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KeppelTrader

KeppelTrader

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2021-12-22

Buy!!!!

2021-06-19

Did not expect market to drop so much. The market was holding up so well and everything looks ok Now in panic mode…😭

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2021-06-16

😳

@小安先生:20210616 SCCO 价位提示

2021-06-16

Nice

Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>

2021-06-16

Nice

Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>

2021-06-15

😀😀😀😀

Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并没有对通胀感到恐慌。他们应该吗？</blockquote>

2021-06-14

Micr

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2021-06-13

Nice

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2021-06-13

Nice

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2021-06-13

Joke

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2021-06-13

Nice

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2021-06-13

Very good

Meme Stock Soars 1,000% To Lead These Two Top Small Cap Stock Plays<blockquote>Meme股票飙升1,000%，领跑这两只顶级小盘股</blockquote>

2021-06-13

Nice

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2021-06-12

Hodllllll

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2021-06-08

Sweet

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2021-06-07

👍

U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>未来一周的美国IPO：多元化的8次IPO中的数字支付、心理健康服务等</blockquote>

2021-06-06

Nice

U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>未来一周的美国IPO：多元化的8次IPO中的数字支付、心理健康服务等</blockquote>

2021-06-04

Nice

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2021-06-03

Hodl!

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2021-06-02

Nice

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not expect market to drop so much. The market was holding up so well and everything looks ok &nbsp; Now in panic mode…😭","listText":"Did not expect market to drop so much. The market was holding up so well and everything looks ok &nbsp; Now in panic mode…😭","text":"Did not expect market to drop so much. The market was holding up so well and everything looks ok Now in panic mode…😭","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162846034","repostId":"1175119628","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160633614,"gmtCreate":1623793243538,"gmtModify":1631890767251,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😳","listText":"😳","text":"😳","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160633614","repostId":"160172747","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":160172747,"gmtCreate":1623776797689,"gmtModify":1623776797689,"author":{"id":"9889909672494","authorId":"9889909672494","name":"小安先生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4849e7d0100445dc3f113e8b1397b003","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9889909672494","authorIdStr":"9889909672494"},"themes":[],"title":"20210616 SCCO 价位提示","htmlText":"20210616 SCCO 价位提示20210616 SCCO 价位提示20210616 SCCO 价位提示SCCO&nbsp;58.3&nbsp;个股半仓SCCO&nbsp;58.3&nbsp;个股半仓SCCO&nbsp;58.3&nbsp;个股半仓","listText":"20210616 SCCO 价位提示20210616 SCCO 价位提示20210616 SCCO 价位提示SCCO&nbsp;58.3&nbsp;个股半仓SCCO&nbsp;58.3&nbsp;个股半仓SCCO&nbsp;58.3&nbsp;个股半仓","text":"20210616 SCCO 价位提示20210616 SCCO 价位提示20210616 SCCO 价位提示SCCO 58.3 个股半仓SCCO 58.3 个股半仓SCCO 58.3 个股半仓","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160172747","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160639747,"gmtCreate":1623793202589,"gmtModify":1631890767250,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160639747","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160694408,"gmtCreate":1623792818904,"gmtModify":1631890767250,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160694408","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187211896,"gmtCreate":1623755126115,"gmtModify":1631890767255,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😀😀😀😀","listText":"😀😀😀😀","text":"😀😀😀😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187211896","repostId":"1145996523","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145996523","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623751116,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145996523?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并没有对通胀感到恐慌。他们应该吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145996523","media":"cnn","summary":"New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it co","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN Business）在通货膨胀方面，大街和华尔街之间存在巨大的脱节。总得有所让步。</blockquote></p><p> The US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府上周报告称，5月份不包括食品和能源的消费者价格涨幅为1992年以来最快。宣伟(SHW)正在提高油漆价格，这是众多应对大宗商品成本上涨的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> Food prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).</p><p><blockquote>食品价格也在飙升。Chipotle(CMG)刚刚提高了价格。金宝汤（CPB）也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> And the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave &amp; Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅和街机连锁店Dave&amp;Buster's(PLAY)的首席财务官在最近与分析师举行的财报看涨期权上表示，由于鸡肉、牛肉和乳制品价格上涨，他预计2021年食品成本将上涨6%至8%。</blockquote></p><p> Wages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.</p><p><blockquote>工资也在上涨，尤其是随着经济重新开放而重返工作岗位的零售、休闲和酒店行业的工人。这增加了通胀压力，因为一些公司会选择提高价格以维持利润。</blockquote></p><p> Labor shortages aren't helping.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力短缺无济于事。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.</p><p><blockquote>在线宠物零售商Chewy(CHWY)的首席执行官在最新财报发布后致股东的一封信中写道，该公司“面临着与全国许多公司类似的劳动力短缺问题”。因此，Chewy继续“投资于更高的工资和福利”，以填补职位空缺。</blockquote></p><p> Yet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者和美联储对通胀上升不屑一顾，认为这是“暂时的”。长期债券收益率正在下降，这通常不会在通胀加剧时发生。如果债券投资者认为价格上涨将持续下去，他们就会要求更高的收益率。</blockquote></p><p> And the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>市场预计美联储年底加息的可能性仅为3%。这低于一个月前10%的加息可能性。投资者知道加息是央行对抗通胀上升的最佳工具，当美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周三的新闻发布会上发表讲话时，他们希望听到更多有关该主题的信息。</blockquote></p><p> \"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦金融公司首席执行官兰迪·沃伦表示：“债券市场仍然不担心通胀。它正在购买美联储正在出售的东西。”</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，美联储可能会等待太久才对通胀做出反应。</blockquote></p><p> \"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀是暂时的还是更具结构性的？”PineBridge Investments信贷和固定收益全球主管Steven Oh问道。“美联储将来会失去对它的控制，犯政策错误，没有能力控制它吗？”</blockquote></p><p> If the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.</p><p><blockquote>如果美联储和债券市场对通胀的看法是错误的，那么央行可能不得不以比其和投资者希望的更快的速度结束疫情刺激措施。这将意味着取消大规模资产购买并尽早加息。</blockquote></p><p> Oh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.</p><p><blockquote>哦，我不认为会是这样。许多其他人也同意。他们认为，投资者必须牢记经济复苏的速度有多快。</blockquote></p><p> For that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>因此，就业市场和供应链出现混乱也就不足为奇了。恢复到2019年底和2020年初新冠肺炎之前的水平需要时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"</p><p><blockquote>财富管理公司Clarus Group的负责人布莱恩·科斯洛(Bryan Koslow)表示：“关于通货膨胀有很多问题，因为你在日常生活中都会看到它。”“但我们可能已经看到了峰值，尤其是在工资增长方面。”</blockquote></p><p> Even if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.</p><p><blockquote>即使事实证明这是真的，投资者和消费者如此关注价格这一事实也值得注意。十多年来，通货膨胀基本上不是问题。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.</p><p><blockquote>SkyBridge Capital联席首席投资官兼高级投资组合经理Troy Gayeski表示：“美联储必须认真对待通胀担忧。”他补充说，他认为通胀压力有20%的可能性变得更加持久，而不是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.</p><p><blockquote>“自2008年以来，有意义的通胀风险一直不存在。直到现在，”Gayeski说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's getting more expensive</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么越来越贵</b></blockquote></p><p> Food and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.</p><p><blockquote>食物和油漆并不是唯一变得更贵的东西。正如CNN商业频道的莫伊拉·里特(Moira Ritter)指出的那样，最近几乎所有东西的价格都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Lumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.</p><p><blockquote>木材价格飙升。房地产市场继续繁荣。这导致沙发和其他家居用品的价格大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Used cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>二手车也贵得多。这归因于人们重返工作岗位，以及由于芯片供应短缺损害了新车的生产，经销商处新车短缺。</blockquote></p><p> People are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.</p><p><blockquote>人们也越来越多地旅行。由于预期一些人所说的“炙手可热的疫苗之夏”，机票价格飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Up next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday: </b>US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H &amp; R Block (HRB)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期二：</b>美国零售额；美国生产者价格指数；Oracle(ORCL)和H&amp;R Block(HRB)的收益</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday: </b>Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期三：</b>美联储利率决定；美国新屋开工和建筑许可；EIA原油库存；Lennar(LEN)的收益</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Thursday: </b>US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期四：</b>美国初请失业金人数；克罗格(KR)和Adobe(ADBE)的收益</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并没有对通胀感到恐慌。他们应该吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并没有对通胀感到恐慌。他们应该吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 17:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN Business）在通货膨胀方面，大街和华尔街之间存在巨大的脱节。总得有所让步。</blockquote></p><p> The US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府上周报告称，5月份不包括食品和能源的消费者价格涨幅为1992年以来最快。宣伟(SHW)正在提高油漆价格，这是众多应对大宗商品成本上涨的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> Food prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).</p><p><blockquote>食品价格也在飙升。Chipotle(CMG)刚刚提高了价格。金宝汤（CPB）也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> And the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave &amp; Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅和街机连锁店Dave&amp;Buster's(PLAY)的首席财务官在最近与分析师举行的财报看涨期权上表示，由于鸡肉、牛肉和乳制品价格上涨，他预计2021年食品成本将上涨6%至8%。</blockquote></p><p> Wages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.</p><p><blockquote>工资也在上涨，尤其是随着经济重新开放而重返工作岗位的零售、休闲和酒店行业的工人。这增加了通胀压力，因为一些公司会选择提高价格以维持利润。</blockquote></p><p> Labor shortages aren't helping.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力短缺无济于事。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.</p><p><blockquote>在线宠物零售商Chewy(CHWY)的首席执行官在最新财报发布后致股东的一封信中写道，该公司“面临着与全国许多公司类似的劳动力短缺问题”。因此，Chewy继续“投资于更高的工资和福利”，以填补职位空缺。</blockquote></p><p> Yet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者和美联储对通胀上升不屑一顾，认为这是“暂时的”。长期债券收益率正在下降，这通常不会在通胀加剧时发生。如果债券投资者认为价格上涨将持续下去，他们就会要求更高的收益率。</blockquote></p><p> And the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>市场预计美联储年底加息的可能性仅为3%。这低于一个月前10%的加息可能性。投资者知道加息是央行对抗通胀上升的最佳工具，当美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周三的新闻发布会上发表讲话时，他们希望听到更多有关该主题的信息。</blockquote></p><p> \"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦金融公司首席执行官兰迪·沃伦表示：“债券市场仍然不担心通胀。它正在购买美联储正在出售的东西。”</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，美联储可能会等待太久才对通胀做出反应。</blockquote></p><p> \"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀是暂时的还是更具结构性的？”PineBridge Investments信贷和固定收益全球主管Steven Oh问道。“美联储将来会失去对它的控制，犯政策错误，没有能力控制它吗？”</blockquote></p><p> If the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.</p><p><blockquote>如果美联储和债券市场对通胀的看法是错误的，那么央行可能不得不以比其和投资者希望的更快的速度结束疫情刺激措施。这将意味着取消大规模资产购买并尽早加息。</blockquote></p><p> Oh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.</p><p><blockquote>哦，我不认为会是这样。许多其他人也同意。他们认为，投资者必须牢记经济复苏的速度有多快。</blockquote></p><p> For that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>因此，就业市场和供应链出现混乱也就不足为奇了。恢复到2019年底和2020年初新冠肺炎之前的水平需要时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"</p><p><blockquote>财富管理公司Clarus Group的负责人布莱恩·科斯洛(Bryan Koslow)表示：“关于通货膨胀有很多问题，因为你在日常生活中都会看到它。”“但我们可能已经看到了峰值，尤其是在工资增长方面。”</blockquote></p><p> Even if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.</p><p><blockquote>即使事实证明这是真的，投资者和消费者如此关注价格这一事实也值得注意。十多年来，通货膨胀基本上不是问题。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.</p><p><blockquote>SkyBridge Capital联席首席投资官兼高级投资组合经理Troy Gayeski表示：“美联储必须认真对待通胀担忧。”他补充说，他认为通胀压力有20%的可能性变得更加持久，而不是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.</p><p><blockquote>“自2008年以来，有意义的通胀风险一直不存在。直到现在，”Gayeski说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's getting more expensive</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么越来越贵</b></blockquote></p><p> Food and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.</p><p><blockquote>食物和油漆并不是唯一变得更贵的东西。正如CNN商业频道的莫伊拉·里特(Moira Ritter)指出的那样，最近几乎所有东西的价格都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Lumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.</p><p><blockquote>木材价格飙升。房地产市场继续繁荣。这导致沙发和其他家居用品的价格大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Used cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>二手车也贵得多。这归因于人们重返工作岗位，以及由于芯片供应短缺损害了新车的生产，经销商处新车短缺。</blockquote></p><p> People are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.</p><p><blockquote>人们也越来越多地旅行。由于预期一些人所说的“炙手可热的疫苗之夏”，机票价格飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Up next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday: </b>US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H &amp; R Block (HRB)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期二：</b>美国零售额；美国生产者价格指数；Oracle(ORCL)和H&amp;R Block(HRB)的收益</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday: </b>Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期三：</b>美联储利率决定；美国新屋开工和建筑许可；EIA原油库存；Lennar(LEN)的收益</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Thursday: </b>US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期四：</b>美国初请失业金人数；克罗格(KR)和Adobe(ADBE)的收益</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145996523","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.\nThe US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.\nFood prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).\nAnd the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave & Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.\nWages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.\nLabor shortages aren't helping.\nThe CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.\nYet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.\nAnd the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.\n\"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.\nThe problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.\n\"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"\nIf the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.\nOh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.\nFor that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.\n\"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"\nEven if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.\n\"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.\n\"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.\nWhat's getting more expensive\nFood and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.\nLumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.\nUsed cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.\nPeople are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.\nUp next\nTuesday: US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H & R Block (HRB)\nWednesday: Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)\nThursday: US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":821,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182724084,"gmtCreate":1623622912148,"gmtModify":1631890767258,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Micr","listText":"Micr","text":"Micr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182724084","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182828570,"gmtCreate":1623564034190,"gmtModify":1631890767263,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182828570","repostId":"1148565686","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186740625,"gmtCreate":1623544376167,"gmtModify":1631890767260,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186740625","repostId":"1143408374","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186780212,"gmtCreate":1623542292736,"gmtModify":1631890767266,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Joke","listText":"Joke","text":"Joke","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186780212","repostId":"2143788705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186780928,"gmtCreate":1623542257564,"gmtModify":1631890767269,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186780928","repostId":"1191179846","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186717570,"gmtCreate":1623542242790,"gmtModify":1631892900263,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very good","listText":"Very good","text":"Very good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186717570","repostId":"1185020128","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185020128","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623537503,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185020128?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-13 06:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Meme Stock Soars 1,000% To Lead These Two Top Small Cap Stock Plays<blockquote>Meme股票飙升1,000%，领跑这两只顶级小盘股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185020128","media":"investors","summary":"GameStop may be the top holding in SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value, but that's not the only reason the ","content":"<p>GameStop may be the top holding in SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value, but that's not the only reason the ETF is beating its growth-stock counterpart.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站可能是SPDR S&amp;P 600小型股价值中最大的持股，但这并不是该ETF击败成长型股票的唯一原因。</blockquote></p><p> The $4.2 billion value fund tracks the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Value Index (SLYV), composed of stocks with the strongest value traits based on book value to price ratio, earnings to price ratio, and sales to price ratio. SLYV rallied 32% this year through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>这只价值42亿美元的价值基金追踪S&amp;P SmallCap 600价值指数(SLYV)，该指数由根据账面价值与价格比率、市盈率和销售价格比率具有最强价值特征的股票组成。截至周四收盘，SLYV今年上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> That more than doubles the return of its growth stock counterpart, SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth (SLYG), which is up 15%. The index SLYG tracks includes stocks with the strongest growth traits based on sales growth, earnings change to price and momentum.</p><p><blockquote>这是成长型股票SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth(SLYG)回报率的两倍多，后者上涨了15%。SLYG跟踪的指数包括基于销售增长、盈利价格变化和动量的增长特征最强的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Back to SLYV, financials accounted for the biggest sector weight at 24% of assets. Industrials weighed in at about 17%, consumer discretionary 15% and real estate 10%. Information technology was next at 8% and materials, energy and health care, 6% each.&nbsp;Smaller positions in consumer staples, utilities and communication services made up the rest.</p><p><blockquote>回到SLYV，金融业占资产比重最大，占资产的24%。工业股约占17%，非必需消费品股15%，房地产股10%。其次是信息技术，占8%，材料、能源和医疗保健，各占6%。消费品、公用事业和通信服务的较小头寸占其余部分。</blockquote></p><p> SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value is in IBD's ETF Leaders, but SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth is not.</p><p><blockquote>SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value位居IBD ETF领先者之列，但SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth则不然。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GameStop Stock Leads</b></p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站股票领先</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>GameStop</b>(GME),<b>Macy's</b>(M),<b>PDC Energy</b>(PDCE),<b>Resideo Technologies</b>(REZI) and<b>BankUnited</b>(BKU) were the top five holdings as of Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站</b>（GME），<b>梅西百货</b>(M)，<b>PDC能源</b>（PDCE），<b>Resideo技术</b>（雷齐）和<b>联合银行</b>(BKU)是截至周三的前五大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pacific Premier Bancorp</b>(PPBI),<b>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond</b>(BBBY),<b>Ameris Bancorp</b>(ABCB),<b>First Hawaiian</b>(FHB) and<b>Insight Enterprises</b>(NSIT) rounded out the top 10.</p><p><blockquote><b>太平洋卓越银行</b>（PPBI），<b>贝德柏士比昂公司</b>（BBBY），<b>美国银行</b>（ABCB），<b>第一夏威夷人</b>（FHB）和<b>洞察企业</b>(NSIT)跻身前十名。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop has undergone wide swings this year. It rocketed about 2,500% early this year amid theshort-squeeze rallyfueled by the Reddit/WallStreetBets crowd.GME stockthen crashed 92% from a Jan. 28 high to its mid-February low. That was followed by an 805% surge the next three weeks, and a 66% drop over the next two weeks.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站今年经历了大幅波动。今年早些时候，在Reddit/WallStreetBets人群推动的空头挤压反弹中，该股飙升了约2,500%。GME股票随后从1月28日的高点暴跌92%至2月中旬的低点。随后在接下来的三周内飙升805%，在接下来的两周内下跌66%。</blockquote></p><p> Action had been relatively subdued since, until Thursday's 27% dive. Even after that, GameStop stock was up 1,070% year to date through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>此后，股价一直相对低迷，直到周四暴跌27%。即便如此，截至周四收盘，游戏驿站股价今年迄今仍上涨了1,070%。</blockquote></p><p> Could GME be inflating SLYV's performance? Certainly, given its quadruple-digit gain. But a look at SLYG's portfolio is interesting. GameStop stock is also the top holding in the growth stock ETF, though the rest of the top 10 differ vastly.</p><p><blockquote>GME会夸大SLYV的业绩吗？当然，考虑到其四位数的增益。但看看SLYG的投资组合很有趣。游戏驿站股票也是成长型股票ETF中持股最多的股票，尽管前10名中的其他股票差异很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Second Meme Stock In Top 10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前十名中的第二只模因股票</b></blockquote></p><p> PDC Energy, up 130%, saw the next biggest gain in the top 10. The Colorado-based oil and gas explorer has a 97Relative Strength Rating, which mean it's in the top 3% of all stocks. Its relative strength line is at a 52-week high, a bullish sign.</p><p><blockquote>PDC Energy上涨130%，在前十名中涨幅第二大。这家总部位于科罗拉多州的石油和天然气勘探公司的相对强度评级为97，这意味着它在所有股票中排名前3%。其相对强弱线处于52周高点，这是一个看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> Bed Bath &amp; Beyond, another meme stock, is up 78% this year. Shares surged more than 200% in January, amid a spate of wild double-digit swings. BBBY stock then gave back the bulk of its gains.</p><p><blockquote>另一只模因股票Bed Bath&amp;Beyond今年上涨了78%。在一系列两位数的剧烈波动中，股价在1月份飙升了200%以上。BBBY股票随后回吐了大部分涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> But the home goods retailer appears to be back on the radar of the WallStreetBets discussion group. On June 2, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond soared 62% before diving 28% the next session.</p><p><blockquote>但这家家居用品零售商似乎又重新受到了WallStreetBets讨论组的关注。6月2日，Bed Bath&amp;Beyond股价飙升62%，随后第二个交易日暴跌28%。</blockquote></p><p> The rest of the top 10 stocks have also outperformed the broader market. Macy's is up 68% year to date, while Resideo, Pacific Premier and Ameris have risen more than 40% each. The lowest gainer, bank holding company First Hawaiian, has advanced 20%. The S&amp;P 500 held a 13% gain through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>其余前10只股票的表现也优于大盘。梅西百货今年迄今上涨了68%，而Resideo、Pacific Premier和Ameris的涨幅均超过40%。涨幅最低的银行控股公司First Hawaiian上涨了20%。截至周四收盘，标普500上涨了13%。</blockquote></p><p> SLYV remains in potential buy range from an 87.29entryof acup with handle, according toMarketSmithchart analysis.&nbsp;SLYV and SLYG charge a 0.15% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>根据MarketSmithChart分析，SLYV仍处于带手柄acup的87.29入场点的潜在买入范围内。SLYV和SLYG收取0.15%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meme Stock Soars 1,000% To Lead These Two Top Small Cap Stock Plays<blockquote>Meme股票飙升1,000%，领跑这两只顶级小盘股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeme Stock Soars 1,000% To Lead These Two Top Small Cap Stock Plays<blockquote>Meme股票飙升1,000%，领跑这两只顶级小盘股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-13 06:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>GameStop may be the top holding in SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value, but that's not the only reason the ETF is beating its growth-stock counterpart.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站可能是SPDR S&amp;P 600小型股价值中最大的持股，但这并不是该ETF击败成长型股票的唯一原因。</blockquote></p><p> The $4.2 billion value fund tracks the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Value Index (SLYV), composed of stocks with the strongest value traits based on book value to price ratio, earnings to price ratio, and sales to price ratio. SLYV rallied 32% this year through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>这只价值42亿美元的价值基金追踪S&amp;P SmallCap 600价值指数(SLYV)，该指数由根据账面价值与价格比率、市盈率和销售价格比率具有最强价值特征的股票组成。截至周四收盘，SLYV今年上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> That more than doubles the return of its growth stock counterpart, SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth (SLYG), which is up 15%. The index SLYG tracks includes stocks with the strongest growth traits based on sales growth, earnings change to price and momentum.</p><p><blockquote>这是成长型股票SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth(SLYG)回报率的两倍多，后者上涨了15%。SLYG跟踪的指数包括基于销售增长、盈利价格变化和动量的增长特征最强的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Back to SLYV, financials accounted for the biggest sector weight at 24% of assets. Industrials weighed in at about 17%, consumer discretionary 15% and real estate 10%. Information technology was next at 8% and materials, energy and health care, 6% each.&nbsp;Smaller positions in consumer staples, utilities and communication services made up the rest.</p><p><blockquote>回到SLYV，金融业占资产比重最大，占资产的24%。工业股约占17%，非必需消费品股15%，房地产股10%。其次是信息技术，占8%，材料、能源和医疗保健，各占6%。消费品、公用事业和通信服务的较小头寸占其余部分。</blockquote></p><p> SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value is in IBD's ETF Leaders, but SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth is not.</p><p><blockquote>SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value位居IBD ETF领先者之列，但SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth则不然。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GameStop Stock Leads</b></p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站股票领先</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>GameStop</b>(GME),<b>Macy's</b>(M),<b>PDC Energy</b>(PDCE),<b>Resideo Technologies</b>(REZI) and<b>BankUnited</b>(BKU) were the top five holdings as of Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站</b>（GME），<b>梅西百货</b>(M)，<b>PDC能源</b>（PDCE），<b>Resideo技术</b>（雷齐）和<b>联合银行</b>(BKU)是截至周三的前五大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pacific Premier Bancorp</b>(PPBI),<b>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond</b>(BBBY),<b>Ameris Bancorp</b>(ABCB),<b>First Hawaiian</b>(FHB) and<b>Insight Enterprises</b>(NSIT) rounded out the top 10.