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Medha

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2021-07-22

🙂

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2021-06-29

Woah

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2021-06-28

☕☕

Starbucks - Too Hot To Handle<blockquote>星巴克 - 太热而无法处理</blockquote>

2021-06-27

👌ok

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2021-06-25

Ook

Why Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票落入福特和通用汽车的尘埃中</blockquote>

2021-06-23

Oic

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2021-06-22

Ok

American investors are trying to buy a UK supermarket. Here's why<blockquote>美国投资者正试图收购一家英国超市。原因如下</blockquote>

2021-06-21

Noted

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2021-06-20

Ok

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2021-06-20

Errr

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2021-06-19

Ok

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2021-06-17

Noted.

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2021-06-16

👍

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2021-06-15

Ok

Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并不担心通货膨胀。他们应该吗？</blockquote>

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15:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Starbucks - Too Hot To Handle<blockquote>星巴克 - 太热而无法处理</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103137872","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nStarbucks continues to be the leading global coffee franchise across the globe.\nThe company","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Starbucks continues to be the leading global coffee franchise across the globe.</li>  <li>The company has been hit hard by the pandemic, but the company continues to open stores to drive further growth post the pandemic.</li>  <li>Even if I assume an optimistic $4 earnings per share number next year, valuations look high, too high to see great appeal here.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/860ea0c3c4fcf2d5047e8c0a528096df\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1021\"><span>mysondanube/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>星巴克仍然是全球领先的全球咖啡特许经营商。</li><li>该公司受到疫情的沉重打击，但该公司继续开设门店，以推动疫情后的进一步增长。</li><li>即使我假设明年每股收益为 4 美元，估值看起来也很高，高到看不到很大的吸引力。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>mysondanube/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Starbucks (SBUX)</b>&nbsp;has been quite resilient, at least its shares, as the business has done quite well despite very challenging operating conditions. Shares of the leading coffee player peaked at nearly $100 ahead of the pandemic and after an initial move lower, shares have seen a very steady recovery as they currently trade at $113 per share, just 5% from recent and all-time-highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>星巴克（SBUX）</b>至少其股票具有相当大的弹性，因为尽管经营条件非常具有挑战性，但该业务仍表现良好。这家领先的咖啡公司的股价在疫情爆发前达到近 100 美元的峰值，在最初走低后，股价出现了非常稳定的复苏，目前交易价格为每股 113 美元，仅比近期和历史高点低 5%。</blockquote></p><p> While 2021 is set to match 2019 in terms of the earnings power and growth has returned in a convincing way, I still think that despite the undisputed quality of the franchise, valuations are too high to see any appeal here.</p><p><blockquote>虽然2021年在盈利能力方面将与2019年相媲美，增长也以令人信服的方式回归，但我仍然认为，尽管特许经营权的质量无可争议，但估值太高，看不到任何吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pandemic - A Hit, And Savior</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大流行——一击，也是救世主</b></blockquote></p><p> Starbucks was early to recognize the impact of the pandemic as it has sizeable Chinese operations of course, and with the pandemic breaking out a few months earlier than was the case in the US and Europe, the impact was early felt.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克很早就认识到了疫情的影响，因为它在中国有相当大的业务，当然，随着疫情比美国和欧洲早爆发几个月，影响很早就感受到了。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks's second quarter fiscal&nbsp;results, corresponding to the first quarter of the calendar year of 2020, saw sales fall 5%. The third quarter results showed the real impact of the pandemic with sales down 38% as no amount of cost control was able to maintain profitability, as the company posted a sizeable, yet at the same time very manageable loss on the back of the very challenging conditions at the time.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克第二季度财务业绩（对应 2020 年第一季度）销售额下降 5%。第三季度业绩显示了疫情的真正影响，销售额下降了 38%，因为再多的成本控制都无法维持盈利能力，因为该公司在当时非常具有挑战性的情况下出现了可观但同时又非常可控的亏损。</blockquote></p><p> On the back of the summer reopening in many Western nations last year, revenues recovered in a big way, down just 8% in the final quarter of the fiscal year. After the dismal second quarter results, full year revenues were down 11% to $19.2 billion, yet earnings took a far larger beating with operating earnings down more than 60%, to just over $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>在去年许多西方国家夏季重新开放的背景下，收入大幅复苏，本财年最后一个季度仅下降了8%。在第二季度业绩惨淡之后，全年收入下降了 11%，至 192 亿美元，但盈利却遭受了更大的打击，营业利润下降了 60% 以上，略高于 15 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, almost all the absolute decline in revenues translated into a one-on-one impact on the operating income line amidst higher restructuring costs, stable, or slightly increasing depreciation charges, and store expenses up a bit amidst the many modifications and safety measures taken.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，几乎所有收入的绝对下降都转化为对经营利润线的一对一影响，其中包括更高的重组成本、稳定或略有增加的折旧费用，以及在许多修改和采取的安全措施中略有增加的商店费用。</blockquote></p><p> Net debt stood at $11.5 billion by the end of the fiscal year. That is quite a bit after the company posted adjusted EBITDA of around $6.0 billion in the fiscal year of 2019, but the EBITDA number came in much closer to $3.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至本财年末，净债务为 115 亿美元。这是在该公司公布 2019 财年调整后 EBITDA 约为 60 亿美元之后发生的，但 EBITDA 数字接近 35 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> By the time these results were announced back in October of last year, shares had rebounded to the high-eighties already, which translated both into a high earnings multiple based on the adjusted profits of $1.17 per share, and even on the adjusted earnings of $2.83 per share a year earlier. Even based on the 2019 earnings, shares traded at a 30 times multiple.</p><p><blockquote>当这些业绩于去年 10 月公布时，股价已经反弹至 80 年代的高点，这转化为基于调整后每股 1.17 美元的高市盈率，甚至基于调整后每股收益 2.83 美元一年前。即使根据 2019 年的收益，股票交易市盈率也是 30 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Big Recovery</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大复苏</b></blockquote></p><p> At the start of 2021 the company&nbsp;posted&nbsp;first quarter results for its fiscal year with sales down more than 6% as the company was not yet lapping the impact of the pandemic. The company reiterated the full year guidance, calling for sales at a midpoint of $28.5 billion with earnings seen at a midpoint of $2.80 per share, although the fact that this calendar year counts 53 weeks, makes that the guidance assumes a ten cent boost from that fact.</p><p><blockquote>2021年初，该公司公布了本财年第一季度业绩，由于公司尚未摆脱疫情的影响，销售额下降了6%以上。该公司重申了全年指引，要求销售额中位数为 285 亿美元，每股收益中位数为 2.80 美元，尽管本日历年有 53 周的事实使得该指引假设了 10 美分的增长来自这一事实。</blockquote></p><p> The second quarter results revealed 8% revenue growth, which is quite comforting as Western economies were gradually opening up again. Moreover, this is not the case of easily comparisons, as second quarter revenues were down just 5% in the second quarter of 2020, so we actually see growth now vs the quarterly period in 2019. On the back of the solid results, the company has hiked the full year sales guidance to a midpoint of $28.9 billion. Moreover, the midpoint of the earnings guidance has been hiked by fifteen cents to $2.95 per share.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩显示收入增长8%，随着西方经济逐渐重新开放，这相当令人欣慰。此外，这不是一个容易比较的情况，因为2020年第二季度的第二季度收入仅下降了5%，所以我们现在实际上看到了与2019年季度相比的增长。在稳健业绩的支持下，该公司将全年销售指引上调至289亿美元的中点。此外，盈利指引的中点上调了 15 美分，至每股 2.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net debt is down to roughly $10 billion after these relatively softer first two quarters of the year. With net earnings seen at around $3.5 billion this year, and after adding back approximately $1.5 billion in depreciation expenses, as well as a few hundred million in interest and taxes, EBITDA should match or surpass the $6 billion EBITDA number from 2019. In that sense, leverage is very modest, and certainly no concern.</p><p><blockquote>在今年前两个相对疲软的季度之后，净债务降至约 100 亿美元。今年的净利润约为 35 亿美元，加上约 15 亿美元的折旧费用以及数亿美元的利息和税款，EBITDA 应该会达到或超过 2019 年的 60 亿美元 EBITDA 数字。从这个意义上说，杠杆非常适度，当然也不用担心。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Based on the current share price of $113 per share, valuations come in around 38 times earnings seen this year. However, the earnings rate based on the second half of the year is seen around $2 per share, which might imply potential for earnings to jump towards $4 per share next year. Such earnings power reduces expectations to 28 times forward earnings. Based on that number, the multiple is still elevated, as I realize that it will take a year before this might be realized.</p><p><blockquote>根据目前每股 113 美元的股价计算，估值约为今年收益的 38 倍。然而，基于下半年的收益率预计约为每股 2 美元，这可能意味着明年每股收益有可能跃升至 4 美元。这种盈利能力将预期降低至预期盈利的 28 倍。根据这个数字，倍数仍然很高，因为我意识到这可能需要一年时间才能实现。</blockquote></p><p> I guess the reasons mentioned above are likely the considerations why Mr. Ackman from Pershing Square sold out of the stock earlier this year. While the $3 earnings per share number for this year is conformed, and there is a real roadmap for earnings of $4 per share next year if the pandemic fades, I fail to see real triggers from here.</p><p><blockquote>我猜上面提到的原因很可能是潘兴广场的阿克曼先生今年早些时候抛售股票的考虑因素。虽然今年每股收益 3 美元的数字是一致的，并且如果疫情消退，明年每股收益将达到 4 美元的真正路线图，但我看不到这里的真正触发因素。</blockquote></p><p> Based on such earnings power I think that valuations certainly look full here, too full for me to see appeal, although I have no doubts whatsoever on the quality and long term potential of this very high quality franchise.</p><p><blockquote>基于这样的盈利能力，我认为这里的估值肯定看起来很满，对我来说太满了，看不到吸引力，尽管我对这个非常高质量的特许经营权的质量和长期潜力没有任何怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Starbucks - Too Hot To Handle<blockquote>星巴克 - 太热而无法处理</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStarbucks - Too Hot To Handle<blockquote>星巴克 - 太热而无法处理</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 15:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Starbucks continues to be the leading global coffee franchise across the globe.</li>  <li>The company has been hit hard by the pandemic, but the company continues to open stores to drive further growth post the pandemic.</li>  <li>Even if I assume an optimistic $4 earnings per share number next year, valuations look high, too high to see great appeal here.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/860ea0c3c4fcf2d5047e8c0a528096df\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1021\"><span>mysondanube/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>星巴克仍然是全球领先的全球咖啡特许经营商。</li><li>该公司受到疫情的沉重打击，但该公司继续开设门店，以推动疫情后的进一步增长。</li><li>即使我假设明年每股收益为 4 美元，估值看起来也很高，高到看不到很大的吸引力。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>mysondanube/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Starbucks (SBUX)</b>&nbsp;has been quite resilient, at least its shares, as the business has done quite well despite very challenging operating conditions. Shares of the leading coffee player peaked at nearly $100 ahead of the pandemic and after an initial move lower, shares have seen a very steady recovery as they currently trade at $113 per share, just 5% from recent and all-time-highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>星巴克（SBUX）</b>至少其股票具有相当大的弹性，因为尽管经营条件非常具有挑战性，但该业务仍表现良好。这家领先的咖啡公司的股价在疫情爆发前达到近 100 美元的峰值，在最初走低后，股价出现了非常稳定的复苏，目前交易价格为每股 113 美元，仅比近期和历史高点低 5%。</blockquote></p><p> While 2021 is set to match 2019 in terms of the earnings power and growth has returned in a convincing way, I still think that despite the undisputed quality of the franchise, valuations are too high to see any appeal here.</p><p><blockquote>虽然2021年在盈利能力方面将与2019年相媲美，增长也以令人信服的方式回归，但我仍然认为，尽管特许经营权的质量无可争议，但估值太高，看不到任何吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pandemic - A Hit, And Savior</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大流行——一击，也是救世主</b></blockquote></p><p> Starbucks was early to recognize the impact of the pandemic as it has sizeable Chinese operations of course, and with the pandemic breaking out a few months earlier than was the case in the US and Europe, the impact was early felt.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克很早就认识到了疫情的影响，因为它在中国有相当大的业务，当然，随着疫情比美国和欧洲早爆发几个月，影响很早就感受到了。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks's second quarter fiscal&nbsp;results, corresponding to the first quarter of the calendar year of 2020, saw sales fall 5%. The third quarter results showed the real impact of the pandemic with sales down 38% as no amount of cost control was able to maintain profitability, as the company posted a sizeable, yet at the same time very manageable loss on the back of the very challenging conditions at the time.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克第二季度财务业绩（对应 2020 年第一季度）销售额下降 5%。第三季度业绩显示了疫情的真正影响，销售额下降了 38%，因为再多的成本控制都无法维持盈利能力，因为该公司在当时非常具有挑战性的情况下出现了可观但同时又非常可控的亏损。</blockquote></p><p> On the back of the summer reopening in many Western nations last year, revenues recovered in a big way, down just 8% in the final quarter of the fiscal year. After the dismal second quarter results, full year revenues were down 11% to $19.2 billion, yet earnings took a far larger beating with operating earnings down more than 60%, to just over $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>在去年许多西方国家夏季重新开放的背景下，收入大幅复苏，本财年最后一个季度仅下降了8%。在第二季度业绩惨淡之后，全年收入下降了 11%，至 192 亿美元，但盈利却遭受了更大的打击，营业利润下降了 60% 以上，略高于 15 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, almost all the absolute decline in revenues translated into a one-on-one impact on the operating income line amidst higher restructuring costs, stable, or slightly increasing depreciation charges, and store expenses up a bit amidst the many modifications and safety measures taken.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，几乎所有收入的绝对下降都转化为对经营利润线的一对一影响，其中包括更高的重组成本、稳定或略有增加的折旧费用，以及在许多修改和采取的安全措施中略有增加的商店费用。</blockquote></p><p> Net debt stood at $11.5 billion by the end of the fiscal year. That is quite a bit after the company posted adjusted EBITDA of around $6.0 billion in the fiscal year of 2019, but the EBITDA number came in much closer to $3.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至本财年末，净债务为 115 亿美元。