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2021-07-20

good

Markets Stabilize After Worst Fall for Stocks in Months<blockquote>股市数月来最严重下跌后市场企稳</blockquote>

2021-07-01

Good

The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500创下了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>

2021-06-30

Great

Crypto stocks strengthen with bitcoin<blockquote>加密货币股票因比特币而走强</blockquote>

2021-06-29

Buy

Boeing’s Newest Jet Is Delayed. Other Issues Are More Important.<blockquote>波音公司最新喷气式飞机延误。其他问题更重要。</blockquote>

2021-06-25

Follow

"It's A Bust": Elon Musk's Fixation With Tesla's Failed Solar Roof Rollout<blockquote>“这是一个破产”：埃隆·马斯克对特斯拉太阳能屋顶推出失败的痴迷</blockquote>

2021-06-23

Best buy

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2021-06-20

Latest new to follow

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2021-06-18

Latest news

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2021-06-01

potential

2021-05-31

Latest new

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2021-05-30

Good potential

2021-05-25

Cool

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2021-05-25

Cool

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2021-05-23

Cool

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2021-05-22

try it

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2021-05-16

good

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2021-05-07

Like and comment

Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>

2021-05-06

Good

Twilio Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates<blockquote>Twilio 超出第一季度盈利和收入预期</blockquote>

2021-05-02

Latest

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2021-05-01

[捂脸]

