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2021-06-15

Comment and like please. Thanks

IPO Preview: WalkMe, Atai Life Sciences Highlight Week Of Many Offerings<blockquote>IPO预览：WalkMe、Atai Life Sciences重点推出众多产品</blockquote>

2021-06-24

Like

The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>

2021-08-12

Let's go !

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2021-07-09

Good

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2021-06-16

Please comment and like

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2021-11-05

Good ! All the way

S&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下，标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote>

2021-08-04

2023 ! Wow

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2021-07-27

Good read !

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2021-06-25

Good read

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2021-07-23

All the way !

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2021-07-09

Waiting strategy

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2021-06-25

Wonderful

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2021-06-20

Good read !

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2021-06-20

Good opportunity

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2021-06-18

Yeah.

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2021-08-12

Wow!

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2021-07-27

All the way !

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2021-06-20

Cool

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2021-11-05

Ok

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2021-11-03

Ok

Real-Rate Reckoning Is Coming for Big Tech, Wells Fargo Warns<blockquote>富国银行警告称，大型科技公司的实际利率计算即将到来</blockquote>

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11:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nintendo says chip shortage hitting hardware development<blockquote>任天堂称芯片短缺影响硬件开发</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188626454","media":"Reuters","summary":"Japan's Nintendo Co Ltd said on Friday that a global chip shortage which forced the firm to scale ba","content":"<p>Japan's Nintendo Co Ltd&nbsp;said on Friday that a global chip shortage which forced the firm to scale back expectations for sales of its hit Switch device is also hitting hardware development.</p><p><blockquote>日本任天堂有限公司周五表示，全球芯片短缺迫使该公司降低了对其热门Switch设备的销售预期，这也影响了硬件开发。</blockquote></p><p> \"The semiconductor situation is having some effect on hardware development,\" Nintendo executive Ko Shiota, who heads the development team, told an analyst briefing.</p><p><blockquote>“半导体形势对硬件开发产生了一些影响，”开发团队负责人、任天堂高管盐田幸在分析师简报会上表示。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are looking at substituting components and tweaking designs to try and reduce the impact,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>“我们正在考虑更换组件并调整设计，以尝试减少影响，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nintendo says chip shortage hitting hardware development<blockquote>任天堂称芯片短缺影响硬件开发</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNintendo says chip shortage hitting hardware development<blockquote>任天堂称芯片短缺影响硬件开发</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-05 11:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Japan's Nintendo Co Ltd&nbsp;said on Friday that a global chip shortage which forced the firm to scale back expectations for sales of its hit Switch device is also hitting hardware development.</p><p><blockquote>日本任天堂有限公司周五表示，全球芯片短缺迫使该公司降低了对其热门Switch设备的销售预期，这也影响了硬件开发。</blockquote></p><p> \"The semiconductor situation is having some effect on hardware development,\" Nintendo executive Ko Shiota, who heads the development team, told an analyst briefing.</p><p><blockquote>“半导体形势对硬件开发产生了一些影响，”开发团队负责人、任天堂高管盐田幸在分析师简报会上表示。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are looking at substituting components and tweaking designs to try and reduce the impact,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>“我们正在考虑更换组件并调整设计，以尝试减少影响，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/technology/nintendo-says-chip-shortage-hitting-hardware-development-2021-11-05/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NTDOY":"任天堂"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/technology/nintendo-says-chip-shortage-hitting-hardware-development-2021-11-05/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188626454","content_text":"Japan's Nintendo Co Ltd said on Friday that a global chip shortage which forced the firm to scale back expectations for sales of its hit Switch device is also hitting hardware development.\n\"The semiconductor situation is having some effect on hardware development,\" Nintendo executive Ko Shiota, who heads the development team, told an analyst briefing.\n\"We are looking at substituting components and tweaking designs to try and reduce the impact,\" he added.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NTDOY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846116016,"gmtCreate":1636067596519,"gmtModify":1636067596664,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good ! All the way&nbsp;","listText":"Good ! All the way&nbsp;","text":"Good ! All the way","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846116016","repostId":"1128227989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128227989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636067303,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128227989?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下，标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128227989","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.Financials dropped 1","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-标普500和纳斯达克周四上涨，将收盘纪录高位连涨至六个交易日，因高通强劲的财务预测以及投资者消化了美联储开始减少月度债券购买的决定后，芯片制造商股市飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数小幅下跌，结束了四点收盘的纪录。摩根大通和高盛集团银行股的下跌打压了蓝筹股指数。</blockquote></p><p> Financials dropped 1.3%, most among S&amp;P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.</p><p><blockquote>金融股下跌1.3%，其中大部分是标普500板块，因美国国债收益率下跌，在美联储表示不急于加息的第二天，市场解除了对美联储更快加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>John Hancock Investment Management联席首席投资策略师马修·米斯金(Matthew Miskin)表示：“市场的增长方今天看到了更积极的结果，因为它们受益于收益率的下降。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于美联储宣布缩减规模，市场总体上一直在为更高的收益率做准备。当我们今天走进来时，这种情况已经发生了逆转。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&amp;P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌33.35点，跌幅0.09%，至36,124.23点；标普500上涨19.49点，跌幅0.42%，至4,680.06点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨128.72点，跌幅0.81%，至15,940.31点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&amp;P 500 value index fell 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数上涨1.2%，标普500价值指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among S&amp;P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500板块中，科技和非必需消费品领涨，均上涨约1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.</p><p><blockquote>高通股价上涨12.7%，该公司预测本季度利润和收入好于预期，原因是手机、汽车和其他互联网连接设备所用芯片的需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数上涨3.5%，英伟达飙升12%。</blockquote></p><p> Better-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&amp;P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>好于预期的第三季度收益有助于提振股市情绪。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据，约有420家公司发布了财报，预计标普500第三季度盈利将同比增长41.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.</p><p><blockquote>爱德华·琼斯投资策略师克雷格·费尔表示：“企业盈利情况仍然相当光明。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场正在奖励那些超出预期并上调前景的公司，而市场正在惩罚那些本季度未达到预期的公司，也许更重要的是，这预示着前景更加糟糕。”</blockquote></p><p> Moderna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价暴跌约18%，该公司将其COVID-19疫苗2021年的销售预测削减了多达50亿美元，并努力灌装和分销小瓶，以满足前所未有的全球需求。Moderna股价拖累标普500医疗保健板块，该板块下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至近20个月来的最低水平，表明经济正在恢复动力。投资者将从周五的月度就业报告中获得对经济的批判性看法。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1；在纳斯达克，1.24比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下75个52周新高和5个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得224个新高和38个新低。</blockquote></p><p> About 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有113亿股易手，高于过去20个交易日104亿股的日均水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下，标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下，标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-05 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-标普500和纳斯达克周四上涨，将收盘纪录高位连涨至六个交易日，因高通强劲的财务预测以及投资者消化了美联储开始减少月度债券购买的决定后，芯片制造商股市飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数小幅下跌，结束了四点收盘的纪录。摩根大通和高盛集团银行股的下跌打压了蓝筹股指数。</blockquote></p><p> Financials dropped 1.3%, most among S&amp;P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.</p><p><blockquote>金融股下跌1.3%，其中大部分是标普500板块，因美国国债收益率下跌，在美联储表示不急于加息的第二天，市场解除了对美联储更快加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>John Hancock Investment Management联席首席投资策略师马修·米斯金(Matthew Miskin)表示：“市场的增长方今天看到了更积极的结果，因为它们受益于收益率的下降。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于美联储宣布缩减规模，市场总体上一直在为更高的收益率做准备。当我们今天走进来时，这种情况已经发生了逆转。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&amp;P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌33.35点，跌幅0.09%，至36,124.23点；标普500上涨19.49点，跌幅0.42%，至4,680.06点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨128.72点，跌幅0.81%，至15,940.31点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&amp;P 500 value index fell 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数上涨1.2%，标普500价值指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among S&amp;P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500板块中，科技和非必需消费品领涨，均上涨约1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.</p><p><blockquote>高通股价上涨12.7%，该公司预测本季度利润和收入好于预期，原因是手机、汽车和其他互联网连接设备所用芯片的需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数上涨3.5%，英伟达飙升12%。</blockquote></p><p> Better-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&amp;P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>好于预期的第三季度收益有助于提振股市情绪。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据，约有420家公司发布了财报，预计标普500第三季度盈利将同比增长41.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.</p><p><blockquote>爱德华·琼斯投资策略师克雷格·费尔表示：“企业盈利情况仍然相当光明。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场正在奖励那些超出预期并上调前景的公司，而市场正在惩罚那些本季度未达到预期的公司，也许更重要的是，这预示着前景更加糟糕。”</blockquote></p><p> Moderna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价暴跌约18%，该公司将其COVID-19疫苗2021年的销售预测削减了多达50亿美元，并努力灌装和分销小瓶，以满足前所未有的全球需求。Moderna股价拖累标普500医疗保健板块，该板块下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至近20个月来的最低水平，表明经济正在恢复动力。投资者将从周五的月度就业报告中获得对经济的批判性看法。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1；在纳斯达克，1.24比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下75个52周新高和5个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得224个新高和38个新低。</blockquote></p><p> About 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有113亿股易手，高于过去20个交易日104亿股的日均水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-nasdaq-extend-record-streaks-with-boost-from-chip-growth-shares-idUSL1N2RV2T0\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-nasdaq-extend-record-streaks-with-boost-from-chip-growth-shares-idUSL1N2RV2T0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128227989","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.\nFinancials dropped 1.3%, most among S&P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.\n“The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.\n“The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.\nThe S&P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&P 500 value index fell 0.5%.\nAmong S&P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.\nQualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.\nBetter-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.\n“The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.\n“The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”\nModerna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.\nData showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.\nAbout 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"OEX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SH":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"OEF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2756,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841200898,"gmtCreate":1635911251536,"gmtModify":1635911251652,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841200898","repostId":"1175618425","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175618425","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635910485,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175618425?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-03 11:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Real-Rate Reckoning Is Coming for Big Tech, Wells Fargo Warns<blockquote>富国银行警告称，大型科技公司的实际利率计算即将到来</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175618425","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Big Tech stocks may be defying the biggest outbreak of bond volatility since April 20","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Big Tech stocks may be defying the biggest outbreak of bond volatility since April 2020, but a cohort of Wall Street strategists warn that a spike in real interest rates could finally knock them from all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——大型科技股可能会顶住2020年4月以来最大的债券波动，但一群华尔街策略师警告称，实际利率飙升最终可能会将它们从历史高点击垮。</blockquote></p><p> With the Federal Reserve likely to announce the paring of pandemic stimulus this week, Wells Fargo Securities is the latest to warn that a “sharp” rise in inflation-adjusted yields is becoming ever-more probable. And that threatens to inflict pain on pricey tech stocks in particular given their tight link with Treasury-market machinations.</p><p><blockquote>随着美联储本周可能宣布削减大流行刺激措施，富国银行证券(Wells Fargo Securities)最新警告称，经通胀调整的收益率“大幅”上升的可能性越来越大。这可能会给昂贵的科技股带来痛苦，特别是考虑到它们与国债市场阴谋的密切联系。</blockquote></p><p> “Our trading call on Tech may be at risk, especially across ‘high-octane’ names,” a team led by Christopher Harvey wrote in a Tuesday note.</p><p><blockquote>Christopher Harvey领导的团队在周二的一份报告中写道：“我们在科技领域的交易看涨期权可能面临风险，尤其是‘高辛烷值’的股票。”</blockquote></p><p> Hand-wringing on Wall Street over the bond-market threat to tech equities is nothing new. The difference this time is that Treasury gyrations are hitting extremes. Market-derived inflation expectations have risen in recent weeks while nominal yields have yet to move as fast -- causing real rates to drop near record lows. That’s juicing tech valuations for now, but a reversal could spark disorderly moves.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对债券市场对科技股的威胁感到绝望并不是什么新鲜事。这次的不同之处在于，美国国债的波动正达到极端。最近几周，市场衍生的通胀预期有所上升，而名义收益率的变化却没有那么快，导致实际利率跌至历史低点附近。目前，这正在推高科技股的估值，但逆转可能会引发无序走势。</blockquote></p><p> “The Fed’s anticipated taper announcement this week may potentially catalyze a significant directional change in real rates,” the Wells Fargo note said. “We believe the eventual real/break-even reversion will be sharp.”</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的报告称：“美联储本周预期的taper公告可能会催化实际利率发生重大方向性变化。”“我们相信最终的实际/盈亏平衡回归将是急剧的。”</blockquote></p><p> For now, tech stocks are rallying along with seemingly every other equity. The Nasdaq 100, S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 all closed at record highs on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>目前，科技股似乎与所有其他股票一起上涨。纳斯达克100指数、标普500、道琼斯工业平均指数和罗素2000指数周二均收于历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> When real yields fall to rock bottom, future profits are discounted at lower rates -- pushing up valuations of stocks deemed able to grow their earnings for years to come. That’s why low rates have buoyed what quants call growth stocks, epitomized by tech names riding structural trends like Tesla Inc. or Netflix Inc.</p><p><blockquote>当实际收益率跌至谷底时，未来利润会以较低的利率贴现，从而推高被认为能够在未来几年增加收益的股票的估值。这就是为什么低利率提振了量化看涨期权成长型股票，其中典型的是特斯拉公司或Netflix公司等顺应结构性趋势的科技股。