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2021-12-29

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2021-12-28

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2021-12-27

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Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>

2021-12-26

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2021-12-25

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2021-12-23

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2021-12-22

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2021-12-21

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2021-12-20

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Nike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-12-19

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Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>

2021-12-17

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2021-12-16

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Powell expects inflation to fall closer to Fed's goal by end of next year<blockquote>鲍威尔预计明年年底通胀将更接近美联储目标</blockquote>

2021-12-15

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2021-12-14

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Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-12-12

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2021-12-11

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2021-12-10

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2021-12-09

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2021-12-08

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2021-12-07

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Stocks linked to the reopening of the economy gained on Monday<blockquote>与经济重新开放相关的股票周一上涨</blockquote>

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07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500  is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","BK4541":"氢能源","FCEL":"燃料电池能源","BK4096":"电气部件与设备"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for 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06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130704419","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports per","content":"<p>Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday&nbsp;break,Nike&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;report on Monday,BlackBerry&nbsp;and&nbsp;General Mills&nbsp;on Tuesday, and&nbsp;CarMax,Cintas,and&nbsp;Paychex&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>世界各地的股票和债券市场将于周五休市以庆祝圣诞节。假期前，Nike和Micron Technology将于周一发布报告，黑莓和通用磨坊将于周二发布报告，CarMax、Cintas和Paychex将于周三发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed&nbsp;by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>这将是经济数据发布繁忙的一周。周一，世界大型企业联合会将公布11月份领先经济指数，随后将于周三公布12月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the&nbsp;Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core&nbsp;PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.</p><p><blockquote>周四，经济分析局将公布11月份个人收入和消费支出。消费者收入预计将增长0.6%，而支出预计将增长0.5%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE物价指数预计11月份将飙升4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周四，人口普查局发布了11月份耐用品报告，这将为了解经济中的投资支出提供一个窗口。新订单预计将增长2.1%。本周公布的房地产市场指标包括周三公布的11月份现房销售和周四公布的11月份新房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技和耐克公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布11月份领先经济指数。普遍估计读数为119，比10月份的水平高出0.6%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计第四季度国内生产总值增长率为5%，2022年增长率较慢但仍强劲的2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/21</b></blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓、FactSet Research Systems和通用磨坊公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The NAR reports</b> existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote><b>NAR报告</b>11月份现房销售。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为640万套，略高于10月份，为年初以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax、Cintas和Paychex评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对第三季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的年增长率为2.1%，与11月的第二次估计持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布12月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为110，与11月数据大致持平。该指数比今年6月达到的大流行后峰值低15%，原因是对价格上涨以及较小程度上对Covid-19变种的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/23</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至12月18日当周首次申请失业救济人数。11月和12月平均每周申请失业救济人数为225,667人，最终达到了大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告11月份新房销售。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新单户住宅年增长率为77万套，比10月份增加2.5万套。10月份售出的新房销售价格中位数为40.77万美元，而平均销售价格为47.78万美元——均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>11月份个人收入和消费支出。经济学家预测收入每月增长0.6%，消费每月增长0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为0.5%和1.3%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE价格指数10月份同比上涨4.1%，为1991年以来最快增速。预计11月份将飙升4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份耐用品报告。耐用品新订单预计将增长2.1%，达到2656亿美元。不包括运输，新订单预计将增长0.6%，而10月份为增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/24</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. equity</b>&nbsp;and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股票</b>固定收益市场因圣诞节而休市。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 06:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday&nbsp;break,Nike&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;report on Monday,BlackBerry&nbsp;and&nbsp;General Mills&nbsp;on Tuesday, and&nbsp;CarMax,Cintas,and&nbsp;Paychex&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>世界各地的股票和债券市场将于周五休市以庆祝圣诞节。假期前，Nike和Micron Technology将于周一发布报告，黑莓和通用磨坊将于周二发布报告，CarMax、Cintas和Paychex将于周三发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed&nbsp;by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>这将是经济数据发布繁忙的一周。周一，世界大型企业联合会将公布11月份领先经济指数，随后将于周三公布12月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the&nbsp;Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core&nbsp;PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.</p><p><blockquote>周四，经济分析局将公布11月份个人收入和消费支出。消费者收入预计将增长0.6%，而支出预计将增长0.5%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE物价指数预计11月份将飙升4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周四，人口普查局发布了11月份耐用品报告，这将为了解经济中的投资支出提供一个窗口。新订单预计将增长2.1%。本周公布的房地产市场指标包括周三公布的11月份现房销售和周四公布的11月份新房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技和耐克公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布11月份领先经济指数。普遍估计读数为119，比10月份的水平高出0.6%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计第四季度国内生产总值增长率为5%，2022年增长率较慢但仍强劲的2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/21</b></blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓、FactSet Research Systems和通用磨坊公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The NAR reports</b> existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote><b>NAR报告</b>11月份现房销售。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为640万套，略高于10月份，为年初以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax、Cintas和Paychex评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对第三季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的年增长率为2.1%，与11月的第二次估计持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布12月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为110，与11月数据大致持平。该指数比今年6月达到的大流行后峰值低15%，原因是对价格上涨以及较小程度上对Covid-19变种的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/23</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至12月18日当周首次申请失业救济人数。11月和12月平均每周申请失业救济人数为225,667人，最终达到了大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告11月份新房销售。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新单户住宅年增长率为77万套，比10月份增加2.5万套。10月份售出的新房销售价格中位数为40.77万美元，而平均销售价格为47.78万美元——均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>11月份个人收入和消费支出。经济学家预测收入每月增长0.6%，消费每月增长0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为0.5%和1.3%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE价格指数10月份同比上涨4.1%，为1991年以来最快增速。预计11月份将飙升4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份耐用品报告。耐用品新订单预计将增长2.1%，达到2656亿美元。不包括运输，新订单预计将增长0.6%，而10月份为增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/24</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. equity</b>&nbsp;and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股票</b>固定收益市场因圣诞节而休市。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-micron-blackberry-carmax-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51639944183?mod=hp_LEAD_5\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","MU":"美光科技","PAYX":"沛齐",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","KMX":"车美仕","CTAS":"信达思","GIS":"通用磨坊"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-micron-blackberry-carmax-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51639944183?mod=hp_LEAD_5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130704419","content_text":"Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.\nIt will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.\nOn Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.\nAlso Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.\nMonday 12/20\nMicron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.\nTuesday 12/21\nBlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.\nWednesday 12/22\nThe NAR reports existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.\nCarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.\nThe Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.\nThursday 12/23\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.\nThe Census Bureau reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.\nThe BEA reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.\nThe Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.\nFriday 12/24\nU.S. equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PAYX":0.9,"CTAS":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"KMX":0.9,"GIS":0.9,"MU":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699429701,"gmtCreate":1639879326896,"gmtModify":1639879327087,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699429701","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1949,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690497491,"gmtCreate":1639699802965,"gmtModify":1639699803149,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690497491","repostId":"2192942001","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607759289,"gmtCreate":1639607266967,"gmtModify":1639607267112,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607759289","repostId":"1144281028","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144281028","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639596982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144281028?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 03:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell expects inflation to fall closer to Fed's goal by end of next year<blockquote>鲍威尔预计明年年底通胀将更接近美联储目标</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144281028","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Economic growth and \"rapid gains\" in the employment picture are supporting the central bank's decision to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchase program, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during his post-FOMC press conference.The recent increase in COVID and the emergence of the Omicron variant \"poses risk to the outlook,\" he said.","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Economic growth and \"rapid gains\" in the employment picture are supporting the central bank's decision to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchase program, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during his post-FOMC press conference.</li>  <li>The recent increase in COVID and the emergence of the Omicron variant \"poses risk to the outlook,\" he said.</li>  <li>\"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:30 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;\"I'm not troubled where the long bond is. We're focused on broader economic issues,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:23 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;The central bank committee \"hasn't&nbsp;made any decision at all\" on when balance sheet runoff will start. \"We did have a balance sheet issue discussion, we'll have another at the next meeting... we didn't make any decisions today.\"</li>  <li><b>3:22 PM ET:</b>Asset purchase decisions and raising interest rates are two separate decisions. The policymakers haven't yet discussed whether the higher interest rates will immediately follow the winding down of the taper.</li>  <li><b>3:20 PM ET:</b>\"We are at a point after March that we can raise interest rates as and when appropriate,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:18 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;He thinks cryptocurrency risks are a longer-term risk doesn't think of them as a financial stability concern. Also, he commented that stablecoins are not currently property regulated.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:16 PM ET</b>: \"Asset valuations are somewhat elevated,\" he&nbsp; In terms of financial risks, \"businesses have debt, but their default rates are very low.\" Money market funds are a vulnerability. Cyber risk is harder to deal with, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:13 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;\"The risk of inflation becoming entrenched has increased. I don't think it's high, but it has increased,\" the Fed chair said. That's a major risk, along with the virus itself, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:12 PM ET:</b>Consumer incomes are strong, and spending has been strong, he notes. \"We expect personal consumption expenditures to be very strong in the fourth quarter,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li>As of 3:09 PM ET, the Nasdaq&nbsp;climbs 1.0%, the S&amp;P&nbsp;rises 0.9%, and the Dowgains 0.5%.</li>  <li><b>3:08 PM ET:</b>\"It will take time and to get the pandemic under control\" to produce gains in the labor force participation rate, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:03 PM ET</b>: \"The inflation that we got was not at all the inflation we were talking about or looking for in the framework,\" Powell said. The post-pandemic inflation was triggered by supply-side barriers, \"a very different kind of inflation\" that was considered in the Fed's policy framework.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:58 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;Turning to inflation: \"Wages are not a big part of the high inflation that we're seeing,\" he said. The Fed needs to watch for is if wages were persistently above productivity growth, he added, \"we don't see that yet.\" They're also carefully watching rent increases.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:56 PM ET:</b>Powell decided the Fed needed to speed up the taper after the November employment report came out in early December.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:53 PM:</b>Even with Omicron posing a risk to the economic outlook, Powell said accelerating the taper is warranted. At this point, \"it's very difficult to say what the economic effect will be...&nbsp;Moving forward the end of the taper is appropriate and Omicron doesn’t have much to do with it.\"</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:47 PM:</b>While the unemployment rate has improved quickly and stands at about 4.2%, the labor force participation rate has been disappointing, he said. \"I do think it feels likely now that the return to higher LFP is going to take longer.\"</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:44 PM</b>: He doesn't expect the Fed to start raising rates before the taper ends. It \"wouldn't be appropriate\" to raise rates while still increasing asset purchases, he said.</li>  <li><b>2:42 PM ET:</b>\"We're basically two meetings away from finishing the taper,\" he noted.</li>  <li><b>2:40 PM ET:</b>When asked what maximum employment looks like, Powell said it entails a \"broad range of indicators,\" such as the unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and others. \"It is admittedly a judgment call because it's a range of factors. We are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"</li>  <li>Earlier, the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;doubled the pace of tapering&nbsp;to $30B per month as inflation remained elevated and the labor market stayed strong.</li>  <li>The faster pace of winding down the central bank's asset purchases puts it on track to boost rates earlier. Now all of the Fed officials expect at least one rate hike during 2022, with two-thirds of them predicting at least three 25-basis point&nbsp;increases during the year.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在FOMC会议后的新闻发布会上表示，经济增长和就业形势的“快速增长”正在支持央行加速缩减资产购买计划的决定。</li><li>他说，最近新冠病毒的增加和奥密克戎变种的出现“对前景构成了风险”。</li><li>鲍威尔表示：“经济不再需要越来越多的政策支持。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:30：</b>“我并不担心长期债券在哪里。我们专注于更广泛的经济问题，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:23：</b>央行委员会对于何时开始资产负债表决选“根本没有做出任何决定”。“我们确实讨论了资产负债表问题，我们将在下次会议上再讨论一次……我们今天没有做出任何决定。”</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:22：</b>资产购买决策和加息是两个独立的决策。政策制定者尚未讨论缩减购债规模后是否会立即加息。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:20：</b>他表示：“三月份之后，我们可以在适当的时候加息。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:18：</b>他认为加密货币风险是一种长期风险，并不认为它们是金融稳定问题。此外，他评论说，稳定币目前不受财产监管。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:16</b>：“资产估值有些偏高，”他在金融风险方面，“企业有债务，但违约率很低。”货币市场基金是一个弱点。他说，网络风险更难应对。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:13：</b>美联储主席表示：“通胀变得根深蒂固的风险已经增加。我认为通胀并不高，但已经增加了。”他说，这与病毒本身一样是一个重大风险。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:12：</b>他指出，消费者收入强劲，支出也强劲。“我们预计第四季度个人消费支出将非常强劲，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li>截至美国东部时间下午3:09，纳斯达克上涨1.0%，标准普尔指数上涨0.9%，道琼斯指数上涨0.5%。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:08：</b>他说，“控制疫情需要时间”才能提高劳动力参与率。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:03</b>：“我们得到的通胀根本不是我们在框架中谈论或寻找的通胀，”鲍威尔说。疫情后的通胀是由供给侧壁垒引发的，这是美联储政策框架中考虑的“一种非常不同的通胀”。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:58：</b>谈到通货膨胀：“工资并不是我们看到的高通货膨胀的重要组成部分，”他说。他补充说，美联储需要关注工资是否持续高于生产率增长，“我们还没有看到这一点。”他们也在密切关注租金上涨。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:56：</b>鲍威尔在12月初11月就业报告出来后决定美联储需要加快taper。</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2点53分：</b>尽管奥密克戎对经济前景构成风险，但Powell表示，加速缩减规模是有道理的。在这一点上，“很难说经济影响会是什么……提前结束缩减是合适的，奥密克戎与此没有太大关系。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2:47：</b>他说，虽然失业率迅速改善，约为4.2%，但劳动力参与率令人失望。“我确实认为，现在感觉恢复到更高的LFP可能需要更长的时间。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2点44分</b>：他预计美联储不会在taper结束前开始加息。他表示，在增加资产购买的同时加息“不合适”。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:42：</b>“我们基本上距离完成缩减规模还有两次会议，”他指出。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:40：</b>当被问及最大就业是什么样子时，鲍威尔表示，这需要“广泛的指标”，例如失业率、劳动力参与率等。“诚然，这是一个判断看涨期权，因为这是一系列因素。我们正在朝着最大限度就业取得快速进展。”</li><li>早些时候，由于通胀居高不下且劳动力市场依然强劲，联邦公开市场委员会将缩减步伐提高了一倍，达到每月300亿美元。</li><li>央行逐步减少资产购买的步伐加快，使其有望提前加息。现在，所有美联储官员都预计2022年至少加息一次，其中三分之二的人预计年内至少加息三次25个基点。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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We're focused on broader economic issues,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:23 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;The central bank committee \"hasn't&nbsp;made any decision at all\" on when balance sheet runoff will start. \"We did have a balance sheet issue discussion, we'll have another at the next meeting... we didn't make any decisions today.