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sh99

sh99

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2022-01-18

like pls

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2022-01-17

like

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2022-01-17

like

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2022-01-15

like

HOOD Stock Alert: Why Did Robinhood Just Hit a 52-Week Low?<blockquote>HOOD股票警报：为什么Robinhood刚刚触及52周低点？</blockquote>

2022-01-14

love pls

Nvidia Could Be the Stock of the Decade, so Make the Most of Its Pullback<blockquote>英伟达可能成为十年来的股票，所以要充分利用它的回调</blockquote>

2022-01-13

like le

Activists behind Shell Climate Verdict Target 30 Multinationals<blockquote>壳牌气候裁决背后的活动人士瞄准了30家跨国公司</blockquote>

2022-01-12

like pls

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2022-01-11

like pls

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2022-01-10

likenpls

Trump Stocks Tumbled in Morning Trading, with DWAC and Phunware Down Over 5%<blockquote>特朗普股票早盘暴跌，DWAC和Phunware跌超5%</blockquote>

2022-01-09

like pls

Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>

2022-01-08

why

The Year’s First Three IPOs All Struggled. This Is Why.<blockquote>今年前三次IPO都举步维艰。这就是为什么。</blockquote>

2022-01-07

still

The tech sell-off sparked by hawkish Fed minutes is a major buying opportunity for investors, Wedbush says<blockquote>韦德布什表示，鹰派美联储会议纪要引发的科技股抛售对投资者来说是一个重大买入机会</blockquote>

2022-01-06

lol

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2022-01-05

like pls

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2022-01-04

hey lol

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2022-01-03

like pls

China to Cut EV Subsidies By 30% In 2022: What That Means For Tesla, Nio, XPeng And Others<blockquote>中国将在2022年将电动汽车补贴削减30%：这对特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车等公司意味着什么</blockquote>

2022-01-02

hi

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2022-01-01

like pls

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2021-12-31

like pls

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2021-12-30

good

How Elon Musk’s Software Focus Helped Tesla Navigate Chip Shortage<blockquote>Elon Musk的软件重点如何帮助特斯拉应对芯片短缺</blockquote>

