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Johnleong

Johnleong

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2021-09-16

Great

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2021-07-22

Continue go higher?

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2021-07-19

Beware

Record Stock Rally Ignores Wall Street’s Phobia About Optimism<blockquote>创纪录的股市上涨忽略了华尔街对乐观情绪的恐惧</blockquote>

2021-10-14

$Plug Power(PLUG)$finally moving. What is the target price

2021-10-07

Nice

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2021-07-04

Great

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2021-07-02

Wait n see

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2021-07-16

Wow

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2021-07-13

Soon

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2021-07-03

Wait

Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>

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Yet major U.S. indexes continue to rally to records, putting the Dow Jones Industrial Average up a healthy 13% for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>整个2021年，一系列调查、资金流数据和期权活动显示，大大小小的投资者都异常乐观。然而，美国主要股指继续上涨至创纪录水平，使道琼斯工业平均指数在2021年健康上涨13%。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have long relied on sentiment and related data on risk-taking as contrarian indicators. By the time friends, colleagues and strangers are plowing money into stocks and telling you about it, it’s time to run for cover, to this way of thinking. Likewise, when everyone is selling, you should be buying with both hands.</p><p><blockquote>分析师长期以来一直依赖情绪和风险承担的相关数据作为逆向指标。当朋友、同事和陌生人把钱投入股票并告诉你时，是时候用这种思维方式寻找掩护了。同样，当每个人都在卖出时，你应该用双手买入。</blockquote></p><p> But for much of this year, it has paid enormous dividends to stay with the herd. It’s the latest departure from the tried and true in a year that already has broughtsoaring meme stocks,record lumber pricesand a bond-market rally in the face of rising inflation. In short, now is when analysts and portfolio managers are starting to wonder whether it really is different this time.</p><p><blockquote>但在今年的大部分时间里，它已经为留在牛群中带来了巨大的回报。这是一年来与屡试不爽的事实的最新背离，这一年已经导致模因股票飙升、木材价格创纪录以及面对通胀上升的债券市场反弹。简而言之，现在分析师和投资组合经理开始怀疑这次是否真的有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve been throwing up our hands for a while,” said Jason Goepfert, president of Sundial Capital Research. “For whatever the reason, the market is just rolling over all these historical indicators that before had a very consistent track record.”</p><p><blockquote>Sundial Capital Research总裁Jason Goepfert表示：“我们举手已经有一段时间了。”“无论出于什么原因，市场只是在滚动所有这些历史指标，这些指标之前都有非常一致的记录。”</blockquote></p><p> In the coming week, traders will parse data on housing starts and building permits, as well as earnings from companies including Johnson &amp; Johnson andUnited Airlines HoldingsInc.,for further clues about pricing pressures.</p><p><blockquote>未来一周，交易员将分析新屋开工和建筑许可数据，以及强生公司和联合航空控股公司等公司的收益，以获取有关定价压力的进一步线索。</blockquote></p><p> They will also be watching to see if sentiment oscillates. Recently, signs of waning sentiment have begun peeking through some indicators, though bullishness largely remains above or near long-term averages.</p><p><blockquote>他们还将关注情绪是否波动。最近，一些指标开始显示出情绪减弱的迹象，尽管看涨情绪基本上仍高于或接近长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Americans’ stock allocations reached nearly 60% at the end of March, a figure just below the all-time high of 61.7% reached during the dot-com bubble, according to data from Ned Davis Research stretching back to 1951.</p><p><blockquote>根据Ned Davis Research可追溯到1951年的数据，截至3月底，美国人的股票配置达到了近60%，这一数字略低于互联网泡沫期间61.7%的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> A July survey by retail brokerage E*Trade found that bullishness among the platform’s individual investors recently hit more than a three-year high, rising to 65%. Additionally, the often-watched equity put-call ratio—which measures the volume of bearish options bets placed on stocks versus bullish ones—earlier this year notched sustained levels of optimism not seen since 2000.</p><p><blockquote>零售券商E*Trade 7月份的一项调查发现，该平台个人投资者的看涨情绪最近创下了三年多来的新高，升至65%。此外，今年早些时候，备受关注的股票看跌期权与看涨期权押注数量的衡量标准是今年早些时候创下了自2000年以来从未有过的持续乐观水平。</blockquote></p><p> The source of the optimism that has fueled 39 records this year on the S&amp;P 500 isn’t hard to divine. Most notably, there’s an unusual and powerful blend of stimulus and easy monetary policy that has left investors flush with cash and with few sources of steady investment returns. The entrance ofa new cohort of retail tradershas provided an extra boost to prices, too.</p><p><blockquote>今年推动标普500创下39项纪录的乐观情绪的来源不难预测。最值得注意的是，刺激和宽松货币政策的不同寻常且强有力的结合让投资者现金充裕，但稳定的投资回报来源却很少。新一批零售商的进入也为价格提供了额外的提振。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts say the combination of those factors has pushed markets higher, providing traders with enough momentum and opportunity to ignore signs of stretched sentiment—as well as other risks, including an unclear inflation outlook andrising coronavirus cases.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，这些因素的结合推高了市场，为交易者提供了足够的动力和机会来忽视情绪紧张的迹象，以及其他风险，包括通胀前景不明朗和冠状病毒病例上升。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, market breadth, or a measure of how many stocks are participating in a rally, has deteriorated—even as major indexes have continued to hit all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>最近，市场广度（或衡量有多少只股票参与反弹的指标）已经恶化——尽管主要股指继续创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> As of Thursday, only about 49% of stocks in the S&amp;P 500 traded above their 50-day moving averages, according to FactSet, a level that is below average and one that is a sharp reversal from just a few months ago, whenthat metric reached more than 90%. According to Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, that’s a troubling sign when sentiment remains so high.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示，截至周四，标普500只有约49%的股票交易价格高于50日移动平均线，这一水平低于平均水平，与几个月前该指标相比出现了急剧逆转。达到90%以上。嘉信理财首席投资策略师利兹·安·桑德斯表示，当市场情绪仍然如此高涨时，这是一个令人不安的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> “Any longtime sentiment watcher knows that breadth is a positive offset to extreme sentiment conditions,” Ms. Sonders said. “But when breadth starts to deteriorate and the market is still trading at or near all-time highs, and there’s been no dent to sentiment conditions, that’s when trouble really brews.”</p><p><blockquote>“任何长期观察情绪的人都知道，广度是对极端情绪状况的积极抵消，”桑德斯女士说。“但当广度开始恶化，市场仍处于或接近历史高点，并且情绪状况没有受到影响时，麻烦就真正酝酿了。”</blockquote></p><p> But sentiment can remain elevated for long periods, as it did in the late 1990s, she said. And&nbsp;while major indexes have risen, pockets of excess have lost steam.</p><p><blockquote>但她表示，市场情绪可能会长期保持高位，就像20世纪90年代末那样。尽管主要股指上涨，但部分过剩股已经失去了动力。</blockquote></p><p> “In places where speculation has been rampant, you have seen massive drawdowns—in cryptocurrencies, [special-purpose acquisition companies], nonprofitable tech companies and meme stocks,” Ms. Sonders said.</p><p><blockquote>“在投机猖獗的地方，你会看到加密货币、[特殊目的收购公司]、非营利科技公司和模因股票的大规模下跌，”桑德斯女士说。</blockquote></p><p> According a recent Charles Schwab note based on data from Ned Davis Research, when stockholdings among U.S. households have previously climbed to among the highest levels, the S&amp;P 500 has tended to produce modest returns on average in following years. For example, when households’ stock allocations have risen to 54.6% or higher—as they did during the dot-com bubble and the years leading up to the 2007-09 recession—the average annualized return for the S&amp;P 500 over the next 10 years has been 4.1%.</p><p><blockquote>根据嘉信理财最近基于Ned Davis Research数据的一份报告，当美国家庭的股票持有量此前攀升至最高水平时，标普500在接下来的几年中平均往往会产生适度的回报。例如，当家庭的股票配置升至54.6%或更高时（就像互联网泡沫期间和2007-09年经济衰退前几年所做的那样），未来10年标普500的平均年化回报率为4.1%。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, when stock allocations have hovered around 29% or lower, the average annualized return over the next 10 years for the benchmark index has been 16.3%.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，当股票配置徘徊在29%或更低时，基准指数未来10年的平均年化回报率为16.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Even so, unique conditions within the market this year might allow stocks to keep grinding higher.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，今年市场的独特状况可能会让股市继续走高。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets are just doing their own thing,” Mr. Goepfert said. “Something has changed. Whether it’s unprecedented stimulus or maybe there is this generational change with young investors. This new surge into the market keeps driving stocks higher.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场只是在做自己的事情，”戈普弗特先生说。“有些事情已经发生了变化。无论是前所未有的刺激，还是年轻投资者的代际变化。这种新的市场热潮不断推动股市走高。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Record Stock Rally Ignores Wall Street’s Phobia About Optimism<blockquote>创纪录的股市上涨忽略了华尔街对乐观情绪的恐惧</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRecord Stock Rally Ignores Wall Street’s Phobia About Optimism<blockquote>创纪录的股市上涨忽略了华尔街对乐观情绪的恐惧</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">WSJ</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 09:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The latest victim of the rampaging bull market in stocks is the Wall Street maxim that glowing investor sentiment is a sell signal.</p><p><blockquote>股市牛市的最新受害者是华尔街的格言，即投资者情绪高涨是卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> Throughout 2021, a range of surveys, fund-flow figures and options activity have shown investors big and small to be exceptionally bullish. Yet major U.S. indexes continue to rally to records, putting the Dow Jones Industrial Average up a healthy 13% for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>整个2021年，一系列调查、资金流数据和期权活动显示，大大小小的投资者都异常乐观。然而，美国主要股指继续上涨至创纪录水平，使道琼斯工业平均指数在2021年健康上涨13%。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have long relied on sentiment and related data on risk-taking as contrarian indicators. By the time friends, colleagues and strangers are plowing money into stocks and telling you about it, it’s time to run for cover, to this way of thinking. Likewise, when everyone is selling, you should be buying with both hands.</p><p><blockquote>分析师长期以来一直依赖情绪和风险承担的相关数据作为逆向指标。当朋友、同事和陌生人把钱投入股票并告诉你时，是时候用这种思维方式寻找掩护了。同样，当每个人都在卖出时，你应该用双手买入。</blockquote></p><p> But for much of this year, it has paid enormous dividends to stay with the herd. It’s the latest departure from the tried and true in a year that already has broughtsoaring meme stocks,record lumber pricesand a bond-market rally in the face of rising inflation. In short, now is when analysts and portfolio managers are starting to wonder whether it really is different this time.</p><p><blockquote>但在今年的大部分时间里，它已经为留在牛群中带来了巨大的回报。这是一年来与屡试不爽的事实的最新背离，这一年已经导致模因股票飙升、木材价格创纪录以及面对通胀上升的债券市场反弹。简而言之，现在分析师和投资组合经理开始怀疑这次是否真的有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve been throwing up our hands for a while,” said Jason Goepfert, president of Sundial Capital Research. “For whatever the reason, the market is just rolling over all these historical indicators that before had a very consistent track record.”</p><p><blockquote>Sundial Capital Research总裁Jason Goepfert表示：“我们举手已经有一段时间了。”“无论出于什么原因，市场只是在滚动所有这些历史指标，这些指标之前都有非常一致的记录。”</blockquote></p><p> In the coming week, traders will parse data on housing starts and building permits, as well as earnings from companies including Johnson &amp; Johnson andUnited Airlines HoldingsInc.,for further clues about pricing pressures.</p><p><blockquote>未来一周，交易员将分析新屋开工和建筑许可数据，以及强生公司和联合航空控股公司等公司的收益，以获取有关定价压力的进一步线索。</blockquote></p><p> They will also be watching to see if sentiment oscillates. Recently, signs of waning sentiment have begun peeking through some indicators, though bullishness largely remains above or near long-term averages.</p><p><blockquote>他们还将关注情绪是否波动。最近，一些指标开始显示出情绪减弱的迹象，尽管看涨情绪基本上仍高于或接近长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Americans’ stock allocations reached nearly 60% at the end of March, a figure just below the all-time high of 61.7% reached during the dot-com bubble, according to data from Ned Davis Research stretching back to 1951.</p><p><blockquote>根据Ned Davis Research可追溯到1951年的数据，截至3月底，美国人的股票配置达到了近60%，这一数字略低于互联网泡沫期间61.7%的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> A July survey by retail brokerage E*Trade found that bullishness among the platform’s individual investors recently hit more than a three-year high, rising to 65%. Additionally, the often-watched equity put-call ratio—which measures the volume of bearish options bets placed on stocks versus bullish ones—earlier this year notched sustained levels of optimism not seen since 2000.</p><p><blockquote>零售券商E*Trade 7月份的一项调查发现，该平台个人投资者的看涨情绪最近创下了三年多来的新高，升至65%。此外，今年早些时候，备受关注的股票看跌期权与看涨期权押注数量的衡量标准是今年早些时候创下了自2000年以来从未有过的持续乐观水平。</blockquote></p><p> The source of the optimism that has fueled 39 records this year on the S&amp;P 500 isn’t hard to divine. Most notably, there’s an unusual and powerful blend of stimulus and easy monetary policy that has left investors flush with cash and with few sources of steady investment returns. The entrance ofa new cohort of retail tradershas provided an extra boost to prices, too.</p><p><blockquote>今年推动标普500创下39项纪录的乐观情绪的来源不难预测。最值得注意的是，刺激和宽松货币政策的不同寻常且强有力的结合让投资者现金充裕，但稳定的投资回报来源却很少。新一批零售商的进入也为价格提供了额外的提振。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts say the combination of those factors has pushed markets higher, providing traders with enough momentum and opportunity to ignore signs of stretched sentiment—as well as other risks, including an unclear inflation outlook andrising coronavirus cases.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，这些因素的结合推高了市场，为交易者提供了足够的动力和机会来忽视情绪紧张的迹象，以及其他风险，包括通胀前景不明朗和冠状病毒病例上升。