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Darylzhuo

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2021-10-21

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2021-10-21

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Tesla beats Q3 revenue estimates but supply-chain problems impacting factories<blockquote>特斯拉第三季度收入超出预期，但供应链问题影响工厂</blockquote>

2021-10-21

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2021-10-11

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2021-10-11

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2021-10-09

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S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国 9 月份就业岗位未达预期后标普500收低</blockquote>

2021-10-09

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2021-10-08

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What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?<blockquote>2100万被全部开采后，比特币会发生什么？</blockquote>

2021-10-08

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September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>

2021-10-07

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2021-10-07

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2021-10-07

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2021-10-05

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Fed's Bullard: U.S. businesses having no problems raising prices<blockquote>美联储布拉德：美国企业提价没有问题</blockquote>

2021-10-05

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2021-10-04

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2021-10-02

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2021-10-02

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2021-10-02

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2021-10-01

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Stock Market’s September Slump Exposes Messy Underside<blockquote>九月份股市暴跌暴露了混乱的底部</blockquote>

2021-10-01

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Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853329696","repostId":"1181020907","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181020907","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634769732,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1181020907?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-21 06:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla beats Q3 revenue estimates but supply-chain problems impacting factories<blockquote>特斯拉第三季度收入超出预期，但供应链问题影响工厂</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181020907","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla Inc on Wednesday beat Wall Street expectations for third-quarter revenue on the back of record deliveries as the electric car maker navigated through a prolonged global shortage of chips and raw materials.Tesla said it aims to increase production in the fourth quarter from the previous quarter, adding that \"the magnitude of growth will be determined largely by outside factors.\". 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Analysts had expected revenue of about $13.63 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>收入从去年同期的 87.7 亿美元增至 137.6 亿美元。根据 Refinitiv 的 IBES 数据，分析师此前预计收入约为 136.3 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's automotive gross margin, excluding environmental credits, rose to 28.8%, from 25.8% the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉不包括环境信用的汽车毛利率从上一季度的 25.8% 上升至 28.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has been raising prices in the United States, which helped cushion the impact of the supply-chain costs, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉一直在提高美国的价格，这有助于缓冲供应链成本的影响。</blockquote></p><p> \"Tesla's average selling price (ASP) of vehicles were higher than expected and the U.S. market drove that,\" said Gene Munster, managing partner at venture capital firm Loup Ventures, an investor in Tesla. Tesla said its ongoing cost-cutting efforts helped counter the declines in its ASPs stemming from sales of lower-priced vehicles like the Model 3 and Model Y.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉投资者风险投资公司 Loup Ventures 的执行合伙人吉恩·蒙斯特 (Gene Munster) 表示：“特斯拉的汽车平均售价 (ASP) 高于预期，而美国市场推动了这一趋势。”特斯拉表示，其持续的成本削减努力有助于抵消 Model 3 和 Model Y 等低价汽车销售导致的平均售价下降。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has cut costs with the use of more Chinese parts including batteries. The company posted robust sales in China, where its Shanghai factory has surpassed the Tesla factory in Fremont, California, in terms of production.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉通过使用包括电池在内的更多中国零部件来削减成本。该公司在中国的销售强劲，其上海工厂的产量已经超过了位于加州弗里蒙特的特斯拉工厂。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdf4574208dc79952acb2a1ca49c22b2\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla beats Q3 revenue estimates but supply-chain problems impacting factories<blockquote>特斯拉第三季度收入超出预期，但供应链问题影响工厂</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla beats Q3 revenue estimates but supply-chain problems impacting factories<blockquote>特斯拉第三季度收入超出预期，但供应链问题影响工厂</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-21 06:42</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla Inc&nbsp;on Wednesday beat Wall Street expectations for third-quarter revenue on the back of record deliveries as the electric car maker navigated through a prolonged global shortage of chips and raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商特斯拉周三的第三季度收入超出了华尔街的预期，交付量创纪录，因为这家电动汽车制造商克服了全球芯片和原材料长期短缺的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said it aims to increase production in the fourth quarter from the previous quarter, adding that \"the magnitude of growth will be determined largely by outside factors.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，其目标是在第四季度比上一季度增加产量，并补充说“增长的幅度将在很大程度上取决于外部因素。”</blockquote></p><p> \"A variety of challenges, including semiconductor shortages, congestion at ports and rolling blackouts, have been impacting our ability to keep factories running at full speed,\" the company said.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示：“包括半导体短缺、港口拥堵和轮流停电在内的各种挑战一直在影响我们保持工厂全速运行的能力。”</blockquote></p><p> Tesla, the world's most valuable automaker, has weathered the pandemic and the global supply-chain crisis better than rivals, posting record revenue for the fifth consecutive quarter in the July to September period, fueled by a production ramp-up at its Chinese factory.</p><p><blockquote>全球最有价值的汽车制造商特斯拉比竞争对手更好地抵御了疫情和全球供应链危机，在中国工厂产量增加的推动下，7 月至 9 月期间连续第五个季度实现创纪录的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Led by billionaire Elon Musk, Tesla faces challenges of maintaining its growth in the face of a prolonged chip shortage, with its factories starting production in Berlin and Texas this year.</p><p><blockquote>在亿万富翁埃隆·马斯克的领导下，面对长期的芯片短缺，特斯拉面临着维持增长的挑战，其在柏林和德克萨斯的工厂今年开始生产。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares, up about 23% this year, were down about 1.6% in extended trade late on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价今年上涨约 23%，但在周三晚间的盘后交易中下跌约 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d998d6369e593952a4c3d57b9224c4a6\" tg-width=\"848\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Revenue rose to $13.76 billion from $8.77 billion a year earlier. Analysts had expected revenue of about $13.63 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>收入从去年同期的 87.7 亿美元增至 137.6 亿美元。根据 Refinitiv 的 IBES 数据，分析师此前预计收入约为 136.3 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's automotive gross margin, excluding environmental credits, rose to 28.8%, from 25.8% the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉不包括环境信用的汽车毛利率从上一季度的 25.8% 上升至 28.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has been raising prices in the United States, which helped cushion the impact of the supply-chain costs, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉一直在提高美国的价格，这有助于缓冲供应链成本的影响。</blockquote></p><p> \"Tesla's average selling price (ASP) of vehicles were higher than expected and the U.S. market drove that,\" said Gene Munster, managing partner at venture capital firm Loup Ventures, an investor in Tesla. Tesla said its ongoing cost-cutting efforts helped counter the declines in its ASPs stemming from sales of lower-priced vehicles like the Model 3 and Model Y.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉投资者风险投资公司 Loup Ventures 的执行合伙人吉恩·蒙斯特 (Gene Munster) 表示：“特斯拉的汽车平均售价 (ASP) 高于预期，而美国市场推动了这一趋势。”特斯拉表示，其持续的成本削减努力有助于抵消 Model 3 和 Model Y 等低价汽车销售导致的平均售价下降。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has cut costs with the use of more Chinese parts including batteries. The company posted robust sales in China, where its Shanghai factory has surpassed the Tesla factory in Fremont, California, in terms of production.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉通过使用包括电池在内的更多中国零部件来削减成本。该公司在中国的销售强劲，其上海工厂的产量已经超过了位于加州弗里蒙特的特斯拉工厂。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdf4574208dc79952acb2a1ca49c22b2\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181020907","content_text":"Tesla Inc on Wednesday beat Wall Street expectations for third-quarter revenue on the back of record deliveries as the electric car maker navigated through a prolonged global shortage of chips and raw materials.\nTesla said it aims to increase production in the fourth quarter from the previous quarter, adding that \"the magnitude of growth will be determined largely by outside factors.\"\n\"A variety of challenges, including semiconductor shortages, congestion at ports and rolling blackouts, have been impacting our ability to keep factories running at full speed,\" the company said.\nTesla, the world's most valuable automaker, has weathered the pandemic and the global supply-chain crisis better than rivals, posting record revenue for the fifth consecutive quarter in the July to September period, fueled by a production ramp-up at its Chinese factory.\nLed by billionaire Elon Musk, Tesla faces challenges of maintaining its growth in the face of a prolonged chip shortage, with its factories starting production in Berlin and Texas this year.\nTesla shares, up about 23% this year, were down about 1.6% in extended trade late on Wednesday.\n\nRevenue rose to $13.76 billion from $8.77 billion a year earlier. Analysts had expected revenue of about $13.63 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.\nTesla's automotive gross margin, excluding environmental credits, rose to 28.8%, from 25.8% the previous quarter.\nTesla has been raising prices in the United States, which helped cushion the impact of the supply-chain costs, analysts said.\n\"Tesla's average selling price (ASP) of vehicles were higher than expected and the U.S. market drove that,\" said Gene Munster, managing partner at venture capital firm Loup Ventures, an investor in Tesla. Tesla said its ongoing cost-cutting efforts helped counter the declines in its ASPs stemming from sales of lower-priced vehicles like the Model 3 and Model Y.\nTesla has cut costs with the use of more Chinese parts including batteries. The company posted robust sales in China, where its Shanghai factory has surpassed the Tesla factory in Fremont, California, in terms of production.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853320706,"gmtCreate":1634775004468,"gmtModify":1634775004843,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853320706","repostId":"2177314294","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828235245,"gmtCreate":1633915475590,"gmtModify":1633915475704,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828235245","repostId":"1199866742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828235900,"gmtCreate":1633915444559,"gmtModify":1633915444673,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828235900","repostId":"2174979414","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821258339,"gmtCreate":1633750564562,"gmtModify":1633750564929,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821258339","repostId":"1100565546","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100565546","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633734823,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1100565546?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国 9 月份就业岗位未达预期后标普500收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100565546","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable op","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大股指在盘中的大部分时间里涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所回落。这三个指数均出现周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>康卡斯特公司（Comcast Corp）在富国银行（Wells Fargo）下调了该媒体公司的目标价后暴跌，而特许通信公司（Charter Communications Inc）在富国银行（Wells Fargo）将该有线电视运营商的评级从 “跑赢大盘 ”下调至 “跑输大盘 ”后暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源行业指数上涨 3.1%，其中油价本周上涨超过 4%，原因是全球能源危机将油价推至 2014 年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过 2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，9月份美国经济创造的就业岗位是九个月来最少的，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业工人短缺。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约 BK 资产管理公司董事总经理凯西-连（Kathy Lien）说：”我认为美联储已经非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅就业报告就能在 11 月份缩减规模。“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货定价为美联储明年 11 月或 12 月收紧 25 个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点，标普500指数下跌0.19%，至4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.51%，至 14,579.54 点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克指数上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先发布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长 30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>路孚特表示，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近 30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约 SoFi 投资策略主管 Liz Young 警告说：”我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。“如果供应链问题推高了成本上升，那么一家拥有强大定价权的公司就可以转嫁这些不断上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺的问题。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.24 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.52 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 26 个 52 周新高和 3 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国 9 月份就业岗位未达预期后标普500收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国 9 月份就业岗位未达预期后标普500收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-09 07:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大股指在盘中的大部分时间里涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所回落。这三个指数均出现周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>康卡斯特公司（Comcast Corp）在富国银行（Wells Fargo）下调了该媒体公司的目标价后暴跌，而特许通信公司（Charter Communications Inc）在富国银行（Wells Fargo）将该有线电视运营商的评级从 “跑赢大盘 ”下调至 “跑输大盘 ”后暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源行业指数上涨 3.1%，其中油价本周上涨超过 4%，原因是全球能源危机将油价推至 2014 年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过 2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，9月份美国经济创造的就业岗位是九个月来最少的，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业工人短缺。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约 BK 资产管理公司董事总经理凯西-连（Kathy Lien）说：”我认为美联储已经非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅就业报告就能在 11 月份缩减规模。“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货定价为美联储明年 11 月或 12 月收紧 25 个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点，标普500指数下跌0.19%，至4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.51%，至 14,579.54 点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克指数上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先发布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长 30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>路孚特表示，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近 30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约 SoFi 投资策略主管 Liz Young 警告说：”我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。“如果供应链问题推高了成本上升，那么一家拥有强大定价权的公司就可以转嫁这些不断上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺的问题。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.24 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.52 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 26 个 52 周新高和 3 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100565546","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.\nWall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.\nComcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.\nBoth companies were among the biggest drags on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nReal estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.\nThe S&P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.\nChevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&P 500 the greatest lift.\nThe Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.\n“I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”\nFutures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.\nThird-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.\nAnalysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:\nAnalysts on average expect S&P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.\n“I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821251537,"gmtCreate":1633750546261,"gmtModify":1633750546642,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821251537","repostId":"1167388174","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821059883,"gmtCreate":1633678176055,"gmtModify":1633678176503,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821059883","repostId":"1195802602","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195802602","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633749735,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1195802602?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 11:22","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?<blockquote>2100万被全部开采后，比特币会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195802602","media":"Investopedia","summary":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never rea","content":"<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>There are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.</li>  <li>Bitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.</li>  <li>As of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.