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2021-08-23

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ will history repeat?

The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>

2021-06-14

Things to read for Meme follower

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2021-07-02

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Is that a chance or a danger?

2021-06-04

Is that the end of hype?

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2021-05-27

Another bullish call to bitcoin??

Apple Is Looking for Crypto Experience in ‘Alternative Payments’ Job Post<blockquote>苹果正在寻找“替代支付”领域的加密货币经验</blockquote>

2021-05-01

Look alike the Avenger show for investment version

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2021-07-10

$Apple(AAPL)$for the win

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2021-06-10

When $World Wrestling Entertainment(WWE)$meet WSB

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2021-06-03

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$to the moon after crypto

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2021-05-21

Interesting.

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Waiting for breakout","listText":"Good doggie performace at tough&nbsp;period. Waiting for breakout","text":"Good doggie performace at tough period. Waiting for breakout","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1baadf7324845570af7b28347cb9d52","width":"750","height":"2007"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889643864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817583910,"gmtCreate":1630975007730,"gmtModify":1631889863317,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581565649060536","authorIdStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Chip war","listText":"Chip war","text":"Chip war","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817583910","repostId":"1113754693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113754693","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630974255,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1113754693?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 08:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Chip prices set to rise into 2022 as TSMC hikes rates<blockquote>随着台积电加息，芯片价格将在 2022 年上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113754693","media":"Nikkei Asia","summary":"Semiconductor and electronics prices are set to rise absent major economic slowdowns\nTSMC's move to ","content":"<p><div> Semiconductor and electronics prices are set to rise absent major economic slowdowns TSMC's move to raise its fees for chip production services took many in the industry by surprise. © AFP/Jiji TAIPEI...</p><p><blockquote><div>在没有重大经济放缓的情况下，半导体和电子产品价格将会上涨台积电提高芯片生产服务费的举措让许多业内人士感到意外。©法新社/时事台北...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Tech/Semiconductors/Chip-prices-set-to-rise-into-2022-as-TSMC-hikes-rates\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Tech/Semiconductors/Chip-prices-set-to-rise-into-2022-as-TSMC-hikes-rates\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chip prices set to rise into 2022 as TSMC hikes rates<blockquote>随着台积电加息，芯片价格将在 2022 年上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChip prices set to rise into 2022 as TSMC hikes rates<blockquote>随着台积电加息，芯片价格将在 2022 年上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Nikkei Asia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 08:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Semiconductor and electronics prices are set to rise absent major economic slowdowns TSMC's move to raise its fees for chip production services took many in the industry by surprise. © AFP/Jiji TAIPEI...</p><p><blockquote><div>在没有重大经济放缓的情况下，半导体和电子产品价格将会上涨台积电提高芯片生产服务费的举措让许多业内人士感到意外。©法新社/时事台北...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Tech/Semiconductors/Chip-prices-set-to-rise-into-2022-as-TSMC-hikes-rates\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Tech/Semiconductors/Chip-prices-set-to-rise-into-2022-as-TSMC-hikes-rates\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Tech/Semiconductors/Chip-prices-set-to-rise-into-2022-as-TSMC-hikes-rates\">Nikkei Asia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QCOM":"高通","AMD":"美国超微公司","TSM":"台积电","AAPL":"苹果","UMC":"联电","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Tech/Semiconductors/Chip-prices-set-to-rise-into-2022-as-TSMC-hikes-rates","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113754693","content_text":"Semiconductor and electronics prices are set to rise absent major economic slowdowns\nTSMC's move to raise its fees for chip production services took many in the industry by surprise. © AFP/Jiji\nTAIPEI/HSINCHU, Taiwan -- The price of chips -- and the electronic devices they power -- are on track to rise into 2022 as the world's biggest contract chipmaker joins its rivals in ramping up production fees.\nPrices of semiconductors have been climbing since the last quarter of 2020 amid a global supply crunch. But news that Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. was preparing its biggest price hike in a decade still came as a shock to some, bringing home just how entrenched chip price inflation has become.\nTSMC controls over half the global foundry market, making chips for the likes of Apple, Nvidia and Qualcomm. Known for its cutting-edge tech and high quality, the Taiwanese company normally commands production fees around 20% higher than its rivals, according to industry insiders.\nSince the end of last year, however, smaller foundries have repeatedly ramped up their own prices, so that United Microelectronics, the world's No. 3 player, now charges more than its bigger compatriot for some services, four industry executives told Nikkei Asia.\nThese higher prices stem from a range of factors, including higher material and logistics costs as well as the race by device makers to secure adequate chip supplies, that have emerged since the chip shortage first began to bite late last year.\nTSMC has been slower than most other chip companies in raising its prices, in part because it already enjoyed such a hefty premium. But with investment costs also rising -- the company has pledged $100 billion in spending over the next three years -- the chip giant felt compelled to pass on some of the burden, sources briefed on the matter said.\nMore urgently, industry sources say, the company is keen to weed out so-called double-booking, in which clients place orders for more chips than they actually need in hopes of securing production line space and support from contract chipmakers amid the global supply crunch. This, in turn, has made it difficult for TSMC to grasp the \"real demand\" picture, sources briefed on the matter told Nikkei.\nClient reactions to the planned price rise are mixed.\n\"We are glad that TSMC eventually adjusted prices so that it could fend off the practice of double-booking, when industry players race to secure enough chip production capacity during a shortage,\" K.S. Pua, chairman and CEO of Phison Electronics, told Nikkei. The leading NAND flash controller chip and solution provider is a client of both TSMC and UMC.\n\"We are still short of supplies and want more chip capacity to support our growth for the second half of 2021,\" Pua said.\nPhison raised its own chip prices around April this year to reflect the rising supply chain costs, and Pua said his company will have discussions with clients about further increases.\nOthers, however, have expressed concern over whether they will be able to pass on these higher costs to customers.\n\"We are all in a great shock and all of our account managers need to speak to our customers to see if we can renegotiate some of the contracts,\" a chip executive told Nikkei. \"We haven't seen TSMC introduce such a broad rate increase in over a decade.\"\nThe impact of TSMC's price will be felt more obviously from next year, analysts say, as the company is still working through existing orders. Customers will also negotiate their own specific terms with TSMC before Oct. 1, when the price hikes officially take effect, they said.\nOverall chip prices, however, have already surged.\nAccording to Dale Gai, research director of Counterpoint Research, chip developers are paying 40% higher production fees for legacy chips that are in the shortest supply.