\"</li>  <li><b>3:22 PM ET:</b>Asset purchase decisions and raising interest rates are two separate decisions. The policymakers haven't yet discussed whether the higher interest rates will immediately follow the winding down of the taper.</li>  <li><b>3:20 PM ET:</b>\"We are at a point after March that we can raise interest rates as and when appropriate,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:18 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;He thinks cryptocurrency risks are a longer-term risk doesn't think of them as a financial stability concern. Also, he commented that stablecoins are not currently property regulated.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:16 PM ET</b>: \"Asset valuations are somewhat elevated,\" he&nbsp; In terms of financial risks, \"businesses have debt, but their default rates are very low.\" Money market funds are a vulnerability. Cyber risk is harder to deal with, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:13 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;\"The risk of inflation becoming entrenched has increased. I don't think it's high, but it has increased,\" the Fed chair said. That's a major risk, along with the virus itself, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:12 PM ET:</b>Consumer incomes are strong, and spending has been strong, he notes. \"We expect personal consumption expenditures to be very strong in the fourth quarter,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li>As of 3:09 PM ET, the Nasdaq&nbsp;climbs 1.0%, the S&amp;P&nbsp;rises 0.9%, and the Dowgains 0.5%.</li>  <li><b>3:08 PM ET:</b>\"It will take time and to get the pandemic under control\" to produce gains in the labor force participation rate, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:03 PM ET</b>: \"The inflation that we got was not at all the inflation we were talking about or looking for in the framework,\" Powell said. The post-pandemic inflation was triggered by supply-side barriers, \"a very different kind of inflation\" that was considered in the Fed's policy framework.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:58 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;Turning to inflation: \"Wages are not a big part of the high inflation that we're seeing,\" he said. The Fed needs to watch for is if wages were persistently above productivity growth, he added, \"we don't see that yet.\" They're also carefully watching rent increases.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:56 PM ET:</b>Powell decided the Fed needed to speed up the taper after the November employment report came out in early December.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:53 PM:</b>Even with Omicron posing a risk to the economic outlook, Powell said accelerating the taper is warranted. At this point, \"it's very difficult to say what the economic effect will be...&nbsp;Moving forward the end of the taper is appropriate and Omicron doesn’t have much to do with it.\"</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:47 PM:</b>While the unemployment rate has improved quickly and stands at about 4.2%, the labor force participation rate has been disappointing, he said. \"I do think it feels likely now that the return to higher LFP is going to take longer.\"</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:44 PM</b>: He doesn't expect the Fed to start raising rates before the taper ends. It \"wouldn't be appropriate\" to raise rates while still increasing asset purchases, he said.</li>  <li><b>2:42 PM ET:</b>\"We're basically two meetings away from finishing the taper,\" he noted.</li>  <li><b>2:40 PM ET:</b>When asked what maximum employment looks like, Powell said it entails a \"broad range of indicators,\" such as the unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and others. \"It is admittedly a judgment call because it's a range of factors. We are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"</li>  <li>Earlier, the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;doubled the pace of tapering&nbsp;to $30B per month as inflation remained elevated and the labor market stayed strong.</li>  <li>The faster pace of winding down the central bank's asset purchases puts it on track to boost rates earlier. Now all of the Fed officials expect at least one rate hike during 2022, with two-thirds of them predicting at least three 25-basis point&nbsp;increases during the year.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在FOMC会议后的新闻发布会上表示，经济增长和就业形势的“快速增长”正在支持央行加速缩减资产购买计划的决定。</li><li>他说，最近新冠病毒的增加和奥密克戎变种的出现“对前景构成了风险”。</li><li>鲍威尔表示：“经济不再需要越来越多的政策支持。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:30：</b>“我并不担心长期债券在哪里。我们专注于更广泛的经济问题，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:23：</b>央行委员会对于何时开始资产负债表决选“根本没有做出任何决定”。“我们确实讨论了资产负债表问题，我们将在下次会议上再讨论一次……我们今天没有做出任何决定。”</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:22：</b>资产购买决策和加息是两个独立的决策。政策制定者尚未讨论缩减购债规模后是否会立即加息。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:20：</b>他表示：“三月份之后，我们可以在适当的时候加息。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:18：</b>他认为加密货币风险是一种长期风险，并不认为它们是金融稳定问题。此外，他评论说，稳定币目前不受财产监管。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:16</b>：“资产估值有些偏高，”他在金融风险方面，“企业有债务，但违约率很低。”货币市场基金是一个弱点。他说，网络风险更难应对。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:13：</b>美联储主席表示：“通胀变得根深蒂固的风险已经增加。我认为通胀并不高，但已经增加了。”他说，这与病毒本身一样是一个重大风险。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:12：</b>他指出，消费者收入强劲，支出也强劲。“我们预计第四季度个人消费支出将非常强劲，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li>截至美国东部时间下午3:09，纳斯达克上涨1.0%，标准普尔指数上涨0.9%，道琼斯指数上涨0.5%。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:08：</b>他说，“控制疫情需要时间”才能提高劳动力参与率。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:03</b>：“我们得到的通胀根本不是我们在框架中谈论或寻找的通胀，”鲍威尔说。疫情后的通胀是由供给侧壁垒引发的，这是美联储政策框架中考虑的“一种非常不同的通胀”。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:58：</b>谈到通货膨胀：“工资并不是我们看到的高通货膨胀的重要组成部分，”他说。他补充说，美联储需要关注工资是否持续高于生产率增长，“我们还没有看到这一点。”他们也在密切关注租金上涨。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:56：</b>鲍威尔在12月初11月就业报告出来后决定美联储需要加快taper。</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2点53分：</b>尽管奥密克戎对经济前景构成风险，但Powell表示，加速缩减规模是有道理的。在这一点上，“很难说经济影响会是什么……提前结束缩减是合适的，奥密克戎与此没有太大关系。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2:47：</b>他说，虽然失业率迅速改善，约为4.2%，但劳动力参与率令人失望。“我确实认为，现在感觉恢复到更高的LFP可能需要更长的时间。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2点44分</b>：他预计美联储不会在taper结束前开始加息。他表示，在增加资产购买的同时加息“不合适”。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:42：</b>“我们基本上距离完成缩减规模还有两次会议，”他指出。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:40：</b>当被问及最大就业是什么样子时，鲍威尔表示，这需要“广泛的指标”，例如失业率、劳动力参与率等。“诚然，这是一个判断看涨期权，因为这是一系列因素。我们正在朝着最大限度就业取得快速进展。”</li><li>早些时候，由于通胀居高不下且劳动力市场依然强劲，联邦公开市场委员会将缩减步伐提高了一倍，达到每月300亿美元。</li><li>央行逐步减少资产购买的步伐加快，使其有望提前加息。现在，所有美联储官员都预计2022年至少加息一次，其中三分之二的人预计年内至少加息三次25个基点。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144281028","content_text":"Economic growth and \"rapid gains\" in the employment picture are supporting the central bank's decision to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchase program, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during his post-FOMC press conference.\nThe recent increase in COVID and the emergence of the Omicron variant \"poses risk to the outlook,\" he said.\n\"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell said.\n\n\n3:30 PM ET: \"I'm not troubled where the long bond is. We're focused on broader economic issues,\" he said.\n\n\n3:23 PM ET: The central bank committee \"hasn't made any decision at all\" on when balance sheet runoff will start. \"We did have a balance sheet issue discussion, we'll have another at the next meeting... we didn't make any decisions today.\"\n3:22 PM ET:Asset purchase decisions and raising interest rates are two separate decisions. The policymakers haven't yet discussed whether the higher interest rates will immediately follow the winding down of the taper.\n3:20 PM ET:\"We are at a point after March that we can raise interest rates as and when appropriate,\" he said.\n\n\n3:18 PM ET: He thinks cryptocurrency risks are a longer-term risk doesn't think of them as a financial stability concern. Also, he commented that stablecoins are not currently property regulated.\n\n\n3:16 PM ET: \"Asset valuations are somewhat elevated,\" he  In terms of financial risks, \"businesses have debt, but their default rates are very low.\" Money market funds are a vulnerability. Cyber risk is harder to deal with, he said.\n\n\n3:13 PM ET: \"The risk of inflation becoming entrenched has increased. I don't think it's high, but it has increased,\" the Fed chair said. That's a major risk, along with the virus itself, he said.\n\n\n3:12 PM ET:Consumer incomes are strong, and spending has been strong, he notes. \"We expect personal consumption expenditures to be very strong in the fourth quarter,\" he said.\n\n\nAs of 3:09 PM ET, the Nasdaq climbs 1.0%, the S&P rises 0.9%, and the Dowgains 0.5%.\n3:08 PM ET:\"It will take time and to get the pandemic under control\" to produce gains in the labor force participation rate, he said.\n\n\n3:03 PM ET: \"The inflation that we got was not at all the inflation we were talking about or looking for in the framework,\" Powell said. The post-pandemic inflation was triggered by supply-side barriers, \"a very different kind of inflation\" that was considered in the Fed's policy framework.\n\n\n2:58 PM ET: Turning to inflation: \"Wages are not a big part of the high inflation that we're seeing,\" he said. The Fed needs to watch for is if wages were persistently above productivity growth, he added, \"we don't see that yet.\" They're also carefully watching rent increases.\n\n\n2:56 PM ET:Powell decided the Fed needed to speed up the taper after the November employment report came out in early December.\n\n\n2:53 PM:Even with Omicron posing a risk to the economic outlook, Powell said accelerating the taper is warranted. At this point, \"it's very difficult to say what the economic effect will be... Moving forward the end of the taper is appropriate and Omicron doesn’t have much to do with it.\"\n\n\n2:47 PM:While the unemployment rate has improved quickly and stands at about 4.2%, the labor force participation rate has been disappointing, he said. \"I do think it feels likely now that the return to higher LFP is going to take longer.\"\n\n\n2:44 PM: He doesn't expect the Fed to start raising rates before the taper ends. It \"wouldn't be appropriate\" to raise rates while still increasing asset purchases, he said.\n2:42 PM ET:\"We're basically two meetings away from finishing the taper,\" he noted.\n2:40 PM ET:When asked what maximum employment looks like, Powell said it entails a \"broad range of indicators,\" such as the unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and others. \"It is admittedly a judgment call because it's a range of factors. We are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"\nEarlier, the Federal Open Market Committee doubled the pace of tapering to $30B per month as inflation remained elevated and the labor market stayed strong.\nThe faster pace of winding down the central bank's asset purchases puts it on track to boost rates earlier. Now all of the Fed officials expect at least one rate hike during 2022, with two-thirds of them predicting at least three 25-basis point increases during the year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607806937,"gmtCreate":1639521154722,"gmtModify":1639521154867,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607806937","repostId":"2191955334","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":746,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604403461,"gmtCreate":1639434831147,"gmtModify":1639434831327,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604403461","repostId":"1171271872","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171271872","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639348466,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171271872?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 06:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171271872","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and","content":"<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但周二将包括金宝汤；Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四；周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下，10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议，届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%，而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%，而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.8%，而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套，10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后，经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8，与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 06:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但周二将包括金宝汤；Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四；周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下，10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议，届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%，而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%，而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.8%，而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套，10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后，经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8，与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DRI":"达登饭店","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","JILL":"J.Jill Inc.","PHX":"潘汉德尔油气","FDX":"联邦快递","CPB":"金宝汤","ACN":"埃森哲",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SCS":"Steelcase Inc.","HEI":"海科航空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","ADBE":"Adobe"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171271872","content_text":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.\nEarnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.\nEconomic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.\nOther data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.\nMonday 12/13\nJ.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.\nTuesday 12/14\nCampbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Federation of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.\nWednesday 12/15\nThe Federal Open Market Committee concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.\nThe BLS reports export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.\nThe Census Bureau reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.\nThursday 12/16\nHeico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureaureleases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.\nThe Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.\nFriday 12/17\nSteelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DRI":0.9,"ACN":0.9,"JILL":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"PHX":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"CPB":0.9,"AVYA":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"SCS":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"HEI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"LEN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605777654,"gmtCreate":1639274185668,"gmtModify":1639274185856,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605777654","repostId":"2190674545","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605589047,"gmtCreate":1639190249135,"gmtModify":1639190249281,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605589047","repostId":"2190767366","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605086172,"gmtCreate":1639093465000,"gmtModify":1639093465161,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605086172","repostId":"2190964556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":922,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602829546,"gmtCreate":1639008280111,"gmtModify":1639008280240,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602829546","repostId":"2190169579","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":870,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606469516,"gmtCreate":1638920787490,"gmtModify":1638920787616,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606469516","repostId":"2189719656","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606944474,"gmtCreate":1638830580145,"gmtModify":1638830580278,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latesy","listText":"Latesy","text":"Latesy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606944474","repostId":"1189410190","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189410190","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638804387,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189410190?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks linked to the reopening of the economy gained on Monday<blockquote>与经济重新开放相关的股票周一上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189410190","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks linked to the reopening of the economy gained on Monday.Airlines,Cruise lines and travel book","content":"<p>Stocks linked to the reopening of the economy gained on Monday.Airlines,Cruise lines&nbsp;and&nbsp;travel booking stocks&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>与经济重新开放相关的股票周一上涨。航空公司、邮轮公司和旅游预订股票在早盘交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/651aa4b1311ccf3c19aeb54b31cfa75d\" tg-width=\"410\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f544513dbaea07f8bfb6ef95f4787209\" tg-width=\"416\" tg-height=\"188\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f38b5565430c470461254d0b06da3752\" tg-width=\"405\" tg-height=\"178\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks linked to the reopening of the economy gained on Monday<blockquote>与经济重新开放相关的股票周一上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks linked to the reopening of the economy gained on Monday<blockquote>与经济重新开放相关的股票周一上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-06 23:26</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks linked to the reopening of the economy gained on Monday.Airlines,Cruise lines&nbsp;and&nbsp;travel booking stocks&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>与经济重新开放相关的股票周一上涨。航空公司、邮轮公司和旅游预订股票在早盘交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/651aa4b1311ccf3c19aeb54b31cfa75d\" tg-width=\"410\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f544513dbaea07f8bfb6ef95f4787209\" tg-width=\"416\" tg-height=\"188\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f38b5565430c470461254d0b06da3752\" tg-width=\"405\" tg-height=\"178\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ALK":"阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司","CCL":"嘉年华邮轮","JBLU":"捷蓝航空","BKNG":"Booking Holdings","BA":"波音","ABNB":"爱彼迎","DAL":"达美航空","RCL":"皇家加勒比邮轮","SAVE":"Spirit Airlines","UAL":"联合大陆航空","AAL":"美国航空","NCLH":"挪威邮轮","EXPE":"Expedia","LUV":"西南航空"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189410190","content_text":"Stocks linked to the reopening of the economy gained on Monday.Airlines,Cruise lines and travel booking stocks jumped in morning 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23:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Boeing Earnings: What to Look for from BA<blockquote>波音盈利：从英航身上寻找什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100809149","media":"Investopedia","summary":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nAnalysts estimate adjusted EPS of -$0.15 vs. -$1.39 in Q3 FY 2020.