这是在该公司公布 2019 财年调整后 EBITDA 约为 60 亿美元之后发生的，但 EBITDA 数字接近 35 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> By the time these results were announced back in October of last year, shares had rebounded to the high-eighties already, which translated both into a high earnings multiple based on the adjusted profits of $1.17 per share, and even on the adjusted earnings of $2.83 per share a year earlier. Even based on the 2019 earnings, shares traded at a 30 times multiple.</p><p><blockquote>当这些业绩于去年 10 月公布时，股价已经反弹至 80 年代的高点，这转化为基于调整后每股 1.17 美元的高市盈率，甚至基于调整后每股收益 2.83 美元一年前。即使根据 2019 年的收益，股票交易市盈率也是 30 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Big Recovery</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大复苏</b></blockquote></p><p> At the start of 2021 the company&nbsp;posted&nbsp;first quarter results for its fiscal year with sales down more than 6% as the company was not yet lapping the impact of the pandemic. The company reiterated the full year guidance, calling for sales at a midpoint of $28.5 billion with earnings seen at a midpoint of $2.80 per share, although the fact that this calendar year counts 53 weeks, makes that the guidance assumes a ten cent boost from that fact.</p><p><blockquote>2021年初，该公司公布了本财年第一季度业绩，由于公司尚未摆脱疫情的影响，销售额下降了6%以上。该公司重申了全年指引，要求销售额中位数为 285 亿美元，每股收益中位数为 2.80 美元，尽管本日历年有 53 周的事实使得该指引假设了 10 美分的增长来自这一事实。</blockquote></p><p> The second quarter results revealed 8% revenue growth, which is quite comforting as Western economies were gradually opening up again. Moreover, this is not the case of easily comparisons, as second quarter revenues were down just 5% in the second quarter of 2020, so we actually see growth now vs the quarterly period in 2019. On the back of the solid results, the company has hiked the full year sales guidance to a midpoint of $28.9 billion. Moreover, the midpoint of the earnings guidance has been hiked by fifteen cents to $2.95 per share.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩显示收入增长8%，随着西方经济逐渐重新开放，这相当令人欣慰。此外，这不是一个容易比较的情况，因为2020年第二季度的第二季度收入仅下降了5%，所以我们现在实际上看到了与2019年季度相比的增长。在稳健业绩的支持下，该公司将全年销售指引上调至289亿美元的中点。此外，盈利指引的中点上调了 15 美分，至每股 2.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net debt is down to roughly $10 billion after these relatively softer first two quarters of the year. With net earnings seen at around $3.5 billion this year, and after adding back approximately $1.5 billion in depreciation expenses, as well as a few hundred million in interest and taxes, EBITDA should match or surpass the $6 billion EBITDA number from 2019. In that sense, leverage is very modest, and certainly no concern.</p><p><blockquote>在今年前两个相对疲软的季度之后，净债务降至约 100 亿美元。今年的净利润约为 35 亿美元，加上约 15 亿美元的折旧费用以及数亿美元的利息和税款，EBITDA 应该会达到或超过 2019 年的 60 亿美元 EBITDA 数字。从这个意义上说，杠杆非常适度，当然也不用担心。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Based on the current share price of $113 per share, valuations come in around 38 times earnings seen this year. However, the earnings rate based on the second half of the year is seen around $2 per share, which might imply potential for earnings to jump towards $4 per share next year. Such earnings power reduces expectations to 28 times forward earnings. Based on that number, the multiple is still elevated, as I realize that it will take a year before this might be realized.</p><p><blockquote>根据目前每股 113 美元的股价计算，估值约为今年收益的 38 倍。然而，基于下半年的收益率预计约为每股 2 美元，这可能意味着明年每股收益有可能跃升至 4 美元。这种盈利能力将预期降低至预期盈利的 28 倍。根据这个数字，倍数仍然很高，因为我意识到这可能需要一年时间才能实现。</blockquote></p><p> I guess the reasons mentioned above are likely the considerations why Mr. Ackman from Pershing Square sold out of the stock earlier this year. While the $3 earnings per share number for this year is conformed, and there is a real roadmap for earnings of $4 per share next year if the pandemic fades, I fail to see real triggers from here.</p><p><blockquote>我猜上面提到的原因很可能是潘兴广场的阿克曼先生今年早些时候抛售股票的考虑因素。虽然今年每股收益 3 美元的数字是一致的，并且如果疫情消退，明年每股收益将达到 4 美元的真正路线图，但我看不到这里的真正触发因素。</blockquote></p><p> Based on such earnings power I think that valuations certainly look full here, too full for me to see appeal, although I have no doubts whatsoever on the quality and long term potential of this very high quality franchise.</p><p><blockquote>基于这样的盈利能力，我认为这里的估值肯定看起来很满，对我来说太满了，看不到吸引力，尽管我对这个非常高质量的特许经营权的质量和长期潜力没有任何怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436869-starbucks-too-hot-to-handle\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436869-starbucks-too-hot-to-handle","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103137872","content_text":"Summary\n\nStarbucks continues to be the leading global coffee franchise across the globe.\nThe company has been hit hard by the pandemic, but the company continues to open stores to drive further growth post the pandemic.\nEven if I assume an optimistic $4 earnings per share number next year, valuations look high, too high to see great appeal here.\n\nmysondanube/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nStarbucks (SBUX) has been quite resilient, at least its shares, as the business has done quite well despite very challenging operating conditions. Shares of the leading coffee player peaked at nearly $100 ahead of the pandemic and after an initial move lower, shares have seen a very steady recovery as they currently trade at $113 per share, just 5% from recent and all-time-highs.\nWhile 2021 is set to match 2019 in terms of the earnings power and growth has returned in a convincing way, I still think that despite the undisputed quality of the franchise, valuations are too high to see any appeal here.\nPandemic - A Hit, And Savior\nStarbucks was early to recognize the impact of the pandemic as it has sizeable Chinese operations of course, and with the pandemic breaking out a few months earlier than was the case in the US and Europe, the impact was early felt.\nStarbucks's second quarter fiscal results, corresponding to the first quarter of the calendar year of 2020, saw sales fall 5%. The third quarter results showed the real impact of the pandemic with sales down 38% as no amount of cost control was able to maintain profitability, as the company posted a sizeable, yet at the same time very manageable loss on the back of the very challenging conditions at the time.\nOn the back of the summer reopening in many Western nations last year, revenues recovered in a big way, down just 8% in the final quarter of the fiscal year. After the dismal second quarter results, full year revenues were down 11% to $19.2 billion, yet earnings took a far larger beating with operating earnings down more than 60%, to just over $1.5 billion.\nIn fact, almost all the absolute decline in revenues translated into a one-on-one impact on the operating income line amidst higher restructuring costs, stable, or slightly increasing depreciation charges, and store expenses up a bit amidst the many modifications and safety measures taken.\nNet debt stood at $11.5 billion by the end of the fiscal year. That is quite a bit after the company posted adjusted EBITDA of around $6.0 billion in the fiscal year of 2019, but the EBITDA number came in much closer to $3.5 billion.\nBy the time these results were announced back in October of last year, shares had rebounded to the high-eighties already, which translated both into a high earnings multiple based on the adjusted profits of $1.17 per share, and even on the adjusted earnings of $2.83 per share a year earlier. Even based on the 2019 earnings, shares traded at a 30 times multiple.\nA Big Recovery\nAt the start of 2021 the company posted first quarter results for its fiscal year with sales down more than 6% as the company was not yet lapping the impact of the pandemic. The company reiterated the full year guidance, calling for sales at a midpoint of $28.5 billion with earnings seen at a midpoint of $2.80 per share, although the fact that this calendar year counts 53 weeks, makes that the guidance assumes a ten cent boost from that fact.\nThe second quarter results revealed 8% revenue growth, which is quite comforting as Western economies were gradually opening up again. Moreover, this is not the case of easily comparisons, as second quarter revenues were down just 5% in the second quarter of 2020, so we actually see growth now vs the quarterly period in 2019. On the back of the solid results, the company has hiked the full year sales guidance to a midpoint of $28.9 billion. Moreover, the midpoint of the earnings guidance has been hiked by fifteen cents to $2.95 per share.\nNet debt is down to roughly $10 billion after these relatively softer first two quarters of the year. With net earnings seen at around $3.5 billion this year, and after adding back approximately $1.5 billion in depreciation expenses, as well as a few hundred million in interest and taxes, EBITDA should match or surpass the $6 billion EBITDA number from 2019. In that sense, leverage is very modest, and certainly no concern.\nBased on the current share price of $113 per share, valuations come in around 38 times earnings seen this year. However, the earnings rate based on the second half of the year is seen around $2 per share, which might imply potential for earnings to jump towards $4 per share next year. Such earnings power reduces expectations to 28 times forward earnings. Based on that number, the multiple is still elevated, as I realize that it will take a year before this might be realized.\nI guess the reasons mentioned above are likely the considerations why Mr. Ackman from Pershing Square sold out of the stock earlier this year. While the $3 earnings per share number for this year is conformed, and there is a real roadmap for earnings of $4 per share next year if the pandemic fades, I fail to see real triggers from here.\nBased on such earnings power I think that valuations certainly look full here, too full for me to see appeal, although I have no doubts whatsoever on the quality and long term potential of this very high quality franchise.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SBUX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124249711,"gmtCreate":1624769018333,"gmtModify":1633948817788,"author":{"id":"3582027145455201","authorId":"3582027145455201","name":"Medha","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582027145455201","authorIdStr":"3582027145455201"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌ok","listText":"👌ok","text":"👌ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124249711","repostId":"2146090006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122415360,"gmtCreate":1624629952550,"gmtModify":1633950312380,"author":{"id":"3582027145455201","authorId":"3582027145455201","name":"Medha","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582027145455201","authorIdStr":"3582027145455201"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ook","listText":"Ook","text":"Ook","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122415360","repostId":"1116076888","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116076888","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624612129,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116076888?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 17:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票落入福特和通用汽车的尘埃中</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116076888","media":"cnn","summary":"New York Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.Tesla  shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand thei","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&amp;P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN Business）特斯拉在 2020 年表现出色：这家电动汽车制造商被纳入标普500，股价飙升 743%。但最近一些投资者已经放弃了该公司。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉 (TSLA) 股价比今年早些时候创下的历史高点低了近 25%，2021 年迄今已下跌 2%——此时传统汽车制造商正在加大电动汽车雄心，股价正在飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Ford (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&amp;P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>福特 (F) 股价上涨近 75%，跻身 2021 年标普500前 10 名。该公司上个月推出了电动 F-150 Lightning 卡车，并告诉投资者，目前预计到 2030 年电动汽车将占全球销量的 40%。</blockquote></p><p> And GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车 (GM) 也上涨了 40% 以上。这家雪佛兰、别克和凯迪拉克制造商本月表示，计划到 2025 年在电动汽车上花费高达 350 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎对这些传统的三大汽车制造商有点着迷，因为他们希望迅速扩大电动汽车产品，以赶上特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉仍在快速增长。分析师预计今年每股收益将翻一番以上，未来几年平均每年增长约 45%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉是华尔街两极分化最严重的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> According to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.</p><p><blockquote>据 Refinitiv 称，14 位分析师将该股评级为“买入”，13 位分析师将其评级为“持有”，10 位分析师将其评级为“卖出”。相比之下，通用汽车有 20 个买入评级，2 个持有评级，没有卖出评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怀疑论者对特斯拉和马斯克有很多疑问</b></blockquote></p><p> The consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票的一致目标价为 652 美元，比当前价格低约 6%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的批评者有一堆担忧要指出。《大空头》中一位著名的卖空者正在做空该公司。在长期高管杰罗姆·吉伦本月早些时候突然离职后，人们对特斯拉管理层的担忧油然而生，特别是因为首席执行官埃隆·马斯克也忙于运营 SpaceX。</blockquote></p><p> And Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克对比特币和狗狗币的痴迷，以及主持《周六夜现场》和不断发推文等其他课外活动，可能会让一些投资者和分析师望而却步。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，不可否认的是，该公司拥有大量狂热的粉丝，仅在本周，其车辆就占据了大量正面头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.</p><p><blockquote>例如，Cars.com (CARS) 本周早些时候宣布，特斯拉的 Model 3 在其美国制造指数中排名第一，该指数根据国内工厂就业、制造工厂和零部件采购等因素衡量汽车对美国经济的贡献程度。</blockquote></p><p> The Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.</p><p><blockquote>Model 3 击败福特野马登顶，特斯拉 Model Y 也位居榜单第三。消息传出后，特斯拉股价周三上涨超过 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克前一天晚上在推特上表示，如果 SpaceX 最终决定在几年内剥离卫星互联网服务，特斯拉投资者可能会获得购买 SpaceX 旗下 Starlink 股票的优惠待遇，该股周四进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> So even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>因此，尽管特斯拉的股价今年仍处于亏损状态，但在过去五天飙升超过 12% 后，该股已迅速收复 2021 年的大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is nothing if not volatile.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉除了变化无常之外什么都不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票落入福特和通用汽车的尘埃中</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票落入福特和通用汽车的尘埃中</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-25 17:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&amp;P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN Business）特斯拉在 2020 年表现出色：这家电动汽车制造商被纳入标普500，股价飙升 743%。但最近一些投资者已经放弃了该公司。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉 (TSLA) 股价比今年早些时候创下的历史高点低了近 25%，2021 年迄今已下跌 2%——此时传统汽车制造商正在加大电动汽车雄心，股价正在飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Ford (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&amp;P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>福特 (F) 股价上涨近 75%，跻身 2021 年标普500前 10 名。该公司上个月推出了电动 F-150 Lightning 卡车，并告诉投资者，目前预计到 2030 年电动汽车将占全球销量的 40%。</blockquote></p><p> And GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车 (GM) 也上涨了 40% 以上。这家雪佛兰、别克和凯迪拉克制造商本月表示，计划到 2025 年在电动汽车上花费高达 350 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎对这些传统的三大汽车制造商有点着迷，因为他们希望迅速扩大电动汽车产品，以赶上特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉仍在快速增长。