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Matthewlee

Matthewlee

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2021-06-02

To the moon and back

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2021-05-24

NaiO vs XPeng, which would be the better choice for long term?

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2021-07-11

Meme stocks, is this the new investment

The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>

2021-06-18

The trend on tech stocks keep booming

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2021-06-29

NIO, a long term stock to hold for better gains

NIO Stock Is Going Nuts. This Is the Best Explanation.<blockquote>蔚来股票正在疯狂。这是最好的解释。</blockquote>

2021-05-10

With so many news articles published, is there a easier way to digest them

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2021-05-08

This is so dubious and dangerous. Why are people investing in it

Dogecoin price’s ‘make-or-break’ moment looms with Elon Musk set to host ‘Saturday Night Live’<blockquote>埃隆·马斯克将主持“周六夜现场”，狗狗币价格的“成败”时刻迫在眉睫</blockquote>

2021-07-13

Bitcoin, name we have all heard but does anyone truly know what itis? We dabble in this due to the hype and it affects the normal investment schemes.

Just 5% Of All Bitcoins In Circulation Have Traded In The Past Year<blockquote>过去一年，流通中的比特币中只有5%进行了交易</blockquote>

2021-06-26

Apple business model used to be amazing with strong barriers of entry. But now it seems that it is starting to decline in its Innovation and creativity