\n\nElectronics makers, meanwhile, face even steeper increases as they try to source enough chips to complete their devices. The price of some microcontroller chips, for example, has jumped from $0.20 each to more than $1, supply chain executives and distributors told Nikkei -- a 400% increase in less than a year.\nThe reason is that these chips, while not necessarily the most important part of a smartphone or server, are still essential and not easily replaced. Such chips can also be stockpiled more easily than, say, CPUs, which quickly become obsolete, so anyone who has extra inventory can name their price if they find a buyer in need.\nPrices have risen in just about every step of the chip supply chain, from basic materials to chip packing and testing services -- the last step before chips are mounted on printed circuit boards.\nFor top chip developers that outsource production -- namely Qualcomm, Nvidia, MediaTek and Advanced Micro Devices -- this translated to an increase in \"cost of sales\" in 2020, according to a Nikkei analysis. Defined as the total cost of production, materials and delivery of goods, cost of sales continued to surge in the first half of 2021.\nMobile chip giant Qualcomm's accumulated cost of sales from last October until June this year jumped nearly 60% on the year, while that of MediaTek, its key Asia rival, increased more than 64% for the same period. Both Qualcomm and MediaTek's revenue surged even more during the period, however, indicating they have adjusted the selling prices of their chips, which are used by the world's major smartphone makers.\nIndustry players and analysts predict strong chip demand -- and thus higher prices -- to continue into next year.\nDoris Hsu, chair and CEO of Globalwafers, the world's third-largest wafer material maker, said the price of wafers -- the essential substrate that all chips are fabricated on -- is set to go up.\n\"Materials and chemicals used in production and transportation logistics costs are all on the rise,\" Hsu said. \"That means we have to adjust the selling price of our wafers, otherwise our profit margin could be affected.\"\nPeter Hanbury, a partner specializing in chip and tech supply chain at Bain & Co., told Nikkei chip prices will likely rise into next year due to the time it takes to expand production capacity.\nChip developers such as Qualcomm, NXP and Nvidia, he added, will likely negotiate to pass these price increases onto their own customers -- namely device makers and electronics builders such as Apple, Samsung, Xiaomi, HP, Dell and Ford.\n\"[For] products like smartphones and PCs, the price increases will be more noticeable, while for other devices with limited semiconductor content you may not even notice,\" Hanbury said, referring to the retail prices.\nGai, of Counterpoint Research, said the rising cost of chips may even impact smartphone makers' business strategies.\n\"The net profit margin for smartphone makers excluding Apple is only about 5% to 10%. In that case, the rising chip costs will definitely push all the industry players to roll out higher-end handset models for next year to offset the cost impacts rather than focus on midrange or lower-end phones,\" he said.\nMeanwhile, the race to develop cutting-edge technologies is also expected to keep chip prices high for the long term, particularly the more advanced offerings.\n\"Advanced chip production, such as 7-nanometer, 5-nanometer and future 3-nanometer, is extremely expensive,\" Mark Li, a veteran semiconductor analyst with Sanford C. Bernstein, told Nikkei. \"Only TSMC, Samsung and Intel could afford the investment. I am not going to say those advanced chip prices will never fall, but it's not easy for them to go down much given the scale of the investment,\" Li said.\nFor smaller players and for more mature production technology, Li said the market \"could be more volatile once there is an economic slowdown. The correction could be quite substantial and quick, too.\"\nLi said the most important factor in determining prices, however, is the same as always: demand.\n\"Chip plants operate like airlines. Airlines must shoulder fixed costs even if there are only one or two passengers on board. Chipmaking plants are the same. If the demand slows, they have to lower prices to lure more clients and maintain utilization rates.\"\nTSMC told Nikkei that it will not comment on pricing adjustment but referred to CEO C.C. Wei's statement during an earnings briefing in July, when he said, \"TSMC's pricing strategy is strategic, not opportunistic. At the same time, we face manufacturing cost challenges due to increasing process complexity at leading node, new investment in mature nodes, expansion of our global manufacturing footprint and rising materials and basic commodities cost. Therefore, we are firming up our wafer pricing.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UMC":0.9,"AMD":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"QCOM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3434,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832762595,"gmtCreate":1629678661018,"gmtModify":1631889863328,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581565649060536","authorIdStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Will history repeat?","listText":"Will history repeat?","text":"Will history repeat?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832762595","repostId":"1111103954","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111103954","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629675616,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111103954?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111103954","media":"Barrons","summary":"Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.\nBack then, the worl","content":"<p>Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>半导体可能是新的石油——这可能会使 2020 年代成为新的 1970 年代。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.</p><p><blockquote>当时，世界依赖石油——供应的任何变化都会对需求产生巨大影响。当石油输出国组织在20世纪70年代对美国实施禁运时，原油价格从20世纪70年代初的每桶约3美元上涨到20世纪70年代末的每桶13美元。美国甚至在1974年发放了天然气配给券。</blockquote></p><p> The spike was good news for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil</a>, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.</p><p><blockquote>飙升对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>20 世纪 70 年代，该公司的回报率分别约为 100% 和 70%，但随着通货膨胀的肆虐，这对其他人来说都是痛苦的。过去十年，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别仅上涨了 17% 和 5%。</blockquote></p><p> If oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.</p><p><blockquote>如果说石油是 20 世纪 70 年代经济的必要组成部分，那么芯片在 2020 年代提供了同样的功能。从我们的电脑和手机到我们的汽车和电器，它们为一切提供动力。而且，众所周知，根据 Susquehanna Financial Group 的数据，目前存在短缺，交货时间已延长至 20 周以上。</blockquote></p><p> Roughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.</p><p><blockquote>世界上大约80%的芯片是在东北亚制造的。政界人士意识到这是一个多么大的问题，他们已经开始要求本地制造，乔·拜登总统今年早些时候提出了一项500亿美元的芯片研究计划。包括半导体在内的任何行业的回流都是一个长达数年的过程，需要数十亿美元的资本。会有赢家和输家。而且如果持续太久，就会过滤到各种商品的价格中。</blockquote></p><p> “Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>“TS Lombard 的罗里-格林（Rory Green）和史蒂文-布利茨（Steven Blitz）在 1 月份写道：”与需求快速增长相关的短缺可能会演变成通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>&nbsp;this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.</p><p><blockquote>全年，全球半导体短缺一直是汽车行业的一根刺。它应该会在2021年下半年自行解决。但宣布更多减产<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>过去一周表明，这个问题不会很快消失。事实上，加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克认为，短缺可能会持续数年。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.</p><p><blockquote>斯帕克说，部分问题是结构性的。电动汽车需要更多的计算能力，但汽车行业通常依赖于老一代芯片技术，而芯片制造商并不容易增加这些技术的产能。相反，他们更喜欢专注于消费电子行业更新、更高端的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> The result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：加油站没有排队，汽车经销商也有排队。新车和二手车库存低推高了价格，并导致通胀上升。2021年上半年二手车价格上涨约20%，新车价格上涨约3%。二手车价格上涨已开始放缓，但新车价格上涨正在加速，7月份同比上涨约7%。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>这对消费者不利，但汽车制造商将从中受益。受限的生产将导致持续的低库存和更高的价格。公司将减少汽车销量，但价格上涨抵消了这一影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>2021 年股价分别上涨 43% 和 17%，两者的交易价格仍约为 2022 年市盈率的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a>. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.</p><p><blockquote>这还只是汽车行业。芯片短缺持续的时间越长，各类产品的价格上涨幅度就越大。这将使芯片制造商受益，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>华尔街看到了后者的上行空间。