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chunkiat14

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2021-08-30

Best

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2021-07-28

Ok, in my watchlist

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2021-07-02

Look forward

The Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.<blockquote>股市上半年表现良好。可能导致它崩溃的3件事。</blockquote>

2021-08-07

Oppss..

Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate<blockquote>腾讯控股被海淀区检察院起诉</blockquote>

2021-08-20

Sure?

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2021-08-18

Ok

U.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes<blockquote>由于华尔街关注美联储会议纪要，美国股市周三开盘走低</blockquote>

2021-08-15

Nvidia [Victory]

AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪只芯片股票最好？</blockquote>

2021-07-13

Opportunity?

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2021-06-26

Yes [Yummy]

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2021-06-21

Up!

Tesla’s Profitability and the Surprising Thing That Could Threaten It<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力以及可能威胁它的令人惊讶的事情</blockquote>

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What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154837170","media":"Barron's","summary":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.Bitcoin  was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum , down 12% to $3,460.The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum ","content":"<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.</p><p><blockquote>对比特币来说，这本应是快乐的一天，但却变成了溃败。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.</p><p><blockquote>比特币（股票代码：BTC）周二下午交易价格约为 47,000 美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌 9%，今天上午跌至 42,900 美元。抛售前，比特币股价已超过 52,800 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.</p><p><blockquote>其他加密货币也陷入困境，包括以太币 (ETH)，下跌 12%，至 3,460 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.</p><p><blockquote>抛售可能反映了7月下旬价格开始上涨后的获利了结。自 7 月下旬以来，比特币股价已上涨超过 50%，当时股价约为 34,000 美元。在其底层区块链网络进行技术升级后，以太币也一直在飞翔。</blockquote></p><p> The down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多成为第一个将比特币与该国另一种官方货币美元一起作为法定货币的国家后，这一低迷的一天可能也反映了 “抛售新闻 ”的动态。</blockquote></p><p> Merchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多的商人现在应该接受商品和服务的比特币。政府承诺在公民的数字钱包中提供价值30美元的比特币。据路透社报道，麦当劳已开始在萨尔瓦多接受比特币。在正式发射前，纳伊布·布克莱总统的政府一直在购买比特币，包括价值至少2000万美元的产品。</blockquote></p><p> But El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.</p><p><blockquote>但萨尔瓦多的加密货币实验并没有得到国际货币基金组织和世界银行等组织的认可，这些组织警告萨尔瓦多，将其作为法定货币可能会危及金融稳定。其他国家正在打击加密交易、采矿和交易所，这表明萨尔瓦多目前可能是一个例外。</blockquote></p><p> Crypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).</p><p><blockquote>加密货币观察人士也将市场低迷归咎于技术因素。加密货币交易研究公司 Fairlead Strategies 的创始人兼管理合伙人凯蒂-斯托克顿（Katie Stockton）说，假设价格不会突然飙升，比特币现在将迎来 “外部下跌 ”的一天。这意味着比特币的交易区间更大，收盘价将低于昨天（假设下午 5 点截止，尽管它 24 小时交易）。</blockquote></p><p> “The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”这意味着要进一步整合。她补充说，到目前为止，抛售看起来只是一个小小的挫折，因为比特币还没有突破 4.4 万美元左右的 50 天移动平均线，这是其下一个支撑位。</blockquote></p><p> “A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”44,000 美元的违规并不意味着破产。“这是对 50 天移动平均线的测试。“比特币和大多数接近当前低点的加密货币都有强有力的支撑”。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.</p><p><blockquote>其他可能导致抛售的因素还包括领先的加密货币交易所 Bitfinix 的停电和 “计划外维护 ”的报道。据 Downdetector 称，Coinbase Global（股票代码：COIN）在中午前后也经历了停电激增。</blockquote></p><p> Even if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.</p><p><blockquote>即使价格从这里稳定下来，这也提醒人们，比特币和其他加密货币仍然容易受到快速下跌的影响。虽然你可以在圣萨尔瓦多买到一个加了一小块比特币的巨无霸，但你最好还是把它放在你的数字钱包里——或者不放在那里——这取决于一天中的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. 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What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-08 16:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.</p><p><blockquote>对比特币来说，这本应是快乐的一天，但却变成了溃败。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.</p><p><blockquote>比特币（股票代码：BTC）周二下午交易价格约为 47,000 美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌 9%，今天上午跌至 42,900 美元。抛售前，比特币股价已超过 52,800 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.</p><p><blockquote>其他加密货币也陷入困境，包括以太币 (ETH)，下跌 12%，至 3,460 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.</p><p><blockquote>抛售可能反映了7月下旬价格开始上涨后的获利了结。自 7 月下旬以来，比特币股价已上涨超过 50%，当时股价约为 34,000 美元。在其底层区块链网络进行技术升级后，以太币也一直在飞翔。</blockquote></p><p> The down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多成为第一个将比特币与该国另一种官方货币美元一起作为法定货币的国家后，这一低迷的一天可能也反映了 “抛售新闻 ”的动态。</blockquote></p><p> Merchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多的商人现在应该接受商品和服务的比特币。政府承诺在公民的数字钱包中提供价值30美元的比特币。据路透社报道，麦当劳已开始在萨尔瓦多接受比特币。在正式发射前，纳伊布·布克莱总统的政府一直在购买比特币，包括价值至少2000万美元的产品。</blockquote></p><p> But El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.</p><p><blockquote>但萨尔瓦多的加密货币实验并没有得到国际货币基金组织和世界银行等组织的认可，这些组织警告萨尔瓦多，将其作为法定货币可能会危及金融稳定。其他国家正在打击加密交易、采矿和交易所，这表明萨尔瓦多目前可能是一个例外。</blockquote></p><p> Crypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).</p><p><blockquote>加密货币观察人士也将市场低迷归咎于技术因素。加密货币交易研究公司 Fairlead Strategies 的创始人兼管理合伙人凯蒂-斯托克顿（Katie Stockton）说，假设价格不会突然飙升，比特币现在将迎来 “外部下跌 ”的一天。这意味着比特币的交易区间更大，收盘价将低于昨天（假设下午 5 点截止，尽管它 24 小时交易）。</blockquote></p><p> “The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”这意味着要进一步整合。她补充说，到目前为止，抛售看起来只是一个小小的挫折，因为比特币还没有突破 4.4 万美元左右的 50 天移动平均线，这是其下一个支撑位。</blockquote></p><p> “A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”44,000 美元的违规并不意味着破产。“这是对 50 天移动平均线的测试。“比特币和大多数接近当前低点的加密货币都有强有力的支撑”。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.</p><p><blockquote>其他可能导致抛售的因素还包括领先的加密货币交易所 Bitfinix 的停电和 “计划外维护 ”的报道。据 Downdetector 称，Coinbase Global（股票代码：COIN）在中午前后也经历了停电激增。</blockquote></p><p> Even if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.</p><p><blockquote>即使价格从这里稳定下来，这也提醒人们，比特币和其他加密货币仍然容易受到快速下跌的影响。虽然你可以在圣萨尔瓦多买到一个加了一小块比特币的巨无霸，但你最好还是把它放在你的数字钱包里——或者不放在那里——这取决于一天中的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154837170","content_text":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.\nBitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.\nOther cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.\nThe selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.\nThe down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.\nMerchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.\nBut El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.\nCrypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).\n“The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.\n“A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”\nOther factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.\nEven if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3020,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816678939,"gmtCreate":1630501220521,"gmtModify":1631885254370,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ooh","listText":"Ooh","text":"Ooh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816678939","repostId":"1173586399","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811410102,"gmtCreate":1630335628306,"gmtModify":1704958742612,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Best","listText":"Best","text":"Best","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/811410102","repostId":"1182034389","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813099449,"gmtCreate":1630111998781,"gmtModify":1704956079248,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813099449","repostId":"1162964424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162964424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630111098,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1162964424?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-28 08:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play<blockquote>苹果股票：它如何成为一场伟大的通胀游戏</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162964424","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year  should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has reported that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock investors. If the price increase is con","content":"<p>Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.</p><p><blockquote>由于某些零部件价格上涨，苹果的 iPhone 13 可能会让消费者花费更多。这对用户来说是个坏消息，但对苹果股票投资者来说可能是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.</p><p><blockquote>考虑今年升级设备的IPhone用户（或那些希望转向基于iOS的产品的用户）应该期待他们的口袋更深。据 DigiTimes 报道，由于零部件通胀，苹果的 iPhone 13 可能会在下个月以更高的价格上市。</blockquote></p><p> Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock&nbsp;investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>对消费者来说是坏消息，对苹果股票投资者来说可能是好消息。如果价格上涨得到证实，这将提供证据表明，在人们担心生产者和消费者价格上涨的时期，AAPL 可能是一个很好的通胀工具。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6f4ac9ebc1b90072340731dc5c1e613\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生什么事了？</b></blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone已经被认为是一款昂贵的科技产品，在美国，满载的高端12 Pro Max型号的价格可能高达1400美元（见下图）。由于今年的零部件短缺，芯片制造商台积电可能会将其对苹果的零部件价格提高 3% 至 5%，这可能会导致尚未发布的 iPhone 13 的价格也出现类似的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> It is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.</p><p><blockquote>世界上最大、最成功的消费品公司之一不太可能在不确定这样做不会对新iPhone的需求产生实质性影响的情况下试图提高价格。苹果可能有能力提高价格，因为该公司了解其奢侈品牌的价值和吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0140b9b68bb9eb5dd7e88aaff384785d\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：苹果商店上的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>A quote from Jim Cramer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>吉姆·克莱默的一句话</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来，股市面临的最令人担忧的阻力之一是通货膨胀可能侵蚀企业利润率并导致 2021-2022 年利率上升。但如果生产者和消费者价格飙升，并非所有股票都会受到同等影响。</blockquote></p><p> Generally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that&nbsp;Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:</p><p><blockquote>一般来说，拥有强大定价权、能够将较高生产成本转嫁给消费者的公司可能会跑赢大盘。这是 Mad Money 的吉姆-克莱默（Jim Cramer）最近提出的观点。以下是他的名言：</blockquote></p><p>   “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”  <b>The impact to the P&amp;L</b></p><p><blockquote>“当你试图思考这个市场上什么在起作用时......我想让你问问自己，如果公司实施涨价，你会对涨价麻木不仁吗？[有哪些]公司可以在不激怒你的情况下提高价格？去买他们的股票吧。”<b>对损益的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Are higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.</p><p><blockquote>价格上涨对公司的财务业绩是好事还是坏事？答案是微妙的，取决于几个因素。</blockquote></p><p> Holding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.</p><p><blockquote>在其他条件不变的情况下，更高的价格也意味着更高的收入（想想销售公式：价格乘以数量）。如果价格上涨与产品或运营成本的增加脱钩，那么价格上涨也有助于提高利润率，从而提高利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.</p><p><blockquote>然而，“保持其他一切不变”并不是世界的真正运作方式。价格的变化往往会对几个关键变量产生影响，其中最重要的是需求。如果价格上涨对销量没有太大影响或根本没有影响，这对收入和最有可能的盈利来说都是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> The other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.</p><p><blockquote>另一件要考虑的事情是价格上涨是完全还是仅部分抵消了更高的成本。假设后者，收入仍然可以受益，而不会对利润率和利润产生相应的积极影响。由于移动部件众多，因此很难确定价格更高的 iPhone 未来会对苹果的财务报表产生怎样的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play<blockquote>苹果股票：它如何成为一场伟大的通胀游戏</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play<blockquote>苹果股票：它如何成为一场伟大的通胀游戏</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-28 08:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.</p><p><blockquote>由于某些零部件价格上涨，苹果的 iPhone 13 可能会让消费者花费更多。这对用户来说是个坏消息，但对苹果股票投资者来说可能是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.</p><p><blockquote>考虑今年升级设备的IPhone用户（或那些希望转向基于iOS的产品的用户）应该期待他们的口袋更深。据 DigiTimes 报道，由于零部件通胀，苹果的 iPhone 13 可能会在下个月以更高的价格上市。</blockquote></p><p> Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock&nbsp;investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>对消费者来说是坏消息，对苹果股票投资者来说可能是好消息。如果价格上涨得到证实，这将提供证据表明，在人们担心生产者和消费者价格上涨的时期，AAPL 可能是一个很好的通胀工具。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6f4ac9ebc1b90072340731dc5c1e613\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生什么事了？</b></blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone已经被认为是一款昂贵的科技产品，在美国，满载的高端12 Pro Max型号的价格可能高达1400美元（见下图）。由于今年的零部件短缺，芯片制造商台积电可能会将其对苹果的零部件价格提高 3% 至 5%，这可能会导致尚未发布的 iPhone 13 的价格也出现类似的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> It is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.</p><p><blockquote>世界上最大、最成功的消费品公司之一不太可能在不确定这样做不会对新iPhone的需求产生实质性影响的情况下试图提高价格。苹果可能有能力提高价格，因为该公司了解其奢侈品牌的价值和吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0140b9b68bb9eb5dd7e88aaff384785d\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：苹果商店上的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>A quote from Jim Cramer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>吉姆·克莱默的一句话</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来，股市面临的最令人担忧的阻力之一是通货膨胀可能侵蚀企业利润率并导致 2021-2022 年利率上升。但如果生产者和消费者价格飙升，并非所有股票都会受到同等影响。</blockquote></p><p> Generally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that&nbsp;Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:</p><p><blockquote>一般来说，拥有强大定价权、能够将较高生产成本转嫁给消费者的公司可能会跑赢大盘。这是 Mad Money 的吉姆-克莱默（Jim Cramer）最近提出的观点。以下是他的名言：</blockquote></p><p>   “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”  <b>The impact to the P&amp;L</b></p><p><blockquote>“当你试图思考这个市场上什么在起作用时......我想让你问问自己，如果公司实施涨价，你会对涨价麻木不仁吗？[有哪些]公司可以在不激怒你的情况下提高价格？去买他们的股票吧。”<b>对损益的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Are higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.</p><p><blockquote>价格上涨对公司的财务业绩是好事还是坏事？答案是微妙的，取决于几个因素。</blockquote></p><p> Holding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.</p><p><blockquote>在其他条件不变的情况下，更高的价格也意味着更高的收入（想想销售公式：价格乘以数量）。如果价格上涨与产品或运营成本的增加脱钩，那么价格上涨也有助于提高利润率，从而提高利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.</p><p><blockquote>然而，“保持其他一切不变”并不是世界的真正运作方式。价格的变化往往会对几个关键变量产生影响，其中最重要的是需求。如果价格上涨对销量没有太大影响或根本没有影响，这对收入和最有可能的盈利来说都是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> The other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.</p><p><blockquote>另一件要考虑的事情是价格上涨是完全还是仅部分抵消了更高的成本。假设后者，收入仍然可以受益，而不会对利润率和利润产生相应的积极影响。由于移动部件众多，因此很难确定价格更高的 iPhone 未来会对苹果的财务报表产生怎样的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162964424","content_text":"Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.\nIPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has reported that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.\nBad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.\nFigure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.\nWhat happened?\nThe iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.\nIt is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.\nFigure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.\nA quote from Jim Cramer\nOne of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.\nGenerally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:\n\n “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”\n\nThe impact to the P&L\nAre higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.\nHolding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.\nHowever, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.\nThe other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819254652,"gmtCreate":1630074095776,"gmtModify":1704955587530,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819254652","repostId":"2162263460","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2989,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834258115,"gmtCreate":1629809174737,"gmtModify":1631885254402,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Go go go","listText":"Go go go","text":"Go go go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834258115","repostId":"1194470972","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194470972","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629804284,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1194470972?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 19:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China's Pinduoduo misses quarterly revenue expectations<blockquote>中国拼多多未达季度收入预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194470972","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Chinese e-commerce platform Pinduoduo Inc missed Wall Street expectations for quarterly revenue on Tuesday, hit by tough competition from larger rivals like Alibaba and JD.Com to tap into the pandemic-driven online shopping surge.Total revenue was 23.05 billion yuan in the second quarter ended June 30. Analysts on average expected revenue of 26.44 billion yuan, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.Total revenues in the quarter were RMB23,046.2 million, an increase of 89% from RMB12,193.3 millio","content":"<p>Chinese e-commerce platform Pinduoduo Inc missed Wall Street expectations for quarterly revenue on Tuesday, hit by tough competition from larger rivals like Alibaba and JD.Com to tap into the pandemic-driven online shopping surge.</p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务平台拼多多周二的季度收入未达华尔街预期，受到阿里巴巴-SW和京东等大型竞争对手的激烈竞争，以利用疫情推动的在线购物激增。</blockquote></p><p> Total revenue was 23.05 billion yuan ($3.56 billion)in the second quarter ended June 30. Analysts on average expected revenue of 26.44 billion yuan, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>截至 6 月 30 日的第二季度总收入为 230.5 亿元人民币（35.6 亿美元）。根据路孚特的 IBES 数据，分析师平均预期营收为 264.4 亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216296953172882%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Q2 2021 Pinduoduo Inc Earnings Conference Call</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216296953172882%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\">2021 年第二季度拼多多公司收益电话会议</a></blockquote></p><p> <b>Second Quarter 2021 Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021 年第二季度亮点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Total revenues</b>&nbsp;in the quarter were&nbsp;RMB23,046.2 million(US$3,569.4 million), an increase of 89% from&nbsp;RMB12,193.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Average monthly active users</b>&nbsp;in the quarter was 738.5 million, an increase of 30% from 568.8 million in the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Active buyers</b>&nbsp;in the twelve-month period endedJune 30, 2021was 849.9 million, an increase of 24% from 683.2 million in the twelve-month period endedJune 30, 2020.</li>  <li><b>Operating profit</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB1,997.5 million(US$309.4 million), compared with operating loss ofRMB1,639.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP&nbsp;operating profit</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB3,185.2 million(US$493.3 million), compared with non-GAAP operating loss ofRMB725.1 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Net income attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB2,414.6 million(US$374.0 million), compared with net loss ofRMB899.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB4,125.3 million(US$638.9 million), compared with non-GAAP net loss ofRMB77.2 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li> </ul> Pinduoduo&nbsp;shares&nbsp;were back to $84.01, up 3.6%.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>收入总额</b>本季度营业额为人民币230.462亿元（35.694亿美元），较2020年同季度的人民币121.933亿元增长89%。</li><li><b>平均月活跃用户</b>本季度为 7.385 亿美元，比 2020 年同季度的 5.688 亿美元增长 30%。</li><li><b>活跃买家</b>截至2021年6月30日止12个月期间为8.499亿美元，较截至2020年6月30日止12个月期间的6.832亿美元增长24%。</li><li><b>营业溢利</b>该季度的运营亏损为人民币 19.975 亿元（3.094 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度的运营亏损为人民币 16.396 亿元。<b>非 GAAP 营业利润</b>本季度亏损为人民币 31.852 亿元（4.933 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度非 GAAP 运营亏损为人民币 7.251 亿元。</li><li><b>归属于普通股股东的净利润</b>本季度净亏损为人民币24.146亿元（3.74亿美元），而2020年同季度净亏损为人民币8.993亿元。<b>非公认会计准则归属于普通股股东的净利润</b>本季度净亏损为人民币 41.253 亿元（6.389 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度非 GAAP 净亏损为人民币 7,720 万元。</li></ul>拼多多股价回升至 84.01 美元，上涨 3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef551e259866b07f824d1785781e3b7\" tg-width=\"892\" tg-height=\"637\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “Agriculture has long been at the core of Pinduoduo’s corporate mission and strategy and the '10 Billion Agriculture Initiative' we announced today is a way for us to deepen our support for agricultural modernization and rural vitalization,” saidLei Chen, Chairman and CEO ofPinduoduo, who will oversee the initiative. “Investing in agriculture pays off for everyone because agriculture is the nexus of food security and quality, public health and environmental sustainability.”</p><p><blockquote>“农业长期以来一直是拼多多企业使命和战略的核心，我们今天宣布的'百亿农业计划'是我们深化对农业现代化和乡村振兴支持的一种方式，”将负责监督该计划的拼多多董事长兼首席执行官陈磊说。“投资农业对每个人都有好处，因为农业是粮食安全和质量、公共健康和环境可持续性的纽带”。</blockquote></p><p> “We continued to deliver strong execution in the quarter. Our total revenues, excluding contribution from merchandise sales, for the second quarter 2021 increased 73% from the prior year,” saidTony Ma, Vice President of Finance ofPinduoduo. “Agriculture remains our strategic priority, and we are committed to patient and continued investment in agriculture.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们在本季度继续保持强劲的执行力。2021 年第二季度，我们的总收入（不包括商品销售的贡献）比上年同期增长了 73%，”拼多多财务副总裁 Tony Ma 说。“农业仍然是我们的战略重点，我们致力于耐心和持续地投资农业。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Second Quarter 2021 Unaudited Financial Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年第二季度未经审计财务业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Total revenues</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB23,046.2 million(US$3,569.4 million), an increase of 89% fromRMB12,193.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020. The increase was primarily due to an increase in revenues from online marketing services.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入总额</b>为人民币23,046.2百万元（3,569.4百万美元），较2020年同季度的人民币12,193.3百万元增长89%。该增加主要是由于在线营销服务收入增加所致。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Revenues from online marketing services and others</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB18,080.4 million(US$2,800.3 million), an increase of 64% fromRMB11,054.7 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Revenues from transaction services</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB3,007.6 million(US$465.8 million), an increase of 164% fromRMB1,138.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Revenues from merchandise sales</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB1,958.2 million(US$303.3 million), an increase ofRMB1,958.2 millionfrom nil in the same quarter of 2020.</li> </ul> <b>Total costs of revenues</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB7,897.9 million(US$1,223.2 million), an increase of 197% fromRMB2,662.1 millionin the same quarter of 2020. The increase was mainly due to costs attributable to merchandise sales, higher cost of payment processing fees, cloud services fees, and delivery and storage fees.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>来自在线营销服务及其他的收入</b>为人民币18,080.4百万元（2,800.3百万美元），较2020年同季度的人民币11,054.7百万元增长64%。</li><li><b>交易服务收入</b>为人民币30.076亿元（4.658亿美元），较2020年同季度的人民币11.386亿元增长164%。</li><li><b>商品销售收入</b>为人民币1,958.2百万元（3.033亿美元），较2020年同一季度的零增加人民币1,958.2百万元。</li></ul><b>收入总成本</b>为人民币78.979亿元（12.232亿美元），较2020年同一季度的人民币26.621亿元增长197%。该增加主要由于商品销售应占成本、支付处理费、云服务费以及交付和仓储费成本上升所致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Total operating expenses</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB13,150.9 million(US$2,036.8 million), compared withRMB11,170.8 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>营运开支总额</b>为人民币13,150.9百万元（2,036.8百万美元），而2020年同季度为人民币111,170.8百万元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Sales and marketing expenses</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB10,387.9 million(US$1,608.9 million), an increase of 14% fromRMB9,113.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020, mainly due to an increase in promotion and coupon expenses.</li>  <li><b>General and administrative expenses</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB434.2 million(US$67.2 million), an increase of 10% fromRMB394.8 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Research and development expenses</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB2,328.8 million(US$360.7 million), an increase of 40% fromRMB1,662.4 millionin the same quarter of 2020. The increase was primarily due to an increase in headcount and the recruitment of more experienced R&amp;D personnel and an increase in R&amp;D-related cloud services expenses.</li> </ul> <b>Operating profit</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB1,997.5 million(US$309.4 million), compared with operating loss ofRMB1,639.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP operating profit</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB3,185.2 million(US$493.3 million), compared with non-GAAP operating loss ofRMB725.1 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>销售及市场推广开支</b>为人民币10,387.9百万元（1,608.9百万美元），较二零二零年同季度的人民币9,113.6百万元增长14%，主要由于促销及优惠券开支增加所致。</li><li><b>一般及行政开支</b>为人民币4.342亿元（6720万美元），较2020年同季度的人民币3.948亿元增长10%。</li><li><b>研发开支</b>为人民币2,328.8百万元（3.607亿美元），较2020年同一季度的人民币1,662.4百万元增长40%。该增加主要由于员工人数增加及招聘更多经验丰富的研发人员以及研发相关云服务开支增加所致。</li></ul><b>营业溢利</b>该季度的经营亏损为人民币 19.975 亿元（3.094 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度的经营亏损为人民币 16.396 亿元。<b>非 GAAP 营业利润</b>本季度亏损为人民币 31.852 亿元（4.933 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度非 GAAP 运营亏损为人民币 7.251 亿元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Net income attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB2,414.6 million(US$374.0 million), compared with net loss ofRMB899.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB4,125.3 million(US$638.9 million), compared with non-GAAP net loss ofRMB77.2 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>归属于普通股股东的净利润</b>本季度净亏损为人民币24.146亿元（3.74亿美元），而2020年同季度净亏损为人民币8.993亿元。<b>非公认会计准则归属于普通股股东的净利润</b>本季度净亏损为人民币 41.253 亿元（6.389 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度非 GAAP 净亏损为人民币 7,720 万元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Basic earnings per ADS</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB1.93(US$0.30) and&nbsp;<b>diluted earnings per ADS</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB1.69(US$0.27), compared with basic and diluted net loss per ADS ofRMB0.75in the same quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP diluted earnings per ADS</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB2.85(US$0.44), compared with non-GAAP diluted net loss per ADS ofRMB0.06in the same quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>每股广告基本收益</b>为人民币1.93元（0.30美元）及<b>每股美国存托凭证摊薄收益</b>为人民币 1.69 元（0.27 美元），而 2020 年同季度每股美国存托凭证的基本和摊薄净亏损为人民币 0.75 元。<b>非 GAAP 稀释每股 ADS 收益</b>为人民币 2.85 元（0.44 美元），而 2020 年同季度非 GAAP 摊薄每股美国存托凭证净亏损为人民币 0.06 元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Net cash flow provided by operating activities</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB7,371.2 million(US$1,141.7 million), compared withRMB5,495.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020, primarily due to an increase in online marketing services revenues.</p><p><blockquote><b>经营活动提供的现金流量净额</b>营业额为人民币 7,371.2 百万元（1,141.7 百万美元），而 2020 年同季度为人民币 5,495.3 百万元，主要由于在线营销服务收入增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments</b>were&nbsp;RMB&nbsp;92.2 billion(US$14.3 billion) as ofJune 30, 2021, compared withRMB87.0 billionas ofDecember 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>现金、现金等价物及短期投资</b>截至2021年6月30日为人民币922亿元（143亿美元），而截至2020年12月31日为人民币870亿元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Development</b></p><p><blockquote><b>近期发展</b></blockquote></p><p> As ofJuly 31, 2021,US$773.7 millionof the 0% convertible bonds due in 2024 have been converted into newly issued ADSs.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年7月31日，2024年到期的0%可换股债券中的7.737亿美元已转换为新发行的美国存托凭证。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China's Pinduoduo misses quarterly revenue expectations<blockquote>中国拼多多未达季度收入预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina's Pinduoduo misses quarterly revenue expectations<blockquote>中国拼多多未达季度收入预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-24 19:24</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Chinese e-commerce platform Pinduoduo Inc missed Wall Street expectations for quarterly revenue on Tuesday, hit by tough competition from larger rivals like Alibaba and JD.Com to tap into the pandemic-driven online shopping surge.</p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务平台拼多多周二的季度收入未达华尔街预期，受到阿里巴巴-SW和京东等大型竞争对手的激烈竞争，以利用疫情推动的在线购物激增。</blockquote></p><p> Total revenue was 23.05 billion yuan ($3.56 billion)in the second quarter ended June 30. Analysts on average expected revenue of 26.44 billion yuan, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>截至 6 月 30 日的第二季度总收入为 230.5 亿元人民币（35.6 亿美元）。根据路孚特的 IBES 数据，分析师平均预期营收为 264.4 亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216296953172882%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Q2 2021 Pinduoduo Inc Earnings Conference Call</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216296953172882%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\">2021 年第二季度拼多多公司收益电话会议</a></blockquote></p><p> <b>Second Quarter 2021 Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021 年第二季度亮点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Total revenues</b>&nbsp;in the quarter were&nbsp;RMB23,046.2 million(US$3,569.4 million), an increase of 89% from&nbsp;RMB12,193.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Average monthly active users</b>&nbsp;in the quarter was 738.5 million, an increase of 30% from 568.8 million in the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Active buyers</b>&nbsp;in the twelve-month period endedJune 30, 2021was 849.9 million, an increase of 24% from 683.2 million in the twelve-month period endedJune 30, 2020.</li>  <li><b>Operating profit</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB1,997.5 million(US$309.4 million), compared with operating loss ofRMB1,639.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP&nbsp;operating profit</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB3,185.2 million(US$493.3 million), compared with non-GAAP operating loss ofRMB725.1 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Net income attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB2,414.6 million(US$374.0 million), compared with net loss ofRMB899.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB4,125.3 million(US$638.9 million), compared with non-GAAP net loss ofRMB77.2 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li> </ul> Pinduoduo&nbsp;shares&nbsp;were back to $84.01, up 3.6%.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>收入总额</b>本季度营业额为人民币230.462亿元（35.694亿美元），较2020年同季度的人民币121.933亿元增长89%。</li><li><b>平均月活跃用户</b>本季度为 7.385 亿美元，比 2020 年同季度的 5.688 亿美元增长 30%。</li><li><b>活跃买家</b>截至2021年6月30日止12个月期间为8.499亿美元，较截至2020年6月30日止12个月期间的6.832亿美元增长24%。</li><li><b>营业溢利</b>该季度的运营亏损为人民币 19.975 亿元（3.094 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度的运营亏损为人民币 16.396 亿元。<b>非 GAAP 营业利润</b>本季度亏损为人民币 31.852 亿元（4.933 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度非 GAAP 运营亏损为人民币 7.251 亿元。</li><li><b>归属于普通股股东的净利润</b>本季度净亏损为人民币24.146亿元（3.74亿美元），而2020年同季度净亏损为人民币8.993亿元。<b>非公认会计准则归属于普通股股东的净利润</b>本季度净亏损为人民币 41.253 亿元（6.389 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度非 GAAP 净亏损为人民币 7,720 万元。</li></ul>拼多多股价回升至 84.01 美元，上涨 3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef551e259866b07f824d1785781e3b7\" tg-width=\"892\" tg-height=\"637\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “Agriculture has long been at the core of Pinduoduo’s corporate mission and strategy and the '10 Billion Agriculture Initiative' we announced today is a way for us to deepen our support for agricultural modernization and rural vitalization,” saidLei Chen, Chairman and CEO ofPinduoduo, who will oversee the initiative. “Investing in agriculture pays off for everyone because agriculture is the nexus of food security and quality, public health and environmental sustainability.”</p><p><blockquote>“农业长期以来一直是拼多多企业使命和战略的核心，我们今天宣布的'百亿农业计划'是我们深化对农业现代化和乡村振兴支持的一种方式，”将负责监督该计划的拼多多董事长兼首席执行官陈磊说。“投资农业对每个人都有好处，因为农业是粮食安全和质量、公共健康和环境可持续性的纽带”。</blockquote></p><p> “We continued to deliver strong execution in the quarter. Our total revenues, excluding contribution from merchandise sales, for the second quarter 2021 increased 73% from the prior year,” saidTony Ma, Vice President of Finance ofPinduoduo. “Agriculture remains our strategic priority, and we are committed to patient and continued investment in agriculture.