</p><p><blockquote><b>太平洋卓越银行</b>（PPBI），<b>贝德柏士比昂公司</b>（BBBY），<b>美国银行</b>（ABCB），<b>第一夏威夷人</b>（FHB）和<b>洞察企业</b>(NSIT)跻身前十名。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop has undergone wide swings this year. It rocketed about 2,500% early this year amid theshort-squeeze rallyfueled by the Reddit/WallStreetBets crowd.GME stockthen crashed 92% from a Jan. 28 high to its mid-February low. That was followed by an 805% surge the next three weeks, and a 66% drop over the next two weeks.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站今年经历了大幅波动。今年早些时候，在Reddit/WallStreetBets人群推动的空头挤压反弹中，该股飙升了约2,500%。GME股票随后从1月28日的高点暴跌92%至2月中旬的低点。随后在接下来的三周内飙升805%，在接下来的两周内下跌66%。</blockquote></p><p> Action had been relatively subdued since, until Thursday's 27% dive. Even after that, GameStop stock was up 1,070% year to date through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>此后，股价一直相对低迷，直到周四暴跌27%。即便如此，截至周四收盘，游戏驿站股价今年迄今仍上涨了1,070%。</blockquote></p><p> Could GME be inflating SLYV's performance? Certainly, given its quadruple-digit gain. But a look at SLYG's portfolio is interesting. GameStop stock is also the top holding in the growth stock ETF, though the rest of the top 10 differ vastly.</p><p><blockquote>GME会夸大SLYV的业绩吗？当然，考虑到其四位数的增益。但看看SLYG的投资组合很有趣。游戏驿站股票也是成长型股票ETF中持股最多的股票，尽管前10名中的其他股票差异很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Second Meme Stock In Top 10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前十名中的第二只模因股票</b></blockquote></p><p> PDC Energy, up 130%, saw the next biggest gain in the top 10. The Colorado-based oil and gas explorer has a 97Relative Strength Rating, which mean it's in the top 3% of all stocks. Its relative strength line is at a 52-week high, a bullish sign.</p><p><blockquote>PDC Energy上涨130%，在前十名中涨幅第二大。这家总部位于科罗拉多州的石油和天然气勘探公司的相对强度评级为97，这意味着它在所有股票中排名前3%。其相对强弱线处于52周高点，这是一个看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> Bed Bath &amp; Beyond, another meme stock, is up 78% this year. Shares surged more than 200% in January, amid a spate of wild double-digit swings. BBBY stock then gave back the bulk of its gains.</p><p><blockquote>另一只模因股票Bed Bath&amp;Beyond今年上涨了78%。在一系列两位数的剧烈波动中，股价在1月份飙升了200%以上。BBBY股票随后回吐了大部分涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> But the home goods retailer appears to be back on the radar of the WallStreetBets discussion group. On June 2, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond soared 62% before diving 28% the next session.</p><p><blockquote>但这家家居用品零售商似乎又重新受到了WallStreetBets讨论组的关注。6月2日，Bed Bath&amp;Beyond股价飙升62%，随后第二个交易日暴跌28%。</blockquote></p><p> The rest of the top 10 stocks have also outperformed the broader market. Macy's is up 68% year to date, while Resideo, Pacific Premier and Ameris have risen more than 40% each. The lowest gainer, bank holding company First Hawaiian, has advanced 20%. The S&amp;P 500 held a 13% gain through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>其余前10只股票的表现也优于大盘。梅西百货今年迄今上涨了68%，而Resideo、Pacific Premier和Ameris的涨幅均超过40%。涨幅最低的银行控股公司First Hawaiian上涨了20%。截至周四收盘，标普500上涨了13%。</blockquote></p><p> SLYV remains in potential buy range from an 87.29entryof acup with handle, according toMarketSmithchart analysis.&nbsp;SLYV and SLYG charge a 0.15% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>根据MarketSmithChart分析，SLYV仍处于带手柄acup的87.29入场点的潜在买入范围内。SLYV和SLYG收取0.15%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/etf-leaders/gamestop-stock-soars-1000-percent-lead-two-top-small-cap-stock-plays/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PDCE":"PDC Energy","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/etf-leaders/gamestop-stock-soars-1000-percent-lead-two-top-small-cap-stock-plays/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185020128","content_text":"GameStop may be the top holding in SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value, but that's not the only reason the ETF is beating its growth-stock counterpart.\nThe $4.2 billion value fund tracks the S&P SmallCap 600 Value Index (SLYV), composed of stocks with the strongest value traits based on book value to price ratio, earnings to price ratio, and sales to price ratio. SLYV rallied 32% this year through Thursday's close.\nThat more than doubles the return of its growth stock counterpart, SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Growth (SLYG), which is up 15%. The index SLYG tracks includes stocks with the strongest growth traits based on sales growth, earnings change to price and momentum.\nBack to SLYV, financials accounted for the biggest sector weight at 24% of assets. Industrials weighed in at about 17%, consumer discretionary 15% and real estate 10%. Information technology was next at 8% and materials, energy and health care, 6% each. Smaller positions in consumer staples, utilities and communication services made up the rest.\nSPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value is in IBD's ETF Leaders, but SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Growth is not.\nGameStop Stock Leads\nGameStop(GME),Macy's(M),PDC Energy(PDCE),Resideo Technologies(REZI) andBankUnited(BKU) were the top five holdings as of Wednesday.\nPacific Premier Bancorp(PPBI),Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY),Ameris Bancorp(ABCB),First Hawaiian(FHB) andInsight Enterprises(NSIT) rounded out the top 10.\nGameStop has undergone wide swings this year. It rocketed about 2,500% early this year amid theshort-squeeze rallyfueled by the Reddit/WallStreetBets crowd.GME stockthen crashed 92% from a Jan. 28 high to its mid-February low. That was followed by an 805% surge the next three weeks, and a 66% drop over the next two weeks.\nAction had been relatively subdued since, until Thursday's 27% dive. Even after that, GameStop stock was up 1,070% year to date through Thursday's close.\nCould GME be inflating SLYV's performance? Certainly, given its quadruple-digit gain. But a look at SLYG's portfolio is interesting. GameStop stock is also the top holding in the growth stock ETF, though the rest of the top 10 differ vastly.\nSecond Meme Stock In Top 10\nPDC Energy, up 130%, saw the next biggest gain in the top 10. The Colorado-based oil and gas explorer has a 97Relative Strength Rating, which mean it's in the top 3% of all stocks. Its relative strength line is at a 52-week high, a bullish sign.\nBed Bath & Beyond, another meme stock, is up 78% this year. Shares surged more than 200% in January, amid a spate of wild double-digit swings. BBBY stock then gave back the bulk of its gains.\nBut the home goods retailer appears to be back on the radar of the WallStreetBets discussion group. On June 2, Bed Bath & Beyond soared 62% before diving 28% the next session.\nThe rest of the top 10 stocks have also outperformed the broader market. Macy's is up 68% year to date, while Resideo, Pacific Premier and Ameris have risen more than 40% each. The lowest gainer, bank holding company First Hawaiian, has advanced 20%. The S&P 500 held a 13% gain through Thursday's close.\nSLYV remains in potential buy range from an 87.29entryof acup with handle, according toMarketSmithchart analysis. SLYV and SLYG charge a 0.15% expense ratio.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBBY":0.9,"PDCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186717399,"gmtCreate":1623542222511,"gmtModify":1631892900268,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186717399","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":642,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186258319,"gmtCreate":1623504500231,"gmtModify":1631892900270,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodllllll","listText":"Hodllllll","text":"Hodllllll","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186258319","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114712919,"gmtCreate":1623105832931,"gmtModify":1631892900273,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sweet","listText":"Sweet","text":"Sweet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114712919","repostId":"1108033863","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114399757,"gmtCreate":1623047719579,"gmtModify":1631892900276,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114399757","repostId":"1106312903","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106312903","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622855773,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106312903?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>未来一周的美国IPO：多元化的8次IPO中的数字支付、心理健康服务等</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106312903","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental h","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>  <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>  <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八起IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等领域。</li><li>支付平台Marqeta计划以124亿美元的市值筹集10亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八起IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等领域。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>马尔凯塔</b>(MQ)计划以124亿美元的市值筹集10亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划，向客户或最终用户发行卡，以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta发展迅速，其客户包括Affirm(AFRM)和DoorDash(DASH)等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ)计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台，促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称，按月活跃用户数计算，它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>生命健康</b>(LFST)计划以61亿美元的市值筹集6.4亿美元。LifeStance表示，截至2021年3月31日，它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一，在27个州的73个MSA中雇用了3,300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管2021年第一季度的息税前利润转为负值，但该公司仍实现了增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>周一网</b>(MNDY)计划以68亿美元的市值筹集4.9亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建满足其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日，它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce和Zoom计划同时进行私募，总共投资1.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>塔斯库斯</b>(TASK)计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商，提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日，该公司盈利强劲，增长强劲，拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。该公司的Zeta营销平台使用身份数据通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta已实现盈利，为1,000多家客户提供服务，2020年提供约5亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>网上奢侈品市场<b>第一个</b>(DIBS)计划以7.73亿美元的市值筹集1.12亿美元。1stDibs连接复古、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020年，该市场有超过58,000名买家在过去一年中进行了购买，平均每年的总购买额超过5,500美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME)计划以19亿美元的市值筹集4300万美元。掌门教育表示，自2017年以来，按收入计算，它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商，2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将有6家公司接受街头调查，多达11家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月3日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌6.0%，而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括Zoom Video（ZM）和优步（UBER）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.1%，而ACWX指数上涨10.5%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括Nexi和EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>未来一周的美国IPO：多元化的8次IPO中的数字支付、心理健康服务等</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>未来一周的美国IPO：多元化的8次IPO中的数字支付、心理健康服务等</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>  <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>  <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八起IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等领域。</li><li>支付平台Marqeta计划以124亿美元的市值筹集10亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八起IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等领域。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>马尔凯塔</b>(MQ)计划以124亿美元的市值筹集10亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划，向客户或最终用户发行卡，以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta发展迅速，其客户包括Affirm(AFRM)和DoorDash(DASH)等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ)计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台，促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称，按月活跃用户数计算，它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>生命健康</b>(LFST)计划以61亿美元的市值筹集6.4亿美元。LifeStance表示，截至2021年3月31日，它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一，在27个州的73个MSA中雇用了3,300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管2021年第一季度的息税前利润转为负值，但该公司仍实现了增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>周一网</b>(MNDY)计划以68亿美元的市值筹集4.9亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建满足其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日，它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce和Zoom计划同时进行私募，总共投资1.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>塔斯库斯</b>(TASK)计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商，提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日，该公司盈利强劲，增长强劲，拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。该公司的Zeta营销平台使用身份数据通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta已实现盈利，为1,000多家客户提供服务，2020年提供约5亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>网上奢侈品市场<b>第一个</b>(DIBS)计划以7.73亿美元的市值筹集1.12亿美元。1stDibs连接复古、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020年，该市场有超过58,000名买家在过去一年中进行了购买，平均每年的总购买额超过5,500美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME)计划以19亿美元的市值筹集4300万美元。掌门教育表示，自2017年以来，按收入计算，它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商，2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将有6家公司接受街头调查，多达11家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月3日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌6.0%，而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括Zoom Video（ZM）和优步（UBER）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.1%，而ACWX指数上涨10.5%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括Nexi和EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LFST":"LifeStance Health Group, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd.","DIBS":"1stdibs.com Inc.","MQ":"Marqeta, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BZ":"BOSS直聘","ZME":"掌门教育",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TASK":"TaskUs Inc.","ZETA":"Zeta Global Holdings Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106312903","content_text":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.\nMental health services provider LifeStance Health(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.\nIsrael’s monday.com(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.\nBPO vendor TaskUs(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.\nData-driven marketing platform Zeta Global(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.\nOnline luxury goods marketplace 1stDibs(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.\nChinese online tutoring platform Zhangmen Education(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"LFST":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ZETA":0.9,"BZ":0.9,"MNDY":0.9,"ZME":0.9,"DIBS":0.9,"MQ":0.9,"TASK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112734200,"gmtCreate":1622929637000,"gmtModify":1631892900279,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112734200","repostId":"1106312903","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106312903","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622855773,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106312903?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>未来一周的美国IPO：多元化的8次IPO中的数字支付、心理健康服务等</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106312903","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental h","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>  <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>  <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八起IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等领域。</li><li>支付平台Marqeta计划以124亿美元的市值筹集10亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八起IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等领域。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>马尔凯塔</b>(MQ)计划以124亿美元的市值筹集10亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划，向客户或最终用户发行卡，以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta发展迅速，其客户包括Affirm(AFRM)和DoorDash(DASH)等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ)计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台，促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称，按月活跃用户数计算，它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>生命健康</b>(LFST)计划以61亿美元的市值筹集6.4亿美元。LifeStance表示，截至2021年3月31日，它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一，在27个州的73个MSA中雇用了3,300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管2021年第一季度的息税前利润转为负值，但该公司仍实现了增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>周一网</b>(MNDY)计划以68亿美元的市值筹集4.9亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建满足其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日，它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce和Zoom计划同时进行私募，总共投资1.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>塔斯库斯</b>(TASK)计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商，提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日，该公司盈利强劲，增长强劲，拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。该公司的Zeta营销平台使用身份数据通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta已实现盈利，为1,000多家客户提供服务，2020年提供约5亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>网上奢侈品市场<b>第一个</b>(DIBS)计划以7.73亿美元的市值筹集1.12亿美元。1stDibs连接复古、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020年，该市场有超过58,000名买家在过去一年中进行了购买，平均每年的总购买额超过5,500美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME)计划以19亿美元的市值筹集4300万美元。掌门教育表示，自2017年以来，按收入计算，它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商，2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将有6家公司接受街头调查，多达11家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月3日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌6.0%，而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括Zoom Video（ZM）和优步（UBER）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.1%，而ACWX指数上涨10.5%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括Nexi和EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>未来一周的美国IPO：多元化的8次IPO中的数字支付、心理健康服务等</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>未来一周的美国IPO：多元化的8次IPO中的数字支付、心理健康服务等</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>  <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>  <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八起IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等领域。</li><li>支付平台Marqeta计划以124亿美元的市值筹集10亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八起IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等领域。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>马尔凯塔</b>(MQ)计划以124亿美元的市值筹集10亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划，向客户或最终用户发行卡，以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta发展迅速，其客户包括Affirm(AFRM)和DoorDash(DASH)等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ)计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台，促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称，按月活跃用户数计算，它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>生命健康</b>(LFST)计划以61亿美元的市值筹集6.4亿美元。LifeStance表示，截至2021年3月31日，它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一，在27个州的73个MSA中雇用了3,300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管2021年第一季度的息税前利润转为负值，但该公司仍实现了增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>周一网</b>(MNDY)计划以68亿美元的市值筹集4.9亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建满足其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日，它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce和Zoom计划同时进行私募，总共投资1.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>塔斯库斯</b>(TASK)计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商，提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日，该公司盈利强劲，增长强劲，拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。该公司的Zeta营销平台使用身份数据通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta已实现盈利，为1,000多家客户提供服务，2020年提供约5亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>网上奢侈品市场<b>第一个</b>(DIBS)计划以7.73亿美元的市值筹集1.12亿美元。1stDibs连接复古、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020年，该市场有超过58,000名买家在过去一年中进行了购买，平均每年的总购买额超过5,500美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME)计划以19亿美元的市值筹集4300万美元。掌门教育表示，自2017年以来，按收入计算，它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商，2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将有6家公司接受街头调查，多达11家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月3日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌6.0%，而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括Zoom Video（ZM）和优步（UBER）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.1%，而ACWX指数上涨10.5%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括Nexi和EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LFST":"LifeStance Health Group, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd.","DIBS":"1stdibs.com Inc.","MQ":"Marqeta, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BZ":"BOSS直聘","ZME":"掌门教育",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TASK":"TaskUs Inc.","ZETA":"Zeta Global Holdings Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106312903","content_text":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.\nMental health services provider LifeStance Health(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.\nIsrael’s monday.com(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.\nBPO vendor TaskUs(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.\nData-driven marketing platform Zeta Global(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.\nOnline luxury goods marketplace 1stDibs(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.\nChinese online tutoring platform Zhangmen Education(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"LFST":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ZETA":0.9,"BZ":0.9,"MNDY":0.9,"ZME":0.9,"DIBS":0.9,"MQ":0.9,"TASK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116348835,"gmtCreate":1622776943827,"gmtModify":1631892900284,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116348835","repostId":"2140843479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111516612,"gmtCreate":1622686250736,"gmtModify":1631892900286,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl!","listText":"Hodl!","text":"Hodl!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111516612","repostId":"1115876867","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113029384,"gmtCreate":1622587308148,"gmtModify":1631892900293,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581978086195615","authorIdStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113029384","repostId":"1143976351","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":656,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":191616922,"gmtCreate":1620874391366,"gmtModify":1634195673039,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl","listText":"Hodl","text":"Hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191616922","repostId":"2135584610","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372625954,"gmtCreate":1619207660678,"gmtModify":1634287779261,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No way!!!!","listText":"No way!!!!","text":"No way!!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372625954","repostId":"1128911279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191985000,"gmtCreate":1620833805200,"gmtModify":1634195957295,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191985000","repostId":"1170539751","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170539751","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620833723,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170539751?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-12 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Is The Heatmap From Today's \"Eye-Popping\" CPI Report<blockquote>这是今天“令人瞠目结舌”的CPI报告的热图</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170539751","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As BOfA economist Alexander Lin writes, the \"eye-popping\" April CPI report was a \"massive surprise\" ","content":"<p>As BOfA economist Alexander Lin writes, the \"eye-popping\" April CPI report was a \"massive surprise\" as core CPI strongly rose 0.9% (0.92% unrounded) sequentially, which was the largest gain since 1981 and blew away consensus forecasts of 0.3% (for a full range of shocked reactions from traders and strategistssee this).</p><p><blockquote>正如美国银行经济学家Alexander Lin所写，“令人瞠目结舌”的4月份CPI报告是一个“巨大的惊喜”，因为核心CPI环比强劲上涨0.9%（未四舍五入为0.92%），这是自1981年以来的最大涨幅，并超出了市场普遍预测0.3%（有关交易员和策略师的各种震惊反应，请参阅此处）。</blockquote></p><p>However, in some potentially mitigating details, BofA reveals that near-term inflation pressures were driven by<b>goods shortages and the reopening \"and that was certainly the case this month as these two themes accounted for at least 70bp of the rise in core.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，在一些可能缓解的细节中，美国银行透露，近期通胀压力是由以下因素驱动的<b>商品短缺和重新开放“本月的情况确实如此，因为这两个主题至少占core涨幅的70个基点。”</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First on&nbsp; shortages, auto prices jumped 4.3% mom with particular strength in used cars, which posted a record increase of 10.0% mom. Despite this historic increase, there is likely further upside in the pipeline with Manheim wholesale used cars rising another 8.2% in April, which builds on the 11% increase from Jan through March.</li><li>Household furnishings &amp; supplies also jumped 0.9% mom, with strength in other goods like recreation (+1.2%) and education &amp; communication (+3.1%).</li><li>Related to the reopening, lodging away from home rose 7.6% mom and transportation services jumped 2.9%.</li><li>In transportation services, airline fares leapt 10.2% mom and car &amp; truck rental leasing surged 16.2% mom, which follows an already impressive 11.7% gain in March.</li><li>The gains in lodging and airfares were both record highs,<b>but prices remain 17.7% and 4.9% lower than pre-pandemic levels which means scope for further significant price increases in coming months.