大约三分之二的分析师报道了其购买的股票价格，平均目标价意味着约 33% 的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望 RadioShack 外面会排起长队，但预计芯片短缺的情况也会一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 07:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>半导体可能是新的石油——这可能会使 2020 年代成为新的 1970 年代。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.</p><p><blockquote>当时，世界依赖石油——供应的任何变化都会对需求产生巨大影响。当石油输出国组织在20世纪70年代对美国实施禁运时，原油价格从20世纪70年代初的每桶约3美元上涨到20世纪70年代末的每桶13美元。美国甚至在1974年发放了天然气配给券。</blockquote></p><p> The spike was good news for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil</a>, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.</p><p><blockquote>飙升对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>20 世纪 70 年代，该公司的回报率分别约为 100% 和 70%，但随着通货膨胀的肆虐，这对其他人来说都是痛苦的。过去十年，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别仅上涨了 17% 和 5%。</blockquote></p><p> If oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.</p><p><blockquote>如果说石油是 20 世纪 70 年代经济的必要组成部分，那么芯片在 2020 年代提供了同样的功能。从我们的电脑和手机到我们的汽车和电器，它们为一切提供动力。而且，众所周知，根据 Susquehanna Financial Group 的数据，目前存在短缺，交货时间已延长至 20 周以上。</blockquote></p><p> Roughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.</p><p><blockquote>世界上大约80%的芯片是在东北亚制造的。政界人士意识到这是一个多么大的问题，他们已经开始要求本地制造，乔·拜登总统今年早些时候提出了一项500亿美元的芯片研究计划。包括半导体在内的任何行业的回流都是一个长达数年的过程，需要数十亿美元的资本。会有赢家和输家。而且如果持续太久，就会过滤到各种商品的价格中。</blockquote></p><p> “Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>“TS Lombard 的罗里-格林（Rory Green）和史蒂文-布利茨（Steven Blitz）在 1 月份写道：”与需求快速增长相关的短缺可能会演变成通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>&nbsp;this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.</p><p><blockquote>全年，全球半导体短缺一直是汽车行业的一根刺。它应该会在2021年下半年自行解决。但宣布更多减产<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>过去一周表明，这个问题不会很快消失。事实上，加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克认为，短缺可能会持续数年。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.</p><p><blockquote>斯帕克说，部分问题是结构性的。电动汽车需要更多的计算能力，但汽车行业通常依赖于老一代芯片技术，而芯片制造商并不容易增加这些技术的产能。相反，他们更喜欢专注于消费电子行业更新、更高端的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> The result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：加油站没有排队，汽车经销商也有排队。新车和二手车库存低推高了价格，并导致通胀上升。2021年上半年二手车价格上涨约20%，新车价格上涨约3%。二手车价格上涨已开始放缓，但新车价格上涨正在加速，7月份同比上涨约7%。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>这对消费者不利，但汽车制造商将从中受益。受限的生产将导致持续的低库存和更高的价格。公司将减少汽车销量，但价格上涨抵消了这一影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>2021 年股价分别上涨 43% 和 17%，两者的交易价格仍约为 2022 年市盈率的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a>. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.</p><p><blockquote>这还只是汽车行业。芯片短缺持续的时间越长，各类产品的价格上涨幅度就越大。这将使芯片制造商受益，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>华尔街看到了后者的上行空间。大约三分之二的分析师报道了其购买的股票价格，平均目标价意味着约 33% 的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望 RadioShack 外面会排起长队，但预计芯片短缺的情况也会一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-stocks-economy-51629507891?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","XOM":"埃克森美孚","AMD":"美国超微公司","CVX":"雪佛龙","INTC":"英特尔","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-stocks-economy-51629507891?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111103954","content_text":"Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.\nBack then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.\nThe spike was good news for Chevron and Exxon Mobil, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.\nIf oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.\nRoughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.\n“Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.\nThe global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by Toyota this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.\nPart of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.\nThe result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.\nThat’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. Ford and General Motors shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.\nAnd that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.\nDon’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9,"MU":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"XOM":0.9,"AMD":0.9,"CVX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832762393,"gmtCreate":1629678647312,"gmtModify":1631889863339,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581565649060536","authorIdStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Will history repeat?","listText":"Will history repeat?","text":"Will history repeat?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832762393","repostId":"1111103954","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111103954","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629675616,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111103954?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111103954","media":"Barrons","summary":"Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.\nBack then, the worl","content":"<p>Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>半导体可能是新的石油——这可能会使 2020 年代成为新的 1970 年代。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.</p><p><blockquote>当时，世界依赖石油——供应的任何变化都会对需求产生巨大影响。当石油输出国组织在20世纪70年代对美国实施禁运时，原油价格从20世纪70年代初的每桶约3美元上涨到20世纪70年代末的每桶13美元。美国甚至在1974年发放了天然气配给券。</blockquote></p><p> The spike was good news for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil</a>, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.</p><p><blockquote>飙升对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>20 世纪 70 年代，该公司的回报率分别约为 100% 和 70%，但随着通货膨胀的肆虐，这对其他人来说都是痛苦的。过去十年，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别仅上涨了 17% 和 5%。</blockquote></p><p> If oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.</p><p><blockquote>如果说石油是 20 世纪 70 年代经济的必要组成部分，那么芯片在 2020 年代提供了同样的功能。从我们的电脑和手机到我们的汽车和电器，它们为一切提供动力。而且，众所周知，根据 Susquehanna Financial Group 的数据，目前存在短缺，交货时间已延长至 20 周以上。</blockquote></p><p> Roughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.</p><p><blockquote>世界上大约80%的芯片是在东北亚制造的。政界人士意识到这是一个多么大的问题，他们已经开始要求本地制造，乔·拜登总统今年早些时候提出了一项500亿美元的芯片研究计划。包括半导体在内的任何行业的回流都是一个长达数年的过程，需要数十亿美元的资本。会有赢家和输家。而且如果持续太久，就会过滤到各种商品的价格中。</blockquote></p><p> “Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>“TS Lombard 的罗里-格林（Rory Green）和史蒂文-布利茨（Steven Blitz）在 1 月份写道：”与需求快速增长相关的短缺可能会演变成通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>&nbsp;this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.</p><p><blockquote>全年，全球半导体短缺一直是汽车行业的一根刺。它应该会在2021年下半年自行解决。但宣布更多减产<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>过去一周表明，这个问题不会很快消失。事实上，加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克认为，短缺可能会持续数年。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.</p><p><blockquote>斯帕克说，部分问题是结构性的。电动汽车需要更多的计算能力，但汽车行业通常依赖于老一代芯片技术，而芯片制造商并不容易增加这些技术的产能。相反，他们更喜欢专注于消费电子行业更新、更高端的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> The result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：加油站没有排队，汽车经销商也有排队。新车和二手车库存低推高了价格，并导致通胀上升。2021年上半年二手车价格上涨约20%，新车价格上涨约3%。二手车价格上涨已开始放缓，但新车价格上涨正在加速，7月份同比上涨约7%。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>这对消费者不利，但汽车制造商将从中受益。受限的生产将导致持续的低库存和更高的价格。公司将减少汽车销量，但价格上涨抵消了这一影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>2021 年股价分别上涨 43% 和 17%，两者的交易价格仍约为 2022 年市盈率的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a>. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.</p><p><blockquote>这还只是汽车行业。芯片短缺持续的时间越长，各类产品的价格上涨幅度就越大。这将使芯片制造商受益，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>华尔街看到了后者的上行空间。大约三分之二的分析师报道了其购买的股票价格，平均目标价意味着约 33% 的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望 RadioShack 外面会排起长队，但预计芯片短缺的情况也会一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 07:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>半导体可能是新的石油——这可能会使 2020 年代成为新的 1970 年代。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.</p><p><blockquote>当时，世界依赖石油——供应的任何变化都会对需求产生巨大影响。当石油输出国组织在20世纪70年代对美国实施禁运时，原油价格从20世纪70年代初的每桶约3美元上涨到20世纪70年代末的每桶13美元。美国甚至在1974年发放了天然气配给券。</blockquote></p><p> The spike was good news for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil</a>, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.</p><p><blockquote>飙升对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>20 世纪 70 年代，该公司的回报率分别约为 100% 和 70%，但随着通货膨胀的肆虐，这对其他人来说都是痛苦的。过去十年，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别仅上涨了 17% 和 5%。</blockquote></p><p> If oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.</p><p><blockquote>如果说石油是 20 世纪 70 年代经济的必要组成部分，那么芯片在 2020 年代提供了同样的功能。从我们的电脑和手机到我们的汽车和电器，它们为一切提供动力。而且，众所周知，根据 Susquehanna Financial Group 的数据，目前存在短缺，交货时间已延长至 20 周以上。