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CK11

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2021-12-23

Good.

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2021-12-18

Like MSFT

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2021-12-11

Is this an opportunity?

Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘再下跌9%</blockquote>

2021-08-26

Ok

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2021-07-03

Excited..

Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW能否在2021年下半年扭转颓势？</blockquote>

2021-06-22

Come again..

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2021-06-18

Baba is innovative company..

Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>

2021-06-17

Good new for market.

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2021-06-16

Oh really?

3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote>

2021-06-14

Grab app offer a lot of stuff now..

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2021-06-13

Pfizer look good.

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2021-06-12

When share price drop 70 - 80% speculator can become long term investor as well.

Investor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?<blockquote>投资者、交易者、投机者：你是哪一个？</blockquote>

2021-06-11

Phone =iPhone & EV car =.....?

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2021-06-10

No wonder hacker still around..

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2021-06-09

MSFT still a growth story.

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2021-06-08

Don't be so serious..

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2021-06-07

Is this a good new?

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2021-06-05

MSFT.

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2021-06-04

EV is for long term.

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2021-06-02

The world take times to go back to normal life..

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去老虎APP查看更多动态

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trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>Grab股价继昨天下跌超过9%后，早盘又下跌9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/963eb8dd73ce8daa0d852d63f0bcc276\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘再下跌9%</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘再下跌9%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 23:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>Grab股价继昨天下跌超过9%后，早盘又下跌9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/963eb8dd73ce8daa0d852d63f0bcc276\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134450838","content_text":"Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":810950799,"gmtCreate":1629940699311,"gmtModify":1633681305457,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810950799","repostId":"1197778368","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152242901,"gmtCreate":1625302572303,"gmtModify":1633941589974,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Excited..&nbsp;","listText":"Excited..&nbsp;","text":"Excited..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":27,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152242901","repostId":"1146176335","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146176335","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625277627,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146176335?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW能否在2021年下半年扭转颓势？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146176335","media":"The Street","summary":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?Alibaba  -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.Howeve","content":"<p>  Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?  Alibaba&nbsp;(<b>BABA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.</p><p><blockquote>与大型股和超大型股同行相比，阿里巴巴-SW一直严重落后。这种情况会在2021年下半年改变吗？阿里巴巴-SW(<b>巴巴</b>）-今年到目前为止，Get报告一直是一只狗。该股在2020年第四季度一直交易良好，但随后一系列问题重创了该股。</blockquote></p><p> Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构扰乱了蚂蚁金服的首次公开募股，然后深入调查了阿里巴巴-SW并加大了力度。</blockquote></p><p> Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不喜欢监管问题，尤其是当我们与中国监管机构打交道时。</blockquote></p><p> However, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.</p><p><blockquote>然而，四月份，阿里巴巴-SW支付了低于预期但仍创历史新高的罚款，希望将监管问题抛在脑后。尽管如此，该股的反应并没有像多头希望的那样。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes as the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>所有这一切都发生在标普500和纳斯达克继续超越历史新高之际。</blockquote></p><p> It also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet&nbsp;(<b>GOOGL</b>) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，FAANG股票的交易继续非常好。Alphabet(<b>GOOGL</b>)-Get Reportis是表现最好的公司，上半年涨幅接近40%，而Netflix(<b>NFLX</b>）-Get报告最差，下降了2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW上半年表现类似，下跌2.6%。然而，它的表现比高点差得多，下跌了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Can it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?</p><p><blockquote>它能否在下半年扭转困境并开始反弹？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9975f383919ff8cfc34fca49a32d8e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Call me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权我是一个无可救药的乐观主义者，但我觉得阿里巴巴-SW下半场可以有稳定的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better&nbsp;- it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”</p><p><blockquote>整体市场表现太好了，大型科技股也是如此。业务基本面完好，增长强劲。就像亚马逊（<b>AMZN</b>)-获取报告。最终，它会表现得更好——这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Shares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.</p><p><blockquote>股价继续守住210美元至212美元区域，最近已清除下行阻力（蓝线）。也就是说，还有很多障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，阿里巴巴-SW股票在21周移动平均线以及21个月和10个月移动平均线上苦苦挣扎。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.</p><p><blockquote>让我们明确一点：这里没有很多看涨的技术成分。如果阿里巴巴-SW股票能够在本周下跌时守住10周移动平均线，我会感觉更好。</blockquote></p><p> However, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，只要它能够保持在210美元水平和200周移动平均线以上，我对阿里巴巴-SW进入未来六个月感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> A push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.</p><p><blockquote>突破235美元——从而突破上述所有移动平均线障碍——可能会上涨至250美元，然后是263美元。275美元以上和300美元正在发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> Keep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.</p><p><blockquote>请记住风险，但这可能是一场稳固的下半场反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW能否在2021年下半年扭转颓势？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW能否在2021年下半年扭转颓势？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 10:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?  Alibaba&nbsp;(<b>BABA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.</p><p><blockquote>与大型股和超大型股同行相比，阿里巴巴-SW一直严重落后。这种情况会在2021年下半年改变吗？阿里巴巴-SW(<b>巴巴</b>）-今年到目前为止，Get报告一直是一只狗。该股在2020年第四季度一直交易良好，但随后一系列问题重创了该股。</blockquote></p><p> Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构扰乱了蚂蚁金服的首次公开募股，然后深入调查了阿里巴巴-SW并加大了力度。</blockquote></p><p> Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不喜欢监管问题，尤其是当我们与中国监管机构打交道时。</blockquote></p><p> However, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.</p><p><blockquote>然而，四月份，阿里巴巴-SW支付了低于预期但仍创历史新高的罚款，希望将监管问题抛在脑后。尽管如此，该股的反应并没有像多头希望的那样。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes as the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>所有这一切都发生在标普500和纳斯达克继续超越历史新高之际。</blockquote></p><p> It also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet&nbsp;(<b>GOOGL</b>) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，FAANG股票的交易继续非常好。Alphabet(<b>GOOGL</b>)-Get Reportis是表现最好的公司，上半年涨幅接近40%，而Netflix(<b>NFLX</b>）-Get报告最差，下降了2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW上半年表现类似，下跌2.6%。然而，它的表现比高点差得多，下跌了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Can it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?</p><p><blockquote>它能否在下半年扭转困境并开始反弹？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9975f383919ff8cfc34fca49a32d8e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Call me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权我是一个无可救药的乐观主义者，但我觉得阿里巴巴-SW下半场可以有稳定的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better&nbsp;- it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”</p><p><blockquote>整体市场表现太好了，大型科技股也是如此。业务基本面完好，增长强劲。就像亚马逊（<b>AMZN</b>)-获取报告。最终，它会表现得更好——这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Shares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.</p><p><blockquote>股价继续守住210美元至212美元区域，最近已清除下行阻力（蓝线）。也就是说，还有很多障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，阿里巴巴-SW股票在21周移动平均线以及21个月和10个月移动平均线上苦苦挣扎。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.</p><p><blockquote>让我们明确一点：这里没有很多看涨的技术成分。如果阿里巴巴-SW股票能够在本周下跌时守住10周移动平均线，我会感觉更好。</blockquote></p><p> However, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，只要它能够保持在210美元水平和200周移动平均线以上，我对阿里巴巴-SW进入未来六个月感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> A push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.</p><p><blockquote>突破235美元——从而突破上述所有移动平均线障碍——可能会上涨至250美元，然后是263美元。275美元以上和300美元正在发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> Keep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.</p><p><blockquote>请记住风险，但这可能是一场稳固的下半场反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09618":"京东集团-SW","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146176335","content_text":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n\nAlibaba (BABA) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.\nRegulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.\nInvestors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.\nHowever, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.\nAll of this comes as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.\nIt also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet (GOOGL) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix (NFLX) -Get Report is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.\nAlibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.\nCan it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?\n\nCall me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.\nThe overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon (AMZN) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better - it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”\nShares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.\nSpecifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.\nLet’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.\nHowever, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.\nA push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.\nKeep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120204915,"gmtCreate":1624323597837,"gmtModify":1634007837209,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come again..&nbsp;","listText":"Come again..&nbsp;","text":"Come again..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":26,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120204915","repostId":"2145459036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168547305,"gmtCreate":1623979655407,"gmtModify":1634024845989,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Baba is innovative company..&nbsp;","listText":"Baba is innovative company..&nbsp;","text":"Baba is innovative company..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":28,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168547305","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163484412,"gmtCreate":1623891405436,"gmtModify":1634026368950,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good new for market.&nbsp;","listText":"Good new for market.&nbsp;","text":"Good new for market.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":26,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163484412","repostId":"2144270718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169052581,"gmtCreate":1623810123343,"gmtModify":1634027766176,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh really?&nbsp;","listText":"Oh really?&nbsp;","text":"Oh really?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":23,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169052581","repostId":"1142443814","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142443814","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1623802730,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142443814?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 08:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142443814","media":"Benzinga","summary":"So far in 2021, the Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return ","content":"<p>So far in 2021, the&nbsp;<b>Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF</b>&nbsp;is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of the<b>Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund</b>.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，<b>先锋价值指数基金ETF</b>上涨17.4%，几乎是年初至今回报率的两倍<b>科技精选行业SPDR基金</b>.</blockquote></p><p> Over the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，科技股落后于价值股的时期是短暂而甜蜜的，但LPL Financial表示，科技股在可预见的未来可能不再引领市场走高，至少有三个原因。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.</li>  <li>Second, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.</li>  <li>Third, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.</li> </ul> “It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，许多在社交距离和远程工作时期蓬勃发展的科技股将面临极其困难的竞争，并在未来几个季度报告增长放缓。与此同时，在停工期间陷入困境的工业、材料和能源行业的价值股将受益于重新开放后被压抑的需求。</li><li>其次，与历史平均水平相比，科技行业目前25的预期市盈率相对较高。此外，罗素1000成长指数目前估值较罗素1000价值指数溢价60%，为近20年来最高溢价。</li><li>第三，从技术角度来看，科技板块似乎正在滚动。自9月初以来，该行业一直落后于标普500，表明科技股的势头已经停滞。</li></ul>LPL股票策略师杰弗里·布赫宾德(Jeffrey Buchbinder)周二表示：“鉴于许多科技公司强劲的基本面和快速的创新步伐，很难不喜欢科技。但我们预计，随着经济重新开放，金融、工业和材料等周期性价值板块将在今年剩余时间内表现更好。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>仅仅因为科技股不再引领市场走高，并不意味着投资者应该抛售所有科技股，转而购买价值股。2021年，科技行业中肯定仍会有表现出色的公司跻身市场涨幅最大的公司之列，但过去十年投资整个行业带来的轻松资金可能在未来几个季度中更难获得。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-16 08:18</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>So far in 2021, the&nbsp;<b>Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF</b>&nbsp;is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of the<b>Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund</b>.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，<b>先锋价值指数基金ETF</b>上涨17.4%，几乎是年初至今回报率的两倍<b>科技精选行业SPDR基金</b>.</blockquote></p><p> Over the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，科技股落后于价值股的时期是短暂而甜蜜的，但LPL Financial表示，科技股在可预见的未来可能不再引领市场走高，至少有三个原因。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.</li>  <li>Second, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.</li>  <li>Third, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.</li> </ul> “It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，许多在社交距离和远程工作时期蓬勃发展的科技股将面临极其困难的竞争，并在未来几个季度报告增长放缓。与此同时，在停工期间陷入困境的工业、材料和能源行业的价值股将受益于重新开放后被压抑的需求。</li><li>其次，与历史平均水平相比，科技行业目前25的预期市盈率相对较高。此外，罗素1000成长指数目前估值较罗素1000价值指数溢价60%，为近20年来最高溢价。</li><li>第三，从技术角度来看，科技板块似乎正在滚动。自9月初以来，该行业一直落后于标普500，表明科技股的势头已经停滞。</li></ul>LPL股票策略师杰弗里·布赫宾德(Jeffrey Buchbinder)周二表示：“鉴于许多科技公司强劲的基本面和快速的创新步伐，很难不喜欢科技。但我们预计，随着经济重新开放，金融、工业和材料等周期性价值板块将在今年剩余时间内表现更好。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>仅仅因为科技股不再引领市场走高，并不意味着投资者应该抛售所有科技股，转而购买价值股。2021年，科技行业中肯定仍会有表现出色的公司跻身市场涨幅最大的公司之列，但过去十年投资整个行业带来的轻松资金可能在未来几个季度中更难获得。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142443814","content_text":"So far in 2021, the Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of theTechnology Select Sector SPDR Fund.\nOver the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.\n\nFirst, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.\nSecond, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.\nThird, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.\n\n“It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”\nBenzinga’s Take:Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185088144,"gmtCreate":1623627286888,"gmtModify":1634031128248,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Grab app offer a lot of stuff now..&nbsp;","listText":"Grab app offer a lot of stuff now..&nbsp;","text":"Grab app offer a lot of stuff now..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185088144","repostId":"1128243947","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186745667,"gmtCreate":1623544709659,"gmtModify":1634032038080,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pfizer look good.&nbsp;","listText":"Pfizer look good.&nbsp;","text":"Pfizer look good.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186745667","repostId":"2142788118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186353005,"gmtCreate":1623474938607,"gmtModify":1634032621974,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When share price drop 70 - 80% speculator can become long term investor as well.&nbsp;","listText":"When share price drop 70 - 80% speculator can become long term investor as well.&nbsp;","text":"When share price drop 70 - 80% speculator can become long term investor as well.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186353005","repostId":"1147474880","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147474880","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623470168,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147474880?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-12 11:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?<blockquote>投资者、交易者、投机者：你是哪一个？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147474880","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless ris","content":"<p>  Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless risk.  I’ve had it.</p><p><blockquote>了解投机和投资之间的区别对于避免鲁莽风险至关重要。我受够了。</blockquote></p><p> The Wall Street Journal is wrong, and has remained wrong for decades, about one of the most basic distinctions in finance. And I can’t stand it anymore.</p><p><blockquote>关于金融最基本的区别之一，《华尔街日报》是错误的，而且几十年来一直是错误的。我再也受不了了。</blockquote></p><p> If you buy a stock purely because it’s gone up a lot, without doing any research on it whatsoever, you are not—as the Journal and its editors bizarrely insist on calling you—an “investor.” If you buy a cryptocurrency because, hey, that sounds like fun, you aren’t an investor either.</p><p><blockquote>如果你购买一只股票纯粹是因为它上涨了很多，而没有对其进行任何研究，那么你就不是——正如《华尔街日报》及其编辑奇怪地坚持这样称呼你的那样——“投资者”。如果你购买加密货币是因为，嘿，这听起来很有趣，你也不是投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Whenever you buy any financial asset becauseyou have a hunchorjust for kicks, or becausesomebody famous is hyping the heck out of itoreverybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.</p><p><blockquote>每当你购买任何金融资产是因为你有一个只是为了好玩，或者因为某个名人正在大肆宣传它，而其他人似乎也在购买它，你就不是在投资。</blockquote></p><p> You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may bea speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.</p><p><blockquote>你绝对是一个交易者：刚刚购买了一项资产的人。你可能是一个投机者：认为其他人会比你付出更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p> Of course,some folkswho buy meme stocks likeGameStopCorp.GME5.88%<i>are</i>investors. They read the companies’ financial statements, study the health of the underlying businesses and learn who else is betting on or against the shares. Likewise, many buyers of digital coins have put in the time and effort to understand how cryptocurrency works and how it could reshape finance.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有些人购买像GameStopCorp.GME 5.88%这样的模因股票<i>是</i>投资者。他们阅读公司的财务报表，研究基础业务的健康状况，并了解还有谁在做空股票。同样，许多数字硬币的买家也投入了时间和精力来了解加密货币的工作原理以及它如何重塑金融。</blockquote></p><p> An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarilywhether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.</p><p><blockquote>投资者依赖于内部回报来源：收益、收入、资产价值的增长。投机者依赖外部回报来源：主要是其他人是否会支付更多，而不考虑基本价值。</blockquote></p><p> The word investor comes from the Latin “investire,” to dress in or clothe oneself, surround or envelop. You would never wear clothes without knowing what color they are or what material they’re made of. Likewise, you can’t invest in an asset you know nothing about.</p><p><blockquote>投资者这个词来自拉丁语“investire”，意思是穿着或打扮自己，包围或包围。你永远不会在不知道衣服是什么颜色或由什么材料制成的情况下穿衣服。同样，你不能投资你一无所知的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the Journal and its editors have long called almost everybody who buys just about anything an “investor.” On July 12, 1962, the Journal publisheda letter to the editorfrom Benjamin Graham, author of the classic books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor.” That June, complained Graham, the Journal had run an article headlined “Many Small Investors Bet on Further Drops, Sell Odd Lots Short.”</p><p><blockquote>然而，《华尔街日报》及其编辑长期以来一直将几乎所有购买任何东西的人称为“投资者”。1962年7月12日，《华尔街日报》发表了经典著作《证券分析》和《聪明的投资者》的作者本杰明·格雷厄姆写给编辑的一封信。格雷厄姆抱怨说，那年6月，《华尔街日报》发表了一篇文章，标题是“许多小投资者押注进一步下跌，卖空零星股票”。</blockquote></p><p> He wrote: “By what definition of ‘investment’ can one give the name ‘investors’ to small people who make bets on the stock market by selling odd lots short?” (To short an odd lot is to borrow and sell fewer than 100 shares in a wager that a stock will fall—an expensive and risky bet, then and now.)</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“根据‘投资’的什么定义，人们可以给那些通过卖空零头在股市上下注的小人物起‘投资者’这个名字呢？”（做空奇数手就是借入并卖出少于100股的股票，押注股票会下跌——无论在当时还是现在，这都是一个昂贵且有风险的赌注。）</blockquote></p><p> “If these people are investors,” asked Graham, “how should one define ‘speculation’ and ‘speculators’? Isn’t it possible that the currentfailure to distinguishbetweeninvestment and speculationmay do grave harm not only to individuals but to the whole financial community—as it did in the late 1920s?”</p><p><blockquote>“如果这些人是投资者，”格雷厄姆问道，“我们应该如何定义‘投机’和‘投机者’？难道目前未能区分投资和投机的做法，不仅会对个人，而且会对整个金融界造成严重伤害吗——就像20世纪20年代末那样？”</blockquote></p><p> Graham wasn’t a snob who thought that the markets should be the exclusive playground of the rich. He wrote “The Intelligent Investor” with the express purpose of helping less-wealthy people participate wisely in the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>格雷厄姆并不是一个认为市场应该是富人专属游乐场的势利小人。他写了《聪明的投资者》，明确的目的是帮助不太富裕的人明智地参与股市。