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Baoxiaolong
2021-12-29
Nice
Here’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion<blockquote>以下是苹果股票要达到 3 万亿美元的价值需要达到的水平</blockquote>
Baoxiaolong
2021-12-29
Well it's normal!!
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Baoxiaolong
2021-12-28
Scary scary
China Ends Limit on Foreign Car Makers' Ownership Stakes<blockquote>中国结束对外国汽车制造商所有权股份的限制</blockquote>
Baoxiaolong
2021-12-28
Wow where's that crash or it's just building into the next one
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Baoxiaolong
2021-12-27
Nice
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Baoxiaolong
2021-12-26
Will it go lower?
Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health 不是 2022 年值得购买的 20 亿美元股票</blockquote>
Baoxiaolong
2021-12-26
Nice
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Baoxiaolong
2021-12-25
Another super varaint
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Baoxiaolong
2021-12-24
Here we go again
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Baoxiaolong
2021-12-22
My Alibaba gg
Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌 3.45%</blockquote>
Baoxiaolong
2021-12-21
My stocks all red!!!!
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Baoxiaolong
2021-12-20
Nike shops are always crowded
Nike Earnings Preview: Is Supply Chain 'Congestion' Behind Nike?<blockquote>耐克盈利预览:耐克背后是供应链“拥堵”吗?</blockquote>
Baoxiaolong
2021-12-20
Too bad sold all
Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>
Baoxiaolong
2021-12-19
Go stonks!
Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>
Baoxiaolong
2021-12-18
Is it really going to be the next big thing
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Baoxiaolong
2021-12-18
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
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Baoxiaolong
2021-12-17
I love Uber. Better than grab
Uber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步:丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote>
Baoxiaolong
2021-12-17
What
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Baoxiaolong
2021-12-16
Stonks again
EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%<blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中飙升,Canoe 上涨超过 5%,Rivian、Tesla、Lucid、Xpeng 上涨超过 2%</blockquote>
Baoxiaolong
2021-12-16
Good!!!! Should tax them more
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去老虎APP查看更多动态
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","listText":"Nice ","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696465437","repostId":"1169856412","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169856412","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640748590,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1169856412?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-29 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion<blockquote>以下是苹果股票要达到 3 万亿美元的价值需要达到的水平</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169856412","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple (AAPL) stock is again back in the spotlight on Tuesday.\nNot that it’s hard for the tech giant ","content":"<p>Apple (<b>AAPL</b>) stock is again back in the spotlight on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>苹果(<b>苹果</b>) 周二,股票再次成为焦点。</blockquote></p><p> Not that it’s hard for the tech giant to find itself there, but it comes as the stock makes another push back to the $3 trillion market cap level.</p><p><blockquote>这并不是说这家科技巨头很难跻身这一行列,但正值该股再次回到 3 万亿美元市值水平之际。</blockquote></p><p> To get there, Apple stock needs to climb to roughly $182.85 — let’s just call it $183.</p><p><blockquote>要实现这一目标,苹果股价需要攀升至 182.85 美元左右,看涨期权为 183 美元。</blockquote></p><p> What’s been difficult is that the $180 area has become an area of resistance.</p><p><blockquote>困难的是,180 美元区域已成为阻力区域。</blockquote></p><p> We have actually been pretty fortunate when it comes to trading Apple stock.</p><p><blockquote>在交易苹果股票方面,我们实际上相当幸运。</blockquote></p><p> On its first push to the $3 trillion level, we were selling the news and looking for a bearish reversal.</p><p><blockquote>在首次突破 3 万亿美元水平时,我们正在抛售消息并寻找看跌反转。</blockquote></p><p> That worked out as Apple corrected lower. However, that set up a pretty sweet bounce play that has been paying traders pretty well over the past few days.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果修正走低,这种情况得到了解决。然而,这创造了一个相当甜蜜的反弹游戏,在过去几天里给交易者带来了相当高的回报。</blockquote></p><p> At the risk of over-saturating our Apple discussion, how do the charts look now as it makes another push back up toward this key zone?</p><p><blockquote>冒着让我们的苹果讨论过度饱和的风险,当它再次向这个关键区域推进时,图表现在看起来如何?</blockquote></p><p> Trading Apple Stock</p><p><blockquote>交易苹果股票</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29cb7696d6e38eacaddae770a857ff3d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"741\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Daily chart of Apple stock.Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果股票日线图。图表由 TrendSpider.com 提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple’s powerful bounce off the 21-day moving average and rotation up through the 10-day has given the stock new life.</p><p><blockquote>苹果从 21 日移动平均线强劲反弹,并在 10 日移动平均线中向上轮动,赋予了该股新的生命。</blockquote></p><p> However, this $180 zone has been tricky thus far. One will notice how the stock tested up into this area on Tuesday and then struggled.</p><p><blockquote>然而,到目前为止,180 美元区域一直很棘手。人们会注意到该股周二如何测试这一区域,然后陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not unlike what we’re seeing with Meta (<b>MVRS</b>), although admittedly, the stock is not trading at all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>这与我们在 Meta 上看到的情况并无二致(<b>MVRS</b>),尽管不可否认的是,该股的交易价格并没有达到历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> From here, bulls want to see a push up through the all-time high, at $182.13. That opens the door directly to the $3 trillion market cap level — at $182.85-ish — and more new highs.</p><p><blockquote>从这里开始,多头希望看到突破182.13美元的历史高点。这直接打开了通往 3 万亿美元市值水平(约 182.85 美元)和更多新高的大门。</blockquote></p><p> The flip side of that scenario is that the $180 area holds as resistance.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况的另一面是 180 美元区域仍然是阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> In that case, I want to see the 10-day moving average hold as support on the pullback. A break of this level puts the 21-day moving average back in play again, but it would be much healthier for the former to hold as support and for the latter to not be tested.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下,我希望看到 10 日移动平均线作为回调的支撑。突破这一水平将使 21 日移动平均线再次发挥作用,但前者作为支撑而后者不接受测试会更健康。</blockquote></p><p> In either scenario — the breakout or the pullback — investors will ultimately be looking for $3 trillion and new all-time highs eventually.</p><p><blockquote>无论哪种情况——突破还是回调——投资者最终都将寻求 3 万亿美元和历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <i>When</i> Apple gets there — not if — it will have longer-term bulls sniffing for the $188 to $194 area, where the stock finds multiple upside extension levels.</p><p><blockquote><i>何时</i>苹果到达那里——如果——它将有长期多头嗅探 188 美元至 194 美元区域,该股在该区域找到多个上行延伸水平。</blockquote></p><p> Above $195 and the obvious is in play: $200.</p><p><blockquote>超过195美元,显而易见的是:200美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion<blockquote>以下是苹果股票要达到 3 万亿美元的价值需要达到的水平</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion<blockquote>以下是苹果股票要达到 3 万亿美元的价值需要达到的水平</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-29 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple (<b>AAPL</b>) stock is again back in the spotlight on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>苹果(<b>苹果</b>) 周二,股票再次成为焦点。</blockquote></p><p> Not that it’s hard for the tech giant to find itself there, but it comes as the stock makes another push back to the $3 trillion market cap level.</p><p><blockquote>这并不是说这家科技巨头很难跻身这一行列,但正值该股再次回到 3 万亿美元市值水平之际。</blockquote></p><p> To get there, Apple stock needs to climb to roughly $182.85 — let’s just call it $183.</p><p><blockquote>要实现这一目标,苹果股价需要攀升至 182.85 美元左右,看涨期权为 183 美元。</blockquote></p><p> What’s been difficult is that the $180 area has become an area of resistance.</p><p><blockquote>困难的是,180 美元区域已成为阻力区域。</blockquote></p><p> We have actually been pretty fortunate when it comes to trading Apple stock.</p><p><blockquote>在交易苹果股票方面,我们实际上相当幸运。</blockquote></p><p> On its first push to the $3 trillion level, we were selling the news and looking for a bearish reversal.</p><p><blockquote>在首次突破 3 万亿美元水平时,我们正在抛售消息并寻找看跌反转。</blockquote></p><p> That worked out as Apple corrected lower. However, that set up a pretty sweet bounce play that has been paying traders pretty well over the past few days.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果修正走低,这种情况得到了解决。然而,这创造了一个相当甜蜜的反弹游戏,在过去几天里给交易者带来了相当高的回报。</blockquote></p><p> At the risk of over-saturating our Apple discussion, how do the charts look now as it makes another push back up toward this key zone?</p><p><blockquote>冒着让我们的苹果讨论过度饱和的风险,当它再次向这个关键区域推进时,图表现在看起来如何?</blockquote></p><p> Trading Apple Stock</p><p><blockquote>交易苹果股票</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29cb7696d6e38eacaddae770a857ff3d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"741\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Daily chart of Apple stock.Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果股票日线图。图表由 TrendSpider.com 提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple’s powerful bounce off the 21-day moving average and rotation up through the 10-day has given the stock new life.</p><p><blockquote>苹果从 21 日移动平均线强劲反弹,并在 10 日移动平均线中向上轮动,赋予了该股新的生命。</blockquote></p><p> However, this $180 zone has been tricky thus far. One will notice how the stock tested up into this area on Tuesday and then struggled.</p><p><blockquote>然而,到目前为止,180 美元区域一直很棘手。人们会注意到该股周二如何测试这一区域,然后陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not unlike what we’re seeing with Meta (<b>MVRS</b>), although admittedly, the stock is not trading at all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>这与我们在 Meta 上看到的情况并无二致(<b>MVRS</b>),尽管不可否认的是,该股的交易价格并没有达到历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> From here, bulls want to see a push up through the all-time high, at $182.13. That opens the door directly to the $3 trillion market cap level — at $182.85-ish — and more new highs.</p><p><blockquote>从这里开始,多头希望看到突破182.13美元的历史高点。这直接打开了通往 3 万亿美元市值水平(约 182.85 美元)和更多新高的大门。</blockquote></p><p> The flip side of that scenario is that the $180 area holds as resistance.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况的另一面是 180 美元区域仍然是阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> In that case, I want to see the 10-day moving average hold as support on the pullback. A break of this level puts the 21-day moving average back in play again, but it would be much healthier for the former to hold as support and for the latter to not be tested.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下,我希望看到 10 日移动平均线作为回调的支撑。突破这一水平将使 21 日移动平均线再次发挥作用,但前者作为支撑而后者不接受测试会更健康。</blockquote></p><p> In either scenario — the breakout or the pullback — investors will ultimately be looking for $3 trillion and new all-time highs eventually.</p><p><blockquote>无论哪种情况——突破还是回调——投资者最终都将寻求 3 万亿美元和历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <i>When</i> Apple gets there — not if — it will have longer-term bulls sniffing for the $188 to $194 area, where the stock finds multiple upside extension levels.</p><p><blockquote><i>何时</i>苹果到达那里——如果——它将有长期多头嗅探 188 美元至 194 美元区域,该股在该区域找到多个上行延伸水平。</blockquote></p><p> Above $195 and the obvious is in play: $200.</p><p><blockquote>超过195美元,显而易见的是:200美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-apple-aapl-stock-3-trillion-market-cap-end-of-year\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-apple-aapl-stock-3-trillion-market-cap-end-of-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169856412","content_text":"Apple (AAPL) stock is again back in the spotlight on Tuesday.\nNot that it’s hard for the tech giant to find itself there, but it comes as the stock makes another push back to the $3 trillion market cap level.\nTo get there, Apple stock needs to climb to roughly $182.85 — let’s just call it $183.\nWhat’s been difficult is that the $180 area has become an area of resistance.\nWe have actually been pretty fortunate when it comes to trading Apple stock.\nOn its first push to the $3 trillion level, we were selling the news and looking for a bearish reversal.\nThat worked out as Apple corrected lower. However, that set up a pretty sweet bounce play that has been paying traders pretty well over the past few days.\nAt the risk of over-saturating our Apple discussion, how do the charts look now as it makes another push back up toward this key zone?\nTrading Apple Stock\nDaily chart of Apple stock.Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com\nApple’s powerful bounce off the 21-day moving average and rotation up through the 10-day has given the stock new life.\nHowever, this $180 zone has been tricky thus far. One will notice how the stock tested up into this area on Tuesday and then struggled.\nIt’s not unlike what we’re seeing with Meta (MVRS), although admittedly, the stock is not trading at all-time highs.\nFrom here, bulls want to see a push up through the all-time high, at $182.13. That opens the door directly to the $3 trillion market cap level — at $182.85-ish — and more new highs.\nThe flip side of that scenario is that the $180 area holds as resistance.\nIn that case, I want to see the 10-day moving average hold as support on the pullback. A break of this level puts the 21-day moving average back in play again, but it would be much healthier for the former to hold as support and for the latter to not be tested.\nIn either scenario — the breakout or the pullback — investors will ultimately be looking for $3 trillion and new all-time highs eventually.\nWhen Apple gets there — not if — it will have longer-term bulls sniffing for the $188 to $194 area, where the stock finds multiple upside extension levels.\nAbove $195 and the obvious is in play: $200.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696465275,"gmtCreate":1640749491252,"gmtModify":1640749491627,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Well it's normal!!","listText":"Well it's normal!!","text":"Well it's normal!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696465275","repostId":"1186633322","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4062,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696149799,"gmtCreate":1640654554171,"gmtModify":1640654554549,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Scary scary ","listText":"Scary scary ","text":"Scary scary","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696149799","repostId":"1179396819","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179396819","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640654458,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1179396819?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-28 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China Ends Limit on Foreign Car Makers' Ownership Stakes<blockquote>中国结束对外国汽车制造商所有权股份的限制</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179396819","media":"TheStreet","summary":"China said on Monday that it’s ending its limits on foreign automakers’ investments in the country a","content":"<p>China said on Monday that it’s ending its limits on foreign automakers’ investments in the country as of Jan. 1.</p><p><blockquote>中国周一表示,将从1月1日起结束对外国汽车制造商在中国投资的限制。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, foreign automakers need to enter joint ventures with Chinese partners and face a 50% ownership limit in those agreements.</p><p><blockquote>目前,外国汽车制造商需要与中国合作伙伴建立合资企业,并在这些协议中面临50%的所有权限制。</blockquote></p><p> China has been opening its auto industry to foreigners gradually over the past three years,Nikkei reports.</p><p><blockquote>据《日经新闻》报道,过去三年来,中国一直在逐步向外国人开放汽车工业。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, it released the spigot for electric vehicles and then for commercial vehicles last year. Now the passenger-vehicle segment, which makes up 80% of the market, is opening up.</p><p><blockquote>最初,它发布了电动汽车的龙头,然后在去年发布了商用车的龙头。现在,占市场80%的乘用车细分市场正在开放。</blockquote></p><p> General Motors (<b>GM</b>) is one of the major foreign players in China, delivering 2.9 million vehicles there last year through its joint ventures.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车(<b>通用汽车</b>)是中国主要的外国参与者之一,去年通过其合资企业向中国交付了 290 万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> GM recently traded at $57.42, up 0.9%. Morningstar analyst David Whiston likes the stock, putting fair value at $68.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车近期交易价格为 57.42 美元,上涨 0.9%。晨星分析师 David Whiston 看好该股,将公允价值定为 68 美元。</blockquote></p><p> “We think General Motors' vehicles are of the best quality and design in decades,” he wrote in October.</p><p><blockquote>“他在 10 月份写道:”我们认为通用汽车的汽车是几十年来质量和设计最好的。</blockquote></p><p> “The company is already a leader in trucks, so a competitive lineup in all segments, combined with a much smaller cost base, says to us that GM is starting to realize the scale to match its size.</p><p><blockquote>“该公司已经是卡车领域的领导者,因此在所有细分市场都具有竞争力,加上成本基础小得多,这告诉我们,通用汽车正在开始意识到规模与其规模相匹配。</blockquote></p><p> “The head of Consumer Reports automotive testing even said Toyota and Honda could learn from the Chevrolet Malibu.</p><p><blockquote>“消费者报告汽车测试主管甚至表示,丰田和本田可以向雪佛兰迈锐宝学习。</blockquote></p><p> “We think GM's earnings potential is excellent because the company has a healthy North American unit and a nearly mature finance arm with GM Financial.</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为通用汽车的盈利潜力非常好,因为该公司在北美拥有一个健康的部门,在通用汽车金融公司拥有一个接近成熟的金融部门。</blockquote></p><p> “Moving hourly workers' retiree healthcare to a separate fund and closing plants have drastically lowered GM North America's break-even point to U.S. industry sales of about 10 million-11 million vehicles, assuming 18%-19% share.”</p><p><blockquote>“将小时工的退休医疗保健转移到一个单独的基金和关闭工厂,大大降低了通用汽车北美公司在美国行业销量约为 1000 万至 1100 万辆的盈亏平衡点,假设市场份额为 18%-19%。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Ends Limit on Foreign Car Makers' Ownership Stakes<blockquote>中国结束对外国汽车制造商所有权股份的限制</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Ends Limit on Foreign Car Makers' Ownership Stakes<blockquote>中国结束对外国汽车制造商所有权股份的限制</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-28 09:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>China said on Monday that it’s ending its limits on foreign automakers’ investments in the country as of Jan. 1.</p><p><blockquote>中国周一表示,将从1月1日起结束对外国汽车制造商在中国投资的限制。