</blockquote></p><p> All that has helped the Nasdaq 100 to outperform this quarter and Wells Fargo’s own basket of “growth at any price” shares jump 13% toward another record.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都帮助纳斯达克100指数在本季度跑赢大盘，富国银行自己的一篮子“不惜一切代价增长”股票上涨13%，创下另一项纪录。</blockquote></p><p> While tech has dominated in the low-inflation world of the past decade, its recent rally has taken place against the backdrop of growing anxiety over consumer-price growth. As breakeven rates rose, a Societe Generale SA basket of stocks that gain with the cost of living just posted its best month since February.</p><p><blockquote>尽管科技在过去十年的低通胀世界中占据主导地位，但其最近的上涨是在人们对消费者价格增长日益担忧的背景下发生的。随着盈亏平衡利率上升，法国兴业银行(Societe Generale SA)一篮子随生活成本上涨的股票刚刚创下了自2月份以来最好的月份。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo is hardly alone in sounding the alarm on the outlook for Big Tech. The last time the Fed started to withdraw stimulus, real rates began rising sharply just before its balance sheet expanded again. Given how negative those yields are now, “a revaluation may be ahead for long-duration assets like the megacap growth stocks that dominate the major indexes,” Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management warned last week.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行并不是唯一一家对大型科技公司的前景发出警报的银行。上一次美联储开始撤回刺激措施时，就在其资产负债表再次扩张之前，实际利率开始大幅上升。摩根士丹利财富管理公司(Morgan Stanley Wealth Management)首席投资官丽莎·沙利特(Lisa Shalett)上周警告称，鉴于目前这些收益率的负值，“长期资产（例如在主要指数中占据主导地位的大型成长型股票）可能会出现重估”。</blockquote></p><p> Over at UBS Asset Management, strategist Luke Kawa suggests real yields are low despite bets on imminent monetary tightening because traders expect the Fed to reverse course eventually or the economy to tank as a result. At the same time though, he says real rates could also gain to reflect faster growth and inflation. The latter scenario would be good for the pro-cyclical stock exposures but bad for the market’s overall valuations.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银资产管理公司策略师卢克·卡瓦(Luke Kawa)表示，尽管押注货币紧缩即将到来，但实际收益率仍较低，因为交易员预计美联储最终会改变方针，否则经济将因此陷入困境。但与此同时，他表示，实际利率也可能上升，以反映更快的增长和通胀。后一种情况对顺周期股票敞口有利，但对市场整体估值不利。</blockquote></p><p> “If the world is moving into a world of a sustained higher inflation rate and nominal yields suddenly reflect that, then global equity valuations will be reset to a lower level causing a substantial drawdown in equities,” Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, wrote in a Tuesday note.</p><p><blockquote>盛宝股票策略主管Peter Garnry表示：“如果世界正在进入一个通胀率持续上升的世界，而名义收益率突然反映出这一点，那么全球股票估值将重置至较低水平，导致股市大幅下跌。”银行，在周二的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> To many on Wall Street, tech investing is therefore at the mercy of a macro call. Is the world heading for a period of resilient growth, faster inflation and tighter Fed policy -- or will the business cycle buckle under the pressure of supply-chain bottlenecks and reduced stimulus?</p><p><blockquote>因此，对许多华尔街人士来说，科技投资受到宏观看涨期权的影响。世界是否正在走向一个有弹性的增长、更快的通胀和美联储收紧政策的时期——或者商业周期是否会在供应链瓶颈和刺激减少的压力下崩溃？</blockquote></p><p> That conundrum is everywhere in the bond market. While the shorter-end of the yield curve steepened in anticipation of the Fed move, the longer-end has flattened just as aggressively amid growth fears.</p><p><blockquote>这个难题在债券市场随处可见。尽管由于对美联储举措的预期，收益率曲线的短端变陡，但由于对增长的担忧，长端收益率曲线也同样大幅走平。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, an option-derived gauge of Treasury volatility recently surged to the highest since April 2020, while the S&amp;P 500’s equivalent hovers close to the lowest since before the crash last year. It’s a sign the fixed-income market may be telegraphing worrying omens for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，期权衍生的国债波动性指标最近飙升至2020年4月以来的最高水平，而标普500的等值指标徘徊在去年崩盘前以来的最低水平附近。这表明固定收益市场可能正在向股市发出令人担忧的预兆。</blockquote></p><p> “From here we enter the midcycle adjustment, where gains moderate as expectations get recalibrated and policy normalizes,” Shalett at Morgan Stanley Wealth wrote. “Odds of a 10%-15% correction are increasing.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利财富的沙莱特写道：“从这里开始，我们进入了周期中期调整，随着预期的重新调整和政策正常化，涨幅将放缓。”“10%-15%修正的可能性正在增加。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Real-Rate Reckoning Is Coming for Big Tech, Wells Fargo Warns<blockquote>富国银行警告称，大型科技公司的实际利率计算即将到来</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReal-Rate Reckoning Is Coming for Big Tech, Wells Fargo Warns<blockquote>富国银行警告称，大型科技公司的实际利率计算即将到来</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-03 11:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Big Tech stocks may be defying the biggest outbreak of bond volatility since April 2020, but a cohort of Wall Street strategists warn that a spike in real interest rates could finally knock them from all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——大型科技股可能会顶住2020年4月以来最大的债券波动，但一群华尔街策略师警告称，实际利率飙升最终可能会将它们从历史高点击垮。</blockquote></p><p> With the Federal Reserve likely to announce the paring of pandemic stimulus this week, Wells Fargo Securities is the latest to warn that a “sharp” rise in inflation-adjusted yields is becoming ever-more probable. And that threatens to inflict pain on pricey tech stocks in particular given their tight link with Treasury-market machinations.</p><p><blockquote>随着美联储本周可能宣布削减大流行刺激措施，富国银行证券(Wells Fargo Securities)最新警告称，经通胀调整的收益率“大幅”上升的可能性越来越大。这可能会给昂贵的科技股带来痛苦，特别是考虑到它们与国债市场阴谋的密切联系。</blockquote></p><p> “Our trading call on Tech may be at risk, especially across ‘high-octane’ names,” a team led by Christopher Harvey wrote in a Tuesday note.</p><p><blockquote>Christopher Harvey领导的团队在周二的一份报告中写道：“我们在科技领域的交易看涨期权可能面临风险，尤其是‘高辛烷值’的股票。”</blockquote></p><p> Hand-wringing on Wall Street over the bond-market threat to tech equities is nothing new. The difference this time is that Treasury gyrations are hitting extremes. Market-derived inflation expectations have risen in recent weeks while nominal yields have yet to move as fast -- causing real rates to drop near record lows. That’s juicing tech valuations for now, but a reversal could spark disorderly moves.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对债券市场对科技股的威胁感到绝望并不是什么新鲜事。这次的不同之处在于，美国国债的波动正达到极端。最近几周，市场衍生的通胀预期有所上升，而名义收益率的变化却没有那么快，导致实际利率跌至历史低点附近。目前，这正在推高科技股的估值，但逆转可能会引发无序走势。</blockquote></p><p> “The Fed’s anticipated taper announcement this week may potentially catalyze a significant directional change in real rates,” the Wells Fargo note said. “We believe the eventual real/break-even reversion will be sharp.”</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的报告称：“美联储本周预期的taper公告可能会催化实际利率发生重大方向性变化。”“我们相信最终的实际/盈亏平衡回归将是急剧的。”</blockquote></p><p> For now, tech stocks are rallying along with seemingly every other equity. The Nasdaq 100, S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 all closed at record highs on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>目前，科技股似乎与所有其他股票一起上涨。纳斯达克100指数、标普500、道琼斯工业平均指数和罗素2000指数周二均收于历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> When real yields fall to rock bottom, future profits are discounted at lower rates -- pushing up valuations of stocks deemed able to grow their earnings for years to come. That’s why low rates have buoyed what quants call growth stocks, epitomized by tech names riding structural trends like Tesla Inc. or Netflix Inc.</p><p><blockquote>当实际收益率跌至谷底时，未来利润会以较低的利率贴现，从而推高被认为能够在未来几年增加收益的股票的估值。这就是为什么低利率提振了量化看涨期权成长型股票，其中典型的是特斯拉公司或Netflix公司等顺应结构性趋势的科技股。</blockquote></p><p> All that has helped the Nasdaq 100 to outperform this quarter and Wells Fargo’s own basket of “growth at any price” shares jump 13% toward another record.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都帮助纳斯达克100指数在本季度跑赢大盘，富国银行自己的一篮子“不惜一切代价增长”股票上涨13%，创下另一项纪录。</blockquote></p><p> While tech has dominated in the low-inflation world of the past decade, its recent rally has taken place against the backdrop of growing anxiety over consumer-price growth. As breakeven rates rose, a Societe Generale SA basket of stocks that gain with the cost of living just posted its best month since February.</p><p><blockquote>尽管科技在过去十年的低通胀世界中占据主导地位，但其最近的上涨是在人们对消费者价格增长日益担忧的背景下发生的。随着盈亏平衡利率上升，法国兴业银行(Societe Generale SA)一篮子随生活成本上涨的股票刚刚创下了自2月份以来最好的月份。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo is hardly alone in sounding the alarm on the outlook for Big Tech. The last time the Fed started to withdraw stimulus, real rates began rising sharply just before its balance sheet expanded again. Given how negative those yields are now, “a revaluation may be ahead for long-duration assets like the megacap growth stocks that dominate the major indexes,” Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management warned last week.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行并不是唯一一家对大型科技公司的前景发出警报的银行。上一次美联储开始撤回刺激措施时，就在其资产负债表再次扩张之前，实际利率开始大幅上升。摩根士丹利财富管理公司(Morgan Stanley Wealth Management)首席投资官丽莎·沙利特(Lisa Shalett)上周警告称，鉴于目前这些收益率的负值，“长期资产（例如在主要指数中占据主导地位的大型成长型股票）可能会出现重估”。</blockquote></p><p> Over at UBS Asset Management, strategist Luke Kawa suggests real yields are low despite bets on imminent monetary tightening because traders expect the Fed to reverse course eventually or the economy to tank as a result. At the same time though, he says real rates could also gain to reflect faster growth and inflation. The latter scenario would be good for the pro-cyclical stock exposures but bad for the market’s overall valuations.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银资产管理公司策略师卢克·卡瓦(Luke Kawa)表示，尽管押注货币紧缩即将到来，但实际收益率仍较低，因为交易员预计美联储最终会改变方针，否则经济将因此陷入困境。但与此同时，他表示，实际利率也可能上升，以反映更快的增长和通胀。后一种情况对顺周期股票敞口有利，但对市场整体估值不利。</blockquote></p><p> “If the world is moving into a world of a sustained higher inflation rate and nominal yields suddenly reflect that, then global equity valuations will be reset to a lower level causing a substantial drawdown in equities,” Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, wrote in a Tuesday note.</p><p><blockquote>盛宝股票策略主管Peter Garnry表示：“如果世界正在进入一个通胀率持续上升的世界，而名义收益率突然反映出这一点，那么全球股票估值将重置至较低水平，导致股市大幅下跌。”银行，在周二的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> To many on Wall Street, tech investing is therefore at the mercy of a macro call. Is the world heading for a period of resilient growth, faster inflation and tighter Fed policy -- or will the business cycle buckle under the pressure of supply-chain bottlenecks and reduced stimulus?</p><p><blockquote>因此，对许多华尔街人士来说，科技投资受到宏观看涨期权的影响。世界是否正在走向一个有弹性的增长、更快的通胀和美联储收紧政策的时期——或者商业周期是否会在供应链瓶颈和刺激减少的压力下崩溃？</blockquote></p><p> That conundrum is everywhere in the bond market. While the shorter-end of the yield curve steepened in anticipation of the Fed move, the longer-end has flattened just as aggressively amid growth fears.</p><p><blockquote>这个难题在债券市场随处可见。尽管由于对美联储举措的预期，收益率曲线的短端变陡，但由于对增长的担忧，长端收益率曲线也同样大幅走平。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, an option-derived gauge of Treasury volatility recently surged to the highest since April 2020, while the S&amp;P 500’s equivalent hovers close to the lowest since before the crash last year. It’s a sign the fixed-income market may be telegraphing worrying omens for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，期权衍生的国债波动性指标最近飙升至2020年4月以来的最高水平，而标普500的等值指标徘徊在去年崩盘前以来的最低水平附近。这表明固定收益市场可能正在向股市发出令人担忧的预兆。</blockquote></p><p> “From here we enter the midcycle adjustment, where gains moderate as expectations get recalibrated and policy normalizes,” Shalett at Morgan Stanley Wealth wrote. “Odds of a 10%-15% correction are increasing.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利财富的沙莱特写道：“从这里开始，我们进入了周期中期调整，随着预期的重新调整和政策正常化，涨幅将放缓。”“10%-15%修正的可能性正在增加。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/real-rate-reckoning-coming-big-141233636.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/real-rate-reckoning-coming-big-141233636.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175618425","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Big Tech stocks may be defying the biggest outbreak of bond volatility since April 2020, but a cohort of Wall Street strategists warn that a spike in real interest rates could finally knock them from all-time highs.\nWith the Federal Reserve likely to announce the paring of pandemic stimulus this week, Wells Fargo Securities is the latest to warn that a “sharp” rise in inflation-adjusted yields is becoming ever-more probable. And that threatens to inflict pain on pricey tech stocks in particular given their tight link with Treasury-market machinations.\n“Our trading call on Tech may be at risk, especially across ‘high-octane’ names,” a team led by Christopher Harvey wrote in a Tuesday note.\nHand-wringing on Wall Street over the bond-market threat to tech equities is nothing new. The difference this time is that Treasury gyrations are hitting extremes. Market-derived inflation expectations have risen in recent weeks while nominal yields have yet to move as fast -- causing real rates to drop near record lows. That’s juicing tech valuations for now, but a reversal could spark disorderly moves.\n“The Fed’s anticipated taper announcement this week may potentially catalyze a significant directional change in real rates,” the Wells Fargo note said. “We believe the eventual real/break-even reversion will be sharp.”\nFor now, tech stocks are rallying along with seemingly every other equity. The Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 all closed at record highs on Tuesday.\nWhen real yields fall to rock bottom, future profits are discounted at lower rates -- pushing up valuations of stocks deemed able to grow their earnings for years to come. That’s why low rates have buoyed what quants call growth stocks, epitomized by tech names riding structural trends like Tesla Inc. or Netflix Inc.\nAll that has helped the Nasdaq 100 to outperform this quarter and Wells Fargo’s own basket of “growth at any price” shares jump 13% toward another record.\nWhile tech has dominated in the low-inflation world of the past decade, its recent rally has taken place against the backdrop of growing anxiety over consumer-price growth. As breakeven rates rose, a Societe Generale SA basket of stocks that gain with the cost of living just posted its best month since February.\nWells Fargo is hardly alone in sounding the alarm on the outlook for Big Tech. The last time the Fed started to withdraw stimulus, real rates began rising sharply just before its balance sheet expanded again. Given how negative those yields are now, “a revaluation may be ahead for long-duration assets like the megacap growth stocks that dominate the major indexes,” Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management warned last week.\nOver at UBS Asset Management, strategist Luke Kawa suggests real yields are low despite bets on imminent monetary tightening because traders expect the Fed to reverse course eventually or the economy to tank as a result. At the same time though, he says real rates could also gain to reflect faster growth and inflation. The latter scenario would be good for the pro-cyclical stock exposures but bad for the market’s overall valuations.\n“If the world is moving into a world of a sustained higher inflation rate and nominal yields suddenly reflect that, then global equity valuations will be reset to a lower level causing a substantial drawdown in equities,” Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, wrote in a Tuesday note.\nTo many on Wall Street, tech investing is therefore at the mercy of a macro call. Is the world heading for a period of resilient growth, faster inflation and tighter Fed policy -- or will the business cycle buckle under the pressure of supply-chain bottlenecks and reduced stimulus?\nThat conundrum is everywhere in the bond market. While the shorter-end of the yield curve steepened in anticipation of the Fed move, the longer-end has flattened just as aggressively amid growth fears.