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07:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"HOOD Stock Alert: Why Did Robinhood Just Hit a 52-Week Low?<blockquote>HOOD股票警报：为什么Robinhood刚刚触及52周低点？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102579628","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Investment trading platform Robinhood(NASDAQ:HOOD) is in the red today as recent crypto talk failed ","content":"<p><div> Investment trading platform Robinhood(NASDAQ:HOOD) is in the red today as recent crypto talk failed to lift the popular application. HOOD stock is trending near its all-time low today as investors ...</p><p><blockquote><div>投资交易平台Robinhood（纳斯达克股票代码：HOOD）今天出现亏损，因为最近的加密货币讨论未能提振这一流行应用程序。HOOD股票今天接近历史低点，因为投资者...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/hood-stock-alert-why-did-robinhood-just-hit-a-52-week-low/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/hood-stock-alert-why-did-robinhood-just-hit-a-52-week-low/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>HOOD Stock Alert: Why Did Robinhood Just Hit a 52-Week Low?<blockquote>HOOD股票警报：为什么Robinhood刚刚触及52周低点？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHOOD Stock Alert: Why Did Robinhood Just Hit a 52-Week Low?<blockquote>HOOD股票警报：为什么Robinhood刚刚触及52周低点？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-15 07:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Investment trading platform Robinhood(NASDAQ:HOOD) is in the red today as recent crypto talk failed to lift the popular application. HOOD stock is trending near its all-time low today as investors ...</p><p><blockquote><div>投资交易平台Robinhood（纳斯达克股票代码：HOOD）今天出现亏损，因为最近的加密货币讨论未能提振这一流行应用程序。HOOD股票今天接近历史低点，因为投资者...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/hood-stock-alert-why-did-robinhood-just-hit-a-52-week-low/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/hood-stock-alert-why-did-robinhood-just-hit-a-52-week-low/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/hood-stock-alert-why-did-robinhood-just-hit-a-52-week-low/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HOOD":"Robinhood"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/hood-stock-alert-why-did-robinhood-just-hit-a-52-week-low/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102579628","content_text":"Investment trading platform Robinhood(NASDAQ:HOOD) is in the red today as recent crypto talk failed to lift the popular application. HOOD stock is trending near its all-time low today as investors clamor to figure out what’s pulling the company down.So, what’s going on with Robinhood lately?Robinhood went public just this past July, opening at $38 a share, at the low end of its expected range. Since then, it’s generally seen a progressive decline. Today’s drop down to $15.17 comes as seemingly the latest deflationary force on the already troubled stock. The reason behind the decline? It’s somewhat unclear.Robinhood has been anticipating the addition of meme-coin darling Shiba Inu(CCC:SHIB-USD) since December. The coin is expected to make its debut on the trading platform this month, prompting strong gains for the coin. Unfortunately, the addition doesn’t imply any sort of upside for Robinhood, other than a flashy advertisement for the coin’s listing.What else do you need to know about Robinhood today?HOOD Stock Sees Drop After CFO CommentsToday, Jason Warnick, chief financial officer of Robinhood, had ominous words for the headline-grabbing SHIB listing rumors. “It’s not lost on us that our customers and others would like to see us add more coins,” he said. However, he declined to offer any confirmation as to the addition of the token to Robinhood’s crypto selection.Instead, Warnick highlighted the transparency necessary to add new coins to its offering, as a consequence of its recent public offering. Not exactly inspiring words for crypto bulls or Robinhood users eager to purchase SHIB.HOOD is ending the day down 0.85%. Whether this proves the last of Robinhood’s decline remains to be seen.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HOOD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694727275,"gmtCreate":1642131684558,"gmtModify":1642131684879,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"love pls","listText":"love pls","text":"love pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694727275","repostId":"1130657022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130657022","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642129591,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130657022?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-14 11:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Could Be the Stock of the Decade, so Make the Most of Its Pullback<blockquote>英伟达可能成为十年来的股票，所以要充分利用它的回调</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130657022","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA), a fast-growing semiconductor innovator, has been a star in the past few years. ","content":"<p><div> Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA), a fast-growing semiconductor innovator, has been a star in the past few years. NVDA stock has gained massive growth momentum and is one of the hottest stocks on the market today....</p><p><blockquote><div>英伟达（纳斯达克股票代码：NVDA）是一家快速发展的半导体创新者，在过去几年中一直是明星。NVDA股票获得了巨大的增长动力，是当今市场上最热门的股票之一....</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/nvidia-could-be-the-stock-of-the-decade-so-make-the-most-of-its-pullback/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/nvidia-could-be-the-stock-of-the-decade-so-make-the-most-of-its-pullback/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Could Be the Stock of the Decade, so Make the Most of Its Pullback<blockquote>英伟达可能成为十年来的股票，所以要充分利用它的回调</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Could Be the Stock of the Decade, so Make the Most of Its Pullback<blockquote>英伟达可能成为十年来的股票，所以要充分利用它的回调</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-14 11:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA), a fast-growing semiconductor innovator, has been a star in the past few years. NVDA stock has gained massive growth momentum and is one of the hottest stocks on the market today....</p><p><blockquote><div>英伟达（纳斯达克股票代码：NVDA）是一家快速发展的半导体创新者，在过去几年中一直是明星。NVDA股票获得了巨大的增长动力，是当今市场上最热门的股票之一....</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/nvidia-could-be-the-stock-of-the-decade-so-make-the-most-of-its-pullback/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/nvidia-could-be-the-stock-of-the-decade-so-make-the-most-of-its-pullback/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/nvidia-could-be-the-stock-of-the-decade-so-make-the-most-of-its-pullback/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/nvidia-could-be-the-stock-of-the-decade-so-make-the-most-of-its-pullback/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130657022","content_text":"Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA), a fast-growing semiconductor innovator, has been a star in the past few years. NVDA stock has gained massive growth momentum and is one of the hottest stocks on the market today.The company’s shares have soared more than 700% since 2019 and generated massive returns for investors. It went from about $60 in March 2020 to $130 in August of the same year, and has moved up from that level since February 2021.In July 2021, it temporarily peaked at $200 and then went as high as $346 in November 2021. However, NVDA stock has since declined from the highs and is currently trading at $269.Nvidia has dropped more than 20% since its recent highs and has yet to recover. This dip is a great chance to own this hot tech stock.Nvidia Could Rule This DecadeAn exciting company in the semiconductor industry, Nvidia has shown tremendous growth in the past few years. It is consistently producing chips using next-generation technologies like data analysis and artificial intelligence (AI) development.Nvidia has set a gold standard for chipmakers, and the company’s growth story is nothing short of remarkable. It enjoys a solid position in the industry and holds a huge share of the graphics processing unit (GPU) market.The demand for Nvidia’s GPUs is growing by leaps and bounds, which in turn is supporting the company’s massive portfolio. It is known for reporting blow-out revenues each quarter and has consistently beat analyst estimates. The fourth quarter results could be huge for the company and take NVDA stock back to its previous highs.Nvidia is dominating the GPU market with no close competitors. If the company can manage its position in the coming years, it could be the stock of the decade. It has already made strong moves with its cloud platform,GeForce Now. The program allows gamers to use the high speed and latest technology featured in the company’s GPUs with their computer without owning the physical graphics card.Nvidia has become a part of several industries including gaming, autonomous driving, data centers, cryptocurrency and AI. It is catering to some of the biggest clients in the industry and as their revenue grows, Nvidia’s revenue will also grow.What Analysts Are Saying About NVDA StockThe current dip in NVDA stock is a good chance to add it to your portfolio. Despite the pullback, the stock is a hot buy and the company enjoys a market valuation of $670 billion.This is one stock that is only going to win in the coming months. There is a lot working in favor of Nvidia, and it will continue to reflect on the bottom line.Citi analyst Atif Malik has put NVDA on a“positive catalyst watch.”The analyst believes the strong holiday season and expected supply improvements in the gaming segment will work as a catalyst for the company.Further, Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya has a buy rating for the stock with a target price of $375. The analyst is confident in Nvidia’s momentum in data centers and gaming. Arya believes the company is in a position to address “secular growth opportunities.”The Bottom Line on NVDA StockThis is the stock to own for the decade. I believe the higher valuation of NVDA stock is based on high expectations from the company.The company’s strength and growth potential will certainly lead to higher revenue and earnings growth. All in all, NVDA stock is a solid investment that can generate significant results for investors in the long run.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694559305,"gmtCreate":1642051898013,"gmtModify":1642051898293,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like le","listText":"like le","text":"like le","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694559305","repostId":"1166732856","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166732856","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642043763,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166732856?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-13 11:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Activists behind Shell Climate Verdict Target 30 Multinationals<blockquote>壳牌气候裁决背后的活动人士瞄准了30家跨国公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166732856","media":"Reuters","summary":"The Dutch wing of environmental group Friends of the Earth, which won a landmark court victory again","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The Dutch wing of environmental group Friends of the Earth, which won a landmark court victory against Royal Dutch Shell last year, is targeting 30 major corporate emitters in a campaign launched on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>环保组织“地球之友”的荷兰分支去年在法庭上对荷兰皇家壳牌公司取得了具有里程碑意义的胜利，在周四发起的一场运动中，该组织的目标是30家主要企业排放者。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Milieudefensie has set its sights on large companies with legal bases in the Netherlands, where a court ruled in May that Shell must reduce its environmental footprint.</p><p><blockquote>Milieudefensie将目光投向了在荷兰拥有法律基础的大公司，荷兰法院于5月裁定壳牌必须减少其环境足迹。</blockquote></p><p>The heads of the companies were being sent letters demanding that they provide plans outlining how they will trim emissions by 45% from 2019 levels by 2030, in line with the Paris climate accord. A failure to do so may result in legal action, said Peer de Rijk, policy officer at Milieudefensie.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司的负责人收到了信件，要求他们提供计划，概述如何根据巴黎气候协议，到2030年将排放量从2019年的水平减少45%。Milieudefensie的政策官员Peer de Rijk表示，如果不这样做，可能会导致法律诉讼。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;We are very clear that in the end, if needed, we are willing to go to court. But of course we are hoping these companies will be moving by themselves,&#34; De Rijk told Reuters in an interview.</p><p><blockquote>德里克在接受路透社采访时表示：“我们非常清楚，最终，如果需要，我们愿意诉诸法庭。但我们当然希望这些公司能够自行采取行动。”</blockquote></p><p>&#34;We are willing to engage in talks, but we are in a hurry as well, so we won&#39;t accept talks for the sake of talks themselves,&#34; he said. &#34;Climate science is very clear. This is exactly what is needed. ...There is no choice so they will just have to.&#34;</p><p><blockquote>他说：“我们愿意进行会谈，但我们也很着急，所以我们不会为了会谈本身而接受会谈。”“气候科学非常清楚。这正是所需要的。……别无选择，所以他们只能这样做。”</blockquote></p><p>Shell is appealing against The Hague district court order to cut emissions in line with the 2015 Paris agreement.</p><p><blockquote>壳牌正在对海牙地方法院根据2015年《巴黎协定》减排的命令提出上诉。</blockquote></p><p>Among leaders in finance, retailers, oil and energy majors, builders and industrial manufacturers on the list are KLM, the Dutch arm of airline Air France KLM, ABN Amro bank and supermarket operator Ahold Delhaize.</p><p><blockquote>上榜的金融、零售商、石油和能源巨头、建筑商和工业制造商的领导者包括荷航、法航荷航的荷兰分公司、荷兰银行和超市运营商Ahold Delhaize。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;You lead an enterprise with control over and influence on a substantial amount of CO2 emissions. An enterprise that can and must contribute to the system change necessary to prevent dangerous climate change,&#34; a draft letter seen by Reuters said, asking: &#34;Are you a frontrunner or a straggler?&#34;</p><p><blockquote>路透社看到的一封信草稿称：“你领导的企业对大量二氧化碳排放有控制权和影响力。一家能够而且必须为防止危险的气候变化所必需的系统变革做出贡献的企业。”信中问道：“你是领跑者还是掉队者？”</blockquote></p><p>Some of the businesses are &#34;small in the Netherlands itself, but they have a very large, international, global impact and the Shell verdict very clearly states that it is ...possible to hold them accountable for their global emissions via the Dutch law,&#34; he said.</p><p><blockquote>一些企业“在荷兰本身规模很小，但它们具有非常大的国际、全球影响，壳牌的裁决非常明确地指出……有可能通过荷兰法律让他们对全球排放负责，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>MID-APRIL DEADLINE</p><p><blockquote>4月中旬截止日期</blockquote></p><p>The move by Milieudefensie follows a commitment by countries to accelerate their emissions reductions at the COP26 climate talks in Glasgow in November, with investors managing $130 trillion in assets signing up to net-zero and pressuring companies to ensure their plans are good enough.</p><p><blockquote>在Milieudefensie采取这一举措之前，各国在11月格拉斯哥举行的COP26气候谈判上承诺加速减排，管理着130万亿美元资产的投资者签署了净零排放协议，并向企业施压，要求其确保其计划足够好。</blockquote></p><p>The broadening out of Milieudefensie&#39;s campaign also comes against a backdrop of increased climate-related litigation globally, with more than 1,000 cases brought since 2015, research from the London School of Economics showed.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦经济学院的研究显示，Milieudefensie运动的扩大也是在全球气候相关诉讼增加的背景下进行的，自2015年以来，已有1000多起案件被提起。</blockquote></p><p>Milieudefensie, which said it had been approached by scores of concerned companies after the Shell verdict, set a three-month deadline until April 15 for the companies to present a climate plan.</p><p><blockquote>Milieudefensie表示，壳牌判决后，数十家相关公司已与该公司接洽，并为这些公司设定了在4月15日之前提交气候计划的三个月期限。</blockquote></p><p>They will be used to set an emissions baseline against which the companies&#39; progress in cutting climate-heating gasses can be measured, the group said.</p><p><blockquote>该组织表示，它们将用于设定排放基线，根据该基线可以衡量公司在减少气候变暖气体方面的进展。</blockquote></p><p>KLM said that while it could not comment in detail until it had formally received the letter, it has committed to aligning its net-zero pathway with climate science, and planned to use more sustainable aviation fuel.</p><p><blockquote>荷航表示，虽然在正式收到这封信之前无法详细评论，但它已承诺将其净零排放路径与气候科学保持一致，并计划使用更可持续的航空燃料。</blockquote></p><p>An ABN spokesperson said the bank supported efforts to limit global warming and was working to reduce emissions from its lending, including by encouraging homeowners to improve the energy efficiency of their homes and increasing its lending for renewable energy.</p><p><blockquote>荷兰银行发言人表示，该银行支持限制全球变暖的努力，并正在努力减少其贷款的排放，包括鼓励房主提高房屋的能源效率并增加对可再生能源的贷款。</blockquote></p><p>An Ahold spokesperson was not immediately available to comment.</p><p><blockquote>Ahold发言人没有立即发表评论。</blockquote></p><p>In addition to targeting companies, Milieudefensie also called on the government in the Netherlands to enshrine the Paris accord in Dutch law to ensure corporate compliance.</p><p><blockquote>除了针对公司，Milieudefensie还呼吁荷兰政府将《巴黎协定》纳入荷兰法律，以确保企业合规。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Activists behind Shell Climate Verdict Target 30 Multinationals<blockquote>壳牌气候裁决背后的活动人士瞄准了30家跨国公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nActivists behind Shell Climate Verdict Target 30 Multinationals<blockquote>壳牌气候裁决背后的活动人士瞄准了30家跨国公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-13 11:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The Dutch wing of environmental group Friends of the Earth, which won a landmark court victory against Royal Dutch Shell last year, is targeting 30 major corporate emitters in a campaign launched on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>环保组织“地球之友”的荷兰分支去年在法庭上对荷兰皇家壳牌公司取得了具有里程碑意义的胜利，在周四发起的一场运动中，该组织的目标是30家主要企业排放者。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Milieudefensie has set its sights on large companies with legal bases in the Netherlands, where a court ruled in May that Shell must reduce its environmental footprint.</p><p><blockquote>Milieudefensie将目光投向了在荷兰拥有法律基础的大公司，荷兰法院于5月裁定壳牌必须减少其环境足迹。</blockquote></p><p>The heads of the companies were being sent letters demanding that they provide plans outlining how they will trim emissions by 45% from 2019 levels by 2030, in line with the Paris climate accord. A failure to do so may result in legal action, said Peer de Rijk, policy officer at Milieudefensie.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司的负责人收到了信件，要求他们提供计划，概述如何根据巴黎气候协议，到2030年将排放量从2019年的水平减少45%。Milieudefensie的政策官员Peer de Rijk表示，如果不这样做，可能会导致法律诉讼。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;We are very clear that in the end, if needed, we are willing to go to court. But of course we are hoping these companies will be moving by themselves,&#34; De Rijk told Reuters in an interview.</p><p><blockquote>德里克在接受路透社采访时表示：“我们非常清楚，最终，如果需要，我们愿意诉诸法庭。但我们当然希望这些公司能够自行采取行动。”</blockquote></p><p>&#34;We are willing to engage in talks, but we are in a hurry as well, so we won&#39;t accept talks for the sake of talks themselves,&#34; he said. &#34;Climate science is very clear. This is exactly what is needed. ...There is no choice so they will just have to.&#34;</p><p><blockquote>他说：“我们愿意进行会谈，但我们也很着急，所以我们不会为了会谈本身而接受会谈。”“气候科学非常清楚。这正是所需要的。……别无选择，所以他们只能这样做。”</blockquote></p><p>Shell is appealing against The Hague district court order to cut emissions in line with the 2015 Paris agreement.</p><p><blockquote>壳牌正在对海牙地方法院根据2015年《巴黎协定》减排的命令提出上诉。</blockquote></p><p>Among leaders in finance, retailers, oil and energy majors, builders and industrial manufacturers on the list are KLM, the Dutch arm of airline Air France KLM, ABN Amro bank and supermarket operator Ahold Delhaize.</p><p><blockquote>上榜的金融、零售商、石油和能源巨头、建筑商和工业制造商的领导者包括荷航、法航荷航的荷兰分公司、荷兰银行和超市运营商Ahold Delhaize。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;You lead an enterprise with control over and influence on a substantial amount of CO2 emissions. An enterprise that can and must contribute to the system change necessary to prevent dangerous climate change,&#34; a draft letter seen by Reuters said, asking: &#34;Are you a frontrunner or a straggler?&#34;</p><p><blockquote>路透社看到的一封信草稿称：“你领导的企业对大量二氧化碳排放有控制权和影响力。一家能够而且必须为防止危险的气候变化所必需的系统变革做出贡献的企业。”信中问道：“你是领跑者还是掉队者？”</blockquote></p><p>Some of the businesses are &#34;small in the Netherlands itself, but they have a very large, international, global impact and the Shell verdict very clearly states that it is ...possible to hold them accountable for their global emissions via the Dutch law,&#34; he said.</p><p><blockquote>一些企业“在荷兰本身规模很小，但它们具有非常大的国际、全球影响，壳牌的裁决非常明确地指出……有可能通过荷兰法律让他们对全球排放负责，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>MID-APRIL DEADLINE</p><p><blockquote>4月中旬截止日期</blockquote></p><p>The move by Milieudefensie follows a commitment by countries to accelerate their emissions reductions at the COP26 climate talks in Glasgow in November, with investors managing $130 trillion in assets signing up to net-zero and pressuring companies to ensure their plans are good enough.</p><p><blockquote>在Milieudefensie采取这一举措之前，各国在11月格拉斯哥举行的COP26气候谈判上承诺加速减排，管理着130万亿美元资产的投资者签署了净零排放协议，并向企业施压，要求其确保其计划足够好。</blockquote></p><p>The broadening out of Milieudefensie&#39;s campaign also comes against a backdrop of increased climate-related litigation globally, with more than 1,000 cases brought since 2015, research from the London School of Economics showed.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦经济学院的研究显示，Milieudefensie运动的扩大也是在全球气候相关诉讼增加的背景下进行的，自2015年以来，已有1000多起案件被提起。</blockquote></p><p>Milieudefensie, which said it had been approached by scores of concerned companies after the Shell verdict, set a three-month deadline until April 15 for the companies to present a climate plan.</p><p><blockquote>Milieudefensie表示，壳牌判决后，数十家相关公司已与该公司接洽，并为这些公司设定了在4月15日之前提交气候计划的三个月期限。</blockquote></p><p>They will be used to set an emissions baseline against which the companies&#39; progress in cutting climate-heating gasses can be measured, the group said.</p><p><blockquote>该组织表示，它们将用于设定排放基线，根据该基线可以衡量公司在减少气候变暖气体方面的进展。</blockquote></p><p>KLM said that while it could not comment in detail until it had formally received the letter, it has committed to aligning its net-zero pathway with climate science, and planned to use more sustainable aviation fuel.</p><p><blockquote>荷航表示，虽然在正式收到这封信之前无法详细评论，但它已承诺将其净零排放路径与气候科学保持一致，并计划使用更可持续的航空燃料。</blockquote></p><p>An ABN spokesperson said the bank supported efforts to limit global warming and was working to reduce emissions from its lending, including by encouraging homeowners to improve the energy efficiency of their homes and increasing its lending for renewable energy.</p><p><blockquote>荷兰银行发言人表示，该银行支持限制全球变暖的努力，并正在努力减少其贷款的排放，包括鼓励房主提高房屋的能源效率并增加对可再生能源的贷款。</blockquote></p><p>An Ahold spokesperson was not immediately available to comment.</p><p><blockquote>Ahold发言人没有立即发表评论。</blockquote></p><p>In addition to targeting companies, Milieudefensie also called on the government in the Netherlands to enshrine the Paris accord in Dutch law to ensure corporate compliance.</p><p><blockquote>除了针对公司，Milieudefensie还呼吁荷兰政府将《巴黎协定》纳入荷兰法律，以确保企业合规。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/activists-behind-shell-climate-verdict-030545711.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RDS.A":"荷兰皇家壳牌石油A类股"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/activists-behind-shell-climate-verdict-030545711.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166732856","content_text":"The Dutch wing of environmental group Friends of the Earth, which won a landmark court victory against Royal Dutch Shell last year, is targeting 30 major corporate emitters in a campaign launched on Thursday.Milieudefensie has set its sights on large companies with legal bases in the Netherlands, where a court ruled in May that Shell must reduce its environmental footprint.The heads of the companies were being sent letters demanding that they provide plans outlining how they will trim emissions by 45% from 2019 levels by 2030, in line with the Paris climate accord. A failure to do so may result in legal action, said Peer de Rijk, policy officer at Milieudefensie.\"We are very clear that in the end, if needed, we are willing to go to court. But of course we are hoping these companies will be moving by themselves,\" De Rijk told Reuters in an interview.\"We are willing to engage in talks, but we are in a hurry as well, so we won't accept talks for the sake of talks themselves,\" he said. \"Climate science is very clear. This is exactly what is needed. ...There is no choice so they will just have to.\"Shell is appealing against The Hague district court order to cut emissions in line with the 2015 Paris agreement.Among leaders in finance, retailers, oil and energy majors, builders and industrial manufacturers on the list are KLM, the Dutch arm of airline Air France KLM, ABN Amro bank and supermarket operator Ahold Delhaize.\"You lead an enterprise with control over and influence on a substantial amount of CO2 emissions. An enterprise that can and must contribute to the system change necessary to prevent dangerous climate change,\" a draft letter seen by Reuters said, asking: \"Are you a frontrunner or a straggler?\"Some of the businesses are \"small in the Netherlands itself, but they have a very large, international, global impact and the Shell verdict very clearly states that it is ...possible to hold them accountable for their global emissions via the Dutch law,\" he said.MID-APRIL DEADLINEThe move by Milieudefensie follows a commitment by countries to accelerate their emissions reductions at the COP26 climate talks in Glasgow in November, with investors managing $130 trillion in assets signing up to net-zero and pressuring companies to ensure their plans are good enough.The broadening out of Milieudefensie's campaign also comes against a backdrop of increased climate-related litigation globally, with more than 1,000 cases brought since 2015, research from the London School of Economics showed.Milieudefensie, which said it had been approached by scores of concerned companies after the Shell verdict, set a three-month deadline until April 15 for the companies to present a climate plan.They will be used to set an emissions baseline against which the companies' progress in cutting climate-heating gasses can be measured, the group said.KLM said that while it could not comment in detail until it had formally received the letter, it has committed to aligning its net-zero pathway with climate science, and planned to use more sustainable aviation fuel.An ABN spokesperson said the bank supported efforts to limit global warming and was working to reduce emissions from its lending, including by encouraging homeowners to improve the energy efficiency of their homes and increasing its lending for renewable energy.An Ahold spokesperson was not immediately available to comment.In addition to targeting companies, Milieudefensie also called on the government in the Netherlands to enshrine the Paris accord in Dutch law to ensure corporate compliance.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RDS.A":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694646591,"gmtCreate":1641970483517,"gmtModify":1641970483845,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1641827215,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140391887?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-10 23:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Trump Stocks Tumbled in Morning Trading, with DWAC and Phunware Down Over 5%<blockquote>特朗普股票早盘暴跌，DWAC和Phunware跌超5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140391887","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Trump Stocks Tumbled in Morning Trading, with DWAC and Phunware Down Over 5%.","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Trump Stocks Tumbled in Morning Trading, with DWAC and Phunware Down Over 5%.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>特朗普股票早盘暴跌，DWAC和Phunware跌幅超过5%。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4bbec08562ef9d949eeeac7b1670aa5\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"632\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Trump Stocks Tumbled in Morning Trading, with DWAC and Phunware Down Over 5%<blockquote>特朗普股票早盘暴跌，DWAC和Phunware跌超5%</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTrump Stocks Tumbled in Morning Trading, with DWAC and Phunware Down Over 5%<blockquote>特朗普股票早盘暴跌，DWAC和Phunware跌超5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-01-10 23:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Trump Stocks Tumbled in Morning Trading, with DWAC and Phunware Down Over 5%.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>特朗普股票早盘暴跌，DWAC和Phunware跌幅超过5%。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4bbec08562ef9d949eeeac7b1670aa5\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"632\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PHUN":"Phunware, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140391887","content_text":"Trump Stocks Tumbled in Morning Trading, with DWAC and Phunware Down Over 5%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DWAC":0.9,"PHUN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694025692,"gmtCreate":1641727235435,"gmtModify":1641727235721,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694025692","repostId":"1198290127","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198290127","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641702682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198290127?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-09 12:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198290127","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-09 12:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198290127","content_text":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.AAPL: the bull caseAs Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.AAPL: the bear caseDespite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.The Apple Maven’s takeI continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695744970,"gmtCreate":1641630116015,"gmtModify":1641630117135,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"why","listText":"why","text":"why","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695744970","repostId":"1129882080","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129882080","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641605937,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129882080?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-08 09:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Year’s First Three IPOs All Struggled. This Is Why.<blockquote>今年前三次IPO都举步维艰。这就是为什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129882080","media":"Barrons","summary":"The first initial public offerings of 2022, a trio of biotech companies, went public with dismal res","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The first initial public offerings of 2022, a trio of biotech companies, went public with dismal results.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>三家生物技术公司2022年首次公开募股上市，结果惨淡。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Amylyx Pharmaceuticals,and Vigil Neuroscience both dropped below their issue prices while CinCor Pharma ended flat. The lackluster debuts signal that the IPO market has yet to recover from 2021’s downturn.</p><p><blockquote>Amylyx Pharmaceuticals和Vigil Neuroscience均跌破发行价，而CinCor Pharma收盘持平。低迷的首次亮相表明IPO市场尚未从2021年的低迷中恢复过来。</blockquote></p><p>The three are the first to trade since new issues went on pause in December. After a rousing 11 months in 2021, where IPOs delivered their best year ever, inflation and Omicron issues slowed offerings in December. Only a dozen companies went public that month using a traditional IPO, down from 34 in November and 39 in October.</p><p><blockquote>这三只股票是自去年12月新股暂停以来首次交易。2021年经历了激动人心的11个月，IPO创下了有史以来最好的一年，但通胀和奥密克戎问题减缓了12月份的发行速度。当月只有十几家公司采用传统IPO方式上市，低于11月的34家和10月的39家。</blockquote></p><p>Biotechs are less sensitive to overall market trends, said Matt Kennedy, senior IPO strategist at Renaissance Capital, enabling them to go ahead while other firms have not.