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JosesSim
2021-06-04
Great
Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗?如果你有时间,是的</blockquote>
JosesSim
2021-06-04
AMC ALL THE WAY
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JosesSim
2021-07-07
Great
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JosesSim
2021-06-12
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JosesSim
2021-06-12
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Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>
JosesSim
2021-06-12
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Investor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?<blockquote>投资者、交易者、投机者:你是哪一个?</blockquote>
JosesSim
2021-06-12
Okay
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JosesSim
2021-06-16
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Oracle shares fell more than 4% in pre-market trading,as CEO expects to push more money to cloud efforts<blockquote>甲骨文股价在盘前交易中下跌超过 4%,首席执行官预计将投入更多资金用于云计算工作</blockquote>
JosesSim
2021-06-12
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JosesSim
2021-06-12
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Interesting","listText":" Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899170071","repostId":"1151835705","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151835705","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628168917,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151835705?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 21:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber, Lyft Drive Investors Away<blockquote>优步、Lyft赶走投资者</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151835705","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Ride-hailing companies have spent dearly to compete for the same riders; now they are spending to co","content":"<p> Ride-hailing companies have spent dearly to compete for the same riders; now they are spending to compete for the same drivers. Is the optimal strategy in ride-hailing growth or profits? Investors can’t have it both ways.</p><p><blockquote>网约车公司花费巨资争夺同样的骑手;现在他们正在花钱争夺同样的司机。网约车的最优策略是增长还是利润?投资者不能两全其美。</blockquote></p><p> AfterLyftLYFT-10.56%said it achieved profitability on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization on Tuesday, Uber said Wednesday that its losses deepened sequentially on that basis as it made investments in driver recovery. Shares of Lyft fell more than 9% the day after its report while Uber’s shares fell 8% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of itssecond quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>继LyftLyft-10.56%表示,周二根据调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润实现盈利后,Uber周三表示,随着对司机康复进行投资,其亏损在此基础上逐步加深。Lyft的股价在报告发布后的第二天下跌了 9% 以上,而 Uber 的股价在发布第二季度业绩后立即在盘后交易中下跌了 8%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have become uncomfortable with ride-hailing companies paying dearly to compete for the same riders as they work to grow their market share. Now they arepaying to compete for the same driversas theywork to rebuild their supplyafter the pandemic decimated ride-hailing demand.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对打车公司在努力扩大市场份额时支付高额费用来争夺相同的乘客感到不安。现在,他们正在花钱争夺同样的司机,因为他们正在努力在疫情大幅削弱打车需求后重建供应。</blockquote></p><p> They may not be investing equally. Lyft said it significantly increased its investments in incentives and sign-on bonuses to boost its driver base in the second quarter, expecting elevated incentives to continue into the third quarter. But Uber appears to have been more aggressive. While the company reported overall revenue that beat Wall Street’s estimate, it also lost 58% more than analysts had forecast on an adjusted Ebitda basis.</p><p><blockquote>他们可能不会平等地投资。Lyft表示,第二季度大幅增加了在激励措施和签约奖金方面的投资,以扩大其司机基础,预计激励措施的提高将持续到第三季度。但优步似乎更加激进。虽然该公司公布的总收入超出了华尔街的预期,但按调整后的 Ebitda 计算,其亏损也比分析师的预测高出 58%。</blockquote></p><p> At this point, it is still unclear which company’s investment strategy is yielding the most bang for its buck. Lyft said its rideshare rides in the second quarter were still “well below” the levels reached in the fourth quarter of 2019. While not a perfect comparison, Uber’s second quarter trips—a reflection of both supply and demand—were down just over 20% from the same period.</p><p><blockquote>目前,尚不清楚哪家公司的投资策略最划算。Lyft表示,其第二季度的共享乘车量仍 “远低于 ”2019 年第四季度的水平。虽然这并不是一个完美的比较,但 Uber 第二季度的出行次数--反映了供需两方面的情况--比同期下降了 20% 多一点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f98a2ba57a4b018b3db0d420b862bc4\" tg-width=\"338\" tg-height=\"422\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Lyft’s results show its active riders were still down more than 21% in the second quarter from the same period in 2019. The company also said its sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue in the second quarter were near record lows. This is in part a reflection of its depressed driver count: It isn’t worth over-spending to acquire customers you can’t even service. By contrast, Uber was able to grow its monthly active platform consumers in the second quarter relative to the same period two years ago.</p><p><blockquote>Lyft的结果显示,其第二季度的活跃骑手数量仍比 2019 年同期下降了 21% 以上。该公司还表示,第二季度销售和营销费用占收入的百分比接近历史低点。这在一定程度上反映了其司机数量的低迷: 不值得花太多钱去获取你甚至无法服务的客户。相比之下,与两年前同期相比,优步第二季度的月活跃平台消费者有所增长。</blockquote></p><p> While Lyft was clear this week that it likes its chances as a ride-hailing pure play, Uber continued to stress its unique value proposition marrying consumers’ ride-hailing and food-delivery needs, noting cross-pollination. Investors will now need to place their bets on which strategy will emerge from the pandemic in a more sustainable position.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Lyft本周明确表示,它喜欢作为打车纯业务的机会,但 Uber 继续强调其独特的价值主张,将消费者的打车和送餐需求结合起来,并指出了异花授粉。投资者现在需要押注哪种策略将从疫情中脱颖而出,处于更可持续的地位。</blockquote></p><p> Uber’s Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi has said its mobility business has been an even more effective customer acquisition tool for its delivery business than dollars spent on delivery marketing. On Wednesday the company said its consumers who engage with both its mobility and its delivery businesses are now generating nearly half of its overall gross bookings, implying significant customer crossover.</p><p><blockquote>Uber 首席执行官达拉-科斯罗萨希(Dara Khosrowshahi)曾表示,与用于送货营销的资金相比,Uber 的移动业务一直是送货业务更有效的客户获取工具。周三,该公司表示,参与其移动和送货业务的消费者目前占其总预订量的近一半,这意味着客户出现了显着的交叉。</blockquote></p><p> But a leaner business might be easier to control. While Uber continues to expect it won’t turn a profit, even on an adjusted Ebitda basis, until the fourth quarter of this year,Lyft was able to do soearlier, in part by pulling harder on simple levers. The company said revenue per ride increased 7% sequentially in the second quarter, counteracting still depressed ride volume due to driver shortages. Both companies have raised prices on U.S. ride-hailing transactions amid the pandemic. But fresh Edison Trends data show for the week ended July 19, Uber’s consumers spent 24% more on transactions than they did the comparable week last year, while Lyft’s consumers spent 35% more.</p><p><blockquote>但更精简的业务可能更容易控制。虽然 Uber 仍预计要到今年第四季度才能扭亏为盈,即使是调整后的 Ebitda,Lyft 也能更早地扭亏为盈,部分原因是通过更加努力地利用简单的杠杆。该公司表示,第二季度每次乘车的收入环比增长 7%,抵消了因司机短缺而导致的乘车量仍然低迷。疫情期间,两家公司都提高了美国网约车交易的价格。但最新的 Edison Trends 数据显示,在截至 7 月 19 日的一周内,Uber 消费者的交易支出比去年同期增加了 24%,而Lyft消费者的交易支出则增加了 35%。</blockquote></p><p> It is worth noting that, while Lyft has boasted about its ability to achieve so-called profits, it also clearly defined itself on a conference call Tuesday as “a growth company.” All in, its net loss still totaled hundreds of millions in the second quarter, although it narrowed. Meanwhile, Uber seems confident it has found a path to near-term profitability, but it is unclear to what degree further investments in new drivers will be needed as consumer demand continues to improve.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,虽然Lyft吹嘘自己有能力实现所谓的利润,但它也在周二的电话会议上明确将自己定义为 “成长型公司”。总而言之,其第二季度净亏损总额仍达数亿,尽管有所收窄。与此同时,优步似乎有信心找到了近期盈利的道路,但目前尚不清楚随着消费者需求的持续改善,需要在多大程度上进一步投资新司机。</blockquote></p><p> Especially with the Covid-19 Delta variant continuing to spread, investors looking to bank on either strategy today may be left waiting for a ride.</p><p><blockquote>特别是随着 Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株继续蔓延,今天希望依赖这两种策略的投资者可能只能等待机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, Lyft Drive Investors Away<blockquote>优步、Lyft赶走投资者</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, Lyft Drive Investors Away<blockquote>优步、Lyft赶走投资者</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 21:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> Ride-hailing companies have spent dearly to compete for the same riders; now they are spending to compete for the same drivers. Is the optimal strategy in ride-hailing growth or profits? Investors can’t have it both ways.</p><p><blockquote>网约车公司花费巨资争夺同样的骑手;现在他们正在花钱争夺同样的司机。网约车的最优策略是增长还是利润?投资者不能两全其美。</blockquote></p><p> AfterLyftLYFT-10.56%said it achieved profitability on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization on Tuesday, Uber said Wednesday that its losses deepened sequentially on that basis as it made investments in driver recovery. Shares of Lyft fell more than 9% the day after its report while Uber’s shares fell 8% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of itssecond quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>继LyftLyft-10.56%表示,周二根据调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润实现盈利后,Uber周三表示,随着对司机康复进行投资,其亏损在此基础上逐步加深。Lyft的股价在报告发布后的第二天下跌了 9% 以上,而 Uber 的股价在发布第二季度业绩后立即在盘后交易中下跌了 8%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have become uncomfortable with ride-hailing companies paying dearly to compete for the same riders as they work to grow their market share. Now they arepaying to compete for the same driversas theywork to rebuild their supplyafter the pandemic decimated ride-hailing demand.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对打车公司在努力扩大市场份额时支付高额费用来争夺相同的乘客感到不安。现在,他们正在花钱争夺同样的司机,因为他们正在努力在疫情大幅削弱打车需求后重建供应。</blockquote></p><p> They may not be investing equally. Lyft said it significantly increased its investments in incentives and sign-on bonuses to boost its driver base in the second quarter, expecting elevated incentives to continue into the third quarter. But Uber appears to have been more aggressive. While the company reported overall revenue that beat Wall Street’s estimate, it also lost 58% more than analysts had forecast on an adjusted Ebitda basis.</p><p><blockquote>他们可能不会平等地投资。Lyft表示,第二季度大幅增加了在激励措施和签约奖金方面的投资,以扩大其司机基础,预计激励措施的提高将持续到第三季度。但优步似乎更加激进。虽然该公司公布的总收入超出了华尔街的预期,但按调整后的 Ebitda 计算,其亏损也比分析师的预测高出 58%。</blockquote></p><p> At this point, it is still unclear which company’s investment strategy is yielding the most bang for its buck. Lyft said its rideshare rides in the second quarter were still “well below” the levels reached in the fourth quarter of 2019. While not a perfect comparison, Uber’s second quarter trips—a reflection of both supply and demand—were down just over 20% from the same period.</p><p><blockquote>目前,尚不清楚哪家公司的投资策略最划算。Lyft表示,其第二季度的共享乘车量仍 “远低于 ”2019 年第四季度的水平。虽然这并不是一个完美的比较,但 Uber 第二季度的出行次数--反映了供需两方面的情况--比同期下降了 20% 多一点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f98a2ba57a4b018b3db0d420b862bc4\" tg-width=\"338\" tg-height=\"422\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Lyft’s results show its active riders were still down more than 21% in the second quarter from the same period in 2019. The company also said its sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue in the second quarter were near record lows. This is in part a reflection of its depressed driver count: It isn’t worth over-spending to acquire customers you can’t even service. By contrast, Uber was able to grow its monthly active platform consumers in the second quarter relative to the same period two years ago.</p><p><blockquote>Lyft的结果显示,其第二季度的活跃骑手数量仍比 2019 年同期下降了 21% 以上。该公司还表示,第二季度销售和营销费用占收入的百分比接近历史低点。这在一定程度上反映了其司机数量的低迷: 不值得花太多钱去获取你甚至无法服务的客户。相比之下,与两年前同期相比,优步第二季度的月活跃平台消费者有所增长。</blockquote></p><p> While Lyft was clear this week that it likes its chances as a ride-hailing pure play, Uber continued to stress its unique value proposition marrying consumers’ ride-hailing and food-delivery needs, noting cross-pollination. Investors will now need to place their bets on which strategy will emerge from the pandemic in a more sustainable position.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Lyft本周明确表示,它喜欢作为打车纯业务的机会,但 Uber 继续强调其独特的价值主张,将消费者的打车和送餐需求结合起来,并指出了异花授粉。投资者现在需要押注哪种策略将从疫情中脱颖而出,处于更可持续的地位。</blockquote></p><p> Uber’s Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi has said its mobility business has been an even more effective customer acquisition tool for its delivery business than dollars spent on delivery marketing. On Wednesday the company said its consumers who engage with both its mobility and its delivery businesses are now generating nearly half of its overall gross bookings, implying significant customer crossover.</p><p><blockquote>Uber 首席执行官达拉-科斯罗萨希(Dara Khosrowshahi)曾表示,与用于送货营销的资金相比,Uber 的移动业务一直是送货业务更有效的客户获取工具。周三,该公司表示,参与其移动和送货业务的消费者目前占其总预订量的近一半,这意味着客户出现了显着的交叉。</blockquote></p><p> But a leaner business might be easier to control. While Uber continues to expect it won’t turn a profit, even on an adjusted Ebitda basis, until the fourth quarter of this year,Lyft was able to do soearlier, in part by pulling harder on simple levers. The company said revenue per ride increased 7% sequentially in the second quarter, counteracting still depressed ride volume due to driver shortages. Both companies have raised prices on U.S. ride-hailing transactions amid the pandemic. But fresh Edison Trends data show for the week ended July 19, Uber’s consumers spent 24% more on transactions than they did the comparable week last year, while Lyft’s consumers spent 35% more.</p><p><blockquote>但更精简的业务可能更容易控制。虽然 Uber 仍预计要到今年第四季度才能扭亏为盈,即使是调整后的 Ebitda,Lyft 也能更早地扭亏为盈,部分原因是通过更加努力地利用简单的杠杆。该公司表示,第二季度每次乘车的收入环比增长 7%,抵消了因司机短缺而导致的乘车量仍然低迷。疫情期间,两家公司都提高了美国网约车交易的价格。但最新的 Edison Trends 数据显示,在截至 7 月 19 日的一周内,Uber 消费者的交易支出比去年同期增加了 24%,而Lyft消费者的交易支出则增加了 35%。</blockquote></p><p> It is worth noting that, while Lyft has boasted about its ability to achieve so-called profits, it also clearly defined itself on a conference call Tuesday as “a growth company.” All in, its net loss still totaled hundreds of millions in the second quarter, although it narrowed. Meanwhile, Uber seems confident it has found a path to near-term profitability, but it is unclear to what degree further investments in new drivers will be needed as consumer demand continues to improve.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,虽然Lyft吹嘘自己有能力实现所谓的利润,但它也在周二的电话会议上明确将自己定义为 “成长型公司”。总而言之,其第二季度净亏损总额仍达数亿,尽管有所收窄。与此同时,优步似乎有信心找到了近期盈利的道路,但目前尚不清楚随着消费者需求的持续改善,需要在多大程度上进一步投资新司机。