Pengwoo的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Pengwoo

Pengwoo

PaperHands Deserve to be Burnt

IP属地：未知

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0勋章

2021-07-22

Up down up down. Market ain’t aboutcharts and stats anymore. It’s about gambling games and mood [NosePick]

Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote>

2021-06-14

DADDY ELON MADE ME PROUD

Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading<blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote>

2021-07-06

Nvidia TO the MOOOONNNN

Nvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost<blockquote>英伟达因分析师再次上调目标价而上涨</blockquote>

2021-07-01

LOL wtf? Tiger you kidding me? USD$1.88 can’t even pay for one damn trade commission. Give me USD $2 note I still can wipe my backside for your BS anniversary reward [Anger]

2021-06-12

GME APES I HAVE FAITH IN YOU [Miser] GME WILL BE A LEGIT STOCK WORTH MORE THAN THIS PEANUTS

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-06

Don’t scare papa lehhhh

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-26

Where are you my dear Apes. I reckon you’ve all be asleep for a Long Time. Let the Meme Surge beginssssss

Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading<blockquote>一些模因股票在周一早盘交易中飙升</blockquote>

2021-07-10

Think logical my dear Apes. How is a meme stock going to keep dipping. HOLD THE LINE AND THE FRUITS OF LABOUR WILL COME SOON. ITS GONNA SPIKE, MANUPILATORS ARE IN THE GAME

Meme Stocks Like GameStop and AMC Reflect Market Reality<blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC等模因股票反映了市场现实</blockquote>

2021-06-07

Huh what lorrrrr

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-28

$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$Boy oh boy that’s some juicy stonkssssss

2021-07-11

Finally some juicy bullish news. Instead of the typical trash writers spreading FUD. Buy Low at this bearish season. Becoz the Bulls are coming [Miser]

The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>

2021-06-09

Sit quietly ? Papa still waiting to buy at $290 laaaaaa

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-01

$90 Apple, you think pasar malam ah

Apple Stock To Sink 30%? Inside The Mind Of A Bear<blockquote>苹果股价将下跌30%？在熊的脑海里</blockquote>

2021-05-18

Where gt fun like that, dip moreeeeeeee

Tesla shares turn red to green<blockquote>特斯拉股价由红转绿</blockquote>

2021-07-31

Squeeze what siol

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-13

For what? Drink Kopi ah?

Jeff Bezos is going to space for 11 minutes. Here's how risky that is<blockquote>杰夫·贝索斯将进入太空11分钟。这是多么危险</blockquote>

2021-06-02

Yummy just yummy 😋 Nvidia better be going $750 before the split

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-28

Amazing just amazing

5 Ultra-Popular Growth Stocks With 28% to 56% Upside, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称5只超受欢迎的成长型股票，上涨空间为28%至56%</blockquote>

2021-07-26

What’s there to be ready? Crash so what? JUST LOAD UP THOSE DARN STONKS ONLY AH [Miser]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-17

