cuppa的个人主页 - 老虎社区

cuppa

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

1关注

0粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-06-16

High cost of living

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-16

Hmm

Is Fisker The Next Short Squeeze?<blockquote>菲斯克是下一个空头挤压吗？</blockquote>

2021-06-16

Wow

2 Reasons Netflix Will Win Its Merchandising Gambit<blockquote>Netflix 将赢得营销策略的 2 个原因</blockquote>

2021-06-16

Cool

Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3582140048100486","uuid":"3582140048100486","gmtCreate":1619046158951,"gmtModify":1619046158951,"name":"cuppa","pinyin":"cuppa","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":1,"tweetSize":4,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":0,"name":"","nameTw":"","represent":"","factor":"","iconColor":"","bgColor":""},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.05.31","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":2,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":169112047,"gmtCreate":1623821307389,"gmtModify":1634027557245,"author":{"id":"3582140048100486","authorId":"3582140048100486","name":"cuppa","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582140048100486","authorIdStr":"3582140048100486"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"High cost of living&nbsp;","listText":"High cost of living&nbsp;","text":"High cost of living","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169112047","repostId":"1191543581","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169116095,"gmtCreate":1623821275317,"gmtModify":1634027558059,"author":{"id":"3582140048100486","authorId":"3582140048100486","name":"cuppa","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582140048100486","authorIdStr":"3582140048100486"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169116095","repostId":"1141264092","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141264092","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623811561,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141264092?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Fisker The Next Short Squeeze?<blockquote>菲斯克是下一个空头挤压吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141264092","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nFSR is up 72% since my bullish call just a month ago.\nWith that sort of move, caution is wa","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>FSR is up 72% since my bullish call just a month ago.</li>  <li>With that sort of move, caution is warranted on further gains.</li>  <li>New fundamental developments lay out the future path for Fisker.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cfc5757fb9bcd2dad4f529e916092c\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>jonathanfilskov-photography/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我一个月前的看涨看涨期权以来，FSR 上涨了 72%。</li><li>有了这样的举动，就有必要对进一步上涨保持谨慎。</li><li>新的基本发展为菲斯克规划了未来的道路。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>jonathanfilskov-摄影/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The electric vehicle space has been, let’s say, volatile over the past year or so. OG&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) continues to dwarf all other comers in terms of market cap, but there are numerous new competitors, many of which are so new, they don’t even have any revenue yet. One such example is the reincarnated&nbsp;<b>Fisker Inc.</b>(FSR), which is founder Henrik Fisker’s second go at making an electric automaker.</p><p><blockquote>可以说，在过去一年左右的时间里，电动汽车领域一直不稳定。和<b>特斯拉</b>(特斯拉）在市值方面继续让所有其他竞争对手相形见绌，但新的竞争对手不胜枚举，其中许多竞争对手还很新，甚至还没有任何收入。转世就是这样一个例子<b>菲斯克公司。</b>(FSR)，这是创始人亨里克-菲斯克（Henrik Fisker）第二次尝试创建电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> I wrote apieceon Fisker about a month ago when the share price was $10.69, saying it was a great time to buy. Shares are 72% higher than that today – a<i>massive</i>move in the space of four weeks – but such is the nature of the game in electric vehicles. Up 72%, the big question is, do you continue to hold? In this case, I think the answer is “no”, but with some caveats.</p><p><blockquote>大约一个月前，当股价为 10.69 美元时，我给 apieceon Fisker 写了一封信，说现在是买入的好时机。股价比今天上涨 72% – a<i>巨大的</i>在四周内移动——但这就是电动汽车的本质。上涨72%，最大的问题是，你会继续持有吗？在这种情况下，我认为答案是 “否”，但有一些注意事项。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b7e34a03823eba6302e3194baa808ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：股票图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> First, let’s take a look at the chart, which highlights just how volatile this thing really is. Prior support in the low-$14s was lost during the last downturn, and the stock eventually bottomed at $9.61. Since then, shares have<i>doubled</i>, and we’ve seen a complete reset in terms of sentiment for Fisker. One thing you must understand is that Fisker and other zero-revenue EV makers trade on momentum and sentiment rather than fundamentals, so you must be nimble.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们来看看图表，它突出了这个东西到底有多么不稳定。此前14美元低点的支撑位在上次低迷期间失去，该股最终触底9.61美元。此后，股票<i>双倍</i>我们看到菲斯克的情绪完全重置。你必须明白的一件事是，菲斯克和其他零收入电动汽车制造商的交易取决于势头和情绪，而不是基本面，所以你必须灵活。</blockquote></p><p> I would look for that low-$14 area to hold as support on the next pullback, but I’ll also note that it isn’t all that strong, having failed miserably last time there was a selloff. But if the stock is going to bounce, that will likely be the area it will happen.</p><p><blockquote>我会将 14 美元的低点区域作为下一次回调的支撑，但我也会注意到，该区域并不那么强劲，上次抛售时曾惨败。但如果股票要反弹，那很可能就是反弹的领域。</blockquote></p><p> I’ll also note the PPO is very overbought, and is very close to the same levels where prior rallies have lost steam and eventually rolled over. That means the odds of a further rally from here are greatly diminishing, as the bulls have made a Herculean push already, and there are signs the push is ending, at least temporarily.</p><p><blockquote>我还要指出，PPO 非常超买，非常接近之前反弹失去动力并最终翻盘的水平。这意味着从这里进一步反弹的可能性正在大大降低，因为多头已经做出了巨大的推动，而且有迹象表明推动正在结束，至少是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The 14-day RSI is showing similar behavior, as it is rolling over after reaching extreme overbought conditions. The point of all of this is that this stock has doubled in the space of a month, and the rally looks tired. I don’t see a reasonable path meaningfully higher here, but in the EV space, anything can happen. But the bottom line is that the rally looks tired to me, and I think the most prudent course of action is to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry.</p><p><blockquote>14 天 RSI 也表现出类似的行为，因为它在达到极端超买条件后正在翻转。这一切的要点是，这只股票在一个月的时间里翻了一番，而且涨势看起来很疲惫。我在这里看不到一条合理的更高路径，但在电动汽车领域，任何事情都可能发生。但底线是，反弹在我看来很疲惫，我认为最谨慎的做法是获利了结并等待更低的重新进入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New developments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新发展</b></blockquote></p><p> There have been some interesting developments since my last update on Fisker, and ones that have the potential to drive the share price over time.</p><p><blockquote>自从我上次更新 Fisker 以来，出现了一些有趣的进展，并且随着时间的推移，这些进展有可能推动股价。</blockquote></p><p> First up, short interest in Fisker is soaring, and after the numerous highly-shorted stocks we’ve seen go to the moon this year, that’s worth noting. Below is Fisker’s short interest for reference.</p><p><blockquote>首先，对 Fisker 的空头兴趣正在飙升，在今年我们看到的众多高度做空的股票纷纷下跌之后，这一点值得注意。以下是菲斯克的空头利息，供参考。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd732eb0644d9370ff55d207057d6485\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"364\"><span>Source: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Short interest has roughly quadrupled since February, and is rising all the time. The kinds of rallies that we’ve seen in Fisker can cause short squeezes because shorts on the wrong side of a parabolic rally can often panic buy to cover their shorts, leading to a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>自二月份以来，空头兴趣大约翻了两番，并且一直在上升。我们在菲斯克看到的那种反弹会导致空头挤压，因为抛物线反弹反面的空头往往会恐慌性买入来弥补空头，从而导致空头挤压。</blockquote></p><p> Fisker’s current rally lacks the volume of a short squeeze, so I firmly believe this rally is not a result of high short interest, but is instead buyers just buying the stock. If shorts throw in the towel, Fisker could squeeze a lot higher than it is today. To be clear, I’m not saying Fisker is the next short squeeze, but what I am saying is that 45M shares short is roughly seven days’ worth of normal volume, so it’s significant. I certainly also would not short Fisker at these levels for that reason.</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克目前的反弹缺乏空头挤压的成交量，因此我坚信这次反弹不是空头兴趣高的结果，而是买家刚刚买入股票的结果。如果空头认输，菲斯克的股价可能会比今天高得多。需要明确的是，我并不是说菲斯克是下一个做空对象，但我想说的是，4500 万股的做空量大约相当于七天的正常成交量，所以这意义重大。出于这个原因，我当然也不会在这些水平上做空菲斯克。</blockquote></p><p> In short, I do not believe Fisker is the next short squeeze candidate because squeezes usually occur when a stock is at or near a top, and thus most or all short sellers are underwater. Fisker isn't anywhere close to its former high, and given how tired the rally looks today, I see the odds of that occurring as low.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，我不认为菲斯克是下一个空头挤压候选人，因为挤压通常发生在股票处于或接近顶部时，因此大多数或所有卖空者都处于水下。菲斯克距离之前的高点还很远，考虑到今天的反弹看起来多么疲惫，我认为这种情况发生的可能性很低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> From a fundamental perspective, Fisker continues to make progress towards making production a reality of its Ocean SUV, as evidenced in itsQ1 report. The company ended the quarter with $985 million in cash, which is good enough for about 10 quarters at the current run rate; in Q1, the company spent $29 million on operating activities, and $66 million in capex. The company also said the majority of the Ocean has been sourced, which is improving cost visibility as prior questions have become answers.</p><p><blockquote>从基本面角度来看，菲斯克在实现其海洋SUV的生产方面继续取得进展，正如其第一季度报告所证明的那样。该公司本季度末拥有 9.85 亿美元现金，按照目前的运行速度，这足够维持大约 10 个季度；第一季度，该公司在运营活动上花费了 2900 万美元，在资本支出上花费了 6600 万美元。该公司还表示，大部分海洋都是采购的，这提高了成本的可见性，因为之前的问题已经成为答案。</blockquote></p><p> I don’t think Fisker has unlimited runway in terms of cash, but it should have enough to get to production of the Ocean, which is still slated for late this year, or early next year. That’s very important because Fisker needs the cash to start rolling in fairly soon, or further capital raises will be necessary.</p><p><blockquote>我不认为菲斯克在现金方面有无限的发展空间，但它应该有足够的资金来制作《海洋》，该片仍定于今年年底或明年初上映。这一点非常重要，因为菲斯克需要现金尽快开始滚动，否则就需要进一步融资。</blockquote></p><p> Fisker says it has 16k reservations for Oceans at this point, but as we know, reservations for new vehicles are very low cost for the consumer, and don’t represent an obligation to buy. Given this, I take them with a grain of salt. But on the plus side, Fisker has done essentially no advertising, and I’d be willing to bet the vast majority of Americans have no idea what Fisker is. That indicates that there may be some legs to the Ocean, but we’ll have to wait and see.</p><p><blockquote>Fisker 表示，目前该公司已为 Oceans 预订了 1.6 万辆，但据我们所知，预订新车对消费者来说成本非常低，并不构成购买的义务。有鉴于此，我对它们持保留态度。但从好的方面来看，菲斯克基本上没有做过广告，我敢打赌，绝大多数美国人根本不知道菲斯克是什么。这表明可能会有一些通往海洋的腿，但我们还得拭目以待。</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps most importantly, Fisker has an ambitious plan to produce a sub-$30k EV, currently calledProject PEAR. The company has signed Foxconn to make the vehicle, which won’t be available for another two years or so. But it represents another step towards Fisker becoming more mainstream, and if the company can execute, it could grab big chunks of market share. I’ll caveat that producing sub-$30k EVs is no small task because the batteries are very expensive. This is why others have struggled to do the same thing, and I have no reason to think Fisker won’t struggle as well. However, if the Ocean is a success, and provides the cash to develop PEAR, Fisker could be off to the races. PEAR is just an idea at this point, so don’t get too excited, but Fisker certainly has grand plans.</p><p><blockquote>也许最重要的是，菲斯克有一个雄心勃勃的计划来生产一款售价低于 3 万美元的电动汽车，目前称为 Project PEAR。该公司已与富士康签约生产这款车，但这款车还要两年左右才能上市。但这代表着菲斯克走向更加主流的又一步，如果该公司能够执行，它可能会抢占大块市场份额。我要提醒的是，生产低于 3 万美元的电动汽车并非易事，因为电池非常昂贵。这就是为什么其他人都在努力做同样的事情，我没有理由认为菲斯克不会也在努力。然而，如果海洋是成功的，并提供了开发梨的现金，菲斯克可能会去参加比赛。PEAR 目前只是一个想法，所以不要太兴奋，但 Fisker 肯定有宏伟的计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation remains mixed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值仍然好坏参半</b></blockquote></p><p> The tricky thing about valuing startups is that the targets – whether it is revenue or earnings – move all the time. In Fisker’s case, it is apparent that some targets were probably a bit optimistic, especially for revenue.</p><p><blockquote>对初创公司进行估值的棘手之处在于，目标——无论是收入还是盈利——一直在变化。就菲斯克而言，很明显，有些目标可能有点乐观，尤其是在收入方面。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52fe37a0a60e26d5c3aba548bd4b0b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"166\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Estimates for the out years have come up slightly in the past month – likely due to analysts building PEAR into projections – but in the past six months, estimates are off by a third in some cases. You have to remember if you buy this stock that Fisker isn’t slated to receive<i>any</i>revenue until next year, and even then, progress will start slowly. But if Fisker does achieve $8+ billion in revenue by 2025, buying the stock today will have proven a prescient move. There are just so many steps between now and then that the ride will be extremely volatile to say the least.</p><p><blockquote>过去一个月，对未来几年的预测略有上升——可能是由于分析师将 PEAR 纳入预测——但在过去六个月中，在某些情况下，预测偏离了三分之一。你必须记住，如果你购买了菲斯克不打算收到的这只股票<i>任何</i>收入要到明年，即便如此，进展也会开始缓慢。但如果菲斯克到 2025 年确实实现 80 多亿美元的收入，那么今天购买该股票将被证明是一个有先见之明的举动。从现在到那时有太多的步骤，至少可以说，旅程将非常不稳定。</blockquote></p><p> That is illustrated nicely by EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>每股收益估计很好地说明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/730bfe2971ecbf2c150c244c474bd7c7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> EPS is almost certainly going to be negative for at least this year and next year, but if production ramps the way it should for Ocean, Fisker has an outside chance at hitting breakeven in 2023. If scale is achieved, we could see very strong EPS, with 2025 current at $3.72 per share, and 2026 at $4.95. If Ocean succeeds, and Fisker can produce PEAR in sufficient numbers, these estimates could become reality. But you can see the consternation among market participants in that a stock with $5 in EPS five years from now is trading for $18,<i>after</i>doubling in a month. In other words, the share price is pricing in the fact that these estimates are simply guesses at this point. Said another way, if there was some certainty around $5 in EPS in 2026, it would be reasonable to see a multiple of 10 or 12 on that number, or a share price of $50 to $60. We're at a small fraction of that, which is pricing in the massive uncertainty of the company achieving these results.</p><p><blockquote>几乎可以肯定，至少今年和明年的每股收益将为负，但如果 Ocean 的产量像应有的那样增加，Fisker 就有机会在 2023 年实现盈亏平衡。如果实现规模，我们可能会看到非常强劲的每股收益，2025 年目前为每股 3.72 美元，2026 年为每股 4.95 美元。如果 Ocean 取得成功，并且 Fisker 能够生产足够数量的梨，这些估计可能会成为现实。但你可以看到市场参与者的恐慌，因为五年后每股收益为 5 美元的股票现在交易价格为 18 美元，<i>之后</i>一个月翻倍。换句话说，股价正在定价，因为这些估计在这一点上只是猜测。换句话说，如果 2026 年每股收益在 5 美元左右有一定的确定性，那么该数字的倍数是 10 或 12，或者股价在 50 至 60 美元之间是合理的。我们只占其中的一小部分，这是对公司实现这些结果的巨大不确定性进行定价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> The bottom line on Fisker is that the company is so far from making any sort of meaningful revenue – and even further from profits – that it is mostly a momentum trade as a result. The stock has doubled in the past month, and I see cracks in the rally’s strength, so I think it is once again time to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry price.