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Jaslen

Jaslen

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0勋章

2021-08-13

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-13

buyyyy

2021-08-09

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2021-08-09

Buyyy

2021-08-06

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20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote>

2021-08-06

$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$:((

2021-08-06

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2021-08-02

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Big Apple Takes Bite Out of Food Delivery<blockquote>大苹果从食品配送中获益</blockquote>

2021-08-02

Buyyyyy

2021-07-30

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2021-07-30

$Razer(01337)$:(((

2021-07-30

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2021-07-30

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2021-07-30

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2021-07-27

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2021-07-27

$ARK Genomic Revolution Multi-Sector ETF(ARKG)$:((((

2021-07-27

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2021-07-26

$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$Fighting

2021-07-26

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2021-07-22

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Delta Variant Can Still Clip U.S. Economy’s Wings<blockquote>德尔塔变异毒株仍然可以夹住美国经济的翅膀</blockquote>

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and comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898521685","repostId":"2158445463","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898521904,"gmtCreate":1628512480708,"gmtModify":1631890090582,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579319144921544","idStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buyyy","listText":"Buyyy","text":"Buyyy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93bb906db00ae118f6d3db8b557db1f","width":"1125","height":"2793"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898521904","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893825492,"gmtCreate":1628256359916,"gmtModify":1631890090585,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579319144921544","idStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893825492","repostId":"1155656235","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155656235","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628227304,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155656235?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 13:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155656235","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector\nAnalysts see stellar sales ","content":"<p>Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector</p><p><blockquote>在该行业反弹的推动下，云ETF接近历史新高</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78101d8010e186fe4df59b2ef82b5de6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Analysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师预计，提供云服务的公司未来将实现强劲的销售增长。（盖蒂图片社/iStockphoto）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> U.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.</p><p><blockquote>尽管来自中国的传言和德尔塔变异毒株感染人数激增，但美国投资者仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.</p><p><blockquote>云公司——那些处于计算能力向互联网分布式模式转变前沿的公司——预计将在未来几年快速增长，覆盖该领域的五家最大交易所交易基金中有四家即将创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>下面是这些ETF持有的股票屏幕，显示了预计到2023年销售额增幅最大的股票。在一个许多参与者处于相对早期阶段的行业中，销售额的增长而不是盈利的增长可能是股价的最佳驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> To begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们查看了五只最大的云ETF：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36209ce827d95e822cad5128be8b146a\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.</p><p><blockquote>ETF可能是您采取广泛方法长期参与云革命的最佳方式。如果您对任何ETF感兴趣，您应该查看基金经理的网站。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF&nbsp;and the Invesco QQQ Trust&nbsp;(which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:</p><p><blockquote>以下是截至8月4日的总回报比较，以及SPDR标普500 ETF和Invesco QQQ Trust（跟踪纳斯达克100指数）的总回报比较：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242f135b3c7cca3cbaae3ee574023c1f\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"577\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF&nbsp;is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.</p><p><blockquote>ETF的方法不同。例如，方舟下一代互联网ETF是唯一一只主动管理的。其他人跟踪一个指数。根据Ark Invest 8月5日发布的信息，它也是唯一一家持有特斯拉公司股票的公司，占投资组合的10.65%。特斯拉是一家电动汽车制造商，但它也可以被视为一家云公司，因为它不断通过互联网分发软件更新，并提供其他基于云的服务。</blockquote></p><p> Another holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.</p><p><blockquote>在五只云ETF中，ARKW独有的另一个持股是华特迪士尼公司，该公司通过其Disney+流媒体服务无疑是一个重要的云参与者，即使该公司没有直接说明其销售额有多少来自该快速增长的部分。</blockquote></p><p> As part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:</p><p><blockquote>作为对ARKW描述的一部分，FactSet表示如下：</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“从广义上讲，ARKW的管理者似乎专注于物联网、云计算、数字货币和可穿戴技术等热门词汇。虽然该基金的重点可能是吸引对这些新技术有信心的投资者，但投资组合的实施是一项更加困难的任务：大多数开发这些进步的公司都是大公司，新兴技术仅占总收入的一小部分。因此，很难纯粹接触ARKW的目标技术，因此请务必确认该基金的持股（而不仅仅是其论点）与您对该领域的看法一致。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cloud-stock screen</b></p><p><blockquote><b>云库存屏幕</b></blockquote></p><p> Together, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)</p><p><blockquote>上面列出的五只云ETF总共持有147只股票。为了预测2023年的销售增长，我们使用2020年日历的销售预测作为基线，然后查看FactSet调查的分析师对随后三年的一致预测（如果有）。（2020年的数字是估计值，因为许多公司的财年与日历不符。）</blockquote></p><p> To make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.</p><p><blockquote>为了确保我们有一套可靠的估计，我们将该小组限制在FactSet调查的至少5名分析师覆盖的126家公司，这些公司可以获得2020年至2023年的一致销售估计。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:</p><p><blockquote>以下是预计到2023年销售额复合年增长率(CAGR)最高的20家公司：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/517a23591cde159fb889ab80abc4bcc6\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"765\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af2cf5b5f9f0ce50f8f023ac7babc7f\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"717\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b88ebe72e09cb9ce3294269f0a4ae431\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A&nbsp;and Class C&nbsp;shares.</p><p><blockquote>实际上有21只股票上市，包括Zillow Group Inc.的A类和C类股票。</blockquote></p><p> It is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，该榜单以ARKW持有的股票为主。该基金对云公司有广泛的定义，也关注销售增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是基于未来12个月共识预测的当前远期市销率、当前市值与2023年预计销售额的比率以及分析师对这些股票的意见摘要。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b9c4bf1d8b1abcfa76b7d008a47ad7\" tg-width=\"938\" tg-height=\"805\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff191189c5d7d2f31698843734ca3cc\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9543489c4d52d3f1a69dfdcf170115\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，SPDR标普500指数ETF的远期市销率为2.8，2023年预计市销率为2.6。对于QQQ，目前的市盈率为4.7，2023年将降至4.3。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-06 13:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector</p><p><blockquote>在该行业反弹的推动下，云ETF接近历史新高</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78101d8010e186fe4df59b2ef82b5de6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Analysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师预计，提供云服务的公司未来将实现强劲的销售增长。（盖蒂图片社/iStockphoto）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> U.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.</p><p><blockquote>尽管来自中国的传言和德尔塔变异毒株感染人数激增，但美国投资者仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.</p><p><blockquote>云公司——那些处于计算能力向互联网分布式模式转变前沿的公司——预计将在未来几年快速增长，覆盖该领域的五家最大交易所交易基金中有四家即将创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>下面是这些ETF持有的股票屏幕，显示了预计到2023年销售额增幅最大的股票。在一个许多参与者处于相对早期阶段的行业中，销售额的增长而不是盈利的增长可能是股价的最佳驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> To begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们查看了五只最大的云ETF：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36209ce827d95e822cad5128be8b146a\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.</p><p><blockquote>ETF可能是您采取广泛方法长期参与云革命的最佳方式。如果您对任何ETF感兴趣，您应该查看基金经理的网站。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF&nbsp;and the Invesco QQQ Trust&nbsp;(which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:</p><p><blockquote>以下是截至8月4日的总回报比较，以及SPDR标普500 ETF和Invesco QQQ Trust（跟踪纳斯达克100指数）的总回报比较：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242f135b3c7cca3cbaae3ee574023c1f\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"577\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF&nbsp;is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.</p><p><blockquote>ETF的方法不同。例如，方舟下一代互联网ETF是唯一一只主动管理的。其他人跟踪一个指数。根据Ark Invest 8月5日发布的信息，它也是唯一一家持有特斯拉公司股票的公司，占投资组合的10.65%。特斯拉是一家电动汽车制造商，但它也可以被视为一家云公司，因为它不断通过互联网分发软件更新，并提供其他基于云的服务。</blockquote></p><p> Another holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.</p><p><blockquote>在五只云ETF中，ARKW独有的另一个持股是华特迪士尼公司，该公司通过其Disney+流媒体服务无疑是一个重要的云参与者，即使该公司没有直接说明其销售额有多少来自该快速增长的部分。</blockquote></p><p> As part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:</p><p><blockquote>作为对ARKW描述的一部分，FactSet表示如下：</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“从广义上讲，ARKW的管理者似乎专注于物联网、云计算、数字货币和可穿戴技术等热门词汇。虽然该基金的重点可能是吸引对这些新技术有信心的投资者，但投资组合的实施是一项更加困难的任务：大多数开发这些进步的公司都是大公司，新兴技术仅占总收入的一小部分。因此，很难纯粹接触ARKW的目标技术，因此请务必确认该基金的持股（而不仅仅是其论点）与您对该领域的看法一致。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cloud-stock screen</b></p><p><blockquote><b>云库存屏幕</b></blockquote></p><p> Together, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)</p><p><blockquote>上面列出的五只云ETF总共持有147只股票。为了预测2023年的销售增长，我们使用2020年日历的销售预测作为基线，然后查看FactSet调查的分析师对随后三年的一致预测（如果有）。（2020年的数字是估计值，因为许多公司的财年与日历不符。）</blockquote></p><p> To make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.</p><p><blockquote>为了确保我们有一套可靠的估计，我们将该小组限制在FactSet调查的至少5名分析师覆盖的126家公司，这些公司可以获得2020年至2023年的一致销售估计。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:</p><p><blockquote>以下是预计到2023年销售额复合年增长率(CAGR)最高的20家公司：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/517a23591cde159fb889ab80abc4bcc6\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"765\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af2cf5b5f9f0ce50f8f023ac7babc7f\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"717\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b88ebe72e09cb9ce3294269f0a4ae431\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A&nbsp;and Class C&nbsp;shares.</p><p><blockquote>实际上有21只股票上市，包括Zillow Group Inc.的A类和C类股票。</blockquote></p><p> It is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，该榜单以ARKW持有的股票为主。该基金对云公司有广泛的定义，也关注销售增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是基于未来12个月共识预测的当前远期市销率、当前市值与2023年预计销售额的比率以及分析师对这些股票的意见摘要。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b9c4bf1d8b1abcfa76b7d008a47ad7\" tg-width=\"938\" tg-height=\"805\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff191189c5d7d2f31698843734ca3cc\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9543489c4d52d3f1a69dfdcf170115\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，SPDR标普500指数ETF的远期市销率为2.8，2023年预计市销率为2.6。对于QQQ，目前的市盈率为4.7，2023年将降至4.3。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-cloud-stocks-expected-to-increase-sales-the-most-over-the-next-two-years-11628186683?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","ZG":"Zillow Class A","PDD":"拼多多","MELI":"MercadoLibre","ADYEY":"Adyen N.V.","ROKU":"Roku Inc","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc.","SE":"Sea Ltd","OKTA":"Okta Inc.","KC":"金山云","SNAP":"Snap Inc","VCYT":"Veracyte Inc","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉","SKLZ":"Skillz Inc","LC":"LendingClub"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-cloud-stocks-expected-to-increase-sales-the-most-over-the-next-two-years-11628186683?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155656235","content_text":"Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector\nAnalysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)\nU.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.\nCloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.\nBelow is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.\nTo begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:\nSource: FactSet\nETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.\nHere’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and the Invesco QQQ Trust (which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:\nSource: FactSet\nThe ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.\nAnother holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.\nAs part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:\n“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”\nCloud-stock screen\nTogether, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)\nTo make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.\nHere are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:\n\nSource: FactSet\nThere are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A and Class C shares.\nIt is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.\nHere are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.\n\nSource: FactSet\nIn comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VCYT":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,"KC":0.9,"ZG":0.9,"OKTA":0.9,"MELI":0.9,"SHOP":0.9,"SNAP":0.9,"Z":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,"SQ":0.9,"SKLZ":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"PINS":0.9,"SE":0.9,"CRWD":0.9,"ADYEY":0.9,"TDOC":0.9,"LC":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2983,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893825160,"gmtCreate":1628256318050,"gmtModify":1631884033707,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579319144921544","idStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a>:((","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a>:((","text":"$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$:((","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbc1828ec2dbf2a669e9e72fcf637122","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893825160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893822239,"gmtCreate":1628256285221,"gmtModify":1631890090587,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579319144921544","idStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buyyyy","listText":"Buyyyy","text":"Buyyyy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ca7bd51852e0b545fe84c89771fbe14","width":"1125","height":"2793"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893822239","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804002751,"gmtCreate":1627911017773,"gmtModify":1631890090591,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579319144921544","idStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804002751","repostId":"1190890686","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190890686","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627910755,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190890686?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 21:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big Apple Takes Bite Out of Food Delivery<blockquote>大苹果从食品配送中获益</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190890686","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"New bills passed in New York City could curb some appeal of companies like Grubhub, DoorDash and Uber Eats.The New York City Council has long had a bone to pick with food delivery platform Grubhub.During the pandemic, that animus seems to extend to reach the sector more broadly as market share has leveled. Home to about 10% of the U.S. market, and a possible harbinger of local measures elsewhere, the city’s attitude matters a great deal.The conflict heated up last week. On Thursday, the council ","content":"<p>  New bills passed in New York City could curb some appeal of companies like Grubhub, DoorDash and Uber Eats.  The New York City Council has long had a bone to pick with food delivery platform Grubhub.During the pandemic, that animus seems to extend to reach the sector more broadly as market share has leveled. Home to about 10% of the U.S. market, and a possible harbinger of local measures elsewhere, the city’s attitude matters a great deal.</p><p><blockquote>纽约市通过的新法案可能会抑制Grubhub、DoorDash和Uber Eats等公司的一些吸引力。纽约市议会长期以来一直对食品配送平台Grubhub颇有微词。在疫情期间，随着市场份额趋于平稳，这种敌意似乎延伸到了更广泛的行业。该市拥有约10%的美国市场，也可能是其他地方当地措施的先兆，该市的态度非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> The conflict heated up last week. On Thursday, the council said it passed five bills meant to shift some of the balance of power away from food delivery platforms toward “struggling mom and pop shops.” The bills include some straightforward legislation like providing a restaurants’ direct telephone number to eaters and prohibiting platforms from charging restaurants for phone orders that don’t result in transactions.</p><p><blockquote>冲突上周升温。周四，该委员会表示通过了五项法案，旨在将部分权力平衡从食品配送平台转移到“陷入困境的夫妻店”。这些法案包括一些简单的立法，例如向食客提供餐厅的直拨电话号码，以及禁止平台对不会导致交易的电话订单向餐厅收费。</blockquote></p><p> But they also include more controversial and likely more consequential rules. One, if put into effect as anticipated, wouldextend temporary capsplaced on the commissions food-delivery platforms can charge restaurants at least until mid-February, 2022. Beyond what was decided last week, the city council says it is also scheduled to review a permanent commission cap bill this month.</p><p><blockquote>但它们也包括更有争议、可能更重要的规则。其中一项措施，如果按预期实施，将把食品配送平台向餐厅收取的佣金的临时上限至少延长至2022年2月中旬。除了上周的决定，市议会表示，它还计划在本月审查一项永久的佣金上限法案。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0376f43b736ee504664bb031aae5fdd\" tg-width=\"742\" tg-height=\"510\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Long-term caps sound ominous for food delivery companies, but the true extent of their effects isn’t fully known. U.S. market leaderDoorDash,DASH-2.12%for example, has reported profits on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization for the last four quarters—pretty much the entirety of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>长期上限对食品配送公司来说听起来不祥，但其影响的真实程度尚不完全清楚。例如，美国市场领导者DoorDash（DAS-2.12%）根据过去四个季度（几乎是整个大流行期间）调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润报告了利润。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the company said in an April blog post that commission caps have caused a “tangible impact” to its business in terms of lessening demand as prices paid by customers have risen to recoup lost dollars.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，该公司在4月份的一篇博客文章中表示，佣金上限对其业务产生了“切实影响”，因为客户支付的价格上涨以弥补损失的美元，从而减少了需求。</blockquote></p><p> Food delivery companies don’t typically break out their economics by city, but a spokesperson for Uber Eats did say it had lost more than $60 million in New York City alone due to pandemic-related commission caps. For food delivery companies, consumers’ price sensitivity is likely to increase post-pandemic as they gain access to in-person dining andrely less on delivery.</p><p><blockquote>食品配送公司通常不会按城市公布其经济状况，但Uber Eats优食的发言人确实表示，由于与大流行相关的佣金上限，仅在纽约市，该公司就损失了超过6000万美元。对于食品配送公司来说，大流行后消费者的价格敏感性可能会增加，因为他们可以亲自用餐，而不是送货。</blockquote></p><p> There are also other threats. The council also voted to require delivery services to share monthly eater information with restaurants if restaurants request it. While it remains unclear as to exactly what data this rule will cover, a summary of the bill suggests it could include eaters’ names, phone numbers, email addresses, home addresses and what is ordered.</p><p><blockquote>还有其他威胁。该委员会还投票决定，如果餐馆提出要求，要求送货服务与餐馆分享每月的食客信息。虽然尚不清楚该规则将涵盖哪些数据，但该法案的摘要表明，它可能包括就餐者的姓名、电话号码、电子邮件地址、家庭住址和点的菜。