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2021-06-25

Like please

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2021-06-22

Like and comment please

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2021-07-19

Yayy

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2021-06-27

GME to zero!

WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>WallStreetBets正在消亡，WallStreetBets运动万岁</blockquote>

2021-06-19

Like and comment please

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2021-06-23

Like and comment pls

Stock Market Today With Jim Cramer: Nvidia 'Working on Remarkable Things'<blockquote>吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)今日股市：英伟达“正在做非凡的事情”</blockquote>

2021-06-19

Booo

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-22

TSLA!!!

Texas Instruments Forecast Stokes Concern Over Chip Demand<blockquote>德州仪器预测引发对芯片需求的担忧</blockquote>

2021-07-22

Nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-10

Nice

A crazy week for U.S. stocks came with a change in the market narrative -- should investors believe it?<blockquote>美股疯狂的一周伴随着市场叙事的变化——投资者应该相信吗？</blockquote>

2021-06-28

Useless Chinese company. Go TSLA!!!

Nio Opens Another 5 Battery Swap Stations In China As Part of Aggressive Expansion Strategy<blockquote>作为积极扩张战略的一部分，蔚来在华再开设5座电池交换站</blockquote>

2021-07-22

TSLA!!!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-11

Like please

Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票：哪个更值得购买？</blockquote>

2021-05-30

Nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-20

GME to $20

3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测3只模因股将暴跌20%以上</blockquote>

2021-06-19

To the moon

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-18

Like and comment please

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2021-06-26

Did

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-22

GME TO $0

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-17

To the moon!