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2021-05-26

The narket is truly unpredictable, with memes becoming valuable as money

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is the number one platform for the false spread of false misinformation.","listText":"Facebook is the number one platform for the false spread of false misinformation.","text":"Facebook is the number one platform for the false spread of false misinformation.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173003228","repostId":"2152368129","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142672599,"gmtCreate":1626149771511,"gmtModify":1631890034760,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bitcoin, name we have all heard but does anyone truly know what itis? We dabble in this due to the hype and it affects the normal investment schemes.&nbsp;","listText":"Bitcoin, name we have all heard but does anyone truly know what itis? We dabble in this due to the hype and it affects the normal investment schemes.&nbsp;","text":"Bitcoin, name we have all heard but does anyone truly know what itis? We dabble in this due to the hype and it affects the normal investment schemes.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142672599","repostId":"1161408787","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161408787","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626147401,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161408787?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 11:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Just 5% Of All Bitcoins In Circulation Have Traded In The Past Year<blockquote>过去一年，流通中的比特币中只有5%进行了交易</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161408787","media":"zerohedge","summary":"In JPMorgan's latest weekly bitcoin hit piece (because for some \"inexplicable\" reason, JPMorgan exec","content":"<p>In JPMorgan's latest weekly bitcoin hit piece (because for some \"inexplicable\" reason, JPMorgan executive have instructed most of the bank's strategists, including those covering equity and rates, to slam the cryptocurrency on a weekly if not daily basis while the bank quietlybuilds out its own proprietary crypto fund, almost as if it is desperate to scare its clients into selling), the bank makes an interesting argument: bitcoin is not liquid enough to be successfully implemented as a legal tender in El Salvador.</p><p><blockquote>在摩根大通最新的每周比特币热门文章中（因为出于某种“莫名其妙”的原因，摩根大通高管指示该银行的大多数策略师，包括那些负责股票和利率的策略师，每周（如果不是每天）猛烈抨击加密货币，而该银行则悄悄地建立自己的专有加密货币基金，几乎就好像它不顾一切地吓唬客户抛售一样），该银行提出了一个有趣的论点：比特币的流动性不足以在萨尔瓦多成功实施为法定货币。</blockquote></p><p> We won't speak to the validity of JPM's argument - we will soon find out first hand whether or not El Salvador made a mistake in adopting bitcoin as legal tender - although it certainly is simple enough: “daily payment activity in El Salvador would represent ~4% of recent on-chain transaction volume and more than 1% of the total value of tokens which have been transferred between wallets in the past year,” the report said, with the illiquidity and nature of the volume “potentially a significant limitation on its potential as a medium of exchange.”</p><p><blockquote>我们不会谈论摩根大通论点的有效性——我们很快就会直接了解萨尔瓦多在采用比特币作为法定货币时是否犯了错误——尽管这肯定很简单：“萨尔瓦多的日常支付活动将占近期链上交易量的约4%，占过去一年钱包之间转移的代币总价值的1%以上，”该交易量的非流动性和性质“可能会严重限制其作为交换媒介的潜力。”</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps, then again in its brief history bitcoin has certainly demonstrated that it is remarkably scalable and viable even without a central bank propping it up every time there is even a modest risk-flaring hiccup, which is much more than we could ever say about the global stock market or currencies such as Europe's \"whatever it takes\" euro.</p><p><blockquote>或许，在其短暂的历史中，比特币无疑已经证明，即使每次出现轻微的风险爆发问题时，即使没有央行支持，它也具有非凡的可扩展性和可行性，这比我们对全球股市或欧洲“不惜一切代价”欧元等货币所能说的要多得多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, JPMorgan - a bank that directly benefited form more than one multibilion bailout - will be the last to admit just how much sustainable the cryptocurrency has become, which is why we will ignore the bank's latest round of propaganda, but will point out an interesting fact unearthed by JPMorgan: it goes straight to the heart of the recurring argument why bitcoin is so volatile.</p><p><blockquote>当然，摩根大通——一家直接受益于超过10亿美元救助的银行——将是最后一家承认加密货币已经变得多么可持续的银行，这就是为什么我们将忽略该银行最新一轮的宣传，但将指出摩根大通发现的一个有趣事实：它直接触及了比特币为何如此不稳定的反复出现的论点的核心。</blockquote></p><p> The reason, as JPM has discovered, is that bitcoin's float may be as little as 5%, if not less. Discussing the daily trading volumes of bitcoin, JPM notes that a large fraction of Bitcoin are locked up in illiquid entities (liquidity sinks),<b>\"with more than 90% not changing hands in more than a year\" while roughly 80% - and rising - are held by wallets with light turnover.&nbsp; This means that a paltry 5-10% of all bitcoin in circulation has traded in the past year.</b></p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发现，原因是比特币的持股量可能只有5%，甚至更少。在讨论比特币的每日交易量时，摩根大通指出，很大一部分比特币被锁定在非流动性实体（流动性下沉）中，<b>“超过90%的股票在一年多的时间里没有易手”，而大约80%——而且还在上升——由成交量较少的钱包持有。这意味着，在过去一年中，流通中的比特币中只有微不足道的5-10%进行了交易。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce30e31759284bfbf1d8923cb4149bfc\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"534\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Another way of putting it:<b>an asset with a $600 billion market cap has a float of just $30 billion.</b>Which is remarkable as it means that<b>no whales</b>sold bitcoin when it hit its all time high of $65,000.<b>And if they didn't sell then, they certainly won't sell now when it's half that price.</b></p><p><blockquote>换一种说法：<b>一项市值6000亿美元的资产的流通量仅为300亿美元。</b>这很了不起，因为这意味着<b>没有鲸鱼</b>当比特币触及65,000美元的历史高点时出售。<b>如果他们当时不卖，现在价格是那个价格的一半，他们肯定不会卖。</b></blockquote></p><p> This, more than anything else, explains why bitcoin - an asset whose market cap was more than a $1 trillion as recently as April - is so extremely volatile: with the vast majority of bitcoin locked up or held by whale accounts who rarely if ever trade, the marginal price setter of bitcoin are odd lots - a burst of trading in fractions of a bitcoin, where the momentum in many cases is ignited and magnified by HFTs who then shape the movement of the crypto in hopes of hitting the max pain stop loss positions for other cryptos, and where as a result of such a unique trading environment, the price of bitcoin can swing 10%, 15% , or even 20% or more every day.</p><p><blockquote>这比其他任何事情都更能解释为什么比特币——一种截至4月份市值还超过1万亿澳元的资产——如此不稳定：绝大多数比特币被很少交易的鲸鱼账户锁定或持有，比特币的边际价格制定者是零星地段——比特币的一部分交易爆发，在许多情况下，这种势头被高频交易点燃和放大，然后他们塑造加密货币的走势，希望达到其他加密货币的最大痛苦止损头寸，由于这种独特的交易环境，比特币的价格每天可以波动10%、15%，甚至20%或更多。</blockquote></p><p> The question we have is during liquidation pukes like the one observed recently, how much of the newly released bitcoin are gobbled up by existing or new whales. Judging by the gray line in the chart above, the answer is a record amount.</p><p><blockquote>我们面临的问题是，在像最近观察到的清算呕吐中，有多少新释放的比特币被现有的或新的鲸鱼吞噬了。从上图中的灰线来看，答案是创纪录的金额。</blockquote></p><p> Which means that we are now in the<i>\"weak hands\" shake out and whale accumulation</i>phase. And once the new generation of whales has bought enough, that's when the next squeeze higher will take place, sending the crypto currency and its peers to fresh all time highs. Because if there is one thing that is very easy to do with an asset whose float is as low as bitcoin's, it is to manipulate it as a handful of big players want.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着我们现在处于<i>“弱手”抖出鲸鱼积累</i>阶段。一旦新一代鲸鱼购买了足够多的东西，下一次挤压就会发生，将加密货币及其同行推至历史新高。因为如果有一件事对一个流通量像比特币一样低的资产来说是非常容易做的，那就是按照少数大玩家的意愿操纵它。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Just 5% Of All Bitcoins In Circulation Have Traded In The Past Year<blockquote>过去一年，流通中的比特币中只有5%进行了交易</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJust 5% Of All Bitcoins In Circulation Have Traded In The Past Year<blockquote>过去一年，流通中的比特币中只有5%进行了交易</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 11:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In JPMorgan's latest weekly bitcoin hit piece (because for some \"inexplicable\" reason, JPMorgan executive have instructed most of the bank's strategists, including those covering equity and rates, to slam the cryptocurrency on a weekly if not daily basis while the bank quietlybuilds out its own proprietary crypto fund, almost as if it is desperate to scare its clients into selling), the bank makes an interesting argument: bitcoin is not liquid enough to be successfully implemented as a legal tender in El Salvador.</p><p><blockquote>在摩根大通最新的每周比特币热门文章中（因为出于某种“莫名其妙”的原因，摩根大通高管指示该银行的大多数策略师，包括那些负责股票和利率的策略师，每周（如果不是每天）猛烈抨击加密货币，而该银行则悄悄地建立自己的专有加密货币基金，几乎就好像它不顾一切地吓唬客户抛售一样），该银行提出了一个有趣的论点：比特币的流动性不足以在萨尔瓦多成功实施为法定货币。</blockquote></p><p> We won't speak to the validity of JPM's argument - we will soon find out first hand whether or not El Salvador made a mistake in adopting bitcoin as legal tender - although it certainly is simple enough: “daily payment activity in El Salvador would represent ~4% of recent on-chain transaction volume and more than 1% of the total value of tokens which have been transferred between wallets in the past year,” the report said, with the illiquidity and nature of the volume “potentially a significant limitation on its potential as a medium of exchange.”</p><p><blockquote>我们不会谈论摩根大通论点的有效性——我们很快就会直接了解萨尔瓦多在采用比特币作为法定货币时是否犯了错误——尽管这肯定很简单：“萨尔瓦多的日常支付活动将占近期链上交易量的约4%，占过去一年钱包之间转移的代币总价值的1%以上，”该交易量的非流动性和性质“可能会严重限制其作为交换媒介的潜力。”</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps, then again in its brief history bitcoin has certainly demonstrated that it is remarkably scalable and viable even without a central bank propping it up every time there is even a modest risk-flaring hiccup, which is much more than we could ever say about the global stock market or currencies such as Europe's \"whatever it takes\" euro.</p><p><blockquote>或许，在其短暂的历史中，比特币无疑已经证明，即使每次出现轻微的风险爆发问题时，即使没有央行支持，它也具有非凡的可扩展性和可行性，这比我们对全球股市或欧洲“不惜一切代价”欧元等货币所能说的要多得多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, JPMorgan - a bank that directly benefited form more than one multibilion bailout - will be the last to admit just how much sustainable the cryptocurrency has become, which is why we will ignore the bank's latest round of propaganda, but will point out an interesting fact unearthed by JPMorgan: it goes straight to the heart of the recurring argument why bitcoin is so volatile.</p><p><blockquote>当然，摩根大通——一家直接受益于超过10亿美元救助的银行——将是最后一家承认加密货币已经变得多么可持续的银行，这就是为什么我们将忽略该银行最新一轮的宣传，但将指出摩根大通发现的一个有趣事实：它直接触及了比特币为何如此不稳定的反复出现的论点的核心。</blockquote></p><p> The reason, as JPM has discovered, is that bitcoin's float may be as little as 5%, if not less. Discussing the daily trading volumes of bitcoin, JPM notes that a large fraction of Bitcoin are locked up in illiquid entities (liquidity sinks),<b>\"with more than 90% not changing hands in more than a year\" while roughly 80% - and rising - are held by wallets with light turnover.&nbsp; This means that a paltry 5-10% of all bitcoin in circulation has traded in the past year.</b></p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发现，原因是比特币的持股量可能只有5%，甚至更少。在讨论比特币的每日交易量时，摩根大通指出，很大一部分比特币被锁定在非流动性实体（流动性下沉）中，<b>“超过90%的股票在一年多的时间里没有易手”，而大约80%——而且还在上升——由成交量较少的钱包持有。这意味着，在过去一年中，流通中的比特币中只有微不足道的5-10%进行了交易。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce30e31759284bfbf1d8923cb4149bfc\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"534\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Another way of putting it:<b>an asset with a $600 billion market cap has a float of just $30 billion.</b>Which is remarkable as it means that<b>no whales</b>sold bitcoin when it hit its all time high of $65,000.<b>And if they didn't sell then, they certainly won't sell now when it's half that price.</b></p><p><blockquote>换一种说法：<b>一项市值6000亿美元的资产的流通量仅为300亿美元。</b>这很了不起，因为这意味着<b>没有鲸鱼</b>当比特币触及65,000美元的历史高点时出售。<b>如果他们当时不卖，现在价格是那个价格的一半，他们肯定不会卖。</b></blockquote></p><p> This, more than anything else, explains why bitcoin - an asset whose market cap was more than a $1 trillion as recently as April - is so extremely volatile: with the vast majority of bitcoin locked up or held by whale accounts who rarely if ever trade, the marginal price setter of bitcoin are odd lots - a burst of trading in fractions of a bitcoin, where the momentum in many cases is ignited and magnified by HFTs who then shape the movement of the crypto in hopes of hitting the max pain stop loss positions for other cryptos, and where as a result of such a unique trading environment, the price of bitcoin can swing 10%, 15% , or even 20% or more every day.</p><p><blockquote>这比其他任何事情都更能解释为什么比特币——一种截至4月份市值还超过1万亿澳元的资产——如此不稳定：绝大多数比特币被很少交易的鲸鱼账户锁定或持有，比特币的边际价格制定者是零星地段——比特币的一部分交易爆发，在许多情况下，这种势头被高频交易点燃和放大，然后他们塑造加密货币的走势，希望达到其他加密货币的最大痛苦止损头寸，由于这种独特的交易环境，比特币的价格每天可以波动10%、15%，甚至20%或更多。</blockquote></p><p> The question we have is during liquidation pukes like the one observed recently, how much of the newly released bitcoin are gobbled up by existing or new whales. Judging by the gray line in the chart above, the answer is a record amount.</p><p><blockquote>我们面临的问题是，在像最近观察到的清算呕吐中，有多少新释放的比特币被现有的或新的鲸鱼吞噬了。从上图中的灰线来看，答案是创纪录的金额。</blockquote></p><p> Which means that we are now in the<i>\"weak hands\" shake out and whale accumulation</i>phase. And once the new generation of whales has bought enough, that's when the next squeeze higher will take place, sending the crypto currency and its peers to fresh all time highs. Because if there is one thing that is very easy to do with an asset whose float is as low as bitcoin's, it is to manipulate it as a handful of big players want.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着我们现在处于<i>“弱手”抖出鲸鱼积累</i>阶段。一旦新一代鲸鱼购买了足够多的东西，下一次挤压就会发生，将加密货币及其同行推至历史新高。因为如果有一件事对一个流通量像比特币一样低的资产来说是非常容易做的，那就是按照少数大玩家的意愿操纵它。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/just-5-all-bitcoins-circulation-have-traded-past-year\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/just-5-all-bitcoins-circulation-have-traded-past-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161408787","content_text":"In JPMorgan's latest weekly bitcoin hit piece (because for some \"inexplicable\" reason, JPMorgan executive have instructed most of the bank's strategists, including those covering equity and rates, to slam the cryptocurrency on a weekly if not daily basis while the bank quietlybuilds out its own proprietary crypto fund, almost as if it is desperate to scare its clients into selling), the bank makes an interesting argument: bitcoin is not liquid enough to be successfully implemented as a legal tender in El Salvador.\nWe won't speak to the validity of JPM's argument - we will soon find out first hand whether or not El Salvador made a mistake in adopting bitcoin as legal tender - although it certainly is simple enough: “daily payment activity in El Salvador would represent ~4% of recent on-chain transaction volume and more than 1% of the total value of tokens which have been transferred between wallets in the past year,” the report said, with the illiquidity and nature of the volume “potentially a significant limitation on its potential as a medium of exchange.”\nPerhaps, then again in its brief history bitcoin has certainly demonstrated that it is remarkably scalable and viable even without a central bank propping it up every time there is even a modest risk-flaring hiccup, which is much more than we could ever say about the global stock market or currencies such as Europe's \"whatever it takes\" euro.\nOf course, JPMorgan - a bank that directly benefited form more than one multibilion bailout - will be the last to admit just how much sustainable the cryptocurrency has become, which is why we will ignore the bank's latest round of propaganda, but will point out an interesting fact unearthed by JPMorgan: it goes straight to the heart of the recurring argument why bitcoin is so volatile.\nThe reason, as JPM has discovered, is that bitcoin's float may be as little as 5%, if not less. Discussing the daily trading volumes of bitcoin, JPM notes that a large fraction of Bitcoin are locked up in illiquid entities (liquidity sinks),\"with more than 90% not changing hands in more than a year\" while roughly 80% - and rising - are held by wallets with light turnover.  This means that a paltry 5-10% of all bitcoin in circulation has traded in the past year.\n\nAnother way of putting it:an asset with a $600 billion market cap has a float of just $30 billion.Which is remarkable as it means thatno whalessold bitcoin when it hit its all time high of $65,000.And if they didn't sell then, they certainly won't sell now when it's half that price.\nThis, more than anything else, explains why bitcoin - an asset whose market cap was more than a $1 trillion as recently as April - is so extremely volatile: with the vast majority of bitcoin locked up or held by whale accounts who rarely if ever trade, the marginal price setter of bitcoin are odd lots - a burst of trading in fractions of a bitcoin, where the momentum in many cases is ignited and magnified by HFTs who then shape the movement of the crypto in hopes of hitting the max pain stop loss positions for other cryptos, and where as a result of such a unique trading environment, the price of bitcoin can swing 10%, 15% , or even 20% or more every day.\nThe question we have is during liquidation pukes like the one observed recently, how much of the newly released bitcoin are gobbled up by existing or new whales. Judging by the gray line in the chart above, the answer is a record amount.\nWhich means that we are now in the\"weak hands\" shake out and whale accumulationphase. And once the new generation of whales has bought enough, that's when the next squeeze higher will take place, sending the crypto currency and its peers to fresh all time highs. Because if there is one thing that is very easy to do with an asset whose float is as low as bitcoin's, it is to manipulate it as a handful of big players want.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148458546,"gmtCreate":1626009737185,"gmtModify":1631890034773,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Meme stocks, is this the new investment&nbsp;","listText":"Meme stocks, is this the new investment&nbsp;","text":"Meme stocks, is this the new investment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148458546","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","BB":"黑莓","GME":"游戏驿站","SCHW":"嘉信理财","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","AMC":"AMC院线","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NEGG":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"BB":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"SCHW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159350360,"gmtCreate":1624943079050,"gmtModify":1631890034788,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NIO, a long term stock to hold for better gains","listText":"NIO, a long term stock to hold for better gains","text":"NIO, a long term stock to hold for better gains","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159350360","repostId":"1113711731","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113711731","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624937958,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113711731?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Stock Is Going Nuts. This Is the Best Explanation.<blockquote>蔚来股票正在疯狂。这是最好的解释。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113711731","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock in Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO is on fire. While a surge in the volume of options tradi","content":"<p>Stock in Chinese electric vehicle maker&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;is&nbsp;on fire. While a surge in the volume of options trading isn’t a perfect explanation for the rally, it certainlyhelped shares soaron Monday.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来的股票着火了。虽然期权交易量的激增并不能完美解释此次上涨，但它无疑帮助周一股价飙升。</blockquote></p><p> NIO (ticker: NIO) stock gained almost 10% Monday and shares are up 28% over the past month. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500,for comparison, rose 0.2% Monday and is up 2% over the past month. Call options volume, which rose almost 200% on Monday compared to Friday, is perhaps the biggest reason NIO shares might be more volatile.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）股价周一上涨近10%，过去一个月股价上涨28%。相比之下，标准普尔500指数周一上涨0.2%，过去一个月上涨2%。看涨期权期权交易量周一较周五增长近200%，这可能是蔚来股价波动更大的最大原因。</blockquote></p><p> Call options give the holder the right to buy a stock at a fixed price. (Buying a call is a bullish take on the underlying stock.) Brokers will sell and trade options contracts because they want to earn a commission on a trade. But brokers don’t want to be short a call option, which means they’ll have to take a loss if the stock rises.</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权期权赋予持有人以固定价格购买股票的权利。（购买看涨期权是对标的股票的看涨。）经纪人会出售和交易期权合约，因为他们想从交易中赚取佣金。但经纪人不想做空看涨期权期权，这意味着如果股票上涨，他们将不得不承担损失。</blockquote></p><p> One way brokers can hedge options positions is to buy the underlying stock. If a broker sells a call and buys the stock, they can earn the options commission and, if the stock rises, they can deliver the stock purchased to the call holder. In that scenario, the broker doesn’t have to buy shares at a higher price. That process is one way higher-than-average call buying can drive buying in the underlying stock.</p><p><blockquote>经纪商对冲期权头寸的一种方法是购买标的股票。如果经纪人卖出看涨期权并买入股票，他们可以赚取期权佣金，如果股票上涨，他们可以将购买的股票交付给看涨期权持有者。在这种情况下，经纪人不必以更高的价格购买股票。这一过程是高于平均水平的看涨期权购买量推动标的股票购买的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors don’t seem to be at play. Wall Street, for example, can’t be credited with the rally. The average analystprice targetfor NIO stock is up about 1% over the past month and not much has happened to those targets since the companyreported earningsat the end of April. Looking back to that point, the average analyst price target has gone up about $1 to a little more than $59 a share.</p><p><blockquote>其他因素似乎不起作用。例如，华尔街不能被认为是这次反弹的功劳。分析师对蔚来股票的平均目标价在过去一个月上涨了约1%，自该公司4月底公布收益以来，这些目标并没有发生太大变化。回顾当时，分析师的平均目标价已上涨约1美元，至每股59美元多一点。</blockquote></p><p> News doesn’t seem to be a credible reason for NIO’s rally, either. The last release on NIO’s website is fromJune 1when the company reported May deliveries. Those numbers relieved investors because the electric vehicle company maintained second-quarter delivery guidance despite a global automotive semiconductor shortage that has roiled the entire industry.</p><p><blockquote>新闻似乎也不是蔚来上涨的可信原因。蔚来网站上的最后一次发布是在6月1日，当时该公司报告了5月份的交付量。这些数字让投资者松了一口气，因为尽管全球汽车半导体短缺扰乱了整个行业，但这家电动汽车公司仍维持了第二季度的交付指引。</blockquote></p><p> NIO shares are now up 1% year to date. It’s been a wild ride so far in 2021. Based on recent trading, the ride will continue.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来股价今年迄今已上涨1%。2021年到目前为止，这是一次疯狂的旅程。根据最近的交易，这一过程将继续下去。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Stock Is Going Nuts. This Is the Best Explanation.<blockquote>蔚来股票正在疯狂。这是最好的解释。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Stock Is Going Nuts. This Is the Best Explanation.<blockquote>蔚来股票正在疯狂。这是最好的解释。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-29 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock in Chinese electric vehicle maker&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;is&nbsp;on fire. While a surge in the volume of options trading isn’t a perfect explanation for the rally, it certainlyhelped shares soaron Monday.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来的股票着火了。虽然期权交易量的激增并不能完美解释此次上涨，但它无疑帮助周一股价飙升。</blockquote></p><p> NIO (ticker: NIO) stock gained almost 10% Monday and shares are up 28% over the past month. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500,for comparison, rose 0.2% Monday and is up 2% over the past month. Call options volume, which rose almost 200% on Monday compared to Friday, is perhaps the biggest reason NIO shares might be more volatile.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）股价周一上涨近10%，过去一个月股价上涨28%。相比之下，标准普尔500指数周一上涨0.2%，过去一个月上涨2%。看涨期权期权交易量周一较周五增长近200%，这可能是蔚来股价波动更大的最大原因。</blockquote></p><p> Call options give the holder the right to buy a stock at a fixed price. (Buying a call is a bullish take on the underlying stock.) Brokers will sell and trade options contracts because they want to earn a commission on a trade. But brokers don’t want to be short a call option, which means they’ll have to take a loss if the stock rises.</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权期权赋予持有人以固定价格购买股票的权利。（购买看涨期权是对标的股票的看涨。）经纪人会出售和交易期权合约，因为他们想从交易中赚取佣金。但经纪人不想做空看涨期权期权，这意味着如果股票上涨，他们将不得不承担损失。</blockquote></p><p> One way brokers can hedge options positions is to buy the underlying stock. If a broker sells a call and buys the stock, they can earn the options commission and, if the stock rises, they can deliver the stock purchased to the call holder. In that scenario, the broker doesn’t have to buy shares at a higher price. That process is one way higher-than-average call buying can drive buying in the underlying stock.</p><p><blockquote>经纪商对冲期权头寸的一种方法是购买标的股票。如果经纪人卖出看涨期权并买入股票，他们可以赚取期权佣金，如果股票上涨，他们可以将购买的股票交付给看涨期权持有者。在这种情况下，经纪人不必以更高的价格购买股票。这一过程是高于平均水平的看涨期权购买量推动标的股票购买的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors don’t seem to be at play. Wall Street, for example, can’t be credited with the rally. The average analystprice targetfor NIO stock is up about 1% over the past month and not much has happened to those targets since the companyreported earningsat the end of April. Looking back to that point, the average analyst price target has gone up about $1 to a little more than $59 a share.</p><p><blockquote>其他因素似乎不起作用。例如，华尔街不能被认为是这次反弹的功劳。分析师对蔚来股票的平均目标价在过去一个月上涨了约1%，自该公司4月底公布收益以来，这些目标并没有发生太大变化。回顾当时，分析师的平均目标价已上涨约1美元，至每股59美元多一点。</blockquote></p><p> News doesn’t seem to be a credible reason for NIO’s rally, either. The last release on NIO’s website is fromJune 1when the company reported May deliveries. Those numbers relieved investors because the electric vehicle company maintained second-quarter delivery guidance despite a global automotive semiconductor shortage that has roiled the entire industry.</p><p><blockquote>新闻似乎也不是蔚来上涨的可信原因。蔚来网站上的最后一次发布是在6月1日，当时该公司报告了5月份的交付量。这些数字让投资者松了一口气，因为尽管全球汽车半导体短缺扰乱了整个行业，但这家电动汽车公司仍维持了第二季度的交付指引。</blockquote></p><p> NIO shares are now up 1% year to date. It’s been a wild ride so far in 2021. Based on recent trading, the ride will continue.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来股价今年迄今已上涨1%。2021年到目前为止，这是一次疯狂的旅程。根据最近的交易，这一过程将继续下去。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nio-stock-options-volume-51624921009?siteid=yhoof2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nio-stock-options-volume-51624921009?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113711731","content_text":"Stock in Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO is on fire. While a surge in the volume of options trading isn’t a perfect explanation for the rally, it certainlyhelped shares soaron Monday.\nNIO (ticker: NIO) stock gained almost 10% Monday and shares are up 28% over the past month. The S&P 500,for comparison, rose 0.2% Monday and is up 2% over the past month. Call options volume, which rose almost 200% on Monday compared to Friday, is perhaps the biggest reason NIO shares might be more volatile.\nCall options give the holder the right to buy a stock at a fixed price. (Buying a call is a bullish take on the underlying stock.) Brokers will sell and trade options contracts because they want to earn a commission on a trade. But brokers don’t want to be short a call option, which means they’ll have to take a loss if the stock rises.\nOne way brokers can hedge options positions is to buy the underlying stock. If a broker sells a call and buys the stock, they can earn the options commission and, if the stock rises, they can deliver the stock purchased to the call holder. In that scenario, the broker doesn’t have to buy shares at a higher price. That process is one way higher-than-average call buying can drive buying in the underlying stock.\nOther factors don’t seem to be at play. Wall Street, for example, can’t be credited with the rally. The average analystprice targetfor NIO stock is up about 1% over the past month and not much has happened to those targets since the companyreported earningsat the end of April. Looking back to that point, the average analyst price target has gone up about $1 to a little more than $59 a share.\nNews doesn’t seem to be a credible reason for NIO’s rally, either. The last release on NIO’s website is fromJune 1when the company reported May deliveries. Those numbers relieved investors because the electric vehicle company maintained second-quarter delivery guidance despite a global automotive semiconductor shortage that has roiled the entire industry.\nNIO shares are now up 1% year to date. It’s been a wild ride so far in 2021. Based on recent trading, the ride will continue.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125863875,"gmtCreate":1624668118797,"gmtModify":1631890034800,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple business model used to be amazing with strong barriers of entry. But now it seems that it is starting to decline in its Innovation and creativity","listText":"Apple business model used to be amazing with strong barriers of entry. But now it seems that it is starting to decline in its Innovation and creativity","text":"Apple business model used to be amazing with strong barriers of entry. But now it seems that it is starting to decline in its Innovation and creativity","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125863875","repostId":"1108941456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168888389,"gmtCreate":1623971449641,"gmtModify":1631890034809,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The trend on tech stocks keep booming&nbsp;","listText":"The trend on tech stocks keep booming&nbsp;","text":"The trend on tech stocks keep booming","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168888389","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184716814,"gmtCreate":1623724908238,"gmtModify":1631890034824,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Anyone know the link for these meme rallies? Wondering what happened to make the share price rocket&nbsp;","listText":"Anyone know the link for these meme rallies? Wondering what happened to make the share price rocket&nbsp;","text":"Anyone know the link for these meme rallies? Wondering what happened to make the share price rocket","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184716814","repostId":"1117313016","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117313016","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623680913,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117313016?