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, foreign automakers need to enter joint ventures with Chinese partners and face a 50% ownership limit in those agreements.</p><p><blockquote>目前,外国汽车制造商需要与中国合作伙伴建立合资企业,并在这些协议中面临50%的所有权限制。</blockquote></p><p> China has been opening its auto industry to foreigners gradually over the past three years,Nikkei reports.</p><p><blockquote>据《日经新闻》报道,过去三年来,中国一直在逐步向外国人开放汽车工业。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, it released the spigot for electric vehicles and then for commercial vehicles last year. Now the passenger-vehicle segment, which makes up 80% of the market, is opening up.</p><p><blockquote>最初,它发布了电动汽车的龙头,然后在去年发布了商用车的龙头。现在,占市场80%的乘用车细分市场正在开放。</blockquote></p><p> General Motors (<b>GM</b>) is one of the major foreign players in China, delivering 2.9 million vehicles there last year through its joint ventures.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车(<b>通用汽车</b>)是中国主要的外国参与者之一,去年通过其合资企业向中国交付了 290 万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> GM recently traded at $57.42, up 0.9%. Morningstar analyst David Whiston likes the stock, putting fair value at $68.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车近期交易价格为 57.42 美元,上涨 0.9%。晨星分析师 David Whiston 看好该股,将公允价值定为 68 美元。</blockquote></p><p> “We think General Motors' vehicles are of the best quality and design in decades,” he wrote in October.</p><p><blockquote>“他在 10 月份写道:”我们认为通用汽车的汽车是几十年来质量和设计最好的。</blockquote></p><p> “The company is already a leader in trucks, so a competitive lineup in all segments, combined with a much smaller cost base, says to us that GM is starting to realize the scale to match its size.</p><p><blockquote>“该公司已经是卡车领域的领导者,因此在所有细分市场都具有竞争力,加上成本基础小得多,这告诉我们,通用汽车正在开始意识到规模与其规模相匹配。</blockquote></p><p> “The head of Consumer Reports automotive testing even said Toyota and Honda could learn from the Chevrolet Malibu.</p><p><blockquote>“消费者报告汽车测试主管甚至表示,丰田和本田可以向雪佛兰迈锐宝学习。</blockquote></p><p> “We think GM's earnings potential is excellent because the company has a healthy North American unit and a nearly mature finance arm with GM Financial.</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为通用汽车的盈利潜力非常好,因为该公司在北美拥有一个健康的部门,在通用汽车金融公司拥有一个接近成熟的金融部门。</blockquote></p><p> “Moving hourly workers' retiree healthcare to a separate fund and closing plants have drastically lowered GM North America's break-even point to U.S. industry sales of about 10 million-11 million vehicles, assuming 18%-19% share.”</p><p><blockquote>“将小时工的退休医疗保健转移到一个单独的基金和关闭工厂,大大降低了通用汽车北美公司在美国行业销量约为 1000 万至 1100 万辆的盈亏平衡点,假设市场份额为 18%-19%。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/china-ends-limit-foreign-car-makers-ownership-stakes\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/china-ends-limit-foreign-car-makers-ownership-stakes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179396819","content_text":"China said on Monday that it’s ending its limits on foreign automakers’ investments in the country as of Jan. 1.\nCurrently, foreign automakers need to enter joint ventures with Chinese partners and face a 50% ownership limit in those agreements.\nChina has been opening its auto industry to foreigners gradually over the past three years,Nikkei reports.\nInitially, it released the spigot for electric vehicles and then for commercial vehicles last year. Now the passenger-vehicle segment, which makes up 80% of the market, is opening up.\nGeneral Motors (GM) is one of the major foreign players in China, delivering 2.9 million vehicles there last year through its joint ventures.\nGM recently traded at $57.42, up 0.9%. Morningstar analyst David Whiston likes the stock, putting fair value at $68.\n“We think General Motors' vehicles are of the best quality and design in decades,” he wrote in October.\n“The company is already a leader in trucks, so a competitive lineup in all segments, combined with a much smaller cost base, says to us that GM is starting to realize the scale to match its size.\n“The head of Consumer Reports automotive testing even said Toyota and Honda could learn from the Chevrolet Malibu.\n“We think GM's earnings potential is excellent because the company has a healthy North American unit and a nearly mature finance arm with GM Financial.\n“Moving hourly workers' retiree healthcare to a separate fund and closing plants have drastically lowered GM North America's break-even point to U.S. industry sales of about 10 million-11 million vehicles, assuming 18%-19% share.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2933,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696149439,"gmtCreate":1640654534332,"gmtModify":1640654534782,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow where's that crash or it's just building into the next one ","listText":"Wow where's that crash or it's just building into the next one ","text":"Wow where's that crash or it's just building into the next one","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696149439","repostId":"1127544468","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696930154,"gmtCreate":1640592682148,"gmtModify":1640592682565,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696930154","repostId":"1195075450","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698461124,"gmtCreate":1640496696382,"gmtModify":1640496696770,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Will it go lower? ","listText":"Will it go lower? ","text":"Will it go lower?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698461124","repostId":"1166698166","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166698166","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640484465,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1166698166?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-26 10:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health 不是 2022 年值得购买的 20 亿美元股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166698166","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth ","content":"<p><div> Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Clover Health(纳斯达克股票代码:CLOV)于 1 月初完成了首个交易日,CLOV 股票价值约 70 亿美元。它刚刚完成了与社会资本Hedosophia III的合并……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health 不是 2022 年值得购买的 20 亿美元股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nClover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health 不是 2022 年值得购买的 20 亿美元股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-26 10:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Clover Health(纳斯达克股票代码:CLOV)于 1 月初完成了首个交易日,CLOV 股票价值约 70 亿美元。它刚刚完成了与社会资本Hedosophia III的合并……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166698166","content_text":"Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) sponsored by “Silicon Valley venture capitalist” Chamath Palihapitiya.\nToday, as I write this, it’s worth approximately $1.94 billion, 74% less than it’s $7 billion valuation.\nWhen I last wrote about Clover Health in early December,I suggested,“only the most speculative investors ought to be anywhere near this healthcare stock.” Since then, CLOV stock has lost another 9% as we approach the end of the year.\nWhile CLOV stock is trading for pennies over $4, here are three similarly-valued stocks to buy for 2022.\nForget CLOV Stock — Buy This Instead\nAccording toFinviz.com,there are64 stocks with a market capitalization between $1.9 billion and $2 billion. My three picks grow sales, generate profits, and possess solid balance sheets. If you’re lucky, at least one will pay a decent dividend.\nUltimately, all three are, in my opinion, safer bets than CLOV in 2022.\nSonic Automotive(NYSE:SAH) is my first pick. It has a current market cap of $2 billion. Its stock is up 25.77% year-to-date (YTD), 258 basis points less than theS&P 500.\nSonic is one of the top automotive retailers in America. Its 119 dealerships are located in 17 states and represent more than 25 brands. In its latest fiscal year, it sold 93,000 new vehicles and 159,000 used vehicles, generating $9.8 billion in revenue. It expects to grow its revenue to $25 billion by 2025.\nFrom a brand breakdown, luxury accounts for 55% of its sales with BMW, Mercedes, and Audi accounting for 71% of its luxury vehicle sales.\nIn 2021’s third-quarter, its revenues grew by 20.6% to $3.07 billion. Its net income rose 46.9% to $84.7 million and its total debt is$1.97 billion or 56% of its total assets.\nThe company’s Echo Park used car business should be a big contributor as it pushes to $25 billion in sales by 2025.\nThe Second Alternative to CLOV Stock\nSally Beauty Holdings(NYSE:SBH) business and the stock bounced back in 2021. That’s great news for long-time shareholders. Up 42.8% YTD, SBH’s five-year return looks a little better as a result. However, it’s down 29% on a cumulative basis over the past 60 months.\nBack in May 2017, I compared Sally Beauty and Ulta Beauty Holdings(NASDAQ:ULTA). ULTA was on a bit of a roll, while SBH was stumbling and bumbling. So, wisely, I said ULTA was the better stock to buy. Ulta is up 28.2% since — it’s also had its ups and downs — while SBH is up 3.8% over the same period.\nHowever, I thought Sally Beauty’s restructuring at the time was gaining traction. While Covid-19 didn’t help its business, its most recent results are encouraging.\nFor all of fiscal 2021, its sales increased10.3% to $3.87 billion with 10.2% same-store sales growth. Its operating earnings grew 44.2% in 2021 to $622.7 million, and it managed to reduce its debt by $420 million in the past year. That puts its long-term debt at $1.38 billion or 48% of its total assets.\nOn Oct. 1, board member Denise Paulonistook over as chief executive officer (CEO)of the company. She is tasked with growing sales and profits after previous CEO Chris Brinkman thoroughly modernized its beauty business during his six-year tenure.\nA Final Possibility\nMy final alternative is Goldman Sachs BDC(NYSE:GSBD). It was founded in 2012 to make debt and equity investments in middle-market companies — defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) earnings of$5 million to $200 million— and merged with Goldman Sachs Middle Market Lending Corp. (MMLC) in October 2020.\nAs a result of the merger, GSBD’s asset base more than doubled to$3.5 billion. The MMLC shareholders received 1.1336 GSBD shares for every share of MMLC.\nGSBD had $3.11 billion in investments and $401.8 million in unfunded commitments for111 portfolio companies across 37 industries at the end of September. Approximately 84% of its assets are first lien loans with an average yield of 8.4%.\nIt’s essential to remember that this is an investment focused on income rather than capital appreciation. The BDC’s current quarterly distribution of $0.50 yields a very high 10.4%.\nDo not buy GSBD if you’re expecting capital appreciation. However, if you’re willing to take on more risk than a guaranteed investment, it’s an excellent way to boost your income portfolio.\nNone of these three alternatives to CLOV stock are a sure thing. But, that said, I don’t believe they possess the same amount of risk as Clover Health.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698461371,"gmtCreate":1640496658209,"gmtModify":1640496658644,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698461371","repostId":"2193178197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698204605,"gmtCreate":1640398164528,"gmtModify":1640398717042,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Another super varaint ","listText":"Another super varaint ","text":"Another super varaint","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698204605","repostId":"1156159690","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698118206,"gmtCreate":1640316421877,"gmtModify":1640316707534,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Here we go again ","listText":"Here we go again ","text":"Here we go again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698118206","repostId":"2193078140","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2797,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691816467,"gmtCreate":1640164287279,"gmtModify":1640164287660,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"My Alibaba gg","listText":"My Alibaba gg","text":"My Alibaba gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691816467","repostId":"1148919660","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148919660","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640163718,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1148919660?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 17:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌 3.45%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148919660","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading.Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.","content":"<p>Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aca7dde9ba9b99094907e05817f461b\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"593\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌3.45%。据国家支持的媒体报道,中国监管机构已暂停与电子商务集团阿里巴巴-SW集团子公司阿里巴巴-SW云计算的信息共享合作伙伴关系,原因是该公司被指控未能及时报告和解决网络安全漏洞。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌 3.45%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌 3.45%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-22 17:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aca7dde9ba9b99094907e05817f461b\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"593\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌3.45%。据国家支持的媒体报道,中国监管机构已暂停与电子商务集团阿里巴巴-SW集团子公司阿里巴巴-SW云计算的信息共享合作伙伴关系,原因是该公司被指控未能及时报告和解决网络安全漏洞。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148919660","content_text":"Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading.Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693248417,"gmtCreate":1640044715457,"gmtModify":1640044715878,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"My stocks all red!!!!","listText":"My stocks all red!!!!","text":"My stocks all red!!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693248417","repostId":"1102941409","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693191535,"gmtCreate":1639981555101,"gmtModify":1639982589325,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nike shops are always crowded ","listText":"Nike shops are always crowded ","text":"Nike shops are always crowded","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693191535","repostId":"1193812309","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193812309","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639980454,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193812309?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 14:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike Earnings Preview: Is Supply Chain 'Congestion' Behind Nike?<blockquote>耐克盈利预览:耐克背后是供应链“拥堵”吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193812309","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Nike saw revenue fall sequentially in the fiscal first quarter. The company said that supply chain i","content":"<p>Nike saw revenue fall sequentially in the fiscal first quarter. The company said that supply chain issues were the problem, not demand.TONY OWUSU</p><p><blockquote>耐克第一财季收入环比下降。该公司表示,供应链问题是问题所在,而不是需求。托尼·奥乌苏</blockquote></p><p> Nike is facing a pivotal earnings release on Monday as investors wait to see whether the slowdown in revenue growth in the fiscal first quarter will become a trend for the iconic sneaker and athletic apparel maker.</p><p><blockquote>耐克将于周一发布关键的财报,投资者正在等待第一财季收入增长放缓是否会成为这家标志性运动鞋和运动服装制造商的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The Beaverton, Ore., company reported year over year increase in revenue of about 12%, but when compared with the previous quarter, its $12.25 billion in revenue eased 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>俄勒冈州比弗顿。该公司报告收入同比增长约12%,但与上一季度相比,其122.5亿美元的收入下降了0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Demand isn't the problem, Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said on the company's first quarter earnings call in September.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官 Matthew Friend 在公司 9 月份第一季度盈利看涨期权上表示,需求不是问题。</blockquote></p><p> Inventory has been the issue thanks to supply-chain issues that caused \"congestion.\"</p><p><blockquote>由于供应链问题导致“拥堵”,库存一直是一个问题。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at UBS, who have a buy rating and $185 price target on the stock, do not believe Nike will raise its guidance. The company had made a downward revision, due much to that congestion.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师对该股给予买入评级,目标价为 185 美元,但他们认为耐克不会上调指引。由于交通拥堵,该公司进行了下调。</blockquote></p><p> \"On one hand, Vietnam factories likely opened sooner than what Nike assumed in its guidance and favorable pricing trends suggest potential gross margin upside,\" UBS analysts said in a preview note Friday, according to MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>据 MarketWatch 报道,瑞银分析师在周五的一份预览报告中表示:“一方面,越南工厂的开业时间可能比耐克在其指导中假设的要早,而且有利的定价趋势表明毛利率可能会上升。”</blockquote></p><p> Earlier last week, analysts at Wells Fargo resumed coverage of Nike with an equal-weight rating and $175 price target.</p><p><blockquote>上周早些时候,富国银行分析师恢复了对耐克的报道,给予同等权重评级和 175 美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> \"We're intrigued by NKE shares, as we see that the negative supply chain data points are largely behind us, with Vietnam factory shutdowns recovering into early [calendar year 2022] and elongated transit times,\" Wells Fargo analyst Kate Fitzsimons said.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师凯特·菲茨西蒙斯 (Kate Fitzsimons) 表示:“我们对 NKE 股票很感兴趣,因为我们看到负面的供应链数据点基本上已经过去,越南工厂关闭恢复到 [2022 日历年] 早期,运输时间延长。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts polled by FactSet are expecting the company's revenue to continue to drop for the just concluded second quarter and the next quarter before returning to growth in their fiscal fourth period, which ends in May.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet 调查的分析师预计,该公司的收入将在刚刚结束的第二季度和下一季度继续下降,然后在 5 月份结束的第四财年恢复增长。</blockquote></p><p> Nike shares closed lower 0.84% at $161.36 on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>耐克股价周五收盘下跌 0.84%,至 161.36 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike Earnings Preview: Is Supply Chain 'Congestion' Behind Nike?<blockquote>耐克盈利预览:耐克背后是供应链“拥堵”吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike Earnings Preview: Is Supply Chain 'Congestion' Behind Nike?<blockquote>耐克盈利预览:耐克背后是供应链“拥堵”吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 14:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nike saw revenue fall sequentially in the fiscal first quarter. The company said that supply chain issues were the problem, not demand.TONY OWUSU</p><p><blockquote>耐克第一财季收入环比下降。该公司表示,供应链问题是问题所在,而不是需求。