</p><p><blockquote>Renaissance Capital高级IPO策略师马特·肯尼迪(Matt Kennedy)表示，生物技术公司对整体市场趋势不太敏感，这使得它们能够在其他公司则无法继续前进。</blockquote></p><p>The muted first day for Friday’s trio is a continuation of 2021’s dismal IPO returns, he said. Of the 397 companies that went public in 2021 using a traditional IPO, roughly 31%, or 121, are trading above their offer price, he said. This means 69% are below their IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，周五三人组首日表现低迷，是2021年IPO回报惨淡的延续。他表示，在2021年通过传统IPO上市的397家公司中，大约31%（即121家）的交易价格高于发行价。这意味着69%的股价低于IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>The performance of 2021’s class of biotechs is worse. Of the 94 companies that listed last year, only 15 are trading above their issue price, Kennedy said. Some investors are still “holding out hope for a pop,” he said, but there isn’t much demand for new deals right now. “There’s only so long that goes on before initial investors stop showing up, and then we may see a pause in activity,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>2021年生物技术类的表现更差。肯尼迪表示，在去年上市的94家公司中，只有15家的交易价格高于发行价。他说，一些投资者仍然“对繁荣抱有希望”，但目前对新交易的需求并不大。“在初始投资者停止出现之前，只会持续这么长时间，然后我们可能会看到活动暂停，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>A key pointmay come next week, when two high-profile deals are set to open. TPG,a large private-equity firm, and Justworks, an HR software company, are both scheduled to trade. If the companies end up slashing their price ranges, that would indicate the IPO market is challenging even for profitable companies, Kennedy said. “You don’t come off a year like 2021 and get back to normal in just a few weeks. We need to see [recent IPOs] returns improve before we can expect normal deal flow,” he  said.</p><p><blockquote>一个关键点可能会在下周到来，届时两项备受瞩目的交易将开始。大型私募股权公司TPG和人力资源软件公司Justworks都计划进行交易。肯尼迪表示，如果这些公司最终大幅削减价格范围，这将表明即使对于盈利的公司来说，IPO市场也充满挑战。“你不会像2021年那样度过一年，然后在几周内恢复正常。我们需要看到[最近的IPO]回报有所改善，然后才能期待正常的交易流，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>Cincor (ticker:CINC), which is developing therapies to treat hypertension and other cardio-renal diseases, was the first to open Friday. Cincor raised nearly $194 million after selling 12.1 million shares at $16. It had filed to offer 11 million shares priced at $15 to $17. Shares kicked off at $21 and dropped, frequently trading above and below the $16 IPO price before closing at that level.</p><p><blockquote>Cincor（股票代码：CINC）正在开发治疗高血压和其他心肾疾病的疗法，于周五率先开业。Cincor以16美元的价格出售1210万股股票后筹集了近1.94亿美元。该公司已申请发行1100万股股票，价格为15至17美元。股价开盘价为21美元，随后下跌，经常在16美元的IPO价格上下交易，然后收于该水平。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of Amylyx (AMLX), meanwhile, kicked off at $21 and ended the day at $18.07, nearly 5% below its issue price. Amylyx is focused on therapies to treat ALS and other neurodegenerative diseases. Amylyx, which also boosted the size of its deal,raised $190 million after selling 10 million shares priced at $19 each. It had planned on offering 8.75 million at $18 to $20.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Amylyx(AMLX)的股价开盘价为21美元，当天收盘价为18.07美元，比发行价低近5%。Amylyx专注于治疗ALS和其他神经退行性疾病的疗法。Amylyx也扩大了交易规模，在以每股19美元的价格出售1000万股股票后筹集了1.9亿美元。该公司原计划以18至20美元的价格发行875万股。</blockquote></p><p>Vigil (VIGL), which aims to provide treatments for neurodegenerative diseases,collected $98 million after selling 7 million shares at $14, below its $15-to-$17 price range. Vigil opened at $12, below its IPO price, and closed down nearly 10% to $12.65.</p><p><blockquote>Vigil(VIGL)旨在为神经退行性疾病提供治疗，在以14美元的价格出售700万股后，筹集了9800万美元，低于其15至17美元的价格范围。Vigil开盘价为12美元，低于IPO发行价，收盘下跌近10%，至12.65美元。</blockquote></p><p>Jordan Stuart, a market strategist for the Federated Hermes Kaufmann funds that focus on small-, mid-, and large-cap companies and invests in IPOs, has one word of advice for investors: patience.</p><p><blockquote>爱马仕考夫曼联邦基金(Federated Hermes Kaufmann funds)的市场策略师乔丹·斯图尔特(Jordan Stuart)对投资者有一个建议：耐心。</blockquote></p><p>Many biotechs went public in 2021 at a very early stage and it may make sense to wait for a “timing catalyst” before investing, Stuart said. He pointed to Federated’s experience with Moderna(MRNA), which went public in 2018. Federated passed on buying into the IPO “because there was nothing urgent” to prompt their investment, Stuart said.</p><p><blockquote>斯图尔特表示，许多生物技术公司在2021年上市的早期阶段，在投资之前等待“时机催化剂”可能是有意义的。他指出了Federated与2018年上市的Moderna(MRNA)的经验。斯图尔特表示，Federated拒绝购买IPO，“因为没有什么紧急情况”来促进他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p>But in January 2020, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or CDC, detected the first U.S. case of Covid-19, and by March, businesses across the nation were closing in an attempt to stop the spread of the virus. Federated invested in Moderna in the first quarter of 2020 at around $30 a share, Stuart said.</p><p><blockquote>但在2020年1月，美国疾病控制与预防中心(CDC)发现了美国首例Covid-19病例，到3月，全国各地的企业都关闭了，试图阻止病毒的传播。Stuart表示，Federated在2020年第一季度以每股30美元左右的价格投资了Moderna。</blockquote></p><p>The biotech’s Covid-19 vaccine received emergency-use authorization by the FDA later that year, in December. Moderna’s stock hit a high of $384.86 in September and is now trading at $213.58. Federated, across its funds, owned a significant stake in Moderna as of Sept. 30, Stuart said.</p><p><blockquote>该生物技术公司的Covid-19疫苗于当年晚些时候（12月）获得了FDA的紧急使用授权。Moderna的股价在9月份触及384.86美元的高点，目前交易价格为213.58美元。斯图尔特表示，截至9月30日，Federated旗下基金持有Moderna的大量股份。</blockquote></p><p>While the investment manager may have left some money on the table by waiting, Stuart estimates that Federated has made from five to 10 times its money with its Moderna investment. “It’s good that companies are coming out very early. But given the heat of last year’s IPO market, patience can be a virtue,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资经理可能因为等待而留下了一些钱，但斯图尔特估计Federated通过Moderna投资赚了5到10倍的钱。“公司很早就上市是件好事。但考虑到去年IPO市场的火爆，耐心可能是一种美德，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Year’s First Three IPOs All Struggled. This Is Why.<blockquote>今年前三次IPO都举步维艰。这就是为什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Year’s First Three IPOs All Struggled. This Is Why.<blockquote>今年前三次IPO都举步维艰。这就是为什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-08 09:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The first initial public offerings of 2022, a trio of biotech companies, went public with dismal results.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>三家生物技术公司2022年首次公开募股上市，结果惨淡。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Amylyx Pharmaceuticals,and Vigil Neuroscience both dropped below their issue prices while CinCor Pharma ended flat. The lackluster debuts signal that the IPO market has yet to recover from 2021’s downturn.</p><p><blockquote>Amylyx Pharmaceuticals和Vigil Neuroscience均跌破发行价，而CinCor Pharma收盘持平。低迷的首次亮相表明IPO市场尚未从2021年的低迷中恢复过来。</blockquote></p><p>The three are the first to trade since new issues went on pause in December. After a rousing 11 months in 2021, where IPOs delivered their best year ever, inflation and Omicron issues slowed offerings in December. Only a dozen companies went public that month using a traditional IPO, down from 34 in November and 39 in October.</p><p><blockquote>这三只股票是自去年12月新股暂停以来首次交易。2021年经历了激动人心的11个月，IPO创下了有史以来最好的一年，但通胀和奥密克戎问题减缓了12月份的发行速度。当月只有十几家公司采用传统IPO方式上市，低于11月的34家和10月的39家。</blockquote></p><p>Biotechs are less sensitive to overall market trends, said Matt Kennedy, senior IPO strategist at Renaissance Capital, enabling them to go ahead while other firms have not.</p><p><blockquote>Renaissance Capital高级IPO策略师马特·肯尼迪(Matt Kennedy)表示，生物技术公司对整体市场趋势不太敏感，这使得它们能够在其他公司则无法继续前进。</blockquote></p><p>The muted first day for Friday’s trio is a continuation of 2021’s dismal IPO returns, he said. Of the 397 companies that went public in 2021 using a traditional IPO, roughly 31%, or 121, are trading above their offer price, he said. This means 69% are below their IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，周五三人组首日表现低迷，是2021年IPO回报惨淡的延续。他表示，在2021年通过传统IPO上市的397家公司中，大约31%（即121家）的交易价格高于发行价。这意味着69%的股价低于IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>The performance of 2021’s class of biotechs is worse. Of the 94 companies that listed last year, only 15 are trading above their issue price, Kennedy said. Some investors are still “holding out hope for a pop,” he said, but there isn’t much demand for new deals right now. “There’s only so long that goes on before initial investors stop showing up, and then we may see a pause in activity,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>2021年生物技术类的表现更差。肯尼迪表示，在去年上市的94家公司中，只有15家的交易价格高于发行价。他说，一些投资者仍然“对繁荣抱有希望”，但目前对新交易的需求并不大。“在初始投资者停止出现之前，只会持续这么长时间，然后我们可能会看到活动暂停，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>A key pointmay come next week, when two high-profile deals are set to open. TPG,a large private-equity firm, and Justworks, an HR software company, are both scheduled to trade. If the companies end up slashing their price ranges, that would indicate the IPO market is challenging even for profitable companies, Kennedy said. “You don’t come off a year like 2021 and get back to normal in just a few weeks. We need to see [recent IPOs] returns improve before we can expect normal deal flow,” he  said.</p><p><blockquote>一个关键点可能会在下周到来，届时两项备受瞩目的交易将开始。大型私募股权公司TPG和人力资源软件公司Justworks都计划进行交易。肯尼迪表示，如果这些公司最终大幅削减价格范围，这将表明即使对于盈利的公司来说，IPO市场也充满挑战。“你不会像2021年那样度过一年，然后在几周内恢复正常。我们需要看到[最近的IPO]回报有所改善，然后才能期待正常的交易流，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>Cincor (ticker:CINC), which is developing therapies to treat hypertension and other cardio-renal diseases, was the first to open Friday. Cincor raised nearly $194 million after selling 12.1 million shares at $16. It had filed to offer 11 million shares priced at $15 to $17. Shares kicked off at $21 and dropped, frequently trading above and below the $16 IPO price before closing at that level.</p><p><blockquote>Cincor（股票代码：CINC）正在开发治疗高血压和其他心肾疾病的疗法，于周五率先开业。Cincor以16美元的价格出售1210万股股票后筹集了近1.94亿美元。该公司已申请发行1100万股股票，价格为15至17美元。股价开盘价为21美元，随后下跌，经常在16美元的IPO价格上下交易，然后收于该水平。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of Amylyx (AMLX), meanwhile, kicked off at $21 and ended the day at $18.07, nearly 5% below its issue price. Amylyx is focused on therapies to treat ALS and other neurodegenerative diseases. Amylyx, which also boosted the size of its deal,raised $190 million after selling 10 million shares priced at $19 each. It had planned on offering 8.75 million at $18 to $20.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Amylyx(AMLX)的股价开盘价为21美元，当天收盘价为18.07美元，比发行价低近5%。Amylyx专注于治疗ALS和其他神经退行性疾病的疗法。Amylyx也扩大了交易规模，在以每股19美元的价格出售1000万股股票后筹集了1.9亿美元。该公司原计划以18至20美元的价格发行875万股。</blockquote></p><p>Vigil (VIGL), which aims to provide treatments for neurodegenerative diseases,collected $98 million after selling 7 million shares at $14, below its $15-to-$17 price range. Vigil opened at $12, below its IPO price, and closed down nearly 10% to $12.65.</p><p><blockquote>Vigil(VIGL)旨在为神经退行性疾病提供治疗，在以14美元的价格出售700万股后，筹集了9800万美元，低于其15至17美元的价格范围。Vigil开盘价为12美元，低于IPO发行价，收盘下跌近10%，至12.65美元。</blockquote></p><p>Jordan Stuart, a market strategist for the Federated Hermes Kaufmann funds that focus on small-, mid-, and large-cap companies and invests in IPOs, has one word of advice for investors: patience.</p><p><blockquote>爱马仕考夫曼联邦基金(Federated Hermes Kaufmann funds)的市场策略师乔丹·斯图尔特(Jordan Stuart)对投资者有一个建议：耐心。</blockquote></p><p>Many biotechs went public in 2021 at a very early stage and it may make sense to wait for a “timing catalyst” before investing, Stuart said. He pointed to Federated’s experience with Moderna(MRNA), which went public in 2018. Federated passed on buying into the IPO “because there was nothing urgent” to prompt their investment, Stuart said.</p><p><blockquote>斯图尔特表示，许多生物技术公司在2021年上市的早期阶段，在投资之前等待“时机催化剂”可能是有意义的。他指出了Federated与2018年上市的Moderna(MRNA)的经验。斯图尔特表示，Federated拒绝购买IPO，“因为没有什么紧急情况”来促进他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p>But in January 2020, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or CDC, detected the first U.S. case of Covid-19, and by March, businesses across the nation were closing in an attempt to stop the spread of the virus. Federated invested in Moderna in the first quarter of 2020 at around $30 a share, Stuart said.</p><p><blockquote>但在2020年1月，美国疾病控制与预防中心(CDC)发现了美国首例Covid-19病例，到3月，全国各地的企业都关闭了，试图阻止病毒的传播。Stuart表示，Federated在2020年第一季度以每股30美元左右的价格投资了Moderna。</blockquote></p><p>The biotech’s Covid-19 vaccine received emergency-use authorization by the FDA later that year, in December. Moderna’s stock hit a high of $384.86 in September and is now trading at $213.58. Federated, across its funds, owned a significant stake in Moderna as of Sept. 30, Stuart said.</p><p><blockquote>该生物技术公司的Covid-19疫苗于当年晚些时候（12月）获得了FDA的紧急使用授权。Moderna的股价在9月份触及384.86美元的高点，目前交易价格为213.58美元。斯图尔特表示，截至9月30日，Federated旗下基金持有Moderna的大量股份。</blockquote></p><p>While the investment manager may have left some money on the table by waiting, Stuart estimates that Federated has made from five to 10 times its money with its Moderna investment. “It’s good that companies are coming out very early. But given the heat of last year’s IPO market, patience can be a virtue,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资经理可能因为等待而留下了一些钱，但斯图尔特估计Federated通过Moderna投资赚了5到10倍的钱。“公司很早就上市是件好事。但考虑到去年IPO市场的火爆，耐心可能是一种美德，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/2022-ipos-fall-weak-51641580444?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VIGL":"Vigil Neuroscience, Inc.","AMLX":"Amylyx Pharmaceuticals","CINC":"CinCor Pharma, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/2022-ipos-fall-weak-51641580444?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129882080","content_text":"The first initial public offerings of 2022, a trio of biotech companies, went public with dismal results.Amylyx Pharmaceuticals,and Vigil Neuroscience both dropped below their issue prices while CinCor Pharma ended flat. The lackluster debuts signal that the IPO market has yet to recover from 2021’s downturn.The three are the first to trade since new issues went on pause in December. After a rousing 11 months in 2021, where IPOs delivered their best year ever, inflation and Omicron issues slowed offerings in December. Only a dozen companies went public that month using a traditional IPO, down from 34 in November and 39 in October.Biotechs are less sensitive to overall market trends, said Matt Kennedy, senior IPO strategist at Renaissance Capital, enabling them to go ahead while other firms have not.The muted first day for Friday’s trio is a continuation of 2021’s dismal IPO returns, he said. Of the 397 companies that went public in 2021 using a traditional IPO, roughly 31%, or 121, are trading above their offer price, he said. This means 69% are below their IPO price.The performance of 2021’s class of biotechs is worse. Of the 94 companies that listed last year, only 15 are trading above their issue price, Kennedy said. Some investors are still “holding out hope for a pop,” he said, but there isn’t much demand for new deals right now. “There’s only so long that goes on before initial investors stop showing up, and then we may see a pause in activity,” he said.A key pointmay come next week, when two high-profile deals are set to open. TPG,a large private-equity firm, and Justworks, an HR software company, are both scheduled to trade. If the companies end up slashing their price ranges, that would indicate the IPO market is challenging even for profitable companies, Kennedy said. “You don’t come off a year like 2021 and get back to normal in just a few weeks. We need to see [recent IPOs] returns improve before we can expect normal deal flow,” he  said.Cincor (ticker:CINC), which is developing therapies to treat hypertension and other cardio-renal diseases, was the first to open Friday. Cincor raised nearly $194 million after selling 12.1 million shares at $16. It had filed to offer 11 million shares priced at $15 to $17. Shares kicked off at $21 and dropped, frequently trading above and below the $16 IPO price before closing at that level.Shares of Amylyx (AMLX), meanwhile, kicked off at $21 and ended the day at $18.07, nearly 5% below its issue price. Amylyx is focused on therapies to treat ALS and other neurodegenerative diseases. Amylyx, which also boosted the size of its deal,raised $190 million after selling 10 million shares priced at $19 each. It had planned on offering 8.75 million at $18 to $20.Vigil (VIGL), which aims to provide treatments for neurodegenerative diseases,collected $98 million after selling 7 million shares at $14, below its $15-to-$17 price range. Vigil opened at $12, below its IPO price, and closed down nearly 10% to $12.65.Jordan Stuart, a market strategist for the Federated Hermes Kaufmann funds that focus on small-, mid-, and large-cap companies and invests in IPOs, has one word of advice for investors: patience.Many biotechs went public in 2021 at a very early stage and it may make sense to wait for a “timing catalyst” before investing, Stuart said. He pointed to Federated’s experience with Moderna(MRNA), which went public in 2018. Federated passed on buying into the IPO “because there was nothing urgent” to prompt their investment, Stuart said.But in January 2020, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or CDC, detected the first U.S. case of Covid-19, and by March, businesses across the nation were closing in an attempt to stop the spread of the virus. Federated invested in Moderna in the first quarter of 2020 at around $30 a share, Stuart said.The biotech’s Covid-19 vaccine received emergency-use authorization by the FDA later that year, in December. Moderna’s stock hit a high of $384.86 in September and is now trading at $213.58. Federated, across its funds, owned a significant stake in Moderna as of Sept. 30, Stuart said.While the investment manager may have left some money on the table by waiting, Stuart estimates that Federated has made from five to 10 times its money with its Moderna investment. “It’s good that companies are coming out very early. But given the heat of last year’s IPO market, patience can be a virtue,” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMLX":0.9,"CINC":0.9,"VIGL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695491216,"gmtCreate":1641537980941,"gmtModify":1641537981221,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"still","listText":"still","text":"still","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695491216","repostId":"1143887891","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143887891","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641535893,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143887891?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-07 14:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The tech sell-off sparked by hawkish Fed minutes is a major buying opportunity for investors, Wedbush says<blockquote>韦德布什表示，鹰派美联储会议纪要引发的科技股抛售对投资者来说是一个重大买入机会</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143887891","media":"Markets insider","summary":"A deep sell-off in technology stocks has created a massive buying opportunity for investors, accordi","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>A deep sell-off in technology stocks has created a massive buying opportunity for investors, according to Dan Ives of Wedbush.</b></li><li><b>The Nasdaq fell more than 3% on Wednesday after minutes from the Fed revealed the potential for quicker-than-expected interest rate hikes.</b></li><li><b>&#34;Many of the secular tech winners we believe will drive the 4th Industrial Revolution are now in oversold territory with valuations we find very compelling,&#34; Ives said.</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6b633384a96e76caf6a6c6bcba24ca8\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Getty Images / Bryan R. Smith</span></p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Wedbush的丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)表示，科技股的大幅抛售为投资者创造了巨大的买入机会。</b></li><li><b>美联储会议纪要显示加息速度可能快于预期，纳斯达克周三下跌逾3%。</b></li><li><b>艾夫斯表示：“我们认为将推动第四次工业革命的许多长期科技赢家现在都处于超卖区域，我们发现其估值非常引人注目。”</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片社/布莱恩·R·史密斯</span></p></body></html></blockquote></p><p>A Fed-driven sell-off in technology stocks is creating a massive buying opportunity for investors, according to a Wednesday note from Dan Ives of Wedbush.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush的丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)周三发布的一份报告称，美联储推动的科技股抛售正在为投资者创造巨大的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq 100 plunged more than 3% on Wednesday after minutes released by the Federal Reserve revealed the potential for quicker-than-expected interest rate increases and quantitative tightening later this year. Ark Invest&#39;s flagship ETF sold off as much as 7% and is down 12% year-to-date.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克100指数周三暴跌逾3%，此前美联储公布的会议纪要显示，今年晚些时候加息和量化紧缩的速度可能快于预期。Ark Invest的旗舰ETF抛售高达7%，今年迄今已下跌12%。</blockquote></p><p>But the broad decline in fast-growing technology stocks represents a &#34;get out the shopping list&#34; moment for investors willing to buy downward trending stocks, according to Ives.</p><p><blockquote>但艾夫斯表示，对于愿意购买下跌趋势股票的投资者来说，快速增长的科技股普遍下跌代表着“退出购物清单”的时刻。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;Many of the secular tech winners we believe will drive the 4th Industrial Revolution are now in oversold territory with valuations we find very compelling given the outsized growth prospects over the next 12 to 18 months,&#34; Ives said.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯表示：“我们认为将推动第四次工业革命的许多长期科技赢家现在都处于超卖区域，考虑到未来12至18个月的巨大增长前景，我们发现其估值非常引人注目。”</blockquote></p><p>Ives warned that 2022 will likely remain very volatile for tech investors as the Fed combats inflation with hawkish policies, supply chain disruptions continue to impact semiconductors, and COVID-19 variants continue to spread. But that volatility is par for the course when buying tech stocks with strong growth prospects at bargain prices.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯警告称，随着美联储以鹰派政策对抗通胀、供应链中断继续影响半导体以及COVID-19变种继续传播，2022年对科技投资者来说可能仍将非常不稳定。但当以低价购买具有强劲增长前景的科技股时，这种波动是意料之中的。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;While the December Fed minutes were the straw that broke the camel&#39;s back after a brutal start to the year for tech investors, we caution this is not the time to throw in the white towel on the tech bull cycle,&#34; Ives said, pointing to the continued prospect for governments and enterprises to spend $1 trillion on cloud services over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯表示：“虽然12月美联储会议纪要是科技投资者在今年残酷开局后压垮骆驼的最后一根稻草，但我们警告说，现在还不是向科技牛市周期认输的时候。”未来十年，政府和企业将在云服务上花费1万亿美元的持续前景。</blockquote></p><p>Cyber security, 5G connectivity, and big data are additional fuel to stoke the ongoing growth in technology companies, according to Ives.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯表示，网络安全、5G连接和大数据是推动科技公司持续增长的额外动力。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;While we can fret about the Fed, 10-year spikes, and macro noise, the underlying growth in the tech sector (which is being underestimated by investors) is unparalleled to any period of time we have seen in the last 21 years,&#34; Ives said.</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们可能会担心美联储、10年期飙升和宏观噪音，但科技行业的潜在增长（被投资者低估）是我们过去21年来看到的任何时期都无法比拟的，”艾夫斯说。</blockquote></p><p>Tech stocks that should be on investors shopping lists, according to Ives, include Apple,Microsoft,Zscaler,Palo Alto Networks, and Matterport, among others.</p><p><blockquote>Ives表示，应该列入投资者购物清单的科技股包括苹果、微软、Zscaler、Palo Alto Networks和Matterport等。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The tech sell-off sparked by hawkish Fed minutes is a major buying opportunity for investors, Wedbush says<blockquote>韦德布什表示，鹰派美联储会议纪要引发的科技股抛售对投资者来说是一个重大买入机会</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe tech sell-off sparked by hawkish Fed minutes is a major buying opportunity for investors, Wedbush says<blockquote>韦德布什表示，鹰派美联储会议纪要引发的科技股抛售对投资者来说是一个重大买入机会</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Markets insider</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-07 14:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>A deep sell-off in technology stocks has created a massive buying opportunity for investors, according to Dan Ives of Wedbush.</b></li><li><b>The Nasdaq fell more than 3% on Wednesday after minutes from the Fed revealed the potential for quicker-than-expected interest rate hikes.</b></li><li><b>&#34;Many of the secular tech winners we believe will drive the 4th Industrial Revolution are now in oversold territory with valuations we find very compelling,&#34; Ives said.</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6b633384a96e76caf6a6c6bcba24ca8\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Getty Images / Bryan R. Smith</span></p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Wedbush的丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)表示，科技股的大幅抛售为投资者创造了巨大的买入机会。</b></li><li><b>美联储会议纪要显示加息速度可能快于预期，纳斯达克周三下跌逾3%。</b></li><li><b>艾夫斯表示：“我们认为将推动第四次工业革命的许多长期科技赢家现在都处于超卖区域，我们发现其估值非常引人注目。”</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片社/布莱恩·R·史密斯</span></p></body></html></blockquote></p><p>A Fed-driven sell-off in technology stocks is creating a massive buying opportunity for investors, according to a Wednesday note from Dan Ives of Wedbush.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush的丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)周三发布的一份报告称，美联储推动的科技股抛售正在为投资者创造巨大的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq 100 plunged more than 3% on Wednesday after minutes released by the Federal Reserve revealed the potential for quicker-than-expected interest rate increases and quantitative tightening later this year. Ark Invest&#39;s flagship ETF sold off as much as 7% and is down 12% year-to-date.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克100指数周三暴跌逾3%，此前美联储公布的会议纪要显示，今年晚些时候加息和量化紧缩的速度可能快于预期。Ark Invest的旗舰ETF抛售高达7%，今年迄今已下跌12%。</blockquote></p><p>But the broad decline in fast-growing technology stocks represents a &#34;get out the shopping list&#34; moment for investors willing to buy downward trending stocks, according to Ives.</p><p><blockquote>但艾夫斯表示，对于愿意购买下跌趋势股票的投资者来说，快速增长的科技股普遍下跌代表着“退出购物清单”的时刻。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;Many of the secular tech winners we believe will drive the 4th Industrial Revolution are now in oversold territory with valuations we find very compelling given the outsized growth prospects over the next 12 to 18 months,&#34; Ives said.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯表示：“我们认为将推动第四次工业革命的许多长期科技赢家现在都处于超卖区域，考虑到未来12至18个月的巨大增长前景，我们发现其估值非常引人注目。”</blockquote></p><p>Ives warned that 2022 will likely remain very volatile for tech investors as the Fed combats inflation with hawkish policies, supply chain disruptions continue to impact semiconductors, and COVID-19 variants continue to spread. But that volatility is par for the course when buying tech stocks with strong growth prospects at bargain prices.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯警告称，随着美联储以鹰派政策对抗通胀、供应链中断继续影响半导体以及COVID-19变种继续传播，2022年对科技投资者来说可能仍将非常不稳定。但当以低价购买具有强劲增长前景的科技股时，这种波动是意料之中的。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;While the December Fed minutes were the straw that broke the camel&#39;s back after a brutal start to the year for tech investors, we caution this is not the time to throw in the white towel on the tech bull cycle,&#34; Ives said, pointing to the continued prospect for governments and enterprises to spend $1 trillion on cloud services over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯表示：“虽然12月美联储会议纪要是科技投资者在今年残酷开局后压垮骆驼的最后一根稻草，但我们警告说，现在还不是向科技牛市周期认输的时候。”未来十年，政府和企业将在云服务上花费1万亿美元的持续前景。</blockquote></p><p>Cyber security, 5G connectivity, and big data are additional fuel to stoke the ongoing growth in technology companies, according to Ives.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯表示，网络安全、5G连接和大数据是推动科技公司持续增长的额外动力。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;While we can fret about the Fed, 10-year spikes, and macro noise, the underlying growth in the tech sector (which is being underestimated by investors) is unparalleled to any period of time we have seen in the last 21 years,&#34; Ives said.</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们可能会担心美联储、10年期飙升和宏观噪音，但科技行业的潜在增长（被投资者低估）是我们过去21年来看到的任何时期都无法比拟的，”艾夫斯说。</blockquote></p><p>Tech stocks that should be on investors shopping lists, according to Ives, include Apple,Microsoft,Zscaler,Palo Alto Networks, and Matterport, among others.</p><p><blockquote>Ives表示，应该列入投资者购物清单的科技股包括苹果、微软、Zscaler、Palo Alto Networks和Matterport等。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-hawkish-fed-tech-investors-major-buying-opportunity-2022-1\">Markets insider</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-hawkish-fed-tech-investors-major-buying-opportunity-2022-1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143887891","content_text":"A deep sell-off in technology stocks has created a massive buying opportunity for investors, according to Dan Ives of Wedbush.The Nasdaq fell more than 3% on Wednesday after minutes from the Fed revealed the potential for quicker-than-expected interest rate hikes.\"Many of the secular tech winners we believe will drive the 4th Industrial Revolution are now in oversold territory with valuations we find very compelling,\" Ives said.Getty Images / Bryan R. SmithA Fed-driven sell-off in technology stocks is creating a massive buying opportunity for investors, according to a Wednesday note from Dan Ives of Wedbush.The Nasdaq 100 plunged more than 3% on Wednesday after minutes released by the Federal Reserve revealed the potential for quicker-than-expected interest rate increases and quantitative tightening later this year. Ark Invest's flagship ETF sold off as much as 7% and is down 12% year-to-date.But the broad decline in fast-growing technology stocks represents a \"get out the shopping list\" moment for investors willing to buy downward trending stocks, according to Ives.\"Many of the secular tech winners we believe will drive the 4th Industrial Revolution are now in oversold territory with valuations we find very compelling given the outsized growth prospects over the next 12 to 18 months,\" Ives said.Ives warned that 2022 will likely remain very volatile for tech investors as the Fed combats inflation with hawkish policies, supply chain disruptions continue to impact semiconductors, and COVID-19 variants continue to spread. But that volatility is par for the course when buying tech stocks with strong growth prospects at bargain prices.\"While the December Fed minutes were the straw that broke the camel's back after a brutal start to the year for tech investors, we caution this is not the time to throw in the white towel on the tech bull cycle,\" Ives said, pointing to the continued prospect for governments and enterprises to spend $1 trillion on cloud services over the next decade.Cyber security, 5G connectivity, and big data are additional fuel to stoke the ongoing growth in technology companies, according to Ives.\"While we can fret about the Fed, 10-year spikes, and macro noise, the underlying growth in the tech sector (which is being underestimated by investors) is unparalleled to any period of time we have seen in the last 21 years,\" Ives said.Tech stocks that should be on investors shopping lists, according to Ives, include Apple,Microsoft,Zscaler,Palo Alto Networks, and Matterport, among others.