财富飙升了243亿美元。（需要强调的是，这只是财富增长的金额。）巴菲特先生在此期间缴纳的税款？2370万美元。如果40多岁的美国中产阶级享受如此低的有效税率，他们在同一时期每户将支付几十美元。相反，正如ProPublica的故事所指出的，他们支付了大约62,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> Imagine if Mr. Buffett had to pay the same fraction of the growth of his net worth that regular people do. Taxing that money could have helped pay for bridge repairs, mammograms, and free day care. More important — and this isn’t said enough — there is intrinsic value in shrinking gargantuan fortunes. The sway plutocrats have over public life is inconsistent with a one person, one vote democracy.</p><p><blockquote>想象一下，如果巴菲特先生必须支付与普通人相同比例的净资产增长。对这笔钱征税可以帮助支付桥梁维修、乳房x光检查和免费日托。更重要的是——这还不够——巨额财富的缩水具有内在价值。财阀对公共生活的影响力与一人一票的民主不一致。</blockquote></p><p> The important point here is that Mr. Buffett’s tax payments as detailed by ProPublica are fully legal. Though Mr. Buffett has called for changing the tax system, while we have the one we have, he will continue to benefit from the madness of taxing billionaires for their income, rather than their wealth, when their income is pretty much just a number they can construct.</p><p><blockquote>这里重要的一点是，ProPublica详细介绍的巴菲特先生的纳税情况是完全合法的。尽管巴菲特先生呼吁改变税收制度，但当我们拥有现有的税收制度时，他将继续受益于对亿万富翁的收入而不是财富征税的疯狂行为，而他们的收入几乎只是一个数字。他们可以构建。</blockquote></p><p> I asked Mr. Buffett last week, via his longtime secretary, Debbie Bosanek, if he could think of even one tax or accounting practice that he has come to regret. Sure, he may have followed the letter of the law. But was there any aspect of his patriotism or humanity that left him feeling guilty for hoarding so much untaxed when regular people pay so much in taxes? Though Ms. Bosanek responded to an initial inquiry, she declined to offer any such examples.</p><p><blockquote>上周，我通过巴菲特的长期秘书黛比·博萨内克（Debbie Bosanek）问他是否能想到一个让他后悔的税务或会计做法。当然，他可能遵守了法律条文。但是，当普通人缴纳如此多的税款时，他的爱国主义或人性是否有任何方面让他为囤积如此多未缴税而感到内疚？尽管Bosanek女士对初步调查做出了回应，但她拒绝提供任何此类例子。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> In a long statement last week, Mr. Buffett&nbsp;defended himself&nbsp;by pointing to his long advocacy for a fairer taxation system, and then he immediately told on himself by undermining the very idea of taxes in the same letter. “I believe the money will be of more use to society if disbursed philanthropically than if it is used to slightly reduce an ever-increasing U.S. debt.”</p><p><blockquote>在上周的一份长篇声明中，巴菲特为自己辩护，指出他长期以来一直倡导更公平的税收制度，然后他立即在同一封信中破坏了税收的想法。“我相信，如果这笔钱用于慈善事业，比用于略微减少不断增加的美国债务对社会的用处更大。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words: I believe in higher income taxes on people like me, but I’m highly organized to avoid having income to report, and I don’t really believe in taxes because I think I should decide how these surplus resources are spent.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说：我相信对像我这样的人征收更高的所得税，但我高度组织化以避免报告收入，我并不真正相信税收，因为我认为我应该决定如何使用这些剩余资源。</blockquote></p><p> And this points to another way in which the Good Billionaire is hard to deal with. The crooks and the scoundrels and the people manifestly looking for quick P.R. highs come to philanthropy for the marketing payoff. When Goldman Sachs announces a new initiative on fighting the racial wealth gap despite having done little to repair the damage it did to Black homeowners in contributing to the 2008 financial meltdown, some may be fooled, but, more and more, many are not.</p><p><blockquote>这指出了优秀亿万富翁难以相处的另一种方式。骗子、无赖和明显寻求快速公关高潮的人来到慈善事业是为了营销回报。当高盛宣布一项消除种族贫富差距的新举措时，尽管它几乎没有采取任何措施来修复2008年金融危机对黑人房主造成的损害，一些人可能会被愚弄，但越来越多的人没有被愚弄。</blockquote></p><p> Supposed Good Billionaires like Mr. Buffett and his friend Bill Gates are more complicated because they give real money. They may benefit from marketing but also seem to many people to be motivated by more than that, and they apply their smarts to the work.</p><p><blockquote>像巴菲特先生和他的朋友比尔·盖茨这样所谓的好亿万富翁更复杂，因为他们给的是真金白银。他们可能会从营销中受益，但在许多人看来，他们的动机不止于此，他们将自己的智慧运用到工作中。</blockquote></p><p> Yet because of this, it is often the Good Billionaires who end up with the most illegitimate influence over public life. No one is asking members of the Sackler family for public health advice. But Mr. Gates has become a major policy voice on vaccines despite holding no elected position. Mr. Buffett, for his part, has shied away from that kind of lane hopping and richsplaining, but in donating his fortune to Mr. Gates’s foundation he has pumped up that undemocratic influence.</p><p><blockquote>然而，正因为如此，往往是优秀的亿万富翁最终对公共生活产生了最不正当的影响。没有人向萨克勒家族成员寻求公共卫生建议。但是盖茨先生已经成为疫苗政策的主要代言人，尽管他没有担任民选职位。就巴菲特而言，他避免了这种跳跃和炫耀财富的行为，但通过将自己的财富捐给盖茨的基金会，他增强了这种不民主的影响力。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Buffett is almost the perfectly made billionaire for this moment in which, at last, many Americans are beginning to question not only corruptions of the system but the matter of whether billionaires should exist at all. He doesn’t do the things the worst of them do. He isn’t in it for what they’re in it for. He clearly must care about money, but he also kind of doesn’t care about money. Even in his generosity, he has avoided the imperial lording over that others cannot resist.</p><p><blockquote>在这个时刻，巴菲特先生几乎是完美的亿万富翁，许多美国人终于开始不仅质疑金融体系的腐败，还质疑亿万富翁是否应该存在。他不会做他们中最坏的人会做的事情。他不是为了他们的目的。他显然关心钱，但他也有点不在乎钱。即使在他的慷慨中，他也避免了别人无法抗拒的帝国统治。