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们在本季度继续保持强劲的执行力。2021 年第二季度，我们的总收入（不包括商品销售的贡献）比上年同期增长了 73%，”拼多多财务副总裁 Tony Ma 说。“农业仍然是我们的战略重点，我们致力于耐心和持续地投资农业。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Second Quarter 2021 Unaudited Financial Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年第二季度未经审计财务业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Total revenues</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB23,046.2 million(US$3,569.4 million), an increase of 89% fromRMB12,193.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020. The increase was primarily due to an increase in revenues from online marketing services.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入总额</b>为人民币23,046.2百万元（3,569.4百万美元），较2020年同季度的人民币12,193.3百万元增长89%。该增加主要是由于在线营销服务收入增加所致。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Revenues from online marketing services and others</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB18,080.4 million(US$2,800.3 million), an increase of 64% fromRMB11,054.7 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Revenues from transaction services</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB3,007.6 million(US$465.8 million), an increase of 164% fromRMB1,138.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Revenues from merchandise sales</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB1,958.2 million(US$303.3 million), an increase ofRMB1,958.2 millionfrom nil in the same quarter of 2020.</li> </ul> <b>Total costs of revenues</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB7,897.9 million(US$1,223.2 million), an increase of 197% fromRMB2,662.1 millionin the same quarter of 2020. The increase was mainly due to costs attributable to merchandise sales, higher cost of payment processing fees, cloud services fees, and delivery and storage fees.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>来自在线营销服务及其他的收入</b>为人民币18,080.4百万元（2,800.3百万美元），较2020年同季度的人民币11,054.7百万元增长64%。</li><li><b>交易服务收入</b>为人民币30.076亿元（4.658亿美元），较2020年同季度的人民币11.386亿元增长164%。</li><li><b>商品销售收入</b>为人民币1,958.2百万元（3.033亿美元），较2020年同一季度的零增加人民币1,958.2百万元。</li></ul><b>收入总成本</b>为人民币78.979亿元（12.232亿美元），较2020年同一季度的人民币26.621亿元增长197%。该增加主要由于商品销售应占成本、支付处理费、云服务费以及交付和仓储费成本上升所致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Total operating expenses</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB13,150.9 million(US$2,036.8 million), compared withRMB11,170.8 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>营运开支总额</b>为人民币13,150.9百万元（2,036.8百万美元），而2020年同季度为人民币111,170.8百万元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Sales and marketing expenses</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB10,387.9 million(US$1,608.9 million), an increase of 14% fromRMB9,113.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020, mainly due to an increase in promotion and coupon expenses.</li>  <li><b>General and administrative expenses</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB434.2 million(US$67.2 million), an increase of 10% fromRMB394.8 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</li>  <li><b>Research and development expenses</b>&nbsp;were&nbsp;RMB2,328.8 million(US$360.7 million), an increase of 40% fromRMB1,662.4 millionin the same quarter of 2020. The increase was primarily due to an increase in headcount and the recruitment of more experienced R&amp;D personnel and an increase in R&amp;D-related cloud services expenses.</li> </ul> <b>Operating profit</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB1,997.5 million(US$309.4 million), compared with operating loss ofRMB1,639.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP operating profit</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB3,185.2 million(US$493.3 million), compared with non-GAAP operating loss ofRMB725.1 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>销售及市场推广开支</b>为人民币10,387.9百万元（1,608.9百万美元），较二零二零年同季度的人民币9,113.6百万元增长14%，主要由于促销及优惠券开支增加所致。</li><li><b>一般及行政开支</b>为人民币4.342亿元（6720万美元），较2020年同季度的人民币3.948亿元增长10%。</li><li><b>研发开支</b>为人民币2,328.8百万元（3.607亿美元），较2020年同一季度的人民币1,662.4百万元增长40%。该增加主要由于员工人数增加及招聘更多经验丰富的研发人员以及研发相关云服务开支增加所致。</li></ul><b>营业溢利</b>该季度的经营亏损为人民币 19.975 亿元（3.094 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度的经营亏损为人民币 16.396 亿元。<b>非 GAAP 营业利润</b>本季度亏损为人民币 31.852 亿元（4.933 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度非 GAAP 运营亏损为人民币 7.251 亿元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Net income attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB2,414.6 million(US$374.0 million), compared with net loss ofRMB899.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders</b>&nbsp;in the quarter wasRMB4,125.3 million(US$638.9 million), compared with non-GAAP net loss ofRMB77.2 millionin the same quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>归属于普通股股东的净利润</b>本季度净亏损为人民币24.146亿元（3.74亿美元），而2020年同季度净亏损为人民币8.993亿元。<b>非公认会计准则归属于普通股股东的净利润</b>本季度净亏损为人民币 41.253 亿元（6.389 亿美元），而 2020 年同季度非 GAAP 净亏损为人民币 7,720 万元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Basic earnings per ADS</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB1.93(US$0.30) and&nbsp;<b>diluted earnings per ADS</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB1.69(US$0.27), compared with basic and diluted net loss per ADS ofRMB0.75in the same quarter of 2020.<b>Non-GAAP diluted earnings per ADS</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB2.85(US$0.44), compared with non-GAAP diluted net loss per ADS ofRMB0.06in the same quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>每股广告基本收益</b>为人民币1.93元（0.30美元）及<b>每股美国存托凭证摊薄收益</b>为人民币 1.69 元（0.27 美元），而 2020 年同季度每股美国存托凭证的基本和摊薄净亏损为人民币 0.75 元。<b>非 GAAP 稀释每股 ADS 收益</b>为人民币 2.85 元（0.44 美元），而 2020 年同季度非 GAAP 摊薄每股美国存托凭证净亏损为人民币 0.06 元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Net cash flow provided by operating activities</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB7,371.2 million(US$1,141.7 million), compared withRMB5,495.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020, primarily due to an increase in online marketing services revenues.</p><p><blockquote><b>经营活动提供的现金流量净额</b>营业额为人民币 7,371.2 百万元（1,141.7 百万美元），而 2020 年同季度为人民币 5,495.3 百万元，主要由于在线营销服务收入增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments</b>were&nbsp;RMB&nbsp;92.2 billion(US$14.3 billion) as ofJune 30, 2021, compared withRMB87.0 billionas ofDecember 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>现金、现金等价物及短期投资</b>截至2021年6月30日为人民币922亿元（143亿美元），而截至2020年12月31日为人民币870亿元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Development</b></p><p><blockquote><b>近期发展</b></blockquote></p><p> As ofJuly 31, 2021,US$773.7 millionof the 0% convertible bonds due in 2024 have been converted into newly issued ADSs.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年7月31日，2024年到期的0%可换股债券中的7.737亿美元已转换为新发行的美国存托凭证。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PDD":"拼多多"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194470972","content_text":"Chinese e-commerce platform Pinduoduo Inc missed Wall Street expectations for quarterly revenue on Tuesday, hit by tough competition from larger rivals like Alibaba and JD.Com to tap into the pandemic-driven online shopping surge.\nTotal revenue was 23.05 billion yuan ($3.56 billion)in the second quarter ended June 30. Analysts on average expected revenue of 26.44 billion yuan, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.\nQ2 2021 Pinduoduo Inc Earnings Conference Call\nSecond Quarter 2021 Highlights\n\nTotal revenues in the quarter were RMB23,046.2 million(US$3,569.4 million), an increase of 89% from RMB12,193.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020.\nAverage monthly active users in the quarter was 738.5 million, an increase of 30% from 568.8 million in the same quarter of 2020.\nActive buyers in the twelve-month period endedJune 30, 2021was 849.9 million, an increase of 24% from 683.2 million in the twelve-month period endedJune 30, 2020.\nOperating profit in the quarter wasRMB1,997.5 million(US$309.4 million), compared with operating loss ofRMB1,639.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP operating profit in the quarter wasRMB3,185.2 million(US$493.3 million), compared with non-GAAP operating loss ofRMB725.1 millionin the same quarter of 2020.\nNet income attributable to ordinary shareholders in the quarter wasRMB2,414.6 million(US$374.0 million), compared with net loss ofRMB899.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders in the quarter wasRMB4,125.3 million(US$638.9 million), compared with non-GAAP net loss ofRMB77.2 millionin the same quarter of 2020.\n\nPinduoduo shares were back to $84.01, up 3.6%.\n\n“Agriculture has long been at the core of Pinduoduo’s corporate mission and strategy and the '10 Billion Agriculture Initiative' we announced today is a way for us to deepen our support for agricultural modernization and rural vitalization,” saidLei Chen, Chairman and CEO ofPinduoduo, who will oversee the initiative. “Investing in agriculture pays off for everyone because agriculture is the nexus of food security and quality, public health and environmental sustainability.”\n“We continued to deliver strong execution in the quarter. Our total revenues, excluding contribution from merchandise sales, for the second quarter 2021 increased 73% from the prior year,” saidTony Ma, Vice President of Finance ofPinduoduo. “Agriculture remains our strategic priority, and we are committed to patient and continued investment in agriculture.”\nSecond Quarter 2021 Unaudited Financial Results\nTotal revenues were RMB23,046.2 million(US$3,569.4 million), an increase of 89% fromRMB12,193.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020. The increase was primarily due to an increase in revenues from online marketing services.\n\nRevenues from online marketing services and others were RMB18,080.4 million(US$2,800.3 million), an increase of 64% fromRMB11,054.7 millionin the same quarter of 2020.\nRevenues from transaction services were RMB3,007.6 million(US$465.8 million), an increase of 164% fromRMB1,138.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020.\nRevenues from merchandise sales were RMB1,958.2 million(US$303.3 million), an increase ofRMB1,958.2 millionfrom nil in the same quarter of 2020.\n\nTotal costs of revenues were RMB7,897.9 million(US$1,223.2 million), an increase of 197% fromRMB2,662.1 millionin the same quarter of 2020. The increase was mainly due to costs attributable to merchandise sales, higher cost of payment processing fees, cloud services fees, and delivery and storage fees.\nTotal operating expenses were RMB13,150.9 million(US$2,036.8 million), compared withRMB11,170.8 millionin the same quarter of 2020.\n\nSales and marketing expenses were RMB10,387.9 million(US$1,608.9 million), an increase of 14% fromRMB9,113.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020, mainly due to an increase in promotion and coupon expenses.\nGeneral and administrative expenses were RMB434.2 million(US$67.2 million), an increase of 10% fromRMB394.8 millionin the same quarter of 2020.\nResearch and development expenses were RMB2,328.8 million(US$360.7 million), an increase of 40% fromRMB1,662.4 millionin the same quarter of 2020. The increase was primarily due to an increase in headcount and the recruitment of more experienced R&D personnel and an increase in R&D-related cloud services expenses.\n\nOperating profit in the quarter wasRMB1,997.5 million(US$309.4 million), compared with operating loss ofRMB1,639.6 millionin the same quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP operating profit in the quarter wasRMB3,185.2 million(US$493.3 million), compared with non-GAAP operating loss ofRMB725.1 millionin the same quarter of 2020.\nNet income attributable to ordinary shareholders in the quarter wasRMB2,414.6 million(US$374.0 million), compared with net loss ofRMB899.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders in the quarter wasRMB4,125.3 million(US$638.9 million), compared with non-GAAP net loss ofRMB77.2 millionin the same quarter of 2020.\nBasic earnings per ADS was RMB1.93(US$0.30) and diluted earnings per ADS was RMB1.69(US$0.27), compared with basic and diluted net loss per ADS ofRMB0.75in the same quarter of 2020.Non-GAAP diluted earnings per ADS was RMB2.85(US$0.44), compared with non-GAAP diluted net loss per ADS ofRMB0.06in the same quarter of 2020.\nNet cash flow provided by operating activities was RMB7,371.2 million(US$1,141.7 million), compared withRMB5,495.3 millionin the same quarter of 2020, primarily due to an increase in online marketing services revenues.\nCash, cash equivalents and short-term investmentswere RMB 92.2 billion(US$14.3 billion) as ofJune 30, 2021, compared withRMB87.0 billionas ofDecember 31, 2020.\nRecent Development\nAs ofJuly 31, 2021,US$773.7 millionof the 0% convertible bonds due in 2024 have been converted into newly issued ADSs.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PDD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835649116,"gmtCreate":1629715190035,"gmtModify":1631885254414,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835649116","repostId":"1186102585","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836440812,"gmtCreate":1629517798636,"gmtModify":1631888919451,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"No momentum&nbsp;","listText":"No momentum&nbsp;","text":"No momentum","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836440812","repostId":"1109225960","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109225960","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629468163,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109225960?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 22:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some China concepts stocks are expanding gains further in morning trading<blockquote>一些中国概念股在早盘交易中进一步扩大涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109225960","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 20) Some China concepts stocks are expanding gains further in morning trading.","content":"<p>(Aug 20)&nbsp;Some China concepts stocks are&nbsp;expanding gains&nbsp;further&nbsp;in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（8月20日）部分中国概念股早盘进一步扩大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e64db039d0bb529359ffe7f1c881899\" tg-width=\"279\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Some China concepts stocks are expanding gains further in morning trading<blockquote>一些中国概念股在早盘交易中进一步扩大涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome China concepts stocks are expanding gains further in morning trading<blockquote>一些中国概念股在早盘交易中进一步扩大涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-20 22:02</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 20)&nbsp;Some China concepts stocks are&nbsp;expanding gains&nbsp;further&nbsp;in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（8月20日）部分中国概念股早盘进一步扩大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e64db039d0bb529359ffe7f1c881899\" tg-width=\"279\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109225960","content_text":"(Aug 20) Some China concepts stocks are expanding gains further in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836167213,"gmtCreate":1629466203132,"gmtModify":1631888919460,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Sure?","listText":"Sure?","text":"Sure?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836167213","repostId":"2160971198","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831130657,"gmtCreate":1629294098479,"gmtModify":1631888919476,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831130657","repostId":"1173506975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173506975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629293513,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173506975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 21:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes<blockquote>由于华尔街关注美联储会议纪要，美国股市周三开盘走低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173506975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed roughly 120 points, or 0.3%, after it snapped a 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. The S&P 500 fell 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite traded near the flatline.The Federal Reserve publishes its meeting minutes from its July gathering at 2 p.m. ET. Market participants will be looking for clues about when the central bank could start dialing back its monthly bond buying program.Since that July meeting, there’s been growing support within the Fed to announce a taperin","content":"<p>(Aug 18)&nbsp;U.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes.</p><p><blockquote>（8月18日）美国由于华尔街关注美联储会议纪要，周三股市开盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed roughly 120 points, or 0.3%, after it snapped a 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. The S&amp;P 500 fell 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite traded near the flatline.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数在周二结束了连续5天的上涨势头后，下跌约120点，跌幅0.3%。标普500指数下跌 0.2%，纳斯达克综合指数接近持平线。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve publishes its meeting minutes from its July gathering at 2 p.m. ET. Market participants will be looking for clues about when the central bank could start dialing back its monthly bond buying program.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于美国东部时间下午 2 点公布 7 月会议的会议纪要。市场参与者将寻找有关央行何时开始缩减每月债券购买计划的线索。</blockquote></p><p> Since that July meeting, there’s been growing support within the Fed to&nbsp;announce a tapering in September&nbsp;and begin it in October. The&nbsp;10-year Treasury yield&nbsp;inched slightly higher to 1.28% on Wednesday ahead of the release.</p><p><blockquote>自 7 月份会议以来，美联储内部越来越支持在 9 月份宣布缩减规模，并在 10 月份开始缩减规模。周三，10 年期国债收益率在发布前小幅走高至 1.28%。</blockquote></p><p> Housing starts fell 7% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.534 million units, well below economists’ expectations.</p><p><blockquote>7 月份新屋开工率下降 7%，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 153.4 万套，远低于经济学家的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also waded through more major retail earnings reports.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还仔细阅读了更多主要的零售收益报告。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Target pulled back even after&nbsp;beating on second-quarter earnings. The retailer’s profit and revenue topped expectations and the company raised its forecast for the second half of the year, citing a good start to back-to-school spending. Target shares were up 44% this year through Tuesday, so some investors may be taking profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管第二季度盈利超出预期，塔吉特股价仍回落。该零售商的利润和收入超出了预期，公司上调了对下半年的预测，理由是返校支出有了良好的开端。截至周二，目标股价今年上涨了 44%，因此一些投资者可能会获利了结。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Lowe’s jumped more than 3% after&nbsp;earnings last quarter topped expectations, with higher sales to home professionals.</p><p><blockquote>劳氏上季度盈利超出预期，对家居专业人士的销售额增加，股价大涨 3% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> ViacomCBS shares popped around 2% after Wells Fargo&nbsp;upgraded the stock, saying it can soar more than 50% on the back of strong streaming growth and possible industry consolidation.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行上调维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司股价后，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司 (ViacomCBS) 股价上涨约 2%，称在强劲的流媒体增长和可能的行业整合的推动下，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司 (ViacomCBS) 股价可能飙升 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock market is way overdue for a correction. Covid cases continue to spike higher darkening economic reopenings, consumer data shockingly has collapsed recently — including consumer confidence last Friday and retail sales and homebuilders’ sentiment [Tuesday] — several stocks have stopped reacting positively to good earnings, inflation reports remain hot, and Federal Reserve taper talk is everywhere,” Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group, said.</p><p><blockquote>“股市早就该回调了。Covid 病例继续加剧经济重新开放的阴影，消费者数据最近令人震惊地暴跌--包括上周五的消费者信心以及（周二）的零售销售和住宅建筑商情绪--一些股票已经停止对良好的盈利做出积极反应，通胀报告依然火爆，美联储缩减开支的言论无处不在，”Leuthold Group 首席投资策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes<blockquote>由于华尔街关注美联储会议纪要，美国股市周三开盘走低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes<blockquote>由于华尔街关注美联储会议纪要，美国股市周三开盘走低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-18 21:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 18)&nbsp;U.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes.</p><p><blockquote>（8月18日）美国由于华尔街关注美联储会议纪要，周三股市开盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed roughly 120 points, or 0.3%, after it snapped a 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. The S&amp;P 500 fell 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite traded near the flatline.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数在周二结束了连续5天的上涨势头后，下跌约120点，跌幅0.3%。标普500指数下跌 0.2%，纳斯达克综合指数接近持平线。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve publishes its meeting minutes from its July gathering at 2 p.m. ET. Market participants will be looking for clues about when the central bank could start dialing back its monthly bond buying program.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于美国东部时间下午 2 点公布 7 月会议的会议纪要。市场参与者将寻找有关央行何时开始缩减每月债券购买计划的线索。</blockquote></p><p> Since that July meeting, there’s been growing support within the Fed to&nbsp;announce a tapering in September&nbsp;and begin it in October. The&nbsp;10-year Treasury yield&nbsp;inched slightly higher to 1.28% on Wednesday ahead of the release.</p><p><blockquote>自 7 月份会议以来，美联储内部越来越支持在 9 月份宣布缩减规模，并在 10 月份开始缩减规模。周三，10 年期国债收益率在发布前小幅走高至 1.28%。</blockquote></p><p> Housing starts fell 7% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.534 million units, well below economists’ expectations.</p><p><blockquote>7 月份新屋开工率下降 7%，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 153.4 万套，远低于经济学家的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also waded through more major retail earnings reports.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还仔细阅读了更多主要的零售收益报告。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Target pulled back even after&nbsp;beating on second-quarter earnings. The retailer’s profit and revenue topped expectations and the company raised its forecast for the second half of the year, citing a good start to back-to-school spending. Target shares were up 44% this year through Tuesday, so some investors may be taking profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管第二季度盈利超出预期，塔吉特股价仍回落。该零售商的利润和收入超出了预期，公司上调了对下半年的预测，理由是返校支出有了良好的开端。截至周二，目标股价今年上涨了 44%，因此一些投资者可能会获利了结。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Lowe’s jumped more than 3% after&nbsp;earnings last quarter topped expectations, with higher sales to home professionals.</p><p><blockquote>劳氏上季度盈利超出预期，对家居专业人士的销售额增加，股价大涨 3% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> ViacomCBS shares popped around 2% after Wells Fargo&nbsp;upgraded the stock, saying it can soar more than 50% on the back of strong streaming growth and possible industry consolidation.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行上调维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司股价后，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司 (ViacomCBS) 股价上涨约 2%，称在强劲的流媒体增长和可能的行业整合的推动下，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司 (ViacomCBS) 股价可能飙升 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock market is way overdue for a correction. Covid cases continue to spike higher darkening economic reopenings, consumer data shockingly has collapsed recently — including consumer confidence last Friday and retail sales and homebuilders’ sentiment [Tuesday] — several stocks have stopped reacting positively to good earnings, inflation reports remain hot, and Federal Reserve taper talk is everywhere,” Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group, said.</p><p><blockquote>“股市早就该回调了。Covid 病例继续加剧经济重新开放的阴影，消费者数据最近令人震惊地暴跌--包括上周五的消费者信心以及（周二）的零售销售和住宅建筑商情绪--一些股票已经停止对良好的盈利做出积极反应，通胀报告依然火爆，美联储缩减开支的言论无处不在，”Leuthold Group 首席投资策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173506975","content_text":"(Aug 18) U.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average shed roughly 120 points, or 0.3%, after it snapped a 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. The S&P 500 fell 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite traded near the flatline.\nThe Federal Reserve publishes its meeting minutes from its July gathering at 2 p.m. ET. Market participants will be looking for clues about when the central bank could start dialing back its monthly bond buying program.\nSince that July meeting, there’s been growing support within the Fed to announce a tapering in September and begin it in October. The 10-year Treasury yield inched slightly higher to 1.28% on Wednesday ahead of the release.\nHousing starts fell 7% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.534 million units, well below economists’ expectations.\nInvestors also waded through more major retail earnings reports.\nShares of Target pulled back even after beating on second-quarter earnings. The retailer’s profit and revenue topped expectations and the company raised its forecast for the second half of the year, citing a good start to back-to-school spending. Target shares were up 44% this year through Tuesday, so some investors may be taking profits.\nShares of Lowe’s jumped more than 3% after earnings last quarter topped expectations, with higher sales to home professionals.\nViacomCBS shares popped around 2% after Wells Fargo upgraded the stock, saying it can soar more than 50% on the back of strong streaming growth and possible industry consolidation.\n“The stock market is way overdue for a correction. Covid cases continue to spike higher darkening economic reopenings, consumer data shockingly has collapsed recently — including consumer confidence last Friday and retail sales and homebuilders’ sentiment [Tuesday] — several stocks have stopped reacting positively to good earnings, inflation reports remain hot, and Federal Reserve taper talk is everywhere,” Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group, said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2722,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833977033,"gmtCreate":1629202160622,"gmtModify":1631888919485,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Opps","listText":"Opps","text":"Opps","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833977033","repostId":"2160209556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839987510,"gmtCreate":1629117074230,"gmtModify":1631888919502,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"So much","listText":"So much","text":"So much","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839987510","repostId":"1137437693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137437693","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629116844,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137437693?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 20:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称 3 只飞涨的股票可能下跌 53% 至 84%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137437693","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/o","content":"<p>  Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>分析师预计这些飙升的股票将重回地球。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>  <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li> </ul> It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>疫情和/或空头挤压在2021年对这三家公司很好。</li><li>尽管华尔街的价格目标往往可以持怀疑态度，但这些目标可能是正确的。</li></ul>现在是成为投资者的好时机。在随后的近17个月里<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">标普500</a></b>该指数在 2020 年 3 月冠状病毒崩盘期间触底，但其价值已翻了一番。耐心一次又一次地在华尔街带来利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p><p><blockquote>然而，众所周知，并非每只股票都会成为赢家。根据华尔街分析师和投资公司的说法，根据每家公司的一致目标价，有三只飞涨的股票在未来一年可能会损失 53% 至 84% 的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna：隐含下跌 53%</b></blockquote></p><p> First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p><p><blockquote>首先上涨的是飙升的生物技术股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">现代公司。</a></b>自2020年初以来增长了近1,900%。即使从上周盘中高点回落超过 20%，Moderna 的股价仍需再下跌 53%，才能达到 184.92 美元的共识目标价。</blockquote></p><p> As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能猜到的那样，Moderna 一飞冲天的原因是其紧急使用授权 (EUA) 冠状病毒疾病 2019 (COVID-19) 疫苗 mRNA-1273 的成功。在临床试验中，Moderna的候选疫苗导致约94%的疫苗效力（VE）。除了<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>/</b><b>生物技术</b>疫苗的VE为95%，没有其他EUA疫苗在功效方面能与之媲美。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的崛起是 Moderna 的另一大福音。delta的传播性提高了许多发达国家的疫苗接种率，这鼓励了美国。美国食品和药物管理局授权为免疫系统受损的人注射加强针。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Moderna 飙升的股价似乎表明，在 COVID-19 方面好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟，而加强注射将提供比曾经预测的更强大的收入流。</blockquote></p><p> However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Moderna 的估值存在双重问题。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">第一</a>新冠肺炎疫苗接种的竞争正在加剧，而不是减少。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">诺瓦瓦克斯</a></b>在未来几个月内收到 EUA 是一个不错的选择，并且<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>增加单剂疫苗的产量应该不会有任何问题。我们“应受谴责地展望 Moderna 2021 年的收入高峰年”。</blockquote></p><p> The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p><p><blockquote>另一个问题是mRNA-1273是Moderna唯一上市的药物。基于单一疗法的 1570 亿美元市值可能会也可能不会留下 powersounds，风险很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪拉德的：隐含下跌 55%</b></blockquote></p><p> The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>下一只飞涨的股票可能会有点令人惊讶……百货连锁店<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">迪拉德的</a></b>. 8 月 13 日星期五，迪拉德的股价创下 196 美元的历史收盘新高，将其市值推至 40 亿美元以上。但据分析师称，该公司的一致目标价为 87.33 美元，这家百货商店明年可能会降价 55%。</blockquote></p><p> If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想知道为什么 Dillard 的股价在过去一年中上涨了 625%，那么它的运营业绩将是一个很好的开始。该公司在大流行后大幅削减成本，大力推动直接面向消费者的销售，并严格管理库存。如果没有这些繁重的管理费用，利润在过去两个季度绝对飙升，因为被压抑的需求鼓励消费者走出家门，进入零售店。</blockquote></p><p> Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p><p><blockquote>迪拉德在提高股东价值方面也做得很好。在截至 7 月 31 日的 26 周内，该公司回购了约 140 万股股票，总计 1.71 亿美元。这听起来可能不多，但它使公司的流通股数量减少了 6% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，Dillard's 的可交易流通量相对较小，而且它是一只被大量卖空的股票。这种组合使其成为做空的完美目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些积极因素，但投资者必须认识到零售百货商店通常增长缓慢且具有周期性。尽管迪拉德的同比比较令人印象深刻，但其 2021 年 26 周零售额仅比 2019 年同期的 26 周零售额高出 1%。此外，与2019年相比，2021年可比商店销售额仅增长4%。虽然毛利率明显较高，但这更多地与成本削减有关，而不是显着的销售牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p><p><blockquote>尽管迪拉德的挑战华尔街的时间可能比预期的要长一点，但历史表明它没有机会跟上这个步伐。华尔街的价格目标很可能最终会成为现实。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>：隐含下行 84%</b></blockquote></p><p> Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街的一致目标价，电影院股票最具潜在下跌空间<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a></b>尽管它是今年表现最好的股票之一，但 AMC 需要从当前股价下跌 84%，才能达到每股 5.25 美元的共识目标。</blockquote></p><p> AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>一月份，AMC 获得了巨大的提振，当时该公司能够通过发行普通股和债务避免破产。一直押注该公司进一步下跌的卖空者对 AMC 的融资感到措手不及，这导致了恶性的空头挤压。</blockquote></p><p> Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC 热情洋溢的散户投资者有着相同的目标——即看到另一次空头挤压发生。截至7月30日，8585万股被做空，占流通股的近17%。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 及其散户投资者面临的问题是，基本面始终很重要，而 AMC 的经营业绩和资产负债表简直就是一部恐怖电影。虽然影院容量的增加推动了第二季度季度销售额的环比增长，但这并不能成为 AMC 在过去六个月中消耗了 5.765 亿美元现金或距离盈利还有很长的路要走的事实的借口。</blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表是一个更大的问题。截至 6 月底，AMC 拥有 55 亿美元的企业借款，并且还有 4.2 亿美元的递延租金需要支付。随着该公司实际上将股票发行规模扩大，AMC 将被迫依靠其 18.1 亿美元现金和 2.12 亿美元循环信贷额度来履行租金义务并偿还债务。由于其 2026 年和 2027 年债券的面值分别为 58% 和 62%，债券持有人明确表示担心 AMC 将无法保持偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>锦上添花的是，我们目睹了戏剧排他性的减少。例如，AMC 与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">美国电话电报公司</a>华纳兄弟仅提供 45 天的独家时间，低于大流行前传统的 75 天至 90 天的独家时间。</blockquote></p><p> It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p><p><blockquote>这可能需要超过 12 个月的时间，但 AMC 确实有望重返 2 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称 3 只飞涨的股票可能下跌 53% 至 84%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称 3 只飞涨的股票可能下跌 53% 至 84%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-16 20:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>分析师预计这些飙升的股票将重回地球。