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695698713,"gmtCreate":1641436545592,"gmtModify":1641436545855,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"lol","listText":"lol","text":"lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695698713","repostId":"1127972984","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":818,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695147021,"gmtCreate":1641380605389,"gmtModify":1641380605751,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695147021","repostId":"1119848884","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695985461,"gmtCreate":1641300048111,"gmtModify":1641300048472,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hey lol","listText":"hey lol","text":"hey lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695985461","repostId":"1162060370","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":888,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692481517,"gmtCreate":1641172083579,"gmtModify":1641172083908,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692481517","repostId":"1154309326","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154309326","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1641170534,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154309326?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-03 08:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China to Cut EV Subsidies By 30% In 2022: What That Means For Tesla, Nio, XPeng And Others<blockquote>中国将在2022年将电动汽车补贴削减30%：这对特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车等公司意味着什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154309326","media":"Benzinga","summary":"China has confirmed subsidy reduction for new energy vehicles (NEV), beginning in 2022, and it is ea","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>China has confirmed subsidy reduction for new energy vehicles (NEV), beginning in 2022, and it is early to assess whether it will impact EV adoption in the hot-and-happening Chinese economy. NEVs include EVs, plug-in hybrids and hydrogen fuel-cell energy vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>中国已确认从2022年开始削减新能源汽车(NEV)补贴，现在评估这是否会影响电动汽车在蓬勃发展的中国经济中的采用还为时过早。新能源汽车包括电动汽车、插电式混合动力汽车和氢燃料电池能源汽车。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7c6c88cc98e5c683282b444ec94922f\" tg-width=\"685\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>What Happened:</b>China will slash NEV subsidies by 30% in the new year, the country&#39;s Ministry of Finance confirmed in a statement on its website. Subsidies will be withdrawn completely at the end of the year, the ministry added.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>中国财政部在其网站上的一份声明中证实，中国将在新的一年里将新能源汽车补贴削减30%。该部补充说，补贴将在今年年底完全取消。</blockquote></p><p>Subsidies for NEVs meant for public transport will be lowered by 20%. China has set a target of NEVs accounting for 20% of new vehicles sold by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>用于公共交通的新能源汽车补贴将降低20%。中国设定了到2025年新能源汽车占新车销量20%的目标。</blockquote></p><p><b>Why It&#39;s Important:</b>In an anticipatory move,<b>Nio, Inc.</b> announced in early December if a customer preorders a vehicle with a deposit before midnight on Dec. 31, 2021 and takes delivery before March 31, 2022, it will absorb the difference between the old subsidy and the new subsidy, according to CnEVPost.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要：</b>在一个预期的举动中，<b>蔚来公司。</b>据CnEVPost报道，该公司于12月初宣布，如果客户在2021年12月31日午夜之前以押金预订车辆，并在2022年3月31日之前提货，将吸收旧补贴和新补贴之间的差额。</blockquote></p><p>Nio can also benefit from another provision laid out by the government. China&#39;s NEV subsidy policy dictates that models with a pre-subsidy price of over 300,000 yuan ($47,200) are not eligible for subsidies, except those that support battery swapping, CnEVPost said in another report.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来还可以从政府制定的另一项规定中受益。CnEVPost在另一份报告中表示，中国的新能源汽车补贴政策规定，补贴前价格超过30万元人民币（47,200美元）的车型没有资格获得补贴，支持电池更换的车型除外。</blockquote></p><p>All of Nio&#39;s current models are priced above 300,000 yuan before subsidies, although the EV maker is speculated to be working on a mass market model under a different brand name.The company reportedly does not set different subsidies for different models, but rather base them on the model&#39;s battery pack.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来目前所有车型的补贴前售价都在30万元以上，尽管据推测这家电动汽车制造商正在开发一款不同品牌的大众市场车型。据报道，该公司并没有为不同的车型设定不同的补贴，而是根据车型的电池组进行补贴。</blockquote></p><p>Individual consumers are eligible to receive a subsidy of 11,340 yuan for a model with a standard 75 kilowatt-hour battery pack, and 12,600 yuan for a 100 kWh battery pack, the report said, citing the company&#39;s latest subsidy package. Companies purchasing a Nio vehicle get 70% of the amount available to individual consumers, according to the report.</p><p><blockquote>报道援引该公司最新的补贴方案称，个人消费者有资格获得标准75千瓦时电池组的车型补贴11340元，100千瓦时电池组补贴12600元。报告称，购买蔚来汽车的公司将获得个人消费者可获得的金额的70%。</blockquote></p><p>Nio&#39;s domestic rival <b>XPeng, Inc.</b> is also looking to scale back purchase benefits to customers by about half, keeping in mind the subsidy cut, CnEVPost reported, citing local media outlet Auto-time. This is applicable to all theXPeng&#39;sthree models currently on the market, namely the G3i, P5 and P7.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的国内竞争对手<b>小鹏公司。</b>CnEVPost援引当地媒体Auto-time报道称，考虑到补贴削减，该公司还希望将客户的购买福利减少约一半。这适用于小鹏目前市场上的所有三款车型，即G3i、P5和P7。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tesla, Inc.</b>, meanwhile, is continuing with a price hike spree amid the subsidy cut taking effect in China.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉公司。</b>与此同时，随着中国补贴削减生效，该公司继续疯狂涨价。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla announced Friday it is raising prices of its made-in-China, or MIC, Model 3 vehicles to 265,652 yuan after subsidy, up 10,000 yuan or 3.9%, according to South China Morning Post. As A As recently as late November, the company instituted a price increase of 4,752 yuan.</p><p><blockquote>据《南华早报》报道，特斯拉周五宣布将其中国制造Model 3汽车补贴后的价格提高至265,652元人民币，上涨1万元人民币，涨幅为3.9%。就在11月下旬，该公司提价4752元。</blockquote></p><p>The price of the Model Y SUV was also hiked by 7.5% to 301,840 yuan, the report added. The SUV will no longer qualify for subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>报道补充说，Model Y SUV的价格也上涨了7.5%，至301,840元。该SUV将不再有资格获得补贴。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China to Cut EV Subsidies By 30% In 2022: What That Means For Tesla, Nio, XPeng And Others<blockquote>中国将在2022年将电动汽车补贴削减30%：这对特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车等公司意味着什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina to Cut EV Subsidies By 30% In 2022: What That Means For Tesla, Nio, XPeng And Others<blockquote>中国将在2022年将电动汽车补贴削减30%：这对特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车等公司意味着什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-01-03 08:42</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>China has confirmed subsidy reduction for new energy vehicles (NEV), beginning in 2022, and it is early to assess whether it will impact EV adoption in the hot-and-happening Chinese economy. NEVs include EVs, plug-in hybrids and hydrogen fuel-cell energy vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>中国已确认从2022年开始削减新能源汽车(NEV)补贴，现在评估这是否会影响电动汽车在蓬勃发展的中国经济中的采用还为时过早。新能源汽车包括电动汽车、插电式混合动力汽车和氢燃料电池能源汽车。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7c6c88cc98e5c683282b444ec94922f\" tg-width=\"685\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>What Happened:</b>China will slash NEV subsidies by 30% in the new year, the country&#39;s Ministry of Finance confirmed in a statement on its website. Subsidies will be withdrawn completely at the end of the year, the ministry added.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>中国财政部在其网站上的一份声明中证实，中国将在新的一年里将新能源汽车补贴削减30%。该部补充说，补贴将在今年年底完全取消。</blockquote></p><p>Subsidies for NEVs meant for public transport will be lowered by 20%. China has set a target of NEVs accounting for 20% of new vehicles sold by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>用于公共交通的新能源汽车补贴将降低20%。中国设定了到2025年新能源汽车占新车销量20%的目标。</blockquote></p><p><b>Why It&#39;s Important:</b>In an anticipatory move,<b>Nio, Inc.</b> announced in early December if a customer preorders a vehicle with a deposit before midnight on Dec. 31, 2021 and takes delivery before March 31, 2022, it will absorb the difference between the old subsidy and the new subsidy, according to CnEVPost.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要：</b>在一个预期的举动中，<b>蔚来公司。</b>据CnEVPost报道，该公司于12月初宣布，如果客户在2021年12月31日午夜之前以押金预订车辆，并在2022年3月31日之前提货，将吸收旧补贴和新补贴之间的差额。</blockquote></p><p>Nio can also benefit from another provision laid out by the government. China&#39;s NEV subsidy policy dictates that models with a pre-subsidy price of over 300,000 yuan ($47,200) are not eligible for subsidies, except those that support battery swapping, CnEVPost said in another report.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来还可以从政府制定的另一项规定中受益。CnEVPost在另一份报告中表示，中国的新能源汽车补贴政策规定，补贴前价格超过30万元人民币（47,200美元）的车型没有资格获得补贴，支持电池更换的车型除外。</blockquote></p><p>All of Nio&#39;s current models are priced above 300,000 yuan before subsidies, although the EV maker is speculated to be working on a mass market model under a different brand name.The company reportedly does not set different subsidies for different models, but rather base them on the model&#39;s battery pack.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来目前所有车型的补贴前售价都在30万元以上，尽管据推测这家电动汽车制造商正在开发一款不同品牌的大众市场车型。据报道，该公司并没有为不同的车型设定不同的补贴，而是根据车型的电池组进行补贴。</blockquote></p><p>Individual consumers are eligible to receive a subsidy of 11,340 yuan for a model with a standard 75 kilowatt-hour battery pack, and 12,600 yuan for a 100 kWh battery pack, the report said, citing the company&#39;s latest subsidy package. Companies purchasing a Nio vehicle get 70% of the amount available to individual consumers, according to the report.</p><p><blockquote>报道援引该公司最新的补贴方案称，个人消费者有资格获得标准75千瓦时电池组的车型补贴11340元，100千瓦时电池组补贴12600元。报告称，购买蔚来汽车的公司将获得个人消费者可获得的金额的70%。</blockquote></p><p>Nio&#39;s domestic rival <b>XPeng, Inc.</b> is also looking to scale back purchase benefits to customers by about half, keeping in mind the subsidy cut, CnEVPost reported, citing local media outlet Auto-time. This is applicable to all theXPeng&#39;sthree models currently on the market, namely the G3i, P5 and P7.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的国内竞争对手<b>小鹏公司。</b>CnEVPost援引当地媒体Auto-time报道称，考虑到补贴削减，该公司还希望将客户的购买福利减少约一半。这适用于小鹏目前市场上的所有三款车型，即G3i、P5和P7。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tesla, Inc.</b>, meanwhile, is continuing with a price hike spree amid the subsidy cut taking effect in China.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉公司。</b>与此同时，随着中国补贴削减生效，该公司继续疯狂涨价。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla announced Friday it is raising prices of its made-in-China, or MIC, Model 3 vehicles to 265,652 yuan after subsidy, up 10,000 yuan or 3.9%, according to South China Morning Post. As A As recently as late November, the company instituted a price increase of 4,752 yuan.</p><p><blockquote>据《南华早报》报道，特斯拉周五宣布将其中国制造Model 3汽车补贴后的价格提高至265,652元人民币，上涨1万元人民币，涨幅为3.9%。就在11月下旬，该公司提价4752元。</blockquote></p><p>The price of the Model Y SUV was also hiked by 7.5% to 301,840 yuan, the report added. The SUV will no longer qualify for subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>报道补充说，Model Y SUV的价格也上涨了7.5%，至301,840元。该SUV将不再有资格获得补贴。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154309326","content_text":"China has confirmed subsidy reduction for new energy vehicles (NEV), beginning in 2022, and it is early to assess whether it will impact EV adoption in the hot-and-happening Chinese economy. NEVs include EVs, plug-in hybrids and hydrogen fuel-cell energy vehicles.What Happened:China will slash NEV subsidies by 30% in the new year, the country's Ministry of Finance confirmed in a statement on its website. Subsidies will be withdrawn completely at the end of the year, the ministry added.Subsidies for NEVs meant for public transport will be lowered by 20%. China has set a target of NEVs accounting for 20% of new vehicles sold by 2025.Why It's Important:In an anticipatory move,Nio, Inc. announced in early December if a customer preorders a vehicle with a deposit before midnight on Dec. 31, 2021 and takes delivery before March 31, 2022, it will absorb the difference between the old subsidy and the new subsidy, according to CnEVPost.Nio can also benefit from another provision laid out by the government. China's NEV subsidy policy dictates that models with a pre-subsidy price of over 300,000 yuan ($47,200) are not eligible for subsidies, except those that support battery swapping, CnEVPost said in another report.All of Nio's current models are priced above 300,000 yuan before subsidies, although the EV maker is speculated to be working on a mass market model under a different brand name.The company reportedly does not set different subsidies for different models, but rather base them on the model's battery pack.Individual consumers are eligible to receive a subsidy of 11,340 yuan for a model with a standard 75 kilowatt-hour battery pack, and 12,600 yuan for a 100 kWh battery pack, the report said, citing the company's latest subsidy package. Companies purchasing a Nio vehicle get 70% of the amount available to individual consumers, according to the report.Nio's domestic rival XPeng, Inc. is also looking to scale back purchase benefits to customers by about half, keeping in mind the subsidy cut, CnEVPost reported, citing local media outlet Auto-time. This is applicable to all theXPeng'sthree models currently on the market, namely the G3i, P5 and P7.Tesla, Inc., meanwhile, is continuing with a price hike spree amid the subsidy cut taking effect in China.Tesla announced Friday it is raising prices of its made-in-China, or MIC, Model 3 vehicles to 265,652 yuan after subsidy, up 10,000 yuan or 3.9%, according to South China Morning Post. As A As recently as late November, the company instituted a price increase of 4,752 yuan.The price of the Model Y SUV was also hiked by 7.5% to 301,840 yuan, the report added. The SUV will no longer qualify for subsidies.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LI":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692571899,"gmtCreate":1641105405752,"gmtModify":1641105406092,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692571899","repostId":"2200744536","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692274442,"gmtCreate":1641015676148,"gmtModify":1641015676459,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692274442","repostId":"2195448557","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":738,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692699104,"gmtCreate":1640932186830,"gmtModify":1640932187130,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692699104","repostId":"1138759328","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692117984,"gmtCreate":1640874356171,"gmtModify":1640874374585,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582013951378523","idStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692117984","repostId":"1138072653","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138072653","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640871670,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138072653?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-30 21:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Elon Musk’s Software Focus Helped Tesla Navigate Chip Shortage<blockquote>Elon Musk的软件重点如何帮助特斯拉应对芯片短缺</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138072653","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Electric-vehicle maker is expected to manufacture roughly 80% more vehicles this year than it did in","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Electric-vehicle maker is expected to manufacture roughly 80% more vehicles this year than it did in 2020</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>电动汽车制造商预计今年的汽车产量将比2020年增加约80%</body></html></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb0a81e806760fb9d38a801cfd9e06ca\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"860\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla is on track to post its fastest annual production growth since 2018 despite parts shortages.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>尽管零部件短缺，特斯拉仍有望实现自2018年以来最快的年产量增长。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Tesla Inc. has emerged as one of the auto industry’s biggest winners in a year plagued by semiconductor shortages and snarled global supply chains. It owes that success in some measure to its Silicon Valley roots.</p><p><blockquote>在受到半导体短缺和全球供应链混乱困扰的一年里，特斯拉公司已成为汽车行业最大的赢家之一。它的成功在某种程度上归功于其硅谷根源。</blockquote></p><p>Elon Musk’s electric-vehicle maker is poised to manufacture roughly 80% more vehicles this year than it did in 2020, analyst forecasts indicate, on pace for its fastest annual production growth since 2018. The global auto industry, hit hard by supply-chain disruptions, is expected to produce around 1% more vehicles than last year and 15% fewer than in 2019, according to IHS Markit.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预测，埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的电动汽车制造商今年的汽车产量将比2020年增加约80%，有望实现自2018年以来最快的年产量增长。根据IHS Markit的数据，受到供应链中断严重打击的全球汽车行业预计将比去年增加约1%，比2019年减少15%。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla has been able to keep production lines running in part by leaning on in-house software engineering expertise that has made it more adept than many rival auto makers at adjusting to a global shortfall of semiconductors, industry executives and consultants said. Chips are used in everything from controlling an electric motor to charging a phone.</p><p><blockquote>行业高管和顾问表示，特斯拉能够在一定程度上依靠内部软件工程专业知识来保持生产线的运行，这使其比许多竞争对手汽车制造商更擅长适应全球半导体短缺的情况。芯片被用于从控制电动机到给手机充电的方方面面。</blockquote></p><p>Faced with shortages earlier this year, for example, Tesla was able to quickly rewrite the software necessary to integrate alternative chips into its vehicles, the company’s chief executive officer, Mr. Musk, has said.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉首席执行官马斯克表示，面对今年早些时候的短缺，该公司能够快速重写将替代芯片集成到其车辆中所需的软件。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f47c6438bbc065d371a0f00d2c83efe\" tg-width=\"1050\" tg-height=\"700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>In Tesla’s Model 3 sedan, a single group of semiconductors enables features such as speaker control and voice recognition, according to a study.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>根据一项研究，在特斯拉的Model 3轿车中，一组半导体可以实现扬声器控制和语音识别等功能。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Semiconductor executives and consultants said Tesla, as a still relatively young car company, had the advantage of designing its vehicles from the ground-up, rather than adding parts in a piecemeal fashion over decades as many legacy auto makers have done. That allowed Tesla to consolidate systems, some of them said.</p><p><blockquote>半导体高管和顾问表示，特斯拉作为一家仍然相对年轻的汽车公司，其优势在于从头开始设计车辆，而不是像许多传统汽车制造商那样在几十年内零敲碎打地添加零部件。他们中的一些人说，这使得特斯拉能够整合系统。</blockquote></p><p>In Tesla’s Model 3 sedan, a single group of semiconductors enables features such as speaker control and voice and gesture recognition that in many other vehicles would be controlled separately using more chips, according to a Bain &amp; Co. study based on a 2019 Model 3.</p><p><blockquote>根据贝恩公司基于2019年Model 3的一项研究，在特斯拉的Model 3轿车中，一组半导体可实现扬声器控制以及语音和手势识别等功能，而在许多其他车辆中，这些功能将使用更多芯片单独控制。</blockquote></p><p>Ganesh Moorthy, chief executive officer of semiconductor supplier Microchip Technology Inc., said electric-vehicle-focused producers benefit from being more rooted in technology than traditional car makers.</p><p><blockquote>半导体供应商Microchip Technology Inc.首席执行官Ganesh Moorthy表示，与传统汽车制造商相比，专注于电动汽车的生产商受益于更扎根于技术。</blockquote></p><p>“They are more plugged in, in many cases, and I think as a result also have been able to be more flexible in what they have built,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“在许多情况下，他们更加插电，我认为因此他们的构建也能够更加灵活，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla didn’t respond to a request for comment about its chip-sourcing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉没有回应有关其芯片采购策略的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p>Traditional auto makers often have let parts suppliers handle sourcing chips. Mr. Musk’s preference for making vehicle components in-house meant that Tesla had greater supply-chain visibility in some areas, having forged close relationships with semiconductor companies before the crisis hit, some semiconductor executives and analysts said. Tesla, for example, designed the computer that enables its advanced driver-assistance technology in newer vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>传统汽车制造商通常让零部件供应商负责采购芯片。一些半导体高管和分析师表示，马斯克更喜欢在内部制造汽车零部件，这意味着特斯拉在某些领域拥有更大的供应链知名度，因为它在危机爆发前就与半导体公司建立了密切的关系。例如，特斯拉设计了一种计算机，可以在新型车辆中实现其先进的驾驶辅助技术。</blockquote></p><p>“Anything where they decided to make something by themselves, well then they had to have a direct relationship with the semiconductor supplier,” said Nakul Duggal, who leads the automotive business of Qualcomm Inc.,which designs chips and supplies Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>高通公司汽车业务负责人纳库尔·达加尔(Nakul Duggal)表示：“如果他们决定自己制造产品，那么他们就必须与半导体供应商建立直接关系。”高通公司设计芯片并向特斯拉供货。</blockquote></p><p>The chip shortage traces back to late 2020, when demand for vehicles rebounded faster than expected from pandemic lows, catching auto makers by surprise.</p><p><blockquote>芯片短缺可以追溯到2020年底，当时汽车需求从疫情低点反弹的速度快于预期，令汽车制造商措手不及。</blockquote></p><p>Without enough semiconductors, car companies are on track to manufacture roughly 77 million vehicles globally this year, down around 9% from expectations in January, according to consulting firm AlixPartners LLP.</p><p><blockquote>根据咨询公司AlixPartners LLP的数据，如果没有足够的半导体，汽车公司今年有望在全球生产约7700万辆汽车，比1月份的预期下降约9%。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla Chief Financial Officer Zachary Kirkhorn said in October that Tesla’s expertise in the chip industry and consistent messaging to suppliers had helped the company manage supply-chain challenges.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席财务官Zachary Kirkhorn在10月份表示，特斯拉在芯片行业的专业知识以及向供应商传达的一致信息帮助该公司应对了供应链挑战。</blockquote></p><p>“We never reduced our production forecast with our suppliers as we’re adding capacity as quickly as possible,” he told analysts.</p><p><blockquote>他对分析师表示：“我们从未降低与供应商的产量预测，因为我们正在尽快增加产能。”</blockquote></p><p>Tesla hasn’t been immune to supply-chain problems. The company has run factories below capacity and, in February, briefly shut down its Fremont, Calif., plant because of parts shortages. It also worked around shortfalls by building cars with missing parts that needed to be added back later, Mr. Musk has told employees, according to a person familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉也未能幸免于供应链问题。该公司的工厂产能不足，并在2月份因零部件短缺而短暂关闭了位于加州弗里蒙特的工厂。据一位知情人士透露，马斯克告诉员工，该公司还通过制造带有缺失零件的汽车来解决短缺问题，这些零件需要稍后添加。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Mr. Musk has cited the chip shortage in delaying the rollout of new models. Tesla’s long-awaited electric pickup truck and semitrailer truck, both of which had been slated to enter production this year, are now due to enter production in 2022 and 2023, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克以芯片短缺为由推迟了新车型的推出。特斯拉期待已久的电动皮卡和半挂卡车原定于今年投入生产，现在将分别于2022年和2023年投入生产。</blockquote></p><p>Traditional car makers are now becoming more chip focused.Ford Motor Co .and General Motors Co. last month announced pacts with semiconductor companies to develop computer chips.</p><p><blockquote>传统汽车制造商现在变得更加专注于芯片。福特汽车公司和通用汽车公司上个月宣布与半导体公司达成开发计算机芯片的协议。</blockquote></p><p>Research firm Gartner Inc. forecasts that by 2025, half of the top 10 auto makers by market capitalization will be designing at least some of their own chips.</p><p><blockquote>研究公司Gartner Inc.预测，到2025年，市值排名前10的汽车制造商中有一半将至少设计一些自己的芯片。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, the world’s embrace of electric vehicles—and Tesla’s rising valuation—have made Mr. Musk’s company a more attractive customer to some parts suppliers, executives and lawyers said.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，高管和律师表示，全球对电动汽车的接受以及特斯拉不断上涨的估值，使马斯克的公司成为对一些零部件供应商更具吸引力的客户。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d1856a69b4a36f41d9ebe738b6fb9d5\" tg-width=\"1050\" tg-height=\"701\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Some traditional car makers, such as Ford, are looking to get into the semiconductor business amid computer-chip shortages.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>福特等一些传统汽车制造商正在寻求在计算机芯片短缺的情况下进入半导体业务。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Dan Sharkey, a Detroit-area attorney who represents automotive suppliers, said some of his clients are willing to do things for Tesla that they aren’t for other car makers. “They think they’re catching a rising star,” Mr. Sharkey said, adding that Tesla’s relatively small output can sometimes work in the company’s favor. “It’s sort of easy to say, okay, we’ll just take care of these little guys.”</p><p><blockquote>代表汽车供应商的底特律地区律师丹·夏基(Dan Sharkey)表示，他的一些客户愿意为特斯拉做一些不愿意为其他汽车制造商做的事情。“他们认为他们正在抓住一颗后起之秀，”夏基先生说，并补充说特斯拉相对较小的产量有时可能对公司有利。“说起来容易，好吧，我们就照顾这些小家伙吧。”</blockquote></p><p>Tesla is on pace to easily clear its target of increasing vehicle deliveries by 50% over last year’s total of nearly half a million. It put more than 627,000 vehicles in customer hands through the first nine months of the year. The company’s relatively small size—and increased demand for electric vehicles—has made it easier to sustain rapid growth. It also gave priority to getting vehicles to customers, even if they are missing a few parts.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉有望轻松实现其汽车交付量比去年近50万辆增加50%的目标。今年前9个月，该公司向客户交付了超过627,000辆汽车。该公司相对较小的规模以及对电动汽车需求的增加使其更容易维持快速增长。它还优先将车辆交付给客户，即使他们缺少一些零件。</blockquote></p><p>Mo Siddiqui, who lives in Hamburg, Germany, said he received a text message from Tesla earlier this month advising him that, due to supply-chain problems, the roughly $70,000 Model Y compact sport-utility vehicle he had purchased might be delivered without some USB ports or wireless phone charging capability.</p><p><blockquote>居住在德国汉堡的莫·西迪基(Mo Siddiqui)表示，本月早些时候，他收到了特斯拉的一条短信，通知他，由于供应链问题，他购买的价值约7万美元的Model Y紧凑型运动型多功能车可能会在没有一些USB端口或无线电话充电功能的情况下交付。</blockquote></p><p>Mr. Siddiqui, 39 years old, was able to schedule the vehicle to be retrofitted within two weeks of picking it up. “I can live with that,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>39岁的西迪基先生能够在取车后两周内安排对车辆进行改装。“我可以接受，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Elon Musk’s Software Focus Helped Tesla Navigate Chip Shortage<blockquote>Elon Musk的软件重点如何帮助特斯拉应对芯片短缺</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Elon Musk’s Software Focus Helped Tesla Navigate Chip Shortage<blockquote>Elon Musk的软件重点如何帮助特斯拉应对芯片短缺</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-30 21:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Electric-vehicle maker is expected to manufacture roughly 80% more vehicles this year than it did in 2020</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>电动汽车制造商预计今年的汽车产量将比2020年增加约80%</body></html></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb0a81e806760fb9d38a801cfd9e06ca\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"860\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla is on track to post its fastest annual production growth since 2018 despite parts shortages.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>尽管零部件短缺，特斯拉仍有望实现自2018年以来最快的年产量增长。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Tesla Inc. has emerged as one of the auto industry’s biggest winners in a year plagued by semiconductor shortages and snarled global supply chains. It owes that success in some measure to its Silicon Valley roots.</p><p><blockquote>在受到半导体短缺和全球供应链混乱困扰的一年里，特斯拉公司已成为汽车行业最大的赢家之一。它的成功在某种程度上归功于其硅谷根源。</blockquote></p><p>Elon Musk’s electric-vehicle maker is poised to manufacture roughly 80% more vehicles this year than it did in 2020, analyst forecasts indicate, on pace for its fastest annual production growth since 2018. The global auto industry, hit hard by supply-chain disruptions, is expected to produce around 1% more vehicles than last year and 15% fewer than in 2019, according to IHS Markit.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预测，埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的电动汽车制造商今年的汽车产量将比2020年增加约80%，有望实现自2018年以来最快的年产量增长。根据IHS Markit的数据，受到供应链中断严重打击的全球汽车行业预计将比去年增加约1%，比2019年减少15%。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla has been able to keep production lines running in part by leaning on in-house software engineering expertise that has made it more adept than many rival auto makers at adjusting to a global shortfall of semiconductors, industry executives and consultants said. Chips are used in everything from controlling an electric motor to charging a phone.</p><p><blockquote>行业高管和顾问表示，特斯拉能够在一定程度上依靠内部软件工程专业知识来保持生产线的运行，这使其比许多竞争对手汽车制造商更擅长适应全球半导体短缺的情况。芯片被用于从控制电动机到给手机充电的方方面面。</blockquote></p><p>Faced with shortages earlier this year, for example, Tesla was able to quickly rewrite the software necessary to integrate alternative chips into its vehicles, the company’s chief executive officer, Mr. Musk, has said.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉首席执行官马斯克表示，面对今年早些时候的短缺，该公司能够快速重写将替代芯片集成到其车辆中所需的软件。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f47c6438bbc065d371a0f00d2c83efe\" tg-width=\"1050\" tg-height=\"700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>In Tesla’s Model 3 sedan, a single group of semiconductors enables features such as speaker control and voice recognition, according to a study.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>根据一项研究，在特斯拉的Model 3轿车中，一组半导体可以实现扬声器控制和语音识别等功能。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Semiconductor executives and consultants said Tesla, as a still relatively young car company, had the advantage of designing its vehicles from the ground-up, rather than adding parts in a piecemeal fashion over decades as many legacy auto makers have done. That allowed Tesla to consolidate systems, some of them said.</p><p><blockquote>半导体高管和顾问表示，特斯拉作为一家仍然相对年轻的汽车公司，其优势在于从头开始设计车辆，而不是像许多传统汽车制造商那样在几十年内零敲碎打地添加零部件。他们中的一些人说，这使得特斯拉能够整合系统。</blockquote></p><p>In Tesla’s Model 3 sedan, a single group of semiconductors enables features such as speaker control and voice and gesture recognition that in many other vehicles would be controlled separately using more chips, according to a Bain &amp; Co. study based on a 2019 Model 3.</p><p><blockquote>根据贝恩公司基于2019年Model 3的一项研究，在特斯拉的Model 3轿车中，一组半导体可实现扬声器控制以及语音和手势识别等功能，而在许多其他车辆中，这些功能将使用更多芯片单独控制。</blockquote></p><p>Ganesh Moorthy, chief executive officer of semiconductor supplier Microchip Technology Inc., said electric-vehicle-focused producers benefit from being more rooted in technology than traditional car makers.</p><p><blockquote>半导体供应商Microchip Technology Inc.首席执行官Ganesh Moorthy表示，与传统汽车制造商相比，专注于电动汽车的生产商受益于更扎根于技术。</blockquote></p><p>“They are more plugged in, in many cases, and I think as a result also have been able to be more flexible in what they have built,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“在许多情况下，他们更加插电，我认为因此他们的构建也能够更加灵活，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla didn’t respond to a request for comment about its chip-sourcing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉没有回应有关其芯片采购策略的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p>Traditional auto makers often have let parts suppliers handle sourcing chips. Mr. Musk’s preference for making vehicle components in-house meant that Tesla had greater supply-chain visibility in some areas, having forged close relationships with semiconductor companies before the crisis hit, some semiconductor executives and analysts said. Tesla, for example, designed the computer that enables its advanced driver-assistance technology in newer vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>传统汽车制造商通常让零部件供应商负责采购芯片。一些半导体高管和分析师表示，马斯克更喜欢在内部制造汽车零部件，这意味着特斯拉在某些领域拥有更大的供应链知名度，因为它在危机爆发前就与半导体公司建立了密切的关系。例如，特斯拉设计了一种计算机，可以在新型车辆中实现其先进的驾驶辅助技术。