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Corsair Surges Amid Meme Rally; Jim Cramer Warns on High-Level Sellers<blockquote>海盗船在迷因反弹中飙升；吉姆·克莱默对高层卖家发出警告</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117313016","media":"thestreet","summary":"Corsair Gaming  -Get Report shares surged higher Monday as the gaming and content equipment-maker appeared to add its name to the list of meme stock favorites.TheStreet's founder Jim Cramer, however, cautioned that such a steep rise for a fundamentally sound stock like Corsair would likely entice large-scale sellers at these levels.\"Corsair is a company I like very much, because it's basically a souped-up Logitech and Logitech's been a great stock\" Cramer told CNBC's Squawk on The Street program","content":"<p>Corsair Gaming&nbsp;(<b>CRSR</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;shares surged higher Monday as the gaming and content equipment-maker appeared to add its name to the list of meme stock favorites.</p><p><blockquote>海盗船游戏（<b>CRSR</b>)-Get Report股价周一飙升，这家游戏和内容设备制造商似乎将其名字添加到了最受欢迎的meme股票名单中。</blockquote></p><p> Data from theYolosocks.livewebsite, which tracks real-time mentions on stocks within Reddit's r/wallstreetbets chatroom, indicates that Corsair is the second most-discussed stock among users, up from a previous rank of 11, over the past 24 hours and more than 860 mentions.</p><p><blockquote>来自theyolosocks.live网站跟踪Reddit r/wallstreetbets聊天室中股票的实时提及情况，该网站的数据显示，Corsair是用户讨论第二多的股票，高于之前的第11位，在过去24小时内超过860次提及。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet's founder Jim Cramer, however, cautioned that such a steep rise for a fundamentally sound stock like Corsair would likely entice large-scale sellers at these levels.</p><p><blockquote>然而，TheStreet创始人吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)警告说，像海盗船这样基本面稳健的股票如此大幅上涨可能会在这些水平上吸引大规模卖家。</blockquote></p><p> \"Corsair is a company I like very much, because it's basically a souped-up Logitech and Logitech's been a great stock\" Cramer told CNBC's Squawk on The Street program. \"They have the high-performance equipment you need to dominate in e-sports and I think e-sports are here to stay.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默对CNBC的Squawk on The Street节目表示：“Corsair是一家我非常喜欢的公司，因为它基本上是罗技的升级版，而罗技一直是一只很棒的股票。”“他们拥有在电子竞技中占据主导地位所需的高性能设备，我认为电子竞技将会继续存在。”</blockquote></p><p> \"I don't know why the 'meme' people have a monopoly on whatever they play with,\" Cramer said.&nbsp;\"No Wall Street analyst could move Corsair this much, so for people who've been waiting for the stock to go to $37 and now it's at $41, those people aren't going to turn buyers. They're sellers.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我不知道为什么‘迷因’人垄断了他们玩的任何东西，”Cramer说，“没有一个华尔街分析师能让Corsair移动这么多，所以对于那些一直在等待该股涨到37美元，现在已经涨到41美元的人来说，这些人不会变成买家。他们是卖家。”</blockquote></p><p> \"The meme people think they're hurting the hedge funds, when in fact they're a tool to the hedge funds,\" Cramer said.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默说：“迷因人认为他们正在伤害对冲基金，而事实上他们是对冲基金的工具。”</blockquote></p><p> Corsair shares were marked 19.3% higher in early trading Monday to change hands at $38.60 each -- after hitting a session high of $42.97 at the opening bell -- in a move that bumps the stock's year-to-date gain to around 12%.</p><p><blockquote>Corsair股价周一早盘上涨19.3%，至每股38.60美元，开盘时触及42.97美元的盘中高点，此举使该股今年迄今的涨幅达到12%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Corsair posted first quarter earnings of $80 million on revenues of $529 million thanks to surging growth in its gaming nd peripherals business, which saw sales rise by 132% when compared to last year.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，Corsair公布第一季度盈利为8000万美元，营收为5.29亿美元，这得益于其游戏和外设业务的激增，销售额比去年增长了132%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Corsair Surges Amid Meme Rally; Jim Cramer Warns on High-Level Sellers<blockquote>海盗船在迷因反弹中飙升；吉姆·克莱默对高层卖家发出警告</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCorsair Surges Amid Meme Rally; Jim Cramer Warns on High-Level Sellers<blockquote>海盗船在迷因反弹中飙升；吉姆·克莱默对高层卖家发出警告</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 22:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Corsair Gaming&nbsp;(<b>CRSR</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;shares surged higher Monday as the gaming and content equipment-maker appeared to add its name to the list of meme stock favorites.</p><p><blockquote>海盗船游戏（<b>CRSR</b>)-Get Report股价周一飙升，这家游戏和内容设备制造商似乎将其名字添加到了最受欢迎的meme股票名单中。</blockquote></p><p> Data from theYolosocks.livewebsite, which tracks real-time mentions on stocks within Reddit's r/wallstreetbets chatroom, indicates that Corsair is the second most-discussed stock among users, up from a previous rank of 11, over the past 24 hours and more than 860 mentions.</p><p><blockquote>来自theyolosocks.live网站跟踪Reddit r/wallstreetbets聊天室中股票的实时提及情况，该网站的数据显示，Corsair是用户讨论第二多的股票，高于之前的第11位，在过去24小时内超过860次提及。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet's founder Jim Cramer, however, cautioned that such a steep rise for a fundamentally sound stock like Corsair would likely entice large-scale sellers at these levels.</p><p><blockquote>然而，TheStreet创始人吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)警告说，像海盗船这样基本面稳健的股票如此大幅上涨可能会在这些水平上吸引大规模卖家。</blockquote></p><p> \"Corsair is a company I like very much, because it's basically a souped-up Logitech and Logitech's been a great stock\" Cramer told CNBC's Squawk on The Street program. \"They have the high-performance equipment you need to dominate in e-sports and I think e-sports are here to stay.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默对CNBC的Squawk on The Street节目表示：“Corsair是一家我非常喜欢的公司，因为它基本上是罗技的升级版，而罗技一直是一只很棒的股票。”“他们拥有在电子竞技中占据主导地位所需的高性能设备，我认为电子竞技将会继续存在。”</blockquote></p><p> \"I don't know why the 'meme' people have a monopoly on whatever they play with,\" Cramer said.&nbsp;\"No Wall Street analyst could move Corsair this much, so for people who've been waiting for the stock to go to $37 and now it's at $41, those people aren't going to turn buyers. They're sellers.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我不知道为什么‘迷因’人垄断了他们玩的任何东西，”Cramer说，“没有一个华尔街分析师能让Corsair移动这么多，所以对于那些一直在等待该股涨到37美元，现在已经涨到41美元的人来说，这些人不会变成买家。他们是卖家。”</blockquote></p><p> \"The meme people think they're hurting the hedge funds, when in fact they're a tool to the hedge funds,\" Cramer said.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默说：“迷因人认为他们正在伤害对冲基金，而事实上他们是对冲基金的工具。”</blockquote></p><p> Corsair shares were marked 19.3% higher in early trading Monday to change hands at $38.60 each -- after hitting a session high of $42.97 at the opening bell -- in a move that bumps the stock's year-to-date gain to around 12%.</p><p><blockquote>Corsair股价周一早盘上涨19.3%，至每股38.60美元，开盘时触及42.97美元的盘中高点，此举使该股今年迄今的涨幅达到12%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Corsair posted first quarter earnings of $80 million on revenues of $529 million thanks to surging growth in its gaming nd peripherals business, which saw sales rise by 132% when compared to last year.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，Corsair公布第一季度盈利为8000万美元，营收为5.29亿美元，这得益于其游戏和外设业务的激增，销售额比去年增长了132%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/corsair-surges-in-latest-meme-rally-jim-cramer-warns-on-sellers\">thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRSR":"Corsair Gaming, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/corsair-surges-in-latest-meme-rally-jim-cramer-warns-on-sellers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117313016","content_text":"Corsair Gaming (CRSR) -Get Report shares surged higher Monday as the gaming and content equipment-maker appeared to add its name to the list of meme stock favorites.\nData from theYolosocks.livewebsite, which tracks real-time mentions on stocks within Reddit's r/wallstreetbets chatroom, indicates that Corsair is the second most-discussed stock among users, up from a previous rank of 11, over the past 24 hours and more than 860 mentions.\nTheStreet's founder Jim Cramer, however, cautioned that such a steep rise for a fundamentally sound stock like Corsair would likely entice large-scale sellers at these levels.\n\"Corsair is a company I like very much, because it's basically a souped-up Logitech and Logitech's been a great stock\" Cramer told CNBC's Squawk on The Street program. \"They have the high-performance equipment you need to dominate in e-sports and I think e-sports are here to stay.\"\n\"I don't know why the 'meme' people have a monopoly on whatever they play with,\" Cramer said. \"No Wall Street analyst could move Corsair this much, so for people who've been waiting for the stock to go to $37 and now it's at $41, those people aren't going to turn buyers. They're sellers.\"\n\"The meme people think they're hurting the hedge funds, when in fact they're a tool to the hedge funds,\" Cramer said.\nCorsair shares were marked 19.3% higher in early trading Monday to change hands at $38.60 each -- after hitting a session high of $42.97 at the opening bell -- in a move that bumps the stock's year-to-date gain to around 12%.\nLast month, Corsair posted first quarter earnings of $80 million on revenues of $529 million thanks to surging growth in its gaming nd peripherals business, which saw sales rise by 132% when compared to last year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CRSR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183102405,"gmtCreate":1623312708107,"gmtModify":1631890034836,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If this is successful, Facebook stocks could well increase or vice versa","listText":"If this is successful, Facebook stocks could well increase or vice versa","text":"If this is successful, Facebook stocks could well increase or vice versa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183102405","repostId":"1107750677","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111028606,"gmtCreate":1622645179405,"gmtModify":1631890034859,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I hope NIO will be in a league of its own with the current management","listText":"I hope NIO will be in a league of its own with the current management","text":"I hope NIO will be in a league of its own with the current management","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111028606","repostId":"1128017388","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128017388","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622618011,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128017388?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 15:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will NIO Stock Be In 5 Years?<blockquote>5年后蔚来股票会在哪里？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128017388","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nNIO is a high-growth Chinese EV player with attractive products.\nIts BaaS technology provid","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is a high-growth Chinese EV player with attractive products.</li>  <li>Its BaaS technology provides a USP that should help NIO gain market share in the coming years.</li>  <li>NIO is trading at a high valuation, and a lot of future growth is priced in already. Investors may have to be patient to see the growth story play out.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/215963a081072a260aa40bbb8991be26\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1152\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Andy Feng/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来是一家高增长的中国电动汽车公司，拥有极具吸引力的产品。</li><li>其BaaS技术提供了一个USP，应该可以帮助蔚来在未来几年获得市场份额。</li><li>蔚来的估值很高，未来的大量增长已经被消化。投资者可能必须耐心等待增长故事的展开。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Andy Feng/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO (NIO) is a high-growth EV pure-play with unique offerings such as battery-as-a-service. The company enjoys growth tailwinds in its home market China and will increase its presence in overseas markets dramatically in the coming years. NIO is not as expensive as some other EV stocks, but shares are, on the other hand, still trading at a steep premium compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. Overall, NIO could return significant amounts of money in the coming years, but that is not a certainty, and investors should keep an eye on NIO's risk factors.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是一家高增长的纯电动汽车公司，提供电池即服务等独特产品。该公司在中国本土市场享有增长势头，并将在未来几年大幅增加其在海外市场的影响力。蔚来的股价不像其他一些电动汽车股票那么昂贵，但另一方面，与传统汽车公司的估值相比，其股价仍然存在大幅溢价。总体而言，蔚来可能会在未来几年返还大量资金，但这并不是确定的，投资者应密切关注蔚来的风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来股价</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. is one of China's leading EV pure-plays, and that is reflected in its current valuation:</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是中国领先的纯电动汽车公司之一，这反映在其目前的估值上：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/335372a846d2b847c5006c47a65abf2d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At slightly below $40, NIO is valued at more than $60 billion right now. This is about 40% less than the valuation shares have traded at when they peaked in early 2021, which reflects the declining enthusiasm for EV stocks, as most of NIO's peers, including Tesla (TSLA), have seen their shares come back as well. Still, for reference, NIO is valued around the same level as Ford (F) - which is a way larger company for now, in terms of revenue and vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来目前的估值略低于40美元，但估值超过600亿美元。这比该股在2021年初达到峰值时的估值低约40%，这反映出人们对电动汽车股票的热情下降，因为包括特斯拉(TSLA)在内的大多数蔚来同行的股价也有所回升。不过，作为参考，蔚来的估值与福特(F)大致相同——就收入和汽车销量而言，福特目前是一家规模更大的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Long-Term Stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来是一只好的长期股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is active in the high-growth EV market and thus benefits a lot from market growth tailwinds. On top of that, NIO also has an attractive product portfolio that includes well-received models such as the ES6 and ES8 SUVs. What differentiates NIO from most other EV companies is its battery-swapping technology that allows consumers to get a fully-charged battery in a couple of minutes when visiting one of NIO's battery-swapping stations.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来活跃于高增长的电动汽车市场，因此从市场增长的顺风中受益匪浅。除此之外，蔚来还拥有极具吸引力的产品组合，其中包括ES6和ES8 SUV等广受好评的车型。蔚来与大多数其他电动汽车公司的区别在于其电池交换技术，该技术允许消费者在访问蔚来的电池交换站之一时在几分钟内获得充满电的电池。</blockquote></p><p> This means that the downtime when doing longer trips via an EV is reduced dramatically, as a battery-swap takes roughly as much time as refueling an ICE-powered car, whereas recharging most EVs takes well more than a couple of minutes. NIO's battery-swapping stations are being built out around China right now, although there is no meaningful footprint outside of NIO's home market yet.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着通过电动汽车进行长途旅行时的停机时间大大减少，因为更换电池所需的时间大约与为内燃机汽车加油所需的时间相同，而为大多数电动汽车充电所需的时间远不止几分钟。蔚来的电池交换站目前正在中国各地建设，尽管在蔚来本土市场之外还没有任何有意义的足迹。</blockquote></p><p> Still, NIO plans to roll out that service in international markets over the years, and once there is a large enough footprint of them to make a difference, this should be a unique selling point for NIO that will help differentiate its offerings from those of most peers. This could, I believe, result in further market share gains, which is why I wouldn't be surprised to see NIO grow at a rapid pace for the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，蔚来计划多年来在国际市场上推出这项服务，一旦它们的足迹足够大以发挥作用，这应该成为蔚来的一个独特卖点，有助于将其产品与其他产品区分开来。大多数同行。我相信，这可能会导致市场份额进一步增加，这就是为什么我不会对蔚来在未来几年快速增长感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> For 2021, NIO will likely deliver revenue growth of more than 100% on the back of strong deliveries growth, as the analyst community is currently forecasting a 130% revenue increase this year. For Q2, NIO is expecting a growth rate of&nbsp;around 110%&nbsp;for its deliveries, following a massive 480% revenue increase during the first quarter. NIO thus is growing quicker than the EV market as a whole, and also quicker than peers such as Tesla, which will grow by around 50%-60% this year, according to the analyst community, which is about half the growth rate that is expected for NIO this year.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，在交付量强劲增长的背景下，蔚来的收入可能会增长100%以上，因为分析师群体目前预测今年的收入将增长130%。继第一季度收入大幅增长480%后，蔚来预计第二季度的交付量增长率约为110%。因此，蔚来的增长速度快于整个电动汽车市场，也快于特斯拉等同行，据分析师界称，特斯拉今年将增长约50%-60%，约为增长率的一半预计今年蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> Maintaining 100%+ growth forever is, of course, not possible, and NIO's growth will decline from that level in the coming years. But due to the fact that its products are well-liked in its home market, while the company is also ambitiously planning a major entry into the&nbsp;large European EV market, NIO should still deliver very considerable growth in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>当然，永远保持100%以上的增长是不可能的，未来几年蔚来的增长将从这一水平下降。但由于其产品在国内市场广受欢迎，同时该公司也雄心勃勃地计划进军庞大的欧洲电动汽车市场，蔚来在未来几年仍应实现非常可观的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Obvious growth tailwinds for a company, or even an industry, do not necessarily equate to massive share price upside, however. Investors should consider that NIO will, like all auto companies, be active in a cyclical, capital-intense industry where margins, on average, are not very high. This doesn't mean that NIO does not have long-term upside, but investors should keep in mind that a home run is not guaranteed when investing in NIO or other EV stocks - despite the fact that EV sales are growing quickly.</p><p><blockquote>然而，对于一家公司甚至一个行业来说，明显的增长推动力并不一定等同于股价的大幅上涨。投资者应该考虑到，与所有汽车公司一样，蔚来将活跃于周期性、资本密集型行业，该行业的平均利润率不是很高。这并不意味着蔚来没有长期上涨空间，但投资者应该记住，尽管电动汽车销量增长迅速，但在投资蔚来或其他电动汽车股票时并不能保证全垒打。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Stock Forecast In 5 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5年后蔚来股票预测</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO will grow its revenues by more than 100% this year, according to most estimates, but growth projections beyond that point are varying a lot more. Looking at 2022, for example, the analyst consensus for NIO's revenues is $8.7 billion, which would reflect a 78% increase versus the consensus for 2021. Estimates are in a wide range, however, as analyst estimates range from $7.3 billion to $11.9 billion in revenue in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>根据大多数估计，蔚来今年的收入将增长100%以上，但超过这一点的增长预测差异更大。例如，展望2022年，分析师对蔚来收入的共识为87亿美元，比2021年的共识增长78%。然而，预测范围很广，分析师预测2022年收入在73亿美元至119亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, the most bullish estimates see NIO deliver 60% higher revenues than the most bearish estimates. Since these estimates are being made for 2022 - just one year from now - this wide discrepancy shows how hard it is to forecast exact revenue or earnings numbers for a company like NIO.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，最乐观的预测认为蔚来的收入比最悲观的预测高出60%。由于这些估计是针对2022年（距离现在只有一年）做出的，这种巨大的差异表明，对于像蔚来这样的公司来说，预测准确的收入或盈利数据是多么困难。</blockquote></p><p> For my estimate for 2025's revenues, I'll go with the analyst consensus for 2022, i.e. $8.7 billion, and then assume that revenues will grow at 1.5x the forecasted overall&nbsp;market growth rate of 27%&nbsp;in 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026. This would get us to $34 billion in revenue in 2026, i.e. five years from now. Since analysts are currently forecasting that revenue will grow by 110% this year, and by around 80% next year, some readers may argue that a 40% growth rate estimate for 2023-2026 is too conservative. But the major unknowns and uncertainties around competitive pressures, government policies, etc., mean that I think that projecting a higher growth rate for many years in advance might be too optimistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于我对2025年收入的估计，我将采用分析师对2022年的共识，即87亿美元，然后假设2023年、2024年、2025年和2026年收入将以预测整体市场增长率27%的1.5倍增长。这将使我们在2026年（即五年后）的收入达到340亿美元。由于分析师目前预测今年收入将增长110%，明年将增长80%左右，一些读者可能会认为2023-2026年40%的增长率估计过于保守。但围绕竞争压力、政府政策等的主要未知和不确定性。，意味着我认为提前多年预测更高的增长率可能过于乐观。</blockquote></p><p> What might a $34 billion top line mean for NIO's stock price? Right now, shares are valued at 11.6x this year's expected sales, which is almost perfectly in line with the valuation of XPeng (XPEV), and slightly lower than that of Tesla:</p><p><blockquote>340亿美元的营收对蔚来股价意味着什么？目前，该股估值为今年预期销量的11.6倍，几乎与小鹏汽车（XPEV）的估值完全一致，略低于特斯拉：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae661b708eec89bcb50b06a1b6947280\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Looking at 2022, we see that shares are valued at around 7x expected revenues right now, whereas XPeng and Tesla trade at 6x and 9x their expected revenues right now. I highly doubt that the average EV company will be trading at high single-digit or even double-digit sales multiples in 2026, as this is just too much of a difference versus the 0.5-2x revenue multiples that legacy auto companies usually trade at. But when we assume that NIO, as an EV pure-play, will still trade at a premium to legacy auto in the middle of the 2020s, a 3x or 4x sales multiple might be a realistic estimate.</p><p><blockquote>展望2022年，我们看到目前股价约为预期收入的7倍，而小鹏汽车和特斯拉目前的交易价格分别为预期收入的6倍和9倍。我非常怀疑2026年电动汽车公司的平均销售倍数是否会达到高个位数甚至两位数，因为这与传统汽车公司通常交易的0.5-2倍收入倍数相差太大。但当我们假设蔚来作为一家纯电动汽车公司，在2020年代中期仍将以高于传统汽车的价格进行交易时，3倍或4倍的销售倍数可能是一个现实的估计。</blockquote></p><p> When we go with 3.5x our revenue forecast for 2026, that would equate to a market capitalization of 119 billion - about 90% more than NIO's current market capitalization. NIO's share count has not been constant, however, and has, in fact, been rising considerably in the past. When we assume that the share count will rise by another 20% through 2026, to 1.9 billion, then shares would trade at $61 in 2026. This would mean that shares have an upside potential of around 55% over the next five years, or about 9% annually.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将2026年收入预测提高3.5倍时，这相当于1190亿美元的市值——比蔚来目前的市值高出约90%。然而，蔚来的股票数量并不是一成不变的，事实上，过去一直在大幅上升。当我们假设到2026年股票数量将再增加20%，达到19亿股时，那么2026年股票交易价格将为61美元。这意味着该股未来五年的上涨潜力约为55%，即每年上涨约9%。</blockquote></p><p> That is not at all unattractive, but it also isn't an absolutely outstanding return. On top of that, NIO, like many other EV startups, is a company with above-average volatility, above-average risks, and above-average uncertainties. I thus would not call NIO overly attractive at current prices, as the forecasted return is solid, but goes hand in hand with considerable risks/uncertainties. One can, of course, argue that the forecasted growth is too high, or too low, or that the target sales multiple should be different in 2026. As a base case scenario, I feel like this is reasonable, however.</p><p><blockquote>这并非完全没有吸引力，但也不是绝对出色的回报。最重要的是，与许多其他电动汽车初创公司一样，蔚来是一家波动性高于平均水平、风险高于平均水平和不确定性高于平均水平的公司。因此，我不会认为看涨期权·蔚来在当前价格下过于有吸引力，因为预测回报是稳健的，但伴随着相当大的风险/不确定性。当然，人们可以认为预测的增长太高或太低，或者2026年的目标销售倍数应该有所不同。然而，作为一个基本情况，我觉得这是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Stock A Buy Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> In retrospect, it is pretty clear that NIO at $10 about a year ago was a great opportunity, and that buying NIO at $67 at the peak earlier this year was a pretty bad decision. NIO today, in the high $30s, is somewhere in between these two extremes. I believe that, for long-term investors, NIO has a good chance of delivering solid returns over the years. At the same time, however, a lot of growth is priced into the stock right now, and it is not possible to forecast what competitors will do over the coming years, how accommodating governments will be to EVs, how well the rollout in Europe and other international markets will go, etc.</p><p><blockquote>回想起来，很明显，大约一年前10美元的蔚来是一个很好的机会，而今年早些时候在67美元的峰值买入蔚来是一个相当糟糕的决定。如今的蔚来股价高达30多美元，介于这两个极端之间。我相信，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来多年来很有可能带来稳健的回报。然而，与此同时，该股目前已经消化了大量增长，无法预测竞争对手在未来几年会做什么、政府对电动汽车的适应程度、在欧洲的推广情况以及其他国际市场将走向等。</blockquote></p><p> I think NIO is more attractive than many other EV companies today, including many of the EV startups that don't have any viable products yet, and also versus Tesla (which is growing slower and still trades at a higher valuation). I would not be surprised to see NIO's stock deliver solid returns during the 2020s. I don't think that NIO is an absolute no-brainer buy today, however, as NIO still trades at a quite high valuation, for now, even factoring in its strong growth.</p><p><blockquote>我认为蔚来比当今许多其他电动汽车公司更具吸引力，包括许多尚未拥有任何可行产品的电动汽车初创公司，以及特斯拉（增长较慢但估值仍较高）。如果看到蔚来的股票在2020年代实现稳健的回报，我不会感到惊讶。然而，我认为今天购买蔚来并不是绝对理所当然的事情，因为即使考虑到其强劲的增长，蔚来目前的估值仍然相当高。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that are enterprising and do not mind the risks and uncertainties around future product launches and international expansion, the stock's volatility, and so on, NIO could be a buy today. But it is not a good choice for everyone, and some may want to watch the EV race from the sidelines instead of putting money at risk at current valuations.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些有进取心且不介意未来产品发布和国际扩张、股票波动性等风险和不确定性的人来说，蔚来今天可能值得买入。但这对每个人来说都不是一个好的选择，有些人可能希望在场外观看电动汽车竞赛，而不是以当前的估值将资金置于风险之中。</blockquote></p><p> The current analyst consensus share price target is $59, but I personally do not think this is realistic in the very near term. Based on expected revenues for 2021, this would put NIO at an 18x sales multiple, which is, I believe, not justified. Over the next five years, however, a share price in that region seems achievable, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>目前分析师一致的股价目标是59美元，但我个人认为这在短期内是不现实的。根据2021年的预期收入，这将使蔚来的销售倍数达到18倍，我认为这是不合理的。然而，我相信，在未来五年内，该地区的股价似乎是可以实现的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will NIO Stock Be In 5 Years?<blockquote>5年后蔚来股票会在哪里？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will NIO Stock Be In 5 Years?<blockquote>5年后蔚来股票会在哪里？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-02 15:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is a high-growth Chinese EV player with attractive products.</li>  <li>Its BaaS technology provides a USP that should help NIO gain market share in the coming years.</li>  <li>NIO is trading at a high valuation, and a lot of future growth is priced in already. Investors may have to be patient to see the growth story play out.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/215963a081072a260aa40bbb8991be26\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1152\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Andy Feng/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来是一家高增长的中国电动汽车公司，拥有极具吸引力的产品。</li><li>其BaaS技术提供了一个USP，应该可以帮助蔚来在未来几年获得市场份额。</li><li>蔚来的估值很高，未来的大量增长已经被消化。投资者可能必须耐心等待增长故事的展开。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Andy Feng/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO (NIO) is a high-growth EV pure-play with unique offerings such as battery-as-a-service. The company enjoys growth tailwinds in its home market China and will increase its presence in overseas markets dramatically in the coming years. NIO is not as expensive as some other EV stocks, but shares are, on the other hand, still trading at a steep premium compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. Overall, NIO could return significant amounts of money in the coming years, but that is not a certainty, and investors should keep an eye on NIO's risk factors.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是一家高增长的纯电动汽车公司，提供电池即服务等独特产品。该公司在中国本土市场享有增长势头，并将在未来几年大幅增加其在海外市场的影响力。蔚来的股价不像其他一些电动汽车股票那么昂贵，但另一方面，与传统汽车公司的估值相比，其股价仍然存在大幅溢价。总体而言，蔚来可能会在未来几年返还大量资金，但这并不是确定的，投资者应密切关注蔚来的风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来股价</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. is one of China's leading EV pure-plays, and that is reflected in its current valuation:</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是中国领先的纯电动汽车公司之一，这反映在其目前的估值上：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/335372a846d2b847c5006c47a65abf2d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At slightly below $40, NIO is valued at more than $60 billion right now. This is about 40% less than the valuation shares have traded at when they peaked in early 2021, which reflects the declining enthusiasm for EV stocks, as most of NIO's peers, including Tesla (TSLA), have seen their shares come back as well. Still, for reference, NIO is valued around the same level as Ford (F) - which is a way larger company for now, in terms of revenue and vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来目前的估值略低于40美元，但估值超过600亿美元。这比该股在2021年初达到峰值时的估值低约40%，这反映出人们对电动汽车股票的热情下降，因为包括特斯拉(TSLA)在内的大多数蔚来同行的股价也有所回升。不过，作为参考，蔚来的估值与福特(F)大致相同——就收入和汽车销量而言，福特目前是一家规模更大的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Long-Term Stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来是一只好的长期股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is active in the high-growth EV market and thus benefits a lot from market growth tailwinds. On top of that, NIO also has an attractive product portfolio that includes well-received models such as the ES6 and ES8 SUVs. What differentiates NIO from most other EV companies is its battery-swapping technology that allows consumers to get a fully-charged battery in a couple of minutes when visiting one of NIO's battery-swapping stations.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来活跃于高增长的电动汽车市场，因此从市场增长的顺风中受益匪浅。除此之外，蔚来还拥有极具吸引力的产品组合，其中包括ES6和ES8 SUV等广受好评的车型。蔚来与大多数其他电动汽车公司的区别在于其电池交换技术，该技术允许消费者在访问蔚来的电池交换站之一时在几分钟内获得充满电的电池。</blockquote></p><p> This means that the downtime when doing longer trips via an EV is reduced dramatically, as a battery-swap takes roughly as much time as refueling an ICE-powered car, whereas recharging most EVs takes well more than a couple of minutes. NIO's battery-swapping stations are being built out around China right now, although there is no meaningful footprint outside of NIO's home market yet.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着通过电动汽车进行长途旅行时的停机时间大大减少，因为更换电池所需的时间大约与为内燃机汽车加油所需的时间相同，而为大多数电动汽车充电所需的时间远不止几分钟。蔚来的电池交换站目前正在中国各地建设，尽管在蔚来本土市场之外还没有任何有意义的足迹。</blockquote></p><p> Still, NIO plans to roll out that service in international markets over the years, and once there is a large enough footprint of them to make a difference, this should be a unique selling point for NIO that will help differentiate its offerings from those of most peers. This could, I believe, result in further market share gains, which is why I wouldn't be surprised to see NIO grow at a rapid pace for the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，蔚来计划多年来在国际市场上推出这项服务，一旦它们的足迹足够大以发挥作用，这应该成为蔚来的一个独特卖点，有助于将其产品与其他产品区分开来。