WealthyCat的个人主页 - 老虎社区

WealthyCat

WealthyCat

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

15关注

4粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-11-18

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-15

Ok

Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>

2021-11-05

Bubble...

Tesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.<blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉股票被高估了 1 万亿美元。我们看了数学。</blockquote>

2021-09-29

Meltdown but short squeezes happens will be good.

Technically Speaking: Is The Market "Melting-Up?"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>

2021-09-20

Great

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-17

Fool with their crystal ball again, lol

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-08

Might be an attack just to make it look bad for el Salvador.

Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote>

2021-08-26

Kill the bears, give them their salvation, bodies of bears everywhere is the end game!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-16

Suggest changing name to bloody fools.

3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称 3 只飞涨的股票可能下跌 53% 至 84%</blockquote>

2021-08-16

Lol, go cry in a corner fools. If your crystal ball is so good, u wouldn't have to publish any article.

3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称 3 只飞涨的股票可能下跌 53% 至 84%</blockquote>

2021-08-16

Lol

U.S. stock market opens lower Monday amid weak China demand, spread of delta variant<blockquote>由于中国需求疲软和德尔塔变异毒株蔓延，美国股市周一开盘走低</blockquote>

2021-08-12

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ waitng for bears bodies to float on the rivers and seas.

2021-08-02

Fools at it again with their crystal ball.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-30

Disgusting wallstreet, only seeking to amplify bad news whenever they can.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-30

Crookhood, dive and swim into the blackhole ok.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-29

Words spoken by fools, only peabrains will listen to dogs paid by shitadel.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-28

Good

Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound<blockquote>热门中国概念股持续反弹</blockquote>

2021-07-28

Lol

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-27

富贵险中求。(not financial advice)

Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote>

2021-07-27

Bad storm... Lying in wait for clearer indications

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3582771937132696","uuid":"3582771937132696","gmtCreate":1622543696238,"gmtModify":1625713440356,"name":"WealthyCat","pinyin":"wealthycat","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":4,"headSize":15,"tweetSize":44,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.22","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":2,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":876086316,"gmtCreate":1637244547826,"gmtModify":1637244547826,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876086316","repostId":"1125341334","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873476760,"gmtCreate":1636982852771,"gmtModify":1636982852771,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873476760","repostId":"1124063419","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124063419","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636981410,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1124063419?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-15 21:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124063419","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earn","content":"<p>Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earnings results out from major U.S. companies later this week.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd814193ce3a21c26ecb73c6e576fc6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">At 8:00 a.m. ET, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up&nbsp;10.75&nbsp;points, or 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 e-minis&nbsp;were up&nbsp;34.5&nbsp;points, or 0.21%, and Dow e-minis&nbsp; were&nbsp;up&nbsp;118&nbsp;points, or 0.33%.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者等待美国主要公司本周晚些时候公布的关键零售销售和盈利结果，周一上午股票期货开盘走高。美国东部时间上午 8:00，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 10.75 点，涨幅 0.23%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 34.5 点，涨幅 0.21%，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 118 点，涨幅 0.33%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors this week are also&nbsp;set to receive new data&nbsp;from the Commerce Department on U.S. retail sales. The report is likely to show a 1.3% month-on-month jump in sales for October after a more sanguine 0.7% rise in September. And retail earnings results from major names including Walmart, Target, Home Depot and Lowe's will offer additional details on the state of the consumer.</p><p><blockquote>投资者本周还将收到商务部有关美国零售销售的新数据。该报告可能显示，继 9 月份销售额增长 0.7% 之后，10 月份销售额可能会环比增长 1.3%。沃尔玛、塔吉特、家得宝和劳氏等主要品牌的零售盈利结果将提供有关消费者状况的更多细节。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">Oatly Group AB</a> – The oat milk producer lost 7 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 10 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. Revenue came in below forecasts, however, and its shares tumbled 14.1% in premarket action. Oatly said it faced challenges related to various Covid-related restrictions, but that it continues to scale up production.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">奥特利集团有限公司</a>– 这家燕麦奶生产商最近一个季度每股亏损 7 美分，低于分析师预期的每股亏损 10 美分。然而，收入低于预期，其股价在盘前交易中暴跌 14.1%。Oatly 表示，它面临着与各种与 Covid 相关的限制相关的挑战，但它将继续扩大生产规模。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> – Tesla slid 2.1% in premarket trading after a weekly loss last week ended an 11-week winning streak. Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $7 billion in stock last week.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>– 特斯拉在盘前交易中下跌 2.1%，上周一周下跌，结束了 11 周的连涨。特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克上周出售了近70亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">Dollar Tree</a> – Dollar Tree surged 8.3% in the premarket after activist investor Mantle Ridge took a stake in the discount retailer. The Wall Street Journal reports that Mantle Ridge wants Dollar Tree to take action to boost its stock price and is focusing on pricing strategies at the company’s Family Dollar chain. The news prompted Deutsche Bank to upgrade the stock to “buy” from “hold,” citing potential improvements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">美元树</a>– 激进投资者 Mantle Ridge 入股折扣零售商 Dollar Tree 后，盘前股价飙升 8.3%。据《华尔街日报》报道，Mantle Ridge 希望 Dollar Tree 采取行动提高其股价，并将重点放在公司家族 Dollar 连锁店的定价策略上。这一消息促使德意志银行将该股评级从 “持有 ”上调至 “买入 ”，理由是该股有潜力改善。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> – The beef and poultry producer earned $2.30 per share for its fiscal fourth quarter, 27 cents a share above estimates. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well. Tyson also announced a new productivity program that it says will save $1 billion annually by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>– 这家牛肉和家禽生产商第四财季每股收益为 2.30 美元，比预期高出 27 美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。泰森还宣布了一项新的生产力计划，称到 2024 年底每年将节省 10 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">American Tower</a> – The communications infrastructure real estate investment trust is buying data center REITCoreSite Realty(COR) for $170 per share in cash, or about $10.1 billion. CoreSite rose 2.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">美国塔</a>– 通信基础设施房地产投资信托基金将以每股 170 美元现金（约合 101 亿美元）收购数据中心 REITCoreSite Realty (COR)。CoreSite 在盘前交易中上涨 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker and striking workers reached a third tentative contract agreement after the first two were rejected. Neither side gave details on the new agreement and it is not yet clear when a vote will take place. Workers have been off the job since Oct. 14.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>– 重型设备制造商和罢工工人在前两份合同被拒绝后达成了第三份临时合同协议。双方都没有透露新协议的细节，目前还不清楚何时进行投票。自10月14日以来，工人们一直处于停工状态。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo Inc.</a> – The operator of public EV charging networks saw its stock tank by 7.7% in the premarket, after Credit Suisse downgraded it to “neutral” from “outperform.” The company said a recent rally in the stock has likely priced in benefits from the infrastructure bill as well as recent partnership announcements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo公司。</a>- 在瑞士信贷将其评级从 “跑赢大盘 ”下调至 “中性”后，这家公共电动汽车充电网络运营商的股价在盘前下跌了 7.7%。该公司表示，该股最近的上涨可能是由于基础设施法案以及最近的合作公告带来的好处。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">Royal Dutch Shell PLC</a> – Royal Dutch Shell plans to scrap its dual share structure and also drop the “Royal Dutch” part of its corporate name. The announcement comes amid calls by activist investor Third Point to split up the energy giant into several companies to increase shareholder value. Class “A” shares gained 1.5% in premarket action, while class “B” shares rose 1.1%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">荷兰皇家壳牌公司</a>- 荷兰皇家壳牌公司计划取消其双重股权结构，并放弃公司名称中的 “荷兰皇家 ”部分。这一消息发布之际，激进投资者 Third Point 评级将这家能源巨头拆分为几家公司，以增加股东价值。A 类股在盘前交易中上涨 1.5%，B 类股上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">Boeing</a> – Boeing Senior Vice President Ihssane Mounir said the jet maker is “getting close” to resuming deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner, after suspending them to deal with production issues. Mounir said the exact timing depends on the outcome of ongoing talks with regulators. The stock added 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音</a>- 波音公司高级副总裁伊赫萨内-穆尼尔（Ihssane Mounir）表示，这家喷气式飞机制造商在暂停交付 787 梦想客机以处理生产问题后，正在 “接近 ”恢复交付。穆尼尔表示，确切的时间取决于与监管机构正在进行的谈判的结果。该股盘前上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – The pet products retailer’s stock slid 2.9% in premarket trading after Jefferies downgraded it to “hold” from “buy.” Jefferies cited valuation after a 26% rise over three months, as well as challenging labor conditions in Petco’s veterinary business.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">佩特科健康和保健公司。</a>- 在杰富瑞（Jefferies）将宠物用品零售商的评级从 “买入 ”下调至 “持有 ”后，该宠物用品零售商的股价在盘前交易中下跌了 2.9%。杰富瑞（Jefferies）列举了三个月内上涨 26% 的估值，以及 Petco 兽医业务充满挑战的劳动条件。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.</a> – Morgan Stanley began coverage of the cybersecurity company with an “underweight” rating, noting increasing competition and pricing pressure. Crowdstrike slid 4.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike控股公司。</a>- 摩根士丹利开始对这家网络安全公司给予 “跑输大盘 ”评级，指出竞争和定价压力日益加大。Crowdstrike 盘前下跌 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-15 21:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earnings results out from major U.S. companies later this week.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd814193ce3a21c26ecb73c6e576fc6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">At 8:00 a.m. ET, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up&nbsp;10.75&nbsp;points, or 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 e-minis&nbsp;were up&nbsp;34.5&nbsp;points, or 0.21%, and Dow e-minis&nbsp; were&nbsp;up&nbsp;118&nbsp;points, or 0.33%.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者等待美国主要公司本周晚些时候公布的关键零售销售和盈利结果，周一上午股票期货开盘走高。美国东部时间上午 8:00，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 10.75 点，涨幅 0.23%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 34.5 点，涨幅 0.21%，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 118 点，涨幅 0.33%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors this week are also&nbsp;set to receive new data&nbsp;from the Commerce Department on U.S. retail sales. The report is likely to show a 1.3% month-on-month jump in sales for October after a more sanguine 0.7% rise in September. And retail earnings results from major names including Walmart, Target, Home Depot and Lowe's will offer additional details on the state of the consumer.</p><p><blockquote>投资者本周还将收到商务部有关美国零售销售的新数据。该报告可能显示，继 9 月份销售额增长 0.7% 之后，10 月份销售额可能会环比增长 1.3%。沃尔玛、塔吉特、家得宝和劳氏等主要品牌的零售盈利结果将提供有关消费者状况的更多细节。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">Oatly Group AB</a> – The oat milk producer lost 7 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 10 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. Revenue came in below forecasts, however, and its shares tumbled 14.1% in premarket action. Oatly said it faced challenges related to various Covid-related restrictions, but that it continues to scale up production.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">奥特利集团有限公司</a>– 这家燕麦奶生产商最近一个季度每股亏损 7 美分，低于分析师预期的每股亏损 10 美分。然而，收入低于预期，其股价在盘前交易中暴跌 14.1%。Oatly 表示，它面临着与各种与 Covid 相关的限制相关的挑战，但它将继续扩大生产规模。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> – Tesla slid 2.1% in premarket trading after a weekly loss last week ended an 11-week winning streak. Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $7 billion in stock last week.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>– 特斯拉在盘前交易中下跌 2.1%，上周一周下跌，结束了 11 周的连涨。特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克上周出售了近70亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">Dollar Tree</a> – Dollar Tree surged 8.3% in the premarket after activist investor Mantle Ridge took a stake in the discount retailer. The Wall Street Journal reports that Mantle Ridge wants Dollar Tree to take action to boost its stock price and is focusing on pricing strategies at the company’s Family Dollar chain. The news prompted Deutsche Bank to upgrade the stock to “buy” from “hold,” citing potential improvements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">美元树</a>– 激进投资者 Mantle Ridge 入股折扣零售商 Dollar Tree 后，盘前股价飙升 8.3%。据《华尔街日报》报道，Mantle Ridge 希望 Dollar Tree 采取行动提高其股价，并将重点放在公司家族 Dollar 连锁店的定价策略上。这一消息促使德意志银行将该股评级从 “持有 ”上调至 “买入 ”，理由是该股有潜力改善。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> – The beef and poultry producer earned $2.30 per share for its fiscal fourth quarter, 27 cents a share above estimates. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well. Tyson also announced a new productivity program that it says will save $1 billion annually by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>– 这家牛肉和家禽生产商第四财季每股收益为 2.30 美元，比预期高出 27 美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。泰森还宣布了一项新的生产力计划，称到 2024 年底每年将节省 10 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">American Tower</a> – The communications infrastructure real estate investment trust is buying data center REITCoreSite Realty(COR) for $170 per share in cash, or about $10.1 billion. CoreSite rose 2.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">美国塔</a>– 通信基础设施房地产投资信托基金将以每股 170 美元现金（约合 101 亿美元）收购数据中心 REITCoreSite Realty (COR)。CoreSite 在盘前交易中上涨 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker and striking workers reached a third tentative contract agreement after the first two were rejected. Neither side gave details on the new agreement and it is not yet clear when a vote will take place. Workers have been off the job since Oct. 14.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>– 重型设备制造商和罢工工人在前两份合同被拒绝后达成了第三份临时合同协议。双方都没有透露新协议的细节，目前还不清楚何时进行投票。自10月14日以来，工人们一直处于停工状态。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo Inc.</a> – The operator of public EV charging networks saw its stock tank by 7.7% in the premarket, after Credit Suisse downgraded it to “neutral” from “outperform.” The company said a recent rally in the stock has likely priced in benefits from the infrastructure bill as well as recent partnership announcements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo公司。</a>- 在瑞士信贷将其评级从 “跑赢大盘 ”下调至 “中性”后，这家公共电动汽车充电网络运营商的股价在盘前下跌了 7.7%。该公司表示，该股最近的上涨可能是由于基础设施法案以及最近的合作公告带来的好处。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">Royal Dutch Shell PLC</a> – Royal Dutch Shell plans to scrap its dual share structure and also drop the “Royal Dutch” part of its corporate name. The announcement comes amid calls by activist investor Third Point to split up the energy giant into several companies to increase shareholder value. Class “A” shares gained 1.5% in premarket action, while class “B” shares rose 1.1%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">荷兰皇家壳牌公司</a>- 荷兰皇家壳牌公司计划取消其双重股权结构，并放弃公司名称中的 “荷兰皇家 ”部分。这一消息发布之际，激进投资者 Third Point 评级将这家能源巨头拆分为几家公司，以增加股东价值。A 类股在盘前交易中上涨 1.5%，B 类股上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">Boeing</a> – Boeing Senior Vice President Ihssane Mounir said the jet maker is “getting close” to resuming deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner, after suspending them to deal with production issues. Mounir said the exact timing depends on the outcome of ongoing talks with regulators. The stock added 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音</a>- 波音公司高级副总裁伊赫萨内-穆尼尔（Ihssane Mounir）表示，这家喷气式飞机制造商在暂停交付 787 梦想客机以处理生产问题后，正在 “接近 ”恢复交付。穆尼尔表示，确切的时间取决于与监管机构正在进行的谈判的结果。该股盘前上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – The pet products retailer’s stock slid 2.9% in premarket trading after Jefferies downgraded it to “hold” from “buy.” Jefferies cited valuation after a 26% rise over three months, as well as challenging labor conditions in Petco’s veterinary business.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">佩特科健康和保健公司。</a>- 在杰富瑞（Jefferies）将宠物用品零售商的评级从 “买入 ”下调至 “持有 ”后，该宠物用品零售商的股价在盘前交易中下跌了 2.9%。杰富瑞（Jefferies）列举了三个月内上涨 26% 的估值，以及 Petco 兽医业务充满挑战的劳动条件。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.</a> – Morgan Stanley began coverage of the cybersecurity company with an “underweight” rating, noting increasing competition and pricing pressure. Crowdstrike slid 4.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike控股公司。</a>- 摩根士丹利开始对这家网络安全公司给予 “跑输大盘 ”评级，指出竞争和定价压力日益加大。Crowdstrike 盘前下跌 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124063419","content_text":"Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earnings results out from major U.S. companies later this week.At 8:00 a.m. ET, S&P 500 e-minis were up 10.75 points, or 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 34.5 points, or 0.21%, and Dow e-minis  were up 118 points, or 0.33%.\nInvestors this week are also set to receive new data from the Commerce Department on U.S. retail sales. The report is likely to show a 1.3% month-on-month jump in sales for October after a more sanguine 0.7% rise in September. And retail earnings results from major names including Walmart, Target, Home Depot and Lowe's will offer additional details on the state of the consumer.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nOatly Group AB – The oat milk producer lost 7 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 10 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. Revenue came in below forecasts, however, and its shares tumbled 14.1% in premarket action. Oatly said it faced challenges related to various Covid-related restrictions, but that it continues to scale up production.\nTesla Motors – Tesla slid 2.1% in premarket trading after a weekly loss last week ended an 11-week winning streak. Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $7 billion in stock last week.\nDollar Tree – Dollar Tree surged 8.3% in the premarket after activist investor Mantle Ridge took a stake in the discount retailer. The Wall Street Journal reports that Mantle Ridge wants Dollar Tree to take action to boost its stock price and is focusing on pricing strategies at the company’s Family Dollar chain. The news prompted Deutsche Bank to upgrade the stock to “buy” from “hold,” citing potential improvements.\nTyson – The beef and poultry producer earned $2.30 per share for its fiscal fourth quarter, 27 cents a share above estimates. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well. Tyson also announced a new productivity program that it says will save $1 billion annually by the end of 2024.\nAmerican Tower – The communications infrastructure real estate investment trust is buying data center REITCoreSite Realty(COR) for $170 per share in cash, or about $10.1 billion. CoreSite rose 2.6% in premarket action.\nJohn Deere – The heavy equipment maker and striking workers reached a third tentative contract agreement after the first two were rejected. Neither side gave details on the new agreement and it is not yet clear when a vote will take place. Workers have been off the job since Oct. 14.\nEVgo Inc. – The operator of public EV charging networks saw its stock tank by 7.7% in the premarket, after Credit Suisse downgraded it to “neutral” from “outperform.” The company said a recent rally in the stock has likely priced in benefits from the infrastructure bill as well as recent partnership announcements.\nRoyal Dutch Shell PLC – Royal Dutch Shell plans to scrap its dual share structure and also drop the “Royal Dutch” part of its corporate name. The announcement comes amid calls by activist investor Third Point to split up the energy giant into several companies to increase shareholder value. Class “A” shares gained 1.5% in premarket action, while class “B” shares rose 1.1%.\nBoeing – Boeing Senior Vice President Ihssane Mounir said the jet maker is “getting close” to resuming deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner, after suspending them to deal with production issues. Mounir said the exact timing depends on the outcome of ongoing talks with regulators. The stock added 2.7% in the premarket.\nPetco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. – The pet products retailer’s stock slid 2.9% in premarket trading after Jefferies downgraded it to “hold” from “buy.” Jefferies cited valuation after a 26% rise over three months, as well as challenging labor conditions in Petco’s veterinary business.\nCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. – Morgan Stanley began coverage of the cybersecurity company with an “underweight” rating, noting increasing competition and pricing pressure. Crowdstrike slid 4.6% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842022033,"gmtCreate":1636121566343,"gmtModify":1636121566644,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Bubble...&nbsp;","listText":"Bubble...&nbsp;","text":"Bubble...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842022033","repostId":"1180620689","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1180620689","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636112077,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1180620689?