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Baoxiaolong

Everyone wants to retire early

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2021-12-29

Nice

Here’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion<blockquote>苹果股价需要达到3万亿美元</blockquote>

2021-12-29

Well it's normal!!

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2021-12-28

Scary scary

China Ends Limit on Foreign Car Makers' Ownership Stakes<blockquote>中国结束对外国汽车制造商持股的限制</blockquote>

2021-12-28

Wow where's that crash or it's just building into the next one

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2021-12-27

Nice

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2021-12-26

Will it go lower?

Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote>

2021-12-26

Nice

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2021-12-25

Another super varaint

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2021-12-24

Here we go again

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2021-12-22

My Alibaba gg

Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌3.45%</blockquote>

2021-12-21

My stocks all red!!!!

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2021-12-20

Nike shops are always crowded

Nike Earnings Preview: Is Supply Chain 'Congestion' Behind Nike?<blockquote>耐克财报预览：耐克背后是供应链“拥堵”吗？</blockquote>

2021-12-20

Too bad sold all

Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票：抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>

2021-12-19

Go stonks!

Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>

2021-12-18

Is it really going to be the next big thing

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2021-12-18

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

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2021-12-17

I love Uber. Better than grab

Uber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步：丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote>

2021-12-17

What

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2021-12-16

Stonks again

EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%<blockquote>电动汽车股盘前交易飙升，Canoe涨超5%，Rivian、特斯拉、Lucid、小鹏汽车涨超2%</blockquote>

