Mr Charles的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Mr Charles

Mr Charles

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2021-12-16

Please like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-23

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$Pfizer(PFE)$52 soon

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Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Dropped like grapes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875970965","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":808600953,"gmtCreate":1627571249072,"gmtModify":1633758164714,"author":{"id":"3579001256990264","authorId":"3579001256990264","name":"Mr 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like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898030782","repostId":"2157901414","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835447180,"gmtCreate":1629735800140,"gmtModify":1633682813350,"author":{"id":"3579001256990264","authorId":"3579001256990264","name":"Mr Charles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d164cdc2990dfc0f20ee4ab34dd84b7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579001256990264","idStr":"3579001256990264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More good news. Yay","listText":"More good news. Yay","text":"More good news. Yay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835447180","repostId":"1179203616","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179203616","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629732335,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179203616?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Is an Enigma. The Opportunity in Its Stock Is Far More Clear.<blockquote>Palantir是一个谜。其股票的机会更加明显。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179203616","media":"Barrons","summary":"Palantir Technologies is one of the world’s quirkiest tech companies, and last week the story got we","content":"<p>Palantir Technologies is one of the world’s quirkiest tech companies, and last week the story got weirder than ever. But beneath the surface, there’s an oddly compelling case for the business and the stock.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies是世界上最古怪的科技公司之一，上周这个故事变得比以往任何时候都更加奇怪。但在表面之下，该业务和股票有一个奇怪的令人信服的理由。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir (ticker: PLTR) provides data analytics software to both commercial and government clients. The 18-year-old company has two primary platforms—Gotham, for government applications, and Foundry, for commercial customers. Palantir has a long history of serving U.S. military and intelligence agencies, but lately it’s&nbsp;been building out its sales team to bulk up its commercial business. That plan seems to be getting traction.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir（股票代码：PLTR）为商业和政府客户提供数据分析软件。这家成立18年的公司有两个主要平台——面向政府应用的Gotham和面向商业客户的Foundry。Palantir在为美国军事和情报机构提供服务方面有着悠久的历史，但最近它一直在组建销售团队以扩大其商业业务。这个计划似乎越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir went public in a direct listing last September, with the stock&nbsp;opening at $10. It’s since taken shareholders on a wild ride, trading as high as $45 earlier this year. It’s now around $25, still up 150% from listing day.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir去年9月直接上市，股价开盘价为10美元。此后，它让股东们疯狂不已，今年早些时候的交易价格高达45美元。目前约为25美元，较上市日仍上涨150%。</blockquote></p><p> In its&nbsp;recently reported June quarter, Palantir posted revenue of $376 million, up 49% from the year-earlier level. The company got a big boost from its U.S. commercial business, which grew 90%. Palantir sees September quarter revenue inching up to $385 million, and it continues to forecast annual top-line growth of 30%-plus through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在最近报告的6月份季度中，Palantir公布收入为3.76亿美元，比去年同期增长49%。该公司的美国商业业务大幅增长了90%。Palantir预计9月份季度收入将小幅升至3.85亿美元，并继续预测到2025年年收入将增长30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> But the core story gets lost in the noise—Palantir seems to thrive on controversy. Almost everything it does is outside the box. Before last year’s stock listing, Palantir quietly moved its headquarters to Denver from Palo Alto. The reasoning boils down to politics.</p><p><blockquote>但核心故事却迷失在噪音中——Palantir似乎因争议而蓬勃发展。它所做的几乎所有事情都是在盒子之外。在去年股票上市之前，Palantir悄悄将总部从帕洛阿尔托迁至丹佛。原因可以归结为政治。</blockquote></p><p> “When we started the company in 2004, the idea was to bring world-class software to our intelligence and military communities,” Palantir CEO Alex Karp&nbsp;told me in a June interview. “Numerous companies in Silicon Valley have refused either overtly, tacitly, or by dragging their feet, to work with the U.S. government. … I believe in general there’s a choice to be made in the world, and America has serious, rigorous, intelligent, and sometimes ruthless adversaries.”</p><p><blockquote>Palantir首席执行官Alex Karp在6月份的一次采访中告诉我：“当我们在2004年创办公司时，我们的想法是为我们的情报和军事社区带来世界一流的软件。”“硅谷的许多公司都公开、默许或拖延地拒绝与美国政府合作……我相信，总的来说，世界上必须做出选择，而美国有严肃、严谨、聪明，有时甚至是无情的对手。”</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has also been doing unusual things with the $2.4 billion in cash on its balance sheet. The company is&nbsp;aggressively investing in PIPEs, or private investments in public equities, which are used in almost every SPAC merger to increase the capital raised. Palantir has&nbsp;committed $310 million across more than a dozen SPACs, or special purpose acquisition companies, according to its latest SEC filing. It’s completed $33 million of equity investments across three other companies.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir还利用其资产负债表上的24亿美元现金做了一些不寻常的事情。该公司正在积极投资PIPEs，即对公共股票的私人投资，几乎在每一次SPAC合并中都使用PIPEs来增加筹集的资金。根据Palantir向SEC提交的最新文件，Palantir已向十几家SPAC或特殊目的收购公司承诺了3.1亿美元。