1 Question Tesla Investors Need to Ask Themselves<blockquote>特斯拉投资者需要问自己的一个问题</blockquote>

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U.S. stock futures pointed to a rebound Tuesday, after major indexes tumbled Monday on concerns over the spread of Covid-19 variants and potential setbacks to the economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯期货、石油和债券收益率上升，为市场注入了一些平静。美国股指期货周二出现反弹，此前主要股指周一因担心 Covid-19 变种的传播和经济复苏的潜在挫折而暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.7%, suggesting a reversal for the blue-chip index that fell more than 700 points Monday in itsworst session since October. S&amp;P 500 futures rose 0.5% and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.5%, pointing to a turnaround for both the broad-market index and technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与道琼斯工业平均指数挂钩的期货上涨 0.7%，表明该蓝筹股指数出现逆转，该指数周一下跌超过 700 点，创下 10 月份以来最糟糕的交易日。标普500期货上涨 0.5%，纳斯达克 100 指数期货上涨 0.5%，表明大盘指数和科技股都出现好转。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have grown concerned over the Delta coronavirus variant, prompting a reassessment of the economy’s prospects. Despite this, the three major stock indexes each closed only around 3% down from their all-time highs Monday, underscoring the strength of the rally that powered equity markets in the first half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对德尔塔新冠病毒变异毒株的担忧与日俱增，促使人们重新评估经济前景。尽管如此，三大股指周一收盘仅较历史高点下跌约3%，凸显了今年上半年推动股市上涨的力度。</blockquote></p><p> “When you get a selloff like we had yesterday, there are certainly going to be some investors who are going to see that as an opportunity to invest for the longer term,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multiasset strategist atUBSGlobal Wealth Management. “Especially where the 10-year [Treasury] yields have gone, that still points to the default position for investors as long equities, because there are simply very few other options.”</p><p><blockquote>“atUBSGlobal Wealth Management 的多资产策略师 Kiran Ganesh 说：”当出现像我们昨天那样的抛售时，肯定会有一些投资者将其视为长期投资的机会。“尤其是10年期[国债]收益率的走势，这仍然表明投资者作为长期股票的默认头寸，因为其他选择非常少。”</blockquote></p><p> In bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note edged up to 1.200%, after dropping to 1.181% Monday in thebiggest daily decline since March. Prices rise when yields fall. The WSJ Dollar Index hovered around its highest level since March, up another 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>债券市场方面，基准 10 年期美国国债收益率在周一跌至 1.181%，创下 3 月份以来最大单日跌幅后，小幅升至 1.200%。当收益率下降时，价格上涨。《华尔街日报》美元指数徘徊在3月份以来的最高水平附近，又上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices also ticked upafter tumbling Mondayon fears that Covid-19 could curb energy demand again. Brent crude added 0.3%, after dropping 6.8% in its worst daily performance since March. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate also rose 0.3%, after logging its biggest drop since September.</p><p><blockquote>世界经济暴跌后，油价也上涨。人们担心 Covid-19 可能再次抑制能源需求。布伦特原油上涨 0.3%，此前下跌 6.8%，创下 3 月份以来最糟糕的单日表现。美国基准西德克萨斯中质原油也上涨 0.3%，创下 9 月份以来的最大跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> “We sometimes forget that when we’ve had periods of very strong performance and low volatility, small bumps in the market do feel like they are more than they are,” said Shaniel Ramjee, a multiasset fund manager at Pictet Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>“百达资产管理公司（Pictet Asset Management）多资产基金经理沙尼尔-拉姆吉（Shaniel Ramjee）说：”我们有时会忘记，当我们经历过业绩非常强劲、波动性较低的时期时，市场的小幅波动确实让人感觉比实际情况还要大。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings season is under way, with tobacco giantPhilip Morris Internationaland insurance company Travelers Companies scheduled to report ahead of the opening bell.Netflix,Chipotle Mexican Grilland United Airlines are slated to post earnings after markets close.</p><p><blockquote>财报季正在进行中，烟草巨头菲利普莫里斯国际公司和保险公司 Travelers Companies 计划在开盘前发布财报。 Netflix、Chipotle Mexican Grilland United Airlines 计划在市场收盘后发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Cryptocurrencies extended their declines, with bitcoin dropping below $30,000 Tuesday for the first time in a month. It declined nearly 3% from its level at 5 p.m. ET the previous day to around $29,800.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币延续跌势，比特币周二一个月来首次跌破 30,000 美元。较下午 5 点的水平下跌近 3%。美国东部时间前一天至 29,800 美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.9%. Among European equities, UBS climbed 2.6% after postingbetter-than-expected earningsfor the second quarter, driven by strong client activity and buoyant markets. Mining giantBHP Grouprose 2% after reportingstrong quarterly operations.</p><p><blockquote>海外方面，泛洲斯托克欧洲 600 指数上涨 0.9%。在欧洲股市中，在强劲的客户活动和活跃的市场推动下，瑞银公布第二季度盈利好于预期，股价上涨 2.6%。矿业巨头必和必拓集团公布强劲的季度运营后上涨 2%。</blockquote></p><p> In Asia, most major benchmarks extended Monday’s declines. The Shanghai Composite Index lost another 0.1% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng tumbled 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>在亚洲，大多数主要基准都延续了周一的跌幅。上证综合指数再下跌 0.1%，香港恒生指数下跌 0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> A gauge of housing starts in the U.S. in June is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists expect a rise, as prices for materials such as lumber eased amid a limited supply of houses on the market.</p><p><blockquote>美国 6 月份新屋开工数据将于美国东部时间上午 8:30 发布。经济学家预计，由于市场上房屋供应有限，木材等材料的价格有所下降，房价将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Markets Stabilize After Worst Fall for Stocks in Months<blockquote>股市数月来最严重下跌后市场企稳</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMarkets Stabilize After Worst Fall for Stocks in Months<blockquote>股市数月来最严重下跌后市场企稳</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 17:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Dow futures, oil and bond yields rise, injecting some calm into markets.  U.S. stock futures pointed to a rebound Tuesday, after major indexes tumbled Monday on concerns over the spread of Covid-19 variants and potential setbacks to the economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯期货、石油和债券收益率上升，为市场注入了一些平静。美国股指期货周二出现反弹，此前主要股指周一因担心 Covid-19 变种的传播和经济复苏的潜在挫折而暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.7%, suggesting a reversal for the blue-chip index that fell more than 700 points Monday in itsworst session since October. S&amp;P 500 futures rose 0.5% and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.5%, pointing to a turnaround for both the broad-market index and technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与道琼斯工业平均指数挂钩的期货上涨 0.7%，表明该蓝筹股指数出现逆转，该指数周一下跌超过 700 点，创下 10 月份以来最糟糕的交易日。标普500期货上涨 0.5%，纳斯达克 100 指数期货上涨 0.5%，表明大盘指数和科技股都出现好转。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have grown concerned over the Delta coronavirus variant, prompting a reassessment of the economy’s prospects. Despite this, the three major stock indexes each closed only around 3% down from their all-time highs Monday, underscoring the strength of the rally that powered equity markets in the first half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对德尔塔新冠病毒变异毒株的担忧与日俱增，促使人们重新评估经济前景。尽管如此，三大股指周一收盘仅较历史高点下跌约3%，凸显了今年上半年推动股市上涨的力度。</blockquote></p><p> “When you get a selloff like we had yesterday, there are certainly going to be some investors who are going to see that as an opportunity to invest for the longer term,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multiasset strategist atUBSGlobal Wealth Management. “Especially where the 10-year [Treasury] yields have gone, that still points to the default position for investors as long equities, because there are simply very few other options.”</p><p><blockquote>“atUBSGlobal Wealth Management 的多资产策略师 Kiran Ganesh 说：”当出现像我们昨天那样的抛售时，肯定会有一些投资者将其视为长期投资的机会。“尤其是10年期[国债]收益率的走势，这仍然表明投资者作为长期股票的默认头寸，因为其他选择非常少。”</blockquote></p><p> In bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note edged up to 1.200%, after dropping to 1.181% Monday in thebiggest daily decline since March. Prices rise when yields fall. The WSJ Dollar Index hovered around its highest level since March, up another 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>债券市场方面，基准 10 年期美国国债收益率在周一跌至 1.181%，创下 3 月份以来最大单日跌幅后，小幅升至 1.200%。当收益率下降时，价格上涨。《华尔街日报》美元指数徘徊在3月份以来的最高水平附近，又上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices also ticked upafter tumbling Mondayon fears that Covid-19 could curb energy demand again. Brent crude added 0.3%, after dropping 6.8% in its worst daily performance since March. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate also rose 0.3%, after logging its biggest drop since September.</p><p><blockquote>世界经济暴跌后，油价也上涨。人们担心 Covid-19 可能再次抑制能源需求。布伦特原油上涨 0.3%，此前下跌 6.8%，创下 3 月份以来最糟糕的单日表现。美国基准西德克萨斯中质原油也上涨 0.3%，创下 9 月份以来的最大跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> “We sometimes forget that when we’ve had periods of very strong performance and low volatility, small bumps in the market do feel like they are more than they are,” said Shaniel Ramjee, a multiasset fund manager at Pictet Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>“百达资产管理公司（Pictet Asset Management）多资产基金经理沙尼尔-拉姆吉（Shaniel Ramjee）说：”我们有时会忘记，当我们经历过业绩非常强劲、波动性较低的时期时，市场的小幅波动确实让人感觉比实际情况还要大。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings season is under way, with tobacco giantPhilip Morris Internationaland insurance company Travelers Companies scheduled to report ahead of the opening bell.Netflix,Chipotle Mexican Grilland United Airlines are slated to post earnings after markets close.</p><p><blockquote>财报季正在进行中，烟草巨头菲利普莫里斯国际公司和保险公司 Travelers Companies 计划在开盘前发布财报。 Netflix、Chipotle Mexican Grilland United Airlines 计划在市场收盘后发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Cryptocurrencies extended their declines, with bitcoin dropping below $30,000 Tuesday for the first time in a month. It declined nearly 3% from its level at 5 p.m. ET the previous day to around $29,800.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币延续跌势，比特币周二一个月来首次跌破 30,000 美元。较下午 5 点的水平下跌近 3%。美国东部时间前一天至 29,800 美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.9%. Among European equities, UBS climbed 2.6% after postingbetter-than-expected earningsfor the second quarter, driven by strong client activity and buoyant markets. Mining giantBHP Grouprose 2% after reportingstrong quarterly operations.</p><p><blockquote>海外方面，泛洲斯托克欧洲 600 指数上涨 0.9%。在欧洲股市中，在强劲的客户活动和活跃的市场推动下，瑞银公布第二季度盈利好于预期，股价上涨 2.6%。矿业巨头必和必拓集团公布强劲的季度运营后上涨 2%。</blockquote></p><p> In Asia, most major benchmarks extended Monday’s declines. The Shanghai Composite Index lost another 0.1% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng tumbled 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>在亚洲，大多数主要基准都延续了周一的跌幅。上证综合指数再下跌 0.1%，香港恒生指数下跌 0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> A gauge of housing starts in the U.S. in June is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists expect a rise, as prices for materials such as lumber eased amid a limited supply of houses on the market.</p><p><blockquote>美国 6 月份新屋开工数据将于美国东部时间上午 8:30 发布。经济学家预计，由于市场上房屋供应有限，木材等材料的价格有所下降，房价将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-07-20-2021-11626768165\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-07-20-2021-11626768165","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149956232","content_text":"Dow futures, oil and bond yields rise, injecting some calm into markets.\n\nU.S. stock futures pointed to a rebound Tuesday, after major indexes tumbled Monday on concerns over the spread of Covid-19 variants and potential setbacks to the economic recovery.\nFutures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.7%, suggesting a reversal for the blue-chip index that fell more than 700 points Monday in itsworst session since October. S&P 500 futures rose 0.5% and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.5%, pointing to a turnaround for both the broad-market index and technology stocks.\nInvestors have grown concerned over the Delta coronavirus variant, prompting a reassessment of the economy’s prospects. Despite this, the three major stock indexes each closed only around 3% down from their all-time highs Monday, underscoring the strength of the rally that powered equity markets in the first half of the year.\n“When you get a selloff like we had yesterday, there are certainly going to be some investors who are going to see that as an opportunity to invest for the longer term,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multiasset strategist atUBSGlobal Wealth Management. “Especially where the 10-year [Treasury] yields have gone, that still points to the default position for investors as long equities, because there are simply very few other options.”\nIn bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note edged up to 1.200%, after dropping to 1.181% Monday in thebiggest daily decline since March. Prices rise when yields fall. The WSJ Dollar Index hovered around its highest level since March, up another 0.1%.\nOil prices also ticked upafter tumbling Mondayon fears that Covid-19 could curb energy demand again. Brent crude added 0.3%, after dropping 6.8% in its worst daily performance since March. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate also rose 0.3%, after logging its biggest drop since September.\n“We sometimes forget that when we’ve had periods of very strong performance and low volatility, small bumps in the market do feel like they are more than they are,” said Shaniel Ramjee, a multiasset fund manager at Pictet Asset Management.\nEarnings season is under way, with tobacco giantPhilip Morris Internationaland insurance company Travelers Companies scheduled to report ahead of the opening bell.Netflix,Chipotle Mexican Grilland United Airlines are slated to post earnings after markets close.\nCryptocurrencies extended their declines, with bitcoin dropping below $30,000 Tuesday for the first time in a month. It declined nearly 3% from its level at 5 p.m. ET the previous day to around $29,800.\nOverseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.9%. Among European equities, UBS climbed 2.6% after postingbetter-than-expected earningsfor the second quarter, driven by strong client activity and buoyant markets. Mining giantBHP Grouprose 2% after reportingstrong quarterly operations.\nIn Asia, most major benchmarks extended Monday’s declines. The Shanghai Composite Index lost another 0.1% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng tumbled 0.8%.\nA gauge of housing starts in the U.S. in June is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists expect a rise, as prices for materials such as lumber eased amid a limited supply of houses on the market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158159873,"gmtCreate":1625139176892,"gmtModify":1633944388167,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582163380710305","authorIdStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158159873","repostId":"1106223449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106223449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625122086,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1106223449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500创下了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106223449","media":"Barrons","summary":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 5","content":"<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500在上半年上涨了14次10%或以上。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500结束了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年。如果股市持续上涨，请不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月份即将结束，标普500 2021年上半年上涨14.4%。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施则帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和更加鹰派的美联储相结合，引发了人们对市场变得过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫比市场预期更快地采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长可能比投资者预期的放缓得更快，导致这一过程出现回调。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年有14次上涨10%或以上，下半年该指数平均上涨6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年收盘时有 11 个，即 79%。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失发生时，也并没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>唯一的例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在该年下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，标普500一天之内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓的投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得好像想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，2021 年的回调幅度较小，最大跌幅不到 4%。“Instinet 首席市场技术员 Frank Cappelleri 写道：”[标普500]在整个 2021 年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点重新振作起来，始终保持上升趋势。