分析师预计今年每股收益将翻一番以上，未来几年平均每年增长约 45%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉是华尔街两极分化最严重的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> According to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.</p><p><blockquote>据 Refinitiv 称，14 位分析师将该股评级为“买入”，13 位分析师将其评级为“持有”，10 位分析师将其评级为“卖出”。相比之下，通用汽车有 20 个买入评级，2 个持有评级，没有卖出评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怀疑论者对特斯拉和马斯克有很多疑问</b></blockquote></p><p> The consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票的一致目标价为 652 美元，比当前价格低约 6%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的批评者有一堆担忧要指出。《大空头》中一位著名的卖空者正在做空该公司。在长期高管杰罗姆·吉伦本月早些时候突然离职后，人们对特斯拉管理层的担忧油然而生，特别是因为首席执行官埃隆·马斯克也忙于运营 SpaceX。</blockquote></p><p> And Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克对比特币和狗狗币的痴迷，以及主持《周六夜现场》和不断发推文等其他课外活动，可能会让一些投资者和分析师望而却步。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，不可否认的是，该公司拥有大量狂热的粉丝，仅在本周，其车辆就占据了大量正面头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.</p><p><blockquote>例如，Cars.com (CARS) 本周早些时候宣布，特斯拉的 Model 3 在其美国制造指数中排名第一，该指数根据国内工厂就业、制造工厂和零部件采购等因素衡量汽车对美国经济的贡献程度。</blockquote></p><p> The Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.</p><p><blockquote>Model 3 击败福特野马登顶，特斯拉 Model Y 也位居榜单第三。消息传出后，特斯拉股价周三上涨超过 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克前一天晚上在推特上表示，如果 SpaceX 最终决定在几年内剥离卫星互联网服务，特斯拉投资者可能会获得购买 SpaceX 旗下 Starlink 股票的优惠待遇，该股周四进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> So even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>因此，尽管特斯拉的股价今年仍处于亏损状态，但在过去五天飙升超过 12% 后，该股已迅速收复 2021 年的大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is nothing if not volatile.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉除了变化无常之外什么都不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/24/investing/tesla-stock-ford-gm/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/24/investing/tesla-stock-ford-gm/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116076888","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.\nTesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.\nFord (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.\nAnd GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.\nIt seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.\nTesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.\nYet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.\nAccording to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.\nSkeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk\nThe consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.\nTesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.\nAnd Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.\nStill, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.\nFor example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.\nThe Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.\nThe stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.\nSo even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.\nTesla is nothing if not volatile.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1988,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123550636,"gmtCreate":1624430697025,"gmtModify":1634006218379,"author":{"id":"3582027145455201","authorId":"3582027145455201","name":"Medha","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582027145455201","authorIdStr":"3582027145455201"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oic","listText":"Oic","text":"Oic","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123550636","repostId":"2145066431","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120456346,"gmtCreate":1624333960085,"gmtModify":1634007620055,"author":{"id":"3582027145455201","authorId":"3582027145455201","name":"Medha","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582027145455201","authorIdStr":"3582027145455201"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120456346","repostId":"1116834236","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116834236","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624333365,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116834236?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 11:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"American investors are trying to buy a UK supermarket. Here's why<blockquote>美国投资者正试图收购一家英国超市。原因如下</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116834236","media":"cnn","summary":"London Britain's fourth biggest supermarket chain Morrisons has become the takeover target of an American private equity firm in the latest sign of a strong appetite among investors for UK assets.Morrisons confirmed over the weekend that New York-headquartered Clayton, Dubilier & Rice last week made an unsolicited offer of 2.30  per share in cash for the grocery retailer. That's a 29% premium to Morrisons'  closing price on Friday, giving it a market value of around 5.5 billion .Shares in the co","content":"<p>London (CNN Business)Britain's fourth biggest supermarket chain Morrisons has become the takeover target of an American private equity firm in the latest sign of a strong appetite among investors for UK assets.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦（CNN Business）英国第四大连锁超市莫里森 (Morrisons) 已成为一家美国私募股权公司的收购目标，这是投资者对英国资产兴趣强烈的最新迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons confirmed over the weekend that New York-headquartered Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice last week made an unsolicited offer of £2.30 ($3.19) per share in cash for the grocery retailer. That's a 29% premium to Morrisons' (MRWSF) closing price on Friday, giving it a market value of around £5.5 billion ($7.6 billion).</p><p><blockquote>莫里森周末证实，总部位于纽约的 Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice 上周主动向这家杂货零售商提出了每股 2.30 英镑（3.19 美元）的现金报价。这比 Morrisons (MRWSF) 周五的收盘价溢价 29%，市值约为 55 亿英镑（76 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in the company surged more than 30% in London on Monday, taking the share price above the takeover offer and lifting other stocks in the sector. Sainsbury's (JSNSF) and Ocado (OCDDY) climbed over 4%, with Marks &amp; Spencer (MAKSY) rising nearly 3% and Tesco (TSCDF) up more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>周一，该公司股价在伦敦飙升超过 30%，股价高于收购要约，并提振了该行业的其他股票。Sainsbury's (JSNSF) 和 Ocado (OCDDY) 上涨超过 4%，Marks &amp; Spencer (MAKSY) 上涨近 3%，Tesco (TSCDF) 上涨超过 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons rejected the proposal in its statement on Saturday, saying that it \"significantly undervalued\" the company and its future prospects. Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice now has until July 17 to make a firm offer.</p><p><blockquote>莫里森在周六的声明中拒绝了该提议，称其“严重低估”了该公司及其未来前景。Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice 现在必须在 7 月 17 日之前提出确定报价。</blockquote></p><p> The move comes amid heightened investor activity in UK retail and a spate of takeover bids for British companies, undervalued for years because of poor returns linked to drab growth and a weak pound following the Brexit referendum of 2016.</p><p><blockquote>此举出台之际，英国零售业投资者活动加剧，英国公司遭到大量收购，多年来，由于增长乏力以及 2016 年英国脱欧公投后英镑疲软导致回报不佳，这些公司的估值多年来一直被低估。</blockquote></p><p> In October, Walmart (WMT) sold supermarket chain Asda to European private equity group TDR Capital and the founders of a global convenience store business. Separately, Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky recently increased his stake in Sainsbury's to 10%, adding to speculation that it could be the next takeover target.</p><p><blockquote>10 月，沃尔玛 (WMT) 将连锁超市 Asda 出售给欧洲私募股权集团 TDR Capital 和一家全球便利店业务的创始人。另外，捷克亿万富翁丹尼尔·克雷廷斯基 (Daniel Kretinsky) 最近将其在 Sainsbury's 的股份增至 10%，这加剧了人们对其可能成为下一个收购目标的猜测。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts are speculating that Tesco, Britain's biggest supermarket chain, might also attract a buyer.</p><p><blockquote>分析师推测，英国最大的连锁超市乐购也可能吸引买家。</blockquote></p><p> \"The volume of liquidity, reflecting monetary policy, and the uptake of capital by family offices, high net worth investors and private equity, means that even Tesco, with its £18 billion ($25 billion) market capitalization, is not too big to be subject to an offer,\" Clive Black, head of research at Shore Capital said in a note on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“流动性数量反映了货币政策，以及家族理财室、高净值投资者和私募股权对资本的吸收，这意味着即使是市值达 180 亿英镑（250 亿美元）的乐购，也不会太大，无法接受要约，”Shore Capital 研究主管 Clive Black 在周一的一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Sainsbury's and Tesco, which benefited from a surge in demand during lockdowns, are now poised to benefit from a strong economic recovery in Britain following the pandemic. Analysts say shoppers are likely to continue eating more meals at home even with restaurants reopening, particularly as many offices remain closed.</p><p><blockquote>塞恩斯伯里百货 (Sainsbury's) 和特易购 (Tesco) 受益于封锁期间需求激增，现在也准备受益于大流行后英国的强劲经济复苏。分析师表示，即使餐馆重新开业，购物者也可能继续在家吃更多的饭，特别是在许多办公室仍然关闭的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> Tesco CEO Ken Murphy told analysts on a call on Friday that online demand has been \"incredibly resilient even with the easing of restrictions.\"</p><p><blockquote>乐购首席执行官肯·墨菲 (Ken Murphy) 周五在看涨期权上对分析师表示，即使限制放松，在线需求“仍然具有令人难以置信的弹性”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect sales to remain well above pre Covid-19 level through the remainder of the year,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计今年剩余时间内销售额将远高于 Covid-19 之前的水平，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Both leading retailers have also managed to keep costs under control, are generating large amounts of cash and have narrowed price gaps with German discounters Aldi and Lidl, according to Shore Capital's Black.</p><p><blockquote>Shore Capital 的 Black 表示，两家领先的零售商还设法控制了成本，产生了大量现金，并缩小了与德国折扣店 Aldi 和 Lidl 的价格差距。</blockquote></p><p> This could make them prime targets for the likes of Amazon (AMZN), he added. \"The Asda bid and the Kretinsky investment means that the topic of Amazon's plans will also be one of ongoing discussion around Sainsbury and Tesco,\" Black said.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，这可能会使它们成为亚马逊 (AMZN) 等公司的主要目标。布莱克表示：“阿斯达的收购和克雷廷斯基的投资意味着亚马逊计划的话题也将成为围绕塞恩斯伯里和乐购正在进行的讨论之一。”</blockquote></p><p> The online retailer, which has been expanding its grocery offering since buying Whole Foods in 2017, already has a close relationship with Morrisons, which supplies its Prime and Pantry customers in the United Kingdom with dry, fresh and frozen products.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线零售商自2017年收购全食超市以来一直在扩大其杂货产品，已经与莫里森建立了密切的关系，莫里森为其在英国的Prime和Pantry客户提供干、新鲜和冷冻产品。</blockquote></p><p> But the market is not betting on a rival bid from Amazon. \"There is no indication in the [Morrisons] share price today that Amazon will come in and outbid Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice,\" said Russ Mould, investment director at stockbroker AJ Bell.</p><p><blockquote>但市场并没有押注亚马逊的竞争对手出价。股票经纪人 AJ Bell 投资总监 Russ Mould 表示：“今天的 [Morrisons] 股价没有迹象表明亚马逊会出价超过 Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice。”</blockquote></p><p> With a languishing share price and over £7 billion ($9.7 billion) in assets, including a real estate portfolio worth more than the company's market value, Morrisons \"ticks a lot of private equity boxes,\" he told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>他告诉美国有线电视新闻网商业频道，由于股价低迷，资产超过 70 亿英镑（97 亿美元），其中包括价值超过公司市值的房地产投资组合，莫里森“符合很多私募股权条件”。</blockquote></p><p> Returning to favor?</p><p><blockquote>回报？</blockquote></p><p> Investor interest in UK assets extends beyond grocers. There have been over 50 bids for UK-listed companies in the last eight months, only six of which have since been abandoned, according to Mould.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对英国资产的兴趣不仅限于杂货商。据 Mould 称，过去八个月里，英国上市公司收到了 50 多份竞标，其中只有 6 份被放弃。</blockquote></p><p> The average premium offered has been 34%, indicating that many of these companies may be undervalued by the market following years of weak shareholder returns. Over the last 12 months, there have been 95 announced offers for UK-listed companies with a combined value of $107 billion, according to Dealogic data.</p><p><blockquote>平均溢价为 34%，这表明在多年股东回报疲软之后，其中许多公司可能被市场低估。Dealogic 数据显示，过去 12 个月，英国上市公司宣布了 95 项要约，总价值达 1070 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"The UK has consistently underperformed on the global stage since June 2016's Brexit vote and sterling has failed to regain the levels at which it traded before Britain decide to leave the EU,\" Mould said in a recent note. \"That rotten effort may mean that UK stocks are unloved and therefore potentially undervalued,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>莫尔德在最近的一份报告中表示：“自 2016 年 6 月脱欧公投以来，英国在全球舞台上的表现一直不佳，英镑也未能恢复到英国决定脱欧之前的交易水平。”“这种糟糕的努力可能意味着英国股市不受欢迎，因此可能被低估，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p> UK and European stock market indexes stand to benefit from the post-pandemic recovery, given the high representation of companies such as automakers and banks that perform well when the economy is on the upswing.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于汽车制造商和银行等公司在经济上升时表现良好，英国和欧洲股市指数将受益于大流行后的复苏。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> They may also offer better value for investors following much more robust gains in US indexes over the past decade, when European markets have been held back by a dearth of tech companies and lackluster economic growth in the region.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年美国指数大幅上涨之后，它们也可能为投资者提供更好的价值，而当时欧洲市场因缺乏科技公司和该地区经济增长乏力而受到阻碍。</blockquote></p><p> The FTSE 100 (UKX) has climbed just 26% over the past decade, while Europe's STOXX 600 (SXXL) is up 85%. That compares with a gain of more than 230% for the S&amp;P 500 (SPX).</p><p><blockquote>富时 100 指数 (UKX) 在过去十年中仅上涨了 26%，而欧洲斯托克 600 指数 (SXXL) 则上涨了 85%。相比之下，标普500 (SPX) 的涨幅超过 230%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>American investors are trying to buy a UK supermarket. Here's why<blockquote>美国投资者正试图收购一家英国超市。原因如下</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmerican investors are trying to buy a UK supermarket. Here's why<blockquote>美国投资者正试图收购一家英国超市。原因如下</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-22 11:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>London (CNN Business)Britain's fourth biggest supermarket chain Morrisons has become the takeover target of an American private equity firm in the latest sign of a strong appetite among investors for UK assets.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦（CNN Business）英国第四大连锁超市莫里森 (Morrisons) 已成为一家美国私募股权公司的收购目标，这是投资者对英国资产兴趣强烈的最新迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons confirmed over the weekend that New York-headquartered Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice last week made an unsolicited offer of £2.30 ($3.19) per share in cash for the grocery retailer. That's a 29% premium to Morrisons' (MRWSF) closing price on Friday, giving it a market value of around £5.5 billion ($7.6 billion).