抱歉，原内容已删除

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08:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Texas Instruments Forecast Stokes Concern Over Chip Demand<blockquote>德州仪器预测引发对芯片需求的担忧</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156050009","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Texas Instruments Inc. gave a revenue forecast for the current period that disappoint","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Texas Instruments Inc. gave a revenue forecast for the current period that disappointed some investors, raising concerns that a jump in chip demand caused by the pandemic will be short-lived. The stock fell in extended trading.Sales will be $4.4 billion to $4.76 billion in the period ending in September, Texas Instruments said Wednesday in a statement. Profit will be $1.87 to $2.13 a share, the company said. On average, analysts predicted profit of $1.97 a share and sales of $4.59 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——德州仪器公司（Texas Instruments Inc.）给出的当期收入预测令一些投资者失望，引发了人们对疫情导致的芯片需求激增将是短暂的担忧。该股在盘后交易中下跌。德州仪器周三在一份声明中表示，截至9月份的销售额将为44亿至47.6亿美元。该公司表示，每股利润将为1.87美元至2.13美元。根据彭博汇编的数据，分析师平均预测每股利润为1.97美元，销售额为45.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Like other chipmakers, Texas Instruments has posted multiple quarters of double-digit percentage revenue growth, boosted by demand for a wide variety of devices that contain its tiny electronic components. The rapid run-up has caused speculation among analysts and investors that some of the orders reflect panic buying by customers who have grown anxious they won’t be able get enough supply. Such behavior in the past has caused crashes.</p><p><blockquote>与其他芯片制造商一样，德州仪器(Texas Instruments)在多个季度实现了两位数百分比的收入增长，这得益于对包含其微型电子元件的各种设备的需求。这种快速上涨引起了分析师和投资者的猜测，即一些订单反映了客户的恐慌性购买，他们越来越担心无法获得足够的供应。这种行为在过去曾导致过崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> The Dallas-based company has tens of thousands of products and more than 100,000 customers who make everything from phones to military hardware. That reach as the largest manufacturer of analog and embedded processing chips makes the company a bellwether for electronics demand. A large chunk of its products go into industrial machinery.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于达拉斯的公司拥有数万种产品和超过100,000名客户，生产从手机到军用硬件的各种产品。作为最大的模拟和嵌入式处理芯片制造商，该公司成为电子需求的领头羊。其产品的很大一部分用于工业机械。</blockquote></p><p> Texas Instruments’ management said the amount of in-house inventory fell to 111 days in the quarter, well short of the 130 to 190 days the company likes to have on hand. Lead times, the period between placing an order and delivery to customers, have stretched for an increasing number of products. Despite numerous questions on a conference call with analysts, management declined to say whether they think demand is peaking or whether growth at the current levels is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器管理层表示，本季度内部库存降至111天，远低于该公司希望手头库存的130至190天。对于越来越多的产品来说，交付周期（即下订单和交付给客户之间的时间）已经变得很长。尽管分析师在电话会议上提出了许多问题，但管理层拒绝透露他们是否认为需求正在见顶，或者当前水平的增长是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> “Our job isn’t to predict the future, it’s to prepare the company so we can handle anything and we’ve done that,” Chief Financial Officer Rafael Lizardi said in an interview. “Some would argue that this time it’s different, but that’s a dangerous argument.”</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官拉斐尔·利扎迪(Rafael Lizardi)在接受采访时表示：“我们的工作不是预测未来，而是让公司做好准备，以便我们能够处理任何事情，我们已经做到了。”“有些人会说这次有所不同，但这是一个危险的论点。”</blockquote></p><p> Lizardi emphasized that Texas Instruments’ high level of in-house manufacturing made the company more nimble in responding to the increase in demand. When competitors cut production last year, his company increased output and built inventory. Many chipmakers outsource large amounts of their manufacturing, and some have never owned a plant of their own. Texas Instruments has factories that provide about 80% of its own needs.</p><p><blockquote>Lizardi强调，德州仪器高水平的内部制造使公司在应对需求增长时更加灵活。当竞争对手去年减产时，他的公司增加了产量并建立了库存。许多芯片制造商将大量制造外包，有些从未拥有过自己的工厂。德州仪器拥有的工厂可以满足其自身约80%的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Texas Instruments shares have kept pace with the overall advances by chip stocks this year, gaining 18% to $194.24 at the close. The stock fell about 4.2% in extended trading after the results were announced.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器股价今年与芯片股的整体涨幅保持同步，收盘上涨18%，至194.24美元。业绩公布后，该股在盘后交易中下跌约4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In the second quarter, net income rose to $1.93 billion, or $2.05 per share, from $1.38 billion, or $1.48 a share, a year earlier. Revenue increased 41% to $4.58 billion. Analysts, on average, estimated $4.36 billion.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度净利润从去年同期的13.8亿美元（即每股1.48美元）增至19.3亿美元（即每股2.05美元）。收入增长41%至45.8亿美元。分析师平均估计为43.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month Texas Instruments said it’s buying a plant in Lehi, Utah, from Micron Technology Inc. for $900 million. The company is taking the lead in using relatively advanced plants for chips that have typically not required the kind of production necessary for Intel Corp.’s microprocessors or Micron’s computer memory. That’s giving Texas Instruments an advantage in cost and control of its own supply, the company has argued.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，德州仪器表示将以9亿美元的价格从美光科技公司手中收购犹他州利希的一家工厂。该公司正在率先使用相对先进的芯片工厂，这些工厂通常不需要英特尔公司的微处理器或美光的计算机内存所需的生产。该公司辩称，这使得德州仪器在成本和对自身供应的控制方面具有优势。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Texas Instruments Forecast Stokes Concern Over Chip Demand<blockquote>德州仪器预测引发对芯片需求的担忧</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTexas Instruments Forecast Stokes Concern Over Chip Demand<blockquote>德州仪器预测引发对芯片需求的担忧</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-22 08:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Texas Instruments Inc. gave a revenue forecast for the current period that disappointed some investors, raising concerns that a jump in chip demand caused by the pandemic will be short-lived. The stock fell in extended trading.Sales will be $4.4 billion to $4.76 billion in the period ending in September, Texas Instruments said Wednesday in a statement. Profit will be $1.87 to $2.13 a share, the company said. On average, analysts predicted profit of $1.97 a share and sales of $4.59 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——德州仪器公司（Texas Instruments Inc.）给出的当期收入预测令一些投资者失望，引发了人们对疫情导致的芯片需求激增将是短暂的担忧。该股在盘后交易中下跌。德州仪器周三在一份声明中表示，截至9月份的销售额将为44亿至47.6亿美元。该公司表示，每股利润将为1.87美元至2.13美元。根据彭博汇编的数据，分析师平均预测每股利润为1.97美元，销售额为45.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Like other chipmakers, Texas Instruments has posted multiple quarters of double-digit percentage revenue growth, boosted by demand for a wide variety of devices that contain its tiny electronic components. The rapid run-up has caused speculation among analysts and investors that some of the orders reflect panic buying by customers who have grown anxious they won’t be able get enough supply. Such behavior in the past has caused crashes.</p><p><blockquote>与其他芯片制造商一样，德州仪器(Texas Instruments)在多个季度实现了两位数百分比的收入增长，这得益于对包含其微型电子元件的各种设备的需求。这种快速上涨引起了分析师和投资者的猜测，即一些订单反映了客户的恐慌性购买，他们越来越担心无法获得足够的供应。这种行为在过去曾导致过崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> The Dallas-based company has tens of thousands of products and more than 100,000 customers who make everything from phones to military hardware. That reach as the largest manufacturer of analog and embedded processing chips makes the company a bellwether for electronics demand. A large chunk of its products go into industrial machinery.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于达拉斯的公司拥有数万种产品和超过100,000名客户，生产从手机到军用硬件的各种产品。作为最大的模拟和嵌入式处理芯片制造商，该公司成为电子需求的领头羊。其产品的很大一部分用于工业机械。</blockquote></p><p> Texas Instruments’ management said the amount of in-house inventory fell to 111 days in the quarter, well short of the 130 to 190 days the company likes to have on hand. Lead times, the period between placing an order and delivery to customers, have stretched for an increasing number of products. Despite numerous questions on a conference call with analysts, management declined to say whether they think demand is peaking or whether growth at the current levels is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器管理层表示，本季度内部库存降至111天，远低于该公司希望手头库存的130至190天。对于越来越多的产品来说，交付周期（即下订单和交付给客户之间的时间）已经变得很长。尽管分析师在电话会议上提出了许多问题，但管理层拒绝透露他们是否认为需求正在见顶，或者当前水平的增长是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> “Our job isn’t to predict the future, it’s to prepare the company so we can handle anything and we’ve done that,” Chief Financial Officer Rafael Lizardi said in an interview. “Some would argue that this time it’s different, but that’s a dangerous argument.”</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官拉斐尔·利扎迪(Rafael Lizardi)在接受采访时表示：“我们的工作不是预测未来，而是让公司做好准备，以便我们能够处理任何事情，我们已经做到了。”“有些人会说这次有所不同，但这是一个危险的论点。”</blockquote></p><p> Lizardi emphasized that Texas Instruments’ high level of in-house manufacturing made the company more nimble in responding to the increase in demand. When competitors cut production last year, his company increased output and built inventory. Many chipmakers outsource large amounts of their manufacturing, and some have never owned a plant of their own. Texas Instruments has factories that provide about 80% of its own needs.</p><p><blockquote>Lizardi强调，德州仪器高水平的内部制造使公司在应对需求增长时更加灵活。当竞争对手去年减产时，他的公司增加了产量并建立了库存。许多芯片制造商将大量制造外包，有些从未拥有过自己的工厂。德州仪器拥有的工厂可以满足其自身约80%的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Texas Instruments shares have kept pace with the overall advances by chip stocks this year, gaining 18% to $194.24 at the close. The stock fell about 4.2% in extended trading after the results were announced.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器股价今年与芯片股的整体涨幅保持同步，收盘上涨18%，至194.24美元。业绩公布后，该股在盘后交易中下跌约4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In the second quarter, net income rose to $1.93 billion, or $2.05 per share, from $1.38 billion, or $1.48 a share, a year earlier. Revenue increased 41% to $4.58 billion. Analysts, on average, estimated $4.36 billion.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度净利润从去年同期的13.8亿美元（即每股1.48美元）增至19.3亿美元（即每股2.05美元）。收入增长41%至45.8亿美元。分析师平均估计为43.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month Texas Instruments said it’s buying a plant in Lehi, Utah, from Micron Technology Inc. for $900 million. The company is taking the lead in using relatively advanced plants for chips that have typically not required the kind of production necessary for Intel Corp.’s microprocessors or Micron’s computer memory. That’s giving Texas Instruments an advantage in cost and control of its own supply, the company has argued.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，德州仪器表示将以9亿美元的价格从美光科技公司手中收购犹他州利希的一家工厂。该公司正在率先使用相对先进的芯片工厂，这些工厂通常不需要英特尔公司的微处理器或美光的计算机内存所需的生产。该公司辩称，这使得德州仪器在成本和对自身供应的控制方面具有优势。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/texas-instruments-sales-forecast-stirs-202527038.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TXN":"德州仪器"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/texas-instruments-sales-forecast-stirs-202527038.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156050009","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Texas Instruments Inc. gave a revenue forecast for the current period that disappointed some investors, raising concerns that a jump in chip demand caused by the pandemic will be short-lived. The stock fell in extended trading.Sales will be $4.4 billion to $4.76 billion in the period ending in September, Texas Instruments said Wednesday in a statement. Profit will be $1.87 to $2.13 a share, the company said. On average, analysts predicted profit of $1.97 a share and sales of $4.59 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.\nLike other chipmakers, Texas Instruments has posted multiple quarters of double-digit percentage revenue growth, boosted by demand for a wide variety of devices that contain its tiny electronic components. The rapid run-up has caused speculation among analysts and investors that some of the orders reflect panic buying by customers who have grown anxious they won’t be able get enough supply. Such behavior in the past has caused crashes.\nThe Dallas-based company has tens of thousands of products and more than 100,000 customers who make everything from phones to military hardware. That reach as the largest manufacturer of analog and embedded processing chips makes the company a bellwether for electronics demand. A large chunk of its products go into industrial machinery.\nTexas Instruments’ management said the amount of in-house inventory fell to 111 days in the quarter, well short of the 130 to 190 days the company likes to have on hand. Lead times, the period between placing an order and delivery to customers, have stretched for an increasing number of products. Despite numerous questions on a conference call with analysts, management declined to say whether they think demand is peaking or whether growth at the current levels is sustainable.\n“Our job isn’t to predict the future, it’s to prepare the company so we can handle anything and we’ve done that,” Chief Financial Officer Rafael Lizardi said in an interview. “Some would argue that this time it’s different, but that’s a dangerous argument.”\nLizardi emphasized that Texas Instruments’ high level of in-house manufacturing made the company more nimble in responding to the increase in demand. When competitors cut production last year, his company increased output and built inventory. Many chipmakers outsource large amounts of their manufacturing, and some have never owned a plant of their own. Texas Instruments has factories that provide about 80% of its own needs.\nTexas Instruments shares have kept pace with the overall advances by chip stocks this year, gaining 18% to $194.24 at the close. The stock fell about 4.2% in extended trading after the results were announced.\nIn the second quarter, net income rose to $1.93 billion, or $2.05 per share, from $1.38 billion, or $1.48 a share, a year earlier. Revenue increased 41% to $4.58 billion. Analysts, on average, estimated $4.36 billion.\nEarlier this month Texas Instruments said it’s buying a plant in Lehi, Utah, from Micron Technology Inc. for $900 million. The company is taking the lead in using relatively advanced plants for chips that have typically not required the kind of production necessary for Intel Corp.’s microprocessors or Micron’s computer memory. That’s giving Texas Instruments an advantage in cost and control of its own supply, the company has argued.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TXN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2719,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176552013,"gmtCreate":1626909498232,"gmtModify":1631885240667,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176552013","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178539383,"gmtCreate":1626826698442,"gmtModify":1631885240677,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178539383","repostId":"2153906776","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173211221,"gmtCreate":1626661830963,"gmtModify":1631885240692,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yayy","listText":"Yayy","text":"Yayy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173211221","repostId":"1131703652","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173211051,"gmtCreate":1626661804273,"gmtModify":1631885240702,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173211051","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148897954,"gmtCreate":1625965592878,"gmtModify":1631885240714,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148897954","repostId":"1145284684","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145284684","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625878443,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145284684?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 08:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票：哪个更值得购买？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145284684","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, man","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.</li>  <li>TSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.</li>  <li>TSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.</li>  <li>40% of revenues are from nodes &lt;14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d80e662ebb3b78dd0445ecc891cf8986\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电是全球最大的为无晶圆厂半导体公司制造IC的代工厂，使用281种不同的技术为510个不同的客户制造11,617种不同的产品。</li><li>台积电和台湾代工厂联合微电子公司预计将从对汽车制造商产生不利影响的芯片供应危机中受益。</li><li>台积电受益于近两倍于联电的毛利率。</li><li>40%的收入来自&lt;14nm的节点，低于联电最小的节点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股份有限公司或台积电(TSM)和联华电子公司或联电(UMC)的总部均位于台湾，均以合同方式为公司制造半导体。它们都提供高质量的IC制造服务，专注于逻辑和各种专业技术，为电子行业的所有主要部门提供服务，并被定义为纯粹的代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> While they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.</p><p><blockquote>虽然它们有相似之处，但这两家公司在不同的商业模式上有很大不同。台积电最初是一家领先的公司，并一直是一家以最小尺寸制造芯片的公司。另一方面，台湾第一家半导体公司联电选择了14纳米节点作为其制造的最小尺寸。</blockquote></p><p> To illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the &lt;14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>为了说明模型的差异，图1显示了两家公司基于技术节点的收入。关键区别在于&lt;14纳米节点，台积电占其收入的41.4%，而联电为0%。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.</p><p><blockquote>图1还显示，台积电2020年的收入为430亿美元，而联电为60亿美元。重要的是，这也显示了台积电的财务主导地位，因为联电在全球晶圆代工市场排名第二。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3b088585f8a624c6665040756e940f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Much of TSMC’s revenues are on the &lt;14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的大部分收入来自&lt;14纳米节点，占收入的比例从2019年的29.4%增加到2020年的41.4%。由于联电最小的节点是28nm/14nm，联电在该节点上投入巨资，营收占比从2019年的11.3%增加到2020年的13.6%。相比之下，2020年台积电在28纳米/14纳米节点的份额从2019年的37.7%下降到30.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expanding Capacity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扩大产能</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Leading Edge Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前沿节点</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>台积电约1/3的收入来自28纳米/14纳米，台积电8英寸产能为562,000片/月，12英寸产能为745,000片/月。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。</blockquote></p><p> In TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:</p><p><blockquote>在台积电2021年第一季度盈利看涨期权中，台积电副总裁兼首席财务官Wendell Huang指出：</blockquote></p><p>   “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.”  TSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&amp;D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“为了满足未来几年对我们先进和专业技术不断增长的需求，我们决定将2021年全年资本支出提高至300亿美元左右。2021年资本预算的约80%将分配给先进工艺技术，包括3纳米、5纳米和7纳米。大约10%将用于先进包装和口罩制造，大约10%将用于专业技术。”台积电预计未来3年将投资约1000亿美元来提高产能，以支持前沿和专业技术的制造和研发。其N5已进入量产的第二年，在2021年贡献了我们约20%的晶圆收入。N4风险生产目标为今年下半年，2022年量产。</blockquote></p><p> Among TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's&nbsp;fab in Arizona&nbsp;as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>台积电将在未来三到四年内上线的设施包括该公司位于亚利桑那州的晶圆厂以及位于台湾的第一家2纳米晶圆厂。该公司需要在亚利桑那州建造和装备其支持N5的工厂。该设施将耗资约120亿美元，每月产能为20,000片晶圆启动(WSPM)，并将于2024年上线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>28nm Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>28nm节点</b></blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺是促使代工制造商建造新晶圆厂的催化剂之一，特别是在28纳米节点，因为许多汽车芯片都是在该节点制造的。虽然我已经发表了四篇Seeking Alpha文章来试图确定哪些设备供应不足并且只能找到微控制器，但在这篇文章中，为了便于讨论，我将承认这不是由于囤积，而是由于无能的制造供应链。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.</p><p><blockquote>因此，各国政府在该行业投入巨资，以扩大总产能。这些免费讲义是新28纳米节点晶圆厂建设的第二个催化剂。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>消费电子行业对晶圆的强劲需求导致联电28纳米晶圆出货量增加，上一季度营收环比增长18%。此外，联电一直专注于汽车行业的生产，因为电动和自动驾驶汽车的半导体预计将成为该公司的主要增长动力。然而，全球汽车半导体仅是一个400亿美元的市场，而全球半导体市场规模为5250亿美元。随着每年每辆车使用更多的半导体，以及电动汽车比内燃机汽车使用更多的半导体，这一数字还在增长。</blockquote></p><p> There is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.</p><p><blockquote>成熟节点存在供需失衡，因为大部分产能扩张都在高级节点，但公司没有解决成熟节点。该技术节点是最新汽车芯片危机的核心，同时索尼已将其用于智能手机的CMOS集成传感器（“CIS”）设计转移到28纳米。</blockquote></p><p> On April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>4月22日，台积电宣布在中国建设芯片制造工厂的计划遭到了批评者的反对。该工厂将生产基于成熟的28纳米工艺节点的半导体。南京工厂目前的装机容量为每月2万片晶圆。投资28亿美元，预计2023年量产，此次扩建将使产能翻一番，达到每月40,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.</p><p><blockquote>台积电在全球拥有56.2万片/月的8英寸产能和74.5万片/月的12英寸产能。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。新晶圆厂每月产能为20,000片晶圆，仅占公司总产能的2%。</blockquote></p><p> UMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>联电还在台湾南科12英寸晶圆厂12A P6工厂扩大了28纳米（迁移到40纳米）工艺的生产。目前每月产能为87,000片晶圆。扩能计划总投资预估约1000亿元新台币。P6扩建计划于2023年第二季度投产，每月产能仅为10,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> The P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.</p><p><blockquote>P6计划得到了UMC和相关客户之间多年产品一致性的支持，其中包括负载保护机制，可确保P6容量保持在健康的负载水平。</blockquote></p><p> UMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>联电共有12家晶圆厂在生产，总产能接近每月80万片晶圆（相当于8英寸）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Per Wafer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每片晶圆的价格</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.</p><p><blockquote>图2显示了IC设备按节点划分的毛利润。它部分解释了台积电转向先进节点的商业模式背后的基本原理，同时也解释了为什么该公司选择让其28纳米节点供应不足，直到最近外部力量促使其建立中国晶圆厂。</blockquote></p><p> Gross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.</p><p><blockquote>28纳米节点每300毫米晶圆的毛利润为2,835美元，而3纳米节点为8,695美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e241c85dd84eb71f54c3b11812e6599\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.</p><p><blockquote>图3显示了IC按节点划分的资本支出。28纳米的资本支出（建筑+设备）为每块晶圆100,000美元，而3纳米的资本支出增加了两倍多，达到320,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f8f60218f2b914e5847e2eef8aa39c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 3</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表3</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Base</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.</p><p><blockquote>图表4显示，苹果（AAPL）是2020年台积电最大的客户，占收入的21%。请记住，除了台积电的处理器用于iPhone之外，台积电还制造M1，为新款MacBook Air、13英寸MacBook Pro和Mac mini提供动力，并且是苹果首款为Mac定制设计的基于Arm的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354a97772e16c2a05dbccc89556de9eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Chart 4</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表4</span></p></blockquote></p><p> TSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.</p><p><blockquote>自2014年9月9日推出的苹果iPhone 6和iPhone 6 Plus安装以来，台积电已无数次升级其制造能力，以使苹果的最新芯片保持在处理器技术的前沿。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>图表5显示，晶体管数量从iPhone 6的20亿个增加到现在的iPhone 12的118亿个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ef270fe60691ec5bc8c7f0a061d9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 5</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表5</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, investors must consider that:</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者必须考虑：</blockquote></p><p> Any positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的任何积极发展都将对台积电产生积极影响，台积电的积极技术发展也将对苹果产生积极影响。例如，只要台积电是苹果芯片的主要制造商，苹果的增长或苹果开发的需要芯片的新技术（如汽车或ADAS），那么台积电就会受益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Secondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.</p><p><blockquote>其次，由于产能限制和技术节点需求，台积电的任何产能扩张都将有利于苹果，因为它转向更小的节点，同时消耗台积电约25%的芯片产量。</blockquote></p><p> UMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.</p><p><blockquote>UMC透明度较低，不提供客户细分。联电的主要客户包括顶级集成设备制造商，如德州仪器（纳斯达克：TXN）和英特尔移动（纳斯达克：INTC），以及领先的无晶圆厂设计公司，如联发科（OTCPK：MDTKF）、瑞昱、高通（纳斯达克：QCOM）和联咏。</blockquote></p><p> In August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.</p><p><blockquote>2018年8月，联电宣布将暂停推进10nm节点以下芯片生产技术的研究。如上图所示，自2018年起，公司先进制程的相应占比已降至零，但对于65nm、28nm等成熟节点，占比有所提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaways</b>: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?</p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b>：TSM或UMC股票更值得购买？</blockquote></p><p> Both companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在同一行业竞争，但他们的商业模式是一个差异化的指标。台积电的大部分收入来自比联电更小的节点（图1），其大部分计划资本支出将集中在制造集成电路的新晶圆厂上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电利好</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，台积电在纯晶圆代工市场的份额为57%，高于2019年的55%。联电的份额稳定在略低于8%。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.</p><p><blockquote>台积电受益于较小的节点。尽管资本支出随着节点的减少而增加（图3），但毛利润也会增加（图2）。因此，TSM的收入高于UMC：$48.2 B vs$62.83亿B。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电的年收益(EBITDA)也更高：$33B，而联电为$23.49 B。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电（$613B）的市值高于联电（$234亿）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电手头现金更多：$23.3 B vs UMC（$37.6 B）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电的每股收益（3.99）高于联电（0.59）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Seeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha的量化评级是通过根据价值、增长、盈利能力、动量和分析师的盈利修正来衡量股票与该行业其他股票的财务指标而得出的。在表1中，两只股票的排名都很高。台积电的量化评级为4.63，联电的量化评级为4.54。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55db72bd38ddd1d46c2ec7a6ccf6307f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"117\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Gross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.</p><p><blockquote>台积电和联电的毛利率如表2所示。对台积电来说，这是一个利好，毛利率大幅领先于联电和所有代工厂的平均水平。华尔街预计，鉴于更高的收入规模、晶圆代工供应紧张以及5nm生产效率的提高，2021年第三季度的毛利率将改善至52.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab6dce4d14398755080d9db48522121\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>UMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联电正面</b></blockquote></p><p> The comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:</p><p><blockquote>与其他财务指标相比，联电的财务状况更强劲：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>UMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>联电的市盈率低于台积电：21.8 vs 28.9</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC的债务低于TSM：$2.47 B vs$15.4 B。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC年初至今涨幅较高：10.558 vs.TSM(8.922)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Table 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.</p><p><blockquote>表3显示了TSM和UMC的股票增长百分比。过去一年，联电股票的表现优于台积电，在3年和5年期间也是如此。但在10年的时间里，台积电是更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7533369f256853d498f5492752417e05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"172\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> TSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the &lt;7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>台积电显然是未来联电的赢家。该公司选择了在&lt;7纳米节点构建芯片的策略。事实上，它正在中国建造一座28纳米晶圆厂，这是联电的“最佳地点”，再加上一座新的28纳米中芯国际（OTCQX：SMICY）晶圆厂，这将意味着联电在这个节点失去市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票：哪个更值得购买？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票：哪个更值得购买？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 08:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.</li>  <li>TSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.</li>  <li>TSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.</li>  <li>40% of revenues are from nodes &lt;14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d80e662ebb3b78dd0445ecc891cf8986\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电是全球最大的为无晶圆厂半导体公司制造IC的代工厂，使用281种不同的技术为510个不同的客户制造11,617种不同的产品。</li><li>台积电和台湾代工厂联合微电子公司预计将从对汽车制造商产生不利影响的芯片供应危机中受益。</li><li>台积电受益于近两倍于联电的毛利率。</li><li>40%的收入来自&lt;14nm的节点，低于联电最小的节点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股份有限公司或台积电(TSM)和联华电子公司或联电(UMC)的总部均位于台湾，均以合同方式为公司制造半导体。它们都提供高质量的IC制造服务，专注于逻辑和各种专业技术，为电子行业的所有主要部门提供服务，并被定义为纯粹的代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> While they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.</p><p><blockquote>虽然它们有相似之处，但这两家公司在不同的商业模式上有很大不同。台积电最初是一家领先的公司，并一直是一家以最小尺寸制造芯片的公司。另一方面，台湾第一家半导体公司联电选择了14纳米节点作为其制造的最小尺寸。</blockquote></p><p> To illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the &lt;14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>为了说明模型的差异，图1显示了两家公司基于技术节点的收入。关键区别在于&lt;14纳米节点，台积电占其收入的41.4%，而联电为0%。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.</p><p><blockquote>图1还显示，台积电2020年的收入为430亿美元，而联电为60亿美元。重要的是，这也显示了台积电的财务主导地位，因为联电在全球晶圆代工市场排名第二。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3b088585f8a624c6665040756e940f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Much of TSMC’s revenues are on the &lt;14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的大部分收入来自&lt;14纳米节点，占收入的比例从2019年的29.4%增加到2020年的41.4%。由于联电最小的节点是28nm/14nm，联电在该节点上投入巨资，营收占比从2019年的11.3%增加到2020年的13.6%。相比之下，2020年台积电在28纳米/14纳米节点的份额从2019年的37.7%下降到30.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expanding Capacity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扩大产能</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Leading Edge Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前沿节点</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>台积电约1/3的收入来自28纳米/14纳米，台积电8英寸产能为562,000片/月，12英寸产能为745,000片/月。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。</blockquote></p><p> In TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:</p><p><blockquote>在台积电2021年第一季度盈利看涨期权中，台积电副总裁兼首席财务官Wendell Huang指出：</blockquote></p><p>   “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.”  TSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&amp;D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“为了满足未来几年对我们先进和专业技术不断增长的需求，我们决定将2021年全年资本支出提高至300亿美元左右。2021年资本预算的约80%将分配给先进工艺技术，包括3纳米、5纳米和7纳米。大约10%将用于先进包装和口罩制造，大约10%将用于专业技术。”台积电预计未来3年将投资约1000亿美元来提高产能，以支持前沿和专业技术的制造和研发。其N5已进入量产的第二年，在2021年贡献了我们约20%的晶圆收入。N4风险生产目标为今年下半年，2022年量产。</blockquote></p><p> Among TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's&nbsp;fab in Arizona&nbsp;as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>台积电将在未来三到四年内上线的设施包括该公司位于亚利桑那州的晶圆厂以及位于台湾的第一家2纳米晶圆厂。该公司需要在亚利桑那州建造和装备其支持N5的工厂。该设施将耗资约120亿美元，每月产能为20,000片晶圆启动(WSPM)，并将于2024年上线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>28nm Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>28nm节点</b></blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺是促使代工制造商建造新晶圆厂的催化剂之一，特别是在28纳米节点，因为许多汽车芯片都是在该节点制造的。虽然我已经发表了四篇Seeking Alpha文章来试图确定哪些设备供应不足并且只能找到微控制器，但在这篇文章中，为了便于讨论，我将承认这不是由于囤积，而是由于无能的制造供应链。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.</p><p><blockquote>因此，各国政府在该行业投入巨资，以扩大总产能。这些免费讲义是新28纳米节点晶圆厂建设的第二个催化剂。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>消费电子行业对晶圆的强劲需求导致联电28纳米晶圆出货量增加，上一季度营收环比增长18%。此外，联电一直专注于汽车行业的生产，因为电动和自动驾驶汽车的半导体预计将成为该公司的主要增长动力。然而，全球汽车半导体仅是一个400亿美元的市场，而全球半导体市场规模为5250亿美元。随着每年每辆车使用更多的半导体，以及电动汽车比内燃机汽车使用更多的半导体，这一数字还在增长。</blockquote></p><p> There is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.</p><p><blockquote>成熟节点存在供需失衡，因为大部分产能扩张都在高级节点，但公司没有解决成熟节点。该技术节点是最新汽车芯片危机的核心，同时索尼已将其用于智能手机的CMOS集成传感器（“CIS”）设计转移到28纳米。</blockquote></p><p> On April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>4月22日，台积电宣布在中国建设芯片制造工厂的计划遭到了批评者的反对。该工厂将生产基于成熟的28纳米工艺节点的半导体。南京工厂目前的装机容量为每月2万片晶圆。投资28亿美元，预计2023年量产，此次扩建将使产能翻一番，达到每月40,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.</p><p><blockquote>台积电在全球拥有56.2万片/月的8英寸产能和74.5万片/月的12英寸产能。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。新晶圆厂每月产能为20,000片晶圆，仅占公司总产能的2%。</blockquote></p><p> UMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>联电还在台湾南科12英寸晶圆厂12A P6工厂扩大了28纳米（迁移到40纳米）工艺的生产。目前每月产能为87,000片晶圆。扩能计划总投资预估约1000亿元新台币。P6扩建计划于2023年第二季度投产，每月产能仅为10,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> The P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.</p><p><blockquote>P6计划得到了UMC和相关客户之间多年产品一致性的支持，其中包括负载保护机制，可确保P6容量保持在健康的负载水平。</blockquote></p><p> UMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>联电共有12家晶圆厂在生产，总产能接近每月80万片晶圆（相当于8英寸）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Per Wafer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每片晶圆的价格</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.</p><p><blockquote>图2显示了IC设备按节点划分的毛利润。