</blockquote></p><p> And this is what makes him so troubling, because through him we are tempted into believing that a system can be defended that allows a man to accumulate more than $100 billion while people are sleeping, in hock to him, in his mobile homes, shortening their lives with the beverages he’s invested in, scampering around the warehouses whose nonunion status has redounded to his money pile.</p><p><blockquote>这就是他如此令人不安的原因，因为通过他，我们倾向于相信一个系统是可以捍卫的，这个系统允许一个人在人们睡觉的时候积累超过1000亿美元，抵押给他，在他的活动房屋里，用他投资的饮料缩短他们的寿命，在仓库里蹦蹦跳跳，这些仓库的非工会身份帮助了他的钱堆。</blockquote></p><p> It can’t. And who keeps us from seeing that simple, stark truth more effectively, more perniciously, than the Good Billionaire?</p><p><blockquote>它不能。谁能比善良的亿万富翁更有效、更有害地阻止我们看到这个简单、赤裸裸的事实呢？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/13/opinion/warren-buffett-billionaire-taxes.html?searchResultPosition=1\">The New York Times</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/13/opinion/warren-buffett-billionaire-taxes.html?searchResultPosition=1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112731941","content_text":"Illustration by The New York Times; Photograph via Getty\nWarren Buffett appears to be the safest kind of billionaire: the good kind. Mr. Buffett is neither Zuckerbergian messiah nor Musky provocateur, neither Bezosist space cadet nor Sacklerian undertaker. He is, or seems to be, quiet, humble, indifferent to money, philanthropic and critical of the system that allowed him to rise. Years ago, a proposed tax increase was named after him.\nIt’s easy for people to think: If only members of the Sackler family were more like Mr. Buffett, imagine how many lives would have been saved. If only the billionaires who haven’t signed the Giving Pledge would give away as much as Mr. Buffett has pledged to, imagine the impact on the world. If only more billionaires would make use of the system without feeling the need to pervert it, so many of our troubles would vanish.\nSo I regret to inform you that Mr. Buffett is actually the most dangerous kind of billionaire we have. The worst billionaires are the Good Billionaires. The sort who make it seem like the problem is the distortion of the system when, in fact, the problem is the system.\nActually malevolent and disastrously negligent plutocrats get most of the attention. And when we hear about these Bad Billionaire exploits, it is possible to conclude from them that the system needs better policing, updated regulations and maybe slightly higher taxes. The system needs to be made to work again.\nBut as America slouches toward plutocracy, our problem isn’t the virtue level of billionaires. It’s a set of social arrangements that make it possible for anyone to gain and guard and keep so much wealth, even as millions of others lack for food, work, housing, health, connectivity, education, dignity and the occasion to pursue their happiness.\nThere is no way to be a billionaire in America without taking advantage of a system predicated on cruelty, a system whose tax code and labor laws and regulatory apparatus prioritize your needs above most people’s. Even noted Good Billionaire Mr. Buffett has profited from Coca-Cola’s sugary drinks, Amazon’s union busting, Chevron’s oil drilling, Clayton Homes’s predatory loans and, as the country learned recently, the failure to tax billionaires on their wealth.\nThe Good Billionaire myth took a hard blow in recent days when Mr. Buffett won a dubious distinction. A staggering exposé published by ProPublica revealed just how little the biggest plutocrats pay in taxes, despite mounting piles of wealth. And at the very top of that list of plutocrats — many of them with troubled reputations — was the cleanest, grandfatherliest plutocrat of them all: Mr. Buffett.\nProPublica’s story was unusual in that, for once, it was the Good Billionaire at the top of the naughty list. This was helpful, because it served to indict the system that makes him possible, even when it is working perfectly, wholly lawfully.\nFrom 2014 to 2018, Mr. Buffett’s wealth soared by $24.3 billion, according to ProPublica. (To underline, this is just the amount the fortune grew.) The amount of taxes Mr. Buffett paid over this period? $23.7 million. If middle-class Americans in their 40s enjoyed such a low effective tax rate, they would have paid a few dozen bucks per household over this same time period. Instead, as the ProPublica story notes, they paid around $62,000.\nImagine if Mr. Buffett had to pay the same fraction of the growth of his net worth that regular people do. Taxing that money could have helped pay for bridge repairs, mammograms, and free day care. More important — and this isn’t said enough — there is intrinsic value in shrinking gargantuan fortunes. The sway plutocrats have over public life is inconsistent with a one person, one vote democracy.\nThe important point here is that Mr. Buffett’s tax payments as detailed by ProPublica are fully legal. Though Mr. Buffett has called for changing the tax system, while we have the one we have, he will continue to benefit from the madness of taxing billionaires for their income, rather than their wealth, when their income is pretty much just a number they can construct.\nI asked Mr. Buffett last week, via his longtime secretary, Debbie Bosanek, if he could think of even one tax or accounting practice that he has come to regret. Sure, he may have followed the letter of the law. But was there any aspect of his patriotism or humanity that left him feeling guilty for hoarding so much untaxed when regular people pay so much in taxes? Though Ms. Bosanek responded to an initial inquiry, she declined to offer any such examples.