Market crash boooohoooooooo, I’m shooooooo scaredddddd

抱歉，原内容已删除

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I reckon you’ve all be asleep for a Long Time. Let the Meme Surge beginssssss","listText":"Where are you my dear Apes. I reckon you’ve all be asleep for a Long Time. Let the Meme Surge beginssssss","text":"Where are you my dear Apes. I reckon you’ve all be asleep for a Long Time. Let the Meme Surge beginssssss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800482810","repostId":"1107003799","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107003799","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627310426,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107003799?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 22:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading<blockquote>一些模因股票在周一早盘交易中飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107003799","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Express and AMC Entertainment surged 8%,GameStop r","content":"<p>Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Express&nbsp;and&nbsp;AMC Entertainment&nbsp;surged&nbsp;8%,GameStop&nbsp;rose&nbsp;1%.</p><p><blockquote>周一早盘，部分meme股大涨。Express和AMC院线大涨8%，游戏驿站涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f0ee077954bbfaa81c6e9b8ee0c2159\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"474\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8afd478d8a8529af8275e1431025abb6\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"296\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading<blockquote>一些模因股票在周一早盘交易中飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading<blockquote>一些模因股票在周一早盘交易中飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-26 22:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Express&nbsp;and&nbsp;AMC Entertainment&nbsp;surged&nbsp;8%,GameStop&nbsp;rose&nbsp;1%.</p><p><blockquote>周一早盘，部分meme股大涨。Express和AMC院线大涨8%，游戏驿站涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f0ee077954bbfaa81c6e9b8ee0c2159\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"474\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8afd478d8a8529af8275e1431025abb6\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"296\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","EXPR":"Express, Inc.","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","GME":"游戏驿站","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107003799","content_text":"Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Express and AMC Entertainment surged 8%,GameStop rose 1%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"EXPR":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CARV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2076,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174959368,"gmtCreate":1627061024254,"gmtModify":1633768326166,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Forever market crash coming. These article srsly&nbsp;needs some fresh headline ideas. Crash lan ah crash","listText":"Forever market crash coming. These article srsly&nbsp;needs some fresh headline ideas. Crash lan ah crash","text":"Forever market crash coming. These article srsly needs some fresh headline ideas. Crash lan ah crash","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174959368","repostId":"2153983997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1922,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176226255,"gmtCreate":1626893136277,"gmtModify":1633770045452,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up down up down. Market ain’t aboutcharts and stats anymore. It’s about gambling games and mood [NosePick]&nbsp;","listText":"Up down up down. Market ain’t aboutcharts and stats anymore. It’s about gambling games and mood [NosePick]&nbsp;","text":"Up down up down. Market ain’t aboutcharts and stats anymore. It’s about gambling games and mood [NosePick]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176226255","repostId":"1144363960","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144363960","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626877711,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144363960?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144363960","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was t","content":"<p>At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;<b>and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.</b></p><p><blockquote>6月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当VIX触及2021年新低时，我们警告称，skew指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权已经异常昂贵相对于平值期权，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的VIX指数。正如我们进一步补充的那样，将看跌期权价格与平值期权价格进行比较的high skew已达到历史新高，<b>并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,<b>\"</b><b><u>they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash</u></b><b>.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明，虽然一方面交易者似乎自满，但他们从未如此紧张，即使市场的适度波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，<b>\"</b><b><u>他们也从未像现在这样免受全面市场崩盘的影响</u></b><b>.\"</b></blockquote></p><p> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.</p><p><blockquote>快进到上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管短暂）的气穴（而不是全面崩盘），股市出现了几个月来的最大跌幅...只是在那之后飞翔。回想起来，交易者对此要感谢创纪录的高偏差，因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并持续到今天，但交易者已经完全对冲并准备好突袭。</blockquote></p><p> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...</p><p><blockquote>因此，继一个月前他首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时的观察之后，高盛的衍生品策略师洛奇·菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含波动性和已实现波动性，VIX在周一（7月19日）白天短暂触及25...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,<b>in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.</b></p><p><blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高：三周SPX实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使VIX回到20以下。更重要的是，<b>为了应对创纪录的下行偏斜，正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，偏斜现在已经走得更高——至少对标普500来说是这样。</b></blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"</p><p><blockquote>Fishman的更多观察：“尽管周二SPX的大幅波动和隐含波动率的下降降低了波动率风险溢价，但VIX相对于最近实现的波动率仍然很高。”</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,<b>which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in</b>.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自11月以来，SPX的一个月实现波动率从未达到当前VIX水平（19.7）的水平，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，<b>这也意味着交易者正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，考虑到最近快速抛售之后迅速出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续上升的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续高位倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>   SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers  <b>as much as demand for hedging.</b>The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,  <b>proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....</b>on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.  Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plunge<i><b>too</b></i>fast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.</p><p><blockquote>SPX指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由缺乏下行卖家推动的<b>以及对冲的需求。</b>VIX对周一抛售的强烈反应，VIX盘中一度上涨超过6点，<b>证明了高偏差是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上....</b>如果出现更持续的抛售，则很难维持skew所指示的隐含波动率水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌<i><b>也</b></i>快速），使得SPX潜在回报存在近期不对称的可能性，这与期权市场的含义相反。</blockquote></p><p> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.</p><p><blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高位偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转，以此作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售9月17日3800执行权（12.1%OTM）的看跌期权，以零净溢价为2倍4550执行权（5.2%OTM）的评级提供资金。如果SPX指数在到期时收盘价低于下行价格，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBehind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 22:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;<b>and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.</b></p><p><blockquote>6月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当VIX触及2021年新低时，我们警告称，skew指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权已经异常昂贵相对于平值期权，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的VIX指数。正如我们进一步补充的那样，将看跌期权价格与平值期权价格进行比较的high skew已达到历史新高，<b>并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,<b>\"</b><b><u>they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash</u></b><b>.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明，虽然一方面交易者似乎自满，但他们从未如此紧张，即使市场的适度波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，<b>\"</b><b><u>他们也从未像现在这样免受全面市场崩盘的影响</u></b><b>.\"</b></blockquote></p><p> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.</p><p><blockquote>快进到上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管短暂）的气穴（而不是全面崩盘），股市出现了几个月来的最大跌幅...只是在那之后飞翔。回想起来，交易者对此要感谢创纪录的高偏差，因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并持续到今天，但交易者已经完全对冲并准备好突袭。</blockquote></p><p> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...</p><p><blockquote>因此，继一个月前他首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时的观察之后，高盛的衍生品策略师洛奇·菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含波动性和已实现波动性，VIX在周一（7月19日）白天短暂触及25...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,<b>in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.</b></p><p><blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高：三周SPX实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使VIX回到20以下。更重要的是，<b>为了应对创纪录的下行偏斜，正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，偏斜现在已经走得更高——至少对标普500来说是这样。</b></blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"</p><p><blockquote>Fishman的更多观察：“尽管周二SPX的大幅波动和隐含波动率的下降降低了波动率风险溢价，但VIX相对于最近实现的波动率仍然很高。”</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,<b>which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in</b>.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自11月以来，SPX的一个月实现波动率从未达到当前VIX水平（19.7）的水平，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，<b>这也意味着交易者正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，考虑到最近快速抛售之后迅速出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续上升的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续高位倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>   SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers  <b>as much as demand for hedging.</b>The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,  <b>proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....</b>on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.  Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plunge<i><b>too</b></i>fast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.</p><p><blockquote>SPX指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由缺乏下行卖家推动的<b>以及对冲的需求。</b>VIX对周一抛售的强烈反应，VIX盘中一度上涨超过6点，<b>证明了高偏差是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上....</b>如果出现更持续的抛售，则很难维持skew所指示的隐含波动率水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌<i><b>也</b></i>快速），使得SPX潜在回报存在近期不对称的可能性，这与期权市场的含义相反。</blockquote></p><p> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.</p><p><blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高位偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转，以此作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售9月17日3800执行权（12.1%OTM）的看跌期权，以零净溢价为2倍4550执行权（5.2%OTM）的评级提供资金。如果SPX指数在到期时收盘价低于下行价格，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144363960","content_text":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high, and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.\nCommenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,\"they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash.\"\nSo fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.\nSo following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...\n... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&P 500.\nSome more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"\nFurthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in.\n\nThat said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.\n\n SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers\n as much as demand for hedging.The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,\n proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.\n\nMeanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plungetoofast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.\nSo how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179869558,"gmtCreate":1626503772174,"gmtModify":1633926163759,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Market crash boooohoooooooo, I’m shooooooo scaredddddd","listText":"Market crash boooohoooooooo, I’m shooooooo scaredddddd","text":"Market crash boooohoooooooo, I’m shooooooo scaredddddd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179869558","repostId":"2151350423","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148508672,"gmtCreate":1625984013596,"gmtModify":1633931090961,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally some juicy bullish news. Instead of the typical trash writers spreading FUD. Buy Low at this bearish season. Becoz the Bulls are coming [Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"Finally some juicy bullish news. Instead of the typical trash writers spreading FUD. Buy Low at this bearish season. Becoz the Bulls are coming [Miser]&nbsp;","text":"Finally some juicy bullish news. Instead of the typical trash writers spreading FUD. Buy Low at this bearish season. Becoz the Bulls are coming [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148508672","repostId":"1185154176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185154176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625886925,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185154176?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185154176","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support. When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit n","content":"<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展，盈利上升，美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社，盖蒂图片社摄）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%，确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因，我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之，被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%，并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子，你就必须用东西填满它。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未用完的储蓄，因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%，而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量，因为就业和经济保持强劲，他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高，这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间，在我们达到可以限制经济增长的充分就业之前，留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在，企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能，并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长，它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>：我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长，明年将达到4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平的增长，支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快，分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效，最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计，2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元，而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示：“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题，但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中，央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在，美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值，当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平，从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况，一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”，因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段，通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理，主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中，这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升，而股市则标志着时间的到来，甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元，并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点，那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍，低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(+1.30%)和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者，我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说从4点开始。另一方面，共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业，并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益，请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票，而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks（链接在下面的简介中）中，我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展，盈利上升，美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社，盖蒂图片社摄）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%，确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因，我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之，被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%，并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子，你就必须用东西填满它。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未用完的储蓄，因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%，而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量，因为就业和经济保持强劲，他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高，这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间，在我们达到可以限制经济增长的充分就业之前，留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在，企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能，并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长，它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>：我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长，明年将达到4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平的增长，支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快，分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效，最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计，2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元，而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示：“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题，但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中，央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在，美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值，当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平，从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况，一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”，因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段，通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理，主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中，这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升，而股市则标志着时间的到来，甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元，并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点，那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍，低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(+1.30%)和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者，我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说从4点开始。另一方面，共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业，并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益，请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票，而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks（链接在下面的简介中）中，我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185154176","content_text":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.\nIt’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.\nHere’s why.\nWe are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.\n1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand\nEveryone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.\nFirst, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.\nBehind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.\nRelatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.\nNext, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.\nNow let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.\nYou know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.\nCompanies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.\nThe bottom line: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.\n2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead\nThe economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.\nPaulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.\n“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”\nPlus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.\n3. There’s a new Fed in town\nFor much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).\nHere’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.\n4. Inflation won’t kill the bull\nInflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.\n5. Valuations will improve\nWe’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.\nThis will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.\nTrue to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.\n6. Sentiment isn’t extreme\nAs a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.\nThree themes to follow\nIf we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.\nFavor cyclicals.Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.\nAvoid defensives.If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.\nFavor emerging markets.Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":719,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141852028,"gmtCreate":1625849638764,"gmtModify":1633936699719,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Think logical my dear Apes. How is a meme stock going to keep dipping. HOLD THE LINE AND THE FRUITS OF LABOUR WILL COME SOON. ITS GONNA SPIKE, MANUPILATORS ARE IN THE GAME","listText":"Think logical my dear Apes. How is a meme stock going to keep dipping. HOLD THE LINE AND THE FRUITS OF LABOUR WILL COME SOON. ITS GONNA SPIKE, MANUPILATORS ARE IN THE GAME","text":"Think logical my dear Apes. How is a meme stock going to keep dipping. HOLD THE LINE AND THE FRUITS OF LABOUR WILL COME SOON. ITS GONNA SPIKE, MANUPILATORS ARE IN THE GAME","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141852028","repostId":"1173374462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173374462","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625840008,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173374462?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Meme Stocks Like GameStop and AMC Reflect Market Reality<blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC等模因股票反映了市场现实</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173374462","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Gamestop (GME) made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment","content":"<p>Gamestop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>)&nbsp;made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>)&nbsp;did the exact same thing. These two stocks represent, if not failing businesses, at least ailing ones; companies that struggled to keep up with the new economy even before the pandemic shut down large swaths of it. Yet over the past few months they have posted some of the most volatile gains and losses on the market.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(<b>GME</b>）让一些投资者变得富有……然后又破产了更多。投资AMC院线（<b>AMC</b>）做了完全相同的事情。这两只股票即使不是失败的企业，也至少代表了陷入困境的企业；甚至在大流行之前就努力跟上新经济的公司就关闭了大部分新经济。然而，在过去的几个月里，他们公布了市场上一些最不稳定的收益和损失。</blockquote></p><p> How?</p><p><blockquote>如何？</blockquote></p><p> It’s down to what Real Money's Timothy Collins calls the market of “meme stock hyperbole.” But, he writes, is it really all that different from how trading has always worked?</p><p><blockquote>这取决于Real Money的Timothy Collins评级市场的“模因股票夸张”。但是，他写道，这真的与交易一直以来的运作方式有那么大的不同吗？</blockquote></p><p> Have you ever really thought about the phrases 'to the moon' or 'conviction buy,' and how they mess with out perception of fair value?</p><p><blockquote>您是否真正想过“登月”或“信念购买”这两个短语，以及它们如何扰乱我们对公允价值的看法？</blockquote></p><p> \"Initially, I rolled my eyes at the continued use of the phrase 'To The Moon,'\" Collins says. \"It's not like 'Strong Buy with a price target of $65', for instance. 'To the moon' is completely arbitrary and open to interpretation, but then again so are most things about valuation, when you think about it,\" Collins wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“最初，我对继续使用‘去月球’这个词翻了个白眼，”柯林斯说。“例如，这不像‘强力买入，目标价为65美元’。‘登月’完全是任意的，可以进行解释，但话又说回来，当你仔细想想时，大多数关于估值的事情也是如此，”柯林斯写道。</blockquote></p><p> \"For instance, when an analyst pounds the table on a stock, how is that different from 'to the moon?' Or when someone says, 'all in.' Are they really all in? Did they cash in all their assets, pool the liquidity, and buy every share they possibly could? Probably not. Actually, I'd say definitely not 99.9999% of the time. Of course, there's always that one person,\" Collins said.</p><p><blockquote>“例如，当分析师在一只股票上敲打桌子时，这与‘飞向月球’有什么不同？或者当有人说‘全押’时。他们真的全押了吗？他们是否兑现了所有资产，汇集了流动性，并尽可能地购买了每一股？可能不会。事实上，我会说绝对不是99.9999%的情况。当然，总有那么一个人，”柯林斯说。</blockquote></p><p> \"But the point isWall Street has been arbitraryfor years. We can't even have a standard rating system. Is it 'Neutral' or 'Hold?' And really, do I want to hold something that is only in the middle of your range? No.\"</p><p><blockquote>“但关键是，华尔街多年来一直是武断的。我们甚至不能有一个标准的评级系统。它是‘中性’还是‘持有’？说真的，我想持有只在你的范围中间的东西吗？不。”</blockquote></p><p> Collins writes, \"The system should be 'buy' or 'sell.' That's it. Black or white. Own or don't own.\"</p><p><blockquote>柯林斯写道，“系统应该是‘买入’或‘卖出’。就是这样。黑或白。拥有或不拥有。”</blockquote></p><p> Assets like GameStop and even cryptocurrency seem to be selling on nothing more than pure emotion. Investors are taking these products for a joy ride, and that tends to send prices flying up and down the ladder.</p><p><blockquote>像游戏驿站甚至加密货币这样的资产似乎只不过是纯粹的情绪在出售。投资者正在享受这些产品，这往往会导致价格飞涨。</blockquote></p><p> That’s confusing, to be sure. Just, before you go throwing your hands in the air, it’s important to remember that the stock market has always been at least a little bit arbitrary.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这很令人困惑。只是，在你举手之前，重要的是要记住股票市场总是至少有一点武断。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meme Stocks Like GameStop and AMC Reflect Market Reality<blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC等模因股票反映了市场现实</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeme Stocks Like GameStop and AMC Reflect Market Reality<blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC等模因股票反映了市场现实</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-09 22:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Gamestop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>)&nbsp;made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>)&nbsp;did the exact same thing. These two stocks represent, if not failing businesses, at least ailing ones; companies that struggled to keep up with the new economy even before the pandemic shut down large swaths of it. Yet over the past few months they have posted some of the most volatile gains and losses on the market.