</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克的底线是，该公司远未产生任何有意义的收入，甚至更未产生利润，因此它主要是一种动量交易。该股在过去一个月里翻了一番，我看到了反弹的强度出现了裂缝，因此我认为又到了获利了结并等待更低的重新入场价格的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> I think Fisker has the potential to be a winner in the long-term, but the path to get there is fraught with obstacles. I once again see potential and current price fairly balanced, and for that reason, I’m back to neutral on Fisker.</p><p><blockquote>我认为菲斯克有潜力成为长期赢家，但实现这一目标的道路充满了障碍。我再次看到潜在价格和当前价格相当平衡，因此，我对菲斯克的看法又回到了中性。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Fisker The Next Short Squeeze?<blockquote>菲斯克是下一个空头挤压吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Fisker The Next Short Squeeze?<blockquote>菲斯克是下一个空头挤压吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>FSR is up 72% since my bullish call just a month ago.</li>  <li>With that sort of move, caution is warranted on further gains.</li>  <li>New fundamental developments lay out the future path for Fisker.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cfc5757fb9bcd2dad4f529e916092c\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>jonathanfilskov-photography/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我一个月前的看涨看涨期权以来，FSR 上涨了 72%。</li><li>有了这样的举动，就有必要对进一步上涨保持谨慎。</li><li>新的基本发展为菲斯克规划了未来的道路。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>jonathanfilskov-摄影/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The electric vehicle space has been, let’s say, volatile over the past year or so. OG&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) continues to dwarf all other comers in terms of market cap, but there are numerous new competitors, many of which are so new, they don’t even have any revenue yet. One such example is the reincarnated&nbsp;<b>Fisker Inc.</b>(FSR), which is founder Henrik Fisker’s second go at making an electric automaker.</p><p><blockquote>可以说，在过去一年左右的时间里，电动汽车领域一直不稳定。和<b>特斯拉</b>(特斯拉）在市值方面继续让所有其他竞争对手相形见绌，但新的竞争对手不胜枚举，其中许多竞争对手还很新，甚至还没有任何收入。转世就是这样一个例子<b>菲斯克公司。</b>(FSR)，这是创始人亨里克-菲斯克（Henrik Fisker）第二次尝试创建电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> I wrote apieceon Fisker about a month ago when the share price was $10.69, saying it was a great time to buy. Shares are 72% higher than that today – a<i>massive</i>move in the space of four weeks – but such is the nature of the game in electric vehicles. Up 72%, the big question is, do you continue to hold? In this case, I think the answer is “no”, but with some caveats.</p><p><blockquote>大约一个月前，当股价为 10.69 美元时，我给 apieceon Fisker 写了一封信，说现在是买入的好时机。股价比今天上涨 72% – a<i>巨大的</i>在四周内移动——但这就是电动汽车的本质。上涨72%，最大的问题是，你会继续持有吗？在这种情况下，我认为答案是 “否”，但有一些注意事项。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b7e34a03823eba6302e3194baa808ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：股票图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> First, let’s take a look at the chart, which highlights just how volatile this thing really is. Prior support in the low-$14s was lost during the last downturn, and the stock eventually bottomed at $9.61. Since then, shares have<i>doubled</i>, and we’ve seen a complete reset in terms of sentiment for Fisker. One thing you must understand is that Fisker and other zero-revenue EV makers trade on momentum and sentiment rather than fundamentals, so you must be nimble.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们来看看图表，它突出了这个东西到底有多么不稳定。此前14美元低点的支撑位在上次低迷期间失去，该股最终触底9.61美元。此后，股票<i>双倍</i>我们看到菲斯克的情绪完全重置。你必须明白的一件事是，菲斯克和其他零收入电动汽车制造商的交易取决于势头和情绪，而不是基本面，所以你必须灵活。</blockquote></p><p> I would look for that low-$14 area to hold as support on the next pullback, but I’ll also note that it isn’t all that strong, having failed miserably last time there was a selloff. But if the stock is going to bounce, that will likely be the area it will happen.</p><p><blockquote>我会将 14 美元的低点区域作为下一次回调的支撑，但我也会注意到，该区域并不那么强劲，上次抛售时曾惨败。但如果股票要反弹，那很可能就是反弹的领域。</blockquote></p><p> I’ll also note the PPO is very overbought, and is very close to the same levels where prior rallies have lost steam and eventually rolled over. That means the odds of a further rally from here are greatly diminishing, as the bulls have made a Herculean push already, and there are signs the push is ending, at least temporarily.</p><p><blockquote>我还要指出，PPO 非常超买，非常接近之前反弹失去动力并最终翻盘的水平。这意味着从这里进一步反弹的可能性正在大大降低，因为多头已经做出了巨大的推动，而且有迹象表明推动正在结束，至少是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The 14-day RSI is showing similar behavior, as it is rolling over after reaching extreme overbought conditions. The point of all of this is that this stock has doubled in the space of a month, and the rally looks tired. I don’t see a reasonable path meaningfully higher here, but in the EV space, anything can happen. But the bottom line is that the rally looks tired to me, and I think the most prudent course of action is to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry.</p><p><blockquote>14 天 RSI 也表现出类似的行为，因为它在达到极端超买条件后正在翻转。这一切的要点是，这只股票在一个月的时间里翻了一番，而且涨势看起来很疲惫。我在这里看不到一条合理的更高路径，但在电动汽车领域，任何事情都可能发生。但底线是，反弹在我看来很疲惫，我认为最谨慎的做法是获利了结并等待更低的重新进入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New developments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新发展</b></blockquote></p><p> There have been some interesting developments since my last update on Fisker, and ones that have the potential to drive the share price over time.</p><p><blockquote>自从我上次更新 Fisker 以来，出现了一些有趣的进展，并且随着时间的推移，这些进展有可能推动股价。</blockquote></p><p> First up, short interest in Fisker is soaring, and after the numerous highly-shorted stocks we’ve seen go to the moon this year, that’s worth noting. Below is Fisker’s short interest for reference.</p><p><blockquote>首先，对 Fisker 的空头兴趣正在飙升，在今年我们看到的众多高度做空的股票纷纷下跌之后，这一点值得注意。以下是菲斯克的空头利息，供参考。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd732eb0644d9370ff55d207057d6485\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"364\"><span>Source: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Short interest has roughly quadrupled since February, and is rising all the time. The kinds of rallies that we’ve seen in Fisker can cause short squeezes because shorts on the wrong side of a parabolic rally can often panic buy to cover their shorts, leading to a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>自二月份以来，空头兴趣大约翻了两番，并且一直在上升。我们在菲斯克看到的那种反弹会导致空头挤压，因为抛物线反弹反面的空头往往会恐慌性买入来弥补空头，从而导致空头挤压。</blockquote></p><p> Fisker’s current rally lacks the volume of a short squeeze, so I firmly believe this rally is not a result of high short interest, but is instead buyers just buying the stock. If shorts throw in the towel, Fisker could squeeze a lot higher than it is today. To be clear, I’m not saying Fisker is the next short squeeze, but what I am saying is that 45M shares short is roughly seven days’ worth of normal volume, so it’s significant. I certainly also would not short Fisker at these levels for that reason.</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克目前的反弹缺乏空头挤压的成交量，因此我坚信这次反弹不是空头兴趣高的结果，而是买家刚刚买入股票的结果。如果空头认输，菲斯克的股价可能会比今天高得多。需要明确的是，我并不是说菲斯克是下一个做空对象，但我想说的是，4500 万股的做空量大约相当于七天的正常成交量，所以这意义重大。出于这个原因，我当然也不会在这些水平上做空菲斯克。</blockquote></p><p> In short, I do not believe Fisker is the next short squeeze candidate because squeezes usually occur when a stock is at or near a top, and thus most or all short sellers are underwater. Fisker isn't anywhere close to its former high, and given how tired the rally looks today, I see the odds of that occurring as low.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，我不认为菲斯克是下一个空头挤压候选人，因为挤压通常发生在股票处于或接近顶部时，因此大多数或所有卖空者都处于水下。菲斯克距离之前的高点还很远，考虑到今天的反弹看起来多么疲惫，我认为这种情况发生的可能性很低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> From a fundamental perspective, Fisker continues to make progress towards making production a reality of its Ocean SUV, as evidenced in itsQ1 report. The company ended the quarter with $985 million in cash, which is good enough for about 10 quarters at the current run rate; in Q1, the company spent $29 million on operating activities, and $66 million in capex. The company also said the majority of the Ocean has been sourced, which is improving cost visibility as prior questions have become answers.</p><p><blockquote>从基本面角度来看，菲斯克在实现其海洋SUV的生产方面继续取得进展，正如其第一季度报告所证明的那样。该公司本季度末拥有 9.85 亿美元现金，按照目前的运行速度，这足够维持大约 10 个季度；第一季度，该公司在运营活动上花费了 2900 万美元，在资本支出上花费了 6600 万美元。该公司还表示，大部分海洋都是采购的，这提高了成本的可见性，因为之前的问题已经成为答案。</blockquote></p><p> I don’t think Fisker has unlimited runway in terms of cash, but it should have enough to get to production of the Ocean, which is still slated for late this year, or early next year. That’s very important because Fisker needs the cash to start rolling in fairly soon, or further capital raises will be necessary.</p><p><blockquote>我不认为菲斯克在现金方面有无限的发展空间，但它应该有足够的资金来制作《海洋》，该片仍定于今年年底或明年初上映。这一点非常重要，因为菲斯克需要现金尽快开始滚动，否则就需要进一步融资。</blockquote></p><p> Fisker says it has 16k reservations for Oceans at this point, but as we know, reservations for new vehicles are very low cost for the consumer, and don’t represent an obligation to buy. Given this, I take them with a grain of salt. But on the plus side, Fisker has done essentially no advertising, and I’d be willing to bet the vast majority of Americans have no idea what Fisker is. That indicates that there may be some legs to the Ocean, but we’ll have to wait and see.</p><p><blockquote>Fisker 表示，目前该公司已为 Oceans 预订了 1.6 万辆，但据我们所知，预订新车对消费者来说成本非常低，并不构成购买的义务。有鉴于此，我对它们持保留态度。但从好的方面来看，菲斯克基本上没有做过广告，我敢打赌，绝大多数美国人根本不知道菲斯克是什么。这表明可能会有一些通往海洋的腿，但我们还得拭目以待。</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps most importantly, Fisker has an ambitious plan to produce a sub-$30k EV, currently calledProject PEAR. The company has signed Foxconn to make the vehicle, which won’t be available for another two years or so. But it represents another step towards Fisker becoming more mainstream, and if the company can execute, it could grab big chunks of market share. I’ll caveat that producing sub-$30k EVs is no small task because the batteries are very expensive. This is why others have struggled to do the same thing, and I have no reason to think Fisker won’t struggle as well. However, if the Ocean is a success, and provides the cash to develop PEAR, Fisker could be off to the races. PEAR is just an idea at this point, so don’t get too excited, but Fisker certainly has grand plans.</p><p><blockquote>也许最重要的是，菲斯克有一个雄心勃勃的计划来生产一款售价低于 3 万美元的电动汽车，目前称为 Project PEAR。该公司已与富士康签约生产这款车，但这款车还要两年左右才能上市。但这代表着菲斯克走向更加主流的又一步，如果该公司能够执行，它可能会抢占大块市场份额。我要提醒的是，生产低于 3 万美元的电动汽车并非易事，因为电池非常昂贵。这就是为什么其他人都在努力做同样的事情，我没有理由认为菲斯克不会也在努力。然而，如果海洋是成功的，并提供了开发梨的现金，菲斯克可能会去参加比赛。PEAR 目前只是一个想法，所以不要太兴奋，但 Fisker 肯定有宏伟的计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation remains mixed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值仍然好坏参半</b></blockquote></p><p> The tricky thing about valuing startups is that the targets – whether it is revenue or earnings – move all the time. In Fisker’s case, it is apparent that some targets were probably a bit optimistic, especially for revenue.</p><p><blockquote>对初创公司进行估值的棘手之处在于，目标——无论是收入还是盈利——一直在变化。就菲斯克而言，很明显，有些目标可能有点乐观，尤其是在收入方面。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52fe37a0a60e26d5c3aba548bd4b0b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"166\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Estimates for the out years have come up slightly in the past month – likely due to analysts building PEAR into projections – but in the past six months, estimates are off by a third in some cases. You have to remember if you buy this stock that Fisker isn’t slated to receive<i>any</i>revenue until next year, and even then, progress will start slowly. But if Fisker does achieve $8+ billion in revenue by 2025, buying the stock today will have proven a prescient move. There are just so many steps between now and then that the ride will be extremely volatile to say the least.</p><p><blockquote>过去一个月，对未来几年的预测略有上升——可能是由于分析师将 PEAR 纳入预测——但在过去六个月中，在某些情况下，预测偏离了三分之一。你必须记住，如果你购买了菲斯克不打算收到的这只股票<i>任何</i>收入要到明年，即便如此，进展也会开始缓慢。但如果菲斯克到 2025 年确实实现 80 多亿美元的收入，那么今天购买该股票将被证明是一个有先见之明的举动。从现在到那时有太多的步骤，至少可以说，旅程将非常不稳定。</blockquote></p><p> That is illustrated nicely by EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>每股收益估计很好地说明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/730bfe2971ecbf2c150c244c474bd7c7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> EPS is almost certainly going to be negative for at least this year and next year, but if production ramps the way it should for Ocean, Fisker has an outside chance at hitting breakeven in 2023. If scale is achieved, we could see very strong EPS, with 2025 current at $3.72 per share, and 2026 at $4.95. If Ocean succeeds, and Fisker can produce PEAR in sufficient numbers, these estimates could become reality. But you can see the consternation among market participants in that a stock with $5 in EPS five years from now is trading for $18,<i>after</i>doubling in a month. In other words, the share price is pricing in the fact that these estimates are simply guesses at this point. Said another way, if there was some certainty around $5 in EPS in 2026, it would be reasonable to see a multiple of 10 or 12 on that number, or a share price of $50 to $60. We're at a small fraction of that, which is pricing in the massive uncertainty of the company achieving these results.</p><p><blockquote>几乎可以肯定，至少今年和明年的每股收益将为负，但如果 Ocean 的产量像应有的那样增加，Fisker 就有机会在 2023 年实现盈亏平衡。如果实现规模，我们可能会看到非常强劲的每股收益，2025 年目前为每股 3.72 美元，2026 年为每股 4.95 美元。如果 Ocean 取得成功，并且 Fisker 能够生产足够数量的梨，这些估计可能会成为现实。但你可以看到市场参与者的恐慌，因为五年后每股收益为 5 美元的股票现在交易价格为 18 美元，<i>之后</i>一个月翻倍。换句话说，股价正在定价，因为这些估计在这一点上只是猜测。换句话说，如果 2026 年每股收益在 5 美元左右有一定的确定性，那么该数字的倍数是 10 或 12，或者股价在 50 至 60 美元之间是合理的。我们只占其中的一小部分，这是对公司实现这些结果的巨大不确定性进行定价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> The bottom line on Fisker is that the company is so far from making any sort of meaningful revenue – and even further from profits – that it is mostly a momentum trade as a result. The stock has doubled in the past month, and I see cracks in the rally’s strength, so I think it is once again time to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry price.</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克的底线是，该公司远未产生任何有意义的收入，甚至更未产生利润，因此它主要是一种动量交易。该股在过去一个月里翻了一番，我看到了反弹的强度出现了裂缝，因此我认为又到了获利了结并等待更低的重新入场价格的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> I think Fisker has the potential to be a winner in the long-term, but the path to get there is fraught with obstacles. I once again see potential and current price fairly balanced, and for that reason, I’m back to neutral on Fisker.</p><p><blockquote>我认为菲斯克有潜力成为长期赢家，但实现这一目标的道路充满了障碍。我再次看到潜在价格和当前价格相当平衡，因此，我对菲斯克的看法又回到了中性。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434973-is-fisker-the-next-short-squeeze\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FSR":"菲斯克"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434973-is-fisker-the-next-short-squeeze","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141264092","content_text":"Summary\n\nFSR is up 72% since my bullish call just a month ago.\nWith that sort of move, caution is warranted on further gains.\nNew fundamental developments lay out the future path for Fisker.