2021-12-16

Good!!!! Should tax them more

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resistance.</p><p><blockquote>困难的是180美元区域已经成为阻力区域。</blockquote></p><p> We have actually been pretty fortunate when it comes to trading Apple stock.</p><p><blockquote>在交易苹果股票方面，我们实际上非常幸运。</blockquote></p><p> On its first push to the $3 trillion level, we were selling the news and&nbsp;looking for a bearish reversal.</p><p><blockquote>在其首次突破3万亿美元水平时，我们正在抛售这一消息并寻找看跌逆转。</blockquote></p><p> That worked out as Apple corrected lower. However, that set up a&nbsp;pretty sweet bounce play&nbsp;that has been paying traders pretty well over the past few days.</p><p><blockquote>当苹果修正走低时，这种情况得到了解决。然而，这引发了一场相当不错的反弹行情，在过去几天里给交易者带来了丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> At the risk of over-saturating our Apple discussion, how do the charts look now as it makes another push back up toward this key zone?</p><p><blockquote>冒着让我们的苹果讨论过度饱和的风险，当它再次向这个关键区域反弹时，图表现在看起来如何？</blockquote></p><p> Trading Apple Stock</p><p><blockquote>交易苹果股票</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29cb7696d6e38eacaddae770a857ff3d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"741\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Daily chart of Apple stock.Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果股票日线图。图表由TrendSpider.com提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple’s powerful bounce off the 21-day moving average and rotation up through the 10-day has given the stock new life.</p><p><blockquote>苹果从21日移动平均线强劲反弹并在10日移动平均线上轮动，赋予了该股新的生命。</blockquote></p><p> However, this $180 zone has been tricky thus far. One will notice how the stock tested up into this area on Tuesday and then struggled.</p><p><blockquote>然而，到目前为止，180美元区域一直很棘手。人们会注意到该股周二如何测试到该区域，然后陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not unlike what we’re seeing&nbsp;with Meta&nbsp;(<b>MVRS</b>), although admittedly, the stock is not trading at all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>这与我们在Meta中看到的没有什么不同（<b>MVRS</b>），尽管不可否认，该股的交易价格并未达到历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> From here, bulls want to see a push up through the all-time high, at $182.13. That opens the door directly to the $3 trillion market cap level — at $182.85-ish — and more new highs.</p><p><blockquote>从这里开始，多头希望看到价格突破182.13美元的历史高点。这直接打开了通往3万亿美元市值水平（约182.85美元）以及更多新高的大门。</blockquote></p><p> The flip side of that scenario is that the $180 area holds as resistance.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况的另一面是180美元区域仍是阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> In that case, I want to see the 10-day moving average hold as support on the pullback. A break of this level puts the 21-day moving average back in play again, but it would be much healthier for the former to hold as support and for the latter to not be tested.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，我希望看到10日移动平均线作为回调的支撑。突破这一水平将使21日移动平均线再次发挥作用，但前者保持支撑而后者不受测试会更健康。</blockquote></p><p> In either scenario — the breakout or the pullback — investors will ultimately be looking for $3 trillion and new all-time highs eventually.</p><p><blockquote>无论哪种情况——突破还是回调——投资者最终都将寻求3万亿美元和历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <i>When</i>&nbsp;Apple gets there — not if — it will have longer-term bulls sniffing for the $188 to $194 area, where the stock finds multiple upside extension levels.</p><p><blockquote><i>何时</i>苹果实现了这一目标——而不是如果——它将让长期多头嗅探188美元至194美元区域，该股将在该区域找到多个上行延伸水平。</blockquote></p><p> Above $195 and the obvious is in play: $200.</p><p><blockquote>高于195美元，显而易见的是：200美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion<blockquote>苹果股价需要达到3万亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion<blockquote>苹果股价需要达到3万亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-29 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple&nbsp;(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;stock is again back in the spotlight on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>苹果(<b>AAPL</b>）周二，该股再次成为人们关注的焦点。</blockquote></p><p> Not that it’s hard for the tech giant to find itself there, but it comes as the stock makes another push back to&nbsp;the $3 trillion market cap level.</p><p><blockquote>并不是说这家科技巨头很难找到自己的位置，但与此同时，该股的市值再次回升至3万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> To get there, Apple stock needs to climb to roughly $182.85 — let’s just call it $183.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现这一目标，苹果股价需要攀升至182.85美元左右——看涨期权价格为183美元。</blockquote></p><p> What’s been difficult is that the $180 area has become an area of resistance.</p><p><blockquote>困难的是180美元区域已经成为阻力区域。</blockquote></p><p> We have actually been pretty fortunate when it comes to trading Apple stock.</p><p><blockquote>在交易苹果股票方面，我们实际上非常幸运。</blockquote></p><p> On its first push to the $3 trillion level, we were selling the news and&nbsp;looking for a bearish reversal.</p><p><blockquote>在其首次突破3万亿美元水平时，我们正在抛售这一消息并寻找看跌逆转。</blockquote></p><p> That worked out as Apple corrected lower. However, that set up a&nbsp;pretty sweet bounce play&nbsp;that has been paying traders pretty well over the past few days.</p><p><blockquote>当苹果修正走低时，这种情况得到了解决。然而，这引发了一场相当不错的反弹行情，在过去几天里给交易者带来了丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> At the risk of over-saturating our Apple discussion, how do the charts look now as it makes another push back up toward this key zone?</p><p><blockquote>冒着让我们的苹果讨论过度饱和的风险，当它再次向这个关键区域反弹时，图表现在看起来如何？</blockquote></p><p> Trading Apple Stock</p><p><blockquote>交易苹果股票</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29cb7696d6e38eacaddae770a857ff3d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"741\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Daily chart of Apple stock.Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果股票日线图。图表由TrendSpider.com提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple’s powerful bounce off the 21-day moving average and rotation up through the 10-day has given the stock new life.</p><p><blockquote>苹果从21日移动平均线强劲反弹并在10日移动平均线上轮动，赋予了该股新的生命。</blockquote></p><p> However, this $180 zone has been tricky thus far. One will notice how the stock tested up into this area on Tuesday and then struggled.</p><p><blockquote>然而，到目前为止，180美元区域一直很棘手。人们会注意到该股周二如何测试到该区域，然后陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not unlike what we’re seeing&nbsp;with Meta&nbsp;(<b>MVRS</b>), although admittedly, the stock is not trading at all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>这与我们在Meta中看到的没有什么不同（<b>MVRS</b>），尽管不可否认，该股的交易价格并未达到历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> From here, bulls want to see a push up through the all-time high, at $182.13. That opens the door directly to the $3 trillion market cap level — at $182.85-ish — and more new highs.</p><p><blockquote>从这里开始，多头希望看到价格突破182.13美元的历史高点。这直接打开了通往3万亿美元市值水平（约182.85美元）以及更多新高的大门。</blockquote></p><p> The flip side of that scenario is that the $180 area holds as resistance.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况的另一面是180美元区域仍是阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> In that case, I want to see the 10-day moving average hold as support on the pullback. A break of this level puts the 21-day moving average back in play again, but it would be much healthier for the former to hold as support and for the latter to not be tested.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，我希望看到10日移动平均线作为回调的支撑。突破这一水平将使21日移动平均线再次发挥作用，但前者保持支撑而后者不受测试会更健康。</blockquote></p><p> In either scenario — the breakout or the pullback — investors will ultimately be looking for $3 trillion and new all-time highs eventually.</p><p><blockquote>无论哪种情况——突破还是回调——投资者最终都将寻求3万亿美元和历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <i>When</i>&nbsp;Apple gets there — not if — it will have longer-term bulls sniffing for the $188 to $194 area, where the stock finds multiple upside extension levels.</p><p><blockquote><i>何时</i>苹果实现了这一目标——而不是如果——它将让长期多头嗅探188美元至194美元区域，该股将在该区域找到多个上行延伸水平。</blockquote></p><p> Above $195 and the obvious is in play: $200.</p><p><blockquote>高于195美元，显而易见的是：200美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-apple-aapl-stock-3-trillion-market-cap-end-of-year\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-apple-aapl-stock-3-trillion-market-cap-end-of-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169856412","content_text":"Apple (AAPL) stock is again back in the spotlight on Tuesday.\nNot that it’s hard for the tech giant to find itself there, but it comes as the stock makes another push back to the $3 trillion market cap level.\nTo get there, Apple stock needs to climb to roughly $182.85 — let’s just call it $183.\nWhat’s been difficult is that the $180 area has become an area of resistance.\nWe have actually been pretty fortunate when it comes to trading Apple stock.\nOn its first push to the $3 trillion level, we were selling the news and looking for a bearish reversal.\nThat worked out as Apple corrected lower. However, that set up a pretty sweet bounce play that has been paying traders pretty well over the past few days.\nAt the risk of over-saturating our Apple discussion, how do the charts look now as it makes another push back up toward this key zone?\nTrading Apple Stock\nDaily chart of Apple stock.Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com\nApple’s powerful bounce off the 21-day moving average and rotation up through the 10-day has given the stock new life.\nHowever, this $180 zone has been tricky thus far. One will notice how the stock tested up into this area on Tuesday and then struggled.\nIt’s not unlike what we’re seeing with Meta (MVRS), although admittedly, the stock is not trading at all-time highs.\nFrom here, bulls want to see a push up through the all-time high, at $182.13. That opens the door directly to the $3 trillion market cap level — at $182.85-ish — and more new highs.\nThe flip side of that scenario is that the $180 area holds as resistance.\nIn that case, I want to see the 10-day moving average hold as support on the pullback. A break of this level puts the 21-day moving average back in play again, but it would be much healthier for the former to hold as support and for the latter to not be tested.\nIn either scenario — the breakout or the pullback — investors will ultimately be looking for $3 trillion and new all-time highs eventually.\nWhen Apple gets there — not if — it will have longer-term bulls sniffing for the $188 to $194 area, where the stock finds multiple upside extension levels.\nAbove $195 and the obvious is in play: $200.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3558,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696465275,"gmtCreate":1640749491252,"gmtModify":1640749491627,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well it's normal!!","listText":"Well it's normal!!","text":"Well it's normal!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696465275","repostId":"1186633322","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3018,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696149799,"gmtCreate":1640654554171,"gmtModify":1640654554549,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Scary scary&nbsp;","listText":"Scary scary&nbsp;","text":"Scary scary","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696149799","repostId":"1179396819","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179396819","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640654458,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179396819?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-28 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China Ends Limit on Foreign Car Makers' Ownership Stakes<blockquote>中国结束对外国汽车制造商持股的限制</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179396819","media":"TheStreet","summary":"China said on Monday that it’s ending its limits on foreign automakers’ investments in the country a","content":"<p>China said on Monday that it’s ending its limits on foreign automakers’ investments in the country as of Jan. 1.</p><p><blockquote>中国周一表示，将从1月1日起结束对外国汽车制造商在中国投资的限制。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, foreign automakers need to enter joint ventures with Chinese partners and face a 50% ownership limit in those agreements.</p><p><blockquote>目前，外国汽车制造商需要与中国合作伙伴成立合资企业，并在这些协议中面临50%的所有权限制。</blockquote></p><p> China has been opening its auto industry to foreigners gradually over the past three years,Nikkei reports.</p><p><blockquote>据《日经新闻》报道，过去三年来，中国一直在逐步向外国人开放汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, it released the spigot for electric vehicles and then for commercial vehicles last year. Now the passenger-vehicle segment, which makes up 80% of the market, is opening up.</p><p><blockquote>最初，它发布了电动汽车龙头，然后于去年发布了商用车龙头。现在，占市场80%的乘用车领域正在开放。</blockquote></p><p> General Motors&nbsp;(<b>GM</b>)&nbsp;is one of the major foreign players in China, delivering 2.9 million vehicles there last year through its joint ventures.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车（<b>GM</b>）是在中国的主要外国企业之一，去年通过其合资企业在中国交付了290万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> GM recently traded at $57.42, up 0.9%. Morningstar analyst David Whiston likes the stock, putting fair value at $68.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车近期交易价格为57.42美元，上涨0.9%。晨星分析师David Whiston喜欢该股，认为公允价值为68美元。</blockquote></p><p> “We think General Motors' vehicles are of the best quality and design in decades,” he wrote in October.</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为通用汽车的汽车具有几十年来最好的质量和设计，”他在十月份写道。</blockquote></p><p> “The company is already a leader in trucks, so a competitive lineup in all segments, combined with a much smaller cost base, says to us that GM is starting to realize the scale to match its size.</p><p><blockquote>“该公司已经是卡车领域的领导者，因此在所有细分市场都具有竞争力的产品线，加上成本基础小得多，告诉我们通用汽车正在开始实现与其规模相匹配的规模。</blockquote></p><p> “The head of Consumer Reports automotive testing even said Toyota and Honda could learn from the Chevrolet Malibu.</p><p><blockquote>《消费者报告》汽车测试负责人甚至表示，丰田和本田可以向雪佛兰Malibu学习。</blockquote></p><p> “We think GM's earnings potential is excellent because the company has a healthy North American unit and a nearly mature finance arm with GM Financial.</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为通用汽车的盈利潜力非常好，因为该公司拥有一个健康的北美部门和一个近乎成熟的通用金融部门。</blockquote></p><p> “Moving hourly workers' retiree healthcare to a separate fund and closing plants have drastically lowered GM North America's break-even point to U.S. industry sales of about 10 million-11 million vehicles, assuming 18%-19% share.”</p><p><blockquote>“将小时工退休人员的医疗保健转移到一个单独的基金中并关闭工厂，使通用汽车北美公司的盈亏平衡点大幅降低至美国行业销量约1000万-1100万辆（假设份额为18%-19%）。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Ends Limit on Foreign Car Makers' Ownership Stakes<blockquote>中国结束对外国汽车制造商持股的限制</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Ends Limit on Foreign Car Makers' Ownership Stakes<blockquote>中国结束对外国汽车制造商持股的限制</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-28 09:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>China said on Monday that it’s ending its limits on foreign automakers’ investments in the country as of Jan. 1.</p><p><blockquote>中国周一表示，将从1月1日起结束对外国汽车制造商在中国投资的限制。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, foreign automakers need to enter joint ventures with Chinese partners and face a 50% ownership limit in those agreements.</p><p><blockquote>目前，外国汽车制造商需要与中国合作伙伴成立合资企业，并在这些协议中面临50%的所有权限制。</blockquote></p><p> China has been opening its auto industry to foreigners gradually over the past three years,Nikkei reports.</p><p><blockquote>据《日经新闻》报道，过去三年来，中国一直在逐步向外国人开放汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, it released the spigot for electric vehicles and then for commercial vehicles last year. Now the passenger-vehicle segment, which makes up 80% of the market, is opening up.</p><p><blockquote>最初，它发布了电动汽车龙头，然后于去年发布了商用车龙头。现在，占市场80%的乘用车领域正在开放。</blockquote></p><p> General Motors&nbsp;(<b>GM</b>)&nbsp;is one of the major foreign players in China, delivering 2.9 million vehicles there last year through its joint ventures.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车（<b>GM</b>）是在中国的主要外国企业之一，去年通过其合资企业在中国交付了290万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> GM recently traded at $57.42, up 0.9%. Morningstar analyst David Whiston likes the stock, putting fair value at $68.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车近期交易价格为57.42美元，上涨0.9%。晨星分析师David Whiston喜欢该股，认为公允价值为68美元。</blockquote></p><p> “We think General Motors' vehicles are of the best quality and design in decades,” he wrote in October.</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为通用汽车的汽车具有几十年来最好的质量和设计，”他在十月份写道。</blockquote></p><p> “The company is already a leader in trucks, so a competitive lineup in all segments, combined with a much smaller cost base, says to us that GM is starting to realize the scale to match its size.</p><p><blockquote>“该公司已经是卡车领域的领导者，因此在所有细分市场都具有竞争力的产品线，加上成本基础小得多，告诉我们通用汽车正在开始实现与其规模相匹配的规模。</blockquote></p><p> “The head of Consumer Reports automotive testing even said Toyota and Honda could learn from the Chevrolet Malibu.</p><p><blockquote>《消费者报告》汽车测试负责人甚至表示，丰田和本田可以向雪佛兰Malibu学习。</blockquote></p><p> “We think GM's earnings potential is excellent because the company has a healthy North American unit and a nearly mature finance arm with GM Financial.</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为通用汽车的盈利潜力非常好，因为该公司拥有一个健康的北美部门和一个近乎成熟的通用金融部门。</blockquote></p><p> “Moving hourly workers' retiree healthcare to a separate fund and closing plants have drastically lowered GM North America's break-even point to U.S. industry sales of about 10 million-11 million vehicles, assuming 18%-19% share.”</p><p><blockquote>“将小时工退休人员的医疗保健转移到一个单独的基金中并关闭工厂，使通用汽车北美公司的盈亏平衡点大幅降低至美国行业销量约1000万-1100万辆（假设份额为18%-19%）。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/china-ends-limit-foreign-car-makers-ownership-stakes\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/china-ends-limit-foreign-car-makers-ownership-stakes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179396819","content_text":"China said on Monday that it’s ending its limits on foreign automakers’ investments in the country as of Jan. 1.\nCurrently, foreign automakers need to enter joint ventures with Chinese partners and face a 50% ownership limit in those agreements.\nChina has been opening its auto industry to foreigners gradually over the past three years,Nikkei reports.\nInitially, it released the spigot for electric vehicles and then for commercial vehicles last year. Now the passenger-vehicle segment, which makes up 80% of the market, is opening up.\nGeneral Motors (GM) is one of the major foreign players in China, delivering 2.9 million vehicles there last year through its joint ventures.\nGM recently traded at $57.42, up 0.9%. Morningstar analyst David Whiston likes the stock, putting fair value at $68.\n“We think General Motors' vehicles are of the best quality and design in decades,” he wrote in October.\n“The company is already a leader in trucks, so a competitive lineup in all segments, combined with a much smaller cost base, says to us that GM is starting to realize the scale to match its size.\n“The head of Consumer Reports automotive testing even said Toyota and Honda could learn from the Chevrolet Malibu.\n“We think GM's earnings potential is excellent because the company has a healthy North American unit and a nearly mature finance arm with GM Financial.\n“Moving hourly workers' retiree healthcare to a separate fund and closing plants have drastically lowered GM North America's break-even point to U.S. industry sales of about 10 million-11 million vehicles, assuming 18%-19% share.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1923,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696149439,"gmtCreate":1640654534332,"gmtModify":1640654534782,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow where's that crash or it's just building into the next one&nbsp;","listText":"Wow where's that crash or it's just building into the next one&nbsp;","text":"Wow where's that crash or it's just building into the next one","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696149439","repostId":"1127544468","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696930154,"gmtCreate":1640592682148,"gmtModify":1640592682565,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696930154","repostId":"1195075450","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698461124,"gmtCreate":1640496696382,"gmtModify":1640496696770,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will it go lower?&nbsp;","listText":"Will it go lower?&nbsp;","text":"Will it go lower?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698461124","repostId":"1166698166","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166698166","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640484465,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166698166?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-26 10:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166698166","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth ","content":"<p><div> Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Clover Health（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）于1月初完成首日交易，CLOV股票价值约70亿美元。它刚刚完成了与社会资本Hedosophia III的合并...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nClover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-26 10:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Clover Health（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）于1月初完成首日交易，CLOV股票价值约70亿美元。它刚刚完成了与社会资本Hedosophia III的合并...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166698166","content_text":"Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) sponsored by “Silicon Valley venture capitalist” Chamath Palihapitiya.\nToday, as I write this, it’s worth approximately $1.94 billion, 74% less than it’s $7 billion valuation.\nWhen I last wrote about Clover Health in early December,I suggested,“only the most speculative investors ought to be anywhere near this healthcare stock.” Since then, CLOV stock has lost another 9% as we approach the end of the year.\nWhile CLOV stock is trading for pennies over $4, here are three similarly-valued stocks to buy for 2022.\nForget CLOV Stock — Buy This Instead\nAccording toFinviz.com,there are64 stocks with a market capitalization between $1.9 billion and $2 billion. My three picks grow sales, generate profits, and possess solid balance sheets. If you’re lucky, at least one will pay a decent dividend.\nUltimately, all three are, in my opinion, safer bets than CLOV in 2022.\nSonic Automotive(NYSE:SAH) is my first pick. It has a current market cap of $2 billion. Its stock is up 25.77% year-to-date (YTD), 258 basis points less than theS&P 500.\nSonic is one of the top automotive retailers in America. Its 119 dealerships are located in 17 states and represent more than 25 brands. In its latest fiscal year, it sold 93,000 new vehicles and 159,000 used vehicles, generating $9.8 billion in revenue.  It expects to grow its revenue to $25 billion by 2025.\nFrom a brand breakdown, luxury accounts for 55% of its sales with BMW, Mercedes, and Audi accounting for 71% of its luxury vehicle sales.\nIn 2021’s third-quarter, its revenues grew by 20.6% to $3.07 billion. Its net income rose 46.9% to $84.7 million and its total debt is$1.97 billion or 56% of its total assets.\nThe company’s Echo Park used car business should be a big contributor as it pushes to $25 billion in sales by 2025.\nThe Second Alternative to CLOV Stock\nSally Beauty Holdings(NYSE:SBH) business and the stock bounced back in 2021. That’s great news for long-time shareholders. Up 42.8% YTD, SBH’s five-year return looks a little better as a result. However, it’s down 29% on a cumulative basis over the past 60 months.\nBack in May 2017, I compared Sally Beauty and Ulta Beauty Holdings(NASDAQ:ULTA). ULTA was on a bit of a roll, while SBH was stumbling and bumbling. So, wisely, I said ULTA was the better stock to buy. Ulta is up 28.2% since — it’s also had its ups and downs — while SBH is up 3.8% over the same period.\nHowever, I thought Sally Beauty’s restructuring at the time was gaining traction. While Covid-19 didn’t help its business, its most recent results are encouraging.\nFor all of fiscal 2021, its sales increased10.3% to $3.87 billion with 10.2% same-store sales growth. Its operating earnings grew 44.2% in 2021 to $622.7 million, and it managed to reduce its debt by $420 million in the past year. That puts its long-term debt at $1.38 billion or 48% of its total assets.\nOn Oct. 1, board member Denise Paulonistook over as chief executive officer (CEO)of the company. She is tasked with growing sales and profits after previous CEO Chris Brinkman thoroughly modernized its beauty business during his six-year tenure.\nA Final Possibility\nMy final alternative is Goldman Sachs BDC(NYSE:GSBD). It was founded in 2012 to make debt and equity investments in middle-market companies — defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) earnings of$5 million to $200 million— and merged with Goldman Sachs Middle Market Lending Corp. (MMLC) in October 2020.\nAs a result of the merger, GSBD’s asset base more than doubled to$3.5 billion. The MMLC shareholders received 1.1336 GSBD shares for every share of MMLC.\nGSBD had $3.11 billion in investments and $401.8 million in unfunded commitments for111 portfolio companies across 37 industries at the end of September. Approximately 84% of its assets are first lien loans with an average yield of 8.4%.\nIt’s essential to remember that this is an investment focused on income rather than capital appreciation. The BDC’s current quarterly distribution of $0.50 yields a very high 10.4%.\nDo not buy GSBD if you’re expecting capital appreciation. However, if you’re willing to take on more risk than a guaranteed investment, it’s an excellent way to boost your income portfolio.\nNone of these three alternatives to CLOV stock are a sure thing. But, that said, I don’t believe they possess the same amount of risk as Clover Health.