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>  <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li> </ul> It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>疫情和/或空头挤压在2021年对这三家公司很好。</li><li>尽管华尔街的价格目标往往可以持怀疑态度，但这些目标可能是正确的。</li></ul>现在是成为投资者的好时机。在随后的近17个月里<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">标普500</a></b>该指数在 2020 年 3 月冠状病毒崩盘期间触底，但其价值已翻了一番。耐心一次又一次地在华尔街带来利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p><p><blockquote>然而，众所周知，并非每只股票都会成为赢家。根据华尔街分析师和投资公司的说法，根据每家公司的一致目标价，有三只飞涨的股票在未来一年可能会损失 53% 至 84% 的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna：隐含下跌 53%</b></blockquote></p><p> First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p><p><blockquote>首先上涨的是飙升的生物技术股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">现代公司。</a></b>自2020年初以来增长了近1,900%。即使从上周盘中高点回落超过 20%，Moderna 的股价仍需再下跌 53%，才能达到 184.92 美元的共识目标价。</blockquote></p><p> As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能猜到的那样，Moderna 一飞冲天的原因是其紧急使用授权 (EUA) 冠状病毒疾病 2019 (COVID-19) 疫苗 mRNA-1273 的成功。在临床试验中，Moderna的候选疫苗导致约94%的疫苗效力（VE）。除了<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>/</b><b>生物技术</b>疫苗的VE为95%，没有其他EUA疫苗在功效方面能与之媲美。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的崛起是 Moderna 的另一大福音。delta的传播性提高了许多发达国家的疫苗接种率，这鼓励了美国。美国食品和药物管理局授权为免疫系统受损的人注射加强针。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Moderna 飙升的股价似乎表明，在 COVID-19 方面好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟，而加强注射将提供比曾经预测的更强大的收入流。</blockquote></p><p> However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Moderna 的估值存在双重问题。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">第一</a>新冠肺炎疫苗接种的竞争正在加剧，而不是减少。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">诺瓦瓦克斯</a></b>在未来几个月内收到 EUA 是一个不错的选择，并且<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>增加单剂疫苗的产量应该不会有任何问题。我们“应受谴责地展望 Moderna 2021 年的收入高峰年”。</blockquote></p><p> The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p><p><blockquote>另一个问题是mRNA-1273是Moderna唯一上市的药物。基于单一疗法的 1570 亿美元市值可能会也可能不会留下 powersounds，风险很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪拉德的：隐含下跌 55%</b></blockquote></p><p> The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>下一只飞涨的股票可能会有点令人惊讶……百货连锁店<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">迪拉德的</a></b>. 8 月 13 日星期五，迪拉德的股价创下 196 美元的历史收盘新高，将其市值推至 40 亿美元以上。但据分析师称，该公司的一致目标价为 87.33 美元，这家百货商店明年可能会降价 55%。</blockquote></p><p> If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想知道为什么 Dillard 的股价在过去一年中上涨了 625%，那么它的运营业绩将是一个很好的开始。该公司在大流行后大幅削减成本，大力推动直接面向消费者的销售，并严格管理库存。如果没有这些繁重的管理费用，利润在过去两个季度绝对飙升，因为被压抑的需求鼓励消费者走出家门，进入零售店。</blockquote></p><p> Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p><p><blockquote>迪拉德在提高股东价值方面也做得很好。在截至 7 月 31 日的 26 周内，该公司回购了约 140 万股股票，总计 1.71 亿美元。这听起来可能不多，但它使公司的流通股数量减少了 6% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，Dillard's 的可交易流通量相对较小，而且它是一只被大量卖空的股票。这种组合使其成为做空的完美目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些积极因素，但投资者必须认识到零售百货商店通常增长缓慢且具有周期性。尽管迪拉德的同比比较令人印象深刻，但其 2021 年 26 周零售额仅比 2019 年同期的 26 周零售额高出 1%。此外，与2019年相比，2021年可比商店销售额仅增长4%。虽然毛利率明显较高，但这更多地与成本削减有关，而不是显着的销售牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p><p><blockquote>尽管迪拉德的挑战华尔街的时间可能比预期的要长一点，但历史表明它没有机会跟上这个步伐。华尔街的价格目标很可能最终会成为现实。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>：隐含下行 84%</b></blockquote></p><p> Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街的一致目标价，电影院股票最具潜在下跌空间<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a></b>尽管它是今年表现最好的股票之一，但 AMC 需要从当前股价下跌 84%，才能达到每股 5.25 美元的共识目标。</blockquote></p><p> AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>一月份，AMC 获得了巨大的提振，当时该公司能够通过发行普通股和债务避免破产。一直押注该公司进一步下跌的卖空者对 AMC 的融资感到措手不及，这导致了恶性的空头挤压。</blockquote></p><p> Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC 热情洋溢的散户投资者有着相同的目标——即看到另一次空头挤压发生。截至7月30日，8585万股被做空，占流通股的近17%。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 及其散户投资者面临的问题是，基本面始终很重要，而 AMC 的经营业绩和资产负债表简直就是一部恐怖电影。虽然影院容量的增加推动了第二季度季度销售额的环比增长，但这并不能成为 AMC 在过去六个月中消耗了 5.765 亿美元现金或距离盈利还有很长的路要走的事实的借口。</blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表是一个更大的问题。截至 6 月底，AMC 拥有 55 亿美元的企业借款，并且还有 4.2 亿美元的递延租金需要支付。随着该公司实际上将股票发行规模扩大，AMC 将被迫依靠其 18.1 亿美元现金和 2.12 亿美元循环信贷额度来履行租金义务并偿还债务。由于其 2026 年和 2027 年债券的面值分别为 58% 和 62%，债券持有人明确表示担心 AMC 将无法保持偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>锦上添花的是，我们目睹了戏剧排他性的减少。例如，AMC 与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">美国电话电报公司</a>华纳兄弟仅提供 45 天的独家时间，低于大流行前传统的 75 天至 90 天的独家时间。</blockquote></p><p> It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p><p><blockquote>这可能需要超过 12 个月的时间，但 AMC 确实有望重返 2 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JNJ":"强生","AMC":"AMC院线","DDS":"狄乐百货","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137437693","content_text":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.\nThough Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.\n\nIt's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed S&P 500 bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.\nHowever, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.\nModerna: Implied downside of 53%\nFirst up is skyrocketing biotech stock Moderna, Inc., which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.\nAs you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.\nThe rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.\nUltimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.\nHowever, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. First, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing. Novavax is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and Johnson & Johnson shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.\nThe other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.\nDillard's: Implied downside of 55%\nThe next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain Dillard's. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.\nIf you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.\nDillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.\nIt's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.\nDespite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.\nThough Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.\nAMC Entertainment: Implied downside of 84%\nSporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock AMC Entertainment. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.\nAMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.\nToday, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.\nThe problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.\nThe balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.\nThe icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with AT&T Inc's Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.\nIt may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"DDS":0.9,"JNJ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":976,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830926227,"gmtCreate":1629002670869,"gmtModify":1631888919510,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nvidia [Victory]&nbsp;","listText":"Nvidia [Victory]&nbsp;","text":"Nvidia [Victory]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830926227","repostId":"1138705612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138705612","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628995730,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138705612?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 10:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪只芯片股票最好？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138705612","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.This left ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.</li>  <li>AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.</li>  <li>Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&amp;D, marketing, and pricing.</li>  <li>Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a8f0aee0f3d10db76a1ee18fe604b40\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Andy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>AMD 最近的 CPU 和 GPU 产品与英特尔和英伟达的产品相比更具竞争力。</li><li>事实证明，AMD 的 EPYC 服务器芯片可与某些英特尔芯片媲美甚至更胜一筹，并帮助 AMD 获得了服务器 CPU 市场份额。</li><li>即便如此，英特尔仍然是处理器市场的领导者，在研发、营销和定价方面长期保持着相对于AMD的优势。</li><li>英伟达在 GPU 技术方面领先于 AMD，并正在利用其 GPU 进入人工智能等邻近终端市场。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安迪/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔（INTC）曾经是微芯片行业的罗兹巨像，是摩尔定律力量的丰碑。然而，该公司在 10 纳米工艺方面遇到了困难，最近宣布其 7 纳米工艺将推迟到 2023 年。</blockquote></p><p> This left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.</p><p><blockquote>这为 Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) 敞开了大门，该公司充分利用了这个机会。AMD 已经占据了 CPU 市场的很大份额，并正在进军曾经几乎难以渗透的服务器市场。</blockquote></p><p> AMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 现已连续七个季度实现两位数收入增长，而且该公司似乎正在获得动力：管理层目前预计全年收入增长 60%，高于上一季度预测的 50%。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD 还与英伟达公司（NVDA）竞争，后者的 GPU 技术正在抢走市场份额。NVDA 还成功凭借其 GPU 进入邻近市场，尤其是人工智能和汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Ins And Outs of Intel</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔的来龙去脉</b></blockquote></p><p> An understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.</p><p><blockquote>了解英特尔还可以深入了解 AMD。这是由于两家公司之间的重叠，特别是在x86芯片方面。英特尔在1978年开发了x86芯片。为了满足IBM的要求，即英特尔不会成为芯片的唯一供应商，INTC向AMD提供了x86指令集架构许可。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>因此，英特尔和AMD在PC和服务器市场占据双头垄断地位，因为几乎所有的计算机软件都是为x86架构编写的。结果是，两者都有一条与x86生态系统相关的宽阔护城河。</blockquote></p><p> Gaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.</p><p><blockquote>游戏机尤其基于x86架构，因为这些平台通常提供具有多个计算核心的更强大的CPU和GPU。像个人电脑一样，游戏机运行使用基于x86软件的游戏。这再次扼杀了基于ARM的设备的潜在竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Until fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.</p><p><blockquote>直到最近，作为x86芯片的供应商，AMD还远远落后于INTC。然而，AMD 与台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）合作，利用该制造商的 7 纳米工艺在工艺技术上超越了 INTC。再加上 AMD 开发新的创新芯片设计，这种一举两得的打击导致 INTC 失去了大量市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> At the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop&nbsp;market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5%&nbsp;market&nbsp;share in Q4 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>Q1末，AMD占据x86台式机市场19.30%的份额，同比增长70个基点。第二季度，AMD占据了服务器市场8%的份额，高于2019年第四季度5%的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>尽管遭遇了这些挫折，但将英特尔视为一家垂死的企业似乎还为时过早。INTC是世界上最大的半导体公司之一。该公司主导着服务器市场，仍然占据全球x86 CPU市场60%的份额。</blockquote></p><p> The company has an enormous R&amp;D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>该公司拥有巨额研发预算，并通过收购 Habana Labs、Altera、Movidius 和 Mobileye，正在扩展到新市场，主要是人工智能、现场可编程门阵列芯片和汽车产品。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不应仅仅因为 7 优于 10 就声称英特尔的新 10 纳米芯片不如 7 纳米。虽然它曾经被用来表示芯片设计的技术水平，但它已经被滥用到毫无用处的地步。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，必须承认一些关切。英特尔在智能手机市场落后于竞争对手。随着消费者转向移动设备，随着智能手机取代个人电脑，这可能会导致持续的逆风。另一方面，应该承认的是，随着移动设备和云计算的激增，INTC 的服务器处理器业务也取得了增长。</blockquote></p><p> Intel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔在数据中心领域还面临着来自 AMD 的日益激烈的竞争，以及客户为 CPU 开发自己的基于 ARM 的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Overview of AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD概述</b></blockquote></p><p> In years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几年里，INTC 占据了 x86 市场的最大份额。这在一定程度上要归功于英特尔领先的制造技术，以及 AMD 与不太出色的 GlobalFoundries 签订的晶圆供应协议。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> However, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于三个因素发生了翻天覆地的变化：在创新设计的推动下，AMD将有竞争力的产品推向市场，AMD转向台积电进行生产，英特尔面临反复的制造延迟。下面的两个图表记录了公司取得的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/903df41d5400c9807ff487a75a7e5450\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/331cd14b666f520a62d0746d5fadfa5b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Like Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.</p><p><blockquote>与英特尔一样，AMD 的主要产品也是 CPU 和 GPU。AMD 的芯片专为 PC、游戏机、服务器和区块链应用而设计。与 INTC 一样，AMD 的产品在很大程度上免受竞争影响，因为 PC 和服务器软件大多是为 x86 架构设计的。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 的强劲增长在很大程度上是以牺牲英特尔为代价的，因为 AMD 一直在稳步蚕食英特尔的 CPU 市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f8fbcab5da8a24d01d2b6408bd5686\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 专注于 CPU 和 GPU 半定制处理器应用，这使得它们在微软 Xbox 和索尼 PlayStation 游戏机中得到应用。</blockquote></p><p> In regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.</p><p><blockquote>在 PC 集成 GPU 方面，AMD 与 NVIDIA 大致持平，而 INTC 则以约 68% 的市场份额占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67a0fe74d986cf882623a8f39587d0d8\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:tom'sHARDWARE</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：汤姆硬件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.</p><p><blockquote>然而，英伟达以80%以上的市场份额主导着独立GPU领域，AMD横扫了剩下的市场。英伟达的独立 GPU 可以说优于 AMD（稍后会详细介绍）；因此，投资者不应在这里寻求增长。</blockquote></p><p> Although AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 AMD 的 EPYC 服务器 CPU 产品与竞争对手相比具有竞争力，但该公司最初依靠激进的定价来推广其第一代 EPYC 产品。然而，EPYC系列已经获得了更广泛的认可，随着米兰处理器的推出，该公司正在获得市场份额。由于服务器 CPU 的利润率高于公司的其他产品，因此向该领域的扩张将有助于推动收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Late last year,AMD entered intoa deal&nbsp;to acquire&nbsp;Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>去年年底，AMD 达成收购现场可编程门阵列 (FPGA) 芯片领导者赛灵思 (XLNX) 的交易。FPGA可用于各种各样的应用。由于转向竞争的 FPGA 供应商需要对工程师进行软件和设计工具方面的再培训，因此客户不愿意转向竞争供应商。因此，如果赛灵思交易成功，AMD 将获得广泛的护城河业务。交易完成后 18 个月内运营效率管理指南约为 3 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.</p><p><blockquote>收购赛灵思将有助于增强 AMD 的数据中心和人工智能业务。</blockquote></p><p> AMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 同意以 350 亿美元的全股票交易收购赛灵思。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Survey of NVIDIA</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达调查</b></blockquote></p><p> NVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.</p><p><blockquote>NVDA 对图形处理单元市场的关注使该公司在独立 GPU 领域占据了主导地位。该公司是计算平台（尤其是游戏机）分立 GPU 领域的领导者。英特尔从英伟达获得知识产权，将GPU集成到其PC芯片组中，这一事实证明了该公司保持的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司在过去五年中能够控制的蓬勃发展的ASP，从2016年的Pascal架构开始，从图灵到安培。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fb1d71f9df02f6c63907fe784b2fd8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:AMD Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：AMD 投资者演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的芯片也应用于许多高端个人电脑中，NVDA 在新兴的人工智能和自动驾驶汽车市场尤其具有实力。</blockquote></p><p> GPUs are being teamed with CPUs to&nbsp;enhance&nbsp;computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to&nbsp;autonomous&nbsp;vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud</p><p><blockquote>GPU正在与CPU合作，以增强计算工作负载。这一策略旨在增强人工智能系统执行计算密集型任务的能力。与自动驾驶汽车相关的人工智能是英伟达不断发展的优势。该公司在云计算领域崭露头角的另一个领域</blockquote></p><p> AI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.</p><p><blockquote>人工智能和数据中心是 NVDA 最有可能的增长途径。为了巩固其在这两项业务中的地位，该公司去年以 400 亿美元从母公司软银手中收购了 ARM Holdings (ARMHF)。</blockquote></p><p> ARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.</p><p><blockquote>ARM 是全球最大的芯片设计许可商。它的芯片无处不在，可以在手机、智能电视和平板电脑中找到。使用ARM设计已经制造了1600亿个芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Perhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.</p><p><blockquote>也许同样重要的是，1300万开发者使用ARM设备。从上下文来看，NVDA 有 200 万开发人员在其设备阵列上工作。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.</p><p><blockquote>对投资者来说不幸的是，据报道，中国和theU.K.都不愿批准这笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Head-To-Head Comparisons</b></p><p><blockquote><b>头对头比较</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了与每只股票估值相关的各种指标。所有标有“远期”字样的数据都是分析师对下一财年的一致估计。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bdeabcd2ea473601fbaaaa03235de77\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Next, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我用一张图表来提供这三家公司的 PEG 比率。由于分析师的输入会导致 PEG 比率出现相当大的差异，因此当我发现比率存在较大差异时，我更希望读者能够获得多个来源。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884fc2142d97afcc9e2308e50058dd45\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Note that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，Seeking Alpha提供了三到五年的挂钩，Schwab只是将其指标列为挂钩比率，而Yahoo!财务计算五年比率。这可以解释所提供数字的一些差异。</blockquote></p><p> Perusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>仔细阅读第一张图表，很明显 NVDA 被高估了。同样有趣的是，在当前的市盈率和远期价格/现金流估计中，AMD 的估值接近行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Count me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>把我算作一个非常重视股票挂钩比率的投资者。查看第二张图表，AMD 是三家公司中最好的。我还注意到，每个消息来源的分析师都计算出 AMD 的 PEG 比率好于行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Do not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.</p><p><blockquote>不要曲解我的发现。虽然 INTC 在许多方面的估值较低，但当考虑其他因素时，我对 AMD 的总体评价较高。换句话说，这不是最便宜的估值，而是最好的估值，因为缺乏更好的方法来表达我的观点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Analysts’ Price Targets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师的目标价</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价目前交易价格为 202.95 美元。33 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 186.49 美元。最新收益报告发布后对该股进行评级的 17 位分析师的平均目标价为 210.53 美元，比该股当前价格高出约 3.7%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股价目前交易价格为 107.58 美元。28 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 108.56 美元。最新收益报告发布后对该股进行评级的 11 位分析师的平均目标价为 117.27 美元，比当前股价高出约 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔股价目前交易价格为 54.05 美元。34 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 59.86 美元。最新收益报告发布后，对该股进行评级的 16 位分析师的平均目标价为 58.97 美元，比当前股价溢价 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该意识到，距离 NVDA 发布季度收益以及 INTC 和 AMD 最近发布季度收益已经近三个月了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=平局AMD/INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Growth Rates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>增长率</b></blockquote></p><p> The next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了增长率的数据。除非另有说明，这些指标反映了分析师的平均两年预测。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8ae1b79b3731a985fc209e626ca4886\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>虽然熟悉这三家公司的投资者预计 INTC 在增长方面的表现将不如 NVDA 和 AMD，但在某些情况下，英特尔预计将出现负增长。</blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices 的预计增长在每个类别中都领先于 NVIDIA，有时甚至领先于 NVIDIA。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> I considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.</p><p><blockquote>我考虑提供一张图表，概述每家公司的盈利能力；然而，可以说，每一个都是高利润的，这三个并置将导致平局。</blockquote></p><p> I often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.</p><p><blockquote>我经常提供一个细分股息指标的比较，但 AMD 不支付股息，而 NVDA 的收益率也很低。INTC 目前的收益率约为 2.6%。股息资金充足。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务指标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达上季度末拥有 126.7 亿美元现金和 59.6 亿美元现金。如果 ARM 收购获得批准，该交易的结构将使 400 亿美元收购价格中的 210 亿美元将有库存。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 重组了债务，降低了利息成本。截至最近一个季度末，AMD 拥有约 38 亿美元现金和 3.13 亿美元长期债务。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔拥有可靠的投资级信用评级。截至上季度末，该公司持有近248.6亿美元现金，长期债务为317亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.</p><p><blockquote>这三家公司都拥有雄厚的财务状况。权衡 NVDA 和 AMD 可能因潜在收购而增加债务的可能性，我对这三家公司的评级为同等。</blockquote></p><p> <b>R&amp;D Budgets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>研发预算</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the first time I have&nbsp;compared&nbsp;the R&amp;D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.</p><p><blockquote>这是我第一次对企业的研发预算进行针锋相对的对决。然而，在半导体行业，这可能至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> Last fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&amp;D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.</p><p><blockquote>上一财年，英特尔研发投入超过135亿美元，NVDA花费近28.3亿美元，AMD研发预算略高于19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&amp;D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.</p><p><blockquote>AMD处于明显的劣势，这种弱点被放大了，因为它经常在不同的领域与INTC和NVDA竞争。值得注意的是，英特尔的部分研发资金流向了代工业务。然而，它是这里明显的赢家，而AMD是明显的输家。</blockquote></p><p> I should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&amp;D budgets.</p><p><blockquote>我还应该补充一点，NVDA 正在蚕食 AMD 在独立 GPU 市场的份额，我相信这一趋势还会继续下去，部分原因是研发预算的差异。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一句话：哪只芯片股最好？</b></blockquote></p><p> To arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.</p><p><blockquote>要得出答案，很大程度上取决于英伟达能否完成对ARM的收购。</blockquote></p><p> Because ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.</p><p><blockquote>由于 ARM 处理器比 x86 芯片更强大、更具成本效益，NVDA 可以在数据中心领域获得市场份额。由于英特尔约三分之一的收入来自数据中心，这可能会给 INTC 带来阻力，而给 NVDA 带来利好。然而，这笔交易很有可能无法完成。</blockquote></p><p> The degree of success Intel finds as its&nbsp;planned&nbsp;foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔计划中的代工厂上线后取得的成功程度是另一个需要权衡的因素。</blockquote></p><p> A development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.</p><p><blockquote>一个需要权衡的发展是，就其产品质量而言，AMD现在已经在PC市场与INTC平起平坐。此外，AMD正在服务器市场获得市场份额，我预计这一趋势将继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD 正在将独立 GPU 市场的份额输给 NVDA。NVDA 在该领域拥有技术领先地位，这种领先地位可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 AMD 和 NVDA 被视为增长机器，但我们不应忽视英特尔的物联网业务在上一季度增长了 47%。Mobileye 的增长也激增，收入增长了 124%。尽管这些业务的总收入只有13亿美元，只是英特尔185亿美元总收入的一小部分，但它们仍然代表着高增长的领域。</blockquote></p><p> However, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.</p><p><blockquote>但请注意，标题指的是 “芯片库存”。因此，技术优势只是难题的一部分。任何投资决策都必须考虑当前估值和未来增长率。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，由于当前的估值和增长预期，我必须将英伟达评级为持有。请注意，我的评级是基于股票的当前估值。我感谢公司的模范领导，并相信该股的长期前景非常好。</blockquote></p><p> I also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.</p><p><blockquote>我还将 INTC 评级为持有。我之前将该公司评级为买入。虽然我仍然相信该公司将为长期投资者提供良好的服务，但我现在相信其复苏将在很长一段时间内展开，并且还有更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> I rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.</p><p><blockquote>我将 AMD 评级为买入。这是基于本文中概述的当前估值和增长率。我还要补充一点，我认为随着英特尔努力复苏，AMD 很可能会蚕食市场份额，这也支撑了这些指标。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA&nbsp;contributor&nbsp;Keyanoush Razavidinani.</p><p><blockquote>要进一步了解AMD和INTC投资的技术方面，我推荐SA撰稿人Keyanoush Razavidinani的一篇优秀文章。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪只芯片股票最好？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪只芯片股票最好？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 10:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.</li>  <li>AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.</li>  <li>Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&amp;D, marketing, and pricing.</li>  <li>Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a8f0aee0f3d10db76a1ee18fe604b40\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Andy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>AMD 最近的 CPU 和 GPU 产品与英特尔和英伟达的产品相比更具竞争力。</li><li>事实证明，AMD 的 EPYC 服务器芯片可与某些英特尔芯片媲美甚至更胜一筹，并帮助 AMD 获得了服务器 CPU 市场份额。</li><li>即便如此，英特尔仍然是处理器市场的领导者，在研发、营销和定价方面长期保持着相对于AMD的优势。</li><li>英伟达在 GPU 技术方面领先于 AMD，并正在利用其 GPU 进入人工智能等邻近终端市场。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安迪/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔（INTC）曾经是微芯片行业的罗兹巨像，是摩尔定律力量的丰碑。然而，该公司在 10 纳米工艺方面遇到了困难，最近宣布其 7 纳米工艺将推迟到 2023 年。</blockquote></p><p> This left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.</p><p><blockquote>这为 Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) 敞开了大门，该公司充分利用了这个机会。AMD 已经占据了 CPU 市场的很大份额，并正在进军曾经几乎难以渗透的服务器市场。</blockquote></p><p> AMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 现已连续七个季度实现两位数收入增长，而且该公司似乎正在获得动力：管理层目前预计全年收入增长 60%，高于上一季度预测的 50%。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD 还与英伟达公司（NVDA）竞争，后者的 GPU 技术正在抢走市场份额。NVDA 还成功凭借其 GPU 进入邻近市场，尤其是人工智能和汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Ins And Outs of Intel</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔的来龙去脉</b></blockquote></p><p> An understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.</p><p><blockquote>了解英特尔还可以深入了解 AMD。这是由于两家公司之间的重叠，特别是在x86芯片方面。英特尔在1978年开发了x86芯片。为了满足IBM的要求，即英特尔不会成为芯片的唯一供应商，INTC向AMD提供了x86指令集架构许可。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>因此，英特尔和AMD在PC和服务器市场占据双头垄断地位，因为几乎所有的计算机软件都是为x86架构编写的。结果是，两者都有一条与x86生态系统相关的宽阔护城河。</blockquote></p><p> Gaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.</p><p><blockquote>游戏机尤其基于x86架构，因为这些平台通常提供具有多个计算核心的更强大的CPU和GPU。像个人电脑一样，游戏机运行使用基于x86软件的游戏。这再次扼杀了基于ARM的设备的潜在竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Until fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.</p><p><blockquote>直到最近，作为x86芯片的供应商，AMD还远远落后于INTC。然而，AMD 与台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）合作，利用该制造商的 7 纳米工艺在工艺技术上超越了 INTC。再加上 AMD 开发新的创新芯片设计，这种一举两得的打击导致 INTC 失去了大量市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> At the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop&nbsp;market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5%&nbsp;market&nbsp;share in Q4 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>Q1末，AMD占据x86台式机市场19.30%的份额，同比增长70个基点。第二季度，AMD占据了服务器市场8%的份额，高于2019年第四季度5%的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>尽管遭遇了这些挫折，但将英特尔视为一家垂死的企业似乎还为时过早。INTC是世界上最大的半导体公司之一。该公司主导着服务器市场，仍然占据全球x86 CPU市场60%的份额。</blockquote></p><p> The company has an enormous R&amp;D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>该公司拥有巨额研发预算，并通过收购 Habana Labs、Altera、Movidius 和 Mobileye，正在扩展到新市场，主要是人工智能、现场可编程门阵列芯片和汽车产品。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不应仅仅因为 7 优于 10 就声称英特尔的新 10 纳米芯片不如 7 纳米。虽然它曾经被用来表示芯片设计的技术水平，但它已经被滥用到毫无用处的地步。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，必须承认一些关切。英特尔在智能手机市场落后于竞争对手。随着消费者转向移动设备，随着智能手机取代个人电脑，这可能会导致持续的逆风。另一方面，应该承认的是，随着移动设备和云计算的激增，INTC 的服务器处理器业务也取得了增长。</blockquote></p><p> Intel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔在数据中心领域还面临着来自 AMD 的日益激烈的竞争，以及客户为 CPU 开发自己的基于 ARM 的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Overview of AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD概述</b></blockquote></p><p> In years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几年里，INTC 占据了 x86 市场的最大份额。这在一定程度上要归功于英特尔领先的制造技术，以及 AMD 与不太出色的 GlobalFoundries 签订的晶圆供应协议。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> However, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于三个因素发生了翻天覆地的变化：在创新设计的推动下，AMD将有竞争力的产品推向市场，AMD转向台积电进行生产，英特尔面临反复的制造延迟。下面的两个图表记录了公司取得的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/903df41d5400c9807ff487a75a7e5450\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/331cd14b666f520a62d0746d5fadfa5b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Like Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.</p><p><blockquote>与英特尔一样，AMD 的主要产品也是 CPU 和 GPU。AMD 的芯片专为 PC、游戏机、服务器和区块链应用而设计。与 INTC 一样，AMD 的产品在很大程度上免受竞争影响，因为 PC 和服务器软件大多是为 x86 架构设计的。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 的强劲增长在很大程度上是以牺牲英特尔为代价的，因为 AMD 一直在稳步蚕食英特尔的 CPU 市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f8fbcab5da8a24d01d2b6408bd5686\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 专注于 CPU 和 GPU 半定制处理器应用，这使得它们在微软 Xbox 和索尼 PlayStation 游戏机中得到应用。</blockquote></p><p> In regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.</p><p><blockquote>在 PC 集成 GPU 方面，AMD 与 NVIDIA 大致持平，而 INTC 则以约 68% 的市场份额占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67a0fe74d986cf882623a8f39587d0d8\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:tom'sHARDWARE</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：汤姆硬件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.</p><p><blockquote>然而，英伟达以80%以上的市场份额主导着独立GPU领域，AMD横扫了剩下的市场。英伟达的独立 GPU 可以说优于 AMD（稍后会详细介绍）；因此，投资者不应在这里寻求增长。</blockquote></p><p> Although AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 AMD 的 EPYC 服务器 CPU 产品与竞争对手相比具有竞争力，但该公司最初依靠激进的定价来推广其第一代 EPYC 产品。然而，EPYC系列已经获得了更广泛的认可，随着米兰处理器的推出，该公司正在获得市场份额。由于服务器 CPU 的利润率高于公司的其他产品，因此向该领域的扩张将有助于推动收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Late last year,AMD entered intoa deal&nbsp;to acquire&nbsp;Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>去年年底，AMD 达成收购现场可编程门阵列 (FPGA) 芯片领导者赛灵思 (XLNX) 的交易。FPGA可用于各种各样的应用。由于转向竞争的 FPGA 供应商需要对工程师进行软件和设计工具方面的再培训，因此客户不愿意转向竞争供应商。因此，如果赛灵思交易成功，AMD 将获得广泛的护城河业务。交易完成后 18 个月内运营效率管理指南约为 3 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.</p><p><blockquote>收购赛灵思将有助于增强 AMD 的数据中心和人工智能业务。</blockquote></p><p> AMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 同意以 350 亿美元的全股票交易收购赛灵思。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Survey of NVIDIA</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达调查</b></blockquote></p><p> NVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.</p><p><blockquote>NVDA 对图形处理单元市场的关注使该公司在独立 GPU 领域占据了主导地位。该公司是计算平台（尤其是游戏机）分立 GPU 领域的领导者。英特尔从英伟达获得知识产权，将GPU集成到其PC芯片组中，这一事实证明了该公司保持的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司在过去五年中能够控制的蓬勃发展的ASP，从2016年的Pascal架构开始，从图灵到安培。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fb1d71f9df02f6c63907fe784b2fd8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:AMD Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：AMD 投资者演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的芯片也应用于许多高端个人电脑中，NVDA 在新兴的人工智能和自动驾驶汽车市场尤其具有实力。</blockquote></p><p> GPUs are being teamed with CPUs to&nbsp;enhance&nbsp;computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to&nbsp;autonomous&nbsp;vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud</p><p><blockquote>GPU正在与CPU合作，以增强计算工作负载。这一策略旨在增强人工智能系统执行计算密集型任务的能力。与自动驾驶汽车相关的人工智能是英伟达不断发展的优势。该公司在云计算领域崭露头角的另一个领域</blockquote></p><p> AI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.</p><p><blockquote>人工智能和数据中心是 NVDA 最有可能的增长途径。为了巩固其在这两项业务中的地位，该公司去年以 400 亿美元从母公司软银手中收购了 ARM Holdings (ARMHF)。</blockquote></p><p> ARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.</p><p><blockquote>ARM 是全球最大的芯片设计许可商。它的芯片无处不在，可以在手机、智能电视和平板电脑中找到。使用ARM设计已经制造了1600亿个芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Perhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.</p><p><blockquote>也许同样重要的是，1300万开发者使用ARM设备。从上下文来看，NVDA 有 200 万开发人员在其设备阵列上工作。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.</p><p><blockquote>对投资者来说不幸的是，据报道，中国和theU.K.都不愿批准这笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Head-To-Head Comparisons</b></p><p><blockquote><b>头对头比较</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了与每只股票估值相关的各种指标。所有标有“远期”字样的数据都是分析师对下一财年的一致估计。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bdeabcd2ea473601fbaaaa03235de77\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Next, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我用一张图表来提供这三家公司的 PEG 比率。由于分析师的输入会导致 PEG 比率出现相当大的差异，因此当我发现比率存在较大差异时，我更希望读者能够获得多个来源。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884fc2142d97afcc9e2308e50058dd45\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Note that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，Seeking Alpha提供了三到五年的挂钩，Schwab只是将其指标列为挂钩比率，而Yahoo!财务计算五年比率。这可以解释所提供数字的一些差异。</blockquote></p><p> Perusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>仔细阅读第一张图表，很明显 NVDA 被高估了。同样有趣的是，在当前的市盈率和远期价格/现金流估计中，AMD 的估值接近行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Count me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>把我算作一个非常重视股票挂钩比率的投资者。查看第二张图表，AMD 是三家公司中最好的。我还注意到，每个消息来源的分析师都计算出 AMD 的 PEG 比率好于行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Do not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.</p><p><blockquote>不要曲解我的发现。虽然 INTC 在许多方面的估值较低，但当考虑其他因素时，我对 AMD 的总体评价较高。换句话说，这不是最便宜的估值，而是最好的估值，因为缺乏更好的方法来表达我的观点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Analysts’ Price Targets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师的目标价</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价目前交易价格为 202.95 美元。33 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 186.49 美元。最新收益报告发布后对该股进行评级的 17 位分析师的平均目标价为 210.53 美元，比该股当前价格高出约 3.7%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股价目前交易价格为 107.58 美元。28 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 108.56 美元。最新收益报告发布后对该股进行评级的 11 位分析师的平均目标价为 117.27 美元，比当前股价高出约 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔股价目前交易价格为 54.05 美元。34 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 59.86 美元。最新收益报告发布后，对该股进行评级的 16 位分析师的平均目标价为 58.97 美元，比当前股价溢价 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该意识到，距离 NVDA 发布季度收益以及 INTC 和 AMD 最近发布季度收益已经近三个月了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=平局AMD/INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Growth Rates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>增长率</b></blockquote></p><p> The next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了增长率的数据。除非另有说明，这些指标反映了分析师的平均两年预测。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8ae1b79b3731a985fc209e626ca4886\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>虽然熟悉这三家公司的投资者预计 INTC 在增长方面的表现将不如 NVDA 和 AMD，但在某些情况下，英特尔预计将出现负增长。</blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices 的预计增长在每个类别中都领先于 NVIDIA，有时甚至领先于 NVIDIA。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> I considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.</p><p><blockquote>我考虑提供一张图表，概述每家公司的盈利能力；然而，可以说，每一个都是高利润的，这三个并置将导致平局。</blockquote></p><p> I often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.