\nIn a long statement last week, Mr. Buffett defended himself by pointing to his long advocacy for a fairer taxation system, and then he immediately told on himself by undermining the very idea of taxes in the same letter. “I believe the money will be of more use to society if disbursed philanthropically than if it is used to slightly reduce an ever-increasing U.S. debt.”\nIn other words: I believe in higher income taxes on people like me, but I’m highly organized to avoid having income to report, and I don’t really believe in taxes because I think I should decide how these surplus resources are spent.\nAnd this points to another way in which the Good Billionaire is hard to deal with. The crooks and the scoundrels and the people manifestly looking for quick P.R. highs come to philanthropy for the marketing payoff. When Goldman Sachs announces a new initiative on fighting the racial wealth gap despite having done little to repair the damage it did to Black homeowners in contributing to the 2008 financial meltdown, some may be fooled, but, more and more, many are not.\nSupposed Good Billionaires like Mr. Buffett and his friend Bill Gates are more complicated because they give real money. They may benefit from marketing but also seem to many people to be motivated by more than that, and they apply their smarts to the work.\nYet because of this, it is often the Good Billionaires who end up with the most illegitimate influence over public life. No one is asking members of the Sackler family for public health advice. But Mr. Gates has become a major policy voice on vaccines despite holding no elected position. Mr. Buffett, for his part, has shied away from that kind of lane hopping and richsplaining, but in donating his fortune to Mr. Gates’s foundation he has pumped up that undemocratic influence.\nMr. Buffett is almost the perfectly made billionaire for this moment in which, at last, many Americans are beginning to question not only corruptions of the system but the matter of whether billionaires should exist at all. He doesn’t do the things the worst of them do. He isn’t in it for what they’re in it for. He clearly must care about money, but he also kind of doesn’t care about money. Even in his generosity, he has avoided the imperial lording over that others cannot resist.\nAnd this is what makes him so troubling, because through him we are tempted into believing that a system can be defended that allows a man to accumulate more than $100 billion while people are sleeping, in hock to him, in his mobile homes, shortening their lives with the beverages he’s invested in, scampering around the warehouses whose nonunion status has redounded to his money pile.\nIt can’t. And who keeps us from seeing that simple, stark truth more effectively, more perniciously, than the Good Billionaire?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":370494636,"gmtCreate":1618618216625,"gmtModify":1634291774987,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So fluctuate and risky","listText":"So fluctuate and risky","text":"So fluctuate and risky","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370494636","repostId":"1145242426","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145242426","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1618579826,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145242426?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks gained in Friday open. Blockchain stocks fell<blockquote>美国股市周五开盘上涨。区块链股票下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145242426","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(April 16) U.S. stocks shot higher at the open Friday, aiming for fresh records, as economic reports","content":"<p>(April 16)&nbsp;U.S. stocks shot higher at the open Friday, aiming for fresh records, as economic reports and corporate results remained strong. S&amp;P 500 edges higher to another all-time high, on pace for 4th straight positive week.</p><p><blockquote>（四月十六日）美国。由于经济报告和企业业绩依然强劲，股市周五开盘走高，有望创下新纪录。标普500小幅走高，再创历史新高，连续第四周上涨。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 157 points, 0.5%, to open near 34,193, while the S&amp;P 500 added 15 points, 0.4%, starting trading near 4,185. Both indexes clinched record closes Thursday. The Nasdaq Composite index,&nbsp; meanwhile, ticked up 0.1%, about 15 points, to trade near 14,053.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨157点，涨幅0.5%，开盘于34,193点附近；标普500上涨15点，涨幅0.4%，开盘于4,185点附近。这两个指数周四均创下收盘纪录。与此同时，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.1%，约15点，至14,053点附近。</blockquote></p><p>The pace of residential construction quickened in March, according to the most recent housing starts report and Morgan Stanley said profit doubled in the first quarter, topping analyst expectations.</p><p><blockquote>根据最新的新屋开工报告，3月份住宅建设步伐加快，摩根士丹利表示，第一季度利润翻了一番，超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin slides,&nbsp;Blockchain stocks fell.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>比特币下滑，区块链股票下跌。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86da6884447eed1c7e8c7b86db77eb7f\" tg-width=\"313\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 09:37</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间09:37</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks gained in Friday open. Blockchain stocks fell<blockquote>美国股市周五开盘上涨。