\nCommercial airplan","content":"<p>KEY TAKEAWAYS</p><p><blockquote>关键要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate adjusted EPS of -$0.15 vs. -$1.39 in Q3 FY 2020.</li>  <li>Commercial airplane deliveries are expected to increase sharply YOY.</li>  <li>Revenue is expected to rise for the second consecutive quarter after nine straight quarters of YOY declines.</li> </ul> Boeing Co. (BA) has seen a surge in demand for commercial aircraft amid the rebound in travel as passengers' concerns begin to ease about the COVID-19 pandemic. During the second quarter, the company made a profit after six straight quarters of losses as revenue rose sharply. Despite this, Boeing faces ongoing problems beyond the pandemic. The company's 787 Max jet has had continuing quality problems. And in mid-October, production and deliveries of the 787 Dreamliner were delayed after a new defect was detected in a titanium part.123</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计2020财年第三季度调整后每股收益为-0.15美元，而调整后每股收益为-1.39美元。</li><li>商用飞机交付量预计将同比大幅增长。</li><li>在连续九个季度同比下降后，收入预计将连续第二个季度增长。</li></ul>随着乘客对COVID-19大流行的担忧开始缓解，随着旅行反弹，波音公司(BA)对商用飞机的需求激增。第二季度，随着收入大幅增长，该公司在连续六个季度亏损后实现盈利。尽管如此，波音公司仍面临着疫情以外的持续问题。该公司的787 Max喷气式飞机一直存在质量问题。10月中旬，787梦想飞机的生产和交付被推迟，因为在一个钛部件中发现了一个新的缺陷。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will look at how Boeing is overcoming these issues to ensure its continuing recovery when it reports earnings for Q3 FY 2021 before market open on Oct. 27.4In Q3, analysts expect Boeing to report a dramatic narrowing of adjusted losses per share compared to the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue is expected to show a healthy gain year-over-year (YOY), though slower than Q2 FY 2021.5</p><p><blockquote>当波音公司在10月27日开盘前公布2021财年第三季度收益时，投资者将关注波音公司如何克服这些问题以确保其持续复苏。4分析师预计波音公司第三季度调整后每股亏损将大幅收窄与去年同期相比。收入预计将同比(YOY)实现健康增长，但增速低于2021.5财年第二季度</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also focus on Boeing's commercial airplane deliveries, a key metric that measures the level of demand for one of the company's main products. Analysts estimate a sharp rise in deliveries compared to the year-ago quarter, though well below the company's recent peak quarters in FY 2017 and FY 2018.5</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注波音的商用飞机交付量，这是衡量该公司主要产品之一需求水平的关键指标。分析师预计，与去年同期相比，交付量将大幅上升，但远低于该公司最近2017财年和2018财年的峰值季度。5</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock has been highly volatile, underperforming the broader market in the last year. In November 2020, the stock staged a massive rally through early December, then declined through late January 2021. At this point, Boeing stock climbed once again to a high point in March. Since then, shares have gradually slipped downward, with sporadic modest upticks along the way. Boeing shares have provided a 1-year trailing total return of 26.0%, behind the total return of 31.6% for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>波音股票波动很大，去年表现逊于大盘。2020年11月，该股在12月初大幅上涨，然后在2021年1月下旬下跌。至此，波音股价再次攀升至3月份高点。此后，股价逐渐下跌，并在此过程中出现零星小幅上涨。波音股票的1年追踪总回报率为26.0%，落后于标普500 31.6%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing Earnings History</p><p><blockquote>波音盈利历史</blockquote></p><p> Boeing has struggled to report positive adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for years. In the past 10 quarters, Boeing has reported only three periods of positive adjusted EPS, two of those prior to pandemic. The widest loss was in Q4 FY 2020, when Boeing reported and adjusted loss of $15.25 a share. Boeing's performance has improved considerably since then. Its loss narrowed sharply in Q1 FY 2021, followed by its first positive adjusted EPS in seven quarters in Q2 FY 2021. For Q3, analysts expect Boeing to report a loss of $0.15 per share, which would be the smallest reported loss in more than two years.5</p><p><blockquote>多年来，波音公司一直难以报告正的调整后每股收益（EPS）。在过去10个季度中，波音公司仅报告了三个时期的调整后每股收益为正，其中两个是在大流行之前。最大的亏损发生在2020财年第四季度，当时波音报告并调整后每股亏损15.25美元。此后，波音公司的业绩大幅改善。其亏损在2021财年第一季度大幅收窄，随后在2021财年第二季度实现了七个季度以来的首次正调整后每股收益。分析师预计波音第三季度每股亏损0.15美元，这将是两年多来报告的最小亏损。5</blockquote></p><p> Boeing's revenue performance has been equally poor. The company posted nine consecutive quarters of YOY revenue declines, from Q1 FY 2019 through Q1 FY 2021. Q2 FY 2021 was the first YOY improvement in revenue since FY 2018. Revenue jumped 44.0% for that quarter. Now, analysts expect another quarter of YOY revenue growth, but at a slower pace of 21.5%. Despite that progress, Boeing's estimated Q3 revenue would be only about two-thirds what it was in Q3 FY 2018.</p><p><blockquote>波音的营收表现同样不佳。从2019财年第一季度到2021财年第一季度，该公司收入连续九个季度同比下降。2021财年第二季度是自2018财年以来收入首次同比增长。该季度收入增长44.0%。现在，分析师预计收入将再增长一个季度，但增速将放缓至21.5%。尽管取得了这一进展，波音公司预计第三季度收入仅为2018财年第三季度的三分之二左右。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing Key Stats</p><p><blockquote>波音关键统计数据</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td></td>    <td>Estimate for Q3 FY 2021</td>    <td>Q3 FY 2020</td>    <td>Q3 FY 2019</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Adjusted Earnings Per Share</td>    <td>-$0.15</td>    <td>-$1.39</td>    <td>$1.45</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue (B)</td>    <td>$17.2</td>    <td>$14.1</td>    <td>$20.0</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Commercial Airplane Deliveries</td>    <td>96</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>62</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The Key Metric</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td></td><td>2021财年第三季度预估</td><td>2020财年第三季度</td><td>2019财年第三季度</td></tr><tr><td>调整后每股收益</td><td>-$0.15</td><td>-$1.39</td><td>$1.45</td></tr><tr><td>收入(B)</td><td>$17.2</td><td>$14.1</td><td>$20.0</td></tr><tr><td>商用飞机交付</td><td>96</td><td>28</td><td>62</td></tr></tbody></table>关键指标</blockquote></p><p> As mentioned above, Boeing's commercial airplane deliveries are also a key metric watched by investors. Boeing manufactures both commercial and military aircraft. Demand for the former type is much more sensitive to economic conditions whereas demand for the latter depends on government policy decisions regarding its military program. Commercial airplane deliveries have begun to rise amid rising travel demand as the threat from the pandemic has eased in the U.S. But production and deliveries have been slowed in recent years by the lengthy grounding of Boeing's 787 Max jets, and most recently, by parts defects in 787 Dreamliner.3</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，波音的商用飞机交付量也是投资者关注的一个关键指标。波音公司生产商用和军用飞机。对前一种类型的需求对经济状况更加敏感，而对后一种类型的需求取决于政府关于其军事计划的政策决定。随着美国疫情的威胁有所缓解，旅行需求不断上升，商用飞机交付量开始上升。但近年来，由于波音787 Max喷气式飞机长期停飞，以及最近787梦想飞机的零部件缺陷，生产和交付速度放缓。3</blockquote></p><p> These quality issues have hampered the speed with which Boeing's commercial airplane deliveries recovered from the pandemic. The company dropped to a low of just 20 commercial airplanes delivered in Q2 FY 2020, down 77.8% from Q2 FY 2019 and down nearly 90% from 194 commercial airplanes delivered in Q2 FY 2018. Since that low point, commercial airplane deliveries have improved each quarter sequentially, up to 79 deliveries for Q2 FY 2021. Analysts forecast that this trend will continue, with 96 commercial airplanes delivered for Q3 FY 2021. This would be more than triple the number of commercial aircraft delivered in the prior-year quarter.</p><p><blockquote>这些质量问题阻碍了波音商用飞机交付从疫情中恢复的速度。该公司在2020财年第二季度交付了20架商用飞机，比2019财年第二季度下降了77.8%，比2018财年第二季度交付的194架商用飞机下降了近90%。自那个低点以来，商用飞机交付量每个季度都在连续改善，2021财年第二季度交付量高达79架。分析师预测，这一趋势将持续下去，2021财年第三季度将交付96架商用飞机。这将是去年同期交付的商用飞机数量的三倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <table></table></p><p><blockquote><table></table></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Boeing Earnings: What to Look for from BA<blockquote>波音盈利：从英航身上寻找什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBoeing Earnings: What to Look for from BA<blockquote>波音盈利：从英航身上寻找什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Investopedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-26 23:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>KEY TAKEAWAYS</p><p><blockquote>关键要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate adjusted EPS of -$0.15 vs. -$1.39 in Q3 FY 2020.</li>  <li>Commercial airplane deliveries are expected to increase sharply YOY.</li>  <li>Revenue is expected to rise for the second consecutive quarter after nine straight quarters of YOY declines.</li> </ul> Boeing Co. (BA) has seen a surge in demand for commercial aircraft amid the rebound in travel as passengers' concerns begin to ease about the COVID-19 pandemic. During the second quarter, the company made a profit after six straight quarters of losses as revenue rose sharply. Despite this, Boeing faces ongoing problems beyond the pandemic. The company's 787 Max jet has had continuing quality problems. And in mid-October, production and deliveries of the 787 Dreamliner were delayed after a new defect was detected in a titanium part.123</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计2020财年第三季度调整后每股收益为-0.15美元，而调整后每股收益为-1.39美元。</li><li>商用飞机交付量预计将同比大幅增长。</li><li>在连续九个季度同比下降后，收入预计将连续第二个季度增长。</li></ul>随着乘客对COVID-19大流行的担忧开始缓解，随着旅行反弹，波音公司(BA)对商用飞机的需求激增。第二季度，随着收入大幅增长，该公司在连续六个季度亏损后实现盈利。尽管如此，波音公司仍面临着疫情以外的持续问题。该公司的787 Max喷气式飞机一直存在质量问题。10月中旬，787梦想飞机的生产和交付被推迟，因为在一个钛部件中发现了一个新的缺陷。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will look at how Boeing is overcoming these issues to ensure its continuing recovery when it reports earnings for Q3 FY 2021 before market open on Oct. 27.4In Q3, analysts expect Boeing to report a dramatic narrowing of adjusted losses per share compared to the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue is expected to show a healthy gain year-over-year (YOY), though slower than Q2 FY 2021.5</p><p><blockquote>当波音公司在10月27日开盘前公布2021财年第三季度收益时，投资者将关注波音公司如何克服这些问题以确保其持续复苏。4分析师预计波音公司第三季度调整后每股亏损将大幅收窄与去年同期相比。收入预计将同比(YOY)实现健康增长，但增速低于2021.5财年第二季度</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also focus on Boeing's commercial airplane deliveries, a key metric that measures the level of demand for one of the company's main products. Analysts estimate a sharp rise in deliveries compared to the year-ago quarter, though well below the company's recent peak quarters in FY 2017 and FY 2018.5</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注波音的商用飞机交付量，这是衡量该公司主要产品之一需求水平的关键指标。分析师预计，与去年同期相比，交付量将大幅上升，但远低于该公司最近2017财年和2018财年的峰值季度。5</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock has been highly volatile, underperforming the broader market in the last year. In November 2020, the stock staged a massive rally through early December, then declined through late January 2021. At this point, Boeing stock climbed once again to a high point in March. Since then, shares have gradually slipped downward, with sporadic modest upticks along the way. Boeing shares have provided a 1-year trailing total return of 26.0%, behind the total return of 31.6% for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>波音股票波动很大，去年表现逊于大盘。2020年11月，该股在12月初大幅上涨，然后在2021年1月下旬下跌。至此，波音股价再次攀升至3月份高点。此后，股价逐渐下跌，并在此过程中出现零星小幅上涨。波音股票的1年追踪总回报率为26.0%，落后于标普500 31.6%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing Earnings History</p><p><blockquote>波音盈利历史</blockquote></p><p> Boeing has struggled to report positive adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for years. In the past 10 quarters, Boeing has reported only three periods of positive adjusted EPS, two of those prior to pandemic. The widest loss was in Q4 FY 2020, when Boeing reported and adjusted loss of $15.25 a share. Boeing's performance has improved considerably since then. Its loss narrowed sharply in Q1 FY 2021, followed by its first positive adjusted EPS in seven quarters in Q2 FY 2021. For Q3, analysts expect Boeing to report a loss of $0.15 per share, which would be the smallest reported loss in more than two years.5</p><p><blockquote>多年来，波音公司一直难以报告正的调整后每股收益（EPS）。在过去10个季度中，波音公司仅报告了三个时期的调整后每股收益为正，其中两个是在大流行之前。最大的亏损发生在2020财年第四季度，当时波音报告并调整后每股亏损15.25美元。此后，波音公司的业绩大幅改善。其亏损在2021财年第一季度大幅收窄，随后在2021财年第二季度实现了七个季度以来的首次正调整后每股收益。分析师预计波音第三季度每股亏损0.15美元，这将是两年多来报告的最小亏损。5</blockquote></p><p> Boeing's revenue performance has been equally poor. The company posted nine consecutive quarters of YOY revenue declines, from Q1 FY 2019 through Q1 FY 2021. Q2 FY 2021 was the first YOY improvement in revenue since FY 2018. Revenue jumped 44.0% for that quarter. Now, analysts expect another quarter of YOY revenue growth, but at a slower pace of 21.5%. Despite that progress, Boeing's estimated Q3 revenue would be only about two-thirds what it was in Q3 FY 2018.</p><p><blockquote>波音的营收表现同样不佳。从2019财年第一季度到2021财年第一季度，该公司收入连续九个季度同比下降。2021财年第二季度是自2018财年以来收入首次同比增长。该季度收入增长44.0%。现在，分析师预计收入将再增长一个季度，但增速将放缓至21.5%。尽管取得了这一进展，波音公司预计第三季度收入仅为2018财年第三季度的三分之二左右。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing Key Stats</p><p><blockquote>波音关键统计数据</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td></td>    <td>Estimate for Q3 FY 2021</td>    <td>Q3 FY 2020</td>    <td>Q3 FY 2019</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Adjusted Earnings Per Share</td>    <td>-$0.15</td>    <td>-$1.39</td>    <td>$1.45</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue (B)</td>    <td>$17.2</td>    <td>$14.1</td>    <td>$20.0</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Commercial Airplane Deliveries</td>    <td>96</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>62</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The Key Metric</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td></td><td>2021财年第三季度预估</td><td>2020财年第三季度</td><td>2019财年第三季度</td></tr><tr><td>调整后每股收益</td><td>-$0.15</td><td>-$1.39</td><td>$1.45</td></tr><tr><td>收入(B)</td><td>$17.2</td><td>$14.1</td><td>$20.0</td></tr><tr><td>商用飞机交付</td><td>96</td><td>28</td><td>62</td></tr></tbody></table>关键指标</blockquote></p><p> As mentioned above, Boeing's commercial airplane deliveries are also a key metric watched by investors. Boeing manufactures both commercial and military aircraft. Demand for the former type is much more sensitive to economic conditions whereas demand for the latter depends on government policy decisions regarding its military program. Commercial airplane deliveries have begun to rise amid rising travel demand as the threat from the pandemic has eased in the U.S. But production and deliveries have been slowed in recent years by the lengthy grounding of Boeing's 787 Max jets, and most recently, by parts defects in 787 Dreamliner.3</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，波音的商用飞机交付量也是投资者关注的一个关键指标。波音公司生产商用和军用飞机。对前一种类型的需求对经济状况更加敏感，而对后一种类型的需求取决于政府关于其军事计划的政策决定。随着美国疫情的威胁有所缓解，旅行需求不断上升，商用飞机交付量开始上升。但近年来，由于波音787 Max喷气式飞机长期停飞，以及最近787梦想飞机的零部件缺陷，生产和交付速度放缓。3</blockquote></p><p> These quality issues have hampered the speed with which Boeing's commercial airplane deliveries recovered from the pandemic. The company dropped to a low of just 20 commercial airplanes delivered in Q2 FY 2020, down 77.8% from Q2 FY 2019 and down nearly 90% from 194 commercial airplanes delivered in Q2 FY 2018. Since that low point, commercial airplane deliveries have improved each quarter sequentially, up to 79 deliveries for Q2 FY 2021. Analysts forecast that this trend will continue, with 96 commercial airplanes delivered for Q3 FY 2021. This would be more than triple the number of commercial aircraft delivered in the prior-year quarter.</p><p><blockquote>这些质量问题阻碍了波音商用飞机交付从疫情中恢复的速度。该公司在2020财年第二季度交付了20架商用飞机，比2019财年第二季度下降了77.8%，比2018财年第二季度交付的194架商用飞机下降了近90%。自那个低点以来，商用飞机交付量每个季度都在连续改善，2021财年第二季度交付量高达79架。分析师预测，这一趋势将持续下去，2021财年第三季度将交付96架商用飞机。这将是去年同期交付的商用飞机数量的三倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <table></table></p><p><blockquote><table></table></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/boeing-q3-fy2021-earnings-report-preview-5207000?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral\">Investopedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/boeing-q3-fy2021-earnings-report-preview-5207000?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100809149","content_text":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nAnalysts estimate adjusted EPS of -$0.15 vs. -$1.39 in Q3 FY 2020.\nCommercial airplane deliveries are expected to increase sharply YOY.\nRevenue is expected to rise for the second consecutive quarter after nine straight quarters of YOY declines.\n\nBoeing Co. (BA) has seen a surge in demand for commercial aircraft amid the rebound in travel as passengers' concerns begin to ease about the COVID-19 pandemic. During the second quarter, the company made a profit after six straight quarters of losses as revenue rose sharply. Despite this, Boeing faces ongoing problems beyond the pandemic. The company's 787 Max jet has had continuing quality problems. And in mid-October, production and deliveries of the 787 Dreamliner were delayed after a new defect was detected in a titanium part.123\nInvestors will look at how Boeing is overcoming these issues to ensure its continuing recovery when it reports earnings for Q3 FY 2021 before market open on Oct. 27.4In Q3, analysts expect Boeing to report a dramatic narrowing of adjusted losses per share compared to the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue is expected to show a healthy gain year-over-year (YOY), though slower than Q2 FY 2021.5\nInvestors will also focus on Boeing's commercial airplane deliveries, a key metric that measures the level of demand for one of the company's main products. Analysts estimate a sharp rise in deliveries compared to the year-ago quarter, though well below the company's recent peak quarters in FY 2017 and FY 2018.5\nBoeing stock has been highly volatile, underperforming the broader market in the last year. In November 2020, the stock staged a massive rally through early December, then declined through late January 2021. At this point, Boeing stock climbed once again to a high point in March. Since then, shares have gradually slipped downward, with sporadic modest upticks along the way. Boeing shares have provided a 1-year trailing total return of 26.0%, behind the total return of 31.6% for the S&P 500.\nBoeing Earnings History\nBoeing has struggled to report positive adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for years. In the past 10 quarters, Boeing has reported only three periods of positive adjusted EPS, two of those prior to pandemic. The widest loss was in Q4 FY 2020, when Boeing reported and adjusted loss of $15.25 a share. Boeing's performance has improved considerably since then. Its loss narrowed sharply in Q1 FY 2021, followed by its first positive adjusted EPS in seven quarters in Q2 FY 2021. For Q3, analysts expect Boeing to report a loss of $0.15 per share, which would be the smallest reported loss in more than two years.5\nBoeing's revenue performance has been equally poor. The company posted nine consecutive quarters of YOY revenue declines, from Q1 FY 2019 through Q1 FY 2021. Q2 FY 2021 was the first YOY improvement in revenue since FY 2018. Revenue jumped 44.0% for that quarter. Now, analysts expect another quarter of YOY revenue growth, but at a slower pace of 21.5%. Despite that progress, Boeing's estimated Q3 revenue would be only about two-thirds what it was in Q3 FY 2018.