</blockquote></p><p> Especially with the Covid-19 Delta variant continuing to spread, investors looking to bank on either strategy today may be left waiting for a ride.</p><p><blockquote>特别是随着 Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株继续蔓延,今天希望依赖这两种策略的投资者可能只能等待机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/uber-lyft-drive-investors-away-11628115638?mod=markets_lead_pos12\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LYFT":"Lyft, Inc.","UBER":"优步"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/uber-lyft-drive-investors-away-11628115638?mod=markets_lead_pos12","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151835705","content_text":"Ride-hailing companies have spent dearly to compete for the same riders; now they are spending to compete for the same drivers.\n\nIs the optimal strategy in ride-hailing growth or profits? Investors can’t have it both ways.\nAfterLyftLYFT-10.56%said it achieved profitability on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization on Tuesday, Uber said Wednesday that its losses deepened sequentially on that basis as it made investments in driver recovery. Shares of Lyft fell more than 9% the day after its report while Uber’s shares fell 8% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of itssecond quarter results.\nInvestors have become uncomfortable with ride-hailing companies paying dearly to compete for the same riders as they work to grow their market share. Now they arepaying to compete for the same driversas theywork to rebuild their supplyafter the pandemic decimated ride-hailing demand.\nThey may not be investing equally. Lyft said it significantly increased its investments in incentives and sign-on bonuses to boost its driver base in the second quarter, expecting elevated incentives to continue into the third quarter. But Uber appears to have been more aggressive. While the company reported overall revenue that beat Wall Street’s estimate, it also lost 58% more than analysts had forecast on an adjusted Ebitda basis.\nAt this point, it is still unclear which company’s investment strategy is yielding the most bang for its buck. Lyft said its rideshare rides in the second quarter were still “well below” the levels reached in the fourth quarter of 2019. While not a perfect comparison, Uber’s second quarter trips—a reflection of both supply and demand—were down just over 20% from the same period.\nLyft’s results show its active riders were still down more than 21% in the second quarter from the same period in 2019. The company also said its sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue in the second quarter were near record lows. This is in part a reflection of its depressed driver count: It isn’t worth over-spending to acquire customers you can’t even service. By contrast, Uber was able to grow its monthly active platform consumers in the second quarter relative to the same period two years ago.\nWhile Lyft was clear this week that it likes its chances as a ride-hailing pure play, Uber continued to stress its unique value proposition marrying consumers’ ride-hailing and food-delivery needs, noting cross-pollination. Investors will now need to place their bets on which strategy will emerge from the pandemic in a more sustainable position.\nUber’s Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi has said its mobility business has been an even more effective customer acquisition tool for its delivery business than dollars spent on delivery marketing. On Wednesday the company said its consumers who engage with both its mobility and its delivery businesses are now generating nearly half of its overall gross bookings, implying significant customer crossover.\nBut a leaner business might be easier to control. While Uber continues to expect it won’t turn a profit, even on an adjusted Ebitda basis, until the fourth quarter of this year,Lyft was able to do soearlier, in part by pulling harder on simple levers. The company said revenue per ride increased 7% sequentially in the second quarter, counteracting still depressed ride volume due to driver shortages. Both companies have raised prices on U.S. ride-hailing transactions amid the pandemic. But fresh Edison Trends data show for the week ended July 19, Uber’s consumers spent 24% more on transactions than they did the comparable week last year, while Lyft’s consumers spent 35% more.\nIt is worth noting that, while Lyft has boasted about its ability to achieve so-called profits, it also clearly defined itself on a conference call Tuesday as “a growth company.” All in, its net loss still totaled hundreds of millions in the second quarter, although it narrowed. Meanwhile, Uber seems confident it has found a path to near-term profitability, but it is unclear to what degree further investments in new drivers will be needed as consumer demand continues to improve.\nEspecially with the Covid-19 Delta variant continuing to spread, investors looking to bank on either strategy today may be left waiting for a ride.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LYFT":0.9,"UBER":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3858,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899144485,"gmtCreate":1628171322047,"gmtModify":1633752966489,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"To the moon","listText":"To the moon","text":"To the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899144485","repostId":"1158295123","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890174248,"gmtCreate":1628089031884,"gmtModify":1631884833449,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>It’s about time?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>It’s about time?","text":"$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$It’s about time?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890174248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801069194,"gmtCreate":1627474027918,"gmtModify":1633764686376,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801069194","repostId":"1158509211","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3699,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809675378,"gmtCreate":1627369639994,"gmtModify":1633765655094,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809675378","repostId":"1140254902","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140254902","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627366781,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1140254902?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 14:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Reckitt second-quarter sales rise 2.2%, miss estimates<blockquote>利洁时第二季度销售额增长 2.2%,低于预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140254902","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 27 (Reuters) - Lysol maker Reckitt Benckiser Group missed analysts’ estimates for second-quarte","content":"<p>July 27 (Reuters) - Lysol maker Reckitt Benckiser Group missed analysts’ estimates for second-quarter sales on Tuesday, as demand eased for its soaps and cold remedies and the company backed its full-year outlook.</p><p><blockquote>7 月 27 日(路透社)--来苏(Lysol)制造商利洁时集团(Reckitt Benckiser Group)周二对第二季度销售额的预期低于分析师预期,原因是对其肥皂和感冒药的需求有所放缓,而且该公司支持了全年前景。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported a 2.2% rise in like-for-like sales for the three months ended June 30, lower than the 2.3% growth analysts had expected, according to a company-supplied consensus.</p><p><blockquote>根据公司提供的共识,该公司报告截至 6 月 30 日的三个月同比销售额增长 2.2%,低于分析师预期的 2.3% 增长率。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reckitt second-quarter sales rise 2.2%, miss estimates<blockquote>利洁时第二季度销售额增长 2.2%,低于预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 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solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReckitt second-quarter sales rise 2.2%, miss estimates<blockquote>利洁时第二季度销售额增长 2.2%,低于预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 14:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>July 27 (Reuters) - Lysol maker Reckitt Benckiser Group missed analysts’ estimates for second-quarter sales on Tuesday, as demand eased for its soaps and cold remedies and the company backed its full-year outlook.</p><p><blockquote>7 月 27 日(路透社)--来苏(Lysol)制造商利洁时集团(Reckitt Benckiser Group)周二对第二季度销售额的预期低于分析师预期,原因是对其肥皂和感冒药的需求有所放缓,而且该公司支持了全年前景。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported a 2.2% rise in like-for-like sales for the three months ended June 30, lower than the 2.3% growth analysts had expected, according to a company-supplied consensus.</p><p><blockquote>根据公司提供的共识,该公司报告截至 6 月 30 日的三个月同比销售额增长 2.2%,低于分析师预期的 2.3% 增长率。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/reckitt-benc-grp-results/reckitt-second-quarter-sales-rise-2-2-miss-estimates-idUSL4N2P317W\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBGLY":"Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc."},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/reckitt-benc-grp-results/reckitt-second-quarter-sales-rise-2-2-miss-estimates-idUSL4N2P317W","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140254902","content_text":"July 27 (Reuters) - Lysol maker Reckitt Benckiser Group missed analysts’ estimates for second-quarter sales on Tuesday, as demand eased for its soaps and cold remedies and the company backed its full-year outlook.\nThe company reported a 2.2% rise in like-for-like sales for the three months ended June 30, lower than the 2.3% growth analysts had expected, according to a company-supplied consensus.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RBGLY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809672930,"gmtCreate":1627369612820,"gmtModify":1633765656004,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and 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","text":"Fantastic","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147127641","repostId":"2151351711","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144399106,"gmtCreate":1626266171305,"gmtModify":1633928501736,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144399106","repostId":"1132348176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142548975,"gmtCreate":1626164122497,"gmtModify":1633929493942,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142548975","repostId":"2151554537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146539246,"gmtCreate":1626089101385,"gmtModify":1633930279460,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146539246","repostId":"2150538212","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141040408,"gmtCreate":1625827666904,"gmtModify":1633936944452,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Fantastic","listText":"Fantastic","text":"Fantastic","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141040408","repostId":"1113072261","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113072261","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625823554,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1113072261?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop Short Seller Melvin Capital Ended 2021 First-Half With 46% Loss: Report<blockquote>游戏驿站卖空者 Melvin Capital 2021 年上半年亏损 46%:报告</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113072261","media":"Benzinga","summary":"GameStop Corp. short seller Melvin Capital Management LP ended the first half of 2021 with a loss of","content":"<p><div> GameStop Corp. short seller Melvin Capital Management LP ended the first half of 2021 with a loss of 46%, Bloomberg reported Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter. What Happened:Founded in ...</p><p><blockquote><div>彭博社周四援引知情人士的话报道称,游戏驿站公司卖空者 Melvin Capital Management LP 截至 2021 年上半年亏损 46%。事情经过:成立于……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21909875/gamestop-short-seller-melvin-capital-ended-2021-first-half-with-46-loss-report\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21909875/gamestop-short-seller-melvin-capital-ended-2021-first-half-with-46-loss-report\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop Short Seller Melvin Capital Ended 2021 First-Half With 46% Loss: Report<blockquote>游戏驿站卖空者 Melvin Capital 2021 年上半年亏损 46%:报告</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop Short Seller Melvin Capital Ended 2021 First-Half With 46% Loss: Report<blockquote>游戏驿站卖空者 Melvin Capital 2021 年上半年亏损 46%:报告</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-09 17:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> GameStop Corp. short seller Melvin Capital Management LP ended the first half of 2021 with a loss of 46%, Bloomberg reported Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter. What Happened:Founded in ...</p><p><blockquote><div>彭博社周四援引知情人士的话报道称,游戏驿站公司卖空者 Melvin Capital Management LP 截至 2021 年上半年亏损 46%。事情经过:成立于……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21909875/gamestop-short-seller-melvin-capital-ended-2021-first-half-with-46-loss-report\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21909875/gamestop-short-seller-melvin-capital-ended-2021-first-half-with-46-loss-report\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21909875/gamestop-short-seller-melvin-capital-ended-2021-first-half-with-46-loss-report\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21909875/gamestop-short-seller-melvin-capital-ended-2021-first-half-with-46-loss-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113072261","content_text":"GameStop Corp. short seller Melvin Capital Management LP ended the first half of 2021 with a loss of 46%, Bloomberg reported Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter.\nWhat Happened:Founded in 2014 by Gabe Plotkin, a former portfolio manager for Steve Cohen, Melvin Capital was at the heart of the GameStop saga earlier this year.\nThe hedge fund, which managed $11 billion in assets as of June 1, is taking smaller-sized positions to limit exposure to single companies, as per the report.\nPlotkin has reportedly instructed his team of data scientists to watch social media and message boards to look for shares that are seeing high support from retail investors.\nWhy It Matters:Melvin Capital’s first-half results indicate the hedge fund is struggling to rebound from thelossesit incurred from betting against GameStop and other stonks - stocks popular with retail investors.\nMelvin Capital said in May it has closed out of all its public bearish positions in the first quarter. This included its listed put options in GameStop.\nIt was reported in June that London-based White Square Capital is shutting down after suffering huge losses during the retail trading frenzy earlier in the year. This marked one of the first hedge fund closures following the surge in shares of stonks.