\nMeanwhile, an option-derived gauge of Treasury volatility recently surged to the highest since April 2020, while the S&P 500’s equivalent hovers close to the lowest since before the crash last year. It’s a sign the fixed-income market may be telegraphing worrying omens for stocks.\n“From here we enter the midcycle adjustment, where gains moderate as expectations get recalibrated and policy normalizes,” Shalett at Morgan Stanley Wealth wrote. “Odds of a 10%-15% correction are increasing.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841677718,"gmtCreate":1635911224652,"gmtModify":1635911224757,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841677718","repostId":"1112586917","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112586917","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635909874,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112586917?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-03 11:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Caesars CEO Talks Up Sports Betting After Profit Falls Short<blockquote>凯撒首席执行官在利润不足后谈论体育博彩</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112586917","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Caesars Entertainment Inc. would have been more profitable last quarter if not for th","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Caesars Entertainment Inc. would have been more profitable last quarter if not for the fallout from Hurricane Ida on the U.S. Gulf Coast and a fire in Northern California, Chief Executive Officer Tom Reeg said Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——凯撒娱乐公司首席执行官汤姆·里格周二表示，如果不是美国墨西哥湾沿岸飓风艾达和北加州火灾的影响，凯撒娱乐公司上个季度的利润会更高。</blockquote></p><p> Absent those interruptions, the largest owner of casinos in the U.S. would have generated $1.1 billion in third-quarter earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization from its resorts, Reeg said on a conference call Tuesday. In May, he said the company would likely earn $1 billion in Ebitda at least one quarter this year.</p><p><blockquote>Reeg周二在电话会议上表示，如果没有这些中断，这家美国最大的赌场所有者第三季度的度假村息税折旧摊销前利润将达到11亿美元。今年5月，他表示该公司今年至少一个季度的Ebitda可能会达到10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, Caesars reported a surprise net loss for the quarter of $233 million, or $1.10 a share. Revenue soared to $2.69 billion from $1.44 billion a year ago, when casinos were in the teeth of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>相反，凯撒公布本季度净亏损出人意料地达到2.33亿美元，即每股1.10美元。收入从一年前的14.4亿美元飙升至26.9亿美元，当时赌场正处于疫情时期。</blockquote></p><p> Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization more than doubled to $882 million, but that missed the $931 million average of analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The earnings represent a record for the company’s Las Vegas properties, Caesars said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润增长了一倍多，达到8.82亿美元，但低于彭博社编制的分析师平均预期的9.31亿美元。凯撒在一份声明中表示，这一收益创下了该公司拉斯维加斯地产的纪录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Caesars were down 2.2% to $109.25 in extended trading. The stock was up 50% this year through Tuesday’s close in New York.</p><p><blockquote>凯撒股价在盘后交易中下跌2.2%，至109.25美元。截至周二纽约收盘，该股今年已上涨50%。</blockquote></p><p> Online betting has been a big growth initiative for the casino industry, including Caesars.</p><p><blockquote>在线博彩一直是包括凯撒在内的赌场行业的一大增长举措。</blockquote></p><p> The company completed the acquisition of sports betting giant William Hill Plc in April. Results for its online business were impacted by increased promotional activity, executives said on the call. While the company will continue to invest in the business, Reeg forecast profitability in sports betting by football season 2023.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于4月完成了对体育博彩巨头William Hill Plc的收购。高管们在看涨期权上表示，其在线业务的业绩受到促销活动增加的影响。虽然该公司将继续投资该业务，但Reeg预测到2023年足球赛季体育博彩将实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re gaining share at a pace stronger than we expected given the investment that we’ve made,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于我们所做的投资，我们正在以比预期更快的速度获得份额，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Caesars’ CEO also reiterated plans to sell a casino on the Las Vegas Strip early next year to reduce debt.</p><p><blockquote>凯撒首席执行官还重申了明年初出售拉斯维加斯大道赌场以减少债务的计划。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Caesars CEO Talks Up Sports Betting After Profit Falls Short<blockquote>凯撒首席执行官在利润不足后谈论体育博彩</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCaesars CEO Talks Up Sports Betting After Profit Falls Short<blockquote>凯撒首席执行官在利润不足后谈论体育博彩</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-03 11:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Caesars Entertainment Inc. would have been more profitable last quarter if not for the fallout from Hurricane Ida on the U.S. Gulf Coast and a fire in Northern California, Chief Executive Officer Tom Reeg said Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——凯撒娱乐公司首席执行官汤姆·里格周二表示，如果不是美国墨西哥湾沿岸飓风艾达和北加州火灾的影响，凯撒娱乐公司上个季度的利润会更高。</blockquote></p><p> Absent those interruptions, the largest owner of casinos in the U.S. would have generated $1.1 billion in third-quarter earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization from its resorts, Reeg said on a conference call Tuesday. In May, he said the company would likely earn $1 billion in Ebitda at least one quarter this year.</p><p><blockquote>Reeg周二在电话会议上表示，如果没有这些中断，这家美国最大的赌场所有者第三季度的度假村息税折旧摊销前利润将达到11亿美元。今年5月，他表示该公司今年至少一个季度的Ebitda可能会达到10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, Caesars reported a surprise net loss for the quarter of $233 million, or $1.10 a share. Revenue soared to $2.69 billion from $1.44 billion a year ago, when casinos were in the teeth of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>相反，凯撒公布本季度净亏损出人意料地达到2.33亿美元，即每股1.10美元。收入从一年前的14.4亿美元飙升至26.9亿美元，当时赌场正处于疫情时期。</blockquote></p><p> Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization more than doubled to $882 million, but that missed the $931 million average of analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The earnings represent a record for the company’s Las Vegas properties, Caesars said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润增长了一倍多，达到8.82亿美元，但低于彭博社编制的分析师平均预期的9.31亿美元。凯撒在一份声明中表示，这一收益创下了该公司拉斯维加斯地产的纪录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Caesars were down 2.2% to $109.25 in extended trading. The stock was up 50% this year through Tuesday’s close in New York.</p><p><blockquote>凯撒股价在盘后交易中下跌2.2%，至109.25美元。截至周二纽约收盘，该股今年已上涨50%。</blockquote></p><p> Online betting has been a big growth initiative for the casino industry, including Caesars.</p><p><blockquote>在线博彩一直是包括凯撒在内的赌场行业的一大增长举措。</blockquote></p><p> The company completed the acquisition of sports betting giant William Hill Plc in April. Results for its online business were impacted by increased promotional activity, executives said on the call. While the company will continue to invest in the business, Reeg forecast profitability in sports betting by football season 2023.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于4月完成了对体育博彩巨头William Hill Plc的收购。高管们在看涨期权上表示，其在线业务的业绩受到促销活动增加的影响。虽然该公司将继续投资该业务，但Reeg预测到2023年足球赛季体育博彩将实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re gaining share at a pace stronger than we expected given the investment that we’ve made,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于我们所做的投资，我们正在以比预期更快的速度获得份额，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Caesars’ CEO also reiterated plans to sell a casino on the Las Vegas Strip early next year to reduce debt.</p><p><blockquote>凯撒首席执行官还重申了明年初出售拉斯维加斯大道赌场以减少债务的计划。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/caesars-shares-tumble-quarterly-earnings-204024866.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CZR":"凯撒娱乐"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/caesars-shares-tumble-quarterly-earnings-204024866.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112586917","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Caesars Entertainment Inc. would have been more profitable last quarter if not for the fallout from Hurricane Ida on the U.S. Gulf Coast and a fire in Northern California, Chief Executive Officer Tom Reeg said Tuesday.\nAbsent those interruptions, the largest owner of casinos in the U.S. would have generated $1.1 billion in third-quarter earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization from its resorts, Reeg said on a conference call Tuesday. In May, he said the company would likely earn $1 billion in Ebitda at least one quarter this year.\nInstead, Caesars reported a surprise net loss for the quarter of $233 million, or $1.10 a share. Revenue soared to $2.69 billion from $1.44 billion a year ago, when casinos were in the teeth of the pandemic.\nAdjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization more than doubled to $882 million, but that missed the $931 million average of analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The earnings represent a record for the company’s Las Vegas properties, Caesars said in a statement.\nShares of Caesars were down 2.2% to $109.25 in extended trading. The stock was up 50% this year through Tuesday’s close in New York.\nOnline betting has been a big growth initiative for the casino industry, including Caesars.\nThe company completed the acquisition of sports betting giant William Hill Plc in April. Results for its online business were impacted by increased promotional activity, executives said on the call. While the company will continue to invest in the business, Reeg forecast profitability in sports betting by football season 2023.\n“We’re gaining share at a pace stronger than we expected given the investment that we’ve made,” he said.\nCaesars’ CEO also reiterated plans to sell a casino on the Las Vegas Strip early next year to reduce debt.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CZR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":895302412,"gmtCreate":1628722589736,"gmtModify":1631889895915,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow!&nbsp;","listText":"Wow!&nbsp;","text":"Wow!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895302412","repostId":"2158474560","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895308421,"gmtCreate":1628722500963,"gmtModify":1631889895928,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go !&nbsp;","listText":"Let's go !&nbsp;","text":"Let's go !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895308421","repostId":"1149859103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890167502,"gmtCreate":1628087521806,"gmtModify":1631889895938,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"2023 ! Wow","listText":"2023 ! Wow","text":"2023 ! Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890167502","repostId":"2156060681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1706,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803026396,"gmtCreate":1627397382615,"gmtModify":1631889895950,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good read !","listText":"Good read !","text":"Good read !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803026396","repostId":"1154449552","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803028283,"gmtCreate":1627397344142,"gmtModify":1631889895964,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All the way !&nbsp;","listText":"All the way !&nbsp;","text":"All the way !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803028283","repostId":"1154449552","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2336,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175987743,"gmtCreate":1627002821882,"gmtModify":1631889895971,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All the way !","listText":"All the way !","text":"All the way !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175987743","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1701,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143144874,"gmtCreate":1625785360498,"gmtModify":1631889895985,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting strategy","listText":"Waiting strategy","text":"Waiting strategy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143144874","repostId":"1145034030","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143142846,"gmtCreate":1625785223085,"gmtModify":1631889895995,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143142846","repostId":"1162204971","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156783331,"gmtCreate":1625236810023,"gmtModify":1631889896008,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156783331","repostId":"1196057674","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196057674","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1625229715,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196057674?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 20:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Warren Buffett Favorites To Keep An Eye On<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特最喜欢关注的5个</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196057674","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Legendary investor Warren Buffett has posted an impressive 21% year-to-date return for his flagship Berkshire Hathaway Inc  in the first half of 2021.Here's a look at five stocks owned by Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway that could see strong gains in the second half of 2021.Aonreportedfirst-quarter revenue up 10% year-over-year, including organic revenue growth of 6%. The company’s margins improved and earnings per share grew 22% year-over-year. Aon announced a supply chain global protection plan","content":"<p>Legendary investor&nbsp;<b>Warren Buffett</b>&nbsp;has posted an impressive 21% year-to-date return for his flagship&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway Inc</b>(NYSE:BRKA) (NYSE:BRKB)&nbsp;in the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>传奇投资人<b>沃伦·巴菲特</b>其旗舰产品年初至今的回报率为21%，令人印象深刻<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRKA）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRKB）2021年上半年。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at five stocks owned by Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway that could see strong gains in the second half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>以下是巴菲特和伯克希尔哈撒韦公司持有的五只股票，它们可能在2021年下半年出现强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Aon:</b>Earlier this year, Berkshire Hathaway took an&nbsp;initial position&nbsp;in insurance broker&nbsp;<b>Aon plc</b>(NYSE:AON). Shares of the company are up 15% year-to-date, could see more upside and could also be a position Buffett adds to.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.怡安：</b>今年早些时候，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司初步涉足保险经纪业务<b>怡安plc</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：怡安）。该公司股价今年迄今已上涨15%，可能会有更多上涨空间，也可能是巴菲特增持的头寸。</blockquote></p><p> Aonreportedfirst-quarter revenue up 10% year-over-year, including organic revenue growth of 6%. The company’s margins improved and earnings per share grew 22% year-over-year. Aon announced a supply chain global protection plan for COVID-19 vaccines that could be a highlight in the next earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>怡安公布第一季度收入同比增长10%，其中有机收入增长6%。该公司的利润率有所提高，每股收益同比增长22%。怡安宣布了一项针对COVID-19疫苗的供应链全球保护计划，这可能是下一份收益报告中的一个亮点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Apple:</b>There have been several rallies for technology stocks in the first half of 2021. Despite the rallies, shares of technology giant&nbsp;<b>Apple Inc</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL) traded flat in the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.苹果：</b>2021年上半年，科技股出现了几次反弹。尽管上涨，科技巨头的股价<b>苹果公司</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）2021年上半年交易持平。