</li>  <li>When Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.</li>  <li>Bitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.</li>  <li>Bitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.</li> </ul> One of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin&nbsp;is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总共只有2100万个比特币可以开采。</li><li>由于在其代码库中使用了舍入运算符，比特币永远不会达到这个上限。</li><li>截至2021年8月，已经开采了1877万枚比特币，剩下大约230万枚尚未投入流通。</li><li>当比特币达到供应上限时，区块奖励将消失，矿工将依靠加密货币网络上发生的交易费用来获得收入。</li><li>比特币的网络可能会从目前未完成的状态演变为成为货币交易和交易的桥梁。</li><li>比特币加密货币将在金融生态系统中拥有明确的身份。</li></ul>比特币的主要特点之一是供应有限。其他形式的货币，包括法定货币，可以由中央银行随意印刷——也就是说，它们有无限的供应。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be&nbsp;mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the&nbsp;cryptocurrency.</p><p><blockquote>比特币发明家中本聪将比特币的数量上限设定为 2100 万个，这意味着比特币的数量将只有 2100 万个。平均而言，这些比特币以每10分钟一个区块的固定速率被引入比特币供应。此外，上述每个区块中释放的比特币数量每四年减少50%。截至 2021 年 8 月，已有 1870 万枚比特币可用，剩下大约 230 万枚有待开采。供应限制使比特币稀缺，并控制了加密货币无限供应可能导致的通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on&nbsp;block rewards&nbsp;and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币达到供应上限，其经济将会发生变化。其生态系统中各个成员（如矿工和贸易商）的激励措施将会改变。例如，矿工可能较少依赖区块奖励，而更多地依赖交易费用来赚取运营收入和利润。加密货币的网络也将发生变化，其参与者将不同于当前生态系统中的散户交易者。</blockquote></p><p> However, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.</p><p><blockquote>然而，鉴于加密货币相对不发达的生态系统，很难确定地预测比特币达到其供应上限的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币会达到2100万的上限吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Before delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.</p><p><blockquote>在深入探讨比特币 2100 万上限的含义之前，考虑它是否会达到这个数字的问题可能会很有趣。根据加密货币目前的代码库和挖掘过程，一些观察人士表示，比特币可能会接近 2100 万的数字。</blockquote></p><p> To recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，比特币是由矿工“挖掘”的，他们解决密码难题，以验证和验证其网络中发生的一组交易。区块奖励由固定数量的比特币组成，分配给成功确认交易区块的矿工。奖励每四年减半。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d1d9aa1b5581477bf14edfde0292f21\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>The rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>比特币的生产速度大约每四年减半。投资百科</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.</p><p><blockquote>当加密货币推出时，确认一个交易块的奖励是50个比特币。2012年减半至25个比特币，2016年降至12.5个。2020 年 5 月，每个新区块矿工将获得 6.25 比特币。比特币矿工的区块奖励将继续每四年减半，直到最后一个比特币开采完毕。目前对最终比特币开采的估计将日期定在2140年2月。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Important:</b>The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens.  According to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要的：</b>比特币挖矿过程为矿工提供比特币奖励，但奖励大小会定期减少，以控制新代币的流通。根据一本关于比特币工作原理的书的作者Andreas M. Antonopoulos的说法，2100万这个数字是现有比特币数量的“渐近上限”。简而言之，这意味着，虽然它可能会非常接近数字，但加密货币永远不会达到这个极限。这是因为区块奖励和比特币供应从来没有用精确的术语来表达。比特币的代码使用位移运算符——在某些编程语言中，算术运算符使用四舍五入的小数点到最接近的最小整数。因此，6.2589个比特币的总供应量将四舍五入到最接近的最小整数，在本例中为6。</blockquote></p><p> While it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in&nbsp;satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这种做法使计算更容易，但在每次区块确认过程中，这种做法会导致比特币的组成单位聪的损失。一个比特币等于一亿聪。根据一些人的说法，最终的比特币区块将被编号为6,929,999，届时的总供应量将是20,999,999.9769聪。由于比特币使用位移运算符系统，3它的算法将把这个数字四舍五入到20,999,999，使加密货币接近其2100万的目标上限。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当2100万比特币全部被开采时会发生什么？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> A consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a&nbsp;closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.</p><p><blockquote>比特币没有达到计划上限的一个后果是，它留下了加密货币网络在2140年后长期保持功能的可能性。不会发行比特币，但会确认交易区块，费用将成为主要收入来源。最终，比特币的网络可能会像一个封闭的经济体一样运作，其中交易费用的评估方式与税收非常相似。</blockquote></p><p> Can the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.</p><p><blockquote>奖励可以是聪而不是实际的比特币吗？这种做法不太可能发生，需要改变加密货币的协议才能生效。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，很难预测比特币的影响几乎达到中本聪承诺的总体供应量。这部分是因为比特币的生态系统仍然不发达。加密货币最初被认为是一种交换媒介，但它作为一种价值储存手段——一种投资资产——越来越受欢迎。从现在到2140年，比特币的生态系统和运作方式可能会发生转变，类似于其身份发生的转变。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Important:</b>Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要的：</b>尽管最多只能有2100万个比特币，但因为人们丢失了私钥或去世时没有给任何人留下私钥指令，流通中可用比特币的实际数量实际上可能会少数百万。</blockquote></p><p> For example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's&nbsp;blockchain&nbsp;to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create&nbsp;hard&nbsp;or&nbsp;soft forks&nbsp;that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are&nbsp;bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.</p><p><blockquote>例如，加密货币区块链中的协议可能会发生变化，允许超过 2100 万个比特币存在。请记住，比特币是一种开源加密货币，可以更改以创建硬分叉或软分叉，从而创建新的加密货币或改变其功能。前者的一些例子有比特币现金（BCHUSD）、莱特币（LTCUSD）和狗狗币（DOGEUSD），它们对比特币的源代码进行了细微的修改，并创造了新的硬币，这些硬币的市场估值已经达到了数十亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin Miners</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币矿工的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Block rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.</p><p><blockquote>区块奖励和交易费是矿工最重要的收入来源——在当前设置中，前者比后者更重要。比特币的高价格使矿工能够支付运营成本并维持业务利润，因为他们可以在加密货币市场上出售他们的奖励。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币接近极限时，奖励金额可能不足以支付矿商的运营成本，更不用说产生利润了。如果达到供应限制，比特币奖励应该会消失。</blockquote></p><p> In both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value.&nbsp;The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这两种情况下，交易费预计都会弥补这一不足。这些费用的数额和机制取决于比特币网络在那个时间点的状态，即它是被用作交换媒介还是价值储存。前者可能会产生合理的费用，以使比特币能够在日常交易中使用，而后一种情况将使矿工进行更少和更昂贵的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Another possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining&nbsp;is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.</p><p><blockquote>提出的另一种可能性是矿工之间形成卡特尔。他们可能会控制供应以设定高额交易费或保证最低利润的费用金额。自私采矿是另一种可能性。在这种挖掘形式中，矿工相互勾结，隐藏新区块，并释放未经比特币网络确认的孤儿区块。这种做法将延迟比特币网络中最后一个区块的生产，并确保新区块最终被释放到网络中时获得高回报。</blockquote></p><p> The formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by&nbsp;OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.</p><p><blockquote>比特币矿工卡特尔的形成并不是一个影响深远的结论。这种分组已经存在于供应受到限制或控制的其他商品中。例如，石油价格在很大程度上受到欧佩克产量的影响。据报道，钻石行业的价格也是由矿业巨头DeBeers领导的卡特尔制定的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin's Network</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币网络的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> The most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology&nbsp;is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.</p><p><blockquote>比特币最有价值和最有用的方面是它的网络。分布式账本技术是当今大多数金融交易的耗时簿记和会计的技术解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> If Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.</p><p><blockquote>如果未来比特币作为一种交易媒介变得流行，其交易数量将激增。过去的先例表明，网络很有可能会变慢。这是因为比特币的架构依赖于分布式数据库来保存海量账本的副本，为了准确性和完整性而牺牲了速度。</blockquote></p><p> In such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，第二层技术（如闪电网络）很可能会负责确认其网络上的大部分交易。因此，加密货币的实际网络本身将仅用于结算大批量交易。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a&nbsp;reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.</p><p><blockquote>第二种可能性是比特币网络上的交易数量下降。当比特币成为储备资产时，这种情况是可能的。涉及加密货币的交易将会很少。主导当前交易生态系统的零售贸易商和小型贸易公司将被淘汰，取而代之的是大型机构参与者和老牌贸易公司。他们将进行更少、更昂贵的交易，这将使矿商产生高昂的交易费用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency</b></p><p><blockquote><b>加密货币对比特币的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem&nbsp;as a Wild West.</p><p><blockquote>比特币的发明者中本聪设计了这种加密货币，作为日常交易的交换媒介。但其网络交易费用高，处理时间慢。与此同时，它的稀缺性和价格上涨已成为吸引投机投资者的磁石。他们对加密货币轮盘赌的押注导致该资产类别的价格波动剧烈，阻止了认真的投资者远离它。监管机构批评其生态系统是狂野的西部。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the&nbsp;Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have&nbsp;made the cryptocurrency legal tender.</p><p><blockquote>当最后一个比特币被开采（或接近被开采）时，比特币可能会有一个比现在更明确的身份。侧通道，如闪电网络，可能提高了其网络的交易处理速度，并使其能够用作交换媒介。萨尔瓦多等一些国家正在押注这种可能性，并将加密货币定为法定货币。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>FAST&nbsp;FACT</b>    El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency.  In the United States, the latest significant events are the&nbsp;Office of the Comptroller of the Currency&nbsp;(OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.</p><p><blockquote><b>快速事实</b>萨尔瓦多于2021年6月9日将比特币列为法定货币。这是第一个这样做的国家。加密货币可用于企业可以接受的任何交易。美元仍然是萨尔瓦多的主要货币。在美国，最新的重大事件是货币监理署 (OCC) 于 2021 年 1 月致函授权使用加密货币作为支付方式，PayPal控股公司 (PYPL) 推出比特币，以及特斯拉公司 (TSLA) 接受比特币购买特斯拉汽车和太阳能屋顶。特斯拉于 2021 年 5 月改变了接受比特币的方针，理由是比特币采矿所需资源存在环境问题。</blockquote></p><p> The increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.</p><p><blockquote>其数量的日益稀缺也将推高比特币的价格和加密货币市场的相应估值。当越来越多的资本流入某一资产类别时，监管机构往往会迅速采取行动，加密货币市场和比特币很可能也会受到监管保护。这将是机构投资者进入加密货币生态系统并以巨大流动性稳定其价格波动的一个信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.</p><p><blockquote>比特币 2100 万的供应上限旨在控制通货膨胀，否则，无限供应可能会导致通货膨胀。但它使加密货币成为稀缺商品，从而抬高了加密货币的价格。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币达到供应上限时，矿商很可能会从区块奖励转向交易费作为其主要收入来源。侧渠道的发展，如闪电网络，可能会导致比特币的区块链将自己限制在确认大批量交易或涉及大量比特币从其区块链上的一个地址移动到另一个地址的交易。比特币的身份——作为价值储存和交换媒介——也将比现在更明确地定义。</blockquote></p><p> But none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.</p><p><blockquote>但这些预测都不是一成不变的。比特币生态系统发展的动态速度意味着很难准确预测其未来。例如，加密货币的协议可能会被改变，以适应超过2100万个比特币的生产。或者，它可能会接近 2100 万。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Frequently Asked Questions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常见问题</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What is Bitcoin's total supply?</li> </ul> The total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>比特币的总供应量是多少？</li></ul>比特币的总供应量上限为2100万枚。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币的供应极限达到时，矿工费用会发生什么变化？</li></ul>当比特币供应量达到 2100 万时，矿商将依靠交易费而不是区块奖励来获得收入，区块奖励到那时已经消失了。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币达到供应极限时，它的网络会发生什么？</li></ul>当比特币达到2100万的供应限制时，很可能像闪电网络这样的侧面渠道将承担确认其交易的大部分繁重工作。加密货币的区块链只负责确认非常大批次的交易，或者涉及大量比特币从一个地址移动到另一个地址的交易。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?</li> </ul> One consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>如果比特币供应量未能达到 2100 万的上限会发生什么？</li></ul>比特币未能达到计划上限的一个后果是，它留下了加密货币网络在2140年后长期保持功能的可能性。与比特币的经济学保持一致，确认这些区块的回报将是最小的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?<blockquote>2100万被全部开采后，比特币会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?<blockquote>2100万被全部开采后，比特币会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Investopedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-09 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>There are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.</li>  <li>Bitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.</li>  <li>As of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.</li>  <li>When Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.</li>  <li>Bitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.</li>  <li>Bitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.</li> </ul> One of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin&nbsp;is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总共只有2100万个比特币可以开采。</li><li>由于在其代码库中使用了舍入运算符，比特币永远不会达到这个上限。</li><li>截至2021年8月，已经开采了1877万枚比特币，剩下大约230万枚尚未投入流通。</li><li>当比特币达到供应上限时，区块奖励将消失，矿工将依靠加密货币网络上发生的交易费用来获得收入。</li><li>比特币的网络可能会从目前未完成的状态演变为成为货币交易和交易的桥梁。</li><li>比特币加密货币将在金融生态系统中拥有明确的身份。</li></ul>比特币的主要特点之一是供应有限。其他形式的货币，包括法定货币，可以由中央银行随意印刷——也就是说，它们有无限的供应。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be&nbsp;mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the&nbsp;cryptocurrency.</p><p><blockquote>比特币发明家中本聪将比特币的数量上限设定为 2100 万个，这意味着比特币的数量将只有 2100 万个。平均而言，这些比特币以每10分钟一个区块的固定速率被引入比特币供应。此外，上述每个区块中释放的比特币数量每四年减少50%。截至 2021 年 8 月，已有 1870 万枚比特币可用，剩下大约 230 万枚有待开采。供应限制使比特币稀缺，并控制了加密货币无限供应可能导致的通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on&nbsp;block rewards&nbsp;and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币达到供应上限，其经济将会发生变化。其生态系统中各个成员（如矿工和贸易商）的激励措施将会改变。例如，矿工可能较少依赖区块奖励，而更多地依赖交易费用来赚取运营收入和利润。加密货币的网络也将发生变化，其参与者将不同于当前生态系统中的散户交易者。</blockquote></p><p> However, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.</p><p><blockquote>然而，鉴于加密货币相对不发达的生态系统，很难确定地预测比特币达到其供应上限的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币会达到2100万的上限吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Before delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.</p><p><blockquote>在深入探讨比特币 2100 万上限的含义之前，考虑它是否会达到这个数字的问题可能会很有趣。根据加密货币目前的代码库和挖掘过程，一些观察人士表示，比特币可能会接近 2100 万的数字。</blockquote></p><p> To recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，比特币是由矿工“挖掘”的，他们解决密码难题，以验证和验证其网络中发生的一组交易。区块奖励由固定数量的比特币组成，分配给成功确认交易区块的矿工。奖励每四年减半。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d1d9aa1b5581477bf14edfde0292f21\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>The rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>比特币的生产速度大约每四年减半。投资百科</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.</p><p><blockquote>当加密货币推出时，确认一个交易块的奖励是50个比特币。2012年减半至25个比特币，2016年降至12.5个。2020 年 5 月，每个新区块矿工将获得 6.25 比特币。比特币矿工的区块奖励将继续每四年减半，直到最后一个比特币开采完毕。目前对最终比特币开采的估计将日期定在2140年2月。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Important:</b>The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens.  According to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要的：</b>比特币挖矿过程为矿工提供比特币奖励，但奖励大小会定期减少，以控制新代币的流通。根据一本关于比特币工作原理的书的作者Andreas M. Antonopoulos的说法，2100万这个数字是现有比特币数量的“渐近上限”。简而言之，这意味着，虽然它可能会非常接近数字，但加密货币永远不会达到这个极限。这是因为区块奖励和比特币供应从来没有用精确的术语来表达。比特币的代码使用位移运算符——在某些编程语言中，算术运算符使用四舍五入的小数点到最接近的最小整数。因此，6.2589个比特币的总供应量将四舍五入到最接近的最小整数，在本例中为6。</blockquote></p><p> While it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in&nbsp;satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这种做法使计算更容易，但在每次区块确认过程中，这种做法会导致比特币的组成单位聪的损失。一个比特币等于一亿聪。根据一些人的说法，最终的比特币区块将被编号为6,929,999，届时的总供应量将是20,999,999.9769聪。由于比特币使用位移运算符系统，3它的算法将把这个数字四舍五入到20,999,999，使加密货币接近其2100万的目标上限。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当2100万比特币全部被开采时会发生什么？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> A consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a&nbsp;closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.</p><p><blockquote>比特币没有达到计划上限的一个后果是，它留下了加密货币网络在2140年后长期保持功能的可能性。不会发行比特币，但会确认交易区块，费用将成为主要收入来源。最终，比特币的网络可能会像一个封闭的经济体一样运作，其中交易费用的评估方式与税收非常相似。</blockquote></p><p> Can the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.</p><p><blockquote>奖励可以是聪而不是实际的比特币吗？这种做法不太可能发生，需要改变加密货币的协议才能生效。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，很难预测比特币的影响几乎达到中本聪承诺的总体供应量。这部分是因为比特币的生态系统仍然不发达。加密货币最初被认为是一种交换媒介，但它作为一种价值储存手段——一种投资资产——越来越受欢迎。从现在到2140年，比特币的生态系统和运作方式可能会发生转变，类似于其身份发生的转变。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Important:</b>Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.</p><p><blockquote><b>重要的：</b>尽管最多只能有2100万个比特币，但因为人们丢失了私钥或去世时没有给任何人留下私钥指令，流通中可用比特币的实际数量实际上可能会少数百万。</blockquote></p><p> For example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's&nbsp;blockchain&nbsp;to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create&nbsp;hard&nbsp;or&nbsp;soft forks&nbsp;that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are&nbsp;bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.</p><p><blockquote>例如，加密货币区块链中的协议可能会发生变化，允许超过 2100 万个比特币存在。请记住，比特币是一种开源加密货币，可以更改以创建硬分叉或软分叉，从而创建新的加密货币或改变其功能。前者的一些例子有比特币现金（BCHUSD）、莱特币（LTCUSD）和狗狗币（DOGEUSD），它们对比特币的源代码进行了细微的修改，并创造了新的硬币，这些硬币的市场估值已经达到了数十亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin Miners</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币矿工的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Block rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.</p><p><blockquote>区块奖励和交易费是矿工最重要的收入来源——在当前设置中，前者比后者更重要。比特币的高价格使矿工能够支付运营成本并维持业务利润，因为他们可以在加密货币市场上出售他们的奖励。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币接近极限时，奖励金额可能不足以支付矿商的运营成本，更不用说产生利润了。如果达到供应限制，比特币奖励应该会消失。</blockquote></p><p> In both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value.&nbsp;The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这两种情况下，交易费预计都会弥补这一不足。这些费用的数额和机制取决于比特币网络在那个时间点的状态，即它是被用作交换媒介还是价值储存。前者可能会产生合理的费用，以使比特币能够在日常交易中使用，而后一种情况将使矿工进行更少和更昂贵的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Another possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining&nbsp;is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.</p><p><blockquote>提出的另一种可能性是矿工之间形成卡特尔。他们可能会控制供应以设定高额交易费或保证最低利润的费用金额。自私采矿是另一种可能性。在这种挖掘形式中，矿工相互勾结，隐藏新区块，并释放未经比特币网络确认的孤儿区块。这种做法将延迟比特币网络中最后一个区块的生产，并确保新区块最终被释放到网络中时获得高回报。</blockquote></p><p> The formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by&nbsp;OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.</p><p><blockquote>比特币矿工卡特尔的形成并不是一个影响深远的结论。这种分组已经存在于供应受到限制或控制的其他商品中。例如，石油价格在很大程度上受到欧佩克产量的影响。据报道，钻石行业的价格也是由矿业巨头DeBeers领导的卡特尔制定的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin's Network</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对比特币网络的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> The most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology&nbsp;is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.</p><p><blockquote>比特币最有价值和最有用的方面是它的网络。分布式账本技术是当今大多数金融交易的耗时簿记和会计的技术解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> If Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.</p><p><blockquote>如果未来比特币作为一种交易媒介变得流行，其交易数量将激增。过去的先例表明，网络很有可能会变慢。这是因为比特币的架构依赖于分布式数据库来保存海量账本的副本，为了准确性和完整性而牺牲了速度。</blockquote></p><p> In such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，第二层技术（如闪电网络）很可能会负责确认其网络上的大部分交易。因此，加密货币的实际网络本身将仅用于结算大批量交易。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a&nbsp;reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.</p><p><blockquote>第二种可能性是比特币网络上的交易数量下降。当比特币成为储备资产时，这种情况是可能的。涉及加密货币的交易将会很少。主导当前交易生态系统的零售贸易商和小型贸易公司将被淘汰，取而代之的是大型机构参与者和老牌贸易公司。他们将进行更少、更昂贵的交易，这将使矿商产生高昂的交易费用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Effect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency</b></p><p><blockquote><b>加密货币对比特币的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem&nbsp;as a Wild West.</p><p><blockquote>比特币的发明者中本聪设计了这种加密货币，作为日常交易的交换媒介。但其网络交易费用高，处理时间慢。与此同时，它的稀缺性和价格上涨已成为吸引投机投资者的磁石。他们对加密货币轮盘赌的押注导致该资产类别的价格波动剧烈，阻止了认真的投资者远离它。监管机构批评其生态系统是狂野的西部。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the&nbsp;Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have&nbsp;made the cryptocurrency legal tender.</p><p><blockquote>当最后一个比特币被开采（或接近被开采）时，比特币可能会有一个比现在更明确的身份。侧通道，如闪电网络，可能提高了其网络的交易处理速度，并使其能够用作交换媒介。萨尔瓦多等一些国家正在押注这种可能性，并将加密货币定为法定货币。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>FAST&nbsp;FACT</b>    El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency.  In the United States, the latest significant events are the&nbsp;Office of the Comptroller of the Currency&nbsp;(OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.</p><p><blockquote><b>快速事实</b>萨尔瓦多于2021年6月9日将比特币列为法定货币。这是第一个这样做的国家。加密货币可用于企业可以接受的任何交易。