\nIn early June,AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. and GameStop short-seller losses swelled up to$12 billionon a year-to-date basis. Both the stocks continue to seehigh interestfrom retail investors.\nPrice Action: AMC Entertainment shares closed almost 6.4% higher in Thursday’s regular trading session at $47.94, while GameStop shares closed almost 0.4% higher at $191.38.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140817328,"gmtCreate":1625645997564,"gmtModify":1633938764831,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140817328","repostId":"1113363379","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159830752,"gmtCreate":1624954626176,"gmtModify":1633946566269,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159830752","repostId":"1104811992","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124622994,"gmtCreate":1624763242118,"gmtModify":1633948923419,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124622994","repostId":"1121141266","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121141266","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624760169,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1121141266?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 10:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla ‘Recall’ in China to Impact Nearly 300,000 Vehicles. What to Know.<blockquote>特斯拉在华 “召回 ”影响近 30 万辆汽车。要知道什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121141266","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla will have to “recall” nearly 300,000 vehicles made in China or imported there due to a problem with an assisted driving function, China’s State Administration for Market Regulation said late on Friday.Tesla apologized on Weibo, a Chinese social media site. “We apologize for the inconvenience caused by this recall to all car owners,” the company said, according toThe Wall Street Journal. “Tesla will continue to improve safety in strict accordance with national requirements.”The notice from","content":"<p>Tesla will have to “recall” nearly 300,000 vehicles made in China or imported there due to a problem with an assisted driving function, China’s State Administration for Market Regulation said late on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>中国国家市场监督管理总局周五晚些时候表示,由于辅助驾驶功能出现问题,特斯拉将不得不 “召回 ”近 30 万辆中国制造或进口汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) apologized on Weibo, a Chinese social media site. “We apologize for the inconvenience caused by this recall to all car owners,” the company said, according toThe Wall Street Journal. “Tesla will continue to improve safety in strict accordance with national requirements.”</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)在中国社交媒体网站微博上道歉。“据《华尔街日报》报道,该公司表示:”对于此次召回给所有车主带来的不便,我们深表歉意。“特斯拉将继续严格按照国家要求提高安全性。”</blockquote></p><p> The notice from the Chinese regulator said that the cruise control system could be activated by accident, which could cause a collision, according to newswire service AFP. Tesla will be able to update the software for impacted customers remotely, so they will not have to return their cars, the report said. The regulator did not immediately answer a question from<i>Barron’s</i>on whether the issue had already led to collisions in China.</p><p><blockquote>据法新社报道,中国监管机构的通知称,巡航控制系统可能会意外启动,从而导致碰撞。报告称,特斯拉将能够远程为受影响的客户更新软件,因此他们不必归还汽车。监管机构没有立即回答来自<i>巴伦</i>这个问题是否已经导致了中国的碰撞。</blockquote></p><p> China is a key market for Tesla, which sells about 30% of its vehicles there. Sales in China have been spotty lately, with a decline in April followed by more promising May numbers. Tesla has been making vehicles at a Shanghai plant since 2019.</p><p><blockquote>中国是特斯拉的一个重要市场,该公司约 30% 的汽车在中国销售。中国的销售最近一直不稳定,4 月份出现下降,随后 5 月份的数据更加有希望。自 2019 年以来,特斯拉一直在上海工厂生产汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, there have been complaints from some Chinese customers about Tesla’s quality and service, with a protest at the Shanghai Auto Show in April. Tesla apologized to customers in April for how it dealt with customer complaints.</p><p><blockquote>最近,一些中国客户对特斯拉的质量和服务提出了投诉,并在 4 月份的上海车展上举行了抗议活动。特斯拉在四月份就其处理客户投诉的方式向客户道歉。</blockquote></p><p> The issues are part of a larger public relations problem that may be weighing on Tesla stock, which is down 5% this year after rising eight-fold in 2020. That said, the stock was on an upswing over the past week, perhaps related to optimism about end-of-quarter vehicle deliveries. Tesla has not announced the date of its second-quarter earnings report yet.</p><p><blockquote>这些问题是更大的公共关系问题的一部分,可能会给特斯拉股价带来压力,该股在 2020 年上涨八倍后,今年已下跌 5%。也就是说,该股在过去一周一直在上涨,这可能与对季度末汽车交付的乐观情绪有关。特斯拉尚未公布第二季度财报发布日期。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not clear if the issue in China could also impact vehicles in the U.S. Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment on Saturday morning.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉周六上午没有立即回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla ‘Recall’ in China to Impact Nearly 300,000 Vehicles. What to Know.<blockquote>特斯拉在华 “召回 ”影响近 30 万辆汽车。要知道什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla ‘Recall’ in China to Impact Nearly 300,000 Vehicles. What to Know.<blockquote>特斯拉在华 “召回 ”影响近 30 万辆汽车。要知道什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 10:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla will have to “recall” nearly 300,000 vehicles made in China or imported there due to a problem with an assisted driving function, China’s State Administration for Market Regulation said late on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>中国国家市场监督管理总局周五晚些时候表示,由于辅助驾驶功能出现问题,特斯拉将不得不 “召回 ”近 30 万辆中国制造或进口汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) apologized on Weibo, a Chinese social media site. “We apologize for the inconvenience caused by this recall to all car owners,” the company said, according toThe Wall Street Journal. “Tesla will continue to improve safety in strict accordance with national requirements.”</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)在中国社交媒体网站微博上道歉。“据《华尔街日报》报道,该公司表示:”对于此次召回给所有车主带来的不便,我们深表歉意。“特斯拉将继续严格按照国家要求提高安全性。”</blockquote></p><p> The notice from the Chinese regulator said that the cruise control system could be activated by accident, which could cause a collision, according to newswire service AFP. Tesla will be able to update the software for impacted customers remotely, so they will not have to return their cars, the report said. The regulator did not immediately answer a question from<i>Barron’s</i>on whether the issue had already led to collisions in China.</p><p><blockquote>据法新社报道,中国监管机构的通知称,巡航控制系统可能会意外启动,从而导致碰撞。报告称,特斯拉将能够远程为受影响的客户更新软件,因此他们不必归还汽车。监管机构没有立即回答来自<i>巴伦</i>这个问题是否已经导致了中国的碰撞。</blockquote></p><p> China is a key market for Tesla, which sells about 30% of its vehicles there. Sales in China have been spotty lately, with a decline in April followed by more promising May numbers. Tesla has been making vehicles at a Shanghai plant since 2019.</p><p><blockquote>中国是特斯拉的一个重要市场,该公司约 30% 的汽车在中国销售。中国的销售最近一直不稳定,4 月份出现下降,随后 5 月份的数据更加有希望。自 2019 年以来,特斯拉一直在上海工厂生产汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, there have been complaints from some Chinese customers about Tesla’s quality and service, with a protest at the Shanghai Auto Show in April. Tesla apologized to customers in April for how it dealt with customer complaints.</p><p><blockquote>最近,一些中国客户对特斯拉的质量和服务提出了投诉,并在 4 月份的上海车展上举行了抗议活动。特斯拉在四月份就其处理客户投诉的方式向客户道歉。</blockquote></p><p> The issues are part of a larger public relations problem that may be weighing on Tesla stock, which is down 5% this year after rising eight-fold in 2020. That said, the stock was on an upswing over the past week, perhaps related to optimism about end-of-quarter vehicle deliveries. Tesla has not announced the date of its second-quarter earnings report yet.</p><p><blockquote>这些问题是更大的公共关系问题的一部分,可能会给特斯拉股价带来压力,该股在 2020 年上涨八倍后,今年已下跌 5%。也就是说,该股在过去一周一直在上涨,这可能与对季度末汽车交付的乐观情绪有关。特斯拉尚未公布第二季度财报发布日期。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not clear if the issue in China could also impact vehicles in the U.S. Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment on Saturday morning.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉周六上午没有立即回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-recall-china-51624718932?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-recall-china-51624718932?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121141266","content_text":"Tesla will have to “recall” nearly 300,000 vehicles made in China or imported there due to a problem with an assisted driving function, China’s State Administration for Market Regulation said late on Friday.\nTesla (ticker: TSLA) apologized on Weibo, a Chinese social media site. “We apologize for the inconvenience caused by this recall to all car owners,” the company said, according toThe Wall Street Journal. “Tesla will continue to improve safety in strict accordance with national requirements.”\nThe notice from the Chinese regulator said that the cruise control system could be activated by accident, which could cause a collision, according to newswire service AFP. Tesla will be able to update the software for impacted customers remotely, so they will not have to return their cars, the report said. The regulator did not immediately answer a question fromBarron’son whether the issue had already led to collisions in China.\nChina is a key market for Tesla, which sells about 30% of its vehicles there. Sales in China have been spotty lately, with a decline in April followed by more promising May numbers. Tesla has been making vehicles at a Shanghai plant since 2019.\nLately, there have been complaints from some Chinese customers about Tesla’s quality and service, with a protest at the Shanghai Auto Show in April. Tesla apologized to customers in April for how it dealt with customer complaints.\nThe issues are part of a larger public relations problem that may be weighing on Tesla stock, which is down 5% this year after rising eight-fold in 2020. That said, the stock was on an upswing over the past week, perhaps related to optimism about end-of-quarter vehicle deliveries. Tesla has not announced the date of its second-quarter earnings report yet.\nIt’s not clear if the issue in China could also impact vehicles in the U.S. Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment on Saturday morning.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122145041,"gmtCreate":1624607625483,"gmtModify":1633950600681,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122145041","repostId":"1170542603","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170542603","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624592567,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1170542603?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 11:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nokia Stock: From 5G Winner To Disappointment To Meme<blockquote>诺基亚股票:从 5G 赢家到失望再到模因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170542603","media":"thestreet","summary":"Nokia has gone from (1) failed mobile phone powerhouse to (2) likely winner in one key technology tr","content":"<p>Nokia has gone from (1) failed mobile phone powerhouse to (2) likely winner in one key technology transformation cycle to (3) a source of “juicy tendies” for Wall Street Bets traders. Five years ago, it would have been hard to guess what would have happened to Nokia stock (<b>NOKIA</b>) since the mid-2010s.</p><p><blockquote>诺基亚已经从 (1) 失败的手机巨头,到 (2) 一个关键技术转型周期的可能赢家,再到 (3) 华尔街博彩交易员的 “美味 ”来源。五年前,很难猜测诺基亚股票会发生什么变化(<b>诺基亚</b>)自2010年代中期以来。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street Meme tells the story of this tech stock that has morphed from growth to value to meme – and that after fits and starts, still trades around pre-dot com bubble prices.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街模因讲述了这只科技股的故事,它已经从增长到价值再到模因——在经历了一段时间后,它仍然在互联网泡沫前的价格附近交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nokia: an unlikely journey</b></p><p><blockquote><b>诺基亚:不太可能的旅程</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2007, moments before Apple’s iPhone disrupted (or perhaps reinvented) the world of consumer mobile devices forever, Nokiacontrolled50% of the smartphone market. But the company’s fall from grace did not take long: Nokia accounted for less than 3% of the market by late 2012.</p><p><blockquote>2007 年,就在苹果的 iPhone 永远颠覆(或许是重塑)消费移动设备世界之前,诺基亚控制了智能手机市场 50% 的份额。但诺基亚没过多久就失宠了: 到 2012 年底,诺基亚的市场份额还不到 3%。</blockquote></p><p> However, the Finnish growth story did not end there. Between 2016-2017, Nokia began drawing the attention of investors looking to bet on the 5G upgrade cycle that would likely start a couple of years later. The company’s network division had been struggling, but the management team believed in a turnaround as 5G infrastructure had to be built around the globe.</p><p><blockquote>然而,芬兰的增长故事并没有就此结束。2016年至2017年间,诺基亚开始吸引投资者的注意,他们希望押注可能在几年后开始的5G升级周期。该公司的网络部门一直举步维艰,但管理团队相信,随着 5G 基础设施必须在全球范围内建设,情况将会好转。</blockquote></p><p> True to its roots, unfortunately,Nokia disappointed yet again. In 2019, the company warned that its recovery was in jeopardy, as competition with Ericsson and Huawei for 5G contracts became too fierce for Nokia to handle. The company’s dividend payment was slashed, and a restructuring process began.</p><p><blockquote>不幸的是,诺基亚再次令人失望。2019 年,该公司警告称,由于与爱立信和华为争夺 5G 合同的竞争变得过于激烈,诺基亚无法应对,因此其复苏面临危险。公司的股息支付被削减,重组程序开始了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Meme stock for a day</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一天的模因股票</b></blockquote></p><p> For the past five years, Nokia stock consistently traded between $3 and $5 per share, with the eventual spikes and dips in share price eventually correcting. The notable exception happened on January 27 of this year.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的五年里,诺基亚股票的交易价格一直在每股3美元到5美元之间,股价的最终涨跌最终会得到纠正。值得注意的例外发生在今年1月27日。</blockquote></p><p> On that day, Nokia climbed to $6.55 per share, from only $3.87 two weeks earlier. The stock was “victim” of a bullish Wall Street Bets meme attack, around the time that short interest reached a five-year high of 60 million shares – fertile ground for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>当天,诺基亚股价从两周前的3.87美元攀升至每股6.55美元。该股是看涨华尔街赌注备忘录攻击的 “受害者”,当时空头兴趣达到 6000 万股的五年新高--这是挤空的沃土。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nokia Stock: From 5G Winner To Disappointment To Meme<blockquote>诺基亚股票:从 5G 赢家到失望再到模因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNokia Stock: From 5G Winner To Disappointment To Meme<blockquote>诺基亚股票:从 5G 赢家到失望再到模因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-25 11:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nokia has gone from (1) failed mobile phone powerhouse to (2) likely winner in one key technology transformation cycle to (3) a source of “juicy tendies” for Wall Street Bets traders. Five years ago, it would have been hard to guess what would have happened to Nokia stock (<b>NOKIA</b>) since the mid-2010s.