\nBoeing Key Stats\n\n\n\n\nEstimate for Q3 FY 2021\nQ3 FY 2020\nQ3 FY 2019\n\n\nAdjusted Earnings Per Share\n-$0.15\n-$1.39\n$1.45\n\n\nRevenue (B)\n$17.2\n$14.1\n$20.0\n\n\nCommercial Airplane Deliveries\n96\n28\n62\n\n\n\nThe Key Metric\nAs mentioned above, Boeing's commercial airplane deliveries are also a key metric watched by investors. Boeing manufactures both commercial and military aircraft. Demand for the former type is much more sensitive to economic conditions whereas demand for the latter depends on government policy decisions regarding its military program. Commercial airplane deliveries have begun to rise amid rising travel demand as the threat from the pandemic has eased in the U.S. But production and deliveries have been slowed in recent years by the lengthy grounding of Boeing's 787 Max jets, and most recently, by parts defects in 787 Dreamliner.3\nThese quality issues have hampered the speed with which Boeing's commercial airplane deliveries recovered from the pandemic. The company dropped to a low of just 20 commercial airplanes delivered in Q2 FY 2020, down 77.8% from Q2 FY 2019 and down nearly 90% from 194 commercial airplanes delivered in Q2 FY 2018. Since that low point, commercial airplane deliveries have improved each quarter sequentially, up to 79 deliveries for Q2 FY 2021. Analysts forecast that this trend will continue, with 96 commercial airplanes delivered for Q3 FY 2021. This would be more than triple the number of commercial aircraft delivered in the prior-year quarter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868409893,"gmtCreate":1632695582812,"gmtModify":1632798604131,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868409893","repostId":"1142057327","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142057327","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632643246,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142057327?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-26 16:00","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Intel Starts Construction of Two Arizona Computer Chip Factories<blockquote>英特尔开始建设亚利桑那州两家计算机芯片工厂</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142057327","media":"The street","summary":"Intel broke ground on two new computer chip factories in Arizona as part of a $20 billion project to","content":"<p>Intel broke ground on two new computer chip factories in Arizona as part of a $20 billion project to help meet the high demand for semiconductors in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔在亚利桑那州的两家新计算机芯片工厂破土动工，这是一项200亿美元项目的一部分，旨在帮助满足美国对半导体的高需求。</blockquote></p><p> Intel&nbsp;(<b>INTC</b>) -Get Intel Corporation (INTC) Report&nbsp;on Friday broke ground on two new computer chip factories in Arizona as part of a $20 billion project to help&nbsp;alleviate the severe shortage of semiconductors in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔（<b>INTC</b>)-获取英特尔公司(INTC)报告周五在亚利桑那州的两家新计算机芯片工厂破土动工，这是一项耗资200亿美元的项目的一部分，旨在帮助缓解美国半导体的严重短缺。</blockquote></p><p> The Santa Clara, Calif.-basedsemiconductor chip manufacturer'sCEO Pat Gelsinger led the project's groundbreaking ceremony at the company's Ocotillo campus in Chandler, Ariz., marking the largest private investment in the state's history.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉的半导体芯片制造商首席执行官帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)在该公司位于亚利桑那州钱德勒的奥科蒂洛园区主持了该项目的奠基仪式，标志着该州历史上最大的私人投资。</blockquote></p><p> Intel expects the factories to be fully operational in 2024 to manufacture the company's most advanced process technologies.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔预计这些工厂将于2024年全面投入运营，生产该公司最先进的工艺技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Today’s celebration marks an important milestone as we work to boost capacity and meet the incredible demand for semiconductors: the foundational technology for the digitization of everything,\" Gelsinger said in acompany statement. \"We are ushering in a new era of innovation – for Intel, for Arizona and for the world. This $20 billion expansion will bring our total investment in Arizona to more than $50 billion since opening the site over 40 years ago.</p><p><blockquote>基辛格在公司声明中表示：“今天的庆祝活动标志着一个重要的里程碑，因为我们正在努力提高产能并满足对半导体的难以置信的需求：半导体是万物数字化的基础技术。我们正在开创一个创新的新时代——对英特尔、对亚利桑那州和对全世界都是如此。自40多年前开业以来，这项200亿美元的扩建将使我们在亚利桑那州的总投资超过500亿美元。”</blockquote></p><p> \"As the only U.S.-based leading-edge chipmaker, we are committed to building on this long-term investment and helping the United States regain semiconductor leadership,” Gelsinger said.</p><p><blockquote>Gelsinger表示：“作为唯一一家总部位于美国的领先芯片制造商，我们致力于在这项长期投资的基础上再接再厉，帮助美国重新获得半导体领先地位。”</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Intel on Friday traded 0.18% higher to $54.32 after hours.</p><p><blockquote>周五盘后英特尔股价上涨0.18%，至54.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> Gelsinger on Thursday participated in a virtual meeting with tech company executives and Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo to address the global semiconductor chip shortage, which has interfered with production in the high-tech, electronics and automotive industries.</p><p><blockquote>基辛格周四参加了与科技公司高管和商务部长吉娜·雷蒙多的虚拟会议，以解决全球半导体芯片短缺问题，该问题干扰了高科技、电子和汽车行业的生产。</blockquote></p><p> The two new factories, to be named Fab 52 and Fab 62, will house a total of six semiconductor fabs. The project will create over 3,000 high-tech, high-wage Intel jobs, 3,000 construction jobs and support an estimated 15,000 additional indirect jobs in the local community.</p><p><blockquote>这两个新工厂将被命名为Fab 52和Fab 62，将容纳总共六个半导体晶圆厂。该项目将创造3,000多个高科技、高工资的英特尔工作岗位、3,000个建筑工作岗位，并为当地社区提供约15,000个额外的间接工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p> Intel rival Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.plans to buildits second U.S. chip factory also in Arizona and targets production to begin in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔的竞争对手台积电公司计划也在亚利桑那州建造其在美国的第二家芯片工厂，目标是2024年开始生产。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel Starts Construction of Two Arizona Computer Chip Factories<blockquote>英特尔开始建设亚利桑那州两家计算机芯片工厂</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel Starts Construction of Two Arizona Computer Chip Factories<blockquote>英特尔开始建设亚利桑那州两家计算机芯片工厂</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-26 16:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Intel broke ground on two new computer chip factories in Arizona as part of a $20 billion project to help meet the high demand for semiconductors in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔在亚利桑那州的两家新计算机芯片工厂破土动工，这是一项200亿美元项目的一部分，旨在帮助满足美国对半导体的高需求。</blockquote></p><p> Intel&nbsp;(<b>INTC</b>) -Get Intel Corporation (INTC) Report&nbsp;on Friday broke ground on two new computer chip factories in Arizona as part of a $20 billion project to help&nbsp;alleviate the severe shortage of semiconductors in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔（<b>INTC</b>)-获取英特尔公司(INTC)报告周五在亚利桑那州的两家新计算机芯片工厂破土动工，这是一项耗资200亿美元的项目的一部分，旨在帮助缓解美国半导体的严重短缺。</blockquote></p><p> The Santa Clara, Calif.-basedsemiconductor chip manufacturer'sCEO Pat Gelsinger led the project's groundbreaking ceremony at the company's Ocotillo campus in Chandler, Ariz., marking the largest private investment in the state's history.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉的半导体芯片制造商首席执行官帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)在该公司位于亚利桑那州钱德勒的奥科蒂洛园区主持了该项目的奠基仪式，标志着该州历史上最大的私人投资。</blockquote></p><p> Intel expects the factories to be fully operational in 2024 to manufacture the company's most advanced process technologies.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔预计这些工厂将于2024年全面投入运营，生产该公司最先进的工艺技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Today’s celebration marks an important milestone as we work to boost capacity and meet the incredible demand for semiconductors: the foundational technology for the digitization of everything,\" Gelsinger said in acompany statement. \"We are ushering in a new era of innovation – for Intel, for Arizona and for the world. This $20 billion expansion will bring our total investment in Arizona to more than $50 billion since opening the site over 40 years ago.</p><p><blockquote>基辛格在公司声明中表示：“今天的庆祝活动标志着一个重要的里程碑，因为我们正在努力提高产能并满足对半导体的难以置信的需求：半导体是万物数字化的基础技术。我们正在开创一个创新的新时代——对英特尔、对亚利桑那州和对全世界都是如此。自40多年前开业以来，这项200亿美元的扩建将使我们在亚利桑那州的总投资超过500亿美元。”</blockquote></p><p> \"As the only U.S.-based leading-edge chipmaker, we are committed to building on this long-term investment and helping the United States regain semiconductor leadership,” Gelsinger said.</p><p><blockquote>Gelsinger表示：“作为唯一一家总部位于美国的领先芯片制造商，我们致力于在这项长期投资的基础上再接再厉，帮助美国重新获得半导体领先地位。”</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Intel on Friday traded 0.18% higher to $54.32 after hours.</p><p><blockquote>周五盘后英特尔股价上涨0.18%，至54.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> Gelsinger on Thursday participated in a virtual meeting with tech company executives and Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo to address the global semiconductor chip shortage, which has interfered with production in the high-tech, electronics and automotive industries.</p><p><blockquote>基辛格周四参加了与科技公司高管和商务部长吉娜·雷蒙多的虚拟会议，以解决全球半导体芯片短缺问题，该问题干扰了高科技、电子和汽车行业的生产。</blockquote></p><p> The two new factories, to be named Fab 52 and Fab 62, will house a total of six semiconductor fabs. The project will create over 3,000 high-tech, high-wage Intel jobs, 3,000 construction jobs and support an estimated 15,000 additional indirect jobs in the local community.</p><p><blockquote>这两个新工厂将被命名为Fab 52和Fab 62，将容纳总共六个半导体晶圆厂。该项目将创造3,000多个高科技、高工资的英特尔工作岗位、3,000个建筑工作岗位，并为当地社区提供约15,000个额外的间接工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p> Intel rival Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.plans to buildits second U.S. chip factory also in Arizona and targets production to begin in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔的竞争对手台积电公司计划也在亚利桑那州建造其在美国的第二家芯片工厂，目标是2024年开始生产。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/intel-starts-construction-of-two-arizona-computer-chip-factories\">The street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/intel-starts-construction-of-two-arizona-computer-chip-factories","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142057327","content_text":"Intel broke ground on two new computer chip factories in Arizona as part of a $20 billion project to help meet the high demand for semiconductors in the U.S.\nIntel (INTC) -Get Intel Corporation (INTC) Report on Friday broke ground on two new computer chip factories in Arizona as part of a $20 billion project to help alleviate the severe shortage of semiconductors in the U.S.\nThe Santa Clara, Calif.-basedsemiconductor chip manufacturer'sCEO Pat Gelsinger led the project's groundbreaking ceremony at the company's Ocotillo campus in Chandler, Ariz., marking the largest private investment in the state's history.\nIntel expects the factories to be fully operational in 2024 to manufacture the company's most advanced process technologies.\n“Today’s celebration marks an important milestone as we work to boost capacity and meet the incredible demand for semiconductors: the foundational technology for the digitization of everything,\" Gelsinger said in acompany statement. \"We are ushering in a new era of innovation – for Intel, for Arizona and for the world. This $20 billion expansion will bring our total investment in Arizona to more than $50 billion since opening the site over 40 years ago.\n\"As the only U.S.-based leading-edge chipmaker, we are committed to building on this long-term investment and helping the United States regain semiconductor leadership,” Gelsinger said.\nShares of Intel on Friday traded 0.18% higher to $54.32 after hours.\nGelsinger on Thursday participated in a virtual meeting with tech company executives and Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo to address the global semiconductor chip shortage, which has interfered with production in the high-tech, electronics and automotive industries.\nThe two new factories, to be named Fab 52 and Fab 62, will house a total of six semiconductor fabs. The project will create over 3,000 high-tech, high-wage Intel jobs, 3,000 construction jobs and support an estimated 15,000 additional indirect jobs in the local community.\nIntel rival Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.plans to buildits second U.S. chip factory also in Arizona and targets production to begin in 2024.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691573382,"gmtCreate":1640224649654,"gmtModify":1640225387788,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691573382","repostId":"2193113147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841189210,"gmtCreate":1635896012534,"gmtModify":1635896012653,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841189210","repostId":"2180736431","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867518997,"gmtCreate":1633300161157,"gmtModify":1633300161347,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867518997","repostId":"1145081858","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864033519,"gmtCreate":1633041336340,"gmtModify":1633041336554,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like 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10:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Even as Oil Plunges, Analysts Get More Bullish<blockquote>即使油价暴跌，分析师也变得更加乐观</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124508742","media":"Barrons","summary":"Oil prices were falling hard on Monday, as investors fret about demand and see supply rising more qu","content":"<p>Oil prices were falling hard on Monday, as investors fret about demand and see supply rising more quickly following&nbsp;an OPEC deal to restore production.</p><p><blockquote>油价周一大幅下跌，原因是投资者担心需求，并看到欧佩克达成恢复生产协议后供应增长更快。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the drop, the current setup looks as if it could help U.S. shale producers as long as they don’t make the same mistakes they did in the past. In fact, in the past few days analysts have gotten more bullish on names like oil service company&nbsp;Halliburton(HAL) and producerOvintiv(OVV) even amid weakness in oil stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有所下降，但目前的设置看起来可以帮助美国页岩油生产商，只要他们不犯过去犯过的同样的错误。事实上，在过去几天里，即使在石油股疲软的情况下，分析师也更加看好石油服务公司哈里伯顿(HAL)和生产商罗文蒂夫(OVV)等公司。</blockquote></p><p> Brent crude futures, the international benchmark, fell 6.1%, to $69.11 a barrel, the steepest drop since March. If they close at these levels, it would be the first time Brent has traded below $70 since May. West Texas Intermediate crude futures, the U.S. benchmark, fell 6.4%, to $67.24 a barrel, also on pace for their worst decline since March.</p><p><blockquote>国际基准布伦特原油期货下跌6.1%，至每桶69.11美元，为3月份以来的最大跌幅。如果收于这些水平，这将是布伦特原油自5月份以来首次跌破70美元。美国基准西德克萨斯中质原油期货下跌6.4%，至每桶67.24美元，也将创下3月份以来的最大跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Oil has been rising all year as the vaccine rollout has slowed the spread of Covid-19 in much of the world and demand has rebounded. But the rise of the Delta variant is now worrying investors and causing stocks around the world to slide. If countries are forced to slow their reopenings and block international travel, oil demand is likely to drop.</p><p><blockquote>随着疫苗的推出减缓了Covid-19在世界大部分地区的传播，需求也有所反弹，油价全年都在上涨。但德尔塔变异毒株的崛起现在令投资者担忧，并导致全球股市下滑。如果各国被迫放慢重新开放速度并阻止国际旅行，石油需求可能会下降。</blockquote></p><p> As the demand picture worsens, supply looks ready to pick up — potentially leading to an imbalance that hurts prices. On Sunday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies agreed to gradually restore the 5.8 million barrels per day in production that countries had been holding off the market. They will restore production by about 400,000 barrels a day every month until it is fully restored next year.</p><p><blockquote>随着需求状况恶化，供应看起来即将回升，这可能会导致失衡，从而损害价格。周日，石油输出国组织及其盟友同意逐步恢复各国一直在市场上按兵不动的580万桶/日的产量。他们将每月恢复约40万桶/日的产量，直到明年完全恢复。</blockquote></p><p> “The commodity rally isn’t over just yet, but it will probably take a big break here,” predicts Oanda analyst Edward Moya. “WTI crude’s fundamentals still support another massive move higher, it will just take another month or so to shake off the growing risk aversion theme.”</p><p><blockquote>Oanda分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)预测：“大宗商品涨势尚未结束，但可能会出现重大突破。”“WTI原油的基本面仍然支持再次大幅走高，只需要再过一个月左右的时间就能摆脱日益增长的避险主题。”</blockquote></p><p> The market’s bearish reaction to the OPEC deal may be overblown, because the alternative would almost certainly have been worse. The deal had been delayed because Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates had disagreed about production quotas.</p><p><blockquote>市场对OPEC协议的看跌反应可能被夸大了，因为替代方案几乎肯定会更糟。由于沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合酋长国在生产配额问题上存在分歧，该协议被推迟。</blockquote></p><p> The larger risk to the market had been that the two countries would split and that OPEC would be unable to hold together. In that scenario, more production could have quickly spilled into the market. “The deal will take away the tail risk in markets, particularly the oil equities, that UAE splits from OPEC/Saudi and we have a market share war,” wrote Paul Sankey of Sankey Research.</p><p><blockquote>市场面临的更大风险是两国将分裂，欧佩克将无法团结在一起。在这种情况下，更多的产量可能会迅速流入市场。桑基研究公司（Sankey Research）的保罗·桑基（Paul Sankey）写道：“该协议将消除市场（尤其是石油股）的尾部风险，即阿联酋从欧佩克/沙特分裂出去，我们将面临一场市场份额战。”</blockquote></p><p> Under the current deal, supply will remain relatively restrained and OPEC will retain its grip. Saudi Arabia has shown it wants prices to stay high, and will take action quickly to make sure that happens, as long as OPEC can hold together.</p><p><blockquote>根据目前的协议，供应将保持相对克制，欧佩克将保留其控制权。沙特阿拉伯已经表明，它希望油价保持高位，只要欧佩克能够团结一致，它将迅速采取行动确保这一情况发生。</blockquote></p><p> For oil producers, the current setup could still be profitable. The stocks of North American oil and gas producers had fallen 12% this month before Monday. Though they are up 50% for the year, they have still trailed the commodity itself by 25% since the start of 2020, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Devin McDermott notes. He believes there is “room for a further catch-up trade” as valuations remain at a 65% discount to the broader market, versus a historical average of 30%. For a decade, producers had drilled unprofitably, pursuing a corporate strategy to increase production even if it hurt profits. That has changed this year. In the first quarter, the group produced its highest free cash flow in more than a decade.</p><p><blockquote>对于石油生产商来说，目前的设置仍然是有利可图的。北美石油和天然气生产商的股票在周一之前本月已经下跌了12%。尽管今年上涨了50%，但自2020年初以来仍落后大宗商品本身25%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师德文·麦克德莫特指出。他认为，由于估值较大盘仍有65%的折扣，而历史平均水平为30%，因此存在“进一步追赶交易的空间”。十年来，生产商一直在无利可图的情况下钻探，追求增加产量的企业战略，即使这会损害利润。今年这种情况发生了变化。第一季度，该集团产生了十多年来最高的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> OPEC’s decision to continue holding production back in the months ahead is a sign that Saudi Arabia is willing to give up some market share to U.S. producers in exchange for higher prices, wrote Bank of America analyst Chase Mulvehill. That’s a “net positive for U.S. shale,” Mulvehill wrote, recommending that investors buy Halliburton to cash in on the dynamics. Halliburton is the top oil service firm in U.S. shale fields, and would benefit from more drilling and better prices. Mulvehill also upgradedNOV(NOV), an oil equipment provider, to Buy.