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(<b>GME</b>）让一些投资者变得富有……然后又破产了更多。投资AMC院线（<b>AMC</b>）做了完全相同的事情。这两只股票即使不是失败的企业，也至少代表了陷入困境的企业；甚至在大流行之前就努力跟上新经济的公司就关闭了大部分新经济。然而，在过去的几个月里，他们公布了市场上一些最不稳定的收益和损失。</blockquote></p><p> How?</p><p><blockquote>如何？</blockquote></p><p> It’s down to what Real Money's Timothy Collins calls the market of “meme stock hyperbole.” But, he writes, is it really all that different from how trading has always worked?</p><p><blockquote>这取决于Real Money的Timothy Collins评级市场的“模因股票夸张”。但是，他写道，这真的与交易一直以来的运作方式有那么大的不同吗？</blockquote></p><p> Have you ever really thought about the phrases 'to the moon' or 'conviction buy,' and how they mess with out perception of fair value?</p><p><blockquote>您是否真正想过“登月”或“信念购买”这两个短语，以及它们如何扰乱我们对公允价值的看法？</blockquote></p><p> \"Initially, I rolled my eyes at the continued use of the phrase 'To The Moon,'\" Collins says. \"It's not like 'Strong Buy with a price target of $65', for instance. 'To the moon' is completely arbitrary and open to interpretation, but then again so are most things about valuation, when you think about it,\" Collins wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“最初，我对继续使用‘去月球’这个词翻了个白眼，”柯林斯说。“例如，这不像‘强力买入，目标价为65美元’。‘登月’完全是任意的，可以进行解释，但话又说回来，当你仔细想想时，大多数关于估值的事情也是如此，”柯林斯写道。</blockquote></p><p> \"For instance, when an analyst pounds the table on a stock, how is that different from 'to the moon?' Or when someone says, 'all in.' Are they really all in? Did they cash in all their assets, pool the liquidity, and buy every share they possibly could? Probably not. Actually, I'd say definitely not 99.9999% of the time. Of course, there's always that one person,\" Collins said.</p><p><blockquote>“例如，当分析师在一只股票上敲打桌子时，这与‘飞向月球’有什么不同？或者当有人说‘全押’时。他们真的全押了吗？他们是否兑现了所有资产，汇集了流动性，并尽可能地购买了每一股？可能不会。事实上，我会说绝对不是99.9999%的情况。当然，总有那么一个人，”柯林斯说。</blockquote></p><p> \"But the point isWall Street has been arbitraryfor years. We can't even have a standard rating system. Is it 'Neutral' or 'Hold?' And really, do I want to hold something that is only in the middle of your range? No.\"</p><p><blockquote>“但关键是，华尔街多年来一直是武断的。我们甚至不能有一个标准的评级系统。它是‘中性’还是‘持有’？说真的，我想持有只在你的范围中间的东西吗？不。”</blockquote></p><p> Collins writes, \"The system should be 'buy' or 'sell.' That's it. Black or white. Own or don't own.\"</p><p><blockquote>柯林斯写道，“系统应该是‘买入’或‘卖出’。就是这样。黑或白。拥有或不拥有。”</blockquote></p><p> Assets like GameStop and even cryptocurrency seem to be selling on nothing more than pure emotion. Investors are taking these products for a joy ride, and that tends to send prices flying up and down the ladder.</p><p><blockquote>像游戏驿站甚至加密货币这样的资产似乎只不过是纯粹的情绪在出售。投资者正在享受这些产品，这往往会导致价格飞涨。</blockquote></p><p> That’s confusing, to be sure. Just, before you go throwing your hands in the air, it’s important to remember that the stock market has always been at least a little bit arbitrary.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这很令人困惑。只是，在你举手之前，重要的是要记住股票市场总是至少有一点武断。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/meme-stocks-like-gamestop-amc-reflect-market-reality\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/meme-stocks-like-gamestop-amc-reflect-market-reality","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173374462","content_text":"Gamestop (GME) made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment (AMC) did the exact same thing. These two stocks represent, if not failing businesses, at least ailing ones; companies that struggled to keep up with the new economy even before the pandemic shut down large swaths of it. Yet over the past few months they have posted some of the most volatile gains and losses on the market.\nHow?\nIt’s down to what Real Money's Timothy Collins calls the market of “meme stock hyperbole.” But, he writes, is it really all that different from how trading has always worked?\nHave you ever really thought about the phrases 'to the moon' or 'conviction buy,' and how they mess with out perception of fair value?\n\"Initially, I rolled my eyes at the continued use of the phrase 'To The Moon,'\" Collins says. \"It's not like 'Strong Buy with a price target of $65', for instance. 'To the moon' is completely arbitrary and open to interpretation, but then again so are most things about valuation, when you think about it,\" Collins wrote.\n\"For instance, when an analyst pounds the table on a stock, how is that different from 'to the moon?' Or when someone says, 'all in.' Are they really all in? Did they cash in all their assets, pool the liquidity, and buy every share they possibly could? Probably not. Actually, I'd say definitely not 99.9999% of the time. Of course, there's always that one person,\" Collins said.\n\"But the point isWall Street has been arbitraryfor years. We can't even have a standard rating system. Is it 'Neutral' or 'Hold?' And really, do I want to hold something that is only in the middle of your range? No.\"\nCollins writes, \"The system should be 'buy' or 'sell.' That's it. Black or white. Own or don't own.\"\nAssets like GameStop and even cryptocurrency seem to be selling on nothing more than pure emotion. Investors are taking these products for a joy ride, and that tends to send prices flying up and down the ladder.\nThat’s confusing, to be sure. Just, before you go throwing your hands in the air, it’s important to remember that the stock market has always been at least a little bit arbitrary.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149454856,"gmtCreate":1625745458175,"gmtModify":1633937806676,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fade ge lan la. FUD paper hands ain’tgoing anywhere&nbsp;","listText":"Fade ge lan la. FUD paper hands ain’tgoing anywhere&nbsp;","text":"Fade ge lan la. FUD paper hands ain’tgoing anywhere","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149454856","repostId":"1139964769","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157246274,"gmtCreate":1625585270198,"gmtModify":1631888350265,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"CMON GME APES YOU CAN DO IT. LETS PUSH IT $300!!!","listText":"CMON GME APES YOU CAN DO IT. LETS PUSH IT $300!!!","text":"CMON GME APES YOU CAN DO IT. LETS PUSH IT $300!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157246274","repostId":"1197405031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157241547,"gmtCreate":1625585205389,"gmtModify":1633939322644,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nvidia TO the MOOOONNNN","listText":"Nvidia TO the MOOOONNNN","text":"Nvidia TO the MOOOONNNN","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157241547","repostId":"1189769697","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189769697","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625579734,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189769697?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-06 21:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost<blockquote>英伟达因分析师再次上调目标价而上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189769697","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Nvidia  shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.Keybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a W","content":"<p>Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>)&nbsp;shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达(<b>NVDA</b>）周二，另一位华尔街分析师将目标价上调至近1,000美元，原因是预计对用于游戏和挖掘加密货币的视频显卡和相关半导体的需求将持续强劲，股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Keybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a Wall Street high of $1,000 from $975 and affirmed an outperform rating.</p><p><blockquote>Keybanc分析师John Vinh将Nvidia的一年目标价从775美元上调至950美元，紧随BMO资本市场分析师Ambrish Srivastava的脚步，后者上周四将芯片titanto的目标价从华尔街高点1,000美元上调至975美元，并确认跑赢大盘评级。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter results,which came in better than expected&nbsp;amid strength in so-called hyperscale data center demand, which includes demand for its graphics cards and chips using for both gaming and crypto mining.</p><p><blockquote>自英伟达公布第一季度业绩以来，分析师对该公司赞不绝口，由于所谓的超大规模数据中心需求强劲，该公司的业绩好于预期，其中包括对用于游戏和加密货币挖矿的显卡和芯片的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Even before then, analysts were&nbsp;touting Nvidia’s performance&nbsp;amid strong demand for its gaming graphics cards, which surged through the pandemic and stay-at-home orders that boosted demand for at-home entertainment like video games, compounded by the ongoing chip shortage that has boosted demand - and prices -for the chips and the cards themselves.</p><p><blockquote>甚至在此之前，分析师就在对英伟达游戏显卡的强劲需求中吹捧英伟达的业绩，该显卡在大流行期间激增，而居家订单提振了对视频游戏等家庭娱乐的需求，而持续的芯片短缺又加剧了这种情况。增加了芯片和卡本身的需求和价格。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, surging prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies this year also have fueled demand. Crypto miners use graphics processing units, or GPUs, to mine currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Nvidia’slatest RTX 30 series, launched last year, has proven particularly popular with miners.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，今年比特币、以太币和其他加密货币的价格飙升也刺激了需求。加密货币矿工使用图形处理单元（GPU）来挖掘比特币和以太币等货币。事实证明，英伟达去年推出的最新RTX 30系列特别受矿工欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet's&nbsp;Jim Cramerin his&nbsp;Real Money&nbsp;column on Tuesdaynoted another reason to be bullish on Nvidia: a potential acquisition that will beef up its business even more.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramerer)在周二的《真钱》专栏中指出了看好英伟达的另一个原因：一项潜在的收购将进一步增强其业务。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Jim pointed to the increasing likelihood that regulators will allow the company to buy Arm Holdings, a British company that excels in cellphones and personal computers, which will add to its already strong sales pipeline that has been driven by far more than just demand from Ethereum miners.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，吉姆指出，监管机构允许该公司收购Arm Holdings的可能性越来越大，Arm Holdings是一家擅长手机和个人电脑的英国公司，这将增加其本已强劲的销售渠道，而该渠道的推动因素不仅仅是来自以太币矿工的需求。</blockquote></p><p> \"I'm sure some of you might think that Nvidia is more of an Ethereum play, because its cards are used to mine the cryptocurrency,\" Cramer wrote. \"In reality, that's a tiny portion of their business and is made up of cards that aren't up to specification for gaming, scrap if you will.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默写道：“我相信你们中的一些人可能会认为英伟达更像是一家以太币公司，因为它的卡是用来挖掘加密货币的。”“事实上，这只是他们业务的一小部分，而且由不符合游戏规格的卡组成，如果你愿意的话，可以报废。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost<blockquote>英伟达因分析师再次上调目标价而上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost<blockquote>英伟达因分析师再次上调目标价而上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-06 21:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>)&nbsp;shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达(<b>NVDA</b>）周二，另一位华尔街分析师将目标价上调至近1,000美元，原因是预计对用于游戏和挖掘加密货币的视频显卡和相关半导体的需求将持续强劲，股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Keybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a Wall Street high of $1,000 from $975 and affirmed an outperform rating.</p><p><blockquote>Keybanc分析师John Vinh将Nvidia的一年目标价从775美元上调至950美元，紧随BMO资本市场分析师Ambrish Srivastava的脚步，后者上周四将芯片titanto的目标价从华尔街高点1,000美元上调至975美元，并确认跑赢大盘评级。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter results,which came in better than expected&nbsp;amid strength in so-called hyperscale data center demand, which includes demand for its graphics cards and chips using for both gaming and crypto mining.</p><p><blockquote>自英伟达公布第一季度业绩以来，分析师对该公司赞不绝口，由于所谓的超大规模数据中心需求强劲，该公司的业绩好于预期，其中包括对用于游戏和加密货币挖矿的显卡和芯片的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Even before then, analysts were&nbsp;touting Nvidia’s performance&nbsp;amid strong demand for its gaming graphics cards, which surged through the pandemic and stay-at-home orders that boosted demand for at-home entertainment like video games, compounded by the ongoing chip shortage that has boosted demand - and prices -for the chips and the cards themselves.</p><p><blockquote>甚至在此之前，分析师就在对英伟达游戏显卡的强劲需求中吹捧英伟达的业绩，该显卡在大流行期间激增，而居家订单提振了对视频游戏等家庭娱乐的需求，而持续的芯片短缺又加剧了这种情况。增加了芯片和卡本身的需求和价格。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, surging prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies this year also have fueled demand. Crypto miners use graphics processing units, or GPUs, to mine currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Nvidia’slatest RTX 30 series, launched last year, has proven particularly popular with miners.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，今年比特币、以太币和其他加密货币的价格飙升也刺激了需求。加密货币矿工使用图形处理单元（GPU）来挖掘比特币和以太币等货币。事实证明，英伟达去年推出的最新RTX 30系列特别受矿工欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet's&nbsp;Jim Cramerin his&nbsp;Real Money&nbsp;column on Tuesdaynoted another reason to be bullish on Nvidia: a potential acquisition that will beef up its business even more.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramerer)在周二的《真钱》专栏中指出了看好英伟达的另一个原因：一项潜在的收购将进一步增强其业务。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Jim pointed to the increasing likelihood that regulators will allow the company to buy Arm Holdings, a British company that excels in cellphones and personal computers, which will add to its already strong sales pipeline that has been driven by far more than just demand from Ethereum miners.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，吉姆指出，监管机构允许该公司收购Arm Holdings的可能性越来越大，Arm Holdings是一家擅长手机和个人电脑的英国公司，这将增加其本已强劲的销售渠道，而该渠道的推动因素不仅仅是来自以太币矿工的需求。</blockquote></p><p> \"I'm sure some of you might think that Nvidia is more of an Ethereum play, because its cards are used to mine the cryptocurrency,\" Cramer wrote. \"In reality, that's a tiny portion of their business and is made up of cards that aren't up to specification for gaming, scrap if you will.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默写道：“我相信你们中的一些人可能会认为英伟达更像是一家以太币公司，因为它的卡是用来挖掘加密货币的。”“事实上，这只是他们业务的一小部分，而且由不符合游戏规格的卡组成，如果你愿意的话，可以报废。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-keybanc-price-target-boost-070621\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-keybanc-price-target-boost-070621","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189769697","content_text":"Nvidia (NVDA) shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.\nKeybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a Wall Street high of $1,000 from $975 and affirmed an outperform rating.\nAnalysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter results,which came in better than expected amid strength in so-called hyperscale data center demand, which includes demand for its graphics cards and chips using for both gaming and crypto mining.\nEven before then, analysts were touting Nvidia’s performance amid strong demand for its gaming graphics cards, which surged through the pandemic and stay-at-home orders that boosted demand for at-home entertainment like video games, compounded by the ongoing chip shortage that has boosted demand - and prices -for the chips and the cards themselves.\nAt the same time, surging prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies this year also have fueled demand. Crypto miners use graphics processing units, or GPUs, to mine currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Nvidia’slatest RTX 30 series, launched last year, has proven particularly popular with miners.\nTheStreet's Jim Cramerin his Real Money column on Tuesdaynoted another reason to be bullish on Nvidia: a potential acquisition that will beef up its business even more.\nSpecifically, Jim pointed to the increasing likelihood that regulators will allow the company to buy Arm Holdings, a British company that excels in cellphones and personal computers, which will add to its already strong sales pipeline that has been driven by far more than just demand from Ethereum miners.\n\"I'm sure some of you might think that Nvidia is more of an Ethereum play, because its cards are used to mine the cryptocurrency,\" Cramer wrote. \"In reality, that's a tiny portion of their business and is made up of cards that aren't up to specification for gaming, scrap if you will.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":837,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152423017,"gmtCreate":1625329634739,"gmtModify":1633941452031,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let’s see what the genie has up his sleeves 🧞‍♂️&nbsp;","listText":"Let’s see what the genie has up his sleeves 🧞‍♂️&nbsp;","text":"Let’s see what the genie has up his sleeves 🧞‍♂️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152423017","repostId":"1146176335","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146176335","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625277627,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146176335?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW能否在2021年下半年扭转颓势？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146176335","media":"The Street","summary":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?Alibaba  -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.Howeve","content":"<p>  Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?  Alibaba&nbsp;(<b>BABA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.</p><p><blockquote>与大型股和超大型股同行相比，阿里巴巴-SW一直严重落后。这种情况会在2021年下半年改变吗？阿里巴巴-SW(<b>巴巴</b>）-今年到目前为止，Get报告一直是一只狗。该股在2020年第四季度一直交易良好，但随后一系列问题重创了该股。</blockquote></p><p> Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构扰乱了蚂蚁金服的首次公开募股，然后深入调查了阿里巴巴-SW并加大了力度。</blockquote></p><p> Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不喜欢监管问题，尤其是当我们与中国监管机构打交道时。</blockquote></p><p> However, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.</p><p><blockquote>然而，四月份，阿里巴巴-SW支付了低于预期但仍创历史新高的罚款，希望将监管问题抛在脑后。尽管如此，该股的反应并没有像多头希望的那样。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes as the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>所有这一切都发生在标普500和纳斯达克继续超越历史新高之际。</blockquote></p><p> It also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet&nbsp;(<b>GOOGL</b>) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，FAANG股票的交易继续非常好。Alphabet(<b>GOOGL</b>)-Get Reportis是表现最好的公司，上半年涨幅接近40%，而Netflix(<b>NFLX</b>）-Get报告最差，下降了2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW上半年表现类似，下跌2.6%。然而，它的表现比高点差得多，下跌了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Can it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?</p><p><blockquote>它能否在下半年扭转困境并开始反弹？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9975f383919ff8cfc34fca49a32d8e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Call me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权我是一个无可救药的乐观主义者，但我觉得阿里巴巴-SW下半场可以有稳定的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better&nbsp;- it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”</p><p><blockquote>整体市场表现太好了，大型科技股也是如此。业务基本面完好，增长强劲。就像亚马逊（<b>AMZN</b>)-获取报告。最终，它会表现得更好——这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Shares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.</p><p><blockquote>股价继续守住210美元至212美元区域，最近已清除下行阻力（蓝线）。也就是说，还有很多障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，阿里巴巴-SW股票在21周移动平均线以及21个月和10个月移动平均线上苦苦挣扎。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.</p><p><blockquote>让我们明确一点：这里没有很多看涨的技术成分。如果阿里巴巴-SW股票能够在本周下跌时守住10周移动平均线，我会感觉更好。</blockquote></p><p> However, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，只要它能够保持在210美元水平和200周移动平均线以上，我对阿里巴巴-SW进入未来六个月感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> A push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.</p><p><blockquote>突破235美元——从而突破上述所有移动平均线障碍——可能会上涨至250美元，然后是263美元。275美元以上和300美元正在发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> Keep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.</p><p><blockquote>请记住风险，但这可能是一场稳固的下半场反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW能否在2021年下半年扭转颓势？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW能否在2021年下半年扭转颓势？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 10:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?  Alibaba&nbsp;(<b>BABA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.</p><p><blockquote>与大型股和超大型股同行相比，阿里巴巴-SW一直严重落后。这种情况会在2021年下半年改变吗？阿里巴巴-SW(<b>巴巴</b>）-今年到目前为止，Get报告一直是一只狗。该股在2020年第四季度一直交易良好，但随后一系列问题重创了该股。</blockquote></p><p> Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构扰乱了蚂蚁金服的首次公开募股，然后深入调查了阿里巴巴-SW并加大了力度。</blockquote></p><p> Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不喜欢监管问题，尤其是当我们与中国监管机构打交道时。</blockquote></p><p> However, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.</p><p><blockquote>然而，四月份，阿里巴巴-SW支付了低于预期但仍创历史新高的罚款，希望将监管问题抛在脑后。尽管如此，该股的反应并没有像多头希望的那样。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes as the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>所有这一切都发生在标普500和纳斯达克继续超越历史新高之际。</blockquote></p><p> It also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet&nbsp;(<b>GOOGL</b>) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，FAANG股票的交易继续非常好。Alphabet(<b>GOOGL</b>)-Get Reportis是表现最好的公司，上半年涨幅接近40%，而Netflix(<b>NFLX</b>）-Get报告最差，下降了2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW上半年表现类似，下跌2.6%。然而，它的表现比高点差得多，下跌了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Can it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?</p><p><blockquote>它能否在下半年扭转困境并开始反弹？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9975f383919ff8cfc34fca49a32d8e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Call me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权我是一个无可救药的乐观主义者，但我觉得阿里巴巴-SW下半场可以有稳定的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better&nbsp;- it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”</p><p><blockquote>整体市场表现太好了，大型科技股也是如此。业务基本面完好，增长强劲。就像亚马逊（<b>AMZN</b>)-获取报告。最终，它会表现得更好——这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Shares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.</p><p><blockquote>股价继续守住210美元至212美元区域，最近已清除下行阻力（蓝线）。也就是说，还有很多障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，阿里巴巴-SW股票在21周移动平均线以及21个月和10个月移动平均线上苦苦挣扎。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.</p><p><blockquote>让我们明确一点：这里没有很多看涨的技术成分。如果阿里巴巴-SW股票能够在本周下跌时守住10周移动平均线，我会感觉更好。</blockquote></p><p> However, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，只要它能够保持在210美元水平和200周移动平均线以上，我对阿里巴巴-SW进入未来六个月感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> A push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.</p><p><blockquote>突破235美元——从而突破上述所有移动平均线障碍——可能会上涨至250美元，然后是263美元。275美元以上和300美元正在发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> Keep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.</p><p><blockquote>请记住风险，但这可能是一场稳固的下半场反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09618":"京东集团-SW"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146176335","content_text":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n\nAlibaba (BABA) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.\nRegulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.\nInvestors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.\nHowever, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.\nAll of this comes as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.\nIt also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet (GOOGL) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix (NFLX) -Get Report is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.\nAlibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.\nCan it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?\n\nCall me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.\nThe overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon (AMZN) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better - it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”\nShares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.\nSpecifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.\nLet’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.\nHowever, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.\nA push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.\nKeep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09618":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151851585,"gmtCreate":1625073166447,"gmtModify":1631883984889,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LOL wtf? Tiger you kidding me? USD$1.88 can’t even pay for one damn trade&nbsp;commission. Give me USD $2 note I still can wipe my backside for your BS anniversary reward [Anger]&nbsp;","listText":"LOL wtf? Tiger you kidding me? USD$1.88 can’t even pay for one damn trade&nbsp;commission. Give me USD $2 note I still can wipe my backside for your BS anniversary reward [Anger]&nbsp;","text":"LOL wtf? Tiger you kidding me? USD$1.88 can’t even pay for one damn trade commission. Give me USD $2 note I still can wipe my backside for your BS anniversary reward [Anger]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7c975f5224bfa62263e1671c221eac","width":"750","height":"1238"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151851585","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":941,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151825418,"gmtCreate":1625072791134,"gmtModify":1633945102167,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Microsoft is the way","listText":"Microsoft is the way","text":"Microsoft is the way","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151825418","repostId":"2147139718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":945,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":176226255,"gmtCreate":1626893136277,"gmtModify":1633770045452,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up down up down. Market ain’t aboutcharts and stats anymore. It’s about gambling games and mood [NosePick]&nbsp;","listText":"Up down up down. Market ain’t aboutcharts and stats anymore. It’s about gambling games and mood [NosePick]&nbsp;","text":"Up down up down. Market ain’t aboutcharts and stats anymore. It’s about gambling games and mood [NosePick]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176226255","repostId":"1144363960","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144363960","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626877711,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144363960?