</blockquote></p><p>“Anything where they decided to make something by themselves, well then they had to have a direct relationship with the semiconductor supplier,” said Nakul Duggal, who leads the automotive business of Qualcomm Inc.,which designs chips and supplies Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>高通公司汽车业务负责人纳库尔·达加尔(Nakul Duggal)表示：“如果他们决定自己制造产品，那么他们就必须与半导体供应商建立直接关系。”高通公司设计芯片并向特斯拉供货。</blockquote></p><p>The chip shortage traces back to late 2020, when demand for vehicles rebounded faster than expected from pandemic lows, catching auto makers by surprise.</p><p><blockquote>芯片短缺可以追溯到2020年底，当时汽车需求从疫情低点反弹的速度快于预期，令汽车制造商措手不及。</blockquote></p><p>Without enough semiconductors, car companies are on track to manufacture roughly 77 million vehicles globally this year, down around 9% from expectations in January, according to consulting firm AlixPartners LLP.</p><p><blockquote>根据咨询公司AlixPartners LLP的数据，如果没有足够的半导体，汽车公司今年有望在全球生产约7700万辆汽车，比1月份的预期下降约9%。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla Chief Financial Officer Zachary Kirkhorn said in October that Tesla’s expertise in the chip industry and consistent messaging to suppliers had helped the company manage supply-chain challenges.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席财务官Zachary Kirkhorn在10月份表示，特斯拉在芯片行业的专业知识以及向供应商传达的一致信息帮助该公司应对了供应链挑战。</blockquote></p><p>“We never reduced our production forecast with our suppliers as we’re adding capacity as quickly as possible,” he told analysts.</p><p><blockquote>他对分析师表示：“我们从未降低与供应商的产量预测，因为我们正在尽快增加产能。”</blockquote></p><p>Tesla hasn’t been immune to supply-chain problems. The company has run factories below capacity and, in February, briefly shut down its Fremont, Calif., plant because of parts shortages. It also worked around shortfalls by building cars with missing parts that needed to be added back later, Mr. Musk has told employees, according to a person familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉也未能幸免于供应链问题。该公司的工厂产能不足，并在2月份因零部件短缺而短暂关闭了位于加州弗里蒙特的工厂。据一位知情人士透露，马斯克告诉员工，该公司还通过制造带有缺失零件的汽车来解决短缺问题，这些零件需要稍后添加。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Mr. Musk has cited the chip shortage in delaying the rollout of new models. Tesla’s long-awaited electric pickup truck and semitrailer truck, both of which had been slated to enter production this year, are now due to enter production in 2022 and 2023, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克以芯片短缺为由推迟了新车型的推出。特斯拉期待已久的电动皮卡和半挂卡车原定于今年投入生产，现在将分别于2022年和2023年投入生产。</blockquote></p><p>Traditional car makers are now becoming more chip focused.Ford Motor Co .and General Motors Co. last month announced pacts with semiconductor companies to develop computer chips.</p><p><blockquote>传统汽车制造商现在变得更加专注于芯片。福特汽车公司和通用汽车公司上个月宣布与半导体公司达成开发计算机芯片的协议。</blockquote></p><p>Research firm Gartner Inc. forecasts that by 2025, half of the top 10 auto makers by market capitalization will be designing at least some of their own chips.</p><p><blockquote>研究公司Gartner Inc.预测，到2025年，市值排名前10的汽车制造商中有一半将至少设计一些自己的芯片。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, the world’s embrace of electric vehicles—and Tesla’s rising valuation—have made Mr. Musk’s company a more attractive customer to some parts suppliers, executives and lawyers said.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，高管和律师表示，全球对电动汽车的接受以及特斯拉不断上涨的估值，使马斯克的公司成为对一些零部件供应商更具吸引力的客户。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d1856a69b4a36f41d9ebe738b6fb9d5\" tg-width=\"1050\" tg-height=\"701\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Some traditional car makers, such as Ford, are looking to get into the semiconductor business amid computer-chip shortages.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>福特等一些传统汽车制造商正在寻求在计算机芯片短缺的情况下进入半导体业务。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Dan Sharkey, a Detroit-area attorney who represents automotive suppliers, said some of his clients are willing to do things for Tesla that they aren’t for other car makers. “They think they’re catching a rising star,” Mr. Sharkey said, adding that Tesla’s relatively small output can sometimes work in the company’s favor. “It’s sort of easy to say, okay, we’ll just take care of these little guys.”</p><p><blockquote>代表汽车供应商的底特律地区律师丹·夏基(Dan Sharkey)表示，他的一些客户愿意为特斯拉做一些不愿意为其他汽车制造商做的事情。“他们认为他们正在抓住一颗后起之秀，”夏基先生说，并补充说特斯拉相对较小的产量有时可能对公司有利。“说起来容易，好吧，我们就照顾这些小家伙吧。”</blockquote></p><p>Tesla is on pace to easily clear its target of increasing vehicle deliveries by 50% over last year’s total of nearly half a million. It put more than 627,000 vehicles in customer hands through the first nine months of the year. The company’s relatively small size—and increased demand for electric vehicles—has made it easier to sustain rapid growth. It also gave priority to getting vehicles to customers, even if they are missing a few parts.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉有望轻松实现其汽车交付量比去年近50万辆增加50%的目标。今年前9个月，该公司向客户交付了超过627,000辆汽车。该公司相对较小的规模以及对电动汽车需求的增加使其更容易维持快速增长。它还优先将车辆交付给客户，即使他们缺少一些零件。</blockquote></p><p>Mo Siddiqui, who lives in Hamburg, Germany, said he received a text message from Tesla earlier this month advising him that, due to supply-chain problems, the roughly $70,000 Model Y compact sport-utility vehicle he had purchased might be delivered without some USB ports or wireless phone charging capability.</p><p><blockquote>居住在德国汉堡的莫·西迪基(Mo Siddiqui)表示，本月早些时候，他收到了特斯拉的一条短信，通知他，由于供应链问题，他购买的价值约7万美元的Model Y紧凑型运动型多功能车可能会在没有一些USB端口或无线电话充电功能的情况下交付。</blockquote></p><p>Mr. Siddiqui, 39 years old, was able to schedule the vehicle to be retrofitted within two weeks of picking it up. “I can live with that,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>39岁的西迪基先生能够在取车后两周内安排对车辆进行改装。“我可以接受，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-elon-musks-software-focus-helped-tesla-navigate-chip-shortage-11640860208?mod=hp_lead_pos3\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-elon-musks-software-focus-helped-tesla-navigate-chip-shortage-11640860208?mod=hp_lead_pos3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138072653","content_text":"Electric-vehicle maker is expected to manufacture roughly 80% more vehicles this year than it did in 2020Tesla is on track to post its fastest annual production growth since 2018 despite parts shortages.Tesla Inc. has emerged as one of the auto industry’s biggest winners in a year plagued by semiconductor shortages and snarled global supply chains. It owes that success in some measure to its Silicon Valley roots.Elon Musk’s electric-vehicle maker is poised to manufacture roughly 80% more vehicles this year than it did in 2020, analyst forecasts indicate, on pace for its fastest annual production growth since 2018. The global auto industry, hit hard by supply-chain disruptions, is expected to produce around 1% more vehicles than last year and 15% fewer than in 2019, according to IHS Markit.Tesla has been able to keep production lines running in part by leaning on in-house software engineering expertise that has made it more adept than many rival auto makers at adjusting to a global shortfall of semiconductors, industry executives and consultants said. Chips are used in everything from controlling an electric motor to charging a phone.Faced with shortages earlier this year, for example, Tesla was able to quickly rewrite the software necessary to integrate alternative chips into its vehicles, the company’s chief executive officer, Mr. Musk, has said.In Tesla’s Model 3 sedan, a single group of semiconductors enables features such as speaker control and voice recognition, according to a study.Semiconductor executives and consultants said Tesla, as a still relatively young car company, had the advantage of designing its vehicles from the ground-up, rather than adding parts in a piecemeal fashion over decades as many legacy auto makers have done. That allowed Tesla to consolidate systems, some of them said.In Tesla’s Model 3 sedan, a single group of semiconductors enables features such as speaker control and voice and gesture recognition that in many other vehicles would be controlled separately using more chips, according to a Bain & Co. study based on a 2019 Model 3.Ganesh Moorthy, chief executive officer of semiconductor supplier Microchip Technology Inc., said electric-vehicle-focused producers benefit from being more rooted in technology than traditional car makers.“They are more plugged in, in many cases, and I think as a result also have been able to be more flexible in what they have built,” he said.Tesla didn’t respond to a request for comment about its chip-sourcing strategy.Traditional auto makers often have let parts suppliers handle sourcing chips. Mr. Musk’s preference for making vehicle components in-house meant that Tesla had greater supply-chain visibility in some areas, having forged close relationships with semiconductor companies before the crisis hit, some semiconductor executives and analysts said. Tesla, for example, designed the computer that enables its advanced driver-assistance technology in newer vehicles.“Anything where they decided to make something by themselves, well then they had to have a direct relationship with the semiconductor supplier,” said Nakul Duggal, who leads the automotive business of Qualcomm Inc.,which designs chips and supplies Tesla.The chip shortage traces back to late 2020, when demand for vehicles rebounded faster than expected from pandemic lows, catching auto makers by surprise.Without enough semiconductors, car companies are on track to manufacture roughly 77 million vehicles globally this year, down around 9% from expectations in January, according to consulting firm AlixPartners LLP.Tesla Chief Financial Officer Zachary Kirkhorn said in October that Tesla’s expertise in the chip industry and consistent messaging to suppliers had helped the company manage supply-chain challenges.“We never reduced our production forecast with our suppliers as we’re adding capacity as quickly as possible,” he told analysts.Tesla hasn’t been immune to supply-chain problems. The company has run factories below capacity and, in February, briefly shut down its Fremont, Calif., plant because of parts shortages. It also worked around shortfalls by building cars with missing parts that needed to be added back later, Mr. Musk has told employees, according to a person familiar with the matter.Mr. Musk has cited the chip shortage in delaying the rollout of new models. Tesla’s long-awaited electric pickup truck and semitrailer truck, both of which had been slated to enter production this year, are now due to enter production in 2022 and 2023, respectively.Traditional car makers are now becoming more chip focused.Ford Motor Co .and General Motors Co. last month announced pacts with semiconductor companies to develop computer chips.Research firm Gartner Inc. forecasts that by 2025, half of the top 10 auto makers by market capitalization will be designing at least some of their own chips.Meanwhile, the world’s embrace of electric vehicles—and Tesla’s rising valuation—have made Mr. Musk’s company a more attractive customer to some parts suppliers, executives and lawyers said.Some traditional car makers, such as Ford, are looking to get into the semiconductor business amid computer-chip shortages.Dan Sharkey, a Detroit-area attorney who represents automotive suppliers, said some of his clients are willing to do things for Tesla that they aren’t for other car makers. “They think they’re catching a rising star,” Mr. Sharkey said, adding that Tesla’s relatively small output can sometimes work in the company’s favor. “It’s sort of easy to say, okay, we’ll just take care of these little guys.”Tesla is on pace to easily clear its target of increasing vehicle deliveries by 50% over last year’s total of nearly half a million. It put more than 627,000 vehicles in customer hands through the first nine months of the year. The company’s relatively small size—and increased demand for electric vehicles—has made it easier to sustain rapid growth. It also gave priority to getting vehicles to customers, even if they are missing a few parts.Mo Siddiqui, who lives in Hamburg, Germany, said he received a text message from Tesla earlier this month advising him that, due to supply-chain problems, the roughly $70,000 Model Y compact sport-utility vehicle he had purchased might be delivered without some USB ports or wireless phone charging capability.Mr. Siddiqui, 39 years old, was able to schedule the vehicle to be retrofitted within two weeks of picking it up. “I can live with that,” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1012,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":840929526,"gmtCreate":1635577044062,"gmtModify":1635577044161,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840929526","repostId":"1160516340","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160516340","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635576015,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160516340?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-30 14:40","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?<blockquote>万圣节的5只股票：它们会是“不给糖就捣蛋”吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160516340","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the ","content":"<p><div> Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat. Here’s a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>万圣节将于周日庆祝，与2020年在新冠肺炎疫情举行的活动相比，可能会发生重大变化，许多人取消了派对和“不给糖就捣蛋”的计划。这是一个...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?<blockquote>万圣节的5只股票：它们会是“不给糖就捣蛋”吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?<blockquote>万圣节的5只股票：它们会是“不给糖就捣蛋”吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-30 14:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat. Here’s a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>万圣节将于周日庆祝，与2020年在新冠肺炎疫情举行的活动相比，可能会发生重大变化，许多人取消了派对和“不给糖就捣蛋”的计划。这是一个...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CHCO":"City Holding Company","TR":"Tootsie Roll Industries Inc","AMCX":"AMC网络公司","HSY":"好时","JAKK":"杰克仕太平洋"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160516340","content_text":"Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat.\nHere’s a look at what the data is pointing to for 2021 Halloween spending and five stocks to keep on the radar that could turn in strong quarters that include the holiday.\nHalloween Sales Expectations:Consumers feel more comfortable resuming normal Halloween activities according to theNational Retail Federation.\n“This year, two-thirds (65%) of consumers plan to celebrate one of America’s favorite holidays, up from 58% in 2020,” NRF said.\nThe NRF sees consumers spending an average of $102.74 this year on Halloween, which would be the first time the figure has hit triple digits. Estimates last year were for spending of $92.12 by each consumer.\nResearch points to candy and costumes as big winners by the return of Halloween activities along with decorations. Spending on decorations is expected to hit $3.3 billion, an all-time high.\nIs Coca-Cola's Stock Overvalued OrUndervalued?\nHalloween 2021 will also see a higher number of people without kids celebrating than in 2020. Estimates call for 55% of homes without children to celebrate, compared to 49% in 2020. The figure falls in line with pre-pandemic levels of anticipated adult costume spending.\nTootsie Roll:Candy companyTootsie Roll Industries Inc\nTR-0.47%is a popular option for anyone handing out candy to trick or treaters. If you’ve ever gone trick or treating, chances are you got a ton of tootsie rolls, given their lower cost for anyone buying for a large number of visitors.\nThe companyreportedthird-quarter sales of $183.1 million, up 17% year-over-year. The company saw a dip in fourth-quarter revenue last year compared to the prior year. Look for Tootsie Roll to see a rebound in the fourth quarter.\nHershey:The Hershey Co\nHSY-2.28%has diversified its products to include several snack brands, but candy remains the big revenue driver. The company owns many of the popular brands that will be sought out by trick or treaters. Hershey’sthird-quarterrevenue of $2.4 billion was the highest it has seen in years on a quarterly basis.\n“Consumer demand for our brands has remained robust,” Hershey Company CEOMichele Bucksaid. The company raised full-year sales guidance and a strong Halloween could help meet or exceed the updated expectations.\nJakks Pacific:Toy companyJakks Pacific Inc\nJAKK-4.38%finds itself on the Halloween list thanks to its ownership of Disguise, the world’s leading costume design and manufacturing company. With more adults dressing up and a return of trick or treat activities, the company could be in for a strong quarter.\nThe company’sthird-quarterrevenue was $237 million, which included $64 million in revenue for the costumes segment. Costume sales were up 16.4% year-over-year and the fourth quarter could continue that trend. Jakks Pacific had revenue of $128.3 million in the fourth quarter last year, a decline from the prior year. Last year’s fourth quarter featured a 91% year-over-year increase in costumes segment revenue. The third and fourth quarters are the company’s two biggest quarters for revenue.\nParty City:Retailer$Party City Holdco(PRTY)$ Inc\nPRTY+2.97%could be a popular destination for Halloween costumes and decorations. The company ended thesecond quarterwith 749 locations and is also a provider of third-party products to other retailers.\nSecond-quarter revenue was up 110% year-over-year for the company.\n“We saw sequential acceleration of the business as the economy opened up and restrictions subsided, driving increased consumer ability to celebrate,” Party City CEOBrad Westonsaid. The company will report third-quarter earnings on Nov. 9, which could provide a better look at how the Halloween shopping looked.\nAMC Networks:Media companyAMC Networks\nAMCX-2.04%finds itself on the Halloween stock list thanks to its ownership of “The Walking Dead” franchise, horror film programming and as owner of horror focused streaming platform Shudder. AMC isairing“FearFest” from Oct. 1 through Oct. 31 on its namesake AMC and AMC+ channels, which could turn into a subscriber boosting event.\n“The Walking Dead” returned to the network with its final season beginning Oct. 10, which could be another October event to watch. Shudder, which is the largest horror focused streaming platform, is available for $4.75 a month on major streaming platforms. The platformhitone million subscribers in 2020. Pizza Hut, aYum Brands Inc\nYUM-0.75%company,partneredwith Shudder to offer a promotion for 30 days free.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HSY":0.9,"JAKK":0.9,"CHCO":0.9,"AMCX":0.9,"TR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607023716,"gmtCreate":1639460962891,"gmtModify":1639460989827,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls like","listText":"pls like","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607023716","repostId":"1193701389","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193701389","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639460770,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193701389?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 13:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>英伟达股价为何持续下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193701389","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Nvidia has been a big gainer, but now other, smaller chip stocks look cheaper.","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;company&nbsp;<b>Nvidia</b>&nbsp;dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>半导体公司股票<b>英伟达</b>周一再次下跌——截至收盘下跌6.8%——连续第四天下跌。今天的下跌背后似乎没有任何特别的消息，至少不是针对英伟达的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe9777cd8866f53c260abe399593d3d0\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> From a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.</p><p><blockquote>从大局来看，这个消息并不好。CNBC今天早上报道称，持续的芯片短缺可能会抑制今年的圣诞购物。</blockquote></p><p> Although high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对高端英伟达图形芯片的高需求通常对该公司及其定价能力来说是个好消息，但该网络指出，“半导体是越来越多产品的幕后黑手”，但“用芯片制造的东西并不只是使用一个芯片。”因此，即使是有幸获得其所需的所有Nvidia芯片的PC制造商，如果无法获得构建产品所需的所有电源控制、内存和其他芯片，也可能无法销售其PC。或者，如果制造商知道无法获得其他芯片，它可能一开始就不会购买Nvidia芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> That's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.</p><p><blockquote>这是英伟达投资者面临的风险之一。不过，更大的风险可能是其飞涨的股价。</blockquote></p><p> This morning, analysts at&nbsp;<b>JPMorgan</b>, at&nbsp;<b>UBS</b>, at&nbsp;<b>Barclays</b>,<b>Citigroup</b>, R.W. Baird, and&nbsp;<b>Evercore</b>&nbsp;ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended&nbsp;<b>Qualcomm</b>&nbsp;for its earnings upside, Evercore picked&nbsp;<b>Micron</b>&nbsp;as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on&nbsp;<b>Broadcom</b>&nbsp;based on demand for its products,TheFly.com&nbsp;reported today.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午，分析师<b>摩根大通</b>，和<b>瑞银</b>，和<b>巴克莱银行</b>,<b>花旗集团</b>，R.W.贝尔德，和<b>Evercore</b>ISI列举了一系列他们喜欢并认为被低估的半导体芯片制造商，英伟达不在其中。摩根推荐<b>Qualcomm</b>由于其盈利上升，Evercore选择了<b>微米</b>作为一只“结构性被低估”的股票，巴克莱、贝尔德和花旗上调了目标价<b>Broadcom</b>根据对其产品的需求，TheFly.com今天报道。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>Nvidia股票的售价是往绩市盈率的93倍。美光科技的市盈率不到17倍；高通为23倍，博通为47倍。很明显，为什么华尔街可能认为这些股票比英伟达相对更划算。</blockquote></p><p> And it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to&nbsp;cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively&nbsp;cheaper stocks.</p><p><blockquote>同样清楚的是，为什么一些投资者可能认为现在是兑现一些英伟达股票奖金并将其再投资于相对便宜的股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>英伟达股价为何持续下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>英伟达股价为何持续下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 13:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;company&nbsp;<b>Nvidia</b>&nbsp;dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>半导体公司股票<b>英伟达</b>周一再次下跌——截至收盘下跌6.8%——连续第四天下跌。今天的下跌背后似乎没有任何特别的消息，至少不是针对英伟达的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe9777cd8866f53c260abe399593d3d0\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> From a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.</p><p><blockquote>从大局来看，这个消息并不好。CNBC今天早上报道称，持续的芯片短缺可能会抑制今年的圣诞购物。</blockquote></p><p> Although high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对高端英伟达图形芯片的高需求通常对该公司及其定价能力来说是个好消息，但该网络指出，“半导体是越来越多产品的幕后黑手”，但“用芯片制造的东西并不只是使用一个芯片。”因此，即使是有幸获得其所需的所有Nvidia芯片的PC制造商，如果无法获得构建产品所需的所有电源控制、内存和其他芯片，也可能无法销售其PC。或者，如果制造商知道无法获得其他芯片，它可能一开始就不会购买Nvidia芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> That's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.</p><p><blockquote>这是英伟达投资者面临的风险之一。不过，更大的风险可能是其飞涨的股价。</blockquote></p><p> This morning, analysts at&nbsp;<b>JPMorgan</b>, at&nbsp;<b>UBS</b>, at&nbsp;<b>Barclays</b>,<b>Citigroup</b>, R.W. Baird, and&nbsp;<b>Evercore</b>&nbsp;ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended&nbsp;<b>Qualcomm</b>&nbsp;for its earnings upside, Evercore picked&nbsp;<b>Micron</b>&nbsp;as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on&nbsp;<b>Broadcom</b>&nbsp;based on demand for its products,TheFly.com&nbsp;reported today.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午，分析师<b>摩根大通</b>，和<b>瑞银</b>，和<b>巴克莱银行</b>,<b>花旗集团</b>，R.W.贝尔德，和<b>Evercore</b>ISI列举了一系列他们喜欢并认为被低估的半导体芯片制造商，英伟达不在其中。摩根推荐<b>Qualcomm</b>由于其盈利上升，Evercore选择了<b>微米</b>作为一只“结构性被低估”的股票，巴克莱、贝尔德和花旗上调了目标价<b>Broadcom</b>根据对其产品的需求，TheFly.com今天报道。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>Nvidia股票的售价是往绩市盈率的93倍。美光科技的市盈率不到17倍；高通为23倍，博通为47倍。很明显，为什么华尔街可能认为这些股票比英伟达相对更划算。</blockquote></p><p> And it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to&nbsp;cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively&nbsp;cheaper stocks.</p><p><blockquote>同样清楚的是，为什么一些投资者可能认为现在是兑现一些英伟达股票奖金并将其再投资于相对便宜的股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-nvidia-stock-keeps-dropping/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-nvidia-stock-keeps-dropping/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193701389","content_text":"What happened\nShares of semiconductor company Nvidia dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nSo what\nFrom a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.\nAlthough high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.\nNow what\nThat's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.\nThis morning, analysts at JPMorgan, at UBS, at Barclays,Citigroup, R.W. Baird, and Evercore ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended Qualcomm for its earnings upside, Evercore picked Micron as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on Broadcom based on demand for its products,TheFly.com reported today.\nNvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.\nAnd it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively cheaper stocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873445690,"gmtCreate":1636981782018,"gmtModify":1636981783642,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873445690","repostId":"1124063419","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124063419","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636981410,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124063419?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-15 21:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124063419","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earn","content":"<p>Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earnings results out from major U.S. companies later this week.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd814193ce3a21c26ecb73c6e576fc6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">At 8:00 a.m. ET, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up&nbsp;10.75&nbsp;points, or 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 e-minis&nbsp;were up&nbsp;34.5&nbsp;points, or 0.21%, and Dow e-minis&nbsp; were&nbsp;up&nbsp;118&nbsp;points, or 0.33%.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者等待本周晚些时候美国主要公司公布的关键零售销售和盈利结果，股指期货周一上午开盘走高。截至美国东部时间上午8:00，标普500 e-minis上涨10.75点，涨幅0.23%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨34.5点，涨幅0.21%，道指e-minis上涨118点，涨幅0.33%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors this week are also&nbsp;set to receive new data&nbsp;from the Commerce Department on U.S. retail sales. The report is likely to show a 1.3% month-on-month jump in sales for October after a more sanguine 0.7% rise in September. And retail earnings results from major names including Walmart, Target, Home Depot and Lowe's will offer additional details on the state of the consumer.</p><p><blockquote>投资者本周还将收到商务部关于美国零售销售的新数据。该报告可能显示，继9月份销售额增长0.7%后，10月份销售额环比增长1.3%。沃尔玛、塔吉特、家得宝和劳氏等主要品牌的零售盈利结果将提供有关消费者状况的更多详细信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">Oatly Group AB</a> – The oat milk producer lost 7 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 10 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. Revenue came in below forecasts, however, and its shares tumbled 14.1% in premarket action. Oatly said it faced challenges related to various Covid-related restrictions, but that it continues to scale up production.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">奥特利集团AB</a>-这家燕麦牛奶生产商最近一个季度每股亏损7美分，小于分析师预期的每股亏损10美分。然而，收入低于预期，其股价在盘前下跌14.1%。Oatly表示，它面临着与新冠病毒相关的各种限制相关的挑战，但它将继续扩大生产规模。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> – Tesla slid 2.1% in premarket trading after a weekly loss last week ended an 11-week winning streak. Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $7 billion in stock last week.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>-特斯拉在上周的每周下跌结束了11周的连涨后，盘前交易中下跌2.1%。特斯拉CEO Elon Musk上周出售了近70亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">Dollar Tree</a> – Dollar Tree surged 8.3% in the premarket after activist investor Mantle Ridge took a stake in the discount retailer. The Wall Street Journal reports that Mantle Ridge wants Dollar Tree to take action to boost its stock price and is focusing on pricing strategies at the company’s Family Dollar chain. The news prompted Deutsche Bank to upgrade the stock to “buy” from “hold,” citing potential improvements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">美元树</a>-激进投资者Mantle Ridge入股这家折扣零售商后，Dollar Tree盘前股价飙升8.3%。《华尔街日报》报道称，Mantle Ridge希望Dollar Tree采取行动提振其股价，并专注于该公司家族Dollar chain的定价策略。这一消息促使德意志银行将该股评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，理由是潜在的改善。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> – The beef and poultry producer earned $2.30 per share for its fiscal fourth quarter, 27 cents a share above estimates. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well. Tyson also announced a new productivity program that it says will save $1 billion annually by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>-这家牛肉和家禽生产商第四财季每股收益2.30美元，比预期高出27美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。泰森食品还宣布了一项新的生产力计划，据称到2024年底每年将节省10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">American Tower</a> – The communications infrastructure real estate investment trust is buying data center REITCoreSite Realty(COR) for $170 per share in cash, or about $10.1 billion. CoreSite rose 2.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">美国塔</a>–通信基础设施房地产投资信托基金将以每股170美元现金（约合101亿美元）收购数据中心REITCoreSite Realty(COR)。CoreSite在盘前上涨2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker and striking workers reached a third tentative contract agreement after the first two were rejected. Neither side gave details on the new agreement and it is not yet clear when a vote will take place. Workers have been off the job since Oct. 14.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>-重型设备制造商和罢工工人在前两份合同被拒绝后达成了第三份暂定合同协议。双方都没有透露新协议的细节，目前还不清楚何时会进行投票。自10月14日以来，工人们一直失业。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo Inc.</a> – The operator of public EV charging networks saw its stock tank by 7.7% in the premarket, after Credit Suisse downgraded it to “neutral” from “outperform.” The company said a recent rally in the stock has likely priced in benefits from the infrastructure bill as well as recent partnership announcements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo公司。</a>-在瑞士信贷将公共电动汽车充电网络运营商的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“中性”后，其股价在盘前下跌了7.7%。该公司表示，该股最近的上涨可能已经消化了基础设施法案以及最近合作伙伴关系公告的好处。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">Royal Dutch Shell PLC</a> – Royal Dutch Shell plans to scrap its dual share structure and also drop the “Royal Dutch” part of its corporate name. The announcement comes amid calls by activist investor Third Point to split up the energy giant into several companies to increase shareholder value. Class “A” shares gained 1.5% in premarket action, while class “B” shares rose 1.1%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">荷兰皇家壳牌公司</a>-荷兰皇家壳牌计划取消其双重股权结构，并删除其公司名称中的“荷兰皇家”部分。这一消息是在激进投资者Third Point评级将这家能源巨头拆分为几家公司以增加股东价值之际发布的。“A”类股在盘前上涨1.5%，而“B”类股上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">Boeing</a> – Boeing Senior Vice President Ihssane Mounir said the jet maker is “getting close” to resuming deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner, after suspending them to deal with production issues. Mounir said the exact timing depends on the outcome of ongoing talks with regulators. The stock added 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音公司</a>-波音公司高级副总裁Ihssane Mounir表示，该喷气式飞机制造商在暂停交付787梦想飞机以处理生产问题后，“即将”恢复交付。穆尼尔表示，具体时间取决于与监管机构正在进行的谈判结果。该股盘前上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – The pet products retailer’s stock slid 2.9% in premarket trading after Jefferies downgraded it to “hold” from “buy.” Jefferies cited valuation after a 26% rise over three months, as well as challenging labor conditions in Petco’s veterinary business.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco健康和保健公司。</a>-杰富瑞(Jefferies)将该宠物产品零售商的评级从“买入”下调至“持有”后，该公司股价在盘前交易中下跌2.9%。杰富瑞(Jefferies)列举了三个月内上涨26%后的估值，以及Petco兽医业务充满挑战的劳动条件。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.</a> – Morgan Stanley began coverage of the cybersecurity company with an “underweight” rating, noting increasing competition and pricing pressure. Crowdstrike slid 4.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike控股公司。</a>-摩根士丹利开始对这家网络安全公司给予“跑输大盘”评级，并指出竞争和定价压力不断加剧。