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2021-07-05

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$mmm

2021-04-13

Pls like and comment,

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2021-06-01

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$hold

2021-04-03

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How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大？</blockquote>

2021-06-26

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2021-04-29

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$..

2021-04-05

Comment and like plzz

Wall Street Has Given Up on These 3 Stocks, and That's a Huge Mistake<blockquote>华尔街放弃了这三只股票，这是一个巨大的错误</blockquote>

2021-05-29

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2021-05-12

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$[流泪]

2021-05-09

Like n comment, pls.Thanks

The Week In Cannabis: The New Tilray, Jazz-GW Pharma, Earnings, M&A, And More<blockquote>大麻一周：新Tilray、Jazz-GW Pharma、收益、并购等</blockquote>

2021-04-24

🤔

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2021-04-17

How in future

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2021-04-05

Great

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2021-05-02

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Warren Buffett Faces Impatient Investors as Berkshire Hathaway Returns Decline<blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司回报下滑，沃伦·巴菲特面临不耐烦的投资者</blockquote>

2021-04-15

Comment plz, thanks

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2021-04-11

Good buy now?

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2021-04-06

Wow

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2021-06-27

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$..

2021-06-25

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2021-05-28

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$..

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>mmm","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>mmm","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$mmm","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a766b921715be4265305e70387511496","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154054047","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3859,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154058051,"gmtCreate":1625462608673,"gmtModify":1631890173642,"author":{"id":"3579226810003990","authorId":"3579226810003990","name":"Milvis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f9525267133e1e33381f679084a88","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579226810003990","idStr":"3579226810003990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154058051","repostId":"2149384357","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124637852,"gmtCreate":1624761662176,"gmtModify":1631890173654,"author":{"id":"3579226810003990","authorId":"3579226810003990","name":"Milvis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f9525267133e1e33381f679084a88","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579226810003990","idStr":"3579226810003990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124637852","repostId":"1137119316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137119316","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624754401,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137119316?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137119316","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.With Ford  launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO  will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li>  <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li>  <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在加深对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解，同时突出市场地位和机会的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多，高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特（F）在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势，中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）未来将面临多一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值，哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易？我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来，并在最后做出最终裁决。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特vs蔚来：全球电动车市场争夺战升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing&nbsp;$30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别，但两家公司将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场上展开正面交锋。福特的车队尚未专注于电动汽车，但这种情况将会改变：感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温，福特表示正在加速其电气化计划，到2025年投资300B美元用于电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求对零排放汽车投资220亿美元。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标：未来十年内其全球销量的40%将是电动汽车，皮卡销量的33%将是电动汽车。如今，电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机，它将在2040年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，全球电动汽车销量为320万辆，市场份额仅为4.2%。然而，2020年，中国购买了全球41%的电动汽车。中国买家去年购买了130万辆电动汽车，随着北京寻求提高电动汽车的采用率，销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲，占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是世界上插电式电动汽车的第三大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：维基百科）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is&nbsp;on the cusp of entering the European market&nbsp;in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场，尽管欧洲正在迅速赶上，部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用，以及对全欧洲充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来即将进入欧洲市场，以期在竞争准备就绪之前扩大在全球第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a&nbsp;twenty percent share&nbsp;of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>北京是蔚来汽车行业电气化背后的驱动力：政府希望到2025年电动汽车在新车销售中的份额达到20%，这将推动电动汽车在国内市场的渗透率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策，这些市场有望出现全球最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模，中国不仅是最大的市场，而且预计到2030年，中国的电动汽车销量将超过世界上所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：麦肯锡）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长以及更有利的监管框架，因此中国的赢家将是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有一个世纪的制造经验。但到目前为止，福特的产品线中只有一款全电动汽车可以与蔚来相媲美：野马Mach-E SUV。2022年，福特将开始销售全电动F-150 Lightening，该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录，包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来仅专注于生产电动汽车，并且占据了非常小且明确的利基市场，因此这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验，可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商所希望的更快的速度提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国成为特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手，而且在国外也成为蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划，它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议在其车队电气化上投入300B美元，这将加速其转型，并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>赢家：福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化和BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在一个竞争只会随着时间的推移而变得更加激烈的市场中的重要性，这就是为什么两家公司都在一个可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场主导地位的相关领域：电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is&nbsp;forming a joint venture&nbsp;with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has&nbsp;formed its own joint venture&nbsp;to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司SK Innovation组建一家合资企业，以确保牵引电池单元和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加速电池交付，每年将生产约60 GWh，足以满足福特到2030年预计年度能源需求的25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术，并成立了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特的不同之处在于，蔚来的电池投资策略围绕电池订阅模式，也称为“电池即服务”，这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了强大的长期收入机会。在这种“BaaS”模式下，购买蔚来电动汽车的用户可以获得7万元人民币的初始折扣，相当于1.08万美元，并且可以签约包月租用可充电的70 kWh电池。然后可以在蔚来的一个电池交换站更换电池，该站遍布中国大多数大城市。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币，相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处：由于预付折扣，从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠，订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和更好的性能随着时间的推移。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入来源。“BaaS”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/更换站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户与蔚来绑定在一起，有可能增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来准备从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益，因为它们增加了资本配置。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池，性能将会提高，成本将会下降，这将推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车与内燃机乘用车相比更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建其商业模式的一部分，蔚来可能比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德(Schroders)提供的信息，自2014年以来，电动汽车的电池成本已下降70%，并且在本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS”模式非常天才，从长远来看，它可能会发展成为蔚来每年5亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资，但这一类别的赢家是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特5月份销量同比增长4.1%，但电动汽车销量（包括混合动力汽车）同比飙升184%，福特5月份售出创纪录的10,364辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified销量和Explorer Hybrid销量同比增长125%和132%，显示出强劲的客户接受度。蔚来上个月交付了6,711辆汽车，其中包括3,017辆ES6、1,412辆ES8和2,282辆EC6。5月份总交付量同比增长率为95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销售额是蔚来的54倍，这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和价值重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来的估值差异就像白天和黑夜的区别。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别出现爆炸性增长，但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商，预计企业销量将实现中低位数增长。预计到2025财年（基准年：2020财年），福特的收入将增长33%，蔚来的收入将增长808%！</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些销量增长的差异，蔚来与福特完全相反，至少就估值而言。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近100%，由于蔚来只经营电动汽车，蔚来的市值与销售额比率远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来风险更大……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业，但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。蔚来的全球总销量增长潜力更大，因为与福特相比，它的收入基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如，对于蔚来来说，由于生产缺陷而导致的召回将是一个比福特更大的挑战，福特可以依赖全球服务和分销网络。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险，因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓将对财务状况造成更大的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终审判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更“性感”的汽车制造商。中欧的强劲采用和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩，这是天才之举。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价，但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展，随着汽车制造商对其车队进行电气化，电动汽车销量的比例将会增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大，但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低，福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，请购买蔚来。如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力并且不喜欢太多风险，请购买福特。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li>  <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li>  <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在加深对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解，同时突出市场地位和机会的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多，高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特（F）在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势，中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）未来将面临多一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值，哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易？我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来，并在最后做出最终裁决。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特vs蔚来：全球电动车市场争夺战升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing&nbsp;$30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别，但两家公司将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场上展开正面交锋。福特的车队尚未专注于电动汽车，但这种情况将会改变：感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温，福特表示正在加速其电气化计划，到2025年投资300B美元用于电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求对零排放汽车投资220亿美元。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标：未来十年内其全球销量的40%将是电动汽车，皮卡销量的33%将是电动汽车。如今，电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机，它将在2040年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，全球电动汽车销量为320万辆，市场份额仅为4.2%。然而，2020年，中国购买了全球41%的电动汽车。中国买家去年购买了130万辆电动汽车，随着北京寻求提高电动汽车的采用率，销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲，占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是世界上插电式电动汽车的第三大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：维基百科）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is&nbsp;on the cusp of entering the European market&nbsp;in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场，尽管欧洲正在迅速赶上，部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用，以及对全欧洲充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来即将进入欧洲市场，以期在竞争准备就绪之前扩大在全球第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a&nbsp;twenty percent share&nbsp;of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>北京是蔚来汽车行业电气化背后的驱动力：政府希望到2025年电动汽车在新车销售中的份额达到20%，这将推动电动汽车在国内市场的渗透率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策，这些市场有望出现全球最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模，中国不仅是最大的市场，而且预计到2030年，中国的电动汽车销量将超过世界上所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：麦肯锡）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长以及更有利的监管框架，因此中国的赢家将是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有一个世纪的制造经验。但到目前为止，福特的产品线中只有一款全电动汽车可以与蔚来相媲美：野马Mach-E SUV。2022年，福特将开始销售全电动F-150 Lightening，该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录，包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来仅专注于生产电动汽车，并且占据了非常小且明确的利基市场，因此这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验，可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商所希望的更快的速度提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国成为特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手，而且在国外也成为蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划，它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议在其车队电气化上投入300B美元，这将加速其转型，并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>赢家：福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化和BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在一个竞争只会随着时间的推移而变得更加激烈的市场中的重要性，这就是为什么两家公司都在一个可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场主导地位的相关领域：电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is&nbsp;forming a joint venture&nbsp;with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has&nbsp;formed its own joint venture&nbsp;to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司SK Innovation组建一家合资企业，以确保牵引电池单元和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加速电池交付，每年将生产约60 GWh，足以满足福特到2030年预计年度能源需求的25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术，并成立了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特的不同之处在于，蔚来的电池投资策略围绕电池订阅模式，也称为“电池即服务”，这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了强大的长期收入机会。