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, market breadth, or a measure of how many stocks are participating in a rally, has deteriorated—even as major indexes have continued to hit all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>最近，市场广度（或衡量有多少只股票参与反弹的指标）已经恶化——尽管主要股指继续创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> As of Thursday, only about 49% of stocks in the S&amp;P 500 traded above their 50-day moving averages, according to FactSet, a level that is below average and one that is a sharp reversal from just a few months ago, whenthat metric reached more than 90%. According to Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, that’s a troubling sign when sentiment remains so high.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示，截至周四，标普500只有约49%的股票交易价格高于50日移动平均线，这一水平低于平均水平，与几个月前该指标相比出现了急剧逆转。达到90%以上。嘉信理财首席投资策略师利兹·安·桑德斯表示，当市场情绪仍然如此高涨时，这是一个令人不安的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> “Any longtime sentiment watcher knows that breadth is a positive offset to extreme sentiment conditions,” Ms. Sonders said. “But when breadth starts to deteriorate and the market is still trading at or near all-time highs, and there’s been no dent to sentiment conditions, that’s when trouble really brews.”</p><p><blockquote>“任何长期观察情绪的人都知道，广度是对极端情绪状况的积极抵消，”桑德斯女士说。“但当广度开始恶化，市场仍处于或接近历史高点，并且情绪状况没有受到影响时，麻烦就真正酝酿了。”</blockquote></p><p> But sentiment can remain elevated for long periods, as it did in the late 1990s, she said. And&nbsp;while major indexes have risen, pockets of excess have lost steam.</p><p><blockquote>但她表示，市场情绪可能会长期保持高位，就像20世纪90年代末那样。尽管主要股指上涨，但部分过剩股已经失去了动力。</blockquote></p><p> “In places where speculation has been rampant, you have seen massive drawdowns—in cryptocurrencies, [special-purpose acquisition companies], nonprofitable tech companies and meme stocks,” Ms. Sonders said.</p><p><blockquote>“在投机猖獗的地方，你会看到加密货币、[特殊目的收购公司]、非营利科技公司和模因股票的大规模下跌，”桑德斯女士说。</blockquote></p><p> According a recent Charles Schwab note based on data from Ned Davis Research, when stockholdings among U.S. households have previously climbed to among the highest levels, the S&amp;P 500 has tended to produce modest returns on average in following years. For example, when households’ stock allocations have risen to 54.6% or higher—as they did during the dot-com bubble and the years leading up to the 2007-09 recession—the average annualized return for the S&amp;P 500 over the next 10 years has been 4.1%.</p><p><blockquote>根据嘉信理财最近基于Ned Davis Research数据的一份报告，当美国家庭的股票持有量此前攀升至最高水平时，标普500在接下来的几年中平均往往会产生适度的回报。例如，当家庭的股票配置升至54.6%或更高时（就像互联网泡沫期间和2007-09年经济衰退前几年所做的那样），未来10年标普500的平均年化回报率为4.1%。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, when stock allocations have hovered around 29% or lower, the average annualized return over the next 10 years for the benchmark index has been 16.3%.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，当股票配置徘徊在29%或更低时，基准指数未来10年的平均年化回报率为16.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Even so, unique conditions within the market this year might allow stocks to keep grinding higher.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，今年市场的独特状况可能会让股市继续走高。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets are just doing their own thing,” Mr. Goepfert said. “Something has changed. Whether it’s unprecedented stimulus or maybe there is this generational change with young investors. This new surge into the market keeps driving stocks higher.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场只是在做自己的事情，”戈普弗特先生说。“有些事情已经发生了变化。无论是前所未有的刺激，还是年轻投资者的代际变化。这种新的市场热潮不断推动股市走高。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/record-stock-rally-ignores-wall-streets-phobia-about-optimism-11626600781?mod=hp_lead_pos5\">WSJ</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UAL":"联合大陆航空","JNJ":"强生"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/record-stock-rally-ignores-wall-streets-phobia-about-optimism-11626600781?mod=hp_lead_pos5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123426523","content_text":"The latest victim of the rampaging bull market in stocks is the Wall Street maxim that glowing investor sentiment is a sell signal.\nThroughout 2021, a range of surveys, fund-flow figures and options activity have shown investors big and small to be exceptionally bullish. Yet major U.S. indexes continue to rally to records, putting the Dow Jones Industrial Average up a healthy 13% for 2021.\nAnalysts have long relied on sentiment and related data on risk-taking as contrarian indicators. By the time friends, colleagues and strangers are plowing money into stocks and telling you about it, it’s time to run for cover, to this way of thinking. Likewise, when everyone is selling, you should be buying with both hands.\nBut for much of this year, it has paid enormous dividends to stay with the herd. It’s the latest departure from the tried and true in a year that already has broughtsoaring meme stocks,record lumber pricesand a bond-market rally in the face of rising inflation. In short, now is when analysts and portfolio managers are starting to wonder whether it really is different this time.\n“We’ve been throwing up our hands for a while,” said Jason Goepfert, president of Sundial Capital Research. “For whatever the reason, the market is just rolling over all these historical indicators that before had a very consistent track record.”\nIn the coming week, traders will parse data on housing starts and building permits, as well as earnings from companies including Johnson & Johnson andUnited Airlines HoldingsInc.,for further clues about pricing pressures.\nThey will also be watching to see if sentiment oscillates. Recently, signs of waning sentiment have begun peeking through some indicators, though bullishness largely remains above or near long-term averages.\nAmericans’ stock allocations reached nearly 60% at the end of March, a figure just below the all-time high of 61.7% reached during the dot-com bubble, according to data from Ned Davis Research stretching back to 1951.\nA July survey by retail brokerage E*Trade found that bullishness among the platform’s individual investors recently hit more than a three-year high, rising to 65%. Additionally, the often-watched equity put-call ratio—which measures the volume of bearish options bets placed on stocks versus bullish ones—earlier this year notched sustained levels of optimism not seen since 2000.\nThe source of the optimism that has fueled 39 records this year on the S&P 500 isn’t hard to divine. Most notably, there’s an unusual and powerful blend of stimulus and easy monetary policy that has left investors flush with cash and with few sources of steady investment returns. The entrance ofa new cohort of retail tradershas provided an extra boost to prices, too.\nAnalysts say the combination of those factors has pushed markets higher, providing traders with enough momentum and opportunity to ignore signs of stretched sentiment—as well as other risks, including an unclear inflation outlook andrising coronavirus cases.\nRecently, market breadth, or a measure of how many stocks are participating in a rally, has deteriorated—even as major indexes have continued to hit all-time highs.\nAs of Thursday, only about 49% of stocks in the S&P 500 traded above their 50-day moving averages, according to FactSet, a level that is below average and one that is a sharp reversal from just a few months ago, whenthat metric reached more than 90%. According to Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, that’s a troubling sign when sentiment remains so high.\n“Any longtime sentiment watcher knows that breadth is a positive offset to extreme sentiment conditions,” Ms. Sonders said. “But when breadth starts to deteriorate and the market is still trading at or near all-time highs, and there’s been no dent to sentiment conditions, that’s when trouble really brews.”\nBut sentiment can remain elevated for long periods, as it did in the late 1990s, she said. And while major indexes have risen, pockets of excess have lost steam.\n“In places where speculation has been rampant, you have seen massive drawdowns—in cryptocurrencies, [special-purpose acquisition companies], nonprofitable tech companies and meme stocks,” Ms. Sonders said.\nAccording a recent Charles Schwab note based on data from Ned Davis Research, when stockholdings among U.S. households have previously climbed to among the highest levels, the S&P 500 has tended to produce modest returns on average in following years. For example, when households’ stock allocations have risen to 54.6% or higher—as they did during the dot-com bubble and the years leading up to the 2007-09 recession—the average annualized return for the S&P 500 over the next 10 years has been 4.1%.\nIn contrast, when stock allocations have hovered around 29% or lower, the average annualized return over the next 10 years for the benchmark index has been 16.3%.\nEven so, unique conditions within the market this year might allow stocks to keep grinding higher.\n“Markets are just doing their own thing,” Mr. Goepfert said. “Something has changed. Whether it’s unprecedented stimulus or maybe there is this generational change with young investors. This new surge into the market keeps driving stocks higher.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UAL":0.9,"JNJ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179435356,"gmtCreate":1626570547875,"gmtModify":1631891504660,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179435356","repostId":"2152812616","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2152812616","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1626559168,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2152812616?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-18 05:59","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"U.S. administers 337.24 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines - CDC<blockquote>美国接种了3.3724亿剂COVID-19疫苗-CDC</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2152812616","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 17 (Reuters) - The United States has administered 337,239,448 doses of COVID-19 vaccines in the","content":"<p><html><body>July 17 (Reuters) - The United States has administered 337,239,448 doses of COVID-19 vaccines in the country as of Saturday morning and distributed 390,100,705 doses, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said on Saturday.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透7月17日-美国疾病控制与预防中心周六表示，截至周六上午，美国已在该国接种了337,239,448剂COVID-19疫苗，并分发了390,100,705剂。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>   Those figures are up from the 336,604,158 doses the CDC said had gone into arms by Friday, out of 389,359,835 doses delivered.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字高于疾病预防控制中心表示，截至周五，已交付389,359,835剂疫苗中的336,604,158剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>   The agency said 185,765,452 people had received at least <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> dose while 160,994,035 people were fully vaccinated as of Saturday.</p><p><blockquote>该机构表示，至少有185,765,452人收到了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>截至周六，已有160,994，035人完全接种了疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>   The CDC tally includes two-dose vaccines from Moderna</p><p><blockquote>CDC的统计包括Moderna的两剂疫苗</blockquote></p><p>  and Pfizer/BioNTech    , as well as Johnson &amp; Johnson's    one-shot vaccine as of 6:00 a.m. ET on Saturday.</p><p><blockquote>和辉瑞/BioNTech，以及强生公司截至美国东部时间周六早上6:00的一次性疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> (Editing by Richard Chang)</p><p><blockquote>（编辑张志强）</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. administers 337.24 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines - CDC<blockquote>美国接种了3.3724亿剂COVID-19疫苗-CDC</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. administers 337.24 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines - CDC<blockquote>美国接种了3.3724亿剂COVID-19疫苗-CDC</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-18 05:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>July 17 (Reuters) - The United States has administered 337,239,448 doses of COVID-19 vaccines in the country as of Saturday morning and distributed 390,100,705 doses, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said on Saturday.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透7月17日-美国疾病控制与预防中心周六表示，截至周六上午，美国已在该国接种了337,239,448剂COVID-19疫苗，并分发了390,100,705剂。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>   Those figures are up from the 336,604,158 doses the CDC said had gone into arms by Friday, out of 389,359,835 doses delivered.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字高于疾病预防控制中心表示，截至周五，已交付389,359,835剂疫苗中的336,604,158剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>   The agency said 185,765,452 people had received at least <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> dose while 160,994,035 people were fully vaccinated as of Saturday.</p><p><blockquote>该机构表示，至少有185,765,452人收到了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>截至周六，已有160,994，035人完全接种了疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>   The CDC tally includes two-dose vaccines from Moderna</p><p><blockquote>CDC的统计包括Moderna的两剂疫苗</blockquote></p><p>  and Pfizer/BioNTech    , as well as Johnson &amp; Johnson's    one-shot vaccine as of 6:00 a.m. ET on Saturday.</p><p><blockquote>和辉瑞/BioNTech，以及强生公司截至美国东部时间周六早上6:00的一次性疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> (Editing by Richard Chang)</p><p><blockquote>（编辑张志强）</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","JNJ":"强生"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2152812616","content_text":"July 17 (Reuters) - The United States has administered 337,239,448 doses of COVID-19 vaccines in the country as of Saturday morning and distributed 390,100,705 doses, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said on Saturday.   Those figures are up from the 336,604,158 doses the CDC said had gone into arms by Friday, out of 389,359,835 doses delivered.   The agency said 185,765,452 people had received at least one dose while 160,994,035 people were fully vaccinated as of Saturday.   