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2740,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698461371,"gmtCreate":1640496658209,"gmtModify":1640496658644,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698461371","repostId":"2193178197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698204605,"gmtCreate":1640398164528,"gmtModify":1640398717042,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another super varaint&nbsp;","listText":"Another super varaint&nbsp;","text":"Another super varaint","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698204605","repostId":"1156159690","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2039,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698118206,"gmtCreate":1640316421877,"gmtModify":1640316707534,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Here we go again&nbsp;","listText":"Here we go again&nbsp;","text":"Here we go again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698118206","repostId":"2193078140","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691816467,"gmtCreate":1640164287279,"gmtModify":1640164287660,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My Alibaba gg","listText":"My Alibaba gg","text":"My Alibaba gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691816467","repostId":"1148919660","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148919660","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640163718,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148919660?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 17:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌3.45%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148919660","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading.Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.","content":"<p>Alibaba&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3.45%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aca7dde9ba9b99094907e05817f461b\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"593\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌3。据官方媒体报道，中国监管机构暂停了与电子商务集团阿里巴巴-SW集团子公司阿里巴巴-SW云计算的信息共享合作伙伴关系，原因是该公司被指控未能及时报告和解决网络安全漏洞。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌3.45%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌3.45%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-22 17:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Alibaba&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3.45%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aca7dde9ba9b99094907e05817f461b\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"593\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌3。据官方媒体报道，中国监管机构暂停了与电子商务集团阿里巴巴-SW集团子公司阿里巴巴-SW云计算的信息共享合作伙伴关系，原因是该公司被指控未能及时报告和解决网络安全漏洞。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148919660","content_text":"Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading.Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693248417,"gmtCreate":1640044715457,"gmtModify":1640044715878,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My stocks all red!!!!","listText":"My stocks all red!!!!","text":"My stocks all red!!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693248417","repostId":"1102941409","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1019,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693191535,"gmtCreate":1639981555101,"gmtModify":1639982589325,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nike shops are always crowded&nbsp;","listText":"Nike shops are always crowded&nbsp;","text":"Nike shops are always crowded","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693191535","repostId":"1193812309","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193812309","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639980454,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193812309?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 14:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike Earnings Preview: Is Supply Chain 'Congestion' Behind Nike?<blockquote>耐克财报预览：耐克背后是供应链“拥堵”吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193812309","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Nike saw revenue fall sequentially in the fiscal first quarter. The company said that supply chain i","content":"<p>Nike saw revenue fall sequentially in the fiscal first quarter. The company said that supply chain issues were the problem, not demand.TONY OWUSU</p><p><blockquote>耐克第一财季收入环比下降。该公司表示，供应链问题才是问题所在，而不是需求。托尼·奥武苏</blockquote></p><p> Nike&nbsp;is facing a pivotal earnings release on Monday as investors wait to see whether the slowdown in revenue growth in the fiscal first quarter will become a trend for the iconic sneaker and athletic apparel maker.</p><p><blockquote>耐克周一将面临关键的财报发布，投资者正在等待第一财季收入增长放缓是否会成为这家标志性运动鞋和运动服装制造商的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The Beaverton, Ore., company reported year over year increase in revenue of about 12%, but when compared with the previous quarter, its $12.25 billion in revenue eased 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>俄勒冈州比弗顿。该公司报告收入同比增长约12%，但与上一季度相比，其122.5亿美元的收入下降了0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Demand isn't the problem, Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said on the company's first quarter earnings call in September.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官Matthew Friend在9月份公司第一季度收益看涨期权上表示，需求不是问题。</blockquote></p><p> Inventory has been the issue thanks to supply-chain issues that caused \"congestion.\"</p><p><blockquote>由于供应链问题导致“拥堵”，库存一直是一个问题。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at UBS, who have a buy rating and $185 price target on the stock, do not believe Nike will raise its guidance. The company had made a downward revision, due much to that congestion.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师对该股给予买入评级和185美元的目标价，但他们不认为耐克会提高指引。该公司做出了下调，很大程度上是由于拥堵。</blockquote></p><p> \"On one hand, Vietnam factories likely opened sooner than what Nike assumed in its guidance and favorable pricing trends suggest potential gross margin upside,\" UBS analysts said in a preview note Friday, according to MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>据MarketWatch报道，瑞银分析师在周五的预览报告中表示：“一方面，越南工厂的开业时间可能比耐克在其指导中假设的要早，有利的定价趋势表明毛利率有潜在的上升空间。”</blockquote></p><p> Earlier last week, analysts at Wells Fargo&nbsp;resumed coverage&nbsp;of Nike with an equal-weight rating and $175 price target.</p><p><blockquote>上周早些时候，富国银行分析师恢复了对耐克的评级，给予等权重评级和175美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> \"We're intrigued by NKE shares, as we see that the negative supply chain data points are largely behind us, with Vietnam factory shutdowns recovering into early [calendar year 2022] and elongated transit times,\" Wells Fargo analyst Kate Fitzsimons said.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师凯特·菲茨西蒙斯(Kate Fitzsimons)表示：“我们对NKE股票很感兴趣，因为我们看到负面的供应链数据点已基本过去，越南工厂停工情况已恢复到[2022日历年]年初，运输时间也有所延长。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts polled by FactSet are expecting the company's revenue to continue to drop for the just concluded second quarter and the next quarter before returning to growth in their fiscal fourth period, which ends in May.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet调查的分析师预计，该公司在刚刚结束的第二季度和下一季度的收入将继续下降，然后在5月份结束的第四财季恢复增长。</blockquote></p><p> Nike shares closed&nbsp;lower&nbsp;0.84% at $161.36&nbsp;on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><blockquote>耐克股价周五收盘下跌0.84%，至161.36美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike Earnings Preview: Is Supply Chain 'Congestion' Behind Nike?<blockquote>耐克财报预览：耐克背后是供应链“拥堵”吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike Earnings Preview: Is Supply Chain 'Congestion' Behind Nike?<blockquote>耐克财报预览：耐克背后是供应链“拥堵”吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 14:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nike saw revenue fall sequentially in the fiscal first quarter. The company said that supply chain issues were the problem, not demand.TONY OWUSU</p><p><blockquote>耐克第一财季收入环比下降。该公司表示，供应链问题才是问题所在，而不是需求。托尼·奥武苏</blockquote></p><p> Nike&nbsp;is facing a pivotal earnings release on Monday as investors wait to see whether the slowdown in revenue growth in the fiscal first quarter will become a trend for the iconic sneaker and athletic apparel maker.</p><p><blockquote>耐克周一将面临关键的财报发布，投资者正在等待第一财季收入增长放缓是否会成为这家标志性运动鞋和运动服装制造商的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The Beaverton, Ore., company reported year over year increase in revenue of about 12%, but when compared with the previous quarter, its $12.25 billion in revenue eased 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>俄勒冈州比弗顿。该公司报告收入同比增长约12%，但与上一季度相比，其122.5亿美元的收入下降了0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Demand isn't the problem, Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said on the company's first quarter earnings call in September.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官Matthew Friend在9月份公司第一季度收益看涨期权上表示，需求不是问题。</blockquote></p><p> Inventory has been the issue thanks to supply-chain issues that caused \"congestion.\"</p><p><blockquote>由于供应链问题导致“拥堵”，库存一直是一个问题。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at UBS, who have a buy rating and $185 price target on the stock, do not believe Nike will raise its guidance. The company had made a downward revision, due much to that congestion.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师对该股给予买入评级和185美元的目标价，但他们不认为耐克会提高指引。该公司做出了下调，很大程度上是由于拥堵。</blockquote></p><p> \"On one hand, Vietnam factories likely opened sooner than what Nike assumed in its guidance and favorable pricing trends suggest potential gross margin upside,\" UBS analysts said in a preview note Friday, according to MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>据MarketWatch报道，瑞银分析师在周五的预览报告中表示：“一方面，越南工厂的开业时间可能比耐克在其指导中假设的要早，有利的定价趋势表明毛利率有潜在的上升空间。”</blockquote></p><p> Earlier last week, analysts at Wells Fargo&nbsp;resumed coverage&nbsp;of Nike with an equal-weight rating and $175 price target.</p><p><blockquote>上周早些时候，富国银行分析师恢复了对耐克的评级，给予等权重评级和175美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> \"We're intrigued by NKE shares, as we see that the negative supply chain data points are largely behind us, with Vietnam factory shutdowns recovering into early [calendar year 2022] and elongated transit times,\" Wells Fargo analyst Kate Fitzsimons said.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师凯特·菲茨西蒙斯(Kate Fitzsimons)表示：“我们对NKE股票很感兴趣，因为我们看到负面的供应链数据点已基本过去，越南工厂停工情况已恢复到[2022日历年]年初，运输时间也有所延长。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts polled by FactSet are expecting the company's revenue to continue to drop for the just concluded second quarter and the next quarter before returning to growth in their fiscal fourth period, which ends in May.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet调查的分析师预计，该公司在刚刚结束的第二季度和下一季度的收入将继续下降，然后在5月份结束的第四财季恢复增长。</blockquote></p><p> Nike shares closed&nbsp;lower&nbsp;0.84% at $161.36&nbsp;on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><blockquote>耐克股价周五收盘下跌0.84%，至161.36美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nike-second-quarter-earnings-preview\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nike-second-quarter-earnings-preview","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193812309","content_text":"Nike saw revenue fall sequentially in the fiscal first quarter. The company said that supply chain issues were the problem, not demand.TONY OWUSU\nNike is facing a pivotal earnings release on Monday as investors wait to see whether the slowdown in revenue growth in the fiscal first quarter will become a trend for the iconic sneaker and athletic apparel maker.\nThe Beaverton, Ore., company reported year over year increase in revenue of about 12%, but when compared with the previous quarter, its $12.25 billion in revenue eased 0.8%.\nDemand isn't the problem, Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said on the company's first quarter earnings call in September.\nInventory has been the issue thanks to supply-chain issues that caused \"congestion.\"\nAnalysts at UBS, who have a buy rating and $185 price target on the stock, do not believe Nike will raise its guidance. The company had made a downward revision, due much to that congestion.\n\"On one hand, Vietnam factories likely opened sooner than what Nike assumed in its guidance and favorable pricing trends suggest potential gross margin upside,\" UBS analysts said in a preview note Friday, according to MarketWatch.\nEarlier last week, analysts at Wells Fargo resumed coverage of Nike with an equal-weight rating and $175 price target.\n\"We're intrigued by NKE shares, as we see that the negative supply chain data points are largely behind us, with Vietnam factory shutdowns recovering into early [calendar year 2022] and elongated transit times,\" Wells Fargo analyst Kate Fitzsimons said.\nAnalysts polled by FactSet are expecting the company's revenue to continue to drop for the just concluded second quarter and the next quarter before returning to growth in their fiscal fourth period, which ends in May.\nNike shares closed lower 0.84% at $161.36 on Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NKE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693191267,"gmtCreate":1639981528376,"gmtModify":1639981528782,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too bad sold all","listText":"Too bad sold all","text":"Too bad sold all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693191267","repostId":"1183475424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183475424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639967829,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183475424?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 10:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票：抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183475424","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li>  <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li>  <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li>  <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li>  <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段，美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表，并为最早在3月份加息做准备。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景受到侵蚀，加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票，但苹果股票在很大程度上仍保持弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及AR/VR和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下，苹果预计将在未来实现更多增长。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金，而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此，尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险，但随着苹果估值接近3万亿美元，其看涨论点仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)&nbsp;has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by&nbsp;more than 220x&nbsp;since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一，苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）今年以来涨幅接近40%。该股不久前曾达到182.13美元的峰值，目前距离成为第一家市值达到3万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到7%，仅占以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数的15%左右。自20世纪90年代末以来，苹果的市值增长了220倍以上，这得益于该公司不断抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求的能力。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to&nbsp;$30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in&nbsp;July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面预计将帮助该股抵御明年即将加息的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来最热的水平，美联储周三决定将加快缩减每月1200亿美元债券回购计划的步伐，从11月开始的每月150亿美元减少到每月300亿美元。这将有效地结束刺激计划，该计划是在3月份大流行开始时实施的，而不是最初计划的7月份。预计加息将很快开始，以应对不断上涨的物价压力，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认，这一过程只有在缩减结束后才会以渐进的速度开始。最新的点阵图显示，从2022年初开始，联邦基金利率有可能从接近零的水平上升三个25个百分点，2023年再上升三个百分点，2024年再上升两个百分点。如果实现，这一过程将在2024年将基金利率提高至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over&nbsp;faster erosion of value on future gains&nbsp;and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者转向规避风险，因为他们担心未来收益的价值会加速侵蚀，以及资本成本上升导致业务增长停滞，尤其是高增长股票，但苹果在美联储发布后上涨了近3%关于政策收紧的最新消息。该股12月15日收于179.30美元，接近周一182美元的峰值。美联储更新后，苹果的上涨以及其他大型科技股的类似上涨趋势推动纳斯达克100指数盘中上涨2.4%，这表明投资者更愿意将资金投资于增长前景强劲的公司以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假期对苹果12月季度销售有利，该股估值预计将比预期更早进入3万亿美元区间。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购以及新的尖端产品预计在可预见的未来带来的额外收入贡献也将成为支持公司持续强劲的基本面并保持该股的关键催化剂尽管即将加息，但估值仍高于3万亿美元。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景，我们将该股12个月目标价上调至209.43美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年基本面前景概述和回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致商店断断续续关闭，导致销售额损失超过90亿美元，但该公司今年的收入较2020财年增长了33%，达到3660亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入，比上一年增长了20%以上。本年度的成功主要归功于一系列新产品的推出和功能升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列，以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by&nbsp;attracting switchers&nbsp;from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by&nbsp;strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like&nbsp;Verizon&nbsp;and&nbsp;AT&amp;T&nbsp;have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend&nbsp;more than $700 billion&nbsp;over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone销量今年增长了39%，是其他细分市场中增长最快的，占苹果2021财年收入的一半以上。这一结果与去年移动设备需求下滑形成鲜明对比，当时消费者准备应对大流行带来的经济不确定性。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快，预计未来几年iPhone销量将保持强劲。2022年可能推出的更实惠的支持5G的iPhone SE预计也将通过吸引“超过10亿非高端Android用户”的切换者来进一步提高苹果的市场份额，并将活跃安装基数推向另一个历史新高。在推出支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s后，最近几个季度观察到的iPhone销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头，升级者和转换者的数量以两位数强劲增长。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动iPhone的销售贡献。Verizon和AT&amp;T等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售，以鼓励迁移到他们在全国范围内花费数十亿美元建设的5G网络。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内斥资超过7000亿美元建设5G网络，这突显出随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回成本，iPhone市场未来将面临巨大的额外增长机会。他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the&nbsp;all-new M1-powered iMac&nbsp;earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the&nbsp;reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro&nbsp;in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped&nbsp;over 3.2 million units&nbsp;of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a&nbsp;$224.3 billion&nbsp;and$600 billion&nbsp;market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac和iPad的销售额在2021财年也大幅增长，收入分别达到创纪录的352亿美元和319亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新的M1驱动的iMac后，苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的M1处理器使最新的MacBook“在游戏之外的几乎所有生产力用例上都比任何基于英特尔的设备都好”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的难以置信的需求，从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计，该公司在9月份季度的Mac产品出货量超过320万台，这推动了该部门创纪录的收入，同时将其在全球PC销量中的排名提升至其他供应商中的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入M1处理器也增强了其在利用全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑需求激增方面的地位，使该公司能够构建具有创新功能的设备，这些设备可以无缝集成到其周边配件和服务生态系统中，以吸引邻近收入。随着后大流行时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用，全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求预计将在未来几年保持高位——预计到2025年，这些行业的市场规模将分别增长到2243亿美元和6000亿美元，这为苹果的Mac和iPad市场带来了有利的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to&nbsp;strengthen its in-house chip development capacity&nbsp;will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近关于苹果打算加强其内部芯片开发能力的猜测可能会在未来几年进一步推进其技术的进步，并吸引对其产品的额外需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师来增强其在“无线电、射频集成电路和无线片上系统（“SoC”）”以及“用于连接蓝牙和Wi-Fi的半导体”的开发能力。这些发展预计将进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成，并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性，使其芯片部门成为该公司“最宝贵的资产”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务业的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include&nbsp;Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the&nbsp;Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a&nbsp;projected value of $61 billion&nbsp;over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the&nbsp;Apple One bundle&nbsp;is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面，强大的用户基础使该部门在2021财年的收入达到创纪录的超过684亿美元，比上一年增长27%。迄今为止，苹果的高利润服务已吸引了超过7.45亿付费用户，比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其各种服务平台（从苹果音乐到iCloud存储解决方案）中不断推动基于订阅的商业模式，再加上近年来针对关键消费者趋势的有吸引力的新产品，一直是该公司快速增长的关键驱动力。-扩大利润。为现有服务平台推出的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品预计将进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品在全球使用不断增加所带来的邻近机会的覆盖范围，例如，全球音乐流媒体市场预计将以16%的复合年增长率扩张，预计未来五年价值将达到610亿美元，凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果One捆绑包预计将成为未来几年促进服务部门销售的关键贡献者，吸引新用户为订阅服务付费，如果没有捆绑折扣，他们就不会这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of&nbsp;more than $400 billion&nbsp;over the next five years. With AAPL hosting&nbsp;one of the largest and most used app stores&nbsp;in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite&nbsp;mounting global regulatory scrutiny&nbsp;over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing&nbsp;legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in&nbsp;delaying App Store changes&nbsp;ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in&nbsp;September&nbsp;as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将利好苹果快速增长的服务板块。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长，未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于AAPL拥有世界上最大和使用最多的应用商店之一，有理由假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果App Store涉嫌违反反垄断的审查越来越多——其中最引人注目的是与Epic Games正在进行的法律斗争——但该公司对确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性的持续关注可能会挽救局面。根据Morgan Stanley对美国和中国4000名苹果产品用户进行的一项调查，尽管开发者正在争取在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，但大多数用户都表示对苹果应用商店的忠诚度，因为它提供了“安全、隐私和交易便利性的价值”。作为Epic Games提起的长达一年的诉讼的一部分，苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers在9月份下令的App Store变更，这是App Store持续强劲的另一个迹象。该公司辩称，法院授权的允许App Store用户“直接从网络上的开发者那里购买”的命令将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by&nbsp;at most $4 billion per year&nbsp;which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前，开发者正在争取让应用用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，该生态系统向开发者收取高达所有购买30%的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉，法院关于是否需要实施App Store变更的最终决定可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决，即苹果必须允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率，App Store的收入预计每年最多只会减少40亿美元，这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到App Store用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视，实际的量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a&nbsp;VR headset and AR glasses&nbsp;by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基础和相关服务平台用户，苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此，未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子和设备的先驱预计将在2023年初推出VR耳机和AR眼镜，这是一项新兴技术，近几个月来，随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多，这项技术的发展势头越来越大。与市场上已有的大多数VR头显类似，苹果的将配备3D显示屏，为从游戏到交流的各种活动提供身临其境的环境。差异化因素将是该公司计划在设备中实现一流的图形芯片，以促进超高分辨率显示。即将推出的VR头显最终将为其AR眼镜奠定基础，苹果预计这将是“更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an&nbsp;$800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年，与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为8000亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的70%以上，而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力，该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的AR/VR耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会，还可以利用与相关应用程序、软件和服务平台使用相关的邻近收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of&nbsp;a self-driving electric car&nbsp;is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of&nbsp;more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>对苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测预计也将在可预见的未来为该股带来有意义的上涨。该公司现在计划到2025年推出新的产品类别，届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场的价值预计将达到2000亿美元以上。最终的汽车可能会向其现有产品组合致敬，例如“类似iPad的触摸屏”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面，据信苹果已经完成了定制芯片的开发，用于为车辆的自动驾驶功能提供动力。据该州DMV称，最新的芯片将很快应用到其现有的改装SUV车队中，以便在加利福尼亚州进行测试，这表明即将推出的芯片即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by&nbsp;at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了“随着时间的推移，新产品和服务对材料收入的持续贡献”，但上述新产品类别发布的额外上行空间仍然缺失。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出，这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期AR/VR设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高1500亿美元。随着时间的推移，当元宇宙趋势继续获得主流关注时，苹果预计将从AR/VR领域获得超过2000亿美元的年收入，这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值前景和即将加息的潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our&nbsp;most recent analysis&nbsp;on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果2021财年年终业绩和12月季度指引的最新预测，我们的基本情况预测预计到2022财年末总净销售额为4393亿美元，到2026财年将进一步增长至6685亿美元。我们预测中应用于各部门收入的增长假设与我们对该股的最新分析基本保持不变，并额外考虑了管理层对供应限制影响和即将加息的近期前景。具体来说，2021财年下半年由于全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延迟造成的90亿美元收入损失（即6月季度约30亿美元，9月季度约60亿美元）预计将恶化2022财年上半年。尽管供应链挑战有所改善，但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将导致未来几个季度销量损失更大。尽管如此，苹果仍为未来强劲的基本面做好了准备，这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测：</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测（苹果_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf）。有关所应用的材料增长假设的更多详情，请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑，我们将苹果股票的12个月目标价修正为209.43美元。基于12月17日171.14美元的最后交易价格，这意味着超过22%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期内的贴现现金流（“DCF”）分析得出的，并结合前几节中分析的针对苹果近期发展更新的财务预测。与我们最初的估值分析类似，我们采用了8%的WACC来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司当前的资本结构和强劲的资产负债表，贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务的很大一部分是固定利率票据，预计其增长资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况，管理层打算在加息之前部署以实现额外增长，而不必产生增量资本成本。预计这将进一步巩固投资者对苹果股票的信心，因为他们在担心利率上升带来的更广泛市场压力的情况下继续“转向优质股票”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为19.8倍，这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品领域即将推出，所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善，并抵消即将加息的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、敏感性分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述分析，预计未来两年在当前接近零的联邦基金利率基础上增加175至200个基点，从基本面和估值角度来看，预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求，加上新的创新，预计将进一步增强该公司的基本增长前景。因此，这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表，并进一步增强其抵御更广泛的宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上，为应对即将加息带来的风险，对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加，甚至可能会推动苹果的估值增长势头。