</blockquote></p><p> Apple makes up the largest stock holding in the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio. The iPhone maker&nbsp;continues to be an innovator and should not be overlooked for more product launches and announcements in the second half of the year that could move shares of the stock higher.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是Berkshire Hathaway投资组合中持有的最大股票。这家iPhone制造商仍然是创新者，不应忽视下半年更多产品发布和公告，这可能会推高该股股价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Bank of America:</b>&nbsp;<b>Bank of America Corporation</b>(NYSE:BAC) is a large holding of Buffett's and one of several bank stocks that he has kept. Buffett has significantly lowered the company’s weighting in&nbsp;<b>Wells Fargo Co</b>(NYSE:WFC), a stock it once owned 10% of and started investing in dating back to 1989.</p><p><blockquote><b>3.美国银行：</b> <b>美国银行公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BAC）是巴菲特的大量持股，也是他持有的几只银行股之一。巴菲特大幅降低了公司在<b>富国银行公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WFC），该公司曾持有该股票10%，并于1989年开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America could be Buffett's favored banking stock and it comes as the company reported record consumer investment assets and record client balances in thefirst quarter.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行可能是巴菲特最喜欢的银行股，该公司报告第一季度消费者投资资产和客户余额创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue for the first quarter of $22.8 billion was flat year-over-year but several areas saw strong demand and growth. The company announced it's raising its quarterly dividend from 18 cents to 21 cents in late June and could continue to raise dividends after passing a new bank stress test.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度收入为228亿美元，同比持平，但多个领域的需求和增长强劲。该公司于6月底宣布将季度股息从18美分提高至21美分，并可能在通过新的银行压力测试后继续提高股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Coca-Cola:</b>One of Buffett's favorites&nbsp;is<b>&nbsp;Coca-Cola Co</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:KO). Shares of the beverage giant are down 1% in the first half of 2021 as many consumer food and beverage companies have seen positive returns. The company could be due to make a bigacquisitionlike that of&nbsp;<b>Monster Beverage Corporation</b>(NASDAQ:MNST) orpushing furtherinto alcoholic beverages.</p><p><blockquote><b>4.可口可乐：</b>巴菲特的最爱之一是<b>可口可乐公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：KO）。由于许多消费食品和饮料公司都获得了正回报，这家饮料巨头的股价在2021年上半年下跌了1%。该公司可能会进行类似于<b>怪兽饮料公司</b>（纳斯达克：MNST）或进一步推进酒精饮料。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Verizon:</b>Shares of&nbsp;<b>Verizon Communications</b>(NYSE:VZ) are down around 4% in the first half of 2021. The companyreportedtotal revenue of $32.9 billion in the first quarter, up 4% year-over-year. Several of the company’s core business segments saw single-digit growth.</p><p><blockquote><b>5.威瑞森：</b>本公司之股份<b>Verizon通信</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：VZ）2021年上半年下跌约4%。该公司报告第一季度总收入为329亿美元，同比增长4%。该公司的几个核心业务部门实现了个位数增长。</blockquote></p><p> A shift to 5G nationwide could help a company like Verizon, which along with a near 5% dividend yield could make the communications giant a stock to watch in the second half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在全国范围内转向5G可能会帮助像Verizon这样的公司，加上近5%的股息收益率，可能会使这家通信巨头成为2021年下半年值得关注的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Warren Buffett Favorites To Keep An Eye On<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特最喜欢关注的5个</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Warren Buffett Favorites To Keep An Eye On<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特最喜欢关注的5个</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-02 20:41</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Legendary investor&nbsp;<b>Warren Buffett</b>&nbsp;has posted an impressive 21% year-to-date return for his flagship&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway Inc</b>(NYSE:BRKA) (NYSE:BRKB)&nbsp;in the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>传奇投资人<b>沃伦·巴菲特</b>其旗舰产品年初至今的回报率为21%，令人印象深刻<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRKA）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRKB）2021年上半年。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at five stocks owned by Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway that could see strong gains in the second half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>以下是巴菲特和伯克希尔哈撒韦公司持有的五只股票，它们可能在2021年下半年出现强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Aon:</b>Earlier this year, Berkshire Hathaway took an&nbsp;initial position&nbsp;in insurance broker&nbsp;<b>Aon plc</b>(NYSE:AON). Shares of the company are up 15% year-to-date, could see more upside and could also be a position Buffett adds to.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.怡安：</b>今年早些时候，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司初步涉足保险经纪业务<b>怡安plc</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：怡安）。该公司股价今年迄今已上涨15%，可能会有更多上涨空间，也可能是巴菲特增持的头寸。</blockquote></p><p> Aonreportedfirst-quarter revenue up 10% year-over-year, including organic revenue growth of 6%. The company’s margins improved and earnings per share grew 22% year-over-year. Aon announced a supply chain global protection plan for COVID-19 vaccines that could be a highlight in the next earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>怡安公布第一季度收入同比增长10%，其中有机收入增长6%。该公司的利润率有所提高，每股收益同比增长22%。怡安宣布了一项针对COVID-19疫苗的供应链全球保护计划，这可能是下一份收益报告中的一个亮点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Apple:</b>There have been several rallies for technology stocks in the first half of 2021. Despite the rallies, shares of technology giant&nbsp;<b>Apple Inc</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL) traded flat in the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.苹果：</b>2021年上半年，科技股出现了几次反弹。尽管上涨，科技巨头的股价<b>苹果公司</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）2021年上半年交易持平。</blockquote></p><p> Apple makes up the largest stock holding in the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio. The iPhone maker&nbsp;continues to be an innovator and should not be overlooked for more product launches and announcements in the second half of the year that could move shares of the stock higher.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是Berkshire Hathaway投资组合中持有的最大股票。这家iPhone制造商仍然是创新者，不应忽视下半年更多产品发布和公告，这可能会推高该股股价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Bank of America:</b>&nbsp;<b>Bank of America Corporation</b>(NYSE:BAC) is a large holding of Buffett's and one of several bank stocks that he has kept. Buffett has significantly lowered the company’s weighting in&nbsp;<b>Wells Fargo Co</b>(NYSE:WFC), a stock it once owned 10% of and started investing in dating back to 1989.</p><p><blockquote><b>3.美国银行：</b> <b>美国银行公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BAC）是巴菲特的大量持股，也是他持有的几只银行股之一。巴菲特大幅降低了公司在<b>富国银行公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WFC），该公司曾持有该股票10%，并于1989年开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America could be Buffett's favored banking stock and it comes as the company reported record consumer investment assets and record client balances in thefirst quarter.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行可能是巴菲特最喜欢的银行股，该公司报告第一季度消费者投资资产和客户余额创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue for the first quarter of $22.8 billion was flat year-over-year but several areas saw strong demand and growth. The company announced it's raising its quarterly dividend from 18 cents to 21 cents in late June and could continue to raise dividends after passing a new bank stress test.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度收入为228亿美元，同比持平，但多个领域的需求和增长强劲。该公司于6月底宣布将季度股息从18美分提高至21美分，并可能在通过新的银行压力测试后继续提高股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Coca-Cola:</b>One of Buffett's favorites&nbsp;is<b>&nbsp;Coca-Cola Co</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:KO). Shares of the beverage giant are down 1% in the first half of 2021 as many consumer food and beverage companies have seen positive returns. The company could be due to make a bigacquisitionlike that of&nbsp;<b>Monster Beverage Corporation</b>(NASDAQ:MNST) orpushing furtherinto alcoholic beverages.</p><p><blockquote><b>4.可口可乐：</b>巴菲特的最爱之一是<b>可口可乐公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：KO）。由于许多消费食品和饮料公司都获得了正回报，这家饮料巨头的股价在2021年上半年下跌了1%。该公司可能会进行类似于<b>怪兽饮料公司</b>（纳斯达克：MNST）或进一步推进酒精饮料。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Verizon:</b>Shares of&nbsp;<b>Verizon Communications</b>(NYSE:VZ) are down around 4% in the first half of 2021. The companyreportedtotal revenue of $32.9 billion in the first quarter, up 4% year-over-year. Several of the company’s core business segments saw single-digit growth.</p><p><blockquote><b>5.威瑞森：</b>本公司之股份<b>Verizon通信</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：VZ）2021年上半年下跌约4%。该公司报告第一季度总收入为329亿美元，同比增长4%。该公司的几个核心业务部门实现了个位数增长。</blockquote></p><p> A shift to 5G nationwide could help a company like Verizon, which along with a near 5% dividend yield could make the communications giant a stock to watch in the second half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在全国范围内转向5G可能会帮助像Verizon这样的公司，加上近5%的股息收益率，可能会使这家通信巨头成为2021年下半年值得关注的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行","MNST":"怪物饮料","AAPL":"苹果","KO":"可口可乐","WFC":"富国银行","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","AON":"怡安保险","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196057674","content_text":"Legendary investor Warren Buffett has posted an impressive 21% year-to-date return for his flagship Berkshire Hathaway Inc(NYSE:BRKA) (NYSE:BRKB) in the first half of 2021.\nHere's a look at five stocks owned by Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway that could see strong gains in the second half of 2021.\n1. Aon:Earlier this year, Berkshire Hathaway took an initial position in insurance broker Aon plc(NYSE:AON). Shares of the company are up 15% year-to-date, could see more upside and could also be a position Buffett adds to.\nAonreportedfirst-quarter revenue up 10% year-over-year, including organic revenue growth of 6%. The company’s margins improved and earnings per share grew 22% year-over-year. Aon announced a supply chain global protection plan for COVID-19 vaccines that could be a highlight in the next earnings report.\n2. Apple:There have been several rallies for technology stocks in the first half of 2021. Despite the rallies, shares of technology giant Apple Inc(NASDAQ:AAPL) traded flat in the first half of 2021.\nApple makes up the largest stock holding in the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio. The iPhone maker continues to be an innovator and should not be overlooked for more product launches and announcements in the second half of the year that could move shares of the stock higher.\n3. Bank of America: Bank of America Corporation(NYSE:BAC) is a large holding of Buffett's and one of several bank stocks that he has kept. Buffett has significantly lowered the company’s weighting in Wells Fargo Co(NYSE:WFC), a stock it once owned 10% of and started investing in dating back to 1989.\nBank of America could be Buffett's favored banking stock and it comes as the company reported record consumer investment assets and record client balances in thefirst quarter.\nRevenue for the first quarter of $22.8 billion was flat year-over-year but several areas saw strong demand and growth. The company announced it's raising its quarterly dividend from 18 cents to 21 cents in late June and could continue to raise dividends after passing a new bank stress test.\n4. Coca-Cola:One of Buffett's favorites is Coca-Cola Co (NYSE:KO). Shares of the beverage giant are down 1% in the first half of 2021 as many consumer food and beverage companies have seen positive returns. The company could be due to make a bigacquisitionlike that of Monster Beverage Corporation(NASDAQ:MNST) orpushing furtherinto alcoholic beverages.\n5. Verizon:Shares of Verizon Communications(NYSE:VZ) are down around 4% in the first half of 2021. The companyreportedtotal revenue of $32.9 billion in the first quarter, up 4% year-over-year. Several of the company’s core business segments saw single-digit growth.\nA shift to 5G nationwide could help a company like Verizon, which along with a near 5% dividend yield could make the communications giant a stock to watch in the second half of 2021.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KO":0.9,"AON":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"MNST":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"WFC":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126568791,"gmtCreate":1624579125513,"gmtModify":1631889896018,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌&nbsp;","listText":"👌&nbsp;","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126568791","repostId":"2146023787","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126584993,"gmtCreate":1624578902012,"gmtModify":1631892208682,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126584993","repostId":"2146002655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126580882,"gmtCreate":1624578692546,"gmtModify":1631892208692,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good read","listText":"Good read","text":"Good read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126580882","repostId":"2146023953","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126594767,"gmtCreate":1624578159359,"gmtModify":1631892208706,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wonderful&nbsp;","listText":"Wonderful&nbsp;","text":"Wonderful","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126594767","repostId":"1161267930","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126100368,"gmtCreate":1624546310954,"gmtModify":1631892208719,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126100368","repostId":"1187819280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187819280","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624529642,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187819280?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187819280","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pan","content":"<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 18:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187819280","content_text":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.\nTake the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.\nLately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.\nAnd some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.\nWhile some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.\nHere are five big reasons why:\n1. The upgrade cycle is over\nLast summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.\nConsider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.\nThe same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.\n2. Valuations are stretched\nSpeaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.\nTake TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.\nWhat’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.\n3. Delays and shortages\nFuture growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.\nHome improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.\nEven if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.\n4. Inflationary pressures\nFor the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.\nThe cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.\nInflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.\n5. Home-equity hubris\nSpeaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.\nSome of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.\nBut here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.\nAnyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126374296,"gmtCreate":1624546271615,"gmtModify":1631892208729,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow !","listText":"Wow !","text":"Wow !