The CDC tally includes two-dose vaccines from Moderna  and Pfizer/BioNTech    , as well as Johnson & Johnson's    one-shot vaccine as of 6:00 a.m. ET on Saturday. (Editing by Richard Chang)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"JNJ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179385588,"gmtCreate":1626486785244,"gmtModify":1631891504672,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179385588","repostId":"2152068390","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2152068390","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"T-Reuters","id":"1086160438","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5"},"pubTimestamp":1626467099,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2152068390?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-17 04:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"FDA Says Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix With Nitrosamine Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit<blockquote>FDA表示不会反对亚硝胺含量低于临时可接受摄入量限量的伐尼克兰的分销</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2152068390","media":"T-Reuters","summary":"July 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Fda: :Fda Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix (Varenicline) With Nit","content":"<p><html><body>July 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Fda: :Fda Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix (Varenicline) With Nitrosamine Below The Interim Acceptable Intake Limit.Fda - Will Not Object To Distribution Of Varenicline Tablets With N-Nitroso-Varenicline Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit Of 185 Ng Per Day.Fda - Continues To Evaluate Data And May Update The Interim Acceptable Limit Of Nitrosamine In Varenicline Tablets In The Future.Further Company Coverage: Pfe.N. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透7月16日-美国Fda：：Fda不会反对分销亚硝胺含量低于临时可接受摄入量限值的伐尼克兰（伐尼克兰）。Fda-不会反对分销含有低于临时可接受摄入量限值的N-亚硝基伐尼克兰的伐尼克兰片剂每天185 ng.FDA-继续评估数据，并可能在未来更新伐尼克兰片剂中亚硝胺的临时可接受限量。进一步的公司报道：Pfe.N。（（Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com；））。</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>FDA Says Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix With Nitrosamine Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit<blockquote>FDA表示不会反对亚硝胺含量低于临时可接受摄入量限量的伐尼克兰的分销</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFDA Says Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix With Nitrosamine Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit<blockquote>FDA表示不会反对亚硝胺含量低于临时可接受摄入量限量的伐尼克兰的分销</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086160438\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">T-Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-17 04:24</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>July 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Fda: :Fda Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix (Varenicline) With Nitrosamine Below The Interim Acceptable Intake Limit.Fda - Will Not Object To Distribution Of Varenicline Tablets With N-Nitroso-Varenicline Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit Of 185 Ng Per Day.Fda - Continues To Evaluate Data And May Update The Interim Acceptable Limit Of Nitrosamine In Varenicline Tablets In The Future.Further Company Coverage: Pfe.N. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透7月16日-美国Fda：：Fda不会反对分销亚硝胺含量低于临时可接受摄入量限值的伐尼克兰（伐尼克兰）。Fda-不会反对分销含有低于临时可接受摄入量限值的N-亚硝基伐尼克兰的伐尼克兰片剂每天185 ng.FDA-继续评估数据，并可能在未来更新伐尼克兰片剂中亚硝胺的临时可接受限量。进一步的公司报道：Pfe.N。（（Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com；））。</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞"},"source_url":"https://www.trkd.thomsonreuters.com","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2152068390","content_text":"July 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Fda: :Fda Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix (Varenicline) With Nitrosamine Below The Interim Acceptable Intake Limit.Fda - Will Not Object To Distribution Of Varenicline Tablets With N-Nitroso-Varenicline Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit Of 185 Ng Per Day.Fda - Continues To Evaluate Data And May Update The Interim Acceptable Limit Of Nitrosamine In Varenicline Tablets In The Future.Further Company Coverage: Pfe.N. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2965,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179385931,"gmtCreate":1626486763323,"gmtModify":1631891504687,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179385931","repostId":"2152068390","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2152068390","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"T-Reuters","id":"1086160438","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5"},"pubTimestamp":1626467099,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2152068390?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-17 04:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"FDA Says Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix With Nitrosamine Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit<blockquote>FDA表示不会反对亚硝胺含量低于临时可接受摄入量限量的伐尼克兰的分销</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2152068390","media":"T-Reuters","summary":"July 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Fda: :Fda Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix (Varenicline) With Nit","content":"<p><html><body>July 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Fda: :Fda Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix (Varenicline) With Nitrosamine Below The Interim Acceptable Intake Limit.Fda - Will Not Object To Distribution Of Varenicline Tablets With N-Nitroso-Varenicline Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit Of 185 Ng Per Day.Fda - Continues To Evaluate Data And May Update The Interim Acceptable Limit Of Nitrosamine In Varenicline Tablets In The Future.Further Company Coverage: Pfe.N. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透7月16日-美国Fda：：Fda不会反对分销亚硝胺含量低于临时可接受摄入量限值的伐尼克兰（伐尼克兰）。Fda-不会反对分销含有低于临时可接受摄入量限值的N-亚硝基伐尼克兰的伐尼克兰片剂每天185 ng.FDA-继续评估数据，并可能在未来更新伐尼克兰片剂中亚硝胺的临时可接受限量。进一步的公司报道：Pfe.N。（（Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com；））。</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>FDA Says Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix With Nitrosamine Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit<blockquote>FDA表示不会反对亚硝胺含量低于临时可接受摄入量限量的伐尼克兰的分销</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFDA Says Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix With Nitrosamine Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit<blockquote>FDA表示不会反对亚硝胺含量低于临时可接受摄入量限量的伐尼克兰的分销</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086160438\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">T-Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-17 04:24</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>July 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Fda: :Fda Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix (Varenicline) With Nitrosamine Below The Interim Acceptable Intake Limit.Fda - Will Not Object To Distribution Of Varenicline Tablets With N-Nitroso-Varenicline Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit Of 185 Ng Per Day.Fda - Continues To Evaluate Data And May Update The Interim Acceptable Limit Of Nitrosamine In Varenicline Tablets In The Future.Further Company Coverage: Pfe.N. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透7月16日-美国Fda：：Fda不会反对分销亚硝胺含量低于临时可接受摄入量限值的伐尼克兰（伐尼克兰）。Fda-不会反对分销含有低于临时可接受摄入量限值的N-亚硝基伐尼克兰的伐尼克兰片剂每天185 ng.FDA-继续评估数据，并可能在未来更新伐尼克兰片剂中亚硝胺的临时可接受限量。进一步的公司报道：Pfe.N。（（Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com；））。</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞"},"source_url":"https://www.trkd.thomsonreuters.com","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2152068390","content_text":"July 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Fda: :Fda Will Not Object To Distribution Of Chantix (Varenicline) With Nitrosamine Below The Interim Acceptable Intake Limit.Fda - Will Not Object To Distribution Of Varenicline Tablets With N-Nitroso-Varenicline Below Interim Acceptable Intake Limit Of 185 Ng Per Day.Fda - Continues To Evaluate Data And May Update The Interim Acceptable Limit Of Nitrosamine In Varenicline Tablets In The Future.Further Company Coverage: Pfe.N. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170054230,"gmtCreate":1626396961420,"gmtModify":1631891504707,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170054230","repostId":"1107139193","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145676806,"gmtCreate":1626223515505,"gmtModify":1631891504715,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145676806","repostId":"1108602365","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142128713,"gmtCreate":1626137537032,"gmtModify":1631891504723,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Soon","listText":"Soon","text":"Soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142128713","repostId":"1144812338","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146375666,"gmtCreate":1626056355355,"gmtModify":1631892410212,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146375666","repostId":"1131677097","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148499029,"gmtCreate":1625999666461,"gmtModify":1631892410214,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148499029","repostId":"2150309792","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2150309792","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1625907885,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2150309792?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 17:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EU delivers enough doses to vaccinate 70% adults, von der Leyen says<blockquote>冯德莱恩表示，欧盟提供的剂量足以为70%的成年人接种疫苗</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2150309792","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 10 (Reuters) - The European Union $(EU)$ has delivered enough coronavirus vaccine doses to memb","content":"<p><html><body>July 10 (Reuters) - The European Union <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EU\">$(EU)$</a> has delivered enough coronavirus vaccine doses to member states to vaccinate at least 70% of adults,  European Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透7月10日-欧盟<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EU\">$（欧盟）$</a>欧盟委员会主席乌尔苏拉·冯德莱恩在一份声明中表示，已向成员国提供了足够剂量的冠状病毒疫苗，为至少70%的成年人接种疫苗。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>   Von der Leyen urged the EU countries to increase vaccinations and said that about 500 million doses would be distributed across the union by Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>冯德莱恩敦促欧盟国家增加疫苗接种，并表示到周日将在整个欧盟分发约5亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Shubham Kalia; Editing by Toby Chopra)</p><p><blockquote>（舒巴姆·卡利亚报道；托比·乔普拉编辑）</blockquote></p><p>((Shubham.Kalia@thomsonreuters.com;))</p><p><blockquote>（（Shubham.Kalia@thomsonreuters.com；））</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EU delivers enough doses to vaccinate 70% adults, von der Leyen says<blockquote>冯德莱恩表示，欧盟提供的剂量足以为70%的成年人接种疫苗</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEU delivers enough doses to vaccinate 70% adults, von der Leyen says<blockquote>冯德莱恩表示，欧盟提供的剂量足以为70%的成年人接种疫苗</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-10 17:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>July 10 (Reuters) - The European Union <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EU\">$(EU)$</a> has delivered enough coronavirus vaccine doses to member states to vaccinate at least 70% of adults,  European Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透7月10日-欧盟<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EU\">$（欧盟）$</a>欧盟委员会主席乌尔苏拉·冯德莱恩在一份声明中表示，已向成员国提供了足够剂量的冠状病毒疫苗，为至少70%的成年人接种疫苗。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>   Von der Leyen urged the EU countries to increase vaccinations and said that about 500 million doses would be distributed across the union by Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>冯德莱恩敦促欧盟国家增加疫苗接种，并表示到周日将在整个欧盟分发约5亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Shubham Kalia; Editing by Toby Chopra)</p><p><blockquote>（舒巴姆·卡利亚报道；托比·乔普拉编辑）</blockquote></p><p>((Shubham.Kalia@thomsonreuters.com;))</p><p><blockquote>（（Shubham.Kalia@thomsonreuters.com；））</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2150309792","content_text":"July 10 (Reuters) - The European Union $(EU)$ has delivered enough coronavirus vaccine doses to member states to vaccinate at least 70% of adults,  European Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen said in a statement.   Von der Leyen urged the EU countries to increase vaccinations and said that about 500 million doses would be distributed across the union by Sunday. (Reporting by Shubham Kalia; Editing by Toby Chopra)((Shubham.Kalia@thomsonreuters.com;))","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154399579,"gmtCreate":1625476299391,"gmtModify":1631892410219,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154399579","repostId":"2149538023","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2149538023","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1625475690,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2149538023?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-05 17:01","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Oman's state energy company seeks $1.5 bln in financing -sources<blockquote>阿曼国家能源公司寻求15亿美元融资——消息人士</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2149538023","media":"Reuters","summary":"By Saeed Azhar   DUBAI, July 5 (Reuters) - Energy Development Oman (EDO), a relatively new state com","content":"<p><html><body>By Saeed Azhar</p><p><blockquote><html><body>赛义德·阿兹哈尔</body></html></blockquote></p><p>   DUBAI, July 5 (Reuters) - Energy Development Oman (EDO), a relatively new state company, is in talks with banks to raise $1.5 billion in debt financing, two sources said.