</blockquote></p><p> In that book, after which this column is named, Graham said, “Outright speculation is neither illegal, immoral, nor (for most people) fattening to the pocketbook.”</p><p><blockquote>格雷厄姆在那本书（本专栏就是以其命名的）中说：“彻头彻尾的投机既不违法、不道德，也（对大多数人来说）不会让钱包发胖。”</blockquote></p><p> However, he warned, it creates three dangers: “(1) speculating when you think you are investing; (2) speculating seriously instead of as a pastime, when you lack proper knowledge and skill for it; and (3) risking more money in speculation than you can afford to lose.”</p><p><blockquote>然而，他警告说，这会带来三种危险：“（1）当你认为自己在投资时进行投机；（2）当你缺乏适当的知识和技能时，认真地投机而不是作为一种消遣；以及（3）冒更多钱的风险投机超出了你的承受能力。”</blockquote></p><p> Most investors speculate a bit every once in a while. Like a lottery ticket or an occasional visit to the racetrack or casino, a little is harmless fun. A lot isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>大多数投资者每隔一段时间就会投机一点。就像彩票或偶尔去赛马场或赌场一样，一点点是无害的乐趣。很多都不是。</blockquote></p><p> If you think you’re investing when you’re speculating, you’ll attribute even momentary success to skill even thoughluck is the likeliest explanation. That can lead you to take reckless risks.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为你在投机时是在投资，你会将哪怕是短暂的成功归因于技能，即使运气是最可能的解释。这会导致你冒鲁莽的风险。</blockquote></p><p> Take speculating too seriously, and it turns intoan obsessionandan addiction. You become incapable of accepting your losses or focusing on the future more than a few minutes ahead. Next thing you know, you’re throwing even more money onto the bonfire.</p><p><blockquote>把投机看得太重，它会变成一种痴迷和上瘾。你变得无法接受你的损失，也无法关注未来超过几分钟。接下来你知道的是，你在篝火上投入了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p> I think calling traders and speculators “investors” shoves many newcomers farther down the slippery slope toward risks they shouldn’t take and losses they can’t afford. I fervently hope the Journal and its editors will finally stop using “investor” as the default term for anyone who makes a trade.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，将交易者和投机者称为“投资者”会将许多新来者推向他们不应该承担的风险和他们无法承受的损失的滑坡。我热切地希望《华尔街日报》及其编辑最终不再使用“投资者”作为任何进行交易的人的默认术语。</blockquote></p><p> “ ‘Investor’ has a long history in the English language as a catch-all term denoting people who commit capital with the expectation of a return, no matter how long or short, no matter how many or how few investing columns they read,” WSJ Financial Editor Charles Forelle said in response to my complaints. “Back at least to the mid-19th century, ‘invest’ has even been used to describe a wager on horses—an activity surely no less divorced from fundamental analysis than a purchase of dogecoin.”</p><p><blockquote>“‘投资者’在英语中作为一个包罗万象的术语有着悠久的历史，指的是那些投入资本并期望回报的人，无论时间长短，无论他们阅读的投资专栏有多少，”《华尔街日报》财经编辑查尔斯·福雷尔在回应我的投诉时说道。“至少可以追溯到19世纪中叶，‘投资’甚至被用来描述赌马——这种活动与基本面分析的脱节程度肯定不亚于购买狗狗币。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I hear you, Boss, but I still think you’re wrong. There’s no way the Journal would say a recreational gambler is “investing” at the racetrack just because a dictionary says we can.</p><p><blockquote>我听到了，老板，但我还是认为你错了。《华尔街日报》不可能仅仅因为字典上说我们可以，就说一个休闲赌徒在赛马场“投资”。</blockquote></p><p> Calling novice speculators “investors” is one of the most powerful ways marketers fuel excessive trading.</p><p><blockquote>将新手投机者称为“投资者”是营销人员助长过度交易的最有力方式之一。</blockquote></p><p> Ina recent Instagram post, a former porn star who goes by the name Lana Rhoades posed in—well, mostly in—a bikini, as she held up what appears to be Graham’s “The Intelligent Investor.” According to IMDb.com, she starred in such videos as “Tushy” and “Make Me Meow.”</p><p><blockquote>在最近的Instagram帖子中，一位名叫拉娜·罗迪斯(Lana Rhoades)的前色情明星穿着——嗯，大部分是穿着——比基尼，举着似乎是格雷厄姆的《聪明的投资者》。据IMDb.com报道，她主演了《Tushy》和《Make Me Meow》等视频。</blockquote></p><p> In her post, which was “liked” by nearly 1.8 million people, Ms. Rhoades announced that she will be promoting a cryptocurrency calledPAWGcoin.</p><p><blockquote>在她被近180万人“点赞”的帖子中，罗迪斯宣布她将推广一种名为PAWGCoin的加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> The currency’s website says the coin is meant for “those who pay homage to developed posteriors.” (PAWG, I’ve been reliably informed, stands for Phat Ass White Girl.)</p><p><blockquote>该货币的网站称，这枚硬币是为“那些向发达的后躯致敬的人”准备的。（我得到可靠消息，PAWG代表胖屁股白人女孩。）</blockquote></p><p> PAWGcoin is up roughly 900% since Ms. Rhoades began promoting it in early June, according to Poocoin.io, a website that tracks such digital currencies.</p><p><blockquote>据追踪此类数字货币的网站Poocoin.io称，自Rhoades女士6月初开始推广PAWGcoin以来，PAWGcoin已上涨约900%。</blockquote></p><p> Ms. Rhoades, who has tweeted “I also read the WSJ every morning,” couldn’t be reached for comment. PAWGcoin’s website encourages visitors to “invest now.”</p><p><blockquote>罗迪斯女士在推特上写道“我每天早上也阅读《华尔街日报》”，但记者无法联系到她置评。PAWGcoin的网站鼓励访问者“立即投资”。</blockquote></p><p> In Ms. Rhoades’s Instagram post, she is holding up an open copy of the “The Intelligent Investor,” whose cover is reversed. She appears to be reading it with her eyes closed.</p><p><blockquote>在罗迪斯的Instagram帖子中，她举着一本打开的《聪明的投资者》，封面是颠倒的。她似乎是闭着眼睛读的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?<blockquote>投资者、交易者、投机者：你是哪一个？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?<blockquote>投资者、交易者、投机者：你是哪一个？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-12 11:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless risk.  I’ve had it.</p><p><blockquote>了解投机和投资之间的区别对于避免鲁莽风险至关重要。我受够了。</blockquote></p><p> The Wall Street Journal is wrong, and has remained wrong for decades, about one of the most basic distinctions in finance. And I can’t stand it anymore.</p><p><blockquote>关于金融最基本的区别之一，《华尔街日报》是错误的，而且几十年来一直是错误的。我再也受不了了。</blockquote></p><p> If you buy a stock purely because it’s gone up a lot, without doing any research on it whatsoever, you are not—as the Journal and its editors bizarrely insist on calling you—an “investor.” If you buy a cryptocurrency because, hey, that sounds like fun, you aren’t an investor either.</p><p><blockquote>如果你购买一只股票纯粹是因为它上涨了很多，而没有对其进行任何研究，那么你就不是——正如《华尔街日报》及其编辑奇怪地坚持这样称呼你的那样——“投资者”。如果你购买加密货币是因为，嘿，这听起来很有趣，你也不是投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Whenever you buy any financial asset becauseyou have a hunchorjust for kicks, or becausesomebody famous is hyping the heck out of itoreverybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.</p><p><blockquote>每当你购买任何金融资产是因为你有一个只是为了好玩，或者因为某个名人正在大肆宣传它，而其他人似乎也在购买它，你就不是在投资。</blockquote></p><p> You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may bea speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.</p><p><blockquote>你绝对是一个交易者：刚刚购买了一项资产的人。你可能是一个投机者：认为其他人会比你付出更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p> Of course,some folkswho buy meme stocks likeGameStopCorp.GME5.88%<i>are</i>investors. They read the companies’ financial statements, study the health of the underlying businesses and learn who else is betting on or against the shares. Likewise, many buyers of digital coins have put in the time and effort to understand how cryptocurrency works and how it could reshape finance.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有些人购买像GameStopCorp.GME 5.88%这样的模因股票<i>是</i>投资者。他们阅读公司的财务报表，研究基础业务的健康状况，并了解还有谁在做空股票。同样，许多数字硬币的买家也投入了时间和精力来了解加密货币的工作原理以及它如何重塑金融。</blockquote></p><p> An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarilywhether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.</p><p><blockquote>投资者依赖于内部回报来源：收益、收入、资产价值的增长。投机者依赖外部回报来源：主要是其他人是否会支付更多，而不考虑基本价值。</blockquote></p><p> The word investor comes from the Latin “investire,” to dress in or clothe oneself, surround or envelop. You would never wear clothes without knowing what color they are or what material they’re made of. Likewise, you can’t invest in an asset you know nothing about.</p><p><blockquote>投资者这个词来自拉丁语“investire”，意思是穿着或打扮自己，包围或包围。你永远不会在不知道衣服是什么颜色或由什么材料制成的情况下穿衣服。同样，你不能投资你一无所知的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the Journal and its editors have long called almost everybody who buys just about anything an “investor.” On July 12, 1962, the Journal publisheda letter to the editorfrom Benjamin Graham, author of the classic books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor.” That June, complained Graham, the Journal had run an article headlined “Many Small Investors Bet on Further Drops, Sell Odd Lots Short.”</p><p><blockquote>然而，《华尔街日报》及其编辑长期以来一直将几乎所有购买任何东西的人称为“投资者”。1962年7月12日，《华尔街日报》发表了经典著作《证券分析》和《聪明的投资者》的作者本杰明·格雷厄姆写给编辑的一封信。格雷厄姆抱怨说，那年6月，《华尔街日报》发表了一篇文章，标题是“许多小投资者押注进一步下跌，卖空零星股票”。</blockquote></p><p> He wrote: “By what definition of ‘investment’ can one give the name ‘investors’ to small people who make bets on the stock market by selling odd lots short?” (To short an odd lot is to borrow and sell fewer than 100 shares in a wager that a stock will fall—an expensive and risky bet, then and now.)</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“根据‘投资’的什么定义，人们可以给那些通过卖空零头在股市上下注的小人物起‘投资者’这个名字呢？”（做空奇数手就是借入并卖出少于100股的股票，押注股票会下跌——无论在当时还是现在，这都是一个昂贵且有风险的赌注。）</blockquote></p><p> “If these people are investors,” asked Graham, “how should one define ‘speculation’ and ‘speculators’? Isn’t it possible that the currentfailure to distinguishbetweeninvestment and speculationmay do grave harm not only to individuals but to the whole financial community—as it did in the late 1920s?”</p><p><blockquote>“如果这些人是投资者，”格雷厄姆问道，“我们应该如何定义‘投机’和‘投机者’？难道目前未能区分投资和投机的做法，不仅会对个人，而且会对整个金融界造成严重伤害吗——就像20世纪20年代末那样？”</blockquote></p><p> Graham wasn’t a snob who thought that the markets should be the exclusive playground of the rich. He wrote “The Intelligent Investor” with the express purpose of helping less-wealthy people participate wisely in the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>格雷厄姆并不是一个认为市场应该是富人专属游乐场的势利小人。他写了《聪明的投资者》，明确的目的是帮助不太富裕的人明智地参与股市。</blockquote></p><p> In that book, after which this column is named, Graham said, “Outright speculation is neither illegal, immoral, nor (for most people) fattening to the pocketbook.”</p><p><blockquote>格雷厄姆在那本书（本专栏就是以其命名的）中说：“彻头彻尾的投机既不违法、不道德，也（对大多数人来说）不会让钱包发胖。”</blockquote></p><p> However, he warned, it creates three dangers: “(1) speculating when you think you are investing; (2) speculating seriously instead of as a pastime, when you lack proper knowledge and skill for it; and (3) risking more money in speculation than you can afford to lose.”</p><p><blockquote>然而，他警告说，这会带来三种危险：“（1）当你认为自己在投资时进行投机；（2）当你缺乏适当的知识和技能时，认真地投机而不是作为一种消遣；以及（3）冒更多钱的风险投机超出了你的承受能力。”</blockquote></p><p> Most investors speculate a bit every once in a while. Like a lottery ticket or an occasional visit to the racetrack or casino, a little is harmless fun. A lot isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>大多数投资者每隔一段时间就会投机一点。就像彩票或偶尔去赛马场或赌场一样，一点点是无害的乐趣。很多都不是。</blockquote></p><p> If you think you’re investing when you’re speculating, you’ll attribute even momentary success to skill even thoughluck is the likeliest explanation. That can lead you to take reckless risks.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为你在投机时是在投资，你会将哪怕是短暂的成功归因于技能，即使运气是最可能的解释。这会导致你冒鲁莽的风险。</blockquote></p><p> Take speculating too seriously, and it turns intoan obsessionandan addiction. You become incapable of accepting your losses or focusing on the future more than a few minutes ahead. Next thing you know, you’re throwing even more money onto the bonfire.</p><p><blockquote>把投机看得太重，它会变成一种痴迷和上瘾。你变得无法接受你的损失，也无法关注未来超过几分钟。接下来你知道的是，你在篝火上投入了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p> I think calling traders and speculators “investors” shoves many newcomers farther down the slippery slope toward risks they shouldn’t take and losses they can’t afford. I fervently hope the Journal and its editors will finally stop using “investor” as the default term for anyone who makes a trade.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，将交易者和投机者称为“投资者”会将许多新来者推向他们不应该承担的风险和他们无法承受的损失的滑坡。我热切地希望《华尔街日报》及其编辑最终不再使用“投资者”作为任何进行交易的人的默认术语。</blockquote></p><p> “ ‘Investor’ has a long history in the English language as a catch-all term denoting people who commit capital with the expectation of a return, no matter how long or short, no matter how many or how few investing columns they read,” WSJ Financial Editor Charles Forelle said in response to my complaints. “Back at least to the mid-19th century, ‘invest’ has even been used to describe a wager on horses—an activity surely no less divorced from fundamental analysis than a purchase of dogecoin.”</p><p><blockquote>“‘投资者’在英语中作为一个包罗万象的术语有着悠久的历史，指的是那些投入资本并期望回报的人，无论时间长短，无论他们阅读的投资专栏有多少，”《华尔街日报》财经编辑查尔斯·福雷尔在回应我的投诉时说道。“至少可以追溯到19世纪中叶，‘投资’甚至被用来描述赌马——这种活动与基本面分析的脱节程度肯定不亚于购买狗狗币。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I hear you, Boss, but I still think you’re wrong. There’s no way the Journal would say a recreational gambler is “investing” at the racetrack just because a dictionary says we can.</p><p><blockquote>我听到了，老板，但我还是认为你错了。《华尔街日报》不可能仅仅因为字典上说我们可以，就说一个休闲赌徒在赛马场“投资”。</blockquote></p><p> Calling novice speculators “investors” is one of the most powerful ways marketers fuel excessive trading.</p><p><blockquote>将新手投机者称为“投资者”是营销人员助长过度交易的最有力方式之一。</blockquote></p><p> Ina recent Instagram post, a former porn star who goes by the name Lana Rhoades posed in—well, mostly in—a bikini, as she held up what appears to be Graham’s “The Intelligent Investor.” According to IMDb.com, she starred in such videos as “Tushy” and “Make Me Meow.”</p><p><blockquote>在最近的Instagram帖子中，一位名叫拉娜·罗迪斯(Lana Rhoades)的前色情明星穿着——嗯，大部分是穿着——比基尼，举着似乎是格雷厄姆的《聪明的投资者》。据IMDb.com报道，她主演了《Tushy》和《Make Me Meow》等视频。</blockquote></p><p> In her post, which was “liked” by nearly 1.8 million people, Ms. Rhoades announced that she will be promoting a cryptocurrency calledPAWGcoin.</p><p><blockquote>在她被近180万人“点赞”的帖子中，罗迪斯宣布她将推广一种名为PAWGCoin的加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> The currency’s website says the coin is meant for “those who pay homage to developed posteriors.” (PAWG, I’ve been reliably informed, stands for Phat Ass White Girl.)</p><p><blockquote>该货币的网站称，这枚硬币是为“那些向发达的后躯致敬的人”准备的。（我得到可靠消息，PAWG代表胖屁股白人女孩。）</blockquote></p><p> PAWGcoin is up roughly 900% since Ms. Rhoades began promoting it in early June, according to Poocoin.io, a website that tracks such digital currencies.</p><p><blockquote>据追踪此类数字货币的网站Poocoin.io称，自Rhoades女士6月初开始推广PAWGcoin以来，PAWGcoin已上涨约900%。</blockquote></p><p> Ms. Rhoades, who has tweeted “I also read the WSJ every morning,” couldn’t be reached for comment. PAWGcoin’s website encourages visitors to “invest now.”</p><p><blockquote>罗迪斯女士在推特上写道“我每天早上也阅读《华尔街日报》”，但记者无法联系到她置评。PAWGcoin的网站鼓励访问者“立即投资”。</blockquote></p><p> In Ms. Rhoades’s Instagram post, she is holding up an open copy of the “The Intelligent Investor,” whose cover is reversed. She appears to be reading it with her eyes closed.</p><p><blockquote>在罗迪斯的Instagram帖子中，她举着一本打开的《聪明的投资者》，封面是颠倒的。她似乎是闭着眼睛读的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/you-cant-invest-without-trading-you-can-trade-without-investing-11623426213?mod=markets_lead_pos5\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/you-cant-invest-without-trading-you-can-trade-without-investing-11623426213?mod=markets_lead_pos5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147474880","content_text":"Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless risk.\n\nI’ve had it.\nThe Wall Street Journal is wrong, and has remained wrong for decades, about one of the most basic distinctions in finance. And I can’t stand it anymore.\nIf you buy a stock purely because it’s gone up a lot, without doing any research on it whatsoever, you are not—as the Journal and its editors bizarrely insist on calling you—an “investor.” If you buy a cryptocurrency because, hey, that sounds like fun, you aren’t an investor either.\nWhenever you buy any financial asset becauseyou have a hunchorjust for kicks, or becausesomebody famous is hyping the heck out of itoreverybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.\nYou’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may bea speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.\nOf course,some folkswho buy meme stocks likeGameStopCorp.GME5.88%areinvestors. They read the companies’ financial statements, study the health of the underlying businesses and learn who else is betting on or against the shares. Likewise, many buyers of digital coins have put in the time and effort to understand how cryptocurrency works and how it could reshape finance.\nAn investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarilywhether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.\nThe word investor comes from the Latin “investire,” to dress in or clothe oneself, surround or envelop. You would never wear clothes without knowing what color they are or what material they’re made of. Likewise, you can’t invest in an asset you know nothing about.\nNevertheless, the Journal and its editors have long called almost everybody who buys just about anything an “investor.” On July 12, 1962, the Journal publisheda letter to the editorfrom Benjamin Graham, author of the classic books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor.” That June, complained Graham, the Journal had run an article headlined “Many Small Investors Bet on Further Drops, Sell Odd Lots Short.”\nHe wrote: “By what definition of ‘investment’ can one give the name ‘investors’ to small people who make bets on the stock market by selling odd lots short?” (To short an odd lot is to borrow and sell fewer than 100 shares in a wager that a stock will fall—an expensive and risky bet, then and now.)\n“If these people are investors,” asked Graham, “how should one define ‘speculation’ and ‘speculators’? Isn’t it possible that the currentfailure to distinguishbetweeninvestment and speculationmay do grave harm not only to individuals but to the whole financial community—as it did in the late 1920s?”\nGraham wasn’t a snob who thought that the markets should be the exclusive playground of the rich. He wrote “The Intelligent Investor” with the express purpose of helping less-wealthy people participate wisely in the stock market.\nIn that book, after which this column is named, Graham said, “Outright speculation is neither illegal, immoral, nor (for most people) fattening to the pocketbook.”\nHowever, he warned, it creates three dangers: “(1) speculating when you think you are investing; (2) speculating seriously instead of as a pastime, when you lack proper knowledge and skill for it; and (3) risking more money in speculation than you can afford to lose.”\nMost investors speculate a bit every once in a while. Like a lottery ticket or an occasional visit to the racetrack or casino, a little is harmless fun. A lot isn’t.\nIf you think you’re investing when you’re speculating, you’ll attribute even momentary success to skill even thoughluck is the likeliest explanation. That can lead you to take reckless risks.\nTake speculating too seriously, and it turns intoan obsessionandan addiction. You become incapable of accepting your losses or focusing on the future more than a few minutes ahead. Next thing you know, you’re throwing even more money onto the bonfire.\nI think calling traders and speculators “investors” shoves many newcomers farther down the slippery slope toward risks they shouldn’t take and losses they can’t afford. I fervently hope the Journal and its editors will finally stop using “investor” as the default term for anyone who makes a trade.\n“ ‘Investor’ has a long history in the English language as a catch-all term denoting people who commit capital with the expectation of a return, no matter how long or short, no matter how many or how few investing columns they read,” WSJ Financial Editor Charles Forelle said in response to my complaints. “Back at least to the mid-19th century, ‘invest’ has even been used to describe a wager on horses—an activity surely no less divorced from fundamental analysis than a purchase of dogecoin.”\nI hear you, Boss, but I still think you’re wrong. There’s no way the Journal would say a recreational gambler is “investing” at the racetrack just because a dictionary says we can.\nCalling novice speculators “investors” is one of the most powerful ways marketers fuel excessive trading.\nIna recent Instagram post, a former porn star who goes by the name Lana Rhoades posed in—well, mostly in—a bikini, as she held up what appears to be Graham’s “The Intelligent Investor.” According to IMDb.com, she starred in such videos as “Tushy” and “Make Me Meow.”\nIn her post, which was “liked” by nearly 1.8 million people, Ms. Rhoades announced that she will be promoting a cryptocurrency calledPAWGcoin.\nThe currency’s website says the coin is meant for “those who pay homage to developed posteriors.” (PAWG, I’ve been reliably informed, stands for Phat Ass White Girl.)\nPAWGcoin is up roughly 900% since Ms. Rhoades began promoting it in early June, according to Poocoin.io, a website that tracks such digital currencies.\nMs. Rhoades, who has tweeted “I also read the WSJ every morning,” couldn’t be reached for comment. PAWGcoin’s website encourages visitors to “invest now.”\nIn Ms. Rhoades’s Instagram post, she is holding up an open copy of the “The Intelligent Investor,” whose cover is reversed. She appears to be reading it with her eyes closed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181116104,"gmtCreate":1623378151808,"gmtModify":1634033992993,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Phone =iPhone &amp; EV car =.....?&nbsp;","listText":"Phone =iPhone &amp; EV car =.....?&nbsp;","text":"Phone =iPhone & EV car 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around..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189574893","repostId":"2142243614","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1007,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180209593,"gmtCreate":1623204152512,"gmtModify":1634035837961,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"MSFT still a growth story.&nbsp;","listText":"MSFT still a growth story.&nbsp;","text":"MSFT still a growth story.