</blockquote></p><p> Roughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.</p><p><blockquote>世界上大约80%的芯片是在东北亚制造的。政界人士意识到这是一个多么大的问题，他们已经开始要求本地制造，乔·拜登总统今年早些时候提出了一项500亿美元的芯片研究计划。包括半导体在内的任何行业的回流都是一个长达数年的过程，需要数十亿美元的资本。会有赢家和输家。而且如果持续太久，就会过滤到各种商品的价格中。</blockquote></p><p> “Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>“TS Lombard 的罗里-格林（Rory Green）和史蒂文-布利茨（Steven Blitz）在 1 月份写道：”与需求快速增长相关的短缺可能会演变成通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>&nbsp;this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.</p><p><blockquote>全年，全球半导体短缺一直是汽车行业的一根刺。它应该会在2021年下半年自行解决。但宣布更多减产<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>过去一周表明，这个问题不会很快消失。事实上，加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克认为，短缺可能会持续数年。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.</p><p><blockquote>斯帕克说，部分问题是结构性的。电动汽车需要更多的计算能力，但汽车行业通常依赖于老一代芯片技术，而芯片制造商并不容易增加这些技术的产能。相反，他们更喜欢专注于消费电子行业更新、更高端的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> The result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：加油站没有排队，汽车经销商也有排队。新车和二手车库存低推高了价格，并导致通胀上升。2021年上半年二手车价格上涨约20%，新车价格上涨约3%。二手车价格上涨已开始放缓，但新车价格上涨正在加速，7月份同比上涨约7%。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>这对消费者不利，但汽车制造商将从中受益。受限的生产将导致持续的低库存和更高的价格。公司将减少汽车销量，但价格上涨抵消了这一影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>2021 年股价分别上涨 43% 和 17%，两者的交易价格仍约为 2022 年市盈率的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a>. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.</p><p><blockquote>这还只是汽车行业。芯片短缺持续的时间越长，各类产品的价格上涨幅度就越大。这将使芯片制造商受益，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>华尔街看到了后者的上行空间。大约三分之二的分析师报道了其购买的股票价格，平均目标价意味着约 33% 的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望 RadioShack 外面会排起长队，但预计芯片短缺的情况也会一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-stocks-economy-51629507891?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","XOM":"埃克森美孚","AMD":"美国超微公司","CVX":"雪佛龙","INTC":"英特尔","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-stocks-economy-51629507891?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111103954","content_text":"Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.\nBack then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.\nThe spike was good news for Chevron and Exxon Mobil, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.\nIf oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.\nRoughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.\n“Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.\nThe global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by Toyota this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.\nPart of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.\nThe result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.\nThat’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. Ford and General Motors shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.\nAnd that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.\nDon’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9,"MU":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"XOM":0.9,"AMD":0.9,"CVX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832768565,"gmtCreate":1629678589557,"gmtModify":1631885282486,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581565649060536","authorIdStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$</a> will history repeat?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$</a> will history repeat?","text":"$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ will history repeat?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832768565","repostId":"1111103954","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111103954","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629675616,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111103954?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111103954","media":"Barrons","summary":"Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.\nBack then, the worl","content":"<p>Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>半导体可能是新的石油——这可能会使 2020 年代成为新的 1970 年代。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.</p><p><blockquote>当时，世界依赖石油——供应的任何变化都会对需求产生巨大影响。当石油输出国组织在20世纪70年代对美国实施禁运时，原油价格从20世纪70年代初的每桶约3美元上涨到20世纪70年代末的每桶13美元。美国甚至在1974年发放了天然气配给券。</blockquote></p><p> The spike was good news for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil</a>, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.</p><p><blockquote>飙升对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>20 世纪 70 年代，该公司的回报率分别约为 100% 和 70%，但随着通货膨胀的肆虐，这对其他人来说都是痛苦的。过去十年，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别仅上涨了 17% 和 5%。</blockquote></p><p> If oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.</p><p><blockquote>如果说石油是 20 世纪 70 年代经济的必要组成部分，那么芯片在 2020 年代提供了同样的功能。从我们的电脑和手机到我们的汽车和电器，它们为一切提供动力。而且，众所周知，根据 Susquehanna Financial Group 的数据，目前存在短缺，交货时间已延长至 20 周以上。</blockquote></p><p> Roughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.</p><p><blockquote>世界上大约80%的芯片是在东北亚制造的。政界人士意识到这是一个多么大的问题，他们已经开始要求本地制造，乔·拜登总统今年早些时候提出了一项500亿美元的芯片研究计划。包括半导体在内的任何行业的回流都是一个长达数年的过程，需要数十亿美元的资本。会有赢家和输家。而且如果持续太久，就会过滤到各种商品的价格中。</blockquote></p><p> “Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>“TS Lombard 的罗里-格林（Rory Green）和史蒂文-布利茨（Steven Blitz）在 1 月份写道：”与需求快速增长相关的短缺可能会演变成通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>&nbsp;this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.</p><p><blockquote>全年，全球半导体短缺一直是汽车行业的一根刺。它应该会在2021年下半年自行解决。但宣布更多减产<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>过去一周表明，这个问题不会很快消失。事实上，加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克认为，短缺可能会持续数年。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.</p><p><blockquote>斯帕克说，部分问题是结构性的。电动汽车需要更多的计算能力，但汽车行业通常依赖于老一代芯片技术，而芯片制造商并不容易增加这些技术的产能。相反，他们更喜欢专注于消费电子行业更新、更高端的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> The result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：加油站没有排队，汽车经销商也有排队。新车和二手车库存低推高了价格，并导致通胀上升。2021年上半年二手车价格上涨约20%，新车价格上涨约3%。二手车价格上涨已开始放缓，但新车价格上涨正在加速，7月份同比上涨约7%。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>这对消费者不利，但汽车制造商将从中受益。受限的生产将导致持续的低库存和更高的价格。公司将减少汽车销量，但价格上涨抵消了这一影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>2021 年股价分别上涨 43% 和 17%，两者的交易价格仍约为 2022 年市盈率的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a>. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.</p><p><blockquote>这还只是汽车行业。芯片短缺持续的时间越长，各类产品的价格上涨幅度就越大。这将使芯片制造商受益，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>华尔街看到了后者的上行空间。大约三分之二的分析师报道了其购买的股票价格，平均目标价意味着约 33% 的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望 RadioShack 外面会排起长队，但预计芯片短缺的情况也会一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 07:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>半导体可能是新的石油——这可能会使 2020 年代成为新的 1970 年代。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.</p><p><blockquote>当时，世界依赖石油——供应的任何变化都会对需求产生巨大影响。当石油输出国组织在20世纪70年代对美国实施禁运时，原油价格从20世纪70年代初的每桶约3美元上涨到20世纪70年代末的每桶13美元。美国甚至在1974年发放了天然气配给券。</blockquote></p><p> The spike was good news for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil</a>, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.</p><p><blockquote>飙升对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>20 世纪 70 年代，该公司的回报率分别约为 100% 和 70%，但随着通货膨胀的肆虐，这对其他人来说都是痛苦的。过去十年，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别仅上涨了 17% 和 5%。</blockquote></p><p> If oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.</p><p><blockquote>如果说石油是 20 世纪 70 年代经济的必要组成部分，那么芯片在 2020 年代提供了同样的功能。从我们的电脑和手机到我们的汽车和电器，它们为一切提供动力。而且，众所周知，根据 Susquehanna Financial Group 的数据，目前存在短缺，交货时间已延长至 20 周以上。</blockquote></p><p> Roughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.</p><p><blockquote>世界上大约80%的芯片是在东北亚制造的。政界人士意识到这是一个多么大的问题，他们已经开始要求本地制造，乔·拜登总统今年早些时候提出了一项500亿美元的芯片研究计划。包括半导体在内的任何行业的回流都是一个长达数年的过程，需要数十亿美元的资本。会有赢家和输家。而且如果持续太久，就会过滤到各种商品的价格中。</blockquote></p><p> “Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>“TS Lombard 的罗里-格林（Rory Green）和史蒂文-布利茨（Steven Blitz）在 1 月份写道：”与需求快速增长相关的短缺可能会演变成通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>&nbsp;this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.</p><p><blockquote>全年，全球半导体短缺一直是汽车行业的一根刺。它应该会在2021年下半年自行解决。但宣布更多减产<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>过去一周表明，这个问题不会很快消失。事实上，加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克认为，短缺可能会持续数年。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.</p><p><blockquote>斯帕克说，部分问题是结构性的。电动汽车需要更多的计算能力，但汽车行业通常依赖于老一代芯片技术，而芯片制造商并不容易增加这些技术的产能。