它已完成对其他三家公司3300万美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> The most recent tranche includes $20 million for Fast Radius, which offers a “cloud manufacturing platform;” $15 million for Tritium, a developer of electric vehicle chargers; $15 million for AdTheorent, which sells advertising software driven by machine learning; and $10 million for FinAccel, an Asian financial-services company.</p><p><blockquote>最近的一笔资金包括2000万美元用于Fast Radius，该公司提供“云制造平台”；电动汽车充电器开发商Tritium 1500万美元；1500万美元收购AdTheorent，该公司销售由机器学习驱动的广告软件；以及向亚洲金融服务公司FinAccel提供1000万美元。</blockquote></p><p> All the targets have signed up to be Palantir customers. As of June 30, Palantir said it had commercial contracts with its SPAC portfolio companies with a potential value of $428 million; the revenue contribution in the latest quarter was just $3 million, or less than 1% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>所有目标都已签约成为Palantir客户。截至6月30日，Palantir表示，其与其SPAC投资组合公司签订了潜在价值为4.28亿美元的商业合同；最近一个季度的收入贡献仅为300万美元，不到总收入的1%。</blockquote></p><p> SPACs are a highly speculative place for a public company to be parking its cash. But I’d argue that Palantir’s decision to provide capital to new customers isn’t so different from offering vendor debt financing for hardware purchases—as&nbsp;IBM(IBM) and HP Enterprise (HPE) do—or from running robust venture capital programs, as do&nbsp;Intel(INTC) and&nbsp;Salesforce.com(CRM).</p><p><blockquote>SPAC是上市公司存放现金的高度投机场所。但我认为，Palantir向新客户提供资本的决定与为硬件购买提供供应商债务融资（如IBM(IBM)和HP Enterprise(HPE)所做的那样）或运行强大的风险投资计划（如英特尔(INTC)和Salesforce.com(CRM)所做的那样）并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, it makes some analysts squeamish. “While we don’t oppose thinking outside the box, we think the strategy may have been taken too far, particularly with software contracts that appear to be negotiated alongside an investment by Palantir in the same customer,” Citi’s Tyler Radke wrote in a recent research note.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，这还是让一些分析师感到不安。花旗的泰勒·拉德克(Tyler Radke)在一份报告中写道：“虽然我们并不反对跳出框框思考，但我们认为这一策略可能走得太远了，特别是在软件合同似乎是与Palantir对同一客户的投资一起谈判的情况下。”最近的研究笔记。</blockquote></p><p> The outside-the-box strategy goes beyond SPACs. This past week, Palantir disclosed that it had purchased $50.7 million worth of 100-ounce gold bars—a pretty strange move, even for Palantir. I ran a text search in the SEC’s database looking for references to gold bars, and found only references to other gold companies. The move makes&nbsp;Tesla’s(TSLA) Bitcoin purchases seem mundane.</p><p><blockquote>打破常规的策略超越了SPAC。上周，Palantir透露，它购买了价值5070万美元的100盎司金条——即使对Palantir来说，这也是一个相当奇怪的举动。我在SEC的数据库中进行了文本搜索，寻找金条的参考资料，只找到了其他黄金公司的参考资料。此举让特斯拉(TSLA)对比特币的收购显得平淡无奇。</blockquote></p><p> The fact that Palantir decided to buy physical gold, rather than, say, the&nbsp;SPDR Gold Shares&nbsp;ETF (GLD), makes it odder still. Palatnir ends up looking like the corporate equivalent of a doomsday prepper. I tried to follow-up with Karp to ask about the sudden interest in gold, but Palantir declined to make him available.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir决定购买实物黄金，而不是SPDR Gold Shares ETF(GLD)，这一事实让事情变得更加奇怪。Palatnir最终看起来就像一个世界末日的准备者。我试图跟进卡普，询问他对黄金突然产生的兴趣，但Palantir拒绝让他有空。</blockquote></p><p> One analyst who follows the company told me that the SPAC program and the foray into gold make Palantir a hard sell for institutional investors. You can see that in the shareholder base. Institutions hold only 25% of Palantir shares—compared with&nbsp;Oracle’s(ORCL) 46%,Snowflake’s(SNOW) 58%, and&nbsp;Microsoft’s(MSFT) 71%.</p><p><blockquote>一位关注该公司的分析师告诉我，SPAC计划和进军黄金领域使得Palantir很难被机构投资者推销。你可以在股东基础上看到这一点。机构仅持有Palantir 25%的股份，而甲骨文(ORCL)为46%，雪花(SNOW)为58%，微软(MSFT)为71%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the same analyst is still bullish on Palantir and says it offers “a very interesting set of solutions to buyers that require scale and sophistication.”</p><p><blockquote>但同一位分析师仍然看好Palantir，并表示它“为需要规模和复杂性的买家提供了一套非常有趣的解决方案”。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has a fanatical following among individual investors, and the company is playing to its fans. During its June-quarter earnings call, Palantir took nine questions from retail investors and just four from analysts.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir在个人投资者中拥有狂热的追随者，该公司正在迎合其粉丝。在六月季度财报看涨期权上，Palantir回答了散户投资者的9个问题，仅回答了分析师的4个问题。</blockquote></p><p> On traditional metrics, Palantir isn’t cheap. The stock trades for 25 times estimated 2022 sales. But strip away the craziness, and Palantir looks like the single best bet on the future of complex data analytics. There aren’t many other ways for investors to play the opportunity—and the world isn’t getting any simpler or less dangerous.</p><p><blockquote>从传统指标来看，Palantir并不便宜。该股的交易价格是2022年预计销售额的25倍。但抛开疯狂，Palantir看起来是复杂数据分析未来的最佳选择。投资者没有太多其他方式来利用这个机会——而且世界并没有变得更简单或更不危险。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Is an Enigma. The Opportunity in Its Stock Is Far More Clear.<blockquote>Palantir是一个谜。其股票的机会更加明显。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Is an Enigma. The Opportunity in Its Stock Is Far More Clear.<blockquote>Palantir是一个谜。其股票的机会更加明显。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 23:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Palantir Technologies is one of the world’s quirkiest tech companies, and last week the story got weirder than ever. But beneath the surface, there’s an oddly compelling case for the business and the stock.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies是世界上最古怪的科技公司之一，上周这个故事变得比以往任何时候都更加奇怪。但在表面之下，该业务和股票有一个奇怪的令人信服的理由。