</p><p><blockquote>我经常提供一个细分股息指标的比较，但 AMD 不支付股息，而 NVDA 的收益率也很低。INTC 目前的收益率约为 2.6%。股息资金充足。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务指标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达上季度末拥有 126.7 亿美元现金和 59.6 亿美元现金。如果 ARM 收购获得批准，该交易的结构将使 400 亿美元收购价格中的 210 亿美元将有库存。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 重组了债务，降低了利息成本。截至最近一个季度末，AMD 拥有约 38 亿美元现金和 3.13 亿美元长期债务。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔拥有可靠的投资级信用评级。截至上季度末，该公司持有近248.6亿美元现金，长期债务为317亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.</p><p><blockquote>这三家公司都拥有雄厚的财务状况。权衡 NVDA 和 AMD 可能因潜在收购而增加债务的可能性，我对这三家公司的评级为同等。</blockquote></p><p> <b>R&amp;D Budgets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>研发预算</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the first time I have&nbsp;compared&nbsp;the R&amp;D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.</p><p><blockquote>这是我第一次对企业的研发预算进行针锋相对的对决。然而，在半导体行业，这可能至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> Last fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&amp;D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.</p><p><blockquote>上一财年，英特尔研发投入超过135亿美元，NVDA花费近28.3亿美元，AMD研发预算略高于19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&amp;D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.</p><p><blockquote>AMD处于明显的劣势，这种弱点被放大了，因为它经常在不同的领域与INTC和NVDA竞争。值得注意的是，英特尔的部分研发资金流向了代工业务。然而，它是这里明显的赢家，而AMD是明显的输家。</blockquote></p><p> I should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&amp;D budgets.</p><p><blockquote>我还应该补充一点，NVDA 正在蚕食 AMD 在独立 GPU 市场的份额，我相信这一趋势还会继续下去，部分原因是研发预算的差异。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一句话：哪只芯片股最好？</b></blockquote></p><p> To arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.</p><p><blockquote>要得出答案，很大程度上取决于英伟达能否完成对ARM的收购。</blockquote></p><p> Because ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.</p><p><blockquote>由于 ARM 处理器比 x86 芯片更强大、更具成本效益，NVDA 可以在数据中心领域获得市场份额。由于英特尔约三分之一的收入来自数据中心，这可能会给 INTC 带来阻力，而给 NVDA 带来利好。然而，这笔交易很有可能无法完成。</blockquote></p><p> The degree of success Intel finds as its&nbsp;planned&nbsp;foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔计划中的代工厂上线后取得的成功程度是另一个需要权衡的因素。</blockquote></p><p> A development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.</p><p><blockquote>一个需要权衡的发展是，就其产品质量而言，AMD现在已经在PC市场与INTC平起平坐。此外，AMD正在服务器市场获得市场份额，我预计这一趋势将继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD 正在将独立 GPU 市场的份额输给 NVDA。NVDA 在该领域拥有技术领先地位，这种领先地位可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 AMD 和 NVDA 被视为增长机器，但我们不应忽视英特尔的物联网业务在上一季度增长了 47%。Mobileye 的增长也激增，收入增长了 124%。尽管这些业务的总收入只有13亿美元，只是英特尔185亿美元总收入的一小部分，但它们仍然代表着高增长的领域。</blockquote></p><p> However, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.</p><p><blockquote>但请注意，标题指的是 “芯片库存”。因此，技术优势只是难题的一部分。任何投资决策都必须考虑当前估值和未来增长率。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，由于当前的估值和增长预期，我必须将英伟达评级为持有。请注意，我的评级是基于股票的当前估值。我感谢公司的模范领导，并相信该股的长期前景非常好。</blockquote></p><p> I also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.</p><p><blockquote>我还将 INTC 评级为持有。我之前将该公司评级为买入。虽然我仍然相信该公司将为长期投资者提供良好的服务，但我现在相信其复苏将在很长一段时间内展开，并且还有更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> I rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.</p><p><blockquote>我将 AMD 评级为买入。这是基于本文中概述的当前估值和增长率。我还要补充一点，我认为随着英特尔努力复苏，AMD 很可能会蚕食市场份额，这也支撑了这些指标。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA&nbsp;contributor&nbsp;Keyanoush Razavidinani.</p><p><blockquote>要进一步了解AMD和INTC投资的技术方面，我推荐SA撰稿人Keyanoush Razavidinani的一篇优秀文章。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dad74e350b9b09d45929989f896aaa9d","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","AMD":"美国超微公司","INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138705612","content_text":"Summary\n\nAMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.\nAMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.\nEven so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.\nNvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.\n\nAndy/iStock via Getty Images\nIntel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.\nThis left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.\nAMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.\nHowever, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.\nThe Ins And Outs of Intel\nAn understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.\nConsequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.\nGaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.\nUntil fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.\nAt the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5% market share in Q4 of 2019.\nDespite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU market.\nThe company has an enormous R&D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.\nInvestors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.\nHowever, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.\nIntel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.\nAn Overview of AMD\nIn years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.\nHowever, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nLike Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.\nAMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.\nIn regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.\nSource:tom'sHARDWARE\nHowever, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.\nAlthough AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.\nLate last year,AMD entered intoa deal to acquire Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.\nThe Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.\nAMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.\nA Survey of NVIDIA\nNVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.\nThe chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.\nSource:AMD Investor Presentation\nThe firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.\nGPUs are being teamed with CPUs to enhance computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to autonomous vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud\nAI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.\nARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.\nPerhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.\nUnfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.\nHead-To-Head Comparisons\nValuation Metrics\nThe following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author\nNext, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.\nChart by author\nNote that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.\nPerusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.\nCount me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.\nDo not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.\n=Advantage AMD\nAnalysts’ Price Targets\nNVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.\nAMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.\nIntel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.\nInvestors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.\n=Tie AMD/INTC\nGrowth Rates\nThe next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author\nWhile investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.\nAdvanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.\n=Advantage AMD\nI considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.\nI often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.\nDebt Metrics\nNVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.\nAMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.\nIntel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.\nAll three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.\nR&D Budgets\nThis is the first time I have compared the R&D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.\nLast fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.\nAMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.\nI should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&D budgets.\n=Advantage INTC\nBottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?\nTo arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.\nBecause ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.\nThe degree of success Intel finds as its planned foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.\nA development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.\nOn the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.\nWhile AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.\nHowever, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.\nWith that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.\nI also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.\nI rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.\nFor additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA contributor Keyanoush Razavidinani.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897262832,"gmtCreate":1628925008826,"gmtModify":1631888919526,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897262832","repostId":"1173847412","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173847412","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628905097,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173847412?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 09:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If you’re nervous about the stock market at record highs, consider these five companies that are loved by the smart money<blockquote>如果您对股市创下历史新高感到紧张，请考虑这五家深受精明资金喜爱的公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173847412","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Company insiders and professional investors are buying shares of Alibaba, Chegg and Activision Blizzard, among others. The stock market is near all-time highs, but train-wreck season lies just around the corner.I say hold on, and indeed consider any of the five companies below because they are “smart money” favorites. But first, big picture, here are three reasons to stay the course.The smart money signal: Director Peter Nolan just bought $2 million worth at $80-$82.28 a share. He’s a good insid","content":"<p>Company insiders and professional investors are buying shares of Alibaba, Chegg and Activision Blizzard, among others</p><p><blockquote>公司内部人士和专业投资者正在购买阿里巴巴-SW、切格和动视暴雪等公司的股票</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a750143fbfb2e7d732bb3dcc80114d61\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Photo by Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（摄影：Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock market is near all-time highs, but train-wreck season lies just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>股市接近历史高点，但火车失事季节即将来临。</blockquote></p><p> Should you sell? After all, the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;and Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;often hit a rough patch in September and October.</p><p><blockquote>你应该卖吗？毕竟，标准普尔 500 指数、纳斯达克指数和道琼斯工业平均指数经常在 9 月和 10 月遭遇艰难时期。</blockquote></p><p> I say hold on, and indeed consider any of the five companies below because they are “smart money” favorites. But first, big picture, here are three reasons to stay the course.</p><p><blockquote>我说坚持住，确实可以考虑以下五家公司中的任何一家，因为它们都是 “聪明资金 ”的最爱。但首先，从大局来看，这里有三个坚持下去的理由。</blockquote></p><p> 1. There’s no guarantee that the seasonal weakness will repeat. Besides, the ability to time market turns is tough.</p><p><blockquote>1. 不能保证季节性疲软会重演。此外，把握市场转折的能力很难。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Fears about the delta variant of Covid are overblown. More people are getting vaccinated, and most of them won’t suffer severe symptoms if infected, say market strategists at T. Rowe Price.</p><p><blockquote>2. 对新冠病毒德尔塔变异毒株的担忧被夸大了。T. Rowe Price 的市场策略师说，越来越多的人接种了疫苗，他们中的大多数人如果被感染也不会出现严重症状。</blockquote></p><p> 3. There’s a lot of embedded demand in the economy and it will sustain growth, says Leuthold Group strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>3. Leuthold 集团策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说，经济中有很多内在需求，它将持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> On the consumer front (most of the economy): Personal savings at a record high, durable goods purchases are near a 50-year low, and new household formation is at a record high. People buy stuff to fill new homes. Next, the economy has plenty of room to grow given the elevated jobless rate and big excess lending capacity at banks.</p><p><blockquote>在消费方面（经济的大部分）：个人储蓄创历史新高，耐用品购买量接近50年来的最低点，新家庭形成量创历史新高。人们买东西来填满新家。其次，鉴于失业率上升和银行大量过剩贷款能力，经济有很大的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Five smart money stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五只聪明的理财股票</b></blockquote></p><p> At my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks, I favor stocks that corporate insiders like. But not just&nbsp;<i>any</i>&nbsp;insiders. I go for stocks picked up by insiders with&nbsp;<i>great</i>&nbsp;records. Here are two, trading near where insiders just bought.</p><p><blockquote>在我的股票信中，我喜欢企业内部人士喜欢的股票。但不仅仅是<i>任何</i>内部人员。我喜欢内部人士买入的股票<i>伟大的</i>记录。这里有两个，在内部人士刚刚买入的地方附近交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Activision Blizzard</b></p><p><blockquote><b>动视暴雪</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the company behind the most popular and addictive online games — like Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, Diablo, Overwatch and Candy Crush.<b>Activision Blizzard</b>&nbsp;makes money via game sales and subscriptions, by selling in-game content and ads. It has around 408 million regular users.</p><p><blockquote>这是最受欢迎和令人上瘾的网络游戏背后的公司——如《使命召唤的看涨期权》、《魔兽世界》、《暗黑破坏神》、《守望先锋》和《糖果粉碎》。<b>动视暴雪</b>通过游戏销售和订阅、销售游戏内内容和广告来赚钱。它拥有大约4.08亿普通用户。</blockquote></p><p> Besides winning over new fans, the company regularly launches new games and expands existing franchises — most recently with World of Warcraft: The Burning Crusade, in June. This addition marks “the start of what is intended to be a very significant 18-month period for content releases,” says the company. Sales grew 19% to $2.30 billion in the second quarter, and operating margins are rich at 42%.</p><p><blockquote>除了赢得新粉丝，该公司还定期推出新游戏并扩展现有的特许经营权——最近一次是在6月份推出的《魔兽世界：燃烧的十字军东征》。该公司表示，这一新增标志着 “为期 18 个月的内容发布期的开始”。第二季度销售额增长 19%，达到 23 亿美元，营业利润率高达 42%。</blockquote></p><p> One risk is that fallout from allegations of sexual misconduct and&nbsp;a related lawsuit by the California Department of Fair Employment and Housing will “make it difficult for the firm to attract and retain top talent in a very competitive industry,” says&nbsp;Morningstar analyst Neil Macker.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司（Morningstar）分析师尼尔-麦克（Neil Macker）说，一个风险是，性行为不端指控以及加州公平就业和住房部提起的相关诉讼将 “使该公司难以在竞争激烈的行业中吸引和留住顶尖人才”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Director Peter Nolan just bought $2 million worth at $80-$82.28 a share. He’s a good insider to follow because he bought $4.3 million in March 2019 at $43 and the stock is now almost a double. Also, in my system of insider analysis, repeat buying on strength (as opposed to profit taking) is bullish. He also bought at $3.70 back in 2004.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明理财信号</b>导演彼得·诺兰刚刚以每股 80-82.28 美元的价格购买了价值 200 万美元的股票。他是一个值得关注的内部人士，因为他在 2019 年 3 月以 43 美元的价格买入了 430 万美元，现在股价几乎翻了一番。此外，在我的内部分析系统中，重复强势买入（而不是获利了结）是看涨的。他还在2004年以3.70美元的价格买入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>B. Riley Financial</b></p><p><blockquote><b>B. 莱利金融</b></blockquote></p><p> I introduced this name in my stock letter in March 2018 at $20 and reiterated it over a dozen times into strength after that. It now trades for over $65. Despite the hefty gains, I think&nbsp;<b>B. Riley Financia</b>&nbsp;is still a hold, and a buy for anyone who does not own.</p><p><blockquote>我在2018年3月以20美元的价格在我的股票信中介绍了这个名字，并在那之后重申了十几次。它现在的交易价格超过65美元。尽管收益巨大，但我认为<b>B. 莱利金融</b>仍然是持有，对于任何不拥有它的人来说都是买入。</blockquote></p><p> This is a Los Angeles-based investment bank that also manages money and does stock research. It specializes in small- and mid-cap stocks. B. Riley Financial is a good proxy for the overall market and the U.S. economy, given its banking and market-related businesses. This will be a plus, as economic growth holds up. It also continues to expand via acquisitions.&nbsp;Revenue grew 26% in the second quarter to $336.8 million, in part because of an acquisition. It pays a 2.9% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家总部位于洛杉矶的投资银行，也管理资金和进行股票研究。它专注于中小盘股。B. Riley Financial 凭借其银行和市场相关业务，是整体市场和美国经济的良好代表。随着经济增长保持稳定，这将是一个优势。它还通过收购继续扩张。第二季度收入增长 26%，达到 3.368 亿美元，部分原因是收购。它支付2.9%的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: CEO Bryant Riley purchased $3.4 million worth of stock at $63 to $68 in early June and August. He has a long record of buying over $22 million worth of stock in the $8 to $48 range since 2014, including $6.6 million in purchases near the start of this year at $46 to $48.71 (already up over 40%).</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明理财信号</b>: 首席执行官布莱恩特·莱利 (Bryant Riley) 在 6 月初和 8 月初以 63 至 68 美元的价格购买了价值 340 万美元的股票。自2014年以来，他在8美元至48美元范围内购买了价值超过2200万美元的股票，包括今年年初以46美元至48.71美元的价格购买了660万美元（已经上涨了40%以上）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alibaba Group</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW集团</b></blockquote></p><p> If you like to buy quality companies whose stocks are beaten down by a host of problems, then Chinese consumer platform&nbsp;<b>Alibaba Group</b>&nbsp;may be for you.</p><p><blockquote>如果你喜欢购买股票因一系列问题而遭受重创的优质公司，那么中国消费者平台<b>阿里巴巴-SW集团</b>可能是给你的。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares are down 40% since October because of rising U.S.-China tensions, some weakness in its core consumer business, the possible loss of tax breaks in China, and allegations of sexual assault inside the company.</p><p><blockquote>由于中美紧张局势加剧、核心消费业务疲软、中国可能失去税收减免以及公司内部性侵犯指控，该公司股价自 10 月份以来已下跌 40%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> These are serious issues, but this is also a company with serious potential. Over one billion consumers use its marketplaces, including 891 million in China and 240 million abroad. Organic sales growth is 32%. It’s in the early stages of rolling out its AliCloud cloud computing business, which could be the next big growth driver.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是严重的问题，但这也是一家具有巨大潜力的公司。超过10亿消费者使用其市场，其中8.91亿在中国，2.4亿在国外。有机销售额增长32%。该公司正处于推出 AliCloud 云计算业务的早期阶段，这可能是下一个重要的增长动力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: This company is singled out by Albert Meyer of Bastiat Capital, which has posted 22% annualized growth over the past five years compared to 17.7% for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明理财信号</b>Bastiat Capital 的 Albert Meyer 特别指出了这家公司，该公司在过去五年中的年化增长率为 22%，而标普500的年化增长率为 17.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An attractive spinoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有吸引力的衍生产品</b></blockquote></p><p> One tactic that works fairly consistently in investing is buying spinoffs. Companies don’t like to burn shareholders, so they tend to do spinoffs at a discount, as a kind of “gift.” Money managers who get spun-off shares often dump them anyway, because the new company does not fit their mandate.</p><p><blockquote>投资中相当一致的一种策略是购买衍生产品。公司不喜欢烧伤股东，所以他们倾向于以折扣价进行分拆，作为一种 “礼物”。获得分拆股票的基金经理无论如何都会抛售它们，因为新公司不符合他们的职责。</blockquote></p><p> A good spinoff to consider right now is&nbsp;<b>Organon</b>,a mid-size pharma company. It was jettisoned from Merck&nbsp;in May. Organon just bounced 12% on Aug. 12 after it posted a solid quarter, but it still trades below the spinoff price of around $38. At this level, the stock looks attractively cheap, trading near five times 2021 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>现在可以考虑的一个好的衍生产品是<b>器官</b>一家中型制药公司。它于 5 月份被默克抛弃。 Organon 在公布了稳健的季度业绩后，于 8 月 12 日刚刚反弹 12%，但其交易价格仍低于 38 美元左右的分拆价格。在这个水平上，该股看起来很便宜，交易价格接近 2021 年市盈率的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, Organon is cheap because it has issues. The chief one is the looming patent cliff on many of its products. Its Nexplanon birth control rolls off patent during 2025-2027, and that’s 11% of sales.</p><p><blockquote>当然，Organon很便宜，因为它有问题。最主要的一个是其许多产品迫在眉睫的专利悬崖。其 Nexplanon 避孕药将于 2025-2027 年期间获得专利，占销售额的 11%。</blockquote></p><p> But this might not be such a threat. “There is a strong possibility that it can extend its patent to as late as 2030,” says Bruce Kaser, a value investor who is the editor of the Cabot Turnaround Letter. Nexplanon is a rod implanted under the skin, so women may be reluctant to go with a discount version. Another problem: Organon sells into China, where the government is cutting the prices of its products. But the worst of the damage may be over.</p><p><blockquote>但这可能不是这样的威胁。“卡伯特扭亏为盈信的编辑、价值投资者布鲁斯-卡瑟（Bruce Kaser）说：”该公司很有可能将专利延长至 2030 年。Nexplanon是一种植入皮下的棒，所以女性可能不愿意选择打折版本。另一个问题是：Organon销往中国，中国政府正在降低其产品价格。但最严重的损害可能已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> On the upside, Organon plans to regularly launch new products. And the company has $1.3 billion in annual free cash flow supporting a dividend yield of 3.3%.</p><p><blockquote>从好的方面来看，Organon计划定期推出新产品。该公司每年拥有 13 亿美元的自由现金流，支持 3.3% 的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Organon was recently suggested in the Cabot Turnaround Letter, which has a good record. Its portfolio is up 135.8% in the past 12 months, compared with 36.5% for S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明理财信号</b>: Organon 最近在 Cabot 扭亏为盈的信中被建议，该信中有着良好的记录。过去 12 个月，其投资组合增长了 135.8%，而标普500的投资组合增长了 36.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An education play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>教育剧</b></blockquote></p><p> If universities have allowed their participation in the culture wars to distract them from the core mission of basic education,<b>Chegg</b>&nbsp;is there to pick up the slack.</p><p><blockquote>如果大学允许他们参与文化战争来分散他们对基础教育核心使命的注意力，<b>切格</b>是来收拾残局的。</blockquote></p><p> This online education company helps college and high school students master their math and writing skills. The company also helps students save on expensive text books by offering rentals and e-textbook versions.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线教育公司帮助大学生和高中生掌握数学和写作技能。该公司还通过提供租赁和电子教科书版本来帮助学生节省昂贵的教科书费用。</blockquote></p><p> While online education has a black eye, Chegg is the exception. Last year student subscriptions jumped 67% to 6.6 million from a year earlier. Sales grew 30% in the quarter, and the company guided to 28% sales growth for this year, to $805 million to $815 million.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在线教育有黑眼圈，但切格是个例外。去年，学生订阅量比上年同期增长了 67%，达到 660 万。本季度销售额增长了 30%，该公司预计今年销售额增长 28%，达到 8.05 亿至 8.15 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Online learning had a bad reputation for overcharging, while success rates were minimal,” says money manager Kevin Landis. “But Chegg is different.”</p><p><blockquote>“资金经理凯文-兰迪斯（Kevin Landis）说：”在线学习因收费过高而名声不佳，而成功率却很低。“但切格不同。”</blockquote></p><p> He likes the robust growth in the U.S. and the big potential for international growth, particularly in Asia.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢美国的强劲增长以及国际增长的巨大潜力，尤其是在亚洲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Landis’ Firsthand Technology Opportunities&nbsp;beats its Morningstar technology fund category by eight percentage points annualized over the past five years. Chegg is the second-largest position, at 8% of the portfolio. Chegg is the sixth-biggest holding of the Alger Weatherbie Specialized Growth Fund,which beats its mid-cap growth category by 5.7 percentage points annualized over the past five years.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明理财信号</b>: 在过去五年中，兰迪斯的第一手技术机会比晨星技术基金类别高出 8 个百分点。Chegg 是第二大头寸，占投资组合的 8%。Chegg 是 Alger Weatherbie Specialized Growth Fund 的第六大持股， 该基金在过去五年中年化比中型增长类别高出 5.7 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If you’re nervous about the stock market at record highs, consider these five companies that are loved by the smart money<blockquote>如果您对股市创下历史新高感到紧张，请考虑这五家深受精明资金喜爱的公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf you’re nervous about the stock market at record highs, consider these five companies that are loved by the smart money<blockquote>如果您对股市创下历史新高感到紧张，请考虑这五家深受精明资金喜爱的公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-14 09:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Company insiders and professional investors are buying shares of Alibaba, Chegg and Activision Blizzard, among others</p><p><blockquote>公司内部人士和专业投资者正在购买阿里巴巴-SW、切格和动视暴雪等公司的股票</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a750143fbfb2e7d732bb3dcc80114d61\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Photo by Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（摄影：Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock market is near all-time highs, but train-wreck season lies just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>股市接近历史高点，但火车失事季节即将来临。</blockquote></p><p> Should you sell? After all, the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;and Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;often hit a rough patch in September and October.</p><p><blockquote>你应该卖吗？毕竟，标准普尔 500 指数、纳斯达克指数和道琼斯工业平均指数经常在 9 月和 10 月遭遇艰难时期。</blockquote></p><p> I say hold on, and indeed consider any of the five companies below because they are “smart money” favorites. But first, big picture, here are three reasons to stay the course.</p><p><blockquote>我说坚持住，确实可以考虑以下五家公司中的任何一家，因为它们都是 “聪明资金 ”的最爱。但首先，从大局来看，这里有三个坚持下去的理由。</blockquote></p><p> 1. There’s no guarantee that the seasonal weakness will repeat. Besides, the ability to time market turns is tough.</p><p><blockquote>1. 不能保证季节性疲软会重演。此外，把握市场转折的能力很难。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Fears about the delta variant of Covid are overblown. More people are getting vaccinated, and most of them won’t suffer severe symptoms if infected, say market strategists at T. Rowe Price.</p><p><blockquote>2. 对新冠病毒德尔塔变异毒株的担忧被夸大了。T. Rowe Price 的市场策略师说，越来越多的人接种了疫苗，他们中的大多数人如果被感染也不会出现严重症状。</blockquote></p><p> 3. There’s a lot of embedded demand in the economy and it will sustain growth, says Leuthold Group strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>3. Leuthold 集团策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说，经济中有很多内在需求，它将持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> On the consumer front (most of the economy): Personal savings at a record high, durable goods purchases are near a 50-year low, and new household formation is at a record high. People buy stuff to fill new homes. Next, the economy has plenty of room to grow given the elevated jobless rate and big excess lending capacity at banks.</p><p><blockquote>在消费方面（经济的大部分）：个人储蓄创历史新高，耐用品购买量接近50年来的最低点，新家庭形成量创历史新高。人们买东西来填满新家。其次，鉴于失业率上升和银行大量过剩贷款能力，经济有很大的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Five smart money stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五只聪明的理财股票</b></blockquote></p><p> At my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks, I favor stocks that corporate insiders like. But not just&nbsp;<i>any</i>&nbsp;insiders. I go for stocks picked up by insiders with&nbsp;<i>great</i>&nbsp;records. Here are two, trading near where insiders just bought.</p><p><blockquote>在我的股票信中，我喜欢企业内部人士喜欢的股票。但不仅仅是<i>任何</i>内部人员。我喜欢内部人士买入的股票<i>伟大的</i>记录。这里有两个，在内部人士刚刚买入的地方附近交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Activision Blizzard</b></p><p><blockquote><b>动视暴雪</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the company behind the most popular and addictive online games — like Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, Diablo, Overwatch and Candy Crush.<b>Activision Blizzard</b>&nbsp;makes money via game sales and subscriptions, by selling in-game content and ads. It has around 408 million regular users.</p><p><blockquote>这是最受欢迎和令人上瘾的网络游戏背后的公司——如《使命召唤的看涨期权》、《魔兽世界》、《暗黑破坏神》、《守望先锋》和《糖果粉碎》。<b>动视暴雪</b>通过游戏销售和订阅、销售游戏内内容和广告来赚钱。它拥有大约4.08亿普通用户。</blockquote></p><p> Besides winning over new fans, the company regularly launches new games and expands existing franchises — most recently with World of Warcraft: The Burning Crusade, in June. This addition marks “the start of what is intended to be a very significant 18-month period for content releases,” says the company. Sales grew 19% to $2.30 billion in the second quarter, and operating margins are rich at 42%.</p><p><blockquote>除了赢得新粉丝，该公司还定期推出新游戏并扩展现有的特许经营权——最近一次是在6月份推出的《魔兽世界：燃烧的十字军东征》。该公司表示，这一新增标志着 “为期 18 个月的内容发布期的开始”。第二季度销售额增长 19%，达到 23 亿美元，营业利润率高达 42%。</blockquote></p><p> One risk is that fallout from allegations of sexual misconduct and&nbsp;a related lawsuit by the California Department of Fair Employment and Housing will “make it difficult for the firm to attract and retain top talent in a very competitive industry,” says&nbsp;Morningstar analyst Neil Macker.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司（Morningstar）分析师尼尔-麦克（Neil Macker）说，一个风险是，性行为不端指控以及加州公平就业和住房部提起的相关诉讼将 “使该公司难以在竞争激烈的行业中吸引和留住顶尖人才”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Director Peter Nolan just bought $2 million worth at $80-$82.28 a share. He’s a good insider to follow because he bought $4.3 million in March 2019 at $43 and the stock is now almost a double. Also, in my system of insider analysis, repeat buying on strength (as opposed to profit taking) is bullish. He also bought at $3.70 back in 2004.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明理财信号</b>导演彼得·诺兰刚刚以每股 80-82.28 美元的价格购买了价值 200 万美元的股票。他是一个值得关注的内部人士，因为他在 2019 年 3 月以 43 美元的价格买入了 430 万美元，现在股价几乎翻了一番。此外，在我的内部分析系统中，重复强势买入（而不是获利了结）是看涨的。他还在2004年以3.70美元的价格买入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>B. Riley Financial</b></p><p><blockquote><b>B. 莱利金融</b></blockquote></p><p> I introduced this name in my stock letter in March 2018 at $20 and reiterated it over a dozen times into strength after that. It now trades for over $65. Despite the hefty gains, I think&nbsp;<b>B. Riley Financia</b>&nbsp;is still a hold, and a buy for anyone who does not own.</p><p><blockquote>我在2018年3月以20美元的价格在我的股票信中介绍了这个名字，并在那之后重申了十几次。它现在的交易价格超过65美元。尽管收益巨大，但我认为<b>B. 莱利金融</b>仍然是持有，对于任何不拥有它的人来说都是买入。</blockquote></p><p> This is a Los Angeles-based investment bank that also manages money and does stock research. It specializes in small- and mid-cap stocks. B. Riley Financial is a good proxy for the overall market and the U.S. economy, given its banking and market-related businesses. This will be a plus, as economic growth holds up. It also continues to expand via acquisitions.&nbsp;Revenue grew 26% in the second quarter to $336.8 million, in part because of an acquisition. It pays a 2.9% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家总部位于洛杉矶的投资银行，也管理资金和进行股票研究。它专注于中小盘股。B. Riley Financial 凭借其银行和市场相关业务，是整体市场和美国经济的良好代表。随着经济增长保持稳定，这将是一个优势。它还通过收购继续扩张。第二季度收入增长 26%，达到 3.368 亿美元，部分原因是收购。它支付2.9%的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: CEO Bryant Riley purchased $3.4 million worth of stock at $63 to $68 in early June and August. He has a long record of buying over $22 million worth of stock in the $8 to $48 range since 2014, including $6.6 million in purchases near the start of this year at $46 to $48.71 (already up over 40%).</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明理财信号</b>: 首席执行官布莱恩特·莱利 (Bryant Riley) 在 6 月初和 8 月初以 63 至 68 美元的价格购买了价值 340 万美元的股票。自2014年以来，他在8美元至48美元范围内购买了价值超过2200万美元的股票，包括今年年初以46美元至48.71美元的价格购买了660万美元（已经上涨了40%以上）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alibaba Group</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW集团</b></blockquote></p><p> If you like to buy quality companies whose stocks are beaten down by a host of problems, then Chinese consumer platform&nbsp;<b>Alibaba Group</b>&nbsp;may be for you.</p><p><blockquote>如果你喜欢购买股票因一系列问题而遭受重创的优质公司，那么中国消费者平台<b>阿里巴巴-SW集团</b>可能是给你的。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares are down 40% since October because of rising U.S.-China tensions, some weakness in its core consumer business, the possible loss of tax breaks in China, and allegations of sexual assault inside the company.</p><p><blockquote>由于中美紧张局势加剧、核心消费业务疲软、中国可能失去税收减免以及公司内部性侵犯指控，该公司股价自 10 月份以来已下跌 40%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> These are serious issues, but this is also a company with serious potential. Over one billion consumers use its marketplaces, including 891 million in China and 240 million abroad. Organic sales growth is 32%. It’s in the early stages of rolling out its AliCloud cloud computing business, which could be the next big growth driver.