</p><p><blockquote>莫里森周末证实，总部位于纽约的 Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice 上周主动向这家杂货零售商提出了每股 2.30 英镑（3.19 美元）的现金报价。这比 Morrisons (MRWSF) 周五的收盘价溢价 29%，市值约为 55 亿英镑（76 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in the company surged more than 30% in London on Monday, taking the share price above the takeover offer and lifting other stocks in the sector. Sainsbury's (JSNSF) and Ocado (OCDDY) climbed over 4%, with Marks &amp; Spencer (MAKSY) rising nearly 3% and Tesco (TSCDF) up more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>周一，该公司股价在伦敦飙升超过 30%，股价高于收购要约，并提振了该行业的其他股票。Sainsbury's (JSNSF) 和 Ocado (OCDDY) 上涨超过 4%，Marks &amp; Spencer (MAKSY) 上涨近 3%，Tesco (TSCDF) 上涨超过 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons rejected the proposal in its statement on Saturday, saying that it \"significantly undervalued\" the company and its future prospects. Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice now has until July 17 to make a firm offer.</p><p><blockquote>莫里森在周六的声明中拒绝了该提议，称其“严重低估”了该公司及其未来前景。Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice 现在必须在 7 月 17 日之前提出确定报价。</blockquote></p><p> The move comes amid heightened investor activity in UK retail and a spate of takeover bids for British companies, undervalued for years because of poor returns linked to drab growth and a weak pound following the Brexit referendum of 2016.</p><p><blockquote>此举出台之际，英国零售业投资者活动加剧，英国公司遭到大量收购，多年来，由于增长乏力以及 2016 年英国脱欧公投后英镑疲软导致回报不佳，这些公司的估值多年来一直被低估。</blockquote></p><p> In October, Walmart (WMT) sold supermarket chain Asda to European private equity group TDR Capital and the founders of a global convenience store business. Separately, Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky recently increased his stake in Sainsbury's to 10%, adding to speculation that it could be the next takeover target.</p><p><blockquote>10 月，沃尔玛 (WMT) 将连锁超市 Asda 出售给欧洲私募股权集团 TDR Capital 和一家全球便利店业务的创始人。另外，捷克亿万富翁丹尼尔·克雷廷斯基 (Daniel Kretinsky) 最近将其在 Sainsbury's 的股份增至 10%，这加剧了人们对其可能成为下一个收购目标的猜测。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts are speculating that Tesco, Britain's biggest supermarket chain, might also attract a buyer.</p><p><blockquote>分析师推测，英国最大的连锁超市乐购也可能吸引买家。</blockquote></p><p> \"The volume of liquidity, reflecting monetary policy, and the uptake of capital by family offices, high net worth investors and private equity, means that even Tesco, with its £18 billion ($25 billion) market capitalization, is not too big to be subject to an offer,\" Clive Black, head of research at Shore Capital said in a note on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“流动性数量反映了货币政策，以及家族理财室、高净值投资者和私募股权对资本的吸收，这意味着即使是市值达 180 亿英镑（250 亿美元）的乐购，也不会太大，无法接受要约，”Shore Capital 研究主管 Clive Black 在周一的一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Sainsbury's and Tesco, which benefited from a surge in demand during lockdowns, are now poised to benefit from a strong economic recovery in Britain following the pandemic. Analysts say shoppers are likely to continue eating more meals at home even with restaurants reopening, particularly as many offices remain closed.</p><p><blockquote>塞恩斯伯里百货 (Sainsbury's) 和特易购 (Tesco) 受益于封锁期间需求激增，现在也准备受益于大流行后英国的强劲经济复苏。分析师表示，即使餐馆重新开业，购物者也可能继续在家吃更多的饭，特别是在许多办公室仍然关闭的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> Tesco CEO Ken Murphy told analysts on a call on Friday that online demand has been \"incredibly resilient even with the easing of restrictions.\"</p><p><blockquote>乐购首席执行官肯·墨菲 (Ken Murphy) 周五在看涨期权上对分析师表示，即使限制放松，在线需求“仍然具有令人难以置信的弹性”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect sales to remain well above pre Covid-19 level through the remainder of the year,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计今年剩余时间内销售额将远高于 Covid-19 之前的水平，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Both leading retailers have also managed to keep costs under control, are generating large amounts of cash and have narrowed price gaps with German discounters Aldi and Lidl, according to Shore Capital's Black.</p><p><blockquote>Shore Capital 的 Black 表示，两家领先的零售商还设法控制了成本，产生了大量现金，并缩小了与德国折扣店 Aldi 和 Lidl 的价格差距。</blockquote></p><p> This could make them prime targets for the likes of Amazon (AMZN), he added. \"The Asda bid and the Kretinsky investment means that the topic of Amazon's plans will also be one of ongoing discussion around Sainsbury and Tesco,\" Black said.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，这可能会使它们成为亚马逊 (AMZN) 等公司的主要目标。布莱克表示：“阿斯达的收购和克雷廷斯基的投资意味着亚马逊计划的话题也将成为围绕塞恩斯伯里和乐购正在进行的讨论之一。”</blockquote></p><p> The online retailer, which has been expanding its grocery offering since buying Whole Foods in 2017, already has a close relationship with Morrisons, which supplies its Prime and Pantry customers in the United Kingdom with dry, fresh and frozen products.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线零售商自2017年收购全食超市以来一直在扩大其杂货产品，已经与莫里森建立了密切的关系，莫里森为其在英国的Prime和Pantry客户提供干、新鲜和冷冻产品。</blockquote></p><p> But the market is not betting on a rival bid from Amazon. \"There is no indication in the [Morrisons] share price today that Amazon will come in and outbid Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice,\" said Russ Mould, investment director at stockbroker AJ Bell.</p><p><blockquote>但市场并没有押注亚马逊的竞争对手出价。股票经纪人 AJ Bell 投资总监 Russ Mould 表示：“今天的 [Morrisons] 股价没有迹象表明亚马逊会出价超过 Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice。”</blockquote></p><p> With a languishing share price and over £7 billion ($9.7 billion) in assets, including a real estate portfolio worth more than the company's market value, Morrisons \"ticks a lot of private equity boxes,\" he told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>他告诉美国有线电视新闻网商业频道，由于股价低迷，资产超过 70 亿英镑（97 亿美元），其中包括价值超过公司市值的房地产投资组合，莫里森“符合很多私募股权条件”。</blockquote></p><p> Returning to favor?</p><p><blockquote>回报？</blockquote></p><p> Investor interest in UK assets extends beyond grocers. There have been over 50 bids for UK-listed companies in the last eight months, only six of which have since been abandoned, according to Mould.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对英国资产的兴趣不仅限于杂货商。据 Mould 称，过去八个月里，英国上市公司收到了 50 多份竞标，其中只有 6 份被放弃。</blockquote></p><p> The average premium offered has been 34%, indicating that many of these companies may be undervalued by the market following years of weak shareholder returns. Over the last 12 months, there have been 95 announced offers for UK-listed companies with a combined value of $107 billion, according to Dealogic data.</p><p><blockquote>平均溢价为 34%，这表明在多年股东回报疲软之后，其中许多公司可能被市场低估。Dealogic 数据显示，过去 12 个月，英国上市公司宣布了 95 项要约，总价值达 1070 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"The UK has consistently underperformed on the global stage since June 2016's Brexit vote and sterling has failed to regain the levels at which it traded before Britain decide to leave the EU,\" Mould said in a recent note. \"That rotten effort may mean that UK stocks are unloved and therefore potentially undervalued,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>莫尔德在最近的一份报告中表示：“自 2016 年 6 月脱欧公投以来，英国在全球舞台上的表现一直不佳，英镑也未能恢复到英国决定脱欧之前的交易水平。”“这种糟糕的努力可能意味着英国股市不受欢迎，因此可能被低估，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p> UK and European stock market indexes stand to benefit from the post-pandemic recovery, given the high representation of companies such as automakers and banks that perform well when the economy is on the upswing.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于汽车制造商和银行等公司在经济上升时表现良好，英国和欧洲股市指数将受益于大流行后的复苏。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> They may also offer better value for investors following much more robust gains in US indexes over the past decade, when European markets have been held back by a dearth of tech companies and lackluster economic growth in the region.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年美国指数大幅上涨之后，它们也可能为投资者提供更好的价值，而当时欧洲市场因缺乏科技公司和该地区经济增长乏力而受到阻碍。</blockquote></p><p> The FTSE 100 (UKX) has climbed just 26% over the past decade, while Europe's STOXX 600 (SXXL) is up 85%. That compares with a gain of more than 230% for the S&amp;P 500 (SPX).</p><p><blockquote>富时 100 指数 (UKX) 在过去十年中仅上涨了 26%，而欧洲斯托克 600 指数 (SXXL) 则上涨了 85%。相比之下，标普500 (SPX) 的涨幅超过 230%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/21/investing/morrisons-takeover-approach/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRWSY":"WM Morrison Supermarkets Plc."},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/21/investing/morrisons-takeover-approach/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116834236","content_text":"London (CNN Business)Britain's fourth biggest supermarket chain Morrisons has become the takeover target of an American private equity firm in the latest sign of a strong appetite among investors for UK assets.\nMorrisons confirmed over the weekend that New York-headquartered Clayton, Dubilier & Rice last week made an unsolicited offer of £2.30 ($3.19) per share in cash for the grocery retailer. That's a 29% premium to Morrisons' (MRWSF) closing price on Friday, giving it a market value of around £5.5 billion ($7.6 billion).\nShares in the company surged more than 30% in London on Monday, taking the share price above the takeover offer and lifting other stocks in the sector. Sainsbury's (JSNSF) and Ocado (OCDDY) climbed over 4%, with Marks & Spencer (MAKSY) rising nearly 3% and Tesco (TSCDF) up more than 1%.\nMorrisons rejected the proposal in its statement on Saturday, saying that it \"significantly undervalued\" the company and its future prospects. Clayton, Dubilier & Rice now has until July 17 to make a firm offer.\nThe move comes amid heightened investor activity in UK retail and a spate of takeover bids for British companies, undervalued for years because of poor returns linked to drab growth and a weak pound following the Brexit referendum of 2016.\nIn October, Walmart (WMT) sold supermarket chain Asda to European private equity group TDR Capital and the founders of a global convenience store business. Separately, Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky recently increased his stake in Sainsbury's to 10%, adding to speculation that it could be the next takeover target.\nAnalysts are speculating that Tesco, Britain's biggest supermarket chain, might also attract a buyer.\n\"The volume of liquidity, reflecting monetary policy, and the uptake of capital by family offices, high net worth investors and private equity, means that even Tesco, with its £18 billion ($25 billion) market capitalization, is not too big to be subject to an offer,\" Clive Black, head of research at Shore Capital said in a note on Monday.\nSainsbury's and Tesco, which benefited from a surge in demand during lockdowns, are now poised to benefit from a strong economic recovery in Britain following the pandemic. Analysts say shoppers are likely to continue eating more meals at home even with restaurants reopening, particularly as many offices remain closed.\nTesco CEO Ken Murphy told analysts on a call on Friday that online demand has been \"incredibly resilient even with the easing of restrictions.\"\n\"We expect sales to remain well above pre Covid-19 level through the remainder of the year,\" he added.\nBoth leading retailers have also managed to keep costs under control, are generating large amounts of cash and have narrowed price gaps with German discounters Aldi and Lidl, according to Shore Capital's Black.\nThis could make them prime targets for the likes of Amazon (AMZN), he added. \"The Asda bid and the Kretinsky investment means that the topic of Amazon's plans will also be one of ongoing discussion around Sainsbury and Tesco,\" Black said.\nThe online retailer, which has been expanding its grocery offering since buying Whole Foods in 2017, already has a close relationship with Morrisons, which supplies its Prime and Pantry customers in the United Kingdom with dry, fresh and frozen products.\nBut the market is not betting on a rival bid from Amazon. \"There is no indication in the [Morrisons] share price today that Amazon will come in and outbid Clayton, Dubilier & Rice,\" said Russ Mould, investment director at stockbroker AJ Bell.\nWith a languishing share price and over £7 billion ($9.7 billion) in assets, including a real estate portfolio worth more than the company's market value, Morrisons \"ticks a lot of private equity boxes,\" he told CNN Business.\nReturning to favor?\nInvestor interest in UK assets extends beyond grocers. There have been over 50 bids for UK-listed companies in the last eight months, only six of which have since been abandoned, according to Mould.\nThe average premium offered has been 34%, indicating that many of these companies may be undervalued by the market following years of weak shareholder returns. Over the last 12 months, there have been 95 announced offers for UK-listed companies with a combined value of $107 billion, according to Dealogic data.\n\"The UK has consistently underperformed on the global stage since June 2016's Brexit vote and sterling has failed to regain the levels at which it traded before Britain decide to leave the EU,\" Mould said in a recent note. \"That rotten effort may mean that UK stocks are unloved and therefore potentially undervalued,\" he added.\nUK and European stock market indexes stand to benefit from the post-pandemic recovery, given the high representation of companies such as automakers and banks that perform well when the economy is on the upswing.\nThey may also offer better value for investors following much more robust gains in US indexes over the past decade, when European markets have been held back by a dearth of tech companies and lackluster economic growth in the region.\nThe FTSE 100 (UKX) has climbed just 26% over the past decade, while Europe's STOXX 600 (SXXL) is up 85%. That compares with a gain of more than 230% for the S&P 500 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17:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并不担心通货膨胀。他们应该吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145996523","media":"cnn","summary":"New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it co","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN Business）在通货膨胀方面，主街和华尔街之间存在着巨大的脱节。总得有所付出。</blockquote></p><p> The US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府上周报告称，5 月份不包括食品和能源的消费者价格涨幅创下 1992 年以来的最快水平。宣伟 (SHW) 正在提高油漆价格，这是应对大宗商品成本上升的众多公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> Food prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).</p><p><blockquote>食品价格也在飙升。Chipotle (CMG) 刚刚提高了价格。金宝汤（CPB）也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> And the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave &amp; Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅和街机连锁店 Dave &amp; Buster’s (PLAY) 的首席财务官在最近与分析师举行的财报看涨期权上表示，由于鸡肉、牛肉和乳制品价格上涨，他预计 2021 年食品成本将上涨 6% 至 8%。