在这种“BaaS”模式下，购买蔚来电动汽车的用户可以获得7万元人民币的初始折扣，相当于1.08万美元，并且可以签约包月租用可充电的70 kWh电池。然后可以在蔚来的一个电池交换站更换电池，该站遍布中国大多数大城市。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币，相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处：由于预付折扣，从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠，订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和更好的性能随着时间的推移。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入来源。“BaaS”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/更换站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户与蔚来绑定在一起，有可能增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来准备从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益，因为它们增加了资本配置。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池，性能将会提高，成本将会下降，这将推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车与内燃机乘用车相比更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建其商业模式的一部分，蔚来可能比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德(Schroders)提供的信息，自2014年以来，电动汽车的电池成本已下降70%，并且在本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS”模式非常天才，从长远来看，它可能会发展成为蔚来每年5亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资，但这一类别的赢家是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特5月份销量同比增长4.1%，但电动汽车销量（包括混合动力汽车）同比飙升184%，福特5月份售出创纪录的10,364辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified销量和Explorer Hybrid销量同比增长125%和132%，显示出强劲的客户接受度。蔚来上个月交付了6,711辆汽车，其中包括3,017辆ES6、1,412辆ES8和2,282辆EC6。5月份总交付量同比增长率为95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销售额是蔚来的54倍，这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和价值重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来的估值差异就像白天和黑夜的区别。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别出现爆炸性增长，但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商，预计企业销量将实现中低位数增长。预计到2025财年（基准年：2020财年），福特的收入将增长33%，蔚来的收入将增长808%！</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些销量增长的差异，蔚来与福特完全相反，至少就估值而言。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近100%，由于蔚来只经营电动汽车，蔚来的市值与销售额比率远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来风险更大……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业，但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。蔚来的全球总销量增长潜力更大，因为与福特相比，它的收入基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如，对于蔚来来说，由于生产缺陷而导致的召回将是一个比福特更大的挑战，福特可以依赖全球服务和分销网络。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险，因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓将对财务状况造成更大的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终审判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更“性感”的汽车制造商。中欧的强劲采用和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩，这是天才之举。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价，但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展，随着汽车制造商对其车队进行电气化，电动汽车销量的比例将会增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大，但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低，福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，请购买蔚来。如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力并且不喜欢太多风险，请购买福特。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137119316","content_text":"Summary\n\nI am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.\nThe comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.\nNIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.\n\npeterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images\nWith Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.\nFord vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up\nAlthough there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.\nMarket opportunity\nIn 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.\n(Source: Wikipedia)\nChina, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.\nBeijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.\n(Source:Schroders)\nTurning to growth projections.\nWith more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.\n(Source:McKinsey)\nSince China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.\nScale and manufacturing competence\nFord has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.\nSince NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.\nWinner here: Ford.\nDifferentiation and BaaS revenue model\nBoth Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.\nFord is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.\nThe difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.\nThe BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.\nFord and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.\nBattery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.\n(Source: Schroders)\nThe “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.\nSales growth and valuation\nFord’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.\nFord's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.\nData by YCharts\nThe difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!\nDue to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO has larger risks...\nNIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.\nFinal verdict\nNIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.\nFord’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.\nIf you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622549906,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138579625?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 20:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138579625","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. equity futures roseAMC led 'meme stocks' higher after $230 mln capital raiseU.S. equity futures","content":"<p><ul><li>U.S. equity futures rose</li></ul><ul><li>AMC led 'meme stocks' higher after $230 mln capital raise</li></ul>U.S. equity futures rose with stocks, and commodities including oil jumped, as a string of positive economic readings helped spur optimism in the recovery from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国股指期货上涨</li></ul><ul><li>AMC融资2.3亿美元后领涨“模因股”</li></ul>美国股指期货随股市上涨，包括石油在内的大宗商品上涨，一系列积极的经济数据有助于刺激人们对疫情复苏的乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 233 points, or 0.68%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 22.25 points, or 0.53% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 53.75 points, or 0.39%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:10，道指E-minis上涨233点，涨幅0.68%，标普500 E-minis上涨22.25点，涨幅0.53%，纳斯达克100 E-minis上涨53.75点，涨幅0.39%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dd5ef316d5e9e8727177f77ead2d21c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC)</b> – AMC&nbsp;is selling 8.5 million shares&nbsp;to investment firm Mudrick Capital for $230.5 million, following the recent surge in the movie theater operator’s stock price. AMC plans to use the proceeds to pursue the acquisition of theater assets and leases, as well as possible debt reduction. Shares soared 17% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线(AMC)</b>–AMC正在向投资公司Mudrick Capital出售850万股股票，价格为2.305亿美元。AMC计划将所得款项用于收购影院资产和租赁，以及可能的债务削减。股价在盘前交易中飙升17%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Nio&nbsp;(NIO)</b> – Nio delivered 6,711 vehicles in May, an increase of 95% compared to a year ago for the China-based electric vehicle maker. Following those results, Citi upgraded Nio to “buy” from “neutral,” and raised its sales forecast for the company. Rival Chinese electric vehicle company&nbsp;<b>Xpeng&nbsp;(XPEV) </b>is also seeing accelerating sales with 5,686 vehicles delivered last month, an increase of 483% from a year earlier. Nio rallied 3.7% in premarket trading, while Xpeng jumped 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来(蔚来)</b>-蔚来5月份交付了6,711辆汽车，同比增长95%。公布这些结果后，花旗将蔚来的评级从“中性”上调至“买入”，并上调了对该公司的销售预期。竞争对手中国电动汽车公司<b>小鹏汽车(XPEV)</b>销量也在加速增长，上个月交付了5,686辆汽车，同比增长483%。蔚来在盘前交易中上涨3.7%，小鹏汽车上涨4.7%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Canopy Growth&nbsp;(CGC)</b> – The Canadian cannabis producer reported a 38% jump in revenue during its fiscal fourth quarter, though that increase was slightly smaller than analysts had been anticipating. Canopy Growth cut its quarterly loss by 8% and reiterated that it expects to become profitable during this fiscal year. Its shares rose 0.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>–这家加拿大大麻生产商报告第四财季收入增长38%，但增幅略低于分析师的预期。Canopy Growth将季度亏损削减了8%，并重申预计本财年将实现盈利。其股价在盘前交易中上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Boeing&nbsp;(BA)</b> – Boeing added 1.9% in the premarket after it was upgraded to “outperform” from “market perform” at Cowen. The firm notes the fast improvement in air traffic demand, resulting in what it expects will be a positive impact on jet demand.</p><p><blockquote><b>波音(BA)</b>-波音公司在Cowen将其评级从“与大盘持平”上调至“跑赢大盘”后，盘前股价上涨1.9%。该公司指出，空中交通需求的快速改善，预计将对喷气式飞机需求产生积极影响。</blockquote></p><p><b>Nokia&nbsp;(NOK)</b> – Nokia will collect licensing fees from automaker Daimler for its patents, ending a legal dispute between the two companies. Terms of the settlement were confidential, but the deal will add to the annual $1.7 billion that Nokia earns from patent licensing.</p><p><blockquote><b>诺基亚（挪威克朗）</b>-诺基亚将向汽车制造商戴姆勒收取专利许可费，结束两家公司之间的法律纠纷。和解条款是保密的，但这笔交易将增加诺基亚每年从专利许可中获得的17亿美元收入。</blockquote></p><p><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;(JNJ)</b> – Johnson &amp; Johnson is asking the Supreme Court to review a $2 billion verdict against it involving talc products that allegedly caused cancer in a number of users. The court may decide as soon as today whether it will grant that review.</p><p><blockquote><b>强生公司(JNJ)</b>-强生公司要求最高法院审查一项针对其20亿美元的判决，该判决涉及滑石粉产品，据称该产品导致许多使用者患癌症。法院最早可能在今天决定是否批准复审。</blockquote></p><p><b>Cinemark&nbsp;(CNK) </b>– Cinemark is among movie theater chains seeing positive sentiment today, after “A Quiet Place, Part II” topped the weekend box office with more than $58 million in ticket sales. That was the highest weekend total for any movie since the pandemic began. AMC, Cinemark and Regal Cinemas have also lifted all mask mandates for fully vaccinated customers. Cinemark rose 1.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>喜满客(CNK)</b>–继《寂静之地第二部》以超过5800万美元的票房收入高居周末票房榜首后，喜满客(Cinemark)是今天情绪积极的连锁影院之一。这是自疫情开始以来电影周末票房最高的一次。AMC、喜满客和富豪影院也取消了对完全接种疫苗的顾客的所有口罩要求。喜满客盘前上涨1.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Cloudera&nbsp;(CLDR) </b>– Cloudera&nbsp;agreed to be acquiredby private-equity firms&nbsp;KKR&nbsp;(KKR) and Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice for $16 per share. The cloud-based data analytics company’s shares surged 23.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Cloudera(CLDR)</b>-Cloudera同意被私募股权公司KKR(KKR)和Clayton Dubilier&amp;Rice以每股16美元的价格收购。这家基于云的数据分析公司的股价在盘前交易中飙升23.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>3M&nbsp;(MMM)</b> – A judge sided with 3M in the second trial involving earplugs sold to the military. 3M has been hit with more than 230,000 claims that the earplugs were faulty and caused hearing problems, and the first trial resulted in a $7.1 million verdict in favor of three veterans.</p><p><blockquote><b>3米（3M）</b>-在涉及出售给军方的耳塞的二审中，一名法官站在了3M一边。3M已收到超过23万起索赔，称耳塞有缺陷并导致听力问题，第一次审判导致三名退伍军人获得710万美元的赔偿。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Honest Company&nbsp;(HNST) </b>– The natural products company is the subject of new – and positive – analyst coverage at multiple Wall Street firms, with Citi and Jefferies rating the stock a “buy” and JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley rating it “overweight.” All mention strong growth prospects, as well as Jessica Alba’s role as founder and brand ambassador. The stock rose 1.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>诚实公司(HNST)</b>-这家天然产品公司是多家华尔街公司新的积极分析师报道的主题，花旗和杰富瑞将该股评级为“买入”，摩根大通和摩根士丹利将其评级为“跑赢大盘”。所有人都提到了强劲的增长前景，以及杰西卡·阿尔芭作为创始人和品牌大使的角色。该股盘前上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-01 20:18</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>U.S. equity futures rose</li></ul><ul><li>AMC led 'meme stocks' higher after $230 mln capital raise</li></ul>U.S. equity futures rose with stocks, and commodities including oil jumped, as a string of positive economic readings helped spur optimism in the recovery from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国股指期货上涨</li></ul><ul><li>AMC融资2.3亿美元后领涨“模因股”</li></ul>美国股指期货随股市上涨，包括石油在内的大宗商品上涨，一系列积极的经济数据有助于刺激人们对疫情复苏的乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 233 points, or 0.68%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 22.25 points, or 0.53% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 53.75 points, or 0.39%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:10，道指E-minis上涨233点，涨幅0.68%，标普500 E-minis上涨22.25点，涨幅0.53%，纳斯达克100 E-minis上涨53.75点，涨幅0.39%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dd5ef316d5e9e8727177f77ead2d21c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC)</b> – AMC&nbsp;is selling 8.5 million shares&nbsp;to investment firm Mudrick Capital for $230.5 million, following the recent surge in the movie theater operator’s stock price. AMC plans to use the proceeds to pursue the acquisition of theater assets and leases, as well as possible debt reduction. Shares soared 17% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线(AMC)</b>–AMC正在向投资公司Mudrick Capital出售850万股股票，价格为2.305亿美元。AMC计划将所得款项用于收购影院资产和租赁，以及可能的债务削减。股价在盘前交易中飙升17%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Nio&nbsp;(NIO)</b> – Nio delivered 6,711 vehicles in May, an increase of 95% compared to a year ago for the China-based electric vehicle maker. Following those results, Citi upgraded Nio to “buy” from “neutral,” and raised its sales forecast for the company. Rival Chinese electric vehicle company&nbsp;<b>Xpeng&nbsp;(XPEV) </b>is also seeing accelerating sales with 5,686 vehicles delivered last month, an increase of 483% from a year earlier. Nio rallied 3.7% in premarket trading, while Xpeng jumped 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来(蔚来)</b>-蔚来5月份交付了6,711辆汽车，同比增长95%。公布这些结果后，花旗将蔚来的评级从“中性”上调至“买入”，并上调了对该公司的销售预期。竞争对手中国电动汽车公司<b>小鹏汽车(XPEV)</b>销量也在加速增长，上个月交付了5,686辆汽车，同比增长483%。