</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年平均涨幅为 6.3%，这将使标普500全年涨幅达到 23% 左右。Fundstrat 的汤姆-李（Tom Lee）说，这将代表着经济衰退中的 “教科书式[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少目前来看，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500创下了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500创下了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500在上半年上涨了14次10%或以上。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500结束了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年。如果股市持续上涨，请不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月份即将结束，标普500 2021年上半年上涨14.4%。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施则帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和更加鹰派的美联储相结合，引发了人们对市场变得过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫比市场预期更快地采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长可能比投资者预期的放缓得更快，导致这一过程出现回调。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年有14次上涨10%或以上，下半年该指数平均上涨6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年收盘时有 11 个，即 79%。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失发生时，也并没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>唯一的例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在该年下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，标普500一天之内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓的投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得好像想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，2021 年的回调幅度较小，最大跌幅不到 4%。“Instinet 首席市场技术员 Frank Cappelleri 写道：”[标普500]在整个 2021 年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点重新振作起来，始终保持上升趋势。</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年平均涨幅为 6.3%，这将使标普500全年涨幅达到 23% 左右。Fundstrat 的汤姆-李（Tom Lee）说，这将代表着经济衰退中的 “教科书式[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少目前来看，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106223449","content_text":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.\nWith June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.\nThe market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.\nThe combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.\nFor those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.\nSince 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.\nEven the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.\nThe one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.\nStill, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.\nThat 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.\nFor now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153924278,"gmtCreate":1625006539094,"gmtModify":1633946054472,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582163380710305","authorIdStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153924278","repostId":"1150529415","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150529415","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624973992,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1150529415?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 21:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto stocks strengthen with bitcoin<blockquote>加密货币股票因比特币而走强</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150529415","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto stocks strengthen with bitcoin.Bitcoin station on 36000 U.S. dollars / piece, for the first t","content":"<p>Crypto stocks strengthen with bitcoin.Bitcoin station on 36000 U.S. dollars / piece, for the first time since June 21, the day up 4.39%.Marathon&nbsp;Digital,Riot Blockchain,Canaan,The9,Coinbase,SOS Ltd.,Big Digital&nbsp;and&nbsp;Square&nbsp;climbed between 2% and 10%.</p><p><blockquote>比特币走强。比特币站在36000美元/枚，自6月21日以来首次上涨4.39%。马拉松数字、暴动区块链、迦南、The9、比特币基地、SOS有限公司、Big Digital和Square攀升2%至10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dab206c84d9e5f82c395a1b2a79c54\" tg-width=\"354\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto stocks strengthen with bitcoin<blockquote>加密货币股票因比特币而走强</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto stocks strengthen with bitcoin<blockquote>加密货币股票因比特币而走强</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-29 21:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Crypto stocks strengthen with bitcoin.Bitcoin station on 36000 U.S. dollars / piece, for the first time since June 21, the day up 4.39%.Marathon&nbsp;Digital,Riot Blockchain,Canaan,The9,Coinbase,SOS Ltd.,Big Digital&nbsp;and&nbsp;Square&nbsp;climbed between 2% and 10%.</p><p><blockquote>比特币走强。比特币站在36000美元/枚，自6月21日以来首次上涨4.39%。马拉松数字、暴动区块链、迦南、The9、比特币基地、SOS有限公司、Big Digital和Square攀升2%至10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dab206c84d9e5f82c395a1b2a79c54\" tg-width=\"354\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MARA":"MARA Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150529415","content_text":"Crypto stocks strengthen with bitcoin.Bitcoin station on 36000 U.S. dollars / piece, for the first time since June 21, the day up 4.39%.Marathon Digital,Riot Blockchain,Canaan,The9,Coinbase,SOS Ltd.,Big Digital and Square climbed between 2% and 10%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MARA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150523544,"gmtCreate":1624922317088,"gmtModify":1633947104131,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582163380710305","authorIdStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150523544","repostId":"1184667820","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184667820","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624890163,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1184667820?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-28 22:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Boeing’s Newest Jet Is Delayed. Other Issues Are More Important.<blockquote>波音公司最新喷气式飞机延误。其他问题更重要。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184667820","media":"Barrons","summary":"The commercial aerospace giant Boeing got a bit of bad news about its latest 777 jet, the 777X. The ","content":"<p>The commercial aerospace giant Boeing got a bit of bad news about its latest 777 jet, the 777X. The Federal Aviation Administration told the company recently the jet likely won’t be approved for commercial service until mid-2023.</p><p><blockquote>商业航空航天巨头波音公司收到了有关其最新 777 喷气式飞机 777X 的一些坏消息。美国联邦航空管理局最近告诉该公司，这种喷气式飞机很可能要到 2023 年年中才能获准投入商业运营。</blockquote></p><p> That timeline, contained in a May letter from the regulator to the company, is longer than investors might have expected, but it isn’t actually all that bad for the stock. Boeing didn’t immediately reply to a request for comment.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构 5 月份致该公司的一封信中包含的这一时间表比投资者预期的要长，但实际上这对该股来说并没有那么糟糕。波音公司没有立即回复置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> The 777X took its maiden test flight back in&nbsp;January 2020. That might have put it on track to be approved by mid-2021, based on the way the industry worked a few years ago. Consider that the&nbsp;737 MAX&nbsp;jet took its initial flight in early 2016 and was approved for service about 14 months later. Deliveries began around mid-2017.</p><p><blockquote>777X 于 2020 年 1 月进行了首次试飞。根据几年前该行业的运作方式，这可能会使其有望在 2021 年中期获得批准。考虑到 737 MAX 喷气式飞机于 2016 年初首飞，并在大约 14 个月后获准服役。交付于 2017 年年中左右开始。</blockquote></p><p> But the MAX, of course, was grounded in March 2019 following two deadly crashes within five months. It took&nbsp;20-plus months&nbsp;of design modifications, additional testing, and regulatory oversight, for Boeing to win permission for the jet to carry passengers again.</p><p><blockquote>当然，MAX 在五个月内发生两起致命事故后于 2019 年 3 月停飞。波音公司花了20多个月的设计修改、额外的测试和监管监督，才赢得了这架飞机再次载客的许可。</blockquote></p><p> The MAX situation caused changes at Boeing, including new&nbsp;safety committees, as well as alterations to the FAA’s&nbsp;oversight process. Those shifts could be stretching out the approval process for new planes. The pandemic probably didn’t help the 777x approval timeline either.</p><p><blockquote>MAX 事件导致波音公司发生变化，包括成立新的安全委员会，以及美国联邦航空局监督程序的改变。这些转变可能会延长新飞机的审批流程。大流行病可能也对 777x 的审批时间表没有帮助。</blockquote></p><p> Regardless of the reasons, the approval process has been slow. Boeing investors aren’t thrilled with news of the delay, although deliveries of MAX jets and the recovery of the commercial aerospace business are bigger concerns. Shares were down about 2.8% at $241.56 in early trading, while the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;were nearly flat.</p><p><blockquote>不管是什么原因，审批过程一直很慢。波音公司的投资者对延迟的消息并不感到兴奋，尽管 MAX 喷气式飞机的交付和商业航空航天业务的复苏是更大的担忧。早盘交易中，股价下跌约 2.8%，至 241.56 美元，而标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数几乎持平。</blockquote></p><p> Vertical Research Partners analyst&nbsp;Rob Stallard&nbsp;summed up all of the positives and negatives for Boeing in a Monday report. The 777X delay is a regulatory problem, but it is only one of three he mentioned. China, for instance, hasn’t reapproved the 737 MAX yet, and the 787 still faces some reviews.</p><p><blockquote>Vertical Research Partners 分析师 Rob Stallard 在周一的一份报告中总结了波音公司的所有利弊。777倍的延迟是一个监管问题，但这只是他提到的三个问题之一。例如，中国尚未重新批准 737 MAX，787 仍面临一些审查。</blockquote></p><p> On the positive side of the equation, new orders for the 737 MAX are starting to come in. He expects&nbsp;United Airlines(UAL) to announce an order for about 100 MAX jets in coming days.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的一面来看，737 MAX 的新订单开始出现。他预计联合航空公司（UAL）将在未来几天宣布订购约100架MAX喷气式飞机。</blockquote></p><p> The “roller coaster ride continues” for Boeing stock, he said, noting that “this week’s events probably don’t have an immediate impact on our numbers.” His target price for Boeing stock remains $242 a share. He rates shares at Hold.</p><p><blockquote>他说，波音股票的 “过山车还在继续”，并指出 “本周发生的事件可能不会对我们的业绩产生直接影响”。他对波音股票的目标价仍为每股 242 美元。他将股票评级为持有。</blockquote></p><p> Stallard is a little more bearish than his peers. Overall, about 57% of analysts covering the stock rate the shares at Buy. The&nbsp;average&nbsp;Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 is about 55%. The averageprice targetamong analysts is about $267.</p><p><blockquote>斯塔拉德比他的同龄人更加悲观。总体而言，约 57% 的研究该股的分析师将该股评级为买入。标普500股票的平均买入评级比率约为55%。分析师的平均目标价约为 267 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest issue facing the entire commercial aerospace industry is postpandemic demand. June 2021 U.S. commercial air travel is down&nbsp;roughly 25%&nbsp;compared with 2019 levels. But it is up almost 300% compared with June 2020.</p><p><blockquote>整个商业航空航天业面临的最大问题是大流行后的需求。2021 年 6 月美国商业航空旅行较 2019 年水平下降约 25%。但与2020年6月相比，上涨了近300%。</blockquote></p><p> Things are slowly getting better for the industry. United Airlines, for instance, said Monday it expects&nbsp;a profit in July. It would be the airline’s first monthly profit since January 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这个行业的情况正在慢慢好转。例如，美国联合航空公司周一表示，预计 7 月份将实现盈利。这将是该航空公司自 2020 年 1 月以来首次实现月度盈利。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Boeing’s Newest Jet Is Delayed. Other Issues Are More Important.<blockquote>波音公司最新喷气式飞机延误。其他问题更重要。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBoeing’s Newest Jet Is Delayed. Other Issues Are More Important.<blockquote>波音公司最新喷气式飞机延误。其他问题更重要。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 22:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The commercial aerospace giant Boeing got a bit of bad news about its latest 777 jet, the 777X. The Federal Aviation Administration told the company recently the jet likely won’t be approved for commercial service until mid-2023.</p><p><blockquote>商业航空航天巨头波音公司收到了有关其最新 777 喷气式飞机 777X 的一些坏消息。美国联邦航空管理局最近告诉该公司，这种喷气式飞机很可能要到 2023 年年中才能获准投入商业运营。</blockquote></p><p> That timeline, contained in a May letter from the regulator to the company, is longer than investors might have expected, but it isn’t actually all that bad for the stock. Boeing didn’t immediately reply to a request for comment.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构 5 月份致该公司的一封信中包含的这一时间表比投资者预期的要长，但实际上这对该股来说并没有那么糟糕。波音公司没有立即回复置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> The 777X took its maiden test flight back in&nbsp;January 2020. That might have put it on track to be approved by mid-2021, based on the way the industry worked a few years ago. Consider that the&nbsp;737 MAX&nbsp;jet took its initial flight in early 2016 and was approved for service about 14 months later. Deliveries began around mid-2017.</p><p><blockquote>777X 于 2020 年 1 月进行了首次试飞。根据几年前该行业的运作方式，这可能会使其有望在 2021 年中期获得批准。考虑到 737 MAX 喷气式飞机于 2016 年初首飞，并在大约 14 个月后获准服役。交付于 2017 年年中左右开始。</blockquote></p><p> But the MAX, of course, was grounded in March 2019 following two deadly crashes within five months. It took&nbsp;20-plus months&nbsp;of design modifications, additional testing, and regulatory oversight, for Boeing to win permission for the jet to carry passengers again.</p><p><blockquote>当然，MAX 在五个月内发生两起致命事故后于 2019 年 3 月停飞。波音公司花了20多个月的设计修改、额外的测试和监管监督，才赢得了这架飞机再次载客的许可。</blockquote></p><p> The MAX situation caused changes at Boeing, including new&nbsp;safety committees, as well as alterations to the FAA’s&nbsp;oversight process. Those shifts could be stretching out the approval process for new planes. The pandemic probably didn’t help the 777x approval timeline either.</p><p><blockquote>MAX 事件导致波音公司发生变化，包括成立新的安全委员会，以及美国联邦航空局监督程序的改变。这些转变可能会延长新飞机的审批流程。大流行病可能也对 777x 的审批时间表没有帮助。</blockquote></p><p> Regardless of the reasons, the approval process has been slow. Boeing investors aren’t thrilled with news of the delay, although deliveries of MAX jets and the recovery of the commercial aerospace business are bigger concerns. Shares were down about 2.8% at $241.56 in early trading, while the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;were nearly flat.</p><p><blockquote>不管是什么原因，审批过程一直很慢。波音公司的投资者对延迟的消息并不感到兴奋，尽管 MAX 喷气式飞机的交付和商业航空航天业务的复苏是更大的担忧。早盘交易中，股价下跌约 2.8%，至 241.56 美元，而标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数几乎持平。</blockquote></p><p> Vertical Research Partners analyst&nbsp;Rob Stallard&nbsp;summed up all of the positives and negatives for Boeing in a Monday report. The 777X delay is a regulatory problem, but it is only one of three he mentioned. China, for instance, hasn’t reapproved the 737 MAX yet, and the 787 still faces some reviews.</p><p><blockquote>Vertical Research Partners 分析师 Rob Stallard 在周一的一份报告中总结了波音公司的所有利弊。777倍的延迟是一个监管问题，但这只是他提到的三个问题之一。例如，中国尚未重新批准 737 MAX，787 仍面临一些审查。</blockquote></p><p> On the positive side of the equation, new orders for the 737 MAX are starting to come in. He expects&nbsp;United Airlines(UAL) to announce an order for about 100 MAX jets in coming days.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的一面来看，737 MAX 的新订单开始出现。他预计联合航空公司（UAL）将在未来几天宣布订购约100架MAX喷气式飞机。</blockquote></p><p> The “roller coaster ride continues” for Boeing stock, he said, noting that “this week’s events probably don’t have an immediate impact on our numbers.” His target price for Boeing stock remains $242 a share. He rates shares at Hold.</p><p><blockquote>他说，波音股票的 “过山车还在继续”，并指出 “本周发生的事件可能不会对我们的业绩产生直接影响”。他对波音股票的目标价仍为每股 242 美元。他将股票评级为持有。</blockquote></p><p> Stallard is a little more bearish than his peers. Overall, about 57% of analysts covering the stock rate the shares at Buy. The&nbsp;average&nbsp;Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 is about 55%. The averageprice targetamong analysts is about $267.</p><p><blockquote>斯塔拉德比他的同龄人更加悲观。总体而言，约 57% 的研究该股的分析师将该股评级为买入。标普500股票的平均买入评级比率约为55%。分析师的平均目标价约为 267 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest issue facing the entire commercial aerospace industry is postpandemic demand. June 2021 U.S. commercial air travel is down&nbsp;roughly 25%&nbsp;compared with 2019 levels. But it is up almost 300% compared with June 2020.</p><p><blockquote>整个商业航空航天业面临的最大问题是大流行后的需求。2021 年 6 月美国商业航空旅行较 2019 年水平下降约 25%。但与2020年6月相比，上涨了近300%。</blockquote></p><p> Things are slowly getting better for the industry. United Airlines, for instance, said Monday it expects&nbsp;a profit in July. It would be the airline’s first monthly profit since January 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这个行业的情况正在慢慢好转。例如，美国联合航空公司周一表示，预计 7 月份将实现盈利。这将是该航空公司自 2020 年 1 月以来首次实现月度盈利。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/faa-delay-boeing-777x-jet-stock-51624889202?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/faa-delay-boeing-777x-jet-stock-51624889202?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184667820","content_text":"The commercial aerospace giant Boeing got a bit of bad news about its latest 777 jet, the 777X. The Federal Aviation Administration told the company recently the jet likely won’t be approved for commercial service until mid-2023.