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126374296","repostId":"1162964404","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164200616,"gmtCreate":1624204699735,"gmtModify":1631892208741,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578952819778047","authorIdStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's keep watching...&nbsp;","listText":"Let's keep watching...&nbsp;","text":"Let's keep watching...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164200616","repostId":"1118271544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118271544","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624023029,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118271544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow drops 400 points at the open, extending losses in its worst week since January<blockquote>道琼斯指数开盘下跌400点，延续1月份以来最糟糕的一周跌幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118271544","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks fell on Friday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average on pace to post its worst week sinc","content":"<p>U.S. stocks fell on Friday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average on pace to post its worst week since January, as bank shares led the market sell-off after the Federal Reserve's latest policy update.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周五下跌，道琼斯工业平均指数有望创下1月份以来最糟糕的一周，美联储最新政策更新后，银行股领跌市场。</blockquote></p><p> The blue-chip average dropped 400 points, bringing its week-to-date losses to 2.8% The S&amp;P 500 fell 0.8%, pushing its loss this week to more than 1%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>蓝筹股平均指数下跌400点，本周迄今跌幅达到2.8%。标普500下跌0.8%，本周跌幅超过1%。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks extended their losses asSt. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard said on CNBCthat it was natural for the Fed to tilt a little \"hawkish\" this week and that the first rate increase from the central bank would likely come in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>股市扩大跌幅。路易斯联储主席Jim Bullard在CNBC上表示，美联储本周倾向于稍微“鹰派”是很自然的，央行首次加息可能会在2022年进行。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street registered losses as the Federal Reserve on Wednesday afternoon added two rate hikes to its 2023 forecast and increased its inflation projection for the year.</p><p><blockquote>周三下午，美联储在2023年预测中增加了两次加息，并上调了今年的通胀预测，华尔街出现下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The decline in stocks came as the Fed's actions caused a drastic flattening of the so-called Treasury yield curve&nbsp;where the yields of shorter-duration Treasurys, like the&nbsp;2-year note, rose, while longer duration yields, such as the benchmark 10-year, fell.&nbsp;The retreat in long-dated bonds reflects less optimism toward economic growth, while the jump in short-end yields shows the expectations of the Fed raising rates.</p><p><blockquote>股市下跌之际，美联储的行动导致所谓的国债收益率曲线急剧变平，2年期国债等短期国债收益率上升，而基准10年期国债等长期国债收益率下降。长期债券的回落反映了对经济增长的不太乐观，而短端收益率的跃升则显示了对美联储加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> This phenomenon is hurting bank stocks particularly as bank earnings could take a hit when the spread between short-term and long-term rates narrows. Goldman Sachs shares fell more than 1% Friday, while JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley also traded in the red.</p><p><blockquote>这种现象正在损害银行股，特别是当短期和长期利率之间的利差缩小时，银行盈利可能会受到打击。高盛股价周五下跌超过1%，摩根大通和摩根士丹利也出现亏损。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that officials have discussed tapering bond buying and would at some point begin slowing the asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔周三表示，官员们已经讨论了缩减债券购买，并将在某个时候开始放缓资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> \"Investors may be interpreting the Fed's hawkish tilt Wednesday as a sign that an extended US post-pandemic economic expansion may be a bit harder to achieve in a potentially emerging environment of less accommodative monetary policy,\" said Goldman Sachs' Chris Hussey in a note.</p><p><blockquote>高盛(Goldman Sachs)的克里斯·赫西(Chris Hussey)在一份报告中表示：“投资者可能将美联储周三的鹰派倾向解读为一个迹象，表明在可能出现的货币政策不太宽松的环境下，美国大流行后经济扩张可能更难实现。”</blockquote></p><p> Most commodities prices rebounded a bit on Friday followingsharp declines this week&nbsp;as China attempts to cool rising prices and the U.S. dollar strengthens. Futures prices for copper, gold, and platinum rebounded Friday, but were still down big for the week.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国试图冷却不断上涨的物价和美元走强，大多数大宗商品价格在本周大幅下跌后，周五略有反弹。铜、黄金和铂的期货价格周五反弹，但本周仍大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Chip stocks, which have had a good week, looked set to continue their run on Friday with shares of Nvidia higher by about 1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周表现良好的芯片股周五似乎将继续上涨，英伟达股价上涨约1%。</blockquote></p><p> Adobe shares gained about 3% after earnings and revenue topped estimates.</p><p><blockquote>盈利和收入超出预期后，Adobe股价上涨约3%。</blockquote></p><p> Friday also coincides with the quarterly \"quadruple witching\" where options and futures on indexes and equities expire. Many expect trading to be more volatile in light of this event.</p><p><blockquote>周五也恰逢季度“四重巫术”，指数和股票的期权和期货到期。许多人预计，鉴于这一事件，交易将更加波动。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow drops 400 points at the open, extending losses in its worst week since January<blockquote>道琼斯指数开盘下跌400点，延续1月份以来最糟糕的一周跌幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow drops 400 points at the open, extending losses in its worst week since January<blockquote>道琼斯指数开盘下跌400点，延续1月份以来最糟糕的一周跌幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-18 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks fell on Friday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average on pace to post its worst week since January, as bank shares led the market sell-off after the Federal Reserve's latest policy update.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周五下跌，道琼斯工业平均指数有望创下1月份以来最糟糕的一周，美联储最新政策更新后，银行股领跌市场。</blockquote></p><p> The blue-chip average dropped 400 points, bringing its week-to-date losses to 2.8% The S&amp;P 500 fell 0.8%, pushing its loss this week to more than 1%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>蓝筹股平均指数下跌400点，本周迄今跌幅达到2.8%。标普500下跌0.8%，本周跌幅超过1%。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks extended their losses asSt. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard said on CNBCthat it was natural for the Fed to tilt a little \"hawkish\" this week and that the first rate increase from the central bank would likely come in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>股市扩大跌幅。路易斯联储主席Jim Bullard在CNBC上表示，美联储本周倾向于稍微“鹰派”是很自然的，央行首次加息可能会在2022年进行。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street registered losses as the Federal Reserve on Wednesday afternoon added two rate hikes to its 2023 forecast and increased its inflation projection for the year.</p><p><blockquote>周三下午，美联储在2023年预测中增加了两次加息，并上调了今年的通胀预测，华尔街出现下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The decline in stocks came as the Fed's actions caused a drastic flattening of the so-called Treasury yield curve&nbsp;where the yields of shorter-duration Treasurys, like the&nbsp;2-year note, rose, while longer duration yields, such as the benchmark 10-year, fell.&nbsp;The retreat in long-dated bonds reflects less optimism toward economic growth, while the jump in short-end yields shows the expectations of the Fed raising rates.</p><p><blockquote>股市下跌之际，美联储的行动导致所谓的国债收益率曲线急剧变平，2年期国债等短期国债收益率上升，而基准10年期国债等长期国债收益率下降。长期债券的回落反映了对经济增长的不太乐观，而短端收益率的跃升则显示了对美联储加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> This phenomenon is hurting bank stocks particularly as bank earnings could take a hit when the spread between short-term and long-term rates narrows. Goldman Sachs shares fell more than 1% Friday, while JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley also traded in the red.</p><p><blockquote>这种现象正在损害银行股，特别是当短期和长期利率之间的利差缩小时，银行盈利可能会受到打击。高盛股价周五下跌超过1%，摩根大通和摩根士丹利也出现亏损。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that officials have discussed tapering bond buying and would at some point begin slowing the asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔周三表示，官员们已经讨论了缩减债券购买，并将在某个时候开始放缓资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> \"Investors may be interpreting the Fed's hawkish tilt Wednesday as a sign that an extended US post-pandemic economic expansion may be a bit harder to achieve in a potentially emerging environment of less accommodative monetary policy,\" said Goldman Sachs' Chris Hussey in a note.</p><p><blockquote>高盛(Goldman Sachs)的克里斯·赫西(Chris Hussey)在一份报告中表示：“投资者可能将美联储周三的鹰派倾向解读为一个迹象，表明在可能出现的货币政策不太宽松的环境下，美国大流行后经济扩张可能更难实现。”</blockquote></p><p> Most commodities prices rebounded a bit on Friday followingsharp declines this week&nbsp;as China attempts to cool rising prices and the U.S. dollar strengthens. Futures prices for copper, gold, and platinum rebounded Friday, but were still down big for the week.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国试图冷却不断上涨的物价和美元走强，大多数大宗商品价格在本周大幅下跌后，周五略有反弹。铜、黄金和铂的期货价格周五反弹，但本周仍大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Chip stocks, which have had a good week, looked set to continue their run on Friday with shares of Nvidia higher by about 1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周表现良好的芯片股周五似乎将继续上涨，英伟达股价上涨约1%。</blockquote></p><p> Adobe shares gained about 3% after earnings and revenue topped estimates.</p><p><blockquote>盈利和收入超出预期后，Adobe股价上涨约3%。</blockquote></p><p> Friday also coincides with the quarterly \"quadruple witching\" where options and futures on indexes and equities expire. Many expect trading to be more volatile in light of this event.</p><p><blockquote>周五也恰逢季度“四重巫术”，指数和股票的期权和期货到期。许多人预计，鉴于这一事件，交易将更加波动。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118271544","content_text":"U.S. stocks fell on Friday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average on pace to post its worst week since January, as bank shares led the market sell-off after the Federal Reserve's latest policy update.\nThe blue-chip average dropped 400 points, bringing its week-to-date losses to 2.8% The S&P 500 fell 0.8%, pushing its loss this week to more than 1%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.5%.\nStocks extended their losses asSt. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard said on CNBCthat it was natural for the Fed to tilt a little \"hawkish\" this week and that the first rate increase from the central bank would likely come in 2022.\nWall Street registered losses as the Federal Reserve on Wednesday afternoon added two rate hikes to its 2023 forecast and increased its inflation projection for the year.\nThe decline in stocks came as the Fed's actions caused a drastic flattening of the so-called Treasury yield curve where the yields of shorter-duration Treasurys, like the 2-year note, rose, while longer duration yields, such as the benchmark 10-year, fell. The retreat in long-dated bonds reflects less optimism toward economic growth, while the jump in short-end yields shows the expectations of the Fed raising rates.\nThis phenomenon is hurting bank stocks particularly as bank earnings could take a hit when the spread between short-term and long-term rates narrows. Goldman Sachs shares fell more than 1% Friday, while JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley also traded in the red.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that officials have discussed tapering bond buying and would at some point begin slowing the asset purchases.\n\"Investors may be interpreting the Fed's hawkish tilt Wednesday as a sign that an extended US post-pandemic economic expansion may be a bit harder to achieve in a potentially emerging environment of less accommodative monetary policy,\" said Goldman Sachs' Chris Hussey in a note.\nMost commodities prices rebounded a bit on Friday followingsharp declines this week as China attempts to cool rising prices and the U.S. dollar strengthens. Futures prices for copper, gold, and platinum rebounded Friday, but were still down big for the week.\nChip stocks, which have had a good week, looked set to continue their run on Friday with shares of Nvidia higher by about 1%.\nAdobe shares gained about 3% after earnings and revenue topped estimates.\nFriday also coincides with the quarterly \"quadruple witching\" where options and futures on indexes and equities expire. Many expect trading to be more volatile in light of this event.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":187100037,"gmtCreate":1623744876129,"gmtModify":1634029242178,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578952819778047","idStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment and like please. Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like please. Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like please. Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187100037","repostId":"1175897310","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175897310","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1623725513,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175897310?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 10:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO Preview: WalkMe, Atai Life Sciences Highlight Week Of Many Offerings<blockquote>IPO预览：WalkMe、Atai Life Sciences重点推出众多产品</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175897310","media":"Benzinga","summary":"This week’s IPO lineup could feature a double digit number of companies hitting the public. Here is ","content":"<p>This week’s IPO lineup could feature a double digit number of companies hitting the public. Here is a look at some of the largest and most high profile companies going public this week.</p><p><blockquote>本周的IPO阵容可能会有两位数的公司上市。以下是本周上市的一些最大、最引人注目的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMTD Digital:</b>Asian digital solutions platform&nbsp;<b>AMTD Digital</b>(NYSE:HKD)&nbsp;offers&nbsp;risk solutions and digital insurance technology for partners. The company had revenue of $21.6 million in fiscal 2020 and $18.8 million through the first nine months of the current fiscal year. The company plans to sell 16 million ADSs at a price point of $6.80 to $8.20.</p><p><blockquote><b>尚乘数科：</b>亚洲数字解决方案平台<b>尚乘数科</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：HKD）为合作伙伴提供风险解决方案和数字保险技术。该公司2020财年的收入为2160万美元，本财年前9个月的收入为1880万美元。该公司计划以6.80美元至8.20美元的价格出售1600万股ADS。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Molecular Partners:</b>Clinical stage biotechnology company&nbsp;<b>Molecular Partners</b>(NASDAQ:MOLN) isfocusedon using its pioneering DARPin product in categories including infectious diseases, oncology and ophthalmology. The company partnered with&nbsp;<b>Novartis</b>(NYSE:NVS) in 2020,<b>Amgen Inc</b>(NASDAQ:AMGN) in 2018 and&nbsp;<b>AbbVie Inc</b>(NYSE:ABBV) in 2011. Novartis owns 6% of the company. Molecular Partners plans to sell 3 million ADS.</p><p><blockquote><b>分子伙伴：</b>临床阶段生物技术公司<b>分子伙伴</b>（纳斯达克：MOLN）专注于在传染病、肿瘤学和眼科等领域使用其开创性的DARPin产品。公司与<b>诺华</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：NVS）2020年，<b>安进公司</b>（纳斯达克：AMGN）于2018年及<b>艾伯维公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ABBV）。诺华拥有该公司6%的股份。Molecular Partners计划销售300万个广告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>WalkMe:</b>With a mission to change the way humans interact with technology,<b>WalkMe</b>(NASDAQ:WKME)offerssolutions for organizations. The company has many well-known companies as customers including Nestle and Veolia, two large European companies listed as case studies in the filing.</p><p><blockquote><b>WalkMe：</b>肩负着改变人类与技术互动方式的使命，<b>WalkMe</b>（纳斯达克：WKME）为组织提供解决方案。该公司有许多知名公司作为客户，包括雀巢和威立雅，这两家大型欧洲公司在文件中被列为案例研究。