考虑到这些因素，苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一，尽管加息即将到来，但其近期仍强劲上涨至3万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票：抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票：抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 10:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li>  <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li>  <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li>  <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li>  <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段，美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表，并为最早在3月份加息做准备。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景受到侵蚀，加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票，但苹果股票在很大程度上仍保持弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及AR/VR和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下，苹果预计将在未来实现更多增长。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金，而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此，尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险，但随着苹果估值接近3万亿美元，其看涨论点仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)&nbsp;has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by&nbsp;more than 220x&nbsp;since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一，苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）今年以来涨幅接近40%。该股不久前曾达到182.13美元的峰值，目前距离成为第一家市值达到3万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到7%，仅占以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数的15%左右。自20世纪90年代末以来，苹果的市值增长了220倍以上，这得益于该公司不断抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求的能力。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to&nbsp;$30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in&nbsp;July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面预计将帮助该股抵御明年即将加息的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来最热的水平，美联储周三决定将加快缩减每月1200亿美元债券回购计划的步伐，从11月开始的每月150亿美元减少到每月300亿美元。这将有效地结束刺激计划，该计划是在3月份大流行开始时实施的，而不是最初计划的7月份。预计加息将很快开始，以应对不断上涨的物价压力，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认，这一过程只有在缩减结束后才会以渐进的速度开始。最新的点阵图显示，从2022年初开始，联邦基金利率有可能从接近零的水平上升三个25个百分点，2023年再上升三个百分点，2024年再上升两个百分点。如果实现，这一过程将在2024年将基金利率提高至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over&nbsp;faster erosion of value on future gains&nbsp;and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者转向规避风险，因为他们担心未来收益的价值会加速侵蚀，以及资本成本上升导致业务增长停滞，尤其是高增长股票，但苹果在美联储发布后上涨了近3%关于政策收紧的最新消息。该股12月15日收于179.30美元，接近周一182美元的峰值。美联储更新后，苹果的上涨以及其他大型科技股的类似上涨趋势推动纳斯达克100指数盘中上涨2.4%，这表明投资者更愿意将资金投资于增长前景强劲的公司以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假期对苹果12月季度销售有利，该股估值预计将比预期更早进入3万亿美元区间。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购以及新的尖端产品预计在可预见的未来带来的额外收入贡献也将成为支持公司持续强劲的基本面并保持该股的关键催化剂尽管即将加息，但估值仍高于3万亿美元。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景，我们将该股12个月目标价上调至209.43美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年基本面前景概述和回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致商店断断续续关闭，导致销售额损失超过90亿美元，但该公司今年的收入较2020财年增长了33%，达到3660亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入，比上一年增长了20%以上。本年度的成功主要归功于一系列新产品的推出和功能升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列，以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by&nbsp;attracting switchers&nbsp;from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by&nbsp;strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like&nbsp;Verizon&nbsp;and&nbsp;AT&amp;T&nbsp;have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend&nbsp;more than $700 billion&nbsp;over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone销量今年增长了39%，是其他细分市场中增长最快的，占苹果2021财年收入的一半以上。这一结果与去年移动设备需求下滑形成鲜明对比，当时消费者准备应对大流行带来的经济不确定性。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快，预计未来几年iPhone销量将保持强劲。2022年可能推出的更实惠的支持5G的iPhone SE预计也将通过吸引“超过10亿非高端Android用户”的切换者来进一步提高苹果的市场份额，并将活跃安装基数推向另一个历史新高。在推出支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s后，最近几个季度观察到的iPhone销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头，升级者和转换者的数量以两位数强劲增长。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动iPhone的销售贡献。Verizon和AT&amp;T等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售，以鼓励迁移到他们在全国范围内花费数十亿美元建设的5G网络。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内斥资超过7000亿美元建设5G网络，这突显出随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回成本，iPhone市场未来将面临巨大的额外增长机会。他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the&nbsp;all-new M1-powered iMac&nbsp;earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the&nbsp;reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro&nbsp;in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped&nbsp;over 3.2 million units&nbsp;of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a&nbsp;$224.3 billion&nbsp;and$600 billion&nbsp;market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac和iPad的销售额在2021财年也大幅增长，收入分别达到创纪录的352亿美元和319亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新的M1驱动的iMac后，苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的M1处理器使最新的MacBook“在游戏之外的几乎所有生产力用例上都比任何基于英特尔的设备都好”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的难以置信的需求，从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计，该公司在9月份季度的Mac产品出货量超过320万台，这推动了该部门创纪录的收入，同时将其在全球PC销量中的排名提升至其他供应商中的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入M1处理器也增强了其在利用全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑需求激增方面的地位，使该公司能够构建具有创新功能的设备，这些设备可以无缝集成到其周边配件和服务生态系统中，以吸引邻近收入。随着后大流行时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用，全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求预计将在未来几年保持高位——预计到2025年，这些行业的市场规模将分别增长到2243亿美元和6000亿美元，这为苹果的Mac和iPad市场带来了有利的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to&nbsp;strengthen its in-house chip development capacity&nbsp;will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近关于苹果打算加强其内部芯片开发能力的猜测可能会在未来几年进一步推进其技术的进步，并吸引对其产品的额外需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师来增强其在“无线电、射频集成电路和无线片上系统（“SoC”）”以及“用于连接蓝牙和Wi-Fi的半导体”的开发能力。这些发展预计将进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成，并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性，使其芯片部门成为该公司“最宝贵的资产”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务业的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include&nbsp;Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the&nbsp;Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a&nbsp;projected value of $61 billion&nbsp;over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the&nbsp;Apple One bundle&nbsp;is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面，强大的用户基础使该部门在2021财年的收入达到创纪录的超过684亿美元，比上一年增长27%。迄今为止，苹果的高利润服务已吸引了超过7.45亿付费用户，比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其各种服务平台（从苹果音乐到iCloud存储解决方案）中不断推动基于订阅的商业模式，再加上近年来针对关键消费者趋势的有吸引力的新产品，一直是该公司快速增长的关键驱动力。-扩大利润。为现有服务平台推出的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品预计将进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品在全球使用不断增加所带来的邻近机会的覆盖范围，例如，全球音乐流媒体市场预计将以16%的复合年增长率扩张，预计未来五年价值将达到610亿美元，凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果One捆绑包预计将成为未来几年促进服务部门销售的关键贡献者，吸引新用户为订阅服务付费，如果没有捆绑折扣，他们就不会这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of&nbsp;more than $400 billion&nbsp;over the next five years. With AAPL hosting&nbsp;one of the largest and most used app stores&nbsp;in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite&nbsp;mounting global regulatory scrutiny&nbsp;over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing&nbsp;legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in&nbsp;delaying App Store changes&nbsp;ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in&nbsp;September&nbsp;as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将利好苹果快速增长的服务板块。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长，未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于AAPL拥有世界上最大和使用最多的应用商店之一，有理由假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果App Store涉嫌违反反垄断的审查越来越多——其中最引人注目的是与Epic Games正在进行的法律斗争——但该公司对确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性的持续关注可能会挽救局面。根据Morgan Stanley对美国和中国4000名苹果产品用户进行的一项调查，尽管开发者正在争取在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，但大多数用户都表示对苹果应用商店的忠诚度，因为它提供了“安全、隐私和交易便利性的价值”。作为Epic Games提起的长达一年的诉讼的一部分，苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers在9月份下令的App Store变更，这是App Store持续强劲的另一个迹象。该公司辩称，法院授权的允许App Store用户“直接从网络上的开发者那里购买”的命令将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by&nbsp;at most $4 billion per year&nbsp;which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前，开发者正在争取让应用用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，该生态系统向开发者收取高达所有购买30%的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉，法院关于是否需要实施App Store变更的最终决定可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决，即苹果必须允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率，App Store的收入预计每年最多只会减少40亿美元，这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到App Store用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视，实际的量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a&nbsp;VR headset and AR glasses&nbsp;by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基础和相关服务平台用户，苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此，未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子和设备的先驱预计将在2023年初推出VR耳机和AR眼镜，这是一项新兴技术，近几个月来，随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多，这项技术的发展势头越来越大。与市场上已有的大多数VR头显类似，苹果的将配备3D显示屏，为从游戏到交流的各种活动提供身临其境的环境。差异化因素将是该公司计划在设备中实现一流的图形芯片，以促进超高分辨率显示。即将推出的VR头显最终将为其AR眼镜奠定基础，苹果预计这将是“更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an&nbsp;$800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年，与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为8000亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的70%以上，而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力，该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的AR/VR耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会，还可以利用与相关应用程序、软件和服务平台使用相关的邻近收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of&nbsp;a self-driving electric car&nbsp;is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of&nbsp;more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>对苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测预计也将在可预见的未来为该股带来有意义的上涨。该公司现在计划到2025年推出新的产品类别，届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场的价值预计将达到2000亿美元以上。最终的汽车可能会向其现有产品组合致敬，例如“类似iPad的触摸屏”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面，据信苹果已经完成了定制芯片的开发，用于为车辆的自动驾驶功能提供动力。据该州DMV称，最新的芯片将很快应用到其现有的改装SUV车队中，以便在加利福尼亚州进行测试，这表明即将推出的芯片即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by&nbsp;at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了“随着时间的推移，新产品和服务对材料收入的持续贡献”，但上述新产品类别发布的额外上行空间仍然缺失。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出，这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期AR/VR设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高1500亿美元。随着时间的推移，当元宇宙趋势继续获得主流关注时，苹果预计将从AR/VR领域获得超过2000亿美元的年收入，这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值前景和即将加息的潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our&nbsp;most recent analysis&nbsp;on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果2021财年年终业绩和12月季度指引的最新预测，我们的基本情况预测预计到2022财年末总净销售额为4393亿美元，到2026财年将进一步增长至6685亿美元。我们预测中应用于各部门收入的增长假设与我们对该股的最新分析基本保持不变，并额外考虑了管理层对供应限制影响和即将加息的近期前景。具体来说，2021财年下半年由于全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延迟造成的90亿美元收入损失（即6月季度约30亿美元，9月季度约60亿美元）预计将恶化2022财年上半年。尽管供应链挑战有所改善，但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将导致未来几个季度销量损失更大。尽管如此，苹果仍为未来强劲的基本面做好了准备，这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测：</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测（苹果_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf）。有关所应用的材料增长假设的更多详情，请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑，我们将苹果股票的12个月目标价修正为209.43美元。基于12月17日171.14美元的最后交易价格，这意味着超过22%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期内的贴现现金流（“DCF”）分析得出的，并结合前几节中分析的针对苹果近期发展更新的财务预测。与我们最初的估值分析类似，我们采用了8%的WACC来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司当前的资本结构和强劲的资产负债表，贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务的很大一部分是固定利率票据，预计其增长资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况，管理层打算在加息之前部署以实现额外增长，而不必产生增量资本成本。预计这将进一步巩固投资者对苹果股票的信心，因为他们在担心利率上升带来的更广泛市场压力的情况下继续“转向优质股票”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为19.8倍，这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品领域即将推出，所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善，并抵消即将加息的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、敏感性分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述分析，预计未来两年在当前接近零的联邦基金利率基础上增加175至200个基点，从基本面和估值角度来看，预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求，加上新的创新，预计将进一步增强该公司的基本增长前景。因此，这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表，并进一步增强其抵御更广泛的宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上，为应对即将加息带来的风险，对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加，甚至可能会推动苹果的估值增长势头。考虑到这些因素，苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一，尽管加息即将到来，但其近期仍强劲上涨至3万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183475424","content_text":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.\nWhile rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.\nApple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.\nIts strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.\nAs such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.\n\nguvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAs one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.\nAnd Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.\nSource: Bloomberg\nWhile rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.\nWith the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.\nFY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects\nFiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.\nKey Developments in Products\niPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.\nMac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.\nRecent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.\nKey Developments in Services\nOn the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.\nContinued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.\nCurrently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.\nKey Catalysts Ahead\nApple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.\nOver the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.\nSpeculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.\nWhile Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.\nValuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases\nAdjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.\n\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.\nDrawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nThe revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.\nThe valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\n\nii. Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion\nBased on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699415555,"gmtCreate":1639876086961,"gmtModify":1639876087395,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go stonks!","listText":"Go stonks!","text":"Go stonks!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699415555","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699696066,"gmtCreate":1639788699297,"gmtModify":1639788699715,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is it really going to be the next big thing&nbsp;","listText":"Is it really going to be the next big thing&nbsp;","text":"Is it really going to be the next big thing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699696066","repostId":"2192597562","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1027,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699698718,"gmtCreate":1639788686757,"gmtModify":1639788687137,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699698718","repostId":"2192597562","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699059453,"gmtCreate":1639726723738,"gmtModify":1639726724110,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I love Uber. Better than grab&nbsp;","listText":"I love Uber. Better than grab&nbsp;","text":"I love Uber. Better than grab","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699059453","repostId":"1108936663","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108936663","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639723361,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108936663?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 14:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步：丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108936663","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nUber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging econo","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Uber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.</li>  <li>Mobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.</li>  <li>Future lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.</li>  <li>Therefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b93f3ad8b1091da22c151e759153e2\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>优步的送货业务正在蓬勃发展并不断扩大，导致该公司利用规模经济实现盈利。</li><li>随着经济重新开放，移动业务正在从疫情迅速复苏。</li><li>未来不太可能出现以前看到的封锁和covid限制。</li><li>因此，Uber可能是等待变成天鹅的丑小鸭。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction and Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>导言和论文</b></blockquote></p><p> I am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.</p><p><blockquote>我开始相信优步（纽约证券交易所股票代码：UBER）的故事正在像丑小鸭的故事一样展开。在上市初期，Uber就像丑小鸭一样遭受着投资界的无知和不利看法，但今天，我相信Uber离绽放成一只美丽而成功的天鹅指日可待。</blockquote></p><p> Uber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.</p><p><blockquote>随着潜在趋势对该公司有利，优步的业务正在好转。从疫情的深渊到今天的复苏步伐，世界变得更好了，至少对优步来说是这样。其中一个变化是食品配送。在疫情期间，消费者无法舒适地离开家外出就餐，导致这些消费者转向送餐业务，这是优步持续亏损的主要原因。因此，随着外卖趋势从疫情持续增长，优步通过规模经济的业务一直在享受有利趋势，我相信外卖的便利性将使外卖永久渗透到我们的日常生活中。此外，随着出行在各个方面都从疫情中恢复，Uber可能会在2022财年实现盈利。尽管存在稀释风险、新冠疫情和宏观经济风险，但我相信现在终于是考虑投资丑小鸭的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favorable Trend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有利趋势</b></blockquote></p><p> Pandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost&nbsp;3 fold&nbsp;from&nbsp;2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.</p><p><blockquote>疫情给我们生活的几乎所有行业和方方面面带来了破坏；然而，对于优步来说，我相信疫情对公司有利。Uber的主要业务是送货和移动出行。在大流行之前，虽然移动业务开始报告积极的调整后EBTIDA，但交付业务继续陷入困境。市场相对较小且竞争激烈，导致优步在销售、营销和开发上花费了大量资金。更糟糕的是，当时没有看到规模经济。然而，对于快递业务来说，时代已经变了。一是外卖行业爆火。例如，Uber的配送业务较2019年第四季度增长了近3倍。该行业的巨大增长使Uber能够利用规模经济来提高利润。此外，外卖文化在人们日常生活中的适应使优步能够将其业务扩展到外卖之外。该公司目前正在运送食品杂货、圣诞树，甚至酒精饮料。因此，随着市场的不断成熟，Uber可以利用规模经济将亏损领先的外卖业务扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Some critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.</p><p><blockquote>一些批评者可能会认为，送货之所以成功，只是因为消费者在疫情期间不愿意外出。我想提出不同的观点。疫情可能是公众适应送货服务背后的驱动因素；然而，便利性是维持这种商业模式的动力。通过过去几十年的创新，我们看到了亚马逊（纳斯达克：AMZN）、Meta Platforms（纳斯达克：FB）和苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）的崛起，消费者是多么关心便利性。当你可以与他人见面时，为什么还要进行数字社交呢？当你今天就可以去购买产品的时候，为什么要在网上订购套餐，然后等上几天呢？既然已经有了手机，为什么还要用智能手机呢？消费者永远不会回到更不方便的生活方式。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.</p><p><blockquote>与配送业务不同，移动出行业务受到了疫情的损害，但预计随着疫情影响的减弱，移动出行业务将恢复到2019年的水平。如下图所示，全球最大城市的移动业务在封锁后几乎恢复正常，这表明对网约车服务的需求仍然存在。此外，随着疫情的消退和办公室的重新开放，移动业务将继续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a5ee8af7dd1261e2686a20efa4d3b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Covid Fears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新冠恐惧</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Although pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情是快递业务成功的主要原因，但不断恶化的疫情很可能会损害我的看涨论点。移动业务是一个将引领盈利能力的业务部门，将受到严重损害；然而，与主流媒体的观点相反，我认为由于疫苗和公众情绪，这种情况不太可能发生。</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer(NYSE:PFE)&nbsp;on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）12月8日证实，他们的新冠疫苗对奥密克戎变种仍然有效。该公司表示，一项初步研究“表明，三剂[疫苗]可以中和奥密克戎变种，而两剂则显示中和滴度显着降低。”该公司的说法得到了奥密克戎或新冠疫情在许多欧洲国家爆发的支持，包括义大利、法、英等。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe98b474db7223afa7617f0cb8545e42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8849809f79a66a367009de9b31677d63\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/415cdc534da7dc5a6d6f9e754adf099e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Using France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>以法国为例，上面的第一张图显示了Covid病例呈指数级上升，而第二张图显示了死亡率在一定范围内。第三张图所示的疫苗接种率支持了辉瑞关于其疫苗功效的说法，因为虽然感染率在上升，但疫苗导致的死亡人数有限。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.</p><p><blockquote>此外，公众对更多封锁和极端限制的不满很可能会使优步的移动业务部门比之前的疫情爆发更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials and Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Uber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to&nbsp;Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的资产负债表和估值都很棒。根据Uber的季度报告，Uber报告收入同比增长72%，达到48亿美元，调整后EBITDA为800万美元。经过多年的亏损后，快递业务达到了接近盈亏平衡的水平，调整后EBITDA利润率为-0.1%。此外，该公司的移动或移动业务调整后EBITDA利润率为5.5%，与大流行前的利润率持平。总体而言，公司业务的持续改善导致亏损减少和资产负债表更加强劲。优步拥有约56亿美元现金和约330亿美元总资产，而总负债约为200亿美元，总资产负债率(L/A)约为60%。总而言之，我相信在没有重大变化的情况下，Uber的资产负债表足以维持公司的运营。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times&nbsp;price to&nbsp;sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的估值略高。仍未盈利的Uber的市销率约为4.7倍，远期市销率约为3倍。与其他公司相比，这些数字似乎很小，但由于Uber的利润率扩张值得怀疑，我想说Uber目前的估值略高。然而，随着该业务在不久的将来实现盈利，我认为优步略高的估值对于一些投资者来说可能是可以控制的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Investing in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.</p><p><blockquote>投资优步会带来重大风险，包括稀释风险和宏观经济风险。Uber过去几年一直极度无利可图，导致大规模稀释。Uber的流通股在2018年上涨了12.35%，2019年上涨了160.62%，2020年上涨了40.42%，2021年迄今上涨了8.2%。因此，为了维持公司的运营，Uber不断稀释现有股东。因此，实现盈利的任何障碍都可能导致未来更多的稀释。此外，Uber如今财务状况良好的原因是大规模稀释。此外，优步无法控制的宏观经济风险可能会影响该公司。通胀已经处于历史高位，可能会继续保持在这些水平，导致美联储更快地缩减和加息。因此，由于Uber仍未盈利，提高费率很可能会对公司产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> No one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.</p><p><blockquote>没有人确切知道Uber是否会从丑小鸭绽放成美丽的天鹅，但今天，我开始谨慎看好Uber。疫情最终使公司的整体运营受益，导致配送业务蓬勃发展，这有助于优步实现单位经济效益。此外，随着消费者适应更便捷的生活方式，快递业务预计将扩大。对于移动业务来说，损失惨重；然而，正如Uber所展示的那样，随着经济重新开放，移动业务正在强劲复苏至2019年的水平。因此，随着Uber试图扭转业务，我相信投资者应该值得考虑投资Uber。毕竟，Uber可能会绽放成一只美丽的天鹅。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步：丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步：丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 14:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Uber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.</li>  <li>Mobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.</li>  <li>Future lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.</li>  <li>Therefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b93f3ad8b1091da22c151e759153e2\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>优步的送货业务正在蓬勃发展并不断扩大，导致该公司利用规模经济实现盈利。</li><li>随着经济重新开放，移动业务正在从疫情迅速复苏。</li><li>未来不太可能出现以前看到的封锁和covid限制。</li><li>因此，Uber可能是等待变成天鹅的丑小鸭。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction and Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>导言和论文</b></blockquote></p><p> I am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.</p><p><blockquote>我开始相信优步（纽约证券交易所股票代码：UBER）的故事正在像丑小鸭的故事一样展开。在上市初期，Uber就像丑小鸭一样遭受着投资界的无知和不利看法，但今天，我相信Uber离绽放成一只美丽而成功的天鹅指日可待。</blockquote></p><p> Uber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.</p><p><blockquote>随着潜在趋势对该公司有利，优步的业务正在好转。从疫情的深渊到今天的复苏步伐，世界变得更好了，至少对优步来说是这样。其中一个变化是食品配送。在疫情期间，消费者无法舒适地离开家外出就餐，导致这些消费者转向送餐业务，这是优步持续亏损的主要原因。因此，随着外卖趋势从疫情持续增长，优步通过规模经济的业务一直在享受有利趋势，我相信外卖的便利性将使外卖永久渗透到我们的日常生活中。此外，随着出行在各个方面都从疫情中恢复，Uber可能会在2022财年实现盈利。尽管存在稀释风险、新冠疫情和宏观经济风险，但我相信现在终于是考虑投资丑小鸭的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favorable Trend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有利趋势</b></blockquote></p><p> Pandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost&nbsp;3 fold&nbsp;from&nbsp;2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.</p><p><blockquote>疫情给我们生活的几乎所有行业和方方面面带来了破坏；然而，对于优步来说，我相信疫情对公司有利。Uber的主要业务是送货和移动出行。在大流行之前，虽然移动业务开始报告积极的调整后EBTIDA，但交付业务继续陷入困境。市场相对较小且竞争激烈，导致优步在销售、营销和开发上花费了大量资金。更糟糕的是，当时没有看到规模经济。然而，对于快递业务来说，时代已经变了。一是外卖行业爆火。例如，Uber的配送业务较2019年第四季度增长了近3倍。该行业的巨大增长使Uber能够利用规模经济来提高利润。此外，外卖文化在人们日常生活中的适应使优步能够将其业务扩展到外卖之外。该公司目前正在运送食品杂货、圣诞树，甚至酒精饮料。因此，随着市场的不断成熟，Uber可以利用规模经济将亏损领先的外卖业务扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Some critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.</p><p><blockquote>一些批评者可能会认为，送货之所以成功，只是因为消费者在疫情期间不愿意外出。我想提出不同的观点。疫情可能是公众适应送货服务背后的驱动因素；然而，便利性是维持这种商业模式的动力。通过过去几十年的创新，我们看到了亚马逊（纳斯达克：AMZN）、Meta Platforms（纳斯达克：FB）和苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）的崛起，消费者是多么关心便利性。当你可以与他人见面时，为什么还要进行数字社交呢？当你今天就可以去购买产品的时候，为什么要在网上订购套餐，然后等上几天呢？既然已经有了手机，为什么还要用智能手机呢？消费者永远不会回到更不方便的生活方式。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.</p><p><blockquote>与配送业务不同，移动出行业务受到了疫情的损害，但预计随着疫情影响的减弱，移动出行业务将恢复到2019年的水平。如下图所示，全球最大城市的移动业务在封锁后几乎恢复正常，这表明对网约车服务的需求仍然存在。此外，随着疫情的消退和办公室的重新开放，移动业务将继续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a5ee8af7dd1261e2686a20efa4d3b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Covid Fears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新冠恐惧</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Although pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情是快递业务成功的主要原因，但不断恶化的疫情很可能会损害我的看涨论点。移动业务是一个将引领盈利能力的业务部门，将受到严重损害；然而，与主流媒体的观点相反，我认为由于疫苗和公众情绪，这种情况不太可能发生。</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer(NYSE:PFE)&nbsp;on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）12月8日证实，他们的新冠疫苗对奥密克戎变种仍然有效。该公司表示，一项初步研究“表明，三剂[疫苗]可以中和奥密克戎变种，而两剂则显示中和滴度显着降低。”该公司的说法得到了奥密克戎或新冠疫情在许多欧洲国家爆发的支持，包括义大利、法、英等。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe98b474db7223afa7617f0cb8545e42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8849809f79a66a367009de9b31677d63\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/415cdc534da7dc5a6d6f9e754adf099e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Using France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>以法国为例，上面的第一张图显示了Covid病例呈指数级上升，而第二张图显示了死亡率在一定范围内。第三张图所示的疫苗接种率支持了辉瑞关于其疫苗功效的说法，因为虽然感染率在上升，但疫苗导致的死亡人数有限。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.</p><p><blockquote>此外，公众对更多封锁和极端限制的不满很可能会使优步的移动业务部门比之前的疫情爆发更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials and Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Uber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to&nbsp;Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的资产负债表和估值都很棒。根据Uber的季度报告，Uber报告收入同比增长72%，达到48亿美元，调整后EBITDA为800万美元。经过多年的亏损后，快递业务达到了接近盈亏平衡的水平，调整后EBITDA利润率为-0.1%。此外，该公司的移动或移动业务调整后EBITDA利润率为5.5%，与大流行前的利润率持平。总体而言，公司业务的持续改善导致亏损减少和资产负债表更加强劲。优步拥有约56亿美元现金和约330亿美元总资产，而总负债约为200亿美元，总资产负债率(L/A)约为60%。总而言之，我相信在没有重大变化的情况下，Uber的资产负债表足以维持公司的运营。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times&nbsp;price to&nbsp;sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的估值略高。仍未盈利的Uber的市销率约为4.7倍，远期市销率约为3倍。与其他公司相比，这些数字似乎很小，但由于Uber的利润率扩张值得怀疑，我想说Uber目前的估值略高。