Crowdstrike盘前下跌4.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-15 21:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earnings results out from major U.S. companies later this week.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd814193ce3a21c26ecb73c6e576fc6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">At 8:00 a.m. ET, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up&nbsp;10.75&nbsp;points, or 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 e-minis&nbsp;were up&nbsp;34.5&nbsp;points, or 0.21%, and Dow e-minis&nbsp; were&nbsp;up&nbsp;118&nbsp;points, or 0.33%.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者等待本周晚些时候美国主要公司公布的关键零售销售和盈利结果，股指期货周一上午开盘走高。截至美国东部时间上午8:00，标普500 e-minis上涨10.75点，涨幅0.23%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨34.5点，涨幅0.21%，道指e-minis上涨118点，涨幅0.33%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors this week are also&nbsp;set to receive new data&nbsp;from the Commerce Department on U.S. retail sales. The report is likely to show a 1.3% month-on-month jump in sales for October after a more sanguine 0.7% rise in September. And retail earnings results from major names including Walmart, Target, Home Depot and Lowe's will offer additional details on the state of the consumer.</p><p><blockquote>投资者本周还将收到商务部关于美国零售销售的新数据。该报告可能显示，继9月份销售额增长0.7%后，10月份销售额环比增长1.3%。沃尔玛、塔吉特、家得宝和劳氏等主要品牌的零售盈利结果将提供有关消费者状况的更多详细信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">Oatly Group AB</a> – The oat milk producer lost 7 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 10 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. Revenue came in below forecasts, however, and its shares tumbled 14.1% in premarket action. Oatly said it faced challenges related to various Covid-related restrictions, but that it continues to scale up production.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">奥特利集团AB</a>-这家燕麦牛奶生产商最近一个季度每股亏损7美分，小于分析师预期的每股亏损10美分。然而，收入低于预期，其股价在盘前下跌14.1%。Oatly表示，它面临着与新冠病毒相关的各种限制相关的挑战，但它将继续扩大生产规模。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> – Tesla slid 2.1% in premarket trading after a weekly loss last week ended an 11-week winning streak. Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $7 billion in stock last week.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>-特斯拉在上周的每周下跌结束了11周的连涨后，盘前交易中下跌2.1%。特斯拉CEO Elon Musk上周出售了近70亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">Dollar Tree</a> – Dollar Tree surged 8.3% in the premarket after activist investor Mantle Ridge took a stake in the discount retailer. The Wall Street Journal reports that Mantle Ridge wants Dollar Tree to take action to boost its stock price and is focusing on pricing strategies at the company’s Family Dollar chain. The news prompted Deutsche Bank to upgrade the stock to “buy” from “hold,” citing potential improvements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">美元树</a>-激进投资者Mantle Ridge入股这家折扣零售商后，Dollar Tree盘前股价飙升8.3%。《华尔街日报》报道称，Mantle Ridge希望Dollar Tree采取行动提振其股价，并专注于该公司家族Dollar chain的定价策略。这一消息促使德意志银行将该股评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，理由是潜在的改善。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> – The beef and poultry producer earned $2.30 per share for its fiscal fourth quarter, 27 cents a share above estimates. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well. Tyson also announced a new productivity program that it says will save $1 billion annually by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>-这家牛肉和家禽生产商第四财季每股收益2.30美元，比预期高出27美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。泰森食品还宣布了一项新的生产力计划，据称到2024年底每年将节省10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">American Tower</a> – The communications infrastructure real estate investment trust is buying data center REITCoreSite Realty(COR) for $170 per share in cash, or about $10.1 billion. CoreSite rose 2.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">美国塔</a>–通信基础设施房地产投资信托基金将以每股170美元现金（约合101亿美元）收购数据中心REITCoreSite Realty(COR)。CoreSite在盘前上涨2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker and striking workers reached a third tentative contract agreement after the first two were rejected. Neither side gave details on the new agreement and it is not yet clear when a vote will take place. Workers have been off the job since Oct. 14.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>-重型设备制造商和罢工工人在前两份合同被拒绝后达成了第三份暂定合同协议。双方都没有透露新协议的细节，目前还不清楚何时会进行投票。自10月14日以来，工人们一直失业。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo Inc.</a> – The operator of public EV charging networks saw its stock tank by 7.7% in the premarket, after Credit Suisse downgraded it to “neutral” from “outperform.” The company said a recent rally in the stock has likely priced in benefits from the infrastructure bill as well as recent partnership announcements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo公司。</a>-在瑞士信贷将公共电动汽车充电网络运营商的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“中性”后，其股价在盘前下跌了7.7%。该公司表示，该股最近的上涨可能已经消化了基础设施法案以及最近合作伙伴关系公告的好处。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">Royal Dutch Shell PLC</a> – Royal Dutch Shell plans to scrap its dual share structure and also drop the “Royal Dutch” part of its corporate name. The announcement comes amid calls by activist investor Third Point to split up the energy giant into several companies to increase shareholder value. Class “A” shares gained 1.5% in premarket action, while class “B” shares rose 1.1%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">荷兰皇家壳牌公司</a>-荷兰皇家壳牌计划取消其双重股权结构，并删除其公司名称中的“荷兰皇家”部分。这一消息是在激进投资者Third Point评级将这家能源巨头拆分为几家公司以增加股东价值之际发布的。“A”类股在盘前上涨1.5%，而“B”类股上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">Boeing</a> – Boeing Senior Vice President Ihssane Mounir said the jet maker is “getting close” to resuming deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner, after suspending them to deal with production issues. Mounir said the exact timing depends on the outcome of ongoing talks with regulators. The stock added 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音公司</a>-波音公司高级副总裁Ihssane Mounir表示，该喷气式飞机制造商在暂停交付787梦想飞机以处理生产问题后，“即将”恢复交付。穆尼尔表示，具体时间取决于与监管机构正在进行的谈判结果。该股盘前上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – The pet products retailer’s stock slid 2.9% in premarket trading after Jefferies downgraded it to “hold” from “buy.” Jefferies cited valuation after a 26% rise over three months, as well as challenging labor conditions in Petco’s veterinary business.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco健康和保健公司。</a>-杰富瑞(Jefferies)将该宠物产品零售商的评级从“买入”下调至“持有”后，该公司股价在盘前交易中下跌2.9%。杰富瑞(Jefferies)列举了三个月内上涨26%后的估值，以及Petco兽医业务充满挑战的劳动条件。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.</a> – Morgan Stanley began coverage of the cybersecurity company with an “underweight” rating, noting increasing competition and pricing pressure. Crowdstrike slid 4.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike控股公司。</a>-摩根士丹利开始对这家网络安全公司给予“跑输大盘”评级，并指出竞争和定价压力不断加剧。Crowdstrike盘前下跌4.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124063419","content_text":"Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earnings results out from major U.S. companies later this week.At 8:00 a.m. ET, S&P 500 e-minis were up 10.75 points, or 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 34.5 points, or 0.21%, and Dow e-minis  were up 118 points, or 0.33%.\nInvestors this week are also set to receive new data from the Commerce Department on U.S. retail sales. The report is likely to show a 1.3% month-on-month jump in sales for October after a more sanguine 0.7% rise in September. And retail earnings results from major names including Walmart, Target, Home Depot and Lowe's will offer additional details on the state of the consumer.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nOatly Group AB – The oat milk producer lost 7 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 10 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. Revenue came in below forecasts, however, and its shares tumbled 14.1% in premarket action. Oatly said it faced challenges related to various Covid-related restrictions, but that it continues to scale up production.\nTesla Motors – Tesla slid 2.1% in premarket trading after a weekly loss last week ended an 11-week winning streak. Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $7 billion in stock last week.\nDollar Tree – Dollar Tree surged 8.3% in the premarket after activist investor Mantle Ridge took a stake in the discount retailer. The Wall Street Journal reports that Mantle Ridge wants Dollar Tree to take action to boost its stock price and is focusing on pricing strategies at the company’s Family Dollar chain. The news prompted Deutsche Bank to upgrade the stock to “buy” from “hold,” citing potential improvements.\nTyson – The beef and poultry producer earned $2.30 per share for its fiscal fourth quarter, 27 cents a share above estimates. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well. Tyson also announced a new productivity program that it says will save $1 billion annually by the end of 2024.\nAmerican Tower – The communications infrastructure real estate investment trust is buying data center REITCoreSite Realty(COR) for $170 per share in cash, or about $10.1 billion. CoreSite rose 2.6% in premarket action.\nJohn Deere – The heavy equipment maker and striking workers reached a third tentative contract agreement after the first two were rejected. Neither side gave details on the new agreement and it is not yet clear when a vote will take place. Workers have been off the job since Oct. 14.\nEVgo Inc. – The operator of public EV charging networks saw its stock tank by 7.7% in the premarket, after Credit Suisse downgraded it to “neutral” from “outperform.” The company said a recent rally in the stock has likely priced in benefits from the infrastructure bill as well as recent partnership announcements.\nRoyal Dutch Shell PLC – Royal Dutch Shell plans to scrap its dual share structure and also drop the “Royal Dutch” part of its corporate name. The announcement comes amid calls by activist investor Third Point to split up the energy giant into several companies to increase shareholder value. Class “A” shares gained 1.5% in premarket action, while class “B” shares rose 1.1%.\nBoeing – Boeing Senior Vice President Ihssane Mounir said the jet maker is “getting close” to resuming deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner, after suspending them to deal with production issues. Mounir said the exact timing depends on the outcome of ongoing talks with regulators. The stock added 2.7% in the premarket.\nPetco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. – The pet products retailer’s stock slid 2.9% in premarket trading after Jefferies downgraded it to “hold” from “buy.” Jefferies cited valuation after a 26% rise over three months, as well as challenging labor conditions in Petco’s veterinary business.\nCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. – Morgan Stanley began coverage of the cybersecurity company with an “underweight” rating, noting increasing competition and pricing pressure. Crowdstrike slid 4.6% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":167885332,"gmtCreate":1624259015826,"gmtModify":1634008762039,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"comments pls","listText":"comments pls","text":"comments pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167885332","repostId":"2145083294","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":694025692,"gmtCreate":1641727235435,"gmtModify":1641727235721,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694025692","repostId":"1198290127","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198290127","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641702682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198290127?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-09 12:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198290127","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-09 12:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198290127","content_text":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.AAPL: the bull caseAs Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.AAPL: the bear caseDespite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.The Apple Maven’s takeI continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":190611776,"gmtCreate":1620615239695,"gmtModify":1634197669839,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$Tencent Music(TME)$</a>this stock will fly to $20, mark my words","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$Tencent Music(TME)$</a>this stock will fly to $20, mark my words","text":"$Tencent Music(TME)$this stock will fly to $20, mark my words","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190611776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3484963917483555","authorId":"3484963917483555","name":"2024一个亿小目标","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c9fba57a8e2d274b7671f30a4469b39","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3484963917483555","authorIdStr":"3484963917483555"},"content":"everybody knows it, but when? [笑哭]","text":"everybody knows it, but when? [笑哭]","html":"everybody knows it, but when? [笑哭]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189676585,"gmtCreate":1623262719847,"gmtModify":1634035211760,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"comment pls","listText":"comment pls","text":"comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189676585","repostId":"1135487602","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135487602","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623254102,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135487602?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-09 23:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"With Fed's Reverse Repo Hitting Half A Trillion, Wall Street Scrambles To Figure Out What Comes Next<blockquote>随着美联储逆回购规模达到5000亿美元，华尔街争先恐后地弄清楚接下来会发生什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135487602","media":"zerohedge","summary":"With usage of the Fed's overnight reverse repo facility again hitting a new record high on Tuesday, ","content":"<p>With usage of the Fed's overnight reverse repo facility again hitting a new record high on Tuesday, rising to an all-time high of $497.4 billion...</p><p><blockquote>随着美联储隔夜逆回购工具的使用量周二再次创下历史新高，升至4974亿美元的历史新高……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b9d2bb6af82c6f76849da52e9583a94\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"259\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... rates traders are trying to decide if the Fed will tweak the rate on either the IOER (Interest on Excess Reserves) or the Reverse Repo Facility, collectively the Fed's \"administered rates\" in order to ease the liquidity congestion that has parked half a trillion dollars at the Fed where it is sitting inert, doing nothing.</p><p><blockquote>...利率交易员正试图决定美联储是否会调整IOER（超额准备金利息）或逆回购工具（统称为美联储的“管理利率”）的利率，以缓解流动性拥堵，美联储无所作为，无所作为。</blockquote></p><p> One strategist who believes there is a \"small chance\" the Fed will adjust its IOER/RRP rate is Deutsche Bank's Steven Zeng, who also cited concern about the quarter-end balance sheet squeeze, which is less than the futures market is currently pricing.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行的Steven Zeng是一位认为美联储调整IOER/RRP利率的“可能性很小”的策略师，他还提到了对季末资产负债表紧缩的担忧，这低于期货市场目前的定价。</blockquote></p><p> As a reminder, the Fed’s ongoing $120BN in monthly QE and Treasury’s continued drawdown of its cash balance, create permanent reserves that are sitting on bank balance sheets.</p><p><blockquote>需要提醒的是，美联储每月持续1200亿美元的量化宽松政策以及财政部持续缩减现金余额，创造了银行资产负债表上的永久储备。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e284a2218c963fffabe80f6e92118f5\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"342\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, demand for deposits adds to the bloat and forces banks to supply these liabilities and hold lower-yielding assets.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，对存款的需求加剧了通货膨胀，迫使银行提供这些负债并持有收益率较低的资产。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08c9dd332a2a6bf7d3ef51328649fc99\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"346\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This puts downward pressure on banks’ supplementary leverage ratios,<b>so now institutions must either raise capital or reduce loans</b>. In this context, the Fed’s RRP acts as a “release valve” for deposits to leave banks’ balance sheets via inflows into money funds, which are then deposited at the facility.</p><p><blockquote>这给银行的补充杠杆率带来了下行压力，<b>所以现在机构要么筹集资金，要么减少贷款</b>在这种情况下，美联储的RRP充当了存款通过流入货币基金离开银行资产负债表的“释放阀”，然后存入该设施。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/141d0979a36d1c83edb097f1181ee6eb\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"345\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> According to Zeng, and as we have explained previously, the main merit of raising the RRP rate is to make money funds a “more attractive option to bank deposits,” which can allow institutions to push out more deposits and better manage their balance-sheet size until a “more permanent change to bank capital rules is made.”</p><p><blockquote>曾表示，正如我们之前解释的那样，提高建议零售价的主要优点是使货币基金成为“比银行存款更具吸引力的选择”，这可以让机构推出更多存款并更好地管理其资产负债表规模，直到“银行资本规则发生更永久的变化”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db701c691b65734c79e446994ff9334f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"349\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Currently, money-market yields are low and their margins are squeezed,<b>so a boost to the RRP rate would make money funds a “more attractive option than bank deposits,” allowing more cash to leave the banking sector.</b>Separately, JPMorgan writes that most money-market funds have not reached their counterparty limits at the Federal Reserve’s overnight reverse repurchase agreement facility so they may not have to adjust their thresholds at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>目前，货币市场收益率较低，利润率受到挤压，<b>因此，提高RRP利率将使货币基金成为“比银行存款更具吸引力的选择”，从而让更多现金离开银行业。</b>另外，摩根大通写道，大多数货币市场基金尚未达到美联储隔夜逆回购协议工具的交易对手限额，因此目前可能不必调整门槛。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, one can't have an increase in one rate without the other, since in the fed funds market, lenders who have access to the RRP will demand higher rates, but borrowers may respond with reduced demand leading to a “more erratic fed funds rate.” This means an increase in the RRP rate<b>“needs to be accompanied by an equal or larger increase to the IOER.”</b></p><p><blockquote>当然，一种利率不可能在没有另一种利率的情况下提高，因为在联邦基金市场中，有权获得建议零售价的贷方会要求更高的利率，但借款人可能会减少需求，导致“联邦基金利率更加不稳定”。这意味着RRP率的提高<b>“需要伴随着与IOER相等或更大的增长。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Zeng conveniently summarizes the costs and benefits of an administered rate tweak in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>曾在下表中方便地总结了管理费率调整的成本和收益：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7986a90f98f09803f58aab1f142833b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"350\">On the other end of the spectrum are Jefferies economists Thomas Simons and Aneta Markowska who pointed to recent rise in yields at Treasury bill auctions in anticipation of potential Federal Reserve adjustments to its adminstered rates, but according to the duo, \"the rise could compel the central bank to stay put.\" (earlier this week, the Treasury sold 3-month bills at 0.025% and 6-month bills at 0.04%, which were both the highest stopout yields since April 19).</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家托马斯·西蒙斯(Thomas Simons)和阿内塔·马科夫斯卡(Aneta Markowska)指出，由于预期美联储可能会调整其管理利率，近期国库券拍卖收益率上升，但两人表示，“这种上升可能会迫使央行按兵不动。”（本周早些时候，财政部以0.025%的利率出售3个月期票据，以0.04%的利率出售6个月期票据，这两个利率都是自4月19日以来的最高止损收益率）。</blockquote></p><p> Simons and Markowska explain the reflexive paradox as follows: \"concerns about an IOER hike are preventing yields from falling any further, despite the huge amount of cash looking for a home in the front-end.\" As a result, \"<b>perversely, this concern may actually prevent an IOER hike, should yields continue to hover at these levels.”</b></p><p><blockquote>Simons和Markowska对这种反射性悖论的解释如下：“尽管有大量现金在前端寻找归宿，但对IOER上涨的担忧正在阻止收益率进一步下跌。”结果，“<b>反常的是，如果收益率继续徘徊在这些水平，这种担忧实际上可能会阻止IOER的上涨。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Another paradox: the two conclude that \"it is hard to see the Fed judging that there is ‘undue pressure’ on the front-end even\" even as the Fed reverse repo is expected to rise above $500 billion today.</p><p><blockquote>另一个悖论是：两人得出的结论是，“即使美联储逆回购预计今天将升至5000亿美元以上，也很难看到美联储判断前端存在‘过度压力’”。</blockquote></p><p> So what does the market think? Well, according to Curvature's repo guru Scott Skyrm, as of this moment the market does not appear to be expecting an IOER hike by the Fed next week, meaning that consensus expected Powell &amp; Co. to do nothing to ease the record liquidity parked at the Fed.</p><p><blockquote>那么市场怎么看呢？Curvature的回购专家Scott Skyrm表示，目前市场似乎并不预计美联储下周会加息，这意味着人们普遍预计鲍威尔公司不会采取任何措施来缓解美联储创纪录的流动性。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As the Curvature strategist wrote in a Tuesday note, \"the market is pricing two things from the Fed. First, it's pricing the first tightening in 2023 - according to the fed funds futures contracts [graph upper right]. Too far out to even guess the month! Second, the market is pricing the GC/fed funds spread to gradually narrow over the next year. Whereas GC is averaging between 5 and 6 basis points below fed funds now, it's expected to trade flat to fed funds within a year.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如这位Curvature策略师在周二的一份报告中所写的那样，“市场正在为美联储的两件事定价。首先，它正在为2023年的首次紧缩定价——根据联邦基金期货合约[右上图]。太远了，甚至无法猜测月份！其次，市场正在定价GC/联邦基金利差在明年逐渐缩小。尽管GC目前平均比联邦基金低5至6个基点，但预计一年内将与联邦基金持平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42c7e46d0816b34f2291c95dcffee4c9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"337\">As Skyrm concludes, \"there are only two possible Fed \"technical adjustments\" that can raise Repo rates: QE tapering and an RRP rate increase.<b>An increase in the IOER would raise both fed funds and Repo GC, so we could say the market is NOT pricing an IOER increase.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote>正如Skyrm总结的那样，“只有两种可能的美联储“技术调整”可以提高回购利率：QE缩减和RRP利率上调。<b>IOER的增加将提高联邦基金和回购GC，因此我们可以说市场没有定价IOER的增加。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p> One final reason why the Fed is almost guaranteed to do nothing to administered rates and allow the liquidity glut to keep rising is that as the Fed's new whisperer at the WSJ, Michael Darby wrote yesterday \"Fed Is Fine With Reverse Repos Nearing Half a Trillion\" in which he wrote:</p><p><blockquote>美联储几乎肯定不会对管理利率采取任何措施并允许流动性过剩继续上升的最后一个原因是，正如美联储在《华尔街日报》的新耳语者迈克尔·达比(Michael Darby)昨天写道，“美联储对接近5000亿美元的逆回购没有意见”他在其中写道：</blockquote></p><p>   Many market participants have looked at the reverse repo activity with some unease. Financial firms have been willing to take the zero percent the Fed offers them through the facility in large part because there are few other short-term investments available, and in some cases, these private market investments actually cost money to invest in. That makes the Fed’s zero percent repo rate attractive on a relative basis.“The system is working exactly as designed,” New York Fed President John Williams said in a video interview on Yahoo Finance last Thursday. The reverse repo facility, he added, is “working really well and the fact that funds are flowing between the banking system and our overnight reverse repos, this is kind of how we would expect that to happen” given the level of money coursing through short-term markets.The growing use of the reverse repo facility follows Lorie Logan, who manages the Fed’s massive $7.9 trillion holdings of cash and securities, having said recently that the central bank would rely on it more and expand the number of firms that could access it. The timing of that shift lined up with the wall of cash that started flowing to the Fed.What is happening at the reverse repo facility doesn’t have much of a broader economic impact. Meanwhile, central bankers have become confident enough in the general health of financial markets to debate pulling back on their $120 billion a month in bond buying stimulus.  But as confident as the NY Fed's career academic head, Williams, is, some<i><b>expert</b></i>market participants are anxious. “That amount of cash flowing into the Fed is not healthy for the repo market,” said the abovementioned Scott Skyrm; He thinks the Fed needs to scale back its bond purchases, which he deemed the “most obvious and most effective way to bring cash back into the market” and out of the Fed’s balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>许多市场参与者对逆回购活动有些不安。金融公司愿意接受美联储通过该机制向他们提供的零利率，很大程度上是因为几乎没有其他短期投资，而且在某些情况下，这些私人市场投资实际上需要花钱投资。这使得美联储的零回购利率相对具有吸引力。纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯上周四在接受雅虎财经视频采访时表示：“该系统完全按照设计运行。”他补充说，逆回购工具“运作良好，资金在银行系统和我们的隔夜逆回购之间流动的事实，考虑到短期资金流动的水平，这就是我们预期会发生的情况”-术语市场。管理美联储7.9万亿美元现金和证券的萝莉·佩斯特·洛根(Lorie Logan)最近表示，美联储将更多地依赖该工具，并扩大可以使用该工具的公司数量，此后反向回购工具的使用越来越多。这一转变的时机与开始流向美联储的现金墙一致。反向回购工具发生的事情不会产生太大的更广泛的经济影响。与此同时，各国央行行长对金融市场的总体健康状况已经变得足够有信心，可以就撤回每月1200亿美元的债券购买刺激措施进行辩论。但尽管纽约联储职业学术负责人威廉姆斯充满信心，但一些人<i><b>专家</b></i>市场人士心急如焚。“流入美联储的现金数量对回购市场来说并不健康，”上述Scott Skyrm表示；他认为美联储需要缩减债券购买规模，他认为这是“将现金带回市场和退出美联储资产负债表的最明显和最有效的方式”。</blockquote></p><p> Alas, it now appears that won't happen. And so, with the Fed facility set to keep rising, the question is will we hit $1 trillion in inert liquidity at the Fed before the Fed does agree that someone is wrong, or will an amount of cash greater than the market cap of bitcoin and ethereum remain frozen inside some Fed server...</p><p><blockquote>唉，现在看来这不会发生了。因此，随着美联储的工具将继续上升，问题是，在美联储同意有人错了之前，我们会在美联储达到1万亿美元的惰性流动性，还是会有比比特币市值更大的现金和以太币仍被冻结在美联储的一些服务器中...</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>With Fed's Reverse Repo Hitting Half A Trillion, Wall Street Scrambles To Figure Out What Comes Next<blockquote>随着美联储逆回购规模达到5000亿美元，华尔街争先恐后地弄清楚接下来会发生什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWith Fed's Reverse Repo Hitting Half A Trillion, Wall Street Scrambles To Figure Out What Comes Next<blockquote>随着美联储逆回购规模达到5000亿美元，华尔街争先恐后地弄清楚接下来会发生什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-09 23:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With usage of the Fed's overnight reverse repo facility again hitting a new record high on Tuesday, rising to an all-time high of $497.4 billion...</p><p><blockquote>随着美联储隔夜逆回购工具的使用量周二再次创下历史新高，升至4974亿美元的历史新高……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b9d2bb6af82c6f76849da52e9583a94\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"259\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... rates traders are trying to decide if the Fed will tweak the rate on either the IOER (Interest on Excess Reserves) or the Reverse Repo Facility, collectively the Fed's \"administered rates\" in order to ease the liquidity congestion that has parked half a trillion dollars at the Fed where it is sitting inert, doing nothing.</p><p><blockquote>...利率交易员正试图决定美联储是否会调整IOER（超额准备金利息）或逆回购工具（统称为美联储的“管理利率”）的利率，以缓解流动性拥堵，美联储无所作为，无所作为。</blockquote></p><p> One strategist who believes there is a \"small chance\" the Fed will adjust its IOER/RRP rate is Deutsche Bank's Steven Zeng, who also cited concern about the quarter-end balance sheet squeeze, which is less than the futures market is currently pricing.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行的Steven Zeng是一位认为美联储调整IOER/RRP利率的“可能性很小”的策略师，他还提到了对季末资产负债表紧缩的担忧，这低于期货市场目前的定价。</blockquote></p><p> As a reminder, the Fed’s ongoing $120BN in monthly QE and Treasury’s continued drawdown of its cash balance, create permanent reserves that are sitting on bank balance sheets.</p><p><blockquote>需要提醒的是，美联储每月持续1200亿美元的量化宽松政策以及财政部持续缩减现金余额，创造了银行资产负债表上的永久储备。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e284a2218c963fffabe80f6e92118f5\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"342\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, demand for deposits adds to the bloat and forces banks to supply these liabilities and hold lower-yielding assets.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，对存款的需求加剧了通货膨胀，迫使银行提供这些负债并持有收益率较低的资产。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08c9dd332a2a6bf7d3ef51328649fc99\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"346\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This puts downward pressure on banks’ supplementary leverage ratios,<b>so now institutions must either raise capital or reduce loans</b>. In this context, the Fed’s RRP acts as a “release valve” for deposits to leave banks’ balance sheets via inflows into money funds, which are then deposited at the facility.</p><p><blockquote>这给银行的补充杠杆率带来了下行压力，<b>所以现在机构要么筹集资金，要么减少贷款</b>在这种情况下，美联储的RRP充当了存款通过流入货币基金离开银行资产负债表的“释放阀”，然后存入该设施。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/141d0979a36d1c83edb097f1181ee6eb\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"345\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> According to Zeng, and as we have explained previously, the main merit of raising the RRP rate is to make money funds a “more attractive option to bank deposits,” which can allow institutions to push out more deposits and better manage their balance-sheet size until a “more permanent change to bank capital rules is made.”</p><p><blockquote>曾表示，正如我们之前解释的那样，提高建议零售价的主要优点是使货币基金成为“比银行存款更具吸引力的选择”，这可以让机构推出更多存款并更好地管理其资产负债表规模，直到“银行资本规则发生更永久的变化”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db701c691b65734c79e446994ff9334f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"349\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Currently, money-market yields are low and their margins are squeezed,<b>so a boost to the RRP rate would make money funds a “more attractive option than bank deposits,” allowing more cash to leave the banking sector.</b>Separately, JPMorgan writes that most money-market funds have not reached their counterparty limits at the Federal Reserve’s overnight reverse repurchase agreement facility so they may not have to adjust their thresholds at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>目前，货币市场收益率较低，利润率受到挤压，<b>因此，提高RRP利率将使货币基金成为“比银行存款更具吸引力的选择”，从而让更多现金离开银行业。</b>另外，摩根大通写道，大多数货币市场基金尚未达到美联储隔夜逆回购协议工具的交易对手限额，因此目前可能不必调整门槛。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, one can't have an increase in one rate without the other, since in the fed funds market, lenders who have access to the RRP will demand higher rates, but borrowers may respond with reduced demand leading to a “more erratic fed funds rate.” This means an increase in the RRP rate<b>“needs to be accompanied by an equal or larger increase to the IOER.”</b></p><p><blockquote>当然，一种利率不可能在没有另一种利率的情况下提高，因为在联邦基金市场中，有权获得建议零售价的贷方会要求更高的利率，但借款人可能会减少需求，导致“联邦基金利率更加不稳定”。这意味着RRP率的提高<b>“需要伴随着与IOER相等或更大的增长。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Zeng conveniently summarizes the costs and benefits of an administered rate tweak in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>曾在下表中方便地总结了管理费率调整的成本和收益：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7986a90f98f09803f58aab1f142833b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"350\">On the other end of the spectrum are Jefferies economists Thomas Simons and Aneta Markowska who pointed to recent rise in yields at Treasury bill auctions in anticipation of potential Federal Reserve adjustments to its adminstered rates, but according to the duo, \"the rise could compel the central bank to stay put.\" (earlier this week, the Treasury sold 3-month bills at 0.025% and 6-month bills at 0.04%, which were both the highest stopout yields since April 19).</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家托马斯·西蒙斯(Thomas Simons)和阿内塔·马科夫斯卡(Aneta Markowska)指出，由于预期美联储可能会调整其管理利率，近期国库券拍卖收益率上升，但两人表示，“这种上升可能会迫使央行按兵不动。”（本周早些时候，财政部以0.025%的利率出售3个月期票据，以0.04%的利率出售6个月期票据，这两个利率都是自4月19日以来的最高止损收益率）。