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 19:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.<blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉股票被高估了 1 万亿美元。我们看了数学。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180620689","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-r","content":"<p>Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The firm’s CEO, David Trainer, says Tesla shares could fall as much as 88%, to roughly $150 a share.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的市值最近远远超过1万亿美元，但独立投资研究公司New Constructs认为，该公司被高估了约1万亿美元。该公司首席执行官大卫-特雷纳（David Trainer）表示，特斯拉的股价可能会下跌 88%，至每股约 150 美元。</blockquote></p><p> His argument, which isn’t the first extreme bear or bull case Tesla (ticker: TSLA) investors have had to weigh, is mainly based on math.</p><p><blockquote>他的论点主要基于数学，这并不是特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）投资者第一次不得不权衡的极端熊市或牛市案例。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock, which has risen about 57% over the past month, was little changed in premarket trading Friday after gaining up 1.3% Thursday afternoon, while the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;advanced 0.4% and the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;finished off 0.1%. Strong third-quarter deliveries, earnings, and a sale of 100,000 vehicles to the rental-car company&nbsp;Hertz&nbsp;(HTZZ) have sent the stock through the roof.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在过去一个月上涨了约 57%，在周四下午上涨 1.3% 后，周五盘前交易中几乎没有变化，而标普500指数上涨 0.4%，道琼斯工业平均指数收盘下跌 0.1%。强劲的第三季度交付量、盈利以及向汽车租赁公司赫兹 (HTZZ) 出售 10 万辆汽车，使该股飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Today, Tesla is worth roughly $1.2 trillion–a figure Trainer says makes no sense. Tesla didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.</p><p><blockquote>如今，特斯拉的身价约为 1.2 万亿美元——一位数字培训师表示，这个数字毫无意义。特斯拉没有立即回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “The $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 118% of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;[AAPL] by 2030,” wrote Trainer in a Thursday report. His work looked at what kind of sales and earnings the company would have to achieve to be worth that much.</p><p><blockquote>“Trainer 在周四的一份报告中写道：”1.2 万亿美元的估值意味着特斯拉拥有整个全球乘用车电动汽车市场 118% 的份额，到 2030 年，其盈利能力将超过苹果（AAPL）。他的工作着眼于公司必须实现什么样的销售额和收益才有价值。</blockquote></p><p> Trainer believes Tesla would have to sell almost 31 million vehicles in 2030 to justify the current valuation. That is more than he expects the entire industry to produce, based on figures from the International Energy Agency. The base case in the IEA’s 2021 outlook for electric vehicles projects annual global sales of about 28 million EVs at the end of the decade.</p><p><blockquote>Trainer 认为，特斯拉必须在 2030 年销售近 3100 万辆汽车才能证明当前估值的合理性。根据国际能源署的数据，这超出了他对整个行业产量的预期。国际能源署 2021 年电动汽车展望的基本假设预计，到本十年末，全球电动汽车年销量将达到约 2800 万辆。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, that IEA report was published in April, before many auto makers committed to spending billions of dollars on vehicle electrification and battery-production capacity. It was in August that President Joe Biden announced his <a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/tesla-musk-biden-ev-stock-51628202850\" target=\"_blank\">goal for EVs</a> to account for 50% of new-car sales by 2030. And the IEA report includes a best-case scenario with about 47 million EVs sold around the world annually by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，IEA 报告是在 4 月份发布的，当时许多汽车制造商承诺在汽车电气化和电池产能上花费数十亿美元。八月，乔·拜登总统宣布了他的<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/tesla-musk-biden-ev-stock-51628202850\" target=\"_blank\">电动汽车目标</a>到2030年，占新车销量的50%。IEA 报告包括一个最佳情况，到 2030 年，全球每年售出约 4700 万辆电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> There are, of course, Tesla bulls, and most of them don’t believe Tesla is going to sell 31 million cars a year by 2030. Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas, who rates the stock at Buy and has a $1,200 price target for shares, predicts annual sales of about 8 million units by then.</p><p><blockquote>当然，也有特斯拉的看涨者，他们中的大多数人都不相信特斯拉到 2030 年每年能卖出 3100 万辆汽车。摩根士丹利的亚当-乔纳斯（Adam Jonas）将该股评级为买入，目标价为 1200 美元，他预测届时年销量约为 800 万股。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas believes Tesla will be more profitable than traditional auto makers. But Trainer assumes that Tesla will have operating profit margins in line with those of General Motors&nbsp;(GM). With 31 million vehicles sold, that might mean Tesla earns $131 billion in 2030 operating profit, higher than the $100 billion-plus Apple is pulling in now, he said.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas相信特斯拉将比传统汽车制造商更有利可图。但特雷纳认为，特斯拉的营业利润率将与通用汽车 (GM) 持平。他表示，随着汽车销量的 3100 万辆，这可能意味着特斯拉到 2030 年将获得 1310 亿美元的营业利润，高于苹果目前的 1000 多亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But if Jonas’s call for Tesla to sell 8 million vehicles in 2030 is correct, Trainer said, that would yield earnings of about $30 billion annually, assuming Elon Musk’s company only matches GM’s net operating after-tax profit margin of 8.5%.</p><p><blockquote>但 Trainer 说，如果 Jonas 对特斯拉 2030 年销售 800 万辆汽车的看涨期权是正确的，那么假设埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）的公司仅与通用汽车 8.5% 的税后净营业利润率相当，那么每年将产生约 300 亿美元的收益。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, of course, some of Tesla’s profit margins have been industry-leading, which is no surprise given the popularity of the vehicles and the fact that the company doesn’t have the pension obligations its older rivals face. Third-quarter gross margins exceeded GM’s,Ford Motor‘s (F), and&nbsp;Volkswagen’s&nbsp;(VOW3. Germany), to name a few.</p><p><blockquote>当然，最近特斯拉的一些利润率一直处于行业领先地位，考虑到这些汽车的受欢迎程度，而且该公司没有老竞争对手所面临的养老金义务，这并不奇怪。第三季度的毛利率超过了通用汽车、福特汽车（F）和大众汽车（VOW3. 德国）等公司。</blockquote></p><p> Longer-term margins are hard to predict, though Trainer told <i>Barron’s</i> he thinks his assumption is fair. They depend on factors such as software sales—all auto makers are offering software-enabled features that can be sold on subscriptions—as well as battery costs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管培训师表示，长期利润率很难预测<i>巴伦</i>他认为他的假设是公平的。它们取决于软件销售（所有汽车制造商都提供可以通过订阅销售的软件功能）以及电池成本等因素。</blockquote></p><p> “Putting it all together: Tesla provides poor risk/reward,” Trainer wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“综合来看： 特斯拉提供的风险/回报很低，”Trainer 写道。</blockquote></p><p> His arguments are unlikely to sway the many bulls who follow the stock. There are 14 analysts, almost one-third of the 44 Bloomberg tracks, with target prices that value Tesla at $1 trillion or more.</p><p><blockquote>他的论点不太可能动摇许多关注该股的多头。有 14 位分析师，几乎占彭博 44 家分析师的三分之一，他们的目标价对特斯拉的估值为 1 万亿美元或更多。</blockquote></p><p> The bulls believe Tesla is the EV leader and will increase its sales and production volume at 50% a year on average for the foreseeable future. They also believe EVs will be more profitable than traditional vehicles and that Tesla will maintain its cost leadership. Many bulls also believe that Tesla’s power-storage business, plus a robotaxi operation it could launch if it succeeds in developing self-driving cars, will generate significant sales.</p><p><blockquote>看涨者认为特斯拉是电动汽车的领导者，在可预见的未来，其销量和产量将平均每年增长 50%。他们还相信电动汽车将比传统汽车更有利可图，并且特斯拉将保持其成本领先地位。许多看涨者还认为，特斯拉的储能业务，加上如果成功开发自动驾驶汽车，可能会推出的机器人出租车业务，将带来可观的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Time will tell who is right. The bulls are feeling good these days given Tesla’s strong results. And the bears are staring agape at the stock’s valuation, which essentially matches all of the world’s traditional auto makers combined.</p><p><blockquote>时间会证明谁是对的。鉴于特斯拉的强劲成绩，公牛队最近感觉很好。空头们正目不转睛地盯着该股的估值，该股的估值基本上相当于全球所有传统汽车制造商的估值总和。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.<blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉股票被高估了 1 万亿美元。我们看了数学。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.<blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉股票被高估了 1 万亿美元。我们看了数学。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-05 19:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The firm’s CEO, David Trainer, says Tesla shares could fall as much as 88%, to roughly $150 a share.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的市值最近远远超过1万亿美元，但独立投资研究公司New Constructs认为，该公司被高估了约1万亿美元。该公司首席执行官大卫-特雷纳（David Trainer）表示，特斯拉的股价可能会下跌 88%，至每股约 150 美元。</blockquote></p><p> His argument, which isn’t the first extreme bear or bull case Tesla (ticker: TSLA) investors have had to weigh, is mainly based on math.</p><p><blockquote>他的论点主要基于数学，这并不是特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）投资者第一次不得不权衡的极端熊市或牛市案例。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock, which has risen about 57% over the past month, was little changed in premarket trading Friday after gaining up 1.3% Thursday afternoon, while the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;advanced 0.4% and the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;finished off 0.1%. Strong third-quarter deliveries, earnings, and a sale of 100,000 vehicles to the rental-car company&nbsp;Hertz&nbsp;(HTZZ) have sent the stock through the roof.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在过去一个月上涨了约 57%，在周四下午上涨 1.3% 后，周五盘前交易中几乎没有变化，而标普500指数上涨 0.4%，道琼斯工业平均指数收盘下跌 0.1%。强劲的第三季度交付量、盈利以及向汽车租赁公司赫兹 (HTZZ) 出售 10 万辆汽车，使该股飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Today, Tesla is worth roughly $1.2 trillion–a figure Trainer says makes no sense. Tesla didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.</p><p><blockquote>如今，特斯拉的身价约为 1.2 万亿美元——一位数字培训师表示，这个数字毫无意义。特斯拉没有立即回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “The $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 118% of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;[AAPL] by 2030,” wrote Trainer in a Thursday report. His work looked at what kind of sales and earnings the company would have to achieve to be worth that much.</p><p><blockquote>“Trainer 在周四的一份报告中写道：”1.2 万亿美元的估值意味着特斯拉拥有整个全球乘用车电动汽车市场 118% 的份额，到 2030 年，其盈利能力将超过苹果（AAPL）。他的工作着眼于公司必须实现什么样的销售额和收益才有价值。</blockquote></p><p> Trainer believes Tesla would have to sell almost 31 million vehicles in 2030 to justify the current valuation. That is more than he expects the entire industry to produce, based on figures from the International Energy Agency. The base case in the IEA’s 2021 outlook for electric vehicles projects annual global sales of about 28 million EVs at the end of the decade.</p><p><blockquote>Trainer 认为，特斯拉必须在 2030 年销售近 3100 万辆汽车才能证明当前估值的合理性。根据国际能源署的数据，这超出了他对整个行业产量的预期。国际能源署 2021 年电动汽车展望的基本假设预计，到本十年末，全球电动汽车年销量将达到约 2800 万辆。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, that IEA report was published in April, before many auto makers committed to spending billions of dollars on vehicle electrification and battery-production capacity. It was in August that President Joe Biden announced his <a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/tesla-musk-biden-ev-stock-51628202850\" target=\"_blank\">goal for EVs</a> to account for 50% of new-car sales by 2030. And the IEA report includes a best-case scenario with about 47 million EVs sold around the world annually by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，IEA 报告是在 4 月份发布的，当时许多汽车制造商承诺在汽车电气化和电池产能上花费数十亿美元。八月，乔·拜登总统宣布了他的<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/tesla-musk-biden-ev-stock-51628202850\" target=\"_blank\">电动汽车目标</a>到2030年，占新车销量的50%。IEA 报告包括一个最佳情况，到 2030 年，全球每年售出约 4700 万辆电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> There are, of course, Tesla bulls, and most of them don’t believe Tesla is going to sell 31 million cars a year by 2030. Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas, who rates the stock at Buy and has a $1,200 price target for shares, predicts annual sales of about 8 million units by then.</p><p><blockquote>当然，也有特斯拉的看涨者，他们中的大多数人都不相信特斯拉到 2030 年每年能卖出 3100 万辆汽车。摩根士丹利的亚当-乔纳斯（Adam Jonas）将该股评级为买入，目标价为 1200 美元，他预测届时年销量约为 800 万股。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas believes Tesla will be more profitable than traditional auto makers. But Trainer assumes that Tesla will have operating profit margins in line with those of General Motors&nbsp;(GM). With 31 million vehicles sold, that might mean Tesla earns $131 billion in 2030 operating profit, higher than the $100 billion-plus Apple is pulling in now, he said.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas相信特斯拉将比传统汽车制造商更有利可图。但特雷纳认为，特斯拉的营业利润率将与通用汽车 (GM) 持平。他表示，随着汽车销量的 3100 万辆，这可能意味着特斯拉到 2030 年将获得 1310 亿美元的营业利润，高于苹果目前的 1000 多亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But if Jonas’s call for Tesla to sell 8 million vehicles in 2030 is correct, Trainer said, that would yield earnings of about $30 billion annually, assuming Elon Musk’s company only matches GM’s net operating after-tax profit margin of 8.5%.</p><p><blockquote>但 Trainer 说，如果 Jonas 对特斯拉 2030 年销售 800 万辆汽车的看涨期权是正确的，那么假设埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）的公司仅与通用汽车 8.5% 的税后净营业利润率相当，那么每年将产生约 300 亿美元的收益。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, of course, some of Tesla’s profit margins have been industry-leading, which is no surprise given the popularity of the vehicles and the fact that the company doesn’t have the pension obligations its older rivals face. Third-quarter gross margins exceeded GM’s,Ford Motor‘s (F), and&nbsp;Volkswagen’s&nbsp;(VOW3. Germany), to name a few.</p><p><blockquote>当然，最近特斯拉的一些利润率一直处于行业领先地位，考虑到这些汽车的受欢迎程度，而且该公司没有老竞争对手所面临的养老金义务，这并不奇怪。第三季度的毛利率超过了通用汽车、福特汽车（F）和大众汽车（VOW3. 德国）等公司。</blockquote></p><p> Longer-term margins are hard to predict, though Trainer told <i>Barron’s</i> he thinks his assumption is fair. They depend on factors such as software sales—all auto makers are offering software-enabled features that can be sold on subscriptions—as well as battery costs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管培训师表示，长期利润率很难预测<i>巴伦</i>他认为他的假设是公平的。它们取决于软件销售（所有汽车制造商都提供可以通过订阅销售的软件功能）以及电池成本等因素。</blockquote></p><p> “Putting it all together: Tesla provides poor risk/reward,” Trainer wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“综合来看： 特斯拉提供的风险/回报很低，”Trainer 写道。</blockquote></p><p> His arguments are unlikely to sway the many bulls who follow the stock. There are 14 analysts, almost one-third of the 44 Bloomberg tracks, with target prices that value Tesla at $1 trillion or more.</p><p><blockquote>他的论点不太可能动摇许多关注该股的多头。有 14 位分析师，几乎占彭博 44 家分析师的三分之一，他们的目标价对特斯拉的估值为 1 万亿美元或更多。</blockquote></p><p> The bulls believe Tesla is the EV leader and will increase its sales and production volume at 50% a year on average for the foreseeable future. They also believe EVs will be more profitable than traditional vehicles and that Tesla will maintain its cost leadership. Many bulls also believe that Tesla’s power-storage business, plus a robotaxi operation it could launch if it succeeds in developing self-driving cars, will generate significant sales.</p><p><blockquote>看涨者认为特斯拉是电动汽车的领导者，在可预见的未来，其销量和产量将平均每年增长 50%。他们还相信电动汽车将比传统汽车更有利可图，并且特斯拉将保持其成本领先地位。许多看涨者还认为，特斯拉的储能业务，加上如果成功开发自动驾驶汽车，可能会推出的机器人出租车业务，将带来可观的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Time will tell who is right. The bulls are feeling good these days given Tesla’s strong results. And the bears are staring agape at the stock’s valuation, which essentially matches all of the world’s traditional auto makers combined.</p><p><blockquote>时间会证明谁是对的。鉴于特斯拉的强劲成绩，公牛队最近感觉很好。空头们正目不转睛地盯着该股的估值，该股的估值基本上相当于全球所有传统汽车制造商的估值总和。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-overvalued-1-trillion-51636053056?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-overvalued-1-trillion-51636053056?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180620689","content_text":"Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The firm’s CEO, David Trainer, says Tesla shares could fall as much as 88%, to roughly $150 a share.\nHis argument, which isn’t the first extreme bear or bull case Tesla (ticker: TSLA) investors have had to weigh, is mainly based on math.\nTesla stock, which has risen about 57% over the past month, was little changed in premarket trading Friday after gaining up 1.3% Thursday afternoon, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.4% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished off 0.1%. Strong third-quarter deliveries, earnings, and a sale of 100,000 vehicles to the rental-car company Hertz (HTZZ) have sent the stock through the roof.\nToday, Tesla is worth roughly $1.2 trillion–a figure Trainer says makes no sense. Tesla didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.\n“The $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 118% of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple [AAPL] by 2030,” wrote Trainer in a Thursday report. His work looked at what kind of sales and earnings the company would have to achieve to be worth that much.\nTrainer believes Tesla would have to sell almost 31 million vehicles in 2030 to justify the current valuation. That is more than he expects the entire industry to produce, based on figures from the International Energy Agency. The base case in the IEA’s 2021 outlook for electric vehicles projects annual global sales of about 28 million EVs at the end of the decade.\nTo be sure, that IEA report was published in April, before many auto makers committed to spending billions of dollars on vehicle electrification and battery-production capacity. It was in August that President Joe Biden announced his goal for EVs to account for 50% of new-car sales by 2030. And the IEA report includes a best-case scenario with about 47 million EVs sold around the world annually by 2030.\nThere are, of course, Tesla bulls, and most of them don’t believe Tesla is going to sell 31 million cars a year by 2030. Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas, who rates the stock at Buy and has a $1,200 price target for shares, predicts annual sales of about 8 million units by then.\nJonas believes Tesla will be more profitable than traditional auto makers. But Trainer assumes that Tesla will have operating profit margins in line with those of General Motors (GM). With 31 million vehicles sold, that might mean Tesla earns $131 billion in 2030 operating profit, higher than the $100 billion-plus Apple is pulling in now, he said.\nBut if Jonas’s call for Tesla to sell 8 million vehicles in 2030 is correct, Trainer said, that would yield earnings of about $30 billion annually, assuming Elon Musk’s company only matches GM’s net operating after-tax profit margin of 8.5%.\nRecently, of course, some of Tesla’s profit margins have been industry-leading, which is no surprise given the popularity of the vehicles and the fact that the company doesn’t have the pension obligations its older rivals face. Third-quarter gross margins exceeded GM’s,Ford Motor‘s (F), and Volkswagen’s (VOW3. Germany), to name a few.\nLonger-term margins are hard to predict, though Trainer told Barron’s he thinks his assumption is fair. They depend on factors such as software sales—all auto makers are offering software-enabled features that can be sold on subscriptions—as well as battery costs.\n“Putting it all together: Tesla provides poor risk/reward,” Trainer wrote.\nHis arguments are unlikely to sway the many bulls who follow the stock. There are 14 analysts, almost one-third of the 44 Bloomberg tracks, with target prices that value Tesla at $1 trillion or more.\nThe bulls believe Tesla is the EV leader and will increase its sales and production volume at 50% a year on average for the foreseeable future. They also believe EVs will be more profitable than traditional vehicles and that Tesla will maintain its cost leadership. Many bulls also believe that Tesla’s power-storage business, plus a robotaxi operation it could launch if it succeeds in developing self-driving cars, will generate significant sales.\nTime will tell who is right. The bulls are feeling good these days given Tesla’s strong results. And the bears are staring agape at the stock’s valuation, which essentially matches all of the world’s traditional auto makers combined.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862581442,"gmtCreate":1632890379767,"gmtModify":1632890379930,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Meltdown but short squeezes happens will be good.