托尼·奥乌苏</blockquote></p><p> Nike is facing a pivotal earnings release on Monday as investors wait to see whether the slowdown in revenue growth in the fiscal first quarter will become a trend for the iconic sneaker and athletic apparel maker.</p><p><blockquote>耐克将于周一发布关键的财报,投资者正在等待第一财季收入增长放缓是否会成为这家标志性运动鞋和运动服装制造商的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The Beaverton, Ore., company reported year over year increase in revenue of about 12%, but when compared with the previous quarter, its $12.25 billion in revenue eased 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>俄勒冈州比弗顿。该公司报告收入同比增长约12%,但与上一季度相比,其122.5亿美元的收入下降了0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Demand isn't the problem, Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said on the company's first quarter earnings call in September.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官 Matthew Friend 在公司 9 月份第一季度盈利看涨期权上表示,需求不是问题。</blockquote></p><p> Inventory has been the issue thanks to supply-chain issues that caused \"congestion.\"</p><p><blockquote>由于供应链问题导致“拥堵”,库存一直是一个问题。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at UBS, who have a buy rating and $185 price target on the stock, do not believe Nike will raise its guidance. The company had made a downward revision, due much to that congestion.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师对该股给予买入评级,目标价为 185 美元,但他们认为耐克不会上调指引。由于交通拥堵,该公司进行了下调。</blockquote></p><p> \"On one hand, Vietnam factories likely opened sooner than what Nike assumed in its guidance and favorable pricing trends suggest potential gross margin upside,\" UBS analysts said in a preview note Friday, according to MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>据 MarketWatch 报道,瑞银分析师在周五的一份预览报告中表示:“一方面,越南工厂的开业时间可能比耐克在其指导中假设的要早,而且有利的定价趋势表明毛利率可能会上升。”</blockquote></p><p> Earlier last week, analysts at Wells Fargo resumed coverage of Nike with an equal-weight rating and $175 price target.</p><p><blockquote>上周早些时候,富国银行分析师恢复了对耐克的报道,给予同等权重评级和 175 美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> \"We're intrigued by NKE shares, as we see that the negative supply chain data points are largely behind us, with Vietnam factory shutdowns recovering into early [calendar year 2022] and elongated transit times,\" Wells Fargo analyst Kate Fitzsimons said.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师凯特·菲茨西蒙斯 (Kate Fitzsimons) 表示:“我们对 NKE 股票很感兴趣,因为我们看到负面的供应链数据点基本上已经过去,越南工厂关闭恢复到 [2022 日历年] 早期,运输时间延长。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts polled by FactSet are expecting the company's revenue to continue to drop for the just concluded second quarter and the next quarter before returning to growth in their fiscal fourth period, which ends in May.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet 调查的分析师预计,该公司的收入将在刚刚结束的第二季度和下一季度继续下降,然后在 5 月份结束的第四财年恢复增长。</blockquote></p><p> Nike shares closed lower 0.84% at $161.36 on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>耐克股价周五收盘下跌 0.84%,至 161.36 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nike-second-quarter-earnings-preview\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nike-second-quarter-earnings-preview","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193812309","content_text":"Nike saw revenue fall sequentially in the fiscal first quarter. The company said that supply chain issues were the problem, not demand.TONY OWUSU\nNike is facing a pivotal earnings release on Monday as investors wait to see whether the slowdown in revenue growth in the fiscal first quarter will become a trend for the iconic sneaker and athletic apparel maker.\nThe Beaverton, Ore., company reported year over year increase in revenue of about 12%, but when compared with the previous quarter, its $12.25 billion in revenue eased 0.8%.\nDemand isn't the problem, Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said on the company's first quarter earnings call in September.\nInventory has been the issue thanks to supply-chain issues that caused \"congestion.\"\nAnalysts at UBS, who have a buy rating and $185 price target on the stock, do not believe Nike will raise its guidance. The company had made a downward revision, due much to that congestion.\n\"On one hand, Vietnam factories likely opened sooner than what Nike assumed in its guidance and favorable pricing trends suggest potential gross margin upside,\" UBS analysts said in a preview note Friday, according to MarketWatch.\nEarlier last week, analysts at Wells Fargo resumed coverage of Nike with an equal-weight rating and $175 price target.\n\"We're intrigued by NKE shares, as we see that the negative supply chain data points are largely behind us, with Vietnam factory shutdowns recovering into early [calendar year 2022] and elongated transit times,\" Wells Fargo analyst Kate Fitzsimons said.\nAnalysts polled by FactSet are expecting the company's revenue to continue to drop for the just concluded second quarter and the next quarter before returning to growth in their fiscal fourth period, which ends in May.\nNike shares closed lower 0.84% at $161.36 on Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NKE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693191267,"gmtCreate":1639981528376,"gmtModify":1639981528782,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Too bad sold all","listText":"Too bad sold all","text":"Too bad sold all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693191267","repostId":"1183475424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183475424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639967829,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1183475424?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 10:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183475424","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li> <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li> <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li> <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li> <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段,美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表,并准备最早在3月份加息。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景恶化,加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票,但苹果股票在很大程度上仍然具有弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及 AR/VR 和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下,苹果预计将在未来实现额外的上涨空间。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金,而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此,尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险,但苹果的看涨论点在其估值接近 3 万亿美元时仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一,苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)今年上涨了近 40%。该股不久前曾触及 182.13 美元的最高点,目前距离成为第一家市值达到 3 万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到 7%,单枪匹马就占据了以科技股为主的纳斯达克 100 指数业绩的约 15%。自 20 世纪 90 年代末以来,苹果的市值增长了 220 多倍,这得益于该公司持续能够抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面有望帮助该股抵御明年开始即将加息带来的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来的最高点,美联储周三决定加快每月 1200 亿美元债券回购计划的步伐,从 11 月开始的每月 150 亿美元降至每月 300 亿美元。这将有效地结束疫情爆发时实施的刺激计划,即明年3月,而不是最初计划的7月。加息预计将很快开始,以应对不断上升的价格压力,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认,这一过程只有在缩减规模结束后才会开始,并且步伐渐进。最新的点阵图表明,联邦基金利率有可能从 2022 年初的接近于零的水平上升,并上调三个四分之一点,2023 年再上调三个四分之一点,2024 年再上调两个。如果实现,到 2024 年,这一过程将把基金利率提高到 2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者规避风险,因为他们担心未来收益的价值会更快地受到侵蚀,而且由于资本成本上升(尤其是高增长股票)导致业务增长停滞,但在美联储发布紧缩政策的最新消息后,苹果股市上涨了近3%。该股12月15日收于179.30美元,接近周一182美元的峰值。在美联储发布最新消息后,苹果的反弹以及其他大型科技股的类似上升趋势相应地推动了纳斯达克 100 指数盘中上涨 2.4%,这表明投资者更倾向于将资金投入增长前景强劲的公司,以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假日季对苹果 12 月季度的销售额有利,该股估值预计将比预期更早进入 3 万亿美元大关。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购,以及预计在可预见的未来,新的尖端产品将带来额外的收入贡献,也将成为支撑公司持续强劲基本面的关键催化剂,并在即将加息的情况下将使股票估值保持在 3 万亿美元以上。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景,我们将该股的 12 个月目标价上调至 209.43 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年概述及基本前景回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致门店断断续续关闭,导致销售额损失超过 90 亿美元,但该公司全年的收入比 2020 财年增长了 33%,达到 3660 亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入,比上一年的业绩增长了20%以上。今年的成功很大程度上归功于一系列新产品的发布和功能的升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列,以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone 今年的销量增长了 39%,是其他细分市场中增长最快的,并贡献了苹果 2021 财年一半以上的收入。这一结果与去年移动设备需求的下滑形成了鲜明对比,当时消费者正在为大流行病带来的经济不确定性做好准备。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快,iPhone销售预计将在未来几年保持强劲。2022 年可能会推出更实惠的支持 5G 的 iPhone SE,这也将吸引 “超过 10 亿非高端安卓用户 ”的转换用户,从而进一步扩大苹果的市场份额,并将活跃安装基数推向历史新高。在支持 5G 的 iPhone 12s 和 iPhone 13s 推出后,最近几个季度观察到的 iPhone 销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头,升级和切换用户的数量强劲增长了两位数。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动 iPhone 的销售贡献。威瑞森和美国电话电报公司等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售,以鼓励向他们花费数十亿美元在全国范围内建设的5G网络迁移。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内花费超过7000亿美元建设5G网络,这凸显了随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回投资,iPhone领域未来的巨大增长机会。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac 和 iPad 销量在 2021 财年也大幅增长,收入分别达到创纪录的 352 亿美元和 319 亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新M1驱动的iMac后,苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的 M1 处理器使最新的 MacBook “在游戏以外的几乎所有生产力用例上都优于任何基于英特尔的设备”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的巨大需求,从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计,该公司在 9 月份季度的 Mac 产品出货量超过 320 万台,推动了该部门创纪录的收入,同时将其在全球 PC 销量中的排名提升至其他供应商的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入 M1 处理器也巩固了其在利用全球对 PC 和多功能平板电脑需求激增的优势方面的地位,使该公司能够制造具有创新功能的设备,这些设备可以在其外围配件和服务生态系统中无缝集成,从而吸引相关收入。随着后大流行病时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用,预计未来几年全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求将保持高位--到 2025 年,这两个行业的市场预计将分别增长到 2,243 亿美元和 6,000 亿美元,这将为苹果的 Mac 和 iPad 细分市场带来有利趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近有猜测称,苹果有意加强其内部芯片开发能力,这可能会在未来几年进一步推动其技术的进步,并吸引对其产品的更多需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师,以增强其在 “无线收音机、射频集成电路和无线片上系统(“SoC”)”以及 “用于连接蓝牙和 Wi-Fi 的半导体”方面的开发能力。这些发展有望进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成,并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性,使其芯片部门成为公司 “最宝贵的资产 ”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面,强大的用户群使该部门在 2021 财年的收入创下了超过 684 亿美元的纪录,比上一年增长了 27%。迄今为止,苹果通过其高利润服务产品获得了超过 7.45 亿付费用户,比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其从苹果音乐到 iCloud 存储解决方案等各种服务平台上不断推行基于订阅的商业模式,再加上近年来针对主要消费趋势的有吸引力的新产品,一直是该公司利润率快速增长的关键驱动力。为现有服务平台引入的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品有望进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品全球使用量不断增加所带来的邻近机遇的影响力--例如,全球音乐流媒体市场预计将在未来五年内以 16% 的复合年增长率扩大,预计价值将达到 610 亿美元,这凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果 One 捆绑包预计将在未来几年吸引新用户为订阅服务付费,而如果不是捆绑包折扣,他们是不会购买这些服务的。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将有利于苹果快速增长的服务部门。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长,未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于 AAPL 拥有世界上最大、使用最广泛的应用商店之一,因此可以合理地假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果的 App Store 涉嫌违反反垄断规定的审查越来越多--其中最引人注目的是与 Epic Games 正在进行的法律诉讼--但该公司继续专注于确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性可能已经挽救了局面。根据摩根士丹利在美国和中国大陆对 4000 名苹果产品用户进行的调查,大多数人对苹果的应用商店表示忠诚,因为该商店提供了 “安全、隐私和易于交易的价值”,尽管开发者正在推动在苹果生态系统之外进行交易。苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官伊冯娜-冈萨雷斯-罗杰斯(Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers)9 月份下令对 App Store 进行的更改,这是 Epic Games 对其提起长达一年的诉讼的一部分,这也是 App Store 持续强大的又一迹象。该公司辩称,法院下令允许 App Store 用户 “直接从网络上的开发者那里购买 ”,这将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前,开发者正在争取让应用程序用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,该生态系统向开发者收取高达 30% 的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉,法院关于是否需要实施 App Store 变更的最终裁决可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决,苹果将不得不允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率,App Store的收入预计每年最多也只会减少40亿美元,这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到 App Store 用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视,实际量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基数和相关服务平台用户,苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此,未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子产品和设备的先驱预计将于 2023 年初推出 VR 耳机和 AR 眼镜,这项新兴技术近几个月来随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多,势头强劲。与市场上已有的大多数 VR 头显类似,苹果的 VR 头显将采用 3D 显示屏,为从游戏到交流等各种活动提供身临其境的环境。该公司计划在设备中采用一流的图形芯片,以实现超高分辨率显示屏。即将推出的 VR 头显最终将为其 AR 眼镜奠定基础,苹果预计这将是 “更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年,与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为一个价值 8000 亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的 70% 以上,而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力,该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的 AR/VR 耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会,还可以利用与使用相关应用程序、软件和服务平台相关的相关收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来,关于苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测也有望为该股带来有意义的上涨空间。该公司目前计划在2025年前推出新产品类别,届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场价值预计将超过2000亿美元。最终推出的汽车很可能会向其现有的产品组合致敬,比如 “类似 iPad 的触摸屏 ”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面,据信苹果已经完成了为汽车自动驾驶功能提供动力的定制硅的开发。据加州车管所称,最新芯片将很快应用于其现有的改装 SUV 车队,以便在加州进行测试,这表明即将推出的芯片即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了 “随着时间的推移,新产品和服务对收入的持续贡献”,但上述新产品类别的推出仍未带来额外的好处。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出,这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期 AR/VR 设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高 1500 亿美元。随着时间的推移,随着元宇宙趋势继续获得主流牵引力,苹果预计将从 AR/VR 领域产生超过 2000 亿美元的年收入,这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加 15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>即将加息的估值前景和潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果 2021 财年年终业绩和 12 月份季度指引的最新预测后,我们的基本案例预测预计到 2022 财年末,净销售总额将达到 4393 亿美元,到 2026 财年将进一步增长至 6685 亿美元。在我们的预测中,各部门收入的增长假设与我们最近对该股的分析基本保持不变,但还额外考虑了管理层对供应紧张影响和即将加息的近期展望。具体来说,2021 财年下半年全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延误造成的 90 亿美元收入损失(即 6 月份季度约 30 亿美元,9 月份季度约 60 亿美元)预计将恶化到 2022 财年上半年。虽然供应链挑战有所改善,但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将推动未来几个季度销售额的增加。尽管如此,苹果未来的基本面依然强劲,这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i. 基本情况财务预测:</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部财务预测(Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf)。有关应用的重大增长假设的进一步详情,请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑,我们对苹果股票的 12 个月目标价已修正至 209.43 美元。根据 12 月 17 日最后交易价格 171.14 美元计算,这意味着超过 22% 的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期间的贴现现金流(“DCF”)分析,结合前面章节分析的苹果近期发展的最新财务预测得出的。与我们最初的估值分析类似,我们采用了 8% 的 WACC 来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司目前的资本结构和稳健的资产负债表,贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务中有很大一部分是固定利率票据,预计其增长的资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况,管理层打算在利率上升之前部署额外增长,而不必承担额外的资本成本。预计这将进一步增强水泥投资者对苹果股票的信心,因为他们在担心利率上升会带来更广泛的市场压力的情况下,继续 “向优质方向飞奔”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为 19.8 倍,这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品细分市场即将推出,所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善,并抵消即将到来的加息带来的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>ii.敏感性分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>根据上述分析,从基本面和估值角度来看,预计未来两年在目前接近于零的联邦基金利率基础上增加 175 至 200 个基点,预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求,加上新的创新,预计将进一步提振公司的基本增长前景。因此,这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表,并进一步加强其抵御更广泛宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上,为应对即将加息带来的风险,对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加,甚至可能推动苹果的估值增长势头。出于这些考虑,尽管即将加息,但苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一,因为其近期仍呈现强劲上升趋势,达到 3 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 10:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li> <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li> <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li> <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li> <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段,美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表,并准备最早在3月份加息。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景恶化,加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票,但苹果股票在很大程度上仍然具有弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及 AR/VR 和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下,苹果预计将在未来实现额外的上涨空间。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金,而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此,尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险,但苹果的看涨论点在其估值接近 3 万亿美元时仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一,苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)今年上涨了近 40%。该股不久前曾触及 182.13 美元的最高点,目前距离成为第一家市值达到 3 万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到 7%,单枪匹马就占据了以科技股为主的纳斯达克 100 指数业绩的约 15%。自 20 世纪 90 年代末以来,苹果的市值增长了 220 多倍,这得益于该公司持续能够抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面有望帮助该股抵御明年开始即将加息带来的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来的最高点,美联储周三决定加快每月 1200 亿美元债券回购计划的步伐,从 11 月开始的每月 150 亿美元降至每月 300 亿美元。这将有效地结束疫情爆发时实施的刺激计划,即明年3月,而不是最初计划的7月。加息预计将很快开始,以应对不断上升的价格压力,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认,这一过程只有在缩减规模结束后才会开始,并且步伐渐进。最新的点阵图表明,联邦基金利率有可能从 2022 年初的接近于零的水平上升,并上调三个四分之一点,2023 年再上调三个四分之一点,2024 年再上调两个。如果实现,到 2024 年,这一过程将把基金利率提高到 2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者规避风险,因为他们担心未来收益的价值会更快地受到侵蚀,而且由于资本成本上升(尤其是高增长股票)导致业务增长停滞,但在美联储发布紧缩政策的最新消息后,苹果股市上涨了近3%。该股12月15日收于179.30美元,接近周一182美元的峰值。在美联储发布最新消息后,苹果的反弹以及其他大型科技股的类似上升趋势相应地推动了纳斯达克 100 指数盘中上涨 2.4%,这表明投资者更倾向于将资金投入增长前景强劲的公司,以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假日季对苹果 12 月季度的销售额有利,该股估值预计将比预期更早进入 3 万亿美元大关。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购,以及预计在可预见的未来,新的尖端产品将带来额外的收入贡献,也将成为支撑公司持续强劲基本面的关键催化剂,并在即将加息的情况下将使股票估值保持在 3 万亿美元以上。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景,我们将该股的 12 个月目标价上调至 209.43 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年概述及基本前景回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致门店断断续续关闭,导致销售额损失超过 90 亿美元,但该公司全年的收入比 2020 财年增长了 33%,达到 3660 亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入,比上一年的业绩增长了20%以上。今年的成功很大程度上归功于一系列新产品的发布和功能的升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列,以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone 今年的销量增长了 39%,是其他细分市场中增长最快的,并贡献了苹果 2021 财年一半以上的收入。这一结果与去年移动设备需求的下滑形成了鲜明对比,当时消费者正在为大流行病带来的经济不确定性做好准备。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快,iPhone销售预计将在未来几年保持强劲。2022 年可能会推出更实惠的支持 5G 的 iPhone SE,这也将吸引 “超过 10 亿非高端安卓用户 ”的转换用户,从而进一步扩大苹果的市场份额,并将活跃安装基数推向历史新高。在支持 5G 的 iPhone 12s 和 iPhone 13s 推出后,最近几个季度观察到的 iPhone 销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头,升级和切换用户的数量强劲增长了两位数。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动 iPhone 的销售贡献。威瑞森和美国电话电报公司等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售,以鼓励向他们花费数十亿美元在全国范围内建设的5G网络迁移。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内花费超过7000亿美元建设5G网络,这凸显了随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回投资,iPhone领域未来的巨大增长机会。