</blockquote></p><p> Wages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.</p><p><blockquote>工资也在上涨，尤其是随着经济重新开放，零售、休闲和酒店业的工人正在重返工作岗位。这增加了通胀压力，因为一些公司会选择提高价格以维持利润。</blockquote></p><p> Labor shortages aren't helping.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力短缺于事无补。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.</p><p><blockquote>在线宠物零售商 Chewy (CHWY) 的首席执行官在最新收益报告发布后给股东的一封信中写道，该公司“面临着与全国许多公司面临的类似的劳动力短缺问题”。因此，Chewy继续“投资于更高的工资和福利”，以填补职位空缺。</blockquote></p><p> Yet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者和美联储对通胀上升不屑一顾，认为这是“暂时的”。长期债券收益率正在下降，这不是通胀过热时通常会发生的情况。如果债券投资者认为价格上涨会持续下去，他们就会要求更高的收益率。</blockquote></p><p> And the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>市场预计美联储到今年年底加息的可能性仅为 3%。这低于一个月前利率上升 10% 的可能性。投资者知道加息是央行对抗通胀上升的最佳工具，当美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周三在新闻发布会上发表讲话时，他们希望听到更多有关该主题的信息。</blockquote></p><p> \"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦金融公司首席执行官兰迪·沃伦表示：“债券市场仍然不担心通胀。它正在购买美联储正在出售的东西。”</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>问题是美联储可能会等太久才对通胀做出反应。</blockquote></p><p> \"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀是暂时的还是更具结构性的？”PineBridge Investments 全球信贷和固定收益主管 Steven Oh 问道。“美联储是否会在未来失去控制并犯下政策错误，而没有能力控制它？”</blockquote></p><p> If the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.</p><p><blockquote>如果美联储和债券市场对通胀的看法是错误的，央行可能不得不比它和投资者希望的更快地结束其大流行刺激计划。这将意味着尽早取消大规模资产购买并加息。</blockquote></p><p> Oh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.</p><p><blockquote>哦，我不认为会是这样。许多其他人也同意。他们认为，投资者必须记住经济复苏的速度有多快。</blockquote></p><p> For that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>因此，就业市场和供应链出现混乱并不奇怪。情况需要时间才能恢复到2019年底和2020年初在新冠肺炎之前的样子。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"</p><p><blockquote>财富管理公司 Clarus Group 负责人布莱恩·科斯洛 (Bryan Koslow) 表示：“关于通货膨胀有很多疑问，因为你在日常生活中就能看到它。”“但我们可能已经看到了峰值，特别是在工资增长方面。”</blockquote></p><p> Even if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.</p><p><blockquote>即使事实证明这是真的，投资者和消费者如此关注价格这一事实也值得注意。十多年来，通货膨胀基本上不是问题。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.</p><p><blockquote>SkyBridge Capital 联席首席投资官兼高级投资组合经理 Troy Gayeski 表示：“美联储必须认真对待通胀担忧。”他补充说，他认为通胀压力有20%的可能性变得更加持久，而不是暂时。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.</p><p><blockquote>“自 2008 年以来，有意义的通胀风险一直不存在。直到现在，”盖耶斯基说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's getting more expensive</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么越来越贵了</b></blockquote></p><p> Food and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.</p><p><blockquote>食物和油漆并不是唯一变得越来越贵的东西。正如 CNN Business 的莫伊拉·里特 (Moira Ritter) 指出的那样，最近几乎所有东西的价格都上涨了。</blockquote></p><p> Lumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.</p><p><blockquote>木材价格飙升。房地产市场持续繁荣。这导致沙发和其他家居用品的价格大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Used cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>二手车也贵得多。这归因于人们重返工作岗位以及由于芯片供应短缺损害了新车生产，经销店新车短缺。</blockquote></p><p> People are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.</p><p><blockquote>人们也越来越多地旅行。机票价格飙升，预计一些人称之为“红热疫苗夏季”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Up next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday: </b>US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H &amp; R Block (HRB)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期二：</b>美国零售销售；美国生产者价格指数；Oracle (ORCL) 和 H&amp;R Block (HRB) 的收益</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday: </b>Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期三：</b>美联储利率决定；美国房屋开工和建筑许可；EIA原油库存；Lennar (LEN) 的收益</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Thursday: </b>US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期四：</b>美国申请失业救济人数；克罗格 (KR) 和 Adobe (ADBE) 的收益</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并不担心通货膨胀。他们应该吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并不担心通货膨胀。他们应该吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 17:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN Business）在通货膨胀方面，主街和华尔街之间存在着巨大的脱节。总得有所付出。</blockquote></p><p> The US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府上周报告称，5 月份不包括食品和能源的消费者价格涨幅创下 1992 年以来的最快水平。宣伟 (SHW) 正在提高油漆价格，这是应对大宗商品成本上升的众多公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> Food prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).</p><p><blockquote>食品价格也在飙升。Chipotle (CMG) 刚刚提高了价格。金宝汤（CPB）也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> And the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave &amp; Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅和街机连锁店 Dave &amp; Buster’s (PLAY) 的首席财务官在最近与分析师举行的财报看涨期权上表示，由于鸡肉、牛肉和乳制品价格上涨，他预计 2021 年食品成本将上涨 6% 至 8%。</blockquote></p><p> Wages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.</p><p><blockquote>工资也在上涨，尤其是随着经济重新开放，零售、休闲和酒店业的工人正在重返工作岗位。这增加了通胀压力，因为一些公司会选择提高价格以维持利润。</blockquote></p><p> Labor shortages aren't helping.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力短缺于事无补。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.</p><p><blockquote>在线宠物零售商 Chewy (CHWY) 的首席执行官在最新收益报告发布后给股东的一封信中写道，该公司“面临着与全国许多公司面临的类似的劳动力短缺问题”。因此，Chewy继续“投资于更高的工资和福利”，以填补职位空缺。</blockquote></p><p> Yet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者和美联储对通胀上升不屑一顾，认为这是“暂时的”。长期债券收益率正在下降，这不是通胀过热时通常会发生的情况。如果债券投资者认为价格上涨会持续下去，他们就会要求更高的收益率。</blockquote></p><p> And the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>市场预计美联储到今年年底加息的可能性仅为 3%。这低于一个月前利率上升 10% 的可能性。投资者知道加息是央行对抗通胀上升的最佳工具，当美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周三在新闻发布会上发表讲话时，他们希望听到更多有关该主题的信息。</blockquote></p><p> \"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦金融公司首席执行官兰迪·沃伦表示：“债券市场仍然不担心通胀。它正在购买美联储正在出售的东西。”</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>问题是美联储可能会等太久才对通胀做出反应。</blockquote></p><p> \"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀是暂时的还是更具结构性的？”PineBridge Investments 全球信贷和固定收益主管 Steven Oh 问道。“美联储是否会在未来失去控制并犯下政策错误，而没有能力控制它？”</blockquote></p><p> If the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.</p><p><blockquote>如果美联储和债券市场对通胀的看法是错误的，央行可能不得不比它和投资者希望的更快地结束其大流行刺激计划。这将意味着尽早取消大规模资产购买并加息。</blockquote></p><p> Oh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.</p><p><blockquote>哦，我不认为会是这样。许多其他人也同意。他们认为，投资者必须记住经济复苏的速度有多快。</blockquote></p><p> For that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>因此，就业市场和供应链出现混乱并不奇怪。情况需要时间才能恢复到2019年底和2020年初在新冠肺炎之前的样子。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"</p><p><blockquote>财富管理公司 Clarus Group 负责人布莱恩·科斯洛 (Bryan Koslow) 表示：“关于通货膨胀有很多疑问，因为你在日常生活中就能看到它。”“但我们可能已经看到了峰值，特别是在工资增长方面。”</blockquote></p><p> Even if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.</p><p><blockquote>即使事实证明这是真的，投资者和消费者如此关注价格这一事实也值得注意。十多年来，通货膨胀基本上不是问题。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.</p><p><blockquote>SkyBridge Capital 联席首席投资官兼高级投资组合经理 Troy Gayeski 表示：“美联储必须认真对待通胀担忧。”他补充说，他认为通胀压力有20%的可能性变得更加持久，而不是暂时。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.</p><p><blockquote>“自 2008 年以来，有意义的通胀风险一直不存在。直到现在，”盖耶斯基说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's getting more expensive</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么越来越贵了</b></blockquote></p><p> Food and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.</p><p><blockquote>食物和油漆并不是唯一变得越来越贵的东西。正如 CNN Business 的莫伊拉·里特 (Moira Ritter) 指出的那样，最近几乎所有东西的价格都上涨了。</blockquote></p><p> Lumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.</p><p><blockquote>木材价格飙升。房地产市场持续繁荣。这导致沙发和其他家居用品的价格大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Used cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>二手车也贵得多。这归因于人们重返工作岗位以及由于芯片供应短缺损害了新车生产，经销店新车短缺。</blockquote></p><p> People are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.</p><p><blockquote>人们也越来越多地旅行。机票价格飙升，预计一些人称之为“红热疫苗夏季”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Up next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday: </b>US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H &amp; R Block (HRB)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期二：</b>美国零售销售；美国生产者价格指数；Oracle (ORCL) 和 H&amp;R Block (HRB) 的收益</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday: </b>Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期三：</b>美联储利率决定；美国房屋开工和建筑许可；EIA原油库存；Lennar (LEN) 的收益</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Thursday: </b>US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期四：</b>美国申请失业救济人数；克罗格 (KR) 和 Adobe (ADBE) 的收益</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145996523","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.\nThe US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.\nFood prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).\nAnd the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave & Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.\nWages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.\nLabor shortages aren't helping.\nThe CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.\nYet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.\nAnd the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.\n\"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.\nThe problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.\n\"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"\nIf the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.\nOh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.\nFor that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.\n\"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"\nEven if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.\n\"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.\n\"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.\nWhat's getting more expensive\nFood and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.\nLumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.\nUsed cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.\nPeople are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.\nUp next\nTuesday: US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H & R Block (HRB)\nWednesday: Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)\nThursday: US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":159645476,"gmtCreate":1624966440295,"gmtModify":1633946455878,"author":{"id":"3582027145455201","authorId":"3582027145455201","name":"Medha","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582027145455201","authorIdStr":"3582027145455201"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Woah","listText":"Woah","text":"Woah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159645476","repostId":"2146388793","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2902,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120456346,"gmtCreate":1624333960085,"gmtModify":1634007620055,"author":{"id":"3582027145455201","authorId":"3582027145455201","name":"Medha","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582027145455201","authorIdStr":"3582027145455201"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120456346","repostId":"1116834236","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116834236","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624333365,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116834236?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 11:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"American investors are trying to buy a UK supermarket. Here's why<blockquote>美国投资者正试图收购一家英国超市。原因如下</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116834236","media":"cnn","summary":"London Britain's fourth biggest supermarket chain Morrisons has become the takeover target of an American private equity firm in the latest sign of a strong appetite among investors for UK assets.Morrisons confirmed over the weekend that New York-headquartered Clayton, Dubilier & Rice last week made an unsolicited offer of 2.30  per share in cash for the grocery retailer. That's a 29% premium to Morrisons'  closing price on Friday, giving it a market value of around 5.5 billion .Shares in the co","content":"<p>London (CNN Business)Britain's fourth biggest supermarket chain Morrisons has become the takeover target of an American private equity firm in the latest sign of a strong appetite among investors for UK assets.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦（CNN Business）英国第四大连锁超市莫里森 (Morrisons) 已成为一家美国私募股权公司的收购目标，这是投资者对英国资产兴趣强烈的最新迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons confirmed over the weekend that New York-headquartered Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice last week made an unsolicited offer of £2.30 ($3.19) per share in cash for the grocery retailer. That's a 29% premium to Morrisons' (MRWSF) closing price on Friday, giving it a market value of around £5.5 billion ($7.6 billion).</p><p><blockquote>莫里森周末证实，总部位于纽约的 Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice 上周主动向这家杂货零售商提出了每股 2.30 英镑（3.19 美元）的现金报价。这比 Morrisons (MRWSF) 周五的收盘价溢价 29%，市值约为 55 亿英镑（76 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in the company surged more than 30% in London on Monday, taking the share price above the takeover offer and lifting other stocks in the sector. Sainsbury's (JSNSF) and Ocado (OCDDY) climbed over 4%, with Marks &amp; Spencer (MAKSY) rising nearly 3% and Tesco (TSCDF) up more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>周一，该公司股价在伦敦飙升超过 30%，股价高于收购要约，并提振了该行业的其他股票。Sainsbury's (JSNSF) 和 Ocado (OCDDY) 上涨超过 4%，Marks &amp; Spencer (MAKSY) 上涨近 3%，Tesco (TSCDF) 上涨超过 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons rejected the proposal in its statement on Saturday, saying that it \"significantly undervalued\" the company and its future prospects. Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice now has until July 17 to make a firm offer.</p><p><blockquote>莫里森在周六的声明中拒绝了该提议，称其“严重低估”了该公司及其未来前景。Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice 现在必须在 7 月 17 日之前提出确定报价。</blockquote></p><p> The move comes amid heightened investor activity in UK retail and a spate of takeover bids for British companies, undervalued for years because of poor returns linked to drab growth and a weak pound following the Brexit referendum of 2016.</p><p><blockquote>此举出台之际，英国零售业投资者活动加剧，英国公司遭到大量收购，多年来，由于增长乏力以及 2016 年英国脱欧公投后英镑疲软导致回报不佳，这些公司的估值多年来一直被低估。</blockquote></p><p> In October, Walmart (WMT) sold supermarket chain Asda to European private equity group TDR Capital and the founders of a global convenience store business. Separately, Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky recently increased his stake in Sainsbury's to 10%, adding to speculation that it could be the next takeover target.</p><p><blockquote>10 月，沃尔玛 (WMT) 将连锁超市 Asda 出售给欧洲私募股权集团 TDR Capital 和一家全球便利店业务的创始人。另外，捷克亿万富翁丹尼尔·克雷廷斯基 (Daniel Kretinsky) 最近将其在 Sainsbury's 的股份增至 10%，这加剧了人们对其可能成为下一个收购目标的猜测。