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10e85c5617a7edb8cfa051b68e6b7240\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"508\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">That would arm restaurants with information they could use to determine where their orders are coming from, helping them to assess delivery platforms’ individual worth. It could also significantly lower switching costs between platforms and help enable restaurants to better access customers themselves.</p><p><blockquote>这将为餐馆提供信息，他们可以用来确定订单来自哪里，帮助他们评估送货平台的个人价值。它还可以显著降低平台之间的转换成本，并有助于餐厅更好地接触顾客。</blockquote></p><p> While a lot has been said of commission caps in food delivery, deciding who has access to eaters’ data is no less controversial. Food-delivery platforms have argued such a law would put eaters’ personal information at risk, noting consumers should be able to opt-in to data sharing rather than opt-out. Others have described third-party delivery as a “gatekeeper” of data with one source likening platforms to a “diner cartel” that is finally being busted.</p><p><blockquote>虽然关于食品配送的佣金上限已经说了很多，但决定谁可以访问食客的数据也同样存在争议。食品配送平台认为，这样的法律会使就餐者的个人信息面临风险，并指出消费者应该能够选择加入数据共享，而不是选择退出。其他人将第三方交付描述为数据的“看门人”，一位消息人士将平台比作最终被捣毁的“餐车卡特尔”。</blockquote></p><p> New York’s move is of particular importance to Grubhub since the city is its largest U.S. market. As of June, Bloomberg Second Measure data show Grubhub and DoorDash were tied with the market share lead in New York City with 35% a piece to Uber Eats’ 29%. Elsewhere, temporary caps have been put into place across many cities and suburbs nationwide. In June, San Francisco became the first city in the U.S. to pass a permanent fee cap.</p><p><blockquote>纽约的举动对Grubhub尤为重要，因为纽约是其在美国最大的市场。截至6月，彭博社Second Measure数据显示，Grubhub和DoorDash在纽约市的市场份额并列领先，分别为35%和29%。在其他地方，全国许多城市和郊区已经实施了临时上限。六月，旧金山成为美国第一个通过永久费用上限的城市。</blockquote></p><p> New York looms large for food delivery. If you can’t make it there, can you make it anywhere?</p><p><blockquote>纽约在食品配送方面显得尤为重要。如果你在那里做不到，你能在任何地方做吗？</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big Apple Takes Bite Out of Food Delivery<blockquote>大苹果从食品配送中获益</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig Apple Takes Bite Out of Food Delivery<blockquote>大苹果从食品配送中获益</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-02 21:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  New bills passed in New York City could curb some appeal of companies like Grubhub, DoorDash and Uber Eats.  The New York City Council has long had a bone to pick with food delivery platform Grubhub.During the pandemic, that animus seems to extend to reach the sector more broadly as market share has leveled. Home to about 10% of the U.S. market, and a possible harbinger of local measures elsewhere, the city’s attitude matters a great deal.</p><p><blockquote>纽约市通过的新法案可能会抑制Grubhub、DoorDash和Uber Eats等公司的一些吸引力。纽约市议会长期以来一直对食品配送平台Grubhub颇有微词。在疫情期间，随着市场份额趋于平稳，这种敌意似乎延伸到了更广泛的行业。该市拥有约10%的美国市场，也可能是其他地方当地措施的先兆，该市的态度非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> The conflict heated up last week. On Thursday, the council said it passed five bills meant to shift some of the balance of power away from food delivery platforms toward “struggling mom and pop shops.” The bills include some straightforward legislation like providing a restaurants’ direct telephone number to eaters and prohibiting platforms from charging restaurants for phone orders that don’t result in transactions.</p><p><blockquote>冲突上周升温。周四，该委员会表示通过了五项法案，旨在将部分权力平衡从食品配送平台转移到“陷入困境的夫妻店”。这些法案包括一些简单的立法，例如向食客提供餐厅的直拨电话号码，以及禁止平台对不会导致交易的电话订单向餐厅收费。</blockquote></p><p> But they also include more controversial and likely more consequential rules. One, if put into effect as anticipated, wouldextend temporary capsplaced on the commissions food-delivery platforms can charge restaurants at least until mid-February, 2022. Beyond what was decided last week, the city council says it is also scheduled to review a permanent commission cap bill this month.</p><p><blockquote>但它们也包括更有争议、可能更重要的规则。其中一项措施，如果按预期实施，将把食品配送平台向餐厅收取的佣金的临时上限至少延长至2022年2月中旬。除了上周的决定，市议会表示，它还计划在本月审查一项永久的佣金上限法案。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0376f43b736ee504664bb031aae5fdd\" tg-width=\"742\" tg-height=\"510\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Long-term caps sound ominous for food delivery companies, but the true extent of their effects isn’t fully known. U.S. market leaderDoorDash,DASH-2.12%for example, has reported profits on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization for the last four quarters—pretty much the entirety of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>长期上限对食品配送公司来说听起来不祥，但其影响的真实程度尚不完全清楚。例如，美国市场领导者DoorDash（DAS-2.12%）根据过去四个季度（几乎是整个大流行期间）调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润报告了利润。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the company said in an April blog post that commission caps have caused a “tangible impact” to its business in terms of lessening demand as prices paid by customers have risen to recoup lost dollars.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，该公司在4月份的一篇博客文章中表示，佣金上限对其业务产生了“切实影响”，因为客户支付的价格上涨以弥补损失的美元，从而减少了需求。</blockquote></p><p> Food delivery companies don’t typically break out their economics by city, but a spokesperson for Uber Eats did say it had lost more than $60 million in New York City alone due to pandemic-related commission caps. For food delivery companies, consumers’ price sensitivity is likely to increase post-pandemic as they gain access to in-person dining andrely less on delivery.</p><p><blockquote>食品配送公司通常不会按城市公布其经济状况，但Uber Eats优食的发言人确实表示，由于与大流行相关的佣金上限，仅在纽约市，该公司就损失了超过6000万美元。对于食品配送公司来说，大流行后消费者的价格敏感性可能会增加，因为他们可以亲自用餐，而不是送货。</blockquote></p><p> There are also other threats. The council also voted to require delivery services to share monthly eater information with restaurants if restaurants request it. While it remains unclear as to exactly what data this rule will cover, a summary of the bill suggests it could include eaters’ names, phone numbers, email addresses, home addresses and what is ordered.</p><p><blockquote>还有其他威胁。该委员会还投票决定，如果餐馆提出要求，要求送货服务与餐馆分享每月的食客信息。虽然尚不清楚该规则将涵盖哪些数据，但该法案的摘要表明，它可能包括就餐者的姓名、电话号码、电子邮件地址、家庭住址和点的菜。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10e85c5617a7edb8cfa051b68e6b7240\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"508\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">That would arm restaurants with information they could use to determine where their orders are coming from, helping them to assess delivery platforms’ individual worth. It could also significantly lower switching costs between platforms and help enable restaurants to better access customers themselves.</p><p><blockquote>这将为餐馆提供信息，他们可以用来确定订单来自哪里，帮助他们评估送货平台的个人价值。它还可以显著降低平台之间的转换成本，并有助于餐厅更好地接触顾客。</blockquote></p><p> While a lot has been said of commission caps in food delivery, deciding who has access to eaters’ data is no less controversial. Food-delivery platforms have argued such a law would put eaters’ personal information at risk, noting consumers should be able to opt-in to data sharing rather than opt-out. Others have described third-party delivery as a “gatekeeper” of data with one source likening platforms to a “diner cartel” that is finally being busted.</p><p><blockquote>虽然关于食品配送的佣金上限已经说了很多，但决定谁可以访问食客的数据也同样存在争议。食品配送平台认为，这样的法律会使就餐者的个人信息面临风险，并指出消费者应该能够选择加入数据共享，而不是选择退出。其他人将第三方交付描述为数据的“看门人”，一位消息人士将平台比作最终被捣毁的“餐车卡特尔”。</blockquote></p><p> New York’s move is of particular importance to Grubhub since the city is its largest U.S. market. As of June, Bloomberg Second Measure data show Grubhub and DoorDash were tied with the market share lead in New York City with 35% a piece to Uber Eats’ 29%. Elsewhere, temporary caps have been put into place across many cities and suburbs nationwide. In June, San Francisco became the first city in the U.S. to pass a permanent fee cap.</p><p><blockquote>纽约的举动对Grubhub尤为重要，因为纽约是其在美国最大的市场。截至6月，彭博社Second Measure数据显示，Grubhub和DoorDash在纽约市的市场份额并列领先，分别为35%和29%。在其他地方，全国许多城市和郊区已经实施了临时上限。六月，旧金山成为美国第一个通过永久费用上限的城市。</blockquote></p><p> New York looms large for food delivery. If you can’t make it there, can you make it anywhere?</p><p><blockquote>纽约在食品配送方面显得尤为重要。如果你在那里做不到，你能在任何地方做吗？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/big-apple-takes-bite-out-of-food-delivery-11627910300?mod=rss_markets_main\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/big-apple-takes-bite-out-of-food-delivery-11627910300?mod=rss_markets_main","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190890686","content_text":"New bills passed in New York City could curb some appeal of companies like Grubhub, DoorDash and Uber Eats.\n\nThe New York City Council has long had a bone to pick with food delivery platform Grubhub.During the pandemic, that animus seems to extend to reach the sector more broadly as market share has leveled. Home to about 10% of the U.S. market, and a possible harbinger of local measures elsewhere, the city’s attitude matters a great deal.\nThe conflict heated up last week. On Thursday, the council said it passed five bills meant to shift some of the balance of power away from food delivery platforms toward “struggling mom and pop shops.” The bills include some straightforward legislation like providing a restaurants’ direct telephone number to eaters and prohibiting platforms from charging restaurants for phone orders that don’t result in transactions.\nBut they also include more controversial and likely more consequential rules. One, if put into effect as anticipated, wouldextend temporary capsplaced on the commissions food-delivery platforms can charge restaurants at least until mid-February, 2022. Beyond what was decided last week, the city council says it is also scheduled to review a permanent commission cap bill this month.\nLong-term caps sound ominous for food delivery companies, but the true extent of their effects isn’t fully known. U.S. market leaderDoorDash,DASH-2.12%for example, has reported profits on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization for the last four quarters—pretty much the entirety of the pandemic.\nAt the same time, the company said in an April blog post that commission caps have caused a “tangible impact” to its business in terms of lessening demand as prices paid by customers have risen to recoup lost dollars.\nFood delivery companies don’t typically break out their economics by city, but a spokesperson for Uber Eats did say it had lost more than $60 million in New York City alone due to pandemic-related commission caps. For food delivery companies, consumers’ price sensitivity is likely to increase post-pandemic as they gain access to in-person dining andrely less on delivery.\nThere are also other threats. The council also voted to require delivery services to share monthly eater information with restaurants if restaurants request it. While it remains unclear as to exactly what data this rule will cover, a summary of the bill suggests it could include eaters’ names, phone numbers, email addresses, home addresses and what is ordered.\nThat would arm restaurants with information they could use to determine where their orders are coming from, helping them to assess delivery platforms’ individual worth. It could also significantly lower switching costs between platforms and help enable restaurants to better access customers themselves.\nWhile a lot has been said of commission caps in food delivery, deciding who has access to eaters’ data is no less controversial. Food-delivery platforms have argued such a law would put eaters’ personal information at risk, noting consumers should be able to opt-in to data sharing rather than opt-out. Others have described third-party delivery as a “gatekeeper” of data with one source likening platforms to a “diner cartel” that is finally being busted.\nNew York’s move is of particular importance to Grubhub since the city is its largest U.S. market. As of June, Bloomberg Second Measure data show Grubhub and DoorDash were tied with the market share lead in New York City with 35% a piece to Uber Eats’ 29%. Elsewhere, temporary caps have been put into place across many cities and suburbs nationwide. In June, San Francisco became the first city in the U.S. to pass a permanent fee cap.\nNew York looms large for food delivery. If you can’t make it there, can you make it 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and comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172644509","repostId":"1170462111","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170462111","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626960206,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170462111?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 21:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Delta Variant Can Still Clip U.S. Economy’s Wings<blockquote>德尔塔变异毒株仍然可以夹住美国经济的翅膀</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170462111","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Variant might not have the same impact as previous surges, but spotty rates of vaccination mean it c","content":"<p>  Variant might not have the same impact as previous surges, but spotty rates of vaccination mean it could slow growth.  The Delta variant of the coronavirus probablywon’t derail the U.S. economy. That doesn’t mean it can’t damage parts of it.</p><p><blockquote>变异可能不会产生与之前激增相同的影响，但疫苗接种率参差不齐意味着它可能会减缓增长。冠状病毒的德尔塔变异毒株可能不会破坏美国经济。这并不意味着它不能损坏它的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> For a while, America’s progress against the Covid-19 pandemic looked very good. Millions of people were getting vaccinated each day, Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths were falling, and a return to something like normal beckoned. But then the vaccine rollout slowed markedly just as the far more contagiousDelta variant took hold. Cases, hospitalizations and deaths have begun to rise.</p><p><blockquote>有一段时间，美国对抗新冠肺炎疫情的进展看起来非常好。每天都有数百万人接种疫苗，新冠肺炎病例、住院和死亡人数都在下降，回归正常状态正在招手。但随后，随着传染性更强的Delta变种的出现，疫苗的推出明显放缓。病例、住院和死亡人数开始上升。</blockquote></p><p> It is tempting to imagine the Delta variant won’t dent the economy at all.</p><p><blockquote>人们很容易想象德尔塔变异毒株根本不会削弱经济。</blockquote></p><p> Across the board, state and local officials seem far less apt to dial up restrictions in response to rising Covid-19 cases than they were a year ago, while the places with low vaccine uptake also happen to be the places that are most resistant to restrictions. Moreover, many people are vaccinated—particularly the elderly—and with the apparent efficacy of current vaccines against the Delta variant, the U.S. seems unlikely to revisit the staggering mortality statistics of the sort it experienced before vaccines became widely available. Finally, the savings many Americans built up over the past year left them with ample money to throw around, while businesses’ scramble for workers points to a labor market that should keep generating income gains.</p><p><blockquote>总的来说，与一年前相比，州和地方官员似乎不太倾向于针对不断上升的新冠肺炎病例采取限制措施，而疫苗接种率低的地方也恰好是最抵制限制的地方。此外，许多人接种了疫苗——尤其是老年人——而且鉴于当前疫苗对德尔塔变异毒株的明显功效，美国似乎不太可能重温疫苗广泛使用之前经历的令人震惊的死亡率统计数据。最后，许多美国人在过去一年积累的储蓄让他们有足够的钱可以挥霍，而企业对工人的争夺表明劳动力市场应该会继续产生收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc6f808b2d4e2353d6504f76af7f3af0\" tg-width=\"737\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Those are all things that should ensure the economy continues to grow, but it probably won’t grow as swiftly as it otherwise could have. Worries about the Delta variant will lead some people to refrain from entering crowded settings, such as restaurants or airplanes, while also making them more cautious about spending down any savings. Some companieswill delay their return to the office, as Apple just did, and that will hurt downtown restaurants and the like that depend on office workers’ business.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是应该确保经济继续增长的事情，但它可能不会像其他情况下那样快速增长。对德尔塔变异毒株的担忧将导致一些人避免进入拥挤的环境，如餐馆或飞机，同时也使他们对花掉任何积蓄更加谨慎。一些公司会推迟返回办公室，就像苹果刚刚所做的那样，这将损害依赖上班族业务的市中心餐馆等。</blockquote></p><p> Bear in mind that the places where vaccine hesitancy is high and Covid-19 worries low aren’t monolithic: Some share of the population will up their caution, in some cases even if they are fully vaccinated for fear of a breakthrough infection. And the more new cases there are in their communities, the more cautious they will become.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，对疫苗犹豫不决程度高、对新冠肺炎担忧程度低的地方并不是铁板一块：有些人会更加谨慎，在某些情况下，即使他们因为担心突破性感染而完全接种了疫苗。而且他们社区的新病例越多，他们就会变得越谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> Nor are places where vaccination rates are better necessarily going to avoid the fallout from the contagious Delta variant. Around 72% of the 18 and over population of Los Angeles County have received at least once shot, more than the country at large, yet with case rates and hospitalizations rising, last week it reinstatedan order to wear masks indoorsin businesses and public places.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种率较高的地方也不一定能避免传染性德尔塔变异毒株的影响。洛杉矶县18岁及以上人口中约有72%至少接种过一次疫苗，比全国都多，但随着病例率和住院率的上升，上周恢复了在室内企业和公共场所戴口罩的命令。</blockquote></p><p> Then there is the question of what the start of the coming school year might look like. Children under the age of 12 aren’t eligible for vaccination, and authorization for children between 5 and 11 looks as if it won’t comeuntil sometime in the fall, at the earliest. Most schools intend to return to in-person classes, with some offering remote options, but the Delta variant could upend some of those plans.</p><p><blockquote>接下来的问题是，下一学年的开始会是什么样子。12岁以下的儿童没有资格接种疫苗，对5至11岁儿童的授权看起来最早要到秋季的某个时候才会到来。大多数学校打算恢复面授课程，有些学校提供远程选项，但德尔塔变异毒株可能会颠覆其中一些计划。</blockquote></p><p> At the very least parents might need to prepare for the possibility of a positive Covid test shutting down a classroom, leaving their children, and them, stuck at home. Strategists at Evercore ISI point out that the return to school this fall was supposed to free parents for work, boosting the labor supply. But some of the job growth and easing of hiring strains that could create might now be deferred.</p><p><blockquote>至少，父母可能需要为Covid测试呈阳性的可能性做好准备，关闭教室，让他们的孩子和他们被困在家里。Evercore ISI的策略师指出，今年秋天返校本应让家长可以自由工作，从而增加劳动力供应。但一些就业增长和招聘压力的缓解现在可能会被推迟。</blockquote></p><p> The economy has been growing since April last year—a point brought home by the National Bureau of Economic Research’srecent determinationthat that was when the brief, severe recession the pandemic brought on ended. It kept growing despite a new surge in Covid-19 infections last summer and another wave in the late fall through winter. Unlike in those previous surges, many Americans have been vaccinated so the impact won’t be as severe as it otherwise might have been.</p><p><blockquote>自去年4月以来，经济一直在增长——美国国家经济研究局（National Bureau of Economic Research）最近确定，这是疫情带来的短暂而严重的衰退结束的时候。尽管去年夏天新冠肺炎感染人数出现新的激增，并且在深秋到冬季又出现了一波感染，但它仍在继续增长。与之前的激增不同，许多美国人已经接种了疫苗，因此影响不会像原本可能的那样严重。</blockquote></p><p> But things could have been so much better.</p><p><blockquote>但是事情本可以好得多。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Delta Variant Can Still Clip U.S. Economy’s Wings<blockquote>德尔塔变异毒株仍然可以夹住美国经济的翅膀</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDelta Variant Can Still Clip U.S. Economy’s Wings<blockquote>德尔塔变异毒株仍然可以夹住美国经济的翅膀</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-22 21:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Variant might not have the same impact as previous surges, but spotty rates of vaccination mean it could slow growth.  The Delta variant of the coronavirus probablywon’t derail the U.S. economy. That doesn’t mean it can’t damage parts of it.</p><p><blockquote>变异可能不会产生与之前激增相同的影响，但疫苗接种率参差不齐意味着它可能会减缓增长。冠状病毒的德尔塔变异毒株可能不会破坏美国经济。这并不意味着它不能损坏它的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> For a while, America’s progress against the Covid-19 pandemic looked very good. Millions of people were getting vaccinated each day, Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths were falling, and a return to something like normal beckoned. But then the vaccine rollout slowed markedly just as the far more contagiousDelta variant took hold. Cases, hospitalizations and deaths have begun to rise.