</blockquote></p><p> Simons and Markowska explain the reflexive paradox as follows: \"concerns about an IOER hike are preventing yields from falling any further, despite the huge amount of cash looking for a home in the front-end.\" As a result, \"<b>perversely, this concern may actually prevent an IOER hike, should yields continue to hover at these levels.”</b></p><p><blockquote>Simons和Markowska对这种反射性悖论的解释如下：“尽管有大量现金在前端寻找归宿，但对IOER上涨的担忧正在阻止收益率进一步下跌。”结果，“<b>反常的是，如果收益率继续徘徊在这些水平，这种担忧实际上可能会阻止IOER的上涨。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Another paradox: the two conclude that \"it is hard to see the Fed judging that there is ‘undue pressure’ on the front-end even\" even as the Fed reverse repo is expected to rise above $500 billion today.</p><p><blockquote>另一个悖论是：两人得出的结论是，“即使美联储逆回购预计今天将升至5000亿美元以上，也很难看到美联储判断前端存在‘过度压力’”。</blockquote></p><p> So what does the market think? Well, according to Curvature's repo guru Scott Skyrm, as of this moment the market does not appear to be expecting an IOER hike by the Fed next week, meaning that consensus expected Powell &amp; Co. to do nothing to ease the record liquidity parked at the Fed.</p><p><blockquote>那么市场怎么看呢？Curvature的回购专家Scott Skyrm表示，目前市场似乎并不预计美联储下周会加息，这意味着人们普遍预计鲍威尔公司不会采取任何措施来缓解美联储创纪录的流动性。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As the Curvature strategist wrote in a Tuesday note, \"the market is pricing two things from the Fed. First, it's pricing the first tightening in 2023 - according to the fed funds futures contracts [graph upper right]. Too far out to even guess the month! Second, the market is pricing the GC/fed funds spread to gradually narrow over the next year. Whereas GC is averaging between 5 and 6 basis points below fed funds now, it's expected to trade flat to fed funds within a year.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如这位Curvature策略师在周二的一份报告中所写的那样，“市场正在为美联储的两件事定价。首先，它正在为2023年的首次紧缩定价——根据联邦基金期货合约[右上图]。太远了，甚至无法猜测月份！其次，市场正在定价GC/联邦基金利差在明年逐渐缩小。尽管GC目前平均比联邦基金低5至6个基点，但预计一年内将与联邦基金持平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42c7e46d0816b34f2291c95dcffee4c9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"337\">As Skyrm concludes, \"there are only two possible Fed \"technical adjustments\" that can raise Repo rates: QE tapering and an RRP rate increase.<b>An increase in the IOER would raise both fed funds and Repo GC, so we could say the market is NOT pricing an IOER increase.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote>正如Skyrm总结的那样，“只有两种可能的美联储“技术调整”可以提高回购利率：QE缩减和RRP利率上调。<b>IOER的增加将提高联邦基金和回购GC，因此我们可以说市场没有定价IOER的增加。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p> One final reason why the Fed is almost guaranteed to do nothing to administered rates and allow the liquidity glut to keep rising is that as the Fed's new whisperer at the WSJ, Michael Darby wrote yesterday \"Fed Is Fine With Reverse Repos Nearing Half a Trillion\" in which he wrote:</p><p><blockquote>美联储几乎肯定不会对管理利率采取任何措施并允许流动性过剩继续上升的最后一个原因是，正如美联储在《华尔街日报》的新耳语者迈克尔·达比(Michael Darby)昨天写道，“美联储对接近5000亿美元的逆回购没有意见”他在其中写道：</blockquote></p><p>   Many market participants have looked at the reverse repo activity with some unease. Financial firms have been willing to take the zero percent the Fed offers them through the facility in large part because there are few other short-term investments available, and in some cases, these private market investments actually cost money to invest in. That makes the Fed’s zero percent repo rate attractive on a relative basis.“The system is working exactly as designed,” New York Fed President John Williams said in a video interview on Yahoo Finance last Thursday. The reverse repo facility, he added, is “working really well and the fact that funds are flowing between the banking system and our overnight reverse repos, this is kind of how we would expect that to happen” given the level of money coursing through short-term markets.The growing use of the reverse repo facility follows Lorie Logan, who manages the Fed’s massive $7.9 trillion holdings of cash and securities, having said recently that the central bank would rely on it more and expand the number of firms that could access it. The timing of that shift lined up with the wall of cash that started flowing to the Fed.What is happening at the reverse repo facility doesn’t have much of a broader economic impact. Meanwhile, central bankers have become confident enough in the general health of financial markets to debate pulling back on their $120 billion a month in bond buying stimulus.  But as confident as the NY Fed's career academic head, Williams, is, some<i><b>expert</b></i>market participants are anxious. “That amount of cash flowing into the Fed is not healthy for the repo market,” said the abovementioned Scott Skyrm; He thinks the Fed needs to scale back its bond purchases, which he deemed the “most obvious and most effective way to bring cash back into the market” and out of the Fed’s balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>许多市场参与者对逆回购活动有些不安。金融公司愿意接受美联储通过该机制向他们提供的零利率，很大程度上是因为几乎没有其他短期投资，而且在某些情况下，这些私人市场投资实际上需要花钱投资。这使得美联储的零回购利率相对具有吸引力。纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯上周四在接受雅虎财经视频采访时表示：“该系统完全按照设计运行。”他补充说，逆回购工具“运作良好，资金在银行系统和我们的隔夜逆回购之间流动的事实，考虑到短期资金流动的水平，这就是我们预期会发生的情况”-术语市场。管理美联储7.9万亿美元现金和证券的萝莉·佩斯特·洛根(Lorie Logan)最近表示，美联储将更多地依赖该工具，并扩大可以使用该工具的公司数量，此后反向回购工具的使用越来越多。这一转变的时机与开始流向美联储的现金墙一致。反向回购工具发生的事情不会产生太大的更广泛的经济影响。与此同时，各国央行行长对金融市场的总体健康状况已经变得足够有信心，可以就撤回每月1200亿美元的债券购买刺激措施进行辩论。但尽管纽约联储职业学术负责人威廉姆斯充满信心，但一些人<i><b>专家</b></i>市场人士心急如焚。“流入美联储的现金数量对回购市场来说并不健康，”上述Scott Skyrm表示；他认为美联储需要缩减债券购买规模，他认为这是“将现金带回市场和退出美联储资产负债表的最明显和最有效的方式”。</blockquote></p><p> Alas, it now appears that won't happen. And so, with the Fed facility set to keep rising, the question is will we hit $1 trillion in inert liquidity at the Fed before the Fed does agree that someone is wrong, or will an amount of cash greater than the market cap of bitcoin and ethereum remain frozen inside some Fed server...</p><p><blockquote>唉，现在看来这不会发生了。因此，随着美联储的工具将继续上升，问题是，在美联储同意有人错了之前，我们会在美联储达到1万亿美元的惰性流动性，还是会有比比特币市值更大的现金和以太币仍被冻结在美联储的一些服务器中...</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/feds-reverse-repo-hitting-half-trillion-wall-street-scrambles-figure-out-what-comes-next?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/feds-reverse-repo-hitting-half-trillion-wall-street-scrambles-figure-out-what-comes-next?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135487602","content_text":"With usage of the Fed's overnight reverse repo facility again hitting a new record high on Tuesday, rising to an all-time high of $497.4 billion...\n\n... rates traders are trying to decide if the Fed will tweak the rate on either the IOER (Interest on Excess Reserves) or the Reverse Repo Facility, collectively the Fed's \"administered rates\" in order to ease the liquidity congestion that has parked half a trillion dollars at the Fed where it is sitting inert, doing nothing.\nOne strategist who believes there is a \"small chance\" the Fed will adjust its IOER/RRP rate is Deutsche Bank's Steven Zeng, who also cited concern about the quarter-end balance sheet squeeze, which is less than the futures market is currently pricing.\nAs a reminder, the Fed’s ongoing $120BN in monthly QE and Treasury’s continued drawdown of its cash balance, create permanent reserves that are sitting on bank balance sheets.\n\nAt the same time, demand for deposits adds to the bloat and forces banks to supply these liabilities and hold lower-yielding assets.\n\nThis puts downward pressure on banks’ supplementary leverage ratios,so now institutions must either raise capital or reduce loans. In this context, the Fed’s RRP acts as a “release valve” for deposits to leave banks’ balance sheets via inflows into money funds, which are then deposited at the facility.\n\nAccording to Zeng, and as we have explained previously, the main merit of raising the RRP rate is to make money funds a “more attractive option to bank deposits,” which can allow institutions to push out more deposits and better manage their balance-sheet size until a “more permanent change to bank capital rules is made.”\n\nCurrently, money-market yields are low and their margins are squeezed,so a boost to the RRP rate would make money funds a “more attractive option than bank deposits,” allowing more cash to leave the banking sector.Separately, JPMorgan writes that most money-market funds have not reached their counterparty limits at the Federal Reserve’s overnight reverse repurchase agreement facility so they may not have to adjust their thresholds at the moment.\nOf course, one can't have an increase in one rate without the other, since in the fed funds market, lenders who have access to the RRP will demand higher rates, but borrowers may respond with reduced demand leading to a “more erratic fed funds rate.” This means an increase in the RRP rate“needs to be accompanied by an equal or larger increase to the IOER.”\nZeng conveniently summarizes the costs and benefits of an administered rate tweak in the table below:\nOn the other end of the spectrum are Jefferies economists Thomas Simons and Aneta Markowska who pointed to recent rise in yields at Treasury bill auctions in anticipation of potential Federal Reserve adjustments to its adminstered rates, but according to the duo, \"the rise could compel the central bank to stay put.\" (earlier this week, the Treasury sold 3-month bills at 0.025% and 6-month bills at 0.04%, which were both the highest stopout yields since April 19).\nSimons and Markowska explain the reflexive paradox as follows: \"concerns about an IOER hike are preventing yields from falling any further, despite the huge amount of cash looking for a home in the front-end.\" As a result, \"perversely, this concern may actually prevent an IOER hike, should yields continue to hover at these levels.”\nAnother paradox: the two conclude that \"it is hard to see the Fed judging that there is ‘undue pressure’ on the front-end even\" even as the Fed reverse repo is expected to rise above $500 billion today.\nSo what does the market think? Well, according to Curvature's repo guru Scott Skyrm, as of this moment the market does not appear to be expecting an IOER hike by the Fed next week, meaning that consensus expected Powell & Co. to do nothing to ease the record liquidity parked at the Fed.\nAs the Curvature strategist wrote in a Tuesday note, \"the market is pricing two things from the Fed. First, it's pricing the first tightening in 2023 - according to the fed funds futures contracts [graph upper right]. Too far out to even guess the month! Second, the market is pricing the GC/fed funds spread to gradually narrow over the next year. Whereas GC is averaging between 5 and 6 basis points below fed funds now, it's expected to trade flat to fed funds within a year.\"\nAs Skyrm concludes, \"there are only two possible Fed \"technical adjustments\" that can raise Repo rates: QE tapering and an RRP rate increase.An increase in the IOER would raise both fed funds and Repo GC, so we could say the market is NOT pricing an IOER increase.\"\nOne final reason why the Fed is almost guaranteed to do nothing to administered rates and allow the liquidity glut to keep rising is that as the Fed's new whisperer at the WSJ, Michael Darby wrote yesterday \"Fed Is Fine With Reverse Repos Nearing Half a Trillion\" in which he wrote:\n\n Many market participants have looked at the reverse repo activity with some unease. Financial firms have been willing to take the zero percent the Fed offers them through the facility in large part because there are few other short-term investments available, and in some cases, these private market investments actually cost money to invest in. That makes the Fed’s zero percent repo rate attractive on a relative basis.“The system is working exactly as designed,” New York Fed President John Williams said in a video interview on Yahoo Finance last Thursday. The reverse repo facility, he added, is “working really well and the fact that funds are flowing between the banking system and our overnight reverse repos, this is kind of how we would expect that to happen” given the level of money coursing through short-term markets.The growing use of the reverse repo facility follows Lorie Logan, who manages the Fed’s massive $7.9 trillion holdings of cash and securities, having said recently that the central bank would rely on it more and expand the number of firms that could access it. The timing of that shift lined up with the wall of cash that started flowing to the Fed.What is happening at the reverse repo facility doesn’t have much of a broader economic impact. Meanwhile, central bankers have become confident enough in the general health of financial markets to debate pulling back on their $120 billion a month in bond buying stimulus.\n\nBut as confident as the NY Fed's career academic head, Williams, is, someexpertmarket participants are anxious. “That amount of cash flowing into the Fed is not healthy for the repo market,” said the abovementioned Scott Skyrm; He thinks the Fed needs to scale back its bond purchases, which he deemed the “most obvious and most effective way to bring cash back into the market” and out of the Fed’s balance sheet.\nAlas, it now appears that won't happen. And so, with the Fed facility set to keep rising, the question is will we hit $1 trillion in inert liquidity at the Fed before the Fed does agree that someone is wrong, or will an amount of cash greater than the market cap of bitcoin and ethereum remain frozen inside some Fed server...","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136343297,"gmtCreate":1621996072519,"gmtModify":1634184845515,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"comment pls","listText":"comment pls","text":"comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136343297","repostId":"2138196079","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102789675,"gmtCreate":1620253960397,"gmtModify":1634206726503,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"comment pls","listText":"comment pls","text":"comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102789675","repostId":"1148686352","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148686352","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620224535,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148686352?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-05 22:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Day In Market History: Panic Of 1893 Crashes Stock Market<blockquote>市场历史上的这一天：1893年的恐慌导致股市崩盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148686352","media":"benzinga","summary":"What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the ","content":"<p><div> What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the time. Where The Market Was:The Dow finished the day at 30.02. What Else Was Going On In The World?In...</p><p><blockquote><div>怎么回事？1893年的这一天，美股遭遇了当时历史上最严重的盘中跌幅。市场位置：道琼斯指数当天收于30.02点。世界上还发生了什么？在……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Day In Market History: Panic Of 1893 Crashes Stock Market<blockquote>市场历史上的这一天：1893年的恐慌导致股市崩盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Day In Market History: Panic Of 1893 Crashes Stock Market<blockquote>市场历史上的这一天：1893年的恐慌导致股市崩盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-05 22:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the time. Where The Market Was:The Dow finished the day at 30.02. What Else Was Going On In The World?In...</p><p><blockquote><div>怎么回事？1893年的这一天，美股遭遇了当时历史上最严重的盘中跌幅。市场位置：道琼斯指数当天收于30.02点。世界上还发生了什么？在……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148686352","content_text":"What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the time.\nWhere The Market Was:The Dow finished the day at 30.02.\nWhat Else Was Going On In The World?In 1893, Thomas Edison completed the world’s first movie studio in West Orange, New Jersey. Lizzie Borden was acquitted of the ax murders of her father and stepmother. A fresh, one-pound beef steak cost 10 cents.\nPanic Of 1893:On May 5, 1893, the Dow Jones Index dropped more than 24% from 39.90 to 30.02. It would mark the worst intraday sell-off in U.S. history at the time, a record that would stand until 1929.\nThe Panic of 1893 was triggered in part by falling gold reserves in the U.S. Treasury. At the time, the U.S. was on the gold standard, meaning U.S. dollars could be redeemed for physical gold. When Treasury gold reserves dropped from $190 million in 1890 to $100 million by 1893, Americans grew concerned that the Treasury might run out of gold and began withdrawing bank notes and converting them to gold, placing extreme strain on the U.S. banking industry and credit markets.\nThe May 5 sell-off was triggered in part by the bankruptcy of Nation Cordage the day before.General Electric CompanyGE 0.34%shares dropped 28% on the day from $80 to $58.\nFortunately for investors, the Panic of 1893 didn’t last for long. By the end of the day, the market nearly completely recovered its losses. GE, for example, closed the session at $78.50.\nThe Panic of 1893 would ravage the U.S. economy, triggering a severe four-year depression. Roughly 14,000 U.S. businesses closed, and unemployment rose to 20%. The event would mark the worst economic downturn in U.S. history until the Great Depression began in 1929.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":872274720,"gmtCreate":1637542991286,"gmtModify":1637542991450,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872274720","repostId":"1174499408","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":132808247,"gmtCreate":1622078259889,"gmtModify":1634184068058,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment pls","listText":"like n comment pls","text":"like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132808247","repostId":"2138149185","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":603019183,"gmtCreate":1638337480142,"gmtModify":1638337480243,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603019183","repostId":"1117236043","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":884048177,"gmtCreate":1631842505699,"gmtModify":1631889067092,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like psl","listText":"like psl","text":"like psl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884048177","repostId":"1105376345","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105376345","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631833833,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105376345?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-17 07:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P ends modestly lower as rising Treasury yields offset robust retail data<blockquote>美国国债收益率上升抵消了强劲的零售数据，标普小幅收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105376345","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended slightly down on Thursday, paring losses in late trading afte","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended slightly down on Thursday, paring losses in late trading after unexpectedly strong retail sales data underscored the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约7月20日电——标普500周四小幅收跌，尾盘收窄跌幅，此前意外强劲的零售销售数据突显美国经济复苏的力度。</blockquote></p><p> The three major indexes spent much of the day in negative territory as rising U.S. Treasury yields pressured market-leading tech stocks, and the rising dollar weighed on exporters.</p><p><blockquote>由于美国国债收益率上升给市场领先的科技股带来压力，以及美元上涨给出口商带来压力，三大股指当天大部分时间都处于负值区域。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon.com Inc, buoyed by solid online sales in the Commerce Department’s report, helped push the Nasdaq into positive territory.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊公司受到商务部报告中强劲的在线销售的提振，帮助推动纳斯达克进入积极区域。</blockquote></p><p> “Looking at today, clearly we had positive news from retail sales and it looks as if the massive slowdown in the economy is not materializing as a lot of people expected,” said Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p><p><blockquote>北卡罗来纳州夏洛特LPL Financial高级市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)表示：“从今天来看，显然我们收到了来自零售销售的积极消息，而且经济大幅放缓似乎并没有像许多人预期的那样成为现实。”</blockquote></p><p> “It’s a nice reminder that the economy is still taking two steps forward for each step back even amid the COVID concerns,” Detrick added.</p><p><blockquote>德特里克补充道：“这是一个很好的提醒，即使在新冠疫情担忧的情况下，经济仍然每后退一步就向前迈出两步。”</blockquote></p><p> Economically sensitive transports and microchips were among the outperformers.</p><p><blockquote>对经济敏感的运输和微芯片是表现优异的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> Data released before the opening bell showed an unexpected bump in retail sales as shoppers weathered Hurricane Ida and the COVID Delta variant, evidence of resilience in the consumer, who contributes about 70% to U.S. economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>开盘前公布的数据显示，随着购物者经受住了飓风艾达和新冠德尔塔变异毒株，零售额意外增长，这证明了消费者的韧性，消费者对美国经济增长的贡献约为70%。</blockquote></p><p> “Once again, it shows the U.S. consumer continues to spend and continues to help this economy grow,” Detrick said.</p><p><blockquote>德特里克表示：“这再次表明美国消费者继续支出并继续帮助经济增长。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 63.07 points, or 0.18%, to 34,751.32; the S&amp;P 500 lost 6.95 points, or 0.16%, at 4,473.75; and the Nasdaq Composite added 20.40 points, or 0.13%, at 15,181.92.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌63.07点，或0.18%，报34751.32点；标普500下跌6.95点，跌幅0.16%，报4,473.75点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨20.40点，即0.13%，至15,181.92点。</blockquote></p><p> Eight of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500 ended lower, with materials suffering the largest percentage drop.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块中有8个板块收跌，材料板块跌幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer discretionary spending sector posted the biggest gain, with Amazon.com doing the heavy lifting.</p><p><blockquote>非必需消费品支出板块涨幅最大，亚马逊首当其冲。</blockquote></p><p> Apparel company Gap Inc gained 1.6%. Online marketplace Etsy Inc and luxury accessory company Tapestry Inc rose 3.1% and 1.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>服装公司Gap Inc上涨1.6%。在线市场Etsy Inc和奢侈品配饰公司Tapestry Inc分别上涨3.1%和1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford Motor Co rose 1.4% after it announced plans to boost production of its F-150 electric pickup model.</p><p><blockquote>福特汽车公司股价上涨1.4%，此前该公司宣布计划提高F-150电动皮卡车型的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.27比1；在纳斯达克，1.06比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 94 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下9个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和94个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.37 billion shares, compared with the 9.44 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为93.7亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为94.4亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P ends modestly lower as rising Treasury yields offset robust retail data<blockquote>美国国债收益率上升抵消了强劲的零售数据，标普小幅收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P ends modestly lower as rising Treasury yields offset robust retail data<blockquote>美国国债收益率上升抵消了强劲的零售数据，标普小幅收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-17 07:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended slightly down on Thursday, paring losses in late trading after unexpectedly strong retail sales data underscored the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约7月20日电——标普500周四小幅收跌，尾盘收窄跌幅，此前意外强劲的零售销售数据突显美国经济复苏的力度。</blockquote></p><p> The three major indexes spent much of the day in negative territory as rising U.S. Treasury yields pressured market-leading tech stocks, and the rising dollar weighed on exporters.</p><p><blockquote>由于美国国债收益率上升给市场领先的科技股带来压力，以及美元上涨给出口商带来压力，三大股指当天大部分时间都处于负值区域。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon.com Inc, buoyed by solid online sales in the Commerce Department’s report, helped push the Nasdaq into positive territory.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊公司受到商务部报告中强劲的在线销售的提振，帮助推动纳斯达克进入积极区域。</blockquote></p><p> “Looking at today, clearly we had positive news from retail sales and it looks as if the massive slowdown in the economy is not materializing as a lot of people expected,” said Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p><p><blockquote>北卡罗来纳州夏洛特LPL Financial高级市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)表示：“从今天来看，显然我们收到了来自零售销售的积极消息，而且经济大幅放缓似乎并没有像许多人预期的那样成为现实。”</blockquote></p><p> “It’s a nice reminder that the economy is still taking two steps forward for each step back even amid the COVID concerns,” Detrick added.</p><p><blockquote>德特里克补充道：“这是一个很好的提醒，即使在新冠疫情担忧的情况下，经济仍然每后退一步就向前迈出两步。”</blockquote></p><p> Economically sensitive transports and microchips were among the outperformers.</p><p><blockquote>对经济敏感的运输和微芯片是表现优异的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> Data released before the opening bell showed an unexpected bump in retail sales as shoppers weathered Hurricane Ida and the COVID Delta variant, evidence of resilience in the consumer, who contributes about 70% to U.S. economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>开盘前公布的数据显示，随着购物者经受住了飓风艾达和新冠德尔塔变异毒株，零售额意外增长，这证明了消费者的韧性，消费者对美国经济增长的贡献约为70%。</blockquote></p><p> “Once again, it shows the U.S. consumer continues to spend and continues to help this economy grow,” Detrick said.</p><p><blockquote>德特里克表示：“这再次表明美国消费者继续支出并继续帮助经济增长。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 63.07 points, or 0.18%, to 34,751.32; the S&amp;P 500 lost 6.95 points, or 0.16%, at 4,473.75; and the Nasdaq Composite added 20.40 points, or 0.13%, at 15,181.92.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌63.07点，或0.18%，报34751.32点；标普500下跌6.95点，跌幅0.16%，报4,473.75点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨20.40点，即0.13%，至15,181.92点。</blockquote></p><p> Eight of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500 ended lower, with materials suffering the largest percentage drop.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块中有8个板块收跌，材料板块跌幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer discretionary spending sector posted the biggest gain, with Amazon.com doing the heavy lifting.</p><p><blockquote>非必需消费品支出板块涨幅最大，亚马逊首当其冲。</blockquote></p><p> Apparel company Gap Inc gained 1.6%. Online marketplace Etsy Inc and luxury accessory company Tapestry Inc rose 3.1% and 1.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>服装公司Gap Inc上涨1.6%。在线市场Etsy Inc和奢侈品配饰公司Tapestry Inc分别上涨3.1%和1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford Motor Co rose 1.4% after it announced plans to boost production of its F-150 electric pickup model.</p><p><blockquote>福特汽车公司股价上涨1.4%，此前该公司宣布计划提高F-150电动皮卡车型的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.27比1；在纳斯达克，1.06比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 94 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下9个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和94个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.37 billion shares, compared with the 9.44 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为93.7亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为94.4亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-ends-modestly-lower-as-rising-treasury-yields-offset-robust-retail-data-idUSL1N2QI2MB\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-ends-modestly-lower-as-rising-treasury-yields-offset-robust-retail-data-idUSL1N2QI2MB","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105376345","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended slightly down on Thursday, paring losses in late trading after unexpectedly strong retail sales data underscored the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.\nThe three major indexes spent much of the day in negative territory as rising U.S. Treasury yields pressured market-leading tech stocks, and the rising dollar weighed on exporters.\nAmazon.com Inc, buoyed by solid online sales in the Commerce Department’s report, helped push the Nasdaq into positive territory.\n“Looking at today, clearly we had positive news from retail sales and it looks as if the massive slowdown in the economy is not materializing as a lot of people expected,” said Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.\n“It’s a nice reminder that the economy is still taking two steps forward for each step back even amid the COVID concerns,” Detrick added.\nEconomically sensitive transports and microchips were among the outperformers.\nData released before the opening bell showed an unexpected bump in retail sales as shoppers weathered Hurricane Ida and the COVID Delta variant, evidence of resilience in the consumer, who contributes about 70% to U.S. economic growth.\n“Once again, it shows the U.S. consumer continues to spend and continues to help this economy grow,” Detrick said.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 63.07 points, or 0.18%, to 34,751.32; the S&P 500 lost 6.95 points, or 0.16%, at 4,473.75; and the Nasdaq Composite added 20.40 points, or 0.13%, at 15,181.92.\nEight of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 ended lower, with materials suffering the largest percentage drop.\nThe consumer discretionary spending sector posted the biggest gain, with Amazon.com doing the heavy lifting.\nApparel company Gap Inc gained 1.6%. Online marketplace Etsy Inc and luxury accessory company Tapestry Inc rose 3.1% and 1.9%, respectively.\nFord Motor Co rose 1.4% after it announced plans to boost production of its F-150 electric pickup model.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 94 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.37 billion shares, compared with the 9.44 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186358172,"gmtCreate":1623475047596,"gmtModify":1634032620043,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"comment n like pls","listText":"comment n like pls","text":"comment n like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186358172","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112986144,"gmtCreate":1622845427788,"gmtModify":1634097536711,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"comment pls","listText":"comment pls","text":"comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112986144","repostId":"1154529120","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154529120","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622810459,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154529120?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 20:40","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价能否触及500美元？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154529120","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:. Alibaba Group'","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.</li>  <li>I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.</li>  <li>In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/567d19950e6c8789ce2192b4503f0fa5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by efetova/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一只战场股票，有些人看到了很多机会，而另一些人则看到了很多风险。</li><li>我相信机遇和风险都存在，但我认为前者大于后者。</li><li>从长远来看，阿里巴巴有机会为那些以目前相当低的估值买入的人带来强劲收益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：efetova/iStock，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW集团（BABA）是一家全球领先的高科技公司，持续产生有吸引力的增长，并为投资者提供了接触高增长的中国消费市场的机会。与此同时，通过一系列合资企业，阿里巴巴-SW还活跃在云计算等其他行业。过去几个月股价大幅下跌，但我相信长期潜力巨大。如果股价上涨至500美元，我不会感到惊讶，尽管这不会在短期内发生。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:</p><p><blockquote>自IPO以来，阿里巴巴-SW股价强劲上涨，但也应该提到的是，股价在2020年下半年确实出现了小幅上涨，此后大幅下跌：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8079eeb5384ea003fb3725d3cd1e877f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a&nbsp;revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.</p><p><blockquote>由于蚂蚁金服IPO计划被叫停后，2020年夏季的涨幅已被抹去，股价目前基本处于一年前的水平。不过，去年持平的股价表现有些令人惊讶，因为阿里巴巴-SW在此期间继续取得强劲业绩。例如，上一季度，阿里巴巴-SW的收入增长率为64%，而上一季度的收入增长也非常强劲，在50%左右。然而，这并不是阿里巴巴-SW财报中唯一的积极因素。仅在最近一个季度，该公司的用户数量就增加了3200万，相当于用户年化增长率约为20%。这对未来几个季度来说是个好兆头，因为阿里巴巴-SW平台上的更多用户应该会转化为更高的收入。最重要的是，强劲的用户增长表明，对阿里巴巴-SW平台提供的购物服务的需求仍在增长——市场根本没有饱和。