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac 和 iPad 销量在 2021 财年也大幅增长,收入分别达到创纪录的 352 亿美元和 319 亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新M1驱动的iMac后,苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的 M1 处理器使最新的 MacBook “在游戏以外的几乎所有生产力用例上都优于任何基于英特尔的设备”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的巨大需求,从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计,该公司在 9 月份季度的 Mac 产品出货量超过 320 万台,推动了该部门创纪录的收入,同时将其在全球 PC 销量中的排名提升至其他供应商的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入 M1 处理器也巩固了其在利用全球对 PC 和多功能平板电脑需求激增的优势方面的地位,使该公司能够制造具有创新功能的设备,这些设备可以在其外围配件和服务生态系统中无缝集成,从而吸引相关收入。随着后大流行病时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用,预计未来几年全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求将保持高位--到 2025 年,这两个行业的市场预计将分别增长到 2,243 亿美元和 6,000 亿美元,这将为苹果的 Mac 和 iPad 细分市场带来有利趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近有猜测称,苹果有意加强其内部芯片开发能力,这可能会在未来几年进一步推动其技术的进步,并吸引对其产品的更多需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师,以增强其在 “无线收音机、射频集成电路和无线片上系统(“SoC”)”以及 “用于连接蓝牙和 Wi-Fi 的半导体”方面的开发能力。这些发展有望进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成,并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性,使其芯片部门成为公司 “最宝贵的资产 ”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面,强大的用户群使该部门在 2021 财年的收入创下了超过 684 亿美元的纪录,比上一年增长了 27%。迄今为止,苹果通过其高利润服务产品获得了超过 7.45 亿付费用户,比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其从苹果音乐到 iCloud 存储解决方案等各种服务平台上不断推行基于订阅的商业模式,再加上近年来针对主要消费趋势的有吸引力的新产品,一直是该公司利润率快速增长的关键驱动力。为现有服务平台引入的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品有望进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品全球使用量不断增加所带来的邻近机遇的影响力--例如,全球音乐流媒体市场预计将在未来五年内以 16% 的复合年增长率扩大,预计价值将达到 610 亿美元,这凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果 One 捆绑包预计将在未来几年吸引新用户为订阅服务付费,而如果不是捆绑包折扣,他们是不会购买这些服务的。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将有利于苹果快速增长的服务部门。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长,未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于 AAPL 拥有世界上最大、使用最广泛的应用商店之一,因此可以合理地假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果的 App Store 涉嫌违反反垄断规定的审查越来越多--其中最引人注目的是与 Epic Games 正在进行的法律诉讼--但该公司继续专注于确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性可能已经挽救了局面。根据摩根士丹利在美国和中国大陆对 4000 名苹果产品用户进行的调查,大多数人对苹果的应用商店表示忠诚,因为该商店提供了 “安全、隐私和易于交易的价值”,尽管开发者正在推动在苹果生态系统之外进行交易。苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官伊冯娜-冈萨雷斯-罗杰斯(Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers)9 月份下令对 App Store 进行的更改,这是 Epic Games 对其提起长达一年的诉讼的一部分,这也是 App Store 持续强大的又一迹象。该公司辩称,法院下令允许 App Store 用户 “直接从网络上的开发者那里购买 ”,这将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前,开发者正在争取让应用程序用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,该生态系统向开发者收取高达 30% 的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉,法院关于是否需要实施 App Store 变更的最终裁决可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决,苹果将不得不允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率,App Store的收入预计每年最多也只会减少40亿美元,这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到 App Store 用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视,实际量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基数和相关服务平台用户,苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此,未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子产品和设备的先驱预计将于 2023 年初推出 VR 耳机和 AR 眼镜,这项新兴技术近几个月来随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多,势头强劲。与市场上已有的大多数 VR 头显类似,苹果的 VR 头显将采用 3D 显示屏,为从游戏到交流等各种活动提供身临其境的环境。该公司计划在设备中采用一流的图形芯片,以实现超高分辨率显示屏。即将推出的 VR 头显最终将为其 AR 眼镜奠定基础,苹果预计这将是 “更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年,与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为一个价值 8000 亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的 70% 以上,而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力,该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的 AR/VR 耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会,还可以利用与使用相关应用程序、软件和服务平台相关的相关收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来,关于苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测也有望为该股带来有意义的上涨空间。该公司目前计划在2025年前推出新产品类别,届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场价值预计将超过2000亿美元。最终推出的汽车很可能会向其现有的产品组合致敬,比如 “类似 iPad 的触摸屏 ”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面,据信苹果已经完成了为汽车自动驾驶功能提供动力的定制硅的开发。据加州车管所称,最新芯片将很快应用于其现有的改装 SUV 车队,以便在加州进行测试,这表明即将推出的芯片即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了 “随着时间的推移,新产品和服务对收入的持续贡献”,但上述新产品类别的推出仍未带来额外的好处。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出,这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期 AR/VR 设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高 1500 亿美元。随着时间的推移,随着元宇宙趋势继续获得主流牵引力,苹果预计将从 AR/VR 领域产生超过 2000 亿美元的年收入,这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加 15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>即将加息的估值前景和潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果 2021 财年年终业绩和 12 月份季度指引的最新预测后,我们的基本案例预测预计到 2022 财年末,净销售总额将达到 4393 亿美元,到 2026 财年将进一步增长至 6685 亿美元。在我们的预测中,各部门收入的增长假设与我们最近对该股的分析基本保持不变,但还额外考虑了管理层对供应紧张影响和即将加息的近期展望。具体来说,2021 财年下半年全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延误造成的 90 亿美元收入损失(即 6 月份季度约 30 亿美元,9 月份季度约 60 亿美元)预计将恶化到 2022 财年上半年。虽然供应链挑战有所改善,但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将推动未来几个季度销售额的增加。尽管如此,苹果未来的基本面依然强劲,这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i. 基本情况财务预测:</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部财务预测(Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf)。有关应用的重大增长假设的进一步详情,请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑,我们对苹果股票的 12 个月目标价已修正至 209.43 美元。根据 12 月 17 日最后交易价格 171.14 美元计算,这意味着超过 22% 的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期间的贴现现金流(“DCF”)分析,结合前面章节分析的苹果近期发展的最新财务预测得出的。与我们最初的估值分析类似,我们采用了 8% 的 WACC 来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司目前的资本结构和稳健的资产负债表,贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务中有很大一部分是固定利率票据,预计其增长的资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况,管理层打算在利率上升之前部署额外增长,而不必承担额外的资本成本。预计这将进一步增强水泥投资者对苹果股票的信心,因为他们在担心利率上升会带来更广泛的市场压力的情况下,继续 “向优质方向飞奔”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为 19.8 倍,这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品细分市场即将推出,所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善,并抵消即将到来的加息带来的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>ii.敏感性分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>根据上述分析,从基本面和估值角度来看,预计未来两年在目前接近于零的联邦基金利率基础上增加 175 至 200 个基点,预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求,加上新的创新,预计将进一步提振公司的基本增长前景。因此,这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表,并进一步加强其抵御更广泛宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上,为应对即将加息带来的风险,对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加,甚至可能推动苹果的估值增长势头。出于这些考虑,尽管即将加息,但苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一,因为其近期仍呈现强劲上升趋势,达到 3 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183475424","content_text":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.\nWhile rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.\nApple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.\nIts strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.\nAs such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.\n\nguvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAs one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.\nAnd Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.\nSource: Bloomberg\nWhile rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.\nWith the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.\nFY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects\nFiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.\nKey Developments in Products\niPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.\nMac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.\nRecent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.\nKey Developments in Services\nOn the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.\nContinued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.\nCurrently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.\nKey Catalysts Ahead\nApple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.\nOver the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.\nSpeculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.\nWhile Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.\nValuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases\nAdjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.\n\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.\nDrawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nThe revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.\nThe valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\n\nii. Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion\nBased on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699415555,"gmtCreate":1639876086961,"gmtModify":1639876087395,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Go stonks!","listText":"Go stonks!","text":"Go stonks!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699415555","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社) - 华尔街周五收低,受到大型科技公司的拖累,投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种,并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后,美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%,Alphabet下跌 1.9%,均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%,价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌,其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示,疫情可能会持续到明年,这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备,一项研究警告说,快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出,年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期(被称为三重巫术)是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日,”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎,你就会出现波动,我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里?”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年,英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘,而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期,基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%,收于35,365.44点,而标普500指数下跌1.03%,至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%,至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看,小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期,美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股,远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周,标普500指数下跌1.9%,道琼斯指数下跌1.7%,纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中,甲骨文暴跌 6.4%,此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner,交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测,尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润,但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1;在纳斯达克,1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低;纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社) - 华尔街周五收低,受到大型科技公司的拖累,投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种,并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后,美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%,Alphabet下跌 1.9%,均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%,价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌,其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示,疫情可能会持续到明年,这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备,一项研究警告说,快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出,年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期(被称为三重巫术)是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日,”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎,你就会出现波动,我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里?”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年,英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘,而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期,基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%,收于35,365.44点,而标普500指数下跌1.03%,至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%,至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看,小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期,美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股,远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周,标普500指数下跌1.9%,道琼斯指数下跌1.7%,纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中,甲骨文暴跌 6.4%,此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner,交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测,尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润,但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1;在纳斯达克,1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低;纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699696066,"gmtCreate":1639788699297,"gmtModify":1639788699715,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Is it really going to be the next big thing ","listText":"Is it really going to be the next big thing ","text":"Is it really going to be the next big thing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699696066","repostId":"2192597562","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1558,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699698718,"gmtCreate":1639788686757,"gmtModify":1639788687137,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699698718","repostId":"2192597562","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699059453,"gmtCreate":1639726723738,"gmtModify":1639726724110,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I love Uber. Better than grab ","listText":"I love Uber. Better than grab ","text":"I love Uber. Better than grab","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699059453","repostId":"1108936663","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108936663","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639723361,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1108936663?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 14:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步:丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108936663","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nUber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging econo","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Uber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.</li> <li>Mobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.</li> <li>Future lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.</li> <li>Therefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b93f3ad8b1091da22c151e759153e2\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>优步的送货业务正在蓬勃发展并不断扩大,导致该公司利用规模经济实现盈利。</li><li>随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在从疫情中快速复苏。</li><li>以前出现的未来封锁和covid限制不太可能。</li><li>因此,Uber可能是等待变成天鹅的丑小鸭。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction and Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>导言和论文</b></blockquote></p><p> I am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.</p><p><blockquote>我开始相信 Uber(纽约证券交易所股票代码:UBER)的故事正在像丑小鸭的故事一样展开。在上市初期,Uber就像丑小鸭一样遭受了投资界的无知和不利看法,但今天,我相信Uber即将绽放成一只美丽而成功的天鹅。</blockquote></p><p> Uber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.</p><p><blockquote>随着潜在趋势对该公司有利,Uber 的业务正在好转。从疫情的深处到今天看到的复苏步伐,世界发生了好转,至少对优步来说是这样。其中一个变化是食品配送。在疫情期间,消费者无法舒适地离开家外出就餐,导致这些消费者转向食品配送,永久性地发展了一项业务,这是优步持续亏损的主要原因。因此,随着食品配送的趋势从疫情持续增长,优步通过规模经济的业务一直享有有利的趋势,我相信食品配送的便利性将使配送永久渗透到我们的日常生活中。此外,随着移动出行在各个方面都从疫情中复苏,优步可能会报告2022财年盈利。尽管存在稀释风险、新冠疫情和宏观经济风险,但我相信现在终于到了考虑投资丑小鸭的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favorable Trend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有利趋势</b></blockquote></p><p> Pandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost 3 fold from 2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.</p><p><blockquote>疫情给我们生活的几乎所有行业和方方面面带来了破坏;然而,对于优步来说,我相信疫情对该公司是有利的。优步的主要业务是送货和出行。在大流行之前,虽然移动业务开始报告调整后的 EBTIDA 为正,但送货业务仍在苦苦挣扎。市场相对较小且竞争激烈,导致优步在销售、营销和开发上花费了大量资金。更糟糕的是,当时还没有看到规模经济。然而,送货业务的时代已经变了。首先,外卖行业人气爆棚。例如,Uber 的送货业务较 2019 年第四季度增长了近 3 倍。该行业的巨大增长使 Uber 能够利用规模经济来提高利润。此外,配送文化在人们日常生活中的适应使优步能够将其业务扩展到不仅仅是配送食物。该公司目前提供食品杂货、圣诞树,甚至酒精饮料。因此,随着市场不断成熟,Uber可以利用规模经济将亏损领先的配送业务扭亏为盈的巨头。</blockquote></p><p> Some critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.</p><p><blockquote>一些批评者可能会认为,送货之所以成功,是因为消费者在疫情期间不愿意外出。我想反驳一下。疫情可能是公众适应送货服务的驱动因素;然而,便利是并将继续维持这种商业模式。通过过去几十年的创新,我们通过亚马逊(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)、Meta Platforms(纳斯达克股票代码:FB)和苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)的崛起看到了消费者对便利性的关心程度。当你可以与他人见面时,为什么要进行数字社交呢?当你今天就可以简单地购买产品时,为什么要在网上订购包裹并等待几天呢?既然已经有手机了,为什么还要用智能手机?消费者永远不会回到更不方便的生活方式。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.</p><p><blockquote>与配送业务不同,移动业务受到疫情的损害,但随着疫情影响的减弱,预计移动业务将恢复至2019年的水平。如下图所示,全球最大城市的移动业务在封锁后几乎恢复正常,这表明对打车服务的需求仍然存在。此外,随着疫情的消退和办公室的重新开放,移动业务将继续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a5ee8af7dd1261e2686a20efa4d3b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Covid Fears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新冠疫情恐惧</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Although pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情是快递业务成功的主要原因,但日益恶化的疫情很可能会损害我的看涨论点。移动业务,一个将引领盈利的业务部门,将受到严重损害;然而,与主流媒体的观点相反,我认为由于疫苗和公众情绪,这种情况不太可能展开。</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer(NYSE:PFE) on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:PFE)于12月8日证实,他们的Covid疫苗对奥密克戎变种仍然有效。该公司表示,一项初步研究“表明,三剂[疫苗]可以中和奥密克戎变体,而两剂显示出中和滴度显着降低。”该公司的说法得到了包括意大利、法国、英国等在内的许多欧洲国家爆发的奥密克戎或新冠疫情的支持。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe98b474db7223afa7617f0cb8545e42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8849809f79a66a367009de9b31677d63\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/415cdc534da7dc5a6d6f9e754adf099e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Using France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>以法国为例,上面的第一张图片显示COVID病例呈指数级上升,而第二张图片显示死亡率在范围内。第三张图中显示的疫苗接种率支持了辉瑞公司关于其疫苗功效的说法,因为虽然感染正在上升,但由于疫苗,死亡人数是有限的。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.</p><p><blockquote>此外,公众对更多封锁和极端限制的不满很可能会使 Uber 的移动业务板块比之前的疫情爆发更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials and Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务及估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Uber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.</p><p><blockquote>优步的资产负债表和估值都很棒。根据 Uber 的季度报告,Uber 报告收入同比增长 72%,达到 48 亿美元,调整后 EBITDA 为 800 万美元。经过多年的亏损后,快递业务达到了接近盈亏平衡的水平,调整后 EBITDA 利润率为 -0.1%。此外,该公司的移动或移动业务调整后 EBITDA 利润率为 5.5%,与大流行前的利润率持平。总体而言,公司业务的持续改善导致亏损减少和资产负债表更加强劲。优步拥有约56亿美元现金和约330亿美元总资产,而总负债约为200亿美元,使总负债与资产比率(L/A)达到约60%。总而言之,我相信在没有重大变化的情况下,优步的资产负债表足够强劲,足以维持公司的运营。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times price to sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.</p><p><blockquote>优步的估值略高。优步仍然没有盈利,其交易价格约为市销率的 4.7 倍,远期市销率约为远期市销率的 3 倍。与其他公司相比,这些数字可能看起来很小,但由于 Uber 的利润率扩张值得怀疑,我想说 Uber 目前的估值略高。然而,随着该业务在不久的将来转向盈利,我认为 Uber 略高的估值对于一些投资者来说可能是可控的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Investing in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.</p><p><blockquote>投资优步伴随着重大风险,包括稀释风险和宏观经济风险。Uber 近年来一直极其无利可图,导致资产大幅稀释。 Uber 的流通股在 2018 年增加了 12.35%,2019 年增加了 160.62%,2020 年增加了 40.42%,2021 年至今增加了 8.2%。因此,为了维持公司的运营,优步不断稀释其现有股东。因此,实现盈利的任何障碍都可能导致未来更多的稀释。此外,优步今天财务健康的原因是因为大规模稀释。