</p><p><blockquote>有一段时间，美国对抗新冠肺炎疫情的进展看起来非常好。每天都有数百万人接种疫苗，新冠肺炎病例、住院和死亡人数都在下降，回归正常状态正在招手。但随后，随着传染性更强的Delta变种的出现，疫苗的推出明显放缓。病例、住院和死亡人数开始上升。</blockquote></p><p> It is tempting to imagine the Delta variant won’t dent the economy at all.</p><p><blockquote>人们很容易想象德尔塔变异毒株根本不会削弱经济。</blockquote></p><p> Across the board, state and local officials seem far less apt to dial up restrictions in response to rising Covid-19 cases than they were a year ago, while the places with low vaccine uptake also happen to be the places that are most resistant to restrictions. Moreover, many people are vaccinated—particularly the elderly—and with the apparent efficacy of current vaccines against the Delta variant, the U.S. seems unlikely to revisit the staggering mortality statistics of the sort it experienced before vaccines became widely available. Finally, the savings many Americans built up over the past year left them with ample money to throw around, while businesses’ scramble for workers points to a labor market that should keep generating income gains.</p><p><blockquote>总的来说，与一年前相比，州和地方官员似乎不太倾向于针对不断上升的新冠肺炎病例采取限制措施，而疫苗接种率低的地方也恰好是最抵制限制的地方。此外，许多人接种了疫苗——尤其是老年人——而且鉴于当前疫苗对德尔塔变异毒株的明显功效，美国似乎不太可能重温疫苗广泛使用之前经历的令人震惊的死亡率统计数据。最后，许多美国人在过去一年积累的储蓄让他们有足够的钱可以挥霍，而企业对工人的争夺表明劳动力市场应该会继续产生收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc6f808b2d4e2353d6504f76af7f3af0\" tg-width=\"737\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Those are all things that should ensure the economy continues to grow, but it probably won’t grow as swiftly as it otherwise could have. Worries about the Delta variant will lead some people to refrain from entering crowded settings, such as restaurants or airplanes, while also making them more cautious about spending down any savings. Some companieswill delay their return to the office, as Apple just did, and that will hurt downtown restaurants and the like that depend on office workers’ business.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是应该确保经济继续增长的事情，但它可能不会像其他情况下那样快速增长。对德尔塔变异毒株的担忧将导致一些人避免进入拥挤的环境，如餐馆或飞机，同时也使他们对花掉任何积蓄更加谨慎。一些公司会推迟返回办公室，就像苹果刚刚所做的那样，这将损害依赖上班族业务的市中心餐馆等。</blockquote></p><p> Bear in mind that the places where vaccine hesitancy is high and Covid-19 worries low aren’t monolithic: Some share of the population will up their caution, in some cases even if they are fully vaccinated for fear of a breakthrough infection. And the more new cases there are in their communities, the more cautious they will become.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，对疫苗犹豫不决程度高、对新冠肺炎担忧程度低的地方并不是铁板一块：有些人会更加谨慎，在某些情况下，即使他们因为担心突破性感染而完全接种了疫苗。而且他们社区的新病例越多，他们就会变得越谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> Nor are places where vaccination rates are better necessarily going to avoid the fallout from the contagious Delta variant. Around 72% of the 18 and over population of Los Angeles County have received at least once shot, more than the country at large, yet with case rates and hospitalizations rising, last week it reinstatedan order to wear masks indoorsin businesses and public places.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种率较高的地方也不一定能避免传染性德尔塔变异毒株的影响。洛杉矶县18岁及以上人口中约有72%至少接种过一次疫苗，比全国都多，但随着病例率和住院率的上升，上周恢复了在室内企业和公共场所戴口罩的命令。</blockquote></p><p> Then there is the question of what the start of the coming school year might look like. Children under the age of 12 aren’t eligible for vaccination, and authorization for children between 5 and 11 looks as if it won’t comeuntil sometime in the fall, at the earliest. Most schools intend to return to in-person classes, with some offering remote options, but the Delta variant could upend some of those plans.</p><p><blockquote>接下来的问题是，下一学年的开始会是什么样子。12岁以下的儿童没有资格接种疫苗，对5至11岁儿童的授权看起来最早要到秋季的某个时候才会到来。大多数学校打算恢复面授课程，有些学校提供远程选项，但德尔塔变异毒株可能会颠覆其中一些计划。</blockquote></p><p> At the very least parents might need to prepare for the possibility of a positive Covid test shutting down a classroom, leaving their children, and them, stuck at home. Strategists at Evercore ISI point out that the return to school this fall was supposed to free parents for work, boosting the labor supply. But some of the job growth and easing of hiring strains that could create might now be deferred.</p><p><blockquote>至少，父母可能需要为Covid测试呈阳性的可能性做好准备，关闭教室，让他们的孩子和他们被困在家里。Evercore ISI的策略师指出，今年秋天返校本应让家长可以自由工作，从而增加劳动力供应。但一些就业增长和招聘压力的缓解现在可能会被推迟。</blockquote></p><p> The economy has been growing since April last year—a point brought home by the National Bureau of Economic Research’srecent determinationthat that was when the brief, severe recession the pandemic brought on ended. It kept growing despite a new surge in Covid-19 infections last summer and another wave in the late fall through winter. Unlike in those previous surges, many Americans have been vaccinated so the impact won’t be as severe as it otherwise might have been.</p><p><blockquote>自去年4月以来，经济一直在增长——美国国家经济研究局（National Bureau of Economic Research）最近确定，这是疫情带来的短暂而严重的衰退结束的时候。尽管去年夏天新冠肺炎感染人数出现新的激增，并且在深秋到冬季又出现了一波感染，但它仍在继续增长。与之前的激增不同，许多美国人已经接种了疫苗，因此影响不会像原本可能的那样严重。</blockquote></p><p> But things could have been so much better.</p><p><blockquote>但是事情本可以好得多。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/delta-variant-can-still-clip-u-s-economys-wings-11626959045?mod=rss_markets_main\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/delta-variant-can-still-clip-u-s-economys-wings-11626959045?mod=rss_markets_main","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170462111","content_text":"Variant might not have the same impact as previous surges, but spotty rates of vaccination mean it could slow growth.\n\nThe Delta variant of the coronavirus probablywon’t derail the U.S. economy. That doesn’t mean it can’t damage parts of it.\nFor a while, America’s progress against the Covid-19 pandemic looked very good. Millions of people were getting vaccinated each day, Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths were falling, and a return to something like normal beckoned. But then the vaccine rollout slowed markedly just as the far more contagiousDelta variant took hold. Cases, hospitalizations and deaths have begun to rise.\nIt is tempting to imagine the Delta variant won’t dent the economy at all.\nAcross the board, state and local officials seem far less apt to dial up restrictions in response to rising Covid-19 cases than they were a year ago, while the places with low vaccine uptake also happen to be the places that are most resistant to restrictions. Moreover, many people are vaccinated—particularly the elderly—and with the apparent efficacy of current vaccines against the Delta variant, the U.S. seems unlikely to revisit the staggering mortality statistics of the sort it experienced before vaccines became widely available. Finally, the savings many Americans built up over the past year left them with ample money to throw around, while businesses’ scramble for workers points to a labor market that should keep generating income gains.\nThose are all things that should ensure the economy continues to grow, but it probably won’t grow as swiftly as it otherwise could have. Worries about the Delta variant will lead some people to refrain from entering crowded settings, such as restaurants or airplanes, while also making them more cautious about spending down any savings. Some companieswill delay their return to the office, as Apple just did, and that will hurt downtown restaurants and the like that depend on office workers’ business.\nBear in mind that the places where vaccine hesitancy is high and Covid-19 worries low aren’t monolithic: Some share of the population will up their caution, in some cases even if they are fully vaccinated for fear of a breakthrough infection. And the more new cases there are in their communities, the more cautious they will become.\nNor are places where vaccination rates are better necessarily going to avoid the fallout from the contagious Delta variant. Around 72% of the 18 and over population of Los Angeles County have received at least once shot, more than the country at large, yet with case rates and hospitalizations rising, last week it reinstatedan order to wear masks indoorsin businesses and public places.\nThen there is the question of what the start of the coming school year might look like. Children under the age of 12 aren’t eligible for vaccination, and authorization for children between 5 and 11 looks as if it won’t comeuntil sometime in the fall, at the earliest. Most schools intend to return to in-person classes, with some offering remote options, but the Delta variant could upend some of those plans.\nAt the very least parents might need to prepare for the possibility of a positive Covid test shutting down a classroom, leaving their children, and them, stuck at home. Strategists at Evercore ISI point out that the return to school this fall was supposed to free parents for work, boosting the labor supply. But some of the job growth and easing of hiring strains that could create might now be deferred.\nThe economy has been growing since April last year—a point brought home by the National Bureau of Economic Research’srecent determinationthat that was when the brief, severe recession the pandemic brought on ended. It kept growing despite a new surge in Covid-19 infections last summer and another wave in the late fall through winter. Unlike in those previous surges, many Americans have been vaccinated so the impact won’t be as severe as it otherwise might have been.\nBut things could have been so much better.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":804002751,"gmtCreate":1627911017773,"gmtModify":1631890090591,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804002751","repostId":"1190890686","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190890686","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627910755,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190890686?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 21:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big Apple Takes Bite Out of Food Delivery<blockquote>大苹果从食品配送中获益</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190890686","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"New bills passed in New York City could curb some appeal of companies like Grubhub, DoorDash and Uber Eats.The New York City Council has long had a bone to pick with food delivery platform Grubhub.During the pandemic, that animus seems to extend to reach the sector more broadly as market share has leveled. Home to about 10% of the U.S. market, and a possible harbinger of local measures elsewhere, the city’s attitude matters a great deal.The conflict heated up last week. On Thursday, the council ","content":"<p>  New bills passed in New York City could curb some appeal of companies like Grubhub, DoorDash and Uber Eats.  The New York City Council has long had a bone to pick with food delivery platform Grubhub.During the pandemic, that animus seems to extend to reach the sector more broadly as market share has leveled. Home to about 10% of the U.S. market, and a possible harbinger of local measures elsewhere, the city’s attitude matters a great deal.</p><p><blockquote>纽约市通过的新法案可能会抑制Grubhub、DoorDash和Uber Eats等公司的一些吸引力。纽约市议会长期以来一直对食品配送平台Grubhub颇有微词。在疫情期间，随着市场份额趋于平稳，这种敌意似乎延伸到了更广泛的行业。该市拥有约10%的美国市场，也可能是其他地方当地措施的先兆，该市的态度非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> The conflict heated up last week. On Thursday, the council said it passed five bills meant to shift some of the balance of power away from food delivery platforms toward “struggling mom and pop shops.” The bills include some straightforward legislation like providing a restaurants’ direct telephone number to eaters and prohibiting platforms from charging restaurants for phone orders that don’t result in transactions.</p><p><blockquote>冲突上周升温。周四，该委员会表示通过了五项法案，旨在将部分权力平衡从食品配送平台转移到“陷入困境的夫妻店”。这些法案包括一些简单的立法，例如向食客提供餐厅的直拨电话号码，以及禁止平台对不会导致交易的电话订单向餐厅收费。</blockquote></p><p> But they also include more controversial and likely more consequential rules. One, if put into effect as anticipated, wouldextend temporary capsplaced on the commissions food-delivery platforms can charge restaurants at least until mid-February, 2022. Beyond what was decided last week, the city council says it is also scheduled to review a permanent commission cap bill this month.</p><p><blockquote>但它们也包括更有争议、可能更重要的规则。其中一项措施，如果按预期实施，将把食品配送平台向餐厅收取的佣金的临时上限至少延长至2022年2月中旬。除了上周的决定，市议会表示，它还计划在本月审查一项永久的佣金上限法案。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0376f43b736ee504664bb031aae5fdd\" tg-width=\"742\" tg-height=\"510\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Long-term caps sound ominous for food delivery companies, but the true extent of their effects isn’t fully known. U.S. market leaderDoorDash,DASH-2.12%for example, has reported profits on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization for the last four quarters—pretty much the entirety of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>长期上限对食品配送公司来说听起来不祥，但其影响的真实程度尚不完全清楚。例如，美国市场领导者DoorDash（DAS-2.12%）根据过去四个季度（几乎是整个大流行期间）调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润报告了利润。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the company said in an April blog post that commission caps have caused a “tangible impact” to its business in terms of lessening demand as prices paid by customers have risen to recoup lost dollars.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，该公司在4月份的一篇博客文章中表示，佣金上限对其业务产生了“切实影响”，因为客户支付的价格上涨以弥补损失的美元，从而减少了需求。</blockquote></p><p> Food delivery companies don’t typically break out their economics by city, but a spokesperson for Uber Eats did say it had lost more than $60 million in New York City alone due to pandemic-related commission caps. For food delivery companies, consumers’ price sensitivity is likely to increase post-pandemic as they gain access to in-person dining andrely less on delivery.</p><p><blockquote>食品配送公司通常不会按城市公布其经济状况，但Uber Eats优食的发言人确实表示，由于与大流行相关的佣金上限，仅在纽约市，该公司就损失了超过6000万美元。对于食品配送公司来说，大流行后消费者的价格敏感性可能会增加，因为他们可以亲自用餐，而不是送货。</blockquote></p><p> There are also other threats. The council also voted to require delivery services to share monthly eater information with restaurants if restaurants request it. While it remains unclear as to exactly what data this rule will cover, a summary of the bill suggests it could include eaters’ names, phone numbers, email addresses, home addresses and what is ordered.</p><p><blockquote>还有其他威胁。该委员会还投票决定，如果餐馆提出要求，要求送货服务与餐馆分享每月的食客信息。虽然尚不清楚该规则将涵盖哪些数据，但该法案的摘要表明，它可能包括就餐者的姓名、电话号码、电子邮件地址、家庭住址和点的菜。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10e85c5617a7edb8cfa051b68e6b7240\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"508\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">That would arm restaurants with information they could use to determine where their orders are coming from, helping them to assess delivery platforms’ individual worth. It could also significantly lower switching costs between platforms and help enable restaurants to better access customers themselves.</p><p><blockquote>这将为餐馆提供信息，他们可以用来确定订单来自哪里，帮助他们评估送货平台的个人价值。它还可以显著降低平台之间的转换成本，并有助于餐厅更好地接触顾客。</blockquote></p><p> While a lot has been said of commission caps in food delivery, deciding who has access to eaters’ data is no less controversial. Food-delivery platforms have argued such a law would put eaters’ personal information at risk, noting consumers should be able to opt-in to data sharing rather than opt-out. Others have described third-party delivery as a “gatekeeper” of data with one source likening platforms to a “diner cartel” that is finally being busted.</p><p><blockquote>虽然关于食品配送的佣金上限已经说了很多，但决定谁可以访问食客的数据也同样存在争议。食品配送平台认为，这样的法律会使就餐者的个人信息面临风险，并指出消费者应该能够选择加入数据共享，而不是选择退出。其他人将第三方交付描述为数据的“看门人”，一位消息人士将平台比作最终被捣毁的“餐车卡特尔”。</blockquote></p><p> New York’s move is of particular importance to Grubhub since the city is its largest U.S. market. As of June, Bloomberg Second Measure data show Grubhub and DoorDash were tied with the market share lead in New York City with 35% a piece to Uber Eats’ 29%. Elsewhere, temporary caps have been put into place across many cities and suburbs nationwide. In June, San Francisco became the first city in the U.S. to pass a permanent fee cap.</p><p><blockquote>纽约的举动对Grubhub尤为重要，因为纽约是其在美国最大的市场。截至6月，彭博社Second Measure数据显示，Grubhub和DoorDash在纽约市的市场份额并列领先，分别为35%和29%。在其他地方，全国许多城市和郊区已经实施了临时上限。六月，旧金山成为美国第一个通过永久费用上限的城市。</blockquote></p><p> New York looms large for food delivery. If you can’t make it there, can you make it anywhere?</p><p><blockquote>纽约在食品配送方面显得尤为重要。如果你在那里做不到，你能在任何地方做吗？</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big Apple Takes Bite Out of Food Delivery<blockquote>大苹果从食品配送中获益</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig Apple Takes Bite Out of Food Delivery<blockquote>大苹果从食品配送中获益</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-02 21:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  New bills passed in New York City could curb some appeal of companies like Grubhub, DoorDash and Uber Eats.  The New York City Council has long had a bone to pick with food delivery platform Grubhub.During the pandemic, that animus seems to extend to reach the sector more broadly as market share has leveled. Home to about 10% of the U.S. market, and a possible harbinger of local measures elsewhere, the city’s attitude matters a great deal.</p><p><blockquote>纽约市通过的新法案可能会抑制Grubhub、DoorDash和Uber Eats等公司的一些吸引力。纽约市议会长期以来一直对食品配送平台Grubhub颇有微词。在疫情期间，随着市场份额趋于平稳，这种敌意似乎延伸到了更广泛的行业。该市拥有约10%的美国市场，也可能是其他地方当地措施的先兆，该市的态度非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> The conflict heated up last week. On Thursday, the council said it passed five bills meant to shift some of the balance of power away from food delivery platforms toward “struggling mom and pop shops.” The bills include some straightforward legislation like providing a restaurants’ direct telephone number to eaters and prohibiting platforms from charging restaurants for phone orders that don’t result in transactions.</p><p><blockquote>冲突上周升温。周四，该委员会表示通过了五项法案，旨在将部分权力平衡从食品配送平台转移到“陷入困境的夫妻店”。这些法案包括一些简单的立法，例如向食客提供餐厅的直拨电话号码，以及禁止平台对不会导致交易的电话订单向餐厅收费。</blockquote></p><p> But they also include more controversial and likely more consequential rules. One, if put into effect as anticipated, wouldextend temporary capsplaced on the commissions food-delivery platforms can charge restaurants at least until mid-February, 2022. Beyond what was decided last week, the city council says it is also scheduled to review a permanent commission cap bill this month.</p><p><blockquote>但它们也包括更有争议、可能更重要的规则。其中一项措施，如果按预期实施，将把食品配送平台向餐厅收取的佣金的临时上限至少延长至2022年2月中旬。除了上周的决定，市议会表示，它还计划在本月审查一项永久的佣金上限法案。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0376f43b736ee504664bb031aae5fdd\" tg-width=\"742\" tg-height=\"510\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Long-term caps sound ominous for food delivery companies, but the true extent of their effects isn’t fully known. U.S. market leaderDoorDash,DASH-2.12%for example, has reported profits on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization for the last four quarters—pretty much the entirety of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>长期上限对食品配送公司来说听起来不祥，但其影响的真实程度尚不完全清楚。例如，美国市场领导者DoorDash（DAS-2.12%）根据过去四个季度（几乎是整个大流行期间）调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润报告了利润。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the company said in an April blog post that commission caps have caused a “tangible impact” to its business in terms of lessening demand as prices paid by customers have risen to recoup lost dollars.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，该公司在4月份的一篇博客文章中表示，佣金上限对其业务产生了“切实影响”，因为客户支付的价格上涨以弥补损失的美元，从而减少了需求。