</b></li><li>In leasing, rental car companies have been impacted by the production cuts in the auto sector as well, which has forced them to build back their fleets with used cars as travel recovers.</li><li>Motor vehicle insurance prices also rose 2.5% mom, which could reflect more people getting back on the roads.</li></ul>Meanwhile, Lin argues that more persistent sources of inflation were tamer. Rents and OER both came in at 0.2% mom, which while in line with the recent trend, is about to change as we discussed in \"And Now Rents Are Soaring Too.\" Furthermore, as Joseph Carson notes, housing prices are up 18% in the past 12 months, a record increase and<b>nine times the increase in owners' rent. \"</b>The old CPI included house prices. Inserting house prices in place of non-market owner rents,<b>reported inflation would have been twice the 4.2% gain</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先是短缺问题，汽车价格环比上涨4.3%，尤其是二手车，环比上涨10.0%，创历史新高。尽管出现了历史性的增长，但曼海姆批发二手车在1月至3月11%增长的基础上，4月份可能会进一步上涨8.2%。</li><li>家居用品和用品也环比上涨0.9%，其他商品如娱乐（+1.2%）和教育及通讯（+3.1%）表现强劲。</li><li>与重新开放相关，外出住宿环比增长7.6%，交通服务增长2.9%。</li><li>在运输服务方面，机票价格环比上涨10.2%，汽车和卡车租赁价格环比飙升16.2%，此前3月份已经上涨了11.7%，令人印象深刻。</li><li>住宿和机票价格涨幅均创历史新高，<b>但价格仍比大流行前的水平低17.7%和4.9%，这意味着未来几个月价格还有进一步大幅上涨的空间。</b></li><li>在租赁方面，汽车租赁公司也受到了汽车行业减产的影响，随着旅行的复苏，这迫使他们用二手车重建车队。</li><li>机动车辆保险价格也环比上涨2.5%，这可能反映出更多的人重新上路。</li></ul>与此同时，林认为，更持久的通胀来源更加温和。租金和OER环比均上涨0.2%，虽然与最近的趋势一致，但正如我们在“现在租金也在飙升”中讨论的那样，即将发生变化。此外，正如约瑟夫·卡森指出的那样，过去12个月房价上涨了18%，创下了历史新高<b>业主租金涨幅的九倍。”</b>旧的CPI包括房价。插入房价代替非市场业主租金，<b>报告的通胀率将是4.2%涨幅的两倍</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, medical care inflation was flat as the boost from stimulus around the turn of the year faded. Within healthcare, insurance was a big drag, contracting 1.0% mom. Professional services also inched down -0.2% mom, while hospital rose 0.3% mom.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，随着年初刺激措施的提振消退，医疗保健通胀持平。在医疗保健领域，保险是一个很大的拖累，环比收缩1.0%。专业服务环比也小幅下降0.2%，而医院环比上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p>A visual summary of the data looks like this, first on a M/M basis, where the base effect has no impact as it is sequential...</p><p><blockquote>数据的可视化摘要如下所示，首先是在M/M的基础上，基数效应没有影响，因为它是连续的...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae18376e78b4cca392db3a4a3ac3e393\" tg-width=\"1132\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... and then the YoY CPI print which is less relevant due to the collapse last March.</p><p><blockquote>...然后是同比CPI数据，由于去年3月的崩溃，该数据不太相关。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63fb5677bd66ef2a9464cd05c551b8b7\" tg-width=\"1139\" tg-height=\"647\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>So with inflation soaring, will anything change and will the Fed be forced to tighten sooner? According to BofA, not at all: \"<i>the Fed is likely to continue to reiterate the message of transitory one-off price increases versus more persistent inflation, with this report a shining example of these dynamics. However, a key question going forward is whether this transitory strength will ultimately feed into the latter. This would be accomplished through rising long term inflation expectations—keep an eye out on survey- and market-based measures.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>那么，随着通胀飙升，情况会发生变化吗？美联储会被迫更快收紧吗？根据美国银行的说法，根本不是：“<i>美联储可能会继续重申暂时的一次性价格上涨与更持久的通胀的信息，这份报告是这些动态的一个光辉例子。然而，未来的一个关键问题是，这种短暂的力量最终是否会流入后者。这将通过提高长期通胀预期来实现——密切关注调查和基于市场的措施。”</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Is The Heatmap From Today's \"Eye-Popping\" CPI Report<blockquote>这是今天“令人瞠目结舌”的CPI报告的热图</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Is The Heatmap From Today's \"Eye-Popping\" CPI Report<blockquote>这是今天“令人瞠目结舌”的CPI报告的热图</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-12 23:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As BOfA economist Alexander Lin writes, the \"eye-popping\" April CPI report was a \"massive surprise\" as core CPI strongly rose 0.9% (0.92% unrounded) sequentially, which was the largest gain since 1981 and blew away consensus forecasts of 0.3% (for a full range of shocked reactions from traders and strategistssee this).</p><p><blockquote>正如美国银行经济学家Alexander Lin所写，“令人瞠目结舌”的4月份CPI报告是一个“巨大的惊喜”，因为核心CPI环比强劲上涨0.9%（未四舍五入为0.92%），这是自1981年以来的最大涨幅，并超出了市场普遍预测0.3%（有关交易员和策略师的各种震惊反应，请参阅此处）。</blockquote></p><p>However, in some potentially mitigating details, BofA reveals that near-term inflation pressures were driven by<b>goods shortages and the reopening \"and that was certainly the case this month as these two themes accounted for at least 70bp of the rise in core.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，在一些可能缓解的细节中，美国银行透露，近期通胀压力是由以下因素驱动的<b>商品短缺和重新开放“本月的情况确实如此，因为这两个主题至少占core涨幅的70个基点。”</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First on&nbsp; shortages, auto prices jumped 4.3% mom with particular strength in used cars, which posted a record increase of 10.0% mom. Despite this historic increase, there is likely further upside in the pipeline with Manheim wholesale used cars rising another 8.2% in April, which builds on the 11% increase from Jan through March.</li><li>Household furnishings &amp; supplies also jumped 0.9% mom, with strength in other goods like recreation (+1.2%) and education &amp; communication (+3.1%).</li><li>Related to the reopening, lodging away from home rose 7.6% mom and transportation services jumped 2.9%.</li><li>In transportation services, airline fares leapt 10.2% mom and car &amp; truck rental leasing surged 16.2% mom, which follows an already impressive 11.7% gain in March.</li><li>The gains in lodging and airfares were both record highs,<b>but prices remain 17.7% and 4.9% lower than pre-pandemic levels which means scope for further significant price increases in coming months.</b></li><li>In leasing, rental car companies have been impacted by the production cuts in the auto sector as well, which has forced them to build back their fleets with used cars as travel recovers.</li><li>Motor vehicle insurance prices also rose 2.5% mom, which could reflect more people getting back on the roads.</li></ul>Meanwhile, Lin argues that more persistent sources of inflation were tamer. Rents and OER both came in at 0.2% mom, which while in line with the recent trend, is about to change as we discussed in \"And Now Rents Are Soaring Too.\" Furthermore, as Joseph Carson notes, housing prices are up 18% in the past 12 months, a record increase and<b>nine times the increase in owners' rent. \"</b>The old CPI included house prices. Inserting house prices in place of non-market owner rents,<b>reported inflation would have been twice the 4.2% gain</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先是短缺问题，汽车价格环比上涨4.3%，尤其是二手车，环比上涨10.0%，创历史新高。尽管出现了历史性的增长，但曼海姆批发二手车在1月至3月11%增长的基础上，4月份可能会进一步上涨8.2%。</li><li>家居用品和用品也环比上涨0.9%，其他商品如娱乐（+1.2%）和教育及通讯（+3.1%）表现强劲。</li><li>与重新开放相关，外出住宿环比增长7.6%，交通服务增长2.9%。</li><li>在运输服务方面，机票价格环比上涨10.2%，汽车和卡车租赁价格环比飙升16.2%，此前3月份已经上涨了11.7%，令人印象深刻。</li><li>住宿和机票价格涨幅均创历史新高，<b>但价格仍比大流行前的水平低17.7%和4.9%，这意味着未来几个月价格还有进一步大幅上涨的空间。</b></li><li>在租赁方面，汽车租赁公司也受到了汽车行业减产的影响，随着旅行的复苏，这迫使他们用二手车重建车队。</li><li>机动车辆保险价格也环比上涨2.5%，这可能反映出更多的人重新上路。</li></ul>与此同时，林认为，更持久的通胀来源更加温和。租金和OER环比均上涨0.2%，虽然与最近的趋势一致，但正如我们在“现在租金也在飙升”中讨论的那样，即将发生变化。此外，正如约瑟夫·卡森指出的那样，过去12个月房价上涨了18%，创下了历史新高<b>业主租金涨幅的九倍。”</b>旧的CPI包括房价。插入房价代替非市场业主租金，<b>报告的通胀率将是4.2%涨幅的两倍</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, medical care inflation was flat as the boost from stimulus around the turn of the year faded. Within healthcare, insurance was a big drag, contracting 1.0% mom. Professional services also inched down -0.2% mom, while hospital rose 0.3% mom.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，随着年初刺激措施的提振消退，医疗保健通胀持平。在医疗保健领域，保险是一个很大的拖累，环比收缩1.0%。专业服务环比也小幅下降0.2%，而医院环比上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p>A visual summary of the data looks like this, first on a M/M basis, where the base effect has no impact as it is sequential...</p><p><blockquote>数据的可视化摘要如下所示，首先是在M/M的基础上，基数效应没有影响，因为它是连续的...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae18376e78b4cca392db3a4a3ac3e393\" tg-width=\"1132\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... and then the YoY CPI print which is less relevant due to the collapse last March.</p><p><blockquote>...然后是同比CPI数据，由于去年3月的崩溃，该数据不太相关。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63fb5677bd66ef2a9464cd05c551b8b7\" tg-width=\"1139\" tg-height=\"647\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>So with inflation soaring, will anything change and will the Fed be forced to tighten sooner? According to BofA, not at all: \"<i>the Fed is likely to continue to reiterate the message of transitory one-off price increases versus more persistent inflation, with this report a shining example of these dynamics. However, a key question going forward is whether this transitory strength will ultimately feed into the latter. This would be accomplished through rising long term inflation expectations—keep an eye out on survey- and market-based measures.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>那么，随着通胀飙升，情况会发生变化吗？美联储会被迫更快收紧吗？根据美国银行的说法，根本不是：“<i>美联储可能会继续重申暂时的一次性价格上涨与更持久的通胀的信息，这份报告是这些动态的一个光辉例子。然而，未来的一个关键问题是，这种短暂的力量最终是否会流入后者。这将通过提高长期通胀预期来实现——密切关注调查和基于市场的措施。”</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-heatmap-todays-eye-popping-cpi-report\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-heatmap-todays-eye-popping-cpi-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170539751","content_text":"As BOfA economist Alexander Lin writes, the \"eye-popping\" April CPI report was a \"massive surprise\" as core CPI strongly rose 0.9% (0.92% unrounded) sequentially, which was the largest gain since 1981 and blew away consensus forecasts of 0.3% (for a full range of shocked reactions from traders and strategistssee this).However, in some potentially mitigating details, BofA reveals that near-term inflation pressures were driven bygoods shortages and the reopening \"and that was certainly the case this month as these two themes accounted for at least 70bp of the rise in core.\"First on  shortages, auto prices jumped 4.3% mom with particular strength in used cars, which posted a record increase of 10.0% mom. Despite this historic increase, there is likely further upside in the pipeline with Manheim wholesale used cars rising another 8.2% in April, which builds on the 11% increase from Jan through March.Household furnishings & supplies also jumped 0.9% mom, with strength in other goods like recreation (+1.2%) and education & communication (+3.1%).Related to the reopening, lodging away from home rose 7.6% mom and transportation services jumped 2.9%.In transportation services, airline fares leapt 10.2% mom and car & truck rental leasing surged 16.2% mom, which follows an already impressive 11.7% gain in March.The gains in lodging and airfares were both record highs,but prices remain 17.7% and 4.9% lower than pre-pandemic levels which means scope for further significant price increases in coming months.In leasing, rental car companies have been impacted by the production cuts in the auto sector as well, which has forced them to build back their fleets with used cars as travel recovers.Motor vehicle insurance prices also rose 2.5% mom, which could reflect more people getting back on the roads.Meanwhile, Lin argues that more persistent sources of inflation were tamer. Rents and OER both came in at 0.2% mom, which while in line with the recent trend, is about to change as we discussed in \"And Now Rents Are Soaring Too.\" Furthermore, as Joseph Carson notes, housing prices are up 18% in the past 12 months, a record increase andnine times the increase in owners' rent. \"The old CPI included house prices. Inserting house prices in place of non-market owner rents,reported inflation would have been twice the 4.2% gain.\"Meanwhile, medical care inflation was flat as the boost from stimulus around the turn of the year faded. Within healthcare, insurance was a big drag, contracting 1.0% mom. Professional services also inched down -0.2% mom, while hospital rose 0.3% mom.A visual summary of the data looks like this, first on a M/M basis, where the base effect has no impact as it is sequential...... and then the YoY CPI print which is less relevant due to the collapse last March.So with inflation soaring, will anything change and will the Fed be forced to tighten sooner? According to BofA, not at all: \"the Fed is likely to continue to reiterate the message of transitory one-off price increases versus more persistent inflation, with this report a shining example of these dynamics. However, a key question going forward is whether this transitory strength will ultimately feed into the latter. This would be accomplished through rising long term inflation expectations—keep an eye out on survey- and market-based measures.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136358918,"gmtCreate":1621995744534,"gmtModify":1634184852066,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙈","listText":"🙈","text":"🙈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136358918","repostId":"1191037526","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191037526","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621994290,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191037526?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-26 09:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Could This Study Be Bad News for Pfizer's COVID Vaccine Sales?<blockquote>这项研究对辉瑞的COVID疫苗销售来说可能是个坏消息吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191037526","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Pfizer(NYSE:PFE) stated earlier this month that it expects its COVID-19 vaccine will generate sales ","content":"<p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE)&nbsp;stated earlier this month that it expects its COVID-19 vaccine will generate sales of close to $26 billion this year. More revenue is on the way beyond 2021. For example, Pfizer and its partner<b>BioNTech</b>(NASDAQ:BNTX)recently announced a new deal with the European Union tosupply up to 1.8 billion additional dosesthrough 2023.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PFE）本月早些时候表示，预计其COVID-19疫苗今年将产生近260亿美元的销售额。2021年之后将会有更多收入。例如，辉瑞及其合作伙伴<b>BioNTech</b>（纳斯达克：BNTX）最近宣布与欧盟达成一项新协议，到2023年额外供应多达18亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> However, the dynamics of the COVID-19 vaccine market are constantly changing. Last week, researchers in Spain reported results from a clinical study that included Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine. Could these results be bad news for future sales of Pfizer's vaccine?</p><p><blockquote>然而，新冠肺炎疫苗市场的动态在不断变化。上周，西班牙研究人员报告了一项临床研究的结果，其中包括辉瑞的COVID-19疫苗。这些结果对辉瑞疫苗的未来销售来说可能是个坏消息吗？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae75aadcdda23603ea8f59dda16c30a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A mix-and-match milestone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>混搭的里程碑</b></blockquote></p><p> Scientists have wondered what would happen if the initial dose of one COVID-19 vaccine was followed by a second dose from another vaccine. A few so-called \"mix-and-match\" clinical studies have been undertaken to find the answer. On May 18, the first results from one of those studies were announced.</p><p><blockquote>科学家们想知道，如果一种新冠肺炎疫苗的第一剂疫苗之后是另一种疫苗的第二剂疫苗，会发生什么。为了找到答案，已经进行了一些所谓的“混合搭配”临床研究。5月18日，其中一项研究的第一批结果公布。</blockquote></p><p> Researchers at the Carlos III Health Institute in Spain recruited participants for the CombiVacS clinical study who had received only a single dose of<b>AstraZeneca</b>'s(NASDAQ:AZN)vaccine within the previous eight weeks. Instead of administering the second dose of AstraZeneca's vaccine, the Spanish team gave the participants Pfizer's and BioNTech's COVID-19 vaccine instead.</p><p><blockquote>西班牙卡洛斯三世健康研究所的研究人员招募了康必维临床研究的参与者，他们只接受了单剂<b>阿斯利康</b>（纳斯达克：AZN）疫苗在过去八周内接种。西班牙团队没有注射第二剂阿斯利康疫苗，而是给参与者注射了辉瑞和BioNTech的新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> What happened? Participants receiving a first dose of the AstraZeneca vaccine followed by a second dose of the Pfizer vaccine experienced immune system responses that were \"greatly enhanced.\" The researchers reported that antibody levels for this group were at least 40 times higher than for individuals who only received a single dose of AstraZeneca's vaccine. These antibody levels were also higher than those reported for individuals who received two doses of the Pfizer vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>怎么回事？接受第一剂阿斯利康疫苗，然后接受第二剂辉瑞疫苗的参与者经历了“大大增强”的免疫系统反应。研究人员报告说，这一群体的抗体水平比仅接种单剂阿斯利康疫苗的个体高出至少40倍。这些抗体水平也高于接受两剂辉瑞疫苗的个体报告的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Side effects were similar to those observed in the past with the Pfizer vaccine. There were no adverse effects that required special medical attention or hospitalization. The most common side effects were headache, malaise, nausea, cough, and fever, most of which were mild cases.</p><p><blockquote>副作用与过去辉瑞疫苗观察到的相似。没有需要特殊医疗护理或住院治疗的不良反应。最常见的副作用是头痛、不适、恶心、咳嗽和发热，其中大多数是轻度病例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bad for Pfizer?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对辉瑞不利？</b></blockquote></p><p> It's easy to see how these mix-and-match results might negatively impact the sales of Pfizer's vaccine. If a combination of one dose of the AstraZeneca vaccine with a second dose of the Pfizer vaccine is more effective than two doses of the Pfizer vaccine, governments could want to take this approach. In theory, that could slash Pfizer's sales in half.</p><p><blockquote>很容易看出这些混合搭配的结果可能会对辉瑞疫苗的销售产生负面影响。如果一剂阿斯利康疫苗与第二剂辉瑞疫苗的组合比两剂辉瑞疫苗更有效，政府可能希望采取这种方法。理论上，这可能会使辉瑞的销售额减半。</blockquote></p><p> But don't put the cart before the horse: The Spanish clinical study hasn't been peer-reviewed yet. Also, the study itself was relatively small -- only 673 people in total, with 443 receiving the mix-and-match doses and 232 only receiving the first AstraZeneca dose.</p><p><blockquote>但是不要本末倒置：西班牙的临床研究还没有经过同行评审。此外，这项研究本身相对较小——总共只有673人，其中443人接受了混合剂量，232人只接受了第一剂阿斯利康。</blockquote></p><p> The European Union isn't likely to want to go with a mix of AstraZeneca and Pfizer vaccines, however. The EU issuing AstraZenecaover allegedly failing to meet its supply commitments. This dispute played a major role in Pfizer and BioNTech winning a big supply deal that covers the next couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，欧盟不太可能希望混合使用阿斯利康和辉瑞疫苗。欧盟因涉嫌未能履行供应承诺而发行阿斯利康。这场纠纷在辉瑞和BioNTech赢得一项涵盖未来几年的大型供应协议中发挥了重要作用。</blockquote></p><p> Even if the findings made by the Spanish researchers are eventually confirmed, it could still be too late to make much of a difference. There's a good chance that in future, only single-dose annual vaccinations will be required. If that's the case, any advantages offered by a two-dose regimen, including one combining AstraZeneca's and Pfizer's vaccines, could be irrelevant.</p><p><blockquote>即使西班牙研究人员的发现最终得到证实，也可能为时已晚，无法产生太大的影响。很有可能在未来，只需要每年接种一剂疫苗。如果是这样的话，两剂方案（包括结合阿斯利康和辉瑞疫苗的方案）提供的任何优势都可能无关紧要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What really matters</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真正重要的是什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Results from the mix-and-match studies probably won't present major problems for Pfizer (or for any of the other leading vaccine makers, for that matter). What really matters for the company is how frequently booster doses will be needed.</p><p><blockquote>混合搭配研究的结果可能不会给辉瑞（或任何其他领先的疫苗制造商）带来重大问题。对公司来说，真正重要的是多久需要一次加强剂量。</blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question probably won't be answered until sometime this fall. Meanwhile, investors appear to be discounting the likelihood that Pfizer will be able to count on huge recurring revenue for years to come: The bigpharma stocktrades at only around 12 times expected earnings. Should COVID-19 vaccines be needed at least once per year from here on out, Pfizer could be viewed, in retrospect, as a bargain at its current price.</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案可能要到今年秋天的某个时候才能得到答案。与此同时，投资者似乎低估了辉瑞在未来几年能够依靠巨额经常性收入的可能性：这家大型制药公司的股票交易价格仅为预期市盈率的12倍左右。如果从现在开始每年至少需要一次COVID-19疫苗，回想起来，辉瑞公司以目前的价格可以被视为便宜货。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Could This Study Be Bad News for Pfizer's COVID Vaccine Sales?<blockquote>这项研究对辉瑞的COVID疫苗销售来说可能是个坏消息吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCould This Study Be Bad News for Pfizer's COVID Vaccine Sales?<blockquote>这项研究对辉瑞的COVID疫苗销售来说可能是个坏消息吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-26 09:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE)&nbsp;stated earlier this month that it expects its COVID-19 vaccine will generate sales of close to $26 billion this year. More revenue is on the way beyond 2021. For example, Pfizer and its partner<b>BioNTech</b>(NASDAQ:BNTX)recently announced a new deal with the European Union tosupply up to 1.8 billion additional dosesthrough 2023.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PFE）本月早些时候表示，预计其COVID-19疫苗今年将产生近260亿美元的销售额。2021年之后将会有更多收入。例如，辉瑞及其合作伙伴<b>BioNTech</b>（纳斯达克：BNTX）最近宣布与欧盟达成一项新协议，到2023年额外供应多达18亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> However, the dynamics of the COVID-19 vaccine market are constantly changing. Last week, researchers in Spain reported results from a clinical study that included Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine. Could these results be bad news for future sales of Pfizer's vaccine?</p><p><blockquote>然而，新冠肺炎疫苗市场的动态在不断变化。上周，西班牙研究人员报告了一项临床研究的结果，其中包括辉瑞的COVID-19疫苗。这些结果对辉瑞疫苗的未来销售来说可能是个坏消息吗？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae75aadcdda23603ea8f59dda16c30a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A mix-and-match milestone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>混搭的里程碑</b></blockquote></p><p> Scientists have wondered what would happen if the initial dose of one COVID-19 vaccine was followed by a second dose from another vaccine. A few so-called \"mix-and-match\" clinical studies have been undertaken to find the answer. On May 18, the first results from one of those studies were announced.</p><p><blockquote>科学家们想知道，如果一种新冠肺炎疫苗的第一剂疫苗之后是另一种疫苗的第二剂疫苗，会发生什么。为了找到答案，已经进行了一些所谓的“混合搭配”临床研究。5月18日，其中一项研究的第一批结果公布。</blockquote></p><p> Researchers at the Carlos III Health Institute in Spain recruited participants for the CombiVacS clinical study who had received only a single dose of<b>AstraZeneca</b>'s(NASDAQ:AZN)vaccine within the previous eight weeks. Instead of administering the second dose of AstraZeneca's vaccine, the Spanish team gave the participants Pfizer's and BioNTech's COVID-19 vaccine instead.</p><p><blockquote>西班牙卡洛斯三世健康研究所的研究人员招募了康必维临床研究的参与者，他们只接受了单剂<b>阿斯利康</b>（纳斯达克：AZN）疫苗在过去八周内接种。西班牙团队没有注射第二剂阿斯利康疫苗，而是给参与者注射了辉瑞和BioNTech的新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> What happened? Participants receiving a first dose of the AstraZeneca vaccine followed by a second dose of the Pfizer vaccine experienced immune system responses that were \"greatly enhanced.\" The researchers reported that antibody levels for this group were at least 40 times higher than for individuals who only received a single dose of AstraZeneca's vaccine. These antibody levels were also higher than those reported for individuals who received two doses of the Pfizer vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>怎么回事？接受第一剂阿斯利康疫苗，然后接受第二剂辉瑞疫苗的参与者经历了“大大增强”的免疫系统反应。研究人员报告说，这一群体的抗体水平比仅接种单剂阿斯利康疫苗的个体高出至少40倍。这些抗体水平也高于接受两剂辉瑞疫苗的个体报告的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Side effects were similar to those observed in the past with the Pfizer vaccine. There were no adverse effects that required special medical attention or hospitalization. The most common side effects were headache, malaise, nausea, cough, and fever, most of which were mild cases.</p><p><blockquote>副作用与过去辉瑞疫苗观察到的相似。没有需要特殊医疗护理或住院治疗的不良反应。最常见的副作用是头痛、不适、恶心、咳嗽和发热，其中大多数是轻度病例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bad for Pfizer?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对辉瑞不利？</b></blockquote></p><p> It's easy to see how these mix-and-match results might negatively impact the sales of Pfizer's vaccine. If a combination of one dose of the AstraZeneca vaccine with a second dose of the Pfizer vaccine is more effective than two doses of the Pfizer vaccine, governments could want to take this approach. In theory, that could slash Pfizer's sales in half.</p><p><blockquote>很容易看出这些混合搭配的结果可能会对辉瑞疫苗的销售产生负面影响。如果一剂阿斯利康疫苗与第二剂辉瑞疫苗的组合比两剂辉瑞疫苗更有效，政府可能希望采取这种方法。理论上，这可能会使辉瑞的销售额减半。</blockquote></p><p> But don't put the cart before the horse: The Spanish clinical study hasn't been peer-reviewed yet. Also, the study itself was relatively small -- only 673 people in total, with 443 receiving the mix-and-match doses and 232 only receiving the first AstraZeneca dose.</p><p><blockquote>但是不要本末倒置：西班牙的临床研究还没有经过同行评审。此外，这项研究本身相对较小——总共只有673人，其中443人接受了混合剂量，232人只接受了第一剂阿斯利康。</blockquote></p><p> The European Union isn't likely to want to go with a mix of AstraZeneca and Pfizer vaccines, however. The EU issuing AstraZenecaover allegedly failing to meet its supply commitments. This dispute played a major role in Pfizer and BioNTech winning a big supply deal that covers the next couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，欧盟不太可能希望混合使用阿斯利康和辉瑞疫苗。欧盟因涉嫌未能履行供应承诺而发行阿斯利康。这场纠纷在辉瑞和BioNTech赢得一项涵盖未来几年的大型供应协议中发挥了重要作用。</blockquote></p><p> Even if the findings made by the Spanish researchers are eventually confirmed, it could still be too late to make much of a difference. There's a good chance that in future, only single-dose annual vaccinations will be required. If that's the case, any advantages offered by a two-dose regimen, including one combining AstraZeneca's and Pfizer's vaccines, could be irrelevant.</p><p><blockquote>即使西班牙研究人员的发现最终得到证实，也可能为时已晚，无法产生太大的影响。很有可能在未来，只需要每年接种一剂疫苗。如果是这样的话，两剂方案（包括结合阿斯利康和辉瑞疫苗的方案）提供的任何优势都可能无关紧要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What really matters</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真正重要的是什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Results from the mix-and-match studies probably won't present major problems for Pfizer (or for any of the other leading vaccine makers, for that matter). What really matters for the company is how frequently booster doses will be needed.