区块链股票下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks gained in Friday open. Blockchain stocks fell<blockquote>美国股市周五开盘上涨。区块链股票下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-16 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(April 16)&nbsp;U.S. stocks shot higher at the open Friday, aiming for fresh records, as economic reports and corporate results remained strong. S&amp;P 500 edges higher to another all-time high, on pace for 4th straight positive week.</p><p><blockquote>（四月十六日）美国。由于经济报告和企业业绩依然强劲，股市周五开盘走高，有望创下新纪录。标普500小幅走高，再创历史新高，连续第四周上涨。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 157 points, 0.5%, to open near 34,193, while the S&amp;P 500 added 15 points, 0.4%, starting trading near 4,185. Both indexes clinched record closes Thursday. The Nasdaq Composite index,&nbsp; meanwhile, ticked up 0.1%, about 15 points, to trade near 14,053.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨157点，涨幅0.5%，开盘于34,193点附近；标普500上涨15点，涨幅0.4%，开盘于4,185点附近。这两个指数周四均创下收盘纪录。与此同时，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.1%，约15点，至14,053点附近。</blockquote></p><p>The pace of residential construction quickened in March, according to the most recent housing starts report and Morgan Stanley said profit doubled in the first quarter, topping analyst expectations.</p><p><blockquote>根据最新的新屋开工报告，3月份住宅建设步伐加快，摩根士丹利表示，第一季度利润翻了一番，超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin slides,&nbsp;Blockchain stocks fell.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>比特币下滑，区块链股票下跌。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86da6884447eed1c7e8c7b86db77eb7f\" tg-width=\"313\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 09:37</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间09:37</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145242426","content_text":"(April 16) U.S. stocks shot higher at the open Friday, aiming for fresh records, as economic reports and corporate results remained strong. S&P 500 edges higher to another all-time high, on pace for 4th straight positive week.The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 157 points, 0.5%, to open near 34,193, while the S&P 500 added 15 points, 0.4%, starting trading near 4,185. Both indexes clinched record closes Thursday. The Nasdaq Composite index,  meanwhile, ticked up 0.1%, about 15 points, to trade near 14,053.The pace of residential construction quickened in March, according to the most recent housing starts report and Morgan Stanley said profit doubled in the first quarter, topping analyst expectations.Bitcoin slides, Blockchain stocks fell. *Source From Tiger Trade, EST 09:37","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158230369,"gmtCreate":1625150251451,"gmtModify":1633944220405,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158230369","repostId":"1186720190","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":151120052,"gmtCreate":1625068128376,"gmtModify":1633945182709,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That's great&nbsp;","listText":"That's great&nbsp;","text":"That's great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151120052","repostId":"1105779613","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162056692,"gmtCreate":1624028804216,"gmtModify":1634023849522,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Banks stocks has been ever green stock to pick up over the long run, despite corrections.&nbsp;","listText":"Banks stocks has been ever green stock to pick up over the long run, despite corrections.&nbsp;","text":"Banks stocks has been ever green stock to pick up over the long run, despite corrections.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162056692","repostId":"1119296361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119296361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624028454,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119296361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119296361","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier","content":"<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 23:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛","WFC":"富国银行","C":"花旗","BAC":"美国银行","JPM":"摩根大通","MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119296361","content_text":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.\nThere’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.\nAfter Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%\nThe market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.\nWhy the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.\nUntil that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WFC":0.9,"C":0.9,"GS":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"MS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188403221,"gmtCreate":1623457317363,"gmtModify":1634033016333,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. If rates don't rise quickly or far enough, these investors may become nervous about losses and exit their bets.","listText":"Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. If rates don't rise quickly or far enough, these investors may become nervous about losses and exit their bets.","text":"Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. If rates don't rise quickly or far enough, these investors may become nervous about losses and exit their bets.