\nThat timeline, contained in a May letter from the regulator to the company, is longer than investors might have expected, but it isn’t actually all that bad for the stock. Boeing didn’t immediately reply to a request for comment.\nThe 777X took its maiden test flight back in January 2020. That might have put it on track to be approved by mid-2021, based on the way the industry worked a few years ago. Consider that the 737 MAX jet took its initial flight in early 2016 and was approved for service about 14 months later. Deliveries began around mid-2017.\nBut the MAX, of course, was grounded in March 2019 following two deadly crashes within five months. It took 20-plus months of design modifications, additional testing, and regulatory oversight, for Boeing to win permission for the jet to carry passengers again.\nThe MAX situation caused changes at Boeing, including new safety committees, as well as alterations to the FAA’s oversight process. Those shifts could be stretching out the approval process for new planes. The pandemic probably didn’t help the 777x approval timeline either.\nRegardless of the reasons, the approval process has been slow. Boeing investors aren’t thrilled with news of the delay, although deliveries of MAX jets and the recovery of the commercial aerospace business are bigger concerns. Shares were down about 2.8% at $241.56 in early trading, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average were nearly flat.\nVertical Research Partners analyst Rob Stallard summed up all of the positives and negatives for Boeing in a Monday report. The 777X delay is a regulatory problem, but it is only one of three he mentioned. China, for instance, hasn’t reapproved the 737 MAX yet, and the 787 still faces some reviews.\nOn the positive side of the equation, new orders for the 737 MAX are starting to come in. He expects United Airlines(UAL) to announce an order for about 100 MAX jets in coming days.\nThe “roller coaster ride continues” for Boeing stock, he said, noting that “this week’s events probably don’t have an immediate impact on our numbers.” His target price for Boeing stock remains $242 a share. He rates shares at Hold.\nStallard is a little more bearish than his peers. Overall, about 57% of analysts covering the stock rate the shares at Buy. The average Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&P 500 is about 55%. The averageprice targetamong analysts is about $267.\nThe biggest issue facing the entire commercial aerospace industry is postpandemic demand. June 2021 U.S. commercial air travel is down roughly 25% compared with 2019 levels. But it is up almost 300% compared with June 2020.\nThings are slowly getting better for the industry. United Airlines, for instance, said Monday it expects a profit in July. It would be the airline’s first monthly profit since January 2020.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126253274,"gmtCreate":1624576751898,"gmtModify":1634004266931,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582163380710305","authorIdStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Follow","listText":"Follow","text":"Follow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126253274","repostId":"1198538721","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198538721","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624538323,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1198538721?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 20:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"It's A Bust\": Elon Musk's Fixation With Tesla's Failed Solar Roof Rollout<blockquote>“这是一个破产”：埃隆·马斯克对特斯拉太阳能屋顶推出失败的痴迷</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198538721","media":"zerohedge","summary":"We've been skeptical not only of basically everythingElon Musk has been doing over the last half-dec","content":"<p>We've been skeptical not only of&nbsp;<i>basically everything</i>Elon Musk has been doing over the last half-decade, but specifically about the company's plans for its solar roof tiles - which were pitched as one of the reasons to help Tesla<s>bail out</s>acquire the nearly-now-defunct Solar City, run by one of Musk's cousins, years ago.</p><p><blockquote>我们不仅怀疑<i>基本上一切</i>埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 在过去五年中一直在做这件事，但特别是关于该公司的太阳能屋顶瓦计划 - 这被认为是帮助特斯拉的原因之一<s>保释</s>几年前，收购了马斯克的一位堂兄弟经营的几乎现已倒闭的太阳城。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, some of the more well known Tesla skeptics on FinTwit have taken special exception with the company's solar roof aspirations, with one expert in the fieldopining for nearly 2 hoursback in 2019 about why he believed, logistically, that the Solar Roof \"rollout\" was nothing more than a charade.</p><p><blockquote>此外，FinTwit 上一些更知名的特斯拉怀疑论者对该公司的太阳能屋顶愿望持特殊态度，一位专家在 2019 年花了近 2 个小时讨论了为什么他认为太阳能屋顶“推出”只不过是一场猜谜游戏。</blockquote></p><p> But now it looks as though the mainstream media is finally starting to catch on to the boondoggle, as well. Bloomberg's Dana Hullpublished a pieceon Wednesday morning aptly titled \"Tesla’s Solar Roof Rollout Is a Bust — And a Fixation for Elon Musk\". The piece notes that Musk has recently become \"intensely focused on Tesla’s&nbsp;Solar Roof\", despite it just being a small part of Tesla's business. This is because, Hull postulates that the roof is \"essential to Musk’s vision for the company to evolve from an electric-car maker to something much grander\".</p><p><blockquote>但现在看来，主流媒体也终于开始注意到这种无用的东西了。彭博社记者达纳-赫尔（Dana Hull）周三上午发表了一篇题为 “特斯拉推出太阳能屋顶是一个失败--也是埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）的迷恋”的文章。文章指出，马斯克最近 “非常关注特斯拉的太阳能屋顶”，尽管这只是特斯拉业务的一小部分。这是因为，赫尔认为，车顶 “对马斯克实现公司从电动汽车制造商发展成为更宏伟的公司的愿景至关重要”。</blockquote></p><p> And we all know that Elon Musk is having a tough time turning a profit, ex-ZEV credits, as an automaker.</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，作为一家汽车制造商，埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 很难实现盈利（不包括 ZEV 积分）。</blockquote></p><p> But the program is in tatters, the piece notes, potentially due to Musk's micromanagement of it. \"Musk has fired many of the executives and directors on the program, raised prices for consumers and gotten more heavily involved in its details,\" Hull writes. She reminds the reader than when the product was first unveiled back in 2016, Tesla was trying to undertake the acquisition of Solar City, which was \"rife with conflicts\". A shareholder lawsuit alleging fraud involving the buyout remains on track to begin trial, in Delaware, on July 12. Musk is expected to testify.</p><p><blockquote>但文章指出，该计划已经支离破碎，可能是由于马斯克对该计划的微观管理造成的。赫尔写道：“马斯克解雇了该计划的许多高管和董事，提高了消费者的价格，并更多地参与了该计划的细节。”她提醒读者，当该产品在2016年首次亮相时，特斯拉正试图收购“充满冲突”的太阳城。一项指控涉及收购的欺诈的股东诉讼仍有望于 7 月 12 日在特拉华州开始审判。马斯克预计将作证。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12f0be79f77947a27b65eed074fdce5d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"315\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “It needs to be beautiful, affordable and seamlessly integrated,” Musk said about the company's solar roof shingle back in 2016.&nbsp;“You’ll want to call your neighbors over and say, ‘check out this sweet roof.’”</p><p><blockquote>“马斯克在 2016 年谈到公司的太阳能屋顶瓦时说：”它需要美观、经济实惠、无缝集成。“你会想把邻居看涨期权过来，说'看看这个可爱的屋顶'。</blockquote></p><p> Except now it's a half decade later and the company has barely rolled out any solar roofs, struggling to hit 200 installations per week. This is despite the fact that Musk set a goal to install more than 1,000 of them a week back in 2019. It raised prices in April of this year, leading to a slew of cancellations, Hull notes.</p><p><blockquote>只是现在已经过去了五年，该公司几乎没有推出任何太阳能屋顶，每周安装200个。尽管马斯克早在 2019 年就设定了每周安装 1,000 多个设备的目标。赫尔指出，该公司在今年 4 月提高了价格，导致大量取消。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Weddle, an executive at a roofing company in the Midwest who installs Tesla's solar roofs, told Bloomberg:&nbsp;“For Tesla, there is a lot of pressure to go fast and deploy fast. They tried to build a roofing company overnight. From our perspective, it seemed like the directive was to go fast and do more installations, period. And then suddenly, out of left field, came this sudden urge to get on a path to profitability.”</p><p><blockquote>中西部一家为特斯拉安装太阳能屋顶的屋顶公司高管 Eric Weddle 告诉彭博社： “对于特斯拉来说，快速部署和快速部署的压力很大。他们试图在一夜之间建立一家屋顶公司。从我们的角度来看，指令似乎是要快速部署，进行更多的安装，就这样。然后突然，左翼阵营出现了这种突然的冲动，想要走上盈利之路。”</blockquote></p><p> Hull writes that \"The company is coming to grips with how vastly different it is to fine-tune roof projects than to fix&nbsp;issues on an automobile assembly line\" - perhaps something they should have taken into consideration before pitching the idea to its shareholders and potential future investors all the way back in 2016.</p><p><blockquote>赫尔写道，“该公司正在意识到微调屋顶项目与解决汽车装配线上的问题有多么大的不同”——也许这是他们在向股东推销这个想法之前应该考虑的事情。和潜在的未来投资者早在 2016 年。</blockquote></p><p> Musk said his team made “significant mistakes in assessing the difficulty of certain roofs,” on the company's most recent earnings call. \"Production is going fine, but we are choked at the installation point.\"</p><p><blockquote>马斯克在公司最新的财报看涨期权上表示，他的团队 “在评估某些屋顶的难度时犯了重大错误”。“生产进展顺利，但我们在安装点就卡住了。”</blockquote></p><p> Mohammed Abdalla, the CEO of Good Faith Energy, another Tesla-certified installer, said:&nbsp;“The Solar Roof is not an easy product to install, it’s not a cheap product, and it’s going to take a lot of time to dial it in and bring the cost down.”</p><p><blockquote>另一家获得特斯拉认证的安装商 Good Faith Energy 的首席执行官穆罕默德-阿卜杜拉（Mohammed Abdalla）说： “太阳能屋顶不是一种容易安装的产品，也不是一种便宜的产品，安装它并降低成本需要很长时间”。</blockquote></p><p> All the while, Musk seems to be flailing about, spinning his wheels.&nbsp;Musk fired both&nbsp;RJ Johnson, the head of Tesla Energy, and&nbsp;Ryan Nungesser, the director of operations at Tesla’s factory in Buffalo, New York, on a call in mid-April of this year.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，马斯克似乎一直在四处奔波，打转车轮。今年 4 月中旬，马斯克在一次看涨期权上解雇了特斯拉能源公司负责人 RJ Johnson 和特斯拉位于纽约水牛城的工厂运营总监 Ryan Nungesser。</blockquote></p><p> Weddle concluded:&nbsp;“No one seems to be worried about the future of the program. Everyone is just worried about the people connected to the program.<b>We still don’t know who’s running things, and I don’t think Tesla does either.”</b></p><p><blockquote>韦德尔总结道： “似乎没有人担心该计划的未来。每个人都只担心与该计划有关的人。<b>我们仍然不知道谁在管理事情，我认为特斯拉也不知道。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"It's A Bust\": Elon Musk's Fixation With Tesla's Failed Solar Roof Rollout<blockquote>“这是一个破产”：埃隆·马斯克对特斯拉太阳能屋顶推出失败的痴迷</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"It's A Bust\": Elon Musk's Fixation With Tesla's Failed Solar Roof Rollout<blockquote>“这是一个破产”：埃隆·马斯克对特斯拉太阳能屋顶推出失败的痴迷</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 20:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We've been skeptical not only of&nbsp;<i>basically everything</i>Elon Musk has been doing over the last half-decade, but specifically about the company's plans for its solar roof tiles - which were pitched as one of the reasons to help Tesla<s>bail out</s>acquire the nearly-now-defunct Solar City, run by one of Musk's cousins, years ago.</p><p><blockquote>我们不仅怀疑<i>基本上一切</i>埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 在过去五年中一直在做这件事，但特别是关于该公司的太阳能屋顶瓦计划 - 这被认为是帮助特斯拉的原因之一<s>保释</s>几年前，收购了马斯克的一位堂兄弟经营的几乎现已倒闭的太阳城。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, some of the more well known Tesla skeptics on FinTwit have taken special exception with the company's solar roof aspirations, with one expert in the fieldopining for nearly 2 hoursback in 2019 about why he believed, logistically, that the Solar Roof \"rollout\" was nothing more than a charade.</p><p><blockquote>此外，FinTwit 上一些更知名的特斯拉怀疑论者对该公司的太阳能屋顶愿望持特殊态度，一位专家在 2019 年花了近 2 个小时讨论了为什么他认为太阳能屋顶“推出”只不过是一场猜谜游戏。</blockquote></p><p> But now it looks as though the mainstream media is finally starting to catch on to the boondoggle, as well. Bloomberg's Dana Hullpublished a pieceon Wednesday morning aptly titled \"Tesla’s Solar Roof Rollout Is a Bust — And a Fixation for Elon Musk\". The piece notes that Musk has recently become \"intensely focused on Tesla’s&nbsp;Solar Roof\", despite it just being a small part of Tesla's business. This is because, Hull postulates that the roof is \"essential to Musk’s vision for the company to evolve from an electric-car maker to something much grander\".</p><p><blockquote>但现在看来，主流媒体也终于开始注意到这种无用的东西了。彭博社记者达纳-赫尔（Dana Hull）周三上午发表了一篇题为 “特斯拉推出太阳能屋顶是一个失败--也是埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）的迷恋”的文章。文章指出，马斯克最近 “非常关注特斯拉的太阳能屋顶”，尽管这只是特斯拉业务的一小部分。这是因为，赫尔认为，车顶 “对马斯克实现公司从电动汽车制造商发展成为更宏伟的公司的愿景至关重要”。</blockquote></p><p> And we all know that Elon Musk is having a tough time turning a profit, ex-ZEV credits, as an automaker.</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，作为一家汽车制造商，埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 很难实现盈利（不包括 ZEV 积分）。</blockquote></p><p> But the program is in tatters, the piece notes, potentially due to Musk's micromanagement of it. \"Musk has fired many of the executives and directors on the program, raised prices for consumers and gotten more heavily involved in its details,\" Hull writes. She reminds the reader than when the product was first unveiled back in 2016, Tesla was trying to undertake the acquisition of Solar City, which was \"rife with conflicts\". A shareholder lawsuit alleging fraud involving the buyout remains on track to begin trial, in Delaware, on July 12. Musk is expected to testify.</p><p><blockquote>但文章指出，该计划已经支离破碎，可能是由于马斯克对该计划的微观管理造成的。赫尔写道：“马斯克解雇了该计划的许多高管和董事，提高了消费者的价格，并更多地参与了该计划的细节。”她提醒读者，当该产品在2016年首次亮相时，特斯拉正试图收购“充满冲突”的太阳城。一项指控涉及收购的欺诈的股东诉讼仍有望于 7 月 12 日在特拉华州开始审判。马斯克预计将作证。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12f0be79f77947a27b65eed074fdce5d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"315\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “It needs to be beautiful, affordable and seamlessly integrated,” Musk said about the company's solar roof shingle back in 2016.&nbsp;“You’ll want to call your neighbors over and say, ‘check out this sweet roof.’”</p><p><blockquote>“马斯克在 2016 年谈到公司的太阳能屋顶瓦时说：”它需要美观、经济实惠、无缝集成。“你会想把邻居看涨期权过来，说'看看这个可爱的屋顶'。</blockquote></p><p> Except now it's a half decade later and the company has barely rolled out any solar roofs, struggling to hit 200 installations per week. This is despite the fact that Musk set a goal to install more than 1,000 of them a week back in 2019. It raised prices in April of this year, leading to a slew of cancellations, Hull notes.</p><p><blockquote>只是现在已经过去了五年，该公司几乎没有推出任何太阳能屋顶，每周安装200个。尽管马斯克早在 2019 年就设定了每周安装 1,000 多个设备的目标。赫尔指出，该公司在今年 4 月提高了价格，导致大量取消。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Weddle, an executive at a roofing company in the Midwest who installs Tesla's solar roofs, told Bloomberg:&nbsp;“For Tesla, there is a lot of pressure to go fast and deploy fast. They tried to build a roofing company overnight. From our perspective, it seemed like the directive was to go fast and do more installations, period. And then suddenly, out of left field, came this sudden urge to get on a path to profitability.”</p><p><blockquote>中西部一家为特斯拉安装太阳能屋顶的屋顶公司高管 Eric Weddle 告诉彭博社： “对于特斯拉来说，快速部署和快速部署的压力很大。他们试图在一夜之间建立一家屋顶公司。从我们的角度来看，指令似乎是要快速部署，进行更多的安装，就这样。然后突然，左翼阵营出现了这种突然的冲动，想要走上盈利之路。”</blockquote></p><p> Hull writes that \"The company is coming to grips with how vastly different it is to fine-tune roof projects than to fix&nbsp;issues on an automobile assembly line\" - perhaps something they should have taken into consideration before pitching the idea to its shareholders and potential future investors all the way back in 2016.</p><p><blockquote>赫尔写道，“该公司正在意识到微调屋顶项目与解决汽车装配线上的问题有多么大的不同”——也许这是他们在向股东推销这个想法之前应该考虑的事情。和潜在的未来投资者早在 2016 年。</blockquote></p><p> Musk said his team made “significant mistakes in assessing the difficulty of certain roofs,” on the company's most recent earnings call. \"Production is going fine, but we are choked at the installation point.\"</p><p><blockquote>马斯克在公司最新的财报看涨期权上表示，他的团队 “在评估某些屋顶的难度时犯了重大错误”。“生产进展顺利，但我们在安装点就卡住了。”</blockquote></p><p> Mohammed Abdalla, the CEO of Good Faith Energy, another Tesla-certified installer, said:&nbsp;“The Solar Roof is not an easy product to install, it’s not a cheap product, and it’s going to take a lot of time to dial it in and bring the cost down.”</p><p><blockquote>另一家获得特斯拉认证的安装商 Good Faith Energy 的首席执行官穆罕默德-阿卜杜拉（Mohammed Abdalla）说： “太阳能屋顶不是一种容易安装的产品，也不是一种便宜的产品，安装它并降低成本需要很长时间”。