美元仍然是萨尔瓦多的主要货币。在美国，最新的重大事件是货币监理署 (OCC) 于 2021 年 1 月致函授权使用加密货币作为支付方式，PayPal控股公司 (PYPL) 推出比特币，以及特斯拉公司 (TSLA) 接受比特币购买特斯拉汽车和太阳能屋顶。特斯拉于 2021 年 5 月改变了接受比特币的方针，理由是比特币采矿所需资源存在环境问题。</blockquote></p><p> The increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.</p><p><blockquote>其数量的日益稀缺也将推高比特币的价格和加密货币市场的相应估值。当越来越多的资本流入某一资产类别时，监管机构往往会迅速采取行动，加密货币市场和比特币很可能也会受到监管保护。这将是机构投资者进入加密货币生态系统并以巨大流动性稳定其价格波动的一个信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.</p><p><blockquote>比特币 2100 万的供应上限旨在控制通货膨胀，否则，无限供应可能会导致通货膨胀。但它使加密货币成为稀缺商品，从而抬高了加密货币的价格。</blockquote></p><p> When Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.</p><p><blockquote>当比特币达到供应上限时，矿商很可能会从区块奖励转向交易费作为其主要收入来源。侧渠道的发展，如闪电网络，可能会导致比特币的区块链将自己限制在确认大批量交易或涉及大量比特币从其区块链上的一个地址移动到另一个地址的交易。比特币的身份——作为价值储存和交换媒介——也将比现在更明确地定义。</blockquote></p><p> But none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.</p><p><blockquote>但这些预测都不是一成不变的。比特币生态系统发展的动态速度意味着很难准确预测其未来。例如，加密货币的协议可能会被改变，以适应超过2100万个比特币的生产。或者，它可能会接近 2100 万。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Frequently Asked Questions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常见问题</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What is Bitcoin's total supply?</li> </ul> The total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>比特币的总供应量是多少？</li></ul>比特币的总供应量上限为2100万枚。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币的供应极限达到时，矿工费用会发生什么变化？</li></ul>当比特币供应量达到 2100 万时，矿商将依靠交易费而不是区块奖励来获得收入，区块奖励到那时已经消失了。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?</li> </ul> When Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>当比特币达到供应极限时，它的网络会发生什么？</li></ul>当比特币达到2100万的供应限制时，很可能像闪电网络这样的侧面渠道将承担确认其交易的大部分繁重工作。加密货币的区块链只负责确认非常大批次的交易，或者涉及大量比特币从一个地址移动到另一个地址的交易。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>What happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?</li> </ul> One consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>如果比特币供应量未能达到 2100 万的上限会发生什么？</li></ul>比特币未能达到计划上限的一个后果是，它留下了加密货币网络在2140年后长期保持功能的可能性。与比特币的经济学保持一致，确认这些区块的回报将是最小的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral\">Investopedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195802602","content_text":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.\nAs of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.\nWhen Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.\nBitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.\nBitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.\n\nOne of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.\nBitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the cryptocurrency.\nAs Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on block rewards and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.\nHowever, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.\nWill Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?\nBefore delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.\nTo recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.\nThe rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia\nWhen the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.\n\nImportant:The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens.\n\nAccording to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.\nWhile it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.\nWhat Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?\nA consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.\nCan the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.\nThat said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.\nImportant:Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.\nFor example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's blockchain to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create hard or soft forks that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.\nEffect on Bitcoin Miners\nBlock rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.\nWhen Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.\nIn both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value. The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.\nAnother possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.\nThe formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.\nEffect on Bitcoin's Network\nThe most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.\nIf Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.\nIn such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.\nA second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.\nEffect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency\nBitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem as a Wild West.\nBy the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have made the cryptocurrency legal tender.\n\nFAST FACT\n\n\n El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency.\n\nIn the United States, the latest significant events are the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.\nThe increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.\nThe Bottom Line\nBitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.\nWhen Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.\nBut none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.\nFrequently Asked Questions\n\nWhat is Bitcoin's total supply?\n\nThe total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.\n\nWhat will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?\n\nWhen Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.\n\nWhat will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?\n\nWhen Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.\n\nWhat happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?\n\nOne consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MBTmain":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821050861,"gmtCreate":1633678068174,"gmtModify":1633678068578,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821050861","repostId":"1135993400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135993400","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633675137,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1135993400?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 14:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135993400","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the mo","content":"<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的初始申请失业救济金报告和稳健的 ADP 私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午 8:30 发布的周五非农就业报告，普遍预计将有 50 万人就业，是上个月令人失望的 23.5 万人就业的两倍多，失业率将降至 5.1%，平均时薪将增至 4.6%。与上个月不同，当时我们正确预测了 8 月份就业人数的重大失误，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个打击，唯一的问题是有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最后24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动力参与率：61.8%，去年61.7%</li><li>平均每小时收益同比：4.6%，去年 4.3%</li><li>平均每周小时数：34.7，最近34.7</li></ul>正如 Newsquawk 在其 NFP 预览中所写的那样，9 月份的就业数据是美联储 11 月 3 日政策会议前的最后一份数据，它将以美联储预期宣布缩减规模为背景，而一份令人满意的报告可能就足以让联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 在 11 月份宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，估计 9 月份非农就业人数增加 60 万人，高于 +50 万人的共识，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9 月 5 日全国范围内增加的失业救济金到期促进了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像 7 月和 8 月提前结束联邦福利的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的数字将增加 20 万，10 月份的数字将增加更多。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业岗位的增长，增加了约15万个。尽管有这些有利因素，大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标具有建设性： 尽管分析师们继续指出，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱，但在过去三份报告中，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱。在 8 月至 9 月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近公布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升，这可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次进入增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张性；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日英国夏令时13:30/美国东部时间08:30发布9月份就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员已有效确认，除非就业数据暴跌，否则美联储将在 11 月 3 日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，因此 9 月份就业报告可能会降低其对交易条件的相关性。因此，交易风险可能会向下行倾斜，而不是向上行倾斜，因为就业数据的大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力是如何取得进展的；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，并正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许在 12 月之前提供资金；有分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>共识预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将是一个比三个月和六个月平均增长率更冷的增长率，尽管与12个月的平均水平一致（3个月平均水平为75万/月，6个月平均水平为65.3万/月，12个月平均水平为50.3万/月——从技术上讲，这至少表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所提高）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛的度量：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（之前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而大流行前为63.2%；U6 就业不足指标此前为 8.8%，而大流行前为 7.0%；就业人口比率此前为58.5%，而疫情前为61.1%。这些松弛的衡量标准可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，近几个月来，许多官员指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业与人口比率，以更好地处理经济中仍然存在的松弛程度。分析师们会受到鼓舞，因为这些数字越接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均每小时收益预计为 +0.4%（之前为 +0.6%）；平均小时收益预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（以前。34.7小时）.汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，增速好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管第二季度的74.8万个工作岗位增加速度明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏继续取得进展。它还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是复苏的最大受益者之一，尽管表示招聘仍然受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，特别是对小公司而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能会为未来几个月的稳健就业增长创造条件。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型纳入了许多以前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；万神殿宏观经济学表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8 月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制 ADP 数据。”“因此，与共识的超调表明，ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超调是模型驱动的，还是由于ADP客户的就业数据更强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与 BLS 就业报告调查窗口相吻合的一周首次申请失业救济人数约为 35.1 万人，与 8 月份就业数据调查窗口的 34.9 万人几乎没有变化，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而可能存在一些挥之不去的飓风艾达的影响；相应的持续索赔数据在9月份调查期间降至280.2万份，而8月份调查期间为290.8万份。总体而言，数据继续指向下降趋势，尽管最近几周申请失业救济人数的水平再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>: 9 月份服务业和制造业 ISM 报告显示了不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从 53.7 小幅放缓至 53.0，表明增长，但速度较慢，而制造业就业分项指数回升至扩张区域，从之前的 49.0 升至 50.2。在制造业方面，ISM 表示，企业仍在努力实现劳动力管理计划，但指出与前几个月相比有一些适度的进展迹象：“不到 5% 的评论指出就业有所改善，而 8 月份则没有，”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘，”其中约 85% 的回答是关于寻求额外的员工，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，这一比例较 8 月份有所增加。ISM 表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论越来越频繁，延续了 8 月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各级都出现了劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>争取一份好于预期的报告</b>:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦增强失业救济金的终止</b>.一些州的联邦福利到期提高了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7 月和 8 月显示，从 6 月到 8 月，失去 300 美元充值付款的工人的求职概率累计增加了 6 个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的求职概率累计增加了 12 个百分点。<b>9 月 5 日失去部分或全部福利的 600 万工人中，有一些人在 9 月 18 日找到了工作--及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将推动就业增长+20万人，随后的报告将有更大的增长（截至年底累计+130万人）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校复课</b>最大的100个学区都开放面对面学习，促使许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员重返校园。虽然就业水平的完全正常化将提供60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前的水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，在其他条件相同的情况下，劳工统计局的季节性因素已经包含了教育工作者通常在夏季裁员时重新招聘的情况，因此，如果重返工作岗位的清洁工少于典型的 9 月份，这将降低经季节性调整后的就业增长。综合来看，在明天的报告中，学校重新开放将带来大约 15 万人的增长。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会劳动力差异——认为工作机会充足的受访者和认为工作机会很难找到的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%降至42.5%，仍然是一个较高的水平。此外，JOLTS 7月份职位空缺增加了74.9万个，达到1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP。</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于市场普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资衡量标准中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8 月份新冠感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。虽然美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放餐桌的餐厅座位仅略有反弹。9 月份休闲和酒店业就业人数有所增长，但可能不会达到 6 月和 7 月每月约 40 万人的增长速度。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查中的就业组成部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数保持在 54.5 不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降 0.4 个百分点至 57.8。高盛分析师指数 (GSAI) 下降 0.8% 至 68.5，而就业成分上升 1.9% 至 71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>8 月至 9 月调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项显示增幅达到或高于共识（人口普查小企业脉冲+50万，ADP+60万，谷歌移动+200万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当疲软，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应逆风大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月份的季节性障碍相对较低：BLS调整因素通常假设私人就业人数（不包括公立学校）下降60-70万人，而7月和8月的平均就业人数约为-10万人。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏季结束时减少裁员。9 月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变，这在一定程度上抵消了这一推动力--特别是与去年 9 月份重新开放推动的就业激增相吻合（私人就业人数 +93.2 万 mom sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济金。</b>尽管个人过渡到或试图过渡到国家计划，但9月份的首次申请失业救济人数有所上升，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万）——但同样是因为非经济原因（联邦增强型计划到期）。从调查周到调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万人。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray &amp; Christmas 报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降 14% 后，9 月份环比反弹 11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，这一指标的裁员仍接近三十年来的最低点（1993 年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 14:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的初始申请失业救济金报告和稳健的 ADP 私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午 8:30 发布的周五非农就业报告，普遍预计将有 50 万人就业，是上个月令人失望的 23.5 万人就业的两倍多，失业率将降至 5.1%，平均时薪将增至 4.6%。与上个月不同，当时我们正确预测了 8 月份就业人数的重大失误，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个打击，唯一的问题是有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最后24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动力参与率：61.8%，去年61.7%</li><li>平均每小时收益同比：4.6%，去年 4.3%</li><li>平均每周小时数：34.7，最近34.7</li></ul>正如 Newsquawk 在其 NFP 预览中所写的那样，9 月份的就业数据是美联储 11 月 3 日政策会议前的最后一份数据，它将以美联储预期宣布缩减规模为背景，而一份令人满意的报告可能就足以让联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 在 11 月份宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，估计 9 月份非农就业人数增加 60 万人，高于 +50 万人的共识，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9 月 5 日全国范围内增加的失业救济金到期促进了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像 7 月和 8 月提前结束联邦福利的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的数字将增加 20 万，10 月份的数字将增加更多。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业岗位的增长，增加了约15万个。尽管有这些有利因素，大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标具有建设性： 尽管分析师们继续指出，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱，但在过去三份报告中，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱。在 8 月至 9 月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近公布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升，这可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次进入增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张性；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日英国夏令时13:30/美国东部时间08:30发布9月份就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员已有效确认，除非就业数据暴跌，否则美联储将在 11 月 3 日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，因此 9 月份就业报告可能会降低其对交易条件的相关性。因此，交易风险可能会向下行倾斜，而不是向上行倾斜，因为就业数据的大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力是如何取得进展的；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，并正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许在 12 月之前提供资金；有分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>共识预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将是一个比三个月和六个月平均增长率更冷的增长率，尽管与12个月的平均水平一致（3个月平均水平为75万/月，6个月平均水平为65.3万/月，12个月平均水平为50.3万/月——从技术上讲，这至少表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所提高）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛的度量：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（之前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而大流行前为63.2%；U6 就业不足指标此前为 8.8%，而大流行前为 7.0%；就业人口比率此前为58.5%，而疫情前为61.1%。这些松弛的衡量标准可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，近几个月来，许多官员指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业与人口比率，以更好地处理经济中仍然存在的松弛程度。分析师们会受到鼓舞，因为这些数字越接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均每小时收益预计为 +0.4%（之前为 +0.6%）；平均小时收益预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（以前。34.7小时）.汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，增速好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管第二季度的74.8万个工作岗位增加速度明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏继续取得进展。它还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是复苏的最大受益者之一，尽管表示招聘仍然受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，特别是对小公司而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能会为未来几个月的稳健就业增长创造条件。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型纳入了许多以前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；万神殿宏观经济学表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8 月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制 ADP 数据。”“因此，与共识的超调表明，ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超调是模型驱动的，还是由于ADP客户的就业数据更强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与 BLS 就业报告调查窗口相吻合的一周首次申请失业救济人数约为 35.1 万人，与 8 月份就业数据调查窗口的 34.9 万人几乎没有变化，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而可能存在一些挥之不去的飓风艾达的影响；相应的持续索赔数据在9月份调查期间降至280.2万份，而8月份调查期间为290.8万份。总体而言，数据继续指向下降趋势，尽管最近几周申请失业救济人数的水平再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>: 9 月份服务业和制造业 ISM 报告显示了不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从 53.7 小幅放缓至 53.0，表明增长，但速度较慢，而制造业就业分项指数回升至扩张区域，从之前的 49.0 升至 50.2。在制造业方面，ISM 表示，企业仍在努力实现劳动力管理计划，但指出与前几个月相比有一些适度的进展迹象：“不到 5% 的评论指出就业有所改善，而 8 月份则没有，”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘，”其中约 85% 的回答是关于寻求额外的员工，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，这一比例较 8 月份有所增加。ISM 表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论越来越频繁，延续了 8 月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各级都出现了劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>争取一份好于预期的报告</b>:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦增强失业救济金的终止</b>.一些州的联邦福利到期提高了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7 月和 8 月显示，从 6 月到 8 月，失去 300 美元充值付款的工人的求职概率累计增加了 6 个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的求职概率累计增加了 12 个百分点。