</p><p><blockquote>路透迪拜7月5日-两位消息人士称，相对较新的国有公司阿曼能源开发公司(EDO)正在与银行就筹集15亿美元债务融资进行谈判。</blockquote></p><p>   EDO was established late last year to take ownership of Oman's largest oil block called Block 6 and to help raise debt.</p><p><blockquote>EDO于去年年底成立，旨在获得阿曼最大的石油区块6的所有权，并帮助筹集债务。</blockquote></p><p>   \"EDO is looking to raise around $1.5 billion,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the sources close to the matter told Reuters. The source said the financing could be in the form of a loan. </p><p><blockquote>“EDO希望筹集约15亿美元，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>知情人士告诉路透社。消息人士称，融资可能以贷款的形式进行。</blockquote></p><p>   The financing is to help fund capital expenditure, a second source familiar with the plan said. </p><p><blockquote>第二位熟悉该计划的消息人士称，这笔融资是为了帮助为资本支出提供资金。</blockquote></p><p>   Block 6 is Oman's largest oil and gas operation, according to energy consulting firm Wood Mackenzie.</p><p><blockquote>据能源咨询公司Wood Mackenzie称，6号区块是阿曼最大的石油和天然气作业。</blockquote></p><p>   The company is working with JPMorgan    on its financing plan the sources said, adding that there is strong interest from lenders in the United Arab Emirates <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAE\">$(UAE)$</a> to be part of the deal.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，该公司正在与摩根大通合作制定融资计划，并补充说，阿联酋的贷款机构对此表现出浓厚兴趣<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAE\">$（阿联酋）$</a>成为交易的一部分。</blockquote></p><p>  EDO could not be reached for comment. JPMorgan declined to comment. </p><p><blockquote>记者无法联系到江户置评。摩根大通拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p>  In May, Minister of Energy and Minerals Mohammed al-Rumhy told Oman's WAF news website that EDO will officially launch an international campaign to raise $3 billion to finance its operations.</p><p><blockquote>5月，能源和矿产部长Mohammed al-Rumhy告诉阿曼WAF新闻网站，EDO将正式发起一项国际运动，筹集30亿美元为其运营提供资金。</blockquote></p><p>   EDO will work on oil and gas exploration as well as on renewable energy projects in Oman, the government said last year.</p><p><blockquote>政府去年表示，EDO将致力于阿曼的石油和天然气勘探以及可再生能源项目。</blockquote></p><p>   Oman recently raised $1.75 billion in nine-year sukuk after bumper investor demand for the issue, helped by a rise in oil prices over the last year and a fiscal consolidation plan. [nL3N2NR297}</p><p><blockquote>在去年油价上涨和财政整顿计划的帮助下，投资者对此次发行的需求旺盛，阿曼最近筹集了17.5亿美元的9年期伊斯兰债券。[nL3N2NR297}</blockquote></p><p>   Rated sub-investment grade by all major credit rating agencies, the Gulf state faces large debt maturities in the coming few years. </p><p><blockquote>这个海湾国家被所有主要信用评级机构评为次投资级，在未来几年将面临大量债务到期。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Saeed Azhar; Editing by Kirsten Donovan)</p><p><blockquote>（赛义德·阿兹哈尔报道；克尔斯滕·多诺万编辑）</blockquote></p><p>((Saeed.Azhar@thomsonreuters.com; +971 44536787; Reuters Messaging: saeed.azhar.reuters.com@reuters.net))</p><p><blockquote>（（saeed.azhar@thomsonreuters.com；+971 445 367 87；路透社消息：saeed.azhar.reuters.com@reuters.net））</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oman's state energy company seeks $1.5 bln in financing -sources<blockquote>阿曼国家能源公司寻求15亿美元融资——消息人士</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOman's state energy company seeks $1.5 bln in financing -sources<blockquote>阿曼国家能源公司寻求15亿美元融资——消息人士</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-05 17:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>By Saeed Azhar</p><p><blockquote><html><body>赛义德·阿兹哈尔</body></html></blockquote></p><p>   DUBAI, July 5 (Reuters) - Energy Development Oman (EDO), a relatively new state company, is in talks with banks to raise $1.5 billion in debt financing, two sources said.</p><p><blockquote>路透迪拜7月5日-两位消息人士称，相对较新的国有公司阿曼能源开发公司(EDO)正在与银行就筹集15亿美元债务融资进行谈判。</blockquote></p><p>   EDO was established late last year to take ownership of Oman's largest oil block called Block 6 and to help raise debt.</p><p><blockquote>EDO于去年年底成立，旨在获得阿曼最大的石油区块6的所有权，并帮助筹集债务。</blockquote></p><p>   \"EDO is looking to raise around $1.5 billion,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the sources close to the matter told Reuters. The source said the financing could be in the form of a loan. </p><p><blockquote>“EDO希望筹集约15亿美元，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>知情人士告诉路透社。消息人士称，融资可能以贷款的形式进行。</blockquote></p><p>   The financing is to help fund capital expenditure, a second source familiar with the plan said. </p><p><blockquote>第二位熟悉该计划的消息人士称，这笔融资是为了帮助为资本支出提供资金。</blockquote></p><p>   Block 6 is Oman's largest oil and gas operation, according to energy consulting firm Wood Mackenzie.</p><p><blockquote>据能源咨询公司Wood Mackenzie称，6号区块是阿曼最大的石油和天然气作业。</blockquote></p><p>   The company is working with JPMorgan    on its financing plan the sources said, adding that there is strong interest from lenders in the United Arab Emirates <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAE\">$(UAE)$</a> to be part of the deal.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，该公司正在与摩根大通合作制定融资计划，并补充说，阿联酋的贷款机构对此表现出浓厚兴趣<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAE\">$（阿联酋）$</a>成为交易的一部分。</blockquote></p><p>  EDO could not be reached for comment. JPMorgan declined to comment. </p><p><blockquote>记者无法联系到江户置评。摩根大通拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p>  In May, Minister of Energy and Minerals Mohammed al-Rumhy told Oman's WAF news website that EDO will officially launch an international campaign to raise $3 billion to finance its operations.</p><p><blockquote>5月，能源和矿产部长Mohammed al-Rumhy告诉阿曼WAF新闻网站，EDO将正式发起一项国际运动，筹集30亿美元为其运营提供资金。</blockquote></p><p>   EDO will work on oil and gas exploration as well as on renewable energy projects in Oman, the government said last year.</p><p><blockquote>政府去年表示，EDO将致力于阿曼的石油和天然气勘探以及可再生能源项目。</blockquote></p><p>   Oman recently raised $1.75 billion in nine-year sukuk after bumper investor demand for the issue, helped by a rise in oil prices over the last year and a fiscal consolidation plan. [nL3N2NR297}</p><p><blockquote>在去年油价上涨和财政整顿计划的帮助下，投资者对此次发行的需求旺盛，阿曼最近筹集了17.5亿美元的9年期伊斯兰债券。[nL3N2NR297}</blockquote></p><p>   Rated sub-investment grade by all major credit rating agencies, the Gulf state faces large debt maturities in the coming few years. </p><p><blockquote>这个海湾国家被所有主要信用评级机构评为次投资级，在未来几年将面临大量债务到期。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Saeed Azhar; Editing by Kirsten Donovan)</p><p><blockquote>（赛义德·阿兹哈尔报道；克尔斯滕·多诺万编辑）</blockquote></p><p>((Saeed.Azhar@thomsonreuters.com; +971 44536787; Reuters Messaging: saeed.azhar.reuters.com@reuters.net))</p><p><blockquote>（（saeed.azhar@thomsonreuters.com；+971 445 367 87；路透社消息：saeed.azhar.reuters.com@reuters.net））</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2149538023","content_text":"By Saeed Azhar   DUBAI, July 5 (Reuters) - Energy Development Oman (EDO), a relatively new state company, is in talks with banks to raise $1.5 billion in debt financing, two sources said.   EDO was established late last year to take ownership of Oman's largest oil block called Block 6 and to help raise debt.   \"EDO is looking to raise around $1.5 billion,\" one of the sources close to the matter told Reuters. The source said the financing could be in the form of a loan.    The financing is to help fund capital expenditure, a second source familiar with the plan said.    Block 6 is Oman's largest oil and gas operation, according to energy consulting firm Wood Mackenzie.   The company is working with JPMorgan    on its financing plan the sources said, adding that there is strong interest from lenders in the United Arab Emirates $(UAE)$ to be part of the deal.  EDO could not be reached for comment. JPMorgan declined to comment.   In May, Minister of Energy and Minerals Mohammed al-Rumhy told Oman's WAF news website that EDO will officially launch an international campaign to raise $3 billion to finance its operations.   EDO will work on oil and gas exploration as well as on renewable energy projects in Oman, the government said last year.   Oman recently raised $1.75 billion in nine-year sukuk after bumper investor demand for the issue, helped by a rise in oil prices over the last year and a fiscal consolidation plan. [nL3N2NR297}   Rated sub-investment grade by all major credit rating agencies, the Gulf state faces large debt maturities in the coming few years.  (Reporting by Saeed Azhar; Editing by Kirsten Donovan)((Saeed.Azhar@thomsonreuters.com; +971 44536787; Reuters Messaging: saeed.azhar.reuters.com@reuters.net))","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JPM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155063823,"gmtCreate":1625364320562,"gmtModify":1631892410222,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155063823","repostId":"1189605893","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152523558,"gmtCreate":1625315546774,"gmtModify":1631892410227,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wait","listText":"Wait","text":"Wait","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152523558","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188153141?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧，其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman)，她甚至表示，她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情，”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了，不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年，”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标，以他的名字命名，已经亮起红灯足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是，它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面，”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样，你的美元现在将走得更远，为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入，但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费购买东西，”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份，否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始，你拥有的钱就越多，”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该很高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多，20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否即将来临，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择Roth账户，无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面，传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税，因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导，与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向，以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时，你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上，计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧，其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman)，她甚至表示，她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情，”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了，不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年，”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标，以他的名字命名，已经亮起红灯足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是，它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面，”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样，你的美元现在将走得更远，为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入，但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费购买东西，”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份，否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始，你拥有的钱就越多，”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该很高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多，20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否即将来临，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择Roth账户，无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面，传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税，因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导，与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向，以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时，你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上，计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152322752,"gmtCreate":1625271803176,"gmtModify":1631892410237,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thank you","listText":"Thank you","text":"Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152322752","repostId":"1149622010","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152322364,"gmtCreate":1625271764258,"gmtModify":1631892410241,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152322364","repostId":"1120590567","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120590567","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625238577,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120590567?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO May Grow Even Faster Than Expected<blockquote>蔚来的增长速度可能比预期还要快</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120590567","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nNIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.\nThe Chinese EV maker returned to triple-d","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.</li>  <li>The Chinese EV maker returned to triple-digit delivery growth last month, helped by strong Y/Y growth in NIO’s flagship model ES6.</li>  <li>NIO is set to overcome production setbacks and ramp up production in the second half of 2021.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ca537373e278344c3447309dd586ea\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来6月份的交付量以令人印象深刻的速度增长。</li><li>得益于蔚来旗舰车型ES6的强劲同比增长，这家中国电动汽车制造商上个月的交付量恢复了三位数增长。</li><li>蔚来将克服生产挫折，并在2021年下半年提高产量。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (NIO) is rebounding fast from the pandemic-driven chip supply shortage and the proof is in surging EV deliveries. Impressive delivery rates for the month of June show that the market may underestimate NIO's growth potential.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）正在从大流行导致的芯片供应短缺中迅速反弹，电动汽车交付量激增就是证明。