</p><p><blockquote>诺基亚已经从 (1) 失败的手机巨头,到 (2) 一个关键技术转型周期的可能赢家,再到 (3) 华尔街博彩交易员的 “美味 ”来源。五年前,很难猜测诺基亚股票会发生什么变化(<b>诺基亚</b>)自2010年代中期以来。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street Meme tells the story of this tech stock that has morphed from growth to value to meme – and that after fits and starts, still trades around pre-dot com bubble prices.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街模因讲述了这只科技股的故事,它已经从增长到价值再到模因——在经历了一段时间后,它仍然在互联网泡沫前的价格附近交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nokia: an unlikely journey</b></p><p><blockquote><b>诺基亚:不太可能的旅程</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2007, moments before Apple’s iPhone disrupted (or perhaps reinvented) the world of consumer mobile devices forever, Nokiacontrolled50% of the smartphone market. But the company’s fall from grace did not take long: Nokia accounted for less than 3% of the market by late 2012.</p><p><blockquote>2007 年,就在苹果的 iPhone 永远颠覆(或许是重塑)消费移动设备世界之前,诺基亚控制了智能手机市场 50% 的份额。但诺基亚没过多久就失宠了: 到 2012 年底,诺基亚的市场份额还不到 3%。</blockquote></p><p> However, the Finnish growth story did not end there. Between 2016-2017, Nokia began drawing the attention of investors looking to bet on the 5G upgrade cycle that would likely start a couple of years later. The company’s network division had been struggling, but the management team believed in a turnaround as 5G infrastructure had to be built around the globe.</p><p><blockquote>然而,芬兰的增长故事并没有就此结束。2016年至2017年间,诺基亚开始吸引投资者的注意,他们希望押注可能在几年后开始的5G升级周期。该公司的网络部门一直举步维艰,但管理团队相信,随着 5G 基础设施必须在全球范围内建设,情况将会好转。</blockquote></p><p> True to its roots, unfortunately,Nokia disappointed yet again. In 2019, the company warned that its recovery was in jeopardy, as competition with Ericsson and Huawei for 5G contracts became too fierce for Nokia to handle. The company’s dividend payment was slashed, and a restructuring process began.</p><p><blockquote>不幸的是,诺基亚再次令人失望。2019 年,该公司警告称,由于与爱立信和华为争夺 5G 合同的竞争变得过于激烈,诺基亚无法应对,因此其复苏面临危险。公司的股息支付被削减,重组程序开始了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Meme stock for a day</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一天的模因股票</b></blockquote></p><p> For the past five years, Nokia stock consistently traded between $3 and $5 per share, with the eventual spikes and dips in share price eventually correcting. The notable exception happened on January 27 of this year.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的五年里,诺基亚股票的交易价格一直在每股3美元到5美元之间,股价的最终涨跌最终会得到纠正。值得注意的例外发生在今年1月27日。</blockquote></p><p> On that day, Nokia climbed to $6.55 per share, from only $3.87 two weeks earlier. The stock was “victim” of a bullish Wall Street Bets meme attack, around the time that short interest reached a five-year high of 60 million shares – fertile ground for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>当天,诺基亚股价从两周前的3.87美元攀升至每股6.55美元。该股是看涨华尔街赌注备忘录攻击的 “受害者”,当时空头兴趣达到 6000 万股的五年新高--这是挤空的沃土。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/nokia-stock-from-5g-winner-to-disappointment-to-meme\">thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NOK":"诺基亚"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/nokia-stock-from-5g-winner-to-disappointment-to-meme","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170542603","content_text":"Nokia has gone from (1) failed mobile phone powerhouse to (2) likely winner in one key technology transformation cycle to (3) a source of “juicy tendies” for Wall Street Bets traders. Five years ago, it would have been hard to guess what would have happened to Nokia stock (NOKIA) since the mid-2010s.\nWall Street Meme tells the story of this tech stock that has morphed from growth to value to meme – and that after fits and starts, still trades around pre-dot com bubble prices.\nNokia: an unlikely journey\nIn 2007, moments before Apple’s iPhone disrupted (or perhaps reinvented) the world of consumer mobile devices forever, Nokiacontrolled50% of the smartphone market. But the company’s fall from grace did not take long: Nokia accounted for less than 3% of the market by late 2012.\nHowever, the Finnish growth story did not end there. Between 2016-2017, Nokia began drawing the attention of investors looking to bet on the 5G upgrade cycle that would likely start a couple of years later. The company’s network division had been struggling, but the management team believed in a turnaround as 5G infrastructure had to be built around the globe.\nTrue to its roots, unfortunately,Nokia disappointed yet again. In 2019, the company warned that its recovery was in jeopardy, as competition with Ericsson and Huawei for 5G contracts became too fierce for Nokia to handle. The company’s dividend payment was slashed, and a restructuring process began.\nMeme stock for a day\nFor the past five years, Nokia stock consistently traded between $3 and $5 per share, with the eventual spikes and dips in share price eventually correcting. The notable exception happened on January 27 of this year.\nOn that day, Nokia climbed to $6.55 per share, from only $3.87 two weeks earlier. The stock was “victim” of a bullish Wall Street Bets meme attack, around the time that short interest reached a five-year high of 60 million shares – fertile ground for a short squeeze.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NOK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126060307,"gmtCreate":1624537822209,"gmtModify":1634004730324,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Interested comment","listText":"Interested comment","text":"Interested comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126060307","repostId":"1112175042","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121501313,"gmtCreate":1624469282132,"gmtModify":1634005636755,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121501313","repostId":"2145531099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121503232,"gmtCreate":1624469236826,"gmtModify":1634005637225,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121503232","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1090,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121985169,"gmtCreate":1624449655451,"gmtModify":1634006013467,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579481478181513","authorIdStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"DraftKings Let’s go","listText":"DraftKings Let’s go","text":"DraftKings Let’s go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121985169","repostId":"1189982937","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1189982937","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624415421,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1189982937?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 10:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Canada Passes Sports Betting Legislation: 3 Stocks That Could Benefit<blockquote>加拿大通过体育博彩立法:3 只可能受益的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189982937","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The Canadian Senate has passed Bill C-218 approving single event sports betting in the country. The ","content":"<p><div> The Canadian Senate has passed Bill C-218 approving single event sports betting in the country. The billreceived57 votes for, 20 against and five abstained votes. The bill will become law in the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>加拿大参议院通过了C-218号法案,批准该国的单一赛事体育博彩。该法案获得57票赞成,20票反对,5票弃权。该法案将在#年成为法律……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/06/21673782/canada-passes-sports-betting-legislation-3-stocks-that-could-benefit\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/06/21673782/canada-passes-sports-betting-legislation-3-stocks-that-could-benefit\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Canada Passes Sports Betting Legislation: 3 Stocks That Could Benefit<blockquote>加拿大通过体育博彩立法:3 只可能受益的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCanada Passes Sports Betting Legislation: 3 Stocks That Could Benefit<blockquote>加拿大通过体育博彩立法:3 只可能受益的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-23 10:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The Canadian Senate has passed Bill C-218 approving single event sports betting in the country. The billreceived57 votes for, 20 against and five abstained votes. The bill will become law in the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>加拿大参议院通过了C-218号法案,批准该国的单一赛事体育博彩。该法案获得57票赞成,20票反对,5票弃权。该法案将在#年成为法律……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/06/21673782/canada-passes-sports-betting-legislation-3-stocks-that-could-benefit\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/06/21673782/canada-passes-sports-betting-legislation-3-stocks-that-could-benefit\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/06/21673782/canada-passes-sports-betting-legislation-3-stocks-that-could-benefit\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MGM":"美高梅","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/06/21673782/canada-passes-sports-betting-legislation-3-stocks-that-could-benefit","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189982937","content_text":"The Canadian Senate has passed Bill C-218 approving single event sports betting in the country. The billreceived57 votes for, 20 against and five abstained votes.\nThe bill will become law in the coming days, according to Senator David Wells. Industry experts expect sports betting to be operating in the country by the fall.\nCanada has a population of around 38 million people, similar to the state of California, representing a large untapped market for online sports betting companies.\nHere are three companies that could benefit from the passing of Bill C-218.\nScore Media:Canadian media and sports betting company Score Media and Gaming could be one of the biggest winners with the new legislation. The company recently completed a public listing in the U.S. after previously trading OTC. Score Mediagetsaround 20% of its traffic from Canada and is a well-known brand in the country. This could help it easily capture interest from potential sports bettors through its app that is already trusted for sports news in the country.\nThe company has a deal in place with Penn National Gaming giving it access to up to 11 U.S. states over the next 20 years. As part of the deal, Penn National owns 4.9% of the company. Given its strong media presence in Canada, Score Media could quickly become an acquisition target of larger online sports betting companies.\nDraftKings:Sports betting company DraftKings Inc is seen as a winner from Canada adding sports betting. Several analystshighlightedthe Canadian market not being priced into prior estimates with launches coming in the country by 2022. Rosenblatt analyst Bernie McTernan said Canada could add $100 million in revenue for DraftKings by fiscal 2023.\nDraftKingsaddedto its daily fantasy partnership with the National Football League to include Canada. This could give a nice solid user base to DraftKings of potential sports betting customers in the country.\nMGM Resorts International:Signing Wayne Gretzky as a brand ambassador for the BetMGM brand could have been the perfect foreshadowing to Canada legalizing sports betting. BetMGM, a joint venture from MGM Resorts International and Entain,announcedthe addition of Gretzky recently in a multi-year brand ambassador deal to help with marketing efforts of the BetMGM brand in North America.\n“We’re proud to welcome him to the BetMGM team. As we look toward potential expansion into Canada and elsewhere throughout the United States, Wayne will bring a unique ability to tell our brand story,” BetMGM Chief Revenue Officer Matt Prevost said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MGM":0.9,"SCR":0.9,"DKNG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1044,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":112006639,"gmtCreate":1622822050821,"gmtModify":1634097624723,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579481478181513","idStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ","listText":"Great ","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112006639","repostId":"1154529120","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154529120","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622810459,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1154529120?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 20:40","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗?如果你有时间,是的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154529120","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:. Alibaba Group'","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.</li> <li>I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.</li> <li>In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/567d19950e6c8789ce2192b4503f0fa5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by efetova/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一只战场股票,有些人看到了很多机会,而另一些人则看到了很多风险。</li><li>我相信机遇和风险并存,但我认为前者大于后者。</li><li>从长远来看,阿里巴巴有机会为那些以当前相当低的估值购买的人带来强劲收益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>照片由 efetova/iStock 提供,来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW集团(BABA)是全球领先的高科技公司,持续产生有吸引力的增长,并为投资者提供了高增长的中国消费市场的机会。同时,通过一系列的创业,阿里巴巴-SW还活跃在额外的行业,比如云计算。过去几个月股价大幅下跌,但我相信长期潜力巨大。看到股价上涨至 500 美元,我不会感到惊讶,尽管这在短期内不会发生。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:</p><p><blockquote>自首次公开募股以来,阿里巴巴-SW股价强劲上涨,但还应该提到的是,2020 年下半年股价确实下跌,此后大幅下跌:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8079eeb5384ea003fb3725d3cd1e877f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源:YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.</p><p><blockquote>由于蚂蚁金服的 IPO 计划被叫停,2020 年夏季的涨幅已被抹去,股价现在基本与一年前持平。不过,去年持平的股价表现有些令人惊讶,因为阿里巴巴-SW在那段时间内继续取得强劲的业绩。例如,上一季度阿里巴巴-SW的收入增长率为64%,而上一季度的收入增长也非常强劲,约为50%。然而,这并不是阿里巴巴财报发布中唯一的积极因素。仅在最近一个季度,该公司的用户数量就增加了3200万,相当于年化用户增长率约为20%。这对未来几个季度来说是个好兆头,因为阿里巴巴平台上的更多用户应该会转化为更高的收入。最重要的是,强劲的用户增长表明,对阿里巴巴平台提供的购物服务的需求仍在增长——市场根本没有饱和。阿里巴巴-SW还设法将其 EBITDA 同比增长 25%,这也是一个有吸引力的增长速度,尽管对评级管理关键增长领域的投资不断增加,但仍实现了这一目标。与此同时,由于一些运营杠杆,营业收入增长速度更快,经阿里巴巴-SW第一季度必须支付的罚款调整后,营业收入同比增长 48%。我认为,放弃这一一次性项目是有意义的,以便更清楚地了解阿里巴巴平均一个季度的潜在“核心”盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and fears about regulation.</p><p><blockquote>因此,相对于大盘和其他科技公司而言,阿里巴巴-SW集团的股价表现疲软并不是经营业绩疲软的结果,而是由于投资者情绪疲软导致中国风险敞口和对监管的担忧导致的多重压缩的结果。</blockquote></p><p> At its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.</p><p><blockquote>以目前 220 美元的价格计算,与目前分析师一致的目标价 298 美元相比,阿里巴巴的股价有相当大的折扣。如果阿里巴巴-SW达到这一目标,股价将上涨 35%。分析师目标价通常以 1 年为期限发布,因此,如果分析师社区是正确的,阿里巴巴-SW可能是一项很好的投资。从估值的角度来看,这个价格目标似乎一点也不离谱,因为 298 美元相当于今年预期净利润的约 29 倍,或明年净利润的 23 倍。