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir (ticker: PLTR) provides data analytics software to both commercial and government clients. The 18-year-old company has two primary platforms—Gotham, for government applications, and Foundry, for commercial customers. Palantir has a long history of serving U.S. military and intelligence agencies, but lately it’s&nbsp;been building out its sales team to bulk up its commercial business. That plan seems to be getting traction.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir（股票代码：PLTR）为商业和政府客户提供数据分析软件。这家成立18年的公司有两个主要平台——面向政府应用的Gotham和面向商业客户的Foundry。Palantir在为美国军事和情报机构提供服务方面有着悠久的历史，但最近它一直在组建销售团队以扩大其商业业务。这个计划似乎越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir went public in a direct listing last September, with the stock&nbsp;opening at $10. It’s since taken shareholders on a wild ride, trading as high as $45 earlier this year. It’s now around $25, still up 150% from listing day.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir去年9月直接上市，股价开盘价为10美元。此后，它让股东们疯狂不已，今年早些时候的交易价格高达45美元。目前约为25美元，较上市日仍上涨150%。</blockquote></p><p> In its&nbsp;recently reported June quarter, Palantir posted revenue of $376 million, up 49% from the year-earlier level. The company got a big boost from its U.S. commercial business, which grew 90%. Palantir sees September quarter revenue inching up to $385 million, and it continues to forecast annual top-line growth of 30%-plus through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在最近报告的6月份季度中，Palantir公布收入为3.76亿美元，比去年同期增长49%。该公司的美国商业业务大幅增长了90%。Palantir预计9月份季度收入将小幅升至3.85亿美元，并继续预测到2025年年收入将增长30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> But the core story gets lost in the noise—Palantir seems to thrive on controversy. Almost everything it does is outside the box. Before last year’s stock listing, Palantir quietly moved its headquarters to Denver from Palo Alto. The reasoning boils down to politics.</p><p><blockquote>但核心故事却迷失在噪音中——Palantir似乎因争议而蓬勃发展。它所做的几乎所有事情都是在盒子之外。在去年股票上市之前，Palantir悄悄将总部从帕洛阿尔托迁至丹佛。原因可以归结为政治。</blockquote></p><p> “When we started the company in 2004, the idea was to bring world-class software to our intelligence and military communities,” Palantir CEO Alex Karp&nbsp;told me in a June interview. “Numerous companies in Silicon Valley have refused either overtly, tacitly, or by dragging their feet, to work with the U.S. government. … I believe in general there’s a choice to be made in the world, and America has serious, rigorous, intelligent, and sometimes ruthless adversaries.”</p><p><blockquote>Palantir首席执行官Alex Karp在6月份的一次采访中告诉我：“当我们在2004年创办公司时，我们的想法是为我们的情报和军事社区带来世界一流的软件。”“硅谷的许多公司都公开、默许或拖延地拒绝与美国政府合作……我相信，总的来说，世界上必须做出选择，而美国有严肃、严谨、聪明，有时甚至是无情的对手。”</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has also been doing unusual things with the $2.4 billion in cash on its balance sheet. The company is&nbsp;aggressively investing in PIPEs, or private investments in public equities, which are used in almost every SPAC merger to increase the capital raised. Palantir has&nbsp;committed $310 million across more than a dozen SPACs, or special purpose acquisition companies, according to its latest SEC filing. It’s completed $33 million of equity investments across three other companies.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir还利用其资产负债表上的24亿美元现金做了一些不寻常的事情。该公司正在积极投资PIPEs，即对公共股票的私人投资，几乎在每一次SPAC合并中都使用PIPEs来增加筹集的资金。根据Palantir向SEC提交的最新文件，Palantir已向十几家SPAC或特殊目的收购公司承诺了3.1亿美元。它已完成对其他三家公司3300万美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> The most recent tranche includes $20 million for Fast Radius, which offers a “cloud manufacturing platform;” $15 million for Tritium, a developer of electric vehicle chargers; $15 million for AdTheorent, which sells advertising software driven by machine learning; and $10 million for FinAccel, an Asian financial-services company.</p><p><blockquote>最近的一笔资金包括2000万美元用于Fast Radius，该公司提供“云制造平台”；电动汽车充电器开发商Tritium 1500万美元；1500万美元收购AdTheorent，该公司销售由机器学习驱动的广告软件；以及向亚洲金融服务公司FinAccel提供1000万美元。</blockquote></p><p> All the targets have signed up to be Palantir customers. As of June 30, Palantir said it had commercial contracts with its SPAC portfolio companies with a potential value of $428 million; the revenue contribution in the latest quarter was just $3 million, or less than 1% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>所有目标都已签约成为Palantir客户。截至6月30日，Palantir表示，其与其SPAC投资组合公司签订了潜在价值为4.28亿美元的商业合同；最近一个季度的收入贡献仅为300万美元，不到总收入的1%。</blockquote></p><p> SPACs are a highly speculative place for a public company to be parking its cash. But I’d argue that Palantir’s decision to provide capital to new customers isn’t so different from offering vendor debt financing for hardware purchases—as&nbsp;IBM(IBM) and HP Enterprise (HPE) do—or from running robust venture capital programs, as do&nbsp;Intel(INTC) and&nbsp;Salesforce.com(CRM).</p><p><blockquote>SPAC是上市公司存放现金的高度投机场所。但我认为，Palantir向新客户提供资本的决定与为硬件购买提供供应商债务融资（如IBM(IBM)和HP Enterprise(HPE)所做的那样）或运行强大的风险投资计划（如英特尔(INTC)和Salesforce.com(CRM)所做的那样）并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, it makes some analysts squeamish. “While we don’t oppose thinking outside the box, we think the strategy may have been taken too far, particularly with software contracts that appear to be negotiated alongside an investment by Palantir in the same customer,” Citi’s Tyler Radke wrote in a recent research note.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，这还是让一些分析师感到不安。花旗的泰勒·拉德克(Tyler Radke)在一份报告中写道：“虽然我们并不反对跳出框框思考，但我们认为这一策略可能走得太远了，特别是在软件合同似乎是与Palantir对同一客户的投资一起谈判的情况下。”最近的研究笔记。</blockquote></p><p> The outside-the-box strategy goes beyond SPACs. This past week, Palantir disclosed that it had purchased $50.7 million worth of 100-ounce gold bars—a pretty strange move, even for Palantir. I ran a text search in the SEC’s database looking for references to gold bars, and found only references to other gold companies. The move makes&nbsp;Tesla’s(TSLA) Bitcoin purchases seem mundane.