大多数同行。我相信，这可能会导致市场份额进一步增加，这就是为什么我不会对蔚来在未来几年快速增长感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> For 2021, NIO will likely deliver revenue growth of more than 100% on the back of strong deliveries growth, as the analyst community is currently forecasting a 130% revenue increase this year. For Q2, NIO is expecting a growth rate of&nbsp;around 110%&nbsp;for its deliveries, following a massive 480% revenue increase during the first quarter. NIO thus is growing quicker than the EV market as a whole, and also quicker than peers such as Tesla, which will grow by around 50%-60% this year, according to the analyst community, which is about half the growth rate that is expected for NIO this year.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，在交付量强劲增长的背景下，蔚来的收入可能会增长100%以上，因为分析师群体目前预测今年的收入将增长130%。继第一季度收入大幅增长480%后，蔚来预计第二季度的交付量增长率约为110%。因此，蔚来的增长速度快于整个电动汽车市场，也快于特斯拉等同行，据分析师界称，特斯拉今年将增长约50%-60%，约为增长率的一半预计今年蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> Maintaining 100%+ growth forever is, of course, not possible, and NIO's growth will decline from that level in the coming years. But due to the fact that its products are well-liked in its home market, while the company is also ambitiously planning a major entry into the&nbsp;large European EV market, NIO should still deliver very considerable growth in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>当然，永远保持100%以上的增长是不可能的，未来几年蔚来的增长将从这一水平下降。但由于其产品在国内市场广受欢迎，同时该公司也雄心勃勃地计划进军庞大的欧洲电动汽车市场，蔚来在未来几年仍应实现非常可观的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Obvious growth tailwinds for a company, or even an industry, do not necessarily equate to massive share price upside, however. Investors should consider that NIO will, like all auto companies, be active in a cyclical, capital-intense industry where margins, on average, are not very high. This doesn't mean that NIO does not have long-term upside, but investors should keep in mind that a home run is not guaranteed when investing in NIO or other EV stocks - despite the fact that EV sales are growing quickly.</p><p><blockquote>然而，对于一家公司甚至一个行业来说，明显的增长推动力并不一定等同于股价的大幅上涨。投资者应该考虑到，与所有汽车公司一样，蔚来将活跃于周期性、资本密集型行业，该行业的平均利润率不是很高。这并不意味着蔚来没有长期上涨空间，但投资者应该记住，尽管电动汽车销量增长迅速，但在投资蔚来或其他电动汽车股票时并不能保证全垒打。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Stock Forecast In 5 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5年后蔚来股票预测</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO will grow its revenues by more than 100% this year, according to most estimates, but growth projections beyond that point are varying a lot more. Looking at 2022, for example, the analyst consensus for NIO's revenues is $8.7 billion, which would reflect a 78% increase versus the consensus for 2021. Estimates are in a wide range, however, as analyst estimates range from $7.3 billion to $11.9 billion in revenue in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>根据大多数估计，蔚来今年的收入将增长100%以上，但超过这一点的增长预测差异更大。例如，展望2022年，分析师对蔚来收入的共识为87亿美元，比2021年的共识增长78%。然而，预测范围很广，分析师预测2022年收入在73亿美元至119亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, the most bullish estimates see NIO deliver 60% higher revenues than the most bearish estimates. Since these estimates are being made for 2022 - just one year from now - this wide discrepancy shows how hard it is to forecast exact revenue or earnings numbers for a company like NIO.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，最乐观的预测认为蔚来的收入比最悲观的预测高出60%。由于这些估计是针对2022年（距离现在只有一年）做出的，这种巨大的差异表明，对于像蔚来这样的公司来说，预测准确的收入或盈利数据是多么困难。</blockquote></p><p> For my estimate for 2025's revenues, I'll go with the analyst consensus for 2022, i.e. $8.7 billion, and then assume that revenues will grow at 1.5x the forecasted overall&nbsp;market growth rate of 27%&nbsp;in 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026. This would get us to $34 billion in revenue in 2026, i.e. five years from now. Since analysts are currently forecasting that revenue will grow by 110% this year, and by around 80% next year, some readers may argue that a 40% growth rate estimate for 2023-2026 is too conservative. But the major unknowns and uncertainties around competitive pressures, government policies, etc., mean that I think that projecting a higher growth rate for many years in advance might be too optimistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于我对2025年收入的估计，我将采用分析师对2022年的共识，即87亿美元，然后假设2023年、2024年、2025年和2026年收入将以预测整体市场增长率27%的1.5倍增长。这将使我们在2026年（即五年后）的收入达到340亿美元。由于分析师目前预测今年收入将增长110%，明年将增长80%左右，一些读者可能会认为2023-2026年40%的增长率估计过于保守。但围绕竞争压力、政府政策等的主要未知和不确定性。，意味着我认为提前多年预测更高的增长率可能过于乐观。</blockquote></p><p> What might a $34 billion top line mean for NIO's stock price? Right now, shares are valued at 11.6x this year's expected sales, which is almost perfectly in line with the valuation of XPeng (XPEV), and slightly lower than that of Tesla:</p><p><blockquote>340亿美元的营收对蔚来股价意味着什么？目前，该股估值为今年预期销量的11.6倍，几乎与小鹏汽车（XPEV）的估值完全一致，略低于特斯拉：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae661b708eec89bcb50b06a1b6947280\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Looking at 2022, we see that shares are valued at around 7x expected revenues right now, whereas XPeng and Tesla trade at 6x and 9x their expected revenues right now. I highly doubt that the average EV company will be trading at high single-digit or even double-digit sales multiples in 2026, as this is just too much of a difference versus the 0.5-2x revenue multiples that legacy auto companies usually trade at. But when we assume that NIO, as an EV pure-play, will still trade at a premium to legacy auto in the middle of the 2020s, a 3x or 4x sales multiple might be a realistic estimate.</p><p><blockquote>展望2022年，我们看到目前股价约为预期收入的7倍，而小鹏汽车和特斯拉目前的交易价格分别为预期收入的6倍和9倍。我非常怀疑2026年电动汽车公司的平均销售倍数是否会达到高个位数甚至两位数，因为这与传统汽车公司通常交易的0.5-2倍收入倍数相差太大。但当我们假设蔚来作为一家纯电动汽车公司，在2020年代中期仍将以高于传统汽车的价格进行交易时，3倍或4倍的销售倍数可能是一个现实的估计。</blockquote></p><p> When we go with 3.5x our revenue forecast for 2026, that would equate to a market capitalization of 119 billion - about 90% more than NIO's current market capitalization. NIO's share count has not been constant, however, and has, in fact, been rising considerably in the past. When we assume that the share count will rise by another 20% through 2026, to 1.9 billion, then shares would trade at $61 in 2026. This would mean that shares have an upside potential of around 55% over the next five years, or about 9% annually.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将2026年收入预测提高3.5倍时，这相当于1190亿美元的市值——比蔚来目前的市值高出约90%。然而，蔚来的股票数量并不是一成不变的，事实上，过去一直在大幅上升。当我们假设到2026年股票数量将再增加20%，达到19亿股时，那么2026年股票交易价格将为61美元。这意味着该股未来五年的上涨潜力约为55%，即每年上涨约9%。</blockquote></p><p> That is not at all unattractive, but it also isn't an absolutely outstanding return. On top of that, NIO, like many other EV startups, is a company with above-average volatility, above-average risks, and above-average uncertainties. I thus would not call NIO overly attractive at current prices, as the forecasted return is solid, but goes hand in hand with considerable risks/uncertainties. One can, of course, argue that the forecasted growth is too high, or too low, or that the target sales multiple should be different in 2026. As a base case scenario, I feel like this is reasonable, however.</p><p><blockquote>这并非完全没有吸引力，但也不是绝对出色的回报。最重要的是，与许多其他电动汽车初创公司一样，蔚来是一家波动性高于平均水平、风险高于平均水平和不确定性高于平均水平的公司。因此，我不会认为看涨期权·蔚来在当前价格下过于有吸引力，因为预测回报是稳健的，但伴随着相当大的风险/不确定性。当然，人们可以认为预测的增长太高或太低，或者2026年的目标销售倍数应该有所不同。然而，作为一个基本情况，我觉得这是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Stock A Buy Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> In retrospect, it is pretty clear that NIO at $10 about a year ago was a great opportunity, and that buying NIO at $67 at the peak earlier this year was a pretty bad decision. NIO today, in the high $30s, is somewhere in between these two extremes. I believe that, for long-term investors, NIO has a good chance of delivering solid returns over the years. At the same time, however, a lot of growth is priced into the stock right now, and it is not possible to forecast what competitors will do over the coming years, how accommodating governments will be to EVs, how well the rollout in Europe and other international markets will go, etc.</p><p><blockquote>回想起来，很明显，大约一年前10美元的蔚来是一个很好的机会，而今年早些时候在67美元的峰值买入蔚来是一个相当糟糕的决定。如今的蔚来股价高达30多美元，介于这两个极端之间。我相信，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来多年来很有可能带来稳健的回报。然而，与此同时，该股目前已经消化了大量增长，无法预测竞争对手在未来几年会做什么、政府对电动汽车的适应程度、在欧洲的推广情况以及其他国际市场将走向等。</blockquote></p><p> I think NIO is more attractive than many other EV companies today, including many of the EV startups that don't have any viable products yet, and also versus Tesla (which is growing slower and still trades at a higher valuation). I would not be surprised to see NIO's stock deliver solid returns during the 2020s. I don't think that NIO is an absolute no-brainer buy today, however, as NIO still trades at a quite high valuation, for now, even factoring in its strong growth.</p><p><blockquote>我认为蔚来比当今许多其他电动汽车公司更具吸引力，包括许多尚未拥有任何可行产品的电动汽车初创公司，以及特斯拉（增长较慢但估值仍较高）。如果看到蔚来的股票在2020年代实现稳健的回报，我不会感到惊讶。然而，我认为今天购买蔚来并不是绝对理所当然的事情，因为即使考虑到其强劲的增长，蔚来目前的估值仍然相当高。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that are enterprising and do not mind the risks and uncertainties around future product launches and international expansion, the stock's volatility, and so on, NIO could be a buy today. But it is not a good choice for everyone, and some may want to watch the EV race from the sidelines instead of putting money at risk at current valuations.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些有进取心且不介意未来产品发布和国际扩张、股票波动性等风险和不确定性的人来说，蔚来今天可能值得买入。但这对每个人来说都不是一个好的选择，有些人可能希望在场外观看电动汽车竞赛，而不是以当前的估值将资金置于风险之中。</blockquote></p><p> The current analyst consensus share price target is $59, but I personally do not think this is realistic in the very near term. Based on expected revenues for 2021, this would put NIO at an 18x sales multiple, which is, I believe, not justified. Over the next five years, however, a share price in that region seems achievable, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>目前分析师一致的股价目标是59美元，但我个人认为这在短期内是不现实的。根据2021年的预期收入，这将使蔚来的销售倍数达到18倍，我认为这是不合理的。然而，我相信，在未来五年内，该地区的股价似乎是可以实现的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432423-nio-stock-in-5-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432423-nio-stock-in-5-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128017388","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO is a high-growth Chinese EV player with attractive products.\nIts BaaS technology provides a USP that should help NIO gain market share in the coming years.\nNIO is trading at a high valuation, and a lot of future growth is priced in already. Investors may have to be patient to see the growth story play out.\n\nPhoto by Andy Feng/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO (NIO) is a high-growth EV pure-play with unique offerings such as battery-as-a-service. The company enjoys growth tailwinds in its home market China and will increase its presence in overseas markets dramatically in the coming years. NIO is not as expensive as some other EV stocks, but shares are, on the other hand, still trading at a steep premium compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. Overall, NIO could return significant amounts of money in the coming years, but that is not a certainty, and investors should keep an eye on NIO's risk factors.\nNIO Stock Price\nNIO, Inc. is one of China's leading EV pure-plays, and that is reflected in its current valuation:\nData by YCharts\nAt slightly below $40, NIO is valued at more than $60 billion right now. This is about 40% less than the valuation shares have traded at when they peaked in early 2021, which reflects the declining enthusiasm for EV stocks, as most of NIO's peers, including Tesla (TSLA), have seen their shares come back as well. Still, for reference, NIO is valued around the same level as Ford (F) - which is a way larger company for now, in terms of revenue and vehicle sales.\nIs NIO A Good Long-Term Stock?\nNIO is active in the high-growth EV market and thus benefits a lot from market growth tailwinds. On top of that, NIO also has an attractive product portfolio that includes well-received models such as the ES6 and ES8 SUVs. What differentiates NIO from most other EV companies is its battery-swapping technology that allows consumers to get a fully-charged battery in a couple of minutes when visiting one of NIO's battery-swapping stations.\nThis means that the downtime when doing longer trips via an EV is reduced dramatically, as a battery-swap takes roughly as much time as refueling an ICE-powered car, whereas recharging most EVs takes well more than a couple of minutes. NIO's battery-swapping stations are being built out around China right now, although there is no meaningful footprint outside of NIO's home market yet.\nStill, NIO plans to roll out that service in international markets over the years, and once there is a large enough footprint of them to make a difference, this should be a unique selling point for NIO that will help differentiate its offerings from those of most peers. This could, I believe, result in further market share gains, which is why I wouldn't be surprised to see NIO grow at a rapid pace for the coming years.\nFor 2021, NIO will likely deliver revenue growth of more than 100% on the back of strong deliveries growth, as the analyst community is currently forecasting a 130% revenue increase this year. For Q2, NIO is expecting a growth rate of around 110% for its deliveries, following a massive 480% revenue increase during the first quarter. NIO thus is growing quicker than the EV market as a whole, and also quicker than peers such as Tesla, which will grow by around 50%-60% this year, according to the analyst community, which is about half the growth rate that is expected for NIO this year.\nMaintaining 100%+ growth forever is, of course, not possible, and NIO's growth will decline from that level in the coming years. But due to the fact that its products are well-liked in its home market, while the company is also ambitiously planning a major entry into the large European EV market, NIO should still deliver very considerable growth in the coming years.\nObvious growth tailwinds for a company, or even an industry, do not necessarily equate to massive share price upside, however. Investors should consider that NIO will, like all auto companies, be active in a cyclical, capital-intense industry where margins, on average, are not very high. This doesn't mean that NIO does not have long-term upside, but investors should keep in mind that a home run is not guaranteed when investing in NIO or other EV stocks - despite the fact that EV sales are growing quickly.\nNIO Stock Forecast In 5 Years\nNIO will grow its revenues by more than 100% this year, according to most estimates, but growth projections beyond that point are varying a lot more. Looking at 2022, for example, the analyst consensus for NIO's revenues is $8.7 billion, which would reflect a 78% increase versus the consensus for 2021. Estimates are in a wide range, however, as analyst estimates range from $7.3 billion to $11.9 billion in revenue in 2022.\nIn other words, the most bullish estimates see NIO deliver 60% higher revenues than the most bearish estimates. Since these estimates are being made for 2022 - just one year from now - this wide discrepancy shows how hard it is to forecast exact revenue or earnings numbers for a company like NIO.\nFor my estimate for 2025's revenues, I'll go with the analyst consensus for 2022, i.e. $8.7 billion, and then assume that revenues will grow at 1.5x the forecasted overall market growth rate of 27% in 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026. This would get us to $34 billion in revenue in 2026, i.e. five years from now. Since analysts are currently forecasting that revenue will grow by 110% this year, and by around 80% next year, some readers may argue that a 40% growth rate estimate for 2023-2026 is too conservative. But the major unknowns and uncertainties around competitive pressures, government policies, etc., mean that I think that projecting a higher growth rate for many years in advance might be too optimistic.\nWhat might a $34 billion top line mean for NIO's stock price? Right now, shares are valued at 11.6x this year's expected sales, which is almost perfectly in line with the valuation of XPeng (XPEV), and slightly lower than that of Tesla:\nData by YCharts\nLooking at 2022, we see that shares are valued at around 7x expected revenues right now, whereas XPeng and Tesla trade at 6x and 9x their expected revenues right now. I highly doubt that the average EV company will be trading at high single-digit or even double-digit sales multiples in 2026, as this is just too much of a difference versus the 0.5-2x revenue multiples that legacy auto companies usually trade at. But when we assume that NIO, as an EV pure-play, will still trade at a premium to legacy auto in the middle of the 2020s, a 3x or 4x sales multiple might be a realistic estimate.\nWhen we go with 3.5x our revenue forecast for 2026, that would equate to a market capitalization of 119 billion - about 90% more than NIO's current market capitalization. NIO's share count has not been constant, however, and has, in fact, been rising considerably in the past. When we assume that the share count will rise by another 20% through 2026, to 1.9 billion, then shares would trade at $61 in 2026. This would mean that shares have an upside potential of around 55% over the next five years, or about 9% annually.\nThat is not at all unattractive, but it also isn't an absolutely outstanding return. On top of that, NIO, like many other EV startups, is a company with above-average volatility, above-average risks, and above-average uncertainties. I thus would not call NIO overly attractive at current prices, as the forecasted return is solid, but goes hand in hand with considerable risks/uncertainties. One can, of course, argue that the forecasted growth is too high, or too low, or that the target sales multiple should be different in 2026. As a base case scenario, I feel like this is reasonable, however.\nIs NIO Stock A Buy Now?\nIn retrospect, it is pretty clear that NIO at $10 about a year ago was a great opportunity, and that buying NIO at $67 at the peak earlier this year was a pretty bad decision. NIO today, in the high $30s, is somewhere in between these two extremes. I believe that, for long-term investors, NIO has a good chance of delivering solid returns over the years. At the same time, however, a lot of growth is priced into the stock right now, and it is not possible to forecast what competitors will do over the coming years, how accommodating governments will be to EVs, how well the rollout in Europe and other international markets will go, etc.\nI think NIO is more attractive than many other EV companies today, including many of the EV startups that don't have any viable products yet, and also versus Tesla (which is growing slower and still trades at a higher valuation). I would not be surprised to see NIO's stock deliver solid returns during the 2020s. I don't think that NIO is an absolute no-brainer buy today, however, as NIO still trades at a quite high valuation, for now, even factoring in its strong growth.\nFor those that are enterprising and do not mind the risks and uncertainties around future product launches and international expansion, the stock's volatility, and so on, NIO could be a buy today. But it is not a good choice for everyone, and some may want to watch the EV race from the sidelines instead of putting money at risk at current valuations.\nThe current analyst consensus share price target is $59, but I personally do not think this is realistic in the very near term. Based on expected revenues for 2021, this would put NIO at an 18x sales multiple, which is, I believe, not justified. Over the next five years, however, a share price in that region seems achievable, I believe.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2096,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113310160,"gmtCreate":1622593770850,"gmtModify":1631890034864,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon and back","listText":"To the moon and back","text":"To the moon and back","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113310160","repostId":"2140491365","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134607526,"gmtCreate":1622218976265,"gmtModify":1631890034877,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"But when will this pandemic end. So much uncertainty","listText":"But when will this pandemic end. So much uncertainty","text":"But when will this pandemic end. So much uncertainty","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134607526","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135083482,"gmtCreate":1622122533246,"gmtModify":1631892367391,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can anyone explain why Palantir is a good investment? No matter how i look, its pretty risky","listText":"Can anyone explain why Palantir is a good investment? No matter how i look, its pretty risky","text":"Can anyone explain why Palantir is a good investment? No matter how i look, its pretty risky","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135083482","repostId":"2138120575","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136150990,"gmtCreate":1622000929410,"gmtModify":1631892367406,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The narket is truly unpredictable, with memes becoming valuable as money","listText":"The narket is truly unpredictable, with memes becoming valuable as money","text":"The narket is truly unpredictable, with memes becoming valuable as money","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136150990","repostId":"1137738225","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131304071,"gmtCreate":1621824993993,"gmtModify":1631892367412,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NaiO vs XPeng, which would be the better choice for long term?","listText":"NaiO vs XPeng, which would be the better choice for long term?","text":"NaiO vs XPeng, which would be the better choice for long term?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131304071","repostId":"1112775099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190218773,"gmtCreate":1620622838892,"gmtModify":1631892367426,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"With so many news articles published, is there a easier way to digest them","listText":"With so many news articles published, is there a easier way to digest them","text":"With so many news articles published, is there a easier way to digest them","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190218773","repostId":"2134686276","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107328766,"gmtCreate":1620446481755,"gmtModify":1631892367435,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is so dubious and dangerous. Why are people investing in it","listText":"This is so dubious and dangerous. Why are people investing in it","text":"This is so dubious and dangerous. Why are people investing in it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107328766","repostId":"1160802774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160802774","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620442206,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160802774?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 10:50","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Dogecoin price’s ‘make-or-break’ moment looms with Elon Musk set to host ‘Saturday Night Live’<blockquote>埃隆·马斯克将主持“周六夜现场”，狗狗币价格的“成败”时刻迫在眉睫</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160802774","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue Un","content":"<p>Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue University with proceeds from the sale of a single bitcoin that she bought on a whim, which had surged to nearly $20,000.</p><p><blockquote>Nikki Beesetti早在2017年就开始投资加密货币，并用出售她心血来潮购买的一枚比特币的收益支付了她在普渡大学的最后一个学期的费用，该收益已飙升至近2万美元。</blockquote></p><p>Now, the product manager for a startup in New York is dabbling in dogecoin&nbsp;,and sees this weekend as a possible make-or-break moment for the parody coin that has seen a stratospheric, nearly 13,000% rise in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>现在，纽约一家初创公司的产品经理正在涉足狗狗币，并认为本周末可能是这种模仿硬币的成败时刻，这种模仿硬币在2021年上涨了近13,000%。</blockquote></p><p>“This Saturday is going to be a total make-or-break for dogecoin,” Beesetti told MarketWatch in a phone interview.</p><p><blockquote>Beesetti在接受MarketWatch电话采访时表示：“本周六将是狗狗币成败的关键。”</blockquote></p><p>“If he can really get the messaging right, dogecoin can really take off…or it’s going to crash to wherever it’s going to crash to,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果他真的能传达正确的信息，狗狗币就能真正起飞……否则它就会崩溃到任何它要崩溃的地方，”她说。</blockquote></p><p>The 25-year-old investor is one of a number of relatively young traders who are piling into speculative altcoins like dogecoin as the so-called joke asset mints millionaires and draws some concerns about a bubble forming in the nascent crypto complex.</p><p><blockquote>这位25岁的投资者是众多相对年轻的交易员之一，他们涌入狗狗币等投机性山寨币，因为这种所谓的笑话资产造就了百万富翁，并引起了一些人对新兴加密货币综合体中正在形成泡沫的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Musk will host NBC’s late-night live television comedy sketch show, “Saturday Night Live,” this weekend and his coming appearance has already drawn&nbsp;cheers and jeers.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克将于本周末主持NBC深夜直播电视喜剧小品节目“周六夜现场”，他即将到来的亮相已经引起了欢呼和嘲笑。</blockquote></p><p>Musk has been one of the biggest cheerleaders for dogecoin and crypto broadly. The self-appointed “Technoking” of Tesla&nbsp;has been mostly using his massive social media following to pump up the price of doge,&nbsp;tweeting back on April 1&nbsp;that he would use his SpaceX rockets to put a physical Doge coin on the literal moon, echoing the social media goal of taking the coin’s price “to the moon.”</p><p><blockquote>马斯克一直是狗狗币和加密货币最大的支持者之一。这位自封的特斯拉“技术之王”主要利用其庞大的社交媒体粉丝来抬高doge的价格，他于4月1日在推特上表示，他将使用SpaceX火箭将实体doge硬币放在真正的月球上，呼应了社交媒体将硬币价格“带到月球”的目标。</blockquote></p><p>Beesetti said that she first got involved in dogecoin — she also invests in technology stocks and exchange-traded funds — at the prompting of Musk’s social-media missives from last summer.</p><p><blockquote>比塞蒂表示，她第一次涉足狗狗币是在马斯克去年夏天社交媒体信件的推动下，她还投资科技股和交易所交易基金。</blockquote></p><p>She bought dogecoin when it was trading at 3/10ths of a penny and she kept dollar-cost averaging her position in the digital asset created in 2013 even as it hit around 1 cent last August.</p><p><blockquote>她在狗狗币的交易价格为3/10美分时买入了它，尽管去年8月它达到了1美分左右，但她仍保持了她在2013年创建的数字资产中的美元成本平均头寸。</blockquote></p><p>Musk has become a rallying point for dogecoin holders on sites like Reddit and his coming appearance on “SNL” is a hotly anticipated moment inside and outside crypto markets, which had largely been centered on bitcoin&nbsp;and Ethereum&nbsp;,the two largest cryptos in the world.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克已成为Reddit等网站上狗狗币持有者的聚集点，他即将在“SNL”上亮相是加密货币市场内外备受期待的时刻，该市场主要集中在比特币和以太币这两个世界上最大的加密货币。</blockquote></p><p>Dogecoin has long held the reputation as a joke currency in the digital-asset realm but it is hard to deny that its surging value has gripped Main Street and Wall Street’s attention — at least momentarily.</p><p><blockquote>狗狗币长期以来在数字资产领域一直享有笑话货币的美誉，但很难否认其飙升的价值引起了大街和华尔街的关注——至少暂时如此。</blockquote></p><p>Former “SNL” cast member and comedian David Spade on Thursday tweeted that he wondered if Musk’s appearance on the sketch show would equate to a 90-minute infomercial for doge, adding, perhaps tongue in cheek that he was buying dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>前《SNL》演员兼喜剧演员大卫·斯派德(David Spade)周四在推特上表示，他想知道马斯克出现在小品节目中是否相当于为doge制作了一部90分钟的电视广告，并补充说，也许是开玩笑地说，他正在购买狗狗币。</blockquote></p><p>Oddsmakers at betting platformSportsBettingDime.com&nbsp;have established a number of prop bets about Musk’s appearance on “Saturday Night Live,” including which if any crypto he mentions first on the show.</p><p><blockquote>博彩平台SportsBettingDime.com的赔率制定了许多关于马斯克出现在《周六夜现场》上的适当赌注，包括他在节目中首先提到的任何加密货币。</blockquote></p><p>Which cryptocurrency does Musk mention first:</p><p><blockquote>马斯克首先提到的是哪种加密货币：</blockquote></p><p>1. Bitcoin: -200</p><p><blockquote>1.比特币：-200</blockquote></p><p>2. Dogecoin: +600</p><p><blockquote>2.狗狗币：+600</blockquote></p><p>3. FIELD: +450</p><p><blockquote>3.字段：+450</blockquote></p><p>4. Does Not Mention Bitcoin: +400</p><p><blockquote>4.没有提到比特币：+400</blockquote></p><p>Beesetti said that she sold about $8,000 worth of dogecoin recently to buy a pair of Gucci shoes, an iPhone and upped her position in Ether thar runs on the Ethereum protocol but has otherwise been a steady holder of doge.</p><p><blockquote>Beesetti表示，她最近出售了价值约8,000美元的狗狗币，购买了一双Gucci鞋、一部iPhone，并根据以太币协议提高了她在以太thar的头寸，但在其他方面一直是doge的稳定持有者。</blockquote></p><p>The investor wouldn’t offer specific figures but said that her holdings currently range from 50,000 to 100,000 dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>该投资者不愿提供具体数字，但表示她目前持有的狗狗币在50,000至100,000枚之间。</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps unlike some investors in doge, she is under no illusion that it has utility but submits to the possibility that momentum could build in a parody asset to such an extent that it forges its own legitimacy.</p><p><blockquote>也许与doge的一些投资者不同，她并不对它具有实用性抱有幻想，而是接受了这样一种可能性：势头可能会在模仿资产中积累到一定程度，从而锻造自己的合法性。</blockquote></p><p>“Doge doesn’t have intrinsic value,” Beesetti said. “The value becomes real if you and a collective group of people believe in it. And in this case, there are more groups and people than before who believe.”</p><p><blockquote>“Doge没有内在价值，”比塞蒂说。“如果你和一群人相信它，价值就会变得真实。在这种情况下，相信它的群体和人比以前更多。”</blockquote></p><p>That said, reality could hit meme coin holders hard come Sunday morning, at least one analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，至少一位分析师表示，现实可能会在周日早上对模因币持有者造成沉重打击。</blockquote></p><p>“Post-SNL, some crypto traders could abandon short-term&nbsp;Dogecoin&nbsp;bets once it becomes clear that it is not skyrocketing to the moon or at the heavily eyed $1 level,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a research note.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)在一份研究报告中写道：“SNL之后，一旦狗狗币明显不会飙升至月球或达到备受关注的1美元水平，一些加密货币交易员可能会放弃短期狗狗币押注。”笔记。