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是严重的问题，但这也是一家具有巨大潜力的公司。超过10亿消费者使用其市场，其中8.91亿在中国，2.4亿在国外。有机销售额增长32%。该公司正处于推出 AliCloud 云计算业务的早期阶段，这可能是下一个重要的增长动力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: This company is singled out by Albert Meyer of Bastiat Capital, which has posted 22% annualized growth over the past five years compared to 17.7% for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明理财信号</b>Bastiat Capital 的 Albert Meyer 特别指出了这家公司，该公司在过去五年中的年化增长率为 22%，而标普500的年化增长率为 17.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An attractive spinoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有吸引力的衍生产品</b></blockquote></p><p> One tactic that works fairly consistently in investing is buying spinoffs. Companies don’t like to burn shareholders, so they tend to do spinoffs at a discount, as a kind of “gift.” Money managers who get spun-off shares often dump them anyway, because the new company does not fit their mandate.</p><p><blockquote>投资中相当一致的一种策略是购买衍生产品。公司不喜欢烧伤股东，所以他们倾向于以折扣价进行分拆，作为一种 “礼物”。获得分拆股票的基金经理无论如何都会抛售它们，因为新公司不符合他们的职责。</blockquote></p><p> A good spinoff to consider right now is&nbsp;<b>Organon</b>,a mid-size pharma company. It was jettisoned from Merck&nbsp;in May. Organon just bounced 12% on Aug. 12 after it posted a solid quarter, but it still trades below the spinoff price of around $38. At this level, the stock looks attractively cheap, trading near five times 2021 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>现在可以考虑的一个好的衍生产品是<b>器官</b>一家中型制药公司。它于 5 月份被默克抛弃。 Organon 在公布了稳健的季度业绩后，于 8 月 12 日刚刚反弹 12%，但其交易价格仍低于 38 美元左右的分拆价格。在这个水平上，该股看起来很便宜，交易价格接近 2021 年市盈率的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, Organon is cheap because it has issues. The chief one is the looming patent cliff on many of its products. Its Nexplanon birth control rolls off patent during 2025-2027, and that’s 11% of sales.</p><p><blockquote>当然，Organon很便宜，因为它有问题。最主要的一个是其许多产品迫在眉睫的专利悬崖。其 Nexplanon 避孕药将于 2025-2027 年期间获得专利，占销售额的 11%。</blockquote></p><p> But this might not be such a threat. “There is a strong possibility that it can extend its patent to as late as 2030,” says Bruce Kaser, a value investor who is the editor of the Cabot Turnaround Letter. Nexplanon is a rod implanted under the skin, so women may be reluctant to go with a discount version. Another problem: Organon sells into China, where the government is cutting the prices of its products. But the worst of the damage may be over.</p><p><blockquote>但这可能不是这样的威胁。“卡伯特扭亏为盈信的编辑、价值投资者布鲁斯-卡瑟（Bruce Kaser）说：”该公司很有可能将专利延长至 2030 年。Nexplanon是一种植入皮下的棒，所以女性可能不愿意选择打折版本。另一个问题是：Organon销往中国，中国政府正在降低其产品价格。但最严重的损害可能已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> On the upside, Organon plans to regularly launch new products. And the company has $1.3 billion in annual free cash flow supporting a dividend yield of 3.3%.</p><p><blockquote>从好的方面来看，Organon计划定期推出新产品。该公司每年拥有 13 亿美元的自由现金流，支持 3.3% 的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Organon was recently suggested in the Cabot Turnaround Letter, which has a good record. Its portfolio is up 135.8% in the past 12 months, compared with 36.5% for S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明理财信号</b>: Organon 最近在 Cabot 扭亏为盈的信中被建议，该信中有着良好的记录。过去 12 个月，其投资组合增长了 135.8%，而标普500的投资组合增长了 36.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An education play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>教育剧</b></blockquote></p><p> If universities have allowed their participation in the culture wars to distract them from the core mission of basic education,<b>Chegg</b>&nbsp;is there to pick up the slack.</p><p><blockquote>如果大学允许他们参与文化战争来分散他们对基础教育核心使命的注意力，<b>切格</b>是来收拾残局的。</blockquote></p><p> This online education company helps college and high school students master their math and writing skills. The company also helps students save on expensive text books by offering rentals and e-textbook versions.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线教育公司帮助大学生和高中生掌握数学和写作技能。该公司还通过提供租赁和电子教科书版本来帮助学生节省昂贵的教科书费用。</blockquote></p><p> While online education has a black eye, Chegg is the exception. Last year student subscriptions jumped 67% to 6.6 million from a year earlier. Sales grew 30% in the quarter, and the company guided to 28% sales growth for this year, to $805 million to $815 million.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在线教育有黑眼圈，但切格是个例外。去年，学生订阅量比上年同期增长了 67%，达到 660 万。本季度销售额增长了 30%，该公司预计今年销售额增长 28%，达到 8.05 亿至 8.15 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Online learning had a bad reputation for overcharging, while success rates were minimal,” says money manager Kevin Landis. “But Chegg is different.”</p><p><blockquote>“资金经理凯文-兰迪斯（Kevin Landis）说：”在线学习因收费过高而名声不佳，而成功率却很低。“但切格不同。”</blockquote></p><p> He likes the robust growth in the U.S. and the big potential for international growth, particularly in Asia.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢美国的强劲增长以及国际增长的巨大潜力，尤其是在亚洲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Landis’ Firsthand Technology Opportunities&nbsp;beats its Morningstar technology fund category by eight percentage points annualized over the past five years. Chegg is the second-largest position, at 8% of the portfolio. Chegg is the sixth-biggest holding of the Alger Weatherbie Specialized Growth Fund,which beats its mid-cap growth category by 5.7 percentage points annualized over the past five years.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明理财信号</b>: 在过去五年中，兰迪斯的第一手技术机会比晨星技术基金类别高出 8 个百分点。Chegg 是第二大头寸，占投资组合的 8%。Chegg 是 Alger Weatherbie Specialized Growth Fund 的第六大持股， 该基金在过去五年中年化比中型增长类别高出 5.7 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/if-youre-nervous-about-the-stock-market-at-record-highs-consider-these-five-companies-that-are-loved-by-the-smart-money-11628865442?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","OGN":"Organon & Co","CHGG":"Chegg Inc","RILY":"BRC Group Holdings, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/if-youre-nervous-about-the-stock-market-at-record-highs-consider-these-five-companies-that-are-loved-by-the-smart-money-11628865442?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173847412","content_text":"Company insiders and professional investors are buying shares of Alibaba, Chegg and Activision Blizzard, among others\n(Photo by Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images)\nThe stock market is near all-time highs, but train-wreck season lies just around the corner.\nShould you sell? After all, the S&P 500,Nasdaq and Dow Jones Industrial Average often hit a rough patch in September and October.\nI say hold on, and indeed consider any of the five companies below because they are “smart money” favorites. But first, big picture, here are three reasons to stay the course.\n1. There’s no guarantee that the seasonal weakness will repeat. Besides, the ability to time market turns is tough.\n2. Fears about the delta variant of Covid are overblown. More people are getting vaccinated, and most of them won’t suffer severe symptoms if infected, say market strategists at T. Rowe Price.\n3. There’s a lot of embedded demand in the economy and it will sustain growth, says Leuthold Group strategist Jim Paulsen.\nOn the consumer front (most of the economy): Personal savings at a record high, durable goods purchases are near a 50-year low, and new household formation is at a record high. People buy stuff to fill new homes. Next, the economy has plenty of room to grow given the elevated jobless rate and big excess lending capacity at banks.\nFive smart money stocks\nAt my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks, I favor stocks that corporate insiders like. But not just any insiders. I go for stocks picked up by insiders with great records. Here are two, trading near where insiders just bought.\nActivision Blizzard\nThis is the company behind the most popular and addictive online games — like Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, Diablo, Overwatch and Candy Crush.Activision Blizzard makes money via game sales and subscriptions, by selling in-game content and ads. It has around 408 million regular users.\nBesides winning over new fans, the company regularly launches new games and expands existing franchises — most recently with World of Warcraft: The Burning Crusade, in June. This addition marks “the start of what is intended to be a very significant 18-month period for content releases,” says the company. Sales grew 19% to $2.30 billion in the second quarter, and operating margins are rich at 42%.\nOne risk is that fallout from allegations of sexual misconduct and a related lawsuit by the California Department of Fair Employment and Housing will “make it difficult for the firm to attract and retain top talent in a very competitive industry,” says Morningstar analyst Neil Macker.\nThe smart money signal: Director Peter Nolan just bought $2 million worth at $80-$82.28 a share. He’s a good insider to follow because he bought $4.3 million in March 2019 at $43 and the stock is now almost a double. Also, in my system of insider analysis, repeat buying on strength (as opposed to profit taking) is bullish. He also bought at $3.70 back in 2004.\nB. Riley Financial\nI introduced this name in my stock letter in March 2018 at $20 and reiterated it over a dozen times into strength after that. It now trades for over $65. Despite the hefty gains, I think B. Riley Financia is still a hold, and a buy for anyone who does not own.\nThis is a Los Angeles-based investment bank that also manages money and does stock research. It specializes in small- and mid-cap stocks. B. Riley Financial is a good proxy for the overall market and the U.S. economy, given its banking and market-related businesses. This will be a plus, as economic growth holds up. It also continues to expand via acquisitions. Revenue grew 26% in the second quarter to $336.8 million, in part because of an acquisition. It pays a 2.9% dividend yield.\nThe smart money signal: CEO Bryant Riley purchased $3.4 million worth of stock at $63 to $68 in early June and August. He has a long record of buying over $22 million worth of stock in the $8 to $48 range since 2014, including $6.6 million in purchases near the start of this year at $46 to $48.71 (already up over 40%).\nAlibaba Group\nIf you like to buy quality companies whose stocks are beaten down by a host of problems, then Chinese consumer platform Alibaba Group may be for you.\nIts shares are down 40% since October because of rising U.S.-China tensions, some weakness in its core consumer business, the possible loss of tax breaks in China, and allegations of sexual assault inside the company.\nThese are serious issues, but this is also a company with serious potential. Over one billion consumers use its marketplaces, including 891 million in China and 240 million abroad. Organic sales growth is 32%. It’s in the early stages of rolling out its AliCloud cloud computing business, which could be the next big growth driver.\nThe smart money signal: This company is singled out by Albert Meyer of Bastiat Capital, which has posted 22% annualized growth over the past five years compared to 17.7% for the S&P 500.\nAn attractive spinoff\nOne tactic that works fairly consistently in investing is buying spinoffs. Companies don’t like to burn shareholders, so they tend to do spinoffs at a discount, as a kind of “gift.” Money managers who get spun-off shares often dump them anyway, because the new company does not fit their mandate.\nA good spinoff to consider right now is Organon,a mid-size pharma company. It was jettisoned from Merck in May. Organon just bounced 12% on Aug. 12 after it posted a solid quarter, but it still trades below the spinoff price of around $38. At this level, the stock looks attractively cheap, trading near five times 2021 earnings.\nOf course, Organon is cheap because it has issues. The chief one is the looming patent cliff on many of its products. Its Nexplanon birth control rolls off patent during 2025-2027, and that’s 11% of sales.\nBut this might not be such a threat. “There is a strong possibility that it can extend its patent to as late as 2030,” says Bruce Kaser, a value investor who is the editor of the Cabot Turnaround Letter. Nexplanon is a rod implanted under the skin, so women may be reluctant to go with a discount version. Another problem: Organon sells into China, where the government is cutting the prices of its products. But the worst of the damage may be over.\nOn the upside, Organon plans to regularly launch new products. And the company has $1.3 billion in annual free cash flow supporting a dividend yield of 3.3%.\nThe smart money signal: Organon was recently suggested in the Cabot Turnaround Letter, which has a good record. Its portfolio is up 135.8% in the past 12 months, compared with 36.5% for S&P 500.\nAn education play\nIf universities have allowed their participation in the culture wars to distract them from the core mission of basic education,Chegg is there to pick up the slack.\nThis online education company helps college and high school students master their math and writing skills. The company also helps students save on expensive text books by offering rentals and e-textbook versions.\nWhile online education has a black eye, Chegg is the exception. Last year student subscriptions jumped 67% to 6.6 million from a year earlier. Sales grew 30% in the quarter, and the company guided to 28% sales growth for this year, to $805 million to $815 million.\n“Online learning had a bad reputation for overcharging, while success rates were minimal,” says money manager Kevin Landis. “But Chegg is different.”\nHe likes the robust growth in the U.S. and the big potential for international growth, particularly in Asia.\nThe smart money signal: Landis’ Firsthand Technology Opportunities beats its Morningstar technology fund category by eight percentage points annualized over the past five years. Chegg is the second-largest position, at 8% of the portfolio. Chegg is the sixth-biggest holding of the Alger Weatherbie Specialized Growth Fund,which beats its mid-cap growth category by 5.7 percentage points annualized over the past five years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CHGG":0.9,"ATVI":0.9,"OGN":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"RILY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894465986,"gmtCreate":1628849016745,"gmtModify":1631888919538,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894465986","repostId":"1108838681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892552957,"gmtCreate":1628675873579,"gmtModify":1631888919544,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892552957","repostId":"1100108959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100108959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628673156,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1100108959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 17:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China July bank loans fall to 9-mth low, modest policy easing expected<blockquote>中国7月银行贷款降至9个月低点，预计政策将适度放松</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100108959","media":"Reuters","summary":"BEIJING, Aug 11 (Reuters) - China's new bank loans fell more than expected in July to their lowest i","content":"<p>BEIJING, Aug 11 (Reuters) - China's new bank loans fell more than expected in July to their lowest in nine months while broad credit growth hit a 17-month low, adding to market expectations that modest policy easing may be needed to underpin the country's economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>路透北京8月11日 - 中国7月新增银行贷款降幅超过预期，降至九个月来最低水平，而广义信贷增长触及17个月低点，这加剧了市场对可能需要适度宽松政策来支撑中国经济复苏的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The world's second-largest economy has largely rebounded from disruptions caused by the pandemic last year, but recent new outbreaks of the Delta variants and severe flooding threaten to slow its recovery.</p><p><blockquote>世界第二大经济体已基本从去年疫情造成的干扰中反弹，但最近三角洲变种的新爆发和严重的洪水可能会减缓其复苏。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese banks extended 1.08 trillion yuan ($166.5 billion) in new yuan loans in July, well down from 2.12 trillion yuan in June and the weakest level since October 2020, according to data released by the People's Bank of China (PBOC) on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>中国人民银行（PBOC）周三公布的数据显示，中国各银行7月份新增人民币贷款1.08万亿元（1665亿美元），远低于6月份的2.12万亿元，为2020年10月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts polled by Reuters had predicted new yuan loans would fall to 1.20 trillion yuan. Despite the drop, the total was still higher than 992.7 billion yuan a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>路透社调查的分析师曾预测新增人民币贷款将降至1.20万亿元。尽管有所下降，但总额仍高于上年同期的9927亿元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese banks doled out a record 12.76 trillion yuan in new loans in the first half of 2021, even as the PBOC sought to cool broader credit growth to rein in debt risks amid rising defaults.</p><p><blockquote>2021年上半年，中国银行发放了创纪录的12.76万亿元人民币新增贷款，尽管中国人民银行试图冷却更广泛的信贷增长，以在违约率上升的情况下控制债务风险。</blockquote></p><p> Financial markets are increasingly looking for signs that authorities will announce additional measures to stimulate activity as post-COVID growth rates moderate. In July the PBOC cut the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for banks, releasing around 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity, and analysts expect another RRR cut this year.</p><p><blockquote>金融市场越来越多地寻找迹象，表明随着新冠疫情后增长率放缓，当局将宣布额外措施来刺激经济活动。7月，中国人民银行下调了银行存款准备金率（RRR），释放了约1万亿元人民币的长期流动性，分析师预计今年将再次下调存款准备金率。</blockquote></p><p> \"After stabilising in June, broad credit growth resumed its downward trajectory in July and is now at its slowest since February last year,\" Capital Economics said in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观在给客户的一份报告中表示：“广义信贷增长在 6 月份企稳后，7 月份恢复了下降轨迹，目前处于去年 2 月以来的最低水平。”</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the slowdown and resulting headwind to the economy to continue in the coming months, further RRR and policy rate cuts notwithstanding.\"</p><p><blockquote>“尽管进一步降准和政策利率，我们预计未来几个月经济放缓和由此带来的阻力仍将持续。”</blockquote></p><p> Many analysts are lowering growth forecasts for the second half of the year as China imposes new restrictions to battle an outbreak of the Delta variant, which will dampen activity, particularly in services such as tourism, retail and restaurants.</p><p><blockquote>许多分析师正在下调下半年的增长预测，因为中国实施了新的限制措施来抗击德尔塔变异毒株的爆发，这将抑制经济活动，特别是旅游、零售和餐饮等服务业。</blockquote></p><p> Continued curbs on property speculation, higher raw material prices, tougher pollution controls and severe flooding in parts of the country are also weighing on growth.</p><p><blockquote>对房地产投机的持续限制、原材料价格上涨、更严格的污染控制以及该国部分地区的严重洪灾也对经济增长造成了压力。</blockquote></p><p> Policy insiders and analysts told Reuters last week that China would bolster the economy with faster spending on infrastructure projects while the central bank would support activity with modest easing steps. Most analysts believe policy rate cuts this year are still unlikely, though some have recently begun to pencil them in.</p><p><blockquote>政策内部人士和分析师上周告诉路透社，中国将通过加快基础设施项目支出来提振经济，而央行将通过适度宽松措施来支持经济活动。大多数分析师认为，今年的政策降息仍然不太可能，尽管一些分析师最近已经开始考虑降息。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank said on Monday it would keep monetary policy flexible and appropriate to maintain stability as the pandemic persists and the domestic economic recovery is uneven. The PBOC cited a rebound in COVID-19 cases globally and the risk from expected policy shifts in developed countries that could affect cross-border capital flows.</p><p><blockquote>央行周一表示，在疫情持续、国内经济复苏不均衡的情况下，将保持货币政策灵活适度，以保持稳定。中国人民银行指出，全球新冠肺炎病例反弹，以及发达国家预期政策转变可能影响跨境资本流动的风险。</blockquote></p><p> A meeting of the Politburo, a top-decision making body of the ruling Communist Party, pledged in July to maintain an accommodative stance in the face of an uneven domestic recovery and global uncertainty.</p><p><blockquote>执政的共产党最高决策机构政治局在7月份召开会议，承诺面对不均衡的国内复苏和全球不确定性，将保持宽松立场。</blockquote></p><p> Broad M2 money supply grew 8.3% from a year earlier, central bank data showed, below a forecast of 8.7% in the Reuters poll and the 8.6% pace seen in June.</p><p><blockquote>央行数据显示，广义M2货币供应量同比增长8.3%，低于路透社调查中8.7%的预测和6月份8.6%的增速。</blockquote></p><p> Outstanding yuan loans grew 12.3% in July from a year earlier, in line with expectations, and unchanged from June.</p><p><blockquote>7月人民币未偿还贷款同比增长12.3%，符合预期，与6月持平。</blockquote></p><p> Growth of outstanding total social financing (TSF), a broad measure of credit and liquidity in the economy, slowed to 10.7% in July - the weakest reading since February 2020 - from a year earlier and from 11% in June.</p><p><blockquote>未偿社会融资总额（TSF）是衡量经济信贷和流动性的广泛指标，7月份的增长率从去年同期和6月份的11%放缓至10.7%，为2020年2月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> TSF includes off-balance sheet forms of financing that exist outside the conventional bank lending system, such as initial public offerings, loans from trust companies and bond sales.</p><p><blockquote>TSF 包括传统银行贷款系统之外存在的表外融资形式，例如首次公开募股、信托公司贷款和债券销售。</blockquote></p><p> In July, TSF fell to 1.06 trillion yuan from 3.67 trillion yuan in June. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected July TSF of 1.70 trillion yuan.</p><p><blockquote>7月，TSF从6月的3.67万亿元降至1.06万亿元。路透社调查的分析师此前预期7月份TSF为1.70万亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China July bank loans fall to 9-mth low, modest policy easing expected<blockquote>中国7月银行贷款降至9个月低点，预计政策将适度放松</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina July bank loans fall to 9-mth low, modest policy easing expected<blockquote>中国7月银行贷款降至9个月低点，预计政策将适度放松</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-11 17:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BEIJING, Aug 11 (Reuters) - China's new bank loans fell more than expected in July to their lowest in nine months while broad credit growth hit a 17-month low, adding to market expectations that modest policy easing may be needed to underpin the country's economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>路透北京8月11日 - 中国7月新增银行贷款降幅超过预期，降至九个月来最低水平，而广义信贷增长触及17个月低点，这加剧了市场对可能需要适度宽松政策来支撑中国经济复苏的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The world's second-largest economy has largely rebounded from disruptions caused by the pandemic last year, but recent new outbreaks of the Delta variants and severe flooding threaten to slow its recovery.</p><p><blockquote>世界第二大经济体已基本从去年疫情造成的干扰中反弹，但最近三角洲变种的新爆发和严重的洪水可能会减缓其复苏。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese banks extended 1.08 trillion yuan ($166.5 billion) in new yuan loans in July, well down from 2.12 trillion yuan in June and the weakest level since October 2020, according to data released by the People's Bank of China (PBOC) on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>中国人民银行（PBOC）周三公布的数据显示，中国各银行7月份新增人民币贷款1.08万亿元（1665亿美元），远低于6月份的2.12万亿元，为2020年10月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts polled by Reuters had predicted new yuan loans would fall to 1.20 trillion yuan. Despite the drop, the total was still higher than 992.7 billion yuan a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>路透社调查的分析师曾预测新增人民币贷款将降至1.20万亿元。尽管有所下降，但总额仍高于上年同期的9927亿元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese banks doled out a record 12.76 trillion yuan in new loans in the first half of 2021, even as the PBOC sought to cool broader credit growth to rein in debt risks amid rising defaults.</p><p><blockquote>2021年上半年，中国银行发放了创纪录的12.76万亿元人民币新增贷款，尽管中国人民银行试图冷却更广泛的信贷增长，以在违约率上升的情况下控制债务风险。</blockquote></p><p> Financial markets are increasingly looking for signs that authorities will announce additional measures to stimulate activity as post-COVID growth rates moderate. In July the PBOC cut the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for banks, releasing around 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity, and analysts expect another RRR cut this year.</p><p><blockquote>金融市场越来越多地寻找迹象，表明随着新冠疫情后增长率放缓，当局将宣布额外措施来刺激经济活动。7月，中国人民银行下调了银行存款准备金率（RRR），释放了约1万亿元人民币的长期流动性，分析师预计今年将再次下调存款准备金率。</blockquote></p><p> \"After stabilising in June, broad credit growth resumed its downward trajectory in July and is now at its slowest since February last year,\" Capital Economics said in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观在给客户的一份报告中表示：“广义信贷增长在 6 月份企稳后，7 月份恢复了下降轨迹，目前处于去年 2 月以来的最低水平。”</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the slowdown and resulting headwind to the economy to continue in the coming months, further RRR and policy rate cuts notwithstanding.\"</p><p><blockquote>“尽管进一步降准和政策利率，我们预计未来几个月经济放缓和由此带来的阻力仍将持续。”</blockquote></p><p> Many analysts are lowering growth forecasts for the second half of the year as China imposes new restrictions to battle an outbreak of the Delta variant, which will dampen activity, particularly in services such as tourism, retail and restaurants.</p><p><blockquote>许多分析师正在下调下半年的增长预测，因为中国实施了新的限制措施来抗击德尔塔变异毒株的爆发，这将抑制经济活动，特别是旅游、零售和餐饮等服务业。</blockquote></p><p> Continued curbs on property speculation, higher raw material prices, tougher pollution controls and severe flooding in parts of the country are also weighing on growth.</p><p><blockquote>对房地产投机的持续限制、原材料价格上涨、更严格的污染控制以及该国部分地区的严重洪灾也对经济增长造成了压力。</blockquote></p><p> Policy insiders and analysts told Reuters last week that China would bolster the economy with faster spending on infrastructure projects while the central bank would support activity with modest easing steps. Most analysts believe policy rate cuts this year are still unlikely, though some have recently begun to pencil them in.</p><p><blockquote>政策内部人士和分析师上周告诉路透社，中国将通过加快基础设施项目支出来提振经济，而央行将通过适度宽松措施来支持经济活动。大多数分析师认为，今年的政策降息仍然不太可能，尽管一些分析师最近已经开始考虑降息。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank said on Monday it would keep monetary policy flexible and appropriate to maintain stability as the pandemic persists and the domestic economic recovery is uneven. The PBOC cited a rebound in COVID-19 cases globally and the risk from expected policy shifts in developed countries that could affect cross-border capital flows.</p><p><blockquote>央行周一表示，在疫情持续、国内经济复苏不均衡的情况下，将保持货币政策灵活适度，以保持稳定。中国人民银行指出，全球新冠肺炎病例反弹，以及发达国家预期政策转变可能影响跨境资本流动的风险。</blockquote></p><p> A meeting of the Politburo, a top-decision making body of the ruling Communist Party, pledged in July to maintain an accommodative stance in the face of an uneven domestic recovery and global uncertainty.</p><p><blockquote>执政的共产党最高决策机构政治局在7月份召开会议，承诺面对不均衡的国内复苏和全球不确定性，将保持宽松立场。</blockquote></p><p> Broad M2 money supply grew 8.3% from a year earlier, central bank data showed, below a forecast of 8.7% in the Reuters poll and the 8.6% pace seen in June.</p><p><blockquote>央行数据显示，广义M2货币供应量同比增长8.3%，低于路透社调查中8.7%的预测和6月份8.6%的增速。</blockquote></p><p> Outstanding yuan loans grew 12.3% in July from a year earlier, in line with expectations, and unchanged from June.</p><p><blockquote>7月人民币未偿还贷款同比增长12.3%，符合预期，与6月持平。</blockquote></p><p> Growth of outstanding total social financing (TSF), a broad measure of credit and liquidity in the economy, slowed to 10.7% in July - the weakest reading since February 2020 - from a year earlier and from 11% in June.</p><p><blockquote>未偿社会融资总额（TSF）是衡量经济信贷和流动性的广泛指标，7月份的增长率从去年同期和6月份的11%放缓至10.7%，为2020年2月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> TSF includes off-balance sheet forms of financing that exist outside the conventional bank lending system, such as initial public offerings, loans from trust companies and bond sales.</p><p><blockquote>TSF 包括传统银行贷款系统之外存在的表外融资形式，例如首次公开募股、信托公司贷款和债券销售。</blockquote></p><p> In July, TSF fell to 1.06 trillion yuan from 3.67 trillion yuan in June. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected July TSF of 1.70 trillion yuan.</p><p><blockquote>7月，TSF从6月的3.67万亿元降至1.06万亿元。路透社调查的分析师此前预期7月份TSF为1.70万亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-china-july-bank-loans-090507956.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-china-july-bank-loans-090507956.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100108959","content_text":"BEIJING, Aug 11 (Reuters) - China's new bank loans fell more than expected in July to their lowest in nine months while broad credit growth hit a 17-month low, adding to market expectations that modest policy easing may be needed to underpin the country's economic recovery.\nThe world's second-largest economy has largely rebounded from disruptions caused by the pandemic last year, but recent new outbreaks of the Delta variants and severe flooding threaten to slow its recovery.\nChinese banks extended 1.08 trillion yuan ($166.5 billion) in new yuan loans in July, well down from 2.12 trillion yuan in June and the weakest level since October 2020, according to data released by the People's Bank of China (PBOC) on Wednesday.\nAnalysts polled by Reuters had predicted new yuan loans would fall to 1.20 trillion yuan. Despite the drop, the total was still higher than 992.7 billion yuan a year earlier.\nChinese banks doled out a record 12.76 trillion yuan in new loans in the first half of 2021, even as the PBOC sought to cool broader credit growth to rein in debt risks amid rising defaults.\nFinancial markets are increasingly looking for signs that authorities will announce additional measures to stimulate activity as post-COVID growth rates moderate. In July the PBOC cut the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for banks, releasing around 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity, and analysts expect another RRR cut this year.\n\"After stabilising in June, broad credit growth resumed its downward trajectory in July and is now at its slowest since February last year,\" Capital Economics said in a note to clients.\n\"We expect the slowdown and resulting headwind to the economy to continue in the coming months, further RRR and policy rate cuts notwithstanding.\"\nMany analysts are lowering growth forecasts for the second half of the year as China imposes new restrictions to battle an outbreak of the Delta variant, which will dampen activity, particularly in services such as tourism, retail and restaurants.\nContinued curbs on property speculation, higher raw material prices, tougher pollution controls and severe flooding in parts of the country are also weighing on growth.\nPolicy insiders and analysts told Reuters last week that China would bolster the economy with faster spending on infrastructure projects while the central bank would support activity with modest easing steps. Most analysts believe policy rate cuts this year are still unlikely, though some have recently begun to pencil them in.\nThe central bank said on Monday it would keep monetary policy flexible and appropriate to maintain stability as the pandemic persists and the domestic economic recovery is uneven. The PBOC cited a rebound in COVID-19 cases globally and the risk from expected policy shifts in developed countries that could affect cross-border capital flows.\nA meeting of the Politburo, a top-decision making body of the ruling Communist Party, pledged in July to maintain an accommodative stance in the face of an uneven domestic recovery and global uncertainty.\nBroad M2 money supply grew 8.3% from a year earlier, central bank data showed, below a forecast of 8.7% in the Reuters poll and the 8.6% pace seen in June.\nOutstanding yuan loans grew 12.3% in July from a year earlier, in line with expectations, and unchanged from June.\nGrowth of outstanding total social financing (TSF), a broad measure of credit and liquidity in the economy, slowed to 10.7% in July - the weakest reading since February 2020 - from a year earlier and from 11% in June.\nTSF includes off-balance sheet forms of financing that exist outside the conventional bank lending system, such as initial public offerings, loans from trust companies and bond sales.\nIn July, TSF fell to 1.06 trillion yuan from 3.67 trillion yuan in June. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected July TSF of 1.70 trillion yuan.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898492987,"gmtCreate":1628516259449,"gmtModify":1631888919560,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898492987","repostId":"1122651143","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122651143","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628508488,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122651143?