它部分解释了台积电转向先进节点的商业模式背后的基本原理，同时也解释了为什么该公司选择让其28纳米节点供应不足，直到最近外部力量促使其建立中国晶圆厂。</blockquote></p><p> Gross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.</p><p><blockquote>28纳米节点每300毫米晶圆的毛利润为2,835美元，而3纳米节点为8,695美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e241c85dd84eb71f54c3b11812e6599\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.</p><p><blockquote>图3显示了IC按节点划分的资本支出。28纳米的资本支出（建筑+设备）为每块晶圆100,000美元，而3纳米的资本支出增加了两倍多，达到320,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f8f60218f2b914e5847e2eef8aa39c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 3</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表3</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Base</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.</p><p><blockquote>图表4显示，苹果（AAPL）是2020年台积电最大的客户，占收入的21%。请记住，除了台积电的处理器用于iPhone之外，台积电还制造M1，为新款MacBook Air、13英寸MacBook Pro和Mac mini提供动力，并且是苹果首款为Mac定制设计的基于Arm的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354a97772e16c2a05dbccc89556de9eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Chart 4</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表4</span></p></blockquote></p><p> TSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.</p><p><blockquote>自2014年9月9日推出的苹果iPhone 6和iPhone 6 Plus安装以来，台积电已无数次升级其制造能力，以使苹果的最新芯片保持在处理器技术的前沿。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>图表5显示，晶体管数量从iPhone 6的20亿个增加到现在的iPhone 12的118亿个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ef270fe60691ec5bc8c7f0a061d9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 5</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表5</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, investors must consider that:</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者必须考虑：</blockquote></p><p> Any positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的任何积极发展都将对台积电产生积极影响，台积电的积极技术发展也将对苹果产生积极影响。例如，只要台积电是苹果芯片的主要制造商，苹果的增长或苹果开发的需要芯片的新技术（如汽车或ADAS），那么台积电就会受益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Secondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.</p><p><blockquote>其次，由于产能限制和技术节点需求，台积电的任何产能扩张都将有利于苹果，因为它转向更小的节点，同时消耗台积电约25%的芯片产量。</blockquote></p><p> UMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.</p><p><blockquote>UMC透明度较低，不提供客户细分。联电的主要客户包括顶级集成设备制造商，如德州仪器（纳斯达克：TXN）和英特尔移动（纳斯达克：INTC），以及领先的无晶圆厂设计公司，如联发科（OTCPK：MDTKF）、瑞昱、高通（纳斯达克：QCOM）和联咏。</blockquote></p><p> In August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.</p><p><blockquote>2018年8月，联电宣布将暂停推进10nm节点以下芯片生产技术的研究。如上图所示，自2018年起，公司先进制程的相应占比已降至零，但对于65nm、28nm等成熟节点，占比有所提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaways</b>: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?</p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b>：TSM或UMC股票更值得购买？</blockquote></p><p> Both companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在同一行业竞争，但他们的商业模式是一个差异化的指标。台积电的大部分收入来自比联电更小的节点（图1），其大部分计划资本支出将集中在制造集成电路的新晶圆厂上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电利好</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，台积电在纯晶圆代工市场的份额为57%，高于2019年的55%。联电的份额稳定在略低于8%。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.</p><p><blockquote>台积电受益于较小的节点。尽管资本支出随着节点的减少而增加（图3），但毛利润也会增加（图2）。因此，TSM的收入高于UMC：$48.2 B vs$62.83亿B。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电的年收益(EBITDA)也更高：$33B，而联电为$23.49 B。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电（$613B）的市值高于联电（$234亿）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电手头现金更多：$23.3 B vs UMC（$37.6 B）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电的每股收益（3.99）高于联电（0.59）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Seeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha的量化评级是通过根据价值、增长、盈利能力、动量和分析师的盈利修正来衡量股票与该行业其他股票的财务指标而得出的。在表1中，两只股票的排名都很高。台积电的量化评级为4.63，联电的量化评级为4.54。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55db72bd38ddd1d46c2ec7a6ccf6307f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"117\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Gross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.</p><p><blockquote>台积电和联电的毛利率如表2所示。对台积电来说，这是一个利好，毛利率大幅领先于联电和所有代工厂的平均水平。华尔街预计，鉴于更高的收入规模、晶圆代工供应紧张以及5nm生产效率的提高，2021年第三季度的毛利率将改善至52.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab6dce4d14398755080d9db48522121\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>UMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联电正面</b></blockquote></p><p> The comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:</p><p><blockquote>与其他财务指标相比，联电的财务状况更强劲：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>UMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>联电的市盈率低于台积电：21.8 vs 28.9</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC的债务低于TSM：$2.47 B vs$15.4 B。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC年初至今涨幅较高：10.558 vs.TSM(8.922)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Table 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.</p><p><blockquote>表3显示了TSM和UMC的股票增长百分比。过去一年，联电股票的表现优于台积电，在3年和5年期间也是如此。但在10年的时间里，台积电是更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7533369f256853d498f5492752417e05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"172\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> TSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the &lt;7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>台积电显然是未来联电的赢家。该公司选择了在&lt;7纳米节点构建芯片的策略。事实上，它正在中国建造一座28纳米晶圆厂，这是联电的“最佳地点”，再加上一座新的28纳米中芯国际（OTCQX：SMICY）晶圆厂，这将意味着联电在这个节点失去市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438509-taiwan-semiconductor-vs-united-microelectronics-stock\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","UMC":"联电"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438509-taiwan-semiconductor-vs-united-microelectronics-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145284684","content_text":"Summary\n\nTSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.\nTSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.\nTSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.\n40% of revenues are from nodes <14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.\n\nBING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.\nWhile they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.\nTo illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the <14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.\nChart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.\nChart 1\nMuch of TSMC’s revenues are on the <14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.\nExpanding Capacity\nLeading Edge Nodes\nTSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).\nIn TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:\n\n “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.”\n\nTSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.\nAmong TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's fab in Arizona as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.\n28nm Nodes\nThe global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.\nAs a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.\nA strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.\nThere is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.\nOn April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.\nTSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.\nUMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.\nThe P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.\nUMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).\nPrice Per Wafer\nChart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.\nGross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.\nChart 2\nChart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.\nChart 3\nCustomer Base\nChart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.\nChart 4\nTSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.\nChart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.\nChart 5\nThus, investors must consider that:\nAny positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.\nSecondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.\nUMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.\nIn August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.\nInvestor Takeaways: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?\nBoth companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.\nTSMC Positives\nTSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.\nTSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.\n\nTSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.\nTSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).\nTSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).\nTSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).\n\nSeeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.\n\nGross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.\n\nUMC Positives\nThe comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:\n\nUMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9\nUMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.\nUMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).\n\nTable 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.\n\nTSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the <7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UMC":0.9,"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148895882,"gmtCreate":1625965504946,"gmtModify":1631885240725,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FUD!!!","listText":"FUD!!!","text":"FUD!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148895882","repostId":"1113530069","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1740,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148307127,"gmtCreate":1625925915369,"gmtModify":1631885240744,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148307127","repostId":"2150053623","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2150053623","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1625883910,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2150053623?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 10:25","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"A crazy week for U.S. stocks came with a change in the market narrative -- should investors believe it?<blockquote>美股疯狂的一周伴随着市场叙事的变化——投资者应该相信吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2150053623","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Investors must decide whether they believe stalling economic growth is a bigger threat than an infla","content":"<p>Investors must decide whether they believe stalling economic growth is a bigger threat than an inflation surge</p><p><blockquote>投资者必须决定他们是否认为经济增长停滞是比通胀飙升更大的威胁</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32ec205cf1616aaba5573cc40240a899\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Fears of runaway inflation have been swapped for worries about a rapid slowdown in global economic growth -- and that made for one very long, holiday-shortened week for U.S. investors -- but is this new narrative the right <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> ?</p><p><blockquote>对通货膨胀失控的担忧已经被对全球经济增长迅速放缓的担忧所取代——这使得美国投资者度过了一个漫长的假期——但这种新的说法正确吗<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>？</blockquote></p><p> A Treasury debt rally became a buying frenzy , sending long-term yields sharply lower. That took any remaining wind out of the sails of the so-called reflation trade, which had favored shares of more cyclically sensitive companies expected to benefit the most from rising prices and accelerating economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>国债反弹变成了买盘狂潮，导致长期收益率大幅走低。这使得所谓的通货再膨胀交易失去了任何剩余的动力，该交易青睐对周期性更敏感的公司的股票，预计这些公司将从价格上涨和经济增长加速中受益最多。</blockquote></p><p> What changed? There are three important elements to the shift in the market narrative, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments, which has $605 billion in assets under management.</p><p><blockquote>什么变了？管理着6050亿美元资产的纽约人寿投资公司(New York Life Investments)经济学家兼投资组合策略师劳伦·古德温(Lauren Goodwin)表示，市场叙事的转变有三个重要因素。</blockquote></p><p> The first is a perceived change in the way the Federal Reserve reacts to data, with investors no longer looking for policy makers to be as tolerant of economic overheating and rising inflation as previously thought, she said. The second is that while economic growth is expected to remain strong, the pace of growth is expected to have peaked . Third, there are worries the spread of the delta and other variants of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19 could force a renewed round of restrictions that will weigh on global economic activity.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，首先是美联储对数据的反应方式发生了明显的变化，投资者不再希望政策制定者像之前认为的那样容忍经济过热和通胀上升。二是虽然经济增长预计将保持强劲，但增长速度预计已经见顶。第三，人们担心导致新冠肺炎的三角洲和其他冠状病毒变种的传播可能会迫使新一轮限制，这将给全球经济活动带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"Together, that's a very different consensus market narrative than we had a few weeks ago, when the focus was all about stimulus and overheating,\" Goodwin said, in a phone interview, noting that investors must now ask: \"Is this new narrative the right one?\"</p><p><blockquote>古德温在接受电话采访时表示：“总的来说，这与几周前的市场共识叙事截然不同，当时的焦点都是刺激和过热。”他指出，投资者现在必须问：“这种新的叙事是正确的吗？”一个？”</blockquote></p><p> The real pain in the past week was in the Treasury market, where a rally drove long-term yields sharply lower and prices higher. Much of that rally was attributed to forced short covering by Treasury bears, who had feared inflation, creating something of a feeding frenzy, driving the 10-year yield to a five-month low below 1.25% on Thursday before finally relenting.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周真正的痛苦在于美国国债市场，该市场的反弹推动长期收益率大幅走低，价格走高。此次上涨很大程度上归因于美国国债空头被迫进行空头回补，他们担心通胀，造成了某种程度的买入狂潮，周四将10年期国债收益率推至1.25%以下的五个月低点，然后最终回落。</blockquote></p><p> But analysts said the move, at least in part, also reflected legitimate concerns over the global economic growth outlook .</p><p><blockquote>但分析师表示，此举至少在一定程度上也反映了对全球经济增长前景的合理担忧。</blockquote></p><p> That Thursday dive in yields, and accompanying growth fears, triggered a broad stock-market selloff that saw the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite retreat from all-time highs, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed more than 500 points at its session low. Stocks trimmed losses by the close and then pushed higher Friday, with all three major indexes finishing at records .</p><p><blockquote>周四收益率暴跌以及随之而来的增长担忧引发了股市大范围抛售，标普500和纳斯达克综合指数从历史高点回落，而道琼斯工业平均指数则在盘中低点下跌了500多点。周五股市收盘时收复跌幅，然后走高，三大股指均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> One casualty was the stock market reflation trade. The small-cap Russell 2000 index RUT (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CRUT;onlineSignificance=passing-mention) fell 1.1% for a second straight week of losses, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 saw a 0.4% weekly rise. Value stocks underperformed, with the Russell 1000 Value Index falling 0.3%, while the Russell 1000 Growth Index rose 1%.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个受害者是股市通货再膨胀交易。小盘股罗素2000指数RUT（#phrase-company？ref=company%7CRUT；onlineSignificance=passing-mention）连续第二周下跌1.1%，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数周上涨0.4%。价值股表现不佳，罗素1000价值指数下跌0.3%，罗素1000成长指数上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> \"The 'reflation' and 'rotation' trades -- associated with optimism about rapid, broad-based economic recovery from the pandemic and higher inflation -- has arguably been flagging since as long ago as the end of the first quarter, but clearly took another hit this week,\" said Oliver Jones, senior markets economist at research firm Capital Economics, in a Friday note.</p><p><blockquote>研究公司凯投宏观(Capital Economics)高级市场经济学家奥利弗·琼斯(Oliver Jones)在周五的一份报告中表示：“‘通货再膨胀’和‘轮换’交易——与对经济从大流行和通胀上升中快速、广泛复苏的乐观情绪相关——可以说早在第一季度末就一直在萎靡不振，但显然受到了打击。”</blockquote></p><p> Sectors, like energy and financials, and factors, such as value, that benefited most from the reflation/rotation narrative have underperformed, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>他指出，从通货再膨胀/轮动叙事中受益最多的能源和金融等行业以及价值等因素表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> Jones argued that it makes sense for optimism about the U.S. economic recovery to top out as supply constraints bite into activity. And global growth expectations may also see pressure, with China's economy likely to continue to disappoint.</p><p><blockquote>琼斯认为，随着供应限制影响经济活动，对美国经济复苏的乐观情绪达到顶峰是有道理的。全球增长预期也可能面临压力，中国经济可能继续令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the U.S. economy remains on track for a very strong recovery in absolute terms, far exceeding the one that followed the global financial crisis of 2008. And core inflation in the U.S. may prove somewhat more persistent than anticipated, he argued.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，从绝对值来看，美国经济仍有望实现非常强劲的复苏，远远超过2008年全球金融危机后的复苏。他认为，美国的核心通胀可能比预期更加持久。</blockquote></p><p> That sets the stage for a scenario in which \"the rotation/reflation trade label may become progressively less useful in the coming quarters,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，这为“轮换/通货再膨胀贸易标签在未来几个季度可能会逐渐变得不那么有用”的情况奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> In particular, parts of the trade, including rapid gains in most stock markets and outperformance by energy companies is likely over for now, he said, while the drop in Treasury yields is probably an \"overreaction\" given the path of growth and inflation in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，特别是部分交易，包括大多数股市的快速上涨和能源公司的优异表现，目前可能已经结束，而考虑到美国的增长和通胀路径，美国国债收益率的下降可能是“过度反应”。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will get a look at evidence on both the inflation and growth front in the coming week. The June consumer-price index is set for release Tuesday, while a producer-price reading is set for Wednesday. A raft of other economic data is due over the course of the week, including June retail sales figures on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在未来一周看到通胀和增长方面的证据。6月份消费者价格指数定于周二发布，生产者价格指数定于周三发布。本周将公布大量其他经济数据，包括周五公布的6月份零售销售数据。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> And then there's the start of the corporate earnings reporting season, which is expected to offer another peak as profits roared in the second quarter relative to the early days of the pandemic last year.</p><p><blockquote>然后是企业财报季的开始，预计将迎来另一个高峰，因为与去年大流行初期相比，第二季度的利润大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> \"With earnings season kicking off next week, the bar is set quite high and corporate America better produce another stellar quarter or there could be some disappointed bulls,\" said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, after Friday's record close.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial首席市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)在周五创纪录的收盘后表示：“随着下周财报季的开始，标准设定得相当高，美国企业界最好再创辉煌的季度，否则可能会出现一些失望的多头。”</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said the choice for investors boils down to either leaning into the old narrative that benefits cyclical stocks and shorter duration assets or the new one that expects economic growth to prove more sluggish and anemic, much as it was before the pandemic, favoring growth stocks and defensive sectors.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示，投资者的选择可以归结为要么倾向于有利于周期性股票和短期资产的旧说法，要么倾向于预计经济增长将更加低迷和乏力的新说法，就像大流行之前一样，有利于成长型股票和防御性股票部门。</blockquote></p><p> The best response, however, may be a little bit of both, Goodwin said.</p><p><blockquote>然而，古德温说，最好的反应可能是两者兼而有之。</blockquote></p><p> Reflation likely still has some room to run in the near term. Distribution of child tax credit payments will begin later this month, while labor shortages may be alleviated in coming months as children return to school and additional unemployment benefits expire, she said, while consumers are sitting on sizable savings.</p><p><blockquote>通货再膨胀在短期内可能仍有一定的运行空间。她表示，儿童税收抵免付款的分配将于本月晚些时候开始，而随着儿童重返校园和额外失业救济金到期，劳动力短缺可能会在未来几个月得到缓解，而消费者则坐拥可观的储蓄。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, growth and inflation are peaking, she said, and valuations are stretched across asset classes. While still maintaining a cyclical tilt, the changing backdrop calls for a more balanced approach to portfolios, she said.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，与此同时，增长和通胀正在见顶，各资产类别的估值都在扩大。她表示，虽然仍保持周期性倾斜，但不断变化的背景为采取更平衡的投资组合方法提供了评级。</blockquote></p><p> Investors need to look closely at sectors and individual companies that can leverage changing trends and pass rising prices on to consumers, she said, in a more selective environment rather than one in which a rising tide raises all boats.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，投资者需要在更具选择性的环境中，而不是水涨船高的环境中，密切关注能够利用不断变化的趋势并将价格上涨转嫁给消费者的行业和个别公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A crazy week for U.S. stocks came with a change in the market narrative -- should investors believe it?<blockquote>美股疯狂的一周伴随着市场叙事的变化——投资者应该相信吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA crazy week for U.S. stocks came with a change in the market narrative -- should investors believe it?<blockquote>美股疯狂的一周伴随着市场叙事的变化——投资者应该相信吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 10:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors must decide whether they believe stalling economic growth is a bigger threat than an inflation surge</p><p><blockquote>投资者必须决定他们是否认为经济增长停滞是比通胀飙升更大的威胁</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32ec205cf1616aaba5573cc40240a899\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Fears of runaway inflation have been swapped for worries about a rapid slowdown in global economic growth -- and that made for one very long, holiday-shortened week for U.S. investors -- but is this new narrative the right <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> ?</p><p><blockquote>对通货膨胀失控的担忧已经被对全球经济增长迅速放缓的担忧所取代——这使得美国投资者度过了一个漫长的假期——但这种新的说法正确吗<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>？</blockquote></p><p> A Treasury debt rally became a buying frenzy , sending long-term yields sharply lower. That took any remaining wind out of the sails of the so-called reflation trade, which had favored shares of more cyclically sensitive companies expected to benefit the most from rising prices and accelerating economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>国债反弹变成了买盘狂潮，导致长期收益率大幅走低。这使得所谓的通货再膨胀交易失去了任何剩余的动力，该交易青睐对周期性更敏感的公司的股票，预计这些公司将从价格上涨和经济增长加速中受益最多。</blockquote></p><p> What changed? There are three important elements to the shift in the market narrative, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments, which has $605 billion in assets under management.</p><p><blockquote>什么变了？管理着6050亿美元资产的纽约人寿投资公司(New York Life Investments)经济学家兼投资组合策略师劳伦·古德温(Lauren Goodwin)表示，市场叙事的转变有三个重要因素。</blockquote></p><p> The first is a perceived change in the way the Federal Reserve reacts to data, with investors no longer looking for policy makers to be as tolerant of economic overheating and rising inflation as previously thought, she said. The second is that while economic growth is expected to remain strong, the pace of growth is expected to have peaked . Third, there are worries the spread of the delta and other variants of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19 could force a renewed round of restrictions that will weigh on global economic activity.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，首先是美联储对数据的反应方式发生了明显的变化，投资者不再希望政策制定者像之前认为的那样容忍经济过热和通胀上升。二是虽然经济增长预计将保持强劲，但增长速度预计已经见顶。第三，人们担心导致新冠肺炎的三角洲和其他冠状病毒变种的传播可能会迫使新一轮限制，这将给全球经济活动带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"Together, that's a very different consensus market narrative than we had a few weeks ago, when the focus was all about stimulus and overheating,\" Goodwin said, in a phone interview, noting that investors must now ask: \"Is this new narrative the right one?\"</p><p><blockquote>古德温在接受电话采访时表示：“总的来说，这与几周前的市场共识叙事截然不同，当时的焦点都是刺激和过热。”他指出，投资者现在必须问：“这种新的叙事是正确的吗？”一个？”</blockquote></p><p> The real pain in the past week was in the Treasury market, where a rally drove long-term yields sharply lower and prices higher. Much of that rally was attributed to forced short covering by Treasury bears, who had feared inflation, creating something of a feeding frenzy, driving the 10-year yield to a five-month low below 1.25% on Thursday before finally relenting.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周真正的痛苦在于美国国债市场，该市场的反弹推动长期收益率大幅走低，价格走高。此次上涨很大程度上归因于美国国债空头被迫进行空头回补，他们担心通胀，造成了某种程度的买入狂潮，周四将10年期国债收益率推至1.25%以下的五个月低点，然后最终回落。</blockquote></p><p> But analysts said the move, at least in part, also reflected legitimate concerns over the global economic growth outlook .</p><p><blockquote>但分析师表示，此举至少在一定程度上也反映了对全球经济增长前景的合理担忧。</blockquote></p><p> That Thursday dive in yields, and accompanying growth fears, triggered a broad stock-market selloff that saw the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite retreat from all-time highs, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed more than 500 points at its session low. Stocks trimmed losses by the close and then pushed higher Friday, with all three major indexes finishing at records .</p><p><blockquote>周四收益率暴跌以及随之而来的增长担忧引发了股市大范围抛售，标普500和纳斯达克综合指数从历史高点回落，而道琼斯工业平均指数则在盘中低点下跌了500多点。周五股市收盘时收复跌幅，然后走高，三大股指均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> One casualty was the stock market reflation trade. The small-cap Russell 2000 index RUT (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CRUT;onlineSignificance=passing-mention) fell 1.1% for a second straight week of losses, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 saw a 0.4% weekly rise. Value stocks underperformed, with the Russell 1000 Value Index falling 0.3%, while the Russell 1000 Growth Index rose 1%.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个受害者是股市通货再膨胀交易。小盘股罗素2000指数RUT（#phrase-company？ref=company%7CRUT；onlineSignificance=passing-mention）连续第二周下跌1.1%，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数周上涨0.4%。价值股表现不佳，罗素1000价值指数下跌0.3%，罗素1000成长指数上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> \"The 'reflation' and 'rotation' trades -- associated with optimism about rapid, broad-based economic recovery from the pandemic and higher inflation -- has arguably been flagging since as long ago as the end of the first quarter, but clearly took another hit this week,\" said Oliver Jones, senior markets economist at research firm Capital Economics, in a Friday note.</p><p><blockquote>研究公司凯投宏观(Capital Economics)高级市场经济学家奥利弗·琼斯(Oliver Jones)在周五的一份报告中表示：“‘通货再膨胀’和‘轮换’交易——与对经济从大流行和通胀上升中快速、广泛复苏的乐观情绪相关——可以说早在第一季度末就一直在萎靡不振，但显然受到了打击。”</blockquote></p><p> Sectors, like energy and financials, and factors, such as value, that benefited most from the reflation/rotation narrative have underperformed, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>他指出，从通货再膨胀/轮动叙事中受益最多的能源和金融等行业以及价值等因素表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> Jones argued that it makes sense for optimism about the U.S. economic recovery to top out as supply constraints bite into activity. And global growth expectations may also see pressure, with China's economy likely to continue to disappoint.</p><p><blockquote>琼斯认为，随着供应限制影响经济活动，对美国经济复苏的乐观情绪达到顶峰是有道理的。全球增长预期也可能面临压力，中国经济可能继续令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the U.S. economy remains on track for a very strong recovery in absolute terms, far exceeding the one that followed the global financial crisis of 2008. And core inflation in the U.S. may prove somewhat more persistent than anticipated, he argued.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，从绝对值来看，美国经济仍有望实现非常强劲的复苏，远远超过2008年全球金融危机后的复苏。他认为，美国的核心通胀可能比预期更加持久。</blockquote></p><p> That sets the stage for a scenario in which \"the rotation/reflation trade label may become progressively less useful in the coming quarters,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，这为“轮换/通货再膨胀贸易标签在未来几个季度可能会逐渐变得不那么有用”的情况奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> In particular, parts of the trade, including rapid gains in most stock markets and outperformance by energy companies is likely over for now, he said, while the drop in Treasury yields is probably an \"overreaction\" given the path of growth and inflation in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，特别是部分交易，包括大多数股市的快速上涨和能源公司的优异表现，目前可能已经结束，而考虑到美国的增长和通胀路径，美国国债收益率的下降可能是“过度反应”。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will get a look at evidence on both the inflation and growth front in the coming week. The June consumer-price index is set for release Tuesday, while a producer-price reading is set for Wednesday. A raft of other economic data is due over the course of the week, including June retail sales figures on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在未来一周看到通胀和增长方面的证据。6月份消费者价格指数定于周二发布，生产者价格指数定于周三发布。本周将公布大量其他经济数据，包括周五公布的6月份零售销售数据。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> And then there's the start of the corporate earnings reporting season, which is expected to offer another peak as profits roared in the second quarter relative to the early days of the pandemic last year.</p><p><blockquote>然后是企业财报季的开始，预计将迎来另一个高峰，因为与去年大流行初期相比，第二季度的利润大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> \"With earnings season kicking off next week, the bar is set quite high and corporate America better produce another stellar quarter or there could be some disappointed bulls,\" said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, after Friday's record close.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial首席市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)在周五创纪录的收盘后表示：“随着下周财报季的开始，标准设定得相当高，美国企业界最好再创辉煌的季度，否则可能会出现一些失望的多头。”</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said the choice for investors boils down to either leaning into the old narrative that benefits cyclical stocks and shorter duration assets or the new one that expects economic growth to prove more sluggish and anemic, much as it was before the pandemic, favoring growth stocks and defensive sectors.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示，投资者的选择可以归结为要么倾向于有利于周期性股票和短期资产的旧说法，要么倾向于预计经济增长将更加低迷和乏力的新说法，就像大流行之前一样，有利于成长型股票和防御性股票部门。</blockquote></p><p> The best response, however, may be a little bit of both, Goodwin said.</p><p><blockquote>然而，古德温说，最好的反应可能是两者兼而有之。</blockquote></p><p> Reflation likely still has some room to run in the near term. Distribution of child tax credit payments will begin later this month, while labor shortages may be alleviated in coming months as children return to school and additional unemployment benefits expire, she said, while consumers are sitting on sizable savings.</p><p><blockquote>通货再膨胀在短期内可能仍有一定的运行空间。她表示，儿童税收抵免付款的分配将于本月晚些时候开始，而随着儿童重返校园和额外失业救济金到期，劳动力短缺可能会在未来几个月得到缓解，而消费者则坐拥可观的储蓄。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, growth and inflation are peaking, she said, and valuations are stretched across asset classes. While still maintaining a cyclical tilt, the changing backdrop calls for a more balanced approach to portfolios, she said.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，与此同时，增长和通胀正在见顶，各资产类别的估值都在扩大。她表示，虽然仍保持周期性倾斜，但不断变化的背景为采取更平衡的投资组合方法提供了评级。</blockquote></p><p> Investors need to look closely at sectors and individual companies that can leverage changing trends and pass rising prices on to consumers, she said, in a more selective environment rather than one in which a rising tide raises all boats.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，投资者需要在更具选择性的环境中，而不是水涨船高的环境中，密切关注能够利用不断变化的趋势并将价格上涨转嫁给消费者的行业和个别公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-crazy-week-for-u-s-stocks-came-with-a-change-in-the-market-narrative-should-investors-believe-it-11625865324?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-crazy-week-for-u-s-stocks-came-with-a-change-in-the-market-narrative-should-investors-believe-it-11625865324?