</blockquote></p><p>The analyst also notes that strong conviction of dogecoin investors,known as hodlers in the crypto world, could defy logic and keep prices buoyant.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师还指出，狗狗币投资者（在加密货币界被称为霍德勒）的坚定信念可能会违背逻辑并保持价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p>“The retail-army of traders that have been committed to Doge might remain stubbornly hodlers, so we shouldn’t be surprised if a sell the event reaction does not happen,” the Oanda strategist said.</p><p><blockquote>这位Oanda策略师表示：“一直致力于Doge的散户交易员可能仍然是顽固的霍德勒，因此如果没有发生卖出事件反应，我们不应该感到惊讶。”</blockquote></p><p>How it all plays out for dogecoin is anyone’s guess.</p><p><blockquote>狗狗币的结局如何，谁也说不准。</blockquote></p><p>“It’s just a meme currency but sometimes the most entertaining outcome becomes the reality,” Beesetti said.</p><p><blockquote>“这只是一种模因货币，但有时最有趣的结果会成为现实，”比塞蒂说。</blockquote></p><p>That meme currency has enjoyed a spectacular ride compared against most other assets. Gold futures&nbsp;are down 3% so far this year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;and the S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;are up by nearly 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq Composite Index&nbsp;has gained about over 6% so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数其他资产相比，这种模因货币经历了惊人的上涨。今年迄今为止，黄金期货下跌了3%，道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数在2021年上涨了近13%，而纳斯达克综合指数今年迄今为止的涨幅约超过6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dogecoin price’s ‘make-or-break’ moment looms with Elon Musk set to host ‘Saturday Night Live’<blockquote>埃隆·马斯克将主持“周六夜现场”，狗狗币价格的“成败”时刻迫在眉睫</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDogecoin price’s ‘make-or-break’ moment looms with Elon Musk set to host ‘Saturday Night Live’<blockquote>埃隆·马斯克将主持“周六夜现场”，狗狗币价格的“成败”时刻迫在眉睫</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 10:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue University with proceeds from the sale of a single bitcoin that she bought on a whim, which had surged to nearly $20,000.</p><p><blockquote>Nikki Beesetti早在2017年就开始投资加密货币，并用出售她心血来潮购买的一枚比特币的收益支付了她在普渡大学的最后一个学期的费用，该收益已飙升至近2万美元。</blockquote></p><p>Now, the product manager for a startup in New York is dabbling in dogecoin&nbsp;,and sees this weekend as a possible make-or-break moment for the parody coin that has seen a stratospheric, nearly 13,000% rise in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>现在，纽约一家初创公司的产品经理正在涉足狗狗币，并认为本周末可能是这种模仿硬币的成败时刻，这种模仿硬币在2021年上涨了近13,000%。</blockquote></p><p>“This Saturday is going to be a total make-or-break for dogecoin,” Beesetti told MarketWatch in a phone interview.</p><p><blockquote>Beesetti在接受MarketWatch电话采访时表示：“本周六将是狗狗币成败的关键。”</blockquote></p><p>“If he can really get the messaging right, dogecoin can really take off…or it’s going to crash to wherever it’s going to crash to,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果他真的能传达正确的信息，狗狗币就能真正起飞……否则它就会崩溃到任何它要崩溃的地方，”她说。</blockquote></p><p>The 25-year-old investor is one of a number of relatively young traders who are piling into speculative altcoins like dogecoin as the so-called joke asset mints millionaires and draws some concerns about a bubble forming in the nascent crypto complex.</p><p><blockquote>这位25岁的投资者是众多相对年轻的交易员之一，他们涌入狗狗币等投机性山寨币，因为这种所谓的笑话资产造就了百万富翁，并引起了一些人对新兴加密货币综合体中正在形成泡沫的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Musk will host NBC’s late-night live television comedy sketch show, “Saturday Night Live,” this weekend and his coming appearance has already drawn&nbsp;cheers and jeers.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克将于本周末主持NBC深夜直播电视喜剧小品节目“周六夜现场”，他即将到来的亮相已经引起了欢呼和嘲笑。</blockquote></p><p>Musk has been one of the biggest cheerleaders for dogecoin and crypto broadly. The self-appointed “Technoking” of Tesla&nbsp;has been mostly using his massive social media following to pump up the price of doge,&nbsp;tweeting back on April 1&nbsp;that he would use his SpaceX rockets to put a physical Doge coin on the literal moon, echoing the social media goal of taking the coin’s price “to the moon.”</p><p><blockquote>马斯克一直是狗狗币和加密货币最大的支持者之一。这位自封的特斯拉“技术之王”主要利用其庞大的社交媒体粉丝来抬高doge的价格，他于4月1日在推特上表示，他将使用SpaceX火箭将实体doge硬币放在真正的月球上，呼应了社交媒体将硬币价格“带到月球”的目标。</blockquote></p><p>Beesetti said that she first got involved in dogecoin — she also invests in technology stocks and exchange-traded funds — at the prompting of Musk’s social-media missives from last summer.</p><p><blockquote>比塞蒂表示，她第一次涉足狗狗币是在马斯克去年夏天社交媒体信件的推动下，她还投资科技股和交易所交易基金。</blockquote></p><p>She bought dogecoin when it was trading at 3/10ths of a penny and she kept dollar-cost averaging her position in the digital asset created in 2013 even as it hit around 1 cent last August.</p><p><blockquote>她在狗狗币的交易价格为3/10美分时买入了它，尽管去年8月它达到了1美分左右，但她仍保持了她在2013年创建的数字资产中的美元成本平均头寸。</blockquote></p><p>Musk has become a rallying point for dogecoin holders on sites like Reddit and his coming appearance on “SNL” is a hotly anticipated moment inside and outside crypto markets, which had largely been centered on bitcoin&nbsp;and Ethereum&nbsp;,the two largest cryptos in the world.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克已成为Reddit等网站上狗狗币持有者的聚集点，他即将在“SNL”上亮相是加密货币市场内外备受期待的时刻，该市场主要集中在比特币和以太币这两个世界上最大的加密货币。</blockquote></p><p>Dogecoin has long held the reputation as a joke currency in the digital-asset realm but it is hard to deny that its surging value has gripped Main Street and Wall Street’s attention — at least momentarily.</p><p><blockquote>狗狗币长期以来在数字资产领域一直享有笑话货币的美誉，但很难否认其飙升的价值引起了大街和华尔街的关注——至少暂时如此。</blockquote></p><p>Former “SNL” cast member and comedian David Spade on Thursday tweeted that he wondered if Musk’s appearance on the sketch show would equate to a 90-minute infomercial for doge, adding, perhaps tongue in cheek that he was buying dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>前《SNL》演员兼喜剧演员大卫·斯派德(David Spade)周四在推特上表示，他想知道马斯克出现在小品节目中是否相当于为doge制作了一部90分钟的电视广告，并补充说，也许是开玩笑地说，他正在购买狗狗币。</blockquote></p><p>Oddsmakers at betting platformSportsBettingDime.com&nbsp;have established a number of prop bets about Musk’s appearance on “Saturday Night Live,” including which if any crypto he mentions first on the show.</p><p><blockquote>博彩平台SportsBettingDime.com的赔率制定了许多关于马斯克出现在《周六夜现场》上的适当赌注，包括他在节目中首先提到的任何加密货币。</blockquote></p><p>Which cryptocurrency does Musk mention first:</p><p><blockquote>马斯克首先提到的是哪种加密货币：</blockquote></p><p>1. Bitcoin: -200</p><p><blockquote>1.比特币：-200</blockquote></p><p>2. Dogecoin: +600</p><p><blockquote>2.狗狗币：+600</blockquote></p><p>3. FIELD: +450</p><p><blockquote>3.字段：+450</blockquote></p><p>4. Does Not Mention Bitcoin: +400</p><p><blockquote>4.没有提到比特币：+400</blockquote></p><p>Beesetti said that she sold about $8,000 worth of dogecoin recently to buy a pair of Gucci shoes, an iPhone and upped her position in Ether thar runs on the Ethereum protocol but has otherwise been a steady holder of doge.</p><p><blockquote>Beesetti表示，她最近出售了价值约8,000美元的狗狗币，购买了一双Gucci鞋、一部iPhone，并根据以太币协议提高了她在以太thar的头寸，但在其他方面一直是doge的稳定持有者。</blockquote></p><p>The investor wouldn’t offer specific figures but said that her holdings currently range from 50,000 to 100,000 dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>该投资者不愿提供具体数字，但表示她目前持有的狗狗币在50,000至100,000枚之间。</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps unlike some investors in doge, she is under no illusion that it has utility but submits to the possibility that momentum could build in a parody asset to such an extent that it forges its own legitimacy.</p><p><blockquote>也许与doge的一些投资者不同，她并不对它具有实用性抱有幻想，而是接受了这样一种可能性：势头可能会在模仿资产中积累到一定程度，从而锻造自己的合法性。</blockquote></p><p>“Doge doesn’t have intrinsic value,” Beesetti said. “The value becomes real if you and a collective group of people believe in it. And in this case, there are more groups and people than before who believe.”</p><p><blockquote>“Doge没有内在价值，”比塞蒂说。“如果你和一群人相信它，价值就会变得真实。在这种情况下，相信它的群体和人比以前更多。”</blockquote></p><p>That said, reality could hit meme coin holders hard come Sunday morning, at least one analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，至少一位分析师表示，现实可能会在周日早上对模因币持有者造成沉重打击。</blockquote></p><p>“Post-SNL, some crypto traders could abandon short-term&nbsp;Dogecoin&nbsp;bets once it becomes clear that it is not skyrocketing to the moon or at the heavily eyed $1 level,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a research note.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)在一份研究报告中写道：“SNL之后，一旦狗狗币明显不会飙升至月球或达到备受关注的1美元水平，一些加密货币交易员可能会放弃短期狗狗币押注。”笔记。</blockquote></p><p>The analyst also notes that strong conviction of dogecoin investors,known as hodlers in the crypto world, could defy logic and keep prices buoyant.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师还指出，狗狗币投资者（在加密货币界被称为霍德勒）的坚定信念可能会违背逻辑并保持价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p>“The retail-army of traders that have been committed to Doge might remain stubbornly hodlers, so we shouldn’t be surprised if a sell the event reaction does not happen,” the Oanda strategist said.</p><p><blockquote>这位Oanda策略师表示：“一直致力于Doge的散户交易员可能仍然是顽固的霍德勒，因此如果没有发生卖出事件反应，我们不应该感到惊讶。”</blockquote></p><p>How it all plays out for dogecoin is anyone’s guess.</p><p><blockquote>狗狗币的结局如何，谁也说不准。</blockquote></p><p>“It’s just a meme currency but sometimes the most entertaining outcome becomes the reality,” Beesetti said.</p><p><blockquote>“这只是一种模因货币，但有时最有趣的结果会成为现实，”比塞蒂说。</blockquote></p><p>That meme currency has enjoyed a spectacular ride compared against most other assets. Gold futures&nbsp;are down 3% so far this year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;and the S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;are up by nearly 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq Composite Index&nbsp;has gained about over 6% so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数其他资产相比，这种模因货币经历了惊人的上涨。今年迄今为止，黄金期货下跌了3%，道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数在2021年上涨了近13%，而纳斯达克综合指数今年迄今为止的涨幅约超过6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-total-make-or-break-for-dogecoin-says-one-crypto-investor-as-elon-musk-prepares-to-host-saturday-night-live-11620413674?mod=associated-press\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-total-make-or-break-for-dogecoin-says-one-crypto-investor-as-elon-musk-prepares-to-host-saturday-night-live-11620413674?mod=associated-press","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160802774","content_text":"Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue University with proceeds from the sale of a single bitcoin that she bought on a whim, which had surged to nearly $20,000.Now, the product manager for a startup in New York is dabbling in dogecoin ,and sees this weekend as a possible make-or-break moment for the parody coin that has seen a stratospheric, nearly 13,000% rise in 2021.“This Saturday is going to be a total make-or-break for dogecoin,” Beesetti told MarketWatch in a phone interview.“If he can really get the messaging right, dogecoin can really take off…or it’s going to crash to wherever it’s going to crash to,” she said.The 25-year-old investor is one of a number of relatively young traders who are piling into speculative altcoins like dogecoin as the so-called joke asset mints millionaires and draws some concerns about a bubble forming in the nascent crypto complex.Musk will host NBC’s late-night live television comedy sketch show, “Saturday Night Live,” this weekend and his coming appearance has already drawn cheers and jeers.Musk has been one of the biggest cheerleaders for dogecoin and crypto broadly. The self-appointed “Technoking” of Tesla has been mostly using his massive social media following to pump up the price of doge, tweeting back on April 1 that he would use his SpaceX rockets to put a physical Doge coin on the literal moon, echoing the social media goal of taking the coin’s price “to the moon.”Beesetti said that she first got involved in dogecoin — she also invests in technology stocks and exchange-traded funds — at the prompting of Musk’s social-media missives from last summer.She bought dogecoin when it was trading at 3/10ths of a penny and she kept dollar-cost averaging her position in the digital asset created in 2013 even as it hit around 1 cent last August.Musk has become a rallying point for dogecoin holders on sites like Reddit and his coming appearance on “SNL” is a hotly anticipated moment inside and outside crypto markets, which had largely been centered on bitcoin and Ethereum ,the two largest cryptos in the world.Dogecoin has long held the reputation as a joke currency in the digital-asset realm but it is hard to deny that its surging value has gripped Main Street and Wall Street’s attention — at least momentarily.Former “SNL” cast member and comedian David Spade on Thursday tweeted that he wondered if Musk’s appearance on the sketch show would equate to a 90-minute infomercial for doge, adding, perhaps tongue in cheek that he was buying dogecoin.Oddsmakers at betting platformSportsBettingDime.com have established a number of prop bets about Musk’s appearance on “Saturday Night Live,” including which if any crypto he mentions first on the show.Which cryptocurrency does Musk mention first:1. Bitcoin: -2002. Dogecoin: +6003. FIELD: +4504. Does Not Mention Bitcoin: +400Beesetti said that she sold about $8,000 worth of dogecoin recently to buy a pair of Gucci shoes, an iPhone and upped her position in Ether thar runs on the Ethereum protocol but has otherwise been a steady holder of doge.The investor wouldn’t offer specific figures but said that her holdings currently range from 50,000 to 100,000 dogecoin.Perhaps unlike some investors in doge, she is under no illusion that it has utility but submits to the possibility that momentum could build in a parody asset to such an extent that it forges its own legitimacy.“Doge doesn’t have intrinsic value,” Beesetti said. “The value becomes real if you and a collective group of people believe in it. And in this case, there are more groups and people than before who believe.”That said, reality could hit meme coin holders hard come Sunday morning, at least one analyst said.“Post-SNL, some crypto traders could abandon short-term Dogecoin bets once it becomes clear that it is not skyrocketing to the moon or at the heavily eyed $1 level,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a research note.The analyst also notes that strong conviction of dogecoin investors,known as hodlers in the crypto world, could defy logic and keep prices buoyant.“The retail-army of traders that have been committed to Doge might remain stubbornly hodlers, so we shouldn’t be surprised if a sell the event reaction does not happen,” the Oanda strategist said.How it all plays out for dogecoin is anyone’s guess.“It’s just a meme currency but sometimes the most entertaining outcome becomes the reality,” Beesetti said.That meme currency has enjoyed a spectacular ride compared against most other assets. Gold futures are down 3% so far this year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index are up by nearly 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq Composite Index has gained about over 6% so far this year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104320568,"gmtCreate":1620357188454,"gmtModify":1631892367447,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Exciting news ahead","listText":"Exciting news ahead","text":"Exciting news ahead","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104320568","repostId":"1137949521","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137949521","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620356202,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137949521?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Top Fintech Stocks To Watch After PayPal Reported Record Earnings<blockquote>PayPal公布创纪录盈利后值得关注的4只顶级金融科技股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137949521","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"PayPal’s Strong Earnings Show That The Growth For Fintech Stocks Is Far From OverWhile many of the h","content":"<p>PayPal’s Strong Earnings Show That The Growth For Fintech Stocks Is Far From Over</p><p><blockquote>PayPal强劲的盈利表明金融科技股的增长远未结束</blockquote></p><p>While many of the hypergrowth names from 2020 continue to slide along with the recent tech rout,<i>fintech stocks</i>remain relatively resilient in the<b><i>stock market today</i></b>. Understandably, this is because of the vital role these companies have played over the past year. Amidst the current pandemic, the adoption of digital payments has and continues to accelerate at breakneck speeds. One doesn’t need to look far to see the impact of fintech on their life. From online payment for goods and services, sending money to trading stocks online, all can be done from your palm.</p><p><blockquote>尽管2020年以来许多高速增长的公司继续随着最近的科技股溃败而下滑，<i>金融科技股</i>保持相对弹性<b><i>今日股市</i></b>可以理解的是，这是因为这些公司在过去一年中发挥了至关重要的作用。在当前的疫情，数字支付的采用已经并将继续以极快的速度加速。人们不需要看很远就能看到金融科技对他们生活的影响。从网上支付商品和服务，汇款到网上交易股票，一切都可以在你的手掌上完成。</blockquote></p><p>It was because of these reasons we could carry out our life with minimal disruptions. Merchants have been relying on fintech providers to keep their business going. For instance,<b>PayPal</b>(NASDAQ: PYPL) is a fintech ecosystem that provides everything a business or individual would need in the cashless world. The fintech giant reported its strongest quarter on record and beat Wall Streets’ estimates on Wednesday. The digital payments company processed a total of $285 billion in payments in the first quarter, up 50% year-over-year. Besides, it also added 14.5 million net new active customers.</p><p><blockquote>正是因为这些原因，我们才能在最小的干扰下生活。商家一直依赖金融科技提供商来维持业务运转。例如，<b>PayPal</b>（纳斯达克：PYPL）是一个金融科技生态系统，提供企业或个人在无现金世界中所需的一切。这家金融科技巨头周三公布了有记录以来最强劲的季度业绩，超出了华尔街的预期。这家数字支付公司第一季度共处理了2850亿美元的支付，同比增长50%。此外，它还增加了1450万净新活跃客户。</blockquote></p><p>Furthermore, another growing trend in the overall fintech space now would be cryptocurrencies. Venmo, the mobile wallet owned by PayPal, also allows customers to buy and sell cryptocurrencies likeBitcoinand Ethereum. With digital payments expected to be the norm in the future, it is not surprising investors have been looking for top fintech stocks to buy in thestock market. Be it the continuing innovation in fintech services or major adoption of cryptocurrencies, these trends are what many deem as the future of finance. If you are optimistic about what this sector has to offer, let’s look at fourtop fintech stocksto consider buying with plenty of growth opportunities ahead.</p><p><blockquote>此外，整个金融科技领域的另一个增长趋势是加密货币。PayPal旗下的移动钱包Venmo还允许客户买卖比特币和以太币等加密货币。由于数字支付预计将成为未来的常态，投资者一直在股票市场上寻找顶级金融科技股票也就不足为奇了。无论是金融科技服务的持续创新还是加密货币的广泛采用，这些趋势都是许多人认为金融的未来。如果您对该行业所提供的服务持乐观态度，让我们看看四大金融科技股票，以考虑在未来有大量增长机会的情况下买入。</blockquote></p><p>Best Fintech Stocks To Watch Right Now</p><p><blockquote>目前最值得关注的金融科技股票</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Square Inc.</b>(NYSE: SQ)</li><li><b>Paysafe Ltd</b>(NYSE: PSFE)</li><li><b>MercadoLibre Inc.</b>(NASDAQ: MELI)</li><li><b>Sea Limited</b>(NYSE: SE)</li></ul>Square</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>广场公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SQ）</li><li><b>Paysafe有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PSFE）</li><li><b>MercadoLibre公司。</b>（纳斯达克：MELI）</li><li><b>海有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SE）</li></ul>平方</blockquote></p><p>Square is a financial services, merchant services aggregator, and mobile payment company that is based in San Francisco. The fintech giant operates two fintech ecosystems, one of which provides a commerce ecosystem that enables its sellers to start, run, and grow their businesses. But what’s sending Square stock over the roof is its Cash App, a growing segment for the company. This is unsurprising given how at the onset of the pandemic, there has been a steady increase in cashless adoption rates and contactless payments.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d08585cb725b55710b6b0fc1511f0e7\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">If anything, the pandemic had accelerated this shift to digital payments. From its last quarterly report in February, Square reported a quarterly gross profit of $804 million, up by 52% year-over-year. The company’s Cash App delivered strong growth, with a gross profit of $377 million, a staggering 162% year-over-year increase.</p><p><blockquote>Square是一家总部位于旧金山的金融服务、商业服务聚合商和移动支付公司。这家金融科技巨头运营着两个金融科技生态系统，其中一个提供了一个商业生态系统，使其卖家能够启动、运营和发展他们的业务。但让Square股价飙升的是其Cash应用程序，这是该公司不断增长的细分市场。这并不奇怪，因为在疫情开始时，无现金采用率和非接触式支付一直在稳步增长。如果说有什么不同的话，那就是疫情加速了向数字支付的转变。从2月份的上一份季度报告来看，Square公布的季度毛利润为8.04亿美元，同比增长52%。该公司的Cash App实现了强劲增长，毛利润达到3.77亿美元，同比增长162%。</blockquote></p><p>We saw that PayPal has reported its strongest quarter in history. It is natural that investors will be looking at SQ stock today as it will report its earnings after the closing bell today. Considering the accelerating adoption of fintech, will you consider buying SQ stock right now?</p><p><blockquote>我们看到PayPal报告了历史上最强劲的季度。投资者今天自然会关注SQ股票，因为它将在今天收盘后公布收益。考虑到金融科技的加速采用，您现在会考虑购买SQ股票吗？</blockquote></p><p>Paysafe</p><p><blockquote>Paysafe</blockquote></p><p>Paysafe is a leading specialized payments platform. Its core purpose is to enable businesses and consumers to connect and transact seamlessly. Particularly, the company specializes in payment processing, digital wallet, and online cash solutions. But Paysafe isn’t the same company as PayPal or Square. Rather, it’s primarily a payment processor. With over 20 years of online payment experience, the company boasts an annualized transactional volume of $92 billion in 2020.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8088f25bcf21646b7f801bd78c494fb\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">You might have come across Paysafe as a pioneer in digital commerce. That’s right, but there’s another angle that could contribute more value to the company’s business. And it is the company’s involvement in iGaming that has growth investors salivating. In fact, Paysafe is the exclusive online payment processor for DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG).</p><p><blockquote>Paysafe是领先的专业支付平台。其核心目的是使企业和消费者能够无缝连接和交易。特别是，该公司专注于支付处理、数字钱包和在线现金解决方案。但Paysafe与PayPal或Square不是同一家公司。相反，它主要是一个支付处理器。该公司拥有20多年的在线支付经验，2020年年交易额将达到920亿美元。你可能见过Paysafe是数字商务的先驱。没错，但还有另一个角度可以为公司的业务贡献更多价值。正是该公司对iGaming的参与让成长型投资者垂涎三尺。事实上，Paysafe是DraftKings（纳斯达克：DKNG）的独家在线支付处理器。</blockquote></p><p>Should Paysafe be successful in growing its iGaming market, I wouldn’t be surprised if this is a multi-bagger investment in the making. With the company’s impressive global reach, would you say that now is the right time to be one of the early investors before PSFE stock takes off?</p><p><blockquote>如果Paysafe成功发展其iGaming市场，如果这是一项多方投资，我不会感到惊讶。凭借该公司令人印象深刻的全球影响力，您认为现在是在PSFE股票起飞之前成为早期投资者之一的最佳时机吗？</blockquote></p><p>MercadoLibre</p><p><blockquote>自由市场</blockquote></p><p></p><p>MercadoLibre is the undisputed leader of e-commerce in the Latin American market. But there is also a high growth opportunity in the fintech segment of the company. If you have heard of this company, chances are you know it has a payment system by the name of Mercado Pago. And this is the Latin American answer to PayPal and Square. More importantly, this payment system has brought impressive results to the company.</p><p><blockquote>MercadoLibre是拉丁美洲市场无可争议的电子商务领导者。但该公司的金融科技领域也存在高增长机会。如果你听说过这家公司，你很可能知道它有一个名为Mercado Pago的支付系统。这是拉丁美洲对PayPal和广场的回应。更重要的是，这套支付系统给公司带来了骄人的业绩。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97b9980ac72bd6644243183a27df8474\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>From the company’s first-quarter results released on May 5, net revenue came in 158.4% higher year-over-year to $1.4 billion on a constant currency basis. Total payment transactions through Mercado Pago reached $14.7 billion, a year-over-year increase of 81.8% and 129.2% on a constant currency basis. Total payment transactions rose 116.7% from a year ago, totaling 630.1 million transactions for the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司5月5日发布的第一季度业绩显示，按固定汇率计算，净收入同比增长158.4%，达到14亿美元。通过Mercado Pago的支付交易总额达到147亿美元，同比增长81.8%，按固定汇率计算增长129.2%。本季度支付交易总额同比增长116.7%，达到6.301亿笔。</blockquote></p><p>With its leading position in both e-commerce and digital payments in its geographies, MercadoLibre certainly has a lot going for it. With the rising affluence in the countries that the company operates, is MELI stock a buy and hold for the decades to come?</p><p><blockquote>凭借其在电子商务和数字支付领域的领先地位，MercadoLibre无疑有很多优势。随着该公司运营所在国家的富裕程度不断提高，MELI股票是否值得在未来几十年内买入并持有？</blockquote></p><p>Sea Ltd</p><p><blockquote>海洋有限公司</blockquote></p><p>Similar to MercadoLibre, Sea Ltd. core services consist of e-commerce, digital financial service, and digital entertainment. Sea Ltd gives investors exposure to the fast-growing e-commerce market in Southeast Asia. In particular, our focus today will be on SeaMoney, the leading digital payment and financial service provider in the region. This paired with its massive Shopee e-commerce platform has positioned Sea Limited to benefit from current online shopping trends. The company is slated to report earnings on May 18 before the opening bells.</p><p><blockquote>与MercadoLibre类似，Sea Ltd.的核心服务包括电子商务、数字金融服务和数字娱乐。Sea Ltd让投资者接触到东南亚快速增长的电子商务市场。特别是，我们今天的重点将是该地区领先的数字支付和金融服务提供商SeaMoney。这与其庞大的Shopee电子商务平台相结合，使Sea Limited能够从当前的在线购物趋势中受益。该公司定于5月18日开盘前公布财报。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eb1277cbae57d0ba3a726157d2de65e\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It’s worth mentioning that the company’s digital wallet business has partnered with Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), in which SeaMoney will be among the payment options for Google Play Store in Indonesia. The company has already partnered with Google in Thailand. With fast-growing economies and a big addressable market in Southeast Asia, the growth outlook seems robust.</p><p><blockquote>值得一提的是，该公司的数字钱包业务已与Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）合作，其中SeaMoney将成为谷歌Play商店在印尼的支付选项之一。该公司已经在泰国与谷歌合作。凭借快速增长的经济体和东南亚巨大的潜在市场，增长前景似乎强劲。</blockquote></p><p>Sure, the company’s e-commerce and digital financial services are yet to be profitable. And that’s okay considering the company is still at a growth stage. With all that in mind, would you bet on SE stock right now before the e-commerce and digital wallet segments start delivering positive earnings?</p><p><blockquote>当然，该公司的电子商务和数字金融服务尚未盈利。考虑到公司仍处于成长阶段，这没关系。考虑到所有这些，在电子商务和数字钱包领域开始带来正收益之前，您会立即押注SE股票吗？</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Top Fintech Stocks To Watch After PayPal Reported Record Earnings<blockquote>PayPal公布创纪录盈利后值得关注的4只顶级金融科技股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Top Fintech Stocks To Watch After PayPal Reported Record Earnings<blockquote>PayPal公布创纪录盈利后值得关注的4只顶级金融科技股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Nasdaq</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 10:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>PayPal’s Strong Earnings Show That The Growth For Fintech Stocks Is Far From Over</p><p><blockquote>PayPal强劲的盈利表明金融科技股的增长远未结束</blockquote></p><p>While many of the hypergrowth names from 2020 continue to slide along with the recent tech rout,<i>fintech stocks</i>remain relatively resilient in the<b><i>stock market today</i></b>. Understandably, this is because of the vital role these companies have played over the past year. Amidst the current pandemic, the adoption of digital payments has and continues to accelerate at breakneck speeds. One doesn’t need to look far to see the impact of fintech on their life. From online payment for goods and services, sending money to trading stocks online, all can be done from your palm.</p><p><blockquote>尽管2020年以来许多高速增长的公司继续随着最近的科技股溃败而下滑，<i>金融科技股</i>保持相对弹性<b><i>今日股市</i></b>可以理解的是，这是因为这些公司在过去一年中发挥了至关重要的作用。在当前的疫情，数字支付的采用已经并将继续以极快的速度加速。人们不需要看很远就能看到金融科技对他们生活的影响。从网上支付商品和服务，汇款到网上交易股票，一切都可以在你的手掌上完成。</blockquote></p><p>It was because of these reasons we could carry out our life with minimal disruptions. Merchants have been relying on fintech providers to keep their business going. For instance,<b>PayPal</b>(NASDAQ: PYPL) is a fintech ecosystem that provides everything a business or individual would need in the cashless world. The fintech giant reported its strongest quarter on record and beat Wall Streets’ estimates on Wednesday. The digital payments company processed a total of $285 billion in payments in the first quarter, up 50% year-over-year. Besides, it also added 14.5 million net new active customers.</p><p><blockquote>正是因为这些原因，我们才能在最小的干扰下生活。商家一直依赖金融科技提供商来维持业务运转。例如，<b>PayPal</b>（纳斯达克：PYPL）是一个金融科技生态系统，提供企业或个人在无现金世界中所需的一切。这家金融科技巨头周三公布了有记录以来最强劲的季度业绩，超出了华尔街的预期。这家数字支付公司第一季度共处理了2850亿美元的支付，同比增长50%。此外，它还增加了1450万净新活跃客户。</blockquote></p><p>Furthermore, another growing trend in the overall fintech space now would be cryptocurrencies. Venmo, the mobile wallet owned by PayPal, also allows customers to buy and sell cryptocurrencies likeBitcoinand Ethereum. With digital payments expected to be the norm in the future, it is not surprising investors have been looking for top fintech stocks to buy in thestock market. Be it the continuing innovation in fintech services or major adoption of cryptocurrencies, these trends are what many deem as the future of finance. If you are optimistic about what this sector has to offer, let’s look at fourtop fintech stocksto consider buying with plenty of growth opportunities ahead.</p><p><blockquote>此外，整个金融科技领域的另一个增长趋势是加密货币。PayPal旗下的移动钱包Venmo还允许客户买卖比特币和以太币等加密货币。由于数字支付预计将成为未来的常态，投资者一直在股票市场上寻找顶级金融科技股票也就不足为奇了。无论是金融科技服务的持续创新还是加密货币的广泛采用，这些趋势都是许多人认为金融的未来。如果您对该行业所提供的服务持乐观态度，让我们看看四大金融科技股票，以考虑在未来有大量增长机会的情况下买入。</blockquote></p><p>Best Fintech Stocks To Watch Right Now</p><p><blockquote>目前最值得关注的金融科技股票</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Square Inc.</b>(NYSE: SQ)</li><li><b>Paysafe Ltd</b>(NYSE: PSFE)</li><li><b>MercadoLibre Inc.</b>(NASDAQ: MELI)</li><li><b>Sea Limited</b>(NYSE: SE)</li></ul>Square</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>广场公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SQ）</li><li><b>Paysafe有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PSFE）</li><li><b>MercadoLibre公司。</b>（纳斯达克：MELI）</li><li><b>海有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SE）</li></ul>平方</blockquote></p><p>Square is a financial services, merchant services aggregator, and mobile payment company that is based in San Francisco. The fintech giant operates two fintech ecosystems, one of which provides a commerce ecosystem that enables its sellers to start, run, and grow their businesses. But what’s sending Square stock over the roof is its Cash App, a growing segment for the company. This is unsurprising given how at the onset of the pandemic, there has been a steady increase in cashless adoption rates and contactless payments.