</p><p><blockquote>混合搭配研究的结果可能不会给辉瑞（或任何其他领先的疫苗制造商）带来重大问题。对公司来说，真正重要的是多久需要一次加强剂量。</blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question probably won't be answered until sometime this fall. Meanwhile, investors appear to be discounting the likelihood that Pfizer will be able to count on huge recurring revenue for years to come: The bigpharma stocktrades at only around 12 times expected earnings. Should COVID-19 vaccines be needed at least once per year from here on out, Pfizer could be viewed, in retrospect, as a bargain at its current price.</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案可能要到今年秋天的某个时候才能得到答案。与此同时，投资者似乎低估了辉瑞在未来几年能够依靠巨额经常性收入的可能性：这家大型制药公司的股票交易价格仅为预期市盈率的12倍左右。如果从现在开始每年至少需要一次COVID-19疫苗，回想起来，辉瑞公司以目前的价格可以被视为便宜货。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/25/could-this-study-be-bad-news-pfizers-covid-vaccine/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","BNTX":"BioNTech SE"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/25/could-this-study-be-bad-news-pfizers-covid-vaccine/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191037526","content_text":"Pfizer(NYSE:PFE) stated earlier this month that it expects its COVID-19 vaccine will generate sales of close to $26 billion this year. More revenue is on the way beyond 2021. For example, Pfizer and its partnerBioNTech(NASDAQ:BNTX)recently announced a new deal with the European Union tosupply up to 1.8 billion additional dosesthrough 2023.\nHowever, the dynamics of the COVID-19 vaccine market are constantly changing. Last week, researchers in Spain reported results from a clinical study that included Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine. Could these results be bad news for future sales of Pfizer's vaccine?\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nA mix-and-match milestone\nScientists have wondered what would happen if the initial dose of one COVID-19 vaccine was followed by a second dose from another vaccine. A few so-called \"mix-and-match\" clinical studies have been undertaken to find the answer. On May 18, the first results from one of those studies were announced.\nResearchers at the Carlos III Health Institute in Spain recruited participants for the CombiVacS clinical study who had received only a single dose ofAstraZeneca's(NASDAQ:AZN)vaccine within the previous eight weeks. Instead of administering the second dose of AstraZeneca's vaccine, the Spanish team gave the participants Pfizer's and BioNTech's COVID-19 vaccine instead.\nWhat happened? Participants receiving a first dose of the AstraZeneca vaccine followed by a second dose of the Pfizer vaccine experienced immune system responses that were \"greatly enhanced.\" The researchers reported that antibody levels for this group were at least 40 times higher than for individuals who only received a single dose of AstraZeneca's vaccine. These antibody levels were also higher than those reported for individuals who received two doses of the Pfizer vaccine.\nSide effects were similar to those observed in the past with the Pfizer vaccine. There were no adverse effects that required special medical attention or hospitalization. The most common side effects were headache, malaise, nausea, cough, and fever, most of which were mild cases.\nBad for Pfizer?\nIt's easy to see how these mix-and-match results might negatively impact the sales of Pfizer's vaccine. If a combination of one dose of the AstraZeneca vaccine with a second dose of the Pfizer vaccine is more effective than two doses of the Pfizer vaccine, governments could want to take this approach. In theory, that could slash Pfizer's sales in half.\nBut don't put the cart before the horse: The Spanish clinical study hasn't been peer-reviewed yet. Also, the study itself was relatively small -- only 673 people in total, with 443 receiving the mix-and-match doses and 232 only receiving the first AstraZeneca dose.\nThe European Union isn't likely to want to go with a mix of AstraZeneca and Pfizer vaccines, however. The EU issuing AstraZenecaover allegedly failing to meet its supply commitments. This dispute played a major role in Pfizer and BioNTech winning a big supply deal that covers the next couple of years.\nEven if the findings made by the Spanish researchers are eventually confirmed, it could still be too late to make much of a difference. There's a good chance that in future, only single-dose annual vaccinations will be required. If that's the case, any advantages offered by a two-dose regimen, including one combining AstraZeneca's and Pfizer's vaccines, could be irrelevant.\nWhat really matters\nResults from the mix-and-match studies probably won't present major problems for Pfizer (or for any of the other leading vaccine makers, for that matter). What really matters for the company is how frequently booster doses will be needed.\nThe answer to that question probably won't be answered until sometime this fall. Meanwhile, investors appear to be discounting the likelihood that Pfizer will be able to count on huge recurring revenue for years to come: The bigpharma stocktrades at only around 12 times expected earnings. Should COVID-19 vaccines be needed at least once per year from here on out, Pfizer could be viewed, in retrospect, as a bargain at its current price.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"BNTX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191984939,"gmtCreate":1620833864921,"gmtModify":1634195956834,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191984939","repostId":"1170539751","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170539751","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620833723,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170539751?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-12 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Is The Heatmap From Today's \"Eye-Popping\" CPI Report<blockquote>这是今天“令人瞠目结舌”的CPI报告的热图</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170539751","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As BOfA economist Alexander Lin writes, the \"eye-popping\" April CPI report was a \"massive surprise\" ","content":"<p>As BOfA economist Alexander Lin writes, the \"eye-popping\" April CPI report was a \"massive surprise\" as core CPI strongly rose 0.9% (0.92% unrounded) sequentially, which was the largest gain since 1981 and blew away consensus forecasts of 0.3% (for a full range of shocked reactions from traders and strategistssee this).</p><p><blockquote>正如美国银行经济学家Alexander Lin所写，“令人瞠目结舌”的4月份CPI报告是一个“巨大的惊喜”，因为核心CPI环比强劲上涨0.9%（未四舍五入为0.92%），这是自1981年以来的最大涨幅，并超出了市场普遍预测0.3%（有关交易员和策略师的各种震惊反应，请参阅此处）。</blockquote></p><p>However, in some potentially mitigating details, BofA reveals that near-term inflation pressures were driven by<b>goods shortages and the reopening \"and that was certainly the case this month as these two themes accounted for at least 70bp of the rise in core.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，在一些可能缓解的细节中，美国银行透露，近期通胀压力是由以下因素驱动的<b>商品短缺和重新开放“本月的情况确实如此，因为这两个主题至少占core涨幅的70个基点。”</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First on&nbsp; shortages, auto prices jumped 4.3% mom with particular strength in used cars, which posted a record increase of 10.0% mom. Despite this historic increase, there is likely further upside in the pipeline with Manheim wholesale used cars rising another 8.2% in April, which builds on the 11% increase from Jan through March.</li><li>Household furnishings &amp; supplies also jumped 0.9% mom, with strength in other goods like recreation (+1.2%) and education &amp; communication (+3.1%).</li><li>Related to the reopening, lodging away from home rose 7.6% mom and transportation services jumped 2.9%.</li><li>In transportation services, airline fares leapt 10.2% mom and car &amp; truck rental leasing surged 16.2% mom, which follows an already impressive 11.7% gain in March.</li><li>The gains in lodging and airfares were both record highs,<b>but prices remain 17.7% and 4.9% lower than pre-pandemic levels which means scope for further significant price increases in coming months.</b></li><li>In leasing, rental car companies have been impacted by the production cuts in the auto sector as well, which has forced them to build back their fleets with used cars as travel recovers.</li><li>Motor vehicle insurance prices also rose 2.5% mom, which could reflect more people getting back on the roads.</li></ul>Meanwhile, Lin argues that more persistent sources of inflation were tamer. Rents and OER both came in at 0.2% mom, which while in line with the recent trend, is about to change as we discussed in \"And Now Rents Are Soaring Too.\" Furthermore, as Joseph Carson notes, housing prices are up 18% in the past 12 months, a record increase and<b>nine times the increase in owners' rent. \"</b>The old CPI included house prices. Inserting house prices in place of non-market owner rents,<b>reported inflation would have been twice the 4.2% gain</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先是短缺问题，汽车价格环比上涨4.3%，尤其是二手车，环比上涨10.0%，创历史新高。尽管出现了历史性的增长，但曼海姆批发二手车在1月至3月11%增长的基础上，4月份可能会进一步上涨8.2%。</li><li>家居用品和用品也环比上涨0.9%，其他商品如娱乐（+1.2%）和教育及通讯（+3.1%）表现强劲。</li><li>与重新开放相关，外出住宿环比增长7.6%，交通服务增长2.9%。</li><li>在运输服务方面，机票价格环比上涨10.2%，汽车和卡车租赁价格环比飙升16.2%，此前3月份已经上涨了11.7%，令人印象深刻。</li><li>住宿和机票价格涨幅均创历史新高，<b>但价格仍比大流行前的水平低17.7%和4.9%，这意味着未来几个月价格还有进一步大幅上涨的空间。</b></li><li>在租赁方面，汽车租赁公司也受到了汽车行业减产的影响，随着旅行的复苏，这迫使他们用二手车重建车队。</li><li>机动车辆保险价格也环比上涨2.5%，这可能反映出更多的人重新上路。</li></ul>与此同时，林认为，更持久的通胀来源更加温和。租金和OER环比均上涨0.2%，虽然与最近的趋势一致，但正如我们在“现在租金也在飙升”中讨论的那样，即将发生变化。此外，正如约瑟夫·卡森指出的那样，过去12个月房价上涨了18%，创下了历史新高<b>业主租金涨幅的九倍。”</b>旧的CPI包括房价。插入房价代替非市场业主租金，<b>报告的通胀率将是4.2%涨幅的两倍</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, medical care inflation was flat as the boost from stimulus around the turn of the year faded. Within healthcare, insurance was a big drag, contracting 1.0% mom. Professional services also inched down -0.2% mom, while hospital rose 0.3% mom.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，随着年初刺激措施的提振消退，医疗保健通胀持平。在医疗保健领域，保险是一个很大的拖累，环比收缩1.0%。专业服务环比也小幅下降0.2%，而医院环比上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p>A visual summary of the data looks like this, first on a M/M basis, where the base effect has no impact as it is sequential...</p><p><blockquote>数据的可视化摘要如下所示，首先是在M/M的基础上，基数效应没有影响，因为它是连续的...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae18376e78b4cca392db3a4a3ac3e393\" tg-width=\"1132\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... and then the YoY CPI print which is less relevant due to the collapse last March.</p><p><blockquote>...然后是同比CPI数据，由于去年3月的崩溃，该数据不太相关。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63fb5677bd66ef2a9464cd05c551b8b7\" tg-width=\"1139\" tg-height=\"647\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>So with inflation soaring, will anything change and will the Fed be forced to tighten sooner? According to BofA, not at all: \"<i>the Fed is likely to continue to reiterate the message of transitory one-off price increases versus more persistent inflation, with this report a shining example of these dynamics. However, a key question going forward is whether this transitory strength will ultimately feed into the latter. This would be accomplished through rising long term inflation expectations—keep an eye out on survey- and market-based measures.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>那么，随着通胀飙升，情况会发生变化吗？美联储会被迫更快收紧吗？根据美国银行的说法，根本不是：“<i>美联储可能会继续重申暂时的一次性价格上涨与更持久的通胀的信息，这份报告是这些动态的一个光辉例子。然而，未来的一个关键问题是，这种短暂的力量最终是否会流入后者。这将通过提高长期通胀预期来实现——密切关注调查和基于市场的措施。”</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Is The Heatmap From Today's \"Eye-Popping\" CPI Report<blockquote>这是今天“令人瞠目结舌”的CPI报告的热图</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Is The Heatmap From Today's \"Eye-Popping\" CPI Report<blockquote>这是今天“令人瞠目结舌”的CPI报告的热图</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-12 23:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As BOfA economist Alexander Lin writes, the \"eye-popping\" April CPI report was a \"massive surprise\" as core CPI strongly rose 0.9% (0.92% unrounded) sequentially, which was the largest gain since 1981 and blew away consensus forecasts of 0.3% (for a full range of shocked reactions from traders and strategistssee this).</p><p><blockquote>正如美国银行经济学家Alexander Lin所写，“令人瞠目结舌”的4月份CPI报告是一个“巨大的惊喜”，因为核心CPI环比强劲上涨0.9%（未四舍五入为0.92%），这是自1981年以来的最大涨幅，并超出了市场普遍预测0.3%（有关交易员和策略师的各种震惊反应，请参阅此处）。</blockquote></p><p>However, in some potentially mitigating details, BofA reveals that near-term inflation pressures were driven by<b>goods shortages and the reopening \"and that was certainly the case this month as these two themes accounted for at least 70bp of the rise in core.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，在一些可能缓解的细节中，美国银行透露，近期通胀压力是由以下因素驱动的<b>商品短缺和重新开放“本月的情况确实如此，因为这两个主题至少占core涨幅的70个基点。”</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First on&nbsp; shortages, auto prices jumped 4.3% mom with particular strength in used cars, which posted a record increase of 10.0% mom. Despite this historic increase, there is likely further upside in the pipeline with Manheim wholesale used cars rising another 8.2% in April, which builds on the 11% increase from Jan through March.</li><li>Household furnishings &amp; supplies also jumped 0.9% mom, with strength in other goods like recreation (+1.2%) and education &amp; communication (+3.1%).</li><li>Related to the reopening, lodging away from home rose 7.6% mom and transportation services jumped 2.9%.</li><li>In transportation services, airline fares leapt 10.2% mom and car &amp; truck rental leasing surged 16.2% mom, which follows an already impressive 11.7% gain in March.</li><li>The gains in lodging and airfares were both record highs,<b>but prices remain 17.7% and 4.9% lower than pre-pandemic levels which means scope for further significant price increases in coming months.</b></li><li>In leasing, rental car companies have been impacted by the production cuts in the auto sector as well, which has forced them to build back their fleets with used cars as travel recovers.</li><li>Motor vehicle insurance prices also rose 2.5% mom, which could reflect more people getting back on the roads.</li></ul>Meanwhile, Lin argues that more persistent sources of inflation were tamer. Rents and OER both came in at 0.2% mom, which while in line with the recent trend, is about to change as we discussed in \"And Now Rents Are Soaring Too.\" Furthermore, as Joseph Carson notes, housing prices are up 18% in the past 12 months, a record increase and<b>nine times the increase in owners' rent. \"</b>The old CPI included house prices. Inserting house prices in place of non-market owner rents,<b>reported inflation would have been twice the 4.2% gain</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先是短缺问题，汽车价格环比上涨4.3%，尤其是二手车，环比上涨10.0%，创历史新高。尽管出现了历史性的增长，但曼海姆批发二手车在1月至3月11%增长的基础上，4月份可能会进一步上涨8.2%。</li><li>家居用品和用品也环比上涨0.9%，其他商品如娱乐（+1.2%）和教育及通讯（+3.1%）表现强劲。</li><li>与重新开放相关，外出住宿环比增长7.6%，交通服务增长2.9%。</li><li>在运输服务方面，机票价格环比上涨10.2%，汽车和卡车租赁价格环比飙升16.2%，此前3月份已经上涨了11.7%，令人印象深刻。</li><li>住宿和机票价格涨幅均创历史新高，<b>但价格仍比大流行前的水平低17.7%和4.9%，这意味着未来几个月价格还有进一步大幅上涨的空间。</b></li><li>在租赁方面，汽车租赁公司也受到了汽车行业减产的影响，随着旅行的复苏，这迫使他们用二手车重建车队。</li><li>机动车辆保险价格也环比上涨2.5%，这可能反映出更多的人重新上路。</li></ul>与此同时，林认为，更持久的通胀来源更加温和。租金和OER环比均上涨0.2%，虽然与最近的趋势一致，但正如我们在“现在租金也在飙升”中讨论的那样，即将发生变化。此外，正如约瑟夫·卡森指出的那样，过去12个月房价上涨了18%，创下了历史新高<b>业主租金涨幅的九倍。”</b>旧的CPI包括房价。插入房价代替非市场业主租金，<b>报告的通胀率将是4.2%涨幅的两倍</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, medical care inflation was flat as the boost from stimulus around the turn of the year faded. Within healthcare, insurance was a big drag, contracting 1.0% mom. Professional services also inched down -0.2% mom, while hospital rose 0.3% mom.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，随着年初刺激措施的提振消退，医疗保健通胀持平。在医疗保健领域，保险是一个很大的拖累，环比收缩1.0%。专业服务环比也小幅下降0.2%，而医院环比上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p>A visual summary of the data looks like this, first on a M/M basis, where the base effect has no impact as it is sequential...</p><p><blockquote>数据的可视化摘要如下所示，首先是在M/M的基础上，基数效应没有影响，因为它是连续的...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae18376e78b4cca392db3a4a3ac3e393\" tg-width=\"1132\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... and then the YoY CPI print which is less relevant due to the collapse last March.</p><p><blockquote>...然后是同比CPI数据，由于去年3月的崩溃，该数据不太相关。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63fb5677bd66ef2a9464cd05c551b8b7\" tg-width=\"1139\" tg-height=\"647\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>So with inflation soaring, will anything change and will the Fed be forced to tighten sooner? According to BofA, not at all: \"<i>the Fed is likely to continue to reiterate the message of transitory one-off price increases versus more persistent inflation, with this report a shining example of these dynamics. However, a key question going forward is whether this transitory strength will ultimately feed into the latter. This would be accomplished through rising long term inflation expectations—keep an eye out on survey- and market-based measures.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>那么，随着通胀飙升，情况会发生变化吗？美联储会被迫更快收紧吗？根据美国银行的说法，根本不是：“<i>美联储可能会继续重申暂时的一次性价格上涨与更持久的通胀的信息，这份报告是这些动态的一个光辉例子。然而，未来的一个关键问题是，这种短暂的力量最终是否会流入后者。这将通过提高长期通胀预期来实现——密切关注调查和基于市场的措施。”</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-heatmap-todays-eye-popping-cpi-report\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-heatmap-todays-eye-popping-cpi-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170539751","content_text":"As BOfA economist Alexander Lin writes, the \"eye-popping\" April CPI report was a \"massive surprise\" as core CPI strongly rose 0.9% (0.92% unrounded) sequentially, which was the largest gain since 1981 and blew away consensus forecasts of 0.3% (for a full range of shocked reactions from traders and strategistssee this).However, in some potentially mitigating details, BofA reveals that near-term inflation pressures were driven bygoods shortages and the reopening \"and that was certainly the case this month as these two themes accounted for at least 70bp of the rise in core.\"First on  shortages, auto prices jumped 4.3% mom with particular strength in used cars, which posted a record increase of 10.0% mom. Despite this historic increase, there is likely further upside in the pipeline with Manheim wholesale used cars rising another 8.2% in April, which builds on the 11% increase from Jan through March.Household furnishings & supplies also jumped 0.9% mom, with strength in other goods like recreation (+1.2%) and education & communication (+3.1%).Related to the reopening, lodging away from home rose 7.6% mom and transportation services jumped 2.9%.In transportation services, airline fares leapt 10.2% mom and car & truck rental leasing surged 16.2% mom, which follows an already impressive 11.7% gain in March.The gains in lodging and airfares were both record highs,but prices remain 17.7% and 4.9% lower than pre-pandemic levels which means scope for further significant price increases in coming months.In leasing, rental car companies have been impacted by the production cuts in the auto sector as well, which has forced them to build back their fleets with used cars as travel recovers.Motor vehicle insurance prices also rose 2.5% mom, which could reflect more people getting back on the roads.Meanwhile, Lin argues that more persistent sources of inflation were tamer. Rents and OER both came in at 0.2% mom, which while in line with the recent trend, is about to change as we discussed in \"And Now Rents Are Soaring Too.\" Furthermore, as Joseph Carson notes, housing prices are up 18% in the past 12 months, a record increase andnine times the increase in owners' rent. \"The old CPI included house prices. Inserting house prices in place of non-market owner rents,reported inflation would have been twice the 4.2% gain.\"Meanwhile, medical care inflation was flat as the boost from stimulus around the turn of the year faded. Within healthcare, insurance was a big drag, contracting 1.0% mom. Professional services also inched down -0.2% mom, while hospital rose 0.3% mom.A visual summary of the data looks like this, first on a M/M basis, where the base effect has no impact as it is sequential...... and then the YoY CPI print which is less relevant due to the collapse last March.So with inflation soaring, will anything change and will the Fed be forced to tighten sooner? According to BofA, not at all: \"the Fed is likely to continue to reiterate the message of transitory one-off price increases versus more persistent inflation, with this report a shining example of these dynamics. However, a key question going forward is whether this transitory strength will ultimately feed into the latter. This would be accomplished through rising long term inflation expectations—keep an eye out on survey- and market-based 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way!!!","listText":"No way!!!","text":"No 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19:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Ultra-Popular Growth Stocks With 28% to 56% Upside, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称5只超受欢迎的成长型股票，上涨空间为28%至56%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138128459","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"For 13 months, Wall Street has proved virtually unstoppable. Since hitting a bear market bottom on M","content":"<p>For 13 months, Wall Street has proved virtually unstoppable. Since hitting a bear market bottom on March 23, 2020, the broad-based<b>S&amp;P 500</b>has galloped higher by 87%, through this past weekend. This handily outpaces the average bounce-back rally from a bear-market bottom and leaves the historic average annual return for the benchmark index eating dust.</p><p><blockquote>13个月来，华尔街几乎势不可挡。自2020年3月23日触及熊市底部以来，宽基<b>标普500</b>在过去的这个周末，股价飙升了87%。这轻松超过了熊市底部的平均反弹反弹，并让基准指数的历史平均年回报率烟消云散。</blockquote></p><p> Yet even at these lofty levels, Wall Street professionals see value. Based on the consensus one-year price targets of Wall Street analysts, five of the most populargrowth stocksoffer implied upside ranging from a low of 28% to as much as 56%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，即使在这些崇高的水平上，华尔街的专业人士也看到了价值。根据华尔街分析师一致的一年价格目标，五只最受欢迎的成长型股票的隐含上涨空间从28%的低点到高达56%不等。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d19c9dd5972bb303415e3fb9e20fb2d4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify: Implied upside of 31%</p><p><blockquote>Shopify：隐含上涨31%</blockquote></p><p> First up is my absolute favorite software-as-a-service (SaaS) stock,<b>Shopify</b>(NYSE:SHOP). Even after gaining more than 1,000% over the past 3.5 years, Wall Street believes the company's stock offers an additional 31% upside to $1,434 a share over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>首先是我最喜欢的软件即服务（SaaS）股票，<b>Shopify</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SHOP）。尽管在过去3.5年里上涨了1,000%以上，华尔街认为该公司的股票明年还有31%的上涨空间，达到每股1,434美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify's operating model of providing cloud-based e-commerce solutions to (primarily) small businessescouldn't be in a better place at the moment. Although it was initially hit by the pandemic with virtually all other retail-oriented companies, it quickly became apparent that Shopify's e-commerce platform would be a logical beneficiary as businesses shifted course and pushed online. The result was a 96% increase in gross merchandise value (GMV) transacted across its platform in 2020 to $119.6 billion. Over the past six years, GMV has grown at a compound annual rate of 77.7%.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify为（主要）小型企业提供基于云的电子商务解决方案的运营模式目前再好不过了。尽管Shopify最初与几乎所有其他零售型公司一样受到了疫情的打击，但随着企业改变方向并转向线上，Shopify的电子商务平台很快就会成为合乎逻辑的受益者。其结果是2020年其平台交易的商品总值(GMV)增长了96%，达到1196亿美元。过去六年，GMV以77.7%的年复合增长率增长。</blockquote></p><p> What's made Shopify tick is both the discovery of the platform by new merchants and the ability to snag worthwhile deals with major retailers. The number of consumers using the platform increased by approximately 52% last year to 457 million. Meanwhile, itpartneredwith the likes of<b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;and<b>Pinterest</b>to streamline aspects of their online sales platforms.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify的成功之处在于新商家对该平台的发现以及与主要零售商达成有价值交易的能力。去年使用该平台的消费者数量增长了约52%，达到4.57亿。与此同时，它与<b>沃尔玛</b>和<b>Pinterest</b>简化他们在线销售平台的各个方面。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify isn't remotely inexpensive on a fundamental basis. But if it can continue to grow its GMV at these insane levels, investors will gladly pay a hefty premium to own Shopify stock.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify从根本上来说并不便宜。但如果它的GMV能够继续以如此疯狂的水平增长，投资者将很乐意支付高额溢价来持有Shopify股票。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df219df7b01fbc2aa008c455f28b99e5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Teladoc Health: Implied upside of 40%</p><p><blockquote>Teladoc Health：隐含上涨40%</blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine giant<b>Teladoc Health</b>(NYSE:TDOC)has been exceptionally popular over the past year, for obvious reasons I'll touch on in a moment. According to Wall Street, shares of Teladoc could ascend past $250 over the next 12 months, giving it an implied upside of 40%.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗巨头<b>Teladoc健康</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TDOC）在过去的一年里非常受欢迎，原因显而易见，我稍后会谈到。据华尔街报道，Teladoc的股价在未来12个月内可能会升至250美元以上，隐含上涨空间为40%。</blockquote></p><p> As you can imagine, physicians wanted to keep at-risk people and potentially infected patients out of offices and hospitals if at all possible last year. This led to Teladoc handling almost 10.6 million virtual visits in 2020, up from around 4.1 million in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>可以想象，去年，如果可能的话，医生希望让高危人群和潜在感染患者远离办公室和医院。这导致Teladoc在2020年处理了近1060万次虚拟访问，高于上一年的约410万次。