<b>9 月 5 日失去部分或全部福利的 600 万工人中，有一些人在 9 月 18 日找到了工作--及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将推动就业增长+20万人，随后的报告将有更大的增长（截至年底累计+130万人）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校复课</b>最大的100个学区都开放面对面学习，促使许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员重返校园。虽然就业水平的完全正常化将提供60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前的水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，在其他条件相同的情况下，劳工统计局的季节性因素已经包含了教育工作者通常在夏季裁员时重新招聘的情况，因此，如果重返工作岗位的清洁工少于典型的 9 月份，这将降低经季节性调整后的就业增长。综合来看，在明天的报告中，学校重新开放将带来大约 15 万人的增长。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会劳动力差异——认为工作机会充足的受访者和认为工作机会很难找到的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%降至42.5%，仍然是一个较高的水平。此外，JOLTS 7月份职位空缺增加了74.9万个，达到1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP。</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于市场普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资衡量标准中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8 月份新冠感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。虽然美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放餐桌的餐厅座位仅略有反弹。9 月份休闲和酒店业就业人数有所增长，但可能不会达到 6 月和 7 月每月约 40 万人的增长速度。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查中的就业组成部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数保持在 54.5 不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降 0.4 个百分点至 57.8。高盛分析师指数 (GSAI) 下降 0.8% 至 68.5，而就业成分上升 1.9% 至 71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>8 月至 9 月调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项显示增幅达到或高于共识（人口普查小企业脉冲+50万，ADP+60万，谷歌移动+200万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当疲软，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应逆风大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月份的季节性障碍相对较低：BLS调整因素通常假设私人就业人数（不包括公立学校）下降60-70万人，而7月和8月的平均就业人数约为-10万人。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏季结束时减少裁员。9 月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变，这在一定程度上抵消了这一推动力--特别是与去年 9 月份重新开放推动的就业激增相吻合（私人就业人数 +93.2 万 mom sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济金。</b>尽管个人过渡到或试图过渡到国家计划，但9月份的首次申请失业救济人数有所上升，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万）——但同样是因为非经济原因（联邦增强型计划到期）。从调查周到调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万人。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray &amp; Christmas 报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降 14% 后，9 月份环比反弹 11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，这一指标的裁员仍接近三十年来的最低点（1993 年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135993400","content_text":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.\nHere is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:\n\nTotal Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K\nPrivate Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K\nUnemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%\nLabor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%\nAverage Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%\nAverage Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7\n\nAs Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.\nGoldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.\nLabor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.\nPOLICY: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.\nPAYROLLS:The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nMEASURES OF SLACK:The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.\nEARNINGS:Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nADP:The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"\nINITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.\nBUSINESS SURVEYS: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.\nARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nEnd of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).\n\n\n\nSchool reopening. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.\n\n\n\nJob availability. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.\nADP.Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.\n\nARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nDelta variant.Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.\nEmployer surveys. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.\n\nNEUTRAL FACTORS:\n\nBig Data.High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.\nSeasonality.The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).\nJobless claims.Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.\nJob cuts.Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829441680,"gmtCreate":1633537707785,"gmtModify":1633537708158,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. 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Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829441115","repostId":"1141587133","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829441320,"gmtCreate":1633537684976,"gmtModify":1633537685359,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829441320","repostId":"2173091050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820876570,"gmtCreate":1633386776134,"gmtModify":1633386776486,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820876570","repostId":"1185304471","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185304471","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633360698,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185304471?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Bullard: U.S. businesses having no problems raising prices<blockquote>美联储布拉德：美国企业提价没有问题</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185304471","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"(Reuters) - U.S. businesses are having few problems raising prices on customers for the first time i","content":"<p>(Reuters) - U.S. businesses are having few problems raising prices on customers for the first time in years, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said on Monday, as he warned that inflation could remain elevated for some time to come amid fears higher expectations become entrenched.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长詹姆斯·布拉德周一表示，美国企业多年来首次提高客户价格几乎没有问题，他警告称，由于担心更高的预期变得根深蒂固，通胀可能在未来一段时间内保持在高位。</blockquote></p><p> Bullard's business contacts in his Fed district and around the country \"typically say 'don't worry my company's going to be profitable because I am going to raise prices and we've had no difficulty raising prices in this environment,'\" Bullard said during an event held by the International Economic Forum of the Americas.</p><p><blockquote>布拉德在美联储辖区和全国各地的商业联系人“通常会说‘别担心我的公司会盈利，因为我会提高价格，而且我们在这种环境下提高价格没有任何困难’，”布拉德在美洲国际经济论坛举办的一次活动中说道。</blockquote></p><p> Bullard is among the strongest advocates at the U.S. central bank for aggressive moves to combat higher-than-expected inflation and he sees two interest rate hikes needed in 2022. Interest rates remain near zero currently, where they have been since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020.</p><p><blockquote>布拉德是美联储采取积极措施应对高于预期的通胀的最强烈倡导者之一，他认为 2022 年需要两次加息。自2020年初新冠肺炎疫情爆发以来，利率目前仍接近于零。</blockquote></p><p> \"I am concerned about the changing mentality, I would say, around prices in the economy and the relative freedom that businesses feel that they can just pass on increased costs easily to their customers. For years, that's not been the case,\" Bullard added.</p><p><blockquote>“我想说，我担心的是经济中围绕价格的心态变化，以及企业认为可以轻松地将增加的成本转嫁给客户的相对自由。多年来，情况并非如此，”布拉德补充道。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Bullard: U.S. businesses having no problems raising prices<blockquote>美联储布拉德：美国企业提价没有问题</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Bullard: U.S. businesses having no problems raising prices<blockquote>美联储布拉德：美国企业提价没有问题</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-04 23:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - U.S. businesses are having few problems raising prices on customers for the first time in years, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said on Monday, as he warned that inflation could remain elevated for some time to come amid fears higher expectations become entrenched.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长詹姆斯·布拉德周一表示，美国企业多年来首次提高客户价格几乎没有问题，他警告称，由于担心更高的预期变得根深蒂固，通胀可能在未来一段时间内保持在高位。</blockquote></p><p> Bullard's business contacts in his Fed district and around the country \"typically say 'don't worry my company's going to be profitable because I am going to raise prices and we've had no difficulty raising prices in this environment,'\" Bullard said during an event held by the International Economic Forum of the Americas.</p><p><blockquote>布拉德在美联储辖区和全国各地的商业联系人“通常会说‘别担心我的公司会盈利，因为我会提高价格，而且我们在这种环境下提高价格没有任何困难’，”布拉德在美洲国际经济论坛举办的一次活动中说道。</blockquote></p><p> Bullard is among the strongest advocates at the U.S. central bank for aggressive moves to combat higher-than-expected inflation and he sees two interest rate hikes needed in 2022. Interest rates remain near zero currently, where they have been since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020.</p><p><blockquote>布拉德是美联储采取积极措施应对高于预期的通胀的最强烈倡导者之一，他认为 2022 年需要两次加息。自2020年初新冠肺炎疫情爆发以来，利率目前仍接近于零。</blockquote></p><p> \"I am concerned about the changing mentality, I would say, around prices in the economy and the relative freedom that businesses feel that they can just pass on increased costs easily to their customers. For years, that's not been the case,\" Bullard added.</p><p><blockquote>“我想说，我担心的是经济中围绕价格的心态变化，以及企业认为可以轻松地将增加的成本转嫁给客户的相对自由。多年来，情况并非如此，”布拉德补充道。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/feds-bullard-u-businesses-having-151026032.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/feds-bullard-u-businesses-having-151026032.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185304471","content_text":"(Reuters) - U.S. businesses are having few problems raising prices on customers for the first time in years, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said on Monday, as he warned that inflation could remain elevated for some time to come amid fears higher expectations become entrenched.\nBullard's business contacts in his Fed district and around the country \"typically say 'don't worry my company's going to be profitable because I am going to raise prices and we've had no difficulty raising prices in this environment,'\" Bullard said during an event held by the International Economic Forum of the Americas.\nBullard is among the strongest advocates at the U.S. central bank for aggressive moves to combat higher-than-expected inflation and he sees two interest rate hikes needed in 2022. Interest rates remain near zero currently, where they have been since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020.\n\"I am concerned about the changing mentality, I would say, around prices in the economy and the relative freedom that businesses feel that they can just pass on increased costs easily to their customers. For years, that's not been the case,\" Bullard added.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820876975,"gmtCreate":1633386743138,"gmtModify":1633386743547,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. 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Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867583135","repostId":"1145081858","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864701346,"gmtCreate":1633144051317,"gmtModify":1633144051696,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864701346","repostId":"2172969568","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1040,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864701968,"gmtCreate":1633144041021,"gmtModify":1633144041376,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. 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Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864703735","repostId":"2172696913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1064,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864010160,"gmtCreate":1633042144664,"gmtModify":1633042145071,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864010160","repostId":"1177631732","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177631732","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633015343,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1177631732?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-30 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Market’s September Slump Exposes Messy Underside<blockquote>九月份股市暴跌暴露了混乱的底部</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177631732","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Rally hit bump in September, the worst month for S&P 500 since 2020\n\nMarkets are closing out the qua","content":"<p>Rally hit bump in September, the worst month for S&amp;P 500 since 2020</p><p><blockquote>9 月份涨势飙升，是标普500自 2020 年以来最糟糕的月份</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dc5ed0067d93839f180f3bcbdf51678\" tg-width=\"1173\" tg-height=\"638\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets are closing out the quarter on a tumultuous note.</p><p><blockquote>市场以动荡的气氛结束了本季度。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks have pulled back from all-time highs. Shares of large, fast-growing companies are heading toward their worst month since the pandemic-fueled selloff of March 2020, and&nbsp;Treasury yields have shot up&nbsp;to their highest level since June.</p><p><blockquote>股市已从历史高点回落。大型快速增长公司的股票正走向自 2020 年 3 月疫情引发的抛售以来最糟糕的一个月，国债收益率已飙升至 6 月以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> It is hardly the sanguine end to the quarter that investors had hoped for. Many money managers say they are heading into the final few months of the year feeling on edge.</p><p><blockquote>这很难像投资者所希望的那样乐观地结束本季度。许多基金经理表示，他们在今年的最后几个月感到紧张。</blockquote></p><p> Central bankers who had thought this year’s rise in inflation would wind up being a short-term phenomenon aren’t sure how long&nbsp;transitory pressures will persist. Strategists who had predicted another strong quarter of economic growth are cutting estimates because of supply-chain bottlenecks and the highly contagious&nbsp;Delta variant of Covid-19. Economic data have also been falling short of expectations.Citigroup’sEconomic Surprise Index, which tracks how much U.S. reports have been exceeding or undershooting estimates, fell this month to its lowest level since June 2020.</p><p><blockquote>央行行长们曾认为今年的通胀上升最终只是一个短期现象，但他们不确定暂时性压力会持续多久。由于供应链瓶颈和 Covid-19 高度传染性的德尔塔变异毒株，曾预测另一个季度经济增长强劲的策略师正在下调预期。经济数据也一直低于预期。花旗集团（Citigroup）的经济意外指数（sEconomic Surprise Index）追踪美国报告超出或低于预期的程度，本月跌至2020年6月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> All told, the S&amp;P 500 is still up 16% for the year and on course to notch a sixth straight quarter of gains. The index is just a few percentage points away from its record close hit in early September.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，标普500今年仍上涨 16%，有望连续第六个季度上涨。该指数距离 9 月初创下的收盘纪录仅差几个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe132ae877a10d2796e4c4542444ac3d\" tg-width=\"419\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes the narrative is clean and easy,” said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer of Truist Advisory Services. But now, “I feel like you’re having to find opportunities in a market where not everything is moving together anymore.”</p><p><blockquote>“Truist Advisory Services 联席首席投资官基思-勒纳（Keith Lerner）说：”有时，这种说法干净而简单。但现在，“我觉得你必须在一个市场中寻找机会，在这个市场里，一切都不再齐头并进”。</blockquote></p><p> While Mr. Lerner is still betting on stocks rising over the long term, his firm has trimmed its exposure to emerging markets and focused heavily on the U.S., where he expects the economy to be most resilient, even as the global recovery slows.</p><p><blockquote>尽管勒纳仍然押注股市长期上涨，但他的公司已经削减了对新兴市场的投资，并将重点放在美国，他预计美国经济将最具弹性，即使全球复苏放缓。</blockquote></p><p> One of the most vexing issues for investors and analysts over the past few months has been how quickly the market has churned through winners and losers.</p><p><blockquote>过去几个月，投资者和分析师最头疼的问题之一是市场在赢家和输家之间流动的速度有多快。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c023ba2843417b17986cb4d2bcbbf0f\" tg-width=\"1050\" tg-height=\"700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>So far this year, companies have been able to post robust profits despite rising costs for raw materials and labor. The floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>今年到目前为止，尽管原材料和劳动力成本上升，但企业仍能够实现强劲的利润。周二纽约证券交易所大厅。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Markets behaved relatively predictably in the&nbsp;first half of the year. Investors favored shares of economically sensitive companies such as banks, manufacturers and airlines and rebuffed relatively pricey technology stocks when it looked as though the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines would help supercharge the economy’s recovery.</p><p><blockquote>上半年市场表现相对可预测。当 Covid-19 疫苗的推出似乎将有助于推动经济复苏时，投资者青睐银行、制造商和航空公司等经济敏感公司的股票，而拒绝相对昂贵的科技股。</blockquote></p><p> This quarter, as the so-called reopening trade stalled, it became harder for investors to pick dominant trades. Technology stocks surged but then took the brunt of market selloffs in early September and this week—putting the S&amp;P 500 Growth Index on track for its biggest monthly pullback since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>本季度，随着所谓的重新开放交易陷入停滞，投资者选择主导交易变得更加困难。科技股飙升，但随后在 9 月初和本周受到市场抛售的冲击，这使得标普500增长指数有望出现自 2020 年 3 月以来最大的月度回调。</blockquote></p><p> The bond market also caught many investors off guard. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note flitted about a narrow range for much of the quarter, only to stage a six-day rise above 1.50% between last week and Tuesday—its biggest such advance since June 2020, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The move came after the Federal Reserve indicated it was ready to begin reversing its pandemic stimulus programs&nbsp;as early as November&nbsp;and considering raising interest rates next year, given a jump in inflation.</p><p><blockquote>债券市场也让许多投资者措手不及。10年期美国国债收益率在本季度的大部分时间里都在窄幅波动，仅在上周至周二之间连续六天上涨超过1.50%，这是自2020年6月以来的最大涨幅。道琼斯市场数据。此前，美联储表示，鉴于通胀飙升，它准备最早于 11 月开始扭转疫情刺激计划，并考虑明年加息。