</p><p><blockquote>打破常规的策略超越了SPAC。上周，Palantir透露，它购买了价值5070万美元的100盎司金条——即使对Palantir来说，这也是一个相当奇怪的举动。我在SEC的数据库中进行了文本搜索，寻找金条的参考资料，只找到了其他黄金公司的参考资料。此举让特斯拉(TSLA)对比特币的收购显得平淡无奇。</blockquote></p><p> The fact that Palantir decided to buy physical gold, rather than, say, the&nbsp;SPDR Gold Shares&nbsp;ETF (GLD), makes it odder still. Palatnir ends up looking like the corporate equivalent of a doomsday prepper. I tried to follow-up with Karp to ask about the sudden interest in gold, but Palantir declined to make him available.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir决定购买实物黄金，而不是SPDR Gold Shares ETF(GLD)，这一事实让事情变得更加奇怪。Palatnir最终看起来就像一个世界末日的准备者。我试图跟进卡普，询问他对黄金突然产生的兴趣，但Palantir拒绝让他有空。</blockquote></p><p> One analyst who follows the company told me that the SPAC program and the foray into gold make Palantir a hard sell for institutional investors. You can see that in the shareholder base. Institutions hold only 25% of Palantir shares—compared with&nbsp;Oracle’s(ORCL) 46%,Snowflake’s(SNOW) 58%, and&nbsp;Microsoft’s(MSFT) 71%.</p><p><blockquote>一位关注该公司的分析师告诉我，SPAC计划和进军黄金领域使得Palantir很难被机构投资者推销。你可以在股东基础上看到这一点。机构仅持有Palantir 25%的股份，而甲骨文(ORCL)为46%，雪花(SNOW)为58%，微软(MSFT)为71%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the same analyst is still bullish on Palantir and says it offers “a very interesting set of solutions to buyers that require scale and sophistication.”</p><p><blockquote>但同一位分析师仍然看好Palantir，并表示它“为需要规模和复杂性的买家提供了一套非常有趣的解决方案”。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has a fanatical following among individual investors, and the company is playing to its fans. During its June-quarter earnings call, Palantir took nine questions from retail investors and just four from analysts.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir在个人投资者中拥有狂热的追随者，该公司正在迎合其粉丝。在六月季度财报看涨期权上，Palantir回答了散户投资者的9个问题，仅回答了分析师的4个问题。</blockquote></p><p> On traditional metrics, Palantir isn’t cheap. The stock trades for 25 times estimated 2022 sales. But strip away the craziness, and Palantir looks like the single best bet on the future of complex data analytics. There aren’t many other ways for investors to play the opportunity—and the world isn’t getting any simpler or less dangerous.</p><p><blockquote>从传统指标来看，Palantir并不便宜。该股的交易价格是2022年预计销售额的25倍。但抛开疯狂，Palantir看起来是复杂数据分析未来的最佳选择。投资者没有太多其他方式来利用这个机会——而且世界并没有变得更简单或更不危险。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/palantir-stock-spacs-gold-51629497963?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/palantir-stock-spacs-gold-51629497963?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179203616","content_text":"Palantir Technologies is one of the world’s quirkiest tech companies, and last week the story got weirder than ever. But beneath the surface, there’s an oddly compelling case for the business and the stock.\nPalantir (ticker: PLTR) provides data analytics software to both commercial and government clients. The 18-year-old company has two primary platforms—Gotham, for government applications, and Foundry, for commercial customers. Palantir has a long history of serving U.S. military and intelligence agencies, but lately it’s been building out its sales team to bulk up its commercial business. That plan seems to be getting traction.\nPalantir went public in a direct listing last September, with the stock opening at $10. It’s since taken shareholders on a wild ride, trading as high as $45 earlier this year. It’s now around $25, still up 150% from listing day.\nIn its recently reported June quarter, Palantir posted revenue of $376 million, up 49% from the year-earlier level. The company got a big boost from its U.S. commercial business, which grew 90%. Palantir sees September quarter revenue inching up to $385 million, and it continues to forecast annual top-line growth of 30%-plus through 2025.\nBut the core story gets lost in the noise—Palantir seems to thrive on controversy. Almost everything it does is outside the box. Before last year’s stock listing, Palantir quietly moved its headquarters to Denver from Palo Alto. The reasoning boils down to politics.\n“When we started the company in 2004, the idea was to bring world-class software to our intelligence and military communities,” Palantir CEO Alex Karp told me in a June interview. “Numerous companies in Silicon Valley have refused either overtly, tacitly, or by dragging their feet, to work with the U.S. government. … I believe in general there’s a choice to be made in the world, and America has serious, rigorous, intelligent, and sometimes ruthless adversaries.”\nPalantir has also been doing unusual things with the $2.4 billion in cash on its balance sheet. The company is aggressively investing in PIPEs, or private investments in public equities, which are used in almost every SPAC merger to increase the capital raised. Palantir has committed $310 million across more than a dozen SPACs, or special purpose acquisition companies, according to its latest SEC filing. It’s completed $33 million of equity investments across three other companies.\n\nThe most recent tranche includes $20 million for Fast Radius, which offers a “cloud manufacturing platform;” $15 million for Tritium, a developer of electric vehicle chargers; $15 million for AdTheorent, which sells advertising software driven by machine learning; and $10 million for FinAccel, an Asian financial-services company.\nAll the targets have signed up to be Palantir customers. As of June 30, Palantir said it had commercial contracts with its SPAC portfolio companies with a potential value of $428 million; the revenue contribution in the latest quarter was just $3 million, or less than 1% of the total.