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师Chase Mulvehill写道，欧佩克决定在未来几个月继续抑制产量，这表明沙特阿拉伯愿意将一些市场份额让给美国生产商，以换取更高的价格。穆尔维希尔写道，这“对美国页岩油来说是一个净利好”，并建议投资者购买哈里伯顿公司以从这一动态中获利。哈里伯顿是美国页岩领域最大的石油服务公司，将受益于更多的钻探和更好的价格。Mulvehill还将石油设备提供商NOV(NOV)的评级上调至买入。</blockquote></p><p> McDermott of Morgan Stanley also picked several stocks to play current trends. He likesAPA(APA),Occidental Petroleum(OXY),ConocoPhillips(COP),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FANG\">Diamondback Energy</a>(FANG), and Ovintiv . Credit Suisse also upgraded Ovintiv to Outperform on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的麦克德莫特也挑选了几只股票来迎合当前的趋势。他喜欢萨帕（APA）、西方石油（OXY）、康菲石油公司（COP）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FANG\">响尾蛇能源公司</a>（方）和Ovintiv。瑞士信贷周一也将Ovintiv的评级上调至跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> Among the biggest names, McDermott likesChevron(CVX) in the near-term because the company could reinstate its buyback when it reports second-quarter earnings. In the longer-term, he likesExxon Mobil(XOM), citing its “outsize rate of change on cash flow versus peers.”</p><p><blockquote>在大牌公司中，麦克德莫特短期内看好雪佛龙（CVX），因为该公司可能会在报告第二季度收益时恢复回购。从长远来看，他喜欢埃克森美孚（XOM），理由是其“与同行相比，现金流的变化率巨大”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The question now is whether U.S. companies can benefit from higher prices without making the same mistakes they’ve made before — namely, expanding into areas that aren’t as profitable in order to make a quick buck. Big oil companies will start issuing their earnings reports next week, and holding conference calls. Citigroup analyst Scott Gruber says that he will be looking for a change in tone from the major oil producers, as well as key shale producers likeEOG Resources(EOG).</p><p><blockquote>现在的问题是，美国公司是否可以从更高的价格中受益，而不会犯以前犯过的同样的错误——即为了赚快钱而扩张到利润不高的领域。大型石油公司将于下周开始发布收益报告，并在评级举行会议。花旗集团分析师斯科特·格鲁伯表示，他将寻求主要石油生产商以及EOG Resources(EOG)等主要页岩油生产商改变语气。</blockquote></p><p> “If the majors target a similar pace of growth at about 5%, then we believe little would change,” he wrote. “However, Exxon and Chevron have longer term growth targets in the mid teens for the Permian which should be monitored as a shift in this direction could impact public E&amp;P strategy.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果各大巨头的目标是5%左右的类似增长速度，那么我们认为不会有什么变化，”他写道。“然而，埃克森美孚和雪佛龙为二叠纪制定了十几岁左右的长期增长目标，应该对此进行监控，因为这一方向的转变可能会影响公共勘探与生产战略。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Even as Oil Plunges, Analysts Get More Bullish<blockquote>即使油价暴跌，分析师也变得更加乐观</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEven as Oil Plunges, Analysts Get More Bullish<blockquote>即使油价暴跌，分析师也变得更加乐观</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 10:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Oil prices were falling hard on Monday, as investors fret about demand and see supply rising more quickly following&nbsp;an OPEC deal to restore production.</p><p><blockquote>油价周一大幅下跌，原因是投资者担心需求，并看到欧佩克达成恢复生产协议后供应增长更快。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the drop, the current setup looks as if it could help U.S. shale producers as long as they don’t make the same mistakes they did in the past. In fact, in the past few days analysts have gotten more bullish on names like oil service company&nbsp;Halliburton(HAL) and producerOvintiv(OVV) even amid weakness in oil stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有所下降，但目前的设置看起来可以帮助美国页岩油生产商，只要他们不犯过去犯过的同样的错误。事实上，在过去几天里，即使在石油股疲软的情况下，分析师也更加看好石油服务公司哈里伯顿(HAL)和生产商罗文蒂夫(OVV)等公司。</blockquote></p><p> Brent crude futures, the international benchmark, fell 6.1%, to $69.11 a barrel, the steepest drop since March. If they close at these levels, it would be the first time Brent has traded below $70 since May. West Texas Intermediate crude futures, the U.S. benchmark, fell 6.4%, to $67.24 a barrel, also on pace for their worst decline since March.</p><p><blockquote>国际基准布伦特原油期货下跌6.1%，至每桶69.11美元，为3月份以来的最大跌幅。如果收于这些水平，这将是布伦特原油自5月份以来首次跌破70美元。美国基准西德克萨斯中质原油期货下跌6.4%，至每桶67.24美元，也将创下3月份以来的最大跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Oil has been rising all year as the vaccine rollout has slowed the spread of Covid-19 in much of the world and demand has rebounded. But the rise of the Delta variant is now worrying investors and causing stocks around the world to slide. If countries are forced to slow their reopenings and block international travel, oil demand is likely to drop.</p><p><blockquote>随着疫苗的推出减缓了Covid-19在世界大部分地区的传播，需求也有所反弹，油价全年都在上涨。但德尔塔变异毒株的崛起现在令投资者担忧，并导致全球股市下滑。如果各国被迫放慢重新开放速度并阻止国际旅行，石油需求可能会下降。</blockquote></p><p> As the demand picture worsens, supply looks ready to pick up — potentially leading to an imbalance that hurts prices. On Sunday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies agreed to gradually restore the 5.8 million barrels per day in production that countries had been holding off the market. They will restore production by about 400,000 barrels a day every month until it is fully restored next year.</p><p><blockquote>随着需求状况恶化，供应看起来即将回升，这可能会导致失衡，从而损害价格。周日，石油输出国组织及其盟友同意逐步恢复各国一直在市场上按兵不动的580万桶/日的产量。他们将每月恢复约40万桶/日的产量，直到明年完全恢复。</blockquote></p><p> “The commodity rally isn’t over just yet, but it will probably take a big break here,” predicts Oanda analyst Edward Moya. “WTI crude’s fundamentals still support another massive move higher, it will just take another month or so to shake off the growing risk aversion theme.”</p><p><blockquote>Oanda分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)预测：“大宗商品涨势尚未结束，但可能会出现重大突破。”“WTI原油的基本面仍然支持再次大幅走高，只需要再过一个月左右的时间就能摆脱日益增长的避险主题。”</blockquote></p><p> The market’s bearish reaction to the OPEC deal may be overblown, because the alternative would almost certainly have been worse. The deal had been delayed because Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates had disagreed about production quotas.</p><p><blockquote>市场对OPEC协议的看跌反应可能被夸大了，因为替代方案几乎肯定会更糟。由于沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合酋长国在生产配额问题上存在分歧，该协议被推迟。</blockquote></p><p> The larger risk to the market had been that the two countries would split and that OPEC would be unable to hold together. In that scenario, more production could have quickly spilled into the market. “The deal will take away the tail risk in markets, particularly the oil equities, that UAE splits from OPEC/Saudi and we have a market share war,” wrote Paul Sankey of Sankey Research.</p><p><blockquote>市场面临的更大风险是两国将分裂，欧佩克将无法团结在一起。在这种情况下，更多的产量可能会迅速流入市场。桑基研究公司（Sankey Research）的保罗·桑基（Paul Sankey）写道：“该协议将消除市场（尤其是石油股）的尾部风险，即阿联酋从欧佩克/沙特分裂出去，我们将面临一场市场份额战。”</blockquote></p><p> Under the current deal, supply will remain relatively restrained and OPEC will retain its grip. Saudi Arabia has shown it wants prices to stay high, and will take action quickly to make sure that happens, as long as OPEC can hold together.</p><p><blockquote>根据目前的协议，供应将保持相对克制，欧佩克将保留其控制权。沙特阿拉伯已经表明，它希望油价保持高位，只要欧佩克能够团结一致，它将迅速采取行动确保这一情况发生。</blockquote></p><p> For oil producers, the current setup could still be profitable. The stocks of North American oil and gas producers had fallen 12% this month before Monday. Though they are up 50% for the year, they have still trailed the commodity itself by 25% since the start of 2020, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Devin McDermott notes. He believes there is “room for a further catch-up trade” as valuations remain at a 65% discount to the broader market, versus a historical average of 30%. For a decade, producers had drilled unprofitably, pursuing a corporate strategy to increase production even if it hurt profits. That has changed this year. In the first quarter, the group produced its highest free cash flow in more than a decade.</p><p><blockquote>对于石油生产商来说，目前的设置仍然是有利可图的。北美石油和天然气生产商的股票在周一之前本月已经下跌了12%。尽管今年上涨了50%，但自2020年初以来仍落后大宗商品本身25%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师德文·麦克德莫特指出。他认为，由于估值较大盘仍有65%的折扣，而历史平均水平为30%，因此存在“进一步追赶交易的空间”。十年来，生产商一直在无利可图的情况下钻探，追求增加产量的企业战略，即使这会损害利润。今年这种情况发生了变化。第一季度，该集团产生了十多年来最高的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> OPEC’s decision to continue holding production back in the months ahead is a sign that Saudi Arabia is willing to give up some market share to U.S. producers in exchange for higher prices, wrote Bank of America analyst Chase Mulvehill. That’s a “net positive for U.S. shale,” Mulvehill wrote, recommending that investors buy Halliburton to cash in on the dynamics. Halliburton is the top oil service firm in U.S. shale fields, and would benefit from more drilling and better prices. Mulvehill also upgradedNOV(NOV), an oil equipment provider, to Buy.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师Chase Mulvehill写道，欧佩克决定在未来几个月继续抑制产量，这表明沙特阿拉伯愿意将一些市场份额让给美国生产商，以换取更高的价格。穆尔维希尔写道，这“对美国页岩油来说是一个净利好”，并建议投资者购买哈里伯顿公司以从这一动态中获利。哈里伯顿是美国页岩领域最大的石油服务公司，将受益于更多的钻探和更好的价格。Mulvehill还将石油设备提供商NOV(NOV)的评级上调至买入。</blockquote></p><p> McDermott of Morgan Stanley also picked several stocks to play current trends. He likesAPA(APA),Occidental Petroleum(OXY),ConocoPhillips(COP),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FANG\">Diamondback Energy</a>(FANG), and Ovintiv . Credit Suisse also upgraded Ovintiv to Outperform on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的麦克德莫特也挑选了几只股票来迎合当前的趋势。他喜欢萨帕（APA）、西方石油（OXY）、康菲石油公司（COP）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FANG\">响尾蛇能源公司</a>（方）和Ovintiv。瑞士信贷周一也将Ovintiv的评级上调至跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> Among the biggest names, McDermott likesChevron(CVX) in the near-term because the company could reinstate its buyback when it reports second-quarter earnings. In the longer-term, he likesExxon Mobil(XOM), citing its “outsize rate of change on cash flow versus peers.”</p><p><blockquote>在大牌公司中，麦克德莫特短期内看好雪佛龙（CVX），因为该公司可能会在报告第二季度收益时恢复回购。从长远来看，他喜欢埃克森美孚（XOM），理由是其“与同行相比，现金流的变化率巨大”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The question now is whether U.S. companies can benefit from higher prices without making the same mistakes they’ve made before — namely, expanding into areas that aren’t as profitable in order to make a quick buck. Big oil companies will start issuing their earnings reports next week, and holding conference calls. Citigroup analyst Scott Gruber says that he will be looking for a change in tone from the major oil producers, as well as key shale producers likeEOG Resources(EOG).</p><p><blockquote>现在的问题是，美国公司是否可以从更高的价格中受益，而不会犯以前犯过的同样的错误——即为了赚快钱而扩张到利润不高的领域。大型石油公司将于下周开始发布收益报告，并在评级举行会议。花旗集团分析师斯科特·格鲁伯表示，他将寻求主要石油生产商以及EOG Resources(EOG)等主要页岩油生产商改变语气。</blockquote></p><p> “If the majors target a similar pace of growth at about 5%, then we believe little would change,” he wrote. “However, Exxon and Chevron have longer term growth targets in the mid teens for the Permian which should be monitored as a shift in this direction could impact public E&amp;P strategy.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果各大巨头的目标是5%左右的类似增长速度，那么我们认为不会有什么变化，”他写道。“然而，埃克森美孚和雪佛龙为二叠纪制定了十几岁左右的长期增长目标，应该对此进行监控，因为这一方向的转变可能会影响公共勘探与生产战略。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/oil-prices-plunges-analysts-bullish-51626715267?siteid=yhoof2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OVV":"Ovintiv Inc.","OXY":"西方石油","APA":"阿帕契","HAL":"哈里伯顿","08100":"名科国际","COP":"康菲石油","FANG":"Diamondback Energy"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/oil-prices-plunges-analysts-bullish-51626715267?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124508742","content_text":"Oil prices were falling hard on Monday, as investors fret about demand and see supply rising more quickly following an OPEC deal to restore production.\nDespite the drop, the current setup looks as if it could help U.S. shale producers as long as they don’t make the same mistakes they did in the past. In fact, in the past few days analysts have gotten more bullish on names like oil service company Halliburton(HAL) and producerOvintiv(OVV) even amid weakness in oil stocks.\nBrent crude futures, the international benchmark, fell 6.1%, to $69.11 a barrel, the steepest drop since March. If they close at these levels, it would be the first time Brent has traded below $70 since May. West Texas Intermediate crude futures, the U.S. benchmark, fell 6.4%, to $67.24 a barrel, also on pace for their worst decline since March.\nOil has been rising all year as the vaccine rollout has slowed the spread of Covid-19 in much of the world and demand has rebounded. But the rise of the Delta variant is now worrying investors and causing stocks around the world to slide. If countries are forced to slow their reopenings and block international travel, oil demand is likely to drop.\nAs the demand picture worsens, supply looks ready to pick up — potentially leading to an imbalance that hurts prices. On Sunday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies agreed to gradually restore the 5.8 million barrels per day in production that countries had been holding off the market. They will restore production by about 400,000 barrels a day every month until it is fully restored next year.\n“The commodity rally isn’t over just yet, but it will probably take a big break here,” predicts Oanda analyst Edward Moya. “WTI crude’s fundamentals still support another massive move higher, it will just take another month or so to shake off the growing risk aversion theme.”\nThe market’s bearish reaction to the OPEC deal may be overblown, because the alternative would almost certainly have been worse. The deal had been delayed because Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates had disagreed about production quotas.\nThe larger risk to the market had been that the two countries would split and that OPEC would be unable to hold together. In that scenario, more production could have quickly spilled into the market. “The deal will take away the tail risk in markets, particularly the oil equities, that UAE splits from OPEC/Saudi and we have a market share war,” wrote Paul Sankey of Sankey Research.\nUnder the current deal, supply will remain relatively restrained and OPEC will retain its grip. Saudi Arabia has shown it wants prices to stay high, and will take action quickly to make sure that happens, as long as OPEC can hold together.\nFor oil producers, the current setup could still be profitable. The stocks of North American oil and gas producers had fallen 12% this month before Monday. Though they are up 50% for the year, they have still trailed the commodity itself by 25% since the start of 2020, Morgan Stanley analyst Devin McDermott notes. He believes there is “room for a further catch-up trade” as valuations remain at a 65% discount to the broader market, versus a historical average of 30%. For a decade, producers had drilled unprofitably, pursuing a corporate strategy to increase production even if it hurt profits. That has changed this year. In the first quarter, the group produced its highest free cash flow in more than a decade.\nOPEC’s decision to continue holding production back in the months ahead is a sign that Saudi Arabia is willing to give up some market share to U.S. producers in exchange for higher prices, wrote Bank of America analyst Chase Mulvehill. That’s a “net positive for U.S. shale,” Mulvehill wrote, recommending that investors buy Halliburton to cash in on the dynamics. Halliburton is the top oil service firm in U.S. shale fields, and would benefit from more drilling and better prices. Mulvehill also upgradedNOV(NOV), an oil equipment provider, to Buy.\nMcDermott of Morgan Stanley also picked several stocks to play current trends. He likesAPA(APA),Occidental Petroleum(OXY),ConocoPhillips(COP),Diamondback Energy(FANG), and Ovintiv . Credit Suisse also upgraded Ovintiv to Outperform on Monday.\nAmong the biggest names, McDermott likesChevron(CVX) in the near-term because the company could reinstate its buyback when it reports second-quarter earnings. In the longer-term, he likesExxon Mobil(XOM), citing its “outsize rate of change on cash flow versus peers.”\nThe question now is whether U.S. companies can benefit from higher prices without making the same mistakes they’ve made before — namely, expanding into areas that aren’t as profitable in order to make a quick buck. Big oil companies will start issuing their earnings reports next week, and holding conference calls. Citigroup analyst Scott Gruber says that he will be looking for a change in tone from the major oil producers, as well as key shale producers likeEOG Resources(EOG).\n“If the majors target a similar pace of growth at about 5%, then we believe little would change,” he wrote. “However, Exxon and Chevron have longer term growth targets in the mid teens for the Permian which should be monitored as a shift in this direction could impact public E&P strategy.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COP":0.9,"APA":0.9,"OXY":0.9,"FANG":0.9,"OVV":0.9,"HAL":0.9,"08100":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120189935,"gmtCreate":1624314953527,"gmtModify":1634008089839,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120189935","repostId":"2145084835","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":698497139,"gmtCreate":1640486230433,"gmtModify":1640486230577,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698497139","repostId":"2193178197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862810486,"gmtCreate":1632868025345,"gmtModify":1632868025345,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862810486","repostId":"1179744266","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817500161,"gmtCreate":1630972828353,"gmtModify":1631891180069,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817500161","repostId":"1118832287","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":327,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":608070714,"gmtCreate":1638586924450,"gmtModify":1638586924590,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608070714","repostId":"1174181873","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174181873","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638578178,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174181873?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-04 08:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：数字银行和云基础设施引领IPO周4</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174181873","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billi","content":"<p>The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场预计将在未来一周回暖，预计将有四起IPO筹集37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett-backed&nbsp;<b>Nu Holdings</b>(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特支持<b>Nu控股</b>(NU)计划以411亿美元的市值筹集25亿美元。这家巴西纯在线银行成立于2013年，名为Nubank，旨在推出具有移动优先客户体验的免费信用卡产品，但此后已扩展到提供各种其他金融产品。Nu自成立以来发展迅速，目前拥有近5000万客户群，尽管随着客户群的增长，每个客户的收入一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud infrastructure platform&nbsp;<b>HashiCorp</b>(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>云基础设施平台<b>哈希公司</b>(HCP)计划以140亿美元的市值筹集11亿美元。这家风险投资支持的公司提供了一套解决方案，可标准化和自动化大规模云基础设施的配置、保护、连接和运行。尽管HashiCorp表现出快速增长和粘性客户群，但由于S&amp;M支出，HashiCorp非常无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Cannabis finance REIT&nbsp;<b>Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance</b>(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.</p><p><blockquote>大麻金融房地产投资信托基金<b>芝加哥大西洋房地产金融</b>(REFI)计划以2.96亿美元的市值筹集1.06亿美元。