</blockquote></p><p> “Even though there’s all this discussion about the market being resilient, the churn under the surface has shown more weakness,” said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist of Charles Schwab.</p><p><blockquote>“嘉信理财（Charles Schwab）首席投资策略师利兹-安-桑德斯（Liz Ann Sonders）说：”尽管人们都在谈论市场是否具有弹性，但表面之下的波动却显示出更多的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> Ms. Sonders attributed the swift rotations taking place in the market to a bevy of investor worries.</p><p><blockquote>桑德斯女士将市场的快速轮动归因于投资者的一系列担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “You have concerns about the virus, then you add on top of it concerns about the debt ceiling, some arguably more mixed economic data recently, [and] uncertainty about monetary policy,” she said. “I don’t know if we’ll get out of this mode anytime soon.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”你对病毒感到担忧，再加上对债务上限的担忧，最近一些可以说是喜忧参半的经济数据，[以及]货币政策的不确定性。“我不知道我们是否会很快摆脱这种模式。”</blockquote></p><p> Another issue weighing on investors’ minds: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>另一个困扰投资者的问题是：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> So far this year, companies have been able to post robust profits despite rising costs for raw materials and labor. Earnings for S&amp;P 500 companies have beaten analysts’ estimates by double-digit percentages since the second quarter of 2020, according to Morgan Stanley equity strategist Michael Wilson. That is compared with a median beat rate of 5% going back to 2008.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，尽管原材料和劳动力成本上升，但企业仍能够实现强劲的利润。摩根士丹利股票策略师 Michael Wilson 表示，自 2020 年第二季度以来，标普500公司的盈利超出了分析师的预期两位数百分比。相比之下，2008 年的中位数击败率为 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet with supply-chain disruptions and labor shortages persisting around the country, Mr. Wilson said it is hard to believe companies will be able to maintain that momentum.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于全国各地供应链中断和劳动力短缺持续存在，威尔逊表示，很难相信企业能够保持这种势头。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Between June and September, 224 S&amp;P 500 companies mentioned inflation on their second-quarter earnings calls, according to FactSet. That is the highest number since FactSet began tracking the data in 2010.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet 的数据显示，6 月至 9 月期间，有 224 家标普500公司在第二季度收益评级中提到了通货膨胀。这是自 FactSet 于 2010 年开始跟踪数据以来的最高数字。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cc010172cb9d8099b1b19971a2037d6\" tg-width=\"443\" tg-height=\"625\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Historically, when a relatively high number of companies have mentioned inflation, profit margins have shrunk, Mr. Wilson said.</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊表示，从历史上看，当相对较多的公司提到通货膨胀时，利润率就会缩水。</blockquote></p><p> Investors are left grappling with one big question: How much of that has already been priced into markets?</p><p><blockquote>投资者面临着一个大问题：其中有多少已经被定价到市场中？</blockquote></p><p> “I’m a little concerned about 2022,” said Karyn Cavanaugh, chief investment officer of Carolinas Wealth Management. “When we don’t see the double-digit increases we’re used to for earnings, are the markets going to ask, ‘Hey, what have you done for me lately?’ ”</p><p><blockquote>“卡罗莱纳州财富管理公司首席投资官卡琳-卡瓦诺（Karyn Cavanaugh）说：”我对 2022 年有点担心。“当我们看不到我们习惯的两位数增长时，市场会问，'嘿，你最近为我做了什么？'”</blockquote></p><p> Ms. Cavanaugh has been advising clients to focus on “wide moat stocks”—companies with a strong record of delivering profits regardless of whether growth is slowing or accelerating because they maintain a competitive advantage over their peers.</p><p><blockquote>卡瓦诺女士一直建议客户关注 “宽护城河股票”--无论增长是放缓还是加速，这些公司都有良好的盈利记录，因为它们与同行保持着竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> Given so many potential issues remain unresolved, from debt negotiations and potential changes to the tax code in Washington to the pandemic, Ms. Cavanaugh said she expects the market’s path from here to be bumpy.</p><p><blockquote>卡瓦诺女士说，鉴于许多潜在问题仍未解决，从债务谈判和华盛顿州税法的潜在变化到大流行病，她预计市场今后的道路将是崎岖不平的。</blockquote></p><p> “We could be in for a bit of a grind,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们可能会遇到一些麻烦。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Market’s September Slump Exposes Messy Underside<blockquote>九月份股市暴跌暴露了混乱的底部</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-30 23:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rally hit bump in September, the worst month for S&amp;P 500 since 2020</p><p><blockquote>9 月份涨势飙升，是标普500自 2020 年以来最糟糕的月份</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dc5ed0067d93839f180f3bcbdf51678\" tg-width=\"1173\" tg-height=\"638\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets are closing out the quarter on a tumultuous note.</p><p><blockquote>市场以动荡的气氛结束了本季度。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks have pulled back from all-time highs. Shares of large, fast-growing companies are heading toward their worst month since the pandemic-fueled selloff of March 2020, and&nbsp;Treasury yields have shot up&nbsp;to their highest level since June.</p><p><blockquote>股市已从历史高点回落。大型快速增长公司的股票正走向自 2020 年 3 月疫情引发的抛售以来最糟糕的一个月，国债收益率已飙升至 6 月以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> It is hardly the sanguine end to the quarter that investors had hoped for. Many money managers say they are heading into the final few months of the year feeling on edge.</p><p><blockquote>这很难像投资者所希望的那样乐观地结束本季度。许多基金经理表示，他们在今年的最后几个月感到紧张。</blockquote></p><p> Central bankers who had thought this year’s rise in inflation would wind up being a short-term phenomenon aren’t sure how long&nbsp;transitory pressures will persist. Strategists who had predicted another strong quarter of economic growth are cutting estimates because of supply-chain bottlenecks and the highly contagious&nbsp;Delta variant of Covid-19. Economic data have also been falling short of expectations.Citigroup’sEconomic Surprise Index, which tracks how much U.S. reports have been exceeding or undershooting estimates, fell this month to its lowest level since June 2020.</p><p><blockquote>央行行长们曾认为今年的通胀上升最终只是一个短期现象，但他们不确定暂时性压力会持续多久。由于供应链瓶颈和 Covid-19 高度传染性的德尔塔变异毒株，曾预测另一个季度经济增长强劲的策略师正在下调预期。经济数据也一直低于预期。花旗集团（Citigroup）的经济意外指数（sEconomic Surprise Index）追踪美国报告超出或低于预期的程度，本月跌至2020年6月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> All told, the S&amp;P 500 is still up 16% for the year and on course to notch a sixth straight quarter of gains. The index is just a few percentage points away from its record close hit in early September.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，标普500今年仍上涨 16%，有望连续第六个季度上涨。该指数距离 9 月初创下的收盘纪录仅差几个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe132ae877a10d2796e4c4542444ac3d\" tg-width=\"419\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes the narrative is clean and easy,” said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer of Truist Advisory Services. But now, “I feel like you’re having to find opportunities in a market where not everything is moving together anymore.”</p><p><blockquote>“Truist Advisory Services 联席首席投资官基思-勒纳（Keith Lerner）说：”有时，这种说法干净而简单。但现在，“我觉得你必须在一个市场中寻找机会，在这个市场里，一切都不再齐头并进”。</blockquote></p><p> While Mr. Lerner is still betting on stocks rising over the long term, his firm has trimmed its exposure to emerging markets and focused heavily on the U.S., where he expects the economy to be most resilient, even as the global recovery slows.</p><p><blockquote>尽管勒纳仍然押注股市长期上涨，但他的公司已经削减了对新兴市场的投资，并将重点放在美国，他预计美国经济将最具弹性，即使全球复苏放缓。</blockquote></p><p> One of the most vexing issues for investors and analysts over the past few months has been how quickly the market has churned through winners and losers.</p><p><blockquote>过去几个月，投资者和分析师最头疼的问题之一是市场在赢家和输家之间流动的速度有多快。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c023ba2843417b17986cb4d2bcbbf0f\" tg-width=\"1050\" tg-height=\"700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>So far this year, companies have been able to post robust profits despite rising costs for raw materials and labor. The floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>今年到目前为止，尽管原材料和劳动力成本上升，但企业仍能够实现强劲的利润。周二纽约证券交易所大厅。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Markets behaved relatively predictably in the&nbsp;first half of the year. Investors favored shares of economically sensitive companies such as banks, manufacturers and airlines and rebuffed relatively pricey technology stocks when it looked as though the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines would help supercharge the economy’s recovery.</p><p><blockquote>上半年市场表现相对可预测。当 Covid-19 疫苗的推出似乎将有助于推动经济复苏时，投资者青睐银行、制造商和航空公司等经济敏感公司的股票，而拒绝相对昂贵的科技股。</blockquote></p><p> This quarter, as the so-called reopening trade stalled, it became harder for investors to pick dominant trades. Technology stocks surged but then took the brunt of market selloffs in early September and this week—putting the S&amp;P 500 Growth Index on track for its biggest monthly pullback since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>本季度，随着所谓的重新开放交易陷入停滞，投资者选择主导交易变得更加困难。科技股飙升，但随后在 9 月初和本周受到市场抛售的冲击，这使得标普500增长指数有望出现自 2020 年 3 月以来最大的月度回调。</blockquote></p><p> The bond market also caught many investors off guard. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note flitted about a narrow range for much of the quarter, only to stage a six-day rise above 1.50% between last week and Tuesday—its biggest such advance since June 2020, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The move came after the Federal Reserve indicated it was ready to begin reversing its pandemic stimulus programs&nbsp;as early as November&nbsp;and considering raising interest rates next year, given a jump in inflation.</p><p><blockquote>债券市场也让许多投资者措手不及。10年期美国国债收益率在本季度的大部分时间里都在窄幅波动，仅在上周至周二之间连续六天上涨超过1.50%，这是自2020年6月以来的最大涨幅。道琼斯市场数据。此前，美联储表示，鉴于通胀飙升，它准备最早于 11 月开始扭转疫情刺激计划，并考虑明年加息。</blockquote></p><p> “Even though there’s all this discussion about the market being resilient, the churn under the surface has shown more weakness,” said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist of Charles Schwab.</p><p><blockquote>“嘉信理财（Charles Schwab）首席投资策略师利兹-安-桑德斯（Liz Ann Sonders）说：”尽管人们都在谈论市场是否具有弹性，但表面之下的波动却显示出更多的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> Ms. Sonders attributed the swift rotations taking place in the market to a bevy of investor worries.</p><p><blockquote>桑德斯女士将市场的快速轮动归因于投资者的一系列担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “You have concerns about the virus, then you add on top of it concerns about the debt ceiling, some arguably more mixed economic data recently, [and] uncertainty about monetary policy,” she said. “I don’t know if we’ll get out of this mode anytime soon.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”你对病毒感到担忧，再加上对债务上限的担忧，最近一些可以说是喜忧参半的经济数据，[以及]货币政策的不确定性。“我不知道我们是否会很快摆脱这种模式。”</blockquote></p><p> Another issue weighing on investors’ minds: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>另一个困扰投资者的问题是：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> So far this year, companies have been able to post robust profits despite rising costs for raw materials and labor. Earnings for S&amp;P 500 companies have beaten analysts’ estimates by double-digit percentages since the second quarter of 2020, according to Morgan Stanley equity strategist Michael Wilson. That is compared with a median beat rate of 5% going back to 2008.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，尽管原材料和劳动力成本上升，但企业仍能够实现强劲的利润。摩根士丹利股票策略师 Michael Wilson 表示，自 2020 年第二季度以来，标普500公司的盈利超出了分析师的预期两位数百分比。相比之下，2008 年的中位数击败率为 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet with supply-chain disruptions and labor shortages persisting around the country, Mr. Wilson said it is hard to believe companies will be able to maintain that momentum.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于全国各地供应链中断和劳动力短缺持续存在，威尔逊表示，很难相信企业能够保持这种势头。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Between June and September, 224 S&amp;P 500 companies mentioned inflation on their second-quarter earnings calls, according to FactSet. That is the highest number since FactSet began tracking the data in 2010.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet 的数据显示，6 月至 9 月期间，有 224 家标普500公司在第二季度收益评级中提到了通货膨胀。这是自 FactSet 于 2010 年开始跟踪数据以来的最高数字。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cc010172cb9d8099b1b19971a2037d6\" tg-width=\"443\" tg-height=\"625\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Historically, when a relatively high number of companies have mentioned inflation, profit margins have shrunk, Mr. Wilson said.</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊表示，从历史上看，当相对较多的公司提到通货膨胀时，利润率就会缩水。</blockquote></p><p> Investors are left grappling with one big question: How much of that has already been priced into markets?</p><p><blockquote>投资者面临着一个大问题：其中有多少已经被定价到市场中？</blockquote></p><p> “I’m a little concerned about 2022,” said Karyn Cavanaugh, chief investment officer of Carolinas Wealth Management. “When we don’t see the double-digit increases we’re used to for earnings, are the markets going to ask, ‘Hey, what have you done for me lately?’ ”</p><p><blockquote>“卡罗莱纳州财富管理公司首席投资官卡琳-卡瓦诺（Karyn Cavanaugh）说：”我对 2022 年有点担心。“当我们看不到我们习惯的两位数增长时，市场会问，'嘿，你最近为我做了什么？'”</blockquote></p><p> Ms. Cavanaugh has been advising clients to focus on “wide moat stocks”—companies with a strong record of delivering profits regardless of whether growth is slowing or accelerating because they maintain a competitive advantage over their peers.</p><p><blockquote>卡瓦诺女士一直建议客户关注 “宽护城河股票”--无论增长是放缓还是加速，这些公司都有良好的盈利记录，因为它们与同行保持着竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> Given so many potential issues remain unresolved, from debt negotiations and potential changes to the tax code in Washington to the pandemic, Ms. Cavanaugh said she expects the market’s path from here to be bumpy.</p><p><blockquote>卡瓦诺女士说，鉴于许多潜在问题仍未解决，从债务谈判和华盛顿州税法的潜在变化到大流行病，她预计市场今后的道路将是崎岖不平的。</blockquote></p><p> “We could be in for a bit of a grind,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们可能会遇到一些麻烦。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/stock-markets-september-slump-exposes-messy-underside-11632999601?mod=hp_lead_pos2\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/stock-markets-september-slump-exposes-messy-underside-11632999601?mod=hp_lead_pos2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177631732","content_text":"Rally hit bump in September, the worst month for S&P 500 since 2020\n\nMarkets are closing out the quarter on a tumultuous note.\nStocks have pulled back from all-time highs. Shares of large, fast-growing companies are heading toward their worst month since the pandemic-fueled selloff of March 2020, and Treasury yields have shot up to their highest level since June.\nIt is hardly the sanguine end to the quarter that investors had hoped for. Many money managers say they are heading into the final few months of the year feeling on edge.\nCentral bankers who had thought this year’s rise in inflation would wind up being a short-term phenomenon aren’t sure how long transitory pressures will persist. Strategists who had predicted another strong quarter of economic growth are cutting estimates because of supply-chain bottlenecks and the highly contagious Delta variant of Covid-19. Economic data have also been falling short of expectations.Citigroup’sEconomic Surprise Index, which tracks how much U.S. reports have been exceeding or undershooting estimates, fell this month to its lowest level since June 2020.\nAll told, the S&P 500 is still up 16% for the year and on course to notch a sixth straight quarter of gains. The index is just a few percentage points away from its record close hit in early September.\n\n“Sometimes the narrative is clean and easy,” said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer of Truist Advisory Services. But now, “I feel like you’re having to find opportunities in a market where not everything is moving together anymore.”\nWhile Mr. Lerner is still betting on stocks rising over the long term, his firm has trimmed its exposure to emerging markets and focused heavily on the U.S., where he expects the economy to be most resilient, even as the global recovery slows.\nOne of the most vexing issues for investors and analysts over the past few months has been how quickly the market has churned through winners and losers.\nSo far this year, companies have been able to post robust profits despite rising costs for raw materials and labor. The floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday.\nMarkets behaved relatively predictably in the first half of the year. Investors favored shares of economically sensitive companies such as banks, manufacturers and airlines and rebuffed relatively pricey technology stocks when it looked as though the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines would help supercharge the economy’s recovery.\nThis quarter, as the so-called reopening trade stalled, it became harder for investors to pick dominant trades. Technology stocks surged but then took the brunt of market selloffs in early September and this week—putting the S&P 500 Growth Index on track for its biggest monthly pullback since March 2020.\nThe bond market also caught many investors off guard. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note flitted about a narrow range for much of the quarter, only to stage a six-day rise above 1.50% between last week and Tuesday—its biggest such advance since June 2020, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The move came after the Federal Reserve indicated it was ready to begin reversing its pandemic stimulus programs as early as November and considering raising interest rates next year, given a jump in inflation.\n“Even though there’s all this discussion about the market being resilient, the churn under the surface has shown more weakness,” said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist of Charles Schwab.\nMs. Sonders attributed the swift rotations taking place in the market to a bevy of investor worries.\n“You have concerns about the virus, then you add on top of it concerns about the debt ceiling, some arguably more mixed economic data recently, [and] uncertainty about monetary policy,” she said. “I don’t know if we’ll get out of this mode anytime soon.”