当我们谈论 2022 年夏季(即一年后)的价格目标时,后者可能更能说明问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.</p><p><blockquote>我认为,这个问题的答案取决于你的时间框架。如果你看的是12个月的窗口,那么阿里巴巴-SW很可能无法达到500美元。300美元左右的价格目标似乎是可以实现的,尽管这当然也不能保证。然而,如果我们从长远来看,那么 500 美元似乎是阿里巴巴最终可能达到的股价。让我们看几个例子。</blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW在某个时候每股收益为 20 美元,并且市盈率为 25,那么股票的交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 25 美元,市盈率为 20 倍,那么股票交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 17 美元,交易价格为净利润的 29 倍,那么股价将(略低于)500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:</p><p><blockquote>我们看到,有许多情况可能会让阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元,其中一些情况比其他情况更有可能。当然,你的目标倍数越高,所需的收入就越低。这反过来意味着价格目标可以更快实现,因为所需的累计盈利增长较少。当我们查看阿里巴巴-SW过去的估值时,我们会发现阿里巴巴的长期市盈率中位数如下:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd2d42b7094deb394266d6410287c2e4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源:YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为 30-40 倍,相对于目前的股票估值(约为今年收益的 20 倍),其交易价格显然大幅溢价。我认为目前的估值太低了,但另一方面,我预计阿里巴巴-SW未来几年的净利润不会达到 30 倍、35 倍甚至 40 倍。由于阿里巴巴-SW的规模不断扩大,这使得其在未来几年保持出色的增长变得更加困难,与过去的估值相比,未来几年的股票估值可能会更低。</blockquote></p><p> I still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为,从目前21倍左右的市盈率来看,股票确实有一些估值扩张潜力,因此让我们假设股票未来的交易价格是净利润的23倍。与历史估值相比,这仍然是一个巨大的折扣,与美国高科技大盘股的估值相比,也是一个巨大的折扣——例如,亚马逊 (AMZN) 的交易价格是今年市盈率的 59 倍。</blockquote></p><p> If we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们想使用 23 倍市盈率使阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元,那么阿里巴巴-SW必须产生的每股收益为 21.70 美元。什么时候会是这样?在下图中,我们看到了今年、明年(2022 财年)和 2023 财年的每股收益预测:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf78e0b071eff9753afbdcd96f751c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源:YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师是正确的,阿里巴巴-SW到 2023 年将无法实现每股 22 美元的盈利,我认为这是现实的。我也不认为今年到 2023 年每股收益会增长 100% 以上。从2023年开始,阿里巴巴的每股收益需要再增长43%才能达到21.70美元,这是我们500美元股价的“目标每股收益”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b4c351b4b5eb3328191ccaa9a3b776c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源:YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>分析师目前预测长期每股收益增长约 27%,这意味着阿里巴巴-SW需要大约 1.5 年的时间才能将每股收益从 15.20 美元(2023 年估计)增长到我们的目标 21.70 美元。即使我们假设这过于乐观,2024 年和 2025 年的增长率仅为 20%,到 2025 年底,每股收益也可能达到 21.70 美元。因此,换句话说,如果阿里巴巴-SW的增长略低于分析师目前的预测,那么到 2025 年底(即 4.5 年后),阿里巴巴-SW的交易价格可能达到 500 美元。请注意,这种情况根本不需要高市盈率——我相信,在净利润的 23 倍下,阿里巴巴-SW不会很贵。</blockquote></p><p> We can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以更加保守,假设 2023 年每股收益预测过高 10%,并且 2023 年之后的几年每股收益每年仅增长 17%(而分析师社区的长期预测为每年 27%)。在这种情况下,阿里巴巴-SW 2026 年的每股收益将达到 21.70 美元,未来 5.5 年内股价将升至 500 美元。即使在这种情况下,阿里巴巴也根本不是一项糟糕的投资——未来 5.5 年内股价从当前水平上涨 130%,年化回报率为 16%。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum this section up, I'd say<i>yes, BABA can hit $500</i>-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>所以,总结这一部分,我会说<i>是的,爸爸可以达到 500 美元</i>——但实际上这需要几年时间。到 2020 年代中期,这对我来说似乎是一个非常容易实现的目标,尽管当然,没有任何保证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票现在是买入还是卖出?</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.</p><p><blockquote>我认为,阿里巴巴-SW集团是一项强有力的投资。该公司从多个长期宏观趋势中实现了强劲的增长和利润,例如中国不断增长的消费者支出、不断增长的电子商务市场份额和云计算。然而,也有一些风险需要考虑:阿里巴巴-SW高度依赖中国,如果中国的经济增长故事结束,阿里巴巴-SW将受到很大伤害。最重要的是,阿里巴巴-SW可能会再次成为监管机构的目标,尽管我个人认为伤害中国增长最快的科技公司之一不符合中国的最佳利益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些担心这些风险的人来说,阿里巴巴-SW可能不是正确的选择,但对于那些认为阿里巴巴-SW对中国消费者来说可能是一个非常有益的游戏的人来说,阿里巴巴可能是多元化投资组合中的一个有力选择。我属于后一类,因此以当前估值将该股评级为买入,预计未来几年将有显着上涨空间。然而,根据你的风险承受能力以及你如何权衡投资中国公司的机会和威胁,你可能会做出不同的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗?如果你有时间,是的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗?如果你有时间,是的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 20:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.</li> <li>I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.</li> <li>In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/567d19950e6c8789ce2192b4503f0fa5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by efetova/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一只战场股票,有些人看到了很多机会,而另一些人则看到了很多风险。</li><li>我相信机遇和风险并存,但我认为前者大于后者。</li><li>从长远来看,阿里巴巴有机会为那些以当前相当低的估值购买的人带来强劲收益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>照片由 efetova/iStock 提供,来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW集团(BABA)是全球领先的高科技公司,持续产生有吸引力的增长,并为投资者提供了高增长的中国消费市场的机会。同时,通过一系列的创业,阿里巴巴-SW还活跃在额外的行业,比如云计算。过去几个月股价大幅下跌,但我相信长期潜力巨大。看到股价上涨至 500 美元,我不会感到惊讶,尽管这在短期内不会发生。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:</p><p><blockquote>自首次公开募股以来,阿里巴巴-SW股价强劲上涨,但还应该提到的是,2020 年下半年股价确实下跌,此后大幅下跌:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8079eeb5384ea003fb3725d3cd1e877f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源:YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.</p><p><blockquote>由于蚂蚁金服的 IPO 计划被叫停,2020 年夏季的涨幅已被抹去,股价现在基本与一年前持平。不过,去年持平的股价表现有些令人惊讶,因为阿里巴巴-SW在那段时间内继续取得强劲的业绩。例如,上一季度阿里巴巴-SW的收入增长率为64%,而上一季度的收入增长也非常强劲,约为50%。然而,这并不是阿里巴巴财报发布中唯一的积极因素。仅在最近一个季度,该公司的用户数量就增加了3200万,相当于年化用户增长率约为20%。这对未来几个季度来说是个好兆头,因为阿里巴巴平台上的更多用户应该会转化为更高的收入。最重要的是,强劲的用户增长表明,对阿里巴巴平台提供的购物服务的需求仍在增长——市场根本没有饱和。阿里巴巴-SW还设法将其 EBITDA 同比增长 25%,这也是一个有吸引力的增长速度,尽管对评级管理关键增长领域的投资不断增加,但仍实现了这一目标。与此同时,由于一些运营杠杆,营业收入增长速度更快,经阿里巴巴-SW第一季度必须支付的罚款调整后,营业收入同比增长 48%。我认为,放弃这一一次性项目是有意义的,以便更清楚地了解阿里巴巴平均一个季度的潜在“核心”盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and fears about regulation.</p><p><blockquote>因此,相对于大盘和其他科技公司而言,阿里巴巴-SW集团的股价表现疲软并不是经营业绩疲软的结果,而是由于投资者情绪疲软导致中国风险敞口和对监管的担忧导致的多重压缩的结果。</blockquote></p><p> At its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.</p><p><blockquote>以目前 220 美元的价格计算,与目前分析师一致的目标价 298 美元相比,阿里巴巴的股价有相当大的折扣。如果阿里巴巴-SW达到这一目标,股价将上涨 35%。分析师目标价通常以 1 年为期限发布,因此,如果分析师社区是正确的,阿里巴巴-SW可能是一项很好的投资。从估值的角度来看,这个价格目标似乎一点也不离谱,因为 298 美元相当于今年预期净利润的约 29 倍,或明年净利润的 23 倍。当我们谈论 2022 年夏季(即一年后)的价格目标时,后者可能更能说明问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.</p><p><blockquote>我认为,这个问题的答案取决于你的时间框架。如果你看的是12个月的窗口,那么阿里巴巴-SW很可能无法达到500美元。300美元左右的价格目标似乎是可以实现的,尽管这当然也不能保证。然而,如果我们从长远来看,那么 500 美元似乎是阿里巴巴最终可能达到的股价。让我们看几个例子。</blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW在某个时候每股收益为 20 美元,并且市盈率为 25,那么股票的交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 25 美元,市盈率为 20 倍,那么股票交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 17 美元,交易价格为净利润的 29 倍,那么股价将(略低于)500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:</p><p><blockquote>我们看到,有许多情况可能会让阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元,其中一些情况比其他情况更有可能。当然,你的目标倍数越高,所需的收入就越低。这反过来意味着价格目标可以更快实现,因为所需的累计盈利增长较少。当我们查看阿里巴巴-SW过去的估值时,我们会发现阿里巴巴的长期市盈率中位数如下:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd2d42b7094deb394266d6410287c2e4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源:YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为 30-40 倍,相对于目前的股票估值(约为今年收益的 20 倍),其交易价格显然大幅溢价。我认为目前的估值太低了,但另一方面,我预计阿里巴巴-SW未来几年的净利润不会达到 30 倍、35 倍甚至 40 倍。由于阿里巴巴-SW的规模不断扩大,这使得其在未来几年保持出色的增长变得更加困难,与过去的估值相比,未来几年的股票估值可能会更低。</blockquote></p><p> I still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为,从目前21倍左右的市盈率来看,股票确实有一些估值扩张潜力,因此让我们假设股票未来的交易价格是净利润的23倍。与历史估值相比,这仍然是一个巨大的折扣,与美国高科技大盘股的估值相比,也是一个巨大的折扣——例如,亚马逊 (AMZN) 的交易价格是今年市盈率的 59 倍。</blockquote></p><p> If we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们想使用 23 倍市盈率使阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元,那么阿里巴巴-SW必须产生的每股收益为 21.70 美元。什么时候会是这样?在下图中,我们看到了今年、明年(2022 财年)和 2023 财年的每股收益预测:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf78e0b071eff9753afbdcd96f751c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源:YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师是正确的,阿里巴巴-SW到 2023 年将无法实现每股 22 美元的盈利,我认为这是现实的。我也不认为今年到 2023 年每股收益会增长 100% 以上。从2023年开始,阿里巴巴的每股收益需要再增长43%才能达到21.70美元,这是我们500美元股价的“目标每股收益”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b4c351b4b5eb3328191ccaa9a3b776c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源:YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>分析师目前预测长期每股收益增长约 27%,这意味着阿里巴巴-SW需要大约 1.5 年的时间才能将每股收益从 15.20 美元(2023 年估计)增长到我们的目标 21.70 美元。即使我们假设这过于乐观,2024 年和 2025 年的增长率仅为 20%,到 2025 年底,每股收益也可能达到 21.70 美元。因此,换句话说,如果阿里巴巴-SW的增长略低于分析师目前的预测,那么到 2025 年底(即 4.5 年后),阿里巴巴-SW的交易价格可能达到 500 美元。请注意,这种情况根本不需要高市盈率——我相信,在净利润的 23 倍下,阿里巴巴-SW不会很贵。</blockquote></p><p> We can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以更加保守,假设 2023 年每股收益预测过高 10%,并且 2023 年之后的几年每股收益每年仅增长 17%(而分析师社区的长期预测为每年 27%)。在这种情况下,阿里巴巴-SW 2026 年的每股收益将达到 21.70 美元,未来 5.5 年内股价将升至 500 美元。即使在这种情况下,阿里巴巴也根本不是一项糟糕的投资——未来 5.5 年内股价从当前水平上涨 130%,年化回报率为 16%。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum this section up, I'd say<i>yes, BABA can hit $500</i>-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>所以,总结这一部分,我会说<i>是的,爸爸可以达到 500 美元</i>——但实际上这需要几年时间。到 2020 年代中期,这对我来说似乎是一个非常容易实现的目标,尽管当然,没有任何保证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票现在是买入还是卖出?</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.</p><p><blockquote>我认为,阿里巴巴-SW集团是一项强有力的投资。该公司从多个长期宏观趋势中实现了强劲的增长和利润,例如中国不断增长的消费者支出、不断增长的电子商务市场份额和云计算。然而,也有一些风险需要考虑:阿里巴巴-SW高度依赖中国,如果中国的经济增长故事结束,阿里巴巴-SW将受到很大伤害。最重要的是,阿里巴巴-SW可能会再次成为监管机构的目标,尽管我个人认为伤害中国增长最快的科技公司之一不符合中国的最佳利益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些担心这些风险的人来说,阿里巴巴-SW可能不是正确的选择,但对于那些认为阿里巴巴-SW对中国消费者来说可能是一个非常有益的游戏的人来说,阿里巴巴可能是多元化投资组合中的一个有力选择。我属于后一类,因此以当前估值将该股评级为买入,预计未来几年将有显着上涨空间。然而,根据你的风险承受能力以及你如何权衡投资中国公司的机会和威胁,你可能会做出不同的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432992-alibaba-stock-hit-500\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432992-alibaba-stock-hit-500","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154529120","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.\nI believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.\nIn the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.\n\nPhoto by efetova/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nAlibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.\nBABA Stock Price\nSince its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:\nData byYCharts\nShares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.\nAlibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and fears about regulation.\nAt its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $500?\nThe answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.\nWe see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:\nData byYCharts\nAt 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.\nI still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.\nIf we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:\nData byYCharts\nIf analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.\nData byYCharts\nAnalysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.\nWe can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.\nSo, to sum this section up, I'd sayyes, BABA can hit $500-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.\nIs Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?\nAlibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.\nFor those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":991,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112000909,"gmtCreate":1622821763401,"gmtModify":1634097627608,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579481478181513","idStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"AMC ALL THE WAY","listText":"AMC ALL THE WAY","text":"AMC ALL THE WAY","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112000909","repostId":"1131823909","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":701,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140817328,"gmtCreate":1625645997564,"gmtModify":1633938764831,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579481478181513","idStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140817328","repostId":"1113363379","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186952857,"gmtCreate":1623470661079,"gmtModify":1634032703368,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579481478181513","idStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186952857","repostId":"2142858202","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186927646,"gmtCreate":1623470481685,"gmtModify":1634032709093,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579481478181513","idStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186927646","repostId":"1118102755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118102755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623469189,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1118102755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-12 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118102755","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank ","content":"<p> <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b> Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什 (Michael Brush) 就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足够高的水平,足以撼动股市,可能导致高达 15% 的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是:持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%,并促使美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都将扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示,5月份生活成本飙升,将通货膨胀率推至5%的13年来新高。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办?可能和你想的相反。在此之前,我们先来看看今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候,10 年期国债收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% 升至 1.7%?好吧,期待重复。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“凯投宏观经济学家弗兰齐斯卡-帕尔马斯(Franziska Palmas)说:”我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。她的研究小组预计,到今年年底,10年期国债收益率为2.25%,到2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>这将比目前的 1.5% 水平有很大的进步。当利率大幅上升时,股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Fed渐缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)淡化了央行缩减债券购买规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的12名成员中有一半最近表示,他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。联邦公开市场委员会是制定货币政策的美联储部门。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>“《预测市场》(Predicting the Markets)一书的作者、亚德尼研究公司(Yardeni Research)负责人埃德-亚德尼(Ed Yardeni)说:”在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前,鲍威尔将越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得'实质性进一步进展'。鲍威尔曾多次表示,美联储正在等待经济取得 “实质性进一步进展”,然后再终止刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼预测:”鉴于经济的表现,有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模,几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。缩减规模是指美联储减少债券购买。这收紧了货币供应,从而抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零,美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知,缩减规模会在股市中引发 “缩减规模狂潮”,这意味着标普500 SPX 指数(+0.19%)、道琼斯工业平均指数(+0.04%)和纳斯达克综合指数(+0.35%)等指数将大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑如何应对债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩可能导致的抛售时,要记住的关键是为什么这些事情会发生,以及历史告诉我们股票如何表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为,缩减收益率和不断上升的债券收益率会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但事实并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的,最初,紧缩可能会导致股市下跌,或者充其量是横盘波动。但随后随着牛市的持续,股市摆脱了困境并走高。这是有道理的,因为紧缩政策的发生是有充分理由的,有助于企业——强劲的经济增长。