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d08585cb725b55710b6b0fc1511f0e7\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">If anything, the pandemic had accelerated this shift to digital payments. From its last quarterly report in February, Square reported a quarterly gross profit of $804 million, up by 52% year-over-year. The company’s Cash App delivered strong growth, with a gross profit of $377 million, a staggering 162% year-over-year increase.</p><p><blockquote>Square是一家总部位于旧金山的金融服务、商业服务聚合商和移动支付公司。这家金融科技巨头运营着两个金融科技生态系统，其中一个提供了一个商业生态系统，使其卖家能够启动、运营和发展他们的业务。但让Square股价飙升的是其Cash应用程序，这是该公司不断增长的细分市场。这并不奇怪，因为在疫情开始时，无现金采用率和非接触式支付一直在稳步增长。如果说有什么不同的话，那就是疫情加速了向数字支付的转变。从2月份的上一份季度报告来看，Square公布的季度毛利润为8.04亿美元，同比增长52%。该公司的Cash App实现了强劲增长，毛利润达到3.77亿美元，同比增长162%。</blockquote></p><p>We saw that PayPal has reported its strongest quarter in history. It is natural that investors will be looking at SQ stock today as it will report its earnings after the closing bell today. Considering the accelerating adoption of fintech, will you consider buying SQ stock right now?</p><p><blockquote>我们看到PayPal报告了历史上最强劲的季度。投资者今天自然会关注SQ股票，因为它将在今天收盘后公布收益。考虑到金融科技的加速采用，您现在会考虑购买SQ股票吗？</blockquote></p><p>Paysafe</p><p><blockquote>Paysafe</blockquote></p><p>Paysafe is a leading specialized payments platform. Its core purpose is to enable businesses and consumers to connect and transact seamlessly. Particularly, the company specializes in payment processing, digital wallet, and online cash solutions. But Paysafe isn’t the same company as PayPal or Square. Rather, it’s primarily a payment processor. With over 20 years of online payment experience, the company boasts an annualized transactional volume of $92 billion in 2020.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8088f25bcf21646b7f801bd78c494fb\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">You might have come across Paysafe as a pioneer in digital commerce. That’s right, but there’s another angle that could contribute more value to the company’s business. And it is the company’s involvement in iGaming that has growth investors salivating. In fact, Paysafe is the exclusive online payment processor for DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG).</p><p><blockquote>Paysafe是领先的专业支付平台。其核心目的是使企业和消费者能够无缝连接和交易。特别是，该公司专注于支付处理、数字钱包和在线现金解决方案。但Paysafe与PayPal或Square不是同一家公司。相反，它主要是一个支付处理器。该公司拥有20多年的在线支付经验，2020年年交易额将达到920亿美元。你可能见过Paysafe是数字商务的先驱。没错，但还有另一个角度可以为公司的业务贡献更多价值。正是该公司对iGaming的参与让成长型投资者垂涎三尺。事实上，Paysafe是DraftKings（纳斯达克：DKNG）的独家在线支付处理器。</blockquote></p><p>Should Paysafe be successful in growing its iGaming market, I wouldn’t be surprised if this is a multi-bagger investment in the making. With the company’s impressive global reach, would you say that now is the right time to be one of the early investors before PSFE stock takes off?</p><p><blockquote>如果Paysafe成功发展其iGaming市场，如果这是一项多方投资，我不会感到惊讶。凭借该公司令人印象深刻的全球影响力，您认为现在是在PSFE股票起飞之前成为早期投资者之一的最佳时机吗？</blockquote></p><p>MercadoLibre</p><p><blockquote>自由市场</blockquote></p><p></p><p>MercadoLibre is the undisputed leader of e-commerce in the Latin American market. But there is also a high growth opportunity in the fintech segment of the company. If you have heard of this company, chances are you know it has a payment system by the name of Mercado Pago. And this is the Latin American answer to PayPal and Square. More importantly, this payment system has brought impressive results to the company.</p><p><blockquote>MercadoLibre是拉丁美洲市场无可争议的电子商务领导者。但该公司的金融科技领域也存在高增长机会。如果你听说过这家公司，你很可能知道它有一个名为Mercado Pago的支付系统。这是拉丁美洲对PayPal和广场的回应。更重要的是，这套支付系统给公司带来了骄人的业绩。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97b9980ac72bd6644243183a27df8474\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>From the company’s first-quarter results released on May 5, net revenue came in 158.4% higher year-over-year to $1.4 billion on a constant currency basis. Total payment transactions through Mercado Pago reached $14.7 billion, a year-over-year increase of 81.8% and 129.2% on a constant currency basis. Total payment transactions rose 116.7% from a year ago, totaling 630.1 million transactions for the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司5月5日发布的第一季度业绩显示，按固定汇率计算，净收入同比增长158.4%，达到14亿美元。通过Mercado Pago的支付交易总额达到147亿美元，同比增长81.8%，按固定汇率计算增长129.2%。本季度支付交易总额同比增长116.7%，达到6.301亿笔。</blockquote></p><p>With its leading position in both e-commerce and digital payments in its geographies, MercadoLibre certainly has a lot going for it. With the rising affluence in the countries that the company operates, is MELI stock a buy and hold for the decades to come?</p><p><blockquote>凭借其在电子商务和数字支付领域的领先地位，MercadoLibre无疑有很多优势。随着该公司运营所在国家的富裕程度不断提高，MELI股票是否值得在未来几十年内买入并持有？</blockquote></p><p>Sea Ltd</p><p><blockquote>海洋有限公司</blockquote></p><p>Similar to MercadoLibre, Sea Ltd. core services consist of e-commerce, digital financial service, and digital entertainment. Sea Ltd gives investors exposure to the fast-growing e-commerce market in Southeast Asia. In particular, our focus today will be on SeaMoney, the leading digital payment and financial service provider in the region. This paired with its massive Shopee e-commerce platform has positioned Sea Limited to benefit from current online shopping trends. The company is slated to report earnings on May 18 before the opening bells.</p><p><blockquote>与MercadoLibre类似，Sea Ltd.的核心服务包括电子商务、数字金融服务和数字娱乐。Sea Ltd让投资者接触到东南亚快速增长的电子商务市场。特别是，我们今天的重点将是该地区领先的数字支付和金融服务提供商SeaMoney。这与其庞大的Shopee电子商务平台相结合，使Sea Limited能够从当前的在线购物趋势中受益。该公司定于5月18日开盘前公布财报。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eb1277cbae57d0ba3a726157d2de65e\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It’s worth mentioning that the company’s digital wallet business has partnered with Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), in which SeaMoney will be among the payment options for Google Play Store in Indonesia. The company has already partnered with Google in Thailand. With fast-growing economies and a big addressable market in Southeast Asia, the growth outlook seems robust.</p><p><blockquote>值得一提的是，该公司的数字钱包业务已与Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）合作，其中SeaMoney将成为谷歌Play商店在印尼的支付选项之一。该公司已经在泰国与谷歌合作。凭借快速增长的经济体和东南亚巨大的潜在市场，增长前景似乎强劲。</blockquote></p><p>Sure, the company’s e-commerce and digital financial services are yet to be profitable. And that’s okay considering the company is still at a growth stage. With all that in mind, would you bet on SE stock right now before the e-commerce and digital wallet segments start delivering positive earnings?</p><p><blockquote>当然，该公司的电子商务和数字金融服务尚未盈利。考虑到公司仍处于成长阶段，这没关系。考虑到所有这些，在电子商务和数字钱包领域开始带来正收益之前，您会立即押注SE股票吗？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/4-top-fintech-stocks-to-watch-after-paypal-reported-record-earnings-2021-05-06\">Nasdaq</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd","PSFE":"Paysafe Ltd","MELI":"MercadoLibre"},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/4-top-fintech-stocks-to-watch-after-paypal-reported-record-earnings-2021-05-06","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137949521","content_text":"PayPal’s Strong Earnings Show That The Growth For Fintech Stocks Is Far From OverWhile many of the hypergrowth names from 2020 continue to slide along with the recent tech rout,fintech stocksremain relatively resilient in thestock market today. Understandably, this is because of the vital role these companies have played over the past year. Amidst the current pandemic, the adoption of digital payments has and continues to accelerate at breakneck speeds. One doesn’t need to look far to see the impact of fintech on their life. From online payment for goods and services, sending money to trading stocks online, all can be done from your palm.It was because of these reasons we could carry out our life with minimal disruptions. Merchants have been relying on fintech providers to keep their business going. For instance,PayPal(NASDAQ: PYPL) is a fintech ecosystem that provides everything a business or individual would need in the cashless world. The fintech giant reported its strongest quarter on record and beat Wall Streets’ estimates on Wednesday. The digital payments company processed a total of $285 billion in payments in the first quarter, up 50% year-over-year. Besides, it also added 14.5 million net new active customers.Furthermore, another growing trend in the overall fintech space now would be cryptocurrencies. Venmo, the mobile wallet owned by PayPal, also allows customers to buy and sell cryptocurrencies likeBitcoinand Ethereum. With digital payments expected to be the norm in the future, it is not surprising investors have been looking for top fintech stocks to buy in thestock market. Be it the continuing innovation in fintech services or major adoption of cryptocurrencies, these trends are what many deem as the future of finance. If you are optimistic about what this sector has to offer, let’s look at fourtop fintech stocksto consider buying with plenty of growth opportunities ahead.Best Fintech Stocks To Watch Right NowSquare Inc.(NYSE: SQ)Paysafe Ltd(NYSE: PSFE)MercadoLibre Inc.(NASDAQ: MELI)Sea Limited(NYSE: SE)SquareSquare is a financial services, merchant services aggregator, and mobile payment company that is based in San Francisco. The fintech giant operates two fintech ecosystems, one of which provides a commerce ecosystem that enables its sellers to start, run, and grow their businesses. But what’s sending Square stock over the roof is its Cash App, a growing segment for the company. This is unsurprising given how at the onset of the pandemic, there has been a steady increase in cashless adoption rates and contactless payments.If anything, the pandemic had accelerated this shift to digital payments. From its last quarterly report in February, Square reported a quarterly gross profit of $804 million, up by 52% year-over-year. The company’s Cash App delivered strong growth, with a gross profit of $377 million, a staggering 162% year-over-year increase.We saw that PayPal has reported its strongest quarter in history. It is natural that investors will be looking at SQ stock today as it will report its earnings after the closing bell today. Considering the accelerating adoption of fintech, will you consider buying SQ stock right now?PaysafePaysafe is a leading specialized payments platform. Its core purpose is to enable businesses and consumers to connect and transact seamlessly. Particularly, the company specializes in payment processing, digital wallet, and online cash solutions. But Paysafe isn’t the same company as PayPal or Square. Rather, it’s primarily a payment processor. With over 20 years of online payment experience, the company boasts an annualized transactional volume of $92 billion in 2020.You might have come across Paysafe as a pioneer in digital commerce. That’s right, but there’s another angle that could contribute more value to the company’s business. And it is the company’s involvement in iGaming that has growth investors salivating. In fact, Paysafe is the exclusive online payment processor for DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG).Should Paysafe be successful in growing its iGaming market, I wouldn’t be surprised if this is a multi-bagger investment in the making. With the company’s impressive global reach, would you say that now is the right time to be one of the early investors before PSFE stock takes off?MercadoLibreMercadoLibre is the undisputed leader of e-commerce in the Latin American market. But there is also a high growth opportunity in the fintech segment of the company. If you have heard of this company, chances are you know it has a payment system by the name of Mercado Pago. And this is the Latin American answer to PayPal and Square. More importantly, this payment system has brought impressive results to the company.From the company’s first-quarter results released on May 5, net revenue came in 158.4% higher year-over-year to $1.4 billion on a constant currency basis. Total payment transactions through Mercado Pago reached $14.7 billion, a year-over-year increase of 81.8% and 129.2% on a constant currency basis. Total payment transactions rose 116.7% from a year ago, totaling 630.1 million transactions for the quarter.With its leading position in both e-commerce and digital payments in its geographies, MercadoLibre certainly has a lot going for it. With the rising affluence in the countries that the company operates, is MELI stock a buy and hold for the decades to come?Sea LtdSimilar to MercadoLibre, Sea Ltd. core services consist of e-commerce, digital financial service, and digital entertainment. Sea Ltd gives investors exposure to the fast-growing e-commerce market in Southeast Asia. In particular, our focus today will be on SeaMoney, the leading digital payment and financial service provider in the region. This paired with its massive Shopee e-commerce platform has positioned Sea Limited to benefit from current online shopping trends. The company is slated to report earnings on May 18 before the opening bells.It’s worth mentioning that the company’s digital wallet business has partnered with Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), in which SeaMoney will be among the payment options for Google Play Store in Indonesia. The company has already partnered with Google in Thailand. With fast-growing economies and a big addressable market in Southeast Asia, the growth outlook seems robust.Sure, the company’s e-commerce and digital financial services are yet to be profitable. And that’s okay considering the company is still at a growth stage. With all that in mind, would you bet on SE stock right now before the e-commerce and digital wallet segments start delivering positive earnings?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MELI":0.9,"SE":0.9,"PSFE":0.9,"SQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":550,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106668004,"gmtCreate":1620112722408,"gmtModify":1631892367456,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How will this affect the stock market?","listText":"How will this affect the stock market?","text":"How will this affect the stock market?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106668004","repostId":"1141446343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141446343","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620108260,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141446343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 14:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141446343","media":"seeking alpha","summary":"Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoftfounder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway, Waste Management, Caterpillar, Canadian National, Walmart, EcoLab, Crown Castle, ","content":"<p><ul><li>Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.</li><li>In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).</li><li>Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.</li><li>The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">Atreca</a>(NASDAQ:BCEL).</li><li>Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago.&nbsp;This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管这对夫妇在一份声明中向公众保证，尽管结束了婚姻，他们仍将继续在基金会合作，但有关微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）创始人和他27年的合作伙伴的消息可能会给他们的项目带来冲击波。</li><li>在比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会信托基金截至2020年12月31日的最新13F文件中，按价值降序排列的最大持股包括伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(NYSE：BRK.B)、废物管理公司(NYSE：WM)、卡特彼勒(NYSE：CAT)、加拿大国家航空公司(NYSE：CNI)、沃尔玛(NYSE：WMT)、艺康(NYSE：ECL)、皇冠城堡(NYSE：CCI)、联邦快递(NYSE：FDX)和UPS(NYSE：UPS)。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>该基金会持有大量股份（超过已发行股票的10%）的股票包括薛定谔（纳斯达克股票代码：SDGR）和可口可乐Femsa（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KOF）。</li><li>大多数其他持股的市值低于10亿美元，其所有权仅占相关股票已发行股份的不到3%。</li><li>比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会在最新的季度文件中披露了Amyris（纳斯达克：AMRS）、Vir Biotech（纳斯达克：VIR）、BionTech（纳斯达克：BNTX）、Curevac（纳斯达克：CVAC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">阿特雷卡</a>（纳斯达克：BCEL）。</li><li>我们的读者可能还记得两年前世界首富杰夫·贝索斯和他的合伙人麦肯兹·斯科特宣布分手的时候。他们的财富就是这样在他们之间分配的。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-04 14:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.</li><li>In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).</li><li>Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.</li><li>The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">Atreca</a>(NASDAQ:BCEL).</li><li>Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago.&nbsp;This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管这对夫妇在一份声明中向公众保证，尽管结束了婚姻，他们仍将继续在基金会合作，但有关微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）创始人和他27年的合作伙伴的消息可能会给他们的项目带来冲击波。</li><li>在比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会信托基金截至2020年12月31日的最新13F文件中，按价值降序排列的最大持股包括伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(NYSE：BRK.B)、废物管理公司(NYSE：WM)、卡特彼勒(NYSE：CAT)、加拿大国家航空公司(NYSE：CNI)、沃尔玛(NYSE：WMT)、艺康(NYSE：ECL)、皇冠城堡(NYSE：CCI)、联邦快递(NYSE：FDX)和UPS(NYSE：UPS)。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>该基金会持有大量股份（超过已发行股票的10%）的股票包括薛定谔（纳斯达克股票代码：SDGR）和可口可乐Femsa（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KOF）。</li><li>大多数其他持股的市值低于10亿美元，其所有权仅占相关股票已发行股份的不到3%。</li><li>比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会在最新的季度文件中披露了Amyris（纳斯达克：AMRS）、Vir Biotech（纳斯达克：VIR）、BionTech（纳斯达克：BNTX）、Curevac（纳斯达克：CVAC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">阿特雷卡</a>（纳斯达克：BCEL）。</li><li>我们的读者可能还记得两年前世界首富杰夫·贝索斯和他的合伙人麦肯兹·斯科特宣布分手的时候。他们的财富就是这样在他们之间分配的。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3689813-bill-and-melinda-gates-are-getting-divorced-here-are-some-stocks-they-owned\">seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SDGR":"Schrodinger Inc.","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","WM":"美国废物管理","VIR":"Vir Biotechnology, Inc.","KOF":"可口可乐凡萨瓶装","WMT":"沃尔玛","CCI":"冠城","FDX":"联邦快递","MSFT":"微软","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","CNI":"加拿大国家铁路","CVAC":"CureVac B.V.","CAT":"卡特彼勒","AMRS":"阿米瑞斯","UPS":"联合包裹","WCLD":"WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3689813-bill-and-melinda-gates-are-getting-divorced-here-are-some-stocks-they-owned","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141446343","content_text":"Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).Two stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and Atreca(NASDAQ:BCEL).Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago. This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BNTX":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"KOF":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"SDGR":0.9,"CCI":0.9,"UPS":0.9,"CAT":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"CNI":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"WCLD":0.9,"WM":0.9,"CVAC":0.9,"AMRS":0.9,"BCEL":0.9,"VIR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":109406865,"gmtCreate":1619707690057,"gmtModify":1631892367471,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Take note for the dip","listText":"Take note for the dip","text":"Take note for the dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109406865","repostId":"1185341489","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185341489","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619704562,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185341489?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 21:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford's stock price fell nearly 10% in early trading<blockquote>福特早盘股价跌近10%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185341489","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Ford fell nearly 10%, and the company warned that financial losses caused by a continuing global sho","content":"<p>Ford fell nearly 10%, and the company warned that financial losses caused by a continuing global shortage of computer chips could worsen.</p><p><blockquote>福特跌近10%，该公司警告称，全球电脑芯片持续短缺造成的财务损失可能恶化。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad9ee838f2fc2f518bb6066668c26fa3\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford's stock price fell nearly 10% in early trading<blockquote>福特早盘股价跌近10%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord's stock price fell nearly 10% in early trading<blockquote>福特早盘股价跌近10%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-29 21:56</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Ford fell nearly 10%, and the company warned that financial losses caused by a continuing global shortage of computer chips could worsen.</p><p><blockquote>福特跌近10%，该公司警告称，全球电脑芯片持续短缺造成的财务损失可能恶化。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad9ee838f2fc2f518bb6066668c26fa3\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185341489","content_text":"Ford fell nearly 10%, and the company warned that financial losses caused by a continuing global shortage of computer chips could worsen.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374850530,"gmtCreate":1619439975920,"gmtModify":1631892367482,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581814038363779","authorIdStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374850530","repostId":"2130364766","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2130364766","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1619318325,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2130364766?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-25 10:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What to Expect From Tesla's Q1 Earnings Report On Monday<blockquote>特斯拉周一发布的第一季度收益报告有何期待</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2130364766","media":"Benzinga","summary":"EV giant Tesla, Inc.  is scheduled to release its first-quarter results Monday, after the market close.Key Q1 Metrics to Watch For:  Tesla is expected to report non-GAAP earnings per share, or EPS, of 79 cents in the first quarter of 2021, up sharply from 23 cents in the year-ago quarter.The consensus revenue forecast for the quarter is at $10.29 billion, up 72% year-over-year.Focus On Regulatory Credits, Automotive Margins:  The focus is likely to be on regulatory credits, which accounted for 4","content":"<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe458ac1cf82668bd4bf27fbaa6506e5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>EV giant <b>Tesla, Inc. </b>(NASDAQ: TSLA) is scheduled to release its first-quarter results Monday, after the market close.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车巨头<b>特斯拉公司。</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）定于周一收盘后发布第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Q1 Metrics to Watch For: </b> Tesla is expected to report non-GAAP earnings per share, or EPS, of 79 cents in the first quarter of 2021, up sharply from 23 cents in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度值得关注的关键指标：</b>特斯拉预计2021年第一季度非GAAP每股收益(EPS)为79美分，较去年同期的23美分大幅上升。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus revenue forecast for the quarter is at $10.29 billion, up 72% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>该季度的普遍收入预测为102.9亿美元，同比增长72%。</blockquote></p><p>In the fourth quarter, Tesla had earned 80 cents per share on a non-GAAP basis on revenues of $10.74 billion.</p><p><blockquote>第四季度，特斯拉按非公认会计准则计算每股收益80美分，营收为107.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla revealed in early April it delivered a record 184,800 vehicles in the first quarter, comprising 182,780 Model 3/Y vehicles and 2,020 Model S/X vehicles. This represents a 109% year-over-year increase and 2.2% sequential growth. Quarterly production was at 180,338.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉4月初透露，第一季度交付了创纪录的184,800辆汽车，其中包括182,780辆Model 3/Y汽车和2,020辆Model S/X汽车。这意味着同比增长109%，环比增长2.2%。季度产量为180,338辆。</blockquote></p><p><b>Focus On Regulatory Credits, Automotive Margins: </b> The focus is likely to be on regulatory credits, which accounted for 4.3% of its revenues in the fourth quarter of 2020. Zero-emission vehicle regulations adopted by several states allow EV manufacturers to&nbsp;earn regulatory credits, which can be monetized by selling to legacy automakers, who are not able to achieve the minimum target set for the proportion of green energy vehicles sold.</p><p><blockquote><b>关注监管信贷、汽车利润率：</b>重点可能是监管信贷，该信贷占其2020年第四季度收入的4.3%。多个州采用的零排放汽车法规允许电动汽车制造商获得监管积分，这些积分可以通过向无法实现绿色能源汽车销售比例最低目标的传统汽车制造商销售来货币化。</blockquote></p><p>Automotive gross margin slipped to 24.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020 from 27.7% in the previous quarter. It's likely the company could see a further moderation in margins, as production of the higher priced Model S/X vehicles was stalled in the quarter to allow for model refreshes.</p><p><blockquote>汽车毛利率从上一季度的27.7%下滑至2020年第四季度的24.1%。由于价格较高的Model S/X车辆的生产在本季度暂停以进行车型更新，该公司的利润率可能会进一步放缓。</blockquote></p><p><b>View more earnings on TSLA</b></p><p><blockquote><b>查看特斯拉的更多收益</b></blockquote></p><p>With competitive pressure intensifying, Tesla could aggressively slash vehicles prices in order to achieve volume production targets, long-time Tesla bear Gordon Johnson said in a note previewing the quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>长期看空特斯拉的Gordon Johnson在一份预览季度业绩的报告中表示，随着竞争压力的加剧，特斯拉可能会大幅削减汽车价格，以实现量产目标。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla investors may also be keen to find out more about the company's Bitcoin investment strategy and its decision to allow the use of Bitcoin for vehicle purchases.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉投资者可能还热衷于了解更多有关该公司比特币投资战略及其允许使用比特币购买车辆的决定。</blockquote></p><p><b>Forward Outlook:</b> Tesla is well positioned to capitalize on the opportunity presented by the exponential growth that is anticipated for green energy vehicles.<b> </b>Its&nbsp;Giga Shanghai factory is now churning out both Model S and Model Y vehicles, and more capacity is expected to come on line with the opening of factories in Berlin and Texas.</p><p><blockquote><b>前瞻：</b>特斯拉处于有利地位，可以利用绿色能源汽车预期的指数增长所带来的机遇。<b></b>其上海超级工厂目前正在生产Model S和Model Y汽车，随着柏林和德克萨斯州工厂的开业，预计产能将增加。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla's CFO Zach Kirkhorn said on the earnings call that the company is shooting for a 50% compounded annual growth rate in volume sales&nbsp;and expects to materially exceed the target in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席财务官扎克·柯克霍恩(Zach Kirkhorn)在财报看涨期权上表示，该公司的目标是销量复合年增长率达到50%，预计2021年将大幅超过目标。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stock Take: </b> Tesla's shares, which were flying high until early February, joined the tech sell-off that ensued. From a split-adjusted high of $900.40 on Jan. 25, the stock fell to $539.49 on March 5, a peak-to-trough decline of 40%.</p><p><blockquote><b>盘点：</b>特斯拉的股价在二月初之前一直在飙升，随后加入了科技股的抛售。该股从1月25日拆分调整后的高点900.40美元跌至3月5日的539.49美元，峰谷跌幅为40%。</blockquote></p><p>Although the stock has made good some of the losses since then, it is yet to break above $800 level.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该股此后已经弥补了部分损失，但尚未突破800美元水平。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla holds a several-year lead and is now expanding aggressively into storage, and therefore a premium valuation for its shares is justified, CANACCORD Genuity analyst Jed Dorsheimer said in a recent note. The firm has a $1,071 price target for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>CANACCORD Genuity分析师杰德·多斯海默(Jed Dorsheimer)在最近的一份报告中表示，特斯拉保持了数年的领先地位，目前正在积极向存储领域扩张，因此其股票的溢价估值是合理的。该公司对该股的目标价为1,071美元。</blockquote></p><p>Friday, Tesla's shares ended 1.35% higher at $729.40.</p><p><blockquote>周五，特斯拉股价收盘上涨1.35%，至729.40美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What to Expect From Tesla's Q1 Earnings Report On Monday<blockquote>特斯拉周一发布的第一季度收益报告有何期待</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat to Expect From Tesla's Q1 Earnings Report On Monday<blockquote>特斯拉周一发布的第一季度收益报告有何期待</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-25 10:38</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe458ac1cf82668bd4bf27fbaa6506e5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>EV giant <b>Tesla, Inc. </b>(NASDAQ: TSLA) is scheduled to release its first-quarter results Monday, after the market close.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车巨头<b>特斯拉公司。</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）定于周一收盘后发布第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Q1 Metrics to Watch For: </b> Tesla is expected to report non-GAAP earnings per share, or EPS, of 79 cents in the first quarter of 2021, up sharply from 23 cents in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度值得关注的关键指标：</b>特斯拉预计2021年第一季度非GAAP每股收益(EPS)为79美分，较去年同期的23美分大幅上升。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus revenue forecast for the quarter is at $10.29 billion, up 72% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>该季度的普遍收入预测为102.9亿美元，同比增长72%。</blockquote></p><p>In the fourth quarter, Tesla had earned 80 cents per share on a non-GAAP basis on revenues of $10.74 billion.</p><p><blockquote>第四季度，特斯拉按非公认会计准则计算每股收益80美分，营收为107.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla revealed in early April it delivered a record 184,800 vehicles in the first quarter, comprising 182,780 Model 3/Y vehicles and 2,020 Model S/X vehicles. This represents a 109% year-over-year increase and 2.2% sequential growth. Quarterly production was at 180,338.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉4月初透露，第一季度交付了创纪录的184,800辆汽车，其中包括182,780辆Model 3/Y汽车和2,020辆Model S/X汽车。这意味着同比增长109%，环比增长2.2%。季度产量为180,338辆。</blockquote></p><p><b>Focus On Regulatory Credits, Automotive Margins: </b> The focus is likely to be on regulatory credits, which accounted for 4.3% of its revenues in the fourth quarter of 2020. Zero-emission vehicle regulations adopted by several states allow EV manufacturers to&nbsp;earn regulatory credits, which can be monetized by selling to legacy automakers, who are not able to achieve the minimum target set for the proportion of green energy vehicles sold.</p><p><blockquote><b>关注监管信贷、汽车利润率：</b>重点可能是监管信贷，该信贷占其2020年第四季度收入的4.3%。多个州采用的零排放汽车法规允许电动汽车制造商获得监管积分，这些积分可以通过向无法实现绿色能源汽车销售比例最低目标的传统汽车制造商销售来货币化。</blockquote></p><p>Automotive gross margin slipped to 24.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020 from 27.7% in the previous quarter. It's likely the company could see a further moderation in margins, as production of the higher priced Model S/X vehicles was stalled in the quarter to allow for model refreshes.