\nAnother issue weighing on investors’ minds: inflation.\nSo far this year, companies have been able to post robust profits despite rising costs for raw materials and labor. Earnings for S&P 500 companies have beaten analysts’ estimates by double-digit percentages since the second quarter of 2020, according to Morgan Stanley equity strategist Michael Wilson. That is compared with a median beat rate of 5% going back to 2008.\nYet with supply-chain disruptions and labor shortages persisting around the country, Mr. Wilson said it is hard to believe companies will be able to maintain that momentum.\nBetween June and September, 224 S&P 500 companies mentioned inflation on their second-quarter earnings calls, according to FactSet. That is the highest number since FactSet began tracking the data in 2010.\n\nHistorically, when a relatively high number of companies have mentioned inflation, profit margins have shrunk, Mr. Wilson said.\nInvestors are left grappling with one big question: How much of that has already been priced into markets?\n“I’m a little concerned about 2022,” said Karyn Cavanaugh, chief investment officer of Carolinas Wealth Management. “When we don’t see the double-digit increases we’re used to for earnings, are the markets going to ask, ‘Hey, what have you done for me lately?’ ”\nMs. Cavanaugh has been advising clients to focus on “wide moat stocks”—companies with a strong record of delivering profits regardless of whether growth is slowing or accelerating because they maintain a competitive advantage over their peers.\nGiven so many potential issues remain unresolved, from debt negotiations and potential changes to the tax code in Washington to the pandemic, Ms. Cavanaugh said she expects the market’s path from here to be bumpy.\n“We could be in for a bit of a grind,” she said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1067,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864010008,"gmtCreate":1633042127735,"gmtModify":1633042128091,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582714812293607","idStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864010008","repostId":"2171895899","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":735,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":124929610,"gmtCreate":1624721109830,"gmtModify":1633949299513,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582714812293607","authorIdStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124929610","repostId":"1132692662","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1132692662","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624680481,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1132692662?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-26 12:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China<blockquote>特斯拉在华召回部分进口和国产Model 3和Model Y</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132692662","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.In response to the recall, Tesla said ","content":"<p>Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.</p><p><blockquote>据中国国家市场监督管理总局消息，近日，特斯拉备案了召回计划，决定从即日起召回部分车辆。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉决定召回2019年1月12日至2019年11月27日期间生产的35665辆进口Model 3。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>同时，特斯拉将召回2019年12月19日至2021年6月7日生产的部分国产Model 3，共计211256辆；2021年1月1日至2021年6月7日共生产38599辆国产Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> Due to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>由于本次召回范围内车辆的主动巡航控制系统存在问题，在以下情况下，驾驶员容易误启动主动巡航功能：当车辆处于D挡时，驾驶员试图通过再次推动右操纵杆来换挡；当车辆急转弯时，驾驶员误触并移动右操纵杆等。主动巡航控制误启动后，如果车辆设定的巡航速度不是当前速度，且当前速度低于设定速度，车辆就会加速到设定速度，导致车速突然增加，影响驾驶员的预期，导致车辆操控误判。极端情况下可能导致车辆碰撞，存在安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将通过OTA技术为召回车辆免费升级主动巡航控制软件，用户无需到店即可完成软件升级；对于无法通过OTA技术召回的车辆，特斯拉（北京）有限公司和特斯拉（上海）有限公司将通过特斯拉服务中心联系相关用户，免费为车辆升级主动巡航控制软件，以消除安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> In response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.</p><p><blockquote>针对此次召回，特斯拉6月26日表示，对于本次召回范围内的车辆（Model 3/Model Y），由于主动巡航控制功能可能被驾驶员误激活，极端情况下存在安全隐患。特斯拉主动向国家市场监督管理总局备案了召回计划。用户无需到店完成OTA。特斯拉表示，对召回造成的不便表示歉意。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China<blockquote>特斯拉在华召回部分进口和国产Model 3和Model Y</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China<blockquote>特斯拉在华召回部分进口和国产Model 3和Model Y</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-26 12:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.</p><p><blockquote>据中国国家市场监督管理总局消息，近日，特斯拉备案了召回计划，决定从即日起召回部分车辆。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉决定召回2019年1月12日至2019年11月27日期间生产的35665辆进口Model 3。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>同时，特斯拉将召回2019年12月19日至2021年6月7日生产的部分国产Model 3，共计211256辆；2021年1月1日至2021年6月7日共生产38599辆国产Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> Due to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>由于本次召回范围内车辆的主动巡航控制系统存在问题，在以下情况下，驾驶员容易误启动主动巡航功能：当车辆处于D挡时，驾驶员试图通过再次推动右操纵杆来换挡；当车辆急转弯时，驾驶员误触并移动右操纵杆等。主动巡航控制误启动后，如果车辆设定的巡航速度不是当前速度，且当前速度低于设定速度，车辆就会加速到设定速度，导致车速突然增加，影响驾驶员的预期，导致车辆操控误判。极端情况下可能导致车辆碰撞，存在安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将通过OTA技术为召回车辆免费升级主动巡航控制软件，用户无需到店即可完成软件升级；对于无法通过OTA技术召回的车辆，特斯拉（北京）有限公司和特斯拉（上海）有限公司将通过特斯拉服务中心联系相关用户，免费为车辆升级主动巡航控制软件，以消除安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> In response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.</p><p><blockquote>针对此次召回，特斯拉6月26日表示，对于本次召回范围内的车辆（Model 3/Model Y），由于主动巡航控制功能可能被驾驶员误激活，极端情况下存在安全隐患。特斯拉主动向国家市场监督管理总局备案了召回计划。用户无需到店完成OTA。特斯拉表示，对召回造成的不便表示歉意。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132692662","content_text":"Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.\nTesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.\nMeanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.\nDue to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.\nTesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.\nIn response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":869152390,"gmtCreate":1632268882710,"gmtModify":1632801658483,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582714812293607","authorIdStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869152390","repostId":"2169324976","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":796,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835138951,"gmtCreate":1629692135473,"gmtModify":1633683136223,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582714812293607","authorIdStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835138951","repostId":"2161272742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158723341,"gmtCreate":1625183023783,"gmtModify":1633942872467,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582714812293607","authorIdStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Ty","listText":"Please like and comment. Ty","text":"Please like and comment. Ty","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158723341","repostId":"1175195232","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":706,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182146129,"gmtCreate":1623559729061,"gmtModify":1634031684882,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582714812293607","authorIdStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment please. Ty","listText":"Please like and comment please. Ty","text":"Please like and comment please. Ty","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182146129","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119303874,"gmtCreate":1622516631998,"gmtModify":1634100894639,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582714812293607","authorIdStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment pls. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment pls. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment pls. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119303874","repostId":"1105273964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105273964","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622511256,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105273964?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 09:34","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的 11 家 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105273964","media":"Barron's","summary":"The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac, which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its ","content":"<p>The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股市场最近为那些能够在公司上市前获得股票的投资者带来了一些巨大的首日收益。</blockquote></p><p>But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.<i>Barron’s</i>looked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能得到这类机会。大多数散户投资者必须等到公司开始公开交易才能购买股票。<i>巴伦</i>查看过去 12 个月内上市的企业，寻找一些表现强劲的企业。</blockquote></p><p>First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们搜索通过传统首次公开募股上市的公司：这意味着我们过滤掉了与特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并的企业。然后，我们搜索了在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的公司。我们还关注市值至少为 10 亿美元的实体。我们将搜索范围缩小到股票发行价总回报率最高的公司..</blockquote></p><p>That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .</p><p><blockquote>这样我们就有了11个名字。排名第一的是 CureVac（股票代码：CVAC），这是 screen 上表现最好的 IPO，总回报率为 596.75%。CureVac专注于信使RNA或mRNA技术，这是几个领先的新冠肺炎疫苗项目的基础。这家德国生物技术公司 8 月份以每股 16 美元的价格上市，首日股价飙升 249%，收于 55.90 美元。一月份，CureVac 与拜耳达成协议，加速其 Covid-19 候选疫苗的开发和供应。该公司基于 mRNA 的 Covid-19 疫苗目前正在进行临床试验，2b/3 期数据预计将于今年夏天公布。自首次公开募股以来，该股已上涨近一倍，周五收于 111.48 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的表现并不一定取决于第一天交易的成功。我们名单上的四家公司交易失败了，这意味着它们的股票在交易第一天就跌破了IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.</p><p><blockquote>典型案例：以星综合航运（ZIM）。这家轻资产航运公司于 1 月份上市，发行价为 15 美元，但当天收盘价为 11.50 美元。然而，到 5 月 19 日，以星公布第一季度收益为 5.896 亿美元，即每股收益 5.35 美元，其股价上涨了 295%。该公司还宣布派发每股 2 美元的特别现金股息。根据 FactSet 的数据，以星是过去 12 个月中表现第二好的 IPO，总回报率为 209.33%。周五收盘价为 46.40 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Another example isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading<b>.</b>Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.</p><p><blockquote>另一个例子是 isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors (ASO)：该公司于 10 月份上市，发行价为 13 美元，公开交易首日收盘价为 12.99 美元<b>.</b>Academy上市时盈利，这在IPO市场上实属罕见。今年 3 月，该公司报告称，截至 1 月 30 日的第四财季，其净利润增长 416%，达到 9150 万美元，即每股 97 美分。自 IPO 以来，其股价已上涨近两倍，周五交易价格为 36.53 美元。FactSet 表示，Academy Sports 排名第三，发行价总回报率为 181%。</blockquote></p><p>Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dedc209ede147958c015d3a586bb587\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"606\">Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的涨幅这些公司都是去年上市的，与 IPO 价格相比，总回报率很高。属于这一类别的还有 Corsair Gaming (CRSR)，这是一家为游戏玩家生产性能装备的加州公司，以及总部位于迪拜的 Dyalla Group (YALA)，后者生产一款在中东和北非使用的名为 Yalla 的语音聊天应用程序。在 9 月份 IPO 表现不佳后，这两只股票都强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p>Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.</p><p><blockquote>一些上榜的公司在首次亮相时股价飙升，但此后股价下跌。尽管如此，这些公司仍在盈利。</blockquote></p><p>ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce&nbsp;went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.</p><p><blockquote>考虑 BigCommerce (BIGC)，它提供云电子商务平台，供 SkullCandy、Savannah Bee Co 和 Cleveland Cavaliers 等客户使用。 BigCommerce 于 8 月上市，发行价为 24 美元，股价飙升 201%当天，收于 72.27 美元。自 IPO 以来，由于更广泛的技术抛售，该公司股价已下跌近 25%。</blockquote></p><p>The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司报告了一些积极的进展，例如 2 月份的一项交易，该交易将使 BigCommerce 客户能够在沃尔玛市场上直接销售。该公司还公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩。根据 FactSet 的数据，BigCommerce 的总回报率接近 127%。</blockquote></p><p>Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司自上市以来股价也大幅上涨。 Dream Finders Homes (DFH) 在高增长市场设计、建造和销售房屋，1 月份以每股 13 美元的价格首次交易时就已经盈利。首日股价飙升 61%，至 20.95 美元。3月份房价以2005年以来最快的速度增长，这对房地产股有所帮助。Dream Finders 股价自 IPO 以来已上涨近 52%，周五交易价格为 31.77 美元。Dream Finders 的发行价总回报率为 144.38%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的 11 家 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的 11 家 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-01 09:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股市场最近为那些能够在公司上市前获得股票的投资者带来了一些巨大的首日收益。</blockquote></p><p>But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.<i>Barron’s</i>looked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能得到这类机会。大多数散户投资者必须等到公司开始公开交易才能购买股票。<i>巴伦</i>查看过去 12 个月内上市的企业，寻找一些表现强劲的企业。</blockquote></p><p>First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们搜索通过传统首次公开募股上市的公司：这意味着我们过滤掉了与特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并的企业。然后，我们搜索了在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的公司。我们还关注市值至少为 10 亿美元的实体。我们将搜索范围缩小到股票发行价总回报率最高的公司..</blockquote></p><p>That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .</p><p><blockquote>这样我们就有了11个名字。排名第一的是 CureVac（股票代码：CVAC），这是 screen 上表现最好的 IPO，总回报率为 596.75%。CureVac专注于信使RNA或mRNA技术，这是几个领先的新冠肺炎疫苗项目的基础。这家德国生物技术公司 8 月份以每股 16 美元的价格上市，首日股价飙升 249%，收于 55.90 美元。一月份，CureVac 与拜耳达成协议，加速其 Covid-19 候选疫苗的开发和供应。该公司基于 mRNA 的 Covid-19 疫苗目前正在进行临床试验，2b/3 期数据预计将于今年夏天公布。自首次公开募股以来，该股已上涨近一倍，周五收于 111.48 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的表现并不一定取决于第一天交易的成功。我们名单上的四家公司交易失败了，这意味着它们的股票在交易第一天就跌破了IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.</p><p><blockquote>典型案例：以星综合航运（ZIM）。这家轻资产航运公司于 1 月份上市，发行价为 15 美元，但当天收盘价为 11.50 美元。然而，到 5 月 19 日，以星公布第一季度收益为 5.896 亿美元，即每股收益 5.35 美元，其股价上涨了 295%。该公司还宣布派发每股 2 美元的特别现金股息。根据 FactSet 的数据，以星是过去 12 个月中表现第二好的 IPO，总回报率为 209.33%。周五收盘价为 46.40 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Another example isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading<b>.</b>Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.</p><p><blockquote>另一个例子是 isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors (ASO)：该公司于 10 月份上市，发行价为 13 美元，公开交易首日收盘价为 12.99 美元<b>.</b>Academy上市时盈利，这在IPO市场上实属罕见。今年 3 月，该公司报告称，截至 1 月 30 日的第四财季，其净利润增长 416%，达到 9150 万美元，即每股 97 美分。自 IPO 以来，其股价已上涨近两倍，周五交易价格为 36.53 美元。FactSet 表示，Academy Sports 排名第三，发行价总回报率为 181%。</blockquote></p><p>Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dedc209ede147958c015d3a586bb587\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"606\">Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的涨幅这些公司都是去年上市的，与 IPO 价格相比，总回报率很高。属于这一类别的还有 Corsair Gaming (CRSR)，这是一家为游戏玩家生产性能装备的加州公司，以及总部位于迪拜的 Dyalla Group (YALA)，后者生产一款在中东和北非使用的名为 Yalla 的语音聊天应用程序。在 9 月份 IPO 表现不佳后，这两只股票都强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p>Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.</p><p><blockquote>一些上榜的公司在首次亮相时股价飙升，但此后股价下跌。尽管如此，这些公司仍在盈利。</blockquote></p><p>ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce&nbsp;went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.</p><p><blockquote>考虑 BigCommerce (BIGC)，它提供云电子商务平台，供 SkullCandy、Savannah Bee Co 和 Cleveland Cavaliers 等客户使用。 BigCommerce 于 8 月上市，发行价为 24 美元，股价飙升 201%当天，收于 72.27 美元。自 IPO 以来，由于更广泛的技术抛售，该公司股价已下跌近 25%。</blockquote></p><p>The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司报告了一些积极的进展，例如 2 月份的一项交易，该交易将使 BigCommerce 客户能够在沃尔玛市场上直接销售。该公司还公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩。根据 FactSet 的数据，BigCommerce 的总回报率接近 127%。</blockquote></p><p>Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司自上市以来股价也大幅上涨。 Dream Finders Homes (DFH) 在高增长市场设计、建造和销售房屋，1 月份以每股 13 美元的价格首次交易时就已经盈利。首日股价飙升 61%，至 20.95 美元。3月份房价以2005年以来最快的速度增长，这对房地产股有所帮助。Dream Finders 股价自 IPO 以来已上涨近 52%，周五交易价格为 31.77 美元。Dream Finders 的发行价总回报率为 144.38%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-11-best-performing-ipos-of-the-year-51622472529?mod=hp_DAY_0\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-11-best-performing-ipos-of-the-year-51622472529?mod=hp_DAY_0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105273964","content_text":"The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.Barron’slooked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.Another example isAcademy Sports & Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading.Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BOTB.UK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197567620,"gmtCreate":1621474339660,"gmtModify":1634188873120,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582714812293607","authorIdStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197567620","repostId":"1129952039","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129952039","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621466041,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1129952039?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 07:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks drop after Fed minutes, crypto fall<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后美国股市下跌，加密货币下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129952039","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Wall Street’s main indexes closed lower on Wednesday after minutes from an April Federal","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street’s main indexes closed lower on Wednesday after minutes from an April Federal Reserve meeting showed participants agreed the U.S. economy remained far from the central bank’s goals, with some considering discussions on tapering its bond buying program.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社）--华尔街主要股指周三收低，此前美联储4月份会议纪要显示，与会者一致认为美国经济仍远未达到央行的目标，一些人正在考虑讨论缩减债券购买计划。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 added to losses after the release of the minutes revealed a number of Fed policymakers thought that if the economy continued rapid progress, it would become appropriate “at some point” in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a tapering of the Fed’s monthly purchases of government bonds, a policy designed to keep long-term interest rates low.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要公布后，一些美联储决策者认为，如果经济继续快速增长，那么在即将召开的会议上 “在某个时候 ”开始讨论缩减美联储每月购买的政府债券规模将变得合适，这一政策旨在保持长期利率较低。</blockquote></p><p>“There continues to be a view and a perspective from the participants, as well as the Fed staff that these inflationary pressures that are beginning to become evident will remain transitory in their view and will likely recede as we transition into 2022,” said Bill Northey, senior investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management in Minneapolis.