此外,优步无法控制的宏观经济风险可能会影响该公司。通胀已经处于历史高位,并可能继续保持在这些水平,导致美联储更快地缩减和加息。因此,由于优步仍然没有盈利,提高费率很可能会对该公司产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> No one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.</p><p><blockquote>没有人确切知道 Uber 是否会从丑小鸭长成美丽的天鹅,但今天,我开始谨慎看好 Uber。疫情最终使公司的整体运营受益,导致送货业务蓬勃发展,这有助于 Uber 实现单位经济。此外,随着消费者适应更便利的生活方式,配送业务有望扩大。对于移动业务来说,遭受了重大损失;然而,正如优步所展示的那样,随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在强劲复苏至2019年的水平。因此,随着 Uber 试图扭转业务局面,我认为投资者应该值得考虑投资 Uber。毕竟,优步可能会绽放成一只美丽的天鹅。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步:丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步:丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 14:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Uber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.</li> <li>Mobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.</li> <li>Future lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.</li> <li>Therefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b93f3ad8b1091da22c151e759153e2\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>优步的送货业务正在蓬勃发展并不断扩大,导致该公司利用规模经济实现盈利。</li><li>随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在从疫情中快速复苏。</li><li>以前出现的未来封锁和covid限制不太可能。</li><li>因此,Uber可能是等待变成天鹅的丑小鸭。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction and Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>导言和论文</b></blockquote></p><p> I am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.</p><p><blockquote>我开始相信 Uber(纽约证券交易所股票代码:UBER)的故事正在像丑小鸭的故事一样展开。在上市初期,Uber就像丑小鸭一样遭受了投资界的无知和不利看法,但今天,我相信Uber即将绽放成一只美丽而成功的天鹅。</blockquote></p><p> Uber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.</p><p><blockquote>随着潜在趋势对该公司有利,Uber 的业务正在好转。从疫情的深处到今天看到的复苏步伐,世界发生了好转,至少对优步来说是这样。其中一个变化是食品配送。在疫情期间,消费者无法舒适地离开家外出就餐,导致这些消费者转向食品配送,永久性地发展了一项业务,这是优步持续亏损的主要原因。因此,随着食品配送的趋势从疫情持续增长,优步通过规模经济的业务一直享有有利的趋势,我相信食品配送的便利性将使配送永久渗透到我们的日常生活中。此外,随着移动出行在各个方面都从疫情中复苏,优步可能会报告2022财年盈利。尽管存在稀释风险、新冠疫情和宏观经济风险,但我相信现在终于到了考虑投资丑小鸭的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favorable Trend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有利趋势</b></blockquote></p><p> Pandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost 3 fold from 2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.</p><p><blockquote>疫情给我们生活的几乎所有行业和方方面面带来了破坏;然而,对于优步来说,我相信疫情对该公司是有利的。优步的主要业务是送货和出行。在大流行之前,虽然移动业务开始报告调整后的 EBTIDA 为正,但送货业务仍在苦苦挣扎。市场相对较小且竞争激烈,导致优步在销售、营销和开发上花费了大量资金。更糟糕的是,当时还没有看到规模经济。然而,送货业务的时代已经变了。首先,外卖行业人气爆棚。例如,Uber 的送货业务较 2019 年第四季度增长了近 3 倍。该行业的巨大增长使 Uber 能够利用规模经济来提高利润。此外,配送文化在人们日常生活中的适应使优步能够将其业务扩展到不仅仅是配送食物。该公司目前提供食品杂货、圣诞树,甚至酒精饮料。因此,随着市场不断成熟,Uber可以利用规模经济将亏损领先的配送业务扭亏为盈的巨头。</blockquote></p><p> Some critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.</p><p><blockquote>一些批评者可能会认为,送货之所以成功,是因为消费者在疫情期间不愿意外出。我想反驳一下。疫情可能是公众适应送货服务的驱动因素;然而,便利是并将继续维持这种商业模式。通过过去几十年的创新,我们通过亚马逊(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)、Meta Platforms(纳斯达克股票代码:FB)和苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)的崛起看到了消费者对便利性的关心程度。当你可以与他人见面时,为什么要进行数字社交呢?当你今天就可以简单地购买产品时,为什么要在网上订购包裹并等待几天呢?既然已经有手机了,为什么还要用智能手机?消费者永远不会回到更不方便的生活方式。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.</p><p><blockquote>与配送业务不同,移动业务受到疫情的损害,但随着疫情影响的减弱,预计移动业务将恢复至2019年的水平。如下图所示,全球最大城市的移动业务在封锁后几乎恢复正常,这表明对打车服务的需求仍然存在。此外,随着疫情的消退和办公室的重新开放,移动业务将继续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a5ee8af7dd1261e2686a20efa4d3b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Covid Fears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新冠疫情恐惧</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Although pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情是快递业务成功的主要原因,但日益恶化的疫情很可能会损害我的看涨论点。移动业务,一个将引领盈利的业务部门,将受到严重损害;然而,与主流媒体的观点相反,我认为由于疫苗和公众情绪,这种情况不太可能展开。</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer(NYSE:PFE) on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:PFE)于12月8日证实,他们的Covid疫苗对奥密克戎变种仍然有效。该公司表示,一项初步研究“表明,三剂[疫苗]可以中和奥密克戎变体,而两剂显示出中和滴度显着降低。”该公司的说法得到了包括意大利、法国、英国等在内的许多欧洲国家爆发的奥密克戎或新冠疫情的支持。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe98b474db7223afa7617f0cb8545e42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8849809f79a66a367009de9b31677d63\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/415cdc534da7dc5a6d6f9e754adf099e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Using France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>以法国为例,上面的第一张图片显示COVID病例呈指数级上升,而第二张图片显示死亡率在范围内。第三张图中显示的疫苗接种率支持了辉瑞公司关于其疫苗功效的说法,因为虽然感染正在上升,但由于疫苗,死亡人数是有限的。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.</p><p><blockquote>此外,公众对更多封锁和极端限制的不满很可能会使 Uber 的移动业务板块比之前的疫情爆发更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials and Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务及估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Uber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.</p><p><blockquote>优步的资产负债表和估值都很棒。根据 Uber 的季度报告,Uber 报告收入同比增长 72%,达到 48 亿美元,调整后 EBITDA 为 800 万美元。经过多年的亏损后,快递业务达到了接近盈亏平衡的水平,调整后 EBITDA 利润率为 -0.1%。此外,该公司的移动或移动业务调整后 EBITDA 利润率为 5.5%,与大流行前的利润率持平。总体而言,公司业务的持续改善导致亏损减少和资产负债表更加强劲。优步拥有约56亿美元现金和约330亿美元总资产,而总负债约为200亿美元,使总负债与资产比率(L/A)达到约60%。总而言之,我相信在没有重大变化的情况下,优步的资产负债表足够强劲,足以维持公司的运营。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times price to sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.</p><p><blockquote>优步的估值略高。优步仍然没有盈利,其交易价格约为市销率的 4.7 倍,远期市销率约为远期市销率的 3 倍。与其他公司相比,这些数字可能看起来很小,但由于 Uber 的利润率扩张值得怀疑,我想说 Uber 目前的估值略高。然而,随着该业务在不久的将来转向盈利,我认为 Uber 略高的估值对于一些投资者来说可能是可控的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Investing in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.</p><p><blockquote>投资优步伴随着重大风险,包括稀释风险和宏观经济风险。Uber 近年来一直极其无利可图,导致资产大幅稀释。 Uber 的流通股在 2018 年增加了 12.35%,2019 年增加了 160.62%,2020 年增加了 40.42%,2021 年至今增加了 8.2%。因此,为了维持公司的运营,优步不断稀释其现有股东。因此,实现盈利的任何障碍都可能导致未来更多的稀释。此外,优步今天财务健康的原因是因为大规模稀释。此外,优步无法控制的宏观经济风险可能会影响该公司。通胀已经处于历史高位,并可能继续保持在这些水平,导致美联储更快地缩减和加息。因此,由于优步仍然没有盈利,提高费率很可能会对该公司产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> No one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.</p><p><blockquote>没有人确切知道 Uber 是否会从丑小鸭长成美丽的天鹅,但今天,我开始谨慎看好 Uber。疫情最终使公司的整体运营受益,导致送货业务蓬勃发展,这有助于 Uber 实现单位经济。此外,随着消费者适应更便利的生活方式,配送业务有望扩大。对于移动业务来说,遭受了重大损失;然而,正如优步所展示的那样,随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在强劲复苏至2019年的水平。因此,随着 Uber 试图扭转业务局面,我认为投资者应该值得考虑投资 Uber。毕竟,优步可能会绽放成一只美丽的天鹅。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475598-uber-ugly-duckling-is-growing-up\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475598-uber-ugly-duckling-is-growing-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108936663","content_text":"Summary\n\nUber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.\nMobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.\nFuture lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.\nTherefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.\n\nMOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nIntroduction and Thesis\nI am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.\nUber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.\nFavorable Trend\nPandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost 3 fold from 2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.\nSome critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.\nUnlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.\n\nCovid Fears\nAlthough pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.\nPfizer(NYSE:PFE) on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.\n\nUsing France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.\nFurther, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.\nFinancials and Valuation\nUber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.\nThe valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times price to sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.\nRisks\nInvesting in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.\nSummary\nNo one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBER":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699059129,"gmtCreate":1639726692187,"gmtModify":1639726692562,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"What ","listText":"What ","text":"What","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699059129","repostId":"2192926096","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690191942,"gmtCreate":1639645870778,"gmtModify":1639645871188,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Stonks again ","listText":"Stonks again ","text":"Stonks again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690191942","repostId":"1190976291","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190976291","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639645564,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1190976291?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 17:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%<blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中飙升,Canoe 上涨超过 5%,Rivian、Tesla、Lucid、Xpeng 上涨超过 2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190976291","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumpi","content":"<p>EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dff46b3a87591d45993089709370d13\" tg-width=\"283\" tg-height=\"473\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Rivian will announce Thursday that it’s building a $5 billion battery and assembly plant east of Atlanta that’s projected to employ 7,500 workers, sources briefed on the decision told The Associated Press.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中飙升,Canoe 上涨超过 5%,Rivian、特斯拉、Lucid、小鹏汽车上涨超过 2%。了解这一决定的消息人士告诉美联社,Rivian将于周四宣布将在亚特兰大东部建造一座耗资 50 亿美元的电池和装配厂,预计将雇用 7500 名工人。</blockquote></p><p> Canoo plans to accelerate and now shift production of its breakthrough EVs from Europe to U.S., commence manufacturing at its advanced industrialization facility planned for Northwest Arkansas and remains on target to bring online its Mega Micro factory in Pryor, Oklahoma in late 2023.</p><p><blockquote>Canoo 计划加快其突破性电动汽车的生产,现在将其突破性电动汽车的生产从欧洲转移到美国,开始在计划在阿肯色州西北部建设的先进工业化工厂进行制造,并继续实现其位于俄克拉荷马州普赖尔的大型微型工厂于 2023 年底上线的目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%<blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中飙升,Canoe 上涨超过 5%,Rivian、Tesla、Lucid、Xpeng 上涨超过 2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%<blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中飙升,Canoe 上涨超过 5%,Rivian、Tesla、Lucid、Xpeng 上涨超过 2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-16 17:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dff46b3a87591d45993089709370d13\" tg-width=\"283\" tg-height=\"473\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Rivian will announce Thursday that it’s building a $5 billion battery and assembly plant east of Atlanta that’s projected to employ 7,500 workers, sources briefed on the decision told The Associated Press.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中飙升,Canoe 上涨超过 5%,Rivian、特斯拉、Lucid、小鹏汽车上涨超过 2%。了解这一决定的消息人士告诉美联社,Rivian将于周四宣布将在亚特兰大东部建造一座耗资 50 亿美元的电池和装配厂,预计将雇用 7500 名工人。</blockquote></p><p> Canoo plans to accelerate and now shift production of its breakthrough EVs from Europe to U.S., commence manufacturing at its advanced industrialization facility planned for Northwest Arkansas and remains on target to bring online its Mega Micro factory in Pryor, Oklahoma in late 2023.</p><p><blockquote>Canoo 计划加快其突破性电动汽车的生产,现在将其突破性电动汽车的生产从欧洲转移到美国,开始在计划在阿肯色州西北部建设的先进工业化工厂进行制造,并继续实现其位于俄克拉荷马州普赖尔的大型微型工厂于 2023 年底上线的目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","XPEV":"小鹏集团"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190976291","content_text":"EV stocks soared in premarket trading, with Canoe jumping over 5%,and Rivian,Tesla,Lucid,Xpeng jumping over 2%.Rivian will announce Thursday that it’s building a $5 billion battery and assembly plant east of Atlanta that’s projected to employ 7,500 workers, sources briefed on the decision told The Associated Press.\nCanoo plans to accelerate and now shift production of its breakthrough EVs from Europe to U.S., commence manufacturing at its advanced industrialization facility planned for Northwest Arkansas and remains on target to bring online its Mega Micro factory in Pryor, Oklahoma in late 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOEV":0.9,"LCID":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690105815,"gmtCreate":1639645610816,"gmtModify":1639645611233,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good!!!! Should tax them more ","listText":"Good!!!! Should tax them more ","text":"Good!!!! Should tax them more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690105815","repostId":"1127770254","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":902,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":883312130,"gmtCreate":1631201486320,"gmtModify":1631883613635,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>Been watching this stock since 2019 ever since I started to shop on the app when it was less publicised. Always wondered why the app is able to give so much discount as compared to shops outside and whether the discount would be sustainable in the long run while fighting for market share. Kind of reminded myself back in those day when I used Grab so much because it was so cheap and then when they managed to squeeze Uber out, the pricing does not seem as competitive anymore. Would we see the same in the future if other e-commerce players are squeezed out and less brick and mortar store since we choose online cheaper options that are subsidised. Maybe our future self is paying for all these subsidies [笑哭] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>Been watching this stock since 2019 ever since I started to shop on the app when it was less publicised. Always wondered why the app is able to give so much discount as compared to shops outside and whether the discount would be sustainable in the long run while fighting for market share. Kind of reminded myself back in those day when I used Grab so much because it was so cheap and then when they managed to squeeze Uber out, the pricing does not seem as competitive anymore. Would we see the same in the future if other e-commerce players are squeezed out and less brick and mortar store since we choose online cheaper options that are subsidised. Maybe our future self is paying for all these subsidies [笑哭] ","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$Been watching this stock since 2019 ever since I started to shop on the app when it was less publicised. Always wondered why the app is able to give so much discount as compared to shops outside and whether the discount would be sustainable in the long run while fighting for market share. Kind of reminded myself back in those day when I used Grab so much because it was so cheap and then when they managed to squeeze Uber out, the pricing does not seem as competitive anymore. Would we see the same in the future if other e-commerce players are squeezed out and less brick and mortar store since we choose online cheaper options that are subsidised. Maybe our future self is paying for all these subsidies [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883312130","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274702625278","authorId":"3479274702625278","name":"老夫追涨杀跌","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d8be38e6bbbfa27d16721be9a4e59b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274702625278","idStr":"3479274702625278"},"content":"东南亚小腾讯,可不是浪得虚名的,不可小 觑,就算你现在不认同他,后面也会认同他。","text":"东南亚小腾讯,可不是浪得虚名的,不可小 觑,就算你现在不认同他,后面也会认同他。","html":"东南亚小腾讯,可不是浪得虚名的,不可小 觑,就算你现在不认同他,后面也会认同他。"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000223","authorId":"9000000000000223","name":"互联网野生股神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b17af8d14081700b793911bb75de6b67","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000223","idStr":"9000000000000223"},"content":"The profit model of Internet enterprises, now occupy the market at a low price, and then take advantage of the monopoly, profit, there is no free lunch","text":"The profit model of Internet enterprises, now occupy the market at a low price, and then take advantage of the monopoly, profit, there is no free lunch","html":"The profit model of Internet enterprises, now occupy the market at a low price, and then take advantage of the monopoly, profit, there is no free lunch"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821055367,"gmtCreate":1633679110471,"gmtModify":1633679110969,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Then the price will go higher and higher ","listText":"Then the price will go higher and higher ","text":"Then the price will go higher and higher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821055367","repostId":"1195802602","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195802602","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633749735,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1195802602?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?<blockquote>2100万被全部开采后,比特币会发生什么?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195802602","media":"Investopedia","summary":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never rea","content":"<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>There are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.</li> <li>Bitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.</li> <li>As of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.</li> <li>When Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.</li> <li>Bitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.</li> <li>Bitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.</li> </ul> One of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总共只有2100万个比特币可以开采。</li><li>由于在其代码库中使用了舍入运算符,比特币永远不会达到这个上限。</li><li>截至2021年8月,已经开采了1877万枚比特币,剩下大约230万枚尚未投入流通。</li><li>当比特币达到供应上限时,区块奖励将消失,矿工将依靠加密货币网络上发生的交易费用来获得收入。</li><li>比特币的网络可能会从目前未完成的状态演变为成为货币交易和交易的桥梁。</li><li>比特币加密货币将在金融生态系统中拥有明确的身份。</li></ul>比特币的主要特点之一是供应有限。其他形式的货币,包括法定货币,可以由中央银行随意印刷——也就是说,它们有无限的供应。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the cryptocurrency.</p><p><blockquote>比特币发明家中本聪将比特币的数量上限设定为 2100 万个,这意味着比特币的数量将只有 2100 万个。平均而言,这些比特币以每10分钟一个区块的固定速率被引入比特币供应。此外,上述每个区块中释放的比特币数量每四年减少50%。截至 2021 年 8 月,已有 1870 万枚比特币可用,剩下大约 230 万枚有待开采。供应限制使比特币稀缺,并控制了加密货币无限供应可能导致的通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on block rewards and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币达到供应上限,其经济将会发生变化。其生态系统中各个成员(如矿工和贸易商)的激励措施将会改变。例如,矿工可能较少依赖区块奖励,而更多地依赖交易费用来赚取运营收入和利润。加密货币的网络也将发生变化,其参与者将不同于当前生态系统中的散户交易者。</blockquote></p><p> However, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.</p><p><blockquote>然而,鉴于加密货币相对不发达的生态系统,很难确定地预测比特币达到其供应上限的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币会达到2100万的上限吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Before delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.</p><p><blockquote>在深入探讨比特币 2100 万上限的含义之前,考虑它是否会达到这个数字的问题可能会很有趣。