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180209593","repostId":"1193765977","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117365906,"gmtCreate":1623117670005,"gmtModify":1634036753420,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don't be so serious..&nbsp;","listText":"Don't be so serious..&nbsp;","text":"Don't be so serious..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117365906","repostId":"1113815269","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":656,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115515659,"gmtCreate":1623022584671,"gmtModify":1634096250157,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is this a good new?&nbsp;","listText":"Is this a good new?&nbsp;","text":"Is this a good new?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115515659","repostId":"2141281322","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":624,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112613245,"gmtCreate":1622865392287,"gmtModify":1634097218384,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"MSFT.&nbsp;","listText":"MSFT.&nbsp;","text":"MSFT.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112613245","repostId":"2140540596","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116339362,"gmtCreate":1622773161356,"gmtModify":1634098149548,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"EV is for long term.&nbsp;","listText":"EV is for long term.&nbsp;","text":"EV is for long term.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116339362","repostId":"1110094207","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":709,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113128272,"gmtCreate":1622598881596,"gmtModify":1634100066499,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The world take times to go back to normal life..&nbsp;","listText":"The world take times to go back to normal life..&nbsp;","text":"The world take times to go back to normal life..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113128272","repostId":"1146862408","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":152242901,"gmtCreate":1625302572303,"gmtModify":1633941589974,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Excited..&nbsp;","listText":"Excited..&nbsp;","text":"Excited..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":27,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152242901","repostId":"1146176335","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146176335","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625277627,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146176335?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW能否在2021年下半年扭转颓势？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146176335","media":"The Street","summary":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?Alibaba  -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.Howeve","content":"<p>  Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?  Alibaba&nbsp;(<b>BABA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.</p><p><blockquote>与大型股和超大型股同行相比，阿里巴巴-SW一直严重落后。这种情况会在2021年下半年改变吗？阿里巴巴-SW(<b>巴巴</b>）-今年到目前为止，Get报告一直是一只狗。该股在2020年第四季度一直交易良好，但随后一系列问题重创了该股。</blockquote></p><p> Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构扰乱了蚂蚁金服的首次公开募股，然后深入调查了阿里巴巴-SW并加大了力度。</blockquote></p><p> Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不喜欢监管问题，尤其是当我们与中国监管机构打交道时。</blockquote></p><p> However, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.</p><p><blockquote>然而，四月份，阿里巴巴-SW支付了低于预期但仍创历史新高的罚款，希望将监管问题抛在脑后。尽管如此，该股的反应并没有像多头希望的那样。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes as the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>所有这一切都发生在标普500和纳斯达克继续超越历史新高之际。</blockquote></p><p> It also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet&nbsp;(<b>GOOGL</b>) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，FAANG股票的交易继续非常好。Alphabet(<b>GOOGL</b>)-Get Reportis是表现最好的公司，上半年涨幅接近40%，而Netflix(<b>NFLX</b>）-Get报告最差，下降了2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW上半年表现类似，下跌2.6%。然而，它的表现比高点差得多，下跌了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Can it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?</p><p><blockquote>它能否在下半年扭转困境并开始反弹？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9975f383919ff8cfc34fca49a32d8e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Call me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权我是一个无可救药的乐观主义者，但我觉得阿里巴巴-SW下半场可以有稳定的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better&nbsp;- it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”</p><p><blockquote>整体市场表现太好了，大型科技股也是如此。业务基本面完好，增长强劲。就像亚马逊（<b>AMZN</b>)-获取报告。最终，它会表现得更好——这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Shares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.</p><p><blockquote>股价继续守住210美元至212美元区域，最近已清除下行阻力（蓝线）。也就是说，还有很多障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，阿里巴巴-SW股票在21周移动平均线以及21个月和10个月移动平均线上苦苦挣扎。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.</p><p><blockquote>让我们明确一点：这里没有很多看涨的技术成分。如果阿里巴巴-SW股票能够在本周下跌时守住10周移动平均线，我会感觉更好。</blockquote></p><p> However, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，只要它能够保持在210美元水平和200周移动平均线以上，我对阿里巴巴-SW进入未来六个月感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> A push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.</p><p><blockquote>突破235美元——从而突破上述所有移动平均线障碍——可能会上涨至250美元，然后是263美元。275美元以上和300美元正在发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> Keep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.</p><p><blockquote>请记住风险，但这可能是一场稳固的下半场反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW能否在2021年下半年扭转颓势？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW能否在2021年下半年扭转颓势？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 10:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?  Alibaba&nbsp;(<b>BABA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.</p><p><blockquote>与大型股和超大型股同行相比，阿里巴巴-SW一直严重落后。这种情况会在2021年下半年改变吗？阿里巴巴-SW(<b>巴巴</b>）-今年到目前为止，Get报告一直是一只狗。该股在2020年第四季度一直交易良好，但随后一系列问题重创了该股。</blockquote></p><p> Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构扰乱了蚂蚁金服的首次公开募股，然后深入调查了阿里巴巴-SW并加大了力度。</blockquote></p><p> Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不喜欢监管问题，尤其是当我们与中国监管机构打交道时。</blockquote></p><p> However, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.</p><p><blockquote>然而，四月份，阿里巴巴-SW支付了低于预期但仍创历史新高的罚款，希望将监管问题抛在脑后。尽管如此，该股的反应并没有像多头希望的那样。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes as the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>所有这一切都发生在标普500和纳斯达克继续超越历史新高之际。</blockquote></p><p> It also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet&nbsp;(<b>GOOGL</b>) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，FAANG股票的交易继续非常好。Alphabet(<b>GOOGL</b>)-Get Reportis是表现最好的公司，上半年涨幅接近40%，而Netflix(<b>NFLX</b>）-Get报告最差，下降了2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW上半年表现类似，下跌2.6%。然而，它的表现比高点差得多，下跌了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Can it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?</p><p><blockquote>它能否在下半年扭转困境并开始反弹？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9975f383919ff8cfc34fca49a32d8e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Call me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权我是一个无可救药的乐观主义者，但我觉得阿里巴巴-SW下半场可以有稳定的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better&nbsp;- it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”</p><p><blockquote>整体市场表现太好了，大型科技股也是如此。业务基本面完好，增长强劲。就像亚马逊（<b>AMZN</b>)-获取报告。最终，它会表现得更好——这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Shares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.</p><p><blockquote>股价继续守住210美元至212美元区域，最近已清除下行阻力（蓝线）。也就是说，还有很多障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，阿里巴巴-SW股票在21周移动平均线以及21个月和10个月移动平均线上苦苦挣扎。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.</p><p><blockquote>让我们明确一点：这里没有很多看涨的技术成分。如果阿里巴巴-SW股票能够在本周下跌时守住10周移动平均线，我会感觉更好。</blockquote></p><p> However, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，只要它能够保持在210美元水平和200周移动平均线以上，我对阿里巴巴-SW进入未来六个月感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> A push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.</p><p><blockquote>突破235美元——从而突破上述所有移动平均线障碍——可能会上涨至250美元，然后是263美元。275美元以上和300美元正在发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> Keep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.</p><p><blockquote>请记住风险，但这可能是一场稳固的下半场反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09618":"京东集团-SW","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146176335","content_text":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n\nAlibaba (BABA) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.\nRegulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.\nInvestors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.\nHowever, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.\nAll of this comes as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.\nIt also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet (GOOGL) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix (NFLX) -Get Report is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.\nAlibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.\nCan it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?\n\nCall me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.\nThe overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon (AMZN) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better - it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”\nShares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.\nSpecifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.\nLet’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.\nHowever, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.\nA push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.\nKeep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168547305,"gmtCreate":1623979655407,"gmtModify":1634024845989,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Baba is innovative company..&nbsp;","listText":"Baba is innovative company..&nbsp;","text":"Baba is innovative company..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":28,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168547305","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163484412,"gmtCreate":1623891405436,"gmtModify":1634026368950,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good new for market.&nbsp;","listText":"Good new for market.&nbsp;","text":"Good new for market.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":26,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163484412","repostId":"2144270718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120204915,"gmtCreate":1624323597837,"gmtModify":1634007837209,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come again..&nbsp;","listText":"Come again..&nbsp;","text":"Come again..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":26,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120204915","repostId":"2145459036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169052581,"gmtCreate":1623810123343,"gmtModify":1634027766176,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh really?&nbsp;","listText":"Oh really?&nbsp;","text":"Oh really?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":23,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169052581","repostId":"1142443814","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142443814","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1623802730,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142443814?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 08:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142443814","media":"Benzinga","summary":"So far in 2021, the Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return ","content":"<p>So far in 2021, the&nbsp;<b>Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF</b>&nbsp;is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of the<b>Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund</b>.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，<b>先锋价值指数基金ETF</b>上涨17.4%，几乎是年初至今回报率的两倍<b>科技精选行业SPDR基金</b>.</blockquote></p><p> Over the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，科技股落后于价值股的时期是短暂而甜蜜的，但LPL Financial表示，科技股在可预见的未来可能不再引领市场走高，至少有三个原因。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.</li>  <li>Second, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.</li>  <li>Third, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.</li> </ul> “It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，许多在社交距离和远程工作时期蓬勃发展的科技股将面临极其困难的竞争，并在未来几个季度报告增长放缓。与此同时，在停工期间陷入困境的工业、材料和能源行业的价值股将受益于重新开放后被压抑的需求。</li><li>其次，与历史平均水平相比，科技行业目前25的预期市盈率相对较高。此外，罗素1000成长指数目前估值较罗素1000价值指数溢价60%，为近20年来最高溢价。</li><li>第三，从技术角度来看，科技板块似乎正在滚动。自9月初以来，该行业一直落后于标普500，表明科技股的势头已经停滞。</li></ul>LPL股票策略师杰弗里·布赫宾德(Jeffrey Buchbinder)周二表示：“鉴于许多科技公司强劲的基本面和快速的创新步伐，很难不喜欢科技。但我们预计，随着经济重新开放，金融、工业和材料等周期性价值板块将在今年剩余时间内表现更好。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>仅仅因为科技股不再引领市场走高，并不意味着投资者应该抛售所有科技股，转而购买价值股。2021年，科技行业中肯定仍会有表现出色的公司跻身市场涨幅最大的公司之列，但过去十年投资整个行业带来的轻松资金可能在未来几个季度中更难获得。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-16 08:18</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>So far in 2021, the&nbsp;<b>Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF</b>&nbsp;is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of the<b>Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund</b>.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，<b>先锋价值指数基金ETF</b>上涨17.4%，几乎是年初至今回报率的两倍<b>科技精选行业SPDR基金</b>.</blockquote></p><p> Over the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，科技股落后于价值股的时期是短暂而甜蜜的，但LPL Financial表示，科技股在可预见的未来可能不再引领市场走高，至少有三个原因。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.</li>  <li>Second, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.</li>  <li>Third, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.</li> </ul> “It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，许多在社交距离和远程工作时期蓬勃发展的科技股将面临极其困难的竞争，并在未来几个季度报告增长放缓。与此同时，在停工期间陷入困境的工业、材料和能源行业的价值股将受益于重新开放后被压抑的需求。</li><li>其次，与历史平均水平相比，科技行业目前25的预期市盈率相对较高。此外，罗素1000成长指数目前估值较罗素1000价值指数溢价60%，为近20年来最高溢价。</li><li>第三，从技术角度来看，科技板块似乎正在滚动。自9月初以来，该行业一直落后于标普500，表明科技股的势头已经停滞。</li></ul>LPL股票策略师杰弗里·布赫宾德(Jeffrey Buchbinder)周二表示：“鉴于许多科技公司强劲的基本面和快速的创新步伐，很难不喜欢科技。但我们预计，随着经济重新开放，金融、工业和材料等周期性价值板块将在今年剩余时间内表现更好。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>仅仅因为科技股不再引领市场走高，并不意味着投资者应该抛售所有科技股，转而购买价值股。2021年，科技行业中肯定仍会有表现出色的公司跻身市场涨幅最大的公司之列，但过去十年投资整个行业带来的轻松资金可能在未来几个季度中更难获得。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142443814","content_text":"So far in 2021, the Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of theTechnology Select Sector SPDR Fund.\nOver the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.\n\nFirst, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.\nSecond, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.\nThird, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.\n\n“It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”\nBenzinga’s Take:Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":605214203,"gmtCreate":1639180761606,"gmtModify":1639180765977,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is this an opportunity?&nbsp;","listText":"Is this an opportunity?&nbsp;","text":"Is this an opportunity?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":13,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605214203","repostId":"1134450838","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134450838","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639148939,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134450838?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘再下跌9%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134450838","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.","content":"<p>Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>Grab股价继昨天下跌超过9%后，早盘又下跌9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/963eb8dd73ce8daa0d852d63f0bcc276\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘再下跌9%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘再下跌9%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 23:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>Grab股价继昨天下跌超过9%后，早盘又下跌9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/963eb8dd73ce8daa0d852d63f0bcc276\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134450838","content_text":"Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":810950799,"gmtCreate":1629940699311,"gmtModify":1633681305457,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810950799","repostId":"1197778368","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185088144,"gmtCreate":1623627286888,"gmtModify":1634031128248,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Grab app offer a lot of stuff now..&nbsp;","listText":"Grab app offer a lot of stuff now..&nbsp;","text":"Grab app offer a lot of stuff now..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185088144","repostId":"1128243947","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107094433,"gmtCreate":1620432186922,"gmtModify":1634198879079,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crazy high will follow by crazy crash?&nbsp;","listText":"Crazy high will follow by crazy crash?&nbsp;","text":"Crazy high will follow by crazy crash?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107094433","repostId":"1120904578","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120904578","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620429937,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120904578?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 07:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Dow hit record highs as weak jobs data eases rate worries<blockquote>疲软的就业数据缓解了利率担忧，标普500和道指创下历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120904578","media":"Reuters","summary":"The Dow and S&P 500 hit record closing highs on Friday while registering gains for the week, and the","content":"<p>The Dow and S&amp;P 500 hit record closing highs on Friday while registering gains for the week, and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> recovered after U.S. jobs data eased concerns over prospects for rising rates.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数和标普500指数周五创下历史收盘新高，同时录得本周上涨，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>在美国就业数据缓解了对加息前景的担忧后复苏。</blockquote></p><p>U.S. job growth&nbsp;unexpectedly slowed&nbsp;in April, likely restrained by shortages of workers, the Labor Department report showed.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告显示，美国4月份就业增长意外放缓，可能受到工人短缺的限制。</blockquote></p><p>The report alleviated some concerns about rising inflation and potentially higher U.S. interest rates, which some investors worry would hurt growth companies with high valuations.</p><p><blockquote>该报告缓解了对通胀上升和美国利率可能上升的一些担忧，一些投资者担心这将损害高估值的成长型公司。</blockquote></p><p>“Growth names that were taken to the woodshed are getting another chance, because they will be perceived to be less risky in an environment where there is a slower recovery, and that’s really what the jobs data is indicating”, said Tom Martin, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments.</p><p><blockquote>高级投资组合汤姆·马丁(Tom Martin)表示：“那些被带到柴房的成长型公司正在获得另一次机会，因为在复苏较慢的环境中，它们将被认为风险较小，而这正是就业数据所表明的。”Globalt Investments经理。</blockquote></p><p>Heavily-weighted growth stocks such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp MSFT.O and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc AAPL.O rose by 1.1% and 0.5%, respectively, giving the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq their biggest boosts.</p><p><blockquote>权重较大的成长股，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司MSFT.O和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc.AAPL.O分别上涨1.1%和0.5%，标普500和纳斯达克涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p>But gains were broad-based, with all major S&amp;P 500 sectors ending in the green and energy SPNY and real estate SPLRCR leading the advance. Energy and materials SPLRCM both hit fresh highs.</p><p><blockquote>但涨幅广泛，所有主要标普500板块均以绿色能源SPNY和房地产SPLRCR领涨。能源和材料SPLRCM双双创下新高。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow .DJI rose 229.23 points, or 0.66%, to 34,777.76, the S&amp;P 500 .SPX gained 30.98 points, or 0.74%, to 4,232.6 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 119.40 points, or 0.88%, to 13,752.24.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数。DJI上涨229.23点，或0.66%，至34,777.76点；标普500.SPX上涨30.98点，或0.74%，至4,232.6点；纳斯达克综合指数。IXIC上涨119.40点，或0.88%，至13,752.24点。</blockquote></p><p>For the week, the Dow rose 2.7%, its biggest weekly percentage gain since March. The S&amp;P 500 gained 1.2%, its best week since mid-April, while the Nasdaq shed 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，道指上涨2.7%，创3月以来最大单周百分比涨幅。标普500上涨1.2%，为4月中旬以来表现最好的一周，而纳斯达克下跌1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>“The anticipation and confirmation of (Federal Reserve) policy staying the same and continued economic recovery with vaccines rollout have fueled these all-time highs, but we do believe the volatility is going to be tightened in the short term,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive at Axs Investments.</p><p><blockquote>格雷格·巴苏克(Greg Bassuk)表示：“对（美联储）政策保持不变以及疫苗推出后经济持续复苏的预期和确认推动了这些历史高点，但我们确实认为短期内波动性将会收紧。”，Axs投资公司首席执行官。</blockquote></p><p>A raft of upbeat earnings also helped stocks, and S&amp;P 500 earnings are now estimated to have increased 50.4% in the first quarter from a year ago, which would be the highest growth rate since the first quarter of 2010, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p><blockquote>大量乐观的盈利也帮助了股市，根据Refinitiv的数据，目前预计标普500第一季度盈利同比增长50.4%，这将是自2010年第一季度以来的最高增长率。</blockquote></p><p>Payments firm <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a> Inc SQ.N rose 4.2% after reporting a better-than-expected quarterly profit, as surging demand for bitcoin fueled a jump in cryptocurrency transactions on its application. (Full Story)</p><p><blockquote>支付公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>Inc SQ.N在公布好于预期的季度利润后上涨4.2%，因为对比特币的需求激增推动了其应用程序上的加密货币交易激增。