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144363960","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was t","content":"<p>At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;<b>and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.</b></p><p><blockquote>6月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当VIX触及2021年新低时，我们警告称，skew指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权已经异常昂贵相对于平值期权，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的VIX指数。正如我们进一步补充的那样，将看跌期权价格与平值期权价格进行比较的high skew已达到历史新高，<b>并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,<b>\"</b><b><u>they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash</u></b><b>.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明，虽然一方面交易者似乎自满，但他们从未如此紧张，即使市场的适度波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，<b>\"</b><b><u>他们也从未像现在这样免受全面市场崩盘的影响</u></b><b>.\"</b></blockquote></p><p> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.</p><p><blockquote>快进到上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管短暂）的气穴（而不是全面崩盘），股市出现了几个月来的最大跌幅...只是在那之后飞翔。回想起来，交易者对此要感谢创纪录的高偏差，因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并持续到今天，但交易者已经完全对冲并准备好突袭。</blockquote></p><p> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...</p><p><blockquote>因此，继一个月前他首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时的观察之后，高盛的衍生品策略师洛奇·菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含波动性和已实现波动性，VIX在周一（7月19日）白天短暂触及25...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,<b>in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.</b></p><p><blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高：三周SPX实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使VIX回到20以下。更重要的是，<b>为了应对创纪录的下行偏斜，正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，偏斜现在已经走得更高——至少对标普500来说是这样。</b></blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"</p><p><blockquote>Fishman的更多观察：“尽管周二SPX的大幅波动和隐含波动率的下降降低了波动率风险溢价，但VIX相对于最近实现的波动率仍然很高。”</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,<b>which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in</b>.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自11月以来，SPX的一个月实现波动率从未达到当前VIX水平（19.7）的水平，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，<b>这也意味着交易者正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，考虑到最近快速抛售之后迅速出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续上升的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续高位倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>   SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers  <b>as much as demand for hedging.</b>The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,  <b>proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....</b>on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.  Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plunge<i><b>too</b></i>fast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.</p><p><blockquote>SPX指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由缺乏下行卖家推动的<b>以及对冲的需求。</b>VIX对周一抛售的强烈反应，VIX盘中一度上涨超过6点，<b>证明了高偏差是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上....</b>如果出现更持续的抛售，则很难维持skew所指示的隐含波动率水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌<i><b>也</b></i>快速），使得SPX潜在回报存在近期不对称的可能性，这与期权市场的含义相反。</blockquote></p><p> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.</p><p><blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高位偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转，以此作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售9月17日3800执行权（12.1%OTM）的看跌期权，以零净溢价为2倍4550执行权（5.2%OTM）的评级提供资金。如果SPX指数在到期时收盘价低于下行价格，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBehind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 22:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;<b>and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.</b></p><p><blockquote>6月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当VIX触及2021年新低时，我们警告称，skew指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权已经异常昂贵相对于平值期权，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的VIX指数。正如我们进一步补充的那样，将看跌期权价格与平值期权价格进行比较的high skew已达到历史新高，<b>并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,<b>\"</b><b><u>they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash</u></b><b>.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明，虽然一方面交易者似乎自满，但他们从未如此紧张，即使市场的适度波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，<b>\"</b><b><u>他们也从未像现在这样免受全面市场崩盘的影响</u></b><b>.\"</b></blockquote></p><p> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.</p><p><blockquote>快进到上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管短暂）的气穴（而不是全面崩盘），股市出现了几个月来的最大跌幅...只是在那之后飞翔。回想起来，交易者对此要感谢创纪录的高偏差，因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并持续到今天，但交易者已经完全对冲并准备好突袭。</blockquote></p><p> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...</p><p><blockquote>因此，继一个月前他首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时的观察之后，高盛的衍生品策略师洛奇·菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含波动性和已实现波动性，VIX在周一（7月19日）白天短暂触及25...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,<b>in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.</b></p><p><blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高：三周SPX实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使VIX回到20以下。更重要的是，<b>为了应对创纪录的下行偏斜，正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，偏斜现在已经走得更高——至少对标普500来说是这样。</b></blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"</p><p><blockquote>Fishman的更多观察：“尽管周二SPX的大幅波动和隐含波动率的下降降低了波动率风险溢价，但VIX相对于最近实现的波动率仍然很高。”</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,<b>which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in</b>.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自11月以来，SPX的一个月实现波动率从未达到当前VIX水平（19.7）的水平，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，<b>这也意味着交易者正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，考虑到最近快速抛售之后迅速出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续上升的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续高位倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>   SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers  <b>as much as demand for hedging.</b>The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,  <b>proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....</b>on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.  Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plunge<i><b>too</b></i>fast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.</p><p><blockquote>SPX指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由缺乏下行卖家推动的<b>以及对冲的需求。</b>VIX对周一抛售的强烈反应，VIX盘中一度上涨超过6点，<b>证明了高偏差是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上....</b>如果出现更持续的抛售，则很难维持skew所指示的隐含波动率水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌<i><b>也</b></i>快速），使得SPX潜在回报存在近期不对称的可能性，这与期权市场的含义相反。</blockquote></p><p> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.</p><p><blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高位偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转，以此作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售9月17日3800执行权（12.1%OTM）的看跌期权，以零净溢价为2倍4550执行权（5.2%OTM）的评级提供资金。如果SPX指数在到期时收盘价低于下行价格，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144363960","content_text":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high, and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.\nCommenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,\"they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash.\"\nSo fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.\nSo following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...\n... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&P 500.\nSome more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"\nFurthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in.\n\nThat said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.\n\n SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers\n as much as demand for hedging.The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,\n proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.\n\nMeanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plungetoofast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.\nSo how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184090743,"gmtCreate":1623677038382,"gmtModify":1634030242530,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"DADDY ELON MADE ME PROUD","listText":"DADDY ELON MADE ME PROUD","text":"DADDY ELON MADE ME PROUD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184090743","repostId":"1135133788","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135133788","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623659116,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135133788?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 16:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading<blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135133788","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading,CAN shares rose more than 10% in pre-market.\nTesl","content":"<p>Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market&nbsp;trading,CAN&nbsp;shares rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than 10% in pre-market.</p><p><blockquote>比特币板块个股盘前上涨，CAN股价盘前涨超10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cda23fae4fdb5dd7e0432d6b4d8a397\" tg-width=\"1285\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla&nbsp;CEO&nbsp;Elon Musk&nbsp;on Sunday said the company will resume bitcoin transactions once it confirms there is reasonable clean energy usage by miners.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk周日表示，一旦确认矿工合理使用清洁能源，该公司将恢复比特币交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading<blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading<blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-14 16:25</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market&nbsp;trading,CAN&nbsp;shares rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than 10% in pre-market.</p><p><blockquote>比特币板块个股盘前上涨，CAN股价盘前涨超10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cda23fae4fdb5dd7e0432d6b4d8a397\" tg-width=\"1285\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla&nbsp;CEO&nbsp;Elon Musk&nbsp;on Sunday said the company will resume bitcoin transactions once it confirms there is reasonable clean energy usage by miners.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk周日表示，一旦确认矿工合理使用清洁能源，该公司将恢复比特币交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CAN":"嘉楠科技"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135133788","content_text":"Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading,CAN shares rose more than 10% in pre-market.\nTesla CEO Elon Musk on Sunday said the company will resume bitcoin transactions once it confirms there is reasonable clean energy usage by miners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CAN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157241547,"gmtCreate":1625585205389,"gmtModify":1633939322644,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nvidia TO the MOOOONNNN","listText":"Nvidia TO the MOOOONNNN","text":"Nvidia TO the MOOOONNNN","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157241547","repostId":"1189769697","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189769697","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625579734,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189769697?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-06 21:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost<blockquote>英伟达因分析师再次上调目标价而上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189769697","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Nvidia  shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.Keybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a W","content":"<p>Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>)&nbsp;shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达(<b>NVDA</b>）周二，另一位华尔街分析师将目标价上调至近1,000美元，原因是预计对用于游戏和挖掘加密货币的视频显卡和相关半导体的需求将持续强劲，股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Keybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a Wall Street high of $1,000 from $975 and affirmed an outperform rating.</p><p><blockquote>Keybanc分析师John Vinh将Nvidia的一年目标价从775美元上调至950美元，紧随BMO资本市场分析师Ambrish Srivastava的脚步，后者上周四将芯片titanto的目标价从华尔街高点1,000美元上调至975美元，并确认跑赢大盘评级。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter results,which came in better than expected&nbsp;amid strength in so-called hyperscale data center demand, which includes demand for its graphics cards and chips using for both gaming and crypto mining.</p><p><blockquote>自英伟达公布第一季度业绩以来，分析师对该公司赞不绝口，由于所谓的超大规模数据中心需求强劲，该公司的业绩好于预期，其中包括对用于游戏和加密货币挖矿的显卡和芯片的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Even before then, analysts were&nbsp;touting Nvidia’s performance&nbsp;amid strong demand for its gaming graphics cards, which surged through the pandemic and stay-at-home orders that boosted demand for at-home entertainment like video games, compounded by the ongoing chip shortage that has boosted demand - and prices -for the chips and the cards themselves.</p><p><blockquote>甚至在此之前，分析师就在对英伟达游戏显卡的强劲需求中吹捧英伟达的业绩，该显卡在大流行期间激增，而居家订单提振了对视频游戏等家庭娱乐的需求，而持续的芯片短缺又加剧了这种情况。增加了芯片和卡本身的需求和价格。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, surging prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies this year also have fueled demand. Crypto miners use graphics processing units, or GPUs, to mine currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Nvidia’slatest RTX 30 series, launched last year, has proven particularly popular with miners.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，今年比特币、以太币和其他加密货币的价格飙升也刺激了需求。加密货币矿工使用图形处理单元（GPU）来挖掘比特币和以太币等货币。事实证明，英伟达去年推出的最新RTX 30系列特别受矿工欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet's&nbsp;Jim Cramerin his&nbsp;Real Money&nbsp;column on Tuesdaynoted another reason to be bullish on Nvidia: a potential acquisition that will beef up its business even more.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramerer)在周二的《真钱》专栏中指出了看好英伟达的另一个原因：一项潜在的收购将进一步增强其业务。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Jim pointed to the increasing likelihood that regulators will allow the company to buy Arm Holdings, a British company that excels in cellphones and personal computers, which will add to its already strong sales pipeline that has been driven by far more than just demand from Ethereum miners.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，吉姆指出，监管机构允许该公司收购Arm Holdings的可能性越来越大，Arm Holdings是一家擅长手机和个人电脑的英国公司，这将增加其本已强劲的销售渠道，而该渠道的推动因素不仅仅是来自以太币矿工的需求。</blockquote></p><p> \"I'm sure some of you might think that Nvidia is more of an Ethereum play, because its cards are used to mine the cryptocurrency,\" Cramer wrote. \"In reality, that's a tiny portion of their business and is made up of cards that aren't up to specification for gaming, scrap if you will.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默写道：“我相信你们中的一些人可能会认为英伟达更像是一家以太币公司，因为它的卡是用来挖掘加密货币的。”“事实上，这只是他们业务的一小部分，而且由不符合游戏规格的卡组成，如果你愿意的话，可以报废。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost<blockquote>英伟达因分析师再次上调目标价而上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost<blockquote>英伟达因分析师再次上调目标价而上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-06 21:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>)&nbsp;shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达(<b>NVDA</b>）周二，另一位华尔街分析师将目标价上调至近1,000美元，原因是预计对用于游戏和挖掘加密货币的视频显卡和相关半导体的需求将持续强劲，股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Keybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a Wall Street high of $1,000 from $975 and affirmed an outperform rating.</p><p><blockquote>Keybanc分析师John Vinh将Nvidia的一年目标价从775美元上调至950美元，紧随BMO资本市场分析师Ambrish Srivastava的脚步，后者上周四将芯片titanto的目标价从华尔街高点1,000美元上调至975美元，并确认跑赢大盘评级。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter results,which came in better than expected&nbsp;amid strength in so-called hyperscale data center demand, which includes demand for its graphics cards and chips using for both gaming and crypto mining.</p><p><blockquote>自英伟达公布第一季度业绩以来，分析师对该公司赞不绝口，由于所谓的超大规模数据中心需求强劲，该公司的业绩好于预期，其中包括对用于游戏和加密货币挖矿的显卡和芯片的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Even before then, analysts were&nbsp;touting Nvidia’s performance&nbsp;amid strong demand for its gaming graphics cards, which surged through the pandemic and stay-at-home orders that boosted demand for at-home entertainment like video games, compounded by the ongoing chip shortage that has boosted demand - and prices -for the chips and the cards themselves.</p><p><blockquote>甚至在此之前，分析师就在对英伟达游戏显卡的强劲需求中吹捧英伟达的业绩，该显卡在大流行期间激增，而居家订单提振了对视频游戏等家庭娱乐的需求，而持续的芯片短缺又加剧了这种情况。增加了芯片和卡本身的需求和价格。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, surging prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies this year also have fueled demand. Crypto miners use graphics processing units, or GPUs, to mine currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Nvidia’slatest RTX 30 series, launched last year, has proven particularly popular with miners.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，今年比特币、以太币和其他加密货币的价格飙升也刺激了需求。加密货币矿工使用图形处理单元（GPU）来挖掘比特币和以太币等货币。事实证明，英伟达去年推出的最新RTX 30系列特别受矿工欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet's&nbsp;Jim Cramerin his&nbsp;Real Money&nbsp;column on Tuesdaynoted another reason to be bullish on Nvidia: a potential acquisition that will beef up its business even more.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramerer)在周二的《真钱》专栏中指出了看好英伟达的另一个原因：一项潜在的收购将进一步增强其业务。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Jim pointed to the increasing likelihood that regulators will allow the company to buy Arm Holdings, a British company that excels in cellphones and personal computers, which will add to its already strong sales pipeline that has been driven by far more than just demand from Ethereum miners.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，吉姆指出，监管机构允许该公司收购Arm Holdings的可能性越来越大，Arm Holdings是一家擅长手机和个人电脑的英国公司，这将增加其本已强劲的销售渠道，而该渠道的推动因素不仅仅是来自以太币矿工的需求。</blockquote></p><p> \"I'm sure some of you might think that Nvidia is more of an Ethereum play, because its cards are used to mine the cryptocurrency,\" Cramer wrote. \"In reality, that's a tiny portion of their business and is made up of cards that aren't up to specification for gaming, scrap if you will.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默写道：“我相信你们中的一些人可能会认为英伟达更像是一家以太币公司，因为它的卡是用来挖掘加密货币的。”“事实上，这只是他们业务的一小部分，而且由不符合游戏规格的卡组成，如果你愿意的话，可以报废。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-keybanc-price-target-boost-070621\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-keybanc-price-target-boost-070621","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189769697","content_text":"Nvidia (NVDA) shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.\nKeybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a Wall Street high of $1,000 from $975 and affirmed an outperform rating.\nAnalysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter results,which came in better than expected amid strength in so-called hyperscale data center demand, which includes demand for its graphics cards and chips using for both gaming and crypto mining.\nEven before then, analysts were touting Nvidia’s performance amid strong demand for its gaming graphics cards, which surged through the pandemic and stay-at-home orders that boosted demand for at-home entertainment like video games, compounded by the ongoing chip shortage that has boosted demand - and prices -for the chips and the cards themselves.\nAt the same time, surging prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies this year also have fueled demand. Crypto miners use graphics processing units, or GPUs, to mine currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Nvidia’slatest RTX 30 series, launched last year, has proven particularly popular with miners.\nTheStreet's Jim Cramerin his Real Money column on Tuesdaynoted another reason to be bullish on Nvidia: a potential acquisition that will beef up its business even more.\nSpecifically, Jim pointed to the increasing likelihood that regulators will allow the company to buy Arm Holdings, a British company that excels in cellphones and personal computers, which will add to its already strong sales pipeline that has been driven by far more than just demand from Ethereum miners.\n\"I'm sure some of you might think that Nvidia is more of an Ethereum play, because its cards are used to mine the cryptocurrency,\" Cramer wrote. \"In reality, that's a tiny portion of their business and is made up of cards that aren't up to specification for gaming, scrap if you will.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":837,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151851585,"gmtCreate":1625073166447,"gmtModify":1631883984889,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LOL wtf? Tiger you kidding me? USD$1.88 can’t even pay for one damn trade&nbsp;commission. Give me USD $2 note I still can wipe my backside for your BS anniversary reward [Anger]&nbsp;","listText":"LOL wtf? Tiger you kidding me? USD$1.88 can’t even pay for one damn trade&nbsp;commission. Give me USD $2 note I still can wipe my backside for your BS anniversary reward [Anger]&nbsp;","text":"LOL wtf? Tiger you kidding me? USD$1.88 can’t even pay for one damn trade commission. Give me USD $2 note I still can wipe my backside for your BS anniversary reward [Anger]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7c975f5224bfa62263e1671c221eac","width":"750","height":"1238"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151851585","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":941,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188661635,"gmtCreate":1623433140327,"gmtModify":1634033207004,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GME APES I HAVE FAITH IN YOU [Miser]&nbsp;GME WILL BE A LEGIT STOCK WORTH MORE THAN THIS PEANUTS","listText":"GME APES I HAVE FAITH IN YOU [Miser]&nbsp;GME WILL BE A LEGIT STOCK WORTH MORE THAN THIS PEANUTS","text":"GME APES I HAVE FAITH IN YOU [Miser] GME WILL BE A LEGIT STOCK WORTH MORE THAN THIS PEANUTS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188661635","repostId":"1194129273","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105535652,"gmtCreate":1620310587376,"gmtModify":1634206176731,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don’t scare papa lehhhh","listText":"Don’t scare papa lehhhh","text":"Don’t scare papa lehhhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105535652","repostId":"2133387578","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":895,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800482810,"gmtCreate":1627312497130,"gmtModify":1633766215197,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where are you my dear Apes. I reckon you’ve all be asleep for a Long Time. Let the Meme Surge beginssssss","listText":"Where are you my dear Apes. I reckon you’ve all be asleep for a Long Time. Let the Meme Surge beginssssss","text":"Where are you my dear Apes. I reckon you’ve all be asleep for a Long Time. Let the Meme Surge beginssssss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800482810","repostId":"1107003799","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107003799","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627310426,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107003799?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 22:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading<blockquote>一些模因股票在周一早盘交易中飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107003799","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Express and AMC Entertainment surged 8%,GameStop r","content":"<p>Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Express&nbsp;and&nbsp;AMC Entertainment&nbsp;surged&nbsp;8%,GameStop&nbsp;rose&nbsp;1%.</p><p><blockquote>周一早盘，部分meme股大涨。Express和AMC院线大涨8%，游戏驿站涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f0ee077954bbfaa81c6e9b8ee0c2159\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"474\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8afd478d8a8529af8275e1431025abb6\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"296\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading<blockquote>一些模因股票在周一早盘交易中飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading<blockquote>一些模因股票在周一早盘交易中飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-26 22:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Express&nbsp;and&nbsp;AMC Entertainment&nbsp;surged&nbsp;8%,GameStop&nbsp;rose&nbsp;1%.</p><p><blockquote>周一早盘，部分meme股大涨。Express和AMC院线大涨8%，游戏驿站涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f0ee077954bbfaa81c6e9b8ee0c2159\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"474\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8afd478d8a8529af8275e1431025abb6\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"296\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","EXPR":"Express, Inc.","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","GME":"游戏驿站","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107003799","content_text":"Some meme stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Express and AMC Entertainment surged 8%,GameStop rose 1%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"EXPR":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CARV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2076,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141852028,"gmtCreate":1625849638764,"gmtModify":1633936699719,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Think logical my dear Apes. How is a meme stock going to keep dipping. HOLD THE LINE AND THE FRUITS OF LABOUR WILL COME SOON. ITS GONNA SPIKE, MANUPILATORS ARE IN THE GAME","listText":"Think logical my dear Apes. How is a meme stock going to keep dipping. HOLD THE LINE AND THE FRUITS OF LABOUR WILL COME SOON. ITS GONNA SPIKE, MANUPILATORS ARE IN THE GAME","text":"Think logical my dear Apes. How is a meme stock going to keep dipping. HOLD THE LINE AND THE FRUITS OF LABOUR WILL COME SOON. ITS GONNA SPIKE, MANUPILATORS ARE IN THE GAME","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141852028","repostId":"1173374462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173374462","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625840008,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173374462?