&nbsp;","listText":"Meltdown but short squeezes happens will be good.&nbsp;","text":"Meltdown but short squeezes happens will be good.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862581442","repostId":"1198528044","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198528044","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632882697,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1198528044?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198528044","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protect","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</li><li>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</li><li>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满 “这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从同事那里得到的问题<i>减少垃圾投资。</i>这是一个很好的问题，因为投资者认为<i>“无风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个定义，准确地定义什么是熔化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>“融化是指资产或资产类别的投资业绩持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至、</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本性改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期的顶峰附近，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所吸引。这种繁荣滋生了 “合理化”，即 “这次不同 ”。那么，你如何知道目前的市场是否繁荣呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种市场活动表明市场已经回到了'热情'阶段。其特点是：'</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>轻松信贷（太容易，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行的热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>高风险股票跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>拉伸估值</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象一些事情往往比解释它更容易。<b>自 1900 年以来，只有两个之前的市场时期符合融化的条件：1920-1929 年和 1995-2000 年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前较 2020 年 3 月低点的进步进行比较。同样，我们看到价格也出现了非常相似的大幅上涨，同时估值也飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来的盈利能够大幅增长，以证明当前的价格是合理的。然而，付出高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值的衡量标准略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的偏差。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化，”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势迅速偏离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场问题<i>“融化”</i>不是熔化本身，而是随之而来的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在融化过程中，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度使用杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，而基本面则让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化是关于<i>心理学。</i><b>从历史上看，无论什么催化剂引发了人们对风险的漠视，价格和估值的相应飙升都很容易见证。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。以前的<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进步相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于当前的扩展只与历史上几个罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>流行的心理总是 “这次不一样”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被放弃，以换取势头和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似 “输不起 ”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，也是不可避免的，“融化 ”以最坏的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场处于<i>“融化，</i>“事件的持续时间不得而知。因此，投资者需要一个策略来参与预先，并减轻最终的损失<i>“融化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如前所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理的一个功能，它们可能会持续更长时间，比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么 “<i>结束”</i>融化是一种意想不到的外部事件，它会将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是退出潮发生的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场发展。但是，当然，困难的部分是当调整不可避免地发生时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我概述了我们采用的流程。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（在市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>抵御市场大幅下跌。（不相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>卖出落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某种方法在市场融化时不起作用，那么在普遍下跌时很可能也不起作用。最好尽早消除风险）。</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并根据目标权重重新平衡投资组合。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没写，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，变现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间大幅筹集现金。良好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当销售开始时，水平被触发，风险敞口减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTechnically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-29 10:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</li><li>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</li><li>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满 “这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从同事那里得到的问题<i>减少垃圾投资。</i>这是一个很好的问题，因为投资者认为<i>“无风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个定义，准确地定义什么是熔化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>“融化是指资产或资产类别的投资业绩持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至、</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本性改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期的顶峰附近，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所吸引。这种繁荣滋生了 “合理化”，即 “这次不同 ”。那么，你如何知道目前的市场是否繁荣呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种市场活动表明市场已经回到了'热情'阶段。其特点是：'</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>轻松信贷（太容易，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行的热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>高风险股票跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>拉伸估值</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象一些事情往往比解释它更容易。<b>自 1900 年以来，只有两个之前的市场时期符合融化的条件：1920-1929 年和 1995-2000 年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前较 2020 年 3 月低点的进步进行比较。同样，我们看到价格也出现了非常相似的大幅上涨，同时估值也飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来的盈利能够大幅增长，以证明当前的价格是合理的。然而，付出高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值的衡量标准略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的偏差。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化，”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势迅速偏离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场问题<i>“融化”</i>不是熔化本身，而是随之而来的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在融化过程中，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度使用杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，而基本面则让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化是关于<i>心理学。</i><b>从历史上看，无论什么催化剂引发了人们对风险的漠视，价格和估值的相应飙升都很容易见证。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。以前的<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进步相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于当前的扩展只与历史上几个罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>流行的心理总是 “这次不一样”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被放弃，以换取势头和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似 “输不起 ”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，也是不可避免的，“融化 ”以最坏的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场处于<i>“融化，</i>“事件的持续时间不得而知。因此，投资者需要一个策略来参与预先，并减轻最终的损失<i>“融化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如前所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理的一个功能，它们可能会持续更长时间，比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么 “<i>结束”</i>融化是一种意想不到的外部事件，它会将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是退出潮发生的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场发展。但是，当然，困难的部分是当调整不可避免地发生时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我概述了我们采用的流程。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（在市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>抵御市场大幅下跌。（不相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>卖出落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某种方法在市场融化时不起作用，那么在普遍下跌时很可能也不起作用。最好尽早消除风险）。</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并根据目标权重重新平衡投资组合。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没写，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，变现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间大幅筹集现金。良好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当销售开始时，水平被触发，风险敞口减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198528044","content_text":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nAs is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.\n\nIs the“market melting-up?”Such was the question I received from my colleague atCut The Crap Investing.It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a“no risk”market.\nOf course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.\n\n“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly\nby a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,\nrather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“–\n Investopedia\n\nCurrently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.As noted previously:\n\n“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”\n\n\n‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’\n\n\nHigh optimism\nEasy credit (too easy, with loose terms)\nA rush of initial and secondary offerings\nRisky stocks outperforming\nStretched valuations\n\n\nHowever, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nA Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up\nIt is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.\n\nHowever, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\n\nWe can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.\n\nThe following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market“melt-up,”there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.\n\nThe problem with market“melt-ups”is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.\nMelting-Up Leads To Melting-Down\nA market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why“this time is different.”They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.\nMarket melt-ups are all about“psychology.”Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous‘melt-up”periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.\n\nGiven that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.\n\nMelt-ups can longer than logic would predict.\nThe prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”\nValuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.\nInvestors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.\nLastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.\n\nIt is essential to recognize the markets are in a“melt-up,” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual“melting-down.”\nSurviving The Melt-Up\nAs noted, none of this means the next“bear market”is lurking.Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “end”a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.\nAs such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.\nAs portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.\n\nTighten up stop-loss levelsto current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)\nHedge portfoliosagainst major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)\nTake profitsin positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)\nSell laggardsand losers.(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)\nRaise cashand rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)\n\nNotice, nothing in there says,“sell everything and go to cash.”\nThere will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that“stop-loss”levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent“this time is different.”\nIt likely isn’t.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860313705,"gmtCreate":1632134416207,"gmtModify":1632802633639,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860313705","repostId":"2168502037","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884836497,"gmtCreate":1631876836019,"gmtModify":1631891879388,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Fool with their crystal ball again, lol","listText":"Fool with their crystal ball again, lol","text":"Fool with their crystal ball again, lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884836497","repostId":"2167651799","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":889906117,"gmtCreate":1631099077339,"gmtModify":1631891879390,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Might be an attack just to make it look bad for el Salvador.&nbsp;","listText":"Might be an attack just to make it look bad for el Salvador.&nbsp;","text":"Might be an attack just to make it look bad for el Salvador.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889906117","repostId":"1154837170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154837170","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631090918,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1154837170?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-08 16:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154837170","media":"Barron's","summary":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.Bitcoin  was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum , down 12% to $3,460.The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum ","content":"<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.</p><p><blockquote>对比特币来说，这本应是快乐的一天，但却变成了溃败。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.</p><p><blockquote>比特币（股票代码：BTC）周二下午交易价格约为 47,000 美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌 9%，今天上午跌至 42,900 美元。抛售前，比特币股价已超过 52,800 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.</p><p><blockquote>其他加密货币也陷入困境，包括以太币 (ETH)，下跌 12%，至 3,460 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.</p><p><blockquote>抛售可能反映了7月下旬价格开始上涨后的获利了结。自 7 月下旬以来，比特币股价已上涨超过 50%，当时股价约为 34,000 美元。在其底层区块链网络进行技术升级后，以太币也一直在飞翔。</blockquote></p><p> The down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多成为第一个将比特币与该国另一种官方货币美元一起作为法定货币的国家后，这一低迷的一天可能也反映了 “抛售新闻 ”的动态。</blockquote></p><p> Merchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多的商人现在应该接受商品和服务的比特币。政府承诺在公民的数字钱包中提供价值30美元的比特币。据路透社报道，麦当劳已开始在萨尔瓦多接受比特币。在正式发射前，纳伊布·布克莱总统的政府一直在购买比特币，包括价值至少2000万美元的产品。</blockquote></p><p> But El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.</p><p><blockquote>但萨尔瓦多的加密货币实验并没有得到国际货币基金组织和世界银行等组织的认可，这些组织警告萨尔瓦多，将其作为法定货币可能会危及金融稳定。其他国家正在打击加密交易、采矿和交易所，这表明萨尔瓦多目前可能是一个例外。</blockquote></p><p> Crypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).</p><p><blockquote>加密货币观察人士也将市场低迷归咎于技术因素。加密货币交易研究公司 Fairlead Strategies 的创始人兼管理合伙人凯蒂-斯托克顿（Katie Stockton）说，假设价格不会突然飙升，比特币现在将迎来 “外部下跌 ”的一天。这意味着比特币的交易区间更大，收盘价将低于昨天（假设下午 5 点截止，尽管它 24 小时交易）。</blockquote></p><p> “The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”这意味着要进一步整合。她补充说，到目前为止，抛售看起来只是一个小小的挫折，因为比特币还没有突破 4.4 万美元左右的 50 天移动平均线，这是其下一个支撑位。</blockquote></p><p> “A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”44,000 美元的违规并不意味着破产。“这是对 50 天移动平均线的测试。“比特币和大多数接近当前低点的加密货币都有强有力的支撑”。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.</p><p><blockquote>其他可能导致抛售的因素还包括领先的加密货币交易所 Bitfinix 的停电和 “计划外维护 ”的报道。据 Downdetector 称，Coinbase Global（股票代码：COIN）在中午前后也经历了停电激增。</blockquote></p><p> Even if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.</p><p><blockquote>即使价格从这里稳定下来，这也提醒人们，比特币和其他加密货币仍然容易受到快速下跌的影响。虽然你可以在圣萨尔瓦多买到一个加了一小块比特币的巨无霸，但你最好还是把它放在你的数字钱包里——或者不放在那里——这取决于一天中的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-08 16:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.</p><p><blockquote>对比特币来说，这本应是快乐的一天，但却变成了溃败。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.</p><p><blockquote>比特币（股票代码：BTC）周二下午交易价格约为 47,000 美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌 9%，今天上午跌至 42,900 美元。抛售前，比特币股价已超过 52,800 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.</p><p><blockquote>其他加密货币也陷入困境，包括以太币 (ETH)，下跌 12%，至 3,460 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.</p><p><blockquote>抛售可能反映了7月下旬价格开始上涨后的获利了结。自 7 月下旬以来，比特币股价已上涨超过 50%，当时股价约为 34,000 美元。在其底层区块链网络进行技术升级后，以太币也一直在飞翔。</blockquote></p><p> The down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多成为第一个将比特币与该国另一种官方货币美元一起作为法定货币的国家后，这一低迷的一天可能也反映了 “抛售新闻 ”的动态。</blockquote></p><p> Merchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多的商人现在应该接受商品和服务的比特币。政府承诺在公民的数字钱包中提供价值30美元的比特币。据路透社报道，麦当劳已开始在萨尔瓦多接受比特币。在正式发射前，纳伊布·布克莱总统的政府一直在购买比特币，包括价值至少2000万美元的产品。</blockquote></p><p> But El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.</p><p><blockquote>但萨尔瓦多的加密货币实验并没有得到国际货币基金组织和世界银行等组织的认可，这些组织警告萨尔瓦多，将其作为法定货币可能会危及金融稳定。其他国家正在打击加密交易、采矿和交易所，这表明萨尔瓦多目前可能是一个例外。</blockquote></p><p> Crypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).</p><p><blockquote>加密货币观察人士也将市场低迷归咎于技术因素。加密货币交易研究公司 Fairlead Strategies 的创始人兼管理合伙人凯蒂-斯托克顿（Katie Stockton）说，假设价格不会突然飙升，比特币现在将迎来 “外部下跌 ”的一天。这意味着比特币的交易区间更大，收盘价将低于昨天（假设下午 5 点截止，尽管它 24 小时交易）。</blockquote></p><p> “The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”这意味着要进一步整合。她补充说，到目前为止，抛售看起来只是一个小小的挫折，因为比特币还没有突破 4.4 万美元左右的 50 天移动平均线，这是其下一个支撑位。</blockquote></p><p> “A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”44,000 美元的违规并不意味着破产。“这是对 50 天移动平均线的测试。“比特币和大多数接近当前低点的加密货币都有强有力的支撑”。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.</p><p><blockquote>其他可能导致抛售的因素还包括领先的加密货币交易所 Bitfinix 的停电和 “计划外维护 ”的报道。据 Downdetector 称，Coinbase Global（股票代码：COIN）在中午前后也经历了停电激增。</blockquote></p><p> Even if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.</p><p><blockquote>即使价格从这里稳定下来，这也提醒人们，比特币和其他加密货币仍然容易受到快速下跌的影响。虽然你可以在圣萨尔瓦多买到一个加了一小块比特币的巨无霸，但你最好还是把它放在你的数字钱包里——或者不放在那里——这取决于一天中的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154837170","content_text":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.\nBitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.\nOther cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.\nThe selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.\nThe down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.\nMerchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.\nBut El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.\nCrypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).\n“The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.\n“A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”\nOther factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.\nEven if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GBTC":0.9,"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810113093,"gmtCreate":1629951407012,"gmtModify":1631891879394,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Kill the bears, give them their salvation, bodies of bears everywhere&nbsp;is the end game!&nbsp;","listText":"Kill the bears, give them their salvation, bodies of bears everywhere&nbsp;is the end game!&nbsp;","text":"Kill the bears, give them their salvation, bodies of bears everywhere is the end game!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810113093","repostId":"1101434650","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2044,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839183202,"gmtCreate":1629126640906,"gmtModify":1631891879395,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Suggest changing name to bloody fools.&nbsp;","listText":"Suggest changing name to bloody fools.&nbsp;","text":"Suggest changing name to bloody fools.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839183202","repostId":"1137437693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137437693","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629116844,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137437693?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 20:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称 3 只飞涨的股票可能下跌 53% 至 84%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137437693","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/o","content":"<p>  Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>分析师预计这些飙升的股票将重回地球。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>  <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li> </ul> It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>疫情和/或空头挤压在2021年对这三家公司很好。</li><li>尽管华尔街的价格目标往往可以持怀疑态度，但这些目标可能是正确的。</li></ul>现在是成为投资者的好时机。在随后的近17个月里<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">标普500</a></b>该指数在 2020 年 3 月冠状病毒崩盘期间触底，但其价值已翻了一番。耐心一次又一次地在华尔街带来利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p><p><blockquote>然而，众所周知，并非每只股票都会成为赢家。根据华尔街分析师和投资公司的说法，根据每家公司的一致目标价，有三只飞涨的股票在未来一年可能会损失 53% 至 84% 的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna：隐含下跌 53%</b></blockquote></p><p> First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p><p><blockquote>首先上涨的是飙升的生物技术股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">现代公司。</a></b>自2020年初以来增长了近1,900%。即使从上周盘中高点回落超过 20%，Moderna 的股价仍需再下跌 53%，才能达到 184.92 美元的共识目标价。