（全文）</blockquote></p><p>Streaming device maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">Roku Inc</a> ROKU.O jumped 11.5%following an upbeat revenue outlook, while fitness equipment maker Peloton Interactive Inc PTON.O gained as it laid out steps to improve the safety of its equipment. (Full Story) (Full Story)</p><p><blockquote>流媒体设备制造商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">Roku公司</a>ROKU.O因收入前景乐观而上涨11.5%，而健身器材制造商Peloton Interactive Inc PTON.O因采取措施提高设备安全性而上涨。（全文）（全文）</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a> Group Inc EXPE.O shares rose 5.2% as analysts raised price targets following the company’s upbeat results.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a>Group Inc EXPE.O股价上涨5.2%，分析师在该公司公布乐观业绩后上调了目标价。</blockquote></p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.27比1；在纳斯达克，2.12比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 164 new 52-week highs and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 164 new highs and 64 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下164个52周新高，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得164个新高和64个新低。</blockquote></p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.23 billion shares, compared with the 10.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为102.3亿股，而过去20个交易日全交易日平均成交量为101.1亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Dow hit record highs as weak jobs data eases rate worries<blockquote>疲软的就业数据缓解了利率担忧，标普500和道指创下历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 07:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Dow and S&amp;P 500 hit record closing highs on Friday while registering gains for the week, and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> recovered after U.S. jobs data eased concerns over prospects for rising rates.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数和标普500指数周五创下历史收盘新高，同时录得本周上涨，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>在美国就业数据缓解了对加息前景的担忧后复苏。</blockquote></p><p>U.S. job growth&nbsp;unexpectedly slowed&nbsp;in April, likely restrained by shortages of workers, the Labor Department report showed.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告显示，美国4月份就业增长意外放缓，可能受到工人短缺的限制。</blockquote></p><p>The report alleviated some concerns about rising inflation and potentially higher U.S. interest rates, which some investors worry would hurt growth companies with high valuations.</p><p><blockquote>该报告缓解了对通胀上升和美国利率可能上升的一些担忧，一些投资者担心这将损害高估值的成长型公司。</blockquote></p><p>“Growth names that were taken to the woodshed are getting another chance, because they will be perceived to be less risky in an environment where there is a slower recovery, and that’s really what the jobs data is indicating”, said Tom Martin, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments.</p><p><blockquote>高级投资组合汤姆·马丁(Tom Martin)表示：“那些被带到柴房的成长型公司正在获得另一次机会，因为在复苏较慢的环境中，它们将被认为风险较小，而这正是就业数据所表明的。”Globalt Investments经理。</blockquote></p><p>Heavily-weighted growth stocks such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp MSFT.O and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc AAPL.O rose by 1.1% and 0.5%, respectively, giving the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq their biggest boosts.</p><p><blockquote>权重较大的成长股，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司MSFT.O和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc.AAPL.O分别上涨1.1%和0.5%，标普500和纳斯达克涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p>But gains were broad-based, with all major S&amp;P 500 sectors ending in the green and energy SPNY and real estate SPLRCR leading the advance. Energy and materials SPLRCM both hit fresh highs.</p><p><blockquote>但涨幅广泛，所有主要标普500板块均以绿色能源SPNY和房地产SPLRCR领涨。能源和材料SPLRCM双双创下新高。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow .DJI rose 229.23 points, or 0.66%, to 34,777.76, the S&amp;P 500 .SPX gained 30.98 points, or 0.74%, to 4,232.6 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 119.40 points, or 0.88%, to 13,752.24.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数。DJI上涨229.23点，或0.66%，至34,777.76点；标普500.SPX上涨30.98点，或0.74%，至4,232.6点；纳斯达克综合指数。IXIC上涨119.40点，或0.88%，至13,752.24点。</blockquote></p><p>For the week, the Dow rose 2.7%, its biggest weekly percentage gain since March. The S&amp;P 500 gained 1.2%, its best week since mid-April, while the Nasdaq shed 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，道指上涨2.7%，创3月以来最大单周百分比涨幅。标普500上涨1.2%，为4月中旬以来表现最好的一周，而纳斯达克下跌1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>“The anticipation and confirmation of (Federal Reserve) policy staying the same and continued economic recovery with vaccines rollout have fueled these all-time highs, but we do believe the volatility is going to be tightened in the short term,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive at Axs Investments.</p><p><blockquote>格雷格·巴苏克(Greg Bassuk)表示：“对（美联储）政策保持不变以及疫苗推出后经济持续复苏的预期和确认推动了这些历史高点，但我们确实认为短期内波动性将会收紧。”，Axs投资公司首席执行官。</blockquote></p><p>A raft of upbeat earnings also helped stocks, and S&amp;P 500 earnings are now estimated to have increased 50.4% in the first quarter from a year ago, which would be the highest growth rate since the first quarter of 2010, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p><blockquote>大量乐观的盈利也帮助了股市，根据Refinitiv的数据，目前预计标普500第一季度盈利同比增长50.4%，这将是自2010年第一季度以来的最高增长率。</blockquote></p><p>Payments firm <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a> Inc SQ.N rose 4.2% after reporting a better-than-expected quarterly profit, as surging demand for bitcoin fueled a jump in cryptocurrency transactions on its application. (Full Story)</p><p><blockquote>支付公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>Inc SQ.N在公布好于预期的季度利润后上涨4.2%，因为对比特币的需求激增推动了其应用程序上的加密货币交易激增。（全文）</blockquote></p><p>Streaming device maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">Roku Inc</a> ROKU.O jumped 11.5%following an upbeat revenue outlook, while fitness equipment maker Peloton Interactive Inc PTON.O gained as it laid out steps to improve the safety of its equipment. (Full Story) (Full Story)</p><p><blockquote>流媒体设备制造商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">Roku公司</a>ROKU.O因收入前景乐观而上涨11.5%，而健身器材制造商Peloton Interactive Inc PTON.O因采取措施提高设备安全性而上涨。（全文）（全文）</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a> Group Inc EXPE.O shares rose 5.2% as analysts raised price targets following the company’s upbeat results.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a>Group Inc EXPE.O股价上涨5.2%，分析师在该公司公布乐观业绩后上调了目标价。</blockquote></p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.27比1；在纳斯达克，2.12比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 164 new 52-week highs and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 164 new highs and 64 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下164个52周新高，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得164个新高和64个新低。</blockquote></p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.23 billion shares, compared with the 10.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为102.3亿股，而过去20个交易日全交易日平均成交量为101.1亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-dow-hit-record-highs-weak-jobs-data-eases-rate-worries-2021-05-07/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","EXPE":"Expedia","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","AAPL":"苹果",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ROKU":"Roku Inc","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","MSFT":"微软","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-dow-hit-record-highs-weak-jobs-data-eases-rate-worries-2021-05-07/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120904578","content_text":"The Dow and S&P 500 hit record closing highs on Friday while registering gains for the week, and the Nasdaq recovered after U.S. jobs data eased concerns over prospects for rising rates.U.S. job growth unexpectedly slowed in April, likely restrained by shortages of workers, the Labor Department report showed.The report alleviated some concerns about rising inflation and potentially higher U.S. interest rates, which some investors worry would hurt growth companies with high valuations.“Growth names that were taken to the woodshed are getting another chance, because they will be perceived to be less risky in an environment where there is a slower recovery, and that’s really what the jobs data is indicating”, said Tom Martin, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments.Heavily-weighted growth stocks such as Microsoft Corp MSFT.O and Apple Inc AAPL.O rose by 1.1% and 0.5%, respectively, giving the S&P 500 and Nasdaq their biggest boosts.But gains were broad-based, with all major S&P 500 sectors ending in the green and energy SPNY and real estate SPLRCR leading the advance. Energy and materials SPLRCM both hit fresh highs.The Dow .DJI rose 229.23 points, or 0.66%, to 34,777.76, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 30.98 points, or 0.74%, to 4,232.6 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 119.40 points, or 0.88%, to 13,752.24.For the week, the Dow rose 2.7%, its biggest weekly percentage gain since March. The S&P 500 gained 1.2%, its best week since mid-April, while the Nasdaq shed 1.5%.“The anticipation and confirmation of (Federal Reserve) policy staying the same and continued economic recovery with vaccines rollout have fueled these all-time highs, but we do believe the volatility is going to be tightened in the short term,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive at Axs Investments.A raft of upbeat earnings also helped stocks, and S&P 500 earnings are now estimated to have increased 50.4% in the first quarter from a year ago, which would be the highest growth rate since the first quarter of 2010, according to Refinitiv data.Payments firm Square Inc SQ.N rose 4.2% after reporting a better-than-expected quarterly profit, as surging demand for bitcoin fueled a jump in cryptocurrency transactions on its application. (Full Story)Streaming device maker Roku Inc ROKU.O jumped 11.5%following an upbeat revenue outlook, while fitness equipment maker Peloton Interactive Inc PTON.O gained as it laid out steps to improve the safety of its equipment. (Full Story) (Full Story)Expedia Group Inc EXPE.O shares rose 5.2% as analysts raised price targets following the company’s upbeat results.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 164 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 164 new highs and 64 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.23 billion shares, compared with the 10.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SQ":0.9,"EXPE":0.9,"SH":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"OEX":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190320372,"gmtCreate":1620601278096,"gmtModify":1634197892117,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Recovery underway?&nbsp;","listText":"Recovery underway?&nbsp;","text":"Recovery underway?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190320372","repostId":"1193602237","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193602237","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620471120,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193602237?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 18:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>由于企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193602237","media":"reuters","summary":"U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in dema","content":"<p>U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.</p><p><blockquote>美国雇主可能在4月份雇佣了近100万名工人，因为他们急于满足需求的激增，而需求是由公共卫生迅速改善和政府的大规模财政援助导致的。</blockquote></p><p>The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部周五发布的备受关注的就业报告将首次显示白宫3月份批准的1.9万亿美元COVID-19大流行救助计划的影响。这可能表明经济以更大的势头进入第二季度，使其今年走上近四十年来最佳表现的轨道。</blockquote></p><p>\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷兰国际集团驻纽约首席国际经济学家詹姆斯·奈特利表示：“我们正在寻找一个相当不错的数字，反映出我们所看到的持续重新开放。”“随着人们口袋里有了现金，经济活动看起来不错，这应该会导致整个经济中越来越多的招聘。”</blockquote></p><p>According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社对经济学家的调查，继3月份增加916,000个就业岗位后，上个月非农就业岗位可能增加978,000个。这将使就业岗位比2020年2月的峰值减少约750万个。</blockquote></p><p>Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.</p><p><blockquote>12个月前，由于强制关闭非必要企业以减缓第一波COVID-19感染，经济损失了创纪录的2067.9万个工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p>April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>4月份的就业人数估计从低至656,000人到高至210万人不等。自疫情开始以来，新申请失业救济人数首次降至50万以下，美国雇主4月份宣布的裁员人数为近21年来最低。</blockquote></p><p>Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对劳动力市场的看法是13个月来最强烈的，这也是就业增长又一个月的原因。但被压抑的需求推动了第一季度经济6.4%的年化增长率，为2003年第三季度以来的第二快，引发了劳动力和原材料的短缺。</blockquote></p><p>From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>从制造业到餐馆，雇主都在争夺工人。一系列因素被归咎于劳动力短缺，包括仍在家照顾孩子的父母、与冠状病毒相关的退休和慷慨的失业支票。</blockquote></p><p>\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团(Citigroup)驻纽约经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“虽然我们预计工人短缺不会明显影响4月份的就业，但在9月份扩大的失业救济金到期之前，未来几个月重新招聘可能会变得更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p>Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.</p><p><blockquote>随着餐馆、酒吧和游乐园等更多高接触性企业重新开业，休闲和酒店业可能会带动工资增长。16岁以上的美国人现在有资格接种COVID-19疫苗，导致纽约、新泽西和康涅狄格等州取消了对企业的大部分冠状病毒产能限制。</blockquote></p><p>BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛的就业增长</blockquote></p><p>Solid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全球半导体芯片短缺迫使汽车制造商减产，但预计制造业也将强劲增长。强劲的住房需求可能会提振建筑业就业人数。</blockquote></p><p>Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.</p><p><blockquote>在许多州恢复面对面学习后，随着学区雇用更多教师，政府就业预计也会回升。</blockquote></p><p>Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的招聘不太可能对乔·拜登总统在教育和儿童保育、中低收入家庭、基础设施和就业方面再投入4万亿美元的计划产生影响。预计它也不会影响货币政策，美联储已表示准备让经济比前几个周期更热。</blockquote></p><p>Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>数百万美国人仍然失业，许多人因为疫情而永久失业。</blockquote></p><p>\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"</p><p><blockquote>纽约TS Lombard首席美国经济学家史蒂文·布利茨(Steven Blitz)表示：“没有人知道新冠疫情后的经济会是什么样子。”“永久流离失所的人数居高不下。（支出）计划旨在让经济走上更高的增长轨道，以便这些人能够尽早就业。”</blockquote></p><p>The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"</p><p><blockquote>预计4月份失业率将从3月份的6.0%降至5.8%。人们错误地将自己归类为“有工作但没有工作”，从而低估了失业率。</blockquote></p><p>To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.</p><p><blockquote>为了衡量复苏情况，经济学家将关注失业超过六个月的人数以及因永久性失业而失业的人数。</blockquote></p><p>The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力参与率，即有工作或正在找工作的工作年龄美国人的比例，上个月可能有所改善，但仍低于大流行前的水平。在疫情期间，超过400万人退出了劳动力市场，其中许多是女性。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.</p><p><blockquote>由于工资较低的休闲和酒店业预计将主导就业增长，平均时薪在3月份下降0.1%后，4月份可能保持不变。这将导致工资在3月份上涨4.2%后同比下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司驻纽约首席全球策略师David Kelly表示：“我们将密切关注平均时薪，寻找招聘合格工人的困难开始提高薪酬的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p>\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果劳动力市场收紧提振了工资增长，那么美联储预计温和且暂时的通胀反弹可能会变得更强劲、更持久，从而导致美联储提前收紧政策。”</blockquote></p><p>The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.</p><p><blockquote>预期的工资下降不会对消费者支出产生影响，美国人拥有超过2万亿美元的超额储蓄。平均每周工作时间预计稳定在34.9小时。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>由于企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>由于企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 18:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.</p><p><blockquote>美国雇主可能在4月份雇佣了近100万名工人，因为他们急于满足需求的激增，而需求是由公共卫生迅速改善和政府的大规模财政援助导致的。</blockquote></p><p>The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部周五发布的备受关注的就业报告将首次显示白宫3月份批准的1.9万亿美元COVID-19大流行救助计划的影响。这可能表明经济以更大的势头进入第二季度，使其今年走上近四十年来最佳表现的轨道。</blockquote></p><p>\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷兰国际集团驻纽约首席国际经济学家詹姆斯·奈特利表示：“我们正在寻找一个相当不错的数字，反映出我们所看到的持续重新开放。”“随着人们口袋里有了现金，经济活动看起来不错，这应该会导致整个经济中越来越多的招聘。”</blockquote></p><p>According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社对经济学家的调查，继3月份增加916,000个就业岗位后，上个月非农就业岗位可能增加978,000个。这将使就业岗位比2020年2月的峰值减少约750万个。</blockquote></p><p>Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.</p><p><blockquote>12个月前，由于强制关闭非必要企业以减缓第一波COVID-19感染，经济损失了创纪录的2067.9万个工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p>April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>4月份的就业人数估计从低至656,000人到高至210万人不等。自疫情开始以来，新申请失业救济人数首次降至50万以下，美国雇主4月份宣布的裁员人数为近21年来最低。</blockquote></p><p>Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对劳动力市场的看法是13个月来最强烈的，这也是就业增长又一个月的原因。但被压抑的需求推动了第一季度经济6.4%的年化增长率，为2003年第三季度以来的第二快，引发了劳动力和原材料的短缺。</blockquote></p><p>From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>从制造业到餐馆，雇主都在争夺工人。一系列因素被归咎于劳动力短缺，包括仍在家照顾孩子的父母、与冠状病毒相关的退休和慷慨的失业支票。</blockquote></p><p>\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团(Citigroup)驻纽约经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“虽然我们预计工人短缺不会明显影响4月份的就业，但在9月份扩大的失业救济金到期之前，未来几个月重新招聘可能会变得更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p>Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.</p><p><blockquote>随着餐馆、酒吧和游乐园等更多高接触性企业重新开业，休闲和酒店业可能会带动工资增长。16岁以上的美国人现在有资格接种COVID-19疫苗，导致纽约、新泽西和康涅狄格等州取消了对企业的大部分冠状病毒产能限制。</blockquote></p><p>BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛的就业增长</blockquote></p><p>Solid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全球半导体芯片短缺迫使汽车制造商减产，但预计制造业也将强劲增长。强劲的住房需求可能会提振建筑业就业人数。</blockquote></p><p>Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.</p><p><blockquote>在许多州恢复面对面学习后，随着学区雇用更多教师，政府就业预计也会回升。</blockquote></p><p>Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的招聘不太可能对乔·拜登总统在教育和儿童保育、中低收入家庭、基础设施和就业方面再投入4万亿美元的计划产生影响。预计它也不会影响货币政策，美联储已表示准备让经济比前几个周期更热。</blockquote></p><p>Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>数百万美国人仍然失业，许多人因为疫情而永久失业。</blockquote></p><p>\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"</p><p><blockquote>纽约TS Lombard首席美国经济学家史蒂文·布利茨(Steven Blitz)表示：“没有人知道新冠疫情后的经济会是什么样子。”“永久流离失所的人数居高不下。（支出）计划旨在让经济走上更高的增长轨道，以便这些人能够尽早就业。”</blockquote></p><p>The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"</p><p><blockquote>预计4月份失业率将从3月份的6.0%降至5.8%。人们错误地将自己归类为“有工作但没有工作”，从而低估了失业率。</blockquote></p><p>To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.</p><p><blockquote>为了衡量复苏情况，经济学家将关注失业超过六个月的人数以及因永久性失业而失业的人数。</blockquote></p><p>The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力参与率，即有工作或正在找工作的工作年龄美国人的比例，上个月可能有所改善，但仍低于大流行前的水平。在疫情期间，超过400万人退出了劳动力市场，其中许多是女性。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.</p><p><blockquote>由于工资较低的休闲和酒店业预计将主导就业增长，平均时薪在3月份下降0.1%后，4月份可能保持不变。这将导致工资在3月份上涨4.2%后同比下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司驻纽约首席全球策略师David Kelly表示：“我们将密切关注平均时薪，寻找招聘合格工人的困难开始提高薪酬的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p>\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果劳动力市场收紧提振了工资增长，那么美联储预计温和且暂时的通胀反弹可能会变得更强劲、更持久，从而导致美联储提前收紧政策。”</blockquote></p><p>The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.</p><p><blockquote>预期的工资下降不会对消费者支出产生影响，美国人拥有超过2万亿美元的超额储蓄。平均每周工作时间预计稳定在34.9小时。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193602237","content_text":"U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINSSolid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100758917,"gmtCreate":1619652309539,"gmtModify":1634211091631,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow, &gt;50% increase&nbsp;","listText":"Wow, &gt;50% increase&nbsp;","text":"Wow, >50% increase","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100758917","repostId":"1137964402","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137964402","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619651546,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137964402?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 07:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%，授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137964402","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65","content":"<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple&nbsp;reported&nbsp;a blowout quarter&nbsp;on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元的股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its&nbsp;most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales&nbsp;did&nbsp;better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad&nbsp;sales&nbsp;growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称，其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长，其最重要的产品线iPhone比去年增长了65.5%。其Mac和iPad销量表现更好，电脑销量同比增长70.1%，iPad销量同比增长近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7%&nbsp;to $0.22 per share&nbsp;and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay&nbsp;and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示，将把股息提高7%至每股0.22美元，并授权900亿美元的股票回购，这明显高于去年的500亿美元支出和2019年的750亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果与Refinitiv估计的表现：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>:&nbsp;$1.40&nbsp;vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>:&nbsp;$89.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $77.36&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>:&nbsp;$47.94 billion&nbsp;vs. $41.43&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up&nbsp;65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>:&nbsp;$16.90 billion&nbsp;vs. $15.57&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 26.7% year over&nbsp;year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.83&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $7.79&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated,&nbsp;up 24%&nbsp;year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>:&nbsp;$9.10&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $6.86&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.80 billion&nbsp;vs. $5.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>:&nbsp;42.5% vs. 39.8%&nbsp;estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue&nbsp;guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty.&nbsp;This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories.&nbsp;Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>EPS</b>：1.40美元对比。估计0.99美元</li><li><b>收入</b>：895.8亿美元对比。预计773.6亿美元，同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>：479.4亿美元对比。预计为414.3亿美元，同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>：169亿美元vs.