</p><p><blockquote>“明尼阿波利斯美国银行财富管理公司（U.S. Bank Wealth Management）高级投资总监比尔-诺西（Bill Northey）表示：”与会者和美联储工作人员仍然认为，在他们看来，这些开始显现的通胀压力仍将是暂时的，随着我们进入2022年，这些压力很可能会消退。</blockquote></p><p>Strong inflation readings and signs of a worker shortage in recent weeks have fueled fears and roiled stock markets despite reassurances from Fed officials that the rise in prices would be temporary.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美联储官员保证物价上涨将是暂时的，但最近几周强劲的通胀数据和工人短缺的迹象加剧了担忧并扰乱了股市。</blockquote></p><p>All three main indexes hit their session lows in morning trade after opening sharply lower, then partially recovered before the release of the Fed minutes pressured them anew.</p><p><blockquote>三大股指在早盘大幅低开后触及盘中低点，随后在美联储会议纪要发布再次给它们带来压力之前部分回升。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 164.62 points, or 0.48%, to 33,896.04, the S&amp;P 500 lost 12.15 points, or 0.29%, to 4,115.68 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.90 points, or 0.03%, to 13,299.74.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 164.62 点，跌幅 0.48%，至 33,896.04 点；标普500指数下跌 12.15 点，跌幅 0.29%，至 4,115.68 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 3.90 点，跌幅 0.03%，至 13,299.74 点。</blockquote></p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.70 billion shares, compared with the 10.60 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 107.0 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日整个交易日的平均成交量为 106.0 亿股。</blockquote></p><p>Contributing to a risk-off mood on Wednesday, Bitcoin and ether plunged in the wake of China’s move to ban financial and payment institutions from providing cryptocurrency services.</p><p><blockquote>中国禁止金融和支付机构提供加密货币服务后，比特币和以太币暴跌，这也加剧了周三的避险情绪。</blockquote></p><p>The two main digital currencies fell as much as 30% and 45%, respectively, but they significantly stemmed their losses in afternoon trading after two of their biggest backers -- Tesla Inc chief Elon Musk and Ark Invest’s chief executive officer Cathie Wood -- reiterated their support for bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>这两种主要数字货币分别下跌了 30% 和 45%，但在它们的两大支持者--特斯拉公司首席执行官埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）和方舟投资公司（Ark Invest）首席执行官凯西-伍德（Cathie Wood）--重申支持比特币之后，它们在下午的交易中大幅收复了跌幅。</blockquote></p><p>Crypto-exchange operator Coinbase Global ,miners Riot Blockchain and Marathon Digital Holdings saw their shares sharply decline on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币交易所运营商 Coinbase Global、矿商 Riot Blockchain 和 Marathon Digital Holdings 的股价周三大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.15-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.71-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 2.15 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.71比1的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 34 new highs and 49 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 3 个 52 周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下34个新高和49个新低。</blockquote></p><p><b><i>Financial</i></b><b>&nbsp;</b><b><i>Report</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>金融的</i></b><b> </b><b><i>报告</i></b></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1160173685\" target=\"_blank\">4.5 Billion Parcels Expanded Market Share to 20.4%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1160173685\" target=\"_blank\">45亿个包裹将市场份额扩大至20.4%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1178296022\" target=\"_blank\">KE Holdings EPS beats by $0.04, beats on revenue</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1178296022\" target=\"_blank\">KE Holdings EPS 超过预期 0.04 美元，营收超过预期</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136465859\" target=\"_blank\">Victoria's Secret parent L Brands swings to quarterly profit as sales rise</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136465859\" target=\"_blank\">随着销售额增长，维多利亚的秘密母公司 L Brands 实现季度利润</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136594667\" target=\"_blank\">Cisco stock drops as higher costs amid chip shortage ding earnings outlook</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136594667\" target=\"_blank\">芯片短缺导致成本上升，影响盈利前景，思科股价下跌</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136450339\" target=\"_blank\">Chip Design Software Firm Synopsys Trounces Fiscal Second-Quarter Targets</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136450339\" target=\"_blank\">芯片设计软件公司新思科技超额完成第二季度财政目标</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks drop after Fed minutes, crypto fall<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后美国股市下跌，加密货币下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks drop after Fed minutes, crypto fall<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后美国股市下跌，加密货币下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-20 07:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street’s main indexes closed lower on Wednesday after minutes from an April Federal Reserve meeting showed participants agreed the U.S. economy remained far from the central bank’s goals, with some considering discussions on tapering its bond buying program.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社）--华尔街主要股指周三收低，此前美联储4月份会议纪要显示，与会者一致认为美国经济仍远未达到央行的目标，一些人正在考虑讨论缩减债券购买计划。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 added to losses after the release of the minutes revealed a number of Fed policymakers thought that if the economy continued rapid progress, it would become appropriate “at some point” in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a tapering of the Fed’s monthly purchases of government bonds, a policy designed to keep long-term interest rates low.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要公布后，一些美联储决策者认为，如果经济继续快速增长，那么在即将召开的会议上 “在某个时候 ”开始讨论缩减美联储每月购买的政府债券规模将变得合适，这一政策旨在保持长期利率较低。</blockquote></p><p>“There continues to be a view and a perspective from the participants, as well as the Fed staff that these inflationary pressures that are beginning to become evident will remain transitory in their view and will likely recede as we transition into 2022,” said Bill Northey, senior investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management in Minneapolis.</p><p><blockquote>“明尼阿波利斯美国银行财富管理公司（U.S. Bank Wealth Management）高级投资总监比尔-诺西（Bill Northey）表示：”与会者和美联储工作人员仍然认为，在他们看来，这些开始显现的通胀压力仍将是暂时的，随着我们进入2022年，这些压力很可能会消退。</blockquote></p><p>Strong inflation readings and signs of a worker shortage in recent weeks have fueled fears and roiled stock markets despite reassurances from Fed officials that the rise in prices would be temporary.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美联储官员保证物价上涨将是暂时的，但最近几周强劲的通胀数据和工人短缺的迹象加剧了担忧并扰乱了股市。</blockquote></p><p>All three main indexes hit their session lows in morning trade after opening sharply lower, then partially recovered before the release of the Fed minutes pressured them anew.</p><p><blockquote>三大股指在早盘大幅低开后触及盘中低点，随后在美联储会议纪要发布再次给它们带来压力之前部分回升。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 164.62 points, or 0.48%, to 33,896.04, the S&amp;P 500 lost 12.15 points, or 0.29%, to 4,115.68 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.90 points, or 0.03%, to 13,299.74.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 164.62 点，跌幅 0.48%，至 33,896.04 点；标普500指数下跌 12.15 点，跌幅 0.29%，至 4,115.68 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 3.90 点，跌幅 0.03%，至 13,299.74 点。</blockquote></p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.70 billion shares, compared with the 10.60 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 107.0 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日整个交易日的平均成交量为 106.0 亿股。</blockquote></p><p>Contributing to a risk-off mood on Wednesday, Bitcoin and ether plunged in the wake of China’s move to ban financial and payment institutions from providing cryptocurrency services.</p><p><blockquote>中国禁止金融和支付机构提供加密货币服务后，比特币和以太币暴跌，这也加剧了周三的避险情绪。</blockquote></p><p>The two main digital currencies fell as much as 30% and 45%, respectively, but they significantly stemmed their losses in afternoon trading after two of their biggest backers -- Tesla Inc chief Elon Musk and Ark Invest’s chief executive officer Cathie Wood -- reiterated their support for bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>这两种主要数字货币分别下跌了 30% 和 45%，但在它们的两大支持者--特斯拉公司首席执行官埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）和方舟投资公司（Ark Invest）首席执行官凯西-伍德（Cathie Wood）--重申支持比特币之后，它们在下午的交易中大幅收复了跌幅。</blockquote></p><p>Crypto-exchange operator Coinbase Global ,miners Riot Blockchain and Marathon Digital Holdings saw their shares sharply decline on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币交易所运营商 Coinbase Global、矿商 Riot Blockchain 和 Marathon Digital Holdings 的股价周三大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.15-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.71-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 2.15 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.71比1的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 34 new highs and 49 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 3 个 52 周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下34个新高和49个新低。</blockquote></p><p><b><i>Financial</i></b><b>&nbsp;</b><b><i>Report</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>金融的</i></b><b> </b><b><i>报告</i></b></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1160173685\" target=\"_blank\">4.5 Billion Parcels Expanded Market Share to 20.4%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1160173685\" target=\"_blank\">45亿个包裹将市场份额扩大至20.4%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1178296022\" target=\"_blank\">KE Holdings EPS beats by $0.04, beats on revenue</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1178296022\" target=\"_blank\">KE Holdings EPS 超过预期 0.04 美元，营收超过预期</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136465859\" target=\"_blank\">Victoria's Secret parent L Brands swings to quarterly profit as sales rise</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136465859\" target=\"_blank\">随着销售额增长，维多利亚的秘密母公司 L Brands 实现季度利润</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136594667\" target=\"_blank\">Cisco stock drops as higher costs amid chip shortage ding earnings outlook</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136594667\" target=\"_blank\">芯片短缺导致成本上升，影响盈利前景，思科股价下跌</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136450339\" target=\"_blank\">Chip Design Software Firm Synopsys Trounces Fiscal Second-Quarter Targets</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2136450339\" target=\"_blank\">芯片设计软件公司新思科技超额完成第二季度财政目标</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-drop-after-fed-minutes-crypto-fall-idUSL2N2N639Y\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-drop-after-fed-minutes-crypto-fall-idUSL2N2N639Y","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129952039","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street’s main indexes closed lower on Wednesday after minutes from an April Federal Reserve meeting showed participants agreed the U.S. economy remained far from the central bank’s goals, with some considering discussions on tapering its bond buying program.The S&P 500 added to losses after the release of the minutes revealed a number of Fed policymakers thought that if the economy continued rapid progress, it would become appropriate “at some point” in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a tapering of the Fed’s monthly purchases of government bonds, a policy designed to keep long-term interest rates low.“There continues to be a view and a perspective from the participants, as well as the Fed staff that these inflationary pressures that are beginning to become evident will remain transitory in their view and will likely recede as we transition into 2022,” said Bill Northey, senior investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management in Minneapolis.Strong inflation readings and signs of a worker shortage in recent weeks have fueled fears and roiled stock markets despite reassurances from Fed officials that the rise in prices would be temporary.All three main indexes hit their session lows in morning trade after opening sharply lower, then partially recovered before the release of the Fed minutes pressured them anew.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 164.62 points, or 0.48%, to 33,896.04, the S&P 500 lost 12.15 points, or 0.29%, to 4,115.68 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.90 points, or 0.03%, to 13,299.74.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.70 billion shares, compared with the 10.60 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Contributing to a risk-off mood on Wednesday, Bitcoin and ether plunged in the wake of China’s move to ban financial and payment institutions from providing cryptocurrency services.The two main digital currencies fell as much as 30% and 45%, respectively, but they significantly stemmed their losses in afternoon trading after two of their biggest backers -- Tesla Inc chief Elon Musk and Ark Invest’s chief executive officer Cathie Wood -- reiterated their support for bitcoin.Crypto-exchange operator Coinbase Global ,miners Riot Blockchain and Marathon Digital Holdings saw their shares sharply decline on Wednesday.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.15-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.71-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 34 new highs and 49 new lows.Financial Report4.5 Billion Parcels Expanded Market Share to 20.4%KE Holdings EPS beats by $0.04, beats on revenueVictoria's Secret parent L Brands swings to quarterly profit as sales riseCisco stock drops as higher costs amid chip shortage ding earnings outlookChip Design Software Firm Synopsys Trounces Fiscal Second-Quarter Targets","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":898,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":821258339,"gmtCreate":1633750564562,"gmtModify":1633750564929,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582714812293607","authorIdStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821258339","repostId":"1100565546","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100565546","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633734823,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1100565546?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国 9 月份就业岗位未达预期后标普500收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100565546","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable op","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大股指在盘中的大部分时间里涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所回落。这三个指数均出现周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>康卡斯特公司（Comcast Corp）在富国银行（Wells Fargo）下调了该媒体公司的目标价后暴跌，而特许通信公司（Charter Communications Inc）在富国银行（Wells Fargo）将该有线电视运营商的评级从 “跑赢大盘 ”下调至 “跑输大盘 ”后暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源行业指数上涨 3.1%，其中油价本周上涨超过 4%，原因是全球能源危机将油价推至 2014 年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过 2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，9月份美国经济创造的就业岗位是九个月来最少的，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业工人短缺。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约 BK 资产管理公司董事总经理凯西-连（Kathy Lien）说：”我认为美联储已经非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅就业报告就能在 11 月份缩减规模。“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货定价为美联储明年 11 月或 12 月收紧 25 个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点，标普500指数下跌0.19%，至4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.51%，至 14,579.54 点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克指数上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先发布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长 30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>路孚特表示，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近 30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约 SoFi 投资策略主管 Liz Young 警告说：”我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。“如果供应链问题推高了成本上升，那么一家拥有强大定价权的公司就可以转嫁这些不断上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺的问题。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.24 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.52 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 26 个 52 周新高和 3 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国 9 月份就业岗位未达预期后标普500收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国 9 月份就业岗位未达预期后标普500收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-09 07:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大股指在盘中的大部分时间里涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所回落。这三个指数均出现周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>康卡斯特公司（Comcast Corp）在富国银行（Wells Fargo）下调了该媒体公司的目标价后暴跌，而特许通信公司（Charter Communications Inc）在富国银行（Wells Fargo）将该有线电视运营商的评级从 “跑赢大盘 ”下调至 “跑输大盘 ”后暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源行业指数上涨 3.1%，其中油价本周上涨超过 4%，原因是全球能源危机将油价推至 2014 年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过 2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，9月份美国经济创造的就业岗位是九个月来最少的，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业工人短缺。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约 BK 资产管理公司董事总经理凯西-连（Kathy Lien）说：”我认为美联储已经非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅就业报告就能在 11 月份缩减规模。“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货定价为美联储明年 11 月或 12 月收紧 25 个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点，标普500指数下跌0.19%，至4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.51%，至 14,579.54 点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500指数上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克指数上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先发布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长 30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>路孚特表示，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近 30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约 SoFi 投资策略主管 Liz Young 警告说：”我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。“如果供应链问题推高了成本上升，那么一家拥有强大定价权的公司就可以转嫁这些不断上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺的问题。