蔚来在盘前交易中上涨3.7%，小鹏汽车上涨4.7%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Canopy Growth&nbsp;(CGC)</b> – The Canadian cannabis producer reported a 38% jump in revenue during its fiscal fourth quarter, though that increase was slightly smaller than analysts had been anticipating. Canopy Growth cut its quarterly loss by 8% and reiterated that it expects to become profitable during this fiscal year. Its shares rose 0.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>–这家加拿大大麻生产商报告第四财季收入增长38%，但增幅略低于分析师的预期。Canopy Growth将季度亏损削减了8%，并重申预计本财年将实现盈利。其股价在盘前交易中上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Boeing&nbsp;(BA)</b> – Boeing added 1.9% in the premarket after it was upgraded to “outperform” from “market perform” at Cowen. The firm notes the fast improvement in air traffic demand, resulting in what it expects will be a positive impact on jet demand.</p><p><blockquote><b>波音(BA)</b>-波音公司在Cowen将其评级从“与大盘持平”上调至“跑赢大盘”后，盘前股价上涨1.9%。该公司指出，空中交通需求的快速改善，预计将对喷气式飞机需求产生积极影响。</blockquote></p><p><b>Nokia&nbsp;(NOK)</b> – Nokia will collect licensing fees from automaker Daimler for its patents, ending a legal dispute between the two companies. Terms of the settlement were confidential, but the deal will add to the annual $1.7 billion that Nokia earns from patent licensing.</p><p><blockquote><b>诺基亚（挪威克朗）</b>-诺基亚将向汽车制造商戴姆勒收取专利许可费，结束两家公司之间的法律纠纷。和解条款是保密的，但这笔交易将增加诺基亚每年从专利许可中获得的17亿美元收入。</blockquote></p><p><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;(JNJ)</b> – Johnson &amp; Johnson is asking the Supreme Court to review a $2 billion verdict against it involving talc products that allegedly caused cancer in a number of users. The court may decide as soon as today whether it will grant that review.</p><p><blockquote><b>强生公司(JNJ)</b>-强生公司要求最高法院审查一项针对其20亿美元的判决，该判决涉及滑石粉产品，据称该产品导致许多使用者患癌症。法院最早可能在今天决定是否批准复审。</blockquote></p><p><b>Cinemark&nbsp;(CNK) </b>– Cinemark is among movie theater chains seeing positive sentiment today, after “A Quiet Place, Part II” topped the weekend box office with more than $58 million in ticket sales. That was the highest weekend total for any movie since the pandemic began. AMC, Cinemark and Regal Cinemas have also lifted all mask mandates for fully vaccinated customers. Cinemark rose 1.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>喜满客(CNK)</b>–继《寂静之地第二部》以超过5800万美元的票房收入高居周末票房榜首后，喜满客(Cinemark)是今天情绪积极的连锁影院之一。这是自疫情开始以来电影周末票房最高的一次。AMC、喜满客和富豪影院也取消了对完全接种疫苗的顾客的所有口罩要求。喜满客盘前上涨1.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Cloudera&nbsp;(CLDR) </b>– Cloudera&nbsp;agreed to be acquiredby private-equity firms&nbsp;KKR&nbsp;(KKR) and Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice for $16 per share. The cloud-based data analytics company’s shares surged 23.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Cloudera(CLDR)</b>-Cloudera同意被私募股权公司KKR(KKR)和Clayton Dubilier&amp;Rice以每股16美元的价格收购。这家基于云的数据分析公司的股价在盘前交易中飙升23.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>3M&nbsp;(MMM)</b> – A judge sided with 3M in the second trial involving earplugs sold to the military. 3M has been hit with more than 230,000 claims that the earplugs were faulty and caused hearing problems, and the first trial resulted in a $7.1 million verdict in favor of three veterans.</p><p><blockquote><b>3米（3M）</b>-在涉及出售给军方的耳塞的二审中，一名法官站在了3M一边。3M已收到超过23万起索赔，称耳塞有缺陷并导致听力问题，第一次审判导致三名退伍军人获得710万美元的赔偿。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Honest Company&nbsp;(HNST) </b>– The natural products company is the subject of new – and positive – analyst coverage at multiple Wall Street firms, with Citi and Jefferies rating the stock a “buy” and JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley rating it “overweight.” All mention strong growth prospects, as well as Jessica Alba’s role as founder and brand ambassador. The stock rose 1.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>诚实公司(HNST)</b>-这家天然产品公司是多家华尔街公司新的积极分析师报道的主题，花旗和杰富瑞将该股评级为“买入”，摩根大通和摩根士丹利将其评级为“跑赢大盘”。所有人都提到了强劲的增长前景，以及杰西卡·阿尔芭作为创始人和品牌大使的角色。该股盘前上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线","XPEV":"小鹏汽车",".DJI":"道琼斯","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138579625","content_text":"U.S. equity futures roseAMC led 'meme stocks' higher after $230 mln capital raiseU.S. equity futures rose with stocks, and commodities including oil jumped, as a string of positive economic readings helped spur optimism in the recovery from the pandemic.At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 233 points, or 0.68%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 22.25 points, or 0.53% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 53.75 points, or 0.39%.*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:AMC Entertainment (AMC) – AMC is selling 8.5 million shares to investment firm Mudrick Capital for $230.5 million, following the recent surge in the movie theater operator’s stock price. AMC plans to use the proceeds to pursue the acquisition of theater assets and leases, as well as possible debt reduction. Shares soared 17% in premarket trading.Nio (NIO) – Nio delivered 6,711 vehicles in May, an increase of 95% compared to a year ago for the China-based electric vehicle maker. Following those results, Citi upgraded Nio to “buy” from “neutral,” and raised its sales forecast for the company. Rival Chinese electric vehicle company Xpeng (XPEV) is also seeing accelerating sales with 5,686 vehicles delivered last month, an increase of 483% from a year earlier. Nio rallied 3.7% in premarket trading, while Xpeng jumped 4.7%.Canopy Growth (CGC) – The Canadian cannabis producer reported a 38% jump in revenue during its fiscal fourth quarter, though that increase was slightly smaller than analysts had been anticipating. Canopy Growth cut its quarterly loss by 8% and reiterated that it expects to become profitable during this fiscal year. Its shares rose 0.1% in premarket trading.Boeing (BA) – Boeing added 1.9% in the premarket after it was upgraded to “outperform” from “market perform” at Cowen. The firm notes the fast improvement in air traffic demand, resulting in what it expects will be a positive impact on jet demand.Nokia (NOK) – Nokia will collect licensing fees from automaker Daimler for its patents, ending a legal dispute between the two companies. Terms of the settlement were confidential, but the deal will add to the annual $1.7 billion that Nokia earns from patent licensing.Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – Johnson & Johnson is asking the Supreme Court to review a $2 billion verdict against it involving talc products that allegedly caused cancer in a number of users. The court may decide as soon as today whether it will grant that review.Cinemark (CNK) – Cinemark is among movie theater chains seeing positive sentiment today, after “A Quiet Place, Part II” topped the weekend box office with more than $58 million in ticket sales. That was the highest weekend total for any movie since the pandemic began. AMC, Cinemark and Regal Cinemas have also lifted all mask mandates for fully vaccinated customers. Cinemark rose 1.8% in the premarket.Cloudera (CLDR) – Cloudera agreed to be acquiredby private-equity firms KKR (KKR) and Clayton Dubilier & Rice for $16 per share. The cloud-based data analytics company’s shares surged 23.4% in premarket trading.3M (MMM) – A judge sided with 3M in the second trial involving earplugs sold to the military. 3M has been hit with more than 230,000 claims that the earplugs were faulty and caused hearing problems, and the first trial resulted in a $7.1 million verdict in favor of three veterans.The Honest Company (HNST) – The natural products company is the subject of new – and positive – analyst coverage at multiple Wall Street firms, with Citi and Jefferies rating the stock a “buy” and JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley rating it “overweight.” All mention strong growth prospects, as well as Jessica Alba’s role as founder and brand ambassador. The stock rose 1.4% in the 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>..","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>..","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$..","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a766b921715be4265305e70387511496","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135220939","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135265324,"gmtCreate":1622165701968,"gmtModify":1631890173733,"author":{"id":"3579226810003990","authorId":"3579226810003990","name":"Milvis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f9525267133e1e33381f679084a88","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579226810003990","idStr":"3579226810003990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135265324","repostId":"1148985369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":608,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138383076,"gmtCreate":1621910111795,"gmtModify":1631890173747,"author":{"id":"3579226810003990","authorId":"3579226810003990","name":"Milvis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f9525267133e1e33381f679084a88","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579226810003990","idStr":"3579226810003990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138383076","repostId":"1114842814","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114842814","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1621908356,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114842814?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-25 10:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Might Be Worth Trading After Consolidating Around $20<blockquote>Palantir在盘整20美元左右后可能值得交易</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114842814","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Palantir Technologies Inc(NYSE:PLTR) has been consolidating and is now worth considering a speculati","content":"<p><b>Palantir Technologies Inc</b>(NYSE:PLTR) has been consolidating and is now worth considering a speculative trade&nbsp;on&nbsp;the long side, co-host Dennis Dick said Monday on&nbsp;Benzinga's YouTube show \"PreMarket Prep.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir技术公司</b>联合主持人丹尼斯·迪克(Dennis Dick)周一在Benzinga的YouTube节目“盘前准备”中表示，（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PLTR）一直在整合，现在值得考虑进行多头投机性交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Palantir confirmed Monday&nbsp;it&nbsp;will support the U.S. Space Force and U.S. Air Force by providing its software for&nbsp;critical missions in a $32.5 million deal.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>Palantir周一证实，将以3250万美元的交易为关键任务提供软件，为美国太空军和美国空军提供支持。</blockquote></p><p> There is room up to the $25 level on Palantir, Dick said.</p><p><blockquote>Dick表示，Palantir的价格还有高达25美元的空间。</blockquote></p><p> He recommended&nbsp;a tight stop-loss be put in place&nbsp;below the $20 level because although Palantir is consolidating, the stock is still in a downtrend, the \"PreMarket Prep\" co-host noted.</p><p><blockquote>“盘前准备”联合主持人指出，他建议在20美元水平以下设置严格的止损，因为尽管Palantir正在盘整，但该股仍处于下跌趋势。</blockquote></p><p> \"As a trader, always think about what you can lose, not what you can make,\" Dick said.</p><p><blockquote>“作为一名交易者，总是考虑你可能会损失什么，而不是你可能会赚什么，”迪克说。</blockquote></p><p> If the stock can break through the&nbsp;$21.16 level Monday, co-host Joel Elconin added that&nbsp;he thinks it could trade up to $21.62.</p><p><blockquote>联合主持人Joel Elconin补充说，如果该股周一能够突破21.16美元的水平，他认为该股的交易价格可能会升至21.62美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Palantir traded as high as $45 and as low as $8.90 over a 52-week period.</p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR价格走势：</b>Palantir在52周内的交易价格最高为45美元，最低为8.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> At last check Monday morning, the stock was up 1.01% at $20.95.</p><p><blockquote>周一上午最后一次检查时，该股上涨1.01%，至20.95美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Might Be Worth Trading After Consolidating Around $20<blockquote>Palantir在盘整20美元左右后可能值得交易</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; 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0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Might Be Worth Trading After Consolidating Around $20<blockquote>Palantir在盘整20美元左右后可能值得交易</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-25 10:05</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Palantir Technologies Inc</b>(NYSE:PLTR) has been consolidating and is now worth considering a speculative trade&nbsp;on&nbsp;the long side, co-host Dennis Dick said Monday on&nbsp;Benzinga's YouTube show \"PreMarket Prep.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir技术公司</b>联合主持人丹尼斯·迪克(Dennis Dick)周一在Benzinga的YouTube节目“盘前准备”中表示，（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PLTR）一直在整合，现在值得考虑进行多头投机性交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Palantir confirmed Monday&nbsp;it&nbsp;will support the U.S. Space Force and U.S. Air Force by providing its software for&nbsp;critical missions in a $32.5 million deal.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>Palantir周一证实，将以3250万美元的交易为关键任务提供软件，为美国太空军和美国空军提供支持。</blockquote></p><p> There is room up to the $25 level on Palantir, Dick said.</p><p><blockquote>Dick表示，Palantir的价格还有高达25美元的空间。</blockquote></p><p> He recommended&nbsp;a tight stop-loss be put in place&nbsp;below the $20 level because although Palantir is consolidating, the stock is still in a downtrend, the \"PreMarket Prep\" co-host noted.</p><p><blockquote>“盘前准备”联合主持人指出，他建议在20美元水平以下设置严格的止损，因为尽管Palantir正在盘整，但该股仍处于下跌趋势。</blockquote></p><p> \"As a trader, always think about what you can lose, not what you can make,\" Dick said.</p><p><blockquote>“作为一名交易者，总是考虑你可能会损失什么，而不是你可能会赚什么，”迪克说。</blockquote></p><p> If the stock can break through the&nbsp;$21.16 level Monday, co-host Joel Elconin added that&nbsp;he thinks it could trade up to $21.62.</p><p><blockquote>联合主持人Joel Elconin补充说，如果该股周一能够突破21.16美元的水平，他认为该股的交易价格可能会升至21.62美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Palantir traded as high as $45 and as low as $8.90 over a 52-week period.</p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR价格走势：</b>Palantir在52周内的交易价格最高为45美元，最低为8.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> At last check Monday morning, the stock was up 1.01% at $20.95.