</blockquote></p><p> WalkMe had revenue of $148 million in 2020 and revenue of $42.7 million in the first quarter of 2021. The company’s revenue was up 34% year-over-year in the last twelve months. The company has 368 customers that represent $100,000 or more in annual revenue and 22 customers that represent $1 million or more in annual revenue. WalkMe plans on selling 9.25 million shares at a price point of $29 to $32.</p><p><blockquote>WalkMe 2020年营收为1.48亿美元，2021年第一季度营收为4270万美元。过去12个月，该公司的收入同比增长34%。该公司有368个年收入10万美元或以上的客户，22个年收入100万美元或以上的客户。WalkMe计划以29至32美元的价格出售925万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Convey Holding:</b>Health care company&nbsp;<b>Convey Holding</b>(NYSE:CNVY)partnerswith eight of the 10 largest Medicare Advantage companies in the U.S. The company had 2.5 million Medicare Advantage and 1.6 million Prescription Drug Plan members in 2020. Revenue in 2020 for the company was $282.9 million. First-quarter 2021 revenue was $82.6 million for the company. Convey Holding plans to sell 13.3 million shares at a price point of $14 to $16.</p><p><blockquote><b>传达控股：</b>保健公司<b>康维控股</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CNVY）与美国10家最大的Medicare Advantage公司中的8家合作。2020年，该公司拥有250万Medicare Advantage会员和160万处方药计划会员。该公司2020年收入为2.829亿美元。该公司2021年第一季度收入为8260万美元。Convey Holding计划以14至16美元的价格出售1330万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Angel Oak Mortgage:</b>Real estate finance company&nbsp;<b>Angel Oak Mortgage</b>(NYSE: AOMR)&nbsp;acquiresand invests in first&nbsp;lien non-QM Loans and other mortgage assets in the U.S. The company had assets of $534.9 million at the end of the first quarter of 2021. The company has elected to be taxed as a REIT. Angel Oak Mortgage is seeking to sell 8.1 million shares at a price point of $20 to $21.</p><p><blockquote><b>天使橡树抵押贷款：</b>房地产金融公司<b>天使橡树抵押贷款</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AOMR）收购并投资美国的第一留置权非QM贷款和其他抵押贷款资产。截至2021年第一季度末，该公司的资产为5.349亿美元。该公司选择作为房地产投资信托基金纳税。Angel Oak Mortgage寻求以20至21美元的价格出售810万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lyell Immunopharma:</b>Seeking to disrupt the T-cell reprogramming market,<b>Lyell ImmunoPharma</b>(NASDAQ:LYEL)intendsto have four INDs submitted by the end of 2022. The company partnered with<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b>(NYSE:GSK) in 2019 in a deal good for up to $400 million in additional milestones after a $45-million upfront payment.</p><p><blockquote><b>莱尔免疫制药公司：</b>寻求颠覆T细胞重编程市场，<b>莱尔免疫制药公司</b>（纳斯达克：LYEL）打算到2022年底提交四份IND。公司与<b>葛兰素史克</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GSK）在2019年的一项交易中，在预付4500万美元后，额外的里程碑价值高达4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> GlaxoSmithKline owns 14% of Lyell and&nbsp;<b>Bristol-MyersSquibb</b>(NYSE:BMY) owned Celgene owns 5% of the company. Lyell is planning to sell 25 million shares at a price point of $16 to $18.</p><p><blockquote>葛兰素史克拥有莱尔14%的股份和<b>百时美施贵宝</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BMY）拥有Celgene拥有该公司5%的股份。莱尔计划以16至18美元的价格出售2500万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Verve Therapeutics:</b>Genetic medicine company<b>Verve Therapeutics</b>(NASDAQ: VERV) isfocusedon cardiovascular disease. The company plans to sell 11.8 million shares at a price point of $16 to $18.</p><p><blockquote><b>神韵疗法：</b>基因医学公司<b>神韵疗法</b>（纳斯达克：VERV）专注于心血管疾病。该公司计划以16至18美元的价格出售1180万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atai Life Sciences:</b>Backedby&nbsp;<b>Palantir Technologies</b>(NYSE:PLTR) and&nbsp;<b>Paypal Holdings</b>(NASDAQ:PYPL) founder Peter Thiel,<b>Atai Life Sciences</b>(NASDAQ:ATAI) could be one of the high profile IPOs of the week.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿泰生命科学：</b>支持<b>Palantir技术</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PLTR）和<b>Paypal控股</b>（纳斯达克：PYPL）创始人Peter Thiel，<b>阿泰生命科学</b>（纳斯达克：ATAI）可能是本周备受瞩目的IPO之一。</blockquote></p><p> The company isdevelopingtreatment options for mental health disorders. The company has 10 programs in its pipeline and six enabling technologies. The company is planning on selling 14.3 million shares at a price point of $13 to $15.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在开发精神健康障碍的治疗方案。该公司拥有10个项目和6项支持技术。该公司计划以13至15美元的价格出售1,430万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AiHui Shou International:</b>Pre-owned consumer electronics reseller&nbsp;<b>AiHuiShou International</b>(NYSE: RERE)seeksto give a second life to all idle goods.</p><p><blockquote><b>爱辉寿国际：</b>二手消费电子产品经销商<b>爱回收国际</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：RERE）寻求赋予所有闲置商品第二次生命。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s three business lines — AHS Recycle, PJUT Marketplace and PaiPai Marketplace — help the company as the market leader in China with a market share of 6.6%. The company had revenue of $741.5 million in 2020 and $231.1 million in the first quarter of 2021, up 119% year-over-year.<b>JD.com</b>(NASDAQ:JD) will own 32.3% of the company after the IPO. The company plans on selling 16.2 million ADSs at a price point of $13 to $15.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的三个业务线——AHS Recycle、PJUT Marketplace和PaiPai Marketplace——帮助该公司以6.6%的市场份额成为中国的市场领导者。该公司2020年营收7.415亿美元，2021年第一季度营收2.311亿美元，同比增长119%。<b>京东</b>（纳斯达克：JD）IPO后将拥有该公司32.3%的股份。该公司计划以13至15美元的价格出售1620万股ADS。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO Preview: WalkMe, Atai Life Sciences Highlight Week Of Many Offerings<blockquote>IPO预览：WalkMe、Atai Life Sciences重点推出众多产品</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO Preview: WalkMe, Atai Life Sciences Highlight Week Of Many Offerings<blockquote>IPO预览：WalkMe、Atai Life Sciences重点推出众多产品</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-15 10:51</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>This week’s IPO lineup could feature a double digit number of companies hitting the public. Here is a look at some of the largest and most high profile companies going public this week.</p><p><blockquote>本周的IPO阵容可能会有两位数的公司上市。以下是本周上市的一些最大、最引人注目的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMTD Digital:</b>Asian digital solutions platform&nbsp;<b>AMTD Digital</b>(NYSE:HKD)&nbsp;offers&nbsp;risk solutions and digital insurance technology for partners. The company had revenue of $21.6 million in fiscal 2020 and $18.8 million through the first nine months of the current fiscal year. The company plans to sell 16 million ADSs at a price point of $6.80 to $8.20.</p><p><blockquote><b>尚乘数科：</b>亚洲数字解决方案平台<b>尚乘数科</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：HKD）为合作伙伴提供风险解决方案和数字保险技术。该公司2020财年的收入为2160万美元，本财年前9个月的收入为1880万美元。该公司计划以6.80美元至8.20美元的价格出售1600万股ADS。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Molecular Partners:</b>Clinical stage biotechnology company&nbsp;<b>Molecular Partners</b>(NASDAQ:MOLN) isfocusedon using its pioneering DARPin product in categories including infectious diseases, oncology and ophthalmology. The company partnered with&nbsp;<b>Novartis</b>(NYSE:NVS) in 2020,<b>Amgen Inc</b>(NASDAQ:AMGN) in 2018 and&nbsp;<b>AbbVie Inc</b>(NYSE:ABBV) in 2011. Novartis owns 6% of the company. Molecular Partners plans to sell 3 million ADS.</p><p><blockquote><b>分子伙伴：</b>临床阶段生物技术公司<b>分子伙伴</b>（纳斯达克：MOLN）专注于在传染病、肿瘤学和眼科等领域使用其开创性的DARPin产品。公司与<b>诺华</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：NVS）2020年，<b>安进公司</b>（纳斯达克：AMGN）于2018年及<b>艾伯维公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ABBV）。诺华拥有该公司6%的股份。Molecular Partners计划销售300万个广告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>WalkMe:</b>With a mission to change the way humans interact with technology,<b>WalkMe</b>(NASDAQ:WKME)offerssolutions for organizations. The company has many well-known companies as customers including Nestle and Veolia, two large European companies listed as case studies in the filing.</p><p><blockquote><b>WalkMe：</b>肩负着改变人类与技术互动方式的使命，<b>WalkMe</b>（纳斯达克：WKME）为组织提供解决方案。该公司有许多知名公司作为客户，包括雀巢和威立雅，这两家大型欧洲公司在文件中被列为案例研究。</blockquote></p><p> WalkMe had revenue of $148 million in 2020 and revenue of $42.7 million in the first quarter of 2021. The company’s revenue was up 34% year-over-year in the last twelve months. The company has 368 customers that represent $100,000 or more in annual revenue and 22 customers that represent $1 million or more in annual revenue. WalkMe plans on selling 9.25 million shares at a price point of $29 to $32.</p><p><blockquote>WalkMe 2020年营收为1.48亿美元，2021年第一季度营收为4270万美元。过去12个月，该公司的收入同比增长34%。该公司有368个年收入10万美元或以上的客户，22个年收入100万美元或以上的客户。WalkMe计划以29至32美元的价格出售925万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Convey Holding:</b>Health care company&nbsp;<b>Convey Holding</b>(NYSE:CNVY)partnerswith eight of the 10 largest Medicare Advantage companies in the U.S. The company had 2.5 million Medicare Advantage and 1.6 million Prescription Drug Plan members in 2020. Revenue in 2020 for the company was $282.9 million. First-quarter 2021 revenue was $82.6 million for the company. Convey Holding plans to sell 13.3 million shares at a price point of $14 to $16.</p><p><blockquote><b>传达控股：</b>保健公司<b>康维控股</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CNVY）与美国10家最大的Medicare Advantage公司中的8家合作。2020年，该公司拥有250万Medicare Advantage会员和160万处方药计划会员。该公司2020年收入为2.829亿美元。该公司2021年第一季度收入为8260万美元。Convey Holding计划以14至16美元的价格出售1330万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Angel Oak Mortgage:</b>Real estate finance company&nbsp;<b>Angel Oak Mortgage</b>(NYSE: AOMR)&nbsp;acquiresand invests in first&nbsp;lien non-QM Loans and other mortgage assets in the U.S. The company had assets of $534.9 million at the end of the first quarter of 2021. The company has elected to be taxed as a REIT. Angel Oak Mortgage is seeking to sell 8.1 million shares at a price point of $20 to $21.</p><p><blockquote><b>天使橡树抵押贷款：</b>房地产金融公司<b>天使橡树抵押贷款</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AOMR）收购并投资美国的第一留置权非QM贷款和其他抵押贷款资产。截至2021年第一季度末，该公司的资产为5.349亿美元。该公司选择作为房地产投资信托基金纳税。Angel Oak Mortgage寻求以20至21美元的价格出售810万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lyell Immunopharma:</b>Seeking to disrupt the T-cell reprogramming market,<b>Lyell ImmunoPharma</b>(NASDAQ:LYEL)intendsto have four INDs submitted by the end of 2022. The company partnered with<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b>(NYSE:GSK) in 2019 in a deal good for up to $400 million in additional milestones after a $45-million upfront payment.</p><p><blockquote><b>莱尔免疫制药公司：</b>寻求颠覆T细胞重编程市场，<b>莱尔免疫制药公司</b>（纳斯达克：LYEL）打算到2022年底提交四份IND。公司与<b>葛兰素史克</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GSK）在2019年的一项交易中，在预付4500万美元后，额外的里程碑价值高达4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> GlaxoSmithKline owns 14% of Lyell and&nbsp;<b>Bristol-MyersSquibb</b>(NYSE:BMY) owned Celgene owns 5% of the company. Lyell is planning to sell 25 million shares at a price point of $16 to $18.</p><p><blockquote>葛兰素史克拥有莱尔14%的股份和<b>百时美施贵宝</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BMY）拥有Celgene拥有该公司5%的股份。莱尔计划以16至18美元的价格出售2500万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Verve Therapeutics:</b>Genetic medicine company<b>Verve Therapeutics</b>(NASDAQ: VERV) isfocusedon cardiovascular disease. The company plans to sell 11.8 million shares at a price point of $16 to $18.</p><p><blockquote><b>神韵疗法：</b>基因医学公司<b>神韵疗法</b>（纳斯达克：VERV）专注于心血管疾病。该公司计划以16至18美元的价格出售1180万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atai Life Sciences:</b>Backedby&nbsp;<b>Palantir Technologies</b>(NYSE:PLTR) and&nbsp;<b>Paypal Holdings</b>(NASDAQ:PYPL) founder Peter Thiel,<b>Atai Life Sciences</b>(NASDAQ:ATAI) could be one of the high profile IPOs of the week.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿泰生命科学：</b>支持<b>Palantir技术</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PLTR）和<b>Paypal控股</b>（纳斯达克：PYPL）创始人Peter Thiel，<b>阿泰生命科学</b>（纳斯达克：ATAI）可能是本周备受瞩目的IPO之一。</blockquote></p><p> The company isdevelopingtreatment options for mental health disorders. The company has 10 programs in its pipeline and six enabling technologies. The company is planning on selling 14.3 million shares at a price point of $13 to $15.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在开发精神健康障碍的治疗方案。该公司拥有10个项目和6项支持技术。该公司计划以13至15美元的价格出售1,430万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AiHui Shou International:</b>Pre-owned consumer electronics reseller&nbsp;<b>AiHuiShou International</b>(NYSE: RERE)seeksto give a second life to all idle goods.</p><p><blockquote><b>爱辉寿国际：</b>二手消费电子产品经销商<b>爱回收国际</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：RERE）寻求赋予所有闲置商品第二次生命。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s three business lines — AHS Recycle, PJUT Marketplace and PaiPai Marketplace — help the company as the market leader in China with a market share of 6.6%. The company had revenue of $741.5 million in 2020 and $231.1 million in the first quarter of 2021, up 119% year-over-year.<b>JD.com</b>(NASDAQ:JD) will own 32.3% of the company after the IPO. The company plans on selling 16.2 million ADSs at a price point of $13 to $15.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的三个业务线——AHS Recycle、PJUT Marketplace和PaiPai Marketplace——帮助该公司以6.6%的市场份额成为中国的市场领导者。该公司2020年营收7.415亿美元，2021年第一季度营收2.311亿美元，同比增长119%。<b>京东</b>（纳斯达克：JD）IPO后将拥有该公司32.3%的股份。该公司计划以13至15美元的价格出售1620万股ADS。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LYEL":"Lyell Immunopharma, Inc.","NVS":"诺华","ATAI":"Atai Beckley Inc","HKD":"尚乘数科","RERE":"爱回收","AOMR":"ANGEL OAK MORTGAGE REIT INC","MOLN":"Molecular Partners AG","WKME":"WalkMe Ltd."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175897310","content_text":"This week’s IPO lineup could feature a double digit number of companies hitting the public. Here is a look at some of the largest and most high profile companies going public this week.\nAMTD Digital:Asian digital solutions platform AMTD Digital(NYSE:HKD) offers risk solutions and digital insurance technology for partners. The company had revenue of $21.6 million in fiscal 2020 and $18.8 million through the first nine months of the current fiscal year. The company plans to sell 16 million ADSs at a price point of $6.80 to $8.20.\nMolecular Partners:Clinical stage biotechnology company Molecular Partners(NASDAQ:MOLN) isfocusedon using its pioneering DARPin product in categories including infectious diseases, oncology and ophthalmology. The company partnered with Novartis(NYSE:NVS) in 2020,Amgen Inc(NASDAQ:AMGN) in 2018 and AbbVie Inc(NYSE:ABBV) in 2011. Novartis owns 6% of the company. Molecular Partners plans to sell 3 million ADS.\nWalkMe:With a mission to change the way humans interact with technology,WalkMe(NASDAQ:WKME)offerssolutions for organizations. The company has many well-known companies as customers including Nestle and Veolia, two large European companies listed as case studies in the filing.\nWalkMe had revenue of $148 million in 2020 and revenue of $42.7 million in the first quarter of 2021. The company’s revenue was up 34% year-over-year in the last twelve months. The company has 368 customers that represent $100,000 or more in annual revenue and 22 customers that represent $1 million or more in annual revenue. WalkMe plans on selling 9.25 million shares at a price point of $29 to $32.\nConvey Holding:Health care company Convey Holding(NYSE:CNVY)partnerswith eight of the 10 largest Medicare Advantage companies in the U.S. The company had 2.5 million Medicare Advantage and 1.6 million Prescription Drug Plan members in 2020. Revenue in 2020 for the company was $282.9 million. First-quarter 2021 revenue was $82.6 million for the company. Convey Holding plans to sell 13.3 million shares at a price point of $14 to $16.\nAngel Oak Mortgage:Real estate finance company Angel Oak Mortgage(NYSE: AOMR) acquiresand invests in first lien non-QM Loans and other mortgage assets in the U.S. The company had assets of $534.9 million at the end of the first quarter of 2021. The company has elected to be taxed as a REIT. Angel Oak Mortgage is seeking to sell 8.1 million shares at a price point of $20 to $21.