根据加密货币目前的代码库和挖掘过程,一些观察人士表示,比特币可能会接近 2100 万的数字。</blockquote></p><p> To recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之,比特币是由矿工“挖掘”的,他们解决密码难题,以验证和验证其网络中发生的一组交易。区块奖励由固定数量的比特币组成,分配给成功确认交易区块的矿工。奖励每四年减半。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d1d9aa1b5581477bf14edfde0292f21\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>The rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>比特币的生产速度大约每四年减半。投资百科</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.</p><p><blockquote>当加密货币推出时,确认一个交易块的奖励是50个比特币。2012年减半至25个比特币,2016年降至12.5个。2020 年 5 月,每个新区块矿工将获得 6.25 比特币。比特币矿工的区块奖励将继续每四年减半,直到最后一个比特币开采完毕。目前对最终比特币开采的估计将日期定在2140年2月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Important:</b>The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens. According to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要的:</b>比特币挖矿过程为矿工提供比特币奖励,但奖励大小会定期减少,以控制新代币的流通。根据一本关于比特币工作原理的书的作者Andreas M. Antonopoulos的说法,2100万这个数字是现有比特币数量的“渐近上限”。简而言之,这意味着,虽然它可能会非常接近数字,但加密货币永远不会达到这个极限。这是因为区块奖励和比特币供应从来没有用精确的术语来表达。比特币的代码使用位移运算符——在某些编程语言中,算术运算符使用四舍五入的小数点到最接近的最小整数。因此,6.2589个比特币的总供应量将四舍五入到最接近的最小整数,在本例中为6。</blockquote></p><p> While it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这种做法使计算更容易,但在每次区块确认过程中,这种做法会导致比特币的组成单位聪的损失。一个比特币等于一亿聪。根据一些人的说法,最终的比特币区块将被编号为6,929,999,届时的总供应量将是20,999,999.9769聪。由于比特币使用位移运算符系统,3它的算法将把这个数字四舍五入到20,999,999,使加密货币接近其2100万的目标上限。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当2100万比特币全部被开采时会发生什么?</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> A consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.</p><p><blockquote>比特币没有达到计划上限的一个后果是,它留下了加密货币网络在2140年后长期保持功能的可能性。不会发行比特币,但会确认交易区块,费用将成为主要收入来源。最终,比特币的网络可能会像一个封闭的经济体一样运作,其中交易费用的评估方式与税收非常相似。</blockquote></p><p> Can the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.</p><p><blockquote>奖励可以是聪而不是实际的比特币吗?这种做法不太可能发生,需要改变加密货币的协议才能生效。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说,很难预测比特币的影响几乎达到中本聪承诺的总体供应量。这部分是因为比特币的生态系统仍然不发达。加密货币最初被认为是一种交换媒介,但它作为一种价值储存手段——一种投资资产——越来越受欢迎。从现在到2140年,比特币的生态系统和运作方式可能会发生转变,类似于其身份发生的转变。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Important:</b>Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要的:</b>尽管最多只能有2100万个比特币,但因为人们丢失了私钥或去世时没有给任何人留下私钥指令,流通中可用比特币的实际数量实际上可能会少数百万。</blockquote></p><p> For example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's blockchain to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create hard or soft forks that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.</p><p><blockquote>例如,加密货币区块链中的协议可能会发生变化,允许超过 2100 万个比特币存在。请记住,比特币是一种开源加密货币,可以更改以创建硬分叉或软分叉,从而创建新的加密货币或改变其功能。前者的一些例子有比特币现金(BCHUSD)、莱特币(LTCUSD)和狗狗币(DOGEUSD),它们对比特币的源代码进行了细微的修改,并创造了新的硬币,这些硬币的市场估值已经达到了数十亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin Miners</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币矿工的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Block rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.</p><p><blockquote>区块奖励和交易费是矿工最重要的收入来源——在当前设置中,前者比后者更重要。比特币的高价格使矿工能够支付运营成本并维持业务利润,因为他们可以在加密货币市场上出售他们的奖励。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币接近极限时,奖励金额可能不足以支付矿商的运营成本,更不用说产生利润了。如果达到供应限制,比特币奖励应该会消失。</blockquote></p><p> In both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value. The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这两种情况下,交易费预计都会弥补这一不足。这些费用的数额和机制取决于比特币网络在那个时间点的状态,即它是被用作交换媒介还是价值储存。前者可能会产生合理的费用,以使比特币能够在日常交易中使用,而后一种情况将使矿工进行更少和更昂贵的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Another possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.</p><p><blockquote>提出的另一种可能性是矿工之间形成卡特尔。他们可能会控制供应以设定高额交易费或保证最低利润的费用金额。自私采矿是另一种可能性。在这种挖掘形式中,矿工相互勾结,隐藏新区块,并释放未经比特币网络确认的孤儿区块。这种做法将延迟比特币网络中最后一个区块的生产,并确保新区块最终被释放到网络中时获得高回报。</blockquote></p><p> The formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.</p><p><blockquote>比特币矿工卡特尔的形成并不是一个影响深远的结论。这种分组已经存在于供应受到限制或控制的其他商品中。例如,石油价格在很大程度上受到欧佩克产量的影响。据报道,钻石行业的价格也是由矿业巨头DeBeers领导的卡特尔制定的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin's Network</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币网络的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> The most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.</p><p><blockquote>比特币最有价值和最有用的方面是它的网络。分布式账本技术是当今大多数金融交易的耗时簿记和会计的技术解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> If Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.</p><p><blockquote>如果未来比特币作为一种交易媒介变得流行,其交易数量将激增。过去的先例表明,网络很有可能会变慢。这是因为比特币的架构依赖于分布式数据库来保存海量账本的副本,为了准确性和完整性而牺牲了速度。</blockquote></p><p> In such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下,第二层技术(如闪电网络)很可能会负责确认其网络上的大部分交易。因此,加密货币的实际网络本身将仅用于结算大批量交易。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.</p><p><blockquote>第二种可能性是比特币网络上的交易数量下降。当比特币成为储备资产时,这种情况是可能的。涉及加密货币的交易将会很少。主导当前交易生态系统的零售贸易商和小型贸易公司将被淘汰,取而代之的是大型机构参与者和老牌贸易公司。他们将进行更少、更昂贵的交易,这将使矿商产生高昂的交易费用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency</b></p><p><blockquote><b>加密货币对比特币的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem as a Wild West.</p><p><blockquote>比特币的发明者中本聪设计了这种加密货币,作为日常交易的交换媒介。但其网络交易费用高,处理时间慢。与此同时,它的稀缺性和价格上涨已成为吸引投机投资者的磁石。他们对加密货币轮盘赌的押注导致该资产类别的价格波动剧烈,阻止了认真的投资者远离它。监管机构批评其生态系统是狂野的西部。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have made the cryptocurrency legal tender.</p><p><blockquote>当最后一个比特币被开采(或接近被开采)时,比特币可能会有一个比现在更明确的身份。侧通道,如闪电网络,可能提高了其网络的交易处理速度,并使其能够用作交换媒介。萨尔瓦多等一些国家正在押注这种可能性,并将加密货币定为法定货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FAST FACT</b> El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency. In the United States, the latest significant events are the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.</p><p><blockquote><b>快速事实</b>萨尔瓦多于2021年6月9日将比特币列为法定货币。这是第一个这样做的国家。加密货币可用于企业可以接受的任何交易。美元仍然是萨尔瓦多的主要货币。在美国,最新的重大事件是货币监理署 (OCC) 于 2021 年 1 月致函授权使用加密货币作为支付方式,PayPal控股公司 (PYPL) 推出比特币,以及特斯拉公司 (TSLA) 接受比特币购买特斯拉汽车和太阳能屋顶。特斯拉于 2021 年 5 月改变了接受比特币的方针,理由是比特币采矿所需资源存在环境问题。</blockquote></p><p> The increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.</p><p><blockquote>其数量的日益稀缺也将推高比特币的价格和加密货币市场的相应估值。当越来越多的资本流入某一资产类别时,监管机构往往会迅速采取行动,加密货币市场和比特币很可能也会受到监管保护。这将是机构投资者进入加密货币生态系统并以巨大流动性稳定其价格波动的一个信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.</p><p><blockquote>比特币 2100 万的供应上限旨在控制通货膨胀,否则,无限供应可能会导致通货膨胀。但它使加密货币成为稀缺商品,从而抬高了加密货币的价格。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币达到供应上限时,矿商很可能会从区块奖励转向交易费作为其主要收入来源。侧渠道的发展,如闪电网络,可能会导致比特币的区块链将自己限制在确认大批量交易或涉及大量比特币从其区块链上的一个地址移动到另一个地址的交易。比特币的身份——作为价值储存和交换媒介——也将比现在更明确地定义。</blockquote></p><p> But none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.</p><p><blockquote>但这些预测都不是一成不变的。比特币生态系统发展的动态速度意味着很难准确预测其未来。例如,加密货币的协议可能会被改变,以适应超过2100万个比特币的生产。或者,它可能会接近 2100 万。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Frequently Asked Questions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常见问题</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>What is Bitcoin's total supply?</li> </ul> The total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>比特币的总供应量是多少?</li></ul>比特币的总供应量上限为2100万枚。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>What will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币的供应极限达到时,矿工费用会发生什么变化?</li></ul>当比特币供应量达到 2100 万时,矿商将依靠交易费而不是区块奖励来获得收入,区块奖励到那时已经消失了。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>What will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币达到供应极限时,它的网络会发生什么?</li></ul>当比特币达到2100万的供应限制时,很可能像闪电网络这样的侧面渠道将承担确认其交易的大部分繁重工作。加密货币的区块链只负责确认非常大批次的交易,或者涉及大量比特币从一个地址移动到另一个地址的交易。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>What happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?</li> </ul> One consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>如果比特币供应量未能达到 2100 万的上限会发生什么?</li></ul>比特币未能达到计划上限的一个后果是,它留下了加密货币网络在2140年后长期保持功能的可能性。与比特币的经济学保持一致,确认这些区块的回报将是最小的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?<blockquote>2100万被全部开采后,比特币会发生什么?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?<blockquote>2100万被全部开采后,比特币会发生什么?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Investopedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-09 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>There are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.</li> <li>Bitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.</li> <li>As of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.</li> <li>When Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.</li> <li>Bitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.</li> <li>Bitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.</li> </ul> One of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总共只有2100万个比特币可以开采。</li><li>由于在其代码库中使用了舍入运算符,比特币永远不会达到这个上限。</li><li>截至2021年8月,已经开采了1877万枚比特币,剩下大约230万枚尚未投入流通。</li><li>当比特币达到供应上限时,区块奖励将消失,矿工将依靠加密货币网络上发生的交易费用来获得收入。</li><li>比特币的网络可能会从目前未完成的状态演变为成为货币交易和交易的桥梁。</li><li>比特币加密货币将在金融生态系统中拥有明确的身份。</li></ul>比特币的主要特点之一是供应有限。其他形式的货币,包括法定货币,可以由中央银行随意印刷——也就是说,它们有无限的供应。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the cryptocurrency.</p><p><blockquote>比特币发明家中本聪将比特币的数量上限设定为 2100 万个,这意味着比特币的数量将只有 2100 万个。平均而言,这些比特币以每10分钟一个区块的固定速率被引入比特币供应。此外,上述每个区块中释放的比特币数量每四年减少50%。截至 2021 年 8 月,已有 1870 万枚比特币可用,剩下大约 230 万枚有待开采。供应限制使比特币稀缺,并控制了加密货币无限供应可能导致的通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on block rewards and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币达到供应上限,其经济将会发生变化。其生态系统中各个成员(如矿工和贸易商)的激励措施将会改变。例如,矿工可能较少依赖区块奖励,而更多地依赖交易费用来赚取运营收入和利润。加密货币的网络也将发生变化,其参与者将不同于当前生态系统中的散户交易者。</blockquote></p><p> However, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.</p><p><blockquote>然而,鉴于加密货币相对不发达的生态系统,很难确定地预测比特币达到其供应上限的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币会达到2100万的上限吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Before delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.</p><p><blockquote>在深入探讨比特币 2100 万上限的含义之前,考虑它是否会达到这个数字的问题可能会很有趣。根据加密货币目前的代码库和挖掘过程,一些观察人士表示,比特币可能会接近 2100 万的数字。</blockquote></p><p> To recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之,比特币是由矿工“挖掘”的,他们解决密码难题,以验证和验证其网络中发生的一组交易。区块奖励由固定数量的比特币组成,分配给成功确认交易区块的矿工。奖励每四年减半。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d1d9aa1b5581477bf14edfde0292f21\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>The rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>比特币的生产速度大约每四年减半。投资百科</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.</p><p><blockquote>当加密货币推出时,确认一个交易块的奖励是50个比特币。2012年减半至25个比特币,2016年降至12.5个。2020 年 5 月,每个新区块矿工将获得 6.25 比特币。比特币矿工的区块奖励将继续每四年减半,直到最后一个比特币开采完毕。目前对最终比特币开采的估计将日期定在2140年2月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Important:</b>The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens. According to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要的:</b>比特币挖矿过程为矿工提供比特币奖励,但奖励大小会定期减少,以控制新代币的流通。根据一本关于比特币工作原理的书的作者Andreas M. Antonopoulos的说法,2100万这个数字是现有比特币数量的“渐近上限”。简而言之,这意味着,虽然它可能会非常接近数字,但加密货币永远不会达到这个极限。这是因为区块奖励和比特币供应从来没有用精确的术语来表达。比特币的代码使用位移运算符——在某些编程语言中,算术运算符使用四舍五入的小数点到最接近的最小整数。因此,6.2589个比特币的总供应量将四舍五入到最接近的最小整数,在本例中为6。</blockquote></p><p> While it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这种做法使计算更容易,但在每次区块确认过程中,这种做法会导致比特币的组成单位聪的损失。一个比特币等于一亿聪。根据一些人的说法,最终的比特币区块将被编号为6,929,999,届时的总供应量将是20,999,999.9769聪。由于比特币使用位移运算符系统,3它的算法将把这个数字四舍五入到20,999,999,使加密货币接近其2100万的目标上限。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当2100万比特币全部被开采时会发生什么?</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> A consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.</p><p><blockquote>比特币没有达到计划上限的一个后果是,它留下了加密货币网络在2140年后长期保持功能的可能性。不会发行比特币,但会确认交易区块,费用将成为主要收入来源。最终,比特币的网络可能会像一个封闭的经济体一样运作,其中交易费用的评估方式与税收非常相似。</blockquote></p><p> Can the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.</p><p><blockquote>奖励可以是聪而不是实际的比特币吗?这种做法不太可能发生,需要改变加密货币的协议才能生效。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说,很难预测比特币的影响几乎达到中本聪承诺的总体供应量。这部分是因为比特币的生态系统仍然不发达。加密货币最初被认为是一种交换媒介,但它作为一种价值储存手段——一种投资资产——越来越受欢迎。从现在到2140年,比特币的生态系统和运作方式可能会发生转变,类似于其身份发生的转变。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Important:</b>Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要的:</b>尽管最多只能有2100万个比特币,但因为人们丢失了私钥或去世时没有给任何人留下私钥指令,流通中可用比特币的实际数量实际上可能会少数百万。</blockquote></p><p> For example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's blockchain to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create hard or soft forks that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.</p><p><blockquote>例如,加密货币区块链中的协议可能会发生变化,允许超过 2100 万个比特币存在。请记住,比特币是一种开源加密货币,可以更改以创建硬分叉或软分叉,从而创建新的加密货币或改变其功能。前者的一些例子有比特币现金(BCHUSD)、莱特币(LTCUSD)和狗狗币(DOGEUSD),它们对比特币的源代码进行了细微的修改,并创造了新的硬币,这些硬币的市场估值已经达到了数十亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin Miners</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币矿工的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Block rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.</p><p><blockquote>区块奖励和交易费是矿工最重要的收入来源——在当前设置中,前者比后者更重要。比特币的高价格使矿工能够支付运营成本并维持业务利润,因为他们可以在加密货币市场上出售他们的奖励。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币接近极限时,奖励金额可能不足以支付矿商的运营成本,更不用说产生利润了。如果达到供应限制,比特币奖励应该会消失。</blockquote></p><p> In both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value. The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这两种情况下,交易费预计都会弥补这一不足。这些费用的数额和机制取决于比特币网络在那个时间点的状态,即它是被用作交换媒介还是价值储存。前者可能会产生合理的费用,以使比特币能够在日常交易中使用,而后一种情况将使矿工进行更少和更昂贵的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Another possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.</p><p><blockquote>提出的另一种可能性是矿工之间形成卡特尔。他们可能会控制供应以设定高额交易费或保证最低利润的费用金额。自私采矿是另一种可能性。在这种挖掘形式中,矿工相互勾结,隐藏新区块,并释放未经比特币网络确认的孤儿区块。这种做法将延迟比特币网络中最后一个区块的生产,并确保新区块最终被释放到网络中时获得高回报。</blockquote></p><p> The formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.</p><p><blockquote>比特币矿工卡特尔的形成并不是一个影响深远的结论。这种分组已经存在于供应受到限制或控制的其他商品中。例如,石油价格在很大程度上受到欧佩克产量的影响。据报道,钻石行业的价格也是由矿业巨头DeBeers领导的卡特尔制定的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin's Network</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币网络的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> The most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.</p><p><blockquote>比特币最有价值和最有用的方面是它的网络。分布式账本技术是当今大多数金融交易的耗时簿记和会计的技术解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> If Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.</p><p><blockquote>如果未来比特币作为一种交易媒介变得流行,其交易数量将激增。过去的先例表明,网络很有可能会变慢。这是因为比特币的架构依赖于分布式数据库来保存海量账本的副本,为了准确性和完整性而牺牲了速度。</blockquote></p><p> In such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下,第二层技术(如闪电网络)很可能会负责确认其网络上的大部分交易。因此,加密货币的实际网络本身将仅用于结算大批量交易。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.</p><p><blockquote>第二种可能性是比特币网络上的交易数量下降。当比特币成为储备资产时,这种情况是可能的。涉及加密货币的交易将会很少。主导当前交易生态系统的零售贸易商和小型贸易公司将被淘汰,取而代之的是大型机构参与者和老牌贸易公司。他们将进行更少、更昂贵的交易,这将使矿商产生高昂的交易费用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency</b></p><p><blockquote><b>加密货币对比特币的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem as a Wild West.</p><p><blockquote>比特币的发明者中本聪设计了这种加密货币,作为日常交易的交换媒介。但其网络交易费用高,处理时间慢。与此同时,它的稀缺性和价格上涨已成为吸引投机投资者的磁石。他们对加密货币轮盘赌的押注导致该资产类别的价格波动剧烈,阻止了认真的投资者远离它。监管机构批评其生态系统是狂野的西部。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have made the cryptocurrency legal tender.</p><p><blockquote>当最后一个比特币被开采(或接近被开采)时,比特币可能会有一个比现在更明确的身份。侧通道,如闪电网络,可能提高了其网络的交易处理速度,并使其能够用作交换媒介。萨尔瓦多等一些国家正在押注这种可能性,并将加密货币定为法定货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FAST FACT</b> El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency. In the United States, the latest significant events are the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.</p><p><blockquote><b>快速事实</b>萨尔瓦多于2021年6月9日将比特币列为法定货币。这是第一个这样做的国家。加密货币可用于企业可以接受的任何交易。美元仍然是萨尔瓦多的主要货币。在美国,最新的重大事件是货币监理署 (OCC) 于 2021 年 1 月致函授权使用加密货币作为支付方式,PayPal控股公司 (PYPL) 推出比特币,以及特斯拉公司 (TSLA) 接受比特币购买特斯拉汽车和太阳能屋顶。特斯拉于 2021 年 5 月改变了接受比特币的方针,理由是比特币采矿所需资源存在环境问题。</blockquote></p><p> The increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.</p><p><blockquote>其数量的日益稀缺也将推高比特币的价格和加密货币市场的相应估值。当越来越多的资本流入某一资产类别时,监管机构往往会迅速采取行动,加密货币市场和比特币很可能也会受到监管保护。这将是机构投资者进入加密货币生态系统并以巨大流动性稳定其价格波动的一个信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.</p><p><blockquote>比特币 2100 万的供应上限旨在控制通货膨胀,否则,无限供应可能会导致通货膨胀。但它使加密货币成为稀缺商品,从而抬高了加密货币的价格。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币达到供应上限时,矿商很可能会从区块奖励转向交易费作为其主要收入来源。侧渠道的发展,如闪电网络,可能会导致比特币的区块链将自己限制在确认大批量交易或涉及大量比特币从其区块链上的一个地址移动到另一个地址的交易。比特币的身份——作为价值储存和交换媒介——也将比现在更明确地定义。</blockquote></p><p> But none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.</p><p><blockquote>但这些预测都不是一成不变的。比特币生态系统发展的动态速度意味着很难准确预测其未来。例如,加密货币的协议可能会被改变,以适应超过2100万个比特币的生产。或者,它可能会接近 2100 万。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Frequently Asked Questions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常见问题</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>What is Bitcoin's total supply?</li> </ul> The total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>比特币的总供应量是多少?</li></ul>比特币的总供应量上限为2100万枚。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>What will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币的供应极限达到时,矿工费用会发生什么变化?</li></ul>当比特币供应量达到 2100 万时,矿商将依靠交易费而不是区块奖励来获得收入,区块奖励到那时已经消失了。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>What will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币达到供应极限时,它的网络会发生什么?</li></ul>当比特币达到2100万的供应限制时,很可能像闪电网络这样的侧面渠道将承担确认其交易的大部分繁重工作。加密货币的区块链只负责确认非常大批次的交易,或者涉及大量比特币从一个地址移动到另一个地址的交易。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>What happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?</li> </ul> One consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>如果比特币供应量未能达到 2100 万的上限会发生什么?</li></ul>比特币未能达到计划上限的一个后果是,它留下了加密货币网络在2140年后长期保持功能的可能性。与比特币的经济学保持一致,确认这些区块的回报将是最小的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral\">Investopedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195802602","content_text":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.\nAs of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.\nWhen Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.\nBitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.\nBitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.\n\nOne of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.\nBitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the cryptocurrency.\nAs Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on block rewards and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.\nHowever, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.\nWill Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?\nBefore delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.\nTo recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.\nThe rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia\nWhen the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.\n\nImportant:The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens.\n\nAccording to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.\nWhile it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.\nWhat Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?\nA consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.\nCan the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.\nThat said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.\nImportant:Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.