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts are speculating that Tesco, Britain's biggest supermarket chain, might also attract a buyer.</p><p><blockquote>分析师推测，英国最大的连锁超市乐购也可能吸引买家。</blockquote></p><p> \"The volume of liquidity, reflecting monetary policy, and the uptake of capital by family offices, high net worth investors and private equity, means that even Tesco, with its £18 billion ($25 billion) market capitalization, is not too big to be subject to an offer,\" Clive Black, head of research at Shore Capital said in a note on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“流动性数量反映了货币政策，以及家族理财室、高净值投资者和私募股权对资本的吸收，这意味着即使是市值达 180 亿英镑（250 亿美元）的乐购，也不会太大，无法接受要约，”Shore Capital 研究主管 Clive Black 在周一的一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Sainsbury's and Tesco, which benefited from a surge in demand during lockdowns, are now poised to benefit from a strong economic recovery in Britain following the pandemic. Analysts say shoppers are likely to continue eating more meals at home even with restaurants reopening, particularly as many offices remain closed.</p><p><blockquote>塞恩斯伯里百货 (Sainsbury's) 和特易购 (Tesco) 受益于封锁期间需求激增，现在也准备受益于大流行后英国的强劲经济复苏。分析师表示，即使餐馆重新开业，购物者也可能继续在家吃更多的饭，特别是在许多办公室仍然关闭的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> Tesco CEO Ken Murphy told analysts on a call on Friday that online demand has been \"incredibly resilient even with the easing of restrictions.\"</p><p><blockquote>乐购首席执行官肯·墨菲 (Ken Murphy) 周五在看涨期权上对分析师表示，即使限制放松，在线需求“仍然具有令人难以置信的弹性”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect sales to remain well above pre Covid-19 level through the remainder of the year,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计今年剩余时间内销售额将远高于 Covid-19 之前的水平，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Both leading retailers have also managed to keep costs under control, are generating large amounts of cash and have narrowed price gaps with German discounters Aldi and Lidl, according to Shore Capital's Black.</p><p><blockquote>Shore Capital 的 Black 表示，两家领先的零售商还设法控制了成本，产生了大量现金，并缩小了与德国折扣店 Aldi 和 Lidl 的价格差距。</blockquote></p><p> This could make them prime targets for the likes of Amazon (AMZN), he added. \"The Asda bid and the Kretinsky investment means that the topic of Amazon's plans will also be one of ongoing discussion around Sainsbury and Tesco,\" Black said.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，这可能会使它们成为亚马逊 (AMZN) 等公司的主要目标。布莱克表示：“阿斯达的收购和克雷廷斯基的投资意味着亚马逊计划的话题也将成为围绕塞恩斯伯里和乐购正在进行的讨论之一。”</blockquote></p><p> The online retailer, which has been expanding its grocery offering since buying Whole Foods in 2017, already has a close relationship with Morrisons, which supplies its Prime and Pantry customers in the United Kingdom with dry, fresh and frozen products.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线零售商自2017年收购全食超市以来一直在扩大其杂货产品，已经与莫里森建立了密切的关系，莫里森为其在英国的Prime和Pantry客户提供干、新鲜和冷冻产品。</blockquote></p><p> But the market is not betting on a rival bid from Amazon. \"There is no indication in the [Morrisons] share price today that Amazon will come in and outbid Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice,\" said Russ Mould, investment director at stockbroker AJ Bell.</p><p><blockquote>但市场并没有押注亚马逊的竞争对手出价。股票经纪人 AJ Bell 投资总监 Russ Mould 表示：“今天的 [Morrisons] 股价没有迹象表明亚马逊会出价超过 Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice。”</blockquote></p><p> With a languishing share price and over £7 billion ($9.7 billion) in assets, including a real estate portfolio worth more than the company's market value, Morrisons \"ticks a lot of private equity boxes,\" he told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>他告诉美国有线电视新闻网商业频道，由于股价低迷，资产超过 70 亿英镑（97 亿美元），其中包括价值超过公司市值的房地产投资组合，莫里森“符合很多私募股权条件”。</blockquote></p><p> Returning to favor?</p><p><blockquote>回报？</blockquote></p><p> Investor interest in UK assets extends beyond grocers. There have been over 50 bids for UK-listed companies in the last eight months, only six of which have since been abandoned, according to Mould.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对英国资产的兴趣不仅限于杂货商。据 Mould 称，过去八个月里，英国上市公司收到了 50 多份竞标，其中只有 6 份被放弃。</blockquote></p><p> The average premium offered has been 34%, indicating that many of these companies may be undervalued by the market following years of weak shareholder returns. Over the last 12 months, there have been 95 announced offers for UK-listed companies with a combined value of $107 billion, according to Dealogic data.</p><p><blockquote>平均溢价为 34%，这表明在多年股东回报疲软之后，其中许多公司可能被市场低估。Dealogic 数据显示，过去 12 个月，英国上市公司宣布了 95 项要约，总价值达 1070 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"The UK has consistently underperformed on the global stage since June 2016's Brexit vote and sterling has failed to regain the levels at which it traded before Britain decide to leave the EU,\" Mould said in a recent note. \"That rotten effort may mean that UK stocks are unloved and therefore potentially undervalued,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>莫尔德在最近的一份报告中表示：“自 2016 年 6 月脱欧公投以来，英国在全球舞台上的表现一直不佳，英镑也未能恢复到英国决定脱欧之前的交易水平。”“这种糟糕的努力可能意味着英国股市不受欢迎，因此可能被低估，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p> UK and European stock market indexes stand to benefit from the post-pandemic recovery, given the high representation of companies such as automakers and banks that perform well when the economy is on the upswing.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于汽车制造商和银行等公司在经济上升时表现良好，英国和欧洲股市指数将受益于大流行后的复苏。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> They may also offer better value for investors following much more robust gains in US indexes over the past decade, when European markets have been held back by a dearth of tech companies and lackluster economic growth in the region.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年美国指数大幅上涨之后，它们也可能为投资者提供更好的价值，而当时欧洲市场因缺乏科技公司和该地区经济增长乏力而受到阻碍。</blockquote></p><p> The FTSE 100 (UKX) has climbed just 26% over the past decade, while Europe's STOXX 600 (SXXL) is up 85%. That compares with a gain of more than 230% for the S&amp;P 500 (SPX).</p><p><blockquote>富时 100 指数 (UKX) 在过去十年中仅上涨了 26%，而欧洲斯托克 600 指数 (SXXL) 则上涨了 85%。相比之下，标普500 (SPX) 的涨幅超过 230%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>American investors are trying to buy a UK supermarket. Here's why<blockquote>美国投资者正试图收购一家英国超市。原因如下</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmerican investors are trying to buy a UK supermarket. Here's why<blockquote>美国投资者正试图收购一家英国超市。原因如下</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-22 11:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>London (CNN Business)Britain's fourth biggest supermarket chain Morrisons has become the takeover target of an American private equity firm in the latest sign of a strong appetite among investors for UK assets.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦（CNN Business）英国第四大连锁超市莫里森 (Morrisons) 已成为一家美国私募股权公司的收购目标，这是投资者对英国资产兴趣强烈的最新迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons confirmed over the weekend that New York-headquartered Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice last week made an unsolicited offer of £2.30 ($3.19) per share in cash for the grocery retailer. That's a 29% premium to Morrisons' (MRWSF) closing price on Friday, giving it a market value of around £5.5 billion ($7.6 billion).</p><p><blockquote>莫里森周末证实，总部位于纽约的 Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice 上周主动向这家杂货零售商提出了每股 2.30 英镑（3.19 美元）的现金报价。这比 Morrisons (MRWSF) 周五的收盘价溢价 29%，市值约为 55 亿英镑（76 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in the company surged more than 30% in London on Monday, taking the share price above the takeover offer and lifting other stocks in the sector. Sainsbury's (JSNSF) and Ocado (OCDDY) climbed over 4%, with Marks &amp; Spencer (MAKSY) rising nearly 3% and Tesco (TSCDF) up more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>周一，该公司股价在伦敦飙升超过 30%，股价高于收购要约，并提振了该行业的其他股票。Sainsbury's (JSNSF) 和 Ocado (OCDDY) 上涨超过 4%，Marks &amp; Spencer (MAKSY) 上涨近 3%，Tesco (TSCDF) 上涨超过 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons rejected the proposal in its statement on Saturday, saying that it \"significantly undervalued\" the company and its future prospects. Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice now has until July 17 to make a firm offer.</p><p><blockquote>莫里森在周六的声明中拒绝了该提议，称其“严重低估”了该公司及其未来前景。Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice 现在必须在 7 月 17 日之前提出确定报价。</blockquote></p><p> The move comes amid heightened investor activity in UK retail and a spate of takeover bids for British companies, undervalued for years because of poor returns linked to drab growth and a weak pound following the Brexit referendum of 2016.</p><p><blockquote>此举出台之际，英国零售业投资者活动加剧，英国公司遭到大量收购，多年来，由于增长乏力以及 2016 年英国脱欧公投后英镑疲软导致回报不佳，这些公司的估值多年来一直被低估。</blockquote></p><p> In October, Walmart (WMT) sold supermarket chain Asda to European private equity group TDR Capital and the founders of a global convenience store business. Separately, Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky recently increased his stake in Sainsbury's to 10%, adding to speculation that it could be the next takeover target.</p><p><blockquote>10 月，沃尔玛 (WMT) 将连锁超市 Asda 出售给欧洲私募股权集团 TDR Capital 和一家全球便利店业务的创始人。另外，捷克亿万富翁丹尼尔·克雷廷斯基 (Daniel Kretinsky) 最近将其在 Sainsbury's 的股份增至 10%，这加剧了人们对其可能成为下一个收购目标的猜测。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts are speculating that Tesco, Britain's biggest supermarket chain, might also attract a buyer.</p><p><blockquote>分析师推测，英国最大的连锁超市乐购也可能吸引买家。</blockquote></p><p> \"The volume of liquidity, reflecting monetary policy, and the uptake of capital by family offices, high net worth investors and private equity, means that even Tesco, with its £18 billion ($25 billion) market capitalization, is not too big to be subject to an offer,\" Clive Black, head of research at Shore Capital said in a note on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“流动性数量反映了货币政策，以及家族理财室、高净值投资者和私募股权对资本的吸收，这意味着即使是市值达 180 亿英镑（250 亿美元）的乐购，也不会太大，无法接受要约，”Shore Capital 研究主管 Clive Black 在周一的一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Sainsbury's and Tesco, which benefited from a surge in demand during lockdowns, are now poised to benefit from a strong economic recovery in Britain following the pandemic. Analysts say shoppers are likely to continue eating more meals at home even with restaurants reopening, particularly as many offices remain closed.</p><p><blockquote>塞恩斯伯里百货 (Sainsbury's) 和特易购 (Tesco) 受益于封锁期间需求激增，现在也准备受益于大流行后英国的强劲经济复苏。分析师表示，即使餐馆重新开业，购物者也可能继续在家吃更多的饭，特别是在许多办公室仍然关闭的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> Tesco CEO Ken Murphy told analysts on a call on Friday that online demand has been \"incredibly resilient even with the easing of restrictions.\"</p><p><blockquote>乐购首席执行官肯·墨菲 (Ken Murphy) 周五在看涨期权上对分析师表示，即使限制放松，在线需求“仍然具有令人难以置信的弹性”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect sales to remain well above pre Covid-19 level through the remainder of the year,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计今年剩余时间内销售额将远高于 Covid-19 之前的水平，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Both leading retailers have also managed to keep costs under control, are generating large amounts of cash and have narrowed price gaps with German discounters Aldi and Lidl, according to Shore Capital's Black.</p><p><blockquote>Shore Capital 的 Black 表示，两家领先的零售商还设法控制了成本，产生了大量现金，并缩小了与德国折扣店 Aldi 和 Lidl 的价格差距。</blockquote></p><p> This could make them prime targets for the likes of Amazon (AMZN), he added. \"The Asda bid and the Kretinsky investment means that the topic of Amazon's plans will also be one of ongoing discussion around Sainsbury and Tesco,\" Black said.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，这可能会使它们成为亚马逊 (AMZN) 等公司的主要目标。布莱克表示：“阿斯达的收购和克雷廷斯基的投资意味着亚马逊计划的话题也将成为围绕塞恩斯伯里和乐购正在进行的讨论之一。”</blockquote></p><p> The online retailer, which has been expanding its grocery offering since buying Whole Foods in 2017, already has a close relationship with Morrisons, which supplies its Prime and Pantry customers in the United Kingdom with dry, fresh and frozen products.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线零售商自2017年收购全食超市以来一直在扩大其杂货产品，已经与莫里森建立了密切的关系，莫里森为其在英国的Prime和Pantry客户提供干、新鲜和冷冻产品。</blockquote></p><p> But the market is not betting on a rival bid from Amazon. \"There is no indication in the [Morrisons] share price today that Amazon will come in and outbid Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice,\" said Russ Mould, investment director at stockbroker AJ Bell.</p><p><blockquote>但市场并没有押注亚马逊的竞争对手出价。股票经纪人 AJ Bell 投资总监 Russ Mould 表示：“今天的 [Morrisons] 股价没有迹象表明亚马逊会出价超过 Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice。”</blockquote></p><p> With a languishing share price and over £7 billion ($9.7 billion) in assets, including a real estate portfolio worth more than the company's market value, Morrisons \"ticks a lot of private equity boxes,\" he told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>他告诉美国有线电视新闻网商业频道，由于股价低迷，资产超过 70 亿英镑（97 亿美元），其中包括价值超过公司市值的房地产投资组合，莫里森“符合很多私募股权条件”。</blockquote></p><p> Returning to favor?</p><p><blockquote>回报？</blockquote></p><p> Investor interest in UK assets extends beyond grocers. There have been over 50 bids for UK-listed companies in the last eight months, only six of which have since been abandoned, according to Mould.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对英国资产的兴趣不仅限于杂货商。据 Mould 称，过去八个月里，英国上市公司收到了 50 多份竞标，其中只有 6 份被放弃。</blockquote></p><p> The average premium offered has been 34%, indicating that many of these companies may be undervalued by the market following years of weak shareholder returns. Over the last 12 months, there have been 95 announced offers for UK-listed companies with a combined value of $107 billion, according to Dealogic data.</p><p><blockquote>平均溢价为 34%，这表明在多年股东回报疲软之后，其中许多公司可能被市场低估。Dealogic 数据显示，过去 12 个月，英国上市公司宣布了 95 项要约，总价值达 1070 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"The UK has consistently underperformed on the global stage since June 2016's Brexit vote and sterling has failed to regain the levels at which it traded before Britain decide to leave the EU,\" Mould said in a recent note. \"That rotten effort may mean that UK stocks are unloved and therefore potentially undervalued,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>莫尔德在最近的一份报告中表示：“自 2016 年 6 月脱欧公投以来，英国在全球舞台上的表现一直不佳，英镑也未能恢复到英国决定脱欧之前的交易水平。”“这种糟糕的努力可能意味着英国股市不受欢迎，因此可能被低估，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p> UK and European stock market indexes stand to benefit from the post-pandemic recovery, given the high representation of companies such as automakers and banks that perform well when the economy is on the upswing.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于汽车制造商和银行等公司在经济上升时表现良好，英国和欧洲股市指数将受益于大流行后的复苏。