6月份令人印象深刻的交付率表明市场可能低估了蔚来的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Shipping volumes are accelerating</b></p><p><blockquote><b>出货量正在加速</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO guided for lower production volumes in the second quarter due to the global chip and battery supply shortage. The shortage was set to&nbsp;reduce NIO's factory output&nbsp;from 10,000 vehicles to 7,500 vehicles a month.</p><p><blockquote>由于全球芯片和电池供应短缺，蔚来预计第二季度产量将下降。此次短缺将使蔚来工厂的产量从每月10,000辆减少到7,500辆。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor supply shortage has its roots in the COVID-19 pandemic. As more people started to work from home, a sharp increase in demand for semiconductors from the consumer electronics industry coincided with a faster than anticipated rebound in chip demand from the auto industry, leading to a global shortage in semiconductors that is throttling auto production from the US to China. NIO's guidance for lower factory output has lowered delivery expectations but a return to triple-digit growth rates may now push NIO's stock higher again.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体供应短缺的根源在于COVID-19大流行。随着越来越多的人开始在家工作，消费电子行业对半导体的需求急剧增加，而汽车行业的芯片需求反弹速度快于预期，导致全球半导体短缺，抑制了美国到中国的汽车生产。蔚来对工厂产出下降的指导降低了交付预期，但恢复三位数的增长率现在可能会推动蔚来股价再次走高。</blockquote></p><p> While the temporary production drop was a setback for NIO, it seems that the electric vehicle maker is ready to bounce back.NIO's June deliveries&nbsp;were nothing short of impressive and the market may underestimate NIO's ability to grow EV deliveries at triple digits this year. The Chinese EV maker delivered a total 8,083 vehicles in June, bringing the Q2'21 total to 21,896 EVs consisting of all models… NIO's 5-seater electric SUV ES6, the 5-seater electric coupe SUV EC6 and the 6-seater or 7-seater electric SUV ES8. NIO's monthly and quarterly delivery totals hit records in the second quarter and the EV maker is set to reach new records for the rest of the year. Total June deliveries saw 116% growth Y/Y with the largest growth coming from the ES6 model. The ES6 category saw 52% growth Y/Y. Total deliveries for Q2'21 were 21,896, most of which were ES6s, showing growth of 112% Y/Y… and that's despite production problems in the second quarter. Comparable figures for the EC6 are not available since deliveries for this model only began after the second quarter last year. What stands out from NIO's June delivery report is that shipping growth is speeding up compared to the previous month, which may be seen as a sign that NIO's delivery capabilities are undervalued. In May, NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles which is equivalent to a Y/Y growth rate of 95%. Strong delivery numbers for the month of June may be a cue that NIO's production problems are easing and that NIO is ready to return to full production capacity.</p><p><blockquote>虽然暂时的产量下降对蔚来来说是一个挫折，但这家电动汽车制造商似乎已准备好反弹。蔚来6月份的交付量令人印象深刻，市场可能低估了蔚来今年电动汽车交付量以三位数增长的能力。这家中国电动汽车制造商在6月份共交付了8,083辆汽车，使21年第二季度的电动汽车总数达到21,896辆，包括所有车型……蔚来的5座电动SUV ES6、5座电动轿跑车SUV EC6和6座或7座电动SUV ES8。蔚来第二季度的月度和季度交付总量创下纪录，这家电动汽车制造商将在今年剩余时间内创下新纪录。6月份总交付量同比增长116%，其中ES6车型增长最大。ES6类别同比增长52%。21年第二季度的总交付量为21,896辆，其中大部分是ES6，同比增长112%……尽管第二季度出现了生产问题。EC6的可比数据不可用，因为该车型在去年第二季度之后才开始交付。蔚来6月交付报告中值得注意的是，与上个月相比，航运增长正在加快，这可能被视为蔚来交付能力被低估的迹象。5月份，蔚来交付汽车6,711辆，同比增长率为95%。6月份强劲的交付数据可能表明蔚来的生产问题正在缓解，蔚来已准备好恢复满负荷产能。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af76b71f8259337d534fb29b1a6a8c4\" tg-width=\"673\" tg-height=\"129\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles which the EV maker is not fully utilizing due to the semiconductor shortage. As soon as the chip shortage eases, which can be expected to be the case in the second half of the year, we should see a steady ramp up in NIO's factory output and deliveries. The speed of the ramp up will depend less on demand but rather on the severity of the supply shortage. The semiconductor shortage is a primary risk factor that will impact NIO's delivery success in the remaining two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的年产能为15万辆汽车，但由于半导体短缺，该电动汽车制造商并未充分利用该产能。一旦芯片短缺问题得到缓解（预计下半年的情况），我们应该会看到蔚来工厂产量和交付量稳步上升。增长的速度将不太取决于需求，而是取决于供应短缺的严重程度。半导体短缺是影响蔚来在剩余两个季度交付成功的主要风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> The market for electric vehicles is very resilient in China and demand for zero-emission passenger vehicles is not going away due to delays in production, which may be a sort of luxury problem for Chinese EV makers. NIO's EV sales in China have surged this year, but the second half of the year may see even faster growth as the industry works through the supply problem.</p><p><blockquote>中国的电动汽车市场非常有弹性，对零排放乘用车的需求不会因为生产延迟而消失，这对中国电动汽车制造商来说可能是一种奢侈问题。蔚来今年在华电动汽车销量激增，但随着该行业解决供应问题，下半年可能会出现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7579fc2abe7ca63887e68a9256b54cb3\" tg-width=\"921\" tg-height=\"438\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> XPeng (XPEV), another Chinese electric vehicle maker,delivered&nbsp;6,565 Smart EVs in June 2021, representing growth of 617% Y/Y. XPeng sold 4,730 electric sport sedans and 1,835 compact SUVs last month, more than ever before. In Q2'21, XPeng delivered 17,398 deliveries, representing 439% growth Y/Y.</p><p><blockquote>另一家中国电动汽车制造商小鹏汽车(XPEV)于2021年6月交付了6,565辆智能电动汽车，同比增长617%。小鹏汽车上个月售出了4,730辆电动运动轿车和1,835辆紧凑型SUV，比以往任何时候都多。21年第二季度，小鹏汽车交付量为17,398辆，同比增长439%。</blockquote></p><p> XPeng's EV sales in China are also soaring showing strong demand and customer uptake of EV vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车在中国的电动汽车销量也在飙升，显示出电动汽车的强劲需求和客户接受度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c8cd25b4fd64f193bc91dabbee99e54\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"445\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>NIO FY 2021 delivery projections</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来2021财年交付预测</b></blockquote></p><p> My estimates for Q3'21 and Q4'21 deliveries are shown in the graph below and assume a ramp up especially in NIO's ES6 delivery capability and a continual escalation to a quarterly output of 30,000 vehicles by year-end. A quarterly output volume of around 30,000 cars by year-end is realistic to achieve and NIO would still be operating 20% below full production capacity. Calculating the delivery totals for Q1 and Q2 together with my estimates for Q3 and Q4 results in a total delivery potential of 97,056 vehicles (across all three models) in FY 2021 and NIO may even be able to crack the 100,000 barrier if shipment volumes continue to accelerate at a strong rate in the last two quarters of the year. NIO delivered 43,728 vehicles in 2020 in total, so a 97,056 delivery estimate for 2021 implies 122% Y/Y growth. In the first six months of 2021, NIO already delivered 41,956 or 43% of my FY 2021 delivery estimate. As production returns to normal in the second half of the year, NIO should be able to create triple-digit delivery growth on a Y/Y basis.</p><p><blockquote>我对21年第3季度和21年第4季度交付量的估计如下图所示，并假设蔚来的ES6交付能力将有所提高，并且到年底季度产量将持续升级至30,000辆。到年底实现约30,000辆汽车的季度产量是现实的，而蔚来的运营仍将比满负荷产能低20%。计算第一季度和第二季度的交付总量以及我对第三季度和第四季度的估计，2021财年的总交付潜力为97,056辆汽车（包括所有三种车型），如果出货量继续增长，蔚来甚至可能能够突破100,000辆大关今年最后两个季度以强劲的速度加速。蔚来在2020年总共交付了43,728辆汽车，因此2021年的交付量预计为97,056辆，意味着同比增长122%。2021年前六个月，蔚来已交付41,956辆，占我2021财年交付预期的43%。随着下半年生产恢复正常，蔚来应该能够创造三位数的同比交付增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb01be329ab1b6d9a6097e74a1d5b250\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"116\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO's sales growth is cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的销售增长很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> EV makers are not cheap and that is because the market values sales and delivery growth more than anything. NIO trades at a P-S ratio of 9.4 and the valuation multiplier factor is not that much different from other EV makers. Compared against Tesla (TSLA), which trades at a P-S ratio of 9.9, NIO has more revaluation potential because it operates in a larger market and has a lower revenue base.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商的价格并不便宜，这是因为市场最看重销售和交付增长。蔚来的市盈率为9.4，估值乘数因素与其他电动汽车制造商没有太大区别。与市盈率为9.9的特斯拉(TSLA)相比，蔚来具有更大的重估潜力，因为它在更大的市场中运营且收入基础较低。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84e0cee1726c807b6b7d04f4f4e44f2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The chip supply shortage is still a major risk factor for NIO and it will have an impact on NIO's Q3 and Q4 production output... which will be below potential. As conditions normalize slowly in the second half, NIO should be able to ramp up factory output and deliveries. While delivery growth rates are influenced by factors outside of NIO's operations, they also represent a big opportunity for NIO to surprise the market. Better than expected growth rates and a fast return to full production could create fertile ground for stock price appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>芯片供应短缺仍然是蔚来的一个主要风险因素，它将对蔚来第三季度和第四季度的产量产生影响...这将低于电位。随着下半年情况慢慢正常化，蔚来应该能够提高工厂产量和交付量。虽然交付增长率受到蔚来运营之外因素的影响，但它们也代表着蔚来给市场带来惊喜的巨大机会。好于预期的增长率和快速恢复全面生产可能会为股价升值创造沃土。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO may be growing faster than expected in 2021 as the chip supply shortage eases and a strong rebound in the second half of the year could push NIO to hit the critical 100,000 annual delivery milestone. Demand for EVs remained strong in 2021 and Chinese EV makers are killing it. I believe 120% Y/Y growth in annual deliveries is possible in 2021 as factory output normalizes in the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>随着芯片供应短缺的缓解，蔚来在2021年的增长速度可能会快于预期，下半年的强劲反弹可能会推动蔚来达到关键的10万辆年交付里程碑。2021年电动汽车需求依然强劲，而中国电动汽车制造商正在扼杀这一需求。我相信，随着下半年工厂产出正常化，2021年全年交付量有可能同比增长120%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO May Grow Even Faster Than Expected<blockquote>蔚来的增长速度可能比预期还要快</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO May Grow Even Faster Than Expected<blockquote>蔚来的增长速度可能比预期还要快</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 23:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.</li>  <li>The Chinese EV maker returned to triple-digit delivery growth last month, helped by strong Y/Y growth in NIO’s flagship model ES6.</li>  <li>NIO is set to overcome production setbacks and ramp up production in the second half of 2021.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ca537373e278344c3447309dd586ea\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来6月份的交付量以令人印象深刻的速度增长。</li><li>得益于蔚来旗舰车型ES6的强劲同比增长，这家中国电动汽车制造商上个月的交付量恢复了三位数增长。</li><li>蔚来将克服生产挫折，并在2021年下半年提高产量。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (NIO) is rebounding fast from the pandemic-driven chip supply shortage and the proof is in surging EV deliveries. Impressive delivery rates for the month of June show that the market may underestimate NIO's growth potential.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）正在从大流行导致的芯片供应短缺中迅速反弹，电动汽车交付量激增就是证明。6月份令人印象深刻的交付率表明市场可能低估了蔚来的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Shipping volumes are accelerating</b></p><p><blockquote><b>出货量正在加速</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO guided for lower production volumes in the second quarter due to the global chip and battery supply shortage. The shortage was set to&nbsp;reduce NIO's factory output&nbsp;from 10,000 vehicles to 7,500 vehicles a month.</p><p><blockquote>由于全球芯片和电池供应短缺，蔚来预计第二季度产量将下降。此次短缺将使蔚来工厂的产量从每月10,000辆减少到7,500辆。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor supply shortage has its roots in the COVID-19 pandemic. As more people started to work from home, a sharp increase in demand for semiconductors from the consumer electronics industry coincided with a faster than anticipated rebound in chip demand from the auto industry, leading to a global shortage in semiconductors that is throttling auto production from the US to China. NIO's guidance for lower factory output has lowered delivery expectations but a return to triple-digit growth rates may now push NIO's stock higher again.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体供应短缺的根源在于COVID-19大流行。随着越来越多的人开始在家工作，消费电子行业对半导体的需求急剧增加，而汽车行业的芯片需求反弹速度快于预期，导致全球半导体短缺，抑制了美国到中国的汽车生产。蔚来对工厂产出下降的指导降低了交付预期，但恢复三位数的增长率现在可能会推动蔚来股价再次走高。</blockquote></p><p> While the temporary production drop was a setback for NIO, it seems that the electric vehicle maker is ready to bounce back.NIO's June deliveries&nbsp;were nothing short of impressive and the market may underestimate NIO's ability to grow EV deliveries at triple digits this year. The Chinese EV maker delivered a total 8,083 vehicles in June, bringing the Q2'21 total to 21,896 EVs consisting of all models… NIO's 5-seater electric SUV ES6, the 5-seater electric coupe SUV EC6 and the 6-seater or 7-seater electric SUV ES8. NIO's monthly and quarterly delivery totals hit records in the second quarter and the EV maker is set to reach new records for the rest of the year. Total June deliveries saw 116% growth Y/Y with the largest growth coming from the ES6 model. The ES6 category saw 52% growth Y/Y. Total deliveries for Q2'21 were 21,896, most of which were ES6s, showing growth of 112% Y/Y… and that's despite production problems in the second quarter. Comparable figures for the EC6 are not available since deliveries for this model only began after the second quarter last year. What stands out from NIO's June delivery report is that shipping growth is speeding up compared to the previous month, which may be seen as a sign that NIO's delivery capabilities are undervalued. In May, NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles which is equivalent to a Y/Y growth rate of 95%. Strong delivery numbers for the month of June may be a cue that NIO's production problems are easing and that NIO is ready to return to full production capacity.</p><p><blockquote>虽然暂时的产量下降对蔚来来说是一个挫折，但这家电动汽车制造商似乎已准备好反弹。蔚来6月份的交付量令人印象深刻，市场可能低估了蔚来今年电动汽车交付量以三位数增长的能力。这家中国电动汽车制造商在6月份共交付了8,083辆汽车，使21年第二季度的电动汽车总数达到21,896辆，包括所有车型……蔚来的5座电动SUV ES6、5座电动轿跑车SUV EC6和6座或7座电动SUV ES8。蔚来第二季度的月度和季度交付总量创下纪录，这家电动汽车制造商将在今年剩余时间内创下新纪录。