</blockquote></p><p> But understand that telehealth is agame-changing healthcare modeland not just a one-year wonder because of the pandemic. It's far more convenient for patients, allows physicians to keep closer tabs on at-risk patients, and is usually billed at a lower rate than office visits, which health insurers love. These advantages are exactly why Teladoc's sales grew by an average annual rate of 74% between 2013 and 2019.</p><p><blockquote>但是要明白，远程医疗是一种改变游戏规则的医疗保健模式，而不仅仅是因为疫情而成为一年的奇迹。这对患者来说要方便得多，允许医生更密切地关注高危患者，而且通常比健康保险公司喜欢的办公室就诊收费更低。这些优势正是Teladoc销售额在2013年至2019年间年均增长74%的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, Teladoc has a new toy, so to speak: Itacquired leading applied health signals company Livongo Healthin early November. Livongo leans on artificial intelligence to send tips and nudges to patients with chronic illnesses. These nudges help patients make behavioral changes that result in their leading healthier lives. The addition of Livongo makes Teladoc a veritable no-brainer buy.</p><p><blockquote>此外，可以说，Teladoc还有一个新玩具：它在11月初收购了领先的应用健康信号公司Livongo Health。Livongo依靠人工智能向慢性病患者发送提示和提示。这些轻推帮助患者改变行为，从而过上更健康的生活。Livongo的加入使Teladoc成为名副其实的理所当然的购买对象。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e47e6b6eced3a10e200ffd777619a0c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake: Implied upside of 28%</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake：隐含上涨28%</blockquote></p><p> Another high-growth stock with abundant upside according to Wall Street professionals is cloud data warehousing company<b>Snowflake</b>(NYSE:SNOW). After recently retracing to an all-time low, analysts see Snowflake gaining up to 28% to almost $301 a share over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街专业人士认为，另一只上涨空间巨大的高增长股票是云数据仓库公司<b>雪花</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SNOW）。在最近回落至历史低点后，分析师预计Snowflake在未来12个月内将上涨28%，达到每股近301美元。</blockquote></p><p> As I alluded to with Shopify, we're witnessing a big push by businesses online and into the cloud, which has been a boon for most cloud infrastructure companies. Despite the worst economic downturn in decades, Snowflake grew its product revenue by 120% to $553.8 million in fiscal 2021. Although it's losing a lot of money at the moment, the services Snowflake offers should yield juicy margins as the company matures.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在Shopify中提到的，我们正在见证企业在线和云的大力推动，这对大多数云基础设施公司来说都是一个福音。尽管经历了几十年来最严重的经济衰退，Snowflake在2021财年的产品收入仍增长了120%，达到5.538亿美元。尽管目前损失了很多钱，但随着公司的成熟，Snowflake提供的服务应该会产生丰厚的利润。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Arguably the most interesting thing about Snowflake is itssustainable competitive advantages. For instance, it offers a pay-as-you-go model that shuns the subscriptions that SaaS stocks often covet. By allowing its customers to pay based on their storage needs and Snowflake Compute Credits used, it's offering a highly transparent and cost-effective operating model.</p><p><blockquote>可以说，Snowflake最有趣的事情是其可持续的竞争优势。例如，它提供了一种现收现付模式，避免了SaaS股票经常觊觎的订阅。通过允许客户根据他们的存储需求和使用的雪花计算点数付费，它提供了一种高度透明且经济高效的运营模式。</blockquote></p><p> Even better, its platform islayered atop the most popular cloud infrastructure solutions, which makes the sharing of information seamless, regardless of storage provider.</p><p><blockquote>更好的是，它的平台位于最流行的云基础设施解决方案之上，这使得信息共享无缝，无论存储提供商是谁。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake has some very big shoes to fill with its lofty valuation, but Wall Street believes the company can get it done.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的高估值需要填补一些非常大的空缺，但华尔街相信该公司能够做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbafad9e87b7b7dacfefe92d4741b655\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Datadog: Implied upside of 35%</p><p><blockquote>Datadog：隐含上涨35%</blockquote></p><p> Have I mentioned that Wall Street has a thing forSaaS stocks? In addition to Shopify and Snowflake, analysts believe that application monitoring solutions provider<b>Datadog</b>(NASDAQ:DDOG)could surge to $121 a share over the next year. This implies up to 35% upside in its shares.</p><p><blockquote>我有没有提到华尔街对SaaS股票情有独钟？除了Shopify和Snowflake之外，分析师认为应用监控解决方案提供商<b>Datadog</b>（纳斯达克：DDOG）明年可能飙升至每股121美元。这意味着其股价有高达35%的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping with the theme, Datadog looks to benefit from businesses completely shifting their strategy in the wake of the pandemic. With employees working remotely, it's become more important than ever that businesses stay on top of key metrics, oversee critical applications, and fully understand the behavior of their customers. Datadog's cloud-based solutions do all of this for its clients.</p><p><blockquote>与主题保持一致，Datadog希望从大流行后企业彻底转变战略中受益。随着员工远程工作，企业掌握关键指标、监督关键应用程序并充分了解客户的行为变得比以往任何时候都更加重要。Datadog基于云的解决方案为其客户完成了所有这些工作。</blockquote></p><p> What's been most impressive about Datadog is the company's ability to attract bigger clients. While a 46% increase in customers with at least $100,000 in annual recurring revenue (ARR) is nice, the \"wow\" number is the 94% increase in the number of customers generating at least $1 million in ARR. This is a big reason the company's sales shot 66% higher in 2020 to $603.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>Datadog最令人印象深刻的是该公司吸引更大客户的能力。虽然年经常性收入(ARR)至少为100,000美元的客户增加46%是不错的，但令人惊叹的数字是ARR至少为100万美元的客户数量增加了94%。这是该公司2020年销售额猛增66%至6.035亿美元的一个重要原因。</blockquote></p><p> Similar to Snowflake, Datadog has a lot to prove with its lofty price-to-sales ratio. However, if it can continue to grow its sales by more than 30% annually, there'sno reason Wall Street's price target isn't within reach.</p><p><blockquote>与Snowflake类似，Datadog凭借其高昂的市销率需要证明很多东西。然而，如果它的销售额能够继续以每年30%以上的速度增长，那么华尔街的价格目标就没有理由达不到。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99b3853458b2424e2901821012f5502f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase: Implied upside of 56%</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase：隐含上涨56%</blockquote></p><p> Finally, recent initial public offering<b>Coinbase</b>(NASDAQ:COIN)offers the highest perceived upside among these five fast-growing companies. Though there were only four price targets listed through this past weekend, a lofty target of $600 a share skewed the consensus up to $456 a share. This suggests Coinbase could gain 56% over the coming 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>最后，近期首次公开发行<b>Coinbase</b>（纳斯达克：COIN）在这五家快速增长的公司中提供了最高的上涨空间。尽管上周末只列出了四个目标价，但每股600美元的崇高目标将共识扭曲至每股456美元。这表明Coinbase在未来12个月内可能会上涨56%。</blockquote></p><p> There's no doubt that Coinbase has benefited from the euphoria surrounding cryptocurrencies like<b>Bitcoin</b>and&nbsp;<b>Ethereum</b>. With both rallying to new highs this year, Coinbase recorded $1.8 billion in revenue in the first quarter. For some context, that's more revenue than it had generated in the previous 24 months combined!</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，Coinbase受益于围绕加密货币的兴奋，例如<b>比特币</b>和<b>以太币</b>.随着今年两者都反弹至新高，Coinbase第一季度营收为18亿美元。在某些情况下，这比过去24个月的收入总和还要多！</blockquote></p><p> However, unlike the other popular companies listed here,Coinbase's advantages look flimsy, at best. It runs the risk of competing crypto brokerages undercutting its fees, which could reduce its operating margins and growth rate dramatically over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与这里列出的其他受欢迎的公司不同，Coinbase的优势充其量看起来很脆弱。它面临着竞争加密货币经纪公司降低其费用的风险，随着时间的推移，这可能会大幅降低其营业利润率和增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore,its business model looks to be built upon euphoria&nbsp;rather than innovation. With most of its revenue coming from Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, it's worrisome to see what happens when the price of these key assets stops rising. In a two-year stretch where Bitcoin lost 80% of its value, Coinbase saw its revenue nearly get halved.</p><p><blockquote>此外，它的商业模式看起来是建立在兴奋而不是创新之上的。由于其大部分收入来自比特币和以太币交易，当这些关键资产的价格停止上涨时会发生什么令人担忧。在比特币市值损失80%的两年内，Coinbase的收入几乎减半。</blockquote></p><p> In sum, Wall Street may be bullish on Coinbase, but this Fool isn't.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，华尔街可能看好Coinbase，但这个傻瓜却不看好。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Ultra-Popular Growth Stocks With 28% to 56% Upside, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称5只超受欢迎的成长型股票，上涨空间为28%至56%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Ultra-Popular Growth Stocks With 28% to 56% Upside, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称5只超受欢迎的成长型股票，上涨空间为28%至56%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-28 19:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>For 13 months, Wall Street has proved virtually unstoppable. Since hitting a bear market bottom on March 23, 2020, the broad-based<b>S&amp;P 500</b>has galloped higher by 87%, through this past weekend. This handily outpaces the average bounce-back rally from a bear-market bottom and leaves the historic average annual return for the benchmark index eating dust.</p><p><blockquote>13个月来，华尔街几乎势不可挡。自2020年3月23日触及熊市底部以来，宽基<b>标普500</b>在过去的这个周末，股价飙升了87%。这轻松超过了熊市底部的平均反弹反弹，并让基准指数的历史平均年回报率烟消云散。</blockquote></p><p> Yet even at these lofty levels, Wall Street professionals see value. Based on the consensus one-year price targets of Wall Street analysts, five of the most populargrowth stocksoffer implied upside ranging from a low of 28% to as much as 56%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，即使在这些崇高的水平上，华尔街的专业人士也看到了价值。根据华尔街分析师一致的一年价格目标，五只最受欢迎的成长型股票的隐含上涨空间从28%的低点到高达56%不等。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d19c9dd5972bb303415e3fb9e20fb2d4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify: Implied upside of 31%</p><p><blockquote>Shopify：隐含上涨31%</blockquote></p><p> First up is my absolute favorite software-as-a-service (SaaS) stock,<b>Shopify</b>(NYSE:SHOP). Even after gaining more than 1,000% over the past 3.5 years, Wall Street believes the company's stock offers an additional 31% upside to $1,434 a share over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>首先是我最喜欢的软件即服务（SaaS）股票，<b>Shopify</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SHOP）。尽管在过去3.5年里上涨了1,000%以上，华尔街认为该公司的股票明年还有31%的上涨空间，达到每股1,434美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify's operating model of providing cloud-based e-commerce solutions to (primarily) small businessescouldn't be in a better place at the moment. Although it was initially hit by the pandemic with virtually all other retail-oriented companies, it quickly became apparent that Shopify's e-commerce platform would be a logical beneficiary as businesses shifted course and pushed online. The result was a 96% increase in gross merchandise value (GMV) transacted across its platform in 2020 to $119.6 billion. Over the past six years, GMV has grown at a compound annual rate of 77.7%.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify为（主要）小型企业提供基于云的电子商务解决方案的运营模式目前再好不过了。尽管Shopify最初与几乎所有其他零售型公司一样受到了疫情的打击，但随着企业改变方向并转向线上，Shopify的电子商务平台很快就会成为合乎逻辑的受益者。其结果是2020年其平台交易的商品总值(GMV)增长了96%，达到1196亿美元。过去六年，GMV以77.7%的年复合增长率增长。</blockquote></p><p> What's made Shopify tick is both the discovery of the platform by new merchants and the ability to snag worthwhile deals with major retailers. The number of consumers using the platform increased by approximately 52% last year to 457 million. Meanwhile, itpartneredwith the likes of<b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;and<b>Pinterest</b>to streamline aspects of their online sales platforms.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify的成功之处在于新商家对该平台的发现以及与主要零售商达成有价值交易的能力。去年使用该平台的消费者数量增长了约52%，达到4.57亿。与此同时，它与<b>沃尔玛</b>和<b>Pinterest</b>简化他们在线销售平台的各个方面。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify isn't remotely inexpensive on a fundamental basis. But if it can continue to grow its GMV at these insane levels, investors will gladly pay a hefty premium to own Shopify stock.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify从根本上来说并不便宜。但如果它的GMV能够继续以如此疯狂的水平增长，投资者将很乐意支付高额溢价来持有Shopify股票。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df219df7b01fbc2aa008c455f28b99e5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Teladoc Health: Implied upside of 40%</p><p><blockquote>Teladoc Health：隐含上涨40%</blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine giant<b>Teladoc Health</b>(NYSE:TDOC)has been exceptionally popular over the past year, for obvious reasons I'll touch on in a moment. According to Wall Street, shares of Teladoc could ascend past $250 over the next 12 months, giving it an implied upside of 40%.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗巨头<b>Teladoc健康</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TDOC）在过去的一年里非常受欢迎，原因显而易见，我稍后会谈到。据华尔街报道，Teladoc的股价在未来12个月内可能会升至250美元以上，隐含上涨空间为40%。</blockquote></p><p> As you can imagine, physicians wanted to keep at-risk people and potentially infected patients out of offices and hospitals if at all possible last year. This led to Teladoc handling almost 10.6 million virtual visits in 2020, up from around 4.1 million in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>可以想象，去年，如果可能的话，医生希望让高危人群和潜在感染患者远离办公室和医院。这导致Teladoc在2020年处理了近1060万次虚拟访问，高于上一年的约410万次。</blockquote></p><p> But understand that telehealth is agame-changing healthcare modeland not just a one-year wonder because of the pandemic. It's far more convenient for patients, allows physicians to keep closer tabs on at-risk patients, and is usually billed at a lower rate than office visits, which health insurers love. These advantages are exactly why Teladoc's sales grew by an average annual rate of 74% between 2013 and 2019.</p><p><blockquote>但是要明白，远程医疗是一种改变游戏规则的医疗保健模式，而不仅仅是因为疫情而成为一年的奇迹。这对患者来说要方便得多，允许医生更密切地关注高危患者，而且通常比健康保险公司喜欢的办公室就诊收费更低。这些优势正是Teladoc销售额在2013年至2019年间年均增长74%的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, Teladoc has a new toy, so to speak: Itacquired leading applied health signals company Livongo Healthin early November. Livongo leans on artificial intelligence to send tips and nudges to patients with chronic illnesses. These nudges help patients make behavioral changes that result in their leading healthier lives. The addition of Livongo makes Teladoc a veritable no-brainer buy.</p><p><blockquote>此外，可以说，Teladoc还有一个新玩具：它在11月初收购了领先的应用健康信号公司Livongo Health。Livongo依靠人工智能向慢性病患者发送提示和提示。这些轻推帮助患者改变行为，从而过上更健康的生活。Livongo的加入使Teladoc成为名副其实的理所当然的购买对象。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e47e6b6eced3a10e200ffd777619a0c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake: Implied upside of 28%</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake：隐含上涨28%</blockquote></p><p> Another high-growth stock with abundant upside according to Wall Street professionals is cloud data warehousing company<b>Snowflake</b>(NYSE:SNOW). After recently retracing to an all-time low, analysts see Snowflake gaining up to 28% to almost $301 a share over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街专业人士认为，另一只上涨空间巨大的高增长股票是云数据仓库公司<b>雪花</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SNOW）。在最近回落至历史低点后，分析师预计Snowflake在未来12个月内将上涨28%，达到每股近301美元。</blockquote></p><p> As I alluded to with Shopify, we're witnessing a big push by businesses online and into the cloud, which has been a boon for most cloud infrastructure companies. Despite the worst economic downturn in decades, Snowflake grew its product revenue by 120% to $553.8 million in fiscal 2021. Although it's losing a lot of money at the moment, the services Snowflake offers should yield juicy margins as the company matures.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在Shopify中提到的，我们正在见证企业在线和云的大力推动，这对大多数云基础设施公司来说都是一个福音。尽管经历了几十年来最严重的经济衰退，Snowflake在2021财年的产品收入仍增长了120%，达到5.538亿美元。尽管目前损失了很多钱，但随着公司的成熟，Snowflake提供的服务应该会产生丰厚的利润。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Arguably the most interesting thing about Snowflake is itssustainable competitive advantages. For instance, it offers a pay-as-you-go model that shuns the subscriptions that SaaS stocks often covet. By allowing its customers to pay based on their storage needs and Snowflake Compute Credits used, it's offering a highly transparent and cost-effective operating model.</p><p><blockquote>可以说，Snowflake最有趣的事情是其可持续的竞争优势。例如，它提供了一种现收现付模式，避免了SaaS股票经常觊觎的订阅。通过允许客户根据他们的存储需求和使用的雪花计算点数付费，它提供了一种高度透明且经济高效的运营模式。</blockquote></p><p> Even better, its platform islayered atop the most popular cloud infrastructure solutions, which makes the sharing of information seamless, regardless of storage provider.</p><p><blockquote>更好的是，它的平台位于最流行的云基础设施解决方案之上，这使得信息共享无缝，无论存储提供商是谁。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake has some very big shoes to fill with its lofty valuation, but Wall Street believes the company can get it done.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的高估值需要填补一些非常大的空缺，但华尔街相信该公司能够做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbafad9e87b7b7dacfefe92d4741b655\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Datadog: Implied upside of 35%</p><p><blockquote>Datadog：隐含上涨35%</blockquote></p><p> Have I mentioned that Wall Street has a thing forSaaS stocks? In addition to Shopify and Snowflake, analysts believe that application monitoring solutions provider<b>Datadog</b>(NASDAQ:DDOG)could surge to $121 a share over the next year. This implies up to 35% upside in its shares.</p><p><blockquote>我有没有提到华尔街对SaaS股票情有独钟？除了Shopify和Snowflake之外，分析师认为应用监控解决方案提供商<b>Datadog</b>（纳斯达克：DDOG）明年可能飙升至每股121美元。这意味着其股价有高达35%的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping with the theme, Datadog looks to benefit from businesses completely shifting their strategy in the wake of the pandemic. With employees working remotely, it's become more important than ever that businesses stay on top of key metrics, oversee critical applications, and fully understand the behavior of their customers. Datadog's cloud-based solutions do all of this for its clients.</p><p><blockquote>与主题保持一致，Datadog希望从大流行后企业彻底转变战略中受益。随着员工远程工作，企业掌握关键指标、监督关键应用程序并充分了解客户的行为变得比以往任何时候都更加重要。Datadog基于云的解决方案为其客户完成了所有这些工作。</blockquote></p><p> What's been most impressive about Datadog is the company's ability to attract bigger clients. While a 46% increase in customers with at least $100,000 in annual recurring revenue (ARR) is nice, the \"wow\" number is the 94% increase in the number of customers generating at least $1 million in ARR. This is a big reason the company's sales shot 66% higher in 2020 to $603.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>Datadog最令人印象深刻的是该公司吸引更大客户的能力。虽然年经常性收入(ARR)至少为100,000美元的客户增加46%是不错的，但令人惊叹的数字是ARR至少为100万美元的客户数量增加了94%。这是该公司2020年销售额猛增66%至6.035亿美元的一个重要原因。</blockquote></p><p> Similar to Snowflake, Datadog has a lot to prove with its lofty price-to-sales ratio. However, if it can continue to grow its sales by more than 30% annually, there'sno reason Wall Street's price target isn't within reach.</p><p><blockquote>与Snowflake类似，Datadog凭借其高昂的市销率需要证明很多东西。然而，如果它的销售额能够继续以每年30%以上的速度增长，那么华尔街的价格目标就没有理由达不到。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99b3853458b2424e2901821012f5502f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase: Implied upside of 56%</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase：隐含上涨56%</blockquote></p><p> Finally, recent initial public offering<b>Coinbase</b>(NASDAQ:COIN)offers the highest perceived upside among these five fast-growing companies. Though there were only four price targets listed through this past weekend, a lofty target of $600 a share skewed the consensus up to $456 a share. This suggests Coinbase could gain 56% over the coming 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>最后，近期首次公开发行<b>Coinbase</b>（纳斯达克：COIN）在这五家快速增长的公司中提供了最高的上涨空间。尽管上周末只列出了四个目标价，但每股600美元的崇高目标将共识扭曲至每股456美元。这表明Coinbase在未来12个月内可能会上涨56%。</blockquote></p><p> There's no doubt that Coinbase has benefited from the euphoria surrounding cryptocurrencies like<b>Bitcoin</b>and&nbsp;<b>Ethereum</b>. With both rallying to new highs this year, Coinbase recorded $1.8 billion in revenue in the first quarter. For some context, that's more revenue than it had generated in the previous 24 months combined!</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，Coinbase受益于围绕加密货币的兴奋，例如<b>比特币</b>和<b>以太币</b>.随着今年两者都反弹至新高，Coinbase第一季度营收为18亿美元。在某些情况下，这比过去24个月的收入总和还要多！</blockquote></p><p> However, unlike the other popular companies listed here,Coinbase's advantages look flimsy, at best. It runs the risk of competing crypto brokerages undercutting its fees, which could reduce its operating margins and growth rate dramatically over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与这里列出的其他受欢迎的公司不同，Coinbase的优势充其量看起来很脆弱。它面临着竞争加密货币经纪公司降低其费用的风险，随着时间的推移，这可能会大幅降低其营业利润率和增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore,its business model looks to be built upon euphoria&nbsp;rather than innovation. With most of its revenue coming from Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, it's worrisome to see what happens when the price of these key assets stops rising. In a two-year stretch where Bitcoin lost 80% of its value, Coinbase saw its revenue nearly get halved.</p><p><blockquote>此外，它的商业模式看起来是建立在兴奋而不是创新之上的。由于其大部分收入来自比特币和以太币交易，当这些关键资产的价格停止上涨时会发生什么令人担忧。在比特币市值损失80%的两年内，Coinbase的收入几乎减半。</blockquote></p><p> In sum, Wall Street may be bullish on Coinbase, but this Fool isn't.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，华尔街可能看好Coinbase，但这个傻瓜却不看好。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/28/5-growth-stocks-with-28-to-56-upside-wall-street/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNOW":"Snowflake","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","DDOG":"Datadog"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/28/5-growth-stocks-with-28-to-56-upside-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138128459","content_text":"For 13 months, Wall Street has proved virtually unstoppable. Since hitting a bear market bottom on March 23, 2020, the broad-basedS&P 500has galloped higher by 87%, through this past weekend. This handily outpaces the average bounce-back rally from a bear-market bottom and leaves the historic average annual return for the benchmark index eating dust.\nYet even at these lofty levels, Wall Street professionals see value. Based on the consensus one-year price targets of Wall Street analysts, five of the most populargrowth stocksoffer implied upside ranging from a low of 28% to as much as 56%.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nShopify: Implied upside of 31%\nFirst up is my absolute favorite software-as-a-service (SaaS) stock,Shopify(NYSE:SHOP). Even after gaining more than 1,000% over the past 3.5 years, Wall Street believes the company's stock offers an additional 31% upside to $1,434 a share over the next year.\nShopify's operating model of providing cloud-based e-commerce solutions to (primarily) small businessescouldn't be in a better place at the moment. Although it was initially hit by the pandemic with virtually all other retail-oriented companies, it quickly became apparent that Shopify's e-commerce platform would be a logical beneficiary as businesses shifted course and pushed online. The result was a 96% increase in gross merchandise value (GMV) transacted across its platform in 2020 to $119.6 billion. Over the past six years, GMV has grown at a compound annual rate of 77.7%.\nWhat's made Shopify tick is both the discovery of the platform by new merchants and the ability to snag worthwhile deals with major retailers. The number of consumers using the platform increased by approximately 52% last year to 457 million. Meanwhile, itpartneredwith the likes ofWalmart andPinterestto streamline aspects of their online sales platforms.\nShopify isn't remotely inexpensive on a fundamental basis. But if it can continue to grow its GMV at these insane levels, investors will gladly pay a hefty premium to own Shopify stock.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nTeladoc Health: Implied upside of 40%\nTelemedicine giantTeladoc Health(NYSE:TDOC)has been exceptionally popular over the past year, for obvious reasons I'll touch on in a moment. According to Wall Street, shares of Teladoc could ascend past $250 over the next 12 months, giving it an implied upside of 40%.\nAs you can imagine, physicians wanted to keep at-risk people and potentially infected patients out of offices and hospitals if at all possible last year. This led to Teladoc handling almost 10.6 million virtual visits in 2020, up from around 4.1 million in the previous year.\nBut understand that telehealth is agame-changing healthcare modeland not just a one-year wonder because of the pandemic. It's far more convenient for patients, allows physicians to keep closer tabs on at-risk patients, and is usually billed at a lower rate than office visits, which health insurers love. These advantages are exactly why Teladoc's sales grew by an average annual rate of 74% between 2013 and 2019.\nFurthermore, Teladoc has a new toy, so to speak: Itacquired leading applied health signals company Livongo Healthin early November. Livongo leans on artificial intelligence to send tips and nudges to patients with chronic illnesses. These nudges help patients make behavioral changes that result in their leading healthier lives. The addition of Livongo makes Teladoc a veritable no-brainer buy.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nSnowflake: Implied upside of 28%\nAnother high-growth stock with abundant upside according to Wall Street professionals is cloud data warehousing companySnowflake(NYSE:SNOW). After recently retracing to an all-time low, analysts see Snowflake gaining up to 28% to almost $301 a share over the next 12 months.\nAs I alluded to with Shopify, we're witnessing a big push by businesses online and into the cloud, which has been a boon for most cloud infrastructure companies. Despite the worst economic downturn in decades, Snowflake grew its product revenue by 120% to $553.8 million in fiscal 2021. Although it's losing a lot of money at the moment, the services Snowflake offers should yield juicy margins as the company matures.\nArguably the most interesting thing about Snowflake is itssustainable competitive advantages. For instance, it offers a pay-as-you-go model that shuns the subscriptions that SaaS stocks often covet. By allowing its customers to pay based on their storage needs and Snowflake Compute Credits used, it's offering a highly transparent and cost-effective operating model.\nEven better, its platform islayered atop the most popular cloud infrastructure solutions, which makes the sharing of information seamless, regardless of storage provider.