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Meme Stocks Like GameStop and AMC Reflect Market Reality<blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC等模因股票反映了市场现实</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173374462","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Gamestop (GME) made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment","content":"<p>Gamestop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>)&nbsp;made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>)&nbsp;did the exact same thing. These two stocks represent, if not failing businesses, at least ailing ones; companies that struggled to keep up with the new economy even before the pandemic shut down large swaths of it. Yet over the past few months they have posted some of the most volatile gains and losses on the market.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(<b>GME</b>）让一些投资者变得富有……然后又破产了更多。投资AMC院线（<b>AMC</b>）做了完全相同的事情。这两只股票即使不是失败的企业，也至少代表了陷入困境的企业；甚至在大流行之前就努力跟上新经济的公司就关闭了大部分新经济。然而，在过去的几个月里，他们公布了市场上一些最不稳定的收益和损失。</blockquote></p><p> How?</p><p><blockquote>如何？</blockquote></p><p> It’s down to what Real Money's Timothy Collins calls the market of “meme stock hyperbole.” But, he writes, is it really all that different from how trading has always worked?</p><p><blockquote>这取决于Real Money的Timothy Collins评级市场的“模因股票夸张”。但是，他写道，这真的与交易一直以来的运作方式有那么大的不同吗？</blockquote></p><p> Have you ever really thought about the phrases 'to the moon' or 'conviction buy,' and how they mess with out perception of fair value?</p><p><blockquote>您是否真正想过“登月”或“信念购买”这两个短语，以及它们如何扰乱我们对公允价值的看法？</blockquote></p><p> \"Initially, I rolled my eyes at the continued use of the phrase 'To The Moon,'\" Collins says. \"It's not like 'Strong Buy with a price target of $65', for instance. 'To the moon' is completely arbitrary and open to interpretation, but then again so are most things about valuation, when you think about it,\" Collins wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“最初，我对继续使用‘去月球’这个词翻了个白眼，”柯林斯说。“例如，这不像‘强力买入，目标价为65美元’。‘登月’完全是任意的，可以进行解释，但话又说回来，当你仔细想想时，大多数关于估值的事情也是如此，”柯林斯写道。</blockquote></p><p> \"For instance, when an analyst pounds the table on a stock, how is that different from 'to the moon?' Or when someone says, 'all in.' Are they really all in? Did they cash in all their assets, pool the liquidity, and buy every share they possibly could? Probably not. Actually, I'd say definitely not 99.9999% of the time. Of course, there's always that one person,\" Collins said.</p><p><blockquote>“例如，当分析师在一只股票上敲打桌子时，这与‘飞向月球’有什么不同？或者当有人说‘全押’时。他们真的全押了吗？他们是否兑现了所有资产，汇集了流动性，并尽可能地购买了每一股？可能不会。事实上，我会说绝对不是99.9999%的情况。当然，总有那么一个人，”柯林斯说。</blockquote></p><p> \"But the point isWall Street has been arbitraryfor years. We can't even have a standard rating system. Is it 'Neutral' or 'Hold?' And really, do I want to hold something that is only in the middle of your range? No.\"</p><p><blockquote>“但关键是，华尔街多年来一直是武断的。我们甚至不能有一个标准的评级系统。它是‘中性’还是‘持有’？说真的，我想持有只在你的范围中间的东西吗？不。”</blockquote></p><p> Collins writes, \"The system should be 'buy' or 'sell.' That's it. Black or white. Own or don't own.\"</p><p><blockquote>柯林斯写道，“系统应该是‘买入’或‘卖出’。就是这样。黑或白。拥有或不拥有。”</blockquote></p><p> Assets like GameStop and even cryptocurrency seem to be selling on nothing more than pure emotion. Investors are taking these products for a joy ride, and that tends to send prices flying up and down the ladder.</p><p><blockquote>像游戏驿站甚至加密货币这样的资产似乎只不过是纯粹的情绪在出售。投资者正在享受这些产品，这往往会导致价格飞涨。</blockquote></p><p> That’s confusing, to be sure. Just, before you go throwing your hands in the air, it’s important to remember that the stock market has always been at least a little bit arbitrary.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这很令人困惑。只是，在你举手之前，重要的是要记住股票市场总是至少有一点武断。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meme Stocks Like GameStop and AMC Reflect Market Reality<blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC等模因股票反映了市场现实</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeme Stocks Like GameStop and AMC Reflect Market Reality<blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC等模因股票反映了市场现实</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-09 22:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Gamestop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>)&nbsp;made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>)&nbsp;did the exact same thing. These two stocks represent, if not failing businesses, at least ailing ones; companies that struggled to keep up with the new economy even before the pandemic shut down large swaths of it. Yet over the past few months they have posted some of the most volatile gains and losses on the market.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(<b>GME</b>）让一些投资者变得富有……然后又破产了更多。投资AMC院线（<b>AMC</b>）做了完全相同的事情。这两只股票即使不是失败的企业，也至少代表了陷入困境的企业；甚至在大流行之前就努力跟上新经济的公司就关闭了大部分新经济。然而，在过去的几个月里，他们公布了市场上一些最不稳定的收益和损失。</blockquote></p><p> How?</p><p><blockquote>如何？</blockquote></p><p> It’s down to what Real Money's Timothy Collins calls the market of “meme stock hyperbole.” But, he writes, is it really all that different from how trading has always worked?</p><p><blockquote>这取决于Real Money的Timothy Collins评级市场的“模因股票夸张”。但是，他写道，这真的与交易一直以来的运作方式有那么大的不同吗？</blockquote></p><p> Have you ever really thought about the phrases 'to the moon' or 'conviction buy,' and how they mess with out perception of fair value?</p><p><blockquote>您是否真正想过“登月”或“信念购买”这两个短语，以及它们如何扰乱我们对公允价值的看法？</blockquote></p><p> \"Initially, I rolled my eyes at the continued use of the phrase 'To The Moon,'\" Collins says. \"It's not like 'Strong Buy with a price target of $65', for instance. 'To the moon' is completely arbitrary and open to interpretation, but then again so are most things about valuation, when you think about it,\" Collins wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“最初，我对继续使用‘去月球’这个词翻了个白眼，”柯林斯说。“例如，这不像‘强力买入，目标价为65美元’。‘登月’完全是任意的，可以进行解释，但话又说回来，当你仔细想想时，大多数关于估值的事情也是如此，”柯林斯写道。</blockquote></p><p> \"For instance, when an analyst pounds the table on a stock, how is that different from 'to the moon?' Or when someone says, 'all in.' Are they really all in? Did they cash in all their assets, pool the liquidity, and buy every share they possibly could? Probably not. Actually, I'd say definitely not 99.9999% of the time. Of course, there's always that one person,\" Collins said.</p><p><blockquote>“例如，当分析师在一只股票上敲打桌子时，这与‘飞向月球’有什么不同？或者当有人说‘全押’时。他们真的全押了吗？他们是否兑现了所有资产，汇集了流动性，并尽可能地购买了每一股？可能不会。事实上，我会说绝对不是99.9999%的情况。当然，总有那么一个人，”柯林斯说。</blockquote></p><p> \"But the point isWall Street has been arbitraryfor years. We can't even have a standard rating system. Is it 'Neutral' or 'Hold?' And really, do I want to hold something that is only in the middle of your range? No.\"</p><p><blockquote>“但关键是，华尔街多年来一直是武断的。我们甚至不能有一个标准的评级系统。它是‘中性’还是‘持有’？说真的，我想持有只在你的范围中间的东西吗？不。”</blockquote></p><p> Collins writes, \"The system should be 'buy' or 'sell.' That's it. Black or white. Own or don't own.\"</p><p><blockquote>柯林斯写道，“系统应该是‘买入’或‘卖出’。就是这样。黑或白。拥有或不拥有。”</blockquote></p><p> Assets like GameStop and even cryptocurrency seem to be selling on nothing more than pure emotion. Investors are taking these products for a joy ride, and that tends to send prices flying up and down the ladder.</p><p><blockquote>像游戏驿站甚至加密货币这样的资产似乎只不过是纯粹的情绪在出售。投资者正在享受这些产品，这往往会导致价格飞涨。</blockquote></p><p> That’s confusing, to be sure. Just, before you go throwing your hands in the air, it’s important to remember that the stock market has always been at least a little bit arbitrary.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这很令人困惑。只是，在你举手之前，重要的是要记住股票市场总是至少有一点武断。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/meme-stocks-like-gamestop-amc-reflect-market-reality\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/meme-stocks-like-gamestop-amc-reflect-market-reality","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173374462","content_text":"Gamestop (GME) made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment (AMC) did the exact same thing. These two stocks represent, if not failing businesses, at least ailing ones; companies that struggled to keep up with the new economy even before the pandemic shut down large swaths of it. Yet over the past few months they have posted some of the most volatile gains and losses on the market.\nHow?\nIt’s down to what Real Money's Timothy Collins calls the market of “meme stock hyperbole.” But, he writes, is it really all that different from how trading has always worked?\nHave you ever really thought about the phrases 'to the moon' or 'conviction buy,' and how they mess with out perception of fair value?\n\"Initially, I rolled my eyes at the continued use of the phrase 'To The Moon,'\" Collins says. \"It's not like 'Strong Buy with a price target of $65', for instance. 'To the moon' is completely arbitrary and open to interpretation, but then again so are most things about valuation, when you think about it,\" Collins wrote.\n\"For instance, when an analyst pounds the table on a stock, how is that different from 'to the moon?' Or when someone says, 'all in.' Are they really all in? Did they cash in all their assets, pool the liquidity, and buy every share they possibly could? Probably not. Actually, I'd say definitely not 99.9999% of the time. Of course, there's always that one person,\" Collins said.\n\"But the point isWall Street has been arbitraryfor years. We can't even have a standard rating system. Is it 'Neutral' or 'Hold?' And really, do I want to hold something that is only in the middle of your range? No.\"\nCollins writes, \"The system should be 'buy' or 'sell.' That's it. Black or white. Own or don't own.\"\nAssets like GameStop and even cryptocurrency seem to be selling on nothing more than pure emotion. Investors are taking these products for a joy ride, and that tends to send prices flying up and down the ladder.\nThat’s confusing, to be sure. Just, before you go throwing your hands in the air, it’s important to remember that the stock market has always been at least a little bit arbitrary.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114530158,"gmtCreate":1623078761074,"gmtModify":1634037172652,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huh what lorrrrr","listText":"Huh what lorrrrr","text":"Huh what lorrrrr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114530158","repostId":"1137073803","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":624,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801066236,"gmtCreate":1627474371825,"gmtModify":1631885328100,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GBTC\">$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$</a>Boy oh boy that’s some juicy stonkssssss","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GBTC\">$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$</a>Boy oh boy that’s some juicy stonkssssss","text":"$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$Boy oh boy that’s some juicy stonkssssss","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce7e989006823cc71667f287c5292ab0","width":"640","height":"909"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801066236","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148508672,"gmtCreate":1625984013596,"gmtModify":1633931090961,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally some juicy bullish news. Instead of the typical trash writers spreading FUD. Buy Low at this bearish season. Becoz the Bulls are coming [Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"Finally some juicy bullish news. Instead of the typical trash writers spreading FUD. Buy Low at this bearish season. Becoz the Bulls are coming [Miser]&nbsp;","text":"Finally some juicy bullish news. Instead of the typical trash writers spreading FUD. Buy Low at this bearish season. Becoz the Bulls are coming [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148508672","repostId":"1185154176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185154176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625886925,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185154176?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185154176","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support. When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit n","content":"<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展，盈利上升，美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社，盖蒂图片社摄）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%，确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因，我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之，被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%，并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子，你就必须用东西填满它。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未用完的储蓄，因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%，而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量，因为就业和经济保持强劲，他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高，这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间，在我们达到可以限制经济增长的充分就业之前，留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在，企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能，并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长，它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>：我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长，明年将达到4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平的增长，支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快，分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效，最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计，2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元，而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示：“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题，但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中，央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在，美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值，当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平，从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况，一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”，因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段，通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理，主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中，这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升，而股市则标志着时间的到来，甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元，并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点，那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍，低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(+1.30%)和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者，我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说从4点开始。另一方面，共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业，并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益，请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票，而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks（链接在下面的简介中）中，我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展，盈利上升，美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社，盖蒂图片社摄）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%，确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因，我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之，被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%，并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子，你就必须用东西填满它。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未用完的储蓄，因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%，而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量，因为就业和经济保持强劲，他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高，这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间，在我们达到可以限制经济增长的充分就业之前，留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在，企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能，并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长，它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>：我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长，明年将达到4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平的增长，支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快，分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效，最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计，2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元，而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示：“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题，但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中，央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在，美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值，当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平，从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况，一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”，因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段，通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理，主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中，这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升，而股市则标志着时间的到来，甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元，并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点，那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍，低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(+1.30%)和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者，我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说从4点开始。另一方面，共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业，并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益，请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票，而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks（链接在下面的简介中）中，我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185154176","content_text":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.\nIt’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.\nHere’s why.\nWe are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.\n1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand\nEveryone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.\nFirst, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.\nBehind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.\nRelatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.\nNext, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.\nNow let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.\nYou know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.\nCompanies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.\nThe bottom line: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.\n2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead\nThe economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.\nPaulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.\n“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”\nPlus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.\n3. There’s a new Fed in town\nFor much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).\nHere’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.\n4. Inflation won’t kill the bull\nInflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.\n5. Valuations will improve\nWe’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.\nThis will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.\nTrue to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.\n6. Sentiment isn’t extreme\nAs a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.\nThree themes to follow\nIf we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.\nFavor cyclicals.Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.\nAvoid defensives.If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.\nFavor emerging markets.Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":719,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189812527,"gmtCreate":1623250835369,"gmtModify":1634035317413,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sit quietly ? Papa still waiting to buy at $290 laaaaaa","listText":"Sit quietly ? Papa still waiting to buy at $290 laaaaaa","text":"Sit quietly ? Papa still waiting to buy at $290 laaaaaa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189812527","repostId":"1141275388","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":766,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119461498,"gmtCreate":1622559351314,"gmtModify":1634100463203,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$90 Apple, you think pasar malam ah","listText":"$90 Apple, you think pasar malam ah","text":"$90 Apple, you think pasar malam ah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119461498","repostId":"1107522849","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107522849","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622546178,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107522849?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 19:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock To Sink 30%? Inside The Mind Of A Bear<blockquote>苹果股价将下跌30%？在熊的脑海里</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107522849","media":"TheStreet","summary":"There is a new bear roaming the Apple orchard. Could Apple stock dip about 30% from current levels, as one Wall Street analyst argues?Anew bear has emerged from its cave. New Street’s Pierre Ferragu believes that Apple stock is now a sell, downgraded from his previous neutral stance, and that shares could sink by nearly 30% from current levels to only $90.The Apple Maven gets inside the mind of this Wall Street skeptic to better understand the potential risks of investing in Apple stock today.Pi","content":"<p>There is a new bear roaming the Apple orchard. Could Apple stock dip about 30% from current levels, as one Wall Street analyst argues?</p><p><blockquote>有一只新熊在苹果果园游荡。正如一位华尔街分析师所说，苹果股价会比当前水平下跌约30%吗？</blockquote></p><p> Anew bear has&nbsp;emerged&nbsp;from its cave. New Street’s Pierre Ferragu believes that Apple stock is now a sell, downgraded from his previous neutral stance, and that shares could sink by nearly 30% from current levels to only $90.</p><p><blockquote>一只新的熊从洞穴中出现了。New Street的Pierre Ferragu认为，苹果股票现在处于卖出状态，较之前的中性立场有所下调，股价可能会从当前水平下跌近30%，至仅90美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven gets inside the mind of this Wall Street skeptic to better understand the potential risks of investing in Apple stock today.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家深入了解了这位华尔街怀疑论者的内心，以更好地了解当今投资苹果股票的潜在风险。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd3a0c90859283b1acacd5c5258f1e15\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\"><span>Figure 1: Wall Street bear.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：华尔街熊。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>“12S cycle” coming up?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“12S周期”即将来临？</b></blockquote></p><p> New Street is effectively the only true Apple bear on Wall Street today. Famed skeptic Rod Hall, at Goldman Sachs, finally&nbsp;threw in the towel&nbsp;after the Cupertino company delivered&nbsp;a record-breaking fiscal second quarter. Wolfe Research’s Jeff Kvaal&nbsp;maintains his sell rating, but at a high price target of $125 that suggests minimal downside risk.</p><p><blockquote>新街实际上是当今华尔街唯一真正的苹果空头。高盛(Goldman Sachs)著名怀疑论者罗德·霍尔(Rod Hall)在这家库比蒂诺公司第二财季业绩破纪录后终于认输了。Wolfe Research的Jeff Kvaal维持卖出评级，但目标价为125美元，表明下行风险最小。</blockquote></p><p> Pierre Ferragu goes deeper. In his view, the best of Apple’s iPhone upgrade wave, the&nbsp;so-called 5G super cycle, has been left in the rearview mirror. The point was reinforced by the analyst’s views that the Cupertino company’s upcoming smartphone will probably be a “12S model” with limited updates.</p><p><blockquote>皮埃尔·费拉古更深入。在他看来，苹果iPhone升级浪潮中最好的部分，即所谓的5G超级周期，已经被抛在了后视镜中。分析师的观点强化了这一点，即这家库比蒂诺公司即将推出的智能手机可能是更新有限的“12S型号”。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to an underwhelming 2021 iPhone model in the pipeline, Mr. Ferragu’s bearish thesis is further illustrated by his quote below:</p><p><blockquote>除了即将推出的2021年iPhone机型令人印象深刻之外，Ferragu先生下面的引述进一步说明了他的悲观论点：</blockquote></p><p>   “The key question is how things shape up for next year, as the current super cycle has brought forward demand […] and consumers spend less on consumer electronics as the economy re-opens.”  <b>Plugging some numbers</b></p><p><blockquote>“关键问题是明年的情况如何，因为当前的超级周期带来了需求[……]，而且随着经济重新开放，消费者在消费电子产品上的支出减少。”<b>插入一些数字</b></blockquote></p><p> New Street offered some figures to back up the 30% downside risk. According to the analyst, 2022 iPhone shipments would land at 190 million units, at the mid-point of the guidance range.</p><p><blockquote>New Street提供了一些数据来支持30%的下行风险。该分析师表示，2022年iPhone出货量将达到1.9亿部，处于指导范围的中点。</blockquote></p><p> If ASPs (average selling prices) remain elevated, as they have been in the first two quarters of fiscal 2021, the bear case points at next-year iPhone revenues of around $150 billion. At these levels, iPhone sales would have increased by a modest 5% per year through the COVID-19 crisis and pandemic recovery, against what I estimate to be nearly 20% consensus growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果ASP（平均售价）保持在较高水平，就像2021财年前两个季度的情况一样，看跌情况表明明年iPhone的收入约为1500亿美元。按照这些水平，在COVID-19危机和大流行复苏期间，iPhone销量每年将小幅增长5%，而我估计市场普遍增长近20%。</blockquote></p><p> Considering how relevant the iPhone still is to Apple’s financial performance (50% of total company sales in fiscal 2020), low growth prospects would likely lead to valuation compression. The double whammy would come in the form of consensus-lagging EPS, a combination of which would be needed to support New Street’s $90 share price target.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到iPhone与苹果财务业绩的相关性（2020财年占公司总销售额的50%），低增长前景可能会导致估值压缩。双重打击将以落后于共识的每股收益的形式出现，需要两者的结合来支持New Street 90美元的股价目标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven’s opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的意见</b></blockquote></p><p> One thing is clear: stock prices can swing wildly and correct sharply. Apple stock is no stranger to painful pullbacks. Shares have dipped by 40% or more from the peak (12% currently, plus the nearly 30% decline expected by New Street) several times before, as the chart below suggests.</p><p><blockquote>有一点是明确的：股价可能会剧烈波动并大幅调整。苹果股票对痛苦的回调并不陌生。