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188403221","repostId":"2142520474","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117926224,"gmtCreate":1623114260268,"gmtModify":1634036824761,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"People come and people go, believe the company has plan to continue move on","listText":"People come and people go, believe the company has plan to continue move on","text":"People come and people go, believe the company has plan to continue move on","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117926224","repostId":"2141256310","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370497647,"gmtCreate":1618618287489,"gmtModify":1634291774163,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh wow 544 billion is a lot","listText":"Oh wow 544 billion is a lot","text":"Oh wow 544 billion is a lot","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370497647","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175692875?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四（甚至三）巫术日，但今天的大量每周期权将到期，其中可能一文不值，其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%，高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言，单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期，其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期对于平值（ATM）期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要，因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克（Vishal Vivek）所写，在重大到期时，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行（执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权，则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者，如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩（即VIX处于新低），现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生，但随着VIX（即隐含波动率）的逆转，反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位，隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确！）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购空头对冲，从而推动反弹。SG的结论是：目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外，当IV较低时，伽马较高，因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四（甚至三）巫术日，但今天的大量每周期权将到期，其中可能一文不值，其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%，高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言，单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期，其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期对于平值（ATM）期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要，因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克（Vishal Vivek）所写，在重大到期时，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行（执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权，则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者，如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩（即VIX处于新低），现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生，但随着VIX（即隐含波动率）的逆转，反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位，隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确！）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购空头对冲，从而推动反弹。SG的结论是：目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外，当IV较低时，伽马较高，因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX  (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.  Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.  Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838552414,"gmtCreate":1629420840138,"gmtModify":1631884153520,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go Amazon","listText":"Go Amazon","text":"Go Amazon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838552414","repostId":"2160670097","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127116091,"gmtCreate":1624839405213,"gmtModify":1633948232983,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very challenging for Crypto&nbsp;","listText":"Very challenging for Crypto&nbsp;","text":"Very challenging for Crypto","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127116091","repostId":"1149670859","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183413282,"gmtCreate":1623340327146,"gmtModify":1631884483985,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The S&amp;P 500 remains closest to its benchmark and is just 0.44% away from a new all-time high. The Dow and Nasdaq are roughly 2% away from records.","listText":"The S&amp;P 500 remains closest to its benchmark and is just 0.44% away from a new all-time high. The Dow and Nasdaq are roughly 2% away from records.","text":"The S&P 500 remains closest to its benchmark and is just 0.44% away from a new all-time high. The Dow and Nasdaq are roughly 2% away from records.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183413282","repostId":"1106213554","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113026751,"gmtCreate":1622587559073,"gmtModify":1631888617388,"author":{"id":"3578738582837184","authorId":"3578738582837184","name":"心投资","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578738582837184","idStr":"3578738582837184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Black Stone Minerals (BSM)&nbsp;Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT)","listText":"Black Stone Minerals (BSM)&nbsp;Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT)","text":"Black Stone Minerals (BSM) Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113026751","repostId":"2140249804","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":268,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}