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto sector stocks rose in premarket trading,BTCM shares jumped more than 30%,BITF surged more than 20%.<blockquote>加密货币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨， BTCM股价上涨超过30%， BITF飙升超过20%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122651143","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto sector stocks rose in premarket trading,BTCM shares jumped more than 30%,BITF surged more tha","content":"<p>Crypto&nbsp;sector&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading,BTCM&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;30%,BITF&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;20%.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨， BTCM股价上涨超过30%， BITF飙升超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ece56572cf91d8de69991add19a22f4\" tg-width=\"1287\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Investors in stock trading platforms are citing the momentum in cryptocurrencies as being the driving force for the stock price increase. The price of the Bitcoin cryptocurrency is up more than 9% over the past week. And Ethereum is up more than 12% over the past week.</p><p><blockquote>股票交易平台的投资者将加密货币的势头视为股价上涨的驱动力。过去一周，比特币加密货币的价格上涨了9%以上。以太币在过去一周上涨了12%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Late last month, BIT Mining announced it entered into a definitive purchase agreement to buy 2,500 new bitcoin mining machines for a total consideration of approximately US$6.6 million. And when deployed, the company expects the Acquired Machines to increase its theoretical maximum total hash rate capacity by about 165 peta hashes per second (PH/s).</p><p><blockquote>上月底，BIT Mining 宣布已签订最终购买协议，购买 2,500 台新的比特币矿机，总代价约为 660 万美元。部署后，该公司预计收购的机器将使其理论最大总哈希速率容量每秒增加约 165 peta 哈希（PH/s）。</blockquote></p><p> The acquired machines are expected to be delivered within one week from today. And following delivery, the company plans for them to be shipped to Kazakhstan for deployment.</p><p><blockquote>收购的机器预计将在从今天起一周内交付。交付后，该公司计划将它们运往哈萨克斯坦进行部署。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto sector stocks rose in premarket trading,BTCM shares jumped more than 30%,BITF surged more than 20%.<blockquote>加密货币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨， BTCM股价上涨超过30%， BITF飙升超过20%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto sector stocks rose in premarket trading,BTCM shares jumped more than 30%,BITF surged more than 20%.<blockquote>加密货币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨， BTCM股价上涨超过30%， BITF飙升超过20%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-09 19:28</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Crypto&nbsp;sector&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading,BTCM&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;30%,BITF&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;20%.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨， BTCM股价上涨超过30%， BITF飙升超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ece56572cf91d8de69991add19a22f4\" tg-width=\"1287\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Investors in stock trading platforms are citing the momentum in cryptocurrencies as being the driving force for the stock price increase. The price of the Bitcoin cryptocurrency is up more than 9% over the past week. And Ethereum is up more than 12% over the past week.</p><p><blockquote>股票交易平台的投资者将加密货币的势头视为股价上涨的驱动力。过去一周，比特币加密货币的价格上涨了9%以上。以太币在过去一周上涨了12%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Late last month, BIT Mining announced it entered into a definitive purchase agreement to buy 2,500 new bitcoin mining machines for a total consideration of approximately US$6.6 million. And when deployed, the company expects the Acquired Machines to increase its theoretical maximum total hash rate capacity by about 165 peta hashes per second (PH/s).</p><p><blockquote>上月底，BIT Mining 宣布已签订最终购买协议，购买 2,500 台新的比特币矿机，总代价约为 660 万美元。部署后，该公司预计收购的机器将使其理论最大总哈希速率容量每秒增加约 165 peta 哈希（PH/s）。</blockquote></p><p> The acquired machines are expected to be delivered within one week from today. And following delivery, the company plans for them to be shipped to Kazakhstan for deployment.</p><p><blockquote>收购的机器预计将在从今天起一周内交付。交付后，该公司计划将它们运往哈萨克斯坦进行部署。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BITF":"Bitfarms Ltd."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122651143","content_text":"Crypto sector stocks rose in premarket trading,BTCM shares jumped more than 30%,BITF surged more than 20%.\nInvestors in stock trading platforms are citing the momentum in cryptocurrencies as being the driving force for the stock price increase. The price of the Bitcoin cryptocurrency is up more than 9% over the past week. And Ethereum is up more than 12% over the past week.\nLate last month, BIT Mining announced it entered into a definitive purchase agreement to buy 2,500 new bitcoin mining machines for a total consideration of approximately US$6.6 million. And when deployed, the company expects the Acquired Machines to increase its theoretical maximum total hash rate capacity by about 165 peta hashes per second (PH/s).\nThe acquired machines are expected to be delivered within one week from today. And following delivery, the company plans for them to be shipped to Kazakhstan for deployment.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BITF":0.9,"BTCM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891139255,"gmtCreate":1628346347377,"gmtModify":1633751534621,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oppss..","listText":"Oppss..","text":"Oppss..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891139255","repostId":"1110501028","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110501028","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628260468,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1110501028?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 22:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate<blockquote>腾讯控股被海淀区检察院起诉</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110501028","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 6) Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate.","content":"<p>(Aug 6)&nbsp;Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）腾讯控股被海淀区检察院起诉。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate<blockquote>腾讯控股被海淀区检察院起诉</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate<blockquote>腾讯控股被海淀区检察院起诉</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-06 22:34</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 6)&nbsp;Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）腾讯控股被海淀区检察院起诉。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110501028","content_text":"(Aug 6) Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TCEHY":0.9,"00700":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890971397,"gmtCreate":1628080403619,"gmtModify":1633753810290,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Noted.","listText":"Noted.","text":"Noted.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890971397","repostId":"1154407249","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805766774,"gmtCreate":1627907838898,"gmtModify":1633755419752,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok watchlist&nbsp;","listText":"Ok watchlist&nbsp;","text":"Ok watchlist","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805766774","repostId":"1194768057","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":811410102,"gmtCreate":1630335628306,"gmtModify":1704958742612,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Best","listText":"Best","text":"Best","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/811410102","repostId":"1182034389","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803776782,"gmtCreate":1627468827946,"gmtModify":1633764723637,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok, in&nbsp;my watchlist&nbsp;","listText":"Ok, in&nbsp;my watchlist&nbsp;","text":"Ok, in my watchlist","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803776782","repostId":"1181811581","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156250971,"gmtCreate":1625226660693,"gmtModify":1633942362692,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Look forward","listText":"Look forward","text":"Look forward","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156250971","repostId":"1126312436","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126312436","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625212145,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1126312436?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 15:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.<blockquote>股市上半年表现良好。可能导致它崩溃的3件事。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126312436","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the p","content":"<p>Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.</p><p><blockquote>今年股市无情地飙升。然而，有几个因素有可能结束聚会。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many signs of letting up. The index ended June up 14.4% year to date, hitting several records during the month and posting another record close on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>标普500今年上半年的表现是自 1998 年以来第二好的，而且并没有表现出太多放缓的迹象。该指数 6 月份迄今上涨 14.4%，当月创下多项纪录，并于周四创下收盘纪录。</blockquote></p><p> Yet there are a couple key risks that could turn all of that around, according to Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.</p><p><blockquote>然而，DataTrek 联合创始人尼克·科拉斯 (Nick Colas) 表示，有几个关键风险可能会扭转这一切。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s the possibility of an oil price shock, as the price of crude has shown little sign of cooling off. WTI crude oil is up 56% year to date and notched a&nbsp;new multi-year high&nbsp;Thursday—even amid growing&nbsp;expectations that OPEC will increase supply. If oil prices run hot enough, that could raise inflation to a level that—if sustained — could cause consumer demand to fall and that could surpass Federal Reserve expectations.</p><p><blockquote>首先，油价有可能出现冲击，因为原油价格几乎没有降温的迹象。WTI 原油今年迄今已上涨 56%，并在周四创下多年新高——尽管人们越来越预期 OPEC 将增加供应。如果油价足够火爆，这可能会将通胀推高到一个水平，如果持续下去，可能会导致消费者需求下降，并可能超出美联储的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “Suddenly higher oil prices” is atop the list of stock market concerns for Colas. “Rapidly rising oil prices will cause U.S. inflation to overshoot the Fed’s desired outcome and also stress the American consumer.”</p><p><blockquote>“油价突然上涨 ”是 Colas 最关心的股市问题。“油价快速上涨将导致美国通胀超过美联储的预期结果，也会给美国消费者带来压力”。</blockquote></p><p> Both those things could dent the stock market, which has long benefited from the Fed’s accommodative monetary policy, especially if the Fed signals that interest-rate increases could come sooner than expected.</p><p><blockquote>这两件事都可能削弱长期以来受益于美联储宽松货币政策的股市，尤其是如果美联储发出加息可能比预期更早的信号。</blockquote></p><p> That means the Fed will need to tread carefully when discussing rates to avoid spooking the market, Colas says.</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯表示，这意味着美联储在讨论利率时需要谨慎行事，以避免惊动市场。</blockquote></p><p> “Federal Reserve miscommunication about upcoming policy changes and/or raising interest rates too aggressively” is a second risk, Colas says. For instance, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dived 18% over roughly three months in late 2018 as the Fed raised rates, despite the market’s hope at that time for rates to stay put.</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯说：“美联储对即将到来的政策变化的沟通不畅和/或过于激进地加息”是第二个风险。例如，2018 年底，随着美联储加息，标普500在大约三个月的时间里暴跌了 18%，尽管当时市场希望利率保持不变。</blockquote></p><p> Peaking earnings growth is the other threat to stocks, Colas says. Earnings growth for the average S&amp;P 500 company is expected slow down to 11% in 2022 from 36% in 2021, according to FactSet, as the economy normalizes and the postpandemic recovery eases. But on average, S&amp;P 500 stocks trade at 21.5 times expected earnings for the next 12 months, still above the index’s pre-pandemic multiple. At some point, stocks valuations will need to better reflect the expected decline in earnings growth, which would mean falling stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯表示，盈利增长见顶是股市面临的另一个威胁。FactSet 的数据显示，随着经济正常化和大流行后复苏的缓解，标普500公司的平均盈利增长率预计将从 2021 年的 36% 放缓至 2022 年的 11%。但平均而言，标普500股市未来 12 个月的市盈率是预期市盈率的 21.5 倍，仍高于该指数大流行前的倍数。在某个时候，股票估值需要更好地反映盈利增长的预期下降，这将意味着股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are high enough currently that peaking earnings could be a larger risk than before,” Colas writes.</p><p><blockquote>“科拉斯写道：”目前的估值已经足够高，盈利见顶的风险可能比以前更大。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.<blockquote>股市上半年表现良好。可能导致它崩溃的3件事。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.<blockquote>股市上半年表现良好。可能导致它崩溃的3件事。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 15:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.</p><p><blockquote>今年股市无情地飙升。然而，有几个因素有可能结束聚会。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many signs of letting up. The index ended June up 14.4% year to date, hitting several records during the month and posting another record close on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>标普500今年上半年的表现是自 1998 年以来第二好的，而且并没有表现出太多放缓的迹象。该指数 6 月份迄今上涨 14.4%，当月创下多项纪录，并于周四创下收盘纪录。</blockquote></p><p> Yet there are a couple key risks that could turn all of that around, according to Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.</p><p><blockquote>然而，DataTrek 联合创始人尼克·科拉斯 (Nick Colas) 表示，有几个关键风险可能会扭转这一切。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s the possibility of an oil price shock, as the price of crude has shown little sign of cooling off. WTI crude oil is up 56% year to date and notched a&nbsp;new multi-year high&nbsp;Thursday—even amid growing&nbsp;expectations that OPEC will increase supply. If oil prices run hot enough, that could raise inflation to a level that—if sustained — could cause consumer demand to fall and that could surpass Federal Reserve expectations.</p><p><blockquote>首先，油价有可能出现冲击，因为原油价格几乎没有降温的迹象。WTI 原油今年迄今已上涨 56%，并在周四创下多年新高——尽管人们越来越预期 OPEC 将增加供应。如果油价足够火爆，这可能会将通胀推高到一个水平，如果持续下去，可能会导致消费者需求下降，并可能超出美联储的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “Suddenly higher oil prices” is atop the list of stock market concerns for Colas. “Rapidly rising oil prices will cause U.S. inflation to overshoot the Fed’s desired outcome and also stress the American consumer.”</p><p><blockquote>“油价突然上涨 ”是 Colas 最关心的股市问题。“油价快速上涨将导致美国通胀超过美联储的预期结果，也会给美国消费者带来压力”。</blockquote></p><p> Both those things could dent the stock market, which has long benefited from the Fed’s accommodative monetary policy, especially if the Fed signals that interest-rate increases could come sooner than expected.</p><p><blockquote>这两件事都可能削弱长期以来受益于美联储宽松货币政策的股市，尤其是如果美联储发出加息可能比预期更早的信号。</blockquote></p><p> That means the Fed will need to tread carefully when discussing rates to avoid spooking the market, Colas says.</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯表示，这意味着美联储在讨论利率时需要谨慎行事，以避免惊动市场。</blockquote></p><p> “Federal Reserve miscommunication about upcoming policy changes and/or raising interest rates too aggressively” is a second risk, Colas says. For instance, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dived 18% over roughly three months in late 2018 as the Fed raised rates, despite the market’s hope at that time for rates to stay put.</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯说：“美联储对即将到来的政策变化的沟通不畅和/或过于激进地加息”是第二个风险。例如，2018 年底，随着美联储加息，标普500在大约三个月的时间里暴跌了 18%，尽管当时市场希望利率保持不变。</blockquote></p><p> Peaking earnings growth is the other threat to stocks, Colas says. Earnings growth for the average S&amp;P 500 company is expected slow down to 11% in 2022 from 36% in 2021, according to FactSet, as the economy normalizes and the postpandemic recovery eases. But on average, S&amp;P 500 stocks trade at 21.5 times expected earnings for the next 12 months, still above the index’s pre-pandemic multiple. At some point, stocks valuations will need to better reflect the expected decline in earnings growth, which would mean falling stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯表示，盈利增长见顶是股市面临的另一个威胁。FactSet 的数据显示，随着经济正常化和大流行后复苏的缓解，标普500公司的平均盈利增长率预计将从 2021 年的 36% 放缓至 2022 年的 11%。但平均而言，标普500股市未来 12 个月的市盈率是预期市盈率的 21.5 倍，仍高于该指数大流行前的倍数。在某个时候，股票估值需要更好地反映盈利增长的预期下降，这将意味着股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are high enough currently that peaking earnings could be a larger risk than before,” Colas writes.</p><p><blockquote>“科拉斯写道：”目前的估值已经足够高，盈利见顶的风险可能比以前更大。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-crash-risks-51625174065\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-crash-risks-51625174065","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126312436","content_text":"Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.\nThe S&P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many signs of letting up. The index ended June up 14.4% year to date, hitting several records during the month and posting another record close on Thursday.\nYet there are a couple key risks that could turn all of that around, according to Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.\nFirst, there’s the possibility of an oil price shock, as the price of crude has shown little sign of cooling off. WTI crude oil is up 56% year to date and notched a new multi-year high Thursday—even amid growing expectations that OPEC will increase supply. If oil prices run hot enough, that could raise inflation to a level that—if sustained — could cause consumer demand to fall and that could surpass Federal Reserve expectations.\n“Suddenly higher oil prices” is atop the list of stock market concerns for Colas. “Rapidly rising oil prices will cause U.S. inflation to overshoot the Fed’s desired outcome and also stress the American consumer.”\nBoth those things could dent the stock market, which has long benefited from the Fed’s accommodative monetary policy, especially if the Fed signals that interest-rate increases could come sooner than expected.\nThat means the Fed will need to tread carefully when discussing rates to avoid spooking the market, Colas says.\n“Federal Reserve miscommunication about upcoming policy changes and/or raising interest rates too aggressively” is a second risk, Colas says. For instance, the S&P 500 dived 18% over roughly three months in late 2018 as the Fed raised rates, despite the market’s hope at that time for rates to stay put.\nPeaking earnings growth is the other threat to stocks, Colas says. Earnings growth for the average S&P 500 company is expected slow down to 11% in 2022 from 36% in 2021, according to FactSet, as the economy normalizes and the postpandemic recovery eases. But on average, S&P 500 stocks trade at 21.5 times expected earnings for the next 12 months, still above the index’s pre-pandemic multiple. At some point, stocks valuations will need to better reflect the expected decline in earnings growth, which would mean falling stock prices.\n“Valuations are high enough currently that peaking earnings could be a larger risk than before,” Colas writes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891139255,"gmtCreate":1628346347377,"gmtModify":1633751534621,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oppss..","listText":"Oppss..","text":"Oppss..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891139255","repostId":"1110501028","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110501028","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628260468,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1110501028?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 22:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate<blockquote>腾讯控股被海淀区检察院起诉</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110501028","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 6) Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate.","content":"<p>(Aug 6)&nbsp;Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）腾讯控股被海淀区检察院起诉。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate<blockquote>腾讯控股被海淀区检察院起诉</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate<blockquote>腾讯控股被海淀区检察院起诉</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-06 22:34</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 6)&nbsp;Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）腾讯控股被海淀区检察院起诉。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110501028","content_text":"(Aug 6) Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TCEHY":0.9,"00700":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836167213,"gmtCreate":1629466203132,"gmtModify":1631888919460,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Sure?","listText":"Sure?","text":"Sure?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836167213","repostId":"2160971198","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831130657,"gmtCreate":1629294098479,"gmtModify":1631888919476,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831130657","repostId":"1173506975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173506975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629293513,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173506975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 21:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes<blockquote>由于华尔街关注美联储会议纪要，美国股市周三开盘走低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173506975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed roughly 120 points, or 0.3%, after it snapped a 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. The S&P 500 fell 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite traded near the flatline.The Federal Reserve publishes its meeting minutes from its July gathering at 2 p.m. ET. Market participants will be looking for clues about when the central bank could start dialing back its monthly bond buying program.Since that July meeting, there’s been growing support within the Fed to announce a taperin","content":"<p>(Aug 18)&nbsp;U.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes.</p><p><blockquote>（8月18日）美国由于华尔街关注美联储会议纪要，周三股市开盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed roughly 120 points, or 0.3%, after it snapped a 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. The S&amp;P 500 fell 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite traded near the flatline.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数在周二结束了连续5天的上涨势头后，下跌约120点，跌幅0.3%。标普500指数下跌 0.2%，纳斯达克综合指数接近持平线。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve publishes its meeting minutes from its July gathering at 2 p.m. ET. Market participants will be looking for clues about when the central bank could start dialing back its monthly bond buying program.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于美国东部时间下午 2 点公布 7 月会议的会议纪要。市场参与者将寻找有关央行何时开始缩减每月债券购买计划的线索。</blockquote></p><p> Since that July meeting, there’s been growing support within the Fed to&nbsp;announce a tapering in September&nbsp;and begin it in October. The&nbsp;10-year Treasury yield&nbsp;inched slightly higher to 1.28% on Wednesday ahead of the release.</p><p><blockquote>自 7 月份会议以来，美联储内部越来越支持在 9 月份宣布缩减规模，并在 10 月份开始缩减规模。周三，10 年期国债收益率在发布前小幅走高至 1.28%。</blockquote></p><p> Housing starts fell 7% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.534 million units, well below economists’ expectations.</p><p><blockquote>7 月份新屋开工率下降 7%，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 153.4 万套，远低于经济学家的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also waded through more major retail earnings reports.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还仔细阅读了更多主要的零售收益报告。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Target pulled back even after&nbsp;beating on second-quarter earnings. The retailer’s profit and revenue topped expectations and the company raised its forecast for the second half of the year, citing a good start to back-to-school spending. Target shares were up 44% this year through Tuesday, so some investors may be taking profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管第二季度盈利超出预期，塔吉特股价仍回落。该零售商的利润和收入超出了预期，公司上调了对下半年的预测，理由是返校支出有了良好的开端。截至周二，目标股价今年上涨了 44%，因此一些投资者可能会获利了结。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Lowe’s jumped more than 3% after&nbsp;earnings last quarter topped expectations, with higher sales to home professionals.</p><p><blockquote>劳氏上季度盈利超出预期，对家居专业人士的销售额增加，股价大涨 3% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> ViacomCBS shares popped around 2% after Wells Fargo&nbsp;upgraded the stock, saying it can soar more than 50% on the back of strong streaming growth and possible industry consolidation.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行上调维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司股价后，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司 (ViacomCBS) 股价上涨约 2%，称在强劲的流媒体增长和可能的行业整合的推动下，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司 (ViacomCBS) 股价可能飙升 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock market is way overdue for a correction. Covid cases continue to spike higher darkening economic reopenings, consumer data shockingly has collapsed recently — including consumer confidence last Friday and retail sales and homebuilders’ sentiment [Tuesday] — several stocks have stopped reacting positively to good earnings, inflation reports remain hot, and Federal Reserve taper talk is everywhere,” Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group, said.</p><p><blockquote>“股市早就该回调了。Covid 病例继续加剧经济重新开放的阴影，消费者数据最近令人震惊地暴跌--包括上周五的消费者信心以及（周二）的零售销售和住宅建筑商情绪--一些股票已经停止对良好的盈利做出积极反应，通胀报告依然火爆，美联储缩减开支的言论无处不在，”Leuthold Group 首席投资策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes<blockquote>由于华尔街关注美联储会议纪要，美国股市周三开盘走低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes<blockquote>由于华尔街关注美联储会议纪要，美国股市周三开盘走低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-18 21:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 18)&nbsp;U.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes.</p><p><blockquote>（8月18日）美国由于华尔街关注美联储会议纪要，周三股市开盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed roughly 120 points, or 0.3%, after it snapped a 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. The S&amp;P 500 fell 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite traded near the flatline.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数在周二结束了连续5天的上涨势头后，下跌约120点，跌幅0.3%。标普500指数下跌 0.2%，纳斯达克综合指数接近持平线。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve publishes its meeting minutes from its July gathering at 2 p.m. ET. Market participants will be looking for clues about when the central bank could start dialing back its monthly bond buying program.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于美国东部时间下午 2 点公布 7 月会议的会议纪要。市场参与者将寻找有关央行何时开始缩减每月债券购买计划的线索。</blockquote></p><p> Since that July meeting, there’s been growing support within the Fed to&nbsp;announce a tapering in September&nbsp;and begin it in October. The&nbsp;10-year Treasury yield&nbsp;inched slightly higher to 1.28% on Wednesday ahead of the release.</p><p><blockquote>自 7 月份会议以来，美联储内部越来越支持在 9 月份宣布缩减规模，并在 10 月份开始缩减规模。周三，10 年期国债收益率在发布前小幅走高至 1.28%。</blockquote></p><p> Housing starts fell 7% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.534 million units, well below economists’ expectations.</p><p><blockquote>7 月份新屋开工率下降 7%，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 153.4 万套，远低于经济学家的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also waded through more major retail earnings reports.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还仔细阅读了更多主要的零售收益报告。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Target pulled back even after&nbsp;beating on second-quarter earnings. The retailer’s profit and revenue topped expectations and the company raised its forecast for the second half of the year, citing a good start to back-to-school spending. Target shares were up 44% this year through Tuesday, so some investors may be taking profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管第二季度盈利超出预期，塔吉特股价仍回落。该零售商的利润和收入超出了预期，公司上调了对下半年的预测，理由是返校支出有了良好的开端。截至周二，目标股价今年上涨了 44%，因此一些投资者可能会获利了结。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Lowe’s jumped more than 3% after&nbsp;earnings last quarter topped expectations, with higher sales to home professionals.</p><p><blockquote>劳氏上季度盈利超出预期，对家居专业人士的销售额增加，股价大涨 3% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> ViacomCBS shares popped around 2% after Wells Fargo&nbsp;upgraded the stock, saying it can soar more than 50% on the back of strong streaming growth and possible industry consolidation.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行上调维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司股价后，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司 (ViacomCBS) 股价上涨约 2%，称在强劲的流媒体增长和可能的行业整合的推动下，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司 (ViacomCBS) 股价可能飙升 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock market is way overdue for a correction. Covid cases continue to spike higher darkening economic reopenings, consumer data shockingly has collapsed recently — including consumer confidence last Friday and retail sales and homebuilders’ sentiment [Tuesday] — several stocks have stopped reacting positively to good earnings, inflation reports remain hot, and Federal Reserve taper talk is everywhere,” Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group, said.</p><p><blockquote>“股市早就该回调了。Covid 病例继续加剧经济重新开放的阴影，消费者数据最近令人震惊地暴跌--包括上周五的消费者信心以及（周二）的零售销售和住宅建筑商情绪--一些股票已经停止对良好的盈利做出积极反应，通胀报告依然火爆，美联储缩减开支的言论无处不在，”Leuthold Group 首席投资策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173506975","content_text":"(Aug 18) U.S. stock market opens lower Wednesday as Wall Street watches for Fed minutes.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average shed roughly 120 points, or 0.3%, after it snapped a 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. The S&P 500 fell 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite traded near the flatline.\nThe Federal Reserve publishes its meeting minutes from its July gathering at 2 p.m. ET. Market participants will be looking for clues about when the central bank could start dialing back its monthly bond buying program.\nSince that July meeting, there’s been growing support within the Fed to announce a tapering in September and begin it in October. The 10-year Treasury yield inched slightly higher to 1.28% on Wednesday ahead of the release.\nHousing starts fell 7% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.534 million units, well below economists’ expectations.\nInvestors also waded through more major retail earnings reports.\nShares of Target pulled back even after beating on second-quarter earnings. The retailer’s profit and revenue topped expectations and the company raised its forecast for the second half of the year, citing a good start to back-to-school spending. Target shares were up 44% this year through Tuesday, so some investors may be taking profits.\nShares of Lowe’s jumped more than 3% after earnings last quarter topped expectations, with higher sales to home professionals.\nViacomCBS shares popped around 2% after Wells Fargo upgraded the stock, saying it can soar more than 50% on the back of strong streaming growth and possible industry consolidation.\n“The stock market is way overdue for a correction. Covid cases continue to spike higher darkening economic reopenings, consumer data shockingly has collapsed recently — including consumer confidence last Friday and retail sales and homebuilders’ sentiment [Tuesday] — several stocks have stopped reacting positively to good earnings, inflation reports remain hot, and Federal Reserve taper talk is everywhere,” Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group, said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2722,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830926227,"gmtCreate":1629002670869,"gmtModify":1631888919510,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nvidia [Victory]&nbsp;","listText":"Nvidia [Victory]&nbsp;","text":"Nvidia [Victory]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830926227","repostId":"1138705612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138705612","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628995730,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138705612?