\nSnowflake has some very big shoes to fill with its lofty valuation, but Wall Street believes the company can get it done.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nDatadog: Implied upside of 35%\nHave I mentioned that Wall Street has a thing forSaaS stocks? In addition to Shopify and Snowflake, analysts believe that application monitoring solutions providerDatadog(NASDAQ:DDOG)could surge to $121 a share over the next year. This implies up to 35% upside in its shares.\nKeeping with the theme, Datadog looks to benefit from businesses completely shifting their strategy in the wake of the pandemic. With employees working remotely, it's become more important than ever that businesses stay on top of key metrics, oversee critical applications, and fully understand the behavior of their customers. Datadog's cloud-based solutions do all of this for its clients.\nWhat's been most impressive about Datadog is the company's ability to attract bigger clients. While a 46% increase in customers with at least $100,000 in annual recurring revenue (ARR) is nice, the \"wow\" number is the 94% increase in the number of customers generating at least $1 million in ARR. This is a big reason the company's sales shot 66% higher in 2020 to $603.5 million.\nSimilar to Snowflake, Datadog has a lot to prove with its lofty price-to-sales ratio. However, if it can continue to grow its sales by more than 30% annually, there'sno reason Wall Street's price target isn't within reach.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nCoinbase: Implied upside of 56%\nFinally, recent initial public offeringCoinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)offers the highest perceived upside among these five fast-growing companies. Though there were only four price targets listed through this past weekend, a lofty target of $600 a share skewed the consensus up to $456 a share. This suggests Coinbase could gain 56% over the coming 12 months.\nThere's no doubt that Coinbase has benefited from the euphoria surrounding cryptocurrencies likeBitcoinand Ethereum. With both rallying to new highs this year, Coinbase recorded $1.8 billion in revenue in the first quarter. For some context, that's more revenue than it had generated in the previous 24 months combined!\nHowever, unlike the other popular companies listed here,Coinbase's advantages look flimsy, at best. It runs the risk of competing crypto brokerages undercutting its fees, which could reduce its operating margins and growth rate dramatically over time.\nFurthermore,its business model looks to be built upon euphoria rather than innovation. With most of its revenue coming from Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, it's worrisome to see what happens when the price of these key assets stops rising. In a two-year stretch where Bitcoin lost 80% of its value, Coinbase saw its revenue nearly get halved.\nIn sum, Wall Street may be bullish on Coinbase, but this Fool isn't.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNOW":0.9,"TDOC":0.9,"DDOG":0.9,"SHOP":0.9,"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186740625,"gmtCreate":1623544376167,"gmtModify":1631890767260,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186740625","repostId":"1143408374","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372714616,"gmtCreate":1619242450435,"gmtModify":1634287476740,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No way!!","listText":"No way!!","text":"No way!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372714616","repostId":"1166519043","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372622677,"gmtCreate":1619207420399,"gmtModify":1634287779620,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","listText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","text":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372622677","repostId":"1128911279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":594,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160639747,"gmtCreate":1623793202589,"gmtModify":1631890767250,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160639747","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160694408,"gmtCreate":1623792818904,"gmtModify":1631890767250,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160694408","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198712826,"gmtCreate":1620990263665,"gmtModify":1634194744481,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl","listText":"Hodl","text":"Hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198712826","repostId":"1108333994","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108333994","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620987614,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108333994?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 18:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: The next big test for the S&P 500 is at 4,120<blockquote>观点：标普500的下一个重大考验是4,120</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108333994","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"As always seems to be the case, everyone tries to squeeze out the exit at the same time. The result ","content":"<p>As always seems to be the case, everyone tries to squeeze out the exit at the same time. The result is a massive selloff – at least for a short time. That’s what happened on Wednesday, although things had been weakening for the two days prior to that.</p><p><blockquote>似乎总是这样，每个人都试图同时挤出出口。结果是大规模抛售——至少在短时间内是这样。这就是周三发生的事情，尽管在此之前两天情况一直在疲软。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market, as measured by the S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+1.22%had been on “cruise control,” hitting a new all-time high on May 7. This week, however, has seen daily declines of 44, 36, and 89 SPX points, with a downside gap left on the chart on May Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>以标普500指数SPX衡量的股市上涨了1.22%，处于“巡航控制”状态，并于5月7日创下历史新高。然而，本周SPX指数每日下跌44、36和89点，5月周二的图表上留下了下行缺口。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the support in the 4120 area has given way, which is more than a minor negative. The breach of that support level brought in major selling, as it seems that many traders were looking at a failure of that support level as a catalyst for selling.</p><p><blockquote>此外，4120区域的支撑已经让位，这不仅仅是一个小利空。突破该支撑位带来了大量抛售，因为许多交易者似乎将该支撑位的失败视为抛售的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Hence, “everyone” was trying to sell at once, producing a monster down day. The next support level is just below 4000 – the March highs. Then, below that is the major support at 3850-3870, whence the powerful rally from March 26 to April 16 was launched.</p><p><blockquote>因此，“每个人”都试图立即出售，产生了一个巨大的下跌日。下一个支撑位略低于4000点——3月份的高点。然后，在此下方是3850-3870的主要支撑位，3月26日至4月16日的强劲反弹就是从这里开始的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0ec5f66797ccd56afd4c8a076073c36\" tg-width=\"922\" tg-height=\"686\">In addition, a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal has been confirmed. That happened when SPX traded down through 4105 intraday on May 12. We bought SPY put bear spreads when that happened. The sell signal will remain in effect until the index touches either the +4σ Band (which would stop out the signal) or the -4σ Band, which is the target for the signal.</p><p><blockquote>此外，麦克米兰波动带（MVB）卖出信号已得到确认。5月12日SPX盘中跌至4105点时就发生了这种情况。当这种情况发生时，我们买入了SPDR标普500指数ETF看跌期权价差。卖出信号将保持有效，直到指数触及+4 σ波段（这将使信号停止）或-4 σ波段（这是信号的目标）。</blockquote></p><p> The decline on May 12 was so swift that SPX has almost reached those lower (target) Bands, but realized volatility is exploding right now, so the Bands will attempt to move lower quickly – away from the S&amp;P’s declining 20-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>5月12日的下跌如此之快，以至于SPX几乎达到了那些较低的（目标）波段，但意识到波动性现在正在爆炸，因此波段将试图迅速走低——远离S&amp;P不断下降的20日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> For the record, the chart of the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.29%is quite similar to that of SPX, having reached a new high as recently as May 10 but now having fallen through the first support level. The charts of the NASDAQ-100NDX,+0.83%and the Russell 2000RUT,+1.68%are much weaker, as they have not made new highs this month.</p><p><blockquote>根据记录，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA,+1.29%的图表与SPX的图表非常相似，最近在5月10日还创下新高，但现在已经跌破第一个支撑位。纳斯达克-100NDX,+0.83%和罗素2000RUT,+1.68%的图表要弱得多，因为它们本月没有创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals. They issued sell signals right around May 1. Even though some of their sell signals in the past year have not been all that great, we have been in a “don’t ignore sell signals” mode for a while now, so we had taken a bearish position based on this indicator. These sell signals will remain in place as long as the put-call ratios continue to rise.</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率仍处于卖出信号。他们在5月1日左右发出了卖出信号。尽管他们在过去一年中的一些卖出信号并不那么好，但我们已经处于“不要忽视卖出信号”模式一段时间了，因此我们根据该指标采取了看跌立场。只要看跌-看涨期权比率继续上升，这些卖出信号就会一直存在。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30cf1c1f792b6676613144841cb638e0\" tg-width=\"924\" tg-height=\"688\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15b2ff308cfd81b7922631fdde532199\" tg-width=\"916\" tg-height=\"684\">Breadth has been somewhat problematic for months now. NYSE breadth has been stronger than “stocks only” or NASDAQ breadth, because of the general weakness of NASDAQ and small-cap stocks. Even so, both “stocks only” and NYSE breadth oscillators generated sell signals on May 10 and May 11, respectively. Those oscillators have already plunged into an oversold state, but “oversold does not mean buy.”</p><p><blockquote>几个月来，广度一直存在一些问题。由于纳斯达克和小盘股普遍疲软，纽约证券交易所广度一直强于“仅股票”或纳斯达克广度。即便如此，“仅限股票”和纽交所广度振荡指标都分别在5月10日和5月11日产生了卖出信号。那些振荡指标已经陷入超卖状态，但“超卖并不意味着买入”。</blockquote></p><p> New 52-week highs had been running at tremendously large levels. On both May 7 and May 10, NYSE and “stocks only” new highs were at the highest daily counts in at least five years. But that all came to a sudden halt when new 52-week lows exceeded new 52-week highs (in all 3 data sets, but most importantly in terms of NYSE data) on May 11. That generated a sell signal that would be negated if new highs exceeds new lows (on the NYSE) for two consecutive days.</p><p><blockquote>52周新高一直在非常大的水平上运行。5月7日和5月10日，纽约证券交易所和“仅股票”的新高都达到了至少五年来的最高单日数量。但当5月11日新的52周低点超过新的52周高点（在所有3个数据集中，但最重要的是纽约证券交易所的数据）时，这一切都突然停止了。这产生了卖出信号，如果新高连续两天超过新低（在纽约证券交易所），该信号将被否定。</blockquote></p><p> Almost unbelievably, on Wednesday, when the market was getting trashed, new highs outnumbered new lows on the NYSE.</p><p><blockquote>几乎令人难以置信的是，周三，当市场陷入困境时，纽约证券交易所的新高数量超过了新低。</blockquote></p><p> While all this was going on, both implied volatility (VIX) and realized volatility (the S&amp;P’s 20-day historical volatility) began to increase and then exploded over the past couple of days. VIXVIX,-6.18%is now in “spiking” mode. That is not good for the market, as a rapidly increasing VIX is negative for stocks. However, a VIX “spike peak” buy signal will eventually emerge (when VIX stops “spiking”), and that indicator has a strong track record. So, we will be looking for that buy signal soon.</p><p><blockquote>在这一切发生的同时，隐含波动率(VIX)和已实现波动率（标准普尔20天历史波动率）都开始上升，然后在过去几天内爆发。VIXVIX,-6.18%目前处于“飙升”模式。这对市场不利，因为VIX快速上升对股市不利。然而，VIX“尖峰”买入信号最终会出现（当VIX停止“尖峰”时），并且该指标具有良好的记录。因此，我们将很快寻找买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, VIX has risen above its still-declining 200-day moving average, which is a minor negative. But as long as the 20-day MA remains below the 200-day MA, there is still a possibility of a limited market decline.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，VIX已升至仍在下跌的200日移动平均线上方，这是一个小幅利空。但只要20日均线保持在200日均线下方，市场仍有可能下跌有限。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e08a44be7fb907e3e7265982fff446\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"690\">The construct of volatility derivatives is also something that needs close attention right now. So far, it has remained bullish. But if the May VIX futures start to trade at higher prices than the June VIX futures, that would be a very negative sign. The term structure of the VIX futures still slopes upward out through September, though, so that is positive for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>波动性衍生品的构造也是目前需要密切关注的问题。到目前为止，它仍然看涨。但如果5月VIX期货开始以高于6月VIX期货的价格交易，那将是一个非常负面的信号。不过，VIX期货的期限结构在9月份仍然向上倾斜，因此这对股市有利。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The term structure of the Cboe Volatility Indices is a little more convoluted, but it generally slopes upward out through the six-month contract, too. Hence, this area of analysis remains positive for the market.</p><p><blockquote>芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数的期限结构稍微复杂一些，但通常在六个月合约中也会向上倾斜。因此，这一分析领域对市场仍然是积极的。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, as often happens when the market is extremely overbought, all is well until it’s not. It often only takes one or two days of negative action to bring sellers out of hibernation. So now we have a number of new confirmed sell signals, and we will trade those with the systems we have created around them.</p><p><blockquote>总之，正如市场极度超买时经常发生的那样，一切都很好，直到它不是。往往只需要一两天的负面行动就能让卖家走出冬眠。所以现在我们有了一些新的确认卖出信号，我们将用我们围绕它们创建的系统来交易这些信号。</blockquote></p><p> The bulls’ next best hope is a VIX “spike peak” buy signal, which will likely occur soon. But for now, support has been broken, and as long as SPX is below 4120, the bears have a chance to take control for a while.</p><p><blockquote>多头的下一个最大希望是VIX“峰值”买入信号，这可能很快就会出现。但就目前而言，支撑已经被打破，只要SPX低于4120，空头就有机会控制一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New recommendation: Duke Energy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新推荐：杜克能源</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Duke Energy</b>DUK,+2.74%had been approached by<b>NextEra Energy</b>NEE,+1.52%in the fall of 2020 regarding a potential takeover. Nothing came of that, but now an activist investor has bought into Duke Energy and is attempting to acquire board seats. Thus, the takeover rumors are back in play. Stock volume patterns are very strong, and there is support in the 99-101 area.</p><p><blockquote><b>杜克能源公司</b>DUK，+2.74%已被接近<b>NextEra能源</b>NEE，2020年秋季+1.52%，涉及潜在收购。没有任何结果，但现在一位激进投资者已经购买了杜克能源公司的股票，并试图获得董事会席位。因此，收购传闻又卷土重来。股票成交量形态非常强劲，99-101区域有支撑。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买3 DUK 6月（18日）100评级</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>At a price of 3.00 or less.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格为3.00或更低。</b></blockquote></p><p> DUK: 101.25 June (18th) 100 call: 3.30 offered</p><p><blockquote>DUK：101.25 6月（18日）100看涨期权：3.30报价</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b96e29034c1e6693256bf951d5a5ebd\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"688\"><b>New recommendation: Potential VIX ‘spike peak’ buy signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：潜在的VIX“峰值”买入信号</b></blockquote></p><p> VIX is spiking upward now, which is negative for the market. But when VIX stops spiking, a buy signal will occur. So,</p><p><blockquote>VIX现在正在飙升，这对市场不利。但当VIX停止飙升时，就会出现买入信号。所以，</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>Keep track of the highest price that VIX has reached while in “spiking” mode. So far that is 28.38 on May 12, but VIX could go higher.</li>  <li>When VIX closes at least 3.00 points below that highest peak price, then</li>  <li><b>Buy 2 SPY June (11th) at-the-money calls and sell 2 SPY June (11th) calls with a striking price 15 points higher.</b></li> </ol> Once this buy signal is in place, we would be stopped out if VIX returned to “spiking mode” – that is, if VIX increased by at least 3.00 points (using closing prices) over any three-day period. That would stop out the trade, but would then set up a new buy signal, using the parameters detailed above.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li>跟踪VIX在“飙升”模式下达到的最高价格。到目前为止，5月12日为28.38，但VIX可能会走高。</li><li>当VIX收盘价比最高峰价格低至少3.00点时，则</li><li><b>买入2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）平价评级，卖出2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）评级，执行价格高出15点。</b></li></ol>一旦这个买入信号到位，如果VIX回到“飙升模式”——也就是说，如果VIX在任何三天内上涨至少3.00点（使用收盘价），我们将被止损。这将停止交易，但随后会使用上述参数设置新的买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New recommendation: Potential VIX term structure inversion sell signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：潜在的VIX期限结构反转卖出信号</b></blockquote></p><p> Thus far, the May VIX futures have continued to trade below the price of the June VIX futures. However, if the following condition is met, then we want to add some SPY put bear spreads to our position:</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，5月VIX期货的交易价格继续低于6月VIX期货的价格。然而，如果满足以下条件，那么我们希望在我们的头寸中添加一些SPDR标普500指数ETF看跌熊市价差：</blockquote></p><p> <b>If May VIX futures trade at a premium to June VIX futures of at least 1.00 point or more,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果5月VIX期货交易价格较6月VIX期货溢价至少1.00点或以上，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Then buy 1 SPY June (4th) at-the-money put</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后买入1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（4日）平价看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;And sell 1 SPY June (4th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并以下跌25点的价格卖出1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（4日）看跌期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> If bought, this spread would be stopped out if May VIX futures subsequently settled (i.e., closed) at a<i>lower</i>price than June VIX futures.</p><p><blockquote>如果买入，如果VIX期货随后以<i>降低</i>价格高于6月VIX期货。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Follow-up action</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后续行动</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>除非另有说明，所有停止都是精神关闭停止。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 0 SPY May (14th) 417 calls:</b>This position was originally a SPY call bull spread, taken in line with the VIX “spike peak” buy signal of March 5. It was rolled up three times and then stopped out May 12.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙0 SPDR标普500指数ETF 5月（14日）417评级：</b>该头寸最初是SPDR标普500指数ETF·看涨期权牛市价差，与3月5日VIX“尖峰”买入信号一致。它被卷了三次，然后在5月12日停止。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long0 SPY May (14th) 414 calls:</b>This position has also been rolled up three times and was also stopped out on May 12.</p><p><blockquote><b>long0 SPDR标普500指数ETF五月（十四日）414评级：</b>这个仓位也被上拉了三次，也在5月12日被止损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 2 CXP May (21st) 17.5 calls:</b>Hold without a stop for now as we wait for the spread in this deal ($19.50 cash takeover) to shrink.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙2 CXP 5月（21日）17.5评级：</b>暂时持有，等待这笔交易（19.50美元现金收购）的价差缩小。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 0 VIX May (19th) 21 puts.</b>This position was stopped out on May 11.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头0 VIX 5月（19日）21看跌期权。</b>该头寸于5月11日止损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 0 SPY May (14th) 417 calls:</b>This position was initially bought as an upside breakout trade, and it has been rolled up as well. It was stopped out on May 12.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙0 SPDR标普500指数ETF 5月（14日）417评级：</b>该头寸最初是作为上行突破交易买入的，现在也已被滚动。它于5月12日被停止。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 2 LEAF May (21st) 9 calls:</b>on April 5, Leaf GroupLEAF,-0.71%received an all-cash buyout offer of 8.50 from Graham Holdings. Hold without a stop while the rumors of a higher bid play out.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙2叶5月（21日）9日评级：</b>4月5日，Leaf GroupLEAF,-0.71%收到Graham Holdings 8.50的全现金收购要约。当更高出价的谣言出现时，不要停止持有。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 6 HLIT May (21st) 8.5 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while this activist situation plays out.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙6 HLIT 5月（21日）8.5评级：</b>当这种激进的情况发生时，不要停止。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 8 FXY Jun (18th) 87 calls:</b>Hold without a stop as long as this put-call ratio buy signal is in place.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙8 FXY 6月（18日）87评级：</b>只要这个看跌-看涨期权比率买入信号到位，就不要止损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 4 CCIV May (21st) 23 calls:</b>Set a stop at 18.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙4 CCIV 5月（21日）23日评级：</b>在18点停止。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:</b>This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band. Effectively, at this point, we are holding without a stop. It which reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is accelerating downward. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）410看跌期权空头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）385看跌期权：</b>进行这笔交易是因为5月12日SPX下跌至4105点时出现了MVB卖出信号。它将被SPX再次收于+4 σ波段上方止损。实际上，在这一点上，我们正在不停地坚持。如果SPX在-4 σ区间交易，则达到其利润目标。目前，较低的波段正在加速向下。如果SPX在任何时候交易于4000点，则卖出该头寸的一半。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Long 1 SPY May (28th) 416 put and short 1 SPY May (28th) 396 put:</b>This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. Hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. For now, hold without a stop. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPY<i>trades</i>at 396 at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 5月（28日）416看跌空头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 5月（28日）396看跌：</b>该建议基于现有的纯股票看跌看涨期权比率卖出信号。只要仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率处于卖出信号，就持有此建议。因此，我们将每周更新状态。现在，不要停下来。向下滚动位置，每边20击，如果SPDR标普500指数ETF<i>贸易</i>任何时候都在396。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: The next big test for the S&P 500 is at 4,120<blockquote>观点：标普500的下一个重大考验是4,120</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: The next big test for the S&P 500 is at 4,120<blockquote>观点：标普500的下一个重大考验是4,120</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-14 18:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As always seems to be the case, everyone tries to squeeze out the exit at the same time. The result is a massive selloff – at least for a short time. That’s what happened on Wednesday, although things had been weakening for the two days prior to that.</p><p><blockquote>似乎总是这样，每个人都试图同时挤出出口。结果是大规模抛售——至少在短时间内是这样。这就是周三发生的事情，尽管在此之前两天情况一直在疲软。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market, as measured by the S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+1.22%had been on “cruise control,” hitting a new all-time high on May 7. This week, however, has seen daily declines of 44, 36, and 89 SPX points, with a downside gap left on the chart on May Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>以标普500指数SPX衡量的股市上涨了1.22%，处于“巡航控制”状态，并于5月7日创下历史新高。然而，本周SPX指数每日下跌44、36和89点，5月周二的图表上留下了下行缺口。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the support in the 4120 area has given way, which is more than a minor negative. The breach of that support level brought in major selling, as it seems that many traders were looking at a failure of that support level as a catalyst for selling.</p><p><blockquote>此外，4120区域的支撑已经让位，这不仅仅是一个小利空。突破该支撑位带来了大量抛售，因为许多交易者似乎将该支撑位的失败视为抛售的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Hence, “everyone” was trying to sell at once, producing a monster down day. The next support level is just below 4000 – the March highs. Then, below that is the major support at 3850-3870, whence the powerful rally from March 26 to April 16 was launched.</p><p><blockquote>因此，“每个人”都试图立即出售，产生了一个巨大的下跌日。下一个支撑位略低于4000点——3月份的高点。然后，在此下方是3850-3870的主要支撑位，3月26日至4月16日的强劲反弹就是从这里开始的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0ec5f66797ccd56afd4c8a076073c36\" tg-width=\"922\" tg-height=\"686\">In addition, a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal has been confirmed. That happened when SPX traded down through 4105 intraday on May 12. We bought SPY put bear spreads when that happened. The sell signal will remain in effect until the index touches either the +4σ Band (which would stop out the signal) or the -4σ Band, which is the target for the signal.</p><p><blockquote>此外，麦克米兰波动带（MVB）卖出信号已得到确认。5月12日SPX盘中跌至4105点时就发生了这种情况。当这种情况发生时，我们买入了SPDR标普500指数ETF看跌期权价差。卖出信号将保持有效，直到指数触及+4 σ波段（这将使信号停止）或-4 σ波段（这是信号的目标）。</blockquote></p><p> The decline on May 12 was so swift that SPX has almost reached those lower (target) Bands, but realized volatility is exploding right now, so the Bands will attempt to move lower quickly – away from the S&amp;P’s declining 20-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>5月12日的下跌如此之快，以至于SPX几乎达到了那些较低的（目标）波段，但意识到波动性现在正在爆炸，因此波段将试图迅速走低——远离S&amp;P不断下降的20日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> For the record, the chart of the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.29%is quite similar to that of SPX, having reached a new high as recently as May 10 but now having fallen through the first support level. The charts of the NASDAQ-100NDX,+0.83%and the Russell 2000RUT,+1.68%are much weaker, as they have not made new highs this month.</p><p><blockquote>根据记录，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA,+1.29%的图表与SPX的图表非常相似，最近在5月10日还创下新高，但现在已经跌破第一个支撑位。纳斯达克-100NDX,+0.83%和罗素2000RUT,+1.68%的图表要弱得多，因为它们本月没有创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals. They issued sell signals right around May 1. Even though some of their sell signals in the past year have not been all that great, we have been in a “don’t ignore sell signals” mode for a while now, so we had taken a bearish position based on this indicator. These sell signals will remain in place as long as the put-call ratios continue to rise.</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率仍处于卖出信号。他们在5月1日左右发出了卖出信号。尽管他们在过去一年中的一些卖出信号并不那么好，但我们已经处于“不要忽视卖出信号”模式一段时间了，因此我们根据该指标采取了看跌立场。只要看跌-看涨期权比率继续上升，这些卖出信号就会一直存在。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30cf1c1f792b6676613144841cb638e0\" tg-width=\"924\" tg-height=\"688\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15b2ff308cfd81b7922631fdde532199\" tg-width=\"916\" tg-height=\"684\">Breadth has been somewhat problematic for months now. NYSE breadth has been stronger than “stocks only” or NASDAQ breadth, because of the general weakness of NASDAQ and small-cap stocks. Even so, both “stocks only” and NYSE breadth oscillators generated sell signals on May 10 and May 11, respectively. Those oscillators have already plunged into an oversold state, but “oversold does not mean buy.”