\nLyell Immunopharma:Seeking to disrupt the T-cell reprogramming market,Lyell ImmunoPharma(NASDAQ:LYEL)intendsto have four INDs submitted by the end of 2022. The company partnered withGlaxoSmithKline(NYSE:GSK) in 2019 in a deal good for up to $400 million in additional milestones after a $45-million upfront payment.\nGlaxoSmithKline owns 14% of Lyell and Bristol-MyersSquibb(NYSE:BMY) owned Celgene owns 5% of the company. Lyell is planning to sell 25 million shares at a price point of $16 to $18.\nVerve Therapeutics:Genetic medicine companyVerve Therapeutics(NASDAQ: VERV) isfocusedon cardiovascular disease. The company plans to sell 11.8 million shares at a price point of $16 to $18.\nAtai Life Sciences:Backedby Palantir Technologies(NYSE:PLTR) and Paypal Holdings(NASDAQ:PYPL) founder Peter Thiel,Atai Life Sciences(NASDAQ:ATAI) could be one of the high profile IPOs of the week.\nThe company isdevelopingtreatment options for mental health disorders. The company has 10 programs in its pipeline and six enabling technologies. The company is planning on selling 14.3 million shares at a price point of $13 to $15.\nAiHui Shou International:Pre-owned consumer electronics reseller AiHuiShou International(NYSE: RERE)seeksto give a second life to all idle goods.\nThe company’s three business lines — AHS Recycle, PJUT Marketplace and PaiPai Marketplace — help the company as the market leader in China with a market share of 6.6%. The company had revenue of $741.5 million in 2020 and $231.1 million in the first quarter of 2021, up 119% year-over-year.JD.com(NASDAQ:JD) will own 32.3% of the company after the IPO. The company plans on selling 16.2 million ADSs at a price point of $13 to $15.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MOLN":0.9,"HKD":0.9,"ATAI":0.9,"AOMR":0.9,"NVS":0.9,"CNVY":0.9,"LYEL":0.9,"WKME":0.9,"RERE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126100368,"gmtCreate":1624546310954,"gmtModify":1631892208719,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578952819778047","idStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126100368","repostId":"1187819280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187819280","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624529642,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187819280?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187819280","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pan","content":"<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 18:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187819280","content_text":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.\nTake the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.\nLately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.\nAnd some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.\nWhile some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.\nHere are five big reasons why:\n1. The upgrade cycle is over\nLast summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.\nConsider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.\nThe same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.\n2. Valuations are stretched\nSpeaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.\nTake TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.\nWhat’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.\n3. Delays and shortages\nFuture growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.\nHome improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.\nEven if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.\n4. Inflationary pressures\nFor the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.\nThe cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.\nInflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.\n5. Home-equity hubris\nSpeaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.\nSome of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.\nBut here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.\nAnyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895308421,"gmtCreate":1628722500963,"gmtModify":1631889895928,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578952819778047","idStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go !&nbsp;","listText":"Let's go !&nbsp;","text":"Let's go !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895308421","repostId":"1149859103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143142846,"gmtCreate":1625785223085,"gmtModify":1631889895995,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578952819778047","idStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143142846","repostId":"1162204971","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163917854,"gmtCreate":1623856555078,"gmtModify":1634026964226,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578952819778047","idStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please comment and like","listText":"Please comment and like","text":"Please comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163917854","repostId":"1137784542","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":846116016,"gmtCreate":1636067596519,"gmtModify":1636067596664,"author":{"id":"3578952819778047","authorId":"3578952819778047","name":"joannec","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578952819778047","idStr":"3578952819778047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good ! All the way&nbsp;","listText":"Good ! All the way&nbsp;","text":"Good ! All the way","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846116016","repostId":"1128227989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128227989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636067303,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128227989?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下，标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128227989","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.Financials dropped 1","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-标普500和纳斯达克周四上涨，将收盘纪录高位连涨至六个交易日，因高通强劲的财务预测以及投资者消化了美联储开始减少月度债券购买的决定后，芯片制造商股市飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数小幅下跌，结束了四点收盘的纪录。摩根大通和高盛集团银行股的下跌打压了蓝筹股指数。</blockquote></p><p> Financials dropped 1.3%, most among S&amp;P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.</p><p><blockquote>金融股下跌1.3%，其中大部分是标普500板块，因美国国债收益率下跌，在美联储表示不急于加息的第二天，市场解除了对美联储更快加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>John Hancock Investment Management联席首席投资策略师马修·米斯金(Matthew Miskin)表示：“市场的增长方今天看到了更积极的结果，因为它们受益于收益率的下降。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于美联储宣布缩减规模，市场总体上一直在为更高的收益率做准备。当我们今天走进来时，这种情况已经发生了逆转。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&amp;P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌33.35点，跌幅0.09%，至36,124.23点；标普500上涨19.49点，跌幅0.42%，至4,680.06点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨128.72点，跌幅0.81%，至15,940.31点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&amp;P 500 value index fell 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数上涨1.2%，标普500价值指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among S&amp;P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500板块中，科技和非必需消费品领涨，均上涨约1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.</p><p><blockquote>高通股价上涨12.7%，该公司预测本季度利润和收入好于预期，原因是手机、汽车和其他互联网连接设备所用芯片的需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数上涨3.5%，英伟达飙升12%。</blockquote></p><p> Better-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&amp;P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>好于预期的第三季度收益有助于提振股市情绪。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据，约有420家公司发布了财报，预计标普500第三季度盈利将同比增长41.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.</p><p><blockquote>爱德华·琼斯投资策略师克雷格·费尔表示：“企业盈利情况仍然相当光明。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场正在奖励那些超出预期并上调前景的公司，而市场正在惩罚那些本季度未达到预期的公司，也许更重要的是，这预示着前景更加糟糕。”</blockquote></p><p> Moderna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价暴跌约18%，该公司将其COVID-19疫苗2021年的销售预测削减了多达50亿美元，并努力灌装和分销小瓶，以满足前所未有的全球需求。Moderna股价拖累标普500医疗保健板块，该板块下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至近20个月来的最低水平，表明经济正在恢复动力。投资者将从周五的月度就业报告中获得对经济的批判性看法。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1；在纳斯达克，1.24比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下75个52周新高和5个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得224个新高和38个新低。</blockquote></p><p> About 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有113亿股易手，高于过去20个交易日104亿股的日均水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下，标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下，标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-05 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-标普500和纳斯达克周四上涨，将收盘纪录高位连涨至六个交易日，因高通强劲的财务预测以及投资者消化了美联储开始减少月度债券购买的决定后，芯片制造商股市飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数小幅下跌，结束了四点收盘的纪录。摩根大通和高盛集团银行股的下跌打压了蓝筹股指数。</blockquote></p><p> Financials dropped 1.3%, most among S&amp;P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.</p><p><blockquote>金融股下跌1.3%，其中大部分是标普500板块，因美国国债收益率下跌，在美联储表示不急于加息的第二天，市场解除了对美联储更快加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>John Hancock Investment Management联席首席投资策略师马修·米斯金(Matthew Miskin)表示：“市场的增长方今天看到了更积极的结果，因为它们受益于收益率的下降。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于美联储宣布缩减规模，市场总体上一直在为更高的收益率做准备。当我们今天走进来时，这种情况已经发生了逆转。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&amp;P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌33.35点，跌幅0.09%，至36,124.23点；标普500上涨19.49点，跌幅0.42%，至4,680.06点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨128.72点，跌幅0.81%，至15,940.31点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&amp;P 500 value index fell 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数上涨1.2%，标普500价值指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among S&amp;P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500板块中，科技和非必需消费品领涨，均上涨约1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.</p><p><blockquote>高通股价上涨12.7%，该公司预测本季度利润和收入好于预期，原因是手机、汽车和其他互联网连接设备所用芯片的需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数上涨3.5%，英伟达飙升12%。</blockquote></p><p> Better-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&amp;P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>好于预期的第三季度收益有助于提振股市情绪。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据，约有420家公司发布了财报，预计标普500第三季度盈利将同比增长41.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.</p><p><blockquote>爱德华·琼斯投资策略师克雷格·费尔表示：“企业盈利情况仍然相当光明。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场正在奖励那些超出预期并上调前景的公司，而市场正在惩罚那些本季度未达到预期的公司，也许更重要的是，这预示着前景更加糟糕。”</blockquote></p><p> Moderna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价暴跌约18%，该公司将其COVID-19疫苗2021年的销售预测削减了多达50亿美元，并努力灌装和分销小瓶，以满足前所未有的全球需求。Moderna股价拖累标普500医疗保健板块，该板块下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至近20个月来的最低水平，表明经济正在恢复动力。投资者将从周五的月度就业报告中获得对经济的批判性看法。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1；在纳斯达克，1.24比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下75个52周新高和5个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得224个新高和38个新低。</blockquote></p><p> About 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有113亿股易手，高于过去20个交易日104亿股的日均水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-nasdaq-extend-record-streaks-with-boost-from-chip-growth-shares-idUSL1N2RV2T0\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-nasdaq-extend-record-streaks-with-boost-from-chip-growth-shares-idUSL1N2RV2T0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128227989","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.\nFinancials dropped 1.3%, most among S&P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.\n“The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.\n“The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.\nThe S&P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&P 500 value index fell 0.5%.\nAmong S&P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.\nQualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.\nBetter-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.\n“The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.\n“The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”\nModerna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.\nData showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. 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11:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Real-Rate Reckoning Is Coming for Big Tech, Wells Fargo Warns<blockquote>富国银行警告称，大型科技公司的实际利率计算即将到来</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175618425","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Big Tech stocks may be defying the biggest outbreak of bond volatility since April 20","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Big Tech stocks may be defying the biggest outbreak of bond volatility since April 2020, but a cohort of Wall Street strategists warn that a spike in real interest rates could finally knock them from all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——大型科技股可能会顶住2020年4月以来最大的债券波动，但一群华尔街策略师警告称，实际利率飙升最终可能会将它们从历史高点击垮。</blockquote></p><p> With the Federal Reserve likely to announce the paring of pandemic stimulus this week, Wells Fargo Securities is the latest to warn that a “sharp” rise in inflation-adjusted yields is becoming ever-more probable. And that threatens to inflict pain on pricey tech stocks in particular given their tight link with Treasury-market machinations.</p><p><blockquote>随着美联储本周可能宣布削减大流行刺激措施，富国银行证券(Wells Fargo Securities)最新警告称，经通胀调整的收益率“大幅”上升的可能性越来越大。这可能会给昂贵的科技股带来痛苦，特别是考虑到它们与国债市场阴谋的密切联系。</blockquote></p><p> “Our trading call on Tech may be at risk, especially across ‘high-octane’ names,” a team led by Christopher Harvey wrote in a Tuesday note.</p><p><blockquote>Christopher Harvey领导的团队在周二的一份报告中写道：“我们在科技领域的交易看涨期权可能面临风险，尤其是‘高辛烷值’的股票。”</blockquote></p><p> Hand-wringing on Wall Street over the bond-market threat to tech equities is nothing new. The difference this time is that Treasury gyrations are hitting extremes. Market-derived inflation expectations have risen in recent weeks while nominal yields have yet to move as fast -- causing real rates to drop near record lows. That’s juicing tech valuations for now, but a reversal could spark disorderly moves.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对债券市场对科技股的威胁感到绝望并不是什么新鲜事。这次的不同之处在于，美国国债的波动正达到极端。最近几周，市场衍生的通胀预期有所上升，而名义收益率的变化却没有那么快，导致实际利率跌至历史低点附近。目前，这正在推高科技股的估值，但逆转可能会引发无序走势。</blockquote></p><p> “The Fed’s anticipated taper announcement this week may potentially catalyze a significant directional change in real rates,” the Wells Fargo note said. “We believe the eventual real/break-even reversion will be sharp.”</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的报告称：“美联储本周预期的taper公告可能会催化实际利率发生重大方向性变化。”“我们相信最终的实际/盈亏平衡回归将是急剧的。”</blockquote></p><p> For now, tech stocks are rallying along with seemingly every other equity. The Nasdaq 100, S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 all closed at record highs on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>目前，科技股似乎与所有其他股票一起上涨。纳斯达克100指数、标普500、道琼斯工业平均指数和罗素2000指数周二均收于历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> When real yields fall to rock bottom, future profits are discounted at lower rates -- pushing up valuations of stocks deemed able to grow their earnings for years to come. That’s why low rates have buoyed what quants call growth stocks, epitomized by tech names riding structural trends like Tesla Inc. or Netflix Inc.</p><p><blockquote>当实际收益率跌至谷底时，未来利润会以较低的利率贴现，从而推高被认为能够在未来几年增加收益的股票的估值。这就是为什么低利率提振了量化看涨期权成长型股票，其中典型的是特斯拉公司或Netflix公司等顺应结构性趋势的科技股。</blockquote></p><p> All that has helped the Nasdaq 100 to outperform this quarter and Wells Fargo’s own basket of “growth at any price” shares jump 13% toward another record.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都帮助纳斯达克100指数在本季度跑赢大盘，富国银行自己的一篮子“不惜一切代价增长”股票上涨13%，创下另一项纪录。