相反，他们更喜欢专注于消费电子行业更新、更高端的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> The result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：加油站没有排队，汽车经销商也有排队。新车和二手车库存低推高了价格，并导致通胀上升。2021年上半年二手车价格上涨约20%，新车价格上涨约3%。二手车价格上涨已开始放缓，但新车价格上涨正在加速，7月份同比上涨约7%。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>这对消费者不利，但汽车制造商将从中受益。受限的生产将导致持续的低库存和更高的价格。公司将减少汽车销量，但价格上涨抵消了这一影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>2021 年股价分别上涨 43% 和 17%，两者的交易价格仍约为 2022 年市盈率的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a>. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.</p><p><blockquote>这还只是汽车行业。芯片短缺持续的时间越长，各类产品的价格上涨幅度就越大。这将使芯片制造商受益，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>华尔街看到了后者的上行空间。大约三分之二的分析师报道了其购买的股票价格，平均目标价意味着约 33% 的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望 RadioShack 外面会排起长队，但预计芯片短缺的情况也会一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-stocks-economy-51629507891?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","XOM":"埃克森美孚","AMD":"美国超微公司","CVX":"雪佛龙","INTC":"英特尔","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-stocks-economy-51629507891?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111103954","content_text":"Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.\nBack then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.\nThe spike was good news for Chevron and Exxon Mobil, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.\nIf oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.\nRoughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.\n“Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.\nThe global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by Toyota this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.\nPart of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.\nThe result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.\nThat’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. Ford and General Motors shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.\nAnd that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.\nDon’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9,"MU":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"XOM":0.9,"AMD":0.9,"CVX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892375934,"gmtCreate":1628641475028,"gmtModify":1631886583841,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581565649060536","authorIdStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Miss this<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>","listText":"Miss this<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>","text":"Miss this$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e0078e294ddd86f70959829b76d4bf5","width":"750","height":"2007"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892375934","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141706104,"gmtCreate":1625889616108,"gmtModify":1631889863352,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581565649060536","authorIdStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>for the win","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>for the win","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$for the win","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141706104","repostId":"1177397700","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154100899,"gmtCreate":1625485636911,"gmtModify":1631886584208,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581565649060536","authorIdStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>Waiting for BO","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>Waiting for BO","text":"$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$Waiting for BO","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154100899","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3642,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156681254,"gmtCreate":1625218003578,"gmtModify":1631889863366,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581565649060536","authorIdStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Another Tesla in the making","listText":"Another Tesla in the making","text":"Another Tesla in the making","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156681254","repostId":"2148666820","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2148666820","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625212861,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2148666820?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Branson aims to make space trip on July 11, ahead of Bezos<blockquote>布兰森计划于 7 月 11 日先于贝佐斯进行太空旅行</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2148666820","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Virgin Galactic stock surged 37% in premarket trading.\n\nBillionaire entrepreneur Richard Branson wil","content":"<p>Virgin Galactic&nbsp;stock&nbsp;surged&nbsp;37%&nbsp;in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河股价在盘前交易中飙升 37%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec18b866bf2b11226994a81dad0c7a78\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Billionaire entrepreneur Richard Branson will travel to the edge of space on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>'s test flight on July 11, Branson's space tourism firm said on Thursday, beating out fellow aspiring billionaire astronaut Jeff Bezos.</p><p><blockquote>亿万富翁企业家理查德·布兰森将前往太空边缘<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>布兰森的太空旅游公司周四表示，7月11日的试飞击败了有志成为亿万富翁的宇航员杰夫·贝索斯。</blockquote></p><p> A successful flight by Branson aboard Virgin's VSS Unity spaceplane would mark a key milestone in a race to usher in a new era of private commercial space travel.</p><p><blockquote>布兰森乘坐维珍VSS Unity太空飞机的成功飞行将标志着开启私人商业太空旅行新时代的竞赛中的一个关键里程碑。</blockquote></p><p> It would also mean that Branson would travel beyond Earth's atmosphere ahead of Bezos, the founder of rival space tourism venture Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>这也意味着布兰森将在竞争对手太空旅游企业蓝色起源的创始人贝佐斯之前穿越地球大气层。</blockquote></p><p> Bezos, who founded retail giant Amazon.com Inc, is slated to fly to space on July 20 along with his brother, Mark, trailblazing female pilot Wally Funk and a so-far unidentified person who plunked down $28 million to join the suborbital joyride.</p><p><blockquote>零售巨头亚马逊公司的创始人贝佐斯定于 7 月 20 日与他的兄弟马克、开拓性女飞行员沃利·芬克以及一位迄今为止身份不明的人一起飞往太空，后者斥资 2800 万美元加入了亚轨道游乐设施。</blockquote></p><p> Reuters reported last month that Branson was considering a show-stealing mission just days ahead of Bezos' planned trip.</p><p><blockquote>路透社上个月报道称，布兰森正在考虑在贝佐斯计划旅行前几天执行一项引人注目的任务。</blockquote></p><p> The race, which also includes SpaceX Chief Executive Elon Musk, is underpinned by optimism that space travel will become mainstream as nascent technology is proven and costs fall, fueling what UBS estimates could be a $3 billion annual tourism market by 2030. Musk has not set a date for his space flight.</p><p><blockquote>这场竞赛还包括 SpaceX 首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk)，其基础是乐观情绪，即随着新兴技术的验证和成本的下降，太空旅行将成为主流，从而推动瑞银估计到 2030 年每年可能达到 30 亿美元的旅游市场。马斯克尚未确定太空飞行的日期。</blockquote></p><p> \"Virgin Galactic stands at the vanguard of a new commercial space industry, which is set to open space to humankind and change the world for good,\" Branson said in a statement accompanying Virgin's announcement.</p><p><blockquote>布兰森在维珍宣布这一消息后发表的一份声明中表示：“维珍银河处于新商业航天工业的先锋，该工业将为人类开放太空并永远改变世界。”</blockquote></p><p> Branson's July 11 mission will be the twenty-second flight test for VSS Unity, and the company's fourth crewed spaceflight, Virgin said.</p><p><blockquote>维珍表示，布兰森 7 月 11 日的任务将是 VSS Unity 的第 22 次飞行测试，也是该公司的第四次载人航天飞行。</blockquote></p><p> But it will be the first to carry a full crew of two pilots and four \"mission specialists,\" including Branson.</p><p><blockquote>但这将是第一次搭载两名飞行员和四名“任务专家”的完整机组人员，其中包括布兰森。</blockquote></p><p> Two additional test flights are planned before Virgin expects to begin commercial service in 2022, Virgin said.</p><p><blockquote>维珍表示，在维珍预计于 2022 年开始商业服务之前，计划再进行两次试飞。