这个新成立的房地产投资信托基金专注于发起、构建和投资由商业房地产担保的第一抵押贷款和另类结构性融资。其目前的投资组合包括向大麻行业国家许可运营商提供的高级贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian gold exploration company&nbsp;<b>Austin Gold</b>(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大黄金勘探公司<b>奥斯汀·戈尔德</b>(AUST)计划以6400万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。这家加拿大黄金勘探公司目前拥有位于内华达州的四处地产的权益，目前只有一处地产被认为是重要的。迄今为止，奥斯汀黄金尚未产生任何营业收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：数字银行和云基础设施引领IPO周4</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：数字银行和云基础设施引领IPO周4</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-04 08:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场预计将在未来一周回暖，预计将有四起IPO筹集37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett-backed&nbsp;<b>Nu Holdings</b>(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特支持<b>Nu控股</b>(NU)计划以411亿美元的市值筹集25亿美元。这家巴西纯在线银行成立于2013年，名为Nubank，旨在推出具有移动优先客户体验的免费信用卡产品，但此后已扩展到提供各种其他金融产品。Nu自成立以来发展迅速，目前拥有近5000万客户群，尽管随着客户群的增长，每个客户的收入一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud infrastructure platform&nbsp;<b>HashiCorp</b>(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>云基础设施平台<b>哈希公司</b>(HCP)计划以140亿美元的市值筹集11亿美元。这家风险投资支持的公司提供了一套解决方案，可标准化和自动化大规模云基础设施的配置、保护、连接和运行。尽管HashiCorp表现出快速增长和粘性客户群，但由于S&amp;M支出，HashiCorp非常无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Cannabis finance REIT&nbsp;<b>Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance</b>(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.</p><p><blockquote>大麻金融房地产投资信托基金<b>芝加哥大西洋房地产金融</b>(REFI)计划以2.96亿美元的市值筹集1.06亿美元。这个新成立的房地产投资信托基金专注于发起、构建和投资由商业房地产担保的第一抵押贷款和另类结构性融资。其目前的投资组合包括向大麻行业国家许可运营商提供的高级贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian gold exploration company&nbsp;<b>Austin Gold</b>(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大黄金勘探公司<b>奥斯汀·戈尔德</b>(AUST)计划以6400万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。这家加拿大黄金勘探公司目前拥有位于内华达州的四处地产的权益，目前只有一处地产被认为是重要的。迄今为止，奥斯汀黄金尚未产生任何营业收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89235/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-banking-and-cloud-infrastructure-lead-a-4-IPO-wee\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HCP":"HashiCorp, Inc.","NU":"Nu Holdings Ltd.","REFI":"Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89235/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-banking-and-cloud-infrastructure-lead-a-4-IPO-wee","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174181873","content_text":"The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.\nBuffett-backed Nu Holdings(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.\nCloud infrastructure platform HashiCorp(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&M spend.\nCannabis finance REIT Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.\nCanadian gold exploration company Austin Gold(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HCP":0.9,"REFI":0.9,"NU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857720132,"gmtCreate":1635561970772,"gmtModify":1635561970890,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857720132","repostId":"2179424781","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858690493,"gmtCreate":1635041580324,"gmtModify":1635041580575,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858690493","repostId":"1174514229","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174514229","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635035471,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174514229?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-24 08:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：12周IPO中的半导体、储能、设计师服装等</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174514229","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.","content":"<p>The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场继续保持繁忙，未来一周将有12起IPO计划筹集68亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor foundry&nbsp;<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.</p><p><blockquote>半导体代工<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS)计划以246亿美元的市值筹集24亿美元。总部位于美国的GlobalFoundries得到阿布扎比穆巴达拉的支持，是全球领先的特种半导体代工厂之一。由于增长不稳定，该公司表示，它是唯一一家业务遍及全球但总部不在中国的规模化纯代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise cloud data management platform&nbsp;<b>Informatica</b>(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>企业云数据管理平台<b>计算机科学</b>(INFA)计划以87亿美元的市值筹集8.85亿美元。该公司通过许可证和订阅在其人工智能平台上向5,700多家客户提供数据集成服务。尽管IPO后的杠杆率很高，但Informatica是全球数据管理市场公认的领导者，并在2021年上半年实现了强劲的订阅ARR增长。</blockquote></p><p> Energy storage provider&nbsp;<b>Fluence Energy</b>(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>储能提供商<b>注量能</b>(FLNC)计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6.98亿美元。该公司由西门子和AES组成，向公用事业公司、独立电力生产商、项目开发商以及商业和工业客户销售储能产品和服务。快速增长但无利可图，截至2011年6月30日，Fluence Energy部署了942 MW的存储产品。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue cycle management platform&nbsp;<b>Ensemble Health Partners</b>(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.</p><p><blockquote>收益周期管理平台<b>合奏健康合作伙伴</b>(ENSB)计划以36亿美元的市值筹集6.05亿美元。该平台为医疗保健行业提供收入周期管理解决方案。随着2021年上半年的加速增长，Ensemble Health管理的年度客户净患者收入超过200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>HireRight Holdings</b>(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>雇佣权控股公司</b>(HRT)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集5亿美元。该公司为40,000多名客户提供背景调查、验证、识别、监控以及药物和健康筛查服务。尽管现金流转为负值，但HireRight在2021年上半年的息税前利润仍实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Online education marketplace&nbsp;<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>在线教育市场<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY)计划以43亿美元的市值筹集4.06亿美元。该教育平台为180多个国家的4400万多名客户提供75种语言的183,000多门课程。Udemy不断增长但尚未盈利，自成立以来已注册用户超过7300万。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese drug in-licensor&nbsp;<b>LianBio</b>(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.</p><p><blockquote>中国药品许可人<b>联比奥</b>(LIAN)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。这家生物制药公司专注于中国和其他亚洲市场，开发和商业化多种适应症的药物。联生物的产品线目前包括五个不同治疗领域的九种候选产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rent the Runway</b>(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>租用跑道</b>(RENT)计划以14亿美元的市值筹集2.93亿美元。这家服装租赁公司最初专注于活动服装的点菜租赁，但已逐渐过渡到主要从每月订阅箱中创收。尽管该公司在过去两个季度的活跃订户和收入有所反弹，但IPO后仍未盈利且存在杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Aesthetic medical device maker&nbsp;<b>Candela Medical</b>(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>美容医疗器械制造商<b>坎德拉医疗</b>(CDLA)计划以17亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。该公司直接在18个国家销售产品，间接在66个国家销售产品，开发用于选择性美容手术的医疗设备。尽管受到疫情的严重打击，坎德拉医疗仍实现了强劲增长，并在2021年上半年扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Fire pit brand&nbsp;<b>Solo Brands</b>(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>火坑品牌<b>索罗品牌</b>(DTC)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Solo Brands通过其DTC平台销售火坑、野营炉和其他户外装备。这家户外电子商务发展迅速，利润丰厚，拥有超过230万客户。</blockquote></p><p> Body contouring provider&nbsp;<b>AirSculpt Technologies</b>(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>塑身师<b>空气雕刻技术</b>(AIRS)计划以8.86亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。该公司通过美国13个州的16个中心提供微创塑身手术。AirSculpt Technologies实现盈利并稳健增长，并且由于COVID-19影响的减轻，同中心案例数量有所增加。</blockquote></p><p> Technology firm&nbsp;<b>Arteris</b>(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>科技公司<b>动脉</b>(AIP)计划以5.55亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。这家技术公司开发并许可互连知识产权，管理片上系统半导体器件中的片上通信。Arteris尚未盈利，但在2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99c3b0173e59f4e69ff484c12bd137e7\" tg-width=\"1270\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64e34b3c49a856e99ba64a2d57410844\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将有6家公司接受街头调查，多达12家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至10/22/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了8.2%，而标普500上涨了21.1%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Uber Technologies（UBER）和Moderna（MRNA）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌15.8%，而ACWX指数上涨9.1%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：12周IPO中的半导体、储能、设计师服装等</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：12周IPO中的半导体、储能、设计师服装等</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-24 08:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场继续保持繁忙，未来一周将有12起IPO计划筹集68亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor foundry&nbsp;<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.</p><p><blockquote>半导体代工<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS)计划以246亿美元的市值筹集24亿美元。总部位于美国的GlobalFoundries得到阿布扎比穆巴达拉的支持，是全球领先的特种半导体代工厂之一。由于增长不稳定，该公司表示，它是唯一一家业务遍及全球但总部不在中国的规模化纯代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise cloud data management platform&nbsp;<b>Informatica</b>(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>企业云数据管理平台<b>计算机科学</b>(INFA)计划以87亿美元的市值筹集8.85亿美元。该公司通过许可证和订阅在其人工智能平台上向5,700多家客户提供数据集成服务。尽管IPO后的杠杆率很高，但Informatica是全球数据管理市场公认的领导者，并在2021年上半年实现了强劲的订阅ARR增长。</blockquote></p><p> Energy storage provider&nbsp;<b>Fluence Energy</b>(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>储能提供商<b>注量能</b>(FLNC)计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6.98亿美元。该公司由西门子和AES组成，向公用事业公司、独立电力生产商、项目开发商以及商业和工业客户销售储能产品和服务。快速增长但无利可图，截至2011年6月30日，Fluence Energy部署了942 MW的存储产品。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue cycle management platform&nbsp;<b>Ensemble Health Partners</b>(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.</p><p><blockquote>收益周期管理平台<b>合奏健康合作伙伴</b>(ENSB)计划以36亿美元的市值筹集6.05亿美元。该平台为医疗保健行业提供收入周期管理解决方案。随着2021年上半年的加速增长，Ensemble Health管理的年度客户净患者收入超过200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>HireRight Holdings</b>(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>雇佣权控股公司</b>(HRT)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集5亿美元。该公司为40,000多名客户提供背景调查、验证、识别、监控以及药物和健康筛查服务。尽管现金流转为负值，但HireRight在2021年上半年的息税前利润仍实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Online education marketplace&nbsp;<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>在线教育市场<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY)计划以43亿美元的市值筹集4.06亿美元。该教育平台为180多个国家的4400万多名客户提供75种语言的183,000多门课程。Udemy不断增长但尚未盈利，自成立以来已注册用户超过7300万。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese drug in-licensor&nbsp;<b>LianBio</b>(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.</p><p><blockquote>中国药品许可人<b>联比奥</b>(LIAN)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。这家生物制药公司专注于中国和其他亚洲市场，开发和商业化多种适应症的药物。联生物的产品线目前包括五个不同治疗领域的九种候选产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rent the Runway</b>(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>租用跑道</b>(RENT)计划以14亿美元的市值筹集2.93亿美元。这家服装租赁公司最初专注于活动服装的点菜租赁，但已逐渐过渡到主要从每月订阅箱中创收。尽管该公司在过去两个季度的活跃订户和收入有所反弹，但IPO后仍未盈利且存在杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Aesthetic medical device maker&nbsp;<b>Candela Medical</b>(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>美容医疗器械制造商<b>坎德拉医疗</b>(CDLA)计划以17亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。该公司直接在18个国家销售产品，间接在66个国家销售产品，开发用于选择性美容手术的医疗设备。尽管受到疫情的严重打击，坎德拉医疗仍实现了强劲增长，并在2021年上半年扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Fire pit brand&nbsp;<b>Solo Brands</b>(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>火坑品牌<b>索罗品牌</b>(DTC)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Solo Brands通过其DTC平台销售火坑、野营炉和其他户外装备。这家户外电子商务发展迅速，利润丰厚，拥有超过230万客户。</blockquote></p><p> Body contouring provider&nbsp;<b>AirSculpt Technologies</b>(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>塑身师<b>空气雕刻技术</b>(AIRS)计划以8.86亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。该公司通过美国13个州的16个中心提供微创塑身手术。AirSculpt Technologies实现盈利并稳健增长，并且由于COVID-19影响的减轻，同中心案例数量有所增加。</blockquote></p><p> Technology firm&nbsp;<b>Arteris</b>(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>科技公司<b>动脉</b>(AIP)计划以5.55亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。这家技术公司开发并许可互连知识产权，管理片上系统半导体器件中的片上通信。Arteris尚未盈利，但在2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99c3b0173e59f4e69ff484c12bd137e7\" tg-width=\"1270\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64e34b3c49a856e99ba64a2d57410844\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将有6家公司接受街头调查，多达12家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至10/22/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了8.2%，而标普500上涨了21.1%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Uber Technologies（UBER）和Moderna（MRNA）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌15.8%，而ACWX指数上涨9.1%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/87676/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Semiconductors-energy-storage-designer-apparel-and-more-i\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","FLNC":"Fluence Energy, Inc.","UDMY":"Udemy, Inc.","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","AIP":"Arteris, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","INFA":"Informatica Inc.","AIRS":"Airsculpt Technologies","RENT":"Rent the Runway, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","HRT":"HireRight Holdings Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/87676/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Semiconductors-energy-storage-designer-apparel-and-more-i","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174514229","content_text":"The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.\nSemiconductor foundry GlobalFoundries(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.\nEnterprise cloud data management platform Informatica(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.\nEnergy storage provider Fluence Energy(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.\nRevenue cycle management platform Ensemble Health Partners(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.\nHiring solutions provider HireRight Holdings(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.\nOnline education marketplace Udemy(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.\nChinese drug in-licensor LianBio(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.\nRent the Runway(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.\nAesthetic medical device maker Candela Medical(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.\nFire pit brand Solo Brands(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.\nBody contouring provider AirSculpt Technologies(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.\nTechnology firm Arteris(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DTC":0.9,"HRT":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"LIAN":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ENSB":0.9,"FLNC":0.9,"UDMY":0.9,"CDLA":0.9,"AIRS":0.9,"AIP":0.9,"RENT":0.9,"GFS":0.9,"INFA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":880610883,"gmtCreate":1631054267142,"gmtModify":1631891180064,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880610883","repostId":"1130130857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130130857","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631007146,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130130857?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and  a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会超过增长，周期性会超过防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 17:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会超过增长，周期性会超过防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. And go with quality.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144499576,"gmtCreate":1626308907095,"gmtModify":1631893019811,"author":{"id":"3579903139528819","authorId":"3579903139528819","name":"eddnesb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb1a44cae788badb83f540b30835814","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579903139528819","idStr":"3579903139528819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144499576","repostId":"1188807077","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188807077","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626308530,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188807077?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Key Moderate Dems Not Yet On Board With $3.5 Trillion Spending Package<blockquote>主要温和派民主党尚未接受3.5万亿美元的支出计划</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188807077","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Though, to be sure, the deal isn't nearly as close to 'done' as Chuck Schumer said it was...","content":"<p><b>Update (1530ET)</b>: Earlier, WaPo reported that some of the proposed taxes to offset the Biden Administration's $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" plan, might have a climate component. Hours, later CNBC, Bloomberg and others are reporting that the plan might include a carbon border tax, essentially a tariff that would apply to \"carbon-intensive\" imports. The plan would punish countries with weaker climate policies.</p><p><blockquote><b>更新（1530ET）</b>：早些时候，WaPo报道称，抵消拜登政府3.5万亿美元“人类基础设施”计划的一些拟议税收可能含有气候成分。几个小时后，美国消费者新闻与商业频道、彭博社和其他媒体报道称，该计划可能包括碳边境税，本质上是一种适用于“碳密集型”进口的关税。该计划将惩罚气候政策较弱的国家。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> <b>Update (1310ET):</b>As it turns out, Manchin isn't the only moderate Dem who is still undecided on the $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" package that Dems are trying to pass using budget rules to push it through on a party-line vote.</p><p><blockquote><b>更新（1310ET）：</b>事实证明，曼钦并不是唯一一个对3.5万亿美元的“人力基础设施”一揽子计划犹豫不决的温和派民主党人，民主党人正试图利用预算规则在党派投票中推动该计划通过。</blockquote></p><p> Still, to accomplish this, they need all 50 Dems in the Senate on board. Earlier, we reported that Sen. Joe Manchin hadn't yet given his final sign-off. And apparently, he's not alone: Bloomberg just reported that Jon Tester of Montana, another Moderate Dem, is not yet on board with the bill.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，为了实现这一目标，他们需要参议院所有50名民主党人都加入进来。早些时候，我们报道过参议员乔·曼钦还没有给出他的最终签名。显然，他并不孤单：彭博刚刚报道说，另一位温和派民主党人、蒙大拿州的乔恩·特斯还没有同意该法案。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> <b>Update (1140ET):</b>Following comments from a team of Goldman analysts who warned in a note to clients published this morning that the Democrats' new spending plan (and the tax hikes they say will accompany it) is a \"downside risk to our fiscal assumptions\". Since centrist Democrats likely won't accept more than $1.5 trillion in additional taxes, \"this would likely amount to less than the $3 trillion in additional spending we have been assuming.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>更新（1140ET）：</b>高盛分析师团队在今天上午发布的一份给客户的报告中警告称，民主党的新支出计划（以及他们所说的随之而来的增税）是“我们财政假设的下行风险”。由于中间派民主党人可能不会接受超过1.5万亿美元的额外税收，“这可能低于我们一直假设的3万亿美元额外支出。”</blockquote></p><p> They expanded on their view in five points:</p><p><blockquote>他们从五个方面阐述了自己的观点：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>The outlines of the Senate's budget resolution have emerged. Senate Majority Leader Schumer has announced that Democrats on the Senate Budget Committee have agreed to a top line spending increase of $3.5 trillion. In a separate comment, Sen. Warner, who sits on the committee, told reporters the resolution would be \"fully paid for\", i.e., that it would not increase the deficit.</li>  <li>If the resolution does not provide for an increase in the deficit, the spending increase might be limited to however much new revenue can be agreed to. The resolution only sets the upper limit on the spending increase that Democrats can pass using the reconciliation process; if a smaller set of tax increases is all that can win support, the spending increase might need to be dialed back. This is an area where the details of the resolution matter and at this point the details are still very unclear.