\n\njonathanfilskov-photography/iStock via Getty Images\nThe electric vehicle space has been, let’s say, volatile over the past year or so. OG Tesla(TSLA) continues to dwarf all other comers in terms of market cap, but there are numerous new competitors, many of which are so new, they don’t even have any revenue yet. One such example is the reincarnated Fisker Inc.(FSR), which is founder Henrik Fisker’s second go at making an electric automaker.\nI wrote apieceon Fisker about a month ago when the share price was $10.69, saying it was a great time to buy. Shares are 72% higher than that today – amassivemove in the space of four weeks – but such is the nature of the game in electric vehicles. Up 72%, the big question is, do you continue to hold? In this case, I think the answer is “no”, but with some caveats.\nSource: StockCharts\nFirst, let’s take a look at the chart, which highlights just how volatile this thing really is. Prior support in the low-$14s was lost during the last downturn, and the stock eventually bottomed at $9.61. Since then, shares havedoubled, and we’ve seen a complete reset in terms of sentiment for Fisker. One thing you must understand is that Fisker and other zero-revenue EV makers trade on momentum and sentiment rather than fundamentals, so you must be nimble.\nI would look for that low-$14 area to hold as support on the next pullback, but I’ll also note that it isn’t all that strong, having failed miserably last time there was a selloff. But if the stock is going to bounce, that will likely be the area it will happen.\nI’ll also note the PPO is very overbought, and is very close to the same levels where prior rallies have lost steam and eventually rolled over. That means the odds of a further rally from here are greatly diminishing, as the bulls have made a Herculean push already, and there are signs the push is ending, at least temporarily.\nThe 14-day RSI is showing similar behavior, as it is rolling over after reaching extreme overbought conditions. The point of all of this is that this stock has doubled in the space of a month, and the rally looks tired. I don’t see a reasonable path meaningfully higher here, but in the EV space, anything can happen. But the bottom line is that the rally looks tired to me, and I think the most prudent course of action is to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry.\nNew developments\nThere have been some interesting developments since my last update on Fisker, and ones that have the potential to drive the share price over time.\nFirst up, short interest in Fisker is soaring, and after the numerous highly-shorted stocks we’ve seen go to the moon this year, that’s worth noting. Below is Fisker’s short interest for reference.\nSource: YCharts\nShort interest has roughly quadrupled since February, and is rising all the time. The kinds of rallies that we’ve seen in Fisker can cause short squeezes because shorts on the wrong side of a parabolic rally can often panic buy to cover their shorts, leading to a short squeeze.\nFisker’s current rally lacks the volume of a short squeeze, so I firmly believe this rally is not a result of high short interest, but is instead buyers just buying the stock. If shorts throw in the towel, Fisker could squeeze a lot higher than it is today. To be clear, I’m not saying Fisker is the next short squeeze, but what I am saying is that 45M shares short is roughly seven days’ worth of normal volume, so it’s significant. I certainly also would not short Fisker at these levels for that reason.\nIn short, I do not believe Fisker is the next short squeeze candidate because squeezes usually occur when a stock is at or near a top, and thus most or all short sellers are underwater. Fisker isn't anywhere close to its former high, and given how tired the rally looks today, I see the odds of that occurring as low.\nFrom a fundamental perspective, Fisker continues to make progress towards making production a reality of its Ocean SUV, as evidenced in itsQ1 report. The company ended the quarter with $985 million in cash, which is good enough for about 10 quarters at the current run rate; in Q1, the company spent $29 million on operating activities, and $66 million in capex. The company also said the majority of the Ocean has been sourced, which is improving cost visibility as prior questions have become answers.\nI don’t think Fisker has unlimited runway in terms of cash, but it should have enough to get to production of the Ocean, which is still slated for late this year, or early next year. That’s very important because Fisker needs the cash to start rolling in fairly soon, or further capital raises will be necessary.\nFisker says it has 16k reservations for Oceans at this point, but as we know, reservations for new vehicles are very low cost for the consumer, and don’t represent an obligation to buy. Given this, I take them with a grain of salt. But on the plus side, Fisker has done essentially no advertising, and I’d be willing to bet the vast majority of Americans have no idea what Fisker is. That indicates that there may be some legs to the Ocean, but we’ll have to wait and see.\nPerhaps most importantly, Fisker has an ambitious plan to produce a sub-$30k EV, currently calledProject PEAR. The company has signed Foxconn to make the vehicle, which won’t be available for another two years or so. But it represents another step towards Fisker becoming more mainstream, and if the company can execute, it could grab big chunks of market share. I’ll caveat that producing sub-$30k EVs is no small task because the batteries are very expensive. This is why others have struggled to do the same thing, and I have no reason to think Fisker won’t struggle as well. However, if the Ocean is a success, and provides the cash to develop PEAR, Fisker could be off to the races. PEAR is just an idea at this point, so don’t get too excited, but Fisker certainly has grand plans.\nValuation remains mixed\nThe tricky thing about valuing startups is that the targets – whether it is revenue or earnings – move all the time. In Fisker’s case, it is apparent that some targets were probably a bit optimistic, especially for revenue.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nEstimates for the out years have come up slightly in the past month – likely due to analysts building PEAR into projections – but in the past six months, estimates are off by a third in some cases. You have to remember if you buy this stock that Fisker isn’t slated to receiveanyrevenue until next year, and even then, progress will start slowly. But if Fisker does achieve $8+ billion in revenue by 2025, buying the stock today will have proven a prescient move. There are just so many steps between now and then that the ride will be extremely volatile to say the least.\nThat is illustrated nicely by EPS estimates.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nEPS is almost certainly going to be negative for at least this year and next year, but if production ramps the way it should for Ocean, Fisker has an outside chance at hitting breakeven in 2023. If scale is achieved, we could see very strong EPS, with 2025 current at $3.72 per share, and 2026 at $4.95. If Ocean succeeds, and Fisker can produce PEAR in sufficient numbers, these estimates could become reality. But you can see the consternation among market participants in that a stock with $5 in EPS five years from now is trading for $18,afterdoubling in a month. In other words, the share price is pricing in the fact that these estimates are simply guesses at this point. Said another way, if there was some certainty around $5 in EPS in 2026, it would be reasonable to see a multiple of 10 or 12 on that number, or a share price of $50 to $60. We're at a small fraction of that, which is pricing in the massive uncertainty of the company achieving these results.\nFinal thoughts\nThe bottom line on Fisker is that the company is so far from making any sort of meaningful revenue – and even further from profits – that it is mostly a momentum trade as a result. The stock has doubled in the past month, and I see cracks in the rally’s strength, so I think it is once again time to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry price.\nI think Fisker has the potential to be a winner in the long-term, but the path to get there is fraught with obstacles. I once again see potential and current price fairly balanced, and for that reason, I’m back to neutral on Fisker.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FSR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169111568,"gmtCreate":1623821215754,"gmtModify":1634027559469,"author":{"id":"3582140048100486","authorId":"3582140048100486","name":"cuppa","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582140048100486","authorIdStr":"3582140048100486"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169111568","repostId":"1137428482","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137428482","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623815725,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137428482?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Reasons Netflix Will Win Its Merchandising Gambit<blockquote>Netflix 将赢得营销策略的 2 个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137428482","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The leading premium streaming video service has an online store. It's bigger than you think.","content":"<p>It's easy to be skeptical about last week's launch of&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>'s(NASDAQ:NFLX)&nbsp;online merch store. The new platform -- available via&nbsp;Netflix.shop-- is limited to selling T-shirts and hoodies themed to its<i>Yasuke</i>and<i>Eden</i>anime. It's just designer streetwear right now, and it's not cheap. T-shirts range in price from $30 to $45. Hypland's Yasuke hoodie is going to set you back a beefy $82, or nearly half a year of a Netflix subscription.</p><p><blockquote>人们很容易对上周推出的<b>网飞</b>s（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）在线商品商店。这个新平台（可通过 Netflix.shop 购买）仅限于销售以其为主题的 T 恤和连帽衫<i>康介</i>和<i>伊甸园</i>动漫。现在只是名牌街头服饰，而且不便宜。T恤的价格从30美元到45美元不等。Hypland的Yasuke连帽衫将花费你82美元，相当于近半年的网飞订阅费。</blockquote></p><p> However, you may want to think twice before you dismiss the leading premium video service's chances here. There are some good reasons to bet on Netflix's latest move. Let's check them out.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在你拒绝领先的优质视频服务的机会之前，你可能要三思。有一些充分的理由押注 Netflix 的最新举措。我们去看看。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/434a5606f0aa105dc2200617936db7bd\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Netflix is just getting started</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. Netflix 才刚刚起步</b></blockquote></p><p> This is obviously just the opening act of Netflix.shop. You can get third-party -- admittedly unlicensed -- shirts for a lot less elsewhere. It will be harder to duplicate the<i>Yasuke</i>and<i>Eden</i>action figures that Netflix is promising will roll out later this month.</p><p><blockquote>这显然只是Netflix.shop的开场行为。你可以在其他地方以更低的价格买到第三方——公认是未经许可的——衬衫。复制<i>康介</i>和<i>伊甸园</i>网飞承诺的动作人物将于本月晚些时候推出。</blockquote></p><p> Limited-edition apparel and decor inspired by<i>Lupin</i>-- with the second season just dropping into your Netflix queue -- will hit the digital storefront this month. Last week's launch also teased upcoming exclusive<i>Stranger Things</i>and<i>The Witcher</i>product lines. Reports also have Netflix working on a<i>Bridgerton</i>clothing line alongside live events. And Fans of<i>La Casa de Papel</i>-- aka<i>Money Heist</i>-- should be on the lookout for proprietary merch.</p><p><blockquote>限量版服装和装饰灵感来自<i>鲁邦</i>-- 第二季刚刚进入您的 Netflix 队列 -- 将于本月登陆数字店面。上周的发布会还预告了即将推出的独家<i>奇怪的事情</i>和<i>巫师</i>产品线。据报道，Netflix 还在开发<i>布里奇顿</i>现场活动旁边的服装系列。和粉丝<i>纸屋</i>-- 又名<i>抢劫钱财</i>-- 应该留意专有商品。</blockquote></p><p> Don't judge Netflix's new foray into the e-tail of physical merch based on what you see on today's landing page. The store will get bigger, and you'll get there once they roll around to paddling a new revenue stream based on one of your favorite shows.</p><p><blockquote>不要根据你在今天的登录页面上看到的内容来判断网飞进军实体电子商务的新尝试。商店会变得更大，一旦他们开始根据你最喜欢的节目之一划出新的收入流，你就会到达那里。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Never underestimate the Netflix audience</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.永远不要低估Netflix的观众</b></blockquote></p><p> It's not smart to bet against Netflix. It doesn't make a move unless it has thoroughly thought things through. How many times were we asking Netflix to rent video games by mail during its red envelope days? How many analysts have wondered about the money that Netflix could rake in it if sold ads on top of its streams in this era of rising connected-TV rates?</p><p><blockquote>押注网飞是不明智的。除非它彻底考虑清楚，否则它不会采取行动。在网飞的红包时代，我们有多少次要求它通过邮件租赁电子游戏？有多少分析师想知道，在这个联网电视费率不断上涨的时代，如果 Netflix 在其流媒体上出售广告，可以从中赚到多少钱？</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is way smarter than me. It may also be smarter than you when it comes to how it runs its business. Bloomberg is reporting that Netflix is in the process of hiring heads of consumer products, podcasts, and video game businesses that don't currently exist. If they see the light of day -- as we're seeing with consumer product -- it's because the company knows what it's doing.</p><p><blockquote>网飞比我聪明多了。在如何经营业务方面，它也可能比你聪明。彭博社报道称，网飞正在招聘目前不存在的消费品、播客和视频游戏业务的负责人。如果他们看到了曙光——就像我们在消费品上看到的那样——那是因为公司知道自己在做什么。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix had&nbsp;207.6 million subscribersat the end of March, and we're talking about entire families here. The reach and breadth is larger than the account base. It's a captive audience spending hours a day getting lost in Netflix's growing digital catalog of content.</p><p><blockquote>截至 3 月底，Netflix 拥有 2.076 亿订户，我们这里谈论的是整个家庭。覆盖面和广度大于账户基础。这是一个被俘虏的观众，每天花几个小时迷失在网飞不断增长的数字内容目录中。</blockquote></p><p> Folks trust Netflix to get it right. They stick around, even if it means prices keep moving higher. Netflix has increased its monthly rates in the U.S.five times over the last seven years, and the sub count is always higher by the time the next hike rolls around.</p><p><blockquote>人们相信网飞会把事情做好。它们会留下来，即使这意味着价格不断上涨。过去七年里，Netflix 已五次提高美国的月费率，而且到下一次加息时，子费率总是更高。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is a&nbsp;media stock. It's not a surprise that traditional media behemoths are generating significant sums of incremental revenue through vibrant consumer product sales. Why wouldn't Netflix -- a company that's been collecting gobs of data on your viewing habits for years -- be as good at nailing what you'll want to buy next as it is at knowing what you want to view next? We may never see a theme park, though I would be the first in line through the turnstiles of Netflixlandia to ride the<i>Ozark</i>roller coaster or experience the<i>Stranger Things</i>dark ride. Selling unique merch to an engaged audience will be a lot easier, and unlike that<i>Ozark</i>coaster there are no height requirements or seat restraints to keep you from making the most of the consumer products ride.</p><p><blockquote>网飞是一只媒体股。传统媒体巨头通过充满活力的消费品销售产生大量增量收入，这并不奇怪。为什么网飞——一家多年来一直在收集大量关于你观看习惯的数据的公司——不能像知道你下一步想买什么一样擅长确定你下一步想买什么？我们可能永远不会看到主题公园，尽管我会是第一个通过 Netflixlandia 十字转门乘坐主题公园的人<i>欧扎克</i>过山车或体验<i>奇怪的事情</i>黑暗骑行。向参与的受众销售独特的商品会容易得多，不同之处在于<i>欧扎克</i>过山车没有高度要求或座椅限制，以阻止您充分利用消费品。