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2150053623","content_text":"Investors must decide whether they believe stalling economic growth is a bigger threat than an inflation surge\n\nFears of runaway inflation have been swapped for worries about a rapid slowdown in global economic growth -- and that made for one very long, holiday-shortened week for U.S. investors -- but is this new narrative the right one ?\nA Treasury debt rally became a buying frenzy , sending long-term yields sharply lower. That took any remaining wind out of the sails of the so-called reflation trade, which had favored shares of more cyclically sensitive companies expected to benefit the most from rising prices and accelerating economic growth.\nWhat changed? There are three important elements to the shift in the market narrative, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments, which has $605 billion in assets under management.\nThe first is a perceived change in the way the Federal Reserve reacts to data, with investors no longer looking for policy makers to be as tolerant of economic overheating and rising inflation as previously thought, she said. The second is that while economic growth is expected to remain strong, the pace of growth is expected to have peaked . Third, there are worries the spread of the delta and other variants of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19 could force a renewed round of restrictions that will weigh on global economic activity.\n\"Together, that's a very different consensus market narrative than we had a few weeks ago, when the focus was all about stimulus and overheating,\" Goodwin said, in a phone interview, noting that investors must now ask: \"Is this new narrative the right one?\"\nThe real pain in the past week was in the Treasury market, where a rally drove long-term yields sharply lower and prices higher. Much of that rally was attributed to forced short covering by Treasury bears, who had feared inflation, creating something of a feeding frenzy, driving the 10-year yield to a five-month low below 1.25% on Thursday before finally relenting.\nBut analysts said the move, at least in part, also reflected legitimate concerns over the global economic growth outlook .\nThat Thursday dive in yields, and accompanying growth fears, triggered a broad stock-market selloff that saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite retreat from all-time highs, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed more than 500 points at its session low. Stocks trimmed losses by the close and then pushed higher Friday, with all three major indexes finishing at records .\nOne casualty was the stock market reflation trade. The small-cap Russell 2000 index RUT (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CRUT;onlineSignificance=passing-mention) fell 1.1% for a second straight week of losses, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 saw a 0.4% weekly rise. Value stocks underperformed, with the Russell 1000 Value Index falling 0.3%, while the Russell 1000 Growth Index rose 1%.\n\"The 'reflation' and 'rotation' trades -- associated with optimism about rapid, broad-based economic recovery from the pandemic and higher inflation -- has arguably been flagging since as long ago as the end of the first quarter, but clearly took another hit this week,\" said Oliver Jones, senior markets economist at research firm Capital Economics, in a Friday note.\nSectors, like energy and financials, and factors, such as value, that benefited most from the reflation/rotation narrative have underperformed, he noted.\nJones argued that it makes sense for optimism about the U.S. economic recovery to top out as supply constraints bite into activity. And global growth expectations may also see pressure, with China's economy likely to continue to disappoint.\nAt the same time, the U.S. economy remains on track for a very strong recovery in absolute terms, far exceeding the one that followed the global financial crisis of 2008. And core inflation in the U.S. may prove somewhat more persistent than anticipated, he argued.\nThat sets the stage for a scenario in which \"the rotation/reflation trade label may become progressively less useful in the coming quarters,\" he said.\nIn particular, parts of the trade, including rapid gains in most stock markets and outperformance by energy companies is likely over for now, he said, while the drop in Treasury yields is probably an \"overreaction\" given the path of growth and inflation in the U.S.\nInvestors will get a look at evidence on both the inflation and growth front in the coming week. The June consumer-price index is set for release Tuesday, while a producer-price reading is set for Wednesday. A raft of other economic data is due over the course of the week, including June retail sales figures on Friday.\nAnd then there's the start of the corporate earnings reporting season, which is expected to offer another peak as profits roared in the second quarter relative to the early days of the pandemic last year.\n\"With earnings season kicking off next week, the bar is set quite high and corporate America better produce another stellar quarter or there could be some disappointed bulls,\" said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, after Friday's record close.\nGoodwin said the choice for investors boils down to either leaning into the old narrative that benefits cyclical stocks and shorter duration assets or the new one that expects economic growth to prove more sluggish and anemic, much as it was before the pandemic, favoring growth stocks and defensive sectors.\nThe best response, however, may be a little bit of both, Goodwin said.\nReflation likely still has some room to run in the near term. Distribution of child tax credit payments will begin later this month, while labor shortages may be alleviated in coming months as children return to school and additional unemployment benefits expire, she said, while consumers are sitting on sizable savings.\nAt the same time, growth and inflation are peaking, she said, and valuations are stretched across asset classes. While still maintaining a cyclical tilt, the changing backdrop calls for a more balanced approach to portfolios, she said.\nInvestors need to look closely at sectors and individual companies that can leverage changing trends and pass rising prices on to consumers, she said, in a more selective environment rather than one in which a rising tide raises all boats.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127402278,"gmtCreate":1624860332194,"gmtModify":1631885240746,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Useless Chinese company. Go TSLA!!!","listText":"Useless Chinese company. Go TSLA!!!","text":"Useless Chinese company. Go TSLA!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127402278","repostId":"1159433692","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159433692","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624859723,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159433692?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-28 13:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Opens Another 5 Battery Swap Stations In China As Part of Aggressive Expansion Strategy<blockquote>作为积极扩张战略的一部分，蔚来在华再开设5座电池交换站</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159433692","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Nio Inc. has opened five new battery swap stations in China as the Chinese electric vehicle maker em","content":"<p><div> Nio Inc. has opened five new battery swap stations in China as the Chinese electric vehicle maker embarks on an aggressive expansion strategy, cnEVpostreportedSunday. What Happened: Nio now has a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>据CNEVPost周日报道，蔚来在中国开设了五个新的电池交换站，这家中国电动汽车制造商开始了积极的扩张战略。发生了什么：蔚来现在有一个...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Opens Another 5 Battery Swap Stations In China As Part of Aggressive Expansion Strategy<blockquote>作为积极扩张战略的一部分，蔚来在华再开设5座电池交换站</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Opens Another 5 Battery Swap Stations In China As Part of Aggressive Expansion Strategy<blockquote>作为积极扩张战略的一部分，蔚来在华再开设5座电池交换站</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 13:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Nio Inc. has opened five new battery swap stations in China as the Chinese electric vehicle maker embarks on an aggressive expansion strategy, cnEVpostreportedSunday. What Happened: Nio now has a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>据CNEVPost周日报道，蔚来在中国开设了五个新的电池交换站，这家中国电动汽车制造商开始了积极的扩张战略。发生了什么：蔚来现在有一个...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159433692","content_text":"Nio Inc. has opened five new battery swap stations in China as the Chinese electric vehicle maker embarks on an aggressive expansion strategy, cnEVpostreportedSunday.\nWhat Happened: Nio now has a total of 282 battery swap stations in China, as per the report.\nIn addition, the company currently has 194 supercharging stations, 371 destination charging stations and access to more than 380,000 third-party charging piles in China, the report added.\nWhy It Matters:Seen as a Tesla Inc. rival, Nio has pioneered the concept ofbattery-as-a-servicethat would allow users to rent a battery instead of purchasing one, helping to trim the cost for EV owners.\nNio’s second-generation battery swap station,unveiledin January this year, can accommodate 13 batteries and has a daily capacity of up to 312 swaps. Battery-swapping provides the advantage of saving time as opposed to charging.\nNio aims to have 500 battery swap stations in operation nationwide by the end of this year. Several government departments and Chinese cities have supported the construction of battery swap infrastructure.\nHowever, Ark Invest analyst Sam Korus said in a note in May thatgovernment support in the form of subsidieswill harm Nio's global ambitions in the long run. The economics associated with battery swapping will lead to design constraints and shortened battery lives, according to the analyst.\nPrice Action: Nio shares closed almost 0.9% lower in Friday’s trading session at $45.07.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124161065,"gmtCreate":1624754073857,"gmtModify":1633949125853,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GME to zero!&nbsp;","listText":"GME to zero!&nbsp;","text":"GME to zero!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124161065","repostId":"2146009942","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146009942","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624753788,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2146009942?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>WallStreetBets正在消亡，WallStreetBets运动万岁</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146009942","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier ","content":"<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d405b1c6d77a8a133d45a970a1f21c\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>奥利维尔·杜利里/法新社，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如诗人约吉·贝拉曾经打趣的那样，“再也没有人去那里了——那里太拥挤了。”</blockquote></p><p> While Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.</p><p><blockquote>虽然贝拉在谈论20世纪60年代初一家受欢迎的佛罗里达餐厅，但他很容易在2021年夏天谈论WallStreeBets，因为许多使留言板成为金融现象的散户投资者现在正在放弃它，转而选择更新的子版块，称WallStreetBets已因主流金融对社交媒体对市场走势的力量的更好理解而受到损害。</blockquote></p><p> WallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a> and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.</p><p><blockquote>WallStreetBets在一月份以游戏驿站的身份成为家喻户晓的名字<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC院线<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>其他模因股票以疯狂的空头挤压的形式宣布了它们的到来，这让华尔街紧随其后，对冲基金也陷入了困境。</blockquote></p><p> The irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"</p><p><blockquote>留言板不敬和内幕的语气为用户提供了一个分享股票技巧的平台，并对他们认为操纵市场结构以使大银行和基金受益的不公平行为感到愤怒。它还催生了散户投资者独特的有伤风化的沟通方式，称对方为“猿”，鼓励对方用“钻石手”持有轧空股票，并渴望以鸡块或“鸡块”的形式交易利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Users also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.</p><p><blockquote>用户还开始以“DDs”或深度潜水的形式分享详细的投资论文，利用他们自己的分析来推广一个新的股票代码，供该运动参与。</blockquote></p><p> But since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>但自1月份以来，WallStreetBets的成功已成为一个沉重的负担，该委员会的版主因该委员会1060万用户中的许多人认为规则执行不一致而受到批评，而且越来越多的人认为版主在害怕激怒华尔街和监管机构时过于安全。</blockquote></p><p> There is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.</p><p><blockquote>还有广泛的猜测认为，WallStreetBets的规模和受欢迎程度使其容易受到不良行为者的影响，他们试图通过向旧的对话线程发送带有特定股票代码的帖子来创建拉高和转储计划，这些帖子看起来像是社交媒体对该股票产生了新的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> The shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>这一转变让人想起，在这款流行的交易应用程序在1月份轧空高峰期间冻结了游戏驿站和其他股票的活动后，散户投资者是如何转向Robinhood的。这一决定引发了对Robinhood的愤怒，许多散户在社交媒体上声称该应用程序与挤压另一方的对冲基金和做市商勾结。</blockquote></p><p> Like the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.</p><p><blockquote>与Robinhood的外流一样，WallStreetBets的分裂也导致散户投资者转向新平台和其他更专注于投资、期权和个股的子平台。它甚至让他们有机会创建自己的董事会，例如r/Superstonk，这是一个面向游戏驿站投资者的Reddit子网站，从3月份开始发布一系列反WallStreetBets帖子，目前已拥有485,000名会员。</blockquote></p><p> \"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> user posted on Superstonk this week.</p><p><blockquote>“WSB是Reddit的罗宾汉，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>用户本周在Superstonk上发帖。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>AMC和其他meme股票有自己越来越受欢迎的子Reddit，它们似乎是散户投资运动的下一次迭代，几乎没有失去动力的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> While the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然1月份的狂热已经消退，但金融咨询公司Betterment最近的一项调查表明，大多数散户投资者都致力于在可预见的未来进行交易，按理说，他们交易的演变将发生在更小、更集中的subreddits上，比如Superstonk。</blockquote></p><p> As that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.</p><p><blockquote>随着在线迁移的继续，Reddit集会的母舰WallStreetBets将会有一种空巢的感觉。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LOOKING FORWARD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>向前看</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国劳工部下周五发布了有关国会基础设施法案进展的好消息，本周美国股市再次攀升。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>WallStreetBets正在消亡，WallStreetBets运动万岁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>WallStreetBets正在消亡，WallStreetBets运动万岁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d405b1c6d77a8a133d45a970a1f21c\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>奥利维尔·杜利里/法新社，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如诗人约吉·贝拉曾经打趣的那样，“再也没有人去那里了——那里太拥挤了。”</blockquote></p><p> While Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.</p><p><blockquote>虽然贝拉在谈论20世纪60年代初一家受欢迎的佛罗里达餐厅，但他很容易在2021年夏天谈论WallStreeBets，因为许多使留言板成为金融现象的散户投资者现在正在放弃它，转而选择更新的子版块，称WallStreetBets已因主流金融对社交媒体对市场走势的力量的更好理解而受到损害。</blockquote></p><p> WallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a> and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.</p><p><blockquote>WallStreetBets在一月份以游戏驿站的身份成为家喻户晓的名字<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC院线<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>其他模因股票以疯狂的空头挤压的形式宣布了它们的到来，这让华尔街紧随其后，对冲基金也陷入了困境。</blockquote></p><p> The irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"</p><p><blockquote>留言板不敬和内幕的语气为用户提供了一个分享股票技巧的平台，并对他们认为操纵市场结构以使大银行和基金受益的不公平行为感到愤怒。它还催生了散户投资者独特的有伤风化的沟通方式，称对方为“猿”，鼓励对方用“钻石手”持有轧空股票，并渴望以鸡块或“鸡块”的形式交易利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Users also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.</p><p><blockquote>用户还开始以“DDs”或深度潜水的形式分享详细的投资论文，利用他们自己的分析来推广一个新的股票代码，供该运动参与。</blockquote></p><p> But since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>但自1月份以来，WallStreetBets的成功已成为一个沉重的负担，该委员会的版主因该委员会1060万用户中的许多人认为规则执行不一致而受到批评，而且越来越多的人认为版主在害怕激怒华尔街和监管机构时过于安全。</blockquote></p><p> There is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.</p><p><blockquote>还有广泛的猜测认为，WallStreetBets的规模和受欢迎程度使其容易受到不良行为者的影响，他们试图通过向旧的对话线程发送带有特定股票代码的帖子来创建拉高和转储计划，这些帖子看起来像是社交媒体对该股票产生了新的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> The shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>这一转变让人想起，在这款流行的交易应用程序在1月份轧空高峰期间冻结了游戏驿站和其他股票的活动后，散户投资者是如何转向Robinhood的。这一决定引发了对Robinhood的愤怒，许多散户在社交媒体上声称该应用程序与挤压另一方的对冲基金和做市商勾结。</blockquote></p><p> Like the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.</p><p><blockquote>与Robinhood的外流一样，WallStreetBets的分裂也导致散户投资者转向新平台和其他更专注于投资、期权和个股的子平台。它甚至让他们有机会创建自己的董事会，例如r/Superstonk，这是一个面向游戏驿站投资者的Reddit子网站，从3月份开始发布一系列反WallStreetBets帖子，目前已拥有485,000名会员。</blockquote></p><p> \"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> user posted on Superstonk this week.</p><p><blockquote>“WSB是Reddit的罗宾汉，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>用户本周在Superstonk上发帖。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>AMC和其他meme股票有自己越来越受欢迎的子Reddit，它们似乎是散户投资运动的下一次迭代，几乎没有失去动力的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> While the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然1月份的狂热已经消退，但金融咨询公司Betterment最近的一项调查表明，大多数散户投资者都致力于在可预见的未来进行交易，按理说，他们交易的演变将发生在更小、更集中的subreddits上，比如Superstonk。</blockquote></p><p> As that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.</p><p><blockquote>随着在线迁移的继续，Reddit集会的母舰WallStreetBets将会有一种空巢的感觉。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LOOKING FORWARD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>向前看</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国劳工部下周五发布了有关国会基础设施法案进展的好消息，本周美国股市再次攀升。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146009942","content_text":"Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images\nAs the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"\nWhile Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.\nWallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop $(GME)$, AMC Entertainment $(AMC)$ and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.\nThe irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"\nUsers also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.\nBut since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.\nThere is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.\nAmong Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nThe shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.\nLike the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.\n\"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" one user posted on Superstonk this week.\nAMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.\nWhile the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.\nAs that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.\nLOOKING FORWARD\nMeanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125689232,"gmtCreate":1624671572026,"gmtModify":1633949826490,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Did&nbsp;","listText":"Did&nbsp;","text":"Did","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125689232","repostId":"1134306371","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126739854,"gmtCreate":1624583993578,"gmtModify":1633950950551,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126739854","repostId":"1160571601","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121446238,"gmtCreate":1624490817024,"gmtModify":1634005486434,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;Naah, china trash car","listText":"&nbsp;Naah, china trash car","text":"Naah, china trash car","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121446238","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123452459,"gmtCreate":1624436136771,"gmtModify":1634006165555,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123452459","repostId":"1117914294","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117914294","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624433925,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117914294?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 15:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Market Today With Jim Cramer: Nvidia 'Working on Remarkable Things'<blockquote>吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)今日股市：英伟达“正在做非凡的事情”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117914294","media":"The Street","summary":"Jim Cramer remains bullish on chipmaker Nvidia following Monday's selloff.\n\nStocks rose Tuesday as F","content":"<p>  <b>Jim Cramer remains bullish on chipmaker Nvidia following Monday's selloff.</b>  Stocks rose Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress the economy has shown \"sustained improvement\" but the recovery has accelerated inflation.</p><p><blockquote><b>继周一的抛售之后，吉姆·克莱默仍然看好芯片制造商英伟达。</b>周二股市上涨，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔告诉国会，经济已显示出“持续改善”，但复苏加速了通胀。</blockquote></p><p> \"Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen, and real GDP this year appears to be on track to post its fastest rate of increase in decades,” Powell said in written comments ahead of the House panel hearing.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在众议院小组听证会前的书面评论中表示：“经济活动和就业指标持续走强，今年的实际GDP似乎有望实现数十年来最快的增速。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia Story Much Bigger Than Ethereum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达的故事比以太币大得多</b></blockquote></p><p> Pegging Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;to Ethereum's drop during Monday's was foolish, TheStreet's Jim Cramer said on Tuesday from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. While Nvidia does have exposure to ethereum, the chipmaker is so much more than that, Cramer said.</p><p><blockquote>挂钩英伟达（<b>NVDA</b>)-《华尔街日报》的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)周二在纽约证券交易所表示，有关以太币周一下跌的报道是愚蠢的。克莱默表示，虽然英伟达确实涉足以太币，但这家芯片制造商远不止于此。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is high-performance computing, AI, machine learning and gaming andif it gets ARMthen its just the No. 1 dominant chip company in the world,\" Cramer said. \"Nvidia is working on remarkable things that people think only the Chinese are working on.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默说：“这是高性能计算、人工智能、机器学习和游戏，如果它获得ARM，那么它将成为世界上第一大主导芯片公司。”“英伟达正在做人们认为只有中国人在做的非凡事情。”</blockquote></p><p> Cramer was commenting ona bullish Raymond James notethat lifted Nvidia in trading Tuesday. The shares at last check were 2.1% higher at $752.20.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默对雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)的看涨报告发表了评论，该报告提振了英伟达周二的交易。上次检查时，该股上涨2.1%，至752.20美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jay Powell Should Be Cautious as Workforce Lags</b></p><p><blockquote><b>由于劳动力滞后，杰伊·鲍威尔应保持谨慎</b></blockquote></p><p> The 5 million workers missing from the pre-COVID employment pool would rather take unemployment benefits than return to the workforce, Jim Cramer said on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)周二表示，新冠疫情前就业人群中缺失的500万工人宁愿领取失业救济金，也不愿重返劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 10 million people who left the workforce since COVID-19, only half have returned. That leads Cramer to say that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is correct in erring on the side of caution and waiting to see where the economy heads before making any serious changes in monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>自新冠肺炎以来离开劳动力市场的1000万人中，只有一半回来了。这使得克莱默表示，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔错误地谨慎行事，在对货币政策做出任何重大改变之前等待经济走向，这是正确的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Market Today With Jim Cramer: Nvidia 'Working on Remarkable Things'<blockquote>吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)今日股市：英伟达“正在做非凡的事情”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Market Today With Jim Cramer: Nvidia 'Working on Remarkable Things'<blockquote>吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)今日股市：英伟达“正在做非凡的事情”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-23 15:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Jim Cramer remains bullish on chipmaker Nvidia following Monday's selloff.</b>  Stocks rose Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress the economy has shown \"sustained improvement\" but the recovery has accelerated inflation.</p><p><blockquote><b>继周一的抛售之后，吉姆·克莱默仍然看好芯片制造商英伟达。</b>周二股市上涨，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔告诉国会，经济已显示出“持续改善”，但复苏加速了通胀。</blockquote></p><p> \"Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen, and real GDP this year appears to be on track to post its fastest rate of increase in decades,” Powell said in written comments ahead of the House panel hearing.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在众议院小组听证会前的书面评论中表示：“经济活动和就业指标持续走强，今年的实际GDP似乎有望实现数十年来最快的增速。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia Story Much Bigger Than Ethereum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达的故事比以太币大得多</b></blockquote></p><p> Pegging Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;to Ethereum's drop during Monday's was foolish, TheStreet's Jim Cramer said on Tuesday from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. While Nvidia does have exposure to ethereum, the chipmaker is so much more than that, Cramer said.</p><p><blockquote>挂钩英伟达（<b>NVDA</b>)-《华尔街日报》的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)周二在纽约证券交易所表示，有关以太币周一下跌的报道是愚蠢的。克莱默表示，虽然英伟达确实涉足以太币，但这家芯片制造商远不止于此。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is high-performance computing, AI, machine learning and gaming andif it gets ARMthen its just the No. 1 dominant chip company in the world,\" Cramer said. \"Nvidia is working on remarkable things that people think only the Chinese are working on.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默说：“这是高性能计算、人工智能、机器学习和游戏，如果它获得ARM，那么它将成为世界上第一大主导芯片公司。”“英伟达正在做人们认为只有中国人在做的非凡事情。”</blockquote></p><p> Cramer was commenting ona bullish Raymond James notethat lifted Nvidia in trading Tuesday. The shares at last check were 2.1% higher at $752.20.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默对雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)的看涨报告发表了评论，该报告提振了英伟达周二的交易。上次检查时，该股上涨2.1%，至752.20美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jay Powell Should Be Cautious as Workforce Lags</b></p><p><blockquote><b>由于劳动力滞后，杰伊·鲍威尔应保持谨慎</b></blockquote></p><p> The 5 million workers missing from the pre-COVID employment pool would rather take unemployment benefits than return to the workforce, Jim Cramer said on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)周二表示，新冠疫情前就业人群中缺失的500万工人宁愿领取失业救济金，也不愿重返劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 10 million people who left the workforce since COVID-19, only half have returned. That leads Cramer to say that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is correct in erring on the side of caution and waiting to see where the economy heads before making any serious changes in monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>自新冠肺炎以来离开劳动力市场的1000万人中，只有一半回来了。这使得克莱默表示，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔错误地谨慎行事，在对货币政策做出任何重大改变之前等待经济走向，这是正确的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/stock-market-today-cramer-nvidia-unemployment\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/stock-market-today-cramer-nvidia-unemployment","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117914294","content_text":"Jim Cramer remains bullish on chipmaker Nvidia following Monday's selloff.\n\nStocks rose Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress the economy has shown \"sustained improvement\" but the recovery has accelerated inflation.\n\"Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen, and real GDP this year appears to be on track to post its fastest rate of increase in decades,” Powell said in written comments ahead of the House panel hearing.\nNvidia Story Much Bigger Than Ethereum\nPegging Nvidia (NVDA) -Get Report to Ethereum's drop during Monday's was foolish, TheStreet's Jim Cramer said on Tuesday from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. While Nvidia does have exposure to ethereum, the chipmaker is so much more than that, Cramer said.\n\"This is high-performance computing, AI, machine learning and gaming andif it gets ARMthen its just the No. 1 dominant chip company in the world,\" Cramer said. \"Nvidia is working on remarkable things that people think only the Chinese are working on.\"\nCramer was commenting ona bullish Raymond James notethat lifted Nvidia in trading Tuesday. The shares at last check were 2.1% higher at $752.20.\nJay Powell Should Be Cautious as Workforce Lags\nThe 5 million workers missing from the pre-COVID employment pool would rather take unemployment benefits than return to the workforce, Jim Cramer said on Tuesday.\nOf the 10 million people who left the workforce since COVID-19, only half have returned. That leads Cramer to say that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is correct in erring on the side of caution and waiting to see where the economy heads before making any serious changes in monetary policy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120636949,"gmtCreate":1624321081881,"gmtModify":1634007914037,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GME TO $0","listText":"GME TO $0","text":"GME TO $0","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120636949","repostId":"1164927223","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120633802,"gmtCreate":1624321015706,"gmtModify":1634007916329,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120633802","repostId":"1191349655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164480627,"gmtCreate":1624233344569,"gmtModify":1634009281313,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gme $0 stock","listText":"Gme $0 stock","text":"Gme $0 stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164480627","repostId":"2145470425","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165222878,"gmtCreate":1624148036094,"gmtModify":1634010359791,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581907866019584","authorIdStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GME to $20","listText":"GME to $20","text":"GME to $20","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165222878","repostId":"1166679093","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166679093","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624065234,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166679093?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-19 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测3只模因股将暴跌20%以上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166679093","media":"fool","summary":"Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them del","content":"<p>Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them delivering triple-digit and even four-digit percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，模因股票风靡一时。这是可以理解的，其中一些公司实现了三位数甚至四位数的百分比增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, what goes up can come down. Analysts don't expect the online frenzy fueling the ginormous jumps for some of the most popular stocks will be sustainable. Here are three meme stocks that Wall Street thinks will plunge by more than 20% within the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，上升的可以下降。分析师预计，推动一些最受欢迎股票大幅上涨的网络狂热不会持续下去。以下是华尔街认为未来12个月内将暴跌20%以上的三只模因股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC)ranks as the best-performing meme stock of all. Shares of the movie theater operator have skyrocketed close to 2,500% year to date.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）被评为所有模因股票中表现最好的。今年迄今为止，这家电影院运营商的股价已飙升近2,500%。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus among analysts, though, is that the stock could lose 90% of its current value. Even the most optimistic analyst surveyed by Refinitiv has a price target for AMC that's more than 70% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>不过，分析师的共识是，该股可能会损失当前价值的90%。