如下图所示，股价此前曾多次较峰值下跌40%或更多（目前为12%，加上New Street预计的近30%的跌幅）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/065aa03f398ac3a8622598724e214a02\" tg-width=\"665\" tg-height=\"398\"><span>Figure 2: Maximum drawdown in AAPL since IPO.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：AAPL自IPO以来的最大回撤。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But quite a bit would have to go wrong, in my opinion, for AAPL to return to $90 – levels not seen since the thick of the pandemic. From higher ASPs in 2021 to increased sales well past the peak of the stay-at-home buying spree, the iPhone seems to be experiencing a secular, not temporary increase in demand.</p><p><blockquote>但在我看来，AAPL要回到90美元——这是自疫情最严重时期以来从未见过的水平，还需要出很多问题。从2021年更高的平均售价到远远超过居家购买热潮高峰的销量增长，iPhone似乎正在经历长期而非暂时的需求增长。</blockquote></p><p> Weakness in iPhone would likely need to come along muted results in other segments as well. In other words, Apple’s troubles would have to be broader, rather than product specific. To me, this would only be possible under two key assumptions:</p><p><blockquote>iPhone的疲软可能也需要伴随着其他细分市场的疲软业绩。换句话说，苹果的麻烦必须更广泛，而不是特定产品。对我来说，这只有在两个关键假设下才有可能：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The post-pandemic “return to normal” will, indeed, cause discretionary spending to shift meaningfully away from tech devices and services – which I am skeptical about;</li>  <li>The economy will endure a double-dip recession that cannot be remedied as well by fiscal and monetary stimuli –something that I also believe to be of low probability.</li> </ul> At the end of the day, AAPL $90 is possible – just not highly likely, in my view.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大流行后的“恢复正常”确实会导致可自由支配支出有意义地从科技设备和服务转移——我对此持怀疑态度；</li><li>经济将经历一场双底衰退，财政和货币刺激无法很好地补救——我也认为这种情况不太可能发生。</li></ul>归根结底，AAPL 90美元是有可能的——但在我看来可能性不大。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock To Sink 30%? Inside The Mind Of A Bear<blockquote>苹果股价将下跌30%？在熊的脑海里</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock To Sink 30%? Inside The Mind Of A Bear<blockquote>苹果股价将下跌30%？在熊的脑海里</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-01 19:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>There is a new bear roaming the Apple orchard. Could Apple stock dip about 30% from current levels, as one Wall Street analyst argues?</p><p><blockquote>有一只新熊在苹果果园游荡。正如一位华尔街分析师所说，苹果股价会比当前水平下跌约30%吗？</blockquote></p><p> Anew bear has&nbsp;emerged&nbsp;from its cave. New Street’s Pierre Ferragu believes that Apple stock is now a sell, downgraded from his previous neutral stance, and that shares could sink by nearly 30% from current levels to only $90.</p><p><blockquote>一只新的熊从洞穴中出现了。New Street的Pierre Ferragu认为，苹果股票现在处于卖出状态，较之前的中性立场有所下调，股价可能会从当前水平下跌近30%，至仅90美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven gets inside the mind of this Wall Street skeptic to better understand the potential risks of investing in Apple stock today.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家深入了解了这位华尔街怀疑论者的内心，以更好地了解当今投资苹果股票的潜在风险。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd3a0c90859283b1acacd5c5258f1e15\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\"><span>Figure 1: Wall Street bear.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：华尔街熊。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>“12S cycle” coming up?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“12S周期”即将来临？</b></blockquote></p><p> New Street is effectively the only true Apple bear on Wall Street today. Famed skeptic Rod Hall, at Goldman Sachs, finally&nbsp;threw in the towel&nbsp;after the Cupertino company delivered&nbsp;a record-breaking fiscal second quarter. Wolfe Research’s Jeff Kvaal&nbsp;maintains his sell rating, but at a high price target of $125 that suggests minimal downside risk.</p><p><blockquote>新街实际上是当今华尔街唯一真正的苹果空头。高盛(Goldman Sachs)著名怀疑论者罗德·霍尔(Rod Hall)在这家库比蒂诺公司第二财季业绩破纪录后终于认输了。Wolfe Research的Jeff Kvaal维持卖出评级，但目标价为125美元，表明下行风险最小。</blockquote></p><p> Pierre Ferragu goes deeper. In his view, the best of Apple’s iPhone upgrade wave, the&nbsp;so-called 5G super cycle, has been left in the rearview mirror. The point was reinforced by the analyst’s views that the Cupertino company’s upcoming smartphone will probably be a “12S model” with limited updates.</p><p><blockquote>皮埃尔·费拉古更深入。在他看来，苹果iPhone升级浪潮中最好的部分，即所谓的5G超级周期，已经被抛在了后视镜中。分析师的观点强化了这一点，即这家库比蒂诺公司即将推出的智能手机可能是更新有限的“12S型号”。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to an underwhelming 2021 iPhone model in the pipeline, Mr. Ferragu’s bearish thesis is further illustrated by his quote below:</p><p><blockquote>除了即将推出的2021年iPhone机型令人印象深刻之外，Ferragu先生下面的引述进一步说明了他的悲观论点：</blockquote></p><p>   “The key question is how things shape up for next year, as the current super cycle has brought forward demand […] and consumers spend less on consumer electronics as the economy re-opens.”  <b>Plugging some numbers</b></p><p><blockquote>“关键问题是明年的情况如何，因为当前的超级周期带来了需求[……]，而且随着经济重新开放，消费者在消费电子产品上的支出减少。”<b>插入一些数字</b></blockquote></p><p> New Street offered some figures to back up the 30% downside risk. According to the analyst, 2022 iPhone shipments would land at 190 million units, at the mid-point of the guidance range.</p><p><blockquote>New Street提供了一些数据来支持30%的下行风险。该分析师表示，2022年iPhone出货量将达到1.9亿部，处于指导范围的中点。</blockquote></p><p> If ASPs (average selling prices) remain elevated, as they have been in the first two quarters of fiscal 2021, the bear case points at next-year iPhone revenues of around $150 billion. At these levels, iPhone sales would have increased by a modest 5% per year through the COVID-19 crisis and pandemic recovery, against what I estimate to be nearly 20% consensus growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果ASP（平均售价）保持在较高水平，就像2021财年前两个季度的情况一样，看跌情况表明明年iPhone的收入约为1500亿美元。按照这些水平，在COVID-19危机和大流行复苏期间，iPhone销量每年将小幅增长5%，而我估计市场普遍增长近20%。</blockquote></p><p> Considering how relevant the iPhone still is to Apple’s financial performance (50% of total company sales in fiscal 2020), low growth prospects would likely lead to valuation compression. The double whammy would come in the form of consensus-lagging EPS, a combination of which would be needed to support New Street’s $90 share price target.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到iPhone与苹果财务业绩的相关性（2020财年占公司总销售额的50%），低增长前景可能会导致估值压缩。双重打击将以落后于共识的每股收益的形式出现，需要两者的结合来支持New Street 90美元的股价目标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven’s opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的意见</b></blockquote></p><p> One thing is clear: stock prices can swing wildly and correct sharply. Apple stock is no stranger to painful pullbacks. Shares have dipped by 40% or more from the peak (12% currently, plus the nearly 30% decline expected by New Street) several times before, as the chart below suggests.</p><p><blockquote>有一点是明确的：股价可能会剧烈波动并大幅调整。苹果股票对痛苦的回调并不陌生。如下图所示，股价此前曾多次较峰值下跌40%或更多（目前为12%，加上New Street预计的近30%的跌幅）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/065aa03f398ac3a8622598724e214a02\" tg-width=\"665\" tg-height=\"398\"><span>Figure 2: Maximum drawdown in AAPL since IPO.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：AAPL自IPO以来的最大回撤。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But quite a bit would have to go wrong, in my opinion, for AAPL to return to $90 – levels not seen since the thick of the pandemic. From higher ASPs in 2021 to increased sales well past the peak of the stay-at-home buying spree, the iPhone seems to be experiencing a secular, not temporary increase in demand.</p><p><blockquote>但在我看来，AAPL要回到90美元——这是自疫情最严重时期以来从未见过的水平，还需要出很多问题。从2021年更高的平均售价到远远超过居家购买热潮高峰的销量增长，iPhone似乎正在经历长期而非暂时的需求增长。</blockquote></p><p> Weakness in iPhone would likely need to come along muted results in other segments as well. In other words, Apple’s troubles would have to be broader, rather than product specific. To me, this would only be possible under two key assumptions:</p><p><blockquote>iPhone的疲软可能也需要伴随着其他细分市场的疲软业绩。换句话说，苹果的麻烦必须更广泛，而不是特定产品。对我来说，这只有在两个关键假设下才有可能：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The post-pandemic “return to normal” will, indeed, cause discretionary spending to shift meaningfully away from tech devices and services – which I am skeptical about;</li>  <li>The economy will endure a double-dip recession that cannot be remedied as well by fiscal and monetary stimuli –something that I also believe to be of low probability.</li> </ul> At the end of the day, AAPL $90 is possible – just not highly likely, in my view.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大流行后的“恢复正常”确实会导致可自由支配支出有意义地从科技设备和服务转移——我对此持怀疑态度；</li><li>经济将经历一场双底衰退，财政和货币刺激无法很好地补救——我也认为这种情况不太可能发生。</li></ul>归根结底，AAPL 90美元是有可能的——但在我看来可能性不大。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-to-sink-30-inside-the-mind-of-a-bear\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-to-sink-30-inside-the-mind-of-a-bear","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107522849","content_text":"There is a new bear roaming the Apple orchard. Could Apple stock dip about 30% from current levels, as one Wall Street analyst argues?\nAnew bear has emerged from its cave. New Street’s Pierre Ferragu believes that Apple stock is now a sell, downgraded from his previous neutral stance, and that shares could sink by nearly 30% from current levels to only $90.\nThe Apple Maven gets inside the mind of this Wall Street skeptic to better understand the potential risks of investing in Apple stock today.\nFigure 1: Wall Street bear.\n“12S cycle” coming up?\nNew Street is effectively the only true Apple bear on Wall Street today. Famed skeptic Rod Hall, at Goldman Sachs, finally threw in the towel after the Cupertino company delivered a record-breaking fiscal second quarter. Wolfe Research’s Jeff Kvaal maintains his sell rating, but at a high price target of $125 that suggests minimal downside risk.\nPierre Ferragu goes deeper. In his view, the best of Apple’s iPhone upgrade wave, the so-called 5G super cycle, has been left in the rearview mirror. The point was reinforced by the analyst’s views that the Cupertino company’s upcoming smartphone will probably be a “12S model” with limited updates.\nIn addition to an underwhelming 2021 iPhone model in the pipeline, Mr. Ferragu’s bearish thesis is further illustrated by his quote below:\n\n “The key question is how things shape up for next year, as the current super cycle has brought forward demand […] and consumers spend less on consumer electronics as the economy re-opens.”\n\nPlugging some numbers\nNew Street offered some figures to back up the 30% downside risk. According to the analyst, 2022 iPhone shipments would land at 190 million units, at the mid-point of the guidance range.\nIf ASPs (average selling prices) remain elevated, as they have been in the first two quarters of fiscal 2021, the bear case points at next-year iPhone revenues of around $150 billion. At these levels, iPhone sales would have increased by a modest 5% per year through the COVID-19 crisis and pandemic recovery, against what I estimate to be nearly 20% consensus growth.\nConsidering how relevant the iPhone still is to Apple’s financial performance (50% of total company sales in fiscal 2020), low growth prospects would likely lead to valuation compression. The double whammy would come in the form of consensus-lagging EPS, a combination of which would be needed to support New Street’s $90 share price target.\nThe Apple Maven’s opinion\nOne thing is clear: stock prices can swing wildly and correct sharply. Apple stock is no stranger to painful pullbacks. Shares have dipped by 40% or more from the peak (12% currently, plus the nearly 30% decline expected by New Street) several times before, as the chart below suggests.\nFigure 2: Maximum drawdown in AAPL since IPO.\nBut quite a bit would have to go wrong, in my opinion, for AAPL to return to $90 – levels not seen since the thick of the pandemic. From higher ASPs in 2021 to increased sales well past the peak of the stay-at-home buying spree, the iPhone seems to be experiencing a secular, not temporary increase in demand.\nWeakness in iPhone would likely need to come along muted results in other segments as well. In other words, Apple’s troubles would have to be broader, rather than product specific. To me, this would only be possible under two key assumptions:\n\nThe post-pandemic “return to normal” will, indeed, cause discretionary spending to shift meaningfully away from tech devices and services – which I am skeptical about;\nThe economy will endure a double-dip recession that cannot be remedied as well by fiscal and monetary stimuli –something that I also believe to be of low probability.\n\nAt the end of the day, AAPL $90 is possible – just not highly likely, in my view.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194118766,"gmtCreate":1621347448655,"gmtModify":1634192249796,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where gt fun like that, dip moreeeeeeee","listText":"Where gt fun like that, dip moreeeeeeee","text":"Where gt fun like that, dip moreeeeeeee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194118766","repostId":"1187196904","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187196904","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621347134,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187196904?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 22:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla shares turn red to green<blockquote>特斯拉股价由红转绿</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187196904","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla rose in the short term, erasing the day's decline and turning up to $579.62.That followed news","content":"<p>Tesla rose in the short term, erasing the day's decline and turning up to $579.62.That followed news that investor Michael Burry of “The Big Short” fame&nbsp;had made a short bet&nbsp;against the automaker worth $534 billion.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉短线拉升，抹去当日跌幅，转涨至579.62美元。此前有消息称，因“大空头”而闻名的投资者迈克尔·伯里(Michael Burry)对这家汽车制造商进行了价值5340亿美元的空头押注。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b03901f770f00976d53de11a23ebd586\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla shares turn red to green<blockquote>特斯拉股价由红转绿</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla shares turn red to green<blockquote>特斯拉股价由红转绿</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-18 22:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla rose in the short term, erasing the day's decline and turning up to $579.62.That followed news that investor Michael Burry of “The Big Short” fame&nbsp;had made a short bet&nbsp;against the automaker worth $534 billion.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉短线拉升，抹去当日跌幅，转涨至579.62美元。此前有消息称，因“大空头”而闻名的投资者迈克尔·伯里(Michael Burry)对这家汽车制造商进行了价值5340亿美元的空头押注。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b03901f770f00976d53de11a23ebd586\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187196904","content_text":"Tesla rose in the short term, erasing the day's decline and turning up to $579.62.That followed news that investor Michael Burry of “The Big Short” fame had made a short bet against the automaker worth $534 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802342660,"gmtCreate":1627724703650,"gmtModify":1633756791255,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Squeeze what siol","listText":"Squeeze what siol","text":"Squeeze what siol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802342660","repostId":"1169140433","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186435059,"gmtCreate":1623518641971,"gmtModify":1634032171520,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For what? Drink Kopi ah?","listText":"For what? Drink Kopi ah?","text":"For what? Drink Kopi ah?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186435059","repostId":"1115909292","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115909292","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623413127,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115909292?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 20:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jeff Bezos is going to space for 11 minutes. Here's how risky that is<blockquote>杰夫·贝索斯将进入太空11分钟。这是多么危险</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115909292","media":"cnn","summary":"New York (CNN Business)Jeff Bezos can have anything. He could circle the globe in a private jet or s","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Jeff Bezos can have anything. He could circle the globe in a private jet or sail it forever in a fleet of megayachts. He could afford to buy a the whole NFL; he could buy an archipelago for his family and friends; he could buy over 65,000 Bugatti Chirons (base price $2.9 million), even though only 500 are being built. As the world's richest person, the possibilities are endless. But Bezos appears ready to risk it all for an 11-minute ride to space.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）杰夫·贝索斯可以拥有任何东西。他可以乘坐私人飞机环游地球，或者乘坐巨型游艇永远航行。他有能力买下整个NFL；他可以为他的家人和朋友买一个群岛；他可以购买超过65,000辆布加迪Chiron（底价290万美元），尽管只生产了500辆。作为世界首富，可能性是无穷无尽的。但贝佐斯似乎准备冒着一切风险乘坐11分钟的太空之旅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Just how risky is his decision?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>他的决定到底有多冒险？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer isn't what you might expect. Space travel is, historically, fraught with danger. Though the risks are not necessarily astronomical for Bezos' jaunt to the cosmos, as his space company Blue Origin has spent the better part of the last decade running the suborbital New Shepard rocket he'll be riding on through a series of successful test flights. (Also, being in space is Bezos' lifelong dream.)</p><p><blockquote>答案并不是你所期望的。从历史上看，太空旅行充满了危险。尽管对于贝佐斯的太空之旅来说，风险不一定是天文数字，因为他的太空公司蓝色起源在过去十年的大部分时间里都在运行亚轨道新谢泼德火箭，他将乘坐该火箭进行一系列成功的试飞。（还有，进入太空是贝索斯一生的梦想。）</blockquote></p><p> Still, what Bezos, his brother Mark Bezos, and the winner of an online auction, will be doing -- going on the very first crewed flight of New Shepard, a fully autonomous suborbital rocket and spacecraft system designed to take ticket holders on brief joy rides to space -- is not entirely without risk.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，贝佐斯、他的兄弟马克·贝佐斯以及在线拍卖的获胜者将会做什么——参加新谢泼德号的首次载人飞行，这是一个完全自主的亚轨道火箭和航天器系统，旨在带持票人进行短暂的欢乐之旅到太空——并非完全没有风险。</blockquote></p><p> Here's what Bezos' flight will look like and the extent to which people are taking their lives in their hands when they go to outer space these days.</p><p><blockquote>以下是贝佐斯的飞行将会是什么样子，以及如今人们前往外太空时将自己的生命掌握在自己手中的程度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What the flight looks like</b></p><p><blockquote><b>航班的样子</b></blockquote></p><p> When most people think about spaceflight, they think about an astronaut circling the Earth, floating in space, for at least a few days.</p><p><blockquote>当大多数人想到太空飞行时，他们会想到一名宇航员绕地球飞行，漂浮在太空中，至少几天。</blockquote></p><p> That is not what the Bezos brothers and their fellow passengers will be doing .</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯兄弟和他们的乘客不会这么做。</blockquote></p><p> They'll be going up and coming right back down, and they'll be doing it in less time -- about 11 minutes -- than it takes most people to get to work.</p><p><blockquote>他们会上去然后马上下来，而且他们会在比大多数人上班所需的时间更短的时间内完成——大约11分钟。</blockquote></p><p> Suborbital flights differ greatly from orbital flights of the type most of us think of when we think of spaceflight. Blue Origin's New Shepard flights will be brief, up-and-down trips, though they will go more than 62 miles above Earth, which is widely considered to be the edge of outer space.</p><p><blockquote>亚轨道飞行与我们大多数人想到太空飞行时想到的轨道飞行有很大不同。蓝色起源的新谢泼德航班将是短暂的上下旅行，尽管它们将在地球上空62英里以上，地球被广泛认为是外太空的边缘。</blockquote></p><p> Orbital rockets need to drum up enough power to hit at least 17,000 miles per hour, or what's known as orbital velocity, essentially giving a spacecraft enough energy to continue whipping around the Earth rather than being dragged immediately back down by gravity.</p><p><blockquote>轨道火箭需要获得足够的动力才能达到至少17,000英里/小时，即所谓的轨道速度，本质上是为航天器提供足够的能量继续绕地球运行，而不是立即被重力拖回。</blockquote></p><p> Suborbital flights require far less power and speed. That means less time the rocket is required to burn, lower temperatures scorching the outside of the spacecraft, less force and compression ripping at the spacecraft, and generally fewer opportunities for something to go very wrong.</p><p><blockquote>亚轨道飞行需要的功率和速度要小得多。这意味着火箭燃烧所需的时间更少，烧焦航天器外部的温度更低，航天器上的力和压缩撕裂更少，并且通常出现严重问题的机会更少。</blockquote></p><p> New Shepard's suborbital fights hit about about three times the speed of sound — roughly 2,300 miles per hour — and fly directly upward until the rocket expends most of its fuel. The crew capsule will then separate from the rocket at the top of the trajectory and briefly continue upward before the capsule almost hovers at the top of its flight path, giving the passengers a few minutes of weightlessness. It works sort of like an extended version of the weightlessness you experience when you reach the peak of a roller coaster hill, just before gravity brings your cart — or, in Bezos' case, your space capsule -- screaming back down toward the ground.</p><p><blockquote>新谢泼德的亚轨道战斗达到了大约三倍音速——大约每小时2300英里——并直接向上飞行，直到火箭耗尽大部分燃料。然后，乘员舱将在轨道顶部与火箭分离，并在太空舱几乎悬停在其飞行路径顶部之前短暂继续向上，为乘客提供几分钟的失重状态。它的工作原理有点像当你到达过山车山顶时所经历的失重的扩展版本，就在重力将你的手推车——或者在贝佐斯的情况下，你的太空舱——带着尖叫回到地面之前。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1aeef7cd6efed45b4f08991c7c4b7be4\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"438\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The New Shepard capsule then deploys a large plume of parachutes to slow its descent to less than 20 miles per hour before it hits the ground.</p><p><blockquote>然后，新谢泼德太空舱部署大量降落伞，在落地前将其下降速度减慢到每小时20英里以下。</blockquote></p><p> The rocket, flying separately, re-ignites its engines and uses its on-board computers to execute a pinpoint, upright landing. The booster landing looks similar to what SpaceX does with its Falcon 9 rockets, though those rockets are far more powerful than New Shepard and — yes — more prone to exploding on impact.</p><p><blockquote>火箭单独飞行，重新点燃发动机，并使用机载计算机执行精确的直立着陆。助推器着陆看起来类似于SpaceX的猎鹰9号火箭，尽管这些火箭比新谢泼德火箭强大得多，而且——是的——更容易在撞击时爆炸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How big are the risks?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险有多大？</b></blockquote></p><p> Blue Origin's New Shepard capsule, which is fully autonomous and does not require a pilot, has never had an explosive mishap in 15 test flights. And the nature of Bezos' flight means it comes with some inherently lower risks than more ambitious space travel attempts. But that doesn't mean the risk is zero, either.</p><p><blockquote>蓝色起源的新谢泼德太空舱是完全自主的，不需要飞行员，在15次试飞中从未发生过爆炸事故。贝佐斯飞行的性质意味着它的风险比更雄心勃勃的太空旅行尝试要低。但这也不意味着风险为零。</blockquote></p><p> Because suborbital flights don't require as much speed or the intense process of trying to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere at incredible speeds, they're considered much less risky than orbital flights. With an orbital re-entry, a spacecraft's external temperatures can reach up to 3,500 degrees Fahrenheit, and astronauts can experience 4.5 Gs of force that is also placed upon the spacecraft, all while the ever-thickening atmosphere whips around the capsule.</p><p><blockquote>因为亚轨道飞行不需要那么高的速度，也不需要试图以令人难以置信的速度重返地球大气层的紧张过程，所以它们被认为比轨道飞行风险小得多。随着轨道重返，航天器的外部温度可以达到3500华氏度，宇航员可以承受4.5克的力，这种力也施加在航天器上，同时不断变厚的大气在太空舱周围跳动。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> High speeds and high altitudes come with inherent risks, and even small errors can have big consequences. Earth's atmosphere is generally not considered survivable for significant amounts of time above altitudes of 50,000 feet without a spacesuit, and Bezos will be traveling up to 350,000 feet. But the capsule he travels in will be pressurized, so he doesn't need a special suit to keep him safe, and he'll have access to an oxygen mask if the cabin loses pressure. The spacecraft is also equipped with an abort system designed to jettison the New Shepard capsule and passengers away from the rocket in case of emergency. There's also back-up safety features to help the capsule land gently even if a couple of its parachutes fail to deploy.</p><p><blockquote>高速和高海拔伴随着固有的风险，即使是很小的错误也会产生很大的后果。如果没有宇航服，地球大气层通常被认为无法在50,000英尺以上的高度生存很长时间，贝佐斯将旅行到350,000英尺。但是他乘坐的太空舱将被加压，所以他不需要特殊的宇航服来保证他的安全，如果机舱失去压力，他可以使用氧气面罩。该航天器还配备了一个中止系统，旨在在紧急情况下将新谢泼德太空舱和乘客抛离火箭。还有备用安全功能，即使几个降落伞未能展开，也可以帮助太空舱平稳着陆。</blockquote></p><p> But even still, there is no way to absolutely guarantee safety should New Shepard malfunction.</p><p><blockquote>但即便如此，如果新谢泼德出现故障，也没有办法绝对保证安全。</blockquote></p><p> Even though suborbital flights are less risky than orbital missions, they can still be deadly.</p><p><blockquote>尽管亚轨道飞行的风险低于轨道任务，但它们仍然可能是致命的。</blockquote></p><p> One of Virgin Galactic's suborbital space planes, for example, broke apart in 2014 when one of the vehicle's copilots prematurely deployed the feathering system designed to keep the craft stable as it made its descent. The added drag on the plane ripped it to pieces, killing one of the pilots.</p><p><blockquote>例如，维珍银河的一架亚轨道太空飞机在2014年解体，当时飞行器的一名副驾驶过早地部署了旨在保持飞行器下降时稳定的羽毛系统。飞机上增加的阻力将其撕成碎片，导致一名飞行员死亡。</blockquote></p><p> (Blue Origin competitor Virgin Galactic has since had three successful test flights of a revamped version of its SpaceShipTwo space plane.)</p><p><blockquote>（蓝色起源的竞争对手维珍银河已经对其太空飞船二号的改进型进行了三次成功的试飞。）</blockquote></p><p> Blue Origin has not encountered similar tragic accidents during its testing phase, though — as an old industry adage goes — space is hard.</p><p><blockquote>蓝色起源在测试阶段没有遇到过类似的悲惨事故，尽管——正如一句古老的行业格言所说——太空是艰难的。</blockquote></p><p> But, Bezos has indicated, the risk is worth it.</p><p><blockquote>但是，贝佐斯表示，这个风险是值得的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jeff Bezos is going to space for 11 minutes. Here's how risky that is<blockquote>杰夫·贝索斯将进入太空11分钟。这是多么危险</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJeff Bezos is going to space for 11 minutes. Here's how risky that is<blockquote>杰夫·贝索斯将进入太空11分钟。