</blockquote></p><p> Food delivery companies don’t typically break out their economics by city, but a spokesperson for Uber Eats did say it had lost more than $60 million in New York City alone due to pandemic-related commission caps. For food delivery companies, consumers’ price sensitivity is likely to increase post-pandemic as they gain access to in-person dining andrely less on delivery.</p><p><blockquote>食品配送公司通常不会按城市公布其经济状况，但Uber Eats优食的发言人确实表示，由于与大流行相关的佣金上限，仅在纽约市，该公司就损失了超过6000万美元。对于食品配送公司来说，大流行后消费者的价格敏感性可能会增加，因为他们可以亲自用餐，而不是送货。</blockquote></p><p> There are also other threats. The council also voted to require delivery services to share monthly eater information with restaurants if restaurants request it. While it remains unclear as to exactly what data this rule will cover, a summary of the bill suggests it could include eaters’ names, phone numbers, email addresses, home addresses and what is ordered.</p><p><blockquote>还有其他威胁。该委员会还投票决定，如果餐馆提出要求，要求送货服务与餐馆分享每月的食客信息。虽然尚不清楚该规则将涵盖哪些数据，但该法案的摘要表明，它可能包括就餐者的姓名、电话号码、电子邮件地址、家庭住址和点的菜。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10e85c5617a7edb8cfa051b68e6b7240\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"508\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">That would arm restaurants with information they could use to determine where their orders are coming from, helping them to assess delivery platforms’ individual worth. It could also significantly lower switching costs between platforms and help enable restaurants to better access customers themselves.</p><p><blockquote>这将为餐馆提供信息，他们可以用来确定订单来自哪里，帮助他们评估送货平台的个人价值。它还可以显著降低平台之间的转换成本，并有助于餐厅更好地接触顾客。</blockquote></p><p> While a lot has been said of commission caps in food delivery, deciding who has access to eaters’ data is no less controversial. Food-delivery platforms have argued such a law would put eaters’ personal information at risk, noting consumers should be able to opt-in to data sharing rather than opt-out. Others have described third-party delivery as a “gatekeeper” of data with one source likening platforms to a “diner cartel” that is finally being busted.</p><p><blockquote>虽然关于食品配送的佣金上限已经说了很多，但决定谁可以访问食客的数据也同样存在争议。食品配送平台认为，这样的法律会使就餐者的个人信息面临风险，并指出消费者应该能够选择加入数据共享，而不是选择退出。其他人将第三方交付描述为数据的“看门人”，一位消息人士将平台比作最终被捣毁的“餐车卡特尔”。</blockquote></p><p> New York’s move is of particular importance to Grubhub since the city is its largest U.S. market. As of June, Bloomberg Second Measure data show Grubhub and DoorDash were tied with the market share lead in New York City with 35% a piece to Uber Eats’ 29%. Elsewhere, temporary caps have been put into place across many cities and suburbs nationwide. In June, San Francisco became the first city in the U.S. to pass a permanent fee cap.</p><p><blockquote>纽约的举动对Grubhub尤为重要，因为纽约是其在美国最大的市场。截至6月，彭博社Second Measure数据显示，Grubhub和DoorDash在纽约市的市场份额并列领先，分别为35%和29%。在其他地方，全国许多城市和郊区已经实施了临时上限。六月，旧金山成为美国第一个通过永久费用上限的城市。</blockquote></p><p> New York looms large for food delivery. If you can’t make it there, can you make it anywhere?</p><p><blockquote>纽约在食品配送方面显得尤为重要。如果你在那里做不到，你能在任何地方做吗？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/big-apple-takes-bite-out-of-food-delivery-11627910300?mod=rss_markets_main\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/big-apple-takes-bite-out-of-food-delivery-11627910300?mod=rss_markets_main","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190890686","content_text":"New bills passed in New York City could curb some appeal of companies like Grubhub, DoorDash and Uber Eats.\n\nThe New York City Council has long had a bone to pick with food delivery platform Grubhub.During the pandemic, that animus seems to extend to reach the sector more broadly as market share has leveled. Home to about 10% of the U.S. market, and a possible harbinger of local measures elsewhere, the city’s attitude matters a great deal.\nThe conflict heated up last week. On Thursday, the council said it passed five bills meant to shift some of the balance of power away from food delivery platforms toward “struggling mom and pop shops.” The bills include some straightforward legislation like providing a restaurants’ direct telephone number to eaters and prohibiting platforms from charging restaurants for phone orders that don’t result in transactions.\nBut they also include more controversial and likely more consequential rules. One, if put into effect as anticipated, wouldextend temporary capsplaced on the commissions food-delivery platforms can charge restaurants at least until mid-February, 2022. Beyond what was decided last week, the city council says it is also scheduled to review a permanent commission cap bill this month.\nLong-term caps sound ominous for food delivery companies, but the true extent of their effects isn’t fully known. U.S. market leaderDoorDash,DASH-2.12%for example, has reported profits on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization for the last four quarters—pretty much the entirety of the pandemic.\nAt the same time, the company said in an April blog post that commission caps have caused a “tangible impact” to its business in terms of lessening demand as prices paid by customers have risen to recoup lost dollars.\nFood delivery companies don’t typically break out their economics by city, but a spokesperson for Uber Eats did say it had lost more than $60 million in New York City alone due to pandemic-related commission caps. For food delivery companies, consumers’ price sensitivity is likely to increase post-pandemic as they gain access to in-person dining andrely less on delivery.\nThere are also other threats. The council also voted to require delivery services to share monthly eater information with restaurants if restaurants request it. While it remains unclear as to exactly what data this rule will cover, a summary of the bill suggests it could include eaters’ names, phone numbers, email addresses, home addresses and what is ordered.\nThat would arm restaurants with information they could use to determine where their orders are coming from, helping them to assess delivery platforms’ individual worth. It could also significantly lower switching costs between platforms and help enable restaurants to better access customers themselves.\nWhile a lot has been said of commission caps in food delivery, deciding who has access to eaters’ data is no less controversial. Food-delivery platforms have argued such a law would put eaters’ personal information at risk, noting consumers should be able to opt-in to data sharing rather than opt-out. Others have described third-party delivery as a “gatekeeper” of data with one source likening platforms to a “diner cartel” that is finally being busted.\nNew York’s move is of particular importance to Grubhub since the city is its largest U.S. market. As of June, Bloomberg Second Measure data show Grubhub and DoorDash were tied with the market share lead in New York City with 35% a piece to Uber Eats’ 29%. Elsewhere, temporary caps have been put into place across many cities and suburbs nationwide. In June, San Francisco became the first city in the U.S. to pass a permanent fee cap.\nNew York looms large for food delivery. If you can’t make it there, can you make it anywhere?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2965,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150162493,"gmtCreate":1624890162512,"gmtModify":1633947418011,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150162493","repostId":"1150095060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150095060","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624874134,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150095060?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-28 17:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周：滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150095060","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant $DiDi Global Inc.$.DiDi plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.Cybersecurity platform $SentinelOne, Inc$","content":"<p>17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">DiDi Global Inc.</a>.</b></p><p><blockquote>本周17起IPO预计筹集91亿美元，由期待已久的中国网约车巨头领投<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴全球公司。</a>.</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DiDi</b>&nbsp;plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪迪</b>计划以675亿美元的市值筹集39亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用程序，在4000个城镇拥有1500万司机。随着业务在疫情后复苏，这家尚未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增长了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买13亿美元的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵一号公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台，可以摄取、关联和查询PB的结构化和非结构化数据，以提供自主网络安全防御。截至2011年4月30日，该公司快速增长且未盈利，拥有超过4,700名客户，高于一年前的2,700名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform&nbsp;<b>D-MARKET Electronic Services &amp; Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电商平台<b>D-MARKET电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS)计划以39亿美元的市值筹集6.81亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营，在2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万家活跃商户。该公司增长迅速，但EBITDA在2021年第一季度上转为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业，通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度，尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示，它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台，并声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度以EBITDA为基础实现盈利，业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.76亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程，主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务CLEAR Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2011年5月31日，Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚（开曼）有限公司</a></b>计划以60亿美元的市值筹集3.43亿美元。叮咚表示，以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别，是中国发展最快的按需电子商务公司。由于爆炸式增长，该公司在2020年按GMV计算的按需电子商务市场份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness &amp; Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为服务型中小型企业提供垂直定制的集成SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司为三个核心垂直领域的超过500,000名客户提供服务：家庭服务、健康服务以及健身与健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件供应商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.78亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定行业的基于云的软件解决方案。截至2021年3月31日，该公司拥有超过1,600名客户，目前有超过20名客户的合同ARR超过100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.75亿美元。Xometry表示，它是一个领先的人工智能按需制造市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来，已通过Xometry平台制造了超过600万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">积分广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以25亿美元的市值筹集2.4亿美元。该公司的技术提供了旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真人、可在屏幕上查看、并出现在正确地理位置的品牌安全和合适的环境中的指标。截至2011年3月31日，Integral Ad Science在EBIT实现盈利，为2,000多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托瑞德控股</a></b>计划以21亿美元的市值筹集1.56亿美元。按净销售额计算，Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女性大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者营销，这占截至2011年5月1日的12个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen制药公司。</a></b>计划以6.07亿美元的市值筹集1.25亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物ACU193是一种选择性靶向β淀粉样蛋白寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度进入了针对轻度痴呆或AD导致认知障碍患者的1期试验，预计将于2022年底获得数据。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider&nbsp;<b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数科</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港币)$</a>）计划以14亿美元的市值筹集1.2亿美元。尚乘数科表示，它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”，在亚洲运营着全面的数字化解决方案平台。该公司利润呈爆炸式增长，主要通过两个业务线的费用和佣金产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer&nbsp;<b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发人员<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>）计划以3.25亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。Aerovate最初的重点是推进AV-101，这是一种用于治疗肺动脉高压（PAH）的伊马替尼干粉吸入制剂。该公司已完成针对健康志愿者的1期研究，并预计将于2021年下半年开始针对PAH患者的2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节设备提供商<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以3.33亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示，其BAROSTEM NEO产品是第一款也是唯一一款可用于改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者症状的商用神经调节设备。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed&nbsp;<b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克斯阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>）计划以8.03亿美元的市值筹集8700万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统，这是一种通过CE认证的微创舌下神经刺激疗法，用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始在欧洲从Genio产生收入，目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月24日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨2.7%，而标普500上涨13.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.5%，而ACWX指数上涨10.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周：滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周：滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 17:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">DiDi Global Inc.</a>.</b></p><p><blockquote>本周17起IPO预计筹集91亿美元，由期待已久的中国网约车巨头领投<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴全球公司。</a>.</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DiDi</b>&nbsp;plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪迪</b>计划以675亿美元的市值筹集39亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用程序，在4000个城镇拥有1500万司机。随着业务在疫情后复苏，这家尚未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增长了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买13亿美元的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵一号公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台，可以摄取、关联和查询PB的结构化和非结构化数据，以提供自主网络安全防御。截至2011年4月30日，该公司快速增长且未盈利，拥有超过4,700名客户，高于一年前的2,700名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform&nbsp;<b>D-MARKET Electronic Services &amp; Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电商平台<b>D-MARKET电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS)计划以39亿美元的市值筹集6.81亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营，在2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万家活跃商户。该公司增长迅速，但EBITDA在2021年第一季度上转为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业，通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度，尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示，它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台，并声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度以EBITDA为基础实现盈利，业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.76亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程，主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务CLEAR Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2011年5月31日，Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚（开曼）有限公司</a></b>计划以60亿美元的市值筹集3.43亿美元。叮咚表示，以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别，是中国发展最快的按需电子商务公司。由于爆炸式增长，该公司在2020年按GMV计算的按需电子商务市场份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness &amp; Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为服务型中小型企业提供垂直定制的集成SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司为三个核心垂直领域的超过500,000名客户提供服务：家庭服务、健康服务以及健身与健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件供应商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.78亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定行业的基于云的软件解决方案。截至2021年3月31日，该公司拥有超过1,600名客户，目前有超过20名客户的合同ARR超过100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.75亿美元。Xometry表示，它是一个领先的人工智能按需制造市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来，已通过Xometry平台制造了超过600万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">积分广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以25亿美元的市值筹集2.4亿美元。该公司的技术提供了旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真人、可在屏幕上查看、并出现在正确地理位置的品牌安全和合适的环境中的指标。截至2011年3月31日，Integral Ad Science在EBIT实现盈利，为2,000多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托瑞德控股</a></b>计划以21亿美元的市值筹集1.56亿美元。按净销售额计算，Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女性大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者营销，这占截至2011年5月1日的12个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen制药公司。</a></b>计划以6.07亿美元的市值筹集1.25亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物ACU193是一种选择性靶向β淀粉样蛋白寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度进入了针对轻度痴呆或AD导致认知障碍患者的1期试验，预计将于2022年底获得数据。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider&nbsp;<b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数科</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港币)$</a>）计划以14亿美元的市值筹集1.2亿美元。尚乘数科表示，它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”，在亚洲运营着全面的数字化解决方案平台。该公司利润呈爆炸式增长，主要通过两个业务线的费用和佣金产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer&nbsp;<b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发人员<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>）计划以3.25亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。Aerovate最初的重点是推进AV-101，这是一种用于治疗肺动脉高压（PAH）的伊马替尼干粉吸入制剂。该公司已完成针对健康志愿者的1期研究，并预计将于2021年下半年开始针对PAH患者的2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节设备提供商<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以3.33亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示，其BAROSTEM NEO产品是第一款也是唯一一款可用于改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者症状的商用神经调节设备。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed&nbsp;<b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克斯阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>）计划以8.03亿美元的市值筹集8700万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统，这是一种通过CE认证的微创舌下神经刺激疗法，用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始在欧洲从Genio产生收入，目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月24日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨2.7%，而标普500上涨13.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.5%，而ACWX指数上涨10.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EVCM":"EverCommerce Inc.","CURV":"Torrid Holdings","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","INTA":"Intapp, Inc.","CVRX":"CVRx, Inc.","LZ":"LegalZoom.com, Inc","YOU":"Clear Secure, Inc.","DDL":"叮咚买菜","S":"SentinelOne, Inc","IAS":"Integral Ad Science Holding","XMTR":"Xometry, Inc.","DNUT":"Krispy Kreme, Inc.","HEPS":"D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading","ABOS":"Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150095060","content_text":"17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant DiDi Global Inc..\nDiDi plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.\nCybersecurity platform SentinelOne, Inc plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.\nTurkish e-commerce platform D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.\nDoughnut brand Krispy Kreme, Inc. plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.\nLegal solutions provider LegalZoom.com, Inc plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.\nIdentity verification platform Clear Secure, Inc. plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.\nChinese grocery delivery platform Dingdong (Cayman) Limited plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.\nSaaS solutions provider EverCommerce Inc. plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness & Wellness Services.\nSoftware provider Intapp, Inc. plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.\nOnline manufacturing marketplace Xometry, Inc. plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.\nIntegral Ad Science Holding LLC plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.\nPlus-sized women’s apparel brand Torrid Holdings plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.\nAlzheimer’s biotech Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.\nDigital financial services provider AMTD Digital($(HKD)$) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.\nDrug formulation developer Aerovate Therapeutics($(AVTE)$) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.\nNeuromodulation device provider CVRx Inc plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.