然而，随着该业务在不久的将来实现盈利，我认为优步略高的估值对于一些投资者来说可能是可以控制的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Investing in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.</p><p><blockquote>投资优步会带来重大风险，包括稀释风险和宏观经济风险。Uber过去几年一直极度无利可图，导致大规模稀释。Uber的流通股在2018年上涨了12.35%，2019年上涨了160.62%，2020年上涨了40.42%，2021年迄今上涨了8.2%。因此，为了维持公司的运营，Uber不断稀释现有股东。因此，实现盈利的任何障碍都可能导致未来更多的稀释。此外，Uber如今财务状况良好的原因是大规模稀释。此外，优步无法控制的宏观经济风险可能会影响该公司。通胀已经处于历史高位，可能会继续保持在这些水平，导致美联储更快地缩减和加息。因此，由于Uber仍未盈利，提高费率很可能会对公司产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> No one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.</p><p><blockquote>没有人确切知道Uber是否会从丑小鸭绽放成美丽的天鹅，但今天，我开始谨慎看好Uber。疫情最终使公司的整体运营受益，导致配送业务蓬勃发展，这有助于优步实现单位经济效益。此外，随着消费者适应更便捷的生活方式，快递业务预计将扩大。对于移动业务来说，损失惨重；然而，正如Uber所展示的那样，随着经济重新开放，移动业务正在强劲复苏至2019年的水平。因此，随着Uber试图扭转业务，我相信投资者应该值得考虑投资Uber。毕竟，Uber可能会绽放成一只美丽的天鹅。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475598-uber-ugly-duckling-is-growing-up\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475598-uber-ugly-duckling-is-growing-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108936663","content_text":"Summary\n\nUber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.\nMobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.\nFuture lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.\nTherefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.\n\nMOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nIntroduction and Thesis\nI am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.\nUber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.\nFavorable Trend\nPandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost 3 fold from 2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.\nSome critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.\nUnlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.\n\nCovid Fears\nAlthough pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.\nPfizer(NYSE:PFE) on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.\n\nUsing France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.\nFurther, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.\nFinancials and Valuation\nUber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.\nThe valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times price to sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.\nRisks\nInvesting in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.\nSummary\nNo one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBER":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699059129,"gmtCreate":1639726692187,"gmtModify":1639726692562,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What&nbsp;","listText":"What&nbsp;","text":"What","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699059129","repostId":"2192926096","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":841,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690191942,"gmtCreate":1639645870778,"gmtModify":1639645871188,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stonks again&nbsp;","listText":"Stonks again&nbsp;","text":"Stonks again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690191942","repostId":"1190976291","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190976291","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639645564,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190976291?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 17:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%<blockquote>电动汽车股盘前交易飙升，Canoe涨超5%，Rivian、特斯拉、Lucid、小鹏汽车涨超2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190976291","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumpi","content":"<p>EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dff46b3a87591d45993089709370d13\" tg-width=\"283\" tg-height=\"473\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Rivian&nbsp;will announce Thursday that it’s building a $5 billion battery and assembly plant east of Atlanta that’s projected to employ 7,500 workers, sources briefed on the decision told The Associated Press.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中飙升，Canoe上涨超过5%，Rivian、特斯拉、Lucid、小鹏汽车上涨超过2%。了解该决定的消息人士告诉美联社，Rivian将于周四宣布，将在亚特兰大东部建造一座耗资50亿美元的电池和装配厂，预计将雇用7,500名工人。</blockquote></p><p> Canoo plans&nbsp;to accelerate and now shift production of its breakthrough EVs from Europe to U.S., commence manufacturing at its advanced industrialization facility planned for&nbsp;Northwest Arkansas&nbsp;and remains on target to bring online its Mega Micro factory in&nbsp;Pryor, Oklahoma&nbsp;in late 2023.</p><p><blockquote>Canoo计划加速其突破性电动汽车的生产，现在将其突破性电动汽车的生产从欧洲转移到美国，在其计划于阿肯色州西北部的先进工业化工厂开始生产，并仍有望于2023年底在俄克拉荷马州普赖尔的大型微型工厂上线。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%<blockquote>电动汽车股盘前交易飙升，Canoe涨超5%，Rivian、特斯拉、Lucid、小鹏汽车涨超2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%<blockquote>电动汽车股盘前交易飙升，Canoe涨超5%，Rivian、特斯拉、Lucid、小鹏汽车涨超2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-16 17:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dff46b3a87591d45993089709370d13\" tg-width=\"283\" tg-height=\"473\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Rivian&nbsp;will announce Thursday that it’s building a $5 billion battery and assembly plant east of Atlanta that’s projected to employ 7,500 workers, sources briefed on the decision told The Associated Press.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中飙升，Canoe上涨超过5%，Rivian、特斯拉、Lucid、小鹏汽车上涨超过2%。了解该决定的消息人士告诉美联社，Rivian将于周四宣布，将在亚特兰大东部建造一座耗资50亿美元的电池和装配厂，预计将雇用7,500名工人。</blockquote></p><p> Canoo plans&nbsp;to accelerate and now shift production of its breakthrough EVs from Europe to U.S., commence manufacturing at its advanced industrialization facility planned for&nbsp;Northwest Arkansas&nbsp;and remains on target to bring online its Mega Micro factory in&nbsp;Pryor, Oklahoma&nbsp;in late 2023.</p><p><blockquote>Canoo计划加速其突破性电动汽车的生产，现在将其突破性电动汽车的生产从欧洲转移到美国，在其计划于阿肯色州西北部的先进工业化工厂开始生产，并仍有望于2023年底在俄克拉荷马州普赖尔的大型微型工厂上线。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190976291","content_text":"EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%.Rivian will announce Thursday that it’s building a $5 billion battery and assembly plant east of Atlanta that’s projected to employ 7,500 workers, sources briefed on the decision told The Associated Press.\nCanoo plans to accelerate and now shift production of its breakthrough EVs from Europe to U.S., commence manufacturing at its advanced industrialization facility planned for Northwest Arkansas and remains on target to bring online its Mega Micro factory in Pryor, Oklahoma in late 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOEV":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"LCID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690105815,"gmtCreate":1639645610816,"gmtModify":1639645611233,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581896632900578","authorIdStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good!!!! Should tax them more&nbsp;","listText":"Good!!!! Should tax them more&nbsp;","text":"Good!!!! Should tax them more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690105815","repostId":"1127770254","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":883312130,"gmtCreate":1631201486320,"gmtModify":1631883613635,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>Been watching this stock since 2019 ever since I started to shop on the app when it was less publicised. Always wondered why the app&nbsp;is able to give so much discount as compared to shops outside and whether the discount would be sustainable in the long run while fighting for market share.&nbsp;Kind of reminded myself back in those day when I used Grab so much because it was so cheap and then when they managed to squeeze Uber out, the pricing does not seem as competitive anymore. Would we see the same in the future if other e-commerce players are squeezed out and less brick and mortar store since we choose online&nbsp;cheaper options that are subsidised. Maybe our future self is paying for all these subsidies&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>Been watching this stock since 2019 ever since I started to shop on the app when it was less publicised. Always wondered why the app&nbsp;is able to give so much discount as compared to shops outside and whether the discount would be sustainable in the long run while fighting for market share.&nbsp;Kind of reminded myself back in those day when I used Grab so much because it was so cheap and then when they managed to squeeze Uber out, the pricing does not seem as competitive anymore. Would we see the same in the future if other e-commerce players are squeezed out and less brick and mortar store since we choose online&nbsp;cheaper options that are subsidised. Maybe our future self is paying for all these subsidies&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$Been watching this stock since 2019 ever since I started to shop on the app when it was less publicised. Always wondered why the app is able to give so much discount as compared to shops outside and whether the discount would be sustainable in the long run while fighting for market share. Kind of reminded myself back in those day when I used Grab so much because it was so cheap and then when they managed to squeeze Uber out, the pricing does not seem as competitive anymore. Would we see the same in the future if other e-commerce players are squeezed out and less brick and mortar store since we choose online cheaper options that are subsidised. Maybe our future self is paying for all these subsidies [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883312130","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274702625278","authorId":"3479274702625278","name":"老夫追涨杀跌","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d8be38e6bbbfa27d16721be9a4e59b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274702625278","idStr":"3479274702625278"},"content":"东南亚小腾讯，可不是浪得虚名的，不可小 觑，就算你现在不认同他，后面也会认同他。","text":"东南亚小腾讯，可不是浪得虚名的，不可小 觑，就算你现在不认同他，后面也会认同他。","html":"东南亚小腾讯，可不是浪得虚名的，不可小 觑，就算你现在不认同他，后面也会认同他。"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000223","authorId":"9000000000000223","name":"赢在中国V","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b17af8d14081700b793911bb75de6b67","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000223","idStr":"9000000000000223"},"content":"The profit model of Internet enterprises, now occupy the market at a low price, and then take advantage of the monopoly, profit, there is no free lunch","text":"The profit model of Internet enterprises, now occupy the market at a low price, and then take advantage of the monopoly, profit, there is no free lunch","html":"The profit model of Internet enterprises, now occupy the market at a low price, and then take advantage of the monopoly, profit, there is no free lunch"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821055367,"gmtCreate":1633679110471,"gmtModify":1633679110969,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Then the price will go higher and higher&nbsp;","listText":"Then the price will go higher and higher&nbsp;","text":"Then the price will go higher and higher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821055367","repostId":"1195802602","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195802602","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633749735,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195802602?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?<blockquote>2100万枚地雷全部开采后，比特币会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195802602","media":"Investopedia","summary":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never rea","content":"<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>There are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.</li>  <li>Bitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.</li>  <li>As of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.</li>  <li>When Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.</li>  <li>Bitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.</li>  <li>Bitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.</li> </ul> One of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin&nbsp;is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总共只有2100万个比特币可以开采。</li><li>由于在其代码库中使用了舍入运算符，比特币永远不会达到这个上限。</li><li>截至2021年8月，已有1877万枚比特币被开采，其中约230万枚尚未投入流通。</li><li>当比特币达到其供应上限时，区块奖励将消失，矿工将依赖加密货币网络上发生的交易费用来获得收入。</li><li>比特币的网络可能会从目前的未完工状态演变为货币交易和交易的桥梁。</li><li>比特币加密货币将在金融生态系统中拥有明确的身份。</li></ul>比特币的主要特点之一是供应有限。其他形式的货币，包括法定货币，可以由央行随意印刷——也就是说，它们的供应量是无限的。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be&nbsp;mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the&nbsp;cryptocurrency.</p><p><blockquote>比特币发明家中本聪将比特币的数量限制在2100万，这意味着只有2100万个比特币存在。平均而言，这些比特币以每10分钟一个区块的固定速度引入比特币供应。此外，在上述每个区块中释放的比特币数量每四年减少50%。到2021年8月，有1870万个比特币可用，剩下大约230万个比特币有待开采。供应限制使比特币稀缺，并控制了加密货币无限供应可能引起的通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on&nbsp;block rewards&nbsp;and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币达到供应上限，其经济将发生变化。对其生态系统中各种成员（如矿工和贸易商）的激励将发生变化。例如，矿工可能较少依赖区块奖励，而更多地依赖交易费用来为其运营赚取收入和利润。加密货币的网络也将发生转变，其参与者将不同于当前生态系统中的散户交易者。</blockquote></p><p> However, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.</p><p><blockquote>然而，鉴于加密货币相对不发达的生态系统，很难确定地预测比特币达到其上限供应的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币会达到2100万英镑的上限吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Before delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.</p><p><blockquote>在深入研究比特币2100万英镑上限的影响之前，考虑一下它是否会达到这个数字可能会很有趣。根据加密货币目前的代码库和挖掘过程，一些观察人士表示，比特币可能会略低于2100万的数字。</blockquote></p><p> To recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.</p><p><blockquote>概括地说，比特币是由解决加密难题的矿工“挖掘”的，以验证和验证其网络中发生的一组交易。区块奖励由一定数量的比特币组成，分发给成功确认交易区块的矿工。奖励每四年减半。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d1d9aa1b5581477bf14edfde0292f21\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>The rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>比特币的生产速度大约每四年减半。投资百科</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.</p><p><blockquote>当加密货币推出时，确认一笔交易的奖励是50个比特币。2012年减半至25个比特币，2016年降至12.5个。2020年5月，每个新区块矿工将获得6.25比特币。比特币矿工的区块奖励将继续每四年减半，直到最后一个比特币被开采。目前对最终比特币开采的估计是2140年2月。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Important:</b>The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens.  According to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要提示：</b>比特币挖矿过程为矿工提供比特币奖励，但奖励规模会周期性减少，以控制新代币的流通。根据一本关于比特币运作的书的作者Andreas M.Antonopoulos的说法，2100万这个数字是现存比特币数量的“渐近上限”。简而言之，这意味着，虽然它可能会非常接近数字，但加密货币永远不会达到这一限制。这是因为块奖励和比特币供应从来没有用确切的术语来表达。比特币的代码使用位移位运算符——在某些编程语言中，用于将小数点四舍五入到最接近的最小整数的算术运算符。因此，6.2589个比特币的总供应量将四舍五入到最接近的最小整数，在本例中为6。</blockquote></p><p> While it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in&nbsp;satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这种做法使计算变得更容易，但在每次区块确认期间，这种做法会导致比特币的组成单位satoshis的损失。一个比特币等于一亿个聪。根据一些人的说法，最终的比特币区块将编号为6,929,999，届时的总供应量将为20,999,999.9769 satoshis。由于比特币使用位移位运算符系统，3its算法将把这个数字四舍五入到20,999，999，使加密货币略低于其2100万的目标上限。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当2100万枚比特币全部被开采后会发生什么？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> A consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a&nbsp;closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.</p><p><blockquote>比特币没有达到其计划上限的一个后果是，它留下了加密货币网络在2140年之后长期保持功能的可能性。不会发行比特币，但交易区块将得到确认，费用将成为主要收入来源。最终，比特币的网络可能会像一个封闭的经济体一样运作，交易费用的评估就像税收一样。</blockquote></p><p> Can the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.</p><p><blockquote>奖励可以是satoshis而不是实际的比特币吗？这种做法不太可能，需要改变加密货币的协议才能生效。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，很难预测比特币几乎达到中本聪承诺的总体供应量的影响。这部分是因为比特币的生态系统仍然不发达。加密货币最初被概念化为一种交换媒介，但它作为一种价值储存手段——一种投资资产——越来越受欢迎。从现在到2140年，比特币的生态系统和运作方式可能会发生转变，类似于其身份发生的转变。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Important:</b>Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要提示：</b>尽管比特币最多只能有2100万个，但由于人们丢失了私钥或在没有将私钥指令留给任何人的情况下去世，流通中的可用比特币的实际数量实际上可能会少数百万个。</blockquote></p><p> For example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's&nbsp;blockchain&nbsp;to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create&nbsp;hard&nbsp;or&nbsp;soft forks&nbsp;that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are&nbsp;bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.</p><p><blockquote>例如，加密货币的区块链可能会发生协议变化，以允许超过2100万个比特币存在。请记住，比特币是一种开源加密货币，可以进行更改以创建硬分叉或软分叉，从而创建新的加密货币或改变其功能。前者的一些例子是比特币现金（BCHUSD）、莱特币（LTCUSD）和狗狗币（DOGEUSD），它们对比特币的源代码进行了微小的修改，并创造了市场估值达到数十亿美元的新硬币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin Miners</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币矿工的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Block rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.</p><p><blockquote>区块奖励和交易费是矿工最重要的收入来源——在当前的设置中，前者比后者更重要。比特币的高价格使矿工能够支付运营成本并维持商业利润，因为他们可以在加密货币市场出售他们的奖励储备。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币接近极限时，奖励金额可能不足以支付矿商的运营成本，更不用说产生利润了。如果达到供应限制，比特币奖励应该会消失。</blockquote></p><p> In both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value.&nbsp;The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这两种情况下，交易费用预计将弥补这一缺口。这些费用的金额和机制取决于比特币网络在该时间点的状态，即它是被用作交换媒介还是价值储存手段。前者可能会产生合理的费用，以使比特币能够在日常交易中使用，而后者将使矿工进行更少和更昂贵的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Another possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining&nbsp;is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.</p><p><blockquote>提出的另一种可能性是矿工之间形成卡特尔。他们可能会控制供应，以设定高额交易费用或保证最低利润的费用金额。自私采矿是另一种可能性。在这种形式的挖矿中，矿工们相互勾结隐藏新的区块，并释放未经比特币网络确认的孤立区块。这种做法将延迟比特币网络中最后一个区块的生产，并确保新区块最终发布到网络中时获得高额奖励。</blockquote></p><p> The formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by&nbsp;OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.</p><p><blockquote>比特币矿商卡特尔的形成并不是一个影响深远的结论。这种分组已经存在于供应受到限制或控制的其他商品中。例如，油价在很大程度上受到欧佩克产量的影响。据报道，钻石行业的价格也是由矿业巨头DeBeers领导的卡特尔设定的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin's Network</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币网络的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> The most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology&nbsp;is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.</p><p><blockquote>比特币最有价值和最有用的方面是它的网络。分布式账本技术是当今大多数金融交易所特有的耗时簿记和会计的技术解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> If Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.</p><p><blockquote>如果未来比特币作为交换媒介变得流行，其交易数量将会激增。过去的先例表明，网络很有可能会变慢。这是因为比特币的架构依赖于分布式数据库来保存大量分类账的副本，为了准确性和完整性而牺牲了速度。</blockquote></p><p> In such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，Layer 2技术（如Lightning Network）可能会负责确认其网络上的大多数交易。因此，加密货币的实际网络本身将仅用于结算大批量交易。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a&nbsp;reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.</p><p><blockquote>第二种可能性是比特币网络上的交易数量下降。当比特币成为储备资产时，这种情况是可能的。涉及加密货币的交易将会很少。主导当前交易生态系统的零售交易商和小型贸易公司将被淘汰，并被大型机构参与者和老牌贸易公司取代。他们将进行更少、更昂贵的交易，这将导致矿商收取高额交易费用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency</b></p><p><blockquote><b>加密货币对比特币的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem&nbsp;as a Wild West.</p><p><blockquote>比特币发明家中本聪设计了加密货币，作为日常交易的交换媒介。但其网络交易费用高，处理时间慢。与此同时，它的稀缺性和不断上涨的价格已经成为投机投资者的磁石。他们对加密货币轮盘赌的押注导致该资产类别的价格波动，阻止了认真的投资者远离它。监管机构批评其生态系统是狂野的西部。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the&nbsp;Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have&nbsp;made the cryptocurrency legal tender.</p><p><blockquote>当最后一个比特币被开采（或接近被开采）时，比特币可能会有一个比目前更明确的身份。侧通道，如闪电网络，可能提高了其网络的交易处理速度，并使其能够用作交换媒介。萨尔瓦多等一些国家押注于这种可能性，并已将加密货币定为法定货币。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>FAST&nbsp;FACT</b>    El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency.  In the United States, the latest significant events are the&nbsp;Office of the Comptroller of the Currency&nbsp;(OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.</p><p><blockquote><b>快速事实</b>萨尔瓦多于2021年6月9日将比特币定为法定货币。它是第一个这样做的国家。加密货币可用于企业可以接受的任何交易。美元仍然是萨尔瓦多的主要货币。在美国，最新的重大事件是货币监理署(OCC)于2021年1月致函授权使用加密货币作为支付方式、PayPal控股公司(PYPL)引入比特币，以及特斯拉公司(TSLA)接受比特币购买特斯拉汽车和太阳能屋顶。特斯拉于2021年5月改变了接受比特币的方针，理由是对比特币采矿所需资源的环境担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.</p><p><blockquote>其数量的日益稀缺也将推高比特币的价格以及加密货币市场的相应估值。当增加流入某一资产类别的资金量时，监管机构往往会迅速采取行动，加密货币市场和比特币也很可能受到监管的保护。这将是机构投资者进入加密货币生态系统并通过大量流动性稳定其价格波动的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.</p><p><blockquote>比特币2100万的供应上限旨在控制通胀，否则通胀可能会因无限供应而导致。但它使加密货币成为稀缺商品，从而抬高了加密货币的价格。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币达到供应上限时，矿商很可能会从区块奖励转向交易费作为其主要收入来源。闪电网络等辅助渠道的发展可能会导致比特币的区块链将自己限制在确认大批量交易或涉及大量比特币从区块链的一个地址转移到另一个地址的交易。比特币的身份——作为价值储存和交换媒介——也将比目前更加明确。</blockquote></p><p> But none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.</p><p><blockquote>但这些预测都不是一成不变的。比特币生态系统发展的动态步伐意味着很难准确预测其未来。例如，加密货币的协议可能会发生变化，以适应超过2100万个比特币的生产。或者，它可能会接近2100万。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Frequently Asked Questions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常见问题</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What is Bitcoin's total supply?</li> </ul> The total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>比特币的总供应量是多少？</li></ul>比特币的总供应量上限为2100万枚。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币达到供应上限时，矿工费用会发生什么变化？</li></ul>当比特币供应量达到2100万时，矿商将依靠交易费而不是区块奖励来获得收入，区块奖励届时将消失。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币的网络达到供应极限时会发生什么？</li></ul>当比特币达到2100万的供应限额时，像闪电网络这样的侧渠道很可能会承担确认其交易的大部分繁重工作。加密货币的区块链只负责确认非常大批量的交易或涉及大量比特币从一个地址转移到另一个地址的交易。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?</li> </ul> One consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>如果比特币的供应量达不到2100万的上限会怎么样？</li></ul>比特币未能达到其计划上限的一个后果是，它留下了加密货币网络在2140年之后长期保持功能的可能性。根据比特币的经济学，确认这些区块的回报将微乎其微。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?<blockquote>2100万枚地雷全部开采后，比特币会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?<blockquote>2100万枚地雷全部开采后，比特币会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Investopedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-09 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>There are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.</li>  <li>Bitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.</li>  <li>As of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.</li>  <li>When Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.</li>  <li>Bitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.</li>  <li>Bitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.</li> </ul> One of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin&nbsp;is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总共只有2100万个比特币可以开采。</li><li>由于在其代码库中使用了舍入运算符，比特币永远不会达到这个上限。</li><li>截至2021年8月，已有1877万枚比特币被开采，其中约230万枚尚未投入流通。</li><li>当比特币达到其供应上限时，区块奖励将消失，矿工将依赖加密货币网络上发生的交易费用来获得收入。</li><li>比特币的网络可能会从目前的未完工状态演变为货币交易和交易的桥梁。</li><li>比特币加密货币将在金融生态系统中拥有明确的身份。</li></ul>比特币的主要特点之一是供应有限。其他形式的货币，包括法定货币，可以由央行随意印刷——也就是说，它们的供应量是无限的。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be&nbsp;mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the&nbsp;cryptocurrency.</p><p><blockquote>比特币发明家中本聪将比特币的数量限制在2100万，这意味着只有2100万个比特币存在。平均而言，这些比特币以每10分钟一个区块的固定速度引入比特币供应。此外，在上述每个区块中释放的比特币数量每四年减少50%。到2021年8月，有1870万个比特币可用，剩下大约230万个比特币有待开采。供应限制使比特币稀缺，并控制了加密货币无限供应可能引起的通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on&nbsp;block rewards&nbsp;and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币达到供应上限，其经济将发生变化。对其生态系统中各种成员（如矿工和贸易商）的激励将发生变化。例如，矿工可能较少依赖区块奖励，而更多地依赖交易费用来为其运营赚取收入和利润。加密货币的网络也将发生转变，其参与者将不同于当前生态系统中的散户交易者。</blockquote></p><p> However, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.</p><p><blockquote>然而，鉴于加密货币相对不发达的生态系统，很难确定地预测比特币达到其上限供应的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币会达到2100万英镑的上限吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Before delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.</p><p><blockquote>在深入研究比特币2100万英镑上限的影响之前，考虑一下它是否会达到这个数字可能会很有趣。根据加密货币目前的代码库和挖掘过程，一些观察人士表示，比特币可能会略低于2100万的数字。</blockquote></p><p> To recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.</p><p><blockquote>概括地说，比特币是由解决加密难题的矿工“挖掘”的，以验证和验证其网络中发生的一组交易。区块奖励由一定数量的比特币组成，分发给成功确认交易区块的矿工。奖励每四年减半。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d1d9aa1b5581477bf14edfde0292f21\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>The rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>比特币的生产速度大约每四年减半。投资百科</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.</p><p><blockquote>当加密货币推出时，确认一笔交易的奖励是50个比特币。2012年减半至25个比特币，2016年降至12.5个。2020年5月，每个新区块矿工将获得6.25比特币。比特币矿工的区块奖励将继续每四年减半，直到最后一个比特币被开采。目前对最终比特币开采的估计是2140年2月。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Important:</b>The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens.  According to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要提示：</b>比特币挖矿过程为矿工提供比特币奖励，但奖励规模会周期性减少，以控制新代币的流通。根据一本关于比特币运作的书的作者Andreas M.Antonopoulos的说法，2100万这个数字是现存比特币数量的“渐近上限”。简而言之，这意味着，虽然它可能会非常接近数字，但加密货币永远不会达到这一限制。这是因为块奖励和比特币供应从来没有用确切的术语来表达。比特币的代码使用位移位运算符——在某些编程语言中，用于将小数点四舍五入到最接近的最小整数的算术运算符。因此，6.2589个比特币的总供应量将四舍五入到最接近的最小整数，在本例中为6。</blockquote></p><p> While it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in&nbsp;satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这种做法使计算变得更容易，但在每次区块确认期间，这种做法会导致比特币的组成单位satoshis的损失。一个比特币等于一亿个聪。根据一些人的说法，最终的比特币区块将编号为6,929,999，届时的总供应量将为20,999,999.9769 satoshis。由于比特币使用位移位运算符系统，3its算法将把这个数字四舍五入到20,999，999，使加密货币略低于其2100万的目标上限。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当2100万枚比特币全部被开采后会发生什么？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> A consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a&nbsp;closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.</p><p><blockquote>比特币没有达到其计划上限的一个后果是，它留下了加密货币网络在2140年之后长期保持功能的可能性。不会发行比特币，但交易区块将得到确认，费用将成为主要收入来源。最终，比特币的网络可能会像一个封闭的经济体一样运作，交易费用的评估就像税收一样。</blockquote></p><p> Can the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.</p><p><blockquote>奖励可以是satoshis而不是实际的比特币吗？这种做法不太可能，需要改变加密货币的协议才能生效。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，很难预测比特币几乎达到中本聪承诺的总体供应量的影响。这部分是因为比特币的生态系统仍然不发达。加密货币最初被概念化为一种交换媒介，但它作为一种价值储存手段——一种投资资产——越来越受欢迎。从现在到2140年，比特币的生态系统和运作方式可能会发生转变，类似于其身份发生的转变。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Important:</b>Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要提示：</b>尽管比特币最多只能有2100万个，但由于人们丢失了私钥或在没有将私钥指令留给任何人的情况下去世，流通中的可用比特币的实际数量实际上可能会少数百万个。</blockquote></p><p> For example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's&nbsp;blockchain&nbsp;to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create&nbsp;hard&nbsp;or&nbsp;soft forks&nbsp;that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are&nbsp;bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.