</p><p><blockquote>周一上午最后一次检查时，该股上涨1.01%，至20.95美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114842814","content_text":"Palantir Technologies Inc(NYSE:PLTR) has been consolidating and is now worth considering a speculative trade on the long side, co-host Dennis Dick said Monday on Benzinga's YouTube show \"PreMarket Prep.\"\nWhat Happened: Palantir confirmed Monday it will support the U.S. Space Force and U.S. Air Force by providing its software for critical missions in a $32.5 million deal.\nThere is room up to the $25 level on Palantir, Dick said.\nHe recommended a tight stop-loss be put in place below the $20 level because although Palantir is consolidating, the stock is still in a downtrend, the \"PreMarket Prep\" co-host noted.\n\"As a trader, always think about what you can lose, not what you can make,\" Dick said.\nIf the stock can break through the $21.16 level Monday, co-host Joel Elconin added that he thinks it could trade up to $21.62.\nPLTR Price Action: Palantir traded as high as $45 and as low as $8.90 over a 52-week period.\nAt last check Monday morning, the stock was up 1.01% at 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comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340209892","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191998262","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617366158,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191998262?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<p>  You may not like the answer.  For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p><p><blockquote>你可能不喜欢这个答案。在过去的一年里，投资者享受了有史以来最大的反弹之一。基准后<b>标普500</b>由于围绕冠状病毒大流行的前所未有的不确定性，(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)在短短几周内就损失了三分之一的价值，但随后反弹至较低点上涨了75%左右。你可以正确地说，耐心得到了回报。</blockquote></p><p> But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者——尤其是长期投资者——敏锐地意识到了另一个现实：股市崩盘或调整的倾向。现在情况可能看起来很好，但下一次大幅暴跌总是在等待。</blockquote></p><p> It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了一个问题：股市崩盘的可能性有多大？让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>平均每1.87年出现两位数的下降</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&amp;P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p><p><blockquote>首先，股市调整（即至少下跌10%）在标普500中很常见。根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据，自1950年初以来，标普500已经出现了38次回调。这意味着基准指数平均每1.87年下降两位数。由于距离市场触及熊市底部已经一年多了，平均水平肯定不会受到投资者的青睐。</blockquote></p><p> However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p><p><blockquote>然而，平均值不过如此...平均值。市场并不遵循平均水平，即使有些人根据历史上发生的事情进行投资。</blockquote></p><p> We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p><p><blockquote>我们可能会进入一个类似于1991年到1996年的时期，那里的修正为零。或者我们可以延续2010年初以来的主题，平均每19个月就会出现一次修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在熊市触底后的三年内，调整是历史性的</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&amp;P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得研究的有趣证据是标普500在触及熊市底部后修正的频率。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p><p><blockquote>自1960年初（为了简单起见，我随意选择了一年）以来，这个广受关注的指数已经经历了九次熊市，包括冠状病毒崩盘。在从之前八次熊市低点反弹的过程中，100%的情况下，三年内至少有一次两位数的百分比下跌。在过去八次熊市底部之后的三年内，总共发生了13次调整（即每次底部之后都有一次或两次）。</blockquote></p><p> Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，从熊市底部反弹很少是直线走高。然而，自2020年3月23日以来，上涨、上涨和离开几乎一直是投资者的主题。历史表明，未来两年内股市很有可能走低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当达到这个估值指标时，经常会发生崩溃</b></blockquote></p><p> But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p><p><blockquote>但最确凿的证据可能是标普500的席勒市盈率（P/E）。这是一个估值指标，考察过去10年经通胀调整后的平均收益。你可能也知道它是周期性调整市盈率，或CAPE。</blockquote></p><p> As of the close of business on March 30, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月30日收盘，标普500的席勒市盈率达到35.61。这是150年来平均水平16.8的两倍多。以持续的牛市走势为参数，这是其历史上第二高的读数。</blockquote></p><p> To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p><p><blockquote>在某种程度上，现在的股票估值应该高于历史水平是有道理的。这是因为利率接近历史低点，而且互联网接入有效地打破了华尔街和主街之间的障碍，这些障碍在过去可能会阻碍市盈率倍数。</blockquote></p><p> However, previous instances of the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，此前标普500席勒市盈率突破并维持在30水平的情况并没有得到很好的结局。在之前四次席勒市盈率超过并保持在30以上的情况下，基准指数下跌了20%至89%。尽管如今不太可能出现大萧条期间经历的89%的暴跌，但从历史上看，当估值延长时，就有可能出现大幅下跌，就像现在一样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将现金放在手边，以防机会来袭</b></blockquote></p><p> To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p><p><blockquote>回到手头的最初问题，数据非常清楚地表明，股市崩盘或调整的可能性已经大大增加。不可能准确预测崩盘何时可能发生，下跌将持续多长时间，或者下跌幅度有多大。但数据强烈表明下行趋势即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对一些投资者来说可能是一个令人失望的发现，但事实并非如此。崩盘和调整是投资周期的正常部分。更重要的是，它们为投资者提供了以折扣价购买伟大公司的机会。想想去年三月你可能会因为没有购买而自责的所有伟大公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&amp;P 500 been negative.</p><p><blockquote>对崩溃和修正感到兴奋的原因也可以在数据中找到。你看，自1950年初以来的38次标普500调整中，每一次最终都被牛市反弹抛到了后视镜中。此外，在过去的一个世纪里，标普500的20年滚动总回报率（包括股息）从未为负。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果您在调整期间需要进一步鼓励买入，请记住，标普500 38次两位数下跌中有24次是在104个或更短的日历日（3.5个月或更短）内触底的。崩溃和修正有时可能很剧烈，但往往会很快解决。这是你在机会来临时准备好现金的提示。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-02 20:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  You may not like the answer.  For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p><p><blockquote>你可能不喜欢这个答案。在过去的一年里，投资者享受了有史以来最大的反弹之一。基准后<b>标普500</b>由于围绕冠状病毒大流行的前所未有的不确定性，(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)在短短几周内就损失了三分之一的价值，但随后反弹至较低点上涨了75%左右。你可以正确地说，耐心得到了回报。</blockquote></p><p> But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者——尤其是长期投资者——敏锐地意识到了另一个现实：股市崩盘或调整的倾向。现在情况可能看起来很好，但下一次大幅暴跌总是在等待。</blockquote></p><p> It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了一个问题：股市崩盘的可能性有多大？让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>平均每1.87年出现两位数的下降</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&amp;P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p><p><blockquote>首先，股市调整（即至少下跌10%）在标普500中很常见。根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据，自1950年初以来，标普500已经出现了38次回调。这意味着基准指数平均每1.87年下降两位数。由于距离市场触及熊市底部已经一年多了，平均水平肯定不会受到投资者的青睐。</blockquote></p><p> However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p><p><blockquote>然而，平均值不过如此...平均值。市场并不遵循平均水平，即使有些人根据历史上发生的事情进行投资。</blockquote></p><p> We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p><p><blockquote>我们可能会进入一个类似于1991年到1996年的时期，那里的修正为零。或者我们可以延续2010年初以来的主题，平均每19个月就会出现一次修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在熊市触底后的三年内，调整是历史性的</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&amp;P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得研究的有趣证据是标普500在触及熊市底部后修正的频率。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p><p><blockquote>自1960年初（为了简单起见，我随意选择了一年）以来，这个广受关注的指数已经经历了九次熊市，包括冠状病毒崩盘。在从之前八次熊市低点反弹的过程中，100%的情况下，三年内至少有一次两位数的百分比下跌。在过去八次熊市底部之后的三年内，总共发生了13次调整（即每次底部之后都有一次或两次）。</blockquote></p><p> Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，从熊市底部反弹很少是直线走高。然而，自2020年3月23日以来，上涨、上涨和离开几乎一直是投资者的主题。历史表明，未来两年内股市很有可能走低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当达到这个估值指标时，经常会发生崩溃</b></blockquote></p><p> But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p><p><blockquote>但最确凿的证据可能是标普500的席勒市盈率（P/E）。这是一个估值指标，考察过去10年经通胀调整后的平均收益。你可能也知道它是周期性调整市盈率，或CAPE。</blockquote></p><p> As of the close of business on March 30, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月30日收盘，标普500的席勒市盈率达到35.61。这是150年来平均水平16.8的两倍多。以持续的牛市走势为参数，这是其历史上第二高的读数。</blockquote></p><p> To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p><p><blockquote>在某种程度上，现在的股票估值应该高于历史水平是有道理的。这是因为利率接近历史低点，而且互联网接入有效地打破了华尔街和主街之间的障碍，这些障碍在过去可能会阻碍市盈率倍数。</blockquote></p><p> However, previous instances of the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，此前标普500席勒市盈率突破并维持在30水平的情况并没有得到很好的结局。在之前四次席勒市盈率超过并保持在30以上的情况下，基准指数下跌了20%至89%。尽管如今不太可能出现大萧条期间经历的89%的暴跌，但从历史上看，当估值延长时，就有可能出现大幅下跌，就像现在一样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将现金放在手边，以防机会来袭</b></blockquote></p><p> To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p><p><blockquote>回到手头的最初问题，数据非常清楚地表明，股市崩盘或调整的可能性已经大大增加。不可能准确预测崩盘何时可能发生，下跌将持续多长时间，或者下跌幅度有多大。但数据强烈表明下行趋势即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对一些投资者来说可能是一个令人失望的发现，但事实并非如此。崩盘和调整是投资周期的正常部分。更重要的是，它们为投资者提供了以折扣价购买伟大公司的机会。想想去年三月你可能会因为没有购买而自责的所有伟大公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&amp;P 500 been negative.</p><p><blockquote>对崩溃和修正感到兴奋的原因也可以在数据中找到。你看，自1950年初以来的38次标普500调整中，每一次最终都被牛市反弹抛到了后视镜中。此外，在过去的一个世纪里，标普500的20年滚动总回报率（包括股息）从未为负。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果您在调整期间需要进一步鼓励买入，请记住，标普500 38次两位数下跌中有24次是在104个或更短的日历日（3.5个月或更短）内触底的。崩溃和修正有时可能很剧烈，但往往会很快解决。这是你在机会来临时准备好现金的提示。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125739782,"gmtCreate":1624691866146,"gmtModify":1631890173679,"author":{"id":"3579226810003990","authorId":"3579226810003990","name":"Milvis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f9525267133e1e33381f679084a88","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579226810003990","idStr":"3579226810003990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125739782","repostId":"1108941456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":109641297,"gmtCreate":1619695008219,"gmtModify":1631885599542,"author":{"id":"3579226810003990","authorId":"3579226810003990","name":"Milvis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f9525267133e1e33381f679084a88","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579226810003990","idStr":"3579226810003990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>..","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>..","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$..","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f059abd72c6869daa5b35fbabb16869c","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109641297","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349639378,"gmtCreate":1617599416794,"gmtModify":1634297657943,"author":{"id":"3579226810003990","authorId":"3579226810003990","name":"Milvis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f9525267133e1e33381f679084a88","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579226810003990","idStr":"3579226810003990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment and like plzz","listText":"Comment and like plzz","text":"Comment and like plzz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/349639378","repostId":"1121666420","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121666420","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617365764,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121666420?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Has Given Up on These 3 Stocks, and That's a Huge Mistake<blockquote>华尔街放弃了这三只股票，这是一个巨大的错误</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121666420","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"It's never a bad time to search for beaten-down stocks that are profitable on paper.Searching forval","content":"<p>It's never a bad time to search for beaten-down stocks that are profitable on paper.Searching forvalue stocksis pretty simple: Find financially robust companies that have performed poorly from a share price perspective, and buy them when they're down. When the share price comes back to reality, you'll be a winner. Wall Street has the habit of kicking a stock when it's down, as negative sentiment surrounding a particular name can spell doom for shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>现在是寻找纸面上盈利的遭受重创的股票的最佳时机。寻找价值股票非常简单：找到从股价角度来看表现不佳的财务稳健的公司，并在它们下跌时买入它们。当股价回到现实时，你将是赢家。华尔街有在股票下跌时踢掉股票的习惯，因为围绕某个特定名称的负面情绪可能会给股东带来厄运。</blockquote></p><p>For those seeking value, these moments present an opportunity. Here, we'll look at three value stocks that have seen better days, but also have a good chance at rebounding.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些寻求价值的人来说，这些时刻提供了一个机会。在这里，我们将关注三只价值股，它们经历了更好的日子，但也有很好的反弹机会。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gilead Sciences</b></p><p><blockquote><b>吉利德科学</b></blockquote></p><p>Over the past five years,<b>Gilead Sciences</b>(NASDAQ:GILD)has managed to lose about 40% of its value on the open market, and has vastly underperformed apassively held index fundover the same period (as shown below). As a market leader in the oncology, HIV, and hepatitis C drug markets, respectively, the company produces a suite of antivirals for typically hard-to-treat illnesses. While Gilead was -- and is -- front-and-center during the pandemic in its production of Veklury (more commonly known as remdesivir), it is not one of the major vaccine producers.</p><p><blockquote>五年来，<b>吉利德科学</b>（纳斯达克：GILD）在公开市场上损失了约40%的价值，并且同期的表现远远落后于被动持有的指数基金（如下所示）。作为肿瘤学、艾滋病毒和丙型肝炎药物市场的市场领导者，该公司生产一系列针对通常难以治疗的疾病的抗病毒药物。虽然吉利德在大流行期间一直是Veklury（通常称为remdesivir）生产的前沿和中心，但它并不是主要的疫苗生产商之一。</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps the better news for those considering a Gilead investment is that the company is fundamentally quite strong. It trades at 9 times earnings, which is comparably cheap across the large-cap biotech sector. It projects a strong 2021, releasing guidance for revenue of $25 billion and EPS in the $7 range .</p><p><blockquote>对于那些考虑投资吉利德的人来说，也许更好的消息是该公司从根本上来说相当强大。它的市盈率为9倍，在大型生物技术行业中相对便宜。它预计2021年将表现强劲，发布的收入指引为250亿美元，每股收益在7美元左右。</blockquote></p><p>Put simply, the company trades at an attractive price relative to the earnings it generates, and the hope is that patients start treatment for other viral and chronic (non-COVID) illnesses now that the pandemic has waned a bit in the early part of the year.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，相对于其产生的收入，该公司的交易价格具有吸引力，希望患者能够开始治疗其他病毒性和慢性（非新冠）疾病，因为疫情在今年年初有所减弱。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e7203dcf348bdd13924f561f04db9af\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"435\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>DISH Network</b></p><p><blockquote><b>碟形网络</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite a stagnant stock price --<b>DISH Network</b>(NASDAQ:DISH)has fallen from just under $50 per share to around $35 today -- there is reason to believe a comeback is in the works. The stock currently trades at 11 times earnings, relatively cheap based on today's standards, and posted strong revenue growth in 2020, up about 40% from 2019.</p><p><blockquote>尽管股价停滞不前--<b>碟形网络</b>（纳斯达克：DISH）的股价已从每股略低于50美元跌至今天的35美元左右——有理由相信股价正在卷土重来。该股目前的市盈率为11倍，以今天的标准来看相对便宜，2020年收入增长强劲，较2019年增长约40%。