\nBelgium-listed Nyxoah($(NYXH)$) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"YOU":0.9,"IAS":0.9,"ABOS":0.9,"EVCM":0.9,"HKIB":0.9,"LZ":0.9,"DDL":0.9,"CURV":0.9,"HEPS":0.9,"DIDI":0.9,"INTA":0.9,"S":0.9,"XMTR":0.9,"CVRX":0.9,"DNUT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371642146,"gmtCreate":1618933784785,"gmtModify":1634289767512,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371642146","repostId":"2128841791","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106512585,"gmtCreate":1620133523347,"gmtModify":1634207583660,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please! :)","listText":"Like and comment please! :)","text":"Like and comment please! :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106512585","repostId":"1141446343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141446343","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620108260,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141446343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 14:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141446343","media":"seeking alpha","summary":"Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoftfounder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway, Waste Management, Caterpillar, Canadian National, Walmart, EcoLab, Crown Castle, ","content":"<p><ul><li>Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.</li><li>In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).</li><li>Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.</li><li>The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">Atreca</a>(NASDAQ:BCEL).</li><li>Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago.&nbsp;This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管这对夫妇在一份声明中向公众保证，尽管结束了婚姻，他们仍将继续在基金会合作，但有关微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）创始人和他27年的合作伙伴的消息可能会给他们的项目带来冲击波。</li><li>在比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会信托基金截至2020年12月31日的最新13F文件中，按价值降序排列的最大持股包括伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(NYSE：BRK.B)、废物管理公司(NYSE：WM)、卡特彼勒(NYSE：CAT)、加拿大国家航空公司(NYSE：CNI)、沃尔玛(NYSE：WMT)、艺康(NYSE：ECL)、皇冠城堡(NYSE：CCI)、联邦快递(NYSE：FDX)和UPS(NYSE：UPS)。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>该基金会持有大量股份（超过已发行股票的10%）的股票包括薛定谔（纳斯达克股票代码：SDGR）和可口可乐Femsa（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KOF）。</li><li>大多数其他持股的市值低于10亿美元，其所有权仅占相关股票已发行股份的不到3%。</li><li>比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会在最新的季度文件中披露了Amyris（纳斯达克：AMRS）、Vir Biotech（纳斯达克：VIR）、BionTech（纳斯达克：BNTX）、Curevac（纳斯达克：CVAC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">阿特雷卡</a>（纳斯达克：BCEL）。</li><li>我们的读者可能还记得两年前世界首富杰夫·贝索斯和他的合伙人麦肯兹·斯科特宣布分手的时候。他们的财富就是这样在他们之间分配的。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-04 14:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.</li><li>In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).</li><li>Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.</li><li>The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">Atreca</a>(NASDAQ:BCEL).</li><li>Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago.&nbsp;This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管这对夫妇在一份声明中向公众保证，尽管结束了婚姻，他们仍将继续在基金会合作，但有关微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）创始人和他27年的合作伙伴的消息可能会给他们的项目带来冲击波。</li><li>在比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会信托基金截至2020年12月31日的最新13F文件中，按价值降序排列的最大持股包括伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(NYSE：BRK.B)、废物管理公司(NYSE：WM)、卡特彼勒(NYSE：CAT)、加拿大国家航空公司(NYSE：CNI)、沃尔玛(NYSE：WMT)、艺康(NYSE：ECL)、皇冠城堡(NYSE：CCI)、联邦快递(NYSE：FDX)和UPS(NYSE：UPS)。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>该基金会持有大量股份（超过已发行股票的10%）的股票包括薛定谔（纳斯达克股票代码：SDGR）和可口可乐Femsa（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KOF）。</li><li>大多数其他持股的市值低于10亿美元，其所有权仅占相关股票已发行股份的不到3%。</li><li>比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会在最新的季度文件中披露了Amyris（纳斯达克：AMRS）、Vir Biotech（纳斯达克：VIR）、BionTech（纳斯达克：BNTX）、Curevac（纳斯达克：CVAC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">阿特雷卡</a>（纳斯达克：BCEL）。</li><li>我们的读者可能还记得两年前世界首富杰夫·贝索斯和他的合伙人麦肯兹·斯科特宣布分手的时候。他们的财富就是这样在他们之间分配的。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3689813-bill-and-melinda-gates-are-getting-divorced-here-are-some-stocks-they-owned\">seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SDGR":"Schrodinger Inc.","CCI":"冠城","MSFT":"微软","WMT":"沃尔玛","WCLD":"WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund","WM":"美国废物管理","CAT":"卡特彼勒","UPS":"联合包裹","CVAC":"CureVac B.V.","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","VIR":"Vir Biotechnology, Inc.","CNI":"加拿大国家铁路","AMRS":"阿米瑞斯","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","KOF":"可口可乐凡萨瓶装","FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3689813-bill-and-melinda-gates-are-getting-divorced-here-are-some-stocks-they-owned","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141446343","content_text":"Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).Two stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and Atreca(NASDAQ:BCEL).Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago. This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FDX":0.9,"KOF":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"WM":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"WCLD":0.9,"CAT":0.9,"BCEL":0.9,"CCI":0.9,"AMRS":0.9,"UPS":0.9,"CVAC":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"VIR":0.9,"SDGR":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"CNI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893825492,"gmtCreate":1628256359916,"gmtModify":1631890090585,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893825492","repostId":"1155656235","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155656235","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628227304,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155656235?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 13:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155656235","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector\nAnalysts see stellar sales ","content":"<p>Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector</p><p><blockquote>在该行业反弹的推动下，云ETF接近历史新高</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78101d8010e186fe4df59b2ef82b5de6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Analysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师预计，提供云服务的公司未来将实现强劲的销售增长。（盖蒂图片社/iStockphoto）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> U.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.</p><p><blockquote>尽管来自中国的传言和德尔塔变异毒株感染人数激增，但美国投资者仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.</p><p><blockquote>云公司——那些处于计算能力向互联网分布式模式转变前沿的公司——预计将在未来几年快速增长，覆盖该领域的五家最大交易所交易基金中有四家即将创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>下面是这些ETF持有的股票屏幕，显示了预计到2023年销售额增幅最大的股票。在一个许多参与者处于相对早期阶段的行业中，销售额的增长而不是盈利的增长可能是股价的最佳驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> To begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们查看了五只最大的云ETF：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36209ce827d95e822cad5128be8b146a\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.</p><p><blockquote>ETF可能是您采取广泛方法长期参与云革命的最佳方式。如果您对任何ETF感兴趣，您应该查看基金经理的网站。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF&nbsp;and the Invesco QQQ Trust&nbsp;(which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:</p><p><blockquote>以下是截至8月4日的总回报比较，以及SPDR标普500 ETF和Invesco QQQ Trust（跟踪纳斯达克100指数）的总回报比较：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242f135b3c7cca3cbaae3ee574023c1f\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"577\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF&nbsp;is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.</p><p><blockquote>ETF的方法不同。例如，方舟下一代互联网ETF是唯一一只主动管理的。其他人跟踪一个指数。根据Ark Invest 8月5日发布的信息，它也是唯一一家持有特斯拉公司股票的公司，占投资组合的10.65%。特斯拉是一家电动汽车制造商，但它也可以被视为一家云公司，因为它不断通过互联网分发软件更新，并提供其他基于云的服务。</blockquote></p><p> Another holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.</p><p><blockquote>在五只云ETF中，ARKW独有的另一个持股是华特迪士尼公司，该公司通过其Disney+流媒体服务无疑是一个重要的云参与者，即使该公司没有直接说明其销售额有多少来自该快速增长的部分。</blockquote></p><p> As part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:</p><p><blockquote>作为对ARKW描述的一部分，FactSet表示如下：</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“从广义上讲，ARKW的管理者似乎专注于物联网、云计算、数字货币和可穿戴技术等热门词汇。虽然该基金的重点可能是吸引对这些新技术有信心的投资者，但投资组合的实施是一项更加困难的任务：大多数开发这些进步的公司都是大公司，新兴技术仅占总收入的一小部分。因此，很难纯粹接触ARKW的目标技术，因此请务必确认该基金的持股（而不仅仅是其论点）与您对该领域的看法一致。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cloud-stock screen</b></p><p><blockquote><b>云库存屏幕</b></blockquote></p><p> Together, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)</p><p><blockquote>上面列出的五只云ETF总共持有147只股票。为了预测2023年的销售增长，我们使用2020年日历的销售预测作为基线，然后查看FactSet调查的分析师对随后三年的一致预测（如果有）。（2020年的数字是估计值，因为许多公司的财年与日历不符。）</blockquote></p><p> To make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.</p><p><blockquote>为了确保我们有一套可靠的估计，我们将该小组限制在FactSet调查的至少5名分析师覆盖的126家公司，这些公司可以获得2020年至2023年的一致销售估计。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:</p><p><blockquote>以下是预计到2023年销售额复合年增长率(CAGR)最高的20家公司：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/517a23591cde159fb889ab80abc4bcc6\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"765\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af2cf5b5f9f0ce50f8f023ac7babc7f\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"717\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b88ebe72e09cb9ce3294269f0a4ae431\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A&nbsp;and Class C&nbsp;shares.</p><p><blockquote>实际上有21只股票上市，包括Zillow Group Inc.的A类和C类股票。</blockquote></p><p> It is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，该榜单以ARKW持有的股票为主。该基金对云公司有广泛的定义，也关注销售增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是基于未来12个月共识预测的当前远期市销率、当前市值与2023年预计销售额的比率以及分析师对这些股票的意见摘要。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b9c4bf1d8b1abcfa76b7d008a47ad7\" tg-width=\"938\" tg-height=\"805\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff191189c5d7d2f31698843734ca3cc\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9543489c4d52d3f1a69dfdcf170115\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，SPDR标普500指数ETF的远期市销率为2.8，2023年预计市销率为2.6。对于QQQ，目前的市盈率为4.7，2023年将降至4.3。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-06 13:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector</p><p><blockquote>在该行业反弹的推动下，云ETF接近历史新高</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78101d8010e186fe4df59b2ef82b5de6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Analysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师预计，提供云服务的公司未来将实现强劲的销售增长。（盖蒂图片社/iStockphoto）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> U.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.</p><p><blockquote>尽管来自中国的传言和德尔塔变异毒株感染人数激增，但美国投资者仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.</p><p><blockquote>云公司——那些处于计算能力向互联网分布式模式转变前沿的公司——预计将在未来几年快速增长，覆盖该领域的五家最大交易所交易基金中有四家即将创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>下面是这些ETF持有的股票屏幕，显示了预计到2023年销售额增幅最大的股票。在一个许多参与者处于相对早期阶段的行业中，销售额的增长而不是盈利的增长可能是股价的最佳驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> To begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们查看了五只最大的云ETF：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36209ce827d95e822cad5128be8b146a\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.</p><p><blockquote>ETF可能是您采取广泛方法长期参与云革命的最佳方式。如果您对任何ETF感兴趣，您应该查看基金经理的网站。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF&nbsp;and the Invesco QQQ Trust&nbsp;(which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:</p><p><blockquote>以下是截至8月4日的总回报比较，以及SPDR标普500 ETF和Invesco QQQ Trust（跟踪纳斯达克100指数）的总回报比较：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242f135b3c7cca3cbaae3ee574023c1f\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"577\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF&nbsp;is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.</p><p><blockquote>ETF的方法不同。例如，方舟下一代互联网ETF是唯一一只主动管理的。其他人跟踪一个指数。根据Ark Invest 8月5日发布的信息，它也是唯一一家持有特斯拉公司股票的公司，占投资组合的10.65%。特斯拉是一家电动汽车制造商，但它也可以被视为一家云公司，因为它不断通过互联网分发软件更新，并提供其他基于云的服务。</blockquote></p><p> Another holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.</p><p><blockquote>在五只云ETF中，ARKW独有的另一个持股是华特迪士尼公司，该公司通过其Disney+流媒体服务无疑是一个重要的云参与者，即使该公司没有直接说明其销售额有多少来自该快速增长的部分。</blockquote></p><p> As part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:</p><p><blockquote>作为对ARKW描述的一部分，FactSet表示如下：</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“从广义上讲，ARKW的管理者似乎专注于物联网、云计算、数字货币和可穿戴技术等热门词汇。虽然该基金的重点可能是吸引对这些新技术有信心的投资者，但投资组合的实施是一项更加困难的任务：大多数开发这些进步的公司都是大公司，新兴技术仅占总收入的一小部分。因此，很难纯粹接触ARKW的目标技术，因此请务必确认该基金的持股（而不仅仅是其论点）与您对该领域的看法一致。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cloud-stock screen</b></p><p><blockquote><b>云库存屏幕</b></blockquote></p><p> Together, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)</p><p><blockquote>上面列出的五只云ETF总共持有147只股票。为了预测2023年的销售增长，我们使用2020年日历的销售预测作为基线，然后查看FactSet调查的分析师对随后三年的一致预测（如果有）。（2020年的数字是估计值，因为许多公司的财年与日历不符。）</blockquote></p><p> To make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.</p><p><blockquote>为了确保我们有一套可靠的估计，我们将该小组限制在FactSet调查的至少5名分析师覆盖的126家公司，这些公司可以获得2020年至2023年的一致销售估计。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:</p><p><blockquote>以下是预计到2023年销售额复合年增长率(CAGR)最高的20家公司：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/517a23591cde159fb889ab80abc4bcc6\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"765\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af2cf5b5f9f0ce50f8f023ac7babc7f\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"717\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b88ebe72e09cb9ce3294269f0a4ae431\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A&nbsp;and Class C&nbsp;shares.</p><p><blockquote>实际上有21只股票上市，包括Zillow Group Inc.的A类和C类股票。</blockquote></p><p> It is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，该榜单以ARKW持有的股票为主。该基金对云公司有广泛的定义，也关注销售增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是基于未来12个月共识预测的当前远期市销率、当前市值与2023年预计销售额的比率以及分析师对这些股票的意见摘要。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b9c4bf1d8b1abcfa76b7d008a47ad7\" tg-width=\"938\" tg-height=\"805\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff191189c5d7d2f31698843734ca3cc\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9543489c4d52d3f1a69dfdcf170115\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，SPDR标普500指数ETF的远期市销率为2.8，2023年预计市销率为2.6。对于QQQ，目前的市盈率为4.7，2023年将降至4.3。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-cloud-stocks-expected-to-increase-sales-the-most-over-the-next-two-years-11628186683?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","ZG":"Zillow Class A","PDD":"拼多多","MELI":"MercadoLibre","ADYEY":"Adyen N.V.","ROKU":"Roku Inc","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc.","SE":"Sea Ltd","OKTA":"Okta Inc.","KC":"金山云","SNAP":"Snap Inc","VCYT":"Veracyte Inc","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉","SKLZ":"Skillz Inc","LC":"LendingClub"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-cloud-stocks-expected-to-increase-sales-the-most-over-the-next-two-years-11628186683?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155656235","content_text":"Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector\nAnalysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)\nU.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.\nCloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.\nBelow is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.\nTo begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:\nSource: FactSet\nETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.\nHere’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and the Invesco QQQ Trust (which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:\nSource: FactSet\nThe ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.\nAnother holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.\nAs part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:\n“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”\nCloud-stock screen\nTogether, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)\nTo make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.\nHere are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:\n\nSource: FactSet\nThere are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A and Class C shares.\nIt is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.\nHere are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.\n\nSource: FactSet\nIn comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VCYT":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,"KC":0.9,"ZG":0.9,"OKTA":0.9,"MELI":0.9,"SHOP":0.9,"SNAP":0.9,"Z":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,"SQ":0.9,"SKLZ":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"PINS":0.9,"SE":0.9,"CRWD":0.9,"ADYEY":0.9,"TDOC":0.9,"LC":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2983,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152528229,"gmtCreate":1625315794661,"gmtModify":1633941531956,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152528229","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178364884,"gmtCreate":1626788757048,"gmtModify":1631893822308,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and commenT please","listText":"Like and commenT please","text":"Like and commenT please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178364884","repostId":"1188133258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188133258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626787650,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188133258?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 21:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛表示“不要逢低买入”，原因如下...</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188133258","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-we","content":"<p>At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高盛交易员约翰·弗洛德（John Flood）正确地表示，我们正在进入一年中最好的两周季节性时期，本月的前18天传统上是市场最强劲的时期...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7dc88222112e4655f492c56509f9d64\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.</p><p><blockquote>...随后预测空头将不得不回补，在此期间，我们看到16个交易日中有13个交易日创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&amp;P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在过去3天里，当S&amp;P加速下滑时，这一切都崩溃了，并在周一的可怕溃败中达到高潮，当时收益率暴跌引发了人们对美国经济正直接陷入滞胀崩溃的恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> And yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"<b>don't buy this dip.</b>\" He explains why:</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着期货反弹，交易者明显表现出抓住几个月来最快下跌的刀的愿望，我们惊讶地发现，正确预测7月上半月市场上涨的约翰·弗洛德(John Flood)现在已经完全翻转了，并在隔夜发表的一份说明中写道“<b>不要买这个蘸酱。</b>”他解释了原因：</blockquote></p><p>   I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).    <b>99% of S&amp;P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).</b>Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.    Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.  And here are the 10 key<i>bearish</i>developments Flood is monitoring:</p><p><blockquote>我是一个持续的逢低买入者，但这种波动感觉不同，我正在为本周走弱的磁带做好准备。负面的Covid头条新闻正在加速。发行龙头完全打开，这篇论文越来越难从我的座位上放置（在上周与发行相关的一些波涛汹涌的px行动之后）。<b>99%的S&amp;P 500公司将进入下周的回购封锁期，供应方面的量化流动仍然不对称（也就是CTA卖家将赢得这场拉锯战）。</b>上周的收益很好，但没有得到回报（银行）……本周和下周是收益期最繁忙的两周。随着FAAMG综合体背负着指数的重量，整体市场广度继续消散。对于零售界来说，7月并不是一个有趣的月份（潜在的零售出价正在减弱）。从1年的回顾来看，高频长度最近有了显著的增长，但从3年的基础上来看，净和毛都远高于第50百分位（这里还有更多的木头要砍）。在中美紧张局势加剧之际，机构界继续降低中国ADR后滴滴发展的风险。所有人都认为10年期国债收益率将在2021年首次远低于200日均线1.26。没有必要按下恐慌按钮，但我计划在接下来的几次会议中耐心购买门票。以下是10个关键<i>看跌</i>洪水正在监测的事态发展：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1)周末的Covid头条新闻是我在2021年见过的最负面的。以下是让我印象深刻的5个...</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>U.