\nSPACs are a highly speculative place for a public company to be parking its cash. But I’d argue that Palantir’s decision to provide capital to new customers isn’t so different from offering vendor debt financing for hardware purchases—as IBM(IBM) and HP Enterprise (HPE) do—or from running robust venture capital programs, as do Intel(INTC) and Salesforce.com(CRM).\nEven so, it makes some analysts squeamish. “While we don’t oppose thinking outside the box, we think the strategy may have been taken too far, particularly with software contracts that appear to be negotiated alongside an investment by Palantir in the same customer,” Citi’s Tyler Radke wrote in a recent research note.\nThe outside-the-box strategy goes beyond SPACs. This past week, Palantir disclosed that it had purchased $50.7 million worth of 100-ounce gold bars—a pretty strange move, even for Palantir. I ran a text search in the SEC’s database looking for references to gold bars, and found only references to other gold companies. The move makes Tesla’s(TSLA) Bitcoin purchases seem mundane.\nThe fact that Palantir decided to buy physical gold, rather than, say, the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD), makes it odder still. Palatnir ends up looking like the corporate equivalent of a doomsday prepper. I tried to follow-up with Karp to ask about the sudden interest in gold, but Palantir declined to make him available.\nOne analyst who follows the company told me that the SPAC program and the foray into gold make Palantir a hard sell for institutional investors. You can see that in the shareholder base. Institutions hold only 25% of Palantir shares—compared with Oracle’s(ORCL) 46%,Snowflake’s(SNOW) 58%, and Microsoft’s(MSFT) 71%.\nBut the same analyst is still bullish on Palantir and says it offers “a very interesting set of solutions to buyers that require scale and sophistication.”\nPalantir has a fanatical following among individual investors, and the company is playing to its fans. During its June-quarter earnings call, Palantir took nine questions from retail investors and just four from analysts.\nOn traditional metrics, Palantir isn’t cheap. The stock trades for 25 times estimated 2022 sales. But strip away the craziness, and Palantir looks like the single best bet on the future of complex data analytics. There aren’t many other ways for investors to play the opportunity—and the world isn’t getting any simpler or less dangerous.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892029094,"gmtCreate":1628612714418,"gmtModify":1633745709558,"author":{"id":"3579001256990264","authorId":"3579001256990264","name":"Mr Charles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d164cdc2990dfc0f20ee4ab34dd84b7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579001256990264","idStr":"3579001256990264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>Up more !","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>Up more !","text":"$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$Up more !","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38668ee0284c21dc5708e64eb3e92674","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892029094","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":855,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895933495,"gmtCreate":1628700921217,"gmtModify":1633744994668,"author":{"id":"3579001256990264","authorId":"3579001256990264","name":"Mr Charles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d164cdc2990dfc0f20ee4ab34dd84b7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579001256990264","idStr":"3579001256990264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>upup please","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>upup please","text":"$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$upup please","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da5715be4cc941125c4277c48d3aef61","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895933495","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811701882,"gmtCreate":1630341419946,"gmtModify":1704958851772,"author":{"id":"3579001256990264","authorId":"3579001256990264","name":"Mr Charles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d164cdc2990dfc0f20ee4ab34dd84b7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579001256990264","idStr":"3579001256990264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/811701882","repostId":"1117774965","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":821141128,"gmtCreate":1633709061626,"gmtModify":1633709061882,"author":{"id":"3579001256990264","authorId":"3579001256990264","name":"Mr Charles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d164cdc2990dfc0f20ee4ab34dd84b7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579001256990264","idStr":"3579001256990264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821141128","repostId":"1195699682","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195699682","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633706084,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195699682?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 23:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley Doubles Down On Doom: Calls For \"Fire And Ice\" Correction<blockquote>大摩加倍押注厄运：评级进行“火与冰”修正</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195699682","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Three weeks ago, when the markets were gripped by a brief but sharp selloff over fears of Evergrande","content":"<p>Three weeks ago, when the markets were gripped by a brief but sharp selloff over fears of Evergrande default contagtion (which certainly remains on the table), Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilsontook the opportunityto pour some fuel on the fire, or rather \"ice\", and warned that odds of a \"destructive\" 20% correction are rising.