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Reasons Netflix Will Win Its Merchandising Gambit<blockquote>Netflix 将赢得营销策略的 2 个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Reasons Netflix Will Win Its Merchandising Gambit<blockquote>Netflix 将赢得营销策略的 2 个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 11:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It's easy to be skeptical about last week's launch of&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>'s(NASDAQ:NFLX)&nbsp;online merch store. The new platform -- available via&nbsp;Netflix.shop-- is limited to selling T-shirts and hoodies themed to its<i>Yasuke</i>and<i>Eden</i>anime. It's just designer streetwear right now, and it's not cheap. T-shirts range in price from $30 to $45. Hypland's Yasuke hoodie is going to set you back a beefy $82, or nearly half a year of a Netflix subscription.</p><p><blockquote>人们很容易对上周推出的<b>网飞</b>s（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）在线商品商店。这个新平台（可通过 Netflix.shop 购买）仅限于销售以其为主题的 T 恤和连帽衫<i>康介</i>和<i>伊甸园</i>动漫。现在只是名牌街头服饰，而且不便宜。T恤的价格从30美元到45美元不等。Hypland的Yasuke连帽衫将花费你82美元，相当于近半年的网飞订阅费。</blockquote></p><p> However, you may want to think twice before you dismiss the leading premium video service's chances here. There are some good reasons to bet on Netflix's latest move. Let's check them out.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在你拒绝领先的优质视频服务的机会之前，你可能要三思。有一些充分的理由押注 Netflix 的最新举措。我们去看看。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/434a5606f0aa105dc2200617936db7bd\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Netflix is just getting started</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. Netflix 才刚刚起步</b></blockquote></p><p> This is obviously just the opening act of Netflix.shop. You can get third-party -- admittedly unlicensed -- shirts for a lot less elsewhere. It will be harder to duplicate the<i>Yasuke</i>and<i>Eden</i>action figures that Netflix is promising will roll out later this month.</p><p><blockquote>这显然只是Netflix.shop的开场行为。你可以在其他地方以更低的价格买到第三方——公认是未经许可的——衬衫。复制<i>康介</i>和<i>伊甸园</i>网飞承诺的动作人物将于本月晚些时候推出。</blockquote></p><p> Limited-edition apparel and decor inspired by<i>Lupin</i>-- with the second season just dropping into your Netflix queue -- will hit the digital storefront this month. Last week's launch also teased upcoming exclusive<i>Stranger Things</i>and<i>The Witcher</i>product lines. Reports also have Netflix working on a<i>Bridgerton</i>clothing line alongside live events. And Fans of<i>La Casa de Papel</i>-- aka<i>Money Heist</i>-- should be on the lookout for proprietary merch.</p><p><blockquote>限量版服装和装饰灵感来自<i>鲁邦</i>-- 第二季刚刚进入您的 Netflix 队列 -- 将于本月登陆数字店面。上周的发布会还预告了即将推出的独家<i>奇怪的事情</i>和<i>巫师</i>产品线。据报道，Netflix 还在开发<i>布里奇顿</i>现场活动旁边的服装系列。和粉丝<i>纸屋</i>-- 又名<i>抢劫钱财</i>-- 应该留意专有商品。</blockquote></p><p> Don't judge Netflix's new foray into the e-tail of physical merch based on what you see on today's landing page. The store will get bigger, and you'll get there once they roll around to paddling a new revenue stream based on one of your favorite shows.</p><p><blockquote>不要根据你在今天的登录页面上看到的内容来判断网飞进军实体电子商务的新尝试。商店会变得更大，一旦他们开始根据你最喜欢的节目之一划出新的收入流，你就会到达那里。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Never underestimate the Netflix audience</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.永远不要低估Netflix的观众</b></blockquote></p><p> It's not smart to bet against Netflix. It doesn't make a move unless it has thoroughly thought things through. How many times were we asking Netflix to rent video games by mail during its red envelope days? How many analysts have wondered about the money that Netflix could rake in it if sold ads on top of its streams in this era of rising connected-TV rates?</p><p><blockquote>押注网飞是不明智的。除非它彻底考虑清楚，否则它不会采取行动。在网飞的红包时代，我们有多少次要求它通过邮件租赁电子游戏？有多少分析师想知道，在这个联网电视费率不断上涨的时代，如果 Netflix 在其流媒体上出售广告，可以从中赚到多少钱？</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is way smarter than me. It may also be smarter than you when it comes to how it runs its business. Bloomberg is reporting that Netflix is in the process of hiring heads of consumer products, podcasts, and video game businesses that don't currently exist. If they see the light of day -- as we're seeing with consumer product -- it's because the company knows what it's doing.</p><p><blockquote>网飞比我聪明多了。在如何经营业务方面，它也可能比你聪明。彭博社报道称，网飞正在招聘目前不存在的消费品、播客和视频游戏业务的负责人。如果他们看到了曙光——就像我们在消费品上看到的那样——那是因为公司知道自己在做什么。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix had&nbsp;207.6 million subscribersat the end of March, and we're talking about entire families here. The reach and breadth is larger than the account base. It's a captive audience spending hours a day getting lost in Netflix's growing digital catalog of content.</p><p><blockquote>截至 3 月底，Netflix 拥有 2.076 亿订户，我们这里谈论的是整个家庭。覆盖面和广度大于账户基础。这是一个被俘虏的观众，每天花几个小时迷失在网飞不断增长的数字内容目录中。</blockquote></p><p> Folks trust Netflix to get it right. They stick around, even if it means prices keep moving higher. Netflix has increased its monthly rates in the U.S.five times over the last seven years, and the sub count is always higher by the time the next hike rolls around.</p><p><blockquote>人们相信网飞会把事情做好。它们会留下来，即使这意味着价格不断上涨。过去七年里，Netflix 已五次提高美国的月费率，而且到下一次加息时，子费率总是更高。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is a&nbsp;media stock. It's not a surprise that traditional media behemoths are generating significant sums of incremental revenue through vibrant consumer product sales. Why wouldn't Netflix -- a company that's been collecting gobs of data on your viewing habits for years -- be as good at nailing what you'll want to buy next as it is at knowing what you want to view next? We may never see a theme park, though I would be the first in line through the turnstiles of Netflixlandia to ride the<i>Ozark</i>roller coaster or experience the<i>Stranger Things</i>dark ride. Selling unique merch to an engaged audience will be a lot easier, and unlike that<i>Ozark</i>coaster there are no height requirements or seat restraints to keep you from making the most of the consumer products ride.</p><p><blockquote>网飞是一只媒体股。传统媒体巨头通过充满活力的消费品销售产生大量增量收入，这并不奇怪。为什么网飞——一家多年来一直在收集大量关于你观看习惯的数据的公司——不能像知道你下一步想买什么一样擅长确定你下一步想买什么？我们可能永远不会看到主题公园，尽管我会是第一个通过 Netflixlandia 十字转门乘坐主题公园的人<i>欧扎克</i>过山车或体验<i>奇怪的事情</i>黑暗骑行。向参与的受众销售独特的商品会容易得多，不同之处在于<i>欧扎克</i>过山车没有高度要求或座椅限制，以阻止您充分利用消费品。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/15/2-reasons-netflix-will-win-its-merchandising-gambi/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/15/2-reasons-netflix-will-win-its-merchandising-gambi/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137428482","content_text":"It's easy to be skeptical about last week's launch of Netflix's(NASDAQ:NFLX) online merch store. The new platform -- available via Netflix.shop-- is limited to selling T-shirts and hoodies themed to itsYasukeandEdenanime. It's just designer streetwear right now, and it's not cheap. T-shirts range in price from $30 to $45. Hypland's Yasuke hoodie is going to set you back a beefy $82, or nearly half a year of a Netflix subscription.\nHowever, you may want to think twice before you dismiss the leading premium video service's chances here. There are some good reasons to bet on Netflix's latest move. Let's check them out.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\n1. Netflix is just getting started\nThis is obviously just the opening act of Netflix.shop. You can get third-party -- admittedly unlicensed -- shirts for a lot less elsewhere. It will be harder to duplicate theYasukeandEdenaction figures that Netflix is promising will roll out later this month.\nLimited-edition apparel and decor inspired byLupin-- with the second season just dropping into your Netflix queue -- will hit the digital storefront this month. Last week's launch also teased upcoming exclusiveStranger ThingsandThe Witcherproduct lines. Reports also have Netflix working on aBridgertonclothing line alongside live events. And Fans ofLa Casa de Papel-- akaMoney Heist-- should be on the lookout for proprietary merch.\nDon't judge Netflix's new foray into the e-tail of physical merch based on what you see on today's landing page. The store will get bigger, and you'll get there once they roll around to paddling a new revenue stream based on one of your favorite shows.\n2. Never underestimate the Netflix audience\nIt's not smart to bet against Netflix. It doesn't make a move unless it has thoroughly thought things through. How many times were we asking Netflix to rent video games by mail during its red envelope days? How many analysts have wondered about the money that Netflix could rake in it if sold ads on top of its streams in this era of rising connected-TV rates?\nNetflix is way smarter than me. It may also be smarter than you when it comes to how it runs its business. Bloomberg is reporting that Netflix is in the process of hiring heads of consumer products, podcasts, and video game businesses that don't currently exist. If they see the light of day -- as we're seeing with consumer product -- it's because the company knows what it's doing.\nNetflix had 207.6 million subscribersat the end of March, and we're talking about entire families here. The reach and breadth is larger than the account base. It's a captive audience spending hours a day getting lost in Netflix's growing digital catalog of content.\nFolks trust Netflix to get it right. They stick around, even if it means prices keep moving higher. Netflix has increased its monthly rates in the U.S.five times over the last seven years, and the sub count is always higher by the time the next hike rolls around.\nNetflix is a media stock. It's not a surprise that traditional media behemoths are generating significant sums of incremental revenue through vibrant consumer product sales. Why wouldn't Netflix -- a company that's been collecting gobs of data on your viewing habits for years -- be as good at nailing what you'll want to buy next as it is at knowing what you want to view next? We may never see a theme park, though I would be the first in line through the turnstiles of Netflixlandia to ride theOzarkroller coaster or experience theStranger Thingsdark ride. Selling unique merch to an engaged audience will be a lot easier, and unlike thatOzarkcoaster there are no height requirements or seat restraints to keep you from making the most of the consumer products ride.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1918,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169119419,"gmtCreate":1623821107731,"gmtModify":1634027561330,"author":{"id":"3582140048100486","authorId":"3582140048100486","name":"cuppa","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582140048100486","authorIdStr":"3582140048100486"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169119419","repostId":"1105892749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105892749","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623809672,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105892749?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105892749","media":"Barrons","summary":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bu","content":"<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价（股票代码：TSLA）今年迄今已下跌约 15%，较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看，特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商：通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst&nbsp;Adam Jonas&nbsp;in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a&nbsp;highly concentrated&nbsp;time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）分析师亚当-乔纳斯（Adam Jonas）在周一晚间的一份报告中写道：”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始，作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元，比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道：”即使是看涨者也应该承认，2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的，但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振，特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说：”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说，他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后，他预测从现在到本十年中期，特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计，特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck，但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst&nbsp;Jonathan Dorsheimer&nbsp;is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂：住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统，以客户为中心的连接性，将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合，”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his&nbsp;price target&nbsp;to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观，但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级，但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外，他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元，这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst&nbsp;Mark Delaney&nbsp;was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看，高盛分析师马克-德莱尼（Mark Delaney）上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻，但他指出，售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入，目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月，这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利，只要同时没有坏消息，这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3%&nbsp;to $599.36&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%，至 599.36 美元，本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价（股票代码：TSLA）今年迄今已下跌约 15%，较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看，特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商：通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst&nbsp;Adam Jonas&nbsp;in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a&nbsp;highly concentrated&nbsp;time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）分析师亚当-乔纳斯（Adam Jonas）在周一晚间的一份报告中写道：”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始，作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元，比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道：”即使是看涨者也应该承认，2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的，但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振，特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说：”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说，他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后，他预测从现在到本十年中期，特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计，特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck，但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst&nbsp;Jonathan Dorsheimer&nbsp;is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂：住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统，以客户为中心的连接性，将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合，”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his&nbsp;price target&nbsp;to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观，但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级，但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外，他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元，这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst&nbsp;Mark Delaney&nbsp;was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看，高盛分析师马克-德莱尼（Mark Delaney）上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻，但他指出，售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入，目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月，这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利，只要同时没有坏消息，这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3%&nbsp;to $599.36&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%，至 599.36 美元，本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105892749","content_text":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.\nTesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.\nThat performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.\nTesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.