</blockquote></p><p> While tech has dominated in the low-inflation world of the past decade, its recent rally has taken place against the backdrop of growing anxiety over consumer-price growth. As breakeven rates rose, a Societe Generale SA basket of stocks that gain with the cost of living just posted its best month since February.</p><p><blockquote>尽管科技在过去十年的低通胀世界中占据主导地位，但其最近的上涨是在人们对消费者价格增长日益担忧的背景下发生的。随着盈亏平衡利率上升，法国兴业银行(Societe Generale SA)一篮子随生活成本上涨的股票刚刚创下了自2月份以来最好的月份。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo is hardly alone in sounding the alarm on the outlook for Big Tech. The last time the Fed started to withdraw stimulus, real rates began rising sharply just before its balance sheet expanded again. Given how negative those yields are now, “a revaluation may be ahead for long-duration assets like the megacap growth stocks that dominate the major indexes,” Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management warned last week.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行并不是唯一一家对大型科技公司的前景发出警报的银行。上一次美联储开始撤回刺激措施时，就在其资产负债表再次扩张之前，实际利率开始大幅上升。摩根士丹利财富管理公司(Morgan Stanley Wealth Management)首席投资官丽莎·沙利特(Lisa Shalett)上周警告称，鉴于目前这些收益率的负值，“长期资产（例如在主要指数中占据主导地位的大型成长型股票）可能会出现重估”。</blockquote></p><p> Over at UBS Asset Management, strategist Luke Kawa suggests real yields are low despite bets on imminent monetary tightening because traders expect the Fed to reverse course eventually or the economy to tank as a result. At the same time though, he says real rates could also gain to reflect faster growth and inflation. The latter scenario would be good for the pro-cyclical stock exposures but bad for the market’s overall valuations.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银资产管理公司策略师卢克·卡瓦(Luke Kawa)表示，尽管押注货币紧缩即将到来，但实际收益率仍较低，因为交易员预计美联储最终会改变方针，否则经济将因此陷入困境。但与此同时，他表示，实际利率也可能上升，以反映更快的增长和通胀。后一种情况对顺周期股票敞口有利，但对市场整体估值不利。</blockquote></p><p> “If the world is moving into a world of a sustained higher inflation rate and nominal yields suddenly reflect that, then global equity valuations will be reset to a lower level causing a substantial drawdown in equities,” Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, wrote in a Tuesday note.</p><p><blockquote>盛宝股票策略主管Peter Garnry表示：“如果世界正在进入一个通胀率持续上升的世界，而名义收益率突然反映出这一点，那么全球股票估值将重置至较低水平，导致股市大幅下跌。”银行，在周二的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> To many on Wall Street, tech investing is therefore at the mercy of a macro call. Is the world heading for a period of resilient growth, faster inflation and tighter Fed policy -- or will the business cycle buckle under the pressure of supply-chain bottlenecks and reduced stimulus?</p><p><blockquote>因此，对许多华尔街人士来说，科技投资受到宏观看涨期权的影响。世界是否正在走向一个有弹性的增长、更快的通胀和美联储收紧政策的时期——或者商业周期是否会在供应链瓶颈和刺激减少的压力下崩溃？</blockquote></p><p> That conundrum is everywhere in the bond market. While the shorter-end of the yield curve steepened in anticipation of the Fed move, the longer-end has flattened just as aggressively amid growth fears.</p><p><blockquote>这个难题在债券市场随处可见。尽管由于对美联储举措的预期，收益率曲线的短端变陡，但由于对增长的担忧，长端收益率曲线也同样大幅走平。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, an option-derived gauge of Treasury volatility recently surged to the highest since April 2020, while the S&amp;P 500’s equivalent hovers close to the lowest since before the crash last year. It’s a sign the fixed-income market may be telegraphing worrying omens for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，期权衍生的国债波动性指标最近飙升至2020年4月以来的最高水平，而标普500的等值指标徘徊在去年崩盘前以来的最低水平附近。这表明固定收益市场可能正在向股市发出令人担忧的预兆。</blockquote></p><p> “From here we enter the midcycle adjustment, where gains moderate as expectations get recalibrated and policy normalizes,” Shalett at Morgan Stanley Wealth wrote. “Odds of a 10%-15% correction are increasing.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利财富的沙莱特写道：“从这里开始，我们进入了周期中期调整，随着预期的重新调整和政策正常化，涨幅将放缓。”“10%-15%修正的可能性正在增加。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Real-Rate Reckoning Is Coming for Big Tech, Wells Fargo Warns<blockquote>富国银行警告称，大型科技公司的实际利率计算即将到来</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReal-Rate Reckoning Is Coming for Big Tech, Wells Fargo Warns<blockquote>富国银行警告称，大型科技公司的实际利率计算即将到来</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-03 11:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Big Tech stocks may be defying the biggest outbreak of bond volatility since April 2020, but a cohort of Wall Street strategists warn that a spike in real interest rates could finally knock them from all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——大型科技股可能会顶住2020年4月以来最大的债券波动，但一群华尔街策略师警告称，实际利率飙升最终可能会将它们从历史高点击垮。</blockquote></p><p> With the Federal Reserve likely to announce the paring of pandemic stimulus this week, Wells Fargo Securities is the latest to warn that a “sharp” rise in inflation-adjusted yields is becoming ever-more probable. And that threatens to inflict pain on pricey tech stocks in particular given their tight link with Treasury-market machinations.</p><p><blockquote>随着美联储本周可能宣布削减大流行刺激措施，富国银行证券(Wells Fargo Securities)最新警告称，经通胀调整的收益率“大幅”上升的可能性越来越大。这可能会给昂贵的科技股带来痛苦，特别是考虑到它们与国债市场阴谋的密切联系。</blockquote></p><p> “Our trading call on Tech may be at risk, especially across ‘high-octane’ names,” a team led by Christopher Harvey wrote in a Tuesday note.</p><p><blockquote>Christopher Harvey领导的团队在周二的一份报告中写道：“我们在科技领域的交易看涨期权可能面临风险，尤其是‘高辛烷值’的股票。”</blockquote></p><p> Hand-wringing on Wall Street over the bond-market threat to tech equities is nothing new. The difference this time is that Treasury gyrations are hitting extremes. Market-derived inflation expectations have risen in recent weeks while nominal yields have yet to move as fast -- causing real rates to drop near record lows. That’s juicing tech valuations for now, but a reversal could spark disorderly moves.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对债券市场对科技股的威胁感到绝望并不是什么新鲜事。这次的不同之处在于，美国国债的波动正达到极端。最近几周，市场衍生的通胀预期有所上升，而名义收益率的变化却没有那么快，导致实际利率跌至历史低点附近。目前，这正在推高科技股的估值，但逆转可能会引发无序走势。</blockquote></p><p> “The Fed’s anticipated taper announcement this week may potentially catalyze a significant directional change in real rates,” the Wells Fargo note said. “We believe the eventual real/break-even reversion will be sharp.”</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的报告称：“美联储本周预期的taper公告可能会催化实际利率发生重大方向性变化。”“我们相信最终的实际/盈亏平衡回归将是急剧的。”</blockquote></p><p> For now, tech stocks are rallying along with seemingly every other equity. The Nasdaq 100, S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 all closed at record highs on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>目前，科技股似乎与所有其他股票一起上涨。纳斯达克100指数、标普500、道琼斯工业平均指数和罗素2000指数周二均收于历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> When real yields fall to rock bottom, future profits are discounted at lower rates -- pushing up valuations of stocks deemed able to grow their earnings for years to come. That’s why low rates have buoyed what quants call growth stocks, epitomized by tech names riding structural trends like Tesla Inc. or Netflix Inc.</p><p><blockquote>当实际收益率跌至谷底时，未来利润会以较低的利率贴现，从而推高被认为能够在未来几年增加收益的股票的估值。这就是为什么低利率提振了量化看涨期权成长型股票，其中典型的是特斯拉公司或Netflix公司等顺应结构性趋势的科技股。</blockquote></p><p> All that has helped the Nasdaq 100 to outperform this quarter and Wells Fargo’s own basket of “growth at any price” shares jump 13% toward another record.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都帮助纳斯达克100指数在本季度跑赢大盘，富国银行自己的一篮子“不惜一切代价增长”股票上涨13%，创下另一项纪录。</blockquote></p><p> While tech has dominated in the low-inflation world of the past decade, its recent rally has taken place against the backdrop of growing anxiety over consumer-price growth. As breakeven rates rose, a Societe Generale SA basket of stocks that gain with the cost of living just posted its best month since February.</p><p><blockquote>尽管科技在过去十年的低通胀世界中占据主导地位，但其最近的上涨是在人们对消费者价格增长日益担忧的背景下发生的。随着盈亏平衡利率上升，法国兴业银行(Societe Generale SA)一篮子随生活成本上涨的股票刚刚创下了自2月份以来最好的月份。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo is hardly alone in sounding the alarm on the outlook for Big Tech. The last time the Fed started to withdraw stimulus, real rates began rising sharply just before its balance sheet expanded again. Given how negative those yields are now, “a revaluation may be ahead for long-duration assets like the megacap growth stocks that dominate the major indexes,” Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management warned last week.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行并不是唯一一家对大型科技公司的前景发出警报的银行。上一次美联储开始撤回刺激措施时，就在其资产负债表再次扩张之前，实际利率开始大幅上升。摩根士丹利财富管理公司(Morgan Stanley Wealth Management)首席投资官丽莎·沙利特(Lisa Shalett)上周警告称，鉴于目前这些收益率的负值，“长期资产（例如在主要指数中占据主导地位的大型成长型股票）可能会出现重估”。</blockquote></p><p> Over at UBS Asset Management, strategist Luke Kawa suggests real yields are low despite bets on imminent monetary tightening because traders expect the Fed to reverse course eventually or the economy to tank as a result. At the same time though, he says real rates could also gain to reflect faster growth and inflation. The latter scenario would be good for the pro-cyclical stock exposures but bad for the market’s overall valuations.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银资产管理公司策略师卢克·卡瓦(Luke Kawa)表示，尽管押注货币紧缩即将到来，但实际收益率仍较低，因为交易员预计美联储最终会改变方针，否则经济将因此陷入困境。但与此同时，他表示，实际利率也可能上升，以反映更快的增长和通胀。后一种情况对顺周期股票敞口有利，但对市场整体估值不利。</blockquote></p><p> “If the world is moving into a world of a sustained higher inflation rate and nominal yields suddenly reflect that, then global equity valuations will be reset to a lower level causing a substantial drawdown in equities,” Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, wrote in a Tuesday note.</p><p><blockquote>盛宝股票策略主管Peter Garnry表示：“如果世界正在进入一个通胀率持续上升的世界，而名义收益率突然反映出这一点，那么全球股票估值将重置至较低水平，导致股市大幅下跌。”银行，在周二的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> To many on Wall Street, tech investing is therefore at the mercy of a macro call. Is the world heading for a period of resilient growth, faster inflation and tighter Fed policy -- or will the business cycle buckle under the pressure of supply-chain bottlenecks and reduced stimulus?</p><p><blockquote>因此，对许多华尔街人士来说，科技投资受到宏观看涨期权的影响。世界是否正在走向一个有弹性的增长、更快的通胀和美联储收紧政策的时期——或者商业周期是否会在供应链瓶颈和刺激减少的压力下崩溃？</blockquote></p><p> That conundrum is everywhere in the bond market. While the shorter-end of the yield curve steepened in anticipation of the Fed move, the longer-end has flattened just as aggressively amid growth fears.</p><p><blockquote>这个难题在债券市场随处可见。尽管由于对美联储举措的预期，收益率曲线的短端变陡，但由于对增长的担忧，长端收益率曲线也同样大幅走平。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, an option-derived gauge of Treasury volatility recently surged to the highest since April 2020, while the S&amp;P 500’s equivalent hovers close to the lowest since before the crash last year. It’s a sign the fixed-income market may be telegraphing worrying omens for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，期权衍生的国债波动性指标最近飙升至2020年4月以来的最高水平，而标普500的等值指标徘徊在去年崩盘前以来的最低水平附近。这表明固定收益市场可能正在向股市发出令人担忧的预兆。</blockquote></p><p> “From here we enter the midcycle adjustment, where gains moderate as expectations get recalibrated and policy normalizes,” Shalett at Morgan Stanley Wealth wrote. “Odds of a 10%-15% correction are increasing.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利财富的沙莱特写道：“从这里开始，我们进入了周期中期调整，随着预期的重新调整和政策正常化，涨幅将放缓。”“10%-15%修正的可能性正在增加。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/real-rate-reckoning-coming-big-141233636.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/real-rate-reckoning-coming-big-141233636.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175618425","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Big Tech stocks may be defying the biggest outbreak of bond volatility since April 2020, but a cohort of Wall Street strategists warn that a spike in real interest rates could finally knock them from all-time highs.\nWith the Federal Reserve likely to announce the paring of pandemic stimulus this week, Wells Fargo Securities is the latest to warn that a “sharp” rise in inflation-adjusted yields is becoming ever-more probable. And that threatens to inflict pain on pricey tech stocks in particular given their tight link with Treasury-market machinations.\n“Our trading call on Tech may be at risk, especially across ‘high-octane’ names,” a team led by Christopher Harvey wrote in a Tuesday note.\nHand-wringing on Wall Street over the bond-market threat to tech equities is nothing new. The difference this time is that Treasury gyrations are hitting extremes. Market-derived inflation expectations have risen in recent weeks while nominal yields have yet to move as fast -- causing real rates to drop near record lows. That’s juicing tech valuations for now, but a reversal could spark disorderly moves.\n“The Fed’s anticipated taper announcement this week may potentially catalyze a significant directional change in real rates,” the Wells Fargo note said. “We believe the eventual real/break-even reversion will be sharp.”\nFor now, tech stocks are rallying along with seemingly every other equity. The Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 all closed at record highs on Tuesday.\nWhen real yields fall to rock bottom, future profits are discounted at lower rates -- pushing up valuations of stocks deemed able to grow their earnings for years to come. That’s why low rates have buoyed what quants call growth stocks, epitomized by tech names riding structural trends like Tesla Inc. or Netflix Inc.\nAll that has helped the Nasdaq 100 to outperform this quarter and Wells Fargo’s own basket of “growth at any price” shares jump 13% toward another record.\nWhile tech has dominated in the low-inflation world of the past decade, its recent rally has taken place against the backdrop of growing anxiety over consumer-price growth. As breakeven rates rose, a Societe Generale SA basket of stocks that gain with the cost of living just posted its best month since February.\nWells Fargo is hardly alone in sounding the alarm on the outlook for Big Tech. The last time the Fed started to withdraw stimulus, real rates began rising sharply just before its balance sheet expanded again. Given how negative those yields are now, “a revaluation may be ahead for long-duration assets like the megacap growth stocks that dominate the major indexes,” Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management warned last week.\nOver at UBS Asset Management, strategist Luke Kawa suggests real yields are low despite bets on imminent monetary tightening because traders expect the Fed to reverse course eventually or the economy to tank as a result. At the same time though, he says real rates could also gain to reflect faster growth and inflation. The latter scenario would be good for the pro-cyclical stock exposures but bad for the market’s overall valuations.\n“If the world is moving into a world of a sustained higher inflation rate and nominal yields suddenly reflect that, then global equity valuations will be reset to a lower level causing a substantial drawdown in equities,” Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, wrote in a Tuesday note.\nTo many on Wall Street, tech investing is therefore at the mercy of a macro call. Is the world heading for a period of resilient growth, faster inflation and tighter Fed policy -- or will the business cycle buckle under the pressure of supply-chain bottlenecks and reduced stimulus?\nThat conundrum is everywhere in the bond market. While the shorter-end of the yield curve steepened in anticipation of the Fed move, the longer-end has flattened just as aggressively amid growth fears.\nMeanwhile, an option-derived gauge of Treasury volatility recently surged to the highest since April 2020, while the S&P 500’s equivalent hovers close to the lowest since before the crash last year. It’s a sign the fixed-income market may be telegraphing worrying omens for stocks.\n“From here we enter the midcycle adjustment, where gains moderate as expectations get recalibrated and policy normalizes,” Shalett at Morgan Stanley Wealth wrote. “Odds of a 10%-15% correction are increasing.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}