</blockquote></p><p> As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能猜到的那样，Moderna 一飞冲天的原因是其紧急使用授权 (EUA) 冠状病毒疾病 2019 (COVID-19) 疫苗 mRNA-1273 的成功。在临床试验中，Moderna的候选疫苗导致约94%的疫苗效力（VE）。除了<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>/</b><b>生物技术</b>疫苗的VE为95%，没有其他EUA疫苗在功效方面能与之媲美。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的崛起是 Moderna 的另一大福音。delta的传播性提高了许多发达国家的疫苗接种率，这鼓励了美国。美国食品和药物管理局授权为免疫系统受损的人注射加强针。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Moderna 飙升的股价似乎表明，在 COVID-19 方面好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟，而加强注射将提供比曾经预测的更强大的收入流。</blockquote></p><p> However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Moderna 的估值存在双重问题。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">第一</a>新冠肺炎疫苗接种的竞争正在加剧，而不是减少。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">诺瓦瓦克斯</a></b>在未来几个月内收到 EUA 是一个不错的选择，并且<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>增加单剂疫苗的产量应该不会有任何问题。我们“应受谴责地展望 Moderna 2021 年的收入高峰年”。</blockquote></p><p> The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p><p><blockquote>另一个问题是mRNA-1273是Moderna唯一上市的药物。基于单一疗法的 1570 亿美元市值可能会也可能不会留下 powersounds，风险很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪拉德的：隐含下跌 55%</b></blockquote></p><p> The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>下一只飞涨的股票可能会有点令人惊讶……百货连锁店<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">迪拉德的</a></b>. 8 月 13 日星期五，迪拉德的股价创下 196 美元的历史收盘新高，将其市值推至 40 亿美元以上。但据分析师称，该公司的一致目标价为 87.33 美元，这家百货商店明年可能会降价 55%。</blockquote></p><p> If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想知道为什么 Dillard 的股价在过去一年中上涨了 625%，那么它的运营业绩将是一个很好的开始。该公司在大流行后大幅削减成本，大力推动直接面向消费者的销售，并严格管理库存。如果没有这些繁重的管理费用，利润在过去两个季度绝对飙升，因为被压抑的需求鼓励消费者走出家门，进入零售店。</blockquote></p><p> Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p><p><blockquote>迪拉德在提高股东价值方面也做得很好。在截至 7 月 31 日的 26 周内，该公司回购了约 140 万股股票，总计 1.71 亿美元。这听起来可能不多，但它使公司的流通股数量减少了 6% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，Dillard's 的可交易流通量相对较小，而且它是一只被大量卖空的股票。这种组合使其成为做空的完美目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些积极因素，但投资者必须认识到零售百货商店通常增长缓慢且具有周期性。尽管迪拉德的同比比较令人印象深刻，但其 2021 年 26 周零售额仅比 2019 年同期的 26 周零售额高出 1%。此外，与2019年相比，2021年可比商店销售额仅增长4%。虽然毛利率明显较高，但这更多地与成本削减有关，而不是显着的销售牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p><p><blockquote>尽管迪拉德的挑战华尔街的时间可能比预期的要长一点，但历史表明它没有机会跟上这个步伐。华尔街的价格目标很可能最终会成为现实。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>：隐含下行 84%</b></blockquote></p><p> Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街的一致目标价，电影院股票最具潜在下跌空间<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a></b>尽管它是今年表现最好的股票之一，但 AMC 需要从当前股价下跌 84%，才能达到每股 5.25 美元的共识目标。</blockquote></p><p> AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>一月份，AMC 获得了巨大的提振，当时该公司能够通过发行普通股和债务避免破产。一直押注该公司进一步下跌的卖空者对 AMC 的融资感到措手不及，这导致了恶性的空头挤压。</blockquote></p><p> Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC 热情洋溢的散户投资者有着相同的目标——即看到另一次空头挤压发生。截至7月30日，8585万股被做空，占流通股的近17%。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 及其散户投资者面临的问题是，基本面始终很重要，而 AMC 的经营业绩和资产负债表简直就是一部恐怖电影。虽然影院容量的增加推动了第二季度季度销售额的环比增长，但这并不能成为 AMC 在过去六个月中消耗了 5.765 亿美元现金或距离盈利还有很长的路要走的事实的借口。</blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表是一个更大的问题。截至 6 月底，AMC 拥有 55 亿美元的企业借款，并且还有 4.2 亿美元的递延租金需要支付。随着该公司实际上将股票发行规模扩大，AMC 将被迫依靠其 18.1 亿美元现金和 2.12 亿美元循环信贷额度来履行租金义务并偿还债务。由于其 2026 年和 2027 年债券的面值分别为 58% 和 62%，债券持有人明确表示担心 AMC 将无法保持偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>锦上添花的是，我们目睹了戏剧排他性的减少。例如，AMC 与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">美国电话电报公司</a>华纳兄弟仅提供 45 天的独家时间，低于大流行前传统的 75 天至 90 天的独家时间。</blockquote></p><p> It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p><p><blockquote>这可能需要超过 12 个月的时间，但 AMC 确实有望重返 2 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称 3 只飞涨的股票可能下跌 53% 至 84%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称 3 只飞涨的股票可能下跌 53% 至 84%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-16 20:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>分析师预计这些飙升的股票将重回地球。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>  <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li> </ul> It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>疫情和/或空头挤压在2021年对这三家公司很好。</li><li>尽管华尔街的价格目标往往可以持怀疑态度，但这些目标可能是正确的。</li></ul>现在是成为投资者的好时机。在随后的近17个月里<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">标普500</a></b>该指数在 2020 年 3 月冠状病毒崩盘期间触底，但其价值已翻了一番。耐心一次又一次地在华尔街带来利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p><p><blockquote>然而，众所周知，并非每只股票都会成为赢家。根据华尔街分析师和投资公司的说法，根据每家公司的一致目标价，有三只飞涨的股票在未来一年可能会损失 53% 至 84% 的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna：隐含下跌 53%</b></blockquote></p><p> First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p><p><blockquote>首先上涨的是飙升的生物技术股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">现代公司。</a></b>自2020年初以来增长了近1,900%。即使从上周盘中高点回落超过 20%，Moderna 的股价仍需再下跌 53%，才能达到 184.92 美元的共识目标价。</blockquote></p><p> As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能猜到的那样，Moderna 一飞冲天的原因是其紧急使用授权 (EUA) 冠状病毒疾病 2019 (COVID-19) 疫苗 mRNA-1273 的成功。在临床试验中，Moderna的候选疫苗导致约94%的疫苗效力（VE）。除了<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>/</b><b>生物技术</b>疫苗的VE为95%，没有其他EUA疫苗在功效方面能与之媲美。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的崛起是 Moderna 的另一大福音。delta的传播性提高了许多发达国家的疫苗接种率，这鼓励了美国。美国食品和药物管理局授权为免疫系统受损的人注射加强针。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Moderna 飙升的股价似乎表明，在 COVID-19 方面好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟，而加强注射将提供比曾经预测的更强大的收入流。</blockquote></p><p> However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Moderna 的估值存在双重问题。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">第一</a>新冠肺炎疫苗接种的竞争正在加剧，而不是减少。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">诺瓦瓦克斯</a></b>在未来几个月内收到 EUA 是一个不错的选择，并且<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>增加单剂疫苗的产量应该不会有任何问题。我们“应受谴责地展望 Moderna 2021 年的收入高峰年”。</blockquote></p><p> The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p><p><blockquote>另一个问题是mRNA-1273是Moderna唯一上市的药物。基于单一疗法的 1570 亿美元市值可能会也可能不会留下 powersounds，风险很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪拉德的：隐含下跌 55%</b></blockquote></p><p> The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>下一只飞涨的股票可能会有点令人惊讶……百货连锁店<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">迪拉德的</a></b>. 8 月 13 日星期五，迪拉德的股价创下 196 美元的历史收盘新高，将其市值推至 40 亿美元以上。但据分析师称，该公司的一致目标价为 87.33 美元，这家百货商店明年可能会降价 55%。</blockquote></p><p> If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想知道为什么 Dillard 的股价在过去一年中上涨了 625%，那么它的运营业绩将是一个很好的开始。该公司在大流行后大幅削减成本，大力推动直接面向消费者的销售，并严格管理库存。如果没有这些繁重的管理费用，利润在过去两个季度绝对飙升，因为被压抑的需求鼓励消费者走出家门，进入零售店。</blockquote></p><p> Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p><p><blockquote>迪拉德在提高股东价值方面也做得很好。在截至 7 月 31 日的 26 周内，该公司回购了约 140 万股股票，总计 1.71 亿美元。这听起来可能不多，但它使公司的流通股数量减少了 6% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，Dillard's 的可交易流通量相对较小，而且它是一只被大量卖空的股票。这种组合使其成为做空的完美目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些积极因素，但投资者必须认识到零售百货商店通常增长缓慢且具有周期性。尽管迪拉德的同比比较令人印象深刻，但其 2021 年 26 周零售额仅比 2019 年同期的 26 周零售额高出 1%。此外，与2019年相比，2021年可比商店销售额仅增长4%。虽然毛利率明显较高，但这更多地与成本削减有关，而不是显着的销售牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p><p><blockquote>尽管迪拉德的挑战华尔街的时间可能比预期的要长一点，但历史表明它没有机会跟上这个步伐。华尔街的价格目标很可能最终会成为现实。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>：隐含下行 84%</b></blockquote></p><p> Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街的一致目标价，电影院股票最具潜在下跌空间<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a></b>尽管它是今年表现最好的股票之一，但 AMC 需要从当前股价下跌 84%，才能达到每股 5.25 美元的共识目标。</blockquote></p><p> AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>一月份，AMC 获得了巨大的提振，当时该公司能够通过发行普通股和债务避免破产。一直押注该公司进一步下跌的卖空者对 AMC 的融资感到措手不及，这导致了恶性的空头挤压。</blockquote></p><p> Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC 热情洋溢的散户投资者有着相同的目标——即看到另一次空头挤压发生。截至7月30日，8585万股被做空，占流通股的近17%。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 及其散户投资者面临的问题是，基本面始终很重要，而 AMC 的经营业绩和资产负债表简直就是一部恐怖电影。虽然影院容量的增加推动了第二季度季度销售额的环比增长，但这并不能成为 AMC 在过去六个月中消耗了 5.765 亿美元现金或距离盈利还有很长的路要走的事实的借口。</blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表是一个更大的问题。截至 6 月底，AMC 拥有 55 亿美元的企业借款，并且还有 4.2 亿美元的递延租金需要支付。随着该公司实际上将股票发行规模扩大，AMC 将被迫依靠其 18.1 亿美元现金和 2.12 亿美元循环信贷额度来履行租金义务并偿还债务。由于其 2026 年和 2027 年债券的面值分别为 58% 和 62%，债券持有人明确表示担心 AMC 将无法保持偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>锦上添花的是，我们目睹了戏剧排他性的减少。例如，AMC 与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">美国电话电报公司</a>华纳兄弟仅提供 45 天的独家时间，低于大流行前传统的 75 天至 90 天的独家时间。</blockquote></p><p> It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p><p><blockquote>这可能需要超过 12 个月的时间，但 AMC 确实有望重返 2 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DDS":"狄乐百货","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","JNJ":"强生"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137437693","content_text":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.\nThough Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.\n\nIt's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed S&P 500 bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.\nHowever, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.\nModerna: Implied downside of 53%\nFirst up is skyrocketing biotech stock Moderna, Inc., which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.\nAs you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.\nThe rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.\nUltimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.\nHowever, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. First, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing. Novavax is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and Johnson & Johnson shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.\nThe other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.\nDillard's: Implied downside of 55%\nThe next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain Dillard's. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.\nIf you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.\nDillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.\nIt's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.\nDespite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.\nThough Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.\nAMC Entertainment: Implied downside of 84%\nSporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock AMC Entertainment. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.\nAMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.\nToday, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.\nThe problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.\nThe balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.\nThe icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with AT&T Inc's Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.\nIt may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"DDS":0.9,"AMC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"JNJ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839113438,"gmtCreate":1629126127124,"gmtModify":1631891879399,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lol, go cry in a corner fools. If your crystal ball is so good, u wouldn't have to publish any article.&nbsp;","listText":"Lol, go cry in a corner fools. If your crystal ball is so good, u wouldn't have to publish any article.&nbsp;","text":"Lol, go cry in a corner fools. If your crystal ball is so good, u wouldn't have to publish any article.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839113438","repostId":"1137437693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137437693","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629116844,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137437693?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 20:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称 3 只飞涨的股票可能下跌 53% 至 84%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137437693","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/o","content":"<p>  Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>分析师预计这些飙升的股票将重回地球。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>  <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li> </ul> It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>疫情和/或空头挤压在2021年对这三家公司很好。</li><li>尽管华尔街的价格目标往往可以持怀疑态度，但这些目标可能是正确的。</li></ul>现在是成为投资者的好时机。在随后的近17个月里<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">标普500</a></b>该指数在 2020 年 3 月冠状病毒崩盘期间触底，但其价值已翻了一番。耐心一次又一次地在华尔街带来利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p><p><blockquote>然而，众所周知，并非每只股票都会成为赢家。根据华尔街分析师和投资公司的说法，根据每家公司的一致目标价，有三只飞涨的股票在未来一年可能会损失 53% 至 84% 的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna：隐含下跌 53%</b></blockquote></p><p> First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p><p><blockquote>首先上涨的是飙升的生物技术股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">现代公司。</a></b>自2020年初以来增长了近1,900%。即使从上周盘中高点回落超过 20%，Moderna 的股价仍需再下跌 53%，才能达到 184.92 美元的共识目标价。</blockquote></p><p> As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能猜到的那样，Moderna 一飞冲天的原因是其紧急使用授权 (EUA) 冠状病毒疾病 2019 (COVID-19) 疫苗 mRNA-1273 的成功。在临床试验中，Moderna的候选疫苗导致约94%的疫苗效力（VE）。除了<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>/</b><b>生物技术</b>疫苗的VE为95%，没有其他EUA疫苗在功效方面能与之媲美。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的崛起是 Moderna 的另一大福音。delta的传播性提高了许多发达国家的疫苗接种率，这鼓励了美国。美国食品和药物管理局授权为免疫系统受损的人注射加强针。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Moderna 飙升的股价似乎表明，在 COVID-19 方面好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟，而加强注射将提供比曾经预测的更强大的收入流。</blockquote></p><p> However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Moderna 的估值存在双重问题。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">第一</a>新冠肺炎疫苗接种的竞争正在加剧，而不是减少。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">诺瓦瓦克斯</a></b>在未来几个月内收到 EUA 是一个不错的选择，并且<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>增加单剂疫苗的产量应该不会有任何问题。我们“应受谴责地展望 Moderna 2021 年的收入高峰年”。</blockquote></p><p> The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p><p><blockquote>另一个问题是mRNA-1273是Moderna唯一上市的药物。基于单一疗法的 1570 亿美元市值可能会也可能不会留下 powersounds，风险很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪拉德的：隐含下跌 55%</b></blockquote></p><p> The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>下一只飞涨的股票可能会有点令人惊讶……百货连锁店<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">迪拉德的</a></b>. 8 月 13 日星期五，迪拉德的股价创下 196 美元的历史收盘新高，将其市值推至 40 亿美元以上。但据分析师称，该公司的一致目标价为 87.33 美元，这家百货商店明年可能会降价 55%。</blockquote></p><p> If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想知道为什么 Dillard 的股价在过去一年中上涨了 625%，那么它的运营业绩将是一个很好的开始。该公司在大流行后大幅削减成本，大力推动直接面向消费者的销售，并严格管理库存。如果没有这些繁重的管理费用，利润在过去两个季度绝对飙升，因为被压抑的需求鼓励消费者走出家门，进入零售店。</blockquote></p><p> Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p><p><blockquote>迪拉德在提高股东价值方面也做得很好。在截至 7 月 31 日的 26 周内，该公司回购了约 140 万股股票，总计 1.71 亿美元。这听起来可能不多，但它使公司的流通股数量减少了 6% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，Dillard's 的可交易流通量相对较小，而且它是一只被大量卖空的股票。这种组合使其成为做空的完美目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些积极因素，但投资者必须认识到零售百货商店通常增长缓慢且具有周期性。尽管迪拉德的同比比较令人印象深刻，但其 2021 年 26 周零售额仅比 2019 年同期的 26 周零售额高出 1%。此外，与2019年相比，2021年可比商店销售额仅增长4%。虽然毛利率明显较高，但这更多地与成本削减有关，而不是显着的销售牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p><p><blockquote>尽管迪拉德的挑战华尔街的时间可能比预期的要长一点，但历史表明它没有机会跟上这个步伐。华尔街的价格目标很可能最终会成为现实。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>：隐含下行 84%</b></blockquote></p><p> Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街的一致目标价，电影院股票最具潜在下跌空间<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a></b>尽管它是今年表现最好的股票之一，但 AMC 需要从当前股价下跌 84%，才能达到每股 5.25 美元的共识目标。</blockquote></p><p> AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>一月份，AMC 获得了巨大的提振，当时该公司能够通过发行普通股和债务避免破产。一直押注该公司进一步下跌的卖空者对 AMC 的融资感到措手不及，这导致了恶性的空头挤压。</blockquote></p><p> Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC 热情洋溢的散户投资者有着相同的目标——即看到另一次空头挤压发生。截至7月30日，8585万股被做空，占流通股的近17%。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 及其散户投资者面临的问题是，基本面始终很重要，而 AMC 的经营业绩和资产负债表简直就是一部恐怖电影。虽然影院容量的增加推动了第二季度季度销售额的环比增长，但这并不能成为 AMC 在过去六个月中消耗了 5.765 亿美元现金或距离盈利还有很长的路要走的事实的借口。</blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表是一个更大的问题。截至 6 月底，AMC 拥有 55 亿美元的企业借款，并且还有 4.2 亿美元的递延租金需要支付。随着该公司实际上将股票发行规模扩大，AMC 将被迫依靠其 18.1 亿美元现金和 2.12 亿美元循环信贷额度来履行租金义务并偿还债务。由于其 2026 年和 2027 年债券的面值分别为 58% 和 62%，债券持有人明确表示担心 AMC 将无法保持偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>锦上添花的是，我们目睹了戏剧排他性的减少。例如，AMC 与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">美国电话电报公司</a>华纳兄弟仅提供 45 天的独家时间，低于大流行前传统的 75 天至 90 天的独家时间。</blockquote></p><p> It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p><p><blockquote>这可能需要超过 12 个月的时间，但 AMC 确实有望重返 2 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称 3 只飞涨的股票可能下跌 53% 至 84%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称 3 只飞涨的股票可能下跌 53% 至 84%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-16 20:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>分析师预计这些飙升的股票将重回地球。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>  <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li> </ul> It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>疫情和/或空头挤压在2021年对这三家公司很好。</li><li>尽管华尔街的价格目标往往可以持怀疑态度，但这些目标可能是正确的。</li></ul>现在是成为投资者的好时机。在随后的近17个月里<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">标普500</a></b>该指数在 2020 年 3 月冠状病毒崩盘期间触底，但其价值已翻了一番。耐心一次又一次地在华尔街带来利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p><p><blockquote>然而，众所周知，并非每只股票都会成为赢家。根据华尔街分析师和投资公司的说法，根据每家公司的一致目标价，有三只飞涨的股票在未来一年可能会损失 53% 至 84% 的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna：隐含下跌 53%</b></blockquote></p><p> First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p><p><blockquote>首先上涨的是飙升的生物技术股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">现代公司。</a></b>自2020年初以来增长了近1,900%。即使从上周盘中高点回落超过 20%，Moderna 的股价仍需再下跌 53%，才能达到 184.92 美元的共识目标价。</blockquote></p><p> As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能猜到的那样，Moderna 一飞冲天的原因是其紧急使用授权 (EUA) 冠状病毒疾病 2019 (COVID-19) 疫苗 mRNA-1273 的成功。在临床试验中，Moderna的候选疫苗导致约94%的疫苗效力（VE）。除了<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>/</b><b>生物技术</b>疫苗的VE为95%，没有其他EUA疫苗在功效方面能与之媲美。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的崛起是 Moderna 的另一大福音。delta的传播性提高了许多发达国家的疫苗接种率，这鼓励了美国。美国食品和药物管理局授权为免疫系统受损的人注射加强针。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Moderna 飙升的股价似乎表明，在 COVID-19 方面好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟，而加强注射将提供比曾经预测的更强大的收入流。</blockquote></p><p> However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Moderna 的估值存在双重问题。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">第一</a>新冠肺炎疫苗接种的竞争正在加剧，而不是减少。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">诺瓦瓦克斯</a></b>在未来几个月内收到 EUA 是一个不错的选择，并且<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>增加单剂疫苗的产量应该不会有任何问题。我们“应受谴责地展望 Moderna 2021 年的收入高峰年”。</blockquote></p><p> The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p><p><blockquote>另一个问题是mRNA-1273是Moderna唯一上市的药物。基于单一疗法的 1570 亿美元市值可能会也可能不会留下 powersounds，风险很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪拉德的：隐含下跌 55%</b></blockquote></p><p> The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>下一只飞涨的股票可能会有点令人惊讶……百货连锁店<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">迪拉德的</a></b>. 8 月 13 日星期五，迪拉德的股价创下 196 美元的历史收盘新高，将其市值推至 40 亿美元以上。但据分析师称，该公司的一致目标价为 87.33 美元，这家百货商店明年可能会降价 55%。</blockquote></p><p> If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想知道为什么 Dillard 的股价在过去一年中上涨了 625%，那么它的运营业绩将是一个很好的开始。该公司在大流行后大幅削减成本，大力推动直接面向消费者的销售，并严格管理库存。如果没有这些繁重的管理费用，利润在过去两个季度绝对飙升，因为被压抑的需求鼓励消费者走出家门，进入零售店。</blockquote></p><p> Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p><p><blockquote>迪拉德在提高股东价值方面也做得很好。在截至 7 月 31 日的 26 周内，该公司回购了约 140 万股股票，总计 1.71 亿美元。这听起来可能不多，但它使公司的流通股数量减少了 6% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，Dillard's 的可交易流通量相对较小，而且它是一只被大量卖空的股票。这种组合使其成为做空的完美目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些积极因素，但投资者必须认识到零售百货商店通常增长缓慢且具有周期性。尽管迪拉德的同比比较令人印象深刻，但其 2021 年 26 周零售额仅比 2019 年同期的 26 周零售额高出 1%。此外，与2019年相比，2021年可比商店销售额仅增长4%。虽然毛利率明显较高，但这更多地与成本削减有关，而不是显着的销售牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p><p><blockquote>尽管迪拉德的挑战华尔街的时间可能比预期的要长一点，但历史表明它没有机会跟上这个步伐。华尔街的价格目标很可能最终会成为现实。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>：隐含下行 84%</b></blockquote></p><p> Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街的一致目标价，电影院股票最具潜在下跌空间<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a></b>尽管它是今年表现最好的股票之一，但 AMC 需要从当前股价下跌 84%，才能达到每股 5.25 美元的共识目标。</blockquote></p><p> AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>一月份，AMC 获得了巨大的提振，当时该公司能够通过发行普通股和债务避免破产。