</li>  <li>It is very unlikely that congressional Democrats will raise taxes by $3.5 trillion over ten years, we believe. Our expectation has been that congressional Democrats might be able to agree on tax increases worth around $1.5 trillion over ten years. This would include a 25% corporate rate and a 28% long-term capital gains rate, among other changes.</li>  <li>This is an opening bid and likely to change. Centrist Democrats like Sen. Manchin and Sinema are not on the Budget Committee and are not part of this agreement. We would expect further changes to the proposed resolution—including a lower spending total—before they sign on. That process will play out over the next few days. Assuming an agreement this week, the Senate Budget Committee could potentially pass the resolution next week, setting up a Senate vote in late July or early August. That would set the stage for the Senate to begin work on the detailed reconciliation bill, which is unlikely to pass until Q4 and possibly not until very late in the year.</li>  <li>The $579bn bipartisan infrastructure package is not directly related to the emerging budget resolution, but faces similar issues. While a bipartisan group has agreed with the White House to boost spending by $579bn, the policies they propose to pay for the package are unlikely to generate nearly enough in budgetary savings. The most likely outcome, we think, is for the bill's authors to scale back the spending boost.</li> </ol> Now, the Washington Post is reporting more details from the plan, they more or less confirmed what we said below - namely, that while negotiators have signed off on the package, the leadership still needs to make sure all 50 Democratic senators support the plan.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li>参议院预算决议的轮廓已经浮出水面。参议院多数党领袖舒默宣布，参议院预算委员会的民主党人已同意将最高支出增加3.5万亿美元。在另一份评论中，该委员会成员参议员华纳告诉记者，该决议将“全额支付”，即不会增加赤字。</li><li>如果决议没有规定增加赤字，支出的增加可能会被限制在可以同意的新收入的范围内。该决议仅设定了民主党人利用和解程序可以通过的支出增长上限；如果一系列较小的增税措施就能赢得支持，那么支出增长可能需要减少。这是一个决议细节很重要的领域，在这一点上，细节仍然非常不清楚。</li><li>我们认为，国会民主党人不太可能在十年内增税3.5万亿美元。我们的预期是，国会民主党人可能能够就十年内价值约1.5万亿美元的增税达成一致。这将包括25%的公司利率和28%的长期资本收益率等变化。</li><li>这是开标，可能会发生变化。像参议员曼钦和西内马这样的中间派民主党人不在预算委员会，也不是这项协议的一部分。我们预计在他们签署之前会对拟议的决议进行进一步修改，包括降低总支出。这一过程将在未来几天内结束。假设本周达成协议，参议院预算委员会可能会在下周通过该决议，并在7月底或8月初进行参议院投票。这将为参议院开始制定详细的和解法案奠定基础，该法案不太可能在第四季度之前获得通过，也可能要到今年年底。</li><li>5790亿美元的两党基础设施一揽子计划与新出现的预算决议没有直接关系，但面临着类似的问题。尽管一个两党团体已与白宫达成协议，将支出增加5790亿美元，但他们提出的为该计划买单的政策不太可能带来足够的预算节省。我们认为，最有可能的结果是该法案的作者缩减支出增长。</li></ol>现在，《华盛顿邮报》报道了该计划的更多细节，他们或多或少证实了我们下面所说的——即，虽然谈判代表已经签署了该计划，但领导层仍需要确保所有50名民主党参议员都支持该计划。</blockquote></p><p>   Senate Democratic negotiators agreed on the framework Tuesday evening but they still must win the endorsement of all 50 members to pass the measure through their chamber in a process known as budget reconciliation  TheWaPo reportalso included some new details about the Democrats' tax plans, which mostly focus on compliance.</p><p><blockquote>参议院民主党谈判代表周二晚上就该框架达成一致，但他们仍必须赢得所有50名议员的支持，才能在众议院通过该措施，这一过程被称为预算协调。WAPO报告还包括有关民主党税收计划的一些新细节，其中主要集中在合规性上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>To pay for these changes, Congressional Democrats are pursuing a slew of tax hikes on the rich and corporations, as well as major changes to the IRS to close the “tax gap” — the difference between what taxpayers owe and what they pay. Other major new sources of revenue include raising the top marginal tax rate, increasing the corporate tax rate, and changes to the international tax system, among other potential measures, the people said.</li>  <li>The specifics of these programs are expected to be written by Democratic lawmakers on the Senate Finance Committee and House Ways and Means Committee. Lawmakers extensively discussed including new bank reporting requirements, the four people said, which would require major financial institutions to send reams of data to the IRS to help the tax agency identify tax evasion and fraud. But it was unclear if that would be included in the agreement.</li>  <li>Some Congressional Democrats believe stepping up IRS enforcement help collect as much as $1 trillion in uncollected taxes, although many tax experts are skeptical about the extent of savings that would materialize from the plan. The IRS changes were pushed in negotiations by Sen. Mark R. Warner (D-Va.), two of the people said. Warner told reporters on Tuesday the package would be paid for.</li> </ul> There have also been whispers that capital gains tax hikes might also be in play. Perhaps that's why stocks slipped ahead of Powell's testimony.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了支付这些变化，国会民主党人正在寻求对富人和企业进行一系列增税，并对国税局进行重大改革，以缩小“税收差距”——纳税人所欠与所付之间的差异。知情人士称，其他主要的新收入来源包括提高最高边际税率、提高企业税率、改变国际税收体系等潜在措施。</li><li>这些计划的细节预计将由参议院财政委员会和众议院筹款委员会的民主党议员撰写。四位人士表示，立法者广泛讨论了新的银行报告要求，这将要求主要金融机构向国税局发送大量数据，以帮助税务机构识别逃税和欺诈行为。但尚不清楚这是否会包含在协议中。</li><li>一些国会民主党人认为，加强国税局的执法有助于征收多达1万亿美元的未征收税款，尽管许多税务专家对该计划将实现的节省程度持怀疑态度。两位知情人士说，国税局的改革是由弗吉尼亚州民主党参议员马克·R·华纳（Mark R.Warner）在谈判中推动的。华纳周二告诉记者，该计划将得到支付。</li></ul>也有传言称资本利得税上调也可能在起作用。也许这就是鲍威尔作证前股市下跌的原因。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/712a5c0f564109f7a24d9f646c240888\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> <b>Update (1120ET):</b>The Democratic Congressional leadership celebrated their 'victory' in striking an intra-party deal to try and pass a $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" bill last night, but Sen. Joe Manchin made clear on Wednesday morning that while the deal has won the support of the leadership and the Democrats' progressive left flank, it's not exactly a done deal - since Manchin hasn't actually read the thing yet.</p><p><blockquote><b>更新（1120ET）：</b>民主党国会领导层庆祝他们昨晚达成党内协议的“胜利”，试图通过一项3.5万亿美元的“人类基础设施”法案，但参议员乔·曼钦(Joe Manchin)周三上午明确表示，虽然该协议赢得了领导层和民主党进步左翼的支持，但这并不完全是板上钉钉的事情——因为曼钦还没有真正读过这本书。</blockquote></p><p> Speaking to reporters in the Capitol on Wednesday, the West Virginia Sen. and critical swing vote said he's open to the deal, which would be entirely paid for by tax hike offsets.</p><p><blockquote>这位西弗吉尼亚州参议员和关键摇摆投票周三在国会大厦对记者表示，他对该协议持开放态度，该协议将完全通过增税抵消来支付。</blockquote></p><p> Notice, according to the quote below, Manchin merely stated that he's \"open\" to the deal - not exactly a ringing endorsement. It's just the latest example of eager Democratic leaders jumping the gun to try and please their party's new 'leader', President Biden. It's becoming increasingly clear that the leadership hasn't quite finished whipping the votes.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，根据下面的引用，曼钦只是表示他对这笔交易“持开放态度”——并不完全是一个响亮的认可。这只是急切的民主党领导人操之过急，试图取悦他们党的新“领导人”拜登总统的最新例子。越来越明显的是，领导层还没有完全赢得选票。</blockquote></p><p> \"I heard about it this morning or late last night from my staff,” Manchin told reporters on Tuesday. “So, we’re anxious to basically review it. They worked hard on it, we want to see it. Also, I’ve been very clear that I want to see the pay-fors and make sure that whatever we do is globally competitive.\"</p><p><blockquote>曼钦周二告诉记者：“我今天早上或昨晚深夜从我的员工那里听说了这件事。所以，我们急于基本上审查它。他们努力工作，我们希望看到它。此外，我已经非常明确地表示，我希望看到回报，并确保我们所做的一切都具有全球竞争力。”</blockquote></p><p> \"I’m open to looking at everything they provide. OK? They’re going to have to provide all the information that’s going to be needed,” he added. “They worked hard, they should have a proposal.”</p><p><blockquote>“我愿意考虑他们提供的一切。好吗？他们必须提供所有需要的信息，”他补充道。“他们努力工作，他们应该有一个提议。”</blockquote></p><p> But that didn't stop media outlets likethe Hillfrom celebrating Manchin's comment as some kind of commitment, while others pointed out that he has very clearly not yet committed to backing the deal.</p><p><blockquote>但这并没有阻止《国会山报》等媒体将曼钦的评论视为某种承诺，而其他人则指出，他显然尚未承诺支持该交易。</blockquote></p><p> According to Manchin, he hasn't even read it yet.</p><p><blockquote>据曼钦说，他甚至还没有读过。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> Months after the Biden Administration and its Congressional alliesleaked the first details of President Biden's massive two-part \"Build Back Better\" infrastructure plan, Chuck Schumer, the Democrats' leader in the Senate, just announced that Democrats have united behind a $3.5 trillion \"infrastructure\" spending package, which they can now pass using special budget rules allowing them to circumvent the filibuster.</p><p><blockquote>在拜登政府及其国会盟友泄露拜登总统由两部分组成的大规模“重建得更好”基础设施计划的第一个细节几个月后，参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默刚刚宣布，民主党已团结起来支持3.5万亿美元的“基础设施”支出计划，他们现在可以使用特殊预算规则通过该计划，使他们能够绕过阻挠。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3739b1c2464b9ee3412161ca0481a0a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In a late-night announcement Tuesday, Schumer said the Budget Committee had reached an agreement to allot $3.5 trillion for a spending package that would complete President Biden’s infrastructure plan.</p><p><blockquote>舒默在周二深夜的一份声明中表示，预算委员会已达成协议，为一项支出计划拨款3.5万亿美元，以完成拜登总统的基础设施计划。</blockquote></p><p>   \"The Budget Committee has come to an agreement,\" Sen. Schumer told reporters Tuesday night following a closed-door meeting with Democratic lawmakers.  The deal adds to the $600 billion package of infrastructure measures that Biden has struck with Republicans.</p><p><blockquote>“预算委员会已经达成协议，”参议员舒默周二晚上在与民主党议员举行闭门会议后告诉记者。该协议是拜登与共和党达成的6000亿美元一揽子基础设施措施的补充。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   \"You add that to that the $600 billion in a bipartisan plan and you get to $4.1 trillion, which is very, very close to what President Biden has asked us for,\" Schumer said. \"Every major program that President Biden has asked us for is funded in a robust way.\"  The package will include such \"infrastructure\" priorities like expanding Medicare, addressing climate change, expanding childcare (after the administration just approved a new $300 handout for couples with children)&nbsp; and education. The Democrats have famously deemed all this \"human infrastructure\", which Republicans have vowed to reject.</p><p><blockquote>舒默说：“再加上两党计划中的6000亿美元，就会达到4.1万亿美元，这非常非常接近拜登总统向我们提出的要求。”“拜登总统要求我们实施的每一个重大项目都得到了充足的资助。”该计划将包括“基础设施”优先事项，如扩大医疗保险、应对气候变化、扩大儿童保育（在政府刚刚批准为有孩子的夫妇提供300美元的新施舍后）和教育。众所周知，民主党人认为所有这些都是“人类基础设施”，而共和党人发誓要拒绝这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Democrats will meet with Biden Wednesday, the majority leader said following the closed-door meeting.</p><p><blockquote>多数党领袖在闭门会议后表示，民主党人将于周三会见拜登。</blockquote></p><p>   \"We are very proud of this plan. We know we have a long road to go. We're going to get this done for the sake of making average Americans' lives a whole lot better,\" Schumer said  Previously, Schumer has promised to hold votes on both pieces of legislation before the Senate breaks for its August recess, which amounts to a pretty aggressive timeline, especially since some Republicans might rethink their support for the earlier measure now that Democrats are pushing ahead with the bigger multi-trillion-dollar package.</p><p><blockquote>舒默表示：“我们对这项计划感到非常自豪。我们知道我们还有很长的路要走。为了让普通美国人的生活变得更好，我们将完成这项工作。”此前，舒默曾承诺在参议院八月份休会之前就这两项立法进行投票，这相当于一个相当激进的时间表，特别是因为现在民主党正在推进更大的数万亿美元一揽子计划，一些共和党人可能会重新考虑他们对早期措施的支持。</blockquote></p><p> To be clear, the bipartisan deal struck by Biden authorizes a total of $1.2 trillion in spending over eight years. Meanwhile, the budget resolution necessary to pass the Democratic-only bill will require some more maneuvering.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，拜登达成的两党协议授权在八年内总共支出1.2万亿美元。与此同时，通过民主党专用法案所需的预算决议将需要更多的操作。</blockquote></p><p> Senate Democrats want to bring the bipartisan infrastructure&nbsp;bill to the floor as soon as next week, though negotiators have warned that is an ambitious pace. Democrats didn't say on Tuesday night when specifically they would be ready to take the budget resolution to the floor. To pass both the budget resolution and a&nbsp;subsequent&nbsp;$3 to $5-trillion infrastructure bill through the Senate Democrats will need total unity from all 50 of their members. Democrats declined to say on Tuesday night if they had unified support.</p><p><blockquote>参议院民主党人希望最早在下周将两党基础设施法案提交议会，尽管谈判代表警告说这是一个雄心勃勃的步伐。民主党人周二晚上没有透露他们何时准备好将预算决议提交议会。为了在参议院通过预算决议和随后的3至5万亿美元基础设施法案，民主党需要所有50名议员的完全团结。民主党人周二晚上拒绝透露他们是否得到了统一的支持。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Key Moderate Dems Not Yet On Board With $3.5 Trillion Spending Package<blockquote>主要温和派民主党尚未接受3.5万亿美元的支出计划</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKey Moderate Dems Not Yet On Board With $3.5 Trillion Spending Package<blockquote>主要温和派民主党尚未接受3.5万亿美元的支出计划</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-15 08:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Update (1530ET)</b>: Earlier, WaPo reported that some of the proposed taxes to offset the Biden Administration's $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" plan, might have a climate component. Hours, later CNBC, Bloomberg and others are reporting that the plan might include a carbon border tax, essentially a tariff that would apply to \"carbon-intensive\" imports. The plan would punish countries with weaker climate policies.</p><p><blockquote><b>更新（1530ET）</b>：早些时候，WaPo报道称，抵消拜登政府3.5万亿美元“人类基础设施”计划的一些拟议税收可能含有气候成分。几个小时后，美国消费者新闻与商业频道、彭博社和其他媒体报道称，该计划可能包括碳边境税，本质上是一种适用于“碳密集型”进口的关税。该计划将惩罚气候政策较弱的国家。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> <b>Update (1310ET):</b>As it turns out, Manchin isn't the only moderate Dem who is still undecided on the $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" package that Dems are trying to pass using budget rules to push it through on a party-line vote.</p><p><blockquote><b>更新（1310ET）：</b>事实证明，曼钦并不是唯一一个对3.5万亿美元的“人力基础设施”一揽子计划犹豫不决的温和派民主党人，民主党人正试图利用预算规则在党派投票中推动该计划通过。</blockquote></p><p> Still, to accomplish this, they need all 50 Dems in the Senate on board. Earlier, we reported that Sen. Joe Manchin hadn't yet given his final sign-off. And apparently, he's not alone: Bloomberg just reported that Jon Tester of Montana, another Moderate Dem, is not yet on board with the bill.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，为了实现这一目标，他们需要参议院所有50名民主党人都加入进来。早些时候，我们报道过参议员乔·曼钦还没有给出他的最终签名。显然，他并不孤单：彭博刚刚报道说，另一位温和派民主党人、蒙大拿州的乔恩·特斯还没有同意该法案。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> <b>Update (1140ET):</b>Following comments from a team of Goldman analysts who warned in a note to clients published this morning that the Democrats' new spending plan (and the tax hikes they say will accompany it) is a \"downside risk to our fiscal assumptions\". Since centrist Democrats likely won't accept more than $1.5 trillion in additional taxes, \"this would likely amount to less than the $3 trillion in additional spending we have been assuming.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>更新（1140ET）：</b>高盛分析师团队在今天上午发布的一份给客户的报告中警告称，民主党的新支出计划（以及他们所说的随之而来的增税）是“我们财政假设的下行风险”。由于中间派民主党人可能不会接受超过1.5万亿美元的额外税收，“这可能低于我们一直假设的3万亿美元额外支出。”</blockquote></p><p> They expanded on their view in five points:</p><p><blockquote>他们从五个方面阐述了自己的观点：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>The outlines of the Senate's budget resolution have emerged. Senate Majority Leader Schumer has announced that Democrats on the Senate Budget Committee have agreed to a top line spending increase of $3.5 trillion. In a separate comment, Sen. Warner, who sits on the committee, told reporters the resolution would be \"fully paid for\", i.e., that it would not increase the deficit.</li>  <li>If the resolution does not provide for an increase in the deficit, the spending increase might be limited to however much new revenue can be agreed to. The resolution only sets the upper limit on the spending increase that Democrats can pass using the reconciliation process; if a smaller set of tax increases is all that can win support, the spending increase might need to be dialed back. This is an area where the details of the resolution matter and at this point the details are still very unclear.</li>  <li>It is very unlikely that congressional Democrats will raise taxes by $3.5 trillion over ten years, we believe. Our expectation has been that congressional Democrats might be able to agree on tax increases worth around $1.5 trillion over ten years. This would include a 25% corporate rate and a 28% long-term capital gains rate, among other changes.</li>  <li>This is an opening bid and likely to change. Centrist Democrats like Sen. Manchin and Sinema are not on the Budget Committee and are not part of this agreement. We would expect further changes to the proposed resolution—including a lower spending total—before they sign on. That process will play out over the next few days. Assuming an agreement this week, the Senate Budget Committee could potentially pass the resolution next week, setting up a Senate vote in late July or early August. That would set the stage for the Senate to begin work on the detailed reconciliation bill, which is unlikely to pass until Q4 and possibly not until very late in the year.</li>  <li>The $579bn bipartisan infrastructure package is not directly related to the emerging budget resolution, but faces similar issues. While a bipartisan group has agreed with the White House to boost spending by $579bn, the policies they propose to pay for the package are unlikely to generate nearly enough in budgetary savings. The most likely outcome, we think, is for the bill's authors to scale back the spending boost.</li> </ol> Now, the Washington Post is reporting more details from the plan, they more or less confirmed what we said below - namely, that while negotiators have signed off on the package, the leadership still needs to make sure all 50 Democratic senators support the plan.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li>参议院预算决议的轮廓已经浮出水面。参议院多数党领袖舒默宣布，参议院预算委员会的民主党人已同意将最高支出增加3.5万亿美元。在另一份评论中，该委员会成员参议员华纳告诉记者，该决议将“全额支付”，即不会增加赤字。</li><li>如果决议没有规定增加赤字，支出的增加可能会被限制在可以同意的新收入的范围内。该决议仅设定了民主党人利用和解程序可以通过的支出增长上限；如果一系列较小的增税措施就能赢得支持，那么支出增长可能需要减少。这是一个决议细节很重要的领域，在这一点上，细节仍然非常不清楚。</li><li>我们认为，国会民主党人不太可能在十年内增税3.5万亿美元。我们的预期是，国会民主党人可能能够就十年内价值约1.5万亿美元的增税达成一致。这将包括25%的公司利率和28%的长期资本收益率等变化。</li><li>这是开标，可能会发生变化。像参议员曼钦和西内马这样的中间派民主党人不在预算委员会，也不是这项协议的一部分。我们预计在他们签署之前会对拟议的决议进行进一步修改，包括降低总支出。这一过程将在未来几天内结束。假设本周达成协议，参议院预算委员会可能会在下周通过该决议，并在7月底或8月初进行参议院投票。这将为参议院开始制定详细的和解法案奠定基础，该法案不太可能在第四季度之前获得通过，也可能要到今年年底。</li><li>5790亿美元的两党基础设施一揽子计划与新出现的预算决议没有直接关系，但面临着类似的问题。尽管一个两党团体已与白宫达成协议，将支出增加5790亿美元，但他们提出的为该计划买单的政策不太可能带来足够的预算节省。我们认为，最有可能的结果是该法案的作者缩减支出增长。</li></ol>现在，《华盛顿邮报》报道了该计划的更多细节，他们或多或少证实了我们下面所说的——即，虽然谈判代表已经签署了该计划，但领导层仍需要确保所有50名民主党参议员都支持该计划。</blockquote></p><p>   Senate Democratic negotiators agreed on the framework Tuesday evening but they still must win the endorsement of all 50 members to pass the measure through their chamber in a process known as budget reconciliation  TheWaPo reportalso included some new details about the Democrats' tax plans, which mostly focus on compliance.</p><p><blockquote>参议院民主党谈判代表周二晚上就该框架达成一致，但他们仍必须赢得所有50名议员的支持，才能在众议院通过该措施，这一过程被称为预算协调。WAPO报告还包括有关民主党税收计划的一些新细节，其中主要集中在合规性上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>To pay for these changes, Congressional Democrats are pursuing a slew of tax hikes on the rich and corporations, as well as major changes to the IRS to close the “tax gap” — the difference between what taxpayers owe and what they pay. Other major new sources of revenue include raising the top marginal tax rate, increasing the corporate tax rate, and changes to the international tax system, among other potential measures, the people said.