6月份总交付量同比增长116%，其中ES6车型增长最大。ES6类别同比增长52%。21年第二季度的总交付量为21,896辆，其中大部分是ES6，同比增长112%……尽管第二季度出现了生产问题。EC6的可比数据不可用，因为该车型在去年第二季度之后才开始交付。蔚来6月交付报告中值得注意的是，与上个月相比，航运增长正在加快，这可能被视为蔚来交付能力被低估的迹象。5月份，蔚来交付汽车6,711辆，同比增长率为95%。6月份强劲的交付数据可能表明蔚来的生产问题正在缓解，蔚来已准备好恢复满负荷产能。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af76b71f8259337d534fb29b1a6a8c4\" tg-width=\"673\" tg-height=\"129\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles which the EV maker is not fully utilizing due to the semiconductor shortage. As soon as the chip shortage eases, which can be expected to be the case in the second half of the year, we should see a steady ramp up in NIO's factory output and deliveries. The speed of the ramp up will depend less on demand but rather on the severity of the supply shortage. The semiconductor shortage is a primary risk factor that will impact NIO's delivery success in the remaining two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的年产能为15万辆汽车，但由于半导体短缺，该电动汽车制造商并未充分利用该产能。一旦芯片短缺问题得到缓解（预计下半年的情况），我们应该会看到蔚来工厂产量和交付量稳步上升。增长的速度将不太取决于需求，而是取决于供应短缺的严重程度。半导体短缺是影响蔚来在剩余两个季度交付成功的主要风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> The market for electric vehicles is very resilient in China and demand for zero-emission passenger vehicles is not going away due to delays in production, which may be a sort of luxury problem for Chinese EV makers. NIO's EV sales in China have surged this year, but the second half of the year may see even faster growth as the industry works through the supply problem.</p><p><blockquote>中国的电动汽车市场非常有弹性，对零排放乘用车的需求不会因为生产延迟而消失，这对中国电动汽车制造商来说可能是一种奢侈问题。蔚来今年在华电动汽车销量激增，但随着该行业解决供应问题，下半年可能会出现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7579fc2abe7ca63887e68a9256b54cb3\" tg-width=\"921\" tg-height=\"438\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> XPeng (XPEV), another Chinese electric vehicle maker,delivered&nbsp;6,565 Smart EVs in June 2021, representing growth of 617% Y/Y. XPeng sold 4,730 electric sport sedans and 1,835 compact SUVs last month, more than ever before. In Q2'21, XPeng delivered 17,398 deliveries, representing 439% growth Y/Y.</p><p><blockquote>另一家中国电动汽车制造商小鹏汽车(XPEV)于2021年6月交付了6,565辆智能电动汽车，同比增长617%。小鹏汽车上个月售出了4,730辆电动运动轿车和1,835辆紧凑型SUV，比以往任何时候都多。21年第二季度，小鹏汽车交付量为17,398辆，同比增长439%。</blockquote></p><p> XPeng's EV sales in China are also soaring showing strong demand and customer uptake of EV vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车在中国的电动汽车销量也在飙升，显示出电动汽车的强劲需求和客户接受度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c8cd25b4fd64f193bc91dabbee99e54\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"445\"><span>(Source:InsideEVs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：InsideEVs）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>NIO FY 2021 delivery projections</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来2021财年交付预测</b></blockquote></p><p> My estimates for Q3'21 and Q4'21 deliveries are shown in the graph below and assume a ramp up especially in NIO's ES6 delivery capability and a continual escalation to a quarterly output of 30,000 vehicles by year-end. A quarterly output volume of around 30,000 cars by year-end is realistic to achieve and NIO would still be operating 20% below full production capacity. Calculating the delivery totals for Q1 and Q2 together with my estimates for Q3 and Q4 results in a total delivery potential of 97,056 vehicles (across all three models) in FY 2021 and NIO may even be able to crack the 100,000 barrier if shipment volumes continue to accelerate at a strong rate in the last two quarters of the year. NIO delivered 43,728 vehicles in 2020 in total, so a 97,056 delivery estimate for 2021 implies 122% Y/Y growth. In the first six months of 2021, NIO already delivered 41,956 or 43% of my FY 2021 delivery estimate. As production returns to normal in the second half of the year, NIO should be able to create triple-digit delivery growth on a Y/Y basis.</p><p><blockquote>我对21年第3季度和21年第4季度交付量的估计如下图所示，并假设蔚来的ES6交付能力将有所提高，并且到年底季度产量将持续升级至30,000辆。到年底实现约30,000辆汽车的季度产量是现实的，而蔚来的运营仍将比满负荷产能低20%。计算第一季度和第二季度的交付总量以及我对第三季度和第四季度的估计，2021财年的总交付潜力为97,056辆汽车（包括所有三种车型），如果出货量继续增长，蔚来甚至可能能够突破100,000辆大关今年最后两个季度以强劲的速度加速。蔚来在2020年总共交付了43,728辆汽车，因此2021年的交付量预计为97,056辆，意味着同比增长122%。2021年前六个月，蔚来已交付41,956辆，占我2021财年交付预期的43%。随着下半年生产恢复正常，蔚来应该能够创造三位数的同比交付增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb01be329ab1b6d9a6097e74a1d5b250\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"116\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO's sales growth is cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的销售增长很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> EV makers are not cheap and that is because the market values sales and delivery growth more than anything. NIO trades at a P-S ratio of 9.4 and the valuation multiplier factor is not that much different from other EV makers. Compared against Tesla (TSLA), which trades at a P-S ratio of 9.9, NIO has more revaluation potential because it operates in a larger market and has a lower revenue base.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商的价格并不便宜，这是因为市场最看重销售和交付增长。蔚来的市盈率为9.4，估值乘数因素与其他电动汽车制造商没有太大区别。与市盈率为9.9的特斯拉(TSLA)相比，蔚来具有更大的重估潜力，因为它在更大的市场中运营且收入基础较低。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84e0cee1726c807b6b7d04f4f4e44f2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The chip supply shortage is still a major risk factor for NIO and it will have an impact on NIO's Q3 and Q4 production output... which will be below potential. As conditions normalize slowly in the second half, NIO should be able to ramp up factory output and deliveries. While delivery growth rates are influenced by factors outside of NIO's operations, they also represent a big opportunity for NIO to surprise the market. Better than expected growth rates and a fast return to full production could create fertile ground for stock price appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>芯片供应短缺仍然是蔚来的一个主要风险因素，它将对蔚来第三季度和第四季度的产量产生影响...这将低于电位。随着下半年情况慢慢正常化，蔚来应该能够提高工厂产量和交付量。虽然交付增长率受到蔚来运营之外因素的影响，但它们也代表着蔚来给市场带来惊喜的巨大机会。好于预期的增长率和快速恢复全面生产可能会为股价升值创造沃土。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO may be growing faster than expected in 2021 as the chip supply shortage eases and a strong rebound in the second half of the year could push NIO to hit the critical 100,000 annual delivery milestone. Demand for EVs remained strong in 2021 and Chinese EV makers are killing it. I believe 120% Y/Y growth in annual deliveries is possible in 2021 as factory output normalizes in the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>随着芯片供应短缺的缓解，蔚来在2021年的增长速度可能会快于预期，下半年的强劲反弹可能会推动蔚来达到关键的10万辆年交付里程碑。2021年电动汽车需求依然强劲，而中国电动汽车制造商正在扼杀这一需求。我相信，随着下半年工厂产出正常化，2021年全年交付量有可能同比增长120%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437606-nio-may-grow-faster-than-expected\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437606-nio-may-grow-faster-than-expected","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120590567","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO’s June deliveries grew at an impressive rate.\nThe Chinese EV maker returned to triple-digit delivery growth last month, helped by strong Y/Y growth in NIO’s flagship model ES6.\nNIO is set to overcome production setbacks and ramp up production in the second half of 2021.\n\npeterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images\nChinese electric vehicle maker NIO (NIO) is rebounding fast from the pandemic-driven chip supply shortage and the proof is in surging EV deliveries. Impressive delivery rates for the month of June show that the market may underestimate NIO's growth potential.\nShipping volumes are accelerating\nNIO guided for lower production volumes in the second quarter due to the global chip and battery supply shortage. The shortage was set to reduce NIO's factory output from 10,000 vehicles to 7,500 vehicles a month.\nThe global semiconductor supply shortage has its roots in the COVID-19 pandemic. As more people started to work from home, a sharp increase in demand for semiconductors from the consumer electronics industry coincided with a faster than anticipated rebound in chip demand from the auto industry, leading to a global shortage in semiconductors that is throttling auto production from the US to China. NIO's guidance for lower factory output has lowered delivery expectations but a return to triple-digit growth rates may now push NIO's stock higher again.\nWhile the temporary production drop was a setback for NIO, it seems that the electric vehicle maker is ready to bounce back.NIO's June deliveries were nothing short of impressive and the market may underestimate NIO's ability to grow EV deliveries at triple digits this year. The Chinese EV maker delivered a total 8,083 vehicles in June, bringing the Q2'21 total to 21,896 EVs consisting of all models… NIO's 5-seater electric SUV ES6, the 5-seater electric coupe SUV EC6 and the 6-seater or 7-seater electric SUV ES8. NIO's monthly and quarterly delivery totals hit records in the second quarter and the EV maker is set to reach new records for the rest of the year. Total June deliveries saw 116% growth Y/Y with the largest growth coming from the ES6 model. The ES6 category saw 52% growth Y/Y. Total deliveries for Q2'21 were 21,896, most of which were ES6s, showing growth of 112% Y/Y… and that's despite production problems in the second quarter. Comparable figures for the EC6 are not available since deliveries for this model only began after the second quarter last year. What stands out from NIO's June delivery report is that shipping growth is speeding up compared to the previous month, which may be seen as a sign that NIO's delivery capabilities are undervalued. In May, NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles which is equivalent to a Y/Y growth rate of 95%. Strong delivery numbers for the month of June may be a cue that NIO's production problems are easing and that NIO is ready to return to full production capacity.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO has an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles which the EV maker is not fully utilizing due to the semiconductor shortage. As soon as the chip shortage eases, which can be expected to be the case in the second half of the year, we should see a steady ramp up in NIO's factory output and deliveries. The speed of the ramp up will depend less on demand but rather on the severity of the supply shortage. The semiconductor shortage is a primary risk factor that will impact NIO's delivery success in the remaining two quarters.\nThe market for electric vehicles is very resilient in China and demand for zero-emission passenger vehicles is not going away due to delays in production, which may be a sort of luxury problem for Chinese EV makers. NIO's EV sales in China have surged this year, but the second half of the year may see even faster growth as the industry works through the supply problem.\n(Source:InsideEVs)\nXPeng (XPEV), another Chinese electric vehicle maker,delivered 6,565 Smart EVs in June 2021, representing growth of 617% Y/Y. XPeng sold 4,730 electric sport sedans and 1,835 compact SUVs last month, more than ever before. In Q2'21, XPeng delivered 17,398 deliveries, representing 439% growth Y/Y.\nXPeng's EV sales in China are also soaring showing strong demand and customer uptake of EV vehicles.\n(Source:InsideEVs)\nNIO FY 2021 delivery projections\nMy estimates for Q3'21 and Q4'21 deliveries are shown in the graph below and assume a ramp up especially in NIO's ES6 delivery capability and a continual escalation to a quarterly output of 30,000 vehicles by year-end. A quarterly output volume of around 30,000 cars by year-end is realistic to achieve and NIO would still be operating 20% below full production capacity. Calculating the delivery totals for Q1 and Q2 together with my estimates for Q3 and Q4 results in a total delivery potential of 97,056 vehicles (across all three models) in FY 2021 and NIO may even be able to crack the 100,000 barrier if shipment volumes continue to accelerate at a strong rate in the last two quarters of the year. NIO delivered 43,728 vehicles in 2020 in total, so a 97,056 delivery estimate for 2021 implies 122% Y/Y growth. In the first six months of 2021, NIO already delivered 41,956 or 43% of my FY 2021 delivery estimate. As production returns to normal in the second half of the year, NIO should be able to create triple-digit delivery growth on a Y/Y basis.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO's sales growth is cheap\nEV makers are not cheap and that is because the market values sales and delivery growth more than anything. NIO trades at a P-S ratio of 9.4 and the valuation multiplier factor is not that much different from other EV makers. Compared against Tesla (TSLA), which trades at a P-S ratio of 9.9, NIO has more revaluation potential because it operates in a larger market and has a lower revenue base.\nData by YCharts\nRisks\nThe chip supply shortage is still a major risk factor for NIO and it will have an impact on NIO's Q3 and Q4 production output... which will be below potential. As conditions normalize slowly in the second half, NIO should be able to ramp up factory output and deliveries. While delivery growth rates are influenced by factors outside of NIO's operations, they also represent a big opportunity for NIO to surprise the market. Better than expected growth rates and a fast return to full production could create fertile ground for stock price appreciation.