一直押注该公司进一步下跌的卖空者对 AMC 的融资感到措手不及，这导致了恶性的空头挤压。</blockquote></p><p> Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC 热情洋溢的散户投资者有着相同的目标——即看到另一次空头挤压发生。截至7月30日，8585万股被做空，占流通股的近17%。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 及其散户投资者面临的问题是，基本面始终很重要，而 AMC 的经营业绩和资产负债表简直就是一部恐怖电影。虽然影院容量的增加推动了第二季度季度销售额的环比增长，但这并不能成为 AMC 在过去六个月中消耗了 5.765 亿美元现金或距离盈利还有很长的路要走的事实的借口。</blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表是一个更大的问题。截至 6 月底，AMC 拥有 55 亿美元的企业借款，并且还有 4.2 亿美元的递延租金需要支付。随着该公司实际上将股票发行规模扩大，AMC 将被迫依靠其 18.1 亿美元现金和 2.12 亿美元循环信贷额度来履行租金义务并偿还债务。由于其 2026 年和 2027 年债券的面值分别为 58% 和 62%，债券持有人明确表示担心 AMC 将无法保持偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>锦上添花的是，我们目睹了戏剧排他性的减少。例如，AMC 与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">美国电话电报公司</a>华纳兄弟仅提供 45 天的独家时间，低于大流行前传统的 75 天至 90 天的独家时间。</blockquote></p><p> It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p><p><blockquote>这可能需要超过 12 个月的时间，但 AMC 确实有望重返 2 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DDS":"狄乐百货","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","JNJ":"强生"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137437693","content_text":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.\nThough Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.\n\nIt's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed S&P 500 bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.\nHowever, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.\nModerna: Implied downside of 53%\nFirst up is skyrocketing biotech stock Moderna, Inc., which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.\nAs you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.\nThe rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.\nUltimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.\nHowever, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. First, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing. Novavax is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and Johnson & Johnson shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.\nThe other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.\nDillard's: Implied downside of 55%\nThe next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain Dillard's. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.\nIf you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.\nDillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.\nIt's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.\nDespite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.\nThough Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.\nAMC Entertainment: Implied downside of 84%\nSporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock AMC Entertainment. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.\nAMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.\nToday, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.\nThe problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.\nThe balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.\nThe icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with AT&T Inc's Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.\nIt may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"DDS":0.9,"AMC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"JNJ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839392649,"gmtCreate":1629121399081,"gmtModify":1631891879403,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839392649","repostId":"1112885056","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112885056","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629120408,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112885056?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 21:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock market opens lower Monday amid weak China demand, spread of delta variant<blockquote>由于中国需求疲软和德尔塔变异毒株蔓延，美国股市周一开盘走低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112885056","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 16) U.S. stock market opens lower Monday amid weak China demand, spread of delta variant.\nDow, ","content":"<p>(Aug 16)&nbsp;U.S. stock market opens lower Monday amid weak China demand, spread of delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>（8月16日）美国由于中国需求疲软和德尔塔变异毒株蔓延，股市周一开盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq Composite off 0.3% in early Monday action.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯综合指数、标普500综合指数、纳斯达克综合指数周一早盘下跌 0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed Chinese economic growth slowing more than expected. China’s retail salesincreased by 8.5% in Julyyear-over-year, below the 11.5% forecast from economists polled by Reuters. Online sales gained just 4.4% for the month. On the manufacturing sector in the country, industrial production increased by 6.4%, below the 7.8% consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，中国经济增长放缓幅度超过预期。中国7月份零售额同比增长8.5%，低于路透社调查的经济学家预测的11.5%。当月在线销售额仅增长 4.4%。该国制造业方面，工业生产增长6.4%，低于7.8%的普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p> The country’s National Bureau of Statistics noted an impact from Covid and domestic flooding, saying the country’s “economic recovery is still unstable and uneven.”</p><p><blockquote>该国国家统计局指出了科维德和国内洪水的影响，称该国 “经济复苏仍然不稳定和不均衡”。</blockquote></p><p> “Delta driven slowdown grips China,” wrote CNBC’s Jim Cramer in a tweet. “Not sure of impact here yet.”</p><p><blockquote>“CNBC 的吉姆-克莱默（Jim Cramer）在一条推文中写道：”三角洲驱动的经济放缓笼罩着中国。“还不确定对这里的影响”。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of stocks linked to a fast-recovering economy were weak in morning trading. Shares of Caterpillar, Freeport-McMoRan and Nucor dipped.</p><p><blockquote>与经济快速复苏相关的股票在早盘交易中表现疲软。卡特彼勒、自由港麦克莫兰和纽柯的股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. stocks also pulled back amid growing support within the Federal Reserveto announce a tapering of its bond purchases in Septemberand begin the reduction in buying a month or so after. Interviews with central bank officials along with their public comments show growing support for a faster taper timeline than markets had expected a month ago.</p><p><blockquote>由于美联储内部日益增长的支持，美国股市也出现回落，美联储宣布在 9 月份缩减债券购买规模，并在一个月左右开始减少购买规模。对央行官员的采访以及他们的公开评论显示，越来越多的人支持比市场一个月前预期的更快的缩减时间表。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note dipped to 1.248%. Bond yields fall as their prices rise.</p><p><blockquote>基准10年期国债收益率跌至1.248%。债券收益率随着价格上涨而下降。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s stock retreated Monday after the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration announced aformal probeinto the electric vehicle maker’s Autopilot partially automated driving system.</p><p><blockquote>在美国国家公路交通安全管理局（National Highway Traffic Safety Administration）宣布对这家电动汽车制造商的 Autopilot 半自动驾驶系统进行非正式调查后，特斯拉股价周一回落。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow ended last week at 35,515.38, a record close, while theS&amp;P 500finished Friday at 4,468.00 to notch its own best-ever finish.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数上周收于 35,515.38 点，创下历史新高，而标准普尔 500 指数周五收于 4,468.00 点，创下历史最佳收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> The blue-chip Dow and the S&amp;P 500 rounded out the week with muted gains of 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively, amid light summertime trading volumes. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite underperformed week, down just under 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>由于夏季交易量清淡，蓝筹股道琼斯指数和标普500指数本周分别小幅上涨 0.8% 和 0.7%。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数本周表现不佳，下跌略低于 0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> The major stock indexes for much of the last month have ground to new records on the back of robust corporate earnings results. The S&amp;P 500 has closed at a record high 48 times this year out of 155 trading days, or 31% of the time — the most frequent closing highs on record back to 1950.</p><p><blockquote>由于强劲的企业盈利结果，上个月大部分时间里，主要股指都创下了新纪录。标普500今年在 155 个交易日中有 48 次收于历史新高，占 31%，这是自 1950 年以来最频繁的收盘高点。</blockquote></p><p> Eighty-seven percent of S&amp;P 500 companies have reported positive earnings per share surprises for the second calendar quarter, according to FactSet as of Friday. If 87% is the final percentage, it will mark the highest percentage of S&amp;P 500 companies reporting positive EPS surprises since FactSet began tracking this metric in 2008.</p><p><blockquote>根据FactSet周五的数据，87%的标普500公司报告了第二季度的每股收益惊喜。如果最终百分比为 87%，这将标志着自 FactSet 于 2008 年开始跟踪该指标以来，标普500公司报告每股收益意外的最高百分比。</blockquote></p><p> “These are the dog days of August, and low volume and directionless volatility are the order of the moment with 2Q21 earnings season mostly behind us,” Raymond James’ Tavis McCourt said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“Raymond James 的 Tavis McCourt 在一份报告中说：”现在是八月的三伏天，随着2021年第二季度财报季基本过去，低交易量和无方向的波动是目前的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Investors await quarterly earnings reports frommajor retailersthis week including Home Depot, Walmart, Target and Lowe’s.</p><p><blockquote>投资者正在等待本周家得宝（Home Depot）、沃尔玛（Walmart）、塔吉特（Target）和劳氏（Lowe's）等主要零售商的季度财报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock market opens lower Monday amid weak China demand, spread of delta variant<blockquote>由于中国需求疲软和德尔塔变异毒株蔓延，美国股市周一开盘走低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock market opens lower Monday amid weak China demand, spread of delta variant<blockquote>由于中国需求疲软和德尔塔变异毒株蔓延，美国股市周一开盘走低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-16 21:26</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 16)&nbsp;U.S. stock market opens lower Monday amid weak China demand, spread of delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>（8月16日）美国由于中国需求疲软和德尔塔变异毒株蔓延，股市周一开盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq Composite off 0.3% in early Monday action.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯综合指数、标普500综合指数、纳斯达克综合指数周一早盘下跌 0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed Chinese economic growth slowing more than expected. China’s retail salesincreased by 8.5% in Julyyear-over-year, below the 11.5% forecast from economists polled by Reuters. Online sales gained just 4.4% for the month. On the manufacturing sector in the country, industrial production increased by 6.4%, below the 7.8% consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，中国经济增长放缓幅度超过预期。中国7月份零售额同比增长8.5%，低于路透社调查的经济学家预测的11.5%。当月在线销售额仅增长 4.4%。该国制造业方面，工业生产增长6.4%，低于7.8%的普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p> The country’s National Bureau of Statistics noted an impact from Covid and domestic flooding, saying the country’s “economic recovery is still unstable and uneven.”</p><p><blockquote>该国国家统计局指出了科维德和国内洪水的影响，称该国 “经济复苏仍然不稳定和不均衡”。</blockquote></p><p> “Delta driven slowdown grips China,” wrote CNBC’s Jim Cramer in a tweet. “Not sure of impact here yet.”</p><p><blockquote>“CNBC 的吉姆-克莱默（Jim Cramer）在一条推文中写道：”三角洲驱动的经济放缓笼罩着中国。“还不确定对这里的影响”。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of stocks linked to a fast-recovering economy were weak in morning trading. Shares of Caterpillar, Freeport-McMoRan and Nucor dipped.</p><p><blockquote>与经济快速复苏相关的股票在早盘交易中表现疲软。卡特彼勒、自由港麦克莫兰和纽柯的股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. stocks also pulled back amid growing support within the Federal Reserveto announce a tapering of its bond purchases in Septemberand begin the reduction in buying a month or so after. Interviews with central bank officials along with their public comments show growing support for a faster taper timeline than markets had expected a month ago.</p><p><blockquote>由于美联储内部日益增长的支持，美国股市也出现回落，美联储宣布在 9 月份缩减债券购买规模，并在一个月左右开始减少购买规模。对央行官员的采访以及他们的公开评论显示，越来越多的人支持比市场一个月前预期的更快的缩减时间表。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note dipped to 1.248%. Bond yields fall as their prices rise.</p><p><blockquote>基准10年期国债收益率跌至1.248%。债券收益率随着价格上涨而下降。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s stock retreated Monday after the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration announced aformal probeinto the electric vehicle maker’s Autopilot partially automated driving system.</p><p><blockquote>在美国国家公路交通安全管理局（National Highway Traffic Safety Administration）宣布对这家电动汽车制造商的 Autopilot 半自动驾驶系统进行非正式调查后，特斯拉股价周一回落。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow ended last week at 35,515.38, a record close, while theS&amp;P 500finished Friday at 4,468.00 to notch its own best-ever finish.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数上周收于 35,515.38 点，创下历史新高，而标准普尔 500 指数周五收于 4,468.00 点，创下历史最佳收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> The blue-chip Dow and the S&amp;P 500 rounded out the week with muted gains of 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively, amid light summertime trading volumes. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite underperformed week, down just under 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>由于夏季交易量清淡，蓝筹股道琼斯指数和标普500指数本周分别小幅上涨 0.8% 和 0.7%。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数本周表现不佳，下跌略低于 0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> The major stock indexes for much of the last month have ground to new records on the back of robust corporate earnings results. The S&amp;P 500 has closed at a record high 48 times this year out of 155 trading days, or 31% of the time — the most frequent closing highs on record back to 1950.</p><p><blockquote>由于强劲的企业盈利结果，上个月大部分时间里，主要股指都创下了新纪录。标普500今年在 155 个交易日中有 48 次收于历史新高，占 31%，这是自 1950 年以来最频繁的收盘高点。</blockquote></p><p> Eighty-seven percent of S&amp;P 500 companies have reported positive earnings per share surprises for the second calendar quarter, according to FactSet as of Friday. If 87% is the final percentage, it will mark the highest percentage of S&amp;P 500 companies reporting positive EPS surprises since FactSet began tracking this metric in 2008.</p><p><blockquote>根据FactSet周五的数据，87%的标普500公司报告了第二季度的每股收益惊喜。如果最终百分比为 87%，这将标志着自 FactSet 于 2008 年开始跟踪该指标以来，标普500公司报告每股收益意外的最高百分比。</blockquote></p><p> “These are the dog days of August, and low volume and directionless volatility are the order of the moment with 2Q21 earnings season mostly behind us,” Raymond James’ Tavis McCourt said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“Raymond James 的 Tavis McCourt 在一份报告中说：”现在是八月的三伏天，随着2021年第二季度财报季基本过去，低交易量和无方向的波动是目前的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Investors await quarterly earnings reports frommajor retailersthis week including Home Depot, Walmart, Target and Lowe’s.</p><p><blockquote>投资者正在等待本周家得宝（Home Depot）、沃尔玛（Walmart）、塔吉特（Target）和劳氏（Lowe's）等主要零售商的季度财报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112885056","content_text":"(Aug 16) U.S. stock market opens lower Monday amid weak China demand, spread of delta variant.\nDow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite off 0.3% in early Monday action.\nData showed Chinese economic growth slowing more than expected. China’s retail salesincreased by 8.5% in Julyyear-over-year, below the 11.5% forecast from economists polled by Reuters. Online sales gained just 4.4% for the month. On the manufacturing sector in the country, industrial production increased by 6.4%, below the 7.8% consensus estimate.\nThe country’s National Bureau of Statistics noted an impact from Covid and domestic flooding, saying the country’s “economic recovery is still unstable and uneven.”\n“Delta driven slowdown grips China,” wrote CNBC’s Jim Cramer in a tweet. “Not sure of impact here yet.”\nShares of stocks linked to a fast-recovering economy were weak in morning trading. Shares of Caterpillar, Freeport-McMoRan and Nucor dipped.\nU.S. stocks also pulled back amid growing support within the Federal Reserveto announce a tapering of its bond purchases in Septemberand begin the reduction in buying a month or so after. Interviews with central bank officials along with their public comments show growing support for a faster taper timeline than markets had expected a month ago.\nThe yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note dipped to 1.248%. Bond yields fall as their prices rise.\nTesla’s stock retreated Monday after the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration announced aformal probeinto the electric vehicle maker’s Autopilot partially automated driving system.\nThe Dow ended last week at 35,515.38, a record close, while theS&P 500finished Friday at 4,468.00 to notch its own best-ever finish.\nThe blue-chip Dow and the S&P 500 rounded out the week with muted gains of 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively, amid light summertime trading volumes. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite underperformed week, down just under 0.1%.\nThe major stock indexes for much of the last month have ground to new records on the back of robust corporate earnings results. The S&P 500 has closed at a record high 48 times this year out of 155 trading days, or 31% of the time — the most frequent closing highs on record back to 1950.\nEighty-seven percent of S&P 500 companies have reported positive earnings per share surprises for the second calendar quarter, according to FactSet as of Friday. If 87% is the final percentage, it will mark the highest percentage of S&P 500 companies reporting positive EPS surprises since FactSet began tracking this metric in 2008.\n“These are the dog days of August, and low volume and directionless volatility are the order of the moment with 2Q21 earnings season mostly behind us,” Raymond James’ Tavis McCourt said in a note.\nInvestors await quarterly earnings reports frommajor retailersthis week including Home Depot, Walmart, Target and Lowe’s.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895561230,"gmtCreate":1628757257820,"gmtModify":1631891879403,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>&nbsp;waitng for bears bodies to float on the rivers and seas.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>&nbsp;waitng for bears bodies to float on the rivers and seas.&nbsp;","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ waitng for bears bodies to float on the rivers and seas.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895561230","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805625998,"gmtCreate":1627877803614,"gmtModify":1631891879406,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Fools at it again with their crystal ball.&nbsp;","listText":"Fools at it again with their crystal ball.&nbsp;","text":"Fools at it again with their crystal ball.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805625998","repostId":"2156741169","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806029234,"gmtCreate":1627618084828,"gmtModify":1631891879410,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Disgusting wallstreet, only seeking to amplify bad news whenever they can.&nbsp;","listText":"Disgusting wallstreet, only seeking to amplify bad news whenever they can.&nbsp;","text":"Disgusting wallstreet, only seeking to amplify bad news whenever they can.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806029234","repostId":"2155184148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808499066,"gmtCreate":1627604674755,"gmtModify":1631891879414,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Crookhood, dive and swim into the blackhole ok.&nbsp;","listText":"Crookhood, dive and swim into the blackhole ok.&nbsp;","text":"Crookhood, dive and swim into the blackhole ok.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808499066","repostId":"2155840271","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":676,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808866851,"gmtCreate":1627569237273,"gmtModify":1631893594035,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Words spoken by fools, only peabrains&nbsp;will listen to dogs paid by shitadel.&nbsp;","listText":"Words spoken by fools, only peabrains&nbsp;will listen to dogs paid by shitadel.&nbsp;","text":"Words spoken by fools, only peabrains will listen to dogs paid by shitadel.