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 10:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪只芯片股票最好？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138705612","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.This left ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.</li>  <li>AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.</li>  <li>Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&amp;D, marketing, and pricing.</li>  <li>Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a8f0aee0f3d10db76a1ee18fe604b40\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Andy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>AMD 最近的 CPU 和 GPU 产品与英特尔和英伟达的产品相比更具竞争力。</li><li>事实证明，AMD 的 EPYC 服务器芯片可与某些英特尔芯片媲美甚至更胜一筹，并帮助 AMD 获得了服务器 CPU 市场份额。</li><li>即便如此，英特尔仍然是处理器市场的领导者，在研发、营销和定价方面长期保持着相对于AMD的优势。</li><li>英伟达在 GPU 技术方面领先于 AMD，并正在利用其 GPU 进入人工智能等邻近终端市场。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安迪/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔（INTC）曾经是微芯片行业的罗兹巨像，是摩尔定律力量的丰碑。然而，该公司在 10 纳米工艺方面遇到了困难，最近宣布其 7 纳米工艺将推迟到 2023 年。</blockquote></p><p> This left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.</p><p><blockquote>这为 Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) 敞开了大门，该公司充分利用了这个机会。AMD 已经占据了 CPU 市场的很大份额，并正在进军曾经几乎难以渗透的服务器市场。</blockquote></p><p> AMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 现已连续七个季度实现两位数收入增长，而且该公司似乎正在获得动力：管理层目前预计全年收入增长 60%，高于上一季度预测的 50%。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD 还与英伟达公司（NVDA）竞争，后者的 GPU 技术正在抢走市场份额。NVDA 还成功凭借其 GPU 进入邻近市场，尤其是人工智能和汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Ins And Outs of Intel</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔的来龙去脉</b></blockquote></p><p> An understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.</p><p><blockquote>了解英特尔还可以深入了解 AMD。这是由于两家公司之间的重叠，特别是在x86芯片方面。英特尔在1978年开发了x86芯片。为了满足IBM的要求，即英特尔不会成为芯片的唯一供应商，INTC向AMD提供了x86指令集架构许可。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>因此，英特尔和AMD在PC和服务器市场占据双头垄断地位，因为几乎所有的计算机软件都是为x86架构编写的。结果是，两者都有一条与x86生态系统相关的宽阔护城河。</blockquote></p><p> Gaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.</p><p><blockquote>游戏机尤其基于x86架构，因为这些平台通常提供具有多个计算核心的更强大的CPU和GPU。像个人电脑一样，游戏机运行使用基于x86软件的游戏。这再次扼杀了基于ARM的设备的潜在竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Until fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.</p><p><blockquote>直到最近，作为x86芯片的供应商，AMD还远远落后于INTC。然而，AMD 与台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）合作，利用该制造商的 7 纳米工艺在工艺技术上超越了 INTC。再加上 AMD 开发新的创新芯片设计，这种一举两得的打击导致 INTC 失去了大量市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> At the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop&nbsp;market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5%&nbsp;market&nbsp;share in Q4 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>Q1末，AMD占据x86台式机市场19.30%的份额，同比增长70个基点。第二季度，AMD占据了服务器市场8%的份额，高于2019年第四季度5%的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>尽管遭遇了这些挫折，但将英特尔视为一家垂死的企业似乎还为时过早。INTC是世界上最大的半导体公司之一。该公司主导着服务器市场，仍然占据全球x86 CPU市场60%的份额。</blockquote></p><p> The company has an enormous R&amp;D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>该公司拥有巨额研发预算，并通过收购 Habana Labs、Altera、Movidius 和 Mobileye，正在扩展到新市场，主要是人工智能、现场可编程门阵列芯片和汽车产品。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不应仅仅因为 7 优于 10 就声称英特尔的新 10 纳米芯片不如 7 纳米。虽然它曾经被用来表示芯片设计的技术水平，但它已经被滥用到毫无用处的地步。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，必须承认一些关切。英特尔在智能手机市场落后于竞争对手。随着消费者转向移动设备，随着智能手机取代个人电脑，这可能会导致持续的逆风。另一方面，应该承认的是，随着移动设备和云计算的激增，INTC 的服务器处理器业务也取得了增长。</blockquote></p><p> Intel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔在数据中心领域还面临着来自 AMD 的日益激烈的竞争，以及客户为 CPU 开发自己的基于 ARM 的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Overview of AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD概述</b></blockquote></p><p> In years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几年里，INTC 占据了 x86 市场的最大份额。这在一定程度上要归功于英特尔领先的制造技术，以及 AMD 与不太出色的 GlobalFoundries 签订的晶圆供应协议。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> However, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于三个因素发生了翻天覆地的变化：在创新设计的推动下，AMD将有竞争力的产品推向市场，AMD转向台积电进行生产，英特尔面临反复的制造延迟。下面的两个图表记录了公司取得的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/903df41d5400c9807ff487a75a7e5450\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/331cd14b666f520a62d0746d5fadfa5b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Like Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.</p><p><blockquote>与英特尔一样，AMD 的主要产品也是 CPU 和 GPU。AMD 的芯片专为 PC、游戏机、服务器和区块链应用而设计。与 INTC 一样，AMD 的产品在很大程度上免受竞争影响，因为 PC 和服务器软件大多是为 x86 架构设计的。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 的强劲增长在很大程度上是以牺牲英特尔为代价的，因为 AMD 一直在稳步蚕食英特尔的 CPU 市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f8fbcab5da8a24d01d2b6408bd5686\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 专注于 CPU 和 GPU 半定制处理器应用，这使得它们在微软 Xbox 和索尼 PlayStation 游戏机中得到应用。</blockquote></p><p> In regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.</p><p><blockquote>在 PC 集成 GPU 方面，AMD 与 NVIDIA 大致持平，而 INTC 则以约 68% 的市场份额占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67a0fe74d986cf882623a8f39587d0d8\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:tom'sHARDWARE</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：汤姆硬件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.</p><p><blockquote>然而，英伟达以80%以上的市场份额主导着独立GPU领域，AMD横扫了剩下的市场。英伟达的独立 GPU 可以说优于 AMD（稍后会详细介绍）；因此，投资者不应在这里寻求增长。</blockquote></p><p> Although AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 AMD 的 EPYC 服务器 CPU 产品与竞争对手相比具有竞争力，但该公司最初依靠激进的定价来推广其第一代 EPYC 产品。然而，EPYC系列已经获得了更广泛的认可，随着米兰处理器的推出，该公司正在获得市场份额。由于服务器 CPU 的利润率高于公司的其他产品，因此向该领域的扩张将有助于推动收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Late last year,AMD entered intoa deal&nbsp;to acquire&nbsp;Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>去年年底，AMD 达成收购现场可编程门阵列 (FPGA) 芯片领导者赛灵思 (XLNX) 的交易。FPGA可用于各种各样的应用。由于转向竞争的 FPGA 供应商需要对工程师进行软件和设计工具方面的再培训，因此客户不愿意转向竞争供应商。因此，如果赛灵思交易成功，AMD 将获得广泛的护城河业务。交易完成后 18 个月内运营效率管理指南约为 3 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.</p><p><blockquote>收购赛灵思将有助于增强 AMD 的数据中心和人工智能业务。</blockquote></p><p> AMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 同意以 350 亿美元的全股票交易收购赛灵思。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Survey of NVIDIA</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达调查</b></blockquote></p><p> NVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.</p><p><blockquote>NVDA 对图形处理单元市场的关注使该公司在独立 GPU 领域占据了主导地位。该公司是计算平台（尤其是游戏机）分立 GPU 领域的领导者。英特尔从英伟达获得知识产权，将GPU集成到其PC芯片组中，这一事实证明了该公司保持的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司在过去五年中能够控制的蓬勃发展的ASP，从2016年的Pascal架构开始，从图灵到安培。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fb1d71f9df02f6c63907fe784b2fd8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:AMD Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：AMD 投资者演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的芯片也应用于许多高端个人电脑中，NVDA 在新兴的人工智能和自动驾驶汽车市场尤其具有实力。</blockquote></p><p> GPUs are being teamed with CPUs to&nbsp;enhance&nbsp;computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to&nbsp;autonomous&nbsp;vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud</p><p><blockquote>GPU正在与CPU合作，以增强计算工作负载。这一策略旨在增强人工智能系统执行计算密集型任务的能力。与自动驾驶汽车相关的人工智能是英伟达不断发展的优势。该公司在云计算领域崭露头角的另一个领域</blockquote></p><p> AI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.</p><p><blockquote>人工智能和数据中心是 NVDA 最有可能的增长途径。为了巩固其在这两项业务中的地位，该公司去年以 400 亿美元从母公司软银手中收购了 ARM Holdings (ARMHF)。</blockquote></p><p> ARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.</p><p><blockquote>ARM 是全球最大的芯片设计许可商。它的芯片无处不在，可以在手机、智能电视和平板电脑中找到。使用ARM设计已经制造了1600亿个芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Perhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.</p><p><blockquote>也许同样重要的是，1300万开发者使用ARM设备。从上下文来看，NVDA 有 200 万开发人员在其设备阵列上工作。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.</p><p><blockquote>对投资者来说不幸的是，据报道，中国和theU.K.都不愿批准这笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Head-To-Head Comparisons</b></p><p><blockquote><b>头对头比较</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了与每只股票估值相关的各种指标。所有标有“远期”字样的数据都是分析师对下一财年的一致估计。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bdeabcd2ea473601fbaaaa03235de77\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Next, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我用一张图表来提供这三家公司的 PEG 比率。由于分析师的输入会导致 PEG 比率出现相当大的差异，因此当我发现比率存在较大差异时，我更希望读者能够获得多个来源。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884fc2142d97afcc9e2308e50058dd45\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Note that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，Seeking Alpha提供了三到五年的挂钩，Schwab只是将其指标列为挂钩比率，而Yahoo!财务计算五年比率。这可以解释所提供数字的一些差异。</blockquote></p><p> Perusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>仔细阅读第一张图表，很明显 NVDA 被高估了。同样有趣的是，在当前的市盈率和远期价格/现金流估计中，AMD 的估值接近行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Count me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>把我算作一个非常重视股票挂钩比率的投资者。查看第二张图表，AMD 是三家公司中最好的。我还注意到，每个消息来源的分析师都计算出 AMD 的 PEG 比率好于行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Do not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.</p><p><blockquote>不要曲解我的发现。虽然 INTC 在许多方面的估值较低，但当考虑其他因素时，我对 AMD 的总体评价较高。换句话说，这不是最便宜的估值，而是最好的估值，因为缺乏更好的方法来表达我的观点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Analysts’ Price Targets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师的目标价</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价目前交易价格为 202.95 美元。33 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 186.49 美元。最新收益报告发布后对该股进行评级的 17 位分析师的平均目标价为 210.53 美元，比该股当前价格高出约 3.7%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股价目前交易价格为 107.58 美元。28 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 108.56 美元。最新收益报告发布后对该股进行评级的 11 位分析师的平均目标价为 117.27 美元，比当前股价高出约 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔股价目前交易价格为 54.05 美元。34 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 59.86 美元。最新收益报告发布后，对该股进行评级的 16 位分析师的平均目标价为 58.97 美元，比当前股价溢价 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该意识到，距离 NVDA 发布季度收益以及 INTC 和 AMD 最近发布季度收益已经近三个月了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=平局AMD/INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Growth Rates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>增长率</b></blockquote></p><p> The next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了增长率的数据。除非另有说明，这些指标反映了分析师的平均两年预测。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8ae1b79b3731a985fc209e626ca4886\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>虽然熟悉这三家公司的投资者预计 INTC 在增长方面的表现将不如 NVDA 和 AMD，但在某些情况下，英特尔预计将出现负增长。</blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices 的预计增长在每个类别中都领先于 NVIDIA，有时甚至领先于 NVIDIA。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> I considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.</p><p><blockquote>我考虑提供一张图表，概述每家公司的盈利能力；然而，可以说，每一个都是高利润的，这三个并置将导致平局。</blockquote></p><p> I often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.</p><p><blockquote>我经常提供一个细分股息指标的比较，但 AMD 不支付股息，而 NVDA 的收益率也很低。INTC 目前的收益率约为 2.6%。股息资金充足。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务指标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达上季度末拥有 126.7 亿美元现金和 59.6 亿美元现金。如果 ARM 收购获得批准，该交易的结构将使 400 亿美元收购价格中的 210 亿美元将有库存。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 重组了债务，降低了利息成本。截至最近一个季度末，AMD 拥有约 38 亿美元现金和 3.13 亿美元长期债务。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔拥有可靠的投资级信用评级。截至上季度末，该公司持有近248.6亿美元现金，长期债务为317亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.</p><p><blockquote>这三家公司都拥有雄厚的财务状况。权衡 NVDA 和 AMD 可能因潜在收购而增加债务的可能性，我对这三家公司的评级为同等。</blockquote></p><p> <b>R&amp;D Budgets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>研发预算</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the first time I have&nbsp;compared&nbsp;the R&amp;D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.</p><p><blockquote>这是我第一次对企业的研发预算进行针锋相对的对决。然而，在半导体行业，这可能至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> Last fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&amp;D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.</p><p><blockquote>上一财年，英特尔研发投入超过135亿美元，NVDA花费近28.3亿美元，AMD研发预算略高于19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&amp;D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.</p><p><blockquote>AMD处于明显的劣势，这种弱点被放大了，因为它经常在不同的领域与INTC和NVDA竞争。值得注意的是，英特尔的部分研发资金流向了代工业务。然而，它是这里明显的赢家，而AMD是明显的输家。</blockquote></p><p> I should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&amp;D budgets.</p><p><blockquote>我还应该补充一点，NVDA 正在蚕食 AMD 在独立 GPU 市场的份额，我相信这一趋势还会继续下去，部分原因是研发预算的差异。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一句话：哪只芯片股最好？</b></blockquote></p><p> To arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.</p><p><blockquote>要得出答案，很大程度上取决于英伟达能否完成对ARM的收购。</blockquote></p><p> Because ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.</p><p><blockquote>由于 ARM 处理器比 x86 芯片更强大、更具成本效益，NVDA 可以在数据中心领域获得市场份额。由于英特尔约三分之一的收入来自数据中心，这可能会给 INTC 带来阻力，而给 NVDA 带来利好。然而，这笔交易很有可能无法完成。</blockquote></p><p> The degree of success Intel finds as its&nbsp;planned&nbsp;foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔计划中的代工厂上线后取得的成功程度是另一个需要权衡的因素。</blockquote></p><p> A development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.</p><p><blockquote>一个需要权衡的发展是，就其产品质量而言，AMD现在已经在PC市场与INTC平起平坐。此外，AMD正在服务器市场获得市场份额，我预计这一趋势将继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD 正在将独立 GPU 市场的份额输给 NVDA。NVDA 在该领域拥有技术领先地位，这种领先地位可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 AMD 和 NVDA 被视为增长机器，但我们不应忽视英特尔的物联网业务在上一季度增长了 47%。Mobileye 的增长也激增，收入增长了 124%。尽管这些业务的总收入只有13亿美元，只是英特尔185亿美元总收入的一小部分，但它们仍然代表着高增长的领域。</blockquote></p><p> However, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.</p><p><blockquote>但请注意，标题指的是 “芯片库存”。因此，技术优势只是难题的一部分。任何投资决策都必须考虑当前估值和未来增长率。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，由于当前的估值和增长预期，我必须将英伟达评级为持有。请注意，我的评级是基于股票的当前估值。我感谢公司的模范领导，并相信该股的长期前景非常好。</blockquote></p><p> I also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.</p><p><blockquote>我还将 INTC 评级为持有。我之前将该公司评级为买入。虽然我仍然相信该公司将为长期投资者提供良好的服务，但我现在相信其复苏将在很长一段时间内展开，并且还有更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> I rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.</p><p><blockquote>我将 AMD 评级为买入。这是基于本文中概述的当前估值和增长率。我还要补充一点，我认为随着英特尔努力复苏，AMD 很可能会蚕食市场份额，这也支撑了这些指标。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA&nbsp;contributor&nbsp;Keyanoush Razavidinani.</p><p><blockquote>要进一步了解AMD和INTC投资的技术方面，我推荐SA撰稿人Keyanoush Razavidinani的一篇优秀文章。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪只芯片股票最好？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪只芯片股票最好？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 10:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.</li>  <li>AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.</li>  <li>Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&amp;D, marketing, and pricing.</li>  <li>Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a8f0aee0f3d10db76a1ee18fe604b40\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Andy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>AMD 最近的 CPU 和 GPU 产品与英特尔和英伟达的产品相比更具竞争力。</li><li>事实证明，AMD 的 EPYC 服务器芯片可与某些英特尔芯片媲美甚至更胜一筹，并帮助 AMD 获得了服务器 CPU 市场份额。</li><li>即便如此，英特尔仍然是处理器市场的领导者，在研发、营销和定价方面长期保持着相对于AMD的优势。</li><li>英伟达在 GPU 技术方面领先于 AMD，并正在利用其 GPU 进入人工智能等邻近终端市场。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安迪/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔（INTC）曾经是微芯片行业的罗兹巨像，是摩尔定律力量的丰碑。然而，该公司在 10 纳米工艺方面遇到了困难，最近宣布其 7 纳米工艺将推迟到 2023 年。</blockquote></p><p> This left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.</p><p><blockquote>这为 Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) 敞开了大门，该公司充分利用了这个机会。AMD 已经占据了 CPU 市场的很大份额，并正在进军曾经几乎难以渗透的服务器市场。</blockquote></p><p> AMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 现已连续七个季度实现两位数收入增长，而且该公司似乎正在获得动力：管理层目前预计全年收入增长 60%，高于上一季度预测的 50%。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD 还与英伟达公司（NVDA）竞争，后者的 GPU 技术正在抢走市场份额。NVDA 还成功凭借其 GPU 进入邻近市场，尤其是人工智能和汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Ins And Outs of Intel</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔的来龙去脉</b></blockquote></p><p> An understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.</p><p><blockquote>了解英特尔还可以深入了解 AMD。这是由于两家公司之间的重叠，特别是在x86芯片方面。英特尔在1978年开发了x86芯片。为了满足IBM的要求，即英特尔不会成为芯片的唯一供应商，INTC向AMD提供了x86指令集架构许可。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>因此，英特尔和AMD在PC和服务器市场占据双头垄断地位，因为几乎所有的计算机软件都是为x86架构编写的。结果是，两者都有一条与x86生态系统相关的宽阔护城河。</blockquote></p><p> Gaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.</p><p><blockquote>游戏机尤其基于x86架构，因为这些平台通常提供具有多个计算核心的更强大的CPU和GPU。像个人电脑一样，游戏机运行使用基于x86软件的游戏。这再次扼杀了基于ARM的设备的潜在竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Until fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.</p><p><blockquote>直到最近，作为x86芯片的供应商，AMD还远远落后于INTC。然而，AMD 与台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）合作，利用该制造商的 7 纳米工艺在工艺技术上超越了 INTC。再加上 AMD 开发新的创新芯片设计，这种一举两得的打击导致 INTC 失去了大量市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> At the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop&nbsp;market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5%&nbsp;market&nbsp;share in Q4 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>Q1末，AMD占据x86台式机市场19.30%的份额，同比增长70个基点。第二季度，AMD占据了服务器市场8%的份额，高于2019年第四季度5%的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>尽管遭遇了这些挫折，但将英特尔视为一家垂死的企业似乎还为时过早。INTC是世界上最大的半导体公司之一。该公司主导着服务器市场，仍然占据全球x86 CPU市场60%的份额。</blockquote></p><p> The company has an enormous R&amp;D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>该公司拥有巨额研发预算，并通过收购 Habana Labs、Altera、Movidius 和 Mobileye，正在扩展到新市场，主要是人工智能、现场可编程门阵列芯片和汽车产品。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不应仅仅因为 7 优于 10 就声称英特尔的新 10 纳米芯片不如 7 纳米。虽然它曾经被用来表示芯片设计的技术水平，但它已经被滥用到毫无用处的地步。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，必须承认一些关切。英特尔在智能手机市场落后于竞争对手。随着消费者转向移动设备，随着智能手机取代个人电脑，这可能会导致持续的逆风。另一方面，应该承认的是，随着移动设备和云计算的激增，INTC 的服务器处理器业务也取得了增长。</blockquote></p><p> Intel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔在数据中心领域还面临着来自 AMD 的日益激烈的竞争，以及客户为 CPU 开发自己的基于 ARM 的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Overview of AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD概述</b></blockquote></p><p> In years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几年里，INTC 占据了 x86 市场的最大份额。这在一定程度上要归功于英特尔领先的制造技术，以及 AMD 与不太出色的 GlobalFoundries 签订的晶圆供应协议。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> However, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于三个因素发生了翻天覆地的变化：在创新设计的推动下，AMD将有竞争力的产品推向市场，AMD转向台积电进行生产，英特尔面临反复的制造延迟。下面的两个图表记录了公司取得的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/903df41d5400c9807ff487a75a7e5450\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/331cd14b666f520a62d0746d5fadfa5b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Like Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.</p><p><blockquote>与英特尔一样，AMD 的主要产品也是 CPU 和 GPU。AMD 的芯片专为 PC、游戏机、服务器和区块链应用而设计。与 INTC 一样，AMD 的产品在很大程度上免受竞争影响，因为 PC 和服务器软件大多是为 x86 架构设计的。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 的强劲增长在很大程度上是以牺牲英特尔为代价的，因为 AMD 一直在稳步蚕食英特尔的 CPU 市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f8fbcab5da8a24d01d2b6408bd5686\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 专注于 CPU 和 GPU 半定制处理器应用，这使得它们在微软 Xbox 和索尼 PlayStation 游戏机中得到应用。</blockquote></p><p> In regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.</p><p><blockquote>在 PC 集成 GPU 方面，AMD 与 NVIDIA 大致持平，而 INTC 则以约 68% 的市场份额占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67a0fe74d986cf882623a8f39587d0d8\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:tom'sHARDWARE</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：汤姆硬件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.</p><p><blockquote>然而，英伟达以80%以上的市场份额主导着独立GPU领域，AMD横扫了剩下的市场。英伟达的独立 GPU 可以说优于 AMD（稍后会详细介绍）；因此，投资者不应在这里寻求增长。</blockquote></p><p> Although AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 AMD 的 EPYC 服务器 CPU 产品与竞争对手相比具有竞争力，但该公司最初依靠激进的定价来推广其第一代 EPYC 产品。然而，EPYC系列已经获得了更广泛的认可，随着米兰处理器的推出，该公司正在获得市场份额。由于服务器 CPU 的利润率高于公司的其他产品，因此向该领域的扩张将有助于推动收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Late last year,AMD entered intoa deal&nbsp;to acquire&nbsp;Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>去年年底，AMD 达成收购现场可编程门阵列 (FPGA) 芯片领导者赛灵思 (XLNX) 的交易。FPGA可用于各种各样的应用。由于转向竞争的 FPGA 供应商需要对工程师进行软件和设计工具方面的再培训，因此客户不愿意转向竞争供应商。因此，如果赛灵思交易成功，AMD 将获得广泛的护城河业务。交易完成后 18 个月内运营效率管理指南约为 3 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.</p><p><blockquote>收购赛灵思将有助于增强 AMD 的数据中心和人工智能业务。</blockquote></p><p> AMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 同意以 350 亿美元的全股票交易收购赛灵思。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Survey of NVIDIA</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达调查</b></blockquote></p><p> NVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.</p><p><blockquote>NVDA 对图形处理单元市场的关注使该公司在独立 GPU 领域占据了主导地位。该公司是计算平台（尤其是游戏机）分立 GPU 领域的领导者。英特尔从英伟达获得知识产权，将GPU集成到其PC芯片组中，这一事实证明了该公司保持的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司在过去五年中能够控制的蓬勃发展的ASP，从2016年的Pascal架构开始，从图灵到安培。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fb1d71f9df02f6c63907fe784b2fd8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:AMD Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：AMD 投资者演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的芯片也应用于许多高端个人电脑中，NVDA 在新兴的人工智能和自动驾驶汽车市场尤其具有实力。</blockquote></p><p> GPUs are being teamed with CPUs to&nbsp;enhance&nbsp;computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to&nbsp;autonomous&nbsp;vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud</p><p><blockquote>GPU正在与CPU合作，以增强计算工作负载。这一策略旨在增强人工智能系统执行计算密集型任务的能力。与自动驾驶汽车相关的人工智能是英伟达不断发展的优势。该公司在云计算领域崭露头角的另一个领域</blockquote></p><p> AI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.</p><p><blockquote>人工智能和数据中心是 NVDA 最有可能的增长途径。为了巩固其在这两项业务中的地位，该公司去年以 400 亿美元从母公司软银手中收购了 ARM Holdings (ARMHF)。</blockquote></p><p> ARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.</p><p><blockquote>ARM 是全球最大的芯片设计许可商。它的芯片无处不在，可以在手机、智能电视和平板电脑中找到。使用ARM设计已经制造了1600亿个芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Perhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.</p><p><blockquote>也许同样重要的是，1300万开发者使用ARM设备。从上下文来看，NVDA 有 200 万开发人员在其设备阵列上工作。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.</p><p><blockquote>对投资者来说不幸的是，据报道，中国和theU.K.都不愿批准这笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Head-To-Head Comparisons</b></p><p><blockquote><b>头对头比较</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了与每只股票估值相关的各种指标。所有标有“远期”字样的数据都是分析师对下一财年的一致估计。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bdeabcd2ea473601fbaaaa03235de77\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Next, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我用一张图表来提供这三家公司的 PEG 比率。由于分析师的输入会导致 PEG 比率出现相当大的差异，因此当我发现比率存在较大差异时，我更希望读者能够获得多个来源。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884fc2142d97afcc9e2308e50058dd45\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Note that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，Seeking Alpha提供了三到五年的挂钩，Schwab只是将其指标列为挂钩比率，而Yahoo!财务计算五年比率。这可以解释所提供数字的一些差异。</blockquote></p><p> Perusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>仔细阅读第一张图表，很明显 NVDA 被高估了。同样有趣的是，在当前的市盈率和远期价格/现金流估计中，AMD 的估值接近行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Count me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>把我算作一个非常重视股票挂钩比率的投资者。查看第二张图表，AMD 是三家公司中最好的。我还注意到，每个消息来源的分析师都计算出 AMD 的 PEG 比率好于行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Do not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.</p><p><blockquote>不要曲解我的发现。虽然 INTC 在许多方面的估值较低，但当考虑其他因素时，我对 AMD 的总体评价较高。换句话说，这不是最便宜的估值，而是最好的估值，因为缺乏更好的方法来表达我的观点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Analysts’ Price Targets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师的目标价</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价目前交易价格为 202.95 美元。33 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 186.49 美元。最新收益报告发布后对该股进行评级的 17 位分析师的平均目标价为 210.53 美元，比该股当前价格高出约 3.7%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股价目前交易价格为 107.58 美元。28 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 108.56 美元。最新收益报告发布后对该股进行评级的 11 位分析师的平均目标价为 117.27 美元，比当前股价高出约 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔股价目前交易价格为 54.05 美元。34 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 59.86 美元。最新收益报告发布后，对该股进行评级的 16 位分析师的平均目标价为 58.97 美元，比当前股价溢价 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该意识到，距离 NVDA 发布季度收益以及 INTC 和 AMD 最近发布季度收益已经近三个月了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=平局AMD/INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Growth Rates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>增长率</b></blockquote></p><p> The next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了增长率的数据。除非另有说明，这些指标反映了分析师的平均两年预测。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8ae1b79b3731a985fc209e626ca4886\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>虽然熟悉这三家公司的投资者预计 INTC 在增长方面的表现将不如 NVDA 和 AMD，但在某些情况下，英特尔预计将出现负增长。</blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices 的预计增长在每个类别中都领先于 NVIDIA，有时甚至领先于 NVIDIA。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> I considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.</p><p><blockquote>我考虑提供一张图表，概述每家公司的盈利能力；然而，可以说，每一个都是高利润的，这三个并置将导致平局。</blockquote></p><p> I often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.</p><p><blockquote>我经常提供一个细分股息指标的比较，但 AMD 不支付股息，而 NVDA 的收益率也很低。INTC 目前的收益率约为 2.6%。股息资金充足。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务指标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达上季度末拥有 126.7 亿美元现金和 59.6 亿美元现金。如果 ARM 收购获得批准，该交易的结构将使 400 亿美元收购价格中的 210 亿美元将有库存。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 重组了债务，降低了利息成本。截至最近一个季度末，AMD 拥有约 38 亿美元现金和 3.13 亿美元长期债务。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔拥有可靠的投资级信用评级。截至上季度末，该公司持有近248.6亿美元现金，长期债务为317亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.</p><p><blockquote>这三家公司都拥有雄厚的财务状况。权衡 NVDA 和 AMD 可能因潜在收购而增加债务的可能性，我对这三家公司的评级为同等。</blockquote></p><p> <b>R&amp;D Budgets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>研发预算</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the first time I have&nbsp;compared&nbsp;the R&amp;D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.</p><p><blockquote>这是我第一次对企业的研发预算进行针锋相对的对决。然而，在半导体行业，这可能至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> Last fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&amp;D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.</p><p><blockquote>上一财年，英特尔研发投入超过135亿美元，NVDA花费近28.3亿美元，AMD研发预算略高于19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&amp;D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.</p><p><blockquote>AMD处于明显的劣势，这种弱点被放大了，因为它经常在不同的领域与INTC和NVDA竞争。值得注意的是，英特尔的部分研发资金流向了代工业务。然而，它是这里明显的赢家，而AMD是明显的输家。</blockquote></p><p> I should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&amp;D budgets.</p><p><blockquote>我还应该补充一点，NVDA 正在蚕食 AMD 在独立 GPU 市场的份额，我相信这一趋势还会继续下去，部分原因是研发预算的差异。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一句话：哪只芯片股最好？</b></blockquote></p><p> To arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.</p><p><blockquote>要得出答案，很大程度上取决于英伟达能否完成对ARM的收购。</blockquote></p><p> Because ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.</p><p><blockquote>由于 ARM 处理器比 x86 芯片更强大、更具成本效益，NVDA 可以在数据中心领域获得市场份额。由于英特尔约三分之一的收入来自数据中心，这可能会给 INTC 带来阻力，而给 NVDA 带来利好。然而，这笔交易很有可能无法完成。</blockquote></p><p> The degree of success Intel finds as its&nbsp;planned&nbsp;foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔计划中的代工厂上线后取得的成功程度是另一个需要权衡的因素。</blockquote></p><p> A development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.</p><p><blockquote>一个需要权衡的发展是，就其产品质量而言，AMD现在已经在PC市场与INTC平起平坐。此外，AMD正在服务器市场获得市场份额，我预计这一趋势将继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD 正在将独立 GPU 市场的份额输给 NVDA。NVDA 在该领域拥有技术领先地位，这种领先地位可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 AMD 和 NVDA 被视为增长机器，但我们不应忽视英特尔的物联网业务在上一季度增长了 47%。Mobileye 的增长也激增，收入增长了 124%。尽管这些业务的总收入只有13亿美元，只是英特尔185亿美元总收入的一小部分，但它们仍然代表着高增长的领域。</blockquote></p><p> However, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.</p><p><blockquote>但请注意，标题指的是 “芯片库存”。因此，技术优势只是难题的一部分。任何投资决策都必须考虑当前估值和未来增长率。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，由于当前的估值和增长预期，我必须将英伟达评级为持有。请注意，我的评级是基于股票的当前估值。我感谢公司的模范领导，并相信该股的长期前景非常好。</blockquote></p><p> I also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.</p><p><blockquote>我还将 INTC 评级为持有。我之前将该公司评级为买入。虽然我仍然相信该公司将为长期投资者提供良好的服务，但我现在相信其复苏将在很长一段时间内展开，并且还有更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> I rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.</p><p><blockquote>我将 AMD 评级为买入。这是基于本文中概述的当前估值和增长率。我还要补充一点，我认为随着英特尔努力复苏，AMD 很可能会蚕食市场份额，这也支撑了这些指标。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA&nbsp;contributor&nbsp;Keyanoush Razavidinani.</p><p><blockquote>要进一步了解AMD和INTC投资的技术方面，我推荐SA撰稿人Keyanoush Razavidinani的一篇优秀文章。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dad74e350b9b09d45929989f896aaa9d","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","AMD":"美国超微公司","INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138705612","content_text":"Summary\n\nAMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.\nAMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.\nEven so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.\nNvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.\n\nAndy/iStock via Getty Images\nIntel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.\nThis left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.\nAMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.\nHowever, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.\nThe Ins And Outs of Intel\nAn understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.\nConsequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.\nGaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.\nUntil fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.\nAt the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5% market share in Q4 of 2019.\nDespite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU market.\nThe company has an enormous R&D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.\nInvestors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.\nHowever, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.\nIntel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.\nAn Overview of AMD\nIn years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.\nHowever, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nLike Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.\nAMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.\nIn regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.\nSource:tom'sHARDWARE\nHowever, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.\nAlthough AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.\nLate last year,AMD entered intoa deal to acquire Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.\nThe Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.\nAMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.\nA Survey of NVIDIA\nNVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.\nThe chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.\nSource:AMD Investor Presentation\nThe firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.\nGPUs are being teamed with CPUs to enhance computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to autonomous vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud\nAI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.\nARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.\nPerhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.\nUnfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.\nHead-To-Head Comparisons\nValuation Metrics\nThe following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author\nNext, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.\nChart by author\nNote that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.\nPerusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.\nCount me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.\nDo not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.\n=Advantage AMD\nAnalysts’ Price Targets\nNVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.\nAMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.\nIntel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.\nInvestors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.\n=Tie AMD/INTC\nGrowth Rates\nThe next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author\nWhile investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.\nAdvanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.