即使是Refinitiv调查的最乐观的分析师对AMC的目标价也比当前股价低70%以上。</blockquote></p><p> But isn't AMC's business picking up? Yep. The easing of restrictions has enabled the company to reopen 99% of its U.S. theaters. AMC could benefit as seating capacity limitations imposed by state and local governments are raised. Thereleases of multiple movies this summerand later this year that are likely to be hits should also help.</p><p><blockquote>但AMC的业务不是在回暖吗？是的。限制的放松使该公司能够重新开放99%的美国影院。随着州和地方政府施加的座位容量限制的提高，AMC可能会受益。今年夏天和今年晚些时候上映的多部可能会大受欢迎的电影也应该会有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> However, Wall Street clearly believes that AMC's share price has gotten way ahead of its business prospects. The stock is trading at nearly eight times higher than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>然而，华尔街显然认为AMC的股价已经远远超出了其业务前景。该股目前的交易价格比COVID-19大流行之前高出近八倍。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health Investments</p><p><blockquote>三叶草健康投资</blockquote></p><p> Only a few days ago, it looked like&nbsp;<b>Clover Health Investments</b>(NASDAQ:CLOV)might push AMC to the side as the hottest meme stock. Retail investors viewed Clover as a primeshort squeezecandidate.</p><p><blockquote>就在几天前，看起来<b>三叶草健康投资</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）可能会将AMC推到最热门的模因股票旁边。散户投资者将Clover视为主要的空头挤压候选者。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of June, shares of Clover Health have jumped more than 65%. Analysts, however, don't expect those gains to last. The average price target for the stock is 25% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>自6月初以来，Clover Health的股价已上涨超过65%。然而，分析师预计这些涨幅不会持续下去。该股的平均目标价比当前股价低25%。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health's valuation does seem to have gotten out of hand. The healthcare stock currently trades at more than 170 times trailing-12-month sales. That's a nosebleed level, especially considering that the company is the subject of investigations by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>Clover Health的估值似乎确实已经失控。该医疗保健股目前的交易价格是过去12个月销售额的170多倍。这是一个令人流鼻血的水平，特别是考虑到该公司是美国调查的对象。司法部和证券交易委员会。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Clover Health could deliver improving financial results this year. The company hopes to significantly increase its membership by targeting the original Medicare program. This represents a major new market opportunity in addition to its current Medicare Advantage business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Clover Health今年的财务业绩可能会有所改善。该公司希望通过瞄准原来的医疗保险计划来大幅增加其会员。除了当前的Medicare Advantage业务之外，这也是一个重大的新市场机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial Growers</p><p><blockquote>日晷种植者</blockquote></p><p> At one point earlier this year,&nbsp;<b>Sundial Growers</b>(NASDAQ:SNDL)appeared to be a legitimate contender to become the biggest winner among meme stocks. The Canadian marijuana stock vaulted more than 520% higher year to date before giving up much of its gains. However, Sundial's share price has still more than doubled in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，<b>日晷种植者</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：SNDL）似乎是成为模因股票最大赢家的合法竞争者。加拿大大麻股票今年迄今已上涨超过520%，随后回吐了大部分涨幅。不过，Sundial的股价在2021年仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts anticipate that the pot stock could fall even further. The consensus price target for Sundial reflects a 23% discount to its current share price. One analyst even thinks the stock could sink 55%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计大麻库存可能会进一步下跌。Sundial的共识目标价较其当前股价有23%的折扣。一位分析师甚至认为该股可能下跌55%。</blockquote></p><p> There certainly are reasons to be pessimistic about Sundial's core cannabis business. The company's net cannabis revenue fell year over year in the first quarter of 2021. Although Sundial is taking steps that it hopes will turn things around, it remains to be seen if those efforts will succeed.</p><p><blockquote>当然有理由对Sundial的核心大麻业务持悲观态度。该公司2021年第一季度的大麻净收入同比下降。尽管日晷正在采取措施，希望能够扭转局面，但这些努力是否会成功还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial's business deals could give investors reasons for optimism. After all, the company posted positive adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in Q1 due to its investments.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial的商业交易可能会给投资者带来乐观的理由。毕竟，由于其投资，该公司第一季度调整后息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)为正。</blockquote></p><p> However, the cash that Sundial is using to make these investments has come at the cost of increased dilution of its stock. The company can't afford any additional dilution without having to resort to desperate measures to keep its listing on the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq</b>&nbsp;stock exchange.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Sundial用于进行这些投资的现金是以其股票进一步稀释为代价的。该公司无法承受任何额外的稀释，除非采取绝望的措施来维持其在<b>纳斯达克</b>证券交易所。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测3只模因股将暴跌20%以上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测3只模因股将暴跌20%以上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-19 09:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them delivering triple-digit and even four-digit percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，模因股票风靡一时。这是可以理解的，其中一些公司实现了三位数甚至四位数的百分比增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, what goes up can come down. Analysts don't expect the online frenzy fueling the ginormous jumps for some of the most popular stocks will be sustainable. Here are three meme stocks that Wall Street thinks will plunge by more than 20% within the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，上升的可以下降。分析师预计，推动一些最受欢迎股票大幅上涨的网络狂热不会持续下去。以下是华尔街认为未来12个月内将暴跌20%以上的三只模因股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC)ranks as the best-performing meme stock of all. Shares of the movie theater operator have skyrocketed close to 2,500% year to date.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）被评为所有模因股票中表现最好的。今年迄今为止，这家电影院运营商的股价已飙升近2,500%。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus among analysts, though, is that the stock could lose 90% of its current value. Even the most optimistic analyst surveyed by Refinitiv has a price target for AMC that's more than 70% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>不过，分析师的共识是，该股可能会损失当前价值的90%。即使是Refinitiv调查的最乐观的分析师对AMC的目标价也比当前股价低70%以上。</blockquote></p><p> But isn't AMC's business picking up? Yep. The easing of restrictions has enabled the company to reopen 99% of its U.S. theaters. AMC could benefit as seating capacity limitations imposed by state and local governments are raised. Thereleases of multiple movies this summerand later this year that are likely to be hits should also help.</p><p><blockquote>但AMC的业务不是在回暖吗？是的。限制的放松使该公司能够重新开放99%的美国影院。随着州和地方政府施加的座位容量限制的提高，AMC可能会受益。今年夏天和今年晚些时候上映的多部可能会大受欢迎的电影也应该会有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> However, Wall Street clearly believes that AMC's share price has gotten way ahead of its business prospects. The stock is trading at nearly eight times higher than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>然而，华尔街显然认为AMC的股价已经远远超出了其业务前景。该股目前的交易价格比COVID-19大流行之前高出近八倍。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health Investments</p><p><blockquote>三叶草健康投资</blockquote></p><p> Only a few days ago, it looked like&nbsp;<b>Clover Health Investments</b>(NASDAQ:CLOV)might push AMC to the side as the hottest meme stock. Retail investors viewed Clover as a primeshort squeezecandidate.</p><p><blockquote>就在几天前，看起来<b>三叶草健康投资</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）可能会将AMC推到最热门的模因股票旁边。散户投资者将Clover视为主要的空头挤压候选者。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of June, shares of Clover Health have jumped more than 65%. Analysts, however, don't expect those gains to last. The average price target for the stock is 25% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>自6月初以来，Clover Health的股价已上涨超过65%。然而，分析师预计这些涨幅不会持续下去。该股的平均目标价比当前股价低25%。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health's valuation does seem to have gotten out of hand. The healthcare stock currently trades at more than 170 times trailing-12-month sales. That's a nosebleed level, especially considering that the company is the subject of investigations by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>Clover Health的估值似乎确实已经失控。该医疗保健股目前的交易价格是过去12个月销售额的170多倍。这是一个令人流鼻血的水平，特别是考虑到该公司是美国调查的对象。司法部和证券交易委员会。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Clover Health could deliver improving financial results this year. The company hopes to significantly increase its membership by targeting the original Medicare program. This represents a major new market opportunity in addition to its current Medicare Advantage business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Clover Health今年的财务业绩可能会有所改善。该公司希望通过瞄准原来的医疗保险计划来大幅增加其会员。除了当前的Medicare Advantage业务之外，这也是一个重大的新市场机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial Growers</p><p><blockquote>日晷种植者</blockquote></p><p> At one point earlier this year,&nbsp;<b>Sundial Growers</b>(NASDAQ:SNDL)appeared to be a legitimate contender to become the biggest winner among meme stocks. The Canadian marijuana stock vaulted more than 520% higher year to date before giving up much of its gains. However, Sundial's share price has still more than doubled in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，<b>日晷种植者</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：SNDL）似乎是成为模因股票最大赢家的合法竞争者。加拿大大麻股票今年迄今已上涨超过520%，随后回吐了大部分涨幅。不过，Sundial的股价在2021年仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts anticipate that the pot stock could fall even further. The consensus price target for Sundial reflects a 23% discount to its current share price. One analyst even thinks the stock could sink 55%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计大麻库存可能会进一步下跌。Sundial的共识目标价较其当前股价有23%的折扣。一位分析师甚至认为该股可能下跌55%。</blockquote></p><p> There certainly are reasons to be pessimistic about Sundial's core cannabis business. The company's net cannabis revenue fell year over year in the first quarter of 2021. Although Sundial is taking steps that it hopes will turn things around, it remains to be seen if those efforts will succeed.</p><p><blockquote>当然有理由对Sundial的核心大麻业务持悲观态度。该公司2021年第一季度的大麻净收入同比下降。尽管日晷正在采取措施，希望能够扭转局面，但这些努力是否会成功还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial's business deals could give investors reasons for optimism. After all, the company posted positive adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in Q1 due to its investments.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial的商业交易可能会给投资者带来乐观的理由。毕竟，由于其投资，该公司第一季度调整后息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)为正。</blockquote></p><p> However, the cash that Sundial is using to make these investments has come at the cost of increased dilution of its stock. The company can't afford any additional dilution without having to resort to desperate measures to keep its listing on the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq</b>&nbsp;stock exchange.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Sundial用于进行这些投资的现金是以其股票进一步稀释为代价的。该公司无法承受任何额外的稀释，除非采取绝望的措施来维持其在<b>纳斯达克</b>证券交易所。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/3-meme-stocks-wall-street-predicts-will-plunge-mor/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","SNDL":"SNDL Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/3-meme-stocks-wall-street-predicts-will-plunge-mor/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166679093","content_text":"Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them delivering triple-digit and even four-digit percentage gains.\nHowever, what goes up can come down. Analysts don't expect the online frenzy fueling the ginormous jumps for some of the most popular stocks will be sustainable. Here are three meme stocks that Wall Street thinks will plunge by more than 20% within the next 12 months.\nAMC Entertainment\nAMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)ranks as the best-performing meme stock of all. Shares of the movie theater operator have skyrocketed close to 2,500% year to date.\nThe consensus among analysts, though, is that the stock could lose 90% of its current value. Even the most optimistic analyst surveyed by Refinitiv has a price target for AMC that's more than 70% below the current share price.\nBut isn't AMC's business picking up? Yep. The easing of restrictions has enabled the company to reopen 99% of its U.S. theaters. AMC could benefit as seating capacity limitations imposed by state and local governments are raised. Thereleases of multiple movies this summerand later this year that are likely to be hits should also help.\nHowever, Wall Street clearly believes that AMC's share price has gotten way ahead of its business prospects. The stock is trading at nearly eight times higher than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic.\nClover Health Investments\nOnly a few days ago, it looked like Clover Health Investments(NASDAQ:CLOV)might push AMC to the side as the hottest meme stock. Retail investors viewed Clover as a primeshort squeezecandidate.\nSince the beginning of June, shares of Clover Health have jumped more than 65%. Analysts, however, don't expect those gains to last. The average price target for the stock is 25% below the current share price.\nClover Health's valuation does seem to have gotten out of hand. The healthcare stock currently trades at more than 170 times trailing-12-month sales. That's a nosebleed level, especially considering that the company is the subject of investigations by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission.\nStill, Clover Health could deliver improving financial results this year. The company hopes to significantly increase its membership by targeting the original Medicare program. This represents a major new market opportunity in addition to its current Medicare Advantage business.\nSundial Growers\nAt one point earlier this year, Sundial Growers(NASDAQ:SNDL)appeared to be a legitimate contender to become the biggest winner among meme stocks. The Canadian marijuana stock vaulted more than 520% higher year to date before giving up much of its gains. However, Sundial's share price has still more than doubled in 2021.\nAnalysts anticipate that the pot stock could fall even further. The consensus price target for Sundial reflects a 23% discount to its current share price. One analyst even thinks the stock could sink 55%.\nThere certainly are reasons to be pessimistic about Sundial's core cannabis business. The company's net cannabis revenue fell year over year in the first quarter of 2021. Although Sundial is taking steps that it hopes will turn things around, it remains to be seen if those efforts will succeed.\nSundial's business deals could give investors reasons for optimism. After all, the company posted positive adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in Q1 due to its investments.\nHowever, the cash that Sundial is using to make these investments has come at the cost of increased dilution of its stock. The company can't afford any additional dilution without having to resort to desperate measures to keep its listing on the Nasdaq stock exchange.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"SNDL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":126739854,"gmtCreate":1624583993578,"gmtModify":1633950950551,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126739854","repostId":"1160571601","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120633802,"gmtCreate":1624321015706,"gmtModify":1634007916329,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120633802","repostId":"1191349655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173211221,"gmtCreate":1626661830963,"gmtModify":1631885240692,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yayy","listText":"Yayy","text":"Yayy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173211221","repostId":"1131703652","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124161065,"gmtCreate":1624754073857,"gmtModify":1633949125853,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GME to zero!&nbsp;","listText":"GME to zero!&nbsp;","text":"GME to zero!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124161065","repostId":"2146009942","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146009942","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624753788,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2146009942?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>WallStreetBets正在消亡，WallStreetBets运动万岁</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146009942","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier ","content":"<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d405b1c6d77a8a133d45a970a1f21c\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>奥利维尔·杜利里/法新社，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如诗人约吉·贝拉曾经打趣的那样，“再也没有人去那里了——那里太拥挤了。”</blockquote></p><p> While Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.</p><p><blockquote>虽然贝拉在谈论20世纪60年代初一家受欢迎的佛罗里达餐厅，但他很容易在2021年夏天谈论WallStreeBets，因为许多使留言板成为金融现象的散户投资者现在正在放弃它，转而选择更新的子版块，称WallStreetBets已因主流金融对社交媒体对市场走势的力量的更好理解而受到损害。</blockquote></p><p> WallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a> and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.</p><p><blockquote>WallStreetBets在一月份以游戏驿站的身份成为家喻户晓的名字<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC院线<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>其他模因股票以疯狂的空头挤压的形式宣布了它们的到来，这让华尔街紧随其后，对冲基金也陷入了困境。</blockquote></p><p> The irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"</p><p><blockquote>留言板不敬和内幕的语气为用户提供了一个分享股票技巧的平台，并对他们认为操纵市场结构以使大银行和基金受益的不公平行为感到愤怒。它还催生了散户投资者独特的有伤风化的沟通方式，称对方为“猿”，鼓励对方用“钻石手”持有轧空股票，并渴望以鸡块或“鸡块”的形式交易利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Users also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.</p><p><blockquote>用户还开始以“DDs”或深度潜水的形式分享详细的投资论文，利用他们自己的分析来推广一个新的股票代码，供该运动参与。</blockquote></p><p> But since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>但自1月份以来，WallStreetBets的成功已成为一个沉重的负担，该委员会的版主因该委员会1060万用户中的许多人认为规则执行不一致而受到批评，而且越来越多的人认为版主在害怕激怒华尔街和监管机构时过于安全。</blockquote></p><p> There is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.</p><p><blockquote>还有广泛的猜测认为，WallStreetBets的规模和受欢迎程度使其容易受到不良行为者的影响，他们试图通过向旧的对话线程发送带有特定股票代码的帖子来创建拉高和转储计划，这些帖子看起来像是社交媒体对该股票产生了新的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> The shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>这一转变让人想起，在这款流行的交易应用程序在1月份轧空高峰期间冻结了游戏驿站和其他股票的活动后，散户投资者是如何转向Robinhood的。这一决定引发了对Robinhood的愤怒，许多散户在社交媒体上声称该应用程序与挤压另一方的对冲基金和做市商勾结。</blockquote></p><p> Like the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.</p><p><blockquote>与Robinhood的外流一样，WallStreetBets的分裂也导致散户投资者转向新平台和其他更专注于投资、期权和个股的子平台。它甚至让他们有机会创建自己的董事会，例如r/Superstonk，这是一个面向游戏驿站投资者的Reddit子网站，从3月份开始发布一系列反WallStreetBets帖子，目前已拥有485,000名会员。</blockquote></p><p> \"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> user posted on Superstonk this week.</p><p><blockquote>“WSB是Reddit的罗宾汉，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>用户本周在Superstonk上发帖。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>AMC和其他meme股票有自己越来越受欢迎的子Reddit，它们似乎是散户投资运动的下一次迭代，几乎没有失去动力的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> While the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然1月份的狂热已经消退，但金融咨询公司Betterment最近的一项调查表明，大多数散户投资者都致力于在可预见的未来进行交易，按理说，他们交易的演变将发生在更小、更集中的subreddits上，比如Superstonk。</blockquote></p><p> As that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.</p><p><blockquote>随着在线迁移的继续，Reddit集会的母舰WallStreetBets将会有一种空巢的感觉。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LOOKING FORWARD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>向前看</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国劳工部下周五发布了有关国会基础设施法案进展的好消息，本周美国股市再次攀升。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>WallStreetBets正在消亡，WallStreetBets运动万岁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>WallStreetBets正在消亡，WallStreetBets运动万岁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d405b1c6d77a8a133d45a970a1f21c\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>奥利维尔·杜利里/法新社，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如诗人约吉·贝拉曾经打趣的那样，“再也没有人去那里了——那里太拥挤了。”</blockquote></p><p> While Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.</p><p><blockquote>虽然贝拉在谈论20世纪60年代初一家受欢迎的佛罗里达餐厅，但他很容易在2021年夏天谈论WallStreeBets，因为许多使留言板成为金融现象的散户投资者现在正在放弃它，转而选择更新的子版块，称WallStreetBets已因主流金融对社交媒体对市场走势的力量的更好理解而受到损害。</blockquote></p><p> WallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a> and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.</p><p><blockquote>WallStreetBets在一月份以游戏驿站的身份成为家喻户晓的名字<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC院线<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>其他模因股票以疯狂的空头挤压的形式宣布了它们的到来，这让华尔街紧随其后，对冲基金也陷入了困境。</blockquote></p><p> The irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"</p><p><blockquote>留言板不敬和内幕的语气为用户提供了一个分享股票技巧的平台，并对他们认为操纵市场结构以使大银行和基金受益的不公平行为感到愤怒。它还催生了散户投资者独特的有伤风化的沟通方式，称对方为“猿”，鼓励对方用“钻石手”持有轧空股票，并渴望以鸡块或“鸡块”的形式交易利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Users also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.</p><p><blockquote>用户还开始以“DDs”或深度潜水的形式分享详细的投资论文，利用他们自己的分析来推广一个新的股票代码，供该运动参与。</blockquote></p><p> But since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>但自1月份以来，WallStreetBets的成功已成为一个沉重的负担，该委员会的版主因该委员会1060万用户中的许多人认为规则执行不一致而受到批评，而且越来越多的人认为版主在害怕激怒华尔街和监管机构时过于安全。</blockquote></p><p> There is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.</p><p><blockquote>还有广泛的猜测认为，WallStreetBets的规模和受欢迎程度使其容易受到不良行为者的影响，他们试图通过向旧的对话线程发送带有特定股票代码的帖子来创建拉高和转储计划，这些帖子看起来像是社交媒体对该股票产生了新的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> The shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>这一转变让人想起，在这款流行的交易应用程序在1月份轧空高峰期间冻结了游戏驿站和其他股票的活动后，散户投资者是如何转向Robinhood的。这一决定引发了对Robinhood的愤怒，许多散户在社交媒体上声称该应用程序与挤压另一方的对冲基金和做市商勾结。</blockquote></p><p> Like the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.</p><p><blockquote>与Robinhood的外流一样，WallStreetBets的分裂也导致散户投资者转向新平台和其他更专注于投资、期权和个股的子平台。它甚至让他们有机会创建自己的董事会，例如r/Superstonk，这是一个面向游戏驿站投资者的Reddit子网站，从3月份开始发布一系列反WallStreetBets帖子，目前已拥有485,000名会员。</blockquote></p><p> \"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> user posted on Superstonk this week.</p><p><blockquote>“WSB是Reddit的罗宾汉，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>用户本周在Superstonk上发帖。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>AMC和其他meme股票有自己越来越受欢迎的子Reddit，它们似乎是散户投资运动的下一次迭代，几乎没有失去动力的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> While the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然1月份的狂热已经消退，但金融咨询公司Betterment最近的一项调查表明，大多数散户投资者都致力于在可预见的未来进行交易，按理说，他们交易的演变将发生在更小、更集中的subreddits上，比如Superstonk。</blockquote></p><p> As that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.</p><p><blockquote>随着在线迁移的继续，Reddit集会的母舰WallStreetBets将会有一种空巢的感觉。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LOOKING FORWARD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>向前看</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国劳工部下周五发布了有关国会基础设施法案进展的好消息，本周美国股市再次攀升。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146009942","content_text":"Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images\nAs the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"\nWhile Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.\nWallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop $(GME)$, AMC Entertainment $(AMC)$ and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.\nThe irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"\nUsers also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.\nBut since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.\nThere is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.\nAmong Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nThe shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.\nLike the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.\n\"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" one user posted on Superstonk this week.\nAMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.\nWhile the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.\nAs that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.\nLOOKING FORWARD\nMeanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162545404,"gmtCreate":1624069434008,"gmtModify":1634011135174,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162545404","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123452459,"gmtCreate":1624436136771,"gmtModify":1634006165555,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123452459","repostId":"1117914294","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117914294","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624433925,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117914294?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 15:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Market Today With Jim Cramer: Nvidia 'Working on Remarkable Things'<blockquote>吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)今日股市：英伟达“正在做非凡的事情”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117914294","media":"The Street","summary":"Jim Cramer remains bullish on chipmaker Nvidia following Monday's selloff.\n\nStocks rose Tuesday as F","content":"<p>  <b>Jim Cramer remains bullish on chipmaker Nvidia following Monday's selloff.</b>  Stocks rose Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress the economy has shown \"sustained improvement\" but the recovery has accelerated inflation.</p><p><blockquote><b>继周一的抛售之后，吉姆·克莱默仍然看好芯片制造商英伟达。</b>周二股市上涨，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔告诉国会，经济已显示出“持续改善”，但复苏加速了通胀。</blockquote></p><p> \"Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen, and real GDP this year appears to be on track to post its fastest rate of increase in decades,” Powell said in written comments ahead of the House panel hearing.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在众议院小组听证会前的书面评论中表示：“经济活动和就业指标持续走强，今年的实际GDP似乎有望实现数十年来最快的增速。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia Story Much Bigger Than Ethereum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达的故事比以太币大得多</b></blockquote></p><p> Pegging Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;to Ethereum's drop during Monday's was foolish, TheStreet's Jim Cramer said on Tuesday from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. While Nvidia does have exposure to ethereum, the chipmaker is so much more than that, Cramer said.</p><p><blockquote>挂钩英伟达（<b>NVDA</b>)-《华尔街日报》的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)周二在纽约证券交易所表示，有关以太币周一下跌的报道是愚蠢的。克莱默表示，虽然英伟达确实涉足以太币，但这家芯片制造商远不止于此。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is high-performance computing, AI, machine learning and gaming andif it gets ARMthen its just the No. 1 dominant chip company in the world,\" Cramer said. \"Nvidia is working on remarkable things that people think only the Chinese are working on.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默说：“这是高性能计算、人工智能、机器学习和游戏，如果它获得ARM，那么它将成为世界上第一大主导芯片公司。”“英伟达正在做人们认为只有中国人在做的非凡事情。”</blockquote></p><p> Cramer was commenting ona bullish Raymond James notethat lifted Nvidia in trading Tuesday. The shares at last check were 2.1% higher at $752.20.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默对雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)的看涨报告发表了评论，该报告提振了英伟达周二的交易。上次检查时，该股上涨2.1%，至752.20美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jay Powell Should Be Cautious as Workforce Lags</b></p><p><blockquote><b>由于劳动力滞后，杰伊·鲍威尔应保持谨慎</b></blockquote></p><p> The 5 million workers missing from the pre-COVID employment pool would rather take unemployment benefits than return to the workforce, Jim Cramer said on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)周二表示，新冠疫情前就业人群中缺失的500万工人宁愿领取失业救济金，也不愿重返劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 10 million people who left the workforce since COVID-19, only half have returned. That leads Cramer to say that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is correct in erring on the side of caution and waiting to see where the economy heads before making any serious changes in monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>自新冠肺炎以来离开劳动力市场的1000万人中，只有一半回来了。这使得克莱默表示，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔错误地谨慎行事，在对货币政策做出任何重大改变之前等待经济走向，这是正确的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Market Today With Jim Cramer: Nvidia 'Working on Remarkable Things'<blockquote>吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)今日股市：英伟达“正在做非凡的事情”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Market Today With Jim Cramer: Nvidia 'Working on Remarkable Things'<blockquote>吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)今日股市：英伟达“正在做非凡的事情”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-23 15:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Jim Cramer remains bullish on chipmaker Nvidia following Monday's selloff.</b>  Stocks rose Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress the economy has shown \"sustained improvement\" but the recovery has accelerated inflation.</p><p><blockquote><b>继周一的抛售之后，吉姆·克莱默仍然看好芯片制造商英伟达。</b>周二股市上涨，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔告诉国会，经济已显示出“持续改善”，但复苏加速了通胀。</blockquote></p><p> \"Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen, and real GDP this year appears to be on track to post its fastest rate of increase in decades,” Powell said in written comments ahead of the House panel hearing.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在众议院小组听证会前的书面评论中表示：“经济活动和就业指标持续走强，今年的实际GDP似乎有望实现数十年来最快的增速。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia Story Much Bigger Than Ethereum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达的故事比以太币大得多</b></blockquote></p><p> Pegging Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;to Ethereum's drop during Monday's was foolish, TheStreet's Jim Cramer said on Tuesday from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. While Nvidia does have exposure to ethereum, the chipmaker is so much more than that, Cramer said.</p><p><blockquote>挂钩英伟达（<b>NVDA</b>)-《华尔街日报》的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)周二在纽约证券交易所表示，有关以太币周一下跌的报道是愚蠢的。克莱默表示，虽然英伟达确实涉足以太币，但这家芯片制造商远不止于此。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is high-performance computing, AI, machine learning and gaming andif it gets ARMthen its just the No. 1 dominant chip company in the world,\" Cramer said. \"Nvidia is working on remarkable things that people think only the Chinese are working on.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默说：“这是高性能计算、人工智能、机器学习和游戏，如果它获得ARM，那么它将成为世界上第一大主导芯片公司。”“英伟达正在做人们认为只有中国人在做的非凡事情。”</blockquote></p><p> Cramer was commenting ona bullish Raymond James notethat lifted Nvidia in trading Tuesday. The shares at last check were 2.1% higher at $752.20.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默对雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)的看涨报告发表了评论，该报告提振了英伟达周二的交易。上次检查时，该股上涨2.1%，至752.20美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jay Powell Should Be Cautious as Workforce Lags</b></p><p><blockquote><b>由于劳动力滞后，杰伊·鲍威尔应保持谨慎</b></blockquote></p><p> The 5 million workers missing from the pre-COVID employment pool would rather take unemployment benefits than return to the workforce, Jim Cramer said on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)周二表示，新冠疫情前就业人群中缺失的500万工人宁愿领取失业救济金，也不愿重返劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 10 million people who left the workforce since COVID-19, only half have returned. That leads Cramer to say that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is correct in erring on the side of caution and waiting to see where the economy heads before making any serious changes in monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>自新冠肺炎以来离开劳动力市场的1000万人中，只有一半回来了。