</blockquote></p><p> All the while, Musk seems to be flailing about, spinning his wheels.&nbsp;Musk fired both&nbsp;RJ Johnson, the head of Tesla Energy, and&nbsp;Ryan Nungesser, the director of operations at Tesla’s factory in Buffalo, New York, on a call in mid-April of this year.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，马斯克似乎一直在四处奔波，打转车轮。今年 4 月中旬，马斯克在一次看涨期权上解雇了特斯拉能源公司负责人 RJ Johnson 和特斯拉位于纽约水牛城的工厂运营总监 Ryan Nungesser。</blockquote></p><p> Weddle concluded:&nbsp;“No one seems to be worried about the future of the program. Everyone is just worried about the people connected to the program.<b>We still don’t know who’s running things, and I don’t think Tesla does either.”</b></p><p><blockquote>韦德尔总结道： “似乎没有人担心该计划的未来。每个人都只担心与该计划有关的人。<b>我们仍然不知道谁在管理事情，我认为特斯拉也不知道。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/its-bust-bloomberg-calls-out-teslas-failed-solar-roof-rollout\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/its-bust-bloomberg-calls-out-teslas-failed-solar-roof-rollout","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198538721","content_text":"We've been skeptical not only of basically everythingElon Musk has been doing over the last half-decade, but specifically about the company's plans for its solar roof tiles - which were pitched as one of the reasons to help Teslabail outacquire the nearly-now-defunct Solar City, run by one of Musk's cousins, years ago.\nAdditionally, some of the more well known Tesla skeptics on FinTwit have taken special exception with the company's solar roof aspirations, with one expert in the fieldopining for nearly 2 hoursback in 2019 about why he believed, logistically, that the Solar Roof \"rollout\" was nothing more than a charade.\nBut now it looks as though the mainstream media is finally starting to catch on to the boondoggle, as well. Bloomberg's Dana Hullpublished a pieceon Wednesday morning aptly titled \"Tesla’s Solar Roof Rollout Is a Bust — And a Fixation for Elon Musk\". The piece notes that Musk has recently become \"intensely focused on Tesla’s Solar Roof\", despite it just being a small part of Tesla's business. This is because, Hull postulates that the roof is \"essential to Musk’s vision for the company to evolve from an electric-car maker to something much grander\".\nAnd we all know that Elon Musk is having a tough time turning a profit, ex-ZEV credits, as an automaker.\nBut the program is in tatters, the piece notes, potentially due to Musk's micromanagement of it. \"Musk has fired many of the executives and directors on the program, raised prices for consumers and gotten more heavily involved in its details,\" Hull writes. She reminds the reader than when the product was first unveiled back in 2016, Tesla was trying to undertake the acquisition of Solar City, which was \"rife with conflicts\". A shareholder lawsuit alleging fraud involving the buyout remains on track to begin trial, in Delaware, on July 12. Musk is expected to testify.\n\n“It needs to be beautiful, affordable and seamlessly integrated,” Musk said about the company's solar roof shingle back in 2016. “You’ll want to call your neighbors over and say, ‘check out this sweet roof.’”\nExcept now it's a half decade later and the company has barely rolled out any solar roofs, struggling to hit 200 installations per week. This is despite the fact that Musk set a goal to install more than 1,000 of them a week back in 2019. It raised prices in April of this year, leading to a slew of cancellations, Hull notes.\nEric Weddle, an executive at a roofing company in the Midwest who installs Tesla's solar roofs, told Bloomberg: “For Tesla, there is a lot of pressure to go fast and deploy fast. They tried to build a roofing company overnight. From our perspective, it seemed like the directive was to go fast and do more installations, period. And then suddenly, out of left field, came this sudden urge to get on a path to profitability.”\nHull writes that \"The company is coming to grips with how vastly different it is to fine-tune roof projects than to fix issues on an automobile assembly line\" - perhaps something they should have taken into consideration before pitching the idea to its shareholders and potential future investors all the way back in 2016.\nMusk said his team made “significant mistakes in assessing the difficulty of certain roofs,” on the company's most recent earnings call. \"Production is going fine, but we are choked at the installation point.\"\nMohammed Abdalla, the CEO of Good Faith Energy, another Tesla-certified installer, said: “The Solar Roof is not an easy product to install, it’s not a cheap product, and it’s going to take a lot of time to dial it in and bring the cost down.”\nAll the while, Musk seems to be flailing about, spinning his wheels. Musk fired both RJ Johnson, the head of Tesla Energy, and Ryan Nungesser, the director of operations at Tesla’s factory in Buffalo, New York, on a call in mid-April of this year.\nWeddle concluded: “No one seems to be worried about the future of the program. Everyone is just worried about the people connected to the program.We still don’t know who’s running things, and I don’t think Tesla does either.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3007,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123030796,"gmtCreate":1624402882415,"gmtModify":1631883954274,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582163380710305","authorIdStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Best buy","listText":"Best buy","text":"Best 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and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104150699","repostId":"1157328258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157328258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620360165,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1157328258?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157328258","media":"Seeking alpha","summary":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entere","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股价目标表明有 30% 的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上一季度的业绩介绍了我对亚马逊 (AMZN) 的全面分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1 价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊的增长在上一季度是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”细分市场的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了近乎线性的趋势。现在，它已经成倍增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场 - 加速依然存在，上一季度的业绩好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）分部也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘亚马逊网络服务’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的业绩来看，有逐渐恢复到之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的收入也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计学上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键分部</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去的10年里，亚马逊的资本化与其收入一直处于定性的线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大家可以看到，首先，这个模型表明公司目前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%的增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2 比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一节中，我根据收入模拟了亚马逊的平衡价格。值得注意的是，如果我们对公司使用倍数的比较估值应用同样的方法，我们将失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数，可以成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3 贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我还从分析师对该公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，营业利润率在最后一年逐步增加到8%是一个非常现实的场景。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用股票风险溢价（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。对于最后一年，我使用了等于1的Beta。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>这是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股票目标价为 4,280 美元，上涨空间为 29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段，并不意味着其资本化不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，该公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的 DCF 模型分析师表明估值被低估了 30%。今年年初，一个类似的模型表明估值被低估了 20%。</li><li>当你看到亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 12:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股价目标表明有 30% 的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上一季度的业绩介绍了我对亚马逊 (AMZN) 的全面分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1 价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊的增长在上一季度是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”细分市场的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了近乎线性的趋势。现在，它已经成倍增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场 - 加速依然存在，上一季度的业绩好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）分部也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘亚马逊网络服务’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的业绩来看，有逐渐恢复到之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的收入也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计学上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键分部</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去的10年里，亚马逊的资本化与其收入一直处于定性的线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大家可以看到，首先，这个模型表明公司目前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%的增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2 比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一节中，我根据收入模拟了亚马逊的平衡价格。值得注意的是，如果我们对公司使用倍数的比较估值应用同样的方法，我们将失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数，可以成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3 贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我还从分析师对该公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，营业利润率在最后一年逐步增加到8%是一个非常现实的场景。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用股票风险溢价（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。对于最后一年，我使用了等于1的Beta。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>这是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股票目标价为 4,280 美元，上涨空间为 29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段，并不意味着其资本化不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，该公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的 DCF 模型分析师表明估值被低估了 30%。今年年初，一个类似的模型表明估值被低估了 20%。</li><li>当你看到亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company\">Seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157328258","content_text":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.#1 Price vs. GrowthFirst of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comGeographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comSo, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growthin all key segments. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThere is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comBased on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is alreadybelow the balanced level. And secondly, it assumes a25% growthin capitalization in the next four quarters.#2 Comparative ValuationIn the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.#3 Discounted Cash Flow ModelWhen predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:Source: Seeking Alpha ProWhen predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:Source: AuthorSome explanations:In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.Here is the model itself:(In high resolution)Source: AuthorThe DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.Final thoughtsAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company isundervalued.Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company ismuch cheaperthan the market.DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105985407,"gmtCreate":1620264221609,"gmtModify":1634206550538,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582163380710305","authorIdStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105985407","repostId":"1185637253","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185637253","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620261899,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185637253?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-06 08:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Twilio Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates<blockquote>Twilio 超出第一季度盈利和收入预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185637253","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Twilio (TWLO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.05 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estim","content":"<p>Twilio (TWLO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.05 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.10 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.06 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio (TWLO) 公布的季度收益为每股 0.05 美元，超过了 Zacks 普遍预期的每股亏损 0.10 美元。相比之下，一年前的每股收益为 0.06 美元。该等数字已就非经常性项目作出调整。</blockquote></p><p>This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 150%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post a loss of $0.08 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.04, delivering a surprise of 150%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5a6e8f6fcca2d2af13c1fa49310ac8\" tg-width=\"1430\" tg-height=\"570\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times.</p><p><blockquote>这份季度报告代表了 150% 的盈利惊喜。一个季度前，预计该公司每股亏损 0.08 美元，而实际盈利为 0.04 美元，令人惊讶地增长了 150%。在过去四个季度中，该公司的每股收益四次超出了普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\">Twilio</a>, which belongs to the Zacks Internet - Software industry, posted revenues of $589.99 million for the quarter ended March 2021, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 10.60%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $364.87 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\">特维利奥</a>属于 Zacks 互联网软件行业的 Zacks 公布截至 2021 年 3 月的季度收入为 5.8999 亿美元，超出 Zacks 共识预期 10.60%。相比之下，去年同期的收入为 3.6487 亿美元。在过去四个季度中，该公司的收入四次超出市场普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p>The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on theearnings call.</p><p><blockquote>基于最近公布的数据和未来盈利预期的股票即时价格变动的可持续性将主要取决于管理层对盈利看涨期权的评论。</blockquote></p><p>Twilio shares have added about 1% since the beginning of the year versus the S&amp;P 500's gain of 10.9%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/103df5638cff30beb4e19221ca5f405e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">What's Next for Twilio?</p><p><blockquote>自今年年初以来，Twilio 股价已上涨约 1%，而标准普尔 500 指数则上涨了 10.9%。Twilio的下一步是什么？</blockquote></p><p>While Twilio has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Twilio 今年迄今为止的表现逊于市场，但投资者想到的问题是：该股的下一步走势是什么？</blockquote></p><p>There are no easy answers to this key question, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.</p><p><blockquote>这个关键问题没有简单的答案，但是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>可以帮助投资者解决这个问题的可靠指标是公司的盈利前景。这不仅包括当前对未来几个季度的普遍盈利预期，还包括这些预期最近的变化。</blockquote></p><p>Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.</p><p><blockquote>实证研究表明，近期股票走势与盈利预测修正趋势之间存在很强的相关性。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>可以自行跟踪此类修订，也可以依赖 Zacks Rank 等久经考验的评级工具，该工具在利用盈利预测修订的力量方面拥有令人印象深刻的记录。</blockquote></p><p>Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Twilio was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can seethe complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>在本次财报发布之前，Twilio 的预期修正趋势好坏参半。虽然在公司刚刚发布的收益报告后，预估修正的幅度和方向可能会发生变化，但目前的状态转化为该股的 Zacks 排名#3（持有）。因此，预计该股在不久的将来会与市场保持一致。您可以在此处查看今日 Zacks 排名第一（强力买入）股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is -$0.05 on $571.77 million in revenues for the coming quarter and -$0.14 on $2.43 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>看看未来几天对未来几个季度和当前财年的预测如何变化将会很有趣。目前普遍的每股收益预期为-0.05美元，下一季度收入为5.7177亿美元，本财年收入为24.3亿美元，每股收益为-0.14美元。</blockquote></p><p>Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Internet - Software is currently in the bottom 26% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该注意这样一个事实，即行业的前景也可能对股票的表现产生重大影响。就Zacks行业排名而言，互联网软件目前在250多个Zacks行业中排名倒数26%。我们的研究表明，Zacks 排名前 50% 的行业的表现比垫底 50% 的行业高出 2 比 1 以上。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Twilio Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates<blockquote>Twilio 超出第一季度盈利和收入预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTwilio Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates<blockquote>Twilio 超出第一季度盈利和收入预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-06 08:44</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Twilio (TWLO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.05 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.10 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.06 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio (TWLO) 公布的季度收益为每股 0.05 美元，超过了 Zacks 普遍预期的每股亏损 0.10 美元。