\n“The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.\nJonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.\nCanaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.\nDorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.\nLooking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.\nDelaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.\nNew production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.\nTesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":169119419,"gmtCreate":1623821107731,"gmtModify":1634027561330,"author":{"id":"3582140048100486","authorId":"3582140048100486","name":"cuppa","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582140048100486","idStr":"3582140048100486"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169119419","repostId":"1105892749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105892749","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623809672,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105892749?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105892749","media":"Barrons","summary":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bu","content":"<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价（股票代码：TSLA）今年迄今已下跌约 15%，较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看，特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商：通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst&nbsp;Adam Jonas&nbsp;in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a&nbsp;highly concentrated&nbsp;time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）分析师亚当-乔纳斯（Adam Jonas）在周一晚间的一份报告中写道：”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始，作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元，比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道：”即使是看涨者也应该承认，2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的，但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振，特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说：”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说，他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后，他预测从现在到本十年中期，特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计，特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck，但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst&nbsp;Jonathan Dorsheimer&nbsp;is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂：住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统，以客户为中心的连接性，将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合，”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his&nbsp;price target&nbsp;to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观，但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级，但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外，他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元，这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst&nbsp;Mark Delaney&nbsp;was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看，高盛分析师马克-德莱尼（Mark Delaney）上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻，但他指出，售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入，目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月，这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利，只要同时没有坏消息，这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3%&nbsp;to $599.36&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%，至 599.36 美元，本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价（股票代码：TSLA）今年迄今已下跌约 15%，较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看，特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商：通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst&nbsp;Adam Jonas&nbsp;in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a&nbsp;highly concentrated&nbsp;time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）分析师亚当-乔纳斯（Adam Jonas）在周一晚间的一份报告中写道：”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始，作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元，比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道：”即使是看涨者也应该承认，2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的，但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振，特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说：”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说，他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后，他预测从现在到本十年中期，特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计，特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck，但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst&nbsp;Jonathan Dorsheimer&nbsp;is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂：住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统，以客户为中心的连接性，将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合，”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his&nbsp;price target&nbsp;to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观，但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级，但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外，他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元，这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst&nbsp;Mark Delaney&nbsp;was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看，高盛分析师马克-德莱尼（Mark Delaney）上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻，但他指出，售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入，目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月，这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利，只要同时没有坏消息，这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3%&nbsp;to $599.36&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%，至 599.36 美元，本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105892749","content_text":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.\nTesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.\nThat performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.\nTesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.\n“The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.\nJonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.\nCanaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.\nDorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.\nLooking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.\nDelaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.\nNew production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.\nTesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169116095,"gmtCreate":1623821275317,"gmtModify":1634027558059,"author":{"id":"3582140048100486","authorId":"3582140048100486","name":"cuppa","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582140048100486","idStr":"3582140048100486"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169116095","repostId":"1141264092","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141264092","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623811561,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141264092?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Fisker The Next Short Squeeze?<blockquote>菲斯克是下一个空头挤压吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141264092","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nFSR is up 72% since my bullish call just a month ago.\nWith that sort of move, caution is wa","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>FSR is up 72% since my bullish call just a month ago.</li>  <li>With that sort of move, caution is warranted on further gains.</li>  <li>New fundamental developments lay out the future path for Fisker.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cfc5757fb9bcd2dad4f529e916092c\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>jonathanfilskov-photography/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我一个月前的看涨看涨期权以来，FSR 上涨了 72%。</li><li>有了这样的举动，就有必要对进一步上涨保持谨慎。</li><li>新的基本发展为菲斯克规划了未来的道路。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>jonathanfilskov-摄影/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The electric vehicle space has been, let’s say, volatile over the past year or so. OG&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) continues to dwarf all other comers in terms of market cap, but there are numerous new competitors, many of which are so new, they don’t even have any revenue yet. One such example is the reincarnated&nbsp;<b>Fisker Inc.</b>(FSR), which is founder Henrik Fisker’s second go at making an electric automaker.</p><p><blockquote>可以说，在过去一年左右的时间里，电动汽车领域一直不稳定。和<b>特斯拉</b>(特斯拉）在市值方面继续让所有其他竞争对手相形见绌，但新的竞争对手不胜枚举，其中许多竞争对手还很新，甚至还没有任何收入。转世就是这样一个例子<b>菲斯克公司。</b>(FSR)，这是创始人亨里克-菲斯克（Henrik Fisker）第二次尝试创建电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> I wrote apieceon Fisker about a month ago when the share price was $10.69, saying it was a great time to buy. Shares are 72% higher than that today – a<i>massive</i>move in the space of four weeks – but such is the nature of the game in electric vehicles. Up 72%, the big question is, do you continue to hold? In this case, I think the answer is “no”, but with some caveats.</p><p><blockquote>大约一个月前，当股价为 10.69 美元时，我给 apieceon Fisker 写了一封信，说现在是买入的好时机。股价比今天上涨 72% – a<i>巨大的</i>在四周内移动——但这就是电动汽车的本质。上涨72%，最大的问题是，你会继续持有吗？在这种情况下，我认为答案是 “否”，但有一些注意事项。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b7e34a03823eba6302e3194baa808ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：股票图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> First, let’s take a look at the chart, which highlights just how volatile this thing really is. Prior support in the low-$14s was lost during the last downturn, and the stock eventually bottomed at $9.61. Since then, shares have<i>doubled</i>, and we’ve seen a complete reset in terms of sentiment for Fisker. One thing you must understand is that Fisker and other zero-revenue EV makers trade on momentum and sentiment rather than fundamentals, so you must be nimble.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们来看看图表，它突出了这个东西到底有多么不稳定。此前14美元低点的支撑位在上次低迷期间失去，该股最终触底9.61美元。此后，股票<i>双倍</i>我们看到菲斯克的情绪完全重置。你必须明白的一件事是，菲斯克和其他零收入电动汽车制造商的交易取决于势头和情绪，而不是基本面，所以你必须灵活。</blockquote></p><p> I would look for that low-$14 area to hold as support on the next pullback, but I’ll also note that it isn’t all that strong, having failed miserably last time there was a selloff. But if the stock is going to bounce, that will likely be the area it will happen.</p><p><blockquote>我会将 14 美元的低点区域作为下一次回调的支撑，但我也会注意到，该区域并不那么强劲，上次抛售时曾惨败。但如果股票要反弹，那很可能就是反弹的领域。</blockquote></p><p> I’ll also note the PPO is very overbought, and is very close to the same levels where prior rallies have lost steam and eventually rolled over. That means the odds of a further rally from here are greatly diminishing, as the bulls have made a Herculean push already, and there are signs the push is ending, at least temporarily.</p><p><blockquote>我还要指出，PPO 非常超买，非常接近之前反弹失去动力并最终翻盘的水平。这意味着从这里进一步反弹的可能性正在大大降低，因为多头已经做出了巨大的推动，而且有迹象表明推动正在结束，至少是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The 14-day RSI is showing similar behavior, as it is rolling over after reaching extreme overbought conditions. The point of all of this is that this stock has doubled in the space of a month, and the rally looks tired. I don’t see a reasonable path meaningfully higher here, but in the EV space, anything can happen. But the bottom line is that the rally looks tired to me, and I think the most prudent course of action is to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry.</p><p><blockquote>14 天 RSI 也表现出类似的行为，因为它在达到极端超买条件后正在翻转。这一切的要点是，这只股票在一个月的时间里翻了一番，而且涨势看起来很疲惫。我在这里看不到一条合理的更高路径，但在电动汽车领域，任何事情都可能发生。但底线是，反弹在我看来很疲惫，我认为最谨慎的做法是获利了结并等待更低的重新进入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New developments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新发展</b></blockquote></p><p> There have been some interesting developments since my last update on Fisker, and ones that have the potential to drive the share price over time.</p><p><blockquote>自从我上次更新 Fisker 以来，出现了一些有趣的进展，并且随着时间的推移，这些进展有可能推动股价。</blockquote></p><p> First up, short interest in Fisker is soaring, and after the numerous highly-shorted stocks we’ve seen go to the moon this year, that’s worth noting. Below is Fisker’s short interest for reference.</p><p><blockquote>首先，对 Fisker 的空头兴趣正在飙升，在今年我们看到的众多高度做空的股票纷纷下跌之后，这一点值得注意。以下是菲斯克的空头利息，供参考。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd732eb0644d9370ff55d207057d6485\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"364\"><span>Source: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Short interest has roughly quadrupled since February, and is rising all the time. The kinds of rallies that we’ve seen in Fisker can cause short squeezes because shorts on the wrong side of a parabolic rally can often panic buy to cover their shorts, leading to a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>自二月份以来，空头兴趣大约翻了两番，并且一直在上升。我们在菲斯克看到的那种反弹会导致空头挤压，因为抛物线反弹反面的空头往往会恐慌性买入来弥补空头，从而导致空头挤压。</blockquote></p><p> Fisker’s current rally lacks the volume of a short squeeze, so I firmly believe this rally is not a result of high short interest, but is instead buyers just buying the stock. If shorts throw in the towel, Fisker could squeeze a lot higher than it is today. To be clear, I’m not saying Fisker is the next short squeeze, but what I am saying is that 45M shares short is roughly seven days’ worth of normal volume, so it’s significant. I certainly also would not short Fisker at these levels for that reason.</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克目前的反弹缺乏空头挤压的成交量，因此我坚信这次反弹不是空头兴趣高的结果，而是买家刚刚买入股票的结果。如果空头认输，菲斯克的股价可能会比今天高得多。需要明确的是，我并不是说菲斯克是下一个做空对象，但我想说的是，4500 万股的做空量大约相当于七天的正常成交量，所以这意义重大。出于这个原因，我当然也不会在这些水平上做空菲斯克。</blockquote></p><p> In short, I do not believe Fisker is the next short squeeze candidate because squeezes usually occur when a stock is at or near a top, and thus most or all short sellers are underwater. Fisker isn't anywhere close to its former high, and given how tired the rally looks today, I see the odds of that occurring as low.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，我不认为菲斯克是下一个空头挤压候选人，因为挤压通常发生在股票处于或接近顶部时，因此大多数或所有卖空者都处于水下。菲斯克距离之前的高点还很远，考虑到今天的反弹看起来多么疲惫，我认为这种情况发生的可能性很低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> From a fundamental perspective, Fisker continues to make progress towards making production a reality of its Ocean SUV, as evidenced in itsQ1 report. The company ended the quarter with $985 million in cash, which is good enough for about 10 quarters at the current run rate; in Q1, the company spent $29 million on operating activities, and $66 million in capex. The company also said the majority of the Ocean has been sourced, which is improving cost visibility as prior questions have become answers.</p><p><blockquote>从基本面角度来看，菲斯克在实现其海洋SUV的生产方面继续取得进展，正如其第一季度报告所证明的那样。该公司本季度末拥有 9.85 亿美元现金，按照目前的运行速度，这足够维持大约 10 个季度；第一季度，该公司在运营活动上花费了 2900 万美元，在资本支出上花费了 6600 万美元。该公司还表示，大部分海洋都是采购的，这提高了成本的可见性，因为之前的问题已经成为答案。</blockquote></p><p> I don’t think Fisker has unlimited runway in terms of cash, but it should have enough to get to production of the Ocean, which is still slated for late this year, or early next year. That’s very important because Fisker needs the cash to start rolling in fairly soon, or further capital raises will be necessary.</p><p><blockquote>我不认为菲斯克在现金方面有无限的发展空间，但它应该有足够的资金来制作《海洋》，该片仍定于今年年底或明年初上映。这一点非常重要，因为菲斯克需要现金尽快开始滚动，否则就需要进一步融资。</blockquote></p><p> Fisker says it has 16k reservations for Oceans at this point, but as we know, reservations for new vehicles are very low cost for the consumer, and don’t represent an obligation to buy. Given this, I take them with a grain of salt. But on the plus side, Fisker has done essentially no advertising, and I’d be willing to bet the vast majority of Americans have no idea what Fisker is. That indicates that there may be some legs to the Ocean, but we’ll have to wait and see.