</p><p><blockquote>几个月来，广度一直存在一些问题。由于纳斯达克和小盘股普遍疲软，纽约证券交易所广度一直强于“仅股票”或纳斯达克广度。即便如此，“仅限股票”和纽交所广度振荡指标都分别在5月10日和5月11日产生了卖出信号。那些振荡指标已经陷入超卖状态，但“超卖并不意味着买入”。</blockquote></p><p> New 52-week highs had been running at tremendously large levels. On both May 7 and May 10, NYSE and “stocks only” new highs were at the highest daily counts in at least five years. But that all came to a sudden halt when new 52-week lows exceeded new 52-week highs (in all 3 data sets, but most importantly in terms of NYSE data) on May 11. That generated a sell signal that would be negated if new highs exceeds new lows (on the NYSE) for two consecutive days.</p><p><blockquote>52周新高一直在非常大的水平上运行。5月7日和5月10日，纽约证券交易所和“仅股票”的新高都达到了至少五年来的最高单日数量。但当5月11日新的52周低点超过新的52周高点（在所有3个数据集中，但最重要的是纽约证券交易所的数据）时，这一切都突然停止了。这产生了卖出信号，如果新高连续两天超过新低（在纽约证券交易所），该信号将被否定。</blockquote></p><p> Almost unbelievably, on Wednesday, when the market was getting trashed, new highs outnumbered new lows on the NYSE.</p><p><blockquote>几乎令人难以置信的是，周三，当市场陷入困境时，纽约证券交易所的新高数量超过了新低。</blockquote></p><p> While all this was going on, both implied volatility (VIX) and realized volatility (the S&amp;P’s 20-day historical volatility) began to increase and then exploded over the past couple of days. VIXVIX,-6.18%is now in “spiking” mode. That is not good for the market, as a rapidly increasing VIX is negative for stocks. However, a VIX “spike peak” buy signal will eventually emerge (when VIX stops “spiking”), and that indicator has a strong track record. So, we will be looking for that buy signal soon.</p><p><blockquote>在这一切发生的同时，隐含波动率(VIX)和已实现波动率（标准普尔20天历史波动率）都开始上升，然后在过去几天内爆发。VIXVIX,-6.18%目前处于“飙升”模式。这对市场不利，因为VIX快速上升对股市不利。然而，VIX“尖峰”买入信号最终会出现（当VIX停止“尖峰”时），并且该指标具有良好的记录。因此，我们将很快寻找买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, VIX has risen above its still-declining 200-day moving average, which is a minor negative. But as long as the 20-day MA remains below the 200-day MA, there is still a possibility of a limited market decline.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，VIX已升至仍在下跌的200日移动平均线上方，这是一个小幅利空。但只要20日均线保持在200日均线下方，市场仍有可能下跌有限。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e08a44be7fb907e3e7265982fff446\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"690\">The construct of volatility derivatives is also something that needs close attention right now. So far, it has remained bullish. But if the May VIX futures start to trade at higher prices than the June VIX futures, that would be a very negative sign. The term structure of the VIX futures still slopes upward out through September, though, so that is positive for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>波动性衍生品的构造也是目前需要密切关注的问题。到目前为止，它仍然看涨。但如果5月VIX期货开始以高于6月VIX期货的价格交易，那将是一个非常负面的信号。不过，VIX期货的期限结构在9月份仍然向上倾斜，因此这对股市有利。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The term structure of the Cboe Volatility Indices is a little more convoluted, but it generally slopes upward out through the six-month contract, too. Hence, this area of analysis remains positive for the market.</p><p><blockquote>芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数的期限结构稍微复杂一些，但通常在六个月合约中也会向上倾斜。因此，这一分析领域对市场仍然是积极的。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, as often happens when the market is extremely overbought, all is well until it’s not. It often only takes one or two days of negative action to bring sellers out of hibernation. So now we have a number of new confirmed sell signals, and we will trade those with the systems we have created around them.</p><p><blockquote>总之，正如市场极度超买时经常发生的那样，一切都很好，直到它不是。往往只需要一两天的负面行动就能让卖家走出冬眠。所以现在我们有了一些新的确认卖出信号，我们将用我们围绕它们创建的系统来交易这些信号。</blockquote></p><p> The bulls’ next best hope is a VIX “spike peak” buy signal, which will likely occur soon. But for now, support has been broken, and as long as SPX is below 4120, the bears have a chance to take control for a while.</p><p><blockquote>多头的下一个最大希望是VIX“峰值”买入信号，这可能很快就会出现。但就目前而言，支撑已经被打破，只要SPX低于4120，空头就有机会控制一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New recommendation: Duke Energy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新推荐：杜克能源</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Duke Energy</b>DUK,+2.74%had been approached by<b>NextEra Energy</b>NEE,+1.52%in the fall of 2020 regarding a potential takeover. Nothing came of that, but now an activist investor has bought into Duke Energy and is attempting to acquire board seats. Thus, the takeover rumors are back in play. Stock volume patterns are very strong, and there is support in the 99-101 area.</p><p><blockquote><b>杜克能源公司</b>DUK，+2.74%已被接近<b>NextEra能源</b>NEE，2020年秋季+1.52%，涉及潜在收购。没有任何结果，但现在一位激进投资者已经购买了杜克能源公司的股票，并试图获得董事会席位。因此，收购传闻又卷土重来。股票成交量形态非常强劲，99-101区域有支撑。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买3 DUK 6月（18日）100评级</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>At a price of 3.00 or less.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格为3.00或更低。</b></blockquote></p><p> DUK: 101.25 June (18th) 100 call: 3.30 offered</p><p><blockquote>DUK：101.25 6月（18日）100看涨期权：3.30报价</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b96e29034c1e6693256bf951d5a5ebd\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"688\"><b>New recommendation: Potential VIX ‘spike peak’ buy signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：潜在的VIX“峰值”买入信号</b></blockquote></p><p> VIX is spiking upward now, which is negative for the market. But when VIX stops spiking, a buy signal will occur. So,</p><p><blockquote>VIX现在正在飙升，这对市场不利。但当VIX停止飙升时，就会出现买入信号。所以，</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>Keep track of the highest price that VIX has reached while in “spiking” mode. So far that is 28.38 on May 12, but VIX could go higher.</li>  <li>When VIX closes at least 3.00 points below that highest peak price, then</li>  <li><b>Buy 2 SPY June (11th) at-the-money calls and sell 2 SPY June (11th) calls with a striking price 15 points higher.</b></li> </ol> Once this buy signal is in place, we would be stopped out if VIX returned to “spiking mode” – that is, if VIX increased by at least 3.00 points (using closing prices) over any three-day period. That would stop out the trade, but would then set up a new buy signal, using the parameters detailed above.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li>跟踪VIX在“飙升”模式下达到的最高价格。到目前为止，5月12日为28.38，但VIX可能会走高。</li><li>当VIX收盘价比最高峰价格低至少3.00点时，则</li><li><b>买入2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）平价评级，卖出2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）评级，执行价格高出15点。</b></li></ol>一旦这个买入信号到位，如果VIX回到“飙升模式”——也就是说，如果VIX在任何三天内上涨至少3.00点（使用收盘价），我们将被止损。这将停止交易，但随后会使用上述参数设置新的买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New recommendation: Potential VIX term structure inversion sell signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：潜在的VIX期限结构反转卖出信号</b></blockquote></p><p> Thus far, the May VIX futures have continued to trade below the price of the June VIX futures. However, if the following condition is met, then we want to add some SPY put bear spreads to our position:</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，5月VIX期货的交易价格继续低于6月VIX期货的价格。然而，如果满足以下条件，那么我们希望在我们的头寸中添加一些SPDR标普500指数ETF看跌熊市价差：</blockquote></p><p> <b>If May VIX futures trade at a premium to June VIX futures of at least 1.00 point or more,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果5月VIX期货交易价格较6月VIX期货溢价至少1.00点或以上，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Then buy 1 SPY June (4th) at-the-money put</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后买入1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（4日）平价看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;And sell 1 SPY June (4th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并以下跌25点的价格卖出1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（4日）看跌期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> If bought, this spread would be stopped out if May VIX futures subsequently settled (i.e., closed) at a<i>lower</i>price than June VIX futures.</p><p><blockquote>如果买入，如果VIX期货随后以<i>降低</i>价格高于6月VIX期货。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Follow-up action</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后续行动</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>除非另有说明，所有停止都是精神关闭停止。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 0 SPY May (14th) 417 calls:</b>This position was originally a SPY call bull spread, taken in line with the VIX “spike peak” buy signal of March 5. It was rolled up three times and then stopped out May 12.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙0 SPDR标普500指数ETF 5月（14日）417评级：</b>该头寸最初是SPDR标普500指数ETF·看涨期权牛市价差，与3月5日VIX“尖峰”买入信号一致。它被卷了三次，然后在5月12日停止。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long0 SPY May (14th) 414 calls:</b>This position has also been rolled up three times and was also stopped out on May 12.</p><p><blockquote><b>long0 SPDR标普500指数ETF五月（十四日）414评级：</b>这个仓位也被上拉了三次，也在5月12日被止损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 2 CXP May (21st) 17.5 calls:</b>Hold without a stop for now as we wait for the spread in this deal ($19.50 cash takeover) to shrink.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙2 CXP 5月（21日）17.5评级：</b>暂时持有，等待这笔交易（19.50美元现金收购）的价差缩小。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 0 VIX May (19th) 21 puts.</b>This position was stopped out on May 11.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头0 VIX 5月（19日）21看跌期权。</b>该头寸于5月11日止损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 0 SPY May (14th) 417 calls:</b>This position was initially bought as an upside breakout trade, and it has been rolled up as well. It was stopped out on May 12.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙0 SPDR标普500指数ETF 5月（14日）417评级：</b>该头寸最初是作为上行突破交易买入的，现在也已被滚动。它于5月12日被停止。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 2 LEAF May (21st) 9 calls:</b>on April 5, Leaf GroupLEAF,-0.71%received an all-cash buyout offer of 8.50 from Graham Holdings. Hold without a stop while the rumors of a higher bid play out.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙2叶5月（21日）9日评级：</b>4月5日，Leaf GroupLEAF,-0.71%收到Graham Holdings 8.50的全现金收购要约。当更高出价的谣言出现时，不要停止持有。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 6 HLIT May (21st) 8.5 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while this activist situation plays out.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙6 HLIT 5月（21日）8.5评级：</b>当这种激进的情况发生时，不要停止。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 8 FXY Jun (18th) 87 calls:</b>Hold without a stop as long as this put-call ratio buy signal is in place.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙8 FXY 6月（18日）87评级：</b>只要这个看跌-看涨期权比率买入信号到位，就不要止损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 4 CCIV May (21st) 23 calls:</b>Set a stop at 18.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙4 CCIV 5月（21日）23日评级：</b>在18点停止。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:</b>This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band. Effectively, at this point, we are holding without a stop. It which reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is accelerating downward. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）410看跌期权空头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）385看跌期权：</b>进行这笔交易是因为5月12日SPX下跌至4105点时出现了MVB卖出信号。它将被SPX再次收于+4 σ波段上方止损。实际上，在这一点上，我们正在不停地坚持。如果SPX在-4 σ区间交易，则达到其利润目标。目前，较低的波段正在加速向下。如果SPX在任何时候交易于4000点，则卖出该头寸的一半。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Long 1 SPY May (28th) 416 put and short 1 SPY May (28th) 396 put:</b>This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. Hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. For now, hold without a stop. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPY<i>trades</i>at 396 at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 5月（28日）416看跌空头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 5月（28日）396看跌：</b>该建议基于现有的纯股票看跌看涨期权比率卖出信号。只要仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率处于卖出信号，就持有此建议。因此，我们将每周更新状态。现在，不要停下来。向下滚动位置，每边20击，如果SPDR标普500指数ETF<i>贸易</i>任何时候都在396。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-next-big-test-for-the-s-p-500-is-at-4-120-01620915045?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-next-big-test-for-the-s-p-500-is-at-4-120-01620915045?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1108333994","content_text":"As always seems to be the case, everyone tries to squeeze out the exit at the same time. The result is a massive selloff – at least for a short time. That’s what happened on Wednesday, although things had been weakening for the two days prior to that.\nThe stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 indexSPX,+1.22%had been on “cruise control,” hitting a new all-time high on May 7. This week, however, has seen daily declines of 44, 36, and 89 SPX points, with a downside gap left on the chart on May Tuesday.\nFurthermore, the support in the 4120 area has given way, which is more than a minor negative. The breach of that support level brought in major selling, as it seems that many traders were looking at a failure of that support level as a catalyst for selling.\nHence, “everyone” was trying to sell at once, producing a monster down day. The next support level is just below 4000 – the March highs. Then, below that is the major support at 3850-3870, whence the powerful rally from March 26 to April 16 was launched.\nIn addition, a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal has been confirmed. That happened when SPX traded down through 4105 intraday on May 12. We bought SPY put bear spreads when that happened. The sell signal will remain in effect until the index touches either the +4σ Band (which would stop out the signal) or the -4σ Band, which is the target for the signal.\nThe decline on May 12 was so swift that SPX has almost reached those lower (target) Bands, but realized volatility is exploding right now, so the Bands will attempt to move lower quickly – away from the S&P’s declining 20-day moving average.\nFor the record, the chart of the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.29%is quite similar to that of SPX, having reached a new high as recently as May 10 but now having fallen through the first support level. The charts of the NASDAQ-100NDX,+0.83%and the Russell 2000RUT,+1.68%are much weaker, as they have not made new highs this month.\nEquity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals. They issued sell signals right around May 1. Even though some of their sell signals in the past year have not been all that great, we have been in a “don’t ignore sell signals” mode for a while now, so we had taken a bearish position based on this indicator. These sell signals will remain in place as long as the put-call ratios continue to rise.\nBreadth has been somewhat problematic for months now. NYSE breadth has been stronger than “stocks only” or NASDAQ breadth, because of the general weakness of NASDAQ and small-cap stocks. Even so, both “stocks only” and NYSE breadth oscillators generated sell signals on May 10 and May 11, respectively. Those oscillators have already plunged into an oversold state, but “oversold does not mean buy.”\nNew 52-week highs had been running at tremendously large levels. On both May 7 and May 10, NYSE and “stocks only” new highs were at the highest daily counts in at least five years. But that all came to a sudden halt when new 52-week lows exceeded new 52-week highs (in all 3 data sets, but most importantly in terms of NYSE data) on May 11. That generated a sell signal that would be negated if new highs exceeds new lows (on the NYSE) for two consecutive days.\nAlmost unbelievably, on Wednesday, when the market was getting trashed, new highs outnumbered new lows on the NYSE.\nWhile all this was going on, both implied volatility (VIX) and realized volatility (the S&P’s 20-day historical volatility) began to increase and then exploded over the past couple of days. VIXVIX,-6.18%is now in “spiking” mode. That is not good for the market, as a rapidly increasing VIX is negative for stocks. However, a VIX “spike peak” buy signal will eventually emerge (when VIX stops “spiking”), and that indicator has a strong track record. So, we will be looking for that buy signal soon.\nMeanwhile, VIX has risen above its still-declining 200-day moving average, which is a minor negative. But as long as the 20-day MA remains below the 200-day MA, there is still a possibility of a limited market decline.\nThe construct of volatility derivatives is also something that needs close attention right now. So far, it has remained bullish. But if the May VIX futures start to trade at higher prices than the June VIX futures, that would be a very negative sign. The term structure of the VIX futures still slopes upward out through September, though, so that is positive for stocks.\nThe term structure of the Cboe Volatility Indices is a little more convoluted, but it generally slopes upward out through the six-month contract, too. Hence, this area of analysis remains positive for the market.\nIn summary, as often happens when the market is extremely overbought, all is well until it’s not. It often only takes one or two days of negative action to bring sellers out of hibernation. So now we have a number of new confirmed sell signals, and we will trade those with the systems we have created around them.\nThe bulls’ next best hope is a VIX “spike peak” buy signal, which will likely occur soon. But for now, support has been broken, and as long as SPX is below 4120, the bears have a chance to take control for a while.\nNew recommendation: Duke Energy\nDuke EnergyDUK,+2.74%had been approached byNextEra EnergyNEE,+1.52%in the fall of 2020 regarding a potential takeover. Nothing came of that, but now an activist investor has bought into Duke Energy and is attempting to acquire board seats. Thus, the takeover rumors are back in play. Stock volume patterns are very strong, and there is support in the 99-101 area.\nBuy 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls\nAt a price of 3.00 or less.\nDUK: 101.25 June (18th) 100 call: 3.30 offered\nNew recommendation: Potential VIX ‘spike peak’ buy signal\nVIX is spiking upward now, which is negative for the market. But when VIX stops spiking, a buy signal will occur. So,\n\nKeep track of the highest price that VIX has reached while in “spiking” mode. So far that is 28.38 on May 12, but VIX could go higher.\nWhen VIX closes at least 3.00 points below that highest peak price, then\nBuy 2 SPY June (11th) at-the-money calls and sell 2 SPY June (11th) calls with a striking price 15 points higher.\n\nOnce this buy signal is in place, we would be stopped out if VIX returned to “spiking mode” – that is, if VIX increased by at least 3.00 points (using closing prices) over any three-day period. That would stop out the trade, but would then set up a new buy signal, using the parameters detailed above.\nNew recommendation: Potential VIX term structure inversion sell signal\nThus far, the May VIX futures have continued to trade below the price of the June VIX futures. However, if the following condition is met, then we want to add some SPY put bear spreads to our position:\nIf May VIX futures trade at a premium to June VIX futures of at least 1.00 point or more,\nThen buy 1 SPY June (4th) at-the-money put\n And sell 1 SPY June (4th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.\nIf bought, this spread would be stopped out if May VIX futures subsequently settled (i.e., closed) at alowerprice than June VIX futures.\nFollow-up action\nAll stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.\nLong 0 SPY May (14th) 417 calls:This position was originally a SPY call bull spread, taken in line with the VIX “spike peak” buy signal of March 5. It was rolled up three times and then stopped out May 12.\nLong0 SPY May (14th) 414 calls:This position has also been rolled up three times and was also stopped out on May 12.\nLong 2 CXP May (21st) 17.5 calls:Hold without a stop for now as we wait for the spread in this deal ($19.50 cash takeover) to shrink.\nLong 0 VIX May (19th) 21 puts.This position was stopped out on May 11.\nLong 0 SPY May (14th) 417 calls:This position was initially bought as an upside breakout trade, and it has been rolled up as well. It was stopped out on May 12.\nLong 2 LEAF May (21st) 9 calls:on April 5, Leaf GroupLEAF,-0.71%received an all-cash buyout offer of 8.50 from Graham Holdings. Hold without a stop while the rumors of a higher bid play out.\nLong 6 HLIT May (21st) 8.5 calls:Hold without a stop while this activist situation plays out.\nLong 8 FXY Jun (18th) 87 calls:Hold without a stop as long as this put-call ratio buy signal is in place.\nLong 4 CCIV May (21st) 23 calls:Set a stop at 18.\nLong 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band. Effectively, at this point, we are holding without a stop. It which reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is accelerating downward. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.\nLong 1 SPY May (28th) 416 put and short 1 SPY May (28th) 396 put:This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. Hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. For now, hold without a stop. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPYtradesat 396 at any time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106834123,"gmtCreate":1620100270362,"gmtModify":1634207808790,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106834123","repostId":"1152583167","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152583167","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620096267,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152583167?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 10:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Top Robinhood Stocks to Buy in May<blockquote>5月份最值得买入的3只Robinhood股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152583167","media":"The motley fool","summary":"Some Robinhood traders looking for what to buy in May might be planning to sell by June. But among t","content":"<p>Some Robinhood traders looking for what to buy in May might be planning to sell by June. But among the favorite stocks of users of the app are some that should be good investments to hold for many years.</p><p><blockquote>一些想在5月份购买什么的Robinhood交易员可能计划在6月份出售。但该应用程序用户最喜欢的股票中有一些应该是值得持有多年的良好投资。</blockquote></p><p>Owning the names on this list isn't for the faint of heart. But many Robinhood investors like aggressive investments, and the list of the most popular names on the app is crowded with risky stocks. The following companies -- on the list when I checked -- are in three different fast-growing sectors, and each could have a very promising road ahead.</p><p><blockquote>拥有这份名单上的名字不适合胆小的人。但许多Robinhood投资者喜欢激进的投资，该应用程序上最受欢迎的名字列表中挤满了风险股票。以下公司——当我检查时在名单上——位于三个不同的快速增长的行业，每个行业都可能有一条非常有前途的道路。</blockquote></p><p>Tilray: A transformative merger</p><p><blockquote>Tilray：变革性合并</blockquote></p><p>Canadian cannabis company<b>Tilray</b>(NASDAQ:TLRY)is a top Robinhood name that is combining with another of the app users' favorites. Shareholders have approved a merger with<b>Aphria</b>(NASDAQ:APHA)and the newly combined company will take the Tilray name. The new Tilray, which will be one of the largest global cannabis companies, will be led by Aphria CEO Irwin Simon.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大大麻公司<b>蒂尔雷</b>（纳斯达克：TLRY）是Robinhood的一个顶级名字，与另一个应用程序用户的最爱相结合。股东已批准与<b>Aphria</b>（纳斯达克：APHA）新合并的公司将采用Tilray名称。新的Tilray将成为全球最大的大麻公司之一，由Aphria首席执行官Irwin Simon领导。</blockquote></p><p>The deal gives investors an opportunity to own a single cannabis company with strong growth prospects in markets outside of Canada. Tilray has been growing internationally in Europe and beyond. It announced a new distribution agreement with U.K. medical cannabis distributor Grow Pharma under which Tilray's pharmaceutical-grade medical cannabis products will be imported and distributed by Grow Pharma in the U.K.&nbsp;Separately, it announced it had exported its first medical cannabis shipment to Spain, and had received the first and only market authorization for medical cannabis products in Portugal. In March, it also received approval from authorities in New Zealand to launch its medical cannabis products across the country.</p><p><blockquote>该交易使投资者有机会拥有一家在加拿大以外市场具有强劲增长前景的大麻公司。Tilray一直在欧洲及其他地区进行国际化发展。该公司宣布与英国医用大麻经销商Grow Pharma签订新的分销协议，根据该协议，Tilray的医药级医用大麻产品将由Grow Pharma在英国进口和分销。另外，该公司宣布已向西班牙出口了第一批医用大麻，并已获得葡萄牙第一个也是唯一一个医用大麻产品的市场授权。今年3月，该公司还获得了新西兰当局的批准，可以在全国范围内推出其医用大麻产品。</blockquote></p><p>Aphria also has been working on plans to grow outside of Canada. Last year, it bought U.S.-based craft brewer SweetWater Brewing for $300 million as part of a strategy to prepare for potentialfederal marijuana legalizationin the U.S. At the time of the acquisition, Simon said the deal was done for the purposes of \"expanding our addressable market and leveraging SweetWater's existing infrastructure to accelerate Aphria's entry into the U.S. ahead of federal legalization of cannabis.\" There's no guarantee that federal legalization will ever happen, but there has been growing momentum, with Virginia recently becoming the 16th state to legalize recreational marijuana, along with Washington D.C.</p><p><blockquote>Aphria还一直在制定在加拿大以外发展的计划。去年，它以3亿美元收购了美国精酿啤酒制造商SweetWater Brewing，作为为美国联邦大麻合法化做准备的战略的一部分。西蒙在收购时表示，这笔交易的目的是“扩大我们的潜在市场，并利用斯威特沃特现有的基础设施，在联邦大麻合法化之前加速Aphria进入美国。”不能保证联邦大麻合法化会发生，但势头越来越大，弗吉尼亚州最近和华盛顿特区一起成为第16个娱乐性大麻合法化的州。</blockquote></p><p>In its recentfiscal third-quarter earnings call, Aphria told investors that as of the period ended Feb. 28, it was the top licensed producer in Canada,&nbsp;with an overall national market share of 12.1%. Tilray's 2020 revenue grew 26% over 2019. Combining those businesses gives investors a well-rounded way to invest in the cannabis sector.</p><p><blockquote>Aphria在最近的第三财季收益看涨期权中告诉投资者，截至2月28日，它是加拿大最大的许可生产商，全国市场份额为12.1%。Tilray 2020年收入较2019年增长26%。将这些业务结合起来为投资者提供了投资大麻行业的全面方式。