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC</li>  <li>The CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG</li>  <li>CDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT</li>  <li>First Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)</li>  <li>The UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times</li> </ul> <b>2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上周美国感染人数激增超过60%，超过全球16%的增幅。FDA前局长斯科特·戈特利布(Scott Gottlieb)表示，Delta病例可能被低估。这位博士警告说，美国“大大低估”了COVID delta在国内的传播水平。CNBC</li><li>疾病预防控制中心警告称，随着该国接种率较低地区的病例、住院和死亡人数上升，将出现“未接种疫苗的大流行”。BBG</li><li>疾病预防控制中心表示，随着新冠疫情统计数据持续恶化，美国其他主要城市可能会效仿洛杉矶，重新实施口罩强制令。FT</li><li>就在东京奥运会预计开始前几天，第一批东京奥运会运动员的新冠病毒检测呈阳性（科科·高夫是退出奥运会的最引人注目的美国运动员）</li><li>英国表示，无论疫苗接种情况如何，来自法国的旅行者都需要隔离10天，这一声明“让假期陷入混乱”。伦敦时报</li></ul><b>2）这是一个纸党，这张纸越来越难放置。上周我们在美国对11笔注册交易进行了定价（名义价值30亿美元），本周我们已经在处理另外18笔交易（名义价值100亿美元）。这在七月底尤其值得注意。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3)第二季度财报发布仅一周，但银行告诉我们要期待好消息，但不要指望这些好消息会得到回报。又名卖方的估计仍然太低，头寸仍然拥挤。自摩根大通上周二上午公布大型科技银行财报（基本上全面上涨）以来，银行指数已下跌355个基点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4）我们正处于企业回购封锁期，这将持续到2011年7月23日....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aaf1e5d45694a097b50a91dbde1c820\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5）系统流是不对称的...（又名CTA是上下磁带中的卖家）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bba4d70220e9707ea2844810c1a10b2\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6）市场广度继续恶化（上个月ATH为100）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39de9052680301024db46173d0dce29f\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7)又名，如果没有FAAMG最近的出色价格走势，市场将会遇到一些麻烦……</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ae0c7eead73ad8dc2ecc63bcbd9e27e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT</b></p><p><blockquote><b>8)与中国的紧张局势不断升级，我们看到ADR的风险持续降低：白宫指责中国对微软的电子邮件系统进行大规模黑客攻击，并将组建北约成员国联盟谴责北京的网络活动。纽约时报</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9)零售支持MTD一直在减弱....（GS高零售情绪篮子）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d1bdeccdbb13bda1edf2982fd29b9c\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"737\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>1</b><b>0) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1</b><b>0）回顾1年，基本L/S定位有了显着提高....回顾3年，仍然很高....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588f67823e6fabf1df2586491f930477\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"105\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛表示“不要逢低买入”，原因如下...</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 21:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高盛交易员约翰·弗洛德（John Flood）正确地表示，我们正在进入一年中最好的两周季节性时期，本月的前18天传统上是市场最强劲的时期...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7dc88222112e4655f492c56509f9d64\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.</p><p><blockquote>...随后预测空头将不得不回补，在此期间，我们看到16个交易日中有13个交易日创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&amp;P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在过去3天里，当S&amp;P加速下滑时，这一切都崩溃了，并在周一的可怕溃败中达到高潮，当时收益率暴跌引发了人们对美国经济正直接陷入滞胀崩溃的恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> And yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"<b>don't buy this dip.</b>\" He explains why:</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着期货反弹，交易者明显表现出抓住几个月来最快下跌的刀的愿望，我们惊讶地发现，正确预测7月上半月市场上涨的约翰·弗洛德(John Flood)现在已经完全翻转了，并在隔夜发表的一份说明中写道“<b>不要买这个蘸酱。</b>”他解释了原因：</blockquote></p><p>   I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).    <b>99% of S&amp;P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).</b>Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.    Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.  And here are the 10 key<i>bearish</i>developments Flood is monitoring:</p><p><blockquote>我是一个持续的逢低买入者，但这种波动感觉不同，我正在为本周走弱的磁带做好准备。负面的Covid头条新闻正在加速。发行龙头完全打开，这篇论文越来越难从我的座位上放置（在上周与发行相关的一些波涛汹涌的px行动之后）。<b>99%的S&amp;P 500公司将进入下周的回购封锁期，供应方面的量化流动仍然不对称（也就是CTA卖家将赢得这场拉锯战）。</b>上周的收益很好，但没有得到回报（银行）……本周和下周是收益期最繁忙的两周。随着FAAMG综合体背负着指数的重量，整体市场广度继续消散。对于零售界来说，7月并不是一个有趣的月份（潜在的零售出价正在减弱）。从1年的回顾来看，高频长度最近有了显著的增长，但从3年的基础上来看，净和毛都远高于第50百分位（这里还有更多的木头要砍）。在中美紧张局势加剧之际，机构界继续降低中国ADR后滴滴发展的风险。所有人都认为10年期国债收益率将在2021年首次远低于200日均线1.26。没有必要按下恐慌按钮，但我计划在接下来的几次会议中耐心购买门票。以下是10个关键<i>看跌</i>洪水正在监测的事态发展：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1)周末的Covid头条新闻是我在2021年见过的最负面的。以下是让我印象深刻的5个...</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>U.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC</li>  <li>The CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG</li>  <li>CDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT</li>  <li>First Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)</li>  <li>The UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times</li> </ul> <b>2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上周美国感染人数激增超过60%，超过全球16%的增幅。FDA前局长斯科特·戈特利布(Scott Gottlieb)表示，Delta病例可能被低估。这位博士警告说，美国“大大低估”了COVID delta在国内的传播水平。CNBC</li><li>疾病预防控制中心警告称，随着该国接种率较低地区的病例、住院和死亡人数上升，将出现“未接种疫苗的大流行”。BBG</li><li>疾病预防控制中心表示，随着新冠疫情统计数据持续恶化，美国其他主要城市可能会效仿洛杉矶，重新实施口罩强制令。FT</li><li>就在东京奥运会预计开始前几天，第一批东京奥运会运动员的新冠病毒检测呈阳性（科科·高夫是退出奥运会的最引人注目的美国运动员）</li><li>英国表示，无论疫苗接种情况如何，来自法国的旅行者都需要隔离10天，这一声明“让假期陷入混乱”。伦敦时报</li></ul><b>2）这是一个纸党，这张纸越来越难放置。上周我们在美国对11笔注册交易进行了定价（名义价值30亿美元），本周我们已经在处理另外18笔交易（名义价值100亿美元）。这在七月底尤其值得注意。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3)第二季度财报发布仅一周，但银行告诉我们要期待好消息，但不要指望这些好消息会得到回报。又名卖方的估计仍然太低，头寸仍然拥挤。自摩根大通上周二上午公布大型科技银行财报（基本上全面上涨）以来，银行指数已下跌355个基点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4）我们正处于企业回购封锁期，这将持续到2011年7月23日....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aaf1e5d45694a097b50a91dbde1c820\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5）系统流是不对称的...（又名CTA是上下磁带中的卖家）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bba4d70220e9707ea2844810c1a10b2\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6）市场广度继续恶化（上个月ATH为100）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39de9052680301024db46173d0dce29f\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7)又名，如果没有FAAMG最近的出色价格走势，市场将会遇到一些麻烦……</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ae0c7eead73ad8dc2ecc63bcbd9e27e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT</b></p><p><blockquote><b>8)与中国的紧张局势不断升级，我们看到ADR的风险持续降低：白宫指责中国对微软的电子邮件系统进行大规模黑客攻击，并将组建北约成员国联盟谴责北京的网络活动。纽约时报</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9)零售支持MTD一直在减弱....（GS高零售情绪篮子）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d1bdeccdbb13bda1edf2982fd29b9c\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"737\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>1</b><b>0) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1</b><b>0）回顾1年，基本L/S定位有了显着提高....回顾3年，仍然很高....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588f67823e6fabf1df2586491f930477\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"105\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-dont-buy-dip-and-heres-why?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-dont-buy-dip-and-heres-why?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188133258","content_text":"At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...\n\n... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.\nOf course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.\nAnd yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"don't buy this dip.\" He explains why:\n\n I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).\n\n\n99% of S&P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.\n\n\n Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.\n\nAnd here are the 10 keybearishdevelopments Flood is monitoring:\n1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...\n\nU.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC\nThe CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG\nCDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT\nFirst Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)\nThe UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times\n\n2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.\n3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.\n4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....\n5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....\n6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....\n7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...\n\n8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT\n9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....\n\n10) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173360388,"gmtCreate":1626617678544,"gmtModify":1631893822310,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment 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please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164607834","repostId":"1133385197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116516186,"gmtCreate":1622811329945,"gmtModify":1634097797334,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please. Thanks!","listText":"Like and comment please. Thanks!","text":"Like and comment please. Thanks!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116516186","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但下一个十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果的增长在过去十年中有所放缓，未来几年也可能不会成为增长怪物。</li><li>股价具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock社论，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能会有所不同。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，苹果的股价在十年后仍可能大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前，股票回报率为900%，复合年回报率约为26%，轻松击败了同期大盘的回报率。重要的是，该公司股价的涨幅远远超过了该公司的市值，而该公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅减少了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是商业上非常成功的时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的兴起，同时也在手表和平板电脑等新产品上取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新产品类别推出。目前，股价为125美元，过去12个月上涨57%，但2021年迄今下跌6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整格局，这并不令人意外，因为苹果的估值最近已经扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前的一致目标价为156美元，这意味着25%的上涨潜力。由于目前没有迹象表明股价会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年后苹果股票会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，苹果2031年的股价是无法准确预测的。正如历史一次又一次地表明的那样，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以设计情景来了解在某些条件下未来股价的走势，从而了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建这样的场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去曾经历过多年的强劲增长和多年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释，例如。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的强度，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。2010年代初，苹果凭借iPhone的“胜利之路”实现了巨大增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长速度放缓。甚至有一些年份的收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年的强劲增长推动了这一增长率时，假设苹果将增长10%可能不太合理。未来一年也是如此。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就变得越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在其产品价格上涨以及中国等高增长国家市场份额增长的潜力（越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格较高的产品）的背景下，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致更高的应用支出——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像iPhone那样庞大），苹果应该能够以稳健的速度发展其业务。我个人认为5%-7%的收入增长率可能是未来几年的现实估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的意见。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅减少其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了36%的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股票在公司价值中的份额将上涨56%，即年化4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年的股票数量仅减少了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股票数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至25%时，当我们考虑每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约3%的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我5%-7%的业务增长预测，我因此假设苹果的每股长期增长将达到8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去的估值范围很广，其股票在某些时候的市盈率非常低，而投资者在其他时候愿意支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的10倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，2020年底，该公司的股价高达该公司净利润的40倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL的往绩市盈率为28倍，远期利润约为24倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去3年、5年、7年和10年的市盈率中位数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期内中值较高。我不认为AAPL的市盈率会达到过去十年平均市盈率的15.5倍，因为对于像苹果这样拥有强大品牌、庞大规模的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。、巨大的利润和堡垒般的资产负债表。另一方面，我也不相信苹果的市盈率会永远保持在24-28倍——对于一家业务增长稳健但不引人注目的中个位数的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，尤其如此，在其他条件相同的情况下，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力。因此，我认为2031年净利润20倍左右的估值可能是合理的估计，这或多或少与3年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从2021年每股收益估计为5.15美元开始计算，并假设到2031年每年增长7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为10.10美元至13.40美元。将市盈率定为20倍，目标价约为每股200-270美元。因此，在235美元左右的中点，股价将较当前水平上涨约90%，年化涨幅约为6.5%。这肯定是一个不错的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，苹果公司在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报率不太兴奋。当我们考虑到，如果苹果的估值下降，例如由于利率上升，股价在未来1-3年内确实存在相当大的下行风险，目前保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现出色。目前，我对苹果的评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意并倾向于在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说，该股在未来十年确实有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但下一个十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果的增长在过去十年中有所放缓，未来几年也可能不会成为增长怪物。</li><li>股价具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock社论，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能会有所不同。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，苹果的股价在十年后仍可能大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前，股票回报率为900%，复合年回报率约为26%，轻松击败了同期大盘的回报率。重要的是，该公司股价的涨幅远远超过了该公司的市值，而该公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅减少了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是商业上非常成功的时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的兴起，同时也在手表和平板电脑等新产品上取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新产品类别推出。目前，股价为125美元，过去12个月上涨57%，但2021年迄今下跌6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整格局，这并不令人意外，因为苹果的估值最近已经扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前的一致目标价为156美元，这意味着25%的上涨潜力。由于目前没有迹象表明股价会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年后苹果股票会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，苹果2031年的股价是无法准确预测的。正如历史一次又一次地表明的那样，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以设计情景来了解在某些条件下未来股价的走势，从而了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建这样的场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去曾经历过多年的强劲增长和多年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释，例如。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的强度，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。2010年代初，苹果凭借iPhone的“胜利之路”实现了巨大增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长速度放缓。甚至有一些年份的收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年的强劲增长推动了这一增长率时，假设苹果将增长10%可能不太合理。未来一年也是如此。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就变得越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在其产品价格上涨以及中国等高增长国家市场份额增长的潜力（越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格较高的产品）的背景下，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致更高的应用支出——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像iPhone那样庞大），苹果应该能够以稳健的速度发展其业务。我个人认为5%-7%的收入增长率可能是未来几年的现实估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的意见。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅减少其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了36%的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股票在公司价值中的份额将上涨56%，即年化4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年的股票数量仅减少了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股票数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至25%时，当我们考虑每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约3%的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我5%-7%的业务增长预测，我因此假设苹果的每股长期增长将达到8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去的估值范围很广，其股票在某些时候的市盈率非常低，而投资者在其他时候愿意支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的10倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，2020年底，该公司的股价高达该公司净利润的40倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL的往绩市盈率为28倍，远期利润约为24倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去3年、5年、7年和10年的市盈率中位数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期内中值较高。我不认为AAPL的市盈率会达到过去十年平均市盈率的15.5倍，因为对于像苹果这样拥有强大品牌、庞大规模的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。、巨大的利润和堡垒般的资产负债表。另一方面，我也不相信苹果的市盈率会永远保持在24-28倍——对于一家业务增长稳健但不引人注目的中个位数的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，尤其如此，在其他条件相同的情况下，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力。因此，我认为2031年净利润20倍左右的估值可能是合理的估计，这或多或少与3年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从2021年每股收益估计为5.15美元开始计算，并假设到2031年每年增长7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为10.10美元至13.40美元。将市盈率定为20倍，目标价约为每股200-270美元。因此，在235美元左右的中点，股价将较当前水平上涨约90%，年化涨幅约为6.5%。这肯定是一个不错的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，苹果公司在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报率不太兴奋。当我们考虑到，如果苹果的估值下降，例如由于利率上升，股价在未来1-3年内确实存在相当大的下行风险，目前保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现出色。目前，我对苹果的评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意并倾向于在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说，该股在未来十年确实有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102537359,"gmtCreate":1620223366971,"gmtModify":1634206864663,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jia you!!&nbsp;","listText":"Jia you!!&nbsp;","text":"Jia you!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102537359","repostId":"1115822888","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":109594513,"gmtCreate":1619704125332,"gmtModify":1631886537879,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>:((","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>:((","text":"$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$:((","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e26684583c9300d498ac82679a3c8cbd","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109594513","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117426424,"gmtCreate":1623158497868,"gmtModify":1634036351963,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please :)","listText":"Like and comment please :)","text":"Like and comment please :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117426424","repostId":"1134112696","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134112696","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623153084,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134112696?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-08 19:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134112696","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 8) U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the o","content":"<p>(June 8)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the opening bell as investors awaited data on the scale of the trade deficit.</p><p><blockquote>（6月8日）美国。周二股指期货涨跌互现，由于投资者等待贸易逆差规模的数据，道琼斯指数开盘时可能温和下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Futures tied to the broad S&amp;P 500 index wavered between gains and losses. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked 0.2% lower. On Monday,the blue-chip index briefly climbed into record territorybefore ending the session down 0.4%. Nasdaq-100 futures edged up 0.2%, pointing to subdued gains for technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与广泛的标普500指数挂钩的期货在涨跌之间波动。道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌0.2%。周一，蓝筹股指数短暂攀升至历史新高，最终下跌0.4%。纳斯达克100指数期货小幅上涨0.2%，表明科技股涨幅低迷。</blockquote></p><p>At 7:52 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.25 points, or 0.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 56.25 points, or 0.41%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午7:52，道指e-minis下跌18点，跌幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.25点，跌幅0.12%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨56.25点，跌幅0.41%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34abbee54469fe0e570dce762d9a8f6a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"528\"><span>At 7:52 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午7:52</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Stocks have been range bound in recent sessions, with indexes hovering close to record levels due to a rapidly rebounding U.S. economy and significant levels of support from Washington and the Federal Reserve. The market’s moves in recent weeks have moderated amidinflation concerns. Investors say they are settling in for a period of choppy trading while they await fresh clues on whether a sharp rise in consumer prices will prove to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个交易日，由于美国经济快速反弹以及华盛顿和美联储的大力支持，股市一直在区间波动，指数徘徊在接近创纪录水平的水平。