</blockquote></p><p>DISH has engaged in a few creative partnerships; perhaps the most promising of the bunchis a pact with DraftKings, which seeks to offer sports betting from DISH set-top boxes. The underlying current here is that DISH Network has shown an ability to think outside the box, which is reflected in itsprofitability measures. It is a buy at its current price, and has an opportunity to stage a comeback in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>DISH参与了一些创造性的合作；也许其中最有前途的是与DraftKings的协议，该协议旨在通过碟形机顶盒提供体育博彩。这里的潜在趋势是，DISH Network已经表现出了跳出框框思考的能力，这反映在其盈利能力指标上。以目前的价格买入，并有机会在未来几年卷土重来。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tupperware Brands</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特百惠品牌</b></blockquote></p><p>While not the most high-flying name you've ever heard,<b>Tupperware Brands</b>(NYSE:TUP)simply runs a sustainably profitable business. Last year's earnings were $2.24 a share, and the stock currently trades around $25 per share, leading to a current price-to-earnings ratio of only about 11. While overall sales were down in 2020, profitable sales growth rose, a sign that the company is still able to control costs and make money in the most difficult of circumstances.</p><p><blockquote>虽然不是你听过的最崇高的名字，<b>特百惠品牌</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TUP）只是经营一项可持续盈利的业务。去年的每股收益为2.24美元，该股目前的交易价格约为每股25美元，导致目前的市盈率仅为11左右。虽然2020年整体销售额下降，但盈利销售额增长上升，这表明该公司仍然能够在最困难的情况下控制成本并赚钱。</blockquote></p><p>The stock has also lost two-thirds of its value since 2013 but remains profitable. According to its year-end press release, the company has been successful in restructuring its debt and executing on its turnaround plans (especially concerning its core businesses). Shares remain cheap for the moment, but the fact remains: The company makes money and has the financials to prove it.</p><p><blockquote>自2013年以来，该股的价值也损失了三分之二，但仍保持盈利。根据其年终新闻稿，该公司已成功重组债务并执行扭亏为盈计划（特别是有关其核心业务）。目前股价仍然便宜，但事实仍然是：该公司赚钱，并且有财务数据证明这一点。</blockquote></p><p><b>When in doubt, seek value</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当有疑问时，寻求价值</b></blockquote></p><p>The basic premise of value investing is to find profitable companies that happen to be on sale in the open market. While single-stock investing is far from a guaranteed strategy, it's worth looking into seemingly \"forgotten\" companies that simply have not yet had their day in the sun. Companies that have demonstrated their ability to grow and sustain profitability are your best bet, especially when they're cheap.</p><p><blockquote>价值投资的基本前提是找到盈利的公司，而这些公司恰好在公开市场上出售。虽然单一股票投资远非一种有保证的策略，但值得关注那些看似“被遗忘”的公司，这些公司只是还没有成功。已经证明有能力增长和维持盈利能力的公司是你最好的选择，尤其是当它们很便宜的时候。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Has Given Up on These 3 Stocks, and That's a Huge Mistake<blockquote>华尔街放弃了这三只股票，这是一个巨大的错误</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Has Given Up on These 3 Stocks, and That's a Huge Mistake<blockquote>华尔街放弃了这三只股票，这是一个巨大的错误</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-02 20:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It's never a bad time to search for beaten-down stocks that are profitable on paper.Searching forvalue stocksis pretty simple: Find financially robust companies that have performed poorly from a share price perspective, and buy them when they're down. When the share price comes back to reality, you'll be a winner. Wall Street has the habit of kicking a stock when it's down, as negative sentiment surrounding a particular name can spell doom for shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>现在是寻找纸面上盈利的遭受重创的股票的最佳时机。寻找价值股票非常简单：找到从股价角度来看表现不佳的财务稳健的公司，并在它们下跌时买入它们。当股价回到现实时，你将是赢家。华尔街有在股票下跌时踢掉股票的习惯，因为围绕某个特定名称的负面情绪可能会给股东带来厄运。</blockquote></p><p>For those seeking value, these moments present an opportunity. Here, we'll look at three value stocks that have seen better days, but also have a good chance at rebounding.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些寻求价值的人来说，这些时刻提供了一个机会。在这里，我们将关注三只价值股，它们经历了更好的日子，但也有很好的反弹机会。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gilead Sciences</b></p><p><blockquote><b>吉利德科学</b></blockquote></p><p>Over the past five years,<b>Gilead Sciences</b>(NASDAQ:GILD)has managed to lose about 40% of its value on the open market, and has vastly underperformed apassively held index fundover the same period (as shown below). As a market leader in the oncology, HIV, and hepatitis C drug markets, respectively, the company produces a suite of antivirals for typically hard-to-treat illnesses. While Gilead was -- and is -- front-and-center during the pandemic in its production of Veklury (more commonly known as remdesivir), it is not one of the major vaccine producers.</p><p><blockquote>五年来，<b>吉利德科学</b>（纳斯达克：GILD）在公开市场上损失了约40%的价值，并且同期的表现远远落后于被动持有的指数基金（如下所示）。作为肿瘤学、艾滋病毒和丙型肝炎药物市场的市场领导者，该公司生产一系列针对通常难以治疗的疾病的抗病毒药物。虽然吉利德在大流行期间一直是Veklury（通常称为remdesivir）生产的前沿和中心，但它并不是主要的疫苗生产商之一。</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps the better news for those considering a Gilead investment is that the company is fundamentally quite strong. It trades at 9 times earnings, which is comparably cheap across the large-cap biotech sector. It projects a strong 2021, releasing guidance for revenue of $25 billion and EPS in the $7 range .</p><p><blockquote>对于那些考虑投资吉利德的人来说，也许更好的消息是该公司从根本上来说相当强大。它的市盈率为9倍，在大型生物技术行业中相对便宜。它预计2021年将表现强劲，发布的收入指引为250亿美元，每股收益在7美元左右。</blockquote></p><p>Put simply, the company trades at an attractive price relative to the earnings it generates, and the hope is that patients start treatment for other viral and chronic (non-COVID) illnesses now that the pandemic has waned a bit in the early part of the year.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，相对于其产生的收入，该公司的交易价格具有吸引力，希望患者能够开始治疗其他病毒性和慢性（非新冠）疾病，因为疫情在今年年初有所减弱。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e7203dcf348bdd13924f561f04db9af\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"435\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>DISH Network</b></p><p><blockquote><b>碟形网络</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite a stagnant stock price --<b>DISH Network</b>(NASDAQ:DISH)has fallen from just under $50 per share to around $35 today -- there is reason to believe a comeback is in the works. The stock currently trades at 11 times earnings, relatively cheap based on today's standards, and posted strong revenue growth in 2020, up about 40% from 2019.</p><p><blockquote>尽管股价停滞不前--<b>碟形网络</b>（纳斯达克：DISH）的股价已从每股略低于50美元跌至今天的35美元左右——有理由相信股价正在卷土重来。该股目前的市盈率为11倍，以今天的标准来看相对便宜，2020年收入增长强劲，较2019年增长约40%。</blockquote></p><p>DISH has engaged in a few creative partnerships; perhaps the most promising of the bunchis a pact with DraftKings, which seeks to offer sports betting from DISH set-top boxes. The underlying current here is that DISH Network has shown an ability to think outside the box, which is reflected in itsprofitability measures. It is a buy at its current price, and has an opportunity to stage a comeback in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>DISH参与了一些创造性的合作；也许其中最有前途的是与DraftKings的协议，该协议旨在通过碟形机顶盒提供体育博彩。这里的潜在趋势是，DISH Network已经表现出了跳出框框思考的能力，这反映在其盈利能力指标上。以目前的价格买入，并有机会在未来几年卷土重来。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tupperware Brands</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特百惠品牌</b></blockquote></p><p>While not the most high-flying name you've ever heard,<b>Tupperware Brands</b>(NYSE:TUP)simply runs a sustainably profitable business. Last year's earnings were $2.24 a share, and the stock currently trades around $25 per share, leading to a current price-to-earnings ratio of only about 11. While overall sales were down in 2020, profitable sales growth rose, a sign that the company is still able to control costs and make money in the most difficult of circumstances.</p><p><blockquote>虽然不是你听过的最崇高的名字，<b>特百惠品牌</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TUP）只是经营一项可持续盈利的业务。去年的每股收益为2.24美元，该股目前的交易价格约为每股25美元，导致目前的市盈率仅为11左右。虽然2020年整体销售额下降，但盈利销售额增长上升，这表明该公司仍然能够在最困难的情况下控制成本并赚钱。</blockquote></p><p>The stock has also lost two-thirds of its value since 2013 but remains profitable. According to its year-end press release, the company has been successful in restructuring its debt and executing on its turnaround plans (especially concerning its core businesses). Shares remain cheap for the moment, but the fact remains: The company makes money and has the financials to prove it.</p><p><blockquote>自2013年以来，该股的价值也损失了三分之二，但仍保持盈利。根据其年终新闻稿，该公司已成功重组债务并执行扭亏为盈计划（特别是有关其核心业务）。目前股价仍然便宜，但事实仍然是：该公司赚钱，并且有财务数据证明这一点。</blockquote></p><p><b>When in doubt, seek value</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当有疑问时，寻求价值</b></blockquote></p><p>The basic premise of value investing is to find profitable companies that happen to be on sale in the open market. While single-stock investing is far from a guaranteed strategy, it's worth looking into seemingly \"forgotten\" companies that simply have not yet had their day in the sun. Companies that have demonstrated their ability to grow and sustain profitability are your best bet, especially when they're cheap.</p><p><blockquote>价值投资的基本前提是找到盈利的公司，而这些公司恰好在公开市场上出售。虽然单一股票投资远非一种有保证的策略，但值得关注那些看似“被遗忘”的公司，这些公司只是还没有成功。已经证明有能力增长和维持盈利能力的公司是你最好的选择，尤其是当它们很便宜的时候。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/wall-street-has-given-up-on-these-3-stocks-and-tha/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DISH":"Dish Network","GILD":"吉利德科学"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/wall-street-has-given-up-on-these-3-stocks-and-tha/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121666420","content_text":"It's never a bad time to search for beaten-down stocks that are profitable on paper.Searching forvalue stocksis pretty simple: Find financially robust companies that have performed poorly from a share price perspective, and buy them when they're down. When the share price comes back to reality, you'll be a winner. Wall Street has the habit of kicking a stock when it's down, as negative sentiment surrounding a particular name can spell doom for shareholders.For those seeking value, these moments present an opportunity. Here, we'll look at three value stocks that have seen better days, but also have a good chance at rebounding.Gilead SciencesOver the past five years,Gilead Sciences(NASDAQ:GILD)has managed to lose about 40% of its value on the open market, and has vastly underperformed apassively held index fundover the same period (as shown below). As a market leader in the oncology, HIV, and hepatitis C drug markets, respectively, the company produces a suite of antivirals for typically hard-to-treat illnesses. While Gilead was -- and is -- front-and-center during the pandemic in its production of Veklury (more commonly known as remdesivir), it is not one of the major vaccine producers.Perhaps the better news for those considering a Gilead investment is that the company is fundamentally quite strong. It trades at 9 times earnings, which is comparably cheap across the large-cap biotech sector. It projects a strong 2021, releasing guidance for revenue of $25 billion and EPS in the $7 range .Put simply, the company trades at an attractive price relative to the earnings it generates, and the hope is that patients start treatment for other viral and chronic (non-COVID) illnesses now that the pandemic has waned a bit in the early part of the year.DISH NetworkDespite a stagnant stock price --DISH Network(NASDAQ:DISH)has fallen from just under $50 per share to around $35 today -- there is reason to believe a comeback is in the works. The stock currently trades at 11 times earnings, relatively cheap based on today's standards, and posted strong revenue growth in 2020, up about 40% from 2019.DISH has engaged in a few creative partnerships; perhaps the most promising of the bunchis a pact with DraftKings, which seeks to offer sports betting from DISH set-top boxes. The underlying current here is that DISH Network has shown an ability to think outside the box, which is reflected in itsprofitability measures. It is a buy at its current price, and has an opportunity to stage a comeback in the coming years.Tupperware BrandsWhile not the most high-flying name you've ever heard,Tupperware Brands(NYSE:TUP)simply runs a sustainably profitable business. Last year's earnings were $2.24 a share, and the stock currently trades around $25 per share, leading to a current price-to-earnings ratio of only about 11. While overall sales were down in 2020, profitable sales growth rose, a sign that the company is still able to control costs and make money in the most difficult of circumstances.The stock has also lost two-thirds of its value since 2013 but remains profitable. According to its year-end press release, the company has been successful in restructuring its debt and executing on its turnaround plans (especially concerning its core businesses). Shares remain cheap for the moment, but the fact remains: The company makes money and has the financials to prove it.When in doubt, seek valueThe basic premise of value investing is to find profitable companies that happen to be on sale in the open market. While single-stock investing is far from a guaranteed strategy, it's worth looking into seemingly \"forgotten\" companies that simply have not yet had their day in the sun. Companies that have demonstrated their ability to grow and sustain profitability are your best bet, especially when they're cheap.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GILD":0.9,"DISH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134288832,"gmtCreate":1622242687226,"gmtModify":1631890173723,"author":{"id":"3579226810003990","authorId":"3579226810003990","name":"Milvis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f9525267133e1e33381f679084a88","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579226810003990","idStr":"3579226810003990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134288832","repostId":"2138765488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193725930,"gmtCreate":1620822804320,"gmtModify":1631885598574,"author":{"id":"3579226810003990","authorId":"3579226810003990","name":"Milvis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f9525267133e1e33381f679084a88","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579226810003990","idStr":"3579226810003990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$[流泪]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23d32241a78b1d9d153b7596f8d403e1","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193725930","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":107543819,"gmtCreate":1620524932131,"gmtModify":1634198278656,"author":{"id":"3579226810003990","authorId":"3579226810003990","name":"Milvis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f9525267133e1e33381f679084a88","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579226810003990","idStr":"3579226810003990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment, pls.Thanks","listText":"Like n comment, pls.Thanks","text":"Like n comment, pls.Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107543819","repostId":"1147179681","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147179681","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620458192,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147179681?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 15:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Week In Cannabis: The New Tilray, Jazz-GW Pharma, Earnings, M&A, And More<blockquote>大麻一周：新Tilray、Jazz-GW Pharma、收益、并购等</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147179681","media":"Benzinga","summary":"This was an eventful week for the cannabis industry.On Monday,Tilray, Inc.(NASDAQ:TLRY) and Aphria, ","content":"<p><div> This was an eventful week for the cannabis industry.On Monday,Tilray, Inc.(NASDAQ:TLRY) and Aphria, Inc.(NASDAQ:APHA) closed their merger after months of negotiations, creating a company with a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>对于大麻行业来说，这是多事的一周。周一，经过数月的谈判，Tilray，Inc.（纳斯达克：TLRY）和Aphria，Inc.（纳斯达克：APHA）完成了合并，创建了一家拥有...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Week In Cannabis: The New Tilray, Jazz-GW Pharma, Earnings, M&A, And More<blockquote>大麻一周：新Tilray、Jazz-GW Pharma、收益、并购等</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Week In Cannabis: The New Tilray, Jazz-GW Pharma, Earnings, M&A, And More<blockquote>大麻一周：新Tilray、Jazz-GW Pharma、收益、并购等</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 15:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> This was an eventful week for the cannabis industry.On Monday,Tilray, Inc.(NASDAQ:TLRY) and Aphria, Inc.(NASDAQ:APHA) closed their merger after months of negotiations, creating a company with a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>对于大麻行业来说，这是多事的一周。周一，经过数月的谈判，Tilray，Inc.（纳斯达克：TLRY）和Aphria，Inc.（纳斯达克：APHA）完成了合并，创建了一家拥有...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MJ":"Amplify Alternative Harvest ETF","SNDL":"SNDL Inc.","CNTMF":"FLUENT CORP","MSRT":"MassRoots, Inc.","NGD":"New Gold","THCX":"Innovation Shares Cannabis ETF","GTBIF":"Green Thumb Industries Inc.","CNBX":"CNBX Pharmaceuticals Inc.","GWPH":"GW Pharmaceuticals plc","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","JUSHF":"Jushi Holdings Inc.","APHA":"Aphria Inc.","TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation","SPY":"标普500ETF","CNBS":"Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF","JAZZ":"爵士制药","YOLO":"AdvisorShares Pure Cannabis ETF","MSOS":"AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147179681","content_text":"This was an eventful week for the cannabis industry.On Monday,Tilray, Inc.(NASDAQ:TLRY) and Aphria, Inc.(NASDAQ:APHA) closed their merger after months of negotiations, creating a company with a combined market cap of $3.3 billion.Following the merger, Jefferies upgraded the rating for Tilray from Underperform to Buy, while raising the price target from $4.77 to $23.Jazz Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:JAZZ) finalized its acquisition of GW Pharmaceuticals plc.(NASDAQ:GWPH), the producer of the FDA‑approved prescription cannabidiol drug Epidiolex, for $7.2 billion or $6.7 billion net of GW Pharma's cash.Meanwhile,Ascend Wellness Holdings(CSE:AAWH) started trading on the Canadian Securities exchange following a raise of approximately $80 million through an initial public offering of roughly 10 million shares of its Class A common stock at $8 per share.After two weeks of consolidating below resistance at the $1 level, shares of Reddit favorite Sundial Growers Inc. have resumed their downtrend.Credit Suisse Group AG(NYSE:CS) reportedly stopped handling transactions in shares of cannabis companies with U.S. operations and plans to refrain from holding cannabis stocks on behalf of its clients.The Swiss-based lender, which declined to give a statement, was among a handful of banks willing to buy and sell marijuana-related stocks and hold the shares as a custodian for clients in the United States. While it's not yet clear what impact this decision will have, Reuters reported the move has affected the sale of marijuana stocks in recent weeks.In fact, all major ETFs were down. Over the five trading days of this week:TheETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF(NYSE:MJ): lost 0.2%.The$AdvisorShares Pure Cannabis ETF(YOLO)$(NYSE:YOLO): tumbled 1.8%.TheAdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF(NYSE:MSOS): shed 0.2% of its value.TheCannabis ETF(NYSE:THCX): dropped 3.4%.TheAmplify Seymour Cannabis ETF(NYSE:CNBS): was down 3.5%.TheSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(NYSE:SPY) closed the week up 1.21%.Policy, Science And DataIn New York, people gathered to celebrate cannabis legalization.“Last weekend's annual New York City cannabis parade brought out a who's who in politicians jockeying for position to be the one who wasalwayssupportive of legalizing cannabis. Ah-hem. Water under the bridge shall we say,” commented Debra Borchardt, CEO ofGreen Market Report. “With adult use cannabis sales likely to be legal by next year's parade, the people who attended were clearly in a celebratory mood. The New York market is expected to be the largest in the country and there were many small businesses working the crowd. There should be a Tinder app for social equity applicants to hook up with investors as there was a lot of talk about social equity applicants, but most have no money or very little.”In ColoradoGov. Jared Polis signed a bill that would expand access to medical cannabis for school children in need by removing obstacles to its administration.Financings And M&AJushi Holdings Inc.(CSE:JUSH) (OTC:JUSHF) finalized its purchase of a 93,000 sq. ft. facility operated by its subsidiary,Dalitso LLC, for around $22 million. The deal also includes nearly nine acres of surrounding land in Prince William County, Virginia.High Tide Inc.(TSXV:HITI) (OTCQB:HITIF) (FRA: 2LY) will acquire 80% ofFab Nutrition, LLC. (operating as FABCBD) for $20.64 million in stock and cash.MassRoots, Inc.(OTC:MSRT) is looking to acquireEmpire Services, Inc. for $14 million in a primarily stock-based transaction.Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (CSE:TRUL) (OTCQX:TCNNF) purchased West Virginia-basedMountaineer Holding LLCfor $6 million.Cansortium Inc.(CSE:TIUM), (OTCQB:CNTMF), doing business under the Fluent brand, exercised its right to regain up to the maximum of $5 million of convertible promissory notes, originally issued in the amount of $10 million in 2019.Green Thumb Industries Inc.(CSE:GTII) (OTCQX:GTBIF) will reach the Virginia market via its acquisition ofDharma Pharmaceuticals LLC.Earnings ReportsKiaro Holdings Corp.(TSXV:KO) reported record revenues of CA$17.1 million in 2021, representing a year-over-year increase of 230%. Same-store sales spiked 58% over the same period.Cansortium Inc.(CSE:TIUM) (OTCQB:CNTMF), which operates under the Fluent brand, announced its fourth-quarter and full-year 2020 financial results, with consolidated revenue of $14.7 million for the three months ending Dec. 31, up 54% year-over-year.Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE:SMG) reported that company-wide sales grew by 32% year-over-year reaching $1.83 billion in the second quarter. For the first half of fiscal 2021, the company reported sales of $2.58 billion, up by 47% from $1.75 billion in sales posted a year ago.Sales for the cannabis-focused Hawthorne segment climbed up to $363.8 million, representing a 66% year-over-year increase.Lowell Farms Inc.(CSE:LOWL) (OTCQX:LOWLF) generated $11 million in revenue during the first quarter of the 2021 fiscal year, representing an increase of 17% year-over-year.Cannabis REITInnovative Industrial Properties, Inc.(NYSE:IIPR) announced its total revenue increased by 103% year-over-year to $42.9 million in the first quarter of 2021. Net income for the same period was roughly $25.6 million, or $1.05 per diluted share, representing an annual growth of 122%.POSaBIT Systems Corporation(CSE:PBIT) (OTCQX:POSAF) reported its total revenue increased by 327% year-over-year, hitting roughly $3.06 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Total revenue amounted to $7.82 million in 2020, representing an annual increase of 127%.Cronos Group Inc (NASDAQ: CRON) reported a Q1 adjusted EBITDA loss of $37.07 million, marginally up from $37.05 million reported a year ago. This slight increase in losses was primarily driven by the rise in sales and marketing costs due to brand development in the U.S. segment and an increase in R&D costs.Hemp cultivation and processing brandHempFlaxposted its full-year 2020 earnings report, with revenues of €14.5 million ($17.4 million), up 43% from 2019's $10.1 million. EBITDA increased 63% from 2019, totaling €1.8 million, marking the company's second profitable year. EBITDA margins increased to 12.7% from the previous year's 11.1%.Planet 13 Holdings Inc.(CSE:PLTH) (OTCQX:PLNHF) generated record sales in April of $10.7 million — almost as much as last year’s total second-quarter revenue of $10.8 million.Other NewsCanadian hospital Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre and Avicana Inc(OTC:AVCNF) announced a partnership to provide medical cannabis products on-site through the Odette Cancer Centre Pharmacy.Orchid Ventures Inc(OTC:ORVRD) entered an exclusive licensing agreement with Gold Flora. Per the agreement, Gold Flora will be assuming all production, sales, and distribution of Orchid Essentials products throughout the state of California, and purchasing all hardware, packaging, and terpenes through PurTecDelivery Systems, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Orchid Ventures.“As one of the highest growth operators in the state, we are confident that Gold Flora's leadership and quality of their operations will accelerate Orchid's growth potential, further establishing the brand as a leader in the largest recreational cannabis market in the world, California,” Corey Mangold, CEO and chairman of Orchid Ventures, told Benzinga.Applied DNA Sciences, Inc.(NASDAQ:APDN) signed a new contract with the Defense Logistics Agency’s (DLA) Land and Maritime’s Product Test Center (PTC) with a maximal value of $1.04 million.MedMen Enterprises Inc(CSE:MMEN) (OTC:MMNFF) announced the opening of its first Miami Beach, Florida location.Tamerlane Tradinglaunched an online quality-verified marketplace for wholesale and bulk cannabis, calling the move the first and only cannabis marketplace of its kind in the world.“Our overall goal with the new online marketplace is to establish trust and transparency in the cannabis industry. By including quality verification and grading of cannabis product, wholesale buyers and suppliers will benefit,” said Jhavid Mohseni, CEO of Tamerlane Trading.Acreage Holdings, Inc.(CSE:ACRG) (OTC:ACRGF) andMedterra CBD, LLCare joining forces to develop a CBD-based collection of products.Sitka Hash Househas launched its handmade hashish-based products into the California market with manufacturing partner, Garden Society. Founded in 2012, Sitka claims 9 out of the top 10 hashish SKUs in Washington state.Sitka CEO Jeff Graham told Benzinga, “Interstate expansion offers us the opportunity to provide our original cannabis concentrates to new audiences. We are proud to enter California with the Garden Society as our manufacturer and HERBL as our distributor.”The Aster Farms team tracked their energy consumption, CO2e emissions, water use, solid waste as well as their hiring practices over the last year. The company now released its first annual Sustainability Report.“Sustainability is part of our company's DNA,” shared Aster Farms CEO and co-founder Julia Jacbonson. “From regenerative agriculture and recyclable packaging to inclusive hiring practices, we understand that sustainable farming is only part of the story.”“The cannabis industry is in a unique position to change the paradigm of what a successful company looks and feels like and what is considered most important,” she added.Newly released podcastHighly Unlikely,hosted by standup comedianAlex Gettlinand produced by Wikileaf, dives into the absurdity of the world we live in. Each episode features famed comedian guests losing their minds over some very real and strange facts while trying various new cannabis products.Canadian licensed cannabis producers and global markets will have access to time-tested, feminized, organic-certified cannabis seeds. This is thanks to a new partnership betweenHumboldt Seed CompanyandNymera,which will allow not only the production and sale of the seeds in Canada, but also the export of these genetics to other countries with legal cannabis markets around the world.This is the first time a cannabis seed is certified as organic.Calyxtannounced advancements in technology that will make it easier for scientists to bring advanced breeding into hemp. The company, an expert at improving crops like soybeans and wheat to produce more heart-healthy oil or higher fiber, announced its scientists have transformed hemp – an important step as the company can now engineer the hemp genome, unlocking capabilities to selectively breed and deliver improvements in hemp traits through advanced plant breeding like gene editing or even GM level engineering.“We were able to change the plants DNA and regenerate plants through tissue culture, thus accomplishing something that has been fairly elusive in hemp to date,\" said Travis Frey, Ph.D., chief technology officer of Calyxt. “By modernizing the hemp crop, we can now deliver traits that benefits both growers and consumers who are increasingly looking for plant-based and sustainable foods, materials, cosmeceuticals, nutraceuticals and more.