</p><p><blockquote>汽车毛利率从上一季度的27.7%下滑至2020年第四季度的24.1%。由于价格较高的Model S/X车辆的生产在本季度暂停以进行车型更新，该公司的利润率可能会进一步放缓。</blockquote></p><p><b>View more earnings on TSLA</b></p><p><blockquote><b>查看特斯拉的更多收益</b></blockquote></p><p>With competitive pressure intensifying, Tesla could aggressively slash vehicles prices in order to achieve volume production targets, long-time Tesla bear Gordon Johnson said in a note previewing the quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>长期看空特斯拉的Gordon Johnson在一份预览季度业绩的报告中表示，随着竞争压力的加剧，特斯拉可能会大幅削减汽车价格，以实现量产目标。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla investors may also be keen to find out more about the company's Bitcoin investment strategy and its decision to allow the use of Bitcoin for vehicle purchases.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉投资者可能还热衷于了解更多有关该公司比特币投资战略及其允许使用比特币购买车辆的决定。</blockquote></p><p><b>Forward Outlook:</b> Tesla is well positioned to capitalize on the opportunity presented by the exponential growth that is anticipated for green energy vehicles.<b> </b>Its&nbsp;Giga Shanghai factory is now churning out both Model S and Model Y vehicles, and more capacity is expected to come on line with the opening of factories in Berlin and Texas.</p><p><blockquote><b>前瞻：</b>特斯拉处于有利地位，可以利用绿色能源汽车预期的指数增长所带来的机遇。<b></b>其上海超级工厂目前正在生产Model S和Model Y汽车，随着柏林和德克萨斯州工厂的开业，预计产能将增加。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla's CFO Zach Kirkhorn said on the earnings call that the company is shooting for a 50% compounded annual growth rate in volume sales&nbsp;and expects to materially exceed the target in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席财务官扎克·柯克霍恩(Zach Kirkhorn)在财报看涨期权上表示，该公司的目标是销量复合年增长率达到50%，预计2021年将大幅超过目标。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stock Take: </b> Tesla's shares, which were flying high until early February, joined the tech sell-off that ensued. From a split-adjusted high of $900.40 on Jan. 25, the stock fell to $539.49 on March 5, a peak-to-trough decline of 40%.</p><p><blockquote><b>盘点：</b>特斯拉的股价在二月初之前一直在飙升，随后加入了科技股的抛售。该股从1月25日拆分调整后的高点900.40美元跌至3月5日的539.49美元，峰谷跌幅为40%。</blockquote></p><p>Although the stock has made good some of the losses since then, it is yet to break above $800 level.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该股此后已经弥补了部分损失，但尚未突破800美元水平。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla holds a several-year lead and is now expanding aggressively into storage, and therefore a premium valuation for its shares is justified, CANACCORD Genuity analyst Jed Dorsheimer said in a recent note. The firm has a $1,071 price target for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>CANACCORD Genuity分析师杰德·多斯海默(Jed Dorsheimer)在最近的一份报告中表示，特斯拉保持了数年的领先地位，目前正在积极向存储领域扩张，因此其股票的溢价估值是合理的。该公司对该股的目标价为1,071美元。</blockquote></p><p>Friday, Tesla's shares ended 1.35% higher at $729.40.</p><p><blockquote>周五，特斯拉股价收盘上涨1.35%，至729.40美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2130364766","content_text":"EV giant Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) is scheduled to release its first-quarter results Monday, after the market close.Key Q1 Metrics to Watch For:  Tesla is expected to report non-GAAP earnings per share, or EPS, of 79 cents in the first quarter of 2021, up sharply from 23 cents in the year-ago quarter.The consensus revenue forecast for the quarter is at $10.29 billion, up 72% year-over-year.In the fourth quarter, Tesla had earned 80 cents per share on a non-GAAP basis on revenues of $10.74 billion.Tesla revealed in early April it delivered a record 184,800 vehicles in the first quarter, comprising 182,780 Model 3/Y vehicles and 2,020 Model S/X vehicles. This represents a 109% year-over-year increase and 2.2% sequential growth. Quarterly production was at 180,338.Focus On Regulatory Credits, Automotive Margins:  The focus is likely to be on regulatory credits, which accounted for 4.3% of its revenues in the fourth quarter of 2020. Zero-emission vehicle regulations adopted by several states allow EV manufacturers to earn regulatory credits, which can be monetized by selling to legacy automakers, who are not able to achieve the minimum target set for the proportion of green energy vehicles sold.Automotive gross margin slipped to 24.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020 from 27.7% in the previous quarter. It's likely the company could see a further moderation in margins, as production of the higher priced Model S/X vehicles was stalled in the quarter to allow for model refreshes.View more earnings on TSLAWith competitive pressure intensifying, Tesla could aggressively slash vehicles prices in order to achieve volume production targets, long-time Tesla bear Gordon Johnson said in a note previewing the quarterly results.Tesla investors may also be keen to find out more about the company's Bitcoin investment strategy and its decision to allow the use of Bitcoin for vehicle purchases.Forward Outlook: Tesla is well positioned to capitalize on the opportunity presented by the exponential growth that is anticipated for green energy vehicles. Its Giga Shanghai factory is now churning out both Model S and Model Y vehicles, and more capacity is expected to come on line with the opening of factories in Berlin and Texas.Tesla's CFO Zach Kirkhorn said on the earnings call that the company is shooting for a 50% compounded annual growth rate in volume sales and expects to materially exceed the target in 2021.Stock Take:  Tesla's shares, which were flying high until early February, joined the tech sell-off that ensued. From a split-adjusted high of $900.40 on Jan. 25, the stock fell to $539.49 on March 5, a peak-to-trough decline of 40%.Although the stock has made good some of the losses since then, it is yet to break above $800 level.Tesla holds a several-year lead and is now expanding aggressively into storage, and therefore a premium valuation for its shares is justified, CANACCORD Genuity analyst Jed Dorsheimer said in a recent note. The firm has a $1,071 price target for the stock.Friday, Tesla's shares ended 1.35% higher at $729.40.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":113310160,"gmtCreate":1622593770850,"gmtModify":1631890034864,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581814038363779","idStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon and back","listText":"To the moon and back","text":"To the moon and back","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113310160","repostId":"2140491365","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131304071,"gmtCreate":1621824993993,"gmtModify":1631892367412,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581814038363779","idStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NaiO vs XPeng, which would be the better choice for long term?","listText":"NaiO vs XPeng, which would be the better choice for long term?","text":"NaiO vs XPeng, which would be the better choice for long term?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131304071","repostId":"1112775099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148458546,"gmtCreate":1626009737185,"gmtModify":1631890034773,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581814038363779","idStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Meme stocks, is this the new investment&nbsp;","listText":"Meme stocks, is this the new investment&nbsp;","text":"Meme stocks, is this the new investment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148458546","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","BB":"黑莓","GME":"游戏驿站","SCHW":"嘉信理财","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","AMC":"AMC院线","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NEGG":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"BB":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"SCHW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168888389,"gmtCreate":1623971449641,"gmtModify":1631890034809,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581814038363779","idStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The trend on tech stocks keep booming&nbsp;","listText":"The trend on tech stocks keep booming&nbsp;","text":"The trend on tech stocks keep booming","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168888389","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159350360,"gmtCreate":1624943079050,"gmtModify":1631890034788,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581814038363779","idStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NIO, a long term stock to hold for better gains","listText":"NIO, a long term stock to hold for better gains","text":"NIO, a long term stock to hold for better gains","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159350360","repostId":"1113711731","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113711731","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624937958,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113711731?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Stock Is Going Nuts. This Is the Best Explanation.<blockquote>蔚来股票正在疯狂。这是最好的解释。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113711731","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock in Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO is on fire. While a surge in the volume of options tradi","content":"<p>Stock in Chinese electric vehicle maker&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;is&nbsp;on fire. While a surge in the volume of options trading isn’t a perfect explanation for the rally, it certainlyhelped shares soaron Monday.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来的股票着火了。虽然期权交易量的激增并不能完美解释此次上涨，但它无疑帮助周一股价飙升。</blockquote></p><p> NIO (ticker: NIO) stock gained almost 10% Monday and shares are up 28% over the past month. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500,for comparison, rose 0.2% Monday and is up 2% over the past month. Call options volume, which rose almost 200% on Monday compared to Friday, is perhaps the biggest reason NIO shares might be more volatile.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）股价周一上涨近10%，过去一个月股价上涨28%。相比之下，标准普尔500指数周一上涨0.2%，过去一个月上涨2%。看涨期权期权交易量周一较周五增长近200%，这可能是蔚来股价波动更大的最大原因。</blockquote></p><p> Call options give the holder the right to buy a stock at a fixed price. (Buying a call is a bullish take on the underlying stock.) Brokers will sell and trade options contracts because they want to earn a commission on a trade. But brokers don’t want to be short a call option, which means they’ll have to take a loss if the stock rises.</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权期权赋予持有人以固定价格购买股票的权利。（购买看涨期权是对标的股票的看涨。）经纪人会出售和交易期权合约，因为他们想从交易中赚取佣金。但经纪人不想做空看涨期权期权，这意味着如果股票上涨，他们将不得不承担损失。</blockquote></p><p> One way brokers can hedge options positions is to buy the underlying stock. If a broker sells a call and buys the stock, they can earn the options commission and, if the stock rises, they can deliver the stock purchased to the call holder. In that scenario, the broker doesn’t have to buy shares at a higher price. That process is one way higher-than-average call buying can drive buying in the underlying stock.</p><p><blockquote>经纪商对冲期权头寸的一种方法是购买标的股票。如果经纪人卖出看涨期权并买入股票，他们可以赚取期权佣金，如果股票上涨，他们可以将购买的股票交付给看涨期权持有者。在这种情况下，经纪人不必以更高的价格购买股票。这一过程是高于平均水平的看涨期权购买量推动标的股票购买的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors don’t seem to be at play. Wall Street, for example, can’t be credited with the rally. The average analystprice targetfor NIO stock is up about 1% over the past month and not much has happened to those targets since the companyreported earningsat the end of April. Looking back to that point, the average analyst price target has gone up about $1 to a little more than $59 a share.</p><p><blockquote>其他因素似乎不起作用。例如，华尔街不能被认为是这次反弹的功劳。分析师对蔚来股票的平均目标价在过去一个月上涨了约1%，自该公司4月底公布收益以来，这些目标并没有发生太大变化。回顾当时，分析师的平均目标价已上涨约1美元，至每股59美元多一点。</blockquote></p><p> News doesn’t seem to be a credible reason for NIO’s rally, either. The last release on NIO’s website is fromJune 1when the company reported May deliveries. Those numbers relieved investors because the electric vehicle company maintained second-quarter delivery guidance despite a global automotive semiconductor shortage that has roiled the entire industry.</p><p><blockquote>新闻似乎也不是蔚来上涨的可信原因。蔚来网站上的最后一次发布是在6月1日，当时该公司报告了5月份的交付量。这些数字让投资者松了一口气，因为尽管全球汽车半导体短缺扰乱了整个行业，但这家电动汽车公司仍维持了第二季度的交付指引。</blockquote></p><p> NIO shares are now up 1% year to date. It’s been a wild ride so far in 2021. Based on recent trading, the ride will continue.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来股价今年迄今已上涨1%。2021年到目前为止，这是一次疯狂的旅程。根据最近的交易，这一过程将继续下去。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Stock Is Going Nuts. This Is the Best Explanation.<blockquote>蔚来股票正在疯狂。这是最好的解释。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Stock Is Going Nuts. This Is the Best Explanation.<blockquote>蔚来股票正在疯狂。这是最好的解释。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-29 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock in Chinese electric vehicle maker&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;is&nbsp;on fire. While a surge in the volume of options trading isn’t a perfect explanation for the rally, it certainlyhelped shares soaron Monday.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来的股票着火了。虽然期权交易量的激增并不能完美解释此次上涨，但它无疑帮助周一股价飙升。</blockquote></p><p> NIO (ticker: NIO) stock gained almost 10% Monday and shares are up 28% over the past month. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500,for comparison, rose 0.2% Monday and is up 2% over the past month. Call options volume, which rose almost 200% on Monday compared to Friday, is perhaps the biggest reason NIO shares might be more volatile.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）股价周一上涨近10%，过去一个月股价上涨28%。相比之下，标准普尔500指数周一上涨0.2%，过去一个月上涨2%。看涨期权期权交易量周一较周五增长近200%，这可能是蔚来股价波动更大的最大原因。</blockquote></p><p> Call options give the holder the right to buy a stock at a fixed price. (Buying a call is a bullish take on the underlying stock.) Brokers will sell and trade options contracts because they want to earn a commission on a trade. But brokers don’t want to be short a call option, which means they’ll have to take a loss if the stock rises.</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权期权赋予持有人以固定价格购买股票的权利。（购买看涨期权是对标的股票的看涨。）经纪人会出售和交易期权合约，因为他们想从交易中赚取佣金。但经纪人不想做空看涨期权期权，这意味着如果股票上涨，他们将不得不承担损失。</blockquote></p><p> One way brokers can hedge options positions is to buy the underlying stock. If a broker sells a call and buys the stock, they can earn the options commission and, if the stock rises, they can deliver the stock purchased to the call holder. In that scenario, the broker doesn’t have to buy shares at a higher price. That process is one way higher-than-average call buying can drive buying in the underlying stock.</p><p><blockquote>经纪商对冲期权头寸的一种方法是购买标的股票。如果经纪人卖出看涨期权并买入股票，他们可以赚取期权佣金，如果股票上涨，他们可以将购买的股票交付给看涨期权持有者。在这种情况下，经纪人不必以更高的价格购买股票。这一过程是高于平均水平的看涨期权购买量推动标的股票购买的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors don’t seem to be at play. Wall Street, for example, can’t be credited with the rally. The average analystprice targetfor NIO stock is up about 1% over the past month and not much has happened to those targets since the companyreported earningsat the end of April. Looking back to that point, the average analyst price target has gone up about $1 to a little more than $59 a share.</p><p><blockquote>其他因素似乎不起作用。例如，华尔街不能被认为是这次反弹的功劳。分析师对蔚来股票的平均目标价在过去一个月上涨了约1%，自该公司4月底公布收益以来，这些目标并没有发生太大变化。回顾当时，分析师的平均目标价已上涨约1美元，至每股59美元多一点。</blockquote></p><p> News doesn’t seem to be a credible reason for NIO’s rally, either. The last release on NIO’s website is fromJune 1when the company reported May deliveries. Those numbers relieved investors because the electric vehicle company maintained second-quarter delivery guidance despite a global automotive semiconductor shortage that has roiled the entire industry.</p><p><blockquote>新闻似乎也不是蔚来上涨的可信原因。蔚来网站上的最后一次发布是在6月1日，当时该公司报告了5月份的交付量。这些数字让投资者松了一口气，因为尽管全球汽车半导体短缺扰乱了整个行业，但这家电动汽车公司仍维持了第二季度的交付指引。</blockquote></p><p> NIO shares are now up 1% year to date. It’s been a wild ride so far in 2021. Based on recent trading, the ride will continue.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来股价今年迄今已上涨1%。2021年到目前为止，这是一次疯狂的旅程。根据最近的交易，这一过程将继续下去。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nio-stock-options-volume-51624921009?siteid=yhoof2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nio-stock-options-volume-51624921009?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113711731","content_text":"Stock in Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO is on fire. While a surge in the volume of options trading isn’t a perfect explanation for the rally, it certainlyhelped shares soaron Monday.\nNIO (ticker: NIO) stock gained almost 10% Monday and shares are up 28% over the past month. The S&P 500,for comparison, rose 0.2% Monday and is up 2% over the past month. Call options volume, which rose almost 200% on Monday compared to Friday, is perhaps the biggest reason NIO shares might be more volatile.\nCall options give the holder the right to buy a stock at a fixed price. (Buying a call is a bullish take on the underlying stock.) Brokers will sell and trade options contracts because they want to earn a commission on a trade. But brokers don’t want to be short a call option, which means they’ll have to take a loss if the stock rises.\nOne way brokers can hedge options positions is to buy the underlying stock. If a broker sells a call and buys the stock, they can earn the options commission and, if the stock rises, they can deliver the stock purchased to the call holder. In that scenario, the broker doesn’t have to buy shares at a higher price. That process is one way higher-than-average call buying can drive buying in the underlying stock.\nOther factors don’t seem to be at play. Wall Street, for example, can’t be credited with the rally. The average analystprice targetfor NIO stock is up about 1% over the past month and not much has happened to those targets since the companyreported earningsat the end of April. Looking back to that point, the average analyst price target has gone up about $1 to a little more than $59 a share.\nNews doesn’t seem to be a credible reason for NIO’s rally, either. The last release on NIO’s website is fromJune 1when the company reported May deliveries. Those numbers relieved investors because the electric vehicle company maintained second-quarter delivery guidance despite a global automotive semiconductor shortage that has roiled the entire industry.\nNIO shares are now up 1% year to date. It’s been a wild ride so far in 2021. Based on recent trading, the ride will continue.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190218773,"gmtCreate":1620622838892,"gmtModify":1631892367426,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581814038363779","idStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"With so many news articles published, is there a easier way to digest them","listText":"With so many news articles published, is there a easier way to digest them","text":"With so many news articles published, is there a easier way to digest them","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190218773","repostId":"2134686276","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107328766,"gmtCreate":1620446481755,"gmtModify":1631892367435,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581814038363779","idStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is so dubious and dangerous. Why are people investing in it","listText":"This is so dubious and dangerous. Why are people investing in it","text":"This is so dubious and dangerous. Why are people investing in it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107328766","repostId":"1160802774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160802774","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620442206,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160802774?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 10:50","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Dogecoin price’s ‘make-or-break’ moment looms with Elon Musk set to host ‘Saturday Night Live’<blockquote>埃隆·马斯克将主持“周六夜现场”，狗狗币价格的“成败”时刻迫在眉睫</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160802774","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue Un","content":"<p>Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue University with proceeds from the sale of a single bitcoin that she bought on a whim, which had surged to nearly $20,000.</p><p><blockquote>Nikki Beesetti早在2017年就开始投资加密货币，并用出售她心血来潮购买的一枚比特币的收益支付了她在普渡大学的最后一个学期的费用，该收益已飙升至近2万美元。</blockquote></p><p>Now, the product manager for a startup in New York is dabbling in dogecoin&nbsp;,and sees this weekend as a possible make-or-break moment for the parody coin that has seen a stratospheric, nearly 13,000% rise in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>现在，纽约一家初创公司的产品经理正在涉足狗狗币，并认为本周末可能是这种模仿硬币的成败时刻，这种模仿硬币在2021年上涨了近13,000%。</blockquote></p><p>“This Saturday is going to be a total make-or-break for dogecoin,” Beesetti told MarketWatch in a phone interview.</p><p><blockquote>Beesetti在接受MarketWatch电话采访时表示：“本周六将是狗狗币成败的关键。”</blockquote></p><p>“If he can really get the messaging right, dogecoin can really take off…or it’s going to crash to wherever it’s going to crash to,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果他真的能传达正确的信息，狗狗币就能真正起飞……否则它就会崩溃到任何它要崩溃的地方，”她说。</blockquote></p><p>The 25-year-old investor is one of a number of relatively young traders who are piling into speculative altcoins like dogecoin as the so-called joke asset mints millionaires and draws some concerns about a bubble forming in the nascent crypto complex.</p><p><blockquote>这位25岁的投资者是众多相对年轻的交易员之一，他们涌入狗狗币等投机性山寨币，因为这种所谓的笑话资产造就了百万富翁，并引起了一些人对新兴加密货币综合体中正在形成泡沫的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Musk will host NBC’s late-night live television comedy sketch show, “Saturday Night Live,” this weekend and his coming appearance has already drawn&nbsp;cheers and jeers.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克将于本周末主持NBC深夜直播电视喜剧小品节目“周六夜现场”，他即将到来的亮相已经引起了欢呼和嘲笑。</blockquote></p><p>Musk has been one of the biggest cheerleaders for dogecoin and crypto broadly. The self-appointed “Technoking” of Tesla&nbsp;has been mostly using his massive social media following to pump up the price of doge,&nbsp;tweeting back on April 1&nbsp;that he would use his SpaceX rockets to put a physical Doge coin on the literal moon, echoing the social media goal of taking the coin’s price “to the moon.”</p><p><blockquote>马斯克一直是狗狗币和加密货币最大的支持者之一。这位自封的特斯拉“技术之王”主要利用其庞大的社交媒体粉丝来抬高doge的价格，他于4月1日在推特上表示，他将使用SpaceX火箭将实体doge硬币放在真正的月球上，呼应了社交媒体将硬币价格“带到月球”的目标。</blockquote></p><p>Beesetti said that she first got involved in dogecoin — she also invests in technology stocks and exchange-traded funds — at the prompting of Musk’s social-media missives from last summer.</p><p><blockquote>比塞蒂表示，她第一次涉足狗狗币是在马斯克去年夏天社交媒体信件的推动下，她还投资科技股和交易所交易基金。</blockquote></p><p>She bought dogecoin when it was trading at 3/10ths of a penny and she kept dollar-cost averaging her position in the digital asset created in 2013 even as it hit around 1 cent last August.</p><p><blockquote>她在狗狗币的交易价格为3/10美分时买入了它，尽管去年8月它达到了1美分左右，但她仍保持了她在2013年创建的数字资产中的美元成本平均头寸。</blockquote></p><p>Musk has become a rallying point for dogecoin holders on sites like Reddit and his coming appearance on “SNL” is a hotly anticipated moment inside and outside crypto markets, which had largely been centered on bitcoin&nbsp;and Ethereum&nbsp;,the two largest cryptos in the world.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克已成为Reddit等网站上狗狗币持有者的聚集点，他即将在“SNL”上亮相是加密货币市场内外备受期待的时刻，该市场主要集中在比特币和以太币这两个世界上最大的加密货币。</blockquote></p><p>Dogecoin has long held the reputation as a joke currency in the digital-asset realm but it is hard to deny that its surging value has gripped Main Street and Wall Street’s attention — at least momentarily.</p><p><blockquote>狗狗币长期以来在数字资产领域一直享有笑话货币的美誉，但很难否认其飙升的价值引起了大街和华尔街的关注——至少暂时如此。</blockquote></p><p>Former “SNL” cast member and comedian David Spade on Thursday tweeted that he wondered if Musk’s appearance on the sketch show would equate to a 90-minute infomercial for doge, adding, perhaps tongue in cheek that he was buying dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>前《SNL》演员兼喜剧演员大卫·斯派德(David Spade)周四在推特上表示，他想知道马斯克出现在小品节目中是否相当于为doge制作了一部90分钟的电视广告，并补充说，也许是开玩笑地说，他正在购买狗狗币。</blockquote></p><p>Oddsmakers at betting platformSportsBettingDime.com&nbsp;have established a number of prop bets about Musk’s appearance on “Saturday Night Live,” including which if any crypto he mentions first on the show.</p><p><blockquote>博彩平台SportsBettingDime.com的赔率制定了许多关于马斯克出现在《周六夜现场》上的适当赌注，包括他在节目中首先提到的任何加密货币。</blockquote></p><p>Which cryptocurrency does Musk mention first:</p><p><blockquote>马斯克首先提到的是哪种加密货币：</blockquote></p><p>1. Bitcoin: -200</p><p><blockquote>1.比特币：-200</blockquote></p><p>2. Dogecoin: +600</p><p><blockquote>2.狗狗币：+600</blockquote></p><p>3. FIELD: +450</p><p><blockquote>3.字段：+450</blockquote></p><p>4. Does Not Mention Bitcoin: +400</p><p><blockquote>4.没有提到比特币：+400</blockquote></p><p>Beesetti said that she sold about $8,000 worth of dogecoin recently to buy a pair of Gucci shoes, an iPhone and upped her position in Ether thar runs on the Ethereum protocol but has otherwise been a steady holder of doge.</p><p><blockquote>Beesetti表示，她最近出售了价值约8,000美元的狗狗币，购买了一双Gucci鞋、一部iPhone，并根据以太币协议提高了她在以太thar的头寸，但在其他方面一直是doge的稳定持有者。</blockquote></p><p>The investor wouldn’t offer specific figures but said that her holdings currently range from 50,000 to 100,000 dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>该投资者不愿提供具体数字，但表示她目前持有的狗狗币在50,000至100,000枚之间。</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps unlike some investors in doge, she is under no illusion that it has utility but submits to the possibility that momentum could build in a parody asset to such an extent that it forges its own legitimacy.</p><p><blockquote>也许与doge的一些投资者不同，她并不对它具有实用性抱有幻想，而是接受了这样一种可能性：势头可能会在模仿资产中积累到一定程度，从而锻造自己的合法性。</blockquote></p><p>“Doge doesn’t have intrinsic value,” Beesetti said. “The value becomes real if you and a collective group of people believe in it. And in this case, there are more groups and people than before who believe.”</p><p><blockquote>“Doge没有内在价值，”比塞蒂说。“如果你和一群人相信它，价值就会变得真实。在这种情况下，相信它的群体和人比以前更多。”</blockquote></p><p>That said, reality could hit meme coin holders hard come Sunday morning, at least one analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，至少一位分析师表示，现实可能会在周日早上对模因币持有者造成沉重打击。</blockquote></p><p>“Post-SNL, some crypto traders could abandon short-term&nbsp;Dogecoin&nbsp;bets once it becomes clear that it is not skyrocketing to the moon or at the heavily eyed $1 level,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a research note.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)在一份研究报告中写道：“SNL之后，一旦狗狗币明显不会飙升至月球或达到备受关注的1美元水平，一些加密货币交易员可能会放弃短期狗狗币押注。”笔记。</blockquote></p><p>The analyst also notes that strong conviction of dogecoin investors,known as hodlers in the crypto world, could defy logic and keep prices buoyant.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师还指出，狗狗币投资者（在加密货币界被称为霍德勒）的坚定信念可能会违背逻辑并保持价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p>“The retail-army of traders that have been committed to Doge might remain stubbornly hodlers, so we shouldn’t be surprised if a sell the event reaction does not happen,” the Oanda strategist said.</p><p><blockquote>这位Oanda策略师表示：“一直致力于Doge的散户交易员可能仍然是顽固的霍德勒，因此如果没有发生卖出事件反应，我们不应该感到惊讶。”</blockquote></p><p>How it all plays out for dogecoin is anyone’s guess.</p><p><blockquote>狗狗币的结局如何，谁也说不准。</blockquote></p><p>“It’s just a meme currency but sometimes the most entertaining outcome becomes the reality,” Beesetti said.</p><p><blockquote>“这只是一种模因货币，但有时最有趣的结果会成为现实，”比塞蒂说。</blockquote></p><p>That meme currency has enjoyed a spectacular ride compared against most other assets. Gold futures&nbsp;are down 3% so far this year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;and the S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;are up by nearly 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq Composite Index&nbsp;has gained about over 6% so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数其他资产相比，这种模因货币经历了惊人的上涨。今年迄今为止，黄金期货下跌了3%，道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数在2021年上涨了近13%，而纳斯达克综合指数今年迄今为止的涨幅约超过6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dogecoin price’s ‘make-or-break’ moment looms with Elon Musk set to host ‘Saturday Night Live’<blockquote>埃隆·马斯克将主持“周六夜现场”，狗狗币价格的“成败”时刻迫在眉睫</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDogecoin price’s ‘make-or-break’ moment looms with Elon Musk set to host ‘Saturday Night Live’<blockquote>埃隆·马斯克将主持“周六夜现场”，狗狗币价格的“成败”时刻迫在眉睫</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 10:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue University with proceeds from the sale of a single bitcoin that she bought on a whim, which had surged to nearly $20,000.</p><p><blockquote>Nikki Beesetti早在2017年就开始投资加密货币，并用出售她心血来潮购买的一枚比特币的收益支付了她在普渡大学的最后一个学期的费用，该收益已飙升至近2万美元。</blockquote></p><p>Now, the product manager for a startup in New York is dabbling in dogecoin&nbsp;,and sees this weekend as a possible make-or-break moment for the parody coin that has seen a stratospheric, nearly 13,000% rise in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>现在，纽约一家初创公司的产品经理正在涉足狗狗币，并认为本周末可能是这种模仿硬币的成败时刻，这种模仿硬币在2021年上涨了近13,000%。</blockquote></p><p>“This Saturday is going to be a total make-or-break for dogecoin,” Beesetti told MarketWatch in a phone interview.</p><p><blockquote>Beesetti在接受MarketWatch电话采访时表示：“本周六将是狗狗币成败的关键。”</blockquote></p><p>“If he can really get the messaging right, dogecoin can really take off…or it’s going to crash to wherever it’s going to crash to,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果他真的能传达正确的信息，狗狗币就能真正起飞……否则它就会崩溃到任何它要崩溃的地方，”她说。</blockquote></p><p>The 25-year-old investor is one of a number of relatively young traders who are piling into speculative altcoins like dogecoin as the so-called joke asset mints millionaires and draws some concerns about a bubble forming in the nascent crypto complex.</p><p><blockquote>这位25岁的投资者是众多相对年轻的交易员之一，他们涌入狗狗币等投机性山寨币，因为这种所谓的笑话资产造就了百万富翁，并引起了一些人对新兴加密货币综合体中正在形成泡沫的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Musk will host NBC’s late-night live television comedy sketch show, “Saturday Night Live,” this weekend and his coming appearance has already drawn&nbsp;cheers and jeers.