预计155.7亿美元，同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收益</b>：78.3亿美元对比。预计77.9亿美元，同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>：91亿美元vs.预计68.6亿美元，同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>：78亿美元vs.预计55.8亿美元，同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>：42.5%vs.估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。自疫情开始以来，该公司一直没有提供收入指引，理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度在所有产品类别中实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官Luca Maestri告诉分析师，该公司预计6月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数，尽管由于全球芯片短缺，该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers&nbsp;and businesses&nbsp;bought&nbsp;computers&nbsp;to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies&nbsp;open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在过去几个月表示，随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐，其业务受到了疫情的提振。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明，随着更多经济体的开放，这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this&nbsp;moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days&nbsp;ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者，正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)在一份声明中所说：“本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式，也反映了消费者似乎对所有人未来更好的日子感到乐观。我们。”</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac&nbsp;laptops&nbsp;that used its own M1 chips&nbsp;for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by&nbsp;Intel.&nbsp;iPad sales were up&nbsp;nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac的销量增长了70%，库克表示，这一结果是由该公司推出的Mac笔记本电脑“推动”的，这些笔记本电脑使用了自己的M1芯片，电池寿命更长，而不是英特尔销售的处理器，iPad的销量同比增长了近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those&nbsp;results&nbsp;include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这两个结果都不包括该公司3月份宣布的iPad Pro或iMac型号，预计这些型号将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac&nbsp;…&nbsp;it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that&nbsp;…&nbsp;it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC的乔什·利普顿(Josh Lipton)表示：“我们看到Mac的首次购买者数量强劲……这一比例继续略低于50%。”“而且，在中国，这个数字甚至更高……大约是三分之二。这表明人们更喜欢在Mac上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone本季度也公布了强劲的业绩，平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年，苹果发布了具有新外观设计和5G支持的iPhone，许多投资者认为这可能会引发一个重大升级周期，本季度的业绩表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan,&nbsp;Apple’s revenue increased over&nbsp;87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic.&nbsp;Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括大陆、香港和台湾在内的大中华区，苹果的收入同比增长超过87%，达到177.3亿美元，尽管相比之下，去年中国在疫情初期基本上处于关闭状态。其他所有地理类别，包括美洲和欧洲，也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s&nbsp;high-margin&nbsp;services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务，包括iCloud、App Store和苹果音乐等订阅业务，也实现了26.7%的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量，其中不仅包括苹果One等自有订阅，还包括通过其App Store进行的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC表示：“我们平台上的服务现在有超过6.6亿付费订阅，比上一季度增加了4000万，比3500万有所增长。”</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果的应用商店受到了立法者和公司的挑战，他们说它成本太高，权力太大。堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games就App Store政策进行的备受关注的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store是一个经济奇迹。据估计，去年有超过5000亿美元的经济活动因为这个商店。所以，这不仅是美国的经济游戏规则改变者，也是世界上几个国家的经济规则改变者。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们会看到它会走向何方。但是，我们有信心，”库克告诉CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度，利润率往往在38%至39%之间，但在截至3月份的季度，苹果报告利润率为42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%，授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%，授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-29 07:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple&nbsp;reported&nbsp;a blowout quarter&nbsp;on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元的股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its&nbsp;most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales&nbsp;did&nbsp;better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad&nbsp;sales&nbsp;growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称，其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长，其最重要的产品线iPhone比去年增长了65.5%。其Mac和iPad销量表现更好，电脑销量同比增长70.1%，iPad销量同比增长近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7%&nbsp;to $0.22 per share&nbsp;and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay&nbsp;and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示，将把股息提高7%至每股0.22美元，并授权900亿美元的股票回购，这明显高于去年的500亿美元支出和2019年的750亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果与Refinitiv估计的表现：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>:&nbsp;$1.40&nbsp;vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>:&nbsp;$89.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $77.36&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>:&nbsp;$47.94 billion&nbsp;vs. $41.43&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up&nbsp;65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>:&nbsp;$16.90 billion&nbsp;vs. $15.57&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 26.7% year over&nbsp;year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.83&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $7.79&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated,&nbsp;up 24%&nbsp;year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>:&nbsp;$9.10&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $6.86&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.80 billion&nbsp;vs. $5.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>:&nbsp;42.5% vs. 39.8%&nbsp;estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue&nbsp;guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty.&nbsp;This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories.&nbsp;Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>EPS</b>：1.40美元对比。估计0.99美元</li><li><b>收入</b>：895.8亿美元对比。预计773.6亿美元，同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>：479.4亿美元对比。预计为414.3亿美元，同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>：169亿美元vs.预计155.7亿美元，同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收益</b>：78.3亿美元对比。预计77.9亿美元，同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>：91亿美元vs.预计68.6亿美元，同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>：78亿美元vs.预计55.8亿美元，同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>：42.5%vs.估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。自疫情开始以来，该公司一直没有提供收入指引，理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度在所有产品类别中实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官Luca Maestri告诉分析师，该公司预计6月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数，尽管由于全球芯片短缺，该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers&nbsp;and businesses&nbsp;bought&nbsp;computers&nbsp;to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies&nbsp;open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在过去几个月表示，随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐，其业务受到了疫情的提振。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明，随着更多经济体的开放，这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this&nbsp;moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days&nbsp;ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者，正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)在一份声明中所说：“本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式，也反映了消费者似乎对所有人未来更好的日子感到乐观。我们。”</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac&nbsp;laptops&nbsp;that used its own M1 chips&nbsp;for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by&nbsp;Intel.&nbsp;iPad sales were up&nbsp;nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac的销量增长了70%，库克表示，这一结果是由该公司推出的Mac笔记本电脑“推动”的，这些笔记本电脑使用了自己的M1芯片，电池寿命更长，而不是英特尔销售的处理器，iPad的销量同比增长了近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those&nbsp;results&nbsp;include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这两个结果都不包括该公司3月份宣布的iPad Pro或iMac型号，预计这些型号将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac&nbsp;…&nbsp;it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that&nbsp;…&nbsp;it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC的乔什·利普顿(Josh Lipton)表示：“我们看到Mac的首次购买者数量强劲……这一比例继续略低于50%。”“而且，在中国，这个数字甚至更高……大约是三分之二。这表明人们更喜欢在Mac上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone本季度也公布了强劲的业绩，平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年，苹果发布了具有新外观设计和5G支持的iPhone，许多投资者认为这可能会引发一个重大升级周期，本季度的业绩表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan,&nbsp;Apple’s revenue increased over&nbsp;87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic.&nbsp;Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括大陆、香港和台湾在内的大中华区，苹果的收入同比增长超过87%，达到177.3亿美元，尽管相比之下，去年中国在疫情初期基本上处于关闭状态。其他所有地理类别，包括美洲和欧洲，也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s&nbsp;high-margin&nbsp;services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务，包括iCloud、App Store和苹果音乐等订阅业务，也实现了26.7%的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量，其中不仅包括苹果One等自有订阅，还包括通过其App Store进行的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC表示：“我们平台上的服务现在有超过6.6亿付费订阅，比上一季度增加了4000万，比3500万有所增长。”</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果的应用商店受到了立法者和公司的挑战，他们说它成本太高，权力太大。堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games就App Store政策进行的备受关注的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store是一个经济奇迹。据估计，去年有超过5000亿美元的经济活动因为这个商店。所以，这不仅是美国的经济游戏规则改变者，也是世界上几个国家的经济规则改变者。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们会看到它会走向何方。但是，我们有信心，”库克告诉CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度，利润率往往在38%至39%之间，但在截至3月份的季度，苹果报告利润率为42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137964402","content_text":"KEY POINTSApple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales did better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad sales growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay and 2019′s $75 billion.Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:EPS: $1.40 vs. $0.99 estimatedRevenue: $89.58 billion vs. $77.36 billion estimated, up 53.7% year-over-yeariPhone revenue: $47.94 billion vs. $41.43 billion estimated, up 65.5% year-over-yearServices revenue: $16.90 billion vs. $15.57 billion estimated, up 26.7% year over yearOther Products revenue: $7.83 billion vs. $7.79 billion estimated, up 24% year-over-yearMac revenue: $9.10 billion vs. $6.86 billion estimated, up 70.1% year-over-yeariPad revenue: $7.80 billion vs. $5.58 billion estimated, up 78.9% year-over-yearGross margin: 42.5% vs. 39.8% estimatedApple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty. This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories. Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers and businesses bought computers to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies open up.Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days ahead for all of us.”Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac laptops that used its own M1 chips for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by Intel. iPad sales were up nearly 79% year-over-year.Neither of those results include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac … it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that … it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, Apple’s revenue increased over 87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic. Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.Apple’s high-margin services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191113539,"gmtCreate":1620863728821,"gmtModify":1634195830569,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The start or down trend or just normal correction?&nbsp;","listText":"The start or down trend or just normal correction?&nbsp;","text":"The start or down trend or just normal correction?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191113539","repostId":"2135584610","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104901245,"gmtCreate":1620347989187,"gmtModify":1634205912973,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How high can Dow go?&nbsp;","listText":"How high can Dow go?&nbsp;","text":"How high can Dow go?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104901245","repostId":"1186778449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186778449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620341777,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186778449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 06:56","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Dow closes at record high after upbeat jobless claims report<blockquote>乐观的初请失业金人数报告公布后，道琼斯指数收于历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186778449","media":"Reuters","summary":"The Dow Jones Industrial Averageclosed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.Lifted by $Apple$ Inc, the S&P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.$Investors$ were awaiting a mor","content":"<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)closed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数（。DJI）周四收于创纪录高位，受到乐观的每周初请失业金报告的支撑，而在美国总统乔·拜登支持放弃新冠肺炎疫苗专利的计划后，疫苗制造商的股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Lifted by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc(AAPL.O), the S&amp;P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.</p><p><blockquote>提升者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc(AAPL.O)，劳工部报告显示，截至5月1日当周，经季节调整后首次申请州失业救济人数为498,000人，而前一周为590,000人，标普500上涨。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> were awaiting a more comprehensive non-farm payrolls report on Friday for clues on the strength of the labor market and potentially the U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们正在等待周五更全面的非农就业报告，以寻找有关劳动力市场实力以及美联储可能的货币政策立场的线索。</blockquote></p><p>\"Investors are encouraged by the low-interest rates and the stimulus that the government is putting into the economy. We're also seeing substantial increases in economic projections and earnings forecasts,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.</p><p><blockquote>CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示：“投资者受到低利率和政府对经济的刺激措施的鼓舞。我们还看到经济预测和盈利预测大幅上升。”</blockquote></p><p>Pharmaceutical companies dropped after the White House said Biden made the decision to back a proposed waiver for COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property rights.</p><p><blockquote>在白宫表示拜登决定支持新冠肺炎疫苗知识产权豁免提案后，制药公司股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Shares in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> Inc(PFE.N), Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a> Inc(NVAX.O), all involved in the making of COVID-19 vaccines, fell. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">Johnson</a> &amp; Johnson(JNJ.N)was near unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>Inc(PFE.N)、Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>Inc（NVAX.O），所有参与新冠肺炎疫苗制造的公司都下跌了。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">约翰逊</a>&amp;约翰逊(JNJ.N)几乎没有变化。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector index(.SPXHC)slipped, while the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> biotechnology index &lt;.NBI&gt; also dropped.</p><p><blockquote>标普500医疗保健行业指数(.SPXHC)下跌，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>生物技术指数&lt;.NBI&gt;也掉了。</blockquote></p><p>Moderna's shares cut some losses after it said countries around the globe would continue buying its COVID-19 vaccine for years even if patents on the shots are waived.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna表示，即使疫苗专利被放弃，全球各国仍将在数年内继续购买其COVID-19疫苗，该公司股价小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financials index(.SPSY)was among the top performers.</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融指数(.SPSY)是表现最好的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p>\"One sector we are seeing a lot of opportunities in is the financial sector. We see it as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> that should benefit from higher interest rates and a stronger economic recovery,\" said Ann Guntli, portfolio manager at Chicago-based RMB Capital.</p><p><blockquote>“我们看到很多机会的一个行业是金融业。我们认为它是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>这应该会受益于更高的利率和更强劲的经济复苏，”总部位于芝加哥的人民币资本投资组合经理安·冈特利(Ann Guntli)表示。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp(MSFT.O), Apple(AAPL.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> Incwere up under 1% for most of the session.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司(MSFT.O)、苹果(AAPL.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>该股大部分时间涨幅均低于1%。</blockquote></p><p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 0.92% to end at 34,545.11 points, while the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 0.82% to 4,201.58.</p><p><blockquote>非官方数据显示，道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨0.92%，收于34,545.11点，标普500(.SPX)上涨0.82%，收于4,201.58点。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)climbed 0.37% to 13,632.84.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC)上涨0.37%，至13,632.84点。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale(COST.O)jumped after the retailer said late on Wednesday that its April sales surged 33.5%. That rally helped push the S&amp;P 500 consumers staple index higher.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发(COST.O)周三晚间表示，其4月份销售额飙升33.5%，随后该零售商股价上涨。这一反弹帮助推高了标普500消费必需品指数。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a> Inc(REGN.O)rose after the drugmaker reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit and said it expected demand for its COVID-19 antibody therapy to hold up.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">再生元制药</a>Inc(REGN.O)上涨，此前该制药商公布了好于预期的季度利润，并表示预计对其COVID-19抗体疗法的需求将保持不变。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a> Technologies Inc(UBER.N)tumbled after it signaled it would pay drivers more to get cars back on the road as the pandemic recedes, and disclosed a $600 million charge to provide UK drivers with benefits.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>科技公司（UBER.N）表示，随着疫情的消退，将向司机支付更多费用，让汽车重新上路，并披露了6亿美元的费用，为英国司机提供福利，股价暴跌。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a> gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>比特币增长，收入增长266%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">Beyond Meat swings to a loss as grocery sales growth slows</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">随着杂货销售增长放缓，Beyond Meat陷入亏损</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku第一季度活跃账户增长放缓，收入猛增79%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton Crushes Forecasts But Cuts <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">Guidance</a> Amid Treadmill Recall</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton超出预期但削减<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">指导</a>跑步机召回</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">AMC Chain Posts $567.2 Million Loss as Film Fans Trickle Back</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">随着影迷回流，AMC连锁店亏损5.672亿美元</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow closes at record high after upbeat jobless claims report<blockquote>乐观的初请失业金人数报告公布后，道琼斯指数收于历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow closes at record high after upbeat jobless claims report<blockquote>乐观的初请失业金人数报告公布后，道琼斯指数收于历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 06:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)closed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数（。DJI）周四收于创纪录高位，受到乐观的每周初请失业金报告的支撑，而在美国总统乔·拜登支持放弃新冠肺炎疫苗专利的计划后，疫苗制造商的股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Lifted by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc(AAPL.O), the S&amp;P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.</p><p><blockquote>提升者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc(AAPL.O)，劳工部报告显示，截至5月1日当周，经季节调整后首次申请州失业救济人数为498,000人，而前一周为590,000人，标普500上涨。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> were awaiting a more comprehensive non-farm payrolls report on Friday for clues on the strength of the labor market and potentially the U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们正在等待周五更全面的非农就业报告，以寻找有关劳动力市场实力以及美联储可能的货币政策立场的线索。</blockquote></p><p>\"Investors are encouraged by the low-interest rates and the stimulus that the government is putting into the economy. We're also seeing substantial increases in economic projections and earnings forecasts,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.</p><p><blockquote>CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示：“投资者受到低利率和政府对经济的刺激措施的鼓舞。我们还看到经济预测和盈利预测大幅上升。”</blockquote></p><p>Pharmaceutical companies dropped after the White House said Biden made the decision to back a proposed waiver for COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property rights.</p><p><blockquote>在白宫表示拜登决定支持新冠肺炎疫苗知识产权豁免提案后，制药公司股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Shares in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> Inc(PFE.N), Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a> Inc(NVAX.O), all involved in the making of COVID-19 vaccines, fell. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">Johnson</a> &amp; Johnson(JNJ.N)was near unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>Inc(PFE.N)、Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>Inc（NVAX.O），所有参与新冠肺炎疫苗制造的公司都下跌了。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">约翰逊</a>&amp;约翰逊(JNJ.N)几乎没有变化。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector index(.SPXHC)slipped, while the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> biotechnology index &lt;.NBI&gt; also dropped.</p><p><blockquote>标普500医疗保健行业指数(.SPXHC)下跌，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>生物技术指数&lt;.NBI&gt;也掉了。</blockquote></p><p>Moderna's shares cut some losses after it said countries around the globe would continue buying its COVID-19 vaccine for years even if patents on the shots are waived.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna表示，即使疫苗专利被放弃，全球各国仍将在数年内继续购买其COVID-19疫苗，该公司股价小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financials index(.SPSY)was among the top performers.