这使得克莱默表示，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔错误地谨慎行事，在对货币政策做出任何重大改变之前等待经济走向，这是正确的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/stock-market-today-cramer-nvidia-unemployment\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/stock-market-today-cramer-nvidia-unemployment","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117914294","content_text":"Jim Cramer remains bullish on chipmaker Nvidia following Monday's selloff.\n\nStocks rose Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress the economy has shown \"sustained improvement\" but the recovery has accelerated inflation.\n\"Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen, and real GDP this year appears to be on track to post its fastest rate of increase in decades,” Powell said in written comments ahead of the House panel hearing.\nNvidia Story Much Bigger Than Ethereum\nPegging Nvidia (NVDA) -Get Report to Ethereum's drop during Monday's was foolish, TheStreet's Jim Cramer said on Tuesday from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. While Nvidia does have exposure to ethereum, the chipmaker is so much more than that, Cramer said.\n\"This is high-performance computing, AI, machine learning and gaming andif it gets ARMthen its just the No. 1 dominant chip company in the world,\" Cramer said. \"Nvidia is working on remarkable things that people think only the Chinese are working on.\"\nCramer was commenting ona bullish Raymond James notethat lifted Nvidia in trading Tuesday. The shares at last check were 2.1% higher at $752.20.\nJay Powell Should Be Cautious as Workforce Lags\nThe 5 million workers missing from the pre-COVID employment pool would rather take unemployment benefits than return to the workforce, Jim Cramer said on Tuesday.\nOf the 10 million people who left the workforce since COVID-19, only half have returned. That leads Cramer to say that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is correct in erring on the side of caution and waiting to see where the economy heads before making any serious changes in monetary policy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162810527,"gmtCreate":1624055710169,"gmtModify":1634023570073,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Booo","listText":"Booo","text":"Booo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162810527","repostId":"1175119628","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176723143,"gmtCreate":1626916939082,"gmtModify":1631885240654,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"TSLA!!!","listText":"TSLA!!!","text":"TSLA!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176723143","repostId":"1156050009","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156050009","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626915553,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156050009?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 08:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Texas Instruments Forecast Stokes Concern Over Chip Demand<blockquote>德州仪器预测引发对芯片需求的担忧</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156050009","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Texas Instruments Inc. gave a revenue forecast for the current period that disappoint","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Texas Instruments Inc. gave a revenue forecast for the current period that disappointed some investors, raising concerns that a jump in chip demand caused by the pandemic will be short-lived. The stock fell in extended trading.Sales will be $4.4 billion to $4.76 billion in the period ending in September, Texas Instruments said Wednesday in a statement. Profit will be $1.87 to $2.13 a share, the company said. On average, analysts predicted profit of $1.97 a share and sales of $4.59 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——德州仪器公司（Texas Instruments Inc.）给出的当期收入预测令一些投资者失望，引发了人们对疫情导致的芯片需求激增将是短暂的担忧。该股在盘后交易中下跌。德州仪器周三在一份声明中表示，截至9月份的销售额将为44亿至47.6亿美元。该公司表示，每股利润将为1.87美元至2.13美元。根据彭博汇编的数据，分析师平均预测每股利润为1.97美元，销售额为45.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Like other chipmakers, Texas Instruments has posted multiple quarters of double-digit percentage revenue growth, boosted by demand for a wide variety of devices that contain its tiny electronic components. The rapid run-up has caused speculation among analysts and investors that some of the orders reflect panic buying by customers who have grown anxious they won’t be able get enough supply. Such behavior in the past has caused crashes.</p><p><blockquote>与其他芯片制造商一样，德州仪器(Texas Instruments)在多个季度实现了两位数百分比的收入增长，这得益于对包含其微型电子元件的各种设备的需求。这种快速上涨引起了分析师和投资者的猜测，即一些订单反映了客户的恐慌性购买，他们越来越担心无法获得足够的供应。这种行为在过去曾导致过崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> The Dallas-based company has tens of thousands of products and more than 100,000 customers who make everything from phones to military hardware. That reach as the largest manufacturer of analog and embedded processing chips makes the company a bellwether for electronics demand. A large chunk of its products go into industrial machinery.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于达拉斯的公司拥有数万种产品和超过100,000名客户，生产从手机到军用硬件的各种产品。作为最大的模拟和嵌入式处理芯片制造商，该公司成为电子需求的领头羊。其产品的很大一部分用于工业机械。</blockquote></p><p> Texas Instruments’ management said the amount of in-house inventory fell to 111 days in the quarter, well short of the 130 to 190 days the company likes to have on hand. Lead times, the period between placing an order and delivery to customers, have stretched for an increasing number of products. Despite numerous questions on a conference call with analysts, management declined to say whether they think demand is peaking or whether growth at the current levels is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器管理层表示，本季度内部库存降至111天，远低于该公司希望手头库存的130至190天。对于越来越多的产品来说，交付周期（即下订单和交付给客户之间的时间）已经变得很长。尽管分析师在电话会议上提出了许多问题，但管理层拒绝透露他们是否认为需求正在见顶，或者当前水平的增长是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> “Our job isn’t to predict the future, it’s to prepare the company so we can handle anything and we’ve done that,” Chief Financial Officer Rafael Lizardi said in an interview. “Some would argue that this time it’s different, but that’s a dangerous argument.”</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官拉斐尔·利扎迪(Rafael Lizardi)在接受采访时表示：“我们的工作不是预测未来，而是让公司做好准备，以便我们能够处理任何事情，我们已经做到了。”“有些人会说这次有所不同，但这是一个危险的论点。”</blockquote></p><p> Lizardi emphasized that Texas Instruments’ high level of in-house manufacturing made the company more nimble in responding to the increase in demand. When competitors cut production last year, his company increased output and built inventory. Many chipmakers outsource large amounts of their manufacturing, and some have never owned a plant of their own. Texas Instruments has factories that provide about 80% of its own needs.</p><p><blockquote>Lizardi强调，德州仪器高水平的内部制造使公司在应对需求增长时更加灵活。当竞争对手去年减产时，他的公司增加了产量并建立了库存。许多芯片制造商将大量制造外包，有些从未拥有过自己的工厂。德州仪器拥有的工厂可以满足其自身约80%的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Texas Instruments shares have kept pace with the overall advances by chip stocks this year, gaining 18% to $194.24 at the close. The stock fell about 4.2% in extended trading after the results were announced.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器股价今年与芯片股的整体涨幅保持同步，收盘上涨18%，至194.24美元。业绩公布后，该股在盘后交易中下跌约4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In the second quarter, net income rose to $1.93 billion, or $2.05 per share, from $1.38 billion, or $1.48 a share, a year earlier. Revenue increased 41% to $4.58 billion. Analysts, on average, estimated $4.36 billion.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度净利润从去年同期的13.8亿美元（即每股1.48美元）增至19.3亿美元（即每股2.05美元）。收入增长41%至45.8亿美元。分析师平均估计为43.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month Texas Instruments said it’s buying a plant in Lehi, Utah, from Micron Technology Inc. for $900 million. The company is taking the lead in using relatively advanced plants for chips that have typically not required the kind of production necessary for Intel Corp.’s microprocessors or Micron’s computer memory. That’s giving Texas Instruments an advantage in cost and control of its own supply, the company has argued.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，德州仪器表示将以9亿美元的价格从美光科技公司手中收购犹他州利希的一家工厂。该公司正在率先使用相对先进的芯片工厂，这些工厂通常不需要英特尔公司的微处理器或美光的计算机内存所需的生产。该公司辩称，这使得德州仪器在成本和对自身供应的控制方面具有优势。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Texas Instruments Forecast Stokes Concern Over Chip Demand<blockquote>德州仪器预测引发对芯片需求的担忧</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTexas Instruments Forecast Stokes Concern Over Chip Demand<blockquote>德州仪器预测引发对芯片需求的担忧</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-22 08:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Texas Instruments Inc. gave a revenue forecast for the current period that disappointed some investors, raising concerns that a jump in chip demand caused by the pandemic will be short-lived. The stock fell in extended trading.Sales will be $4.4 billion to $4.76 billion in the period ending in September, Texas Instruments said Wednesday in a statement. Profit will be $1.87 to $2.13 a share, the company said. On average, analysts predicted profit of $1.97 a share and sales of $4.59 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——德州仪器公司（Texas Instruments Inc.）给出的当期收入预测令一些投资者失望，引发了人们对疫情导致的芯片需求激增将是短暂的担忧。该股在盘后交易中下跌。德州仪器周三在一份声明中表示，截至9月份的销售额将为44亿至47.6亿美元。该公司表示，每股利润将为1.87美元至2.13美元。根据彭博汇编的数据，分析师平均预测每股利润为1.97美元，销售额为45.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Like other chipmakers, Texas Instruments has posted multiple quarters of double-digit percentage revenue growth, boosted by demand for a wide variety of devices that contain its tiny electronic components. The rapid run-up has caused speculation among analysts and investors that some of the orders reflect panic buying by customers who have grown anxious they won’t be able get enough supply. Such behavior in the past has caused crashes.</p><p><blockquote>与其他芯片制造商一样，德州仪器(Texas Instruments)在多个季度实现了两位数百分比的收入增长，这得益于对包含其微型电子元件的各种设备的需求。这种快速上涨引起了分析师和投资者的猜测，即一些订单反映了客户的恐慌性购买，他们越来越担心无法获得足够的供应。这种行为在过去曾导致过崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> The Dallas-based company has tens of thousands of products and more than 100,000 customers who make everything from phones to military hardware. That reach as the largest manufacturer of analog and embedded processing chips makes the company a bellwether for electronics demand. A large chunk of its products go into industrial machinery.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于达拉斯的公司拥有数万种产品和超过100,000名客户，生产从手机到军用硬件的各种产品。作为最大的模拟和嵌入式处理芯片制造商，该公司成为电子需求的领头羊。其产品的很大一部分用于工业机械。</blockquote></p><p> Texas Instruments’ management said the amount of in-house inventory fell to 111 days in the quarter, well short of the 130 to 190 days the company likes to have on hand. Lead times, the period between placing an order and delivery to customers, have stretched for an increasing number of products. Despite numerous questions on a conference call with analysts, management declined to say whether they think demand is peaking or whether growth at the current levels is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器管理层表示，本季度内部库存降至111天，远低于该公司希望手头库存的130至190天。对于越来越多的产品来说，交付周期（即下订单和交付给客户之间的时间）已经变得很长。尽管分析师在电话会议上提出了许多问题，但管理层拒绝透露他们是否认为需求正在见顶，或者当前水平的增长是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> “Our job isn’t to predict the future, it’s to prepare the company so we can handle anything and we’ve done that,” Chief Financial Officer Rafael Lizardi said in an interview. “Some would argue that this time it’s different, but that’s a dangerous argument.”</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官拉斐尔·利扎迪(Rafael Lizardi)在接受采访时表示：“我们的工作不是预测未来，而是让公司做好准备，以便我们能够处理任何事情，我们已经做到了。”“有些人会说这次有所不同，但这是一个危险的论点。”</blockquote></p><p> Lizardi emphasized that Texas Instruments’ high level of in-house manufacturing made the company more nimble in responding to the increase in demand. When competitors cut production last year, his company increased output and built inventory. Many chipmakers outsource large amounts of their manufacturing, and some have never owned a plant of their own. Texas Instruments has factories that provide about 80% of its own needs.</p><p><blockquote>Lizardi强调，德州仪器高水平的内部制造使公司在应对需求增长时更加灵活。当竞争对手去年减产时，他的公司增加了产量并建立了库存。许多芯片制造商将大量制造外包，有些从未拥有过自己的工厂。德州仪器拥有的工厂可以满足其自身约80%的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Texas Instruments shares have kept pace with the overall advances by chip stocks this year, gaining 18% to $194.24 at the close. The stock fell about 4.2% in extended trading after the results were announced.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器股价今年与芯片股的整体涨幅保持同步，收盘上涨18%，至194.24美元。业绩公布后，该股在盘后交易中下跌约4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In the second quarter, net income rose to $1.93 billion, or $2.05 per share, from $1.38 billion, or $1.48 a share, a year earlier. Revenue increased 41% to $4.58 billion. Analysts, on average, estimated $4.36 billion.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度净利润从去年同期的13.8亿美元（即每股1.48美元）增至19.3亿美元（即每股2.05美元）。收入增长41%至45.8亿美元。分析师平均估计为43.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month Texas Instruments said it’s buying a plant in Lehi, Utah, from Micron Technology Inc. for $900 million. The company is taking the lead in using relatively advanced plants for chips that have typically not required the kind of production necessary for Intel Corp.’s microprocessors or Micron’s computer memory. That’s giving Texas Instruments an advantage in cost and control of its own supply, the company has argued.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，德州仪器表示将以9亿美元的价格从美光科技公司手中收购犹他州利希的一家工厂。该公司正在率先使用相对先进的芯片工厂，这些工厂通常不需要英特尔公司的微处理器或美光的计算机内存所需的生产。该公司辩称，这使得德州仪器在成本和对自身供应的控制方面具有优势。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/texas-instruments-sales-forecast-stirs-202527038.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TXN":"德州仪器"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/texas-instruments-sales-forecast-stirs-202527038.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156050009","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Texas Instruments Inc. gave a revenue forecast for the current period that disappointed some investors, raising concerns that a jump in chip demand caused by the pandemic will be short-lived. The stock fell in extended trading.Sales will be $4.4 billion to $4.76 billion in the period ending in September, Texas Instruments said Wednesday in a statement. Profit will be $1.87 to $2.13 a share, the company said. On average, analysts predicted profit of $1.97 a share and sales of $4.59 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.\nLike other chipmakers, Texas Instruments has posted multiple quarters of double-digit percentage revenue growth, boosted by demand for a wide variety of devices that contain its tiny electronic components. The rapid run-up has caused speculation among analysts and investors that some of the orders reflect panic buying by customers who have grown anxious they won’t be able get enough supply. Such behavior in the past has caused crashes.\nThe Dallas-based company has tens of thousands of products and more than 100,000 customers who make everything from phones to military hardware. That reach as the largest manufacturer of analog and embedded processing chips makes the company a bellwether for electronics demand. A large chunk of its products go into industrial machinery.\nTexas Instruments’ management said the amount of in-house inventory fell to 111 days in the quarter, well short of the 130 to 190 days the company likes to have on hand. Lead times, the period between placing an order and delivery to customers, have stretched for an increasing number of products. Despite numerous questions on a conference call with analysts, management declined to say whether they think demand is peaking or whether growth at the current levels is sustainable.\n“Our job isn’t to predict the future, it’s to prepare the company so we can handle anything and we’ve done that,” Chief Financial Officer Rafael Lizardi said in an interview. “Some would argue that this time it’s different, but that’s a dangerous argument.”\nLizardi emphasized that Texas Instruments’ high level of in-house manufacturing made the company more nimble in responding to the increase in demand. When competitors cut production last year, his company increased output and built inventory. Many chipmakers outsource large amounts of their manufacturing, and some have never owned a plant of their own. Texas Instruments has factories that provide about 80% of its own needs.\nTexas Instruments shares have kept pace with the overall advances by chip stocks this year, gaining 18% to $194.24 at the close. The stock fell about 4.2% in extended trading after the results were announced.\nIn the second quarter, net income rose to $1.93 billion, or $2.05 per share, from $1.38 billion, or $1.48 a share, a year earlier. Revenue increased 41% to $4.58 billion. Analysts, on average, estimated $4.36 billion.\nEarlier this month Texas Instruments said it’s buying a plant in Lehi, Utah, from Micron Technology Inc. for $900 million. The company is taking the lead in using relatively advanced plants for chips that have typically not required the kind of production necessary for Intel Corp.’s microprocessors or Micron’s computer memory. That’s giving Texas Instruments an advantage in cost and control of its own supply, the company has argued.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TXN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2719,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176552013,"gmtCreate":1626909498232,"gmtModify":1631885240667,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176552013","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148307127,"gmtCreate":1625925915369,"gmtModify":1631885240744,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148307127","repostId":"2150053623","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2150053623","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1625883910,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2150053623?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 10:25","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"A crazy week for U.S. stocks came with a change in the market narrative -- should investors believe it?<blockquote>美股疯狂的一周伴随着市场叙事的变化——投资者应该相信吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2150053623","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Investors must decide whether they believe stalling economic growth is a bigger threat than an infla","content":"<p>Investors must decide whether they believe stalling economic growth is a bigger threat than an inflation surge</p><p><blockquote>投资者必须决定他们是否认为经济增长停滞是比通胀飙升更大的威胁</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32ec205cf1616aaba5573cc40240a899\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Fears of runaway inflation have been swapped for worries about a rapid slowdown in global economic growth -- and that made for one very long, holiday-shortened week for U.S. investors -- but is this new narrative the right <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> ?</p><p><blockquote>对通货膨胀失控的担忧已经被对全球经济增长迅速放缓的担忧所取代——这使得美国投资者度过了一个漫长的假期——但这种新的说法正确吗<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>？</blockquote></p><p> A Treasury debt rally became a buying frenzy , sending long-term yields sharply lower. That took any remaining wind out of the sails of the so-called reflation trade, which had favored shares of more cyclically sensitive companies expected to benefit the most from rising prices and accelerating economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>国债反弹变成了买盘狂潮，导致长期收益率大幅走低。这使得所谓的通货再膨胀交易失去了任何剩余的动力，该交易青睐对周期性更敏感的公司的股票，预计这些公司将从价格上涨和经济增长加速中受益最多。</blockquote></p><p> What changed? There are three important elements to the shift in the market narrative, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments, which has $605 billion in assets under management.</p><p><blockquote>什么变了？管理着6050亿美元资产的纽约人寿投资公司(New York Life Investments)经济学家兼投资组合策略师劳伦·古德温(Lauren Goodwin)表示，市场叙事的转变有三个重要因素。</blockquote></p><p> The first is a perceived change in the way the Federal Reserve reacts to data, with investors no longer looking for policy makers to be as tolerant of economic overheating and rising inflation as previously thought, she said. The second is that while economic growth is expected to remain strong, the pace of growth is expected to have peaked . Third, there are worries the spread of the delta and other variants of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19 could force a renewed round of restrictions that will weigh on global economic activity.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，首先是美联储对数据的反应方式发生了明显的变化，投资者不再希望政策制定者像之前认为的那样容忍经济过热和通胀上升。二是虽然经济增长预计将保持强劲，但增长速度预计已经见顶。第三，人们担心导致新冠肺炎的三角洲和其他冠状病毒变种的传播可能会迫使新一轮限制，这将给全球经济活动带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"Together, that's a very different consensus market narrative than we had a few weeks ago, when the focus was all about stimulus and overheating,\" Goodwin said, in a phone interview, noting that investors must now ask: \"Is this new narrative the right one?\"</p><p><blockquote>古德温在接受电话采访时表示：“总的来说，这与几周前的市场共识叙事截然不同，当时的焦点都是刺激和过热。”他指出，投资者现在必须问：“这种新的叙事是正确的吗？”一个？”</blockquote></p><p> The real pain in the past week was in the Treasury market, where a rally drove long-term yields sharply lower and prices higher. Much of that rally was attributed to forced short covering by Treasury bears, who had feared inflation, creating something of a feeding frenzy, driving the 10-year yield to a five-month low below 1.25% on Thursday before finally relenting.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周真正的痛苦在于美国国债市场，该市场的反弹推动长期收益率大幅走低，价格走高。此次上涨很大程度上归因于美国国债空头被迫进行空头回补，他们担心通胀，造成了某种程度的买入狂潮，周四将10年期国债收益率推至1.25%以下的五个月低点，然后最终回落。</blockquote></p><p> But analysts said the move, at least in part, also reflected legitimate concerns over the global economic growth outlook .</p><p><blockquote>但分析师表示，此举至少在一定程度上也反映了对全球经济增长前景的合理担忧。</blockquote></p><p> That Thursday dive in yields, and accompanying growth fears, triggered a broad stock-market selloff that saw the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite retreat from all-time highs, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed more than 500 points at its session low. Stocks trimmed losses by the close and then pushed higher Friday, with all three major indexes finishing at records .</p><p><blockquote>周四收益率暴跌以及随之而来的增长担忧引发了股市大范围抛售，标普500和纳斯达克综合指数从历史高点回落，而道琼斯工业平均指数则在盘中低点下跌了500多点。周五股市收盘时收复跌幅，然后走高，三大股指均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> One casualty was the stock market reflation trade. The small-cap Russell 2000 index RUT (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CRUT;onlineSignificance=passing-mention) fell 1.1% for a second straight week of losses, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 saw a 0.4% weekly rise. Value stocks underperformed, with the Russell 1000 Value Index falling 0.3%, while the Russell 1000 Growth Index rose 1%.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个受害者是股市通货再膨胀交易。小盘股罗素2000指数RUT（#phrase-company？ref=company%7CRUT；onlineSignificance=passing-mention）连续第二周下跌1.1%，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数周上涨0.4%。价值股表现不佳，罗素1000价值指数下跌0.3%，罗素1000成长指数上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> \"The 'reflation' and 'rotation' trades -- associated with optimism about rapid, broad-based economic recovery from the pandemic and higher inflation -- has arguably been flagging since as long ago as the end of the first quarter, but clearly took another hit this week,\" said Oliver Jones, senior markets economist at research firm Capital Economics, in a Friday note.</p><p><blockquote>研究公司凯投宏观(Capital Economics)高级市场经济学家奥利弗·琼斯(Oliver Jones)在周五的一份报告中表示：“‘通货再膨胀’和‘轮换’交易——与对经济从大流行和通胀上升中快速、广泛复苏的乐观情绪相关——可以说早在第一季度末就一直在萎靡不振，但显然受到了打击。”</blockquote></p><p> Sectors, like energy and financials, and factors, such as value, that benefited most from the reflation/rotation narrative have underperformed, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>他指出，从通货再膨胀/轮动叙事中受益最多的能源和金融等行业以及价值等因素表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> Jones argued that it makes sense for optimism about the U.S. economic recovery to top out as supply constraints bite into activity. And global growth expectations may also see pressure, with China's economy likely to continue to disappoint.</p><p><blockquote>琼斯认为，随着供应限制影响经济活动，对美国经济复苏的乐观情绪达到顶峰是有道理的。全球增长预期也可能面临压力，中国经济可能继续令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the U.S. economy remains on track for a very strong recovery in absolute terms, far exceeding the one that followed the global financial crisis of 2008. And core inflation in the U.S. may prove somewhat more persistent than anticipated, he argued.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，从绝对值来看，美国经济仍有望实现非常强劲的复苏，远远超过2008年全球金融危机后的复苏。他认为，美国的核心通胀可能比预期更加持久。</blockquote></p><p> That sets the stage for a scenario in which \"the rotation/reflation trade label may become progressively less useful in the coming quarters,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，这为“轮换/通货再膨胀贸易标签在未来几个季度可能会逐渐变得不那么有用”的情况奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> In particular, parts of the trade, including rapid gains in most stock markets and outperformance by energy companies is likely over for now, he said, while the drop in Treasury yields is probably an \"overreaction\" given the path of growth and inflation in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，特别是部分交易，包括大多数股市的快速上涨和能源公司的优异表现，目前可能已经结束，而考虑到美国的增长和通胀路径，美国国债收益率的下降可能是“过度反应”。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will get a look at evidence on both the inflation and growth front in the coming week. The June consumer-price index is set for release Tuesday, while a producer-price reading is set for Wednesday. A raft of other economic data is due over the course of the week, including June retail sales figures on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在未来一周看到通胀和增长方面的证据。6月份消费者价格指数定于周二发布，生产者价格指数定于周三发布。本周将公布大量其他经济数据，包括周五公布的6月份零售销售数据。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> And then there's the start of the corporate earnings reporting season, which is expected to offer another peak as profits roared in the second quarter relative to the early days of the pandemic last year.</p><p><blockquote>然后是企业财报季的开始，预计将迎来另一个高峰，因为与去年大流行初期相比，第二季度的利润大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> \"With earnings season kicking off next week, the bar is set quite high and corporate America better produce another stellar quarter or there could be some disappointed bulls,\" said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, after Friday's record close.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial首席市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)在周五创纪录的收盘后表示：“随着下周财报季的开始，标准设定得相当高，美国企业界最好再创辉煌的季度，否则可能会出现一些失望的多头。”</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said the choice for investors boils down to either leaning into the old narrative that benefits cyclical stocks and shorter duration assets or the new one that expects economic growth to prove more sluggish and anemic, much as it was before the pandemic, favoring growth stocks and defensive sectors.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示，投资者的选择可以归结为要么倾向于有利于周期性股票和短期资产的旧说法，要么倾向于预计经济增长将更加低迷和乏力的新说法，就像大流行之前一样，有利于成长型股票和防御性股票部门。</blockquote></p><p> The best response, however, may be a little bit of both, Goodwin said.</p><p><blockquote>然而，古德温说，最好的反应可能是两者兼而有之。</blockquote></p><p> Reflation likely still has some room to run in the near term. Distribution of child tax credit payments will begin later this month, while labor shortages may be alleviated in coming months as children return to school and additional unemployment benefits expire, she said, while consumers are sitting on sizable savings.</p><p><blockquote>通货再膨胀在短期内可能仍有一定的运行空间。她表示，儿童税收抵免付款的分配将于本月晚些时候开始，而随着儿童重返校园和额外失业救济金到期，劳动力短缺可能会在未来几个月得到缓解，而消费者则坐拥可观的储蓄。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, growth and inflation are peaking, she said, and valuations are stretched across asset classes. While still maintaining a cyclical tilt, the changing backdrop calls for a more balanced approach to portfolios, she said.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，与此同时，增长和通胀正在见顶，各资产类别的估值都在扩大。她表示，虽然仍保持周期性倾斜，但不断变化的背景为采取更平衡的投资组合方法提供了评级。</blockquote></p><p> Investors need to look closely at sectors and individual companies that can leverage changing trends and pass rising prices on to consumers, she said, in a more selective environment rather than one in which a rising tide raises all boats.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，投资者需要在更具选择性的环境中，而不是水涨船高的环境中，密切关注能够利用不断变化的趋势并将价格上涨转嫁给消费者的行业和个别公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A crazy week for U.S. stocks came with a change in the market narrative -- should investors believe it?<blockquote>美股疯狂的一周伴随着市场叙事的变化——投资者应该相信吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA crazy week for U.S. stocks came with a change in the market narrative -- should investors believe it?<blockquote>美股疯狂的一周伴随着市场叙事的变化——投资者应该相信吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 10:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors must decide whether they believe stalling economic growth is a bigger threat than an inflation surge</p><p><blockquote>投资者必须决定他们是否认为经济增长停滞是比通胀飙升更大的威胁</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32ec205cf1616aaba5573cc40240a899\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Fears of runaway inflation have been swapped for worries about a rapid slowdown in global economic growth -- and that made for one very long, holiday-shortened week for U.S. investors -- but is this new narrative the right <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> ?</p><p><blockquote>对通货膨胀失控的担忧已经被对全球经济增长迅速放缓的担忧所取代——这使得美国投资者度过了一个漫长的假期——但这种新的说法正确吗<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>？</blockquote></p><p> A Treasury debt rally became a buying frenzy , sending long-term yields sharply lower. That took any remaining wind out of the sails of the so-called reflation trade, which had favored shares of more cyclically sensitive companies expected to benefit the most from rising prices and accelerating economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>国债反弹变成了买盘狂潮，导致长期收益率大幅走低。这使得所谓的通货再膨胀交易失去了任何剩余的动力，该交易青睐对周期性更敏感的公司的股票，预计这些公司将从价格上涨和经济增长加速中受益最多。</blockquote></p><p> What changed? There are three important elements to the shift in the market narrative, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments, which has $605 billion in assets under management.</p><p><blockquote>什么变了？管理着6050亿美元资产的纽约人寿投资公司(New York Life Investments)经济学家兼投资组合策略师劳伦·古德温(Lauren Goodwin)表示，市场叙事的转变有三个重要因素。</blockquote></p><p> The first is a perceived change in the way the Federal Reserve reacts to data, with investors no longer looking for policy makers to be as tolerant of economic overheating and rising inflation as previously thought, she said. The second is that while economic growth is expected to remain strong, the pace of growth is expected to have peaked . Third, there are worries the spread of the delta and other variants of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19 could force a renewed round of restrictions that will weigh on global economic activity.