</p><p><blockquote>例如，加密货币的区块链可能会发生协议变化，以允许超过2100万个比特币存在。请记住，比特币是一种开源加密货币，可以进行更改以创建硬分叉或软分叉，从而创建新的加密货币或改变其功能。前者的一些例子是比特币现金（BCHUSD）、莱特币（LTCUSD）和狗狗币（DOGEUSD），它们对比特币的源代码进行了微小的修改，并创造了市场估值达到数十亿美元的新硬币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin Miners</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币矿工的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Block rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.</p><p><blockquote>区块奖励和交易费是矿工最重要的收入来源——在当前的设置中，前者比后者更重要。比特币的高价格使矿工能够支付运营成本并维持商业利润，因为他们可以在加密货币市场出售他们的奖励储备。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币接近极限时，奖励金额可能不足以支付矿商的运营成本，更不用说产生利润了。如果达到供应限制，比特币奖励应该会消失。</blockquote></p><p> In both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value.&nbsp;The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这两种情况下，交易费用预计将弥补这一缺口。这些费用的金额和机制取决于比特币网络在该时间点的状态，即它是被用作交换媒介还是价值储存手段。前者可能会产生合理的费用，以使比特币能够在日常交易中使用，而后者将使矿工进行更少和更昂贵的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Another possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining&nbsp;is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.</p><p><blockquote>提出的另一种可能性是矿工之间形成卡特尔。他们可能会控制供应，以设定高额交易费用或保证最低利润的费用金额。自私采矿是另一种可能性。在这种形式的挖矿中，矿工们相互勾结隐藏新的区块，并释放未经比特币网络确认的孤立区块。这种做法将延迟比特币网络中最后一个区块的生产，并确保新区块最终发布到网络中时获得高额奖励。</blockquote></p><p> The formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by&nbsp;OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.</p><p><blockquote>比特币矿商卡特尔的形成并不是一个影响深远的结论。这种分组已经存在于供应受到限制或控制的其他商品中。例如，油价在很大程度上受到欧佩克产量的影响。据报道，钻石行业的价格也是由矿业巨头DeBeers领导的卡特尔设定的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin's Network</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币网络的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> The most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology&nbsp;is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.</p><p><blockquote>比特币最有价值和最有用的方面是它的网络。分布式账本技术是当今大多数金融交易所特有的耗时簿记和会计的技术解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> If Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.</p><p><blockquote>如果未来比特币作为交换媒介变得流行，其交易数量将会激增。过去的先例表明，网络很有可能会变慢。这是因为比特币的架构依赖于分布式数据库来保存大量分类账的副本，为了准确性和完整性而牺牲了速度。</blockquote></p><p> In such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，Layer 2技术（如Lightning Network）可能会负责确认其网络上的大多数交易。因此，加密货币的实际网络本身将仅用于结算大批量交易。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a&nbsp;reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.</p><p><blockquote>第二种可能性是比特币网络上的交易数量下降。当比特币成为储备资产时，这种情况是可能的。涉及加密货币的交易将会很少。主导当前交易生态系统的零售交易商和小型贸易公司将被淘汰，并被大型机构参与者和老牌贸易公司取代。他们将进行更少、更昂贵的交易，这将导致矿商收取高额交易费用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency</b></p><p><blockquote><b>加密货币对比特币的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem&nbsp;as a Wild West.</p><p><blockquote>比特币发明家中本聪设计了加密货币，作为日常交易的交换媒介。但其网络交易费用高，处理时间慢。与此同时，它的稀缺性和不断上涨的价格已经成为投机投资者的磁石。他们对加密货币轮盘赌的押注导致该资产类别的价格波动，阻止了认真的投资者远离它。监管机构批评其生态系统是狂野的西部。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the&nbsp;Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have&nbsp;made the cryptocurrency legal tender.</p><p><blockquote>当最后一个比特币被开采（或接近被开采）时，比特币可能会有一个比目前更明确的身份。侧通道，如闪电网络，可能提高了其网络的交易处理速度，并使其能够用作交换媒介。萨尔瓦多等一些国家押注于这种可能性，并已将加密货币定为法定货币。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>FAST&nbsp;FACT</b>    El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency.  In the United States, the latest significant events are the&nbsp;Office of the Comptroller of the Currency&nbsp;(OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.</p><p><blockquote><b>快速事实</b>萨尔瓦多于2021年6月9日将比特币定为法定货币。它是第一个这样做的国家。加密货币可用于企业可以接受的任何交易。美元仍然是萨尔瓦多的主要货币。在美国，最新的重大事件是货币监理署(OCC)于2021年1月致函授权使用加密货币作为支付方式、PayPal控股公司(PYPL)引入比特币，以及特斯拉公司(TSLA)接受比特币购买特斯拉汽车和太阳能屋顶。特斯拉于2021年5月改变了接受比特币的方针，理由是对比特币采矿所需资源的环境担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.</p><p><blockquote>其数量的日益稀缺也将推高比特币的价格以及加密货币市场的相应估值。当增加流入某一资产类别的资金量时，监管机构往往会迅速采取行动，加密货币市场和比特币也很可能受到监管的保护。这将是机构投资者进入加密货币生态系统并通过大量流动性稳定其价格波动的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.</p><p><blockquote>比特币2100万的供应上限旨在控制通胀，否则通胀可能会因无限供应而导致。但它使加密货币成为稀缺商品，从而抬高了加密货币的价格。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币达到供应上限时，矿商很可能会从区块奖励转向交易费作为其主要收入来源。闪电网络等辅助渠道的发展可能会导致比特币的区块链将自己限制在确认大批量交易或涉及大量比特币从区块链的一个地址转移到另一个地址的交易。比特币的身份——作为价值储存和交换媒介——也将比目前更加明确。</blockquote></p><p> But none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.</p><p><blockquote>但这些预测都不是一成不变的。比特币生态系统发展的动态步伐意味着很难准确预测其未来。例如，加密货币的协议可能会发生变化，以适应超过2100万个比特币的生产。或者，它可能会接近2100万。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Frequently Asked Questions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常见问题</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What is Bitcoin's total supply?</li> </ul> The total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>比特币的总供应量是多少？</li></ul>比特币的总供应量上限为2100万枚。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币达到供应上限时，矿工费用会发生什么变化？</li></ul>当比特币供应量达到2100万时，矿商将依靠交易费而不是区块奖励来获得收入，区块奖励届时将消失。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币的网络达到供应极限时会发生什么？</li></ul>当比特币达到2100万的供应限额时，像闪电网络这样的侧渠道很可能会承担确认其交易的大部分繁重工作。加密货币的区块链只负责确认非常大批量的交易或涉及大量比特币从一个地址转移到另一个地址的交易。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?</li> </ul> One consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>如果比特币的供应量达不到2100万的上限会怎么样？</li></ul>比特币未能达到其计划上限的一个后果是，它留下了加密货币网络在2140年之后长期保持功能的可能性。根据比特币的经济学，确认这些区块的回报将微乎其微。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral\">Investopedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195802602","content_text":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.\nAs of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.\nWhen Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.\nBitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.\nBitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.\n\nOne of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.\nBitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the cryptocurrency.\nAs Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on block rewards and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.\nHowever, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.\nWill Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?\nBefore delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.\nTo recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.\nThe rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia\nWhen the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.\n\nImportant:The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens.\n\nAccording to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.\nWhile it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.\nWhat Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?\nA consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.\nCan the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.\nThat said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.\nImportant:Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.\nFor example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's blockchain to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create hard or soft forks that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.\nEffect on Bitcoin Miners\nBlock rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.\nWhen Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.\nIn both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value. The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.\nAnother possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.\nThe formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.\nEffect on Bitcoin's Network\nThe most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.\nIf Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.\nIn such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.\nA second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.\nEffect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency\nBitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem as a Wild West.\nBy the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have made the cryptocurrency legal tender.\n\nFAST FACT\n\n\n El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency.\n\nIn the United States, the latest significant events are the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.\nThe increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.\nThe Bottom Line\nBitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.\nWhen Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.\nBut none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.\nFrequently Asked Questions\n\nWhat is Bitcoin's total supply?\n\nThe total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.\n\nWhat will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?\n\nWhen Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.\n\nWhat will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?\n\nWhen Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.\n\nWhat happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?\n\nOne consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MBTmain":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":156342004,"gmtCreate":1625198438308,"gmtModify":1633942621742,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Because it's all or nothing! It's better than lottery in many ways!!","listText":"Because it's all or nothing! It's better than lottery in many ways!!","text":"Because it's all or nothing! It's better than lottery in many ways!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156342004","repostId":"1133090424","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805451303,"gmtCreate":1627901696202,"gmtModify":1631893705541,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oooh it's going up again!!!!","listText":"Oooh it's going up again!!!!","text":"Oooh it's going up again!!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805451303","repostId":"1131923658","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131923658","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627898076,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131923658?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 17:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131923658","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second q","content":"<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度盈利和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示：“2021年第二季度，我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过200,000辆汽车，实现了11%的营业利润率，并在我们历史上首次超过[10亿美元]GAAP净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对本季度的近距离观察，其中包括报告中的五个必看要点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.营收达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长121%，特斯拉的收入同比飙升98%，达到约120亿美元。这超出了分析师113亿美元营收的平均预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有了这样的收入，利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的1.04亿美元增至11.4亿美元。非GAAP（调整后）净利润同比增长258%至16亿美元。这意味着非GAAP每股收益为1.45美元，远高于分析师普遍预期的0.98美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长表明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流，即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的4.18亿美元增至6.19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从2021年第一季度的171亿美元下降至162亿美元，但这主要是由于16亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四、车辆需求旺盛</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示，对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上，需求如此强劲，以至于该公司的供应受到限制。“全球需求持续强劲，我们正在现有零部件供应的极限下进行生产，”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.未来还会有更大幅度的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，特斯拉对其增长轨迹保持乐观。该公司表示，预计今年的总交付量将同比增长50%以上。这意味着2021年总交付量将超过75万辆。截至目前，特斯拉今年已交付超过38.6万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>“增长率将取决于我们的设备容量、运营效率以及供应链的容量和稳定性，”特斯拉指出。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉经济增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而，投资者担心几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个有效的市场，对上市公司的好消息和坏消息都进行了贴现。因此，股价在好消息之前上涨，在坏消息之前遭到抛售。有时，市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的术语来说——过于乐观，导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本或内在价值。其他时候，先生。市场过于悲观，导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看，特斯拉的股价都被高估了。例如，TipRanks估计特斯拉过去12个月的股本回报率为12.41%，而特斯拉的内在价值估计为160.11美元，远低于当前的价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾经，特斯拉几乎没有竞争，因为它开创的电动汽车（EV）市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而，随着通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场，情况已不再如此。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络，可以扩大电动汽车生产规模，跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时，新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争，从而削弱特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉CEO Elon Musk对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底，特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元，以第一季度比特币的激增计算。然而，考虑到比特币的波动性，这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则加剧了比特币的波动性。因此，倘其公平值于评估报告期内减值至低于账面值，则须计提减值亏损。在资产出售之前，公司无法收回公允价值后续增加的减值损失。随着数字货币价格暴跌，特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断，特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺，预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时，全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重，”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里，我们的增长率将取决于供应链中最慢的部分，”他补充说，有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham分析师Rajvindra Gill表示，特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美，这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>吉尔写道：“即使最近的业绩更加积极，我们也很难证明特斯拉‘定价完美’的估值是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley分析师Adam Jonas表示，本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法，特斯拉仍然不是企业市盈率70倍的价值股。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉不仅是世界上增长最快的汽车公司之一，也是最赚钱的公司之一，”Jonas写道。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Colin Langan表示，汽车毛利率令人印象深刻，但可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Langran写道：“随着价格较低的Model Y SR在中国推出，由于原材料成本上升和混合动力稀释，我们预计第三季度/第四季度汽车利润率将放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B.of A.Securities的约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)的语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很慢，但“竞争非常激烈，而且正在升温，”他说。“（特斯拉的）运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”，墨菲将该股的目标价从750美元上调至800美元，较周二的价格上涨约26%。他维持B.of A.对该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 17:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度盈利和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示：“2021年第二季度，我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过200,000辆汽车，实现了11%的营业利润率，并在我们历史上首次超过[10亿美元]GAAP净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对本季度的近距离观察，其中包括报告中的五个必看要点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.营收达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长121%，特斯拉的收入同比飙升98%，达到约120亿美元。这超出了分析师113亿美元营收的平均预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有了这样的收入，利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的1.04亿美元增至11.4亿美元。非GAAP（调整后）净利润同比增长258%至16亿美元。这意味着非GAAP每股收益为1.45美元，远高于分析师普遍预期的0.98美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长表明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流，即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的4.18亿美元增至6.19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从2021年第一季度的171亿美元下降至162亿美元，但这主要是由于16亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四、车辆需求旺盛</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示，对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上，需求如此强劲，以至于该公司的供应受到限制。“全球需求持续强劲，我们正在现有零部件供应的极限下进行生产，”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.未来还会有更大幅度的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，特斯拉对其增长轨迹保持乐观。该公司表示，预计今年的总交付量将同比增长50%以上。这意味着2021年总交付量将超过75万辆。截至目前，特斯拉今年已交付超过38.6万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>“增长率将取决于我们的设备容量、运营效率以及供应链的容量和稳定性，”特斯拉指出。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉经济增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而，投资者担心几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个有效的市场，对上市公司的好消息和坏消息都进行了贴现。因此，股价在好消息之前上涨，在坏消息之前遭到抛售。有时，市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的术语来说——过于乐观，导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本或内在价值。其他时候，先生。市场过于悲观，导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看，特斯拉的股价都被高估了。例如，TipRanks估计特斯拉过去12个月的股本回报率为12.41%，而特斯拉的内在价值估计为160.11美元，远低于当前的价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾经，特斯拉几乎没有竞争，因为它开创的电动汽车（EV）市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而，随着通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场，情况已不再如此。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络，可以扩大电动汽车生产规模，跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时，新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争，从而削弱特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉CEO Elon Musk对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底，特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元，以第一季度比特币的激增计算。然而，考虑到比特币的波动性，这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则加剧了比特币的波动性。因此，倘其公平值于评估报告期内减值至低于账面值，则须计提减值亏损。在资产出售之前，公司无法收回公允价值后续增加的减值损失。随着数字货币价格暴跌，特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断，特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺，预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时，全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重，”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里，我们的增长率将取决于供应链中最慢的部分，”他补充说，有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham分析师Rajvindra Gill表示，特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美，这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>吉尔写道：“即使最近的业绩更加积极，我们也很难证明特斯拉‘定价完美’的估值是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley分析师Adam Jonas表示，本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法，特斯拉仍然不是企业市盈率70倍的价值股。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉不仅是世界上增长最快的汽车公司之一，也是最赚钱的公司之一，”Jonas写道。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Colin Langan表示，汽车毛利率令人印象深刻，但可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Langran写道：“随着价格较低的Model Y SR在中国推出，由于原材料成本上升和混合动力稀释，我们预计第三季度/第四季度汽车利润率将放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B.of A.Securities的约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)的语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很慢，但“竞争非常激烈，而且正在升温，”他说。“（特斯拉的）运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”，墨菲将该股的目标价从750美元上调至800美元，较周二的价格上涨约26%。他维持B.of A.对该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131923658","content_text":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"\nHere's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.\n1. Revenue hit $12 billion\nHelped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.\n2. Profits skyrocketed\nOf course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.\nThe outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.\n3. Free cash flow remains healthy\nTesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.\nTotal cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.\n4. Vehicle demand is robust\nTesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.\n5. There's more sharp growth to come\nImportantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.\n\"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.\nFour Challenges to Tesla’s Growth\nHowever,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.\nHigh Valuation\nWall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.\nTesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.\nCompetition from Colonizers\nOnce, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.\nThese \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.\nBitcoin Exposure\nTesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.\nAdding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.\nRising Material Costs\nTogether with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.\n\"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.\nMixed reviews from Wall Street\nNeedham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.\n“Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.\nMorgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.\n“Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.\nWells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.\n“We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.\nJohn Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"\nThe quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155961332,"gmtCreate":1625369856226,"gmtModify":1631883987652,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy more buy more! Just keep buying crash or not","listText":"Buy more buy more! Just keep buying crash or not","text":"Buy more buy more! Just keep buying crash or not","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155961332","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188153141?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧，其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman)，她甚至表示，她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情，”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了，不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年，”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标，以他的名字命名，已经亮起红灯足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是，它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面，”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样，你的美元现在将走得更远，为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入，但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费购买东西，”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份，否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始，你拥有的钱就越多，”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该很高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多，20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否即将来临，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择Roth账户，无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面，传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税，因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导，与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向，以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时，你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上，计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧，其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman)，她甚至表示，她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情，”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了，不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年，”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标，以他的名字命名，已经亮起红灯足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是，它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面，”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样，你的美元现在将走得更远，为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入，但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费购买东西，”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份，否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始，你拥有的钱就越多，”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该很高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多，20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否即将来临，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择Roth账户，无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面，传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税，因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导，与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向，以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时，你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上，计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":602963460,"gmtCreate":1638958308754,"gmtModify":1638958309096,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Would you buy them???","listText":"Would you buy them???","text":"Would you buy them???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602963460","repostId":"1136716851","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136716851","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638955203,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136716851?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-08 17:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading<blockquote>部分疫苗股在盘前交易中回调</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136716851","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading.Novavax,BioNTech SE,Moderna and Pfizer fell betwe","content":"<p>Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading.Novavax,BioNTech&nbsp;SE,Moderna&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pfizer&nbsp;fell&nbsp;between 3% and 7%.</p><p><blockquote>一些疫苗股在盘前交易中回调。Novavax、BioNTech SE、Moderna和辉瑞下跌3%至7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5fc2db6a961be0363c3be880585ad0f\" tg-width=\"404\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading<blockquote>部分疫苗股在盘前交易中回调</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading<blockquote>部分疫苗股在盘前交易中回调</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-08 17:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading.Novavax,BioNTech&nbsp;SE,Moderna&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pfizer&nbsp;fell&nbsp;between 3% and 7%.</p><p><blockquote>一些疫苗股在盘前交易中回调。Novavax、BioNTech SE、Moderna和辉瑞下跌3%至7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5fc2db6a961be0363c3be880585ad0f\" tg-width=\"404\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","PFE":"辉瑞","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136716851","content_text":"Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading.Novavax,BioNTech SE,Moderna and Pfizer fell between 3% and 7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"NVAX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608479975,"gmtCreate":1638784343991,"gmtModify":1638784374053,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh apple!&nbsp;","listText":"Oh apple!&nbsp;","text":"Oh apple!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608479975","repostId":"2189470506","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846176867,"gmtCreate":1636070568092,"gmtModify":1636070568567,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes rise rise again! No correction!&nbsp;","listText":"Yes rise rise again! No correction!&nbsp;","text":"Yes rise rise again! No correction!