\nFor example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's blockchain to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create hard or soft forks that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.\nEffect on Bitcoin Miners\nBlock rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.\nWhen Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.\nIn both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value. The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.\nAnother possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.\nThe formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.\nEffect on Bitcoin's Network\nThe most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.\nIf Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.\nIn such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.\nA second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.\nEffect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency\nBitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem as a Wild West.\nBy the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have made the cryptocurrency legal tender.\n\nFAST FACT\n\n\n El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency.\n\nIn the United States, the latest significant events are the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.\nThe increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.\nThe Bottom Line\nBitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.\nWhen Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.\nBut none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.\nFrequently Asked Questions\n\nWhat is Bitcoin's total supply?\n\nThe total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.\n\nWhat will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?\n\nWhen Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.\n\nWhat will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?\n\nWhen Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.\n\nWhat happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?\n\nOne consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GBTC":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9,"MBTmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":156342004,"gmtCreate":1625198438308,"gmtModify":1633942621742,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Because it's all or nothing! It's better than lottery in many ways!!","listText":"Because it's all or nothing! It's better than lottery in many ways!!","text":"Because it's all or nothing! It's better than lottery in many ways!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156342004","repostId":"1133090424","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805451303,"gmtCreate":1627901696202,"gmtModify":1631893705541,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oooh it's going up again!!!!","listText":"Oooh it's going up again!!!!","text":"Oooh it's going up again!!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805451303","repostId":"1131923658","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131923658","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627898076,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1131923658?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 17:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131923658","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second q","content":"<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度收益和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示:“2021 年第二季度,我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过 200,000 辆汽车,实现了 11% 的营业利润率,并有史以来首次超过 [10 亿美元] GAAP 净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对该季度的近距离观察,由报告中的五个必看要点捕捉到。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.收入达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长 121%,特斯拉的收入同比飙升 98%,达到约 120 亿美元。这打破了分析师对 113 亿美元收入的平均预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然,有了这样的收入,看到利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的 1.04 亿美元增至 11.4 亿美元。非 GAAP(调整后)净利润同比增长 258%,达到 16 亿美元。这意味着非 GAAP 每股收益为 1.45 美元,远远高于分析师普遍预期的 0.98 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长证明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流,即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的 4.18 亿美元增加到 6.19 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从 2021 年第一季度的 171 亿美元下降至 162 亿美元,但这主要是由于 16 亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.车辆需求强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示,对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上,需求如此强劲,以至于该公司面临供应限制。“全球需求仍然强劲,我们的生产受到可用零部件供应的限制,”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 未来将有更强劲的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是,特斯拉仍然对其增长轨迹持乐观态度。该公司表示,预计今年总交付量将同比增长 50% 以上。这意味着2021年的总交付量将超过75万辆。到目前为止,特斯拉今年已交付超过 386,000 辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉指出:“增长率将取决于我们的设备产能、运营效率以及供应链的能力和稳定性。”</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而,投资者担心有几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个高效的市场,贴现上市公司的好消息和坏消息。因此,股价在好消息出现前上涨,在坏消息出现前抛售。有时,市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说——过于乐观,导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本面或内在价值。其他时候,先生。市场过于悲观,导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看,特斯拉的股票都被高估了。例如,TipRanks 估计特斯拉过去 12 个月的股本回报率为 12.41%,而估计特斯拉的内在价值为 160.11 美元,远低于其当前价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾几何时,特斯拉几乎没有竞争,因为它开创的电动汽车(EV)市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而,情况已不再如此,因为通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络来扩大电动汽车生产规模并跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时,新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争,从而侵蚀特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的内容。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币暴露</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底,基于第一季度比特币的激增,特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元。然而,鉴于比特币的波动性,这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>加剧比特币波动性的是将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则。因此,倘其公平值于评估报告期内下跌至低于账面值,则会出现减值亏损。在出售资产之前,公司不能就任何后续公允价值增加收回减值亏损。随着数字货币价格暴跌,特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为 2300 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断,特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺,预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们正在全速制造汽车,但全球芯片短缺情况仍然相当严重,”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里,我们的增长率将取决于我们供应链中最慢的部分,”他补充说,有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham 分析师 Rajvindra Gill 说,特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美,这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“吉尔写道:”即使最近的业绩更加积极,我们也很难证明特斯拉'定价到完美'的估值是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师 Adam Jonas 表示,本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法,特斯拉仍然不是一只价值股,企业市盈率为 70 倍。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯写道:”特斯拉不仅是世界上发展最快的汽车公司之一,也是最赚钱的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师科林·兰根表示,汽车毛利率令人印象深刻,但可能不会持久。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“Langran 写道:”我们认为,由于原料垫成本上升以及随着价格较低的 Model Y SR 在中国上市,混合动力稀释,第三季度/第四季度的汽车利润率将会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B. of A. Securities 的约翰·墨菲 (John Murphy) 语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很快,“竞争还是很激烈的,”他说。“(特斯拉的)运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”,墨菲将该股的目标价从 750 美元上调至 800 美元,比周二的价格上涨了约 26%。他维持了该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 17:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度收益和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示:“2021 年第二季度,我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过 200,000 辆汽车,实现了 11% 的营业利润率,并有史以来首次超过 [10 亿美元] GAAP 净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对该季度的近距离观察,由报告中的五个必看要点捕捉到。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.收入达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长 121%,特斯拉的收入同比飙升 98%,达到约 120 亿美元。这打破了分析师对 113 亿美元收入的平均预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然,有了这样的收入,看到利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的 1.04 亿美元增至 11.4 亿美元。非 GAAP(调整后)净利润同比增长 258%,达到 16 亿美元。这意味着非 GAAP 每股收益为 1.45 美元,远远高于分析师普遍预期的 0.98 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长证明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流,即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的 4.18 亿美元增加到 6.19 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从 2021 年第一季度的 171 亿美元下降至 162 亿美元,但这主要是由于 16 亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.车辆需求强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示,对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上,需求如此强劲,以至于该公司面临供应限制。“全球需求仍然强劲,我们的生产受到可用零部件供应的限制,”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 未来将有更强劲的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是,特斯拉仍然对其增长轨迹持乐观态度。该公司表示,预计今年总交付量将同比增长 50% 以上。这意味着2021年的总交付量将超过75万辆。到目前为止,特斯拉今年已交付超过 386,000 辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉指出:“增长率将取决于我们的设备产能、运营效率以及供应链的能力和稳定性。”</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而,投资者担心有几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个高效的市场,贴现上市公司的好消息和坏消息。因此,股价在好消息出现前上涨,在坏消息出现前抛售。有时,市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说——过于乐观,导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本面或内在价值。其他时候,先生。市场过于悲观,导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看,特斯拉的股票都被高估了。例如,TipRanks 估计特斯拉过去 12 个月的股本回报率为 12.41%,而估计特斯拉的内在价值为 160.11 美元,远低于其当前价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾几何时,特斯拉几乎没有竞争,因为它开创的电动汽车(EV)市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而,情况已不再如此,因为通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络来扩大电动汽车生产规模并跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时,新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争,从而侵蚀特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的内容。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币暴露</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底,基于第一季度比特币的激增,特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元。然而,鉴于比特币的波动性,这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>加剧比特币波动性的是将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则。因此,倘其公平值于评估报告期内下跌至低于账面值,则会出现减值亏损。在出售资产之前,公司不能就任何后续公允价值增加收回减值亏损。随着数字货币价格暴跌,特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为 2300 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断,特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺,预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们正在全速制造汽车,但全球芯片短缺情况仍然相当严重,”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里,我们的增长率将取决于我们供应链中最慢的部分,”他补充说,有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham 分析师 Rajvindra Gill 说,特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美,这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“吉尔写道:”即使最近的业绩更加积极,我们也很难证明特斯拉'定价到完美'的估值是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师 Adam Jonas 表示,本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法,特斯拉仍然不是一只价值股,企业市盈率为 70 倍。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯写道:”特斯拉不仅是世界上发展最快的汽车公司之一,也是最赚钱的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师科林·兰根表示,汽车毛利率令人印象深刻,但可能不会持久。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“Langran 写道:”我们认为,由于原料垫成本上升以及随着价格较低的 Model Y SR 在中国上市,混合动力稀释,第三季度/第四季度的汽车利润率将会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B. of A. Securities 的约翰·墨菲 (John Murphy) 语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很快,“竞争还是很激烈的,”他说。“(特斯拉的)运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”,墨菲将该股的目标价从 750 美元上调至 800 美元,比周二的价格上涨了约 26%。他维持了该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131923658","content_text":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"\nHere's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.\n1. Revenue hit $12 billion\nHelped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.\n2. Profits skyrocketed\nOf course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.\nThe outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.\n3. Free cash flow remains healthy\nTesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.\nTotal cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.\n4. Vehicle demand is robust\nTesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.\n5. There's more sharp growth to come\nImportantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.\n\"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.\nFour Challenges to Tesla’s Growth\nHowever,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.\nHigh Valuation\nWall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.\nTesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.\nCompetition from Colonizers\nOnce, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.\nThese \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.\nBitcoin Exposure\nTesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.\nAdding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.\nRising Material Costs\nTogether with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.\n\"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.\nMixed reviews from Wall Street\nNeedham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.\n“Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.\nMorgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.\n“Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.\nWells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.\n“We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.\nJohn Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"\nThe quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155961332,"gmtCreate":1625369856226,"gmtModify":1631883987652,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy more buy more! Just keep buying crash or not","listText":"Buy more buy more! Just keep buying crash or not","text":"Buy more buy more! Just keep buying crash or not","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155961332","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1188153141?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>苏兹·奥曼 (Suze Orman) 担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让包括苏兹-奥曼(Suze Orman)在内的投资专家感到担忧,她甚至表示自己现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一个著名指标——被称为巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对这种担忧从何而来的解释,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏兹·奥曼怎么想?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>媒体打孔/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>苏兹·奥曼几十年来一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼在 CNBC 的一段视频中说:”我不喜欢我现在在市场上看到的情况。“经济形势很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样简单,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激检查仍在进行中,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍然担心冠状病毒会带来什么——尤其是在新变种不断涌现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得自从上次撞车以来,已经太久了,不能再在这个高度停留太久了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说:”这让我再次想起了 2000 年。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦-巴菲特(Warren Buffett)经常用来评估市场的一个指标,以他的名字命名,这个指标已经出现了足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑它是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但巴菲特指标(衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出之比的指标)继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士不禁要问,这是否是我们即将迎来一场硬着陆的征兆。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为撞车做好准备Freedomz / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 低买入</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等备受关注的股票感到非常不安,部分原因是它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“她说:”你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面。“你只想让这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金是在 401(k) 或 IRA 计划中用于退休投资。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年都不打算动用这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低价买入。这样,您的美元现在将走得更远,为未来 20、30 或 40 年的增长留下充足的空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡特延 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然奥曼更喜欢低价买入,但她并不建议您在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的起伏之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济衰退欢呼可能是你获得更多利润丰厚投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在 2007 年和 2008 年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说:”当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费买到东西。“现在看看 15 年后的他们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议您制定美元成本平均策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,您都要定期等额投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易在目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中实现。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至还有一些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的备用零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助抵御市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过对许多不同类型资产和经济部门的投资来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法可以让你购买一家大牌公司的股份,否则你将买不起这部分股份。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在不受欢迎的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的任何人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼说:”越早开始,你的钱就越多。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该非常高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的股票”。</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股份越多,20 年、40 年、50 年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在 CNBC 视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否迫在眉睫,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择罗斯账户,无论是 401(k) 还是 IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>当您从退休账户中提取资金时,这将帮助您避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的缴款是在税后进行的。另一方面,传统的 IRA 在您供款时无需缴税,因此您最终会在以后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果你发现你需要更多的指导,与专业的财务顾问合作,可以帮助你指出正确的方向,这样你就可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离航向或过度纠正时,你将牢牢掌握在驾驶座上,计划着你的夕阳西下。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>苏兹·奥曼 (Suze Orman) 担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>苏兹·奥曼 (Suze Orman) 担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让包括苏兹-奥曼(Suze Orman)在内的投资专家感到担忧,她甚至表示自己现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一个著名指标——被称为巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对这种担忧从何而来的解释,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏兹·奥曼怎么想?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>媒体打孔/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>苏兹·奥曼几十年来一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼在 CNBC 的一段视频中说:”我不喜欢我现在在市场上看到的情况。“经济形势很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样简单,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激检查仍在进行中,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍然担心冠状病毒会带来什么——尤其是在新变种不断涌现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得自从上次撞车以来,已经太久了,不能再在这个高度停留太久了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说:”这让我再次想起了 2000 年。