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，首先是美联储对数据的反应方式发生了明显的变化，投资者不再希望政策制定者像之前认为的那样容忍经济过热和通胀上升。二是虽然经济增长预计将保持强劲，但增长速度预计已经见顶。第三，人们担心导致新冠肺炎的三角洲和其他冠状病毒变种的传播可能会迫使新一轮限制，这将给全球经济活动带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"Together, that's a very different consensus market narrative than we had a few weeks ago, when the focus was all about stimulus and overheating,\" Goodwin said, in a phone interview, noting that investors must now ask: \"Is this new narrative the right one?\"</p><p><blockquote>古德温在接受电话采访时表示：“总的来说，这与几周前的市场共识叙事截然不同，当时的焦点都是刺激和过热。”他指出，投资者现在必须问：“这种新的叙事是正确的吗？”一个？”</blockquote></p><p> The real pain in the past week was in the Treasury market, where a rally drove long-term yields sharply lower and prices higher. Much of that rally was attributed to forced short covering by Treasury bears, who had feared inflation, creating something of a feeding frenzy, driving the 10-year yield to a five-month low below 1.25% on Thursday before finally relenting.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周真正的痛苦在于美国国债市场，该市场的反弹推动长期收益率大幅走低，价格走高。此次上涨很大程度上归因于美国国债空头被迫进行空头回补，他们担心通胀，造成了某种程度的买入狂潮，周四将10年期国债收益率推至1.25%以下的五个月低点，然后最终回落。</blockquote></p><p> But analysts said the move, at least in part, also reflected legitimate concerns over the global economic growth outlook .</p><p><blockquote>但分析师表示，此举至少在一定程度上也反映了对全球经济增长前景的合理担忧。</blockquote></p><p> That Thursday dive in yields, and accompanying growth fears, triggered a broad stock-market selloff that saw the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite retreat from all-time highs, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed more than 500 points at its session low. Stocks trimmed losses by the close and then pushed higher Friday, with all three major indexes finishing at records .</p><p><blockquote>周四收益率暴跌以及随之而来的增长担忧引发了股市大范围抛售，标普500和纳斯达克综合指数从历史高点回落，而道琼斯工业平均指数则在盘中低点下跌了500多点。周五股市收盘时收复跌幅，然后走高，三大股指均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> One casualty was the stock market reflation trade. The small-cap Russell 2000 index RUT (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CRUT;onlineSignificance=passing-mention) fell 1.1% for a second straight week of losses, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 saw a 0.4% weekly rise. Value stocks underperformed, with the Russell 1000 Value Index falling 0.3%, while the Russell 1000 Growth Index rose 1%.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个受害者是股市通货再膨胀交易。小盘股罗素2000指数RUT（#phrase-company？ref=company%7CRUT；onlineSignificance=passing-mention）连续第二周下跌1.1%，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数周上涨0.4%。价值股表现不佳，罗素1000价值指数下跌0.3%，罗素1000成长指数上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> \"The 'reflation' and 'rotation' trades -- associated with optimism about rapid, broad-based economic recovery from the pandemic and higher inflation -- has arguably been flagging since as long ago as the end of the first quarter, but clearly took another hit this week,\" said Oliver Jones, senior markets economist at research firm Capital Economics, in a Friday note.</p><p><blockquote>研究公司凯投宏观(Capital Economics)高级市场经济学家奥利弗·琼斯(Oliver Jones)在周五的一份报告中表示：“‘通货再膨胀’和‘轮换’交易——与对经济从大流行和通胀上升中快速、广泛复苏的乐观情绪相关——可以说早在第一季度末就一直在萎靡不振，但显然受到了打击。”</blockquote></p><p> Sectors, like energy and financials, and factors, such as value, that benefited most from the reflation/rotation narrative have underperformed, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>他指出，从通货再膨胀/轮动叙事中受益最多的能源和金融等行业以及价值等因素表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> Jones argued that it makes sense for optimism about the U.S. economic recovery to top out as supply constraints bite into activity. And global growth expectations may also see pressure, with China's economy likely to continue to disappoint.</p><p><blockquote>琼斯认为，随着供应限制影响经济活动，对美国经济复苏的乐观情绪达到顶峰是有道理的。全球增长预期也可能面临压力，中国经济可能继续令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the U.S. economy remains on track for a very strong recovery in absolute terms, far exceeding the one that followed the global financial crisis of 2008. And core inflation in the U.S. may prove somewhat more persistent than anticipated, he argued.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，从绝对值来看，美国经济仍有望实现非常强劲的复苏，远远超过2008年全球金融危机后的复苏。他认为，美国的核心通胀可能比预期更加持久。</blockquote></p><p> That sets the stage for a scenario in which \"the rotation/reflation trade label may become progressively less useful in the coming quarters,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，这为“轮换/通货再膨胀贸易标签在未来几个季度可能会逐渐变得不那么有用”的情况奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> In particular, parts of the trade, including rapid gains in most stock markets and outperformance by energy companies is likely over for now, he said, while the drop in Treasury yields is probably an \"overreaction\" given the path of growth and inflation in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，特别是部分交易，包括大多数股市的快速上涨和能源公司的优异表现，目前可能已经结束，而考虑到美国的增长和通胀路径，美国国债收益率的下降可能是“过度反应”。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will get a look at evidence on both the inflation and growth front in the coming week. The June consumer-price index is set for release Tuesday, while a producer-price reading is set for Wednesday. A raft of other economic data is due over the course of the week, including June retail sales figures on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在未来一周看到通胀和增长方面的证据。6月份消费者价格指数定于周二发布，生产者价格指数定于周三发布。本周将公布大量其他经济数据，包括周五公布的6月份零售销售数据。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> And then there's the start of the corporate earnings reporting season, which is expected to offer another peak as profits roared in the second quarter relative to the early days of the pandemic last year.</p><p><blockquote>然后是企业财报季的开始，预计将迎来另一个高峰，因为与去年大流行初期相比，第二季度的利润大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> \"With earnings season kicking off next week, the bar is set quite high and corporate America better produce another stellar quarter or there could be some disappointed bulls,\" said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, after Friday's record close.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial首席市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)在周五创纪录的收盘后表示：“随着下周财报季的开始，标准设定得相当高，美国企业界最好再创辉煌的季度，否则可能会出现一些失望的多头。”</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said the choice for investors boils down to either leaning into the old narrative that benefits cyclical stocks and shorter duration assets or the new one that expects economic growth to prove more sluggish and anemic, much as it was before the pandemic, favoring growth stocks and defensive sectors.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示，投资者的选择可以归结为要么倾向于有利于周期性股票和短期资产的旧说法，要么倾向于预计经济增长将更加低迷和乏力的新说法，就像大流行之前一样，有利于成长型股票和防御性股票部门。</blockquote></p><p> The best response, however, may be a little bit of both, Goodwin said.</p><p><blockquote>然而，古德温说，最好的反应可能是两者兼而有之。</blockquote></p><p> Reflation likely still has some room to run in the near term. Distribution of child tax credit payments will begin later this month, while labor shortages may be alleviated in coming months as children return to school and additional unemployment benefits expire, she said, while consumers are sitting on sizable savings.</p><p><blockquote>通货再膨胀在短期内可能仍有一定的运行空间。她表示，儿童税收抵免付款的分配将于本月晚些时候开始，而随着儿童重返校园和额外失业救济金到期，劳动力短缺可能会在未来几个月得到缓解，而消费者则坐拥可观的储蓄。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, growth and inflation are peaking, she said, and valuations are stretched across asset classes. While still maintaining a cyclical tilt, the changing backdrop calls for a more balanced approach to portfolios, she said.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，与此同时，增长和通胀正在见顶，各资产类别的估值都在扩大。她表示，虽然仍保持周期性倾斜，但不断变化的背景为采取更平衡的投资组合方法提供了评级。</blockquote></p><p> Investors need to look closely at sectors and individual companies that can leverage changing trends and pass rising prices on to consumers, she said, in a more selective environment rather than one in which a rising tide raises all boats.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，投资者需要在更具选择性的环境中，而不是水涨船高的环境中，密切关注能够利用不断变化的趋势并将价格上涨转嫁给消费者的行业和个别公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-crazy-week-for-u-s-stocks-came-with-a-change-in-the-market-narrative-should-investors-believe-it-11625865324?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-crazy-week-for-u-s-stocks-came-with-a-change-in-the-market-narrative-should-investors-believe-it-11625865324?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2150053623","content_text":"Investors must decide whether they believe stalling economic growth is a bigger threat than an inflation surge\n\nFears of runaway inflation have been swapped for worries about a rapid slowdown in global economic growth -- and that made for one very long, holiday-shortened week for U.S. investors -- but is this new narrative the right one ?\nA Treasury debt rally became a buying frenzy , sending long-term yields sharply lower. That took any remaining wind out of the sails of the so-called reflation trade, which had favored shares of more cyclically sensitive companies expected to benefit the most from rising prices and accelerating economic growth.\nWhat changed? There are three important elements to the shift in the market narrative, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments, which has $605 billion in assets under management.\nThe first is a perceived change in the way the Federal Reserve reacts to data, with investors no longer looking for policy makers to be as tolerant of economic overheating and rising inflation as previously thought, she said. The second is that while economic growth is expected to remain strong, the pace of growth is expected to have peaked . Third, there are worries the spread of the delta and other variants of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19 could force a renewed round of restrictions that will weigh on global economic activity.\n\"Together, that's a very different consensus market narrative than we had a few weeks ago, when the focus was all about stimulus and overheating,\" Goodwin said, in a phone interview, noting that investors must now ask: \"Is this new narrative the right one?\"\nThe real pain in the past week was in the Treasury market, where a rally drove long-term yields sharply lower and prices higher. Much of that rally was attributed to forced short covering by Treasury bears, who had feared inflation, creating something of a feeding frenzy, driving the 10-year yield to a five-month low below 1.25% on Thursday before finally relenting.\nBut analysts said the move, at least in part, also reflected legitimate concerns over the global economic growth outlook .\nThat Thursday dive in yields, and accompanying growth fears, triggered a broad stock-market selloff that saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite retreat from all-time highs, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed more than 500 points at its session low. Stocks trimmed losses by the close and then pushed higher Friday, with all three major indexes finishing at records .\nOne casualty was the stock market reflation trade. The small-cap Russell 2000 index RUT (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CRUT;onlineSignificance=passing-mention) fell 1.1% for a second straight week of losses, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 saw a 0.4% weekly rise. Value stocks underperformed, with the Russell 1000 Value Index falling 0.3%, while the Russell 1000 Growth Index rose 1%.\n\"The 'reflation' and 'rotation' trades -- associated with optimism about rapid, broad-based economic recovery from the pandemic and higher inflation -- has arguably been flagging since as long ago as the end of the first quarter, but clearly took another hit this week,\" said Oliver Jones, senior markets economist at research firm Capital Economics, in a Friday note.\nSectors, like energy and financials, and factors, such as value, that benefited most from the reflation/rotation narrative have underperformed, he noted.\nJones argued that it makes sense for optimism about the U.S. economic recovery to top out as supply constraints bite into activity. And global growth expectations may also see pressure, with China's economy likely to continue to disappoint.\nAt the same time, the U.S. economy remains on track for a very strong recovery in absolute terms, far exceeding the one that followed the global financial crisis of 2008. And core inflation in the U.S. may prove somewhat more persistent than anticipated, he argued.\nThat sets the stage for a scenario in which \"the rotation/reflation trade label may become progressively less useful in the coming quarters,\" he said.\nIn particular, parts of the trade, including rapid gains in most stock markets and outperformance by energy companies is likely over for now, he said, while the drop in Treasury yields is probably an \"overreaction\" given the path of growth and inflation in the U.S.\nInvestors will get a look at evidence on both the inflation and growth front in the coming week. The June consumer-price index is set for release Tuesday, while a producer-price reading is set for Wednesday. A raft of other economic data is due over the course of the week, including June retail sales figures on Friday.\nAnd then there's the start of the corporate earnings reporting season, which is expected to offer another peak as profits roared in the second quarter relative to the early days of the pandemic last year.\n\"With earnings season kicking off next week, the bar is set quite high and corporate America better produce another stellar quarter or there could be some disappointed bulls,\" said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, after Friday's record close.\nGoodwin said the choice for investors boils down to either leaning into the old narrative that benefits cyclical stocks and shorter duration assets or the new one that expects economic growth to prove more sluggish and anemic, much as it was before the pandemic, favoring growth stocks and defensive sectors.\nThe best response, however, may be a little bit of both, Goodwin said.\nReflation likely still has some room to run in the near term. Distribution of child tax credit payments will begin later this month, while labor shortages may be alleviated in coming months as children return to school and additional unemployment benefits expire, she said, while consumers are sitting on sizable savings.\nAt the same time, growth and inflation are peaking, she said, and valuations are stretched across asset classes. While still maintaining a cyclical tilt, the changing backdrop calls for a more balanced approach to portfolios, she said.\nInvestors need to look closely at sectors and individual companies that can leverage changing trends and pass rising prices on to consumers, she said, in a more selective environment rather than one in which a rising tide raises all boats.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127402278,"gmtCreate":1624860332194,"gmtModify":1631885240746,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Useless Chinese company. Go TSLA!!!","listText":"Useless Chinese company. Go TSLA!!!","text":"Useless Chinese company. Go TSLA!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127402278","repostId":"1159433692","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159433692","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624859723,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159433692?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-28 13:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Opens Another 5 Battery Swap Stations In China As Part of Aggressive Expansion Strategy<blockquote>作为积极扩张战略的一部分，蔚来在华再开设5座电池交换站</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159433692","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Nio Inc. has opened five new battery swap stations in China as the Chinese electric vehicle maker em","content":"<p><div> Nio Inc. has opened five new battery swap stations in China as the Chinese electric vehicle maker embarks on an aggressive expansion strategy, cnEVpostreportedSunday. What Happened: Nio now has a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>据CNEVPost周日报道，蔚来在中国开设了五个新的电池交换站，这家中国电动汽车制造商开始了积极的扩张战略。发生了什么：蔚来现在有一个...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Opens Another 5 Battery Swap Stations In China As Part of Aggressive Expansion Strategy<blockquote>作为积极扩张战略的一部分，蔚来在华再开设5座电池交换站</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Opens Another 5 Battery Swap Stations In China As Part of Aggressive Expansion Strategy<blockquote>作为积极扩张战略的一部分，蔚来在华再开设5座电池交换站</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 13:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Nio Inc. has opened five new battery swap stations in China as the Chinese electric vehicle maker embarks on an aggressive expansion strategy, cnEVpostreportedSunday. What Happened: Nio now has a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>据CNEVPost周日报道，蔚来在中国开设了五个新的电池交换站，这家中国电动汽车制造商开始了积极的扩张战略。发生了什么：蔚来现在有一个...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21737645/nio-opens-another-5-battery-swap-stations-in-china-as-part-of-aggressive-expansion-strategy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159433692","content_text":"Nio Inc. has opened five new battery swap stations in China as the Chinese electric vehicle maker embarks on an aggressive expansion strategy, cnEVpostreportedSunday.\nWhat Happened: Nio now has a total of 282 battery swap stations in China, as per the report.\nIn addition, the company currently has 194 supercharging stations, 371 destination charging stations and access to more than 380,000 third-party charging piles in China, the report added.\nWhy It Matters:Seen as a Tesla Inc. rival, Nio has pioneered the concept ofbattery-as-a-servicethat would allow users to rent a battery instead of purchasing one, helping to trim the cost for EV owners.\nNio’s second-generation battery swap station,unveiledin January this year, can accommodate 13 batteries and has a daily capacity of up to 312 swaps. Battery-swapping provides the advantage of saving time as opposed to charging.\nNio aims to have 500 battery swap stations in operation nationwide by the end of this year. Several government departments and Chinese cities have supported the construction of battery swap infrastructure.\nHowever, Ark Invest analyst Sam Korus said in a note in May thatgovernment support in the form of subsidieswill harm Nio's global ambitions in the long run. The economics associated with battery swapping will lead to design constraints and shortened battery lives, according to the analyst.\nPrice Action: Nio shares closed almost 0.9% lower in Friday’s trading session at $45.07.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176721278,"gmtCreate":1626916971894,"gmtModify":1631885240643,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"TSLA!!!","listText":"TSLA!!!","text":"TSLA!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176721278","repostId":"2153649464","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148897954,"gmtCreate":1625965592878,"gmtModify":1631885240714,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148897954","repostId":"1145284684","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145284684","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625878443,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145284684?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 08:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票：哪个更值得购买？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145284684","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, man","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.</li>  <li>TSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.</li>  <li>TSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.</li>  <li>40% of revenues are from nodes &lt;14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d80e662ebb3b78dd0445ecc891cf8986\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电是全球最大的为无晶圆厂半导体公司制造IC的代工厂，使用281种不同的技术为510个不同的客户制造11,617种不同的产品。</li><li>台积电和台湾代工厂联合微电子公司预计将从对汽车制造商产生不利影响的芯片供应危机中受益。</li><li>台积电受益于近两倍于联电的毛利率。</li><li>40%的收入来自&lt;14nm的节点，低于联电最小的节点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股份有限公司或台积电(TSM)和联华电子公司或联电(UMC)的总部均位于台湾，均以合同方式为公司制造半导体。它们都提供高质量的IC制造服务，专注于逻辑和各种专业技术，为电子行业的所有主要部门提供服务，并被定义为纯粹的代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> While they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.</p><p><blockquote>虽然它们有相似之处，但这两家公司在不同的商业模式上有很大不同。台积电最初是一家领先的公司，并一直是一家以最小尺寸制造芯片的公司。另一方面，台湾第一家半导体公司联电选择了14纳米节点作为其制造的最小尺寸。</blockquote></p><p> To illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the &lt;14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>为了说明模型的差异，图1显示了两家公司基于技术节点的收入。关键区别在于&lt;14纳米节点，台积电占其收入的41.4%，而联电为0%。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.</p><p><blockquote>图1还显示，台积电2020年的收入为430亿美元，而联电为60亿美元。重要的是，这也显示了台积电的财务主导地位，因为联电在全球晶圆代工市场排名第二。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3b088585f8a624c6665040756e940f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Much of TSMC’s revenues are on the &lt;14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的大部分收入来自&lt;14纳米节点，占收入的比例从2019年的29.4%增加到2020年的41.4%。由于联电最小的节点是28nm/14nm，联电在该节点上投入巨资，营收占比从2019年的11.3%增加到2020年的13.6%。相比之下，2020年台积电在28纳米/14纳米节点的份额从2019年的37.7%下降到30.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expanding Capacity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扩大产能</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Leading Edge Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前沿节点</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>台积电约1/3的收入来自28纳米/14纳米，台积电8英寸产能为562,000片/月，12英寸产能为745,000片/月。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。</blockquote></p><p> In TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:</p><p><blockquote>在台积电2021年第一季度盈利看涨期权中，台积电副总裁兼首席财务官Wendell Huang指出：</blockquote></p><p>   “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.”  TSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&amp;D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“为了满足未来几年对我们先进和专业技术不断增长的需求，我们决定将2021年全年资本支出提高至300亿美元左右。2021年资本预算的约80%将分配给先进工艺技术，包括3纳米、5纳米和7纳米。大约10%将用于先进包装和口罩制造，大约10%将用于专业技术。”台积电预计未来3年将投资约1000亿美元来提高产能，以支持前沿和专业技术的制造和研发。其N5已进入量产的第二年，在2021年贡献了我们约20%的晶圆收入。N4风险生产目标为今年下半年，2022年量产。</blockquote></p><p> Among TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's&nbsp;fab in Arizona&nbsp;as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>台积电将在未来三到四年内上线的设施包括该公司位于亚利桑那州的晶圆厂以及位于台湾的第一家2纳米晶圆厂。该公司需要在亚利桑那州建造和装备其支持N5的工厂。该设施将耗资约120亿美元，每月产能为20,000片晶圆启动(WSPM)，并将于2024年上线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>28nm Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>28nm节点</b></blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺是促使代工制造商建造新晶圆厂的催化剂之一，特别是在28纳米节点，因为许多汽车芯片都是在该节点制造的。虽然我已经发表了四篇Seeking Alpha文章来试图确定哪些设备供应不足并且只能找到微控制器，但在这篇文章中，为了便于讨论，我将承认这不是由于囤积，而是由于无能的制造供应链。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.</p><p><blockquote>因此，各国政府在该行业投入巨资，以扩大总产能。这些免费讲义是新28纳米节点晶圆厂建设的第二个催化剂。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>消费电子行业对晶圆的强劲需求导致联电28纳米晶圆出货量增加，上一季度营收环比增长18%。此外，联电一直专注于汽车行业的生产，因为电动和自动驾驶汽车的半导体预计将成为该公司的主要增长动力。然而，全球汽车半导体仅是一个400亿美元的市场，而全球半导体市场规模为5250亿美元。随着每年每辆车使用更多的半导体，以及电动汽车比内燃机汽车使用更多的半导体，这一数字还在增长。</blockquote></p><p> There is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.</p><p><blockquote>成熟节点存在供需失衡，因为大部分产能扩张都在高级节点，但公司没有解决成熟节点。该技术节点是最新汽车芯片危机的核心，同时索尼已将其用于智能手机的CMOS集成传感器（“CIS”）设计转移到28纳米。</blockquote></p><p> On April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>4月22日，台积电宣布在中国建设芯片制造工厂的计划遭到了批评者的反对。该工厂将生产基于成熟的28纳米工艺节点的半导体。南京工厂目前的装机容量为每月2万片晶圆。投资28亿美元，预计2023年量产，此次扩建将使产能翻一番，达到每月40,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.</p><p><blockquote>台积电在全球拥有56.2万片/月的8英寸产能和74.5万片/月的12英寸产能。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。新晶圆厂每月产能为20,000片晶圆，仅占公司总产能的2%。</blockquote></p><p> UMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>联电还在台湾南科12英寸晶圆厂12A P6工厂扩大了28纳米（迁移到40纳米）工艺的生产。目前每月产能为87,000片晶圆。扩能计划总投资预估约1000亿元新台币。P6扩建计划于2023年第二季度投产，每月产能仅为10,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> The P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.</p><p><blockquote>P6计划得到了UMC和相关客户之间多年产品一致性的支持，其中包括负载保护机制，可确保P6容量保持在健康的负载水平。</blockquote></p><p> UMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>联电共有12家晶圆厂在生产，总产能接近每月80万片晶圆（相当于8英寸）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Per Wafer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每片晶圆的价格</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.</p><p><blockquote>图2显示了IC设备按节点划分的毛利润。它部分解释了台积电转向先进节点的商业模式背后的基本原理，同时也解释了为什么该公司选择让其28纳米节点供应不足，直到最近外部力量促使其建立中国晶圆厂。</blockquote></p><p> Gross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.</p><p><blockquote>28纳米节点每300毫米晶圆的毛利润为2,835美元，而3纳米节点为8,695美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e241c85dd84eb71f54c3b11812e6599\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.</p><p><blockquote>图3显示了IC按节点划分的资本支出。28纳米的资本支出（建筑+设备）为每块晶圆100,000美元，而3纳米的资本支出增加了两倍多，达到320,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f8f60218f2b914e5847e2eef8aa39c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 3</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表3</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Base</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.</p><p><blockquote>图表4显示，苹果（AAPL）是2020年台积电最大的客户，占收入的21%。请记住，除了台积电的处理器用于iPhone之外，台积电还制造M1，为新款MacBook Air、13英寸MacBook Pro和Mac mini提供动力，并且是苹果首款为Mac定制设计的基于Arm的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354a97772e16c2a05dbccc89556de9eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Chart 4</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表4</span></p></blockquote></p><p> TSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.</p><p><blockquote>自2014年9月9日推出的苹果iPhone 6和iPhone 6 Plus安装以来，台积电已无数次升级其制造能力，以使苹果的最新芯片保持在处理器技术的前沿。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>图表5显示，晶体管数量从iPhone 6的20亿个增加到现在的iPhone 12的118亿个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ef270fe60691ec5bc8c7f0a061d9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 5</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表5</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, investors must consider that:</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者必须考虑：</blockquote></p><p> Any positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的任何积极发展都将对台积电产生积极影响，台积电的积极技术发展也将对苹果产生积极影响。例如，只要台积电是苹果芯片的主要制造商，苹果的增长或苹果开发的需要芯片的新技术（如汽车或ADAS），那么台积电就会受益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Secondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.</p><p><blockquote>其次，由于产能限制和技术节点需求，台积电的任何产能扩张都将有利于苹果，因为它转向更小的节点，同时消耗台积电约25%的芯片产量。</blockquote></p><p> UMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.</p><p><blockquote>UMC透明度较低，不提供客户细分。联电的主要客户包括顶级集成设备制造商，如德州仪器（纳斯达克：TXN）和英特尔移动（纳斯达克：INTC），以及领先的无晶圆厂设计公司，如联发科（OTCPK：MDTKF）、瑞昱、高通（纳斯达克：QCOM）和联咏。</blockquote></p><p> In August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.</p><p><blockquote>2018年8月，联电宣布将暂停推进10nm节点以下芯片生产技术的研究。如上图所示，自2018年起，公司先进制程的相应占比已降至零，但对于65nm、28nm等成熟节点，占比有所提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaways</b>: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?</p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b>：TSM或UMC股票更值得购买？</blockquote></p><p> Both companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在同一行业竞争，但他们的商业模式是一个差异化的指标。台积电的大部分收入来自比联电更小的节点（图1），其大部分计划资本支出将集中在制造集成电路的新晶圆厂上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电利好</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，台积电在纯晶圆代工市场的份额为57%，高于2019年的55%。联电的份额稳定在略低于8%。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.</p><p><blockquote>台积电受益于较小的节点。尽管资本支出随着节点的减少而增加（图3），但毛利润也会增加（图2）。因此，TSM的收入高于UMC：$48.2 B vs$62.83亿B。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电的年收益(EBITDA)也更高：$33B，而联电为$23.49 B。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电（$613B）的市值高于联电（$234亿）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电手头现金更多：$23.3 B vs UMC（$37.6 B）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电的每股收益（3.99）高于联电（0.59）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Seeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha的量化评级是通过根据价值、增长、盈利能力、动量和分析师的盈利修正来衡量股票与该行业其他股票的财务指标而得出的。在表1中，两只股票的排名都很高。台积电的量化评级为4.63，联电的量化评级为4.54。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55db72bd38ddd1d46c2ec7a6ccf6307f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"117\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Gross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.</p><p><blockquote>台积电和联电的毛利率如表2所示。对台积电来说，这是一个利好，毛利率大幅领先于联电和所有代工厂的平均水平。华尔街预计，鉴于更高的收入规模、晶圆代工供应紧张以及5nm生产效率的提高，2021年第三季度的毛利率将改善至52.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab6dce4d14398755080d9db48522121\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>UMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联电正面</b></blockquote></p><p> The comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:</p><p><blockquote>与其他财务指标相比，联电的财务状况更强劲：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>UMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>联电的市盈率低于台积电：21.8 vs 28.9</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC的债务低于TSM：$2.47 B vs$15.4 B。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC年初至今涨幅较高：10.558 vs.TSM(8.922)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Table 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.</p><p><blockquote>表3显示了TSM和UMC的股票增长百分比。过去一年，联电股票的表现优于台积电，在3年和5年期间也是如此。但在10年的时间里，台积电是更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7533369f256853d498f5492752417e05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"172\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> TSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the &lt;7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>台积电显然是未来联电的赢家。该公司选择了在&lt;7纳米节点构建芯片的策略。事实上，它正在中国建造一座28纳米晶圆厂，这是联电的“最佳地点”，再加上一座新的28纳米中芯国际（OTCQX：SMICY）晶圆厂，这将意味着联电在这个节点失去市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票：哪个更值得购买？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票：哪个更值得购买？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 08:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.</li>  <li>TSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.</li>  <li>TSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.</li>  <li>40% of revenues are from nodes &lt;14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d80e662ebb3b78dd0445ecc891cf8986\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电是全球最大的为无晶圆厂半导体公司制造IC的代工厂，使用281种不同的技术为510个不同的客户制造11,617种不同的产品。</li><li>台积电和台湾代工厂联合微电子公司预计将从对汽车制造商产生不利影响的芯片供应危机中受益。</li><li>台积电受益于近两倍于联电的毛利率。</li><li>40%的收入来自&lt;14nm的节点，低于联电最小的节点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股份有限公司或台积电(TSM)和联华电子公司或联电(UMC)的总部均位于台湾，均以合同方式为公司制造半导体。它们都提供高质量的IC制造服务，专注于逻辑和各种专业技术，为电子行业的所有主要部门提供服务，并被定义为纯粹的代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> While they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.</p><p><blockquote>虽然它们有相似之处，但这两家公司在不同的商业模式上有很大不同。台积电最初是一家领先的公司，并一直是一家以最小尺寸制造芯片的公司。另一方面，台湾第一家半导体公司联电选择了14纳米节点作为其制造的最小尺寸。</blockquote></p><p> To illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the &lt;14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>为了说明模型的差异，图1显示了两家公司基于技术节点的收入。关键区别在于&lt;14纳米节点，台积电占其收入的41.4%，而联电为0%。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.</p><p><blockquote>图1还显示，台积电2020年的收入为430亿美元，而联电为60亿美元。重要的是，这也显示了台积电的财务主导地位，因为联电在全球晶圆代工市场排名第二。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3b088585f8a624c6665040756e940f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Much of TSMC’s revenues are on the &lt;14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的大部分收入来自&lt;14纳米节点，占收入的比例从2019年的29.4%增加到2020年的41.4%。