\"Zelira Therapeutics Ltd(ASX:ZLD) (OTCQB:ZLDAF) launched its HOPE line of cannabis products in Washington DC. The product line, especially formulated for autism spectrum disorder (ASD) patients of all ages, is also available in Pennsylvania, Louisiana and Australia.“Since we first launched HOPE in the US, our long-term goal has been to make it accessible to ASD patients everywhere, and Washington DC's reciprocity allows us to take a huge step in that direction here in the US,” Dr. Oludare Odumosu, CEO of Zelira Therapeutics, told Benzinga. “The nation's capital is one of the most popular travel destinations, so we are thrilled to be able to offer HOPE there as a treatment option for ASD patients from around the country who travel to DC.”Cannabics Pharmaceuticals Inc.(OTCQB:CNBX), received a “Notice of Allowance” from the Mexican Patent and Trademark Office (IMPI) for a patent on a “System and method for high throughput screening of cancer cells.”Executive MovesCBD products distributor,Khode LLC., announced Tuesday it formed its first board of directors consisting of music artists, executives and CBD industry veterans, including Grammy award-winning artists and entrepreneurDJ Khaled, music executiveLenny S, CEO ofEndexx Corporation(OTC:EDXC)Todd Davis, andStephen HerronandRon CottingofCBD Unlimited, 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in future","listText":"How in future","text":"How in 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n comment, thanks","listText":"Like n comment, thanks","text":"Like n comment, thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108098832","repostId":"1105099718","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105099718","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619897946,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105099718?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-02 03:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett Faces Impatient Investors as Berkshire Hathaway Returns Decline<blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司回报下滑，沃伦·巴菲特面临不耐烦的投资者</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105099718","media":"WSJ","summary":"Institutional shareholders are pressing for change on climate and governance at the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate. Professional money managers are turning up the heat on Warren Buffett’sBerkshire Hathaway Inc.BRK.B-0.95%. California Public Employees’ Retirement System and Neuberger Berman have demanded that the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate bring in new directors and provide more disclosures on climate risks and executive. While many of the complaints aren’t new and none of the shareholder proposals are","content":"<p>Institutional shareholders are pressing for change on climate and governance at the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate</p><p><blockquote>机构股东正在敦促这家位于内布拉斯加州奥马哈的企业集团在气候和治理方面进行变革</blockquote></p><p>Professional money managers are turning up the heat on Warren Buffett’s<u>Berkshire Hathaway</u>&nbsp;Inc.BRK.B -0.95%</p><p><blockquote>专业基金经理正在加大对沃伦·巴菲特的压力<u>伯克希尔哈撒韦</u>公司BRK.B-0.95%</blockquote></p><p>California Public Employees’ Retirement System and Neuberger Berman have demanded that the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate bring in new directors and provide more disclosures on climate risks and executive<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dd969e4b237144cd02112f41464d169\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"1396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>加州公共雇员退休系统和路博迈要求这家位于内布拉斯加州奥马哈的企业集团引入新董事，并提供更多有关气候风险和高管的信息</blockquote></p><p>Leading up to Berkshire’s annual meeting on Saturday, proxy advisers Glass Lewis &amp; Co. and Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. have recommended that investors withhold their votes for board members.</p><p><blockquote>在周六伯克希尔年会之前，代理顾问Glass Lewis&amp;Co.和Institutional Shareholder Services Inc.建议投资者保留对董事会成员的投票。</blockquote></p><p>While many of the complaints aren’t new and none of the shareholder proposals are likely to pass, Berkshire’s lackluster returns in recent years have made it more vulnerable to criticism amid a growing wave of investor interest in corporate sustainability issues.</p><p><blockquote>尽管许多投诉并不新鲜，股东提案也不太可能获得通过，但在投资者对企业可持续发展问题的兴趣日益浓厚的情况下，伯克希尔近年来低迷的回报使其更容易受到批评。</blockquote></p><p>The shareholder movement to press companies on climate change, social progress and governance continues to gain steam in the U.S., emerging as<u>a key selling point for money managers in their efforts to keep client money</u>.</p><p><blockquote>在美国，股东就气候变化、社会进步和治理问题向公司施压的运动继续升温，并成为<u>基金经理努力留住客户资金的一个关键卖点</u>.</blockquote></p><p>Under Mr. Buffett’s leadership,<u>the firm boasts 20% compounded annualized gains from 1965 to 2020</u>, outperforming the S&amp;P 500’s 10.2% gains including dividends during the period. Berkshire’s total returns over the past three- and five-year periods were 12% and 14%, respectively, compared with the index’s 19% and 18%.</p><p><blockquote>在巴菲特先生的领导下，<u>该公司拥有1965年至2020年20%的复合年化收益</u>，跑赢标普500期内含股息10.2%的涨幅。伯克希尔过去三年和五年的总回报率分别为12%和14%，而该指数的总回报率为19%和18%。</blockquote></p><p>“Berkshire has gotten a pass in part because of its historically strong financial performance,” said Simiso Nzima, head of corporate governance at Calpers.</p><p><blockquote>Calpers公司治理主管Simiso Nzima表示：“伯克希尔获得通过的部分原因是其历史上强劲的财务业绩。”</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire has continued to stress its continued focus on the long game. Mr. Buffett, who is chief executive and chairman of the company, built up<u>a diverse portfolio of mostly U.S. businesses and investments meant to perform over decades</u>, not to compete with a volatile market buoyed by booming tech stocks.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司继续强调其对长期发展的持续关注。巴菲特先生是该公司的首席执行官兼董事长，他建立了<u>主要由美国企业和投资组成的多元化投资组合，预计将持续数十年</u>，而不是与由蓬勃发展的科技股提振的波动市场竞争。</blockquote></p><p>Calpers, the nation’s largest public-pension fund with $444 billion in assets, co-sponsored a shareholder proposal imploring Berkshire to provide more disclosures on climate-related risks and opportunities.</p><p><blockquote>拥有4440亿美元资产的美国最大公共养老基金Calpers共同发起了一项股东提案，恳求伯克希尔提供更多有关气候相关风险和机遇的信息。</blockquote></p><p>The pension fund is also withholding its votes to re-elect members of the board’s audit and governance committees on grounds of failing to meet shareholder demands over climate-risk disclosures. It said it was concerned that the board lacks new members, doesn’t engage with shareholders and isn’t letting investors vote on executive pay plans.</p><p><blockquote>该养老基金还拒绝投票连任董事会审计和治理委员会成员，理由是未能满足股东对气候风险披露的要求。该公司表示，担心董事会缺乏新成员，不与股东接触，也不让投资者对高管薪酬计划进行投票。</blockquote></p><p>“If you don’t refresh the board, you don’t have a next generation of directors able to learn from the long-serving directors before they leave the board,” Mr. Nzima said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果不更新董事会，下一代董事就无法在长期任职的董事离开董事会之前向他们学习，”恩齐马先生说。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire declined to comment ahead of the company’s Saturday meeting.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔拒绝在公司周六会议前发表评论。</blockquote></p><p>Neuberger, a privately held money manager with more than $429 billion in assets, also said it would vote for several shareholder-led proposals related to environmental, social and corporate-governance issues, often abbreviated as ESG.</p><p><blockquote>拥有超过4290亿美元资产的私人基金管理公司Neuberger也表示，将投票支持几项与环境、社会和公司治理问题（通常缩写为ESG）相关的股东主导的提案。</blockquote></p><p>“One would think that if companies have a responsibility to look out for the environment or deliver good on social issues and governance, that Berkshire might be a leader in these areas,” said Michelle Giordano, a Neuberger analyst who follows the company. “But it doesn’t seem like they are.”</p><p><blockquote>跟踪该公司的路博迈分析师米歇尔·佐丹奴(Michelle Giordano)表示：“人们可能会认为，如果公司有责任保护环境或在社会问题和治理方面提供良好服务，那么伯克希尔可能会成为这些领域的领导者。”“但好像不是。”</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire said in its annual proxy statement that while it agreed companies had a responsibility to manage&nbsp;climate risks, it preferred to let its various operating units commit to their own environmental policies. Mandates from a small corporate office, the company wrote, would infringe upon the autonomy that has helped those businesses thrive under Berkshire’s ownership. Berkshire Hathaway Energy, for instance, already produces<u>a sustainability report</u>.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔在其年度委托书中表示，虽然它同意公司有责任管理气候风险，但它更愿意让其各个运营部门致力于自己的环境政策。该公司写道，小型公司办公室的授权将侵犯帮助这些企业在伯克希尔旗下蓬勃发展的自主权。例如，伯克希尔哈撒韦能源公司已经生产<u>可持续发展报告</u>.</blockquote></p><p>Calpers has also pledged to support a proposal requiring the company to report its efforts to diversify its staff.</p><p><blockquote>Calpers还承诺支持一项提案，要求该公司报告其员工多元化的努力。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire said the diversity-report proposal improperly suggests that “there is a standardized technique for each of Berkshire’s more than 60 operating businesses to address diversity, equity and inclusion.”</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔表示，多元化报告提案不恰当地暗示“伯克希尔60多家运营业务中的每一家都有一种标准化技术来解决多元化、公平性和包容性问题。”</blockquote></p><p>“It would be unreasonable to ask for uniform, quantitative reporting for the purposes of comparing such dissimilar operations in different geographic locations,” Berkshire wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔写道：“为了比较不同地理位置的此类不同业务而要求统一的定量报告是不合理的。”</blockquote></p><p>Glass Lewis and ISS recommended shareholders vote for the ESG proposals and withhold votes for certain directors.</p><p><blockquote>Glass Lewis和ISS建议股东投票支持ESG提案，并对某些董事弃权。</blockquote></p><p>“This year there’s a lot more attention given from mainstream investors on ESG issues,” said Courteney Keatinge, a senior director of ESG research at Glass Lewis.</p><p><blockquote>Glass Lewis ESG研究高级总监Courteney Keatinge表示：“今年主流投资者对ESG问题给予了更多关注。”</blockquote></p><p>Another factor is at play: Berkshire shares are slowly changing hands.</p><p><blockquote>另一个因素在起作用：伯克希尔的股票正在慢慢易手。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Mr. Buffett’s longstanding plan to shrink his stake in the company over time has shifted more Berkshire shares to big institutional investors, said Lawrence Cunningham, a law professor at George Washington University who has written extensively about the company.</p><p><blockquote>乔治华盛顿大学法学教授劳伦斯·坎宁安(Lawrence Cunningham)撰写了大量有关该公司的文章，他表示，随着时间的推移，巴菲特减持该公司股份的长期计划已将更多伯克希尔股票转移到大型机构投资者手中。</blockquote></p><p>About 70% of Berkshire’s shares are owned by individuals, many of whom are longtime holders loyal to Mr. Buffett, Mr. Cunningham said. And many don’t care whether Berkshire lacks a corporate sustainability report or an investor-relations team at the ready to answer their questions.</p><p><blockquote>坎宁安表示，伯克希尔约70%的股票由个人持有，其中许多人是忠于巴菲特的长期持有者。许多人并不关心伯克希尔是否缺乏企业可持续发展报告或随时准备回答他们问题的投资者关系团队。</blockquote></p><p>“Berkshire’s unusual and valued family of individual shareholders may add to your understanding of our reluctance to court Wall Street analysts and institutional investors,” Mr. Buffett wrote in his most recent letter to shareholders. “We already have the investors we want and don’t think that they, on balance, would be upgraded by replacements.”</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在最近致股东的信中写道：“伯克希尔不同寻常且有价值的个人股东家族可能会加深您对我们不愿讨好华尔街分析师和机构投资者的理解。”“我们已经拥有了我们想要的投资者，总的来说，我认为他们不会通过替代者来升级。”</blockquote></p><p>The gradual uptick in institutional ownership, though, might already be empowering professional managers to press Berkshire on governance matters.&nbsp;When Mr. Buffett and his estate sell off his remaining shares, it is likely those money managers will hold an even bigger stake in the company, Mr. Cunningham said.</p><p><blockquote>不过，机构持股比例的逐步上升可能已经让职业经理人有能力在治理问题上向伯克希尔施压。坎宁安说，当巴菲特和他的遗产出售剩余股份时，这些基金经理很可能会持有该公司更多的股份。</blockquote></p><p>“There will be a dawning of significant leadership and structural change, and these holders are preparing for that battle,” Mr. Cunningham said.</p><p><blockquote>坎宁安表示：“重大领导力和结构性变革将会出现，这些持有者正在为这场战斗做准备。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett Faces Impatient Investors as Berkshire Hathaway Returns Decline<blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司回报下滑，沃伦·巴菲特面临不耐烦的投资者</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">WSJ</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-02 03:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Institutional shareholders are pressing for change on climate and governance at the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate</p><p><blockquote>机构股东正在敦促这家位于内布拉斯加州奥马哈的企业集团在气候和治理方面进行变革</blockquote></p><p>Professional money managers are turning up the heat on Warren Buffett’s<u>Berkshire Hathaway</u>&nbsp;Inc.BRK.B -0.95%</p><p><blockquote>专业基金经理正在加大对沃伦·巴菲特的压力<u>伯克希尔哈撒韦</u>公司BRK.B-0.95%</blockquote></p><p>California Public Employees’ Retirement System and Neuberger Berman have demanded that the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate bring in new directors and provide more disclosures on climate risks and executive<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dd969e4b237144cd02112f41464d169\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"1396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>加州公共雇员退休系统和路博迈要求这家位于内布拉斯加州奥马哈的企业集团引入新董事，并提供更多有关气候风险和高管的信息</blockquote></p><p>Leading up to Berkshire’s annual meeting on Saturday, proxy advisers Glass Lewis &amp; Co. and Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. have recommended that investors withhold their votes for board members.</p><p><blockquote>在周六伯克希尔年会之前，代理顾问Glass Lewis&amp;Co.和Institutional Shareholder Services Inc.建议投资者保留对董事会成员的投票。</blockquote></p><p>While many of the complaints aren’t new and none of the shareholder proposals are likely to pass, Berkshire’s lackluster returns in recent years have made it more vulnerable to criticism amid a growing wave of investor interest in corporate sustainability issues.