这是多么危险</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-11 20:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Jeff Bezos can have anything. He could circle the globe in a private jet or sail it forever in a fleet of megayachts. He could afford to buy a the whole NFL; he could buy an archipelago for his family and friends; he could buy over 65,000 Bugatti Chirons (base price $2.9 million), even though only 500 are being built. As the world's richest person, the possibilities are endless. But Bezos appears ready to risk it all for an 11-minute ride to space.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）杰夫·贝索斯可以拥有任何东西。他可以乘坐私人飞机环游地球，或者乘坐巨型游艇永远航行。他有能力买下整个NFL；他可以为他的家人和朋友买一个群岛；他可以购买超过65,000辆布加迪Chiron（底价290万美元），尽管只生产了500辆。作为世界首富，可能性是无穷无尽的。但贝佐斯似乎准备冒着一切风险乘坐11分钟的太空之旅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Just how risky is his decision?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>他的决定到底有多冒险？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer isn't what you might expect. Space travel is, historically, fraught with danger. Though the risks are not necessarily astronomical for Bezos' jaunt to the cosmos, as his space company Blue Origin has spent the better part of the last decade running the suborbital New Shepard rocket he'll be riding on through a series of successful test flights. (Also, being in space is Bezos' lifelong dream.)</p><p><blockquote>答案并不是你所期望的。从历史上看，太空旅行充满了危险。尽管对于贝佐斯的太空之旅来说，风险不一定是天文数字，因为他的太空公司蓝色起源在过去十年的大部分时间里都在运行亚轨道新谢泼德火箭，他将乘坐该火箭进行一系列成功的试飞。（还有，进入太空是贝索斯一生的梦想。）</blockquote></p><p> Still, what Bezos, his brother Mark Bezos, and the winner of an online auction, will be doing -- going on the very first crewed flight of New Shepard, a fully autonomous suborbital rocket and spacecraft system designed to take ticket holders on brief joy rides to space -- is not entirely without risk.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，贝佐斯、他的兄弟马克·贝佐斯以及在线拍卖的获胜者将会做什么——参加新谢泼德号的首次载人飞行，这是一个完全自主的亚轨道火箭和航天器系统，旨在带持票人进行短暂的欢乐之旅到太空——并非完全没有风险。</blockquote></p><p> Here's what Bezos' flight will look like and the extent to which people are taking their lives in their hands when they go to outer space these days.</p><p><blockquote>以下是贝佐斯的飞行将会是什么样子，以及如今人们前往外太空时将自己的生命掌握在自己手中的程度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What the flight looks like</b></p><p><blockquote><b>航班的样子</b></blockquote></p><p> When most people think about spaceflight, they think about an astronaut circling the Earth, floating in space, for at least a few days.</p><p><blockquote>当大多数人想到太空飞行时，他们会想到一名宇航员绕地球飞行，漂浮在太空中，至少几天。</blockquote></p><p> That is not what the Bezos brothers and their fellow passengers will be doing .</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯兄弟和他们的乘客不会这么做。</blockquote></p><p> They'll be going up and coming right back down, and they'll be doing it in less time -- about 11 minutes -- than it takes most people to get to work.</p><p><blockquote>他们会上去然后马上下来，而且他们会在比大多数人上班所需的时间更短的时间内完成——大约11分钟。</blockquote></p><p> Suborbital flights differ greatly from orbital flights of the type most of us think of when we think of spaceflight. Blue Origin's New Shepard flights will be brief, up-and-down trips, though they will go more than 62 miles above Earth, which is widely considered to be the edge of outer space.</p><p><blockquote>亚轨道飞行与我们大多数人想到太空飞行时想到的轨道飞行有很大不同。蓝色起源的新谢泼德航班将是短暂的上下旅行，尽管它们将在地球上空62英里以上，地球被广泛认为是外太空的边缘。</blockquote></p><p> Orbital rockets need to drum up enough power to hit at least 17,000 miles per hour, or what's known as orbital velocity, essentially giving a spacecraft enough energy to continue whipping around the Earth rather than being dragged immediately back down by gravity.</p><p><blockquote>轨道火箭需要获得足够的动力才能达到至少17,000英里/小时，即所谓的轨道速度，本质上是为航天器提供足够的能量继续绕地球运行，而不是立即被重力拖回。</blockquote></p><p> Suborbital flights require far less power and speed. That means less time the rocket is required to burn, lower temperatures scorching the outside of the spacecraft, less force and compression ripping at the spacecraft, and generally fewer opportunities for something to go very wrong.</p><p><blockquote>亚轨道飞行需要的功率和速度要小得多。这意味着火箭燃烧所需的时间更少，烧焦航天器外部的温度更低，航天器上的力和压缩撕裂更少，并且通常出现严重问题的机会更少。</blockquote></p><p> New Shepard's suborbital fights hit about about three times the speed of sound — roughly 2,300 miles per hour — and fly directly upward until the rocket expends most of its fuel. The crew capsule will then separate from the rocket at the top of the trajectory and briefly continue upward before the capsule almost hovers at the top of its flight path, giving the passengers a few minutes of weightlessness. It works sort of like an extended version of the weightlessness you experience when you reach the peak of a roller coaster hill, just before gravity brings your cart — or, in Bezos' case, your space capsule -- screaming back down toward the ground.</p><p><blockquote>新谢泼德的亚轨道战斗达到了大约三倍音速——大约每小时2300英里——并直接向上飞行，直到火箭耗尽大部分燃料。然后，乘员舱将在轨道顶部与火箭分离，并在太空舱几乎悬停在其飞行路径顶部之前短暂继续向上，为乘客提供几分钟的失重状态。它的工作原理有点像当你到达过山车山顶时所经历的失重的扩展版本，就在重力将你的手推车——或者在贝佐斯的情况下，你的太空舱——带着尖叫回到地面之前。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1aeef7cd6efed45b4f08991c7c4b7be4\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"438\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The New Shepard capsule then deploys a large plume of parachutes to slow its descent to less than 20 miles per hour before it hits the ground.</p><p><blockquote>然后，新谢泼德太空舱部署大量降落伞，在落地前将其下降速度减慢到每小时20英里以下。</blockquote></p><p> The rocket, flying separately, re-ignites its engines and uses its on-board computers to execute a pinpoint, upright landing. The booster landing looks similar to what SpaceX does with its Falcon 9 rockets, though those rockets are far more powerful than New Shepard and — yes — more prone to exploding on impact.</p><p><blockquote>火箭单独飞行，重新点燃发动机，并使用机载计算机执行精确的直立着陆。助推器着陆看起来类似于SpaceX的猎鹰9号火箭，尽管这些火箭比新谢泼德火箭强大得多，而且——是的——更容易在撞击时爆炸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How big are the risks?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险有多大？</b></blockquote></p><p> Blue Origin's New Shepard capsule, which is fully autonomous and does not require a pilot, has never had an explosive mishap in 15 test flights. And the nature of Bezos' flight means it comes with some inherently lower risks than more ambitious space travel attempts. But that doesn't mean the risk is zero, either.</p><p><blockquote>蓝色起源的新谢泼德太空舱是完全自主的，不需要飞行员，在15次试飞中从未发生过爆炸事故。贝佐斯飞行的性质意味着它的风险比更雄心勃勃的太空旅行尝试要低。但这也不意味着风险为零。</blockquote></p><p> Because suborbital flights don't require as much speed or the intense process of trying to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere at incredible speeds, they're considered much less risky than orbital flights. With an orbital re-entry, a spacecraft's external temperatures can reach up to 3,500 degrees Fahrenheit, and astronauts can experience 4.5 Gs of force that is also placed upon the spacecraft, all while the ever-thickening atmosphere whips around the capsule.</p><p><blockquote>因为亚轨道飞行不需要那么高的速度，也不需要试图以令人难以置信的速度重返地球大气层的紧张过程，所以它们被认为比轨道飞行风险小得多。随着轨道重返，航天器的外部温度可以达到3500华氏度，宇航员可以承受4.5克的力，这种力也施加在航天器上，同时不断变厚的大气在太空舱周围跳动。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> High speeds and high altitudes come with inherent risks, and even small errors can have big consequences. Earth's atmosphere is generally not considered survivable for significant amounts of time above altitudes of 50,000 feet without a spacesuit, and Bezos will be traveling up to 350,000 feet. But the capsule he travels in will be pressurized, so he doesn't need a special suit to keep him safe, and he'll have access to an oxygen mask if the cabin loses pressure. The spacecraft is also equipped with an abort system designed to jettison the New Shepard capsule and passengers away from the rocket in case of emergency. There's also back-up safety features to help the capsule land gently even if a couple of its parachutes fail to deploy.</p><p><blockquote>高速和高海拔伴随着固有的风险，即使是很小的错误也会产生很大的后果。如果没有宇航服，地球大气层通常被认为无法在50,000英尺以上的高度生存很长时间，贝佐斯将旅行到350,000英尺。但是他乘坐的太空舱将被加压，所以他不需要特殊的宇航服来保证他的安全，如果机舱失去压力，他可以使用氧气面罩。该航天器还配备了一个中止系统，旨在在紧急情况下将新谢泼德太空舱和乘客抛离火箭。还有备用安全功能，即使几个降落伞未能展开，也可以帮助太空舱平稳着陆。</blockquote></p><p> But even still, there is no way to absolutely guarantee safety should New Shepard malfunction.</p><p><blockquote>但即便如此，如果新谢泼德出现故障，也没有办法绝对保证安全。</blockquote></p><p> Even though suborbital flights are less risky than orbital missions, they can still be deadly.</p><p><blockquote>尽管亚轨道飞行的风险低于轨道任务，但它们仍然可能是致命的。</blockquote></p><p> One of Virgin Galactic's suborbital space planes, for example, broke apart in 2014 when one of the vehicle's copilots prematurely deployed the feathering system designed to keep the craft stable as it made its descent. The added drag on the plane ripped it to pieces, killing one of the pilots.</p><p><blockquote>例如，维珍银河的一架亚轨道太空飞机在2014年解体，当时飞行器的一名副驾驶过早地部署了旨在保持飞行器下降时稳定的羽毛系统。飞机上增加的阻力将其撕成碎片，导致一名飞行员死亡。</blockquote></p><p> (Blue Origin competitor Virgin Galactic has since had three successful test flights of a revamped version of its SpaceShipTwo space plane.)</p><p><blockquote>（蓝色起源的竞争对手维珍银河已经对其太空飞船二号的改进型进行了三次成功的试飞。）</blockquote></p><p> Blue Origin has not encountered similar tragic accidents during its testing phase, though — as an old industry adage goes — space is hard.</p><p><blockquote>蓝色起源在测试阶段没有遇到过类似的悲惨事故，尽管——正如一句古老的行业格言所说——太空是艰难的。</blockquote></p><p> But, Bezos has indicated, the risk is worth it.</p><p><blockquote>但是，贝佐斯表示，这个风险是值得的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/10/tech/jeff-bezos-blue-origin-flight-risk-scn/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/10/tech/jeff-bezos-blue-origin-flight-risk-scn/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115909292","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Jeff Bezos can have anything. He could circle the globe in a private jet or sail it forever in a fleet of megayachts. He could afford to buy a the whole NFL; he could buy an archipelago for his family and friends; he could buy over 65,000 Bugatti Chirons (base price $2.9 million), even though only 500 are being built. As the world's richest person, the possibilities are endless. But Bezos appears ready to risk it all for an 11-minute ride to space.\nJust how risky is his decision?\nThe answer isn't what you might expect. Space travel is, historically, fraught with danger. Though the risks are not necessarily astronomical for Bezos' jaunt to the cosmos, as his space company Blue Origin has spent the better part of the last decade running the suborbital New Shepard rocket he'll be riding on through a series of successful test flights. (Also, being in space is Bezos' lifelong dream.)\nStill, what Bezos, his brother Mark Bezos, and the winner of an online auction, will be doing -- going on the very first crewed flight of New Shepard, a fully autonomous suborbital rocket and spacecraft system designed to take ticket holders on brief joy rides to space -- is not entirely without risk.\nHere's what Bezos' flight will look like and the extent to which people are taking their lives in their hands when they go to outer space these days.\nWhat the flight looks like\nWhen most people think about spaceflight, they think about an astronaut circling the Earth, floating in space, for at least a few days.\nThat is not what the Bezos brothers and their fellow passengers will be doing .\nThey'll be going up and coming right back down, and they'll be doing it in less time -- about 11 minutes -- than it takes most people to get to work.\nSuborbital flights differ greatly from orbital flights of the type most of us think of when we think of spaceflight. Blue Origin's New Shepard flights will be brief, up-and-down trips, though they will go more than 62 miles above Earth, which is widely considered to be the edge of outer space.\nOrbital rockets need to drum up enough power to hit at least 17,000 miles per hour, or what's known as orbital velocity, essentially giving a spacecraft enough energy to continue whipping around the Earth rather than being dragged immediately back down by gravity.\nSuborbital flights require far less power and speed. That means less time the rocket is required to burn, lower temperatures scorching the outside of the spacecraft, less force and compression ripping at the spacecraft, and generally fewer opportunities for something to go very wrong.\nNew Shepard's suborbital fights hit about about three times the speed of sound — roughly 2,300 miles per hour — and fly directly upward until the rocket expends most of its fuel. The crew capsule will then separate from the rocket at the top of the trajectory and briefly continue upward before the capsule almost hovers at the top of its flight path, giving the passengers a few minutes of weightlessness. It works sort of like an extended version of the weightlessness you experience when you reach the peak of a roller coaster hill, just before gravity brings your cart — or, in Bezos' case, your space capsule -- screaming back down toward the ground.\n\nThe New Shepard capsule then deploys a large plume of parachutes to slow its descent to less than 20 miles per hour before it hits the ground.\nThe rocket, flying separately, re-ignites its engines and uses its on-board computers to execute a pinpoint, upright landing. The booster landing looks similar to what SpaceX does with its Falcon 9 rockets, though those rockets are far more powerful than New Shepard and — yes — more prone to exploding on impact.\nHow big are the risks?\nBlue Origin's New Shepard capsule, which is fully autonomous and does not require a pilot, has never had an explosive mishap in 15 test flights. And the nature of Bezos' flight means it comes with some inherently lower risks than more ambitious space travel attempts. But that doesn't mean the risk is zero, either.\nBecause suborbital flights don't require as much speed or the intense process of trying to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere at incredible speeds, they're considered much less risky than orbital flights. With an orbital re-entry, a spacecraft's external temperatures can reach up to 3,500 degrees Fahrenheit, and astronauts can experience 4.5 Gs of force that is also placed upon the spacecraft, all while the ever-thickening atmosphere whips around the capsule.\nHigh speeds and high altitudes come with inherent risks, and even small errors can have big consequences. Earth's atmosphere is generally not considered survivable for significant amounts of time above altitudes of 50,000 feet without a spacesuit, and Bezos will be traveling up to 350,000 feet. But the capsule he travels in will be pressurized, so he doesn't need a special suit to keep him safe, and he'll have access to an oxygen mask if the cabin loses pressure. The spacecraft is also equipped with an abort system designed to jettison the New Shepard capsule and passengers away from the rocket in case of emergency. There's also back-up safety features to help the capsule land gently even if a couple of its parachutes fail to deploy.\nBut even still, there is no way to absolutely guarantee safety should New Shepard malfunction.\nEven though suborbital flights are less risky than orbital missions, they can still be deadly.\nOne of Virgin Galactic's suborbital space planes, for example, broke apart in 2014 when one of the vehicle's copilots prematurely deployed the feathering system designed to keep the craft stable as it made its descent. The added drag on the plane ripped it to pieces, killing one of the pilots.\n(Blue Origin competitor Virgin Galactic has since had three successful test flights of a revamped version of its SpaceShipTwo space plane.)\nBlue Origin has not encountered similar tragic accidents during its testing phase, though — as an old industry adage goes — space is hard.\nBut, Bezos has indicated, the risk is worth it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":502,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111040996,"gmtCreate":1622645966315,"gmtModify":1634099600900,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yummy just yummy 😋 Nvidia better be going $750 before the split","listText":"Yummy just yummy 😋 Nvidia better be going $750 before the split","text":"Yummy just yummy 😋 Nvidia better be going $750 before the split","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111040996","repostId":"1103795044","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100594828,"gmtCreate":1619620193864,"gmtModify":1634211270015,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazing just amazing","listText":"Amazing just amazing","text":"Amazing just amazing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100594828","repostId":"1138128459","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138128459","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619608043,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138128459?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 19:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Ultra-Popular Growth Stocks With 28% to 56% Upside, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称5只超受欢迎的成长型股票，上涨空间为28%至56%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138128459","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"For 13 months, Wall Street has proved virtually unstoppable. Since hitting a bear market bottom on M","content":"<p>For 13 months, Wall Street has proved virtually unstoppable. Since hitting a bear market bottom on March 23, 2020, the broad-based<b>S&amp;P 500</b>has galloped higher by 87%, through this past weekend. This handily outpaces the average bounce-back rally from a bear-market bottom and leaves the historic average annual return for the benchmark index eating dust.</p><p><blockquote>13个月来，华尔街几乎势不可挡。自2020年3月23日触及熊市底部以来，宽基<b>标普500</b>在过去的这个周末，股价飙升了87%。这轻松超过了熊市底部的平均反弹反弹，并让基准指数的历史平均年回报率烟消云散。</blockquote></p><p> Yet even at these lofty levels, Wall Street professionals see value. Based on the consensus one-year price targets of Wall Street analysts, five of the most populargrowth stocksoffer implied upside ranging from a low of 28% to as much as 56%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，即使在这些崇高的水平上，华尔街的专业人士也看到了价值。根据华尔街分析师一致的一年价格目标，五只最受欢迎的成长型股票的隐含上涨空间从28%的低点到高达56%不等。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d19c9dd5972bb303415e3fb9e20fb2d4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify: Implied upside of 31%</p><p><blockquote>Shopify：隐含上涨31%</blockquote></p><p> First up is my absolute favorite software-as-a-service (SaaS) stock,<b>Shopify</b>(NYSE:SHOP). Even after gaining more than 1,000% over the past 3.5 years, Wall Street believes the company's stock offers an additional 31% upside to $1,434 a share over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>首先是我最喜欢的软件即服务（SaaS）股票，<b>Shopify</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SHOP）。尽管在过去3.5年里上涨了1,000%以上，华尔街认为该公司的股票明年还有31%的上涨空间，达到每股1,434美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify's operating model of providing cloud-based e-commerce solutions to (primarily) small businessescouldn't be in a better place at the moment. Although it was initially hit by the pandemic with virtually all other retail-oriented companies, it quickly became apparent that Shopify's e-commerce platform would be a logical beneficiary as businesses shifted course and pushed online. The result was a 96% increase in gross merchandise value (GMV) transacted across its platform in 2020 to $119.6 billion. Over the past six years, GMV has grown at a compound annual rate of 77.7%.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify为（主要）小型企业提供基于云的电子商务解决方案的运营模式目前再好不过了。尽管Shopify最初与几乎所有其他零售型公司一样受到了疫情的打击，但随着企业改变方向并转向线上，Shopify的电子商务平台很快就会成为合乎逻辑的受益者。结果是2020年其平台交易的商品总值(GMV)增长了96%，达到1196亿美元。过去六年，GMV以77.7%的年复合增长率增长。</blockquote></p><p> What's made Shopify tick is both the discovery of the platform by new merchants and the ability to snag worthwhile deals with major retailers. The number of consumers using the platform increased by approximately 52% last year to 457 million. Meanwhile, itpartneredwith the likes of<b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;and<b>Pinterest</b>to streamline aspects of their online sales platforms.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify的成功之处在于新商家对该平台的发现以及与主要零售商达成有价值交易的能力。去年使用该平台的消费者数量增长了约52%，达到4.57亿。与此同时，它与<b>沃尔玛</b>和<b>Pinterest</b>简化他们在线销售平台的各个方面。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify isn't remotely inexpensive on a fundamental basis. But if it can continue to grow its GMV at these insane levels, investors will gladly pay a hefty premium to own Shopify stock.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify从根本上来说并不便宜。但如果它的GMV能够继续以如此疯狂的水平增长，投资者将很乐意支付高额溢价来持有Shopify股票。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df219df7b01fbc2aa008c455f28b99e5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Teladoc Health: Implied upside of 40%</p><p><blockquote>Teladoc Health：隐含上涨40%</blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine giant<b>Teladoc Health</b>(NYSE:TDOC)has been exceptionally popular over the past year, for obvious reasons I'll touch on in a moment. According to Wall Street, shares of Teladoc could ascend past $250 over the next 12 months, giving it an implied upside of 40%.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗巨头<b>Teladoc健康</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TDOC）在过去的一年里非常受欢迎，原因显而易见，我稍后会谈到。据华尔街报道，Teladoc的股价在未来12个月内可能会升至250美元以上，隐含上涨空间为40%。</blockquote></p><p> As you can imagine, physicians wanted to keep at-risk people and potentially infected patients out of offices and hospitals if at all possible last year. This led to Teladoc handling almost 10.6 million virtual visits in 2020, up from around 4.1 million in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>可以想象，去年，如果可能的话，医生希望让高危人群和潜在感染患者远离办公室和医院。这导致Teladoc在2020年处理了近1060万次虚拟访问，高于上一年的约410万次。</blockquote></p><p> But understand that telehealth is agame-changing healthcare modeland not just a one-year wonder because of the pandemic. It's far more convenient for patients, allows physicians to keep closer tabs on at-risk patients, and is usually billed at a lower rate than office visits, which health insurers love. These advantages are exactly why Teladoc's sales grew by an average annual rate of 74% between 2013 and 2019.</p><p><blockquote>但是要明白，远程医疗是一种改变游戏规则的医疗保健模式，而不仅仅是因为疫情而成为一年的奇迹。这对患者来说要方便得多，允许医生更密切地关注高危患者，而且通常比健康保险公司喜欢的办公室就诊收费更低。这些优势正是Teladoc销售额在2013年至2019年间年均增长74%的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, Teladoc has a new toy, so to speak: Itacquired leading applied health signals company Livongo Healthin early November. Livongo leans on artificial intelligence to send tips and nudges to patients with chronic illnesses. These nudges help patients make behavioral changes that result in their leading healthier lives. The addition of Livongo makes Teladoc a veritable no-brainer buy.</p><p><blockquote>此外，可以说，Teladoc还有一个新玩具：它在11月初收购了领先的应用健康信号公司Livongo Health。Livongo依靠人工智能向慢性病患者发送提示和提示。这些轻推帮助患者改变行为，从而过上更健康的生活。Livongo的加入使Teladoc成为名副其实的理所当然的购买对象。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e47e6b6eced3a10e200ffd777619a0c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake: Implied upside of 28%</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake：隐含上涨28%</blockquote></p><p> Another high-growth stock with abundant upside according to Wall Street professionals is cloud data warehousing company<b>Snowflake</b>(NYSE:SNOW). After recently retracing to an all-time low, analysts see Snowflake gaining up to 28% to almost $301 a share over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街专业人士认为，另一只上涨空间巨大的高增长股票是云数据仓库公司<b>雪花</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SNOW）。在最近回落至历史低点后，分析师预计Snowflake在未来12个月内将上涨28%，达到每股近301美元。</blockquote></p><p> As I alluded to with Shopify, we're witnessing a big push by businesses online and into the cloud, which has been a boon for most cloud infrastructure companies. Despite the worst economic downturn in decades, Snowflake grew its product revenue by 120% to $553.8 million in fiscal 2021. Although it's losing a lot of money at the moment, the services Snowflake offers should yield juicy margins as the company matures.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在Shopify中提到的，我们正在见证企业在线和云的大力推动，这对大多数云基础设施公司来说都是一个福音。尽管经历了几十年来最严重的经济衰退，Snowflake在2021财年的产品收入仍增长了120%，达到5.538亿美元。尽管目前损失了很多钱，但随着公司的成熟，Snowflake提供的服务应该会产生丰厚的利润。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Arguably the most interesting thing about Snowflake is itssustainable competitive advantages. For instance, it offers a pay-as-you-go model that shuns the subscriptions that SaaS stocks often covet. By allowing its customers to pay based on their storage needs and Snowflake Compute Credits used, it's offering a highly transparent and cost-effective operating model.</p><p><blockquote>可以说，Snowflake最有趣的事情是其可持续的竞争优势。例如，它提供了一种现收现付模式，避免了SaaS股票经常觊觎的订阅。通过允许客户根据他们的存储需求和使用的雪花计算点数付费，它提供了一种高度透明且经济高效的运营模式。</blockquote></p><p> Even better, its platform islayered atop the most popular cloud infrastructure solutions, which makes the sharing of information seamless, regardless of storage provider.</p><p><blockquote>更好的是，它的平台位于最流行的云基础设施解决方案之上，这使得信息共享无缝，无论存储提供商是谁。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake has some very big shoes to fill with its lofty valuation, but Wall Street believes the company can get it done.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的高估值需要填补一些非常大的空缺，但华尔街相信该公司能够做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbafad9e87b7b7dacfefe92d4741b655\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Datadog: Implied upside of 35%</p><p><blockquote>Datadog：隐含上涨35%</blockquote></p><p> Have I mentioned that Wall Street has a thing forSaaS stocks? In addition to Shopify and Snowflake, analysts believe that application monitoring solutions provider<b>Datadog</b>(NASDAQ:DDOG)could surge to $121 a share over the next year. This implies up to 35% upside in its shares.</p><p><blockquote>我有没有提到华尔街对SaaS股票情有独钟？除了Shopify和Snowflake之外，分析师认为应用监控解决方案提供商<b>Datadog</b>（纳斯达克：DDOG）明年可能飙升至每股121美元。这意味着其股价还有高达35%的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping with the theme, Datadog looks to benefit from businesses completely shifting their strategy in the wake of the pandemic. With employees working remotely, it's become more important than ever that businesses stay on top of key metrics, oversee critical applications, and fully understand the behavior of their customers. Datadog's cloud-based solutions do all of this for its clients.