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846176867","repostId":"1128227989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128227989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636067303,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128227989?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下，标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128227989","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.Financials dropped 1","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-标普500和纳斯达克周四上涨，将收盘纪录高位连涨至六个交易日，因高通强劲的财务预测以及投资者消化了美联储开始减少月度债券购买的决定后，芯片制造商股市飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数小幅下跌，结束了四点收盘的纪录。摩根大通和高盛集团银行股的下跌打压了蓝筹股指数。</blockquote></p><p> Financials dropped 1.3%, most among S&amp;P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.</p><p><blockquote>金融股下跌1.3%，其中大部分是标普500板块，因美国国债收益率下跌，在美联储表示不急于加息的第二天，市场解除了对美联储更快加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>John Hancock Investment Management联席首席投资策略师马修·米斯金(Matthew Miskin)表示：“市场的增长方今天看到了更积极的结果，因为它们受益于收益率的下降。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于美联储宣布缩减规模，市场总体上一直在为更高的收益率做准备。当我们今天走进来时，这种情况已经发生了逆转。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&amp;P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌33.35点，跌幅0.09%，至36,124.23点；标普500上涨19.49点，跌幅0.42%，至4,680.06点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨128.72点，跌幅0.81%，至15,940.31点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&amp;P 500 value index fell 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数上涨1.2%，标普500价值指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among S&amp;P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500板块中，科技和非必需消费品领涨，均上涨约1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.</p><p><blockquote>高通股价上涨12.7%，该公司预测本季度利润和收入好于预期，原因是手机、汽车和其他互联网连接设备所用芯片的需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数上涨3.5%，英伟达飙升12%。</blockquote></p><p> Better-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&amp;P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>好于预期的第三季度收益有助于提振股市情绪。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据，约有420家公司发布了财报，预计标普500第三季度盈利将同比增长41.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.</p><p><blockquote>爱德华·琼斯投资策略师克雷格·费尔表示：“企业盈利情况仍然相当光明。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场正在奖励那些超出预期并上调前景的公司，而市场正在惩罚那些本季度未达到预期的公司，也许更重要的是，这预示着前景更加糟糕。”</blockquote></p><p> Moderna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价暴跌约18%，该公司将其COVID-19疫苗2021年的销售预测削减了多达50亿美元，并努力灌装和分销小瓶，以满足前所未有的全球需求。Moderna股价拖累标普500医疗保健板块，该板块下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至近20个月来的最低水平，表明经济正在恢复动力。投资者将从周五的月度就业报告中获得对经济的批判性看法。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1；在纳斯达克，1.24比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下75个52周新高和5个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得224个新高和38个新低。</blockquote></p><p> About 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有113亿股易手，高于过去20个交易日104亿股的日均水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下，标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下，标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-05 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-标普500和纳斯达克周四上涨，将收盘纪录高位连涨至六个交易日，因高通强劲的财务预测以及投资者消化了美联储开始减少月度债券购买的决定后，芯片制造商股市飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数小幅下跌，结束了四点收盘的纪录。摩根大通和高盛集团银行股的下跌打压了蓝筹股指数。</blockquote></p><p> Financials dropped 1.3%, most among S&amp;P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.</p><p><blockquote>金融股下跌1.3%，其中大部分是标普500板块，因美国国债收益率下跌，在美联储表示不急于加息的第二天，市场解除了对美联储更快加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>John Hancock Investment Management联席首席投资策略师马修·米斯金(Matthew Miskin)表示：“市场的增长方今天看到了更积极的结果，因为它们受益于收益率的下降。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于美联储宣布缩减规模，市场总体上一直在为更高的收益率做准备。当我们今天走进来时，这种情况已经发生了逆转。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&amp;P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌33.35点，跌幅0.09%，至36,124.23点；标普500上涨19.49点，跌幅0.42%，至4,680.06点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨128.72点，跌幅0.81%，至15,940.31点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&amp;P 500 value index fell 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数上涨1.2%，标普500价值指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among S&amp;P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500板块中，科技和非必需消费品领涨，均上涨约1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.</p><p><blockquote>高通股价上涨12.7%，该公司预测本季度利润和收入好于预期，原因是手机、汽车和其他互联网连接设备所用芯片的需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数上涨3.5%，英伟达飙升12%。</blockquote></p><p> Better-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&amp;P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>好于预期的第三季度收益有助于提振股市情绪。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据，约有420家公司发布了财报，预计标普500第三季度盈利将同比增长41.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.</p><p><blockquote>爱德华·琼斯投资策略师克雷格·费尔表示：“企业盈利情况仍然相当光明。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场正在奖励那些超出预期并上调前景的公司，而市场正在惩罚那些本季度未达到预期的公司，也许更重要的是，这预示着前景更加糟糕。”</blockquote></p><p> Moderna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价暴跌约18%，该公司将其COVID-19疫苗2021年的销售预测削减了多达50亿美元，并努力灌装和分销小瓶，以满足前所未有的全球需求。Moderna股价拖累标普500医疗保健板块，该板块下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至近20个月来的最低水平，表明经济正在恢复动力。投资者将从周五的月度就业报告中获得对经济的批判性看法。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1；在纳斯达克，1.24比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下75个52周新高和5个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得224个新高和38个新低。</blockquote></p><p> About 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有113亿股易手，高于过去20个交易日104亿股的日均水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-nasdaq-extend-record-streaks-with-boost-from-chip-growth-shares-idUSL1N2RV2T0\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-nasdaq-extend-record-streaks-with-boost-from-chip-growth-shares-idUSL1N2RV2T0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128227989","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.\nFinancials dropped 1.3%, most among S&P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.\n“The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.\n“The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.\nThe S&P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&P 500 value index fell 0.5%.\nAmong S&P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.\nQualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.\nBetter-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.\n“The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.\n“The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”\nModerna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.\nData showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.\nAbout 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"IVV":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SH":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"ESmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":327,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":158622831,"gmtCreate":1625148369823,"gmtModify":1633944251864,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can someone explain to me how such stocks works? Is it really worth that price???","listText":"Can someone explain to me how such stocks works? Is it really worth that price???","text":"Can someone explain to me how such stocks works? Is it really worth that price???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158622831","repostId":"1102785683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102785683","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625147492,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102785683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 21:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Marin software shares Popped 66%<blockquote>Marin software股价上涨66%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102785683","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Marin software shares Popped 66% in Thursday morning trading, triggering two circuit breakers.\n\nLast","content":"<p>Marin software shares Popped 66%&nbsp;in Thursday morning trading, triggering two circuit breakers.</p><p><blockquote>Marin software股价在周四早盘交易中上涨66%，引发两次熔断。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cf92dc7fc8e00fbf6be9eee97b7515e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Last week, Marin shares shot up after it said it had added the ability to manage Instacart advertisements to its flagship MarinOne platform.</p><p><blockquote>上周，Marin表示已在其旗舰MarinOne平台上添加了管理Instacart广告的功能，该公司股价飙升。</blockquote></p><p> For the first quarter, Marin revenues totaled $6.3 million, a year-over-year increase of 27%, while earnings per share stood at minus 0.22.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度，Marin营收总计630万美元，同比增长27%，而每股收益为-0.22。</blockquote></p><p> On a year-to-date basis, MRIN shares have shot up 782%. Early Tuesday, Marin topped the list of 10 trending streams as arranged by Stocktwits.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，MRIN股价已飙升782%。周二早些时候，马林在Stocktwits排列的10个趋势流中名列前茅。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Marin software shares Popped 66%<blockquote>Marin software股价上涨66%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMarin software shares Popped 66%<blockquote>Marin software股价上涨66%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-01 21:51</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Marin software shares Popped 66%&nbsp;in Thursday morning trading, triggering two circuit breakers.</p><p><blockquote>Marin software股价在周四早盘交易中上涨66%，引发两次熔断。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cf92dc7fc8e00fbf6be9eee97b7515e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Last week, Marin shares shot up after it said it had added the ability to manage Instacart advertisements to its flagship MarinOne platform.</p><p><blockquote>上周，Marin表示已在其旗舰MarinOne平台上添加了管理Instacart广告的功能，该公司股价飙升。</blockquote></p><p> For the first quarter, Marin revenues totaled $6.3 million, a year-over-year increase of 27%, while earnings per share stood at minus 0.22.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度，Marin营收总计630万美元，同比增长27%，而每股收益为-0.22。</blockquote></p><p> On a year-to-date basis, MRIN shares have shot up 782%. Early Tuesday, Marin topped the list of 10 trending streams as arranged by Stocktwits.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，MRIN股价已飙升782%。周二早些时候，马林在Stocktwits排列的10个趋势流中名列前茅。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102785683","content_text":"Marin software shares Popped 66% in Thursday morning trading, triggering two circuit breakers.\n\nLast week, Marin shares shot up after it said it had added the ability to manage Instacart advertisements to its flagship MarinOne platform.\nFor the first quarter, Marin revenues totaled $6.3 million, a year-over-year increase of 27%, while earnings per share stood at minus 0.22.\nOn a year-to-date basis, MRIN shares have shot up 782%. Early Tuesday, Marin topped the list of 10 trending streams as arranged by Stocktwits.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":691816467,"gmtCreate":1640164287279,"gmtModify":1640164287660,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My Alibaba gg","listText":"My Alibaba gg","text":"My Alibaba gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691816467","repostId":"1148919660","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609107203,"gmtCreate":1638247467640,"gmtModify":1638247467797,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Going down....","listText":"Going down....","text":"Going down....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609107203","repostId":"1164197088","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879968258,"gmtCreate":1636677168040,"gmtModify":1636677168592,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy more Disney?","listText":"Buy more Disney?","text":"Buy more Disney?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879968258","repostId":"1174358718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":839510580,"gmtCreate":1629165683440,"gmtModify":1631891964661,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I only see a whole sea of red&nbsp;","listText":"I only see a whole sea of red&nbsp;","text":"I only see a whole sea of red","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839510580","repostId":"2160278866","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897880365,"gmtCreate":1628905460857,"gmtModify":1631891964668,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My Alibaba so sad","listText":"My Alibaba so sad","text":"My Alibaba so sad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897880365","repostId":"1173847412","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173847412","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628905097,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173847412?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 09:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If you’re nervous about the stock market at record highs, consider these five companies that are loved by the smart money<blockquote>如果您对股市创历史新高感到紧张，请考虑这五家受到聪明资金喜爱的公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173847412","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Company insiders and professional investors are buying shares of Alibaba, Chegg and Activision Blizzard, among others. The stock market is near all-time highs, but train-wreck season lies just around the corner.I say hold on, and indeed consider any of the five companies below because they are “smart money” favorites. But first, big picture, here are three reasons to stay the course.The smart money signal: Director Peter Nolan just bought $2 million worth at $80-$82.28 a share. He’s a good insid","content":"<p>Company insiders and professional investors are buying shares of Alibaba, Chegg and Activision Blizzard, among others</p><p><blockquote>公司内部人士和专业投资者正在购买阿里巴巴-SW、Chegg和动视暴雪等公司的股票</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a750143fbfb2e7d732bb3dcc80114d61\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Photo by Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（郑成俊摄/盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock market is near all-time highs, but train-wreck season lies just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>股市接近历史高点，但火车失事季节即将来临。</blockquote></p><p> Should you sell? After all, the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;and Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;often hit a rough patch in September and October.</p><p><blockquote>你应该卖吗？毕竟，标普500、纳斯达克和道琼斯工业平均指数经常在九月和十月遇到困难。</blockquote></p><p> I say hold on, and indeed consider any of the five companies below because they are “smart money” favorites. But first, big picture, here are three reasons to stay the course.</p><p><blockquote>我说等等，确实考虑一下下面五家公司中的任何一家，因为它们是“聪明资金”的最爱。但首先，总的来说，这里有三个坚持到底的理由。</blockquote></p><p> 1. There’s no guarantee that the seasonal weakness will repeat. Besides, the ability to time market turns is tough.</p><p><blockquote>1.不能保证季节性疲软会重演。此外，把握市场变化时机的能力也很困难。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Fears about the delta variant of Covid are overblown. More people are getting vaccinated, and most of them won’t suffer severe symptoms if infected, say market strategists at T. Rowe Price.</p><p><blockquote>2.对Covid德尔塔变异毒株的担忧被夸大了。T.Rowe Price的市场策略师表示，越来越多的人正在接种疫苗，如果被感染，他们中的大多数人不会出现严重症状。</blockquote></p><p> 3. There’s a lot of embedded demand in the economy and it will sustain growth, says Leuthold Group strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>3.Leuthold Group策略师Jim Paulsen表示，经济中存在大量内在需求，并将维持增长。</blockquote></p><p> On the consumer front (most of the economy): Personal savings at a record high, durable goods purchases are near a 50-year low, and new household formation is at a record high. People buy stuff to fill new homes. Next, the economy has plenty of room to grow given the elevated jobless rate and big excess lending capacity at banks.</p><p><blockquote>在消费方面（经济的大部分）：个人储蓄创历史新高，耐用品购买量接近50年低点，新家庭组建创历史新高。人们买东西来填满新家。其次，鉴于失业率上升和银行放贷能力大幅过剩，经济还有很大的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Five smart money stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五只聪明的钱股</b></blockquote></p><p> At my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks, I favor stocks that corporate insiders like. But not just&nbsp;<i>any</i>&nbsp;insiders. I go for stocks picked up by insiders with&nbsp;<i>great</i>&nbsp;records. Here are two, trading near where insiders just bought.</p><p><blockquote>在我的股票信重温股票中，我喜欢公司内部人士喜欢的股票。但不仅仅是<i>任何</i>圈内人。我选择内部人士买入的股票<i>伟大的</i>记录。这里有两个，在内部人士刚刚买入的地方附近交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Activision Blizzard</b></p><p><blockquote><b>动视暴雪</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the company behind the most popular and addictive online games — like Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, Diablo, Overwatch and Candy Crush.<b>Activision Blizzard</b>&nbsp;makes money via game sales and subscriptions, by selling in-game content and ads. It has around 408 million regular users.</p><p><blockquote>这是最受欢迎和最令人上瘾的在线游戏背后的公司，如《使命看涨期权》、《魔兽世界》、《暗黑破坏神》、《守望先锋》和《糖果粉碎传奇》。<b>动视暴雪</b>通过游戏销售和订阅、销售游戏内内容和广告赚钱。它拥有大约4.08亿普通用户。</blockquote></p><p> Besides winning over new fans, the company regularly launches new games and expands existing franchises — most recently with World of Warcraft: The Burning Crusade, in June. This addition marks “the start of what is intended to be a very significant 18-month period for content releases,” says the company. Sales grew 19% to $2.30 billion in the second quarter, and operating margins are rich at 42%.</p><p><blockquote>除了赢得新粉丝之外，该公司还定期推出新游戏并扩大现有特许经营权——最近一次是在六月推出的《魔兽世界：燃烧的远征》。该公司表示，这一增加标志着“内容发布的18个月非常重要的时期的开始”。第二季度销售额增长19%，达到23亿美元，营业利润率高达42%。</blockquote></p><p> One risk is that fallout from allegations of sexual misconduct and&nbsp;a related lawsuit by the California Department of Fair Employment and Housing will “make it difficult for the firm to attract and retain top talent in a very competitive industry,” says&nbsp;Morningstar analyst Neil Macker.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司分析师尼尔·麦克尔表示，一个风险是性行为不端指控以及加州公平就业和住房部相关诉讼的影响将“使公司难以在竞争激烈的行业中吸引和留住顶尖人才”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Director Peter Nolan just bought $2 million worth at $80-$82.28 a share. He’s a good insider to follow because he bought $4.3 million in March 2019 at $43 and the stock is now almost a double. Also, in my system of insider analysis, repeat buying on strength (as opposed to profit taking) is bullish. He also bought at $3.70 back in 2004.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明的钱信号</b>：董事彼得·诺兰刚刚以每股80-82.28美元的价格购买了价值200万美元的股票。他是一位值得关注的内部人士，因为他在2019年3月以43美元的价格买入了430万美元，而该股现在几乎翻了一番。此外，在我的内部分析系统中，重复强势买入（而不是获利了结）是看涨的。他还在2004年以3.70美元的价格买入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>B. Riley Financial</b></p><p><blockquote><b>B.莱利金融</b></blockquote></p><p> I introduced this name in my stock letter in March 2018 at $20 and reiterated it over a dozen times into strength after that. It now trades for over $65. Despite the hefty gains, I think&nbsp;<b>B. Riley Financia</b>&nbsp;is still a hold, and a buy for anyone who does not own.</p><p><blockquote>我在2018年3月的股票信中以20美元的价格介绍了这个名字，并在那之后重申了十几次。它现在的交易价格超过65美元。尽管取得了巨大的收益，我认为<b>B.莱利金融</b>仍然是持有，对于任何不持有的人来说都是买入。</blockquote></p><p> This is a Los Angeles-based investment bank that also manages money and does stock research. It specializes in small- and mid-cap stocks. B. Riley Financial is a good proxy for the overall market and the U.S. economy, given its banking and market-related businesses. This will be a plus, as economic growth holds up. It also continues to expand via acquisitions.&nbsp;Revenue grew 26% in the second quarter to $336.8 million, in part because of an acquisition. It pays a 2.9% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家总部位于洛杉矶的投资银行，也管理资金和进行股票研究。它专注于中小型股票。B.鉴于其银行和市场相关业务，Riley Financial是整体市场和美国经济的良好代表。随着经济增长的持续，这将是一个利好。它还继续通过收购扩张。第二季度收入增长26%，达到3.368亿美元，部分原因是收购。它支付2.9%的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: CEO Bryant Riley purchased $3.4 million worth of stock at $63 to $68 in early June and August. He has a long record of buying over $22 million worth of stock in the $8 to $48 range since 2014, including $6.6 million in purchases near the start of this year at $46 to $48.71 (already up over 40%).</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明的钱信号</b>：首席执行官布莱恩特·莱利(Bryant Riley)在6月初和8月以63美元至68美元的价格购买了价值340万美元的股票。自2014年以来，他一直在8美元至48美元范围内购买价值超过2200万美元的股票，其中包括今年年初以46美元至48.71美元的价格购买660万美元（已经上涨了40%以上）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alibaba Group</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW集团</b></blockquote></p><p> If you like to buy quality companies whose stocks are beaten down by a host of problems, then Chinese consumer platform&nbsp;<b>Alibaba Group</b>&nbsp;may be for you.</p><p><blockquote>如果您喜欢购买股票因一系列问题而遭受重创的优质公司，那么中国消费者平台<b>阿里巴巴-SW集团</b>可能是给你的。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares are down 40% since October because of rising U.S.-China tensions, some weakness in its core consumer business, the possible loss of tax breaks in China, and allegations of sexual assault inside the company.</p><p><blockquote>由于中美紧张局势加剧、其核心消费者业务出现一些疲软、中国可能失去税收减免以及公司内部存在性侵犯指控，该公司股价自10月份以来已下跌40%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> These are serious issues, but this is also a company with serious potential. Over one billion consumers use its marketplaces, including 891 million in China and 240 million abroad. Organic sales growth is 32%. It’s in the early stages of rolling out its AliCloud cloud computing business, which could be the next big growth driver.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是严重的问题，但这也是一家具有巨大潜力的公司。超过10亿消费者使用其市场，其中8.91亿在中国，2.4亿在国外。有机销售额增长32%。该公司正处于推出阿里云云计算业务的早期阶段，这可能是下一个巨大的增长动力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: This company is singled out by Albert Meyer of Bastiat Capital, which has posted 22% annualized growth over the past five years compared to 17.7% for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明的钱信号</b>：Bastiat Capital的Albert Meyer特别提到了这家公司，该公司过去五年的年化增长率为22%，而标普500的年化增长率为17.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An attractive spinoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有吸引力的衍生产品</b></blockquote></p><p> One tactic that works fairly consistently in investing is buying spinoffs. Companies don’t like to burn shareholders, so they tend to do spinoffs at a discount, as a kind of “gift.” Money managers who get spun-off shares often dump them anyway, because the new company does not fit their mandate.</p><p><blockquote>投资中相当有效的一种策略是购买分拆产品。公司不喜欢烧死股东，所以他们倾向于打折分拆，作为一种“礼物”。获得分拆股票的基金经理通常会抛售这些股票，因为新公司不符合他们的使命。</blockquote></p><p> A good spinoff to consider right now is&nbsp;<b>Organon</b>,a mid-size pharma company. It was jettisoned from Merck&nbsp;in May. Organon just bounced 12% on Aug. 12 after it posted a solid quarter, but it still trades below the spinoff price of around $38. At this level, the stock looks attractively cheap, trading near five times 2021 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>现在值得考虑的一个好的衍生产品是<b>欧加农</b>，一家中型制药公司。它于5月份被默克公司抛弃。Organon在公布了稳健的季度业绩后，于8月12日刚刚反弹12%，但其交易价格仍低于38美元左右的分拆价格。在这个水平上，该股看起来非常便宜，其交易价格接近2021年市盈率的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, Organon is cheap because it has issues. The chief one is the looming patent cliff on many of its products. Its Nexplanon birth control rolls off patent during 2025-2027, and that’s 11% of sales.</p><p><blockquote>当然，Organon便宜是因为它有问题。最主要的一个是其许多产品迫在眉睫的专利悬崖。其Nexplanon避孕药将在2025年至2027年期间获得专利，占销售额的11%。</blockquote></p><p> But this might not be such a threat. “There is a strong possibility that it can extend its patent to as late as 2030,” says Bruce Kaser, a value investor who is the editor of the Cabot Turnaround Letter. Nexplanon is a rod implanted under the skin, so women may be reluctant to go with a discount version. Another problem: Organon sells into China, where the government is cutting the prices of its products. But the worst of the damage may be over.</p><p><blockquote>但这可能不是这样的威胁。“它很有可能将专利延长至2030年，”价值投资者、卡博特扭亏为盈信的编辑布鲁斯·卡瑟(Bruce Kaser)表示。Nexplanon是一种植入皮下的棒，因此女性可能不愿意选择折扣版本。另一个问题是：Organon向中国销售产品，中国政府正在降低其产品的价格。但最严重的损害可能已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> On the upside, Organon plans to regularly launch new products. And the company has $1.3 billion in annual free cash flow supporting a dividend yield of 3.3%.</p><p><blockquote>从好的方面来看，Organon计划定期推出新产品。该公司拥有13亿美元的年度自由现金流，支持3.3%的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Organon was recently suggested in the Cabot Turnaround Letter, which has a good record. Its portfolio is up 135.8% in the past 12 months, compared with 36.5% for S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明的钱信号</b>：Organon最近在Cabot周转信中被推荐，该公司有良好的记录。其投资组合在过去12个月内上涨了135.8%，而标普500的投资组合上涨了36.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An education play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>教育剧</b></blockquote></p><p> If universities have allowed their participation in the culture wars to distract them from the core mission of basic education,<b>Chegg</b>&nbsp;is there to pick up the slack.</p><p><blockquote>如果大学让他们参与文化战争分散了他们对基础教育核心使命的注意力，<b>Chegg</b>是来收拾残局的。</blockquote></p><p> This online education company helps college and high school students master their math and writing skills. The company also helps students save on expensive text books by offering rentals and e-textbook versions.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线教育公司帮助大学和高中生掌握他们的数学和写作技能。该公司还通过提供租赁和电子教科书版本来帮助学生节省昂贵的教科书费用。</blockquote></p><p> While online education has a black eye, Chegg is the exception. Last year student subscriptions jumped 67% to 6.6 million from a year earlier. Sales grew 30% in the quarter, and the company guided to 28% sales growth for this year, to $805 million to $815 million.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在线教育有问题，但Chegg是个例外。去年，学生订阅量同比增长67%，达到660万。该季度销售额增长30%，该公司预计今年销售额增长28%，达到8.05亿至8.15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Online learning had a bad reputation for overcharging, while success rates were minimal,” says money manager Kevin Landis. “But Chegg is different.”