由于通胀担忧，市场最近几周的走势有所缓和。投资者表示，他们正在适应一段波动的交易时期，同时等待消费者价格大幅上涨是否会转瞬即逝的新线索。</blockquote></p><p><b>U.S. trade deficit narrows to $68.9 billion in April from record $75 billion in prior month.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国4月份贸易逆差从上月创纪录的750亿美元收窄至689亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Stock-index futures remain flat to slightly higher after trade data.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易数据公布后，股指期货持平至小幅走高。</b></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f387907a1739ecc654e10c7d6dc8135\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>At 8:33 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午8:33</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>1)&nbsp;Stitch Fix(SFIX)</b> – Stitch Fix lost 18 cents per share for its first quarter, smaller than the 27 cents a share loss that analysts were anticipating. The online clothing styling company's revenue came in above estimates. Stitch Fix also issued an upbeat forecast, amid 20% growth in its active client base compared to a year ago. Shares soared 14.8% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）缝合固定（SFIX）</b>-Stitch Fix第一季度每股亏损18美分，小于分析师预期的每股亏损27美分。这家在线服装造型公司的收入高于预期。Stitch Fix也发布了乐观的预测，其活跃客户群与一年前相比增长了20%。盘前股价飙升14.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>2)&nbsp;Contango Oil &amp; Gas(MCF) </b>– The energy producer agreed to combine withKKR's(KKR) Independence Energy business in an all-stock deal. The combined company will have an initial market capitalization of about $4.8 billion. Contango shares jumped 10.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)石油和天然气期货溢价(MCF)</b>-该能源生产商同意以全股票交易方式与KKR(KKR)的Independence Energy业务合并。合并后的公司初始市值约为48亿美元。Contango股价在盘前交易中上涨10.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>3)&nbsp;Coupa Software(COUP) </b>– Coupa reported quarterly earnings of 7 cents per share, compared to Wall Street forecasts for a 19 cents per share loss. Revenue beat estimates, and the financial software company also issued an upbeat outlook. Despite the upbeat numbers, Coupa shares tumbled 9.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Coupa软件（COUP）</b>-Coupa报告季度收益为每股7美分，而华尔街预测为每股亏损19美分。收入超出预期，这家金融软件公司也发布了乐观的前景。尽管数据乐观，Coupa股价在盘前交易中仍下跌9.2%。</blockquote></p><p><b>4)&nbsp;Thor Industries(THO)</b> – The recreational vehicle maker's shares jumped 3.4% in the premarket after it beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its fiscal third quarter. Sales more than doubled compared to a year ago, and the company said it sees no signs of demand slowing.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)托尔工业(THO)</b>-这家休闲车制造商第三财季的营收和利润均超出预期，其股价在盘前上涨3.4%。与一年前相比，销售额增加了一倍多，该公司表示，没有看到需求放缓的迹象。</blockquote></p><p><b>5)&nbsp;Chico’s FAS(CHS) </b>– Chico’s surged 6.6% in the premarket after the apparel retailer said it was taking all appropriate steps to improve performance and increase shareholder value. The statement was in response to a letter sent to management by activist investor Barington Capital. Separately, Chico’s reported quarterly earnings and sales that topped Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）奇科氏FAS（CHS）</b>-服装零售商Chico's表示正在采取一切适当措施改善业绩并增加股东价值，该公司盘前股价飙升6.6%。该声明是对激进投资者Barington Capital致管理层的一封信的回应。另外，奇科公布的季度收益和销售额超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p><b>6)&nbsp;Fastly(FSLY)</b> – The cloud computing company’s shares fell 1.7% in the premarket, but came off earlier lows stemming froman internet outageimpacting Fastly-backed websites. Shortly after the outage hit, Fastly said it had identified the issue and that a fix was being implemented.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)快速(FSLY)</b>-这家云计算公司的股价在盘前下跌1.7%，但摆脱了因互联网中断影响Fastly支持的网站而导致的早些时候的低点。停电发生后不久，Fastly表示已经发现了问题，并正在实施修复程序。</blockquote></p><p><b>7)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– The automaker delivered 33,463 China-made vehicles in that market in May, up 29% from April when production was impacted by a maintenance shutdown. Tesla rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>-该汽车制造商5月份在该市场交付了33,463辆中国制造的汽车，比4月份生产受到维护停工影响时增长了29%。特斯拉盘前涨3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>8)&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC)</b> – AMC insiders have been selling shares amid a social media-fueled rally in the movie theater operator’s stock. According to a study of insider filings done by analytics firm InsiderScore, seven AMC insiders have sold parts of their stakes since May 28, among nine who have executed sales this quarter though CEO Adam Aron is not among them. There were no AMC insider sales in 2020. AMC added 4.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）AMC院线（AMC）</b>-在社交媒体推动电影院运营商股价上涨的背景下，AMC内部人士一直在抛售股票。根据分析公司InsiderScore对内部人士文件进行的一项研究，自5月28日以来，AMC内部人士已出售部分股份，本季度已有9名内部人士出售了部分股份，但首席执行官亚当·阿伦(Adam Aron)不在其中。2020年没有AMC内幕交易。AMC盘前上涨4.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>9)&nbsp;Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b> – Marvell shares jumped 5.5% in premarket trading after it beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its first quarter. The chip maker also expects its current-quarter revenue will surpass $1 billion for the first time.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b>-Marvell第一季度营收和利润均超出华尔街预期，股价在盘前交易中上涨5.5%。这家芯片制造商还预计其本季度收入将首次超过10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>10)&nbsp;Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP) </b>– The beverage company’s stock lost 3.6% in the premarket after it announced a secondary offering of 28 million common stock shares, to be sold on behalf of food producer and Keurig Dr Pepper shareholderMondelez(MDLZ). Keurig Dr Pepper will not receive any proceeds from the offering.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP)</b>-该饮料公司宣布代表食品生产商和Keurig Dr Pepper股东亿滋(MDLZ)二次发行2800万股普通股，该公司股价在盘前下跌3.6%。Keurig Dr Pepper不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>11)&nbsp;Vail Resorts(MTN) </b>– Vail Resorts beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $6.72 per share. The resort operator also saw revenue top forecasts. Vail said pass sales were up 50% by units and 33% by dollars compared to pre-pandemic results in 2019, as the company slashed season pass sale prices by 20%.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)韦尔度假村(MTN)</b>-Vail Resorts每股收益超出预期18美分，季度利润为每股6.72美元。该度假村运营商的收入也达到了最高预期。韦尔表示，与2019年大流行前的结果相比，通行证销售额按单位计算增长了50%，按美元计算增长了33%，因为该公司将季票销售价格削减了20%。</blockquote></p><p><b>12)&nbsp;Etsy(ETSY)</b> – Etsy announced a private offering of $1 billion in convertible senior notes, with the online crafts marketplace planning to use the proceeds to fund stock buybacks and for general corporate purposes. Etsy fell 1.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Etsy(ETSY)</b>-Etsy宣布私募10亿美元的可转换优先票据，在线工艺品市场计划将所得资金用于股票回购和一般公司用途。Etsy盘前交易中下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Since 2008, this has been the biggest signal for stock direction. Here’s where it’s telling investors to go now.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2008年以来，这是股票方向的最大信号。这就是它告诉投资者现在应该去的地方。</b></blockquote></p><p>The summer lull is real for investors right now, as stock catalysts seem few and far between. Thursday’s update on consumer prices could bring the next one, after May dataspooked markets last month.</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，夏季的平静现在是真实的，因为股票催化剂似乎很少。继上个月5月份数据震惊市场之后，周四的消费者价格更新可能会带来下一个更新。</blockquote></p><p>With equitiesSPX,-0.08%hovering at record highs amid a mind-blowing recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic slump, investors want to know when and how central banks will start responding to signs of surging global inflation. And as not all stocks are built alike for different stages of a recovery, many rightly want to know if they are betting on the right ones.</p><p><blockquote>随着股票SPX,-0.08%徘徊在历史高位，从COVID-19大流行的暴跌中令人兴奋地复苏，投资者想知道各国央行何时以及如何开始应对全球通胀飙升的迹象。由于并非所有股票在复苏的不同阶段都是一样的，许多人理所当然地想知道他们是否押注了正确的股票。</blockquote></p><p>They should start by keeping an eye on what has been the most reliable indicator for stock direction since 2008 — the 10-year bond yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.541%,according to The Leuthold Group’s chief investment strategist, Jim Paulsen, who provides our<b>call of the day</b>.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group首席投资策略师Jim Paulsen表示，他们应该首先关注自2008年以来最可靠的股票方向指标——10年期债券收益率TMUBMUSD10Y，1.541%。<b>今日看涨期权</b>.</blockquote></p><p>Since the 2008-09 financial crisis, “the bond market has been determining, or at least coincidentally signaling” which groups of stocks will be the winners and losers, he told clients in a note. That has been particularly true for several popular themes including cyclicals, growth investing, small-caps, etc.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份报告中告诉客户，自2008-09年金融危机以来，“债券市场一直在决定，或者至少是巧合地发出信号”哪些股票将成为赢家和输家。对于包括周期性、成长型投资、小盘股等在内的几个热门主题来说尤其如此。</blockquote></p><p>For example, via the below charts he showed how defensive sectors, such as utilities and staples or low-volatility investments, only do well when bond yields are headed lower:</p><p><blockquote>例如，他通过下面的图表展示了公用事业和主食或低波动性投资等防御性行业只有在债券收益率走低时才会表现良好：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c7d981e160fe9dea266dbe88c5eb97\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p>So should the yield on the 10-year, currently hovering at 1.561%, make another run at 2%, that group is likely to underperform, he said. But if the economy is headed for overheat pressures and yields are set to rise, history has shown the most volatile stocks are often winner, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，因此，如果目前徘徊在1.561%的10年期国债收益率再次升至2%，该集团可能会表现不佳。但他补充说，如果经济面临过热压力并且收益率将上升，历史表明，波动性最大的股票往往是赢家。</blockquote></p><p>Paulsen pointed to the below charts of small-cap stocks, cyclical sectors and emerging markets that are “often the winners during periods in which rising yields cause stock market mayhem.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森指出，下图显示了小盘股、周期性行业和新兴市场，它们“在收益率上升导致股市混乱的时期往往是赢家”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ad9970b8d52f5524ef4da54113986a\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13d5f3bc8075fad7b17676c51ffadaed\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"929\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The Leuthold Group</p><p><blockquote>洛伊特霍尔德集团</blockquote></p><p>And the strategist is among those who do indeed see yields rising.</p><p><blockquote>这位策略师是那些确实看到收益率上升的人之一。</blockquote></p><p>“The recent pause in the 10-year yield despite escalating inflation expectations has been puzzling. Moreover, if yields continue to trend sideways or retrace part of their recent advance, defensive investments, including growth stocks, will likely be stock market leaders,” wrote Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>“尽管通胀预期不断升级，但最近10年期国债收益率的暂停令人费解。此外，如果收益率继续横盘整理或回撤部分近期涨幅，包括成长型股票在内的防御性投资可能会成为股市的领头羊，”Paulsen写道。</blockquote></p><p>He expects another leg higher for that yield, pushing it above 2%, likely by the end of 2021. And that means “stock investors should heed the bond market’s message and drive a few of those fast ‘cyclical’ stock cars!”</p><p><blockquote>他预计该收益率可能会进一步走高，到2021年底将其推高至2%以上。这意味着“股票投资者应该留意债券市场的信息，驾驶一些快速‘周期性’股票汽车！”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-08 19:51</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 8)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the opening bell as investors awaited data on the scale of the trade deficit.</p><p><blockquote>（6月8日）美国。周二股指期货涨跌互现，由于投资者等待贸易逆差规模的数据，道琼斯指数开盘时可能温和下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Futures tied to the broad S&amp;P 500 index wavered between gains and losses. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked 0.2% lower. On Monday,the blue-chip index briefly climbed into record territorybefore ending the session down 0.4%. Nasdaq-100 futures edged up 0.2%, pointing to subdued gains for technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与广泛的标普500指数挂钩的期货在涨跌之间波动。道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌0.2%。周一，蓝筹股指数短暂攀升至历史新高，最终下跌0.4%。纳斯达克100指数期货小幅上涨0.2%，表明科技股涨幅低迷。</blockquote></p><p>At 7:52 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.25 points, or 0.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 56.25 points, or 0.41%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午7:52，道指e-minis下跌18点，跌幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.25点，跌幅0.12%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨56.25点，跌幅0.41%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34abbee54469fe0e570dce762d9a8f6a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"528\"><span>At 7:52 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午7:52</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Stocks have been range bound in recent sessions, with indexes hovering close to record levels due to a rapidly rebounding U.S. economy and significant levels of support from Washington and the Federal Reserve. The market’s moves in recent weeks have moderated amidinflation concerns. Investors say they are settling in for a period of choppy trading while they await fresh clues on whether a sharp rise in consumer prices will prove to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个交易日，由于美国经济快速反弹以及华盛顿和美联储的大力支持，股市一直在区间波动，指数徘徊在接近创纪录水平的水平。由于通胀担忧，市场最近几周的走势有所缓和。投资者表示，他们正在适应一段波动的交易时期，同时等待消费者价格大幅上涨是否会转瞬即逝的新线索。</blockquote></p><p><b>U.S. trade deficit narrows to $68.9 billion in April from record $75 billion in prior month.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国4月份贸易逆差从上月创纪录的750亿美元收窄至689亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Stock-index futures remain flat to slightly higher after trade data.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易数据公布后，股指期货持平至小幅走高。</b></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f387907a1739ecc654e10c7d6dc8135\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>At 8:33 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午8:33</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>1)&nbsp;Stitch Fix(SFIX)</b> – Stitch Fix lost 18 cents per share for its first quarter, smaller than the 27 cents a share loss that analysts were anticipating. The online clothing styling company's revenue came in above estimates. Stitch Fix also issued an upbeat forecast, amid 20% growth in its active client base compared to a year ago. Shares soared 14.8% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）缝合固定（SFIX）</b>-Stitch Fix第一季度每股亏损18美分，小于分析师预期的每股亏损27美分。这家在线服装造型公司的收入高于预期。Stitch Fix也发布了乐观的预测，其活跃客户群与一年前相比增长了20%。盘前股价飙升14.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>2)&nbsp;Contango Oil &amp; Gas(MCF) </b>– The energy producer agreed to combine withKKR's(KKR) Independence Energy business in an all-stock deal. The combined company will have an initial market capitalization of about $4.8 billion. Contango shares jumped 10.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)石油和天然气期货溢价(MCF)</b>-该能源生产商同意以全股票交易方式与KKR(KKR)的Independence Energy业务合并。合并后的公司初始市值约为48亿美元。Contango股价在盘前交易中上涨10.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>3)&nbsp;Coupa Software(COUP) </b>– Coupa reported quarterly earnings of 7 cents per share, compared to Wall Street forecasts for a 19 cents per share loss. Revenue beat estimates, and the financial software company also issued an upbeat outlook. Despite the upbeat numbers, Coupa shares tumbled 9.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Coupa软件（COUP）</b>-Coupa报告季度收益为每股7美分，而华尔街预测为每股亏损19美分。收入超出预期，这家金融软件公司也发布了乐观的前景。尽管数据乐观，Coupa股价在盘前交易中仍下跌9.2%。</blockquote></p><p><b>4)&nbsp;Thor Industries(THO)</b> – The recreational vehicle maker's shares jumped 3.4% in the premarket after it beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its fiscal third quarter. Sales more than doubled compared to a year ago, and the company said it sees no signs of demand slowing.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)托尔工业(THO)</b>-这家休闲车制造商第三财季的营收和利润均超出预期，其股价在盘前上涨3.4%。与一年前相比，销售额增加了一倍多，该公司表示，没有看到需求放缓的迹象。</blockquote></p><p><b>5)&nbsp;Chico’s FAS(CHS) </b>– Chico’s surged 6.6% in the premarket after the apparel retailer said it was taking all appropriate steps to improve performance and increase shareholder value. The statement was in response to a letter sent to management by activist investor Barington Capital. Separately, Chico’s reported quarterly earnings and sales that topped Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）奇科氏FAS（CHS）</b>-服装零售商Chico's表示正在采取一切适当措施改善业绩并增加股东价值，该公司盘前股价飙升6.6%。该声明是对激进投资者Barington Capital致管理层的一封信的回应。另外，奇科公布的季度收益和销售额超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p><b>6)&nbsp;Fastly(FSLY)</b> – The cloud computing company’s shares fell 1.7% in the premarket, but came off earlier lows stemming froman internet outageimpacting Fastly-backed websites. Shortly after the outage hit, Fastly said it had identified the issue and that a fix was being implemented.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)快速(FSLY)</b>-这家云计算公司的股价在盘前下跌1.7%，但摆脱了因互联网中断影响Fastly支持的网站而导致的早些时候的低点。停电发生后不久，Fastly表示已经发现了问题，并正在实施修复程序。</blockquote></p><p><b>7)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– The automaker delivered 33,463 China-made vehicles in that market in May, up 29% from April when production was impacted by a maintenance shutdown. Tesla rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>-该汽车制造商5月份在该市场交付了33,463辆中国制造的汽车，比4月份生产受到维护停工影响时增长了29%。特斯拉盘前涨3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>8)&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC)</b> – AMC insiders have been selling shares amid a social media-fueled rally in the movie theater operator’s stock. According to a study of insider filings done by analytics firm InsiderScore, seven AMC insiders have sold parts of their stakes since May 28, among nine who have executed sales this quarter though CEO Adam Aron is not among them. There were no AMC insider sales in 2020. AMC added 4.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）AMC院线（AMC）</b>-在社交媒体推动电影院运营商股价上涨的背景下，AMC内部人士一直在抛售股票。根据分析公司InsiderScore对内部人士文件进行的一项研究，自5月28日以来，AMC内部人士已出售部分股份，本季度已有9名内部人士出售了部分股份，但首席执行官亚当·阿伦(Adam Aron)不在其中。2020年没有AMC内幕交易。AMC盘前上涨4.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>9)&nbsp;Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b> – Marvell shares jumped 5.5% in premarket trading after it beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its first quarter. The chip maker also expects its current-quarter revenue will surpass $1 billion for the first time.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b>-Marvell第一季度营收和利润均超出华尔街预期，股价在盘前交易中上涨5.5%。这家芯片制造商还预计其本季度收入将首次超过10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>10)&nbsp;Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP) </b>– The beverage company’s stock lost 3.6% in the premarket after it announced a secondary offering of 28 million common stock shares, to be sold on behalf of food producer and Keurig Dr Pepper shareholderMondelez(MDLZ). Keurig Dr Pepper will not receive any proceeds from the offering.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP)</b>-该饮料公司宣布代表食品生产商和Keurig Dr Pepper股东亿滋(MDLZ)二次发行2800万股普通股，该公司股价在盘前下跌3.6%。