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808866851","repostId":"2155909002","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":447,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803703839,"gmtCreate":1627461100921,"gmtModify":1631893594039,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803703839","repostId":"1154854343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154854343","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627481786,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1154854343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 22:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound<blockquote>热门中国概念股持续反弹</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154854343","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com, Pinduodu","content":"<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com,&nbsp;Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi&nbsp;Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 3% and 13%.</p><p><blockquote>周三早盘热门中概股继续反弹。阿里巴巴、京东、拼多多、百度、滴滴全球、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车上涨3%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8198eadc3c17e2d3fa3226a5348e1bef\" tg-width=\"359\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound<blockquote>热门中国概念股持续反弹</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound<blockquote>热门中国概念股持续反弹</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-28 22:16</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com,&nbsp;Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi&nbsp;Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 3% and 13%.</p><p><blockquote>周三早盘热门中概股继续反弹。阿里巴巴、京东、拼多多、百度、滴滴全球、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车上涨3%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8198eadc3c17e2d3fa3226a5348e1bef\" tg-width=\"359\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NTES":"网易","BIDU":"百度","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","BABA":"阿里巴巴","JD":"京东","PDD":"拼多多","NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏集团"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154854343","content_text":"Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com, Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 3% and 13%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LI":0.9,"DIDI":0.9,"NTES":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"BIDU":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"JD":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"PDD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":780,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803629524,"gmtCreate":1627437152268,"gmtModify":1631893594041,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803629524","repostId":"2154991792","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809259341,"gmtCreate":1627374100683,"gmtModify":1631893594043,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"富贵险中求。(not financial advice)&nbsp;","listText":"富贵险中求。(not financial advice)&nbsp;","text":"富贵险中求。(not financial advice)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809259341","repostId":"1142907091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142907091","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627373467,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142907091?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142907091","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi G","content":"<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股在盘前交易中恢复下跌.哔哩哔哩和网易下跌7%，滴滴全球、京东和拼多多下跌6%，百度下跌5%，小鹏汽车下跌4%，阿里巴巴、蔚来和理想汽车下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-27 16:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股在盘前交易中恢复下跌.哔哩哔哩和网易下跌7%，滴滴全球、京东和拼多多下跌6%，百度下跌5%，小鹏汽车下跌4%，阿里巴巴、蔚来和理想汽车下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BIDU":"百度","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","PDD":"拼多多","LI":"理想汽车","BABA":"阿里巴巴","XPEV":"小鹏集团","JD":"京东","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142907091","content_text":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi Global,JD.com and Pinduoduo fell 6%,Baidu fell 5%,Xpeng Motors fell 4%,Alibaba,Nio and Li Auto fell 3%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"BIDU":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"LI":0.9,"JD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1084,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809306256,"gmtCreate":1627346553975,"gmtModify":1631893594046,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Bad storm... Lying in wait for clearer indications","listText":"Bad storm... Lying in wait for clearer indications","text":"Bad storm... Lying in wait for clearer indications","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809306256","repostId":"1186319253","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":876086316,"gmtCreate":1637244547826,"gmtModify":1637244547826,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876086316","repostId":"1125341334","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873476760,"gmtCreate":1636982852771,"gmtModify":1636982852771,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873476760","repostId":"1124063419","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124063419","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636981410,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1124063419?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-15 21:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124063419","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earn","content":"<p>Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earnings results out from major U.S. companies later this week.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd814193ce3a21c26ecb73c6e576fc6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">At 8:00 a.m. ET, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up&nbsp;10.75&nbsp;points, or 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 e-minis&nbsp;were up&nbsp;34.5&nbsp;points, or 0.21%, and Dow e-minis&nbsp; were&nbsp;up&nbsp;118&nbsp;points, or 0.33%.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者等待美国主要公司本周晚些时候公布的关键零售销售和盈利结果，周一上午股票期货开盘走高。美国东部时间上午 8:00，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 10.75 点，涨幅 0.23%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 34.5 点，涨幅 0.21%，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 118 点，涨幅 0.33%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors this week are also&nbsp;set to receive new data&nbsp;from the Commerce Department on U.S. retail sales. The report is likely to show a 1.3% month-on-month jump in sales for October after a more sanguine 0.7% rise in September. And retail earnings results from major names including Walmart, Target, Home Depot and Lowe's will offer additional details on the state of the consumer.</p><p><blockquote>投资者本周还将收到商务部有关美国零售销售的新数据。该报告可能显示，继 9 月份销售额增长 0.7% 之后，10 月份销售额可能会环比增长 1.3%。沃尔玛、塔吉特、家得宝和劳氏等主要品牌的零售盈利结果将提供有关消费者状况的更多细节。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">Oatly Group AB</a> – The oat milk producer lost 7 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 10 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. Revenue came in below forecasts, however, and its shares tumbled 14.1% in premarket action. Oatly said it faced challenges related to various Covid-related restrictions, but that it continues to scale up production.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">奥特利集团有限公司</a>– 这家燕麦奶生产商最近一个季度每股亏损 7 美分，低于分析师预期的每股亏损 10 美分。然而，收入低于预期，其股价在盘前交易中暴跌 14.1%。Oatly 表示，它面临着与各种与 Covid 相关的限制相关的挑战，但它将继续扩大生产规模。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> – Tesla slid 2.1% in premarket trading after a weekly loss last week ended an 11-week winning streak. Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $7 billion in stock last week.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>– 特斯拉在盘前交易中下跌 2.1%，上周一周下跌，结束了 11 周的连涨。特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克上周出售了近70亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">Dollar Tree</a> – Dollar Tree surged 8.3% in the premarket after activist investor Mantle Ridge took a stake in the discount retailer. The Wall Street Journal reports that Mantle Ridge wants Dollar Tree to take action to boost its stock price and is focusing on pricing strategies at the company’s Family Dollar chain. The news prompted Deutsche Bank to upgrade the stock to “buy” from “hold,” citing potential improvements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">美元树</a>– 激进投资者 Mantle Ridge 入股折扣零售商 Dollar Tree 后，盘前股价飙升 8.3%。据《华尔街日报》报道，Mantle Ridge 希望 Dollar Tree 采取行动提高其股价，并将重点放在公司家族 Dollar 连锁店的定价策略上。这一消息促使德意志银行将该股评级从 “持有 ”上调至 “买入 ”，理由是该股有潜力改善。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> – The beef and poultry producer earned $2.30 per share for its fiscal fourth quarter, 27 cents a share above estimates. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well. Tyson also announced a new productivity program that it says will save $1 billion annually by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>– 这家牛肉和家禽生产商第四财季每股收益为 2.30 美元，比预期高出 27 美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。泰森还宣布了一项新的生产力计划，称到 2024 年底每年将节省 10 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">American Tower</a> – The communications infrastructure real estate investment trust is buying data center REITCoreSite Realty(COR) for $170 per share in cash, or about $10.1 billion. CoreSite rose 2.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">美国塔</a>– 通信基础设施房地产投资信托基金将以每股 170 美元现金（约合 101 亿美元）收购数据中心 REITCoreSite Realty (COR)。CoreSite 在盘前交易中上涨 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker and striking workers reached a third tentative contract agreement after the first two were rejected. Neither side gave details on the new agreement and it is not yet clear when a vote will take place. Workers have been off the job since Oct. 14.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>– 重型设备制造商和罢工工人在前两份合同被拒绝后达成了第三份临时合同协议。双方都没有透露新协议的细节，目前还不清楚何时进行投票。自10月14日以来，工人们一直处于停工状态。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo Inc.</a> – The operator of public EV charging networks saw its stock tank by 7.7% in the premarket, after Credit Suisse downgraded it to “neutral” from “outperform.” The company said a recent rally in the stock has likely priced in benefits from the infrastructure bill as well as recent partnership announcements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo公司。</a>- 在瑞士信贷将其评级从 “跑赢大盘 ”下调至 “中性”后，这家公共电动汽车充电网络运营商的股价在盘前下跌了 7.7%。该公司表示，该股最近的上涨可能是由于基础设施法案以及最近的合作公告带来的好处。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">Royal Dutch Shell PLC</a> – Royal Dutch Shell plans to scrap its dual share structure and also drop the “Royal Dutch” part of its corporate name. The announcement comes amid calls by activist investor Third Point to split up the energy giant into several companies to increase shareholder value. Class “A” shares gained 1.5% in premarket action, while class “B” shares rose 1.1%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">荷兰皇家壳牌公司</a>- 荷兰皇家壳牌公司计划取消其双重股权结构，并放弃公司名称中的 “荷兰皇家 ”部分。这一消息发布之际，激进投资者 Third Point 评级将这家能源巨头拆分为几家公司，以增加股东价值。A 类股在盘前交易中上涨 1.5%，B 类股上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">Boeing</a> – Boeing Senior Vice President Ihssane Mounir said the jet maker is “getting close” to resuming deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner, after suspending them to deal with production issues. Mounir said the exact timing depends on the outcome of ongoing talks with regulators. The stock added 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音</a>- 波音公司高级副总裁伊赫萨内-穆尼尔（Ihssane Mounir）表示，这家喷气式飞机制造商在暂停交付 787 梦想客机以处理生产问题后，正在 “接近 ”恢复交付。穆尼尔表示，确切的时间取决于与监管机构正在进行的谈判的结果。该股盘前上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – The pet products retailer’s stock slid 2.9% in premarket trading after Jefferies downgraded it to “hold” from “buy.” Jefferies cited valuation after a 26% rise over three months, as well as challenging labor conditions in Petco’s veterinary business.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">佩特科健康和保健公司。</a>- 在杰富瑞（Jefferies）将宠物用品零售商的评级从 “买入 ”下调至 “持有 ”后，该宠物用品零售商的股价在盘前交易中下跌了 2.9%。杰富瑞（Jefferies）列举了三个月内上涨 26% 的估值，以及 Petco 兽医业务充满挑战的劳动条件。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.</a> – Morgan Stanley began coverage of the cybersecurity company with an “underweight” rating, noting increasing competition and pricing pressure. Crowdstrike slid 4.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike控股公司。</a>- 摩根士丹利开始对这家网络安全公司给予 “跑输大盘 ”评级，指出竞争和定价压力日益加大。Crowdstrike 盘前下跌 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-15 21:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earnings results out from major U.S. companies later this week.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd814193ce3a21c26ecb73c6e576fc6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">At 8:00 a.m. ET, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up&nbsp;10.75&nbsp;points, or 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 e-minis&nbsp;were up&nbsp;34.5&nbsp;points, or 0.21%, and Dow e-minis&nbsp; were&nbsp;up&nbsp;118&nbsp;points, or 0.33%.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者等待美国主要公司本周晚些时候公布的关键零售销售和盈利结果，周一上午股票期货开盘走高。美国东部时间上午 8:00，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 10.75 点，涨幅 0.23%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 34.5 点，涨幅 0.21%，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 118 点，涨幅 0.33%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors this week are also&nbsp;set to receive new data&nbsp;from the Commerce Department on U.S. retail sales. The report is likely to show a 1.3% month-on-month jump in sales for October after a more sanguine 0.7% rise in September. And retail earnings results from major names including Walmart, Target, Home Depot and Lowe's will offer additional details on the state of the consumer.</p><p><blockquote>投资者本周还将收到商务部有关美国零售销售的新数据。该报告可能显示，继 9 月份销售额增长 0.7% 之后，10 月份销售额可能会环比增长 1.3%。沃尔玛、塔吉特、家得宝和劳氏等主要品牌的零售盈利结果将提供有关消费者状况的更多细节。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">Oatly Group AB</a> – The oat milk producer lost 7 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 10 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. Revenue came in below forecasts, however, and its shares tumbled 14.1% in premarket action. Oatly said it faced challenges related to various Covid-related restrictions, but that it continues to scale up production.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">奥特利集团有限公司</a>– 这家燕麦奶生产商最近一个季度每股亏损 7 美分，低于分析师预期的每股亏损 10 美分。然而，收入低于预期，其股价在盘前交易中暴跌 14.1%。Oatly 表示，它面临着与各种与 Covid 相关的限制相关的挑战，但它将继续扩大生产规模。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> – Tesla slid 2.1% in premarket trading after a weekly loss last week ended an 11-week winning streak. Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $7 billion in stock last week.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>– 特斯拉在盘前交易中下跌 2.1%，上周一周下跌，结束了 11 周的连涨。特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克上周出售了近70亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">Dollar Tree</a> – Dollar Tree surged 8.3% in the premarket after activist investor Mantle Ridge took a stake in the discount retailer. The Wall Street Journal reports that Mantle Ridge wants Dollar Tree to take action to boost its stock price and is focusing on pricing strategies at the company’s Family Dollar chain. The news prompted Deutsche Bank to upgrade the stock to “buy” from “hold,” citing potential improvements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLTR\">美元树</a>– 激进投资者 Mantle Ridge 入股折扣零售商 Dollar Tree 后，盘前股价飙升 8.3%。据《华尔街日报》报道，Mantle Ridge 希望 Dollar Tree 采取行动提高其股价，并将重点放在公司家族 Dollar 连锁店的定价策略上。这一消息促使德意志银行将该股评级从 “持有 ”上调至 “买入 ”，理由是该股有潜力改善。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> – The beef and poultry producer earned $2.30 per share for its fiscal fourth quarter, 27 cents a share above estimates. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well. Tyson also announced a new productivity program that it says will save $1 billion annually by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>– 这家牛肉和家禽生产商第四财季每股收益为 2.30 美元，比预期高出 27 美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。泰森还宣布了一项新的生产力计划，称到 2024 年底每年将节省 10 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">American Tower</a> – The communications infrastructure real estate investment trust is buying data center REITCoreSite Realty(COR) for $170 per share in cash, or about $10.1 billion. CoreSite rose 2.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMT\">美国塔</a>– 通信基础设施房地产投资信托基金将以每股 170 美元现金（约合 101 亿美元）收购数据中心 REITCoreSite Realty (COR)。CoreSite 在盘前交易中上涨 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker and striking workers reached a third tentative contract agreement after the first two were rejected. Neither side gave details on the new agreement and it is not yet clear when a vote will take place. Workers have been off the job since Oct. 14.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>– 重型设备制造商和罢工工人在前两份合同被拒绝后达成了第三份临时合同协议。双方都没有透露新协议的细节，目前还不清楚何时进行投票。自10月14日以来，工人们一直处于停工状态。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo Inc.</a> – The operator of public EV charging networks saw its stock tank by 7.7% in the premarket, after Credit Suisse downgraded it to “neutral” from “outperform.” The company said a recent rally in the stock has likely priced in benefits from the infrastructure bill as well as recent partnership announcements.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVGO\">EVgo公司。</a>- 在瑞士信贷将其评级从 “跑赢大盘 ”下调至 “中性”后，这家公共电动汽车充电网络运营商的股价在盘前下跌了 7.7%。该公司表示，该股最近的上涨可能是由于基础设施法案以及最近的合作公告带来的好处。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">Royal Dutch Shell PLC</a> – Royal Dutch Shell plans to scrap its dual share structure and also drop the “Royal Dutch” part of its corporate name. The announcement comes amid calls by activist investor Third Point to split up the energy giant into several companies to increase shareholder value. Class “A” shares gained 1.5% in premarket action, while class “B” shares rose 1.1%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDS.A\">荷兰皇家壳牌公司</a>- 荷兰皇家壳牌公司计划取消其双重股权结构，并放弃公司名称中的 “荷兰皇家 ”部分。这一消息发布之际，激进投资者 Third Point 评级将这家能源巨头拆分为几家公司，以增加股东价值。A 类股在盘前交易中上涨 1.5%，B 类股上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">Boeing</a> – Boeing Senior Vice President Ihssane Mounir said the jet maker is “getting close” to resuming deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner, after suspending them to deal with production issues. Mounir said the exact timing depends on the outcome of ongoing talks with regulators. The stock added 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音</a>- 波音公司高级副总裁伊赫萨内-穆尼尔（Ihssane Mounir）表示，这家喷气式飞机制造商在暂停交付 787 梦想客机以处理生产问题后，正在 “接近 ”恢复交付。穆尼尔表示，确切的时间取决于与监管机构正在进行的谈判的结果。该股盘前上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – The pet products retailer’s stock slid 2.9% in premarket trading after Jefferies downgraded it to “hold” from “buy.” Jefferies cited valuation after a 26% rise over three months, as well as challenging labor conditions in Petco’s veterinary business.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">佩特科健康和保健公司。</a>- 在杰富瑞（Jefferies）将宠物用品零售商的评级从 “买入 ”下调至 “持有 ”后，该宠物用品零售商的股价在盘前交易中下跌了 2.9%。杰富瑞（Jefferies）列举了三个月内上涨 26% 的估值，以及 Petco 兽医业务充满挑战的劳动条件。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.</a> – Morgan Stanley began coverage of the cybersecurity company with an “underweight” rating, noting increasing competition and pricing pressure. Crowdstrike slid 4.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike控股公司。</a>- 摩根士丹利开始对这家网络安全公司给予 “跑输大盘 ”评级，指出竞争和定价压力日益加大。Crowdstrike 盘前下跌 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124063419","content_text":"Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday morning as investors awaited key retail sales and earnings results out from major U.S. companies later this week.At 8:00 a.m. ET, S&P 500 e-minis were up 10.75 points, or 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 34.5 points, or 0.21%, and Dow e-minis  were up 118 points, or 0.33%.