</p><p><blockquote>与主题保持一致，Datadog希望从大流行后企业彻底转变战略中受益。随着员工远程工作，企业掌握关键指标、监督关键应用程序并充分了解客户的行为变得比以往任何时候都更加重要。Datadog基于云的解决方案为其客户完成了所有这些工作。</blockquote></p><p> What's been most impressive about Datadog is the company's ability to attract bigger clients. While a 46% increase in customers with at least $100,000 in annual recurring revenue (ARR) is nice, the \"wow\" number is the 94% increase in the number of customers generating at least $1 million in ARR. This is a big reason the company's sales shot 66% higher in 2020 to $603.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>Datadog最令人印象深刻的是该公司吸引更大客户的能力。虽然年经常性收入(ARR)至少为100,000美元的客户增加46%是不错的，但令人惊叹的数字是ARR至少为100万美元的客户数量增加了94%。这是该公司2020年销售额猛增66%至6.035亿美元的一个重要原因。</blockquote></p><p> Similar to Snowflake, Datadog has a lot to prove with its lofty price-to-sales ratio. However, if it can continue to grow its sales by more than 30% annually, there'sno reason Wall Street's price target isn't within reach.</p><p><blockquote>与Snowflake类似，Datadog凭借其高昂的市销率需要证明很多东西。然而，如果它的销售额能够继续以每年30%以上的速度增长，那么华尔街的价格目标就没有理由达不到。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99b3853458b2424e2901821012f5502f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase: Implied upside of 56%</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase：隐含上涨56%</blockquote></p><p> Finally, recent initial public offering<b>Coinbase</b>(NASDAQ:COIN)offers the highest perceived upside among these five fast-growing companies. Though there were only four price targets listed through this past weekend, a lofty target of $600 a share skewed the consensus up to $456 a share. This suggests Coinbase could gain 56% over the coming 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>最后，近期首次公开发行<b>Coinbase</b>（纳斯达克：COIN）在这五家快速增长的公司中提供了最高的上涨空间。尽管上周末只列出了四个目标价，但每股600美元的崇高目标将共识扭曲至每股456美元。这表明Coinbase在未来12个月内可能会上涨56%。</blockquote></p><p> There's no doubt that Coinbase has benefited from the euphoria surrounding cryptocurrencies like<b>Bitcoin</b>and&nbsp;<b>Ethereum</b>. With both rallying to new highs this year, Coinbase recorded $1.8 billion in revenue in the first quarter. For some context, that's more revenue than it had generated in the previous 24 months combined!</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，Coinbase受益于围绕加密货币的兴奋，例如<b>比特币</b>和<b>以太币</b>.随着今年两者都反弹至新高，Coinbase第一季度营收为18亿美元。在某些情况下，这比过去24个月的收入总和还要多！</blockquote></p><p> However, unlike the other popular companies listed here,Coinbase's advantages look flimsy, at best. It runs the risk of competing crypto brokerages undercutting its fees, which could reduce its operating margins and growth rate dramatically over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与这里列出的其他受欢迎的公司不同，Coinbase的优势充其量看起来很脆弱。它面临着竞争加密货币经纪公司降低其费用的风险，随着时间的推移，这可能会大幅降低其营业利润率和增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore,its business model looks to be built upon euphoria&nbsp;rather than innovation. With most of its revenue coming from Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, it's worrisome to see what happens when the price of these key assets stops rising. In a two-year stretch where Bitcoin lost 80% of its value, Coinbase saw its revenue nearly get halved.</p><p><blockquote>此外，它的商业模式看起来是建立在兴奋而不是创新之上的。由于其大部分收入来自比特币和以太币交易，当这些关键资产的价格停止上涨时会发生什么令人担忧。在比特币市值损失80%的两年内，Coinbase的收入几乎减半。</blockquote></p><p> In sum, Wall Street may be bullish on Coinbase, but this Fool isn't.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，华尔街可能看好Coinbase，但这个傻瓜却不看好。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Ultra-Popular Growth Stocks With 28% to 56% Upside, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称5只超受欢迎的成长型股票，上涨空间为28%至56%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Ultra-Popular Growth Stocks With 28% to 56% Upside, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称5只超受欢迎的成长型股票，上涨空间为28%至56%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-28 19:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>For 13 months, Wall Street has proved virtually unstoppable. Since hitting a bear market bottom on March 23, 2020, the broad-based<b>S&amp;P 500</b>has galloped higher by 87%, through this past weekend. This handily outpaces the average bounce-back rally from a bear-market bottom and leaves the historic average annual return for the benchmark index eating dust.</p><p><blockquote>13个月来，华尔街几乎势不可挡。自2020年3月23日触及熊市底部以来，宽基<b>标普500</b>在过去的这个周末，股价飙升了87%。这轻松超过了熊市底部的平均反弹反弹，并让基准指数的历史平均年回报率烟消云散。</blockquote></p><p> Yet even at these lofty levels, Wall Street professionals see value. Based on the consensus one-year price targets of Wall Street analysts, five of the most populargrowth stocksoffer implied upside ranging from a low of 28% to as much as 56%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，即使在这些崇高的水平上，华尔街的专业人士也看到了价值。根据华尔街分析师一致的一年价格目标，五只最受欢迎的成长型股票的隐含上涨空间从28%的低点到高达56%不等。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d19c9dd5972bb303415e3fb9e20fb2d4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify: Implied upside of 31%</p><p><blockquote>Shopify：隐含上涨31%</blockquote></p><p> First up is my absolute favorite software-as-a-service (SaaS) stock,<b>Shopify</b>(NYSE:SHOP). Even after gaining more than 1,000% over the past 3.5 years, Wall Street believes the company's stock offers an additional 31% upside to $1,434 a share over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>首先是我最喜欢的软件即服务（SaaS）股票，<b>Shopify</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SHOP）。尽管在过去3.5年里上涨了1,000%以上，华尔街认为该公司的股票明年还有31%的上涨空间，达到每股1,434美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify's operating model of providing cloud-based e-commerce solutions to (primarily) small businessescouldn't be in a better place at the moment. Although it was initially hit by the pandemic with virtually all other retail-oriented companies, it quickly became apparent that Shopify's e-commerce platform would be a logical beneficiary as businesses shifted course and pushed online. The result was a 96% increase in gross merchandise value (GMV) transacted across its platform in 2020 to $119.6 billion. Over the past six years, GMV has grown at a compound annual rate of 77.7%.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify为（主要）小型企业提供基于云的电子商务解决方案的运营模式目前再好不过了。尽管Shopify最初与几乎所有其他零售型公司一样受到了疫情的打击，但随着企业改变方向并转向线上，Shopify的电子商务平台很快就会成为合乎逻辑的受益者。结果是2020年其平台交易的商品总值(GMV)增长了96%，达到1196亿美元。过去六年，GMV以77.7%的年复合增长率增长。</blockquote></p><p> What's made Shopify tick is both the discovery of the platform by new merchants and the ability to snag worthwhile deals with major retailers. The number of consumers using the platform increased by approximately 52% last year to 457 million. Meanwhile, itpartneredwith the likes of<b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;and<b>Pinterest</b>to streamline aspects of their online sales platforms.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify的成功之处在于新商家对该平台的发现以及与主要零售商达成有价值交易的能力。去年使用该平台的消费者数量增长了约52%，达到4.57亿。与此同时，它与<b>沃尔玛</b>和<b>Pinterest</b>简化他们在线销售平台的各个方面。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify isn't remotely inexpensive on a fundamental basis. But if it can continue to grow its GMV at these insane levels, investors will gladly pay a hefty premium to own Shopify stock.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify从根本上来说并不便宜。但如果它的GMV能够继续以如此疯狂的水平增长，投资者将很乐意支付高额溢价来持有Shopify股票。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df219df7b01fbc2aa008c455f28b99e5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Teladoc Health: Implied upside of 40%</p><p><blockquote>Teladoc Health：隐含上涨40%</blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine giant<b>Teladoc Health</b>(NYSE:TDOC)has been exceptionally popular over the past year, for obvious reasons I'll touch on in a moment. According to Wall Street, shares of Teladoc could ascend past $250 over the next 12 months, giving it an implied upside of 40%.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗巨头<b>Teladoc健康</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TDOC）在过去的一年里非常受欢迎，原因显而易见，我稍后会谈到。据华尔街报道，Teladoc的股价在未来12个月内可能会升至250美元以上，隐含上涨空间为40%。</blockquote></p><p> As you can imagine, physicians wanted to keep at-risk people and potentially infected patients out of offices and hospitals if at all possible last year. This led to Teladoc handling almost 10.6 million virtual visits in 2020, up from around 4.1 million in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>可以想象，去年，如果可能的话，医生希望让高危人群和潜在感染患者远离办公室和医院。这导致Teladoc在2020年处理了近1060万次虚拟访问，高于上一年的约410万次。</blockquote></p><p> But understand that telehealth is agame-changing healthcare modeland not just a one-year wonder because of the pandemic. It's far more convenient for patients, allows physicians to keep closer tabs on at-risk patients, and is usually billed at a lower rate than office visits, which health insurers love. These advantages are exactly why Teladoc's sales grew by an average annual rate of 74% between 2013 and 2019.</p><p><blockquote>但是要明白，远程医疗是一种改变游戏规则的医疗保健模式，而不仅仅是因为疫情而成为一年的奇迹。这对患者来说要方便得多，允许医生更密切地关注高危患者，而且通常比健康保险公司喜欢的办公室就诊收费更低。这些优势正是Teladoc销售额在2013年至2019年间年均增长74%的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, Teladoc has a new toy, so to speak: Itacquired leading applied health signals company Livongo Healthin early November. Livongo leans on artificial intelligence to send tips and nudges to patients with chronic illnesses. These nudges help patients make behavioral changes that result in their leading healthier lives. The addition of Livongo makes Teladoc a veritable no-brainer buy.</p><p><blockquote>此外，可以说，Teladoc还有一个新玩具：它在11月初收购了领先的应用健康信号公司Livongo Health。Livongo依靠人工智能向慢性病患者发送提示和提示。这些轻推帮助患者改变行为，从而过上更健康的生活。Livongo的加入使Teladoc成为名副其实的理所当然的购买对象。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e47e6b6eced3a10e200ffd777619a0c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake: Implied upside of 28%</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake：隐含上涨28%</blockquote></p><p> Another high-growth stock with abundant upside according to Wall Street professionals is cloud data warehousing company<b>Snowflake</b>(NYSE:SNOW). After recently retracing to an all-time low, analysts see Snowflake gaining up to 28% to almost $301 a share over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街专业人士认为，另一只上涨空间巨大的高增长股票是云数据仓库公司<b>雪花</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SNOW）。在最近回落至历史低点后，分析师预计Snowflake在未来12个月内将上涨28%，达到每股近301美元。</blockquote></p><p> As I alluded to with Shopify, we're witnessing a big push by businesses online and into the cloud, which has been a boon for most cloud infrastructure companies. Despite the worst economic downturn in decades, Snowflake grew its product revenue by 120% to $553.8 million in fiscal 2021. Although it's losing a lot of money at the moment, the services Snowflake offers should yield juicy margins as the company matures.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在Shopify中提到的，我们正在见证企业在线和云的大力推动，这对大多数云基础设施公司来说都是一个福音。尽管经历了几十年来最严重的经济衰退，Snowflake在2021财年的产品收入仍增长了120%，达到5.538亿美元。尽管目前损失了很多钱，但随着公司的成熟，Snowflake提供的服务应该会产生丰厚的利润。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Arguably the most interesting thing about Snowflake is itssustainable competitive advantages. For instance, it offers a pay-as-you-go model that shuns the subscriptions that SaaS stocks often covet. By allowing its customers to pay based on their storage needs and Snowflake Compute Credits used, it's offering a highly transparent and cost-effective operating model.</p><p><blockquote>可以说，Snowflake最有趣的事情是其可持续的竞争优势。例如，它提供了一种现收现付模式，避免了SaaS股票经常觊觎的订阅。通过允许客户根据他们的存储需求和使用的雪花计算点数付费，它提供了一种高度透明且经济高效的运营模式。</blockquote></p><p> Even better, its platform islayered atop the most popular cloud infrastructure solutions, which makes the sharing of information seamless, regardless of storage provider.</p><p><blockquote>更好的是，它的平台位于最流行的云基础设施解决方案之上，这使得信息共享无缝，无论存储提供商是谁。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake has some very big shoes to fill with its lofty valuation, but Wall Street believes the company can get it done.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的高估值需要填补一些非常大的空缺，但华尔街相信该公司能够做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbafad9e87b7b7dacfefe92d4741b655\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Datadog: Implied upside of 35%</p><p><blockquote>Datadog：隐含上涨35%</blockquote></p><p> Have I mentioned that Wall Street has a thing forSaaS stocks? In addition to Shopify and Snowflake, analysts believe that application monitoring solutions provider<b>Datadog</b>(NASDAQ:DDOG)could surge to $121 a share over the next year. This implies up to 35% upside in its shares.</p><p><blockquote>我有没有提到华尔街对SaaS股票情有独钟？除了Shopify和Snowflake之外，分析师认为应用监控解决方案提供商<b>Datadog</b>（纳斯达克：DDOG）明年可能飙升至每股121美元。这意味着其股价还有高达35%的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping with the theme, Datadog looks to benefit from businesses completely shifting their strategy in the wake of the pandemic. With employees working remotely, it's become more important than ever that businesses stay on top of key metrics, oversee critical applications, and fully understand the behavior of their customers. Datadog's cloud-based solutions do all of this for its clients.</p><p><blockquote>与主题保持一致，Datadog希望从大流行后企业彻底转变战略中受益。随着员工远程工作，企业掌握关键指标、监督关键应用程序并充分了解客户的行为变得比以往任何时候都更加重要。Datadog基于云的解决方案为其客户完成了所有这些工作。</blockquote></p><p> What's been most impressive about Datadog is the company's ability to attract bigger clients. While a 46% increase in customers with at least $100,000 in annual recurring revenue (ARR) is nice, the \"wow\" number is the 94% increase in the number of customers generating at least $1 million in ARR. This is a big reason the company's sales shot 66% higher in 2020 to $603.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>Datadog最令人印象深刻的是该公司吸引更大客户的能力。虽然年经常性收入(ARR)至少为100,000美元的客户增加46%是不错的，但令人惊叹的数字是ARR至少为100万美元的客户数量增加了94%。这是该公司2020年销售额猛增66%至6.035亿美元的一个重要原因。</blockquote></p><p> Similar to Snowflake, Datadog has a lot to prove with its lofty price-to-sales ratio. However, if it can continue to grow its sales by more than 30% annually, there'sno reason Wall Street's price target isn't within reach.</p><p><blockquote>与Snowflake类似，Datadog凭借其高昂的市销率需要证明很多东西。然而，如果它的销售额能够继续以每年30%以上的速度增长，那么华尔街的价格目标就没有理由达不到。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99b3853458b2424e2901821012f5502f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase: Implied upside of 56%</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase：隐含上涨56%</blockquote></p><p> Finally, recent initial public offering<b>Coinbase</b>(NASDAQ:COIN)offers the highest perceived upside among these five fast-growing companies. Though there were only four price targets listed through this past weekend, a lofty target of $600 a share skewed the consensus up to $456 a share. This suggests Coinbase could gain 56% over the coming 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>最后，近期首次公开发行<b>Coinbase</b>（纳斯达克：COIN）在这五家快速增长的公司中提供了最高的上涨空间。尽管上周末只列出了四个目标价，但每股600美元的崇高目标将共识扭曲至每股456美元。这表明Coinbase在未来12个月内可能会上涨56%。</blockquote></p><p> There's no doubt that Coinbase has benefited from the euphoria surrounding cryptocurrencies like<b>Bitcoin</b>and&nbsp;<b>Ethereum</b>. With both rallying to new highs this year, Coinbase recorded $1.8 billion in revenue in the first quarter. For some context, that's more revenue than it had generated in the previous 24 months combined!</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，Coinbase受益于围绕加密货币的兴奋，例如<b>比特币</b>和<b>以太币</b>.随着今年两者都反弹至新高，Coinbase第一季度营收为18亿美元。在某些情况下，这比过去24个月的收入总和还要多！</blockquote></p><p> However, unlike the other popular companies listed here,Coinbase's advantages look flimsy, at best. It runs the risk of competing crypto brokerages undercutting its fees, which could reduce its operating margins and growth rate dramatically over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与这里列出的其他受欢迎的公司不同，Coinbase的优势充其量看起来很脆弱。它面临着竞争加密货币经纪公司降低其费用的风险，随着时间的推移，这可能会大幅降低其营业利润率和增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore,its business model looks to be built upon euphoria&nbsp;rather than innovation. With most of its revenue coming from Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, it's worrisome to see what happens when the price of these key assets stops rising. In a two-year stretch where Bitcoin lost 80% of its value, Coinbase saw its revenue nearly get halved.</p><p><blockquote>此外，它的商业模式看起来是建立在兴奋而不是创新之上的。由于其大部分收入来自比特币和以太币交易，当这些关键资产的价格停止上涨时会发生什么令人担忧。在比特币市值损失80%的两年内，Coinbase的收入几乎减半。</blockquote></p><p> In sum, Wall Street may be bullish on Coinbase, but this Fool isn't.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，华尔街可能看好Coinbase，但这个傻瓜却不看好。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/28/5-growth-stocks-with-28-to-56-upside-wall-street/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","DDOG":"Datadog","SNOW":"Snowflake","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/28/5-growth-stocks-with-28-to-56-upside-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138128459","content_text":"For 13 months, Wall Street has proved virtually unstoppable. Since hitting a bear market bottom on March 23, 2020, the broad-basedS&P 500has galloped higher by 87%, through this past weekend. This handily outpaces the average bounce-back rally from a bear-market bottom and leaves the historic average annual return for the benchmark index eating dust.\nYet even at these lofty levels, Wall Street professionals see value. Based on the consensus one-year price targets of Wall Street analysts, five of the most populargrowth stocksoffer implied upside ranging from a low of 28% to as much as 56%.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nShopify: Implied upside of 31%\nFirst up is my absolute favorite software-as-a-service (SaaS) stock,Shopify(NYSE:SHOP). Even after gaining more than 1,000% over the past 3.5 years, Wall Street believes the company's stock offers an additional 31% upside to $1,434 a share over the next year.\nShopify's operating model of providing cloud-based e-commerce solutions to (primarily) small businessescouldn't be in a better place at the moment. Although it was initially hit by the pandemic with virtually all other retail-oriented companies, it quickly became apparent that Shopify's e-commerce platform would be a logical beneficiary as businesses shifted course and pushed online. The result was a 96% increase in gross merchandise value (GMV) transacted across its platform in 2020 to $119.6 billion. Over the past six years, GMV has grown at a compound annual rate of 77.7%.\nWhat's made Shopify tick is both the discovery of the platform by new merchants and the ability to snag worthwhile deals with major retailers. The number of consumers using the platform increased by approximately 52% last year to 457 million. Meanwhile, itpartneredwith the likes ofWalmart andPinterestto streamline aspects of their online sales platforms.\nShopify isn't remotely inexpensive on a fundamental basis. But if it can continue to grow its GMV at these insane levels, investors will gladly pay a hefty premium to own Shopify stock.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nTeladoc Health: Implied upside of 40%\nTelemedicine giantTeladoc Health(NYSE:TDOC)has been exceptionally popular over the past year, for obvious reasons I'll touch on in a moment. According to Wall Street, shares of Teladoc could ascend past $250 over the next 12 months, giving it an implied upside of 40%.\nAs you can imagine, physicians wanted to keep at-risk people and potentially infected patients out of offices and hospitals if at all possible last year. This led to Teladoc handling almost 10.6 million virtual visits in 2020, up from around 4.1 million in the previous year.\nBut understand that telehealth is agame-changing healthcare modeland not just a one-year wonder because of the pandemic. It's far more convenient for patients, allows physicians to keep closer tabs on at-risk patients, and is usually billed at a lower rate than office visits, which health insurers love. These advantages are exactly why Teladoc's sales grew by an average annual rate of 74% between 2013 and 2019.\nFurthermore, Teladoc has a new toy, so to speak: Itacquired leading applied health signals company Livongo Healthin early November. Livongo leans on artificial intelligence to send tips and nudges to patients with chronic illnesses. These nudges help patients make behavioral changes that result in their leading healthier lives. The addition of Livongo makes Teladoc a veritable no-brainer buy.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nSnowflake: Implied upside of 28%\nAnother high-growth stock with abundant upside according to Wall Street professionals is cloud data warehousing companySnowflake(NYSE:SNOW). After recently retracing to an all-time low, analysts see Snowflake gaining up to 28% to almost $301 a share over the next 12 months.\nAs I alluded to with Shopify, we're witnessing a big push by businesses online and into the cloud, which has been a boon for most cloud infrastructure companies. Despite the worst economic downturn in decades, Snowflake grew its product revenue by 120% to $553.8 million in fiscal 2021. Although it's losing a lot of money at the moment, the services Snowflake offers should yield juicy margins as the company matures.\nArguably the most interesting thing about Snowflake is itssustainable competitive advantages. For instance, it offers a pay-as-you-go model that shuns the subscriptions that SaaS stocks often covet. By allowing its customers to pay based on their storage needs and Snowflake Compute Credits used, it's offering a highly transparent and cost-effective operating model.\nEven better, its platform islayered atop the most popular cloud infrastructure solutions, which makes the sharing of information seamless, regardless of storage provider.\nSnowflake has some very big shoes to fill with its lofty valuation, but Wall Street believes the company can get it done.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nDatadog: Implied upside of 35%\nHave I mentioned that Wall Street has a thing forSaaS stocks? In addition to Shopify and Snowflake, analysts believe that application monitoring solutions providerDatadog(NASDAQ:DDOG)could surge to $121 a share over the next year. This implies up to 35% upside in its shares.\nKeeping with the theme, Datadog looks to benefit from businesses completely shifting their strategy in the wake of the pandemic. With employees working remotely, it's become more important than ever that businesses stay on top of key metrics, oversee critical applications, and fully understand the behavior of their customers. Datadog's cloud-based solutions do all of this for its clients.\nWhat's been most impressive about Datadog is the company's ability to attract bigger clients. While a 46% increase in customers with at least $100,000 in annual recurring revenue (ARR) is nice, the \"wow\" number is the 94% increase in the number of customers generating at least $1 million in ARR. This is a big reason the company's sales shot 66% higher in 2020 to $603.5 million.\nSimilar to Snowflake, Datadog has a lot to prove with its lofty price-to-sales ratio. However, if it can continue to grow its sales by more than 30% annually, there'sno reason Wall Street's price target isn't within reach.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nCoinbase: Implied upside of 56%\nFinally, recent initial public offeringCoinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)offers the highest perceived upside among these five fast-growing companies. Though there were only four price targets listed through this past weekend, a lofty target of $600 a share skewed the consensus up to $456 a share. This suggests Coinbase could gain 56% over the coming 12 months.\nThere's no doubt that Coinbase has benefited from the euphoria surrounding cryptocurrencies likeBitcoinand Ethereum. With both rallying to new highs this year, Coinbase recorded $1.8 billion in revenue in the first quarter. For some context, that's more revenue than it had generated in the previous 24 months combined!\nHowever, unlike the other popular companies listed here,Coinbase's advantages look flimsy, at best. It runs the risk of competing crypto brokerages undercutting its fees, which could reduce its operating margins and growth rate dramatically over time.\nFurthermore,its business model looks to be built upon euphoria rather than innovation. With most of its revenue coming from Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, it's worrisome to see what happens when the price of these key assets stops rising. In a two-year stretch where Bitcoin lost 80% of its value, Coinbase saw its revenue nearly get halved.\nIn sum, Wall Street may be bullish on Coinbase, but this Fool isn't.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9,"TDOC":0.9,"SHOP":0.9,"SNOW":0.9,"DDOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800487941,"gmtCreate":1627312586283,"gmtModify":1631883986535,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What’s there to be ready? Crash so what? JUST LOAD UP THOSE DARN STONKS ONLY AH [Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"What’s there to be ready? Crash so what? JUST LOAD UP THOSE DARN STONKS ONLY AH [Miser]&nbsp;","text":"What’s there to be ready? Crash so what? JUST LOAD UP THOSE DARN STONKS ONLY AH [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800487941","repostId":"2154454934","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2009,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179869558,"gmtCreate":1626503772174,"gmtModify":1633926163759,"author":{"id":"3580001001481457","authorId":"3580001001481457","name":"Pengwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa79ab2280befd8251905f4287c40ba8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580001001481457","authorIdStr":"3580001001481457"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Market crash boooohoooooooo, I’m shooooooo scaredddddd","listText":"Market crash boooohoooooooo, I’m shooooooo scaredddddd","text":"Market crash boooohoooooooo, I’m shooooooo scaredddddd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179869558","repostId":"2151350423","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}