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> They may also offer better value for investors following much more robust gains in US indexes over the past decade, when European markets have been held back by a dearth of tech companies and lackluster economic growth in the region.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年美国指数大幅上涨之后，它们也可能为投资者提供更好的价值，而当时欧洲市场因缺乏科技公司和该地区经济增长乏力而受到阻碍。</blockquote></p><p> The FTSE 100 (UKX) has climbed just 26% over the past decade, while Europe's STOXX 600 (SXXL) is up 85%. That compares with a gain of more than 230% for the S&amp;P 500 (SPX).</p><p><blockquote>富时 100 指数 (UKX) 在过去十年中仅上涨了 26%，而欧洲斯托克 600 指数 (SXXL) 则上涨了 85%。相比之下，标普500 (SPX) 的涨幅超过 230%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/21/investing/morrisons-takeover-approach/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRWSY":"WM Morrison Supermarkets Plc."},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/21/investing/morrisons-takeover-approach/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116834236","content_text":"London (CNN Business)Britain's fourth biggest supermarket chain Morrisons has become the takeover target of an American private equity firm in the latest sign of a strong appetite among investors for UK assets.\nMorrisons confirmed over the weekend that New York-headquartered Clayton, Dubilier & Rice last week made an unsolicited offer of £2.30 ($3.19) per share in cash for the grocery retailer. That's a 29% premium to Morrisons' (MRWSF) closing price on Friday, giving it a market value of around £5.5 billion ($7.6 billion).\nShares in the company surged more than 30% in London on Monday, taking the share price above the takeover offer and lifting other stocks in the sector. Sainsbury's (JSNSF) and Ocado (OCDDY) climbed over 4%, with Marks & Spencer (MAKSY) rising nearly 3% and Tesco (TSCDF) up more than 1%.\nMorrisons rejected the proposal in its statement on Saturday, saying that it \"significantly undervalued\" the company and its future prospects. Clayton, Dubilier & Rice now has until July 17 to make a firm offer.\nThe move comes amid heightened investor activity in UK retail and a spate of takeover bids for British companies, undervalued for years because of poor returns linked to drab growth and a weak pound following the Brexit referendum of 2016.\nIn October, Walmart (WMT) sold supermarket chain Asda to European private equity group TDR Capital and the founders of a global convenience store business. Separately, Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky recently increased his stake in Sainsbury's to 10%, adding to speculation that it could be the next takeover target.\nAnalysts are speculating that Tesco, Britain's biggest supermarket chain, might also attract a buyer.\n\"The volume of liquidity, reflecting monetary policy, and the uptake of capital by family offices, high net worth investors and private equity, means that even Tesco, with its £18 billion ($25 billion) market capitalization, is not too big to be subject to an offer,\" Clive Black, head of research at Shore Capital said in a note on Monday.\nSainsbury's and Tesco, which benefited from a surge in demand during lockdowns, are now poised to benefit from a strong economic recovery in Britain following the pandemic. Analysts say shoppers are likely to continue eating more meals at home even with restaurants reopening, particularly as many offices remain closed.\nTesco CEO Ken Murphy told analysts on a call on Friday that online demand has been \"incredibly resilient even with the easing of restrictions.\"\n\"We expect sales to remain well above pre Covid-19 level through the remainder of the year,\" he added.\nBoth leading retailers have also managed to keep costs under control, are generating large amounts of cash and have narrowed price gaps with German discounters Aldi and Lidl, according to Shore Capital's Black.\nThis could make them prime targets for the likes of Amazon (AMZN), he added. \"The Asda bid and the Kretinsky investment means that the topic of Amazon's plans will also be one of ongoing discussion around Sainsbury and Tesco,\" Black said.\nThe online retailer, which has been expanding its grocery offering since buying Whole Foods in 2017, already has a close relationship with Morrisons, which supplies its Prime and Pantry customers in the United Kingdom with dry, fresh and frozen products.\nBut the market is not betting on a rival bid from Amazon. \"There is no indication in the [Morrisons] share price today that Amazon will come in and outbid Clayton, Dubilier & Rice,\" said Russ Mould, investment director at stockbroker AJ Bell.\nWith a languishing share price and over £7 billion ($9.7 billion) in assets, including a real estate portfolio worth more than the company's market value, Morrisons \"ticks a lot of private equity boxes,\" he told CNN Business.\nReturning to favor?\nInvestor interest in UK assets extends beyond grocers. There have been over 50 bids for UK-listed companies in the last eight months, only six of which have since been abandoned, according to Mould.\nThe average premium offered has been 34%, indicating that many of these companies may be undervalued by the market following years of weak shareholder returns. Over the last 12 months, there have been 95 announced offers for UK-listed companies with a combined value of $107 billion, according to Dealogic data.\n\"The UK has consistently underperformed on the global stage since June 2016's Brexit vote and sterling has failed to regain the levels at which it traded before Britain decide to leave the EU,\" Mould said in a recent note. \"That rotten effort may mean that UK stocks are unloved and therefore potentially undervalued,\" he added.\nUK and European stock market indexes stand to benefit from the post-pandemic recovery, given the high representation of companies such as automakers and banks that perform well when the economy is on the upswing.\nThey may also offer better value for investors following much more robust gains in US indexes over the past decade, when European markets have been held back by a dearth of tech companies and lackluster economic growth in the region.\nThe FTSE 100 (UKX) has climbed just 26% over the past decade, while Europe's STOXX 600 (SXXL) is up 85%. That compares with a gain of more than 230% for the S&P 500 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15:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Starbucks - Too Hot To Handle<blockquote>星巴克 - 太热而无法处理</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103137872","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nStarbucks continues to be the leading global coffee franchise across the globe.\nThe company","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Starbucks continues to be the leading global coffee franchise across the globe.</li>  <li>The company has been hit hard by the pandemic, but the company continues to open stores to drive further growth post the pandemic.</li>  <li>Even if I assume an optimistic $4 earnings per share number next year, valuations look high, too high to see great appeal here.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/860ea0c3c4fcf2d5047e8c0a528096df\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1021\"><span>mysondanube/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>星巴克仍然是全球领先的全球咖啡特许经营商。</li><li>该公司受到疫情的沉重打击，但该公司继续开设门店，以推动疫情后的进一步增长。</li><li>即使我假设明年每股收益为 4 美元，估值看起来也很高，高到看不到很大的吸引力。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>mysondanube/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Starbucks (SBUX)</b>&nbsp;has been quite resilient, at least its shares, as the business has done quite well despite very challenging operating conditions. Shares of the leading coffee player peaked at nearly $100 ahead of the pandemic and after an initial move lower, shares have seen a very steady recovery as they currently trade at $113 per share, just 5% from recent and all-time-highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>星巴克（SBUX）</b>至少其股票具有相当大的弹性，因为尽管经营条件非常具有挑战性，但该业务仍表现良好。这家领先的咖啡公司的股价在疫情爆发前达到近 100 美元的峰值，在最初走低后，股价出现了非常稳定的复苏，目前交易价格为每股 113 美元，仅比近期和历史高点低 5%。</blockquote></p><p> While 2021 is set to match 2019 in terms of the earnings power and growth has returned in a convincing way, I still think that despite the undisputed quality of the franchise, valuations are too high to see any appeal here.</p><p><blockquote>虽然2021年在盈利能力方面将与2019年相媲美，增长也以令人信服的方式回归，但我仍然认为，尽管特许经营权的质量无可争议，但估值太高，看不到任何吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pandemic - A Hit, And Savior</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大流行——一击，也是救世主</b></blockquote></p><p> Starbucks was early to recognize the impact of the pandemic as it has sizeable Chinese operations of course, and with the pandemic breaking out a few months earlier than was the case in the US and Europe, the impact was early felt.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克很早就认识到了疫情的影响，因为它在中国有相当大的业务，当然，随着疫情比美国和欧洲早爆发几个月，影响很早就感受到了。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks's second quarter fiscal&nbsp;results, corresponding to the first quarter of the calendar year of 2020, saw sales fall 5%. The third quarter results showed the real impact of the pandemic with sales down 38% as no amount of cost control was able to maintain profitability, as the company posted a sizeable, yet at the same time very manageable loss on the back of the very challenging conditions at the time.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克第二季度财务业绩（对应 2020 年第一季度）销售额下降 5%。第三季度业绩显示了疫情的真正影响，销售额下降了 38%，因为再多的成本控制都无法维持盈利能力，因为该公司在当时非常具有挑战性的情况下出现了可观但同时又非常可控的亏损。</blockquote></p><p> On the back of the summer reopening in many Western nations last year, revenues recovered in a big way, down just 8% in the final quarter of the fiscal year. After the dismal second quarter results, full year revenues were down 11% to $19.2 billion, yet earnings took a far larger beating with operating earnings down more than 60%, to just over $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>在去年许多西方国家夏季重新开放的背景下，收入大幅复苏，本财年最后一个季度仅下降了8%。在第二季度业绩惨淡之后，全年收入下降了 11%，至 192 亿美元，但盈利却遭受了更大的打击，营业利润下降了 60% 以上，略高于 15 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, almost all the absolute decline in revenues translated into a one-on-one impact on the operating income line amidst higher restructuring costs, stable, or slightly increasing depreciation charges, and store expenses up a bit amidst the many modifications and safety measures taken.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，几乎所有收入的绝对下降都转化为对经营利润线的一对一影响，其中包括更高的重组成本、稳定或略有增加的折旧费用，以及在许多修改和采取的安全措施中略有增加的商店费用。</blockquote></p><p> Net debt stood at $11.5 billion by the end of the fiscal year. That is quite a bit after the company posted adjusted EBITDA of around $6.0 billion in the fiscal year of 2019, but the EBITDA number came in much closer to $3.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至本财年末，净债务为 115 亿美元。这是在该公司公布 2019 财年调整后 EBITDA 约为 60 亿美元之后发生的，但 EBITDA 数字接近 35 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> By the time these results were announced back in October of last year, shares had rebounded to the high-eighties already, which translated both into a high earnings multiple based on the adjusted profits of $1.17 per share, and even on the adjusted earnings of $2.83 per share a year earlier. Even based on the 2019 earnings, shares traded at a 30 times multiple.</p><p><blockquote>当这些业绩于去年 10 月公布时，股价已经反弹至 80 年代的高点，这转化为基于调整后每股 1.17 美元的高市盈率，甚至基于调整后每股收益 2.83 美元一年前。即使根据 2019 年的收益，股票交易市盈率也是 30 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Big Recovery</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大复苏</b></blockquote></p><p> At the start of 2021 the company&nbsp;posted&nbsp;first quarter results for its fiscal year with sales down more than 6% as the company was not yet lapping the impact of the pandemic. The company reiterated the full year guidance, calling for sales at a midpoint of $28.5 billion with earnings seen at a midpoint of $2.80 per share, although the fact that this calendar year counts 53 weeks, makes that the guidance assumes a ten cent boost from that fact.</p><p><blockquote>2021年初，该公司公布了本财年第一季度业绩，由于公司尚未摆脱疫情的影响，销售额下降了6%以上。该公司重申了全年指引，要求销售额中位数为 285 亿美元，每股收益中位数为 2.80 美元，尽管本日历年有 53 周的事实使得该指引假设了 10 美分的增长来自这一事实。</blockquote></p><p> The second quarter results revealed 8% revenue growth, which is quite comforting as Western economies were gradually opening up again. Moreover, this is not the case of easily comparisons, as second quarter revenues were down just 5% in the second quarter of 2020, so we actually see growth now vs the quarterly period in 2019. On the back of the solid results, the company has hiked the full year sales guidance to a midpoint of $28.9 billion. Moreover, the midpoint of the earnings guidance has been hiked by fifteen cents to $2.95 per share.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩显示收入增长8%，随着西方经济逐渐重新开放，这相当令人欣慰。此外，这不是一个容易比较的情况，因为2020年第二季度的第二季度收入仅下降了5%，所以我们现在实际上看到了与2019年季度相比的增长。在稳健业绩的支持下，该公司将全年销售指引上调至289亿美元的中点。此外，盈利指引的中点上调了 15 美分，至每股 2.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net debt is down to roughly $10 billion after these relatively softer first two quarters of the year. With net earnings seen at around $3.5 billion this year, and after adding back approximately $1.5 billion in depreciation expenses, as well as a few hundred million in interest and taxes, EBITDA should match or surpass the $6 billion EBITDA number from 2019. In that sense, leverage is very modest, and certainly no concern.</p><p><blockquote>在今年前两个相对疲软的季度之后，净债务降至约 100 亿美元。今年的净利润约为 35 亿美元，加上约 15 亿美元的折旧费用以及数亿美元的利息和税款，EBITDA 应该会达到或超过 2019 年的 60 亿美元 EBITDA 数字。从这个意义上说，杠杆非常适度，当然也不用担心。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Based on the current share price of $113 per share, valuations come in around 38 times earnings seen this year. However, the earnings rate based on the second half of the year is seen around $2 per share, which might imply potential for earnings to jump towards $4 per share next year. Such earnings power reduces expectations to 28 times forward earnings. Based on that number, the multiple is still elevated, as I realize that it will take a year before this might be realized.</p><p><blockquote>根据目前每股 113 美元的股价计算，估值约为今年收益的 38 倍。然而，基于下半年的收益率预计约为每股 2 美元，这可能意味着明年每股收益有可能跃升至 4 美元。这种盈利能力将预期降低至预期盈利的 28 倍。根据这个数字，倍数仍然很高，因为我意识到这可能需要一年时间才能实现。</blockquote></p><p> I guess the reasons mentioned above are likely the considerations why Mr. Ackman from Pershing Square sold out of the stock earlier this year. While the $3 earnings per share number for this year is conformed, and there is a real roadmap for earnings of $4 per share next year if the pandemic fades, I fail to see real triggers from here.</p><p><blockquote>我猜上面提到的原因很可能是潘兴广场的阿克曼先生今年早些时候抛售股票的考虑因素。虽然今年每股收益 3 美元的数字是一致的，并且如果疫情消退，明年每股收益将达到 4 美元的真正路线图，但我看不到这里的真正触发因素。