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Branson aims to make space trip on July 11, ahead of Bezos<blockquote>布兰森计划于 7 月 11 日先于贝佐斯进行太空旅行</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBranson aims to make space trip on July 11, ahead of Bezos<blockquote>布兰森计划于 7 月 11 日先于贝佐斯进行太空旅行</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-02 16:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Virgin Galactic&nbsp;stock&nbsp;surged&nbsp;37%&nbsp;in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河股价在盘前交易中飙升 37%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec18b866bf2b11226994a81dad0c7a78\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Billionaire entrepreneur Richard Branson will travel to the edge of space on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>'s test flight on July 11, Branson's space tourism firm said on Thursday, beating out fellow aspiring billionaire astronaut Jeff Bezos.</p><p><blockquote>亿万富翁企业家理查德·布兰森将前往太空边缘<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>布兰森的太空旅游公司周四表示，7月11日的试飞击败了有志成为亿万富翁的宇航员杰夫·贝索斯。</blockquote></p><p> A successful flight by Branson aboard Virgin's VSS Unity spaceplane would mark a key milestone in a race to usher in a new era of private commercial space travel.</p><p><blockquote>布兰森乘坐维珍VSS Unity太空飞机的成功飞行将标志着开启私人商业太空旅行新时代的竞赛中的一个关键里程碑。</blockquote></p><p> It would also mean that Branson would travel beyond Earth's atmosphere ahead of Bezos, the founder of rival space tourism venture Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>这也意味着布兰森将在竞争对手太空旅游企业蓝色起源的创始人贝佐斯之前穿越地球大气层。</blockquote></p><p> Bezos, who founded retail giant Amazon.com Inc, is slated to fly to space on July 20 along with his brother, Mark, trailblazing female pilot Wally Funk and a so-far unidentified person who plunked down $28 million to join the suborbital joyride.</p><p><blockquote>零售巨头亚马逊公司的创始人贝佐斯定于 7 月 20 日与他的兄弟马克、开拓性女飞行员沃利·芬克以及一位迄今为止身份不明的人一起飞往太空，后者斥资 2800 万美元加入了亚轨道游乐设施。</blockquote></p><p> Reuters reported last month that Branson was considering a show-stealing mission just days ahead of Bezos' planned trip.</p><p><blockquote>路透社上个月报道称，布兰森正在考虑在贝佐斯计划旅行前几天执行一项引人注目的任务。</blockquote></p><p> The race, which also includes SpaceX Chief Executive Elon Musk, is underpinned by optimism that space travel will become mainstream as nascent technology is proven and costs fall, fueling what UBS estimates could be a $3 billion annual tourism market by 2030. Musk has not set a date for his space flight.</p><p><blockquote>这场竞赛还包括 SpaceX 首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk)，其基础是乐观情绪，即随着新兴技术的验证和成本的下降，太空旅行将成为主流，从而推动瑞银估计到 2030 年每年可能达到 30 亿美元的旅游市场。马斯克尚未确定太空飞行的日期。</blockquote></p><p> \"Virgin Galactic stands at the vanguard of a new commercial space industry, which is set to open space to humankind and change the world for good,\" Branson said in a statement accompanying Virgin's announcement.</p><p><blockquote>布兰森在维珍宣布这一消息后发表的一份声明中表示：“维珍银河处于新商业航天工业的先锋，该工业将为人类开放太空并永远改变世界。”</blockquote></p><p> Branson's July 11 mission will be the twenty-second flight test for VSS Unity, and the company's fourth crewed spaceflight, Virgin said.</p><p><blockquote>维珍表示，布兰森 7 月 11 日的任务将是 VSS Unity 的第 22 次飞行测试，也是该公司的第四次载人航天飞行。</blockquote></p><p> But it will be the first to carry a full crew of two pilots and four \"mission specialists,\" including Branson.</p><p><blockquote>但这将是第一次搭载两名飞行员和四名“任务专家”的完整机组人员，其中包括布兰森。</blockquote></p><p> Two additional test flights are planned before Virgin expects to begin commercial service in 2022, Virgin said.</p><p><blockquote>维珍表示，在维珍预计于 2022 年开始商业服务之前，计划再进行两次试飞。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09086":"华夏纳指-U","AMZN":"亚马逊","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","SPCE":"维珍银河","03086":"华夏纳指"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2148666820","content_text":"Virgin Galactic stock surged 37% in premarket trading.\n\nBillionaire entrepreneur Richard Branson will travel to the edge of space on Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc's test flight on July 11, Branson's space tourism firm said on Thursday, beating out fellow aspiring billionaire astronaut Jeff Bezos.\nA successful flight by Branson aboard Virgin's VSS Unity spaceplane would mark a key milestone in a race to usher in a new era of private commercial space travel.\nIt would also mean that Branson would travel beyond Earth's atmosphere ahead of Bezos, the founder of rival space tourism venture Blue Origin.\nBezos, who founded retail giant Amazon.com Inc, is slated to fly to space on July 20 along with his brother, Mark, trailblazing female pilot Wally Funk and a so-far unidentified person who plunked down $28 million to join the suborbital joyride.\nReuters reported last month that Branson was considering a show-stealing mission just days ahead of Bezos' planned trip.\nThe race, which also includes SpaceX Chief Executive Elon Musk, is underpinned by optimism that space travel will become mainstream as nascent technology is proven and costs fall, fueling what UBS estimates could be a $3 billion annual tourism market by 2030. Musk has not set a date for his space flight.\n\"Virgin Galactic stands at the vanguard of a new commercial space industry, which is set to open space to humankind and change the world for good,\" Branson said in a statement accompanying Virgin's announcement.\nBranson's July 11 mission will be the twenty-second flight test for VSS Unity, and the company's fourth crewed spaceflight, Virgin said.\nBut it will be the first to carry a full crew of two pilots and four \"mission specialists,\" including Branson.\nTwo additional test flights are planned before Virgin expects to begin commercial service in 2022, Virgin 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history repeat?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832768565","repostId":"1111103954","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111103954","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629675616,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111103954?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111103954","media":"Barrons","summary":"Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.\nBack then, the worl","content":"<p>Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>半导体可能是新的石油——这可能会使 2020 年代成为新的 1970 年代。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.</p><p><blockquote>当时，世界依赖石油——供应的任何变化都会对需求产生巨大影响。当石油输出国组织在20世纪70年代对美国实施禁运时，原油价格从20世纪70年代初的每桶约3美元上涨到20世纪70年代末的每桶13美元。美国甚至在1974年发放了天然气配给券。</blockquote></p><p> The spike was good news for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil</a>, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.</p><p><blockquote>飙升对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>20 世纪 70 年代，该公司的回报率分别约为 100% 和 70%，但随着通货膨胀的肆虐，这对其他人来说都是痛苦的。过去十年，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别仅上涨了 17% 和 5%。</blockquote></p><p> If oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.</p><p><blockquote>如果说石油是 20 世纪 70 年代经济的必要组成部分，那么芯片在 2020 年代提供了同样的功能。从我们的电脑和手机到我们的汽车和电器，它们为一切提供动力。而且，众所周知，根据 Susquehanna Financial Group 的数据，目前存在短缺，交货时间已延长至 20 周以上。</blockquote></p><p> Roughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.</p><p><blockquote>世界上大约80%的芯片是在东北亚制造的。政界人士意识到这是一个多么大的问题，他们已经开始要求本地制造，乔·拜登总统今年早些时候提出了一项500亿美元的芯片研究计划。包括半导体在内的任何行业的回流都是一个长达数年的过程，需要数十亿美元的资本。会有赢家和输家。而且如果持续太久，就会过滤到各种商品的价格中。</blockquote></p><p> “Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>“TS Lombard 的罗里-格林（Rory Green）和史蒂文-布利茨（Steven Blitz）在 1 月份写道：”与需求快速增长相关的短缺可能会演变成通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>&nbsp;this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.</p><p><blockquote>全年，全球半导体短缺一直是汽车行业的一根刺。它应该会在2021年下半年自行解决。但宣布更多减产<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>过去一周表明，这个问题不会很快消失。事实上，加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克认为，短缺可能会持续数年。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.</p><p><blockquote>斯帕克说，部分问题是结构性的。电动汽车需要更多的计算能力，但汽车行业通常依赖于老一代芯片技术，而芯片制造商并不容易增加这些技术的产能。相反，他们更喜欢专注于消费电子行业更新、更高端的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> The result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：加油站没有排队，汽车经销商也有排队。新车和二手车库存低推高了价格，并导致通胀上升。2021年上半年二手车价格上涨约20%，新车价格上涨约3%。二手车价格上涨已开始放缓，但新车价格上涨正在加速，7月份同比上涨约7%。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>这对消费者不利，但汽车制造商将从中受益。受限的生产将导致持续的低库存和更高的价格。公司将减少汽车销量，但价格上涨抵消了这一影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>2021 年股价分别上涨 43% 和 17%，两者的交易价格仍约为 2022 年市盈率的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a>. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.</p><p><blockquote>这还只是汽车行业。芯片短缺持续的时间越长，各类产品的价格上涨幅度就越大。这将使芯片制造商受益，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>华尔街看到了后者的上行空间。