</p><p><blockquote>三周前，当市场因担心恒大违约蔓延（这肯定仍在讨论中）而陷入短暂但急剧的抛售时，摩根士丹利的迈克·威尔逊趁机火上浇油，或者更确切地说是“冰”，并警告称，“破坏性”20%修正的可能性正在上升。</blockquote></p><p> As a reminder, for much of the summer, Wilson had been predicting that the current market meltup would end either in \"fire\", i.e. a sharp market correction...</p><p><blockquote>提醒一下，在夏季的大部分时间里，威尔逊一直预测当前的市场崩溃要么以“火灾”告终，即市场大幅调整...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7ed4becb4b4add1c291379068668ca7\" tg-width=\"1123\" tg-height=\"660\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> or or \"Ice\", with consumer spending grinding to a halt...</p><p><blockquote>或者“冰”，消费者支出陷入停滞...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83d20b93fac562ec12c5371ce0cec674\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"661\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Pointing to his two gloomy predictions during the \"Evergrande Monday\" plunge, Wilson wrote that \"the ice scenario would be worse for markets<b>and we are leaning in that direction</b>given the fall in consumer confidence and reset lower in PMIs we expect.\" This is what he said, in the context of his longer running thesis that the \"mid-cycle\" is about to have a painful correction as we gradually transition into late cycle:</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊指出了他在“恒大周一”暴跌期间的两个悲观预测，他写道，“ice情景对市场来说会更糟<b>我们正在向那个方向倾斜</b>鉴于消费者信心下降和采购经理人指数较低，我们预计。”这是他在他的长期论点中所说的，即随着我们逐渐过渡到晚期周期，“中期周期”即将经历痛苦的修正：</blockquote></p><p>   The typical mid-cycle \"fire\" outcome would lead to a modest and healthy 10% correction in the S&amp;P 500. However, the \"ice\" scenario is starting to look more likely, and could result in a more destructive outcome – i.e. a 20%+ correction. As a result,   <b>we continue to recommend a barbell of more defensively oriented quality (Healthcare and Staples) to protect from the \"ice\" scenario while keeping a leg in Financials to participate in the \"fire\" outcome as higher rates materialize.</b>  And just so it was clear that Wilson stubbornly refused to join the bullish bandwagon, he said that \"with our year end target 10% below current levels, our view is clear: the mid-cycle transition will end with the rolling correction finally hitting the S&amp;P 500.\"</p><p><blockquote>典型的中期周期“火灾”结果将导致标普500适度且健康地回调10%。然而，“冰”情景开始看起来更有可能，并可能导致更具破坏性的结果——即20%以上的修正。结果，<b>我们继续推荐更具防御性的质量杠铃（医疗保健和主食），以防止“冰”情景，同时在金融股中保留一条腿，以参与更高利率实现时的“火”结果。</b>很明显，Wilson顽固地拒绝加入看涨行列，他表示，“由于我们的年终目标比当前水平低10%，我们的观点很明确：中期周期过渡将随着滚动修正最终触及标普500而结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Fast forward to today when with stocks once again barreling higher, Wilson doubled down on his bearish view and in the latest Morgan Stanley strategy data pack, writes that \"<b>we are now calling for Fire AND Ice.\"</b>Here, he again recaps the two possible mid-cycle correction outcomes he had been envisioning:</p><p><blockquote>快进到今天，随着股市再次飙升，威尔逊加倍了他的看跌观点，并在最新的摩根士丹利策略数据包中写道：“<b>我们现在呼唤火与冰。”</b>在这里，他再次概述了他一直设想的两种可能的周期中期修正结果：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Fire:</b>tightening financial conditions as the Fed signals tapering is coming</li>  <li><b>Ice:</b>growth disappointment particularly on the earnings side</li> </ul> And so, in a reversal from what he said last month, Wilson now thinks<b>\"it’s increasingly likely these scenarios happen together and we get a &gt;10% correction.</b>The Fed will likely announce its taper plans at its next FOMC meeting just as we expect a disappointment in earnings to materialize.\"</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>火：</b>美联储暗示缩减购债规模即将到来，金融状况收紧</li><li><b>冰：</b>增长令人失望，尤其是在盈利方面</li></ul>因此，与他上个月所说的相反，威尔逊现在认为<b>“这些情况越来越有可能同时发生，我们会得到&gt;10%的修正。</b>美联储可能会在下一次FOMC会议上宣布缩减计划，因为我们预计盈利将会令人失望。”</blockquote></p><p> And since much digital ink has been spilled discussing the impact of the coming taper, we will focus on his second warning, namely the coming trouble for corporate earnings, which echoes what we said more than a month ago...</p><p><blockquote>由于讨论即将到来的缩减的影响已经有很多数字墨水溢出，我们将重点关注他的第二个警告，即即将到来的企业盈利麻烦，这与我们一个多月前所说的相呼应……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35ca94354b7552e106b3d35a4245e356\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and which Wilson distills simply as \"Earnings Trouble Ahead.\"</p><p><blockquote>...威尔逊将其简单地提炼为“未来的盈利问题”。</blockquote></p><p> Here, the strategist points to the large number of companies flagging serious supply chain issues in off-cycle earnings reports over the past month and notes that \"<b>both forward earnings estimates and price de-rated after many of these reports.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在这里，这位策略师指出，过去一个月有大量公司在非周期收益报告中指出了严重的供应链问题，并指出“<b>在许多此类报告发布后，前瞻性盈利预测和价格均被下调。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be884d8276f2170f18ee79f621c647a1\" tg-width=\"1085\" tg-height=\"729\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Jumping to the punchline, Wilson thinks this will be a pervasive dynamic during 3Q reporting season and it will \"<b>trigger downside in earnings revisions at the index level - a headwind for price.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>谈到笑点，威尔逊认为这将是第三季度报告季的普遍动态，并且将“<b>引发指数层面盈利修正的下行——对价格构成阻力。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c39e1bbced9475fd293f9d4ed624a7e\" tg-width=\"1104\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Finally, looking beyond 3Q, he sees the earnings risk coming more from<b>(1) the inability of companies to pass on pricing (2) margin risk related more to higher wages and (3) a reversion (lower) in goods consumption.