\n=Advantage AMD\nI considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.\nI often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.\nDebt Metrics\nNVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.\nAMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.\nIntel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.\nAll three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.\nR&D Budgets\nThis is the first time I have compared the R&D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.\nLast fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.\nAMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.\nI should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&D budgets.\n=Advantage INTC\nBottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?\nTo arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.\nBecause ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.\nThe degree of success Intel finds as its planned foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.\nA development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.\nOn the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.\nWhile AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.\nHowever, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.\nWith that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.\nI also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.\nI rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.\nFor additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA contributor Keyanoush Razavidinani.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145095551,"gmtCreate":1626181961873,"gmtModify":1633929343533,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Opportunity?","listText":"Opportunity?","text":"Opportunity?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145095551","repostId":"1168255542","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1024,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125701724,"gmtCreate":1624690299668,"gmtModify":1633949515671,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yes [Yummy]&nbsp;","listText":"Yes [Yummy]&nbsp;","text":"Yes [Yummy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125701724","repostId":"1108941456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167493653,"gmtCreate":1624280946172,"gmtModify":1634008494196,"author":{"id":"3581848646605293","authorId":"3581848646605293","name":"chunkiat14","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b1910abc25edda2038e4e69a5ca9ab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581848646605293","idStr":"3581848646605293"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Up!","listText":"Up!","text":"Up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167493653","repostId":"1100861051","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100861051","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624280482,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1100861051?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 21:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla’s Profitability and the Surprising Thing That Could Threaten It<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力以及可能威胁它的令人惊讶的事情</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100861051","media":"The Street","summary":"Rising competition in the electric vehicle space could not only put a crimp in Tesla’s growth rate, ","content":"<p>  Rising competition in the electric vehicle space could not only put a crimp in Tesla’s growth rate, but diminish a big source of income as well.  The explosion in electric vehicle (EV) demand has served to vindicate the vision of Tesla’s&nbsp;(<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;celebrity CEO Elon Musk. Indeed, the surge in demand for EVs has not only vindicated his foresight, but allowed his company to remain a market leader above late-coming competitors.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领域日益激烈的竞争不仅会抑制特斯拉的增长率，还会减少一个重要的收入来源。电动汽车（EV）需求的爆炸式增长证明了特斯拉的愿景（<b>特斯拉</b>) -获取名人首席执行官埃隆·马斯克的报告。事实上，电动汽车需求的激增不仅证明了他的远见，而且使他的公司仍然是超越后来竞争对手的市场领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, while the company Musk leads as Technoking is no doubt a market leader, it has not solely cashed in by beating its competitors in terms of sales. Instead, a key to the company's recent turn to profitability has come from taking advantage of government incentives and selling the excess incentives it holds to these very same competitors. And now that many of these competitors are engaging more aggressively in EVs themselves, Tesla may soon find itself without many of these customers and, therefore, without a significant contributor to its profits.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管马斯克领导的 Technoking 公司无疑是市场领导者，但它并不仅仅是通过在销售额方面击败竞争对手来获利。相反，该公司最近扭亏为盈的一个关键来自于利用政府激励措施并将其持有的多余激励措施出售给这些完全相同的竞争对手。现在，这些竞争对手中的许多人正在更积极地涉足电动汽车领域，特斯拉可能很快就会发现自己失去了许多这样的客户，因此，其利润也没有一个重要的贡献者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Raking in the Regulatory Credits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>挖掘监管信用</b></blockquote></p><p> The credits that Tesla has handsomely profited from are tradable credits offered by various governments around the world for zero-emission vehicles. The fact that they are tradable is crucial since this allows Tesla to sell the credits to other automakers who might not otherwise comply with emission standards without the use of these credits. The set-up allows Tesla to book the credits as purely additive to its top line, with the automakers buying these credits avoiding hefty fines from regulators.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉从中获得丰厚利润的积分是世界各国政府为零排放汽车提供的可交易积分。它们是可交易的这一事实至关重要，因为这使得特斯拉能够将积分出售给其他汽车制造商，如果不使用这些积分，这些汽车制造商可能无法遵守排放标准。这种安排允许特斯拉将积分纯粹作为其营收的附加物来预订，汽车制造商购买这些积分可以避免监管机构的巨额罚款。</blockquote></p><p> Per Tesla’s most recent 10-K filing, the company earned $1.58 billion from the sale of these credits in 2020, up from $594 million in the year prior and $419 million in 2018. The year-over -year jump notwithstanding, the credit sales might appear to be a paltry sum given the company’s $31.5 billion in total revenue in 2020. However, their nature as purely profit, in contrast to capital intensive auto manufacturing, means they have been a pivotal part of Tesla’s push towards profitability.</p><p><blockquote>根据特斯拉最新的 10-K 文件，该公司在 2020 年从出售这些信用额度中获得了 15.8 亿美元，高于上一年的 5.94 亿美元和 2018 年的 4.19 亿美元。尽管同比有所增长，但考虑到该公司 2020 年 315 亿美元的总收入，赊销销售额似乎微不足道。然而，与资本密集型汽车制造业相比，它们的纯粹利润性质意味着它们一直是特斯拉实现盈利的关键部分。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Tesla’s much-lauded $721 million profit in 2020, the very first profitable full year in its history, was clearly boosted over the top by the surge in regulatory credit sales. Had they remained consistent with the prior periods, the landmark year would have been left short of break-even, keeping up the company's trend of annual losses maintained since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，特斯拉在 2020 年获得了备受赞誉的 7.21 亿美元利润，这是其历史上第一个盈利的全年，这显然是由于监管信贷销售的激增而高于预期的。如果与前期保持一致，这一具有里程碑意义的一年将无法实现收支平衡，从而延续该公司自成立以来的年度亏损趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The trend has continued into 2021 as the company reported $518 million in revenues from credit salesin the first quarter, which boosted the company once again to a $438-million quarterly profit. While vehicle deliveries consistently catch the headlines, it's clear that the regulatory credits are buoying the automaker into the black.</p><p><blockquote>这一趋势一直持续到 2021 年，该公司报告第一季度信贷销售收入为 5.18 亿美元，这使该公司的季度利润再次达到 4.38 亿美元。虽然汽车交付量一直占据头条新闻，但很明显，监管信贷正在推动这家汽车制造商陷入亏损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition Cuts Into Cash Flow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争削减现金流</b></blockquote></p><p> The problem with the profit margin may be approaching faster than some have anticipated as well, with the increased entry of traditional automakers like Ford&nbsp;(<b>F</b>) -Get Report, General Motors&nbsp;(<b>GM</b>) -Get Report, and Stellantis STLA into the EV space.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特等传统汽车制造商越来越多地进入市场，利润率问题也可能比一些人预期的更快（<b>F</b>）-获取报告，通用汽车公司（<b>通用汽车</b>) -获取报告，Stellantis STLA 进入电动汽车领域。</blockquote></p><p> While much of the focus revolves around these companies’ threat to Tesla’s core auto sales, the popularity of Tesla among its devoted fans might sustain it amidst the hard-charging competition. As such, the trajectory of its sales, while now threatened by competent competition, remains somewhat murky at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大部分焦点都集中在这些公司对特斯拉核心汽车销售的威胁上，但特斯拉在其忠实车迷中的受欢迎程度可能会让它在激烈的竞争中得以维持。因此，其销售轨迹虽然现在受到竞争对手的威胁，但目前仍有些模糊。</blockquote></p><p> The question of regulatory credit impact is much more straightforward. If Tesla’s competitors are producing their own electric vehicles and fewer ICE autos, they have no need to spend so substantially on buying credits from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>监管信用影响的问题要简单得多。如果特斯拉的竞争对手生产自己的电动汽车和更少的内燃机汽车，他们就没有必要花费如此巨资从特斯拉购买积分。</blockquote></p><p> Per a Reuters report, Fiat Chrysler agreed to purchase $2.4 billion worth of emissions credits from Tesla from 2019 through 2021, likely accounting for a lion’s share of the roughly $2.2 billion recorded in total in credits sold in Tesla’s 2019 and 2020 10-K filings. However, after Fiat Chrysler merged with French automaker PSA Group in May to form Stellantis, this reliable revenue stream looks likely to fade.</p><p><blockquote>据路透社报道，菲亚特克莱斯勒同意从 2019 年到 2021 年从特斯拉购买价值 24 亿美元的排放信用额，这可能占特斯拉 2019 年和 2020 年 10-K 文件中出售的约 22 亿美元信用额总额的最大份额。然而，在菲亚特克莱斯勒5月份与法国汽车制造商PSA集团合并成立Stellantis后，这种可靠的收入来源看起来可能会消失。</blockquote></p><p> \"With the electrical technology that PSA brought to Stellantis, we will autonomously meet carbon dioxide emission regulations as early as this year,\" Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares told French media after the merger. \"Thus, we will not need to call on European CO2 credits and [Fiat Chrysler] will no longer have to pool with Tesla or anyone.\"</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis 首席执行官卡洛斯·塔瓦雷斯 (Carlos Tavares) 在合并后对法国媒体表示：“凭借 PSA 为 Stellantis 带来的电气技术，我们最早将在今年自主满足二氧化碳排放法规。”“因此，我们将不再需要看涨期权欧洲二氧化碳信用额，[菲亚特克莱斯勒]也不再需要与特斯拉或任何人合作。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Already Anticipated?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>已经预料到了？</b></blockquote></p><p> To be sure, the looming threat of regulatory credit sales eroding is by no means a novel development. CFO Zachary Kirkhorn noted in a call with analysts in mid-2020 that “we don’t manage the business with the assumption that regulatory credits will contribute significantly to the future. Eventually this will reduce.”</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，监管信贷销售侵蚀的迫在眉睫的威胁绝不是一个新的发展。首席财务官扎卡里-柯克霍恩（Zachary Kirkhorn）在 2020 年年中与分析师举行的看涨期权上指出：“我们在管理业务时不会假设监管信贷将对未来做出重大贡献。最终，这种情况会减少。”</blockquote></p><p> Kirkhorn’s focus on the core business, especially in terms of battery technology, rather than the regulatory credit sales, is bolstered by the thoughts of prominent Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>柯克霍恩专注于核心业务，尤其是电池技术方面，而不是监管信贷销售，这得益于特斯拉著名看涨者的想法。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We have owned Tesla for a decade and from day one we expected regulatory credits to go to zero within three years,” Jennison Associates analyst Owuraka Koney said. “They are comfortable without these regulatory credits and they make money when you exclude these credits and these non-recurring costs that they face.”</p><p><blockquote>“Jennison Associates 分析师 Owuraka Koney 说：”我们拥有特斯拉已有十年，从第一天起，我们就预计监管信用将在三年内归零。“他们没有这些监管信用也很舒服，当你排除这些信用和他们面临的这些非经常性成本时，他们就能赚钱”。</blockquote></p><p> Koney cited Elon Musk’smassive compensation packagetied to the company's recent stock surges as a key non-recurring cost in this context. Further, Koney argued that the regulatory credit benefits are being unfairly compared to overall profitability, which he sees as an apples-and-oranges comparison. He explained that the more relevant comparison is to Tesla’s operating income, which was $1.99 billion on a GAAP basis in 2020, up over $2 billion from the figure in 2019. The leap suggests strength greater than that simply achieved via the regulatory credit benefit, in his view.</p><p><blockquote>科尼认为，埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）为公司近期股价飙升提供的巨额薪酬是这种情况下的一个关键非经常性成本。此外，科尼认为，监管信贷优势与整体盈利能力进行了不公平的比较，他认为这是苹果和橙子的比较。他解释说，更相关的比较是特斯拉的经营利润，按公认会计准则计算，2020 年的经营利润为 19.9 亿美元，比 2019 年的数字增加了 20 多亿美元。在他看来，这一飞跃表明的实力比仅仅通过监管信贷优势实现的实力更大。</blockquote></p><p> Mike Dovororany, VP of Automotive &amp; Mobility at market research firm Escalent, seconded the rosier view held by Koney, reiterating that the risk of regulatory credits fading is well understood by savvy investors, and further that the current U.S. administration might actually aid Tesla’s ability to capitalize on regulation.</p><p><blockquote>市场研究公司 Escalent 的汽车与移动性副总裁 Mike Dovorany 赞同 Koney 的乐观观点，重申精明的投资者都清楚监管信用消退的风险，并进一步指出，现任美国政府实际上可能会帮助特斯拉利用监管的能力。</blockquote></p><p> “Because credit sales have always been the main driver behind Tesla’s profitability, investors should be well-accustomed to this risk,” he explained. “Also, as the Biden Administration looks to reconsider stricter emissions regulations, the EV credit market could become more important than ever.”</p><p><blockquote>“他解释说：”由于赊销一直是特斯拉盈利的主要驱动力，投资者应该对这种风险非常熟悉。“此外，随着拜登政府寻求重新考虑更严格的排放法规，电动汽车信贷市场可能会变得比以往任何时候都更加重要”。</blockquote></p><p> With the administration now proposing a $174-billion investment in the electric vehicle market aspart of the American Jobs Act, including new tax credits, there is certainly ample reason to be excited. Given Tesla's ability to capitalize on these incentives, it will be worth watching what the final bill entails when it crosses Biden's desk and whether it might mean lead to more big profits for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>随着政府现在提议在《美国就业法案》之外对电动汽车市场投资1740亿美元，包括新的税收抵免，当然有足够的理由感到兴奋。鉴于特斯拉有能力利用这些激励措施，当最终法案提交给拜登时，值得关注的是最终法案会带来什么，以及它是否可能意味着为特斯拉带来更大的利润。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla’s Profitability and the Surprising Thing That Could Threaten It<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力以及可能威胁它的令人惊讶的事情</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla’s Profitability and the Surprising Thing That Could Threaten It<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力以及可能威胁它的令人惊讶的事情</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 21:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Rising competition in the electric vehicle space could not only put a crimp in Tesla’s growth rate, but diminish a big source of income as well.  The explosion in electric vehicle (EV) demand has served to vindicate the vision of Tesla’s&nbsp;(<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;celebrity CEO Elon Musk. Indeed, the surge in demand for EVs has not only vindicated his foresight, but allowed his company to remain a market leader above late-coming competitors.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领域日益激烈的竞争不仅会抑制特斯拉的增长率，还会减少一个重要的收入来源。电动汽车（EV）需求的爆炸式增长证明了特斯拉的愿景（<b>特斯拉</b>) -获取名人首席执行官埃隆·马斯克的报告。事实上，电动汽车需求的激增不仅证明了他的远见，而且使他的公司仍然是超越后来竞争对手的市场领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, while the company Musk leads as Technoking is no doubt a market leader, it has not solely cashed in by beating its competitors in terms of sales. Instead, a key to the company's recent turn to profitability has come from taking advantage of government incentives and selling the excess incentives it holds to these very same competitors. And now that many of these competitors are engaging more aggressively in EVs themselves, Tesla may soon find itself without many of these customers and, therefore, without a significant contributor to its profits.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管马斯克领导的 Technoking 公司无疑是市场领导者，但它并不仅仅是通过在销售额方面击败竞争对手来获利。相反，该公司最近扭亏为盈的一个关键来自于利用政府激励措施并将其持有的多余激励措施出售给这些完全相同的竞争对手。现在，这些竞争对手中的许多人正在更积极地涉足电动汽车领域，特斯拉可能很快就会发现自己失去了许多这样的客户，因此，其利润也没有一个重要的贡献者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Raking in the Regulatory Credits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>挖掘监管信用</b></blockquote></p><p> The credits that Tesla has handsomely profited from are tradable credits offered by various governments around the world for zero-emission vehicles. The fact that they are tradable is crucial since this allows Tesla to sell the credits to other automakers who might not otherwise comply with emission standards without the use of these credits. The set-up allows Tesla to book the credits as purely additive to its top line, with the automakers buying these credits avoiding hefty fines from regulators.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉从中获得丰厚利润的积分是世界各国政府为零排放汽车提供的可交易积分。它们是可交易的这一事实至关重要，因为这使得特斯拉能够将积分出售给其他汽车制造商，如果不使用这些积分，这些汽车制造商可能无法遵守排放标准。这种安排允许特斯拉将积分纯粹作为其营收的附加物来预订，汽车制造商购买这些积分可以避免监管机构的巨额罚款。</blockquote></p><p> Per Tesla’s most recent 10-K filing, the company earned $1.58 billion from the sale of these credits in 2020, up from $594 million in the year prior and $419 million in 2018. The year-over -year jump notwithstanding, the credit sales might appear to be a paltry sum given the company’s $31.5 billion in total revenue in 2020. However, their nature as purely profit, in contrast to capital intensive auto manufacturing, means they have been a pivotal part of Tesla’s push towards profitability.</p><p><blockquote>根据特斯拉最新的 10-K 文件，该公司在 2020 年从出售这些信用额度中获得了 15.8 亿美元，高于上一年的 5.94 亿美元和 2018 年的 4.19 亿美元。尽管同比有所增长，但考虑到该公司 2020 年 315 亿美元的总收入，赊销销售额似乎微不足道。然而，与资本密集型汽车制造业相比，它们的纯粹利润性质意味着它们一直是特斯拉实现盈利的关键部分。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Tesla’s much-lauded $721 million profit in 2020, the very first profitable full year in its history, was clearly boosted over the top by the surge in regulatory credit sales. Had they remained consistent with the prior periods, the landmark year would have been left short of break-even, keeping up the company's trend of annual losses maintained since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，特斯拉在 2020 年获得了备受赞誉的 7.21 亿美元利润，这是其历史上第一个盈利的全年，这显然是由于监管信贷销售的激增而高于预期的。如果与前期保持一致，这一具有里程碑意义的一年将无法实现收支平衡，从而延续该公司自成立以来的年度亏损趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The trend has continued into 2021 as the company reported $518 million in revenues from credit salesin the first quarter, which boosted the company once again to a $438-million quarterly profit. While vehicle deliveries consistently catch the headlines, it's clear that the regulatory credits are buoying the automaker into the black.</p><p><blockquote>这一趋势一直持续到 2021 年，该公司报告第一季度信贷销售收入为 5.18 亿美元，这使该公司的季度利润再次达到 4.38 亿美元。虽然汽车交付量一直占据头条新闻，但很明显，监管信贷正在推动这家汽车制造商陷入亏损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition Cuts Into Cash Flow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争削减现金流</b></blockquote></p><p> The problem with the profit margin may be approaching faster than some have anticipated as well, with the increased entry of traditional automakers like Ford&nbsp;(<b>F</b>) -Get Report, General Motors&nbsp;(<b>GM</b>) -Get Report, and Stellantis STLA into the EV space.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特等传统汽车制造商越来越多地进入市场，利润率问题也可能比一些人预期的更快（<b>F</b>）-获取报告，通用汽车公司（<b>通用汽车</b>) -获取报告，Stellantis STLA 进入电动汽车领域。</blockquote></p><p> While much of the focus revolves around these companies’ threat to Tesla’s core auto sales, the popularity of Tesla among its devoted fans might sustain it amidst the hard-charging competition. As such, the trajectory of its sales, while now threatened by competent competition, remains somewhat murky at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大部分焦点都集中在这些公司对特斯拉核心汽车销售的威胁上，但特斯拉在其忠实车迷中的受欢迎程度可能会让它在激烈的竞争中得以维持。因此，其销售轨迹虽然现在受到竞争对手的威胁，但目前仍有些模糊。</blockquote></p><p> The question of regulatory credit impact is much more straightforward. If Tesla’s competitors are producing their own electric vehicles and fewer ICE autos, they have no need to spend so substantially on buying credits from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>监管信用影响的问题要简单得多。如果特斯拉的竞争对手生产自己的电动汽车和更少的内燃机汽车，他们就没有必要花费如此巨资从特斯拉购买积分。</blockquote></p><p> Per a Reuters report, Fiat Chrysler agreed to purchase $2.4 billion worth of emissions credits from Tesla from 2019 through 2021, likely accounting for a lion’s share of the roughly $2.2 billion recorded in total in credits sold in Tesla’s 2019 and 2020 10-K filings. However, after Fiat Chrysler merged with French automaker PSA Group in May to form Stellantis, this reliable revenue stream looks likely to fade.</p><p><blockquote>据路透社报道，菲亚特克莱斯勒同意从 2019 年到 2021 年从特斯拉购买价值 24 亿美元的排放信用额，这可能占特斯拉 2019 年和 2020 年 10-K 文件中出售的约 22 亿美元信用额总额的最大份额。然而，在菲亚特克莱斯勒5月份与法国汽车制造商PSA集团合并成立Stellantis后，这种可靠的收入来源看起来可能会消失。</blockquote></p><p> \"With the electrical technology that PSA brought to Stellantis, we will autonomously meet carbon dioxide emission regulations as early as this year,\" Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares told French media after the merger. \"Thus, we will not need to call on European CO2 credits and [Fiat Chrysler] will no longer have to pool with Tesla or anyone.\"</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis 首席执行官卡洛斯·塔瓦雷斯 (Carlos Tavares) 在合并后对法国媒体表示：“凭借 PSA 为 Stellantis 带来的电气技术，我们最早将在今年自主满足二氧化碳排放法规。”“因此，我们将不再需要看涨期权欧洲二氧化碳信用额，[菲亚特克莱斯勒]也不再需要与特斯拉或任何人合作。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Already Anticipated?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>已经预料到了？</b></blockquote></p><p> To be sure, the looming threat of regulatory credit sales eroding is by no means a novel development. CFO Zachary Kirkhorn noted in a call with analysts in mid-2020 that “we don’t manage the business with the assumption that regulatory credits will contribute significantly to the future. Eventually this will reduce.”</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，监管信贷销售侵蚀的迫在眉睫的威胁绝不是一个新的发展。首席财务官扎卡里-柯克霍恩（Zachary Kirkhorn）在 2020 年年中与分析师举行的看涨期权上指出：“我们在管理业务时不会假设监管信贷将对未来做出重大贡献。最终，这种情况会减少。”</blockquote></p><p> Kirkhorn’s focus on the core business, especially in terms of battery technology, rather than the regulatory credit sales, is bolstered by the thoughts of prominent Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>柯克霍恩专注于核心业务，尤其是电池技术方面，而不是监管信贷销售，这得益于特斯拉著名看涨者的想法。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We have owned Tesla for a decade and from day one we expected regulatory credits to go to zero within three years,” Jennison Associates analyst Owuraka Koney said. “They are comfortable without these regulatory credits and they make money when you exclude these credits and these non-recurring costs that they face.”</p><p><blockquote>“Jennison Associates 分析师 Owuraka Koney 说：”我们拥有特斯拉已有十年，从第一天起，我们就预计监管信用将在三年内归零。“他们没有这些监管信用也很舒服，当你排除这些信用和他们面临的这些非经常性成本时，他们就能赚钱”。</blockquote></p><p> Koney cited Elon Musk’smassive compensation packagetied to the company's recent stock surges as a key non-recurring cost in this context. Further, Koney argued that the regulatory credit benefits are being unfairly compared to overall profitability, which he sees as an apples-and-oranges comparison. He explained that the more relevant comparison is to Tesla’s operating income, which was $1.99 billion on a GAAP basis in 2020, up over $2 billion from the figure in 2019. The leap suggests strength greater than that simply achieved via the regulatory credit benefit, in his view.</p><p><blockquote>科尼认为，埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）为公司近期股价飙升提供的巨额薪酬是这种情况下的一个关键非经常性成本。此外，科尼认为，监管信贷优势与整体盈利能力进行了不公平的比较，他认为这是苹果和橙子的比较。他解释说，更相关的比较是特斯拉的经营利润，按公认会计准则计算，2020 年的经营利润为 19.9 亿美元，比 2019 年的数字增加了 20 多亿美元。在他看来，这一飞跃表明的实力比仅仅通过监管信贷优势实现的实力更大。</blockquote></p><p> Mike Dovororany, VP of Automotive &amp; Mobility at market research firm Escalent, seconded the rosier view held by Koney, reiterating that the risk of regulatory credits fading is well understood by savvy investors, and further that the current U.S. administration might actually aid Tesla’s ability to capitalize on regulation.</p><p><blockquote>市场研究公司 Escalent 的汽车与移动性副总裁 Mike Dovorany 赞同 Koney 的乐观观点，重申精明的投资者都清楚监管信用消退的风险，并进一步指出，现任美国政府实际上可能会帮助特斯拉利用监管的能力。</blockquote></p><p> “Because credit sales have always been the main driver behind Tesla’s profitability, investors should be well-accustomed to this risk,” he explained. “Also, as the Biden Administration looks to reconsider stricter emissions regulations, the EV credit market could become more important than ever.”</p><p><blockquote>“他解释说：”由于赊销一直是特斯拉盈利的主要驱动力，投资者应该对这种风险非常熟悉。“此外，随着拜登政府寻求重新考虑更严格的排放法规，电动汽车信贷市场可能会变得比以往任何时候都更加重要”。</blockquote></p><p> With the administration now proposing a $174-billion investment in the electric vehicle market aspart of the American Jobs Act, including new tax credits, there is certainly ample reason to be excited. Given Tesla's ability to capitalize on these incentives, it will be worth watching what the final bill entails when it crosses Biden's desk and whether it might mean lead to more big profits for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>随着政府现在提议在《美国就业法案》之外对电动汽车市场投资1740亿美元，包括新的税收抵免，当然有足够的理由感到兴奋。鉴于特斯拉有能力利用这些激励措施，当最终法案提交给拜登时，值得关注的是最终法案会带来什么，以及它是否可能意味着为特斯拉带来更大的利润。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/surprising-thing-that-could-threaten-teslas-profitability\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/surprising-thing-that-could-threaten-teslas-profitability","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100861051","content_text":"Rising competition in the electric vehicle space could not only put a crimp in Tesla’s growth rate, but diminish a big source of income as well.\n\nThe explosion in electric vehicle (EV) demand has served to vindicate the vision of Tesla’s (TSLA) -Get Report celebrity CEO Elon Musk. Indeed, the surge in demand for EVs has not only vindicated his foresight, but allowed his company to remain a market leader above late-coming competitors.\nHowever, while the company Musk leads as Technoking is no doubt a market leader, it has not solely cashed in by beating its competitors in terms of sales. Instead, a key to the company's recent turn to profitability has come from taking advantage of government incentives and selling the excess incentives it holds to these very same competitors. And now that many of these competitors are engaging more aggressively in EVs themselves, Tesla may soon find itself without many of these customers and, therefore, without a significant contributor to its profits.\nRaking in the Regulatory Credits\nThe credits that Tesla has handsomely profited from are tradable credits offered by various governments around the world for zero-emission vehicles. The fact that they are tradable is crucial since this allows Tesla to sell the credits to other automakers who might not otherwise comply with emission standards without the use of these credits. The set-up allows Tesla to book the credits as purely additive to its top line, with the automakers buying these credits avoiding hefty fines from regulators.\nPer Tesla’s most recent 10-K filing, the company earned $1.58 billion from the sale of these credits in 2020, up from $594 million in the year prior and $419 million in 2018. The year-over -year jump notwithstanding, the credit sales might appear to be a paltry sum given the company’s $31.5 billion in total revenue in 2020. However, their nature as purely profit, in contrast to capital intensive auto manufacturing, means they have been a pivotal part of Tesla’s push towards profitability.\nIndeed, Tesla’s much-lauded $721 million profit in 2020, the very first profitable full year in its history, was clearly boosted over the top by the surge in regulatory credit sales. Had they remained consistent with the prior periods, the landmark year would have been left short of break-even, keeping up the company's trend of annual losses maintained since its inception.\nThe trend has continued into 2021 as the company reported $518 million in revenues from credit salesin the first quarter, which boosted the company once again to a $438-million quarterly profit. While vehicle deliveries consistently catch the headlines, it's clear that the regulatory credits are buoying the automaker into the black.\nCompetition Cuts Into Cash Flow\nThe problem with the profit margin may be approaching faster than some have anticipated as well, with the increased entry of traditional automakers like Ford (F) -Get Report, General Motors (GM) -Get Report, and Stellantis STLA into the EV space.\nWhile much of the focus revolves around these companies’ threat to Tesla’s core auto sales, the popularity of Tesla among its devoted fans might sustain it amidst the hard-charging competition. As such, the trajectory of its sales, while now threatened by competent competition, remains somewhat murky at the moment.\nThe question of regulatory credit impact is much more straightforward. If Tesla’s competitors are producing their own electric vehicles and fewer ICE autos, they have no need to spend so substantially on buying credits from Tesla.\nPer a Reuters report, Fiat Chrysler agreed to purchase $2.4 billion worth of emissions credits from Tesla from 2019 through 2021, likely accounting for a lion’s share of the roughly $2.2 billion recorded in total in credits sold in Tesla’s 2019 and 2020 10-K filings. However, after Fiat Chrysler merged with French automaker PSA Group in May to form Stellantis, this reliable revenue stream looks likely to fade.\n\"With the electrical technology that PSA brought to Stellantis, we will autonomously meet carbon dioxide emission regulations as early as this year,\" Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares told French media after the merger. \"Thus, we will not need to call on European CO2 credits and [Fiat Chrysler] will no longer have to pool with Tesla or anyone.\"\nAlready Anticipated?\nTo be sure, the looming threat of regulatory credit sales eroding is by no means a novel development. CFO Zachary Kirkhorn noted in a call with analysts in mid-2020 that “we don’t manage the business with the assumption that regulatory credits will contribute significantly to the future. Eventually this will reduce.”\nKirkhorn’s focus on the core business, especially in terms of battery technology, rather than the regulatory credit sales, is bolstered by the thoughts of prominent Tesla bulls.\n“We have owned Tesla for a decade and from day one we expected regulatory credits to go to zero within three years,” Jennison Associates analyst Owuraka Koney said. “They are comfortable without these regulatory credits and they make money when you exclude these credits and these non-recurring costs that they face.”\nKoney cited Elon Musk’smassive compensation packagetied to the company's recent stock surges as a key non-recurring cost in this context. Further, Koney argued that the regulatory credit benefits are being unfairly compared to overall profitability, which he sees as an apples-and-oranges comparison. He explained that the more relevant comparison is to Tesla’s operating income, which was $1.99 billion on a GAAP basis in 2020, up over $2 billion from the figure in 2019. The leap suggests strength greater than that simply achieved via the regulatory credit benefit, in his view.\nMike Dovororany, VP of Automotive & Mobility at market research firm Escalent, seconded the rosier view held by Koney, reiterating that the risk of regulatory credits fading is well understood by savvy investors, and further that the current U.S. administration might actually aid Tesla’s ability to capitalize on regulation.\n“Because credit sales have always been the main driver behind Tesla’s profitability, investors should be well-accustomed to this risk,” he explained. “Also, as the Biden Administration looks to reconsider stricter emissions regulations, the EV credit market could become more important than ever.”\nWith the administration now proposing a $174-billion investment in the electric vehicle market aspart of the American Jobs Act, including new tax credits, there is certainly ample reason to be excited. Given Tesla's ability to capitalize on these incentives, it will be worth watching what the final bill entails when it crosses Biden's desk and whether it might mean lead to more big profits for Tesla.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}