大约三分之二的分析师报道了其购买的股票价格，平均目标价意味着约 33% 的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望 RadioShack 外面会排起长队，但预计芯片短缺的情况也会一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 07:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>半导体可能是新的石油——这可能会使 2020 年代成为新的 1970 年代。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.</p><p><blockquote>当时，世界依赖石油——供应的任何变化都会对需求产生巨大影响。当石油输出国组织在20世纪70年代对美国实施禁运时，原油价格从20世纪70年代初的每桶约3美元上涨到20世纪70年代末的每桶13美元。美国甚至在1974年发放了天然气配给券。</blockquote></p><p> The spike was good news for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil</a>, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.</p><p><blockquote>飙升对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>20 世纪 70 年代，该公司的回报率分别约为 100% 和 70%，但随着通货膨胀的肆虐，这对其他人来说都是痛苦的。过去十年，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别仅上涨了 17% 和 5%。</blockquote></p><p> If oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.</p><p><blockquote>如果说石油是 20 世纪 70 年代经济的必要组成部分，那么芯片在 2020 年代提供了同样的功能。从我们的电脑和手机到我们的汽车和电器，它们为一切提供动力。而且，众所周知，根据 Susquehanna Financial Group 的数据，目前存在短缺，交货时间已延长至 20 周以上。</blockquote></p><p> Roughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.</p><p><blockquote>世界上大约80%的芯片是在东北亚制造的。政界人士意识到这是一个多么大的问题，他们已经开始要求本地制造，乔·拜登总统今年早些时候提出了一项500亿美元的芯片研究计划。包括半导体在内的任何行业的回流都是一个长达数年的过程，需要数十亿美元的资本。会有赢家和输家。而且如果持续太久，就会过滤到各种商品的价格中。</blockquote></p><p> “Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>“TS Lombard 的罗里-格林（Rory Green）和史蒂文-布利茨（Steven Blitz）在 1 月份写道：”与需求快速增长相关的短缺可能会演变成通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>&nbsp;this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.</p><p><blockquote>全年，全球半导体短缺一直是汽车行业的一根刺。它应该会在2021年下半年自行解决。但宣布更多减产<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>过去一周表明，这个问题不会很快消失。事实上，加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克认为，短缺可能会持续数年。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.</p><p><blockquote>斯帕克说，部分问题是结构性的。电动汽车需要更多的计算能力，但汽车行业通常依赖于老一代芯片技术，而芯片制造商并不容易增加这些技术的产能。相反，他们更喜欢专注于消费电子行业更新、更高端的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> The result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：加油站没有排队，汽车经销商也有排队。新车和二手车库存低推高了价格，并导致通胀上升。2021年上半年二手车价格上涨约20%，新车价格上涨约3%。二手车价格上涨已开始放缓，但新车价格上涨正在加速，7月份同比上涨约7%。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>这对消费者不利，但汽车制造商将从中受益。受限的生产将导致持续的低库存和更高的价格。公司将减少汽车销量，但价格上涨抵消了这一影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>2021 年股价分别上涨 43% 和 17%，两者的交易价格仍约为 2022 年市盈率的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a>. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.</p><p><blockquote>这还只是汽车行业。芯片短缺持续的时间越长，各类产品的价格上涨幅度就越大。这将使芯片制造商受益，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>华尔街看到了后者的上行空间。大约三分之二的分析师报道了其购买的股票价格，平均目标价意味着约 33% 的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望 RadioShack 外面会排起长队，但预计芯片短缺的情况也会一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-stocks-economy-51629507891?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","XOM":"埃克森美孚","AMD":"美国超微公司","CVX":"雪佛龙","INTC":"英特尔","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-stocks-economy-51629507891?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111103954","content_text":"Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.\nBack then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.\nThe spike was good news for Chevron and Exxon Mobil, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.\nIf oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.\nRoughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.\n“Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.\nThe global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by Toyota this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.\nPart of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.\nThe result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.\nThat’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. Ford and General Motors shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.\nAnd that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.\nDon’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9,"MU":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"XOM":0.9,"AMD":0.9,"CVX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185141391,"gmtCreate":1623638309913,"gmtModify":1634030823412,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581565649060536","idStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Things to read for Meme follower","listText":"Things to read for Meme follower","text":"Things to read for Meme follower","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185141391","repostId":"1105297799","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158558941,"gmtCreate":1625158358983,"gmtModify":1631889863373,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581565649060536","idStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Is that&nbsp;a chance or a danger?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Is that&nbsp;a chance or a danger?&nbsp;","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Is that a chance or a danger?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eac7feee98bd6ca14b4f2286be80d7f7","width":"750","height":"2200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158558941","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2090,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116896781,"gmtCreate":1622785937743,"gmtModify":1634098007482,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581565649060536","idStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Is that the end of hype?&nbsp;","listText":"Is that the end of hype?&nbsp;","text":"Is that the end of hype?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116896781","repostId":"2140026421","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132065994,"gmtCreate":1622046105318,"gmtModify":1634184347644,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581565649060536","idStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Another bullish call to bitcoin??","listText":"Another bullish call to bitcoin??","text":"Another bullish call to bitcoin??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132065994","repostId":"1111418097","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111418097","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622041378,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111418097?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-26 23:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Is Looking for Crypto Experience in ‘Alternative Payments’ Job Post<blockquote>苹果正在寻找“替代支付”领域的加密货币经验</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111418097","media":"coindesk","summary":"Apple is looking to hire a business development manager with experience in the cryptocurrency indust","content":"<p>Apple is looking to hire a business development manager with experience in the cryptocurrency industry to lead its “alternative payments” partnership program.</p><p><blockquote>苹果正在寻求聘请一位在加密货币行业有经验的业务发展经理来领导其 “替代支付 ”合作伙伴计划。</blockquote></p><p>In a Wednesday&nbsp;job posting, Apple said candidates should have five years or more “working in or with alternative payment providers, such as digital wallets, BNPL [buy now pay later], Fast Payments, cryptocurrency and etc.”</p><p><blockquote>苹果在周三发布的招聘启事中说，应聘者应 “在数字钱包、BNPL（先买后付）、快速支付、加密货币等替代支付提供商工作五年或以上”。</blockquote></p><p>The Cupertino tech giant said the manager would be Apple’s chief negotiator for the alternative payments space.</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺科技巨头表示，这位经理将担任苹果替代支付领域的首席谈判代表。</blockquote></p><p>“The Apple Wallets, Payments, and Commerce (WPC) team is seeking an experienced Business Development Manager to lead Alternative Payments Partnerships,” the company wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“该公司写道：”苹果钱包、支付和商务（WPC）团队正在寻找一位经验丰富的业务开发经理，以领导另类支付合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has long maintained an ironclad grip over payments, especially in its App Store, which has never accepted customers’ crypto and forces all catalog apps to use Apple’s commerce rails and play by Apple’s rules.</p><p><blockquote>苹果长期以来一直对支付保持着铁腕控制，尤其是在其应用商店，该商店从未接受客户的加密货币，并迫使所有目录应用程序使用苹果的商业轨道，遵守苹果的规则。</blockquote></p><p>That tightly-controlled ecosystem is the focus of a blockbuster court fight launched by Fortnite developer Epic Games. Epic alleges Apple’s rules violate antitrust laws and stifle payments innovation. App developers could accept “bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies” if not for Apple’s restrictions, Epicclaimedin the suit.