\nFinal thoughts\nNIO may be growing faster than expected in 2021 as the chip supply shortage eases and a strong rebound in the second half of the year could push NIO to hit the critical 100,000 annual delivery milestone. Demand for EVs remained strong in 2021 and Chinese EV makers are killing it. I believe 120% Y/Y growth in annual deliveries is possible in 2021 as factory output normalizes in the second half of the year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156026741,"gmtCreate":1625187153783,"gmtModify":1631892410225,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581975110248198","idStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wait n see","listText":"Wait n see","text":"Wait n see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156026741","repostId":"1175807186","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":885955575,"gmtCreate":1631752909797,"gmtModify":1631891504611,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581975110248198","authorIdStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885955575","repostId":"2167592712","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176730905,"gmtCreate":1626915062207,"gmtModify":1631891504623,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581975110248198","authorIdStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Continue go higher?","listText":"Continue go higher?","text":"Continue go higher?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176730905","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173671566,"gmtCreate":1626659863555,"gmtModify":1631891504650,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581975110248198","authorIdStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Beware","listText":"Beware","text":"Beware","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173671566","repostId":"1123426523","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1123426523","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626656489,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123426523?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Record Stock Rally Ignores Wall Street’s Phobia About Optimism<blockquote>创纪录的股市上涨忽略了华尔街对乐观情绪的恐惧</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123426523","media":"WSJ","summary":"The latest victim of the rampaging bull market in stocks is the Wall Street maxim that glowing inves","content":"<p>The latest victim of the rampaging bull market in stocks is the Wall Street maxim that glowing investor sentiment is a sell signal.</p><p><blockquote>股市牛市的最新受害者是华尔街的格言，即投资者情绪高涨是卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> Throughout 2021, a range of surveys, fund-flow figures and options activity have shown investors big and small to be exceptionally bullish. Yet major U.S. indexes continue to rally to records, putting the Dow Jones Industrial Average up a healthy 13% for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>整个2021年，一系列调查、资金流数据和期权活动显示，大大小小的投资者都异常乐观。然而，美国主要股指继续上涨至创纪录水平，使道琼斯工业平均指数在2021年健康上涨13%。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have long relied on sentiment and related data on risk-taking as contrarian indicators. By the time friends, colleagues and strangers are plowing money into stocks and telling you about it, it’s time to run for cover, to this way of thinking. Likewise, when everyone is selling, you should be buying with both hands.</p><p><blockquote>分析师长期以来一直依赖情绪和风险承担的相关数据作为逆向指标。当朋友、同事和陌生人把钱投入股票并告诉你时，是时候用这种思维方式寻找掩护了。同样，当每个人都在卖出时，你应该用双手买入。</blockquote></p><p> But for much of this year, it has paid enormous dividends to stay with the herd. It’s the latest departure from the tried and true in a year that already has broughtsoaring meme stocks,record lumber pricesand a bond-market rally in the face of rising inflation. In short, now is when analysts and portfolio managers are starting to wonder whether it really is different this time.</p><p><blockquote>但在今年的大部分时间里，它已经为留在牛群中带来了巨大的回报。这是一年来与屡试不爽的事实的最新背离，这一年已经导致模因股票飙升、木材价格创纪录以及面对通胀上升的债券市场反弹。简而言之，现在分析师和投资组合经理开始怀疑这次是否真的有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve been throwing up our hands for a while,” said Jason Goepfert, president of Sundial Capital Research. “For whatever the reason, the market is just rolling over all these historical indicators that before had a very consistent track record.”</p><p><blockquote>Sundial Capital Research总裁Jason Goepfert表示：“我们举手已经有一段时间了。”“无论出于什么原因，市场只是在滚动所有这些历史指标，这些指标之前都有非常一致的记录。”</blockquote></p><p> In the coming week, traders will parse data on housing starts and building permits, as well as earnings from companies including Johnson &amp; Johnson andUnited Airlines HoldingsInc.,for further clues about pricing pressures.</p><p><blockquote>未来一周，交易员将分析新屋开工和建筑许可数据，以及强生公司和联合航空控股公司等公司的收益，以获取有关定价压力的进一步线索。</blockquote></p><p> They will also be watching to see if sentiment oscillates. Recently, signs of waning sentiment have begun peeking through some indicators, though bullishness largely remains above or near long-term averages.</p><p><blockquote>他们还将关注情绪是否波动。最近，一些指标开始显示出情绪减弱的迹象，尽管看涨情绪基本上仍高于或接近长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Americans’ stock allocations reached nearly 60% at the end of March, a figure just below the all-time high of 61.7% reached during the dot-com bubble, according to data from Ned Davis Research stretching back to 1951.</p><p><blockquote>根据Ned Davis Research可追溯到1951年的数据，截至3月底，美国人的股票配置达到了近60%，这一数字略低于互联网泡沫期间61.7%的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> A July survey by retail brokerage E*Trade found that bullishness among the platform’s individual investors recently hit more than a three-year high, rising to 65%. Additionally, the often-watched equity put-call ratio—which measures the volume of bearish options bets placed on stocks versus bullish ones—earlier this year notched sustained levels of optimism not seen since 2000.</p><p><blockquote>零售券商E*Trade 7月份的一项调查发现，该平台个人投资者的看涨情绪最近创下了三年多来的新高，升至65%。此外，今年早些时候，备受关注的股票看跌期权与看涨期权押注数量的衡量标准是今年早些时候创下了自2000年以来从未有过的持续乐观水平。</blockquote></p><p> The source of the optimism that has fueled 39 records this year on the S&amp;P 500 isn’t hard to divine. Most notably, there’s an unusual and powerful blend of stimulus and easy monetary policy that has left investors flush with cash and with few sources of steady investment returns. The entrance ofa new cohort of retail tradershas provided an extra boost to prices, too.</p><p><blockquote>今年推动标普500创下39项纪录的乐观情绪的来源不难预测。最值得注意的是，刺激和宽松货币政策的不同寻常且强有力的结合让投资者现金充裕，但稳定的投资回报来源却很少。新一批零售商的进入也为价格提供了额外的提振。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts say the combination of those factors has pushed markets higher, providing traders with enough momentum and opportunity to ignore signs of stretched sentiment—as well as other risks, including an unclear inflation outlook andrising coronavirus cases.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，这些因素的结合推高了市场，为交易者提供了足够的动力和机会来忽视情绪紧张的迹象，以及其他风险，包括通胀前景不明朗和冠状病毒病例上升。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, market breadth, or a measure of how many stocks are participating in a rally, has deteriorated—even as major indexes have continued to hit all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>最近，市场广度（或衡量有多少只股票参与反弹的指标）已经恶化——尽管主要股指继续创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> As of Thursday, only about 49% of stocks in the S&amp;P 500 traded above their 50-day moving averages, according to FactSet, a level that is below average and one that is a sharp reversal from just a few months ago, whenthat metric reached more than 90%. According to Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, that’s a troubling sign when sentiment remains so high.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示，截至周四，标普500只有约49%的股票交易价格高于50日移动平均线，这一水平低于平均水平，与几个月前该指标相比出现了急剧逆转。达到90%以上。嘉信理财首席投资策略师利兹·安·桑德斯表示，当市场情绪仍然如此高涨时，这是一个令人不安的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> “Any longtime sentiment watcher knows that breadth is a positive offset to extreme sentiment conditions,” Ms. Sonders said. “But when breadth starts to deteriorate and the market is still trading at or near all-time highs, and there’s been no dent to sentiment conditions, that’s when trouble really brews.”</p><p><blockquote>“任何长期观察情绪的人都知道，广度是对极端情绪状况的积极抵消，”桑德斯女士说。“但当广度开始恶化，市场仍处于或接近历史高点，并且情绪状况没有受到影响时，麻烦就真正酝酿了。”</blockquote></p><p> But sentiment can remain elevated for long periods, as it did in the late 1990s, she said. And&nbsp;while major indexes have risen, pockets of excess have lost steam.</p><p><blockquote>但她表示，市场情绪可能会长期保持高位，就像20世纪90年代末那样。尽管主要股指上涨，但部分过剩股已经失去了动力。</blockquote></p><p> “In places where speculation has been rampant, you have seen massive drawdowns—in cryptocurrencies, [special-purpose acquisition companies], nonprofitable tech companies and meme stocks,” Ms. Sonders said.</p><p><blockquote>“在投机猖獗的地方，你会看到加密货币、[特殊目的收购公司]、非营利科技公司和模因股票的大规模下跌，”桑德斯女士说。</blockquote></p><p> According a recent Charles Schwab note based on data from Ned Davis Research, when stockholdings among U.S. households have previously climbed to among the highest levels, the S&amp;P 500 has tended to produce modest returns on average in following years. For example, when households’ stock allocations have risen to 54.6% or higher—as they did during the dot-com bubble and the years leading up to the 2007-09 recession—the average annualized return for the S&amp;P 500 over the next 10 years has been 4.1%.</p><p><blockquote>根据嘉信理财最近基于Ned Davis Research数据的一份报告，当美国家庭的股票持有量此前攀升至最高水平时，标普500在接下来的几年中平均往往会产生适度的回报。例如，当家庭的股票配置升至54.6%或更高时（就像互联网泡沫期间和2007-09年经济衰退前几年所做的那样），未来10年标普500的平均年化回报率为4.1%。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, when stock allocations have hovered around 29% or lower, the average annualized return over the next 10 years for the benchmark index has been 16.3%.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，当股票配置徘徊在29%或更低时，基准指数未来10年的平均年化回报率为16.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Even so, unique conditions within the market this year might allow stocks to keep grinding higher.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，今年市场的独特状况可能会让股市继续走高。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets are just doing their own thing,” Mr. Goepfert said. “Something has changed. Whether it’s unprecedented stimulus or maybe there is this generational change with young investors. This new surge into the market keeps driving stocks higher.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场只是在做自己的事情，”戈普弗特先生说。“有些事情已经发生了变化。无论是前所未有的刺激，还是年轻投资者的代际变化。这种新的市场热潮不断推动股市走高。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Record Stock Rally Ignores Wall Street’s Phobia About Optimism<blockquote>创纪录的股市上涨忽略了华尔街对乐观情绪的恐惧</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRecord Stock Rally Ignores Wall Street’s Phobia About Optimism<blockquote>创纪录的股市上涨忽略了华尔街对乐观情绪的恐惧</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">WSJ</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 09:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The latest victim of the rampaging bull market in stocks is the Wall Street maxim that glowing investor sentiment is a sell signal.</p><p><blockquote>股市牛市的最新受害者是华尔街的格言，即投资者情绪高涨是卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> Throughout 2021, a range of surveys, fund-flow figures and options activity have shown investors big and small to be exceptionally bullish. Yet major U.S. indexes continue to rally to records, putting the Dow Jones Industrial Average up a healthy 13% for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>整个2021年，一系列调查、资金流数据和期权活动显示，大大小小的投资者都异常乐观。然而，美国主要股指继续上涨至创纪录水平，使道琼斯工业平均指数在2021年健康上涨13%。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have long relied on sentiment and related data on risk-taking as contrarian indicators. By the time friends, colleagues and strangers are plowing money into stocks and telling you about it, it’s time to run for cover, to this way of thinking. Likewise, when everyone is selling, you should be buying with both hands.</p><p><blockquote>分析师长期以来一直依赖情绪和风险承担的相关数据作为逆向指标。当朋友、同事和陌生人把钱投入股票并告诉你时，是时候用这种思维方式寻找掩护了。同样，当每个人都在卖出时，你应该用双手买入。</blockquote></p><p> But for much of this year, it has paid enormous dividends to stay with the herd. It’s the latest departure from the tried and true in a year that already has broughtsoaring meme stocks,record lumber pricesand a bond-market rally in the face of rising inflation. In short, now is when analysts and portfolio managers are starting to wonder whether it really is different this time.</p><p><blockquote>但在今年的大部分时间里，它已经为留在牛群中带来了巨大的回报。这是一年来与屡试不爽的事实的最新背离，这一年已经导致模因股票飙升、木材价格创纪录以及面对通胀上升的债券市场反弹。简而言之，现在分析师和投资组合经理开始怀疑这次是否真的有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve been throwing up our hands for a while,” said Jason Goepfert, president of Sundial Capital Research. “For whatever the reason, the market is just rolling over all these historical indicators that before had a very consistent track record.”</p><p><blockquote>Sundial Capital Research总裁Jason Goepfert表示：“我们举手已经有一段时间了。”“无论出于什么原因，市场只是在滚动所有这些历史指标，这些指标之前都有非常一致的记录。”</blockquote></p><p> In the coming week, traders will parse data on housing starts and building permits, as well as earnings from companies including Johnson &amp; Johnson andUnited Airlines HoldingsInc.,for further clues about pricing pressures.</p><p><blockquote>未来一周，交易员将分析新屋开工和建筑许可数据，以及强生公司和联合航空控股公司等公司的收益，以获取有关定价压力的进一步线索。</blockquote></p><p> They will also be watching to see if sentiment oscillates. Recently, signs of waning sentiment have begun peeking through some indicators, though bullishness largely remains above or near long-term averages.</p><p><blockquote>他们还将关注情绪是否波动。最近，一些指标开始显示出情绪减弱的迹象，尽管看涨情绪基本上仍高于或接近长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Americans’ stock allocations reached nearly 60% at the end of March, a figure just below the all-time high of 61.7% reached during the dot-com bubble, according to data from Ned Davis Research stretching back to 1951.</p><p><blockquote>根据Ned Davis Research可追溯到1951年的数据，截至3月底，美国人的股票配置达到了近60%，这一数字略低于互联网泡沫期间61.7%的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> A July survey by retail brokerage E*Trade found that bullishness among the platform’s individual investors recently hit more than a three-year high, rising to 65%. Additionally, the often-watched equity put-call ratio—which measures the volume of bearish options bets placed on stocks versus bullish ones—earlier this year notched sustained levels of optimism not seen since 2000.