</p><p><blockquote>Fisker 表示，目前该公司已为 Oceans 预订了 1.6 万辆，但据我们所知，预订新车对消费者来说成本非常低，并不构成购买的义务。有鉴于此，我对它们持保留态度。但从好的方面来看，菲斯克基本上没有做过广告，我敢打赌，绝大多数美国人根本不知道菲斯克是什么。这表明可能会有一些通往海洋的腿，但我们还得拭目以待。</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps most importantly, Fisker has an ambitious plan to produce a sub-$30k EV, currently calledProject PEAR. The company has signed Foxconn to make the vehicle, which won’t be available for another two years or so. But it represents another step towards Fisker becoming more mainstream, and if the company can execute, it could grab big chunks of market share. I’ll caveat that producing sub-$30k EVs is no small task because the batteries are very expensive. This is why others have struggled to do the same thing, and I have no reason to think Fisker won’t struggle as well. However, if the Ocean is a success, and provides the cash to develop PEAR, Fisker could be off to the races. PEAR is just an idea at this point, so don’t get too excited, but Fisker certainly has grand plans.</p><p><blockquote>也许最重要的是，菲斯克有一个雄心勃勃的计划来生产一款售价低于 3 万美元的电动汽车，目前称为 Project PEAR。该公司已与富士康签约生产这款车，但这款车还要两年左右才能上市。但这代表着菲斯克走向更加主流的又一步，如果该公司能够执行，它可能会抢占大块市场份额。我要提醒的是，生产低于 3 万美元的电动汽车并非易事，因为电池非常昂贵。这就是为什么其他人都在努力做同样的事情，我没有理由认为菲斯克不会也在努力。然而，如果海洋是成功的，并提供了开发梨的现金，菲斯克可能会去参加比赛。PEAR 目前只是一个想法，所以不要太兴奋，但 Fisker 肯定有宏伟的计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation remains mixed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值仍然好坏参半</b></blockquote></p><p> The tricky thing about valuing startups is that the targets – whether it is revenue or earnings – move all the time. In Fisker’s case, it is apparent that some targets were probably a bit optimistic, especially for revenue.</p><p><blockquote>对初创公司进行估值的棘手之处在于，目标——无论是收入还是盈利——一直在变化。就菲斯克而言，很明显，有些目标可能有点乐观，尤其是在收入方面。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52fe37a0a60e26d5c3aba548bd4b0b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"166\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Estimates for the out years have come up slightly in the past month – likely due to analysts building PEAR into projections – but in the past six months, estimates are off by a third in some cases. You have to remember if you buy this stock that Fisker isn’t slated to receive<i>any</i>revenue until next year, and even then, progress will start slowly. But if Fisker does achieve $8+ billion in revenue by 2025, buying the stock today will have proven a prescient move. There are just so many steps between now and then that the ride will be extremely volatile to say the least.</p><p><blockquote>过去一个月，对未来几年的预测略有上升——可能是由于分析师将 PEAR 纳入预测——但在过去六个月中，在某些情况下，预测偏离了三分之一。你必须记住，如果你购买了菲斯克不打算收到的这只股票<i>任何</i>收入要到明年，即便如此，进展也会开始缓慢。但如果菲斯克到 2025 年确实实现 80 多亿美元的收入，那么今天购买该股票将被证明是一个有先见之明的举动。从现在到那时有太多的步骤，至少可以说，旅程将非常不稳定。</blockquote></p><p> That is illustrated nicely by EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>每股收益估计很好地说明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/730bfe2971ecbf2c150c244c474bd7c7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> EPS is almost certainly going to be negative for at least this year and next year, but if production ramps the way it should for Ocean, Fisker has an outside chance at hitting breakeven in 2023. If scale is achieved, we could see very strong EPS, with 2025 current at $3.72 per share, and 2026 at $4.95. If Ocean succeeds, and Fisker can produce PEAR in sufficient numbers, these estimates could become reality. But you can see the consternation among market participants in that a stock with $5 in EPS five years from now is trading for $18,<i>after</i>doubling in a month. In other words, the share price is pricing in the fact that these estimates are simply guesses at this point. Said another way, if there was some certainty around $5 in EPS in 2026, it would be reasonable to see a multiple of 10 or 12 on that number, or a share price of $50 to $60. We're at a small fraction of that, which is pricing in the massive uncertainty of the company achieving these results.</p><p><blockquote>几乎可以肯定，至少今年和明年的每股收益将为负，但如果 Ocean 的产量像应有的那样增加，Fisker 就有机会在 2023 年实现盈亏平衡。如果实现规模，我们可能会看到非常强劲的每股收益，2025 年目前为每股 3.72 美元，2026 年为每股 4.95 美元。如果 Ocean 取得成功，并且 Fisker 能够生产足够数量的梨，这些估计可能会成为现实。但你可以看到市场参与者的恐慌，因为五年后每股收益为 5 美元的股票现在交易价格为 18 美元，<i>之后</i>一个月翻倍。换句话说，股价正在定价，因为这些估计在这一点上只是猜测。换句话说，如果 2026 年每股收益在 5 美元左右有一定的确定性，那么该数字的倍数是 10 或 12，或者股价在 50 至 60 美元之间是合理的。我们只占其中的一小部分，这是对公司实现这些结果的巨大不确定性进行定价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> The bottom line on Fisker is that the company is so far from making any sort of meaningful revenue – and even further from profits – that it is mostly a momentum trade as a result. The stock has doubled in the past month, and I see cracks in the rally’s strength, so I think it is once again time to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry price.</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克的底线是，该公司远未产生任何有意义的收入，甚至更未产生利润，因此它主要是一种动量交易。该股在过去一个月里翻了一番，我看到了反弹的强度出现了裂缝，因此我认为又到了获利了结并等待更低的重新入场价格的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> I think Fisker has the potential to be a winner in the long-term, but the path to get there is fraught with obstacles. I once again see potential and current price fairly balanced, and for that reason, I’m back to neutral on Fisker.</p><p><blockquote>我认为菲斯克有潜力成为长期赢家，但实现这一目标的道路充满了障碍。我再次看到潜在价格和当前价格相当平衡，因此，我对菲斯克的看法又回到了中性。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Fisker The Next Short Squeeze?<blockquote>菲斯克是下一个空头挤压吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Fisker The Next Short Squeeze?<blockquote>菲斯克是下一个空头挤压吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>FSR is up 72% since my bullish call just a month ago.</li>  <li>With that sort of move, caution is warranted on further gains.</li>  <li>New fundamental developments lay out the future path for Fisker.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cfc5757fb9bcd2dad4f529e916092c\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>jonathanfilskov-photography/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我一个月前的看涨看涨期权以来，FSR 上涨了 72%。</li><li>有了这样的举动，就有必要对进一步上涨保持谨慎。</li><li>新的基本发展为菲斯克规划了未来的道路。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>jonathanfilskov-摄影/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The electric vehicle space has been, let’s say, volatile over the past year or so. OG&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) continues to dwarf all other comers in terms of market cap, but there are numerous new competitors, many of which are so new, they don’t even have any revenue yet. One such example is the reincarnated&nbsp;<b>Fisker Inc.</b>(FSR), which is founder Henrik Fisker’s second go at making an electric automaker.</p><p><blockquote>可以说，在过去一年左右的时间里，电动汽车领域一直不稳定。和<b>特斯拉</b>(特斯拉）在市值方面继续让所有其他竞争对手相形见绌，但新的竞争对手不胜枚举，其中许多竞争对手还很新，甚至还没有任何收入。转世就是这样一个例子<b>菲斯克公司。</b>(FSR)，这是创始人亨里克-菲斯克（Henrik Fisker）第二次尝试创建电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> I wrote apieceon Fisker about a month ago when the share price was $10.69, saying it was a great time to buy. Shares are 72% higher than that today – a<i>massive</i>move in the space of four weeks – but such is the nature of the game in electric vehicles. Up 72%, the big question is, do you continue to hold? In this case, I think the answer is “no”, but with some caveats.</p><p><blockquote>大约一个月前，当股价为 10.69 美元时，我给 apieceon Fisker 写了一封信，说现在是买入的好时机。股价比今天上涨 72% – a<i>巨大的</i>在四周内移动——但这就是电动汽车的本质。上涨72%，最大的问题是，你会继续持有吗？在这种情况下，我认为答案是 “否”，但有一些注意事项。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b7e34a03823eba6302e3194baa808ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：股票图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> First, let’s take a look at the chart, which highlights just how volatile this thing really is. Prior support in the low-$14s was lost during the last downturn, and the stock eventually bottomed at $9.61. Since then, shares have<i>doubled</i>, and we’ve seen a complete reset in terms of sentiment for Fisker. One thing you must understand is that Fisker and other zero-revenue EV makers trade on momentum and sentiment rather than fundamentals, so you must be nimble.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们来看看图表，它突出了这个东西到底有多么不稳定。此前14美元低点的支撑位在上次低迷期间失去，该股最终触底9.61美元。此后，股票<i>双倍</i>我们看到菲斯克的情绪完全重置。你必须明白的一件事是，菲斯克和其他零收入电动汽车制造商的交易取决于势头和情绪，而不是基本面，所以你必须灵活。</blockquote></p><p> I would look for that low-$14 area to hold as support on the next pullback, but I’ll also note that it isn’t all that strong, having failed miserably last time there was a selloff. But if the stock is going to bounce, that will likely be the area it will happen.</p><p><blockquote>我会将 14 美元的低点区域作为下一次回调的支撑，但我也会注意到，该区域并不那么强劲，上次抛售时曾惨败。但如果股票要反弹，那很可能就是反弹的领域。</blockquote></p><p> I’ll also note the PPO is very overbought, and is very close to the same levels where prior rallies have lost steam and eventually rolled over. That means the odds of a further rally from here are greatly diminishing, as the bulls have made a Herculean push already, and there are signs the push is ending, at least temporarily.</p><p><blockquote>我还要指出，PPO 非常超买，非常接近之前反弹失去动力并最终翻盘的水平。这意味着从这里进一步反弹的可能性正在大大降低，因为多头已经做出了巨大的推动，而且有迹象表明推动正在结束，至少是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The 14-day RSI is showing similar behavior, as it is rolling over after reaching extreme overbought conditions. The point of all of this is that this stock has doubled in the space of a month, and the rally looks tired. I don’t see a reasonable path meaningfully higher here, but in the EV space, anything can happen. But the bottom line is that the rally looks tired to me, and I think the most prudent course of action is to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry.</p><p><blockquote>14 天 RSI 也表现出类似的行为，因为它在达到极端超买条件后正在翻转。这一切的要点是，这只股票在一个月的时间里翻了一番，而且涨势看起来很疲惫。我在这里看不到一条合理的更高路径，但在电动汽车领域，任何事情都可能发生。但底线是，反弹在我看来很疲惫，我认为最谨慎的做法是获利了结并等待更低的重新进入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New developments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新发展</b></blockquote></p><p> There have been some interesting developments since my last update on Fisker, and ones that have the potential to drive the share price over time.</p><p><blockquote>自从我上次更新 Fisker 以来，出现了一些有趣的进展，并且随着时间的推移，这些进展有可能推动股价。</blockquote></p><p> First up, short interest in Fisker is soaring, and after the numerous highly-shorted stocks we’ve seen go to the moon this year, that’s worth noting. Below is Fisker’s short interest for reference.</p><p><blockquote>首先，对 Fisker 的空头兴趣正在飙升，在今年我们看到的众多高度做空的股票纷纷下跌之后，这一点值得注意。以下是菲斯克的空头利息，供参考。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd732eb0644d9370ff55d207057d6485\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"364\"><span>Source: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Short interest has roughly quadrupled since February, and is rising all the time. The kinds of rallies that we’ve seen in Fisker can cause short squeezes because shorts on the wrong side of a parabolic rally can often panic buy to cover their shorts, leading to a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>自二月份以来，空头兴趣大约翻了两番，并且一直在上升。我们在菲斯克看到的那种反弹会导致空头挤压，因为抛物线反弹反面的空头往往会恐慌性买入来弥补空头，从而导致空头挤压。</blockquote></p><p> Fisker’s current rally lacks the volume of a short squeeze, so I firmly believe this rally is not a result of high short interest, but is instead buyers just buying the stock. If shorts throw in the towel, Fisker could squeeze a lot higher than it is today. To be clear, I’m not saying Fisker is the next short squeeze, but what I am saying is that 45M shares short is roughly seven days’ worth of normal volume, so it’s significant. I certainly also would not short Fisker at these levels for that reason.</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克目前的反弹缺乏空头挤压的成交量，因此我坚信这次反弹不是空头兴趣高的结果，而是买家刚刚买入股票的结果。如果空头认输，菲斯克的股价可能会比今天高得多。需要明确的是，我并不是说菲斯克是下一个做空对象，但我想说的是，4500 万股的做空量大约相当于七天的正常成交量，所以这意义重大。出于这个原因，我当然也不会在这些水平上做空菲斯克。</blockquote></p><p> In short, I do not believe Fisker is the next short squeeze candidate because squeezes usually occur when a stock is at or near a top, and thus most or all short sellers are underwater. Fisker isn't anywhere close to its former high, and given how tired the rally looks today, I see the odds of that occurring as low.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，我不认为菲斯克是下一个空头挤压候选人，因为挤压通常发生在股票处于或接近顶部时，因此大多数或所有卖空者都处于水下。菲斯克距离之前的高点还很远，考虑到今天的反弹看起来多么疲惫，我认为这种情况发生的可能性很低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> From a fundamental perspective, Fisker continues to make progress towards making production a reality of its Ocean SUV, as evidenced in itsQ1 report. The company ended the quarter with $985 million in cash, which is good enough for about 10 quarters at the current run rate; in Q1, the company spent $29 million on operating activities, and $66 million in capex. The company also said the majority of the Ocean has been sourced, which is improving cost visibility as prior questions have become answers.</p><p><blockquote>从基本面角度来看，菲斯克在实现其海洋SUV的生产方面继续取得进展，正如其第一季度报告所证明的那样。该公司本季度末拥有 9.85 亿美元现金，按照目前的运行速度，这足够维持大约 10 个季度；第一季度，该公司在运营活动上花费了 2900 万美元，在资本支出上花费了 6600 万美元。该公司还表示，大部分海洋都是采购的，这提高了成本的可见性，因为之前的问题已经成为答案。</blockquote></p><p> I don’t think Fisker has unlimited runway in terms of cash, but it should have enough to get to production of the Ocean, which is still slated for late this year, or early next year. That’s very important because Fisker needs the cash to start rolling in fairly soon, or further capital raises will be necessary.</p><p><blockquote>我不认为菲斯克在现金方面有无限的发展空间，但它应该有足够的资金来制作《海洋》，该片仍定于今年年底或明年初上映。这一点非常重要，因为菲斯克需要现金尽快开始滚动，否则就需要进一步融资。</blockquote></p><p> Fisker says it has 16k reservations for Oceans at this point, but as we know, reservations for new vehicles are very low cost for the consumer, and don’t represent an obligation to buy. Given this, I take them with a grain of salt. But on the plus side, Fisker has done essentially no advertising, and I’d be willing to bet the vast majority of Americans have no idea what Fisker is. That indicates that there may be some legs to the Ocean, but we’ll have to wait and see.</p><p><blockquote>Fisker 表示，目前该公司已为 Oceans 预订了 1.6 万辆，但据我们所知，预订新车对消费者来说成本非常低，并不构成购买的义务。有鉴于此，我对它们持保留态度。但从好的方面来看，菲斯克基本上没有做过广告，我敢打赌，绝大多数美国人根本不知道菲斯克是什么。这表明可能会有一些通往海洋的腿，但我们还得拭目以待。</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps most importantly, Fisker has an ambitious plan to produce a sub-$30k EV, currently calledProject PEAR. The company has signed Foxconn to make the vehicle, which won’t be available for another two years or so. But it represents another step towards Fisker becoming more mainstream, and if the company can execute, it could grab big chunks of market share. I’ll caveat that producing sub-$30k EVs is no small task because the batteries are very expensive. This is why others have struggled to do the same thing, and I have no reason to think Fisker won’t struggle as well. However, if the Ocean is a success, and provides the cash to develop PEAR, Fisker could be off to the races. PEAR is just an idea at this point, so don’t get too excited, but Fisker certainly has grand plans.</p><p><blockquote>也许最重要的是，菲斯克有一个雄心勃勃的计划来生产一款售价低于 3 万美元的电动汽车，目前称为 Project PEAR。该公司已与富士康签约生产这款车，但这款车还要两年左右才能上市。但这代表着菲斯克走向更加主流的又一步，如果该公司能够执行，它可能会抢占大块市场份额。我要提醒的是，生产低于 3 万美元的电动汽车并非易事，因为电池非常昂贵。这就是为什么其他人都在努力做同样的事情，我没有理由认为菲斯克不会也在努力。然而，如果海洋是成功的，并提供了开发梨的现金，菲斯克可能会去参加比赛。