由于联电最小的节点是28nm/14nm，联电在该节点上投入巨资，营收占比从2019年的11.3%增加到2020年的13.6%。相比之下，2020年台积电在28纳米/14纳米节点的份额从2019年的37.7%下降到30.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expanding Capacity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扩大产能</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Leading Edge Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前沿节点</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>台积电约1/3的收入来自28纳米/14纳米，台积电8英寸产能为562,000片/月，12英寸产能为745,000片/月。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。</blockquote></p><p> In TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:</p><p><blockquote>在台积电2021年第一季度盈利看涨期权中，台积电副总裁兼首席财务官Wendell Huang指出：</blockquote></p><p>   “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.”  TSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&amp;D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“为了满足未来几年对我们先进和专业技术不断增长的需求，我们决定将2021年全年资本支出提高至300亿美元左右。2021年资本预算的约80%将分配给先进工艺技术，包括3纳米、5纳米和7纳米。大约10%将用于先进包装和口罩制造，大约10%将用于专业技术。”台积电预计未来3年将投资约1000亿美元来提高产能，以支持前沿和专业技术的制造和研发。其N5已进入量产的第二年，在2021年贡献了我们约20%的晶圆收入。N4风险生产目标为今年下半年，2022年量产。</blockquote></p><p> Among TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's&nbsp;fab in Arizona&nbsp;as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>台积电将在未来三到四年内上线的设施包括该公司位于亚利桑那州的晶圆厂以及位于台湾的第一家2纳米晶圆厂。该公司需要在亚利桑那州建造和装备其支持N5的工厂。该设施将耗资约120亿美元，每月产能为20,000片晶圆启动(WSPM)，并将于2024年上线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>28nm Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>28nm节点</b></blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺是促使代工制造商建造新晶圆厂的催化剂之一，特别是在28纳米节点，因为许多汽车芯片都是在该节点制造的。虽然我已经发表了四篇Seeking Alpha文章来试图确定哪些设备供应不足并且只能找到微控制器，但在这篇文章中，为了便于讨论，我将承认这不是由于囤积，而是由于无能的制造供应链。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.</p><p><blockquote>因此，各国政府在该行业投入巨资，以扩大总产能。这些免费讲义是新28纳米节点晶圆厂建设的第二个催化剂。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>消费电子行业对晶圆的强劲需求导致联电28纳米晶圆出货量增加，上一季度营收环比增长18%。此外，联电一直专注于汽车行业的生产，因为电动和自动驾驶汽车的半导体预计将成为该公司的主要增长动力。然而，全球汽车半导体仅是一个400亿美元的市场，而全球半导体市场规模为5250亿美元。随着每年每辆车使用更多的半导体，以及电动汽车比内燃机汽车使用更多的半导体，这一数字还在增长。</blockquote></p><p> There is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.</p><p><blockquote>成熟节点存在供需失衡，因为大部分产能扩张都在高级节点，但公司没有解决成熟节点。该技术节点是最新汽车芯片危机的核心，同时索尼已将其用于智能手机的CMOS集成传感器（“CIS”）设计转移到28纳米。</blockquote></p><p> On April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>4月22日，台积电宣布在中国建设芯片制造工厂的计划遭到了批评者的反对。该工厂将生产基于成熟的28纳米工艺节点的半导体。南京工厂目前的装机容量为每月2万片晶圆。投资28亿美元，预计2023年量产，此次扩建将使产能翻一番，达到每月40,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.</p><p><blockquote>台积电在全球拥有56.2万片/月的8英寸产能和74.5万片/月的12英寸产能。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。新晶圆厂每月产能为20,000片晶圆，仅占公司总产能的2%。</blockquote></p><p> UMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>联电还在台湾南科12英寸晶圆厂12A P6工厂扩大了28纳米（迁移到40纳米）工艺的生产。目前每月产能为87,000片晶圆。扩能计划总投资预估约1000亿元新台币。P6扩建计划于2023年第二季度投产，每月产能仅为10,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> The P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.</p><p><blockquote>P6计划得到了UMC和相关客户之间多年产品一致性的支持，其中包括负载保护机制，可确保P6容量保持在健康的负载水平。</blockquote></p><p> UMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>联电共有12家晶圆厂在生产，总产能接近每月80万片晶圆（相当于8英寸）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Per Wafer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每片晶圆的价格</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.</p><p><blockquote>图2显示了IC设备按节点划分的毛利润。它部分解释了台积电转向先进节点的商业模式背后的基本原理，同时也解释了为什么该公司选择让其28纳米节点供应不足，直到最近外部力量促使其建立中国晶圆厂。</blockquote></p><p> Gross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.</p><p><blockquote>28纳米节点每300毫米晶圆的毛利润为2,835美元，而3纳米节点为8,695美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e241c85dd84eb71f54c3b11812e6599\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.</p><p><blockquote>图3显示了IC按节点划分的资本支出。28纳米的资本支出（建筑+设备）为每块晶圆100,000美元，而3纳米的资本支出增加了两倍多，达到320,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f8f60218f2b914e5847e2eef8aa39c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 3</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表3</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Base</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.</p><p><blockquote>图表4显示，苹果（AAPL）是2020年台积电最大的客户，占收入的21%。请记住，除了台积电的处理器用于iPhone之外，台积电还制造M1，为新款MacBook Air、13英寸MacBook Pro和Mac mini提供动力，并且是苹果首款为Mac定制设计的基于Arm的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354a97772e16c2a05dbccc89556de9eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Chart 4</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表4</span></p></blockquote></p><p> TSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.</p><p><blockquote>自2014年9月9日推出的苹果iPhone 6和iPhone 6 Plus安装以来，台积电已无数次升级其制造能力，以使苹果的最新芯片保持在处理器技术的前沿。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>图表5显示，晶体管数量从iPhone 6的20亿个增加到现在的iPhone 12的118亿个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ef270fe60691ec5bc8c7f0a061d9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 5</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表5</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, investors must consider that:</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者必须考虑：</blockquote></p><p> Any positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的任何积极发展都将对台积电产生积极影响，台积电的积极技术发展也将对苹果产生积极影响。例如，只要台积电是苹果芯片的主要制造商，苹果的增长或苹果开发的需要芯片的新技术（如汽车或ADAS），那么台积电就会受益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Secondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.</p><p><blockquote>其次，由于产能限制和技术节点需求，台积电的任何产能扩张都将有利于苹果，因为它转向更小的节点，同时消耗台积电约25%的芯片产量。</blockquote></p><p> UMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.</p><p><blockquote>UMC透明度较低，不提供客户细分。联电的主要客户包括顶级集成设备制造商，如德州仪器（纳斯达克：TXN）和英特尔移动（纳斯达克：INTC），以及领先的无晶圆厂设计公司，如联发科（OTCPK：MDTKF）、瑞昱、高通（纳斯达克：QCOM）和联咏。</blockquote></p><p> In August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.</p><p><blockquote>2018年8月，联电宣布将暂停推进10nm节点以下芯片生产技术的研究。如上图所示，自2018年起，公司先进制程的相应占比已降至零，但对于65nm、28nm等成熟节点，占比有所提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaways</b>: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?</p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b>：TSM或UMC股票更值得购买？</blockquote></p><p> Both companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在同一行业竞争，但他们的商业模式是一个差异化的指标。台积电的大部分收入来自比联电更小的节点（图1），其大部分计划资本支出将集中在制造集成电路的新晶圆厂上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电利好</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，台积电在纯晶圆代工市场的份额为57%，高于2019年的55%。联电的份额稳定在略低于8%。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.</p><p><blockquote>台积电受益于较小的节点。尽管资本支出随着节点的减少而增加（图3），但毛利润也会增加（图2）。因此，TSM的收入高于UMC：$48.2 B vs$62.83亿B。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电的年收益(EBITDA)也更高：$33B，而联电为$23.49 B。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电（$613B）的市值高于联电（$234亿）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电手头现金更多：$23.3 B vs UMC（$37.6 B）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电的每股收益（3.99）高于联电（0.59）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Seeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha的量化评级是通过根据价值、增长、盈利能力、动量和分析师的盈利修正来衡量股票与该行业其他股票的财务指标而得出的。在表1中，两只股票的排名都很高。台积电的量化评级为4.63，联电的量化评级为4.54。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55db72bd38ddd1d46c2ec7a6ccf6307f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"117\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Gross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.</p><p><blockquote>台积电和联电的毛利率如表2所示。对台积电来说，这是一个利好，毛利率大幅领先于联电和所有代工厂的平均水平。华尔街预计，鉴于更高的收入规模、晶圆代工供应紧张以及5nm生产效率的提高，2021年第三季度的毛利率将改善至52.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab6dce4d14398755080d9db48522121\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>UMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联电正面</b></blockquote></p><p> The comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:</p><p><blockquote>与其他财务指标相比，联电的财务状况更强劲：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>UMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>联电的市盈率低于台积电：21.8 vs 28.9</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC的债务低于TSM：$2.47 B vs$15.4 B。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC年初至今涨幅较高：10.558 vs.TSM(8.922)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Table 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.</p><p><blockquote>表3显示了TSM和UMC的股票增长百分比。过去一年，联电股票的表现优于台积电，在3年和5年期间也是如此。但在10年的时间里，台积电是更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7533369f256853d498f5492752417e05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"172\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> TSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the &lt;7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>台积电显然是未来联电的赢家。该公司选择了在&lt;7纳米节点构建芯片的策略。事实上，它正在中国建造一座28纳米晶圆厂，这是联电的“最佳地点”，再加上一座新的28纳米中芯国际（OTCQX：SMICY）晶圆厂，这将意味着联电在这个节点失去市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438509-taiwan-semiconductor-vs-united-microelectronics-stock\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","UMC":"联电"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438509-taiwan-semiconductor-vs-united-microelectronics-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145284684","content_text":"Summary\n\nTSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.\nTSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.\nTSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.\n40% of revenues are from nodes <14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.\n\nBING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.\nWhile they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.\nTo illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the <14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.\nChart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.\nChart 1\nMuch of TSMC’s revenues are on the <14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.\nExpanding Capacity\nLeading Edge Nodes\nTSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).\nIn TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:\n\n “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.”\n\nTSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.\nAmong TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's fab in Arizona as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.\n28nm Nodes\nThe global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.\nAs a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.\nA strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.\nThere is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.\nOn April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.\nTSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.\nUMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.\nThe P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.\nUMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).\nPrice Per Wafer\nChart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.\nGross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.\nChart 2\nChart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.\nChart 3\nCustomer Base\nChart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.\nChart 4\nTSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.\nChart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.\nChart 5\nThus, investors must consider that:\nAny positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.\nSecondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.\nUMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.\nIn August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.\nInvestor Takeaways: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?\nBoth companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.\nTSMC Positives\nTSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.\nTSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.\n\nTSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.\nTSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).\nTSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).\nTSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).\n\nSeeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.\n\nGross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.\n\nUMC Positives\nThe comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:\n\nUMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9\nUMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.\nUMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).\n\nTable 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.\n\nTSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the <7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UMC":0.9,"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137412695,"gmtCreate":1622376426117,"gmtModify":1634101945472,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137412695","repostId":"1188611521","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165222878,"gmtCreate":1624148036094,"gmtModify":1634010359791,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GME to $20","listText":"GME to $20","text":"GME to $20","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165222878","repostId":"1166679093","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166679093","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624065234,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166679093?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-19 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测3只模因股将暴跌20%以上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166679093","media":"fool","summary":"Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them del","content":"<p>Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them delivering triple-digit and even four-digit percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，模因股票风靡一时。这是可以理解的，其中一些公司实现了三位数甚至四位数的百分比增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, what goes up can come down. Analysts don't expect the online frenzy fueling the ginormous jumps for some of the most popular stocks will be sustainable. Here are three meme stocks that Wall Street thinks will plunge by more than 20% within the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，上升的可以下降。分析师预计，推动一些最受欢迎股票大幅上涨的网络狂热不会持续下去。以下是华尔街认为未来12个月内将暴跌20%以上的三只模因股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC)ranks as the best-performing meme stock of all. Shares of the movie theater operator have skyrocketed close to 2,500% year to date.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）被评为所有模因股票中表现最好的。今年迄今为止，这家电影院运营商的股价已飙升近2,500%。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus among analysts, though, is that the stock could lose 90% of its current value. Even the most optimistic analyst surveyed by Refinitiv has a price target for AMC that's more than 70% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>不过，分析师的共识是，该股可能会损失当前价值的90%。即使是Refinitiv调查的最乐观的分析师对AMC的目标价也比当前股价低70%以上。</blockquote></p><p> But isn't AMC's business picking up? Yep. The easing of restrictions has enabled the company to reopen 99% of its U.S. theaters. AMC could benefit as seating capacity limitations imposed by state and local governments are raised. Thereleases of multiple movies this summerand later this year that are likely to be hits should also help.</p><p><blockquote>但AMC的业务不是在回暖吗？是的。限制的放松使该公司能够重新开放99%的美国影院。随着州和地方政府施加的座位容量限制的提高，AMC可能会受益。今年夏天和今年晚些时候上映的多部可能会大受欢迎的电影也应该会有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> However, Wall Street clearly believes that AMC's share price has gotten way ahead of its business prospects. The stock is trading at nearly eight times higher than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>然而，华尔街显然认为AMC的股价已经远远超出了其业务前景。该股目前的交易价格比COVID-19大流行之前高出近八倍。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health Investments</p><p><blockquote>三叶草健康投资</blockquote></p><p> Only a few days ago, it looked like&nbsp;<b>Clover Health Investments</b>(NASDAQ:CLOV)might push AMC to the side as the hottest meme stock. Retail investors viewed Clover as a primeshort squeezecandidate.</p><p><blockquote>就在几天前，看起来<b>三叶草健康投资</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）可能会将AMC推到最热门的模因股票旁边。散户投资者将Clover视为主要的空头挤压候选者。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of June, shares of Clover Health have jumped more than 65%. Analysts, however, don't expect those gains to last. The average price target for the stock is 25% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>自6月初以来，Clover Health的股价已上涨超过65%。然而，分析师预计这些涨幅不会持续下去。该股的平均目标价比当前股价低25%。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health's valuation does seem to have gotten out of hand. The healthcare stock currently trades at more than 170 times trailing-12-month sales. That's a nosebleed level, especially considering that the company is the subject of investigations by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>Clover Health的估值似乎确实已经失控。该医疗保健股目前的交易价格是过去12个月销售额的170多倍。这是一个令人流鼻血的水平，特别是考虑到该公司是美国调查的对象。司法部和证券交易委员会。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Clover Health could deliver improving financial results this year. The company hopes to significantly increase its membership by targeting the original Medicare program. This represents a major new market opportunity in addition to its current Medicare Advantage business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Clover Health今年的财务业绩可能会有所改善。该公司希望通过瞄准原来的医疗保险计划来大幅增加其会员。除了当前的Medicare Advantage业务之外，这也是一个重大的新市场机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial Growers</p><p><blockquote>日晷种植者</blockquote></p><p> At one point earlier this year,&nbsp;<b>Sundial Growers</b>(NASDAQ:SNDL)appeared to be a legitimate contender to become the biggest winner among meme stocks. The Canadian marijuana stock vaulted more than 520% higher year to date before giving up much of its gains. However, Sundial's share price has still more than doubled in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，<b>日晷种植者</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：SNDL）似乎是成为模因股票最大赢家的合法竞争者。加拿大大麻股票今年迄今已上涨超过520%，随后回吐了大部分涨幅。不过，Sundial的股价在2021年仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts anticipate that the pot stock could fall even further. The consensus price target for Sundial reflects a 23% discount to its current share price. One analyst even thinks the stock could sink 55%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计大麻库存可能会进一步下跌。Sundial的共识目标价较其当前股价有23%的折扣。一位分析师甚至认为该股可能下跌55%。</blockquote></p><p> There certainly are reasons to be pessimistic about Sundial's core cannabis business. The company's net cannabis revenue fell year over year in the first quarter of 2021. Although Sundial is taking steps that it hopes will turn things around, it remains to be seen if those efforts will succeed.</p><p><blockquote>当然有理由对Sundial的核心大麻业务持悲观态度。该公司2021年第一季度的大麻净收入同比下降。尽管日晷正在采取措施，希望能够扭转局面，但这些努力是否会成功还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial's business deals could give investors reasons for optimism. After all, the company posted positive adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in Q1 due to its investments.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial的商业交易可能会给投资者带来乐观的理由。毕竟，由于其投资，该公司第一季度调整后息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)为正。</blockquote></p><p> However, the cash that Sundial is using to make these investments has come at the cost of increased dilution of its stock. The company can't afford any additional dilution without having to resort to desperate measures to keep its listing on the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq</b>&nbsp;stock exchange.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Sundial用于进行这些投资的现金是以其股票进一步稀释为代价的。该公司无法承受任何额外的稀释，除非采取绝望的措施来维持其在<b>纳斯达克</b>证券交易所。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测3只模因股将暴跌20%以上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测3只模因股将暴跌20%以上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-19 09:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them delivering triple-digit and even four-digit percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，模因股票风靡一时。这是可以理解的，其中一些公司实现了三位数甚至四位数的百分比增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, what goes up can come down. Analysts don't expect the online frenzy fueling the ginormous jumps for some of the most popular stocks will be sustainable. Here are three meme stocks that Wall Street thinks will plunge by more than 20% within the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，上升的可以下降。分析师预计，推动一些最受欢迎股票大幅上涨的网络狂热不会持续下去。以下是华尔街认为未来12个月内将暴跌20%以上的三只模因股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC)ranks as the best-performing meme stock of all. Shares of the movie theater operator have skyrocketed close to 2,500% year to date.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）被评为所有模因股票中表现最好的。今年迄今为止，这家电影院运营商的股价已飙升近2,500%。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus among analysts, though, is that the stock could lose 90% of its current value. Even the most optimistic analyst surveyed by Refinitiv has a price target for AMC that's more than 70% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>不过，分析师的共识是，该股可能会损失当前价值的90%。即使是Refinitiv调查的最乐观的分析师对AMC的目标价也比当前股价低70%以上。</blockquote></p><p> But isn't AMC's business picking up? Yep. The easing of restrictions has enabled the company to reopen 99% of its U.S. theaters. AMC could benefit as seating capacity limitations imposed by state and local governments are raised. Thereleases of multiple movies this summerand later this year that are likely to be hits should also help.</p><p><blockquote>但AMC的业务不是在回暖吗？是的。限制的放松使该公司能够重新开放99%的美国影院。随着州和地方政府施加的座位容量限制的提高，AMC可能会受益。今年夏天和今年晚些时候上映的多部可能会大受欢迎的电影也应该会有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> However, Wall Street clearly believes that AMC's share price has gotten way ahead of its business prospects. The stock is trading at nearly eight times higher than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>然而，华尔街显然认为AMC的股价已经远远超出了其业务前景。该股目前的交易价格比COVID-19大流行之前高出近八倍。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health Investments</p><p><blockquote>三叶草健康投资</blockquote></p><p> Only a few days ago, it looked like&nbsp;<b>Clover Health Investments</b>(NASDAQ:CLOV)might push AMC to the side as the hottest meme stock. Retail investors viewed Clover as a primeshort squeezecandidate.</p><p><blockquote>就在几天前，看起来<b>三叶草健康投资</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）可能会将AMC推到最热门的模因股票旁边。散户投资者将Clover视为主要的空头挤压候选者。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of June, shares of Clover Health have jumped more than 65%. Analysts, however, don't expect those gains to last. The average price target for the stock is 25% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>自6月初以来，Clover Health的股价已上涨超过65%。然而，分析师预计这些涨幅不会持续下去。该股的平均目标价比当前股价低25%。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health's valuation does seem to have gotten out of hand. The healthcare stock currently trades at more than 170 times trailing-12-month sales. That's a nosebleed level, especially considering that the company is the subject of investigations by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>Clover Health的估值似乎确实已经失控。该医疗保健股目前的交易价格是过去12个月销售额的170多倍。这是一个令人流鼻血的水平，特别是考虑到该公司是美国调查的对象。司法部和证券交易委员会。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Clover Health could deliver improving financial results this year. The company hopes to significantly increase its membership by targeting the original Medicare program. This represents a major new market opportunity in addition to its current Medicare Advantage business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Clover Health今年的财务业绩可能会有所改善。该公司希望通过瞄准原来的医疗保险计划来大幅增加其会员。除了当前的Medicare Advantage业务之外，这也是一个重大的新市场机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial Growers</p><p><blockquote>日晷种植者</blockquote></p><p> At one point earlier this year,&nbsp;<b>Sundial Growers</b>(NASDAQ:SNDL)appeared to be a legitimate contender to become the biggest winner among meme stocks. The Canadian marijuana stock vaulted more than 520% higher year to date before giving up much of its gains. However, Sundial's share price has still more than doubled in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，<b>日晷种植者</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：SNDL）似乎是成为模因股票最大赢家的合法竞争者。加拿大大麻股票今年迄今已上涨超过520%，随后回吐了大部分涨幅。不过，Sundial的股价在2021年仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts anticipate that the pot stock could fall even further. The consensus price target for Sundial reflects a 23% discount to its current share price. One analyst even thinks the stock could sink 55%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计大麻库存可能会进一步下跌。Sundial的共识目标价较其当前股价有23%的折扣。一位分析师甚至认为该股可能下跌55%。</blockquote></p><p> There certainly are reasons to be pessimistic about Sundial's core cannabis business. The company's net cannabis revenue fell year over year in the first quarter of 2021. Although Sundial is taking steps that it hopes will turn things around, it remains to be seen if those efforts will succeed.</p><p><blockquote>当然有理由对Sundial的核心大麻业务持悲观态度。该公司2021年第一季度的大麻净收入同比下降。尽管日晷正在采取措施，希望能够扭转局面，但这些努力是否会成功还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial's business deals could give investors reasons for optimism. After all, the company posted positive adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in Q1 due to its investments.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial的商业交易可能会给投资者带来乐观的理由。毕竟，由于其投资，该公司第一季度调整后息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)为正。</blockquote></p><p> However, the cash that Sundial is using to make these investments has come at the cost of increased dilution of its stock. The company can't afford any additional dilution without having to resort to desperate measures to keep its listing on the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq</b>&nbsp;stock exchange.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Sundial用于进行这些投资的现金是以其股票进一步稀释为代价的。该公司无法承受任何额外的稀释，除非采取绝望的措施来维持其在<b>纳斯达克</b>证券交易所。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/3-meme-stocks-wall-street-predicts-will-plunge-mor/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","SNDL":"SNDL Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/3-meme-stocks-wall-street-predicts-will-plunge-mor/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166679093","content_text":"Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them delivering triple-digit and even four-digit percentage gains.\nHowever, what goes up can come down. Analysts don't expect the online frenzy fueling the ginormous jumps for some of the most popular stocks will be sustainable. Here are three meme stocks that Wall Street thinks will plunge by more than 20% within the next 12 months.\nAMC Entertainment\nAMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)ranks as the best-performing meme stock of all. Shares of the movie theater operator have skyrocketed close to 2,500% year to date.\nThe consensus among analysts, though, is that the stock could lose 90% of its current value. Even the most optimistic analyst surveyed by Refinitiv has a price target for AMC that's more than 70% below the current share price.\nBut isn't AMC's business picking up? Yep. The easing of restrictions has enabled the company to reopen 99% of its U.S. theaters. AMC could benefit as seating capacity limitations imposed by state and local governments are raised. Thereleases of multiple movies this summerand later this year that are likely to be hits should also help.\nHowever, Wall Street clearly believes that AMC's share price has gotten way ahead of its business prospects. The stock is trading at nearly eight times higher than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic.\nClover Health Investments\nOnly a few days ago, it looked like Clover Health Investments(NASDAQ:CLOV)might push AMC to the side as the hottest meme stock. Retail investors viewed Clover as a primeshort squeezecandidate.\nSince the beginning of June, shares of Clover Health have jumped more than 65%. Analysts, however, don't expect those gains to last. The average price target for the stock is 25% below the current share price.\nClover Health's valuation does seem to have gotten out of hand. The healthcare stock currently trades at more than 170 times trailing-12-month sales. That's a nosebleed level, especially considering that the company is the subject of investigations by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission.\nStill, Clover Health could deliver improving financial results this year. The company hopes to significantly increase its membership by targeting the original Medicare program. This represents a major new market opportunity in addition to its current Medicare Advantage business.\nSundial Growers\nAt one point earlier this year, Sundial Growers(NASDAQ:SNDL)appeared to be a legitimate contender to become the biggest winner among meme stocks. The Canadian marijuana stock vaulted more than 520% higher year to date before giving up much of its gains. However, Sundial's share price has still more than doubled in 2021.\nAnalysts anticipate that the pot stock could fall even further. The consensus price target for Sundial reflects a 23% discount to its current share price. One analyst even thinks the stock could sink 55%.\nThere certainly are reasons to be pessimistic about Sundial's core cannabis business. The company's net cannabis revenue fell year over year in the first quarter of 2021. Although Sundial is taking steps that it hopes will turn things around, it remains to be seen if those efforts will succeed.\nSundial's business deals could give investors reasons for optimism. After all, the company posted positive adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in Q1 due to its investments.\nHowever, the cash that Sundial is using to make these investments has come at the cost of increased dilution of its stock. The company can't afford any additional dilution without having to resort to desperate measures to keep its listing on the Nasdaq stock exchange.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"SNDL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162834229,"gmtCreate":1624055553661,"gmtModify":1634023572433,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon","listText":"To the moon","text":"To the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162834229","repostId":"1192473918","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168229508,"gmtCreate":1623976753504,"gmtModify":1634024961508,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168229508","repostId":"1116568134","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125689232,"gmtCreate":1624671572026,"gmtModify":1633949826490,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Did&nbsp;","listText":"Did&nbsp;","text":"Did","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125689232","repostId":"1134306371","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120636949,"gmtCreate":1624321081881,"gmtModify":1634007914037,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GME TO $0","listText":"GME TO $0","text":"GME TO $0","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120636949","repostId":"1164927223","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163540213,"gmtCreate":1623889942132,"gmtModify":1634026430946,"author":{"id":"3581907866019584","authorId":"3581907866019584","name":"2c6a65ee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581907866019584","idStr":"3581907866019584"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon!","listText":"To the moon!","text":"To the moon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163540213","repostId":"1138650073","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}