</b></p><p><blockquote>最后，展望第三季度之后，他认为盈利风险更多地来自<b>（1）公司无法转嫁定价（2）利润率风险更多地与更高的工资有关，以及（3）商品消费的回归（下降）。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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However, the \"ice\" scenario is starting to look more likely, and could result in a more destructive outcome – i.e. a 20%+ correction. As a result,   <b>we continue to recommend a barbell of more defensively oriented quality (Healthcare and Staples) to protect from the \"ice\" scenario while keeping a leg in Financials to participate in the \"fire\" outcome as higher rates materialize.</b>  And just so it was clear that Wilson stubbornly refused to join the bullish bandwagon, he said that \"with our year end target 10% below current levels, our view is clear: the mid-cycle transition will end with the rolling correction finally hitting the S&amp;P 500.\"</p><p><blockquote>典型的中期周期“火灾”结果将导致标普500适度且健康地回调10%。然而，“冰”情景开始看起来更有可能，并可能导致更具破坏性的结果——即20%以上的修正。结果，<b>我们继续推荐更具防御性的质量杠铃（医疗保健和主食），以防止“冰”情景，同时在金融股中保留一条腿，以参与更高利率实现时的“火”结果。</b>很明显，Wilson顽固地拒绝加入看涨行列，他表示，“由于我们的年终目标比当前水平低10%，我们的观点很明确：中期周期过渡将随着滚动修正最终触及标普500而结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Fast forward to today when with stocks once again barreling higher, Wilson doubled down on his bearish view and in the latest Morgan Stanley strategy data pack, writes that \"<b>we are now calling for Fire AND Ice.\"</b>Here, he again recaps the two possible mid-cycle correction outcomes he had been envisioning:</p><p><blockquote>快进到今天，随着股市再次飙升，威尔逊加倍了他的看跌观点，并在最新的摩根士丹利策略数据包中写道：“<b>我们现在呼唤火与冰。”</b>在这里，他再次概述了他一直设想的两种可能的周期中期修正结果：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Fire:</b>tightening financial conditions as the Fed signals tapering is coming</li>  <li><b>Ice:</b>growth disappointment particularly on the earnings side</li> </ul> And so, in a reversal from what he said last month, Wilson now thinks<b>\"it’s increasingly likely these scenarios happen together and we get a &gt;10% correction.</b>The Fed will likely announce its taper plans at its next FOMC meeting just as we expect a disappointment in earnings to materialize.\"</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>火：</b>美联储暗示缩减购债规模即将到来，金融状况收紧</li><li><b>冰：</b>增长令人失望，尤其是在盈利方面</li></ul>因此，与他上个月所说的相反，威尔逊现在认为<b>“这些情况越来越有可能同时发生，我们会得到&gt;10%的修正。</b>美联储可能会在下一次FOMC会议上宣布缩减计划，因为我们预计盈利将会令人失望。”</blockquote></p><p> And since much digital ink has been spilled discussing the impact of the coming taper, we will focus on his second warning, namely the coming trouble for corporate earnings, which echoes what we said more than a month ago...</p><p><blockquote>由于讨论即将到来的缩减的影响已经有很多数字墨水溢出，我们将重点关注他的第二个警告，即即将到来的企业盈利麻烦，这与我们一个多月前所说的相呼应……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35ca94354b7552e106b3d35a4245e356\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and which Wilson distills simply as \"Earnings Trouble Ahead.\"</p><p><blockquote>...威尔逊将其简单地提炼为“未来的盈利问题”。</blockquote></p><p> Here, the strategist points to the large number of companies flagging serious supply chain issues in off-cycle earnings reports over the past month and notes that \"<b>both forward earnings estimates and price de-rated after many of these reports.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在这里，这位策略师指出，过去一个月有大量公司在非周期收益报告中指出了严重的供应链问题，并指出“<b>在许多此类报告发布后，前瞻性盈利预测和价格均被下调。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be884d8276f2170f18ee79f621c647a1\" tg-width=\"1085\" tg-height=\"729\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Jumping to the punchline, Wilson thinks this will be a pervasive dynamic during 3Q reporting season and it will \"<b>trigger downside in earnings revisions at the index level - a headwind for price.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>谈到笑点，威尔逊认为这将是第三季度报告季的普遍动态，并且将“<b>引发指数层面盈利修正的下行——对价格构成阻力。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c39e1bbced9475fd293f9d4ed624a7e\" tg-width=\"1104\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Finally, looking beyond 3Q, he sees the earnings risk coming more from<b>(1) the inability of companies to pass on pricing (2) margin risk related more to higher wages and (3) a reversion (lower) in goods consumption.</b></p><p><blockquote>最后，展望第三季度之后，他认为盈利风险更多地来自<b>（1）公司无法转嫁定价（2）利润率风险更多地与更高的工资有关，以及（3）商品消费的回归（下降）。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-doubles-down-doom-calls-fire-and-ice-correction?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-doubles-down-doom-calls-fire-and-ice-correction?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195699682","content_text":"Three weeks ago, when the markets were gripped by a brief but sharp selloff over fears of Evergrande default contagtion (which certainly remains on the table), Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilsontook the opportunityto pour some fuel on the fire, or rather \"ice\", and warned that odds of a \"destructive\" 20% correction are rising.\nAs a reminder, for much of the summer, Wilson had been predicting that the current market meltup would end either in \"fire\", i.e. a sharp market correction...\n\nor or \"Ice\", with consumer spending grinding to a halt...\n\nPointing to his two gloomy predictions during the \"Evergrande Monday\" plunge, Wilson wrote that \"the ice scenario would be worse for marketsand we are leaning in that directiongiven the fall in consumer confidence and reset lower in PMIs we expect.