</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融指数(.SPSY)是表现最好的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p>\"One sector we are seeing a lot of opportunities in is the financial sector. We see it as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> that should benefit from higher interest rates and a stronger economic recovery,\" said Ann Guntli, portfolio manager at Chicago-based RMB Capital.</p><p><blockquote>“我们看到很多机会的一个行业是金融业。我们认为它是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>这应该会受益于更高的利率和更强劲的经济复苏，”总部位于芝加哥的人民币资本投资组合经理安·冈特利(Ann Guntli)表示。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp(MSFT.O), Apple(AAPL.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> Incwere up under 1% for most of the session.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司(MSFT.O)、苹果(AAPL.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>该股大部分时间涨幅均低于1%。</blockquote></p><p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 0.92% to end at 34,545.11 points, while the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 0.82% to 4,201.58.</p><p><blockquote>非官方数据显示，道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨0.92%，收于34,545.11点，标普500(.SPX)上涨0.82%，收于4,201.58点。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)climbed 0.37% to 13,632.84.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC)上涨0.37%，至13,632.84点。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale(COST.O)jumped after the retailer said late on Wednesday that its April sales surged 33.5%. That rally helped push the S&amp;P 500 consumers staple index higher.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发(COST.O)周三晚间表示，其4月份销售额飙升33.5%，随后该零售商股价上涨。这一反弹帮助推高了标普500消费必需品指数。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a> Inc(REGN.O)rose after the drugmaker reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit and said it expected demand for its COVID-19 antibody therapy to hold up.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">再生元制药</a>Inc(REGN.O)上涨，此前该制药商公布了好于预期的季度利润，并表示预计对其COVID-19抗体疗法的需求将保持不变。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a> Technologies Inc(UBER.N)tumbled after it signaled it would pay drivers more to get cars back on the road as the pandemic recedes, and disclosed a $600 million charge to provide UK drivers with benefits.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>科技公司（UBER.N）表示，随着疫情的消退，将向司机支付更多费用，让汽车重新上路，并披露了6亿美元的费用，为英国司机提供福利，股价暴跌。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a> gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>比特币增长，收入增长266%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">Beyond Meat swings to a loss as grocery sales growth slows</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">随着杂货销售增长放缓，Beyond Meat陷入亏损</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku第一季度活跃账户增长放缓，收入猛增79%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton Crushes Forecasts But Cuts <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">Guidance</a> Amid Treadmill Recall</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton超出预期但削减<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">指导</a>跑步机召回</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">AMC Chain Posts $567.2 Million Loss as Film Fans Trickle Back</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">随着影迷回流，AMC连锁店亏损5.672亿美元</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/dow-closes-record-high-after-upbeat-jobless-claims-report-2021-05-06/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","REGN":"再生元制药公司","COST":"好市多","JNJ":"强生","AAPL":"苹果","PFE":"辉瑞","MSFT":"微软","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","BYND":"Beyond Meat, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","ROKU":"Roku Inc","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/dow-closes-record-high-after-upbeat-jobless-claims-report-2021-05-06/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186778449","content_text":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)closed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.Lifted by Apple Inc(AAPL.O), the S&P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.Investors were awaiting a more comprehensive non-farm payrolls report on Friday for clues on the strength of the labor market and potentially the U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy.\"Investors are encouraged by the low-interest rates and the stimulus that the government is putting into the economy. We're also seeing substantial increases in economic projections and earnings forecasts,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.Pharmaceutical companies dropped after the White House said Biden made the decision to back a proposed waiver for COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property rights.Shares in Pfizer Inc(PFE.N), Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)and Novavax Inc(NVAX.O), all involved in the making of COVID-19 vaccines, fell. Johnson & Johnson(JNJ.N)was near unchanged.The S&P 500 healthcare sector index(.SPXHC)slipped, while the Nasdaq biotechnology index <.NBI> also dropped.Moderna's shares cut some losses after it said countries around the globe would continue buying its COVID-19 vaccine for years even if patents on the shots are waived.The S&P 500 financials index(.SPSY)was among the top performers.\"One sector we are seeing a lot of opportunities in is the financial sector. We see it as one that should benefit from higher interest rates and a stronger economic recovery,\" said Ann Guntli, portfolio manager at Chicago-based RMB Capital.Microsoft Corp(MSFT.O), Apple(AAPL.O)and Amazon.com Incwere up under 1% for most of the session.Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 0.92% to end at 34,545.11 points, while the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 0.82% to 4,201.58.The Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)climbed 0.37% to 13,632.84.Costco Wholesale(COST.O)jumped after the retailer said late on Wednesday that its April sales surged 33.5%. That rally helped push the S&P 500 consumers staple index higher.Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc(REGN.O)rose after the drugmaker reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit and said it expected demand for its COVID-19 antibody therapy to hold up.Uber Technologies Inc(UBER.N)tumbled after it signaled it would pay drivers more to get cars back on the road as the pandemic recedes, and disclosed a $600 million charge to provide UK drivers with benefits.Square gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%Beyond Meat swings to a loss as grocery sales growth slowsRoku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%Peloton Crushes Forecasts But Cuts Guidance Amid Treadmill RecallAMC Chain Posts $567.2 Million Loss as Film Fans Trickle Back","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COST":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"NVAX":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"REGN":0.9,"PTON":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"SPSY":0.9,"SQ":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"UBER":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"BYND":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186745667,"gmtCreate":1623544709659,"gmtModify":1634032038080,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pfizer look good.&nbsp;","listText":"Pfizer look good.&nbsp;","text":"Pfizer look good.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186745667","repostId":"2142788118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192683198,"gmtCreate":1621206438514,"gmtModify":1634193498806,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buying opportunity?&nbsp;","listText":"Buying opportunity?&nbsp;","text":"Buying opportunity?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192683198","repostId":"1115487503","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102908269,"gmtCreate":1620171723251,"gmtModify":1634207329470,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rising interest is a matter of time only..&nbsp;","listText":"Rising interest is a matter of time only..&nbsp;","text":"Rising interest is a matter of time only..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102908269","repostId":"1140575890","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140575890","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620141444,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140575890?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 23:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Yellen says interest rates may have to rise somewhat to make sure economy doesn't overheat<blockquote>耶伦表示，利率可能必须有所上升，以确保经济不会过热</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140575890","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(May 4) Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to kee","content":"<p>(May 4)&nbsp;Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to keep a lid on the burgeoning growth of the U.S. economy brought on by trillions in government stimulus spending.</p><p><blockquote>（5月4日）美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦（Janet Yellen）周二承认，利率可能必须上升，以抑制数万亿政府刺激支出带来的美国经济快速增长。</blockquote></p><p>\"It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat,\" Yellen said during a economic seminar presented by Th Atlantic. \"Even though additional spending is relatively small to the size of the economy, it could causae some very modest increases in interest rates.\"</p><p><blockquote>耶伦在Th Atlantic举办的经济研讨会上表示：“利率可能必须有所上升，以确保我们的经济不会过热。”“尽管额外支出相对于经济规模来说相对较小，但它可能会导致利率出现一些非常温和的上涨。”</blockquote></p><p>\"But these are investments our economy needs to be competitive and productive,\" she added.</p><p><blockquote>“但这些都是我们的经济保持竞争力和生产力所需的投资，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p>Nasdaq fell&nbsp;over 2%&nbsp;for&nbsp;now.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克目前跌幅超过2%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de3525661b3a7db28a0797ab745db67b\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"479\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec61efef423e545861c0ca0126af9332\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Yellen says interest rates may have to rise somewhat to make sure economy doesn't overheat<blockquote>耶伦表示，利率可能必须有所上升，以确保经济不会过热</blockquote></title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYellen says interest rates may have to rise somewhat to make sure economy doesn't overheat<blockquote>耶伦表示，利率可能必须有所上升，以确保经济不会过热</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-04 23:17</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(May 4)&nbsp;Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to keep a lid on the burgeoning growth of the U.S. economy brought on by trillions in government stimulus spending.</p><p><blockquote>（5月4日）美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦（Janet Yellen）周二承认，利率可能必须上升，以抑制数万亿政府刺激支出带来的美国经济快速增长。</blockquote></p><p>\"It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat,\" Yellen said during a economic seminar presented by Th Atlantic. \"Even though additional spending is relatively small to the size of the economy, it could causae some very modest increases in interest rates.\"</p><p><blockquote>耶伦在Th Atlantic举办的经济研讨会上表示：“利率可能必须有所上升，以确保我们的经济不会过热。”“尽管额外支出相对于经济规模来说相对较小，但它可能会导致利率出现一些非常温和的上涨。”</blockquote></p><p>\"But these are investments our economy needs to be competitive and productive,\" she added.</p><p><blockquote>“但这些都是我们的经济保持竞争力和生产力所需的投资，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p>Nasdaq fell&nbsp;over 2%&nbsp;for&nbsp;now.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克目前跌幅超过2%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de3525661b3a7db28a0797ab745db67b\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"479\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec61efef423e545861c0ca0126af9332\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140575890","content_text":"(May 4) Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to keep a lid on the burgeoning growth of the U.S. economy brought on by trillions in government stimulus spending.\"It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat,\" Yellen said during a economic seminar presented by Th Atlantic. \"Even though additional spending is relatively small to the size of the economy, it could causae some very modest increases in interest rates.\"\"But these are investments our economy needs to be competitive and productive,\" she added.Nasdaq fell over 2% for now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376284740,"gmtCreate":1619132478580,"gmtModify":1634288399361,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Investment Guru...&nbsp;","listText":"Investment Guru...&nbsp;","text":"Investment Guru...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376284740","repostId":"1171301745","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171301745","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619107041,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171301745?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-22 23:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett could teach traders in dogecoin, GameStop and other hot trends a few things about ‘Mr. Market’<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特可以向狗狗币、游戏驿站和其他热门趋势的交易者传授一些关于沃伦·巴菲特先生的知识。市场'</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171301745","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Be skeptical of fads, fashions and trends and operate within your circle of competence\nMarketWatch p","content":"<p>Be skeptical of fads, fashions and trends and operate within your circle of competence</p><p><blockquote>对时尚、流行和趋势持怀疑态度，并在自己的能力范围内运作</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db221b5c38828963f24b035309d8303e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>MarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MarketWatch照片插图/iStockphoto</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the old joke goes, St. Peter had some bad news for an oil&nbsp;prospector&nbsp;who appeared at the pearly gates of heaven: “You’re qualified for admission,” said St. Peter, “but, as you can see, the section for oil prospectors is packed. There’s no way to fit you in.”</p><p><blockquote>正如一个古老的笑话所说，圣彼得对一个出现在天堂之门的石油勘探者有一些坏消息：“你有资格进入，”圣彼得说，“但是，正如你所看到的，石油勘探者区挤满了人。没有办法让你进去。”</blockquote></p><p> After a moment, the prospector asked to say just four words to the present occupants.&nbsp;That seemed harmless to St. Peter, so the prospector yelled, “Oil discovered in hell!”&nbsp; Immediately, most of the oil prospectors stampeded out for the nether regions.&nbsp;Impressed, St. Peter invited the prospector to move in and get comfortable. The prospector paused, saying “No, I think I’ll go along with the rest of them.&nbsp; There might be some truth to that rumor after all.”</p><p><blockquote>过了一会儿，探矿者要求对现在的居住者只说四个字。这对圣彼得来说似乎无害，所以探矿者喊道：“在地狱发现了石油！”随即，大多数石油勘探者纷纷涌向幽冥地区。圣彼得印象深刻，邀请探矿者搬进来，过得舒适些。探矿者停顿了一下，说：“不，我想我会和其他人一起去。毕竟那个谣言可能有一定的真实性。”</blockquote></p><p> Let that be a warning to CEOs and shareholders. Steering clear of rumors and self-delusion has been one of Warren Buffett’s key rules, ingrained into Berkshire Hathaway for years. We all need to hear such lessons repeatedly because reality’s temptations are always at war with our ideals.</p><p><blockquote>让这成为对首席执行官和股东的警告。避开谣言和自欺欺人一直是沃伦·巴菲特的关键规则之一，多年来在伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司根深蒂固。我们都需要反复听到这样的教训，因为现实的诱惑总是与我们的理想交战。</blockquote></p><p> The serial frenzies in meme stocks like&nbsp;GameStop&nbsp;and cryptocurrencies like dogecoin&nbsp;make this a good time to contrast what investors should do from what many seem to do. Comparing Berkshire’s and crypto’s faithful is apt given their outsized followings: an estimated 30 million Americanshave traded cryptocurrencies and 30 million are expected to stream this year’s Berkshire virtual annual meeting on May 1.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站等模因股票和狗狗币等加密货币的一系列狂热使得现在是对比投资者应该做什么和许多人似乎在做什么的好时机。考虑到伯克希尔和加密货币的忠实粉丝数量庞大，比较它们是恰当的：估计有3000万美国人交易过加密货币，预计将有3000万人观看今年5月1日举行的伯克希尔虚拟年会。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett defines Berkshire as a corporation with a partnership attitude. The value of each investor’s stake will rise (or fall) in lock step. This contrasts with how many seem to view companies with meme stocks or most of the crypto space. There, the culture is casino-like, where a small few stand to reap unimaginable riches while the overwhelming majority lose their shirts.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特将伯克希尔定义为一家具有合伙人态度的公司。每个投资者的股份价值将同步上升（或下降）。这与许多人似乎用迷因股票或大部分加密货币领域来看待公司形成了鲜明对比。那里的文化就像赌场一样，少数人收获难以想象的财富，而绝大多数人却输光了。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, Berkshire’s culture emphasizes patience and permanence. The company ideally holds investments and businesses forever and encourages its shareholders to hold indefinitely, through thick and thin. In the world of meme stocks and cryptocurrency trading, a strong norm favors immediate payday profits to be taken off the board. &nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>而且，伯克希尔的文化强调耐心和恒久。理想情况下，该公司永远持有投资和业务，并鼓励其股东无论同甘共苦都无限期持有。在迷因股票和加密货币交易的世界里，一个强有力的规范有利于立即将发薪日利润从董事会中扣除。 </blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, the Berkshire ideal accepts that it requires decades to build capital and that accumulating wealth entails skill and time — as well as a bit of luck. In contrast are those who strive to get rich quickly — and effortlessly. Today, some investment market players even seem to believe that everyone should be rich, as a matter of entitlement.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，伯克希尔的理想承认，积累资本需要几十年的时间，积累财富需要技能和时间，以及一点运气。相比之下，那些努力快速致富的人——而且毫不费力。今天，一些投资市场参与者甚至似乎认为，每个人都应该富有，这是一种权利。</blockquote></p><p> The ideal Berkshire investor focuses on business, operating strategies, products or services and competitive advantages. For many in the meme-crypto world, what counts is hype and adrenaline, not whether there’s a business plan, let alone operations or customers. The Berkshire model is skeptical of fads, fashions and trends, while dogecoin and other cryptos thrive on these.</p><p><blockquote>理想的伯克希尔投资者关注业务、运营策略、产品或服务以及竞争优势。对于迷因加密世界中的许多人来说，重要的是炒作和肾上腺素，而不是是否有商业计划，更不用说运营或客户了。伯克希尔模型对时尚、时尚和趋势持怀疑态度，而狗狗币和其他加密货币则靠这些蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> This leads to the Berkshire canon’s cardinal principle: the circle of competence. It prescribes to invest only in what you can understand with a moderate amount of effort. This excludes at least some meme stocks and many currently faddish&nbsp;“blank-check” IPO-mergers. For most people, cryptocurrencies are outside of their circle of competence. Indeed, large numbers of investors nowadays appear to be way out of their circle of competence.</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了伯克希尔经典的基本原则：能力圈。它规定只投资于你只要付出适度的努力就能理解的东西。这至少不包括一些模因股票和许多目前流行的“空白支票”IPO合并。对于大多数人来说，加密货币超出了他们的能力范围。事实上，如今大量投资者似乎远远超出了他们的能力范围。</blockquote></p><p> For investments within one’s circle of competence, Berkshire adherents appreciate that prices fluctuate widely and no one can predict such volatility. “Mr. Market” is a moody manic, always willing to trade with you at the going price, sometimes elevated, sometimes depressed.</p><p><blockquote>对于自己能力范围内的投资，伯克希尔的追随者意识到价格波动很大，没有人能够预测这种波动。“市场先生”是一个喜怒无常的狂躁者，总是愿意以现行价格与你交易，有时高，有时低。</blockquote></p><p> Following from both the limits of personal competence and the whims of markets, the Berkshire playbook demands a wide margin between the price paid and the value received. In Berkshire’s value-investing lexicon, this is the “margin of safety,” and Buffett has long said that these are the&nbsp;three most important words in investing.</p><p><blockquote>根据个人能力的限制和市场的波动，伯克希尔的剧本要求支付的价格和收到的价值之间有很大的差距。在伯克希尔的价值投资词典中，这就是“安全边际”，巴菲特早就说过，这是投资中最重要的三个词。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, besides avoiding rumor-mongering and self-delusion, the Berkshire playbook says to beware the delusions of others. Berkshire’s Vice Chairman, Charlie Munger, tells a story about fishing for muskies at Leech Lake in Minnesota. A visiting angler asked the local guide, “Are any muskies caught in this lake?”</p><p><blockquote>最后，除了避免散布谣言和自欺欺人之外，伯克希尔的剧本还说要小心他人的妄想。伯克希尔副董事长查理·芒格讲述了一个在明尼苏达州利奇湖钓麝香鱼的故事。一位来访的垂钓者问当地导游：“这个湖里有钓到麝香鱼吗？”</blockquote></p><p> “More muskies are caught in this lake than in any other lake in Minnesota,” the guide replied.&nbsp; “This lake is famous for muskies.”</p><p><blockquote>“这个湖捕获的麝香鱼比明尼苏达州任何其他湖都多，”向导回答说，“这个湖以麝香鱼闻名。”</blockquote></p><p> “How long have you been fishing here?”</p><p><blockquote>“你在这里钓鱼多久了？”</blockquote></p><p> “Nineteen years,” the guide said.</p><p><blockquote>“十九年，”向导说。</blockquote></p><p> “And how many muskies have you caught?”</p><p><blockquote>“你抓了多少麝香猫？”</blockquote></p><p> “None.”</p><p><blockquote>“没有。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> So the next time someone tells you of the untold riches being made in day trading, ask them, “How much cash have you banked?”</p><p><blockquote>所以，下次有人告诉你日内交易创造了数不清的财富时，问问他们，“你存了多少现金？”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett could teach traders in dogecoin, GameStop and other hot trends a few things about ‘Mr. Market’<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特可以向狗狗币、游戏驿站和其他热门趋势的交易者传授一些关于沃伦·巴菲特先生的知识。市场'</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett could teach traders in dogecoin, GameStop and other hot trends a few things about ‘Mr. Market’<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特可以向狗狗币、游戏驿站和其他热门趋势的交易者传授一些关于沃伦·巴菲特先生的知识。