</blockquote></p><p>NIO: A massive market opportunity</p><p><blockquote>蔚来：巨大的市场机遇</blockquote></p><p>There is huge potential for growth in theelectric vehicle(EV) sector. Chinese EV maker<b>NIO</b>(NYSE:NIO)is a leader in the world's largest automotive market. There will be plenty of competition, but the company's sales are growing quickly, and it has begun construction on a new manufacturing facility.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车（EV）行业增长潜力巨大。中国电动汽车制造商<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）是全球最大汽车市场的领导者。竞争将会很激烈，但该公司的销售额正在快速增长，并且已经开始建设新的制造工厂。</blockquote></p><p>NIO delivered 20,060 vehiclesin a strong first quarter, a jump of over 400% from the prior-year period. Deliveries in April 2021 grew 125% over last year's April shipments and this speed bump in growing sales has been a factor in the recent decline in the stock price. In late March, the company told investors it is being affected by the global semiconductor shortage -- a headwind being felt by many automakers. It resulted in a five-day suspension in operations that resulted in several days of April production being lost. NIO founder, chairman, and CEO William Li expanded on that topic during the company'sfirst-quarter conference call&nbsp;last week. Li said the company now expects the supply chain problems will \"continue to linger.\"</p><p><blockquote>蔚来第一季度交付了20,060辆汽车，较去年同期增长超过400%。2021年4月的交付量比去年4月的交付量增长了125%，销售额增长的减速是近期股价下跌的一个因素。3月下旬，该公司告诉投资者，它正受到全球半导体短缺的影响——许多汽车制造商都感受到了这一阻力。这导致运营暂停五天，导致四月份几天的生产损失。蔚来创始人、董事长兼首席执行官李威廉在上周的公司第一季度电话会议上详细阐述了这个话题。李表示，该公司现在预计供应链问题将“继续存在”。</blockquote></p><p>NIO has several things investors should be excited about. Its new ET7 luxury sedan that will be available early next year expands its offerings beyond its current SUV designs. It is also expanding anetwork of battery swap and recharging stationsthat should help demand grow throughout the country, and bring NIO a growing income stream from the service. And NIO plans to expand beyond China. It recntly announcedan upcoming news conferencewhere it will detail plans to enter the European market, beginning with Norway.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来有几件事值得投资者感到兴奋。其新款ET7豪华轿车将于明年初上市，其产品范围超出了目前的SUV设计。它还在扩大电池交换和充电站网络，这将有助于全国需求的增长，并为蔚来带来不断增长的服务收入来源。而蔚来计划在中国以外地区扩张。该公司最近在即将举行的新闻发布会上宣布，将详细介绍从挪威开始进入欧洲市场的计划。</blockquote></p><p>NIO is still growing toward profitability and is worth a look for investors comfortable with risk as the EV market is expected to soar. Only 1.7 million EVs were sold in 2020, but industry research provider BloombergNEF expects that will reach 26 million by 2030, and more than double from there over the following 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来仍在朝着盈利的方向发展，随着电动汽车市场预计将飙升，值得愿意承担风险的投资者关注。2020年电动汽车销量仅为170万辆，但行业研究提供商BloombergNEF预计，到2030年，这一数字将达到2600万辆，并在未来10年内翻一番以上。</blockquote></p><p>Peloton: Keeping up with demand</p><p><blockquote>Peloton：跟上需求</blockquote></p><p></p><p>At-home exercise equipment maker<b>Peloton Interactive</b>(NASDAQ:PTON)reported its 2021 fiscal second-quarter financial results in February, with total quarterly revenue surpassing $1 billion for the first time. That was a 128% year-over-year jump. The company also updated investors on a big problem -- addressing long order-to-delivery times. For investors, that can be a good problem to have, highlighting the popularity of the company's bike and treadmill products.</p><p><blockquote>家用运动器材制造商<b>Peloton互动</b>（纳斯达克：PTON）在2月份公布了2021财年第二季度财务业绩，季度总收入首次超过10亿美元。同比增长128%。该公司还向投资者通报了一个大问题的最新情况——解决订单到交付时间过长的问题。对于投资者来说，这可能是一个好问题，凸显了该公司自行车和跑步机产品的受欢迎程度。</blockquote></p><p>One way Peloton responded was to acquire commercial fitness equipment provider Precor. In addition to bringing Peloton into the non-residential side of the market with customers including fitness clubs, hotels, and corporate facilities, it also brought what the company calls \"a significant U.S. manufacturing presence.\" Peloton had already been growing its global manufacturing output, and is in the process of ramping up production at a new factory in Taiwan. The company believes that the combination of added production and easing of supply chain disruptions caused by the pandemic will allow it improve its delivery backlog in the coming months.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton的应对方式之一是收购商业健身设备提供商Precor。除了将Peloton带入非住宅市场，客户包括健身俱乐部、酒店和企业设施之外，它还带来了该公司评级所说的“重要的美国制造业务”。Peloton的全球制造产量已经在增长，并且正在提高台湾一家新工厂的产量。该公司认为，产量的增加和疫情造成的供应链中断的缓解相结合，将使其在未来几个月改善交付积压。</blockquote></p><p>Recent negative publicity surrounding accidents involving the company's treadmills has contributed to a stock price decline. Investors should hear more about deliveries and the safety concern whenPeloton reports its fiscal third quarter2021 earnings on May 6. If the company continues to improve the delivery time frame and demand remains high, today'sprice-to-sales ratioof about 10 makes for a reasonable entry point for those willing to wait for the growth story to play out.</p><p><blockquote>最近围绕该公司跑步机事故的负面宣传导致股价下跌。当Peloton于5月6日公布2021财年第三季度收益时，投资者应该会听到更多有关交付和安全问题的信息。如果该公司继续改善交货时间并且需求仍然很高，那么今天约10的市销率对于那些愿意等待增长故事上演的人来说是一个合理的切入点。</blockquote></p><p>Why to buy now</p><p><blockquote>为什么现在购买</blockquote></p><p>Each of these companies has a compelling growth story, but each also comes with notable risks. For various reasons, the stocks have all declined at least 20% over the past two months, which could make for an attractive buy-in price.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa2b719b2c3f80dfeb968e76296eff81\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"452\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Robinhood investors have these stocks among the list of favorites for good reason. For those with the right risk tolerance and time frame, they provide a diverse mix with the potential for high growth for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司都有引人注目的增长故事，但每家公司也都存在显着的风险。由于各种原因，这些股票在过去两个月内均下跌了至少20%，这可能是一个有吸引力的买入价格。Robinhood投资者将这些股票列入最爱名单是有充分理由的。对于那些具有适当风险承受能力和时间框架的人来说，它们提供了多样化的组合，具有未来几年高增长的潜力。</blockquote></p><p>Should you invest $1,000 in NIO Inc. right now?</p><p><blockquote>您现在应该在蔚来投资1,000美元吗？</blockquote></p><p>Before you consider NIO Inc., you'll want to hear this.</p><p><blockquote>在你考虑蔚来之前，你会想听听这个。</blockquote></p><p>Investing legends and Motley Fool Co-founders David and Tom Gardner just revealed what they believe are the<b>10 best stocks</b>for investors to buy right now... and NIO Inc. wasn't one of them.</p><p><blockquote>Investing legends和Motley Fool联合创始人David和Tom Gardner刚刚透露了他们认为的<b>10只最佳股票</b>供投资者立即购买...蔚来不在其中。</blockquote></p><p>The online investing service they've run for nearly two decades,<i>Motley Fool Stock Advisor</i>, has beaten the stock market by over 4X.* And right now, they think there are 10 stocks that are better buys.</p><p><blockquote>他们经营了近二十年的在线投资服务，<i>杂色傻瓜股票顾问</i>，比股市高出4倍以上。*目前，他们认为有10只股票更值得买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Top Robinhood Stocks to Buy in May<blockquote>5月份最值得买入的3只Robinhood股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Top Robinhood Stocks to Buy in May<blockquote>5月份最值得买入的3只Robinhood股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The motley fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-04 10:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some Robinhood traders looking for what to buy in May might be planning to sell by June. But among the favorite stocks of users of the app are some that should be good investments to hold for many years.</p><p><blockquote>一些想在5月份购买什么的Robinhood交易员可能计划在6月份出售。但该应用程序用户最喜欢的股票中有一些应该是值得持有多年的良好投资。</blockquote></p><p>Owning the names on this list isn't for the faint of heart. But many Robinhood investors like aggressive investments, and the list of the most popular names on the app is crowded with risky stocks. The following companies -- on the list when I checked -- are in three different fast-growing sectors, and each could have a very promising road ahead.</p><p><blockquote>拥有这份名单上的名字不适合胆小的人。但许多Robinhood投资者喜欢激进的投资，该应用程序上最受欢迎的名字列表中挤满了风险股票。以下公司——当我检查时在名单上——位于三个不同的快速增长的行业，每个行业都可能有一条非常有前途的道路。</blockquote></p><p>Tilray: A transformative merger</p><p><blockquote>Tilray：变革性合并</blockquote></p><p>Canadian cannabis company<b>Tilray</b>(NASDAQ:TLRY)is a top Robinhood name that is combining with another of the app users' favorites. Shareholders have approved a merger with<b>Aphria</b>(NASDAQ:APHA)and the newly combined company will take the Tilray name. The new Tilray, which will be one of the largest global cannabis companies, will be led by Aphria CEO Irwin Simon.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大大麻公司<b>蒂尔雷</b>（纳斯达克：TLRY）是Robinhood的一个顶级名字，与另一个应用程序用户的最爱相结合。股东已批准与<b>Aphria</b>（纳斯达克：APHA）新合并的公司将采用Tilray名称。新的Tilray将成为全球最大的大麻公司之一，由Aphria首席执行官Irwin Simon领导。</blockquote></p><p>The deal gives investors an opportunity to own a single cannabis company with strong growth prospects in markets outside of Canada. Tilray has been growing internationally in Europe and beyond. It announced a new distribution agreement with U.K. medical cannabis distributor Grow Pharma under which Tilray's pharmaceutical-grade medical cannabis products will be imported and distributed by Grow Pharma in the U.K.&nbsp;Separately, it announced it had exported its first medical cannabis shipment to Spain, and had received the first and only market authorization for medical cannabis products in Portugal. In March, it also received approval from authorities in New Zealand to launch its medical cannabis products across the country.</p><p><blockquote>该交易使投资者有机会拥有一家在加拿大以外市场具有强劲增长前景的大麻公司。Tilray一直在欧洲及其他地区进行国际化发展。该公司宣布与英国医用大麻经销商Grow Pharma签订新的分销协议，根据该协议，Tilray的医药级医用大麻产品将由Grow Pharma在英国进口和分销。另外，该公司宣布已向西班牙出口了第一批医用大麻，并已获得葡萄牙第一个也是唯一一个医用大麻产品的市场授权。今年3月，该公司还获得了新西兰当局的批准，可以在全国范围内推出其医用大麻产品。</blockquote></p><p>Aphria also has been working on plans to grow outside of Canada. Last year, it bought U.S.-based craft brewer SweetWater Brewing for $300 million as part of a strategy to prepare for potentialfederal marijuana legalizationin the U.S. At the time of the acquisition, Simon said the deal was done for the purposes of \"expanding our addressable market and leveraging SweetWater's existing infrastructure to accelerate Aphria's entry into the U.S. ahead of federal legalization of cannabis.\" There's no guarantee that federal legalization will ever happen, but there has been growing momentum, with Virginia recently becoming the 16th state to legalize recreational marijuana, along with Washington D.C.</p><p><blockquote>Aphria还一直在制定在加拿大以外发展的计划。去年，它以3亿美元收购了美国精酿啤酒制造商SweetWater Brewing，作为为美国联邦大麻合法化做准备的战略的一部分。西蒙在收购时表示，这笔交易的目的是“扩大我们的潜在市场，并利用斯威特沃特现有的基础设施，在联邦大麻合法化之前加速Aphria进入美国。”不能保证联邦大麻合法化会发生，但势头越来越大，弗吉尼亚州最近和华盛顿特区一起成为第16个娱乐性大麻合法化的州。</blockquote></p><p>In its recentfiscal third-quarter earnings call, Aphria told investors that as of the period ended Feb. 28, it was the top licensed producer in Canada,&nbsp;with an overall national market share of 12.1%. Tilray's 2020 revenue grew 26% over 2019. Combining those businesses gives investors a well-rounded way to invest in the cannabis sector.</p><p><blockquote>Aphria在最近的第三财季收益看涨期权中告诉投资者，截至2月28日，它是加拿大最大的许可生产商，全国市场份额为12.1%。Tilray 2020年收入较2019年增长26%。将这些业务结合起来为投资者提供了投资大麻行业的全面方式。</blockquote></p><p>NIO: A massive market opportunity</p><p><blockquote>蔚来：巨大的市场机遇</blockquote></p><p>There is huge potential for growth in theelectric vehicle(EV) sector. Chinese EV maker<b>NIO</b>(NYSE:NIO)is a leader in the world's largest automotive market. There will be plenty of competition, but the company's sales are growing quickly, and it has begun construction on a new manufacturing facility.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车（EV）行业增长潜力巨大。中国电动汽车制造商<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）是全球最大汽车市场的领导者。竞争将会很激烈，但该公司的销售额正在快速增长，并且已经开始建设新的制造工厂。</blockquote></p><p>NIO delivered 20,060 vehiclesin a strong first quarter, a jump of over 400% from the prior-year period. Deliveries in April 2021 grew 125% over last year's April shipments and this speed bump in growing sales has been a factor in the recent decline in the stock price. In late March, the company told investors it is being affected by the global semiconductor shortage -- a headwind being felt by many automakers. It resulted in a five-day suspension in operations that resulted in several days of April production being lost. NIO founder, chairman, and CEO William Li expanded on that topic during the company'sfirst-quarter conference call&nbsp;last week. Li said the company now expects the supply chain problems will \"continue to linger.\"</p><p><blockquote>蔚来第一季度交付了20,060辆汽车，较去年同期增长超过400%。2021年4月的交付量比去年4月的交付量增长了125%，销售额增长的减速是近期股价下跌的一个因素。3月下旬，该公司告诉投资者，它正受到全球半导体短缺的影响——许多汽车制造商都感受到了这一阻力。这导致运营暂停五天，导致四月份几天的生产损失。蔚来创始人、董事长兼首席执行官李威廉在上周的公司第一季度电话会议上详细阐述了这个话题。李表示，该公司现在预计供应链问题将“继续存在”。</blockquote></p><p>NIO has several things investors should be excited about. Its new ET7 luxury sedan that will be available early next year expands its offerings beyond its current SUV designs. It is also expanding anetwork of battery swap and recharging stationsthat should help demand grow throughout the country, and bring NIO a growing income stream from the service. And NIO plans to expand beyond China. It recntly announcedan upcoming news conferencewhere it will detail plans to enter the European market, beginning with Norway.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来有几件事值得投资者感到兴奋。其新款ET7豪华轿车将于明年初上市，其产品范围超出了目前的SUV设计。它还在扩大电池交换和充电站网络，这将有助于全国需求的增长，并为蔚来带来不断增长的服务收入来源。而蔚来计划在中国以外地区扩张。该公司最近在即将举行的新闻发布会上宣布，将详细介绍从挪威开始进入欧洲市场的计划。</blockquote></p><p>NIO is still growing toward profitability and is worth a look for investors comfortable with risk as the EV market is expected to soar. Only 1.7 million EVs were sold in 2020, but industry research provider BloombergNEF expects that will reach 26 million by 2030, and more than double from there over the following 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来仍在朝着盈利的方向发展，随着电动汽车市场预计将飙升，值得愿意承担风险的投资者关注。2020年电动汽车销量仅为170万辆，但行业研究提供商BloombergNEF预计，到2030年，这一数字将达到2600万辆，并在未来10年内翻一番以上。</blockquote></p><p>Peloton: Keeping up with demand</p><p><blockquote>Peloton：跟上需求</blockquote></p><p></p><p>At-home exercise equipment maker<b>Peloton Interactive</b>(NASDAQ:PTON)reported its 2021 fiscal second-quarter financial results in February, with total quarterly revenue surpassing $1 billion for the first time. That was a 128% year-over-year jump. The company also updated investors on a big problem -- addressing long order-to-delivery times. For investors, that can be a good problem to have, highlighting the popularity of the company's bike and treadmill products.</p><p><blockquote>家用运动器材制造商<b>Peloton互动</b>（纳斯达克：PTON）在2月份公布了2021财年第二季度财务业绩，季度总收入首次超过10亿美元。同比增长128%。该公司还向投资者通报了一个大问题的最新情况——解决订单到交付时间过长的问题。对于投资者来说，这可能是一个好问题，凸显了该公司自行车和跑步机产品的受欢迎程度。</blockquote></p><p>One way Peloton responded was to acquire commercial fitness equipment provider Precor. In addition to bringing Peloton into the non-residential side of the market with customers including fitness clubs, hotels, and corporate facilities, it also brought what the company calls \"a significant U.S. manufacturing presence.\" Peloton had already been growing its global manufacturing output, and is in the process of ramping up production at a new factory in Taiwan. The company believes that the combination of added production and easing of supply chain disruptions caused by the pandemic will allow it improve its delivery backlog in the coming months.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton的应对方式之一是收购商业健身设备提供商Precor。除了将Peloton带入非住宅市场，客户包括健身俱乐部、酒店和企业设施之外，它还带来了该公司评级所说的“重要的美国制造业务”。Peloton的全球制造产量已经在增长，并且正在提高台湾一家新工厂的产量。该公司认为，产量的增加和疫情造成的供应链中断的缓解相结合，将使其在未来几个月改善交付积压。</blockquote></p><p>Recent negative publicity surrounding accidents involving the company's treadmills has contributed to a stock price decline. Investors should hear more about deliveries and the safety concern whenPeloton reports its fiscal third quarter2021 earnings on May 6. If the company continues to improve the delivery time frame and demand remains high, today'sprice-to-sales ratioof about 10 makes for a reasonable entry point for those willing to wait for the growth story to play out.</p><p><blockquote>最近围绕该公司跑步机事故的负面宣传导致股价下跌。当Peloton于5月6日公布2021财年第三季度收益时，投资者应该会听到更多有关交付和安全问题的信息。如果该公司继续改善交货时间并且需求仍然很高，那么今天约10的市销率对于那些愿意等待增长故事上演的人来说是一个合理的切入点。</blockquote></p><p>Why to buy now</p><p><blockquote>为什么现在购买</blockquote></p><p>Each of these companies has a compelling growth story, but each also comes with notable risks. For various reasons, the stocks have all declined at least 20% over the past two months, which could make for an attractive buy-in price.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa2b719b2c3f80dfeb968e76296eff81\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"452\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Robinhood investors have these stocks among the list of favorites for good reason. For those with the right risk tolerance and time frame, they provide a diverse mix with the potential for high growth for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司都有引人注目的增长故事，但每家公司也都存在显着的风险。由于各种原因，这些股票在过去两个月内均下跌了至少20%，这可能是一个有吸引力的买入价格。Robinhood投资者将这些股票列入最爱名单是有充分理由的。对于那些具有适当风险承受能力和时间框架的人来说，它们提供了多样化的组合，具有未来几年高增长的潜力。</blockquote></p><p>Should you invest $1,000 in NIO Inc. right now?</p><p><blockquote>您现在应该在蔚来投资1,000美元吗？</blockquote></p><p>Before you consider NIO Inc., you'll want to hear this.</p><p><blockquote>在你考虑蔚来之前，你会想听听这个。</blockquote></p><p>Investing legends and Motley Fool Co-founders David and Tom Gardner just revealed what they believe are the<b>10 best stocks</b>for investors to buy right now... and NIO Inc. wasn't one of them.</p><p><blockquote>Investing legends和Motley Fool联合创始人David和Tom Gardner刚刚透露了他们认为的<b>10只最佳股票</b>供投资者立即购买...蔚来不在其中。</blockquote></p><p>The online investing service they've run for nearly two decades,<i>Motley Fool Stock Advisor</i>, has beaten the stock market by over 4X.* And right now, they think there are 10 stocks that are better buys.</p><p><blockquote>他们经营了近二十年的在线投资服务，<i>杂色傻瓜股票顾问</i>，比股市高出4倍以上。*目前，他们认为有10只股票更值得买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/03/3-top-robinhood-stocks-to-buy-in-may/\">The motley fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"APHA":"Aphria Inc.","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","EV":"MAST GLOBAL BATTERY RECYCLING & PRODUCTION ETF","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/03/3-top-robinhood-stocks-to-buy-in-may/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152583167","content_text":"Some Robinhood traders looking for what to buy in May might be planning to sell by June. But among the favorite stocks of users of the app are some that should be good investments to hold for many years.Owning the names on this list isn't for the faint of heart. But many Robinhood investors like aggressive investments, and the list of the most popular names on the app is crowded with risky stocks. The following companies -- on the list when I checked -- are in three different fast-growing sectors, and each could have a very promising road ahead.Tilray: A transformative mergerCanadian cannabis companyTilray(NASDAQ:TLRY)is a top Robinhood name that is combining with another of the app users' favorites. Shareholders have approved a merger withAphria(NASDAQ:APHA)and the newly combined company will take the Tilray name. The new Tilray, which will be one of the largest global cannabis companies, will be led by Aphria CEO Irwin Simon.The deal gives investors an opportunity to own a single cannabis company with strong growth prospects in markets outside of Canada. Tilray has been growing internationally in Europe and beyond. It announced a new distribution agreement with U.K. medical cannabis distributor Grow Pharma under which Tilray's pharmaceutical-grade medical cannabis products will be imported and distributed by Grow Pharma in the U.K. Separately, it announced it had exported its first medical cannabis shipment to Spain, and had received the first and only market authorization for medical cannabis products in Portugal. In March, it also received approval from authorities in New Zealand to launch its medical cannabis products across the country.Aphria also has been working on plans to grow outside of Canada. Last year, it bought U.S.-based craft brewer SweetWater Brewing for $300 million as part of a strategy to prepare for potentialfederal marijuana legalizationin the U.S. At the time of the acquisition, Simon said the deal was done for the purposes of \"expanding our addressable market and leveraging SweetWater's existing infrastructure to accelerate Aphria's entry into the U.S. ahead of federal legalization of cannabis.\" There's no guarantee that federal legalization will ever happen, but there has been growing momentum, with Virginia recently becoming the 16th state to legalize recreational marijuana, along with Washington D.C.In its recentfiscal third-quarter earnings call, Aphria told investors that as of the period ended Feb. 28, it was the top licensed producer in Canada, with an overall national market share of 12.1%. Tilray's 2020 revenue grew 26% over 2019. Combining those businesses gives investors a well-rounded way to invest in the cannabis sector.NIO: A massive market opportunityThere is huge potential for growth in theelectric vehicle(EV) sector. Chinese EV makerNIO(NYSE:NIO)is a leader in the world's largest automotive market. There will be plenty of competition, but the company's sales are growing quickly, and it has begun construction on a new manufacturing facility.NIO delivered 20,060 vehiclesin a strong first quarter, a jump of over 400% from the prior-year period. Deliveries in April 2021 grew 125% over last year's April shipments and this speed bump in growing sales has been a factor in the recent decline in the stock price. In late March, the company told investors it is being affected by the global semiconductor shortage -- a headwind being felt by many automakers. It resulted in a five-day suspension in operations that resulted in several days of April production being lost. NIO founder, chairman, and CEO William Li expanded on that topic during the company'sfirst-quarter conference call last week. Li said the company now expects the supply chain problems will \"continue to linger.\"NIO has several things investors should be excited about. Its new ET7 luxury sedan that will be available early next year expands its offerings beyond its current SUV designs. It is also expanding anetwork of battery swap and recharging stationsthat should help demand grow throughout the country, and bring NIO a growing income stream from the service. And NIO plans to expand beyond China. It recntly announcedan upcoming news conferencewhere it will detail plans to enter the European market, beginning with Norway.NIO is still growing toward profitability and is worth a look for investors comfortable with risk as the EV market is expected to soar. Only 1.7 million EVs were sold in 2020, but industry research provider BloombergNEF expects that will reach 26 million by 2030, and more than double from there over the following 10 years.Peloton: Keeping up with demandAt-home exercise equipment makerPeloton Interactive(NASDAQ:PTON)reported its 2021 fiscal second-quarter financial results in February, with total quarterly revenue surpassing $1 billion for the first time. That was a 128% year-over-year jump. The company also updated investors on a big problem -- addressing long order-to-delivery times. For investors, that can be a good problem to have, highlighting the popularity of the company's bike and treadmill products.One way Peloton responded was to acquire commercial fitness equipment provider Precor. In addition to bringing Peloton into the non-residential side of the market with customers including fitness clubs, hotels, and corporate facilities, it also brought what the company calls \"a significant U.S. manufacturing presence.\" Peloton had already been growing its global manufacturing output, and is in the process of ramping up production at a new factory in Taiwan. The company believes that the combination of added production and easing of supply chain disruptions caused by the pandemic will allow it improve its delivery backlog in the coming months.Recent negative publicity surrounding accidents involving the company's treadmills has contributed to a stock price decline. Investors should hear more about deliveries and the safety concern whenPeloton reports its fiscal third quarter2021 earnings on May 6. If the company continues to improve the delivery time frame and demand remains high, today'sprice-to-sales ratioof about 10 makes for a reasonable entry point for those willing to wait for the growth story to play out.Why to buy nowEach of these companies has a compelling growth story, but each also comes with notable risks. For various reasons, the stocks have all declined at least 20% over the past two months, which could make for an attractive buy-in price.Robinhood investors have these stocks among the list of favorites for good reason. For those with the right risk tolerance and time frame, they provide a diverse mix with the potential for high growth for years to come.Should you invest $1,000 in NIO Inc. right now?Before you consider NIO Inc., you'll want to hear this.Investing legends and Motley Fool Co-founders David and Tom Gardner just revealed what they believe are the10 best stocksfor investors to buy right now... and NIO Inc. wasn't one of them.The online investing service they've run for nearly two decades,Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has beaten the stock market by over 4X.* And right now, they think there are 10 stocks that are better buys.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"APHA":0.9,"TLRY":0.9,"PTON":0.9,"EV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182724084,"gmtCreate":1623622912148,"gmtModify":1631890767258,"author":{"id":"3581978086195615","authorId":"3581978086195615","name":"KeppelTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a286c453e18361df44a005b4226cc8","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581978086195615","idStr":"3581978086195615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Micr","listText":"Micr","text":"Micr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182724084","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}