</li>  <li>The specifics of these programs are expected to be written by Democratic lawmakers on the Senate Finance Committee and House Ways and Means Committee. Lawmakers extensively discussed including new bank reporting requirements, the four people said, which would require major financial institutions to send reams of data to the IRS to help the tax agency identify tax evasion and fraud. But it was unclear if that would be included in the agreement.</li>  <li>Some Congressional Democrats believe stepping up IRS enforcement help collect as much as $1 trillion in uncollected taxes, although many tax experts are skeptical about the extent of savings that would materialize from the plan. The IRS changes were pushed in negotiations by Sen. Mark R. Warner (D-Va.), two of the people said. Warner told reporters on Tuesday the package would be paid for.</li> </ul> There have also been whispers that capital gains tax hikes might also be in play. Perhaps that's why stocks slipped ahead of Powell's testimony.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了支付这些变化，国会民主党人正在寻求对富人和企业进行一系列增税，并对国税局进行重大改革，以缩小“税收差距”——纳税人所欠与所付之间的差异。知情人士称，其他主要的新收入来源包括提高最高边际税率、提高企业税率、改变国际税收体系等潜在措施。</li><li>这些计划的细节预计将由参议院财政委员会和众议院筹款委员会的民主党议员撰写。四位人士表示，立法者广泛讨论了新的银行报告要求，这将要求主要金融机构向国税局发送大量数据，以帮助税务机构识别逃税和欺诈行为。但尚不清楚这是否会包含在协议中。</li><li>一些国会民主党人认为，加强国税局的执法有助于征收多达1万亿美元的未征收税款，尽管许多税务专家对该计划将实现的节省程度持怀疑态度。两位知情人士说，国税局的改革是由弗吉尼亚州民主党参议员马克·R·华纳（Mark R.Warner）在谈判中推动的。华纳周二告诉记者，该计划将得到支付。</li></ul>也有传言称资本利得税上调也可能在起作用。也许这就是鲍威尔作证前股市下跌的原因。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/712a5c0f564109f7a24d9f646c240888\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> <b>Update (1120ET):</b>The Democratic Congressional leadership celebrated their 'victory' in striking an intra-party deal to try and pass a $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" bill last night, but Sen. Joe Manchin made clear on Wednesday morning that while the deal has won the support of the leadership and the Democrats' progressive left flank, it's not exactly a done deal - since Manchin hasn't actually read the thing yet.</p><p><blockquote><b>更新（1120ET）：</b>民主党国会领导层庆祝他们昨晚达成党内协议的“胜利”，试图通过一项3.5万亿美元的“人类基础设施”法案，但参议员乔·曼钦(Joe Manchin)周三上午明确表示，虽然该协议赢得了领导层和民主党进步左翼的支持，但这并不完全是板上钉钉的事情——因为曼钦还没有真正读过这本书。</blockquote></p><p> Speaking to reporters in the Capitol on Wednesday, the West Virginia Sen. and critical swing vote said he's open to the deal, which would be entirely paid for by tax hike offsets.</p><p><blockquote>这位西弗吉尼亚州参议员和关键摇摆投票周三在国会大厦对记者表示，他对该协议持开放态度，该协议将完全通过增税抵消来支付。</blockquote></p><p> Notice, according to the quote below, Manchin merely stated that he's \"open\" to the deal - not exactly a ringing endorsement. It's just the latest example of eager Democratic leaders jumping the gun to try and please their party's new 'leader', President Biden. It's becoming increasingly clear that the leadership hasn't quite finished whipping the votes.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，根据下面的引用，曼钦只是表示他对这笔交易“持开放态度”——并不完全是一个响亮的认可。这只是急切的民主党领导人操之过急，试图取悦他们党的新“领导人”拜登总统的最新例子。越来越明显的是，领导层还没有完全赢得选票。</blockquote></p><p> \"I heard about it this morning or late last night from my staff,” Manchin told reporters on Tuesday. “So, we’re anxious to basically review it. They worked hard on it, we want to see it. Also, I’ve been very clear that I want to see the pay-fors and make sure that whatever we do is globally competitive.\"</p><p><blockquote>曼钦周二告诉记者：“我今天早上或昨晚深夜从我的员工那里听说了这件事。所以，我们急于基本上审查它。他们努力工作，我们希望看到它。此外，我已经非常明确地表示，我希望看到回报，并确保我们所做的一切都具有全球竞争力。”</blockquote></p><p> \"I’m open to looking at everything they provide. OK? They’re going to have to provide all the information that’s going to be needed,” he added. “They worked hard, they should have a proposal.”</p><p><blockquote>“我愿意考虑他们提供的一切。好吗？他们必须提供所有需要的信息，”他补充道。“他们努力工作，他们应该有一个提议。”</blockquote></p><p> But that didn't stop media outlets likethe Hillfrom celebrating Manchin's comment as some kind of commitment, while others pointed out that he has very clearly not yet committed to backing the deal.</p><p><blockquote>但这并没有阻止《国会山报》等媒体将曼钦的评论视为某种承诺，而其他人则指出，他显然尚未承诺支持该交易。</blockquote></p><p> According to Manchin, he hasn't even read it yet.</p><p><blockquote>据曼钦说，他甚至还没有读过。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> Months after the Biden Administration and its Congressional alliesleaked the first details of President Biden's massive two-part \"Build Back Better\" infrastructure plan, Chuck Schumer, the Democrats' leader in the Senate, just announced that Democrats have united behind a $3.5 trillion \"infrastructure\" spending package, which they can now pass using special budget rules allowing them to circumvent the filibuster.</p><p><blockquote>在拜登政府及其国会盟友泄露拜登总统由两部分组成的大规模“重建得更好”基础设施计划的第一个细节几个月后，参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默刚刚宣布，民主党已团结起来支持3.5万亿美元的“基础设施”支出计划，他们现在可以使用特殊预算规则通过该计划，使他们能够绕过阻挠。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3739b1c2464b9ee3412161ca0481a0a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In a late-night announcement Tuesday, Schumer said the Budget Committee had reached an agreement to allot $3.5 trillion for a spending package that would complete President Biden’s infrastructure plan.</p><p><blockquote>舒默在周二深夜的一份声明中表示，预算委员会已达成协议，为一项支出计划拨款3.5万亿美元，以完成拜登总统的基础设施计划。</blockquote></p><p>   \"The Budget Committee has come to an agreement,\" Sen. Schumer told reporters Tuesday night following a closed-door meeting with Democratic lawmakers.  The deal adds to the $600 billion package of infrastructure measures that Biden has struck with Republicans.</p><p><blockquote>“预算委员会已经达成协议，”参议员舒默周二晚上在与民主党议员举行闭门会议后告诉记者。该协议是拜登与共和党达成的6000亿美元一揽子基础设施措施的补充。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   \"You add that to that the $600 billion in a bipartisan plan and you get to $4.1 trillion, which is very, very close to what President Biden has asked us for,\" Schumer said. \"Every major program that President Biden has asked us for is funded in a robust way.\"  The package will include such \"infrastructure\" priorities like expanding Medicare, addressing climate change, expanding childcare (after the administration just approved a new $300 handout for couples with children)&nbsp; and education. The Democrats have famously deemed all this \"human infrastructure\", which Republicans have vowed to reject.</p><p><blockquote>舒默说：“再加上两党计划中的6000亿美元，就会达到4.1万亿美元，这非常非常接近拜登总统向我们提出的要求。”“拜登总统要求我们实施的每一个重大项目都得到了充足的资助。”该计划将包括“基础设施”优先事项，如扩大医疗保险、应对气候变化、扩大儿童保育（在政府刚刚批准为有孩子的夫妇提供300美元的新施舍后）和教育。众所周知，民主党人认为所有这些都是“人类基础设施”，而共和党人发誓要拒绝这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Democrats will meet with Biden Wednesday, the majority leader said following the closed-door meeting.</p><p><blockquote>多数党领袖在闭门会议后表示，民主党人将于周三会见拜登。</blockquote></p><p>   \"We are very proud of this plan. We know we have a long road to go. We're going to get this done for the sake of making average Americans' lives a whole lot better,\" Schumer said  Previously, Schumer has promised to hold votes on both pieces of legislation before the Senate breaks for its August recess, which amounts to a pretty aggressive timeline, especially since some Republicans might rethink their support for the earlier measure now that Democrats are pushing ahead with the bigger multi-trillion-dollar package.</p><p><blockquote>舒默表示：“我们对这项计划感到非常自豪。我们知道我们还有很长的路要走。为了让普通美国人的生活变得更好，我们将完成这项工作。”此前，舒默曾承诺在参议院八月份休会之前就这两项立法进行投票，这相当于一个相当激进的时间表，特别是因为现在民主党正在推进更大的数万亿美元一揽子计划，一些共和党人可能会重新考虑他们对早期措施的支持。</blockquote></p><p> To be clear, the bipartisan deal struck by Biden authorizes a total of $1.2 trillion in spending over eight years. Meanwhile, the budget resolution necessary to pass the Democratic-only bill will require some more maneuvering.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，拜登达成的两党协议授权在八年内总共支出1.2万亿美元。与此同时，通过民主党专用法案所需的预算决议将需要更多的操作。</blockquote></p><p> Senate Democrats want to bring the bipartisan infrastructure&nbsp;bill to the floor as soon as next week, though negotiators have warned that is an ambitious pace. Democrats didn't say on Tuesday night when specifically they would be ready to take the budget resolution to the floor. To pass both the budget resolution and a&nbsp;subsequent&nbsp;$3 to $5-trillion infrastructure bill through the Senate Democrats will need total unity from all 50 of their members. Democrats declined to say on Tuesday night if they had unified support.</p><p><blockquote>参议院民主党人希望最早在下周将两党基础设施法案提交议会，尽管谈判代表警告说这是一个雄心勃勃的步伐。民主党人周二晚上没有透露他们何时准备好将预算决议提交议会。为了在参议院通过预算决议和随后的3至5万亿美元基础设施法案，民主党需要所有50名议员的完全团结。民主党人周二晚上拒绝透露他们是否得到了统一的支持。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/political/democrats-strike-deal-35-trillion-human-infrastructure-package\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/political/democrats-strike-deal-35-trillion-human-infrastructure-package","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188807077","content_text":"Update (1530ET): Earlier, WaPo reported that some of the proposed taxes to offset the Biden Administration's $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" plan, might have a climate component. Hours, later CNBC, Bloomberg and others are reporting that the plan might include a carbon border tax, essentially a tariff that would apply to \"carbon-intensive\" imports. The plan would punish countries with weaker climate policies.\n* * *\nUpdate (1310ET):As it turns out, Manchin isn't the only moderate Dem who is still undecided on the $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" package that Dems are trying to pass using budget rules to push it through on a party-line vote.\nStill, to accomplish this, they need all 50 Dems in the Senate on board. Earlier, we reported that Sen. Joe Manchin hadn't yet given his final sign-off. And apparently, he's not alone: Bloomberg just reported that Jon Tester of Montana, another Moderate Dem, is not yet on board with the bill.\n* * *\nUpdate (1140ET):Following comments from a team of Goldman analysts who warned in a note to clients published this morning that the Democrats' new spending plan (and the tax hikes they say will accompany it) is a \"downside risk to our fiscal assumptions\". Since centrist Democrats likely won't accept more than $1.5 trillion in additional taxes, \"this would likely amount to less than the $3 trillion in additional spending we have been assuming.\"\nThey expanded on their view in five points:\n\nThe outlines of the Senate's budget resolution have emerged. Senate Majority Leader Schumer has announced that Democrats on the Senate Budget Committee have agreed to a top line spending increase of $3.5 trillion. In a separate comment, Sen. Warner, who sits on the committee, told reporters the resolution would be \"fully paid for\", i.e., that it would not increase the deficit.\nIf the resolution does not provide for an increase in the deficit, the spending increase might be limited to however much new revenue can be agreed to. The resolution only sets the upper limit on the spending increase that Democrats can pass using the reconciliation process; if a smaller set of tax increases is all that can win support, the spending increase might need to be dialed back. This is an area where the details of the resolution matter and at this point the details are still very unclear.\nIt is very unlikely that congressional Democrats will raise taxes by $3.5 trillion over ten years, we believe. Our expectation has been that congressional Democrats might be able to agree on tax increases worth around $1.5 trillion over ten years. This would include a 25% corporate rate and a 28% long-term capital gains rate, among other changes.\nThis is an opening bid and likely to change. Centrist Democrats like Sen. Manchin and Sinema are not on the Budget Committee and are not part of this agreement. We would expect further changes to the proposed resolution—including a lower spending total—before they sign on. That process will play out over the next few days. Assuming an agreement this week, the Senate Budget Committee could potentially pass the resolution next week, setting up a Senate vote in late July or early August. That would set the stage for the Senate to begin work on the detailed reconciliation bill, which is unlikely to pass until Q4 and possibly not until very late in the year.\nThe $579bn bipartisan infrastructure package is not directly related to the emerging budget resolution, but faces similar issues. While a bipartisan group has agreed with the White House to boost spending by $579bn, the policies they propose to pay for the package are unlikely to generate nearly enough in budgetary savings. The most likely outcome, we think, is for the bill's authors to scale back the spending boost.\n\nNow, the Washington Post is reporting more details from the plan, they more or less confirmed what we said below - namely, that while negotiators have signed off on the package, the leadership still needs to make sure all 50 Democratic senators support the plan.\n\n Senate Democratic negotiators agreed on the framework Tuesday evening but they still must win the endorsement of all 50 members to pass the measure through their chamber in a process known as budget reconciliation\n\nTheWaPo reportalso included some new details about the Democrats' tax plans, which mostly focus on compliance.\n\nTo pay for these changes, Congressional Democrats are pursuing a slew of tax hikes on the rich and corporations, as well as major changes to the IRS to close the “tax gap” — the difference between what taxpayers owe and what they pay. Other major new sources of revenue include raising the top marginal tax rate, increasing the corporate tax rate, and changes to the international tax system, among other potential measures, the people said.\nThe specifics of these programs are expected to be written by Democratic lawmakers on the Senate Finance Committee and House Ways and Means Committee. Lawmakers extensively discussed including new bank reporting requirements, the four people said, which would require major financial institutions to send reams of data to the IRS to help the tax agency identify tax evasion and fraud. But it was unclear if that would be included in the agreement.\nSome Congressional Democrats believe stepping up IRS enforcement help collect as much as $1 trillion in uncollected taxes, although many tax experts are skeptical about the extent of savings that would materialize from the plan. The IRS changes were pushed in negotiations by Sen. Mark R. Warner (D-Va.), two of the people said. Warner told reporters on Tuesday the package would be paid for.\n\nThere have also been whispers that capital gains tax hikes might also be in play. Perhaps that's why stocks slipped ahead of Powell's testimony.\n\n* * *\nUpdate (1120ET):The Democratic Congressional leadership celebrated their 'victory' in striking an intra-party deal to try and pass a $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" bill last night, but Sen. Joe Manchin made clear on Wednesday morning that while the deal has won the support of the leadership and the Democrats' progressive left flank, it's not exactly a done deal - since Manchin hasn't actually read the thing yet.\nSpeaking to reporters in the Capitol on Wednesday, the West Virginia Sen. and critical swing vote said he's open to the deal, which would be entirely paid for by tax hike offsets.\nNotice, according to the quote below, Manchin merely stated that he's \"open\" to the deal - not exactly a ringing endorsement. It's just the latest example of eager Democratic leaders jumping the gun to try and please their party's new 'leader', President Biden. It's becoming increasingly clear that the leadership hasn't quite finished whipping the votes.\n\"I heard about it this morning or late last night from my staff,” Manchin told reporters on Tuesday. “So, we’re anxious to basically review it. They worked hard on it, we want to see it. Also, I’ve been very clear that I want to see the pay-fors and make sure that whatever we do is globally competitive.\"\n\"I’m open to looking at everything they provide. OK? They’re going to have to provide all the information that’s going to be needed,” he added. “They worked hard, they should have a proposal.”\nBut that didn't stop media outlets likethe Hillfrom celebrating Manchin's comment as some kind of commitment, while others pointed out that he has very clearly not yet committed to backing the deal.\nAccording to Manchin, he hasn't even read it yet.\n* * *\nMonths after the Biden Administration and its Congressional alliesleaked the first details of President Biden's massive two-part \"Build Back Better\" infrastructure plan, Chuck Schumer, the Democrats' leader in the Senate, just announced that Democrats have united behind a $3.5 trillion \"infrastructure\" spending package, which they can now pass using special budget rules allowing them to circumvent the filibuster.\nIn a late-night announcement Tuesday, Schumer said the Budget Committee had reached an agreement to allot $3.5 trillion for a spending package that would complete President Biden’s infrastructure plan.\n\n \"The Budget Committee has come to an agreement,\" Sen. Schumer told reporters Tuesday night following a closed-door meeting with Democratic lawmakers.\n\nThe deal adds to the $600 billion package of infrastructure measures that Biden has struck with Republicans.\n\n \"You add that to that the $600 billion in a bipartisan plan and you get to $4.1 trillion, which is very, very close to what President Biden has asked us for,\" Schumer said. \"Every major program that President Biden has asked us for is funded in a robust way.\"\n\nThe package will include such \"infrastructure\" priorities like expanding Medicare, addressing climate change, expanding childcare (after the administration just approved a new $300 handout for couples with children)  and education. The Democrats have famously deemed all this \"human infrastructure\", which Republicans have vowed to reject.\nDemocrats will meet with Biden Wednesday, the majority leader said following the closed-door meeting.\n\n \"We are very proud of this plan. We know we have a long road to go. We're going to get this done for the sake of making average Americans' lives a whole lot better,\" Schumer said\n\nPreviously, Schumer has promised to hold votes on both pieces of legislation before the Senate breaks for its August recess, which amounts to a pretty aggressive timeline, especially since some Republicans might rethink their support for the earlier measure now that Democrats are pushing ahead with the bigger multi-trillion-dollar package.\nTo be clear, the bipartisan deal struck by Biden authorizes a total of $1.2 trillion in spending over eight years. Meanwhile, the budget resolution necessary to pass the Democratic-only bill will require some more maneuvering.\nSenate Democrats want to bring the bipartisan infrastructure bill to the floor as soon as next week, though negotiators have warned that is an ambitious pace. Democrats didn't say on Tuesday night when specifically they would be ready to take the budget resolution to the floor. To pass both the budget resolution and a subsequent $3 to $5-trillion infrastructure bill through the Senate Democrats will need total unity from all 50 of their members. Democrats declined to say on Tuesday night if they had unified support.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}