这将收益推高很多,从而将估值重置为较低的水平——回到投资者感到舒适的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>“Leuthold 市场策略师吉姆-保尔森(Jim Paulsen)说:”缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分,让市场走高。这是一个健康的发展”。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场烟火,保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将把标普500的收益推至年底的220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低,该指数的市盈率(P/E)将降至 18-19,接近或低于 1990 年以来的平均水平。“他说:”这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 不要采取“防御”策略</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时,下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的 “稳定”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时,你想采取守势,而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性的名字会带来收益。因此,与债券一样,它们也受到利率上升的打击,这会降低股息以及支付股息的股票和债券的价值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最好方法是将你的投资组合与过热的经济联系起来。这是利润增长和利润杠杆最好的地方,”保尔森说。“防守是得不到的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 选择受益于增长的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济快速增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着工业股、基础材料消费品、小盘股和国际股票等周期性股票。“保尔森说:”增长放缓的消费品和公用事业将跟不上市场的增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议 Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% 和 Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%,并在我的股票信中,在 2020 年 9 月和 2019 年 11 月温习股票(我网站的链接在下面的简历中)。我仍然喜欢并拥有这两款产品,尽管它们分别上涨了 48% 和 157%,是标普500的两到四倍。最近的内部买入证实他们正在买入并持有当前水平附近。另外,两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。林德布拉德提供前往异国情调的专门邮轮探险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.不要出货</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来,那么在此之前尝试卖出股票,并在疲软发生后回购可能很有诱惑力。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示,事实上,几乎不可能把握正确的时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼说:”你必须做出两个明智的决定。“你必须在纠错前下车,然后再决定什么时候回来。我不知道有多少人能坚持这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器经常出局后再也进不来,他们会错过下一轮上涨。“保尔森说:”试图避免更正可能会给自己带来麻烦。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底,债券收益率将达到 2% 或更高。因此,不要持有债券,因为当收益率上升时,债券的价格就会下跌--除非你只是打算持有到期以获得收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 理财</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜,这意味着 10 年期国债的长期利率上升速度比短期利率快得多。由于银行在短端借款,在长端放贷,陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出,强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金,这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年 8 月在股票信中提出建议以来,摩根大通 JPM(-0.07%)和美国银行 BAC(+0.41%)的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实,尽管过去几个季度表现强劲,但该行业仍然值得拥有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-12 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b> Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什 (Michael Brush) 就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足够高的水平,足以撼动股市,可能导致高达 15% 的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是:持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%,并促使美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都将扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示,5月份生活成本飙升,将通货膨胀率推至5%的13年来新高。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办?可能和你想的相反。在此之前,我们先来看看今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候,10 年期国债收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% 升至 1.7%?好吧,期待重复。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“凯投宏观经济学家弗兰齐斯卡-帕尔马斯(Franziska Palmas)说:”我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。她的研究小组预计,到今年年底,10年期国债收益率为2.25%,到2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>这将比目前的 1.5% 水平有很大的进步。当利率大幅上升时,股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Fed渐缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)淡化了央行缩减债券购买规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的12名成员中有一半最近表示,他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。联邦公开市场委员会是制定货币政策的美联储部门。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>“《预测市场》(Predicting the Markets)一书的作者、亚德尼研究公司(Yardeni Research)负责人埃德-亚德尼(Ed Yardeni)说:”在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前,鲍威尔将越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得'实质性进一步进展'。鲍威尔曾多次表示,美联储正在等待经济取得 “实质性进一步进展”,然后再终止刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼预测:”鉴于经济的表现,有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模,几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。缩减规模是指美联储减少债券购买。这收紧了货币供应,从而抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零,美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知,缩减规模会在股市中引发 “缩减规模狂潮”,这意味着标普500 SPX 指数(+0.19%)、道琼斯工业平均指数(+0.04%)和纳斯达克综合指数(+0.35%)等指数将大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑如何应对债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩可能导致的抛售时,要记住的关键是为什么这些事情会发生,以及历史告诉我们股票如何表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为,缩减收益率和不断上升的债券收益率会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但事实并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的,最初,紧缩可能会导致股市下跌,或者充其量是横盘波动。但随后随着牛市的持续,股市摆脱了困境并走高。这是有道理的,因为紧缩政策的发生是有充分理由的,有助于企业——强劲的经济增长。这将收益推高很多,从而将估值重置为较低的水平——回到投资者感到舒适的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>“Leuthold 市场策略师吉姆-保尔森(Jim Paulsen)说:”缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分,让市场走高。这是一个健康的发展”。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场烟火,保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将把标普500的收益推至年底的220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低,该指数的市盈率(P/E)将降至 18-19,接近或低于 1990 年以来的平均水平。“他说:”这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 不要采取“防御”策略</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时,下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的 “稳定”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时,你想采取守势,而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性的名字会带来收益。因此,与债券一样,它们也受到利率上升的打击,这会降低股息以及支付股息的股票和债券的价值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最好方法是将你的投资组合与过热的经济联系起来。这是利润增长和利润杠杆最好的地方,”保尔森说。“防守是得不到的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 选择受益于增长的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济快速增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着工业股、基础材料消费品、小盘股和国际股票等周期性股票。“保尔森说:”增长放缓的消费品和公用事业将跟不上市场的增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议 Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% 和 Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%,并在我的股票信中,在 2020 年 9 月和 2019 年 11 月温习股票(我网站的链接在下面的简历中)。我仍然喜欢并拥有这两款产品,尽管它们分别上涨了 48% 和 157%,是标普500的两到四倍。最近的内部买入证实他们正在买入并持有当前水平附近。另外,两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。林德布拉德提供前往异国情调的专门邮轮探险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.不要出货</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来,那么在此之前尝试卖出股票,并在疲软发生后回购可能很有诱惑力。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示,事实上,几乎不可能把握正确的时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼说:”你必须做出两个明智的决定。“你必须在纠错前下车,然后再决定什么时候回来。我不知道有多少人能坚持这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器经常出局后再也进不来,他们会错过下一轮上涨。“保尔森说:”试图避免更正可能会给自己带来麻烦。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底,债券收益率将达到 2% 或更高。因此,不要持有债券,因为当收益率上升时,债券的价格就会下跌--除非你只是打算持有到期以获得收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 理财</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜,这意味着 10 年期国债的长期利率上升速度比短期利率快得多。由于银行在短端借款,在长端放贷,陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出,强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金,这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年 8 月在股票信中提出建议以来,摩根大通 JPM(-0.07%)和美国银行 BAC(+0.41%)的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实,尽管过去几个季度表现强劲,但该行业仍然值得拥有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118102755","content_text":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.\n\nDon’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.\nThe reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.\nThe government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.\nWhat should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.\nRising yields\nRemember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.\n“We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.\nThat’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.\nFed tapering\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.\n“It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.\n“Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.\nHe thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.\nAs we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.\nHow to prepare\nWhen considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.\nThe consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.\nYes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.\n“Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”\nLooking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.\nYour five-point game plan\n1. Do not go to “defensives”\nWhen people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.\n“The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”\n2. Go with companies that benefit from growth\nSince rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.\nI first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.\n3. Do not get out of stocks\nIf you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.\n“You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”\nMarket timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.\n4. Do not own bonds\nBond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.\n5. Go with financials\nStrong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.\nThe strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186924931,"gmtCreate":1623470438623,"gmtModify":1634032710500,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579481478181513","idStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186924931","repostId":"1147474880","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147474880","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623470168,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1147474880?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-12 11:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?<blockquote>投资者、交易者、投机者:你是哪一个?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147474880","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless ris","content":"<p> Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless risk. I’ve had it.</p><p><blockquote>了解投机和投资之间的区别对于避免鲁莽的风险至关重要。我受够了。</blockquote></p><p> The Wall Street Journal is wrong, and has remained wrong for decades, about one of the most basic distinctions in finance. And I can’t stand it anymore.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》对金融最基本的区别之一的看法是错误的,而且几十年来一直是错误的。我再也受不了了。</blockquote></p><p> If you buy a stock purely because it’s gone up a lot, without doing any research on it whatsoever, you are not—as the Journal and its editors bizarrely insist on calling you—an “investor.” If you buy a cryptocurrency because, hey, that sounds like fun, you aren’t an investor either.</p><p><blockquote>如果你仅仅因为一只股票上涨了很多,而没有做任何研究就买入它,那么你就不是《华尔街日报》及其编辑们奇怪地坚持称你为 “投资者”。如果你购买加密货币是因为,嘿,这听起来很有趣,那你也不是投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Whenever you buy any financial asset becauseyou have a hunchorjust for kicks, or becausesomebody famous is hyping the heck out of itoreverybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.</p><p><blockquote>每当你购买任何金融资产时,因为你有一只雄鸡只是为了好玩,或者因为某个名人大肆宣传,而其他人似乎也在购买,你就不是在投资。</blockquote></p><p> You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may bea speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.</p><p><blockquote>你绝对是交易者:刚刚购买资产的人。你可能是一个投机者:认为其他人会比你付出更多的人。</blockquote></p><p> Of course,some folkswho buy meme stocks likeGameStopCorp.GME5.88%<i>are</i>investors. They read the companies’ financial statements, study the health of the underlying businesses and learn who else is betting on or against the shares. Likewise, many buyers of digital coins have put in the time and effort to understand how cryptocurrency works and how it could reshape finance.</p><p><blockquote>当然,有些人购买 GameStopCorp.GME5.88% 等模因股票<i>是</i>投资者。他们阅读公司的财务报表,研究基础业务的健康状况,并了解还有谁在押注或押注股票。同样,许多数字硬币的买家也投入了时间和精力来了解加密货币是如何运作的,以及它如何重塑金融。</blockquote></p><p> An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarilywhether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.</p><p><blockquote>投资者依赖于内部回报来源:收益、收入、资产价值增长。投机者依靠外部回报来源:主要是其他人是否愿意支付更多,而不管基本面价值如何。</blockquote></p><p> The word investor comes from the Latin “investire,” to dress in or clothe oneself, surround or envelop. You would never wear clothes without knowing what color they are or what material they’re made of. Likewise, you can’t invest in an asset you know nothing about.</p><p><blockquote>投资者一词源于拉丁语 “investire ”,意为打扮自己、包围或包裹自己。你永远不会在不知道衣服是什么颜色或材质的情况下穿衣服。同样,你也不能投资你一无所知的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the Journal and its editors have long called almost everybody who buys just about anything an “investor.” On July 12, 1962, the Journal publisheda letter to the editorfrom Benjamin Graham, author of the classic books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor.” That June, complained Graham, the Journal had run an article headlined “Many Small Investors Bet on Further Drops, Sell Odd Lots Short.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,《华尔街日报》及其编辑们长期以来一直将几乎所有购买任何东西的人都称为 “投资者”。1962 年 7 月 12 日,《华尔街日报》刊登了经典著作《证券分析》和《聪明的投资者》的作者本杰明-格雷厄姆写给编辑的一封信。格雷厄姆抱怨说,那年 6 月,《华尔街日报》发表了一篇文章,标题是 “许多小投资者押注股价进一步下跌,卖空奇数手 ”。</blockquote></p><p> He wrote: “By what definition of ‘investment’ can one give the name ‘investors’ to small people who make bets on the stock market by selling odd lots short?” (To short an odd lot is to borrow and sell fewer than 100 shares in a wager that a stock will fall—an expensive and risky bet, then and now.)</p><p><blockquote>他写道: “根据'投资'的什么定义,我们能把'投资者'这个名字称为'投资'呢?”(做空奇数手意味着借入并卖出少于 100 股股票,押注股票会下跌——无论在当时还是现在,这都是一个昂贵且有风险的赌注。)</blockquote></p><p> “If these people are investors,” asked Graham, “how should one define ‘speculation’ and ‘speculators’? Isn’t it possible that the currentfailure to distinguishbetweeninvestment and speculationmay do grave harm not only to individuals but to the whole financial community—as it did in the late 1920s?”</p><p><blockquote>“格雷厄姆问道:”如果这些人是投资者,“我们应该如何定义'投机'和'投机者'?难道目前无法区分投资和投机,不仅会对个人造成严重伤害,还会对整个金融界造成严重伤害吗--就像 20 世纪 20 年代末那样?”</blockquote></p><p> Graham wasn’t a snob who thought that the markets should be the exclusive playground of the rich. He wrote “The Intelligent Investor” with the express purpose of helping less-wealthy people participate wisely in the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>格雷厄姆并不是一个势利小人,他认为市场应该是富人的专属游乐场。他写《聪明的投资者》的明确目的是帮助不太富裕的人明智地参与股票市场。</blockquote></p><p> In that book, after which this column is named, Graham said, “Outright speculation is neither illegal, immoral, nor (for most people) fattening to the pocketbook.”</p><p><blockquote>格雷厄姆在那本书中写道:“彻头彻尾的投机既不违法,也不不道德,(对大多数人来说)也不会中饱私囊。”</blockquote></p><p> However, he warned, it creates three dangers: “(1) speculating when you think you are investing; (2) speculating seriously instead of as a pastime, when you lack proper knowledge and skill for it; and (3) risking more money in speculation than you can afford to lose.”