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦-巴菲特(Warren Buffett)经常用来评估市场的一个指标,以他的名字命名,这个指标已经出现了足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑它是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但巴菲特指标(衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出之比的指标)继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士不禁要问,这是否是我们即将迎来一场硬着陆的征兆。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为撞车做好准备Freedomz / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 低买入</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等备受关注的股票感到非常不安,部分原因是它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“她说:”你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面。“你只想让这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金是在 401(k) 或 IRA 计划中用于退休投资。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年都不打算动用这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低价买入。这样,您的美元现在将走得更远,为未来 20、30 或 40 年的增长留下充足的空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡特延 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然奥曼更喜欢低价买入,但她并不建议您在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的起伏之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济衰退欢呼可能是你获得更多利润丰厚投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在 2007 年和 2008 年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说:”当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费买到东西。“现在看看 15 年后的他们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议您制定美元成本平均策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,您都要定期等额投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易在目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中实现。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至还有一些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的备用零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助抵御市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过对许多不同类型资产和经济部门的投资来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法可以让你购买一家大牌公司的股份,否则你将买不起这部分股份。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在不受欢迎的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的任何人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼说:”越早开始,你的钱就越多。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该非常高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的股票”。</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股份越多,20 年、40 年、50 年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在 CNBC 视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否迫在眉睫,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择罗斯账户,无论是 401(k) 还是 IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>当您从退休账户中提取资金时,这将帮助您避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的缴款是在税后进行的。另一方面,传统的 IRA 在您供款时无需缴税,因此您最终会在以后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果你发现你需要更多的指导,与专业的财务顾问合作,可以帮助你指出正确的方向,这样你就可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离航向或过度纠正时,你将牢牢掌握在驾驶座上,计划着你的夕阳西下。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":602963460,"gmtCreate":1638958308754,"gmtModify":1638958309096,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Would you buy them???","listText":"Would you buy them???","text":"Would you buy them???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602963460","repostId":"1136716851","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136716851","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638955203,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1136716851?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-08 17:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading<blockquote>部分疫苗股盘前交易回调</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136716851","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading.Novavax,BioNTech SE,Moderna and Pfizer fell betwe","content":"<p>Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading.Novavax,BioNTech SE,Moderna and Pfizer fell between 3% and 7%.</p><p><blockquote>一些疫苗股在盘前交易中回调。Novavax、BioNTech SE、Moderna 和辉瑞下跌 3% 至 7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5fc2db6a961be0363c3be880585ad0f\" tg-width=\"404\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading<blockquote>部分疫苗股盘前交易回调</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading<blockquote>部分疫苗股盘前交易回调</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-08 17:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading.Novavax,BioNTech SE,Moderna and Pfizer fell between 3% and 7%.</p><p><blockquote>一些疫苗股在盘前交易中回调。Novavax、BioNTech SE、Moderna 和辉瑞下跌 3% 至 7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5fc2db6a961be0363c3be880585ad0f\" tg-width=\"404\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","PFE":"辉瑞","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136716851","content_text":"Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading.Novavax,BioNTech SE,Moderna and Pfizer fell between 3% and 7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVAX":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608479975,"gmtCreate":1638784343991,"gmtModify":1638784374053,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh apple! ","listText":"Oh apple! ","text":"Oh apple!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608479975","repostId":"2189470506","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846176867,"gmtCreate":1636070568092,"gmtModify":1636070568567,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yes rise rise again! No correction! ","listText":"Yes rise rise again! No correction! ","text":"Yes rise rise again! No correction!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846176867","repostId":"1128227989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128227989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636067303,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1128227989?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长型股票的推动下,标普500和纳斯达克延续创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128227989","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.Financials dropped 1","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)--标普500和纳斯达克周四上涨,将连续六个交易日的历史新高收盘纪录延长,原因是高通(Qualcomm)强劲的财务预测以及投资者消化了美联储开始减少每月债券购买量的决定后,芯片制造商股价大涨。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数小幅下跌,结束了连续四点收盘的纪录。摩根大通和高盛集团银行股的下跌给蓝筹股指数带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Financials dropped 1.3%, most among S&P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.</p><p><blockquote>由于美国国债收益率下降,金融股下跌 1.3%,其中大部分是标普500板块,在美联储表示不急于加息的第二天,市场放松了对美联储加快加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>“约翰-汉考克投资管理公司(John Hancock Investment Management)联席首席投资策略师马修-米斯金(Matthew Miskin)说:”今天,市场的增长端看到了更多积极的结果,因为它们受益于收益率的下降。</blockquote></p><p> “The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于美联储宣布缩减收益率,市场总体上一直在为更高的收益率做好准备。当我们今天走进去时,这种情况发生了逆转”。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 33.35 点,或 0.09%,至 36,124.23 点;标普500指数上涨 19.49 点,或 0.42%,至 4,680.06 点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨 128.72 点,或 0.81%,至 15,940.31 点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&P 500 value index fell 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数上涨1.2%,标普500价值指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among S&P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500板块中,科技和非必需消费品领涨,均上涨约1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.</p><p><blockquote>高通股价上涨 12.7%,该公司预测本季度利润和收入将好于预期,原因是手机、汽车和其他互联网连接设备中使用的芯片需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.</p><p><blockquote>费城东南半导体指数上涨3.5%,英伟达飙升12%。</blockquote></p><p> Better-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>好于预期的第三季度盈利有助于提振股市情绪。据 Refinitiv IBES 称,由于约有 420 家公司提交了报告,标普500第三季度盈利预计将比去年同期增长 41.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.</p><p><blockquote>“爱德华-琼斯(Edward Jones)投资策略师克雷格-费尔(Craig Fehr)说:”企业盈利情况仍然相当光明。</blockquote></p><p> “The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场正在奖励那些超出预期并上调前景的公司,而市场正在惩罚那些未能达到本季度预期的公司,更重要的是,也许是预示着前景更加黯淡的公司。”</blockquote></p><p> Moderna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna 股价暴跌约 18%,该公司将 2021 年 COVID-19 疫苗的销售预测削减了多达 50 亿美元,努力填充小瓶并进行分销,以满足前所未有的全球需求。Moderna 股价拖累标普500医疗保健板块,该板块下跌 0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示,上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至近20个月来的最低水平,表明经济正在重获动力。投资者将从周五的月度就业报告中获得对经济的批判性看法。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.12 比 1;在纳斯达克,1.24 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 75 个 52 周新高和 5 个新低;纳斯达克综合指数创下224个新高和38个新低。</blockquote></p><p> About 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有 113 亿股股票易手,高于过去 20 个交易日的日均 104 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长型股票的推动下,标普500和纳斯达克延续创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长型股票的推动下,标普500和纳斯达克延续创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-05 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)--标普500和纳斯达克周四上涨,将连续六个交易日的历史新高收盘纪录延长,原因是高通(Qualcomm)强劲的财务预测以及投资者消化了美联储开始减少每月债券购买量的决定后,芯片制造商股价大涨。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数小幅下跌,结束了连续四点收盘的纪录。摩根大通和高盛集团银行股的下跌给蓝筹股指数带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Financials dropped 1.3%, most among S&P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.</p><p><blockquote>由于美国国债收益率下降,金融股下跌 1.3%,其中大部分是标普500板块,在美联储表示不急于加息的第二天,市场放松了对美联储加快加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>“约翰-汉考克投资管理公司(John Hancock Investment Management)联席首席投资策略师马修-米斯金(Matthew Miskin)说:”今天,市场的增长端看到了更多积极的结果,因为它们受益于收益率的下降。</blockquote></p><p> “The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于美联储宣布缩减收益率,市场总体上一直在为更高的收益率做好准备。当我们今天走进去时,这种情况发生了逆转”。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 33.35 点,或 0.09%,至 36,124.23 点;标普500指数上涨 19.49 点,或 0.42%,至 4,680.06 点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨 128.72 点,或 0.81%,至 15,940.31 点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&P 500 value index fell 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数上涨1.2%,标普500价值指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among S&P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500板块中,科技和非必需消费品领涨,均上涨约1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.</p><p><blockquote>高通股价上涨 12.7%,该公司预测本季度利润和收入将好于预期,原因是手机、汽车和其他互联网连接设备中使用的芯片需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.</p><p><blockquote>费城东南半导体指数上涨3.5%,英伟达飙升12%。</blockquote></p><p> Better-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>好于预期的第三季度盈利有助于提振股市情绪。据 Refinitiv IBES 称,由于约有 420 家公司提交了报告,标普500第三季度盈利预计将比去年同期增长 41.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.</p><p><blockquote>“爱德华-琼斯(Edward Jones)投资策略师克雷格-费尔(Craig Fehr)说:”企业盈利情况仍然相当光明。</blockquote></p><p> “The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场正在奖励那些超出预期并上调前景的公司,而市场正在惩罚那些未能达到本季度预期的公司,更重要的是,也许是预示着前景更加黯淡的公司。”</blockquote></p><p> Moderna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna 股价暴跌约 18%,该公司将 2021 年 COVID-19 疫苗的销售预测削减了多达 50 亿美元,努力填充小瓶并进行分销,以满足前所未有的全球需求。Moderna 股价拖累标普500医疗保健板块,该板块下跌 0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示,上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至近20个月来的最低水平,表明经济正在重获动力。投资者将从周五的月度就业报告中获得对经济的批判性看法。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.12 比 1;在纳斯达克,1.24 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 75 个 52 周新高和 5 个新低;纳斯达克综合指数创下224个新高和38个新低。</blockquote></p><p> About 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有 113 亿股股票易手,高于过去 20 个交易日的日均 104 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-nasdaq-extend-record-streaks-with-boost-from-chip-growth-shares-idUSL1N2RV2T0\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-nasdaq-extend-record-streaks-with-boost-from-chip-growth-shares-idUSL1N2RV2T0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128227989","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.\nFinancials dropped 1.3%, most among S&P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.\n“The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.\n“The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.\nThe S&P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&P 500 value index fell 0.5%.\nAmong S&P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.\nQualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.\nBetter-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.\n“The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.\n“The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”\nModerna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.\nData showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.\nAbout 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"OEX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SH":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":158622831,"gmtCreate":1625148369823,"gmtModify":1633944251864,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Can someone explain to me how such stocks works? Is it really worth that price???","listText":"Can someone explain to me how such stocks works? Is it really worth that price???","text":"Can someone explain to me how such stocks works? Is it really worth that price???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158622831","repostId":"1102785683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102785683","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625147492,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1102785683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 21:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Marin software shares Popped 66%<blockquote>Marin software 股价飙升 66%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102785683","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Marin software shares Popped 66% in Thursday morning trading, triggering two circuit breakers.\n\nLast","content":"<p>Marin software shares Popped 66% in Thursday morning trading, triggering two circuit breakers.</p><p><blockquote>Marin software 股价在周四早盘交易中暴涨 66%,引发了两次熔断。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cf92dc7fc8e00fbf6be9eee97b7515e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Last week, Marin shares shot up after it said it had added the ability to manage Instacart advertisements to its flagship MarinOne platform.</p><p><blockquote>上周,Marin 表示已在其旗舰 MarinOne 平台上添加了管理 Instacart 广告的功能,随后股价飙升。</blockquote></p><p> For the first quarter, Marin revenues totaled $6.3 million, a year-over-year increase of 27%, while earnings per share stood at minus 0.22.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度,Marin 收入总计 630 万美元,同比增长 27%,每股收益为负 0.22。</blockquote></p><p> On a year-to-date basis, MRIN shares have shot up 782%. Early Tuesday, Marin topped the list of 10 trending streams as arranged by Stocktwits.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止,MRIN 股价已上涨 782%。周二早些时候,根据Stocktwits的排名,Marin在10个趋势流名单中名列榜首。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Marin software shares Popped 66%<blockquote>Marin software 股价飙升 66%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMarin software shares Popped 66%<blockquote>Marin software 股价飙升 66%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-01 21:51</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Marin software shares Popped 66% in Thursday morning trading, triggering two circuit breakers.</p><p><blockquote>Marin software 股价在周四早盘交易中暴涨 66%,引发了两次熔断。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cf92dc7fc8e00fbf6be9eee97b7515e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Last week, Marin shares shot up after it said it had added the ability to manage Instacart advertisements to its flagship MarinOne platform.</p><p><blockquote>上周,Marin 表示已在其旗舰 MarinOne 平台上添加了管理 Instacart 广告的功能,随后股价飙升。</blockquote></p><p> For the first quarter, Marin revenues totaled $6.3 million, a year-over-year increase of 27%, while earnings per share stood at minus 0.22.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度,Marin 收入总计 630 万美元,同比增长 27%,每股收益为负 0.22。</blockquote></p><p> On a year-to-date basis, MRIN shares have shot up 782%. Early Tuesday, Marin topped the list of 10 trending streams as arranged by Stocktwits.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止,MRIN 股价已上涨 782%。周二早些时候,根据Stocktwits的排名,Marin在10个趋势流名单中名列榜首。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102785683","content_text":"Marin software shares Popped 66% in Thursday morning trading, triggering two circuit breakers.\n\nLast week, Marin shares shot up after it said it had added the ability to manage Instacart advertisements to its flagship MarinOne platform.\nFor the first quarter, Marin revenues totaled $6.3 million, a year-over-year increase of 27%, while earnings per share stood at minus 0.22.\nOn a year-to-date basis, MRIN shares have shot up 782%. Early Tuesday, Marin topped the list of 10 trending streams as arranged by Stocktwits.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":691816467,"gmtCreate":1640164287279,"gmtModify":1640164287660,"author":{"id":"3581896632900578","authorId":"3581896632900578","name":"Baoxiaolong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3807f63227b4128c0ee5f1811f39e3eb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581896632900578","idStr":"3581896632900578"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"My Alibaba gg","listText":"My Alibaba gg","text":"My Alibaba gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691816467","repostId":"1148919660","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148919660","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640163718,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1148919660?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 17:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌 3.45%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148919660","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading.Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.","content":"<p>Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aca7dde9ba9b99094907e05817f461b\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"593\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌3.45%。据国家支持的媒体报道,中国监管机构已暂停与电子商务集团阿里巴巴-SW集团子公司阿里巴巴-SW云计算的信息共享合作伙伴关系,原因是该公司被指控未能及时报告和解决网络安全漏洞。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌 3.45%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌 3.45%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-22 17:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aca7dde9ba9b99094907e05817f461b\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"593\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在盘前交易中下跌3.45%。据国家支持的媒体报道,中国监管机构已暂停与电子商务集团阿里巴巴-SW集团子公司阿里巴巴-SW云计算的信息共享合作伙伴关系,原因是该公司被指控未能及时报告和解决网络安全漏洞。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148919660","content_text":"Alibaba shares fell 3.45% in premarket trading.Chinese regulators have suspended an information-sharing partnership with Alibaba Cloud Computing, a subsidiary of e-commerce conglomerate Alibaba Group, over accusations it failed to promptly report and address a cybersecurity vulnerability, according to state-backed media reports.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}