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克将于本周末主持NBC深夜直播电视喜剧小品节目“周六夜现场”，他即将到来的亮相已经引起了欢呼和嘲笑。</blockquote></p><p>Musk has been one of the biggest cheerleaders for dogecoin and crypto broadly. The self-appointed “Technoking” of Tesla&nbsp;has been mostly using his massive social media following to pump up the price of doge,&nbsp;tweeting back on April 1&nbsp;that he would use his SpaceX rockets to put a physical Doge coin on the literal moon, echoing the social media goal of taking the coin’s price “to the moon.”</p><p><blockquote>马斯克一直是狗狗币和加密货币最大的支持者之一。这位自封的特斯拉“技术之王”主要利用其庞大的社交媒体粉丝来抬高doge的价格，他于4月1日在推特上表示，他将使用SpaceX火箭将实体doge硬币放在真正的月球上，呼应了社交媒体将硬币价格“带到月球”的目标。</blockquote></p><p>Beesetti said that she first got involved in dogecoin — she also invests in technology stocks and exchange-traded funds — at the prompting of Musk’s social-media missives from last summer.</p><p><blockquote>比塞蒂表示，她第一次涉足狗狗币是在马斯克去年夏天社交媒体信件的推动下，她还投资科技股和交易所交易基金。</blockquote></p><p>She bought dogecoin when it was trading at 3/10ths of a penny and she kept dollar-cost averaging her position in the digital asset created in 2013 even as it hit around 1 cent last August.</p><p><blockquote>她在狗狗币的交易价格为3/10美分时买入了它，尽管去年8月它达到了1美分左右，但她仍保持了她在2013年创建的数字资产中的美元成本平均头寸。</blockquote></p><p>Musk has become a rallying point for dogecoin holders on sites like Reddit and his coming appearance on “SNL” is a hotly anticipated moment inside and outside crypto markets, which had largely been centered on bitcoin&nbsp;and Ethereum&nbsp;,the two largest cryptos in the world.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克已成为Reddit等网站上狗狗币持有者的聚集点，他即将在“SNL”上亮相是加密货币市场内外备受期待的时刻，该市场主要集中在比特币和以太币这两个世界上最大的加密货币。</blockquote></p><p>Dogecoin has long held the reputation as a joke currency in the digital-asset realm but it is hard to deny that its surging value has gripped Main Street and Wall Street’s attention — at least momentarily.</p><p><blockquote>狗狗币长期以来在数字资产领域一直享有笑话货币的美誉，但很难否认其飙升的价值引起了大街和华尔街的关注——至少暂时如此。</blockquote></p><p>Former “SNL” cast member and comedian David Spade on Thursday tweeted that he wondered if Musk’s appearance on the sketch show would equate to a 90-minute infomercial for doge, adding, perhaps tongue in cheek that he was buying dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>前《SNL》演员兼喜剧演员大卫·斯派德(David Spade)周四在推特上表示，他想知道马斯克出现在小品节目中是否相当于为doge制作了一部90分钟的电视广告，并补充说，也许是开玩笑地说，他正在购买狗狗币。</blockquote></p><p>Oddsmakers at betting platformSportsBettingDime.com&nbsp;have established a number of prop bets about Musk’s appearance on “Saturday Night Live,” including which if any crypto he mentions first on the show.</p><p><blockquote>博彩平台SportsBettingDime.com的赔率制定了许多关于马斯克出现在《周六夜现场》上的适当赌注，包括他在节目中首先提到的任何加密货币。</blockquote></p><p>Which cryptocurrency does Musk mention first:</p><p><blockquote>马斯克首先提到的是哪种加密货币：</blockquote></p><p>1. Bitcoin: -200</p><p><blockquote>1.比特币：-200</blockquote></p><p>2. Dogecoin: +600</p><p><blockquote>2.狗狗币：+600</blockquote></p><p>3. FIELD: +450</p><p><blockquote>3.字段：+450</blockquote></p><p>4. Does Not Mention Bitcoin: +400</p><p><blockquote>4.没有提到比特币：+400</blockquote></p><p>Beesetti said that she sold about $8,000 worth of dogecoin recently to buy a pair of Gucci shoes, an iPhone and upped her position in Ether thar runs on the Ethereum protocol but has otherwise been a steady holder of doge.</p><p><blockquote>Beesetti表示，她最近出售了价值约8,000美元的狗狗币，购买了一双Gucci鞋、一部iPhone，并根据以太币协议提高了她在以太thar的头寸，但在其他方面一直是doge的稳定持有者。</blockquote></p><p>The investor wouldn’t offer specific figures but said that her holdings currently range from 50,000 to 100,000 dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>该投资者不愿提供具体数字，但表示她目前持有的狗狗币在50,000至100,000枚之间。</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps unlike some investors in doge, she is under no illusion that it has utility but submits to the possibility that momentum could build in a parody asset to such an extent that it forges its own legitimacy.</p><p><blockquote>也许与doge的一些投资者不同，她并不对它具有实用性抱有幻想，而是接受了这样一种可能性：势头可能会在模仿资产中积累到一定程度，从而锻造自己的合法性。</blockquote></p><p>“Doge doesn’t have intrinsic value,” Beesetti said. “The value becomes real if you and a collective group of people believe in it. And in this case, there are more groups and people than before who believe.”</p><p><blockquote>“Doge没有内在价值，”比塞蒂说。“如果你和一群人相信它，价值就会变得真实。在这种情况下，相信它的群体和人比以前更多。”</blockquote></p><p>That said, reality could hit meme coin holders hard come Sunday morning, at least one analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，至少一位分析师表示，现实可能会在周日早上对模因币持有者造成沉重打击。</blockquote></p><p>“Post-SNL, some crypto traders could abandon short-term&nbsp;Dogecoin&nbsp;bets once it becomes clear that it is not skyrocketing to the moon or at the heavily eyed $1 level,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a research note.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)在一份研究报告中写道：“SNL之后，一旦狗狗币明显不会飙升至月球或达到备受关注的1美元水平，一些加密货币交易员可能会放弃短期狗狗币押注。”笔记。</blockquote></p><p>The analyst also notes that strong conviction of dogecoin investors,known as hodlers in the crypto world, could defy logic and keep prices buoyant.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师还指出，狗狗币投资者（在加密货币界被称为霍德勒）的坚定信念可能会违背逻辑并保持价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p>“The retail-army of traders that have been committed to Doge might remain stubbornly hodlers, so we shouldn’t be surprised if a sell the event reaction does not happen,” the Oanda strategist said.</p><p><blockquote>这位Oanda策略师表示：“一直致力于Doge的散户交易员可能仍然是顽固的霍德勒，因此如果没有发生卖出事件反应，我们不应该感到惊讶。”</blockquote></p><p>How it all plays out for dogecoin is anyone’s guess.</p><p><blockquote>狗狗币的结局如何，谁也说不准。</blockquote></p><p>“It’s just a meme currency but sometimes the most entertaining outcome becomes the reality,” Beesetti said.</p><p><blockquote>“这只是一种模因货币，但有时最有趣的结果会成为现实，”比塞蒂说。</blockquote></p><p>That meme currency has enjoyed a spectacular ride compared against most other assets. Gold futures&nbsp;are down 3% so far this year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;and the S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;are up by nearly 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq Composite Index&nbsp;has gained about over 6% so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数其他资产相比，这种模因货币经历了惊人的上涨。今年迄今为止，黄金期货下跌了3%，道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数在2021年上涨了近13%，而纳斯达克综合指数今年迄今为止的涨幅约超过6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-total-make-or-break-for-dogecoin-says-one-crypto-investor-as-elon-musk-prepares-to-host-saturday-night-live-11620413674?mod=associated-press\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-total-make-or-break-for-dogecoin-says-one-crypto-investor-as-elon-musk-prepares-to-host-saturday-night-live-11620413674?mod=associated-press","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160802774","content_text":"Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue University with proceeds from the sale of a single bitcoin that she bought on a whim, which had surged to nearly $20,000.Now, the product manager for a startup in New York is dabbling in dogecoin ,and sees this weekend as a possible make-or-break moment for the parody coin that has seen a stratospheric, nearly 13,000% rise in 2021.“This Saturday is going to be a total make-or-break for dogecoin,” Beesetti told MarketWatch in a phone interview.“If he can really get the messaging right, dogecoin can really take off…or it’s going to crash to wherever it’s going to crash to,” she said.The 25-year-old investor is one of a number of relatively young traders who are piling into speculative altcoins like dogecoin as the so-called joke asset mints millionaires and draws some concerns about a bubble forming in the nascent crypto complex.Musk will host NBC’s late-night live television comedy sketch show, “Saturday Night Live,” this weekend and his coming appearance has already drawn cheers and jeers.Musk has been one of the biggest cheerleaders for dogecoin and crypto broadly. The self-appointed “Technoking” of Tesla has been mostly using his massive social media following to pump up the price of doge, tweeting back on April 1 that he would use his SpaceX rockets to put a physical Doge coin on the literal moon, echoing the social media goal of taking the coin’s price “to the moon.”Beesetti said that she first got involved in dogecoin — she also invests in technology stocks and exchange-traded funds — at the prompting of Musk’s social-media missives from last summer.She bought dogecoin when it was trading at 3/10ths of a penny and she kept dollar-cost averaging her position in the digital asset created in 2013 even as it hit around 1 cent last August.Musk has become a rallying point for dogecoin holders on sites like Reddit and his coming appearance on “SNL” is a hotly anticipated moment inside and outside crypto markets, which had largely been centered on bitcoin and Ethereum ,the two largest cryptos in the world.Dogecoin has long held the reputation as a joke currency in the digital-asset realm but it is hard to deny that its surging value has gripped Main Street and Wall Street’s attention — at least momentarily.Former “SNL” cast member and comedian David Spade on Thursday tweeted that he wondered if Musk’s appearance on the sketch show would equate to a 90-minute infomercial for doge, adding, perhaps tongue in cheek that he was buying dogecoin.Oddsmakers at betting platformSportsBettingDime.com have established a number of prop bets about Musk’s appearance on “Saturday Night Live,” including which if any crypto he mentions first on the show.Which cryptocurrency does Musk mention first:1. Bitcoin: -2002. Dogecoin: +6003. FIELD: +4504. Does Not Mention Bitcoin: +400Beesetti said that she sold about $8,000 worth of dogecoin recently to buy a pair of Gucci shoes, an iPhone and upped her position in Ether thar runs on the Ethereum protocol but has otherwise been a steady holder of doge.The investor wouldn’t offer specific figures but said that her holdings currently range from 50,000 to 100,000 dogecoin.Perhaps unlike some investors in doge, she is under no illusion that it has utility but submits to the possibility that momentum could build in a parody asset to such an extent that it forges its own legitimacy.“Doge doesn’t have intrinsic value,” Beesetti said. “The value becomes real if you and a collective group of people believe in it. And in this case, there are more groups and people than before who believe.”That said, reality could hit meme coin holders hard come Sunday morning, at least one analyst said.“Post-SNL, some crypto traders could abandon short-term Dogecoin bets once it becomes clear that it is not skyrocketing to the moon or at the heavily eyed $1 level,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a research note.The analyst also notes that strong conviction of dogecoin investors,known as hodlers in the crypto world, could defy logic and keep prices buoyant.“The retail-army of traders that have been committed to Doge might remain stubbornly hodlers, so we shouldn’t be surprised if a sell the event reaction does not happen,” the Oanda strategist said.How it all plays out for dogecoin is anyone’s guess.“It’s just a meme currency but sometimes the most entertaining outcome becomes the reality,” Beesetti said.That meme currency has enjoyed a spectacular ride compared against most other assets. Gold futures are down 3% so far this year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index are up by nearly 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq Composite Index has gained about over 6% so far this year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142672599,"gmtCreate":1626149771511,"gmtModify":1631890034760,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581814038363779","idStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bitcoin, name we have all heard but does anyone truly know what itis? We dabble in this due to the hype and it affects the normal investment schemes.&nbsp;","listText":"Bitcoin, name we have all heard but does anyone truly know what itis? We dabble in this due to the hype and it affects the normal investment schemes.&nbsp;","text":"Bitcoin, name we have all heard but does anyone truly know what itis? We dabble in this due to the hype and it affects the normal investment schemes.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142672599","repostId":"1161408787","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161408787","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626147401,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161408787?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 11:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Just 5% Of All Bitcoins In Circulation Have Traded In The Past Year<blockquote>过去一年，流通中的比特币中只有5%进行了交易</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161408787","media":"zerohedge","summary":"In JPMorgan's latest weekly bitcoin hit piece (because for some \"inexplicable\" reason, JPMorgan exec","content":"<p>In JPMorgan's latest weekly bitcoin hit piece (because for some \"inexplicable\" reason, JPMorgan executive have instructed most of the bank's strategists, including those covering equity and rates, to slam the cryptocurrency on a weekly if not daily basis while the bank quietlybuilds out its own proprietary crypto fund, almost as if it is desperate to scare its clients into selling), the bank makes an interesting argument: bitcoin is not liquid enough to be successfully implemented as a legal tender in El Salvador.</p><p><blockquote>在摩根大通最新的每周比特币热门文章中（因为出于某种“莫名其妙”的原因，摩根大通高管指示该银行的大多数策略师，包括那些负责股票和利率的策略师，每周（如果不是每天）猛烈抨击加密货币，而该银行则悄悄地建立自己的专有加密货币基金，几乎就好像它不顾一切地吓唬客户抛售一样），该银行提出了一个有趣的论点：比特币的流动性不足以在萨尔瓦多成功实施为法定货币。</blockquote></p><p> We won't speak to the validity of JPM's argument - we will soon find out first hand whether or not El Salvador made a mistake in adopting bitcoin as legal tender - although it certainly is simple enough: “daily payment activity in El Salvador would represent ~4% of recent on-chain transaction volume and more than 1% of the total value of tokens which have been transferred between wallets in the past year,” the report said, with the illiquidity and nature of the volume “potentially a significant limitation on its potential as a medium of exchange.”</p><p><blockquote>我们不会谈论摩根大通论点的有效性——我们很快就会直接了解萨尔瓦多在采用比特币作为法定货币时是否犯了错误——尽管这肯定很简单：“萨尔瓦多的日常支付活动将占近期链上交易量的约4%，占过去一年钱包之间转移的代币总价值的1%以上，”该交易量的非流动性和性质“可能会严重限制其作为交换媒介的潜力。”</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps, then again in its brief history bitcoin has certainly demonstrated that it is remarkably scalable and viable even without a central bank propping it up every time there is even a modest risk-flaring hiccup, which is much more than we could ever say about the global stock market or currencies such as Europe's \"whatever it takes\" euro.</p><p><blockquote>或许，在其短暂的历史中，比特币无疑已经证明，即使每次出现轻微的风险爆发问题时，即使没有央行支持，它也具有非凡的可扩展性和可行性，这比我们对全球股市或欧洲“不惜一切代价”欧元等货币所能说的要多得多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, JPMorgan - a bank that directly benefited form more than one multibilion bailout - will be the last to admit just how much sustainable the cryptocurrency has become, which is why we will ignore the bank's latest round of propaganda, but will point out an interesting fact unearthed by JPMorgan: it goes straight to the heart of the recurring argument why bitcoin is so volatile.</p><p><blockquote>当然，摩根大通——一家直接受益于超过10亿美元救助的银行——将是最后一家承认加密货币已经变得多么可持续的银行，这就是为什么我们将忽略该银行最新一轮的宣传，但将指出摩根大通发现的一个有趣事实：它直接触及了比特币为何如此不稳定的反复出现的论点的核心。</blockquote></p><p> The reason, as JPM has discovered, is that bitcoin's float may be as little as 5%, if not less. Discussing the daily trading volumes of bitcoin, JPM notes that a large fraction of Bitcoin are locked up in illiquid entities (liquidity sinks),<b>\"with more than 90% not changing hands in more than a year\" while roughly 80% - and rising - are held by wallets with light turnover.&nbsp; This means that a paltry 5-10% of all bitcoin in circulation has traded in the past year.</b></p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发现，原因是比特币的持股量可能只有5%，甚至更少。在讨论比特币的每日交易量时，摩根大通指出，很大一部分比特币被锁定在非流动性实体（流动性下沉）中，<b>“超过90%的股票在一年多的时间里没有易手”，而大约80%——而且还在上升——由成交量较少的钱包持有。这意味着，在过去一年中，流通中的比特币中只有微不足道的5-10%进行了交易。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce30e31759284bfbf1d8923cb4149bfc\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"534\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Another way of putting it:<b>an asset with a $600 billion market cap has a float of just $30 billion.</b>Which is remarkable as it means that<b>no whales</b>sold bitcoin when it hit its all time high of $65,000.<b>And if they didn't sell then, they certainly won't sell now when it's half that price.</b></p><p><blockquote>换一种说法：<b>一项市值6000亿美元的资产的流通量仅为300亿美元。</b>这很了不起，因为这意味着<b>没有鲸鱼</b>当比特币触及65,000美元的历史高点时出售。<b>如果他们当时不卖，现在价格是那个价格的一半，他们肯定不会卖。</b></blockquote></p><p> This, more than anything else, explains why bitcoin - an asset whose market cap was more than a $1 trillion as recently as April - is so extremely volatile: with the vast majority of bitcoin locked up or held by whale accounts who rarely if ever trade, the marginal price setter of bitcoin are odd lots - a burst of trading in fractions of a bitcoin, where the momentum in many cases is ignited and magnified by HFTs who then shape the movement of the crypto in hopes of hitting the max pain stop loss positions for other cryptos, and where as a result of such a unique trading environment, the price of bitcoin can swing 10%, 15% , or even 20% or more every day.</p><p><blockquote>这比其他任何事情都更能解释为什么比特币——一种截至4月份市值还超过1万亿澳元的资产——如此不稳定：绝大多数比特币被很少交易的鲸鱼账户锁定或持有，比特币的边际价格制定者是零星地段——比特币的一部分交易爆发，在许多情况下，这种势头被高频交易点燃和放大，然后他们塑造加密货币的走势，希望达到其他加密货币的最大痛苦止损头寸，由于这种独特的交易环境，比特币的价格每天可以波动10%、15%，甚至20%或更多。</blockquote></p><p> The question we have is during liquidation pukes like the one observed recently, how much of the newly released bitcoin are gobbled up by existing or new whales. Judging by the gray line in the chart above, the answer is a record amount.</p><p><blockquote>我们面临的问题是，在像最近观察到的清算呕吐中，有多少新释放的比特币被现有的或新的鲸鱼吞噬了。从上图中的灰线来看，答案是创纪录的金额。</blockquote></p><p> Which means that we are now in the<i>\"weak hands\" shake out and whale accumulation</i>phase. And once the new generation of whales has bought enough, that's when the next squeeze higher will take place, sending the crypto currency and its peers to fresh all time highs. Because if there is one thing that is very easy to do with an asset whose float is as low as bitcoin's, it is to manipulate it as a handful of big players want.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着我们现在处于<i>“弱手”抖出鲸鱼积累</i>阶段。一旦新一代鲸鱼购买了足够多的东西，下一次挤压就会发生，将加密货币及其同行推至历史新高。因为如果有一件事对一个流通量像比特币一样低的资产来说是非常容易做的，那就是按照少数大玩家的意愿操纵它。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Just 5% Of All Bitcoins In Circulation Have Traded In The Past Year<blockquote>过去一年，流通中的比特币中只有5%进行了交易</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJust 5% Of All Bitcoins In Circulation Have Traded In The Past Year<blockquote>过去一年，流通中的比特币中只有5%进行了交易</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 11:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In JPMorgan's latest weekly bitcoin hit piece (because for some \"inexplicable\" reason, JPMorgan executive have instructed most of the bank's strategists, including those covering equity and rates, to slam the cryptocurrency on a weekly if not daily basis while the bank quietlybuilds out its own proprietary crypto fund, almost as if it is desperate to scare its clients into selling), the bank makes an interesting argument: bitcoin is not liquid enough to be successfully implemented as a legal tender in El Salvador.</p><p><blockquote>在摩根大通最新的每周比特币热门文章中（因为出于某种“莫名其妙”的原因，摩根大通高管指示该银行的大多数策略师，包括那些负责股票和利率的策略师，每周（如果不是每天）猛烈抨击加密货币，而该银行则悄悄地建立自己的专有加密货币基金，几乎就好像它不顾一切地吓唬客户抛售一样），该银行提出了一个有趣的论点：比特币的流动性不足以在萨尔瓦多成功实施为法定货币。</blockquote></p><p> We won't speak to the validity of JPM's argument - we will soon find out first hand whether or not El Salvador made a mistake in adopting bitcoin as legal tender - although it certainly is simple enough: “daily payment activity in El Salvador would represent ~4% of recent on-chain transaction volume and more than 1% of the total value of tokens which have been transferred between wallets in the past year,” the report said, with the illiquidity and nature of the volume “potentially a significant limitation on its potential as a medium of exchange.”</p><p><blockquote>我们不会谈论摩根大通论点的有效性——我们很快就会直接了解萨尔瓦多在采用比特币作为法定货币时是否犯了错误——尽管这肯定很简单：“萨尔瓦多的日常支付活动将占近期链上交易量的约4%，占过去一年钱包之间转移的代币总价值的1%以上，”该交易量的非流动性和性质“可能会严重限制其作为交换媒介的潜力。”</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps, then again in its brief history bitcoin has certainly demonstrated that it is remarkably scalable and viable even without a central bank propping it up every time there is even a modest risk-flaring hiccup, which is much more than we could ever say about the global stock market or currencies such as Europe's \"whatever it takes\" euro.</p><p><blockquote>或许，在其短暂的历史中，比特币无疑已经证明，即使每次出现轻微的风险爆发问题时，即使没有央行支持，它也具有非凡的可扩展性和可行性，这比我们对全球股市或欧洲“不惜一切代价”欧元等货币所能说的要多得多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, JPMorgan - a bank that directly benefited form more than one multibilion bailout - will be the last to admit just how much sustainable the cryptocurrency has become, which is why we will ignore the bank's latest round of propaganda, but will point out an interesting fact unearthed by JPMorgan: it goes straight to the heart of the recurring argument why bitcoin is so volatile.</p><p><blockquote>当然，摩根大通——一家直接受益于超过10亿美元救助的银行——将是最后一家承认加密货币已经变得多么可持续的银行，这就是为什么我们将忽略该银行最新一轮的宣传，但将指出摩根大通发现的一个有趣事实：它直接触及了比特币为何如此不稳定的反复出现的论点的核心。</blockquote></p><p> The reason, as JPM has discovered, is that bitcoin's float may be as little as 5%, if not less. Discussing the daily trading volumes of bitcoin, JPM notes that a large fraction of Bitcoin are locked up in illiquid entities (liquidity sinks),<b>\"with more than 90% not changing hands in more than a year\" while roughly 80% - and rising - are held by wallets with light turnover.&nbsp; This means that a paltry 5-10% of all bitcoin in circulation has traded in the past year.</b></p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发现，原因是比特币的持股量可能只有5%，甚至更少。在讨论比特币的每日交易量时，摩根大通指出，很大一部分比特币被锁定在非流动性实体（流动性下沉）中，<b>“超过90%的股票在一年多的时间里没有易手”，而大约80%——而且还在上升——由成交量较少的钱包持有。这意味着，在过去一年中，流通中的比特币中只有微不足道的5-10%进行了交易。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce30e31759284bfbf1d8923cb4149bfc\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"534\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Another way of putting it:<b>an asset with a $600 billion market cap has a float of just $30 billion.</b>Which is remarkable as it means that<b>no whales</b>sold bitcoin when it hit its all time high of $65,000.<b>And if they didn't sell then, they certainly won't sell now when it's half that price.</b></p><p><blockquote>换一种说法：<b>一项市值6000亿美元的资产的流通量仅为300亿美元。</b>这很了不起，因为这意味着<b>没有鲸鱼</b>当比特币触及65,000美元的历史高点时出售。<b>如果他们当时不卖，现在价格是那个价格的一半，他们肯定不会卖。</b></blockquote></p><p> This, more than anything else, explains why bitcoin - an asset whose market cap was more than a $1 trillion as recently as April - is so extremely volatile: with the vast majority of bitcoin locked up or held by whale accounts who rarely if ever trade, the marginal price setter of bitcoin are odd lots - a burst of trading in fractions of a bitcoin, where the momentum in many cases is ignited and magnified by HFTs who then shape the movement of the crypto in hopes of hitting the max pain stop loss positions for other cryptos, and where as a result of such a unique trading environment, the price of bitcoin can swing 10%, 15% , or even 20% or more every day.</p><p><blockquote>这比其他任何事情都更能解释为什么比特币——一种截至4月份市值还超过1万亿澳元的资产——如此不稳定：绝大多数比特币被很少交易的鲸鱼账户锁定或持有，比特币的边际价格制定者是零星地段——比特币的一部分交易爆发，在许多情况下，这种势头被高频交易点燃和放大，然后他们塑造加密货币的走势，希望达到其他加密货币的最大痛苦止损头寸，由于这种独特的交易环境，比特币的价格每天可以波动10%、15%，甚至20%或更多。</blockquote></p><p> The question we have is during liquidation pukes like the one observed recently, how much of the newly released bitcoin are gobbled up by existing or new whales. Judging by the gray line in the chart above, the answer is a record amount.</p><p><blockquote>我们面临的问题是，在像最近观察到的清算呕吐中，有多少新释放的比特币被现有的或新的鲸鱼吞噬了。从上图中的灰线来看，答案是创纪录的金额。</blockquote></p><p> Which means that we are now in the<i>\"weak hands\" shake out and whale accumulation</i>phase. And once the new generation of whales has bought enough, that's when the next squeeze higher will take place, sending the crypto currency and its peers to fresh all time highs. Because if there is one thing that is very easy to do with an asset whose float is as low as bitcoin's, it is to manipulate it as a handful of big players want.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着我们现在处于<i>“弱手”抖出鲸鱼积累</i>阶段。一旦新一代鲸鱼购买了足够多的东西，下一次挤压就会发生，将加密货币及其同行推至历史新高。因为如果有一件事对一个流通量像比特币一样低的资产来说是非常容易做的，那就是按照少数大玩家的意愿操纵它。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/just-5-all-bitcoins-circulation-have-traded-past-year\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/just-5-all-bitcoins-circulation-have-traded-past-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161408787","content_text":"In JPMorgan's latest weekly bitcoin hit piece (because for some \"inexplicable\" reason, JPMorgan executive have instructed most of the bank's strategists, including those covering equity and rates, to slam the cryptocurrency on a weekly if not daily basis while the bank quietlybuilds out its own proprietary crypto fund, almost as if it is desperate to scare its clients into selling), the bank makes an interesting argument: bitcoin is not liquid enough to be successfully implemented as a legal tender in El Salvador.\nWe won't speak to the validity of JPM's argument - we will soon find out first hand whether or not El Salvador made a mistake in adopting bitcoin as legal tender - although it certainly is simple enough: “daily payment activity in El Salvador would represent ~4% of recent on-chain transaction volume and more than 1% of the total value of tokens which have been transferred between wallets in the past year,” the report said, with the illiquidity and nature of the volume “potentially a significant limitation on its potential as a medium of exchange.”\nPerhaps, then again in its brief history bitcoin has certainly demonstrated that it is remarkably scalable and viable even without a central bank propping it up every time there is even a modest risk-flaring hiccup, which is much more than we could ever say about the global stock market or currencies such as Europe's \"whatever it takes\" euro.\nOf course, JPMorgan - a bank that directly benefited form more than one multibilion bailout - will be the last to admit just how much sustainable the cryptocurrency has become, which is why we will ignore the bank's latest round of propaganda, but will point out an interesting fact unearthed by JPMorgan: it goes straight to the heart of the recurring argument why bitcoin is so volatile.\nThe reason, as JPM has discovered, is that bitcoin's float may be as little as 5%, if not less. Discussing the daily trading volumes of bitcoin, JPM notes that a large fraction of Bitcoin are locked up in illiquid entities (liquidity sinks),\"with more than 90% not changing hands in more than a year\" while roughly 80% - and rising - are held by wallets with light turnover.  This means that a paltry 5-10% of all bitcoin in circulation has traded in the past year.\n\nAnother way of putting it:an asset with a $600 billion market cap has a float of just $30 billion.Which is remarkable as it means thatno whalessold bitcoin when it hit its all time high of $65,000.And if they didn't sell then, they certainly won't sell now when it's half that price.\nThis, more than anything else, explains why bitcoin - an asset whose market cap was more than a $1 trillion as recently as April - is so extremely volatile: with the vast majority of bitcoin locked up or held by whale accounts who rarely if ever trade, the marginal price setter of bitcoin are odd lots - a burst of trading in fractions of a bitcoin, where the momentum in many cases is ignited and magnified by HFTs who then shape the movement of the crypto in hopes of hitting the max pain stop loss positions for other cryptos, and where as a result of such a unique trading environment, the price of bitcoin can swing 10%, 15% , or even 20% or more every day.\nThe question we have is during liquidation pukes like the one observed recently, how much of the newly released bitcoin are gobbled up by existing or new whales. Judging by the gray line in the chart above, the answer is a record amount.\nWhich means that we are now in the\"weak hands\" shake out and whale accumulationphase. And once the new generation of whales has bought enough, that's when the next squeeze higher will take place, sending the crypto currency and its peers to fresh all time highs. Because if there is one thing that is very easy to do with an asset whose float is as low as bitcoin's, it is to manipulate it as a handful of big players want.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125863875,"gmtCreate":1624668118797,"gmtModify":1631890034800,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581814038363779","idStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple business model used to be amazing with strong barriers of entry. But now it seems that it is starting to decline in its Innovation and creativity","listText":"Apple business model used to be amazing with strong barriers of entry. But now it seems that it is starting to decline in its Innovation and creativity","text":"Apple business model used to be amazing with strong barriers of entry. But now it seems that it is starting to decline in its Innovation and creativity","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125863875","repostId":"1108941456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136150990,"gmtCreate":1622000929410,"gmtModify":1631892367406,"author":{"id":"3581814038363779","authorId":"3581814038363779","name":"Matthewlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b353e4b25bc0161b43146b622f27f99","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581814038363779","idStr":"3581814038363779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The narket is truly unpredictable, with memes becoming valuable as money","listText":"The narket is truly unpredictable, with memes becoming valuable as money","text":"The narket is truly unpredictable, with memes becoming valuable as money","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136150990","repostId":"1137738225","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}