PEAR 目前只是一个想法，所以不要太兴奋，但 Fisker 肯定有宏伟的计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation remains mixed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值仍然好坏参半</b></blockquote></p><p> The tricky thing about valuing startups is that the targets – whether it is revenue or earnings – move all the time. In Fisker’s case, it is apparent that some targets were probably a bit optimistic, especially for revenue.</p><p><blockquote>对初创公司进行估值的棘手之处在于，目标——无论是收入还是盈利——一直在变化。就菲斯克而言，很明显，有些目标可能有点乐观，尤其是在收入方面。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52fe37a0a60e26d5c3aba548bd4b0b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"166\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Estimates for the out years have come up slightly in the past month – likely due to analysts building PEAR into projections – but in the past six months, estimates are off by a third in some cases. You have to remember if you buy this stock that Fisker isn’t slated to receive<i>any</i>revenue until next year, and even then, progress will start slowly. But if Fisker does achieve $8+ billion in revenue by 2025, buying the stock today will have proven a prescient move. There are just so many steps between now and then that the ride will be extremely volatile to say the least.</p><p><blockquote>过去一个月，对未来几年的预测略有上升——可能是由于分析师将 PEAR 纳入预测——但在过去六个月中，在某些情况下，预测偏离了三分之一。你必须记住，如果你购买了菲斯克不打算收到的这只股票<i>任何</i>收入要到明年，即便如此，进展也会开始缓慢。但如果菲斯克到 2025 年确实实现 80 多亿美元的收入，那么今天购买该股票将被证明是一个有先见之明的举动。从现在到那时有太多的步骤，至少可以说，旅程将非常不稳定。</blockquote></p><p> That is illustrated nicely by EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>每股收益估计很好地说明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/730bfe2971ecbf2c150c244c474bd7c7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> EPS is almost certainly going to be negative for at least this year and next year, but if production ramps the way it should for Ocean, Fisker has an outside chance at hitting breakeven in 2023. If scale is achieved, we could see very strong EPS, with 2025 current at $3.72 per share, and 2026 at $4.95. If Ocean succeeds, and Fisker can produce PEAR in sufficient numbers, these estimates could become reality. But you can see the consternation among market participants in that a stock with $5 in EPS five years from now is trading for $18,<i>after</i>doubling in a month. In other words, the share price is pricing in the fact that these estimates are simply guesses at this point. Said another way, if there was some certainty around $5 in EPS in 2026, it would be reasonable to see a multiple of 10 or 12 on that number, or a share price of $50 to $60. We're at a small fraction of that, which is pricing in the massive uncertainty of the company achieving these results.</p><p><blockquote>几乎可以肯定，至少今年和明年的每股收益将为负，但如果 Ocean 的产量像应有的那样增加，Fisker 就有机会在 2023 年实现盈亏平衡。如果实现规模，我们可能会看到非常强劲的每股收益，2025 年目前为每股 3.72 美元，2026 年为每股 4.95 美元。如果 Ocean 取得成功，并且 Fisker 能够生产足够数量的梨，这些估计可能会成为现实。但你可以看到市场参与者的恐慌，因为五年后每股收益为 5 美元的股票现在交易价格为 18 美元，<i>之后</i>一个月翻倍。换句话说，股价正在定价，因为这些估计在这一点上只是猜测。换句话说，如果 2026 年每股收益在 5 美元左右有一定的确定性，那么该数字的倍数是 10 或 12，或者股价在 50 至 60 美元之间是合理的。我们只占其中的一小部分，这是对公司实现这些结果的巨大不确定性进行定价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> The bottom line on Fisker is that the company is so far from making any sort of meaningful revenue – and even further from profits – that it is mostly a momentum trade as a result. The stock has doubled in the past month, and I see cracks in the rally’s strength, so I think it is once again time to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry price.</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克的底线是，该公司远未产生任何有意义的收入，甚至更未产生利润，因此它主要是一种动量交易。该股在过去一个月里翻了一番，我看到了反弹的强度出现了裂缝，因此我认为又到了获利了结并等待更低的重新入场价格的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> I think Fisker has the potential to be a winner in the long-term, but the path to get there is fraught with obstacles. I once again see potential and current price fairly balanced, and for that reason, I’m back to neutral on Fisker.</p><p><blockquote>我认为菲斯克有潜力成为长期赢家，但实现这一目标的道路充满了障碍。我再次看到潜在价格和当前价格相当平衡，因此，我对菲斯克的看法又回到了中性。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434973-is-fisker-the-next-short-squeeze\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FSR":"菲斯克"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434973-is-fisker-the-next-short-squeeze","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141264092","content_text":"Summary\n\nFSR is up 72% since my bullish call just a month ago.\nWith that sort of move, caution is warranted on further gains.\nNew fundamental developments lay out the future path for Fisker.\n\njonathanfilskov-photography/iStock via Getty Images\nThe electric vehicle space has been, let’s say, volatile over the past year or so. OG Tesla(TSLA) continues to dwarf all other comers in terms of market cap, but there are numerous new competitors, many of which are so new, they don’t even have any revenue yet. One such example is the reincarnated Fisker Inc.(FSR), which is founder Henrik Fisker’s second go at making an electric automaker.\nI wrote apieceon Fisker about a month ago when the share price was $10.69, saying it was a great time to buy. Shares are 72% higher than that today – amassivemove in the space of four weeks – but such is the nature of the game in electric vehicles. Up 72%, the big question is, do you continue to hold? In this case, I think the answer is “no”, but with some caveats.\nSource: StockCharts\nFirst, let’s take a look at the chart, which highlights just how volatile this thing really is. Prior support in the low-$14s was lost during the last downturn, and the stock eventually bottomed at $9.61. Since then, shares havedoubled, and we’ve seen a complete reset in terms of sentiment for Fisker. One thing you must understand is that Fisker and other zero-revenue EV makers trade on momentum and sentiment rather than fundamentals, so you must be nimble.\nI would look for that low-$14 area to hold as support on the next pullback, but I’ll also note that it isn’t all that strong, having failed miserably last time there was a selloff. But if the stock is going to bounce, that will likely be the area it will happen.\nI’ll also note the PPO is very overbought, and is very close to the same levels where prior rallies have lost steam and eventually rolled over. That means the odds of a further rally from here are greatly diminishing, as the bulls have made a Herculean push already, and there are signs the push is ending, at least temporarily.\nThe 14-day RSI is showing similar behavior, as it is rolling over after reaching extreme overbought conditions. The point of all of this is that this stock has doubled in the space of a month, and the rally looks tired. I don’t see a reasonable path meaningfully higher here, but in the EV space, anything can happen. But the bottom line is that the rally looks tired to me, and I think the most prudent course of action is to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry.\nNew developments\nThere have been some interesting developments since my last update on Fisker, and ones that have the potential to drive the share price over time.\nFirst up, short interest in Fisker is soaring, and after the numerous highly-shorted stocks we’ve seen go to the moon this year, that’s worth noting. Below is Fisker’s short interest for reference.\nSource: YCharts\nShort interest has roughly quadrupled since February, and is rising all the time. The kinds of rallies that we’ve seen in Fisker can cause short squeezes because shorts on the wrong side of a parabolic rally can often panic buy to cover their shorts, leading to a short squeeze.\nFisker’s current rally lacks the volume of a short squeeze, so I firmly believe this rally is not a result of high short interest, but is instead buyers just buying the stock. If shorts throw in the towel, Fisker could squeeze a lot higher than it is today. To be clear, I’m not saying Fisker is the next short squeeze, but what I am saying is that 45M shares short is roughly seven days’ worth of normal volume, so it’s significant. I certainly also would not short Fisker at these levels for that reason.\nIn short, I do not believe Fisker is the next short squeeze candidate because squeezes usually occur when a stock is at or near a top, and thus most or all short sellers are underwater. Fisker isn't anywhere close to its former high, and given how tired the rally looks today, I see the odds of that occurring as low.\nFrom a fundamental perspective, Fisker continues to make progress towards making production a reality of its Ocean SUV, as evidenced in itsQ1 report. The company ended the quarter with $985 million in cash, which is good enough for about 10 quarters at the current run rate; in Q1, the company spent $29 million on operating activities, and $66 million in capex. The company also said the majority of the Ocean has been sourced, which is improving cost visibility as prior questions have become answers.\nI don’t think Fisker has unlimited runway in terms of cash, but it should have enough to get to production of the Ocean, which is still slated for late this year, or early next year. That’s very important because Fisker needs the cash to start rolling in fairly soon, or further capital raises will be necessary.\nFisker says it has 16k reservations for Oceans at this point, but as we know, reservations for new vehicles are very low cost for the consumer, and don’t represent an obligation to buy. Given this, I take them with a grain of salt. But on the plus side, Fisker has done essentially no advertising, and I’d be willing to bet the vast majority of Americans have no idea what Fisker is. That indicates that there may be some legs to the Ocean, but we’ll have to wait and see.\nPerhaps most importantly, Fisker has an ambitious plan to produce a sub-$30k EV, currently calledProject PEAR. The company has signed Foxconn to make the vehicle, which won’t be available for another two years or so. But it represents another step towards Fisker becoming more mainstream, and if the company can execute, it could grab big chunks of market share. I’ll caveat that producing sub-$30k EVs is no small task because the batteries are very expensive. This is why others have struggled to do the same thing, and I have no reason to think Fisker won’t struggle as well. However, if the Ocean is a success, and provides the cash to develop PEAR, Fisker could be off to the races. PEAR is just an idea at this point, so don’t get too excited, but Fisker certainly has grand plans.\nValuation remains mixed\nThe tricky thing about valuing startups is that the targets – whether it is revenue or earnings – move all the time. In Fisker’s case, it is apparent that some targets were probably a bit optimistic, especially for revenue.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nEstimates for the out years have come up slightly in the past month – likely due to analysts building PEAR into projections – but in the past six months, estimates are off by a third in some cases. You have to remember if you buy this stock that Fisker isn’t slated to receiveanyrevenue until next year, and even then, progress will start slowly. But if Fisker does achieve $8+ billion in revenue by 2025, buying the stock today will have proven a prescient move. There are just so many steps between now and then that the ride will be extremely volatile to say the least.\nThat is illustrated nicely by EPS estimates.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nEPS is almost certainly going to be negative for at least this year and next year, but if production ramps the way it should for Ocean, Fisker has an outside chance at hitting breakeven in 2023. If scale is achieved, we could see very strong EPS, with 2025 current at $3.72 per share, and 2026 at $4.95. If Ocean succeeds, and Fisker can produce PEAR in sufficient numbers, these estimates could become reality. But you can see the consternation among market participants in that a stock with $5 in EPS five years from now is trading for $18,afterdoubling in a month. In other words, the share price is pricing in the fact that these estimates are simply guesses at this point. Said another way, if there was some certainty around $5 in EPS in 2026, it would be reasonable to see a multiple of 10 or 12 on that number, or a share price of $50 to $60. We're at a small fraction of that, which is pricing in the massive uncertainty of the company achieving these results.\nFinal thoughts\nThe bottom line on Fisker is that the company is so far from making any sort of meaningful revenue – and even further from profits – that it is mostly a momentum trade as a result. The stock has doubled in the past month, and I see cracks in the rally’s strength, so I think it is once again time to take profits and wait for a lower re-entry price.\nI think Fisker has the potential to be a winner in the long-term, but the path to get there is fraught with obstacles. I once again see potential and current price fairly balanced, and for that reason, I’m back to neutral on Fisker.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FSR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169112047,"gmtCreate":1623821307389,"gmtModify":1634027557245,"author":{"id":"3582140048100486","authorId":"3582140048100486","name":"cuppa","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582140048100486","idStr":"3582140048100486"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"High cost of living&nbsp;","listText":"High cost of living&nbsp;","text":"High cost of living","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169112047","repostId":"1191543581","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169111568,"gmtCreate":1623821215754,"gmtModify":1634027559469,"author":{"id":"3582140048100486","authorId":"3582140048100486","name":"cuppa","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582140048100486","idStr":"3582140048100486"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169111568","repostId":"1137428482","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137428482","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623815725,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137428482?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Reasons Netflix Will Win Its Merchandising Gambit<blockquote>Netflix 将赢得营销策略的 2 个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137428482","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The leading premium streaming video service has an online store. It's bigger than you think.","content":"<p>It's easy to be skeptical about last week's launch of&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>'s(NASDAQ:NFLX)&nbsp;online merch store. The new platform -- available via&nbsp;Netflix.shop-- is limited to selling T-shirts and hoodies themed to its<i>Yasuke</i>and<i>Eden</i>anime. It's just designer streetwear right now, and it's not cheap. T-shirts range in price from $30 to $45. Hypland's Yasuke hoodie is going to set you back a beefy $82, or nearly half a year of a Netflix subscription.</p><p><blockquote>人们很容易对上周推出的<b>网飞</b>s（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）在线商品商店。这个新平台（可通过 Netflix.shop 购买）仅限于销售以其为主题的 T 恤和连帽衫<i>康介</i>和<i>伊甸园</i>动漫。现在只是名牌街头服饰，而且不便宜。T恤的价格从30美元到45美元不等。Hypland的Yasuke连帽衫将花费你82美元，相当于近半年的网飞订阅费。</blockquote></p><p> However, you may want to think twice before you dismiss the leading premium video service's chances here. There are some good reasons to bet on Netflix's latest move. Let's check them out.