相比之下，一年前的每股收益为 0.06 美元。该等数字已就非经常性项目作出调整。</blockquote></p><p>This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 150%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post a loss of $0.08 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.04, delivering a surprise of 150%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5a6e8f6fcca2d2af13c1fa49310ac8\" tg-width=\"1430\" tg-height=\"570\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times.</p><p><blockquote>这份季度报告代表了 150% 的盈利惊喜。一个季度前，预计该公司每股亏损 0.08 美元，而实际盈利为 0.04 美元，令人惊讶地增长了 150%。在过去四个季度中，该公司的每股收益四次超出了普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\">Twilio</a>, which belongs to the Zacks Internet - Software industry, posted revenues of $589.99 million for the quarter ended March 2021, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 10.60%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $364.87 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\">特维利奥</a>属于 Zacks 互联网软件行业的 Zacks 公布截至 2021 年 3 月的季度收入为 5.8999 亿美元，超出 Zacks 共识预期 10.60%。相比之下，去年同期的收入为 3.6487 亿美元。在过去四个季度中，该公司的收入四次超出市场普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p>The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on theearnings call.</p><p><blockquote>基于最近公布的数据和未来盈利预期的股票即时价格变动的可持续性将主要取决于管理层对盈利看涨期权的评论。</blockquote></p><p>Twilio shares have added about 1% since the beginning of the year versus the S&amp;P 500's gain of 10.9%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/103df5638cff30beb4e19221ca5f405e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">What's Next for Twilio?</p><p><blockquote>自今年年初以来，Twilio 股价已上涨约 1%，而标准普尔 500 指数则上涨了 10.9%。Twilio的下一步是什么？</blockquote></p><p>While Twilio has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Twilio 今年迄今为止的表现逊于市场，但投资者想到的问题是：该股的下一步走势是什么？</blockquote></p><p>There are no easy answers to this key question, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.</p><p><blockquote>这个关键问题没有简单的答案，但是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>可以帮助投资者解决这个问题的可靠指标是公司的盈利前景。这不仅包括当前对未来几个季度的普遍盈利预期，还包括这些预期最近的变化。</blockquote></p><p>Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.</p><p><blockquote>实证研究表明，近期股票走势与盈利预测修正趋势之间存在很强的相关性。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>可以自行跟踪此类修订，也可以依赖 Zacks Rank 等久经考验的评级工具，该工具在利用盈利预测修订的力量方面拥有令人印象深刻的记录。</blockquote></p><p>Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Twilio was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can seethe complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>在本次财报发布之前，Twilio 的预期修正趋势好坏参半。虽然在公司刚刚发布的收益报告后，预估修正的幅度和方向可能会发生变化，但目前的状态转化为该股的 Zacks 排名#3（持有）。因此，预计该股在不久的将来会与市场保持一致。您可以在此处查看今日 Zacks 排名第一（强力买入）股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is -$0.05 on $571.77 million in revenues for the coming quarter and -$0.14 on $2.43 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>看看未来几天对未来几个季度和当前财年的预测如何变化将会很有趣。目前普遍的每股收益预期为-0.05美元，下一季度收入为5.7177亿美元，本财年收入为24.3亿美元，每股收益为-0.14美元。</blockquote></p><p>Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Internet - Software is currently in the bottom 26% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该注意这样一个事实，即行业的前景也可能对股票的表现产生重大影响。就Zacks行业排名而言，互联网软件目前在250多个Zacks行业中排名倒数26%。我们的研究表明，Zacks 排名前 50% 的行业的表现比垫底 50% 的行业高出 2 比 1 以上。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWLO":"Twilio Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185637253","content_text":"Twilio (TWLO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.05 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.10 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.06 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 150%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post a loss of $0.08 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.04, delivering a surprise of 150%.Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times.Twilio, which belongs to the Zacks Internet - Software industry, posted revenues of $589.99 million for the quarter ended March 2021, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 10.60%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $364.87 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters.The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on theearnings call.Twilio shares have added about 1% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 10.9%.What's Next for Twilio?While Twilio has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Twilio was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can seethe complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is -$0.05 on $571.77 million in revenues for the coming quarter and -$0.14 on $2.43 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Internet - Software is currently in the bottom 26% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TWLO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":790,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101595271,"gmtCreate":1619921198993,"gmtModify":1634209121304,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582163380710305","authorIdStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101595271","repostId":"1103106179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":918,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101800078,"gmtCreate":1619870395894,"gmtModify":1634209381807,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582163380710305","authorIdStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"[捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101800078","repostId":"1146129324","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146129324","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619795610,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1146129324?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-30 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"1 Question Tesla Investors Need to Ask Themselves<blockquote>特斯拉投资者需要问自己的一个问题</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146129324","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Electric-car companyTeslahas now produced a profit for seven consecutive quarters. Tesla managed aGAAPnet income of $438 million in the first quarter, up from just $16 million one-year prior. It would appear, at least at first glance, that the electric-vehicle  pioneer is on the right track in terms of profitability.The problem is that these profits aren't really coming from the cars that Tesla sells. The company currently generates hundreds of millions of dollars in pure profit each quarter fro","content":"<p>Electric-car company<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)has now produced a profit for seven consecutive quarters. Tesla managed aGAAPnet income of $438 million in the first quarter, up from just $16 million one-year prior. It would appear, at least at first glance, that the electric-vehicle (EV) pioneer is on the right track in terms of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车公司<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）现已连续七个季度实现盈利。特斯拉第一季度 aGAAPnet 收入为 4.38 亿美元，高于去年同期的 1600 万美元。至少乍一看，这家电动汽车（EV）先驱在盈利能力方面似乎走在了正确的轨道上。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that these profits aren't really coming from the cars that Tesla sells. The company currently generates hundreds of millions of dollars in pure profit each quarter from the sale of regulatory credits, a side effect of other automakers not making enough zero-emission vehicles to meet regulatory requirements.</p><p><blockquote>问题是这些利润并不是真正来自特斯拉销售的汽车。该公司目前每个季度从出售监管积分中产生数亿美元的净利润，这是其他汽车制造商没有生产足够的零排放汽车来满足监管要求的副作用。</blockquote></p><p> Regulatory credit sales totaled $518 million in the first quarter, accounting for all of Tesla's profit and then some. This has been the case in previous quarters, as well. In fact, after backing out regulatory credits from Tesla's net income, the company has been unprofitable for six-straight quarters.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度监管信贷销售额总计 5.18 亿美元，占特斯拉的全部利润，然后是部分利润。前几个季度的情况也是如此。事实上，在从特斯拉净利润中扣除监管信贷后，该公司已连续六个季度未盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's bottom line got an additional boost in the first quarter from a gain onthe sale of<b>Bitcoin</b>to the tune of $101 million, which showed up as a reduction in costs. The picture doesn't look so rosy when both regulatory credits and Bitcoin gains are excluded:</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第一季度的利润因销售收益而进一步提升<b>比特币</b>高达 1.01 亿美元，这体现在成本的降低上。当排除监管信贷和比特币收益时，情况看起来并不那么乐观：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0906160cab581f4c8a599b7d0965d34\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> DATA SOURCE: TESLA. CHART BY AUTHOR.</p><p><blockquote>数据来源：特斯拉。作者的图表。</blockquote></p><p> There's no question that Tesla's growth is impressive, but there's also no question that the core business of making and selling cars is not turning a profit. The question Tesla investors need to ask themselves is: If Tesla isn't profitable now, when there's little to no competition in electric vehicles in the United States, what's going to happen when a deluge of competition fromtraditional automakersarrives?</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，特斯拉的增长令人印象深刻，但也毫无疑问，制造和销售汽车的核心业务尚未盈利。特斯拉投资者需要问自己的问题是：如果特斯拉现在没有盈利，当美国电动汽车几乎没有竞争时，当传统汽车制造商的大量竞争到来时会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> A ton of competition is coming</p><p><blockquote>大量的竞争即将到来</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's brand has a cult following, so some people will be buying Tesla vehicles regardless of the other options available. But that's not likely to be the case for most people.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉品牌拥有一批狂热的追随者，因此无论有其他选择，一些人都会购买特斯拉汽车。但对大多数人来说，情况不太可能如此。</blockquote></p><p> The number of electric vehicles available for purchase in the U.S. is set to explode in the coming years.<b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:GM)is planning to launch 30 EVs globally by 2025, with two-thirds set to be sold in North America. The company is aiming to sell 1 million EVs annually in North America by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>未来几年，美国可供购买的电动汽车数量将呈爆炸式增长。<b>通用汽车</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GM）计划到 2025 年在全球推出 30 款电动汽车，其中三分之二将在北美销售。该公司的目标是到 2025 年在北美每年销售 100 万辆电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Those models include electric versions of the company's GMC Hummer and Chevrolet Silverado pickup truck. Tesla has a loyal customer base, but so does GM. Someone who's been a GM truck buyer for years is likely to stick with GM when they decide to switch to an electric vehicle.</p><p><blockquote>这些车型包括该公司 GMC 悍马和雪佛兰索罗德皮卡车的电动版本。特斯拉拥有忠实的客户群，通用汽车也是如此。多年来一直是通用汽车卡车买家的人在决定改用电动汽车时可能会坚持使用通用汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c651279799dfdf96552379a7b5d448a9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GM.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：GM。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford</b>(NYSE:F)is also pouring resources into electric vehicles, allocating $29 billion for electric and autonomous vehicles through 2025. The company's plans include anelectric version of its F-150 pickup truck, which should hit the production lines by mid-2022. Given GM's and Ford's plans, it will not be easy for Tesla to steal away market share in the lucrative pickup-truck segment.</p><p><blockquote><b>福特</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：F）也在向电动汽车投入资源，到 2025 年为电动和自动驾驶汽车拨款 290 亿美元。该公司的计划包括其 F-150 皮卡的电动版本，该版本将于 2022 年中期投产。鉴于通用汽车和福特的计划，特斯拉要在利润丰厚的皮卡领域抢走市场份额并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> Other car companies have big plans, as well.<b>Volkswagen</b>(OTC:VWAGY)already sells over 200,000 EVs annually andexpects that number to double this year. The company is aiming to sell roughly 2 million EVs annually by 2025 and expects to launch 70 EV models by 2030.<b>Toyota</b>(NYSE:TM)willlaunch 15 new electric vehicles by 2025, some of which will be under the new Toyota bZ sub-brand. The list goes on.</p><p><blockquote>其他汽车公司也有宏伟的计划。<b>大众汽车</b>（场外交易代码：VWAGY）每年电动汽车的销量已超过 20 万辆，预计今年这一数字将翻一番。该公司的目标是到 2025 年每年销售约 200 万辆电动汽车，并预计到 2030 年推出 70 款电动汽车车型。<b>丰田</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TM）到 2025 年将推出 15 款新型电动汽车，其中一些将属于新的丰田 bZ 子品牌。这样的例子不胜枚举。</blockquote></p><p> Not only will all these electric vehicles provide consumers with a bevy of options beyond Tesla, but they'll also deprive Tesla of its regulatory-credit income as other automakers churn out an increasing number of EVs.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些电动汽车不仅会为消费者提供特斯拉以外的一系列选择，而且随着其他汽车制造商生产越来越多的电动汽车，它们还会剥夺特斯拉的监管信贷收入。</blockquote></p><p> None of this is to say that Tesla can't be successful in a world where it faces more competition. But turning a profit is is going to get harder with each passing year.</p><p><blockquote>这并不是说特斯拉不能在一个面临更多竞争的世界里取得成功。但随着时间的推移，盈利将变得越来越困难。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>1 Question Tesla Investors Need to Ask Themselves<blockquote>特斯拉投资者需要问自己的一个问题</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n1 Question Tesla Investors Need to Ask Themselves<blockquote>特斯拉投资者需要问自己的一个问题</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-30 23:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Electric-car company<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)has now produced a profit for seven consecutive quarters. Tesla managed aGAAPnet income of $438 million in the first quarter, up from just $16 million one-year prior. It would appear, at least at first glance, that the electric-vehicle (EV) pioneer is on the right track in terms of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车公司<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）现已连续七个季度实现盈利。特斯拉第一季度 aGAAPnet 收入为 4.38 亿美元，高于去年同期的 1600 万美元。至少乍一看，这家电动汽车（EV）先驱在盈利能力方面似乎走在了正确的轨道上。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that these profits aren't really coming from the cars that Tesla sells. The company currently generates hundreds of millions of dollars in pure profit each quarter from the sale of regulatory credits, a side effect of other automakers not making enough zero-emission vehicles to meet regulatory requirements.</p><p><blockquote>问题是这些利润并不是真正来自特斯拉销售的汽车。该公司目前每个季度从出售监管积分中产生数亿美元的净利润，这是其他汽车制造商没有生产足够的零排放汽车来满足监管要求的副作用。</blockquote></p><p> Regulatory credit sales totaled $518 million in the first quarter, accounting for all of Tesla's profit and then some. This has been the case in previous quarters, as well. In fact, after backing out regulatory credits from Tesla's net income, the company has been unprofitable for six-straight quarters.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度监管信贷销售额总计 5.18 亿美元，占特斯拉的全部利润，然后是部分利润。前几个季度的情况也是如此。事实上，在从特斯拉净利润中扣除监管信贷后，该公司已连续六个季度未盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's bottom line got an additional boost in the first quarter from a gain onthe sale of<b>Bitcoin</b>to the tune of $101 million, which showed up as a reduction in costs. The picture doesn't look so rosy when both regulatory credits and Bitcoin gains are excluded:</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第一季度的利润因销售收益而进一步提升<b>比特币</b>高达 1.01 亿美元，这体现在成本的降低上。当排除监管信贷和比特币收益时，情况看起来并不那么乐观：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0906160cab581f4c8a599b7d0965d34\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> DATA SOURCE: TESLA. CHART BY AUTHOR.</p><p><blockquote>数据来源：特斯拉。作者的图表。</blockquote></p><p> There's no question that Tesla's growth is impressive, but there's also no question that the core business of making and selling cars is not turning a profit. The question Tesla investors need to ask themselves is: If Tesla isn't profitable now, when there's little to no competition in electric vehicles in the United States, what's going to happen when a deluge of competition fromtraditional automakersarrives?</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，特斯拉的增长令人印象深刻，但也毫无疑问，制造和销售汽车的核心业务尚未盈利。特斯拉投资者需要问自己的问题是：如果特斯拉现在没有盈利，当美国电动汽车几乎没有竞争时，当传统汽车制造商的大量竞争到来时会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> A ton of competition is coming</p><p><blockquote>大量的竞争即将到来</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's brand has a cult following, so some people will be buying Tesla vehicles regardless of the other options available. But that's not likely to be the case for most people.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉品牌拥有一批狂热的追随者，因此无论有其他选择，一些人都会购买特斯拉汽车。但对大多数人来说，情况不太可能如此。