</p><p><blockquote>然而,他警告说,这会带来三个危险: “(1) 当你认为自己在投资时进行投机;(2) 当你缺乏适当的知识和技能时,认真地进行投机而不是作为消遣;(3) 在投机中冒的风险超过了你承受的损失”。</blockquote></p><p> Most investors speculate a bit every once in a while. Like a lottery ticket or an occasional visit to the racetrack or casino, a little is harmless fun. A lot isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>大多数投资者每隔一段时间就会投机一点。就像一张彩票或偶尔去赛马场或赌场一样,一点点是无害的乐趣。很多人都不是。</blockquote></p><p> If you think you’re investing when you’re speculating, you’ll attribute even momentary success to skill even thoughluck is the likeliest explanation. That can lead you to take reckless risks.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为自己在投机时就是在投资,那么即使是短暂的成功,你也会把技巧归因于技巧,尽管运气是最有可能的解释。这会导致你冒鲁莽的风险。</blockquote></p><p> Take speculating too seriously, and it turns intoan obsessionandan addiction. You become incapable of accepting your losses or focusing on the future more than a few minutes ahead. Next thing you know, you’re throwing even more money onto the bonfire.</p><p><blockquote>把投机看得太重,它会变成痴迷和上瘾。你变得无法接受你的损失,也无法在几分钟前专注于未来。接下来你就会知道,你在篝火上投入了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p> I think calling traders and speculators “investors” shoves many newcomers farther down the slippery slope toward risks they shouldn’t take and losses they can’t afford. I fervently hope the Journal and its editors will finally stop using “investor” as the default term for anyone who makes a trade.</p><p><blockquote>我认为,称交易者和投机者为 “投资者 ”会将许多新来者推向他们不应该承担的风险和他们无法承受的损失。我衷心希望《华尔街日报》及其编辑们最终能停止使用 “投资者 ”作为任何进行交易的人的默认术语。</blockquote></p><p> “ ‘Investor’ has a long history in the English language as a catch-all term denoting people who commit capital with the expectation of a return, no matter how long or short, no matter how many or how few investing columns they read,” WSJ Financial Editor Charles Forelle said in response to my complaints. “Back at least to the mid-19th century, ‘invest’ has even been used to describe a wager on horses—an activity surely no less divorced from fundamental analysis than a purchase of dogecoin.”</p><p><blockquote>“《华尔街日报》财经编辑查尔斯-福雷尔(Charles Forelle)在回应我的投诉时说:”'投资者'在英语中有着悠久的历史,它是一个包罗万象的术语,指的是那些投入资金并期望获得回报的人,无论时间长短,无论他们阅读的投资专栏有多少。“至少可以追溯到 19 世纪中叶,'投资'甚至被用来形容赌马--这种活动与基本面分析的脱节肯定不亚于购买狗狗币”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I hear you, Boss, but I still think you’re wrong. There’s no way the Journal would say a recreational gambler is “investing” at the racetrack just because a dictionary says we can.</p><p><blockquote>我听到了,老板,但我还是觉得你错了。《华尔街日报》不可能因为字典上说我们可以,就说一个休闲赌徒在赛马场 “投资 ”。</blockquote></p><p> Calling novice speculators “investors” is one of the most powerful ways marketers fuel excessive trading.</p><p><blockquote>将新手投机者称为 “投资者 ”是营销人员助长过度交易的最有力手段之一。</blockquote></p><p> Ina recent Instagram post, a former porn star who goes by the name Lana Rhoades posed in—well, mostly in—a bikini, as she held up what appears to be Graham’s “The Intelligent Investor.” According to IMDb.com, she starred in such videos as “Tushy” and “Make Me Meow.”</p><p><blockquote>在最近的 Instagram 帖子中,一位名叫拉娜-罗德斯(Lana Rhoades)的前色情明星穿着比基尼摆姿势,举着似乎是格雷厄姆的《聪明的投资者》。据 IMDb.com 报道,她主演了《Tushy》和《Make Me Meow》等视频。</blockquote></p><p> In her post, which was “liked” by nearly 1.8 million people, Ms. Rhoades announced that she will be promoting a cryptocurrency calledPAWGcoin.</p><p><blockquote>罗兹女士在她的帖子中宣布,她将推广一种名为 Pawgcoin 的加密货币,该帖子获得了近 180 万人的 “点赞 ”。</blockquote></p><p> The currency’s website says the coin is meant for “those who pay homage to developed posteriors.” (PAWG, I’ve been reliably informed, stands for Phat Ass White Girl.)</p><p><blockquote>该货币的网站称,这枚硬币是为 “那些向发达的后裔致敬的人”准备的。(据我可靠消息,PAWG 代表肥屁股白人女孩。)</blockquote></p><p> PAWGcoin is up roughly 900% since Ms. Rhoades began promoting it in early June, according to Poocoin.io, a website that tracks such digital currencies.</p><p><blockquote>据追踪此类数字货币的网站 Poocoin.io 称,自 Rhoades 女士 6 月初开始推广 PAWGcoin 以来,PAWGcoin 已上涨约 900%。</blockquote></p><p> Ms. Rhoades, who has tweeted “I also read the WSJ every morning,” couldn’t be reached for comment. PAWGcoin’s website encourages visitors to “invest now.”</p><p><blockquote>罗兹女士在推特上写道 “我每天早上也读《华尔街日报》 ”,但记者未能联系到她置评。PAWGcoin 的网站鼓励访问者 “立即投资”。</blockquote></p><p> In Ms. Rhoades’s Instagram post, she is holding up an open copy of the “The Intelligent Investor,” whose cover is reversed. She appears to be reading it with her eyes closed.</p><p><blockquote>在罗兹女士的 Instagram 帖子中,她举着一本打开的《聪明的投资者》,封面是颠倒的。她似乎是闭着眼睛读的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?<blockquote>投资者、交易者、投机者:你是哪一个?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?<blockquote>投资者、交易者、投机者:你是哪一个?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-12 11:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless risk. I’ve had it.</p><p><blockquote>了解投机和投资之间的区别对于避免鲁莽的风险至关重要。我受够了。</blockquote></p><p> The Wall Street Journal is wrong, and has remained wrong for decades, about one of the most basic distinctions in finance. And I can’t stand it anymore.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》对金融最基本的区别之一的看法是错误的,而且几十年来一直是错误的。我再也受不了了。</blockquote></p><p> If you buy a stock purely because it’s gone up a lot, without doing any research on it whatsoever, you are not—as the Journal and its editors bizarrely insist on calling you—an “investor.” If you buy a cryptocurrency because, hey, that sounds like fun, you aren’t an investor either.</p><p><blockquote>如果你仅仅因为一只股票上涨了很多,而没有做任何研究就买入它,那么你就不是《华尔街日报》及其编辑们奇怪地坚持称你为 “投资者”。如果你购买加密货币是因为,嘿,这听起来很有趣,那你也不是投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Whenever you buy any financial asset becauseyou have a hunchorjust for kicks, or becausesomebody famous is hyping the heck out of itoreverybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.</p><p><blockquote>每当你购买任何金融资产时,因为你有一只雄鸡只是为了好玩,或者因为某个名人大肆宣传,而其他人似乎也在购买,你就不是在投资。</blockquote></p><p> You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may bea speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.</p><p><blockquote>你绝对是交易者:刚刚购买资产的人。你可能是一个投机者:认为其他人会比你付出更多的人。</blockquote></p><p> Of course,some folkswho buy meme stocks likeGameStopCorp.GME5.88%<i>are</i>investors. They read the companies’ financial statements, study the health of the underlying businesses and learn who else is betting on or against the shares. Likewise, many buyers of digital coins have put in the time and effort to understand how cryptocurrency works and how it could reshape finance.</p><p><blockquote>当然,有些人购买 GameStopCorp.GME5.88% 等模因股票<i>是</i>投资者。他们阅读公司的财务报表,研究基础业务的健康状况,并了解还有谁在押注或押注股票。同样,许多数字硬币的买家也投入了时间和精力来了解加密货币是如何运作的,以及它如何重塑金融。</blockquote></p><p> An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarilywhether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.</p><p><blockquote>投资者依赖于内部回报来源:收益、收入、资产价值增长。投机者依靠外部回报来源:主要是其他人是否愿意支付更多,而不管基本面价值如何。</blockquote></p><p> The word investor comes from the Latin “investire,” to dress in or clothe oneself, surround or envelop. You would never wear clothes without knowing what color they are or what material they’re made of. Likewise, you can’t invest in an asset you know nothing about.</p><p><blockquote>投资者一词源于拉丁语 “investire ”,意为打扮自己、包围或包裹自己。你永远不会在不知道衣服是什么颜色或材质的情况下穿衣服。同样,你也不能投资你一无所知的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the Journal and its editors have long called almost everybody who buys just about anything an “investor.” On July 12, 1962, the Journal publisheda letter to the editorfrom Benjamin Graham, author of the classic books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor.” That June, complained Graham, the Journal had run an article headlined “Many Small Investors Bet on Further Drops, Sell Odd Lots Short.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,《华尔街日报》及其编辑们长期以来一直将几乎所有购买任何东西的人都称为 “投资者”。1962 年 7 月 12 日,《华尔街日报》刊登了经典著作《证券分析》和《聪明的投资者》的作者本杰明-格雷厄姆写给编辑的一封信。格雷厄姆抱怨说,那年 6 月,《华尔街日报》发表了一篇文章,标题是 “许多小投资者押注股价进一步下跌,卖空奇数手 ”。</blockquote></p><p> He wrote: “By what definition of ‘investment’ can one give the name ‘investors’ to small people who make bets on the stock market by selling odd lots short?” (To short an odd lot is to borrow and sell fewer than 100 shares in a wager that a stock will fall—an expensive and risky bet, then and now.)</p><p><blockquote>他写道: “根据'投资'的什么定义,我们能把'投资者'这个名字称为'投资'呢?”(做空奇数手意味着借入并卖出少于 100 股股票,押注股票会下跌——无论在当时还是现在,这都是一个昂贵且有风险的赌注。)</blockquote></p><p> “If these people are investors,” asked Graham, “how should one define ‘speculation’ and ‘speculators’? Isn’t it possible that the currentfailure to distinguishbetweeninvestment and speculationmay do grave harm not only to individuals but to the whole financial community—as it did in the late 1920s?”</p><p><blockquote>“格雷厄姆问道:”如果这些人是投资者,“我们应该如何定义'投机'和'投机者'?难道目前无法区分投资和投机,不仅会对个人造成严重伤害,还会对整个金融界造成严重伤害吗--就像 20 世纪 20 年代末那样?”</blockquote></p><p> Graham wasn’t a snob who thought that the markets should be the exclusive playground of the rich. He wrote “The Intelligent Investor” with the express purpose of helping less-wealthy people participate wisely in the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>格雷厄姆并不是一个势利小人,他认为市场应该是富人的专属游乐场。他写《聪明的投资者》的明确目的是帮助不太富裕的人明智地参与股票市场。</blockquote></p><p> In that book, after which this column is named, Graham said, “Outright speculation is neither illegal, immoral, nor (for most people) fattening to the pocketbook.”</p><p><blockquote>格雷厄姆在那本书中写道:“彻头彻尾的投机既不违法,也不不道德,(对大多数人来说)也不会中饱私囊。”</blockquote></p><p> However, he warned, it creates three dangers: “(1) speculating when you think you are investing; (2) speculating seriously instead of as a pastime, when you lack proper knowledge and skill for it; and (3) risking more money in speculation than you can afford to lose.”</p><p><blockquote>然而,他警告说,这会带来三个危险: “(1) 当你认为自己在投资时进行投机;(2) 当你缺乏适当的知识和技能时,认真地进行投机而不是作为消遣;(3) 在投机中冒的风险超过了你承受的损失”。</blockquote></p><p> Most investors speculate a bit every once in a while. Like a lottery ticket or an occasional visit to the racetrack or casino, a little is harmless fun. A lot isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>大多数投资者每隔一段时间就会投机一点。就像一张彩票或偶尔去赛马场或赌场一样,一点点是无害的乐趣。很多人都不是。</blockquote></p><p> If you think you’re investing when you’re speculating, you’ll attribute even momentary success to skill even thoughluck is the likeliest explanation. That can lead you to take reckless risks.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为自己在投机时就是在投资,那么即使是短暂的成功,你也会把技巧归因于技巧,尽管运气是最有可能的解释。这会导致你冒鲁莽的风险。</blockquote></p><p> Take speculating too seriously, and it turns intoan obsessionandan addiction. You become incapable of accepting your losses or focusing on the future more than a few minutes ahead. Next thing you know, you’re throwing even more money onto the bonfire.</p><p><blockquote>把投机看得太重,它会变成痴迷和上瘾。你变得无法接受你的损失,也无法在几分钟前专注于未来。接下来你就会知道,你在篝火上投入了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p> I think calling traders and speculators “investors” shoves many newcomers farther down the slippery slope toward risks they shouldn’t take and losses they can’t afford. I fervently hope the Journal and its editors will finally stop using “investor” as the default term for anyone who makes a trade.</p><p><blockquote>我认为,称交易者和投机者为 “投资者 ”会将许多新来者推向他们不应该承担的风险和他们无法承受的损失。我衷心希望《华尔街日报》及其编辑们最终能停止使用 “投资者 ”作为任何进行交易的人的默认术语。</blockquote></p><p> “ ‘Investor’ has a long history in the English language as a catch-all term denoting people who commit capital with the expectation of a return, no matter how long or short, no matter how many or how few investing columns they read,” WSJ Financial Editor Charles Forelle said in response to my complaints. “Back at least to the mid-19th century, ‘invest’ has even been used to describe a wager on horses—an activity surely no less divorced from fundamental analysis than a purchase of dogecoin.”</p><p><blockquote>“《华尔街日报》财经编辑查尔斯-福雷尔(Charles Forelle)在回应我的投诉时说:”'投资者'在英语中有着悠久的历史,它是一个包罗万象的术语,指的是那些投入资金并期望获得回报的人,无论时间长短,无论他们阅读的投资专栏有多少。“至少可以追溯到 19 世纪中叶,'投资'甚至被用来形容赌马--这种活动与基本面分析的脱节肯定不亚于购买狗狗币”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I hear you, Boss, but I still think you’re wrong. There’s no way the Journal would say a recreational gambler is “investing” at the racetrack just because a dictionary says we can.</p><p><blockquote>我听到了,老板,但我还是觉得你错了。《华尔街日报》不可能因为字典上说我们可以,就说一个休闲赌徒在赛马场 “投资 ”。</blockquote></p><p> Calling novice speculators “investors” is one of the most powerful ways marketers fuel excessive trading.</p><p><blockquote>将新手投机者称为 “投资者 ”是营销人员助长过度交易的最有力手段之一。</blockquote></p><p> Ina recent Instagram post, a former porn star who goes by the name Lana Rhoades posed in—well, mostly in—a bikini, as she held up what appears to be Graham’s “The Intelligent Investor.” According to IMDb.com, she starred in such videos as “Tushy” and “Make Me Meow.”</p><p><blockquote>在最近的 Instagram 帖子中,一位名叫拉娜-罗德斯(Lana Rhoades)的前色情明星穿着比基尼摆姿势,举着似乎是格雷厄姆的《聪明的投资者》。据 IMDb.com 报道,她主演了《Tushy》和《Make Me Meow》等视频。</blockquote></p><p> In her post, which was “liked” by nearly 1.8 million people, Ms. Rhoades announced that she will be promoting a cryptocurrency calledPAWGcoin.</p><p><blockquote>罗兹女士在她的帖子中宣布,她将推广一种名为 Pawgcoin 的加密货币,该帖子获得了近 180 万人的 “点赞 ”。</blockquote></p><p> The currency’s website says the coin is meant for “those who pay homage to developed posteriors.” (PAWG, I’ve been reliably informed, stands for Phat Ass White Girl.)</p><p><blockquote>该货币的网站称,这枚硬币是为 “那些向发达的后裔致敬的人”准备的。(据我可靠消息,PAWG 代表肥屁股白人女孩。)</blockquote></p><p> PAWGcoin is up roughly 900% since Ms. Rhoades began promoting it in early June, according to Poocoin.io, a website that tracks such digital currencies.</p><p><blockquote>据追踪此类数字货币的网站 Poocoin.io 称,自 Rhoades 女士 6 月初开始推广 PAWGcoin 以来,PAWGcoin 已上涨约 900%。</blockquote></p><p> Ms. Rhoades, who has tweeted “I also read the WSJ every morning,” couldn’t be reached for comment. PAWGcoin’s website encourages visitors to “invest now.”</p><p><blockquote>罗兹女士在推特上写道 “我每天早上也读《华尔街日报》 ”,但记者未能联系到她置评。PAWGcoin 的网站鼓励访问者 “立即投资”。</blockquote></p><p> In Ms. Rhoades’s Instagram post, she is holding up an open copy of the “The Intelligent Investor,” whose cover is reversed. She appears to be reading it with her eyes closed.</p><p><blockquote>在罗兹女士的 Instagram 帖子中,她举着一本打开的《聪明的投资者》,封面是颠倒的。她似乎是闭着眼睛读的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/you-cant-invest-without-trading-you-can-trade-without-investing-11623426213?mod=markets_lead_pos5\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/you-cant-invest-without-trading-you-can-trade-without-investing-11623426213?mod=markets_lead_pos5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147474880","content_text":"Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless risk.\n\nI’ve had it.\nThe Wall Street Journal is wrong, and has remained wrong for decades, about one of the most basic distinctions in finance. And I can’t stand it anymore.