</p><p><blockquote>“在线学习因收费过高而名声不佳，而成功率却很低，”基金经理凯文·兰迪斯(Kevin Landis)表示。“但齐格不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> He likes the robust growth in the U.S. and the big potential for international growth, particularly in Asia.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢美国的强劲增长和国际增长的巨大潜力，尤其是在亚洲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Landis’ Firsthand Technology Opportunities&nbsp;beats its Morningstar technology fund category by eight percentage points annualized over the past five years. Chegg is the second-largest position, at 8% of the portfolio. Chegg is the sixth-biggest holding of the Alger Weatherbie Specialized Growth Fund,which beats its mid-cap growth category by 5.7 percentage points annualized over the past five years.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明的钱信号</b>：过去五年，兰迪斯的Firsthand Technology Opportunities的年化回报率比晨星科技基金类别高出8个百分点。Chegg是第二大头寸，占投资组合的8%。Chegg是Alger Weatherbie Specialized Growth基金的第六大持股，该基金在过去五年中的年化增长率比中型成长基金高出5.7个百分点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If you’re nervous about the stock market at record highs, consider these five companies that are loved by the smart money<blockquote>如果您对股市创历史新高感到紧张，请考虑这五家受到聪明资金喜爱的公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf you’re nervous about the stock market at record highs, consider these five companies that are loved by the smart money<blockquote>如果您对股市创历史新高感到紧张，请考虑这五家受到聪明资金喜爱的公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-14 09:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Company insiders and professional investors are buying shares of Alibaba, Chegg and Activision Blizzard, among others</p><p><blockquote>公司内部人士和专业投资者正在购买阿里巴巴-SW、Chegg和动视暴雪等公司的股票</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a750143fbfb2e7d732bb3dcc80114d61\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Photo by Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（郑成俊摄/盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock market is near all-time highs, but train-wreck season lies just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>股市接近历史高点，但火车失事季节即将来临。</blockquote></p><p> Should you sell? After all, the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;and Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;often hit a rough patch in September and October.</p><p><blockquote>你应该卖吗？毕竟，标普500、纳斯达克和道琼斯工业平均指数经常在九月和十月遇到困难。</blockquote></p><p> I say hold on, and indeed consider any of the five companies below because they are “smart money” favorites. But first, big picture, here are three reasons to stay the course.</p><p><blockquote>我说等等，确实考虑一下下面五家公司中的任何一家，因为它们是“聪明资金”的最爱。但首先，总的来说，这里有三个坚持到底的理由。</blockquote></p><p> 1. There’s no guarantee that the seasonal weakness will repeat. Besides, the ability to time market turns is tough.</p><p><blockquote>1.不能保证季节性疲软会重演。此外，把握市场变化时机的能力也很困难。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Fears about the delta variant of Covid are overblown. More people are getting vaccinated, and most of them won’t suffer severe symptoms if infected, say market strategists at T. Rowe Price.</p><p><blockquote>2.对Covid德尔塔变异毒株的担忧被夸大了。T.Rowe Price的市场策略师表示，越来越多的人正在接种疫苗，如果被感染，他们中的大多数人不会出现严重症状。</blockquote></p><p> 3. There’s a lot of embedded demand in the economy and it will sustain growth, says Leuthold Group strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>3.Leuthold Group策略师Jim Paulsen表示，经济中存在大量内在需求，并将维持增长。</blockquote></p><p> On the consumer front (most of the economy): Personal savings at a record high, durable goods purchases are near a 50-year low, and new household formation is at a record high. People buy stuff to fill new homes. Next, the economy has plenty of room to grow given the elevated jobless rate and big excess lending capacity at banks.</p><p><blockquote>在消费方面（经济的大部分）：个人储蓄创历史新高，耐用品购买量接近50年低点，新家庭组建创历史新高。人们买东西来填满新家。其次，鉴于失业率上升和银行放贷能力大幅过剩，经济还有很大的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Five smart money stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五只聪明的钱股</b></blockquote></p><p> At my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks, I favor stocks that corporate insiders like. But not just&nbsp;<i>any</i>&nbsp;insiders. I go for stocks picked up by insiders with&nbsp;<i>great</i>&nbsp;records. Here are two, trading near where insiders just bought.</p><p><blockquote>在我的股票信重温股票中，我喜欢公司内部人士喜欢的股票。但不仅仅是<i>任何</i>圈内人。我选择内部人士买入的股票<i>伟大的</i>记录。这里有两个，在内部人士刚刚买入的地方附近交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Activision Blizzard</b></p><p><blockquote><b>动视暴雪</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the company behind the most popular and addictive online games — like Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, Diablo, Overwatch and Candy Crush.<b>Activision Blizzard</b>&nbsp;makes money via game sales and subscriptions, by selling in-game content and ads. It has around 408 million regular users.</p><p><blockquote>这是最受欢迎和最令人上瘾的在线游戏背后的公司，如《使命看涨期权》、《魔兽世界》、《暗黑破坏神》、《守望先锋》和《糖果粉碎传奇》。<b>动视暴雪</b>通过游戏销售和订阅、销售游戏内内容和广告赚钱。它拥有大约4.08亿普通用户。</blockquote></p><p> Besides winning over new fans, the company regularly launches new games and expands existing franchises — most recently with World of Warcraft: The Burning Crusade, in June. This addition marks “the start of what is intended to be a very significant 18-month period for content releases,” says the company. Sales grew 19% to $2.30 billion in the second quarter, and operating margins are rich at 42%.</p><p><blockquote>除了赢得新粉丝之外，该公司还定期推出新游戏并扩大现有特许经营权——最近一次是在六月推出的《魔兽世界：燃烧的远征》。该公司表示，这一增加标志着“内容发布的18个月非常重要的时期的开始”。第二季度销售额增长19%，达到23亿美元，营业利润率高达42%。</blockquote></p><p> One risk is that fallout from allegations of sexual misconduct and&nbsp;a related lawsuit by the California Department of Fair Employment and Housing will “make it difficult for the firm to attract and retain top talent in a very competitive industry,” says&nbsp;Morningstar analyst Neil Macker.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司分析师尼尔·麦克尔表示，一个风险是性行为不端指控以及加州公平就业和住房部相关诉讼的影响将“使公司难以在竞争激烈的行业中吸引和留住顶尖人才”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Director Peter Nolan just bought $2 million worth at $80-$82.28 a share. He’s a good insider to follow because he bought $4.3 million in March 2019 at $43 and the stock is now almost a double. Also, in my system of insider analysis, repeat buying on strength (as opposed to profit taking) is bullish. He also bought at $3.70 back in 2004.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明的钱信号</b>：董事彼得·诺兰刚刚以每股80-82.28美元的价格购买了价值200万美元的股票。他是一位值得关注的内部人士，因为他在2019年3月以43美元的价格买入了430万美元，而该股现在几乎翻了一番。此外，在我的内部分析系统中，重复强势买入（而不是获利了结）是看涨的。他还在2004年以3.70美元的价格买入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>B. Riley Financial</b></p><p><blockquote><b>B.莱利金融</b></blockquote></p><p> I introduced this name in my stock letter in March 2018 at $20 and reiterated it over a dozen times into strength after that. It now trades for over $65. Despite the hefty gains, I think&nbsp;<b>B. Riley Financia</b>&nbsp;is still a hold, and a buy for anyone who does not own.</p><p><blockquote>我在2018年3月的股票信中以20美元的价格介绍了这个名字，并在那之后重申了十几次。它现在的交易价格超过65美元。尽管取得了巨大的收益，我认为<b>B.莱利金融</b>仍然是持有，对于任何不持有的人来说都是买入。</blockquote></p><p> This is a Los Angeles-based investment bank that also manages money and does stock research. It specializes in small- and mid-cap stocks. B. Riley Financial is a good proxy for the overall market and the U.S. economy, given its banking and market-related businesses. This will be a plus, as economic growth holds up. It also continues to expand via acquisitions.&nbsp;Revenue grew 26% in the second quarter to $336.8 million, in part because of an acquisition. It pays a 2.9% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家总部位于洛杉矶的投资银行，也管理资金和进行股票研究。它专注于中小型股票。B.鉴于其银行和市场相关业务，Riley Financial是整体市场和美国经济的良好代表。随着经济增长的持续，这将是一个利好。它还继续通过收购扩张。第二季度收入增长26%，达到3.368亿美元，部分原因是收购。它支付2.9%的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: CEO Bryant Riley purchased $3.4 million worth of stock at $63 to $68 in early June and August. He has a long record of buying over $22 million worth of stock in the $8 to $48 range since 2014, including $6.6 million in purchases near the start of this year at $46 to $48.71 (already up over 40%).</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明的钱信号</b>：首席执行官布莱恩特·莱利(Bryant Riley)在6月初和8月以63美元至68美元的价格购买了价值340万美元的股票。自2014年以来，他一直在8美元至48美元范围内购买价值超过2200万美元的股票，其中包括今年年初以46美元至48.71美元的价格购买660万美元（已经上涨了40%以上）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alibaba Group</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW集团</b></blockquote></p><p> If you like to buy quality companies whose stocks are beaten down by a host of problems, then Chinese consumer platform&nbsp;<b>Alibaba Group</b>&nbsp;may be for you.</p><p><blockquote>如果您喜欢购买股票因一系列问题而遭受重创的优质公司，那么中国消费者平台<b>阿里巴巴-SW集团</b>可能是给你的。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares are down 40% since October because of rising U.S.-China tensions, some weakness in its core consumer business, the possible loss of tax breaks in China, and allegations of sexual assault inside the company.</p><p><blockquote>由于中美紧张局势加剧、其核心消费者业务出现一些疲软、中国可能失去税收减免以及公司内部存在性侵犯指控，该公司股价自10月份以来已下跌40%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> These are serious issues, but this is also a company with serious potential. Over one billion consumers use its marketplaces, including 891 million in China and 240 million abroad. Organic sales growth is 32%. It’s in the early stages of rolling out its AliCloud cloud computing business, which could be the next big growth driver.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是严重的问题，但这也是一家具有巨大潜力的公司。超过10亿消费者使用其市场，其中8.91亿在中国，2.4亿在国外。有机销售额增长32%。该公司正处于推出阿里云云计算业务的早期阶段，这可能是下一个巨大的增长动力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: This company is singled out by Albert Meyer of Bastiat Capital, which has posted 22% annualized growth over the past five years compared to 17.7% for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明的钱信号</b>：Bastiat Capital的Albert Meyer特别提到了这家公司，该公司过去五年的年化增长率为22%，而标普500的年化增长率为17.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An attractive spinoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有吸引力的衍生产品</b></blockquote></p><p> One tactic that works fairly consistently in investing is buying spinoffs. Companies don’t like to burn shareholders, so they tend to do spinoffs at a discount, as a kind of “gift.” Money managers who get spun-off shares often dump them anyway, because the new company does not fit their mandate.</p><p><blockquote>投资中相当有效的一种策略是购买分拆产品。公司不喜欢烧死股东，所以他们倾向于打折分拆，作为一种“礼物”。获得分拆股票的基金经理通常会抛售这些股票，因为新公司不符合他们的使命。</blockquote></p><p> A good spinoff to consider right now is&nbsp;<b>Organon</b>,a mid-size pharma company. It was jettisoned from Merck&nbsp;in May. Organon just bounced 12% on Aug. 12 after it posted a solid quarter, but it still trades below the spinoff price of around $38. At this level, the stock looks attractively cheap, trading near five times 2021 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>现在值得考虑的一个好的衍生产品是<b>欧加农</b>，一家中型制药公司。它于5月份被默克公司抛弃。Organon在公布了稳健的季度业绩后，于8月12日刚刚反弹12%，但其交易价格仍低于38美元左右的分拆价格。在这个水平上，该股看起来非常便宜，其交易价格接近2021年市盈率的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, Organon is cheap because it has issues. The chief one is the looming patent cliff on many of its products. Its Nexplanon birth control rolls off patent during 2025-2027, and that’s 11% of sales.</p><p><blockquote>当然，Organon便宜是因为它有问题。最主要的一个是其许多产品迫在眉睫的专利悬崖。其Nexplanon避孕药将在2025年至2027年期间获得专利，占销售额的11%。</blockquote></p><p> But this might not be such a threat. “There is a strong possibility that it can extend its patent to as late as 2030,” says Bruce Kaser, a value investor who is the editor of the Cabot Turnaround Letter. Nexplanon is a rod implanted under the skin, so women may be reluctant to go with a discount version. Another problem: Organon sells into China, where the government is cutting the prices of its products. But the worst of the damage may be over.</p><p><blockquote>但这可能不是这样的威胁。“它很有可能将专利延长至2030年，”价值投资者、卡博特扭亏为盈信的编辑布鲁斯·卡瑟(Bruce Kaser)表示。Nexplanon是一种植入皮下的棒，因此女性可能不愿意选择折扣版本。另一个问题是：Organon向中国销售产品，中国政府正在降低其产品的价格。但最严重的损害可能已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> On the upside, Organon plans to regularly launch new products. And the company has $1.3 billion in annual free cash flow supporting a dividend yield of 3.3%.</p><p><blockquote>从好的方面来看，Organon计划定期推出新产品。该公司拥有13亿美元的年度自由现金流，支持3.3%的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Organon was recently suggested in the Cabot Turnaround Letter, which has a good record. Its portfolio is up 135.8% in the past 12 months, compared with 36.5% for S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明的钱信号</b>：Organon最近在Cabot周转信中被推荐，该公司有良好的记录。其投资组合在过去12个月内上涨了135.8%，而标普500的投资组合上涨了36.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An education play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>教育剧</b></blockquote></p><p> If universities have allowed their participation in the culture wars to distract them from the core mission of basic education,<b>Chegg</b>&nbsp;is there to pick up the slack.</p><p><blockquote>如果大学让他们参与文化战争分散了他们对基础教育核心使命的注意力，<b>Chegg</b>是来收拾残局的。</blockquote></p><p> This online education company helps college and high school students master their math and writing skills. The company also helps students save on expensive text books by offering rentals and e-textbook versions.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线教育公司帮助大学和高中生掌握他们的数学和写作技能。该公司还通过提供租赁和电子教科书版本来帮助学生节省昂贵的教科书费用。</blockquote></p><p> While online education has a black eye, Chegg is the exception. Last year student subscriptions jumped 67% to 6.6 million from a year earlier. Sales grew 30% in the quarter, and the company guided to 28% sales growth for this year, to $805 million to $815 million.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在线教育有问题，但Chegg是个例外。去年，学生订阅量同比增长67%，达到660万。该季度销售额增长30%，该公司预计今年销售额增长28%，达到8.05亿至8.15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Online learning had a bad reputation for overcharging, while success rates were minimal,” says money manager Kevin Landis. “But Chegg is different.”</p><p><blockquote>“在线学习因收费过高而名声不佳，而成功率却很低，”基金经理凯文·兰迪斯(Kevin Landis)表示。“但齐格不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> He likes the robust growth in the U.S. and the big potential for international growth, particularly in Asia.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢美国的强劲增长和国际增长的巨大潜力，尤其是在亚洲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The smart money signal</b>: Landis’ Firsthand Technology Opportunities&nbsp;beats its Morningstar technology fund category by eight percentage points annualized over the past five years. Chegg is the second-largest position, at 8% of the portfolio. Chegg is the sixth-biggest holding of the Alger Weatherbie Specialized Growth Fund,which beats its mid-cap growth category by 5.7 percentage points annualized over the past five years.</p><p><blockquote><b>聪明的钱信号</b>：过去五年，兰迪斯的Firsthand Technology Opportunities的年化回报率比晨星科技基金类别高出8个百分点。Chegg是第二大头寸，占投资组合的8%。Chegg是Alger Weatherbie Specialized Growth基金的第六大持股，该基金在过去五年中的年化增长率比中型成长基金高出5.7个百分点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/if-youre-nervous-about-the-stock-market-at-record-highs-consider-these-five-companies-that-are-loved-by-the-smart-money-11628865442?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","OGN":"Organon & Co","CHGG":"Chegg Inc","ATVI":"动视暴雪","RILY":"B. Riley Financial, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/if-youre-nervous-about-the-stock-market-at-record-highs-consider-these-five-companies-that-are-loved-by-the-smart-money-11628865442?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173847412","content_text":"Company insiders and professional investors are buying shares of Alibaba, Chegg and Activision Blizzard, among others\n(Photo by Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images)\nThe stock market is near all-time highs, but train-wreck season lies just around the corner.\nShould you sell? After all, the S&P 500,Nasdaq and Dow Jones Industrial Average often hit a rough patch in September and October.\nI say hold on, and indeed consider any of the five companies below because they are “smart money” favorites. But first, big picture, here are three reasons to stay the course.\n1. There’s no guarantee that the seasonal weakness will repeat. Besides, the ability to time market turns is tough.\n2. Fears about the delta variant of Covid are overblown. More people are getting vaccinated, and most of them won’t suffer severe symptoms if infected, say market strategists at T. Rowe Price.\n3. There’s a lot of embedded demand in the economy and it will sustain growth, says Leuthold Group strategist Jim Paulsen.\nOn the consumer front (most of the economy): Personal savings at a record high, durable goods purchases are near a 50-year low, and new household formation is at a record high. People buy stuff to fill new homes. Next, the economy has plenty of room to grow given the elevated jobless rate and big excess lending capacity at banks.\nFive smart money stocks\nAt my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks, I favor stocks that corporate insiders like. But not just any insiders. I go for stocks picked up by insiders with great records. Here are two, trading near where insiders just bought.\nActivision Blizzard\nThis is the company behind the most popular and addictive online games — like Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, Diablo, Overwatch and Candy Crush.Activision Blizzard makes money via game sales and subscriptions, by selling in-game content and ads. It has around 408 million regular users.\nBesides winning over new fans, the company regularly launches new games and expands existing franchises — most recently with World of Warcraft: The Burning Crusade, in June. This addition marks “the start of what is intended to be a very significant 18-month period for content releases,” says the company. Sales grew 19% to $2.30 billion in the second quarter, and operating margins are rich at 42%.\nOne risk is that fallout from allegations of sexual misconduct and a related lawsuit by the California Department of Fair Employment and Housing will “make it difficult for the firm to attract and retain top talent in a very competitive industry,” says Morningstar analyst Neil Macker.\nThe smart money signal: Director Peter Nolan just bought $2 million worth at $80-$82.28 a share. He’s a good insider to follow because he bought $4.3 million in March 2019 at $43 and the stock is now almost a double. Also, in my system of insider analysis, repeat buying on strength (as opposed to profit taking) is bullish. He also bought at $3.70 back in 2004.\nB. Riley Financial\nI introduced this name in my stock letter in March 2018 at $20 and reiterated it over a dozen times into strength after that. It now trades for over $65. Despite the hefty gains, I think B. Riley Financia is still a hold, and a buy for anyone who does not own.\nThis is a Los Angeles-based investment bank that also manages money and does stock research. It specializes in small- and mid-cap stocks. B. Riley Financial is a good proxy for the overall market and the U.S. economy, given its banking and market-related businesses. This will be a plus, as economic growth holds up. It also continues to expand via acquisitions. Revenue grew 26% in the second quarter to $336.8 million, in part because of an acquisition. It pays a 2.9% dividend yield.\nThe smart money signal: CEO Bryant Riley purchased $3.4 million worth of stock at $63 to $68 in early June and August. He has a long record of buying over $22 million worth of stock in the $8 to $48 range since 2014, including $6.6 million in purchases near the start of this year at $46 to $48.71 (already up over 40%).\nAlibaba Group\nIf you like to buy quality companies whose stocks are beaten down by a host of problems, then Chinese consumer platform Alibaba Group may be for you.\nIts shares are down 40% since October because of rising U.S.-China tensions, some weakness in its core consumer business, the possible loss of tax breaks in China, and allegations of sexual assault inside the company.\nThese are serious issues, but this is also a company with serious potential. Over one billion consumers use its marketplaces, including 891 million in China and 240 million abroad. Organic sales growth is 32%. It’s in the early stages of rolling out its AliCloud cloud computing business, which could be the next big growth driver.\nThe smart money signal: This company is singled out by Albert Meyer of Bastiat Capital, which has posted 22% annualized growth over the past five years compared to 17.7% for the S&P 500.\nAn attractive spinoff\nOne tactic that works fairly consistently in investing is buying spinoffs. Companies don’t like to burn shareholders, so they tend to do spinoffs at a discount, as a kind of “gift.” Money managers who get spun-off shares often dump them anyway, because the new company does not fit their mandate.\nA good spinoff to consider right now is Organon,a mid-size pharma company. It was jettisoned from Merck in May. Organon just bounced 12% on Aug. 12 after it posted a solid quarter, but it still trades below the spinoff price of around $38. At this level, the stock looks attractively cheap, trading near five times 2021 earnings.\nOf course, Organon is cheap because it has issues. The chief one is the looming patent cliff on many of its products. Its Nexplanon birth control rolls off patent during 2025-2027, and that’s 11% of sales.\nBut this might not be such a threat. “There is a strong possibility that it can extend its patent to as late as 2030,” says Bruce Kaser, a value investor who is the editor of the Cabot Turnaround Letter. Nexplanon is a rod implanted under the skin, so women may be reluctant to go with a discount version. Another problem: Organon sells into China, where the government is cutting the prices of its products. But the worst of the damage may be over.\nOn the upside, Organon plans to regularly launch new products. And the company has $1.3 billion in annual free cash flow supporting a dividend yield of 3.3%.\nThe smart money signal: Organon was recently suggested in the Cabot Turnaround Letter, which has a good record. Its portfolio is up 135.8% in the past 12 months, compared with 36.5% for S&P 500.\nAn education play\nIf universities have allowed their participation in the culture wars to distract them from the core mission of basic education,Chegg is there to pick up the slack.\nThis online education company helps college and high school students master their math and writing skills. The company also helps students save on expensive text books by offering rentals and e-textbook versions.\nWhile online education has a black eye, Chegg is the exception. Last year student subscriptions jumped 67% to 6.6 million from a year earlier. Sales grew 30% in the quarter, and the company guided to 28% sales growth for this year, to $805 million to $815 million.\n“Online learning had a bad reputation for overcharging, while success rates were minimal,” says money manager Kevin Landis. “But Chegg is different.”\nHe likes the robust growth in the U.S. and the big potential for international growth, particularly in Asia.\nThe smart money signal: Landis’ Firsthand Technology Opportunities beats its Morningstar technology fund category by eight percentage points annualized over the past five years. Chegg is the second-largest position, at 8% of the portfolio. Chegg is the sixth-biggest holding of the Alger Weatherbie Specialized Growth Fund,which beats its mid-cap growth category by 5.7 percentage points annualized over the past five years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RILY":0.9,"OGN":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"ATVI":0.9,"CHGG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894121701,"gmtCreate":1628812708603,"gmtModify":1631893705528,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everytime i buy, it drops. Everytime i sell, it soars.&nbsp;85% of the time. Lol&nbsp;","listText":"Everytime i buy, it drops. Everytime i sell, it soars.&nbsp;85% of the time. Lol&nbsp;","text":"Everytime i buy, it drops. Everytime i sell, it soars. 85% of the time. Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894121701","repostId":"1188620903","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":699415555,"gmtCreate":1639876086961,"gmtModify":1639876087395,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go stonks!","listText":"Go stonks!","text":"Go stonks!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699415555","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604457273,"gmtCreate":1639441446914,"gmtModify":1639441447294,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hopefully we will be able to go back to nomalcy soon&nbsp;","listText":"Hopefully we will be able to go back to nomalcy soon&nbsp;","text":"Hopefully we will be able to go back to nomalcy soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604457273","repostId":"2191984334","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":796,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605319982,"gmtCreate":1639111677106,"gmtModify":1639112835255,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go stocks again!&nbsp;","listText":"Go stocks again!&nbsp;","text":"Go stocks again!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605319982","repostId":"2190964556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602963231,"gmtCreate":1638958284368,"gmtModify":1638958284728,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yayyyy&nbsp;","listText":"Yayyyy&nbsp;","text":"Yayyyy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602963231","repostId":"1116758330","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603600547,"gmtCreate":1638402802730,"gmtModify":1638402803522,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Here we go again&nbsp;","listText":"Here we go again&nbsp;","text":"Here we go again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603600547","repostId":"1196358645","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}