</blockquote></p><p> Based on such earnings power I think that valuations certainly look full here, too full for me to see appeal, although I have no doubts whatsoever on the quality and long term potential of this very high quality franchise.</p><p><blockquote>基于这样的盈利能力，我认为这里的估值肯定看起来很满，对我来说太满了，看不到吸引力，尽管我对这个非常高质量的特许经营权的质量和长期潜力没有任何怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Starbucks - Too Hot To Handle<blockquote>星巴克 - 太热而无法处理</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStarbucks - Too Hot To Handle<blockquote>星巴克 - 太热而无法处理</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 15:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Starbucks continues to be the leading global coffee franchise across the globe.</li>  <li>The company has been hit hard by the pandemic, but the company continues to open stores to drive further growth post the pandemic.</li>  <li>Even if I assume an optimistic $4 earnings per share number next year, valuations look high, too high to see great appeal here.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/860ea0c3c4fcf2d5047e8c0a528096df\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1021\"><span>mysondanube/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>星巴克仍然是全球领先的全球咖啡特许经营商。</li><li>该公司受到疫情的沉重打击，但该公司继续开设门店，以推动疫情后的进一步增长。</li><li>即使我假设明年每股收益为 4 美元，估值看起来也很高，高到看不到很大的吸引力。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>mysondanube/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Starbucks (SBUX)</b>&nbsp;has been quite resilient, at least its shares, as the business has done quite well despite very challenging operating conditions. Shares of the leading coffee player peaked at nearly $100 ahead of the pandemic and after an initial move lower, shares have seen a very steady recovery as they currently trade at $113 per share, just 5% from recent and all-time-highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>星巴克（SBUX）</b>至少其股票具有相当大的弹性，因为尽管经营条件非常具有挑战性，但该业务仍表现良好。这家领先的咖啡公司的股价在疫情爆发前达到近 100 美元的峰值，在最初走低后，股价出现了非常稳定的复苏，目前交易价格为每股 113 美元，仅比近期和历史高点低 5%。</blockquote></p><p> While 2021 is set to match 2019 in terms of the earnings power and growth has returned in a convincing way, I still think that despite the undisputed quality of the franchise, valuations are too high to see any appeal here.</p><p><blockquote>虽然2021年在盈利能力方面将与2019年相媲美，增长也以令人信服的方式回归，但我仍然认为，尽管特许经营权的质量无可争议，但估值太高，看不到任何吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pandemic - A Hit, And Savior</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大流行——一击，也是救世主</b></blockquote></p><p> Starbucks was early to recognize the impact of the pandemic as it has sizeable Chinese operations of course, and with the pandemic breaking out a few months earlier than was the case in the US and Europe, the impact was early felt.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克很早就认识到了疫情的影响，因为它在中国有相当大的业务，当然，随着疫情比美国和欧洲早爆发几个月，影响很早就感受到了。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks's second quarter fiscal&nbsp;results, corresponding to the first quarter of the calendar year of 2020, saw sales fall 5%. The third quarter results showed the real impact of the pandemic with sales down 38% as no amount of cost control was able to maintain profitability, as the company posted a sizeable, yet at the same time very manageable loss on the back of the very challenging conditions at the time.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克第二季度财务业绩（对应 2020 年第一季度）销售额下降 5%。第三季度业绩显示了疫情的真正影响，销售额下降了 38%，因为再多的成本控制都无法维持盈利能力，因为该公司在当时非常具有挑战性的情况下出现了可观但同时又非常可控的亏损。</blockquote></p><p> On the back of the summer reopening in many Western nations last year, revenues recovered in a big way, down just 8% in the final quarter of the fiscal year. After the dismal second quarter results, full year revenues were down 11% to $19.2 billion, yet earnings took a far larger beating with operating earnings down more than 60%, to just over $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>在去年许多西方国家夏季重新开放的背景下，收入大幅复苏，本财年最后一个季度仅下降了8%。在第二季度业绩惨淡之后，全年收入下降了 11%，至 192 亿美元，但盈利却遭受了更大的打击，营业利润下降了 60% 以上，略高于 15 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, almost all the absolute decline in revenues translated into a one-on-one impact on the operating income line amidst higher restructuring costs, stable, or slightly increasing depreciation charges, and store expenses up a bit amidst the many modifications and safety measures taken.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，几乎所有收入的绝对下降都转化为对经营利润线的一对一影响，其中包括更高的重组成本、稳定或略有增加的折旧费用，以及在许多修改和采取的安全措施中略有增加的商店费用。</blockquote></p><p> Net debt stood at $11.5 billion by the end of the fiscal year. That is quite a bit after the company posted adjusted EBITDA of around $6.0 billion in the fiscal year of 2019, but the EBITDA number came in much closer to $3.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至本财年末，净债务为 115 亿美元。这是在该公司公布 2019 财年调整后 EBITDA 约为 60 亿美元之后发生的，但 EBITDA 数字接近 35 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> By the time these results were announced back in October of last year, shares had rebounded to the high-eighties already, which translated both into a high earnings multiple based on the adjusted profits of $1.17 per share, and even on the adjusted earnings of $2.83 per share a year earlier. Even based on the 2019 earnings, shares traded at a 30 times multiple.</p><p><blockquote>当这些业绩于去年 10 月公布时，股价已经反弹至 80 年代的高点，这转化为基于调整后每股 1.17 美元的高市盈率，甚至基于调整后每股收益 2.83 美元一年前。即使根据 2019 年的收益，股票交易市盈率也是 30 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Big Recovery</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大复苏</b></blockquote></p><p> At the start of 2021 the company&nbsp;posted&nbsp;first quarter results for its fiscal year with sales down more than 6% as the company was not yet lapping the impact of the pandemic. The company reiterated the full year guidance, calling for sales at a midpoint of $28.5 billion with earnings seen at a midpoint of $2.80 per share, although the fact that this calendar year counts 53 weeks, makes that the guidance assumes a ten cent boost from that fact.</p><p><blockquote>2021年初，该公司公布了本财年第一季度业绩，由于公司尚未摆脱疫情的影响，销售额下降了6%以上。该公司重申了全年指引，要求销售额中位数为 285 亿美元，每股收益中位数为 2.80 美元，尽管本日历年有 53 周的事实使得该指引假设了 10 美分的增长来自这一事实。</blockquote></p><p> The second quarter results revealed 8% revenue growth, which is quite comforting as Western economies were gradually opening up again. Moreover, this is not the case of easily comparisons, as second quarter revenues were down just 5% in the second quarter of 2020, so we actually see growth now vs the quarterly period in 2019. On the back of the solid results, the company has hiked the full year sales guidance to a midpoint of $28.9 billion. Moreover, the midpoint of the earnings guidance has been hiked by fifteen cents to $2.95 per share.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩显示收入增长8%，随着西方经济逐渐重新开放，这相当令人欣慰。此外，这不是一个容易比较的情况，因为2020年第二季度的第二季度收入仅下降了5%，所以我们现在实际上看到了与2019年季度相比的增长。在稳健业绩的支持下，该公司将全年销售指引上调至289亿美元的中点。此外，盈利指引的中点上调了 15 美分，至每股 2.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net debt is down to roughly $10 billion after these relatively softer first two quarters of the year. With net earnings seen at around $3.5 billion this year, and after adding back approximately $1.5 billion in depreciation expenses, as well as a few hundred million in interest and taxes, EBITDA should match or surpass the $6 billion EBITDA number from 2019. In that sense, leverage is very modest, and certainly no concern.</p><p><blockquote>在今年前两个相对疲软的季度之后，净债务降至约 100 亿美元。今年的净利润约为 35 亿美元，加上约 15 亿美元的折旧费用以及数亿美元的利息和税款，EBITDA 应该会达到或超过 2019 年的 60 亿美元 EBITDA 数字。从这个意义上说，杠杆非常适度，当然也不用担心。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Based on the current share price of $113 per share, valuations come in around 38 times earnings seen this year. However, the earnings rate based on the second half of the year is seen around $2 per share, which might imply potential for earnings to jump towards $4 per share next year. Such earnings power reduces expectations to 28 times forward earnings. Based on that number, the multiple is still elevated, as I realize that it will take a year before this might be realized.</p><p><blockquote>根据目前每股 113 美元的股价计算，估值约为今年收益的 38 倍。然而，基于下半年的收益率预计约为每股 2 美元，这可能意味着明年每股收益有可能跃升至 4 美元。这种盈利能力将预期降低至预期盈利的 28 倍。根据这个数字，倍数仍然很高，因为我意识到这可能需要一年时间才能实现。</blockquote></p><p> I guess the reasons mentioned above are likely the considerations why Mr. Ackman from Pershing Square sold out of the stock earlier this year. While the $3 earnings per share number for this year is conformed, and there is a real roadmap for earnings of $4 per share next year if the pandemic fades, I fail to see real triggers from here.</p><p><blockquote>我猜上面提到的原因很可能是潘兴广场的阿克曼先生今年早些时候抛售股票的考虑因素。虽然今年每股收益 3 美元的数字是一致的，并且如果疫情消退，明年每股收益将达到 4 美元的真正路线图，但我看不到这里的真正触发因素。</blockquote></p><p> Based on such earnings power I think that valuations certainly look full here, too full for me to see appeal, although I have no doubts whatsoever on the quality and long term potential of this very high quality franchise.</p><p><blockquote>基于这样的盈利能力，我认为这里的估值肯定看起来很满，对我来说太满了，看不到吸引力，尽管我对这个非常高质量的特许经营权的质量和长期潜力没有任何怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436869-starbucks-too-hot-to-handle\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436869-starbucks-too-hot-to-handle","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103137872","content_text":"Summary\n\nStarbucks continues to be the leading global coffee franchise across the globe.\nThe company has been hit hard by the pandemic, but the company continues to open stores to drive further growth post the pandemic.\nEven if I assume an optimistic $4 earnings per share number next year, valuations look high, too high to see great appeal here.\n\nmysondanube/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nStarbucks (SBUX) has been quite resilient, at least its shares, as the business has done quite well despite very challenging operating conditions. Shares of the leading coffee player peaked at nearly $100 ahead of the pandemic and after an initial move lower, shares have seen a very steady recovery as they currently trade at $113 per share, just 5% from recent and all-time-highs.\nWhile 2021 is set to match 2019 in terms of the earnings power and growth has returned in a convincing way, I still think that despite the undisputed quality of the franchise, valuations are too high to see any appeal here.\nPandemic - A Hit, And Savior\nStarbucks was early to recognize the impact of the pandemic as it has sizeable Chinese operations of course, and with the pandemic breaking out a few months earlier than was the case in the US and Europe, the impact was early felt.\nStarbucks's second quarter fiscal results, corresponding to the first quarter of the calendar year of 2020, saw sales fall 5%. The third quarter results showed the real impact of the pandemic with sales down 38% as no amount of cost control was able to maintain profitability, as the company posted a sizeable, yet at the same time very manageable loss on the back of the very challenging conditions at the time.\nOn the back of the summer reopening in many Western nations last year, revenues recovered in a big way, down just 8% in the final quarter of the fiscal year. After the dismal second quarter results, full year revenues were down 11% to $19.2 billion, yet earnings took a far larger beating with operating earnings down more than 60%, to just over $1.5 billion.\nIn fact, almost all the absolute decline in revenues translated into a one-on-one impact on the operating income line amidst higher restructuring costs, stable, or slightly increasing depreciation charges, and store expenses up a bit amidst the many modifications and safety measures taken.\nNet debt stood at $11.5 billion by the end of the fiscal year. That is quite a bit after the company posted adjusted EBITDA of around $6.0 billion in the fiscal year of 2019, but the EBITDA number came in much closer to $3.5 billion.\nBy the time these results were announced back in October of last year, shares had rebounded to the high-eighties already, which translated both into a high earnings multiple based on the adjusted profits of $1.17 per share, and even on the adjusted earnings of $2.83 per share a year earlier. Even based on the 2019 earnings, shares traded at a 30 times multiple.\nA Big Recovery\nAt the start of 2021 the company posted first quarter results for its fiscal year with sales down more than 6% as the company was not yet lapping the impact of the pandemic. The company reiterated the full year guidance, calling for sales at a midpoint of $28.5 billion with earnings seen at a midpoint of $2.80 per share, although the fact that this calendar year counts 53 weeks, makes that the guidance assumes a ten cent boost from that fact.\nThe second quarter results revealed 8% revenue growth, which is quite comforting as Western economies were gradually opening up again. Moreover, this is not the case of easily comparisons, as second quarter revenues were down just 5% in the second quarter of 2020, so we actually see growth now vs the quarterly period in 2019. On the back of the solid results, the company has hiked the full year sales guidance to a midpoint of $28.9 billion. Moreover, the midpoint of the earnings guidance has been hiked by fifteen cents to $2.95 per share.\nNet debt is down to roughly $10 billion after these relatively softer first two quarters of the year. With net earnings seen at around $3.5 billion this year, and after adding back approximately $1.5 billion in depreciation expenses, as well as a few hundred million in interest and taxes, EBITDA should match or surpass the $6 billion EBITDA number from 2019. In that sense, leverage is very modest, and certainly no concern.\nBased on the current share price of $113 per share, valuations come in around 38 times earnings seen this year. However, the earnings rate based on the second half of the year is seen around $2 per share, which might imply potential for earnings to jump towards $4 per share next year. Such earnings power reduces expectations to 28 times forward earnings. Based on that number, the multiple is still elevated, as I realize that it will take a year before this might be realized.\nI guess the reasons mentioned above are likely the considerations why Mr. Ackman from Pershing Square sold out of the stock earlier this year. While the $3 earnings per share number for this year is conformed, and there is a real roadmap for earnings of $4 per share next year if the pandemic fades, I fail to see real triggers from here.\nBased on such earnings power I think that valuations certainly look full here, too full for me to see appeal, although I have no doubts whatsoever on the quality and long term potential of this very high quality franchise.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SBUX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}