\nIf you buy a stock purely because it’s gone up a lot, without doing any research on it whatsoever, you are not—as the Journal and its editors bizarrely insist on calling you—an “investor.” If you buy a cryptocurrency because, hey, that sounds like fun, you aren’t an investor either.\nWhenever you buy any financial asset becauseyou have a hunchorjust for kicks, or becausesomebody famous is hyping the heck out of itoreverybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.\nYou’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may bea speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.\nOf course,some folkswho buy meme stocks likeGameStopCorp.GME5.88%areinvestors. They read the companies’ financial statements, study the health of the underlying businesses and learn who else is betting on or against the shares. Likewise, many buyers of digital coins have put in the time and effort to understand how cryptocurrency works and how it could reshape finance.\nAn investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarilywhether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.\nThe word investor comes from the Latin “investire,” to dress in or clothe oneself, surround or envelop. You would never wear clothes without knowing what color they are or what material they’re made of. Likewise, you can’t invest in an asset you know nothing about.\nNevertheless, the Journal and its editors have long called almost everybody who buys just about anything an “investor.” On July 12, 1962, the Journal publisheda letter to the editorfrom Benjamin Graham, author of the classic books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor.” That June, complained Graham, the Journal had run an article headlined “Many Small Investors Bet on Further Drops, Sell Odd Lots Short.”\nHe wrote: “By what definition of ‘investment’ can one give the name ‘investors’ to small people who make bets on the stock market by selling odd lots short?” (To short an odd lot is to borrow and sell fewer than 100 shares in a wager that a stock will fall—an expensive and risky bet, then and now.)\n“If these people are investors,” asked Graham, “how should one define ‘speculation’ and ‘speculators’? Isn’t it possible that the currentfailure to distinguishbetweeninvestment and speculationmay do grave harm not only to individuals but to the whole financial community—as it did in the late 1920s?”\nGraham wasn’t a snob who thought that the markets should be the exclusive playground of the rich. He wrote “The Intelligent Investor” with the express purpose of helping less-wealthy people participate wisely in the stock market.\nIn that book, after which this column is named, Graham said, “Outright speculation is neither illegal, immoral, nor (for most people) fattening to the pocketbook.”\nHowever, he warned, it creates three dangers: “(1) speculating when you think you are investing; (2) speculating seriously instead of as a pastime, when you lack proper knowledge and skill for it; and (3) risking more money in speculation than you can afford to lose.”\nMost investors speculate a bit every once in a while. Like a lottery ticket or an occasional visit to the racetrack or casino, a little is harmless fun. A lot isn’t.\nIf you think you’re investing when you’re speculating, you’ll attribute even momentary success to skill even thoughluck is the likeliest explanation. That can lead you to take reckless risks.\nTake speculating too seriously, and it turns intoan obsessionandan addiction. You become incapable of accepting your losses or focusing on the future more than a few minutes ahead. Next thing you know, you’re throwing even more money onto the bonfire.\nI think calling traders and speculators “investors” shoves many newcomers farther down the slippery slope toward risks they shouldn’t take and losses they can’t afford. I fervently hope the Journal and its editors will finally stop using “investor” as the default term for anyone who makes a trade.\n“ ‘Investor’ has a long history in the English language as a catch-all term denoting people who commit capital with the expectation of a return, no matter how long or short, no matter how many or how few investing columns they read,” WSJ Financial Editor Charles Forelle said in response to my complaints. “Back at least to the mid-19th century, ‘invest’ has even been used to describe a wager on horses—an activity surely no less divorced from fundamental analysis than a purchase of dogecoin.”\nI hear you, Boss, but I still think you’re wrong. There’s no way the Journal would say a recreational gambler is “investing” at the racetrack just because a dictionary says we can.\nCalling novice speculators “investors” is one of the most powerful ways marketers fuel excessive trading.\nIna recent Instagram post, a former porn star who goes by the name Lana Rhoades posed in—well, mostly in—a bikini, as she held up what appears to be Graham’s “The Intelligent Investor.” According to IMDb.com, she starred in such videos as “Tushy” and “Make Me Meow.”\nIn her post, which was “liked” by nearly 1.8 million people, Ms. Rhoades announced that she will be promoting a cryptocurrency calledPAWGcoin.\nThe currency’s website says the coin is meant for “those who pay homage to developed posteriors.” (PAWG, I’ve been reliably informed, stands for Phat Ass White Girl.)\nPAWGcoin is up roughly 900% since Ms. Rhoades began promoting it in early June, according to Poocoin.io, a website that tracks such digital currencies.\nMs. Rhoades, who has tweeted “I also read the WSJ every morning,” couldn’t be reached for comment. PAWGcoin’s website encourages visitors to “invest now.”\nIn Ms. Rhoades’s Instagram post, she is holding up an open copy of the “The Intelligent Investor,” whose cover is reversed. She appears to be reading it with her eyes closed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186925718,"gmtCreate":1623470423634,"gmtModify":1634032710740,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579481478181513","idStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186925718","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169636462,"gmtCreate":1623832019956,"gmtModify":1634027412396,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579481478181513","idStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169636462","repostId":"1184454883","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184454883","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623830812,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1184454883?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 16:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Oracle shares fell more than 4% in pre-market trading,as CEO expects to push more money to cloud efforts<blockquote>甲骨文股价在盘前交易中下跌超过 4%,首席执行官预计将投入更多资金用于云计算工作</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184454883","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Oracle shares fell more than 4% in pre-market trading.\nOracleORCL,-1.19%on Tuesday reported fourth-q","content":"<p>Oracle shares fell more than 4% in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>甲骨文股价在盘前交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24c21c95265199b1f8a92747158fca89\" tg-width=\"1289\" tg-height=\"625\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">OracleORCL,-1.19%on Tuesday reported fourth-quarter earnings of $4.03 billion, or $1.37 a share, on sales of $11.23 billion, up from $10.44 billion a year ago. After adjusting for stock-based compensation and other effects, Oracle reported earnings of $1.54 a share, up from $1.20 a share last year. Analysts on average expected adjusted earnings of $1.31 a share on revenue of $11.02 billion.</p><p><blockquote>OracleORCL,-1.19% 周二公布第四季度收益为 40.3 亿美元,即每股收益 1.37 美元,销售额为 112.3 亿美元,高于去年同期的 104.4 亿美元。在调整股票薪酬和其他影响后,甲骨文公布的每股收益为 1.54 美元,高于去年的每股 1.20 美元。分析师平均预期调整后每股收益为 1.31 美元,营收为 110.2 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For the full fiscal year, Oracle totaled $40.48 billion in sales, up 3.6% from its previous fiscal year. Oracle revenue had declined 1.1% and 0.8% in the past two years, respectively, and sales have declined four times in the past six years overall. The growth rate for the 2021 fiscal year is the second-best for Oracle since the end of the 2012 fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>整个财年,甲骨文的销售总额为404.8亿美元,比上一财年增长3.6%。甲骨文的收入在过去两年中分别下降了1.1%和0.8%,销售额在过去六年中总体下降了四倍。2021财年的增长率是甲骨文自2012财年末以来的第二好增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings also increased for the full year, though much of the gains in earnings per share are a result of massive share repurchases. Oracle repurchased $20.9 billion in stock as the COVID-19 pandemic raged in the past 12 months and has now spent more than $76 billion in the past three fiscal years purchasing its own stock.</p><p><blockquote>全年收益也有所增加,尽管每股收益的大部分收益是大规模股票回购的结果。随着 COVID-19 大流行在过去 12 个月中肆虐,甲骨文回购了 209 亿美元的股票,目前在过去三个财年中已花费超过 760 亿美元购买自己的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For the new fiscal year, Chief Executive Safra Catz predicted that revenue growth will continue but said Oracle will begin funneling more cash into its cloud business. The software provider expects to push $4 billion into capital expenditures to increase its competition with Amazon.com Inc. ,Microsoft Corp. and others.</p><p><blockquote>对于新财年,首席执行官 Safra Catz 预测收入将继续增长,但表示甲骨文将开始向其云业务注入更多现金。这家软件提供商预计将投入 40 亿美元的资本支出,以增加与亚马逊、微软等公司的竞争。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oracle shares fell more than 4% in pre-market trading,as CEO expects to push more money to cloud efforts<blockquote>甲骨文股价在盘前交易中下跌超过 4%,首席执行官预计将投入更多资金用于云计算工作</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOracle shares fell more than 4% in pre-market trading,as CEO expects to push more money to cloud efforts<blockquote>甲骨文股价在盘前交易中下跌超过 4%,首席执行官预计将投入更多资金用于云计算工作</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-16 16:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Oracle shares fell more than 4% in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>甲骨文股价在盘前交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24c21c95265199b1f8a92747158fca89\" tg-width=\"1289\" tg-height=\"625\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">OracleORCL,-1.19%on Tuesday reported fourth-quarter earnings of $4.03 billion, or $1.37 a share, on sales of $11.23 billion, up from $10.44 billion a year ago. After adjusting for stock-based compensation and other effects, Oracle reported earnings of $1.54 a share, up from $1.20 a share last year. Analysts on average expected adjusted earnings of $1.31 a share on revenue of $11.02 billion.</p><p><blockquote>OracleORCL,-1.19% 周二公布第四季度收益为 40.3 亿美元,即每股收益 1.37 美元,销售额为 112.3 亿美元,高于去年同期的 104.4 亿美元。在调整股票薪酬和其他影响后,甲骨文公布的每股收益为 1.54 美元,高于去年的每股 1.20 美元。分析师平均预期调整后每股收益为 1.31 美元,营收为 110.2 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For the full fiscal year, Oracle totaled $40.48 billion in sales, up 3.6% from its previous fiscal year. Oracle revenue had declined 1.1% and 0.8% in the past two years, respectively, and sales have declined four times in the past six years overall. The growth rate for the 2021 fiscal year is the second-best for Oracle since the end of the 2012 fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>整个财年,甲骨文的销售总额为404.8亿美元,比上一财年增长3.6%。甲骨文的收入在过去两年中分别下降了1.1%和0.8%,销售额在过去六年中总体下降了四倍。2021财年的增长率是甲骨文自2012财年末以来的第二好增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings also increased for the full year, though much of the gains in earnings per share are a result of massive share repurchases. Oracle repurchased $20.9 billion in stock as the COVID-19 pandemic raged in the past 12 months and has now spent more than $76 billion in the past three fiscal years purchasing its own stock.</p><p><blockquote>全年收益也有所增加,尽管每股收益的大部分收益是大规模股票回购的结果。随着 COVID-19 大流行在过去 12 个月中肆虐,甲骨文回购了 209 亿美元的股票,目前在过去三个财年中已花费超过 760 亿美元购买自己的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For the new fiscal year, Chief Executive Safra Catz predicted that revenue growth will continue but said Oracle will begin funneling more cash into its cloud business. The software provider expects to push $4 billion into capital expenditures to increase its competition with Amazon.com Inc. ,Microsoft Corp. and others.</p><p><blockquote>对于新财年,首席执行官 Safra Catz 预测收入将继续增长,但表示甲骨文将开始向其云业务注入更多现金。这家软件提供商预计将投入 40 亿美元的资本支出,以增加与亚马逊、微软等公司的竞争。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ORCL":"甲骨文"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184454883","content_text":"Oracle shares fell more than 4% in pre-market trading.\nOracleORCL,-1.19%on Tuesday reported fourth-quarter earnings of $4.03 billion, or $1.37 a share, on sales of $11.23 billion, up from $10.44 billion a year ago. After adjusting for stock-based compensation and other effects, Oracle reported earnings of $1.54 a share, up from $1.20 a share last year. Analysts on average expected adjusted earnings of $1.31 a share on revenue of $11.02 billion.\nFor the full fiscal year, Oracle totaled $40.48 billion in sales, up 3.6% from its previous fiscal year. Oracle revenue had declined 1.1% and 0.8% in the past two years, respectively, and sales have declined four times in the past six years overall. The growth rate for the 2021 fiscal year is the second-best for Oracle since the end of the 2012 fiscal year.\nEarnings also increased for the full year, though much of the gains in earnings per share are a result of massive share repurchases. Oracle repurchased $20.9 billion in stock as the COVID-19 pandemic raged in the past 12 months and has now spent more than $76 billion in the past three fiscal years purchasing its own stock.\nFor the new fiscal year, Chief Executive Safra Catz predicted that revenue growth will continue but said Oracle will begin funneling more cash into its cloud business. The software provider expects to push $4 billion into capital expenditures to increase its competition with Amazon.com Inc. ,Microsoft Corp. and others.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ORCL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186940448,"gmtCreate":1623470784184,"gmtModify":1634032699033,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579481478181513","idStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186940448","repostId":"2142204061","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186927946,"gmtCreate":1623470467085,"gmtModify":1634032709555,"author":{"id":"3579481478181513","authorId":"3579481478181513","name":"JosesSim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853019efea44fd1496df9ca6c8c210cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579481478181513","idStr":"3579481478181513"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186927946","repostId":"1133871419","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}