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在你拒绝领先的优质视频服务的机会之前，你可能要三思。有一些充分的理由押注 Netflix 的最新举措。我们去看看。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/434a5606f0aa105dc2200617936db7bd\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Netflix is just getting started</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. Netflix 才刚刚起步</b></blockquote></p><p> This is obviously just the opening act of Netflix.shop. You can get third-party -- admittedly unlicensed -- shirts for a lot less elsewhere. It will be harder to duplicate the<i>Yasuke</i>and<i>Eden</i>action figures that Netflix is promising will roll out later this month.</p><p><blockquote>这显然只是Netflix.shop的开场行为。你可以在其他地方以更低的价格买到第三方——公认是未经许可的——衬衫。复制<i>康介</i>和<i>伊甸园</i>网飞承诺的动作人物将于本月晚些时候推出。</blockquote></p><p> Limited-edition apparel and decor inspired by<i>Lupin</i>-- with the second season just dropping into your Netflix queue -- will hit the digital storefront this month. Last week's launch also teased upcoming exclusive<i>Stranger Things</i>and<i>The Witcher</i>product lines. Reports also have Netflix working on a<i>Bridgerton</i>clothing line alongside live events. And Fans of<i>La Casa de Papel</i>-- aka<i>Money Heist</i>-- should be on the lookout for proprietary merch.</p><p><blockquote>限量版服装和装饰灵感来自<i>鲁邦</i>-- 第二季刚刚进入您的 Netflix 队列 -- 将于本月登陆数字店面。上周的发布会还预告了即将推出的独家<i>奇怪的事情</i>和<i>巫师</i>产品线。据报道，Netflix 还在开发<i>布里奇顿</i>现场活动旁边的服装系列。和粉丝<i>纸屋</i>-- 又名<i>抢劫钱财</i>-- 应该留意专有商品。</blockquote></p><p> Don't judge Netflix's new foray into the e-tail of physical merch based on what you see on today's landing page. The store will get bigger, and you'll get there once they roll around to paddling a new revenue stream based on one of your favorite shows.</p><p><blockquote>不要根据你在今天的登录页面上看到的内容来判断网飞进军实体电子商务的新尝试。商店会变得更大，一旦他们开始根据你最喜欢的节目之一划出新的收入流，你就会到达那里。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Never underestimate the Netflix audience</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.永远不要低估Netflix的观众</b></blockquote></p><p> It's not smart to bet against Netflix. It doesn't make a move unless it has thoroughly thought things through. How many times were we asking Netflix to rent video games by mail during its red envelope days? How many analysts have wondered about the money that Netflix could rake in it if sold ads on top of its streams in this era of rising connected-TV rates?</p><p><blockquote>押注网飞是不明智的。除非它彻底考虑清楚，否则它不会采取行动。在网飞的红包时代，我们有多少次要求它通过邮件租赁电子游戏？有多少分析师想知道，在这个联网电视费率不断上涨的时代，如果 Netflix 在其流媒体上出售广告，可以从中赚到多少钱？</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is way smarter than me. It may also be smarter than you when it comes to how it runs its business. Bloomberg is reporting that Netflix is in the process of hiring heads of consumer products, podcasts, and video game businesses that don't currently exist. If they see the light of day -- as we're seeing with consumer product -- it's because the company knows what it's doing.</p><p><blockquote>网飞比我聪明多了。在如何经营业务方面，它也可能比你聪明。彭博社报道称，网飞正在招聘目前不存在的消费品、播客和视频游戏业务的负责人。如果他们看到了曙光——就像我们在消费品上看到的那样——那是因为公司知道自己在做什么。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix had&nbsp;207.6 million subscribersat the end of March, and we're talking about entire families here. The reach and breadth is larger than the account base. It's a captive audience spending hours a day getting lost in Netflix's growing digital catalog of content.</p><p><blockquote>截至 3 月底，Netflix 拥有 2.076 亿订户，我们这里谈论的是整个家庭。覆盖面和广度大于账户基础。这是一个被俘虏的观众，每天花几个小时迷失在网飞不断增长的数字内容目录中。</blockquote></p><p> Folks trust Netflix to get it right. They stick around, even if it means prices keep moving higher. Netflix has increased its monthly rates in the U.S.five times over the last seven years, and the sub count is always higher by the time the next hike rolls around.</p><p><blockquote>人们相信网飞会把事情做好。它们会留下来，即使这意味着价格不断上涨。过去七年里，Netflix 已五次提高美国的月费率，而且到下一次加息时，子费率总是更高。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is a&nbsp;media stock. It's not a surprise that traditional media behemoths are generating significant sums of incremental revenue through vibrant consumer product sales. Why wouldn't Netflix -- a company that's been collecting gobs of data on your viewing habits for years -- be as good at nailing what you'll want to buy next as it is at knowing what you want to view next? We may never see a theme park, though I would be the first in line through the turnstiles of Netflixlandia to ride the<i>Ozark</i>roller coaster or experience the<i>Stranger Things</i>dark ride. Selling unique merch to an engaged audience will be a lot easier, and unlike that<i>Ozark</i>coaster there are no height requirements or seat restraints to keep you from making the most of the consumer products ride.</p><p><blockquote>网飞是一只媒体股。传统媒体巨头通过充满活力的消费品销售产生大量增量收入，这并不奇怪。为什么网飞——一家多年来一直在收集大量关于你观看习惯的数据的公司——不能像知道你下一步想买什么一样擅长确定你下一步想买什么？我们可能永远不会看到主题公园，尽管我会是第一个通过 Netflixlandia 十字转门乘坐主题公园的人<i>欧扎克</i>过山车或体验<i>奇怪的事情</i>黑暗骑行。向参与的受众销售独特的商品会容易得多，不同之处在于<i>欧扎克</i>过山车没有高度要求或座椅限制，以阻止您充分利用消费品。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Reasons Netflix Will Win Its Merchandising Gambit<blockquote>Netflix 将赢得营销策略的 2 个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Reasons Netflix Will Win Its Merchandising Gambit<blockquote>Netflix 将赢得营销策略的 2 个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 11:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It's easy to be skeptical about last week's launch of&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>'s(NASDAQ:NFLX)&nbsp;online merch store. The new platform -- available via&nbsp;Netflix.shop-- is limited to selling T-shirts and hoodies themed to its<i>Yasuke</i>and<i>Eden</i>anime. It's just designer streetwear right now, and it's not cheap. T-shirts range in price from $30 to $45. Hypland's Yasuke hoodie is going to set you back a beefy $82, or nearly half a year of a Netflix subscription.</p><p><blockquote>人们很容易对上周推出的<b>网飞</b>s（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）在线商品商店。这个新平台（可通过 Netflix.shop 购买）仅限于销售以其为主题的 T 恤和连帽衫<i>康介</i>和<i>伊甸园</i>动漫。现在只是名牌街头服饰，而且不便宜。T恤的价格从30美元到45美元不等。Hypland的Yasuke连帽衫将花费你82美元，相当于近半年的网飞订阅费。</blockquote></p><p> However, you may want to think twice before you dismiss the leading premium video service's chances here. There are some good reasons to bet on Netflix's latest move. Let's check them out.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在你拒绝领先的优质视频服务的机会之前，你可能要三思。有一些充分的理由押注 Netflix 的最新举措。我们去看看。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/434a5606f0aa105dc2200617936db7bd\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Netflix is just getting started</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. Netflix 才刚刚起步</b></blockquote></p><p> This is obviously just the opening act of Netflix.shop. You can get third-party -- admittedly unlicensed -- shirts for a lot less elsewhere. It will be harder to duplicate the<i>Yasuke</i>and<i>Eden</i>action figures that Netflix is promising will roll out later this month.</p><p><blockquote>这显然只是Netflix.shop的开场行为。你可以在其他地方以更低的价格买到第三方——公认是未经许可的——衬衫。复制<i>康介</i>和<i>伊甸园</i>网飞承诺的动作人物将于本月晚些时候推出。</blockquote></p><p> Limited-edition apparel and decor inspired by<i>Lupin</i>-- with the second season just dropping into your Netflix queue -- will hit the digital storefront this month. Last week's launch also teased upcoming exclusive<i>Stranger Things</i>and<i>The Witcher</i>product lines. Reports also have Netflix working on a<i>Bridgerton</i>clothing line alongside live events. And Fans of<i>La Casa de Papel</i>-- aka<i>Money Heist</i>-- should be on the lookout for proprietary merch.</p><p><blockquote>限量版服装和装饰灵感来自<i>鲁邦</i>-- 第二季刚刚进入您的 Netflix 队列 -- 将于本月登陆数字店面。上周的发布会还预告了即将推出的独家<i>奇怪的事情</i>和<i>巫师</i>产品线。据报道，Netflix 还在开发<i>布里奇顿</i>现场活动旁边的服装系列。和粉丝<i>纸屋</i>-- 又名<i>抢劫钱财</i>-- 应该留意专有商品。</blockquote></p><p> Don't judge Netflix's new foray into the e-tail of physical merch based on what you see on today's landing page. The store will get bigger, and you'll get there once they roll around to paddling a new revenue stream based on one of your favorite shows.</p><p><blockquote>不要根据你在今天的登录页面上看到的内容来判断网飞进军实体电子商务的新尝试。商店会变得更大，一旦他们开始根据你最喜欢的节目之一划出新的收入流，你就会到达那里。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Never underestimate the Netflix audience</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.永远不要低估Netflix的观众</b></blockquote></p><p> It's not smart to bet against Netflix. It doesn't make a move unless it has thoroughly thought things through. How many times were we asking Netflix to rent video games by mail during its red envelope days? How many analysts have wondered about the money that Netflix could rake in it if sold ads on top of its streams in this era of rising connected-TV rates?</p><p><blockquote>押注网飞是不明智的。除非它彻底考虑清楚，否则它不会采取行动。在网飞的红包时代，我们有多少次要求它通过邮件租赁电子游戏？有多少分析师想知道，在这个联网电视费率不断上涨的时代，如果 Netflix 在其流媒体上出售广告，可以从中赚到多少钱？</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is way smarter than me. It may also be smarter than you when it comes to how it runs its business. Bloomberg is reporting that Netflix is in the process of hiring heads of consumer products, podcasts, and video game businesses that don't currently exist. If they see the light of day -- as we're seeing with consumer product -- it's because the company knows what it's doing.</p><p><blockquote>网飞比我聪明多了。在如何经营业务方面，它也可能比你聪明。彭博社报道称，网飞正在招聘目前不存在的消费品、播客和视频游戏业务的负责人。如果他们看到了曙光——就像我们在消费品上看到的那样——那是因为公司知道自己在做什么。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix had&nbsp;207.6 million subscribersat the end of March, and we're talking about entire families here. The reach and breadth is larger than the account base. It's a captive audience spending hours a day getting lost in Netflix's growing digital catalog of content.</p><p><blockquote>截至 3 月底，Netflix 拥有 2.076 亿订户，我们这里谈论的是整个家庭。覆盖面和广度大于账户基础。这是一个被俘虏的观众，每天花几个小时迷失在网飞不断增长的数字内容目录中。</blockquote></p><p> Folks trust Netflix to get it right. They stick around, even if it means prices keep moving higher. Netflix has increased its monthly rates in the U.S.five times over the last seven years, and the sub count is always higher by the time the next hike rolls around.</p><p><blockquote>人们相信网飞会把事情做好。它们会留下来，即使这意味着价格不断上涨。过去七年里，Netflix 已五次提高美国的月费率，而且到下一次加息时，子费率总是更高。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is a&nbsp;media stock. It's not a surprise that traditional media behemoths are generating significant sums of incremental revenue through vibrant consumer product sales. Why wouldn't Netflix -- a company that's been collecting gobs of data on your viewing habits for years -- be as good at nailing what you'll want to buy next as it is at knowing what you want to view next? We may never see a theme park, though I would be the first in line through the turnstiles of Netflixlandia to ride the<i>Ozark</i>roller coaster or experience the<i>Stranger Things</i>dark ride. Selling unique merch to an engaged audience will be a lot easier, and unlike that<i>Ozark</i>coaster there are no height requirements or seat restraints to keep you from making the most of the consumer products ride.</p><p><blockquote>网飞是一只媒体股。传统媒体巨头通过充满活力的消费品销售产生大量增量收入，这并不奇怪。为什么网飞——一家多年来一直在收集大量关于你观看习惯的数据的公司——不能像知道你下一步想买什么一样擅长确定你下一步想买什么？我们可能永远不会看到主题公园，尽管我会是第一个通过 Netflixlandia 十字转门乘坐主题公园的人<i>欧扎克</i>过山车或体验<i>奇怪的事情</i>黑暗骑行。向参与的受众销售独特的商品会容易得多，不同之处在于<i>欧扎克</i>过山车没有高度要求或座椅限制，以阻止您充分利用消费品。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/15/2-reasons-netflix-will-win-its-merchandising-gambi/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/15/2-reasons-netflix-will-win-its-merchandising-gambi/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137428482","content_text":"It's easy to be skeptical about last week's launch of Netflix's(NASDAQ:NFLX) online merch store. The new platform -- available via Netflix.shop-- is limited to selling T-shirts and hoodies themed to itsYasukeandEdenanime. It's just designer streetwear right now, and it's not cheap. T-shirts range in price from $30 to $45. Hypland's Yasuke hoodie is going to set you back a beefy $82, or nearly half a year of a Netflix subscription.\nHowever, you may want to think twice before you dismiss the leading premium video service's chances here. There are some good reasons to bet on Netflix's latest move. Let's check them out.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\n1. Netflix is just getting started\nThis is obviously just the opening act of Netflix.shop. You can get third-party -- admittedly unlicensed -- shirts for a lot less elsewhere. It will be harder to duplicate theYasukeandEdenaction figures that Netflix is promising will roll out later this month.\nLimited-edition apparel and decor inspired byLupin-- with the second season just dropping into your Netflix queue -- will hit the digital storefront this month. Last week's launch also teased upcoming exclusiveStranger ThingsandThe Witcherproduct lines. Reports also have Netflix working on aBridgertonclothing line alongside live events. And Fans ofLa Casa de Papel-- akaMoney Heist-- should be on the lookout for proprietary merch.\nDon't judge Netflix's new foray into the e-tail of physical merch based on what you see on today's landing page. The store will get bigger, and you'll get there once they roll around to paddling a new revenue stream based on one of your favorite shows.\n2. Never underestimate the Netflix audience\nIt's not smart to bet against Netflix. It doesn't make a move unless it has thoroughly thought things through. How many times were we asking Netflix to rent video games by mail during its red envelope days? How many analysts have wondered about the money that Netflix could rake in it if sold ads on top of its streams in this era of rising connected-TV rates?\nNetflix is way smarter than me. It may also be smarter than you when it comes to how it runs its business. Bloomberg is reporting that Netflix is in the process of hiring heads of consumer products, podcasts, and video game businesses that don't currently exist. If they see the light of day -- as we're seeing with consumer product -- it's because the company knows what it's doing.\nNetflix had 207.6 million subscribersat the end of March, and we're talking about entire families here. The reach and breadth is larger than the account base. It's a captive audience spending hours a day getting lost in Netflix's growing digital catalog of content.\nFolks trust Netflix to get it right. They stick around, even if it means prices keep moving higher. Netflix has increased its monthly rates in the U.S.five times over the last seven years, and the sub count is always higher by the time the next hike rolls around.\nNetflix is a media stock. It's not a surprise that traditional media behemoths are generating significant sums of incremental revenue through vibrant consumer product sales. Why wouldn't Netflix -- a company that's been collecting gobs of data on your viewing habits for years -- be as good at nailing what you'll want to buy next as it is at knowing what you want to view next? We may never see a theme park, though I would be the first in line through the turnstiles of Netflixlandia to ride theOzarkroller coaster or experience theStranger Thingsdark ride. Selling unique merch to an engaged audience will be a lot easier, and unlike thatOzarkcoaster there are no height requirements or seat restraints to keep you from making the most of the consumer products ride.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1918,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}