</blockquote></p><p> The number of electric vehicles available for purchase in the U.S. is set to explode in the coming years.<b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:GM)is planning to launch 30 EVs globally by 2025, with two-thirds set to be sold in North America. The company is aiming to sell 1 million EVs annually in North America by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>未来几年，美国可供购买的电动汽车数量将呈爆炸式增长。<b>通用汽车</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GM）计划到 2025 年在全球推出 30 款电动汽车，其中三分之二将在北美销售。该公司的目标是到 2025 年在北美每年销售 100 万辆电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Those models include electric versions of the company's GMC Hummer and Chevrolet Silverado pickup truck. Tesla has a loyal customer base, but so does GM. Someone who's been a GM truck buyer for years is likely to stick with GM when they decide to switch to an electric vehicle.</p><p><blockquote>这些车型包括该公司 GMC 悍马和雪佛兰索罗德皮卡车的电动版本。特斯拉拥有忠实的客户群，通用汽车也是如此。多年来一直是通用汽车卡车买家的人在决定改用电动汽车时可能会坚持使用通用汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c651279799dfdf96552379a7b5d448a9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GM.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：GM。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford</b>(NYSE:F)is also pouring resources into electric vehicles, allocating $29 billion for electric and autonomous vehicles through 2025. The company's plans include anelectric version of its F-150 pickup truck, which should hit the production lines by mid-2022. Given GM's and Ford's plans, it will not be easy for Tesla to steal away market share in the lucrative pickup-truck segment.</p><p><blockquote><b>福特</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：F）也在向电动汽车投入资源，到 2025 年为电动和自动驾驶汽车拨款 290 亿美元。该公司的计划包括其 F-150 皮卡的电动版本，该版本将于 2022 年中期投产。鉴于通用汽车和福特的计划，特斯拉要在利润丰厚的皮卡领域抢走市场份额并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> Other car companies have big plans, as well.<b>Volkswagen</b>(OTC:VWAGY)already sells over 200,000 EVs annually andexpects that number to double this year. The company is aiming to sell roughly 2 million EVs annually by 2025 and expects to launch 70 EV models by 2030.<b>Toyota</b>(NYSE:TM)willlaunch 15 new electric vehicles by 2025, some of which will be under the new Toyota bZ sub-brand. The list goes on.</p><p><blockquote>其他汽车公司也有宏伟的计划。<b>大众汽车</b>（场外交易代码：VWAGY）每年电动汽车的销量已超过 20 万辆，预计今年这一数字将翻一番。该公司的目标是到 2025 年每年销售约 200 万辆电动汽车，并预计到 2030 年推出 70 款电动汽车车型。<b>丰田</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TM）到 2025 年将推出 15 款新型电动汽车，其中一些将属于新的丰田 bZ 子品牌。这样的例子不胜枚举。</blockquote></p><p> Not only will all these electric vehicles provide consumers with a bevy of options beyond Tesla, but they'll also deprive Tesla of its regulatory-credit income as other automakers churn out an increasing number of EVs.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些电动汽车不仅会为消费者提供特斯拉以外的一系列选择，而且随着其他汽车制造商生产越来越多的电动汽车，它们还会剥夺特斯拉的监管信贷收入。</blockquote></p><p> None of this is to say that Tesla can't be successful in a world where it faces more competition. But turning a profit is is going to get harder with each passing year.</p><p><blockquote>这并不是说特斯拉不能在一个面临更多竞争的世界里取得成功。但随着时间的推移，盈利将变得越来越困难。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/30/1-question-tesla-investors-need-to-ask-themselves/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/30/1-question-tesla-investors-need-to-ask-themselves/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146129324","content_text":"Electric-car companyTesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)has now produced a profit for seven consecutive quarters. Tesla managed aGAAPnet income of $438 million in the first quarter, up from just $16 million one-year prior. It would appear, at least at first glance, that the electric-vehicle (EV) pioneer is on the right track in terms of profitability.\nThe problem is that these profits aren't really coming from the cars that Tesla sells. The company currently generates hundreds of millions of dollars in pure profit each quarter from the sale of regulatory credits, a side effect of other automakers not making enough zero-emission vehicles to meet regulatory requirements.\nRegulatory credit sales totaled $518 million in the first quarter, accounting for all of Tesla's profit and then some. This has been the case in previous quarters, as well. In fact, after backing out regulatory credits from Tesla's net income, the company has been unprofitable for six-straight quarters.\nTesla's bottom line got an additional boost in the first quarter from a gain onthe sale ofBitcointo the tune of $101 million, which showed up as a reduction in costs. The picture doesn't look so rosy when both regulatory credits and Bitcoin gains are excluded:\n\nDATA SOURCE: TESLA. CHART BY AUTHOR.\nThere's no question that Tesla's growth is impressive, but there's also no question that the core business of making and selling cars is not turning a profit. The question Tesla investors need to ask themselves is: If Tesla isn't profitable now, when there's little to no competition in electric vehicles in the United States, what's going to happen when a deluge of competition fromtraditional automakersarrives?\nA ton of competition is coming\nTesla's brand has a cult following, so some people will be buying Tesla vehicles regardless of the other options available. But that's not likely to be the case for most people.\nThe number of electric vehicles available for purchase in the U.S. is set to explode in the coming years.General Motors(NYSE:GM)is planning to launch 30 EVs globally by 2025, with two-thirds set to be sold in North America. The company is aiming to sell 1 million EVs annually in North America by 2025.\nThose models include electric versions of the company's GMC Hummer and Chevrolet Silverado pickup truck. Tesla has a loyal customer base, but so does GM. Someone who's been a GM truck buyer for years is likely to stick with GM when they decide to switch to an electric vehicle.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GM.\nFord(NYSE:F)is also pouring resources into electric vehicles, allocating $29 billion for electric and autonomous vehicles through 2025. The company's plans include anelectric version of its F-150 pickup truck, which should hit the production lines by mid-2022. Given GM's and Ford's plans, it will not be easy for Tesla to steal away market share in the lucrative pickup-truck segment.\nOther car companies have big plans, as well.Volkswagen(OTC:VWAGY)already sells over 200,000 EVs annually andexpects that number to double this year. The company is aiming to sell roughly 2 million EVs annually by 2025 and expects to launch 70 EV models by 2030.Toyota(NYSE:TM)willlaunch 15 new electric vehicles by 2025, some of which will be under the new Toyota bZ sub-brand. The list goes on.\nNot only will all these electric vehicles provide consumers with a bevy of options beyond Tesla, but they'll also deprive Tesla of its regulatory-credit income as other automakers churn out an increasing number of EVs.\nNone of this is to say that Tesla can't be successful in a world where it faces more competition. But turning a profit is is going to get harder with each passing year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1032,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":104150699,"gmtCreate":1620366344311,"gmtModify":1634205724955,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582163380710305","idStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104150699","repostId":"1157328258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157328258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620360165,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1157328258?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157328258","media":"Seeking alpha","summary":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entere","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股价目标表明有 30% 的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上一季度的业绩介绍了我对亚马逊 (AMZN) 的全面分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1 价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊的增长在上一季度是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”细分市场的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了近乎线性的趋势。现在，它已经成倍增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场 - 加速依然存在，上一季度的业绩好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）分部也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘亚马逊网络服务’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的业绩来看，有逐渐恢复到之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的收入也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计学上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键分部</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去的10年里，亚马逊的资本化与其收入一直处于定性的线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大家可以看到，首先，这个模型表明公司目前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%的增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2 比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一节中，我根据收入模拟了亚马逊的平衡价格。值得注意的是，如果我们对公司使用倍数的比较估值应用同样的方法，我们将失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数，可以成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3 贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我还从分析师对该公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，营业利润率在最后一年逐步增加到8%是一个非常现实的场景。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用股票风险溢价（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。对于最后一年，我使用了等于1的Beta。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>这是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股票目标价为 4,280 美元，上涨空间为 29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段，并不意味着其资本化不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，该公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的 DCF 模型分析师表明估值被低估了 30%。今年年初，一个类似的模型表明估值被低估了 20%。</li><li>当你看到亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 12:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股价目标表明有 30% 的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上一季度的业绩介绍了我对亚马逊 (AMZN) 的全面分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1 价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊的增长在上一季度是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”细分市场的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了近乎线性的趋势。现在，它已经成倍增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场 - 加速依然存在，上一季度的业绩好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）分部也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘亚马逊网络服务’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的业绩来看，有逐渐恢复到之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的收入也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计学上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键分部</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去的10年里，亚马逊的资本化与其收入一直处于定性的线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大家可以看到，首先，这个模型表明公司目前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%的增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2 比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一节中，我根据收入模拟了亚马逊的平衡价格。值得注意的是，如果我们对公司使用倍数的比较估值应用同样的方法，我们将失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数，可以成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3 贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我还从分析师对该公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，营业利润率在最后一年逐步增加到8%是一个非常现实的场景。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用股票风险溢价（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。对于最后一年，我使用了等于1的Beta。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>这是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>基于 DCF 的亚马逊股票目标价为 4,280 美元，上涨空间为 29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至尚未进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段，并不意味着其资本化不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，该公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的 DCF 模型分析师表明估值被低估了 30%。今年年初，一个类似的模型表明估值被低估了 20%。</li><li>当你看到亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company\">Seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157328258","content_text":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.#1 Price vs. GrowthFirst of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comGeographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comSo, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growthin all key segments. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThere is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comBased on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is alreadybelow the balanced level. And secondly, it assumes a25% growthin capitalization in the next four quarters.#2 Comparative ValuationIn the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.#3 Discounted Cash Flow ModelWhen predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:Source: Seeking Alpha ProWhen predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:Source: AuthorSome explanations:In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.Here is the model itself:(In high resolution)Source: AuthorThe DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.Final thoughtsAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company isundervalued.Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company ismuch cheaperthan the market.DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158159873,"gmtCreate":1625139176892,"gmtModify":1633944388167,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582163380710305","idStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158159873","repostId":"1106223449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106223449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625122086,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1106223449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500创下了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106223449","media":"Barrons","summary":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 5","content":"<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500在上半年上涨了14次10%或以上。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500结束了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年。如果股市持续上涨，请不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月份即将结束，标普500 2021年上半年上涨14.4%。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施则帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和更加鹰派的美联储相结合，引发了人们对市场变得过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫比市场预期更快地采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长可能比投资者预期的放缓得更快，导致这一过程出现回调。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年有14次上涨10%或以上，下半年该指数平均上涨6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年收盘时有 11 个，即 79%。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失发生时，也并没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>唯一的例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在该年下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，标普500一天之内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓的投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得好像想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，2021 年的回调幅度较小，最大跌幅不到 4%。“Instinet 首席市场技术员 Frank Cappelleri 写道：”[标普500]在整个 2021 年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点重新振作起来，始终保持上升趋势。</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年平均涨幅为 6.3%，这将使标普500全年涨幅达到 23% 左右。Fundstrat 的汤姆-李（Tom Lee）说，这将代表着经济衰退中的 “教科书式[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少目前来看，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500创下了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500创下了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500在上半年上涨了14次10%或以上。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500结束了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年。如果股市持续上涨，请不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月份即将结束，标普500 2021年上半年上涨14.4%。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施则帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和更加鹰派的美联储相结合，引发了人们对市场变得过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫比市场预期更快地采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长可能比投资者预期的放缓得更快，导致这一过程出现回调。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年有14次上涨10%或以上，下半年该指数平均上涨6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年收盘时有 11 个，即 79%。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失发生时，也并没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>唯一的例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在该年下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，标普500一天之内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓的投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得好像想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，2021 年的回调幅度较小，最大跌幅不到 4%。