\" This is what he said, in the context of his longer running thesis that the \"mid-cycle\" is about to have a painful correction as we gradually transition into late cycle:\n\n The typical mid-cycle \"fire\" outcome would lead to a modest and healthy 10% correction in the S&P 500. However, the \"ice\" scenario is starting to look more likely, and could result in a more destructive outcome – i.e. a 20%+ correction. As a result, \n we continue to recommend a barbell of more defensively oriented quality (Healthcare and Staples) to protect from the \"ice\" scenario while keeping a leg in Financials to participate in the \"fire\" outcome as higher rates materialize.\n\nAnd just so it was clear that Wilson stubbornly refused to join the bullish bandwagon, he said that \"with our year end target 10% below current levels, our view is clear: the mid-cycle transition will end with the rolling correction finally hitting the S&P 500.\"\nFast forward to today when with stocks once again barreling higher, Wilson doubled down on his bearish view and in the latest Morgan Stanley strategy data pack, writes that \"we are now calling for Fire AND Ice.\"Here, he again recaps the two possible mid-cycle correction outcomes he had been envisioning:\n\nFire:tightening financial conditions as the Fed signals tapering is coming\nIce:growth disappointment particularly on the earnings side\n\nAnd so, in a reversal from what he said last month, Wilson now thinks\"it’s increasingly likely these scenarios happen together and we get a >10% correction.The Fed will likely announce its taper plans at its next FOMC meeting just as we expect a disappointment in earnings to materialize.\"\nAnd since much digital ink has been spilled discussing the impact of the coming taper, we will focus on his second warning, namely the coming trouble for corporate earnings, which echoes what we said more than a month ago...\n\n... and which Wilson distills simply as \"Earnings Trouble Ahead.\"\nHere, the strategist points to the large number of companies flagging serious supply chain issues in off-cycle earnings reports over the past month and notes that \"both forward earnings estimates and price de-rated after many of these reports.\"\n\nJumping to the punchline, Wilson thinks this will be a pervasive dynamic during 3Q reporting season and it will \"trigger downside in earnings revisions at the index level - a headwind for price.\"\n\nFinally, looking beyond 3Q, he sees the earnings risk coming more from(1) the inability of companies to pass on pricing (2) margin risk related more to higher wages and (3) a reversion (lower) in goods consumption.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820899565,"gmtCreate":1633363977763,"gmtModify":1633363978048,"author":{"id":"3579001256990264","authorId":"3579001256990264","name":"Mr Charles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d164cdc2990dfc0f20ee4ab34dd84b7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579001256990264","idStr":"3579001256990264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Facebook down","listText":"Facebook down","text":"Facebook down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820899565","repostId":"1192356894","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863429351,"gmtCreate":1632413784973,"gmtModify":1632729528978,"author":{"id":"3579001256990264","authorId":"3579001256990264","name":"Mr Charles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d164cdc2990dfc0f20ee4ab34dd84b7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579001256990264","idStr":"3579001256990264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863429351","repostId":"1150145468","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150145468","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632413106,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150145468?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 00:05","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Sovos Brands opens for trading at $14.7, up about 22% from IPO price<blockquote>Sovos Brands开盘价为14.7美元，较IPO价格上涨约22%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150145468","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 23) Sovos Brands, Inc. opens for trading at $14.7, up about 22% from IPO price.","content":"<p>(Sept 23)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOVO\">Sovos Brands, Inc.</a> opens for trading at $14.7, up about 22% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>（9月23日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOVO\">索沃斯品牌公司。</a>开盘价为14.7美元，较IPO价格上涨约22%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4cf35300eb72dc44987635c428fb00b\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"545\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sovos Brands opens for trading at $14.7, up about 22% from IPO price<blockquote>Sovos Brands开盘价为14.7美元，较IPO价格上涨约22%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSovos Brands opens for trading at $14.7, up about 22% from IPO price<blockquote>Sovos Brands开盘价为14.7美元，较IPO价格上涨约22%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-24 00:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 23)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOVO\">Sovos Brands, Inc.</a> opens for trading at $14.7, up about 22% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>（9月23日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOVO\">索沃斯品牌公司。</a>开盘价为14.7美元，较IPO价格上涨约22%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4cf35300eb72dc44987635c428fb00b\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"545\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOVO":"Sovos Brands, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150145468","content_text":"(Sept 23) Sovos Brands, Inc. opens for trading at $14.7, up about 22% from IPO price.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SOVO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}