市场'</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-22 23:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Be skeptical of fads, fashions and trends and operate within your circle of competence</p><p><blockquote>对时尚、流行和趋势持怀疑态度，并在自己的能力范围内运作</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db221b5c38828963f24b035309d8303e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>MarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MarketWatch照片插图/iStockphoto</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the old joke goes, St. Peter had some bad news for an oil&nbsp;prospector&nbsp;who appeared at the pearly gates of heaven: “You’re qualified for admission,” said St. Peter, “but, as you can see, the section for oil prospectors is packed. There’s no way to fit you in.”</p><p><blockquote>正如一个古老的笑话所说，圣彼得对一个出现在天堂之门的石油勘探者有一些坏消息：“你有资格进入，”圣彼得说，“但是，正如你所看到的，石油勘探者区挤满了人。没有办法让你进去。”</blockquote></p><p> After a moment, the prospector asked to say just four words to the present occupants.&nbsp;That seemed harmless to St. Peter, so the prospector yelled, “Oil discovered in hell!”&nbsp; Immediately, most of the oil prospectors stampeded out for the nether regions.&nbsp;Impressed, St. Peter invited the prospector to move in and get comfortable. The prospector paused, saying “No, I think I’ll go along with the rest of them.&nbsp; There might be some truth to that rumor after all.”</p><p><blockquote>过了一会儿，探矿者要求对现在的居住者只说四个字。这对圣彼得来说似乎无害，所以探矿者喊道：“在地狱发现了石油！”随即，大多数石油勘探者纷纷涌向幽冥地区。圣彼得印象深刻，邀请探矿者搬进来，过得舒适些。探矿者停顿了一下，说：“不，我想我会和其他人一起去。毕竟那个谣言可能有一定的真实性。”</blockquote></p><p> Let that be a warning to CEOs and shareholders. Steering clear of rumors and self-delusion has been one of Warren Buffett’s key rules, ingrained into Berkshire Hathaway for years. We all need to hear such lessons repeatedly because reality’s temptations are always at war with our ideals.</p><p><blockquote>让这成为对首席执行官和股东的警告。避开谣言和自欺欺人一直是沃伦·巴菲特的关键规则之一，多年来在伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司根深蒂固。我们都需要反复听到这样的教训，因为现实的诱惑总是与我们的理想交战。</blockquote></p><p> The serial frenzies in meme stocks like&nbsp;GameStop&nbsp;and cryptocurrencies like dogecoin&nbsp;make this a good time to contrast what investors should do from what many seem to do. Comparing Berkshire’s and crypto’s faithful is apt given their outsized followings: an estimated 30 million Americanshave traded cryptocurrencies and 30 million are expected to stream this year’s Berkshire virtual annual meeting on May 1.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站等模因股票和狗狗币等加密货币的一系列狂热使得现在是对比投资者应该做什么和许多人似乎在做什么的好时机。考虑到伯克希尔和加密货币的忠实粉丝数量庞大，比较它们是恰当的：估计有3000万美国人交易过加密货币，预计将有3000万人观看今年5月1日举行的伯克希尔虚拟年会。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett defines Berkshire as a corporation with a partnership attitude. The value of each investor’s stake will rise (or fall) in lock step. This contrasts with how many seem to view companies with meme stocks or most of the crypto space. There, the culture is casino-like, where a small few stand to reap unimaginable riches while the overwhelming majority lose their shirts.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特将伯克希尔定义为一家具有合伙人态度的公司。每个投资者的股份价值将同步上升（或下降）。这与许多人似乎用迷因股票或大部分加密货币领域来看待公司形成了鲜明对比。那里的文化就像赌场一样，少数人收获难以想象的财富，而绝大多数人却输光了。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, Berkshire’s culture emphasizes patience and permanence. The company ideally holds investments and businesses forever and encourages its shareholders to hold indefinitely, through thick and thin. In the world of meme stocks and cryptocurrency trading, a strong norm favors immediate payday profits to be taken off the board. &nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>而且，伯克希尔的文化强调耐心和恒久。理想情况下，该公司永远持有投资和业务，并鼓励其股东无论同甘共苦都无限期持有。在迷因股票和加密货币交易的世界里，一个强有力的规范有利于立即将发薪日利润从董事会中扣除。 </blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, the Berkshire ideal accepts that it requires decades to build capital and that accumulating wealth entails skill and time — as well as a bit of luck. In contrast are those who strive to get rich quickly — and effortlessly. Today, some investment market players even seem to believe that everyone should be rich, as a matter of entitlement.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，伯克希尔的理想承认，积累资本需要几十年的时间，积累财富需要技能和时间，以及一点运气。相比之下，那些努力快速致富的人——而且毫不费力。今天，一些投资市场参与者甚至似乎认为，每个人都应该富有，这是一种权利。</blockquote></p><p> The ideal Berkshire investor focuses on business, operating strategies, products or services and competitive advantages. For many in the meme-crypto world, what counts is hype and adrenaline, not whether there’s a business plan, let alone operations or customers. The Berkshire model is skeptical of fads, fashions and trends, while dogecoin and other cryptos thrive on these.</p><p><blockquote>理想的伯克希尔投资者关注业务、运营策略、产品或服务以及竞争优势。对于迷因加密世界中的许多人来说，重要的是炒作和肾上腺素，而不是是否有商业计划，更不用说运营或客户了。伯克希尔模型对时尚、时尚和趋势持怀疑态度，而狗狗币和其他加密货币则靠这些蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> This leads to the Berkshire canon’s cardinal principle: the circle of competence. It prescribes to invest only in what you can understand with a moderate amount of effort. This excludes at least some meme stocks and many currently faddish&nbsp;“blank-check” IPO-mergers. For most people, cryptocurrencies are outside of their circle of competence. Indeed, large numbers of investors nowadays appear to be way out of their circle of competence.</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了伯克希尔经典的基本原则：能力圈。它规定只投资于你只要付出适度的努力就能理解的东西。这至少不包括一些模因股票和许多目前流行的“空白支票”IPO合并。对于大多数人来说，加密货币超出了他们的能力范围。事实上，如今大量投资者似乎远远超出了他们的能力范围。</blockquote></p><p> For investments within one’s circle of competence, Berkshire adherents appreciate that prices fluctuate widely and no one can predict such volatility. “Mr. Market” is a moody manic, always willing to trade with you at the going price, sometimes elevated, sometimes depressed.</p><p><blockquote>对于自己能力范围内的投资，伯克希尔的追随者意识到价格波动很大，没有人能够预测这种波动。“市场先生”是一个喜怒无常的狂躁者，总是愿意以现行价格与你交易，有时高，有时低。</blockquote></p><p> Following from both the limits of personal competence and the whims of markets, the Berkshire playbook demands a wide margin between the price paid and the value received. In Berkshire’s value-investing lexicon, this is the “margin of safety,” and Buffett has long said that these are the&nbsp;three most important words in investing.</p><p><blockquote>根据个人能力的限制和市场的波动，伯克希尔的剧本要求支付的价格和收到的价值之间有很大的差距。在伯克希尔的价值投资词典中，这就是“安全边际”，巴菲特早就说过，这是投资中最重要的三个词。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, besides avoiding rumor-mongering and self-delusion, the Berkshire playbook says to beware the delusions of others. Berkshire’s Vice Chairman, Charlie Munger, tells a story about fishing for muskies at Leech Lake in Minnesota. A visiting angler asked the local guide, “Are any muskies caught in this lake?”</p><p><blockquote>最后，除了避免散布谣言和自欺欺人之外，伯克希尔的剧本还说要小心他人的妄想。伯克希尔副董事长查理·芒格讲述了一个在明尼苏达州利奇湖钓麝香鱼的故事。一位来访的垂钓者问当地导游：“这个湖里有钓到麝香鱼吗？”</blockquote></p><p> “More muskies are caught in this lake than in any other lake in Minnesota,” the guide replied.&nbsp; “This lake is famous for muskies.”</p><p><blockquote>“这个湖捕获的麝香鱼比明尼苏达州任何其他湖都多，”向导回答说，“这个湖以麝香鱼闻名。”</blockquote></p><p> “How long have you been fishing here?”</p><p><blockquote>“你在这里钓鱼多久了？”</blockquote></p><p> “Nineteen years,” the guide said.</p><p><blockquote>“十九年，”向导说。</blockquote></p><p> “And how many muskies have you caught?”</p><p><blockquote>“你抓了多少麝香猫？”</blockquote></p><p> “None.”</p><p><blockquote>“没有。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> So the next time someone tells you of the untold riches being made in day trading, ask them, “How much cash have you banked?”</p><p><blockquote>所以，下次有人告诉你日内交易创造了数不清的财富时，问问他们，“你存了多少现金？”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/warren-buffett-could-teach-traders-in-dogecoin-gamestop-and-other-hot-trends-a-few-things-about-mr-market-11619079021?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/warren-buffett-could-teach-traders-in-dogecoin-gamestop-and-other-hot-trends-a-few-things-about-mr-market-11619079021?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171301745","content_text":"Be skeptical of fads, fashions and trends and operate within your circle of competence\nMarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto\nAs the old joke goes, St. Peter had some bad news for an oil prospector who appeared at the pearly gates of heaven: “You’re qualified for admission,” said St. Peter, “but, as you can see, the section for oil prospectors is packed. There’s no way to fit you in.”\nAfter a moment, the prospector asked to say just four words to the present occupants. That seemed harmless to St. Peter, so the prospector yelled, “Oil discovered in hell!”  Immediately, most of the oil prospectors stampeded out for the nether regions. Impressed, St. Peter invited the prospector to move in and get comfortable. The prospector paused, saying “No, I think I’ll go along with the rest of them.  There might be some truth to that rumor after all.”\nLet that be a warning to CEOs and shareholders. Steering clear of rumors and self-delusion has been one of Warren Buffett’s key rules, ingrained into Berkshire Hathaway for years. We all need to hear such lessons repeatedly because reality’s temptations are always at war with our ideals.\nThe serial frenzies in meme stocks like GameStop and cryptocurrencies like dogecoin make this a good time to contrast what investors should do from what many seem to do. Comparing Berkshire’s and crypto’s faithful is apt given their outsized followings: an estimated 30 million Americanshave traded cryptocurrencies and 30 million are expected to stream this year’s Berkshire virtual annual meeting on May 1.\nBuffett defines Berkshire as a corporation with a partnership attitude. The value of each investor’s stake will rise (or fall) in lock step. This contrasts with how many seem to view companies with meme stocks or most of the crypto space. There, the culture is casino-like, where a small few stand to reap unimaginable riches while the overwhelming majority lose their shirts. \nMoreover, Berkshire’s culture emphasizes patience and permanence. The company ideally holds investments and businesses forever and encourages its shareholders to hold indefinitely, through thick and thin. In the world of meme stocks and cryptocurrency trading, a strong norm favors immediate payday profits to be taken off the board.  \nRelatedly, the Berkshire ideal accepts that it requires decades to build capital and that accumulating wealth entails skill and time — as well as a bit of luck. In contrast are those who strive to get rich quickly — and effortlessly. Today, some investment market players even seem to believe that everyone should be rich, as a matter of entitlement.\nThe ideal Berkshire investor focuses on business, operating strategies, products or services and competitive advantages. For many in the meme-crypto world, what counts is hype and adrenaline, not whether there’s a business plan, let alone operations or customers. The Berkshire model is skeptical of fads, fashions and trends, while dogecoin and other cryptos thrive on these.\nThis leads to the Berkshire canon’s cardinal principle: the circle of competence. It prescribes to invest only in what you can understand with a moderate amount of effort. This excludes at least some meme stocks and many currently faddish “blank-check” IPO-mergers. For most people, cryptocurrencies are outside of their circle of competence. Indeed, large numbers of investors nowadays appear to be way out of their circle of competence.\nFor investments within one’s circle of competence, Berkshire adherents appreciate that prices fluctuate widely and no one can predict such volatility. “Mr. Market” is a moody manic, always willing to trade with you at the going price, sometimes elevated, sometimes depressed.\nFollowing from both the limits of personal competence and the whims of markets, the Berkshire playbook demands a wide margin between the price paid and the value received. In Berkshire’s value-investing lexicon, this is the “margin of safety,” and Buffett has long said that these are the three most important words in investing.\nFinally, besides avoiding rumor-mongering and self-delusion, the Berkshire playbook says to beware the delusions of others. Berkshire’s Vice Chairman, Charlie Munger, tells a story about fishing for muskies at Leech Lake in Minnesota. A visiting angler asked the local guide, “Are any muskies caught in this lake?”\n“More muskies are caught in this lake than in any other lake in Minnesota,” the guide replied.  “This lake is famous for muskies.”\n“How long have you been fishing here?”\n“Nineteen years,” the guide said.\n“And how many muskies have you caught?”\n“None.”\nSo the next time someone tells you of the untold riches being made in day trading, ask them, “How much cash have you banked?”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":563,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113128272,"gmtCreate":1622598881596,"gmtModify":1634100066499,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The world take times to go back to normal life..&nbsp;","listText":"The world take times to go back to normal life..&nbsp;","text":"The world take times to go back to normal life..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113128272","repostId":"1146862408","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133039516,"gmtCreate":1621665918235,"gmtModify":1634187251887,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dividend Go..&nbsp;","listText":"Dividend Go..&nbsp;","text":"Dividend Go..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133039516","repostId":"2137909732","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2137909732","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1621605926,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2137909732?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-21 22:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This high-yield strategy may be best for income as inflation becomes a threat<blockquote>随着通货膨胀成为威胁，这种高收益策略可能最适合收入</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2137909732","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Kevin Loome of T. Rowe Price highlights the advantages of junk bonds in a growing economy with risin","content":"<p>Kevin Loome of T. Rowe Price highlights the advantages of junk bonds in a growing economy with rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的凯文·卢姆(Kevin Loome)强调了垃圾债券在通胀上升的经济增长中的优势。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8f72122ebea9d0d1d2abd4cf3b0c62d\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Ford Motor Credit is one of the larger issuers of high-yield bonds held by the T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund. (Bloomberg)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>福特汽车信贷是T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金持有的高收益债券的较大发行人之一。（彭博社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p>High-yield bonds, also known as junk bonds, have been a popular class of investments in a yield-starved world.</p><p><blockquote>高收益债券，也称为垃圾债券，在收益率匮乏的世界中一直是一种受欢迎的投资类别。</blockquote></p><p>But interest rates are still low, while inflation has been picking up, as the economy bounces back from its coronavirus swoon in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但随着经济从2020年冠状病毒的低迷中反弹，利率仍然很低，而通胀一直在上升。</blockquote></p><p>This means income-seekers might be afraid of a decline in bond prices as interest rates rise.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着寻求收入的人可能担心随着利率上升债券价格下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Kevin Loome of T. Rowe Price <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TROW\">$(TROW)$</a> makes the case that in a growing economy with inflation, high-yield bond portfolios can have advantages over investment-grade portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的凯文·卢姆(Kevin Loome)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TROW\">$(TROW)$</a>证明了在通胀不断增长的经济中，高收益债券投资组合可能比投资级投资组合具有优势。</blockquote></p><p>Loome is the portfolio manager for the T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund. He joined T. Rowe Price in 2017 as part of the firm's acquisition of the Henderson High Yield Opportunities Fund, which was originally established in May 2013. He is based in Philadelphia.</p><p><blockquote>Loome是T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金的投资组合经理。他于2017年加入T.Rowe Price，作为该公司收购亨德森高收益机会基金的一部分，该基金最初成立于2013年5月。他住在费城。</blockquote></p><p><b>Fund outperformance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基金表现优异</b></blockquote></p><p>The T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund's institutional shares  are rated five stars by Morningstar. That's the investment research firm's highest rating. The fund's Investor share class  and Advisor share class  have four-star ratings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金的机构股票被晨星公司评为五星级。这是该投资研究公司的最高评级。该基金的投资者股票类别和顾问股票类别拥有四星级评级。</blockquote></p><p>Here are total returns (with dividends reinvested) through May 14 for all three classes for the fund against its benchmark, the ICE BofA High Yield Constrained Index, and two large exchange-traded funds -- the SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNK\">$(JNK)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEME\">iShares</a> iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HYG.UK\">$(HYG.UK)$</a>, which are both rated three stars by Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>以下是截至5月14日该基金所有三个类别相对于其基准ICE美国银行高收益约束指数和两只大型交易所交易基金（SPDR彭博巴克莱高收益债券ETF）的总回报（包括股息再投资）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNK\">$(JNK)$</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEME\">iShares</a>iBoxx$高收益公司债券ETF<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HYG.UK\">$(HYG.UK)$</a>，均被晨星评为三星。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a25d42954658e7731b127ec7a3ba699\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund's institutional shares have a 30-day SEC yield of 4.49% and a 30-day annualized dividend yield of 5.40%. For the Investor shares (TUHYX) the 30-day SEC yield is 4.34% and the 30-day annualized yield is 5.26%. For the Advisor shares, the 30-day SEC yield is 4.20% and the 30-day annualized yield is 5.08%.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金的机构股票的30天SEC收益率为4.49%，30天年化股息收益率为5.40%。投资者股票(TUHYX)的30天SEC收益率为4.34%，30天年化收益率为5.26%。对于顾问股票，30天SEC收益率为4.20%，30天年化收益率为5.08%。</blockquote></p><p>For five years, the T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund's three share classes rank in the 11th percentile or higher in Morningstar's \"U.S. Fund High Yield Bond\" category. From the fund's inception as the Henderson High Yield Opportunities Fund (May 2013), the three share classes rank in the third percentile or higher.</p><p><blockquote>五年来，T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金的三个股票类别在晨星“美国基金高收益债券”类别中排名第11百分位或更高。自该基金成立为恒基高收益机会基金（2013年5月）以来，这三个股票类别的排名均在第三个百分点或更高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Concentrated portfolio</b></p><p><blockquote><b>集中投资组合</b></blockquote></p><p>During an interview, Loome said his fund has advantages over its benchmark index and against the above ETFs because its size enables it to run a more selective or concentrated portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>Loome在接受采访时表示，他的基金相对于基准指数和上述ETF具有优势，因为其规模使其能够运行更具选择性或集中的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p>The T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund has about $500 million in assets, although the total assets under management at T. Rowe Price under the same strategy managed by Loome is about $2.5 billion. That compares to an overall high-yield bond market of $1.5 trillion tracked by the ICE BofA High Yield Constrained Index. The SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF has $10.3 in assets and the ishares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF has $21.2 billion.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金拥有约5亿美元的资产，尽管T.Rowe Price在Loome管理的相同策略下管理的总资产约为25亿美元。相比之下，ICE美国银行高收益约束指数追踪的整体高收益债券市场规模为1.5万亿美元。SPDR彭博巴克莱高收益债券ETF的资产为10.3美元，ishares iBoxx$高收益公司债券ETF的资产为212亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Loome said his portfolio is holding bonds issued by about 100 companies, and that its limit is 200 companies, but that \"the average mutual-fund manager in this space owns about 450.\"</p><p><blockquote>Loome表示，他的投资组合持有约100家公司发行的债券，其上限为200家公司，但“该领域的共同基金经理平均拥有约450家公司”。</blockquote></p><p>Loome also invests in leveraged loans, which are non-investment-grade commercial loans. Among the fund's top holdings are bonds issued by Ford Motor Credit (a subsidiary of Ford Motor Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a>), Occidental Petroleum Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">$(OXY)$</a> and American Airlines Group Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a>.</p><p><blockquote>Loome还投资杠杆贷款，即非投资级商业贷款。该基金的主要持股包括福特汽车信贷公司（福特汽车公司的子公司）发行的债券。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a>），西方石油公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">$（氧）$</a>和美国航空集团公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a>.</blockquote></p><p>A high-yield bond fund is a play not only on more income than you can get from investment-grade bonds, but on credit risk. Higher default rates mean more opportunities to scoop up bonds at discounted prices, leading to gains when the bonds mature, provided the fund manager has gotten the credit analysis right.</p><p><blockquote>高收益债券基金不仅会带来比投资级债券更多的收入，还会带来信用风险。更高的违约率意味着更多的机会以折扣价买入债券，从而在债券到期时获得收益，前提是基金经理的信用分析正确。</blockquote></p><p>Lower-rated or unrated issuers' bonds will trade at significant discounts during times of market turmoil, as they did early in the coronavirus pandemic last year. Then as interest rates plunged and asset values recovered, the junk bond market values followed suit, explaining the high double-digit returns for 2020.</p><p><blockquote>在市场动荡时期，评级较低或未评级发行人的债券将以大幅折扣交易，就像去年冠状病毒大流行初期的情况一样。然后，随着利率暴跌和资产价值回升，垃圾债券市场价值也随之上涨，这解释了2020年两位数的高回报。</blockquote></p><p>But in a universe of about 1,000 high-yield issuers, \"If you are holding 600 of 1,000, you cannot argue that you are adding credit selection,\" Loome said.