</p><p><blockquote>尽管许多投诉并不新鲜，股东提案也不太可能获得通过，但在投资者对企业可持续发展问题的兴趣日益浓厚的情况下，伯克希尔近年来低迷的回报使其更容易受到批评。</blockquote></p><p>The shareholder movement to press companies on climate change, social progress and governance continues to gain steam in the U.S., emerging as<u>a key selling point for money managers in their efforts to keep client money</u>.</p><p><blockquote>在美国，股东就气候变化、社会进步和治理问题向公司施压的运动继续升温，并成为<u>基金经理努力留住客户资金的一个关键卖点</u>.</blockquote></p><p>Under Mr. Buffett’s leadership,<u>the firm boasts 20% compounded annualized gains from 1965 to 2020</u>, outperforming the S&amp;P 500’s 10.2% gains including dividends during the period. Berkshire’s total returns over the past three- and five-year periods were 12% and 14%, respectively, compared with the index’s 19% and 18%.</p><p><blockquote>在巴菲特先生的领导下，<u>该公司拥有1965年至2020年20%的复合年化收益</u>，跑赢标普500期内含股息10.2%的涨幅。伯克希尔过去三年和五年的总回报率分别为12%和14%，而该指数的总回报率为19%和18%。</blockquote></p><p>“Berkshire has gotten a pass in part because of its historically strong financial performance,” said Simiso Nzima, head of corporate governance at Calpers.</p><p><blockquote>Calpers公司治理主管Simiso Nzima表示：“伯克希尔获得通过的部分原因是其历史上强劲的财务业绩。”</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire has continued to stress its continued focus on the long game. Mr. Buffett, who is chief executive and chairman of the company, built up<u>a diverse portfolio of mostly U.S. businesses and investments meant to perform over decades</u>, not to compete with a volatile market buoyed by booming tech stocks.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司继续强调其对长期发展的持续关注。巴菲特先生是该公司的首席执行官兼董事长，他建立了<u>主要由美国企业和投资组成的多元化投资组合，预计将持续数十年</u>，而不是与由蓬勃发展的科技股提振的波动市场竞争。</blockquote></p><p>Calpers, the nation’s largest public-pension fund with $444 billion in assets, co-sponsored a shareholder proposal imploring Berkshire to provide more disclosures on climate-related risks and opportunities.</p><p><blockquote>拥有4440亿美元资产的美国最大公共养老基金Calpers共同发起了一项股东提案，恳求伯克希尔提供更多有关气候相关风险和机遇的信息。</blockquote></p><p>The pension fund is also withholding its votes to re-elect members of the board’s audit and governance committees on grounds of failing to meet shareholder demands over climate-risk disclosures. It said it was concerned that the board lacks new members, doesn’t engage with shareholders and isn’t letting investors vote on executive pay plans.</p><p><blockquote>该养老基金还拒绝投票连任董事会审计和治理委员会成员，理由是未能满足股东对气候风险披露的要求。该公司表示，担心董事会缺乏新成员，不与股东接触，也不让投资者对高管薪酬计划进行投票。</blockquote></p><p>“If you don’t refresh the board, you don’t have a next generation of directors able to learn from the long-serving directors before they leave the board,” Mr. Nzima said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果不更新董事会，下一代董事就无法在长期任职的董事离开董事会之前向他们学习，”恩齐马先生说。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire declined to comment ahead of the company’s Saturday meeting.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔拒绝在公司周六会议前发表评论。</blockquote></p><p>Neuberger, a privately held money manager with more than $429 billion in assets, also said it would vote for several shareholder-led proposals related to environmental, social and corporate-governance issues, often abbreviated as ESG.</p><p><blockquote>拥有超过4290亿美元资产的私人基金管理公司Neuberger也表示，将投票支持几项与环境、社会和公司治理问题（通常缩写为ESG）相关的股东主导的提案。</blockquote></p><p>“One would think that if companies have a responsibility to look out for the environment or deliver good on social issues and governance, that Berkshire might be a leader in these areas,” said Michelle Giordano, a Neuberger analyst who follows the company. “But it doesn’t seem like they are.”</p><p><blockquote>跟踪该公司的路博迈分析师米歇尔·佐丹奴(Michelle Giordano)表示：“人们可能会认为，如果公司有责任保护环境或在社会问题和治理方面提供良好服务，那么伯克希尔可能会成为这些领域的领导者。”“但好像不是。”</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire said in its annual proxy statement that while it agreed companies had a responsibility to manage&nbsp;climate risks, it preferred to let its various operating units commit to their own environmental policies. Mandates from a small corporate office, the company wrote, would infringe upon the autonomy that has helped those businesses thrive under Berkshire’s ownership. Berkshire Hathaway Energy, for instance, already produces<u>a sustainability report</u>.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔在其年度委托书中表示，虽然它同意公司有责任管理气候风险，但它更愿意让其各个运营部门致力于自己的环境政策。该公司写道，小型公司办公室的授权将侵犯帮助这些企业在伯克希尔旗下蓬勃发展的自主权。例如，伯克希尔哈撒韦能源公司已经生产<u>可持续发展报告</u>.</blockquote></p><p>Calpers has also pledged to support a proposal requiring the company to report its efforts to diversify its staff.</p><p><blockquote>Calpers还承诺支持一项提案，要求该公司报告其员工多元化的努力。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire said the diversity-report proposal improperly suggests that “there is a standardized technique for each of Berkshire’s more than 60 operating businesses to address diversity, equity and inclusion.”</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔表示，多元化报告提案不恰当地暗示“伯克希尔60多家运营业务中的每一家都有一种标准化技术来解决多元化、公平性和包容性问题。”</blockquote></p><p>“It would be unreasonable to ask for uniform, quantitative reporting for the purposes of comparing such dissimilar operations in different geographic locations,” Berkshire wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔写道：“为了比较不同地理位置的此类不同业务而要求统一的定量报告是不合理的。”</blockquote></p><p>Glass Lewis and ISS recommended shareholders vote for the ESG proposals and withhold votes for certain directors.</p><p><blockquote>Glass Lewis和ISS建议股东投票支持ESG提案，并对某些董事弃权。</blockquote></p><p>“This year there’s a lot more attention given from mainstream investors on ESG issues,” said Courteney Keatinge, a senior director of ESG research at Glass Lewis.</p><p><blockquote>Glass Lewis ESG研究高级总监Courteney Keatinge表示：“今年主流投资者对ESG问题给予了更多关注。”</blockquote></p><p>Another factor is at play: Berkshire shares are slowly changing hands.</p><p><blockquote>另一个因素在起作用：伯克希尔的股票正在慢慢易手。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Mr. Buffett’s longstanding plan to shrink his stake in the company over time has shifted more Berkshire shares to big institutional investors, said Lawrence Cunningham, a law professor at George Washington University who has written extensively about the company.</p><p><blockquote>乔治华盛顿大学法学教授劳伦斯·坎宁安(Lawrence Cunningham)撰写了大量有关该公司的文章，他表示，随着时间的推移，巴菲特减持该公司股份的长期计划已将更多伯克希尔股票转移到大型机构投资者手中。</blockquote></p><p>About 70% of Berkshire’s shares are owned by individuals, many of whom are longtime holders loyal to Mr. Buffett, Mr. Cunningham said. And many don’t care whether Berkshire lacks a corporate sustainability report or an investor-relations team at the ready to answer their questions.</p><p><blockquote>坎宁安表示，伯克希尔约70%的股票由个人持有，其中许多人是忠于巴菲特的长期持有者。许多人并不关心伯克希尔是否缺乏企业可持续发展报告或随时准备回答他们问题的投资者关系团队。</blockquote></p><p>“Berkshire’s unusual and valued family of individual shareholders may add to your understanding of our reluctance to court Wall Street analysts and institutional investors,” Mr. Buffett wrote in his most recent letter to shareholders. “We already have the investors we want and don’t think that they, on balance, would be upgraded by replacements.”</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在最近致股东的信中写道：“伯克希尔不同寻常且有价值的个人股东家族可能会加深您对我们不愿讨好华尔街分析师和机构投资者的理解。”“我们已经拥有了我们想要的投资者，总的来说，我认为他们不会通过替代者来升级。”</blockquote></p><p>The gradual uptick in institutional ownership, though, might already be empowering professional managers to press Berkshire on governance matters.&nbsp;When Mr. Buffett and his estate sell off his remaining shares, it is likely those money managers will hold an even bigger stake in the company, Mr. Cunningham said.</p><p><blockquote>不过，机构持股比例的逐步上升可能已经让职业经理人有能力在治理问题上向伯克希尔施压。坎宁安说，当巴菲特和他的遗产出售剩余股份时，这些基金经理很可能会持有该公司更多的股份。</blockquote></p><p>“There will be a dawning of significant leadership and structural change, and these holders are preparing for that battle,” Mr. Cunningham said.</p><p><blockquote>坎宁安表示：“重大领导力和结构性变革将会出现，这些持有者正在为这场战斗做准备。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/warren-buffett-faces-impatient-investors-as-berkshire-hathaway-returns-decline-11619794480\">WSJ</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daaa666333c3b9bf0b940ffed4c1c369","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/warren-buffett-faces-impatient-investors-as-berkshire-hathaway-returns-decline-11619794480","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105099718","content_text":"Institutional shareholders are pressing for change on climate and governance at the Omaha, Neb., conglomerateProfessional money managers are turning up the heat on Warren Buffett’sBerkshire Hathaway Inc.BRK.B -0.95%California Public Employees’ Retirement System and Neuberger Berman have demanded that the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate bring in new directors and provide more disclosures on climate risks and executiveLeading up to Berkshire’s annual meeting on Saturday, proxy advisers Glass Lewis & Co. and Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. have recommended that investors withhold their votes for board members.While many of the complaints aren’t new and none of the shareholder proposals are likely to pass, Berkshire’s lackluster returns in recent years have made it more vulnerable to criticism amid a growing wave of investor interest in corporate sustainability issues.The shareholder movement to press companies on climate change, social progress and governance continues to gain steam in the U.S., emerging asa key selling point for money managers in their efforts to keep client money.Under Mr. Buffett’s leadership,the firm boasts 20% compounded annualized gains from 1965 to 2020, outperforming the S&P 500’s 10.2% gains including dividends during the period. Berkshire’s total returns over the past three- and five-year periods were 12% and 14%, respectively, compared with the index’s 19% and 18%.“Berkshire has gotten a pass in part because of its historically strong financial performance,” said Simiso Nzima, head of corporate governance at Calpers.Berkshire has continued to stress its continued focus on the long game. Mr. Buffett, who is chief executive and chairman of the company, built upa diverse portfolio of mostly U.S. businesses and investments meant to perform over decades, not to compete with a volatile market buoyed by booming tech stocks.Calpers, the nation’s largest public-pension fund with $444 billion in assets, co-sponsored a shareholder proposal imploring Berkshire to provide more disclosures on climate-related risks and opportunities.The pension fund is also withholding its votes to re-elect members of the board’s audit and governance committees on grounds of failing to meet shareholder demands over climate-risk disclosures. It said it was concerned that the board lacks new members, doesn’t engage with shareholders and isn’t letting investors vote on executive pay plans.“If you don’t refresh the board, you don’t have a next generation of directors able to learn from the long-serving directors before they leave the board,” Mr. Nzima said.Berkshire declined to comment ahead of the company’s Saturday meeting.Neuberger, a privately held money manager with more than $429 billion in assets, also said it would vote for several shareholder-led proposals related to environmental, social and corporate-governance issues, often abbreviated as ESG.“One would think that if companies have a responsibility to look out for the environment or deliver good on social issues and governance, that Berkshire might be a leader in these areas,” said Michelle Giordano, a Neuberger analyst who follows the company. “But it doesn’t seem like they are.”Berkshire said in its annual proxy statement that while it agreed companies had a responsibility to manage climate risks, it preferred to let its various operating units commit to their own environmental policies. Mandates from a small corporate office, the company wrote, would infringe upon the autonomy that has helped those businesses thrive under Berkshire’s ownership. Berkshire Hathaway Energy, for instance, already producesa sustainability report.Calpers has also pledged to support a proposal requiring the company to report its efforts to diversify its staff.Berkshire said the diversity-report proposal improperly suggests that “there is a standardized technique for each of Berkshire’s more than 60 operating businesses to address diversity, equity and inclusion.”“It would be unreasonable to ask for uniform, quantitative reporting for the purposes of comparing such dissimilar operations in different geographic locations,” Berkshire wrote.Glass Lewis and ISS recommended shareholders vote for the ESG proposals and withhold votes for certain directors.“This year there’s a lot more attention given from mainstream investors on ESG issues,” said Courteney Keatinge, a senior director of ESG research at Glass Lewis.Another factor is at play: Berkshire shares are slowly changing hands.Mr. Buffett’s longstanding plan to shrink his stake in the company over time has shifted more Berkshire shares to big institutional investors, said Lawrence Cunningham, a law professor at George Washington University who has written extensively about the company.About 70% of Berkshire’s shares are owned by individuals, many of whom are longtime holders loyal to Mr. Buffett, Mr. Cunningham said. And many don’t care whether Berkshire lacks a corporate sustainability report or an investor-relations team at the ready to answer their questions.“Berkshire’s unusual and valued family of individual shareholders may add to your understanding of our reluctance to court Wall Street analysts and institutional investors,” Mr. Buffett wrote in his most recent letter to shareholders. “We already have the investors we want and don’t think that they, on balance, would be upgraded by replacements.”The gradual uptick in institutional ownership, though, might already be empowering professional managers to press Berkshire on governance matters. When Mr. Buffett and his estate sell off his remaining shares, it is likely those money managers will hold an even bigger stake in the company, Mr. Cunningham said.“There will be a dawning of significant leadership and structural change, and these holders are preparing for that battle,” Mr. Cunningham 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