\nInvestors this week are also set to receive new data from the Commerce Department on U.S. retail sales. The report is likely to show a 1.3% month-on-month jump in sales for October after a more sanguine 0.7% rise in September. And retail earnings results from major names including Walmart, Target, Home Depot and Lowe's will offer additional details on the state of the consumer.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nOatly Group AB – The oat milk producer lost 7 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 10 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. Revenue came in below forecasts, however, and its shares tumbled 14.1% in premarket action. Oatly said it faced challenges related to various Covid-related restrictions, but that it continues to scale up production.\nTesla Motors – Tesla slid 2.1% in premarket trading after a weekly loss last week ended an 11-week winning streak. Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $7 billion in stock last week.\nDollar Tree – Dollar Tree surged 8.3% in the premarket after activist investor Mantle Ridge took a stake in the discount retailer. The Wall Street Journal reports that Mantle Ridge wants Dollar Tree to take action to boost its stock price and is focusing on pricing strategies at the company’s Family Dollar chain. The news prompted Deutsche Bank to upgrade the stock to “buy” from “hold,” citing potential improvements.\nTyson – The beef and poultry producer earned $2.30 per share for its fiscal fourth quarter, 27 cents a share above estimates. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well. Tyson also announced a new productivity program that it says will save $1 billion annually by the end of 2024.\nAmerican Tower – The communications infrastructure real estate investment trust is buying data center REITCoreSite Realty(COR) for $170 per share in cash, or about $10.1 billion. CoreSite rose 2.6% in premarket action.\nJohn Deere – The heavy equipment maker and striking workers reached a third tentative contract agreement after the first two were rejected. Neither side gave details on the new agreement and it is not yet clear when a vote will take place. Workers have been off the job since Oct. 14.\nEVgo Inc. – The operator of public EV charging networks saw its stock tank by 7.7% in the premarket, after Credit Suisse downgraded it to “neutral” from “outperform.” The company said a recent rally in the stock has likely priced in benefits from the infrastructure bill as well as recent partnership announcements.\nRoyal Dutch Shell PLC – Royal Dutch Shell plans to scrap its dual share structure and also drop the “Royal Dutch” part of its corporate name. The announcement comes amid calls by activist investor Third Point to split up the energy giant into several companies to increase shareholder value. Class “A” shares gained 1.5% in premarket action, while class “B” shares rose 1.1%.\nBoeing – Boeing Senior Vice President Ihssane Mounir said the jet maker is “getting close” to resuming deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner, after suspending them to deal with production issues. Mounir said the exact timing depends on the outcome of ongoing talks with regulators. The stock added 2.7% in the premarket.\nPetco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. – The pet products retailer’s stock slid 2.9% in premarket trading after Jefferies downgraded it to “hold” from “buy.” Jefferies cited valuation after a 26% rise over three months, as well as challenging labor conditions in Petco’s veterinary business.\nCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. – Morgan Stanley began coverage of the cybersecurity company with an “underweight” rating, noting increasing competition and pricing pressure. Crowdstrike slid 4.6% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809259341,"gmtCreate":1627374100683,"gmtModify":1631893594043,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"富贵险中求。(not financial advice)&nbsp;","listText":"富贵险中求。(not financial advice)&nbsp;","text":"富贵险中求。(not financial advice)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809259341","repostId":"1142907091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142907091","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627373467,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142907091?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142907091","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi G","content":"<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股在盘前交易中恢复下跌.哔哩哔哩和网易下跌7%，滴滴全球、京东和拼多多下跌6%，百度下跌5%，小鹏汽车下跌4%，阿里巴巴、蔚来和理想汽车下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-27 16:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股在盘前交易中恢复下跌.哔哩哔哩和网易下跌7%，滴滴全球、京东和拼多多下跌6%，百度下跌5%，小鹏汽车下跌4%，阿里巴巴、蔚来和理想汽车下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BIDU":"百度","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","PDD":"拼多多","LI":"理想汽车","BABA":"阿里巴巴","XPEV":"小鹏集团","JD":"京东","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142907091","content_text":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi Global,JD.com and Pinduoduo fell 6%,Baidu fell 5%,Xpeng Motors fell 4%,Alibaba,Nio and Li Auto fell 3%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"BIDU":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"LI":0.9,"JD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1084,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862581442,"gmtCreate":1632890379767,"gmtModify":1632890379930,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Meltdown but short squeezes happens will be good.&nbsp;","listText":"Meltdown but short squeezes happens will be good.&nbsp;","text":"Meltdown but short squeezes happens will be good.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862581442","repostId":"1198528044","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198528044","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632882697,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1198528044?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198528044","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protect","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</li><li>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</li><li>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满 “这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从同事那里得到的问题<i>减少垃圾投资。</i>这是一个很好的问题，因为投资者认为<i>“无风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个定义，准确地定义什么是熔化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>“融化是指资产或资产类别的投资业绩持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至、</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本性改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期的顶峰附近，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所吸引。这种繁荣滋生了 “合理化”，即 “这次不同 ”。那么，你如何知道目前的市场是否繁荣呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种市场活动表明市场已经回到了'热情'阶段。其特点是：'</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>轻松信贷（太容易，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行的热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>高风险股票跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>拉伸估值</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象一些事情往往比解释它更容易。<b>自 1900 年以来，只有两个之前的市场时期符合融化的条件：1920-1929 年和 1995-2000 年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前较 2020 年 3 月低点的进步进行比较。同样，我们看到价格也出现了非常相似的大幅上涨，同时估值也飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来的盈利能够大幅增长，以证明当前的价格是合理的。然而，付出高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值的衡量标准略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的偏差。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化，”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势迅速偏离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场问题<i>“融化”</i>不是熔化本身，而是随之而来的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在融化过程中，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度使用杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，而基本面则让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化是关于<i>心理学。</i><b>从历史上看，无论什么催化剂引发了人们对风险的漠视，价格和估值的相应飙升都很容易见证。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。以前的<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进步相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于当前的扩展只与历史上几个罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>流行的心理总是 “这次不一样”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被放弃，以换取势头和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似 “输不起 ”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，也是不可避免的，“融化 ”以最坏的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场处于<i>“融化，</i>“事件的持续时间不得而知。因此，投资者需要一个策略来参与预先，并减轻最终的损失<i>“融化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如前所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理的一个功能，它们可能会持续更长时间，比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么 “<i>结束”</i>融化是一种意想不到的外部事件，它会将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是退出潮发生的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场发展。但是，当然，困难的部分是当调整不可避免地发生时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我概述了我们采用的流程。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（在市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>抵御市场大幅下跌。（不相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>卖出落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某种方法在市场融化时不起作用，那么在普遍下跌时很可能也不起作用。最好尽早消除风险）。</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并根据目标权重重新平衡投资组合。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没写，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，变现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间大幅筹集现金。良好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当销售开始时，水平被触发，风险敞口减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTechnically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-29 10:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</li><li>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</li><li>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满 “这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从同事那里得到的问题<i>减少垃圾投资。</i>这是一个很好的问题，因为投资者认为<i>“无风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个定义，准确地定义什么是熔化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>“融化是指资产或资产类别的投资业绩持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至、</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本性改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期的顶峰附近，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所吸引。这种繁荣滋生了 “合理化”，即 “这次不同 ”。那么，你如何知道目前的市场是否繁荣呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种市场活动表明市场已经回到了'热情'阶段。其特点是：'</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>轻松信贷（太容易，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行的热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>高风险股票跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>拉伸估值</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象一些事情往往比解释它更容易。<b>自 1900 年以来，只有两个之前的市场时期符合融化的条件：1920-1929 年和 1995-2000 年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前较 2020 年 3 月低点的进步进行比较。同样，我们看到价格也出现了非常相似的大幅上涨，同时估值也飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来的盈利能够大幅增长，以证明当前的价格是合理的。然而，付出高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值的衡量标准略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的偏差。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化，”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势迅速偏离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场问题<i>“融化”</i>不是熔化本身，而是随之而来的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在融化过程中，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度使用杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，而基本面则让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化是关于<i>心理学。</i><b>从历史上看，无论什么催化剂引发了人们对风险的漠视，价格和估值的相应飙升都很容易见证。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。以前的<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进步相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于当前的扩展只与历史上几个罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>流行的心理总是 “这次不一样”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被放弃，以换取势头和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似 “输不起 ”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，也是不可避免的，“融化 ”以最坏的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场处于<i>“融化，</i>“事件的持续时间不得而知。因此，投资者需要一个策略来参与预先，并减轻最终的损失<i>“融化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如前所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理的一个功能，它们可能会持续更长时间，比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么 “<i>结束”</i>融化是一种意想不到的外部事件，它会将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是退出潮发生的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场发展。但是，当然，困难的部分是当调整不可避免地发生时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我概述了我们采用的流程。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（在市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>抵御市场大幅下跌。（不相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>卖出落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某种方法在市场融化时不起作用，那么在普遍下跌时很可能也不起作用。最好尽早消除风险）。</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并根据目标权重重新平衡投资组合。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没写，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，变现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间大幅筹集现金。良好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当销售开始时，水平被触发，风险敞口减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198528044","content_text":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nAs is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.\n\nIs the“market melting-up?”Such was the question I received from my colleague atCut The Crap Investing.It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a“no risk”market.\nOf course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.\n\n“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly\nby a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,\nrather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“–\n Investopedia\n\nCurrently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.As noted previously:\n\n“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”\n\n\n‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’\n\n\nHigh optimism\nEasy credit (too easy, with loose terms)\nA rush of initial and secondary offerings\nRisky stocks outperforming\nStretched valuations\n\n\nHowever, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nA Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up\nIt is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.\n\nHowever, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\n\nWe can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.\n\nThe following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market“melt-up,”there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.\n\nThe problem with market“melt-ups”is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.\nMelting-Up Leads To Melting-Down\nA market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why“this time is different.”They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.\nMarket melt-ups are all about“psychology.”Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous‘melt-up”periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.\n\nGiven that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.\n\nMelt-ups can longer than logic would predict.\nThe prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”\nValuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.\nInvestors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.\nLastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.\n\nIt is essential to recognize the markets are in a“melt-up,” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual“melting-down.”\nSurviving The Melt-Up\nAs noted, none of this means the next“bear market”is lurking.Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “end”a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.\nAs such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.\nAs portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.\n\nTighten up stop-loss levelsto current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)\nHedge portfoliosagainst major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)\nTake profitsin positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)\nSell laggardsand losers.(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)\nRaise cashand rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)\n\nNotice, nothing in there says,“sell everything and go to cash.”\nThere will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that“stop-loss”levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent“this time is different.”\nIt likely isn’t.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":170547501,"gmtCreate":1626444115803,"gmtModify":1631893594055,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lol I sure hope it's game over for fools like u. Apes will pool money and open a magazine specially next to your office and debunk all the fud u spew with your lousy articles.&nbsp;","listText":"Lol I sure hope it's game over for fools like u. Apes will pool money and open a magazine specially next to your office and debunk all the fud u spew with your lousy articles.&nbsp;","text":"Lol I sure hope it's game over for fools like u. Apes will pool money and open a magazine specially next to your office and debunk all the fud u spew with your lousy articles.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170547501","repostId":"2151450981","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124209183,"gmtCreate":1624765044142,"gmtModify":1633948893431,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>HODL and you will be rewarded. Win&nbsp;the boss monster and it will drop riches for u.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>HODL and you will be rewarded. Win&nbsp;the boss monster and it will drop riches for u.&nbsp;","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$HODL and you will be rewarded. Win the boss monster and it will drop riches for u.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124209183","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808499066,"gmtCreate":1627604674755,"gmtModify":1631891879414,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Crookhood, dive and swim into the blackhole ok.&nbsp;","listText":"Crookhood, dive and swim into the blackhole ok.&nbsp;","text":"Crookhood, dive and swim into the blackhole ok.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808499066","repostId":"2155840271","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":676,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140036640,"gmtCreate":1625618852480,"gmtModify":1633939057251,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh","listText":"Oh","text":"Oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140036640","repostId":"1122166072","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157969413,"gmtCreate":1625560220432,"gmtModify":1633939642352,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$</a>比预购还便宜，还不买。。。冲啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$</a>比预购还便宜，还不买。。。冲啊","text":"$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$比预购还便宜，还不买。。。冲啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157969413","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":810113093,"gmtCreate":1629951407012,"gmtModify":1631891879394,"author":{"id":"3582771937132696","authorId":"3582771937132696","name":"WealthyCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3995d5d276b3b8fc9c075fe8de258a7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582771937132696","authorIdStr":"3582771937132696"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Kill the bears, give them their salvation, bodies of bears everywhere&nbsp;is the end game!&nbsp;","listText":"Kill the bears, give them their salvation, bodies of bears everywhere&nbsp;is the end game!&nbsp;","text":"Kill the bears, give them their salvation, bodies of bears everywhere is the end game!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810113093","repostId":"1101434650","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2044,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}