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.24 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.52 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 26 个 52 周新高和 3 个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100565546","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.\nWall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.\nComcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.\nBoth companies were among the biggest drags on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nReal estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.\nThe S&P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.\nChevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&P 500 the greatest lift.\nThe Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.\n“I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”\nFutures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.\nThird-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.\nAnalysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:\nAnalysts on average expect S&P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.\n“I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":158916713,"gmtCreate":1625121419232,"gmtModify":1633944554698,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582714812293607","authorIdStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment. Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment. Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158916713","repostId":"1178516480","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1178516480","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625094708,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1178516480?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 07:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain<blockquote>标普500连续第五次创下收盘历史新高，连续第五个季度上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178516480","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as inves","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking toward Friday’s highly anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）--标普500周三连续第五次创下收盘新高，投资者在结束本月和本季度时基本上对积极的经济数据不屑一顾，转而关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> In the last session of 2021’s first half, the indexes were languid and range-bound, with the blue-chip Dow posting gains, while the Nasdaq edged lower.</p><p><blockquote>在 2021 年上半年的最后一个交易日，各指数表现低迷，区间震荡，蓝筹股道琼斯指数上涨，而纳斯达克指数则小幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> All three indexes posted their fifth consecutive quarterly gains, with the S&amp;P rising 8.2%, the Nasdaq advancing 9.5% and the Dow rising 4.6%. The S&amp;P 500 registered its second-best first-half performance since 1998, rising 14.5%.</p><p><blockquote>这三个指数均连续第五个季度上涨，其中标准普尔指数上涨 8.2%，纳斯达克指数上涨 9.5%，道琼斯指数上涨 4.6%。标普500上半年表现创1998年以来第二好，上涨14.5%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s been a good quarter,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. “As of last night’s close, the S&amp;P has gained more than 14% year-to-date, topping the Dow and the Nasdaq. That indicates that the stock market is having a broad rally.”</p><p><blockquote>“康涅狄格州费尔菲尔德 Dakota Wealth 高级投资组合经理罗伯特-帕夫利克（Robert Pavlik）说：”这是一个不错的季度。“截至昨晚收盘，标准普尔指数今年迄今已上涨超过 14%，超过道琼斯指数和纳斯达克指数。这表明股市正在全面反弹。”</blockquote></p><p> For the month, the bellwether S&amp;P 500 notched its fifth consecutive advance, while the Dow snapped its four-month winning streak to end slightly lower. The Nasdaq also gained ground in June.</p><p><blockquote>本月，领头羊标普500指数连续第五次上涨，而道琼斯指数则结束了四个月的连涨，收盘小幅走低。纳斯达克在6月份也取得了进展。</blockquote></p><p> This month, investor appetite shifted away from economically sensitive cyclicals in favor of growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>本月，投资者的兴趣从对经济敏感的周期性股票转向成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> “Leading sectors year-to-date are what you’d expect,” Pavlik added. “Energy, financials and industrials, and that speaks to an economic environment that’s in the early stages of a cycle.”</p><p><blockquote>“帕夫利克补充说：”今年迄今为止的领先行业是你所期望的。“能源、金融和工业，这表明经济环境正处于周期的早期阶段”。</blockquote></p><p> “(Investors) started the switch back to growth (stocks) after people started to buy in to (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell’s comments that focus on transitory inflation,” Pavlik added.</p><p><blockquote>“帕夫利克补充说：”在人们开始接受（美联储主席杰罗姆）鲍威尔关注短暂通胀的言论后，（投资者）开始转向成长型（股票）。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the reopening trades have gotten a bit long in the tooth and that’s leading people back to growth.”</p><p><blockquote>“一些重新开放的行业已经有点长了，这正在引导人们恢复增长”。</blockquote></p><p> (Graphic: Growths stocks outperform value in June, narrow YTD gap, )</p><p><blockquote>（图表：6 月份成长型股票跑赢价值，年初至今差距缩小）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b82b4dfdc765d913811f9d8572e60f6\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“The overall stock market continues to be on a tear, with very consistent gains for quite some time,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “Valuations, while certainly high by historical standards, have been at a fairly consistent level, benefiting from the economic recovery.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约因弗内斯律师事务所首席投资策略师蒂姆-格里斯基（Tim Ghriskey）说：”整体股市继续上涨，在相当长一段时间内涨幅非常稳定。“虽然按历史标准来看，估值肯定很高，但受益于经济复苏，估值一直处于相当稳定的水平。”</blockquote></p><p> The private sector added 692,000 jobs in June, breezing past expectations, according to payroll processor ADP. The number is 92,000 higher than the private payroll adds economists predict from the Labor Department’s more comprehensive employment report due on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>根据薪资处理商 ADP 的数据，6 月份私营部门新增就业岗位 692,000 个，轻松超出预期。经济学家在劳工部将于周五发布的更全面的就业报告中补充说，这一数字比私人就业人数高出 9.2 万人。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.22 points, or 0.61%, to 34,502.51, the S&amp;P 500 gained 5.7 points, or 0.13%, to 4,297.5 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 24.38 points, or 0.17%, to 14,503.95.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 210.22 点，或 0.61%，至 34,502.51 点；标普500指数上涨 5.7 点，或 0.13%，至 4,297.5 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 24.38 点，或 0.17%，至 14,503.95 点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P, six ended the session higher, with energy enjoying the biggest percentage gain. Real estate was the day’s biggest loser.</p><p><blockquote>在标准普尔的 11 个主要板块中，有 6 个板块收高，其中能源板块涨幅最大。房地产是当天最大的输家。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing Co gained 1.6% after Germany’s defense ministry announced it would buy five of the planemaker’s P-8A maritime control aircraft, coming on the heels of United Airlines unveiling its largest-ever order for new planes.</p><p><blockquote>在德国国防部宣布将购买该飞机制造商的五架 P-8A 海上管制飞机后，波音公司股价上涨了 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart jumped 2.7% after announcing on Tuesday that it would start selling a prescription-only insulin analog.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛周二宣布将开始销售仅限处方的胰岛素类似物，股价上涨 2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology advanced 2.5% ahead of its quarterly earnings release, but was relatively unchanged in after-hours trading following the chipmaker’s quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技在发布季度财报前上涨了 2.5%，但在芯片制造商公布季度财报后的盘后交易中股价相对持平。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.19-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨发行量超过下跌发行量，比例为 1.35 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.19 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 36 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下20个52周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下70个新高和36个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.85 billion shares, compared with the 11.05 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 108.5 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 110.5 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain<blockquote>标普500连续第五次创下收盘历史新高，连续第五个季度上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain<blockquote>标普500连续第五次创下收盘历史新高，连续第五个季度上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 07:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking toward Friday’s highly anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）--标普500周三连续第五次创下收盘新高，投资者在结束本月和本季度时基本上对积极的经济数据不屑一顾，转而关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> In the last session of 2021’s first half, the indexes were languid and range-bound, with the blue-chip Dow posting gains, while the Nasdaq edged lower.</p><p><blockquote>在 2021 年上半年的最后一个交易日，各指数表现低迷，区间震荡，蓝筹股道琼斯指数上涨，而纳斯达克指数则小幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> All three indexes posted their fifth consecutive quarterly gains, with the S&amp;P rising 8.2%, the Nasdaq advancing 9.5% and the Dow rising 4.6%. The S&amp;P 500 registered its second-best first-half performance since 1998, rising 14.5%.</p><p><blockquote>这三个指数均连续第五个季度上涨，其中标准普尔指数上涨 8.2%，纳斯达克指数上涨 9.5%，道琼斯指数上涨 4.6%。标普500上半年表现创1998年以来第二好，上涨14.5%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s been a good quarter,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. “As of last night’s close, the S&amp;P has gained more than 14% year-to-date, topping the Dow and the Nasdaq. That indicates that the stock market is having a broad rally.”</p><p><blockquote>“康涅狄格州费尔菲尔德 Dakota Wealth 高级投资组合经理罗伯特-帕夫利克（Robert Pavlik）说：”这是一个不错的季度。“截至昨晚收盘，标准普尔指数今年迄今已上涨超过 14%，超过道琼斯指数和纳斯达克指数。这表明股市正在全面反弹。”</blockquote></p><p> For the month, the bellwether S&amp;P 500 notched its fifth consecutive advance, while the Dow snapped its four-month winning streak to end slightly lower. The Nasdaq also gained ground in June.</p><p><blockquote>本月，领头羊标普500指数连续第五次上涨，而道琼斯指数则结束了四个月的连涨，收盘小幅走低。纳斯达克在6月份也取得了进展。</blockquote></p><p> This month, investor appetite shifted away from economically sensitive cyclicals in favor of growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>本月，投资者的兴趣从对经济敏感的周期性股票转向成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> “Leading sectors year-to-date are what you’d expect,” Pavlik added. “Energy, financials and industrials, and that speaks to an economic environment that’s in the early stages of a cycle.”</p><p><blockquote>“帕夫利克补充说：”今年迄今为止的领先行业是你所期望的。“能源、金融和工业，这表明经济环境正处于周期的早期阶段”。</blockquote></p><p> “(Investors) started the switch back to growth (stocks) after people started to buy in to (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell’s comments that focus on transitory inflation,” Pavlik added.</p><p><blockquote>“帕夫利克补充说：”在人们开始接受（美联储主席杰罗姆）鲍威尔关注短暂通胀的言论后，（投资者）开始转向成长型（股票）。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the reopening trades have gotten a bit long in the tooth and that’s leading people back to growth.”</p><p><blockquote>“一些重新开放的行业已经有点长了，这正在引导人们恢复增长”。</blockquote></p><p> (Graphic: Growths stocks outperform value in June, narrow YTD gap, )</p><p><blockquote>（图表：6 月份成长型股票跑赢价值，年初至今差距缩小）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b82b4dfdc765d913811f9d8572e60f6\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“The overall stock market continues to be on a tear, with very consistent gains for quite some time,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “Valuations, while certainly high by historical standards, have been at a fairly consistent level, benefiting from the economic recovery.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约因弗内斯律师事务所首席投资策略师蒂姆-格里斯基（Tim Ghriskey）说：”整体股市继续上涨，在相当长一段时间内涨幅非常稳定。“虽然按历史标准来看，估值肯定很高，但受益于经济复苏，估值一直处于相当稳定的水平。”</blockquote></p><p> The private sector added 692,000 jobs in June, breezing past expectations, according to payroll processor ADP. The number is 92,000 higher than the private payroll adds economists predict from the Labor Department’s more comprehensive employment report due on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>根据薪资处理商 ADP 的数据，6 月份私营部门新增就业岗位 692,000 个，轻松超出预期。经济学家在劳工部将于周五发布的更全面的就业报告中补充说，这一数字比私人就业人数高出 9.2 万人。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.22 points, or 0.61%, to 34,502.51, the S&amp;P 500 gained 5.7 points, or 0.13%, to 4,297.5 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 24.38 points, or 0.17%, to 14,503.95.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 210.22 点，或 0.61%，至 34,502.51 点；标普500指数上涨 5.7 点，或 0.13%，至 4,297.5 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 24.38 点，或 0.17%，至 14,503.95 点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P, six ended the session higher, with energy enjoying the biggest percentage gain. Real estate was the day’s biggest loser.</p><p><blockquote>在标准普尔的 11 个主要板块中，有 6 个板块收高，其中能源板块涨幅最大。房地产是当天最大的输家。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing Co gained 1.6% after Germany’s defense ministry announced it would buy five of the planemaker’s P-8A maritime control aircraft, coming on the heels of United Airlines unveiling its largest-ever order for new planes.</p><p><blockquote>在德国国防部宣布将购买该飞机制造商的五架 P-8A 海上管制飞机后，波音公司股价上涨了 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart jumped 2.7% after announcing on Tuesday that it would start selling a prescription-only insulin analog.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛周二宣布将开始销售仅限处方的胰岛素类似物，股价上涨 2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology advanced 2.5% ahead of its quarterly earnings release, but was relatively unchanged in after-hours trading following the chipmaker’s quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技在发布季度财报前上涨了 2.5%，但在芯片制造商公布季度财报后的盘后交易中股价相对持平。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.19-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨发行量超过下跌发行量，比例为 1.35 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.19 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 36 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下20个52周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下70个新高和36个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.85 billion shares, compared with the 11.05 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 108.5 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 110.5 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-notches-fifth-straight-record-closing-high-fifth-straight-quarterly-gain-idUSKCN2E619R\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-notches-fifth-straight-record-closing-high-fifth-straight-quarterly-gain-idUSKCN2E619R","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178516480","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking toward Friday’s highly anticipated employment report.\nIn the last session of 2021’s first half, the indexes were languid and range-bound, with the blue-chip Dow posting gains, while the Nasdaq edged lower.\nAll three indexes posted their fifth consecutive quarterly gains, with the S&P rising 8.2%, the Nasdaq advancing 9.5% and the Dow rising 4.6%. The S&P 500 registered its second-best first-half performance since 1998, rising 14.5%.\n“It’s been a good quarter,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. “As of last night’s close, the S&P has gained more than 14% year-to-date, topping the Dow and the Nasdaq. That indicates that the stock market is having a broad rally.”\nFor the month, the bellwether S&P 500 notched its fifth consecutive advance, while the Dow snapped its four-month winning streak to end slightly lower. The Nasdaq also gained ground in June.\nThis month, investor appetite shifted away from economically sensitive cyclicals in favor of growth stocks.\n“Leading sectors year-to-date are what you’d expect,” Pavlik added. “Energy, financials and industrials, and that speaks to an economic environment that’s in the early stages of a cycle.”\n“(Investors) started the switch back to growth (stocks) after people started to buy in to (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell’s comments that focus on transitory inflation,” Pavlik added.\n“Some of the reopening trades have gotten a bit long in the tooth and that’s leading people back to growth.”\n(Graphic: Growths stocks outperform value in June, narrow YTD gap, )\n“The overall stock market continues to be on a tear, with very consistent gains for quite some time,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “Valuations, while certainly high by historical standards, have been at a fairly consistent level, benefiting from the economic recovery.”\nThe private sector added 692,000 jobs in June, breezing past expectations, according to payroll processor ADP. The number is 92,000 higher than the private payroll adds economists predict from the Labor Department’s more comprehensive employment report due on Friday.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.22 points, or 0.61%, to 34,502.51, the S&P 500 gained 5.7 points, or 0.13%, to 4,297.5 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 24.38 points, or 0.17%, to 14,503.95.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P, six ended the session higher, with energy enjoying the biggest percentage gain. Real estate was the day’s biggest loser.\nBoeing Co gained 1.6% after Germany’s defense ministry announced it would buy five of the planemaker’s P-8A maritime control aircraft, coming on the heels of United Airlines unveiling its largest-ever order for new planes.\nWalmart jumped 2.7% after announcing on Tuesday that it would start selling a prescription-only insulin analog.\nMicron Technology advanced 2.5% ahead of its quarterly earnings release, but was relatively unchanged in after-hours trading following the chipmaker’s quarterly results.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.19-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 36 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.85 billion shares, compared with the 11.05 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192266453,"gmtCreate":1621211892872,"gmtModify":1634193402682,"author":{"id":"3582714812293607","authorId":"3582714812293607","name":"Darylzhuo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5e4be85ccfbeb4c1c4b4faed74f6f1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582714812293607","authorIdStr":"3582714812293607"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment. 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