</p><p><blockquote>零售券商E*Trade 7月份的一项调查发现，该平台个人投资者的看涨情绪最近创下了三年多来的新高，升至65%。此外，今年早些时候，备受关注的股票看跌期权与看涨期权押注数量的衡量标准是今年早些时候创下了自2000年以来从未有过的持续乐观水平。</blockquote></p><p> The source of the optimism that has fueled 39 records this year on the S&amp;P 500 isn’t hard to divine. Most notably, there’s an unusual and powerful blend of stimulus and easy monetary policy that has left investors flush with cash and with few sources of steady investment returns. The entrance ofa new cohort of retail tradershas provided an extra boost to prices, too.</p><p><blockquote>今年推动标普500创下39项纪录的乐观情绪的来源不难预测。最值得注意的是，刺激和宽松货币政策的不同寻常且强有力的结合让投资者现金充裕，但稳定的投资回报来源却很少。新一批零售商的进入也为价格提供了额外的提振。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts say the combination of those factors has pushed markets higher, providing traders with enough momentum and opportunity to ignore signs of stretched sentiment—as well as other risks, including an unclear inflation outlook andrising coronavirus cases.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，这些因素的结合推高了市场，为交易者提供了足够的动力和机会来忽视情绪紧张的迹象，以及其他风险，包括通胀前景不明朗和冠状病毒病例上升。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, market breadth, or a measure of how many stocks are participating in a rally, has deteriorated—even as major indexes have continued to hit all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>最近，市场广度（或衡量有多少只股票参与反弹的指标）已经恶化——尽管主要股指继续创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> As of Thursday, only about 49% of stocks in the S&amp;P 500 traded above their 50-day moving averages, according to FactSet, a level that is below average and one that is a sharp reversal from just a few months ago, whenthat metric reached more than 90%. According to Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, that’s a troubling sign when sentiment remains so high.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示，截至周四，标普500只有约49%的股票交易价格高于50日移动平均线，这一水平低于平均水平，与几个月前该指标相比出现了急剧逆转。达到90%以上。嘉信理财首席投资策略师利兹·安·桑德斯表示，当市场情绪仍然如此高涨时，这是一个令人不安的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> “Any longtime sentiment watcher knows that breadth is a positive offset to extreme sentiment conditions,” Ms. Sonders said. “But when breadth starts to deteriorate and the market is still trading at or near all-time highs, and there’s been no dent to sentiment conditions, that’s when trouble really brews.”</p><p><blockquote>“任何长期观察情绪的人都知道，广度是对极端情绪状况的积极抵消，”桑德斯女士说。“但当广度开始恶化，市场仍处于或接近历史高点，并且情绪状况没有受到影响时，麻烦就真正酝酿了。”</blockquote></p><p> But sentiment can remain elevated for long periods, as it did in the late 1990s, she said. And&nbsp;while major indexes have risen, pockets of excess have lost steam.</p><p><blockquote>但她表示，市场情绪可能会长期保持高位，就像20世纪90年代末那样。尽管主要股指上涨，但部分过剩股已经失去了动力。</blockquote></p><p> “In places where speculation has been rampant, you have seen massive drawdowns—in cryptocurrencies, [special-purpose acquisition companies], nonprofitable tech companies and meme stocks,” Ms. Sonders said.</p><p><blockquote>“在投机猖獗的地方，你会看到加密货币、[特殊目的收购公司]、非营利科技公司和模因股票的大规模下跌，”桑德斯女士说。</blockquote></p><p> According a recent Charles Schwab note based on data from Ned Davis Research, when stockholdings among U.S. households have previously climbed to among the highest levels, the S&amp;P 500 has tended to produce modest returns on average in following years. For example, when households’ stock allocations have risen to 54.6% or higher—as they did during the dot-com bubble and the years leading up to the 2007-09 recession—the average annualized return for the S&amp;P 500 over the next 10 years has been 4.1%.</p><p><blockquote>根据嘉信理财最近基于Ned Davis Research数据的一份报告，当美国家庭的股票持有量此前攀升至最高水平时，标普500在接下来的几年中平均往往会产生适度的回报。例如，当家庭的股票配置升至54.6%或更高时（就像互联网泡沫期间和2007-09年经济衰退前几年所做的那样），未来10年标普500的平均年化回报率为4.1%。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, when stock allocations have hovered around 29% or lower, the average annualized return over the next 10 years for the benchmark index has been 16.3%.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，当股票配置徘徊在29%或更低时，基准指数未来10年的平均年化回报率为16.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Even so, unique conditions within the market this year might allow stocks to keep grinding higher.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，今年市场的独特状况可能会让股市继续走高。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets are just doing their own thing,” Mr. Goepfert said. “Something has changed. Whether it’s unprecedented stimulus or maybe there is this generational change with young investors. This new surge into the market keeps driving stocks higher.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场只是在做自己的事情，”戈普弗特先生说。“有些事情已经发生了变化。无论是前所未有的刺激，还是年轻投资者的代际变化。这种新的市场热潮不断推动股市走高。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/record-stock-rally-ignores-wall-streets-phobia-about-optimism-11626600781?mod=hp_lead_pos5\">WSJ</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UAL":"联合大陆航空","JNJ":"强生"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/record-stock-rally-ignores-wall-streets-phobia-about-optimism-11626600781?mod=hp_lead_pos5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123426523","content_text":"The latest victim of the rampaging bull market in stocks is the Wall Street maxim that glowing investor sentiment is a sell signal.\nThroughout 2021, a range of surveys, fund-flow figures and options activity have shown investors big and small to be exceptionally bullish. Yet major U.S. indexes continue to rally to records, putting the Dow Jones Industrial Average up a healthy 13% for 2021.\nAnalysts have long relied on sentiment and related data on risk-taking as contrarian indicators. By the time friends, colleagues and strangers are plowing money into stocks and telling you about it, it’s time to run for cover, to this way of thinking. Likewise, when everyone is selling, you should be buying with both hands.\nBut for much of this year, it has paid enormous dividends to stay with the herd. It’s the latest departure from the tried and true in a year that already has broughtsoaring meme stocks,record lumber pricesand a bond-market rally in the face of rising inflation. In short, now is when analysts and portfolio managers are starting to wonder whether it really is different this time.\n“We’ve been throwing up our hands for a while,” said Jason Goepfert, president of Sundial Capital Research. “For whatever the reason, the market is just rolling over all these historical indicators that before had a very consistent track record.”\nIn the coming week, traders will parse data on housing starts and building permits, as well as earnings from companies including Johnson & Johnson andUnited Airlines HoldingsInc.,for further clues about pricing pressures.\nThey will also be watching to see if sentiment oscillates. Recently, signs of waning sentiment have begun peeking through some indicators, though bullishness largely remains above or near long-term averages.\nAmericans’ stock allocations reached nearly 60% at the end of March, a figure just below the all-time high of 61.7% reached during the dot-com bubble, according to data from Ned Davis Research stretching back to 1951.\nA July survey by retail brokerage E*Trade found that bullishness among the platform’s individual investors recently hit more than a three-year high, rising to 65%. Additionally, the often-watched equity put-call ratio—which measures the volume of bearish options bets placed on stocks versus bullish ones—earlier this year notched sustained levels of optimism not seen since 2000.\nThe source of the optimism that has fueled 39 records this year on the S&P 500 isn’t hard to divine. Most notably, there’s an unusual and powerful blend of stimulus and easy monetary policy that has left investors flush with cash and with few sources of steady investment returns. The entrance ofa new cohort of retail tradershas provided an extra boost to prices, too.\nAnalysts say the combination of those factors has pushed markets higher, providing traders with enough momentum and opportunity to ignore signs of stretched sentiment—as well as other risks, including an unclear inflation outlook andrising coronavirus cases.\nRecently, market breadth, or a measure of how many stocks are participating in a rally, has deteriorated—even as major indexes have continued to hit all-time highs.\nAs of Thursday, only about 49% of stocks in the S&P 500 traded above their 50-day moving averages, according to FactSet, a level that is below average and one that is a sharp reversal from just a few months ago, whenthat metric reached more than 90%. According to Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, that’s a troubling sign when sentiment remains so high.\n“Any longtime sentiment watcher knows that breadth is a positive offset to extreme sentiment conditions,” Ms. Sonders said. “But when breadth starts to deteriorate and the market is still trading at or near all-time highs, and there’s been no dent to sentiment conditions, that’s when trouble really brews.”\nBut sentiment can remain elevated for long periods, as it did in the late 1990s, she said. And while major indexes have risen, pockets of excess have lost steam.\n“In places where speculation has been rampant, you have seen massive drawdowns—in cryptocurrencies, [special-purpose acquisition companies], nonprofitable tech companies and meme stocks,” Ms. Sonders said.\nAccording a recent Charles Schwab note based on data from Ned Davis Research, when stockholdings among U.S. households have previously climbed to among the highest levels, the S&P 500 has tended to produce modest returns on average in following years. For example, when households’ stock allocations have risen to 54.6% or higher—as they did during the dot-com bubble and the years leading up to the 2007-09 recession—the average annualized return for the S&P 500 over the next 10 years has been 4.1%.\nIn contrast, when stock allocations have hovered around 29% or lower, the average annualized return over the next 10 years for the benchmark index has been 16.3%.\nEven so, unique conditions within the market this year might allow stocks to keep grinding higher.\n“Markets are just doing their own thing,” Mr. Goepfert said. “Something has changed. Whether it’s unprecedented stimulus or maybe there is this generational change with young investors. This new surge into the market keeps driving stocks higher.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UAL":0.9,"JNJ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":822772774,"gmtCreate":1634174698733,"gmtModify":1634174698733,"author":{"id":"3581975110248198","authorId":"3581975110248198","name":"Johnleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6ab9717d202c58a631934c5f8abd6b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581975110248198","authorIdStr":"3581975110248198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$Plug Power(PLUG)$</a>finally moving. What is the target&nbsp; price","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$Plug Power(PLUG)$</a>finally moving. What is the target&nbsp; price","text":"$Plug Power(PLUG)$finally moving. What is the target 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09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧，其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman)，她甚至表示，她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情，”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了，不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年，”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标，以他的名字命名，已经亮起红灯足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是，它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面，”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样，你的美元现在将走得更远，为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入，但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费购买东西，”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份，否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始，你拥有的钱就越多，”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该很高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多，20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否即将来临，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择Roth账户，无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面，传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税，因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导，与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向，以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时，你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上，计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧，其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman)，她甚至表示，她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情，”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了，不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年，”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标，以他的名字命名，已经亮起红灯足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是，它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面，”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样，你的美元现在将走得更远，为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入，但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费购买东西，”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份，否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始，你拥有的钱就越多，”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该很高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多，20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否即将来临，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择Roth账户，无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面，传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税，因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导，与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向，以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时，你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上，计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}