</p><p><blockquote>这个严格控制的生态系统是堡垒之夜开发商Epic Games发起的一场轰动一时的法庭斗争的焦点。Epic 指控苹果的规则违反了反垄断法，扼杀了支付创新。Epic 在诉讼中声称，如果没有苹果的限制，应用程序开发者可以接受 “比特币或其他加密货币 ”。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has made no public statements about its plans for the crypto space. The company did not immediately return CoinDesk’s calls.</p><p><blockquote>苹果尚未就其加密领域的计划发表公开声明。该公司没有立即归还 CoinDesk 的评级。</blockquote></p><p>Even so, pockets of the crypto space seem to be preparing for Apple. Coinbase included Apple Pay graphics in a recent app update, according toMacRumors.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，一些加密领域似乎正在为苹果做准备。据toMacRumors称，比特币基地在最近的应用程序更新中包含了苹果支付图形。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1572937250936","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Is Looking for Crypto Experience in ‘Alternative Payments’ Job Post<blockquote>苹果正在寻找“替代支付”领域的加密货币经验</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Is Looking for Crypto Experience in ‘Alternative Payments’ Job Post<blockquote>苹果正在寻找“替代支付”领域的加密货币经验</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">coindesk</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-26 23:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple is looking to hire a business development manager with experience in the cryptocurrency industry to lead its “alternative payments” partnership program.</p><p><blockquote>苹果正在寻求聘请一位在加密货币行业有经验的业务发展经理来领导其 “替代支付 ”合作伙伴计划。</blockquote></p><p>In a Wednesday&nbsp;job posting, Apple said candidates should have five years or more “working in or with alternative payment providers, such as digital wallets, BNPL [buy now pay later], Fast Payments, cryptocurrency and etc.”</p><p><blockquote>苹果在周三发布的招聘启事中说，应聘者应 “在数字钱包、BNPL（先买后付）、快速支付、加密货币等替代支付提供商工作五年或以上”。</blockquote></p><p>The Cupertino tech giant said the manager would be Apple’s chief negotiator for the alternative payments space.</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺科技巨头表示，这位经理将担任苹果替代支付领域的首席谈判代表。</blockquote></p><p>“The Apple Wallets, Payments, and Commerce (WPC) team is seeking an experienced Business Development Manager to lead Alternative Payments Partnerships,” the company wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“该公司写道：”苹果钱包、支付和商务（WPC）团队正在寻找一位经验丰富的业务开发经理，以领导另类支付合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has long maintained an ironclad grip over payments, especially in its App Store, which has never accepted customers’ crypto and forces all catalog apps to use Apple’s commerce rails and play by Apple’s rules.</p><p><blockquote>苹果长期以来一直对支付保持着铁腕控制，尤其是在其应用商店，该商店从未接受客户的加密货币，并迫使所有目录应用程序使用苹果的商业轨道，遵守苹果的规则。</blockquote></p><p>That tightly-controlled ecosystem is the focus of a blockbuster court fight launched by Fortnite developer Epic Games. Epic alleges Apple’s rules violate antitrust laws and stifle payments innovation. App developers could accept “bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies” if not for Apple’s restrictions, Epicclaimedin the suit.</p><p><blockquote>这个严格控制的生态系统是堡垒之夜开发商Epic Games发起的一场轰动一时的法庭斗争的焦点。Epic 指控苹果的规则违反了反垄断法，扼杀了支付创新。Epic 在诉讼中声称，如果没有苹果的限制，应用程序开发者可以接受 “比特币或其他加密货币 ”。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has made no public statements about its plans for the crypto space. The company did not immediately return CoinDesk’s calls.</p><p><blockquote>苹果尚未就其加密领域的计划发表公开声明。该公司没有立即归还 CoinDesk 的评级。</blockquote></p><p>Even so, pockets of the crypto space seem to be preparing for Apple. Coinbase included Apple Pay graphics in a recent app update, according toMacRumors.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，一些加密领域似乎正在为苹果做准备。据toMacRumors称，比特币基地在最近的应用程序更新中包含了苹果支付图形。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.coindesk.com/apple-is-looking-for-crypto-experience-in-alternative-payments-job-post\">coindesk</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.coindesk.com/apple-is-looking-for-crypto-experience-in-alternative-payments-job-post","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111418097","content_text":"Apple is looking to hire a business development manager with experience in the cryptocurrency industry to lead its “alternative payments” partnership program.In a Wednesday job posting, Apple said candidates should have five years or more “working in or with alternative payment providers, such as digital wallets, BNPL [buy now pay later], Fast Payments, cryptocurrency and etc.”The Cupertino tech giant said the manager would be Apple’s chief negotiator for the alternative payments space.“The Apple Wallets, Payments, and Commerce (WPC) team is seeking an experienced Business Development Manager to lead Alternative Payments Partnerships,” the company wrote.Apple has long maintained an ironclad grip over payments, especially in its App Store, which has never accepted customers’ crypto and forces all catalog apps to use Apple’s commerce rails and play by Apple’s rules.That tightly-controlled ecosystem is the focus of a blockbuster court fight launched by Fortnite developer Epic Games. Epic alleges Apple’s rules violate antitrust laws and stifle payments innovation. App developers could accept “bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies” if not for Apple’s restrictions, Epicclaimedin the suit.Apple has made no public statements about its plans for the crypto space. The company did not immediately return CoinDesk’s calls.Even so, pockets of the crypto space seem to be preparing for Apple. Coinbase included Apple Pay graphics in a recent app update, according toMacRumors.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103431768,"gmtCreate":1619798759554,"gmtModify":1634209823258,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581565649060536","idStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Look alike the&nbsp;Avenger show for&nbsp;investment version","listText":"Look alike the&nbsp;Avenger show for&nbsp;investment version","text":"Look alike the Avenger show for investment version","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103431768","repostId":"1141258080","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141706104,"gmtCreate":1625889616108,"gmtModify":1631889863352,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581565649060536","idStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>for the win","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>for the win","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$for the win","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141706104","repostId":"1177397700","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189496158,"gmtCreate":1623284242674,"gmtModify":1634035038332,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581565649060536","idStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"When&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WWE\">$World Wrestling Entertainment(WWE)$</a>meet&nbsp;WSB","listText":"When&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WWE\">$World Wrestling Entertainment(WWE)$</a>meet&nbsp;WSB","text":"When $World Wrestling Entertainment(WWE)$meet WSB","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189496158","repostId":"1145830147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111664623,"gmtCreate":1622679378262,"gmtModify":1634099287404,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581565649060536","idStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>to the moon after crypto","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>to the moon after crypto","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$to the moon after crypto","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111664623","repostId":"1140714291","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139892452,"gmtCreate":1621605268576,"gmtModify":1634187706793,"author":{"id":"3581565649060536","authorId":"3581565649060536","name":"StockWatcher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f98c0d0a1e2a6bdf618a2b6cf1878","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581565649060536","idStr":"3581565649060536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Interesting.","listText":"Interesting.","text":"Interesting.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139892452","repostId":"2137902828","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}