“Instinet 首席市场技术员 Frank Cappelleri 写道：”[标普500]在整个 2021 年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点重新振作起来，始终保持上升趋势。</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年平均涨幅为 6.3%，这将使标普500全年涨幅达到 23% 左右。Fundstrat 的汤姆-李（Tom Lee）说，这将代表着经济衰退中的 “教科书式[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少目前来看，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106223449","content_text":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.\nWith June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.\nThe market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.\nThe combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.\nFor those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.\nSince 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.\nEven the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.\nThe one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.\nStill, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.\nThat 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.\nFor now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138861119,"gmtCreate":1621927539031,"gmtModify":1634185429155,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582163380710305","idStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138861119","repostId":"2138163223","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":736,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374703421,"gmtCreate":1619479831563,"gmtModify":1634273177240,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582163380710305","idStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"latest","listText":"latest","text":"latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374703421","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1023,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123030796,"gmtCreate":1624402882415,"gmtModify":1631883954274,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582163380710305","idStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Best buy","listText":"Best buy","text":"Best buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123030796","repostId":"1118580429","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110032065,"gmtCreate":1622416319157,"gmtModify":1634101792536,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582163380710305","idStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Latest new","listText":"Latest new","text":"Latest new","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110032065","repostId":"2138765488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101595271,"gmtCreate":1619921198993,"gmtModify":1634209121304,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582163380710305","idStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101595271","repostId":"1103106179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":918,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103802954,"gmtCreate":1619762573978,"gmtModify":1634210093344,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582163380710305","idStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103802954","repostId":"1153490597","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":669,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377707492,"gmtCreate":1619564101416,"gmtModify":1634211847086,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582163380710305","idStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Latest new","listText":"Latest new","text":"Latest new","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377707492","repostId":"1155157199","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155157199","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619494851,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1155157199?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-27 11:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155157199","media":"Barrons","summary":"Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.  On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.J.P. Mo","content":"<p>Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计微软将在周二收盘后公布 3 月份季度数据时公布强劲的财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.&nbsp; On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.</p><p><blockquote>分析师一致预测营收为 410 亿美元，同比增长 17%，每股收益为 1.78 美元。周一，微软股价创下 262.44 美元的盘中纪录，该股距离首次触及 2 万亿美元估值仅一步之遥。要实现这一目标，该股需要上涨至 264.55 美元。</blockquote></p><p>The shares have gained 18% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，该股已上涨 18%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计该公司的 Azure 和 Office 365 云业务将在本季度再次表现强劲，并将寻找企业运营加速增长的迹象。鉴于最近 PC 购买量的巨大增长，Surface 硬件（笔记本电脑和白板）的销售可能会在本季度强劲，尽管组件短缺可能会导致需求未满足。个人电脑市场的强劲也预示着Windows操作系统的销售。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft breaks down its results into&nbsp;three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.</p><p><blockquote>微软将其业绩分为三个部分：生产力和业务流程，包括Office 365、Dynamics和LinkedIn；智能云，其中包括Azure和企业服务器软件；以及更多的个人计算，包括Windows、Xbox、Surface硬件和Bing。</blockquote></p><p>When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当微软在 1 月底公布第二财季业绩时，首席财务官 Amy Hood 提供了每个部门的收入指导。对于生产力和业务流程，她预计收入为 133.5 亿至 136 亿美元。智能云的看涨期权是收入为147亿至149.5亿美元，而她预测更多个人计算的收入为123亿至127亿美元。如果每个部门的收入达到预测范围的顶部，总收入将达到 412.5 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.</p><p><blockquote>在研究报告中，几位分析师引用了客户和经销商的积极评价，预计业绩将强劲。</blockquote></p><p>Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.</p><p><blockquote>上周，KeyBanc Capital 的 Michael Turits 重申了对该股的跑赢大盘评级，同时将目标价从 280 美元上调至 295 美元。他表示，该公司可能受益于强劲的 IT 需求和个人电脑出货量的持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我们继续看到微软扩大 Azure 范围、广泛的企业应用创新和积极的捆绑组合在市场上取得成功。“我们采访过的几乎所有北美微软分销商/经销商都报告说，微软渠道收入达到或超过了计划”。</blockquote></p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师 Mark Murphy 在自己对微软产品经销商进行的最新调查中对前景感到鼓舞。他说，在企业需求改善的推动下，这些公司的微软商品季度销售额平均比预期高出 3.3%。他报告了公司整个企业产品线的实力，Azure、Teams、Office 365 和安全产品等领域都取得了增长。Murphy 对跑赢大盘微软的评级，并将股价目标定为 245 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives&nbsp;forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush 分析师丹-艾夫斯（Dan Ives）预测，在 Azure 至少增长 45% 的推动下，“又一个杰作季度”，他认为 Azure 正在从亚马逊网络服务手中夺走市场份额。他说，当前的在家办公环境鼓励更多企业向基于云的运营做出战略举措，“微软全面展开，Azure 的增长依然强劲”。他维持跑赢大盘评级，目标股价为300美元。</blockquote></p><p>Citi analyst Tyler Radke&nbsp;last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师泰勒-拉德克（Tyler Radke）上周重申了对微软股票的买入评级，将目标价从 292 美元上调至 302 美元，并在业绩公布前对该股进行了 “积极催化剂观察”。他写道，对经销商的调查和渠道检查相结合，让他更有信心微软能够推动所有三个主要业务部门的收入，消费者和企业对个人电脑的需求都很强劲，服务器软件的强劲升级活动也很活跃，Azure 也因 “企业消费持续强劲增长 ”而持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-27 11:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计微软将在周二收盘后公布 3 月份季度数据时公布强劲的财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.&nbsp; On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.</p><p><blockquote>分析师一致预测营收为 410 亿美元，同比增长 17%，每股收益为 1.78 美元。周一，微软股价创下 262.44 美元的盘中纪录，该股距离首次触及 2 万亿美元估值仅一步之遥。要实现这一目标，该股需要上涨至 264.55 美元。</blockquote></p><p>The shares have gained 18% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，该股已上涨 18%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计该公司的 Azure 和 Office 365 云业务将在本季度再次表现强劲，并将寻找企业运营加速增长的迹象。鉴于最近 PC 购买量的巨大增长，Surface 硬件（笔记本电脑和白板）的销售可能会在本季度强劲，尽管组件短缺可能会导致需求未满足。个人电脑市场的强劲也预示着Windows操作系统的销售。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft breaks down its results into&nbsp;three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.</p><p><blockquote>微软将其业绩分为三个部分：生产力和业务流程，包括Office 365、Dynamics和LinkedIn；智能云，其中包括Azure和企业服务器软件；以及更多的个人计算，包括Windows、Xbox、Surface硬件和Bing。</blockquote></p><p>When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当微软在 1 月底公布第二财季业绩时，首席财务官 Amy Hood 提供了每个部门的收入指导。对于生产力和业务流程，她预计收入为 133.5 亿至 136 亿美元。智能云的看涨期权是收入为147亿至149.5亿美元，而她预测更多个人计算的收入为123亿至127亿美元。如果每个部门的收入达到预测范围的顶部，总收入将达到 412.5 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.</p><p><blockquote>在研究报告中，几位分析师引用了客户和经销商的积极评价，预计业绩将强劲。</blockquote></p><p>Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.</p><p><blockquote>上周，KeyBanc Capital 的 Michael Turits 重申了对该股的跑赢大盘评级，同时将目标价从 280 美元上调至 295 美元。他表示，该公司可能受益于强劲的 IT 需求和个人电脑出货量的持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我们继续看到微软扩大 Azure 范围、广泛的企业应用创新和积极的捆绑组合在市场上取得成功。“我们采访过的几乎所有北美微软分销商/经销商都报告说，微软渠道收入达到或超过了计划”。</blockquote></p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师 Mark Murphy 在自己对微软产品经销商进行的最新调查中对前景感到鼓舞。他说，在企业需求改善的推动下，这些公司的微软商品季度销售额平均比预期高出 3.3%。他报告了公司整个企业产品线的实力，Azure、Teams、Office 365 和安全产品等领域都取得了增长。Murphy 对跑赢大盘微软的评级，并将股价目标定为 245 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives&nbsp;forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush 分析师丹-艾夫斯（Dan Ives）预测，在 Azure 至少增长 45% 的推动下，“又一个杰作季度”，他认为 Azure 正在从亚马逊网络服务手中夺走市场份额。他说，当前的在家办公环境鼓励更多企业向基于云的运营做出战略举措，“微软全面展开，Azure 的增长依然强劲”。他维持跑赢大盘评级，目标股价为300美元。</blockquote></p><p>Citi analyst Tyler Radke&nbsp;last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师泰勒-拉德克（Tyler Radke）上周重申了对微软股票的买入评级，将目标价从 292 美元上调至 302 美元，并在业绩公布前对该股进行了 “积极催化剂观察”。他写道，对经销商的调查和渠道检查相结合，让他更有信心微软能够推动所有三个主要业务部门的收入，消费者和企业对个人电脑的需求都很强劲，服务器软件的强劲升级活动也很活跃，Azure 也因 “企业消费持续强劲增长 ”而持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-nears-2-trillion-market-cap-earnings-are-tuesday-51619457928?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-nears-2-trillion-market-cap-earnings-are-tuesday-51619457928?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155157199","content_text":"Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.  On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.The shares have gained 18% year to date.Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system. Microsoft breaks down its results into three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.Wedbush analyst Dan Ives forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.Citi analyst Tyler Radke last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377593818,"gmtCreate":1619533785234,"gmtModify":1634211977995,"author":{"id":"3582163380710305","authorId":"3582163380710305","name":"Essnck","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582163380710305","idStr":"3582163380710305"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"latest","listText":"latest","text":"latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377593818","repostId":"1155157199","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155157199","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619494851,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1155157199?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-27 11:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155157199","media":"Barrons","summary":"Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.  On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.J.P. Mo","content":"<p>Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计微软将在周二收盘后公布 3 月份季度数据时公布强劲的财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.&nbsp; On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.</p><p><blockquote>分析师一致预测营收为 410 亿美元，同比增长 17%，每股收益为 1.78 美元。周一，微软股价创下 262.44 美元的盘中纪录，该股距离首次触及 2 万亿美元估值仅一步之遥。要实现这一目标，该股需要上涨至 264.55 美元。</blockquote></p><p>The shares have gained 18% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，该股已上涨 18%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计该公司的 Azure 和 Office 365 云业务将在本季度再次表现强劲，并将寻找企业运营加速增长的迹象。鉴于最近 PC 购买量的巨大增长，Surface 硬件（笔记本电脑和白板）的销售可能会在本季度强劲，尽管组件短缺可能会导致需求未满足。个人电脑市场的强劲也预示着Windows操作系统的销售。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft breaks down its results into&nbsp;three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.</p><p><blockquote>微软将其业绩分为三个部分：生产力和业务流程，包括Office 365、Dynamics和LinkedIn；智能云，其中包括Azure和企业服务器软件；以及更多的个人计算，包括Windows、Xbox、Surface硬件和Bing。</blockquote></p><p>When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当微软在 1 月底公布第二财季业绩时，首席财务官 Amy Hood 提供了每个部门的收入指导。对于生产力和业务流程，她预计收入为 133.5 亿至 136 亿美元。智能云的看涨期权是收入为147亿至149.5亿美元，而她预测更多个人计算的收入为123亿至127亿美元。如果每个部门的收入达到预测范围的顶部，总收入将达到 412.5 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.</p><p><blockquote>在研究报告中，几位分析师引用了客户和经销商的积极评价，预计业绩将强劲。</blockquote></p><p>Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.</p><p><blockquote>上周，KeyBanc Capital 的 Michael Turits 重申了对该股的跑赢大盘评级，同时将目标价从 280 美元上调至 295 美元。他表示，该公司可能受益于强劲的 IT 需求和个人电脑出货量的持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我们继续看到微软扩大 Azure 范围、广泛的企业应用创新和积极的捆绑组合在市场上取得成功。“我们采访过的几乎所有北美微软分销商/经销商都报告说，微软渠道收入达到或超过了计划”。</blockquote></p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师 Mark Murphy 在自己对微软产品经销商进行的最新调查中对前景感到鼓舞。他说，在企业需求改善的推动下，这些公司的微软商品季度销售额平均比预期高出 3.3%。他报告了公司整个企业产品线的实力，Azure、Teams、Office 365 和安全产品等领域都取得了增长。Murphy 对跑赢大盘微软的评级，并将股价目标定为 245 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives&nbsp;forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush 分析师丹-艾夫斯（Dan Ives）预测，在 Azure 至少增长 45% 的推动下，“又一个杰作季度”，他认为 Azure 正在从亚马逊网络服务手中夺走市场份额。他说，当前的在家办公环境鼓励更多企业向基于云的运营做出战略举措，“微软全面展开，Azure 的增长依然强劲”。他维持跑赢大盘评级，目标股价为300美元。</blockquote></p><p>Citi analyst Tyler Radke&nbsp;last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师泰勒-拉德克（Tyler Radke）上周重申了对微软股票的买入评级，将目标价从 292 美元上调至 302 美元，并在业绩公布前对该股进行了 “积极催化剂观察”。他写道，对经销商的调查和渠道检查相结合，让他更有信心微软能够推动所有三个主要业务部门的收入，消费者和企业对个人电脑的需求都很强劲，服务器软件的强劲升级活动也很活跃，Azure 也因 “企业消费持续强劲增长 ”而持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-27 11:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计微软将在周二收盘后公布 3 月份季度数据时公布强劲的财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.&nbsp; On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.</p><p><blockquote>分析师一致预测营收为 410 亿美元，同比增长 17%，每股收益为 1.78 美元。周一，微软股价创下 262.44 美元的盘中纪录，该股距离首次触及 2 万亿美元估值仅一步之遥。要实现这一目标，该股需要上涨至 264.55 美元。</blockquote></p><p>The shares have gained 18% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，该股已上涨 18%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计该公司的 Azure 和 Office 365 云业务将在本季度再次表现强劲，并将寻找企业运营加速增长的迹象。鉴于最近 PC 购买量的巨大增长，Surface 硬件（笔记本电脑和白板）的销售可能会在本季度强劲，尽管组件短缺可能会导致需求未满足。个人电脑市场的强劲也预示着Windows操作系统的销售。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft breaks down its results into&nbsp;three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.</p><p><blockquote>微软将其业绩分为三个部分：生产力和业务流程，包括Office 365、Dynamics和LinkedIn；智能云，其中包括Azure和企业服务器软件；以及更多的个人计算，包括Windows、Xbox、Surface硬件和Bing。</blockquote></p><p>When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当微软在 1 月底公布第二财季业绩时，首席财务官 Amy Hood 提供了每个部门的收入指导。对于生产力和业务流程，她预计收入为 133.5 亿至 136 亿美元。智能云的看涨期权是收入为147亿至149.5亿美元，而她预测更多个人计算的收入为123亿至127亿美元。如果每个部门的收入达到预测范围的顶部，总收入将达到 412.5 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.</p><p><blockquote>在研究报告中，几位分析师引用了客户和经销商的积极评价，预计业绩将强劲。</blockquote></p><p>Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.</p><p><blockquote>上周，KeyBanc Capital 的 Michael Turits 重申了对该股的跑赢大盘评级，同时将目标价从 280 美元上调至 295 美元。他表示，该公司可能受益于强劲的 IT 需求和个人电脑出货量的持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我们继续看到微软扩大 Azure 范围、广泛的企业应用创新和积极的捆绑组合在市场上取得成功。“我们采访过的几乎所有北美微软分销商/经销商都报告说，微软渠道收入达到或超过了计划”。</blockquote></p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师 Mark Murphy 在自己对微软产品经销商进行的最新调查中对前景感到鼓舞。他说，在企业需求改善的推动下，这些公司的微软商品季度销售额平均比预期高出 3.3%。他报告了公司整个企业产品线的实力，Azure、Teams、Office 365 和安全产品等领域都取得了增长。Murphy 对跑赢大盘微软的评级，并将股价目标定为 245 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives&nbsp;forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush 分析师丹-艾夫斯（Dan Ives）预测，在 Azure 至少增长 45% 的推动下，“又一个杰作季度”，他认为 Azure 正在从亚马逊网络服务手中夺走市场份额。他说，当前的在家办公环境鼓励更多企业向基于云的运营做出战略举措，“微软全面展开，Azure 的增长依然强劲”。他维持跑赢大盘评级，目标股价为300美元。</blockquote></p><p>Citi analyst Tyler Radke&nbsp;last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师泰勒-拉德克（Tyler Radke）上周重申了对微软股票的买入评级，将目标价从 292 美元上调至 302 美元，并在业绩公布前对该股进行了 “积极催化剂观察”。他写道，对经销商的调查和渠道检查相结合，让他更有信心微软能够推动所有三个主要业务部门的收入，消费者和企业对个人电脑的需求都很强劲，服务器软件的强劲升级活动也很活跃，Azure 也因 “企业消费持续强劲增长 ”而持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-nears-2-trillion-market-cap-earnings-are-tuesday-51619457928?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-nears-2-trillion-market-cap-earnings-are-tuesday-51619457928?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155157199","content_text":"Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.  On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.The shares have gained 18% year to date.Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system. Microsoft breaks down its results into three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.Wedbush analyst Dan Ives forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.Citi analyst Tyler Radke last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}