阿里巴巴-SW的EBITDA也同比增长了25%，这也是一个有吸引力的增长速度，尽管管理层在评级关键增长领域的投资不断增加，但这一增长还是实现了。与此同时，由于一些运营杠杆，运营收入增长速度更快，经调整阿里巴巴-SW第一季度必须支付的罚款后，同比增长48%。我认为，为了更清楚地了解阿里巴巴-SW平均季度的基本“核心”盈利能力，放弃这一一次性项目是有意义的。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and&nbsp;fears about regulation.</p><p><blockquote>因此，相对于大盘和其他科技股，阿里巴巴-SW集团的股价表现疲软，并不是经营业绩疲软的结果，而是多重压缩的结果，原因是投资者情绪疲软以及对监管的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> At its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.</p><p><blockquote>以目前220美元的价格计算，与目前分析师298美元的一致目标价相比，阿里巴巴的交易价格有相当大的折扣。如果阿里巴巴-SW达到这一目标，股价将上涨35%。分析师的价格目标通常以1年的时间框架发布，因此，如果分析师界是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW可能是一项伟大的投资。从估值的角度来看，这个目标价似乎一点也不离谱，因为298美元相当于今年预期净利润的29倍左右，或明年净利润的23倍。当我们谈论2022年夏季（即一年后）的价格目标时，后者可能更能说明问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股价能否触及500美元？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，这个问题的答案取决于你的时间框架。如果你着眼于12个月的窗口期，那么阿里巴巴-SW很可能无法达到500美元。300美元左右的价格目标似乎是可以实现的，尽管这当然也不能保证。然而，如果我们从更长远的角度来看，那么500美元似乎是阿里巴巴最终可能触及的股价。让我们看几个例子。</blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW在某个时候每股收益为20美元，市盈率为25倍，那么股价将为500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益为25美元，市盈率为20倍，那么股价将为500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益为17美元，交易价格为净利润的29倍，那么股价将为（略低于）500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:</p><p><blockquote>我们看到，有很多情况可能会让阿里巴巴的股价达到500美元，其中一些情况比其他情况更有可能。当然，你的目标倍数越高，所需的收益就越低。这反过来意味着可以更快达到价格目标，因为所需的累计盈利增长较少。当我们看一下阿里巴巴-SW过去的估值时，我们会发现阿里巴巴的长期市盈率中位数如下所示：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd2d42b7094deb394266d6410287c2e4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为30-40倍，相对于目前的股价估值（约为今年盈利的20倍），显然存在巨大溢价。我认为目前的估值太低，但另一方面，我预计阿里巴巴-SW未来几年的净利润不会达到30倍、35倍甚至40倍。由于阿里巴巴-SW的规模不断扩大，这使得其在未来几年保持出色的增长变得更加困难，与过去的估值相比，未来几年的股价可能会较低。</blockquote></p><p> I still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为，从目前21倍左右的市盈率来看，该股确实有一定的估值扩张潜力，因此让我们假设该股未来的净利润为23倍。与历史估值相比，这仍然是一个巨大的折扣，与美国高科技大型股的估值相比也是一个巨大的折扣——例如，亚马逊(AMZN)的交易价格是今年市盈率的59倍。</blockquote></p><p> If we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们想使用23倍的市盈率将阿里巴巴的股价达到500美元，那么阿里巴巴-SW必须产生的每股收益为21.70美元。什么时候会是这种情况？在下图中，我们看到了本年度、明年（2022财年）和2023财年的每股收益预测：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf78e0b071eff9753afbdcd96f751c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师是对的，阿里巴巴-SW到2023年每股收益将无法达到22美元，我认为这是现实的。我也不认为今年到2023年间每股收益会增长100%以上。从2023年开始，阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益需要再增长43%才能达到21.70美元，这是我们500美元股价的“目标每股收益”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b4c351b4b5eb3328191ccaa9a3b776c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>分析师目前预测长期每股收益增长约为27%，这意味着阿里巴巴-SW需要大约1.5年的时间才能将每股收益从15.20美元（2023年估计）增长到我们21.70美元的目标。即使我们假设这过于乐观，2024年和2025年的增长率仅为20%，到2025年底每股收益也可能达到21.70美元。因此，换句话说，如果阿里巴巴-SW的增长略低于分析师目前的预测，那么到2025年底（即4.5年后），阿里巴巴-SW的交易价格可能会达到500美元。请注意，这种情况根本不需要很高的市盈率——我相信，阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为23倍，价格并不昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> We can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以更加保守地假设2023年每股收益预期过高10%，并且2023年之后的几年每股收益每年仅增长17%（而分析师社区的长期预测为每年27%）。在这种情况下，阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益将在2026年达到21.70美元，股价将在未来5.5年内升至500美元。即使在这种情况下，阿里巴巴也根本不是一项糟糕的投资——未来5.5年内股价较当前水平上涨130%，相当于年化回报率为16%。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum this section up, I'd say<i>yes, BABA can hit $500</i>-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结一下这一部分，我想说<i>是的，阿里巴巴可以达到500美元</i>——但实际上需要几年时间。到2020年代中期，对我来说，这似乎是一个非常可以实现的目标，尽管当然没有任何保证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票现在是买入还是卖出？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，阿里巴巴-SW集团是一项强有力的投资。该公司增长强劲，利润来自多个长期宏观趋势，例如中国消费者支出的增长、电子商务市场份额的增长和云计算。然而，也有一些风险需要考虑：阿里巴巴-SW高度依赖中国，如果中国的经济增长故事结束，阿里巴巴-SW将受到很大伤害。最重要的是，阿里巴巴-SW可能会再次成为监管机构的目标，尽管我个人认为伤害中国增长最快的科技公司之一不符合中国的最佳利益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些担心这些风险的人来说，阿里巴巴-SW可能不是正确的选择，但对于那些认为阿里巴巴-SW对中国消费者来说可能非常有益的投资的人来说，阿里巴巴可能是多元化投资组合中的一个强有力的选择。我属于后一类，因此按当前估值将该股评级为买入，预计未来几年将大幅上涨。然而，根据您的风险承受能力以及您如何权衡投资中国公司的机会和威胁，您可能会做出不同的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价能否触及500美元？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价能否触及500美元？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 20:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.</li>  <li>I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.</li>  <li>In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/567d19950e6c8789ce2192b4503f0fa5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by efetova/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一只战场股票，有些人看到了很多机会，而另一些人则看到了很多风险。</li><li>我相信机遇和风险都存在，但我认为前者大于后者。</li><li>从长远来看，阿里巴巴有机会为那些以目前相当低的估值买入的人带来强劲收益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：efetova/iStock，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW集团（BABA）是一家全球领先的高科技公司，持续产生有吸引力的增长，并为投资者提供了接触高增长的中国消费市场的机会。与此同时，通过一系列合资企业，阿里巴巴-SW还活跃在云计算等其他行业。过去几个月股价大幅下跌，但我相信长期潜力巨大。如果股价上涨至500美元，我不会感到惊讶，尽管这不会在短期内发生。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:</p><p><blockquote>自IPO以来，阿里巴巴-SW股价强劲上涨，但也应该提到的是，股价在2020年下半年确实出现了小幅上涨，此后大幅下跌：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8079eeb5384ea003fb3725d3cd1e877f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a&nbsp;revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.</p><p><blockquote>由于蚂蚁金服IPO计划被叫停后，2020年夏季的涨幅已被抹去，股价目前基本处于一年前的水平。不过，去年持平的股价表现有些令人惊讶，因为阿里巴巴-SW在此期间继续取得强劲业绩。例如，上一季度，阿里巴巴-SW的收入增长率为64%，而上一季度的收入增长也非常强劲，在50%左右。然而，这并不是阿里巴巴-SW财报中唯一的积极因素。仅在最近一个季度，该公司的用户数量就增加了3200万，相当于用户年化增长率约为20%。这对未来几个季度来说是个好兆头，因为阿里巴巴-SW平台上的更多用户应该会转化为更高的收入。最重要的是，强劲的用户增长表明，对阿里巴巴-SW平台提供的购物服务的需求仍在增长——市场根本没有饱和。阿里巴巴-SW的EBITDA也同比增长了25%，这也是一个有吸引力的增长速度，尽管管理层在评级关键增长领域的投资不断增加，但这一增长还是实现了。与此同时，由于一些运营杠杆，运营收入增长速度更快，经调整阿里巴巴-SW第一季度必须支付的罚款后，同比增长48%。我认为，为了更清楚地了解阿里巴巴-SW平均季度的基本“核心”盈利能力，放弃这一一次性项目是有意义的。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and&nbsp;fears about regulation.</p><p><blockquote>因此，相对于大盘和其他科技股，阿里巴巴-SW集团的股价表现疲软，并不是经营业绩疲软的结果，而是多重压缩的结果，原因是投资者情绪疲软以及对监管的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> At its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.</p><p><blockquote>以目前220美元的价格计算，与目前分析师298美元的一致目标价相比，阿里巴巴的交易价格有相当大的折扣。如果阿里巴巴-SW达到这一目标，股价将上涨35%。分析师的价格目标通常以1年的时间框架发布，因此，如果分析师界是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW可能是一项伟大的投资。从估值的角度来看，这个目标价似乎一点也不离谱，因为298美元相当于今年预期净利润的29倍左右，或明年净利润的23倍。当我们谈论2022年夏季（即一年后）的价格目标时，后者可能更能说明问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股价能否触及500美元？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，这个问题的答案取决于你的时间框架。如果你着眼于12个月的窗口期，那么阿里巴巴-SW很可能无法达到500美元。300美元左右的价格目标似乎是可以实现的，尽管这当然也不能保证。然而，如果我们从更长远的角度来看，那么500美元似乎是阿里巴巴最终可能触及的股价。让我们看几个例子。</blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW在某个时候每股收益为20美元，市盈率为25倍，那么股价将为500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益为25美元，市盈率为20倍，那么股价将为500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>-如果阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益为17美元，交易价格为净利润的29倍，那么股价将为（略低于）500美元。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:</p><p><blockquote>我们看到，有很多情况可能会让阿里巴巴的股价达到500美元，其中一些情况比其他情况更有可能。当然，你的目标倍数越高，所需的收益就越低。这反过来意味着可以更快达到价格目标，因为所需的累计盈利增长较少。当我们看一下阿里巴巴-SW过去的估值时，我们会发现阿里巴巴的长期市盈率中位数如下所示：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd2d42b7094deb394266d6410287c2e4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为30-40倍，相对于目前的股价估值（约为今年盈利的20倍），显然存在巨大溢价。我认为目前的估值太低，但另一方面，我预计阿里巴巴-SW未来几年的净利润不会达到30倍、35倍甚至40倍。由于阿里巴巴-SW的规模不断扩大，这使得其在未来几年保持出色的增长变得更加困难，与过去的估值相比，未来几年的股价可能会较低。</blockquote></p><p> I still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为，从目前21倍左右的市盈率来看，该股确实有一定的估值扩张潜力，因此让我们假设该股未来的净利润为23倍。与历史估值相比，这仍然是一个巨大的折扣，与美国高科技大型股的估值相比也是一个巨大的折扣——例如，亚马逊(AMZN)的交易价格是今年市盈率的59倍。</blockquote></p><p> If we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们想使用23倍的市盈率将阿里巴巴的股价达到500美元，那么阿里巴巴-SW必须产生的每股收益为21.70美元。什么时候会是这种情况？在下图中，我们看到了本年度、明年（2022财年）和2023财年的每股收益预测：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf78e0b071eff9753afbdcd96f751c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师是对的，阿里巴巴-SW到2023年每股收益将无法达到22美元，我认为这是现实的。我也不认为今年到2023年间每股收益会增长100%以上。从2023年开始，阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益需要再增长43%才能达到21.70美元，这是我们500美元股价的“目标每股收益”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b4c351b4b5eb3328191ccaa9a3b776c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>分析师目前预测长期每股收益增长约为27%，这意味着阿里巴巴-SW需要大约1.5年的时间才能将每股收益从15.20美元（2023年估计）增长到我们21.70美元的目标。即使我们假设这过于乐观，2024年和2025年的增长率仅为20%，到2025年底每股收益也可能达到21.70美元。因此，换句话说，如果阿里巴巴-SW的增长略低于分析师目前的预测，那么到2025年底（即4.5年后），阿里巴巴-SW的交易价格可能会达到500美元。请注意，这种情况根本不需要很高的市盈率——我相信，阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为23倍，价格并不昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> We can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以更加保守地假设2023年每股收益预期过高10%，并且2023年之后的几年每股收益每年仅增长17%（而分析师社区的长期预测为每年27%）。在这种情况下，阿里巴巴-SW的每股收益将在2026年达到21.70美元，股价将在未来5.5年内升至500美元。即使在这种情况下，阿里巴巴也根本不是一项糟糕的投资——未来5.5年内股价较当前水平上涨130%，相当于年化回报率为16%。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum this section up, I'd say<i>yes, BABA can hit $500</i>-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结一下这一部分，我想说<i>是的，阿里巴巴可以达到500美元</i>——但实际上需要几年时间。到2020年代中期，对我来说，这似乎是一个非常可以实现的目标，尽管当然没有任何保证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票现在是买入还是卖出？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，阿里巴巴-SW集团是一项强有力的投资。该公司增长强劲，利润来自多个长期宏观趋势，例如中国消费者支出的增长、电子商务市场份额的增长和云计算。然而，也有一些风险需要考虑：阿里巴巴-SW高度依赖中国，如果中国的经济增长故事结束，阿里巴巴-SW将受到很大伤害。最重要的是，阿里巴巴-SW可能会再次成为监管机构的目标，尽管我个人认为伤害中国增长最快的科技公司之一不符合中国的最佳利益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些担心这些风险的人来说，阿里巴巴-SW可能不是正确的选择，但对于那些认为阿里巴巴-SW对中国消费者来说可能非常有益的投资的人来说，阿里巴巴可能是多元化投资组合中的一个强有力的选择。我属于后一类，因此按当前估值将该股评级为买入，预计未来几年将大幅上涨。然而，根据您的风险承受能力以及您如何权衡投资中国公司的机会和威胁，您可能会做出不同的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432992-alibaba-stock-hit-500\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432992-alibaba-stock-hit-500","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154529120","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.\nI believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.\nIn the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.\n\nPhoto by efetova/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nAlibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.\nBABA Stock Price\nSince its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:\nData byYCharts\nShares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.\nAlibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and fears about regulation.\nAt its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $500?\nThe answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.\nWe see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:\nData byYCharts\nAt 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.\nI still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.\nIf we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:\nData byYCharts\nIf analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.\nData byYCharts\nAnalysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.\nWe can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.\nSo, to sum this section up, I'd sayyes, BABA can hit $500-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.\nIs Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?\nAlibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.\nFor those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159299116,"gmtCreate":1624968106135,"gmtModify":1633946439231,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"lets go","listText":"lets go","text":"lets go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159299116","repostId":"1183394412","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101844354,"gmtCreate":1619883249978,"gmtModify":1634209314868,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good? comment pls","listText":"good? comment pls","text":"good? comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101844354","repostId":"2132603015","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":698285432,"gmtCreate":1640407790344,"gmtModify":1640407790608,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"jc","listText":"jc","text":"jc","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698285432","repostId":"2193720178","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873106846,"gmtCreate":1636870553426,"gmtModify":1636870553620,"author":{"id":"3582013951378523","authorId":"3582013951378523","name":"sh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95985dfcd15851145b63b9903fdb5bfc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582013951378523","authorIdStr":"3582013951378523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"go","listText":"go","text":"go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873106846","repostId":"1159096163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159096163","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636851053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159096163?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-14 08:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159096163","media":"Barrons","summary":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce","content":"<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie&amp;Fitch的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie（股票代码：ANF）曾经是购物中心的主食，以鲜明、性感的广告和深色、香水味十足的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在2017年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的稳步下降给其未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的商场和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎即将夺走另一个受害者。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但在去葬礼的路上发生了令人惊讶的事情：Abercrombie享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨(Fran Horowitz)的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调了霍利斯特品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月31日，该公司第二财季收入同比增长24%，较大流行前水平增长3%。随着现金充裕的购物者涌向商店，其股价今年上涨了120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>霍洛维茨在接受采访时表示：“品牌认知度很难改变，需要时间才能与消费者重新建立信任。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.“因此，我们很高兴地说，在2021年，我们显然看到了所有这些努力工作的美妙效果。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅走出了深渊，还利用疫情带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的市场和急于花掉疫情积蓄的消费者的推动下，成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌销售额飙升，股价上涨。许多大型购物中心零售商的股价飙升，包括梅西百货(M)、诺德斯特龙(JWN)、著名鞋类母公司Caleres(CAL)和Signet Jewelers(SIG)，这些公司在过去12个月内都上涨了至少100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会的数据，消费者可能会花费8510亿美元，比去年创纪录的7770亿美元增长9.5%，是过去五年4.4%平均增幅的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售正常化之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意外的复兴重申了许多品牌对实体店力量的信念。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们继续在实体未来上下大赌注。随着对实体店投资的继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>疫情对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题是显而易见的。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至是婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌向网上。亚马逊（AMZN）和沃尔玛（WMT）等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>Columbia Threadneedle Investments零售分析师Mari Shor表示：“投资者情绪——尤其是短期对冲基金类型投资者——刚刚对该集团变得非常负面。”“我只是认为投资者并没有真正相信公司或消费者。”</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔表示，投资者的怀疑根源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会，让他们关闭表现不佳的门店，专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上做得更好，并将销售策略转向消费者，无论他们何时何地想购物——无论是网上购物、移动购物还是店内购物。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>萨克斯第五大道精品百货店(Saks Fifth Avenue)的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为60亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。据美国零售联合会估计，今年假期在线和其他非商店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>Global X负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗·帕兰德拉尼(Pedro Palandrani)表示：“我们认为，这场大流行不仅加速了电子商务在全球的采用，还扩大了市场。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在其数字战略上投资了数亿美元，强调通过改进公司网站以及为在线购买建立店内退货和提货等举措，从数字体验平稳过渡到店内体验。Horowitz表示，疫情的到来促使Abercrombie关闭了全球130家门店和该品牌50%的旗舰店，使过去10年关闭的门店总数达到约500家，同时战略性地开设了一些重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“商店很重要，但它们必须是合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济效益，”她说。“你把它和数字结合在一起，它就等于魔法。”</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B.Riley Securities分析师苏珊·安德森(Susan Anderson)表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效的方式，而且还可以作为在线提货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，即使是Warby Parker(WRBY)等在线零售商也扩大了实体业务，以适应购物者的偏好。“消费者希望随时随地购物，”安德森说。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。商场和实体店在精通数字技术的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，设计公司BHDP委托对1,000名购物者进行的一项调查显示，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁购物者也回到商场，试穿产品，利用店内促销活动，并进行退货。德勤(Deloitte)美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯(Rod Sides)表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人群的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间的战略转变使许多零售商在今年购物中心和市中心的重新开放中处于更好的位置——购物者渴望打开钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者变得出乎意料地富有。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤(Deloitte)的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假期的支出比去年增加15%，平均每户2,624美元，推动了假期的大部分增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪分析公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪表示：“你有大量现金，而且有相当多被压抑的需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至6250亿美元，比10月份增长0.7%，同比增长13.9%。仅零售额就比8月份增长了0.8%。花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“我们预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。”</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会主席兼首席执行官马修·谢伊(Matthew Shay)在10月份的媒体吹风会上表示，进入假期，零售商比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测，本季美国零售额将增长7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品将大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商博柏利集团(BRBY.UK)上周表示，2022财年上半年可比销售额增长37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach母公司Tapestry(TPR)公布的第一财季财报好于预期，上调了2022年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩表示，“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地应对了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表。”Wolfe Research青睐Nordstrom和Tapestry等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“美国消费者支出的几乎所有主要驱动因素都青睐高端产品。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，更多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai购物中心——流量统计显示，与2019年相比，10月份室内购物中心的客流量增长了3%，室外购物中心的客流量增长了5%——这是购物中心商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团(SPG)的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>泰森斯高级营销经理林赛·佩塔克(Lindsay Petak)表示：“随着越来越多的人完全接种疫苗，再加上许多人出于供应链担忧为即将到来的假期提前购物，自7月份以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。”华盛顿地区的角落中心。该购物中心归Macerich(MAC)所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的股价上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金(XRT)上涨了85%，而标普500则上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品ETF（RCD）今年的表现优于标普500 5个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>NRF的谢伊说：“我们看到百货商店、服装和非必需消费品零售商在经济重新开放后就真正反弹了。”“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店始终是节日期间的热门目的地……它们继续位居今年人们购物场所的榜首。”</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与在线商店不同，但它们将继续存在。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，零售业复兴是否可持续还没有定论。零售商在远离正常的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更具投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师珍妮·斯蒂彻特(Janine Stichter)表示：“我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为目前整个业务存在太多复杂性。”</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“供应链问题是真实存在的，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在第二季度收益看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，该公司预计销售将受到适度影响，而更大的影响来自运费通胀。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克表示，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者尽早开始购物，这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月的礼物数量可能会有所下降。“这并不一定是支出疲软得多；只是几个月的分布不同，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter表示，另一方面，低库存将为零售商提供更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修·福雷斯特表示，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“总体而言，美国经济明显放缓，”他说。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这正是可能发生的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出兴奋状态。他表示，虽然下降可能并不“可怕”，但消费者支出仍将较目前有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>不过，Abercrombie正在其实体店的帮助下克服逆风。该公司计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单发送到商店，并与Uber、Shipt和Postmates合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司American Eagle Outfitters(AEO)最近宣布将收购市中心附近自动化配送中心运营商Quiet Logistics，就在几周前，该公司收购了专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）的AirTerra。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们将继续这样做，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商的前进，末日预言家可能不得不推迟预示零售业的末日。目前，人们的情绪很明显：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又变得凉爽了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-14 08:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie&amp;Fitch的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie（股票代码：ANF）曾经是购物中心的主食，以鲜明、性感的广告和深色、香水味十足的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在2017年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的稳步下降给其未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的商场和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎即将夺走另一个受害者。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但在去葬礼的路上发生了令人惊讶的事情：Abercrombie享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨(Fran Horowitz)的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调了霍利斯特品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月31日，该公司第二财季收入同比增长24%，较大流行前水平增长3%。随着现金充裕的购物者涌向商店，其股价今年上涨了120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>霍洛维茨在接受采访时表示：“品牌认知度很难改变，需要时间才能与消费者重新建立信任。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.“因此，我们很高兴地说，在2021年，我们显然看到了所有这些努力工作的美妙效果。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅走出了深渊，还利用疫情带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的市场和急于花掉疫情积蓄的消费者的推动下，成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌销售额飙升，股价上涨。许多大型购物中心零售商的股价飙升，包括梅西百货(M)、诺德斯特龙(JWN)、著名鞋类母公司Caleres(CAL)和Signet Jewelers(SIG)，这些公司在过去12个月内都上涨了至少100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会的数据，消费者可能会花费8510亿美元，比去年创纪录的7770亿美元增长9.5%，是过去五年4.4%平均增幅的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售正常化之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意外的复兴重申了许多品牌对实体店力量的信念。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们继续在实体未来上下大赌注。随着对实体店投资的继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>疫情对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题是显而易见的。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至是婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌向网上。亚马逊（AMZN）和沃尔玛（WMT）等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>Columbia Threadneedle Investments零售分析师Mari Shor表示：“投资者情绪——尤其是短期对冲基金类型投资者——刚刚对该集团变得非常负面。”“我只是认为投资者并没有真正相信公司或消费者。”</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔表示，投资者的怀疑根源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会，让他们关闭表现不佳的门店，专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上做得更好，并将销售策略转向消费者，无论他们何时何地想购物——无论是网上购物、移动购物还是店内购物。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>萨克斯第五大道精品百货店(Saks Fifth Avenue)的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为60亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。据美国零售联合会估计，今年假期在线和其他非商店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>Global X负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗·帕兰德拉尼(Pedro Palandrani)表示：“我们认为，这场大流行不仅加速了电子商务在全球的采用，还扩大了市场。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在其数字战略上投资了数亿美元，强调通过改进公司网站以及为在线购买建立店内退货和提货等举措，从数字体验平稳过渡到店内体验。Horowitz表示，疫情的到来促使Abercrombie关闭了全球130家门店和该品牌50%的旗舰店，使过去10年关闭的门店总数达到约500家，同时战略性地开设了一些重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“商店很重要，但它们必须是合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济效益，”她说。“你把它和数字结合在一起，它就等于魔法。”</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B.Riley Securities分析师苏珊·安德森(Susan Anderson)表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效的方式，而且还可以作为在线提货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，即使是Warby Parker(WRBY)等在线零售商也扩大了实体业务，以适应购物者的偏好。“消费者希望随时随地购物，”安德森说。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。商场和实体店在精通数字技术的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，设计公司BHDP委托对1,000名购物者进行的一项调查显示，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁购物者也回到商场，试穿产品，利用店内促销活动，并进行退货。德勤(Deloitte)美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯(Rod Sides)表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人群的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间的战略转变使许多零售商在今年购物中心和市中心的重新开放中处于更好的位置——购物者渴望打开钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者变得出乎意料地富有。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤(Deloitte)的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假期的支出比去年增加15%，平均每户2,624美元，推动了假期的大部分增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪分析公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪表示：“你有大量现金，而且有相当多被压抑的需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至6250亿美元，比10月份增长0.7%，同比增长13.9%。仅零售额就比8月份增长了0.8%。花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“我们预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。”</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会主席兼首席执行官马修·谢伊(Matthew Shay)在10月份的媒体吹风会上表示，进入假期，零售商比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测，本季美国零售额将增长7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品将大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商博柏利集团(BRBY.UK)上周表示，2022财年上半年可比销售额增长37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach母公司Tapestry(TPR)公布的第一财季财报好于预期，上调了2022年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩表示，“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地应对了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表。”Wolfe Research青睐Nordstrom和Tapestry等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“美国消费者支出的几乎所有主要驱动因素都青睐高端产品。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，更多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai购物中心——流量统计显示，与2019年相比，10月份室内购物中心的客流量增长了3%，室外购物中心的客流量增长了5%——这是购物中心商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团(SPG)的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>泰森斯高级营销经理林赛·佩塔克(Lindsay Petak)表示：“随着越来越多的人完全接种疫苗，再加上许多人出于供应链担忧为即将到来的假期提前购物，自7月份以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。”华盛顿地区的角落中心。该购物中心归Macerich(MAC)所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的股价上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金(XRT)上涨了85%，而标普500则上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品ETF（RCD）今年的表现优于标普500 5个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>NRF的谢伊说：“我们看到百货商店、服装和非必需消费品零售商在经济重新开放后就真正反弹了。”“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店始终是节日期间的热门目的地……它们继续位居今年人们购物场所的榜首。”</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与在线商店不同，但它们将继续存在。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，零售业复兴是否可持续还没有定论。零售商在远离正常的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更具投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师珍妮·斯蒂彻特(Janine Stichter)表示：“我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为目前整个业务存在太多复杂性。”</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“供应链问题是真实存在的，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在第二季度收益看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，该公司预计销售将受到适度影响，而更大的影响来自运费通胀。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克表示，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者尽早开始购物，这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月的礼物数量可能会有所下降。“这并不一定是支出疲软得多；只是几个月的分布不同，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter表示，另一方面，低库存将为零售商提供更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修·福雷斯特表示，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“总体而言，美国经济明显放缓，”他说。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这正是可能发生的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出兴奋状态。他表示，虽然下降可能并不“可怕”，但消费者支出仍将较目前有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>不过，Abercrombie正在其实体店的帮助下克服逆风。该公司计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单发送到商店，并与Uber、Shipt和Postmates合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司American Eagle Outfitters(AEO)最近宣布将收购市中心附近自动化配送中心运营商Quiet Logistics，就在几周前，该公司收购了专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）的AirTerra。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们将继续这样做，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商的前进，末日预言家可能不得不推迟预示零售业的末日。目前，人们的情绪很明显：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又变得凉爽了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRBY.UK":"巴宝莉","BBRYF":"Burberry Group Plc","AMZN":"亚马逊","ANF":"爱芬奇","RCD":"READY CAPITAL CORPORATION 9.00% SENIOR NOTES DUE 2029","WMT":"沃尔玛","JWN":"诺德斯特龙","TPR":"Tapestry Inc.","M":"梅西百货","SIG":"西格内特珠宝","CAL":"Caleres鞋业"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159096163","content_text":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.\nThe retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.\nBut something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.\nRevenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.\n“Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with Barron’s. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”\nAbercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.\nBrands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including Macy’s (M),Nordstrom (JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres (CAL), and Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.\nThese companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.\nNo one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.\nBut the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.\nWealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.\nThe pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as Amazon.com (AMZN) and Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.\n“The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”\nShor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.\nBut the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.\nIn one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.\nSuch approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.\n“We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.\nAbercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.\n“Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”\nNot only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.\nThat behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.\nAccording to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.\nThe shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.\nDuring the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.\n“You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.\nRetail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.\nRetailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly Mastercard spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.\nLuxury retailer Burberry Group (BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And Tapestry (TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.\nSome analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”\nMeanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.\n“With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.\nAll of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the SPDR S&P Retail exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&P 500 rose 33%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.\n“We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”\nAll that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.\nThe verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.\n“I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.\nCompanies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.\nAbercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.\nTo ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.\nOn the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.\nWhatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”\nThe economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.\nAbercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.\nOther retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.\n“We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.\nAs retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. 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