Keurig Dr Pepper不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>11)&nbsp;Vail Resorts(MTN) </b>– Vail Resorts beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $6.72 per share. The resort operator also saw revenue top forecasts. Vail said pass sales were up 50% by units and 33% by dollars compared to pre-pandemic results in 2019, as the company slashed season pass sale prices by 20%.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)韦尔度假村(MTN)</b>-Vail Resorts每股收益超出预期18美分，季度利润为每股6.72美元。该度假村运营商的收入也达到了最高预期。韦尔表示，与2019年大流行前的结果相比，通行证销售额按单位计算增长了50%，按美元计算增长了33%，因为该公司将季票销售价格削减了20%。</blockquote></p><p><b>12)&nbsp;Etsy(ETSY)</b> – Etsy announced a private offering of $1 billion in convertible senior notes, with the online crafts marketplace planning to use the proceeds to fund stock buybacks and for general corporate purposes. Etsy fell 1.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Etsy(ETSY)</b>-Etsy宣布私募10亿美元的可转换优先票据，在线工艺品市场计划将所得资金用于股票回购和一般公司用途。Etsy盘前交易中下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Since 2008, this has been the biggest signal for stock direction. Here’s where it’s telling investors to go now.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2008年以来，这是股票方向的最大信号。这就是它告诉投资者现在应该去的地方。</b></blockquote></p><p>The summer lull is real for investors right now, as stock catalysts seem few and far between. Thursday’s update on consumer prices could bring the next one, after May dataspooked markets last month.</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，夏季的平静现在是真实的，因为股票催化剂似乎很少。继上个月5月份数据震惊市场之后，周四的消费者价格更新可能会带来下一个更新。</blockquote></p><p>With equitiesSPX,-0.08%hovering at record highs amid a mind-blowing recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic slump, investors want to know when and how central banks will start responding to signs of surging global inflation. And as not all stocks are built alike for different stages of a recovery, many rightly want to know if they are betting on the right ones.</p><p><blockquote>随着股票SPX,-0.08%徘徊在历史高位，从COVID-19大流行的暴跌中令人兴奋地复苏，投资者想知道各国央行何时以及如何开始应对全球通胀飙升的迹象。由于并非所有股票在复苏的不同阶段都是一样的，许多人理所当然地想知道他们是否押注了正确的股票。</blockquote></p><p>They should start by keeping an eye on what has been the most reliable indicator for stock direction since 2008 — the 10-year bond yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.541%,according to The Leuthold Group’s chief investment strategist, Jim Paulsen, who provides our<b>call of the day</b>.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group首席投资策略师Jim Paulsen表示，他们应该首先关注自2008年以来最可靠的股票方向指标——10年期债券收益率TMUBMUSD10Y，1.541%。<b>今日看涨期权</b>.</blockquote></p><p>Since the 2008-09 financial crisis, “the bond market has been determining, or at least coincidentally signaling” which groups of stocks will be the winners and losers, he told clients in a note. That has been particularly true for several popular themes including cyclicals, growth investing, small-caps, etc.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份报告中告诉客户，自2008-09年金融危机以来，“债券市场一直在决定，或者至少是巧合地发出信号”哪些股票将成为赢家和输家。对于包括周期性、成长型投资、小盘股等在内的几个热门主题来说尤其如此。</blockquote></p><p>For example, via the below charts he showed how defensive sectors, such as utilities and staples or low-volatility investments, only do well when bond yields are headed lower:</p><p><blockquote>例如，他通过下面的图表展示了公用事业和主食或低波动性投资等防御性行业只有在债券收益率走低时才会表现良好：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c7d981e160fe9dea266dbe88c5eb97\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p>So should the yield on the 10-year, currently hovering at 1.561%, make another run at 2%, that group is likely to underperform, he said. But if the economy is headed for overheat pressures and yields are set to rise, history has shown the most volatile stocks are often winner, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，因此，如果目前徘徊在1.561%的10年期国债收益率再次升至2%，该集团可能会表现不佳。但他补充说，如果经济面临过热压力并且收益率将上升，历史表明，波动性最大的股票往往是赢家。</blockquote></p><p>Paulsen pointed to the below charts of small-cap stocks, cyclical sectors and emerging markets that are “often the winners during periods in which rising yields cause stock market mayhem.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森指出，下图显示了小盘股、周期性行业和新兴市场，它们“在收益率上升导致股市混乱的时期往往是赢家”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ad9970b8d52f5524ef4da54113986a\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13d5f3bc8075fad7b17676c51ffadaed\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"929\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The Leuthold Group</p><p><blockquote>洛伊特霍尔德集团</blockquote></p><p>And the strategist is among those who do indeed see yields rising.</p><p><blockquote>这位策略师是那些确实看到收益率上升的人之一。</blockquote></p><p>“The recent pause in the 10-year yield despite escalating inflation expectations has been puzzling. Moreover, if yields continue to trend sideways or retrace part of their recent advance, defensive investments, including growth stocks, will likely be stock market leaders,” wrote Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>“尽管通胀预期不断升级，但最近10年期国债收益率的暂停令人费解。此外，如果收益率继续横盘整理或回撤部分近期涨幅，包括成长型股票在内的防御性投资可能会成为股市的领头羊，”Paulsen写道。</blockquote></p><p>He expects another leg higher for that yield, pushing it above 2%, likely by the end of 2021. And that means “stock investors should heed the bond market’s message and drive a few of those fast ‘cyclical’ stock cars!”</p><p><blockquote>他预计该收益率可能会进一步走高，到2021年底将其推高至2%以上。这意味着“股票投资者应该留意债券市场的信息，驾驶一些快速‘周期性’股票汽车！”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134112696","content_text":"(June 8) U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the opening bell as investors awaited data on the scale of the trade deficit.Futures tied to the broad S&P 500 index wavered between gains and losses. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked 0.2% lower. On Monday,the blue-chip index briefly climbed into record territorybefore ending the session down 0.4%. Nasdaq-100 futures edged up 0.2%, pointing to subdued gains for technology stocks.At 7:52 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 18 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 5.25 points, or 0.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 56.25 points, or 0.41%.At 7:52 a.m. ETStocks have been range bound in recent sessions, with indexes hovering close to record levels due to a rapidly rebounding U.S. economy and significant levels of support from Washington and the Federal Reserve. The market’s moves in recent weeks have moderated amidinflation concerns. Investors say they are settling in for a period of choppy trading while they await fresh clues on whether a sharp rise in consumer prices will prove to be fleeting.U.S. trade deficit narrows to $68.9 billion in April from record $75 billion in prior month.Stock-index futures remain flat to slightly higher after trade data.At 8:33 a.m. ETStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:1) Stitch Fix(SFIX) – Stitch Fix lost 18 cents per share for its first quarter, smaller than the 27 cents a share loss that analysts were anticipating. The online clothing styling company's revenue came in above estimates. Stitch Fix also issued an upbeat forecast, amid 20% growth in its active client base compared to a year ago. Shares soared 14.8% in premarket action.2) Contango Oil & Gas(MCF) – The energy producer agreed to combine withKKR's(KKR) Independence Energy business in an all-stock deal. The combined company will have an initial market capitalization of about $4.8 billion. Contango shares jumped 10.3% in premarket trading.3) Coupa Software(COUP) – Coupa reported quarterly earnings of 7 cents per share, compared to Wall Street forecasts for a 19 cents per share loss. Revenue beat estimates, and the financial software company also issued an upbeat outlook. Despite the upbeat numbers, Coupa shares tumbled 9.2% in premarket trading.4) Thor Industries(THO) – The recreational vehicle maker's shares jumped 3.4% in the premarket after it beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its fiscal third quarter. Sales more than doubled compared to a year ago, and the company said it sees no signs of demand slowing.5) Chico’s FAS(CHS) – Chico’s surged 6.6% in the premarket after the apparel retailer said it was taking all appropriate steps to improve performance and increase shareholder value. The statement was in response to a letter sent to management by activist investor Barington Capital. Separately, Chico’s reported quarterly earnings and sales that topped Wall Street forecasts.6) Fastly(FSLY) – The cloud computing company’s shares fell 1.7% in the premarket, but came off earlier lows stemming froman internet outageimpacting Fastly-backed websites. Shortly after the outage hit, Fastly said it had identified the issue and that a fix was being implemented.7) Tesla(TSLA) – The automaker delivered 33,463 China-made vehicles in that market in May, up 29% from April when production was impacted by a maintenance shutdown. Tesla rose 3% in the premarket.8) AMC Entertainment(AMC) – AMC insiders have been selling shares amid a social media-fueled rally in the movie theater operator’s stock. According to a study of insider filings done by analytics firm InsiderScore, seven AMC insiders have sold parts of their stakes since May 28, among nine who have executed sales this quarter though CEO Adam Aron is not among them. There were no AMC insider sales in 2020. AMC added 4.3% in the premarket.9) Marvell Technology(MRVL) – Marvell shares jumped 5.5% in premarket trading after it beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its first quarter. The chip maker also expects its current-quarter revenue will surpass $1 billion for the first time.10) Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP) – The beverage company’s stock lost 3.6% in the premarket after it announced a secondary offering of 28 million common stock shares, to be sold on behalf of food producer and Keurig Dr Pepper shareholderMondelez(MDLZ). Keurig Dr Pepper will not receive any proceeds from the offering.11) Vail Resorts(MTN) – Vail Resorts beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $6.72 per share. The resort operator also saw revenue top forecasts. Vail said pass sales were up 50% by units and 33% by dollars compared to pre-pandemic results in 2019, as the company slashed season pass sale prices by 20%.12) Etsy(ETSY) – Etsy announced a private offering of $1 billion in convertible senior notes, with the online crafts marketplace planning to use the proceeds to fund stock buybacks and for general corporate purposes. Etsy fell 1.9% in premarket trading.Since 2008, this has been the biggest signal for stock direction. Here’s where it’s telling investors to go now.The summer lull is real for investors right now, as stock catalysts seem few and far between. Thursday’s update on consumer prices could bring the next one, after May dataspooked markets last month.With equitiesSPX,-0.08%hovering at record highs amid a mind-blowing recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic slump, investors want to know when and how central banks will start responding to signs of surging global inflation. And as not all stocks are built alike for different stages of a recovery, many rightly want to know if they are betting on the right ones.They should start by keeping an eye on what has been the most reliable indicator for stock direction since 2008 — the 10-year bond yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.541%,according to The Leuthold Group’s chief investment strategist, Jim Paulsen, who provides ourcall of the day.Since the 2008-09 financial crisis, “the bond market has been determining, or at least coincidentally signaling” which groups of stocks will be the winners and losers, he told clients in a note. That has been particularly true for several popular themes including cyclicals, growth investing, small-caps, etc.For example, via the below charts he showed how defensive sectors, such as utilities and staples or low-volatility investments, only do well when bond yields are headed lower:The Leuthold GroupSo should the yield on the 10-year, currently hovering at 1.561%, make another run at 2%, that group is likely to underperform, he said. But if the economy is headed for overheat pressures and yields are set to rise, history has shown the most volatile stocks are often winner, he added.Paulsen pointed to the below charts of small-cap stocks, cyclical sectors and emerging markets that are “often the winners during periods in which rising yields cause stock market mayhem.”The Leuthold GroupThe Leuthold GroupAnd the strategist is among those who do indeed see yields rising.“The recent pause in the 10-year yield despite escalating inflation expectations has been puzzling. Moreover, if yields continue to trend sideways or retrace part of their recent advance, defensive investments, including growth stocks, will likely be stock market leaders,” wrote Paulsen.He expects another leg higher for that yield, pushing it above 2%, likely by the end of 2021. And that means “stock investors should heed the bond market’s message and drive a few of those fast ‘cyclical’ stock cars!”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104626220,"gmtCreate":1620387009560,"gmtModify":1634205608576,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104626220","repostId":"1157328258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157328258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620360165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157328258?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157328258","media":"Seeking alpha","summary":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entere","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于DCF的亚马逊股价目标显示30%的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上个季度的业绩对亚马逊（AMZN）进行了全面的分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们来评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊上个季度的增长是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”部分的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了接近线性的趋势。现在，它已经成为指数级增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场——这里的加速仍然存在，上个季度的结果好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）部门也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘Amazon Web Services’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的结果来看，有逐渐回归之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的营收也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键细分市场</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去10年中，亚马逊的资本化与其收入呈定性线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本化的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本的增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，首先，这个模型表明公司当前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一个模块中，我根据收入对亚马逊的均衡价格进行了建模。值得注意的是，如果我们用同样的方法使用倍数对公司进行比较估值，我们就会失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数来成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整后的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：寻求Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我也从分析师对公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，在终端年将营业利润率逐步提高到8%是一个非常现实的情况。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>以下是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚马逊股票基于DCF的目标价为4,280美元，上涨空间为29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段的事实并不意味着其市值不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本化和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的DCF模型分析师表示低估了30%。今年年初，类似的模型显示估值被低估了20%。</li><li>当你看亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题的公司更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 12:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于DCF的亚马逊股价目标显示30%的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上个季度的业绩对亚马逊（AMZN）进行了全面的分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们来评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊上个季度的增长是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”部分的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了接近线性的趋势。现在，它已经成为指数级增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场——这里的加速仍然存在，上个季度的结果好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）部门也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘Amazon Web Services’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的结果来看，有逐渐回归之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的营收也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键细分市场</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去10年中，亚马逊的资本化与其收入呈定性线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本化的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本的增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，首先，这个模型表明公司当前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一个模块中，我根据收入对亚马逊的均衡价格进行了建模。值得注意的是，如果我们用同样的方法使用倍数对公司进行比较估值，我们就会失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数来成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整后的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：寻求Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我也从分析师对公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，在终端年将营业利润率逐步提高到8%是一个非常现实的情况。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>以下是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚马逊股票基于DCF的目标价为4,280美元，上涨空间为29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段的事实并不意味着其市值不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本化和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的DCF模型分析师表示低估了30%。今年年初，类似的模型显示估值被低估了20%。</li><li>当你看亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题的公司更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company\">Seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157328258","content_text":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.#1 Price vs. GrowthFirst of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comGeographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comSo, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growthin all key segments. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThere is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comBased on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is alreadybelow the balanced level. And secondly, it assumes a25% growthin capitalization in the next four quarters.#2 Comparative ValuationIn the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.#3 Discounted Cash Flow ModelWhen predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:Source: Seeking Alpha ProWhen predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:Source: AuthorSome explanations:In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.Here is the model itself:(In high resolution)Source: AuthorThe DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.Final thoughtsAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company isundervalued.Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company ismuch cheaperthan the market.DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102535669,"gmtCreate":1620223329051,"gmtModify":1634206865836,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please! :)","listText":"Like and comment please! :)","text":"Like and comment please! :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102535669","repostId":"1177803248","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897006302,"gmtCreate":1628861712206,"gmtModify":1631890090571,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897006302","repostId":"1121308321","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806838011,"gmtCreate":1627647427333,"gmtModify":1631890090602,"author":{"id":"3579319144921544","authorId":"3579319144921544","name":"Jaslen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/597ef08fd8f2bd857b8021d7044cd65a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579319144921544","authorIdStr":"3579319144921544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment please&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806838011","repostId":"1161272388","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}