</p><p><blockquote>但在大约1,000家高收益发行人的世界中，“如果你持有1,000家中的600家，你就不能说你正在增加信用选择，”Loome说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>So 2020 was an example of a year in which high-yield bond-fund mangers had \"a total return plus yield opportunity,\" Loomis said. In the current environment, with prices having recovered, \"the best you can have is an income opportunity,\" he said. But there are also price advantages for junk bonds in the current economic climate.</p><p><blockquote>卢米斯表示，因此2020年是高收益债券基金经理拥有“总回报加收益率机会”的一年。在当前的环境下，随着价格的回升，“你能拥有的最好的收入机会，”他说。但在当前的经济环境下，垃圾债券也有价格优势。</blockquote></p><p><b>Advantages in a rising-rate environment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利率上升环境中的优势</b></blockquote></p><p>We're in the midst of a pullback for U.S. stocks, which may reflect investors' fears of inflation, in the wake of a massive increase in the money supply from Federal Reserve bond purchases and the federal government's stimulus. Consumer prices in the U.S. have risen 4.2% over the past year  -- the largest increase since 2008.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市正处于回调之中，这可能反映了投资者对通胀的担忧，此前美联储债券购买和联邦政府的刺激措施导致货币供应量大幅增加。过去一年，美国消费者价格上涨了4.2%，这是自2008年以来的最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p>Short-term interest rates remain near zero because the Fed's target range for the federal funds rate is zero to 0.25%. But that may change if the Federal Open Market Committee believes inflation is likely to remain above its 2% long-term target. Meanwhile, the market has already reacted with a bond selloff that has pushed long-term yields higher. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes  has increased to 1.65% from 0.93% at the end of last year.</p><p><blockquote>短期利率仍接近于零，因为美联储的联邦基金利率目标区间为零至0.25%。但如果联邦公开市场委员会认为通胀率可能保持在2%的长期目标之上，这种情况可能会改变。与此同时，市场已经对债券抛售做出反应，推高了长期收益率。10年期美国国债收益率已从去年底的0.93%升至1.65%。</blockquote></p><p>Investors holding shares of bond funds will be nervous as interest rates rise because bond market values -- and the funds' share prices -- will go down.</p><p><blockquote>随着利率上升，持有债券基金股票的投资者将会感到紧张，因为债券市场价值和基金股价将会下跌。</blockquote></p><p>\"When you look at the availability of fixed income and where interest rates are, the least-worst place to be is leveraged loans and high yield (bonds), because they have shorter term structures and the highest coupons,\" Loome said.</p><p><blockquote>卢姆说：“当你看看固定收益的可用性和利率时，最不糟糕的地方是杠杆贷款和高收益（债券），因为它们的期限结构较短，息票最高。”</blockquote></p><p>Why would junk bonds and non-investment-grade commercial loans be the best fixed-income space in a rising-rate environment? There are three reasons:</p><p><blockquote>为什么垃圾债券和非投资级商业贷款会成为利率上升环境中最好的固定收益空间？原因有三：</blockquote></p><p>So a high-yield bond fund enjoys the advantages of an improving economy, because it means defaults are less likely. It enjoys pricing advantages, especially if its duration is very low, because the portfolio will turn over more quickly with freed-up money being invested in new bonds paying more.</p><p><blockquote>因此，高收益债券基金享有经济改善的优势，因为这意味着违约的可能性较小。它享有定价优势，特别是在其久期非常低的情况下，因为投资组合将更快地周转，释放的资金将投资于支付更多费用的新债券。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This high-yield strategy may be best for income as inflation becomes a threat<blockquote>随着通货膨胀成为威胁，这种高收益策略可能最适合收入</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis high-yield strategy may be best for income as inflation becomes a threat<blockquote>随着通货膨胀成为威胁，这种高收益策略可能最适合收入</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-21 22:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Kevin Loome of T. Rowe Price highlights the advantages of junk bonds in a growing economy with rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的凯文·卢姆(Kevin Loome)强调了垃圾债券在通胀上升的经济增长中的优势。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8f72122ebea9d0d1d2abd4cf3b0c62d\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Ford Motor Credit is one of the larger issuers of high-yield bonds held by the T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund. (Bloomberg)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>福特汽车信贷是T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金持有的高收益债券的较大发行人之一。（彭博社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p>High-yield bonds, also known as junk bonds, have been a popular class of investments in a yield-starved world.</p><p><blockquote>高收益债券，也称为垃圾债券，在收益率匮乏的世界中一直是一种受欢迎的投资类别。</blockquote></p><p>But interest rates are still low, while inflation has been picking up, as the economy bounces back from its coronavirus swoon in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但随着经济从2020年冠状病毒的低迷中反弹，利率仍然很低，而通胀一直在上升。</blockquote></p><p>This means income-seekers might be afraid of a decline in bond prices as interest rates rise.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着寻求收入的人可能担心随着利率上升债券价格下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Kevin Loome of T. Rowe Price <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TROW\">$(TROW)$</a> makes the case that in a growing economy with inflation, high-yield bond portfolios can have advantages over investment-grade portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的凯文·卢姆(Kevin Loome)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TROW\">$(TROW)$</a>证明了在通胀不断增长的经济中，高收益债券投资组合可能比投资级投资组合具有优势。</blockquote></p><p>Loome is the portfolio manager for the T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund. He joined T. Rowe Price in 2017 as part of the firm's acquisition of the Henderson High Yield Opportunities Fund, which was originally established in May 2013. He is based in Philadelphia.</p><p><blockquote>Loome是T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金的投资组合经理。他于2017年加入T.Rowe Price，作为该公司收购亨德森高收益机会基金的一部分，该基金最初成立于2013年5月。他住在费城。</blockquote></p><p><b>Fund outperformance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基金表现优异</b></blockquote></p><p>The T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund's institutional shares  are rated five stars by Morningstar. That's the investment research firm's highest rating. The fund's Investor share class  and Advisor share class  have four-star ratings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金的机构股票被晨星公司评为五星级。这是该投资研究公司的最高评级。该基金的投资者股票类别和顾问股票类别拥有四星级评级。</blockquote></p><p>Here are total returns (with dividends reinvested) through May 14 for all three classes for the fund against its benchmark, the ICE BofA High Yield Constrained Index, and two large exchange-traded funds -- the SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNK\">$(JNK)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEME\">iShares</a> iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HYG.UK\">$(HYG.UK)$</a>, which are both rated three stars by Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>以下是截至5月14日该基金所有三个类别相对于其基准ICE美国银行高收益约束指数和两只大型交易所交易基金（SPDR彭博巴克莱高收益债券ETF）的总回报（包括股息再投资）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNK\">$(JNK)$</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEME\">iShares</a>iBoxx$高收益公司债券ETF<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HYG.UK\">$(HYG.UK)$</a>，均被晨星评为三星。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a25d42954658e7731b127ec7a3ba699\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund's institutional shares have a 30-day SEC yield of 4.49% and a 30-day annualized dividend yield of 5.40%. For the Investor shares (TUHYX) the 30-day SEC yield is 4.34% and the 30-day annualized yield is 5.26%. For the Advisor shares, the 30-day SEC yield is 4.20% and the 30-day annualized yield is 5.08%.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金的机构股票的30天SEC收益率为4.49%，30天年化股息收益率为5.40%。投资者股票(TUHYX)的30天SEC收益率为4.34%，30天年化收益率为5.26%。对于顾问股票，30天SEC收益率为4.20%，30天年化收益率为5.08%。</blockquote></p><p>For five years, the T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund's three share classes rank in the 11th percentile or higher in Morningstar's \"U.S. Fund High Yield Bond\" category. From the fund's inception as the Henderson High Yield Opportunities Fund (May 2013), the three share classes rank in the third percentile or higher.</p><p><blockquote>五年来，T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金的三个股票类别在晨星“美国基金高收益债券”类别中排名第11百分位或更高。自该基金成立为恒基高收益机会基金（2013年5月）以来，这三个股票类别的排名均在第三个百分点或更高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Concentrated portfolio</b></p><p><blockquote><b>集中投资组合</b></blockquote></p><p>During an interview, Loome said his fund has advantages over its benchmark index and against the above ETFs because its size enables it to run a more selective or concentrated portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>Loome在接受采访时表示，他的基金相对于基准指数和上述ETF具有优势，因为其规模使其能够运行更具选择性或集中的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p>The T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund has about $500 million in assets, although the total assets under management at T. Rowe Price under the same strategy managed by Loome is about $2.5 billion. That compares to an overall high-yield bond market of $1.5 trillion tracked by the ICE BofA High Yield Constrained Index. The SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF has $10.3 in assets and the ishares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF has $21.2 billion.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price美国高收益基金拥有约5亿美元的资产，尽管T.Rowe Price在Loome管理的相同策略下管理的总资产约为25亿美元。相比之下，ICE美国银行高收益约束指数追踪的整体高收益债券市场规模为1.5万亿美元。SPDR彭博巴克莱高收益债券ETF的资产为10.3美元，ishares iBoxx$高收益公司债券ETF的资产为212亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Loome said his portfolio is holding bonds issued by about 100 companies, and that its limit is 200 companies, but that \"the average mutual-fund manager in this space owns about 450.\"</p><p><blockquote>Loome表示，他的投资组合持有约100家公司发行的债券，其上限为200家公司，但“该领域的共同基金经理平均拥有约450家公司”。</blockquote></p><p>Loome also invests in leveraged loans, which are non-investment-grade commercial loans. Among the fund's top holdings are bonds issued by Ford Motor Credit (a subsidiary of Ford Motor Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a>), Occidental Petroleum Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">$(OXY)$</a> and American Airlines Group Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a>.</p><p><blockquote>Loome还投资杠杆贷款，即非投资级商业贷款。该基金的主要持股包括福特汽车信贷公司（福特汽车公司的子公司）发行的债券。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a>），西方石油公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">$（氧）$</a>和美国航空集团公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a>.</blockquote></p><p>A high-yield bond fund is a play not only on more income than you can get from investment-grade bonds, but on credit risk. Higher default rates mean more opportunities to scoop up bonds at discounted prices, leading to gains when the bonds mature, provided the fund manager has gotten the credit analysis right.</p><p><blockquote>高收益债券基金不仅会带来比投资级债券更多的收入，还会带来信用风险。更高的违约率意味着更多的机会以折扣价买入债券，从而在债券到期时获得收益，前提是基金经理的信用分析正确。</blockquote></p><p>Lower-rated or unrated issuers' bonds will trade at significant discounts during times of market turmoil, as they did early in the coronavirus pandemic last year. Then as interest rates plunged and asset values recovered, the junk bond market values followed suit, explaining the high double-digit returns for 2020.</p><p><blockquote>在市场动荡时期，评级较低或未评级发行人的债券将以大幅折扣交易，就像去年冠状病毒大流行初期的情况一样。然后，随着利率暴跌和资产价值回升，垃圾债券市场价值也随之上涨，这解释了2020年两位数的高回报。</blockquote></p><p>But in a universe of about 1,000 high-yield issuers, \"If you are holding 600 of 1,000, you cannot argue that you are adding credit selection,\" Loome said.</p><p><blockquote>但在大约1,000家高收益发行人的世界中，“如果你持有1,000家中的600家，你就不能说你正在增加信用选择，”Loome说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>So 2020 was an example of a year in which high-yield bond-fund mangers had \"a total return plus yield opportunity,\" Loomis said. In the current environment, with prices having recovered, \"the best you can have is an income opportunity,\" he said. But there are also price advantages for junk bonds in the current economic climate.</p><p><blockquote>卢米斯表示，因此2020年是高收益债券基金经理拥有“总回报加收益率机会”的一年。在当前的环境下，随着价格的回升，“你能拥有的最好的收入机会，”他说。但在当前的经济环境下，垃圾债券也有价格优势。</blockquote></p><p><b>Advantages in a rising-rate environment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利率上升环境中的优势</b></blockquote></p><p>We're in the midst of a pullback for U.S. stocks, which may reflect investors' fears of inflation, in the wake of a massive increase in the money supply from Federal Reserve bond purchases and the federal government's stimulus. Consumer prices in the U.S. have risen 4.2% over the past year  -- the largest increase since 2008.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市正处于回调之中，这可能反映了投资者对通胀的担忧，此前美联储债券购买和联邦政府的刺激措施导致货币供应量大幅增加。过去一年，美国消费者价格上涨了4.2%，这是自2008年以来的最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p>Short-term interest rates remain near zero because the Fed's target range for the federal funds rate is zero to 0.25%. But that may change if the Federal Open Market Committee believes inflation is likely to remain above its 2% long-term target. Meanwhile, the market has already reacted with a bond selloff that has pushed long-term yields higher. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes  has increased to 1.65% from 0.93% at the end of last year.</p><p><blockquote>短期利率仍接近于零，因为美联储的联邦基金利率目标区间为零至0.25%。但如果联邦公开市场委员会认为通胀率可能保持在2%的长期目标之上，这种情况可能会改变。与此同时，市场已经对债券抛售做出反应，推高了长期收益率。10年期美国国债收益率已从去年底的0.93%升至1.65%。</blockquote></p><p>Investors holding shares of bond funds will be nervous as interest rates rise because bond market values -- and the funds' share prices -- will go down.</p><p><blockquote>随着利率上升，持有债券基金股票的投资者将会感到紧张，因为债券市场价值和基金股价将会下跌。</blockquote></p><p>\"When you look at the availability of fixed income and where interest rates are, the least-worst place to be is leveraged loans and high yield (bonds), because they have shorter term structures and the highest coupons,\" Loome said.</p><p><blockquote>卢姆说：“当你看看固定收益的可用性和利率时，最不糟糕的地方是杠杆贷款和高收益（债券），因为它们的期限结构较短，息票最高。”</blockquote></p><p>Why would junk bonds and non-investment-grade commercial loans be the best fixed-income space in a rising-rate environment? There are three reasons:</p><p><blockquote>为什么垃圾债券和非投资级商业贷款会成为利率上升环境中最好的固定收益空间？原因有三：</blockquote></p><p>So a high-yield bond fund enjoys the advantages of an improving economy, because it means defaults are less likely. It enjoys pricing advantages, especially if its duration is very low, because the portfolio will turn over more quickly with freed-up money being invested in new bonds paying more.</p><p><blockquote>因此，高收益债券基金享有经济改善的优势，因为这意味着违约的可能性较小。它享有定价优势，特别是在其久期非常低的情况下，因为投资组合将更快地周转，释放的资金将投资于支付更多费用的新债券。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-high-yield-strategy-may-be-best-for-income-as-inflation-becomes-a-threat-11621596885?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","JNK":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays高收益债","TROW":"普信集团",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-high-yield-strategy-may-be-best-for-income-as-inflation-becomes-a-threat-11621596885?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2137909732","content_text":"Kevin Loome of T. Rowe Price highlights the advantages of junk bonds in a growing economy with rising inflation.Ford Motor Credit is one of the larger issuers of high-yield bonds held by the T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund. (Bloomberg)High-yield bonds, also known as junk bonds, have been a popular class of investments in a yield-starved world.But interest rates are still low, while inflation has been picking up, as the economy bounces back from its coronavirus swoon in 2020.This means income-seekers might be afraid of a decline in bond prices as interest rates rise.Kevin Loome of T. Rowe Price $(TROW)$ makes the case that in a growing economy with inflation, high-yield bond portfolios can have advantages over investment-grade portfolios.Loome is the portfolio manager for the T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund. He joined T. Rowe Price in 2017 as part of the firm's acquisition of the Henderson High Yield Opportunities Fund, which was originally established in May 2013. He is based in Philadelphia.Fund outperformanceThe T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund's institutional shares  are rated five stars by Morningstar. That's the investment research firm's highest rating. The fund's Investor share class  and Advisor share class  have four-star ratings.Here are total returns (with dividends reinvested) through May 14 for all three classes for the fund against its benchmark, the ICE BofA High Yield Constrained Index, and two large exchange-traded funds -- the SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF $(JNK)$ and the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF $(HYG.UK)$, which are both rated three stars by Morningstar.The T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund's institutional shares have a 30-day SEC yield of 4.49% and a 30-day annualized dividend yield of 5.40%. For the Investor shares (TUHYX) the 30-day SEC yield is 4.34% and the 30-day annualized yield is 5.26%. For the Advisor shares, the 30-day SEC yield is 4.20% and the 30-day annualized yield is 5.08%.For five years, the T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund's three share classes rank in the 11th percentile or higher in Morningstar's \"U.S. Fund High Yield Bond\" category. From the fund's inception as the Henderson High Yield Opportunities Fund (May 2013), the three share classes rank in the third percentile or higher.Concentrated portfolioDuring an interview, Loome said his fund has advantages over its benchmark index and against the above ETFs because its size enables it to run a more selective or concentrated portfolio.The T. Rowe Price U.S. High Yield Fund has about $500 million in assets, although the total assets under management at T. Rowe Price under the same strategy managed by Loome is about $2.5 billion. That compares to an overall high-yield bond market of $1.5 trillion tracked by the ICE BofA High Yield Constrained Index. The SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF has $10.3 in assets and the ishares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF has $21.2 billion.Loome said his portfolio is holding bonds issued by about 100 companies, and that its limit is 200 companies, but that \"the average mutual-fund manager in this space owns about 450.\"Loome also invests in leveraged loans, which are non-investment-grade commercial loans. Among the fund's top holdings are bonds issued by Ford Motor Credit (a subsidiary of Ford Motor Co. $(F)$), Occidental Petroleum Corp. $(OXY)$ and American Airlines Group Inc. $(AAL)$.A high-yield bond fund is a play not only on more income than you can get from investment-grade bonds, but on credit risk. Higher default rates mean more opportunities to scoop up bonds at discounted prices, leading to gains when the bonds mature, provided the fund manager has gotten the credit analysis right.Lower-rated or unrated issuers' bonds will trade at significant discounts during times of market turmoil, as they did early in the coronavirus pandemic last year. Then as interest rates plunged and asset values recovered, the junk bond market values followed suit, explaining the high double-digit returns for 2020.But in a universe of about 1,000 high-yield issuers, \"If you are holding 600 of 1,000, you cannot argue that you are adding credit selection,\" Loome said.So 2020 was an example of a year in which high-yield bond-fund mangers had \"a total return plus yield opportunity,\" Loomis said. In the current environment, with prices having recovered, \"the best you can have is an income opportunity,\" he said. But there are also price advantages for junk bonds in the current economic climate.Advantages in a rising-rate environmentWe're in the midst of a pullback for U.S. stocks, which may reflect investors' fears of inflation, in the wake of a massive increase in the money supply from Federal Reserve bond purchases and the federal government's stimulus. Consumer prices in the U.S. have risen 4.2% over the past year  -- the largest increase since 2008.Short-term interest rates remain near zero because the Fed's target range for the federal funds rate is zero to 0.25%. But that may change if the Federal Open Market Committee believes inflation is likely to remain above its 2% long-term target. Meanwhile, the market has already reacted with a bond selloff that has pushed long-term yields higher. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes  has increased to 1.65% from 0.93% at the end of last year.Investors holding shares of bond funds will be nervous as interest rates rise because bond market values -- and the funds' share prices -- will go down.\"When you look at the availability of fixed income and where interest rates are, the least-worst place to be is leveraged loans and high yield (bonds), because they have shorter term structures and the highest coupons,\" Loome said.Why would junk bonds and non-investment-grade commercial loans be the best fixed-income space in a rising-rate environment? There are three reasons:So a high-yield bond fund enjoys the advantages of an improving economy, because it means defaults are less likely. It enjoys pricing advantages, especially if its duration is very low, because the portfolio will turn over more quickly with freed-up money being invested in new bonds paying more.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"HYG":0.9,"JNK":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TROW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195689991,"gmtCreate":1621292661113,"gmtModify":1634192809440,"author":{"id":"3581899057268262","authorId":"3581899057268262","name":"CK11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0923eb4b52245eb1bf4d6c510566f9f5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581899057268262","idStr":"3581899057268262"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh! Really..?&nbsp;","listText":"Oh! Really..?&nbsp;","text":"Oh! Really..?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195689991","repostId":"1162214808","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}